Episode 1860 Scott Adams: Orange Brandon, US Life Expectancy Falls, Workplaces Less Polite, More Fun
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 3 minutes
Words per minute
144.68564
Harmful content
Misogyny
15
sentences flagged
Hate speech
27
sentences flagged
Summary
The Queen is ill, and family members are gathering around, which is usually the signal that the cat s on the roof. I predict that the Queen will pass soon, and then all the bad news about Trump will stop for a while, because they need to save the good stuff to when you're not paying attention. Elon Musk thinks that fusion energy will never be economical, and I think he's wrong.
Transcript
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Well, the Queen of England is ill, and family members are gathering around, which is usually the signal that the cat's on the roof.
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Meaning that I don't think that they're expecting the Queen to recover from this.
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Because when you do the family is gathering around part, that's kind of telling you the game is about over.
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Do you believe that the news happens on a sort of a random schedule?
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Do you think that news happens, but it just happens when it happens?
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And if it's going to happen, that's when it happens.
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Should the Queen pass, do you know what's going to happen?
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All of the bad news about Trump will suddenly stop for a while.
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Because they need to save the good stuff to when you're paying attention.
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So for about a week or so, if the Queen passes, for about a week or so, the political news will get really boring.
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If you ever want to test to see if the news is real or manufactured, watch how it stops when there's a competing story.
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There's some things that the news can't control.
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But things like an anonymous source told us something bad about Trump,
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I'll bet you that anonymous source is going to wait another week if there's a competing story.
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As you know, Russia cut off Europe from its gas deliveries and is selling it to the Far East, and China in particular.
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But that plan might not be as awesome as they hoped, because China just bought a ton of LNG.
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And they bought it at half of the current spot price.
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China is buying Russia's gas, but at half the market price.
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But this reminds me that if you're worried about China and Russia becoming too close,
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I don't think they're friends, I don't think anybody's going to do any favors for the other.
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So if China gets a chance to screw Russia on a business deal, they're going to do it.
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But I don't know that Russia is in a good place here.
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But depending on China to keep you alive seems like a really bad proposition, because they'd have a lot of power on you.
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All right, here's something that messed up my mind pretty good.
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I've mentioned before that there's a small number of people who, if they disagree with me, I immediately have to change my opinion.
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For example, if I had some dumbass opinion about the Constitution, but I heard Alan Dershowitz say the opposite opinion,
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I would immediately say, ah, damn it, Dershowitz.
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And I would just agree with him, because my own opinion would be worthless in that context.
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But I just found out that Elon Musk thinks that fusion energy will never be economical.
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That's the opposite of what everybody thinks, right?
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The whole point of fusion is that once you get the reaction going, it's the most economical thing you can do.
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Well, Musk, who I believe has invested in fusion, and so he would know what's actually on the, you know, on the workbench as well as what's in the real world.
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And he says in a tweet, fusion would be expensive energy, given the difficulty of obtaining and transporting source fuel.
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And that's interesting, because I thought you only had to do that once.
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That once you get your source fuel, it doesn't need new fuel.
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Plus maintaining the reactor, so it would be hard to maintain the reactor.
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He says it's far better to use the sun and thermonuclear reactor with no need to refuel or service.
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I feel as if he's making a prediction about fusion based on what we know how to do today.
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It looks like a prediction about the future based on what we know how to do today.
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And that seems wrong coming from him, doesn't it?
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Because do you think he knew how to go to Mars before he started?
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Do you think he knew how to build Tesla before he started?
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Do you think he knew that battery technology would progress the way it has, which has been quite tremendous?
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He probably hoped it would, but he didn't know exactly what innovations would be next.
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I mean, if he did, that would be pretty impressive.
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So I feel as if he's got a little bit of apples and orange or a bias going on here somehow.
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One possibility is he just knows more about it than we do, and you're finding out.
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The other possibility is I feel like he's picked a favorite.
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You know, he's got more money invested in batteries, of course.
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I feel as if looking at fusion and saying we don't know how to solve these problems is not fair,
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because we didn't know how to solve the problems for anything else.
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We always start first and then solve the problems.
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But it could be that he knows that the nature of fusion is that it'll always be difficult to maintain or always difficult to get the fuel.
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And I hate that he does that to me, because I can no longer hold a public opinion that fusion is our economical savior.
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It might be, but I don't want to be on the other side of this question from Musk.
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If you were asked a question, let's say if the public were asked this question,
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if student loan forgiveness means colleges will raise their prices,
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for example, support for the policy, what happens to support for the loan forgiveness?
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If you believe that colleges would just raise their prices,
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because then students wouldn't have to pay as much in theory,
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would you still be in favor of loan forgiveness if it's just going to cause prices in colleges to go up?
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What percentage of the public believed that loan forgiveness is still a good idea if colleges just raise their prices?
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Carrie Lake has announced that she says she has discovered evidence of voter fraud.
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I assume that means in her state, Arizona, in the last election.
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What can we conclude about this discovery that she has about voter fraud?
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What can we know for sure based on what little we know about the situation?
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You would give it to the AG, but you'd also give it to the news.
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So what we can say for sure is it's not important.
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But she's selling it like it's important by not acting like, oh, I can't tell you.
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Because it makes you talk about the thing that you can't confirm.
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Making you talk about the thing that you can't confirm?
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So Carrie Lake is just doing the same play on the Democrats as the Democrats are doing on Trump.
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And boy, are they concerned about what's in those boxes.
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So she's just throwing it back in the Democrats.
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Speaking of not being able to predict the future,
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Now, the punchline of the story comes at the end.
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So the first part's interesting, but wait for the end.
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how to make a better battery than the normal ones for cars and stuff.
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And they would use materials that are all available in the United States.
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So if their technology works, and if it's widely adopted,
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we would not be beholden to China or anybody else for any materials needed to build them.
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And apparently, they'd be, you know, basically better in every way.
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They won a competition for top 10 battery, battery, new battery makers, I guess.
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Which means that there are at least nine other companies
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that are probably roughly as, have roughly the potential of this one.
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So whatever you think is the future of battery technology,
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But that's 10 companies that probably have been funded.
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And they think they've got a surprise coming for you.
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Like, when's the point when you can get all excited?
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It's just going to be this sort of gradual improvement.
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And 10 years from now, you're going to say to yourself,
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I think the CDC proved beyond any doubt that they're corrupt.
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So the, was it Walensky, the director of the CDC,
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was asked about the wisdom of giving the booster shots
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we have a good reason to give it to the healthy people,
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or to say that there was some medically reasonable reason
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She defended giving vaccinations to people that don't need them
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because it's simpler to say everybody, everybody just take it.
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I'm paraphrasing a little bit, but go check it yourself.
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And her full answer was basically that the CDC would recommend,
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but the way I understood it is very clearly that she's saying,
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we prefer giving shots to people who don't need them
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because it's easier to explain, hey, everybody,
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I mean, I don't know how much more done you could be
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with an organization after an answer like that.
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You should be fired immediately for that answer.
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If it's true, then there's something more aggressive
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or maybe she was in charge of the decision, I guess,
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I think you need to be fired immediately for that.
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except I don't know who would do it because she's the boss.
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How does the director of the CDC even get picked?
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That is the funniest thing about the director of the CDC.
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the online organization that lets you buy tickets for stuff,
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My understanding is that the documentary involves him
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And I think he gives them time to explain their whole opinion.
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Do you think we've overshot the mark here a little bit?
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you don't have to worry too much about the slippery slope
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So, it's amazing that that could be considered a hate,
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because a lot of things Trump did were just working.