Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1793 Scott Adams： I Help You Figure Out Who The Next President Will Be And Why

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization and possibly

00:00:09.340 some alien worlds that are yet to be discovered.

00:00:12.900 If you'd like to take it up a notch, and I know you do, what's it take?

00:00:16.880 Well, not much.

00:00:17.840 All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a jellis or a stein, a canteen jug

00:00:21.980 or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:24.380 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:27.240 I like coffee.

00:00:28.120 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:00:32.100 It's the dopamine hit of the day, if you haven't heard.

00:00:35.140 A little bit of oxytocin on top.

00:00:37.900 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:40.200 Go.

00:00:44.560 Ah, yeah, that was good.

00:00:48.840 Better than usual.

00:00:51.360 Well, I saw a video of a bunch of pilots on strike.

00:00:56.700 Here's the video.

00:00:57.680 I don't know if you can see it on my tiny little phone.

00:01:00.580 But a bunch of pilots in Atlanta for Delta, an American.

00:01:05.420 Is there anything about these pilots that you detect as a pattern?

00:01:11.220 Is there anything about them that, I don't know, it feels like they have something in common?

00:01:18.480 What is it?

00:01:20.460 What is it?

00:01:21.520 Oh, yeah.

00:01:24.380 It's all a bunch of white guys of a certain age.

00:01:27.340 So there's a, as you know, an airline pilot shortage.

00:01:33.300 Does anybody know why there is a pilot shortage?

00:01:35.760 Do you know what it costs to become a commercial pilot?

00:01:42.440 Do you know what, if somebody wanted to go into that business?

00:01:46.040 So you need a lot of flight time that you'd have to do on your own.

00:01:50.220 Give me, take a guess.

00:01:51.820 What do you think is a guess?

00:01:54.440 How much would it cost to start from zero and get enough air time to become a commercial pilot like those people in the video?

00:02:03.640 What do you think?

00:02:04.120 I think it's between half a million and a million.

00:02:10.980 That's why there aren't pilots.

00:02:13.880 Now, did you notice there are also zero women there, at least in the marchers, and there were zero people of color.

00:02:22.700 Now, I have a little insight into this because my recent ex-wife just became a commercial pilot.

00:02:28.280 And so I can tell you a little bit, I'm no expert, but I can tell you a little bit about what it would take.

00:02:35.420 Let's say you're a woman and you want to become a commercial pilot.

00:02:40.520 What would it take?

00:02:42.080 Step one, and you don't want to skip this step.

00:02:46.660 Step one is marry a millionaire and announce that your main ambition in life is to become a pilot.

00:02:54.320 If you skip that step, I don't know that there's another way to do it, honestly.

00:03:01.620 Now, it's also necessary, there's a second step that happens after that, after you marry a millionaire and spend enough money to become a commercial pilot.

00:03:12.960 If you don't remember the video, let me show it again.

00:03:17.900 Marriages don't last very long if you're a woman who becomes a commercial pilot.

00:03:23.820 But let me just throw that in there.

00:03:27.480 So don't expect to stay married, but it's an excellent career, and I recommend it.

00:03:34.840 Here's a little psychology thing I read today.

00:03:37.840 I think it was in CNN.

00:03:39.800 Do you know how grocery stores and other stores, too, always put flowers out front?

00:03:44.700 Have you noticed that?

00:03:45.380 Apparently, there's a reason for that.

00:03:53.080 According to Paco Underhill, the founder and CEO of Behavioral Research, he's got a consulting firm.

00:03:59.600 He says that when the shoppers smell the flowers as they're walking into a store, it fires up their senses, and it makes them irrational.

00:04:11.800 It makes them irrational.

00:04:13.460 So they're more willing to buy stuff just because the smell just sort of wakes up their brain and puts them in primitive mode, takes them out of logic mode.

00:04:21.400 And I don't know how much of that's true, but I'll bet a little bit of it is.

00:04:28.100 You've heard the trick, if you're trying to sell your house, to have an apple pie baking when somebody comes in to look at the house, because the smell of the apple pie, or pumpkin, I guess, is good, sells the house pretty fast.

00:04:42.000 I would say that the most overlooked sense in our civilization is smell, and, you know, I don't have a sense of smell at the moment.

00:04:52.540 It comes and goes at the moment.

00:04:53.960 I don't have it.

00:04:55.300 But let me ask you this.

00:04:58.340 Men, men only answer this question.

00:05:02.520 How many of you men wear a scent?

00:05:05.840 Some kind of cologne aftershave or something like that.

00:05:08.360 How many of you wear a scent?

00:05:12.000 I'm seeing a lot of no's, but a lot of yes's.

00:05:17.160 Nope, nope, nope.

00:05:18.420 All right, so the men are saying yes and no.

00:05:20.740 Now I'm going to ask a question just for the women, but don't answer yes or no, because it'll be confused with the prior question.

00:05:26.740 Just say you like it or don't like it.

00:05:28.440 If you're a woman, just for the women, do you like or not like a man who has a scent, you know, an intentional scent?

00:05:39.500 Like or don't like?

00:05:41.160 Look at the women's answers now.

00:05:44.860 One don't like, two don't likes, but mostly like, and then there's some people who would just be allergic, so that's a problem.

00:05:54.120 It needs to be light, like, like, like.

00:05:56.380 Depends on the scent.

00:05:57.240 Of course, it depends on the scent.

00:05:59.680 Like.

00:05:59.840 Okay, so interesting.

00:06:02.040 So here we have about, now, obviously I can't be too exact when it comes to something like, you know, this statistics, but what it looks like is maybe half the men do not wear a scent, but 90% of the women wish that the man did.

00:06:22.060 Is that about right?

00:06:24.260 Did you see that as a, it was just basically answers going by, but it looked like about half of you don't wear an intentional scent, but most of the women wish you would.

00:06:33.840 Now, how important is the scent to closing the deal?

00:06:41.080 If I ask the men, they're going to say, not that important, but what if I ask the women?

00:06:51.160 Yeah, it's right at the top.

00:06:53.780 It's right at the top.

00:06:55.660 And here's the way it works.

00:06:56.840 If the guy smells right, the brain will become a less careful shopper, just like the flowers in front of the store.

00:07:08.360 It's the same effect.

00:07:10.600 If you're a man and you don't put some flowers in front of your store, you're ignoring the science, right?

00:07:17.340 Now, the exception would be if somebody's allergic and you know it or something like that.

00:07:21.100 And there may be some environments where there's just a mixed crowd and you can't wear any scent, and you have to take that seriously because that's a medical problem for other people.

00:07:30.820 But if you were just going to take a, if you were just going to take the scientific statistical path for the amount of time it takes you to do this, reach over, put it back.

00:07:47.780 You would perhaps double your odds of sex.

00:07:56.460 Ladies, ladies, back me up, because there's no man who believes that.

00:08:01.300 No man believes what I just said.

00:08:03.080 I'm saying that for the five seconds it takes you to pick it up and go, put it down, you will double your odds of sex.

00:08:12.660 And look at the answers from the women.

00:08:14.760 The women are saying yes.

00:08:15.820 It's the same, the same impact.

00:08:18.860 You get the smell right, and they will imagine the other things are right as well.

00:08:24.240 It's not true, but they will imagine the other things are more right if you get the smell right.

00:08:30.020 So, three things.

00:08:31.980 Job, gym membership, and take care of your scent.

00:08:36.920 You get those three things right.

00:08:38.520 You will rule, you will rule the dating world, or your marriage, I guess.

00:08:47.780 Well, let's say that you want to go to a July 4th get-together this weekend, or this long holiday weekend,

00:08:53.620 and you want to get people all worked up and having fights.

00:08:58.940 Get them in political arguments.

00:09:00.400 I like to do this every holiday, tell you how to start the biggest fight during your get-together with the family.

00:09:07.580 Here it is.

00:09:09.340 It's just a little factoid, and it's reported by CBS.

00:09:14.060 So, the source is a left-leaning source, CBS.

00:09:20.020 And it was a major story, but it's not a recent story.

00:09:23.620 So, I linked it.

00:09:24.540 You can see it in my Twitter feed in case you want it.

00:09:26.760 But the story says that Romney, when Romney ran in 2012, he was so unpopular, says the story.

00:09:38.060 Now, this is how CBS is characterizing the story.

00:09:41.980 That Romney was so unpopular, that's the reason given, his unpopularity,

00:09:47.260 that in 2012, a number of precincts in Philadelphia, Romney got zero votes.

00:09:52.740 Not one or two, even by mistake, but zero.

00:09:59.600 Now, here's how the article started, in a number of precincts, in a number of them.

00:10:05.060 What do you think is the number?

00:10:07.620 Like, if you see a headline that says, in a number of precincts, Romney got zero.

00:10:13.380 Just take a guess before I tell you.

00:10:15.760 In a number of precincts, three to five, two to seven,

00:10:20.380 zero, two, well, you would guess, oh, damn it, you know the answer.

00:10:27.640 One of you knew the answer.

00:10:30.100 All right, are you ready?

00:10:31.900 Hold, I'm going to give you the answer, but I want you to do this for me.

00:10:35.640 Put your hand under your chin before you hear the answer, all right?

00:10:40.360 Because if you hear the answer, your chin is going to go,

00:10:43.020 and you might actually dislocate.

00:10:45.660 So, for your own safety, before I tell you the number of precincts

00:10:52.400 in which Romney got exactly zero votes in 2012,

00:10:58.220 not one or two, but exactly zero,

00:11:01.000 the correct number, hold your chin, hold it, hold it,

00:11:04.620 57.

00:11:05.260 How's your chin?

00:11:14.540 Fifty-fucking-seven.

00:11:17.560 Now, just drop that big floating turd at your barbecue

00:11:21.360 and watch the lefties try to tell you that the election

00:11:25.160 was completely good in 2020.

00:11:29.340 Yeah, you know, I believe, and here's the way to go.

00:11:31.540 So, agree with them that it was good in 2020

00:11:34.960 and the election was absolutely fine.

00:11:37.840 But also, you know, interesting,

00:11:40.900 it's a weird little thing,

00:11:42.900 probably not connected to the current situation

00:11:45.760 in any discernible way,

00:11:48.380 but it's sort of an interesting historical note

00:11:50.780 that there were 57 fucking precincts

00:11:54.500 that gave Romney zero votes.

00:11:56.580 57 fucking zeros.

00:11:58.540 57 fucking zeros reported in CBS

00:12:02.920 right in front of your fucking face,

00:12:04.620 and they tell you that it's because Romney

00:12:06.900 wasn't popular in urban areas.

00:12:08.860 That's not fucking true.

00:12:10.840 That's not true.

00:12:12.560 That's not true.

00:12:14.260 There is no statistical fucking way

00:12:17.000 to give zero votes in 57 fucking districts

00:12:20.300 and shove this in our fucking faces

00:12:22.640 and act like we're not going to fucking notice.

00:12:26.320 Except it worked.

00:12:27.200 You didn't notice.

00:12:31.760 But if you want to wonder

00:12:34.480 if our elections are fucked up,

00:12:37.000 you don't have to wonder anymore.

00:12:39.060 By the way, if this is true,

00:12:41.060 and I guess you'd have to say

00:12:42.080 maybe CBS has the wrong numbers, maybe.

00:12:45.180 But if it's true

00:12:46.360 that 57 precincts had exactly zero Romney votes,

00:12:51.080 we're done.

00:12:52.480 We're done.

00:12:53.480 Our election system didn't work in 2012.

00:12:55.620 You can say that for sure.

00:12:59.080 Now, I don't know if it got the wrong answer.

00:13:00.880 It's possible that Obama would have been

00:13:02.900 handily elected under every circumstance.

00:13:07.080 It's possible.

00:13:08.080 But you don't have to wonder

00:13:09.140 if the election is corrupt.

00:13:11.720 That's been answered.

00:13:13.240 Now, what was it that changed the situation,

00:13:15.460 and how did the system get upgraded

00:13:18.220 so such a thing wouldn't happen again?

00:13:21.340 Well, that's not in the story.

00:13:23.560 Because the story doesn't need to tell you

00:13:25.400 how the system was fixed

00:13:26.840 because there was nothing to fix.

00:13:29.320 The headline tells you that Romney was unpopular.

00:13:33.400 So the way you fix that

00:13:34.420 is run a better candidate, right?

00:13:36.380 Nothing wrong with the election system,

00:13:38.180 according to CBS.

00:13:38.880 It's just that you have this one candidate

00:13:40.960 who's so darn unpopular

00:13:42.440 that he gets zero votes.

00:13:47.700 Amazing.

00:13:48.540 Google says 59.

00:13:53.040 Oh, yeah, you're right.

00:13:53.960 It's 59.

00:13:54.660 It doesn't change the story, but 59.

00:13:57.580 I wish I'd sworn with the correct number.

00:13:59.940 It would have been much better.

00:14:01.920 Anyway, that's the country you live in.

00:14:07.540 The elections...

00:14:08.600 Oh, let me say it directly.

00:14:10.540 You want to see me get cancelled?

00:14:12.800 Based on the CBS report,

00:14:14.660 a reasonable citizen should conclude

00:14:16.460 that our elections were fixed in 2012

00:14:18.780 and that nothing has happened since then

00:14:21.200 that would change that situation.

00:14:23.060 So if CBS is correctly reporting,

00:14:25.780 the only reasonable conclusion

00:14:27.220 is that the elections were completely rigged,

00:14:29.780 or at least in Philadelphia.

00:14:30.740 You can't go beyond that.

00:14:32.560 That the election was rigged in Philadelphia

00:14:34.280 and that nothing has changed since then.

00:14:37.520 A reasonable citizen

00:14:38.580 should be able to look you straight in the fucking eye

00:14:41.420 and say there's no chance

00:14:42.980 that our elections are not rigged.

00:14:45.240 Doesn't mean that Trump won the election.

00:14:48.160 I don't make that claim.

00:14:50.520 I accept the election outcome

00:14:52.080 the way it was called from the day it was called.

00:14:55.500 Because I still think we're better off

00:14:58.180 trusting the system and fixing it

00:15:00.720 than to throw out a system.

00:15:03.480 So we're still better off

00:15:04.780 acting as though that was a credible result,

00:15:07.240 but we certainly should not expect that it was.

00:15:10.780 So if I'm still here tomorrow,

00:15:13.360 that'll be a surprise.

00:15:15.820 But if I get kicked off,

00:15:17.700 that CBS report about 59 precincts

00:15:20.360 having zero Romney votes

00:15:21.580 is going to get a lot more attention, won't it?

00:15:23.780 And that's the kill shot.

00:15:27.020 That's the end of the fucking conversation.

00:15:30.040 If it's true,

00:15:31.820 I mean, I could take a fact check on that.

00:15:33.880 Maybe the CBS report is wrong.

00:15:35.880 But if it's true,

00:15:37.220 it's the end of the fucking conversation.

00:15:39.960 Does everybody agree with that?

00:15:40.940 There's nothing to say after that.

00:15:43.780 You don't need any audits.

00:15:46.520 You don't need any.

00:15:47.780 You don't need any smoking guns.

00:15:50.940 Nope.

00:15:51.740 You don't need to find a hanging chad.

00:15:54.200 You don't need a thin ballot.

00:15:56.080 You don't need any trucks in the wrong area.

00:15:58.700 You don't need any mules.

00:16:01.160 You don't need a fucking thing.

00:16:03.920 Except 59.

00:16:05.020 59 precincts with zero Romney votes.

00:16:08.640 It's not possible.

00:16:12.020 All right.

00:16:13.580 I've told you before about my favorite Chinese operative.

00:16:18.520 At least, allegedly, he denies it.

00:16:21.780 But Chen Waihu on Twitter,

00:16:24.680 I call him my nemesis

00:16:25.880 because we've had a number of interactions.

00:16:28.040 But he's the best nemesis ever.

00:16:30.300 Number one, he's really good at his job.

00:16:33.280 And I can't lose sight of that

00:16:34.780 because it makes me laugh every time I see him operating.

00:16:37.920 So what he does is he waits for some political story.

00:16:41.360 And then he weighs in in the comments

00:16:43.600 to tell you that if you looked at the context,

00:16:46.920 you know, America is really a bad place.

00:16:49.360 And he adds the context

00:16:51.060 that changes the story a little bit

00:16:53.700 to sort of a Chinese propaganda view of things.

00:16:56.920 Now, Twitter labels his account

00:16:59.380 as affiliated with state media of China.

00:17:03.440 So Twitter is doing a good job telling you,

00:17:05.480 you know, watch out for this one.

00:17:06.820 This is probably the Chinese government

00:17:08.680 talking to you right now.

00:17:09.980 And I appreciate that.

00:17:11.560 So that's something good that Twitter is doing.

00:17:14.340 But the funny thing is that Chen still operates

00:17:16.900 with the label.

00:17:19.000 And he's even complained quite accurately

00:17:21.620 about the label not being applied to other places.

00:17:24.380 And he's right about that, too.

00:17:26.160 So what I like about Chen

00:17:27.320 is that when he criticizes the United States,

00:17:32.200 usually, not every time,

00:17:34.180 but usually it's actually a pretty good point.

00:17:37.080 And it might even be one

00:17:38.320 that we would criticize ourselves from.

00:17:40.340 So it's wonderful to watch him work

00:17:43.300 because he's so good at it.

00:17:44.640 But here's a tweet he did about Biden.

00:17:46.640 And then when Biden, I guess,

00:17:49.760 asked the gas companies to lower their prices,

00:17:52.700 basically just telling them

00:17:54.420 they're making too much money

00:17:55.520 and lower your prices.

00:17:57.540 And Chen tweets to that.

00:17:59.980 He says, so Biden said,

00:18:02.420 bring down the price you were charging at the pump

00:18:04.200 to reflect the cost you're paying for the product

00:18:06.420 and do it now.

00:18:08.720 And Chen tweets at that.

00:18:10.620 And he says,

00:18:11.200 now U.S. president finally realized

00:18:13.440 that capitalism is all about exploitation.

00:18:15.700 He didn't believe this before.

00:18:18.700 He didn't believe this before.

00:18:24.200 Isn't that funny?

00:18:25.820 Because it's such a short tweet,

00:18:27.420 which is what makes it funnier.

00:18:29.080 Like he's not wasting any extra words, Chen.

00:18:32.400 Now U.S. president finally realized

00:18:34.280 that capitalism is all about exploitation.

00:18:37.440 He didn't believe this before.

00:18:42.440 It's such a good troll.

00:18:43.720 It was even picked up by Fox News.

00:18:46.860 You know, they did an article about it

00:18:48.160 just because it was such a funny troll.

00:18:52.000 All right.

00:18:54.020 You know the story where Trump allegedly

00:18:56.600 tried to grab the steering wheel of the beast

00:18:58.840 and maybe he tried to strangle

00:19:00.780 the Secret Service officer who was driving

00:19:03.920 to try to get him to drive toward

00:19:05.620 the January 6th protests.

00:19:06.780 And I guess the Secret Service guy

00:19:09.420 is named Tony Ornato.

00:19:11.740 And a CNN political commentator

00:19:13.960 gave us a little context.

00:19:16.500 So the Alyssa Farrah Griffin,

00:19:20.280 who lists herself as a CNN political commentator,

00:19:23.840 she said in a tweet that

00:19:25.300 Tony Ornato lied about me too.

00:19:28.660 So the indication here is that

00:19:30.480 the person defending Trump's behavior

00:19:32.460 might have a history of lying.

00:19:34.240 Okay, let's see what that's about.

00:19:36.600 She said during the protests

00:19:37.740 at Lafayette Square in 2020,

00:19:39.360 I told Mark Meadows and Ornato

00:19:41.020 they needed to warn press stage there

00:19:45.160 before clearing the square.

00:19:47.700 Meadows replied, quote,

00:19:49.040 we aren't doing that.

00:19:50.780 Tony later lied and said

00:19:52.160 the exchange never happened.

00:19:53.620 He knows it did.

00:19:54.660 All right, so here's a he said,

00:19:55.780 she said situation

00:19:56.680 in which a CNN political commentator

00:19:59.940 says that this specific Secret Service person

00:20:04.980 was a liar.

00:20:08.680 Now, I don't know about you,

00:20:12.240 but if I were to weigh the credibility

00:20:15.380 of two people by their backgrounds

00:20:18.220 and their professions,

00:20:20.220 and one of them was a CNN political commentator,

00:20:22.880 and one of them was a Secret Service agent

00:20:26.140 that had been vetted extensively,

00:20:29.060 which one of those is more likely

00:20:31.520 to tell you a true story

00:20:35.000 on a factual event?

00:20:37.960 A CNN political commentator,

00:20:39.880 remember, not just the news,

00:20:41.680 the political news,

00:20:42.740 and just not a news reader,

00:20:44.520 but a commentator,

00:20:45.960 a bunt, if you will,

00:20:47.240 a CNN commentator

00:20:48.600 or a professional Secret Service agent

00:20:51.420 who would guard a Republican

00:20:53.160 or a Democrat equally

00:20:54.420 because that's their job.

00:20:58.580 I don't know.

00:21:00.140 So I thought I would be helpful

00:21:01.660 because Alyssa Farrah Griffin

00:21:03.800 added some context,

00:21:05.020 which actually is useful.

00:21:06.600 That is useful context,

00:21:07.860 if it's true.

00:21:09.420 If it's true.

00:21:10.780 But it would be kind of

00:21:11.960 two people's memory of an event,

00:21:13.600 wouldn't it?

00:21:14.060 You wouldn't really know

00:21:14.760 which one was true, he said.

00:21:16.860 Maybe she'll say,

00:21:17.480 maybe he'll say something

00:21:18.400 different than she said.

00:21:20.240 But I helpfully retweeted

00:21:22.980 my list of 11 CNN hoaxes

00:21:25.300 so that you could have

00:21:26.920 further context.

00:21:28.140 So now you know

00:21:28.900 there are 11 things

00:21:30.680 that Alyssa Farrah Griffin

00:21:32.020 probably thought were true

00:21:33.920 and said so on TV.

00:21:35.360 I don't know specifically

00:21:36.500 which one she would have agreed with,

00:21:38.280 you know, the fine people hoax

00:21:39.480 or the drinking bleach one,

00:21:40.680 but probably all of them.

00:21:42.340 And so she's got 11 strikes

00:21:45.000 against her, probably.

00:21:46.080 You'd have to fact check that

00:21:47.780 to see how many

00:21:48.660 of the hoaxes she bought into.

00:21:51.340 And then allegedly

00:21:52.200 Tony Ornato has one

00:21:53.960 communication example

00:21:56.420 in which there's some

00:21:58.260 uncertainty about whether,

00:22:01.040 who said what, and when.

00:22:03.640 So there's your setup.

00:22:05.360 Someone who bought into

00:22:06.880 some number of 11 major hoaxes

00:22:10.080 versus somebody who had

00:22:11.300 a brief communication

00:22:12.300 during the fog of war

00:22:13.600 and one person

00:22:14.740 who's remembering it

00:22:15.560 may be different

00:22:16.080 than the other.

00:22:17.100 So there's your credibility check.

00:22:19.280 Well, we're talking about

00:22:20.320 whether Trump will announce.

00:22:22.280 He might announce in July

00:22:23.700 just to get his platform back

00:22:25.380 because if he announces,

00:22:27.480 he'll be interviewed

00:22:28.140 on bigger platforms, etc.

00:22:30.740 But if he waits,

00:22:32.100 he can wait until

00:22:32.720 the midterms are over

00:22:33.800 and not interfere with that.

00:22:35.340 So nobody knows

00:22:36.140 what he's going to do,

00:22:36.860 but I guess he's

00:22:37.440 chomping at the bits.

00:22:38.440 People say that's what

00:22:40.320 they say.

00:22:41.900 Let me suggest

00:22:43.320 a campaign strategy

00:22:45.060 for Trump

00:22:45.700 if he decides to run.

00:22:47.680 If Trump decides to win,

00:22:49.680 allow me to give you

00:22:50.660 the winning strategy.

00:22:52.400 And the funny thing

00:22:54.560 about this is

00:22:55.280 it would actually work.

00:22:57.260 There's no way

00:22:58.040 he'd ever do it

00:22:58.880 because it sounds funny,

00:23:00.420 but it would work.

00:23:02.400 All he'd have to do

00:23:03.540 is announce his presidency

00:23:04.820 and then go hide

00:23:05.700 in the basement

00:23:06.220 for the rest

00:23:07.060 of the election cycle.

00:23:10.880 That's it.

00:23:12.160 And he would become president.

00:23:13.740 The only thing

00:23:14.500 that could stop him

00:23:15.180 from being president

00:23:15.800 is talking.

00:23:17.500 Am I right?

00:23:18.760 Only talking

00:23:19.560 can prevent him

00:23:20.360 from being president.

00:23:21.680 And what he wants to do

00:23:22.840 is have a bigger opportunity

00:23:24.640 to talk.

00:23:26.320 So the one thing

00:23:27.440 that could prevent Trump

00:23:28.520 from being president

00:23:29.260 is the only thing he wants.

00:23:31.440 The one thing

00:23:32.200 that will prevent him

00:23:32.900 from being president.

00:23:33.540 I don't know.

00:23:37.480 Yeah, well,

00:23:38.060 that and the elections

00:23:39.460 being fair,

00:23:40.340 I suppose that matters.

00:23:43.460 So let me ask you

00:23:45.220 about Adam Kinzinger.

00:23:47.320 And I'm going to take

00:23:48.160 a 4th of July

00:23:49.220 frame on this.

00:23:52.280 And, you know,

00:23:53.040 Adam Kinzinger

00:23:53.700 is a Republican

00:23:54.960 who's acting

00:23:55.900 like a Democrat

00:23:56.600 when it comes

00:23:57.420 to the January 6th hearings.

00:23:59.720 And I guess

00:24:00.400 he's retiring

00:24:01.260 from Congress.

00:24:02.020 He's not going

00:24:02.400 to run again.

00:24:03.540 Here's my take on him.

00:24:07.220 Forget about

00:24:07.920 the politics

00:24:08.500 for a minute.

00:24:09.140 He's also a veteran.

00:24:12.220 I'm no medical doctor.

00:24:15.160 But I think

00:24:15.780 Adam Kinzinger

00:24:16.580 needs some

00:24:18.120 actual medical help.

00:24:20.320 Like psychological,

00:24:21.940 something like that.

00:24:22.680 And I'm serious.

00:24:23.660 And this has nothing

00:24:24.340 to do with politics.

00:24:25.400 This has only to do

00:24:26.540 with the fact

00:24:27.000 that he's a veteran.

00:24:28.040 So if I can just say

00:24:30.420 politics don't matter

00:24:31.480 for a moment,

00:24:32.020 and I just watch

00:24:33.280 Adam Kinzinger

00:24:34.100 operate in public,

00:24:35.900 I say to myself,

00:24:38.020 I feel like

00:24:38.900 he needs some help.

00:24:40.340 Like, actually,

00:24:41.000 legitimately.

00:24:41.680 Like, I actually

00:24:42.360 have empathy.

00:24:43.340 I'm not making

00:24:43.980 a political point.

00:24:45.240 It has nothing

00:24:45.720 to do with his politics.

00:24:47.000 Nothing to do

00:24:47.660 with Trump.

00:24:48.580 Nothing to do

00:24:49.160 with anything.

00:24:50.400 I mean,

00:24:50.740 you can read it

00:24:51.520 on his face.

00:24:53.080 There's something

00:24:53.720 distressing going on.

00:24:54.820 And so,

00:24:56.120 in the interest

00:24:56.780 of, you know,

00:24:58.360 July 4th,

00:24:59.380 maybe the one day

00:25:00.200 we can pretend

00:25:01.060 to be together,

00:25:02.340 I'm going to value

00:25:03.660 his service

00:25:04.420 to the country

00:25:05.040 higher than

00:25:06.800 his politics.

00:25:08.800 And I think

00:25:09.620 that his service

00:25:10.540 to the country

00:25:11.200 sort of obligates

00:25:13.620 us to take care

00:25:14.720 of him.

00:25:15.740 And I don't think

00:25:16.400 he's being taken

00:25:16.960 care of.

00:25:17.940 I worry about that.

00:25:19.920 Does anybody

00:25:20.360 else see the same

00:25:21.380 thing?

00:25:21.760 Am I the only one

00:25:22.380 who sees it?

00:25:23.160 Because remember,

00:25:23.720 he's not running

00:25:24.240 for office anymore.

00:25:25.820 So if I say,

00:25:26.780 you know,

00:25:27.000 it looks like

00:25:27.680 he needs some help,

00:25:28.440 it's not because

00:25:28.920 I want to prevent

00:25:29.740 him from getting

00:25:31.140 his message out.

00:25:32.460 I'm not trying

00:25:33.140 to degrade him

00:25:33.960 politically.

00:25:34.520 He's already

00:25:34.960 out of the game.

00:25:36.100 I'm saying he looks

00:25:36.800 like he needs help.

00:25:38.360 You could read it

00:25:39.080 all over his face.

00:25:40.660 And I don't know

00:25:41.560 if that has anything

00:25:42.460 to do with what

00:25:43.180 he's doing in public,

00:25:44.240 but I'm willing

00:25:44.980 to separate that

00:25:45.820 for this discussion.

00:25:47.300 He looks like

00:25:47.960 a veteran who looks

00:25:49.520 like he's in distress.

00:25:51.580 I just hope he's

00:25:52.420 getting the help

00:25:52.880 he needs.

00:25:53.400 That's all.

00:25:54.900 And just try to

00:25:55.880 separate that

00:25:56.380 from politics

00:25:56.940 for a moment.

00:26:02.520 Well,

00:26:02.940 what else

00:26:03.240 is going on?

00:26:07.180 Here's the thing

00:26:07.840 I'd love to see

00:26:08.620 some Republicans

00:26:09.640 say in public.

00:26:11.060 You know,

00:26:11.280 I said it on a tweet,

00:26:12.420 but it feels like

00:26:13.100 this needs to be

00:26:13.700 in public.

00:26:14.060 Everything about

00:26:15.860 the January 6th event

00:26:19.040 depends on one

00:26:20.540 assumption.

00:26:22.480 And first of all,

00:26:23.580 give me a check

00:26:24.220 on this.

00:26:25.060 Do you agree

00:26:25.900 that everything

00:26:27.140 we understand

00:26:28.020 about Trump's

00:26:28.880 actions during

00:26:29.540 that time

00:26:30.040 depends on one

00:26:31.240 key assumption,

00:26:32.760 which is,

00:26:33.900 did Trump really

00:26:34.780 believe the election

00:26:35.560 was stolen?

00:26:37.520 Genuinely.

00:26:38.800 Or was he

00:26:39.560 pretending to believe

00:26:40.660 because it would

00:26:41.800 give him some

00:26:42.360 advantage to try

00:26:43.420 to take over

00:26:43.980 the country

00:26:44.340 as a dictator?

00:26:45.880 Now,

00:26:47.280 we could say

00:26:48.200 with all clarity

00:26:49.620 that we don't

00:26:50.260 know what he

00:26:50.760 was thinking,

00:26:51.820 right?

00:26:52.640 We don't know.

00:26:55.180 But why would

00:26:56.080 you take the

00:26:56.600 least likely

00:26:57.340 assumption?

00:26:59.240 There are several

00:27:00.080 assumptions you

00:27:00.700 could make.

00:27:01.200 One is that he

00:27:01.800 actually was trying

00:27:02.620 to take over

00:27:03.720 the country,

00:27:04.160 and he thought

00:27:05.560 he could do it

00:27:06.060 with some kind

00:27:06.580 of legal machinations

00:27:07.940 and he hadn't

00:27:08.960 quite worked out

00:27:09.580 the details,

00:27:10.420 but at the very

00:27:10.920 least he wanted

00:27:11.560 to give some

00:27:12.120 fake electoral

00:27:13.680 votes in there.

00:27:16.100 Maybe.

00:27:17.720 That's entirely

00:27:18.460 possible.

00:27:19.500 Based on what

00:27:20.040 we've seen,

00:27:21.520 that hypothesis

00:27:22.420 seems to generally

00:27:24.520 sort of kind of

00:27:26.020 fix the facts

00:27:26.660 a little bit.

00:27:27.840 I mean,

00:27:28.100 it's not ruled

00:27:28.720 out by the facts,

00:27:29.580 is it?

00:27:30.220 We haven't seen

00:27:30.860 anything that rules

00:27:31.720 it out.

00:27:33.020 But you can't

00:27:33.580 prove a negative

00:27:34.100 either.

00:27:35.360 So,

00:27:36.420 but here's

00:27:37.200 the other take.

00:27:38.140 The other take

00:27:38.760 is that he

00:27:39.140 genuinely believed

00:27:40.020 the election

00:27:40.600 was rigged

00:27:41.280 and that it

00:27:42.220 was obvious.

00:27:43.680 Now,

00:27:43.940 I'm not saying

00:27:44.380 that.

00:27:45.020 That's not my

00:27:45.620 opinion.

00:27:46.820 Not my opinion.

00:27:48.360 I'm just saying

00:27:49.180 that he could

00:27:50.840 have easily

00:27:51.580 had that opinion.

00:27:52.720 So,

00:27:53.060 if you were

00:27:53.300 going to take

00:27:53.620 those two

00:27:54.100 hypotheses as

00:27:55.120 your starting

00:27:55.560 assumption,

00:27:56.460 and the one

00:27:57.160 you take

00:27:57.680 determines all

00:27:58.700 the rest.

00:27:59.840 Everything else

00:28:00.520 is determined

00:28:01.100 by that assumption.

00:28:02.400 Because if he

00:28:03.100 believed,

00:28:03.580 it was really

00:28:04.360 a rigged

00:28:04.880 election,

00:28:06.280 and he was

00:28:06.800 trying hard

00:28:07.360 to delay

00:28:07.900 things and

00:28:09.020 stay president

00:28:09.660 long enough

00:28:10.260 to figure it

00:28:11.160 out,

00:28:12.280 then he is

00:28:13.060 George Washington.

00:28:14.660 He's a hero.

00:28:16.420 He didn't

00:28:16.940 succeed,

00:28:17.860 but he would

00:28:18.500 be a hero

00:28:19.040 who tried to

00:28:19.740 stop a horrible

00:28:20.720 injustice of the

00:28:22.780 country.

00:28:24.100 If he made

00:28:24.920 that assumption.

00:28:25.800 We don't know,

00:28:27.320 but if he made

00:28:27.960 that assumption,

00:28:28.500 he's a hero.

00:28:29.500 He just didn't

00:28:30.180 succeed.

00:28:30.580 If you make

00:28:32.440 the assumption

00:28:32.880 that he knew

00:28:33.600 the election

00:28:34.160 was legitimate

00:28:35.200 enough and

00:28:36.040 that he really

00:28:36.620 lost,

00:28:37.660 well,

00:28:37.960 then he's a

00:28:38.680 traitor and

00:28:40.620 belongs in

00:28:42.000 jail.

00:28:43.360 Or if it's

00:28:44.240 a crime,

00:28:44.680 I don't know.

00:28:45.060 Who knows

00:28:45.400 what's a crime

00:28:45.880 these days.

00:28:47.080 So,

00:28:47.440 don't you think

00:28:48.020 that everything

00:28:48.780 relies on that?

00:28:50.280 Now,

00:28:51.140 correct me if

00:28:51.700 I'm wrong.

00:28:52.880 Everything

00:28:53.360 springs from

00:28:54.520 that.

00:28:55.540 Because you

00:28:56.120 could imagine

00:28:56.660 that he would,

00:28:57.340 now let me

00:28:58.400 put this in

00:28:58.860 context for you.

00:29:00.080 One of the

00:29:00.520 big complaints

00:29:01.360 is that he

00:29:02.080 didn't stop

00:29:03.320 the protesters.

00:29:05.320 Well,

00:29:05.840 if you believe

00:29:06.380 the election

00:29:06.800 was actually

00:29:07.820 illegitimate,

00:29:09.100 would you

00:29:09.480 stop the

00:29:09.880 protesters?

00:29:11.500 No,

00:29:11.940 you wouldn't.

00:29:12.540 That wouldn't

00:29:12.960 be the right

00:29:13.380 play.

00:29:14.140 Because you'd

00:29:14.640 want people

00:29:15.000 on your side.

00:29:15.680 You'd want

00:29:15.900 to make a

00:29:16.220 big deal

00:29:16.600 about it.

00:29:16.940 You'd want

00:29:17.120 the press

00:29:17.500 to cover it.

00:29:18.080 You'd want

00:29:18.300 everybody to

00:29:18.840 know.

00:29:19.440 You'd want

00:29:19.840 the most

00:29:20.320 people there.

00:29:21.900 Would you,

00:29:23.140 if you believed

00:29:23.800 the election

00:29:24.180 was legitimately

00:29:25.120 stolen,

00:29:25.760 and it

00:29:26.920 was obvious.

00:29:27.780 I'm not

00:29:28.120 saying it

00:29:28.480 was.

00:29:28.880 I'll say

00:29:29.160 that every

00:29:29.520 five seconds.

00:29:30.160 That's not

00:29:30.460 my opinion.

00:29:31.860 But if you

00:29:32.340 believed that,

00:29:33.800 would you

00:29:34.460 put up with

00:29:35.600 some extra

00:29:36.620 risk to

00:29:38.160 the vice

00:29:38.560 president

00:29:39.020 under that

00:29:40.840 weird,

00:29:41.500 weird condition

00:29:42.180 that you

00:29:43.100 really believe

00:29:43.740 the election

00:29:44.180 had just

00:29:44.520 been stolen?

00:29:46.680 Somebody says

00:29:47.380 no.

00:29:47.840 Interesting.

00:29:48.520 I thought I

00:29:49.060 was leading

00:29:49.420 you to

00:29:49.800 a yes.

00:29:50.700 The correct

00:29:51.220 answer is

00:29:51.620 yes.

00:29:52.560 The correct

00:29:53.120 answer is

00:29:53.600 yes,

00:29:53.900 you would

00:29:54.200 put up with

00:29:54.660 greater risk

00:29:55.580 risk in

00:29:56.400 all areas,

00:29:57.820 not just

00:29:58.400 the risk

00:29:58.880 to the

00:29:59.140 vice

00:29:59.700 president's

00:30:00.340 safety.

00:30:01.660 You would

00:30:02.140 increase your

00:30:02.860 risk for

00:30:03.520 everything

00:30:04.140 appropriately.

00:30:05.700 That would

00:30:05.980 be the right

00:30:06.360 play.

00:30:06.960 You would

00:30:07.240 increase all

00:30:07.980 of your

00:30:08.280 risks to

00:30:09.460 take care of

00:30:10.000 what you

00:30:10.320 saw was

00:30:10.740 even a

00:30:11.380 bigger risk

00:30:12.060 if you

00:30:13.040 believed it,

00:30:14.320 that the

00:30:14.960 election was

00:30:15.580 rigged,

00:30:16.200 which is

00:30:16.760 not my

00:30:17.140 opinion.

00:30:19.580 So every

00:30:21.480 single part

00:30:22.200 of that,

00:30:22.660 now the

00:30:23.080 hanging,

00:30:23.720 obviously,

00:30:24.120 I wouldn't

00:30:26.540 believe any

00:30:27.060 reporting about

00:30:28.060 Trump thinking

00:30:29.960 that Pence

00:30:31.120 should be

00:30:31.860 hung.

00:30:32.880 That doesn't

00:30:33.680 sound believable

00:30:34.480 to me.

00:30:36.820 But let me

00:30:38.060 put it this

00:30:38.560 way, and I'm

00:30:39.020 going to use

00:30:39.400 the really

00:30:39.860 test.

00:30:40.440 You remember

00:30:40.720 the really

00:30:41.140 test?

00:30:41.820 It's where you

00:30:42.440 state a fact

00:30:43.040 that somebody

00:30:43.540 is trying to

00:30:43.980 tell you it's

00:30:44.420 true, and

00:30:45.440 then if you

00:30:46.100 can make it

00:30:46.580 look ridiculous

00:30:47.320 with one

00:30:48.440 word, it

00:30:49.480 probably isn't

00:30:50.040 true.

00:30:50.280 And that

00:30:51.100 one word

00:30:51.660 is, really?

00:30:53.660 Are you

00:30:54.180 really trying

00:30:54.640 to make me

00:30:55.140 believe this?

00:30:56.380 Really?

00:30:57.220 All right, let's

00:30:57.640 do that test

00:30:58.400 with this.

00:30:59.580 So the

00:30:59.820 question is,

00:31:00.400 did Trump

00:31:00.860 believe that

00:31:02.120 the election

00:31:02.560 was rigged?

00:31:03.960 So put

00:31:04.740 yourself in

00:31:05.240 Trump's head.

00:31:06.160 It's impossible,

00:31:07.180 but do the

00:31:07.540 best you can.

00:31:08.860 You're

00:31:09.160 President Trump,

00:31:10.560 everything is

00:31:11.420 about winning.

00:31:12.680 He says so,

00:31:13.540 right?

00:31:13.860 It's win,

00:31:14.400 win, win.

00:31:15.220 It's all

00:31:15.620 about win.

00:31:16.220 He's a

00:31:16.560 winner.

00:31:16.840 He's got to

00:31:17.180 be a winner.

00:31:18.100 He can't

00:31:18.600 lose.

00:31:19.060 He's got to

00:31:19.340 be a winner.

00:31:20.160 He's sure

00:31:20.640 he's going

00:31:20.980 to win.

00:31:21.380 He's sure

00:31:21.640 he's going

00:31:21.960 to win.

00:31:22.940 It's midnight.

00:31:23.920 It looks like

00:31:24.360 he's won.

00:31:24.980 Damn it,

00:31:25.280 he's won.

00:31:26.140 Then he wakes

00:31:26.700 up to find

00:31:27.340 out there

00:31:27.740 was something

00:31:28.220 that he

00:31:28.560 can't yet

00:31:29.020 explain.

00:31:29.920 Turns out

00:31:30.360 it was the

00:31:30.860 late ballots.

00:31:32.260 But he

00:31:32.560 couldn't yet

00:31:32.920 explain that

00:31:35.000 looked really

00:31:35.560 sketchy.

00:31:37.040 It looked

00:31:37.660 like it was

00:31:38.160 rigged.

00:31:38.860 If it

00:31:39.260 wasn't, we

00:31:39.920 don't know.

00:31:41.240 But it

00:31:41.860 looked like

00:31:42.300 it on day

00:31:43.180 one.

00:31:44.520 So put

00:31:45.200 yourself in

00:31:45.680 his head.

00:31:47.280 And here's

00:31:47.880 the question.

00:31:49.700 Do you

00:31:49.980 really think

00:31:50.640 he lost?

00:31:52.240 Really?

00:31:52.580 Do you

00:31:54.100 think in

00:31:54.640 his personal

00:31:55.480 mind he

00:31:56.600 saw those

00:31:57.180 irregularities that

00:31:58.480 came at the

00:31:58.960 end of the

00:31:59.440 night, which I

00:32:00.000 think have been

00:32:00.420 explained, by

00:32:01.080 the way, as

00:32:01.840 late ballots that

00:32:02.780 typically favor

00:32:04.420 Democrats for

00:32:05.720 reasons that we

00:32:06.720 can discuss.

00:32:08.020 But I think

00:32:08.600 they're explained,

00:32:10.060 but they had not

00:32:10.800 yet been adequately

00:32:11.940 explained at that

00:32:12.800 time.

00:32:13.980 So remember, you

00:32:14.540 have to go back

00:32:15.080 to the time and

00:32:15.900 know that there

00:32:16.540 had not been all

00:32:17.280 the allegations

00:32:18.420 that had been

00:32:19.100 debunked by

00:32:19.680 then.

00:32:20.440 There were still

00:32:20.880 plenty of

00:32:21.300 allegations, but

00:32:22.000 not a lot of

00:32:22.500 debunking going

00:32:23.200 on yet.

00:32:24.340 You put yourself

00:32:25.280 in his head, his

00:32:26.780 mindset that he

00:32:27.740 thought he won,

00:32:28.720 he's got to win,

00:32:29.880 winning is

00:32:30.260 everything, and

00:32:31.480 then surprisingly,

00:32:33.480 with great

00:32:34.340 sketchiness in

00:32:35.820 some of the

00:32:36.520 observed facts,

00:32:38.620 he amazingly

00:32:39.560 loses.

00:32:40.840 You tell me,

00:32:41.760 you look me in

00:32:42.480 the face, if

00:32:44.460 you're a Democrat,

00:32:45.480 look me in the

00:32:46.160 face, and you

00:32:47.220 tell me seriously,

00:32:48.680 you fucking think

00:32:49.900 that he didn't

00:32:50.880 believe he won.

00:32:52.640 Really?

00:32:54.040 Really?

00:32:55.380 I mean, seriously.

00:32:57.700 This is not you,

00:32:58.880 and it's not me,

00:32:59.440 and this is Trump.

00:33:00.380 You really fucking

00:33:01.540 think he didn't

00:33:02.840 think he won,

00:33:04.120 or at least

00:33:04.580 suspect it was

00:33:05.960 very likely that

00:33:07.360 there was

00:33:07.720 something going

00:33:08.140 on.

00:33:09.020 Of course he

00:33:10.260 thought it was

00:33:11.140 something sketchy.

00:33:12.760 He just got

00:33:13.720 through the entire

00:33:14.880 Russia collusion

00:33:16.540 hoax.

00:33:17.500 If you had been

00:33:18.360 the subject of

00:33:19.620 the Russia

00:33:20.040 collusion hoax,

00:33:21.360 would you believe

00:33:22.140 that the next

00:33:22.720 election was

00:33:23.400 going to be

00:33:23.960 fair?

00:33:26.100 The Russia

00:33:26.940 collusion hoax

00:33:27.960 proved to us

00:33:28.940 that the Democrats

00:33:30.180 would break any

00:33:31.080 law, tell any

00:33:32.680 lie, to keep

00:33:33.740 him out of

00:33:34.160 office.

00:33:35.080 And now you've

00:33:35.720 got a situation

00:33:36.300 where it looks

00:33:36.880 exactly like that's

00:33:37.840 what happened.

00:33:38.840 That's not my

00:33:39.720 opinion, but it

00:33:40.860 looked exactly like

00:33:41.820 that's what happened.

00:33:42.480 It's been

00:33:43.360 explained in my

00:33:44.160 opinion, but it

00:33:45.700 looked like it.

00:33:47.200 Now you tell me

00:33:48.040 that you honestly

00:33:49.020 think, honestly,

00:33:50.680 I mean seriously,

00:33:51.560 it's just the two

00:33:52.120 of us here, this

00:33:52.980 is a conversation

00:33:53.800 between me and

00:33:55.320 some anti-Trumper

00:33:56.380 hypothetically, just

00:33:57.820 the two of us in

00:33:58.460 the room.

00:33:59.380 I want you to look

00:34:00.100 me in the eye and

00:34:00.720 tell me seriously

00:34:01.520 that you believe

00:34:02.960 Trump actually

00:34:04.680 thought he lost.

00:34:06.560 Seriously.

00:34:07.600 Really?

00:34:10.420 Have that

00:34:11.020 conversation with

00:34:11.800 somebody and you

00:34:13.000 know how it'll

00:34:13.500 go?

00:34:14.320 They'll change

00:34:14.780 the subject to

00:34:16.200 something else

00:34:16.820 bad, to

00:34:19.180 something else

00:34:19.740 bad that Trump

00:34:20.340 did another time.

00:34:21.840 There's nobody

00:34:22.560 who could deal

00:34:23.120 with that direct

00:34:23.920 assumption challenge.

00:34:26.140 So the direct

00:34:27.220 assumption you need

00:34:28.120 to challenge is

00:34:28.820 you tell me that

00:34:30.080 Trump thinks he's

00:34:30.900 a loser.

00:34:31.720 Go ahead.

00:34:33.040 Go ahead.

00:34:33.580 Tell me that you

00:34:34.520 think that Trump,

00:34:35.380 everything you know

00:34:36.000 about his

00:34:36.320 personality, that

00:34:37.460 when he lost the

00:34:38.260 election and said,

00:34:39.020 yeah, well, it

00:34:39.640 turns out I'm a

00:34:41.660 loser and I lost

00:34:43.280 to a brain-dead

00:34:44.520 guy.

00:34:45.920 Do you think he

00:34:46.700 accepted that?

00:34:48.760 Well, that's what

00:34:49.920 we're asked to

00:34:50.880 believe, that he

00:34:52.220 actually thought he

00:34:52.980 lost and he acted

00:34:53.740 as if he didn't.

00:34:56.540 Ridiculous.

00:34:57.540 Now, I don't know

00:34:58.300 what he was

00:34:58.540 thinking, so I'm

00:34:59.320 not going to take

00:35:00.360 the trap of saying

00:35:01.120 I know what he

00:35:01.820 was thinking, but

00:35:02.940 I'm saying that if

00:35:03.540 you don't know

00:35:04.100 what he was

00:35:04.460 thinking, assuming

00:35:05.460 the least likely

00:35:06.400 one is not a

00:35:08.000 smart play.

00:35:09.640 Well, Newsom is

00:35:11.040 getting active,

00:35:11.900 looking like he

00:35:12.500 wants to be a

00:35:13.120 candidate for

00:35:13.700 president.

00:35:14.280 I think everybody

00:35:14.800 assumes that.

00:35:16.120 And so he's

00:35:16.760 saying some stuff

00:35:18.100 in public against

00:35:18.960 DeSantis, to try

00:35:20.380 to blunt DeSantis,

00:35:22.680 in case DeSantis

00:35:23.780 becomes a candidate

00:35:24.600 and in case

00:35:25.340 Newsom does.

00:35:27.480 But here's what

00:35:29.620 caught my eye.

00:35:30.520 On CNN,

00:35:31.560 there was a,

00:35:32.780 I'm not sure if

00:35:33.660 it's an opinion

00:35:34.220 piece or not.

00:35:36.080 This one's hard to

00:35:37.040 tell.

00:35:37.360 It's a newsy

00:35:38.060 opinion piece, I

00:35:38.880 guess.

00:35:39.760 But it was

00:35:40.860 written by

00:35:41.300 Edward Isaac

00:35:42.300 DeVere and

00:35:43.180 Steve Contorno

00:35:44.420 for CNN.

00:35:46.100 And here's

00:35:49.300 what they said.

00:35:50.020 This is the

00:35:50.480 first sentence of

00:35:51.240 their article.

00:35:52.700 And listen to

00:35:53.600 the language they

00:35:54.440 use.

00:35:55.020 So we're looking

00:35:55.640 for CNN to be

00:35:56.860 shifting toward

00:35:58.480 the middle.

00:35:59.200 So I'm looking

00:35:59.780 for it in their

00:36:00.380 language.

00:36:01.660 All right, here's

00:36:02.180 the story.

00:36:03.080 It says,

00:36:03.480 Gavin Newsom and

00:36:04.180 Ron DeSantis

00:36:04.620 aren't just

00:36:05.500 avatars for

00:36:07.020 the different

00:36:07.500 futures of

00:36:08.280 their parties,

00:36:09.200 but also for

00:36:10.140 the separate

00:36:10.640 realities blue

00:36:12.020 and red America

00:36:12.820 are living in

00:36:14.160 two people of

00:36:15.280 opposing viewpoints

00:36:16.340 looking at

00:36:17.360 exact same

00:36:18.280 set of facts

00:36:19.120 and coming to

00:36:20.260 vastly different

00:36:21.280 conclusions.

00:36:24.260 Is that me?

00:36:26.880 Was that me?

00:36:28.920 What do you

00:36:29.380 think?

00:36:29.680 Because CNN

00:36:32.320 just, I mean,

00:36:34.180 this is not an

00:36:34.940 exact quote of

00:36:35.640 mine or anything,

00:36:36.160 but I'm the

00:36:37.520 person who told

00:36:38.240 you that we

00:36:39.460 were living in

00:36:40.020 two realities.

00:36:40.860 We were not

00:36:41.440 living in a

00:36:42.120 reality in which

00:36:42.720 some people were

00:36:43.380 smart and some

00:36:44.660 were dumb, or

00:36:45.880 some had different

00:36:46.620 preferences.

00:36:47.680 That's the old

00:36:48.240 way.

00:36:48.900 The new reality

00:36:49.600 is we're looking

00:36:50.100 at the same facts

00:36:50.880 and we don't

00:36:51.300 even perceive it

00:36:51.980 as the same

00:36:52.380 reality.

00:36:53.800 That was me.

00:36:55.900 Has my influence

00:36:57.040 reached CNN?

00:36:58.520 What do you

00:36:58.860 think?

00:36:59.680 Because I don't

00:37:01.900 know the answer

00:37:02.420 to that.

00:37:03.080 It could be

00:37:03.640 coincidence.

00:37:04.400 It could be

00:37:04.740 it's just in the

00:37:06.100 zeitgeist and

00:37:06.800 other people are

00:37:07.380 coming around to

00:37:07.960 it, something.

00:37:09.480 But it looks to

00:37:10.360 me, and this

00:37:13.460 would get to

00:37:13.860 your question,

00:37:14.800 sometimes you

00:37:15.360 ask, what can

00:37:16.860 one person do?

00:37:19.100 How much

00:37:19.780 influence can

00:37:20.420 one person have

00:37:21.320 on the world?

00:37:23.840 You see it all

00:37:24.720 the time.

00:37:25.320 You see one

00:37:25.860 person changing

00:37:26.520 the world all

00:37:27.040 the time.

00:37:28.020 In fact,

00:37:28.580 smart people

00:37:30.900 have noted

00:37:31.440 before I

00:37:32.600 said it,

00:37:33.900 that one

00:37:35.140 person is the

00:37:35.780 only thing

00:37:36.080 that's ever

00:37:36.420 changed anything.

00:37:39.040 It's not a

00:37:39.740 case of one

00:37:40.240 person can't

00:37:40.880 change the

00:37:41.260 world.

00:37:41.740 It's literally

00:37:42.340 the opposite.

00:37:43.740 It's always

00:37:44.260 one person who

00:37:45.680 gets other

00:37:46.120 people involved,

00:37:46.840 but it's always

00:37:47.220 one person.

00:37:48.580 One person

00:37:49.300 changes the

00:37:49.880 world every

00:37:50.340 time.

00:37:52.040 But you have

00:37:52.740 an option to

00:37:53.260 make it you,

00:37:53.780 I guess.

00:37:54.480 That's one of

00:37:55.060 your options.

00:37:56.540 All right.

00:37:58.220 It used to

00:37:58.740 be, just

00:37:59.320 wrapping this

00:38:00.380 up, correct

00:38:01.760 me if I'm

00:38:02.280 wrong, but it

00:38:03.220 always used to

00:38:03.880 be that we

00:38:04.620 said one

00:38:05.080 group is

00:38:05.500 anti-science,

00:38:07.260 or one

00:38:07.740 group is not

00:38:08.360 paying attention,

00:38:09.380 one group is

00:38:10.000 dumb, one

00:38:10.640 group is

00:38:10.980 selfish.

00:38:11.700 We had all

00:38:12.300 these different

00:38:12.760 explanations, but

00:38:14.520 CNN right up

00:38:15.900 front, looking at

00:38:16.960 the exact same

00:38:17.940 set of facts and

00:38:18.820 coming to vastly

00:38:19.580 different conclusions,

00:38:20.980 I have trouble

00:38:22.480 imagining that didn't

00:38:23.500 come directly from

00:38:24.500 me, directly as

00:38:26.360 in through other

00:38:27.060 people until CNN

00:38:28.220 didn't know it

00:38:28.780 came from me,

00:38:30.180 right?

00:38:31.440 I mean, I doubt

00:38:32.380 that they would

00:38:32.960 identify it as

00:38:33.840 coming from me,

00:38:34.940 but it came from

00:38:35.620 me.

00:38:35.960 I'm pretty sure of

00:38:36.660 it, 80% sure.

00:38:39.580 I'll leave some

00:38:40.300 doubt.

00:38:40.660 I'll say 80% sure

00:38:41.740 that came from

00:38:42.240 me.

00:38:43.820 Have you seen

00:38:44.460 the video of the

00:38:45.360 Patriot Front

00:38:46.260 marching in

00:38:47.680 Boston?

00:38:48.300 These are the

00:38:48.860 people who look

00:38:49.500 exactly like feds

00:38:50.700 pretending to be

00:38:51.560 protesters, so they

00:38:52.900 wear their khakis and

00:38:54.080 nice shirts and

00:38:54.680 stuff, and they've

00:38:55.500 got the masks on

00:38:56.500 and the matching

00:38:57.060 outfits, and they

00:38:58.620 don't seem to be

00:38:59.220 asking for anything

00:39:00.040 in particular.

00:39:00.760 They just march

00:39:01.400 around looking

00:39:02.000 provocative and

00:39:03.000 right-wing.

00:39:05.080 So I decided that

00:39:07.140 the Patriot Front is

00:39:08.240 what I call the

00:39:09.180 office depot of

00:39:11.280 protesters, and I

00:39:13.240 have to tell you a

00:39:13.860 story to make that

00:39:14.880 make sense.

00:39:16.100 So years ago,

00:39:17.620 Office Depot

00:39:18.320 agreed to use

00:39:20.460 Dilber, my

00:39:21.240 character, as part

00:39:23.100 of their advertising

00:39:23.740 campaign for

00:39:24.400 television.

00:39:25.360 And for me, it

00:39:25.780 was a really big

00:39:26.360 deal, because

00:39:27.420 imagine Snoopy for

00:39:28.800 MetLife, it's like a

00:39:29.960 gigantic licensing

00:39:30.960 opportunity.

00:39:32.300 And if it had

00:39:32.880 worked, Dilber would

00:39:34.780 have been maybe

00:39:35.420 possibly forever the

00:39:37.240 brand of Office

00:39:38.460 Depot, and that

00:39:40.320 would be a

00:39:40.780 profitable thing for

00:39:41.600 me.

00:39:42.300 So I worked with

00:39:43.340 the ad campaign to

00:39:44.380 make the commercials,

00:39:45.440 and they wrote the

00:39:46.340 commercials, and I

00:39:47.740 had basically no

00:39:49.600 input except making

00:39:50.760 sure that Dilber

00:39:51.400 looked like Dilber,

00:39:52.260 basically.

00:39:53.500 And the commercial

00:39:54.460 ran, and it became

00:39:56.280 a big thing.

00:39:56.900 A lot of people saw

00:39:57.620 my character on

00:39:59.180 television, and

00:40:00.060 people would stop me

00:40:00.940 all the time in the

00:40:01.860 street, and they'd

00:40:02.420 say, hey, hey, I

00:40:03.680 saw your Dilber

00:40:05.460 commercial for

00:40:06.160 Office Max.

00:40:07.620 I'd say, no, it

00:40:08.220 wasn't Office Max,

00:40:09.220 that's the

00:40:09.680 competition.

00:40:10.840 The commercial

00:40:11.440 Dilber was in for

00:40:12.240 Office Depot, the

00:40:14.160 biggest competition

00:40:15.000 to Office Max.

00:40:16.220 And then somebody

00:40:16.940 else would come up to

00:40:17.680 me and say, hey,

00:40:18.740 that's great, you're

00:40:19.500 finally doing some TV

00:40:20.860 commercials.

00:40:21.300 I saw you

00:40:21.820 advertising for

00:40:22.760 Office Max.

00:40:23.780 And I said, no.

00:40:24.820 No, somebody else

00:40:25.420 said that, too.

00:40:25.940 That's funny.

00:40:26.900 But it wasn't

00:40:27.560 Office Max.

00:40:28.260 It was Office Depot,

00:40:29.200 the competition.

00:40:31.600 25 people later, all

00:40:34.420 25, said I saw your

00:40:36.840 commercial for Office

00:40:38.040 Max.

00:40:39.240 All 25.

00:40:40.900 Not a single person

00:40:42.260 knew that I was

00:40:43.460 advertising for

00:40:44.200 Office Depot.

00:40:45.240 None.

00:40:45.940 Not one.

00:40:46.500 And do you know

00:40:47.760 why?

00:40:49.220 Because Office Max

00:40:50.580 was a little more

00:40:51.260 famous, and the

00:40:53.300 commercial started

00:40:54.120 out talking about

00:40:54.940 office supplies, and

00:40:56.540 it wasn't until the

00:40:57.460 very last part of the

00:40:58.500 commercial it showed

00:40:59.260 the name Office Depot.

00:41:01.160 Nowhere in the

00:41:01.860 beginning of the

00:41:02.420 commercial did it

00:41:03.060 show who you were

00:41:03.760 advertising for.

00:41:05.140 And so people's

00:41:05.860 natural psychology is

00:41:07.380 you look at the

00:41:07.940 first part of the

00:41:08.540 commercial, and you're

00:41:10.920 not really paying

00:41:11.520 attention because it's

00:41:12.340 commercial, and then

00:41:13.660 you stop thinking

00:41:14.460 about it for a while,

00:41:15.220 and then it ends.

00:41:16.700 So I called the

00:41:17.720 advertising people, and

00:41:18.900 I said, you've got a

00:41:19.800 huge problem here.

00:41:20.840 You are literally

00:41:21.660 running commercials

00:41:23.080 for the other side.

00:41:25.500 Do you know what

00:41:25.860 they said to me?

00:41:26.460 And I told them why.

00:41:27.400 And I said, everybody

00:41:28.100 who sees this thinks

00:41:28.940 it's Office Max, because

00:41:30.500 they see Dilbert, they

00:41:31.380 see Office supplies, they

00:41:32.900 think of the major

00:41:33.620 brand in that space, and

00:41:34.840 then they're done.

00:41:36.720 And do you know what

00:41:37.460 the advertising people

00:41:38.380 said?

00:41:40.000 They laughed.

00:41:41.700 Like, no.

00:41:43.100 Basically, they said,

00:41:44.560 we do this for a

00:41:45.320 living.

00:41:46.720 You know, sort of, go

00:41:48.020 draw your cartoons,

00:41:49.360 cartoon boy.

00:41:51.260 This is sort of our

00:41:52.020 domain.

00:41:53.280 Totally blew off my

00:41:54.560 thing.

00:41:56.520 And the sales for

00:41:58.820 Office Depot when they

00:41:59.820 ran their major TV

00:42:00.800 campaign, absolutely

00:42:02.660 flat.

00:42:03.900 No difference.

00:42:05.560 They could see that

00:42:06.460 their advertising

00:42:07.040 campaign completely

00:42:08.580 failed.

00:42:09.820 Didn't make any

00:42:10.720 difference in sales.

00:42:12.740 Office Max did pretty

00:42:13.640 well.

00:42:15.060 Office Max did well

00:42:15.980 during that period.

00:42:17.240 So they dropped

00:42:18.240 Dilbert as their

00:42:19.360 advertising avatar,

00:42:21.720 because it didn't

00:42:22.280 work.

00:42:23.440 And I said to them,

00:42:24.520 I'm not sure it was

00:42:25.580 the Dilbert part that

00:42:26.480 didn't work.

00:42:27.980 I think the didn't

00:42:29.040 work part is that you

00:42:30.220 made an advertisement

00:42:31.060 for your competitor.

00:42:34.140 So, here's what's wrong

00:42:37.740 with the Patriot Front.

00:42:40.160 They may, in fact, be

00:42:42.200 some kind of shadowy

00:42:44.160 right-wing organization.

00:42:46.160 Maybe.

00:42:47.420 They might be what they

00:42:48.740 want you to believe they

00:42:49.480 are.

00:42:50.320 But I don't know a

00:42:52.360 single conservative who

00:42:54.220 isn't laughing at them

00:42:55.360 for obviously being feds.

00:42:57.420 In other words, it's the

00:42:59.300 Office Depot problem.

00:43:00.980 They're running a

00:43:01.760 commercial to make you

00:43:03.540 think there's this scary,

00:43:05.000 shadowy group of

00:43:06.520 conservatives that are

00:43:07.460 forming and you better

00:43:08.360 worry about them.

00:43:09.560 And the conservatives

00:43:10.440 are saying, oh, there's the

00:43:11.640 feds doing a commercial

00:43:12.580 again.

00:43:13.600 We actually think it's a

00:43:14.640 commercial for the FBI.

00:43:17.520 Am I wrong?

00:43:18.700 It looks like a commercial

00:43:19.940 for the FBI.

00:43:21.380 It's a complete failure for

00:43:22.860 whatever it was supposed to

00:43:23.780 do.

00:43:23.940 But I will allow that the

00:43:26.760 people who are tweeting

00:43:27.460 about it on the left seem

00:43:29.620 to think it's real.

00:43:31.540 So it does sort of work.

00:43:37.860 Yeah, and it's my opinion

00:43:39.660 that the Charlottesville thing

00:43:42.820 was at least backed by some

00:43:45.680 entity that was not organic.

00:43:49.440 So I don't know the full story

00:43:50.880 there, but I don't think that

00:43:51.800 was an organic event.

00:43:53.920 It was organized.

00:43:55.360 But by whom and paid by whom?

00:43:57.840 I don't know.

00:43:59.280 That would be a good question.

00:44:01.540 All right.

00:44:03.260 And then I saw that some on

00:44:04.960 the left are calling this

00:44:06.020 Patriot Front cowards because

00:44:08.060 they're not wearing matches.

00:44:09.520 Or, I'm sorry, because they're

00:44:10.860 wearing masks.

00:44:13.160 And I like to, and then I

00:44:14.520 tweeted this.

00:44:15.020 I said, the least useful

00:44:16.140 people in every conversation,

00:44:19.220 which tends to be about 25%

00:44:21.820 of the public, coincidentally,

00:44:23.780 are the bad mind readers

00:44:25.220 calling other cowards.

00:44:26.800 Anytime you see a big news

00:44:28.400 story and somebody weighs in

00:44:30.940 to say that the people in the

00:44:32.080 story are cowards, you can

00:44:34.480 ignore everything that those

00:44:35.720 people say for the rest of

00:44:36.800 your life.

00:44:37.740 Because that is the lowest

00:44:39.240 level of analysis and almost

00:44:41.100 always wrong.

00:44:42.700 Do you remember when the 9-11

00:44:44.900 attack happened and a lot of

00:44:48.320 the politicians were calling

00:44:50.360 the terrorists who gave their

00:44:52.140 lives for their cause, we

00:44:55.720 called them cowards.

00:44:59.000 And I remember thinking that

00:45:00.580 like, we are so far off on

00:45:03.580 what's going on here.

00:45:04.640 I don't know what's going on.

00:45:06.200 I mean, it was still fog of war.

00:45:07.760 But there's one thing I do know.

00:45:09.940 People who do suicide attacks are

00:45:12.120 not operating from cowardice.

00:45:13.680 That I know.

00:45:15.880 And if you even start with that

00:45:17.660 as your explanation about why

00:45:18.920 anybody's doing anything,

00:45:20.420 nobody does anything out of

00:45:21.700 cowardice except run away.

00:45:23.900 If you see something doing

00:45:25.980 something aggressive, people are

00:45:28.860 not aggressively cowardice,

00:45:31.060 cowards.

00:45:32.060 It's the opposite.

00:45:33.580 If they run away or they don't

00:45:35.160 get involved, you can say,

00:45:36.340 well, you're cowards and you

00:45:37.260 might be right.

00:45:38.420 But if you see somebody, you

00:45:40.080 know, dressing up and

00:45:41.080 organizing and marching in the

00:45:42.440 streets, whatever they are,

00:45:45.100 and I don't know, it's a

00:45:46.980 sketchy looking organization,

00:45:48.680 but whatever they are,

00:45:51.100 they're not cowards.

00:45:52.380 That's the only thing you can

00:45:53.300 know for sure.

00:45:54.380 Because they're literally taking

00:45:55.640 a risk right in front of you.

00:45:57.780 So what do you call it when

00:45:59.140 people take a risk for whatever

00:46:00.740 the cause is right in front of

00:46:01.960 you?

00:46:02.560 Not cowards.

00:46:03.500 As soon as you say cowards,

00:46:08.340 I see your comment and I'm not

00:46:14.560 going to say that out loud.

00:46:16.200 Somebody clever suggested another

00:46:19.560 C word to call them, but we're

00:46:21.000 not going to use that one here

00:46:21.980 because their name is not

00:46:22.900 Shelly.

00:46:25.160 Not Shelly, my ex, but Shelly,

00:46:26.700 somebody else.

00:46:27.160 All right.

00:46:32.420 So you've heard about this

00:46:33.500 liberal world order that the

00:46:35.800 Biden administration has

00:46:36.860 referred to.

00:46:37.760 They haven't defined it, what

00:46:39.180 it is, the liberal world order.

00:46:41.080 But apparently we're supposed to

00:46:42.380 sacrifice as citizens by paying

00:46:44.800 higher gas prices.

00:46:48.300 And if you pay higher gas prices

00:46:50.760 long enough, then we'll solve

00:46:52.920 climate change and get to a

00:46:54.700 liberal world order.

00:46:56.780 That's the proposition.

00:46:58.580 But I wondered if there's

00:46:59.560 anything else we need to know.

00:47:02.040 All right.

00:47:02.360 Is high gas prices the only

00:47:04.160 thing we have to sacrifice?

00:47:05.840 Because I didn't see it

00:47:06.640 coming.

00:47:07.160 Did you?

00:47:08.540 A year ago, would you have

00:47:09.840 said to yourself, you know,

00:47:11.220 the only way we're going to get

00:47:12.680 to a liberal world order is if

00:47:14.240 I pay higher gas prices?

00:47:15.680 Well, I didn't anticipate that.

00:47:17.920 Maybe you didn't either.

00:47:18.940 But it makes me wonder, are

00:47:19.960 there other things we have to

00:47:21.120 sacrifice to get to the

00:47:23.040 liberal world order that we

00:47:24.240 don't even understand and

00:47:25.880 probably don't want?

00:47:27.880 So, I don't know.

00:47:30.720 Should we pay more for other

00:47:32.040 stuff, too, to get to this

00:47:34.060 world order?

00:47:35.600 Is there any...

00:47:36.120 Should I shave my head or

00:47:37.700 chant?

00:47:38.800 Is there anything else I need

00:47:40.020 to do to get to this liberal

00:47:41.320 world order, which apparently

00:47:43.040 is an awesome thing and we

00:47:44.280 should be running toward it?

00:47:46.420 Doesn't sound scary at all.

00:47:48.480 Not at all.

00:47:49.240 One more comment about the

00:47:53.080 Patriot Front.

00:47:56.560 And I'm not going to say this

00:47:58.440 too loud, but here's a little

00:48:01.840 hint for analyzing the Patriot

00:48:04.080 Front.

00:48:06.500 It has the word front right in

00:48:10.680 the name.

00:48:12.400 The name of the organization is

00:48:15.240 is that they're a front for

00:48:17.700 Patriots.

00:48:19.200 Literally, they're calling

00:48:20.660 themselves an artificial fake

00:48:23.380 organization that is covering up

00:48:25.820 the fact that they're hiding

00:48:27.560 something behind them.

00:48:28.660 They're a front.

00:48:29.700 A front for Patriots.

00:48:32.100 It's actually in the name.

00:48:34.780 Do you remember Maya Angelou's

00:48:40.700 quote?

00:48:42.340 When somebody tells you who

00:48:43.560 they are, believe them the

00:48:45.580 first time.

00:48:46.940 Or when somebody shows you who

00:48:48.340 they are, believe them the

00:48:49.300 first time.

00:48:49.780 Is that how it goes?

00:48:50.840 If they show you who they are,

00:48:52.180 believe them the front time.

00:48:53.200 They just told you they're a

00:48:54.320 front.

00:48:56.040 It's right in the name.

00:48:59.260 It's right in the name.

00:49:00.340 All right.

00:49:02.440 There's a funny viral video of

00:49:07.840 I think it's Portland.

00:49:09.200 Some white woman, let's call

00:49:11.240 her Karen, gets into a verbal

00:49:13.840 altercation over some traffic

00:49:16.020 incident with a gentleman who is

00:49:19.280 a person of color.

00:49:20.240 I don't know what.

00:49:21.040 He might be Hispanic.

00:49:22.680 He might be Native American.

00:49:24.180 Not sure what he is.

00:49:25.580 But he gets in this heated

00:49:27.520 conversation in which he calls

00:49:30.340 her a white colonizer with a

00:49:32.220 white colonizer mindset.

00:49:35.340 And then she gets all bad

00:49:36.720 because he's making it all

00:49:38.400 racial and really it was just

00:49:39.840 a traffic thing.

00:49:41.420 And then she goes extra Karen.

00:49:43.680 So she goes extra Karen and he

00:49:45.580 goes extra woke.

00:49:47.100 And it's like Karen versus woke

00:49:48.560 and they're shouting it out.

00:49:49.960 And I've never enjoyed a fight

00:49:51.280 more than that.

00:49:51.880 Like if you, I've never paid for

00:49:54.640 like an MMA fight.

00:49:57.380 But if you want to see a Karen

00:49:59.800 versus a woke guy complaining

00:50:02.880 about white colonizer mindset,

00:50:05.080 you would pay for that fight.

00:50:07.220 You put those two in a cage and

00:50:09.000 I'm going to start shelling out

00:50:10.340 some money for that stuff.

00:50:13.160 But it's worth seeing.

00:50:14.380 You have to see it.

00:50:14.960 But when she was saying she makes

00:50:17.960 it all about race,

00:50:19.860 I saw a quote from somebody else

00:50:23.680 who I wish I had written down

00:50:25.200 to give them credit.

00:50:27.180 But somebody tweeted,

00:50:30.160 it's all about race to the bottom.

00:50:32.520 And I thought about that

00:50:33.560 as a, maybe a slogan.

00:50:37.400 Let's say you're a Republican

00:50:38.540 and everything gets turned into race.

00:50:40.320 Suppose you said,

00:50:43.480 if you make it all about race,

00:50:45.060 just understand it's a race

00:50:46.500 to the bottom.

00:50:48.760 It's pretty good, isn't it?

00:50:50.940 Somebody says,

00:50:51.720 oh, this is about race.

00:50:52.900 You're doing this because of race.

00:50:54.120 You're a racist.

00:50:55.620 And instead of dealing with

00:50:56.980 like the specific complaint,

00:50:58.920 you just do a global one.

00:51:00.820 It just takes care of all of it.

00:51:02.460 You just say, you know,

00:51:03.600 if we make it all about race,

00:51:05.860 we can.

00:51:07.360 We do have that option.

00:51:08.580 We can make everything about race.

00:51:10.320 But just understand,

00:51:12.340 it's a race to the bottom.

00:51:14.480 There's only one direction that goes.

00:51:17.000 If that's where you want

00:51:17.840 to put your attention,

00:51:19.680 it's a free world.

00:51:20.700 You can do that.

00:51:22.040 But just understand where it takes you.

00:51:23.600 It takes you to the bottom.

00:51:24.940 If you're thinking in terms of,

00:51:27.700 you know, we're all Americans,

00:51:29.420 that's a way to help us all rise.

00:51:32.120 But as soon as you make it about race,

00:51:33.880 it's a race to the bottom.

00:51:36.060 And it's a clever use of the word race

00:51:37.880 in two contexts.

00:51:38.700 And the reason it works

00:51:40.720 so well, in my opinion,

00:51:43.600 is because the brain

00:51:44.820 is not clever enough

00:51:46.060 to quickly make the change

00:51:48.420 that the race is being used

00:51:49.980 in two ways.

00:51:51.040 I mean, you do see it,

00:51:52.560 but it just takes a moment.

00:51:53.980 And in that moment,

00:51:55.420 that's when the thought slips by.

00:51:58.700 So, right,

00:51:59.300 it's basically a distraction

00:52:01.060 at the front door

00:52:01.900 and then somebody slips by.

00:52:03.060 That's your persuasion tip

00:52:05.880 for the day.

00:52:07.960 All right.

00:52:09.840 I would like to issue

00:52:11.140 a public apology,

00:52:13.280 if I may,

00:52:15.120 to Travis Barker,

00:52:17.020 drummer for Blink-182.

00:52:19.560 And when he was hospitalized

00:52:21.140 for allegedly some pancreatic damage

00:52:25.480 that happened during an endoscopy,

00:52:27.220 I said to this story,

00:52:29.700 hmm,

00:52:31.260 did he really get

00:52:32.280 an extremely, extremely,

00:52:33.860 extremely rare problem,

00:52:35.440 complication,

00:52:36.440 or is it exactly

00:52:38.360 what it looks like

00:52:39.220 because pancreas,

00:52:40.820 you know,

00:52:41.000 maybe there's some drinking

00:52:42.420 in his history

00:52:43.220 or something like that.

00:52:44.560 Now, I made a,

00:52:47.160 what would you call it,

00:52:47.940 a,

00:52:50.040 what did I do?

00:52:51.840 I stereotyped him.

00:52:53.500 Yeah, I made an assumption.

00:52:54.600 I stereotyped him.

00:52:55.440 And I said that,

00:52:56.840 based on the reporting,

00:52:58.420 it's very unlikely

00:52:59.380 that this is some kind

00:53:01.160 of medical complication

00:53:02.320 and more likely

00:53:03.260 it's a cover story.

00:53:04.720 I publicly apologize

00:53:06.220 to Travis Barker

00:53:07.980 for even suggesting

00:53:09.380 that there was

00:53:10.040 another possibility

00:53:10.920 because we have

00:53:11.480 some more information.

00:53:12.880 Now, I'm not saying

00:53:13.640 that this is right,

00:53:15.000 but I do,

00:53:15.740 I completely withdraw

00:53:17.080 my prior insensitive speculation

00:53:20.180 because apparently

00:53:21.100 he was having

00:53:21.680 a polyp removed.

00:53:23.280 Now, having an endoscopy

00:53:26.100 to me

00:53:27.440 is just looking around,

00:53:28.940 right?

00:53:30.800 Am I wrong about that?

00:53:31.880 The endoscopy

00:53:32.560 is just looking around.

00:53:34.400 But removing a polyp,

00:53:35.660 that's not an endoscopy,

00:53:36.700 is it?

00:53:37.600 Or does that correlate

00:53:39.300 with it somehow?

00:53:40.800 I mean,

00:53:41.080 you look for it

00:53:41.660 and then you remove it

00:53:42.380 separately.

00:53:43.180 So, he had something

00:53:44.300 removed,

00:53:44.880 a polyp,

00:53:45.720 and that he said

00:53:46.640 it was a very small polyp

00:53:48.020 removed right

00:53:49.380 in a very sensitive area,

00:53:51.480 usually handled

00:53:52.160 by specialists,

00:53:53.360 which unfortunately

00:53:54.440 damaged a critical

00:53:55.640 pancreatic drainage tube.

00:53:58.700 Now, having now heard

00:54:00.060 a more full explanation,

00:54:04.040 they say

00:54:04.780 it's removed endoscopically.

00:54:06.940 Okay.

00:54:07.460 So, I'm thinking

00:54:08.460 that the correct answer

00:54:09.800 is you use the endoscopy

00:54:11.360 to both look

00:54:12.840 and also to remove a polyp.

00:54:15.460 You would use that word

00:54:16.420 endoscopy in both of those?

00:54:18.940 All right.

00:54:19.220 Some people are saying yes.

00:54:20.100 So, let's assume

00:54:21.500 that what it is.

00:54:22.440 So, when the story

00:54:23.920 was just,

00:54:24.940 it sounded like

00:54:25.660 they were just

00:54:26.120 looking around,

00:54:27.080 I said,

00:54:27.700 no, I don't think

00:54:28.820 you're damaging

00:54:29.360 his pancreas

00:54:30.120 just looking around.

00:54:31.980 And then when I say

00:54:32.940 they're removing a polyp

00:54:33.940 in a sensitive area,

00:54:34.980 I go, oh, okay.

00:54:36.680 If you had told me that,

00:54:40.920 polyps are removed

00:54:41.840 during the endoscopy.

00:54:43.400 Okay.

00:54:43.760 So, somebody's giving me

00:54:44.780 some more information.

00:54:45.420 So, had I understood

00:54:47.780 that it was an operation

00:54:50.060 as opposed to

00:54:51.760 a looking around,

00:54:52.700 I would not have

00:54:53.520 jumped to that conclusion.

00:54:56.140 And I'm not sure

00:54:57.300 if the polyp removal

00:54:58.700 was part of the first story.

00:55:00.100 I don't know if it was.

00:55:01.860 So,

00:55:03.220 in the spirit

00:55:05.560 of which I like

00:55:06.580 to be generous

00:55:07.440 to other people

00:55:08.240 who make big,

00:55:09.120 boneheaded mistakes

00:55:09.960 like this one,

00:55:10.560 I would like to ask

00:55:12.600 for the 48-hour

00:55:14.620 clarification.

00:55:15.740 I don't know

00:55:16.040 if I was in under the,

00:55:17.040 I may have missed

00:55:17.700 the deadline of 48 hours.

00:55:19.520 But I would like

00:55:20.100 the same

00:55:21.100 understanding

00:55:24.120 that I offer publicly

00:55:26.260 to anybody

00:55:26.820 who clarifies

00:55:27.640 or corrects

00:55:28.460 within 48 hours.

00:55:29.940 Because we all

00:55:30.460 make mistakes.

00:55:31.920 I would call this

00:55:32.680 just a mistake

00:55:33.580 on my part.

00:55:34.660 With no,

00:55:35.640 you know,

00:55:35.920 I'm explaining it away

00:55:37.040 by saying,

00:55:37.780 you know,

00:55:38.340 the news was confusing

00:55:39.520 but that's not me too.

00:55:41.540 So,

00:55:42.100 it was all on me.

00:55:44.880 All right.

00:55:47.040 Cernovich bagged

00:55:48.020 on Jordan.

00:55:49.140 It's a bad look.

00:55:50.280 Thoughts?

00:55:51.060 Well,

00:55:51.220 I heard Mike Cernovich

00:55:51.920 reached a million

00:55:52.840 Twitter users

00:55:53.700 today.

00:55:56.500 And here's the question

00:55:57.640 that I have.

00:55:58.820 Could Trump

00:55:59.360 get elected

00:56:00.180 without Mike Cernovich

00:56:01.800 being on board?

00:56:03.820 Because I don't know

00:56:04.700 what would happen

00:56:05.160 if it came down

00:56:05.840 to, you know,

00:56:06.540 two-person race.

00:56:08.420 Like,

00:56:08.700 if it's a two-person race,

00:56:09.800 would Cernovich

00:56:10.900 sit it out

00:56:12.540 or would he back

00:56:13.800 the Democrat

00:56:15.160 or an Independent?

00:56:16.380 I mean,

00:56:17.360 I don't know.

00:56:18.760 I don't know.

00:56:20.020 So,

00:56:20.400 it's actually

00:56:20.760 a very interesting opinion.

00:56:23.120 I don't know that

00:56:24.020 Trump could get elected

00:56:25.540 without somebody

00:56:27.380 as powerful

00:56:28.320 as Cernovich

00:56:29.300 being on board.

00:56:30.000 and I suppose

00:56:32.360 it would depend

00:56:32.800 on how he decided

00:56:33.460 to treat it.

00:56:34.180 If he sat it out,

00:56:35.260 maybe that's okay.

00:56:37.020 But if he decided

00:56:37.900 to make Trump

00:56:38.940 not president,

00:56:40.220 I feel like

00:56:41.100 he could do it.

00:56:42.840 What do you think?

00:56:44.360 It's just a hypothetical.

00:56:46.180 But if Cernovich

00:56:46.820 actually wanted

00:56:47.660 to prevent Trump

00:56:49.180 from winning

00:56:49.640 the election,

00:56:51.260 I think his reach

00:56:52.920 is big enough

00:56:53.500 at this point.

00:56:54.600 I think he could do it.

00:56:56.740 I don't know.

00:56:57.740 And I'm not saying

00:56:58.400 he would or would want to

00:56:59.340 or anything like that.

00:57:01.400 He's unpredictable,

00:57:02.700 which is exactly

00:57:03.620 why you should follow him.

00:57:06.040 If you want to follow

00:57:06.980 somebody that you don't know

00:57:08.080 what he's going to say,

00:57:09.800 follow Cernovich.

00:57:11.440 I never know

00:57:12.540 what he's going to say.

00:57:13.840 But it's always

00:57:14.400 something high value,

00:57:15.840 even if it's

00:57:16.580 all over the place.

00:57:17.400 He does a lot of topics

00:57:18.340 from lifestyle

00:57:19.640 to politics

00:57:20.360 and health

00:57:21.680 and all that stuff.

00:57:22.800 But it's always surprising.

00:57:24.200 Every time I read

00:57:24.780 one of his tweets,

00:57:25.440 I'm like,

00:57:25.740 well, okay.

00:57:27.140 I wasn't thinking

00:57:27.660 of anything that way.

00:57:29.460 All right.

00:57:32.520 And that,

00:57:33.380 let's talk about

00:57:34.100 who's going to be president.

00:57:37.280 The main topic.

00:57:39.620 Somebody asked me

00:57:40.340 about Jordan Peterson

00:57:41.240 and Cernovich.

00:57:44.420 Now,

00:57:44.860 I don't know

00:57:45.160 what that was about,

00:57:45.920 so I can't speak

00:57:46.520 to that right now.

00:57:47.560 But I did see

00:57:48.340 that Jordan got suspended

00:57:49.780 by,

00:57:50.420 Jordan Peterson

00:57:51.260 got suspended

00:57:51.880 by Twitter.

00:57:53.000 I don't know

00:57:53.420 if he's back.

00:57:54.480 He would need

00:57:55.340 to remove a tweet

00:57:56.600 about Elliot Page

00:57:59.520 who is transitioned

00:58:02.300 to Elliot.

00:58:03.960 Famous,

00:58:04.540 had been a famous actress

00:58:07.240 and I don't want

00:58:08.560 to dead name anybody,

00:58:09.860 so if I'm using

00:58:10.940 the wrong words,

00:58:12.520 just understand

00:58:13.520 that I'm not doing

00:58:14.120 it intentionally.

00:58:14.620 so what Jordan Peterson's

00:58:19.100 tweet was about

00:58:20.200 was he used her,

00:58:23.300 there I did it again,

00:58:25.840 Jordan Peterson

00:58:27.720 used him,

00:58:29.680 Elliot Page,

00:58:31.000 as an example

00:58:33.280 to rail against

00:58:34.440 his opinions

00:58:35.240 about transitions,

00:58:36.820 et cetera.

00:58:37.640 Now,

00:58:38.360 I think that he was

00:58:40.140 suspended

00:58:41.620 he was suspended

00:58:42.320 for targeting

00:58:43.180 somebody for harassment.

00:58:45.840 That's my guess

00:58:46.700 because he wrote

00:58:47.420 an article in which

00:58:48.200 he said it's not clear

00:58:49.240 why he was suspended

00:58:50.040 because they don't

00:58:50.740 give you specifics.

00:58:52.160 But in my opinion,

00:58:54.260 they probably thought

00:58:55.800 he was targeting

00:58:56.880 somebody for harassment.

00:58:58.800 Now,

00:58:59.180 have you ever seen

00:58:59.760 anybody target

00:59:00.560 anybody for harassment

00:59:01.680 on Twitter?

00:59:04.000 It's all anybody does.

00:59:07.000 That's like the

00:59:07.740 full-time job

00:59:08.500 of Twitter,

00:59:09.540 targeting people

00:59:10.300 for harassment.

00:59:11.520 Am I right?

00:59:12.540 But I guess it depends

00:59:13.620 how you target them.

00:59:16.640 How you target them.

00:59:18.280 If you target them

00:59:19.540 for their sexual choices,

00:59:21.840 you know,

00:59:22.040 their gender and stuff,

00:59:23.260 or their race,

00:59:25.060 then I guess

00:59:25.700 that would be

00:59:26.080 over the line.

00:59:26.660 If you're targeting

00:59:27.240 them for their

00:59:27.900 bad opinions

00:59:28.540 or being dumb

00:59:29.240 or you just don't

00:59:30.480 like their work

00:59:31.220 or whatever,

00:59:32.040 I suppose that's

00:59:32.780 still legal.

00:59:34.580 But do you have

00:59:35.740 a problem

00:59:36.260 with the fact

00:59:38.060 that Jordan Peterson

00:59:39.040 made his point

00:59:40.220 by singling out

00:59:42.840 a specific individual?

00:59:45.120 Because I do have

00:59:46.000 a problem with that.

00:59:47.140 I do have a problem

00:59:47.940 with that.

00:59:48.620 And actually,

00:59:49.100 if I were him,

00:59:49.560 I would have removed

00:59:50.260 the tweet.

00:59:51.160 I would not have

00:59:52.000 removed my opinion

00:59:53.000 because his opinion

00:59:54.700 is his opinion.

00:59:56.160 But I would remove

00:59:57.280 the tweet

00:59:57.780 because when Twitter

00:59:58.740 said you're sort of

01:00:00.460 targeting this person

01:00:01.420 for harassment,

01:00:02.260 I kind of agree

01:00:03.000 with that.

01:00:04.560 I mean,

01:00:04.860 I agree with the,

01:00:06.800 if that's what

01:00:07.440 Twitter did it for,

01:00:08.440 I agree with the

01:00:09.340 statement that it

01:00:10.180 does target one

01:00:11.160 person because

01:00:12.200 the question is not

01:00:13.060 about that one

01:00:14.060 person.

01:00:15.300 The question is

01:00:16.340 about the larger

01:00:17.540 question.

01:00:18.660 And I think we

01:00:19.200 would all agree

01:00:19.860 that for any one

01:00:21.080 person,

01:00:22.920 their choices are,

01:00:24.480 you know,

01:00:24.640 they might be right.

01:00:25.560 Now, I believe the

01:00:26.160 context was pride,

01:00:28.500 right?

01:00:29.800 So I'm trying to

01:00:30.720 remember the context.

01:00:31.780 And I think Jordan

01:00:32.340 Peterson said that

01:00:33.220 pride used to be

01:00:34.780 considered a sin,

01:00:35.660 but that we have

01:00:38.060 an entire pride

01:00:38.880 month now where

01:00:40.260 we're treating

01:00:40.820 pride of your

01:00:42.380 gender,

01:00:43.320 your sexuality.

01:00:44.380 We're treating

01:00:44.940 that as if it's

01:00:45.860 something to be

01:00:46.460 proud of.

01:00:47.600 And I think his

01:00:48.180 point was pride

01:00:49.820 in general isn't

01:00:51.640 a good idea,

01:00:52.620 or at least we

01:00:53.320 always thought it

01:00:53.920 wasn't a good idea

01:00:54.540 in the past.

01:00:55.500 And why would

01:00:57.440 this be the

01:00:57.920 exception?

01:00:59.900 That's a

01:01:00.520 reasonable good

01:01:01.120 question.

01:01:02.080 Because I make

01:01:02.800 the same point

01:01:03.420 about white

01:01:04.160 supremacists,

01:01:05.260 as I will now

01:01:06.080 make about the

01:01:06.880 LGBTQ community.

01:01:10.240 When white

01:01:11.140 supremacists say

01:01:12.040 they're proud to

01:01:13.140 be white,

01:01:13.680 or they show

01:01:14.360 some connection

01:01:16.760 to great things

01:01:18.240 that white people

01:01:18.940 invented in the

01:01:19.740 past, I always

01:01:21.260 say the same

01:01:21.760 thing.

01:01:22.060 It's like,

01:01:22.280 that wasn't

01:01:22.680 you.

01:01:24.240 Like, why are

01:01:24.740 you proud about

01:01:25.580 other people?

01:01:27.360 How did you get

01:01:28.200 that?

01:01:28.520 How did you get

01:01:29.000 to be proud of

01:01:29.760 other people?

01:01:30.420 They're strangers.

01:01:31.420 You never even

01:01:31.840 met Edison.

01:01:32.500 Don't be taking

01:01:34.580 any pride because

01:01:35.420 he was white

01:01:36.220 and you're white.

01:01:37.380 How in the

01:01:37.740 world?

01:01:38.100 Yeah, proud

01:01:38.540 boys, that's

01:01:39.080 a special case.

01:01:41.120 But I say the

01:01:41.960 same thing about

01:01:42.560 gender.

01:01:45.080 I'm the most

01:01:45.860 open-minded

01:01:46.600 person I've

01:01:48.580 ever met.

01:01:49.380 I mean, some

01:01:50.080 people could tie

01:01:50.920 me, but nobody

01:01:51.620 could beat me

01:01:52.320 in terms of

01:01:53.420 open-minded about

01:01:54.320 how people get

01:01:55.000 to live their

01:01:55.500 life and their

01:01:56.080 lifestyle and

01:01:56.700 their choices.

01:01:57.520 You can't get

01:01:58.700 left to me on

01:01:59.940 that.

01:02:00.980 You could try,

01:02:01.660 but you'll

01:02:02.440 never get

01:02:02.800 left to me

01:02:03.360 on letting

01:02:03.840 people live

01:02:04.340 their life

01:02:04.740 the way

01:02:05.000 they want

01:02:05.360 to live

01:02:05.620 it, you

01:02:05.960 know, if

01:02:06.240 they don't

01:02:06.460 bother other

01:02:06.980 people.

01:02:08.380 And so I

01:02:08.960 could not

01:02:09.360 be more

01:02:10.180 pro-LGBTQ

01:02:12.740 plus.

01:02:14.060 I'm as

01:02:14.880 on board as

01:02:15.440 you could

01:02:15.680 possibly be.

01:02:17.440 But why does

01:02:18.960 it make sense

01:02:19.420 to be proud

01:02:19.940 about it?

01:02:21.500 Right?

01:02:22.120 So the very

01:02:22.780 reason that I'm

01:02:24.800 completely accepting

01:02:25.960 is because

01:02:27.600 everybody's the

01:02:28.360 same.

01:02:29.460 As soon as you

01:02:30.280 add pride in

01:02:30.980 there, it's

01:02:31.980 like, huh, I'm

01:02:34.240 not really proud

01:02:35.780 of being

01:02:36.260 heterosexual, I'm

01:02:37.800 just heterosexual.

01:02:40.400 Right?

01:02:41.600 Could I be

01:02:42.440 proud of it?

01:02:44.120 And would that

01:02:45.000 even make sense?

01:02:46.220 Because the

01:02:46.900 moment I become

01:02:47.560 proud of being

01:02:48.400 heterosexual, am

01:02:50.780 I not a bigot?

01:02:52.060 Like at the same

01:02:53.040 time?

01:02:53.760 The moment I say

01:02:54.520 I'm proud of being

01:02:55.340 hetero, I'm a

01:02:57.440 bigot that very

01:02:58.180 moment, right?

01:02:58.760 Am I wrong?

01:03:01.760 If I said I'm

01:03:02.620 proud of being

01:03:03.120 white, then I'm a

01:03:03.940 racist.

01:03:04.500 Am I not?

01:03:05.380 If I say I'm

01:03:05.920 proud of hetero,

01:03:06.760 then I'm a

01:03:07.500 bigot against

01:03:08.080 LGBTQP.

01:03:09.660 But why does it

01:03:10.480 work the other

01:03:10.940 way?

01:03:12.200 Why do you get

01:03:13.380 to be proud to

01:03:14.940 be gay?

01:03:15.920 I totally get

01:03:17.000 that you don't

01:03:17.660 need to explain

01:03:18.340 it to me.

01:03:19.420 I totally get

01:03:20.180 it's none of my

01:03:20.760 business.

01:03:21.520 I totally get

01:03:22.300 everybody's equal

01:03:23.140 in that way.

01:03:25.060 I totally get

01:03:25.700 all that.

01:03:26.080 I'm on board

01:03:26.720 as you can

01:03:27.740 be.

01:03:28.360 But proud?

01:03:29.840 Proud.

01:03:31.080 Really.

01:03:32.180 The moment you

01:03:32.900 say you're

01:03:33.260 proud, I've

01:03:34.660 got questions.

01:03:36.700 I could not

01:03:37.780 be more of

01:03:38.920 your ally if

01:03:40.100 you just want

01:03:40.540 to live your

01:03:40.940 life and keep

01:03:42.480 me out of

01:03:42.880 it.

01:03:43.360 I could not

01:03:44.060 be more

01:03:44.520 supportive of

01:03:45.160 that.

01:03:46.260 But proud?

01:03:47.300 That's asking

01:03:48.100 me to take a

01:03:49.120 step that feels

01:03:51.180 a little distasteful

01:03:52.040 to me.

01:03:52.420 Because I'm

01:03:54.220 not going to

01:03:54.580 be proud of

01:03:56.020 the things I

01:03:56.520 had nothing to

01:03:57.100 do with.

01:03:58.000 What, did I

01:03:58.580 work hard to

01:03:59.200 become hetero?

01:04:00.200 Well, I was

01:04:00.780 born gay, but I

01:04:02.640 put in the hard

01:04:03.280 work to turn

01:04:04.000 hetero, and

01:04:04.540 man, am I

01:04:05.060 proud.

01:04:05.980 No.

01:04:07.000 No.

01:04:08.560 Don't be

01:04:09.140 proud of your

01:04:09.680 sexuality.

01:04:11.900 Why would

01:04:12.480 you be proud

01:04:12.980 of that?

01:04:13.960 It's just

01:04:14.380 what you are.

01:04:17.440 Norm Macdonald

01:04:18.320 was hilarious

01:04:18.920 in being proud

01:04:19.640 of your gay

01:04:20.180 son.

01:04:20.540 I don't

01:04:24.040 even know

01:04:24.440 what that

01:04:24.800 comedy routine

01:04:25.860 is, but

01:04:26.380 it's already

01:04:26.820 hilarious.

01:04:30.960 Scott, how

01:04:31.720 do you

01:04:31.960 develop a

01:04:32.540 critical

01:04:32.900 thinking?

01:04:33.940 You watch

01:04:34.540 this live

01:04:35.100 stream, or

01:04:36.240 you buy my

01:04:36.780 book, Loser

01:04:37.740 Think, which

01:04:38.500 teaches you

01:04:39.080 how not to

01:04:40.240 make mistakes.

01:04:43.140 All right.

01:04:44.960 Here's a

01:04:45.560 question for

01:04:46.060 you.

01:04:46.560 So Bezos,

01:04:47.260 Jeff Bezos,

01:04:48.420 basically is

01:04:49.400 saying stuff

01:04:51.800 about Biden

01:04:52.340 now.

01:04:52.620 So Biden

01:04:52.900 made some

01:04:53.300 inflation

01:04:53.680 claims, told

01:04:54.460 the oil

01:04:56.940 companies to

01:04:57.600 just lower

01:04:58.160 their prices.

01:04:59.800 And Bezos

01:05:00.800 tweeted,

01:05:01.680 ouch, inflation

01:05:02.980 is far too

01:05:03.680 important a

01:05:04.200 problem for

01:05:04.740 the White

01:05:05.080 House to

01:05:05.460 keep making

01:05:06.040 statements like

01:05:06.840 this.

01:05:08.320 Basically,

01:05:09.660 Bezos has

01:05:10.340 been criticizing

01:05:12.560 the Biden

01:05:13.920 administration,

01:05:14.680 Biden in

01:05:15.040 particular,

01:05:15.380 for acting

01:05:17.320 like he

01:05:17.680 doesn't

01:05:17.980 understand

01:05:18.440 anything about

01:05:19.520 inflation or

01:05:20.240 economics.

01:05:21.420 And Jeff

01:05:21.780 Bezos is

01:05:22.420 saying this

01:05:22.800 directly.

01:05:24.420 They're acting

01:05:24.940 like they

01:05:25.280 don't even

01:05:25.660 know what

01:05:26.080 any of this

01:05:27.480 is, or

01:05:28.400 how anything

01:05:28.840 works.

01:05:30.240 And here's

01:05:31.580 my question.

01:05:32.840 Could Biden

01:05:33.380 ever win

01:05:34.140 re-election

01:05:34.700 without Jeff

01:05:35.440 Bezos on

01:05:36.080 his side?

01:05:38.180 Do you

01:05:38.820 think he

01:05:39.120 could?

01:05:39.540 I don't

01:05:39.920 think so.

01:05:41.220 Because Bezos

01:05:42.240 owns the

01:05:43.160 Washington Post,

01:05:43.940 the Washington

01:05:44.600 Post, pretty

01:05:45.940 much has to

01:05:46.720 back the

01:05:47.240 Democrat

01:05:47.760 candidate.

01:05:50.340 And if

01:05:50.980 they don't,

01:05:53.240 you're going

01:05:53.620 to get another

01:05:54.060 candidate.

01:05:55.160 I feel like

01:05:56.020 Bezos not

01:05:57.300 only could

01:05:58.300 take Biden

01:05:59.060 out, and

01:05:59.660 just did,

01:06:00.880 in my opinion,

01:06:01.920 he just took

01:06:02.420 Biden out.

01:06:03.580 Imagine you're

01:06:04.280 all the

01:06:04.560 Democrat

01:06:05.060 important people,

01:06:06.120 and you just

01:06:06.500 saw that Bezos

01:06:07.440 just threw

01:06:09.140 Biden under

01:06:09.660 the bus.

01:06:11.180 Are you

01:06:11.720 going to say

01:06:12.040 let's run

01:06:12.480 him anyway?

01:06:12.860 Oh, we

01:06:13.980 lost Bezos,

01:06:15.120 but I think

01:06:15.960 we could get

01:06:16.460 elected anyway.

01:06:19.260 I don't know.

01:06:20.600 I'm not entirely

01:06:22.100 sure anybody

01:06:22.900 would make that

01:06:24.180 decision.

01:06:24.980 But here's

01:06:25.460 something to

01:06:26.140 toss in the

01:06:27.120 ring.

01:06:28.180 I said by

01:06:29.020 tweet that

01:06:29.520 all Bezos

01:06:30.280 would have to

01:06:30.820 do to

01:06:31.200 become

01:06:31.480 president

01:06:31.900 himself is

01:06:33.640 to apply

01:06:34.140 for the

01:06:34.500 job and

01:06:36.560 tell us

01:06:37.000 that his

01:06:37.320 policy will

01:06:38.020 be to do

01:06:38.840 stuff that

01:06:39.280 works for

01:06:39.660 a change.

01:06:41.300 That would

01:06:41.860 be it.

01:06:42.860 Just apply

01:06:43.340 for the

01:06:43.640 job.

01:06:44.320 Fill out

01:06:44.840 the forms.

01:06:45.860 Don't do

01:06:46.260 any campaigning

01:06:47.040 and have

01:06:48.300 your slogan

01:06:48.880 be, your

01:06:49.900 slogan is

01:06:50.360 your entire

01:06:50.720 campaign.

01:06:52.700 Let's do

01:06:53.340 stuff that

01:06:53.800 works for

01:06:54.200 a change.

01:06:57.660 Right?

01:06:58.620 Now, you

01:06:59.400 imagine, as I

01:07:00.960 imagined, that

01:07:01.880 Bezos is

01:07:02.520 left-leaning,

01:07:03.240 right?

01:07:03.540 Would you

01:07:03.860 all agree?

01:07:04.760 Bezos is

01:07:05.380 left-leaning.

01:07:06.780 But do you

01:07:07.300 know what else

01:07:07.700 he is?

01:07:08.760 I mean, he

01:07:09.140 probably is, I'm

01:07:10.020 guessing.

01:07:10.980 But do you

01:07:11.360 know what

01:07:11.600 else he

01:07:12.020 is?

01:07:13.440 He's a

01:07:14.020 guy who

01:07:14.480 understands

01:07:15.120 systems better

01:07:17.260 than maybe

01:07:19.160 anybody ever,

01:07:21.720 ever, and

01:07:23.040 proved it.

01:07:24.000 Because Amazon

01:07:24.880 is a system.

01:07:26.440 And you

01:07:26.740 have to be a

01:07:27.440 systems thinker

01:07:28.340 and think about

01:07:28.900 all the parts

01:07:29.680 and keep them

01:07:30.320 in your mind

01:07:30.920 and how they

01:07:31.380 fit to build

01:07:32.640 an Amazon.

01:07:33.940 Amazon is a

01:07:35.240 system of

01:07:35.840 systems.

01:07:36.620 It's just

01:07:36.960 systems on

01:07:37.580 systems.

01:07:37.960 And if you

01:07:38.980 have somebody

01:07:39.400 who thinks

01:07:39.960 in terms of

01:07:40.560 systems, but

01:07:43.180 leans left,

01:07:45.280 which I

01:07:45.800 equate with

01:07:46.460 empathy, really,

01:07:47.560 in his case,

01:07:48.100 more like an

01:07:48.620 empathy to

01:07:49.420 individuals as

01:07:50.260 opposed to a

01:07:50.760 set of

01:07:50.980 policies, that

01:07:52.260 would be your

01:07:52.660 perfect president.

01:07:54.480 That's your

01:07:54.880 perfect president.

01:07:56.480 Leans left

01:07:57.160 philosophically,

01:07:59.340 leans right

01:08:00.420 systems-wise.

01:08:02.880 Leans left

01:08:03.600 philosophically,

01:08:05.220 leans right in

01:08:06.140 terms of making

01:08:06.640 stuff work.

01:08:07.900 Test it, see

01:08:09.080 if it works.

01:08:09.940 If it doesn't

01:08:10.380 work, don't

01:08:10.840 do it.

01:08:11.700 Don't have

01:08:12.460 some kind of

01:08:13.720 philosophical hold

01:08:14.960 on a particular

01:08:15.900 way of doing

01:08:16.540 things.

01:08:17.180 Just release on

01:08:18.020 the philosophy

01:08:18.580 and say,

01:08:19.580 well, if we

01:08:20.040 can test it,

01:08:21.660 see if it

01:08:22.060 works.

01:08:22.440 What does

01:08:22.960 Amazon do

01:08:23.680 better than

01:08:24.480 anybody except

01:08:25.180 Apple Computer

01:08:25.900 and Google?

01:08:26.920 It tests

01:08:27.380 stuff.

01:08:28.860 They're always

01:08:29.520 testing,

01:08:30.240 continually

01:08:30.700 testing.

01:08:31.880 So if you

01:08:33.000 got a president

01:08:33.620 who was born

01:08:35.240 and raised in

01:08:36.120 systems and

01:08:37.080 testing,

01:08:38.540 that's your

01:08:39.500 best president.

01:08:40.960 That's your

01:08:41.260 best president.

01:08:43.020 Leans left

01:08:43.640 for empathy,

01:08:46.280 leans right

01:08:46.920 for systems.

01:08:48.020 You could not

01:08:48.660 beat that.

01:08:49.620 And I would

01:08:50.380 support him on

01:08:51.220 day one.

01:08:51.800 I doubt I'd

01:08:52.360 ever change my

01:08:52.960 mind.

01:08:53.720 So if he ever

01:08:54.280 decided to be

01:08:54.860 president, let me

01:08:55.680 say it publicly,

01:08:56.820 Jeff Bezos.

01:08:57.720 If he ever

01:08:58.380 decided to run

01:08:59.100 for president,

01:08:59.680 I would totally

01:09:00.140 back you,

01:09:01.280 without even

01:09:01.880 hearing your

01:09:02.320 policies.

01:09:03.760 Because I

01:09:05.120 know that he

01:09:05.660 would not

01:09:06.020 present a

01:09:06.460 policy that

01:09:07.080 didn't make

01:09:07.680 sense.

01:09:09.460 And if he

01:09:09.940 had a policy

01:09:10.900 that I didn't

01:09:11.520 agree with,

01:09:12.760 I would stop

01:09:14.140 believing I

01:09:14.920 was right

01:09:15.440 immediately,

01:09:16.980 immediately,

01:09:17.860 and I would

01:09:18.240 listen to what

01:09:18.760 he said.

01:09:20.240 He's that

01:09:20.920 smart.

01:09:22.040 Now, that's

01:09:22.480 not true of

01:09:22.940 everybody.

01:09:24.320 If DeSantis

01:09:26.380 said something

01:09:27.180 I didn't agree

01:09:27.900 with, I

01:09:29.200 wouldn't

01:09:29.540 automatically

01:09:30.280 suspend my

01:09:31.080 opinion to

01:09:31.860 listen to

01:09:32.180 what he

01:09:32.380 had to

01:09:32.640 say.

01:09:32.880 I'd listen

01:09:33.220 to it.

01:09:33.700 It might

01:09:33.920 change my

01:09:34.320 opinion.

01:09:34.920 But if

01:09:35.240 Jeff Bezos

01:09:35.920 said something

01:09:37.360 that was just

01:09:37.880 directly opposite

01:09:38.820 of what I

01:09:39.480 believed would

01:09:40.020 be a good

01:09:40.420 thing to

01:09:40.760 do, I

01:09:42.000 would immediately

01:09:42.860 delete my

01:09:44.820 opinion.

01:09:45.760 I wouldn't

01:09:46.420 immediately take

01:09:47.080 his opinion,

01:09:48.020 but I would

01:09:48.480 delete mine

01:09:49.100 immediately and

01:09:49.800 say, okay,

01:09:50.600 wipe the

01:09:51.680 board clean,

01:09:52.820 let's hear what

01:09:53.320 he has to

01:09:53.720 say.

01:09:54.640 He's that

01:09:55.240 smart.

01:09:56.320 Now, have

01:09:57.540 we ever had a

01:09:58.120 president who

01:09:58.640 was that much

01:09:59.300 smarter than

01:09:59.880 us?

01:10:00.260 Bill Clinton

01:10:01.440 probably.

01:10:02.400 Actually, we

01:10:02.900 have.

01:10:03.780 Jefferson.

01:10:05.040 I guess we

01:10:05.760 have.

01:10:06.580 But it would

01:10:08.560 be a refreshing

01:10:09.380 change.

01:10:10.880 A refreshing

01:10:11.380 change.

01:10:12.460 We know that

01:10:13.220 he thinks

01:10:13.600 ahead.

01:10:14.240 We know that

01:10:14.640 he thinks of

01:10:15.180 consequences.

01:10:15.940 We know he

01:10:16.260 knows economics.

01:10:17.380 We know he

01:10:17.820 knows systems.

01:10:19.100 We know he

01:10:19.660 has an empathy

01:10:20.320 bias.

01:10:21.460 You don't get

01:10:21.980 better than that,

01:10:22.660 really.

01:10:23.040 He's the right

01:10:23.420 age.

01:10:24.540 He's the right

01:10:24.940 age, too.

01:10:26.120 Now, if he ran

01:10:27.080 for president,

01:10:27.760 and there's

01:10:28.240 no indication

01:10:28.780 he has any

01:10:29.260 interest, it'd

01:10:29.920 be crazy.

01:10:30.380 It'd be a

01:10:30.700 suicide mission,

01:10:31.460 really.

01:10:33.620 Actually, if he

01:10:34.320 ran for president,

01:10:35.020 I'd call him a

01:10:35.580 coward, just

01:10:37.800 because that's

01:10:38.180 what stupid

01:10:38.600 people do.

01:10:39.220 It's funny.

01:10:42.580 All right.

01:10:44.540 You think he'd

01:10:45.300 be another CIA

01:10:46.160 president?

01:10:47.040 You think

01:10:47.400 Bezos is

01:10:48.240 influenced by

01:10:48.960 the CIA?

01:10:51.720 I bet it's

01:10:52.240 the opposite.

01:10:52.540 I bet Bezos

01:10:54.640 could influence

01:10:55.300 the CIA more

01:10:56.120 than they could

01:10:56.540 influence him.

01:10:57.920 But that's

01:10:58.320 just speculation.

01:10:59.860 All right.

01:11:03.520 I believe,

01:11:04.380 ladies and

01:11:04.740 gentlemen, that

01:11:05.760 that is exactly

01:11:07.140 what I wanted to

01:11:07.940 accomplish for

01:11:08.640 today.

01:11:09.400 I don't think

01:11:09.920 there's any doubt

01:11:10.480 that this was the

01:11:11.160 finest piece of

01:11:12.100 entertainment you

01:11:12.960 will experience.

01:11:14.000 If not today,

01:11:15.580 possibly in your

01:11:16.300 lifetime.

01:11:18.580 China, what's

01:11:21.300 China doing?

01:11:22.740 It's the best

01:11:23.420 show ever.

01:11:24.720 Yeah, best show

01:11:25.260 ever.

01:11:25.560 I think that's

01:11:26.060 true.

01:11:27.160 We did learn

01:11:28.020 that there's...

01:11:30.540 I'm not going

01:11:33.260 to say it.

01:11:36.040 Now, of course,

01:11:36.780 anybody who runs

01:11:37.380 for president is,

01:11:38.380 first of all,

01:11:38.680 insane.

01:11:39.900 You know, you

01:11:40.260 have the Groucho

01:11:41.480 Marx problem with

01:11:43.320 presidential candidates.

01:11:45.360 You know, Groucho

01:11:45.920 Marx famously said

01:11:47.140 you would never

01:11:47.600 join a club that

01:11:50.080 would have somebody

01:11:50.720 like him as a

01:11:51.420 member.

01:11:52.540 And there's a

01:11:54.640 little bit of that

01:11:55.200 problem with running

01:11:56.060 for president, is

01:11:56.880 there?

01:11:57.920 If you're dumb

01:11:58.760 enough to run for

01:11:59.520 president, should I

01:12:01.500 vote for you?

01:12:02.800 Because it is a

01:12:03.860 suicide mission.

01:12:04.880 I mean, you know,

01:12:06.360 actually Obama came

01:12:07.700 out of it pretty

01:12:08.200 good.

01:12:08.960 But you do get

01:12:10.460 pretty beaten up by

01:12:11.540 that process.

01:12:12.420 And if you have,

01:12:12.980 like, a perfect

01:12:13.580 life, you know,

01:12:15.220 Bezos looks like

01:12:16.000 he's enjoying

01:12:16.440 himself at the

01:12:17.020 moment.

01:12:17.280 somebody says

01:12:20.120 Cuban will run.

01:12:21.120 Mark Cuban?

01:12:22.380 I'm not seeing it.

01:12:24.360 I'm not seeing it.

01:12:25.760 I feel like I

01:12:26.520 would know if

01:12:27.280 Mark Cuban were

01:12:28.760 preparing a run.

01:12:29.840 Like, you'd see

01:12:30.340 some signs of it.

01:12:31.540 He'd be saying and

01:12:32.300 doing some things

01:12:33.100 that would be

01:12:34.500 suggestive of it

01:12:35.560 by now.

01:12:36.440 I don't think so.

01:12:37.160 Although, he would

01:12:40.540 be a strong

01:12:41.180 candidate.

01:12:42.560 I could back

01:12:43.880 Mark Cuban for

01:12:45.020 president.

01:12:47.160 Do you want to

01:12:47.700 throw up on that

01:12:49.380 a little bit?

01:12:49.800 I'll give you a

01:12:50.180 little time to

01:12:51.000 barf on me.

01:12:52.240 Because he would

01:12:52.860 be a Democrat.

01:12:53.840 He would run as

01:12:54.380 a Democrat.

01:12:55.400 Do you know

01:12:55.840 why?

01:12:57.380 Let me tell you

01:12:58.020 why I could back

01:12:58.840 Mark Cuban as

01:13:00.140 a president, even

01:13:01.000 though he's a

01:13:01.400 Democrat.

01:13:01.760 Same argument

01:13:02.620 as Bezos.

01:13:04.300 Exact same

01:13:04.800 argument.

01:13:05.860 Mark Cuban

01:13:06.500 would not be

01:13:07.500 able to do

01:13:08.700 right in front

01:13:09.300 of you, put

01:13:10.460 together a

01:13:11.040 policy or a

01:13:11.820 system that

01:13:12.300 obviously didn't

01:13:13.020 make sense.

01:13:14.540 Even if it was

01:13:15.460 like what all

01:13:16.300 the lefties want,

01:13:17.040 he wouldn't be

01:13:17.400 able to do it.

01:13:18.380 I mean, I don't

01:13:18.780 think his

01:13:20.580 constitution would

01:13:21.740 allow him to

01:13:23.360 put together a

01:13:24.320 proposal that you

01:13:25.420 just look at and

01:13:26.080 you go, this

01:13:26.860 looks like just

01:13:28.220 crap.

01:13:29.360 But regular

01:13:30.160 politicians do

01:13:30.960 that all the

01:13:31.440 time.

01:13:32.400 Regular politicians

01:13:33.440 don't explain

01:13:34.260 their reasoning.

01:13:35.260 They take one

01:13:35.960 side.

01:13:36.500 And they say,

01:13:37.500 here, shove

01:13:38.040 this down

01:13:38.400 your throat.

01:13:38.980 I've got

01:13:39.260 enough votes

01:13:39.720 to make it

01:13:40.140 happen.

01:13:44.300 Mark Cuban,

01:13:45.220 being a

01:13:45.680 rationalist and

01:13:46.620 engineer,

01:13:47.660 engineer by

01:13:48.360 training, right?

01:13:49.140 Am I right

01:13:49.520 about that?

01:13:50.420 But he would

01:13:53.140 have the empathy

01:13:54.000 part, again,

01:13:55.720 just like Bezos.

01:13:56.700 But he's also a

01:13:57.920 system thinker and

01:13:59.060 knows how to

01:14:00.360 make things work.

01:14:01.660 So the problem

01:14:02.460 that you don't

01:14:04.040 like with the

01:14:04.820 left is that

01:14:05.680 their systems

01:14:06.280 don't work and

01:14:07.160 they don't know

01:14:07.720 it.

01:14:08.180 Am I right?

01:14:10.300 Be honest.

01:14:11.800 Your problem

01:14:12.440 with the left

01:14:13.140 is primarily

01:14:14.180 that their

01:14:16.040 systems they put

01:14:16.880 together don't

01:14:17.480 have the right

01:14:17.940 incentives and

01:14:18.700 stuff, so they

01:14:19.260 all fall apart.

01:14:20.420 That's primarily

01:14:21.220 the problem.

01:14:22.080 And nobody's

01:14:22.660 really offered

01:14:23.180 you the

01:14:23.520 alternative,

01:14:24.200 have they?

01:14:24.900 Because

01:14:25.240 unfortunately,

01:14:25.820 the alternative

01:14:26.280 doesn't look like

01:14:27.240 a Democrat

01:14:27.680 plan, because

01:14:29.260 it would have

01:14:29.560 too much market

01:14:30.480 competition in

01:14:31.260 it.

01:14:31.900 But I don't

01:14:33.120 see a Mark

01:14:35.200 Cuban promoting

01:14:37.520 any plans that

01:14:38.320 don't have market

01:14:39.000 competition built

01:14:39.900 into them.

01:14:40.560 Do you?

01:14:41.640 Can you imagine

01:14:42.360 the shark tank

01:14:44.580 entrepreneur guy,

01:14:46.940 the guy who

01:14:47.600 owns a competitive

01:14:48.480 sports team?

01:14:50.400 Do you think

01:14:51.160 he's going to be

01:14:51.620 against competition?

01:14:53.520 I don't think

01:14:54.360 so.

01:14:55.160 But you're

01:14:55.540 expected of

01:14:56.120 Democrats,

01:14:56.680 don't you?

01:14:57.240 So I think

01:14:58.360 that I'm

01:14:58.740 naming two

01:14:59.200 people,

01:15:00.280 Bezos and

01:15:01.020 Cuban, who

01:15:02.440 I would

01:15:02.940 easily, easily

01:15:05.040 support as a

01:15:05.860 Democratic candidate

01:15:06.720 over, I don't

01:15:09.380 know if I like

01:15:09.920 him over

01:15:10.380 DeSantis, DeSantis

01:15:11.400 is pretty strong,

01:15:12.900 but totally

01:15:15.320 credible candidates.

01:15:18.120 So you know

01:15:18.880 how it's always

01:15:19.500 darkest before the

01:15:20.380 dawn?

01:15:21.580 Like it looks

01:15:22.660 like everything's

01:15:23.280 going to be a

01:15:24.200 nightmare and

01:15:24.780 then suddenly the

01:15:25.420 lights come on

01:15:25.960 and you go,

01:15:26.160 oh, okay,

01:15:26.740 that problem's

01:15:27.240 over.

01:15:28.140 It's sort of

01:15:28.580 like in

01:15:28.920 California,

01:15:29.740 we'll have a

01:15:30.500 year of massive

01:15:31.460 drought and it's

01:15:32.260 going to be this

01:15:32.680 way for years and

01:15:33.820 then winter comes

01:15:34.940 and it rains and

01:15:36.160 everybody goes,

01:15:36.680 oh, okay, I

01:15:37.460 guess we're okay

01:15:37.880 for a while.

01:15:39.360 Here's what could

01:15:40.280 happen in 2024,

01:15:43.120 maybe.

01:15:44.480 Would you agree

01:15:45.480 that we have a

01:15:46.540 candidate problem

01:15:47.660 on both sides?

01:15:49.340 The Democrats

01:15:49.900 basically don't

01:15:50.880 have anybody.

01:15:51.500 and the Republicans

01:15:53.940 have a DeSantis

01:15:55.640 who probably won't

01:15:56.560 run if Trump

01:15:57.200 does, so he's

01:15:58.380 sort of taken

01:15:59.220 out of the game

01:15:59.780 and then Trump

01:16:01.320 controls really

01:16:02.600 the fate of all

01:16:03.280 the other

01:16:03.640 candidates, so if

01:16:04.960 he runs, they

01:16:05.480 won't.

01:16:06.200 So basically, if

01:16:08.020 Trump wants to

01:16:08.800 run, it's probably

01:16:09.860 going to be him,

01:16:10.760 right?

01:16:11.300 So then you have

01:16:12.240 basically the only

01:16:13.200 Republican candidate

01:16:14.140 who has a chance

01:16:15.060 of losing.

01:16:15.520 It's the only one

01:16:18.280 because he could

01:16:19.140 talk himself out

01:16:20.160 of the job,

01:16:20.640 basically.

01:16:23.700 But the other

01:16:24.480 possibility is this.

01:16:26.820 It's not impossible

01:16:28.060 that you could get

01:16:29.840 the best presidential

01:16:30.940 candidates we've

01:16:31.820 ever had.

01:16:33.000 Just imagine that

01:16:34.480 somebody like a

01:16:35.520 Cuban or a

01:16:36.540 Bezos announces

01:16:38.640 on the left.

01:16:40.100 They would suck

01:16:40.800 all the energy

01:16:41.460 away and they

01:16:42.340 would become the

01:16:42.840 candidate.

01:16:43.160 So you could

01:16:45.260 end up with a

01:16:46.040 Democratic candidate

01:16:46.920 who's the best

01:16:47.980 one you've ever

01:16:48.560 had because they

01:16:50.220 realize that their

01:16:51.040 bench is empty.

01:16:52.840 So they have to

01:16:53.700 go recruit

01:16:54.720 somebody outside

01:16:55.540 the team.

01:16:56.440 If they recruit

01:16:57.360 and they get a

01:16:58.480 Bezos, Cuban

01:16:59.620 kind of a

01:17:00.240 character, they

01:17:01.780 win.

01:17:04.240 Not me.

01:17:05.080 No, I would be

01:17:05.580 a terrible

01:17:05.940 president.

01:17:09.540 And then on,

01:17:10.600 let's say Trump

01:17:11.860 decides not to

01:17:12.820 run.

01:17:15.140 That could

01:17:15.700 happen.

01:17:17.360 Then you might

01:17:18.080 have DeSantis

01:17:18.920 running against a

01:17:20.720 Bezos or a

01:17:21.640 Mark Cuban.

01:17:23.700 Just hold that

01:17:24.480 in your head.

01:17:25.780 I almost wouldn't

01:17:26.700 care who won in

01:17:28.400 that situation.

01:17:29.040 I almost wouldn't

01:17:29.660 care.

01:17:30.700 That would be

01:17:31.420 such a strong

01:17:32.520 slate that I'd

01:17:35.920 actually say,

01:17:36.640 you know, I could

01:17:37.240 go either way on

01:17:38.540 this one.

01:17:38.820 I thought I

01:17:43.120 would see more

01:17:43.520 pushback on

01:17:44.180 that.

01:17:46.140 That's

01:17:46.600 interesting.

01:17:47.980 But don't

01:17:49.000 rule out that

01:17:50.020 this will be an

01:17:50.900 election between

01:17:51.540 the two strongest

01:17:52.820 candidates we've

01:17:53.680 ever seen.

01:17:54.640 That could

01:17:55.120 happen.

01:17:55.700 It's just

01:17:56.060 unlikely.

01:17:56.920 The most

01:17:57.420 likely thing is

01:17:58.280 Trump runs

01:17:59.080 against some

01:17:59.580 weak Democrat

01:18:01.060 bencher and

01:18:02.640 destroys him.

01:18:03.780 That's the most

01:18:04.480 likely thing.

01:18:05.800 But you never

01:18:06.260 know.

01:18:06.500 could go

01:18:07.520 exactly the

01:18:08.140 other way.

01:18:14.560 You put a

01:18:15.300 lot of faith in

01:18:15.940 those people.

01:18:16.960 Well, do I?

01:18:18.180 Do I?

01:18:18.980 Am I putting a

01:18:19.640 lot of faith in

01:18:20.540 Mark Cuban or

01:18:22.260 Jeff Bezos?

01:18:24.080 Because I think

01:18:25.000 that they've both

01:18:25.760 proven what they

01:18:27.020 can do in so

01:18:28.140 many ways and so

01:18:29.220 publicly that most

01:18:30.940 of the questions

01:18:31.520 have been removed.

01:18:33.900 I feel.

01:18:35.160 I mean, anybody

01:18:35.800 who runs for

01:18:36.340 office, especially

01:18:37.140 if you're a

01:18:37.620 billionaire, there's

01:18:38.680 going to be all

01:18:39.080 these stories that

01:18:39.760 come out.

01:18:40.380 Some will be

01:18:40.820 true, some

01:18:41.400 won't, and

01:18:42.180 they'll be

01:18:42.440 shocking.

01:18:43.740 So the only

01:18:44.720 way to run

01:18:45.340 for office as

01:18:46.720 a billionaire is

01:18:48.000 to do what

01:18:48.460 Trump did, but

01:18:49.360 do more of it.

01:18:50.840 When Trump

01:18:51.360 ran, he said,

01:18:52.660 I'm no angel,

01:18:54.900 but I can give

01:18:56.480 you these things

01:18:57.080 for the country.

01:18:58.360 Now, that didn't

01:18:59.180 get widely quoted,

01:19:00.400 and I wish he'd

01:19:01.120 said it a whole

01:19:01.880 bunch more times.

01:19:02.800 But I'd love

01:19:03.760 to see, let's

01:19:04.940 say some

01:19:05.760 billionaire, I

01:19:06.400 won't name names,

01:19:07.060 some billionaire

01:19:07.520 runs for

01:19:08.000 president.

01:19:09.100 I would love

01:19:09.700 to see that

01:19:10.160 some billionaire

01:19:10.700 say, look, I'm

01:19:12.100 going to be

01:19:12.400 honest.

01:19:13.480 When you start

01:19:14.300 looking into my

01:19:15.420 background, you're

01:19:17.580 probably going to

01:19:18.120 be shocked.

01:19:20.820 And I'm not

01:19:21.960 running to sell

01:19:22.760 my personal life.

01:19:24.400 I want you to

01:19:25.220 hear this clearly.

01:19:25.960 don't vote for

01:19:28.600 me if you think

01:19:29.300 I'm going to be a

01:19:29.940 role model to

01:19:30.640 how to live your

01:19:31.240 life.

01:19:31.620 I don't have

01:19:32.040 anything to tell

01:19:32.700 you about that.

01:19:33.960 I've got nothing

01:19:34.580 for that.

01:19:35.640 But if you like

01:19:37.160 some good policies

01:19:38.020 and some systems

01:19:39.040 that will work,

01:19:40.160 some good

01:19:40.560 persuasion, if you

01:19:42.060 like the country

01:19:42.780 to be stronger,

01:19:44.220 think of me like

01:19:45.060 your plumber.

01:19:46.660 I can fix your

01:19:47.460 pipes, but don't

01:19:49.380 try to emulate my

01:19:50.740 personal life.

01:19:51.840 That would just

01:19:52.340 be a terrible

01:19:53.180 strategy for you.

01:19:54.640 And then any

01:19:55.160 time I got

01:19:55.700 accused of

01:19:56.360 something, I

01:19:57.920 would just say,

01:19:58.860 well, if you're

01:19:59.420 more amused to

01:20:00.500 think that's true,

01:20:01.440 I welcome it.

01:20:03.040 Because whatever

01:20:03.780 amuses you, I

01:20:05.260 mean, life is

01:20:06.280 short and brutal.

01:20:07.400 If you think it's

01:20:08.140 funny to think that

01:20:09.000 I put a gerbil

01:20:09.680 in my butt, go

01:20:11.520 for it.

01:20:12.840 Like, if that

01:20:13.780 gives you a laugh

01:20:14.580 over a beer, I'm

01:20:16.080 all for it.

01:20:17.460 It's just that I

01:20:18.380 also have some

01:20:18.980 good policies.

01:20:20.180 Can we talk about

01:20:20.940 those once in a

01:20:21.580 while?

01:20:22.180 But I'm not even

01:20:23.000 going to defend

01:20:23.460 anything.

01:20:23.740 Yeah, you

01:20:26.100 killed a hooker

01:20:27.780 and buried her

01:20:29.020 in your

01:20:29.500 basement?

01:20:30.240 Whatever.

01:20:31.280 If you like

01:20:31.880 thinking that, if

01:20:33.620 you like it, I'm

01:20:34.960 all for it.

01:20:36.360 You should enjoy

01:20:37.160 yourself.

01:20:41.020 Wouldn't you

01:20:41.960 see, one of the

01:20:43.440 greatest hidden

01:20:44.400 resources in the

01:20:46.540 world is

01:20:47.160 honesty.

01:20:47.660 and some of

01:20:51.820 you just had

01:20:52.280 like a moment

01:20:52.860 when I said

01:20:53.280 that.

01:20:53.880 It's the most

01:20:55.140 valuable hidden

01:20:57.080 resource.

01:20:58.700 Have you ever

01:20:59.040 met anybody who

01:20:59.660 is honest?

01:21:02.560 Sometimes you

01:21:03.160 do.

01:21:03.980 Every now and

01:21:04.540 then you'll meet

01:21:04.900 somebody who's

01:21:05.300 honest.

01:21:05.820 And do you

01:21:06.100 know what

01:21:06.280 effect they have

01:21:06.980 on you?

01:21:07.960 It rocks your

01:21:08.620 world, doesn't

01:21:09.120 it?

01:21:09.680 It totally

01:21:10.180 rocks your

01:21:10.660 world.

01:21:11.200 Now, I'm not

01:21:11.680 talking about

01:21:12.160 assholes.

01:21:13.560 There's some

01:21:14.080 people who say

01:21:14.740 they're honest,

01:21:15.480 but it's just an

01:21:16.040 excuse to be

01:21:16.620 insulting.

01:21:17.920 Well, hey, you

01:21:19.380 look terrible in

01:21:20.280 that dress.

01:21:20.880 I'm just being

01:21:21.440 honest.

01:21:22.500 I'm just being

01:21:23.140 honest.

01:21:23.480 No, you're not.

01:21:24.320 No, you're not.

01:21:24.720 You're being an

01:21:25.140 asshole.

01:21:25.880 That's different.

01:21:27.240 But how about

01:21:27.720 somebody who's

01:21:28.220 just honest?

01:21:30.600 It's shocking

01:21:31.340 when you meet

01:21:31.820 them.

01:21:32.200 And they have a

01:21:32.780 superpower, don't

01:21:33.520 they?

01:21:34.200 If you actually

01:21:34.880 believe somebody's

01:21:35.640 honest, all

01:21:37.360 their flaws are

01:21:39.540 right there so

01:21:40.060 you can see

01:21:40.400 them.

01:21:41.440 And once you

01:21:41.940 can see somebody's

01:21:42.700 flaws, what

01:21:43.280 happens?

01:21:44.560 You trust

01:21:45.300 them.

01:21:46.620 You trust

01:21:47.340 them.

01:21:48.100 So the more

01:21:48.760 flawed somebody

01:21:50.100 looks, the more

01:21:50.860 you trust

01:21:51.260 them.

01:21:52.800 Do you ever

01:21:53.640 wonder how

01:21:54.140 Pete Davidson

01:21:54.920 can pull so

01:21:56.600 much, I

01:21:58.340 won't use the

01:21:58.900 word, ever

01:22:00.880 wonder how

01:22:01.320 Pete Davidson

01:22:01.920 can get so

01:22:03.280 much female

01:22:04.500 attention?

01:22:06.560 I think, you

01:22:08.360 know, he's got a

01:22:09.120 look that they

01:22:09.580 like, he's a

01:22:10.220 certain height, he's

01:22:11.000 famous, he's

01:22:11.800 funny, got a lot

01:22:12.660 going for him in

01:22:13.240 that way, but I

01:22:14.620 think the big

01:22:15.180 thing is his

01:22:16.000 honesty.

01:22:17.320 I think when you

01:22:18.040 look at him, you

01:22:18.540 go, I'm pretty

01:22:19.700 sure I see every

01:22:20.400 one of his

01:22:20.840 problems.

01:22:22.180 I think I see

01:22:22.940 them all.

01:22:23.800 I feel like I

01:22:24.640 see every one of

01:22:25.400 your problems are

01:22:26.060 just right out

01:22:26.600 there.

01:22:27.580 And then when

01:22:28.180 you see him, you

01:22:28.720 go, oh, okay, I

01:22:30.260 can deal with

01:22:30.640 that.

01:22:31.760 Like that set of

01:22:32.620 problems I'm

01:22:33.280 willing to deal

01:22:33.820 with.

01:22:34.440 So it's really a

01:22:35.320 superpower, and I

01:22:36.320 think he shows it

01:22:36.980 to you.

01:22:37.280 Now, if your

01:22:39.680 counter-theory is

01:22:40.640 that he's rich and

01:22:41.760 funny and that's

01:22:42.320 good enough, I

01:22:44.460 don't know, I'm

01:22:45.280 rich and funny and

01:22:46.060 it's usually not

01:22:47.040 good enough, so

01:22:47.760 maybe if I were

01:22:50.780 taller and younger

01:22:51.760 it would be

01:22:52.040 different.

01:22:57.560 All right, guys

01:22:58.420 in skinny jeans, I

01:22:59.460 just can't.

01:23:02.140 Women are suckers

01:23:03.220 for the fixer

01:23:04.000 uppers.

01:23:05.160 I think that's

01:23:06.000 true.

01:23:07.280 I think that's

01:23:08.600 true.

01:23:09.860 If you were Kim

01:23:10.980 Kardashian, what

01:23:12.580 would make you feel

01:23:13.420 more comfortable

01:23:14.160 than to have a

01:23:15.240 boyfriend or a

01:23:16.240 mate who's really

01:23:17.860 famous and known

01:23:18.800 for his flaws?

01:23:21.320 It's sort of

01:23:22.120 comforting, isn't

01:23:22.700 it?

01:23:23.380 Because, you

01:23:24.200 know, Kim

01:23:24.500 Kardashian's entire

01:23:25.740 business model is

01:23:27.400 covering up flaws.

01:23:29.800 So, you know, she's

01:23:31.660 continually, you

01:23:32.980 know, managing her

01:23:33.860 brand, et cetera, and

01:23:34.700 doing it really

01:23:35.140 well.

01:23:35.960 Kim Kardashian's

01:23:36.720 one of the

01:23:37.120 greatest

01:23:37.580 entrepreneurs this

01:23:38.600 country's ever

01:23:39.160 had.

01:23:40.060 She doesn't get

01:23:40.680 nearly enough

01:23:41.300 credit.

01:23:42.180 Not nearly enough.

01:23:44.560 I would put Kim

01:23:45.760 Kardashian in the

01:23:46.660 same highest

01:23:47.780 category of

01:23:48.780 entrepreneurs and

01:23:50.180 system thinkers and

01:23:51.540 smart people this

01:23:53.560 country's ever

01:23:54.140 produced.

01:23:57.180 All right, that,

01:23:59.460 ladies and

01:23:59.880 gentlemen, somebody

01:24:01.460 says it's her mom.

01:24:02.660 Yeah, her mom gets

01:24:03.300 a lot of credit.

01:24:03.800 She's clearly very

01:24:05.840 clever.

01:24:07.640 Yeah, I guess she's

01:24:08.220 in law school now or

01:24:10.300 some kind of, there's

01:24:11.200 some kind of special

01:24:11.920 law school that's not

01:24:12.980 like real law school.

01:24:14.240 There's some path that

01:24:15.100 you could take that's

01:24:15.800 not the typical path.

01:24:18.180 Hard disagree,

01:24:19.240 somebody says.

01:24:21.420 Yeah, you know,

01:24:22.300 people say that

01:24:23.100 Kardashians just look

01:24:24.840 pretty and hang

01:24:26.160 around and they're not

01:24:27.080 working, but they're

01:24:28.100 working harder than

01:24:28.780 most of you.

01:24:36.820 All right.

01:24:38.340 If you fix your

01:24:39.240 partner, you lose

01:24:40.000 your biggest project.

01:24:45.280 All right, that's

01:24:46.060 all I got now.

01:24:47.300 I'll talk to you

01:24:47.880 later.

01:24:48.640 Bye, YouTube.

01:24:49.400 Enjoy your day.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 03, 2022

Episode 1793 Scott Adams： I Help You Figure Out Who The Next President Will Be And Why

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