Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 26, 2022


Episode 1816 Scott Adams: The January 6 HOAX Has Now Been Totally Debunked. What Now?


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 1 minute

Words per Minute

144.74565

Word Count

8,942

Sentence Count

715

Misogynist Sentences

11

Hate Speech Sentences

20


Summary

Sen. Tom Cotton is getting heat from Liz Cheney, and Joe Biden is not running for re-election, which leads me to wonder if maybe Joe Biden lies too. Also, autonomous killer drones might be a good idea in war, but not if they kill innocent people.


Transcript

00:00:00.120 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to what I think will be a highlight of civilization
00:00:05.920 and certainly your life, no matter how exciting it is.
00:00:09.920 It's about to take it up a level.
00:00:12.220 And if you'd like to join me in this experience, raising your awareness, raising your metabolism,
00:00:19.600 really making everything better, all you need is a cupper mug or a glass of tank or gel
00:00:24.040 just dying, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind,
00:00:28.080 filling with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.
00:00:32.180 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine today that makes everything better.
00:00:37.420 Watch this. Go.
00:00:43.820 That was somewhere between a sip and a gulp.
00:00:46.800 It was more of a soap.
00:00:50.800 And that's how words are created by writers.
00:00:55.260 Yeah, I just created a word. It's a soap.
00:00:59.080 Well, what's happening in the news that will entertain us and delight us?
00:01:03.340 Oh, let's see.
00:01:05.100 Autonomous killer drone robots.
00:01:08.300 Uh-oh.
00:01:09.980 So the United Nations is trying to get together to decide
00:01:14.040 if autonomous murderous drones should be legal in war.
00:01:19.760 Because, you know, there's one thing you don't want to happen in war.
00:01:25.280 It's killing people.
00:01:27.280 So if you can make it safer to go to war,
00:01:30.820 seems like a good idea to me.
00:01:32.720 I'd love a good war with no casualties.
00:01:36.040 That would be ideal.
00:01:37.940 But do you think it's a good idea or a bad idea to have autonomous murder robots
00:01:43.540 that might go out and autonomously murder people?
00:01:46.940 Because what if they murder the wrong people?
00:01:48.860 Yes, that's never happened in war, has it?
00:01:54.340 Am I missing something?
00:01:56.940 Isn't the alternative to swarms of murderous autonomous drone robots
00:02:01.780 the alternative is just artillery, right?
00:02:05.460 How in the world could you be angry about a tool that's designed to, you know,
00:02:17.000 to be smart about what it hits?
00:02:19.360 Should we use the dumb kind where you just shoot big bombs
00:02:22.340 into clusters of civilization?
00:02:26.140 I feel like we have to compare this to the alternative, don't we?
00:02:31.040 That's always the problem that we have in politics.
00:02:34.460 We look at something as though the alternative is some kind of a perfect situation.
00:02:39.760 Huh.
00:02:40.540 Should we have autonomous killer drones or everybody live in peace?
00:02:46.660 Drones murdering innocent people or everybody live in peace?
00:02:50.840 I think everybody who will live in peace would be a better one.
00:02:55.100 Would you like to debate it?
00:02:56.820 I think everybody living in peace would be way better
00:02:59.580 than autonomous murder drones.
00:03:02.260 But, suppose you compare that to the alternative.
00:03:10.520 Correct me if I'm wrong, but autonomous murder drones are going to kill leadership.
00:03:17.160 Right?
00:03:17.640 Why would you waste your autonomous murder drones that can identify people?
00:03:25.660 Why would you use them to murder civilians?
00:03:28.920 Or even artillery?
00:03:31.440 I guess you'd go after the artillery.
00:03:33.620 But it's kind of a tool to go after leadership, isn't it?
00:03:36.900 I would like more of that, not less.
00:03:41.320 In fact, I would like all of our military hardware to be designed to kill the leaders of the other countries
00:03:47.360 and not kill anybody else.
00:03:49.960 And if they make stuff that only kill our leaders, but don't kill me,
00:03:54.480 well, I'm not going to hate that.
00:03:56.580 Rasmussen has a poll that says one in five voters think it would be good for the Democrats
00:04:06.220 if Biden does not run for re-election.
00:04:11.400 So here's the question which must be asked.
00:04:17.900 So only one in five think Biden, of Democrats, think, no, voters.
00:04:27.280 Actually, so it's voters, not Democrats.
00:04:29.300 So one in five voters, that could be both Republicans and Independents and Democrats,
00:04:34.360 don't think it would be good for Biden to run for re-election?
00:04:41.580 I think that's fair.
00:04:43.460 Now, here's my question to the people who voted for Biden.
00:04:46.080 If you voted for Biden because you didn't want the guy who lies to be in office,
00:04:53.580 how did that work out?
00:04:56.060 Oh, I know, I know.
00:04:57.220 I know what you're going to say.
00:04:58.700 Yeah, yeah, yeah.
00:05:00.680 Sure.
00:05:01.780 Maybe Biden lies, too.
00:05:04.240 And, you know, granted, that was his main reason for wanting to replace Trump.
00:05:09.580 That was his proposition.
00:05:11.220 And sure enough, we just replaced Trump with another gigantic liar.
00:05:15.280 But at least Biden's effective.
00:05:20.160 Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha.
00:05:26.340 Moving on.
00:05:29.500 Tom Cotton is getting some heat from Representative Liz Cheney.
00:05:34.360 I guess Tom Cotton went on a show and said some bad things about the January 6th thing.
00:05:39.040 But it turns out he has not watched much of the live coverage.
00:05:44.580 So Tom Cotton, a sitting senator, can you believe that?
00:05:49.020 That he hasn't spent really much time at all watching an obvious hoax on television?
00:05:56.000 What's wrong with that guy?
00:05:58.240 Well, what the hell is he doing instead of watching a hoax play on television?
00:06:02.100 Is he wasting his time trying to stop fentanyl shipments from the cartels?
00:06:08.420 Oh, yeah, he fucking is.
00:06:10.280 Right.
00:06:10.900 That's what he's fucking doing.
00:06:12.480 He's trying to stop fentanyl shipments into the United States.
00:06:16.060 Trying to stop China from owning the United States.
00:06:20.720 I'm sorry.
00:06:22.180 Did he not spend enough time watching your fucking bullshit brainwashing propaganda hoax?
00:06:28.220 Well, that's what Liz Cheney says.
00:06:31.100 She says, hey, Senator Tom Cotton, heard you on Hugh Hewitt criticizing the January 6th hearings.
00:06:37.700 Then you said the strangest thing.
00:06:39.860 You admitted you hadn't watched any of them.
00:06:42.960 Zing.
00:06:43.980 Zing.
00:06:44.840 I gotcha.
00:06:46.240 I gotcha.
00:06:47.180 You admitted you haven't watched any of my completely useless bullshit propaganda.
00:06:51.280 So what do you say to that?
00:06:52.540 When you're out there wasting your time trying to stop fentanyl shipments to the United States.
00:06:58.220 Is there any news story I can do without making that face?
00:07:05.640 I just realized you can't talk about the news without making that face.
00:07:11.100 Because everybody's just such a fucking idiot right now that you can't even treat it like it's serious.
00:07:19.060 I mean, not really.
00:07:20.000 You can't treat it like it's serious.
00:07:22.500 Seriously.
00:07:24.680 Liz Cheney thinks that Tom Cotton should spend more time watching her hoax?
00:07:29.860 She's already debunked herself.
00:07:32.740 The entire January 6th thing proved there was nothing there.
00:07:35.860 Oh, there was something there.
00:07:37.900 Yeah, let's get to that.
00:07:39.540 Let's see.
00:07:39.900 It started out, number one, that Trump attempted a planned insurrection of the United States.
00:07:44.480 Wow, that's pretty bad.
00:07:46.980 Wow, wow, wow.
00:07:49.340 He planned an insurrection?
00:07:53.200 Okay, loosely planned.
00:07:55.400 Loosely planned.
00:07:56.420 But still, he loosely planned a fucking insurrection of the United States.
00:08:01.100 Okay, well, he didn't loosely plan anything.
00:08:03.560 Turns out nothing was planned.
00:08:05.000 But he encouraged it.
00:08:06.440 He fucking encouraged an insurrection.
00:08:09.060 Okay, he didn't actually encourage it.
00:08:12.560 But he didn't try to stop it.
00:08:14.520 He didn't try to stop it.
00:08:16.800 All right, he did try to stop the violence.
00:08:19.280 But he should have done more.
00:08:20.840 He should have done more.
00:08:27.620 Let me accept this standard for a moment, because I think it's a useful one.
00:08:32.580 I believe the standard of should have done more and should have done it sooner should be the new standard by which we judge all of Congress.
00:08:42.360 Everybody, raise your hand if you agree.
00:08:45.040 Unanimous.
00:08:45.980 Unanimous.
00:08:47.520 And by the way, oh, here's a coincidence.
00:08:51.440 I wrote a book called Loser Think a few years ago.
00:08:54.820 And there's a chapter in it talking about how loser think-ish it is to say that something good should have been done sooner and better.
00:09:04.920 Because you know what else should be done sooner and better?
00:09:09.880 Everything that's good.
00:09:12.920 No exceptions.
00:09:14.880 If it's good, it should have fucking been done sooner and better.
00:09:19.800 Do you know what else should have been done sooner and better?
00:09:26.440 The January 6th hearings.
00:09:29.280 It was a four-hour event that was completely reversed by the second day, the actual January 6th thing.
00:09:36.200 So the attempt in the delay didn't work.
00:09:38.960 Next day, everything was back to normal.
00:09:40.920 It took them a year and a half to put on the hearings.
00:09:43.900 Really?
00:09:44.500 This is the big critical question in the country?
00:09:46.960 And you take a fucking year and a half to put it on television?
00:09:50.620 How about doing your job?
00:09:52.080 How about you should have done a lot more and a lot sooner if you thought this was the most critical issue?
00:09:57.700 If it's not the most critical issue, what the fuck are you spending your time on it for?
00:10:02.380 Maybe you should be helping Tom Cotton stop the fentanyl flow into this country.
00:10:06.600 Instead of wasting your fucking time with a show trial that's obviously political bullshit,
00:10:12.820 except the Democrats that you've gaslighted so thoroughly that they will believe that monkeys can fly out of your fucking ass
00:10:19.820 just because it was on CNN.
00:10:27.220 So let's use that standard.
00:10:30.200 By the way, so remember I told you that reality and parody have merged?
00:10:38.040 The January 6th thing literally devolved into a punchline in my fucking book.
00:10:47.040 That actually happened.
00:10:48.860 It actually devolved to the remaining claim is that he didn't do enough fast enough.
00:10:56.040 It's literally a chapter in my fucking book about how not to be an asshole.
00:11:02.220 And they walk right into the asshole thing.
00:11:04.980 Oh, let's be an asshole and say it should have been sooner and better.
00:11:07.840 Everything should have been sooner and better.
00:11:09.760 Every fucking thing.
00:11:11.140 How's the fentanyl trade going, Liz?
00:11:14.400 How much time did you spend trying to stop deadly fentanyl coming into the country?
00:11:18.780 None.
00:11:19.840 Was it because you were watching your own fucking useless propaganda bullshit?
00:11:24.000 Is that why you didn't do a fucking thing that the American public elected you to do?
00:11:30.560 Well, don't worry.
00:11:31.500 You won't get elected again.
00:11:33.120 You're not going to have to make that decision again.
00:11:38.840 And thank you for guaranteeing Trump's return, which is nothing I wanted at all.
00:11:44.080 Let me say it as clearly as I possibly can.
00:11:46.780 I don't want a president who's too old for the job.
00:11:51.160 Trump is too old for the job.
00:11:52.400 Now, I think he's probably in great shape, blah, blah, blah, individual differences, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
00:11:57.180 Fuck all of that.
00:11:58.160 It's just too old.
00:11:59.180 There's a reason that we have age limits on everything, right?
00:12:03.880 Sure, there is an 18-year-old who's smart enough, or somebody under 18 who's smart enough to vote.
00:12:10.600 Well, not many of them.
00:12:12.460 Not many of them.
00:12:13.460 But now that the January hearings basically have cleared Trump of all wrongdoing and reduced it down to the most ridiculous charge, didn't do enough soon enough during the fog of war.
00:12:29.380 Imagine you're President Trump, and it's January 6th.
00:12:35.900 Imagine the information that was coming in.
00:12:38.780 Most of it wrong, right?
00:12:41.300 Now, I don't know what he heard and what he didn't.
00:12:43.480 But in that situation, is most of the early information you get correct, or is it mostly wrong and unreliable?
00:12:50.920 It's mostly wrong and unreliable.
00:12:55.300 That's what the fog of war refers to.
00:12:57.440 A new, you know, multivariable situation that's popping up, and you don't have direct visibility on it.
00:13:03.100 All he knew is what people told him and what he saw on TV.
00:13:07.240 How reliable are those two sources?
00:13:09.640 What you saw in the news and what people told you.
00:13:14.180 Those are the two most unreliable sources of information you could ever have in the fog of war.
00:13:19.260 So, did he not act soon enough?
00:13:23.380 Not from my point of view.
00:13:27.340 I don't think he acted soon enough.
00:13:29.780 Now, here's the real question.
00:13:31.500 If he put Liz Cheney in that same fog of war, would she have known what to do?
00:13:37.440 I doubt it.
00:13:38.960 Not right away.
00:13:40.360 Because she also would have been in the fog of war, and people would be telling her conflicting things for four hours.
00:13:46.900 Right?
00:13:47.160 Do you think that people were telling Trump one thing?
00:13:50.920 Hey, hey, you better stop this.
00:13:52.940 No.
00:13:53.660 No.
00:13:54.140 You can guarantee that he heard every opinion.
00:13:57.260 And that they were all different.
00:13:58.920 I bet some people said, you know, there's a little bit of violence, but it looks like it'll be controlled.
00:14:05.240 It's more important that the people get to speak.
00:14:07.480 We know it's a messy system.
00:14:08.980 But let the people speak.
00:14:10.160 Let's see how this plays out.
00:14:11.760 You don't think somebody was telling him to see how it played out?
00:14:14.780 Of course there were.
00:14:17.120 Of course there were.
00:14:18.180 Were they right to say, wait, to see how it plays out?
00:14:21.000 I don't know.
00:14:22.280 Did they know if they were right?
00:14:23.860 They couldn't.
00:14:24.820 It was fog of war.
00:14:26.000 Could Trump know who was right?
00:14:27.480 He couldn't.
00:14:28.580 He couldn't.
00:14:29.320 It's not knowable.
00:14:30.660 In the fog of war, you don't have information.
00:14:33.520 So you wait until things clear up.
00:14:36.640 Did he wait too long?
00:14:37.760 In retrospect, yes.
00:14:39.720 But if you'd been in that situation, would you have known to do something faster?
00:14:44.040 Maybe.
00:14:45.400 Maybe.
00:14:46.380 But do you know that?
00:14:47.700 No, you don't know that.
00:14:49.920 You don't know that.
00:14:51.980 Stop acting like you know that if you'd been in his situation, you would have seen the danger,
00:14:59.180 which we didn't learn about for a fucking year and a half, right?
00:15:02.640 I mean, not in its completion.
00:15:03.840 How much do you think he actually knew during that tumultuous period?
00:15:09.440 Not enough.
00:15:10.920 He definitely didn't know enough to know how it would turn out under each scenario.
00:15:15.200 So did he act slowly and not do enough to stop violence?
00:15:19.180 In my opinion, he did not act.
00:15:22.060 In my opinion, he should have done more, and he should have done it sooner.
00:15:25.860 But if you take that to the next level and say that if you were in that situation, you
00:15:31.940 would have known better, that's crazy.
00:15:35.740 There's nothing that suggests that's true.
00:15:41.200 Everything suggests that somebody in that situation would be in a really tough spot for
00:15:46.280 decision-making.
00:15:47.040 Not only would you be in deep cognitive dissonance, theoretically, you know, no matter who you
00:15:55.180 are, take Trump out of the equation.
00:15:57.500 Take any normal brain, put it in the job of president, be sure that you really won, and
00:16:04.760 then be told that you didn't.
00:16:07.260 It's not a small thing.
00:16:09.380 It's a second term for president of the United States.
00:16:12.820 It's for all the marbles.
00:16:14.900 Everything in your life depends on that.
00:16:17.040 If you put any normal brain in that situation, what would be the predictable outcome of that
00:16:24.200 human brain?
00:16:26.240 Cognitive dissonance.
00:16:28.580 Not only would it be predictable, it's damn near guaranteed.
00:16:33.140 Damn near guaranteed.
00:16:34.900 Now, do you notice we never treat mental situations as medical until you need to?
00:16:42.000 Right?
00:16:42.160 We're all willing to act like mental stuff doesn't count as like a medical problem, unless you're
00:16:49.220 really forced into it.
00:16:50.500 But what is cognitive dissonance?
00:16:54.260 Is that a mental disease?
00:16:57.160 It's not, you know, necessarily because it doesn't last.
00:17:00.660 It might not affect your life.
00:17:02.840 But in this situation, there's no reasonable way to assume that he was capable of making
00:17:08.400 good decisions.
00:17:09.200 And you could replace him with anyone, and they would be in the same situation.
00:17:16.820 Anyone who had experienced what Trump experienced would not be able to make good decisions.
00:17:23.940 So, did he make a good decision?
00:17:26.800 I doubt it.
00:17:28.240 Because nobody could.
00:17:29.960 I couldn't.
00:17:30.880 In that situation, I would not be able to make a good decision.
00:17:35.000 So, I mean, we could have gotten lucky, and maybe a good decision was made.
00:17:39.340 But to imagine that skill, or good intentions, or, you know, anything that's happening in
00:17:46.080 your brain would have helped you in that situation, that's a very unsupported assumption.
00:17:51.960 Not only is it unsupported, it's the least likely possibility that you would have done a
00:17:56.420 better job.
00:17:57.880 Right?
00:17:59.560 How many of you think you would have done a better job?
00:18:01.660 In a generic way, here's what I tell myself.
00:18:08.080 Well, at the very least, I would have made a lot more noise about being peaceful.
00:18:12.900 Right?
00:18:15.520 Don't you all tell yourself that?
00:18:17.300 Well, at the very least, I would have really been noisy about being peaceful.
00:18:23.660 But he probably thought he did.
00:18:26.580 If you're the President of the United States, how many times do you have to say it?
00:18:31.660 Right?
00:18:33.040 Everybody's paying attention to Trump.
00:18:35.140 If he tweets, be peaceful, and he says, be peaceful in his speech, those are the two
00:18:40.100 ways he communicated that day.
00:18:42.300 He gave a speech, and he tweeted.
00:18:44.740 And in both of those, he said, be peaceful.
00:18:47.400 Do you think he was thinking he didn't do enough?
00:18:50.280 I think he thought he did enough.
00:18:52.380 I think he was busy.
00:18:54.180 And he was in the fog of war.
00:18:56.040 And when somebody said, did you tell everybody to be peaceful?
00:18:58.960 He probably thought, yeah, I did, twice.
00:19:00.400 Like, what else do we have to talk about?
00:19:03.500 I mean, he had everything going on, and he was in exactly the type of situation where
00:19:09.520 you wouldn't trust anyone to make a decision.
00:19:13.360 Let me say it again.
00:19:14.260 It doesn't matter if it's Biden or Clinton or Trump.
00:19:18.300 It doesn't matter.
00:19:19.000 It doesn't matter the age, the person, the gender, the political party, the race.
00:19:24.920 None of it.
00:19:25.320 What matters is you put any normal brain in that situation where they're positive something
00:19:31.340 sketchy happened that really changed the nature of not only the country, but their life in
00:19:37.300 an irreversible way.
00:19:39.460 Nobody goes through that unscathed.
00:19:42.340 No normal brain can survive that.
00:19:45.560 They gaslit him until it broke his fucking brain.
00:19:49.080 But he got through it.
00:19:53.240 He got through it.
00:19:55.420 Like, he managed to get through that.
00:19:58.940 And he's coming back.
00:20:02.820 Now, if you ask me, would I support Trump for a second run, I say unambiguously no under
00:20:13.660 normal situation.
00:20:15.320 Under a normal situation, no.
00:20:18.140 No.
00:20:18.580 No.
00:20:18.900 The age alone, he's out.
00:20:21.040 I'd like a Tom Cotton maybe, you know, DeSantis maybe.
00:20:25.120 They'd be fine.
00:20:26.300 In fact, I'd be fine with either one of them.
00:20:27.900 I'd even be fine with maybe some, you're going to hate to hear this, I could imagine being
00:20:35.560 fine with a Democrat.
00:20:37.840 Sorry.
00:20:39.880 Sorry.
00:20:41.300 I did support Bill Clinton.
00:20:43.420 I don't know if any of you know that.
00:20:45.660 But I thought he was a pretty good president.
00:20:50.080 That's my opinion.
00:20:54.200 So, here's the thing.
00:20:57.900 Under a normal situation, absolutely, I would not pick Trump as my first choice.
00:21:03.580 But there's nothing normal about this situation.
00:21:06.860 Do you know why I chose him the first time?
00:21:10.180 Because I wanted to break all of this stuff.
00:21:14.580 I wanted him to just put a spear in it.
00:21:17.320 Like, I didn't care what he built.
00:21:18.880 I only wanted him for what he could break.
00:21:21.420 You needed some demolition before you could even talk about construction.
00:21:25.420 I trust the United States and the American people to construct.
00:21:30.260 Do you know what we're good at?
00:21:32.000 We're good at building stuff.
00:21:34.780 Americans are really good at building stuff.
00:21:37.360 If you knock down our building, we'll build that back.
00:21:40.600 Right?
00:21:41.200 You knock down our organization, we'll build it back.
00:21:45.640 We build back.
00:21:46.460 I hate to use Biden's saying, but we do build back better.
00:21:51.380 We actually do that.
00:21:53.000 That part of the saying works perfectly.
00:21:56.420 And the part that we're not good at, what's the part we're not good at as Americans?
00:22:04.180 Breaking the shit we already have.
00:22:06.680 Right?
00:22:06.800 But we do it better than anybody.
00:22:10.560 And if I had to say there's one thing that defines Americans, I mean, you could think of lots of things.
00:22:16.180 But the one thing I like to look at that defines Americans is that we're willing to break our shit to build better shit.
00:22:24.940 Like nobody.
00:22:26.740 Right?
00:22:26.900 Like, we have less investment in the past than any society, I think.
00:22:33.080 I mean, it feels like that.
00:22:34.120 Obviously.
00:22:34.600 Obviously, I'm, you know, jingoistic American kind of point of view.
00:22:39.200 So I'm sure you think your country does that too.
00:22:41.460 But the point is, and there may be lots of countries that are in that situation.
00:22:45.040 But I think sometimes you need demolition.
00:22:49.720 And sometimes you need construction.
00:22:51.800 I'm confident we can always build things.
00:22:54.080 Because I'm not confident we always have the right assets to do the demolition.
00:22:59.780 And when I see this January 6th stuff, and I see, you know, what's happened to us, I feel like we need demolition again.
00:23:08.000 I feel like we need it again.
00:23:09.720 So if Trump could get back and simply destroy all these hoaxes and have a strong vice president,
00:23:17.380 I would support him just to destroy the system.
00:23:24.080 It feels like the response that the country needs.
00:23:28.860 Like the country needs him to just come back and break this stuff again.
00:23:34.480 And I don't even care if he served the whole term.
00:23:37.100 You know, if he got, if he had a good year and broke some stuff and changed some things,
00:23:41.780 and then a vice president took over, that'd be fine for me.
00:23:44.660 Well, so what else we got going on here?
00:23:52.280 Lots of stuff today.
00:23:55.420 Did everybody see my Epstein thread?
00:23:59.860 I don't know why I even tweeted this.
00:24:02.440 I just had this thought, and I thought, well, this will cause some trouble.
00:24:06.060 All right, I'm going to go through the thread, and the argument is this,
00:24:11.420 that the most likely explanation for everything we know about the Epstein situation is that he's still alive.
00:24:19.980 Now, I'm not alleging he's alive.
00:24:22.760 Now, you want to hear this part clearly.
00:24:24.720 I'm not saying he's alive.
00:24:26.960 That's not my allegation.
00:24:28.920 I'm saying if you look at the evidence that is presented to the public,
00:24:33.980 it's as equally likely, actually more likely, than the other alternatives.
00:24:39.360 Here's why.
00:24:41.460 Listen to this argument.
00:24:43.540 I'll read it just the way I tweeted it.
00:24:45.780 It said, remember when you were sure Epstein died?
00:24:48.260 If I were in charge of creating the illusion, I'd make sure you thought past the sale to the question of how he died.
00:24:58.060 Was it suicide?
00:24:59.020 Was he murdered?
00:25:00.140 Suicide or murdered?
00:25:01.440 Because if you can get somebody to think past the sale, they get trapped in a mental loop,
00:25:06.840 and they can't go back and check the question that mattered.
00:25:11.320 How do you know he's dead?
00:25:13.940 Right?
00:25:14.740 How do you know he's dead?
00:25:16.380 Well, how do you know he's dead?
00:25:18.620 Have you ever asked yourself that?
00:25:20.300 What sources do you rely on to know that he's dead?
00:25:24.500 Well, we know that here's what we know.
00:25:29.520 So instead of looking at the things we don't know yet, let's see what we know.
00:25:34.460 We know elaborate hoaxes are a routine part of the top echelon of politics.
00:25:39.260 I didn't know that before.
00:25:41.460 Five years ago, I literally did not know that the government was in the routine business
00:25:47.140 of creating elaborate hoaxes with characters and plots and story arcs.
00:25:51.840 I thought that was too complicated, and there would be too many witnesses.
00:25:57.800 It just didn't seem like it could be done.
00:26:00.060 But then we watched it being done right in front of us.
00:26:02.160 We watched it being done over and over again.
00:26:05.380 You know, I've got 12 things on a list of obvious hoaxes that the public bought in some fashion.
00:26:13.300 So if we know that elaborate hoaxes with, like, characters and players and things are routine,
00:26:21.360 would you buy my first assumption that as of 2022, it could be stated as a fact
00:26:27.500 that complicated multivariable hoaxes are routine?
00:26:34.220 They're not even unusual anymore, right?
00:26:36.420 Would you buy that?
00:26:37.120 Okay, so let's buy that big hoaxes are just a routine now.
00:26:43.960 And we know, for example, that 50 ex-intel professionals were willing to lie about Hunter's laptop.
00:26:50.740 They got 50 people to publicly lie about Hunter's laptop and risk their careers,
00:26:57.640 but of course it didn't matter because we just forget.
00:27:00.400 And what about the same, probably a lot of the same intel professionals were behind the Russia collusion hoax?
00:27:08.240 This is our own intelligence agencies.
00:27:11.820 This isn't the other countries.
00:27:14.180 This is American intelligence agencies were behind, and I don't know how much behind,
00:27:19.540 but certainly supported the Russian collusion hoax if not created it themselves.
00:27:23.780 And those are the things we know about.
00:27:28.400 How many things do we not know about?
00:27:31.200 I mean, think about it.
00:27:31.980 These are the things we know about, and they just happened.
00:27:35.060 These are like recent news.
00:27:37.400 And here's the other assumption.
00:27:40.620 Don't you assume, I think everybody assumes this,
00:27:43.760 that Epstein had a trove of videos for blackmail?
00:27:48.560 Don't you think he had enough blackmail?
00:27:50.540 Well, I mean, even if it were only videos of people on the island, that'd be enough.
00:27:56.760 And where is it?
00:27:58.380 Why is it that you and I have never seen any leaked video from Epstein,
00:28:03.780 never any mention that there might exist that they found?
00:28:08.700 Right?
00:28:09.400 Huh.
00:28:10.440 Interesting.
00:28:11.940 And why is it that we've never seen the list of his clients?
00:28:16.000 I mean, you'd think by now.
00:28:18.080 So what are the possibilities for why?
00:28:20.540 We have not seen what we all assume exists, a trove of blackmail videos.
00:28:26.700 What's the most logical reason we haven't seen them?
00:28:30.240 Could it be because people who are powerful got their hands on all of the copies?
00:28:36.240 How likely is that?
00:28:40.340 If you were a rich person and you had been to his island and you were afraid that he had video,
00:28:46.800 even if you could ask him to give you the video or delete it and you watched him do it,
00:28:52.220 would you believe that the video was missing?
00:28:54.700 If you were the rich person, would you believe that Epstein had gotten rid of all of his copies,
00:29:00.840 even if he told you that?
00:29:02.360 Of course not.
00:29:03.180 You would definitely not believe it.
00:29:05.560 Epstein would be crazy to delete all of his copies.
00:29:08.900 I had a blackmailer myself and, you know, asked the blackmailer to delete some stuff.
00:29:18.040 Didn't.
00:29:19.420 Pretended to delete it.
00:29:20.800 Didn't, of course.
00:29:23.640 Now, in my case, it won't be a problem.
00:29:26.440 But, you know, blackmailers don't delete their material if they don't have to.
00:29:32.380 They just tell you they did, if it's digital.
00:29:35.380 All right.
00:29:37.780 And by the way, nobody had anything on me that I cared about.
00:29:43.740 But they tried.
00:29:45.880 That's the life of famous people.
00:29:47.880 Getting blackmailed.
00:29:50.080 Having stalkers show up.
00:29:51.880 It's like, oh, it's just my normal, like a normal life for me.
00:29:55.660 Being robbed of, you know, tens of thousands of dollars.
00:29:58.540 Being targeted for every kind of crime and hippies.
00:30:01.460 It's a normal day.
00:30:03.740 I did sign up for it, so I don't complain.
00:30:06.460 It's just a fact.
00:30:08.580 All right.
00:30:08.840 Back to Epstein.
00:30:10.700 All right.
00:30:11.040 So we know that elaborate hoaxes are possible,
00:30:13.300 and we wonder why all of his blackmail material never came out.
00:30:17.320 What is the most logical explanation for why we haven't seen any of his blackmail material?
00:30:25.380 And it's gone this far.
00:30:28.360 The most logical way, the most logical explanation is that he's still alive.
00:30:35.840 Because leaving him alive is the best way to keep your secrets safe for as long as possible.
00:30:41.500 Killing him almost guarantees that you're going to be, you know, dead from your own blackmail information that's going to come out.
00:30:48.220 So, let me ask you this.
00:30:51.540 What would be harder to pull off?
00:30:54.380 A murder, a planned murder, inside a secure prison for somebody who you know is at risk and has cameras on him and is being watched.
00:31:04.760 What would be harder?
00:31:05.700 To pull off the murder in the prison or to pull off taking him out of the prison and faking his death with some photos and Photoshop?
00:31:14.680 Which would be harder?
00:31:16.700 I think killing him would be harder.
00:31:19.860 I think getting him out of there alive would be easier.
00:31:22.480 And here's why.
00:31:24.120 In both cases, you need insiders.
00:31:27.380 Right?
00:31:27.660 I mean, we assume that the guards were not coincidentally asleep.
00:31:32.860 We assume that the cameras were not coincidentally not working.
00:31:37.700 Right?
00:31:38.040 We all assume that.
00:31:39.560 So there was some insider involvement.
00:31:41.560 If you're going to assume insider involvement, well, then anything's possible.
00:31:47.440 Just opening the door and having him walk out would be the easiest solution.
00:31:52.400 And then, you know, fake that he, something happened.
00:31:55.680 Now, you say to yourself, Scott's got too many people involved.
00:31:59.320 You've got the coroner.
00:32:00.760 You've got the this and the that.
00:32:02.340 You know, all these people involved.
00:32:04.100 Do you know what else had lots of people involved?
00:32:07.300 The Russia collusion hoax.
00:32:08.960 How many fucking people were involved in that?
00:32:13.560 A lot.
00:32:15.200 A lot.
00:32:16.520 So it turns out that the old argument of there were too many people involved, so it couldn't be a hoax, that doesn't hold anymore.
00:32:24.460 Every hoax that has been perpetrated against the American people has had lots of people involved.
00:32:31.200 All of them.
00:32:31.740 And it doesn't seem to matter.
00:32:34.200 My common sense tells me that that should matter.
00:32:37.300 But we've seen example after example where it didn't matter for various reasons.
00:32:42.180 I don't know why.
00:32:43.420 But it doesn't matter.
00:32:45.580 So there's the bottom line.
00:32:49.180 I'm not saying that Epstein's alive.
00:32:52.860 I'm just saying that if I were to rank the likelihood of each of these cases, it would be this rank.
00:32:59.680 Most likely, not guaranteed, the most likely explanation is still alive and was taken out by, you know, important people who can do that sort of thing.
00:33:10.620 The number two possibility, this is just my opinion, is that it was a contract killing by a victim's family.
00:33:18.900 In other words, some victim's family said, you know, for $10,000, I can give some bad person to wax this guy.
00:33:27.240 Now, have you ever thought about that if somebody did something terrible to you and they got caught and they went to prison, but you weren't happy with prison being enough?
00:33:34.420 Have you ever thought to yourself, how hard would it be to pay somebody in prison to kill them?
00:33:40.560 Okay, I do think about those things.
00:33:43.460 And I think it's probably not that expensive, is it?
00:33:47.300 Your family or your kid, $10,000.
00:33:52.480 If you kill this guy in prison, because you're in prison for life either way.
00:33:56.780 But your kid will get $10,000.
00:33:58.520 I feel like it's cheap.
00:33:59.700 Do you think there's no victim family member who could afford $10,000 and, you know, didn't know somebody who could get it done?
00:34:06.960 I put that at the second most likely possibility.
00:34:10.660 Contract killing from a victim's family.
00:34:13.580 Then three, I would say, guard-assisted suicide.
00:34:16.100 Meaning that Epstein himself may have bribed the guards to pretend to be asleep and turn off the cameras.
00:34:24.460 Because he wanted to kill them.
00:34:25.760 And maybe they helped in some way, et cetera, et cetera.
00:34:29.700 I think the least likely is that he was murdered in prison to bury his secrets.
00:34:35.880 Two reasons.
00:34:36.880 One, it's too on the nose.
00:34:39.520 Because everybody thought he would be murdered in prison.
00:34:42.400 And then, oh, yeah, he's murdered in prison.
00:34:44.860 It's too on the nose.
00:34:46.360 Doesn't mean it didn't happen, right?
00:34:48.120 When I use that too on the nose thing, doesn't mean it didn't happen.
00:34:52.180 It just means, well, that's a big red flag that it happened exactly the way people thought.
00:34:59.200 Exactly the way?
00:35:00.720 Hmm.
00:35:01.760 That's a little too close.
00:35:04.680 And so that's one thing that raises the flag.
00:35:08.300 The second thing is that it wouldn't work.
00:35:11.340 And everybody knows it wouldn't work.
00:35:13.080 If the idea was to kill him to keep his secrets buried, nobody thinks that would work.
00:35:19.740 Because everybody assumes somebody else has a copy.
00:35:22.700 Wouldn't you?
00:35:24.480 Wouldn't you, if you were the blackmailer, you wouldn't have an auto-release copy somewhere
00:35:29.660 that says, if something happens to me, this is going to be released?
00:35:32.340 Of course you would.
00:35:33.220 I would.
00:35:33.680 I mean, I'm not, I'm no Epstein, and even I would think of that.
00:35:39.500 So that's my bottom line.
00:35:41.320 Most likely possibility is you're alive.
00:35:43.920 You're going to say to me, but Scott, what about the autopsy?
00:35:48.500 What about that, what about that x-ray of his neck with the bone, that broken bone in his neck?
00:35:55.920 How hard would it be to get an x-ray of somebody with a broken bone in their neck?
00:36:01.080 It can't be that hard.
00:36:02.140 Apparently that's a common thing that people break.
00:36:06.640 Apparently there are enough people who have broken that exact bone that the medical community
00:36:11.080 could talk about it as a, like a common thing.
00:36:14.440 Right?
00:36:14.960 So, yeah, and if you, if you were to Google, or I'm sorry, if you say to yourself,
00:36:24.040 but I saw a video of his autopsy, or I saw a photo of him dead,
00:36:29.360 or there was somebody who testified that he's dead, we can't trust any of that anymore, can we?
00:36:37.220 We can't trust photos, we can't trust videos, and we certainly can't trust people reporting to us.
00:36:43.360 None of that's reliable.
00:36:44.340 So, again, I'm not saying that Epstein is alive, I'm saying it's the only hypothesis that fits all of the facts.
00:36:56.280 It's the only hypothesis that fits all of the facts.
00:37:04.280 The rest of them fit a lot of facts.
00:37:07.100 But there's only one that fits all of them.
00:37:11.440 So, for what that's worth.
00:37:13.200 All right, Matt Gaetz is making some news.
00:37:15.780 So, I guess he was at the, what's the name of that event?
00:37:21.320 TP USA or something?
00:37:23.520 He was at the Young Republican event, and he was noting that the abortion protesters tend to be unattractive and overweight,
00:37:33.760 and why is it that the people who are most concerned about abortion rights are the ones you at least want to impregnate?
00:37:39.140 He said, no one wants to impregnate you if you look like a thumb.
00:37:47.800 He actually said that.
00:37:49.860 No one wants to impregnate you if you look like a thumb.
00:37:57.380 So, he was asked by a reporter, is it safe to say, after the event, based off your comments,
00:38:04.000 you're suggesting that those women at these abortion rallies are ugly and overweight?
00:38:07.660 And Gaetz says, yes.
00:38:13.260 And then the reporter says, well, what do you say to the people who were offended by that?
00:38:19.960 And he said, be offended.
00:38:23.620 And then he was done.
00:38:26.900 Now, here's what's interesting.
00:38:29.740 If you do to Matt Gaetz what was done to Matt Gaetz,
00:38:33.760 which is you take everything from him, at least career-wise,
00:38:39.440 you take everything from him.
00:38:41.840 The Democrats took everything from him.
00:38:44.240 I mean, they removed his ability to be president, effectively.
00:38:48.440 And what do you do when you have nothing to lose?
00:38:54.440 What happens?
00:38:55.340 What happens if you have nothing to lose?
00:38:59.960 I don't know if this is going to happen.
00:39:03.480 But it might.
00:39:06.400 Gaetz might go full truth.
00:39:09.600 And that would be the best show you've ever seen.
00:39:15.180 He might.
00:39:16.220 I don't know if he will.
00:39:17.420 But if you put me in a position where I lost everything,
00:39:19.860 I would go full truth.
00:39:23.160 And it looks like he started.
00:39:26.360 I don't know if he's going to, like, carry this ball forward.
00:39:30.400 But there is something that Americans love about telling the truth.
00:39:36.040 You need to go Google Bill Burr in Philadelphia when he,
00:39:41.300 I guess the crowd was getting on somebody and he took the stage,
00:39:45.020 somebody who was a comedian.
00:39:45.780 And he took the stage and he spent, I think, 12 minutes
00:39:49.060 just insulting the audience.
00:39:52.920 Like, really deeply insulting them.
00:39:55.340 To the point where he thought, oh, my God,
00:39:57.180 this isn't even funny anymore.
00:39:58.720 He's just ripping them a new asshole for 12 minutes.
00:40:02.160 By the end of the 12 minutes,
00:40:04.040 it was like a standing ovation.
00:40:06.880 Americans love honesty.
00:40:09.080 And Bill Burr just gave them, like,
00:40:11.300 the most ugly honesty anybody had ever dumped on anybody.
00:40:14.140 And they all said, yay, yay.
00:40:17.540 All right, we like that.
00:40:19.340 Yeah, we didn't like those jokes.
00:40:21.820 But all this ugly honesty, give us some more of that.
00:40:24.440 We're Americans.
00:40:25.080 We can take it.
00:40:26.880 Yeah.
00:40:27.500 So, I don't know.
00:40:29.300 This might be foreshadowing.
00:40:32.380 If it is foreshadowing,
00:40:34.100 he's on the verge of becoming the most interesting person in the country.
00:40:39.060 Maybe.
00:40:40.640 We'll see.
00:40:41.320 Well, it turns out monkeypox is sort of real.
00:40:46.080 It's being called an epidemic, I guess, now.
00:40:48.580 National emergency or international emergency.
00:40:51.760 So, I think there are around 3,500 cases in the United States.
00:40:56.140 And now we're getting some guidelines about how not to catch it.
00:41:00.940 And I like, because I like to do helpful things on my live stream,
00:41:04.780 I'm going to give you some tips for not getting monkeypox.
00:41:08.480 If you see somebody who has open blisters on their body,
00:41:14.120 don't lick those blisters.
00:41:15.740 If you see somebody with open blisters, take a shower,
00:41:20.960 and put that wet towel hanging on a hook.
00:41:24.740 Don't use that towel.
00:41:28.840 That's an actual guideline.
00:41:33.800 It's actually real.
00:41:35.180 I'm not even making that one up.
00:41:36.800 If you see somebody who is coughing and sick,
00:41:42.100 they have a fever, and they have open sores on their body,
00:41:46.680 and you're really horny,
00:41:49.280 masturbate.
00:41:50.780 So, that's sort of my medical advice.
00:41:54.660 Just, you know,
00:41:56.320 just start yanking.
00:41:57.700 But stay away from that monkeypox-infected person,
00:42:00.900 no matter how horny you are.
00:42:02.440 If a monkeypox person dies in a bed,
00:42:09.900 don't sleep in that bed until you wash the sheets.
00:42:14.140 So, I know a lot of this will be a lot of extra effort for you.
00:42:18.620 A lot of you are going to say,
00:42:20.120 well, I like to lick people's open sores.
00:42:23.640 Why are you telling me how to live?
00:42:25.620 Well, I know.
00:42:26.700 It's an individual situation.
00:42:28.220 So, if you don't want the country to be closed down again,
00:42:34.260 stop licking people with open sores.
00:42:37.280 Stop using their towels.
00:42:39.740 And if they're ready to sneeze,
00:42:42.780 do not run over there and put your face in front of it.
00:42:45.300 These are all not recommended.
00:42:47.420 Not recommended at all.
00:42:50.300 All right.
00:42:51.500 So, that's your monkeypox advice for the day.
00:42:54.920 Now, if you don't do those things,
00:42:56.280 apparently there's not much chance you're going to get it.
00:42:59.720 So, yeah, there's good advice over here.
00:43:04.260 Over on the locals platform, that's good advice.
00:43:07.700 Somebody said,
00:43:09.140 rather than licking somebody who has open sores,
00:43:13.780 just put your penis in them.
00:43:15.580 Don't try to touch them or breathe in any way.
00:43:19.260 Excellent advice.
00:43:20.100 Yeah, you shouldn't listen to me for anything, really.
00:43:26.160 Well, Biden has signed an executive order
00:43:28.220 to spend a billion dollars
00:43:30.300 to federalize the Zuckerberg ballot box situation
00:43:34.780 so that the government will run
00:43:37.400 what, I guess, the Zuckerberg people funded privately.
00:43:41.040 So, HUD and other federal agencies
00:43:42.640 will be in charge of this.
00:43:45.700 So, you know, every time somebody makes a change
00:43:49.360 to the election system,
00:43:51.660 I say to myself,
00:43:53.160 well, why'd that take so long?
00:43:57.720 If this was worth doing, why'd it take so long?
00:44:01.860 And if they're trying to make the elections more secure,
00:44:06.480 why?
00:44:08.420 Well, why would you try to make the elections more secure?
00:44:11.420 What would be the point of that?
00:44:12.540 I mean, because we've already been told
00:44:14.700 that they're completely secure.
00:44:16.740 We've never had a problem.
00:44:18.560 So why would you fix something that isn't broken?
00:44:21.580 Oh, is it because they've been lying to us
00:44:23.540 and of course it's broken
00:44:24.460 and of course it's not transparent
00:44:25.880 and of course you can't audit it fully
00:44:27.400 and of course you don't know
00:44:28.600 if your vote got to the final database.
00:44:30.520 Of course you don't.
00:44:32.360 But they're going to tell you at the same time
00:44:34.260 that it works perfectly and we're going to fix it.
00:44:38.820 They're not just going to build back better.
00:44:40.580 They're literally building it back the way it was.
00:44:45.640 So they're saying the elections are perfect
00:44:47.680 but we're going to build back to make them
00:44:50.320 the same as they are.
00:44:54.620 By building...
00:44:56.000 Wait?
00:44:57.260 Okay, I guess none of it makes sense.
00:44:59.460 Bottom line.
00:45:02.740 Demolition.
00:45:03.420 Yes.
00:45:04.340 They need some demolition.
00:45:05.460 All right.
00:45:09.300 Have I covered all of the topics?
00:45:11.740 Is this the best live stream
00:45:13.080 you've ever seen in your life?
00:45:15.320 Come on.
00:45:16.640 Come on.
00:45:18.320 All right.
00:45:18.960 Now here's my question.
00:45:20.900 I know that Fox News,
00:45:23.140 Hannity, Tucker, etc.
00:45:25.900 have said that the...
00:45:26.460 and I think Mark Levin,
00:45:29.140 probably others,
00:45:30.040 the opinion people have said
00:45:31.400 that nothing has come out
00:45:33.180 of the January 6th hearings.
00:45:36.960 How long has Fox News been saying
00:45:39.920 that Trump has been exonerated
00:45:41.720 by the hearings?
00:45:43.460 Did it start around Friday this last week?
00:45:47.880 Or have they been saying that for longer?
00:45:50.480 Now, Greg Gottfeld said it also.
00:45:52.080 So is that now,
00:45:55.020 is that going to become
00:45:56.540 the Fox or the right-leaning narrative
00:46:00.460 that it exonerated Trump?
00:46:04.120 Is that going to be the narrative
00:46:05.400 from the right?
00:46:06.540 Because in my opinion,
00:46:08.260 it's not a narrative.
00:46:09.500 In my opinion,
00:46:10.100 that's literally just what happened.
00:46:13.060 They went after him
00:46:14.180 for a bunch of serious charges
00:46:15.580 and found there was nothing there.
00:46:17.220 That's what it looked like to me.
00:46:18.460 So, if Republicans
00:46:21.800 are just treating it
00:46:23.480 like there's some kind of ongoing thing
00:46:26.520 and some allegations came up,
00:46:28.340 they're really missing the boat on this.
00:46:30.780 What they should say
00:46:31.760 is they should honor
00:46:33.240 the January 6th hearings
00:46:34.660 and say,
00:46:35.460 you know, I was skeptical,
00:46:36.660 but it did show that the president
00:46:38.000 was, you know,
00:46:39.500 didn't do anything wrong
00:46:41.100 except the fog of war decisions,
00:46:43.540 which you understand.
00:46:45.160 And so we're glad
00:46:46.400 that that was all aired
00:46:47.740 because it cleared the path
00:46:49.040 for him to run.
00:46:50.500 And even if you don't think
00:46:51.560 he should be the president,
00:46:52.980 isn't it good
00:46:53.540 that this hoax was cleared up?
00:46:56.840 So,
00:46:57.600 the best,
00:46:59.700 most effective persuasion
00:47:01.320 you can do
00:47:01.960 against an enemy,
00:47:03.860 let's say an opponent,
00:47:04.840 I don't like to say enemy,
00:47:06.020 an opponent,
00:47:07.140 is to agree with them.
00:47:10.940 It's a real baller move.
00:47:13.320 And say,
00:47:13.760 you know,
00:47:14.040 I didn't respect that
00:47:14.860 January 6th thing,
00:47:15.780 but I have to admit,
00:47:16.480 once all of the allegations
00:47:18.700 were aired,
00:47:19.860 it makes us feel
00:47:20.660 a lot better
00:47:21.100 that there was
00:47:21.700 no problem there.
00:47:22.960 So let's move on.
00:47:24.780 If you brand
00:47:26.700 the January 6th thing
00:47:28.020 as a valid process
00:47:29.700 that cleared Trump,
00:47:31.720 it will drive them
00:47:32.840 fucking crazy.
00:47:34.680 If you want to make
00:47:35.620 the Democrats
00:47:36.180 actually crazy,
00:47:39.180 embrace the January 6th thing,
00:47:42.180 say you were a skeptic
00:47:43.340 at first,
00:47:44.480 but it did show
00:47:45.280 that the president
00:47:45.880 didn't do the things
00:47:47.400 that were alleged,
00:47:48.640 and we thank them
00:47:49.580 for their service.
00:47:52.180 Yeah,
00:47:52.680 you still have to do
00:47:53.280 something about
00:47:53.720 the political prisoners.
00:47:55.700 That's not cool.
00:47:56.780 And by the way,
00:47:57.360 as long as there are
00:47:58.140 January 6th
00:47:58.860 political prisoners,
00:48:00.240 I'm balls to the wall
00:48:01.400 for Trump.
00:48:02.960 They just force my hand.
00:48:04.620 And I don't want to be.
00:48:05.880 It's not my first choice.
00:48:07.820 But that's sort of
00:48:09.500 a red line.
00:48:11.300 Political prisoners
00:48:12.260 of people who look like me,
00:48:14.340 that's a red line.
00:48:16.580 You crossed the fucking line
00:48:18.180 on that.
00:48:19.300 Right?
00:48:19.780 You know,
00:48:20.180 and I have to say,
00:48:21.120 it would have taken a lot
00:48:22.360 to make me unambiguously
00:48:25.240 pro-Trump
00:48:25.940 for a second term.
00:48:27.380 It would take a lot.
00:48:28.860 Because he's not cheap.
00:48:30.780 Am I right?
00:48:31.980 Like,
00:48:32.240 he costs me money.
00:48:33.900 Because,
00:48:34.200 you know,
00:48:34.460 my career takes a hit
00:48:35.440 with any reputational,
00:48:36.980 you know,
00:48:37.980 association.
00:48:39.140 It's terrible for me.
00:48:41.000 So you have to push me
00:48:42.120 pretty hard
00:48:42.820 to make me go
00:48:43.800 unambiguously pro-Trump
00:48:45.300 in this situation.
00:48:47.120 But putting people in jail
00:48:48.780 because they look
00:48:49.620 and talk
00:48:50.120 and act like me,
00:48:52.300 well,
00:48:52.620 that's over the line.
00:48:54.420 So if it takes a Trump
00:48:55.940 to unfuck that,
00:48:58.480 I will take him every day.
00:49:00.900 If the only thing
00:49:01.980 that will unfuck that
00:49:02.920 is Trump,
00:49:03.980 and it looks like it is,
00:49:05.440 I will support that
00:49:07.940 every day.
00:49:08.400 And I don't care
00:49:08.860 what else he does.
00:49:10.460 I don't care what else.
00:49:11.820 Just do that.
00:49:13.300 I could be a single-issue
00:49:14.560 voter on that.
00:49:15.900 No problem.
00:49:18.980 Your career would take a hit
00:49:20.260 with support of any Republican.
00:49:21.680 Probably true.
00:49:26.220 Trump-Gates 2024.
00:49:27.740 That would be the ultimate
00:49:30.360 fuck you party.
00:49:31.960 Trump and Gates.
00:49:32.700 The no apologies.
00:49:35.620 Oh, my God.
00:49:38.440 Oh, my God.
00:49:40.960 Oh, my God.
00:49:42.960 I hope I didn't just
00:49:44.120 see the future.
00:49:46.460 But if Trump and Matt Gates
00:49:48.060 ran as a team,
00:49:49.720 and his slogan was
00:49:51.480 no apologies,
00:49:53.200 it's over.
00:49:58.320 It's fucking over.
00:50:00.420 Just a big bus
00:50:01.540 that says no apologies.
00:50:04.360 And it's over.
00:50:06.500 Do you know how many
00:50:07.540 people want to hear
00:50:08.280 no apologies?
00:50:11.140 100% of Republicans.
00:50:13.420 He would get
00:50:13.900 100% of the vote.
00:50:15.840 He would be the first
00:50:16.940 candidate who got
00:50:18.080 100% of the vote
00:50:19.060 from his party.
00:50:20.180 And he wouldn't even
00:50:21.040 need to propose
00:50:21.860 any policies.
00:50:23.020 He'd just say
00:50:23.480 no apologies.
00:50:24.100 That's it.
00:50:26.600 No apologies.
00:50:30.560 Wow.
00:50:32.260 You know,
00:50:32.640 as soon as I thought
00:50:33.420 of that,
00:50:34.260 like the no apology
00:50:35.540 tour,
00:50:37.280 like you could feel
00:50:38.500 it, couldn't you?
00:50:39.220 It almost feels
00:50:40.100 like the future.
00:50:41.980 Like, I don't think
00:50:42.740 it is.
00:50:43.240 Like, my brain
00:50:44.000 doesn't think it is.
00:50:45.180 But why does it
00:50:45.880 feel like it is?
00:50:47.480 It feels just like
00:50:48.720 that's the future.
00:50:50.740 Right?
00:50:52.140 How many of you
00:50:52.860 have the same
00:50:53.340 impression when I
00:50:54.180 said it?
00:50:56.180 You got goosebumps?
00:50:57.400 Yeah.
00:50:57.980 That felt like the
00:50:58.740 fucking future,
00:50:59.440 didn't it?
00:51:00.700 You know, I only
00:51:01.520 had this, I've had
00:51:02.940 this experience once
00:51:04.740 that I can remember,
00:51:05.620 well, twice,
00:51:06.340 actually.
00:51:07.340 Twice.
00:51:08.260 Twice I've had an
00:51:09.140 experience where I
00:51:10.260 thought I actually
00:51:10.760 saw the future.
00:51:12.420 More than that,
00:51:13.200 but two that I'll
00:51:13.700 talk about.
00:51:15.680 Once was when
00:51:16.520 somebody suggested
00:51:17.540 that a little
00:51:18.140 cartoon character I
00:51:19.140 was drawing in the
00:51:19.840 office should have
00:51:21.540 a name, and the
00:51:22.580 name should be
00:51:23.160 Dilbert.
00:51:24.860 The moment I
00:51:25.800 heard that name,
00:51:27.480 I, and I've told
00:51:28.580 this story before,
00:51:29.280 I felt myself
00:51:29.940 pulled down a
00:51:30.560 tunnel to the
00:51:32.660 future.
00:51:33.620 And then I saw
00:51:34.640 it.
00:51:35.360 I saw Dilbert in
00:51:36.560 the future, and as
00:51:38.660 soon as I saw it,
00:51:39.420 I was like, holy
00:51:39.960 shit, I got pulled
00:51:41.100 back down the tunnel
00:51:41.880 back to the
00:51:42.420 present again.
00:51:43.600 And I sat in the
00:51:44.460 present saying,
00:51:46.400 ah, something just
00:51:48.540 happened, and I
00:51:51.040 actually saw the
00:51:51.720 fucking future.
00:51:52.960 And by the way,
00:51:53.500 the future played
00:51:54.140 out just like I
00:51:55.760 saw it.
00:51:57.580 Now, it could be
00:51:58.420 coincidence, it could
00:51:59.160 be optimism, right?
00:52:00.320 The other time that I
00:52:01.340 had that sensation was
00:52:03.660 when Trump entered the
00:52:05.180 race, and I just saw
00:52:07.040 him winning.
00:52:08.000 I just saw it.
00:52:09.340 That's the main reason
00:52:10.040 I wrote about it, is
00:52:10.760 that I couldn't
00:52:11.720 explain a, I don't
00:52:13.400 know, a weird vision.
00:52:16.200 Like, that just
00:52:17.540 sounds crazy.
00:52:18.300 And even I think, you
00:52:19.360 know, it's probably
00:52:19.940 just a mental thing.
00:52:22.280 But I felt it.
00:52:25.160 I felt it like it was
00:52:26.240 real, and then it
00:52:26.980 happened.
00:52:27.800 When I said no
00:52:28.860 apologies, and I
00:52:29.940 thought of Trump and
00:52:31.020 Gates, it just felt
00:52:33.800 like it's already
00:52:34.420 happening in the
00:52:35.140 future.
00:52:36.700 Doesn't it?
00:52:38.280 I mean, it actually
00:52:38.880 feels like it's
00:52:39.560 already happening, but
00:52:41.420 in the future.
00:52:42.500 It doesn't feel like
00:52:43.580 imaginary.
00:52:44.660 imaginary.
00:52:45.400 It's weird.
00:52:46.760 Now, I'm going to
00:52:47.720 bet against it, because
00:52:51.000 that would be the
00:52:51.760 weirdest specific
00:52:53.100 prediction in the
00:52:53.920 world.
00:52:54.200 So I'm going to bet
00:52:54.780 against it.
00:52:55.960 But I'm going to
00:52:56.720 call out the fact
00:52:57.480 that it feels like it
00:52:58.420 already happened.
00:53:00.460 And some of you
00:53:01.300 felt it too, right?
00:53:04.480 I once had an
00:53:06.300 experience with a
00:53:06.940 psychic.
00:53:08.040 I don't believe in
00:53:08.940 psychics.
00:53:09.760 But I had this
00:53:10.460 experience, in which
00:53:12.160 the psychic said that
00:53:13.480 the past and the
00:53:14.760 present are the
00:53:16.980 same thing.
00:53:19.560 We just don't
00:53:20.420 realize it.
00:53:22.060 And that sometimes
00:53:22.900 you can see the
00:53:24.020 future actually
00:53:26.640 accurately, but you're
00:53:28.320 not really seeing the
00:53:29.020 future because the
00:53:29.800 future and the past
00:53:30.800 and the present are
00:53:31.600 not really separate.
00:53:33.160 You're actually just
00:53:34.100 seeing what is there.
00:53:37.520 All right.
00:53:38.140 So I don't even know
00:53:38.680 what that means, but it
00:53:39.640 sounded cool when I
00:53:40.600 said it.
00:53:40.960 Yeah, maybe it's
00:53:42.540 just cognitive
00:53:43.040 dissonance.
00:53:43.720 Who knows?
00:53:45.640 Maybe we saw the
00:53:46.500 potential.
00:53:49.480 But in terms of
00:53:51.180 motivating me, what I
00:53:53.960 most want to do is
00:53:54.900 stop apologizing.
00:53:57.020 It's weird.
00:53:57.680 That's my...
00:53:58.240 I didn't realize it
00:54:00.240 until I said no
00:54:01.080 apologies, but I feel
00:54:03.480 like that's one of my
00:54:04.140 strongest urges right
00:54:05.320 now.
00:54:05.540 And I didn't really
00:54:06.800 even know it.
00:54:07.620 What about legit
00:54:12.380 apologies?
00:54:17.680 The trouble is, other
00:54:19.460 people always think the
00:54:20.600 apology or the need
00:54:22.000 for it is legit.
00:54:23.540 So if you let other
00:54:24.620 people tell you what
00:54:26.360 you should apologize
00:54:27.440 for, you're right back
00:54:28.480 to apologizing for
00:54:29.480 everything.
00:54:30.340 Because they always
00:54:31.000 have a reason.
00:54:31.540 So you either have to
00:54:34.100 never apologize, or
00:54:37.680 you're apologizing for
00:54:39.360 a lot.
00:54:39.980 I don't think there's
00:54:40.560 much middle ground.
00:54:45.100 Can you ever
00:54:45.960 apologize enough for
00:54:47.520 being white, I'm being
00:54:48.980 asked.
00:54:49.900 I don't think it's
00:54:50.740 possible.
00:54:52.060 But you know, the way
00:54:52.760 I see all the racial
00:54:53.680 stuff is just power
00:54:56.060 dynamics.
00:54:58.360 You know, if you
00:54:58.840 could say something
00:54:59.600 about another group to
00:55:00.920 reduce their power
00:55:01.800 and increase your
00:55:02.600 power, people do
00:55:03.980 it.
00:55:04.720 So, I mean, that's
00:55:05.440 all that's happening.
00:55:14.360 All right.
00:55:15.820 Yeah.
00:55:16.880 The trouble with
00:55:17.700 apologizing is that it
00:55:19.100 focuses on the past.
00:55:21.120 Now, in a personal
00:55:22.200 situation, apologizing
00:55:24.760 makes a lot more
00:55:26.120 sense.
00:55:27.060 Because the apology
00:55:27.940 is more about
00:55:28.920 showing you have
00:55:30.480 empathy for the
00:55:31.280 person.
00:55:32.380 It's not even so
00:55:33.400 much about the
00:55:33.940 past.
00:55:34.920 But that doesn't
00:55:35.740 apply so much for
00:55:36.660 apologies in public.
00:55:38.340 Those are just
00:55:39.080 performance.
00:55:40.560 Nobody really feels
00:55:41.500 those apologies.
00:55:47.000 Yeah.
00:55:47.660 I did see the
00:55:48.440 interview between,
00:55:49.560 I'm being prompted,
00:55:50.980 the Lex Friedman
00:55:51.920 interview with
00:55:53.600 Donald Hoffman
00:55:54.420 is highly
00:55:55.660 recommended, by the
00:55:56.500 way.
00:55:56.820 Lex Friedman and
00:55:58.760 Donald Hoffman.
00:55:59.680 Do Google on that,
00:56:00.760 you won't regret it.
00:56:02.660 That was a
00:56:03.120 fascinating interview.
00:56:08.380 I don't think
00:56:09.380 you're going to see
00:56:10.160 Matt Gaetz be
00:56:12.700 picked as a vice
00:56:13.680 president today.
00:56:15.360 Somebody said that
00:56:16.080 on YouTube.
00:56:16.920 Here's why it won't
00:56:17.600 happen today.
00:56:19.060 Because if it were
00:56:20.000 going to happen
00:56:20.640 today, Matt Gaetz
00:56:22.420 would not have
00:56:23.000 caused trouble the
00:56:23.920 day before.
00:56:24.400 The fact that
00:56:26.460 Matt Gaetz went
00:56:27.300 full face
00:56:29.460 into trouble
00:56:30.220 with not even
00:56:31.960 a pause
00:56:32.600 suggests that
00:56:34.340 he's not trying
00:56:35.360 to make Trump
00:56:35.940 happy at the
00:56:36.540 moment, which
00:56:37.620 means he's not
00:56:38.240 already selected
00:56:38.980 for vice
00:56:39.460 president.
00:56:40.660 Doesn't mean he
00:56:41.220 won't be, but
00:56:42.760 it means he's
00:56:43.940 not, that
00:56:44.860 decision definitely
00:56:45.680 has not been
00:56:46.180 made.
00:56:48.560 All right.
00:56:50.780 Shouldn't use
00:56:51.540 the word no
00:56:52.200 in no apologies.
00:56:53.800 Eh, I see
00:56:55.060 what you're
00:56:55.280 saying, because
00:56:55.980 the brain sees
00:56:57.700 the active word
00:56:58.460 and not the
00:56:58.920 no word.
00:56:59.840 But I think
00:57:00.400 in this one
00:57:00.920 instance, this
00:57:01.720 would be a
00:57:02.080 worthy exception
00:57:02.760 to that.
00:57:03.740 Because a
00:57:04.240 slogan, you do
00:57:05.140 spend a lot of
00:57:05.820 time on it.
00:57:07.540 The problem
00:57:08.260 is on a
00:57:08.860 sentence that's
00:57:09.520 a throwaway
00:57:10.080 sentence, the
00:57:11.200 no gets
00:57:11.640 disappeared.
00:57:13.340 But if it's
00:57:13.920 a slogan, people
00:57:15.600 really do spend
00:57:16.200 time thinking
00:57:16.780 about that, and
00:57:17.360 then all of the
00:57:18.420 words will
00:57:18.760 register.
00:57:19.220 Robert Barnes
00:57:26.520 says the deal's
00:57:27.400 been made.
00:57:27.880 The deal for
00:57:28.300 who?
00:57:31.960 Did you think
00:57:32.700 it was DeSantis?
00:57:34.120 I think I'm
00:57:34.960 hearing the
00:57:35.480 rumor that
00:57:36.200 there's a
00:57:36.900 DeSantis-Trump
00:57:37.960 deal coming, and
00:57:39.000 I'm going to
00:57:40.300 predict against
00:57:41.060 it.
00:57:41.900 Here's the
00:57:42.520 reason for
00:57:42.980 predicting against
00:57:44.060 it.
00:57:45.760 You don't
00:57:47.180 put somebody
00:57:48.960 that strong
00:57:49.560 under Vice
00:57:50.000 President
00:57:50.340 Chair.
00:57:51.860 You just
00:57:52.240 don't do
00:57:52.600 that.
00:57:53.560 That would
00:57:54.020 be basically
00:57:54.740 handicapping
00:57:55.880 DeSantis.
00:57:56.920 It would be
00:57:57.380 smarter to
00:57:57.940 let him run
00:57:58.500 for his own
00:57:59.000 office in
00:58:00.760 2028.
00:58:02.560 So I don't
00:58:03.620 see the
00:58:04.260 Republicans
00:58:04.720 making what
00:58:05.640 I would
00:58:05.920 consider a
00:58:06.480 mistake, even
00:58:07.940 though the
00:58:09.020 two of them
00:58:09.420 would win.
00:58:09.860 if you're
00:58:12.160 saying to
00:58:12.500 me, is
00:58:12.740 that a
00:58:13.000 strong package
00:58:13.660 and would
00:58:14.260 they win?
00:58:15.820 Yes.
00:58:17.880 And having
00:58:18.540 DeSantis-Trump
00:58:19.180 would make
00:58:19.520 me much
00:58:20.520 happier about
00:58:21.400 a president
00:58:21.860 at that age.
00:58:22.960 Oh, you
00:58:23.220 know how
00:58:23.500 they could
00:58:24.840 win me over
00:58:25.360 on that?
00:58:26.300 I mean, it
00:58:26.620 wouldn't be
00:58:26.880 hard.
00:58:28.220 Here's what
00:58:28.780 you say.
00:58:29.900 You know,
00:58:30.440 there is an
00:58:31.340 issue with
00:58:31.800 having a
00:58:32.540 president of
00:58:33.080 a certain
00:58:33.400 age, and
00:58:34.640 that's why
00:58:35.040 my vice
00:58:35.540 president is
00:58:36.080 going to be
00:58:36.360 unusually
00:58:36.840 strong.
00:58:38.580 Now, I
00:58:39.340 believe that
00:58:39.860 Biden tried
00:58:41.140 to sell us
00:58:41.960 on that, but
00:58:43.480 he tried to
00:58:44.000 sell us on
00:58:44.520 Kamala Harris,
00:58:45.300 and nobody
00:58:45.740 was buying
00:58:46.220 that she was
00:58:46.840 the strong
00:58:47.280 choice to
00:58:47.800 make up for
00:58:48.240 him.
00:58:49.060 But Republicans
00:58:50.220 would definitely
00:58:51.060 buy that
00:58:52.560 DeSantis is a
00:58:53.460 strong backup
00:58:54.220 just in case.
00:58:56.420 You would
00:58:56.740 definitely buy
00:58:57.220 that.
00:58:58.100 And I would
00:58:58.700 also accept
00:58:59.400 the possibility
00:59:00.300 that Trump
00:59:00.920 would leave
00:59:01.360 office before
00:59:02.080 his fourth
00:59:02.780 year of a
00:59:03.920 second term.
00:59:05.300 Do you know
00:59:06.060 why?
00:59:06.840 Because he
00:59:08.060 might think
00:59:08.700 he needs
00:59:09.140 to.
00:59:10.620 And it
00:59:10.960 would be
00:59:11.220 one of the
00:59:11.560 most awesome
00:59:12.140 George Washington
00:59:12.960 things that
00:59:13.540 ever happened.
00:59:14.880 Because if
00:59:15.720 Trump left
00:59:17.060 his office
00:59:17.540 early in
00:59:18.160 the second
00:59:18.500 term, then
00:59:20.540 everything that
00:59:21.300 you believe he
00:59:22.000 did about
00:59:22.460 trying to hold
00:59:23.120 power for the
00:59:23.840 first term would
00:59:25.440 dissolve in your
00:59:26.280 head.
00:59:26.660 It would just
00:59:27.000 dissolve.
00:59:28.180 If he became
00:59:29.060 most famous for
00:59:30.120 the person who
00:59:30.680 walked away from
00:59:31.580 power, let's
00:59:33.440 say second or
00:59:34.400 third year of
00:59:35.040 a presidency,
00:59:35.620 then he
00:59:37.220 becomes George
00:59:37.820 Washington because
00:59:39.000 he walked away
00:59:39.520 from power.
00:59:41.300 But if you
00:59:41.980 don't do that,
00:59:43.020 then the
00:59:43.520 January 6th
00:59:44.160 thing haunts
00:59:44.560 you forever.
00:59:49.780 Behind the
00:59:50.460 scenes, Trump
00:59:51.080 threatens to run
00:59:52.060 if Garland
00:59:52.780 decides not.
00:59:54.280 I don't know
00:59:54.760 what that means.
00:59:57.020 Wouldn't it
00:59:57.480 link to
00:59:57.960 Nixon?
00:59:58.360 Candidates
01:00:03.960 should not
01:00:04.300 come from the
01:00:04.760 same state?
01:00:08.440 Yeah.
01:00:10.140 Is that a
01:00:10.820 law?
01:00:11.820 Is it a law
01:00:12.560 that a candidate
01:00:13.080 can't come from
01:00:13.980 the same state?
01:00:14.680 Or is that just
01:00:15.160 a standard?
01:00:17.480 If it's not a
01:00:18.160 law, it doesn't
01:00:18.640 matter.
01:00:20.240 Constitution?
01:00:21.600 Are you saying
01:00:21.900 the Constitution
01:00:22.460 says you can't
01:00:23.220 be from the
01:00:23.620 same state?
01:00:24.120 That doesn't
01:00:26.340 make sense.
01:00:27.880 I don't believe
01:00:28.700 that.
01:00:29.420 Do you believe
01:00:29.820 that?
01:00:32.840 Barnes cleared
01:00:33.700 that up.
01:00:34.300 They can.
01:00:35.940 Oh, I guess
01:00:37.460 Trump would only
01:00:38.280 have to register
01:00:38.980 to vote in
01:00:39.640 another state.
01:00:41.440 Okay, so that
01:00:42.380 wouldn't be so
01:00:42.840 hard.
01:00:43.480 So I guess the
01:00:44.080 Constitution bans
01:00:45.040 it, but it
01:00:45.480 wouldn't be hard
01:00:46.000 to get a work
01:00:47.080 around.
01:00:47.520 That makes
01:00:47.800 sense.
01:00:48.060 I'm going
01:00:50.460 to bet
01:00:50.720 against DeSantis
01:00:51.520 for Vice
01:00:52.100 President, but
01:00:53.640 it would be a
01:00:54.280 baller play.
01:00:55.340 If Trump wants
01:00:56.420 to sell DeSantis
01:00:57.300 as his worthy
01:00:58.680 backup, I
01:01:01.300 don't know,
01:01:01.600 it might work.
01:01:02.600 It might work.
01:01:07.820 I was quoted
01:01:08.880 on Getfeld.
01:01:10.140 Yes, I saw
01:01:10.740 that.
01:01:13.420 All right,
01:01:14.260 enough for now.
01:01:15.720 I'll see you
01:01:16.360 later, YouTube.
01:01:18.060 I'll see you