Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1846 Scott Adams： DeSantis Gaffe, The FBI Is Running America, And Twitter Gets Interesting

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of civilization.

00:00:07.520 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and there's never been anything finer in the whole, whole world.

00:00:13.700 Over 13 billion years of evolution brought us all to this point, and I think it was worth it.

00:00:20.000 Was it worth the wait? We'll find out. I think it was.

00:00:23.940 And if you'd like to take it up to a higher level, no, it's possible.

00:00:28.380 It is possible. I know it seems impossible, but it can be done.

00:00:32.680 And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or gel, sestine, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:40.980 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:45.760 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:53.540 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Go.

00:00:58.380 I saw a cry for help as I was taking my sip.

00:01:11.160 It did take a little bit off it, I have to admit.

00:01:15.160 There was somebody here who was out of coffee during the simultaneous sip.

00:01:21.080 I think the rest of us have an opinion about that.

00:01:29.300 Yeah. Be a little bit more prepared.

00:01:31.600 All right. Let's start out by the most important announcement of the day.

00:01:39.280 Happy birthday to JB.

00:01:43.980 Have a terrific birthday today.

00:01:46.820 And the rest of you, you can have a good day, too.

00:01:49.980 Is there anybody else who has a birthday today?

00:01:52.700 Any birthdays?

00:01:53.200 If you have a birthday today, then happy birthday to you, too.

00:01:58.480 Well, what else is going on?

00:02:01.400 So Biden wants to forgive some student loans up to $10,000.

00:02:06.340 Yeah, what do you think of that?

00:02:07.540 May I say the thing that everyone must say at least once?

00:02:15.960 May I put on my NPC hat and say the most obvious thing that you can say?

00:02:22.520 Or would you like to say it for me?

00:02:26.220 Because I feel like there's some weird requirement that if you talk about this topic,

00:02:31.060 you have to say what everybody is thinking, even though everybody's thinking it.

00:02:39.880 Do I even need to say anything?

00:02:41.780 Buying votes, let's say, what about the people who...

00:02:45.700 What about the people who don't get any loan forgiveness?

00:02:50.060 What about them?

00:02:52.160 Now, the point is good.

00:02:53.800 I'm not arguing the point is bad.

00:02:56.180 But how many times do I have to hear it, really?

00:02:58.540 Do I have to keep hearing people say that other people are not getting a benefit?

00:03:04.740 May I put this in context for you?

00:03:09.220 Every change to taxes, screw somebody.

00:03:14.380 There's no exception to that.

00:03:16.880 All you have to know is that it was a change in the tax rates.

00:03:20.280 Or something got added to the tax base.

00:03:23.560 Or something taxpayers had to pay for.

00:03:26.100 Or somebody got a tax break.

00:03:28.420 Or somebody got a tax increase.

00:03:30.180 Every change, screw somebody.

00:03:33.740 So if your complaint is that a group of people got screwed,

00:03:37.200 that's not really an argument.

00:03:39.720 Because every change, as well as the current situation,

00:03:45.580 screws somebody. 1.00

00:03:46.520 So you can say you don't like it because it screws you.

00:03:52.720 That would be a good opinion.

00:03:54.720 This screws me.

00:03:56.420 I pay more, but I don't get anything from it.

00:03:58.620 A lot of people are saying that.

00:04:00.640 That's a perfectly reasonable thing to say.

00:04:03.040 But if you think you have some philosophical argument about it,

00:04:07.520 you don't.

00:04:09.200 You don't.

00:04:09.780 Because the philosophical argument against this,

00:04:13.680 that it's unfair,

00:04:15.180 is exactly the same argument for every part of the tax code.

00:04:19.680 Any change, any current situation, they're all unfair.

00:04:23.840 You can't make a fair tax code.

00:04:28.200 Now some of you are going to say,

00:04:29.260 yes you can, flat tax.

00:04:30.540 That's not fair.

00:04:31.880 The flat tax is not fair.

00:04:33.840 It's just a different way to do it.

00:04:35.440 There's literally no way for everybody to get something that they consider fair.

00:04:41.600 Fairness isn't even a thing.

00:04:43.840 It's literally an imaginary concept that can never be achieved.

00:04:49.380 So there's that.

00:04:52.200 Here's what I would suggest.

00:04:53.640 If you don't like this $10,000 break for people,

00:04:58.460 and the reasons are perfectly valid, by the way.

00:05:01.320 If your reason is it's unnecessary,

00:05:05.700 it helps the wrong people,

00:05:08.700 that's a good argument.

00:05:10.500 But it also applies to everything else that we do with taxation.

00:05:15.480 Here's how I think we should handle it.

00:05:18.140 If you don't like it.

00:05:19.740 Or even if you do, really.

00:05:21.180 Whether you like it or not.

00:05:22.660 Here's how you should handle it.

00:05:24.600 You should declare that it's also reparations.

00:05:27.320 Because wouldn't it be nice to put that to bed at the same time?

00:05:36.920 Here's my argument.

00:05:38.820 The only way slavery reparations would work 0.56

00:05:41.980 is if you attack education,

00:05:45.000 and you say,

00:05:45.620 all right, the best we can do,

00:05:47.440 that at least most people can agree with,

00:05:49.700 is we'll fix education for everybody who is poor.

00:05:53.260 You don't have to be black. 0.92

00:05:54.440 Just everybody who is poor.

00:05:57.320 And just make it as good as the education

00:05:59.220 for everybody who is not poor.

00:06:01.500 Now, if we did something like that,

00:06:04.500 well then, now you're talking.

00:06:08.640 That's something that I would say,

00:06:10.200 well, okay, that's not exactly reparations focused,

00:06:14.920 but it does get you to the same place.

00:06:17.000 It gets rid of the biggest form of institutional racism,

00:06:21.920 is the school system.

00:06:24.020 The school system keeps whoever is behind behind.

00:06:27.760 It happens to be black people are in a hole. 1.00

00:06:31.120 So this current system keeps whoever is in a hole in a hole.

00:06:34.660 Because they don't have as good a school system as other people.

00:06:38.300 So I would say,

00:06:39.700 I'm just going to call it reparations and say,

00:06:42.400 yeah, it's probably going to happen anyway,

00:06:44.280 if it happens.

00:06:44.900 Does Biden have the authority to do this?

00:06:53.000 We're acting like the amount or the idea of it is the question.

00:06:58.240 But really, we've kind of thought past the sale, haven't we?

00:07:01.660 Adam Dope had been pointing to this out on Twitter.

00:07:06.080 We're kind of thinking about whether it's a good idea,

00:07:08.620 and we've thought past the question a little bit.

00:07:12.620 I mean, we haven't completely thought past it.

00:07:15.120 But it does make you a little bit think past the question

00:07:17.360 of whether Biden can even do this.

00:07:19.680 And I believe even Nancy Pelosi says he can't, right?

00:07:23.120 So aren't we talking about something that the Senate won't agree to?

00:07:28.500 Or does it just come down to Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema again?

00:07:33.100 It's just those, right?

00:07:34.280 Just two people again?

00:07:35.420 How often do we see that just two people are running the country?

00:07:42.440 Interesting how often that happens.

00:07:46.300 So I'm going to call it reparations and call it good.

00:07:51.280 DeSantis made an uncharacteristic error.

00:07:55.840 Did you hear him talking about Fauci?

00:07:57.880 And he said, quote,

00:07:58.760 quote, I'm just sick of seeing him.

00:08:01.600 I know he says he's going to retire.

00:08:03.780 Someone needs to grab that little elf 1.00

00:08:05.680 and chuck him across the Potomac. 0.98

00:08:08.780 Applause.

00:08:09.900 Someone needs to grab that little elf 1.00

00:08:11.660 and chuck him across the Potomac. 0.98

00:08:15.880 So, now, as was pointed out to me,

00:08:20.100 Trump himself has made fun of Haidt.

00:08:25.740 He made fun of little Marco.

00:08:28.840 And I didn't love that.

00:08:31.440 But he did seem to,

00:08:33.560 he did seem to,

00:08:35.540 you know,

00:08:35.860 it was in the context of two people competing against each other

00:08:38.900 and saying, lying about each other all the time.

00:08:41.820 So it seemed a little different.

00:08:44.240 Whereas DeSantis wasn't exactly in a political contest against Fauci.

00:08:50.100 But he did seem to belittle him for his height

00:08:53.480 and suggest violence.

00:08:57.260 Now, it's not real violence.

00:08:58.500 It's like hyperbole, you know,

00:09:00.200 jokey violence, comic violence.

00:09:02.920 But how much comic violence do you think

00:09:04.980 the public would tolerate against a different group?

00:09:09.100 Let me just put in some different groups here

00:09:12.140 and see how it's out.

00:09:13.560 So the original is,

00:09:14.960 talking about Fauci,

00:09:16.200 grab that little elf and chuck him across the Potomac. 1.00

00:09:20.100 Let's say it was,

00:09:21.860 oh, let's say the Secretary of Transportation.

00:09:26.380 Let's grab that little gay guy 1.00

00:09:28.320 and chuck him across the Potomac. 0.98

00:09:30.660 Sounds good?

00:09:32.720 You'd be okay with that?

00:09:34.080 How about,

00:09:35.480 how about it was somebody black?

00:09:37.680 Let's grab that black guy 1.00

00:09:38.920 and chuck him across the Potomac. 0.98

00:09:40.760 Potomac.

00:09:41.760 You okay with that?

00:09:43.300 That sounds okay?

00:09:43.980 Chuck that black guy across the Potomac? 1.00

00:09:46.540 How about a woman? 0.99

00:09:49.720 Let's grab that woman 1.00

00:09:50.960 and chuck her across the Potomac. 1.00

00:09:53.660 You okay with that?

00:09:56.320 Most of you are.

00:09:59.160 Most of you are.

00:10:00.460 See, most of you are being consistent now,

00:10:02.560 which I appreciate, by the way.

00:10:04.360 You're being consistent.

00:10:05.300 Because most of you are opposed to,

00:10:08.280 you know, the word police, right?

00:10:11.240 Most of you don't want to cancel somebody

00:10:13.060 because they said something.

00:10:15.640 They insulted somebody, right?

00:10:17.540 I appreciate that.

00:10:19.540 I appreciate that opinion.

00:10:23.740 DeSantis is dead to me,

00:10:25.740 but that's just personal,

00:10:27.760 so you don't have to agree with me.

00:10:29.520 I will not try to change your mind.

00:10:32.120 It's just he lost my support.

00:10:33.480 Will that matter?

00:10:36.800 Well, I don't know.

00:10:38.560 Beats me.

00:10:39.680 But he shouldn't have insulted short people

00:10:41.500 and suggested that throwing them

00:10:43.340 across the Potomac is funny.

00:10:46.200 Now, I'm not insulted.

00:10:48.620 Like, I don't feel it's an insult.

00:10:50.520 I just don't want a leader

00:10:51.880 who would talk like that.

00:10:55.700 Because when you pick out

00:10:58.140 a group of Americans to criticize,

00:11:01.780 that's different.

00:11:04.100 It's different.

00:11:04.840 To me, this is a deplorables moment.

00:11:06.860 Do you think that Hillary

00:11:09.680 should have been criticized

00:11:11.160 for calling half of America deplorables?

00:11:14.680 What do you think?

00:11:16.460 Should Hillary be criticized 0.97

00:11:17.780 for calling, I don't know,

00:11:19.500 40% of America deplorables?

00:11:21.860 Because I did.

00:11:24.260 I criticized her for that.

00:11:25.980 Because the difference is

00:11:27.160 it's an elected politician

00:11:30.540 who's saying something bad

00:11:32.540 about a class of people

00:11:33.760 who are Americans.

00:11:36.220 So I tolerate a politician

00:11:39.640 making fun of another politician

00:11:41.640 who's running against him.

00:11:43.540 You can say anything you want.

00:11:45.320 Politician against politician,

00:11:46.860 I don't really care.

00:11:48.220 That's just part of the process.

00:11:50.740 If it's a non-politician

00:11:52.380 who says something

00:11:54.120 about a class of Americans,

00:11:56.020 well, that's okay.

00:11:57.360 That's just free speech.

00:11:59.240 But if you're an elected politician

00:12:00.880 and you say something

00:12:01.900 that clearly identifies

00:12:03.860 an attitude about

00:12:05.060 a class of Americans,

00:12:07.340 well, then I can't support you.

00:12:08.860 So, anyway,

00:12:12.460 he's got 48 hours,

00:12:13.860 but he lost my support.

00:12:18.100 Not that I was necessarily

00:12:19.540 going to support him,

00:12:20.600 but, what?

00:12:24.000 You think that's too harsh?

00:12:27.000 Who thinks I'm too harsh?

00:12:29.600 You think I'm being too sensitive?

00:12:30.900 But why can't I?

00:12:40.720 But do you think

00:12:41.640 that I'm reacting

00:12:42.380 to my personal feeling,

00:12:44.080 or do you think

00:12:45.060 I'm acting on principle?

00:12:47.120 Am I acting on principle

00:12:48.340 or personal feeling right now?

00:12:52.660 Are you reading my mind?

00:12:54.060 Now, when Hillary called 0.99

00:13:00.240 Republicans deplorables, 0.61

00:13:04.800 did you disagree with that

00:13:06.220 on principle

00:13:06.820 or because it hurt your feelings?

00:13:09.620 Which was it?

00:13:10.920 Did it hurt your feelings

00:13:11.860 or did it seem like

00:13:12.740 a bad thing for a leader

00:13:14.000 to identify people

00:13:15.920 within the public

00:13:16.660 as deplorable?

00:13:19.640 I think it was based

00:13:20.620 on principle, wasn't it?

00:13:22.560 Because when I was

00:13:23.660 anti-Hillary

00:13:25.440 for saying

00:13:26.020 the deplorable thing,

00:13:27.280 it wasn't just

00:13:28.060 because it was an insult.

00:13:29.760 It was because

00:13:30.580 she was insulting

00:13:31.320 the public,

00:13:33.940 a group in the public.

00:13:35.760 So I think I'm being,

00:13:36.980 I think I'm being consistent.

00:13:39.880 Do you think

00:13:40.640 that I'm being consistent?

00:13:43.440 Hillary insulted deplorables. 1.00

00:13:46.160 DeSantis insulted

00:13:47.440 a class of Americans.

00:13:49.220 That's not consistent?

00:13:51.800 Because even if you think

00:13:52.960 that both of them

00:13:53.640 were based on my feelings

00:13:54.860 and maybe you'd be right

00:13:57.180 but at least I'd be consistent.

00:13:59.540 They'd both be based

00:14:00.460 on my feelings.

00:14:05.180 Now let me turn this around.

00:14:07.500 So you've,

00:14:08.140 some of you have made

00:14:09.560 the accusation

00:14:10.800 that I'm operating

00:14:12.420 on my feelings

00:14:13.380 instead of my logic.

00:14:16.080 Do you think

00:14:16.620 that's a fair,

00:14:19.020 well you can't know for sure,

00:14:20.280 but do you think

00:14:20.800 but do you think

00:14:20.820 it's a fair concern?

00:14:24.200 Would you say

00:14:24.900 that that would be

00:14:25.580 a reasonable hypothesis?

00:14:28.660 I think so.

00:14:30.480 Reasonable hypothesis.

00:14:32.640 Can I give you that?

00:14:34.160 Can I admit

00:14:34.860 that you're,

00:14:35.580 if you have the hypothesis

00:14:36.760 that I'm acting

00:14:37.540 on emotion

00:14:38.180 and not logic,

00:14:39.820 that that's a reasonable hypothesis.

00:14:43.600 Now I'm going to make

00:14:44.600 a reasonable hypothesis

00:14:45.720 about some of you

00:14:47.940 that you care

00:14:49.520 about winning

00:14:50.040 more than you care

00:14:50.880 about that point.

00:14:53.860 You don't care

00:14:54.600 about that point.

00:14:55.540 It's just not important to you.

00:14:57.300 So you care about winning

00:14:58.200 a little bit more.

00:14:59.920 Is that fair?

00:15:02.200 Do you think,

00:15:02.700 do you think

00:15:03.140 you're a little bit

00:15:03.720 more concerned

00:15:04.260 about winning

00:15:04.880 than you are

00:15:06.260 about this minor point?

00:15:08.020 Yeah.

00:15:09.120 So I don't think

00:15:09.860 you're disagreeing

00:15:10.500 with me on the point.

00:15:12.320 I think you just

00:15:13.200 like winning.

00:15:13.640 I think you just like winning.

00:15:15.720 Is that a fair hypothesis

00:15:17.140 for some of you?

00:15:18.440 Well, maybe the lesson here

00:15:20.080 is that you can't read minds.

00:15:22.580 And neither can I.

00:15:24.980 But would you,

00:15:26.220 would you allow me this?

00:15:28.860 That it is at least

00:15:30.060 consistent

00:15:30.720 to say that

00:15:33.220 if a leader

00:15:33.980 talks against

00:15:35.260 a class of Americans

00:15:36.620 for something

00:15:38.120 they can't change.

00:15:40.140 For something

00:15:41.040 they can't change.

00:15:43.800 That that would be

00:15:44.760 disqualifying.

00:15:45.720 I think you have

00:15:51.120 to give me

00:15:51.560 that it's consistent

00:15:52.520 even if you don't

00:15:53.320 like it.

00:15:55.860 Anyway,

00:15:56.420 I don't think,

00:15:56.900 I don't think

00:15:57.560 DeSantis will be

00:15:58.300 running for president

00:15:59.000 so I don't think

00:15:59.700 it's going to matter.

00:16:02.780 Remember I told you

00:16:03.560 yesterday

00:16:03.880 it would be funny

00:16:04.740 to do the,

00:16:06.040 the Trump method

00:16:09.340 of telling people

00:16:10.880 he has a high IQ.

00:16:12.360 So I told you

00:16:12.960 there's a list

00:16:13.540 of presidential IQs

00:16:14.820 which can't really

00:16:15.720 be known

00:16:16.260 but the only thing

00:16:17.420 we know about Trump

00:16:18.240 is that there's

00:16:19.020 some claim he has

00:16:20.060 of having a high IQ.

00:16:21.800 So his claim,

00:16:23.240 given that there was

00:16:23.940 no other information,

00:16:25.840 was enough to put him

00:16:26.700 number three

00:16:27.260 on the smartest

00:16:27.880 president's list.

00:16:29.840 Which to me

00:16:30.500 is the funniest thing.

00:16:31.940 So I asked you

00:16:32.640 to help me

00:16:33.120 with an ongoing prank

00:16:34.680 in which you would,

00:16:36.000 on Twitter

00:16:37.560 sometimes you would

00:16:38.860 just mention

00:16:39.440 that I have an IQ

00:16:40.320 of 185

00:16:41.380 which I don't.

00:16:43.480 It's totally made up.

00:16:45.540 But

00:16:45.740 Mike Suarez

00:16:48.720 who's a Twitter user

00:16:50.280 and I assume,

00:16:51.440 I assume Mike,

00:16:52.200 you're probably

00:16:52.520 watching me right now.

00:16:54.060 But Mike Suarez

00:16:54.720 started doing this

00:16:55.580 on Twitter.

00:16:56.800 And here's,

00:16:57.680 here's one of his comments

00:16:59.200 he put on somebody

00:17:00.180 else's comment.

00:17:00.960 It doesn't matter

00:17:01.420 what the topic is.

00:17:02.900 But just,

00:17:03.520 just read how funny

00:17:04.600 this is.

00:17:08.100 So this is,

00:17:09.160 it doesn't matter

00:17:09.860 what he's commenting to.

00:17:11.300 He says,

00:17:11.960 Scott Adams

00:17:12.480 has a reported IQ

00:17:14.000 of 185.

00:17:14.940 Now the funny part

00:17:15.720 is you should say

00:17:16.460 reported

00:17:17.000 because you don't

00:17:19.000 claim it as a fact.

00:17:20.400 You just say

00:17:20.960 it's reported.

00:17:22.320 Scott Adams

00:17:23.140 has a reported IQ

00:17:24.140 of 185.

00:17:25.300 Higher than Bill Gates

00:17:26.500 and Elon Musk.

00:17:27.720 On par with Einstein.

00:17:29.380 He's literally

00:17:30.000 a super genius.

00:17:31.300 Smarter than

00:17:31.800 99.9% of the world.

00:17:33.800 And you're coming

00:17:34.480 at him

00:17:34.840 with these

00:17:35.180 low IQ arguments.

00:17:36.800 Please,

00:17:37.300 just stop

00:17:37.880 and let the man

00:17:38.760 focus on saving

00:17:39.680 the world.

00:17:50.660 Oh,

00:17:51.600 I think,

00:17:52.260 I think,

00:17:53.280 I think Mike

00:17:53.960 left two of these comments.

00:17:55.400 I may,

00:17:55.720 maybe I saw

00:17:56.420 the same one twice,

00:17:57.400 but.

00:17:57.560 And here's the funniest thing.

00:18:06.340 I saw the response

00:18:07.760 to the comment

00:18:08.460 who he's commenting to.

00:18:10.140 And the response

00:18:11.000 didn't deny the fact.

00:18:13.140 It didn't deny the fact.

00:18:14.440 It just,

00:18:14.800 you know,

00:18:15.020 got angry

00:18:15.560 for some unrelated reason.

00:18:17.320 So I think that people

00:18:18.340 are going to accept it

00:18:19.240 as a fact.

00:18:19.960 It's just going to live

00:18:24.100 out there.

00:18:25.040 It's going to live

00:18:25.800 on the internet

00:18:26.260 forever as a fact.

00:18:30.620 So thanks to

00:18:31.700 Mike Suarez

00:18:32.480 for that.

00:18:34.320 All right,

00:18:34.680 here's a,

00:18:35.160 do you like

00:18:36.260 conspiracy theories?

00:18:37.960 Anybody?

00:18:39.320 I got a conspiracy

00:18:40.400 theory for you.

00:18:42.440 You're going to love it.

00:18:44.040 It goes like this.

00:18:46.260 Have you ever thought

00:18:47.020 it was unusual

00:18:47.800 and kind of

00:18:49.740 a big coincidence

00:18:50.440 that our

00:18:52.360 presidential races

00:18:53.660 always seem

00:18:54.220 to be so close?

00:18:56.140 Has that ever

00:18:56.860 struck you as odd?

00:18:59.400 Like,

00:18:59.680 why would that be

00:19:00.700 exactly?

00:19:02.200 Like,

00:19:02.460 why would it be

00:19:03.020 that they're close?

00:19:05.160 I feel like

00:19:05.740 every time

00:19:06.320 they're close.

00:19:07.260 Now,

00:19:07.560 that's not true

00:19:08.240 of local races,

00:19:09.820 right?

00:19:10.780 In local races,

00:19:11.640 it's not unusual

00:19:12.600 for 75% of

00:19:14.080 the vote

00:19:14.900 to go one place.

00:19:17.960 Now,

00:19:18.500 let me ask you this.

00:19:20.420 If you imagine

00:19:21.560 that there's somebody

00:19:22.500 behind the curtain,

00:19:24.880 somebody you don't

00:19:25.480 know about exactly

00:19:26.380 but you suspect

00:19:27.240 is back there,

00:19:28.380 if they're really

00:19:29.280 the ones in charge,

00:19:31.120 what would they

00:19:32.000 want to do

00:19:32.500 with the political

00:19:33.200 process

00:19:34.000 to stay in charge?

00:19:36.960 Again,

00:19:37.520 this is just

00:19:38.040 speculative.

00:19:38.860 If you were to

00:19:39.460 imagine,

00:19:40.300 and we're just

00:19:40.700 imagining,

00:19:41.640 right?

00:19:42.000 We're just

00:19:42.400 using our

00:19:42.980 imaginations.

00:19:44.160 Imagine there's

00:19:44.860 somebody really

00:19:45.520 in charge

00:19:46.160 behind the curtain.

00:19:48.420 Would they want

00:19:49.380 one of the sides

00:19:51.020 to get all

00:19:52.240 of the power?

00:19:53.660 Would they want,

00:19:54.680 for example,

00:19:55.180 a strong Republican

00:19:57.600 to get 75%

00:19:58.960 of the vote?

00:19:59.460 No way.

00:20:02.620 Because if any

00:20:03.600 individual

00:20:04.200 got 75%

00:20:05.380 of the vote,

00:20:06.500 that individual

00:20:07.280 would have

00:20:07.740 too much power.

00:20:09.320 Am I right?

00:20:11.740 Yeah.

00:20:12.540 There's no situation

00:20:13.600 in which,

00:20:14.500 if you imagine,

00:20:15.480 and it's a big if,

00:20:17.120 if there's some

00:20:17.960 power behind the

00:20:18.820 curtain,

00:20:19.500 they would never

00:20:20.340 allow one candidate

00:20:21.640 to get 75%

00:20:22.860 of the vote.

00:20:24.040 Because,

00:20:24.980 because,

00:20:26.460 that candidate

00:20:27.800 would then

00:20:28.240 actually have

00:20:28.820 real power.

00:20:30.160 The public

00:20:30.880 would back

00:20:31.360 that person

00:20:31.900 for almost

00:20:32.740 anything.

00:20:34.420 And that would

00:20:35.200 take the power

00:20:35.760 away from the

00:20:36.280 people with

00:20:36.660 the real power,

00:20:37.380 even if they

00:20:37.980 thought they

00:20:38.360 had control

00:20:38.940 over that

00:20:39.360 candidate.

00:20:39.880 They would

00:20:40.120 lose control.

00:20:41.360 The candidate

00:20:41.800 would be

00:20:42.220 more powerful.

00:20:46.780 Yeah.

00:20:47.560 Now,

00:20:47.880 Reagan was

00:20:48.380 probably an

00:20:48.800 exception because

00:20:49.720 a second-term

00:20:51.280 president's a

00:20:51.940 little bit of

00:20:52.380 a different

00:20:52.700 situation.

00:20:54.700 Right?

00:20:54.800 But the

00:20:56.920 second-term

00:20:57.420 president,

00:20:58.000 they know

00:20:58.280 they can

00:20:58.620 weigh down,

00:20:59.180 right?

00:20:59.480 Just for,

00:21:00.420 now,

00:21:01.260 you saw what

00:21:02.160 Joe Manchin

00:21:03.320 can do when

00:21:04.420 things are

00:21:04.880 deadlocked,

00:21:05.420 right?

00:21:05.940 When Congress

00:21:06.720 is deadlocked,

00:21:07.560 the only person

00:21:08.200 who has power

00:21:08.700 is Joe Manchin,

00:21:10.180 Kirsten Sinema

00:21:10.860 a little bit,

00:21:11.580 right?

00:21:13.020 So,

00:21:13.700 let me ask you

00:21:14.560 this.

00:21:14.820 If you were

00:21:15.220 looking for

00:21:15.760 the power,

00:21:16.760 the real power

00:21:17.640 who's running

00:21:18.120 the country,

00:21:19.040 there's a

00:21:19.880 tell.

00:21:21.520 And the tell

00:21:22.160 would look like

00:21:22.800 this.

00:21:23.220 they would

00:21:24.560 sometimes back

00:21:25.660 either side

00:21:27.080 because they

00:21:28.900 would back

00:21:29.320 the side

00:21:29.940 that they

00:21:30.540 need to

00:21:31.160 put the

00:21:31.700 brakes on.

00:21:32.400 If they

00:21:33.020 need to

00:21:33.300 put the

00:21:33.560 brakes on

00:21:33.980 one side,

00:21:35.300 keep things

00:21:35.760 in balance,

00:21:36.980 you would

00:21:37.320 see them

00:21:37.680 operating to

00:21:38.560 influence

00:21:39.680 both sides.

00:21:41.920 Right?

00:21:43.020 Name somebody

00:21:44.020 who interfered

00:21:45.180 with Hillary's 0.96

00:21:46.880 election,

00:21:48.080 Trump's

00:21:48.680 election,

00:21:50.020 and then

00:21:50.600 the Biden

00:21:51.320 election.

00:21:51.840 name one

00:21:52.960 entity who

00:21:54.220 absolutely

00:21:55.020 interfered with

00:21:56.100 all three

00:21:56.680 elections,

00:21:58.200 the FBI.

00:21:59.620 So,

00:22:00.220 the FBI

00:22:00.680 was accused

00:22:01.560 of putting

00:22:02.740 their finger

00:22:03.280 on the

00:22:04.040 2016 election

00:22:05.880 when Comey

00:22:07.680 talked about

00:22:08.200 Hillary's 0.68

00:22:08.740 emails that

00:22:09.880 were confidential,

00:22:11.140 but we

00:22:11.760 didn't yet know

00:22:12.440 if there was

00:22:12.840 going to be

00:22:13.140 any legal

00:22:13.840 liability.

00:22:14.960 right?

00:22:17.880 So,

00:22:18.340 the FBI

00:22:20.920 definitely

00:22:21.560 influenced

00:22:22.400 the 2016

00:22:23.580 election,

00:22:24.560 and then

00:22:25.080 the FBI

00:22:25.540 was involved

00:22:26.660 in the

00:22:26.940 Department of

00:22:28.520 Justice.

00:22:29.220 I sometimes

00:22:29.920 conflate

00:22:30.420 them,

00:22:31.120 because I

00:22:31.800 conflate

00:22:32.160 them because

00:22:32.620 they can be

00:22:33.420 conflated.

00:22:35.580 But then

00:22:36.340 there was

00:22:36.540 a whole

00:22:36.760 Russian

00:22:37.080 collusion

00:22:37.560 thing.

00:22:38.400 So,

00:22:38.740 one was

00:22:39.040 anti-Hillary,

00:22:40.120 now there's

00:22:40.580 anti-Trump,

00:22:41.560 then there's

00:22:42.600 the Hunter

00:22:43.100 laptop

00:22:43.560 situation,

00:22:44.780 which was

00:22:45.540 suppressed,

00:22:46.860 so that was

00:22:47.500 anti-Trump

00:22:48.480 again.

00:22:49.780 Then there's

00:22:50.260 the January

00:22:50.980 16th

00:22:51.720 investigation,

00:22:52.780 and the

00:22:52.980 FBI is

00:22:53.560 involved,

00:22:54.200 Department

00:22:54.460 of Justice.

00:22:55.980 It feels

00:22:56.840 to me like

00:22:57.420 the Department

00:22:57.920 of Justice

00:22:58.460 and the

00:22:58.840 FBI will

00:23:01.220 suppress

00:23:01.720 anybody who

00:23:02.280 is getting

00:23:02.540 too popular.

00:23:05.660 Does it

00:23:06.320 seem like

00:23:06.660 that?

00:23:07.860 It would

00:23:08.420 suppress

00:23:08.780 anybody who

00:23:09.280 is getting

00:23:09.520 too popular?

00:23:10.660 And Trump

00:23:11.160 had the

00:23:11.920 personality

00:23:14.160 appeal that

00:23:15.180 he would

00:23:15.400 have been

00:23:15.620 too popular.

00:23:17.480 It's not

00:23:18.120 that Trump

00:23:18.640 was going

00:23:20.040 to do

00:23:20.340 some specific

00:23:21.180 thing,

00:23:21.820 it's that

00:23:22.040 he was

00:23:22.280 too popular,

00:23:23.360 or he had

00:23:23.700 the potential

00:23:24.240 to be.

00:23:25.040 I think

00:23:25.600 they had

00:23:25.960 to stop

00:23:26.380 anybody who

00:23:26.960 would get

00:23:27.800 either party

00:23:29.720 to a dominant

00:23:30.600 position.

00:23:32.880 Now,

00:23:33.960 if you

00:23:35.040 keep things

00:23:35.600 close,

00:23:37.200 who runs

00:23:38.300 the country?

00:23:38.800 If you

00:23:41.040 keep the

00:23:41.560 two political

00:23:42.280 parties close

00:23:43.480 at the

00:23:44.920 national level,

00:23:45.860 who runs

00:23:46.600 the country?

00:23:48.760 Well,

00:23:49.660 if it's

00:23:50.420 close,

00:23:51.300 what's the

00:23:51.900 tiebreaker?

00:23:53.040 Is it

00:23:53.380 Joe Manchin?

00:23:54.520 A little

00:23:55.140 bit.

00:23:56.560 No,

00:23:57.360 it's

00:23:57.700 persuasion.

00:23:59.240 It's

00:23:59.660 persuasion.

00:24:00.620 If you

00:24:01.060 keep all

00:24:01.420 the races

00:24:01.820 close,

00:24:02.900 then the

00:24:03.580 tiebreaker

00:24:04.100 is persuasion.

00:24:05.240 Or in some

00:24:05.780 cases,

00:24:06.200 I suppose

00:24:06.600 you can

00:24:07.300 change the

00:24:07.800 rules,

00:24:08.260 like Mark

00:24:08.760 Elias,

00:24:09.240 that sort

00:24:09.520 of thing.

00:24:10.140 But it's

00:24:10.560 very small

00:24:11.340 things that

00:24:11.920 make the

00:24:12.240 difference if

00:24:13.320 you're always

00:24:13.740 close to

00:24:14.300 deadlocked.

00:24:16.960 Persuasion

00:24:17.480 is not

00:24:17.880 something that

00:24:18.420 can move

00:24:19.080 everybody all

00:24:20.180 at once.

00:24:21.280 It doesn't

00:24:21.640 work that

00:24:22.040 way.

00:24:23.000 Persuasion

00:24:23.520 is about

00:24:23.980 moving 5%

00:24:24.900 of the

00:24:25.160 public over

00:24:25.760 a long

00:24:26.320 time period.

00:24:29.820 So to

00:24:30.280 the extent

00:24:31.900 that the

00:24:32.860 media colludes

00:24:35.340 with whoever

00:24:36.100 is behind

00:24:36.520 the curtain,

00:24:37.940 the media

00:24:38.660 can move

00:24:39.120 you 5%

00:24:39.840 in either

00:24:40.140 direction.

00:24:41.420 So basically

00:24:42.060 it puts the

00:24:42.660 media completely

00:24:43.540 in control

00:24:44.160 of the

00:24:44.460 government,

00:24:45.320 and then

00:24:45.640 you have

00:24:45.880 to back

00:24:46.240 up a

00:24:46.540 level and

00:24:46.860 say who

00:24:47.160 controls

00:24:47.600 the media.

00:24:49.780 So the

00:24:50.740 condition for

00:24:51.940 somebody behind

00:24:52.740 the curtain

00:24:53.160 to really be

00:24:53.900 running things

00:24:54.660 would be

00:24:56.220 that they're

00:24:57.020 keeping the

00:24:57.880 natural

00:24:59.000 parties that

00:24:59.700 you vote

00:25:00.080 for too

00:25:00.740 close,

00:25:01.200 for either

00:25:02.060 of them

00:25:02.320 to be

00:25:02.640 dominant,

00:25:03.580 and then

00:25:04.040 they also

00:25:04.560 control news

00:25:05.440 coverage so

00:25:06.540 that once

00:25:06.860 you're close,

00:25:07.580 the only

00:25:07.840 thing that

00:25:08.140 makes a

00:25:08.420 difference is

00:25:08.880 persuasion,

00:25:09.840 and they

00:25:10.300 control that

00:25:10.900 as well.

00:25:13.720 Now you

00:25:14.360 think the

00:25:14.800 Senate and

00:25:15.560 the Congress

00:25:16.800 in general

00:25:17.340 matter,

00:25:19.080 but they're

00:25:19.680 also moved

00:25:20.400 by persuasion.

00:25:22.640 So when

00:25:23.840 was the last

00:25:24.320 time you

00:25:24.680 saw the

00:25:25.020 Democrats do 0.57

00:25:25.700 something that

00:25:26.400 the Democrat

00:25:27.400 media does

00:25:29.300 not support?

00:25:30.500 They're always

00:25:30.860 on the same

00:25:31.300 team.

00:25:32.900 So when

00:25:33.760 you think

00:25:34.200 it's the

00:25:34.780 Congress

00:25:35.400 doing something,

00:25:36.260 it's not.

00:25:37.520 It's the

00:25:38.020 news allowing

00:25:38.940 them to do

00:25:39.480 it.

00:25:40.440 Because if

00:25:41.140 Jake Tapper

00:25:41.760 got on TV

00:25:42.420 and said this

00:25:43.020 Democrat plan 0.68

00:25:43.900 is fucked

00:25:44.520 up, this

00:25:45.680 is a bad

00:25:46.160 idea, it

00:25:46.720 wouldn't

00:25:46.920 happen.

00:25:48.360 It wouldn't

00:25:48.720 happen.

00:25:49.440 Because first

00:25:49.980 of all, Jake

00:25:50.440 Tapper, I'm

00:25:51.020 just picking him

00:25:51.580 randomly, but

00:25:52.700 if one of the

00:25:53.560 CNN major

00:25:55.780 hosts said

00:25:57.400 this is a

00:25:57.900 bad Democrat

00:25:58.600 plan, it

00:25:59.660 probably means

00:26:00.300 the other

00:26:00.640 hosts are

00:26:01.060 going to

00:26:01.240 say it

00:26:01.540 too, right?

00:26:02.460 Because they

00:26:02.940 operate in

00:26:04.120 lockstep.

00:26:06.000 So all

00:26:07.060 you'd have to

00:26:07.720 see is one

00:26:08.260 host going

00:26:09.300 against the

00:26:09.880 Democrats,

00:26:10.480 then you'd

00:26:10.760 say, okay,

00:26:11.300 that's news.

00:26:12.680 Okay, now we

00:26:13.220 can call it

00:26:13.660 news, because

00:26:14.440 sometimes they

00:26:15.040 agree with

00:26:15.760 what you think

00:26:16.400 is their

00:26:16.660 team, but

00:26:17.380 sometimes they

00:26:18.040 disagree.

00:26:18.940 If you

00:26:19.520 never see

00:26:20.060 them disagree

00:26:20.740 with the

00:26:21.160 Democrats,

00:26:22.540 that's just

00:26:24.520 persuasion, it's

00:26:25.360 not news.

00:26:25.900 you always

00:26:29.900 feel like I'm

00:26:30.520 hypnotizing you?

00:26:31.920 Does anybody

00:26:32.620 feel like that

00:26:33.200 now?

00:26:35.900 Well, I'm

00:26:36.460 not hypnotizing

00:26:37.580 you.

00:26:39.920 All right,

00:26:40.560 well, I'm

00:26:41.080 not saying

00:26:41.500 that the

00:26:41.800 FBI and

00:26:42.580 the Department

00:26:43.040 of Justice

00:26:43.540 is running

00:26:44.260 America, it

00:26:45.040 could be

00:26:45.420 whoever controls

00:26:47.380 that, right?

00:26:48.780 So you

00:26:49.440 might have to

00:26:49.860 go up back

00:26:50.580 a level to

00:26:51.080 find out who

00:26:51.540 has so much

00:26:52.040 control that

00:26:53.280 they can get

00:26:53.720 the FBI and

00:26:54.380 the Department

00:26:54.800 of Justice to

00:26:55.460 do whatever

00:26:55.820 they want.

00:26:58.340 What do

00:26:58.860 you think of

00:26:59.140 this new

00:26:59.520 chips law?

00:27:00.960 Joe Biden's

00:27:01.760 hundreds of

00:27:03.220 billions to

00:27:04.500 bring chip

00:27:05.020 manufacturing back

00:27:06.180 to the United

00:27:06.680 States, but I

00:27:07.420 think it's more

00:27:07.860 than chips,

00:27:08.440 right?

00:27:09.380 It talks about

00:27:09.940 manufacturing.

00:27:12.440 Can somebody

00:27:13.000 tell me if the

00:27:13.680 chips law is

00:27:16.080 more than just

00:27:16.860 chips?

00:27:18.660 It's not

00:27:19.320 potato chips.

00:27:24.020 So some of

00:27:24.920 this is

00:27:25.500 encouraging it

00:27:26.500 to go to

00:27:26.920 India, that's 0.99

00:27:27.520 correct.

00:27:28.300 But I think

00:27:28.700 some of it

00:27:29.180 is to

00:27:30.780 encourage

00:27:31.180 manufacturing in

00:27:32.000 the United

00:27:32.340 States,

00:27:32.740 ultimately.

00:27:34.060 I don't know,

00:27:34.460 this feels like

00:27:34.980 a good idea

00:27:35.700 because we

00:27:37.640 have to

00:27:38.260 decouple the

00:27:39.140 tech stuff

00:27:39.680 from China,

00:27:40.880 so I don't

00:27:42.460 know if this

00:27:43.120 will be

00:27:43.460 implemented right

00:27:44.380 or it's the

00:27:44.920 right budget

00:27:45.420 amount, but

00:27:46.080 directionally it's

00:27:47.500 right.

00:27:48.960 So would you be

00:27:49.920 surprised to know

00:27:51.040 that the

00:27:51.600 election polling

00:27:53.060 is getting

00:27:54.220 closer?

00:27:55.500 I don't think

00:27:56.440 that the

00:27:56.820 generic Republican

00:27:58.300 and the generic

00:27:59.300 Democrat are that

00:28:00.120 far apart anymore.

00:28:01.480 And part of it

00:28:02.240 is the legislative

00:28:03.220 wins, if you

00:28:04.520 can call it

00:28:05.080 that.

00:28:05.860 As long as the

00:28:06.780 Democrats like

00:28:07.540 what Biden's

00:28:08.100 doing, and

00:28:10.780 he's going to

00:28:11.300 get votes.

00:28:13.320 So that's

00:28:15.200 probably a good

00:28:15.620 idea, the chips

00:28:16.620 thing, but I

00:28:17.740 don't know.

00:28:18.080 don't know

00:28:20.180 for sure.

00:28:23.100 All right,

00:28:24.820 Rasmussen

00:28:25.540 has a poll

00:28:27.340 says that

00:28:28.160 42%

00:28:31.200 trust what

00:28:32.520 the news

00:28:32.920 media are

00:28:33.380 reporting about

00:28:34.060 the FBI

00:28:34.880 raid on

00:28:36.820 Mar-a-Lago.

00:28:38.920 Only 42%

00:28:40.580 of the

00:28:41.880 public

00:28:42.300 trust the

00:28:43.780 news about

00:28:44.440 the raid

00:28:44.940 on Mar-a-Lago.

00:28:45.780 42%.

00:28:48.940 Now, the

00:28:50.380 way the poll

00:28:50.940 is that 44%

00:28:52.640 don't trust

00:28:53.520 it, and

00:28:54.340 another 14%

00:28:55.440 are not

00:28:55.880 sure.

00:28:57.140 Now, what

00:28:57.680 is the

00:28:57.980 difference between

00:28:58.760 somebody who

00:28:59.440 doesn't trust

00:29:00.360 the news and

00:29:01.660 somebody who's

00:29:02.300 not sure if

00:29:03.160 they should

00:29:03.480 trust it?

00:29:05.880 What would

00:29:06.580 you call

00:29:06.960 somebody who's

00:29:07.580 not sure if

00:29:08.440 they should

00:29:08.760 trust the

00:29:09.220 news?

00:29:10.720 That would

00:29:11.380 be somebody

00:29:11.820 who doesn't

00:29:12.340 trust that.

00:29:12.860 If you're

00:29:14.980 not sure you

00:29:15.880 can trust

00:29:16.380 something, by

00:29:18.300 definition of

00:29:19.220 how words

00:29:19.880 work, it

00:29:21.960 means you

00:29:22.420 don't trust

00:29:23.240 them.

00:29:24.220 Right?

00:29:26.400 Am I

00:29:27.100 reading that

00:29:27.560 wrong?

00:29:28.600 So that

00:29:29.260 would mean

00:29:29.580 the 44% 0.97

00:29:30.400 plus the

00:29:30.860 14%.

00:29:31.400 So that

00:29:32.640 would be

00:29:32.980 58%

00:29:34.220 basically are

00:29:35.880 not believing

00:29:36.480 the news

00:29:37.060 about the

00:29:37.480 Mar-a-Lago

00:29:37.960 raid.

00:29:38.440 that is

00:29:42.280 actually an

00:29:43.360 encouraging,

00:29:45.200 a very

00:29:46.240 encouraging

00:29:46.860 number.

00:29:48.220 Because that's

00:29:48.780 exactly what

00:29:49.700 I'd hope.

00:29:50.520 You would

00:29:50.860 expect that

00:29:51.480 the majority

00:29:52.060 of people

00:29:52.420 would say,

00:29:52.780 I'm not

00:29:53.400 sure about

00:29:53.760 that.

00:29:56.380 So here's

00:29:57.240 two stories

00:29:57.820 I'd like to

00:29:58.440 talk about

00:29:58.840 some more.

00:29:59.460 The January

00:30:04.740 6th story

00:30:05.580 disappeared and

00:30:06.820 Mar-a-Lago

00:30:07.620 story seems

00:30:08.300 to be

00:30:08.580 disappearing.

00:30:11.220 What do

00:30:11.840 those two

00:30:12.420 stories have

00:30:13.320 in common?

00:30:14.360 The January

00:30:14.980 6th story,

00:30:17.100 you know,

00:30:17.320 the hearings,

00:30:18.820 and the

00:30:19.280 Mar-a-Lago

00:30:19.880 story,

00:30:24.140 the raid.

00:30:24.980 What do

00:30:25.380 they have

00:30:25.660 in common?

00:30:27.580 They're two

00:30:28.240 stories that

00:30:28.920 the Democrats

00:30:29.580 thought would

00:30:30.260 work in their

00:30:30.880 favor and

00:30:31.660 blew up.

00:30:33.540 So they

00:30:34.240 disappeared.

00:30:36.260 It's funny

00:30:37.040 watching the

00:30:37.600 news be so

00:30:39.760 illegitimate right 0.83

00:30:40.820 in front of

00:30:41.300 you.

00:30:43.120 They're not

00:30:45.220 really trying to

00:30:45.760 hide it,

00:30:46.220 are they?

00:30:47.100 It's just so

00:30:47.860 obvious that the

00:30:48.660 news isn't

00:30:49.200 real.

00:30:50.180 It's just

00:30:50.640 narrative

00:30:51.280 manufacturing.

00:30:56.400 62% of the

00:30:57.880 people who

00:30:58.400 follow me and

00:30:59.200 answer to one

00:30:59.660 of my polls

00:31:00.300 believe that

00:31:01.780 you can make

00:31:02.380 a decision

00:31:03.040 without knowing

00:31:06.720 the risks

00:31:07.600 on both

00:31:08.420 sides.

00:31:10.260 Does that

00:31:10.900 seem high?

00:31:11.940 62% of the

00:31:13.600 people who

00:31:14.000 follow me

00:31:14.780 believe you

00:31:16.080 don't need to

00:31:16.800 know the

00:31:18.040 costs and

00:31:18.560 the risks

00:31:19.080 of your

00:31:20.500 alternatives to

00:31:22.220 make a

00:31:22.520 decision.

00:31:23.540 Does that

00:31:24.060 sound high

00:31:25.180 or low?

00:31:25.580 well, that's

00:31:28.380 about what I'd

00:31:29.800 expect actually.

00:31:31.380 About two

00:31:32.020 thirds of the

00:31:32.560 public believes

00:31:34.340 they know how

00:31:34.960 to make

00:31:35.280 decisions and

00:31:36.740 actually don't.

00:31:38.680 And when I say

00:31:39.280 believes they know

00:31:40.040 how to make

00:31:40.400 decisions, I

00:31:41.420 mean the most

00:31:41.820 basic question of

00:31:43.740 should you

00:31:44.140 consider all of

00:31:45.200 the variables?

00:31:47.060 Probably two

00:31:47.840 thirds of the

00:31:48.560 public would say

00:31:49.160 no, you don't

00:31:49.740 need to know

00:31:51.740 about all the

00:31:52.440 variables.

00:31:53.460 You only need to

00:31:54.340 know about some

00:31:55.000 of them.

00:31:57.360 That's actually

00:31:58.100 pretty common.

00:31:59.140 So the majority

00:31:59.960 of the world

00:32:00.440 believes that

00:32:01.160 they can

00:32:01.720 analyze situations

00:32:03.120 but they don't

00:32:04.160 have the basic

00:32:05.100 skills to do

00:32:05.920 that.

00:32:07.800 And so it's

00:32:08.280 sort of a

00:32:08.780 Dunning-Kruger

00:32:09.780 thing.

00:32:10.620 Now, suppose

00:32:12.920 that, you

00:32:14.420 know, something

00:32:14.860 close to 40%

00:32:16.200 of my followers

00:32:17.180 did know how

00:32:18.920 to make a

00:32:19.360 proper decision.

00:32:21.220 That's pretty

00:32:21.800 high.

00:32:23.180 That's higher

00:32:23.920 than I would

00:32:24.460 have expected.

00:32:25.000 actually.

00:32:25.940 So if you

00:32:27.080 thought that

00:32:27.520 60%

00:32:28.960 plus not

00:32:32.220 knowing you

00:32:32.640 should compare

00:32:33.160 alternatives is

00:32:34.120 high, I would

00:32:35.840 say that the

00:32:36.340 number of people

00:32:36.820 who do know

00:32:37.340 how to do it

00:32:37.780 is actually the

00:32:39.260 more impressive

00:32:40.280 number.

00:32:41.600 Because I harp

00:32:42.540 on that all the

00:32:43.120 time, so I would

00:32:43.740 expect the people

00:32:44.380 who follow me to

00:32:45.080 be more clued

00:32:46.520 in.

00:32:47.200 And if 40% of

00:32:48.340 you are there,

00:32:48.960 that's actually

00:32:49.420 pretty good.

00:32:49.880 Twitter is

00:32:55.700 got some new

00:32:56.380 news.

00:32:57.040 The SEC wants

00:32:58.080 Twitter to

00:32:58.620 explain their

00:32:59.280 bot count.

00:33:00.780 So how do they

00:33:01.540 come up with the

00:33:02.120 number of bots?

00:33:03.160 So that's good for

00:33:03.940 Musk, because now 0.78

00:33:04.800 the SEC is asking

00:33:05.820 the same question

00:33:06.480 he is.

00:33:07.980 Now, how would

00:33:09.100 you judge the

00:33:09.760 credibility of the

00:33:11.100 Twitter whistleblower

00:33:12.240 who is in charge

00:33:14.220 of security, who

00:33:16.660 says that Twitter

00:33:18.200 basically is

00:33:21.100 hiding things and

00:33:22.260 doing a bad job

00:33:23.040 with security, and

00:33:23.980 they might have

00:33:24.700 foreign intelligence

00:33:26.000 in there and all

00:33:27.020 kinds of problems.

00:33:28.300 Now, keep in mind

00:33:29.020 that he's a prior

00:33:30.580 hacker, so his

00:33:32.600 background is he was

00:33:33.440 a hacker, and he

00:33:35.820 was fired for what

00:33:36.820 Twitter says was

00:33:37.540 poor performance

00:33:38.420 prior to being a

00:33:40.380 whistleblower.

00:33:40.880 How much

00:33:41.940 credibility would

00:33:42.980 you give to a

00:33:45.360 prior hacker who

00:33:47.980 was fired for poor

00:33:49.520 performance according

00:33:50.600 to the company?

00:33:51.780 According to the

00:33:52.360 company.

00:33:53.040 What credibility

00:33:53.680 would you give him?

00:33:55.620 Yeah, low, very

00:33:56.920 low.

00:33:58.140 But it doesn't

00:33:59.060 mean he's wrong.

00:34:00.800 It doesn't mean

00:34:01.300 he's wrong.

00:34:02.960 It just means that

00:34:04.100 if you heard of

00:34:05.180 anybody in this

00:34:06.040 category, you

00:34:08.020 should not

00:34:08.580 automatically trust

00:34:09.600 them.

00:34:09.760 So I would say,

00:34:11.680 don't assume he's

00:34:13.280 telling the truth.

00:34:14.560 He might be.

00:34:15.680 He might be.

00:34:16.780 But I wouldn't

00:34:17.380 assume it.

00:34:18.600 There's not really

00:34:19.300 enough there to

00:34:19.840 assume it.

00:34:24.780 Then we'll find

00:34:25.640 out.

00:34:27.920 All right.

00:34:28.540 I'm going to say

00:34:29.160 one of the best

00:34:29.800 magic tricks that

00:34:31.240 the press has

00:34:34.480 ever played.

00:34:35.660 To me, this is the

00:34:36.780 Hall of Fame magic

00:34:37.700 trick.

00:34:39.440 You know, I get

00:34:40.480 how the press can

00:34:41.260 fool people with

00:34:42.240 videos that are

00:34:44.800 edited to make

00:34:46.220 them misleading.

00:34:47.440 So we all

00:34:48.320 understand that,

00:34:49.120 right?

00:34:49.980 I've been fooled by

00:34:51.080 videos that were

00:34:51.920 misleadingly edited.

00:34:54.360 You know, the,

00:34:55.160 what is it, the

00:34:57.440 kids?

00:34:58.460 Who was it?

00:34:58.880 Covington kids?

00:34:59.800 So that one fooled

00:35:00.820 me for about a day.

00:35:03.080 You know, I got over

00:35:04.100 it.

00:35:04.400 But it fooled me

00:35:05.320 for about a day.

00:35:06.280 So it's really easy.

00:35:07.480 It's easy to be fooled

00:35:08.760 by video.

00:35:09.460 You'd agree, right?

00:35:11.740 Now, so if I see

00:35:14.680 that the news has

00:35:15.660 fooled the public

00:35:16.340 about a video, I'm

00:35:18.640 not that impressed

00:35:19.500 because that's sort

00:35:20.300 of an easy thing to

00:35:21.100 pull off.

00:35:22.360 But you know what's

00:35:23.000 really impressive?

00:35:24.860 When you simply make

00:35:26.200 somebody think that

00:35:27.300 something they're

00:35:27.920 seeing or hearing

00:35:28.960 isn't happening.

00:35:30.140 And they did that

00:35:32.880 with the Trump

00:35:34.000 phone call in which

00:35:35.800 he asked, was it

00:35:38.060 the Secretary of

00:35:39.320 State, to find, you

00:35:41.680 know, find X

00:35:42.400 number of votes.

00:35:43.780 In the context of

00:35:45.680 thinking the election

00:35:46.480 was fixed, rigged,

00:35:49.020 and in the context

00:35:49.960 of asking for a

00:35:50.900 recount, the news

00:35:53.980 actually convinced

00:35:54.840 something like 40%

00:35:57.060 of the public or

00:35:57.880 more that the normal

00:35:59.720 word find means to

00:36:02.320 lie and steal and 0.71

00:36:03.540 rig the election.

00:36:06.460 When the most

00:36:07.620 obvious context is

00:36:10.480 that if, you know,

00:36:11.460 at least two-thirds

00:36:12.300 of Republicans

00:36:13.060 believe that the

00:36:14.580 election was rigged.

00:36:17.280 That's not in

00:36:18.100 question, is it?

00:36:19.340 Does anybody

00:36:20.120 question, I'm making

00:36:22.000 up the number, but

00:36:22.940 somewhere in that

00:36:23.900 neighborhood, at

00:36:24.480 least probably two-thirds

00:36:25.620 of Republicans believe

00:36:27.740 the election was

00:36:28.900 rigged?

00:36:29.240 Now, that may have

00:36:30.320 changed since then,

00:36:32.400 but certainly on

00:36:33.300 January 6th, maybe

00:36:35.380 two-thirds thought

00:36:36.260 there was a problem.

00:36:38.760 And certainly at the

00:36:40.240 day of the election,

00:36:41.860 two-thirds thought

00:36:42.480 there was a problem.

00:36:43.760 So why would you

00:36:44.540 assume that Trump

00:36:45.360 would not agree with

00:36:47.960 two-thirds of

00:36:48.600 Republicans that it

00:36:49.640 looks like, it

00:36:51.820 looks like, and

00:36:53.160 smells like,

00:36:54.520 something's wrong?

00:36:55.240 Why would you

00:36:56.580 assume he would

00:36:57.060 think differently

00:36:57.640 when two-thirds of

00:36:59.160 Republicans were

00:36:59.900 thinking, this looks

00:37:01.100 wrong?

00:37:02.500 So if you start out

00:37:03.840 by thinking that

00:37:04.580 Trump disagreed with

00:37:06.480 two-thirds of

00:37:07.220 Republicans who were

00:37:08.020 seeing the same

00:37:08.700 thing he was

00:37:09.220 seeing, that's not

00:37:11.040 reasonable, is it?

00:37:12.380 Is it reasonable to

00:37:13.260 imagine he had a

00:37:14.620 minority opinion?

00:37:16.280 When in fact,

00:37:17.300 everything he said

00:37:18.240 agreed with the

00:37:19.040 majority.

00:37:20.120 That he actually

00:37:21.380 believed the

00:37:22.580 election was rigged.

00:37:23.440 And I believe he

00:37:24.160 still believes it,

00:37:25.040 but he can't know

00:37:25.720 for sure.

00:37:28.040 So the most

00:37:28.820 reasonable explanation

00:37:30.520 of find the votes

00:37:32.220 in the context of

00:37:33.420 believing, you know,

00:37:35.520 massively believing

00:37:36.500 within the Republican

00:37:37.400 Party that the vote

00:37:39.260 was miscounted,

00:37:41.060 asking somebody to

00:37:42.200 find votes in that

00:37:43.500 context, and then

00:37:45.280 imagining that that

00:37:46.420 meant mafia talk,

00:37:48.620 that is the greatest

00:37:51.200 gaslighting I've

00:37:53.360 seen yet.

00:37:54.680 I mean, you really

00:37:55.100 have to work at

00:37:55.640 that.

00:37:56.140 And it turns out

00:37:56.660 that the people

00:37:57.160 who are most

00:37:57.700 easily fooled would

00:37:58.840 be, what type of

00:38:00.940 person or profession

00:38:02.120 would most easily

00:38:04.240 believe that the

00:38:05.740 reasonable explanation

00:38:07.000 of find the votes

00:38:08.020 is mafia talk?

00:38:11.200 What I mean when I

00:38:12.720 say find the votes,

00:38:14.240 you know what I

00:38:14.800 really mean, right?

00:38:16.260 Because mafia talk.

00:38:18.640 I'm just going to

00:38:19.420 say find the votes,

00:38:20.540 but wink, wink,

00:38:21.680 wink, you know 0.87

00:38:22.420 what's going to

00:38:22.780 happen to your

00:38:23.220 legs if you don't

00:38:24.400 find the votes,

00:38:25.140 right?

00:38:26.440 Writers, right.

00:38:28.000 So even this

00:38:28.800 morning, two people

00:38:29.660 with writer in their

00:38:31.300 bio told me the

00:38:33.320 most, clearly the

00:38:35.220 most obvious

00:38:35.920 explanation is that

00:38:37.480 it's mafia talk.

00:38:41.320 Is that the most

00:38:42.400 likely explanation?

00:38:44.020 That it's mafia

00:38:45.200 talk?

00:38:45.620 Is that not

00:38:48.700 signaling that

00:38:49.540 something's wrong

00:38:50.160 with the analytical

00:38:51.020 ability of the

00:38:52.640 person?

00:38:54.600 Now, it could have

00:38:56.160 been mafia talk,

00:38:57.580 but is that the

00:38:58.600 most likely

00:38:59.360 explanation?

00:39:01.360 That feels like

00:39:02.520 the least likely

00:39:03.480 explanation to me,

00:39:04.940 given that so many

00:39:05.800 people were listening.

00:39:08.300 There were witnesses,

00:39:09.840 and he knew it.

00:39:11.060 There were multiple

00:39:11.760 witnesses, including

00:39:12.720 the person he called,

00:39:13.640 and you think he

00:39:14.940 went all mafia talk

00:39:16.020 on them.

00:39:18.280 If you believe that

00:39:19.880 life is like movies,

00:39:21.600 that is actually a

00:39:22.620 reasonable assumption.

00:39:23.940 If you believe that

00:39:24.940 movies are not like

00:39:25.940 life, and if they

00:39:27.860 were, we wouldn't

00:39:28.500 watch them, then you

00:39:30.460 say, no, that's just

00:39:31.480 in movies.

00:39:33.120 People don't really

00:39:34.120 do mafia talk in

00:39:35.660 that context, right?

00:39:37.860 They really don't.

00:39:38.840 So, I heard

00:39:43.760 yesterday that

00:39:45.900 author Morgan

00:39:47.080 Housel, who has a

00:39:49.020 gigantic book, I

00:39:50.660 think he sold two

00:39:51.400 million copies of

00:39:52.340 it, and I don't

00:39:53.300 know if I have the

00:39:53.780 name right, is it

00:39:54.440 The Psychology of

00:39:55.480 Money?

00:39:56.880 Can somebody do a

00:39:58.120 check on that,

00:39:58.760 because I was just

00:39:59.200 operating from memory

00:40:00.500 just before I got on

00:40:01.540 live here?

00:40:03.180 It's Morgan

00:40:03.860 Housel, it's The

00:40:04.540 Psychology of Money,

00:40:05.580 right?

00:40:05.760 Apparently, it's

00:40:08.180 massive.

00:40:08.780 I don't know if you

00:40:09.320 know how big a book

00:40:11.020 is if it sells two

00:40:12.080 million copies.

00:40:14.020 My biggest book was

00:40:15.200 a million and a

00:40:15.800 half, you know, The

00:40:17.900 Dilbera Future.

00:40:20.500 So, that's big.

00:40:22.220 And I heard on an

00:40:23.140 interview that he

00:40:24.160 mentioned the

00:40:26.160 systems over goals as

00:40:29.040 being something that

00:40:30.320 influenced him.

00:40:31.040 So, my book, out of

00:40:33.180 hell, at almost

00:40:34.080 everything, and still

00:40:34.740 win big.

00:40:35.580 So, my book, he

00:40:36.420 mentioned as an

00:40:37.180 influence for some of

00:40:38.980 his thinkings about

00:40:39.860 how to, at least how

00:40:42.500 to explain personal

00:40:44.060 finance.

00:40:45.880 Now, also, Atomic

00:40:46.920 Habits, the biggest

00:40:47.780 business book at the

00:40:49.000 moment.

00:40:50.620 Also, the author says

00:40:52.160 that some of those

00:40:53.860 ideas, the key ideas

00:40:56.040 actually, are from me.

00:40:58.880 So, I was asking you

00:41:00.560 the other day who's

00:41:01.720 the most influential

00:41:02.960 person in the world

00:41:04.360 right now.

00:41:05.120 It's definitely me.

00:41:07.900 It's not even close.

00:41:09.540 But I know you don't

00:41:10.540 believe it.

00:41:12.080 I know you don't

00:41:12.920 believe that.

00:41:13.880 But if you look at

00:41:15.060 where my work has

00:41:16.820 penetrated, it's

00:41:18.780 definitely me.

00:41:19.980 I'm absolutely the

00:41:20.880 most influential person

00:41:22.520 in the world right now.

00:41:23.520 I'm looking at the

00:41:28.780 difference between the

00:41:29.760 comments on YouTube

00:41:30.820 versus locals.

00:41:32.320 It's very different.

00:41:34.720 The locals people are

00:41:36.100 giving me a break.

00:41:37.520 They're letting me say

00:41:38.480 that.

00:41:39.620 And the YouTube people

00:41:41.120 are like, your ego,

00:41:42.720 your ego is out of

00:41:44.380 control.

00:41:45.160 Now, how many of you

00:41:46.040 know me well enough to

00:41:47.680 know what I'm really

00:41:48.380 doing here?

00:41:48.920 Because I think the

00:41:50.700 locals people know me

00:41:51.680 well enough.

00:41:53.080 Do you know what I'm

00:41:53.580 really doing here,

00:41:54.320 YouTube?

00:41:55.840 Let's see if you can

00:41:56.660 explain it back to me.

00:41:59.060 What am I doing?

00:42:00.720 Like, what am I trying

00:42:01.480 to accomplish by this?

00:42:03.000 Is it just my ego?

00:42:06.380 What do you think?

00:42:08.760 No, I'm asking you

00:42:09.580 this as a serious

00:42:10.260 question.

00:42:10.920 What do you think I'm

00:42:11.740 trying to accomplish?

00:42:13.340 Am I just bragging?

00:42:14.220 For no particular

00:42:16.020 benefit?

00:42:18.920 I'm provoking a

00:42:20.180 response.

00:42:20.800 That's right.

00:42:21.900 I'm provoking.

00:42:22.680 Now, why do I do that?

00:42:24.240 Why would I provoke a

00:42:25.500 response when I know

00:42:26.540 the response will be

00:42:27.440 to mock me?

00:42:29.220 Right?

00:42:30.240 The only response I'm

00:42:31.500 going to get is

00:42:31.920 mocked.

00:42:32.900 Do you think I didn't

00:42:33.580 know that?

00:42:35.160 So why am I doing it?

00:42:36.880 Why am I doing

00:42:37.540 something that

00:42:38.100 guarantees I will be

00:42:39.200 mocked probably forever?

00:42:41.600 Like that, because,

00:42:42.380 you know, I said it

00:42:42.940 right here in public.

00:42:45.700 Because the

00:42:46.340 provocation will make

00:42:48.440 you argue about

00:42:49.600 my influence.

00:42:51.860 And in the process

00:42:53.520 of arguing it,

00:42:54.540 you're going to talk

00:42:55.120 yourself into it.

00:42:57.220 So I'm actually

00:42:58.120 provoking you because

00:42:59.360 that's going to make

00:43:00.080 my argument for me.

00:43:01.760 You can go off and

00:43:03.000 have a debate about

00:43:03.980 it.

00:43:06.120 And guess what?

00:43:07.560 If you find yourself

00:43:08.820 debating how influential

00:43:10.040 I am, that actually

00:43:12.400 is your answer.

00:43:14.240 Because you won't be

00:43:15.220 debating how influential

00:43:16.200 anybody else is while

00:43:17.480 you're doing that.

00:43:19.780 So yeah, it creates

00:43:20.820 engagement, but it also

00:43:21.940 benefits my point.

00:43:23.920 Now, I'm actually

00:43:24.680 completely serious.

00:43:26.800 At this point in time,

00:43:28.060 there's nobody even

00:43:28.700 close.

00:43:29.100 I'm the most influential

00:43:30.080 person in America,

00:43:31.420 by far.

00:43:36.160 I'm surprised.

00:43:37.040 I thought there'd be a

00:43:37.720 little bit more pushback

00:43:38.740 on that.

00:43:42.140 Who do you think

00:43:42.940 influences Elon?

00:43:43.820 Somebody said Elon Musk

00:43:49.100 is more influential.

00:43:50.720 Elon Musk literally

00:43:51.780 runs Tesla based on

00:43:53.180 the Dilbert, the

00:43:55.320 Dilbert philosophy of

00:43:56.460 don't do something.

00:43:57.520 And this is out loud.

00:43:59.080 Don't do something that

00:44:00.740 would end up in a

00:44:01.440 Dilbert comic.

00:44:04.660 He runs his company

00:44:05.940 based on my

00:44:06.820 philosophy, basically.

00:44:09.040 Then some of you

00:44:16.700 influenced me.

00:44:17.500 You're right.

00:44:21.260 Putin, anyone?

00:44:24.540 Wow, I really got away

00:44:25.660 with that more than I

00:44:26.800 thought.

00:44:28.680 Do you know how many

00:44:29.580 best-selling books right

00:44:31.280 now are crediting some

00:44:34.480 part of their book to

00:44:35.360 me?

00:44:35.560 These aren't the only

00:44:37.120 ones.

00:44:38.420 Have you ever seen

00:44:39.060 Tim Ferriss' book,

00:44:40.260 Tools for Titans?

00:44:41.960 It's basically, you

00:44:43.060 know, the good advice

00:44:43.940 from successful people.

00:44:46.260 I'm in that as well.

00:44:48.220 Systems versus goals.

00:44:50.040 When anybody in

00:44:51.400 Silicon Valley is

00:44:52.740 asked about career

00:44:53.980 advice, what are the

00:44:56.360 two most likely things

00:44:57.760 they're going to say?

00:44:59.080 If a Silicon Valley

00:45:00.640 professional, somebody

00:45:02.620 important, I see your

00:45:04.240 questions about Tate.

00:45:05.560 But he's irrelevant to

00:45:06.700 me at the moment.

00:45:09.340 What are they likely

00:45:10.300 to say?

00:45:11.060 The most likely things

00:45:12.140 people say is,

00:45:13.840 passion is bullshit.

00:45:15.860 Probably came from me.

00:45:18.640 Systems over goals

00:45:19.780 came from me.

00:45:21.020 And build a talent

00:45:21.860 stack.

00:45:22.980 Directly from me.

00:45:24.800 The basic advice of

00:45:28.180 business is primarily

00:45:29.300 from me now.

00:45:30.120 So that's true.

00:45:36.400 All right.

00:45:45.160 So let me ask you

00:45:46.400 this.

00:45:46.540 I'm seeing somebody

00:45:47.540 say that my

00:45:48.940 prediction that

00:45:49.660 Ukraine would win 0.97

00:45:50.640 the war was wrong.

00:45:53.620 But I think they won

00:45:56.240 the war.

00:45:56.600 as far as I can tell.

00:46:00.220 Now, Russia picked up 0.83

00:46:01.840 territory, but they are

00:46:04.700 forever going to be a

00:46:06.240 pariah.

00:46:07.500 So Russia has a 0.90

00:46:08.700 permanent loss that I

00:46:09.920 don't think they can

00:46:10.500 recover, which is their

00:46:12.140 customers are going to

00:46:12.980 find alternative sources.

00:46:15.160 Ukraine is basically

00:46:16.920 destroyed, but they're

00:46:20.080 still a country.

00:46:20.660 For Ukraine to win, 0.86

00:46:24.460 you know, quote, win,

00:46:25.500 it means staying as a

00:46:26.840 country.

00:46:27.840 And they did.

00:46:29.340 It looks like they will.

00:46:31.160 For Russia to win, I 0.84

00:46:33.080 don't think it was enough

00:46:33.980 for them to get control

00:46:35.040 of those strategic areas.

00:46:37.140 So you can definitely

00:46:38.120 say they got something

00:46:39.940 out of it.

00:46:41.000 And they got something

00:46:41.720 pretty good.

00:46:43.380 But in the long run, I

00:46:45.600 think Russia will be 0.96

00:46:46.480 degraded by this.

00:46:47.880 And I think Ukraine will 1.00

00:46:49.180 still exist.

00:46:49.780 Now, technically,

00:46:51.160 nobody really wins in a

00:46:52.160 war, do they?

00:46:53.460 You know, we say win,

00:46:55.480 but not really.

00:47:00.500 Mike Rowe says,

00:47:01.700 bring your passion to

00:47:02.840 work, which is slightly

00:47:04.000 different from what I

00:47:04.840 say.

00:47:09.120 All right.

00:47:12.420 The U.S. is losing.

00:47:13.720 Yeah, maybe the U.S. is

00:47:14.560 losing.

00:47:15.160 But I didn't see a

00:47:16.600 pushback on that.

00:47:18.320 Would you say that

00:47:19.640 if Ukraine, let's say 0.60

00:47:21.460 if Ukraine stays the 0.93

00:47:23.020 way it looks right

00:47:23.720 now, where they've

00:47:25.060 lost, you know, those

00:47:26.420 strategic regions, but

00:47:27.760 they maintain themselves

00:47:28.880 as a country, would you

00:47:30.180 say they won or they

00:47:31.660 lost?

00:47:33.900 Well, what would you

00:47:34.600 say?

00:47:34.900 If things stayed exactly

00:47:36.120 the way they are,

00:47:37.680 would you say they won

00:47:38.800 or they lost?

00:47:41.540 I'm saying on locals,

00:47:43.900 lost, lost.

00:47:45.900 Interesting.

00:47:48.360 Lost.

00:47:51.920 Lost, lost.

00:47:54.120 All right.

00:47:55.480 So, but we're looking at

00:47:56.740 the same facts, right?

00:47:57.920 We're looking at, I

00:48:00.720 would say that given

00:48:02.140 that Ukraine did not 0.98

00:48:03.560 want to destroy or

00:48:04.820 occupy Russia, what

00:48:07.260 winning would look like

00:48:08.420 for Ukraine is to

00:48:10.360 stay a country.

00:48:11.020 That's how I would

00:48:13.680 define it.

00:48:14.160 Now, they could win

00:48:15.300 more by being more

00:48:17.160 prosperous or losing

00:48:18.360 less territory, but I

00:48:20.500 would say that they

00:48:21.600 did the, well, let me

00:48:25.680 put it this way.

00:48:28.480 True or false that the

00:48:30.600 military professionals

00:48:32.420 were solidly aligned in

00:48:35.580 saying that Russia could 0.56

00:48:36.920 take all of Ukraine.

00:48:37.980 Is that true or false?

00:48:40.120 Do I remember that

00:48:41.060 wrong?

00:48:42.080 Was it true that all of

00:48:43.520 the military experts said

00:48:45.340 Russia can take all of 0.99

00:48:47.240 Ukraine?

00:48:48.360 That's true.

00:48:49.560 Who is the one person

00:48:51.000 that you know who said

00:48:52.360 that they can't, that it

00:48:54.500 won't work?

00:48:55.920 Just me.

00:48:57.740 I believe I'm the only

00:48:58.960 person who said in public,

00:49:00.940 no, I do not believe

00:49:02.020 Russia can take Ukraine. 0.91

00:49:04.300 Now, I don't remember if I

00:49:05.760 said they can or cannot

00:49:07.400 take, you know, any

00:49:09.160 strategic areas, because

00:49:10.780 I don't think that was

00:49:11.740 ever a big question.

00:49:13.560 Of course, they had the

00:49:14.380 power to do that.

00:49:15.620 But the question of

00:49:16.420 taking all of Ukraine, I

00:49:18.060 believe I alone said they

00:49:19.380 couldn't do it.

00:49:23.820 Jimmy Dore also?

00:49:26.580 Give me a fact check on

00:49:27.700 that.

00:49:27.920 Was Jimmy Dore saying it

00:49:28.920 when I said it?

00:49:30.460 Because I'd give him

00:49:31.660 credit if he did.

00:49:33.920 Yeah, and for those of you

00:49:35.260 who say it's not halftime,

00:49:36.380 that's reasonable.

00:49:37.740 But it does look like it's

00:49:38.960 approaching at least a more

00:49:43.320 stable situation.

00:49:45.000 Does it look to you like

00:49:46.120 Russia really could take

00:49:47.440 over the rest of Ukraine at

00:49:48.680 this point?

00:49:49.960 It doesn't really look like

00:49:51.120 it.

00:49:52.160 But anything could happen.

00:49:54.100 All right, so those of you

00:49:55.520 who think I was wrong about

00:49:56.700 that prediction, I would say

00:49:57.900 that I had the best prediction

00:49:59.100 in the world, in the world,

00:50:02.920 on that topic.

00:50:06.500 That's what I think.

00:50:07.320 I think it was the best

00:50:07.940 prediction in the world.

00:50:14.500 I get the one-word answer to

00:50:15.940 that.

00:50:16.340 Wrong.

00:50:17.760 Wrong.

00:50:19.080 Well, do you see why I could

00:50:20.800 say it?

00:50:21.380 Let's say you disagree with me.

00:50:23.860 But do you see why I say it?

00:50:26.120 Do you see the argument?

00:50:27.220 There's nothing wrong with the

00:50:28.040 argument, right?

00:50:28.600 The argument is that the goal

00:50:33.120 was to conquer all of Ukraine.

00:50:36.020 Winning means that they didn't

00:50:37.400 do it.

00:50:39.020 That's it.

00:50:41.040 Yeah, that's my argument.

00:50:43.000 All right.

00:50:46.580 All right.

00:50:49.740 The goal was never that.

00:50:52.380 Well, the goal of Ukraine was 0.92

00:50:56.080 to remain Ukraine and lose as

00:50:58.160 little as possible, and they

00:51:00.180 probably lost as little as

00:51:01.440 possible.

00:51:06.600 All right.

00:51:10.300 There were never goals for

00:51:11.700 Russia.

00:51:12.700 Really?

00:51:14.180 I think, in a way, Russia

00:51:16.040 accomplished its goals as well.

00:51:18.740 Because it did get that, you

00:51:20.440 know, strategic part.

00:51:21.640 That's pretty important.

00:51:22.480 But it also gave a warning to

00:51:26.400 NATO that, you know, don't push

00:51:29.920 too far.

00:51:33.400 Next topic.

00:51:36.240 Is there a next topic?

00:51:38.260 I believe.

00:51:41.220 Eric Weinstein tweeted about the

00:51:44.300 media.

00:51:46.040 Did I see that?

00:51:47.760 I don't know.

00:51:48.120 All right.

00:51:55.440 I don't have any updates on any

00:51:57.960 Andrew Tate stuff.

00:51:59.700 But if YouTube still has his

00:52:01.380 videos up, in which he is saying

00:52:04.640 false things about me, which

00:52:06.440 actually do hurt me.

00:52:08.340 Like, not that he says it,

00:52:10.020 necessarily.

00:52:10.860 But every time there's a lie in

00:52:12.340 the media.

00:52:13.680 Let me ask you.

00:52:14.340 How many of you believe I was

00:52:15.980 pro-vaccination?

00:52:19.140 So we can see how quickly the

00:52:21.380 lies spread.

00:52:23.120 And how many of you, and the

00:52:26.300 people on Locals know I never

00:52:27.960 was, but on YouTube, how many of

00:52:29.960 you are under the impression that I

00:52:31.440 was pro-vaccination?

00:52:36.960 Okay.

00:52:37.620 I guess that's been clarified for

00:52:40.420 the people who actually pay

00:52:41.400 attention.

00:52:42.500 But some of you are saying yes.

00:52:44.340 Those of you who are saying yes,

00:52:45.660 how do you explain all the people

00:52:46.740 saying no?

00:52:48.640 Like, what is your theory for why

00:52:51.220 you think yes, but you can see for

00:52:53.200 yourself, other people who are

00:52:55.120 observing exactly the same stuff,

00:52:57.580 say no.

00:52:58.260 Like, what, in your mind, do you

00:52:59.700 think all the people saying no

00:53:00.820 weren't paying attention?

00:53:03.340 How do you explain that?

00:53:04.460 Well, somebody says I was pro enough to

00:53:17.140 get the vaccination, but does anybody

00:53:19.520 care about what any individual does

00:53:22.100 with their health care?

00:53:22.960 You don't care what I individually do,

00:53:24.580 do you?

00:53:25.860 Why would that, and did I ever indicate

00:53:28.800 that my individual choices should apply

00:53:31.700 to anybody else?

00:53:32.900 Did you ever hear me say,

00:53:34.740 what I do is what you should do

00:53:37.180 for your health?

00:53:39.220 Have you ever heard me say that?

00:53:40.980 Hmm?

00:53:43.160 I don't know.

00:53:45.020 Is the 186 IQ, are you saying that

00:53:47.340 Andrew Tate claims the 186 IQ?

00:53:51.000 Because if he is, that's funny.

00:53:54.060 I think I'll raise mine to 187 if that's

00:53:59.020 the case.

00:54:01.680 Yeah, you know what, the weirdest thing

00:54:03.760 is, you know, how Mark Twain famously

00:54:07.200 said we can't tell the difference between

00:54:08.880 good news and bad news.

00:54:10.340 Let me paint you a picture.

00:54:13.240 During the pandemic, when most people

00:54:15.380 couldn't fly, I could.

00:54:18.360 I could still fly because I got

00:54:24.280 vaccinated, which is the only reason 1.00

00:54:26.140 I did it.

00:54:27.800 So I went to Bora Bora with a, one of

00:54:32.480 the most beautiful women in the world

00:54:33.980 and spent a week in paradise and there

00:54:37.320 were almost no other tourists there.

00:54:41.740 The only thing wrong with going to a 0.89

00:54:43.680 place like Bora Bora is the other

00:54:45.180 people.

00:54:45.500 Like, if you went to the pool, it would

00:54:48.800 be busy.

00:54:49.740 If you tried to get a reservation, it would

00:54:53.080 be busy.

00:54:54.000 So it's really the only problem with

00:54:56.560 going to Bora Bora is too many people.

00:55:00.440 There was almost nobody there.

00:55:03.140 Whole resort.

00:55:04.680 Imagine the main pool at one of the

00:55:07.380 high-end resorts in Bora Bora on a

00:55:09.620 perfectly good weather day.

00:55:11.720 Nobody else was at the pool the entire

00:55:15.020 time.

00:55:16.600 Nobody.

00:55:17.440 At the main pool of a major resort.

00:55:22.080 You could go anywhere and do anything

00:55:24.440 with no lines, no nothing.

00:55:26.440 And the entire staff was there to help

00:55:28.120 you.

00:55:28.420 They weren't too busy.

00:55:29.360 So I had the peak travel experience

00:55:34.560 of my life.

00:55:35.540 And while I was having the peak travel

00:55:40.180 experience of my life, I was in perfect

00:55:44.100 health and still am.

00:55:47.340 I mean, relative to COVID anyway.

00:55:49.400 And so, and so somehow, somehow, while I was

00:55:57.540 having the best experience of my life, travel

00:56:00.500 experience, my critics are telling me that

00:56:05.980 they feel sorry for me for choosing

00:56:07.800 incorrectly.

00:56:09.040 Now, my critics were staying home, probably

00:56:12.280 not having sex with one of the most beautiful

00:56:14.600 women in the world, and they were pretty sure 1.00

00:56:18.560 that I'd made all the wrong choices.

00:56:22.500 Now, what does the right choice look

00:56:24.880 like if the wrong choice was having wild

00:56:30.160 sex with one of the most beautiful people

00:56:32.240 in the world in a low-populated Bora Bora?

00:56:36.540 Because a lot of people think that's what

00:56:39.900 losing looks like.

00:56:44.240 I don't know.

00:56:46.040 Did I choose wrong?

00:56:51.120 Now, if later I get a blood clot and die,

00:56:55.660 well, then you're right.

00:56:57.540 Then I'd say, well, damn it.

00:56:59.700 Got that blood clot.

00:57:00.900 Of course, I'd also say it might be because

00:57:02.620 I had COVID, but you know me.

00:57:05.220 I don't know.

00:57:06.540 So, the whole, the entire, oh, there's

00:57:14.860 a story I want to tell, but I think I can

00:57:16.620 only tell it on locals.

00:57:20.460 I can't tell you how many times people

00:57:22.560 have contacted me because they felt I

00:57:27.420 needed some sympathy.

00:57:29.760 And I would think to myself, sympathy?

00:57:32.520 I just had a day that's better than almost

00:57:34.940 anybody else's day.

00:57:37.540 Like, I sometimes have spectacular days.

00:57:41.320 Like, so good I can't talk about them.

00:57:44.020 And then somebody will still think, oh, you're

00:57:45.900 having a bad day?

00:57:46.620 I'm like, hmm, did it look like that?

00:57:49.660 Because I think I had, like, one of the most

00:57:51.680 best days ever.

00:57:52.820 So, you're talking, okay?

00:57:58.760 That's right.

00:58:02.420 Yeah, and that was another trip.

00:58:06.320 Santa, Santorini.

00:58:11.480 Just sorry I'm misinformed.

00:58:13.060 Holly, what do you think I'm misinformed about?

00:58:24.540 Everybody's paying for sex, Blake.

00:58:26.140 I like it that there are some men who think they

00:58:30.560 don't pay for sex. 0.93

00:58:38.780 All right.

00:58:39.440 I was just looking at your comments for a moment.

00:58:47.300 Who has influenced me?

00:58:49.940 So, just before I got on here, I got a very nice

00:58:53.140 message from someone who read my book, had

00:58:57.020 we failed almost everything and still went back in

00:58:59.300 2016, and implemented the ideas in the book, and has

00:59:04.260 now achieved a major financial goal.

00:59:08.820 Is there anybody watching here who also took any

00:59:12.480 advice from me that they would credit for a major

00:59:15.300 financial success?

00:59:17.520 Let's say since 2016.

00:59:19.560 Is there anybody else who had that experience?

00:59:21.060 On Locals, I'd expect to see more yeses.

00:59:26.040 I'd see a bunch of yeses.

00:59:28.540 On YouTube, now, you wouldn't expect most people to

00:59:35.080 make money.

00:59:38.460 But, wow, on the Locals platform, a lot of people

00:59:42.020 made money following my advice.

00:59:47.680 Seems like transactional relationships are the only

00:59:50.500 ones in your life.

00:59:51.500 That is correct.

00:59:53.300 So, there's a video by Chris Rock, who says the

00:59:59.080 following things.

01:00:00.720 If you're a man, I'm paraphrasing, this is Chris

01:00:03.920 Rock, he says, if you're a man, you have to get used

01:00:06.880 to the fact that there are only three people who have

01:00:09.980 unconditional love, women, children, and dogs.

01:00:15.600 Men are only love for what they can provide.

01:00:20.500 To which I said, that sounds right.

01:00:25.040 Yeah.

01:00:26.160 The only thing that I've ever experienced that felt

01:00:29.200 like love in the long term, I'm not talking about

01:00:32.460 dating or short-term infatuations or sex or something.

01:00:36.560 So, in the short term, it could be anything.

01:00:38.740 You know, people are just acting on fun or whatever.

01:00:41.460 But in the long term, I've never been valued for anything

01:00:44.640 but the resources that I could provide.

01:00:47.800 But I'm also completely aware of it.

01:00:51.880 And those of you who think that's not the case for you,

01:00:56.900 I'm not going to change your mind.

01:01:04.100 Now, that might be true for some women as well. 0.94

01:01:06.900 Might be true for women. 0.99

01:01:07.820 Is it sad or is it just reality?

01:01:13.760 Yeah.

01:01:14.520 So, look at some of the other men's comments.

01:01:17.840 Some of the men are, you know,

01:01:19.320 jumping in to defend their wives, I think.

01:01:22.640 But there are other men who are saying,

01:01:24.220 yeah, it's kind of true.

01:01:26.320 That's kind of true.

01:01:30.920 But you don't hear me complaining about it, do you?

01:01:34.160 I'm describing it.

01:01:35.280 I'm describing it.

01:01:38.460 But it's not a complaint.

01:01:41.100 Because it's just the world I was born into,

01:01:43.500 and those are the rules,

01:01:44.880 and then I just play by the rules.

01:01:47.600 So, I mean, it's not like I can change it.

01:01:51.140 If I could change it, well,

01:01:52.820 that'd be a different conversation.

01:01:54.260 But it just is,

01:01:55.100 that's just the current situation.

01:01:59.240 Stephanie says,

01:02:00.120 I'm a woman, and it is not true.

01:02:01.740 I will acknowledge that some portion of you

01:02:08.920 believe it's not true.

01:02:15.060 Somebody says,

01:02:16.140 you're beautiful,

01:02:16.940 but you never wish to go to Bora Bora.

01:02:18.580 Some people think that Andrew Tate

01:02:26.160 actually met my ex-wife,

01:02:28.500 because he tells a story about doing it.

01:02:30.500 No, Andrew Tate never met her.

01:02:32.840 But if he had,

01:02:34.500 the dates that he's talking about

01:02:36.040 are long after we'd been done.

01:02:38.740 So, even if what he said was true,

01:02:42.060 and it's definitely not true,

01:02:43.580 but if it had been true,

01:02:44.620 it wouldn't be relevant to me,

01:02:46.100 because whatever she did after we separated

01:02:48.900 was not my business.

01:02:53.520 Yeah.

01:02:55.340 Yeah, he claimed that he did.

01:02:58.440 But if there's one thing I could tell you for sure,

01:03:01.740 if that had ever happened,

01:03:03.620 she definitely would have told me.

01:03:05.020 Let me clear up something completely.

01:03:10.880 There isn't the slightest chance

01:03:12.680 that she wouldn't have told me that

01:03:15.020 in some conversation.

01:03:17.980 There isn't the slightest chance

01:03:19.620 she wouldn't have told me that.

01:03:21.400 Not even a little bit.

01:03:24.000 So when she says that didn't happen,

01:03:26.300 and she said it in publicly as well as to me,

01:03:28.980 you can count on that.

01:03:31.200 That did not happen.

01:03:35.020 I guarantee it.

01:03:39.400 No, I'm not the...

01:03:40.880 I never claimed to be the father.

01:03:44.720 Now, the...

01:03:46.580 Trust me.

01:03:48.580 It was 2020 when I asked for a divorce.

01:03:52.720 So what you're talking about

01:03:53.880 is all 2021, 22, 22 stuff.

01:03:56.940 So anything that happened after 2020,

01:03:59.540 that wasn't my business.

01:04:01.620 I didn't care.

01:04:02.060 I didn't care.

01:04:05.020 Humor counts as much as money.

01:04:11.980 Yeah, in the beginning.

01:04:15.220 If you don't have any money,

01:04:16.900 then the humor doesn't count as much anymore.

01:04:21.040 I like it that many of you

01:04:22.840 still have a romantic sense of the world,

01:04:26.260 and I wouldn't talk you out of it.

01:04:27.320 You let him control you

01:04:30.560 by overacting to his videos.

01:04:33.880 Did I?

01:04:35.860 Do you think he had any reaction to my reactions?

01:04:40.380 So you're leaving out part of the analysis,

01:04:43.960 as you often do.

01:04:46.060 So the analysis is not just what I was doing,

01:04:48.740 it's what he was doing.

01:04:49.580 Don't you think that his entire reaction

01:04:53.280 was an overaction to me?

01:04:56.040 Do you know why he went after me in the first place?

01:04:59.360 Does anybody know why Andrew Tate went after me?

01:05:03.900 Because he's a fan,

01:05:05.760 and I spurned him.

01:05:08.280 He was a big fan of mine.

01:05:09.280 In fact, here's the funniest part.

01:05:12.280 He mocks me for being pro-mask,

01:05:15.220 but when asked what people should have done,

01:05:18.380 he describes my recommendation.

01:05:25.040 So he's mocking me

01:05:26.420 while promoting my exact recommendation,

01:05:28.660 which I'm pretty sure he took from me,

01:05:30.200 because nobody else had it.

01:05:31.660 And the recommendation was to

01:05:33.360 resist by not wearing masks

01:05:36.260 until you're asked,

01:05:37.840 because you're not mad at the security guard,

01:05:40.320 you're just trying to overload the system.

01:05:42.660 And so he explained that that was his idea.

01:05:45.260 That actually came from me.

01:05:48.260 Tate tried to recruit me into his group

01:05:51.120 for about two years through a surrogate,

01:05:53.960 and it was so ridiculous

01:05:55.860 that I eventually said something in public.

01:05:59.440 And because I said something in public

01:06:01.240 to slap him down

01:06:02.300 when he was a fan of mine,

01:06:05.580 I think he's like a spurned lover now.

01:06:08.700 So he acts like an angry lover

01:06:11.480 the way he treats me,

01:06:13.220 because I basically rejected his advances.

01:06:17.260 So if you didn't know that part of the story,

01:06:20.220 then you don't know why he's acting

01:06:21.640 so personally worked up about me.

01:06:24.820 And when I strike back,

01:06:28.080 I'm not really striking back,

01:06:29.540 I just think it's funny

01:06:30.300 that he got so cancelled.

01:06:32.240 And by the way,

01:06:35.060 if it were anybody except a personal enemy,

01:06:38.220 I'd probably be defending him.

01:06:41.620 Because I don't agree with cancelling people

01:06:44.520 for what he said.

01:06:47.980 Can you handle that incongruity?

01:06:50.960 I'm delighted that he got cancelled

01:06:54.760 because I think he's a horrible person,

01:06:56.960 and I dislike him personally.

01:06:59.140 He's bad for the world.

01:07:01.120 But the reasons he got cancelled

01:07:04.220 were completely illegitimate,

01:07:06.420 in my opinion.

01:07:08.380 Does anybody disagree?

01:07:09.880 I believe the reasons he got cancelled

01:07:11.820 were 100% illegitimate.

01:07:13.680 Any disagreement?

01:07:20.760 Because the things he said

01:07:22.420 were just opinions.

01:07:27.100 And his opinions were not far from the mainstream.

01:07:34.900 Now, somebody's saying beating a woman,

01:07:37.520 but that's what you believe happened.

01:07:40.380 That's what you believe happened.

01:07:43.680 I saw a video in which it's unclear.

01:07:46.520 It's unclear whether it was consensual or not.

01:07:50.520 So if it's unclear,

01:07:52.480 I give him the benefit of a doubt.

01:07:55.620 Because video can be very misleading.

01:07:58.340 How many times have you seen video

01:07:59.880 tell the wrong story?

01:08:03.140 Often.

01:08:04.480 So if you think that he's guilty

01:08:06.280 because you saw a video,

01:08:07.660 that's not credible.

01:08:10.920 It could be.

01:08:11.720 It could be exactly what you think it is.

01:08:14.420 Abusing a woman. 0.98

01:08:15.320 In which case,

01:08:16.520 I would revise my opinion.

01:08:18.900 But if that's the only thing you have,

01:08:20.360 is that video,

01:08:21.020 it doesn't look like it's necessarily

01:08:22.900 non-consensual.

01:08:24.660 It doesn't look like it to me.

01:08:27.080 But,

01:08:28.120 and then the other things he said about,

01:08:30.980 you know,

01:08:31.240 the role of men versus women.

01:08:33.540 That's an opinion,

01:08:34.520 and he's not far from the mainstream.

01:08:36.400 The reason he had,

01:08:37.520 what,

01:08:38.180 four million followers,

01:08:39.520 is that he was,

01:08:41.400 he was hitting a note

01:08:42.800 with some number of people.

01:08:47.300 Oh,

01:08:47.780 somebody says she came out

01:08:48.860 and said it was play.

01:08:50.140 Well,

01:08:50.660 then somebody's going to say,

01:08:52.120 but,

01:08:52.420 you know,

01:08:52.680 she was threatened

01:08:53.440 or bribed to say that,

01:08:54.840 right?

01:08:55.800 So nothing that we see

01:08:57.080 in the news is credible.

01:08:58.740 But,

01:08:59.840 if the woman is now complaining, 1.00

01:09:01.360 and the video is unclear,

01:09:04.600 I would say that's not something

01:09:06.720 you could hold against him

01:09:07.900 based on what you know.

01:09:10.060 You'd have to be guessing

01:09:11.400 to hold that against him.

01:09:17.180 Yeah,

01:09:17.740 so the thing I hate about

01:09:18.620 is him making up stuff

01:09:20.740 to,

01:09:22.400 what's the word,

01:09:24.300 defame me in public?

01:09:26.140 So anybody who makes up stuff

01:09:27.760 to defame me,

01:09:28.580 I would like to see,

01:09:29.680 you know,

01:09:30.020 die a horrible death. 0.77

01:09:31.360 Is that wrong?

01:09:35.740 If somebody makes up something

01:09:37.120 to defame you in public,

01:09:39.720 and you wouldn't mind

01:09:40.780 seeing them die,

01:09:41.780 die a horrible death?

01:09:44.760 I mean,

01:09:45.340 I wouldn't do it.

01:09:46.700 I'm not saying

01:09:47.320 that you should do it,

01:09:48.220 or anybody should do

01:09:49.000 anything violent.

01:09:49.720 I'm against violence.

01:09:51.080 I'm just saying that,

01:09:52.040 like,

01:09:52.400 if an accident happened,

01:09:54.460 and something bad

01:09:55.280 happened to him,

01:09:55.920 I'd be like,

01:09:56.300 oh,

01:09:56.900 okay.

01:09:58.140 I'm pretty happy about that.

01:10:00.180 I mean,

01:10:00.480 I was happy

01:10:00.940 when he got cancelled,

01:10:01.880 and I don't think

01:10:02.480 the cancellation was right.

01:10:04.160 I think the cancellation

01:10:05.200 was completely wrong,

01:10:07.300 but

01:10:08.240 still made me happy.

01:10:14.540 Karma does his thing

01:10:15.700 sometimes.

01:10:18.320 Probably got you

01:10:19.220 more notoriety,

01:10:20.320 and I don't think so.

01:10:21.240 Peter Zayn and population

01:10:25.560 collapse.

01:10:26.200 We've talked about

01:10:26.740 population collapse.

01:10:30.160 Rumors about Tate

01:10:31.880 and Jordan Peterson's

01:10:33.000 daughter,

01:10:33.660 which she denied,

01:10:34.620 right?

01:10:35.840 I believe Jordan Peterson's

01:10:37.460 daughter got pulled

01:10:38.220 into some rumor

01:10:39.040 about Tate.

01:10:40.560 I think they met,

01:10:42.180 but

01:10:42.480 I think she denied it.

01:10:46.500 I think I would

01:10:48.020 believe her.

01:10:48.840 Now,

01:10:50.200 by the way,

01:10:51.460 you don't have to

01:10:52.180 wonder if Tate's

01:10:53.140 a liar, 0.89

01:10:55.120 because,

01:10:56.420 well,

01:10:56.900 to the extent

01:10:57.520 that you believe me,

01:10:58.220 I suppose.

01:10:58.900 But I know he's a liar.

01:11:01.040 I don't have to wonder.

01:11:02.300 Some of you,

01:11:02.820 I suppose,

01:11:03.280 still have to wonder,

01:11:04.360 but I have the luxury

01:11:05.440 of knowing for sure

01:11:06.520 that he's lying,

01:11:07.500 so I have a different

01:11:08.820 opinion of him.

01:11:09.440 why would you go

01:11:19.180 visit him in Romania?

01:11:21.380 Isn't that weird?

01:11:24.480 What would inspire you

01:11:26.160 to go do that?

01:11:30.180 I don't know.

01:11:32.620 48-hour rule just

01:11:33.960 kicked in for everything

01:11:34.760 I'm saying.

01:11:35.340 Well,

01:11:35.480 that's always true.

01:11:41.540 Did I talk about this?

01:11:43.420 Yeah,

01:11:43.900 I did.

01:11:45.000 Did I mention

01:11:45.860 that Trump retweeted my,

01:11:47.680 not retweeted,

01:11:48.640 but truthed

01:11:49.440 my

01:11:50.600 top 10

01:11:52.580 hoax

01:11:53.300 quiz?

01:11:55.060 Did I mention that?

01:11:56.660 That Trump

01:11:57.300 boosted my

01:12:00.420 hoax quiz?

01:12:02.400 So that happened.

01:12:03.840 So yesterday,

01:12:05.420 let me describe

01:12:06.620 like an actual

01:12:07.960 moment for me.

01:12:10.080 So yesterday,

01:12:10.780 I'm sitting in my kitchen

01:12:11.720 and I've got my laptop

01:12:14.100 out and it's

01:12:15.040 the end of the day

01:12:16.060 and I've done

01:12:17.060 everything I need to do,

01:12:18.160 so I don't,

01:12:18.780 you know,

01:12:19.020 I'm just looking at

01:12:20.040 Twitter or something.

01:12:21.400 And I've got a bag

01:12:22.400 of potato chips open,

01:12:23.900 which I don't

01:12:24.920 normally do.

01:12:26.400 All right,

01:12:26.720 normally I have a

01:12:27.480 pretty controlled diet,

01:12:29.300 but salt and pepper

01:12:32.900 potato chips

01:12:33.640 with ruffles?

01:12:34.520 I can't,

01:12:35.120 I can't,

01:12:35.940 I can't resist.

01:12:38.100 So I'm eating

01:12:38.600 some potato chips.

01:12:40.220 I'm all alone,

01:12:41.840 you know,

01:12:42.280 with my dog,

01:12:44.180 minding my own

01:12:45.100 business.

01:12:46.720 And,

01:12:47.120 you know,

01:12:47.280 I get a text

01:12:48.660 that Trump

01:12:50.420 just boosted

01:12:52.140 my hoax quiz.

01:12:54.480 So once again,

01:12:55.680 I'm just,

01:12:56.660 my actual

01:12:57.500 physical world

01:12:58.420 is so small.

01:12:59.800 It's just me

01:13:00.580 sitting there

01:13:01.300 eating some

01:13:01.680 potato chips.

01:13:02.780 The next thing I know,

01:13:03.580 I'm, you know,

01:13:04.000 part of a national story.

01:13:06.360 And the number of times

01:13:07.260 that that happens

01:13:07.840 is just so weird,

01:13:08.720 you'd never really

01:13:09.360 get used to it.

01:13:15.280 Thank you,

01:13:15.900 Bill,

01:13:16.160 for saying that.

01:13:20.020 Yeah,

01:13:20.400 I guess it's always

01:13:21.020 when I'm minding

01:13:21.620 my own business,

01:13:22.340 you're right,

01:13:23.120 by definition.

01:13:25.480 What made you think

01:13:26.540 your marriage would last?

01:13:27.620 I didn't think that.

01:13:29.720 I've never thought

01:13:30.540 a marriage would last.

01:13:31.640 I don't think

01:13:32.100 your marriage

01:13:32.560 will last either.

01:13:34.620 I just bet against it

01:13:36.140 based on

01:13:37.160 statistics.

01:13:40.440 Yeah,

01:13:40.680 I think the worst

01:13:41.860 assumption you can make

01:13:43.100 is that marriages

01:13:44.440 usually fail,

01:13:45.560 but yours won't.

01:13:47.580 I never made that.

01:13:49.060 I made the assumption

01:13:49.840 that marriages 0.99

01:13:50.420 usually fail,

01:13:51.420 so mine probably will.

01:13:52.300 so I wasn't surprised.

01:13:58.260 Why get married?

01:14:00.220 Because you want

01:14:00.980 to get married.

01:14:02.960 There are benefits

01:14:04.140 of marriage,

01:14:04.800 especially if kids

01:14:06.160 are involved.

01:14:07.080 If kids are involved,

01:14:08.080 it just makes things

01:14:08.740 easier.

01:14:09.500 It's sort of awkward

01:14:10.440 to have a long-term

01:14:12.020 relationship

01:14:12.580 and not be married.

01:14:14.320 After a certain age,

01:14:16.080 it's just,

01:14:16.980 it's a problem.

01:14:19.080 It's just easier

01:14:20.160 to be married

01:14:20.820 after a certain

01:14:21.980 number of years

01:14:22.720 you've been together.

01:14:23.840 Now,

01:14:24.120 we were together

01:14:24.540 for five years

01:14:25.380 and it worked great.

01:14:29.420 And if you ask me

01:14:30.400 what changed,

01:14:31.340 I don't know.

01:14:32.740 And probably

01:14:33.360 we'll never know.

01:14:34.460 But something changed.

01:14:36.300 I mean,

01:14:36.560 something major

01:14:37.300 changed

01:14:37.940 at one point,

01:14:40.820 but I don't know

01:14:41.900 exactly what it was.

01:14:42.720 because people change?

01:14:51.840 I don't know.

01:14:52.300 Maybe.

01:14:56.720 Will I add

01:14:57.560 the 15th hoax

01:14:58.660 to find votes?

01:14:59.460 That's already on there.

01:15:03.320 Woody Allen

01:15:03.940 never married

01:15:04.620 Mia Farrow

01:15:05.940 and that worked well.

01:15:09.320 Oh,

01:15:09.760 I wanted to give you

01:15:10.640 I can't do that.

01:15:14.440 Never mind.

01:15:21.720 If they all failed,

01:15:23.080 the link is you.

01:15:24.580 Well,

01:15:24.960 that's true.

01:15:30.200 Here's what I think.

01:15:31.920 I think that

01:15:32.800 all original attraction

01:15:35.360 is irrational

01:15:37.160 and then once you're together

01:15:39.280 long enough,

01:15:39.820 once the glow wears off,

01:15:42.820 the romance part,

01:15:44.060 what you're left with

01:15:45.420 is utility.

01:15:48.160 And so if there's no utility

01:15:49.480 after the magic wears off,

01:15:51.500 because it always wears off,

01:15:53.300 then you get divorced.

01:15:55.280 And by utility,

01:15:56.140 I mean

01:15:56.520 does one of you

01:15:58.540 provide,

01:16:00.100 let's say,

01:16:01.220 resources?

01:16:03.020 Do you protect

01:16:04.420 each other?

01:16:05.500 Do you provide

01:16:06.440 enough sex

01:16:07.240 that you're both

01:16:07.920 happy about it

01:16:08.860 and it's good?

01:16:10.140 If you're not doing

01:16:11.000 those things,

01:16:12.520 then of course

01:16:13.480 the marriage falls apart.

01:16:14.780 But marriage is just utility 0.98

01:16:16.000 after the initial period.

01:16:19.180 It's just utility.

01:16:20.980 And if you're not,

01:16:22.140 if both of you

01:16:23.060 are not feeling

01:16:23.600 the other feel safe,

01:16:24.860 then there's no point to it.

01:16:27.100 If your spouse

01:16:27.980 doesn't make you feel safer,

01:16:29.920 if they make you feel

01:16:31.020 less safe,

01:16:32.520 there's no point to it at all.

01:16:34.380 So that's pretty much

01:16:38.400 the reason to get divorced

01:16:40.760 is that you don't feel safe.

01:16:43.740 The reason to get married

01:16:44.740 is that you think

01:16:45.440 you're in love

01:16:46.400 and you'll feel safer

01:16:47.280 and happier.

01:16:50.120 How long did you get

01:16:51.320 no sex before you decided

01:16:52.700 it was over?

01:16:54.080 Not at all.

01:16:57.260 In fact,

01:16:59.320 even the separation

01:17:00.780 was a good time.

01:17:01.660 It wasn't about

01:17:05.040 physical compatibility.

01:17:06.740 That actually never changed.

01:17:19.360 I was saved to kids

01:17:20.600 in one household.

01:17:23.020 Okay,

01:17:23.700 so let me offer you

01:17:24.860 an apology

01:17:25.580 and explanation.

01:17:27.660 So I got the website

01:17:29.360 hoaxquiz.com

01:17:30.720 and then I asked

01:17:31.320 some people on Locals

01:17:32.680 if they'd want to help

01:17:35.220 put the quiz

01:17:36.940 on the website.

01:17:38.300 A number of people said,

01:17:39.540 hey, I would

01:17:40.140 under these conditions

01:17:41.200 or what do you need,

01:17:42.040 et cetera.

01:17:43.000 The problem is

01:17:43.980 that when you offer

01:17:45.540 by any kind

01:17:46.540 of messaging system,

01:17:48.340 I don't really have

01:17:49.760 the resources

01:17:50.400 to look through

01:17:51.220 all your offers

01:17:51.920 and follow up on them.

01:17:54.260 So that's on me

01:17:55.820 because I asked you

01:17:57.440 for something

01:17:57.920 that can't work,

01:17:58.780 which is

01:17:59.880 I don't have

01:18:00.380 the resources

01:18:00.900 to follow up

01:18:01.680 on the request.

01:18:02.880 So I apologize

01:18:03.540 for that.

01:18:05.220 But if anybody

01:18:06.020 wanted to self-start

01:18:07.800 and then build something,

01:18:10.500 I have the URL.

01:18:12.440 So if you want

01:18:12.860 to do something

01:18:13.400 on your own,

01:18:14.180 I don't have

01:18:14.620 the resources

01:18:15.080 to help.

01:18:16.600 But if you build

01:18:17.520 something

01:18:17.880 and I like it,

01:18:20.260 I'd be happy

01:18:20.980 to let you

01:18:21.640 use the URL

01:18:22.560 and promote it.

01:18:25.200 I just can't

01:18:26.080 get into it.

01:18:26.860 It's the same problem

01:18:27.840 with I said

01:18:28.700 I'd make a coffee mug

01:18:29.840 for this,

01:18:30.860 for coffee with Scott Adams.

01:18:32.040 And I want to do that

01:18:33.100 and a bunch of people

01:18:34.380 offer designs and stuff.

01:18:36.040 I just don't have

01:18:36.800 the resources

01:18:37.340 to go through

01:18:37.960 all of my thousands

01:18:38.880 of messages

01:18:39.500 and find out

01:18:40.940 who offered what

01:18:41.800 and then organize

01:18:43.100 a project around it.

01:18:45.440 So,

01:18:47.040 and I don't really

01:18:47.980 have the resources

01:18:48.580 to manage somebody

01:18:49.540 who wants to do it either.

01:18:50.640 Somebody says

01:18:53.200 put Eric in charge

01:18:54.300 of it,

01:18:55.660 but get an assistant

01:18:57.740 and then marry her.

01:19:00.200 That's the best idea yet.

01:19:03.100 Website is underway,

01:19:04.120 somebody says.

01:19:04.740 All right.

01:19:05.500 So it looks like

01:19:06.120 somebody has self-started

01:19:07.620 here already.

01:19:17.880 Why not have a contest

01:19:19.280 and have people

01:19:20.220 submit actual mugs?

01:19:22.160 Well,

01:19:22.580 that again

01:19:22.980 would be a project

01:19:23.800 I'd have to manage.

01:19:25.720 So I'm having

01:19:26.360 a little bit

01:19:26.760 of a resource constraint.

01:19:28.660 But,

01:19:29.080 that is all for today.

01:19:36.260 Just looking at

01:19:37.120 your following questions.

01:19:40.400 Somehow they got

01:19:41.060 interesting here.

01:19:46.720 Self-imposed constraints.

01:19:48.220 Yeah,

01:19:48.780 I suppose so.

01:19:53.340 All right.

01:19:54.960 That's all for now.

01:19:55.940 And I will talk to you

01:19:57.100 later.

01:19:58.100 good.

01:20:08.660 Good stuff.

01:20:09.200 Good stuff.

01:20:16.780 Good stuff.

01:20:18.820 Good stuff.

01:20:18.960 Good stuff.

01:20:19.080 Good stuff.

01:20:19.220 Good stuff.

01:20:20.740 Good stuff.

01:20:22.020 Good stuff.

01:20:23.820 Good stuff.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 25, 2022

Episode 1846 Scott Adams： DeSantis Gaffe, The FBI Is Running America, And Twitter Gets Interesting

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