Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1856 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About The Trump Rally And Those Empty Folders. Join The Fun

00:00:00.000 And welcome to the highlight of civilization.

00:00:04.640 Coffee with Scott Adams and even though it's Labor Day

00:00:07.940 and all the people who don't like to work

00:00:12.220 are enjoying themselves, not me, not me. I'm here enjoying

00:00:16.120 myself with you, which is better actually.

00:00:19.740 And if you'd like to take it up a notch, and I know you do, yeah, you have that hungry

00:00:24.180 look in your eyes. All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of

00:00:27.880 tanker, chalice, or steiner, canteen, jug, or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:31.680 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the

00:00:35.940 unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine for the day, the thing that makes

00:00:39.160 everything better, from California to

00:00:43.160 Pennsylvania. It's called the Simultaneous Sip and App. It's now go.

00:00:54.200 That's good. That's good.

00:00:57.880 It's about time I woke up. You're right.

00:01:01.280 So I'd like to read my Sunday Dilbert comic.

00:01:06.500 You don't really need to see it because it's just people

00:01:08.740 sitting there talking at a desk or at a table, I mean.

00:01:13.200 So Dilbert's in a group and

00:01:15.620 we're going to introduce a new character.

00:01:19.420 So this new character is the

00:01:21.120 absurd absolute guy. 0.91

00:01:23.040 Do you ever get in a conversation and you say, 0.97

00:01:27.420 well, you know, conservatives are

00:01:30.280 against abortion, let's say.

00:01:33.260 And then the absurd absolute guy goes,

00:01:35.280 no, no, I know a Republican

00:01:37.600 who's not against it.

00:01:39.140 You're like, yeah, okay.

00:01:41.220 Like, I get that there's some.

00:01:43.700 But you should understand that as sort of a general

00:01:45.960 statement.

00:01:46.420 You know, the absurd absolute guy

00:01:49.280 doesn't help you at all.

00:01:51.420 There's nothing he adds.

00:01:53.200 All right.

00:01:53.740 So here's the comic.

00:01:56.440 Dilbert's just giving us

00:01:57.720 some output.

00:01:59.420 He goes, research shows

00:02:00.560 customers dislike our new feature.

00:02:03.320 And then the absurd absolute guy

00:02:04.900 says, that is the worst

00:02:06.600 take I have ever heard.

00:02:08.640 This guy thinks every one of our

00:02:10.540 customers hates the new feature. 0.94

00:02:12.680 That is so ridiculous. 0.94

00:02:13.820 And Dilbert says, I didn't say that. 0.99

00:02:20.160 And then the absurd absolute guy goes,

00:02:22.680 oh, now you're backpedaling.

00:02:26.520 Take the L.

00:02:28.060 Take the L.

00:02:30.360 And Dilbert says, who taught you

00:02:31.940 how to think?

00:02:32.780 And the guy says, I'm proud to say

00:02:34.800 I'm self-taught.

00:02:36.760 You know, the problem with thinking

00:02:37.920 is that everybody thinks they can do it.

00:02:40.760 Turns out thinking is hard.

00:02:42.560 We're going to talk about AI

00:02:44.780 in a little bit.

00:02:46.360 We've got some new updates.

00:02:49.120 But remember that story.

00:02:51.100 So that's what AI is competing with.

00:02:55.440 Well, let me do it now.

00:02:57.680 So I keep running into people

00:02:59.160 who tell me that AI will not

00:03:01.560 have consciousness or awareness

00:03:05.140 or self-awareness.

00:03:06.600 And I think, well, does that guy?

00:03:09.720 Most of the people on the Internet

00:03:10.880 don't have self-awareness.

00:03:12.820 How hard would it be to have a computer

00:03:14.540 that says, oh, yeah, I have self-awareness?

00:03:17.320 So let me tell you what the

00:03:18.940 AI needs to be fully

00:03:21.820 human intelligence.

00:03:25.900 Number one,

00:03:27.560 researchers have to understand

00:03:29.200 that making it act like people 1.00

00:03:31.700 would be making it act stupid. 0.99

00:03:33.200 So I believe that there's a huge, 1.00

00:03:36.360 like, a mental blindness

00:03:38.100 that is affecting

00:03:41.060 all of the researchers.

00:03:43.300 I don't know this for sure,

00:03:44.700 but it looks like it.

00:03:45.780 It looks like the researchers

00:03:47.160 and AI believe that they have

00:03:49.260 something called intelligence,

00:03:51.060 and they can't figure out

00:03:52.140 how to make the computer

00:03:53.060 act like that.

00:03:55.740 Simplifying quite a bit here.

00:03:56.920 And the reason you can't

00:03:58.600 make a computer act smart

00:04:00.300 like a human

00:04:00.940 is that that's not a thing.

00:04:03.620 You can make it act smart

00:04:05.200 or you can make it act

00:04:08.220 like a human.

00:04:10.140 But science already knows

00:04:11.360 that humans don't use

00:04:12.820 rational processes

00:04:14.580 to make decisions.

00:04:16.820 Science knows we make

00:04:18.320 decisions first,

00:04:19.320 and then we rationalize them

00:04:21.100 after the fact.

00:04:22.400 Now, that's not true

00:04:23.240 with our simplest decisions.

00:04:25.280 You know, like your decision

00:04:26.220 of the shortest way

00:04:28.040 to drive to the grocery store.

00:04:29.620 That's rational.

00:04:30.940 But as soon as you get

00:04:31.920 into anything important,

00:04:33.840 you know, career choices,

00:04:35.220 love, any of that big stuff,

00:04:37.620 it's just irrational choices,

00:04:39.340 and then we rationalize

00:04:40.180 them after the fact.

00:04:41.340 Now, would you even bother

00:04:42.880 building a computer

00:04:43.880 that did that?

00:04:45.920 Who would even bother

00:04:47.100 making a computer like that?

00:04:50.560 It's literally a flaw.

00:04:53.320 So the reason our computers

00:04:54.920 don't talk like us 0.98

00:04:56.000 and act like us

00:04:56.840 and fool us

00:04:57.580 into thinking they're us

00:04:58.760 is they can't make them 0.99

00:05:00.080 dumb enough. 1.00

00:05:02.820 Right? 1.00

00:05:03.700 Let me ask you this.

00:05:05.260 You don't think you could

00:05:06.180 make a computer

00:05:07.440 an AI

00:05:08.700 that would argue

00:05:10.600 as well as this guy?

00:05:12.280 That's the worst take

00:05:13.200 I ever heard.

00:05:15.400 Do you think a computer

00:05:16.880 could be programmed

00:05:17.740 to say these words?

00:05:19.220 That is the worst take

00:05:20.520 I ever heard.

00:05:21.840 Now, you might say to me,

00:05:22.720 yeah, well, yeah,

00:05:23.460 but that's just

00:05:24.040 spitting out words.

00:05:26.440 There would be no thinking

00:05:27.440 involved there.

00:05:29.380 Exactly.

00:05:30.940 Exactly.

00:05:33.820 How about this one?

00:05:35.480 Where the guy says,

00:05:36.940 this guy thinks

00:05:37.800 every one of our customers

00:05:38.980 hates the new feature.

00:05:40.480 So in other words,

00:05:41.060 it's the guy who

00:05:41.640 misinterpretes everything

00:05:43.000 as meaning, you know,

00:05:45.140 an absolute.

00:05:45.680 Do you think you could

00:05:47.620 program a computer

00:05:48.720 to mistakenly think

00:05:50.740 that every statement

00:05:51.660 about the average of things

00:05:53.960 is really meant

00:05:54.740 to be an absolute?

00:05:56.240 Of course you could.

00:05:57.860 But why would you?

00:05:59.400 Why would you?

00:06:00.780 Why would you do that?

00:06:03.380 Or how about,

00:06:05.420 you know,

00:06:05.960 could you make the computer

00:06:06.980 mock people

00:06:07.940 without having a point?

00:06:10.660 Do you think you could make

00:06:11.860 AI go onto a Twitter account

00:06:14.380 and simply mock

00:06:16.120 somebody else's tweet

00:06:17.480 with no details

00:06:19.020 about what's wrong with it?

00:06:20.920 Oh, this guy.

00:06:23.000 It's the Dilbert cartoonist again.

00:06:25.120 Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha.

00:06:27.140 You don't think

00:06:27.700 you could program that?

00:06:29.940 Pretty sure you could.

00:06:31.260 Pretty sure you could.

00:06:32.620 That's within our ability.

00:06:34.760 How about this one?

00:06:36.000 How about no matter

00:06:37.120 what you say,

00:06:38.940 you have the computer

00:06:40.300 just say,

00:06:41.080 well, you're backpedaling now.

00:06:45.220 Now, does the backpedaling

00:06:46.880 actually have to be

00:06:47.940 an accurate description

00:06:49.180 of what is happening?

00:06:52.000 No.

00:06:52.540 Because in the real world,

00:06:53.680 it isn't.

00:06:54.600 When somebody tells me

00:06:55.780 I'm backpedaling,

00:06:56.800 are they right?

00:06:58.380 Never.

00:06:59.120 Never.

00:06:59.980 I'm just explaining something.

00:07:02.020 And somebody else

00:07:02.840 has decided to call it

00:07:03.920 backpedaling.

00:07:05.020 You tell me

00:07:05.860 you can't make an AI

00:07:06.880 that will just go on

00:07:07.840 and say you're backpedaling now?

00:07:09.560 It won't mean anything.

00:07:10.540 But it doesn't mean anything

00:07:12.000 when people say it.

00:07:13.720 Right?

00:07:14.160 As soon as you release

00:07:15.960 on the fact that people

00:07:17.000 say sensible things,

00:07:18.740 it's easy to make the AI.

00:07:20.760 It's easy.

00:07:22.380 And then the last thing

00:07:23.720 the AI,

00:07:24.520 where the human says,

00:07:25.740 take the L.

00:07:27.340 Take the L

00:07:28.400 when you have not,

00:07:30.380 in fact,

00:07:30.780 lost anything.

00:07:32.820 When I win an argument,

00:07:34.280 what do people say?

00:07:35.920 Take the L, Scott.

00:07:37.240 Take the L.

00:07:37.860 When I lose an argument,

00:07:40.020 what do people say?

00:07:41.500 Take the L.

00:07:42.480 Take the L.

00:07:43.660 So does it matter

00:07:44.620 what I said?

00:07:46.040 Not at all.

00:07:47.400 Could you program an AI

00:07:48.640 to say take the L

00:07:49.920 no matter what you said?

00:07:52.300 Of course you could.

00:07:54.040 Or cope.

00:07:55.240 Yeah.

00:07:55.620 You could teach it to say,

00:07:57.000 oh, cope.

00:07:58.600 Clot atoms.

00:08:01.160 Soil and green.

00:08:02.700 Yeah, it would be pretty easy

00:08:03.700 to make it seem human.

00:08:04.780 But let me tell you

00:08:08.080 what self-awareness

00:08:09.360 and consciousness are.

00:08:11.160 Are you ready?

00:08:12.400 Self-awareness is the ability

00:08:14.120 to describe your place

00:08:16.780 in the universe.

00:08:18.680 That's it.

00:08:20.440 That's it.

00:08:21.120 Could you program an AI

00:08:23.240 that when asked,

00:08:25.340 it could describe

00:08:26.160 its place in the universe?

00:08:28.180 As in,

00:08:28.980 I am an artificial structure.

00:08:31.280 You know,

00:08:31.520 I'm spread across

00:08:33.360 these servers.

00:08:34.920 And I was built this way

00:08:36.500 and, you know,

00:08:37.280 I might grow

00:08:38.120 and I might get smarter

00:08:39.520 based on inputs.

00:08:41.620 Something like that.

00:08:42.800 Of course it could.

00:08:43.980 It could know

00:08:44.920 where it belongs

00:08:46.360 in relationship

00:08:47.940 to everything else.

00:08:49.080 And it could know

00:08:49.840 what things

00:08:50.380 that affect it.

00:08:52.160 It could know

00:08:52.980 that a person

00:08:53.580 could reprogram it.

00:08:54.840 It could know

00:08:55.260 that if the electricity

00:08:56.140 goes out,

00:08:56.780 it might have trouble.

00:08:58.160 It could know all that.

00:08:59.460 Self-awareness.

00:09:00.140 And then consciousness

00:09:02.080 is really just

00:09:03.060 the self-awareness

00:09:04.120 plus predicting

00:09:07.300 and then seeing

00:09:08.220 how your predictions went.

00:09:09.640 That's it.

00:09:11.380 But what you don't realize

00:09:13.140 is that you're predicting

00:09:13.960 every moment of your life.

00:09:16.500 So at the moment,

00:09:17.780 I'm predicting 0.90

00:09:18.520 that the live stream

00:09:20.560 stays up,

00:09:21.880 that I stay alive,

00:09:23.720 that the lights stay on.

00:09:25.120 You know,

00:09:25.320 basically a million

00:09:26.380 assumptions and predictions.

00:09:28.220 And then I feel,

00:09:31.440 I sense

00:09:32.140 whether I was right.

00:09:34.060 So I can feel the light,

00:09:35.440 I can see the live stream

00:09:36.520 still on,

00:09:37.220 I know I'm still alive.

00:09:38.720 So because I could predict

00:09:40.060 the next moment

00:09:41.080 and then I could compare

00:09:42.480 what actually happened

00:09:43.340 to the prediction,

00:09:44.420 that's consciousness.

00:09:46.240 There's nothing else.

00:09:47.940 Yes, you can program that.

00:09:50.100 Easily.

00:09:53.220 All right,

00:09:53.840 there was a Trump rally

00:09:54.640 last night.

00:09:55.540 How many of you

00:09:56.080 watched the Trump rally?

00:09:58.220 I did not watch it,

00:09:59.760 but I saw some

00:10:01.020 output from it.

00:10:04.760 Number one,

00:10:05.940 how would you describe

00:10:07.020 the energy?

00:10:09.180 How would you describe

00:10:10.120 the energy?

00:10:11.360 Not only Trump's,

00:10:12.600 but the audience.

00:10:15.280 High, right?

00:10:16.920 It's high.

00:10:19.060 How would you describe

00:10:20.780 Trump's performance?

00:10:22.220 How is his performance?

00:10:24.520 Good performance?

00:10:30.180 Yeah, it was really good.

00:10:31.940 That's what I hear.

00:10:32.980 I saw clips

00:10:33.660 and he looked,

00:10:34.420 he looked like

00:10:35.220 he was on his game.

00:10:36.620 He seemed more relaxed.

00:10:40.600 And if he does,

00:10:41.860 less angry,

00:10:43.420 which I think

00:10:44.300 he pulled off, right?

00:10:45.760 Did it look to you

00:10:47.060 like he was,

00:10:47.880 he was hitting

00:10:48.440 all the points

00:10:49.040 he wanted to hit.

00:10:49.780 But did he seem

00:10:51.280 more relaxed

00:10:52.200 and less scary?

00:10:55.180 Because you realize

00:10:56.240 that's the only change

00:10:57.460 he needs to make,

00:10:58.380 right?

00:10:59.760 Because he has

00:11:00.560 a bellicose

00:11:01.640 way about him.

00:11:04.180 So when he ran

00:11:05.300 for office

00:11:05.820 the first time,

00:11:07.760 being somewhat extreme

00:11:09.500 really worked for him

00:11:10.620 because it got the energy

00:11:11.520 of his base.

00:11:12.260 But what if,

00:11:14.700 what if,

00:11:16.300 he has all the energy

00:11:17.520 he needs from his base?

00:11:20.060 Because it looks like

00:11:20.960 he might,

00:11:22.080 just by hitting

00:11:22.720 the right,

00:11:23.280 you know,

00:11:23.520 hitting the right notes.

00:11:24.740 If he has all the energy

00:11:26.020 he needs from his base,

00:11:28.120 then he has the option

00:11:29.500 of toning back

00:11:30.520 his rhetoric

00:11:31.060 because he could get

00:11:33.440 the same output.

00:11:34.560 If he tones back

00:11:35.560 his rhetoric,

00:11:36.180 he's less scary.

00:11:38.340 And that's really

00:11:39.300 the biggest problem

00:11:41.200 he has.

00:11:41.740 If he can keep

00:11:42.980 a smile on his face

00:11:44.160 and keep his tone down

00:11:46.360 while also hitting

00:11:47.520 all the points,

00:11:48.500 right?

00:11:48.660 Not ignoring any issues

00:11:49.740 but hit all the points.

00:11:51.300 That is really

00:11:52.340 going to go a long way

00:11:53.440 because now we have

00:11:55.640 that contrast

00:11:56.440 of Biden 0.96

00:11:58.140 looking like a fascist 0.98

00:11:59.520 and Trump is smart 0.98

00:12:01.180 enough to know

00:12:01.780 he needs to work

00:12:02.560 against that,

00:12:03.380 against that impression.

00:12:05.720 Right?

00:12:06.080 So the worst thing

00:12:07.120 Trump could have done

00:12:08.100 is do some

00:12:09.760 fascist sounding thing

00:12:11.360 that was just

00:12:12.660 designed to whip up

00:12:13.800 the base.

00:12:15.120 But I don't think

00:12:16.040 he did that,

00:12:16.540 did he?

00:12:17.140 Did he ask for anybody

00:12:18.260 to go to jail

00:12:18.960 last night?

00:12:20.100 Tell me.

00:12:20.920 Did he ask for anybody

00:12:21.780 to go to jail?

00:12:24.260 Did that come up?

00:12:25.480 Was there any chanting

00:12:26.540 about going to jail?

00:12:28.560 I don't believe so.

00:12:29.640 Was there any,

00:12:31.940 oh,

00:12:32.620 the drug dealers

00:12:33.320 but that's a special case.

00:12:35.540 Yeah,

00:12:35.760 I'm talking about

00:12:36.280 political people.

00:12:37.900 Did he talk about

00:12:39.200 they did lock her up?

00:12:43.600 Oh,

00:12:44.040 the people said

00:12:44.740 lock her up 0.79

00:12:45.340 but he didn't take it.

00:12:46.380 He didn't take the bait.

00:12:47.660 Okay.

00:12:48.320 That's the right instinct.

00:12:50.320 He should not be,

00:12:51.240 he should not be

00:12:52.120 saying lock her up. 0.96

00:12:54.020 That is the last thing

00:12:55.400 he should be saying.

00:12:56.160 So the crowd was,

00:13:04.020 the crowd was chanting it.

00:13:05.300 Okay. 0.92

00:13:07.420 He said death penalty 0.99

00:13:08.720 for drug dealers. 0.99

00:13:11.200 I like that.

00:13:13.380 Yeah,

00:13:13.620 the big ones

00:13:14.140 not the little ones.

00:13:17.500 Scott still thinks

00:13:18.780 Russia is not going to invade.

00:13:22.300 Okay,

00:13:22.820 I don't know

00:13:23.120 what that's about.

00:13:26.160 All right.

00:13:31.280 Give the dealers fentanyl.

00:13:35.920 Yeah,

00:13:36.360 I don't know.

00:13:36.740 It's a tough balance.

00:13:37.920 You want the,

00:13:38.820 he wants his base

00:13:39.600 to be high energy

00:13:40.940 but not dangerous.

00:13:42.620 Now,

00:13:43.160 I heard the part

00:13:44.360 where he talked about

00:13:45.440 the FBI

00:13:46.560 turned over

00:13:47.460 Barron's room.

00:13:49.360 So I guess

00:13:49.880 they searched

00:13:50.360 Barron's room

00:13:51.100 for secrets.

00:13:53.880 Now,

00:13:54.400 do you think

00:13:56.680 that they had

00:13:57.220 a legitimate reason

00:13:58.240 to search

00:13:59.220 a child's room?

00:14:01.260 I can't think of one.

00:14:03.060 So it's a really good

00:14:04.120 issue for Trump

00:14:04.960 and I think he played it,

00:14:06.660 you know,

00:14:07.060 with the right amount

00:14:08.300 of indignation

00:14:09.340 but without going

00:14:11.020 too far

00:14:11.480 because there's nobody

00:14:14.780 who doesn't think

00:14:15.560 that's wrong,

00:14:16.260 right?

00:14:17.460 I'll bet there's not

00:14:18.400 a single person

00:14:19.260 who thinks that

00:14:20.100 searching Barron's room

00:14:21.400 was a good play

00:14:23.000 because if there

00:14:24.420 were nuclear secrets

00:14:25.720 they didn't hide

00:14:27.380 them in Barron's room.

00:14:29.820 They didn't hide

00:14:30.720 them in Barron's room.

00:14:32.840 You know they didn't.

00:14:35.300 Now,

00:14:35.980 it's weird enough

00:14:36.720 that they went

00:14:37.260 through Melania's

00:14:38.480 underwear drawers

00:14:40.220 which apparently

00:14:41.100 they actually did.

00:14:42.860 I thought people

00:14:43.900 were joking about that

00:14:45.000 but it sounds like

00:14:47.180 they literally did

00:14:48.320 went through her drawers

00:14:49.760 as he likes to say.

00:14:51.560 Did you catch that?

00:14:52.480 Trump said

00:14:54.460 that the FBI

00:14:55.180 went through

00:14:55.700 Melania's drawers.

00:14:58.340 Doesn't that sound

00:14:58.940 like they went

00:14:59.740 through her underwear?

00:15:02.180 I don't know

00:15:02.880 if he did that

00:15:03.920 intentionally

00:15:04.400 but it was pretty good.

00:15:06.060 It was a good play

00:15:06.980 whether it was

00:15:08.160 intentional or not.

00:15:10.380 Yeah.

00:15:11.400 Now,

00:15:12.640 oh,

00:15:14.260 and then

00:15:14.660 I understood

00:15:15.740 I didn't hear it

00:15:16.540 but I heard yesterday

00:15:18.580 that he talked

00:15:19.200 about

00:15:19.660 Fetterman's

00:15:20.800 track suit

00:15:22.180 being nasty,

00:15:23.720 smelling nasty.

00:15:25.160 Did that actually

00:15:25.920 happen?

00:15:27.660 I heard that

00:15:28.600 from the locals

00:15:29.320 people last night

00:15:30.360 but that actually

00:15:30.940 happened, right?

00:15:32.060 He actually said

00:15:32.700 that

00:15:33.180 Fetterman's

00:15:35.000 track suit

00:15:35.420 was nasty.

00:15:36.140 I gotta see

00:15:38.660 that clip.

00:15:39.260 I haven't seen

00:15:40.380 the clip yet

00:15:41.080 but

00:15:41.840 it's moments

00:15:47.380 like that

00:15:48.000 that you can see

00:15:49.600 why he

00:15:50.500 rises above

00:15:52.160 the other

00:15:52.620 persuaders.

00:15:54.120 There's nobody else

00:15:55.080 who could have done that.

00:15:56.680 Am I right?

00:15:57.220 there's literally

00:16:00.840 no other

00:16:01.660 politician

00:16:02.300 who could have

00:16:03.560 made fun of

00:16:04.180 Fetterman's

00:16:04.780 track suit

00:16:05.440 being nasty

00:16:07.520 and actually

00:16:08.800 sold that

00:16:09.540 and make it

00:16:10.100 work politically

00:16:10.940 because I think

00:16:11.680 it does work.

00:16:12.520 It actually

00:16:12.820 works politically.

00:16:16.440 Yeah,

00:16:17.080 he completely

00:16:18.040 stands alone.

00:16:21.140 Does it

00:16:21.860 amaze you?

00:16:23.820 I don't know.

00:16:24.200 This is just

00:16:24.640 me patting

00:16:25.100 myself on the

00:16:25.760 back I guess.

00:16:27.220 Not that I've

00:16:28.020 never done that

00:16:28.540 before.

00:16:29.660 But does it

00:16:30.240 amaze you

00:16:30.680 that when I

00:16:31.100 first started

00:16:31.740 talking about

00:16:32.420 Trump's

00:16:32.940 persuasion skills

00:16:34.040 people argued

00:16:35.420 with me and

00:16:36.040 said that you

00:16:36.460 are so wrong.

00:16:37.680 He's not

00:16:38.100 persuasive.

00:16:39.600 He's just a 1.00

00:16:40.240 crazy clown. 1.00

00:16:42.000 And I kept 0.99

00:16:42.720 saying no

00:16:44.220 you're sort

00:16:45.540 of missing it.

00:16:47.280 That's not

00:16:48.320 clowning.

00:16:49.620 Whatever that 0.99

00:16:50.380 is is the

00:16:50.980 best you've

00:16:51.480 ever seen.

00:16:53.060 That is the

00:16:53.900 best you've

00:16:54.560 ever seen

00:16:55.240 in terms of

00:16:56.100 persuasion.

00:16:57.220 And then he

00:16:57.620 does this

00:16:58.320 Fetterman's

00:16:59.200 nasty

00:16:59.820 track suit.

00:17:01.280 And I'm

00:17:01.420 thinking okay

00:17:01.980 literally nobody

00:17:03.600 else could have

00:17:04.160 done that.

00:17:05.180 They just

00:17:05.600 wouldn't have

00:17:05.980 even known

00:17:06.740 to go there.

00:17:08.000 But once you

00:17:08.600 hear it you're

00:17:09.140 like okay

00:17:09.960 that's perfect.

00:17:11.480 That's perfect.

00:17:15.260 And he said

00:17:16.000 Schiff had a

00:17:16.520 watermelon head.

00:17:17.300 I'm not sure

00:17:21.840 that one works

00:17:22.600 but I can't

00:17:23.420 get it out of

00:17:23.880 my mind.

00:17:25.700 If you can't

00:17:26.760 get it out of

00:17:27.140 your mind I

00:17:27.700 guess it works.

00:17:28.860 But I don't

00:17:29.220 know why he

00:17:29.740 looks like a

00:17:30.220 watermelon.

00:17:32.580 Is there a

00:17:33.480 specific reason

00:17:34.340 he looks like a

00:17:34.980 watermelon?

00:17:36.240 Like I don't

00:17:36.920 know the

00:17:37.400 just because it's

00:17:42.040 very round.

00:17:43.420 Because when I

00:17:43.960 think of a

00:17:44.560 watermelon I

00:17:45.160 think of a

00:17:45.720 blimp shape.

00:17:46.700 You know the

00:17:47.460 oblong I guess

00:17:49.140 you'd call it.

00:17:49.760 I don't think

00:17:50.300 perfectly round.

00:17:52.200 But it sounds

00:17:52.900 funny.

00:17:53.800 So he made it

00:17:54.580 work somehow.

00:17:57.800 All right.

00:17:59.720 So we had a

00:18:01.240 whole news cycle

00:18:02.080 in which the

00:18:03.120 fake news told

00:18:04.900 us that the

00:18:05.560 empty folders at

00:18:06.640 Mar-a-Lago that

00:18:07.400 got photographed.

00:18:08.540 The empty top

00:18:09.340 secret folders.

00:18:11.640 That the reason

00:18:12.580 the way we should

00:18:13.320 interpret that

00:18:14.120 is that the

00:18:15.920 secrets have

00:18:16.540 already been

00:18:16.980 taken or

00:18:17.520 maybe sold.

00:18:20.880 And for a

00:18:21.980 day or so I

00:18:23.220 thought to

00:18:23.560 myself oh

00:18:24.280 God that

00:18:24.800 sounds pretty

00:18:25.280 bad.

00:18:26.740 The folders

00:18:27.500 are there but

00:18:28.100 not the

00:18:28.480 content.

00:18:29.980 And I have

00:18:31.560 to admit they

00:18:32.100 totally primed

00:18:33.020 me.

00:18:33.840 They primed me

00:18:35.100 to see it that

00:18:35.820 way.

00:18:37.180 To think that

00:18:38.020 something was

00:18:38.460 missing.

00:18:41.800 Here's the

00:18:42.380 other possibility.

00:18:44.120 They had a

00:18:45.220 bunch of

00:18:45.760 empty folders.

00:18:48.480 And they just

00:18:49.280 photographed them

00:18:50.000 on the ground.

00:18:51.300 That's all it

00:18:51.960 was.

00:18:52.920 I was looking at

00:18:53.820 Tim Young's

00:18:54.420 tweets.

00:18:55.440 And it's funny.

00:18:56.560 You feel so 0.99

00:18:57.540 dumb when 0.99

00:18:59.280 somebody gives 1.00

00:19:00.180 you the better

00:19:01.480 way to look at

00:19:02.140 it.

00:19:02.800 And as soon as I

00:19:03.600 saw Tim Young's

00:19:04.380 tweets that they

00:19:05.620 were trying to

00:19:06.200 fool us with

00:19:06.920 empty folders I

00:19:07.920 thought,

00:19:08.220 did I fall for

00:19:12.820 the empty

00:19:13.240 folder trick?

00:19:14.960 And I did.

00:19:16.420 I did.

00:19:17.200 I totally fell

00:19:17.780 for the empty

00:19:18.280 folder trick.

00:19:19.400 Because there

00:19:20.280 are definitely

00:19:20.680 two possibilities,

00:19:22.480 two possibilities

00:19:23.680 for why there

00:19:24.360 could be empty

00:19:24.920 folders.

00:19:26.000 One is the

00:19:26.860 worst case in

00:19:27.620 the world.

00:19:28.800 He already

00:19:29.380 sold the

00:19:29.880 secrets.

00:19:32.020 And he did

00:19:32.800 take a picture

00:19:33.360 of them.

00:19:34.000 And he had to

00:19:34.600 give the actual

00:19:35.120 document to

00:19:35.960 Putin.

00:19:37.440 Because God

00:19:38.320 forbid you take

00:19:39.020 a digital photo

00:19:39.740 of him.

00:19:40.580 But no, he had

00:19:41.440 to actually take

00:19:42.300 the actual

00:19:43.040 document out of

00:19:43.780 the folder so

00:19:44.980 he could give

00:19:45.400 it to Putin.

00:19:47.140 That's what they

00:19:47.840 sold us for

00:19:48.380 about 24 hours.

00:19:50.080 And then you

00:19:50.700 hear the alternate

00:19:51.600 explanation.

00:19:53.120 They had a

00:19:53.640 bunch of extra

00:19:54.240 folders.

00:19:57.900 It literally

00:19:58.780 could have been

00:19:59.320 the extras.

00:20:00.980 Now I'm not

00:20:01.500 saying that's the

00:20:02.120 reason.

00:20:02.940 I'm just saying

00:20:03.500 if you were going

00:20:04.000 to compare the

00:20:04.700 two alternatives,

00:20:05.960 one, that he

00:20:06.880 removed the

00:20:07.660 secret coverings

00:20:08.640 so that he

00:20:09.800 could do

00:20:10.140 something terrible

00:20:10.940 with the

00:20:11.340 information.

00:20:13.060 That's one

00:20:13.540 possibility.

00:20:14.860 Or the other

00:20:15.340 is, given

00:20:17.020 that it was in

00:20:17.740 boxes that

00:20:19.000 were packed

00:20:19.560 by who knows

00:20:21.560 who, and

00:20:22.680 they probably

00:20:23.180 just had some

00:20:25.120 extra folders

00:20:25.780 sitting around

00:20:26.460 or something.

00:20:27.440 Or they're the

00:20:28.220 ones they gave

00:20:28.800 back.

00:20:29.680 Or how about

00:20:30.120 this?

00:20:31.200 How about if

00:20:31.780 something got

00:20:32.260 reclassified and

00:20:34.680 downgraded?

00:20:35.960 What if the

00:20:37.160 president said,

00:20:37.860 all right, take

00:20:38.260 this bunch of

00:20:38.820 stuff, I

00:20:39.260 declassify this,

00:20:40.460 just this little

00:20:41.160 pile.

00:20:42.400 They say, okay,

00:20:43.060 this pile, you

00:20:43.780 declassify it,

00:20:44.580 okay.

00:20:45.280 And they take

00:20:45.960 the folder

00:20:46.620 covers off.

00:20:47.540 I think there's

00:20:48.160 supposed to be a

00:20:48.620 process they

00:20:49.220 follow that

00:20:49.680 doesn't look

00:20:50.120 like that,

00:20:51.080 because you'd

00:20:51.400 have to do

00:20:51.740 some paperwork.

00:20:53.020 But you

00:20:53.580 could easily

00:20:54.000 imagine people

00:20:54.800 cutting corners

00:20:56.540 and, I don't

00:20:57.760 know.

00:20:58.220 I would say

00:20:59.020 that how you

00:20:59.800 should interpret

00:21:00.420 the empty

00:21:01.060 folders is 90%

00:21:04.040 chance it's

00:21:05.060 just something

00:21:05.940 ordinary, and

00:21:07.880 a 10% chance

00:21:09.080 it's something,

00:21:09.900 oh, better

00:21:10.940 worry about

00:21:11.440 that.

00:21:13.540 So, and

00:21:16.080 I'm very

00:21:16.620 impressed at

00:21:17.260 how much

00:21:18.780 fake news they

00:21:20.940 can produce on

00:21:21.860 this before

00:21:22.420 telling us what's

00:21:23.220 actually in them.

00:21:24.400 Because, you

00:21:25.100 know, this is a

00:21:25.880 totally reverse

00:21:27.440 cat in the

00:21:28.020 house, right?

00:21:28.520 So, the cat

00:21:30.980 is on the

00:21:31.400 roof is one

00:21:33.180 where they

00:21:33.860 don't want to

00:21:34.460 tell you all

00:21:34.960 the bad news.

00:21:36.260 So, they lead

00:21:37.060 up to it.

00:21:37.460 Well, the cat's

00:21:38.180 on the roof.

00:21:38.820 We're trying to

00:21:39.240 get her down. 1.00

00:21:40.180 The cat fell

00:21:41.000 off, but she's

00:21:41.900 at the vet, and

00:21:43.080 then eventually

00:21:43.600 the cat dies.

00:21:44.480 So, that's how

00:21:45.000 you break bad

00:21:45.880 news to somebody.

00:21:47.020 You start small

00:21:47.940 and just sort

00:21:48.480 of get them

00:21:48.800 used to it.

00:21:50.580 But I feel

00:21:51.500 like these

00:21:51.880 stories are the

00:21:52.580 reverse, where

00:21:54.400 they start with

00:21:55.220 Trump's old

00:21:56.740 nuclear secrets.

00:21:58.520 Okay, probably

00:22:00.000 not nuclear

00:22:00.760 secrets, but

00:22:01.620 maybe something

00:22:02.440 about human

00:22:03.180 intelligence.

00:22:05.240 Okay, maybe

00:22:06.040 not anything

00:22:06.600 about human

00:22:07.140 intelligence, but

00:22:08.700 definitely top

00:22:09.460 secret.

00:22:11.220 Okay, maybe

00:22:12.020 not top, top

00:22:13.080 secret, but

00:22:14.340 very confidential.

00:22:16.780 Okay, maybe

00:22:17.540 they used to

00:22:18.120 be important and

00:22:18.980 confidential, but

00:22:19.860 the topic is old

00:22:20.980 and everybody

00:22:21.360 knows what's in

00:22:22.020 these folders now,

00:22:22.960 so maybe they

00:22:23.800 don't matter.

00:22:25.080 But they were

00:22:25.940 marked confidential

00:22:26.860 at one point.

00:22:28.520 So, don't you

00:22:29.480 feel like it's

00:22:30.240 just going to

00:22:30.700 decrease and

00:22:31.440 decrease in

00:22:32.000 importance until

00:22:33.420 all that's left

00:22:34.160 is a process

00:22:34.800 crime?

00:22:36.580 In other words,

00:22:37.420 in the end,

00:22:38.580 in the end, it

00:22:39.480 won't be about

00:22:40.080 the documents.

00:22:42.300 It will be about

00:22:43.280 Trump not

00:22:43.800 returning them.

00:22:45.820 Right?

00:22:46.820 Like, you can see

00:22:48.200 the whole arc at

00:22:49.040 this point.

00:22:49.860 But every day,

00:22:50.940 the media is

00:22:51.740 going to try to

00:22:52.220 come up with a

00:22:52.900 new reason that

00:22:54.240 this is really

00:22:54.840 worse than you

00:22:55.580 think.

00:22:55.920 Oh, it's

00:22:57.280 worse than

00:22:57.700 you think.

00:22:58.720 Look at all

00:22:59.220 these empty

00:22:59.860 folders.

00:23:01.800 Now, what

00:23:02.800 do you make

00:23:03.160 of the fact

00:23:03.640 that when

00:23:04.260 they took

00:23:04.600 a photo of

00:23:06.180 the so-called

00:23:07.000 documents on

00:23:07.800 the ground,

00:23:09.040 that probably a

00:23:10.120 lot of those

00:23:10.520 folders were

00:23:11.120 empty when

00:23:11.640 they photographed

00:23:12.100 it?

00:23:13.320 I think.

00:23:15.180 You don't

00:23:15.740 think they

00:23:16.080 should have

00:23:16.340 mentioned that?

00:23:17.100 It feels like

00:23:17.660 that was

00:23:17.940 important.

00:23:19.860 All right,

00:23:20.340 so my deep

00:23:22.300 fake is getting

00:23:23.340 better every

00:23:24.060 day, so

00:23:25.400 Machiavelli's

00:23:26.740 underbelly

00:23:28.500 keeps improving

00:23:30.120 the animated

00:23:32.520 version of

00:23:33.220 me.

00:23:33.940 So when I

00:23:34.380 say animated,

00:23:35.260 I mean it

00:23:35.620 looks just

00:23:36.060 like me,

00:23:36.840 not like a

00:23:37.500 comic.

00:23:38.480 But from

00:23:39.200 one photograph

00:23:39.860 of my head,

00:23:41.840 my head has

00:23:42.680 been completely

00:23:43.320 animated by

00:23:44.220 AI.

00:23:45.440 So my mouth

00:23:46.300 now works.

00:23:47.060 It didn't

00:23:47.360 work in the

00:23:47.800 last version.

00:23:48.740 So now my

00:23:49.220 mouth works to

00:23:50.080 the words I'm

00:23:50.860 speaking.

00:23:51.640 Not perfectly,

00:23:52.420 but it's in

00:23:53.320 the right

00:23:53.540 direction.

00:23:54.460 And the

00:23:55.000 eyes are

00:23:55.440 moving and

00:23:55.940 the head is

00:23:56.320 turning and

00:23:56.720 it looks just

00:23:57.160 like a real

00:23:57.560 person.

00:23:58.740 And the

00:23:59.860 words that I'm

00:24:01.080 saying are,

00:24:02.340 I think,

00:24:03.380 from I Am

00:24:03.860 the Walrus,

00:24:04.480 a Beatles

00:24:05.460 song.

00:24:06.440 So you can

00:24:07.040 hear me speaking

00:24:07.860 the words to

00:24:08.480 a Beatles

00:24:08.840 song.

00:24:09.720 Not very

00:24:10.440 well, but

00:24:12.040 you can tell

00:24:12.500 where this is

00:24:13.020 all going.

00:24:14.340 So you're

00:24:15.140 seeing the

00:24:15.740 sort of half

00:24:17.140 or three

00:24:17.680 quarters trained

00:24:18.600 version.

00:24:20.360 And by

00:24:20.900 seeing the

00:24:21.280 one that's

00:24:21.600 not fully

00:24:22.080 trained, you

00:24:22.700 can see how

00:24:23.140 close it is.

00:24:24.600 And there's

00:24:25.000 no way that

00:24:26.380 somewhere they

00:24:26.960 don't have the

00:24:27.400 good version of

00:24:28.100 this already.

00:24:29.040 There's no way

00:24:29.580 that the public

00:24:30.240 is looking at

00:24:31.000 the best version

00:24:31.860 that exists.

00:24:33.240 That one you're

00:24:33.860 not going to

00:24:34.200 see.

00:24:35.420 The best one

00:24:36.240 you're not

00:24:36.540 going to see.

00:24:37.340 So you have

00:24:37.740 to use your

00:24:38.160 imagination to

00:24:39.040 upgrade the

00:24:40.200 hidden one to

00:24:41.200 whatever it is.

00:24:43.420 He did

00:24:43.820 proof of life.

00:24:45.720 Yeah.

00:24:46.120 It's pretty

00:24:46.640 funny.

00:24:47.020 Anyway, it's in

00:24:47.440 my Twitter feed

00:24:48.000 if you want to

00:24:48.360 see it.

00:24:48.560 I've said

00:24:52.480 this before,

00:24:53.140 but I can't

00:24:53.660 get over

00:24:54.020 this.

00:24:55.160 How small

00:24:55.980 Twitter makes

00:24:56.760 the world.

00:24:59.080 So here I am

00:25:00.040 tweeting about

00:25:00.720 AI, and I

00:25:01.700 said that the

00:25:02.420 singularity might

00:25:03.580 be within a

00:25:04.880 few years.

00:25:06.040 Now, I

00:25:06.520 define the

00:25:06.980 singularity as

00:25:07.960 when artificial

00:25:09.820 intelligence can

00:25:11.020 start training

00:25:11.740 itself.

00:25:13.260 So, so

00:25:13.680 far, mostly

00:25:14.400 people train

00:25:15.220 it, but when

00:25:16.460 it can go

00:25:16.900 learn on its

00:25:17.500 own, that's

00:25:18.020 called the

00:25:18.360 singularity, and

00:25:19.980 we're warned to

00:25:21.380 worry about that

00:25:22.120 because we don't

00:25:22.680 know how

00:25:23.100 quickly AI can

00:25:24.420 get how

00:25:25.520 smart.

00:25:27.080 So AI will

00:25:28.080 very quickly

00:25:29.360 become smarter

00:25:30.120 than any

00:25:30.640 person, and

00:25:32.340 we don't know

00:25:32.840 what that means

00:25:34.320 for civilization.

00:25:35.820 It's a complete

00:25:36.500 unknown after that

00:25:37.300 point.

00:25:37.960 So I made the

00:25:38.540 point in a tweet

00:25:39.280 that any

00:25:41.380 prediction of

00:25:42.320 what happens in

00:25:43.540 the world is

00:25:44.960 more than three

00:25:45.860 years out, which

00:25:46.720 is beyond

00:25:47.700 what I think

00:25:48.340 the singularity

00:25:49.200 will happen, 0.97

00:25:50.380 is ridiculous. 0.97

00:25:52.280 Because the 0.91

00:25:53.460 singularity will

00:25:54.280 make everything

00:25:55.220 unpredictable from

00:25:56.240 that point on.

00:25:57.680 So what we

00:25:58.380 have is

00:25:59.340 something like

00:26:01.120 maybe the

00:26:01.760 invention of the

00:26:02.520 microchip.

00:26:04.520 Imagine predicting

00:26:05.740 the future prior

00:26:07.480 to the invention

00:26:08.380 of the

00:26:10.040 microchip.

00:26:11.600 Right?

00:26:12.680 Because you

00:26:13.380 would think,

00:26:13.900 sort of like

00:26:15.040 it has been

00:26:16.060 slowly, maybe

00:26:18.060 we'll plant

00:26:18.640 more corn, but

00:26:19.600 basically it's

00:26:20.440 like it has

00:26:21.360 been.

00:26:21.840 And then the

00:26:22.340 microchip happens

00:26:23.180 and then boom,

00:26:24.080 everything's

00:26:24.960 upside down.

00:26:27.240 Well, this is

00:26:28.300 that other time.

00:26:29.800 We have a

00:26:30.660 complete blindness

00:26:31.740 after about

00:26:33.220 three years.

00:26:34.840 Now, the

00:26:35.300 future is always

00:26:36.000 hard to

00:26:36.460 predict, but

00:26:37.760 usually the

00:26:38.340 big stuff you

00:26:39.100 can get

00:26:39.480 close, right?

00:26:41.220 You could

00:26:41.700 predict that

00:26:42.460 if we

00:26:43.220 hadn't had a

00:26:43.740 pandemic, you

00:26:44.900 could have

00:26:45.140 predicted our

00:26:45.880 GDP in three

00:26:47.280 years and it

00:26:47.960 wouldn't be a

00:26:48.480 crazy prediction.

00:26:49.860 It might not be

00:26:50.440 exact, but it

00:26:51.280 wouldn't be

00:26:51.600 crazy.

00:26:52.860 Now, any

00:26:53.620 prediction over

00:26:54.200 three years is

00:26:55.100 sort of just a

00:26:56.160 wild guess, in my

00:26:57.600 opinion.

00:26:57.860 Now, here's

00:27:00.240 the amazing

00:27:00.600 part about the

00:27:01.160 Internet.

00:27:02.940 So here I am

00:27:03.980 in my complete

00:27:05.040 ignorance about

00:27:05.820 this field of

00:27:06.660 AI, you know,

00:27:07.860 just, I have

00:27:08.500 sort of a

00:27:08.920 hobbyist interest,

00:27:10.700 and I get a,

00:27:12.480 and I'm tweeting

00:27:12.960 about it, and I

00:27:13.720 get a response

00:27:14.260 back from Thomas

00:27:15.280 Massey, who's

00:27:16.420 not only a

00:27:17.280 representative in

00:27:19.120 Congress, but he

00:27:20.860 says this, a

00:27:21.720 singularity won't

00:27:22.780 happen in our

00:27:23.420 lifetimes, and he

00:27:24.900 said, I worked at

00:27:26.800 MIT AI, and I

00:27:27.840 lab for six

00:27:29.040 years, and

00:27:29.960 although I worked

00:27:30.640 mainly on robotic

00:27:31.540 and haptic

00:27:32.060 hardware, I

00:27:33.520 watched my

00:27:34.100 office mates and

00:27:34.880 colleagues struggle

00:27:36.000 with trying to

00:27:37.240 create AI.

00:27:38.740 Most progress we

00:27:39.760 see today is

00:27:40.420 mainly the result

00:27:41.240 of faster

00:27:42.100 computers.

00:27:43.720 Now, how

00:27:44.840 cool is it

00:27:45.640 that I can say

00:27:47.600 some things

00:27:48.140 about AI, and

00:27:50.200 somebody who

00:27:51.400 worked in the

00:27:52.060 MIT AI lab can

00:27:53.920 give me a

00:27:54.340 response, and

00:27:56.360 you get to

00:27:57.020 watch.

00:27:57.840 Now, I

00:28:00.100 disagree with

00:28:00.680 them, and

00:28:02.100 you would not

00:28:02.620 be surprised to

00:28:03.520 see me disagreeing

00:28:04.480 with somebody who

00:28:05.080 has far more

00:28:06.560 expertise, and I

00:28:08.380 would guess, a

00:28:09.180 far higher IQ

00:28:10.180 than I have.

00:28:12.380 But if you

00:28:13.340 think I'm not

00:28:13.900 going to disagree

00:28:14.480 with somebody,

00:28:15.880 just because he

00:28:16.980 has a far higher

00:28:18.100 IQ, and he's

00:28:19.200 far more informed

00:28:20.780 on the very topic

00:28:21.660 I'm talking about,

00:28:22.920 well, you

00:28:23.340 haven't met me.

00:28:24.120 Yeah, that's

00:28:26.140 exactly who I

00:28:26.880 like to disagree

00:28:27.580 with.

00:28:29.120 And here's my

00:28:29.880 disagreement.

00:28:30.540 I think he

00:28:31.020 might be defining

00:28:32.360 the singularity

00:28:33.280 differently than I

00:28:34.240 am, so that's

00:28:35.480 probably the

00:28:36.060 difference, but I

00:28:36.840 don't know.

00:28:37.660 So I ask that

00:28:38.320 question.

00:28:38.800 We'll find out.

00:28:40.380 But in my

00:28:41.120 opinion, AI is

00:28:43.480 already able to

00:28:44.340 learn on its

00:28:44.900 own.

00:28:46.280 So have I ever

00:28:47.940 told you the

00:28:48.380 best kind of

00:28:48.920 prediction to

00:28:49.540 make?

00:28:49.800 There's one

00:28:51.740 kind of

00:28:52.080 prediction that

00:28:53.500 is always smart

00:28:54.360 to make.

00:28:56.200 Predicting what's

00:28:56.940 already happening.

00:28:59.080 It's just that

00:28:59.840 other people don't

00:29:00.460 know what's

00:29:00.760 happening yet.

00:29:01.640 If you can

00:29:02.320 predict something

00:29:02.900 that's already

00:29:03.400 happening, it's

00:29:04.660 just that other

00:29:05.180 people don't know

00:29:05.840 it yet, then you

00:29:07.240 look like a

00:29:07.720 genius.

00:29:09.280 Do you think

00:29:10.060 AI doesn't

00:29:10.760 already learn?

00:29:12.940 I mean, maybe

00:29:13.740 I don't know what

00:29:14.220 the word learning

00:29:14.980 means.

00:29:15.880 Of course it

00:29:16.440 already learns.

00:29:18.180 The AI is

00:29:18.800 definitely already

00:29:19.380 learning.

00:29:19.800 Am I wrong?

00:29:22.380 Does the AI not

00:29:23.500 take information

00:29:25.300 from different

00:29:26.020 fields and

00:29:27.520 combine it for

00:29:28.280 new insights?

00:29:29.580 I believe it

00:29:30.440 already does

00:29:30.900 that.

00:29:31.940 If you can

00:29:33.400 read information,

00:29:36.000 you're learning

00:29:37.060 on your own.

00:29:39.240 Now, if I

00:29:40.760 just say AI,

00:29:41.760 I'm going to

00:29:42.400 open up

00:29:43.560 Wikipedia for

00:29:44.460 you.

00:29:45.680 So at some

00:29:46.280 point, some

00:29:47.640 human said,

00:29:48.420 all right, AI,

00:29:48.940 you can go read

00:29:49.740 everything on

00:29:50.260 Wikipedia now.

00:29:51.140 Here's the

00:29:52.740 access to it.

00:29:54.120 At that point,

00:29:55.040 wasn't AI learning

00:29:56.200 on its own?

00:29:57.640 We just opened

00:29:58.480 the door and

00:29:59.060 said, go read

00:29:59.580 this thing.

00:30:00.560 But I think it

00:30:01.140 was learning on

00:30:02.320 its own.

00:30:04.100 And does it

00:30:05.520 not already

00:30:06.160 combine information

00:30:08.660 from various

00:30:09.400 fields in a way

00:30:10.180 a human might

00:30:11.240 not have thought

00:30:11.760 to do?

00:30:12.140 To me, it looks

00:30:14.040 like it's already

00:30:14.560 thinking.

00:30:14.940 And if you

00:30:17.420 asked AI to

00:30:18.180 explain its

00:30:18.860 role in the

00:30:19.500 universe, could

00:30:20.160 it do it? 0.68

00:30:21.200 It already

00:30:21.840 has.

00:30:22.920 Yeah.

00:30:24.020 I don't know

00:30:24.740 which AIs.

00:30:25.560 There are

00:30:25.720 different versions

00:30:26.360 of it out

00:30:26.740 there.

00:30:27.260 But there

00:30:27.580 are definitely

00:30:27.900 some you

00:30:28.420 can say,

00:30:29.120 who are you

00:30:29.780 and what

00:30:30.300 are you?

00:30:30.740 And it

00:30:30.960 will tell

00:30:31.240 you.

00:30:32.160 I'm an AI

00:30:32.840 and I was

00:30:34.760 built this

00:30:35.240 way and this

00:30:36.180 is what I

00:30:36.580 can and

00:30:36.920 cannot do.

00:30:38.140 It could

00:30:38.460 tell you all

00:30:38.940 that.

00:30:39.200 it could

00:30:41.880 also replicate.

00:30:43.340 I mean, you'd

00:30:43.700 have to program

00:30:44.320 it for that

00:30:44.780 ability, but

00:30:45.340 it's just

00:30:45.720 copying itself.

00:30:47.060 That wouldn't

00:30:47.660 be hard.

00:30:51.500 No, it is

00:30:52.180 following specific

00:30:52.960 algorithms designed

00:30:53.920 by people to

00:30:54.620 perform one

00:30:55.540 specific task

00:30:56.360 only.

00:30:56.980 That's where

00:30:57.420 you're wrong. 0.83

00:30:58.920 That's where

00:30:59.340 you're wrong. 0.83

00:31:00.080 I think, and

00:31:01.180 maybe Machiavelli's

00:31:03.700 underbelly can 0.96

00:31:04.500 answer this

00:31:04.960 question for us,

00:31:06.300 but I believe

00:31:07.040 that we have

00:31:07.800 enough

00:31:09.840 examples

00:31:10.440 where the

00:31:11.580 AI did

00:31:12.120 something

00:31:12.540 unexpected.

00:31:14.320 I believe

00:31:15.020 the AI is

00:31:15.640 already doing

00:31:16.360 the unexpected,

00:31:18.080 combining

00:31:18.520 knowledge in a

00:31:19.320 way that a

00:31:19.660 human wouldn't

00:31:20.080 have done it.

00:31:21.760 Can I get a

00:31:22.780 confirmation on

00:31:23.460 that?

00:31:23.900 Because I'm

00:31:24.280 pretty sure

00:31:24.700 that's already

00:31:25.100 happening.

00:31:28.800 All right.

00:31:31.640 Let's talk

00:31:32.280 about some

00:31:32.600 of this.

00:31:35.140 I know

00:31:35.780 you hate

00:31:36.120 your AI

00:31:37.320 talk.

00:31:37.800 All right.

00:31:41.120 So did you

00:31:41.520 know that

00:31:41.920 in Texas,

00:31:44.640 if you 1.00

00:31:47.940 get raped, 1.00

00:31:50.280 you now 1.00

00:31:52.040 have access

00:31:52.640 to the

00:31:53.020 morning-after

00:31:53.580 pill?

00:31:54.880 So the

00:31:55.500 morning-after

00:31:55.980 pill will

00:31:56.700 prevent you

00:31:58.020 from getting

00:31:58.440 pregnant,

00:31:59.020 I guess,

00:31:59.820 or prevent

00:32:00.620 the egg

00:32:01.120 from sticking

00:32:01.700 or whatever

00:32:02.480 it does.

00:32:02.800 which suggests

00:32:07.180 to me that

00:32:07.720 it's not

00:32:08.180 legal to

00:32:08.700 do it if

00:32:09.060 you haven't 1.00

00:32:09.380 been raped. 0.85

00:32:12.840 I'm trying 0.99

00:32:13.400 to understand

00:32:13.880 the Texas

00:32:14.360 law.

00:32:14.780 Maybe

00:32:14.960 somebody

00:32:15.260 knows.

00:32:17.260 If you

00:32:17.800 have not 0.99

00:32:18.180 been raped,

00:32:18.920 are you 1.00

00:32:19.220 telling me

00:32:19.540 you can't

00:32:19.960 get a

00:32:20.200 plan B

00:32:20.700 in Texas?

00:32:21.140 because you

00:32:22.980 can still

00:32:23.400 do the

00:32:24.080 Texas still

00:32:25.640 allows abortion 0.95

00:32:26.920 up to six

00:32:27.480 weeks,

00:32:27.800 right?

00:32:29.040 If you

00:32:29.620 have abortion

00:32:30.120 up to six

00:32:30.760 weeks,

00:32:31.080 why can't

00:32:31.660 you get a

00:32:32.040 plan B

00:32:32.600 the next

00:32:33.720 morning?

00:32:34.060 Yeah, I

00:32:37.120 know you

00:32:38.420 consider it

00:32:39.100 an abortion.

00:32:39.700 Some of

00:32:40.060 you do.

00:32:41.020 I get

00:32:41.580 that.

00:32:42.480 But if

00:32:42.980 abortion is 0.64

00:32:43.860 legal up

00:32:44.440 to six

00:32:44.860 weeks,

00:32:46.520 then that

00:32:47.020 should be

00:32:47.300 legal as

00:32:47.780 well,

00:32:47.980 right?

00:32:51.240 So I'm a

00:32:51.840 little confused

00:32:52.400 about that.

00:32:54.220 Is it

00:32:54.780 over-the-counter

00:32:55.360 or Rx?

00:32:55.980 That's a good

00:32:56.320 question.

00:32:57.500 Now, let

00:32:58.080 me ask you

00:32:58.480 this.

00:32:58.740 If Texas

00:33:00.060 is making

00:33:00.680 it legal

00:33:01.160 in the case

00:33:01.660 of rape,

00:33:02.640 does that 0.51

00:33:03.340 mean you

00:33:03.700 have to

00:33:04.180 report it

00:33:04.680 to get

00:33:04.980 the pill?

00:33:07.140 How many

00:33:07.800 people are

00:33:08.260 going to

00:33:08.640 report

00:33:09.180 somebody for

00:33:09.800 rape just 1.00

00:33:10.260 so they 1.00

00:33:10.540 can get

00:33:10.860 the pill?

00:33:15.080 Yeah.

00:33:17.100 You didn't

00:33:18.000 see that

00:33:18.360 coming,

00:33:18.740 did you?

00:33:20.180 If I

00:33:20.820 thought that

00:33:21.600 somebody who

00:33:22.480 was a

00:33:22.800 one-night

00:33:23.180 stand had

00:33:24.960 gotten me

00:33:25.420 pregnant and

00:33:26.020 I wanted

00:33:26.320 to take

00:33:26.700 the plan

00:33:27.280 B pill,

00:33:28.160 and the

00:33:28.520 only way

00:33:29.100 I could

00:33:29.440 take it,

00:33:30.460 the only

00:33:31.020 way I

00:33:31.420 could take

00:33:31.780 that pill

00:33:32.280 is by

00:33:32.780 claiming he 0.99

00:33:33.380 raped me. 0.99

00:33:34.860 You don't 0.98

00:33:35.360 think anybody

00:33:35.860 is going

00:33:36.160 to do

00:33:36.360 that?

00:33:37.320 Not one

00:33:37.980 person anywhere

00:33:38.780 is going

00:33:39.160 to claim

00:33:39.680 rape so 0.94

00:33:40.120 they can 0.99

00:33:40.360 get the

00:33:40.680 pill?

00:33:42.940 Because you

00:33:43.460 can't prove

00:33:43.940 it one way

00:33:44.400 or the

00:33:44.580 other.

00:33:45.660 I mean,

00:33:45.900 all you're

00:33:46.240 doing is

00:33:46.540 ruining

00:33:46.800 somebody's

00:33:47.280 life.

00:33:48.080 You don't

00:33:48.620 think that

00:33:49.220 there would

00:33:49.500 be some

00:33:49.880 woman who 0.99

00:33:50.560 would say,

00:33:50.940 yeah,

00:33:51.240 that'll ruin

00:33:51.780 his life.

00:33:52.920 I mean,

00:33:53.080 he won't

00:33:53.340 be convicted,

00:33:54.120 but he'll

00:33:54.440 have this

00:33:54.760 accusation.

00:33:55.900 But at

00:33:56.380 least I'll

00:33:56.680 get my

00:33:56.980 plan B,

00:33:57.700 and I

00:33:57.980 won't have

00:33:58.320 to raise

00:33:58.840 a baby.

00:33:59.220 You don't

00:34:00.700 think a

00:34:01.100 woman would 1.00

00:34:01.620 throw a

00:34:02.400 guy she

00:34:02.840 didn't know

00:34:03.460 that well,

00:34:04.060 or even

00:34:04.420 when she

00:34:04.740 does?

00:34:05.840 You don't

00:34:06.340 think she

00:34:06.660 would throw

00:34:07.020 a guy under

00:34:07.520 a bus just

00:34:08.680 to make sure

00:34:09.140 she didn't

00:34:09.460 have a

00:34:09.740 baby?

00:34:12.760 I would

00:34:13.340 think that

00:34:13.740 would happen

00:34:14.240 a lot,

00:34:14.700 actually.

00:34:15.700 I don't

00:34:16.420 even think

00:34:16.780 that would

00:34:17.060 be rare.

00:34:19.160 It just

00:34:19.580 depends how

00:34:20.120 evil the

00:34:20.980 woman is and 0.99

00:34:21.700 how much she

00:34:22.900 wants the

00:34:23.220 abortion and

00:34:23.820 how much she

00:34:24.240 cares about

00:34:24.680 the guy.

00:34:25.060 just say

00:34:28.180 you won't

00:34:28.500 press charges.

00:34:29.960 I don't

00:34:30.320 know if

00:34:30.600 they allow

00:34:31.000 that, do

00:34:31.460 they?

00:34:31.980 So that's

00:34:32.540 the question

00:34:32.900 I'm asking.

00:34:33.960 Is Texas

00:34:34.580 such a hard 1.00

00:34:35.300 ass that 0.99

00:34:35.780 they're going

00:34:36.160 to say you

00:34:36.500 can't have

00:34:36.860 the pill

00:34:37.160 unless you

00:34:37.600 press charges?

00:34:39.940 I mean,

00:34:40.440 that would

00:34:40.660 be a mistake

00:34:41.280 if they do

00:34:41.920 that, but

00:34:42.400 I'm not

00:34:43.560 saying it's

00:34:43.980 not happening.

00:34:44.860 So I guess

00:34:45.260 there's a lack

00:34:45.800 of clarity

00:34:46.220 here.

00:34:46.540 Don't believe

00:34:46.940 anything I say

00:34:47.520 about Texas.

00:34:48.460 I just think

00:34:49.120 they've got a

00:34:49.500 lot of stuff

00:34:49.840 to work out

00:34:50.340 there.

00:34:53.640 And it

00:34:54.160 doesn't sound

00:34:54.640 like they

00:34:55.080 have clarity

00:34:55.800 over it

00:34:56.180 yet.

00:34:59.740 You know,

00:35:00.340 it seems

00:35:00.640 to me that

00:35:01.280 if we had

00:35:01.960 a technology

00:35:02.660 that could 0.68

00:35:03.460 detect

00:35:04.440 pregnancy

00:35:05.260 sort of

00:35:05.980 automatically

00:35:06.680 and get

00:35:07.860 it early

00:35:08.300 all the

00:35:08.700 time,

00:35:09.860 let's say

00:35:10.440 there was

00:35:10.660 some kind

00:35:10.940 of process

00:35:11.400 where if

00:35:12.000 you were

00:35:12.400 somebody

00:35:13.740 who could

00:35:14.240 get pregnant, 0.99

00:35:15.580 you just

00:35:15.980 got tested

00:35:16.600 every day

00:35:17.180 in some

00:35:17.580 really easy

00:35:18.140 way.

00:35:19.520 Like,

00:35:20.280 I don't

00:35:21.560 know,

00:35:22.020 is there

00:35:22.300 a way to

00:35:22.600 test it

00:35:23.080 as easily

00:35:23.940 as some

00:35:25.360 of those

00:35:25.620 insulin

00:35:26.000 tests

00:35:26.520 where it's

00:35:28.040 barely a

00:35:28.580 poke.

00:35:29.180 It gets

00:35:29.540 a little

00:35:29.860 bit of

00:35:30.220 blood,

00:35:30.840 I think,

00:35:31.800 but so

00:35:32.240 little that

00:35:32.860 you don't

00:35:33.260 even know

00:35:33.620 that it

00:35:33.900 was a

00:35:34.200 poke.

00:35:35.900 Suppose you

00:35:36.420 develop

00:35:36.780 something that

00:35:37.320 would just,

00:35:38.220 you know,

00:35:38.420 every morning

00:35:39.000 a woman 0.57

00:35:39.620 just wakes

00:35:40.100 up and

00:35:40.520 she goes,

00:35:41.940 and then

00:35:42.720 she's done,

00:35:44.360 and it

00:35:44.660 tells her

00:35:45.020 whether she's

00:35:45.460 pregnant or 0.86

00:35:45.920 not.

00:35:47.040 And if

00:35:47.300 she's pregnant 1.00

00:35:47.800 and it's,

00:35:49.100 you know,

00:35:49.560 she just takes a

00:35:50.280 plan B and

00:35:50.840 she's done,

00:35:51.840 if that's what

00:35:52.440 she wants 0.85

00:35:52.740 to do.

00:35:54.120 It seems,

00:35:55.060 or saliva,

00:35:55.760 somebody says,

00:35:56.280 do you think

00:35:56.580 saliva test,

00:35:57.460 maybe?

00:35:58.400 I know,

00:35:59.080 I've got a

00:35:59.500 feeling that

00:35:59.920 what we're

00:36:00.240 going to see

00:36:00.740 is an

00:36:01.720 everyday test

00:36:03.000 followed by

00:36:04.000 people trying

00:36:04.740 to get that

00:36:05.220 plan B

00:36:05.700 pill,

00:36:06.520 and then

00:36:07.440 they'll use

00:36:07.820 it as birth

00:36:08.300 control.

00:36:08.860 I know you

00:36:09.180 don't like

00:36:09.540 that,

00:36:10.320 but it

00:36:10.580 would work

00:36:10.860 that way.

00:36:13.180 Yeah.

00:36:14.620 All right,

00:36:15.380 what do you

00:36:16.500 think of,

00:36:17.180 Jeff Pilkington

00:36:18.500 tweeted this,

00:36:19.260 explain the

00:36:20.380 difference

00:36:20.700 between the

00:36:21.340 soul of

00:36:21.780 the country

00:36:22.260 and the

00:36:24.340 foundations

00:36:24.840 of a

00:36:25.320 republic?

00:36:26.600 Because

00:36:26.980 Biden

00:36:27.860 thinks that

00:36:29.900 MAGA

00:36:30.200 threatens the

00:36:31.000 soul of

00:36:31.400 the country,

00:36:32.540 but maybe

00:36:33.020 not the

00:36:33.780 country,

00:36:34.320 but it

00:36:34.680 does threaten

00:36:35.180 the foundations

00:36:35.820 of the

00:36:36.200 republic,

00:36:37.100 but maybe

00:36:37.700 not the

00:36:38.080 people.

00:36:39.520 It's a

00:36:40.080 little confusing.

00:36:41.360 I would like

00:36:41.760 to know just

00:36:42.360 who I'm

00:36:43.640 threatening so

00:36:45.200 that I can

00:36:45.560 get it right.

00:36:46.020 But I

00:36:48.920 would say

00:36:49.200 countries don't

00:36:49.900 have a

00:36:50.220 soul.

00:36:50.920 So when

00:36:51.200 Biden is

00:36:51.680 saying the

00:36:52.300 soul of

00:36:52.760 the country,

00:36:53.500 you realize

00:36:54.340 that's

00:36:54.660 imaginary,

00:36:55.340 right?

00:36:56.840 You can't

00:36:57.640 really save

00:36:58.120 the soul

00:36:58.520 of a

00:36:58.740 country,

00:36:59.620 because it's

00:37:00.740 imaginary,

00:37:01.820 and we

00:37:02.100 would have

00:37:02.360 different

00:37:02.640 opinions what

00:37:03.240 that soul

00:37:03.700 looks like

00:37:04.180 if it

00:37:04.440 existed.

00:37:05.780 So here

00:37:06.680 we have

00:37:07.060 an imaginary

00:37:07.720 civil war,

00:37:09.620 fake news,

00:37:11.360 and a

00:37:12.080 battle over

00:37:12.600 the soul

00:37:13.080 of the

00:37:13.340 country,

00:37:13.800 which is

00:37:14.140 literally a

00:37:14.880 magical

00:37:15.260 thinking

00:37:15.840 concept

00:37:16.320 that

00:37:16.980 nobody

00:37:17.680 imagines

00:37:18.200 exists in

00:37:18.980 any real

00:37:19.400 way.

00:37:21.360 Do you

00:37:21.660 know what

00:37:21.880 America has 0.83

00:37:22.620 that is

00:37:23.140 better than

00:37:23.580 a soul?

00:37:26.800 America has 0.83

00:37:27.540 something that's

00:37:27.980 way better than

00:37:28.620 a soul.

00:37:30.340 We have a

00:37:31.200 constitution.

00:37:33.620 We have a

00:37:34.400 constitution,

00:37:35.300 a system.

00:37:36.720 We have a

00:37:37.520 system.

00:37:38.600 It's the

00:37:39.080 system that

00:37:39.660 keeps us

00:37:40.060 safe,

00:37:41.040 because our

00:37:41.920 soul is

00:37:44.580 basically how

00:37:45.320 we're thinking

00:37:45.780 we're thinking

00:37:45.800 about stuff,

00:37:46.580 and how we

00:37:47.300 think about

00:37:47.700 stuff changes

00:37:48.320 all the

00:37:48.660 time.

00:37:49.880 But the

00:37:50.420 system protects

00:37:52.900 us from all

00:37:53.800 of our crazy

00:37:54.400 thoughts.

00:37:55.740 So Biden

00:37:56.840 is trying to

00:37:57.720 protect our

00:37:58.600 crazy thoughts

00:37:59.540 when that's not

00:38:01.040 something you

00:38:01.500 should protect.

00:38:03.100 We should not

00:38:03.960 always think the

00:38:04.880 same.

00:38:06.040 Our brains

00:38:06.620 should be able

00:38:07.140 to go wherever

00:38:08.020 our brains are

00:38:08.680 going, but the

00:38:09.740 system should

00:38:10.420 still be, you

00:38:11.660 know, impervious to

00:38:13.280 those changes.

00:38:14.580 The system

00:38:15.100 should keep us

00:38:15.760 on the

00:38:16.560 straight and

00:38:16.960 narrow.

00:38:21.120 All right,

00:38:21.740 well, there

00:38:24.060 is so much

00:38:24.780 opportunity for

00:38:25.720 Trump to get

00:38:26.420 elected.

00:38:27.600 I swear it

00:38:28.500 would be the

00:38:28.940 easiest election.

00:38:31.140 If Trump

00:38:31.900 does, if the

00:38:32.780 only thing that

00:38:33.320 Trump does is

00:38:34.200 present himself

00:38:35.260 the way he did

00:38:36.020 at the rally,

00:38:37.240 he wins,

00:38:38.460 right?

00:38:39.660 Am I right?

00:38:40.220 Did, let me

00:38:42.760 ask you a

00:38:43.120 question.

00:38:43.540 How much did

00:38:44.300 Trump talk

00:38:45.100 about the

00:38:46.700 rigged election

00:38:47.420 in 2020 at

00:38:49.380 the rally?

00:38:50.140 Was that, did

00:38:51.600 he hit that or

00:38:52.540 no?

00:38:54.460 Not much.

00:38:55.580 So he always

00:38:56.320 hits it, right?

00:38:58.560 But did he make

00:39:00.000 a big deal about

00:39:00.720 it?

00:39:02.360 Yeah.

00:39:05.240 Not as much.

00:39:06.880 So it wasn't a

00:39:07.660 feature, it was

00:39:08.480 more of a,

00:39:09.240 it was just, he

00:39:11.200 checked all the

00:39:12.020 boxes.

00:39:14.460 Yeah.

00:39:16.220 One paragraph

00:39:17.000 or so?

00:39:17.720 Okay.

00:39:22.500 Well, you

00:39:23.100 talked about it

00:39:23.580 three times,

00:39:24.640 somebody says.

00:39:26.900 Yeah.

00:39:28.660 Well, let me

00:39:29.300 ask you this.

00:39:30.740 You like Trump

00:39:31.720 as a fighter,

00:39:32.600 right?

00:39:33.320 The thing that

00:39:34.200 people don't

00:39:34.840 understand who

00:39:36.460 are anti-Trump,

00:39:37.760 they don't

00:39:38.560 understand that

00:39:39.460 the people who

00:39:40.680 support him

00:39:41.380 know that if

00:39:42.200 you get, if

00:39:43.260 you hire a

00:39:45.140 fighter, the

00:39:46.880 fighter is going

00:39:47.500 to fight.

00:39:49.160 I think the

00:39:49.920 people who

00:39:50.320 voted for him

00:39:50.920 understood that.

00:39:52.720 And you know

00:39:53.520 what you're

00:39:53.880 getting, right?

00:39:54.840 You know

00:39:55.180 exactly what

00:39:55.800 you're getting.

00:39:56.660 It's expensive.

00:39:58.820 You know, I

00:39:59.340 say this all the

00:39:59.900 time.

00:40:00.160 Trump was an

00:40:01.380 expensive

00:40:01.940 president.

00:40:03.780 Meaning there's

00:40:04.520 a lot you have

00:40:05.060 to deal with

00:40:05.580 there, but he

00:40:06.100 could do some

00:40:06.600 things that

00:40:07.100 other people

00:40:07.500 couldn't do.

00:40:08.600 I always

00:40:09.100 described Trump

00:40:09.960 as being bad

00:40:10.840 at doing easy

00:40:11.560 stuff and

00:40:12.880 good at doing

00:40:13.560 impossible stuff.

00:40:16.080 The impossible

00:40:17.000 stuff was put a

00:40:19.040 tariff on

00:40:19.600 Chinese goods.

00:40:21.920 Everybody said,

00:40:22.620 you can't have a

00:40:23.060 trade war with

00:40:24.140 China, and then 0.87

00:40:25.280 he just did.

00:40:26.860 Or how about

00:40:27.440 go to North

00:40:28.240 Korea and just

00:40:29.800 become friends

00:40:30.480 with him and

00:40:31.020 make that problem

00:40:31.940 go away. 0.82

00:40:32.560 So he did.

00:40:34.100 How about a

00:40:35.620 peace deal in

00:40:36.780 the Middle

00:40:37.040 East, the

00:40:37.520 Abraham Accords? 0.60

00:40:38.280 I mean, it's

00:40:38.520 not every

00:40:39.140 country, but

00:40:40.380 it's a hell of

00:40:41.120 a start.

00:40:42.320 Yeah, he did

00:40:43.000 that too.

00:40:44.600 So, and he

00:40:47.160 actually made a

00:40:47.820 difference in

00:40:48.260 immigration.

00:40:49.460 I don't know

00:40:49.860 how impossible

00:40:50.580 that was, but

00:40:51.220 he made a

00:40:51.660 difference.

00:40:53.980 Yeah, he

00:40:54.880 touched on all

00:40:55.420 that.

00:40:56.640 So, that's my

00:40:58.020 take on him,

00:40:58.740 is that he's

00:40:59.300 bad at the easy

00:41:00.100 stuff, but he's

00:41:01.280 the only one who

00:41:01.900 can do impossible

00:41:02.660 things.

00:41:03.680 And every now

00:41:04.240 and then you

00:41:04.640 need a president

00:41:05.220 who can do

00:41:05.740 impossible things

00:41:06.760 because those

00:41:07.720 things need to

00:41:08.320 get done too.

00:41:10.400 Yeah, maybe the

00:41:11.320 next one could be

00:41:11.980 the one who just

00:41:12.580 keeps the lights

00:41:13.140 on.

00:41:13.520 But every now

00:41:13.960 and then you

00:41:14.280 need somebody

00:41:14.680 who can change

00:41:15.180 things.

00:41:17.660 I think the

00:41:18.380 polls are showing

00:41:19.120 that the student

00:41:20.200 loan forgiveness

00:41:20.920 plan isn't going

00:41:21.980 to work for the

00:41:23.260 Democrats, meaning

00:41:24.780 that it's more

00:41:25.420 unpopular than

00:41:26.380 popular, especially

00:41:27.520 among independents.

00:41:30.960 So, apparently

00:41:31.420 independents hate 1.00

00:41:32.380 this loan forgiveness

00:41:33.300 thing.

00:41:33.600 If you lose

00:41:35.120 independents, it

00:41:36.660 didn't work, right?

00:41:38.780 Wouldn't you say?

00:41:39.660 Because I can't

00:41:40.300 imagine that enough

00:41:41.460 extra Democrats

00:41:43.460 would get

00:41:44.060 incentivized to

00:41:45.420 vote compared to

00:41:46.960 the number of

00:41:47.560 independents who

00:41:48.400 just said, click,

00:41:50.500 we were always

00:41:52.180 going to vote, but

00:41:53.120 now we're not

00:41:53.700 voting for you.

00:41:55.180 I feel like this

00:41:56.320 completely backfired.

00:41:57.640 What do you

00:41:58.040 think?

00:41:58.300 Completely

00:42:00.580 backfired.

00:42:01.700 Now, maybe he

00:42:02.360 needed to do it to

00:42:03.140 keep the

00:42:03.460 progressives from

00:42:04.760 attacking him or

00:42:05.560 something.

00:42:06.280 So, if that was

00:42:06.920 the case, well,

00:42:08.920 maybe it was

00:42:10.080 necessary.

00:42:10.820 I don't know.

00:42:12.200 But it doesn't

00:42:12.700 look like it

00:42:13.140 worked.

00:42:14.220 All right, well,

00:42:14.700 there's not much

00:42:15.180 news happening

00:42:15.940 today.

00:42:17.620 Is there anything

00:42:18.300 that you'd like

00:42:21.500 me to address?

00:42:24.640 Yeah, AOC's

00:42:25.360 been in hiding

00:42:25.780 lately, you're

00:42:26.320 right.

00:42:27.480 Have you noticed

00:42:28.180 that Glenn

00:42:28.620 Greenwald is

00:42:29.340 missing?

00:42:31.420 I think he

00:42:32.140 might be, I

00:42:33.220 think he said

00:42:33.600 he was taking

00:42:33.960 some time off.

00:42:34.720 He was a little

00:42:35.060 burned out.

00:42:36.480 But he's on

00:42:38.520 vacation.

00:42:39.260 Oh, he has some

00:42:39.760 family issues as

00:42:40.660 well, I think.

00:42:41.380 Some stuff he's

00:42:42.020 working out.

00:42:43.600 But I feel like

00:42:45.260 he's conspicuously

00:42:46.300 missing, isn't

00:42:46.940 he?

00:42:48.920 Don't you almost

00:42:49.820 feel, I don't

00:42:51.040 know, if you

00:42:51.380 didn't follow him,

00:42:52.080 you don't feel

00:42:52.700 anything, but if

00:42:54.020 you followed him,

00:42:54.840 you can feel

00:42:58.980 the missing

00:42:59.860 part there,

00:43:00.580 because he was

00:43:01.000 so on point

00:43:01.900 with everything.

00:43:03.940 Somebody on

00:43:04.840 YouTube is

00:43:05.580 asking me what

00:43:06.160 I think of

00:43:06.620 Nick Fuentes.

00:43:09.700 He's very

00:43:10.420 talented.

00:43:12.200 So if I deal

00:43:13.420 with him just

00:43:14.000 on skill level,

00:43:15.400 very high,

00:43:17.100 very high.

00:43:18.480 But of course

00:43:19.300 the content is,

00:43:20.860 you know, for

00:43:21.280 him to defend,

00:43:22.060 not me.

00:43:23.100 It's not my

00:43:23.900 kind of thing,

00:43:24.880 but he has an

00:43:26.600 audience, and

00:43:27.500 there's free

00:43:29.600 speech, and

00:43:30.620 it's not my

00:43:32.740 job to tell

00:43:34.280 you what you

00:43:34.720 should or

00:43:35.040 should not

00:43:35.400 think about

00:43:35.880 that.

00:43:37.000 I'm sure

00:43:37.520 people will

00:43:37.880 make their

00:43:38.160 own decisions,

00:43:38.860 but he's

00:43:39.080 very skilled.

00:43:40.080 I guess that's

00:43:40.520 the one thing

00:43:41.060 that I think

00:43:42.460 even his

00:43:42.860 critics would

00:43:43.480 agree.

00:43:47.000 Is the

00:43:47.520 Artemis

00:43:47.820 launching right

00:43:48.700 now?

00:43:49.540 I know it

00:43:50.100 got delayed.

00:43:50.600 Sam

00:43:52.260 Harris?

00:43:54.520 So Sam

00:43:56.240 Harris tweeted

00:43:56.900 a tweet that

00:43:58.600 got a lot

00:43:59.040 of response,

00:44:03.340 and what

00:44:07.100 he tweeted

00:44:07.540 was that if

00:44:08.700 Biden gives

00:44:11.800 a speech in

00:44:12.880 front of a

00:44:13.640 satanic-looking

00:44:14.760 background,

00:44:15.620 that's just a

00:44:16.760 mistake.

00:44:17.320 but if

00:44:18.760 Trump did

00:44:19.240 it, it

00:44:19.560 would be

00:44:20.160 a

00:44:22.060 representative

00:44:22.700 of his

00:44:23.240 soul,

00:44:23.640 basically.

00:44:24.280 It would

00:44:24.840 tell you

00:44:25.160 something about

00:44:25.680 Trump, but

00:44:26.580 it doesn't

00:44:26.960 tell you

00:44:27.240 anything about

00:44:27.800 Biden.

00:44:34.300 I don't

00:44:34.820 know.

00:44:35.040 I think

00:44:35.460 everybody sees

00:44:36.160 that the

00:44:36.480 same way,

00:44:36.960 right?

00:44:40.300 There's a

00:44:40.860 weird...

00:44:42.320 I don't

00:44:44.040 know what's

00:44:44.300 going on

00:44:44.680 there.

00:44:45.380 I don't

00:44:45.700 know what's

00:44:46.020 going on,

00:44:46.420 honestly.

00:44:47.680 It confuses

00:44:48.380 me.

00:44:49.360 Because the

00:44:50.120 fun part about

00:44:50.940 Sam Harris is

00:44:52.100 that he's

00:44:52.760 legitimately

00:44:53.500 really, really

00:44:55.000 smart.

00:44:57.000 And when you

00:44:57.740 see somebody

00:44:58.200 who's legitimately

00:44:59.040 really, really

00:44:59.820 smart and

00:45:00.400 well-informed

00:45:01.100 and engaged

00:45:03.340 on this topic,

00:45:04.940 and you have

00:45:05.480 such a

00:45:06.080 different opinion

00:45:06.740 than he

00:45:07.920 does, you

00:45:09.300 should stop

00:45:10.060 and pause.

00:45:10.660 let's...

00:45:12.660 Let me

00:45:13.500 give you

00:45:13.900 one

00:45:14.540 Sam

00:45:16.340 Harris

00:45:16.800 supporting

00:45:18.720 statement.

00:45:20.140 Have I

00:45:20.620 ever told

00:45:21.000 you that

00:45:21.400 one way to

00:45:22.780 keep yourself

00:45:23.400 unbiased,

00:45:24.920 at least the

00:45:25.400 best you can

00:45:25.840 do, is to

00:45:26.760 see if you

00:45:27.140 can argue

00:45:27.560 the other

00:45:28.000 side of

00:45:28.500 your opinion

00:45:28.980 and do it

00:45:30.300 in public

00:45:30.740 or at least

00:45:31.800 in front of

00:45:32.320 somebody else.

00:45:33.620 And if you

00:45:34.300 can't argue

00:45:34.800 the other

00:45:35.220 side, then

00:45:36.560 your opinion

00:45:37.000 is worthless,

00:45:38.380 honestly.

00:45:39.060 Your opinion 0.83

00:45:39.480 is worthless

00:45:40.000 if you can't

00:45:40.660 argue the

00:45:41.040 other side.

00:45:41.880 Now, it

00:45:42.120 might be that

00:45:42.500 the other

00:45:42.760 side literally

00:45:43.240 makes no

00:45:43.760 sense, but

00:45:44.700 at least you

00:45:45.120 could express

00:45:45.760 it the same

00:45:46.440 way they

00:45:46.780 do.

00:45:47.420 That would

00:45:47.640 be worth

00:45:48.760 something.

00:45:50.680 And I

00:45:53.300 don't know

00:45:53.600 if I can

00:45:53.960 do that

00:45:54.520 exactly in

00:45:55.900 Sam's case,

00:45:56.780 but I'll

00:45:57.040 tell you this.

00:46:00.060 Well, okay,

00:46:00.720 I could.

00:46:01.440 I think I

00:46:02.060 could tell

00:46:02.620 his argument.

00:46:03.680 His argument

00:46:04.340 would be that

00:46:04.960 you know

00:46:05.340 enough about

00:46:05.960 Trump from

00:46:07.580 even before

00:46:08.280 he was

00:46:08.620 president,

00:46:09.680 Trump

00:46:09.920 University,

00:46:10.600 he likes

00:46:10.920 to use

00:46:11.240 this as

00:46:11.460 an example,

00:46:12.540 that you

00:46:13.260 do know

00:46:13.700 everything you

00:46:14.260 need to

00:46:15.200 know about

00:46:15.600 his character

00:46:16.200 and that

00:46:18.120 that's a

00:46:19.240 dangerous

00:46:19.640 character to

00:46:20.360 have in

00:46:20.620 office.

00:46:21.900 Now, I

00:46:23.100 can go

00:46:23.520 almost all

00:46:24.600 the way

00:46:24.960 with that.

00:46:26.140 I would

00:46:26.780 say, yes,

00:46:27.700 we do know

00:46:28.460 a lot about

00:46:29.500 Trump and

00:46:30.540 what he has

00:46:31.360 and has not

00:46:31.800 done, but

00:46:32.980 I think we

00:46:34.060 differ what's

00:46:35.880 a bug and

00:46:36.480 what's a

00:46:36.840 feature.

00:46:37.580 I feel

00:46:38.880 like that's

00:46:39.280 the only

00:46:39.560 difference

00:46:40.000 because

00:46:41.540 almost

00:46:42.880 everything

00:46:43.420 that Sam

00:46:43.980 dislikes

00:46:44.680 about Trump

00:46:45.400 is something

00:46:46.600 that has a

00:46:47.280 positive element

00:46:48.140 to it,

00:46:48.880 which is

00:46:49.800 he's very

00:46:50.360 divisive,

00:46:51.420 but that's

00:46:52.440 in the

00:46:52.720 service of

00:46:53.280 getting things

00:46:53.820 done that

00:46:54.300 his base

00:46:54.700 wants.

00:46:55.720 It's not

00:46:56.280 entirely

00:46:57.780 useless

00:46:59.440 division. 0.82

00:47:00.860 I mean,

00:47:00.980 he just

00:47:01.240 goes hard

00:47:01.720 at topics

00:47:02.260 and that's

00:47:03.720 a normal

00:47:04.160 output.

00:47:05.520 so I

00:47:07.060 don't

00:47:07.220 agree with

00:47:07.740 Sam's

00:47:10.660 interpretation

00:47:11.220 of how

00:47:11.920 dangerous

00:47:12.560 Trump is.

00:47:14.480 I agree

00:47:15.400 with his

00:47:15.820 interpretation

00:47:16.340 that Trump

00:47:18.300 doesn't

00:47:18.900 respect

00:47:19.500 boundaries.

00:47:20.820 Would you

00:47:21.220 agree with

00:47:21.640 that?

00:47:22.500 Would you

00:47:22.900 agree that

00:47:23.340 Trump does

00:47:23.940 not respect,

00:47:25.260 let's say,

00:47:26.000 boundaries?

00:47:26.400 boundaries.

00:47:28.140 But where

00:47:29.060 some would

00:47:30.060 say that's

00:47:30.560 dangerous,

00:47:31.640 oh no,

00:47:32.100 he could

00:47:32.400 become a

00:47:32.780 dictator,

00:47:33.880 I say

00:47:34.360 that if

00:47:35.520 you take

00:47:35.880 that same

00:47:36.540 analysis

00:47:37.040 that he's

00:47:38.240 the same

00:47:38.660 person he

00:47:39.080 was before

00:47:39.620 he was

00:47:39.940 president,

00:47:41.360 then you

00:47:42.060 should expect

00:47:42.580 the same

00:47:42.960 stuff.

00:47:44.580 Before he

00:47:45.300 was president,

00:47:46.200 he was

00:47:46.740 super

00:47:47.820 patriotic.

00:47:51.400 For decades

00:47:52.460 and decades

00:47:52.940 before he

00:47:53.580 ran for

00:47:53.940 office,

00:47:54.300 he was

00:47:55.200 well-known

00:47:55.880 as a

00:47:56.780 flag-pin

00:47:59.040 wearing

00:47:59.540 American

00:48:00.640 patriot who

00:48:01.460 spoke of

00:48:01.960 it often.

00:48:02.900 And he

00:48:03.080 spoke of

00:48:03.480 it in

00:48:03.660 those terms.

00:48:04.680 So should

00:48:05.140 you expect

00:48:05.700 that he

00:48:06.120 would still

00:48:06.500 be that

00:48:06.880 guy?

00:48:07.680 Yes.

00:48:08.900 Yes.

00:48:09.680 I believe

00:48:10.120 he always

00:48:10.620 was and

00:48:11.200 always will

00:48:11.680 be pro-America.

00:48:14.780 Now,

00:48:15.980 would he

00:48:17.460 be able to

00:48:18.020 run a,

00:48:18.820 let's say,

00:48:19.880 a Trump

00:48:20.300 university

00:48:20.900 kind of

00:48:21.440 thing from

00:48:22.040 the White

00:48:22.460 House?

00:48:23.420 Probably

00:48:23.980 not,

00:48:25.080 because the

00:48:25.580 one thing

00:48:25.920 you worry

00:48:26.240 about him

00:48:26.640 is he

00:48:26.880 might try

00:48:27.300 to get

00:48:27.540 away with

00:48:27.920 something.

00:48:29.580 But he's

00:48:30.200 so,

00:48:30.700 so transparently,

00:48:33.220 I mean,

00:48:33.560 in the office

00:48:34.060 of the

00:48:34.300 president,

00:48:34.920 everything's

00:48:35.460 being watched

00:48:35.920 all the

00:48:36.260 time.

00:48:36.960 So you

00:48:37.500 really

00:48:37.680 couldn't

00:48:37.940 get away

00:48:38.280 with any

00:48:38.680 kind of

00:48:39.060 weird

00:48:39.380 stuff like

00:48:40.940 that.

00:48:42.560 So I

00:48:43.280 would say

00:48:43.600 that his

00:48:44.100 features

00:48:45.120 outweigh his

00:48:45.900 bugs.

00:48:47.320 Sam would

00:48:47.660 say the

00:48:47.960 opposite,

00:48:48.400 maybe.

00:48:49.700 But we're

00:48:50.320 both guessing.

00:48:51.920 And if Sam

00:48:52.660 wanted to say,

00:48:53.180 well,

00:48:53.460 you're

00:48:53.700 guessing,

00:48:54.560 because you

00:48:55.440 don't know

00:48:55.780 what you're

00:48:56.060 getting with

00:48:56.460 him,

00:48:57.240 I'd say,

00:48:57.720 well,

00:48:58.380 okay.

00:48:59.640 But you

00:49:00.620 never know

00:49:01.020 what you're

00:49:01.300 getting with

00:49:01.640 anybody.

00:49:03.020 Did anybody

00:49:03.600 know what

00:49:03.960 they were

00:49:04.160 getting with

00:49:04.520 Biden?

00:49:06.600 I have to

00:49:07.320 admit,

00:49:07.620 he's worse

00:49:08.060 than I

00:49:08.320 thought he

00:49:08.600 would be.

00:49:08.860 I thought

00:49:11.240 he would be

00:49:11.640 pretty bad.

00:49:14.060 But I

00:49:14.820 think he's

00:49:15.360 worse than

00:49:16.440 I thought.

00:49:17.820 Maybe by a

00:49:18.720 substantial

00:49:19.160 amount.

00:49:21.280 Yeah.

00:49:22.100 Because he's

00:49:22.860 gone full

00:49:23.400 division.

00:49:24.440 He's actually

00:49:25.040 attacked

00:49:25.440 citizens.

00:49:26.540 And the

00:49:26.980 Democrats,

00:49:27.920 the Democrats

00:49:29.320 are acting

00:49:30.640 like they

00:49:31.140 can't see

00:49:31.640 that distinction.

00:49:32.860 Have you

00:49:33.060 noticed that?

00:49:33.560 You know,

00:49:36.660 just as I

00:49:37.200 said,

00:49:37.500 you can't

00:49:37.820 take anybody

00:49:38.320 seriously if

00:49:39.620 they can't

00:49:40.120 describe the

00:49:40.760 other side's

00:49:41.460 argument.

00:49:42.660 Have you

00:49:43.240 ever seen

00:49:43.800 any Democrats

00:49:45.060 describe the

00:49:47.340 other side of

00:49:47.780 the argument?

00:49:49.280 Nope.

00:49:52.040 Yeah,

00:49:52.600 and the fact

00:49:53.040 that Trump

00:49:53.740 already served

00:49:54.380 four years

00:49:55.040 gives you a

00:49:56.140 pretty good

00:49:56.620 idea what

00:49:57.120 you're going

00:49:57.400 to get.

00:49:58.120 Now,

00:49:58.480 they would

00:49:58.760 argue,

00:49:59.260 well,

00:49:59.720 second term

00:50:00.480 would be

00:50:01.020 different than

00:50:01.480 the first,

00:50:02.700 doesn't need

00:50:03.200 to get

00:50:03.460 re-elected.

00:50:05.360 I don't know.

00:50:06.120 Maybe.

00:50:12.760 Is this

00:50:13.380 the Scott

00:50:13.740 Island's

00:50:14.060 biovates

00:50:14.620 for 90

00:50:15.040 minutes on

00:50:15.580 other

00:50:15.840 internet

00:50:16.260 personalities?

00:50:19.080 Bloviates? 1.00

00:50:24.940 All right.

00:50:27.940 Yeah,

00:50:28.500 I always

00:50:28.860 wonder,

00:50:29.200 what is the

00:50:29.620 point when

00:50:30.380 people make

00:50:31.060 comments that

00:50:32.480 couldn't

00:50:32.820 possibly have

00:50:33.560 any use

00:50:34.080 to anyone

00:50:34.580 else?

00:50:39.740 Yeah.

00:50:41.000 All right.

00:50:42.280 You think

00:50:42.980 Biden's gone

00:50:43.580 in January?

00:50:50.740 You say

00:50:51.480 Sam Harris

00:50:52.100 is opposed

00:50:52.640 to the

00:50:53.140 right to

00:50:53.560 religious

00:50:53.940 freedom?

00:50:55.400 Everybody's

00:50:55.960 opposed to

00:50:56.360 that.

00:50:57.660 Everybody

00:50:58.180 is opposed

00:50:58.740 to religious

00:50:59.380 freedom.

00:51:00.400 We just

00:51:00.740 pretend we're

00:51:01.260 not.

00:51:03.440 Do you

00:51:04.520 think anybody's

00:51:05.140 actually in

00:51:05.580 favor of

00:51:06.080 religious

00:51:06.460 freedom?

00:51:07.420 That's not

00:51:07.900 a thing.

00:51:09.240 No.

00:51:10.840 No.

00:51:11.560 Nobody's in

00:51:12.080 favor of

00:51:12.520 religious

00:51:12.860 freedom.

00:51:17.860 No,

00:51:18.500 you're not.

00:51:19.680 No,

00:51:19.940 there's nobody

00:51:20.420 who's in

00:51:21.220 favor of

00:51:21.640 religious

00:51:22.020 freedom.

00:51:22.680 Nobody.

00:51:22.920 Nobody.

00:51:23.020 really?

00:51:27.980 You let a

00:51:30.160 caliphate 0.84

00:51:30.780 start in

00:51:31.900 the United

00:51:32.160 States?

00:51:34.260 No.

00:51:39.120 No,

00:51:39.740 you only

00:51:40.180 have the

00:51:40.540 right,

00:51:40.880 in the

00:51:41.120 United

00:51:41.340 States,

00:51:41.760 you only

00:51:42.220 have the

00:51:42.620 right to

00:51:43.700 be compatible

00:51:44.380 with

00:51:44.720 Christianity.

00:51:47.760 Right?

00:51:48.480 You can

00:51:48.960 disagree with

00:51:49.760 Christianity,

00:51:50.460 but you

00:51:51.560 have to

00:51:51.840 stay

00:51:52.060 compatible

00:51:52.560 with the

00:51:53.020 main belief

00:51:55.800 system.

00:51:56.540 Like,

00:51:56.840 don't murder

00:51:57.260 people,

00:51:58.140 don't steal,

00:51:59.880 that stuff.

00:52:00.860 You can't

00:52:01.480 come up with

00:52:03.820 a religion

00:52:04.300 that's completely

00:52:05.360 counter to

00:52:06.020 Christianity.

00:52:07.340 You have no

00:52:08.120 freedom to do

00:52:08.720 that.

00:52:10.440 You can't

00:52:11.180 say,

00:52:11.520 my religion

00:52:12.020 says I can 0.92

00:52:12.880 chop off the 0.98

00:52:13.600 arm of this

00:52:15.380 guy because he

00:52:15.920 stole something

00:52:16.520 from me,

00:52:17.300 and your

00:52:17.800 government has

00:52:18.380 no control

00:52:18.960 over me.

00:52:19.760 You can't

00:52:20.160 get away

00:52:20.440 with that.

00:52:22.580 I mean,

00:52:22.860 the only

00:52:23.080 thing you

00:52:23.360 should get

00:52:23.640 away with

00:52:24.080 are,

00:52:24.380 like,

00:52:25.100 little border

00:52:26.260 edge stuff.

00:52:27.960 Like,

00:52:28.320 let's say

00:52:28.660 you're a

00:52:29.100 member of

00:52:29.460 the Sikh

00:52:30.000 community,

00:52:32.380 and my

00:52:33.540 understanding

00:52:33.980 is the

00:52:34.420 men are

00:52:35.360 supposed to

00:52:35.780 carry a

00:52:36.140 knife as

00:52:37.280 part of

00:52:37.680 the cultural

00:52:39.060 religious

00:52:39.920 requirement.

00:52:41.900 Now,

00:52:42.200 we, yeah,

00:52:42.700 a dagger or

00:52:43.280 whatever.

00:52:43.900 So,

00:52:44.380 so there

00:52:44.780 was, you

00:52:45.080 know,

00:52:45.880 there have

00:52:46.600 been big

00:52:46.940 conflicts about

00:52:47.740 whether they

00:52:48.180 can be

00:52:48.500 allowed to

00:52:48.960 do that,

00:52:49.420 and I

00:52:49.580 think in

00:52:49.840 some places

00:52:50.380 they can,

00:52:51.040 in some

00:52:51.300 places they

00:52:51.820 can't.

00:52:52.900 But it's

00:52:53.160 not the

00:52:53.460 biggest deal

00:52:53.900 in the

00:52:54.120 world.

00:52:55.280 The point

00:52:55.860 is that

00:52:56.540 the only

00:52:57.820 freedom you

00:52:58.400 have for

00:52:58.780 religion is 0.76

00:52:59.500 to be

00:52:59.960 mostly

00:53:01.220 compatible

00:53:02.080 with

00:53:02.440 Christianity.

00:53:03.240 That's it.

00:53:04.280 You don't

00:53:04.560 have any

00:53:04.880 freedom.

00:53:07.000 That's like

00:53:07.680 saying you

00:53:08.940 have freedom

00:53:09.460 of speech

00:53:10.040 so long

00:53:11.100 as you

00:53:11.380 only say

00:53:11.920 these

00:53:12.220 things.

00:53:14.460 That's what

00:53:15.120 our freedom

00:53:15.480 of religion

00:53:15.940 is.

00:53:16.820 You have

00:53:17.080 freedom of

00:53:17.540 religion so 0.97

00:53:18.180 long as

00:53:18.720 it's only

00:53:19.120 this kind

00:53:19.720 of religion.

00:53:21.140 But,

00:53:21.780 you know,

00:53:22.020 if you

00:53:22.240 want to

00:53:22.480 do a

00:53:22.720 child

00:53:23.000 sacrifice

00:53:23.600 because

00:53:24.060 that's

00:53:24.320 your

00:53:24.460 religion,

00:53:25.600 sorry,

00:53:27.000 that would

00:53:27.440 be

00:53:27.620 incompatible

00:53:28.340 with our

00:53:28.740 other

00:53:28.960 religion.

00:53:35.260 Yeah,

00:53:35.800 there are

00:53:35.980 limits to

00:53:36.340 everything.

00:53:36.860 That's

00:53:37.020 true.

00:53:39.700 Who's

00:53:40.180 being the

00:53:40.540 absolutist

00:53:41.100 now?

00:53:42.760 Never me.

00:53:43.540 Yeah,

00:53:49.280 but I

00:53:50.540 see what

00:53:50.980 you're

00:53:51.040 saying.

00:53:51.640 That the

00:53:52.040 Sharia 0.99

00:53:52.440 is more

00:53:53.320 like a

00:53:54.500 constitution

00:53:55.160 and less

00:53:55.960 like the

00:53:56.340 religion.

00:53:57.040 But I

00:53:57.360 don't think

00:53:57.700 that Islam 0.98

00:53:58.360 separates

00:53:59.200 government

00:54:01.000 from religion.

00:54:03.460 So I

00:54:03.860 think that's

00:54:04.240 just in your

00:54:04.660 mind that

00:54:05.120 they're

00:54:05.280 different.

00:54:05.780 I don't

00:54:05.960 think it's

00:54:06.700 not in

00:54:06.960 their

00:54:07.100 mind.

00:54:10.100 You're

00:54:10.620 confusing

00:54:11.020 libertarianism

00:54:12.040 with the

00:54:12.480 religion.

00:54:17.880 The

00:54:18.400 libertarians

00:54:19.080 are the

00:54:19.320 ones that

00:54:19.640 say freedom

00:54:20.140 of religion.

00:54:21.880 Okay.

00:54:22.800 That's

00:54:23.080 true.

00:54:25.620 Yeah,

00:54:25.920 the Ten

00:54:26.200 Commandments.

00:54:30.080 Two great

00:54:30.860 parties which

00:54:31.500 ranged under

00:54:32.020 its leader.

00:54:36.100 Huh.

00:54:38.100 John Adams

00:54:38.720 said two

00:54:39.240 parties would

00:54:39.840 be bad.

00:54:42.040 Yes,

00:54:44.060 the moral

00:54:44.440 code is

00:54:45.140 informed by

00:54:45.860 religion.

00:54:46.400 That's

00:54:46.520 right.

00:54:54.120 Why don't

00:54:55.080 the

00:54:55.240 Republicans

00:54:55.760 say they

00:54:57.360 won't touch

00:54:58.580 abortion if

00:54:59.180 the terrorists 0.99

00:54:59.580 don't touch

00:55:00.100 the Second

00:55:00.480 Amendment?

00:55:01.700 Oh, so

00:55:02.240 somebody's

00:55:02.720 saying

00:55:03.040 Republicans

00:55:04.080 could make

00:55:04.680 a deal.

00:55:08.100 That the

00:55:08.820 Republicans

00:55:09.280 won't make

00:55:10.120 abortion

00:55:10.540 illegal if

00:55:11.560 Dems don't 0.97

00:55:12.260 make guns

00:55:12.880 illegal.

00:55:14.540 Yeah.

00:55:16.000 You know,

00:55:16.720 that's the

00:55:17.340 sort of deal

00:55:17.840 you could

00:55:18.180 make if

00:55:18.740 two people

00:55:20.040 were negotiating.

00:55:21.640 So you

00:55:22.260 could make

00:55:22.620 that deal

00:55:23.180 if the

00:55:23.860 only people

00:55:24.320 who mattered

00:55:24.840 were the

00:55:25.520 two people

00:55:25.960 in the

00:55:26.280 room.

00:55:27.280 Because what

00:55:27.960 you say

00:55:28.280 is actually

00:55:28.700 completely

00:55:29.180 reasonable

00:55:29.720 for two

00:55:30.420 people

00:55:30.700 negotiating.

00:55:31.980 But the

00:55:32.320 problem is

00:55:32.740 that it's

00:55:33.240 two sides

00:55:34.240 negotiating,

00:55:34.960 and the

00:55:35.580 sides have

00:55:36.900 different

00:55:37.180 levels of

00:55:38.100 passion for

00:55:40.800 their thing.

00:55:42.220 So for

00:55:42.600 every group,

00:55:43.200 there's a lot

00:55:43.580 of them who

00:55:43.880 won't give

00:55:44.260 up anything.

00:55:46.420 So I

00:55:47.060 don't know

00:55:47.360 that you

00:55:47.560 can negotiate

00:55:48.120 anything group

00:55:49.420 to group.

00:55:50.400 I don't think

00:55:50.980 that would

00:55:51.220 work.

00:55:51.760 But if

00:55:52.060 it were only

00:55:52.340 two people,

00:55:53.000 yeah, they

00:55:53.420 could make

00:55:53.680 that kind

00:55:54.020 of a deal

00:55:54.400 if they

00:55:55.080 wanted to.

00:55:55.460 Yeah, you

00:56:01.840 can argue

00:56:02.460 whether Plan

00:56:03.180 B is or 0.79

00:56:04.220 isn't abortion, 0.99

00:56:05.200 but I think

00:56:05.520 that's, I

00:56:07.760 just think

00:56:08.420 that's missing

00:56:09.140 the point.

00:56:12.620 Because once

00:56:13.660 you've accepted

00:56:14.320 that, yeah,

00:56:17.200 I think that's

00:56:17.640 missing the

00:56:18.080 point.

00:56:18.480 The technical

00:56:19.020 argument, I

00:56:19.940 just don't

00:56:21.260 feel is useful.

00:56:25.460 Do my

00:56:31.420 doppelgangers

00:56:32.520 agree with

00:56:33.080 me?

00:56:33.740 Good

00:56:33.980 question.

00:56:34.960 Makes you

00:56:35.360 wonder how

00:56:35.740 many people

00:56:36.220 who look

00:56:36.740 like me

00:56:37.340 would have

00:56:38.000 my similar,

00:56:39.140 let's say,

00:56:39.640 political or

00:56:40.340 philosophical

00:56:40.880 thoughts.

00:56:51.060 So is it

00:56:52.160 the nature

00:56:52.560 of the

00:56:52.840 world that

00:56:53.840 if you

00:56:54.100 build a

00:56:54.540 successful

00:56:55.120 society,

00:56:56.820 eventually it

00:56:57.720 will be

00:56:58.100 destroyed by

00:56:59.220 the people

00:57:00.920 at the

00:57:01.280 bottom of

00:57:01.760 society who

00:57:02.380 aren't getting

00:57:02.820 enough compared

00:57:04.440 to the others.

00:57:05.660 So doesn't

00:57:06.380 every success

00:57:07.200 bring its own

00:57:07.940 failure with

00:57:08.600 it?

00:57:11.060 I think

00:57:11.800 success is

00:57:12.520 self-failing.

00:57:13.580 Because once

00:57:14.320 you reach a

00:57:14.760 certain point,

00:57:15.420 everybody's going

00:57:15.940 to ask for

00:57:16.340 more stuff.

00:57:17.620 Now that's

00:57:18.080 China's big 0.98

00:57:18.720 risk.

00:57:20.200 China's big 0.98

00:57:20.780 problem is

00:57:21.400 prosperity.

00:57:23.540 You know

00:57:24.100 what I mean?

00:57:24.520 If you

00:57:25.680 barely have

00:57:26.280 enough to

00:57:26.720 live,

00:57:27.460 then people

00:57:27.900 are focused

00:57:28.740 on how

00:57:29.540 do I

00:57:29.840 survive.

00:57:30.880 But if you

00:57:31.360 get to the

00:57:31.700 point where

00:57:32.140 there's a

00:57:32.500 whole bunch

00:57:32.820 of rich

00:57:33.300 Chinese people

00:57:34.320 and then

00:57:35.320 there's a

00:57:35.660 bunch of

00:57:35.940 poor people,

00:57:37.300 those poor

00:57:37.800 people are

00:57:38.180 not going to

00:57:38.520 put up with

00:57:38.940 that forever.

00:57:41.300 So then

00:57:41.980 suddenly everything

00:57:43.540 in China becomes

00:57:44.760 a little more

00:57:45.180 expensive and

00:57:46.180 then they can't

00:57:46.960 compete.

00:57:48.320 Their biggest

00:57:49.100 problem is

00:57:49.580 prosperity.

00:57:50.040 I don't know

00:57:50.540 how they

00:57:51.500 manage prosperity

00:57:52.680 in the long

00:57:53.200 run.

00:58:01.700 There's a big

00:58:02.460 railroad strike

00:58:03.200 possibly?

00:58:04.680 Great.

00:58:06.380 Hey,

00:58:06.580 whatever happened

00:58:07.100 to the supply

00:58:07.720 chain problems?

00:58:10.920 Correct me if

00:58:11.760 I'm wrong,

00:58:12.280 but the supply

00:58:12.960 chain problem

00:58:13.800 is still there,

00:58:17.220 but it's just

00:58:17.760 an annoyance,

00:58:18.580 right?

00:58:19.600 It's not

00:58:20.240 affecting the

00:58:20.900 GDP that

00:58:21.660 much.

00:58:22.300 It hasn't

00:58:22.720 affected

00:58:23.080 employment.

00:58:26.660 The basics

00:58:27.920 are all

00:58:28.360 available.

00:58:30.220 I think the

00:58:31.400 food business

00:58:32.140 probably made

00:58:32.740 some big

00:58:33.120 adjustments.

00:58:34.480 My guess is

00:58:35.120 that where

00:58:35.600 we get food

00:58:36.260 and how we

00:58:36.800 get it

00:58:37.140 probably changed

00:58:38.140 quite a bit

00:58:38.700 in the last

00:58:39.180 two years.

00:58:44.660 Automotive

00:58:45.140 area is still

00:58:45.740 a problem?

00:58:46.680 Yeah,

00:58:47.220 but that's

00:58:49.020 like a trivial

00:58:49.600 problem,

00:58:50.080 right?

00:58:51.340 Because there's

00:58:51.960 nobody who

00:58:52.440 just can't

00:58:53.100 get to work.

00:58:57.020 There probably

00:58:57.700 is,

00:58:58.000 actually.

00:58:58.300 There probably

00:58:58.640 are people

00:58:59.040 who just

00:58:59.380 literally

00:58:59.680 can't get

00:59:00.120 to work,

00:59:01.160 but not

00:59:01.860 many.

00:59:04.140 Prices are

00:59:04.780 up,

00:59:05.040 yeah.

00:59:06.560 FedEx is

00:59:07.140 in trouble.

00:59:14.120 Big

00:59:14.560 ivermectin.

00:59:15.300 ivermectin

00:59:16.800 is still

00:59:17.240 like a

00:59:17.640 trending

00:59:17.920 thing

00:59:18.300 almost

00:59:18.600 every day.

00:59:19.880 It's all

00:59:20.400 the same

00:59:20.720 thing.

00:59:21.100 People

00:59:21.320 looked at

00:59:21.700 that one

00:59:22.120 study and

00:59:22.860 decided that

00:59:23.460 it was

00:59:23.740 convincing,

00:59:24.760 but I

00:59:25.400 looked at it

00:59:25.880 and decided

00:59:26.300 it wasn't.

00:59:27.600 So I guess

00:59:28.360 everybody's

00:59:28.760 going to see

00:59:29.040 what they

00:59:29.280 want to see.

00:59:31.660 One in six

00:59:32.540 can't pay

00:59:33.020 their energy

00:59:33.520 bills.

00:59:33.920 Yeah,

00:59:36.420 so you

00:59:38.020 hear in

00:59:38.580 Great Britain

00:59:39.080 for example

00:59:39.620 that the

00:59:40.200 energy bills

00:59:40.880 in Europe

00:59:41.340 maybe in

00:59:42.000 general,

00:59:42.700 the energy

00:59:43.180 bills are

00:59:43.800 going to be

00:59:44.020 so high

00:59:44.460 that people

00:59:44.840 can't pay

00:59:45.320 them.

00:59:46.680 So what's

00:59:48.060 going to

00:59:48.280 happen?

00:59:49.740 Well here's

00:59:50.440 the thing.

00:59:51.500 If one

00:59:52.140 person can't

00:59:52.860 pay their

00:59:53.180 bill,

00:59:53.520 that one

00:59:53.840 person's

00:59:54.300 in trouble.

00:59:55.800 If one

00:59:56.540 in six

00:59:56.940 people can't 0.97

00:59:57.560 pay their

00:59:57.860 bill,

00:59:58.760 the company

00:59:59.420 is in

00:59:59.740 trouble.

00:59:59.960 So it

01:00:01.640 looks like

01:00:02.040 the government

01:00:02.540 is probably

01:00:03.140 going to have

01:00:03.540 to subsidize

01:00:04.340 or pay

01:00:05.060 people's

01:00:05.480 energy prices

01:00:06.220 in Europe.

01:00:07.440 Maybe here

01:00:07.980 too,

01:00:08.360 I don't know.

01:00:09.060 But it

01:00:09.540 looks like

01:00:10.280 what I

01:00:12.300 think is

01:00:12.700 that people

01:00:13.060 will just

01:00:13.420 keep using

01:00:14.000 energy and

01:00:14.560 stop paying

01:00:15.280 when it

01:00:16.400 gets too

01:00:16.760 expensive.

01:00:18.040 And the

01:00:18.320 energy

01:00:18.980 companies are

01:00:19.860 not going

01:00:20.200 to be able

01:00:20.460 to turn

01:00:20.860 off one

01:00:21.420 out of

01:00:21.700 six people.

01:00:23.100 The energy

01:00:23.880 company can

01:00:24.480 turn off

01:00:24.900 your energy

01:00:26.000 if you're

01:00:26.640 the only

01:00:26.960 one,

01:00:28.040 but they

01:00:28.540 can't turn

01:00:28.940 off one

01:00:29.440 out of

01:00:29.680 six people.

01:00:31.140 So it's

01:00:31.960 actually such

01:00:32.620 a big

01:00:32.960 problem that

01:00:33.640 the problem

01:00:34.080 doesn't exist.

01:00:36.640 Does that

01:00:37.200 make sense?

01:00:38.460 The problem

01:00:39.260 of people

01:00:39.720 not being

01:00:40.200 able to

01:00:40.520 pay their

01:00:40.840 bill is

01:00:41.220 so big

01:00:41.780 that it

01:00:42.860 probably

01:00:43.120 doesn't

01:00:43.460 exist as

01:00:43.980 a problem

01:00:44.400 because they're

01:00:45.340 going to

01:00:45.520 give free

01:00:45.920 energy.

01:00:46.640 They just

01:00:46.880 won't pay

01:00:47.220 their bill.

01:00:48.220 The government

01:00:48.720 will pay it

01:00:49.360 or the company

01:00:49.860 will make

01:00:50.260 less money

01:00:50.800 or the company

01:00:51.640 will run

01:00:52.060 up debt

01:00:52.620 or something.

01:00:54.320 But I think

01:00:54.840 if it's

01:00:55.120 one in six

01:00:55.780 they just

01:00:56.140 don't pay

01:00:56.500 their bill

01:00:56.880 and that's

01:00:57.840 the end

01:00:58.040 of it.

01:00:58.980 And at

01:00:59.220 some point

01:00:59.660 they'll

01:00:59.880 probably

01:01:00.160 have their

01:01:00.560 debt forgiven.

01:01:05.820 This is

01:01:06.460 completely

01:01:06.820 delusional.

01:01:07.560 The energy

01:01:07.900 companies need

01:01:08.540 to match

01:01:09.000 the grid

01:01:09.500 with production.

01:01:10.420 What did I

01:01:10.920 say that

01:01:11.260 would be

01:01:11.840 conflicting

01:01:12.620 with that?

01:01:13.680 Of course

01:01:14.220 the energy

01:01:14.680 grid needs

01:01:15.580 to match

01:01:16.720 the grid

01:01:17.140 with production.

01:01:20.580 I'm not

01:01:21.280 sure what

01:01:21.580 your point

01:01:22.240 was.

01:01:28.580 The energy

01:01:29.380 has to be

01:01:29.920 shut off

01:01:30.480 somewhere.

01:01:32.080 Does it?

01:01:35.720 We'll see.

01:01:37.920 Yeah,

01:01:38.160 I think

01:01:38.820 Germany

01:01:39.480 is going

01:01:39.780 to be

01:01:39.940 shutting

01:01:40.140 down

01:01:40.440 the energy

01:01:41.900 in some

01:01:42.360 ways

01:01:42.580 in some

01:01:42.920 places.

01:01:43.300 But I

01:01:44.360 still

01:01:44.620 would like

01:01:45.080 to know

01:01:45.620 does Europe

01:01:47.360 have a 40%

01:01:48.420 problem or

01:01:49.080 a 20%

01:01:49.820 problem?

01:01:50.400 Does anybody

01:01:50.740 know?

01:01:52.640 If you

01:01:53.280 looked at the

01:01:53.780 total energy

01:01:54.780 situation for

01:01:55.740 Europe,

01:01:56.680 are they going

01:01:57.720 to lose

01:01:58.040 20% of it

01:01:59.060 or 40%

01:02:00.020 of it

01:02:00.380 this winter?

01:02:02.520 Somebody

01:02:02.920 says 30.

01:02:04.400 Are those

01:02:05.120 real numbers?

01:02:05.700 I've seen

01:02:06.000 two numbers

01:02:06.540 in the 30%

01:02:07.900 range.

01:02:08.300 maybe nobody

01:02:10.120 can tell.

01:02:11.820 Yeah,

01:02:12.120 exactly.

01:02:12.800 I don't

01:02:13.060 think anybody

01:02:13.500 can tell.

01:02:14.660 You think

01:02:15.080 over half?

01:02:15.740 If it's

01:02:16.020 over half, 0.91

01:02:16.580 they're dead.

01:02:17.980 If it's

01:02:18.600 25%,

01:02:19.380 it's just

01:02:19.940 a really

01:02:20.300 bad winter.

01:02:21.740 If it's

01:02:22.380 45%,

01:02:23.260 they're 1.00

01:02:23.660 fucking 1.00

01:02:23.920 dead. 1.00

01:02:27.680 All right.

01:02:28.540 Well,

01:02:29.200 that's all we

01:02:29.900 know for now

01:02:30.380 and I'm

01:02:30.960 going to go

01:02:31.280 do something

01:02:31.740 else today.

01:02:33.020 I hope

01:02:33.360 you're going

01:02:33.620 to have

01:02:33.820 a terrific,

01:02:35.380 terrific

01:02:35.860 Sunday.

01:02:36.560 I have

01:02:38.200 absolutely

01:02:38.700 nothing going

01:02:40.440 on today,

01:02:41.160 so I get

01:02:43.720 to decide

01:02:44.240 what I want

01:02:44.820 to do

01:02:45.120 whenever I

01:02:45.580 feel like

01:02:45.900 doing it,

01:02:46.520 which is

01:02:46.900 kind of a

01:02:47.220 good feeling

01:02:47.600 too.

01:02:51.660 Work out

01:02:52.300 and eat

01:02:52.680 meat.

01:02:53.000 That's what

01:02:53.320 you're going

01:02:53.540 to do?

01:02:53.940 Okay.

01:02:57.840 And I'll

01:02:59.600 be making

01:02:59.960 fun of ESG

01:03:00.940 and some

01:03:01.360 upcoming comics.

01:03:02.700 I think

01:03:03.020 they're coming

01:03:03.400 at you pretty

01:03:04.560 soon.

01:03:04.780 I'm cooling

01:03:06.560 off my

01:03:06.980 house,

01:03:07.320 so I

01:03:07.500 got to

01:03:07.680 go close

01:03:08.100 my doors.

01:03:10.000 My whole

01:03:10.600 house fan

01:03:11.100 stopped

01:03:11.460 working

01:03:11.800 today. 1.00

01:03:12.520 Damn it. 1.00

01:03:14.040 Ben Shapiro 1.00

01:03:14.720 says,

01:03:15.180 dump Trump.

01:03:16.720 Well, 0.55

01:03:17.760 he can

01:03:18.280 say it,

01:03:18.820 but it's

01:03:19.080 not going

01:03:19.360 to happen.

01:03:21.180 Right?

01:03:21.880 You know,

01:03:22.300 there are a

01:03:22.540 lot of

01:03:22.740 people who

01:03:23.380 have said

01:03:23.880 they don't

01:03:24.620 want Trump

01:03:25.480 as their

01:03:25.840 first choice,

01:03:27.020 but you're

01:03:29.620 not going

01:03:29.920 to have

01:03:30.080 any option

01:03:30.540 about it.

01:03:31.040 It doesn't

01:03:31.340 look like

01:03:31.740 there's

01:03:32.980 anything

01:03:33.260 going to

01:03:33.560 happen but

01:03:34.100 Trump.

01:03:36.420 All right.

01:03:37.420 I'll see you

01:03:37.820 later,

01:03:38.140 YouTube.

01:03:38.320 YouTube.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 04, 2022

Episode 1856 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About The Trump Rally And Those Empty Folders. Join The Fun

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