00:05:06.000I asked this highly unscientific and biased and deeply disturbing question on Twitter, so you don't have to tell me that this is unscientific.
00:05:20.640I said, have you changed your opinion on climate change in the past five years from being skeptical to believing it is probably directionally true, but the actual impact of it would be impossible to predict?
00:05:34.560And 22% of the people who answered, again, this is deeply unscientific poll, but 22% said they had changed their opinion to what I would consider the mainstream smart opinion.
00:05:54.600Yeah, it's close to 25%, and we can't ignore that, can we?
00:06:01.160But it's also a changing number, which is it probably started small and is growing, and will probably grow past 22%.
00:06:09.440So if it's changing, I don't know if that still applies, I don't know if the 25% still applies if it's in the process of, you know, passing through it.
00:06:19.200Because you can't get from zero to 100% without passing through 25%, so it kind of depends how long you stay there.
00:06:26.940If you stay there for a while, it might mean something.
00:06:31.020If it keeps going up, well, then you're just passing through.
00:06:36.720But correct me if I'm wrong, but Bjorn Lomborg, who I've had on my show and you've seen his books, does he not say that climate change is real and man-made to some extent?
00:06:54.080We don't know the percentage, but that the extent of it and what is the likely cost of it and all that is a thing that is highly questionable.
00:07:04.160And I believe that that's Michael Schellenberger's opinion.
00:07:07.940I hate to say anybody else's opinion, but I believe that Michael Schellenberger also says climate change seems to be real and there's a human element to it,
00:07:18.260but that the way we're handling it is all wrong.
00:07:20.840And it's getting better now because nuclear is taking on a bigger role.
00:07:25.760But it seems to me that the people who think it's real but don't know how big a deal it is are the ones who are going to win in the end.
00:07:35.640I think that's the opinion that's going to become the dominant one over time, it seems to me.
00:07:42.500Now, how many of you are still in the belief that it's not happening in terms of people, that people are not causing anything to happen?
00:07:56.320How many of you would say at this moment that you're confident that nothing's happening?
00:08:01.780There's no climate change whatsoever that's been caused by people.
00:08:05.640How many of you would be on that opinion?
00:08:28.040So this is not me trying to change your opinion.
00:08:30.440This is a suggestion about how to think of it.
00:08:35.060And how I think about climate change is I would take the components of it and give them different levels of likelihood.
00:08:44.640For example, if you took the component of just the predictions, the 80-year prediction, I think that's worthless, except as a way to scare us into action.
00:08:55.540But it's worthless in terms of its accuracy.
00:08:57.480So I'd say if you're doubting that, you're on strong ground in doubting that.
00:09:03.940But if you go all the way back to the basic science of if you add CO2 to a closed environment and nothing else changed, would it get hotter?
00:09:28.440If you created the artificial world, it's not like the real world, so it doesn't tell you exactly what's going to happen in the real world.
00:09:34.460And you just make a little artificial atmosphere.
00:09:37.440And you add CO2 to it, does it get warmer?
00:26:51.820But would you live somewhere where the people who live there have been convinced by their own team that following the rules is a sucker's play?
00:27:01.180Because the rules are made to thwart you.
00:28:30.700No reasonable person would follow the rules.
00:28:33.240So when I say that black communities are more likely to have lots of crime and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, it's not exactly just because of poverty.
00:28:43.520It's also because it's a community that has been taught that the rules don't work for them.
00:28:50.140That following the rules isn't going to make you successful and happy.
00:28:53.400I wouldn't follow the rules under those situations.
00:28:55.900If it were me, I wouldn't follow the rules.
00:28:59.520So here's my suggestion to fix it all.
00:29:05.940I think that the black community needs to change their strategy.
00:40:00.880According to my highly biased survey on Twitter, two-thirds of the people who answered said they would avoid living in a mostly black neighborhood
00:40:10.500and that included some black respondents.
00:40:15.360I know that because they said they were black.
00:40:18.600So, and again, just to be clear, has nothing to do with being black or your DNA or your genetics or your color.
00:40:27.480It just has to do with if you're trained to think the system doesn't work for you, why would you use the system?
00:40:55.320I would literally be killed, depending on the neighborhood and depending who knew what.
00:41:02.200But it wouldn't be safe for me to be anywhere near that environment.
00:41:06.620So let me say as clearly as I can, I would never live in a mostly black neighborhood because I wouldn't feel safe.
00:41:13.720Again, nothing to do with being black and everything to do with the fact that one community has been trained that following the rules doesn't work for them.
00:41:22.760I don't want to be anywhere near that.