Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1859 Scott Adams： Democrats Have Launched Their Newest Hoax. Come Share A Laugh About It

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to what will be, no doubt, one of the highlights of

00:00:08.520 your life. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, or CWSA. I encourage you, all of you, to say

00:00:15.520 CWSA from now on, because it saves you some words. And I would encourage you to hit that

00:00:21.320 if you're on YouTube, hit that little subscribe button. I never tell you to do that because

00:00:26.200 it's so annoying. So I'll just ask you once, hit that subscribe button, because apparently

00:00:32.640 that makes a big difference. Now, would you like to take your experience up to, I don't

00:00:38.000 know, ludicrous levels, for example? Yeah, yeah, you do. And all you need to do that is

00:00:44.520 a cup of hunger, a glass of tank, or a chalice of stein, a canteen drink, or a flask, a vessel

00:00:48.220 of any kind, filling with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled

00:00:55.760 pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's

00:01:00.960 called the Simultaneous Sip. And it's coming at you right now. Go.

00:01:06.280 Ah. Yep. So good. That'll make you slide off your chair. Well, here's the question that

00:01:23.460 you can think of while I'm looking for this thing that I'm going to show you. So this is

00:01:28.660 a question from Machiavelli's Underbelly. I quote his account a lot. And he asks this

00:01:35.000 today. Why do you believe that you're made out of something different than your imagination?

00:01:40.020 In your imagination, let's say dreaming, as a good example of imagination, you have complete

00:01:47.700 worlds. And in your dreams, you can touch things, can't you? Doesn't everything have weight when

00:01:55.160 you're dreaming? If you touch something in your dream, it feels solid, right? So why do you think

00:02:00.160 you're made of something different than your dream? There's no reason to think so. There's no reason.

00:02:07.060 But that's not what I wanted to show you. I promised you that I would take care of the

00:02:13.360 scourge of ESG. And I am a cartoonist of my word. And so today we begin a series on ESG. And

00:02:26.740 the first in the series will be Dogburp, who has been hired. Actually, the ESG thing, I'm going

00:02:33.360 to hit in a few different ways. So there'll be some gaps. It won't be continuous. But in today's

00:02:41.840 comic, you can see Dave, the new character. Now, if you don't know the new Dave character in the

00:02:48.780 Dilbert comic, Dave is a black employee. Give you a little close-up there. He's a black employee

00:02:57.320 who's the joke, the running joke, is that he's a prankster. And although he is obviously 0.99

00:03:04.820 black, he identifies as white because he's just pranking his boss. Anyway, so that's the 0.95

00:03:11.340 context. But Dogburp says to him, says to Dave, he says, Dave, your boss hired me to solve all

00:03:17.780 his problems by renaming stuff. Does that sound familiar? Solve all your problems by just renaming

00:03:25.560 them? And then Dogburp goes on. He says, I realize you identify as white just to prank 0.92

00:03:31.540 him, but he asked me to rename you as black so he can reach his ESG goals. And then Dave

00:03:38.420 says, you are a worthy opponent, but I can change my identity as often as I want. And Dogburp

00:03:44.540 says, I get paid by the hour. Now, this takes some explaining. Takes some explaining. The

00:03:52.100 first thing you have to know is, is it weird to you that I didn't define ESG? Did that stick

00:03:59.940 out to you? Did you say to yourself, how many people are even going to read this comic and

00:04:03.800 know what ESG means? Well, first of all, they don't need to. It's written. It is written

00:04:10.980 so that you could still get the joke without knowing what ESG means. But I intentionally

00:04:18.060 don't define it. Because once it appears in a Dilbert comic, and there are court cases that

00:04:24.420 have actually confirmed this, it's generally considered common knowledge. So I'm sort of

00:04:30.440 gaming the system. It is literally true that court cases have looked at Dilbert comic strips

00:04:36.580 to determine what is common knowledge. Because if it's in a comic strip in a newspaper and

00:04:42.260 it's not defined, then the argument is, well, if he didn't have to define it in a mass media,

00:04:48.740 it means it's common knowledge. There was actually a year 2000 case that was based on that. Somebody

00:04:56.060 claimed they didn't know the year 2000 would have some technical bugs involved with it.

00:05:02.780 And the prosecution said, it's impossible that you didn't know that, because it's common

00:05:06.560 knowledge. It's even in the Dilbert comic, which it was. So here's the first cartoonist trick.

00:05:15.360 I like to give you a little persuasion and marketing tips as I go. By not defining it,

00:05:20.940 what behavior did I cause? By not defining ESG, what behavior did I cause? Curiosity, right?

00:05:30.260 If you can inspire somebody's curiosity, well, you have them. And basically, if I could make you

00:05:36.420 curious, I own you. Because you're going to stick around. You're going to find out what's the answer

00:05:45.000 to the mystery. So the first thing is a little curiosity about what that is. Secondly, some people

00:05:52.500 will look it up. Yeah, they'll look it up for the first time. Now, if you make somebody do something

00:05:58.320 physically with their body, such as go search for something else, what does that do for your art?

00:06:07.200 It binds them to you. It's a bonding exercise. So if somebody does something because of my cartoon,

00:06:14.100 and then gets back to the cartoon, and creates more of a structure of activity around it,

00:06:20.280 then they have bonded with me. So as part of the strategy that sometimes I don't explain

00:06:26.180 things that are entering the common use but aren't quite there yet. So here the idea was that if Dave

00:06:36.660 can change his identity as often as he wants, and Dogbert is also getting paid by the hour to rename

00:06:42.340 stuff, that they have a standoff. And Dave will keep redefining himself, and Dogbert will keep

00:06:50.760 redefining his redefinition. Anyway, as long as Dogbert gets paid by the hour, he's fine.

00:06:56.140 All right. A lot of people ask me, why don't I move out of California? Because we've got all these

00:07:05.960 problems. We've got the heat wave going on. We'll talk about that in a moment. We've got all the crime

00:07:11.460 and the taxes and the immigration and stuff like that. Do you know why I don't move? Does anybody know

00:07:19.480 why I don't move? Let me tell you. Yesterday in my town, it was 112 degrees. And I call that a nicer

00:07:30.020 day than Florida. Have you ever gone outside in Florida in the summer? On any day? It's like you're

00:07:43.120 being punched to death just walking outside. Do you know how often, how many days a year it's unpleasant

00:07:50.240 to walk outside where I live? Hardly any. Hardly any. At 112 degrees, it didn't stop me from doing

00:07:59.540 anything. At 112 degrees, I just did my outdoor stuff early in the morning. You know, it was around 75.

00:08:07.540 And then I go swimming at night. I do all my errands. I mean, it's just the same. No difference

00:08:15.820 at all. So at 112 degrees, because I don't have humidity, it's not that bad. I mean, it's noteworthy

00:08:23.500 and you don't want to hang around in it. But it's no big deal. Now, you also hear a lot about San

00:08:31.100 Francisco and L.A. and the homeless people and all that stuff, right? So you say to yourself,

00:08:35.960 how could you live with all that crime and homelessness and needles on the street? To

00:08:41.240 which I say, there's nothing like that around where I live. That is less than, you know, 1% of 1%

00:08:48.780 of the total land mass of California has anything bad happening on it. 99.99% of all of California,

00:08:58.200 this enormous state, it's kind of awesome. It's kind of awesome. The view is good. You

00:09:05.720 know, traffic is a little hard. Traffic is hard in the metropolitan areas, but you can

00:09:10.120 stay away from them. You know, just tell Amazon to bring you your stuff if you need it. So if

00:09:18.020 you're wondering what's the mystery of why people stay in California, they're definitely moving

00:09:21.840 into the cities because the cities are mismanaged. But where I live, the population is growing.

00:09:26.560 Where I live, there are way more people moving in. The value of the real estate here zoomed during the

00:09:35.060 pandemic because people were moving out of the city and into my neighborhood. So I have the place

00:09:40.540 that you move to, not the place you move out of. If you lived in San Francisco, that's the place you

00:09:47.040 move out of. If you lived in L.A., depending on the area, that's the place you'd move out of. But you

00:09:53.960 move to my neighborhood. It's a big place. You'd like it. You really would. So yesterday, I got a text.

00:10:03.960 I forget what it was. It was in the early evening. And it was a text from the state saying that we're

00:10:11.620 going to run out of electricity any moment unless you turn down your use of electricity, like right

00:10:17.660 now and for the next several hours. What did I do? The moment I got a text that says you might lose

00:10:24.880 your power completely if you don't raise your temperature on your thermostat and stop your usage.

00:10:32.320 What did I do immediately? Do you think I did nothing at a protest? Or did I immediately turn down my

00:10:41.800 appliances? I walked directly to my appliances and I altered them all. Turned off lights, closed

00:10:50.780 doors that had, you know, AC zones. Kept my office and my bedroom at a reasonable temperature

00:10:57.800 because I used them. And other things, I just, you know, turned off the AC and let it drift up

00:11:04.020 because my house is well insulated so it doesn't get above 80 usually. Now, how did I feel about it?

00:11:11.800 Here's the interesting question. Let me ask you, how did I feel about that? What was my internal

00:11:19.000 feeling when I had to stop what I was doing and turn down, turn up the temperature? How did

00:11:28.760 I feel? Because remember, I tend to be a cantankerous personality. I don't know, sometimes I can be

00:11:36.820 cantankerous. I tend to be, you know, reflexively against being told what to do. I do not like my

00:11:45.620 government telling me what to do, right? Let me tell you what I did. I immediately changed everything

00:11:51.540 and I felt really good about it. And then I woke up today and I read the results. Do you know what

00:11:58.160 happened in California last night? That text went out because we were, apparently they could measure

00:12:04.200 when you're getting right up to the limit of your electrical usage. We got right up to the limit.

00:12:09.860 I think we were using 45, whatever, and 50 was our limit. And we got there. And as soon as the text

00:12:15.460 went out, boom, dropped like a rock. Dropped like a rock. Californians just said, well, what do we have

00:12:24.820 to do? Okay. Well, that's better than losing power. It was easy. Not only did I do it, I felt okay about

00:12:32.340 it. Now, today I woke up to lots of criticism, a lot of criticism. I guess some people thought I

00:12:39.280 shouldn't have done that. Now, the problem is how we got to this point. The problem is not what I did

00:12:44.240 yesterday. What I did yesterday is not terribly relevant to, you know, energy management in California.

00:12:51.420 I'm just saying that here's what I was missing. Here's what I was missing. Yeah, the critics are

00:13:01.560 going to say, oh, you sheep, you sheep, you did what you were told. But let me tell you how it felt.

00:13:09.420 It felt like a shared crisis. And I felt like I was pitching in. And I felt connected to the rest of

00:13:19.380 California, no matter what their political leaning was. More connected, more connected to the people

00:13:27.640 in California than any time in the past, well, maybe since I've lived here. No, actually one other

00:13:32.980 time. There was one other time Californians were more coordinated and on board with each other. 0.97

00:13:41.700 It was the big earthquake. What was the year? Do you remember the big earthquake that whacked

00:13:48.600 everything? When the big earthquake hit, I was out here in California, 80, 89. When was it? Late 80s.

00:13:59.580 That's when the freeways collapsed. You know, I was like, I was one exit away from the freeway that

00:14:05.200 collapsed. Now, as it turns out, I wouldn't have been on it. But I was that close to a pretty big

00:14:11.740 disaster. Like, as it happened. Like, I was right there. I was just not under it, luckily.

00:14:21.940 Have you noticed, if you follow the news and you're following the imaginary civil war that

00:14:26.200 we're supposed to be in? The imaginary civil war makes you imagine that you're at each other's

00:14:31.760 throats, because on Twitter it looks that way. If you follow the news, it looks that way.

00:14:35.720 But the moment, the moment I got a text from my state that said, if you don't all band together, 1.00

00:14:46.720 you're all fucked. I banded together. I banded together. Because you know what? I don't want to 1.00

00:14:52.980 be all fucked. And I don't want the other people to. I probably would have been fine, because my house 0.99

00:14:58.900 my house was designed to withstand a power outage. It was designed for that purpose. So my house was

00:15:05.900 designed to be fireproof, water shortage proof, because I have my own well, and energy loss proof.

00:15:16.220 It's not as loss proof as it could be. But it's designed so that the temperature will never be

00:15:21.000 too high or too low, just because my insulation is so powerful. So it wouldn't have been a big deal to

00:15:27.580 me if the power had gone out. I just would have, literally, I would have gone out and gone swimming.

00:15:34.180 If my power went out, I would have said, oh, okay. I would have walked outside and just got in my pool.

00:15:39.700 That's it. That would have been my entire suffering for the night. So I didn't need to do it. I didn't

00:15:44.980 need to turn off my power. I didn't need to change it at all. But the fact that I woke up in the morning

00:15:50.500 and found out that, apparently, the whole state, in some kind of lockstep fashion, said, I could do

00:15:56.760 that. That is completely reasonable. Now, it's not reasonable that we got to this point. Don't take

00:16:03.800 me wrong. Don't get me wrong. It is not reasonable that we had to do this. But once we're here,

00:16:10.360 I'm not going to let my fellow Californians die. Am I going to let a Californian die because I didn't

00:16:20.720 change my temperature a little bit and go swimming? Really? So it was the smallest little effort on my

00:16:27.440 part. But here's the thing. It really reminded me that we don't have a common enemy. And we kind of

00:16:35.900 need one, don't we? So the United States hasn't had a common enemy for a while, not a real one.

00:16:43.280 So we divided into these two teams so we'd have the way to still fight. Well, at least we'll fight

00:16:48.600 with each other until we get a common enemy. But the moment I got that text, that was a common enemy.

00:16:55.920 Right? The temperature was a common enemy of everybody in California at the same time.

00:17:00.880 And as soon as we saw that common enemy, how much did we care about politics?

00:17:05.900 Zero. Zero. Zero. It was the most pure moment of the last five years. It was the purest moment of

00:17:14.780 being a human in the world. Oh, I have to do this to save my fellow humans? I'm in. No problem.

00:17:24.440 So it was actually kind of a magical moment. I know that I'm going to get criticism for being a sheep

00:17:30.020 and blah, blah, blah. Why do you live in California? Blah, blah. I live here because your state sucks

00:17:34.880 compared to where I live. Let me be honest. Where I live is fucking great. Even in California. 0.99

00:17:43.200 Even in California. It's fucking great. It's way better than where you live most of the year. 0.99

00:17:50.600 I get that where you live is awesome when the leaves change. I get that where you live is amazing

00:17:56.820 for like a month or two in the spring. But if you want to have pretty good weather all year,

00:18:02.020 you're going to come where I live. All right. Where I live, you don't die because you went

00:18:06.540 outdoors, except for three days this year, I guess. You would die if you went outdoors too long.

00:18:14.040 All right. So, oh, here's the other thing. Do you know what I haven't heard at all for the last,

00:18:21.720 uh, uh, I don't know, two days? I haven't heard anybody complain about, uh, climate change not

00:18:28.260 being real. Now, again, I'm not talking about the fact of it. We're not talking about the science of

00:18:35.100 it. I'm not even arguing climate change. I'm just saying that we're so anecdote driven that it is,

00:18:42.480 it would have been impossible to be in California yesterday, walk outdoors and doubt climate change.

00:18:49.040 Now, do I understand that a few days of hot weather don't mean anything? Yes, I do. Yes, I do. I

00:18:57.480 completely understand that a few days of hot temperature in California don't mean anything.

00:19:02.620 It doesn't mean the models are correct. It doesn't mean you're going to burn up. It doesn't mean

00:19:06.940 anything. But even as much as my rational brain says that doesn't mean anything, that's just a few

00:19:13.400 days of extra hot weather. I'll bet we've had those in the past. But when you walk outdoors,

00:19:19.040 the first thing you think is, oh shit, this is real. The, the, the anecdotal, uh, persuasiveness 0.99

00:19:27.040 is so high when it's 110 degrees that even though your, your conscious brain is saying, don't believe

00:19:34.560 it, don't believe your senses because they're, you know, they're not reliable compared to science,

00:19:39.600 not compared to data. Don't believe your senses. I know it's hotter than you've ever felt it before.

00:19:44.600 Don't believe that. That's just an anecdote. It's not useful data. And then you walk outside

00:19:50.360 and you feel it. And as soon as that sun hits your skin and you've never felt anything like

00:19:55.380 it. Like there are a lot of people yesterday in California, probably a lot. I'll bet there

00:20:00.320 were millions of people yesterday who had never felt that hot in their life walking outdoors.

00:20:06.200 Don't you think? At 110, there's a lot of people who felt that for the first time. I'll bet

00:20:12.800 every one of those people who felt that for the first time just decided that climate change

00:20:17.800 is real. Um, let me remind you of my personal opinion on climate change, which is that, uh,

00:20:26.100 I think the basic science is real. That's the most reliable part, the basic science, meaning

00:20:32.160 that all things being equal, if you added CO2 to the air, it should heat up because that's

00:20:37.920 just basic science. But as Jordan Peterson pointed out recently, there's so many variables

00:20:44.120 that the models are basically useless. And I will add to that, given that AI will be, I

00:20:51.760 think, reaching the singularity within three years, any prediction about humankind after three

00:20:58.800 years from now, it's just nonsense. Complete nonsense. It's entirely possible that AI will

00:21:04.920 solve climate change in four years. Solving it in that context would mean developing a plan

00:21:11.420 that was not obvious to us. But once you see it, you say, oh shit, that would work. It 0.99

00:21:16.380 turns out you just figured out how to make fusion, which could happen. You know, the AI is actually

00:21:22.760 a big part of the advanced nuclear designs. If you have AI, you can quickly adjust your

00:21:33.760 containment. I guess I'm using the wrong words. But you can quickly adjust your reaction.

00:21:40.720 Would that be the better way to say it? Somebody help me out with the technical words. But if

00:21:44.520 you're using AI and you're very rapidly adjusting your situation to maintain your, I don't know,

00:21:50.840 the reaction or maintain the safety of it, whichever it is, you need AI to do that. Humans can't do

00:21:56.660 that. So AI is actually a critical technology for nuclear, as it turns out, the new designs.

00:22:04.740 All right. So I don't know about you, but a lot of people are going to believe in climate change who

00:22:09.420 didn't believe it before. I do believe climate change is real. And I do believe that humans are

00:22:17.140 part of it. And I do believe that we can't predict it at all. But I don't mind that we panic a little

00:22:24.520 bit, because it does cause us to build new industries and stuff. I don't think we're making

00:22:28.840 all the right decisions. Case in point, Michael Schellenberger notes today on Twitter that

00:22:35.480 scientists claimed that the algae bloom in the San Francisco Bay, which killed over 10,000 fish,

00:22:42.220 was due to climate change. So that was a claim at one point, that there was all this algae that

00:22:47.360 killed a bunch of fish, and it was climate change. But now we found out it's due to the failure of

00:22:51.260 local governments to upgrade the region's antiquated sewage treatment plants. So it was actually just

00:22:56.260 the government failure of sewage treatment that the scientists decided was a clear sign of climate

00:23:02.160 change. Would everybody be okay with the following statement of fact? Regardless of how true climate

00:23:16.660 change is as a risk, and regardless of what is true or false about the central nature of the claim,

00:23:24.200 I think it's basically true. Regardless of how true it is, do we agree that much of the evidence

00:23:31.140 to support it will be absolute bullshit? Would you go with me then? So you don't have to agree 0.98

00:23:36.440 with me whether the basic science is correct. You could disagree with me in that. But could we both

00:23:41.980 agree that whether the basic idea is correct or not, the evidence shown is so fucking bad. 0.93

00:23:50.920 And I think it's because there's so many people who are trying to make a living, right? Because you

00:23:55.320 get your best scientists who do their work and say, hey, we got this problem. And then all the lesser

00:24:00.280 scientists need to publish a paper, too. Well, I've got to do something on climate change,

00:24:05.420 because that's important. And then you get these lower-level studies and lower-level hypotheses,

00:24:10.400 and suddenly the public doesn't believe anything, right? Because science at that point is lying to us

00:24:17.960 nonstop. And so those few true things just get, you know, the good stuff gets thrown in with the garbage,

00:24:24.440 and you think it's all garbage. I mean, I think the main crime against conservatives and Republicans

00:24:32.880 and anybody who doubts climate risk, I think a crime has been committed against that group 0.99

00:24:39.420 because they were fed so much bullshit that they don't believe anything. They don't believe anything. 0.99

00:24:44.420 And let me ask you this. Should they? Should they? If you had been fed as much bullshit as conservatives

00:24:54.480 and Republicans have been fed for years, would you believe anything? And that's a big problem. It's 1.00

00:25:01.320 the crying wolf problem, right? So I think this time this is a real risk. But if you tell me you don't

00:25:10.320 believe it because they lied to you so many times in the past, I'm going to say, you know,

00:25:14.340 you know, that's not crazy. If I say, I think the vaccinations might be a good idea, but I can't

00:25:21.740 tell, there's just no way for me to know. But you say, well, I'm not going to risk it because they

00:25:27.480 lied to me so many times in the past. Then I say, that's not crazy. That's not crazy. You might be

00:25:33.520 right. You might be wrong. But you're not crazy. You're definitely not crazy. By the way, how

00:25:40.780 hard would it be to run for president and win? Is it hard to show respect for an opinion

00:25:47.080 you don't hold? It's not that hard. I mean, I feel like I'm doing it right now, right? I'm

00:25:54.420 giving some respect to the other side. It's not that hard. And I don't think it took anything

00:25:58.180 away from my argument at all. In theory, it would make it stronger. All right. I have

00:26:07.200 an observation that some of you will hate, that people who have completely conquered their

00:26:13.560 ego look like people with huge egos. And you can't tell the difference. And the reason you

00:26:20.960 can't tell the difference is most of us have damaged egos. So we're just projecting. And let

00:26:26.180 give you an example. When I hear people say that Trump has a huge ego, I say, but that

00:26:33.660 is completely counter to all the ways he acts. Because yes, he does a lot of bragging. Does

00:26:40.980 a lot of bragging. I get that part. But it's also like his job. You know, he's literally a

00:26:46.820 marketer, brander who became president. And both of those jobs are about exaggerating your

00:26:53.320 qualities. So, but here's the part that doesn't make sense if he's protecting his ego. Do you

00:27:01.520 think he would act the way he acts if that was his main concern? Do you think that Trump

00:27:06.280 doesn't know what way to act for people to like him and respect him the most? Because I think

00:27:15.160 he does. You think he doesn't? All right. Well, then let me, we'd be guessing about him.

00:27:21.440 We can't read his mind. So I'm going to take you out of the guessing zone and put you into

00:27:26.640 my own head. Have you ever seen me say things? Sort of a rhetorical question here. Have you

00:27:33.720 ever seen me say things that you said, oh my God, that sounded pretty arrogant and a little

00:27:38.560 more certain than he should have been. He's got a big ego there. Have you ever heard anything

00:27:42.720 that made you say that? Whoa. We're certainly interpreting that as Scott has a big ego. Right?

00:27:50.800 You've all seen me do it. Now, here's a question. Do you think I wasn't aware of how I would sound?

00:27:58.880 In any situation in which I've acted arrogant or egotistical to you, if that was your opinion,

00:28:05.280 do you think that I was unaware how I would be received? Of course not. It's not rocket science.

00:28:14.960 It's obvious. I know exactly how I'm being received. So why do I choose to do it? Why would I choose to

00:28:21.680 do something in which I know, easily I know, it will not be well received, I will be mocked,

00:28:28.080 and people will have a lower opinion of me for it. Why do I do it? Or, yeah, or narcissism. Why do I do it?

00:28:37.120 If I know people are going to have a negative feeling about it, why do I do it?

00:28:45.040 Sometimes it's for effect. That's correct. Sometimes it's for energy. That's part of, for effect.

00:28:51.760 But here's the thing. I couldn't do it if I had an unhealthy relationship with my ego.

00:29:00.640 I don't think any of it's true. If I tell you something awesome about me, I don't think it's true.

00:29:10.080 So the thing that you can't tell is what I think is true. So if I tell you that I'm right about

00:29:19.280 something, I don't know if I'm true. I mean, I don't know if it's true. It would just be an opinion.

00:29:26.720 So I would, I would ask you to look for this. If you're trying to figure out if somebody really,

00:29:34.080 their ego is out of control versus they've completely conquered it to the point where

00:29:38.880 it's just not part of their decision making, look for people doing things that they clearly

00:29:43.760 know would not be good for them. And then, you know, it's just for effect, right? They're

00:29:49.600 trying to accomplish something. All right. Um, so in the Wall Street, no, Washington Post

00:30:01.200 had a editorial saying that the GOP wants to be the education party. And I think it was encouraging

00:30:08.800 the Democrats to fight back against that. Now, my comment was that, uh, branding the Republicans

00:30:15.600 as the education party is pretty good. It's not bad. What do you think of that? The education party?

00:30:24.800 Yes or no? Does that sound persuasive to you?

00:30:27.040 Do you think you could get any extra votes with that? Um, yeah. Here's my suggestion. The parent

00:30:40.720 party is a better persuasion. If you say you're the education party, then Democrats say, how can

00:30:48.960 you be the education party? You don't even believe in climate science. It's just too easy. As soon as,

00:30:55.760 as soon as you say we're the ones who will educate you, the other side has plenty of ammunition,

00:31:01.280 plenty of ammunition. But if you say we back parents,

00:31:08.560 you have it all. The parent party is the high ground. Education party is the low ground.

00:31:16.400 The low ground fight, you might win, you might not, but it's a fight. The high ground,

00:31:21.200 you're just going to win. The whole point of the high ground is it always wins. And you can tell

00:31:27.360 it in advance. As soon as you see it, you say, oh, okay, that always wins. Now, the only thing that

00:31:33.280 would beat that high ground is what's the one form of persuasion that beats the high ground? There's

00:31:38.960 only one. What's the only way they can beat the high ground? Fear. Fear. And that's what Biden's doing.

00:31:46.800 Fear. He's using fear, persuasion, and he's using it brilliantly, I would say.

00:31:52.000 He's killing it. Right? He's not the most capable person at the moment. But on this one, you know,

00:31:58.720 narrow mission of demonizing one side, he's killing it. He really is. It's all we're talking about. It's

00:32:06.400 in the headlines. It's dividing the country. People are talking about the civil war. It's working. 0.99

00:32:12.000 Now, I'm not saying that means he gets more votes. But has he scared part of his base? Yeah.

00:32:20.160 Yeah, it's totally working. So there was a poll in the Trafalgar group. They did a poll and they

00:32:29.120 said that found that about 57% of the likely general voters said that Biden's speech, calling

00:32:36.720 MAGA Republicans extremists, represents a dangerous escalation in rhetoric. And of course,

00:32:42.720 independents were even more sure that it was a dangerous escalation in a rhetoric.

00:32:49.360 Now, I was asked, is that a persuasion fail if the public doesn't like it? So the public is saying,

00:32:57.520 hey, Biden, you're ginning up all this conflict and hatred, and that's opposite of what you said you do.

00:33:05.440 So therefore, is it a persuasion fail? Is it failure that he's doing the opposite of what he said he'd do?

00:33:11.360 And he's doing it as hard as you could do it. Opposite of what he said he'd do, that everybody knows.

00:33:17.680 And he's doing it as hard as possible. Is that good or bad for Biden?

00:33:24.000 What did I tell you about fear persuasion? It's just really strong. It works. Yeah, this works.

00:33:32.320 He's killing it right now. I think it's completely working. Now, you might say to me,

00:33:38.080 but wait, if everybody knows he's using this trick, and everybody knows they don't want a divided country,

00:33:46.480 how could this possibly be working if people are saying, we see your trick, and we hate it?

00:33:51.680 Stop doing that trick. We hate it. We see it. We see exactly what you're doing. Don't do that anymore.

00:33:55.840 It doesn't make any difference. The only thing that matters is, did he succeed and make you afraid?

00:34:04.560 That's all that will matter. They won't vote for something else.

00:34:11.280 Republican, just like always. And he only has to move 2% of people or make 2% of people stay home.

00:34:17.440 That's all. And does he have a fear persuasion that would get that done? He does.

00:34:22.400 That's not a prediction. I'm saying he's using a tool that is appropriate to the job.

00:34:28.880 Does he succeed? We'll see. But he's using the right tool if you have no ethical center whatsoever.

00:34:34.640 And I think in politics, you can assume that. All right. Hillary Clinton is weighing in on her emails. 0.99

00:34:43.280 Here's the claim she made. So she tweeted that Comey admitted he was wrong after he claimed I had classified emails.

00:34:51.120 And she said Trump's own state department under two different secretaries found I had no classified emails.

00:34:56.160 Can you do me a fact check on that? How did I get to 2022 while thinking that there were classified emails when she says there were not and that it was proven?

00:35:10.480 Have I been fake newsed or is she lying? Is she lying or is it fake news?

00:35:15.600 No. But here's the interesting part. Let's say I don't know if she's lying or not. But hasn't she just proven that you can be accused of having confidential things when in fact you don't?

00:35:35.760 Didn't Hillary just give Trump his defense? 1.00

00:35:38.100 If you were going to weigh the possible explanations for Trump having those documents, what would you put the greatest odds on?

00:35:49.980 That he meant to sell it? Sell secrets?

00:35:54.180 Well, let's say we're in a world where nothing can be ruled out, no matter how horrible.

00:35:58.920 Okay, I'll give that a 1%.

00:36:01.740 How about he had all those documents only for the purpose of a biography?

00:36:06.820 There was no other reason. It was just for a biography.

00:36:10.060 Maybe. I'd give that a solid 20% chance.

00:36:17.340 Now, that's not crazy. I'd give it a 20% chance.

00:36:19.920 It might explain some of the documents.

00:36:22.080 But on the other hand, you don't really need the original document.

00:36:25.640 You could just tell the biographer what you want him to know.

00:36:28.740 I don't know. So no more than 20% for that one.

00:36:31.280 The biggest possibility...

00:36:35.040 Oh, then blackmail.

00:36:36.120 Maybe there's some stuff in there that Trump thought he could hold as blackmail.

00:36:40.340 I'll give that another 20% to him.

00:36:43.060 But by far, the biggest percent is that there was some misunderstanding about what Trump had and had given back.

00:36:53.440 And that it was more like a bureaucratic who was in charge and who heard what and was there an agreement about what was confidential and what wasn't.

00:37:02.240 Almost certainly, it's going to be that.

00:37:05.080 Right?

00:37:05.660 And I think that Hillary has basically bolstered Trump's defense.

00:37:12.660 Because if Hillary could be blamed, in her own mind here, it needs a fact check, 1.00

00:37:19.200 but Hillary's claim is that she could be blamed for having a bunch of classified emails, 1.00

00:37:23.660 only to later find out none of it was true.

00:37:27.780 Well, in the context of Trump, it looks like the same thing's going to happen.

00:37:32.180 That he will be blamed of a bunch of stuff, and in the end you'll find out,

00:37:36.300 well, it was sort of a gray area or it wasn't true or totally out of context or something.

00:37:41.500 Well, yeah, I think that's where it's going to end up.

00:37:49.760 So I told you I was going to teach you how to spot the latest Democrat hoax.

00:37:56.820 If I told you the Democrats are working with the media to develop their next hoax,

00:38:01.700 what would you expect it would include?

00:38:05.640 Number one, it would include

00:38:07.040 an anonymous source, right?

00:38:11.500 If you're going to do a hoax, you need an anonymous source.

00:38:14.640 That anonymous source would be reported by whom?

00:38:19.640 Either the New York Times or the Washington Post.

00:38:22.660 Because that's how you get into a credible news-making entity.

00:38:27.200 So it's going to be in one of those.

00:38:29.240 And then once the story comes out, it's going to lack detail, right?

00:38:33.300 And it's the lack of detail that allows who?

00:38:38.020 Adam Schiff and Eric Swalwell to tweet and go on television and say,

00:38:48.020 well, this report from the anonymous source in the Washington Post,

00:38:52.780 if he did this and if he did that, it would be terrible.

00:39:00.360 So that's what you'd expect, right?

00:39:03.160 That's what it would look like.

00:39:04.460 And then all the pundits would come on TV and support it.

00:39:07.400 So that's exactly what's happening.

00:39:12.540 So the latest is that there's a Washington Post report

00:39:15.520 with a source that they won't tell us,

00:39:19.220 anonymous source, Washington Post,

00:39:22.620 that Schiff and Swalwell are already tweeting about.

00:39:26.020 And it claims that some of those documents that were found in Mar-a-Lago

00:39:31.560 included, let's see, included foreign government,

00:39:39.460 something related to foreign government defenses, including nuclear.

00:39:45.020 So what the report is, is that there's some,

00:39:48.980 at least some information, we don't know anything else,

00:39:51.380 that might involve a foreign government and their nuclear defense. 0.96

00:39:56.020 So that sounds pretty bad, doesn't it?

00:39:59.360 Like if you're just hearing that and you're a,

00:40:01.680 let's say you're a low information consumer of news

00:40:03.980 and the only thing you hear is the headlines,

00:40:06.060 you'd be like, oh, shoot, really?

00:40:09.860 Trump had like the most sensitive of nuclear defense secrets?

00:40:15.200 All right, let me give you an example

00:40:17.120 of what this could have included, right?

00:40:19.840 Now, it doesn't say that the information

00:40:22.580 about this alleged foreign government's nuclear defense,

00:40:27.000 it doesn't say that this is information

00:40:29.060 that's brand new, right?

00:40:33.040 It doesn't say it's brand new.

00:40:34.500 It also doesn't say it's useful,

00:40:36.420 and it doesn't say it's dangerous.

00:40:39.560 It could be all of those things.

00:40:41.120 It could be useful to somebody else.

00:40:42.920 It could be dangerous to America.

00:40:44.420 But it doesn't say that.

00:40:46.100 So remember what we don't know.

00:40:48.040 That's important, what we don't know.

00:40:50.280 Now, let me give you an example of what it could be.

00:40:54.220 Now, I'm just making this up.

00:40:55.560 These are just examples of what would be under this umbrella

00:40:58.620 that you wouldn't necessarily have to worry about.

00:41:02.740 We believe that Iran is three years away 0.97

00:41:06.060 from having a nuclear weapon.

00:41:08.920 Number one, you know our intelligence agencies

00:41:12.260 don't have the capability to estimate that

00:41:14.360 because they're terrible at that, right?

00:41:18.240 It wouldn't mean anything.

00:41:20.160 If they said three years or ten years,

00:41:22.580 I would have the same amount of skepticism

00:41:24.600 because I think they're just guessing anyway.

00:41:28.620 Suppose it said,

00:41:30.080 Israel is unlikely to use nuclear weapons

00:41:35.460 to attack Iran. 0.54

00:41:38.680 How about that?

00:41:40.320 You'd say to yourself,

00:41:41.380 that's just sort of common sense.

00:41:42.860 But if it's in that document,

00:41:45.200 then it's something about another country's nuclear defense.

00:41:48.720 But it would also be amazingly obvious,

00:41:52.160 meaning that your own guess of what would happen

00:41:54.860 would be equal to the CIA's guess.

00:41:56.960 There wouldn't be much difference.

00:41:59.060 So I can think of infinite number of examples

00:42:03.260 in which there could be a document

00:42:04.940 that legitimately talks about a foreign government's

00:42:07.860 nuclear defenses

00:42:08.840 and yet gives you no information whatsoever

00:42:11.700 that would have any value to an enemy.

00:42:15.300 Would you agree with that?

00:42:17.860 That if you looked at all the things it could be,

00:42:21.340 whatever the specific topic is,

00:42:24.280 99% of them are going to be completely harmless

00:42:26.740 because most of them are just going to be context.

00:42:29.780 As in,

00:42:31.840 well, you know,

00:42:32.420 France has a nuclear arsenal.

00:42:35.480 Blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.

00:42:37.800 Or,

00:42:38.720 you know,

00:42:39.240 if Iran builds their, 0.67

00:42:42.780 let's say,

00:42:43.860 a domestic nuclear power program,

00:42:48.360 that that will give them the ability

00:42:49.800 to much faster develop nuclear weapons

00:42:53.220 or more of them.

00:42:55.340 That wouldn't be a secret.

00:42:56.520 That would just be context.

00:42:59.860 So unless you know

00:43:01.880 if there's something like new secret

00:43:03.420 in those documents,

00:43:05.700 you should assume it's just context.

00:43:08.980 So to have a document

00:43:10.200 that simply references things

00:43:11.900 about nuclear defense,

00:43:14.160 I'm not even sure we know anything

00:43:15.540 about the nuclear defense of other countries.

00:43:18.020 I mean,

00:43:18.380 maybe it says something like,

00:43:20.460 Russia claims to have X number of nukes,

00:43:23.300 but we think they have twice as many.

00:43:25.100 How would that change your behavior?

00:43:28.280 It wouldn't.

00:43:29.620 It wouldn't.

00:43:30.700 And it wouldn't matter who knew it.

00:43:32.320 It wouldn't matter who found it.

00:43:34.540 So 99% of all the things

00:43:36.800 that could be on this document

00:43:38.040 about a foreign country

00:43:39.140 is nuclear stuff.

00:43:40.040 It's just innocent nothing.

00:43:42.680 Of no value to anybody.

00:43:44.600 And any country that would have the,

00:43:46.560 let's say,

00:43:47.040 willingness

00:43:47.380 or need to know

00:43:49.320 probably already knows.

00:43:51.160 Do you think there's something

00:43:54.520 we know that,

00:43:55.380 like France doesn't know

00:43:56.740 about another country's

00:43:59.180 nuclear capabilities?

00:44:00.800 Probably not.

00:44:02.640 All right.

00:44:05.520 So then Shift did his usual thing.

00:44:08.140 New reporting.

00:44:08.900 This is a Shift tweet.

00:44:10.260 New reporting that Trump

00:44:11.360 had highly classified information,

00:44:13.560 including on foreign nuclear programs.

00:44:15.960 And he goes,

00:44:17.440 if true,

00:44:18.380 it raises yet more questions.

00:44:19.840 See,

00:44:20.000 they have to do the if true thing.

00:44:21.860 So today is if true time.

00:44:23.860 Now,

00:44:24.120 the other way to identify

00:44:25.260 an obvious Democrat media hoax

00:44:28.160 is the timing.

00:44:31.240 Kind of suspicious timing,

00:44:32.560 isn't it?

00:44:33.700 That the Mar-a-Lago document story

00:44:36.240 started getting boring.

00:44:37.960 You know,

00:44:38.900 so there were no new news.

00:44:41.100 So it started getting a little boring.

00:44:42.520 And right on time.

00:44:44.740 Right on time.

00:44:46.040 Boom.

00:44:47.140 Story to renew it.

00:44:48.820 Huh.

00:44:49.680 How about that?

00:44:52.900 So,

00:44:53.820 I'm going to call a hoax on this one.

00:44:56.360 Everybody agree?

00:44:58.620 Yeah.

00:44:59.420 This has every signal for a hoax.

00:45:02.880 In fact,

00:45:03.420 this one's just funny.

00:45:05.020 Because it's so obviously a hoax.

00:45:09.580 So obviously a hoax.

00:45:10.920 And I think it's funny

00:45:12.480 that we haven't treated it seriously.

00:45:14.520 Because this one,

00:45:15.420 this one says it's the entire checklist,

00:45:17.280 right?

00:45:18.220 Am I wrong that you,

00:45:19.520 you could have made this checklist

00:45:21.120 in advance.

00:45:21.900 In fact,

00:45:22.240 we could make the checklist

00:45:23.080 for the next one.

00:45:24.780 We could do the next one.

00:45:26.420 Make the checklist.

00:45:27.920 Anonymous story.

00:45:29.540 Trump did something bad.

00:45:31.460 Followed by media hits.

00:45:33.480 Followed by Swalwell and Schiff

00:45:35.640 being the only ones

00:45:36.480 who were willing to destroy

00:45:37.720 their reputations, 0.99

00:45:38.720 claiming bullshit. 0.99

00:45:39.380 And the other part 0.99

00:45:41.580 is that the legitimate

00:45:43.500 Democrats stay hidden.

00:45:46.120 Right?

00:45:46.840 So this is the phase

00:45:48.120 of the hoax

00:45:48.780 where the legitimate Republicans,

00:45:51.520 the ones who still have

00:45:52.340 an ounce of self-respect,

00:45:54.100 they're not doing

00:45:55.000 what Adam Schiff

00:45:56.000 and Swalwell are doing.

00:45:57.960 They're not getting ahead

00:45:59.140 of the story

00:45:59.660 like those guys are.

00:46:00.960 They're saying,

00:46:01.660 I'd like to retain

00:46:02.800 a little bit of credibility

00:46:03.720 maybe for later.

00:46:04.840 So, yeah.

00:46:07.900 This one has just

00:46:08.880 hoax written all over it.

00:46:11.580 Well, I guess Trump

00:46:12.380 succeeded in getting

00:46:13.580 his, quote,

00:46:14.340 special master

00:46:15.240 to look into

00:46:16.040 all those Mar-a-Lago documents.

00:46:18.480 That'll slow things down.

00:46:20.040 I suppose he wanted that.

00:46:21.420 But they're going to check

00:46:22.220 specifically for any

00:46:23.260 attorney-client

00:46:24.020 privilege documents.

00:46:25.680 They're not going to trust

00:46:26.800 the FBI's look at them.

00:46:28.620 And I guess he,

00:46:31.840 the, nobody,

00:46:33.100 I think all the smart people

00:46:34.320 said that the special master

00:46:35.920 would never be appointed

00:46:36.940 because it didn't make sense.

00:46:38.400 And then it happened.

00:46:40.300 And then people said,

00:46:41.420 oh, that's because

00:46:42.240 that's a Trump-appointed judge

00:46:43.620 who was appointed

00:46:44.780 after he'd already

00:46:45.820 lost the election.

00:46:47.580 So while he was already

00:46:48.520 lame-ducking, 0.68

00:46:49.300 he appointed her.

00:46:50.340 And then she repaid the favor

00:46:52.860 is what the critics would say.

00:46:55.280 And I have to admit,

00:46:56.520 if this were the Democrats,

00:46:59.980 I would have said

00:47:01.160 the same thing.

00:47:02.500 I would have said,

00:47:03.300 ah, this looks like

00:47:05.220 a little too insight-ish

00:47:06.600 that the judge you appointed

00:47:08.740 just recently

00:47:09.720 is the one that gives you

00:47:11.260 the ruling that was unlikely

00:47:12.580 but went your way.

00:47:15.060 That's a little bit of a flag.

00:47:17.540 So my guess is

00:47:18.940 it's exactly what it looks like.

00:47:21.260 They got the friendliest judge

00:47:22.760 they could

00:47:23.220 and they got a good result

00:47:24.280 out of it.

00:47:25.100 I don't know that it matters, though.

00:47:26.520 I don't know that it matters.

00:47:29.600 They might take a few documents

00:47:31.320 out of the,

00:47:32.880 I don't know,

00:47:33.580 potential public disclosure domain

00:47:36.320 or something,

00:47:36.980 but I don't know

00:47:38.900 why they're doing that exactly,

00:47:40.260 the special master.

00:47:42.680 I guess one day

00:47:43.980 after Russia cut off

00:47:45.440 all the oil pipeline stuff,

00:47:49.540 was it oil?

00:47:50.160 No, natural gas pipeline stuff,

00:47:53.340 to Europe,

00:47:54.720 they signed a giant deal

00:47:56.040 with China's biggest

00:47:57.180 petro company.

00:47:59.900 So Russia's going all in 0.97

00:48:01.580 on China.

00:48:02.700 Now,

00:48:03.140 do you think that's bad

00:48:04.040 for the United States?

00:48:05.700 That Russia and China 1.00

00:48:06.640 are doing war games together

00:48:08.300 and now

00:48:10.340 they're tying their

00:48:11.360 economic futures together.

00:48:12.900 Is that good or bad

00:48:13.900 for the United States?

00:48:14.740 Is it good or bad

00:48:17.320 for Russia?

00:48:20.200 You know,

00:48:21.120 we're,

00:48:22.220 the reason that we're

00:48:23.560 decoupling from China

00:48:25.120 is the reason this isn't

00:48:28.380 good for Russia. 0.62

00:48:30.120 Do you know what Russia

00:48:31.340 doesn't want?

00:48:32.740 To be dependent on China. 0.74

00:48:34.320 being dependent on Europe 0.52

00:48:37.360 is one kind of risk.

00:48:38.920 Being dependent on China, 0.98

00:48:40.760 that's a whole

00:48:41.860 different deal.

00:48:43.620 Now,

00:48:43.880 I do think that Russia 0.78

00:48:44.700 and China will continue 0.89

00:48:45.840 playing nice with each other,

00:48:47.460 but only because

00:48:48.500 they don't need a war,

00:48:49.840 you know,

00:48:50.160 two superpowers

00:48:51.020 with a shared border.

00:48:52.540 They're,

00:48:52.800 they're going to play nice.

00:48:54.500 But I don't think

00:48:55.400 we should make too much

00:48:56.300 of the fact that

00:48:57.160 Russia and China 0.56

00:48:57.960 are acting like friends

00:48:58.960 because I don't think

00:49:00.180 China wants Russia 0.97

00:49:01.020 to succeed.

00:49:02.620 Would you agree?

00:49:04.320 I mean,

00:49:05.000 they want Russia 0.96

00:49:05.600 to be just successful

00:49:07.300 enough that there's not

00:49:08.540 a,

00:49:08.820 you know,

00:49:10.000 a war or something

00:49:11.160 that gets sparked

00:49:12.280 by poverty.

00:49:13.700 But I don't think

00:49:14.880 they want,

00:49:15.600 they don't want Russia 0.99

00:49:16.500 to succeed.

00:49:18.020 So,

00:49:18.880 driving Putin

00:49:19.820 into China's arms 0.95

00:49:22.020 should be seen

00:49:23.980 as a huge loss

00:49:25.360 for Putin.

00:49:27.300 In,

00:49:28.020 in every way,

00:49:29.040 really.

00:49:30.020 But I don't know

00:49:30.860 if it'll be reported

00:49:31.660 that way.

00:49:32.780 Well,

00:49:33.400 I tweeted,

00:49:33.800 there was a guy

00:49:35.360 named Mark Wilson

00:49:36.140 who had a tweet

00:49:36.880 in which he included

00:49:37.780 a whole bunch

00:49:38.880 of studies

00:49:39.540 showing that

00:49:41.060 wearing masks

00:49:42.300 works.

00:49:43.680 A whole bunch

00:49:44.380 of studies.

00:49:46.520 But,

00:49:47.320 to his credit,

00:49:49.060 he does put

00:49:49.700 the caveat

00:49:50.160 that if you,

00:49:51.900 if the masks

00:49:52.800 are not the good ones,

00:49:54.580 they don't work

00:49:55.400 nearly as well.

00:49:56.280 And if they're not

00:49:56.940 fitted properly,

00:49:57.960 they don't work

00:49:58.420 nearly as well.

00:49:59.100 and if you stayed

00:50:00.760 in a room

00:50:01.520 long enough,

00:50:02.260 your masks

00:50:02.760 probably wouldn't

00:50:03.320 help you.

00:50:04.680 Yeah.

00:50:05.060 But,

00:50:05.520 for short encounters,

00:50:07.320 the science

00:50:07.800 seems to say

00:50:08.840 that there is

00:50:09.500 friction that

00:50:10.200 reduces the amount

00:50:11.020 of virus,

00:50:11.940 even if you use

00:50:12.820 the crappy 0.85

00:50:14.940 surgical masks. 0.92

00:50:17.160 They're,

00:50:17.720 they're ten times

00:50:18.540 worse than

00:50:19.160 the N95s, 0.96

00:50:20.200 but they still

00:50:20.720 make a big difference

00:50:21.660 according to

00:50:22.380 all the studies.

00:50:23.860 Now,

00:50:25.280 given that

00:50:26.560 human beings

00:50:27.220 do not wear

00:50:27.900 their masks

00:50:28.540 correctly,

00:50:30.240 this does seem

00:50:31.620 to completely

00:50:32.340 support the view

00:50:33.920 I've had,

00:50:35.240 which is,

00:50:36.140 from an

00:50:37.360 engineering perspective,

00:50:39.220 mask wearing

00:50:39.880 must make

00:50:40.500 some difference.

00:50:42.060 From a human

00:50:43.100 experience,

00:50:44.160 probably not,

00:50:45.180 because people

00:50:45.640 just don't,

00:50:46.200 don't take them

00:50:47.580 seriously enough.

00:50:49.060 Everybody cheats

00:50:49.780 with their masks.

00:50:51.060 Let me ask you

00:50:51.620 this.

00:50:52.460 Those of you

00:50:53.180 who had kids

00:50:53.860 during the

00:50:54.440 lockdowns,

00:50:56.440 didn't your kids

00:50:57.100 just play with

00:50:57.640 the other kids

00:50:58.120 without masks

00:50:58.880 as soon as,

00:51:00.680 like,

00:51:01.220 almost right away?

00:51:02.760 There was no

00:51:03.560 real social

00:51:05.000 distancing

00:51:05.480 among the kids.

00:51:08.540 Yeah.

00:51:09.180 I think there

00:51:09.780 were,

00:51:10.040 like,

00:51:10.120 a few families

00:51:10.960 who locked up

00:51:11.820 their kids

00:51:12.200 for the entire

00:51:12.720 time,

00:51:13.340 but I think

00:51:13.760 most of the

00:51:14.260 parents just

00:51:14.760 said,

00:51:15.460 just don't be

00:51:16.520 in public.

00:51:18.160 Yeah,

00:51:18.400 just,

00:51:18.680 just don't make

00:51:19.280 a big deal

00:51:19.720 of it.

00:51:20.180 But all the

00:51:20.800 kids were still

00:51:21.320 hanging around

00:51:21.880 just like

00:51:23.820 always.

00:51:25.080 I mean,

00:51:26.100 I had

00:51:26.420 sleepovers

00:51:27.440 galore

00:51:28.040 during the

00:51:29.660 pandemic

00:51:30.040 at my house

00:51:30.760 and nobody

00:51:31.780 wore a mask.

00:51:33.120 Nobody in

00:51:33.640 my house

00:51:34.060 wore a mask.

00:51:35.200 Well,

00:51:35.500 maybe a few

00:51:35.960 vendors wore

00:51:36.740 them or

00:51:36.980 something.

00:51:38.120 But basically,

00:51:39.680 and,

00:51:40.940 you know,

00:51:41.540 Christina was

00:51:42.160 flying and

00:51:43.500 airports,

00:51:44.440 airports were

00:51:45.200 exempted from

00:51:45.900 masks.

00:51:46.400 so I'd

00:51:48.120 be sitting

00:51:48.580 in my

00:51:49.100 house.

00:51:50.220 My spouse

00:51:50.720 would go

00:51:51.140 to a

00:51:51.440 completely

00:51:51.860 unmasked

00:51:52.680 situation

00:51:54.280 and she'd

00:51:54.880 be there

00:51:55.140 all day

00:51:55.540 long

00:51:55.900 with people

00:51:57.120 with no

00:51:57.460 masks

00:51:57.960 and then

00:51:58.400 would come

00:51:58.800 back.

00:51:59.920 My kids

00:52:00.520 would be

00:52:00.900 playing,

00:52:01.440 you know,

00:52:01.660 stepkids

00:52:02.060 would be

00:52:02.300 playing with

00:52:02.680 other kids

00:52:03.100 without masks

00:52:03.680 all day

00:52:04.040 long and

00:52:05.060 then come

00:52:05.540 back into

00:52:05.960 my house.

00:52:07.140 There was

00:52:07.660 no social

00:52:08.460 distancing.

00:52:10.560 Not really.

00:52:11.760 It was all

00:52:12.200 pretend.

00:52:13.240 Because as

00:52:13.660 soon as

00:52:13.920 people aren't

00:52:14.300 watching,

00:52:14.760 nobody did

00:52:15.220 it.

00:52:16.760 How many

00:52:17.360 people invited

00:52:18.000 their friends

00:52:18.560 over to their

00:52:18.980 house and

00:52:19.380 made them

00:52:19.640 wear masks

00:52:20.380 while they're

00:52:21.460 in your

00:52:21.740 house?

00:52:22.980 I mean,

00:52:23.200 some did.

00:52:24.300 Some did.

00:52:24.960 But there

00:52:25.260 was so much

00:52:26.100 flagrant ignoring

00:52:27.300 of the

00:52:27.960 guidelines that

00:52:29.000 you can't even

00:52:29.600 say that masks

00:52:30.440 were,

00:52:31.300 they were

00:52:31.840 barely required.

00:52:33.140 It's almost

00:52:33.560 like they

00:52:33.940 weren't even

00:52:34.480 there in

00:52:35.540 terms of

00:52:35.880 effectiveness.

00:52:37.900 So I think

00:52:38.620 it can be

00:52:39.140 true that if

00:52:39.720 you did a

00:52:40.140 study,

00:52:40.700 you would see

00:52:41.240 that it

00:52:41.620 reduced the

00:52:42.140 virus,

00:52:42.580 but in

00:52:42.860 the real

00:52:43.140 world,

00:52:44.160 everybody

00:52:44.620 hates the

00:52:45.640 masks so

00:52:46.040 much that

00:52:46.460 they ignored

00:52:47.520 them when

00:52:47.840 they could

00:52:48.240 and probably

00:52:49.560 didn't see

00:52:49.900 much in

00:52:50.460 the big

00:52:50.800 picture.

00:52:52.560 So Bannon's

00:52:53.340 in trouble,

00:52:53.920 so he got

00:52:54.540 pardoned for

00:52:55.200 his federal

00:52:55.920 charges about

00:52:58.000 that build

00:52:59.280 the wall

00:52:59.800 charity thing

00:53:00.760 that he had.

00:53:02.000 And the

00:53:02.500 allegations are

00:53:03.340 that it was

00:53:03.820 some kind

00:53:04.220 of a scam.

00:53:05.600 So now the

00:53:06.200 state of New

00:53:07.140 York apparently

00:53:07.720 gets a shot

00:53:08.900 at him. 0.96

00:53:09.580 And he can't

00:53:10.300 be pardoned

00:53:10.800 for that,

00:53:11.360 not only

00:53:11.920 because Trump's

00:53:12.900 not president,

00:53:13.880 because then

00:53:14.460 there would

00:53:14.680 be a state

00:53:15.380 problem,

00:53:15.880 not a federal

00:53:16.340 problem.

00:53:17.880 Does it feel

00:53:18.740 like Republicans

00:53:19.480 are being hunted?

00:53:21.200 Steve Bannon

00:53:21.720 says he's being

00:53:22.560 taken off the

00:53:23.240 board because

00:53:25.020 of the big

00:53:25.960 elections coming.

00:53:27.800 It doesn't feel

00:53:28.900 like a coincidence,

00:53:29.900 does it?

00:53:31.300 It just doesn't

00:53:32.000 feel like a

00:53:32.500 coincidence.

00:53:32.820 do you ever

00:53:36.460 think that

00:53:36.900 maybe if

00:53:37.700 somebody is

00:53:38.660 pardoned for

00:53:40.080 federal offenses

00:53:40.940 it should

00:53:41.460 include state

00:53:42.200 offenses?

00:53:43.940 I'm not sure

00:53:44.780 I love the

00:53:45.660 idea of a

00:53:46.380 president pardoning

00:53:47.420 somebody and

00:53:48.580 then the state

00:53:49.200 prosecuting them.

00:53:51.680 That feels

00:53:52.460 like,

00:53:53.920 I don't know,

00:53:54.700 there's just

00:53:54.940 something wrong

00:53:55.240 with the system.

00:53:56.380 It's like,

00:53:56.680 pick one.

00:53:58.600 Either don't

00:53:59.400 have any

00:53:59.840 pardons or

00:54:01.720 don't have a

00:54:02.300 workaround so

00:54:03.280 that you can

00:54:03.640 thwart the

00:54:04.200 pardon.

00:54:06.500 I don't know.

00:54:07.360 I think

00:54:07.880 a presidential

00:54:10.320 pardon should

00:54:11.140 be applicable

00:54:11.980 at the state

00:54:12.680 level and

00:54:13.240 local level.

00:54:14.040 What do you

00:54:14.320 think?

00:54:15.880 Otherwise,

00:54:17.560 I feel like

00:54:20.080 it's wasting

00:54:20.560 the public's

00:54:21.220 time and

00:54:21.700 money.

00:54:24.240 Yeah.

00:54:25.600 Now,

00:54:26.460 you could have

00:54:27.120 a lively debate

00:54:28.260 about whether

00:54:28.900 anybody should

00:54:29.580 ever be

00:54:30.000 pardoned.

00:54:30.580 like if

00:54:31.840 there's ever

00:54:32.260 a good

00:54:32.560 reason for

00:54:33.040 that.

00:54:34.220 But as

00:54:34.620 long as we

00:54:35.060 have it,

00:54:35.960 I think we

00:54:36.420 should use

00:54:36.820 it in a

00:54:37.260 more rational

00:54:37.860 way,

00:54:38.580 which is if

00:54:39.180 the president

00:54:39.680 of the United

00:54:40.020 States says

00:54:40.960 for whatever

00:54:41.580 reason,

00:54:42.560 remember the

00:54:43.040 whole point

00:54:43.420 of the

00:54:43.620 pardon is you

00:54:44.160 don't have

00:54:44.420 to give a

00:54:44.740 reason.

00:54:45.180 It's whatever

00:54:45.660 reason.

00:54:47.240 I just don't

00:54:47.920 think the

00:54:48.260 states should

00:54:49.420 usurp the

00:54:51.760 right to

00:54:52.380 punish somebody

00:54:53.240 once the

00:54:54.420 federal government

00:54:55.060 said no.

00:54:57.500 I don't.

00:54:58.100 It feels

00:54:58.400 wrong to me.

00:55:00.580 Britain's 0.60

00:55:04.080 talking about

00:55:04.580 now flattening

00:55:05.440 the curve of

00:55:06.200 their electric

00:55:06.860 use.

00:55:08.460 And boy,

00:55:09.000 do people

00:55:09.400 not like to

00:55:10.040 hear that

00:55:10.460 term flatten

00:55:11.320 the curve.

00:55:12.180 Because that

00:55:12.640 just feels

00:55:13.380 like another

00:55:14.060 scam,

00:55:14.600 doesn't it?

00:55:15.680 It just

00:55:16.020 feels like,

00:55:16.520 oh God,

00:55:17.160 the wrong

00:55:17.480 people are

00:55:17.880 in charge.

00:55:18.520 As soon as

00:55:18.800 you hear

00:55:19.040 that,

00:55:19.480 flatten the

00:55:20.000 curve,

00:55:20.460 no.

00:55:21.480 Now,

00:55:22.060 the language

00:55:22.640 makes sense.

00:55:24.440 It makes

00:55:24.880 perfect sense

00:55:25.560 what they're

00:55:25.900 trying to

00:55:26.240 do.

00:55:26.460 What do

00:55:32.620 you think

00:55:32.760 about all

00:55:33.060 this work

00:55:33.740 from home

00:55:34.180 thing?

00:55:34.460 I saw

00:55:34.700 an interesting

00:55:35.460 tweet from

00:55:35.980 Jason Furman

00:55:36.740 who said

00:55:37.180 the difference

00:55:38.500 between economic

00:55:39.480 research,

00:55:40.480 so when you

00:55:40.920 do research,

00:55:42.300 it tends

00:55:43.280 to show

00:55:43.920 people

00:55:44.200 enthusiastic

00:55:45.000 about working

00:55:45.700 from home.

00:55:47.200 But when you

00:55:47.660 ask CEOs

00:55:48.260 who almost

00:55:48.860 all hate

00:55:49.300 it,

00:55:50.040 there's a

00:55:50.640 big difference.

00:55:51.700 So somebody

00:55:52.200 must be

00:55:52.580 wrong.

00:55:53.400 Is it the

00:55:53.900 CEOs who

00:55:54.620 are wrong?

00:55:54.940 and the

00:55:56.600 employees

00:55:57.020 should go

00:55:57.440 work at

00:55:58.140 the office?

00:55:58.840 Or is

00:55:59.460 the research

00:56:00.140 that's wrong

00:56:00.680 that says

00:56:01.380 that this

00:56:01.740 work-at-home

00:56:02.280 thing is a

00:56:02.680 pretty good

00:56:03.000 deal?

00:56:04.000 What do

00:56:04.280 you think?

00:56:05.760 What's

00:56:06.220 wrong?

00:56:07.240 The research

00:56:07.860 or the

00:56:08.180 CEOs?

00:56:10.860 Here's

00:56:11.340 what I

00:56:11.620 think.

00:56:12.460 I think

00:56:13.140 it's hard

00:56:13.600 to feel

00:56:14.020 like you're

00:56:14.620 managing

00:56:15.240 something

00:56:15.780 if

00:56:16.300 somebody's

00:56:17.160 not there

00:56:17.500 in person.

00:56:19.720 And you

00:56:20.340 could argue

00:56:20.740 that maybe

00:56:21.180 there's no

00:56:22.180 management

00:56:22.520 there at

00:56:22.900 all.

00:56:23.080 And then

00:56:25.100 there are

00:56:25.440 some

00:56:25.780 percentage

00:56:26.780 of people

00:56:27.180 who work

00:56:27.480 at home

00:56:27.780 are just

00:56:28.100 going to

00:56:28.280 take

00:56:28.480 advantage

00:56:28.860 of it,

00:56:29.180 right?

00:56:29.620 It's

00:56:29.860 going to

00:56:29.960 be a

00:56:30.180 pretty

00:56:30.340 big

00:56:30.580 percentage.

00:56:31.820 So some

00:56:32.780 people will

00:56:33.180 just be

00:56:33.440 working

00:56:33.700 three jobs

00:56:34.560 and avoiding

00:56:35.540 meetings and

00:56:36.280 not returning

00:56:36.780 phone calls

00:56:37.500 and stuff.

00:56:39.280 So I'm not

00:56:39.820 sure it's

00:56:40.180 completely good

00:56:40.840 or completely

00:56:41.240 bad.

00:56:41.600 It probably

00:56:41.780 has more

00:56:42.080 to do

00:56:42.320 with the

00:56:42.540 individual.

00:56:43.800 I would

00:56:44.380 say there

00:56:44.720 are some

00:56:45.000 people who

00:56:45.420 are definitely

00:56:46.020 good work-at-home

00:56:47.800 candidates and

00:56:49.220 some kinds

00:56:49.720 of jobs.

00:56:50.700 And then

00:56:50.980 there's a

00:56:51.260 whole bunch

00:56:51.760 that aren't.

00:56:53.080 So the

00:56:53.720 CEOs, I

00:56:54.560 think I'm

00:56:54.920 going to

00:56:55.100 side with

00:56:55.500 the CEOs

00:56:56.100 and Elon

00:56:57.140 Musk would 1.00

00:56:57.640 be at the

00:56:58.600 top of

00:56:58.900 this list.

00:56:59.760 For people

00:57:00.500 who say if

00:57:01.160 you're not

00:57:01.540 physically

00:57:02.120 there, you're

00:57:03.800 not really

00:57:04.180 trying.

00:57:04.480 the difference

00:57:07.280 between being

00:57:08.560 there in

00:57:09.220 person and

00:57:10.540 being at

00:57:10.980 your home

00:57:11.300 is so

00:57:11.660 big.

00:57:12.800 There are

00:57:13.160 some jobs

00:57:14.060 that doesn't

00:57:14.460 make any

00:57:14.880 difference.

00:57:16.120 But if

00:57:16.500 you're trying

00:57:16.840 to invent

00:57:17.380 the future,

00:57:18.960 oh, you

00:57:19.400 got to be

00:57:19.780 there.

00:57:20.780 You got to

00:57:21.320 be there.

00:57:22.380 I don't

00:57:22.820 think there's

00:57:23.220 a way around

00:57:23.940 that.

00:57:25.700 Have you

00:57:26.220 heard of this

00:57:26.580 term,

00:57:26.960 quiet quitting,

00:57:27.900 which is all

00:57:28.420 the rage now?

00:57:29.780 Quiet quitting.

00:57:31.540 Have you even

00:57:32.080 heard that phrase?

00:57:32.940 It's in the

00:57:34.160 business news

00:57:34.780 now a lot.

00:57:35.960 It has to do

00:57:36.640 with employees

00:57:38.440 who keep

00:57:39.500 their job,

00:57:40.500 but they

00:57:41.200 don't do any

00:57:41.800 extra work

00:57:42.500 and they're

00:57:42.800 not engaged.

00:57:43.760 They're just

00:57:44.120 collecting a

00:57:44.860 paycheck.

00:57:46.840 Now, the

00:57:48.380 news is acting

00:57:49.120 like that's

00:57:49.600 something new.

00:57:51.560 Does that

00:57:52.220 feel new?

00:57:53.660 Because they're

00:57:54.280 acting like it's

00:57:54.920 this big surge

00:57:56.140 in people not

00:57:56.840 caring about

00:57:57.500 their work.

00:58:00.700 Some of it's

00:58:01.540 probably new.

00:58:02.180 here's a

00:58:05.080 little lesson

00:58:05.780 on persuasion

00:58:06.720 and psychology

00:58:07.480 too.

00:58:08.680 If you make

00:58:09.580 people drive

00:58:10.500 to work

00:58:11.140 versus stay

00:58:13.620 home,

00:58:14.720 what is

00:58:15.560 likely to

00:58:16.140 happen?

00:58:16.440 What

00:58:16.580 psychological

00:58:17.200 phenomenon

00:58:17.960 will happen

00:58:18.560 if you make

00:58:19.580 somebody commute

00:58:20.400 this ugly

00:58:21.180 commute to

00:58:21.860 go to work?

00:58:23.560 What's the

00:58:24.220 psychological

00:58:24.740 phenomenon that

00:58:25.660 happens then?

00:58:26.680 Well, the

00:58:27.040 obvious one

00:58:27.620 would be they

00:58:28.040 don't like

00:58:28.420 their job

00:58:29.000 because it's

00:58:30.060 got an ugly

00:58:30.600 commute.

00:58:32.180 But that

00:58:32.980 only works

00:58:33.480 sometimes.

00:58:35.340 More of the

00:58:36.520 time, you

00:58:36.980 know what

00:58:37.200 happens?

00:58:38.640 Cognitive

00:58:39.160 dissonance.

00:58:41.100 Because it's

00:58:42.380 hard for somebody

00:58:42.980 to explain why

00:58:43.860 they're doing

00:58:44.160 something so

00:58:44.820 unpleasant when

00:58:45.940 we live in a

00:58:46.560 world in which

00:58:47.140 there are

00:58:47.420 options.

00:58:49.100 And so, to

00:58:49.880 explain their

00:58:50.760 apparent

00:58:51.760 irrationality for

00:58:53.220 having to

00:58:54.060 commute so long,

00:58:55.400 they will tell

00:58:55.940 you that they

00:58:56.420 love their job.

00:58:57.840 They love their

00:58:58.360 job.

00:58:58.620 And they'll

00:58:59.380 come to

00:58:59.720 believe it.

00:59:00.640 It'll be

00:59:00.960 cognitive

00:59:01.400 dissonance.

00:59:02.740 So one of

00:59:03.240 the benefits

00:59:04.040 of forcing

00:59:05.140 people to do

00:59:05.840 something unpleasant,

00:59:07.460 the commute,

00:59:08.340 to come to

00:59:09.040 work, is it

00:59:10.020 has the ironic

00:59:10.800 effect of

00:59:12.220 making them

00:59:12.820 like their

00:59:13.380 job more.

00:59:15.500 Does that

00:59:16.000 make sense?

00:59:17.600 Because they

00:59:18.240 have to explain

00:59:18.940 to themselves

00:59:19.700 why they would

00:59:20.520 put up with

00:59:21.060 such an ugly

00:59:21.660 commute, because

00:59:23.340 it doesn't make

00:59:23.860 sense unless

00:59:24.940 it's a good

00:59:25.420 job.

00:59:25.780 you must

00:59:27.120 love your

00:59:27.480 job.

00:59:28.800 So that's

00:59:29.480 exactly how

00:59:30.120 cognitive

00:59:30.520 dissonance

00:59:31.020 works.

00:59:31.920 So from the

00:59:32.380 CEO's point

00:59:33.100 of view, if

00:59:33.640 they want the

00:59:34.340 employees to

00:59:35.140 love their

00:59:35.600 jobs, they 0.70

00:59:37.040 have to make

00:59:37.580 them more

00:59:38.560 unpleasant.

00:59:41.820 I know,

00:59:42.900 right?

00:59:44.260 It's opposite

00:59:45.260 of common

00:59:46.780 sense.

00:59:47.660 Now, it's

00:59:48.080 also not true

00:59:48.840 for every

00:59:49.280 person.

00:59:50.300 So if you

00:59:51.660 say to

00:59:51.940 yourself, well,

00:59:52.520 that doesn't

00:59:53.020 apply to me,

00:59:54.620 you might be

00:59:55.160 right.

00:59:55.780 It might

00:59:56.080 not apply

00:59:56.480 to you.

00:59:57.340 It's a

00:59:57.640 general statement

00:59:58.860 about how

00:59:59.320 brains work

01:00:00.080 and how

01:00:00.380 situations

01:00:00.860 work.

01:00:01.560 And by

01:00:01.820 the way,

01:00:02.120 this long

01:00:02.620 commute

01:00:03.000 example is

01:00:04.760 one that I've

01:00:05.320 used for

01:00:05.700 years.

01:00:07.300 It just

01:00:07.940 happens to

01:00:08.420 be what

01:00:08.700 we're doing

01:00:09.080 right now.

01:00:09.840 But it's

01:00:10.240 always been

01:00:10.660 an example

01:00:11.240 of cognitive

01:00:12.200 dissonance,

01:00:12.740 because it's

01:00:13.080 an easy

01:00:13.440 one.

01:00:14.080 Why do

01:00:14.500 you commute

01:00:15.040 so long

01:00:15.540 when you

01:00:15.860 can just

01:00:16.140 get a job

01:00:16.620 where you

01:00:16.840 don't have

01:00:17.180 to?

01:00:18.360 And the

01:00:18.660 answer is

01:00:19.300 they've

01:00:19.740 talked

01:00:20.020 themselves

01:00:20.320 into

01:00:20.700 thinking

01:00:21.000 they

01:00:21.200 love

01:00:21.400 their

01:00:21.560 job.

01:00:23.620 Now,

01:00:24.400 what happens

01:00:24.940 if you

01:00:25.220 take all

01:00:25.620 those

01:00:25.800 people and

01:00:26.380 then say,

01:00:27.100 all right,

01:00:28.160 spend two

01:00:29.200 years working

01:00:29.820 from home.

01:00:31.640 Well,

01:00:32.220 suddenly the

01:00:33.000 value of

01:00:33.640 their job

01:00:34.120 goes down

01:00:34.680 in their

01:00:35.040 mind because

01:00:36.260 they're not

01:00:36.600 physically

01:00:37.060 there and

01:00:38.280 they didn't

01:00:38.640 have to

01:00:39.080 sacrifice

01:00:39.520 anything to

01:00:40.300 get their

01:00:40.620 paycheck.

01:00:41.500 They just

01:00:42.180 sort of stayed

01:00:43.040 home and it

01:00:43.540 was easy.

01:00:43.960 so everybody's

01:00:46.220 feeling about

01:00:46.840 their job

01:00:47.540 should have

01:00:48.120 gone down

01:00:48.700 because of

01:00:49.200 the pandemic

01:00:49.680 because the

01:00:51.700 pandemic made

01:00:52.340 their job

01:00:52.720 easier.

01:00:54.480 Weird,

01:00:55.120 huh?

01:00:56.100 Instead of

01:00:56.820 liking your

01:00:57.360 job more

01:00:57.820 because it

01:00:58.280 got easier,

01:00:59.640 it will make

01:01:00.220 people dislike

01:01:01.100 it more.

01:01:02.400 Not everybody.

01:01:03.740 You know,

01:01:03.880 it'll work in

01:01:04.380 both directions.

01:01:06.920 All right.

01:01:07.240 I don't know

01:01:10.300 if there's

01:01:10.680 any more

01:01:11.440 quiet quitting

01:01:12.180 than there

01:01:12.580 had been,

01:01:13.260 but if there

01:01:13.820 is,

01:01:14.340 the pandemic

01:01:15.060 is a perfect

01:01:15.800 explanation of

01:01:16.640 why that

01:01:16.940 happened.

01:01:21.760 All right,

01:01:26.360 just looking at

01:01:26.840 some of your

01:01:27.180 comments here.

01:01:29.740 You're more

01:01:30.380 effective at

01:01:31.000 home.

01:01:33.360 Let me ask

01:01:34.160 you,

01:01:35.100 all right,

01:01:35.420 this is a

01:01:35.960 collaborative

01:01:36.420 intelligence

01:01:37.200 question.

01:01:39.520 I've been

01:01:40.040 trying to

01:01:40.920 solve something.

01:01:42.840 I'll bet you

01:01:43.480 there's somebody

01:01:43.980 here who can

01:01:44.840 solve this.

01:01:46.080 I'll bet you

01:01:46.520 there's at least

01:01:46.960 one person

01:01:47.440 who's going to

01:01:47.860 solve one of

01:01:48.380 my biggest

01:01:48.800 problems right

01:01:49.360 now.

01:01:51.180 If when I

01:01:52.260 sit down to

01:01:52.740 work,

01:01:54.500 there's some

01:01:55.740 kind of work

01:01:56.240 that will make

01:01:56.860 me fall asleep

01:01:57.680 instantly.

01:02:00.380 You'd like to

01:02:01.080 see a bull

01:02:01.700 fighter or a

01:02:02.480 lion tamer

01:02:03.040 quiet quit.

01:02:05.840 And I fall

01:02:06.640 asleep instantly

01:02:07.400 because when I

01:02:09.040 go completely

01:02:09.660 into my mind,

01:02:10.560 usually when I'm

01:02:11.140 trying to write

01:02:11.640 comics or to

01:02:12.960 write something,

01:02:14.020 writing makes me

01:02:15.360 fall asleep.

01:02:17.100 And the

01:02:17.800 feeling I have

01:02:18.620 is that when I

01:02:19.460 crank up my

01:02:20.940 brain to its

01:02:22.120 highest level

01:02:22.820 of function,

01:02:25.240 which is what I

01:02:26.060 have to do to

01:02:26.620 write,

01:02:27.500 writing is

01:02:28.100 probably the

01:02:28.540 only thing

01:02:29.220 that I would

01:02:31.480 do on a

01:02:31.840 routine basis

01:02:32.760 practice that

01:02:33.920 takes my

01:02:34.400 brain to the

01:02:35.220 maximum capacity.

01:02:37.800 Almost

01:02:38.240 everything else

01:02:39.040 you can do

01:02:39.580 with just

01:02:40.180 half a 0.99

01:02:40.900 brain.

01:02:41.940 Most of

01:02:42.740 life is

01:02:43.160 half brain

01:02:43.720 stuff,

01:02:44.520 but writing,

01:02:45.320 you have to

01:02:45.640 go full

01:02:46.040 brain.

01:02:46.620 You've got to

01:02:47.180 put the

01:02:47.480 whole thing

01:02:48.180 out there

01:02:48.500 or you get

01:02:48.900 nothing.

01:02:49.960 Like 98%

01:02:50.980 of your brain

01:02:51.540 gives you

01:02:51.960 nothing if

01:02:53.000 you're writing.

01:02:53.560 You've got to

01:02:53.980 use 100%

01:02:54.840 and even that's

01:02:55.480 not enough

01:02:55.840 most of the

01:02:56.200 time.

01:02:57.060 So I

01:02:58.300 literally lose

01:02:59.100 consciousness

01:02:59.700 in minutes.

01:03:02.100 Minutes.

01:03:03.460 I'm not

01:03:03.900 talking about

01:03:04.320 after two

01:03:04.840 hours of

01:03:05.280 working.

01:03:06.280 I'm talking

01:03:06.740 about in

01:03:07.160 10 minutes

01:03:07.660 of looking

01:03:07.980 at my

01:03:08.260 laptop,

01:03:09.020 I can go

01:03:09.760 from completely

01:03:10.560 awake,

01:03:11.320 like I am

01:03:11.820 right now,

01:03:12.840 like right

01:03:13.200 now I feel

01:03:13.720 completely awake.

01:03:15.660 If I looked

01:03:16.560 at my laptop

01:03:17.180 right now,

01:03:18.220 in 10 minutes

01:03:19.360 I would be

01:03:20.460 unconscious

01:03:20.900 with my

01:03:22.020 head on

01:03:22.380 the laptop.

01:03:24.400 Now,

01:03:26.660 you're going

01:03:27.420 to do a

01:03:28.540 medical analysis

01:03:29.420 of me.

01:03:30.460 Here's what

01:03:30.900 you can rule

01:03:31.440 out.

01:03:32.660 You can rule

01:03:33.600 out diet

01:03:34.260 because it

01:03:36.380 only happens

01:03:36.920 in the

01:03:37.200 circumstance,

01:03:38.220 but the

01:03:38.540 diet would

01:03:38.980 be all

01:03:39.260 the time.

01:03:40.300 You can

01:03:40.720 rule out

01:03:41.200 sleep because

01:03:43.240 it does not

01:03:44.200 conform to

01:03:45.080 how much

01:03:45.440 sleep I

01:03:45.860 have.

01:03:46.480 It doesn't

01:03:46.860 matter.

01:03:47.900 Well slept

01:03:48.620 or not well

01:03:49.180 slept, it's

01:03:49.940 the activity

01:03:50.540 that puts

01:03:50.980 me to sleep.

01:03:52.540 You can

01:03:52.940 rule out

01:03:53.620 tired and

01:03:55.140 diet,

01:03:57.020 because those

01:03:57.980 can be

01:03:58.280 isolated and

01:03:59.040 they don't

01:03:59.620 make any

01:03:59.980 difference.

01:04:02.300 Now,

01:04:02.860 here's the

01:04:03.160 next tip.

01:04:05.940 When I

01:04:06.360 go to

01:04:06.620 Starbucks,

01:04:07.440 which I

01:04:07.800 just started

01:04:08.320 to do,

01:04:10.180 and have

01:04:11.080 a cold

01:04:13.100 espresso,

01:04:15.140 but probably

01:04:15.840 there's some

01:04:16.260 sugar in

01:04:16.680 there, I

01:04:16.960 assume,

01:04:17.540 drink,

01:04:18.980 and I've

01:04:19.640 got the

01:04:20.160 buzz of

01:04:20.580 the other

01:04:20.840 people around,

01:04:21.960 completely

01:04:22.520 awake,

01:04:23.560 completely

01:04:24.000 engaged,

01:04:24.580 and it's

01:04:24.960 easy to

01:04:25.580 write.

01:04:25.780 So,

01:04:28.240 remember,

01:04:28.800 when I'm

01:04:29.720 at Starbucks,

01:04:31.700 my diet is

01:04:32.800 about the

01:04:33.240 same as

01:04:33.660 always,

01:04:34.520 the same

01:04:35.000 amount of

01:04:35.360 sleep,

01:04:35.980 but I'm

01:04:36.280 completely

01:04:36.640 awake.

01:04:40.320 Just

01:04:40.800 retire.

01:04:41.720 Yeah,

01:04:41.960 retiring would

01:04:42.580 help.

01:04:43.980 But I've

01:04:44.620 had this

01:04:44.920 problem for

01:04:45.660 years and

01:04:46.040 years and

01:04:46.320 years.

01:04:47.380 Somebody

01:04:47.680 says I'm

01:04:48.080 depressed.

01:04:50.120 I don't

01:04:51.500 think so.

01:04:51.960 Oh, my

01:04:55.180 brain is

01:04:55.600 telling me

01:04:55.940 to stop

01:04:56.460 writing.

01:04:57.120 Stop

01:04:57.340 writing.

01:04:58.520 Maybe.

01:04:59.800 I don't

01:04:59.900 know.

01:05:01.400 Hypnotized.

01:05:05.640 Put a

01:05:06.280 thumbtack in

01:05:06.940 the issue.

01:05:07.820 All right,

01:05:08.140 here's my

01:05:08.600 hypothesis.

01:05:09.540 You ready

01:05:09.820 for it?

01:05:11.000 I believe

01:05:11.960 that when

01:05:13.260 my brain

01:05:13.940 is most

01:05:14.380 active,

01:05:15.680 it draws

01:05:16.980 either

01:05:17.480 sugar,

01:05:19.520 there's

01:05:19.900 something

01:05:20.160 going on

01:05:20.560 with my

01:05:20.920 blood sugar,

01:05:21.960 that I

01:05:22.640 believe that

01:05:23.220 my,

01:05:24.680 how can I

01:05:25.360 say this

01:05:25.780 without being

01:05:26.640 attacked again?

01:05:33.780 If you

01:05:34.520 were six

01:05:35.380 foot eight 1.00

01:05:35.980 and dumb, 1.00

01:05:37.920 your brain 1.00

01:05:39.500 would be a 1.00

01:05:39.980 very small

01:05:40.580 percentage of

01:05:41.580 your total

01:05:42.160 energy need,

01:05:43.960 right?

01:05:45.740 Because your

01:05:46.420 body would be

01:05:46.980 most of it,

01:05:47.940 and your

01:05:48.280 brain wouldn't

01:05:48.660 be using

01:05:49.120 anything.

01:05:50.600 But if

01:05:50.920 your job

01:05:52.540 is completely 1.00

01:05:53.600 mental and

01:05:55.700 you weigh

01:05:56.440 157 pounds,

01:06:01.200 I feel

01:06:01.900 like when

01:06:03.240 my brain

01:06:03.900 goes into

01:06:04.400 its highest

01:06:04.880 level of

01:06:05.440 activity,

01:06:06.180 it just 0.99

01:06:06.640 sucks the 0.91

01:06:07.460 energy 0.99

01:06:07.880 completely out

01:06:09.960 of me.

01:06:11.040 You know,

01:06:11.520 like running

01:06:11.940 a marathon

01:06:12.400 would for

01:06:13.020 somebody else.

01:06:14.260 And I

01:06:14.620 think there's

01:06:15.000 some kind

01:06:15.380 of nutritional

01:06:16.740 crash that 1.00

01:06:18.420 happens.

01:06:19.300 Could it be

01:06:19.780 sugar?

01:06:22.400 Do I need

01:06:23.260 more sugar

01:06:23.820 or less

01:06:25.040 sugar?

01:06:25.860 Because I

01:06:26.400 usually eat

01:06:26.940 something that's

01:06:27.960 sugary at

01:06:28.920 Starbucks and

01:06:29.600 it wakes me

01:06:30.060 up.

01:06:32.900 You think

01:06:33.620 it's just

01:06:33.960 boredom?

01:06:37.480 Ketones?

01:06:39.000 What do you

01:06:39.480 mean?

01:06:39.660 No.

01:06:40.520 What do you

01:06:41.180 mean I need

01:06:41.620 ketones?

01:06:42.660 But I would

01:06:43.360 need ketones

01:06:44.100 just as much

01:06:44.880 in Starbucks.

01:06:45.600 See,

01:06:47.440 you're not

01:06:47.960 doing a

01:06:48.520 good job

01:06:48.920 of isolating.

01:06:53.520 Remember

01:06:54.040 that it's

01:06:55.620 definitely

01:06:56.740 not nutritional

01:06:57.580 and it's

01:06:58.000 not how

01:06:58.280 much sleep

01:06:58.660 I have.

01:06:59.520 It's

01:06:59.760 definitely

01:06:59.980 not those

01:07:00.560 things.

01:07:01.020 It's

01:07:01.280 something

01:07:01.540 else.

01:07:02.440 If it's

01:07:03.040 nutritional,

01:07:03.760 it's something

01:07:04.100 that's happening

01:07:04.600 in the

01:07:04.940 moment.

01:07:05.580 And I

01:07:05.760 think that's

01:07:06.120 what's

01:07:06.340 happening.

01:07:07.060 I think

01:07:07.340 my brain 0.75

01:07:07.760 is just 1.00

01:07:08.100 sucking the

01:07:08.600 energy out 0.99

01:07:09.400 and I

01:07:09.800 got nothing

01:07:10.200 left after

01:07:10.700 five minutes.

01:07:11.240 Yeah,

01:07:15.980 the brain

01:07:16.340 burns

01:07:16.940 glucose.

01:07:17.880 So if

01:07:18.240 my brain

01:07:18.700 is burning

01:07:19.920 glucose,

01:07:20.880 would it

01:07:21.360 keep me

01:07:21.880 awake to

01:07:22.380 eat sugar?

01:07:24.960 Does that

01:07:25.620 make sense?

01:07:33.240 Some of

01:07:33.940 you are

01:07:35.060 just going

01:07:35.440 to be 0.99

01:07:35.600 maniacs 0.97

01:07:36.340 about I

01:07:37.120 need more

01:07:37.560 sleep and

01:07:38.840 it's diet.

01:07:40.080 But you

01:07:40.400 have to

01:07:40.860 understand

01:07:41.460 that I've

01:07:42.200 tested all

01:07:42.940 of those

01:07:43.260 things and

01:07:43.740 they're

01:07:43.920 completely

01:07:44.400 irrelevant to

01:07:45.100 this.

01:07:46.020 It doesn't

01:07:46.640 matter how

01:07:47.040 much sleep

01:07:47.420 I got the

01:07:47.840 night before.

01:07:48.460 It just

01:07:48.740 really doesn't.

01:07:54.260 You've

01:07:54.740 proved before

01:07:55.260 you're right.

01:08:02.020 Cernovich

01:08:02.460 explained

01:08:03.060 this is

01:08:03.400 why

01:08:03.740 what?

01:08:07.780 Cernovich

01:08:08.220 explained

01:08:09.340 why there

01:08:10.260 are fat 0.81

01:08:10.640 lawyers. 0.98

01:08:11.480 Their

01:08:11.600 brains

01:08:11.980 crave

01:08:12.420 glucose

01:08:12.900 and burn 0.95

01:08:13.300 through it 0.99

01:08:13.660 to the

01:08:13.900 detriment

01:08:14.200 of the

01:08:14.540 bodies.

01:08:17.500 So that

01:08:18.080 might be

01:08:18.360 it.

01:08:19.600 So do

01:08:19.880 you think

01:08:20.180 the other

01:08:21.660 thing I

01:08:21.960 thought is

01:08:22.340 salt.

01:08:24.900 I thought

01:08:25.780 maybe I

01:08:26.160 wasn't getting

01:08:26.560 enough salt

01:08:27.100 because I

01:08:28.300 cut down

01:08:28.860 some

01:08:29.800 accidentally.

01:08:30.420 too much

01:08:37.400 salt.

01:08:38.040 Too much

01:08:38.460 salt?

01:08:40.800 Yeah, I

01:08:41.420 think it's

01:08:41.700 a glucose

01:08:42.020 level.

01:08:43.820 But has

01:08:44.260 anybody ever

01:08:44.720 heard of

01:08:44.960 that?

01:08:45.480 Has

01:08:45.700 anybody

01:08:46.000 ever

01:08:46.560 experienced

01:08:47.980 a glucose

01:08:48.860 crash that 1.00

01:08:50.040 was related

01:08:50.980 to mental

01:08:51.540 activity?

01:08:51.980 to sleep

01:09:01.600 what?

01:09:02.100 Fasting?

01:09:02.900 Try fasting?

01:09:07.140 All right.

01:09:08.320 Well,

01:09:09.800 we'll see if

01:09:11.600 we can figure

01:09:12.080 that out.

01:09:12.840 But in the

01:09:13.260 meantime,

01:09:13.700 I'll just go to

01:09:14.340 Starbucks and

01:09:14.960 get my writing

01:09:15.540 done.

01:09:15.760 All right.

01:09:19.800 That's all

01:09:20.300 for now.

01:09:21.700 I think this

01:09:22.560 was easily

01:09:23.060 the best

01:09:23.480 experience of

01:09:24.160 your day.

01:09:25.260 Might get

01:09:25.660 even better.

01:09:26.300 Who knows?

01:09:27.280 Might be.

01:09:28.180 Maybe.

01:09:29.000 But I'm

01:09:29.320 going to say

01:09:29.600 bye to

01:09:30.380 YouTube.

01:09:32.560 Hey,

01:09:32.800 YouTube.

01:09:33.980 Hit that

01:09:34.380 subscription

01:09:34.900 button if

01:09:36.580 you enjoyed

01:09:37.000 this.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 07, 2022

Episode 1859 Scott Adams： Democrats Have Launched Their Newest Hoax. Come Share A Laugh About It

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