00:29:19.320Here's a take on the Russia-Ukraine thing that I thought was worthy of passing along from Armchair Warlord on Twitter.
00:29:27.840So, I don't know anything about Armchair Warlord, but I'm going to tell you his, or they, opinion.
00:29:37.320And he talks about his idea now is that the Russia has basically a total lock on winning, and all they have to do is grind it out.
00:29:46.660Now, you've heard that before, but here's the specific to it.
00:29:50.100Apparently, the Ukrainian military would be quite capable if the Russian military met it, you know, military to military in a big old confrontation.
00:30:02.020But modern militaries don't do that so much anymore.
00:30:05.260So, they're standing at a great distance and shooting artillery at each other.
00:30:09.860The problem is, the Russian artillery reaches the Ukrainians, and the Ukrainian artillery does not reach the Russians.
00:30:17.700And it doesn't look like that's going to change.
00:30:20.020So, apparently, the Russians can just, you know, let's shoot off another thousand artillery shells.
00:30:31.280They'll shoot off a thousand artillery shells, and like, all right, time for bed.
00:30:36.960Get up tomorrow, shoot off another thousand artillery shells.
00:30:40.760Now, when they're done, and it looks like they're not going to run out of artillery, there won't be anything left of the Ukrainian army, and there won't be any battle, right?
00:30:54.520So, I said this about Russian artillery over a month ago.
00:30:59.240Yeah, the thing that's, I guess, that we would add to it is that it doesn't seem to be a counter strategy to it.
00:31:06.700But, the Vietnamese strategy, which I also read about on this thread from Armchair Warlord, the Vietnamese used to call it getting between the belt buckle and the person.
00:31:20.860So, in other words, if you're at a place where their artillery can get to you, but you can't get to them, you've got to get closer.
00:31:32.260Getting further away isn't going to help you, because then they just move toward you.
00:31:36.700So, basically, the only strategy that the Ukrainians have is basically to attack a stronger military, get closer to them, so that their weapon's worth both ways.
00:32:13.300But I think this is a worthy point of view that we might already see the end point, which is Ukraine just gets ground up and they can take as long as they want, because Russia's got time.
00:32:24.800So, is there any theories yet about why Shinzo Abe was killed?
00:43:17.740In fact, I can't think of any video I've ever seen in which he's talking and the idea is, you know, he said something silly, so we're all joking about it.
00:43:27.840So if you put somebody in there who's error-free, totally Republican, very smart, totally qualified, and he's running against Trump, what are you going to do?
00:44:00.680Like, sometimes it's a little too much.
00:44:02.640So I think Tom Cotton could take Trump out, because a lot of Republicans are going to say to themselves, I want to win, but I don't want a repeat of having somebody in office who's just going to be, you know, the subject of all this controversy.
00:44:23.520Somebody's saying Pompeo, and if Pompeo is in there, that would be interesting, because he'd be primary Trump.
00:44:30.140But it would also divide the vote, right?
00:46:09.560You know, Tom Cotton could say directly, look, my policies are not that different from Trump's.
00:46:14.980But with me, you don't get all that problem.
00:46:18.140What Republican is going to say no to that?
00:46:20.000I mean, if the proposition is given to you that cleanly, same policies or very similar policies, a little bit more research, don't worry about the drama.
00:47:00.220Would you be even happier if you could get Trump's policies in a candidate who wouldn't be as much trouble and maybe make you look bad as a voter?
00:47:12.980How many Republicans could I not convince to change the vote to one that's better for them as a voter, because I get all the right policies, but they're not smeared by the reputation that comes with being a Trump supporter?
00:47:36.640If Tom Cotton just runs sort of an independent race where he says, I have good ideas, I don't think that's enough.
00:47:45.740But if Tom Cotton says directly, look, I'm going to give you Trump policies or Trump-like policies, but without all the drama, how do you not vote for that?
00:48:41.460If our strategic petroleum reserves, that's the oil that we keep stored for an emergency, it was released for the purpose of increasing the supply of oil, which should have decreased the price.