Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1803 Scott Adams： Words That Don't Have Meaning Anymore, So We Can Stop Debating Them

00:00:00.000 good morning everybody and welcome to coffee with Scott Adams the highlight of

00:00:06.720 civilization I think it gets better every time yeah you agree you agree yeah

00:00:12.300 it's universal and all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or chalice

00:00:17.220 tonight a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite

00:00:21.180 beverage I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the

00:00:26.400 dopamine today I think makes everything better yeah it's called the simultaneous sip

00:00:32.400 it's happening now go so what percentage of the news that you see on the internet do you think is

00:00:47.620 real we talk about this all the time the the fact that if you're famous or you're an expert on

00:00:55.680 something you'll see news about your expertise or about yourself in my case and you know how fake

00:01:01.780 that is because you're the expert or it's about you so those are the cases where you know if it's

00:01:06.920 fake you don't have to wonder so there there are two stories about my divorce I was just looking

00:01:16.520 on the internet so I don't know if you call those stories they're just things on the internet and if

00:01:21.240 you look at the internet you're gonna you're gonna find two things about me well you find lots of

00:01:25.620 things about me one of the things is that I I asked for a divorce after my wife got a cancer diagnosis

00:01:34.160 have you seen that one that I asked for a divorce after she had a cancer diagnosis do you think that's 0.99

00:01:42.180 true just just ask yourself uh do you think that's true no no that's not true the the relationship

00:01:57.040 decision was like a year before that you don't hear about it because there's a time lag so the by

00:02:03.240 the time you heard about it they they lined up a little bit but no the relationship decision was

00:02:07.700 long before secondly the cancer itself was a stage zero now that's not nothing but stage zero

00:02:16.560 means they're just going to zap it with some radiation it's a huge pain in the ass you know

00:02:21.060 to go through weeks of it but when you're done with it the prognosis is you're fine that's it nothing

00:02:28.020 gets cut off you know nothing's changed you're not degraded she's so so she went through that and

00:02:34.620 she's 100% like it never happened right so that's the first thing uh there's another example of you

00:02:43.840 know some individual I won't mention who who is starting rumor of something with her but don't

00:02:50.180 you can ignore that one that one's also false somebody she's never met uh the other one what was

00:02:55.900 the other one I saw I'll see uh oh the other one is that um I got custody of her children 0.51

00:03:02.680 did you hear that one yeah that I got custody of her children that's not true does anybody think

00:03:12.940 that was true I don't think that's ever happened in the history of anything no no you know what the

00:03:20.600 real story is that the real start the real estate market was so hot that there was no inventory for

00:03:28.040 a house that would fit her and a kid so it just took a while that's all so then she got a place

00:03:37.420 that's all that's the whole story but you know you just use those two examples and now generalize that

00:03:44.940 to all the news that you see right I can tell you for sure what's true in my own life but

00:03:52.860 um you wouldn't know right you read it on the internet looks looks real to you well let's talk

00:04:01.700 about other things that are not real did you see the clip of Josh Hawley um senator and he was talking

00:04:08.760 to uh some law professor about I don't know trans issues and who has babies and stuff I don't even

00:04:15.280 know what the topic was but they got in a little back and forth about what is the you know definition

00:04:20.320 of a woman and if you if like Hawley says that only women can have babies then he's being transphobic

00:04:28.300 because if you say only women can have babies you are minimizing trans women

00:04:34.780 am I saying that right I think so and uh and I guess uh non-binaries and stuff so there are other

00:04:43.220 categories according to the law professor who can have babies and so using that word makes him

00:04:50.080 transphobic um is it me or have words lost all meaning let me give you a list of words that we don't

00:05:01.260 agree what they mean but we used to so here's a bunch of here's a bunch of words I've got 15 of

00:05:07.680 them I've got 15 words that we use to argue about in politics these are like real words that we

00:05:14.880 really really argue about and we don't agree what the words mean here's all 15 we don't agree what

00:05:23.160 woman means we don't agree what find means as in find to be 11,000 votes we don't agree if that 0.97

00:05:31.240 means stealing or making it up or doing an audit insurrection we don't agree even what an

00:05:38.900 insurrection is is it a protest is it an unarmed people uh being in a room for a while how about

00:05:48.380 fascism everybody's a fascist right but people generally don't even know what it means it's just

00:05:54.120 sort of a word for somebody who's powerful but you don't like them how about bodily autonomy

00:05:58.960 you think you know what that means but why wouldn't it apply to vaccines and pregnancies

00:06:06.720 right if what's the point of having one word it has two completely different meanings you know we

00:06:12.660 don't we don't give it the same power in one situation as another that was a little different

00:06:17.820 how about phobic itself doesn't that mean afraid of something do you think that josh holly is afraid

00:06:28.080 of trans people like if he goes out in the hallway and he sees somebody that identifies as you know

00:06:34.220 trans does josh holly go 1.00

00:06:36.280 does he do that it's an irrational fear do you think he's operating from his fear of trans

00:06:47.060 i don't know i don't think we agree what phobic means now the way she described what he did

00:06:54.840 was she said that by essentially by diminishing you know the importance of uh non-women having babies 1.00

00:07:04.040 the way she would say it uh by diminishing that she creates a um he is creating a risk for trans

00:07:11.320 okay now i don't i'm not going to even uh argue on her point but it has nothing to do with phobic

00:07:20.100 does it that's a little mind reader issue isn't it it's kind of a mind reader thing to imagine

00:07:26.400 that uh he's phobic as opposed to just has a preference for some kind of clarity or something

00:07:32.740 how about racist yeah of course we all disagree what what that means these days how about a vaccine

00:07:40.880 right we used to say a vaccine prevented you from getting something

00:07:45.840 now it just makes you not get as sick that's i guess that's a vaccine now how about a meeting

00:07:54.380 didn't we used to think that a meeting you had to be there but now you know zoom meeting so we

00:08:01.060 don't agree what a meeting is how about a baby we don't agree what a baby is i mean not all the time

00:08:07.660 after it's born we agree but we don't agree what that thing in the mother's body is how about proof

00:08:15.340 or evidence they don't mean what they used to right it used to be that to prove something or to have

00:08:22.760 evidence of something you would have to find something and you'd say here it is you'd go find

00:08:28.700 it and then you present it that would be like evidence or if it's really good evidence it would

00:08:32.500 be like proof but now if you don't look for something and don't find it you've done just as

00:08:39.140 good that's a completely different meaning for proof or evidence how about audit audit if you told me

00:08:50.900 that a system had been audited i would automatically think that you looked at all the ways that people

00:08:58.160 could cheat it and you found out you know whether there was anything there but now an audit can be

00:09:05.140 if you check any part of a system so instead of an audit to find out if there's a problem

00:09:12.060 now now an audit can be any any component of the larger system and if you find out that that one

00:09:18.920 component looks good you can then conclude that you have audited all the things that you didn't

00:09:24.880 look at because you've now done an audit so an audit means that there's no problems that's not what an

00:09:32.360 audit was in my opinion my my opinion audit would be looking for problems how about science we barely

00:09:42.100 agree with sciences i don't even have to give you details on that how about healthy didn't we used

00:09:50.380 to agree what healthy look like and now you can put a plus size model on uh on sports illustrated and

00:09:58.160 we'll have an argument over whether that person is healthy we don't even agree what healthy means

00:10:03.260 anymore right how about right uh or not right but rights how about rights we don't agree what is a

00:10:16.140 right you know like the right to vote or we don't agree because we think that some people have rights

00:10:21.960 that are not enumerated in the constitution

00:10:25.220 how do rights happen you know we don't even agree on any of that so so think of this almost all of

00:10:33.740 our you know major topics have at least one word that is critical to our debate that we don't use the

00:10:41.460 same way it would be as if people who spoke two different languages and didn't understand the other

00:10:47.780 had a debate no it's actually exactly like that because if you're not using the same words there's

00:10:55.220 not really any hope you're going to get agreement all right uh here's a uh shocking news shocking

00:11:04.760 the biden administration uh thinks that something trump did is not so bad i didn't see this coming

00:11:12.780 but biden's in israel and apparently the biden administration is is uh quite happy about the

00:11:18.800 abraham accords that were negotiated under the trump administration and um wants to broaden them you

00:11:26.460 know maybe maybe bring saudi arabia a little closer to israel i think the president's going to take a

00:11:32.220 direct flight from saudi arabia to israel which if you're not following the weirdness over there is

00:11:37.940 unusual is unusual so apparently it's a big deal to fly a plane directly from saudi arabia to israel

00:11:47.440 but it apparently there's lots of um a lot of uh conversation and agreement maybe going on

00:11:55.640 beneath the scenes or behind the scenes between saudi arabia and israel so that's all heading in the

00:12:02.220 right direction and uh it's interesting that that trump finally got credit for something right

00:12:10.360 there are a few topics in the news i'll probably ignore like the bodega thing and you know the

00:12:16.760 there's a gaffe here there that just um what is it jill biden call referring to people as different 0.60

00:12:24.320 as breakfast burritos that's too racist none of that matters to me there's nothing to say about

00:12:31.080 that stuff tacos or whatever it is yeah there's nothing to say and by the way well okay i'm gonna

00:12:36.020 say it but um i can't watch people who generally agree with me i don't want to say on my side

00:12:44.140 because that's weird but people who generally agree with me i don't want to see them make fun of the

00:12:48.920 first lady for using maybe an awkward analogy or something clearly she's not a racist i mean if you 0.99

00:12:58.400 thought she was a racist then we'd have something to talk about but if she just used some words that 1.00

00:13:03.580 were you know poorly chosen uh i think that doesn't mean anything that's a nothing have i ever chosen my

00:13:12.900 words poorly yeah it's like some everybody does there's no news in that how many of our issues in the

00:13:21.080 news involve mind reading i think we have to be honest about this don't we how many things that

00:13:27.680 we think are news really are based entirely on mind reading or the ability the imagination that you can

00:13:33.320 you know what other people are thinking the january 6th thing is totally that um to imagine that trump

00:13:40.240 knew he lost remember the entire argument on the left for why trump must be punished and it was an

00:13:48.420 insurrection is that trump knew and it's obviously it's obviously knew that trump that trump knew

00:13:56.820 there's some funny memes going by on locals that trump knew that he lost now that seems ridiculous to

00:14:03.780 me but i can't read his mind however the people who are accusing him can't read his mind either

00:14:08.880 so that's a mind reading situation and what about ukraine um you know it's a war so there's more going

00:14:17.480 on the mind reading but a lot of it is revolving around what does putin want right we're trying

00:14:23.300 to figure out what does putin want does he want the whole country you know so it's we have to do some

00:14:28.660 mind reading on that and make some decisions but there's a ton of mind reading going on you know

00:14:34.960 what's interesting i keep talking about uh cnn maybe maybe a little bit is leaning toward the middle

00:14:41.860 with their new management so so a little less crazy as cnn they're they're not all the way there

00:14:47.940 they're definitely left-leaning still but i do think there's some movement all right and i'm going to

00:14:54.780 keep reporting on it because i think it's important i think it's important if cnn does this pivot it's

00:14:59.980 important because it would make the let me say it in the most direct way if cnn can clean up the worst

00:15:07.980 of their excesses that's a big deal for the country even though cnn has low viewership if cnn starts

00:15:16.860 saying things closer to true and msnbc is still on here saying crazy shit it's going to be a little

00:15:23.400 harder for the crazy shit to to take hold but if you're on the left and you look at cnn and they

00:15:29.380 say it and then msnbc says it well you're going to believe it that's two networks on your side that

00:15:35.340 say the same thing but what if what if cnn starts saying something more let's say reasoned and you

00:15:41.800 know balanced would it make msnbc look silly or or would all of the viewers go to msnbc because msnbc

00:15:49.880 would be saying more of what they want to hear you know they get the dopamine hit i don't know but

00:15:55.600 whatever it is it's important like it's a big deal if cnn shifts and to that point jake tapper

00:16:03.100 interviewed john bolton now to be fair i think interviewing john bolton if you cnn usually they

00:16:11.320 would expect to get an anti-trump quote out of that right you'd expect that bolton would tell

00:16:18.420 you something bad about trump and so it makes sense that cnn would have him on but i don't know if they

00:16:24.260 knew what he was going to say but john bolton said uh basically he said uh about january 6th he goes

00:16:32.120 a coup takes a lot more work in planning i've organized coups this wasn't one now

00:16:38.760 wasn't that awesome

00:16:41.600 he's literally admitting he's organized coups in other countries i don't know which ones he's talking

00:16:49.300 about and jake asked him and he didn't answer directly but uh or his answer didn't seem direct

00:16:55.280 to me uh but if the person who literally literally organizes coups looks at it and says no i do this

00:17:05.680 for a living i organize coups for a living they're really hard this wasn't one do you think that made

00:17:14.500 a dent if you were watching cnn and you saw the guy who organizes coups and importantly does not

00:17:21.880 like donald trump importantly and he looks at this and go you know you can say lots of things about

00:17:28.040 trump and then he went out to say trump was too disorganized and you know too bad of a manager to have

00:17:33.780 organized something like a coup so you know he gets in his digs but what but what if you're

00:17:38.740 what if you're a cnn viewer you've been fed non-stop this is oh this is definitely an insurrection

00:17:45.960 this is a coup and then the person who is most qualified to judge a coup was close enough to it

00:17:55.560 so we could see everything that needs to be seen doesn't like trump one bit and that's public knowledge

00:18:01.080 and says now this is not a coup it's not even close does that make a dent

00:18:05.840 like try try to think if that happened with something that you believed

00:18:11.060 right say say there was something that you believe you know um whatever it is and you heard the person

00:18:18.980 who was the most qualified and had nothing to gain it doesn't look like he's got anything to gain by

00:18:25.880 that opinion right it's it's not it's not an opinion i know well maybe he does because it's sort

00:18:31.680 of republican opinion he wants to get appointed to something maybe maybe yes i'll take that back

00:18:36.960 i might make a dent you never know and if it does um then jake tapper and cnn gave you some really good

00:18:45.980 context and i would applaud them for that that's good that's good work

00:18:50.840 um when will the left realize that every time they say there's no evidence that the election

00:19:02.720 was rigged no evidence meaning no court certified evidence that's large enough to make a difference

00:19:10.880 if they keep saying that how are they gonna you know also keep in their head this the opinion

00:19:20.180 that there's no evidence that trump knew he lost but they're sure it's true there's no evidence he

00:19:28.140 knew he lost in fact the evidence is the opposite but they believe it's true so

00:19:34.420 why is it that in one case you believe if there's no evidence of the thing it's definitely not true

00:19:41.480 and in the other case there's no evidence of thing so it definitely is true so you got to pick one

00:19:48.760 if there's no evidence of thing it would be more i think if there's no evidence of thing it would

00:19:54.980 be more accurate to say you don't know if it's true or false there's no evidence uh i don't know

00:20:01.780 you'd think that consistency would haunt them but it's not being pointed out wouldn't you like to see

00:20:08.040 some journalist um say you know was the vote rigged and then of course the democrat would say no

00:20:15.100 there's no evidence of that whatsoever and then they asked this direct question the january 6th

00:20:20.080 thing depends totally on trump knowing he lost that's that's the central claim what would be the

00:20:26.400 evidence that he knew he lost you know what they'll say when he called rafsenberger he said to find me

00:20:33.040 votes and then you say okay but what would be the evidence that find means what you say it means

00:20:42.180 instead of its normal definition of the word in the context of an audit meaning that you audit to

00:20:48.360 find things and then they would just change the subject or get mad their entire argument is not just a

00:20:57.400 different priority it's actually illogical and that's not terribly common i mean you see it enough but

00:21:05.800 usually when there's uh let's take for example abortion i think the difference in agreement the

00:21:13.440 difference in opinion of abortion is an honest difference what do you think i think mostly you

00:21:20.480 know there could be exceptions but i think for the average person their opinion on abortion no matter

00:21:24.840 which way it goes to me that feels like an honest opinion and also it does not suffer from a logic problem

00:21:31.540 for most people it's really just a feeling a preference you know different priorities maybe

00:21:38.040 different source of assumptions maybe the bible for example so that one i call that an honest debate

00:21:44.380 would anybody agree with me then no matter what you think of it it's at least it's an honest debate

00:21:50.720 would you can i can i get a yes on that okay yeah that's an honest debate that's the kind of we

00:21:56.680 should be having and by the way can you think of anything healthier for a civilization than to have

00:22:04.920 a pitched serious serious argument over protecting everything that looks like a human life that's

00:22:14.840 exactly what we should be having our biggest fights about we we shouldn't be agreeing on that

00:22:19.740 if if you want a place to have disagreement in the most productive way that's that's the place to put

00:22:25.500 it it is it's insanely healthy that half you know half the country or whatever the percentage is

00:22:32.580 is fighting like you know animals to protect what they think is a human life now others have

00:22:42.120 different opinions of what's a human life etc but i can't think of anything healthier than this

00:22:46.920 this is a really really healthy and honest debate it's healthy and it's honest but this january

00:22:55.120 six stuff is none of that it's not healthy and it's not honest it's not even logical and the fact

00:23:00.860 that they would present us with this is offensive frankly it's offensive that we're being asked to

00:23:07.460 accept something that's just not an honest debate at all now there's some news that trump tried to call

00:23:15.360 uh a witness uh a witness for the january six hearings i didn't really see the story i was looking for it but

00:23:22.520 it dropped down to the headlines who did he call and he didn't get a hold of him right

00:23:27.440 and then i saw uh liz cheney you know talking about it like it was the worst thing in the world 0.99

00:23:34.600 and he was trying to uh uh you know bias the witness or something and here's my question i'm not

00:23:43.340 i'm no legal expert but can you can you prevent a human american from having a conversation with

00:23:54.340 another one under this situation is it illegal to contact somebody and just communicate so somebody

00:24:03.880 says yes now would it matter what you communicated suppose you said happy birthday would that be illegal

00:24:12.340 now whether or not that is illegal or not um i'm gonna i'm gonna make a point after another point

00:24:25.120 so my question is is it illegal for for any american to have a communication and contact another american

00:24:34.040 under this situation under this situation that there's some hearings and one of them is witnessed and

00:24:39.340 one of them is accused i don't want to live in a country where you can't talk to anybody you want

00:24:44.900 so i have a problem with this if it's a law but i don't know if it's a law

00:24:49.660 uh liz cheney seems to think it needs to be referred and it's bad but a related story is there was a

00:24:56.760 list of republicans who met with trump to talk about what were the options for um delaying the

00:25:05.140 certification and getting an audit and the way it's being presented is that the people who attended

00:25:10.420 that meeting are demonized for attending the meeting so in other words if you started the narrative that

00:25:17.960 the entire operation was you know vile and terrible then anybody who had a meeting with somebody who was

00:25:25.480 in a vile and terrible situation gets stained by that vile and terrible situation so the idea is that we should

00:25:32.680 you know uh heap scorn and whatever on the people who had a meeting with trump about the most important

00:25:39.820 question of the time which is is there a path to delay the certification and find out if the vote was

00:25:46.660 real now why are these people being castigated or uh penalized for simply going to a meeting to discuss

00:25:57.740 if something is legal and appropriate and good for the country why why is that why are we giving him a

00:26:04.400 hard time all right and specifically so trump is not allowed to talk to somebody under the specific

00:26:12.160 situation that person might be a witness because he might influence a witness but also it's bad to have

00:26:20.240 a meeting with trump because then all the people at a meeting with him are you know they they acquire all

00:26:26.520 the bad reputation or whatever from trump who is accused of something based entirely upon reading his

00:26:33.000 mind now when i see these two stories and i and i think of all the people who get in trouble for like

00:26:40.280 taking a photograph next to somebody bad didn't elon musk just say you know somebody uh who was it

00:26:49.340 epstein's girlfriend there what's her name uh g g what's her name giselle gislaine gillaine uh so he

00:27:01.260 had a picture with somebody who then went to jail for you know grooming or whatever the hell she went to 1.00

00:27:05.500 jail for and you know he and he just said i take pictures with lots of people and i feel like i have

00:27:13.020 to periodically assert this which i did by a tweet today so here's why i tweeted i said tell me who

00:27:20.380 you think is the worst person in the world and i'll take a selfie with that person smiling why because

00:27:28.780 fuck you that's why yeah tell me who's the worst person you hate that is vile should be in jail i'll 0.99

00:27:39.020 take a i'll take a selfie with that person because fuck you because you're not going to limit who i 0.99

00:27:45.740 can talk to or who i can stand next to i will take a picture with anybody i want i will shake hands with

00:27:54.860 anybody i want i will meet with any person i want i will tweet to any person i want i will follow on

00:28:03.580 social media any fucking person i want for any fucking reason and if you think that's a problem 0.98

00:28:09.900 fuck you because i still live in a free enough country that i assert my my freedom to associate

00:28:17.180 that includes communicating with any fucking person i want for any reason 0.97

00:28:23.100 fuck you that's the whole conversation is fuck you because as soon as you say but but but but no 0.97

00:28:30.380 fuck you that's that's there's no other no other conversation you can't be with that person no 0.97

00:28:40.300 fuck you fuck you um did you know here's a good uh twitter account to follow if you 0.98

00:28:50.700 if you're leaning right i think would be the way to say that uh look for account called dr interracial

00:28:56.140 just search for dr dr dot interracial uh it's i think i believe it's an interracial couple who

00:29:04.220 do some tweeting together and he points out that uh three years ago today kamal harris explicitly

00:29:11.980 agreed with the claim that trump didn't really win in 2016 and that he was an illegitimate president

00:29:18.220 three years ago today while the january 6 hearings are underway three years ago today kamala harris was 1.00

00:29:28.540 uh committing this crime of you know creating an insurrection or trying to trying to uh you know

00:29:36.940 stir up an insurrection by calling the current president illegitimate claiming that it was it was rigged

00:29:41.660 270 270 217 people were arrested on trump's inauguration day did you know that there was so much rioting on trump's

00:29:51.820 inauguration day and claims that he was an illegitimate president that 270 people got arrested on his

00:29:57.500 inauguration day well that feels like a violent insurrection to me

00:30:02.620 and it's just shocking that uh the mainstream news would just sort of ignore that this happened

00:30:11.980 no that didn't happen now i tweeted today that somebody's going to make a billion dollars

00:30:18.700 by creating the news context site where every news item will then be linked to the proper context

00:30:26.540 so wouldn't you like to know when trump is being blamed of you know questioning the election wouldn't

00:30:32.380 you like to know that the people who are accusing him did the precise same thing not approximately so

00:30:41.020 here's the thing it's not it's not like an analogy it's not approximate it's the same thing it's the same

00:30:49.100 it's exactly the same and and the the left can only keep their you know their bullshit illusion

00:30:55.020 of the insurrection alive by completely ignoring that it ever happened and hoping that the public

00:30:59.980 doesn't remember i didn't remember did any of you remember how many of you remember that the that

00:31:07.260 trump's inauguration was you know pretty yeah some of you do i didn't remember j6 on the roof yeah

00:31:17.500 um here's another good account to follow barry rittoltz so just search for him on twitter and

00:31:27.340 barry and i have had uh let's say a number of disagreements uh publicly on twitter about a variety

00:31:34.540 of things but he's a high value account meaning that his tweets are always good context and stuff so

00:31:40.860 even if you don't feel like you agree with them all the time here would be somebody to follow that uh

00:31:46.780 i can certify as a reasonable open-minded high value account it just doesn't lean in your direction

00:31:53.900 so just be warned just be warned but here's something that barry tells us uh that uh he's

00:32:00.220 tweeting some data apparently commodity prices fell pretty fast and that would be a good indication

00:32:07.900 that we're past the worst of the inflation now inflation went up a little because uh energy prices

00:32:14.780 still high but it's starting to look as though and and here's a weird one wheat prices went down

00:32:22.940 did you see that coming and forbes has an article that says maybe this ukraine

00:32:27.900 wheat thing isn't such a big deal after all right so uh but it could be that there's a lag before the

00:32:35.260 wheat thing becomes a problem so we'll wait but there are indications that if we could get the energy

00:32:40.540 costs under control which weirdly are the easiest thing to control am i wrong about that well maybe

00:32:47.580 maybe you say it's the hardest but i would argue it might be the easiest are we down to

00:32:53.180 if we could make a big dent in energy costs we'd be in good shape because the other commodities seem to

00:32:59.260 be falling i mean it's not that's not the complete picture but it would would help isn't energy the

00:33:05.580 one thing you can you can sort of pull the lever if you want to but we don't want to right because

00:33:11.740 climate change blah blah so it feels like we now have control of the problem which is the first step

00:33:20.380 so the first step is you know you got a problem what do you do what do you do what do you do and the

00:33:25.020 first step is to get control of it i feel like we just got control of it now what we do with it is

00:33:31.420 a separate question and we can easily fuck it up but i feel like we have control of it in the in the

00:33:37.500 of inflation in the in the singular sense the energy is such a big component and we could drill more we

00:33:44.940 could stop some regulation immediately make a difference it wouldn't in expectations drive prices and

00:33:54.860 you know because of expectations

00:34:01.740 so inflation might not be the worst thing in the world

00:34:06.300 uh max boot

00:34:09.660 had an interesting article which i recommend it sounds funny coming out of my mouth because he's one of the

00:34:16.540 people on the left that um is let's say so in the bag for democrats that a lot of what he says

00:34:24.140 strikes us funny because it's it's just so obviously propaganda uh but he's got an article here and

00:34:31.180 again if you take out the propaganda part and just take the information part is really useful

00:34:36.380 so apparently ukraine has nine of what are these uh high mar systems h-a it's capitalized it's an acronym for

00:34:45.260 something h-i-m-a-r-s and i guess they fire rockets so accurately over long distances and so these are 0.91

00:34:54.460 what is being used to knock out the russian uh ammo depots but there are only nine of them so those nine

00:35:02.540 are actually making a big dent because the news shows you know depot after depot blowing up and if the ammo

00:35:09.500 gets wiped out sufficiently because russia doesn't have a good um logistics and supply chain so it's

00:35:16.220 a little easier to knock out their supply chain than it would say an american supply chain because

00:35:20.860 it's more sophisticated but theirs is pretty simple it's got to run on a train so their mo has to go on 0.73

00:35:27.660 a train it has to be unloaded by hand and then stored in a big place near the train tracks because

00:35:35.020 you don't want to move it too far right it's hard to move until the local units need it and then trucks

00:35:40.380 take it to them so we only have nine of those and already the news is reporting

00:35:47.900 that i wouldn't say it's changed the direction of the war but it's a little closer to a stalemate than

00:35:53.980 it was before a little closer and there is some thinking by people who know how to do this stuff

00:36:01.340 that if we gave them a 60 instead of nine they would literally win the war outright

00:36:10.300 now i don't believe that at all but it's an interesting thought it's an interesting thought

00:36:15.820 yeah let me not pretend to have any military expertise i don't think it's as simple as we need

00:36:21.900 more of these no matter how awesome and accurate they are because you would assume that russia would 0.55

00:36:27.180 change their tactics right they would adjust that's the part that's always missing if russia

00:36:33.180 didn't change its tactics there is a theoretical number of these missiles that would destroy all

00:36:39.340 of their ammo right now now that's true right if russia just kept doing the same thing they're doing

00:36:46.940 bring it in by train unload it by hand so everybody can see where it's going because that can't be fast

00:36:53.340 right we've got eyes above all their trains i'm sure we can see everything and and we know exactly

00:36:58.540 where their depot is and then it blows up don't you agree with the the simple analysis

00:37:05.420 that if you had more of these and people were trained to use them the training and training and

00:37:10.540 getting there and it's a big deal like it's not easy so let me back up it would be really really

00:37:17.740 hard to get 60 of these over there right that's no easy thing but we've done hard things before

00:37:25.180 like america does know how to do a hard thing right especially the military if you said to the military

00:37:32.140 all right this is really hard we don't know how to do it but you got to do it they might figure out how

00:37:38.220 to do it um but don't you think that russia would just have to go to tactical nukes or threaten

00:37:45.900 tactical nukes or use more hypersonic missiles to scare the end of us or or uh you know open up

00:37:52.780 another front somewhere or attack again from the north they would just change their tactics wouldn't

00:37:57.900 they am i wrong um but then i guess let me debate myself by backing up suppose they changed their

00:38:07.980 tactics and then ukraine instead of having 60 of these got 200 of them probably this is all

00:38:15.740 impossible i don't think we could deliver 200 but is there a theoretical number of these things

00:38:22.460 that literally just stops russia and that's it

00:38:27.740 because there almost might be you know i don't i don't if i had to bet i would bet against it

00:38:34.220 in other words i would bet that if they had 60 of these it wouldn't stop the war

00:38:38.140 and they wouldn't win the war does anybody think they would um but there might be a theoretical number

00:38:47.500 that would do just that what if you had 200 of them what if you had a thousand i don't know i mean

00:38:53.180 these are all impossible numbers we couldn't make them and deliver them but uh you do wonder you do

00:39:00.060 wonder if there's a path out and we're pretty good at figuring out paths out maybe this is one i don't

00:39:07.340 know i would bet against it but it's worth it's worth a thought

00:39:13.580 all right

00:39:16.060 and today uncharacteristically we have flown through the uh prepared material

00:39:23.340 and now i'm looking for you to uh oh yeah seven elevens closing stores in la because of so many

00:39:30.860 robberies starbucks is closing stores too same reason right so retail doesn't really work anymore

00:39:37.100 does it now here's what i think doesn't work cities in my opinion cities need to be abandoned

00:39:46.060 or transformed into some other thing i think cities need to be largely abandoned because

00:39:55.020 we now have much better ways to live there was a time when living in the city made sense

00:40:00.380 because you needed to be in one place to get stuff done it made a lot of sense but i don't think it

00:40:05.260 makes sense anymore and i think that cities have such legacy baggage that you couldn't really turn

00:40:10.940 them into green cities you couldn't like just remodel them it would just be so expensive but if you go

00:40:17.900 out in the field i say this all the time if you here here's the house of the future let me let me

00:40:23.180 describe some specs of the house of the future you know there's this little edu thing where

00:40:28.460 a number of companies now startups mostly are doing these little homes that you can deliver on a truck

00:40:34.380 and there's one boxable that actually unfolds into a tiny home

00:40:37.980 now those are not the solution here's what i think is going to be the solution

00:40:44.380 a home you can build yourself with nothing but a hammer and a pickup truck

00:40:51.420 maybe one other person to hold things but that's where it's got to go and do you think it's doable

00:40:58.780 here's the specification there should be no cutting no nailing and no liquid anything in other words no

00:41:07.580 concrete because you have to add a liquid to it no caulk because you have to add it's wet it has to dry

00:41:13.980 no paint because it has to dry could you build a house could you design a house where there's no

00:41:20.140 cutting they'd know they'd have to be the same right so that they'd have to be built so they're just

00:41:24.780 x number of models no cutting nothing ever is cut nothing's nailed nothing's glued uh caulked

00:41:34.220 concreted you know there's no leveler materials or anything do you think you could build do you

00:41:40.300 think you could design a house like that there's somebody with a pickup truck could go to you know

00:41:46.220 home depot and say all right it's your first day so you're going to start with uh uh what do you call

00:41:53.340 them the pillars that hold up your house what's that called what's the name for that they like if you

00:42:00.060 didn't have a not a footing pylons yeah so the first the first thing is pylons now what would be

00:42:07.900 the hardest thing about pylons getting them the same height right that would be the hardest part

00:42:16.140 so suppose the pylons were self uh adjusting you know you could just crank them and you can move them

00:42:23.180 up a little bit you know maybe just a few inches but so you get them you dig a hole put in your pylons

00:42:29.420 you adjust them then you go back to the uh home depot and say what's next and they say

00:42:35.740 floor and you just get a bunch of square parts that you snap together and those become your floors

00:42:44.940 so i don't think it should be beams and wood and and stuff it should be a component you can put on

00:42:51.020 your pickup truck so everything's about the size of a pickup truck bed so when you you want to do the

00:42:57.820 walls the walls the walls are you know blocks that are exactly the right square that when you put them

00:43:04.940 on they end perfectly at the edge of the wall and then there's your house now do you believe that you

00:43:13.020 could not design a house that i described with here are the specifications again no no nailing no no

00:43:20.700 sawing or sawing or cutting everything's got to be the size when it arrives uh no wet stuff caulk paint

00:43:27.340 concrete floor levels could you do it

00:43:33.260 what do you think i see a no no it wouldn't be like a regular house

00:43:39.900 uh the plumbing you wouldn't be able to get away is there anything wet with the plumbing i think if

00:43:50.140 you made the plumbing the standard it wouldn't be hard but you probably still need a plumber to check

00:43:54.700 it before you go live right how hard would it do be to do plumbing if every house were designed the same

00:44:01.740 and uh you never had to change the size of a pipe all the pipes are just the right size all you do is

00:44:09.580 say oh this this one is labeled uh 23 and this one is 22 i'll just screw 23 onto 22 boom

00:44:21.420 but you wouldn't want to live there yeah pex exactly pex is a sort of a bendable technology where you don't

00:44:29.020 need uh just it's much easier to plumb your house with pex p-e-x true uh no one wants houses all the

00:44:39.260 same let me address that would your houses have to be all the same the answer is no there wouldn't be

00:44:46.140 one model for everybody there would be one best model for each application yeah so what i mean by

00:44:54.780 application i mean you know you'd have a different design for different climates you'd have a

00:44:59.980 different design for the number of people living there you know a single person thing would be

00:45:04.460 totally different than multiple people you would have uh maybe a deluxe a deluxe model for people who

00:45:11.500 could afford it and a more basic model but each of these would would have the same quality that it's a

00:45:16.700 kit and uh hvac i think you could you could make the components small enough that you could put them

00:45:24.940 on a pickup truck and just combine them

00:45:32.940 jerome thinks that i've invested in one of these startups and i'm pumping it what do you think does

00:45:39.980 anybody think that i've secretly invested in one of these startups and i'm pumping it now

00:45:45.260 you don't think i would tell you the name of the company if i had no no if i were trying to promote

00:45:54.460 a specific company i'm pretty sure i would have mentioned it

00:46:00.220 of course i would have no i don't have in fact uh i'm thinking of investing but i would rather invest

00:46:07.660 in the if there was a way to have like a fund or something of uh like an index fund i don't want to

00:46:14.140 pick a winner because i don't think i could just put money in boxable or something like that and pick

00:46:18.940 a winner um i'm i'm at the age where picking an individual winner is bad investing yeah i'm all

00:46:27.100 about the diversification now everybody who said all right let me let me um go further so i said there

00:46:33.740 would be no paint but that doesn't mean they're all the same color or even the same design because

00:46:40.300 you could imagine whatever is on the the walls would be your choice of let's say color so if you

00:46:47.740 want blue walls you go to home depot and say uh give me the blue squares you just put them up and then

00:46:54.700 when you're tired of your blue wall you take them down and just put up another wall so you could have a

00:47:03.420 infinite variety but in each case the home would be designed for the best livability within that

00:47:10.940 application you know a two person home three person home three person with a garage three person with

00:47:16.540 a home office so you get that like is it one of the applications would be home office another one would

00:47:23.820 be two home offices another would be a business like hair stylist or something like that within it

00:47:30.380 so all of them would be a kit and then here's the here's the other important part you would not be

00:47:36.300 limited to the first box you know whatever the first home you you build is you could buy additional

00:47:42.460 rooms and they would have a technology to connect them seamlessly right some kind of hallway connector 0.77

00:47:48.780 or something so if you decide if you had enough land you start with your basic house for one person you

00:47:53.980 get married you add another room you have a kid you add a bedroom but they're all kits and you're just

00:47:59.740 building until you've got what you want

00:48:04.300 right

00:48:07.100 yeah yeah i i think all of you who are saying it would remove you know sort of the creativity

00:48:12.700 and stuff you're on totally the wrong page on this most people just need affordability

00:48:19.100 take a look at the cars on the highway

00:48:22.620 just just go out and take a look at the cars then ask yourself how many of those cars look

00:48:26.380 awesome and you'd like to own them almost none right am i right if you went in the street let's

00:48:33.500 say you already have a car you like you say all right all these cars all this traffic how many of those

00:48:38.940 are so awesome i got to have one of those cars and you would say hardly any five percent maybe and

00:48:46.140 but do you think that the the car industry is completely broken because all the cars are boring

00:48:53.580 because you're saying that about these homes you're saying oh i don't want these communist homes all

00:48:58.380 alike look at your fucking car i'll bet you bought a pontiac white 0.97

00:49:05.180 so different than somebody who had a ford torus white completely different you're showing your

00:49:15.660 creativity there the the fact is that people who can buy um buy a different product you know more

00:49:24.220 expensive more unique they still will there's nothing in what i said that would prevent somebody with

00:49:29.580 money and time from having anything they want i'm just saying that people who don't have money and

00:49:35.340 don't have time they need an option too a little white generic car a a pre-built perfectly designed

00:49:45.900 little house so stop acting like your preferences have anything to do with the market your preferences are

00:49:53.100 irrelevant if there are other people and plenty of them that will buy that product

00:49:59.580 floating homes with balloons apparently there's going to be a floating hotel or restaurant there's

00:50:07.180 one design i don't know if it'll happen there's one design for a uh what would you call a hydrogen is

00:50:13.100 a hydrogen still um like a giant hindenburg what could go wrong uh the giant hindenburg kind of thing

00:50:21.180 that will be so large just enormously large that it would have like a hotel in it would you stay at a

00:50:28.380 hotel that was floating in there helium is a helium

00:50:35.500 i don't know it feels like the ultimate terrorist target doesn't it because you just pop that thing

00:50:41.340 and you get the whole whole hotel i don't know i'd be a little worried about it i suppose it'd be

00:50:47.260 hard for anybody to reach it from the ground though if you're unless you're really dedicated

00:50:50.940 it's totally bs somebody says i think that's most likely true it's it it's it's probably unlikely in

00:50:59.260 the short term in the long term though i think it's guaranteed in the long term i would say floating

00:51:07.180 facilities that are just permanently floating probably more like guaranteed because one thing

00:51:12.460 you could do is make sure that you know all of the is a helium uh that all the helium is in uh

00:51:19.740 compartmentalized things it's not one big balloon it's really a a thousand little balloons captured in

00:51:27.340 a larger balloon right so then if if a missile goes through it it gets the ones it gets but the rest of

00:51:33.580 them you know can keep it up a little bit something like that your papa flew airships in world war ii wow

00:51:42.460 drone attacks yeah drones could still get them but they might not take it all down

00:51:50.380 um how do you and others know exactly what russia believes would be a win for russia

00:51:55.900 um well i don't think i'm the person to question about that so i was asked on the locals platform

00:52:02.220 um how do we know what putin um you know would consider a win and that's my point of view my

00:52:11.260 point of view is we don't know what am i smoking today that's actually a good question what am i

00:52:17.980 smoking today let me give you a little cautionary tale so the answer is nothing yet so at the at the

00:52:25.340 moment i'm not under any influence but i did discover and i've did i've had the same discovery

00:52:30.940 now maybe five times in my life and i'm having trouble learning the lesson and have you ever

00:52:38.140 noticed it's really hard to know why you feel something let me give you an analogy and it'll

00:52:42.460 little back into it have you ever had the situation where you're hungry and you're really mad and

00:52:46.940 irrational as soon as you eat you're better right or or you have a good night's sleep and suddenly

00:52:52.460 you're okay when you wake up so you've all had that but isn't it weird that the illusion is

00:52:57.180 that it's not because you're tired and the illusion is it's not because you're hungry the illusion is

00:53:03.180 you're just mad at the thing right and no matter how many times you get hungry and mad or no matter how

00:53:09.260 many times you're sleepy and tired mad you still don't connect the dots do you have that problem

00:53:16.300 it's not just me right like no matter how many times it happens to you other people can see it

00:53:23.180 right like if i see somebody who didn't sleep last night and i know they didn't get any sleep and

00:53:28.060 they're also like cranky well i can see it to me it's obvious oh we didn't get enough sleep you're

00:53:33.420 cranky but they can't see it because when you're in it you're sure it's the what the person said it's

00:53:38.620 it's because the person is late they broke the promise you're you're you're all mad about that

00:53:43.420 so here's the back to the uh the weed question about five times i've been enjoying uh sativa which

00:53:55.500 is the the one that keeps you awake keeps you energized and i would notice that my uh let's say

00:54:02.540 anger or tension i don't know i'm not sure what words to put on it but uh were through the roof

00:54:09.740 like i'd be cursing at things that didn't deserve it and you know kicking things that didn't need to

00:54:16.780 get kicked not people or dogs but you know things and and it takes me the longest time to connect the

00:54:24.220 dots and yesterday i connected the dots because sometimes there's some things in your life yeah

00:54:30.140 prednisone is the same problem sometimes there's things in your life that you know elevate your energy

00:54:35.180 and then i do the sativa on top of that and i'm elevating a negative energy right so i i was

00:54:43.020 generating a whole bunch of negative energy just you know because of some things temporary things

00:54:49.020 nothing to worry about and because i generated an internal you know organic anger and then on top

00:54:55.500 of it i put on something that increased my energy do not increase your energy when you're angry

00:55:01.500 angry don't do it it just makes you angrier so yesterday i thought to myself it's like duh five

00:55:10.860 times in a row when i when i switched from the sativa to the indica i was immediately better immediately

00:55:18.940 changed everything and so yesterday last night i said huh could this be the fifth time in a row

00:55:26.940 or six time in a row that i'm discovering the same freaking thing yes immediately changed to indica

00:55:35.260 took the edge off of my natural you know my organic you know disturbance and put me in a perfect place

00:55:44.300 so here's the here's the uh pro tip if you're anxious and you've got anxiety and you're angry about

00:55:51.900 something don't do sativa because that will add energy to a negative thing if you want to get rid

00:56:00.220 of a negative thing all that feelings take the one that decreases the energy and it decreases all of your

00:56:07.260 energy including your anger just it just takes everything down a notch if you reverse those and

00:56:14.540 you're you're in a sleepy mood and you do indica you're just dead for the day all right but if you

00:56:22.380 do them in the right order they're they're just lifesavers so one of the reasons that i never recommend

00:56:29.020 marijuana to anyone else is that i'm not a doctor and number two well that's the end of the state that's

00:56:34.860 that's the end of the statement but i'll add something anyway you see the complexity of this

00:56:39.660 the the experience that i have would not be like yours at all because i'm a you know pretty much

00:56:46.940 adult lifetime chronic user the experience that i have would not at all be like yours if you just

00:56:54.060 started not at all i wouldn't even have anything that i don't probably couldn't even give you any

00:56:58.940 advice or anything um so how long you've been doing it how it affects you personally whether it's indica

00:57:07.420 whether it's sativa whether you're doing them in in the right you know head frame and etc those are

00:57:13.900 all complications which mean that you could smoke marijuana and ruin your life or save your life

00:57:23.580 it does both now there are a lot of things that do that right it's not the only thing that does that

00:57:28.700 you know a gun a gun can save your life and it can get you killed marijuana is like that so the

00:57:36.540 last thing that you want to do is be a non-doctor and recommend it i absolutely do not recommend it

00:57:44.860 i'm just telling you my experience but the thing you should get out of it is that my experience is

00:57:49.820 really unique and i've really thought it through and i still can't navigate it i mean this example i i'm

00:57:57.180 as experienced as you can get in this topic and i did it wrong for like days several days in a row row i

00:58:05.020 did it wrong uh somebody's asking about edibles let me give you a pro tip don't do edibles here's why

00:58:16.380 every case i've ever heard of of somebody having a bad experience with marijuana was edibles it's

00:58:23.180 always the same thing i ate the brownie and i didn't feel anything and half an hour went by so

00:58:29.500 i guess i'd better have four more brownies and you're done because people don't realize that smoke

00:58:37.580 hits you almost instantly and food takes you know could take an hour to settle in so you're going to be

00:58:43.580 so high with that fourth brownie you know because i don't think anybody bakes brownies where you need 0.89

00:58:49.180 four they break they bake brownies so you kind of need one right one's going to get it done but it's not

00:58:57.100 a it's not a good head head high it's not anything yeah i i would say i've never seen any useful

00:59:05.260 practical reason for an edible unless you're hooked on marijuana it's a long flight and you don't want to

00:59:13.020 get caught smuggling anything i suppose all right start with a quarter of a brownie no that doesn't

00:59:21.020 work either that doesn't work either yeah you know no matter what you do with edibles it doesn't work

00:59:27.820 right now i'm sure you'll you're going to hear from somebody who says oh edibles are awesome i like

00:59:33.020 them i i just don't hear anything but bad news about them nothing but bad news uh oh there's a story

00:59:40.940 about a kentucky woman who od'd on fentanyl because she picked up a dollar bill on the street

00:59:46.460 and there was some on it and just touching it killed her do it and i was asked do i believe that

00:59:51.820 story is real no no no i do not believe that storage could be by the way it's yeah it's realable

01:00:02.380 i just made up a word it's realable meaning that could be i mean there's nothing that eliminates it

01:00:08.540 you know in terms of science or anything like that but it seems it's like too on the nose right

01:00:15.260 yeah it's plausible okay sure they already had a word for it i didn't have to invent a word realable

01:00:20.700 it's plausible damn you damn your eyes there was a word for that um plumbing is easy somebody says okay 0.84

01:00:32.300 uh no more smoking of anything

01:00:41.100 yeah i wouldn't oh vaping ugh vaping is just nasty but here's the analogy uh have you ever done like

01:00:48.700 an energy drink like a monster energy drink and you feel like you feel like you're getting something a

01:00:55.420 little too keroseney and chemicals you don't you know you're not having like a natural product right

01:01:02.460 and then compare that to like a really good cup of coffee you know similar kind of you know energy

01:01:09.340 increase but doesn't the coffee feel like it's organic because it is mostly uh and so vapes are like that

01:01:18.780 when i when i vape i just feel the chemicals and it doesn't feel uh it just feels like i'm i don't

01:01:29.420 poisoning myself or something and it doesn't give you a good high so it doesn't do anything for you but it

01:01:35.660 could relax you you know if if you like sex it's good for that if you don't have any anything else going on

01:01:41.580 um but now you might detect that there's a gigantic hole in my reasoning i'm surprised nobody said it

01:01:52.700 yet i smoke i mean i smoke the weed i don't smoke tobacco but are you going to say to yourself uh that

01:02:01.660 can be any worse than putting smoke in your lungs and you would think so right you would you would think

01:02:08.460 so but uh as far as i know the people who are chronic marijuana smokers have exactly the same

01:02:15.260 life expectancy of people who don't do it at all um so i don't know if that's ruining my lungs i don't

01:02:23.180 think it's affecting my life expectancy i usually use a bong yeah 0.77

01:02:29.260 um 60 years in solid lungs except that i do that all the time all right that's all for now and uh

01:02:43.740 gummies for chemists or chemo relief that probably is a good application

01:02:47.180 doctors say smoky weed is bad for your lungs they do say that yeah so here's here's another reason

01:02:57.980 why i don't recommend marijuana doctors say it's bad for your lungs studies say it isn't doctors say it

01:03:05.820 is who's right in this case i'm not sure i would trust the studies but i also don't trust the doctor

01:03:13.500 all right and that's all for now i'll talk to you all tomorrow

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 13, 2022

Episode 1803 Scott Adams： Words That Don't Have Meaning Anymore, So We Can Stop Debating Them

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