Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1850 Scott Adams： More Obvious Lies From The FBI And DOJ. All The Gaslighting Going On Now

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00:01:35.480 All right.

00:01:36.820 To me, the most interesting story that just continues is that Bill Maher interview with Rob Reiner.

00:01:43.340 And I had to watch it again because it's really interesting to watch it live.

00:01:48.580 When you read about it and you just see the quotes, it really doesn't capture the enormity of the moment.

00:01:56.980 And the enormity of the moment is that it captured everything that's wrong with all of the political conversation.

00:02:04.020 Because there was somebody who was a big, you know, Rob Reiner, a prominent Democrat voice,

00:02:10.000 specifically an anti-Trump voice.

00:02:14.560 And there was a major news story, you know, the suppression of the Honda laptop,

00:02:20.320 that he was completely unaware of.

00:02:24.680 I mean, that's a big, big story.

00:02:27.860 To be completely unaware of that means you don't really understand anything that's going on.

00:02:33.420 Because if you don't know that your own government would not only suppress that, but admit it,

00:02:40.340 and the news would say, yeah, we did that, that probably shouldn't have done that, but we did that.

00:02:44.780 They just admit it.

00:02:46.700 And he questioned whether that is a known fact.

00:02:51.580 And Bill Maher had to tell him, it's not only a known fact, they've confessed.

00:02:57.700 They confessed.

00:02:58.780 The people who did it say they did it.

00:03:02.420 And Rob Reiner didn't know.

00:03:06.720 So, I give Bill Maher an A-plus for asking the question.

00:03:12.440 But he still fell just short of the real question.

00:03:19.280 So, the way he asked it, Bill Maher, was, you know, if Trump is so dangerous,

00:03:24.900 is it true that anything would be justified to keep him out of office?

00:03:29.340 Now, the anything would be justified covers, you know, the whole range.

00:03:34.140 Anything.

00:03:35.940 But here's the question you really want to ask, isn't it?

00:03:40.720 If you're a Democrat, and you think Trump is this dangerous,

00:03:45.040 and you had the ability to rig an election to keep him out of office,

00:03:49.320 would you do it?

00:03:51.720 And should you do it?

00:03:52.880 See, that's the question.

00:03:56.920 Because here's the thing that pisses me off.

00:04:00.320 I personally have no information that would suggest the election was rigged in a major way that I can confirm.

00:04:07.800 So, let me say that right off the bat.

00:04:11.460 No court has said that the 2020 election was illegitimate,

00:04:15.560 and I'm not personally aware of any information that would change that assumption.

00:04:20.060 However, however, when people tell me that it's unreasonable to imagine the election would be rigged,

00:04:30.840 I can't, I can't sit still for that.

00:04:34.140 Okay, I'm okay when you say the evidence has not been shown in any conclusive way.

00:04:42.580 Okay.

00:04:43.980 Okay.

00:04:44.580 But when you go further from that and say,

00:04:47.600 oh, that's a ridiculous thing to imagine that an election could be rigged,

00:04:51.460 under these conditions?

00:04:53.680 Under these conditions, it would be ridiculous to imagine it wasn't.

00:04:59.460 Am I wrong?

00:05:01.500 The baseline assumption is that under these conditions,

00:05:06.340 these very unique conditions,

00:05:08.340 that people literally think that Hiller was going to be re-elected,

00:05:11.920 under those conditions,

00:05:14.120 you need to prove you didn't rig the election.

00:05:19.720 Am I wrong?

00:05:21.300 If all of the reasons suggest you should,

00:05:25.660 and you're probably able,

00:05:27.540 I don't know that for sure,

00:05:28.680 but one imagines that if you worked at it,

00:05:31.400 you could find some way to rig an election.

00:05:33.560 You might have to get more people in on it to cover it up.

00:05:36.520 But one imagines it's possible.

00:05:39.160 Right?

00:05:39.300 I haven't heard anybody argue that rigging an election can't be done

00:05:44.200 under any situation.

00:05:46.320 I've only heard somebody say they believe it wasn't done.

00:05:50.800 But nobody said it can't be done under all scenarios.

00:05:55.780 There's just no way to do it.

00:05:56.940 Nobody said that.

00:05:59.000 And so isn't the most reasonable assumption

00:06:01.280 that in this specific situation where the people running the elections

00:06:05.740 believed they could save the world

00:06:08.380 by rigging the election,

00:06:11.440 the assumption has to be that they did.

00:06:15.040 The assumption has to be that they did.

00:06:18.020 Because the opposite assumption is actually nonsensical.

00:06:22.300 It would be like,

00:06:23.840 I know how much you like analogies,

00:06:26.100 because they're so persuasive.

00:06:28.960 I'm not even going to bother.

00:06:30.060 I'm just saying that if you start with the assumption

00:06:32.920 that Trump is what you think he is,

00:06:35.220 it would be ridiculous to imagine

00:06:38.180 that the election was not rigged

00:06:40.580 to prevent him from office.

00:06:42.360 That would be a ridiculous assumption.

00:06:44.900 Now, if somebody couldn't figure out how to do it,

00:06:48.480 or they were afraid of getting caught,

00:06:50.180 well, that would hold them back.

00:06:51.860 But it's ridiculous to imagine

00:06:54.480 that under this specific set of assumptions

00:06:57.280 that Trump is so dangerous,

00:06:59.520 it's ridiculous to assume

00:07:01.420 that they didn't at least look into it.

00:07:03.900 Am I right?

00:07:05.360 Do you think nobody looked into it?

00:07:07.840 Do you think there was no Democrat

00:07:09.240 involved in any election process

00:07:11.980 who didn't say to themselves,

00:07:13.420 you know, hypothetically,

00:07:16.260 I'm not saying I'll do it,

00:07:18.860 but if we're just doing

00:07:22.420 a sort of a mental exercise here,

00:07:26.920 you know, could do it this way, maybe.

00:07:32.160 Well, let's talk about the FBI brand.

00:07:34.840 Talk about timing.

00:07:37.200 Have you noticed that timing

00:07:38.540 is the most important thing all the time?

00:07:42.560 Like, if the energy is just right

00:07:44.640 for the thing that happens,

00:07:47.080 then it takes off.

00:07:48.860 But look at this timing.

00:07:50.620 So you remember the NXIVM

00:07:52.540 alleged sex cult situation?

00:07:55.600 There was a subgroup of NXIVM

00:07:57.900 that was an alleged sex cult.

00:08:00.840 And their leader went to jail,

00:08:02.600 and FBI were involved

00:08:04.380 in putting that case together.

00:08:06.440 And now there's an ex-FBI agent.

00:08:08.760 This is not the newest of news,

00:08:10.960 but it's worth resurfacing.

00:08:14.360 So this ex-FBI agent

00:08:15.900 looked at the evidence

00:08:16.860 that convicted the head of this group,

00:08:20.420 Keith Raniere,

00:08:22.540 and decided that one of the photographs

00:08:25.620 on the laptop,

00:08:28.180 Raniere's laptop,

00:08:29.740 that it was the date had been altered.

00:08:32.820 And that the date had been altered

00:08:35.340 to make it seem as if the picture

00:08:37.240 had been taken

00:08:37.940 at a time that would prove

00:08:40.180 that Keith Raniere

00:08:41.640 was having sex 0.81

00:08:43.940 with an underage girl.

00:08:46.140 17, I think.

00:08:47.380 15, whatever it was.

00:08:50.580 Now,

00:08:52.160 separate from the question

00:08:53.500 of whether any of those things happened

00:08:55.420 is the question

00:08:56.720 of whether any evidence

00:08:57.800 was rigged

00:08:58.600 or faked.

00:09:01.440 So there's an ex-FBI agent

00:09:03.460 who looked at it and said,

00:09:04.520 oh yeah,

00:09:04.800 this is definitely faked.

00:09:06.240 Because he just looks at the file.

00:09:08.420 Looks at the file name,

00:09:09.680 and apparently there's some way

00:09:10.600 to know when it got changed

00:09:11.860 or the date got changed.

00:09:13.920 Now,

00:09:14.640 here's the question.

00:09:17.100 It's an ex-FBI agent

00:09:18.920 who's accusing

00:09:19.820 current FBI agents,

00:09:21.940 I believe,

00:09:22.500 or at least law enforcement.

00:09:25.900 So there's only

00:09:26.720 one of two possibilities.

00:09:28.820 Either law enforcement lied

00:09:30.480 or an ex-FBI agent

00:09:33.020 is incompetent or lied. 0.86

00:09:35.520 Neither of those things

00:09:36.680 is good for law enforcement.

00:09:39.600 Because either the current bunch

00:09:42.260 are lying or incompetent, 0.90

00:09:44.420 or this ex-FBI agent

00:09:46.740 who wasn't ex that long ago

00:09:48.400 is also incompetent or lying. 0.83

00:09:50.880 But whichever way

00:09:52.820 you look at it,

00:09:53.880 there's somebody involved

00:09:54.900 with law enforcement

00:09:55.780 who definitely

00:09:57.080 is incompetent or lying. 0.88

00:10:00.000 That's the one thing

00:10:00.960 you can say

00:10:01.340 about the NXIVM case.

00:10:02.680 No matter what

00:10:03.540 Keith Raniere did

00:10:04.480 or didn't do,

00:10:06.080 the one thing

00:10:06.640 we can know for sure

00:10:07.660 is that people

00:10:09.120 recently associated

00:10:10.340 with the FBI

00:10:11.040 and law enforcement

00:10:11.860 are definitely

00:10:13.000 incompetent or lying.

00:10:14.260 We just don't know

00:10:14.960 which ones.

00:10:16.340 We don't know

00:10:16.780 which ones.

00:10:17.440 That's it.

00:10:17.920 But we don't have

00:10:19.420 to wonder

00:10:20.000 about the quality

00:10:21.460 of the people

00:10:22.980 in the organization.

00:10:24.280 That part's been answered.

00:10:29.220 Let me do something

00:10:30.840 that maybe is a little

00:10:32.460 counter to what's

00:10:33.900 been going on.

00:10:35.380 I keep hearing people say,

00:10:36.920 oh, we're only talking

00:10:37.880 about the leadership

00:10:38.720 of the FBI

00:10:39.580 and the Department of Justice.

00:10:41.280 We're not trying

00:10:42.060 to impugn the integrity

00:10:43.280 of the rank-and-file people

00:10:44.800 who are just patriots

00:10:46.320 and doing their job

00:10:47.240 as best they can.

00:10:50.260 I'm not going

00:10:50.980 to get on that train.

00:10:52.880 Nope.

00:10:53.740 Nope.

00:10:54.320 If you work

00:10:55.000 for an organization

00:10:55.920 where the top

00:10:57.260 of the organization

00:10:57.920 is corrupt,

00:10:59.900 you've got something

00:11:00.860 to do about that.

00:11:02.480 Leave the organization

00:11:03.560 or be a whistleblower

00:11:04.980 or work on fixing it,

00:11:06.600 but you don't get a pass.

00:11:08.620 You don't get a pass.

00:11:10.220 I'm certainly willing

00:11:11.260 to say that the rank-and-file

00:11:12.520 committed no crimes.

00:11:14.800 Are we all okay with that?

00:11:17.180 Most of the rank-and-file

00:11:18.660 committed no crimes,

00:11:20.420 but you're not off the hook.

00:11:23.300 You're not off the hook.

00:11:24.700 If I belong

00:11:25.540 to an organization

00:11:26.260 that's doing horrible things

00:11:27.700 and I continue

00:11:28.620 to be part

00:11:29.960 of the organization,

00:11:31.120 I'm not innocent.

00:11:32.900 I'm not innocent.

00:11:34.440 If I willingly

00:11:35.580 am supporting that group

00:11:37.400 that's doing terrible things,

00:11:39.380 I think the rank-and-file

00:11:41.140 need to do something

00:11:43.040 on their own.

00:11:43.640 Maybe police their own,

00:11:45.740 do whatever it takes.

00:11:47.460 But I think they're

00:11:48.760 in an unfortunate situation.

00:11:50.640 Through no fault

00:11:51.540 of their own,

00:11:52.580 their brand

00:11:53.200 is being tarnished.

00:11:54.780 But it's still

00:11:56.300 their responsibility.

00:11:58.420 Even though they're

00:12:00.200 under the lower-ranked people,

00:12:03.340 it's still their responsibility.

00:12:04.580 So Biden has referred to

00:12:10.960 the ultra-mega people

00:12:12.880 as semi-fascist.

00:12:14.960 And so I looked up

00:12:16.320 the definition of fascist

00:12:18.140 to figure out

00:12:18.780 what semi-fascist would be.

00:12:21.900 And fascist would be

00:12:23.380 the government controls industry.

00:12:27.060 Basically, right?

00:12:28.400 That's when the government

00:12:29.380 is in control

00:12:30.040 of the private businesses,

00:12:31.140 so they're not exactly private

00:12:32.820 because the government

00:12:33.980 controls them.

00:12:35.520 And that the government

00:12:36.580 suppresses freedoms,

00:12:38.320 et cetera.

00:12:39.680 So what would be

00:12:40.420 semi-fascist?

00:12:42.840 Well, full fascist

00:12:44.180 is completely

00:12:44.980 controlling industry.

00:12:47.220 Semi-fascist would be

00:12:48.740 partially controlling industry.

00:12:51.700 Right?

00:12:52.800 That's just what

00:12:53.440 semi means.

00:12:55.260 You know,

00:12:55.520 you're not completely

00:12:56.640 controlling industry.

00:12:57.600 You're semi-controlling them.

00:13:00.500 What political group

00:13:02.080 would be most associated

00:13:04.240 with semi-trying

00:13:05.640 to control industry?

00:13:09.260 Would it be the ones

00:13:10.460 who want to remove regulations

00:13:12.220 or the people

00:13:13.760 who want to put on regulations? 0.88

00:13:15.940 Well, I would say

00:13:16.460 the people putting on regulations

00:13:18.140 are trying to control them.

00:13:20.620 Democrats.

00:13:21.760 Would it be the people

00:13:22.580 who are increasing the taxes

00:13:24.180 on these businesses

00:13:25.220 or the ones who are

00:13:26.440 decreasing the taxes?

00:13:28.740 Well, I'd say

00:13:29.240 the ones controlling them

00:13:30.740 are the ones

00:13:31.600 increasing the taxes.

00:13:34.260 The ones not controlling them

00:13:35.860 are the ones saying,

00:13:36.700 you don't need to give us

00:13:37.400 any taxes.

00:13:38.540 Do what you want.

00:13:45.120 How about

00:13:46.560 if you were trying

00:13:47.400 to make industry

00:13:48.700 comply with ESG?

00:13:51.460 The idea that industry

00:13:53.560 should pollute less

00:13:55.260 and be better

00:13:57.500 for the environment

00:13:58.160 and have more

00:13:59.140 diverse

00:13:59.920 governorship.

00:14:05.080 They should be governed

00:14:06.280 by more diverse boards,

00:14:07.700 et cetera.

00:14:08.860 Where does that come from?

00:14:10.220 Is that coming from

00:14:11.080 Republicans?

00:14:12.440 Or is it coming from

00:14:14.100 left-leaning people?

00:14:16.300 It's left-leaning people.

00:14:17.360 So if you were to look

00:14:20.100 at fascist means

00:14:21.200 completely controlling

00:14:22.460 the industry,

00:14:24.700 semi-fascist would be

00:14:26.360 partly controlling

00:14:27.940 the industry,

00:14:28.740 there's no question

00:14:29.780 that's the Democrats.

00:14:32.280 Is it?

00:14:34.420 I mean, to me,

00:14:35.440 it looks exactly like

00:14:36.520 they're trying to

00:14:37.020 control industry.

00:14:40.020 But that's not all.

00:14:42.100 So being a fascist

00:14:43.040 would also be trying

00:14:43.980 to control free speech.

00:14:48.360 Which group is more

00:14:50.780 associated with

00:14:51.720 not eliminating

00:14:53.100 free speech

00:14:53.860 but really reducing it?

00:14:56.080 You know,

00:14:56.260 semi-fascist.

00:14:57.620 Full fascist

00:14:58.900 would be no free speech.

00:15:01.260 Semi-fascist would be,

00:15:02.940 well,

00:15:03.820 you're not going to

00:15:04.820 go to jail necessarily,

00:15:07.060 but we might take away

00:15:08.380 your social media access

00:15:09.820 so you can't be heard.

00:15:11.940 Semi-fascist.

00:15:15.340 Am I wrong?

00:15:17.360 That half-fascist

00:15:20.040 describes the Democrats

00:15:22.260 fairly accurately?

00:15:24.820 Right?

00:15:25.960 Now,

00:15:26.620 and I'm not trying

00:15:27.340 to make a Republican

00:15:28.460 versus Democrat,

00:15:29.780 you know,

00:15:30.160 partisan point.

00:15:32.140 I'm just saying,

00:15:33.500 what do words mean?

00:15:36.200 It's just what words mean,

00:15:37.380 right?

00:15:37.580 And it's amazing

00:15:40.700 that fascist

00:15:41.420 has turned into

00:15:42.220 like such a non-word

00:15:43.580 that you can use it

00:15:44.360 in any context.

00:15:45.940 It's like the insult

00:15:46.860 that you can use

00:15:47.380 at any time.

00:15:49.360 What do you mean

00:15:50.340 you're out of coffee?

00:15:52.900 You fascist?

00:15:54.300 I mean,

00:15:54.460 you just throw it

00:15:54.960 in anywhere.

00:15:57.300 All right.

00:15:57.560 Mike Cernovich

00:16:02.300 continues to be

00:16:04.180 provocative.

00:16:07.020 I don't know

00:16:07.920 if he knows

00:16:08.420 how to not be provocative,

00:16:10.140 but he tweeted

00:16:11.680 that he wouldn't

00:16:12.920 be interested

00:16:13.460 in mountain climbing

00:16:15.780 because it would be

00:16:16.940 too easy

00:16:17.480 for the deep state

00:16:18.280 to make him disappear.

00:16:19.240 And people said,

00:16:22.220 what?

00:16:23.280 What?

00:16:24.940 He actually thinks

00:16:26.020 the deep state

00:16:26.820 might try to murder him

00:16:28.840 if he,

00:16:30.820 you know,

00:16:31.140 had some kind

00:16:32.200 of a hobby

00:16:32.640 that would make it

00:16:33.560 easy to murder him.

00:16:35.560 Now,

00:16:36.460 he went further

00:16:40.920 on another tweet

00:16:41.780 because people

00:16:42.780 questioned that,

00:16:43.460 of course.

00:16:44.060 And he said,

00:16:45.140 quote,

00:16:45.500 to kill me

00:16:46.320 or frame me

00:16:47.080 for a crime,

00:16:48.460 the deep state

00:16:49.120 only has to be

00:16:50.040 lucky once.

00:16:51.520 I have to be

00:16:52.200 lucky every day.

00:16:54.040 The pressure

00:16:54.600 would break

00:16:55.520 most people.

00:16:56.520 I don't wish it

00:16:57.240 on anyone.

00:16:58.400 For me,

00:16:59.080 it's good.

00:17:00.420 Keeps me away

00:17:01.200 from sinful behavior

00:17:02.200 and requires vigilance.

00:17:04.040 How we should

00:17:04.720 all live.

00:17:08.160 Now,

00:17:08.840 what do you think?

00:17:10.320 Is that hyperbole?

00:17:11.560 Do you think

00:17:13.360 that Mike Cernovich

00:17:14.440 specifically,

00:17:16.800 not talking generally,

00:17:18.100 just specifically?

00:17:20.380 Do you think

00:17:20.780 that Mike Cernovich

00:17:21.460 has a risk

00:17:22.340 of being murdered

00:17:23.800 or taken out,

00:17:25.220 let's say,

00:17:25.820 by scandal

00:17:26.520 or some kind

00:17:27.380 of allegation

00:17:28.080 or legal process?

00:17:30.140 Do you think

00:17:30.560 the deep state

00:17:31.160 is trying to take

00:17:31.860 Mike Cernovich out?

00:17:35.500 There was a time

00:17:36.520 that I would have

00:17:37.340 scoffed at this.

00:17:39.800 There was a time

00:17:40.840 I would have said,

00:17:41.620 nobody's trying

00:17:42.620 to take you out.

00:17:43.860 But now I would say

00:17:45.620 this is a reasonable

00:17:46.540 take.

00:17:50.140 I think that

00:17:51.360 it seems obvious

00:17:53.980 that influential voices

00:17:56.640 who are more associated

00:17:59.260 with the right,

00:17:59.980 I'm not sure

00:18:00.420 if he would even

00:18:01.100 identify that way,

00:18:03.760 but people that,

00:18:04.620 other people

00:18:05.100 associated with the right

00:18:06.400 are all being targeted,

00:18:08.820 are they not?

00:18:09.320 So he's definitely

00:18:11.260 being targeted.

00:18:12.800 You don't think

00:18:13.480 that if the left

00:18:15.360 had a way

00:18:15.840 to put Cernovich

00:18:16.820 in jail,

00:18:17.920 you don't think

00:18:18.480 that they'd chase that?

00:18:20.820 Of course they would.

00:18:22.200 Because every time

00:18:22.860 you take a voice

00:18:23.580 off the,

00:18:24.760 you know,

00:18:25.020 you take a piece

00:18:25.620 off the chessboard,

00:18:27.040 you get a little advantage.

00:18:28.580 And it looks like

00:18:29.400 they'd do just about anything

00:18:30.500 for advantage.

00:18:35.960 All right,

00:18:36.540 so what about me?

00:18:37.580 Do you think

00:18:39.380 I have been

00:18:40.640 or will be a target

00:18:41.600 to be taken out

00:18:43.460 by the media

00:18:44.140 or deep state?

00:18:50.960 Here's the difference

00:18:52.040 between Cernovich

00:18:54.320 and me

00:18:55.160 on this topic.

00:18:56.920 I also believe

00:18:58.500 that

00:18:59.200 I'm on the target list.

00:19:02.500 So there's no doubt

00:19:04.160 that people

00:19:04.840 who are prominent

00:19:05.860 in the Democratic Party

00:19:07.100 have wondered

00:19:08.220 how to take me out.

00:19:09.740 Would you say

00:19:10.220 that's fair?

00:19:11.920 There are probably

00:19:12.680 people who have,

00:19:13.580 you know,

00:19:13.860 worked on the question

00:19:15.040 of how to take me out.

00:19:17.220 I think that's fair.

00:19:18.660 You're definitely

00:19:19.340 going to see

00:19:19.780 some kind of

00:19:20.360 major hit piece

00:19:21.340 in a big publication

00:19:22.720 between now

00:19:23.900 and December

00:19:24.440 or between now

00:19:25.880 and elections.

00:19:27.240 Probably before

00:19:28.020 the presidential elections

00:19:29.100 because I don't have

00:19:29.780 that much influence

00:19:30.460 on the congressional stuff.

00:19:31.800 now here's the thing.

00:19:39.700 I'm not worried

00:19:40.760 about them

00:19:41.220 taking me out.

00:19:43.240 Do you know

00:19:43.820 why I'm not worried?

00:19:47.000 Do you know

00:19:47.600 why I'm not worried

00:19:48.280 about the deep states

00:19:49.100 taking me out?

00:19:51.920 Because it's already

00:19:52.780 factored in.

00:19:54.180 I think it's going

00:19:55.180 to happen.

00:19:55.600 I don't know how.

00:19:57.780 I mean,

00:19:58.060 I would guess

00:19:58.880 against murder.

00:20:00.840 I doubt I'll be killed.

00:20:03.020 But maybe.

00:20:03.840 Who knows?

00:20:06.080 But I think

00:20:07.700 my fate

00:20:08.300 is to go down hard.

00:20:10.960 I suspect

00:20:11.880 that, you know,

00:20:14.020 my story

00:20:14.980 ends in flames.

00:20:17.620 I've always assumed

00:20:18.700 I would probably

00:20:19.180 be assassinated.

00:20:21.440 But

00:20:21.640 that's factored in.

00:20:25.860 So my actions

00:20:27.120 are not going

00:20:27.620 to be changed

00:20:28.140 by that

00:20:28.500 because I don't

00:20:28.840 think I can change it.

00:20:30.420 I think I end poorly

00:20:31.860 one way or the other.

00:20:34.060 I just don't know when.

00:20:36.080 But

00:20:36.260 it does feel like,

00:20:38.680 you know,

00:20:39.560 it does feel like

00:20:40.340 I'm not going to go to

00:20:41.320 I'm not going to

00:20:44.180 make it all the way.

00:20:45.660 So I do think

00:20:46.720 that it's a dangerous

00:20:47.720 kind of thing

00:20:48.300 that Cernovich does.

00:20:50.600 And a dangerous

00:20:51.420 thing that I do.

00:20:53.020 But

00:20:53.420 he's got kids

00:20:54.440 and, you know,

00:20:55.340 he needs to stay alive.

00:20:57.420 And

00:20:57.800 I'm a little more

00:20:58.820 I think I'm a little

00:21:01.180 more willing to go.

00:21:03.100 I wouldn't mind

00:21:03.820 going for a good reason.

00:21:06.720 I suppose

00:21:07.520 if I got murdered

00:21:08.240 but it made my

00:21:09.260 messages

00:21:09.840 take on

00:21:12.400 a bigger life,

00:21:13.500 that might be good.

00:21:14.880 Never know.

00:21:16.160 Anyway,

00:21:16.560 I don't want to go

00:21:17.060 fully dark,

00:21:17.860 but we do live

00:21:18.740 in a world

00:21:19.140 where

00:21:19.480 a prominent voice

00:21:21.000 worried about

00:21:21.600 getting taken out,

00:21:22.800 you have to think

00:21:23.600 that's real.

00:21:25.160 I think that's real.

00:21:26.980 Now,

00:21:27.460 I don't know

00:21:27.780 what my odds are,

00:21:29.120 but I've just

00:21:29.700 factored that

00:21:30.280 into my decision.

00:21:34.120 Speaking of

00:21:35.100 that sort of thing,

00:21:36.540 Lindsey Graham

00:21:37.360 has said

00:21:38.380 in a video,

00:21:39.480 he's on video

00:21:40.300 saying that

00:21:41.120 there'd be riots

00:21:42.000 in the street

00:21:42.500 if Trump is prosecuted.

00:21:44.740 This is being

00:21:45.720 interpreted by the left

00:21:47.280 as an effort

00:21:49.440 to encourage

00:21:50.360 political violence.

00:21:51.460 everything is

00:21:54.500 upside down

00:21:55.100 and backwards.

00:21:56.460 Yes is no,

00:21:57.760 black is white, 0.97

00:21:59.420 wet is dry.

00:22:01.440 There's nothing

00:22:02.220 you can say

00:22:03.000 that someone

00:22:04.020 won't look at it

00:22:05.300 and say,

00:22:05.740 well,

00:22:05.980 I conclude

00:22:06.460 the opposite.

00:22:09.320 It seems to me

00:22:10.640 that Lindsey Graham

00:22:11.880 is trying to

00:22:12.520 decrease violence

00:22:14.060 by warning

00:22:15.220 that

00:22:15.640 prosecuting him.

00:22:18.300 Now,

00:22:18.460 keep in mind

00:22:19.120 that Lindsey Graham

00:22:21.280 is working

00:22:21.920 from current

00:22:22.660 information.

00:22:24.460 Our current

00:22:25.180 information

00:22:25.720 is that

00:22:26.400 there's no crime

00:22:27.340 to prosecute

00:22:29.100 Trump.

00:22:30.100 So under

00:22:30.680 the current

00:22:31.200 situation

00:22:31.760 that there's

00:22:32.260 no crime,

00:22:33.760 if Trump

00:22:34.720 gets prosecuted,

00:22:35.700 yeah,

00:22:36.000 there would be

00:22:36.520 a pretty big

00:22:37.440 public reaction.

00:22:39.600 So don't you

00:22:40.200 think it's a good

00:22:40.800 idea to not

00:22:41.620 prosecute an

00:22:42.360 ex-president

00:22:42.980 unless there's

00:22:43.880 an actual crime

00:22:44.640 in evidence?

00:22:46.160 So he's talking

00:22:47.360 kind of hypothetically,

00:22:48.380 so to imagine

00:22:49.760 that this is

00:22:50.620 promoting

00:22:51.820 violence,

00:22:53.420 do you think

00:22:55.020 that nobody

00:22:55.520 would have

00:22:55.900 thought of

00:22:56.420 rioting in

00:22:57.000 the streets

00:22:57.440 unless Lindsey 0.98

00:22:58.380 Graham had

00:22:58.920 mentioned it?

00:23:01.340 Do you think

00:23:02.120 the militias

00:23:03.340 are all there,

00:23:04.280 ooh,

00:23:04.740 we weren't

00:23:05.400 going to

00:23:05.660 activate,

00:23:06.260 but Lindsey 0.99

00:23:07.440 Graham said

00:23:08.360 something on

00:23:08.860 that video

00:23:09.320 once,

00:23:10.380 so we

00:23:11.320 better do it?

00:23:12.380 I don't think

00:23:13.020 it works that

00:23:13.560 way.

00:23:14.280 I feel like

00:23:14.920 Lindsey Graham

00:23:15.460 is simply

00:23:15.900 describing the

00:23:16.780 situation.

00:23:17.260 If you

00:23:18.460 imagine he's

00:23:19.100 causing the

00:23:19.760 situation,

00:23:20.800 you're not

00:23:22.020 really

00:23:22.600 understanding

00:23:24.460 the nature

00:23:24.980 of anything.

00:23:26.880 Lindsey Graham

00:23:27.540 can't cause

00:23:28.340 this.

00:23:29.340 He's just

00:23:30.120 describing it.

00:23:33.280 What do you

00:23:34.080 think?

00:23:34.640 What do you

00:23:35.180 think about

00:23:35.540 the truth

00:23:36.960 of it?

00:23:37.840 If Trump

00:23:38.780 gets,

00:23:39.900 let's say,

00:23:41.520 prosecuted,

00:23:42.640 do you think

00:23:43.720 there will be

00:23:44.100 riots in the

00:23:44.720 streets?

00:23:45.040 Yes or

00:23:47.120 no?

00:23:48.340 Riots in

00:23:48.900 the street,

00:23:49.340 if he gets

00:23:49.720 prosecuted,

00:23:50.580 yes or

00:23:50.920 no?

00:23:53.700 Oh,

00:23:54.160 this is

00:23:54.440 interesting.

00:23:55.440 It's mostly

00:23:55.960 no's.

00:23:58.040 Mostly

00:23:58.440 no's.

00:23:59.540 There are

00:23:59.980 some yes's,

00:24:01.660 but way more

00:24:02.320 no's.

00:24:03.580 Now,

00:24:03.760 why do you

00:24:04.080 say that?

00:24:06.320 See,

00:24:06.780 it's a trick

00:24:07.180 question.

00:24:07.940 It's actually

00:24:08.420 a terrible

00:24:08.820 question.

00:24:09.380 It's a very

00:24:09.780 unfair question.

00:24:11.240 Because you're

00:24:11.840 all forced to

00:24:12.800 make an

00:24:13.120 assumption.

00:24:13.440 If you

00:24:15.080 assumed that

00:24:15.680 he was

00:24:15.940 prosecuted for

00:24:16.720 an actual

00:24:17.240 real crime,

00:24:19.220 well,

00:24:19.520 there would

00:24:19.740 be,

00:24:20.080 I don't

00:24:20.300 think there

00:24:20.620 would be

00:24:20.840 riots.

00:24:22.240 Let me

00:24:22.860 say the

00:24:23.200 question better.

00:24:24.440 If you

00:24:25.040 believed he

00:24:25.660 was being

00:24:26.060 prosecuted for

00:24:26.880 an actual

00:24:27.460 crime,

00:24:29.020 a crime you

00:24:29.680 could actually

00:24:30.140 observe yourself

00:24:31.000 and say,

00:24:31.440 oh,

00:24:31.620 shit,

00:24:31.980 that's a

00:24:32.300 crime.

00:24:34.160 Do you

00:24:34.660 think there

00:24:34.940 would be

00:24:35.100 riots if

00:24:35.740 it was an

00:24:36.140 actual crime

00:24:36.880 that got

00:24:37.220 proven?

00:24:38.620 I think

00:24:39.220 there would

00:24:39.420 be protests,

00:24:40.240 but not a

00:24:40.680 big deal.

00:24:42.300 Not a

00:24:42.800 big deal.

00:24:43.100 If the

00:24:43.780 case is

00:24:44.240 made,

00:24:45.880 Republicans

00:24:47.100 are rule

00:24:47.940 followers.

00:24:49.560 Republicans

00:24:50.120 are not

00:24:50.540 going to

00:24:50.760 abandon

00:24:51.060 everything

00:24:51.780 that they

00:24:52.200 believe most

00:24:53.220 basically,

00:24:54.480 the rule

00:24:54.940 of law.

00:24:55.920 I don't

00:24:56.380 think

00:24:56.600 Republicans

00:24:57.080 are going

00:24:57.460 to abandon

00:24:57.820 the rule

00:24:58.340 of law

00:24:58.820 for one

00:25:00.180 candidate,

00:25:00.880 if they

00:25:01.280 believe the

00:25:01.720 law has

00:25:02.020 been broken.

00:25:02.980 Now,

00:25:03.300 the gray

00:25:05.500 area is if

00:25:07.200 Republicans

00:25:07.700 don't believe

00:25:08.600 he broke

00:25:09.020 any laws,

00:25:09.900 and he's

00:25:10.520 getting prosecuted

00:25:11.280 anyway.

00:25:11.620 In that

00:25:12.580 case,

00:25:13.780 if you

00:25:15.700 believed he

00:25:16.360 was unfairly

00:25:17.460 prosecuted,

00:25:18.700 riots or

00:25:19.220 no riots,

00:25:20.480 riots or

00:25:21.240 no riots,

00:25:21.900 if you

00:25:22.580 believed he

00:25:23.120 was unfairly

00:25:24.360 prosecuted,

00:25:26.140 riots or

00:25:26.580 no riots,

00:25:28.400 really?

00:25:29.620 People are

00:25:30.060 still saying

00:25:31.320 no riots.

00:25:33.460 Unfairly

00:25:34.160 prosecuted,

00:25:34.840 no riots.

00:25:35.480 Maybe.

00:25:39.380 Wow.

00:25:40.940 You know,

00:25:41.620 I think I'm

00:25:42.400 going to be

00:25:42.840 influenced by

00:25:43.540 your answers.

00:25:45.460 And now,

00:25:46.020 is the

00:25:46.700 reason just

00:25:47.280 because Republicans

00:25:48.100 don't riot?

00:25:49.740 Is that why?

00:25:51.840 Yeah,

00:25:52.360 somebody says

00:25:52.820 that directly.

00:25:53.800 Republicans

00:25:54.260 don't riot.

00:25:55.540 Huh.

00:25:57.060 Yeah,

00:25:57.520 you might be

00:25:57.900 right.

00:25:58.760 I'm not going

00:25:59.400 to disagree

00:25:59.820 with you.

00:26:00.180 I was curious

00:26:01.640 what you would

00:26:02.100 say.

00:26:02.300 Have you

00:26:10.740 ever been

00:26:11.440 frustrated

00:26:12.000 by the

00:26:13.840 fact that

00:26:14.380 the news

00:26:15.000 is almost

00:26:15.540 entirely about

00:26:16.380 stuff we

00:26:16.880 don't know?

00:26:19.120 And the

00:26:20.020 press won't

00:26:20.620 even ask the

00:26:21.280 right questions?

00:26:22.820 At one point,

00:26:23.860 I thought that

00:26:24.660 the way I

00:26:25.200 would,

00:26:26.640 let's say,

00:26:27.300 position myself

00:26:28.240 in the public,

00:26:30.500 at least in

00:26:31.180 terms of

00:26:31.480 talking about

00:26:31.880 politics,

00:26:32.300 was to be

00:26:33.260 the person

00:26:33.680 who helped

00:26:34.220 the press

00:26:34.680 ask the

00:26:35.280 right questions.

00:26:37.000 Because I'm

00:26:37.560 always frustrated

00:26:38.240 when the press

00:26:38.880 doesn't ask

00:26:39.400 the right

00:26:39.700 questions,

00:26:40.280 the one I

00:26:40.680 would ask.

00:26:42.120 And so I

00:26:42.540 thought,

00:26:42.820 wouldn't it

00:26:43.080 be useful

00:26:43.600 if there

00:26:44.060 was some

00:26:44.320 kind of

00:26:44.740 public

00:26:46.180 process

00:26:48.260 or some

00:26:49.080 kind of

00:26:49.320 website

00:26:49.720 where the

00:26:51.400 news media

00:26:52.080 could see

00:26:52.500 what the

00:26:52.800 public

00:26:53.080 wants them

00:26:53.680 to ask?

00:26:55.080 So you

00:26:55.480 could go

00:26:55.780 there and

00:26:56.060 say,

00:26:56.240 oh boy,

00:26:56.800 the public

00:26:57.180 really,

00:26:57.720 really wants

00:26:58.060 me to ask

00:26:58.440 this question.

00:26:59.140 It's the

00:26:59.440 one voted

00:26:59.920 to the top.

00:27:00.940 So I'm

00:27:01.280 definitely

00:27:01.540 going to ask

00:27:01.920 that one

00:27:02.220 first.

00:27:03.300 Wouldn't

00:27:03.520 that be

00:27:03.780 helpful?

00:27:05.360 And think

00:27:07.560 about the

00:27:07.900 things that

00:27:08.300 we don't

00:27:08.760 know about.

00:27:09.960 The public

00:27:10.580 doesn't really

00:27:11.180 know what we

00:27:11.700 spend money

00:27:12.240 on or why

00:27:13.800 because it's

00:27:14.580 too complicated

00:27:15.300 and the news

00:27:16.600 won't even bother

00:27:17.240 trying to explain

00:27:18.020 it because it's

00:27:18.500 too complicated.

00:27:19.520 So the biggest

00:27:20.200 thing that the

00:27:20.740 country does is

00:27:21.420 spend money.

00:27:23.080 All of our

00:27:23.720 priorities,

00:27:24.440 our policies,

00:27:25.760 all of our

00:27:26.280 everything is

00:27:28.120 represented by

00:27:29.940 spending money

00:27:30.700 on it.

00:27:31.500 So the

00:27:32.000 most important

00:27:32.640 thing the

00:27:32.980 country does,

00:27:34.300 the public

00:27:34.740 is completely

00:27:35.540 blind.

00:27:37.100 We really

00:27:37.900 don't know

00:27:38.440 what is

00:27:38.840 happening money

00:27:39.740 wise.

00:27:40.140 Nobody's

00:27:40.500 watching the

00:27:40.960 budget.

00:27:42.920 We don't

00:27:43.640 know what

00:27:43.940 any of these

00:27:44.360 investigations will

00:27:45.360 turn up.

00:27:46.380 So we don't

00:27:46.880 know what

00:27:47.620 Durham is

00:27:49.140 going to find

00:27:49.720 yet.

00:27:50.960 We had to

00:27:51.740 wait forever

00:27:52.320 for Mueller

00:27:53.140 and then we

00:27:53.860 couldn't agree

00:27:54.340 what the

00:27:55.200 document said.

00:27:57.140 now we're

00:27:58.480 waiting for

00:27:58.960 this Mar-a-Lago

00:28:00.240 stuff and

00:28:01.480 we're waiting

00:28:01.940 for something

00:28:03.640 about Trump's

00:28:04.680 taxes.

00:28:06.360 We're always

00:28:07.180 waiting for an

00:28:08.080 investigation to

00:28:09.240 conclude.

00:28:11.360 You can't make

00:28:12.200 any decisions

00:28:12.840 when you're

00:28:13.300 waiting for

00:28:13.860 stuff to be

00:28:14.800 known.

00:28:15.940 We don't know

00:28:16.720 what's in the

00:28:17.120 Mar-a-Lago

00:28:17.620 boxes.

00:28:18.880 We don't know

00:28:19.500 what the Iran

00:28:20.060 deal looks like.

00:28:21.180 We don't know

00:28:21.720 what was in

00:28:22.140 Hillary's emails.

00:28:23.140 We don't know

00:28:23.540 if the UFOs are

00:28:24.500 real or what the

00:28:25.180 government knows

00:28:25.820 about it and

00:28:27.120 we don't know

00:28:27.540 how we're

00:28:27.840 going to ever

00:28:28.160 pay off all

00:28:28.720 our debt,

00:28:30.060 national debt.

00:28:36.080 Yeah.

00:28:37.480 So it's

00:28:40.060 really frustrating

00:28:41.640 how many things

00:28:42.180 we don't know.

00:28:43.060 Now speaking

00:28:43.440 of the Iran

00:28:43.980 deal, Israel

00:28:47.040 basically says

00:28:47.920 they're not

00:28:48.260 going to sign

00:28:48.720 on to any

00:28:49.300 kind of a

00:28:49.740 deal that

00:28:50.860 would give

00:28:51.160 Iran a path 1.00

00:28:52.080 to a nuclear

00:28:53.820 device.

00:28:54.740 now Israel's 0.90

00:28:56.680 complaint is

00:28:58.800 that if Iran 0.89

00:28:59.980 gets a nuke

00:29:01.360 it will cause

00:29:02.460 the other

00:29:02.940 nations in the

00:29:03.860 area to need

00:29:04.720 nukes of their

00:29:05.400 own.

00:29:06.340 So then Saudi 0.91

00:29:06.980 Arabia is going 1.00

00:29:07.760 to say well

00:29:08.300 if you got

00:29:08.880 nukes we

00:29:09.380 better have

00:29:09.800 some nukes

00:29:10.360 and then

00:29:11.320 everybody's got

00:29:11.900 nukes and

00:29:12.440 it's more

00:29:12.760 dangerous.

00:29:14.360 What do you

00:29:14.760 think of that

00:29:15.140 argument?

00:29:16.180 That if Iran 0.99

00:29:16.840 gets nukes

00:29:17.620 the neighboring

00:29:19.480 countries that

00:29:20.240 maybe are afraid

00:29:20.940 of Iran might

00:29:21.980 have to get

00:29:22.400 some nukes

00:29:22.860 of their

00:29:23.140 own.

00:29:24.420 Well here's

00:29:26.460 what I would

00:29:26.900 do if I

00:29:27.500 were Israel.

00:29:29.500 I would try

00:29:30.320 to get the

00:29:31.040 countries that

00:29:31.980 would consider

00:29:32.620 nukes to

00:29:33.260 actually say

00:29:33.860 they would

00:29:34.340 build nukes

00:29:35.040 if Iran 0.82

00:29:35.500 does.

00:29:37.220 Wouldn't it

00:29:37.720 be useful

00:29:38.180 for Saudi

00:29:39.460 Arabia to

00:29:40.040 say look

00:29:40.460 we don't

00:29:40.880 want Iran 1.00

00:29:41.500 to have a

00:29:41.860 nuke but

00:29:42.860 if they

00:29:43.100 build one

00:29:43.560 we're

00:29:43.840 definitely

00:29:44.160 building one

00:29:44.800 and here's

00:29:45.640 our plans.

00:29:47.400 Here's our

00:29:47.880 budget.

00:29:48.860 We've already

00:29:49.400 approved a

00:29:49.920 budget to

00:29:50.420 build a

00:29:50.740 nuclear program.

00:29:51.580 But if

00:29:53.020 Iran doesn't 1.00

00:29:53.640 build one

00:29:54.020 we won't

00:29:54.440 do it

00:29:54.700 either.

00:29:55.860 So here's

00:29:56.260 what I

00:29:56.820 think Israel 0.93

00:29:58.060 should do

00:29:58.500 for persuasion.

00:30:00.860 They should

00:30:01.340 somehow make

00:30:02.060 visual the

00:30:03.660 fact that the

00:30:04.500 Iran deal is

00:30:05.220 not about

00:30:05.600 Iran.

00:30:06.820 It's about

00:30:07.320 opening up the

00:30:08.040 nuclear box for

00:30:09.040 all of the

00:30:09.580 Middle East.

00:30:10.720 Because there's

00:30:11.340 nobody who

00:30:11.900 thinks that a

00:30:12.560 whole bunch of

00:30:13.080 more nuclear

00:30:13.620 powers in the

00:30:14.360 Middle East is

00:30:14.940 good for

00:30:15.260 anybody.

00:30:17.000 So I think

00:30:17.960 that would be

00:30:18.380 their best

00:30:18.820 play.

00:30:19.680 Their best

00:30:20.120 play would

00:30:20.580 say if

00:30:21.680 you don't

00:30:22.000 stop it

00:30:22.460 in Iran

00:30:22.940 it's going

00:30:23.520 to be

00:30:23.720 everywhere.

00:30:25.920 Of course

00:30:26.380 Israel would 1.00

00:30:26.980 like to be

00:30:27.380 the exception

00:30:27.980 and have

00:30:28.660 their nukes

00:30:29.560 with nobody

00:30:30.020 having them.

00:30:31.940 But yeah

00:30:33.740 I think that's

00:30:34.360 the angle

00:30:35.240 they have to

00:30:35.660 go for.

00:30:37.740 If the

00:30:38.680 argument is

00:30:39.160 limited to

00:30:39.680 just Iran

00:30:40.500 getting a

00:30:41.060 nuke

00:30:41.380 apparently

00:30:42.660 that's not

00:30:43.640 having an

00:30:44.420 influence on

00:30:45.080 Biden.

00:30:46.600 But also

00:30:47.040 what do you

00:30:47.360 think Israel 0.93

00:30:48.280 is going

00:30:48.640 to have

00:30:48.900 to do

00:30:49.380 if Iran 0.82

00:30:50.900 and the

00:30:51.940 United States

00:30:52.520 and Europe

00:30:52.920 come up

00:30:53.380 with some

00:30:53.680 kind of

00:30:53.960 an Iran 0.74

00:30:54.360 deal?

00:30:55.760 Because Israel

00:30:56.560 is not going

00:30:56.940 to sign off

00:30:57.440 on it no

00:30:57.820 matter what.

00:30:59.340 So it would

00:30:59.820 be a

00:31:00.260 European

00:31:01.060 American

00:31:01.820 Iran deal

00:31:02.720 if there is

00:31:03.180 one.

00:31:04.040 But what do

00:31:04.560 you think

00:31:04.760 Israel is

00:31:05.220 going to

00:31:05.400 do?

00:31:05.560 I think

00:31:07.420 Israel would 1.00

00:31:08.000 have to

00:31:08.660 be far

00:31:10.340 more aggressive

00:31:11.240 in destroying

00:31:12.120 their assets

00:31:12.740 and their

00:31:13.260 scientists

00:31:14.260 wherever they

00:31:14.980 can find

00:31:15.380 them.

00:31:17.200 So if

00:31:18.360 you assume

00:31:18.860 that Israel

00:31:19.500 will not

00:31:20.340 tolerate a

00:31:21.100 nuclear Iran

00:31:21.920 and I

00:31:22.320 don't think

00:31:22.660 they will

00:31:23.080 then a

00:31:25.200 peace deal

00:31:26.480 with Iran

00:31:26.980 guarantees war.

00:31:29.280 Doesn't it?

00:31:30.760 I mean a

00:31:31.440 nuclear agreement

00:31:32.580 with Iran.

00:31:33.280 A nuclear 0.91

00:31:33.780 agreement with

00:31:34.460 Iran should 0.99

00:31:35.040 guarantee war 0.90

00:31:36.020 not stop it.

00:31:38.760 And Israel 0.51

00:31:39.260 I think can

00:31:39.820 make that case

00:31:40.520 plain.

00:31:41.740 Look if

00:31:42.460 you make a

00:31:43.100 deal and

00:31:44.060 we're on

00:31:44.440 our own

00:31:44.820 it's war.

00:31:46.780 I mean it

00:31:47.180 might be a

00:31:47.740 covert war.

00:31:49.060 It might

00:31:49.300 be entirely

00:31:50.240 deniable

00:31:51.320 kind of war

00:31:51.900 like oh

00:31:52.320 we don't

00:31:52.700 know why

00:31:53.000 that blew

00:31:53.380 up.

00:31:54.180 But it

00:31:54.540 is war.

00:31:56.020 I mean

00:31:56.160 it's full

00:31:56.840 military

00:31:57.840 blow up

00:31:59.400 shit

00:31:59.680 kill people

00:32:00.340 war.

00:32:01.520 So I

00:32:02.140 don't think

00:32:02.460 Israel is

00:32:03.000 doing a

00:32:03.340 good job

00:32:03.940 of laying

00:32:05.140 out the

00:32:05.560 alternative

00:32:06.020 path.

00:32:07.520 The

00:32:07.760 alternative

00:32:08.180 path is

00:32:09.140 nuclearized

00:32:10.760 Middle East

00:32:11.380 and war.

00:32:14.060 See I

00:32:15.520 think Israel 0.93

00:32:16.020 is just

00:32:16.440 they don't

00:32:18.080 help themselves

00:32:19.600 by being

00:32:20.220 subtle.

00:32:21.680 If they

00:32:22.140 say stuff

00:32:22.600 like well

00:32:23.220 we'll have

00:32:23.900 to take

00:32:24.300 greater

00:32:25.180 action

00:32:25.720 than Iran 0.82

00:32:26.380 or something

00:32:27.020 like that

00:32:27.540 just say

00:32:28.480 it's war.

00:32:29.700 Just call

00:32:30.200 it what it

00:32:30.540 is.

00:32:31.380 If you

00:32:31.740 make a

00:32:32.100 deal with

00:32:32.500 Iran

00:32:32.840 that's war.

00:32:35.020 We're

00:32:35.500 going to

00:32:35.700 pull out

00:32:37.140 all the

00:32:37.520 stops

00:32:37.960 to directly

00:32:39.320 attack

00:32:39.800 Iran's 0.89

00:32:40.580 infrastructure

00:32:41.380 for supporting

00:32:42.380 a nuclear

00:32:42.920 bomb.

00:32:45.400 Because you

00:32:46.020 know Israel

00:32:46.540 will right?

00:32:48.080 Do you

00:32:48.340 think Israel 0.93

00:32:48.880 is going

00:32:49.160 to go

00:32:49.380 soft?

00:32:50.860 Do you

00:32:51.400 think Israel 0.93

00:32:51.940 would say

00:32:52.420 well you

00:32:54.560 know we

00:32:55.160 wanted to

00:32:56.000 stop them

00:32:56.440 from getting

00:32:56.820 a nuke

00:32:57.240 but now

00:32:58.680 that this

00:32:59.640 deal is

00:33:00.140 signed

00:33:00.440 we'll just

00:33:01.040 live with

00:33:01.440 it.

00:33:02.120 You think

00:33:02.500 they'll do

00:33:02.800 that?

00:33:04.580 No.

00:33:05.040 I think

00:33:05.300 Israel's 0.75

00:33:06.020 persuasion

00:33:07.340 game is a

00:33:08.000 little weak

00:33:08.480 right now

00:33:08.940 which is

00:33:09.300 unusual.

00:33:10.360 Very

00:33:10.640 unusual.

00:33:11.380 I think

00:33:12.060 they could

00:33:12.460 increase

00:33:12.860 their

00:33:13.060 persuasion

00:33:13.500 game

00:33:13.760 quite a

00:33:14.080 bit.

00:33:15.820 All right.

00:33:21.260 So I

00:33:21.900 asked this

00:33:22.280 question about

00:33:22.980 voting.

00:33:23.600 Here's

00:33:23.800 something I

00:33:24.260 had a

00:33:24.500 big gap

00:33:25.040 in my

00:33:25.360 knowledge.

00:33:27.200 So for

00:33:27.860 those

00:33:28.220 voting

00:33:28.780 precincts

00:33:29.480 where

00:33:29.720 everything's

00:33:30.200 on paper

00:33:30.660 and then

00:33:32.740 they

00:33:33.020 tally up

00:33:33.940 the results

00:33:34.560 when they

00:33:36.620 transmit

00:33:37.080 their

00:33:37.380 totals

00:33:37.900 to the

00:33:38.520 big

00:33:39.100 database

00:33:39.600 in the

00:33:39.940 sky

00:33:40.240 that gives

00:33:40.760 you the

00:33:41.040 total

00:33:41.300 totals

00:33:41.760 they

00:33:42.800 can

00:33:43.000 check

00:33:43.300 their

00:33:43.500 subtotals

00:33:44.080 got there

00:33:44.740 correctly

00:33:45.180 right?

00:33:46.600 So in

00:33:46.920 other words

00:33:47.400 do we

00:33:47.760 have to

00:33:48.120 worry

00:33:48.480 about

00:33:49.480 the

00:33:49.960 digital

00:33:51.120 path

00:33:53.080 from the

00:33:54.200 local

00:33:54.620 precinct

00:33:55.240 to the

00:33:56.060 final

00:33:56.320 database?

00:33:57.320 Because the

00:33:58.020 local

00:33:58.280 precinct

00:33:58.760 can say

00:33:59.300 all right

00:33:59.760 we had

00:34:01.100 X number

00:34:02.260 of votes

00:34:02.600 for Biden

00:34:03.100 did it

00:34:03.660 get recorded

00:34:04.200 that way?

00:34:04.920 Yep.

00:34:05.560 X number

00:34:06.040 of votes

00:34:06.340 for Biden.

00:34:06.760 So I

00:34:09.000 think that's

00:34:09.480 probably not

00:34:09.980 a big

00:34:10.300 risk

00:34:10.760 because the

00:34:12.200 precincts

00:34:12.720 probably

00:34:13.300 check to

00:34:13.840 make sure

00:34:14.160 their data

00:34:14.580 got there

00:34:15.060 if they

00:34:16.640 can and

00:34:17.180 I think

00:34:17.440 they can.

00:34:19.320 And I

00:34:19.880 think it's

00:34:20.120 even public

00:34:20.640 right?

00:34:21.480 It's probably

00:34:21.940 public what

00:34:22.540 the precinct

00:34:23.180 voted and

00:34:23.940 then it

00:34:24.200 would be

00:34:24.480 public on

00:34:25.180 the main

00:34:25.520 database so

00:34:26.180 you can see

00:34:26.520 for yourself

00:34:26.980 I think.

00:34:27.980 So is

00:34:30.060 the only

00:34:30.400 place that

00:34:30.900 we should

00:34:31.260 be worried

00:34:31.820 about

00:34:32.500 digital

00:34:33.600 voting

00:34:34.380 is where

00:34:35.880 the voting

00:34:36.360 machines

00:34:36.900 themselves

00:34:37.640 were

00:34:41.640 tabulating

00:34:42.580 votes at

00:34:43.380 the local

00:34:43.780 precinct and

00:34:45.100 then transmitting

00:34:46.140 it digitally.

00:34:46.800 Is that the

00:34:47.300 only place

00:34:47.960 that we

00:34:48.340 would have

00:34:48.620 a question?

00:34:50.020 Because I

00:34:50.360 don't know

00:34:50.680 if that

00:34:51.040 even applies

00:34:51.680 to any

00:34:52.000 of the

00:34:53.040 battlefield

00:34:54.760 places

00:34:56.200 does it?

00:34:57.240 Are there

00:34:57.700 any

00:34:57.940 battlefield

00:34:58.500 election

00:34:59.600 locations

00:35:00.520 where the

00:35:02.100 voting is

00:35:02.660 not done

00:35:03.360 on paper?

00:35:05.980 Because I

00:35:06.740 know we do

00:35:07.180 have places

00:35:07.640 where people

00:35:08.320 vote entirely

00:35:09.080 on digital

00:35:09.680 machines but

00:35:10.940 I don't know

00:35:11.360 if those are

00:35:11.780 battleground

00:35:12.300 places.

00:35:13.340 Are the

00:35:13.700 battleground

00:35:14.200 places mostly

00:35:15.020 paper?

00:35:20.800 Somebody

00:35:21.440 says

00:35:21.720 correct.

00:35:25.280 Remember

00:35:25.920 Romney got

00:35:26.560 zero votes

00:35:27.240 in some

00:35:27.620 Philadelphia

00:35:28.060 precincts

00:35:28.740 yet?

00:35:31.880 Right?

00:35:33.180 They don't

00:35:33.780 count at

00:35:34.320 the precinct

00:35:34.860 level.

00:35:36.060 What?

00:35:37.500 You're

00:35:37.980 telling me a

00:35:38.380 precinct doesn't

00:35:39.280 count its

00:35:39.800 own votes?

00:35:42.320 Are they

00:35:43.040 sent to a

00:35:43.620 center that's

00:35:44.200 counted?

00:35:45.760 So do they

00:35:46.360 physically

00:35:46.960 transport them

00:35:48.020 before they're

00:35:48.660 counted?

00:35:50.680 Oh my

00:35:51.460 God.

00:35:52.120 Really?

00:35:52.420 Really?

00:35:54.400 Really?

00:35:54.920 I don't

00:35:56.400 believe that.

00:35:57.640 I don't

00:35:58.460 believe that

00:35:59.060 paper leaves

00:36:01.140 the facility

00:36:02.620 uncounted.

00:36:05.180 Are you

00:36:05.980 kidding me?

00:36:07.180 There's a lot

00:36:07.740 of people who

00:36:08.220 think that

00:36:08.800 locally the

00:36:11.100 votes are

00:36:11.560 taken and

00:36:12.200 you've got the

00:36:12.660 votes on these

00:36:13.300 ballots on

00:36:13.960 pieces of

00:36:14.500 paper and

00:36:15.560 that the

00:36:15.880 pieces of

00:36:16.360 paper are

00:36:16.780 transported to

00:36:17.620 another facility

00:36:18.700 for counting.

00:36:19.460 they're not

00:36:21.060 counted locally.

00:36:23.680 I guess that

00:36:24.440 makes sense

00:36:24.980 because you

00:36:25.360 wouldn't want

00:36:25.700 a counting

00:36:26.220 feature at

00:36:27.860 every little

00:36:28.580 local voting

00:36:29.280 place.

00:36:30.100 Okay.

00:36:31.020 I guess I'm

00:36:31.780 going to

00:36:32.920 accept that

00:36:33.420 because it

00:36:33.880 does make

00:36:34.420 sense that

00:36:34.940 you wouldn't

00:36:35.480 want a

00:36:36.880 counting

00:36:37.240 function at

00:36:38.120 every little

00:36:38.640 local polling

00:36:39.400 place.

00:36:42.780 So then

00:36:44.180 how would we

00:36:44.800 know if

00:36:45.500 some of it

00:36:46.040 disappeared?

00:36:47.240 The only way

00:36:47.940 you'd know,

00:36:50.540 well, you

00:36:52.360 could count

00:36:53.060 the total

00:36:53.500 number of

00:36:53.920 votes, right?

00:36:56.620 So would

00:36:58.200 the local

00:36:58.840 precinct at

00:36:59.920 least know the

00:37:00.580 total number

00:37:01.180 of people who

00:37:01.700 voted?

00:37:02.700 So they would

00:37:03.140 know if the

00:37:03.680 total got

00:37:04.400 through, right?

00:37:06.780 Yeah.

00:37:07.460 So here's the

00:37:08.200 thing that nobody's

00:37:08.860 done a good job

00:37:09.540 of explaining to

00:37:10.360 the public,

00:37:11.720 which is

00:37:13.040 explain the

00:37:13.720 whole process,

00:37:14.920 you know,

00:37:15.140 like as if

00:37:16.200 we're idiots

00:37:16.760 because we

00:37:17.320 are.

00:37:17.520 You know,

00:37:18.120 put it in

00:37:18.540 simple terms.

00:37:19.980 All right,

00:37:20.200 person votes,

00:37:21.520 their piece of

00:37:22.040 paper goes

00:37:22.720 here,

00:37:23.600 it goes in

00:37:24.140 this pile,

00:37:25.080 then somebody

00:37:25.660 batches them

00:37:26.240 up and they

00:37:26.660 put them in

00:37:27.020 this truck,

00:37:27.660 and then the

00:37:28.040 truck goes

00:37:28.460 here.

00:37:28.940 I want it

00:37:29.440 that way

00:37:29.860 because I

00:37:31.840 want somebody

00:37:32.260 to explain,

00:37:33.500 okay,

00:37:34.000 because we

00:37:34.640 check here

00:37:35.260 and we

00:37:35.620 check here,

00:37:36.560 we can know

00:37:37.260 with certainty

00:37:37.740 that there

00:37:38.180 was no

00:37:38.480 problem in

00:37:39.080 between.

00:37:40.640 Right?

00:37:41.220 Wouldn't you

00:37:41.480 like to know

00:37:41.920 that?

00:37:42.780 But,

00:37:43.560 because this

00:37:44.700 happens and

00:37:45.260 then this

00:37:45.600 happens,

00:37:45.980 there's

00:37:46.680 still a

00:37:47.140 little bit

00:37:47.580 of risk

00:37:48.120 here,

00:37:48.760 but we

00:37:49.860 haven't seen

00:37:50.380 any problems,

00:37:51.040 but it's

00:37:51.680 something that's

00:37:52.240 a little bit

00:37:52.760 non-transparent.

00:37:54.800 Wouldn't you

00:37:55.340 like to know

00:37:55.760 that?

00:37:58.260 Yeah,

00:37:58.760 I guess I

00:37:59.720 realize the

00:38:00.260 process is a

00:38:01.000 little different

00:38:01.440 in every state,

00:38:02.500 but I think we

00:38:03.100 can get a

00:38:03.760 general sense,

00:38:05.400 at least for the

00:38:05.940 battleground places,

00:38:07.420 how do they

00:38:07.960 even handle it?

00:38:08.580 Because it

00:38:10.360 seems to me

00:38:10.880 there are

00:38:11.140 probably local

00:38:12.640 systems that

00:38:13.460 are completely

00:38:14.160 secure,

00:38:15.600 and I'll bet

00:38:16.900 there are some

00:38:17.380 that aren't.

00:38:19.000 In other

00:38:19.320 words,

00:38:19.580 if they all

00:38:19.980 do it

00:38:20.260 differently,

00:38:21.540 well,

00:38:22.100 let's use

00:38:22.600 some common

00:38:23.060 sense.

00:38:24.800 If the

00:38:25.840 election

00:38:26.160 processes are

00:38:27.160 different at

00:38:28.300 different places,

00:38:29.900 doesn't that

00:38:30.560 pretty much

00:38:31.160 guarantee that

00:38:31.820 some of them

00:38:32.240 are not good?

00:38:34.000 Do you

00:38:34.480 suppose that

00:38:35.000 they use all

00:38:35.600 kinds of

00:38:35.940 different processes

00:38:36.780 and they're

00:38:37.940 all just as

00:38:38.620 good?

00:38:39.900 They're all

00:38:40.360 just as good.

00:38:41.900 It seems very

00:38:42.500 unlikely,

00:38:43.060 right?

00:38:43.660 It seems to me

00:38:44.440 that the

00:38:45.100 expensive ones

00:38:45.960 are better,

00:38:46.820 and the

00:38:47.320 cheaper ones

00:38:47.900 are worse.

00:38:49.500 Probably it's

00:38:50.200 just money.

00:38:51.360 Money plus

00:38:52.100 time to

00:38:52.580 implement,

00:38:53.060 right?

00:38:53.780 So you would

00:38:54.540 expect if it's

00:38:55.260 like everything

00:38:55.820 else in the

00:38:56.340 world,

00:38:56.740 there's this

00:38:57.100 big range of

00:38:58.020 very secure

00:38:59.280 to, well,

00:39:00.040 we're not so

00:39:00.520 sure.

00:39:02.960 I'd love to

00:39:03.700 know how that

00:39:04.320 breaks down.

00:39:05.920 And whether

00:39:06.560 the battle

00:39:07.000 ground states

00:39:07.640 or even

00:39:08.120 anything we

00:39:09.500 should worry

00:39:09.840 about.

00:39:13.000 I'm on the

00:39:13.720 right trail

00:39:14.200 now,

00:39:14.600 somebody says.

00:39:15.460 It's the

00:39:15.860 same trail

00:39:16.280 I've always

00:39:16.660 been on.

00:39:17.840 There's not

00:39:18.240 enough transparency

00:39:19.420 in the election

00:39:20.760 system for the

00:39:21.920 public to

00:39:22.460 actually have

00:39:22.940 a reasonable

00:39:24.420 opinion about

00:39:25.240 what happened.

00:39:28.600 Yeah, I've

00:39:29.240 been saying that

00:39:29.840 the elections

00:39:30.360 are not fully

00:39:31.780 auditable,

00:39:33.340 but maybe

00:39:34.500 they're closer

00:39:35.120 to fully

00:39:35.640 auditable

00:39:36.040 than I

00:39:36.480 know.

00:39:37.440 Maybe, for

00:39:38.620 example,

00:39:39.380 maybe the

00:39:40.060 battleground

00:39:41.500 places are

00:39:42.180 the most

00:39:42.620 secure.

00:39:44.900 Right?

00:39:45.940 If you

00:39:46.540 happen to

00:39:47.060 be in

00:39:47.880 charge of

00:39:48.380 a battleground

00:39:49.140 state,

00:39:50.520 don't you

00:39:50.840 think you

00:39:51.180 could get

00:39:51.520 more money

00:39:52.040 from the

00:39:52.460 state to

00:39:53.060 make sure

00:39:53.400 yours was

00:39:54.000 done right?

00:39:55.120 You'd say,

00:39:55.680 we're the

00:39:55.880 battleground

00:39:56.300 state.

00:39:56.900 We're the

00:39:57.240 most important

00:39:57.780 one.

00:39:58.300 Give us a

00:39:58.780 big budget

00:39:59.240 so we do

00:39:59.720 this right

00:40:00.180 because we

00:40:00.560 don't want

00:40:00.880 any questions

00:40:01.620 in a

00:40:02.440 battleground

00:40:03.000 state.

00:40:04.920 I feel

00:40:06.620 as though

00:40:07.120 there's a

00:40:08.860 lot to

00:40:09.120 know here.

00:40:10.680 All right.

00:40:12.520 Rasmussen

00:40:13.160 asked American

00:40:14.260 adults about

00:40:15.040 their opinions

00:40:15.620 about the

00:40:16.100 public school

00:40:16.620 system here.

00:40:17.920 Only 8%

00:40:19.160 of American

00:40:19.860 adults rated

00:40:21.300 the performance

00:40:22.020 of public

00:40:22.540 schools

00:40:23.120 excellent.

00:40:24.780 Another 22%

00:40:26.080 said good.

00:40:27.540 But generally

00:40:29.960 speaking, it's

00:40:31.520 a lot like

00:40:32.140 people think

00:40:33.020 of Congress.

00:40:34.580 If you ask

00:40:35.380 the public,

00:40:36.240 is Congress

00:40:37.260 good or bad,

00:40:38.140 they'll say,

00:40:38.580 disapprove,

00:40:39.820 Congress is

00:40:40.720 bad.

00:40:41.420 But then you

00:40:41.920 say, but what

00:40:42.520 about your

00:40:43.220 representative?

00:40:44.040 They'll say,

00:40:44.360 well, my

00:40:44.800 representative is

00:40:45.380 pretty good.

00:40:46.520 I got lucky.

00:40:48.020 Good thing

00:40:48.500 my representative

00:40:53.080 is good.

00:40:54.460 Well, people

00:40:55.240 say the same

00:40:55.800 thing about

00:40:56.180 the schools.

00:40:57.540 If you ask

00:40:58.220 them if the

00:40:58.640 school systems

00:40:59.480 are good,

00:41:00.220 they're likely

00:41:01.240 to give a

00:41:01.920 negative answer.

00:41:03.360 But if you

00:41:03.840 ask them if

00:41:04.360 their school

00:41:05.020 is good,

00:41:05.640 they'll say,

00:41:05.960 oh, my

00:41:06.280 school's pretty

00:41:06.740 good.

00:41:08.040 But I hear

00:41:08.520 those other

00:41:08.980 schools are

00:41:09.360 pretty bad.

00:41:13.300 Now, I've

00:41:14.180 told you before

00:41:14.860 that when I

00:41:15.520 tell you

00:41:16.180 optimistic

00:41:16.840 stories about

00:41:18.080 technology,

00:41:19.720 some new

00:41:20.220 invention or

00:41:21.160 breakthrough,

00:41:22.460 you should

00:41:22.840 always take

00:41:23.340 it in the

00:41:23.820 following way.

00:41:25.460 Probably not

00:41:26.220 true.

00:41:27.540 stories about

00:41:29.260 technical and

00:41:30.180 scientific

00:41:30.660 breakthroughs are

00:41:32.520 almost never

00:41:33.300 true.

00:41:34.700 I'd say 95%

00:41:36.300 of them are

00:41:36.780 false.

00:41:38.600 But aren't

00:41:40.020 they fun?

00:41:41.180 When you hear

00:41:41.920 some big

00:41:42.360 breakthrough that

00:41:42.980 could change

00:41:43.380 the world in

00:41:43.940 a positive

00:41:44.340 way, don't

00:41:45.400 you like to

00:41:46.100 at least live

00:41:47.440 with the

00:41:47.800 thought that

00:41:48.260 maybe it

00:41:48.660 could be

00:41:48.920 true?

00:41:50.140 So when I

00:41:50.800 tell you that

00:41:52.300 there's a new

00:41:52.780 breakthrough, which

00:41:53.500 I'm going to

00:41:53.780 tell you in a

00:41:54.220 moment, if

00:41:55.820 it's true, it's

00:41:57.840 insanely good.

00:41:59.700 It's probably

00:42:00.200 not true.

00:42:01.400 But can we

00:42:02.300 agree to act

00:42:03.200 as though it's

00:42:03.800 true because

00:42:05.560 it'll feel good?

00:42:07.320 That's all we're

00:42:08.100 trying to do.

00:42:08.780 We're just

00:42:09.140 trying to feel

00:42:09.620 good.

00:42:10.140 All right?

00:42:11.280 Well, MIT, the

00:42:12.660 smartest people in

00:42:13.760 the universe, say

00:42:15.440 they've invented a

00:42:16.600 cheap battery.

00:42:17.260 battery, and

00:42:18.700 what's amazing

00:42:19.660 about it is

00:42:20.460 not just that

00:42:21.220 it's maybe

00:42:21.900 one-sixth of

00:42:22.940 the cost of

00:42:24.460 traditional

00:42:24.920 batteries, but

00:42:26.320 it's made with

00:42:27.120 non-rare

00:42:28.280 materials, aluminum,

00:42:30.340 sulfur, and

00:42:31.120 rock-solid

00:42:31.940 crystals.

00:42:33.180 So they

00:42:33.980 experimented a

00:42:35.160 bunch and

00:42:35.960 found that

00:42:36.640 these domestically

00:42:38.900 abundant

00:42:39.460 materials can

00:42:41.300 make a

00:42:42.120 darn good

00:42:42.820 battery.

00:42:44.040 Now, it

00:42:44.840 might not be

00:42:45.700 efficient enough

00:42:46.820 for putting

00:42:47.640 into your

00:42:47.960 phone or

00:42:48.600 putting into

00:42:49.060 your car,

00:42:49.840 although they're

00:42:50.360 thinking of

00:42:51.020 cars later.

00:42:52.260 But it would

00:42:53.060 be efficient

00:42:53.600 enough.

00:42:55.340 It would be

00:42:56.380 efficient enough

00:42:57.160 for maybe

00:42:58.340 storing solar

00:43:00.040 power.

00:43:01.660 So if you've

00:43:02.420 got a big

00:43:02.820 grid storage,

00:43:03.800 it might work

00:43:04.240 for that.

00:43:04.980 And it might

00:43:05.380 be one-sixth

00:43:06.120 the cost.

00:43:07.540 Now, there

00:43:08.620 are some

00:43:09.100 technical issues

00:43:09.920 about the

00:43:10.460 temperature it

00:43:11.800 operates on.

00:43:12.900 There's some

00:43:13.320 issues about

00:43:14.140 bauxite mining

00:43:16.220 to make

00:43:17.020 aluminum.

00:43:18.620 So as

00:43:19.480 soon as you

00:43:19.880 get into the

00:43:20.320 details of

00:43:21.020 any of these

00:43:21.400 scientific

00:43:21.880 breakthroughs,

00:43:22.860 you usually

00:43:23.680 run into a

00:43:24.420 wall.

00:43:25.700 It's like,

00:43:26.080 oh, I

00:43:27.040 thought this

00:43:27.560 was abundant,

00:43:28.560 but it

00:43:29.000 turns out if

00:43:30.020 you made

00:43:30.540 more of it,

00:43:31.080 you'd pollute

00:43:31.540 too much.

00:43:32.580 So there's

00:43:33.960 always a

00:43:34.280 problem you

00:43:34.760 don't foresee.

00:43:35.540 But that's

00:43:35.800 true of

00:43:36.060 everything.

00:43:36.880 It doesn't

00:43:37.360 mean those

00:43:37.740 are unsolvable,

00:43:39.320 but don't

00:43:40.440 imagine that

00:43:41.020 there are no

00:43:41.360 problems.

00:43:41.740 Now, it

00:43:44.800 turns out that

00:43:45.300 they accidentally

00:43:46.100 solved another

00:43:46.960 of the biggest

00:43:47.520 problems in

00:43:48.240 batteries.

00:43:49.760 One of the

00:43:50.260 biggest problems

00:43:50.840 in batteries is

00:43:52.360 that if they

00:43:53.560 operate for a

00:43:54.220 while, they

00:43:54.540 grow these

00:43:55.040 dendrites.

00:43:56.760 There's something

00:43:57.320 that's like little

00:43:58.080 growths inside the

00:43:59.620 battery that start

00:44:00.960 growing.

00:44:01.820 And if they

00:44:02.280 connect, it

00:44:03.240 shorts out the

00:44:03.800 battery and you

00:44:04.440 got problems.

00:44:05.560 So that's a

00:44:06.080 normal thing that

00:44:06.820 happens to older

00:44:07.500 batteries, is that

00:44:09.040 they wear out in a

00:44:10.040 specific kind of

00:44:10.920 way, through

00:44:12.120 these dendrites

00:44:13.120 growing.

00:44:14.040 But this new

00:44:14.920 technology doesn't

00:44:15.840 do that.

00:44:17.040 So they ended

00:44:17.780 up solving the

00:44:19.140 biggest malfunction

00:44:20.380 problem of

00:44:21.160 batteries,

00:44:22.580 accidentally.

00:44:23.240 They weren't

00:44:23.540 trying to solve

00:44:24.120 that, it just

00:44:24.660 happened.

00:44:26.160 So they're way

00:44:27.600 more efficient.

00:44:29.240 They don't have

00:44:30.120 the risk of

00:44:30.720 catching on fire

00:44:31.620 the way lithium

00:44:33.480 batteries do, which

00:44:34.520 is a gigantic

00:44:35.080 problem.

00:44:36.620 Don't know how

00:44:37.380 much they degrade,

00:44:38.440 that's a good

00:44:38.920 question.

00:44:39.660 Don't know how

00:44:40.100 long they last.

00:44:40.920 Which is

00:44:41.620 probably going to

00:44:42.580 be the main

00:44:43.380 question, right?

00:44:44.120 How long they

00:44:44.660 last.

00:44:47.540 All right.

00:44:48.740 So, if this

00:44:51.240 is true, then

00:44:52.380 Elon Musk has

00:44:53.380 been right all

00:44:54.000 along.

00:44:56.000 Because Musk has

00:44:57.160 said that you

00:44:58.400 could power the

00:44:58.940 whole country with,

00:45:01.120 relatively speaking,

00:45:03.040 not that many solar

00:45:03.880 panels.

00:45:04.840 But then everybody

00:45:05.540 says, but, but,

00:45:07.120 but, but, but,

00:45:09.320 bauxite is

00:45:10.420 abundant, but

00:45:11.280 it's, there's a

00:45:12.840 lot of pollution

00:45:13.380 when you mine

00:45:13.960 it.

00:45:15.400 I'm told.

00:45:16.420 It's something I

00:45:17.020 learned five

00:45:17.460 minutes ago.

00:45:19.160 So, if it's

00:45:22.700 true that you

00:45:23.380 could have

00:45:24.080 abundant

00:45:24.500 materials and

00:45:25.640 create these

00:45:26.520 highly reliable,

00:45:28.660 cheap batteries

00:45:29.400 with non-rare

00:45:30.540 earth materials,

00:45:31.460 solar panels, and

00:45:32.680 it's one-sixth

00:45:33.480 the cost, everything

00:45:35.780 that Elon Musk

00:45:36.940 predicted is

00:45:38.040 true.

00:45:39.500 Meaning that

00:45:40.300 solar panels

00:45:41.040 really are the

00:45:41.740 future.

00:45:43.120 Now, remember,

00:45:44.340 Musk, even

00:45:45.380 recently, he's

00:45:46.820 pro-nuclear.

00:45:47.700 He tweeted just

00:45:48.340 the other day that

00:45:49.480 we should be

00:45:50.700 keeping our

00:45:51.160 nuclear plants

00:45:52.000 alive.

00:45:52.980 So, he knows

00:45:53.600 it's a, you

00:45:54.820 know, do

00:45:55.080 everything you

00:45:55.660 can situation.

00:45:56.500 It's not just

00:45:56.940 do the best

00:45:57.440 thing, whatever

00:45:58.500 the best thing

00:45:59.060 is.

00:45:59.300 So, I'm

00:46:03.400 not going to

00:46:03.840 tell you that

00:46:05.400 solar has no 0.99

00:46:06.580 problems, because

00:46:07.580 you've got the

00:46:08.060 waste problem.

00:46:08.980 It's a gigantic

00:46:09.520 problem.

00:46:11.340 But all the

00:46:12.440 pieces look like

00:46:13.360 they're coming

00:46:13.780 together.

00:46:14.620 When you

00:46:15.220 predict the

00:46:15.800 future of

00:46:16.240 solar power,

00:46:17.600 the thing you

00:46:18.200 don't predict

00:46:19.040 is a new

00:46:20.220 invention.

00:46:21.780 And this

00:46:22.140 might be in

00:46:23.160 that category

00:46:23.700 of something

00:46:24.100 you didn't

00:46:24.460 see coming.

00:46:25.140 A whole

00:46:25.780 gigantic

00:46:26.900 improvement in

00:46:27.940 battery

00:46:28.360 technology.

00:46:29.300 technology.

00:46:34.220 Rolls-Royce,

00:46:35.260 somebody is

00:46:35.900 saying in the

00:46:36.440 comments here,

00:46:37.380 Rolls-Royce is

00:46:38.140 bidding to sell

00:46:38.920 flat-pack small

00:46:40.240 modular reactors

00:46:41.360 to Japan.

00:46:42.740 And Japan is

00:46:43.440 very pro-nuclear

00:46:44.820 at the moment.

00:46:46.400 Yeah, I think

00:46:46.920 these small

00:46:47.620 modular nuclear

00:46:48.700 plants are

00:46:51.020 going to be

00:46:51.260 the way.

00:46:52.260 Plus solar,

00:46:53.180 plus batteries.

00:46:54.900 Well, there's

00:46:55.500 yet more

00:46:56.140 studies saying

00:46:57.140 that mushrooms

00:46:58.620 and psilocybin

00:46:59.940 can help you

00:47:01.260 with addiction.

00:47:02.280 So there's

00:47:02.740 a new study

00:47:03.260 that came out,

00:47:03.920 a big one I

00:47:04.420 guess,

00:47:05.140 and they

00:47:05.840 found that

00:47:06.400 just two

00:47:07.200 treatments with

00:47:08.300 psilocybin,

00:47:09.180 which is

00:47:09.580 mushrooms,

00:47:11.040 reduced drinking

00:47:13.580 for at least

00:47:14.240 eight months

00:47:15.120 after the first

00:47:15.760 treatments.

00:47:16.160 so it's the

00:47:17.500 results from

00:47:18.060 the largest

00:47:18.520 clinical trial

00:47:20.820 of its kind.

00:47:23.900 A hundred

00:47:24.640 percent of

00:47:25.540 all the

00:47:25.960 mushroom tests

00:47:27.080 have been,

00:47:28.680 at least as

00:47:29.480 far as I

00:47:29.880 know,

00:47:30.760 have been not

00:47:31.400 just positive,

00:47:32.940 but crazy

00:47:33.980 positive.

00:47:36.000 Now, just

00:47:36.860 think about

00:47:37.240 this.

00:47:38.200 We're on the

00:47:39.060 verge of

00:47:41.560 solving energy

00:47:43.440 because the

00:47:46.140 small nuclear

00:47:46.820 modules plus

00:47:47.800 these batteries

00:47:48.460 plus solar,

00:47:49.500 we're on the

00:47:50.180 verge of

00:47:50.540 actually just

00:47:51.040 solving energy.

00:47:52.580 Fusion's on

00:47:53.420 the way.

00:47:55.200 We're on the

00:47:56.120 verge of

00:47:56.660 solving

00:47:57.080 addiction

00:47:57.560 because I

00:47:59.160 think the

00:47:59.500 mushroom thing

00:48:00.180 is going to

00:48:00.660 be way bigger

00:48:01.280 than people

00:48:03.060 imagine.

00:48:04.960 That's huge.

00:48:07.220 That's huge.

00:48:07.880 And AI will

00:48:10.740 probably solve

00:48:11.680 a lot of

00:48:12.040 our other

00:48:12.380 problems.

00:48:14.760 By the way,

00:48:15.720 AI would

00:48:16.260 probably solve

00:48:18.180 nuclear as

00:48:18.840 well.

00:48:19.960 Because one

00:48:20.760 of the

00:48:21.180 problems with

00:48:22.140 the modern

00:48:23.060 reactors is

00:48:23.900 you have to

00:48:24.240 do a lot

00:48:24.560 of calculations

00:48:25.200 to keep

00:48:27.460 things stable

00:48:28.040 and AI can

00:48:29.560 do those

00:48:30.080 better than

00:48:30.960 we can.

00:48:33.020 Where are

00:48:33.760 Scott's

00:48:34.100 critical

00:48:34.500 thinking

00:48:34.900 skills?

00:48:36.260 Somebody

00:48:36.660 asks.

00:48:37.880 I've

00:48:41.380 noticed that

00:48:41.880 when people

00:48:42.400 question my

00:48:43.500 critical thinking

00:48:44.540 skills,

00:48:45.860 it's always

00:48:47.440 because they're

00:48:48.040 really bad at

00:48:49.060 critical thinking.

00:48:51.180 Almost never

00:48:52.280 does somebody

00:48:52.820 who has good

00:48:53.420 critical thinking

00:48:54.180 skills criticize

00:48:55.640 my critical

00:48:56.480 thinking skills.

00:48:57.920 It almost

00:48:58.520 never happens.

00:49:00.240 But people

00:49:00.700 who are not

00:49:01.220 good at it

00:49:01.760 are pretty sure

00:49:02.440 I'm not good

00:49:03.040 at it.

00:49:05.900 That's a

00:49:06.660 pattern I

00:49:07.240 notice.

00:49:07.880 So the

00:49:14.100 FBI or the

00:49:15.340 Department of

00:49:15.860 Justice, I

00:49:16.720 just treat them

00:49:17.220 all the same,

00:49:18.540 is saying that

00:49:19.520 in their

00:49:20.180 affidavit said

00:49:21.020 that there

00:49:21.360 was a

00:49:21.880 probable cause

00:49:23.460 to believe

00:49:23.920 the evidence

00:49:24.540 of obstruction

00:49:25.320 would be

00:49:25.780 discovered at

00:49:26.680 Mar-a-Lago.

00:49:28.340 Probable cause

00:49:29.540 to believe the

00:49:30.220 evidence of

00:49:30.980 obstruction

00:49:31.580 would be

00:49:32.180 discovered.

00:49:33.420 Now, this

00:49:34.840 raises an

00:49:35.440 interesting

00:49:35.780 question.

00:49:36.360 What would

00:49:36.700 be the

00:49:37.020 nature of

00:49:37.560 that evidence?

00:49:39.360 So we're

00:49:40.060 not talking

00:49:40.580 about interviewing

00:49:41.260 humans, so 1.00

00:49:42.820 it's not about

00:49:43.260 a human

00:49:43.660 source.

00:49:45.220 There's a

00:49:45.860 physical

00:49:46.560 evidence of

00:49:48.460 obstruction.

00:49:50.400 What do you

00:49:51.120 think that

00:49:51.420 would be?

00:49:52.920 What would

00:49:53.600 be physical

00:49:54.620 evidence of

00:49:55.480 obstruction?

00:49:55.900 obstruction?

00:49:57.100 Now, one

00:49:58.420 Democrat said,

00:49:59.240 well, it

00:49:59.580 would be

00:49:59.880 evidence that

00:50:00.800 he still had

00:50:02.440 documents that

00:50:03.500 he lied and

00:50:04.400 said he does

00:50:04.900 not have.

00:50:05.880 Do you think

00:50:06.260 that's what it

00:50:06.720 is?

00:50:07.420 Because if

00:50:08.220 that's what it

00:50:08.680 was, I feel

00:50:09.540 like they

00:50:09.840 would just

00:50:10.160 say that.

00:50:11.460 They would

00:50:11.780 say there's

00:50:12.340 evidence he

00:50:12.960 obstructed

00:50:13.640 justice by

00:50:15.080 retaining some

00:50:16.000 things he

00:50:16.460 said that he

00:50:17.060 gave to us.

00:50:18.480 Because it

00:50:19.060 would be really

00:50:19.500 easy to say

00:50:20.220 what that

00:50:21.400 obstruction

00:50:21.860 would look

00:50:22.420 like, right?

00:50:23.860 Because obstruction

00:50:24.540 of justice is

00:50:25.360 this gigantic

00:50:25.880 category that

00:50:27.540 could mean

00:50:27.880 anything.

00:50:28.800 But if it's

00:50:29.440 specifically that

00:50:31.160 he retained some

00:50:32.020 things that he

00:50:32.800 said he didn't

00:50:33.560 have or he

00:50:34.160 refused to get

00:50:34.860 back, well,

00:50:35.980 then the evidence

00:50:36.620 that those things

00:50:37.260 exist would be

00:50:38.460 evidence.

00:50:39.380 But do you need

00:50:40.000 that?

00:50:41.220 Because I thought

00:50:42.020 we had records

00:50:42.780 of everything

00:50:44.140 that's in those

00:50:44.740 boxes.

00:50:45.840 Did the GSA

00:50:46.600 not record

00:50:47.480 what's in the

00:50:48.000 boxes?

00:50:49.580 Because if we

00:50:50.420 have a record

00:50:50.900 of everything

00:50:51.380 that was in

00:50:51.840 the boxes,

00:50:53.160 and they know

00:50:54.060 what they got,

00:50:55.380 we should know

00:50:56.900 exactly what we

00:50:57.900 got and what's

00:50:58.640 in the boxes.

00:50:59.160 Do you need to

00:51:00.440 go back to

00:51:00.960 Mar-a-Lago

00:51:01.460 to look?

00:51:04.380 I don't know.

00:51:07.480 Maybe,

00:51:08.620 somebody suggested.

00:51:10.020 There was

00:51:10.300 evidence on

00:51:11.080 video,

00:51:12.300 security camp,

00:51:13.220 showing somebody

00:51:13.840 messing with the

00:51:14.880 secure documents.

00:51:17.420 Would that be

00:51:18.360 obstruction of

00:51:19.180 justice?

00:51:21.000 Well, it kind of

00:51:21.980 depended on what

00:51:22.500 they were doing,

00:51:23.100 wasn't it?

00:51:24.680 Do you think

00:51:25.360 anybody really

00:51:26.060 unlocked that

00:51:26.740 door?

00:51:28.180 I'm sure

00:51:28.740 everybody knew

00:51:29.280 there was

00:51:29.560 video security.

00:51:31.040 Do you think

00:51:31.440 that anybody

00:51:32.060 didn't know

00:51:32.680 there was

00:51:32.960 video security?

00:51:34.600 So somebody

00:51:35.160 unlocked that

00:51:35.840 door and

00:51:36.860 then did

00:51:37.420 something to,

00:51:38.340 I don't know,

00:51:39.160 what?

00:51:39.640 Do what?

00:51:41.020 Destroy it or

00:51:41.960 take it out?

00:51:44.120 I mean, I can't

00:51:44.620 even imagine

00:51:45.260 what the

00:51:46.580 obstruction would

00:51:47.260 look like.

00:51:47.780 Give us any

00:51:48.420 kind of hint.

00:51:49.000 did Trump

00:51:51.440 send a memo

00:51:52.280 out telling

00:51:53.060 everybody to

00:51:53.660 obstruct and

00:51:54.720 then he had

00:51:55.300 the memo

00:51:55.700 ordered to be

00:51:56.500 sealed inside

00:51:57.200 the boxes so

00:51:58.940 that they could

00:51:59.300 be found?

00:52:00.820 I mean, to

00:52:01.840 me, this is an

00:52:02.600 obvious lie.

00:52:04.520 To me, the

00:52:05.500 evidence of

00:52:06.220 obstruction looks

00:52:07.640 like a fishing

00:52:08.240 expedition, that

00:52:09.900 if you let us

00:52:10.620 go in there,

00:52:11.120 we'll find

00:52:11.520 something.

00:52:12.340 We'll find

00:52:13.020 something that

00:52:13.480 looks like

00:52:13.800 evidence.

00:52:14.980 Do you think

00:52:15.760 you would sign

00:52:16.420 a search warrant

00:52:18.000 for evidence

00:52:20.120 of obstruction

00:52:20.860 if it didn't

00:52:21.620 tell you a

00:52:22.080 little bit

00:52:22.420 about what

00:52:22.800 that evidence

00:52:23.360 might look

00:52:23.860 like?

00:52:25.060 Like, we

00:52:25.620 think we'll

00:52:26.040 find a

00:52:26.600 document with

00:52:27.600 evidence.

00:52:28.280 We think

00:52:28.920 we'll find a

00:52:29.600 laptop with

00:52:31.000 evidence.

00:52:32.020 Something.

00:52:33.560 But if you

00:52:33.960 just say you're

00:52:34.460 looking for

00:52:34.980 evidence of

00:52:35.600 obstruction,

00:52:37.180 what judge

00:52:38.020 signs that?

00:52:41.600 I mean, I

00:52:42.300 realize it's

00:52:42.860 easy to get

00:52:43.500 an indictment.

00:52:44.800 You know, you

00:52:45.120 can indict a

00:52:45.700 ham sandwich,

00:52:46.440 blah, blah, blah.

00:52:46.820 But really?

00:52:49.540 Would somebody

00:52:50.240 sign a document

00:52:51.000 with a generic

00:52:51.820 description of,

00:52:53.260 oh, it might

00:52:53.960 be some

00:52:54.320 obstruction of

00:52:55.060 justice, might

00:52:56.060 be some

00:52:56.360 evidence?

00:52:57.500 Maybe.

00:52:58.120 Maybe there's

00:52:58.800 evidence of a

00:52:59.400 murder.

00:52:59.960 We don't know.

00:53:01.060 But if we

00:53:01.440 don't look

00:53:01.760 around, you

00:53:02.300 never know.

00:53:03.280 Maybe there's

00:53:03.800 a serial killer.

00:53:05.500 We don't

00:53:05.840 know.

00:53:06.520 That's why

00:53:06.920 we're looking.

00:53:07.620 If we knew

00:53:08.460 there was a

00:53:08.980 serial killer,

00:53:09.680 we'd act

00:53:10.020 differently.

00:53:10.580 But we

00:53:10.940 don't know,

00:53:12.300 so we have

00:53:13.040 to go look.

00:53:13.540 Look, every

00:53:15.920 part of this

00:53:16.400 is fishy as

00:53:17.080 hell.

00:53:17.880 Every part of

00:53:18.400 it.

00:53:19.660 Yeah, why

00:53:20.040 did it take

00:53:20.380 eight hours?

00:53:22.000 Actually, I'm

00:53:22.620 not too

00:53:23.120 surprised that

00:53:23.800 it took

00:53:24.040 hours and

00:53:24.500 hours, because

00:53:25.880 just everything

00:53:27.080 is slower than

00:53:27.760 you think it

00:53:28.180 should be.

00:53:29.680 I think the

00:53:30.340 part that

00:53:30.680 bothers me

00:53:31.160 about this

00:53:31.680 looking for

00:53:32.780 the evidence

00:53:33.380 of obstruction

00:53:34.080 of justice

00:53:34.640 is that our

00:53:36.180 government doesn't

00:53:36.900 respect the

00:53:37.520 public enough

00:53:38.120 to lie to

00:53:39.120 us well.

00:53:39.700 it's one

00:53:41.440 thing to

00:53:41.840 lie to

00:53:42.220 us.

00:53:43.220 It's bad

00:53:43.680 enough.

00:53:44.680 That's really

00:53:45.140 bad.

00:53:46.240 You don't

00:53:46.520 want your

00:53:46.820 government

00:53:47.100 lying to

00:53:47.600 you.

00:53:48.320 But I

00:53:49.020 feel extra

00:53:49.900 insulted when

00:53:51.400 the lies are

00:53:52.220 not even

00:53:52.820 designed to

00:53:53.820 fool us.

00:53:55.780 Right?

00:53:56.940 This feels

00:53:57.380 like a

00:53:57.660 different level.

00:53:59.500 A lie

00:54:00.060 that's designed

00:54:00.780 to fool

00:54:01.340 you, you

00:54:02.840 don't like

00:54:03.700 it, but

00:54:05.020 you kind of

00:54:05.580 understand that's

00:54:06.360 the world you

00:54:06.860 live in.

00:54:07.920 But when they

00:54:08.780 lie to you in

00:54:09.440 a way that

00:54:09.680 you can tell

00:54:10.460 just by the

00:54:11.200 way they

00:54:11.580 word it that

00:54:12.320 it's not

00:54:12.700 true, I

00:54:13.980 don't even

00:54:14.360 have to do

00:54:14.820 research to

00:54:15.540 know this

00:54:15.900 isn't true.

00:54:17.100 Do I?

00:54:18.080 Do I need to

00:54:18.880 do my own

00:54:19.360 research to

00:54:20.220 know that

00:54:20.740 they think

00:54:22.560 there might

00:54:22.920 be evidence

00:54:23.480 of obstruction

00:54:24.140 is bullshit?

00:54:27.140 Now, I

00:54:27.760 could change

00:54:28.140 my mind,

00:54:28.840 by the way.

00:54:29.360 It would be

00:54:29.680 easy for me

00:54:30.200 to change my

00:54:30.780 mind on this.

00:54:31.900 So if we

00:54:32.540 find out

00:54:32.980 tomorrow that

00:54:34.000 there was

00:54:34.940 actually some

00:54:35.540 evidence of

00:54:36.080 obstruction and

00:54:37.000 it's exactly

00:54:37.600 what they were

00:54:38.060 looking for,

00:54:39.100 okay.

00:54:39.400 I'll change

00:54:40.240 my mind.

00:54:41.500 But the

00:54:42.360 fact that

00:54:42.760 they worded

00:54:43.380 it the way

00:54:43.800 they worded

00:54:44.340 it was such

00:54:46.000 lack of

00:54:47.580 clarity about

00:54:48.240 what it was

00:54:48.720 they were

00:54:48.920 looking at,

00:54:49.740 that really

00:54:50.520 just is a

00:54:52.000 blaring

00:54:52.700 confirmation that

00:54:54.260 this is

00:54:54.660 illegitimate to

00:54:56.300 me.

00:54:57.300 It looks like

00:54:57.800 they're saying

00:54:58.200 it right to

00:54:58.560 your face.

00:54:59.320 This is

00:54:59.800 illegitimate.

00:55:01.180 We're going

00:55:01.700 to do it

00:55:02.020 anyway.

00:55:03.260 That's what it

00:55:03.880 feels like.

00:55:04.920 It's not

00:55:05.380 legitimate.

00:55:06.040 We're not even

00:55:06.420 going to try

00:55:06.760 too hard to

00:55:07.240 lie to you about

00:55:07.800 it.

00:55:08.040 We're just

00:55:08.520 going to do

00:55:08.880 it anyway.

00:55:09.520 Because we

00:55:09.880 want to do

00:55:10.280 it.

00:55:10.580 That's why.

00:55:13.540 All right.

00:55:16.720 What do you

00:55:17.320 think about

00:55:17.740 this take on

00:55:18.520 Ukraine and

00:55:19.260 Russia? 0.61

00:55:21.420 That whatever

00:55:22.380 Russia gained 0.93

00:55:23.400 by control over

00:55:24.780 those territories

00:55:27.060 that it captured

00:55:28.460 from Ukraine,

00:55:29.680 whatever it

00:55:30.460 gained from

00:55:31.120 that will

00:55:32.740 never be as

00:55:33.540 big as what

00:55:34.120 they lost in

00:55:35.800 in terms of

00:55:36.440 energy control

00:55:37.400 over Europe.

00:55:39.080 So Putin's

00:55:39.840 influence over

00:55:41.080 Europe will

00:55:42.100 basically disappear

00:55:43.320 in about two

00:55:44.100 years because

00:55:45.500 they will find

00:55:46.120 replacement sources.

00:55:47.660 They won't allow

00:55:48.880 themselves in this

00:55:49.600 situation again.

00:55:51.400 So wouldn't you

00:55:52.100 say that Putin

00:55:52.940 lost in the

00:55:55.280 sense that his

00:55:55.980 long-term loss of

00:55:57.380 Europe as a

00:55:58.220 market and also

00:55:59.580 his political

00:56:00.300 control over Europe,

00:56:01.380 which is more

00:56:01.840 important probably,

00:56:02.940 don't you think

00:56:04.980 he lost more in

00:56:05.940 the long run

00:56:06.400 than he gained

00:56:07.020 with those

00:56:07.540 strategic places

00:56:09.580 that he controls?

00:56:12.360 What do you

00:56:12.960 think?

00:56:13.800 Did he gain more

00:56:14.900 or lose more?

00:56:15.980 If you're just

00:56:16.500 comparing the

00:56:17.500 strategic value of

00:56:19.480 Europe as your

00:56:20.160 energy market that

00:56:21.760 you're losing,

00:56:22.840 compare it to the

00:56:23.640 strategic value of

00:56:25.060 taking control of

00:56:26.140 that Crimea and

00:56:28.300 Donbass area.

00:56:29.060 So a lot of

00:56:32.700 people think he

00:56:33.260 gained more than

00:56:33.900 he lost.

00:56:37.280 To me it looks

00:56:39.000 like a loss.

00:56:41.420 So there are

00:56:42.320 more NATO

00:56:42.860 countries.

00:56:44.400 He has less

00:56:45.240 money, less

00:56:46.060 standing in the

00:56:46.780 world.

00:56:47.800 His technology

00:56:49.160 based industries

00:56:50.000 are going to be

00:56:50.440 decimated because

00:56:51.160 they can't get

00:56:51.640 ships.

00:56:52.960 He has lost his

00:56:53.840 biggest energy

00:56:54.600 deal, disinvited

00:56:57.480 to a variety of

00:56:58.760 international things

00:56:59.720 I assume.

00:57:00.340 That's going to

00:57:00.700 happen.

00:57:01.800 And all he got

00:57:02.600 for it was more

00:57:03.760 access to the

00:57:04.680 ocean.

00:57:07.200 That's it.

00:57:08.520 A little bit of

00:57:09.460 land that's good

00:57:10.300 economically.

00:57:11.380 But even the

00:57:12.060 stuff he took

00:57:12.600 over, it might

00:57:14.780 have been good

00:57:15.180 economically at

00:57:16.020 one point, but

00:57:17.400 if he has to

00:57:17.980 occupy it with a

00:57:18.940 standing army, it's

00:57:19.880 not really

00:57:20.240 economical anymore.

00:57:22.080 So I don't

00:57:22.640 believe he won on

00:57:23.720 economics with the

00:57:25.440 territory he took

00:57:26.660 over because it

00:57:27.640 will be too

00:57:27.960 expensive to

00:57:28.600 hold it.

00:57:31.120 To me, it

00:57:31.820 looks like loss.

00:57:35.480 Yeah, and if

00:57:36.300 he is doing more

00:57:36.920 business with

00:57:37.540 China, that 0.94

00:57:38.780 gives China 0.99

00:57:39.540 subtle control

00:57:41.740 over Russia.

00:57:43.000 So that looks

00:57:43.700 bad too.

00:57:48.920 Oh yeah, and

00:57:50.500 Russia's army has

00:57:51.580 been shown to be

00:57:52.420 weak.

00:57:53.140 And I think

00:57:54.140 the public is

00:57:56.540 going to start

00:57:56.980 noticing the

00:57:58.600 body bags at

00:57:59.320 some point in

00:57:59.880 Russia.

00:58:01.240 To me, I

00:58:01.960 think that my

00:58:02.460 prediction that

00:58:03.280 Ukraine would 0.96

00:58:04.340 win is one of

00:58:07.920 my best

00:58:08.280 predictions.

00:58:11.200 Because if

00:58:11.860 you're the

00:58:12.140 country that

00:58:12.640 got attacked,

00:58:14.300 winning means

00:58:15.200 surviving.

00:58:17.660 And it looks

00:58:18.380 like Ukraine will 1.00

00:58:19.140 survive with less

00:58:20.300 territory, but

00:58:21.000 they'll survive.

00:58:21.520 And if

00:58:23.600 Putin was

00:58:24.520 trying to gain

00:58:25.240 economics or

00:58:26.380 influence or

00:58:29.680 even legacy, I'm

00:58:33.060 not sure that he

00:58:33.840 got that.

00:58:35.820 It looks like he

00:58:36.800 might come out

00:58:37.300 behind.

00:58:39.380 But maybe the

00:58:40.420 legacy thing he can

00:58:41.360 control because he

00:58:42.080 controls the

00:58:42.780 information.

00:58:43.660 Wall Street Journal

00:58:50.860 said, if the

00:58:52.100 winter isn't too

00:58:52.940 cold, Germany's 0.98

00:58:53.800 economy will only

00:58:54.760 contract by 2.3%.

00:58:56.440 Do you think that

00:59:00.520 people are really at

00:59:01.600 risk of freezing to

00:59:02.420 death?

00:59:04.320 Because I have a

00:59:05.320 feeling that if the

00:59:07.380 poor actually

00:59:08.280 couldn't heat, they 0.71

00:59:10.680 would just go where

00:59:11.440 they could, right?

00:59:12.260 Would the poor

00:59:14.240 actually just stay in

00:59:15.180 their homes and

00:59:15.700 die?

00:59:16.980 Or would they, see,

00:59:18.260 the people who die 0.86

00:59:19.100 from freezing are the

00:59:21.040 poor who are sort of 0.72

00:59:24.000 in their own

00:59:24.420 situation.

00:59:25.840 It's usually people 0.98

00:59:26.880 who nobody knows

00:59:27.800 they're freezing to

00:59:28.460 death, and then they

00:59:29.760 do.

00:59:30.660 But if you knew that

00:59:31.840 all the poor people 0.98

00:59:32.600 didn't have power, and

00:59:34.900 they wouldn't know

00:59:35.420 that, wouldn't you

00:59:36.780 make sure that

00:59:37.360 everybody went to

00:59:38.060 all the poor people 0.98

00:59:38.800 and said, look, you're

00:59:39.620 not going to have any

00:59:40.140 power.

00:59:40.460 But if you come

00:59:41.940 down to this

00:59:42.460 government building,

00:59:44.220 you can sleep here

00:59:45.240 overnight until we

00:59:46.340 get power again, and

00:59:47.580 we'll have at least

00:59:48.140 electricity in this

00:59:49.040 government building.

00:59:50.520 I feel like it would

00:59:52.560 be a huge disruption

00:59:54.580 in normal behavior,

00:59:57.380 but they can keep

00:59:58.760 people warm.

01:00:01.080 Right?

01:00:01.840 I don't think people

01:00:02.720 are going to...

01:00:03.840 I think the ones that

01:00:04.820 will literally die from

01:00:06.140 the cold are the ones

01:00:07.660 that don't have any

01:00:08.260 family or connections.

01:00:09.700 Like, nobody knows

01:00:10.580 they're there.

01:00:11.760 But I think everybody

01:00:12.780 who asks for help will

01:00:14.120 just be taken to a

01:00:15.600 warm place.

01:00:18.240 Yeah.

01:00:19.260 So we'll see.

01:00:20.980 Yeah, for months.

01:00:22.120 For months.

01:00:22.920 Yeah.

01:00:23.480 If you had to.

01:00:24.600 Because, you know, look

01:00:25.340 at the pandemic.

01:00:26.600 We did a lot of things

01:00:27.480 in the pandemic that

01:00:28.740 you would imagine were

01:00:30.020 undoable, but you have

01:00:31.240 to do them in an

01:00:31.900 emergency.

01:00:32.280 We just had a pandemic

01:00:40.100 and the death rate

01:00:40.960 didn't really matter.

01:00:42.260 Okay?

01:00:42.780 I think it did matter.

01:00:51.660 Yeah, normal people

01:00:52.740 go where it's warm.

01:00:53.540 That's right.

01:00:57.700 Old people never die

01:00:58.900 from cold.

01:00:59.640 Right.

01:00:59.860 You know, somebody

01:01:02.080 has to teach

01:01:02.880 Democrats that 0.57

01:01:04.480 sarcasm is not

01:01:05.680 an argument.

01:01:09.240 Here's my typical

01:01:10.440 argument with a

01:01:12.140 Democrat.

01:01:13.160 I say,

01:01:14.520 the moon is up in

01:01:17.200 the sky.

01:01:18.680 And the Democrat

01:01:19.700 will say,

01:01:20.500 the moon is,

01:01:21.980 really,

01:01:22.780 the moon is up

01:01:23.780 in the sky.

01:01:24.320 Oh, this guy,

01:01:26.300 this guy,

01:01:27.320 everybody.

01:01:28.340 The Dilbert guy,

01:01:29.740 everybody,

01:01:30.380 the Dilbert guy,

01:01:31.260 you said,

01:01:32.060 the moon,

01:01:33.160 it's up in the sky.

01:01:36.640 Oh, stick to comics,

01:01:39.180 you 80s comic guy.

01:01:43.160 It's like half

01:01:43.920 of my discussions

01:01:44.720 are somebody

01:01:46.100 acting sarcastic

01:01:47.340 out of context.

01:01:50.100 Sarcasm works

01:01:51.140 when you have a point.

01:01:52.360 If you have

01:01:54.720 a good argument,

01:01:56.180 adding a little

01:01:57.340 sarcasm on top

01:01:58.380 of your argument,

01:01:59.700 that's good stuff.

01:02:01.460 That's exactly

01:02:02.380 where you want

01:02:02.920 your sarcasm to be.

01:02:04.840 Make your good

01:02:05.620 argument,

01:02:06.780 and then just

01:02:07.700 frost it

01:02:08.680 with a little

01:02:09.140 sarcasm.

01:02:10.180 That's good stuff.

01:02:11.680 Do you know what

01:02:12.120 is not good stuff?

01:02:13.900 No argument

01:02:14.700 whatsoever

01:02:15.280 with a restatement

01:02:17.820 of what you just

01:02:18.520 said,

01:02:19.100 but with a

01:02:19.920 sarcastic tone.

01:02:20.860 Trump was better

01:02:26.060 for immigration.

01:02:28.440 Okay.

01:02:29.840 All right.

01:02:30.520 Compared to Biden.

01:02:32.420 All right.

01:02:33.900 So Trump controlled

01:02:36.200 the border better

01:02:37.340 than Biden

01:02:37.920 is what you're saying.

01:02:38.720 All right, guy.

01:02:39.480 All right.

01:02:40.640 That's what the

01:02:41.420 cartoonist says.

01:02:42.700 That's what the

01:02:43.220 cartoonist says.

01:02:44.780 That's their whole

01:02:45.600 argument,

01:02:46.240 is attitude.

01:02:47.760 Have you ever

01:02:48.360 watched CNN

01:02:49.900 or MSNBC 0.85

01:02:50.860 to see how

01:02:51.460 they report

01:02:51.920 the news?

01:02:53.540 They report

01:02:54.380 the news,

01:02:55.040 but they make

01:02:55.840 a face.

01:02:58.460 So they'll

01:02:59.400 report ordinary

01:03:00.420 news,

01:03:01.260 but with a face

01:03:02.480 like there's

01:03:03.120 something terrible

01:03:03.760 going on.

01:03:05.760 It's like,

01:03:07.140 well,

01:03:07.800 President Trump

01:03:08.580 says he's

01:03:09.260 going to cut

01:03:09.940 taxes.

01:03:10.520 And then

01:03:20.220 that's the news.

01:03:21.740 The news

01:03:22.300 is a statement

01:03:22.980 of fact

01:03:23.500 followed by

01:03:24.760 lots of facial

01:03:25.820 so that you

01:03:29.000 think there's

01:03:29.440 something wrong

01:03:29.960 with the fact.

01:03:31.040 But if you only

01:03:31.900 listen to the fact,

01:03:32.780 you'd be like,

01:03:33.960 well,

01:03:34.220 that was just

01:03:34.920 like a fact.

01:03:36.840 What's the sarcasm

01:03:37.940 about?

01:03:41.400 All right.

01:03:45.200 That,

01:03:45.880 ladies and 0.98

01:03:46.260 gentlemen,

01:03:47.420 brings us to

01:03:48.420 the conclusion

01:03:49.120 of the exciting

01:03:50.160 content which I

01:03:51.180 prepared for you.

01:03:54.140 If you were

01:03:54.920 a member of

01:03:55.620 the locals

01:03:56.620 subscription

01:03:57.740 platform

01:03:58.460 in my

01:03:59.840 community,

01:04:00.580 you would be

01:04:01.300 seeing a

01:04:01.640 micro lesson

01:04:02.220 probably later

01:04:02.920 today on

01:04:03.680 how to

01:04:04.140 defeat your

01:04:05.100 social anxiety

01:04:06.860 using reframing.

01:04:08.740 Some hypnosis

01:04:09.520 tricks that

01:04:10.340 you could

01:04:10.540 try on

01:04:10.900 yourself.

01:04:12.860 And

01:04:13.280 so I'll

01:04:17.700 be fixing

01:04:18.220 everybody's

01:04:18.840 problems over

01:04:19.500 on the locals

01:04:20.160 platform.

01:04:22.360 And don't

01:04:23.120 you wish you

01:04:23.580 were there.

01:04:24.500 All right.

01:04:32.300 All right,

01:04:33.040 all right.

01:04:34.360 YouTube,

01:04:35.180 thanks for

01:04:35.640 joining.

01:04:35.880 It was a

01:04:36.920 great show,

01:04:37.560 wasn't it?

01:04:39.820 Bye for

01:04:40.380 now.

01:04:40.580 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 29, 2022

Episode 1850 Scott Adams： More Obvious Lies From The FBI And DOJ. All The Gaslighting Going On Now

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Transcript