Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1843 Scott Adams： Being Bad At Data Analysis Is No Reason To Be Mad At Me. And More Fun

00:00:00.560 And congratulations!

00:00:02.620 You made it to the highlight of civilization.

00:00:05.440 Yeah, you did that.

00:00:07.200 Good job.

00:00:08.320 You woke up this morning and you said to yourself, I think I'll do something amazing

00:00:11.620 today.

00:00:12.620 And then you did.

00:00:13.620 You showed up here.

00:00:14.820 Just in time.

00:00:16.180 Unless you're watching this on a recorded replay, in which case you're just as awesome

00:00:20.760 but a little bit delayed.

00:00:23.160 How would you like to take it up to a higher level yet?

00:00:25.840 Highest level of awareness possible?

00:00:27.720 Yeah.

00:00:28.720 Let's max it out.

00:00:30.240 And all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tanker gel sysdine, a canteen jug or a flask,

00:00:34.620 a vessel of any kind.

00:00:37.040 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:39.080 I like coffee.

00:00:41.080 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day.

00:00:46.240 The thing that makes everything better.

00:00:48.180 It's called the simultaneous sip and it's happening now.

00:00:51.100 Get ready everybody go!

00:00:56.440 You know, you'll always remember where you were when you took the first simultaneous sip.

00:01:04.760 Probably right where you are right now, in most cases.

00:01:08.800 But you won't forget that, will you?

00:01:14.120 So, yesterday was an interesting day for me.

00:01:19.160 As my days often are.

00:01:21.160 And it was interesting because I heard from a couple of different people that I'd said something or done something that had an impact on their lives.

00:01:30.480 And I saw two people in particular believe that videos that I've produced have cured mental health problems.

00:01:41.000 And it was real people saying their stories.

00:01:49.320 And I thought, how many people have had that experience?

00:01:54.320 Is it more than two?

00:01:55.320 Because the videos were created for that purpose, but I don't have a direct way to get feedback.

00:02:02.640 How many of you in the comments feel that something I produced or said, a video usually, fixed a mental health issue for you or somebody close to you?

00:02:16.640 Oh my goodness, that's a lot of yeses.

00:02:23.640 Is this real?

00:02:28.640 Over on the locals platform they see different videos than you do on YouTube.

00:02:32.640 So they see what I call my micro lessons.

00:02:35.640 Now the micro lessons are designed to reframe and reprogram people.

00:02:40.640 And I'm seeing a wall of yeses.

00:02:44.640 Now are you answering the right question?

00:02:46.640 The question was specifically a mental health problem.

00:02:52.640 It's a wall of yeses.

00:02:54.640 I was not expecting that.

00:02:56.640 Oh my God.

00:02:58.640 Something's happening.

00:03:01.640 You know, I'm going to just turn the screens toward each other.

00:03:04.640 You have to see this.

00:03:06.640 YouTube, you've got to see this.

00:03:08.640 I'm not making this up.

00:03:10.640 Look at the comments.

00:03:12.640 I'm going to ask you again.

00:03:14.640 How many people feel that I helped them cure or reduce a mental health problem with a video that I created?

00:03:25.640 Can you see that?

00:03:28.640 I wasn't expecting that at all.

00:03:31.640 Holy shit.

00:03:33.640 What is going on here?

00:03:36.640 Good Lord.

00:03:40.640 I don't know.

00:03:42.640 My head is exploding.

00:03:46.640 I don't even know what to make of this.

00:03:48.640 I'm a little bit stunned.

00:03:50.640 I'm way stunned.

00:03:52.640 Here's what I expected.

00:03:53.640 I thought I'd get two or three people.

00:03:55.640 I didn't expect I'd see a wall of yes.

00:03:59.640 Wow.

00:04:01.640 All right.

00:04:02.640 Well, there was a specific video that people were talking about.

00:04:09.640 Was it one?

00:04:10.640 What was the number on it?

00:04:12.640 I wrote it down and now I can't find it.

00:04:16.640 Anyway, if you check my Twitter feed last, 791.

00:04:20.640 Yeah, so my video labeled 791 if you're looking for it.

00:04:27.640 791.

00:04:28.640 I think that's right.

00:04:29.640 That sounds right.

00:04:30.640 So that was the one that cured people's mental health problems.

00:04:33.640 Now, if you're new to my livestream, I'm a trained hypnotist, and I'm writing a book right now on how to do that.

00:04:42.640 But apparently that book's going to be more important than I thought.

00:04:46.640 So what the book would try to do is capture all of the reframes that people seem to have responded to.

00:04:54.640 And I guess whatever it was that fixed all these people's mental health problems, it was a reframe, but I don't know which one it was.

00:05:01.640 So I'm going to have to go figure it out myself.

00:05:04.640 Was there a specific reframe that I used?

00:05:07.640 Or was it more the totality of it?

00:05:10.640 Like one specific sentence?

00:05:13.640 Because usually it is.

00:05:14.640 It's like one sentence that switches your brain.

00:05:19.640 The addiction reframe.

00:05:22.640 Systems.

00:05:23.640 It's different stuff.

00:05:24.640 Okay.

00:05:25.640 So I guess I don't know exactly what it was.

00:05:27.640 We'll figure that out.

00:05:30.640 TikTok has announced that it's going to be helping people with elections in the United States.

00:05:37.640 Now, that's good news, isn't it?

00:05:39.640 What is that?

00:05:40.640 So a Chinese-owned company is going to help American voters make decisions on who to vote for.

00:05:47.640 That's actually happening.

00:05:49.640 A Chinese-owned company has announced that it has a whole variety of things it's going to be doing to help American voters make the right decisions and not be fooled by fake news.

00:06:02.640 What could go wrong?

00:06:04.640 What could go wrong when you have the Chinese government in charge of deciding what American voters will see before they make a decision? 0.93

00:06:14.640 I see no problem with that whatsoever.

00:06:16.640 Do you?

00:06:17.640 So helpful.

00:06:18.640 So helpful.

00:06:19.640 So one of the questions I'm wondering is, do you think the TikTok algorithms will show people a lot of news on the topic of China sending fentanyl precursors to Mexican cartels to kill 100,000 Americans again this year?

00:06:36.640 If you had to guess, do you think the TikTok algorithm will give you a lot of news about the Uyghurs? 1.00

00:06:46.640 How many TikToks about the Uyghurs are we going to see? 1.00

00:06:49.640 A lot of them?

00:06:50.640 Because they want to give you the facts, right?

00:06:53.640 Give you the facts.

00:06:54.640 Just straight facts.

00:06:55.640 How in the world is this legal?

00:07:00.640 Now, I understand that the data is going to be stored at some Oracle American facility, but that's just the data.

00:07:13.640 That's just the data.

00:07:14.640 What about the algorithm?

00:07:15.640 The algorithm is the one that's programming people, not the data.

00:07:19.640 If the thing you're worried about is China has my data, they were going to get your data anyway, probably.

00:07:25.640 I'm not sure if the data is the big thing.

00:07:28.640 I mean, I'd be worried about it.

00:07:29.640 I wouldn't want them to have my data.

00:07:31.640 But isn't the algorithm the big thing?

00:07:36.640 If they still control the algorithm, they decide what we see and how often we see it.

00:07:42.640 That is all it takes to program your brain.

00:07:45.640 What do you see and how often do you see it?

00:07:47.640 Nothing else.

00:07:48.640 That's it.

00:07:49.640 And they have complete control of that.

00:07:51.640 And we're letting that happen.

00:07:54.640 Oh, yeah, that's okay.

00:07:56.640 Do they let that happen to them?

00:07:58.640 Does China let their citizens get programmed by American media companies?

00:08:03.640 I don't believe they do.

00:08:05.640 I don't believe they do.

00:08:07.640 Do you know why?

00:08:08.640 Because they're smart.

00:08:09.640 Do you know why we do allow our foreign adversaries to reprogram the minds of our own children? 0.95

00:08:16.640 Because we're dumb.

00:08:18.640 I guess we're dumb.

00:08:20.640 Or we're already controlled by China or something.

00:08:23.640 But if Trump is going to run for re-election, banning TikTok needs to be right up there at the top of his list.

00:08:34.640 Because it's sort of like the wall.

00:08:36.640 It's easy for everybody to understand.

00:08:38.640 And it's right.

00:08:40.640 If it's easy to understand and it's unambiguously right for America, that's just like a classic Trump campaign thing, right?

00:08:51.640 It's simple and it's obvious.

00:08:54.640 And we're not doing it.

00:08:56.640 You can't get a better campaign topic than that.

00:08:59.640 All right.

00:09:01.640 How many of you have followed the story of Andrew Taint?

00:09:06.640 And I know some of you think that I'm pronouncing it with an N, but that's just a Yanni and Laurel thing.

00:09:16.640 You hear it that way because I primed you.

00:09:19.640 But I'm actually saying T-A-T-E. 0.99

00:09:22.640 So if it sounds like taint to you, that's probably just a psychological phenomenon that's happening on your end.

00:09:31.640 But I heard there was this video of him allegedly beating up a girl.

00:09:36.640 Have you heard that?

00:09:38.640 There's a video of him allegedly beating up a girl.

00:09:42.640 So I said to myself, well, I'm going to have to see that to find out how evil is this guy.

00:09:50.640 And I first watched it with the sound off.

00:09:54.640 And then I listened to it with the sound on.

00:09:57.640 And that was an interesting experiment.

00:10:01.640 When I listened with the sound off, I said to myself, why is everybody so concerned about this?

00:10:07.640 It looks like consensual sex to me.

00:10:10.640 There was hair pulling.

00:10:13.640 There was spanking. 0.99

00:10:15.640 But there wasn't much in terms of resistance.

00:10:19.640 It looked like two people who had probably negotiated, probably negotiated what was in and what was out.

00:10:26.640 And it looked like they were just doing their little kinky fun. 0.88

00:10:29.640 Now that was with the sound off.

00:10:31.640 And then you turn the sound on.

00:10:36.640 You turn the sound on.

00:10:38.640 And it just sounds really frightening.

00:10:41.640 And I say to myself, was any of that manipulated?

00:10:45.640 Because even if you heard the same sound, but you'd heard it sort of muffled, I don't think it would have sounded the same.

00:10:52.640 There was something about the loudness of the sound compared to the video.

00:10:58.640 For example, there was a part at the beginning where it looks like he slapped her in the face.

00:11:05.640 When you see it with no sound on, it looks like it probably was more like a, you know, within the context of negotiated kinky play, more of a get your attention, not intended to hurt.

00:11:21.640 So without sound, it looked like this was a slap.

00:11:25.640 Hey, sort of like that.

00:11:28.640 Now, I'm not defending or condemning, right?

00:11:31.640 So I'm not giving you any opinion on what's happening.

00:11:33.640 I'm just describing it.

00:11:34.640 So if you hear it without the sound, it looks like something that easily could have been within the realm that two people negotiated.

00:11:43.640 I don't know if they did.

00:11:44.640 So I don't know what the woman said afterwards.

00:11:46.640 By the way, has anybody heard from the woman?

00:11:48.640 Did the woman say afterwards that she was within the realm of things she had negotiated or was she not?

00:11:56.640 I don't know.

00:11:58.640 But when you hear the sound, it's frightening.

00:12:00.640 Because the sound of the slap goes from something that I would have imagined would not have even made a sound.

00:12:07.640 Because remember, he was an MMA fighter.

00:12:12.640 If he wanted to hurt her, it wouldn't have looked anything like that.

00:12:17.640 If his intention had been to hurt her, the visual would have looked a lot different, I think.

00:12:22.640 I think.

00:12:23.640 Now, I'm not defending him, right?

00:12:25.640 I want to be really clear.

00:12:27.640 Because I don't know what was the situation.

00:12:30.640 I don't have information.

00:12:31.640 But I will say that when you hear it without sound, it looks consensual.

00:12:36.640 Or it looks like it could be.

00:12:38.640 You don't know for sure.

00:12:39.640 But it looks like it could easily be within the realm of two people doing something that maybe you don't do.

00:12:45.640 But maybe other people do.

00:12:47.640 Let me ask you this.

00:12:49.640 In the comments.

00:12:51.640 Have any of you ever been involved in sex play in which there was hair pulling, light slapping, and spanking,

00:13:02.640 and the other person who was a recipient of such clearly enjoyed it.

00:13:11.640 So, as expected, there's a combination of hell no and yes.

00:13:16.640 Lots of yeses and lots of noes.

00:13:18.640 Right?

00:13:19.640 Now, what would you conclude?

00:13:20.640 If you were one of the noes, if you were one of the people who said no, what would you conclude about the people who said yes?

00:13:28.640 Are they all people who sexually abuse people and are not aware of it?

00:13:34.640 Maybe the woman didn't like it as much, or it could have been either way. 0.99

00:13:38.640 It didn't have to be the woman. 0.76

00:13:39.640 But do you imagine that women don't enjoy this kind of play? 0.96

00:13:46.640 Sometimes.

00:13:47.640 Some women in some situations with some men.

00:13:51.640 See, the trouble is that what you see visually is well within the realm of what I would consider fairly routine sexual practices that are not exactly in the middle mainstream, but they're not too far out.

00:14:08.640 But as soon as you hear the audio, it turns into an assault.

00:14:13.640 And so the question I would ask, is there anything about that audio that's been manipulated?

00:14:20.640 And I would look for specifically the sound of the slap.

00:14:23.640 Because remember, the two people were not mic'd.

00:14:26.640 There was no microphone.

00:14:28.640 But the sound of the slap is really loud.

00:14:31.640 And yet it doesn't exactly match what you see on the video.

00:14:35.640 It looks like there might have been a little video audio trickery going on, but I don't know.

00:14:43.640 Anyway, so let me say again, I'm not defending him, because I don't like him.

00:14:50.640 So if there's one thing you can be sure of, I'm not going to defend him.

00:14:55.640 Right?

00:14:56.640 Because he's a nemesis.

00:14:58.640 So, but just be aware that the days of, if you saw it on video, it's true, are long gone.

00:15:06.640 It does not mean it's true if you saw it with your own eyes on video.

00:15:10.640 If you heard it with your own ears on video, it doesn't mean it happened.

00:15:13.640 It really doesn't.

00:15:15.640 That used to mean something.

00:15:16.640 It doesn't mean anything anymore.

00:15:18.640 In fact, I would argue that the more famous it is, the fact that it's on video is the less likely it's true.

00:15:26.640 So just be careful about that.

00:15:30.640 So I'm not going to defend him.

00:15:31.640 I'm just going to say, be careful about what you believe.

00:15:35.640 All right.

00:15:36.640 And I think I would want to hear what the woman said about it afterwards. 0.98

00:15:39.640 I'd probably base my decision on that.

00:15:41.640 I haven't seen that.

00:15:45.640 I had a friend who I talked to yesterday who made me laugh for a long time.

00:15:51.640 Because he escaped the scenery.

00:15:55.640 And it's funny when somebody does it.

00:15:58.640 And here's what I mean.

00:15:59.640 He stopped using social media except for an obscure hobby he has.

00:16:04.640 So he follows one hobby, but that's it.

00:16:08.640 And the reason he described...

00:16:11.640 I wish I...

00:16:12.640 Actually, I do have his actual words.

00:16:14.640 I'm going to give you his actual words for describing what he was experiencing.

00:16:19.640 And what I heard when I saw his words was, it sounded like somebody who had just achieved a higher level of awareness

00:16:26.640 and was trying to deal with it.

00:16:28.640 All right.

00:16:30.640 I've got to read the exact words.

00:16:40.640 Oh, damn it.

00:16:41.640 I'm not going to be fine.

00:16:42.640 But the idea was that once he noticed that everybody was playing a part, like a character,

00:16:48.640 he couldn't debate politics anymore because he wasn't really debating the topic.

00:16:52.640 He was in a play with characters.

00:16:55.640 So there would be one character who would be the American flag wearing American guy.

00:17:00.640 And there would be another character who would be the left leaning, I'm so left person.

00:17:06.640 And then the third one is what made me laugh.

00:17:08.640 He goes, and then there's always a coach, some kind of coach for whatever the fuck.

00:17:14.640 And I just lost it.

00:17:15.640 I thought, oh my God.

00:17:17.640 There is always the American flag guy.

00:17:19.640 There's always the leftist crazy guy.

00:17:22.640 And there's always a coach.

00:17:24.640 There's always a coach.

00:17:25.640 There's always a coach.

00:17:26.640 And it's always a coach for whatever the fuck.

00:17:29.640 And I thought, why is there always a coach?

00:17:33.640 There is always a coach.

00:17:35.640 Am I wrong?

00:17:36.640 And when I heard that, I just thought, oh my God.

00:17:39.640 It is so obviously, it's just like Civil War recreations.

00:17:45.640 You know how the people who dress in Civil War outfits and they go do the fake battles to recreate the battles?

00:17:53.640 That's all social media is now.

00:17:55.640 It's people literally taking and putting on a costume and going to do symbolic battle.

00:18:00.640 They don't know what the real date is and they don't care.

00:18:03.640 And one of them is always a coach.

00:18:05.640 And I thought, no, this is exactly like Halloween.

00:18:09.640 Politics has just become Halloween.

00:18:13.640 So what happens a few weeks before actual Halloween?

00:18:16.640 People start talking about what costume they're going to wear.

00:18:19.640 And what costume do people pick?

00:18:22.640 Well, they do it for a variety of reasons.

00:18:25.640 But often, often people will pick a costume that's sort of how they're feeling.

00:18:30.640 Like, oh, on the inside, I feel like a devil.

00:18:33.640 I'm going to be a devil.

00:18:35.640 Or I feel like livestock because I'm in my cubicle all day.

00:18:39.640 I'm going to dress as a cow.

00:18:41.640 So at some level, the Halloween costume you pick is a sort of a lifestyle decision of who you want to pretend to be.

00:18:49.640 And I think that's what politics have become.

00:18:51.640 Because we definitely don't have the data to use data to make decisions.

00:18:55.640 It's all sketchy data.

00:18:57.640 And we definitely don't have the logic skills.

00:19:00.640 But everybody knows how to act.

00:19:02.640 Everybody knows how to pretend.

00:19:04.640 So instead of debates, it's now just pretending.

00:19:07.640 And if you understand people's reactions as pretending to play a role, everything makes sense.

00:19:14.640 If you imagine that they're trying to be logical and failing, it's just really frustrating.

00:19:20.640 Because you'll be like, oh, why?

00:19:23.640 Why is your logic failing?

00:19:25.640 Why?

00:19:26.640 Or is it me?

00:19:27.640 You always have that question.

00:19:29.640 And the answer is, nobody's even pretending to use logic.

00:19:32.640 They're just dressing up.

00:19:34.640 It would be like asking, why are you dressing like a devil on Halloween when you know you're not really a devil?

00:19:41.640 That's not really the right question, is it?

00:19:43.640 Why are you dressing like a devil when you're not really one?

00:19:46.640 It's exactly the same with politics.

00:19:49.640 Why are you arguing that case when you know that doesn't make sense, right?

00:19:53.640 It is compatible with the costume you're wearing, but you know it doesn't make sense, right?

00:19:59.640 You do know that.

00:20:01.640 That's what it feels like.

00:20:02.640 And once he described the situation that way, I couldn't see it another way.

00:20:07.640 It just feels like people wearing costumes.

00:20:10.640 All right.

00:20:12.640 So watch for the coach of whatever the fuck.

00:20:16.640 How many of you have seen the video, there's a black and white video from long ago, maybe the 60s,

00:20:25.640 in which a Russian, an ex-Russian spy allegedly, who defected from the Soviet Union, I guess a Soviet spy,

00:20:35.640 was explaining the Soviet Union secret plan to brainwash their enemies, like Americans,

00:20:44.640 into accepting socialism that would destroy America from inside.

00:20:48.640 You've all seen that, right?

00:20:50.640 I can't tell you how many people have sent that to me.

00:20:55.640 Yeah, what's his name?

00:20:57.640 Yeah, blah, blah, blah.

00:20:59.640 How many of you think Yuri Bezmenov?

00:21:04.640 It wasn't black and white.

00:21:05.640 It was just shitty video.

00:21:07.640 Yuri Bezmenov, right?

00:21:11.640 How many of you think that he was a credible person telling you something useful?

00:21:16.640 Did you believe what he was saying?

00:21:19.640 Sounded pretty good, didn't it?

00:21:21.640 Sounded pretty credible?

00:21:23.640 It's complete bullshit.

00:21:25.640 It is absolute bullshit.

00:21:28.640 Now, I hadn't watched the whole thing before I'd seen clips,

00:21:31.640 and I imagined it was bullshit from the clips,

00:21:35.640 so I'd never bothered to spend any time listening.

00:21:38.640 So I listened to an extended explanation.

00:21:43.640 It's really obvious that it's bullshit.

00:21:45.640 It's really obvious.

00:21:47.640 Now, I'll tell you why, and maybe it'll be obvious after I tell you.

00:21:52.640 Number one on your detecting bullshit checklist.

00:21:58.640 What is number one on the checklist?

00:22:00.640 If something's a hoax or a prank, let's say it's intentionally wrong,

00:22:05.640 what's the first thing you look for?

00:22:07.640 Two on the nose. 0.94

00:22:08.640 Exactly.

00:22:09.640 Two on the nose. 0.94

00:22:10.640 What is it that Americans are afraid of?

00:22:13.640 That those darn communists are trying to infiltrate the brains of our children. 0.99

00:22:18.640 Ever since the 60s, we've been afraid of that.

00:22:21.640 And there's that.

00:22:23.640 There he is.

00:22:25.640 Just the way you'd expect.

00:22:27.640 The exact person telling you that behind the scenes,

00:22:31.640 that's exactly what the bad guys are doing.

00:22:34.640 They're reprogramming your children.

00:22:36.640 Your children!

00:22:39.640 So, it's a little on the nose, isn't it?

00:22:42.640 Now, that doesn't mean they don't want to reprogram your children.

00:22:46.640 Because I was just talking about TikTok, as somebody said.

00:22:49.640 But here's the difference.

00:22:51.640 TikTok can reprogram your children in an hour.

00:22:57.640 In an hour.

00:22:59.640 TikTok can change your children's opinions in an hour.

00:23:05.640 Do you know how long the Soviets were willing to wait?

00:23:08.640 Uh, 15 to 50 years.

00:23:10.640 Because that's how long they said it takes to educate the next generation of kids

00:23:15.640 to believe in all this socialism.

00:23:18.640 Well, have I ever told you the trick about doing something random

00:23:23.640 and then claiming credit when things go your way?

00:23:27.640 For example, when Biden said he was going to release the national oil reserves

00:23:35.640 to increase the supply of oil and therefore decrease the price,

00:23:40.640 what did all of the experts say?

00:23:42.640 They said, but there's so little of that oil,

00:23:45.640 that even if you released all of it, which would put us at some risk

00:23:48.640 because we wouldn't have the reserve then.

00:23:50.640 Even if you used all of it, it wouldn't change the volume enough

00:23:53.640 to change the price much.

00:23:57.640 But what did Biden know?

00:23:59.640 Well, he knew that if prices went up, he could say it would have been worse.

00:24:03.640 Right?

00:24:04.640 It would have been worse.

00:24:06.640 And he knew that if prices went down, which in the long run, of course,

00:24:09.640 they were going to go down, that he could claim credit.

00:24:12.640 So if you know something's going to change anyway,

00:24:15.640 you know business will go up and you know business will go down,

00:24:18.640 you do what all Dilbert managers do.

00:24:21.640 So you change something, you change something and then claim credit.

00:24:28.640 So do you think that the Russians were, or the Soviets,

00:24:31.640 or maybe just this one guy, Yuri,

00:24:34.640 do you think that it was clever for him to say,

00:24:36.640 oh yes, the reason that people are asking for more socialism

00:24:40.640 is because we've been hypnotizing them for decades.

00:24:45.640 Do you know what causes people to ask for more socialism?

00:24:49.640 A good economy.

00:24:51.640 That's what does it.

00:24:53.640 It was going to happen anyway.

00:24:55.640 Socialism was coming, no matter what the Soviets did. 0.88

00:24:59.640 Because if you've got a bunch of rich people,

00:25:01.640 and they're living the good life,

00:25:03.640 and they're living right next to people who do not have a good life,

00:25:06.640 what are the people who don't have a good life going to do?

00:25:09.640 They're going to say, I have a good reason,

00:25:11.640 you should give me some of your stuff.

00:25:13.640 And what would be the good reason?

00:25:15.640 Socialism, right?

00:25:17.640 It was going to happen on its own.

00:25:20.640 And it happened everywhere.

00:25:22.640 Is there a country somewhere that had a good economy,

00:25:25.640 and the poor people weren't asking to get a bigger share?

00:25:29.640 That happened nowhere.

00:25:31.640 So the first part where the socialism is embedded into our schools

00:25:38.640 to make everybody socialist,

00:25:40.640 I feel like that was just going to happen on its own.

00:25:42.640 And he's sort of taking credit for something that's a normal trend.

00:25:47.640 Right?

00:25:48.640 Then what about the demoralizing part?

00:25:51.640 That once we don't trust anything,

00:25:53.640 then we get all demoralized.

00:25:56.640 Do you think we're more demoralized than we've ever been?

00:26:00.640 Not really.

00:26:01.640 The only thing we've done is woken up to the fact that our news was probably always fake.

00:26:05.640 Did we come out behind by learning that our news was always fake?

00:26:12.640 Because when this guy, Yuri, was talking,

00:26:15.640 this was in a time when the CIA was hypnotizing the citizens,

00:26:19.640 and you didn't know it.

00:26:21.640 The CIA was actively managing movies and TV to hypnotize the public to get some result that the government wanted.

00:26:33.640 Was that good?

00:26:34.640 Are you better off now than knowing that the Soviets are trying to influence you? 0.56

00:26:39.640 Not Soviets, the Russians, and the Chinese.

00:26:45.640 And also knowing that your own government is trying to influence you.

00:26:48.640 I'd say we're ahead.

00:26:50.640 How did we come out behind?

00:26:51.640 To me, we're way ahead, because now we understand that we were being hypnotized way back then.

00:26:57.640 And not only by opponents, but by our own government,

00:27:01.640 and quite intentionally and quite aggressively.

00:27:04.640 So, I feel like Yuri was more of an opportunist.

00:27:11.640 Was he selling a book, by the way?

00:27:13.640 Does anybody know, was he selling a book at the time?

00:27:16.640 Because if he wasn't selling a book, I would worry that he was still working for the Soviet Union.

00:27:22.640 And if he wasn't selling a book, it means that he probably was not so much an ex-spy, if you know what I mean.

00:27:29.640 He might have been a current spy.

00:27:31.640 He was a professor.

00:27:33.640 Okay.

00:27:35.640 But people are always selling a book.

00:27:38.640 I don't know.

00:27:39.640 So, I would say I wouldn't trust anything about him, because his explanations were academic and generic.

00:27:47.640 And they really described things that were going to happen anyway for different reasons.

00:27:51.640 And his two-on-the-nose part is a big flag.

00:27:54.640 Yes, I am selling several books.

00:28:02.640 Does that make me less credible, because I'm selling books?

00:28:07.640 It would depend on the book you're selling, doesn't it?

00:28:10.640 But anyway, the beauty of my books are the funny ones, you can either laugh or not laugh.

00:28:16.640 And that's all they're trying to do.

00:28:18.640 And the ones that are self-help, you can look at the people who already tried them, and you can see what their outcome was.

00:28:25.640 So, you don't really have to depend on me for credibility.

00:28:29.640 Yesterday, I came upon, just by accident, the first Ronald Reagan press conference from 1981.

00:28:36.640 And I tweeted it around.

00:28:39.640 It's really interesting.

00:28:40.640 If you look at Reagan's first press conference, check his, let's say, his skill level, his communication ability, and compare it to Biden and Trump.

00:28:54.640 It's really interesting.

00:28:55.640 And I'll tell you what my impression was, and I think yours might be different, right?

00:28:59.640 Because we're all going to have a subjective impression.

00:29:02.640 But my first impression was, my goodness, this guy is good.

00:29:05.640 Wow.

00:29:06.640 I mean, I remembered him as being good, but he was really good.

00:29:11.640 Like, his charisma and his control of the stage and how he kept the conversation at a high level, like he didn't get in the weeds.

00:29:21.640 He kept everything at a higher level, was masterful.

00:29:25.640 He was great.

00:29:26.640 But, here's a big but.

00:29:30.640 When he started taking questions about all different things, because it seemed like in those days they would ask you more obscure questions.

00:29:39.640 Somebody would stand up and say,

00:29:41.640 Mr. President, the Native American reservations have spotted eagles that are being destroyed by the tractors.

00:29:51.640 What are you going to do about it?

00:29:54.640 And it would be some topic that the president has never even heard of.

00:29:58.640 And then they have to respond to it.

00:30:00.640 Now, it seems like they used to ask that kind of question all the time.

00:30:04.640 And it was really good for seeing what the president would deal, how he would deal with, he or she would deal with a question that was tricky.

00:30:12.640 And I don't think they asked questions like that anymore.

00:30:16.640 But Reagan was actually a little bit stumped.

00:30:19.640 Because there were things he had made no decisions on, didn't have a thought on.

00:30:23.640 And he kept having to say, well, we've just been here nine days.

00:30:29.640 We've been working on this big legislation.

00:30:31.640 And when I'm done with that, you know, we'll be able to look at some other things.

00:30:34.640 But I don't have anything to tell you about that now.

00:30:36.640 Now, I do think there's a way to say that confidently and in a way that makes the country say, oh, okay, I get it.

00:30:45.640 That's coming up.

00:30:46.640 You haven't done it yet.

00:30:48.440 But he did seem a little bit scared and lost during the questions where he didn't have a prepared answer.

00:30:56.640 So what I saw is that where he had prepared answers, like a good actor, he could deliver his lines and he would wow you.

00:31:04.460 I mean, his presentation was really spectacular.

00:31:08.300 But when he didn't have prepared lines, he did look a little lost.

00:31:12.620 He did look a little lost.

00:31:13.960 And I thought you could actually detect maybe the beginnings of some lack of capability.

00:31:20.460 But that's probably my imagination.

00:31:22.720 Because we know that, you know, toward the end of his term, there were more questions about his mental capability.

00:31:27.280 But if you look at it through today's lens and compare it to Trump's performance and to Biden's, it's really, really interesting if you have any historical curiosity.

00:31:40.440 All right.

00:31:43.560 You know, it's funny we keep redefining terms.

00:31:47.260 And my critics are funny.

00:31:49.660 So here are some things that my critics have told me in the last 24 hours.

00:31:56.240 That if you got the jab, you were taking a dangerous experimental drug.

00:32:01.920 That's one thing they said.

00:32:03.700 And that people who voluntarily take a dangerous experimental drug are called cowards.

00:32:09.320 So the people who do something that's dangerous and they volunteer to do it are called cowards.

00:32:15.960 This is different than how I used to use that word.

00:32:18.160 I used to think that people who volunteered to do something that was dangerous would be called brave.

00:32:26.380 But no, they're called cowards.

00:32:30.240 And I also learned that staying home is called freedom.

00:32:35.980 It's called freedom.

00:32:37.160 But getting a vaccination so you can travel the world is a form of slavery.

00:32:42.400 Because you're doing what other people want you to do, which is get the shot.

00:32:45.940 So while I was in Bora Bora and Santorini, and my critics were in their basements staying home because they couldn't travel,

00:32:55.860 they were experiencing something called freedom while I was suffering in a five-star resort with my lack of freedom.

00:33:05.400 And that's what I learned this week.

00:33:09.520 So here's my takeaway on that.

00:33:13.500 I don't know what is the best take on anything, necessarily.

00:33:18.480 But I'll tell you what the lowest, worst take is.

00:33:21.920 Here's the worst take.

00:33:23.360 That there was somebody during the pandemic who was operating on fear, and there was somebody who was not.

00:33:32.700 Nothing like that happened.

00:33:34.700 You were either afraid of the shot, or you were afraid of not getting the shot.

00:33:42.100 By which they could make a good decision.

00:33:44.820 So it was fear and guessing.

00:33:46.780 So you used whatever you were most afraid of, and then you rationalized it.

00:33:53.360 That's all that happened.

00:33:54.820 There was nobody brave.

00:33:57.040 Every single person made a fear-based decision.

00:33:59.960 Were you afraid of the government?

00:34:01.360 Afraid of losing your job?

00:34:02.620 Afraid of, were you afraid of not being able to travel?

00:34:06.480 Were you afraid of being alone?

00:34:08.080 Were you afraid of something?

00:34:09.380 So to imagine that some group were afraid and cowards, and some group were not, is really the lowest level of understanding.

00:34:19.720 It's not even a logic problem.

00:34:21.480 It's like a low level of understanding what a human is.

00:34:25.980 That's like a complete misunderstanding of how a brain works, how people operate in the real world.

00:34:32.380 We're basically just afraid of stuff, and then rationalizing our choices after the fact.

00:34:37.280 That's pretty much all we do.

00:34:38.420 We're afraid of stuff, and then we come up with reasons why it makes sense.

00:34:43.540 That's it.

00:34:44.840 And if you think we're a reason-based species, and that some of us are brave and some of us are not, nothing like that's happening.

00:34:53.780 You're just going to be confused if you go through life thinking that's what your reality looks like.

00:35:00.820 All right.

00:35:01.160 And then, because I can't talk about a story without becoming part of it, I was asking on Twitter, because I keep seeing graphs showing there's all these excess deaths after the pandemic.

00:35:17.940 Have you seen those on the Internet?

00:35:19.140 A graph that's showing we expect this many deaths in a normal situation, but it seems like everywhere they're higher, pretty much globally.

00:35:28.380 Wherever you can determine it, they're higher.

00:35:30.960 Now, let's do a bias check.

00:35:33.320 If you believe that the data is correct, what is the most reasonable hypothesis for why they're higher?

00:35:42.380 Go.

00:35:43.480 So here you're going to be just giving me the most...

00:35:46.040 We don't know, because nobody's saying they know.

00:35:49.360 All right.

00:35:49.660 So could we agree that nobody knows?

00:35:51.480 But what is the most reasonable hypothesis for why they would be higher?

00:35:59.560 Somebody thinks it has to do with how the financial incentives work.

00:36:05.300 Okay.

00:36:07.300 People who died with COVID instead of because of...

00:36:10.640 I don't know if that fits into excess deaths.

00:36:13.420 The data could be wrong, right?

00:36:15.680 What about the odds that the data is just wrong?

00:36:17.680 Some are saying the most obvious is the lockdown.

00:36:23.240 Some are saying the most obvious is the delay of health care.

00:36:27.540 Some are saying it's obesity.

00:36:29.340 People got fatter and less active.

00:36:32.160 What about increasing depression?

00:36:34.260 Depression.

00:36:35.160 There's a hypothesis.

00:36:36.700 All right.

00:36:37.720 So here's what I think is how to identify the worst take.

00:36:44.180 The worst take would be it's one of those things.

00:36:47.680 No matter which one you picked.

00:36:50.160 I think that's the worst take.

00:36:52.340 Because people did get fatter.

00:36:55.420 And there's no question that made a difference.

00:36:58.460 People did delay care.

00:37:00.780 There's no question that delayed.

00:37:03.300 The vaccinations themselves may have had...

00:37:07.320 Don't know this.

00:37:08.660 But may have had more complications than a normal vaccination.

00:37:11.920 Which doesn't mean it wasn't a good idea.

00:37:14.000 It just means there might have been more complications.

00:37:18.720 So there are lots of reasons.

00:37:20.360 It's probably five different reasons.

00:37:23.600 But let's rank them.

00:37:27.180 Let's rank them in order.

00:37:28.480 Give me a...

00:37:29.020 Give me a...

00:37:29.820 Let's say...

00:37:30.620 Let's give me a 1 to 10 on this.

00:37:32.960 So 10 means that this would be a really important variable.

00:37:36.800 And 1 means it's not much of a variable.

00:37:40.160 What are the odds?

00:37:41.300 Because we don't know.

00:37:42.620 What are the odds that the data is just misleading?

00:37:46.440 Go.

00:37:46.940 Scale of 1 to 10.

00:37:48.160 What are the odds that the data is just misleading?

00:37:53.820 I'm saying 8 or 10.

00:37:55.160 Right?

00:37:55.340 There's a very high chance of it.

00:37:56.880 Very high chance.

00:37:58.680 But if I told you the data everywhere is consistent.

00:38:03.040 So the way we collect data in the US is different than how they do it in the UK.

00:38:07.860 But all the people collecting data are finding the same thing.

00:38:11.460 I think.

00:38:12.220 I think that's true.

00:38:13.560 So now if I told you no matter how you collect the data,

00:38:16.260 it doesn't matter how you do it,

00:38:18.140 you end up with the same general direction.

00:38:20.860 That there are excess deaths.

00:38:22.700 Okay?

00:38:23.260 Would that tell you that maybe it's not a data problem?

00:38:25.500 If I told you that everybody, no matter how they collect it,

00:38:28.900 gets the same answer,

00:38:30.440 does that tell you maybe not data?

00:38:34.340 So am I lowering your percentage on that one?

00:38:38.840 Yeah.

00:38:39.120 It still could be the data.

00:38:40.960 Because it could be everybody.

00:38:43.060 That's totally possible.

00:38:44.400 All right.

00:38:44.580 How about the next one?

00:38:45.800 The next one is that the elites, whoever they are,

00:38:50.780 whoever controls the pharma companies

00:38:52.720 or whoever the pharma companies control,

00:38:55.000 that there's some elite group

00:38:56.200 who is intentionally hypnotizing you

00:38:59.980 not to notice the excess deaths.

00:39:02.760 So under this hypothesis,

00:39:05.260 which I don't believe,

00:39:07.140 the vaccinations themselves

00:39:09.980 are causing the excess deaths,

00:39:11.760 and that fact is being hidden from you

00:39:14.000 by all the elites.

00:39:15.400 Give me the odds on that.

00:39:16.780 The odds that it's the vaccination themselves

00:39:18.820 and the truth is being hidden by the elites.

00:39:22.480 Give me your odds.

00:39:24.820 I'm seeing everything from 2% to 100%.

00:39:27.540 Yeah.

00:39:30.660 I don't know.

00:39:31.300 I don't know the odds on that one.

00:39:33.200 So how about the odds that it is delayed care?

00:39:38.680 Now, doctors,

00:39:40.480 doctors say the problem is probably delayed care

00:39:43.740 because the types of problems

00:39:45.740 they're seeing people die of

00:39:47.000 are the ones that need constant care.

00:39:51.900 So it turns out there's a pretty strong correlation,

00:39:55.200 at least anecdotally.

00:39:56.540 I don't believe there's any randomized controlled trial.

00:39:59.700 But anecdotally, doctors are saying

00:40:01.320 the people we're seeing dying

00:40:02.760 seem to be the ones that could have used treatment

00:40:06.240 like diabetes and cancer,

00:40:10.460 I think were the two examples.

00:40:11.560 They're two that you really need to stay on top of them

00:40:14.040 to reduce the death rate.

00:40:17.300 Now, suppose that's true.

00:40:19.040 And I don't know that that's been proven.

00:40:21.280 Suppose it's true that it's obvious

00:40:23.400 that the people dying are the ones

00:40:24.880 who didn't get continuous care

00:40:26.280 because of the pandemic.

00:40:27.640 That would be pretty convincing.

00:40:29.520 But I don't trust the data yet.

00:40:34.140 So here's how, once again,

00:40:35.880 I become part of the story.

00:40:37.440 I'd forgotten temporarily

00:40:39.560 that Alex Berenson is back on Twitter.

00:40:42.200 So somebody tweeted

00:40:43.380 that I should have a conversation with him.

00:40:46.620 And he saw that, and he weighed in.

00:40:48.700 And his statement is this on Twitter.

00:40:54.300 He said,

00:40:55.380 but yes, the excess deaths are real.

00:40:57.580 So he's confirming that the excess deaths are real.

00:41:00.540 And I think I believe that.

00:41:02.100 So, so far,

00:41:03.240 so far, I am tentatively believing

00:41:06.460 there are excess deaths

00:41:08.100 just because so many people are seeing it

00:41:10.540 in so many places.

00:41:12.180 So, so far, we're on the same page.

00:41:13.700 There probably are excess deaths.

00:41:15.360 But he says it's happening in all

00:41:17.520 or nearly all of the mRNA-vaccinated countries.

00:41:21.000 That part, I don't have data on

00:41:22.760 and don't believe.

00:41:23.660 So, I believe that there were so many mRNA countries 0.99

00:41:28.320 that unless all of them are experiencing this,

00:41:31.860 the fact that nearly all of them are experiencing it

00:41:34.320 would tell me that's not the problem.

00:41:35.840 If all of them were,

00:41:38.360 I'd say, oh, there's a problem.

00:41:40.560 But if not all of them,

00:41:42.240 and only nearly all of them,

00:41:44.200 then I'd say,

00:41:45.020 hmm, maybe it just means that

00:41:47.200 a lot of countries who can collect data

00:41:49.780 can also have lots of vaccines.

00:41:52.500 So it seems like there's a correlation between

00:41:54.620 are you a country that even could get the mRNA vaccination?

00:42:01.080 And if you are,

00:42:04.200 you know, what does that say about you too?

00:42:06.000 All right.

00:42:08.440 So what do you think?

00:42:10.440 Do you think the shots are the most obvious?

00:42:12.940 So Alex Berenson says it's the most obvious explanation.

00:42:16.700 Is it the most obvious?

00:42:19.400 Because I would think most obvious

00:42:20.960 is what the doctors say.

00:42:23.340 The actual doctors who are treating people

00:42:25.360 are saying the most obvious explanation

00:42:27.600 is delayed treatment.

00:42:30.000 But why is Alex Berenson looking at the same data

00:42:32.820 and saying the most obvious explanation

00:42:35.060 is one that agrees with something he said

00:42:37.480 before we had the data?

00:42:40.560 Well, one of them is being consistent

00:42:42.740 with prior statements.

00:42:47.280 If you were looking for a cognitive dissonance,

00:42:49.780 which I don't see here yet, by the way,

00:42:51.720 so there's not a signal for it.

00:42:53.740 Well, maybe there is.

00:42:56.060 Do you think this is a signal?

00:42:59.040 If doctors are the ones saying

00:43:00.940 the most obvious thing is delayed treatment,

00:43:04.080 why would somebody who's not a doctor

00:43:05.820 say the most obvious thing is the shots themselves

00:43:08.320 when the doctors are not saying

00:43:11.920 that that's the most obvious thing?

00:43:13.820 What is the definition of obvious?

00:43:15.820 I would think if doctors don't see it,

00:43:19.780 but a non-doctor does,

00:43:21.840 it doesn't qualify as obvious.

00:43:24.700 It doesn't mean Alex Berenson is wrong.

00:43:27.380 He could be the one that's right

00:43:28.520 and the doctors could be wrong.

00:43:30.980 But I think obvious is a word that doesn't fit.

00:43:34.240 Does it?

00:43:36.740 Yeah.

00:43:37.600 So you could say that the word obvious

00:43:39.700 is a tell

00:43:40.500 or something out of the ordinary here.

00:43:45.940 But I don't think you can conclude

00:43:47.880 that he is wrong

00:43:48.840 based on anything that we know now.

00:43:51.140 Now, here's some other data.

00:43:52.560 There was a VA study

00:43:53.640 which looked at only veterans

00:43:55.900 and only unvaccinated ones.

00:43:58.100 And it found that long COVID

00:44:00.180 causes all kinds of problems,

00:44:02.140 especially heart disease later.

00:44:04.660 So if we know that long COVID

00:44:06.800 causes people to die later,

00:44:10.500 it could just be that.

00:44:13.360 So if you took the delay in treatment

00:44:16.100 and you added it to the fact

00:44:18.580 that long COVID itself

00:44:19.820 might cause you to have a heart problem

00:44:21.980 down the road,

00:44:23.000 and this is down the road.

00:44:24.980 So the VA found that you could have

00:44:26.780 these problems months down the road.

00:44:29.640 So we're only months out of the pandemic itself.

00:44:32.940 So this is exactly when we would see

00:44:35.140 COVID, long COVID problems

00:44:38.140 killing people at higher rates.

00:44:39.700 Exactly now.

00:44:42.620 So anyway, I would say

00:44:44.360 that that would be

00:44:45.040 the most obvious ones

00:44:46.180 would be the COVID itself,

00:44:47.840 the delay in care,

00:44:49.540 the increase in weight.

00:44:51.600 You have to question

00:44:52.660 whether the data is right.

00:44:54.240 And then you can't rule out

00:44:56.180 the vaccination.

00:44:57.400 Can you?

00:44:59.160 And alcohol.

00:44:59.880 Yeah.

00:45:00.220 Drug abuse.

00:45:01.160 Exactly.

00:45:02.240 Drug abuse would certainly be

00:45:03.720 in there as an obvious choice to.

00:45:09.880 But what I worry about

00:45:11.240 is that the people

00:45:12.220 who were anti-vax from the beginning,

00:45:14.320 they need to be right.

00:45:16.280 If you were anti-vax from the beginning,

00:45:18.900 you need the excess deaths

00:45:20.640 to be high and unexplained.

00:45:23.940 You need that.

00:45:24.940 So the only way

00:45:26.780 the anti-vaxxers can be right 0.99

00:45:28.680 is if the

00:45:29.920 is if the excess deaths

00:45:32.400 are from the vaccination.

00:45:34.320 So I would worry

00:45:35.500 that cognitive dissonance

00:45:36.760 or confirmation bias

00:45:37.780 are kicking in.

00:45:39.600 But everybody is,

00:45:41.600 I think we're all subject to it now, right?

00:45:44.340 Wouldn't you say,

00:45:45.440 would you say it's a true statement

00:45:46.780 that every one of us now

00:45:48.980 is deeply in the grip

00:45:51.100 of confirmation bias?

00:45:52.540 Because whatever you thought was true,

00:45:55.440 you have found a reason

00:45:56.480 to believe it's true

00:45:57.420 based on data.

00:45:59.200 I can do it.

00:46:00.720 You don't think

00:46:01.320 that Alex Berenson

00:46:02.100 could do what I'm going to do right now?

00:46:04.480 I could easily tell you

00:46:05.760 that everything I predicted

00:46:07.000 came true.

00:46:07.780 Because I have.

00:46:09.180 There were some that didn't.

00:46:11.220 But most of the things

00:46:12.320 I could argue

00:46:12.920 it came true

00:46:13.500 and here's my data.

00:46:14.660 But people who said the opposite,

00:46:16.800 the very opposite

00:46:17.740 of what I predicted,

00:46:19.360 also say they were right

00:46:21.060 and here's my data.

00:46:23.240 We both have data.

00:46:25.300 It turns out

00:46:25.840 the data's useless.

00:46:28.280 It turns out

00:46:29.140 the data's completely useless.

00:46:32.820 All right.

00:46:38.100 That turns out to be

00:46:39.760 the bulk of what

00:46:42.040 I wanted to talk about.

00:46:45.280 Yes, no mandates.

00:46:47.000 No mandates.

00:46:48.800 Was there a topic I missed?

00:46:50.240 Is there anything

00:46:51.200 that I should have talked about

00:46:53.180 that I didn't?

00:46:53.920 I feel like I missed something.

00:46:55.100 It was like a big topic

00:46:56.000 or something.

00:47:01.220 Oh, so the Salisbury Hill thing

00:47:03.220 is what helped you.

00:47:06.500 Huh.

00:47:08.460 The car bomb,

00:47:09.420 we talked about

00:47:09.920 the Russian car bomb

00:47:10.980 that I think

00:47:12.600 it was probably Ukraine.

00:47:14.060 And if it wasn't Ukraine, 0.89

00:47:15.300 why not?

00:47:16.700 If Ukraine is not 0.85

00:47:17.700 trying to kill

00:47:18.440 Russian leadership,

00:47:20.060 why not?

00:47:21.660 All right.

00:47:22.360 Here's a question

00:47:24.120 I have for you.

00:47:27.460 Do you feel

00:47:27.980 that things are,

00:47:30.380 forget about

00:47:31.060 where things are,

00:47:31.980 but just the direction

00:47:32.840 of things.

00:47:33.640 It feels to me

00:47:34.660 like everything's

00:47:35.520 starting to trend

00:47:36.380 positive.

00:47:38.680 Does anybody else

00:47:39.560 feel that?

00:47:41.600 Does anybody feel like,

00:47:42.840 there's still some things

00:47:44.280 we don't like?

00:47:46.000 Well, let me make

00:47:46.980 my argument.

00:47:49.460 Energy prices

00:47:50.320 are falling.

00:47:52.060 Now remember,

00:47:52.900 my argument is not

00:47:53.820 that things are good.

00:47:55.360 My argument is that

00:47:56.360 things are

00:47:57.060 no longer moving bad.

00:47:59.860 Right?

00:48:00.220 That they're trending

00:48:01.160 in the right direction.

00:48:02.060 They're not good yet,

00:48:02.920 but they're trending right.

00:48:04.060 So the stock market

00:48:05.280 has improved.

00:48:07.220 The supply chain problem,

00:48:10.560 I feel like we've

00:48:12.220 gotten past the worst

00:48:13.140 of it.

00:48:14.000 Maybe there's more ahead,

00:48:15.640 but I feel like

00:48:16.440 we got past the worst.

00:48:17.960 I'm not really seeing

00:48:19.380 enough worry

00:48:21.620 about starvation,

00:48:23.220 and I don't know

00:48:24.420 if that's a reporting

00:48:25.220 problem or we're not sure,

00:48:27.240 but I feel as if,

00:48:29.320 oh, stocks are down today,

00:48:31.840 somebody said.

00:48:33.400 I wouldn't look at today

00:48:34.640 to eat anything.

00:48:35.780 Let's see a bad there.

00:48:37.300 Eh, 1.6%.

00:48:39.560 That's no big deal.

00:48:41.720 That could come back

00:48:42.780 in a day.

00:48:44.020 So I wouldn't worry

00:48:44.760 about that.

00:48:45.720 So we've got,

00:48:48.280 we're working

00:48:48.960 through the shortages.

00:48:50.340 We're working

00:48:50.900 through the economy.

00:48:53.660 It looks like

00:48:54.640 climate change

00:48:55.620 will be addressed

00:48:57.080 with nuclear.

00:48:58.100 Nuclear is on the rise.

00:49:01.160 Elon Musk is sending

00:49:02.360 things to Mars.

00:49:04.360 I would say

00:49:06.300 the Ukraine situation

00:49:07.480 has settled

00:49:08.960 into some kind

00:49:09.760 of a stalemate

00:49:10.800 that at least

00:49:12.040 doesn't risk

00:49:12.780 nuclear war.

00:49:14.920 I would say

00:49:15.680 that we are

00:49:16.360 decoupling

00:49:17.360 from China.

00:49:21.140 We do not have,

00:49:24.520 well,

00:49:25.580 the mortality

00:49:26.420 is increasing,

00:49:27.560 but we're not sure

00:49:28.260 it is.

00:49:29.360 Is it?

00:49:29.860 The excess mortality,

00:49:33.100 you're right,

00:49:33.680 but it's probably

00:49:34.460 also temporary

00:49:35.340 because whatever

00:49:37.340 caused this

00:49:38.060 excess mortality

00:49:39.000 is,

00:49:39.840 unless it's the

00:49:40.460 vaccinations,

00:49:41.160 I suppose,

00:49:42.060 but even if it is,

00:49:43.160 it's likely to be

00:49:44.460 done in a year

00:49:45.940 because if what you

00:49:47.880 did is delay

00:49:48.560 something,

00:49:49.400 delay treatment,

00:49:50.180 it's going to get

00:49:50.720 you in a year,

00:49:52.060 right?

00:49:52.900 If the vaccinations

00:49:54.260 were a problem,

00:49:55.420 and I don't see

00:49:56.100 that as being true,

00:49:57.460 but if they were,

00:49:58.320 most of it's

00:49:59.460 going to happen

00:49:59.900 soonish.

00:50:01.340 Most of it

00:50:01.980 doesn't happen

00:50:02.480 down the road.

00:50:03.780 So whatever is

00:50:04.760 causing the excess

00:50:05.560 mortality,

00:50:06.300 we've probably

00:50:07.180 already chewed

00:50:08.300 through most of it.

00:50:09.680 Problem.

00:50:11.460 Right?

00:50:15.520 So what else

00:50:17.620 is going on?

00:50:18.700 I mean,

00:50:19.000 even our ability

00:50:20.260 to mitigate

00:50:21.180 serious death

00:50:23.200 and risk

00:50:23.700 from cataclysms

00:50:25.580 is really good.

00:50:26.820 So we might

00:50:27.860 have worse

00:50:28.340 hurricanes,

00:50:29.140 maybe not,

00:50:30.700 but we'll

00:50:31.300 survive them

00:50:31.960 better.

00:50:36.240 Yeah,

00:50:37.140 fentanyl is

00:50:37.700 getting worse,

00:50:39.300 but I feel

00:50:40.200 like,

00:50:40.580 I feel fentanyl

00:50:41.620 is approaching

00:50:43.640 a tipping point.

00:50:46.100 Here's the

00:50:46.800 tipping point.

00:50:47.880 Let me give you

00:50:49.340 an example of

00:50:49.920 how close it is

00:50:50.660 to the tipping

00:50:51.160 point.

00:50:52.180 I'm not going

00:50:53.120 to do this,

00:50:54.820 but imagine

00:50:56.020 I did.

00:50:57.580 Imagine I ran

00:50:58.420 for president

00:50:59.000 and I had

00:51:00.220 only one policy.

00:51:02.140 I'm going to

00:51:02.540 stop fentanyl.

00:51:05.080 And then the

00:51:05.980 reporters would

00:51:06.760 say,

00:51:07.040 what is your

00:51:07.780 view on

00:51:09.380 abortion? 0.89

00:51:10.100 And I would

00:51:10.400 say,

00:51:11.020 you work on

00:51:11.840 abortion.

00:51:12.500 I'm going to

00:51:12.900 work on

00:51:13.300 stopping fentanyl.

00:51:14.980 And then they

00:51:15.340 say,

00:51:15.980 but Scott,

00:51:16.940 what do you

00:51:17.640 feel about

00:51:18.560 international trade

00:51:20.180 and the trade

00:51:21.500 agreement?

00:51:22.060 And I'd say,

00:51:22.840 well,

00:51:23.080 why don't you

00:51:23.440 work that out?

00:51:24.100 I'm going

00:51:24.820 to go

00:51:25.000 stop fentanyl.

00:51:26.940 It's all

00:51:27.560 I'm going

00:51:27.900 to do.

00:51:29.360 And let's

00:51:29.740 say I had

00:51:30.160 an idea

00:51:30.560 that actually

00:51:31.180 looked like

00:51:31.600 it could

00:51:31.880 work.

00:51:33.260 You know,

00:51:33.540 like stopping

00:51:34.100 all trade

00:51:34.500 from China

00:51:35.020 until they

00:51:35.420 stop it,

00:51:35.960 for example.

00:51:36.900 Or killing

00:51:37.740 the guy

00:51:38.160 in the

00:51:39.220 country.

00:51:42.280 Here's what

00:51:42.820 I mean by

00:51:43.220 a tipping

00:51:43.600 point.

00:51:45.360 I could

00:51:45.960 get elected

00:51:46.480 on that.

00:51:48.380 I could

00:51:48.980 get elected

00:51:49.480 on that.

00:51:50.360 I could

00:51:50.780 get elected

00:51:51.280 on.

00:51:51.680 I'm not

00:51:51.940 even going

00:51:52.220 to talk

00:51:52.500 about the

00:51:52.860 other stuff.

00:51:54.120 I'm just

00:51:54.640 going to

00:51:54.880 solve one

00:51:55.400 problem.

00:51:57.420 And I

00:51:57.920 won't even

00:51:58.280 run for

00:51:58.680 re-election

00:51:59.160 if I solve

00:51:59.800 it.

00:52:00.300 I'll give

00:52:00.660 you one

00:52:01.060 term.

00:52:01.760 I'll solve

00:52:02.360 one problem.

00:52:03.660 Now,

00:52:03.940 the other

00:52:04.200 stuff I'll

00:52:04.620 do my

00:52:04.960 best.

00:52:05.540 I'll listen

00:52:05.920 to the

00:52:06.200 experts,

00:52:06.900 but I'm

00:52:07.280 not even

00:52:07.580 going to

00:52:07.840 debate it

00:52:08.220 with you.

00:52:09.140 What are

00:52:09.580 you going

00:52:09.780 to do

00:52:10.020 about taxes?

00:52:10.860 I don't

00:52:11.100 know.

00:52:12.200 I don't

00:52:12.480 know.

00:52:12.780 We'll work

00:52:13.200 that out

00:52:13.520 later.

00:52:13.820 I'm not

00:52:14.040 even

00:52:14.180 worried

00:52:14.400 about it.

00:52:15.740 Just one

00:52:16.340 thing.

00:52:21.280 one way

00:52:22.080 or another.

00:52:22.540 I'm going

00:52:22.740 to ship

00:52:23.060 all their

00:52:23.460 fucking

00:52:23.840 students back

00:52:25.740 home.

00:52:26.200 I'm going

00:52:26.420 to stop

00:52:26.780 all trade.

00:52:27.720 I'm going

00:52:28.080 to remove

00:52:28.580 our ambassadors.

00:52:29.500 I'm going

00:52:29.700 to kill

00:52:29.980 that fucking 0.86

00:52:30.660 dealer in

00:52:32.420 country,

00:52:32.960 in China,

00:52:33.500 and I'm

00:52:33.840 not going

00:52:34.180 to have

00:52:34.720 any remorse

00:52:35.440 for it.

00:52:37.700 That's all

00:52:38.260 I'd promise.

00:52:39.460 Now,

00:52:39.760 here's what

00:52:40.580 I want you

00:52:41.180 to think.

00:52:41.900 Now,

00:52:42.100 none of this

00:52:42.500 is real

00:52:42.900 because I'm

00:52:43.220 not running

00:52:43.600 for president.

00:52:44.560 But the

00:52:44.940 point is,

00:52:45.800 I could

00:52:46.200 win.

00:52:48.520 Think about

00:52:49.160 it.

00:52:49.940 You don't

00:52:50.280 think I

00:52:50.600 could win?

00:52:51.280 With just

00:52:52.480 one point.

00:52:53.980 Because nobody

00:52:54.960 could touch

00:52:55.760 me.

00:52:56.860 I would be

00:52:57.680 the only one

00:52:58.360 who was doing

00:52:58.800 anything for

00:52:59.380 the country,

00:53:00.060 and you

00:53:00.380 would fucking

00:53:00.940 know it.

00:53:02.320 You would

00:53:02.760 know it.

00:53:03.800 Because if I

00:53:04.780 stopped the

00:53:05.280 fentanyl trade,

00:53:06.120 the odds of

00:53:06.520 me getting

00:53:06.960 killed would

00:53:07.600 be very high

00:53:08.340 by either

00:53:09.900 the cartel

00:53:10.520 or by China

00:53:11.200 or somebody.

00:53:12.640 I would

00:53:13.400 be risking

00:53:13.940 my life

00:53:14.600 to save

00:53:17.340 100,000

00:53:18.000 Americans,

00:53:18.700 and I would

00:53:19.320 let everything

00:53:19.820 else work

00:53:20.300 its way

00:53:20.740 through the

00:53:21.460 system.

00:53:22.040 I'd let

00:53:22.380 Congress

00:53:22.740 make decisions.

00:53:24.220 If I ran

00:53:25.100 as a

00:53:25.420 Democrat,

00:53:25.980 I'd let

00:53:26.240 the Democrats

00:53:26.860 give me

00:53:27.480 some proposals

00:53:28.120 and I'd

00:53:28.560 look at

00:53:28.860 them.

00:53:29.280 If I ran

00:53:29.720 as a

00:53:30.060 Republican,

00:53:30.640 I'd let

00:53:30.900 them give

00:53:31.240 me some

00:53:31.540 proposals.

00:53:31.940 And I'd

00:53:32.760 let either

00:53:33.300 side give

00:53:33.700 me some

00:53:34.000 proposals.

00:53:34.880 I would

00:53:35.280 just look

00:53:35.620 at the

00:53:35.880 experts,

00:53:36.420 I'd look

00:53:36.680 at the

00:53:36.940 thing,

00:53:37.940 and I'm

00:53:38.220 not even

00:53:38.480 going to

00:53:38.720 tell you

00:53:39.020 what I'm

00:53:39.300 going to

00:53:39.500 decide.

00:53:40.560 I'll just

00:53:40.900 tell you

00:53:41.200 how I

00:53:41.620 decide.

00:53:42.720 I won't

00:53:43.260 even tell

00:53:43.560 you what

00:53:43.760 the decision

00:53:44.260 will be.

00:53:45.560 All right,

00:53:45.720 here's how

00:53:46.260 I will

00:53:46.540 decide.

00:53:47.600 I will

00:53:47.920 debate this

00:53:48.460 in public.

00:53:49.760 That's how

00:53:50.180 I'll decide.

00:53:51.080 What are

00:53:51.360 you going to

00:53:51.580 do about

00:53:52.180 this tax

00:53:53.660 change?

00:53:54.960 I'll debate

00:53:55.440 it in public.

00:53:57.140 I'll let the 0.72

00:53:57.960 public see it

00:53:58.580 the same time

00:53:59.100 I see it.

00:54:00.060 I'll ask

00:54:00.560 tough questions,

00:54:01.260 and if you

00:54:01.780 can't answer

00:54:02.240 these tough

00:54:02.660 questions in

00:54:03.300 public,

00:54:04.080 you're going

00:54:04.460 to be very

00:54:04.880 embarrassed,

00:54:05.440 because I'm

00:54:05.840 going to make

00:54:06.180 you embarrassed.

00:54:07.720 How will it

00:54:08.540 turn out?

00:54:08.940 I don't know.

00:54:09.400 But that's

00:54:11.200 my process.

00:54:12.760 So here's

00:54:13.620 the thing

00:54:13.900 that should

00:54:14.240 blow your 0.91

00:54:14.720 mind.

00:54:15.680 If you

00:54:16.100 don't think

00:54:16.580 fentanyl

00:54:17.300 is really

00:54:19.120 close to

00:54:20.580 being the

00:54:20.960 only topic

00:54:21.600 that matters,

00:54:22.940 you're not

00:54:23.300 paying attention.

00:54:24.280 It's killing

00:54:24.680 100,000 people

00:54:25.660 a year,

00:54:26.640 and it's

00:54:27.260 intentional.

00:54:28.900 It's that

00:54:29.500 close.

00:54:30.660 And do you

00:54:31.100 think that I

00:54:31.580 have the

00:54:31.900 skill to

00:54:33.000 make people

00:54:33.480 stop caring

00:54:34.200 about everything

00:54:34.860 else for a

00:54:35.780 while?

00:54:37.200 I do.

00:54:38.820 Enough

00:54:39.280 people,

00:54:39.780 right?

00:54:40.060 I just

00:54:40.660 have to be

00:54:41.120 enough to

00:54:41.460 get elected.

00:54:42.220 I do.

00:54:42.780 I do have

00:54:43.340 that skill.

00:54:44.300 And it's

00:54:44.760 because the

00:54:45.280 topic makes

00:54:46.080 it easy.

00:54:47.640 Nobody can

00:54:48.180 top the

00:54:48.580 topic.

00:54:49.380 You can't,

00:54:49.960 there's no

00:54:50.320 high ground

00:54:50.880 above that

00:54:51.420 topic.

00:54:52.600 You can't

00:54:53.340 get there.

00:54:54.220 If somebody

00:54:54.860 says,

00:54:55.260 ah,

00:54:55.800 and I'm

00:54:56.200 going to

00:54:56.380 worry about

00:54:56.800 your pronouns,

00:54:57.880 and I'll

00:54:58.200 say,

00:54:58.560 that's great.

00:54:59.860 I think

00:55:00.240 everybody should

00:55:00.800 be treated

00:55:01.220 with respect.

00:55:02.440 You're also

00:55:03.080 not doing

00:55:03.760 anything useful

00:55:04.740 for the

00:55:06.060 public.

00:55:06.460 I'm going

00:55:06.740 to be

00:55:06.920 stopping

00:55:07.260 fentanyl,

00:55:07.960 and you're

00:55:09.320 going to

00:55:09.440 be talking

00:55:09.800 about

00:55:10.080 pronouns.

00:55:10.880 There's

00:55:11.220 your choice,

00:55:11.760 public.

00:55:12.380 Take your

00:55:12.740 choice.

00:55:13.840 It would

00:55:14.140 be easy

00:55:14.740 to become

00:55:15.220 president

00:55:15.620 with just

00:55:16.760 one topic.

00:55:18.320 That's how

00:55:18.940 weak politics

00:55:19.800 is right now.

00:55:20.840 Even though

00:55:21.240 Trump is a

00:55:21.980 monster,

00:55:23.540 you know,

00:55:23.760 like he's

00:55:24.120 very capable

00:55:24.880 even if you

00:55:25.460 don't like

00:55:25.820 what he's

00:55:26.120 doing,

00:55:27.700 there still

00:55:28.680 isn't anybody

00:55:29.200 good.

00:55:31.240 Because Reagan

00:55:32.180 was good.

00:55:34.320 Reagan was

00:55:34.840 good.

00:55:35.200 We don't

00:55:36.300 have anybody

00:55:36.700 like that.

00:55:37.920 Trump is

00:55:38.780 his own

00:55:39.340 thing.

00:55:41.420 I mean,

00:55:41.640 he's capable

00:55:42.420 in a way

00:55:42.940 I've never

00:55:43.440 seen anything

00:55:44.100 like it.

00:55:45.220 He's very

00:55:45.660 persuasive.

00:55:46.700 But he's

00:55:47.580 not Reagan.

00:55:50.620 You know,

00:55:51.300 in some

00:55:51.600 ways,

00:55:52.520 he's got

00:55:53.260 some advantages

00:55:53.900 over Reagan,

00:55:54.640 I would say.

00:55:55.480 But overall,

00:55:57.020 there's nobody

00:55:57.700 operating at a

00:55:58.680 Reagan level.

00:56:00.280 And what I

00:56:01.500 heard Reagan

00:56:02.000 do was

00:56:02.520 diffuse his

00:56:03.680 criticism of

00:56:04.460 the other

00:56:04.780 side.

00:56:05.240 I forget

00:56:05.500 what the

00:56:05.820 topic was.

00:56:06.840 But there

00:56:07.200 was one of

00:56:07.580 those red

00:56:08.140 meat situations

00:56:09.020 where a

00:56:10.520 politician of

00:56:11.200 today would

00:56:11.700 have used

00:56:12.060 that to

00:56:12.580 just crap

00:56:13.500 on the

00:56:14.040 other side.

00:56:15.260 And Reagan

00:56:15.760 took the

00:56:16.180 high ground.

00:56:16.940 I forget

00:56:17.280 what it was.

00:56:18.420 But he

00:56:19.080 treated the

00:56:19.780 other side

00:56:20.940 with such

00:56:21.420 respect.

00:56:22.260 I thought,

00:56:22.820 wow,

00:56:23.060 you don't

00:56:23.260 see that.

00:56:24.700 And it

00:56:25.080 was effective.

00:56:26.740 Because it

00:56:27.360 made the

00:56:27.640 people on

00:56:27.940 the other

00:56:28.180 side say,

00:56:28.700 oh,

00:56:30.100 looks like

00:56:30.600 he's listening

00:56:31.100 to us a

00:56:31.580 little bit.

00:56:32.340 That's not

00:56:32.740 so bad.

00:56:34.460 Isn't

00:56:34.960 that how

00:56:35.320 he got

00:56:35.620 elected by

00:56:36.360 such landslides?

00:56:37.920 Because he

00:56:38.420 treated the

00:56:38.920 other team

00:56:39.420 like, you

00:56:40.340 know, he

00:56:40.900 did this

00:56:41.280 sort of

00:56:41.740 joshing,

00:56:42.940 ha, ha,

00:56:43.340 ha, you

00:56:44.300 know, I'm

00:56:44.580 definitely

00:56:44.860 right, and

00:56:46.140 I'm confident

00:56:46.660 that I'm

00:56:47.040 right, but

00:56:48.060 I love you

00:56:48.520 guys too.

00:56:50.300 It felt like

00:56:51.080 he was a

00:56:51.760 fatherly, I

00:56:52.540 love you, even

00:56:53.200 if you

00:56:53.460 disagree, whereas

00:56:54.840 Trump is more

00:56:55.560 like, you're on

00:56:56.640 my team or I

00:56:57.320 must destroy

00:56:57.860 you.

00:56:59.060 I mean, he's

00:56:59.500 not, because

00:57:00.100 he's team

00:57:00.500 America.

00:57:00.940 But you

00:57:02.380 could easily

00:57:03.080 feel that way

00:57:03.820 because of the

00:57:04.420 style of his

00:57:05.080 rhetoric.

00:57:09.000 Yeah, Trump

00:57:09.780 is noisy and

00:57:10.700 expensive.

00:57:11.480 That's true.

00:57:17.060 All right, is

00:57:17.720 there any

00:57:17.940 other topic?

00:57:21.480 Yeah, if all

00:57:22.640 I did was

00:57:23.100 stop fentanyl

00:57:24.940 and TikTok,

00:57:28.320 I would be the

00:57:29.080 greatest president

00:57:30.000 ever elected, and

00:57:31.720 I would get

00:57:32.320 out after one

00:57:33.020 term.

00:57:36.480 I would go

00:57:37.160 all George

00:57:37.660 Washington on

00:57:38.400 it.

00:57:41.560 All right.

00:57:48.300 We'll never

00:57:48.940 know.

00:57:49.240 Yeah, I can't

00:57:50.080 run.

00:57:50.500 Do you know

00:57:50.800 why I can't

00:57:51.300 run?

00:57:53.600 Does anybody

00:57:54.320 know why I

00:57:55.940 could never run

00:57:56.600 for president?

00:57:57.260 I mean, legally,

00:57:57.980 I could, I

00:57:58.960 suppose.

00:58:00.000 Yeah, I

00:58:00.320 think I

00:58:00.620 can.

00:58:02.860 Too old?

00:58:04.120 No.

00:58:05.200 I'm almost

00:58:05.780 too old.

00:58:11.040 Yeah, bad

00:58:11.960 Vs.

00:58:13.800 Yeah, bad

00:58:14.600 Vs.

00:58:15.460 I can't walk

00:58:16.220 up and down

00:58:16.580 those ramps.

00:58:19.240 No, my

00:58:19.940 problem would

00:58:20.460 be my

00:58:23.200 background.

00:58:23.680 So the

00:58:24.840 only way

00:58:25.540 that I

00:58:25.860 could run

00:58:26.860 for office

00:58:27.500 is with

00:58:28.040 the following

00:58:28.520 promise.

00:58:30.120 I guess I

00:58:30.640 could do it.

00:58:31.380 And the

00:58:31.700 promise would

00:58:32.240 be this.

00:58:34.260 I'm not

00:58:34.820 going to be

00:58:35.120 your role

00:58:35.500 model, and

00:58:36.780 if you look

00:58:37.260 into my

00:58:37.660 personal life,

00:58:38.340 you're not

00:58:38.640 going to like

00:58:39.040 it.

00:58:39.920 But if it

00:58:40.520 entertains you,

00:58:41.660 you should

00:58:42.040 believe all of

00:58:42.620 it's true.

00:58:43.420 It won't

00:58:43.860 be.

00:58:44.800 You know,

00:58:45.000 half of what

00:58:46.160 you read about

00:58:46.680 my personal

00:58:47.160 life is not

00:58:47.680 going to be

00:58:47.980 true.

00:58:48.200 But if it

00:58:49.180 entertains you,

00:58:50.980 you should

00:58:51.900 believe it.

00:58:53.400 But my

00:58:54.400 proposition would

00:58:55.220 be the

00:58:55.480 following.

00:58:56.600 If whatever

00:58:57.200 you think about

00:58:57.800 me personally

00:58:58.460 or what I

00:58:59.100 have said or

00:58:59.900 done, assume

00:59:00.800 it's all

00:59:01.180 true.

00:59:02.820 Don't vote

00:59:03.560 for me under

00:59:04.720 the benefit of

00:59:05.440 a doubt.

00:59:06.480 Assume the

00:59:06.980 worst things

00:59:07.640 you hear about

00:59:08.120 me are true,

00:59:10.100 and I'm

00:59:10.720 only going to

00:59:11.100 want to solve

00:59:11.500 one problem

00:59:12.080 for you.

00:59:13.840 Fentanyl.

00:59:14.940 If you think

00:59:15.580 I can do

00:59:16.080 that,

00:59:16.440 then maybe

00:59:18.620 look out for

00:59:19.400 your own

00:59:19.720 best interest.

00:59:21.220 Your own

00:59:21.740 best interest

00:59:22.300 is to get

00:59:22.860 that problem

00:59:23.380 solved.

00:59:24.260 It's not

00:59:24.700 in your best

00:59:25.180 interest to

00:59:25.720 make a moral

00:59:26.320 point about

00:59:27.500 your moral

00:59:28.340 superiority to

00:59:29.420 me, because

00:59:30.460 I stipulate

00:59:31.180 that.

00:59:32.240 If you'd like

00:59:32.880 me to stipulate

00:59:33.740 that the

00:59:34.760 voters are

00:59:35.380 morally superior

00:59:36.360 to me as a

00:59:37.220 candidate, I

00:59:37.900 give you that,

00:59:38.820 freely and

00:59:39.660 without

00:59:40.040 reservations.

00:59:41.420 You are

00:59:42.120 my moral

00:59:42.980 betters.

00:59:44.700 I'm not

00:59:45.460 running to be

00:59:46.120 your God.

00:59:47.360 I'm not

00:59:47.940 running to

00:59:48.360 be Jesus.

00:59:49.480 I'm just

00:59:50.040 running to

00:59:50.480 stop fentanyl

00:59:51.280 from getting

00:59:51.680 into your

00:59:52.020 kids.

00:59:52.420 That's it.

00:59:53.260 If you

00:59:53.800 want that,

00:59:55.420 hire me

00:59:55.880 like you

00:59:56.280 would hire

00:59:56.660 a plumber.

00:59:58.300 You got a

00:59:58.920 leak in

00:59:59.200 your pipes?

00:59:59.640 I'm going

00:59:59.860 to fix

01:00:00.140 your leak.

01:00:01.100 You don't

01:00:01.680 need to

01:00:02.000 know what

01:00:02.320 I'm doing

01:00:02.600 at home.

01:00:04.460 Just assume

01:00:05.200 it's all

01:00:05.540 true.

01:00:08.500 Somebody

01:00:08.900 on local

01:00:09.300 says,

01:00:09.640 I sound

01:00:09.940 like a

01:00:10.260 boring

01:00:10.520 Trump.

01:00:13.680 Could

01:00:14.080 boring

01:00:14.400 get elected?

01:00:16.120 Do you

01:00:17.540 think boring

01:00:18.020 could get

01:00:18.400 elected?

01:00:19.200 It could

01:00:19.800 if it's

01:00:20.160 provocative.

01:00:21.700 But I

01:00:22.000 guess that

01:00:22.280 wouldn't be

01:00:22.640 boring.

01:00:28.140 Yeah, I

01:00:28.700 think you

01:00:28.980 could be

01:00:29.320 provocative and

01:00:30.780 honest at the

01:00:31.520 same time.

01:00:32.600 Usually the

01:00:33.200 way people are

01:00:33.780 provocative is

01:00:34.580 by saying

01:00:35.920 something that's

01:00:36.500 a little

01:00:36.700 sketchy.

01:00:37.940 That's how

01:00:38.420 you get

01:00:38.640 people's

01:00:39.000 attention.

01:00:39.360 DeSantis

01:00:44.200 is kind

01:00:44.740 of boring

01:00:45.180 but he

01:00:45.540 can get

01:00:45.800 elected.

01:00:47.180 Is he?

01:00:48.540 I don't

01:00:48.860 know.

01:00:50.440 I think

01:00:51.100 DeSantis

01:00:51.540 is learning

01:00:52.320 to be

01:00:52.700 less boring

01:00:53.460 because I

01:00:54.860 think it's

01:00:55.200 a learned

01:00:55.640 skill and

01:00:56.680 I think

01:00:56.980 he is

01:00:57.260 learning it.

01:00:59.420 Yeah,

01:00:59.840 Tom Cotton

01:01:00.380 would need

01:01:00.800 some help.

01:01:02.220 So Tom

01:01:02.660 Cotton has

01:01:03.620 a real

01:01:04.820 solid

01:01:05.400 resume but

01:01:07.400 he doesn't

01:01:07.920 light up the

01:01:08.460 screen.

01:01:09.360 But here's

01:01:10.000 the question.

01:01:10.600 Could he?

01:01:11.620 Do you

01:01:12.020 think Tom

01:01:12.560 Cotton could

01:01:13.140 learn to

01:01:15.820 be more of

01:01:17.600 a charismatic

01:01:18.260 presence?

01:01:20.580 I believe

01:01:21.300 he could.

01:01:23.700 Do you

01:01:24.220 know the

01:01:24.500 definition of

01:01:25.060 charisma?

01:01:26.100 I say this

01:01:27.520 a lot but

01:01:28.000 it's one of

01:01:28.360 the most

01:01:28.560 useful things

01:01:29.260 you'll ever

01:01:29.680 understand.

01:01:30.960 Especially if

01:01:31.580 you want to

01:01:31.980 have charisma.

01:01:33.740 Charisma is

01:01:34.380 a combination

01:01:34.820 of power

01:01:36.260 and empathy.

01:01:38.620 You have

01:01:38.920 to have

01:01:39.120 both.

01:01:40.380 And here's

01:01:40.840 why that

01:01:41.120 makes sense.

01:01:41.760 If somebody

01:01:42.140 has power

01:01:42.840 but they

01:01:43.860 don't have

01:01:44.260 empathy for

01:01:44.980 you, what 0.91

01:01:45.380 do you

01:01:45.520 think of

01:01:45.800 them?

01:01:46.920 They're

01:01:47.140 dangerous.

01:01:48.400 The worst

01:01:49.120 thing is to

01:01:49.640 be around

01:01:49.980 somebody powerful

01:01:50.820 who doesn't

01:01:51.280 care about

01:01:51.740 you.

01:01:52.340 You don't

01:01:52.680 want to be

01:01:52.980 anywhere near

01:01:53.520 that.

01:01:54.840 So power

01:01:55.560 without empathy

01:01:56.280 is just

01:01:56.720 danger.

01:01:58.100 Suppose you

01:01:58.760 had lots of

01:01:59.280 empathy but

01:01:59.840 you had no

01:02:00.200 power.

01:02:01.600 Well, that's

01:02:02.520 somebody who's

01:02:02.960 going to need

01:02:03.320 your help

01:02:03.780 because they

01:02:05.260 have no

01:02:05.540 power.

01:02:07.280 So empathy

01:02:08.760 doesn't help

01:02:09.400 you.

01:02:09.860 It's nice

01:02:10.280 that they're

01:02:10.540 empathy.

01:02:11.000 They have

01:02:11.320 empathy.

01:02:11.720 They're nice

01:02:12.020 people.

01:02:12.720 But if they

01:02:13.120 have no

01:02:13.420 power, they're

01:02:15.480 just a cost

01:02:16.440 to you probably

01:02:17.360 because you

01:02:18.700 have something

01:02:19.120 you're going to

01:02:19.420 have to give

01:02:19.780 it to them

01:02:20.440 in the form

01:02:21.360 of money or

01:02:21.960 something else.

01:02:23.800 So if you

01:02:24.940 have power and

01:02:25.960 you have

01:02:26.240 empathy, everybody

01:02:27.000 wants to be

01:02:27.900 around you because

01:02:29.420 they want to

01:02:29.840 take advantage of

01:02:30.560 your power and

01:02:31.780 they want to

01:02:32.140 take advantage of

01:02:32.780 it for their

01:02:33.240 benefit, which

01:02:33.900 is what the

01:02:34.300 empathy gets

01:02:34.880 them.

01:02:36.020 So how could

01:02:36.820 Tom Cotton have

01:02:39.180 more charisma?

01:02:40.640 It would be

01:02:41.380 easy because

01:02:43.020 that's the

01:02:43.460 formula.

01:02:44.000 There's a

01:02:44.340 formula for

01:02:45.000 charisma.

01:02:45.440 Just follow

01:02:45.840 it.

01:02:46.700 So does he

01:02:47.280 have power?

01:02:48.960 Yes.

01:02:50.180 Because he's a

01:02:50.820 sitting senator.

01:02:52.160 He's highly

01:02:52.720 educated.

01:02:54.140 He's successful

01:02:55.300 in his job.

01:02:56.620 He gets on

01:02:57.160 TV.

01:02:58.040 People listen

01:02:58.600 to him.

01:02:59.720 And he'll

01:03:00.700 probably run for

01:03:01.380 president or he's

01:03:02.260 thinking about

01:03:02.720 it.

01:03:03.540 He has

01:03:03.840 power.

01:03:04.660 Now if he

01:03:05.180 became president

01:03:05.840 he would have

01:03:06.580 far more real

01:03:07.980 power.

01:03:08.980 So the power

01:03:09.540 part he has

01:03:10.380 nailed.

01:03:11.580 But what about

01:03:12.040 the empathy

01:03:12.620 part?

01:03:14.320 That's the part

01:03:15.280 he's missing.

01:03:16.660 Now I'm not

01:03:17.420 saying he doesn't

01:03:18.000 have empathy on

01:03:18.860 the inside.

01:03:19.440 I'm saying it's

01:03:19.860 not projecting.

01:03:21.220 Could he learn

01:03:22.060 to project it?

01:03:23.980 Yes.

01:03:25.160 Because it's

01:03:25.920 acting.

01:03:27.820 Yeah, the

01:03:28.320 empathy they have

01:03:29.280 on the inside

01:03:30.140 nobody can

01:03:32.120 see.

01:03:33.400 So the

01:03:33.940 acting is

01:03:34.620 making sure

01:03:35.080 everybody can

01:03:35.580 see it.

01:03:36.440 And then you

01:03:36.780 say to yourself

01:03:37.220 but that would

01:03:37.620 be a big

01:03:37.960 phony.

01:03:39.500 No, everybody's

01:03:40.620 a phony. 0.84

01:03:42.480 I'm a phony

01:03:43.240 right now.

01:03:44.220 Do you think

01:03:44.580 the way that I'm

01:03:45.220 talking to you

01:03:45.800 right now on

01:03:46.260 live stream is

01:03:47.640 the way that I

01:03:48.360 talk to a

01:03:49.200 six-year-old?

01:03:50.560 No.

01:03:51.460 Is it the way I

01:03:52.200 would talk to

01:03:52.680 my mother?

01:03:53.940 No.

01:03:54.340 Is it the way I

01:03:54.880 would talk to a

01:03:55.520 lover?

01:03:56.240 No.

01:03:57.240 No, I talk

01:03:57.900 differently for

01:03:58.560 every situation

01:03:59.280 just like you

01:04:00.340 do.

01:04:01.200 We're all

01:04:02.160 acting all

01:04:03.240 the time.

01:04:04.400 You have to

01:04:04.780 get over that.

01:04:05.860 If you don't

01:04:06.420 get over the

01:04:07.100 fact that we're

01:04:07.640 all acting all

01:04:08.300 the time,

01:04:10.220 some people say

01:04:11.220 they're not

01:04:11.580 acting.

01:04:12.160 No, you're

01:04:12.480 acting.

01:04:13.220 Sorry.

01:04:14.980 And if you're

01:04:15.700 not acting,

01:04:16.280 you're doing

01:04:16.580 it wrong.

01:04:17.820 Because acting

01:04:18.660 is usually what

01:04:19.500 gets you a

01:04:19.940 better outcome.

01:04:22.380 So, could I

01:04:23.220 teach Tom

01:04:24.820 Cotton,

01:04:25.180 to have

01:04:26.140 more charisma?

01:04:26.920 Yes, because

01:04:27.500 he has the

01:04:27.960 power, and

01:04:28.740 he would have

01:04:29.340 more if he's

01:04:29.840 president.

01:04:30.880 And his

01:04:31.940 charisma is

01:04:33.020 really just

01:04:33.500 about adding

01:04:34.060 more empathy.

01:04:35.360 Because when

01:04:36.020 Tom Cotton

01:04:36.560 tells you what

01:04:37.180 we should or

01:04:37.700 should not

01:04:38.120 do, he

01:04:39.140 takes a

01:04:39.800 hawkish

01:04:40.300 approach, and

01:04:41.980 he says,

01:04:42.580 here are the

01:04:42.800 hard things we

01:04:43.400 should do, and

01:04:43.980 we should do

01:04:44.360 these right

01:04:44.760 away.

01:04:46.000 What's

01:04:46.420 missing is

01:04:48.480 understanding how

01:04:49.600 we're feeling

01:04:50.140 about it.

01:04:51.380 And all he'd

01:04:51.940 have to do is

01:04:52.540 say it out

01:04:52.980 loud.

01:04:54.140 All right, I

01:04:54.680 understand that

01:04:55.380 this could be

01:04:55.860 scary for all

01:04:56.560 of you, but

01:04:57.720 here are the

01:04:58.140 things we're

01:04:58.580 weighing, and

01:04:59.720 I'm going to

01:05:00.080 make sure that

01:05:00.680 the least scary

01:05:01.560 thing is what

01:05:02.160 happens.

01:05:03.360 Right?

01:05:04.060 Something like

01:05:04.540 that.

01:05:05.100 So in other

01:05:05.500 words, you

01:05:05.800 just have to

01:05:06.360 use your

01:05:07.000 words and

01:05:08.180 first say what

01:05:09.400 the people are

01:05:10.040 feeling.

01:05:11.220 After you say,

01:05:12.200 I understand what

01:05:12.880 everybody's feeling,

01:05:13.700 that's the

01:05:14.020 empathy part, then

01:05:15.520 you can be as

01:05:16.040 tough as you

01:05:16.500 want.

01:05:18.300 So Reagan did

01:05:19.280 that right.

01:05:20.540 Reagan acted

01:05:21.380 like he had

01:05:21.920 genuine

01:05:22.320 empathy, and

01:05:23.820 then when he

01:05:24.260 acted tough,

01:05:25.200 people were

01:05:25.620 like, okay,

01:05:27.180 all right.

01:05:28.700 Now, Trump

01:05:29.480 does the

01:05:30.100 opposite.

01:05:31.300 Trump is on

01:05:31.880 the side of

01:05:32.440 Americans, and

01:05:33.220 he says it

01:05:33.800 intellectually and

01:05:35.200 consistently, but

01:05:37.500 the Democrats

01:05:38.220 don't feel it,

01:05:39.800 do they?

01:05:40.760 They feel his

01:05:41.640 power.

01:05:42.740 They definitely

01:05:43.240 feel his power.

01:05:44.940 Everybody can

01:05:45.460 feel that.

01:05:46.680 But do they

01:05:47.380 feel his

01:05:47.940 empathy?

01:05:48.420 They do

01:05:49.460 not.

01:05:50.640 They do

01:05:51.100 not.

01:05:51.540 And that's

01:05:52.040 Trump's biggest

01:05:53.160 flaw.

01:05:54.760 His biggest

01:05:55.420 advantage is he's

01:05:56.380 a fighter, and

01:05:57.940 I liked him for

01:05:59.120 that.

01:05:59.840 Still do.

01:06:00.840 I like the

01:06:01.520 fact that you

01:06:02.000 can depend on

01:06:02.780 him to fight

01:06:03.480 and not give

01:06:04.640 up.

01:06:05.520 The trouble

01:06:05.980 is, if it's

01:06:07.480 something like

01:06:08.000 losing an

01:06:08.480 election, he

01:06:10.260 still fights and

01:06:10.980 he doesn't give

01:06:11.540 up.

01:06:12.580 So I have

01:06:14.340 not condemned

01:06:15.060 him as much

01:06:16.360 as others have,

01:06:17.340 because I

01:06:18.180 knew what I

01:06:18.640 was getting.

01:06:20.960 If you get a

01:06:24.120 porcupine as

01:06:24.980 a pet, and

01:06:26.460 then you hurt

01:06:26.940 your hand trying

01:06:27.620 to pet it,

01:06:28.580 it's not

01:06:29.000 exactly the

01:06:29.760 porcupine's

01:06:30.440 problem, is

01:06:31.600 it?

01:06:32.940 Is it?

01:06:34.300 Because you

01:06:34.920 petted a

01:06:35.320 porcupine.

01:06:36.440 If you voted

01:06:37.320 for Trump, did

01:06:39.280 you think you

01:06:40.040 were voting for

01:06:40.660 the person who

01:06:41.260 would give

01:06:41.640 up?

01:06:43.160 No.

01:06:44.240 No, the

01:06:44.680 thing you

01:06:45.060 voted for is

01:06:46.320 he doesn't

01:06:46.740 give up.

01:06:47.240 And then

01:06:48.440 when the

01:06:49.020 election went

01:06:49.560 the way it

01:06:49.940 did, he

01:06:50.240 didn't give

01:06:50.640 up.

01:06:52.340 I don't

01:06:52.920 know.

01:06:53.640 Am I

01:06:54.040 disappointed?

01:06:55.120 I wish

01:06:55.720 things had

01:06:56.200 gone a

01:06:56.540 different way.

01:06:57.840 But I

01:06:58.440 don't wish

01:06:58.980 that he

01:06:59.340 was a

01:06:59.640 different

01:06:59.860 person,

01:07:00.800 because that's

01:07:01.720 what I

01:07:02.000 bought.

01:07:03.020 I bought

01:07:03.600 that.

01:07:05.360 Right?

01:07:06.140 If you buy

01:07:06.980 a gun and

01:07:08.440 you leave it

01:07:08.900 loaded and

01:07:09.600 shoot you in

01:07:10.460 the foot or

01:07:10.840 something, is

01:07:11.880 it the gun's

01:07:12.620 problem?

01:07:12.960 No, it's

01:07:15.500 what you did

01:07:16.220 and what you

01:07:16.760 expected of

01:07:17.540 the gun.

01:07:18.860 Right?

01:07:19.020 If you buy

01:07:19.780 Trump and

01:07:21.340 then he acts

01:07:21.840 like Trump

01:07:22.340 from the

01:07:22.860 beginning to

01:07:23.360 the end,

01:07:24.420 don't tell

01:07:25.420 me that's

01:07:25.840 Trump's

01:07:26.160 problem.

01:07:27.780 You bought

01:07:28.580 that.

01:07:29.420 You bought

01:07:29.840 exactly that.

01:07:31.100 You didn't

01:07:31.560 buy approximately

01:07:32.780 that, something

01:07:34.160 in that direction.

01:07:35.020 You bought

01:07:35.460 that.

01:07:35.960 And if you

01:07:37.280 didn't know you

01:07:37.840 were buying

01:07:38.340 that, what 0.78

01:07:40.280 did you think

01:07:40.780 you were

01:07:41.000 getting?

01:07:42.680 I mean, it's

01:07:43.060 the most

01:07:43.360 consistent thing

01:07:44.180 about him is

01:07:44.720 he doesn't

01:07:45.120 give up.

01:07:46.740 It's the

01:07:47.360 most consistent

01:07:48.260 thing about

01:07:48.840 his personality.

01:07:49.640 He doesn't

01:07:50.020 give up.

01:07:52.960 All right.

01:07:58.420 I think

01:07:59.040 that's all

01:07:59.420 for today.

01:08:00.380 I think

01:08:00.940 we've done

01:08:01.340 it.

01:08:02.240 YouTube,

01:08:03.160 thanks for

01:08:03.640 joining.

01:08:04.060 Spotify, too.

01:08:06.040 If you, too,

01:08:06.920 would like to

01:08:07.700 have your

01:08:08.580 life changed,

01:08:09.540 apparently,

01:08:09.920 I've done

01:08:11.040 that for

01:08:11.320 a number

01:08:11.600 of people.

01:08:12.760 So go

01:08:13.140 look for

01:08:13.500 that video.

01:08:15.720 $791, it

01:08:16.320 was.

01:08:16.940 They're all

01:08:17.540 listed, the

01:08:18.060 live streams

01:08:18.540 I do.

01:08:19.440 So just

01:08:19.780 Google my

01:08:20.320 name and

01:08:20.860 Coffee with

01:08:21.320 Scott Adams

01:08:21.880 and episode

01:08:23.160 $791, and

01:08:24.540 it should pop

01:08:25.160 right up.

01:08:25.800 Maybe it'll

01:08:26.340 change your

01:08:26.740 life, too.

01:08:28.360 And that

01:08:28.880 is all I

01:08:29.560 have for

01:08:29.820 today.

01:08:30.980 Bye for

01:08:31.360 now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 22, 2022

Episode 1843 Scott Adams： Being Bad At Data Analysis Is No Reason To Be Mad At Me. And More Fun

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