Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1823 Scott Adams： How To Fix The Soros Problem, Al Qaeda Loses A Boss, And More

00:00:00.260 Hey, everybody. You know, this is going to be a great moment in your life. All of you, really.

00:00:08.240 YouTube and locals alike. Yeah, you're all watching me, and you chose well.

00:00:14.680 Because today is the highlight of civilization itself. And I hope you're doing well, too.

00:00:22.120 But, would you like to take it up a notch? Yeah? You want to go to another level?

00:00:27.500 Yeah, you do. All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a canteen jug, a flask, a tanker, chalice, or a stein, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:36.860 Fill it with your favorite liquid. Yeah, I like coffee.

00:00:41.200 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:00:45.500 The dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better. Everything. Absolutely everything.

00:00:50.180 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Go.

00:00:57.500 Oh, that was so bad. But, still caffeine, and that's good.

00:01:06.180 Well, Nancy Pelosi is going to Taiwan. Is that today? I don't know.

00:01:12.360 And China had a stern response.

00:01:16.040 They issued a scary video about their military equipment.

00:01:19.600 What else do they have to do?

00:01:24.660 You know, when you're a spinach pox.

00:01:29.220 Sorry, I'm laughing at a joke on locals.

00:01:32.780 I'm referring to my, I've got a burn on my lip.

00:01:35.500 Somebody called it, it was from hot spinach, like literally from soup.

00:01:40.720 Somebody called it spinach pox.

00:01:42.740 It's pretty funny.

00:01:43.340 All right, so what the hell is China going to do about Nancy Pelosi anyway?

00:01:48.160 What exactly are their options?

00:01:51.040 Start a trade war?

00:01:53.740 You know, bomb something in Delaware?

00:01:57.140 What the hell are they going to do?

00:01:58.780 I don't think there's anything they can do.

00:02:01.640 So to me, it feels like, you know, close to a non-story.

00:02:04.980 The press is going to play this up as almost nuclear war.

00:02:09.480 Almost nuclear war, but it's going to be closer to nothing.

00:02:14.900 Just a plane trip.

00:02:16.960 What about Paul Pelosi?

00:02:18.780 What do you think about his trading?

00:02:20.440 I was just looking at, just looking at some commentary on Paul Pelosi.

00:02:27.680 Now, I guess the criticism is that he traded some stocks that were also the subject of legislation.

00:02:37.480 And that in a number of cases, he's made stock trades that were also the subject of legislation.

00:02:45.280 Mostly tech stocks.

00:02:47.480 And here's the problem.

00:02:51.280 I listened to what investments he made.

00:02:54.440 And they're kind of similar to mine.

00:02:56.140 So, how do you know that he's using insider trading?

00:03:01.420 Now, one of the examples I heard is that Nancy Pelosi had a private conversation with Tim Cook of Apple.

00:03:09.060 And after that, you know, perhaps her husband had some inside information.

00:03:14.200 That view that a conversation between Nancy Pelosi and Tim Cook could produce some kind of secret information that you could trade on is very unaware of how anything works in the real world.

00:03:30.980 Let me ask you this.

00:03:33.980 Do you believe you could have a private conversation with the CEO of a major company and you would learn any fucking useful thing?

00:03:43.460 Everybody who actually has any experience in the business world is laughing right now.

00:03:48.040 No.

00:03:49.100 No.

00:03:51.740 Lost connection?

00:03:52.660 Yeah, the trade was NVIDIA.

00:03:57.460 Interestingly, my next-door neighbor went to jail for insider trading in NVIDIA once in a different place I lived.

00:04:06.260 So, I know a lot about insider trading in NVIDIA, just by coincidence.

00:04:13.440 The problem is it's not illegal for Congress.

00:04:15.760 Here's the problem.

00:04:16.420 Should you take away Paul Pelosi's trading ability, the thing that everybody else in the world can do?

00:04:25.880 Do you say that Paul Pelosi is the only person who can't trade stocks because his wife has some role in the government?

00:04:33.420 Really?

00:04:34.560 Really, you would have the spouse lose a basic freedom, a basic freedom, because the wife is trading.

00:04:42.580 All right, here's the thing you don't understand about trading.

00:04:48.340 There's nothing the CEO can tell you that is going to help you.

00:04:52.740 There's nothing.

00:04:54.060 There's nothing the CEO can tell you privately that can help you.

00:04:58.140 Because if the CEO could tell you that what the CEO knew would really help you trade, there would only be insider trading.

00:05:07.400 There wouldn't be anything but insider trading if that worked.

00:05:10.420 The one and only time that works is when there's, like, some real serious new technology or something.

00:05:18.380 And that's kind of rare.

00:05:20.480 But if you're looking at a company like Apple, do you think there's anything that Tim Cook could say about Apple

00:05:26.360 that would cause you to trade or not trade that stock?

00:05:29.540 Well, if you're a day trader, maybe.

00:05:35.080 But is Pelosi's husband a day trader?

00:05:39.580 Can somebody give you a fact check on that?

00:05:41.900 Is he buying and selling within a year, or is he holding things more than a year?

00:05:48.160 Can somebody tell me that?

00:05:50.300 Is he trading right before major legislation, right?

00:05:54.020 Which is fine.

00:05:54.960 He can trade before major legislation.

00:05:56.620 Because everybody knows the major legislation is coming, right?

00:06:00.280 That's public.

00:06:02.380 So he trades options.

00:06:04.780 Okay.

00:06:05.920 He trades options.

00:06:08.380 And are they short-term options?

00:06:10.840 So is he trading on small movements based on the news?

00:06:15.200 Now, that would be a problem.

00:06:16.560 If we knew that he was trading on, you know, short-term investments and options, especially, I guess,

00:06:23.480 because those give you a bigger gain if you hit.

00:06:27.740 Monthly options.

00:06:29.180 So short-term investments on technology is what you're alleging here.

00:06:35.220 Now, let me ask you this.

00:06:36.520 Are his investments transparent?

00:06:39.400 How do we know about his investments?

00:06:44.100 How in the world do we know he invested and when?

00:06:47.720 Does he have to disclose all of that?

00:06:51.820 I think I'd be fine with him disclosing it.

00:06:55.700 Honestly.

00:06:59.340 They already closed out.

00:07:05.160 Pelosi privilege.

00:07:06.600 Disclosure is delayed.

00:07:07.660 I don't know.

00:07:10.840 I have mixed feelings about this one.

00:07:12.740 On one hand, it feels perfectly reasonable that you don't want people trading on insider knowledge

00:07:19.360 if their spouse is the speaker.

00:07:23.360 On the other hand, I don't believe that you can do it productively.

00:07:29.640 I don't know that even if you knew everything that Nancy Pelosi knows,

00:07:34.080 I don't really think you could necessarily trade on that.

00:07:37.660 Do you?

00:07:39.000 So your assumption is that if you knew what Nancy Pelosi knows,

00:07:41.980 you would be a better trader.

00:07:43.620 You'd make better trades.

00:07:45.180 I don't think so.

00:07:46.980 Everything I know about investments says no.

00:07:50.480 Because I think Warren Buffett would agree with me.

00:07:53.740 I think Warren Buffett would say,

00:07:55.560 yeah, you can do that, but that's just gambling.

00:07:57.060 You know, Warren Buffett says just buy an index fund and hold it,

00:08:01.200 and that's your best, that's your best thing.

00:08:09.520 So I guess I have some big questions about the context of this story.

00:08:15.240 So here's the things I would look for.

00:08:16.660 Does he disclose all of his trades?

00:08:20.300 If yes, that's a lot.

00:08:24.480 I mean, that certainly goes a long ways.

00:08:26.820 Should you care about a conversation between Nancy Pelosi and any CEO?

00:08:30.720 Well, if Tim Cook told Nancy Pelosi something like,

00:08:35.820 we can't make iPhones, but we're not telling anybody,

00:08:39.220 yeah, that would be pretty big.

00:08:41.540 Do you think Tim Cook did that?

00:08:44.200 Do you think Tim Cook gave her secret insider information?

00:08:48.640 I just don't think CEOs do that.

00:08:51.200 I don't think they do it to anybody.

00:08:52.700 I don't think they, you know, maybe their best friend or spouse or something.

00:08:55.740 But I don't see Tim Cook telling Nancy Pelosi secret Apple plans

00:09:02.040 or insider stuff that would really help you trade.

00:09:05.760 There is so much going on with Apple that all the experts are,

00:09:11.260 you know, they get surprised every time Apple has a profit announcement.

00:09:15.960 The most common headline on Apple profitability goes like this.

00:09:21.160 Experts were surprised.

00:09:23.340 You know, profits came in much different than they expected.

00:09:26.700 I don't know.

00:09:28.320 So I guess I'm sort of, I've got a mixed feeling about this one.

00:09:34.840 Somebody says, you're missing the point, in all caps.

00:09:37.680 Nancy knows about potential legislation.

00:09:39.820 No, I'm not missing that point.

00:09:41.280 That is the point.

00:09:42.660 The point is she knows about potential legislation and actual legislation,

00:09:46.820 and I don't think any of it's going to help.

00:09:49.180 And even potential legislation tends to be semi-public.

00:09:56.640 Please change.

00:09:57.840 What's that mean?

00:10:02.320 Yeah.

00:10:03.880 It's the trading before the bills are brought to committee.

00:10:06.360 Well, what kind of trades do you make?

00:10:10.280 See, the problem here is that if you take the generic allegation,

00:10:15.400 it doesn't hit with me.

00:10:18.160 You really, in order to convince me, and by the way, I could be convinced.

00:10:21.760 So I'm not trying to defend Paul Pelosi, because I don't know exactly what's going on there.

00:10:27.800 I'm just telling you that you don't either.

00:10:31.280 Right?

00:10:31.800 So that's my only point.

00:10:33.260 If you think you know what's going on with his investments, you probably don't.

00:10:37.540 But I agree that it's sketchy.

00:10:40.480 So if you're saying it'd be better if that didn't happen, I agree.

00:10:45.400 I just don't know exactly how bad it is.

00:10:47.400 It's hard to tell.

00:10:48.820 All right.

00:10:49.260 I think I have formed an opinion on George Soros, who has been a mystery to me for years.

00:10:55.360 I've been trying to figure out why the hell he's doing what he's doing,

00:10:59.300 or allegedly doing what he's doing.

00:11:01.660 Why is he funding who he's funding, and what's up?

00:11:04.580 And I was trying to think, okay, is it, like, some people say it's a plot to depopulate the world and destroy it,

00:11:12.660 or he's trying to make money somehow in a clever way, or he hates America, or something.

00:11:19.420 And I was trying to figure out, like, really what it is.

00:11:22.280 And there have been some recent interviews where he's talked enough that I've formed an opinion.

00:11:28.020 And my opinion goes like this.

00:11:30.980 It turns out he's just a fucking idiot.

00:11:33.040 And that's the whole story.

00:11:36.200 Because he thinks that these liberal prosecutors that he's funded and backed and got jobs,

00:11:46.680 and, you know, they're not prosecuting people like the old days,

00:11:50.460 he thought that would be a good idea.

00:11:53.180 Because he thought that there was too much racism in the prosecutions.

00:11:57.820 And somehow he had not connected the dots that the reason that five times more black people get convicted

00:12:06.600 is that that's roughly the rate of crime.

00:12:09.360 You know, I don't know what the actual ratios are, but, you know,

00:12:12.360 he seems to be ignoring the most obvious reason that there's a disparity,

00:12:16.760 which is, you know, there's a difference in crime rates.

00:12:21.020 But back it up a little, George Soros.

00:12:23.640 Back it up a little.

00:12:24.400 Why is there a difference in crime rates?

00:12:26.560 Why?

00:12:27.160 Why, George Soros?

00:12:28.700 Well, probably because the teachers' unions prevent competition in schools,

00:12:34.280 and so every generation of young black kids is underserved

00:12:38.040 because of the teachers' unions.

00:12:40.580 In other words, they're the strongest protectors of a system that does not educate black people.

00:12:46.040 Let me say it again.

00:12:48.220 The teachers' unions are the strongest protectors of a system that does not educate black students

00:12:54.760 the way they, you know, the way you would want.

00:12:59.700 I think that the solution to George Soros is to get him on the right problem.

00:13:05.560 I actually think,

00:13:07.140 I actually think that George Soros might be mathematically brilliant,

00:13:13.400 which allowed him to make money,

00:13:16.040 but he might be kind of a moron about sort of general, ordinary things.

00:13:21.660 When I listened to his description of why he was funding the liberal prosecutors,

00:13:26.180 it didn't sound like a smart person talking.

00:13:30.100 And for the first time, I thought,

00:13:32.120 oh, there's one explanation for all of it.

00:13:35.860 He's not that bright.

00:13:37.680 He thinks he's helping,

00:13:39.200 and he's not that bright.

00:13:40.400 So, would you buy that,

00:13:45.660 or do you buy the conspiracy theory?

00:13:47.940 Because somebody who's not so bright

00:13:49.980 explains a lot of stuff.

00:13:53.360 Have you ever seen Rob Reiner tweet?

00:13:57.240 If you gave Rob Reiner an IQ test,

00:13:59.600 he'd probably do okay.

00:14:01.280 I don't think he has low intelligence,

00:14:02.920 but for some reason,

00:14:04.980 he's dumb as a rock about politics.

00:14:08.120 Stephen King?

00:14:09.640 Probably smart enough to write some good books.

00:14:12.440 You've got to be pretty smart to do that.

00:14:14.580 But you see his tweeting about politics,

00:14:16.400 and you think,

00:14:17.020 uh,

00:14:17.800 he's dumb as a rock.

00:14:19.060 So, it seems to me that we have plenty of evidence

00:14:22.800 of people who could be brilliant,

00:14:25.760 you know,

00:14:26.160 in their careers,

00:14:27.760 and

00:14:28.580 dumb as a box of rocks

00:14:30.680 about some really basic general stuff

00:14:33.320 about how the world works.

00:14:35.580 So, that's my,

00:14:36.540 that's my current working hypothesis,

00:14:38.700 is that he's just under-informed

00:14:40.200 and a little bit,

00:14:40.980 and not too bright.

00:14:42.660 Here's how you fix it.

00:14:44.900 See if he can get somebody

00:14:46.400 to get to Soros and say,

00:14:47.840 you're aiming at the wrong target.

00:14:51.600 If you want to make a difference,

00:14:53.360 you can get everybody on your side.

00:14:55.940 You can fix,

00:14:57.360 well, I mean,

00:14:57.700 with his amount of influence,

00:14:59.180 he could probably

00:15:00.060 make a big difference

00:15:01.980 in fixing school systems

00:15:03.820 and the teachers unions,

00:15:05.700 et cetera.

00:15:06.920 So,

00:15:07.700 instead of trying to destroy George Soros,

00:15:11.000 I would take the,

00:15:11.960 uh,

00:15:12.320 the stalker philosophy.

00:15:14.700 Do you know how you stop a stalker?

00:15:16.540 Have I ever taught you this?

00:15:19.320 This is something I learned

00:15:20.300 from somebody

00:15:20.880 who was an expert

00:15:21.580 at stopping stalkers.

00:15:23.860 Do you know how you stop them?

00:15:26.000 You don't.

00:15:27.420 It's not,

00:15:27.820 it's not possible.

00:15:28.920 Because whatever turns somebody

00:15:30.360 into a stalker

00:15:31.220 doesn't turn off.

00:15:33.380 The only thing you could do

00:15:34.900 is make it harder

00:15:36.180 to stalk one person,

00:15:38.500 and they will move

00:15:39.620 their stalking impulse

00:15:40.600 to another person,

00:15:42.000 which is horrible.

00:15:43.080 But,

00:15:44.580 if you're working

00:15:45.200 for one client,

00:15:46.800 it's good enough

00:15:47.560 for that client.

00:15:49.020 Because it gets the stalker

00:15:50.560 into another stalking situation

00:15:52.020 away from you.

00:15:54.540 I suspect

00:15:55.560 that Soros

00:15:56.680 needs to do something

00:15:57.840 or wants to do something

00:15:58.900 very badly

00:15:59.520 about what he would see

00:16:01.640 as social injustices.

00:16:04.000 And he wants to do something.

00:16:06.100 So,

00:16:06.420 instead of

00:16:06.960 criticizing him

00:16:08.040 for doing the wrong thing,

00:16:09.260 maybe move him

00:16:09.980 to another target.

00:16:11.180 Move him to the teachers'

00:16:12.120 unions

00:16:12.540 to try to

00:16:14.720 neutralize

00:16:15.720 their negative influence.

00:16:18.340 I feel like

00:16:19.300 he could be converted.

00:16:23.080 Scott,

00:16:23.580 do you know Bill Gates

00:16:24.420 personally?

00:16:25.000 No,

00:16:25.320 I've never,

00:16:25.860 I've never even

00:16:26.720 been in the same room

00:16:27.760 with him.

00:16:28.500 Never had any

00:16:29.180 contact whatsoever.

00:16:32.720 And I don't know

00:16:33.540 who could get

00:16:34.260 to George Soros

00:16:35.180 or how,

00:16:35.840 or maybe get to his son,

00:16:37.080 maybe that's the way to go.

00:16:38.500 I don't know.

00:16:38.960 But I feel as if

00:16:40.620 his influence

00:16:41.500 is

00:16:42.140 perhaps,

00:16:44.380 perhaps,

00:16:46.480 well,

00:16:46.780 well-intentioned.

00:16:50.560 How many of you

00:16:51.660 would

00:16:51.940 would accept

00:16:53.500 that

00:16:53.800 his intentions,

00:16:56.000 they don't seem

00:16:56.800 to be going well,

00:16:58.300 but don't you think

00:16:59.380 he's

00:16:59.660 trying to help?

00:17:00.700 I think

00:17:04.880 the people

00:17:05.220 who say

00:17:05.540 he's not

00:17:06.080 trying to help,

00:17:08.100 what is he

00:17:09.500 trying to do?

00:17:12.060 What do you think

00:17:12.740 he's trying to do?

00:17:14.700 Do you think

00:17:15.180 he's trying

00:17:15.520 to destroy America?

00:17:23.120 Hitler was

00:17:23.840 saving the world,

00:17:24.620 he thought.

00:17:25.580 No,

00:17:26.040 he didn't.

00:17:26.660 Right.

00:17:29.980 Well,

00:17:30.360 here's the thing.

00:17:31.820 Most people

00:17:32.560 mean well.

00:17:34.960 Most.

00:17:35.760 It's kind of

00:17:36.240 unusual if somebody

00:17:37.160 would do something

00:17:37.760 this high profile

00:17:39.700 and had bad

00:17:40.760 intentions.

00:17:42.120 It's kind of

00:17:42.780 rare.

00:17:44.020 Maybe.

00:17:45.040 Yeah,

00:17:45.320 I can't read his mind,

00:17:46.300 so I don't know.

00:17:47.100 But I would say

00:17:47.580 the most basic,

00:17:53.060 oh,

00:17:54.060 there's another

00:17:54.640 chart on locals

00:17:56.260 that I don't

00:17:56.620 believe.

00:17:58.160 Let me tell you,

00:17:59.000 there's no chart

00:18:00.000 of COVID

00:18:00.700 vaccinations

00:18:01.480 masks that I

00:18:02.520 believe.

00:18:04.020 You could just

00:18:04.820 stop pasting them.

00:18:06.500 They have no

00:18:07.180 credibility whatsoever.

00:18:08.420 Some of them

00:18:08.800 might be true,

00:18:09.980 but there's just

00:18:10.760 no credibility

00:18:11.460 in any pandemic

00:18:12.740 data anymore,

00:18:13.780 or if there ever

00:18:14.580 was.

00:18:15.820 All right,

00:18:16.140 well,

00:18:16.260 there's a story

00:18:16.640 about Sean King.

00:18:17.680 You remember

00:18:18.000 Sean King?

00:18:20.180 Described as a

00:18:20.980 Black Lives Matter

00:18:21.940 activist.

00:18:23.980 And

00:18:24.420 apparently he

00:18:25.800 raised a lot

00:18:26.380 of money

00:18:26.660 in his

00:18:26.940 political

00:18:27.500 pack.

00:18:29.560 And he

00:18:30.040 used

00:18:30.440 about 40%

00:18:32.500 of all the

00:18:32.860 money he

00:18:33.200 used to

00:18:33.860 buy a dog.

00:18:36.080 He bought

00:18:36.740 a $40,000

00:18:37.560 dog as a

00:18:39.060 family pet.

00:18:41.540 Let me say

00:18:42.300 that again.

00:18:44.340 This is an

00:18:45.140 allegation.

00:18:46.340 I don't,

00:18:46.980 you know,

00:18:47.280 I'm not making

00:18:48.200 an allegation.

00:18:48.740 But the

00:18:49.160 news is

00:18:49.620 alleging

00:18:50.240 that Sean

00:18:51.480 King,

00:18:51.920 BLM

00:18:52.480 activist,

00:18:54.180 used something

00:18:55.160 like,

00:18:55.600 you know,

00:18:55.820 a huge

00:18:56.040 portion of

00:18:56.640 all the

00:18:56.920 money donated

00:18:57.680 to the

00:18:58.080 political

00:18:58.360 action

00:18:58.720 committee

00:18:59.100 to purchase

00:19:00.360 a $40,000

00:19:01.260 dog for

00:19:01.940 his family.

00:19:03.760 Now,

00:19:04.440 here's the

00:19:05.500 first question

00:19:06.100 you might

00:19:06.440 ask yourself.

00:19:08.500 Isn't this

00:19:09.140 a little too

00:19:09.560 on the nose?

00:19:12.760 I think I

00:19:13.560 saw this

00:19:13.860 in Fox

00:19:14.320 News.

00:19:15.460 It's a

00:19:15.800 little too

00:19:16.120 on the

00:19:16.440 nose,

00:19:16.800 isn't it?

00:19:19.320 You believe

00:19:19.920 this?

00:19:21.460 Do you

00:19:21.700 think he

00:19:21.940 bought a

00:19:22.300 $40,000

00:19:23.100 dog with

00:19:23.980 his BLM

00:19:24.620 funds?

00:19:26.940 Maybe.

00:19:27.720 And then

00:19:28.000 the rest of

00:19:28.420 the story

00:19:28.740 says that

00:19:29.280 it turned

00:19:29.580 out not

00:19:29.960 to be a

00:19:30.300 good family

00:19:30.980 dog,

00:19:31.360 so he

00:19:31.560 gave it

00:19:31.860 back.

00:19:32.960 I don't

00:19:33.300 know if

00:19:33.500 he got

00:19:33.720 his money

00:19:34.060 back.

00:19:34.760 It was

00:19:34.980 some kind

00:19:35.300 of like

00:19:35.600 prize special

00:19:36.840 dog,

00:19:37.440 you know,

00:19:37.720 a dog

00:19:38.100 show dog

00:19:38.780 that was

00:19:39.540 going to

00:19:39.780 win dog

00:19:40.240 shows,

00:19:40.640 I guess.

00:19:41.780 But it

00:19:42.060 was,

00:19:42.280 you know,

00:19:42.780 too rambunctious

00:19:43.560 for a family

00:19:44.140 dog,

00:19:44.520 so he had to

00:19:44.840 give it

00:19:46.120 two on

00:19:48.700 the nose.

00:19:49.220 I don't

00:19:49.460 know.

00:19:50.020 I feel as

00:19:50.780 if there's

00:19:51.120 something

00:19:51.380 missing in

00:19:52.000 the context

00:19:52.560 of the

00:19:52.880 story,

00:19:53.340 because it's

00:19:53.720 a little

00:19:53.980 too neat.

00:19:55.180 I want to

00:19:55.980 believe it

00:19:56.400 because,

00:19:57.460 you know,

00:19:57.760 my bias

00:19:58.340 makes me

00:19:58.940 want to

00:19:59.400 believe that

00:19:59.800 he bought

00:20:00.080 a $40,000

00:20:00.780 dog.

00:20:03.060 You know,

00:20:03.560 I want to

00:20:04.000 think that

00:20:04.340 he was that

00:20:04.960 ridiculous.

00:20:06.840 I can't

00:20:07.560 go there.

00:20:08.640 I can't

00:20:09.260 get all the

00:20:09.680 way to

00:20:09.920 believing this

00:20:10.440 story.

00:20:10.920 I want to,

00:20:12.140 but I can't

00:20:12.780 get there.

00:20:14.980 Speaking of

00:20:15.600 fake news,

00:20:16.680 you all

00:20:17.000 know the

00:20:17.280 story of

00:20:17.680 Jon Stewart

00:20:18.380 advocating for

00:20:19.460 the veterans,

00:20:20.340 funding for

00:20:20.920 health care,

00:20:21.560 especially over

00:20:22.140 those burn

00:20:22.700 pits,

00:20:23.260 etc.

00:20:24.180 And the

00:20:24.840 story goes

00:20:25.440 that there

00:20:26.300 was some

00:20:26.620 early bill

00:20:27.220 that the

00:20:27.660 GOP liked,

00:20:28.760 but then they

00:20:29.380 said no to

00:20:30.460 the bill when

00:20:31.040 it was the

00:20:31.760 final bill,

00:20:32.920 but nothing

00:20:33.440 had changed.

00:20:34.700 And then all

00:20:35.880 the people on

00:20:36.360 the right said,

00:20:37.760 Jon Stewart,

00:20:38.500 you are so

00:20:39.140 uninformed.

00:20:40.900 You don't

00:20:41.560 realize that the

00:20:42.460 Republicans

00:20:43.020 voted against

00:20:44.420 it because

00:20:45.940 it had a

00:20:46.640 bunch of

00:20:46.900 pork in

00:20:47.280 there.

00:20:48.160 How many

00:20:48.760 of you

00:20:49.060 believe that's

00:20:49.760 the correct

00:20:50.400 story?

00:20:51.540 That Jon

00:20:52.060 Stewart was

00:20:52.680 uninformed about

00:20:54.560 all the pork in

00:20:55.320 there, and so

00:20:56.360 he got excited

00:20:57.320 and didn't realize

00:20:58.420 that the reason

00:20:59.520 the GOP didn't

00:21:00.280 like it was

00:21:00.920 because of all

00:21:01.320 the pork.

00:21:02.340 Is that what

00:21:02.960 you believe

00:21:03.340 happened?

00:21:04.680 Well, so of

00:21:06.120 course, Jon

00:21:06.640 Stewart looked

00:21:07.140 into it.

00:21:08.300 You know, he

00:21:08.580 got trolled to

00:21:09.600 death on

00:21:10.000 Twitter over

00:21:10.720 his complete

00:21:12.460 lack of

00:21:13.060 knowledge of

00:21:13.680 the bill, so

00:21:14.460 he looked into

00:21:15.020 it and he

00:21:15.820 concluded this.

00:21:18.260 This bill is

00:21:19.300 utterly and

00:21:20.000 completely focused

00:21:21.120 on veterans

00:21:21.720 issues.

00:21:22.760 There is no

00:21:23.620 pork in it.

00:21:24.600 It is a

00:21:25.080 kosher bill.

00:21:25.920 I'd say halal,

00:21:26.840 but I know

00:21:27.500 he was joking

00:21:29.140 about, he

00:21:29.800 couldn't say

00:21:30.160 that on Fox,

00:21:30.980 just jokingly.

00:21:32.960 And so

00:21:35.500 what do you

00:21:35.760 think?

00:21:37.020 So Jon

00:21:37.800 Stewart looked

00:21:38.360 at it, and

00:21:39.800 the allegations

00:21:41.500 were that it

00:21:42.080 was full of

00:21:42.520 pork, and

00:21:43.240 he looked at

00:21:43.780 it, and

00:21:44.000 it wasn't

00:21:44.340 there.

00:21:46.120 So which

00:21:47.280 one of your

00:21:48.000 conspiracies

00:21:48.800 theories do

00:21:49.540 you think is

00:21:50.060 right there?

00:21:51.460 Now, I

00:21:52.580 don't know

00:21:52.880 the answer.

00:21:53.960 Do you?

00:21:55.560 Because I've

00:21:56.220 heard from

00:21:56.700 credible sources

00:21:57.600 that it's

00:21:58.060 full of pork,

00:21:59.200 and now if

00:22:00.960 Jon Stewart

00:22:01.540 looked at it

00:22:02.260 to find out

00:22:02.880 if there was

00:22:03.340 pork in

00:22:03.740 there and

00:22:04.020 says it's

00:22:04.400 not there,

00:22:04.900 he's a

00:22:05.240 credible source

00:22:05.860 too.

00:22:06.700 I consider

00:22:07.480 him a

00:22:07.880 credible source.

00:22:08.540 So if he

00:22:09.820 looked at

00:22:10.320 it, carefully,

00:22:11.860 like it'd

00:22:12.140 be one

00:22:12.420 thing if

00:22:12.700 he hadn't

00:22:13.000 looked at

00:22:13.400 it, but

00:22:14.240 if he did

00:22:14.600 look at

00:22:15.020 it, and

00:22:16.120 he's saying

00:22:16.480 there's no

00:22:17.280 pork,

00:22:21.560 yeah, now

00:22:22.280 we have to

00:22:23.440 read it,

00:22:23.820 right?

00:22:24.560 Why can't

00:22:25.100 the news

00:22:25.520 settle to

00:22:26.260 Jon Stewart

00:22:27.020 and pundits

00:22:29.080 on Twitter

00:22:29.580 to tell us

00:22:30.680 what's in

00:22:31.040 the bill?

00:22:31.880 That's pretty

00:22:32.380 bad.

00:22:33.700 So I'm

00:22:34.440 going to

00:22:34.780 revise what

00:22:36.200 I said about

00:22:37.280 this situation,

00:22:38.540 to at

00:22:39.180 least be

00:22:39.540 open to

00:22:40.240 the possibility

00:22:40.860 that Jon

00:22:41.680 Stewart is

00:22:42.160 completely

00:22:42.600 right.

00:22:43.580 There's

00:22:43.760 probably

00:22:44.020 some,

00:22:44.680 it was

00:22:47.220 one word,

00:22:51.520 it's about

00:22:53.640 mandatory

00:22:54.080 spending versus

00:22:54.940 discretionary

00:22:55.840 spending.

00:22:57.040 But if

00:22:57.760 Jon Stewart

00:22:58.360 doesn't care

00:22:58.960 about that,

00:23:00.140 why do we

00:23:00.600 care about

00:23:00.940 that?

00:23:04.660 The CBO

00:23:05.600 score?

00:23:06.100 Dems moved

00:23:10.260 a budgeting

00:23:10.840 gimmick of

00:23:11.700 $400 billion

00:23:12.320 of discretionary.

00:23:14.260 Well, so?

00:23:16.360 How is that

00:23:17.500 relevant to

00:23:18.180 Jon Stewart's

00:23:18.900 issue?

00:23:19.500 Does Jon

00:23:19.920 Stewart care,

00:23:21.160 does he care

00:23:22.080 where the money

00:23:22.580 came from?

00:23:23.860 I don't see

00:23:24.920 your point.

00:23:26.620 I understand

00:23:27.540 that it's a

00:23:28.080 gimmick, but

00:23:29.000 if it's a gimmick

00:23:29.660 he likes,

00:23:31.140 why can't he

00:23:31.980 like it?

00:23:35.540 I don't

00:23:36.140 get it yet.

00:23:41.020 So the

00:23:41.680 second part of

00:23:42.160 the story is

00:23:42.660 that Jack

00:23:43.480 Posobiec did

00:23:44.760 meet up with

00:23:46.460 Jon Stewart

00:23:46.860 in person.

00:23:47.940 There's a

00:23:48.320 video on

00:23:49.120 Jack's feed,

00:23:50.360 you can see

00:23:50.780 it, in which

00:23:51.960 he and Jon

00:23:52.640 Stewart shook

00:23:53.840 hands and

00:23:54.440 agreed to

00:23:54.980 work together

00:23:55.660 to get the

00:23:56.260 veterans their

00:23:56.880 funding.

00:23:57.200 which, by

00:24:01.880 the way, I

00:24:02.880 thought was

00:24:03.200 one of the

00:24:03.580 coolest things

00:24:04.160 I've seen in

00:24:04.660 a long time.

00:24:06.320 You know, it

00:24:06.800 feels like

00:24:07.240 there's one

00:24:07.720 thing we

00:24:08.080 should be

00:24:08.380 able to

00:24:08.600 agree on,

00:24:09.900 taking care

00:24:11.000 of veterans.

00:24:13.000 How in the

00:24:13.740 world can

00:24:15.780 we not get

00:24:16.320 that done?

00:24:17.600 So I'm

00:24:18.200 at least,

00:24:18.660 you know,

00:24:19.040 I'm impressed

00:24:19.940 that Jack

00:24:21.860 Posobiec is

00:24:23.860 able to,

00:24:24.660 you know,

00:24:26.500 make that

00:24:26.920 connection and

00:24:27.660 I am very

00:24:28.540 impressed with

00:24:29.140 Jon Stewart

00:24:29.660 who was

00:24:30.140 willing to

00:24:30.820 accept that,

00:24:31.980 you know,

00:24:32.800 contact and

00:24:34.400 even put it

00:24:34.860 on video.

00:24:35.520 He was

00:24:35.920 willing to

00:24:36.380 accept that

00:24:37.240 just to

00:24:38.600 get it

00:24:38.840 done.

00:24:40.600 Now, I

00:24:41.860 see what

00:24:42.160 you're saying

00:24:42.440 on the

00:24:42.680 locals platform

00:24:44.000 everybody's

00:24:44.540 saying, but

00:24:44.840 there was a

00:24:45.580 gimmick,

00:24:46.640 there was a

00:24:47.140 budgeting gimmick

00:24:48.060 that the

00:24:49.100 Republicans

00:24:49.700 disagreed

00:24:51.260 with.

00:24:52.100 So it's

00:24:52.600 the gimmick.

00:24:53.660 But if

00:24:54.960 Jon Stewart

00:24:55.640 doesn't care

00:24:56.240 about that

00:24:56.700 gimmick,

00:24:57.700 it doesn't

00:24:58.840 matter.

00:24:59.600 I mean, it

00:24:59.880 might be a

00:25:00.300 gimmick, but

00:25:00.900 what if it

00:25:02.440 gets the

00:25:02.820 money for

00:25:03.180 the veterans?

00:25:06.120 I'm

00:25:06.560 missing the

00:25:06.960 whole point

00:25:07.340 here.

00:25:08.400 How is it

00:25:08.960 that we

00:25:09.180 got this

00:25:09.580 far?

00:25:11.900 There's a

00:25:12.480 $400 blank

00:25:13.460 check for

00:25:14.580 veterans'

00:25:14.980 health,

00:25:15.980 right?

00:25:18.920 You're

00:25:19.360 saying that

00:25:19.780 there's,

00:25:22.580 for using

00:25:23.420 the gimmick.

00:25:27.160 The gimmick

00:25:27.860 was there in

00:25:28.420 the prior

00:25:28.820 bill as

00:25:29.660 well as

00:25:30.000 this one.

00:25:30.880 So Jon

00:25:31.380 Stewart was

00:25:31.860 right that

00:25:32.840 not one

00:25:33.380 word of

00:25:33.740 the bill

00:25:34.040 changed from

00:25:35.520 the time

00:25:35.940 that all

00:25:36.280 the Republicans

00:25:36.800 voted for

00:25:37.440 it to the

00:25:37.840 time they

00:25:38.160 didn't.

00:25:42.060 So look

00:25:43.200 at how

00:25:43.440 confused you

00:25:44.120 are in

00:25:44.400 this story.

00:25:45.200 So I'm

00:25:45.860 just looking

00:25:46.160 at the

00:25:46.380 comments.

00:25:46.800 They're all

00:25:46.980 over the

00:25:47.240 place.

00:25:48.820 So here's

00:25:49.460 the thing

00:25:49.840 that we

00:25:50.900 can conclude.

00:25:52.380 We don't

00:25:53.020 know what's

00:25:53.400 in the

00:25:53.620 bill.

00:25:54.780 We're not

00:25:55.380 so sure

00:25:55.780 that anybody

00:25:56.200 does.

00:25:58.100 That's what

00:25:58.640 I can tell.

00:26:00.180 If the

00:26:01.700 reason that

00:26:02.260 we're arguing

00:26:02.800 it is there's

00:26:03.440 something

00:26:03.820 confusing in

00:26:04.940 it, then I

00:26:06.460 would have

00:26:06.760 voted against

00:26:07.320 it, frankly.

00:26:09.920 Let me put

00:26:10.560 it this way.

00:26:11.140 If you can

00:26:11.540 have this

00:26:13.020 discussion,

00:26:14.380 then the

00:26:14.920 GOP is

00:26:15.520 right to

00:26:15.880 vote against

00:26:16.300 it.

00:26:16.520 Would you

00:26:19.780 accept that?

00:26:20.820 The fact

00:26:21.540 that we're

00:26:21.880 having a

00:26:22.280 discussion

00:26:22.680 where we

00:26:23.160 can't figure

00:26:23.880 out what's

00:26:24.300 in the

00:26:24.520 bill, that's

00:26:25.280 a good

00:26:25.480 enough reason

00:26:25.960 not to

00:26:26.440 vote for

00:26:26.920 it.

00:26:28.140 I would

00:26:28.740 vote against

00:26:29.180 anything that's

00:26:29.720 not clear.

00:26:31.100 So if it's

00:26:31.780 not clear, I'd

00:26:32.500 vote against

00:26:32.880 it.

00:26:33.260 I might

00:26:33.600 vote against

00:26:34.060 anything that's

00:26:34.640 misnamed,

00:26:35.720 too.

00:26:37.800 Wouldn't

00:26:38.080 you love

00:26:38.400 that?

00:26:39.920 Maybe

00:26:40.320 there should

00:26:40.960 be a law

00:26:41.360 that the

00:26:41.940 only titles

00:26:43.060 for bills

00:26:43.640 can come

00:26:44.160 from AI.

00:26:45.720 So AI

00:26:46.380 can read

00:26:46.860 the content

00:26:47.340 of the

00:26:47.640 bill and

00:26:47.940 then create

00:26:48.320 a title,

00:26:48.940 but humans

00:26:49.560 aren't allowed

00:26:50.040 to do it

00:26:50.420 anymore because

00:26:51.240 we'd all be

00:26:51.740 liars.

00:26:54.020 There's the

00:26:54.600 first example.

00:26:57.340 Now somebody

00:26:57.880 says the

00:26:58.320 $400 billion

00:26:59.060 in the bill

00:26:59.960 is not for

00:27:00.520 vets.

00:27:01.120 Now, maybe

00:27:02.780 you're right,

00:27:03.880 but answer

00:27:04.460 me this.

00:27:05.600 Do you

00:27:05.900 think Jon

00:27:06.440 Stewart is

00:27:07.100 not smart

00:27:07.680 enough to

00:27:09.100 read the

00:27:09.500 bill and

00:27:10.400 not know

00:27:11.900 that it's

00:27:12.260 for veterans?

00:27:12.780 So I

00:27:15.760 get what

00:27:16.540 you're saying

00:27:16.900 about the

00:27:17.320 $400 million

00:27:18.500 not being

00:27:19.540 specified.

00:27:22.940 So you're

00:27:23.780 saying that

00:27:24.180 Jon Stewart

00:27:24.620 simply can't

00:27:25.280 read the

00:27:25.580 bill.

00:27:28.940 I'm not

00:27:29.520 going to

00:27:29.680 buy that.

00:27:30.600 Sorry.

00:27:31.540 I mean,

00:27:31.800 it might be

00:27:32.200 true.

00:27:33.300 It might be

00:27:33.840 true.

00:27:35.140 All right,

00:27:35.460 so here's

00:27:36.920 what I think.

00:27:37.400 I think both

00:27:37.880 sides don't

00:27:38.420 understand this

00:27:39.060 one.

00:27:39.200 My guess

00:27:41.080 is that

00:27:41.420 nobody

00:27:41.700 understands

00:27:42.220 what's

00:27:42.480 going on.

00:27:42.900 Look,

00:27:43.240 maybe

00:27:43.580 literally

00:27:43.980 nobody.

00:27:45.240 I mean,

00:27:45.520 maybe Jack

00:27:47.800 Pasavik and

00:27:49.180 Jon Stewart

00:27:50.460 can sit

00:27:50.940 with some

00:27:51.500 senators and

00:27:53.140 figure out

00:27:53.700 what the

00:27:54.000 hell's going

00:27:54.460 on.

00:27:55.600 And I

00:27:56.160 think that's

00:27:56.520 the plan.

00:27:57.020 I think

00:27:57.280 Jack wants

00:27:57.920 to bring

00:27:59.540 the parties

00:27:59.960 together as

00:28:00.860 much as he

00:28:01.380 can and

00:28:01.840 see if they

00:28:02.360 can even

00:28:02.680 understand

00:28:03.080 what's in

00:28:03.460 the bill.

00:28:07.560 Somebody

00:28:08.000 says they

00:28:08.440 read the

00:28:08.820 bill,

00:28:09.200 and they

00:28:09.400 think

00:28:09.660 Stewart

00:28:10.300 is

00:28:10.520 correct.

00:28:12.400 So,

00:28:13.160 here's

00:28:13.580 something we

00:28:14.040 can conclude.

00:28:15.480 People

00:28:15.840 who have

00:28:16.120 read the

00:28:16.460 bill have

00:28:16.820 different

00:28:17.140 opinions

00:28:17.540 what's in

00:28:18.000 it.

00:28:18.220 Would you

00:28:18.520 agree with

00:28:18.880 that statement?

00:28:20.100 Would you

00:28:20.460 agree with

00:28:20.900 the following

00:28:21.320 statement?

00:28:21.960 That people

00:28:22.400 who have

00:28:22.860 read the

00:28:23.200 bill disagree

00:28:24.660 on what's

00:28:25.240 in it?

00:28:26.000 Is that

00:28:26.480 fair to

00:28:26.820 say?

00:28:30.320 All right.

00:28:31.320 So,

00:28:31.680 if people

00:28:32.040 who read

00:28:32.480 the bill

00:28:32.780 disagree

00:28:33.340 what's in

00:28:33.860 it,

00:28:34.040 should you

00:28:34.600 vote for

00:28:35.240 it?

00:28:36.000 No.

00:28:36.820 No.

00:28:37.360 The fact

00:28:37.820 that people

00:28:38.200 disagree on

00:28:39.060 what it

00:28:39.380 says,

00:28:39.920 that's

00:28:40.260 reason to

00:28:40.680 vote against

00:28:41.080 it.

00:28:41.720 So,

00:28:41.980 I'm going

00:28:42.140 to go with

00:28:43.120 the GOP

00:28:43.820 on this.

00:28:44.680 I didn't

00:28:45.060 think I'd

00:28:45.460 end up

00:28:45.720 here,

00:28:45.920 by the

00:28:46.100 way.

00:28:47.400 I thought

00:28:48.220 I was

00:28:48.460 going to

00:28:48.640 end up,

00:28:49.740 what the

00:28:50.160 hell's

00:28:50.380 wrong with

00:28:50.740 the GOP,

00:28:51.460 being too

00:28:51.960 political or

00:28:52.620 something.

00:28:53.260 But if you

00:28:53.880 tell me that

00:28:54.420 this many

00:28:54.920 people who

00:28:55.500 actually read

00:28:56.080 the fucking

00:28:56.620 bill don't

00:28:57.100 even know

00:28:57.400 what's in

00:28:57.720 it,

00:28:59.060 you don't

00:28:59.680 vote for

00:29:00.000 that bill.

00:29:01.340 I'm

00:29:01.640 completely on

00:29:02.280 board with

00:29:02.800 not voting

00:29:03.300 for bills you

00:29:03.840 don't understand.

00:29:05.100 That's got to

00:29:05.700 be a standard.

00:29:06.280 wouldn't you

00:29:07.800 love somebody

00:29:08.300 like,

00:29:08.900 you know,

00:29:10.080 some

00:29:10.280 candidate for

00:29:13.380 president to

00:29:14.020 say,

00:29:14.600 we have to

00:29:15.260 make bills

00:29:15.680 understandable or

00:29:16.620 you shouldn't

00:29:17.000 vote for them.

00:29:18.360 That's got to

00:29:19.000 be basic.

00:29:20.820 All right.

00:29:23.500 Here's some

00:29:24.180 possibly good

00:29:24.920 news or

00:29:25.440 possibly the

00:29:26.140 end of the

00:29:26.500 world.

00:29:26.880 You can

00:29:27.060 never tell.

00:29:27.660 But Ars

00:29:27.960 Technica is

00:29:30.520 reporting that

00:29:31.320 genetic

00:29:33.840 engineers in

00:29:34.620 China have

00:29:35.060 developed crops

00:29:35.800 that can

00:29:36.260 thrive with

00:29:37.240 less nitrogen.

00:29:39.380 And there's

00:29:39.840 a strain of

00:29:40.360 rice that's

00:29:40.960 40 to 70

00:29:41.740 percent higher

00:29:42.420 yield and

00:29:44.580 you wouldn't

00:29:44.840 need nitrogen.

00:29:45.660 Now nitrogen,

00:29:46.360 I guess,

00:29:46.680 comes from

00:29:47.120 burning,

00:29:48.620 is made

00:29:49.360 from natural

00:29:49.860 gas.

00:29:50.820 So it's

00:29:51.400 bad for the

00:29:52.220 environment to

00:29:52.820 make nitrogen,

00:29:53.500 they say.

00:29:54.160 So you

00:29:54.520 could grow

00:29:55.780 tons of

00:29:56.500 more rice

00:29:58.200 and use

00:30:00.440 less natural

00:30:02.360 gas.

00:30:03.820 What do you

00:30:04.140 think?

00:30:04.980 Do you think

00:30:05.640 that's a big

00:30:06.820 deal?

00:30:08.600 I saw one

00:30:09.240 critic say

00:30:10.020 nothing in

00:30:11.040 nature is

00:30:11.460 free and

00:30:12.480 if you get

00:30:12.980 more of

00:30:13.460 this grain

00:30:13.960 it might

00:30:14.560 have lower

00:30:15.500 nutritional

00:30:16.140 value or

00:30:16.800 something.

00:30:17.500 I don't

00:30:18.040 know.

00:30:19.220 I'm not

00:30:19.820 sure that

00:30:20.140 one leads

00:30:20.580 to the

00:30:20.820 other.

00:30:22.200 Are we

00:30:22.540 still watching?

00:30:23.260 We're tracking

00:30:23.680 the flight of

00:30:24.280 Nancy Pelosi's

00:30:25.100 flight.

00:30:26.160 See if it

00:30:26.580 gets shot

00:30:27.000 down.

00:30:27.980 All right.

00:30:28.640 Speaking of

00:30:29.180 shot down.

00:30:30.260 Anyway, the

00:30:30.620 good news is

00:30:31.240 maybe there

00:30:31.760 will be some

00:30:32.160 genetic strain

00:30:33.360 of plants

00:30:33.860 that don't

00:30:35.080 need fertilizer

00:30:35.780 because we

00:30:37.340 do have a

00:30:37.740 fertilizer shortage

00:30:38.600 as well as

00:30:39.320 we don't want

00:30:40.460 to use gas

00:30:41.040 for nitrogen

00:30:41.780 I guess.

00:30:46.580 So the

00:30:47.420 Al-Qaeda

00:30:47.820 leader,

00:30:49.260 Ayman

00:30:49.900 al-Zawahari,

00:30:52.180 got killed

00:30:53.100 by a

00:30:53.860 Biden

00:30:54.260 drone strike.

00:30:56.000 Took him

00:30:56.340 out on a

00:30:56.940 balcony in

00:30:57.780 Kabul.

00:30:58.200 and I

00:31:01.880 can't tell

00:31:02.320 if this

00:31:02.600 makes a

00:31:02.960 difference.

00:31:04.240 Killing

00:31:04.720 bin Laden

00:31:05.120 made a

00:31:05.460 difference

00:31:05.680 and we

00:31:06.000 definitely

00:31:06.320 needed to

00:31:06.780 kill this

00:31:07.100 guy.

00:31:07.660 So I'm

00:31:07.900 going to

00:31:08.080 give the

00:31:08.400 Biden

00:31:08.640 administration

00:31:09.260 full credit

00:31:10.620 with no

00:31:12.500 I don't

00:31:14.200 this look like

00:31:14.960 a clean

00:31:15.420 kill to me.

00:31:16.540 The reporting

00:31:17.300 looks like a

00:31:17.920 clean kill.

00:31:19.180 So if Trump

00:31:20.040 had done this

00:31:20.600 I'd be

00:31:21.040 applauding him.

00:31:22.040 So I'm

00:31:22.280 going to

00:31:22.540 applaud Biden.

00:31:23.340 it looks

00:31:23.780 like he

00:31:24.280 did a

00:31:24.820 nice

00:31:25.160 clean

00:31:25.620 kill.

00:31:28.640 There was

00:31:28.880 no

00:31:29.220 nobody

00:31:31.020 apparently

00:31:32.820 there were

00:31:33.160 no other

00:31:33.900 innocents

00:31:34.440 killed.

00:31:35.460 The weirdest

00:31:36.140 thing about

00:31:36.600 this story

00:31:37.080 is that

00:31:37.500 this top

00:31:38.320 Al-Qaeda

00:31:38.780 guy

00:31:39.140 has a

00:31:40.500 wife and

00:31:40.900 kids and

00:31:41.320 he travels

00:31:41.740 with them.

00:31:43.340 How do you

00:31:43.900 travel with

00:31:44.320 your wife

00:31:44.660 and kids

00:31:45.120 if you're

00:31:47.140 a top

00:31:47.600 terrorist?

00:31:47.980 But they

00:31:48.680 didn't get

00:31:49.020 hurt.

00:31:49.440 So I guess

00:31:49.780 that's good

00:31:50.160 news.

00:31:53.600 I don't

00:31:54.140 think it

00:31:54.360 makes any

00:31:54.680 difference.

00:31:55.640 I'm not

00:31:56.220 sure exactly

00:31:56.800 what Al-Qaeda

00:31:57.400 was doing

00:31:57.880 lately but

00:31:58.440 it doesn't

00:31:59.360 seem like

00:31:59.760 it would

00:31:59.940 make much

00:32:00.300 of a

00:32:00.500 difference

00:32:00.760 these days.

00:32:03.420 So there

00:32:04.060 was a

00:32:04.340 study looking

00:32:05.500 at the

00:32:05.820 conflicts of

00:32:06.500 interest for

00:32:07.980 members of

00:32:08.600 the U.S.

00:32:09.280 2020

00:32:09.720 Dietary

00:32:10.520 Guidelines

00:32:11.180 Advisory

00:32:11.940 Committee.

00:32:13.080 So the

00:32:13.460 government has

00:32:14.040 this advisory

00:32:14.760 committee to

00:32:16.240 come up with

00:32:16.680 dietary

00:32:17.300 guidelines.

00:32:18.560 Now wouldn't

00:32:19.160 it be a

00:32:19.540 problem,

00:32:20.560 just asking,

00:32:21.920 if the

00:32:22.600 people who

00:32:23.240 came up

00:32:23.660 with the

00:32:24.040 dietary

00:32:24.440 guidelines

00:32:25.140 had conflicts

00:32:26.900 of interest

00:32:27.600 with big

00:32:28.800 food companies?

00:32:32.080 That would

00:32:32.500 be a problem,

00:32:33.060 right?

00:32:33.440 Because you

00:32:33.840 wouldn't want

00:32:34.260 your dietary

00:32:36.040 guideline

00:32:36.740 advisory committee

00:32:37.820 to be a

00:32:38.620 bunch of

00:32:39.060 people who

00:32:39.600 work for

00:32:40.060 big food

00:32:41.100 companies.

00:32:41.640 Then all

00:32:42.020 your guidelines

00:32:42.500 would be

00:32:42.880 ridiculous.

00:32:44.460 So the

00:32:44.840 study looked

00:32:45.300 to see how

00:32:45.900 many people

00:32:46.740 on the

00:32:47.300 dietary

00:32:48.680 guidelines

00:32:49.280 advisory

00:32:49.760 committee

00:32:50.200 had conflicts

00:32:51.040 of interest

00:32:51.440 and it

00:32:51.720 was 95%.

00:32:52.820 95%.

00:32:59.520 The

00:33:02.040 dietary

00:33:02.760 guidelines

00:33:03.260 for the

00:33:04.440 United States,

00:33:06.100 95% of the

00:33:07.460 people on it

00:33:08.100 had a

00:33:08.580 conflict of

00:33:09.260 interest.

00:33:09.660 You know,

00:33:13.200 you know that

00:33:14.040 January 6th

00:33:14.860 insurrection?

00:33:17.540 I was a

00:33:18.220 little underpowered.

00:33:20.500 You know,

00:33:20.880 you see shit

00:33:22.040 like this and

00:33:23.040 you do want to

00:33:23.720 overthrow your

00:33:24.460 fucking country,

00:33:25.280 don't you?

00:33:26.640 They're actually

00:33:28.000 poisoning the

00:33:29.180 citizens with

00:33:30.780 incompetence.

00:33:32.240 Our government

00:33:33.520 and conflict

00:33:34.960 of interest,

00:33:35.760 they're poisoning

00:33:36.960 the country

00:33:37.740 because they're

00:33:40.480 incompetent

00:33:41.560 and in the

00:33:42.200 bag and

00:33:42.780 conflict of

00:33:43.560 interest.

00:33:45.800 Motherfuckers.

00:33:47.940 Can I use

00:33:48.780 the C word

00:33:49.300 to describe

00:33:50.340 the government?

00:33:52.420 Would anybody

00:33:53.040 have any

00:33:53.880 objections to

00:33:54.540 that?

00:33:55.500 If you don't

00:33:56.220 like to hear

00:33:56.600 that word,

00:33:57.080 you probably

00:33:57.380 want to

00:33:58.260 mute it for

00:33:58.900 a minute.

00:34:00.140 But I

00:34:01.640 don't think

00:34:02.060 there's any

00:34:02.460 way to

00:34:02.780 describe

00:34:03.400 95%

00:34:05.000 of the

00:34:05.280 people on

00:34:05.720 that

00:34:05.900 Dietary

00:34:06.660 Guidelines

00:34:07.580 Advisory

00:34:08.140 Committee

00:34:08.500 having

00:34:08.840 conflict of

00:34:09.600 interest

00:34:09.840 other than

00:34:10.520 fucking

00:34:11.820 cunts.

00:34:13.500 You

00:34:13.700 fucking

00:34:14.480 cunts.

00:34:15.760 Right in

00:34:16.520 front of

00:34:16.820 us.

00:34:17.900 Right in

00:34:18.460 front of

00:34:18.740 us.

00:34:19.340 You put

00:34:19.840 these

00:34:20.240 fucking

00:34:21.480 conflict of

00:34:22.900 interest

00:34:23.140 people on

00:34:23.880 the most

00:34:24.320 important

00:34:24.880 advisory

00:34:26.060 committee

00:34:26.460 in the

00:34:27.100 whole

00:34:27.460 fucking

00:34:28.000 world.

00:34:29.060 Tell me

00:34:29.520 one advisory

00:34:30.360 committee that

00:34:31.000 has more

00:34:31.840 impact than

00:34:32.680 the dietary

00:34:33.460 advisory

00:34:34.180 committee for

00:34:35.080 the fucking

00:34:35.780 government of

00:34:37.120 the United

00:34:37.560 States.

00:34:38.680 Nothing is

00:34:40.120 worse than

00:34:40.640 this story.

00:34:42.440 Now I

00:34:43.020 don't know

00:34:43.480 how that

00:34:44.040 conflict of

00:34:44.700 interest

00:34:44.960 necessarily

00:34:45.640 translated into

00:34:46.660 the guidelines,

00:34:47.780 but I

00:34:48.580 don't also

00:34:49.180 care.

00:34:50.360 I don't

00:34:51.160 fucking

00:34:51.600 care.

00:34:52.600 If you

00:34:53.320 look at

00:34:53.680 how bad

00:34:54.380 this is,

00:34:56.260 what's

00:34:57.880 worse than

00:34:58.300 this?

00:34:59.260 Name

00:34:59.680 anything that

00:35:00.440 the government

00:35:00.940 has done

00:35:01.340 that's worse

00:35:01.840 than this.

00:35:02.680 You

00:35:03.100 can't.

00:35:04.320 Vaccinations?

00:35:05.440 Nope.

00:35:06.640 Nope.

00:35:07.520 If everything

00:35:08.280 you said about

00:35:08.960 vaccinations is

00:35:09.840 true, like the

00:35:10.440 worst conspiracy

00:35:11.520 theory, it's

00:35:12.800 not even close

00:35:13.480 to this.

00:35:14.660 This is

00:35:15.660 controlling what

00:35:16.680 everybody puts

00:35:17.400 in their body

00:35:18.020 five times a

00:35:19.640 day.

00:35:21.340 There's

00:35:21.900 nothing worse

00:35:22.500 than this.

00:35:23.440 Nothing.

00:35:24.400 This is so

00:35:25.240 fucking bad, I

00:35:26.340 can't even

00:35:26.720 believe it, and

00:35:27.800 it will never

00:35:28.240 be even treated

00:35:28.980 as a story.

00:35:29.780 It's just a

00:35:30.180 study, people

00:35:30.860 read it,

00:35:31.380 whatever.

00:35:32.680 Now, let's

00:35:33.720 do the

00:35:34.020 FDA.

00:35:35.460 Any

00:35:35.940 conflicts of

00:35:37.000 interest in

00:35:37.580 the FDA or

00:35:38.500 the CDC?

00:35:39.700 The whole

00:35:40.440 thing is just

00:35:41.100 conflict of

00:35:41.800 interest.

00:35:43.020 It's all

00:35:43.480 fucking

00:35:43.860 government, and

00:35:44.520 all the most

00:35:45.020 important decisions

00:35:45.880 is just

00:35:46.360 conflict of

00:35:47.040 interest.

00:35:48.780 And it's

00:35:49.480 sort of laying

00:35:50.040 right out there

00:35:50.620 where we can

00:35:51.140 go look at it

00:35:51.800 ourselves, and

00:35:52.620 there it is.

00:35:53.140 So, I'll

00:35:56.260 tell you, it's

00:35:58.260 hard to support

00:35:59.040 a government

00:35:59.540 that's not

00:36:00.780 trying.

00:36:03.380 Yeah, I'm

00:36:04.040 very forgiving

00:36:04.680 of mistakes.

00:36:06.000 If Biden had

00:36:07.160 tried to kill

00:36:07.920 Zauhari and

00:36:08.920 killed some

00:36:09.420 civilians and

00:36:10.220 missed Zauhari,

00:36:11.700 I would be

00:36:12.720 telling you it

00:36:13.340 was still a

00:36:13.680 good try.

00:36:15.300 And I'm

00:36:15.800 sorry about the

00:36:16.420 victims, but

00:36:17.140 mistakes are

00:36:19.140 mistakes.

00:36:20.400 It was still

00:36:21.360 a good try.

00:36:22.620 So, I'm not

00:36:23.380 the guy who

00:36:23.840 gets on

00:36:24.180 mistakes, but

00:36:25.920 this isn't a

00:36:26.580 fucking mistake.

00:36:28.280 This is the

00:36:29.060 system.

00:36:29.880 This is the

00:36:30.380 way it's

00:36:30.640 designed,

00:36:31.260 apparently, to

00:36:32.160 bring in all

00:36:32.660 these conflict

00:36:33.280 of interest

00:36:33.720 people and

00:36:34.320 put them in

00:36:34.940 the wrong

00:36:35.240 positions.

00:36:36.700 So, you

00:36:37.520 fucking

00:36:38.000 cunts for

00:36:41.880 poisoning the

00:36:42.700 country.

00:36:45.020 It's hard to

00:36:46.160 even generate

00:36:47.820 the right amount

00:36:48.640 of outrage for

00:36:49.440 this.

00:36:50.380 It's just

00:36:50.940 hard to do.

00:36:52.280 Well, let's

00:36:52.920 talk about the

00:36:53.480 misery index.

00:36:54.980 There's something

00:36:55.440 called the

00:36:55.800 misery index that

00:36:57.620 is an unusual

00:36:58.480 model for

00:36:59.040 economists, I

00:37:00.080 read.

00:37:01.160 So, what it

00:37:01.740 does is it

00:37:02.380 combines, what

00:37:04.280 is it, inflation

00:37:05.300 and unemployment

00:37:06.620 to create a

00:37:09.260 measure of

00:37:09.700 voters' likely

00:37:10.520 attitudes when

00:37:11.320 they cast a

00:37:12.540 ballot.

00:37:13.100 Now, if you

00:37:13.780 use this

00:37:14.200 measure, it

00:37:15.380 suggests that

00:37:16.300 Democrats are

00:37:17.640 just going to

00:37:18.040 get annihilated

00:37:18.980 in the midterms.

00:37:20.940 But it's

00:37:23.040 weird because

00:37:23.500 you add

00:37:23.800 inflation and

00:37:24.600 unemployment

00:37:25.100 rates, but

00:37:26.460 actually the

00:37:27.000 unemployment rate

00:37:27.720 is not bad.

00:37:29.480 So, it's

00:37:30.160 really all in

00:37:30.780 the inflation

00:37:31.260 number.

00:37:31.720 So, it really

00:37:32.040 comes down to

00:37:32.700 will inflation

00:37:33.480 kill the

00:37:35.280 Democrats or

00:37:36.020 will the

00:37:36.360 Democrats

00:37:36.780 successfully

00:37:37.640 argue that

00:37:39.160 Biden is

00:37:39.700 lowering

00:37:40.040 inflation because

00:37:41.880 that's what

00:37:42.340 they are

00:37:42.640 arguing.

00:37:43.500 And there

00:37:44.140 are some

00:37:44.440 economists who

00:37:45.100 apparently say

00:37:45.800 it might make

00:37:46.820 a difference

00:37:47.200 his latest

00:37:47.700 bill.

00:37:49.020 We'll see.

00:37:51.140 All right.

00:37:53.080 So, there

00:37:53.700 wasn't much

00:37:54.060 else happening

00:37:54.620 here.

00:37:55.600 Did you see

00:37:56.220 anything else

00:37:56.600 happening?

00:37:58.580 I was talking

00:37:59.400 about this

00:37:59.780 before I went

00:38:00.320 live on

00:38:00.820 YouTube.

00:38:01.900 Paul Krugman

00:38:02.580 is tweeting

00:38:04.160 yesterday,

00:38:05.740 the problem

00:38:06.260 may be that

00:38:07.140 the Biden

00:38:07.540 economy boomed

00:38:09.260 too much,

00:38:10.600 feeding inflation,

00:38:12.080 and that it

00:38:12.760 now needs to

00:38:13.340 cool off,

00:38:13.920 which may

00:38:14.280 involve a

00:38:14.780 recession,

00:38:15.380 but hasn't

00:38:15.840 yet.

00:38:16.120 So, Krugman

00:38:17.760 tried to

00:38:18.380 explain that

00:38:19.260 Biden was

00:38:20.020 too successful

00:38:20.800 and his

00:38:22.040 being too

00:38:23.140 successful may

00:38:23.900 have led to

00:38:24.420 a little

00:38:24.660 inflation,

00:38:25.280 but, you

00:38:25.600 know,

00:38:25.800 that'll

00:38:26.060 cool off.

00:38:27.840 That's not

00:38:28.520 wrong.

00:38:30.140 You know,

00:38:31.020 we mock

00:38:32.460 Krugman for

00:38:33.620 he's made

00:38:34.320 some famously

00:38:35.340 bad predictions,

00:38:36.620 but I don't

00:38:38.080 think he's

00:38:38.400 wrong.

00:38:39.760 It's just

00:38:40.220 that painting

00:38:41.040 it as some

00:38:41.680 advantage for

00:38:42.540 Biden is

00:38:43.240 kind of,

00:38:44.760 that's a

00:38:45.420 little too

00:38:45.680 far.

00:38:47.100 But it

00:38:48.340 is true

00:38:48.880 that a

00:38:49.840 hot economy

00:38:50.500 is part of

00:38:51.500 the reason

00:38:51.920 that inflation

00:38:52.780 is going

00:38:53.420 up,

00:38:53.700 right?

00:38:55.300 Demand

00:38:56.020 exceeded

00:38:56.400 supply.

00:38:57.880 So it's

00:38:58.540 a weird way

00:38:59.140 to characterize

00:39:00.020 it, but

00:39:01.120 technically it's

00:39:02.680 not that

00:39:03.400 off.

00:39:04.460 You know,

00:39:04.840 a good

00:39:07.040 economy did

00:39:08.820 lead to

00:39:09.740 that.

00:39:11.880 All right,

00:39:12.340 what else

00:39:12.640 is going

00:39:12.920 on?

00:39:13.120 So Reuters

00:39:20.060 just fact

00:39:20.600 check the

00:39:20.980 meme,

00:39:21.380 okay.

00:39:26.340 All right.

00:39:30.380 I can't

00:39:31.160 feed your

00:39:31.500 kids.

00:39:32.040 Sorry about

00:39:32.560 that.

00:39:34.500 Shotgun

00:39:34.980 man.

00:39:36.420 What about

00:39:37.060 it?

00:39:37.260 All right,

00:39:41.360 I'm looking

00:39:41.620 at your

00:39:41.920 comments because

00:39:42.620 I've run

00:39:43.200 out of

00:39:43.400 things to

00:39:43.680 say.

00:39:44.600 It's the

00:39:44.980 two-bit

00:39:45.280 economy.

00:39:45.680 I thought

00:39:51.640 a good

00:39:51.900 economy was

00:39:52.520 more balanced

00:39:53.140 and sustainable.

00:39:55.160 Chauncey

00:39:55.540 Gardner says

00:39:56.340 yeah,

00:39:57.000 Chauncey

00:39:57.360 Gardner.

00:40:01.680 Yeah,

00:40:02.260 I think the

00:40:02.740 supply chain

00:40:03.320 situation is

00:40:04.200 that the

00:40:05.280 ships are

00:40:05.660 getting

00:40:05.840 something

00:40:14.000 happening

00:40:14.400 outside my

00:40:15.040 curtain

00:40:15.960 here.

00:40:16.400 I don't

00:40:16.560 know what

00:40:16.740 it is.

00:40:17.880 Probably a

00:40:18.500 sneak attack.

00:40:22.180 What's on

00:40:22.720 my lip?

00:40:23.560 A burn.

00:40:25.000 It's not

00:40:25.440 monkeypox.

00:40:27.400 Burned it

00:40:27.940 on twice

00:40:28.520 heated soup.

00:40:29.480 Bad

00:40:29.720 mistake.

00:40:34.220 When will

00:40:34.840 you be able

00:40:35.200 to buy the

00:40:35.760 new book?

00:40:36.520 Well,

00:40:37.540 I've got to

00:40:38.420 write it

00:40:39.740 first.

00:40:40.400 It's coming

00:40:40.740 along really

00:40:41.180 well.

00:40:42.080 Would you

00:40:42.340 like to see

00:40:43.440 what's in

00:40:43.760 the new

00:40:44.000 book?

00:40:44.400 I'll give

00:40:44.860 you a little

00:40:45.220 preview.

00:40:52.060 Okay,

00:40:52.560 that's not

00:40:52.980 good.

00:40:56.840 Why is my

00:40:57.580 book not

00:40:57.960 showing up?

00:40:59.280 There it

00:40:59.680 is.

00:41:02.620 All right,

00:41:03.240 a little bit

00:41:03.800 of a preview.

00:41:04.920 I'll tell you

00:41:05.220 what kinds of

00:41:05.980 things.

00:41:06.480 All right.

00:41:12.940 I think I

00:41:13.580 just knocked

00:41:14.020 YouTube off,

00:41:14.820 but maybe

00:41:15.120 not.

00:41:17.200 All right,

00:41:17.420 so here are

00:41:17.840 some of the

00:41:18.300 things that

00:41:19.480 will be in

00:41:19.820 the new

00:41:20.040 book.

00:41:20.320 This is just

00:41:20.640 the index.

00:41:21.920 So the

00:41:22.280 reframes,

00:41:23.360 the reframe

00:41:24.060 is usually

00:41:24.480 just one

00:41:25.040 sentence that

00:41:25.860 replaces the

00:41:27.720 one-sentence

00:41:28.420 description of

00:41:29.200 how you were

00:41:29.560 thinking before.

00:41:30.240 everything from

00:41:34.240 handling

00:41:34.600 criticism,

00:41:35.720 judging

00:41:35.980 people,

00:41:36.600 reprogramming

00:41:37.260 your brain,

00:41:38.340 managing

00:41:38.620 time,

00:41:40.200 directly

00:41:41.400 improving

00:41:41.920 your

00:41:42.120 happiness,

00:41:43.780 how to

00:41:44.280 look at

00:41:44.500 the world,

00:41:45.020 handling

00:41:45.260 complaints,

00:41:46.400 luck,

00:41:46.920 sleep,

00:41:47.500 exercise,

00:41:48.320 diet,

00:41:48.840 art,

00:41:49.200 freedom.

00:41:49.480 So I've

00:41:50.700 got 71

00:41:51.740 pages and

00:41:53.020 probably

00:41:53.640 70 or

00:41:56.120 so reframes.

00:41:58.280 And let

00:41:59.280 me ask you

00:41:59.820 this.

00:42:00.400 Would you

00:42:00.780 buy a book

00:42:01.360 that had,

00:42:02.940 I don't know,

00:42:03.460 there might be

00:42:04.140 a hundred when

00:42:04.700 I'm done,

00:42:06.000 a hundred

00:42:06.420 reframes under

00:42:07.740 the promise that

00:42:08.640 one of them

00:42:09.120 would change

00:42:09.560 your life?

00:42:10.300 Probably.

00:42:11.600 And the

00:42:11.980 other 99

00:42:12.580 might not have

00:42:13.260 an effect on

00:42:13.800 you,

00:42:14.220 but one of

00:42:14.820 them would

00:42:15.100 completely change

00:42:15.960 your life,

00:42:16.440 and it would

00:42:16.720 be different

00:42:17.120 for each

00:42:17.440 person.

00:42:18.080 So the

00:42:18.720 reframe you

00:42:19.260 need is

00:42:19.640 different

00:42:19.880 than the

00:42:20.180 reframe I

00:42:20.680 need.

00:42:26.300 Yeah,

00:42:26.960 because I

00:42:27.440 think they're

00:42:27.820 all interesting

00:42:28.780 and useful.

00:42:30.500 And here's

00:42:31.340 the way it

00:42:31.660 feels.

00:42:31.980 It feels

00:42:32.340 like a

00:42:32.900 book of

00:42:35.740 spells.

00:42:38.480 It's not

00:42:39.060 meant to be

00:42:39.480 magic, of

00:42:40.060 course.

00:42:40.400 It's based

00:42:41.040 on pretty

00:42:42.540 obvious

00:42:43.480 mechanisms

00:42:44.080 for why

00:42:44.640 it works.

00:42:45.600 But if

00:42:46.800 you can

00:42:47.120 change your

00:42:47.600 life with

00:42:48.000 one sentence,

00:42:49.260 doesn't

00:42:49.640 that feel

00:42:49.920 like

00:42:50.080 magic?

00:42:51.460 And I

00:42:51.980 know a

00:42:52.540 number of

00:42:52.820 people have.

00:42:53.720 A number

00:42:54.060 of people

00:42:54.420 have changed

00:42:54.960 their life

00:42:55.380 just because

00:42:56.160 I reframed

00:42:56.780 alcohol as

00:42:57.380 poison.

00:42:58.380 And I

00:42:58.880 hear about

00:42:59.200 it all

00:42:59.400 the time.

00:43:00.000 People say,

00:43:00.440 yeah, I

00:43:00.660 stopped

00:43:00.880 drinking because

00:43:01.440 you said

00:43:01.720 alcohol was

00:43:02.360 poison.

00:43:03.220 And it's

00:43:03.720 not like

00:43:04.180 it was a

00:43:05.000 new thought,

00:43:06.020 but there's

00:43:06.520 something about

00:43:07.000 the way you

00:43:07.500 word it,

00:43:08.320 the way you

00:43:08.780 repeat it,

00:43:09.360 the way it

00:43:09.680 sinks in,

00:43:10.780 that has a

00:43:11.340 difference.

00:43:13.880 Reframes

00:43:14.280 equals

00:43:14.760 euphemism.

00:43:15.740 No, it

00:43:16.000 doesn't.

00:43:16.420 Reframes are

00:43:17.020 not euphemisms

00:43:17.820 whatsoever.

00:43:18.660 It's

00:43:18.940 completely

00:43:19.400 different.

00:43:22.060 Yeah, I

00:43:22.340 should do

00:43:22.640 something about

00:43:23.100 how to eat

00:43:23.460 without burning

00:43:24.020 yourself.

00:43:25.100 Don't eat

00:43:25.640 things that

00:43:26.900 have spinach

00:43:27.560 in them.

00:43:27.940 you did

00:43:37.680 that with

00:43:37.980 processed

00:43:38.400 foods.

00:43:39.560 Yeah, I

00:43:40.160 actually thought

00:43:40.780 that one of

00:43:41.400 the working

00:43:42.240 titles would

00:43:42.800 be the

00:43:43.060 book of

00:43:43.420 spells,

00:43:44.300 because it

00:43:45.660 does feel

00:43:46.000 like that.

00:43:48.440 All right,

00:43:49.760 how many of

00:43:50.400 you would

00:43:50.760 buy this

00:43:51.560 book when

00:43:51.920 I finish

00:43:52.440 it?

00:43:54.660 I'm

00:43:55.100 pretty sure

00:43:55.460 that almost

00:43:56.080 everybody would

00:43:56.700 get at

00:43:57.460 least one

00:43:57.900 reframe that

00:43:58.480 would completely

00:43:59.040 change your

00:43:59.540 life.

00:44:00.580 Almost

00:44:00.900 everybody.

00:44:04.420 Very good.

00:44:05.660 Good to

00:44:06.220 know.

00:44:07.080 All right,

00:44:07.300 that's all I

00:44:07.640 have for

00:44:07.880 today.

00:44:09.500 And I'm

00:44:11.300 curious about

00:44:13.040 managing

00:44:13.380 complaints.

00:44:15.600 I can do

00:44:16.340 that for

00:44:16.680 you.

00:44:21.520 And so,

00:44:22.560 this comes

00:44:23.260 to the end

00:44:23.720 of today's

00:44:24.200 program.

00:44:26.500 How to

00:44:27.060 reframe your

00:44:27.640 losing streak.

00:44:28.720 I can do

00:44:29.240 that.

00:44:30.160 I can

00:44:30.480 reframe your

00:44:31.060 losing streak.

00:44:33.400 Are you

00:44:33.860 ready for

00:44:34.160 this?

00:44:34.780 So,

00:44:35.060 somebody says

00:44:35.560 they're on a

00:44:35.940 losing streak.

00:44:37.080 Have you

00:44:37.380 ever had that

00:44:37.800 happen?

00:44:38.220 And they

00:44:38.480 asked for a

00:44:38.960 reframe.

00:44:39.940 This one I

00:44:41.040 use all the

00:44:41.880 time.

00:44:43.600 And this

00:44:44.020 one will

00:44:44.460 completely

00:44:44.820 change your

00:44:45.600 thing.

00:44:47.680 Now, I'm

00:44:48.160 going to take

00:44:48.540 as an

00:44:48.880 assumption

00:44:49.220 that you

00:44:51.200 are authoring

00:44:52.100 your own

00:44:52.440 bad luck.

00:44:53.780 Now, I

00:44:54.100 know that you

00:44:54.660 don't think

00:44:55.080 that, but

00:44:56.480 my, let's

00:44:58.440 say, my

00:44:59.260 working

00:44:59.760 understanding

00:45:00.400 of reality

00:45:01.360 is that

00:45:01.780 we're a

00:45:02.220 simulation.

00:45:03.340 And I do

00:45:03.760 believe that

00:45:04.280 you literally

00:45:04.820 can change

00:45:05.560 your future

00:45:06.240 by what you

00:45:07.500 focus on and

00:45:08.320 concentrate on

00:45:09.380 and expect.

00:45:10.660 I literally

00:45:11.380 think that's

00:45:11.920 true.

00:45:13.160 So, here's

00:45:13.680 how you can

00:45:14.720 change your

00:45:15.860 thinking about

00:45:17.680 what's coming

00:45:18.260 next, which

00:45:19.040 will change

00:45:19.540 what comes

00:45:19.960 next.

00:45:21.060 You ready?

00:45:21.700 for whoever

00:45:24.660 said they

00:45:25.080 were on a

00:45:25.580 losing streak,

00:45:26.660 here it

00:45:26.980 comes.

00:45:28.720 The universe

00:45:29.860 fucking owes

00:45:31.400 you.

00:45:32.860 It's time.

00:45:34.920 Nobody, nobody

00:45:36.080 can be that

00:45:36.760 unlucky that

00:45:37.440 long.

00:45:38.400 The universe

00:45:39.160 owes you.

00:45:40.860 It will

00:45:41.600 revert to the

00:45:42.440 mean because

00:45:43.120 that's how it's

00:45:43.780 designed.

00:45:44.980 It's designed

00:45:45.880 to revert to

00:45:46.640 the mean.

00:45:47.300 It can't

00:45:47.780 screw one

00:45:48.260 person forever

00:45:48.960 and just keep

00:45:49.580 them underwater.

00:45:50.860 Unless you

00:45:52.100 die, you're

00:45:53.500 going to be

00:45:53.820 reverting to

00:45:54.360 the mean and

00:45:55.400 there's nothing

00:45:56.260 the universe

00:45:56.740 can do about

00:45:57.420 it because

00:45:58.140 statistics and

00:45:59.740 the odds drive

00:46:00.560 everything and

00:46:01.720 the statistics

00:46:02.400 say even if

00:46:04.180 you did flip

00:46:05.400 a coin and

00:46:06.000 get heads five

00:46:06.780 times in a

00:46:07.320 row, if you

00:46:08.940 keep flipping,

00:46:10.080 it's going to

00:46:10.540 be 50-50 over

00:46:11.660 time.

00:46:12.220 You will always

00:46:13.320 revert to the

00:46:13.980 mean.

00:46:15.840 Here's the way

00:46:16.600 I've used this

00:46:17.720 very reframe.

00:46:18.600 And by the

00:46:18.940 way, this is

00:46:19.420 one of the

00:46:19.720 most effective

00:46:20.400 ones I've

00:46:21.100 ever used.

00:46:22.800 My childhood,

00:46:24.140 as I've

00:46:24.740 mentioned a

00:46:25.140 few times,

00:46:26.020 was, let's

00:46:26.460 say, less

00:46:27.520 than ideal.

00:46:29.140 Does anybody

00:46:30.000 have that

00:46:30.440 situation?

00:46:31.420 Anybody have

00:46:31.960 a childhood

00:46:32.520 that was less

00:46:33.860 than ideal?

00:46:35.520 Probably.

00:46:36.520 A lot of

00:46:36.900 you.

00:46:37.940 Here's the

00:46:38.560 reframe.

00:46:39.800 There's no

00:46:40.520 way that can

00:46:41.300 last.

00:46:42.420 There's no

00:46:42.880 way that can

00:46:43.420 last.

00:46:44.080 You can't be

00:46:44.740 unlucky all the

00:46:45.520 time.

00:46:46.900 Luck has to

00:46:48.380 revert to the

00:46:49.060 mean, because

00:46:50.000 it always

00:46:50.440 does.

00:46:51.140 That's how

00:46:51.460 statistics work.

00:46:53.020 If you had a

00:46:53.680 terrible childhood,

00:46:54.680 the odds of

00:46:55.380 you getting a

00:46:56.380 little bit

00:46:56.680 luckier later

00:46:57.500 are pretty

00:46:58.900 good.

00:47:00.060 The odds are

00:47:01.000 in your favor

00:47:01.740 if you had a

00:47:02.380 terrible childhood.

00:47:03.300 Do you know

00:47:03.560 who I feel

00:47:04.440 sorry for?

00:47:05.880 Literally.

00:47:07.100 This will

00:47:07.500 sound like a

00:47:08.040 joke or

00:47:08.420 something.

00:47:09.500 You know

00:47:09.800 who I feel

00:47:10.240 sorry for?

00:47:12.540 People who

00:47:13.160 had really

00:47:13.580 good childhoods

00:47:14.620 because they're

00:47:16.340 fucked.

00:47:17.860 How many

00:47:18.360 times have

00:47:18.760 you seen

00:47:19.080 it?

00:47:20.020 Good

00:47:20.300 childhood?

00:47:21.420 Eh,

00:47:21.760 adulthood

00:47:22.080 didn't go

00:47:22.800 so well.

00:47:24.040 Now, it's

00:47:24.280 not every

00:47:24.680 person every

00:47:25.180 time, right?

00:47:26.000 But as a

00:47:26.620 general rule,

00:47:28.160 people who

00:47:28.580 have ideal

00:47:29.140 childhoods grow

00:47:30.320 up soft and

00:47:32.740 they can't

00:47:33.180 push through.

00:47:34.560 People who

00:47:35.240 had terrible

00:47:35.780 childhoods can

00:47:37.580 push through

00:47:38.100 anything.

00:47:39.680 So to you

00:47:40.660 who had the

00:47:41.220 losing streak,

00:47:43.400 still alive,

00:47:44.620 right?

00:47:45.880 Still alive.

00:47:47.120 Not only are you

00:47:47.740 still alive, but

00:47:48.480 you did the one

00:47:49.020 thing you needed

00:47:49.520 to do, to

00:47:50.820 turn it around.

00:47:51.920 You came here

00:47:52.940 and you asked

00:47:53.660 for some

00:47:54.060 advice.

00:47:55.500 The people who

00:47:56.240 say, I got a

00:47:57.200 bad streak, but

00:47:58.400 I'm going to do

00:47:58.920 something about

00:47:59.560 it, the do

00:48:01.100 something about

00:48:01.800 it part is

00:48:02.580 what sets you

00:48:03.200 apart.

00:48:04.340 You could have

00:48:05.020 easily said, I

00:48:05.780 had bad luck

00:48:06.440 and I'm just

00:48:06.880 going to deal

00:48:07.400 with it, I

00:48:07.740 guess I have

00:48:08.100 more bad luck

00:48:08.680 coming, but

00:48:09.420 you did not.

00:48:10.440 You came to

00:48:11.080 the one place

00:48:11.760 in the world

00:48:12.240 where you could

00:48:12.920 ask the question

00:48:13.660 to somebody who

00:48:14.280 would actually

00:48:14.660 give you a

00:48:15.140 good fucking

00:48:15.580 answer.

00:48:16.760 Me.

00:48:17.920 I don't know

00:48:18.600 if there's

00:48:18.860 anybody else

00:48:19.340 who could

00:48:19.580 answer this

00:48:20.020 question as

00:48:20.540 well, and

00:48:20.960 I'm honest,

00:48:21.600 right?

00:48:22.500 Like, you

00:48:23.820 know, I'll

00:48:25.280 be happy to

00:48:25.860 tell you what

00:48:26.240 I'm good at

00:48:26.860 and what I'm

00:48:27.480 bad at.

00:48:28.380 I'm very bad

00:48:29.200 at eating

00:48:29.580 soup.

00:48:30.680 Very bad.

00:48:32.580 There are

00:48:33.100 lots of things

00:48:33.580 I'm very bad

00:48:34.180 at, but

00:48:36.660 there's nobody

00:48:37.860 in the world

00:48:38.320 who can answer

00:48:38.860 that question

00:48:39.540 better.

00:48:40.280 What to do

00:48:40.880 about your

00:48:41.320 bad streak?

00:48:43.380 I just

00:48:44.040 changed it

00:48:44.540 for you.

00:48:45.780 Once you

00:48:46.360 understand that

00:48:47.080 luck just

00:48:47.680 can't work

00:48:48.360 like that

00:48:48.940 all the time

00:48:49.620 and that

00:48:50.520 you're probably

00:48:51.400 controlling it

00:48:53.260 by your

00:48:53.640 thoughts,

00:48:54.540 well, I just

00:48:54.980 changed your

00:48:55.440 thoughts.

00:48:56.800 Your thoughts

00:48:57.300 now are,

00:48:58.200 oh, you're

00:48:58.480 right, it

00:48:58.880 can't really

00:48:59.320 be bad luck

00:49:00.200 all the time,

00:49:00.660 the universe

00:49:01.040 owes me.

00:49:02.020 Just say

00:49:02.740 that sentence,

00:49:03.680 that's your

00:49:04.140 reframe.

00:49:05.300 The universe

00:49:06.140 owes me.

00:49:09.660 And watch

00:49:10.180 how it

00:49:10.480 produces.

00:49:12.420 Watch how

00:49:13.040 believing that

00:49:13.760 the universe

00:49:14.320 owes you,

00:49:15.580 and by the

00:49:16.020 way, that

00:49:16.460 doesn't mean

00:49:16.820 you're not

00:49:17.100 going to

00:49:17.320 work and

00:49:18.500 do things,

00:49:19.320 you know,

00:49:19.520 you're not

00:49:19.780 going to sit

00:49:20.100 on the couch

00:49:20.460 and wait

00:49:20.780 for it to

00:49:21.100 come to

00:49:21.400 you.

00:49:21.720 You're still

00:49:22.160 going to

00:49:22.360 go out

00:49:22.600 and get

00:49:22.880 something,

00:49:23.280 right?

00:49:23.960 You're a

00:49:24.480 hunter,

00:49:24.820 not a

00:49:25.140 waiter,

00:49:26.660 not someone

00:49:27.380 who waits.

00:49:28.720 You're a

00:49:29.200 hunter.

00:49:30.180 And I

00:49:31.040 can tell

00:49:31.380 that you're

00:49:31.700 a hunter

00:49:31.960 because you

00:49:32.480 came here

00:49:33.020 and in

00:49:33.520 public asked

00:49:34.060 that question.

00:49:34.580 Consider

00:49:36.540 that you

00:49:40.140 probably have

00:49:40.920 control of

00:49:41.460 your ego

00:49:41.920 because you

00:49:42.860 could say

00:49:44.360 you're on

00:49:44.660 a losing

00:49:44.980 streak in

00:49:45.680 public.

00:49:46.800 I mean,

00:49:47.120 that takes

00:49:47.420 a little

00:49:47.620 guts.

00:49:48.900 So I

00:49:49.440 think that

00:49:49.780 your odds

00:49:50.180 are going

00:49:50.700 to look

00:49:50.940 good and

00:49:51.540 check back

00:49:52.320 with me

00:49:52.820 in a year.

00:49:54.800 I feel

00:49:55.580 like some

00:49:56.160 good luck

00:49:56.660 is coming

00:49:57.120 your way.

00:49:59.080 Statistically

00:49:59.600 speaking,

00:50:00.920 there's some

00:50:01.340 good luck

00:50:01.740 coming your

00:50:02.200 way.

00:50:03.000 And just

00:50:03.340 keep,

00:50:03.760 improving

00:50:04.900 your

00:50:05.180 talent

00:50:05.460 stack

00:50:05.860 and

00:50:06.060 increasing

00:50:06.500 your

00:50:06.760 network.

00:50:07.800 You'll be

00:50:08.260 fine.

00:50:09.200 You'll work

00:50:09.660 it out.

00:50:10.060 It sounds

00:50:10.360 like you

00:50:10.640 have what

00:50:10.940 you need.

00:50:13.440 All right.

00:50:13.800 don't think

00:50:18.780 that the

00:50:19.100 universe owes

00:50:19.700 you in

00:50:20.040 general.

00:50:20.740 That would

00:50:21.100 be a mistake.

00:50:22.620 What the

00:50:22.880 universe owes

00:50:24.360 you is a

00:50:26.120 statistical

00:50:26.780 truth.

00:50:28.120 And the

00:50:28.420 statistical

00:50:29.020 truth is

00:50:30.120 that it

00:50:30.400 can't make

00:50:30.780 you unlucky

00:50:31.320 all the

00:50:31.660 time.

00:50:32.320 You just

00:50:32.580 can't do

00:50:32.920 that.

00:50:33.580 Now,

00:50:33.800 I do have

00:50:34.140 a section

00:50:34.580 on how

00:50:35.220 to manage

00:50:35.580 your luck.

00:50:37.580 And I

00:50:38.120 wasn't

00:50:38.340 planning to

00:50:38.800 do this,

00:50:39.300 but I'm

00:50:39.720 going to

00:50:39.880 give you

00:50:40.160 the

00:50:40.360 reframe

00:50:40.840 after I

00:50:43.760 refresh

00:50:45.040 this page.

00:50:45.600 I'm going

00:50:45.820 to give

00:50:45.960 you the

00:50:46.180 reframe

00:50:46.700 for luck.

00:50:50.040 Some of

00:50:50.620 you have

00:50:51.560 heard something

00:50:52.000 like this

00:50:52.420 from my

00:50:53.280 book.

00:50:53.560 Had it

00:50:53.740 failed almost

00:50:54.180 everything and

00:50:54.800 still went

00:50:55.440 big.

00:50:56.400 But let me

00:50:56.840 tell you how

00:50:57.340 I'm going to

00:50:57.700 frame it here.

00:50:59.320 The usual

00:51:00.300 frame of

00:51:00.820 luck is that

00:51:01.300 luck is

00:51:01.800 random and

00:51:02.440 can't be

00:51:02.820 managed.

00:51:03.940 Right?

00:51:04.440 Luck is

00:51:04.960 random and

00:51:05.520 can't be

00:51:05.880 managed.

00:51:06.780 Here's how

00:51:07.320 you can

00:51:07.640 manage it.

00:51:09.360 Go where

00:51:10.000 there is

00:51:10.320 more luck.

00:51:12.480 That's it.

00:51:13.100 That's the

00:51:13.360 whole thing.

00:51:14.480 Don't sit

00:51:15.040 on the

00:51:15.260 couch.

00:51:15.680 There's no

00:51:16.040 luck that's

00:51:16.560 going to

00:51:16.740 find you

00:51:17.040 on the

00:51:17.280 couch.

00:51:18.400 But if

00:51:18.940 you go

00:51:19.200 out and

00:51:19.660 meet some

00:51:20.020 people and

00:51:20.600 do some

00:51:21.040 things and

00:51:21.740 put some

00:51:22.780 energy into

00:51:23.300 the world,

00:51:23.840 well,

00:51:24.180 then luck

00:51:24.640 could find

00:51:25.000 you.

00:51:25.720 If you

00:51:26.440 live in the

00:51:27.080 smallest town

00:51:27.780 in the

00:51:28.060 world and

00:51:29.420 you decide

00:51:29.960 to stay

00:51:30.320 there,

00:51:31.420 well,

00:51:31.980 luck could

00:51:33.280 find you,

00:51:34.320 but it's

00:51:34.800 going to be

00:51:35.060 kind of

00:51:35.300 hard.

00:51:35.620 There's

00:51:36.500 not much

00:51:36.820 energy.

00:51:37.380 There's

00:51:37.500 not much

00:51:37.800 happening in

00:51:38.360 your little

00:51:38.680 town.

00:51:39.500 So go to

00:51:39.880 a bigger

00:51:40.160 town.

00:51:41.460 Go to

00:51:41.900 where there's

00:51:42.380 more people.

00:51:43.240 Go to

00:51:43.480 where there's

00:51:43.880 more energy.

00:51:44.980 What about

00:51:45.360 the job?

00:51:47.040 Take a job

00:51:47.820 in an industry

00:51:48.480 that's growing.

00:51:49.960 Never take a

00:51:50.700 job in a

00:51:51.240 stable or

00:51:51.840 shrinking

00:51:52.260 industry,

00:51:52.960 even if it

00:51:53.460 seems to be

00:51:53.880 the perfect

00:51:54.420 commute and

00:51:55.140 all that.

00:51:56.120 You've got to

00:51:56.720 take a job

00:51:57.260 in a growing

00:51:58.020 entity,

00:51:58.660 whatever that

00:51:59.200 is.

00:51:59.540 Find something

00:52:00.080 that's

00:52:00.300 growing.

00:52:01.800 And if you

00:52:02.180 do those

00:52:02.580 things,

00:52:02.980 luck can't

00:52:05.760 avoid you.

00:52:07.180 You just

00:52:07.640 stay alive,

00:52:08.460 stay in the

00:52:08.840 game,

00:52:09.440 and go where

00:52:09.860 the energy

00:52:10.260 is,

00:52:10.740 and the

00:52:11.120 most energy

00:52:11.720 produces the

00:52:12.420 most luck.

00:52:13.620 So if you're

00:52:14.180 in a low

00:52:14.620 energy environment,

00:52:15.520 go to a

00:52:15.820 higher energy

00:52:16.360 environment.

00:52:17.940 If you

00:52:18.900 have one

00:52:20.660 talent,

00:52:22.440 try to

00:52:23.000 intelligently

00:52:23.840 add some

00:52:24.580 compatible

00:52:26.020 talents so

00:52:27.980 that you

00:52:28.960 are more

00:52:29.300 valuable.

00:52:29.660 it will

00:52:30.580 seem like

00:52:31.240 your luck

00:52:31.680 increased,

00:52:32.480 but it

00:52:32.800 will just

00:52:33.140 be that

00:52:33.460 you increased

00:52:33.960 your market

00:52:34.440 value.

00:52:35.920 You have

00:52:37.860 goals,

00:52:38.400 but you

00:52:38.620 don't reach

00:52:39.100 them.

00:52:40.520 The problem

00:52:40.920 is maybe

00:52:41.320 that you

00:52:41.560 have goals

00:52:42.140 instead of

00:52:43.400 systems.

00:52:44.540 If you

00:52:44.980 had a

00:52:45.220 system of

00:52:45.840 doing

00:52:46.060 something

00:52:46.380 every day

00:52:46.840 that would

00:52:47.120 move you

00:52:47.500 toward your

00:52:48.040 goal,

00:52:49.440 your luck

00:52:50.100 would look

00:52:50.440 a lot

00:52:50.640 better.

00:52:52.620 So you

00:52:53.620 can't manage

00:52:54.440 luck in a

00:52:55.440 direct,

00:52:56.000 absolute sense.

00:52:57.060 You can't

00:52:57.660 change whether

00:52:58.340 you win at a

00:52:59.000 slot machine,

00:52:59.480 for example.

00:53:00.520 But you

00:53:00.940 can go

00:53:01.340 where there's

00:53:01.760 more stuff

00:53:02.360 happening and

00:53:03.520 you can add

00:53:04.040 to your

00:53:04.380 talent stack

00:53:05.220 that will

00:53:05.700 produce luck.

00:53:07.380 You can use

00:53:07.800 systems instead

00:53:08.660 of goals that

00:53:09.300 will produce

00:53:10.300 luck.

00:53:10.840 It's actually

00:53:11.340 designed to

00:53:11.920 produce luck.

00:53:13.400 Specifically,

00:53:14.160 what's good

00:53:14.580 about a

00:53:14.960 system is

00:53:16.200 that even

00:53:16.580 if the

00:53:17.000 thing you

00:53:17.400 thought you

00:53:17.900 were aiming

00:53:18.220 at doesn't

00:53:18.740 work out,

00:53:19.800 your system

00:53:20.420 will still

00:53:21.000 prepare you

00:53:21.800 for other

00:53:22.380 luck.

00:53:24.280 Example,

00:53:25.300 going to

00:53:26.020 college is

00:53:27.500 a system,

00:53:28.560 but we

00:53:29.160 don't always

00:53:29.660 know exactly

00:53:30.280 what job

00:53:30.900 we're going

00:53:31.160 to have.

00:53:31.800 So let's

00:53:32.100 say you're

00:53:33.900 aiming to

00:53:34.380 be a

00:53:34.660 writer.

00:53:35.660 So you

00:53:35.940 go to

00:53:36.220 college and

00:53:37.080 you get

00:53:37.340 an education

00:53:38.200 that's

00:53:38.500 compatible with

00:53:39.300 being a

00:53:39.860 writer for

00:53:40.580 magazines or

00:53:41.860 books.

00:53:42.620 And then that

00:53:43.340 doesn't work

00:53:43.860 out.

00:53:44.940 Your system

00:53:45.800 still gave you

00:53:46.500 this platform

00:53:47.240 for which there

00:53:48.440 are all kinds

00:53:49.020 of things that

00:53:49.680 you could do

00:53:50.220 because you're

00:53:50.740 now capable of

00:53:51.620 doing all kinds

00:53:52.280 of communication

00:53:53.480 related things.

00:53:54.480 luck in

00:53:57.040 that case

00:53:57.520 would be

00:53:57.980 preparing a

00:53:58.820 set of

00:53:59.120 skills that

00:53:59.820 had lots

00:54:00.220 of different

00:54:00.620 possibilities.

00:54:02.020 So of course

00:54:02.520 you're going

00:54:02.840 to get

00:54:03.040 luckier because

00:54:04.500 you can do

00:54:04.960 more stuff.

00:54:06.700 So make

00:54:07.020 sure that

00:54:07.380 you're a

00:54:07.640 person who

00:54:08.040 can do

00:54:08.540 lots of

00:54:09.000 stuff and

00:54:10.220 then insert

00:54:10.960 your person

00:54:11.940 who can do

00:54:12.520 lots of

00:54:12.960 stuff into

00:54:14.100 an environment

00:54:14.720 where there's

00:54:15.260 lots of

00:54:15.620 energy,

00:54:16.140 which usually

00:54:16.540 means people

00:54:17.200 maybe an

00:54:18.200 industry that's

00:54:18.840 growing.

00:54:19.120 if you do

00:54:20.480 those things

00:54:21.240 your odds

00:54:23.220 of luck

00:54:24.480 just go

00:54:25.920 through the

00:54:26.260 roof.

00:54:27.360 It would be

00:54:28.020 hard to fail

00:54:28.780 in the long

00:54:29.300 run if you

00:54:29.820 just did

00:54:30.220 those things

00:54:30.820 and you

00:54:31.700 know,

00:54:32.100 don't be

00:54:32.640 try not to

00:54:34.620 be a

00:54:36.160 drug addict.

00:54:36.800 That would

00:54:36.980 be a problem.

00:54:38.180 If addiction

00:54:39.160 is your problem,

00:54:40.260 I'm not saying

00:54:41.120 it is,

00:54:42.000 but if it is

00:54:42.640 that's a whole

00:54:43.060 different path.

00:54:44.180 You've got to

00:54:44.540 deal with that

00:54:44.960 first.

00:54:49.120 On YouTube

00:54:52.100 there's a

00:54:52.620 suggestion that

00:54:53.460 a great way

00:54:54.160 to end

00:54:54.960 the live

00:54:55.720 stream would

00:54:56.220 be to

00:54:56.480 open the

00:54:56.920 curtain and

00:54:57.400 reveal a

00:54:57.900 big foot

00:54:58.360 on the

00:55:00.060 outdoor

00:55:00.600 area there.

00:55:03.080 That would

00:55:03.680 be.

00:55:04.080 I saw in

00:55:04.500 the news

00:55:04.800 that the

00:55:05.620 Loch Ness

00:55:06.080 monster might

00:55:06.760 be real.

00:55:08.280 Apparently

00:55:08.680 there are

00:55:09.100 fossils have

00:55:10.120 been found

00:55:10.580 in other

00:55:11.040 places,

00:55:11.580 not Loch

00:55:12.020 Ness,

00:55:12.680 but there

00:55:13.000 have been

00:55:13.220 fossils of

00:55:14.600 freshwater

00:55:16.380 dinosaurs

00:55:17.260 that were

00:55:18.080 aquatic.

00:55:19.120 and had

00:55:20.280 the general

00:55:20.780 shape of

00:55:21.580 what people

00:55:22.160 imagine Loch

00:55:23.120 Ness

00:55:23.320 monster looks

00:55:23.860 like.

00:55:24.680 And there's

00:55:25.100 a belief

00:55:25.740 that such

00:55:26.420 freshwater

00:55:28.120 swimming

00:55:29.560 dinosaurs

00:55:30.220 could have

00:55:31.260 easily been

00:55:31.820 in Scotland

00:55:32.580 as well.

00:55:34.440 So there's

00:55:36.700 that.

00:55:40.280 Pelosi has

00:55:41.160 landed.

00:55:41.840 That's one

00:55:42.280 small step

00:55:42.960 for a

00:55:43.280 hag,

00:55:44.060 one giant

00:55:44.640 step for

00:55:45.080 traders.

00:55:49.120 It's

00:55:49.560 cruel

00:55:49.920 but

00:55:50.180 funny.

00:55:57.260 How can

00:55:57.960 you

00:55:58.120 reframe

00:55:58.620 to get

00:55:58.940 rid of

00:55:59.260 laziness?

00:56:02.840 Laziness,

00:56:04.860 there are

00:56:06.100 lots of

00:56:06.440 ways to

00:56:07.360 approach

00:56:07.720 it.

00:56:07.920 things.

00:56:08.920 I think

00:56:11.140 everybody's

00:56:11.740 lazy until

00:56:12.420 they have

00:56:12.680 a good

00:56:12.920 opportunity.

00:56:14.560 So one

00:56:15.360 part of

00:56:15.800 it is

00:56:16.080 making sure

00:56:16.660 that you're

00:56:17.120 around

00:56:17.380 opportunities,

00:56:18.500 things that

00:56:18.980 will pull

00:56:19.360 you.

00:56:20.200 The other

00:56:20.740 thing is

00:56:21.280 micro steps.

00:56:23.560 If you're

00:56:24.020 lazy,

00:56:24.980 don't do

00:56:25.560 the big

00:56:26.040 thing in

00:56:26.400 your head.

00:56:26.840 Just do

00:56:27.140 the smallest

00:56:27.880 thing that

00:56:28.420 moves you

00:56:28.740 in the right

00:56:29.060 direction.

00:56:29.960 So that's

00:56:30.500 basic advice

00:56:31.520 that I've

00:56:31.800 been giving

00:56:32.240 for years.

00:56:33.040 Just do

00:56:33.440 the smallest

00:56:33.960 thing.

00:56:34.380 Make a

00:56:34.680 phone call

00:56:35.120 or write

00:56:35.500 down a

00:56:35.820 phone number.

00:56:36.400 That's all

00:56:36.740 you need

00:56:37.000 to do

00:56:37.280 today.

00:56:38.360 Today,

00:56:39.700 just write

00:56:40.260 down a

00:56:40.580 phone number

00:56:40.980 or look

00:56:42.140 up a

00:56:42.400 webpage.

00:56:43.180 That's

00:56:43.400 it.

00:56:44.280 Tomorrow,

00:56:45.500 do something

00:56:46.020 else,

00:56:46.460 but just

00:56:46.800 also easy

00:56:48.220 and small.

00:56:50.000 And you

00:56:50.860 also want

00:56:51.320 to combine

00:56:51.760 your best

00:56:52.400 energy

00:56:53.000 periods

00:56:54.900 with the

00:56:55.500 things you

00:56:55.860 need to

00:56:56.140 do.

00:56:56.900 So most

00:56:57.360 people have

00:56:57.880 a good

00:56:58.440 energy at

00:56:59.180 some point

00:56:59.580 in the

00:56:59.780 day,

00:57:00.260 but maybe

00:57:00.660 less energy

00:57:01.280 later.

00:57:02.340 So make

00:57:03.420 sure that

00:57:03.760 the things

00:57:04.140 that are

00:57:04.360 important in

00:57:05.380 your life

00:57:05.800 get moved

00:57:06.820 to the

00:57:07.120 good

00:57:07.300 energy

00:57:07.600 time.

00:57:08.460 The

00:57:08.740 classic

00:57:09.180 mistake

00:57:09.660 of losers

00:57:10.260 is to

00:57:11.620 use their

00:57:12.060 high energy

00:57:12.680 time for

00:57:13.160 their

00:57:13.340 entertainment

00:57:13.780 and to

00:57:15.280 use their

00:57:15.620 low energy

00:57:16.200 time for

00:57:16.620 their work.

00:57:17.900 You will

00:57:18.580 get a

00:57:18.860 predictable

00:57:19.280 outcome if

00:57:19.980 you do

00:57:20.220 that.

00:57:24.720 Remind

00:57:25.200 them about

00:57:25.560 the micro

00:57:26.000 steps more.

00:57:28.240 Well,

00:57:28.820 the micro

00:57:29.160 steps is

00:57:29.640 just if

00:57:30.580 you're

00:57:30.740 sitting on

00:57:31.120 the couch

00:57:31.500 and you

00:57:31.900 can't

00:57:32.240 imagine,

00:57:32.700 let's

00:57:34.160 say,

00:57:34.380 starting

00:57:34.740 that new

00:57:35.260 landscaping

00:57:35.980 business

00:57:36.440 that you

00:57:37.280 have all

00:57:37.660 the skills

00:57:38.120 for but

00:57:38.620 you just

00:57:38.920 need to

00:57:39.500 get going.

00:57:41.020 Don't

00:57:41.520 imagine all

00:57:43.220 of it has

00:57:43.700 to be done.

00:57:44.340 Just take

00:57:45.200 the first

00:57:45.540 step.

00:57:46.560 Maybe you

00:57:47.000 shop for

00:57:47.660 a new

00:57:48.120 lawnmower.

00:57:49.700 Maybe you

00:57:50.160 ask somebody,

00:57:51.000 if I were

00:57:51.780 to try to

00:57:52.660 start this

00:57:53.080 business,

00:57:54.120 would you

00:57:54.760 help fund

00:57:55.320 me?

00:57:55.780 Usually a

00:57:56.420 relative.

00:57:57.620 So just

00:57:58.140 do the

00:57:58.720 smallest

00:57:59.840 thing.

00:58:06.240 Here's a

00:58:06.820 reframe

00:58:07.280 that I

00:58:07.620 heard.

00:58:10.800 Well,

00:58:11.320 of course

00:58:11.580 it's a

00:58:11.900 famous song,

00:58:13.140 but you've

00:58:13.560 heard Janis

00:58:14.460 Joplin say,

00:58:15.700 freedom's

00:58:16.500 just another

00:58:17.600 word for

00:58:18.540 nothing left

00:58:19.100 to lose.

00:58:20.440 That sounds

00:58:20.880 kind of a

00:58:22.240 downer.

00:58:23.240 Oh,

00:58:23.520 you got your

00:58:24.000 freedom,

00:58:24.560 but the only

00:58:24.920 way you got

00:58:25.400 it is because

00:58:25.800 you lost

00:58:26.180 everything.

00:58:27.500 Right?

00:58:28.440 But reverse

00:58:29.240 it.

00:58:29.840 Right?

00:58:31.080 It's all

00:58:31.700 negative if

00:58:32.360 you say

00:58:32.680 freedom's

00:58:33.320 just another

00:58:34.100 word for

00:58:34.540 nothing left

00:58:35.060 to lose.

00:58:35.680 But reverse

00:58:37.660 it.

00:58:39.540 What happens

00:58:40.560 if everything's

00:58:41.280 shitty?

00:58:42.700 The person

00:58:43.960 who said

00:58:44.460 that they're

00:58:45.480 on a losing

00:58:45.940 streak.

00:58:46.860 Have you

00:58:47.040 ever been

00:58:47.340 in a

00:58:47.520 situation

00:58:47.860 where just

00:58:48.240 everything's

00:58:48.680 shitty?

00:58:49.380 Just

00:58:49.700 everything.

00:58:50.820 Just

00:58:51.300 everything.

00:58:52.660 What's

00:58:53.140 your first

00:58:53.540 thought?

00:58:54.820 Oh,

00:58:55.100 everything's

00:58:55.600 shitty,

00:58:55.980 I better,

00:58:56.440 I don't

00:58:56.740 know,

00:58:57.600 end my

00:58:58.000 life or

00:58:58.420 something?

00:58:58.860 Do you

00:58:58.960 have an

00:58:59.340 unproductive

00:58:59.880 thought?

00:59:00.920 You know

00:59:01.180 what I

00:59:01.420 always

00:59:01.640 think?

00:59:02.280 Because

00:59:02.460 unfortunately,

00:59:04.140 I've gone

00:59:04.920 through a

00:59:05.460 number of

00:59:05.880 situations where

00:59:06.620 at least it

00:59:07.060 felt like I

00:59:07.660 lost everything.

00:59:08.800 Usually a

00:59:09.420 change of

00:59:09.880 relationship.

00:59:12.260 When I

00:59:12.840 left my

00:59:13.200 first

00:59:13.540 relationship,

00:59:14.240 it was a

00:59:14.540 15-year

00:59:15.220 relationship,

00:59:15.920 I wasn't

00:59:16.480 married,

00:59:17.100 but it was

00:59:17.580 a long-term

00:59:18.540 live-together

00:59:19.860 situation.

00:59:20.400 I left

00:59:21.780 with only

00:59:23.440 what I

00:59:23.780 could carry.

00:59:25.700 Literally

00:59:26.180 what I

00:59:26.820 could

00:59:27.000 personally

00:59:27.520 carry

00:59:27.900 with no

00:59:28.800 help.

00:59:29.780 That's

00:59:30.020 all I

00:59:30.360 took from

00:59:31.040 all of

00:59:31.900 the assets

00:59:32.400 I had

00:59:32.980 accumulated

00:59:34.480 in my

00:59:34.980 life,

00:59:35.480 physical

00:59:35.860 stuff,

00:59:36.400 a house,

00:59:37.040 furniture,

00:59:37.560 etc.

00:59:38.000 I left

00:59:38.680 it all.

00:59:40.140 And I

00:59:41.400 didn't have

00:59:41.820 a social

00:59:42.380 life,

00:59:43.060 because that

00:59:43.840 collapses the

00:59:44.560 same time you

00:59:45.040 get divorced.

00:59:45.700 If you've

00:59:46.040 ever gone

00:59:46.400 through a

00:59:46.700 divorce,

00:59:47.480 the first

00:59:48.040 thing that

00:59:48.360 you lose

00:59:48.700 is your

00:59:48.980 social

00:59:49.240 life,

00:59:49.940 because the

00:59:51.000 couple's

00:59:51.480 situation

00:59:51.860 just falls

00:59:52.340 apart.

00:59:53.940 So I

00:59:54.600 lost all

00:59:55.100 of my

00:59:55.360 social

00:59:55.640 life,

00:59:56.860 all of

00:59:57.380 my sex

00:59:57.820 life,

00:59:59.760 all of

01:00:00.680 my furniture,

01:00:02.200 my home,

01:00:04.560 and my

01:00:05.460 job was,

01:00:06.240 you know,

01:00:06.440 my career

01:00:06.840 was sort

01:00:07.200 of in

01:00:07.500 between

01:00:08.120 phase.

01:00:08.800 I hadn't

01:00:09.080 started doing

01:00:09.640 this yet,

01:00:10.280 and hadn't

01:00:10.740 written some

01:00:11.640 good books

01:00:12.080 yet.

01:00:14.100 So my

01:00:16.680 take was

01:00:17.540 I'm free.

01:00:19.660 I'm free.

01:00:21.140 So what

01:00:21.740 did I do

01:00:22.180 as soon

01:00:22.480 as I

01:00:22.700 was free?

01:00:24.400 Some

01:00:24.840 cool stuff.

01:00:26.620 When I

01:00:27.200 got married

01:00:27.680 the first

01:00:28.580 time to

01:00:29.240 Shelly,

01:00:30.420 there were

01:00:31.060 there was

01:00:33.160 a restriction,

01:00:34.280 I guess I

01:00:34.780 can tell you

01:00:35.200 this now.

01:00:36.360 I don't

01:00:36.900 know if I've

01:00:37.300 ever mentioned

01:00:37.740 this in

01:00:38.160 public before,

01:00:38.940 but I

01:00:39.440 think it's

01:00:40.060 fine to

01:00:40.500 do it

01:00:40.700 now.

01:00:42.800 Part of

01:00:43.420 the divorce

01:00:44.020 from her

01:00:45.740 prior husband

01:00:46.420 involved a

01:00:48.420 court order

01:00:49.100 that said

01:00:50.480 that I

01:00:51.060 could not

01:00:51.820 write about

01:00:52.300 my family

01:00:52.840 life because

01:00:54.920 it involved

01:00:55.560 two children

01:00:56.260 who were

01:00:56.860 the issue

01:00:58.960 of another

01:00:59.660 man.

01:01:01.380 Now think

01:01:01.800 about that.

01:01:02.420 I'm a

01:01:02.780 professional

01:01:03.300 writer.

01:01:04.220 I'm a

01:01:04.860 professional

01:01:05.360 writer who

01:01:05.960 writes about

01:01:06.740 his experience,

01:01:08.940 his personal

01:01:09.460 experience.

01:01:10.320 So when I

01:01:10.700 was in the

01:01:11.080 corporate world,

01:01:11.840 that's where

01:01:12.160 Dilber came

01:01:12.660 from.

01:01:13.620 And then

01:01:14.340 it moved

01:01:15.140 to more

01:01:15.580 of a

01:01:15.820 family

01:01:16.100 situation.

01:01:17.040 And I

01:01:17.240 thought,

01:01:17.440 oh,

01:01:17.760 this is

01:01:18.040 great

01:01:18.360 fodder.

01:01:19.300 I can't

01:01:19.720 wait to

01:01:20.080 write about

01:01:20.520 all the

01:01:20.920 funny things

01:01:21.500 that happened

01:01:21.880 with raising

01:01:22.840 kids and

01:01:23.320 stuff like

01:01:23.600 that.

01:01:24.140 And then

01:01:24.580 a court

01:01:25.020 order came

01:01:25.580 down that

01:01:26.640 said I

01:01:27.000 couldn't

01:01:27.380 write about

01:01:27.820 my own

01:01:28.200 life because

01:01:30.020 kids who

01:01:31.440 were not

01:01:31.700 mine would

01:01:32.100 be part

01:01:32.920 of that

01:01:33.140 situation.

01:01:34.040 Think

01:01:34.300 about that.

01:01:35.300 Think

01:01:35.580 about the

01:01:35.980 fact that

01:01:37.280 a wedding

01:01:38.300 that I

01:01:38.640 had nothing

01:01:39.020 to do

01:01:39.340 with,

01:01:39.620 a prior

01:01:40.220 marriage of

01:01:41.020 two other

01:01:41.840 people,

01:01:42.660 a judge

01:01:43.980 could judge

01:01:44.780 that I

01:01:45.760 couldn't

01:01:46.040 write about

01:01:46.460 my own

01:01:47.140 family

01:01:47.660 situation.

01:01:48.740 Even

01:01:49.180 without

01:01:49.580 naming

01:01:49.960 the kids,

01:01:50.520 I mean,

01:01:50.720 I wouldn't

01:01:51.020 have given

01:01:51.520 away

01:01:51.720 identities.

01:01:52.840 I would

01:01:53.060 have just

01:01:53.220 had general

01:01:53.860 stuff like,

01:01:55.080 have you

01:01:55.840 ever had

01:01:57.360 this situation?

01:01:58.220 It would

01:01:58.380 be something

01:01:58.940 like that.

01:01:59.660 Couldn't

01:02:00.000 do that.

01:02:01.720 So,

01:02:02.320 once I

01:02:03.140 got divorced

01:02:03.820 from

01:02:05.200 Shelley,

01:02:06.200 what was

01:02:08.240 the first

01:02:08.620 thing I

01:02:08.960 could do?

01:02:09.820 I was

01:02:10.400 free.

01:02:11.420 Right?

01:02:11.600 Free

01:02:12.620 of this

01:02:12.980 court

01:02:13.280 order,

01:02:14.160 free

01:02:14.400 of any

01:02:15.540 other

01:02:16.040 kinds of

01:02:16.480 restrictions.

01:02:17.480 So,

01:02:17.740 I can

01:02:17.920 tell you

01:02:18.260 that in

01:02:18.680 two

01:02:18.920 situations

01:02:19.500 in which

01:02:20.560 I lost

01:02:21.520 everything,

01:02:24.040 I had,

01:02:25.560 of course,

01:02:25.800 all the

01:02:26.100 sense of

01:02:26.480 loss,

01:02:26.880 because that's

01:02:27.420 unavoidable,

01:02:28.280 but at the

01:02:29.140 same time,

01:02:29.780 I never

01:02:30.140 lost sight

01:02:30.800 of the

01:02:31.020 fact that

01:02:31.620 I gained

01:02:32.180 a type

01:02:32.720 of freedom

01:02:33.260 that's

01:02:35.140 amazing.

01:02:35.680 you know,

01:02:37.260 all of

01:02:37.600 the

01:02:37.860 Trump

01:02:39.860 stuff

01:02:40.620 that I

01:02:41.100 talked

01:02:41.640 about,

01:02:41.960 I

01:02:42.120 wouldn't

01:02:42.320 have

01:02:42.440 done

01:02:42.600 that

01:02:42.800 if I'd

01:02:43.120 been

01:02:43.240 married.

01:02:45.460 So,

01:02:46.140 my entire

01:02:46.980 situation

01:02:47.740 now wouldn't

01:02:48.440 have happened

01:02:49.040 had I

01:02:50.080 stayed

01:02:50.340 married,

01:02:50.840 because I

01:02:51.140 would have

01:02:51.320 played it

01:02:51.660 safe,

01:02:52.140 and just

01:02:52.820 done some

01:02:53.220 Dilber stuff,

01:02:53.860 and stayed

01:02:54.180 under the

01:02:54.580 radar,

01:02:55.200 and not

01:02:55.480 embarrassed

01:02:55.860 the family,

01:02:56.560 and stuff

01:02:56.800 like that.

01:02:57.780 So,

01:02:58.300 absolutely,

01:03:00.420 freedom is

01:03:01.180 just another

01:03:01.660 word for

01:03:02.160 nothing left

01:03:02.700 to lose.

01:03:03.500 But if

01:03:03.820 you ever

01:03:04.080 find yourself

01:03:04.740 with nothing

01:03:05.620 left to

01:03:06.060 lose,

01:03:07.400 congratulations,

01:03:09.080 you're the

01:03:09.960 freest person

01:03:10.660 I know.

01:03:12.320 And if

01:03:12.700 you waste

01:03:13.660 that,

01:03:14.560 you're really

01:03:15.080 wasting a

01:03:15.620 big asset,

01:03:16.320 because there

01:03:16.660 are only a

01:03:17.060 few free

01:03:17.480 people.

01:03:18.720 Now,

01:03:18.960 in my

01:03:19.220 case,

01:03:19.560 it was

01:03:19.840 easy to

01:03:20.240 exploit it,

01:03:20.800 because speaking

01:03:21.760 more freely,

01:03:22.700 and doing

01:03:23.360 businesses that

01:03:24.160 I wouldn't

01:03:24.420 ordinarily do,

01:03:25.800 I could do

01:03:26.560 all those

01:03:26.860 things.

01:03:27.760 So,

01:03:28.240 if you're

01:03:28.480 having a

01:03:28.920 really,

01:03:29.480 really bad

01:03:30.100 time,

01:03:30.720 your marriage

01:03:31.680 broke up,

01:03:32.300 you lost

01:03:33.160 your job,

01:03:34.900 you are

01:03:35.920 one of the

01:03:36.340 freest people

01:03:37.220 in a land

01:03:38.060 that really

01:03:38.680 does reward

01:03:39.360 freedom.

01:03:40.420 You can move

01:03:41.260 to a new

01:03:41.580 job,

01:03:41.940 get a new

01:03:42.260 relationship,

01:03:43.340 find a new

01:03:43.860 situation,

01:03:45.160 and make

01:03:46.400 it work.

01:03:47.500 All right,

01:03:48.700 that is

01:03:51.940 what I'd

01:03:52.320 like to

01:03:52.800 end on,

01:03:55.040 and thanks

01:03:56.060 for joining.

01:03:58.080 Bye for

01:03:58.740 now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 02, 2022

Episode 1823 Scott Adams： How To Fix The Soros Problem, Al Qaeda Loses A Boss, And More

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