Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1831 Scott Adams： Things We Know： FBI and DOJ Can't Be Trusted. Occam's Razor is Worthless

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to another optimistic highlight of human civilization

00:00:06.960 called Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:09.180 Probably the best time you've ever had in your life, and it's coming at you now.

00:00:14.420 Sure, sure, there's stuff in the news that's scary and annoying, but that's all behind

00:00:19.320 you now.

00:00:20.420 You're here.

00:00:21.280 You're safe.

00:00:22.620 You're with friends.

00:00:23.860 It's all going to be better.

00:00:25.060 And if you'd like to take it up another notch, and that's the kind of person you are, all

00:00:31.100 you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tanker gels, a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a

00:00:35.440 vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:40.140 I like coffee.

00:00:42.240 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that

00:00:48.800 makes everything better.

00:00:50.600 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:52.400 Here it comes.

00:00:54.320 Go.

00:00:55.060 Who says the country is more divided than ever?

00:01:07.560 Totally BS.

00:01:10.100 So part of the debate that you see on social media is the country should divide into separate

00:01:16.680 countries because we're not one country anymore.

00:01:20.520 To which I say, were we ever, were we ever, do you really think things are worse than they

00:01:30.160 were in the 60s?

00:01:31.300 You know, some of it might be just a bad memory or you're too young.

00:01:35.180 If you live through the 60s, if you live through the 60s, this is nothing.

00:01:41.520 America can handle this level of discontent easily.

00:01:46.560 It's not even pressing the, you know, pressing the envelope at all.

00:01:50.660 We are well within the everything is fine zone.

00:01:55.400 It just feels like it's different because if you have a hobby of talking about the news, as I do, you get all these little nuggets of, you know, that are designed, they're designed to get your blood flowing.

00:02:09.400 Right?

00:02:11.900 What do they report in the news?

00:02:14.720 The news doesn't report things that are normal and, you know, everything's going fine.

00:02:18.820 The only thing the news shows you is stuff that's going to get your, you know, your entire nervous system excited.

00:02:25.820 So, of course, you think the world is falling apart if you follow the news or you follow social media.

00:02:32.500 But it's not.

00:02:34.560 It's not.

00:02:35.280 Every time I walk outside the house, everything seems fine.

00:02:41.220 Have you tried that experiment?

00:02:43.700 You know, you'll be looking at your phone and you're on Twitter.

00:02:46.420 You're like, ah, rah, rah, you stupid, stupid Democrats, stupid Republicans, rah, you rhinos, rah, rah, rah, rah. 0.92

00:02:56.400 And then you put your phone down and you walk outside and your neighbor's there watering the lawn or whatever.

00:03:03.400 And the neighbor says, hey, good morning.

00:03:07.040 And you say, good morning.

00:03:08.640 Great day.

00:03:10.480 Have a good one.

00:03:13.060 And, you know, maybe you're a Republican.

00:03:15.100 Maybe your neighbor's a Democrat.

00:03:17.080 Do you care?

00:03:18.520 Nobody cares.

00:03:20.920 You know, it can't be more than 1% of the country who would literally want to divorce.

00:03:26.900 There are things that people say hyperbolically in the political context.

00:03:33.860 So, Republicans are always talking about an armed insurrection against their own government

00:03:39.800 or having to defend themselves from their own government.

00:03:42.760 But it's not that serious.

00:03:45.080 It could be.

00:03:45.760 I mean, it would only take, you know, it would take the right trigger to make it serious.

00:03:50.240 But we've never been close to it.

00:03:52.520 There's nothing happening that's, you know, close to that kind of a trigger.

00:03:56.080 If the government said we're going to confiscate all your firearms, well, then I'd have a very different opinion.

00:04:03.980 At that point, I'd say, okay, that's a problem.

00:04:06.780 That's a problem.

00:04:08.100 But we don't have that.

00:04:09.000 Take a look at abortion.

00:04:10.000 Take a look at abortion.

00:04:12.120 The most, probably the most polarizing issue there is.

00:04:15.720 And the people who are most hated by the left are people who are literally trying to save the babies of the left.

00:04:26.040 The right as well, but they were going to be saved anyway, right?

00:04:29.240 The Republicans are trying to save the lives of the children of their enemies.

00:04:36.780 Am I right?

00:04:37.880 Because the Republican babies are largely being born.

00:04:41.560 They're less likely to be aborted.

00:04:44.340 Obviously, there's a lot going on in all parties.

00:04:47.760 But it's a weird kind of, yes, the world is falling apart because Republicans really want their enemies to have healthy, successful babies.

00:04:59.620 That's literally what's happening.

00:05:01.880 Now, the way they're doing it is worth discussing, right?

00:05:06.460 The way they're doing it is totally worth discussing, and we do.

00:05:10.100 And what do we end up doing?

00:05:12.700 Creating states where everybody can get what they want,

00:05:15.680 but it's going to take some adjustment.

00:05:18.120 It might take some time for people to relocate if they care enough.

00:05:23.220 You know, the country was designed where if we have huge disagreements,

00:05:28.400 the states can account for that.

00:05:31.260 They can give you enough variety that you can go where you want.

00:05:33.940 You like low taxes?

00:05:36.180 We got that.

00:05:37.700 You like high taxes and higher social services?

00:05:41.040 Come to California.

00:05:43.160 You know, you like the open borders?

00:05:44.400 Live in a border state.

00:05:46.900 You don't like that?

00:05:48.240 Go to Wyoming.

00:05:49.740 A lot less problem there.

00:05:51.660 So I would like to be the one beacon of positivity in your day

00:05:57.480 that will be surrounded with people trying to get clicks for getting you all excited.

00:06:01.820 And I'll probably get all excited about some things, too.

00:06:06.860 But I'll try to keep it in perspective.

00:06:11.120 And you can keep me honest.

00:06:13.200 If you see me getting worked up about something that won't matter if I walk outdoors,

00:06:18.740 I mean, literally, just walk out your front door.

00:06:22.760 There's nothing going on out there.

00:06:25.500 There's no riot in the streets.

00:06:27.120 There's nothing.

00:06:27.580 People are just sort of minding their own business, for the most part.

00:06:32.900 Well, here's some good news, I think.

00:06:35.680 The Nuclear Regulatory Commission made news by approving a small nuclear reactor design.

00:06:43.920 I think it's specifically for the company New Scale, NU Scale.

00:06:48.920 Is that Bill Gates' investment?

00:06:51.000 Is that the one that Bill Gates has invested in, New Scale?

00:06:56.080 Or is this the other one?

00:06:57.560 What's the other one?

00:06:58.480 There's another one that is in the news all the time.

00:07:02.500 The other one is what?

00:07:06.120 He's invested in one of the big modular startups for nuclear.

00:07:10.020 Which one is it?

00:07:12.600 Terra?

00:07:13.840 Is it TerraPower?

00:07:16.500 TerraPower, yeah, okay.

00:07:17.780 That sounds right.

00:07:18.400 Somebody sounds like they know what they're talking about.

00:07:21.400 But New Scale won't be the only one that goes through this process.

00:07:24.620 It looks like there are a number of other entities that are also looking for this kind of approval.

00:07:30.560 Now, somebody said the other day that nuclear will never work because the economics can never work.

00:07:36.540 And nobody has any idea how to fix that.

00:07:39.300 To which I say, yes, they do.

00:07:42.180 It's right here.

00:07:43.020 I just read it to you.

00:07:44.140 How they plan to fix the economics is to get an approved model of something that you could build smaller and modular.

00:07:53.100 And it uses a technology that's unlikely to melt or impossible to melt down.

00:08:02.020 Problem solved.

00:08:02.900 If you've got the government approval and you've got a modular design where you can just, you know, make more of them after you get going, it looks like problem solved to me, economics-wise.

00:08:15.500 Now, that's easy to say because we also thought that the last versions of nuclear power plants would cost what we estimated.

00:08:24.520 And then they all ended up being multiples of what we estimated.

00:08:27.560 But even if that's true, for the modular, it's still going to be way cheaper than traditional.

00:08:34.840 It looks like that's a good bet.

00:08:37.840 So in 2029, they expect to maybe have some of these new scale deals up and running.

00:08:46.060 And that's not that far away.

00:08:48.960 Imagine six years or so.

00:08:51.280 Now, one assumes it'll be delayed, right?

00:08:54.380 But let's say it's 10.

00:08:55.480 Let's say they shoot for six, but in 10 years, we're knocking off modular nuclear power plants like crazy.

00:09:06.920 I feel like we've solved climate change.

00:09:10.760 And the fact that the climate change people don't talk about this incessantly proves that it's not about the climate, right?

00:09:18.780 I mean, it's also about the climate.

00:09:20.500 But it's clear that this isn't a purely political realm that people imagine it's about the climate.

00:09:27.380 Because if people actually thought it was about the climate, everybody would be all in on nuclear.

00:09:34.700 Now, here's an interesting thing that somebody said as part of this story.

00:09:38.380 Somebody in the industry said that the zeitgeist had changed in the last two years.

00:09:46.340 So in the last two years, the common belief in society and in government was that nuclear had gone from the worst thing you could do to, well, we better do this as quickly as possible and do more of it.

00:09:59.160 What changed the zeitgeist?

00:10:01.820 The zeitgeist, by the way, let me define that, because that's one of those writer words.

00:10:07.160 There are certain words that writers like to write and readers don't like to read.

00:10:12.720 And that's one of them.

00:10:15.320 Because, you know, if you're a good writer, you're writing at about the sixth grade level of comprehension.

00:10:21.540 And that word is sort of college level.

00:10:23.960 So zeitgeist just means the way people are thinking, right?

00:10:29.100 So the way people are thinking, for some reason, changed in the last two years.

00:10:34.220 What do you think did it?

00:10:35.800 Was there anything happening in the last two years that would have changed the zeitgeist?

00:10:43.940 Yes.

00:10:44.880 Yeah.

00:10:45.640 Yes.

00:10:46.220 Michael Schellenberger, for example, and a lot of other people helping, Mark Schneider, me, other people.

00:10:53.960 But I do think that, collectively, we actually moved the zeitgeist.

00:11:00.080 It looks like it.

00:11:01.560 Because there was nothing else happening, am I right?

00:11:04.680 You know, the startups were crawling along, same as they are now.

00:11:09.260 But what else changed?

00:11:11.720 The only thing I know changed is that Schellenberger got a bigger audience

00:11:15.420 and made his case so persuasively that people just heard it and said,

00:11:19.660 OK, we're just going to go with you now.

00:11:21.780 I think that's what happened.

00:11:23.960 Right?

00:11:25.000 Because it wasn't like just the Republicans or just the Democrats.

00:11:28.380 Pretty much society in general just sort of went to OK on nuclear from not OK.

00:11:35.800 There's nothing else that changed.

00:11:38.300 Yeah.

00:11:38.920 Bjorn Lomborg wrote some books.

00:11:42.100 And, you know, that's part of the persuasion as well, a big part.

00:11:46.280 Oh, there's, and then I see the suggestion that the Russia-Ukraine thing blew apart,

00:11:56.740 blew apart our old model of how we were going to get energy.

00:12:00.920 But I would say that's too recent.

00:12:03.880 I think the zeitgeist changed well before the Ukraine thing blew up.

00:12:08.020 That's my opinion.

00:12:08.840 All right.

00:12:14.100 So when we heard about this raid on Mar-a-Lago,

00:12:18.260 I tweeted that I was going to give my government 48 hours to explain itself.

00:12:24.220 And then a weird thing happened.

00:12:27.380 A whole bunch of people who were artists, mostly writers you've never heard of,

00:12:33.060 flooded my mentions and said some version of this.

00:12:38.760 Oh, cartoon boy, what are you going to do after 48 hours?

00:12:43.040 Make a Dilbert comic about it?

00:12:45.380 Are you going to overthrow the country?

00:12:47.560 Are you going to run an insurrection?

00:12:49.500 What are you going to do, Dilbert guy, after 48 hours?

00:12:53.160 To which my answer is, I will form an opinion.

00:12:58.500 That's all.

00:13:00.420 The only thing I'm promising you is that I'm going to give them 48 hours,

00:13:05.020 which I feel is a reasonable standard.

00:13:08.100 A reasonable standard.

00:13:09.340 You have 48 hours to tell me what the deal is.

00:13:12.520 If they tell me what the deal is and I'm satisfied, okay.

00:13:17.100 Then I'm satisfied.

00:13:17.880 If they don't tell me what the deal is, then I have questions.

00:13:24.480 And a related question would be,

00:13:26.140 why isn't Trump telling me what the warrant says?

00:13:31.140 Because we've got to ask that question, too.

00:13:34.300 Because they have to show the warrant to the recipient.

00:13:38.440 It's only sealed from us.

00:13:40.520 It's sealed from the public.

00:13:41.880 But not from the recipient.

00:13:42.960 The recipient gets a piece of paper that says,

00:13:46.140 the law says we can check these things on your premise.

00:13:50.560 So Trump knows exactly what the warrant says.

00:13:52.980 But what he wouldn't know necessarily is why.

00:13:57.840 Right?

00:13:59.780 If it's sealed, that doesn't mean sealed from the recipient.

00:14:03.440 It couldn't be.

00:14:05.160 It couldn't be.

00:14:05.880 Am I wrong about that?

00:14:10.460 The warrant says don't reveal the warrant?

00:14:13.740 Oh, are you saying that the recipient knows, but he's not allowed?

00:14:18.520 Let's see.

00:14:19.500 We're getting some correction here.

00:14:21.480 So I'm seeing people on both platforms telling me I'm wrong.

00:14:24.380 So let's see if we can clarify this.

00:14:28.360 So do me a favor.

00:14:29.900 If you're a lawyer by profession,

00:14:32.840 just put that in your comment so I can favor your comments.

00:14:36.460 Like lawyer, colon, this is what it is.

00:14:42.600 Let's see if we work this out right now.

00:14:46.160 So I'm looking for a lawyer to just tell me what's true.

00:14:50.520 Most of us, I think, are guessing.

00:14:51.800 Okay.

00:14:54.380 Let's see.

00:14:58.720 Trained lawyer.

00:15:00.700 Trump can declass...

00:15:01.800 Well, no, Trump can't declassify anything because he's not president.

00:15:08.880 So it's not...

00:15:09.980 You're saying it's not a normal situation because there's national security involved.

00:15:14.140 But is there?

00:15:15.520 Is there national security involved?

00:15:18.980 Levin said he'd have to go to court to have permission to release it.

00:15:24.380 Is that what Levin said?

00:15:26.340 Did Mark Levin said that Trump would need court permission to release it?

00:15:33.840 You're espousing the so-when-did-you-stop-beating-your-wife argument.

00:15:37.660 I am.

00:15:38.300 I don't think I am.

00:15:39.060 Why are we trying to rationalize the legality of a purely political act?

00:15:46.600 Is it?

00:15:48.440 We don't know yet, do we?

00:15:50.400 I mean, it looks to be.

00:15:51.940 It looks political.

00:15:53.340 Trump lawyer was shown the warrant, but didn't get a copy.

00:16:02.800 All right.

00:16:05.800 So interesting.

00:16:06.760 All right.

00:16:06.980 So I guess we don't have a...

00:16:13.500 Dilbert boy ain't talking so loud anymore.

00:16:16.900 What's that mean?

00:16:19.000 All the people who have failed as writers are very mad at me.

00:16:23.040 Have you noticed that?

00:16:24.880 They're very mad at me, and they also are unaware that I've had any career beyond making comics.

00:16:30.780 It's very, very consistent.

00:16:31.880 They feel like they're, like, cookie-cutter, like, artist trolls.

00:16:37.580 You know, put something about writer in your profile, and then go after that Dilbert guy.

00:16:45.480 They're the one-star customers, yeah.

00:16:52.880 Stop commenting on trolls.

00:16:54.520 It's a waste of time.

00:16:56.480 It gets my attention sometimes.

00:16:58.280 All right.

00:16:59.680 So here's where we're at.

00:17:01.880 The 48 hours would be over, I think, at 4 o'clock my time.

00:17:08.240 I think that's when I tweeted it two days ago.

00:17:10.620 So by late afternoon today, we will know if we've been told anything useful.

00:17:17.860 Now, I'm not going to accept that there's a national security element to this, so we can't be told.

00:17:25.260 Would you?

00:17:26.700 Because this is not like ordinary situation.

00:17:28.940 If you were a normal citizen, I'd say, well, national security, so yeah.

00:17:35.320 But I believe that whether it's national security or not, they could, at the very least, tell us the domain that they're looking into.

00:17:44.380 Couldn't they?

00:17:45.820 I mean, couldn't they say, for example, it's about January 6th?

00:17:48.880 Or they could say it's about something in the documents.

00:17:53.160 There is something they could say.

00:18:01.080 Yeah.

00:18:01.920 So we'll find out.

00:18:03.260 Now, the clock starts at the raid.

00:18:08.600 Well, yeah, I think you're right.

00:18:10.680 The clock should start at the raid.

00:18:12.480 So then would the 48 hours be over already?

00:18:16.440 It would be, right?

00:18:17.760 Oh, okay.

00:18:18.400 Yeah, I mean, I was thinking 48 hours from the time I tweeted, but it makes more sense.

00:18:26.860 A lawyer says that being the Dilbert guy is not an insult.

00:18:32.280 But somehow they make it sound like that minimizes my opinion.

00:18:36.680 I hate to tell you this, but if you took the average IQ of successful cartoonists and compared

00:18:44.900 it to the average, it would be a lot higher than you think.

00:18:51.820 A lot of the successful cartoonists are literally physicists, lawyers, you know.

00:18:58.700 A lot of them are really credentialed, you know, Gary Trudeau, Ivy League.

00:19:06.680 So being called a successful cartoonist is sort of a weird insult, isn't it?

00:19:15.300 All right.

00:19:15.820 So let's talk about this criticism from the Democrats who say, do a fact check me on this

00:19:24.980 too.

00:19:25.440 So the Democrats are saying that Ray was appointed by Trump.

00:19:30.320 They're saying that the judge was a Republican appointee.

00:19:35.500 The one who signed off on it, right?

00:19:39.120 And so they're saying, well, if Republicans are involved in this, then there must be something

00:19:44.200 to it.

00:19:45.360 To which I say, but Republicans were involved in the Russia collusion hoax.

00:19:53.420 Were they not?

00:19:55.340 Were there any Republicans in the 50 former Intel people who signed off on the laptop?

00:20:00.900 I mean, I don't know.

00:20:03.280 But does it seem likely that all 50 of them were Democrats?

00:20:07.440 I assume there were some Republicans.

00:20:09.620 And how about January 6 hearings being managed by two Republicans, right?

00:20:15.740 What about the Lincoln, one of those guys, the Lincoln Log Group or whatever they are,

00:20:22.560 the ones who are anti-Trump?

00:20:23.980 So imagining that having Republicans involved means it's not a hit job, that doesn't track

00:20:33.120 at all.

00:20:34.960 The other bad thinking I saw from somebody who does not have a STEM education is that Occam's

00:20:44.620 razor, meaning the simplest explanation is usually correct, suggests that the most likely explanation

00:20:51.860 for what we're seeing with this Mar-a-Lago raid is that the judge and also the Attorney General

00:20:59.940 must have seen something that was damning and important, because it's the best explanation.

00:21:07.120 The way they're acting is as if they did know there was something important that they could

00:21:11.920 find, maybe find.

00:21:14.540 What do you think?

00:21:15.520 Do you think that the simplest explanation is it's exactly what it looks like?

00:21:20.800 They thought there was something important and they went to look for it.

00:21:25.420 No, that is terrible reasoning.

00:21:28.100 This is a logic and reasoning flaw.

00:21:31.900 If you believe that the simplest explanation is correct, you might be very dumb.

00:21:39.980 Do you know what the simplest explanation is?

00:21:42.100 It's the one you think is correct.

00:21:47.000 It's circular thinking, and people use it as if it's some kind of magic bullet to find

00:21:52.340 the truth.

00:21:53.100 It's literally the opposite of that.

00:21:55.460 It's a magic bullet to make sure that you're in circular thinking and you're not part of the

00:21:59.660 rational discussion whatsoever.

00:22:01.880 Let me prove it.

00:22:03.960 What's the simplest explanation for the existence of reality?

00:22:09.500 God.

00:22:10.920 Am I right?

00:22:11.340 The simplest explanation is God.

00:22:15.720 Well, what do the atheists say?

00:22:18.040 No, the simplest explanation, according to the atheists, is just evolution, change over

00:22:22.160 time, explains everything.

00:22:25.060 And then they say, well, hell, how do you explain how it all got here?

00:22:28.820 And then the atheists say, how do you explain how God got here?

00:22:31.920 We're equal.

00:22:33.220 The point is, I'm not arguing whether God or evolution is true or not true.

00:22:38.400 What I'm arguing is that no matter what you think is true, you also think it's the simplest

00:22:44.600 explanation.

00:22:46.840 Occam's razor doesn't tell you what's true.

00:22:49.040 You start with what you believe is true.

00:22:50.040 You start with what you believe is true, and then you reason backwards to say, it's also the simplest.

00:22:54.840 The simplest is so simple.

00:22:57.220 It's the simplest.

00:23:00.220 Anytime you see somebody using Occam's razor to argue, especially in these situations where

00:23:05.660 there's lots of variables and there's lots of unknowns and still the fog of war, if anybody's

00:23:10.800 using Occam's razor in a world in which the unlikely thing almost happens all the time, right?

00:23:16.900 If you told me, so here's the problem with Occam's razor.

00:23:23.640 When you saw the Russia collusion thing spinning up, wasn't the simplest explanation that there

00:23:31.460 might be something there?

00:23:33.760 And it turns out the simplest explanation was Democrats are corrupt.

00:23:39.360 That's pretty simple, too.

00:23:41.800 Everything looks simple if it's the thing you think is true.

00:23:45.140 So don't be confused by what looks like the simplest explanation.

00:23:49.780 That means nothing.

00:23:50.980 It has no predictive value whatsoever.

00:23:53.280 It's completely subjective on your part.

00:23:56.920 All right.

00:23:58.840 In science, that might have some use, though, because science is more bounded, and if you

00:24:03.860 have fewer variables to explain something in science, that's good.

00:24:09.040 So in science, it's still useful, but not in the real world.

00:24:15.140 I reiterate the most dangerous question in the world for Democrats.

00:24:20.920 If you're a Democrat and you believe Trump is a menace to society, unlike normal politicians,

00:24:26.600 and this is the important part, everybody calls the politicians on the other side a menace to

00:24:32.620 society.

00:24:33.100 But Trump has been singled out as, like, a special, you know, menace who could end civilization

00:24:38.860 itself.

00:24:40.020 And if you believe that to be true, wouldn't you falsify an arrest warrant to stop him?

00:24:50.360 And if you wouldn't, what the fuck is wrong with you?

00:24:53.600 Let me say it again.

00:24:56.140 If you believe the gaslighting and that Trump is, like, really a risk to end civilization

00:25:02.480 itself, if you believe that, meaning that you believe what Democrats largely say in public,

00:25:09.320 if you believe that and you did not break the law to stop him, you worthless piece of shit. 0.95

00:25:15.580 If you believe that it was true.

00:25:19.220 Because if you put me in that position, I would break the law.

00:25:22.380 I would break the law so fast.

00:25:25.040 There's no law I wouldn't break to kill Hitler. 0.98

00:25:27.840 Because, you know, murder is against the law.

00:25:31.100 I would murder Hitler if I had a choice or a chance. 0.98

00:25:35.020 If I had a chance, I'd murder him, even knowing I would get killed.

00:25:38.720 I'd still murder him.

00:25:40.280 So it doesn't matter if it's against the law.

00:25:42.160 Of course I'd do it.

00:25:43.020 So are you telling me that a sitting judge, let's say the judge is a patriot, cares about

00:25:49.300 the country, but also believes that Trump is Hitler, are you telling me that judge is

00:25:54.600 going to put the law over the country?

00:25:58.540 Maybe.

00:25:59.920 But if there's a judge that puts the law over the survival of the country, you need to get

00:26:06.460 rid of that judge right away.

00:26:08.000 I want the judge that would break the law in that specific situation. 0.99

00:26:13.960 I want the head of the FBI to violate the law totally under that specific situation that

00:26:22.240 you're stopping a Hitler from coming to office. 0.95

00:26:25.100 Any other situation, they'd better follow the law, because that's best for everybody.

00:26:28.720 But in that specific situation, you really have to kill Hitler. 0.79

00:26:34.080 Now, I'm not suggesting that they do that, of course.

00:26:37.780 I'm telling you that they need to explain why they're not doing it.

00:26:42.500 Because to me, the simplest explanation for everything we're seeing is that Trump is being

00:26:47.460 framed in every way that they can figure out how to frame him.

00:26:50.700 So if you think that because some people were Republicans, or they were upright citizens until

00:26:59.500 this moment, you have to explain to me why you wouldn't kill Hitler if you had a shot.

00:27:06.460 If you can't explain that to me, you're not part of the conversation.

00:27:10.600 You should not have a ticket to the conversation if you're not willing to answer this question.

00:27:15.480 Because I can answer it.

00:27:17.220 I can answer all of the tough questions.

00:27:19.160 Sometimes you have to say, yeah, people are going to die, but I still choose it.

00:27:26.520 That would be an honest answer, right?

00:27:28.380 Like going to Mars.

00:27:30.000 Is going to Mars a good idea?

00:27:32.340 Well, people are going to die.

00:27:34.860 They're definitely going to die.

00:27:36.380 Because it's a risky proposition over the long haul.

00:27:40.000 And even Musk says that.

00:27:41.560 Yeah, people are going to die trying to occupy Mars.

00:27:46.220 But it's the only way we're going to get there.

00:27:48.400 Like, you can't really stop it all.

00:27:50.900 It's going to happen.

00:27:52.660 So I feel like anybody who can't honestly say what they believe and what they would do

00:27:58.920 to be consistent with that belief should just not be in the conversation.

00:28:03.000 Just ignore them.

00:28:05.340 Here's some context that apparently Democrats are not aware of based on social media reading

00:28:11.720 this morning.

00:28:12.220 I don't believe that Democrats remember the Hunter Biden laptop thing was a disappeared story.

00:28:21.600 I don't feel they know that.

00:28:23.940 I feel it's just something that they didn't know about and then maybe lately they heard about.

00:28:29.100 So they're missing the entire fact that the government is proven to have plotted to frame Republicans

00:28:37.500 or plotted to keep a Republican out of office.

00:28:40.860 Because the whole reason for the 50 past intel people signing off that Hunter Biden's laptop was Russian disinformation

00:28:50.800 was to change the nature of politics, to change the result.

00:28:54.480 To me, that looks like an insurrection.

00:28:58.400 If you get 50 past intelligence people to lie, and I think they knew they were lying.

00:29:04.300 Don't know that, but I think they did.

00:29:06.440 If you get 50 of them to lie, that is an insurrection if it changes politics.

00:29:13.020 So you've got this January 6th committee looking into the wrong insurrection.

00:29:16.920 There was an actual proven one with 50 people who have the types of jobs where they shouldn't be lying to the public,

00:29:24.920 but they did.

00:29:26.760 Now, what do you make of these 50 people?

00:29:31.900 What I make is that they probably believed that Trump was a threat to civilization.

00:29:37.900 I don't think that those 50 people were just acting out of just politics.

00:29:42.800 I think they actually believed they were saving the world by keeping Trump out of office.

00:29:48.180 So here we have an actual insurrection.

00:29:50.160 In my opinion, this is a clear, proven insurrection.

00:29:53.880 Because the 50 people could not have known it was Russian disinformation,

00:29:59.080 but they signed on to say that they did know that.

00:30:01.620 That they did know that.

00:30:02.940 And they didn't.

00:30:04.600 So we don't have to wonder if the top level of government would plot against Trump.

00:30:11.320 It's right there.

00:30:12.200 And then, of course, Russia collusion.

00:30:15.400 Have you ever talked to a Democrat about the Russia collusion hoax?

00:30:19.760 Do you know what they all say?

00:30:21.640 They all say it was proven to be true.

00:30:25.100 Because Paul Manafort went to jail.

00:30:28.440 They actually say it was true.

00:30:32.440 As if that was the point of it.

00:30:34.080 Or as if Paul Manafort sharing some internal polling information with a Russian guy,

00:30:41.100 which he shouldn't have done.

00:30:42.340 I'm not defending it.

00:30:44.360 But, like, that mattered.

00:30:46.840 That didn't matter.

00:30:48.940 He shouldn't have done it.

00:30:50.320 But it didn't hurt the country to have some internal polling from the Trump campaign.

00:30:55.020 I don't imagine there were any surprises in it.

00:30:58.840 Right?

00:31:01.280 Yeah.

00:31:01.980 And apparently the judge who signed off had some...

00:31:05.280 He had represented Epstein as his lawyer.

00:31:09.040 That's a little sketchy.

00:31:10.860 Let me ask you this.

00:31:11.860 If you represented Epstein as his lawyer,

00:31:15.680 what is the likelihood that you could be blackmailed?

00:31:21.080 It's close to 100%, isn't it?

00:31:23.720 Just think about it.

00:31:25.300 Who takes the job of being Epstein's lawyer?

00:31:29.660 Would you take the job of being Epstein's lawyer if you had not been to the island?

00:31:37.740 Maybe you have to be somebody who hasn't been to the island.

00:31:40.000 But something tells me that just defending him suggests that you are blackmailable.

00:31:48.960 Am I right?

00:31:51.660 If you said, who's the most blackmailable judge in the whole world, 0.99

00:31:55.380 I'd say, well, somebody who had had a close association with Epstein

00:31:59.420 is right in the middle of the blackmail, black hole of the universe.

00:32:05.240 Because I think we all assume that Epstein was running a blackmail operation.

00:32:12.040 Right?

00:32:12.400 I mean, he certainly was getting lots of important people in compromising situations.

00:32:16.800 And I don't think that was an accident.

00:32:19.820 So if you believe...

00:32:21.440 If you believe that a judge or a lawyer associated with Epstein,

00:32:28.080 being on Epstein's side makes him an easy target for blackmail,

00:32:33.700 then you should not trust that judge.

00:32:38.240 So I don't.

00:32:39.760 So I don't assume that even if it was a Republican appointment,

00:32:44.160 it doesn't matter if it's a Republican appointment.

00:32:48.360 You know?

00:32:48.520 Yeah, the far thing...

00:32:54.140 Well, it's boring.

00:32:55.360 All right.

00:32:58.240 And I would also add to my list that the FBI,

00:33:01.200 for all practical purposes,

00:33:02.520 they did confess to instigating the January 6th protest.

00:33:07.740 Now, the reason I say that

00:33:09.060 is that when Ted Cruz asked the representative of the FBI

00:33:14.060 to answer the question,

00:33:16.840 did the FBI instigate it,

00:33:19.020 they decided to refuse to answer.

00:33:30.580 You're welcome.

00:33:34.340 So would you sign on to that opinion?

00:33:37.780 Would you agree with me

00:33:38.800 if the FBI refuses to answer the question,

00:33:42.160 did you instigate the protest?

00:33:44.500 That has to be assumed to be a confession.

00:33:48.080 Right?

00:33:49.420 Because, yeah, I mean, that's a confession.

00:33:52.520 So if they instigated the biggest,

00:33:55.960 or at least they're indicating,

00:33:57.620 I don't know,

00:33:59.520 but they've clearly indicated the re-connects.

00:34:02.940 Hey, did I disappear there for a moment?

00:34:05.880 Was it something I said?

00:34:09.200 Was it something I said?

00:34:11.180 Interesting when that happens.

00:34:12.440 So let me say it again.

00:34:15.180 See if we can crash YouTube again.

00:34:16.980 A reasonable citizen has to assume

00:34:20.820 that the FBI confessed to instigating January 6th

00:34:25.160 because they did not deny it.

00:34:28.400 Now, if they had, like, assets there,

00:34:31.660 I think it would have been easy for them to say,

00:34:33.980 we don't tell you where all of our assets are,

00:34:37.380 you know, but we do monitor any groups

00:34:39.440 we think would be dangerous,

00:34:40.900 but we don't instigate,

00:34:43.040 or we did not instigate anything in this case.

00:34:45.160 You know, then they'd have to explain

00:34:47.000 the Whitmer situation

00:34:48.100 where the FBI did instigate something,

00:34:50.420 and that's been proven, apparently.

00:34:53.280 But they could always deny it.

00:34:55.340 It doesn't give away anything.

00:34:56.520 They could just say,

00:34:57.140 no, we didn't instigate it, period.

00:34:59.460 Do you have assets in every group?

00:35:01.160 Yes.

00:35:02.160 You would want us to,

00:35:03.900 but we didn't instigate it.

00:35:05.600 Just say you didn't do it.

00:35:07.840 If you can't say...

00:35:08.440 And by the way,

00:35:09.200 they have never followed up

00:35:10.580 to say they didn't do it.

00:35:11.880 There's been no follow-up,

00:35:13.480 as in, well,

00:35:14.300 we probably should have said

00:35:15.860 more assertively

00:35:16.900 we had nothing to do with instigating it.

00:35:19.900 But they didn't.

00:35:21.700 And given their past performance

00:35:24.720 that's actually pretty recent,

00:35:26.720 you would have to assume guilt.

00:35:29.220 So let me be as clear as I can.

00:35:31.560 I don't know if the FBI

00:35:33.140 is framing Trump with this raid.

00:35:36.600 But you have to assume so,

00:35:38.780 because the burden of proof

00:35:42.220 is clearly on the government.

00:35:44.300 This point.

00:35:45.060 Because they have proven themselves

00:35:47.840 to be non-credible.

00:35:49.540 If you prove yourself

00:35:50.880 to be non-credible

00:35:51.920 on this exact question,

00:35:54.380 you need to step up,

00:35:57.580 or you have to live with the fact

00:35:59.040 that we're not going to buy your story.

00:36:02.300 You know, choose one.

00:36:03.980 And I think it pretty much guarantees

00:36:06.040 Trump's re-election.

00:36:09.400 There's a story about the FBI

00:36:10.820 spent hours going through

00:36:13.060 Melania's wardrobe.

00:36:17.720 That's the sort of thing

00:36:18.700 I wouldn't have expected

00:36:19.560 since J. Edgar Hoover's day.

00:36:23.140 I think J. Edgar Hoover,

00:36:24.820 if the stories are true,

00:36:26.820 would have spent

00:36:27.440 more than a few hours

00:36:28.520 in Melania's closet

00:36:30.060 until he tried on every dress.

00:36:33.680 Allegedly.

00:36:35.120 Allegedly.

00:36:35.560 Not that there's anything

00:36:37.320 wrong with that.

00:36:39.200 We love our LGBTQ

00:36:40.700 plus community.

00:36:45.620 And is it true

00:36:46.580 that the judge

00:36:47.200 who signed that search warrant

00:36:48.280 also recently recused himself

00:36:50.460 on a case

00:36:52.260 that involved

00:36:53.040 Clinton and Trump?

00:36:54.000 Really?

00:36:59.200 Is that even true?

00:37:00.980 I'm seeing it

00:37:01.740 on social media.

00:37:04.500 But this one

00:37:05.400 just needs a really,

00:37:06.320 doesn't it?

00:37:07.080 Let me just say it again

00:37:07.980 and then you can all

00:37:09.200 just say,

00:37:10.200 really?

00:37:11.400 At home.

00:37:12.640 The same judge

00:37:13.620 who we're all trusting

00:37:15.400 to be

00:37:16.060 even-handed

00:37:18.120 and above

00:37:19.020 politics

00:37:20.280 recused himself

00:37:22.060 not that long ago

00:37:23.180 on an unrelated case

00:37:24.840 that involved

00:37:25.260 Clinton and Trump.

00:37:29.460 Really?

00:37:31.400 Really?

00:37:32.080 That's the guy

00:37:32.640 who signed the warrant?

00:37:34.560 That's like the last guy

00:37:35.860 who should sign the warrant.

00:37:39.420 All right.

00:37:45.540 So,

00:37:47.020 see what else is happening.

00:37:52.060 There's this

00:37:52.640 congressperson

00:37:54.120 named Perry

00:37:54.940 who,

00:37:56.780 he said that he was

00:37:57.380 traveling on Tuesday

00:37:58.420 and that,

00:37:59.940 and you should know

00:38:00.840 that he's also,

00:38:02.560 he's filed articles

00:38:05.400 of impeachment

00:38:06.000 against Garland.

00:38:08.280 Right?

00:38:08.860 So,

00:38:09.240 a person in Congress,

00:38:10.380 a Republican,

00:38:11.920 he files articles

00:38:13.120 of impeachment

00:38:13.720 against Garland

00:38:14.840 and soon after

00:38:16.940 the FBI stopped him

00:38:18.360 and seized his phone

00:38:20.240 without warning.

00:38:22.060 Now,

00:38:24.940 he says

00:38:25.780 all he had to do

00:38:26.520 was ask

00:38:27.080 with a warrant.

00:38:28.620 But all he had to do

00:38:29.500 was ask

00:38:29.900 and he would just

00:38:30.340 give him the phone

00:38:31.080 if there was a warrant.

00:38:34.400 But instead,

00:38:35.400 they stopped him

00:38:36.080 and his family

00:38:36.620 and took his phone

00:38:37.540 from him.

00:38:38.780 Now,

00:38:39.340 I have a question.

00:38:41.060 How much information

00:38:42.260 is on the phone

00:38:43.340 that's not in the

00:38:45.220 iCloud

00:38:45.840 or in the Internet?

00:38:49.400 Is there much?

00:38:50.900 There is some, right?

00:38:52.000 There's some messages

00:38:53.620 that are maybe

00:38:54.160 only on your phone.

00:38:55.700 Is that a thing?

00:38:57.540 Well,

00:38:57.920 iCloud is encrypted,

00:38:59.220 but can't law enforcement

00:39:00.360 get it?

00:39:01.600 So,

00:39:02.140 text messages

00:39:02.840 would not be stored

00:39:03.940 anywhere but the phone,

00:39:05.160 right?

00:39:07.380 So,

00:39:07.820 it would be the text messages

00:39:08.780 only.

00:39:09.400 There's email

00:39:09.980 you can get to.

00:39:10.680 I'm just wondering

00:39:11.740 if we should

00:39:12.600 allow law enforcement

00:39:13.880 to seize phones.

00:39:17.660 Here's what

00:39:18.380 I would suggest.

00:39:21.240 Somebody make an app

00:39:22.560 somebody make an app

00:39:24.880 that stores

00:39:25.680 all of your text messages

00:39:27.300 in your iCloud

00:39:28.220 if it doesn't

00:39:29.180 already happen,

00:39:30.100 right?

00:39:30.660 So,

00:39:31.240 100% of the things

00:39:32.400 on your phone

00:39:33.060 including your text messages

00:39:34.980 are in the cloud.

00:39:36.600 And then when the FBI

00:39:37.720 comes for you,

00:39:39.420 there should be

00:39:39.940 a law that says

00:39:40.600 check my phone

00:39:42.880 and you can see

00:39:43.960 that I have the app

00:39:44.800 active

00:39:45.220 that stores everything

00:39:46.620 in the cloud.

00:39:48.100 So,

00:39:48.340 instead of giving you

00:39:49.020 my phone,

00:39:50.000 I'm going to give you

00:39:50.600 the password for the cloud

00:39:51.940 but it'll be

00:39:53.140 a limited password

00:39:54.260 that only works

00:39:54.900 for like one day

00:39:55.740 or something.

00:39:56.640 So,

00:39:56.900 they can get everything

00:39:57.560 they want

00:39:58.120 but you won't

00:39:59.320 take my phone

00:40:00.020 so I won't lose

00:40:01.260 my phone.

00:40:02.500 Because

00:40:02.700 I think the law

00:40:04.820 about they can

00:40:05.500 take your phone

00:40:06.280 was before phones

00:40:07.360 became essential

00:40:08.160 to navigate

00:40:09.320 modern life.

00:40:11.220 What would you do

00:40:12.020 if your phone

00:40:12.560 went away?

00:40:13.880 If somebody

00:40:14.440 took my phone

00:40:14.980 I don't even know

00:40:15.420 what the hell

00:40:15.720 I'd do.

00:40:17.280 I guess I'd figure it out.

00:40:19.180 But

00:40:19.360 somebody says

00:40:22.180 this is the dumbest

00:40:22.980 thing I've ever said.

00:40:23.920 That's not true.

00:40:24.760 I've said much

00:40:25.320 dumber things.

00:40:25.880 You don't get to

00:40:28.320 negotiate with law

00:40:29.180 enforcement.

00:40:29.600 I'm saying

00:40:32.080 that the law

00:40:32.700 should be changed.

00:40:34.780 And by the way

00:40:35.340 yes you do get

00:40:36.160 to negotiate

00:40:36.700 with law enforcement.

00:40:38.640 Take it from me.

00:40:40.120 I'm an adult

00:40:41.020 white male.

00:40:42.060 I definitely

00:40:42.660 negotiate

00:40:43.240 with law enforcement.

00:40:44.720 Maybe you can't.

00:40:46.720 Maybe if you're

00:40:47.420 black

00:40:47.820 and male

00:40:48.800 maybe you can't.

00:40:51.100 I don't know.

00:40:51.700 I've never been

00:40:52.140 in that situation.

00:40:53.160 But I can totally

00:40:53.960 negotiate with law

00:40:54.780 enforcement.

00:40:55.780 You think that's

00:40:56.380 not a thing?

00:40:57.680 You don't think

00:40:58.160 law enforcement

00:40:58.780 would be more

00:40:59.460 afraid of me

00:41:00.000 than I have

00:41:00.440 with them?

00:41:01.840 They would be.

00:41:03.360 I can tell you

00:41:04.180 from personal

00:41:04.840 experience.

00:41:06.380 When I talk

00:41:07.180 to law enforcement

00:41:07.940 they're worried

00:41:08.460 about their jobs.

00:41:10.160 And should be.

00:41:11.900 And should be.

00:41:16.020 All right.

00:41:17.240 Not the FBI

00:41:18.140 you say.

00:41:18.760 You can't

00:41:19.160 negotiate with the FBI.

00:41:20.140 You can negotiate

00:41:20.700 with anybody.

00:41:22.180 You can negotiate

00:41:23.100 with anybody.

00:41:24.340 They just have

00:41:25.060 to be afraid

00:41:25.520 of you.

00:41:26.060 If they're not

00:41:26.480 afraid of you

00:41:27.000 you can't

00:41:27.400 negotiate with them.

00:41:28.460 I don't mean

00:41:28.940 physically.

00:41:30.680 They have to think

00:41:31.580 that you're going

00:41:31.980 to be more trouble

00:41:32.760 than it's worth

00:41:34.040 if they don't

00:41:35.100 talk to you.

00:41:36.160 That's all.

00:41:37.080 Just make sure

00:41:37.580 that they know

00:41:38.080 that talking

00:41:38.540 to you is easy.

00:41:40.040 Not talking

00:41:40.660 to you could

00:41:41.200 be a problem.

00:41:42.140 They'll talk.

00:41:43.260 Everybody wants

00:41:43.860 the path

00:41:44.220 of least resistance.

00:41:45.740 It doesn't mean

00:41:46.200 you'll get

00:41:46.520 what you want

00:41:47.020 but you can

00:41:47.380 definitely negotiate.

00:41:49.220 So what do

00:41:50.480 you think of this?

00:41:52.140 So how many

00:41:52.700 examples now

00:41:54.000 do we have

00:41:54.520 of Republicans

00:41:55.260 being targeted

00:41:56.520 and hunted?

00:41:59.340 Too many.

00:42:03.440 You're saying

00:42:04.080 don't say a thing

00:42:04.740 to them?

00:42:05.180 I think it depends

00:42:05.840 who you are.

00:42:06.380 If you're me

00:42:08.060 I think you would

00:42:11.620 talk to them.

00:42:12.900 I'm not sure

00:42:13.360 everybody would.

00:42:13.960 Is Scott

00:42:15.380 concerned

00:42:16.060 about having

00:42:19.660 my phone

00:42:20.140 taken?

00:42:21.020 Yes.

00:42:22.520 I will put

00:42:23.240 odds on it

00:42:23.820 at this point.

00:42:24.520 If I had to

00:42:24.980 say the odds

00:42:25.780 that I will

00:42:26.580 be subject

00:42:28.020 to an

00:42:29.100 intelligence

00:42:29.580 investigation

00:42:30.420 no I'm

00:42:31.540 going to

00:42:31.820 I already

00:42:35.100 am.

00:42:37.000 I'm sure

00:42:37.720 of it.

00:42:38.040 you don't

00:42:40.300 think that

00:42:40.840 the intelligence

00:42:41.700 agencies

00:42:42.360 have crawled

00:42:43.760 all over

00:42:44.160 my stuff?

00:42:46.680 I'd be amazed

00:42:47.700 if they haven't.

00:42:49.000 And the reason

00:42:49.640 is because I

00:42:50.260 can move

00:42:50.600 the needle.

00:42:51.020 or they

00:42:54.820 might think

00:42:55.280 so.

00:42:55.740 If they

00:42:56.160 believe that

00:42:56.660 I can

00:42:56.980 move the

00:42:57.980 needle

00:42:58.240 they're all

00:42:59.400 over me.

00:43:01.240 And

00:43:01.600 they would

00:43:03.160 certainly want

00:43:03.700 to know

00:43:04.000 if anybody

00:43:04.760 is paying

00:43:05.340 me

00:43:05.640 or if

00:43:06.720 there's any

00:43:07.120 foreign

00:43:07.440 entity

00:43:07.860 influencing

00:43:08.440 me.

00:43:09.760 And not

00:43:10.480 only would

00:43:10.980 US intelligence

00:43:11.880 agencies want

00:43:12.840 to know that

00:43:13.440 about me

00:43:14.120 specifically

00:43:15.300 but they

00:43:16.620 would also

00:43:17.060 want to know

00:43:17.520 that other

00:43:18.400 countries would

00:43:19.360 want to know

00:43:19.720 that about

00:43:20.080 me.

00:43:21.020 And if

00:43:25.880 they don't

00:43:26.480 they're not

00:43:27.120 doing their

00:43:27.480 job.

00:43:28.580 If you

00:43:29.140 saw that

00:43:29.520 there was

00:43:29.820 somebody

00:43:30.260 talking about

00:43:31.160 politics who

00:43:32.040 seemed to

00:43:32.500 be actually

00:43:33.020 changing it

00:43:33.900 and you

00:43:35.140 didn't know

00:43:35.780 and he

00:43:36.240 wasn't

00:43:36.500 registered

00:43:36.980 Democrat

00:43:37.560 wasn't

00:43:38.300 registered

00:43:38.720 Republican

00:43:39.300 didn't work

00:43:40.580 for a

00:43:40.820 major news

00:43:41.380 organization

00:43:41.980 seemed to

00:43:42.720 be independent

00:43:43.400 if you

00:43:44.880 were the

00:43:45.300 CIA

00:43:45.720 wouldn't

00:43:46.140 you need

00:43:46.520 to know

00:43:46.800 more about

00:43:47.200 that situation

00:43:47.960 if you're

00:43:48.840 doing your

00:43:49.180 job.

00:43:50.420 Right?

00:43:51.020 You'd want

00:43:51.520 to know

00:43:51.740 more about

00:43:52.140 that situation.

00:43:52.940 Yeah.

00:43:53.420 Tim Poole

00:43:54.020 same situation.

00:43:56.160 Mike

00:43:56.460 Sertovich

00:43:56.940 just to

00:43:57.480 throw out

00:43:57.780 some other

00:43:58.160 names.

00:43:58.740 There are

00:43:59.060 people who

00:43:59.560 don't take

00:44:00.220 a paycheck

00:44:00.700 from a

00:44:02.120 big known

00:44:02.920 entity

00:44:03.380 who are

00:44:04.780 absolutely

00:44:05.440 capable of

00:44:06.280 moving the

00:44:06.980 conversation.

00:44:08.660 There's no

00:44:09.240 way that the

00:44:09.900 intelligence people

00:44:10.620 don't need to

00:44:11.220 know as much

00:44:11.840 about those

00:44:12.360 people as

00:44:12.840 possible just

00:44:13.900 to figure out

00:44:14.520 if somebody's

00:44:15.280 influencing the

00:44:16.020 influencer.

00:44:16.700 They would

00:44:16.940 have to know

00:44:17.440 that.

00:44:17.960 That would be

00:44:18.240 very important.

00:44:27.160 All right.

00:44:28.000 Does anybody

00:44:28.340 disagree?

00:44:31.260 You think

00:44:31.920 you have

00:44:32.200 actual power?

00:44:33.160 I've got

00:44:33.520 news for you

00:44:34.160 lol.

00:44:35.620 I don't know.

00:44:36.100 Was that

00:44:36.300 from me?

00:44:39.400 Scott's too

00:44:40.040 useful to the

00:44:40.860 deep state to

00:44:41.540 be cancelled.

00:44:42.280 That's probably

00:44:42.700 true.

00:44:43.800 That's probably

00:44:44.300 true.

00:44:45.060 I'm too

00:44:45.460 useful to the

00:44:46.320 deep state

00:44:46.840 because I'm

00:44:47.680 useful to

00:44:48.160 the country.

00:44:50.880 If you've

00:44:51.560 noticed, the

00:44:52.180 one thing I

00:44:52.700 don't do, at

00:44:54.960 least not

00:44:55.340 intentionally, is

00:44:56.860 I don't promote

00:44:57.660 conspiracy theories

00:44:58.800 that Republicans

00:45:00.500 love.

00:45:01.960 Generally.

00:45:03.160 In fact, I'm

00:45:03.780 usually the last

00:45:04.520 person to get

00:45:05.060 on board even

00:45:05.720 after the

00:45:06.180 court has

00:45:06.660 proven it's a

00:45:07.720 conspiracy

00:45:08.100 theory.

00:45:09.420 Russia

00:45:09.640 collusion

00:45:10.040 being an

00:45:10.440 example.

00:45:11.420 Although I

00:45:11.840 never expected

00:45:12.860 that to be

00:45:13.360 proven.

00:45:14.080 But I was

00:45:14.400 kind of

00:45:14.620 waiting, waiting

00:45:15.640 to see if

00:45:16.040 they had

00:45:16.300 anything.

00:45:16.840 the local

00:45:24.200 slut. 1.00

00:45:24.620 Yes, it

00:45:25.020 is.

00:45:28.720 Civil

00:45:29.160 servants

00:45:29.660 live in,

00:45:30.460 yeah.

00:45:33.760 Adrenochrome,

00:45:34.300 I don't know

00:45:34.800 what that

00:45:35.060 reference is.

00:45:39.480 You

00:45:39.920 promoted

00:45:40.380 masks.

00:45:41.360 No, I

00:45:41.640 didn't.

00:45:42.520 Jonathan will

00:45:43.220 now be

00:45:43.580 banned for

00:45:44.000 life for

00:45:44.460 saying that

00:45:44.840 I promoted

00:45:45.360 masks.

00:45:45.840 Jonathan,

00:45:47.100 you miserable

00:45:48.480 piece of

00:45:49.060 shit.

00:45:50.140 That never

00:45:50.680 happened.

00:45:51.460 I've always

00:45:51.860 been anti-mask.

00:45:54.200 I'll hide you

00:45:55.460 in this

00:45:56.280 channel.

00:45:57.260 You're gone

00:45:57.840 forever.

00:46:00.300 I remind you

00:46:01.580 that criticisms

00:46:03.060 about what I've

00:46:04.080 actually said or

00:46:05.020 done are very

00:46:05.980 much allowed.

00:46:06.680 allowed.

00:46:08.420 You are

00:46:09.160 allowed to

00:46:09.980 criticize me

00:46:10.680 as much

00:46:11.360 as you

00:46:11.640 want for

00:46:12.600 something I

00:46:13.080 actually did.

00:46:14.500 But don't

00:46:15.040 make shit

00:46:15.580 up.

00:46:17.280 Don't start

00:46:18.700 with a lie

00:46:19.440 and then act

00:46:20.580 like you're

00:46:21.160 defending it.

00:46:22.220 how soon

00:46:33.560 until China 0.86

00:46:34.140 starts

00:46:34.480 blockade

00:46:35.020 of Taiwan?

00:46:35.660 I don't

00:46:35.920 expect it.

00:46:37.560 You know,

00:46:37.920 China's 0.76

00:46:38.440 best play

00:46:39.360 with Taiwan

00:46:40.420 is

00:46:41.180 keep

00:46:43.820 everything

00:46:44.200 the way

00:46:44.460 it is,

00:46:45.320 which is

00:46:45.700 actually

00:46:45.980 everybody's

00:46:46.520 best interest.

00:46:47.880 Because in

00:46:48.560 the long,

00:46:49.040 long,

00:46:49.300 long run,

00:46:50.320 Taiwan will 0.85

00:46:51.040 be part of

00:46:51.620 China in

00:46:52.680 more ways

00:46:54.920 than it

00:46:55.200 already is.

00:46:56.080 There's no

00:46:56.600 way it can

00:46:56.960 go any

00:46:57.300 other way.

00:46:58.740 So you

00:47:00.360 don't need

00:47:00.680 a war over

00:47:01.380 it.

00:47:02.980 It would be

00:47:03.420 a war over

00:47:03.980 something you

00:47:04.480 were going

00:47:04.680 to win

00:47:04.960 anyway and

00:47:05.480 didn't make

00:47:05.780 that much

00:47:06.080 difference.

00:47:10.620 Somebody

00:47:11.060 says,

00:47:11.520 I'm confused

00:47:12.180 because you

00:47:12.940 argued that

00:47:13.880 masks create

00:47:14.600 friction.

00:47:16.180 All right,

00:47:16.560 let's see if

00:47:17.260 you can

00:47:18.140 understand this.

00:47:21.040 I'm not

00:47:25.660 even sure

00:47:26.000 I know

00:47:26.340 why that's

00:47:26.940 hard to

00:47:27.260 understand.

00:47:28.060 So there's

00:47:28.540 an engineering

00:47:29.200 statement that

00:47:31.280 masks cause

00:47:32.540 friction.

00:47:33.820 And then

00:47:34.060 there's a

00:47:34.540 what do you

00:47:34.860 do about it

00:47:35.460 statement that's

00:47:36.080 completely

00:47:36.440 different.

00:47:38.020 So I'm not

00:47:38.680 going to argue

00:47:39.040 masks because

00:47:39.620 you're all

00:47:39.860 bored about

00:47:40.220 that.

00:47:40.600 But if

00:47:40.960 you believe

00:47:41.380 that I

00:47:41.680 promoted

00:47:42.080 masks when

00:47:42.920 100% of

00:47:43.780 what I

00:47:44.060 said is

00:47:44.440 no masks,

00:47:45.220 no mandates,

00:47:46.580 then fuck

00:47:47.080 you.

00:47:47.340 Just don't

00:47:49.540 comment on

00:47:50.080 me if

00:47:50.800 you're going

00:47:51.060 to change

00:47:51.420 my opinion

00:47:52.160 to the

00:47:52.500 opposite of

00:47:53.000 my opinion

00:47:53.440 and then

00:47:53.920 come here

00:47:54.520 and confuse

00:47:55.620 people about

00:47:56.280 it.

00:47:56.860 Just go

00:47:57.240 away.

00:47:58.160 If you

00:47:58.560 can't handle

00:47:59.100 the fact

00:48:00.200 that something

00:48:00.660 could have

00:48:01.060 an engineering

00:48:01.680 truth but

00:48:03.100 not be good

00:48:03.840 enough to be

00:48:04.440 worthy of

00:48:05.200 implementing,

00:48:06.220 that's not

00:48:06.900 hard.

00:48:07.860 It's not

00:48:08.500 hard to

00:48:08.940 understand that

00:48:09.500 something might

00:48:10.020 work a little

00:48:10.680 bit but not

00:48:12.040 enough to be

00:48:12.600 worth doing

00:48:13.220 for other

00:48:13.900 reasons.

00:48:14.960 Those are

00:48:15.680 not incompatible

00:48:16.800 thoughts.

00:48:24.160 If you're

00:48:24.840 saying I

00:48:25.200 argue that

00:48:25.820 they're

00:48:26.060 effective,

00:48:27.040 that's a

00:48:27.860 little bit

00:48:28.200 more than

00:48:28.620 I did.

00:48:30.960 I argue

00:48:31.780 that the

00:48:32.580 logic of

00:48:33.220 them guarantees

00:48:34.000 that they

00:48:34.520 would have

00:48:34.820 to be based

00:48:35.480 on what

00:48:35.800 we knew.

00:48:37.400 And that

00:48:38.020 assumes that

00:48:38.700 plume theory

00:48:39.460 was correct.

00:48:41.060 But if the

00:48:41.680 plume theory

00:48:42.200 was incorrect,

00:48:43.060 then they

00:48:43.420 would have

00:48:43.680 no value

00:48:44.180 I would

00:48:44.460 agree.

00:48:46.800 do you

00:48:50.460 think

00:48:50.640 intelligence

00:48:51.080 agencies

00:48:51.660 are soft

00:48:52.320 on Dems?

00:48:52.940 Obviously,

00:48:53.540 yes.

00:49:02.780 All right.

00:49:05.040 Somebody says

00:49:05.820 you valued

00:49:06.400 and pushed

00:49:07.040 masks.

00:49:07.800 Nope,

00:49:08.600 did not.

00:49:09.120 And I

00:49:10.500 would ask

00:49:10.940 you,

00:49:11.940 boo dog,

00:49:14.920 I would

00:49:15.200 ask you

00:49:15.600 to unsubscribe

00:49:17.180 from locals.

00:49:18.420 Because really,

00:49:19.300 I can't

00:49:19.640 tolerate that.

00:49:20.900 I really

00:49:21.280 can't.

00:49:21.840 I did not

00:49:22.380 value and

00:49:23.180 push masks. 0.80

00:49:24.180 That literally

00:49:24.660 didn't happen.

00:49:25.920 So I would

00:49:26.460 ask you to

00:49:26.960 leave locals,

00:49:27.660 really.

00:49:28.320 I don't want

00:49:29.040 you on the

00:49:29.360 platform.

00:49:31.060 Seriously.

00:49:32.220 Please,

00:49:32.860 please unsubscribe.

00:49:34.320 You can do

00:49:38.220 anything except

00:49:39.120 start false

00:49:40.500 rumors about

00:49:41.280 me in

00:49:41.720 public.

00:49:43.600 That's all.

00:49:45.080 You just

00:49:45.920 can't do

00:49:46.320 that.

00:49:47.340 Everything

00:49:47.760 else is

00:49:48.200 fine.

00:49:48.560 You just

00:49:48.840 can't do

00:49:49.220 that.

00:49:50.100 Okay.

00:49:55.900 You did

00:49:56.720 say they

00:49:57.200 worked.

00:49:59.480 Okay.

00:50:00.400 Are you

00:50:00.940 still confused?

00:50:01.700 Okay.

00:50:04.320 Still

00:50:04.660 confused?

00:50:11.160 All right.

00:50:13.760 Dr. Michael

00:50:14.760 Savage, I

00:50:15.500 don't know

00:50:15.940 what you're

00:50:16.620 referring to

00:50:17.220 specifically.

00:50:23.160 Seems like

00:50:24.280 gaslighting

00:50:25.260 now.

00:50:26.040 You promoted

00:50:26.560 cannabis.

00:50:27.920 Did I?

00:50:28.740 Okay.

00:50:34.320 Yeah, we're

00:50:35.440 not going to

00:50:35.740 talk about

00:50:36.060 masks anymore.

00:50:36.800 Let's talk

00:50:37.100 about anything

00:50:37.460 else.

00:50:44.900 All right.

00:50:49.660 Those are

00:50:50.140 good rumors.

00:50:50.820 Keep starting

00:50:51.260 those.

00:50:52.580 All right.

00:50:52.880 I don't have

00:50:53.240 anything else

00:50:53.680 useful to say,

00:50:54.540 so I think

00:50:55.060 I'm going to

00:50:56.160 go on.

00:50:56.680 All right.

00:51:00.880 Why did I say

00:51:01.680 I would talk to

00:51:02.360 them?

00:51:02.600 What do you

00:51:02.780 mean?

00:51:02.940 Why did you

00:51:06.060 say you

00:51:06.620 would talk

00:51:07.680 to them?

00:51:08.220 To the

00:51:08.520 FBI?

00:51:09.940 Why wouldn't

00:51:10.580 I?

00:51:11.320 I don't

00:51:11.660 understand the

00:51:12.180 question.

00:51:18.000 Yes.

00:51:19.620 So a

00:51:20.780 number of

00:51:21.160 you have

00:51:21.600 an accurate

00:51:22.340 summation of

00:51:23.580 my opinion,

00:51:24.360 and I see

00:51:24.820 it over on

00:51:25.240 Locals.

00:51:25.860 People are

00:51:26.320 explaining it

00:51:27.100 better than I

00:51:27.560 was explaining

00:51:28.060 it.

00:51:30.580 Coffee mug.

00:51:31.840 Yeah.

00:51:32.240 I need to

00:51:33.700 follow up on

00:51:36.020 the coffee

00:51:36.520 mug.

00:51:43.060 All right.

00:51:45.540 And then I'm

00:51:46.240 going to do

00:51:46.540 some interview

00:51:47.900 tests.

00:51:48.480 We'll do that

00:51:48.900 later.

00:51:54.820 A coffee mug.

00:51:56.080 Why should

00:51:59.040 you talk to

00:51:59.520 the FBI?

00:52:00.540 I don't get

00:52:01.300 that question.

00:52:04.900 All right.

00:52:05.360 That's all for

00:52:05.720 now.

00:52:06.100 I'll talk to

00:52:06.420 you later.

00:52:08.100 Bye for

00:52:08.460 now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 10, 2022

Episode 1831 Scott Adams： Things We Know： FBI and DOJ Can't Be Trusted. Occam's Razor is Worthless

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Summary

Transcript