Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 09, 2022


Episode 1861 Scott Adams: Long Live The King, And Illinois Is Lost. Watch Me Get Cancelled Today


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 23 minutes

Words per Minute

142.47548

Word Count

11,928

Sentence Count

648

Misogynist Sentences

6

Hate Speech Sentences

52


Summary


Transcript

00:00:00.000 All you need is a copper mug or a glass, a tanker, chalice, a stein, a canteen jug, a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:07.680 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.
00:00:11.040 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine here the day thing that makes everything better.
00:00:16.220 It's called the Simultaneous Sip.
00:00:20.200 It happens now. Go.
00:00:25.640 Ah, ah, ah.
00:00:30.000 Ah, ah, ah. Savor it. Savor it.
00:00:34.640 All right, now we can continue.
00:00:38.700 Well, condolences, I guess that's the right word, to Great Britain and the entire Commonwealth for losing your queen.
00:00:47.320 You know, obviously when somebody beloved, such as the queen, passes, people like to say lots of good things about them.
00:00:55.340 And I thought I would wake up this morning and I would see that all the good things had already been said.
00:01:00.000 You know, they're obvious good things.
00:01:02.280 One of the most impressive things that the queen did is rule for 70 years without making a mistake.
00:01:09.360 Do you know how big that is?
00:01:13.120 Talk about an MVP award.
00:01:15.880 Who rules for 70 years without making a mistake?
00:01:19.120 What the, what the, what the?
00:01:21.760 Are you kidding me?
00:01:23.740 So, how about that?
00:01:25.100 But, you know, when you get caught in that and you say to yourself, all right, 70 years of making Great Britain look good.
00:01:34.760 That's what she did.
00:01:36.220 That's what she did.
00:01:37.560 She made Great Britain look good for 70 years.
00:01:41.320 That's, that's a hell of an accomplishment.
00:01:43.180 But, I'm going to say that she did something maybe as impressive or more impressive than that.
00:01:51.980 Think about the fact that the monarchy has existed and coincided with the democratic process for all those many decades.
00:02:01.240 What were the odds that that was going to happen?
00:02:04.000 Do you think that happened just sort of easily and automatically?
00:02:07.020 Or is it something the queen did?
00:02:09.800 And I would say that her greatest accomplishment is making the monarchy not just relevant, but essential to Great Britain.
00:02:21.520 And it seems to me that what the queen did was offload, in a sense, the character and maybe, let's see, maybe the heart.
00:02:34.360 Can we say it that way?
00:02:35.420 The heart of Great Britain, they get to take that out of politics a little bit.
00:02:40.780 They go, okay, we'll put our heart over here, and then we'll go fight over here.
00:02:46.960 So we'll fight in politics, but we'll keep our heart safe.
00:02:52.520 Insane.
00:02:53.840 Insane.
00:02:55.280 Such a good idea.
00:02:57.300 And really, it wasn't obvious until it happened, right?
00:03:01.040 It's one of those things you look at in hindsight.
00:03:03.660 And you say, oh, my God.
00:03:07.580 The monarchy went from ruling a country, that was their primary function, to becoming the heart of the country.
00:03:17.620 Essential, right?
00:03:19.360 I mean, it would feel essential.
00:03:20.400 And I don't know, has there ever been a more impressive evolution from one thing to another?
00:03:29.200 It's hard to think of another example.
00:03:31.600 And you could say soul, heart and soul.
00:03:34.220 But I think that's their biggest accomplishment, actually, is making the monarchy not just relevant, but essential.
00:03:42.140 That's what it feels like from here.
00:03:46.460 Anyway.
00:03:48.180 And it looks like there will be a, you know, peaceful transition of the monarchy, of course, of course.
00:03:55.220 But let me ask you this.
00:03:57.680 How important was it that she was queen and not king?
00:04:00.780 I feel like that mattered.
00:04:04.540 Do you?
00:04:05.740 Do you think that it mattered that she was a queen and not a king?
00:04:10.880 Because when King Charles takes over, do you know what I immediately think?
00:04:15.660 Eh, why is there a king there?
00:04:18.180 You know what I mean?
00:04:22.520 It's definitely a sexist differentiation here, right?
00:04:25.680 When it was a queen and she was the heart and soul of the country, that felt exactly right.
00:04:32.780 Right?
00:04:33.700 But now you put a king there.
00:04:35.680 And there's just something about the history of kings that makes it feel different.
00:04:39.660 Like maybe he's not the heart and soul.
00:04:42.380 Like he might be the architecture guy.
00:04:45.220 You know what I mean?
00:04:46.400 It feels different, doesn't it?
00:04:48.180 Just the gender change.
00:04:50.180 So I hope that King Charles, I hope that King Charles III, does as good a job as his mother did, which would be incredible if he could.
00:05:02.460 So good luck to all of them.
00:05:06.000 I asked this highly unscientific and biased and deeply disturbing question on Twitter, so you don't have to tell me that this is unscientific.
00:05:16.240 But I wondered about this.
00:05:17.640 Here's the biased question I asked.
00:05:20.640 I said, have you changed your opinion on climate change in the past five years from being skeptical to believing it is probably directionally true, but the actual impact of it would be impossible to predict?
00:05:34.560 And 22% of the people who answered, again, this is deeply unscientific poll, but 22% said they had changed their opinion to what I would consider the mainstream smart opinion.
00:05:52.600 Yeah, it's close to 25%.
00:05:54.600 Yeah, it's close to 25%, and we can't ignore that, can we?
00:06:01.160 But it's also a changing number, which is it probably started small and is growing, and will probably grow past 22%.
00:06:09.440 So if it's changing, I don't know if that still applies, I don't know if the 25% still applies if it's in the process of, you know, passing through it.
00:06:19.200 Because you can't get from zero to 100% without passing through 25%, so it kind of depends how long you stay there.
00:06:26.940 If you stay there for a while, it might mean something.
00:06:31.020 If it keeps going up, well, then you're just passing through.
00:06:34.600 So we'll see.
00:06:36.720 But correct me if I'm wrong, but Bjorn Lomborg, who I've had on my show and you've seen his books, does he not say that climate change is real and man-made to some extent?
00:06:54.080 We don't know the percentage, but that the extent of it and what is the likely cost of it and all that is a thing that is highly questionable.
00:07:04.160 And I believe that that's Michael Schellenberger's opinion.
00:07:07.940 I hate to say anybody else's opinion, but I believe that Michael Schellenberger also says climate change seems to be real and there's a human element to it,
00:07:18.260 but that the way we're handling it is all wrong.
00:07:20.840 And it's getting better now because nuclear is taking on a bigger role.
00:07:25.760 But it seems to me that the people who think it's real but don't know how big a deal it is are the ones who are going to win in the end.
00:07:35.640 I think that's the opinion that's going to become the dominant one over time, it seems to me.
00:07:42.500 Now, how many of you are still in the belief that it's not happening in terms of people, that people are not causing anything to happen?
00:07:56.320 How many of you would say at this moment that you're confident that nothing's happening?
00:08:01.780 There's no climate change whatsoever that's been caused by people.
00:08:05.640 How many of you would be on that opinion?
00:08:13.020 So a number of you, right?
00:08:15.220 So a number of you who still doubt everything about it.
00:08:21.280 Here's what I would say is the best way to approach it.
00:08:24.560 So I'm not going to tell you what to think about it.
00:08:27.340 All right?
00:08:28.040 So this is not me trying to change your opinion.
00:08:30.440 This is a suggestion about how to think of it.
00:08:35.060 And how I think about climate change is I would take the components of it and give them different levels of likelihood.
00:08:44.640 For example, if you took the component of just the predictions, the 80-year prediction, I think that's worthless, except as a way to scare us into action.
00:08:55.540 But it's worthless in terms of its accuracy.
00:08:57.480 So I'd say if you're doubting that, you're on strong ground in doubting that.
00:09:03.940 But if you go all the way back to the basic science of if you add CO2 to a closed environment and nothing else changed, would it get hotter?
00:09:15.880 What do you think of that?
00:09:17.120 Do you think that in a laboratory, if you created an artificial world, which is not like the real world, right?
00:09:22.940 The artificial world is not like the real world.
00:09:26.880 But let me ask this question.
00:09:28.440 If you created the artificial world, it's not like the real world, so it doesn't tell you exactly what's going to happen in the real world.
00:09:34.460 And you just make a little artificial atmosphere.
00:09:37.440 And you add CO2 to it, does it get warmer?
00:09:40.940 What do you say?
00:09:41.960 Would it get warmer in the laboratory?
00:09:44.520 And again, that doesn't mean it happens in the real world.
00:09:47.340 It only means it happens in the laboratory.
00:09:50.700 No, the answer is yes.
00:09:52.700 Right?
00:09:52.940 That's been tested.
00:09:54.220 In the laboratory, if you add CO2 to a closed environment, it gets hotter.
00:10:00.620 Does everybody know that?
00:10:02.840 Are you all, you're all aware that in the laboratory there's no question, right?
00:10:07.100 Even the skeptics would say, well, yeah, in the laboratory it works.
00:10:10.840 But remember, that doesn't mean it necessarily works in the real world.
00:10:14.540 But now put the odds on this.
00:10:16.120 What are the odds that that laboratory experiment does actually tell you something about the real world?
00:10:23.320 I'd say it's not zero.
00:10:25.620 It's not 100%.
00:10:27.140 But it's not zero.
00:10:29.320 But compare that to the odds that the predictions are right.
00:10:32.680 That's close to zero.
00:10:34.680 That's pretty close to zero.
00:10:35.860 It would be complete chance if they were right.
00:10:38.940 So I wouldn't put the odds of the science being wrong in the same category as the odds of the predictions being wrong.
00:10:46.120 So I'd say if you're adding them all together and saying it's one big thing that you don't trust,
00:10:53.660 maybe just pull those apart.
00:10:56.500 And just say, there's one that's a little more likely.
00:10:58.580 There is a far greater likelihood that CO2 causes warming in the real world than there is that the predictions are correct.
00:11:09.520 That's all.
00:11:10.980 And I think that's the view that most people will end up on in the long run.
00:11:15.880 That's my prediction.
00:11:16.860 Am I wrong in saying that usually it's our leaders who are supposed to protect us, right?
00:11:27.500 It's not the people who are supposed to be protecting the leaders, is it?
00:11:31.700 I mean, we do that too.
00:11:33.100 We give them security and try to vote them into office and do that sort of stuff.
00:11:38.080 But in general, the model is we elect our leaders to save us.
00:11:45.680 Am I wrong?
00:11:47.480 That's the whole model, right?
00:11:49.260 But we save them so that they can save us.
00:11:52.500 Here in California for the last couple of days,
00:11:56.180 our leaders have asked us to turn down the power
00:11:59.820 and not use our appliances to try to save the grid and save the state.
00:12:08.540 But mostly it saves the leaders, doesn't it?
00:12:11.700 If the lights go out in California, Newsom's toast.
00:12:15.740 Our governor is toast if the lights go out for 10 minutes.
00:12:21.640 If my lights go out for 10 minutes, because it hasn't yet,
00:12:26.160 if my lights go out for 10 minutes in the middle of a heat wave,
00:12:29.180 I'm never going to be the same person.
00:12:32.360 I will never be the same person.
00:12:35.400 That won't just change my vote.
00:12:37.920 That will change my fucking being at my core if my lights go out for 10 minutes.
00:12:44.580 I'm telling you that my trigger for that is really thin, right?
00:12:48.780 If my lights go out for 10 minutes in a heat wave, I'll never be the same.
00:12:54.760 My sense of my safety will be changed forever.
00:13:00.000 Right?
00:13:01.800 So, in my opinion, when the Californians, as I did,
00:13:06.300 got the message, hey, you better stop using as much power
00:13:09.600 or else we're going to lose it,
00:13:10.980 I walked immediately to my thermostat, said, no problem, I'm in.
00:13:16.480 No problem at all.
00:13:17.400 I'll do that.
00:13:17.960 Boom.
00:13:19.160 Turned off my, or I didn't start my dishwasher.
00:13:22.240 Yeah, I did all the things.
00:13:23.020 I turned off all the lights in the house that were not essential for a little while.
00:13:28.380 And so I saved my governor, as did the other residents of the state.
00:13:36.300 The residents of California actually saved our governor's ass.
00:13:41.960 We did.
00:13:42.820 We saved his ass.
00:13:44.900 But here's the interesting thing.
00:13:47.720 You know, I'm getting a lot of pushback from people who say,
00:13:49.820 oh, you're a sheep for doing what your leader has told you.
00:13:55.280 I didn't do it for him.
00:13:58.680 I didn't do it because I was a sheep.
00:14:01.760 I did it because I didn't want the power to go off.
00:14:04.060 I feel like that was a good enough reason.
00:14:07.980 I don't need to go, bah, I just want to not be dead.
00:14:12.540 That's all the reason I need.
00:14:15.100 Yeah.
00:14:15.620 But here's what's interesting.
00:14:17.680 Compare the compliance of California that was almost instant and sufficient
00:14:22.600 with, let's say, vaccinations or lockdowns.
00:14:27.060 I don't think anybody complained about turning their power down.
00:14:31.060 And here's why.
00:14:31.720 It was a reasonable request.
00:14:36.000 It was completely doable, like you could act on it immediately and easily.
00:14:41.760 It was quantitative.
00:14:44.560 The state said, here's the total amount of electricity we can give you.
00:14:48.900 Here's where you are.
00:14:51.320 Quantitative.
00:14:53.100 And I trusted it, actually.
00:14:55.100 Now, maybe I shouldn't have.
00:14:56.500 But I trusted the numbers because I figured, oh,
00:14:59.280 we probably do know what our maximum capacity is.
00:15:02.020 We probably know that.
00:15:03.560 So under those conditions, how hard was it to get cooperation from the public?
00:15:09.080 Completely easy.
00:15:10.880 And did I care that my governor might have a different political leaning than I do?
00:15:16.660 Nope.
00:15:17.700 Nope.
00:15:17.980 It's quantitative.
00:15:20.520 It's practical.
00:15:22.200 It's reasonable.
00:15:23.600 It's doable.
00:15:24.960 Boom.
00:15:26.000 Done.
00:15:26.720 You got it.
00:15:27.140 You got me.
00:15:28.300 That's all you need to do.
00:15:29.520 Just be reasonable and I'm on your side.
00:15:31.540 That's all it takes.
00:15:34.640 All right.
00:15:35.240 So now Trump's in additional legal jeopardy.
00:15:40.560 The walls are closing in because his post-election fundraising is now the focus of some federal
00:15:47.000 grand jury.
00:15:48.900 I'm starting to get a feeling that people don't want Trump to be president again.
00:15:54.460 Starting to get that feeling.
00:15:55.800 So it's just one thing after another.
00:16:00.160 And then Rick Wilson, the worst person in the world, did this cleverly baiting video in
00:16:07.820 which he's calling the president a little bitch.
00:16:10.600 And I guess the president said he would sue the Lincoln Project for an ad that had some
00:16:17.240 misleading stuff in it.
00:16:18.280 And then Rick Wilson of the Lincoln Project makes this video calling the president a little
00:16:25.720 bitch and saying, I dare you, come sue us.
00:16:28.720 Because if there's a lawsuit, then there's discovery and it's bad for the president.
00:16:34.280 So Rick Wilson cleverly is goading him into trying to sue him.
00:16:39.840 I don't know if that'll happen.
00:16:40.800 Um, but he says, Rick Wilson said that the, he was talking about the big donors to Trump.
00:16:49.360 He said, uh, they need to put a bullet in Donald Trump.
00:16:53.400 Now he was speaking hyperbolically and metaphorically.
00:16:57.740 He did not mean that the donors need to assassinate him, but we don't talk that way about presidential
00:17:06.340 candidates, do we?
00:17:08.060 Is that the way we talk about our leaders?
00:17:11.360 Because you know, when you talk that way, somebody acts on it.
00:17:15.780 You know, freedom of speech is still free.
00:17:18.860 It's still legal to say this.
00:17:21.100 But whether it's legal or not to say this, um, it's ill-advised unless you're trying to
00:17:26.900 encourage somebody to murder.
00:17:30.120 So it does feel like either accidental or intentional encouragement to create somebody crazy to
00:17:37.740 murder a presidential candidate.
00:17:41.360 Yeah.
00:17:41.840 And I think that he knows exactly what he's doing, but we can't read minds.
00:17:45.220 I would not rule out the possibility he's that dumb.
00:17:50.400 Can't rule it out.
00:17:51.700 I don't think so, but I can't rule it out.
00:17:53.820 Well, and I guess the Lincoln Project says that all the money that Trump, uh, collected by
00:18:02.780 saying that the election was fraudulent, that all that money went to support Trump businesses.
00:18:08.900 Now, that seems deeply unlikely to me, doesn't it?
00:18:13.700 Because the Lincoln Project says all of that money went to Trump businesses.
00:18:18.780 I don't think so.
00:18:21.000 In fact, that seems like the least likely possibility.
00:18:24.720 Because nobody in their right mind would even execute a plan like that.
00:18:29.340 How would you even get any employees or underlings to even fill out the paperwork?
00:18:34.240 Or whatever it takes.
00:18:35.960 Who's going to write that check?
00:18:38.700 Nobody knowingly is going to do that because they would be criminals and they would not be
00:18:43.920 beneficiaries of that crime.
00:18:46.700 And there's, you know, it's not like Trump is doing the paperwork himself and writing the
00:18:49.900 checks.
00:18:50.960 It would have to be an organization.
00:18:53.960 Now, if you tell me somebody in the organization did something sketchy, I would say, I expect that
00:18:59.880 of all big organizations.
00:19:00.960 So that wouldn't surprise me.
00:19:03.940 But the Lincoln Project is making it look like it was set up as a scam and all the money
00:19:09.500 would go to, like, Trump businesses.
00:19:11.480 There can't be any chance that that's true.
00:19:13.960 I give that a zero chance of being true.
00:19:17.700 But it does look like the Lincoln Project is goading Trump into suing them.
00:19:22.980 So this might be part of their play.
00:19:24.560 To say something that's sensationally false to make him sue you so he has to open up his
00:19:30.800 books.
00:19:32.640 It's not a bad play from the Lincoln Project trolls.
00:19:37.340 Well, there's a video from a governor, not a governor, a mayor of some small place in
00:19:46.540 Illinois, who's warning people that the law changes on January 1st, the ones that have
00:19:52.620 already been approved but go into effect statewide, basically is going to let everybody out of
00:19:59.020 jail, except for the worst of the worst, I guess.
00:20:01.640 So you could do all kinds of violent crimes and you won't go to jail and you won't even
00:20:06.960 be arrested for some.
00:20:08.520 Here's something that you won't be arrested for.
00:20:12.640 Trespassing.
00:20:14.960 That's right.
00:20:16.420 The example given is that somebody can go live in the shack behind your house in your back
00:20:21.940 lawn, and if you call the police, the police can't remove that person.
00:20:26.380 They can only give them a ticket.
00:20:29.420 That's right.
00:20:30.000 Somebody can move into your property and now there will be no legal recourse.
00:20:36.620 What would you do about it?
00:20:38.580 Well, I'll tell you what I'd do about it.
00:20:40.900 I would check the list of things that don't put me in jail, which apparently is pretty big
00:20:45.100 right now, and find out what kind of violence I could get away with against the person who
00:20:50.460 was squatting on my property.
00:20:52.880 And I'd say, okay, well, if the police won't do anything about you squatting here, let me look
00:20:57.840 at my list, let's see, ah, assault and battery, assault and battery.
00:21:05.080 Apparently, I just get a ticket for that.
00:21:08.040 And then you just beat the shit out of the person on your property and everybody wins.
00:21:12.440 So, no, everybody doesn't win.
00:21:18.140 But anyway, there's a warning that the entire state of Illinois will be unlivable because
00:21:24.420 crime will be legalized at that point.
00:21:26.740 I mean, I'm exaggerating.
00:21:28.040 But in effect, you've legalized crime in the state, it looks like, because there's not enough
00:21:34.500 of a disincentive.
00:21:37.200 So, here's the first question that this sort of suggests.
00:21:45.180 So, you know that Texas is bussing busloads of immigrants, illegal immigrants, I assume,
00:21:54.540 to other states to punish them for not getting on board and helping them close the border.
00:22:00.060 And I'm wondering if the busloads of immigrants will lower the crime rates in those cities.
00:22:08.120 Is that a joke?
00:22:11.360 Seriously, is that a joke?
00:22:13.980 I say that the busload of illegal immigrants, even illegal, even illegal, will lower the crime
00:22:23.060 rate where they're going because they're going into the cities.
00:22:25.480 Now, I don't know how much exposure you've had to the, let's say, the Central American
00:22:35.280 or Mexican immigrants.
00:22:38.860 While I will acknowledge that some number of criminals do come across the border, the people
00:22:45.480 who came here to work really, really don't want to get in trouble.
00:22:49.680 You know that, right?
00:22:50.760 The people who came here to work do not want to get in trouble.
00:22:56.040 They really, really don't want to get in trouble.
00:22:59.420 And I see some disagreement.
00:23:01.260 I think it depends on your personal experience, right?
00:23:03.860 So, I'm speaking from the experience of my safe little neighborhood where we hire a lot
00:23:10.480 of people to help.
00:23:12.420 By and far, they're the safest community.
00:23:15.260 They're just so safe.
00:23:16.180 Do I let, well, enough about me.
00:23:22.380 All right.
00:23:23.240 And I think that's a real question.
00:23:24.960 And I don't think that the immigrants get enough credit for the fact that the vast majority
00:23:29.740 of them will lower your crime rate and not raise it.
00:23:32.100 They'll lower your crime rate.
00:23:33.840 And I even said before, I would hate to have my kids compete with somebody who had the balls
00:23:42.660 to come here illegally and try to make a life.
00:23:46.300 You don't want to compete with those kids.
00:23:49.060 Those are going to be tough kids.
00:23:51.880 So, all right.
00:23:55.380 So, are you ready to get me canceled?
00:23:57.440 Everybody?
00:23:59.100 Everybody on board?
00:24:01.840 Let's get to the canceling, okay?
00:24:04.380 Now, I'm going to say things that would help me not get canceled, but ultimately, I'll be
00:24:08.820 taken out of context.
00:24:09.880 So, if it's in context, I'll be fine, right?
00:24:13.940 I'm not going to say anything that actually is bad.
00:24:16.680 I'm going to keep it within context.
00:24:18.660 But when I get taken out of context, which I will, it's going to look really, really bad.
00:24:24.120 You ready?
00:24:26.580 So, here's my context.
00:24:28.780 You know that I like black people so much I identify as black, right?
00:24:33.080 If you've been watching me for a while.
00:24:34.260 I literally, for now, over, I don't know, a few years, I've identified as black.
00:24:41.620 And I do it non-ironically, because I've lost jobs because of my color.
00:24:47.660 It's a true story.
00:24:48.580 I've lost two different careers because I was accused of being a white male.
00:24:54.780 So, I know what it's like to be discriminated against directly, like direct discrimination.
00:25:02.860 And I have a great affinity to the community, because I tend to like black people.
00:25:10.540 No reason, right?
00:25:11.700 There's no rational reason to it.
00:25:14.240 It's just my biased experience is that black people have a good sense of humor, and they've got a tough time.
00:25:23.040 And I tend to appreciate people who have a good sense of humor, basically.
00:25:28.020 So, starting out from a positive point of view, let me say the part that will get me canceled when it gets taken out of context.
00:25:39.660 I would never live in a black neighborhood.
00:25:41.560 Are you kidding me?
00:25:45.280 And let me be as clear as possible.
00:25:47.160 It has nothing to do with their skin color.
00:25:49.400 It has nothing to do with their DNA.
00:25:52.400 Nothing to do with being black, exactly.
00:25:55.260 Here's what it has to do with.
00:25:57.300 Thanks to Black Lives Matter and, I'd say, the school system, especially the teachers' unions, and especially the Democrats,
00:26:06.300 they have convinced an entire community that they can't succeed if they play by the rules.
00:26:14.480 Give me a fact check.
00:26:16.040 Fact check me.
00:26:17.580 Fact check my statement.
00:26:19.420 The black community in America, yeah, goodbye, huh?
00:26:22.440 The black community in America has been convinced by their own side, by their own side, that they can't succeed if they follow the rules.
00:26:32.860 Because the rules were made by a structurally racist society, and there are too many points of friction.
00:26:40.600 Would you ever go live somewhere where the people who live there, forget about their color, this has nothing to do with color.
00:26:49.460 Exactly.
00:26:50.160 I mean, it's related, of course.
00:26:51.820 But would you live somewhere where the people who live there have been convinced by their own team that following the rules is a sucker's play?
00:27:01.180 Because the rules are made to thwart you.
00:27:03.800 I wouldn't.
00:27:05.380 No way.
00:27:07.340 No way.
00:27:08.040 So when people go to look for a house and they have money, let me say this directly.
00:27:16.020 I don't know if people say it out loud, but they look for the least black place to live if they have money.
00:27:23.680 Do you know who else does that?
00:27:25.840 Black people with money.
00:27:28.140 Black people with money.
00:27:29.260 They go wherever it's the least black population.
00:27:32.580 Is it because they don't like black people?
00:27:34.600 No.
00:27:35.400 No.
00:27:36.280 Especially if they are black.
00:27:37.420 Of course they like black people.
00:27:39.060 I like black people.
00:27:41.000 Lots of people like black people.
00:27:42.480 It's pretty common.
00:27:43.880 Some people like them better than other people.
00:27:46.440 Right?
00:27:46.660 It has nothing to do with how much you like them.
00:27:49.260 It has to do with that it's a proxy for crime.
00:27:53.280 Why is it a proxy for crime?
00:27:56.120 Is it just because of poverty?
00:27:57.760 Nope.
00:27:58.760 It's not based on poverty.
00:28:00.720 It's based on the fact that it's a community that has trained itself that the rules don't work for them.
00:28:08.320 Not that the rules are bad rules, but they just don't work for them.
00:28:13.380 If you put me in a world where you say the rules don't work for you, I'm going to break the rules.
00:28:20.640 Wouldn't you?
00:28:22.800 If you were put in a position where everybody said the rules don't work for you, would you follow them?
00:28:29.460 Who would?
00:28:30.700 No reasonable person would follow the rules.
00:28:33.240 So when I say that black communities are more likely to have lots of crime and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, it's not exactly just because of poverty.
00:28:43.520 It's also because it's a community that has been taught that the rules don't work for them.
00:28:50.140 That following the rules isn't going to make you successful and happy.
00:28:53.400 I wouldn't follow the rules under those situations.
00:28:55.900 If it were me, I wouldn't follow the rules.
00:28:59.520 So here's my suggestion to fix it all.
00:29:05.940 I think that the black community needs to change their strategy.
00:29:12.020 It's a strategy problem.
00:29:14.520 And they need to understand that the last mile of getting equality has to be a completely different strategy than the first 99 miles.
00:29:26.820 Now, the first mile was a revolutionary war, not revolution, a civil war.
00:29:33.760 So the first step of getting equality is to get rid of slavery, and you probably needed a war for that.
00:29:38.960 Next phase, you use the legal system, and you start suing employers who are not giving you your rights, et cetera.
00:29:46.060 And for decades, we've been doing that, and I think they've made great progress.
00:29:49.780 So much progress that big corporations are actively recruiting and looking for minority employees, right?
00:29:57.900 But that last mile, that last mile with the so-called systemic racism and, you know, why can't we get that last mile?
00:30:07.120 That last mile, you're only going to get there by accepting the rules.
00:30:11.860 That's the only way you get there.
00:30:15.800 Now, you might not like them, and it might be true that the rules don't work in your favor.
00:30:20.800 That could be true.
00:30:22.160 I'm not even arguing that.
00:30:23.580 But you're going to have to still win with those rules, because everybody else did, right?
00:30:30.120 Asian community succeeded with those rules.
00:30:33.720 Jewish community succeeding with those rules.
00:30:37.360 The Hispanic community succeeding with those rules, right?
00:30:43.300 If everybody is succeeding with those rules, but your community has been taught that the rules don't work for you,
00:30:50.720 you're never going to get to the last mile.
00:30:53.820 The last mile is an out of reach for you.
00:30:56.320 And don't even fucking bother trying, really.
00:30:59.720 If you're going to come at me with a strategy that bad, don't fucking blame me if it doesn't work, right?
00:31:07.400 Do not blame me if your strategy is so clearly the wrong strategy.
00:31:15.160 You want my respect?
00:31:17.660 Earn it.
00:31:19.020 Earn it.
00:31:19.440 I'm not going to give it to you for nothing, right?
00:31:23.260 For nothing?
00:31:24.500 No, you're going to earn it.
00:31:26.480 What do I think about the Jewish community who has taken, really, some of the deepest discrimination you could imagine
00:31:33.980 and turned it into a successful American experience?
00:31:39.320 Total respect.
00:31:41.100 Total respect.
00:31:41.920 I heard Alan Dershowitz play an audio voicemail he got.
00:31:49.620 You should hear the things that people will leave on a voicemail to Alan Dershowitz.
00:31:55.780 Oh, my fucking God.
00:31:57.740 Like, you don't even think that that kind of anti-Semitism even exists.
00:32:03.120 Because, you know, in polite company, you never hear it.
00:32:06.420 But it exists.
00:32:08.220 And man, when he plays it, you think, holy shit.
00:32:11.580 How do you live in a country walking around with people like that attitude about you, like, all over the place?
00:32:17.600 Probably.
00:32:17.980 I mean, I don't know what ratio it is.
00:32:20.340 But how did the Jewish community do?
00:32:23.600 Total respect.
00:32:25.020 Total respect.
00:32:27.020 All right.
00:32:27.460 So if the black community wants my respect, which they don't have, they don't have.
00:32:33.560 It's because their strategy is no good.
00:32:35.540 Doesn't have to do with their genes.
00:32:37.740 Doesn't have to do with their DNA.
00:32:39.800 Doesn't have to do with what color they are.
00:32:42.260 We're not even talking about any of that.
00:32:43.380 It's just strategy.
00:32:44.540 You come at me with a dumb fuck strategy that obviously only benefits your leaders.
00:32:51.340 And I'm not going to respect you at all.
00:32:53.920 Not at all.
00:32:55.540 All right.
00:32:55.780 So that's the deal.
00:32:58.460 Right.
00:32:58.540 I want to help, and I'm trying to help right now, actually, at great personal risk.
00:33:04.300 If we can't talk about it honestly, you can't do anything.
00:33:09.640 Step number one is to be able to talk about it honestly.
00:33:12.560 And you know that you couldn't say what I'm saying right now, could you?
00:33:15.840 How many of you could say in public what I'm saying right now in public?
00:33:20.180 None of you.
00:33:21.580 Because you couldn't survive it.
00:33:23.480 You couldn't survive it.
00:33:24.960 And I'm trying to be helpful.
00:33:27.340 Right.
00:33:27.580 I tried to, I see it in the comments here, I tried to help Black Lives Matter when it
00:33:32.240 first came out.
00:33:33.700 I thought, oh, here's a movement that's trying to help black people.
00:33:37.260 I'm on board.
00:33:38.600 I'd love to help black people.
00:33:40.120 Because if you're helping the, whatever group is in the biggest hole, you're making the biggest
00:33:45.460 impact.
00:33:46.640 So I want to be a black leader of the Black Lives Matter movement.
00:33:51.460 What I learned in the process was the leaders were not on the same page as those who were
00:33:59.120 being led.
00:34:00.700 And that largely, and this does not include Hawk, by the way.
00:34:05.860 Hawk said, and I believed him, he was not being funded by Soros.
00:34:10.020 So he didn't have any money coming in, basically.
00:34:12.800 But there were other parts of Black Lives Matter who were basically just scams.
00:34:18.800 They were just leaders taking the money that was coming in from God knows where, donations
00:34:23.260 and Soros and everything else.
00:34:25.200 So the black population has no black leaders that are worth a damn who are making a difference
00:34:32.400 right now.
00:34:33.300 I mean, I'm sure there are black leaders who would be highly qualified, but they don't
00:34:37.060 seem to be breaking through.
00:34:39.020 It seems like, for whatever reason, there's a leadership vacuum there that's gigantic.
00:34:45.360 And I think the biggest problem is that they have painted themselves as people who can't
00:34:52.240 succeed in the current system.
00:34:55.200 And if you don't change that, you're not going to get anything.
00:34:59.480 So the solution to all of this is the white teachers' unions, the white-led teachers' unions,
00:35:07.360 are absolutely destroying the black population by teaching them to be helpless and teaching
00:35:13.280 them that the system is their problem.
00:35:16.820 And if they break the system, they break it for all of us.
00:35:19.920 It doesn't get put back together.
00:35:21.640 So we're on a path to destroying the whole fucking country because the teachers' union
00:35:27.200 is training one part of the country to act helpless and blame the other part for their
00:35:32.640 problems.
00:35:33.060 Now, do I think that systemic racism is real?
00:35:37.620 I do.
00:35:39.120 But it exists primarily in the school system.
00:35:42.820 And if you got it out of there, you could get rid of your, you could get rid of a lot
00:35:46.740 of your systemic racism in about a generation.
00:35:51.080 Right?
00:35:51.180 Anybody who thinks any of this is fast is kidding themselves.
00:35:54.700 You know, if you could do it in one generation, that would be a miracle.
00:35:58.200 Right?
00:35:58.800 I mean, it probably takes three.
00:36:01.280 But you've got to fix the school system for everybody.
00:36:04.080 I mean, that should be a, that should be a human right.
00:36:09.200 Right?
00:36:10.200 It feels like the lack of education we're giving to, especially the black population,
00:36:18.400 it's just a, it's just a crime.
00:36:21.660 I mean, and it's, and the crime is committed by white people.
00:36:24.760 Because to me, I think most of the, the teachers' unions is a bunch of white women,
00:36:30.400 right?
00:36:31.060 Or white men and women.
00:36:32.260 So, I'm not going to let white people off the hook.
00:36:37.440 Because there are some terrible, terrible white people who are promoting the bad strategy
00:36:44.500 that's, that's happening right now.
00:36:46.160 So, here's what the black population needs to know.
00:36:49.240 Your leaders benefit by causing trouble and painting you as losers.
00:36:54.680 Your leaders benefit that way.
00:36:56.520 But you don't.
00:36:58.300 You used to.
00:36:59.180 So, you know, up through the 60s, the 70s, even the 90s, I would say that complaining
00:37:05.820 was your best strategy.
00:37:07.580 Because it works.
00:37:08.920 Hey, this is unfair.
00:37:10.780 The legal system needs to get involved here.
00:37:12.940 That's all good.
00:37:13.820 That worked.
00:37:14.680 But once you get to that last mile, and I think that's where we are, you have to play
00:37:19.300 by the rules, unless you're going to throw out all the rules and, you know, try to make
00:37:25.040 that work.
00:37:25.980 I don't see how that's going to work.
00:37:28.580 So, anyway.
00:37:32.760 Am I wrong that, am I wrong to say that the black population in America is the only group
00:37:40.580 that is actually trained by their own people that they can't succeed?
00:37:46.220 Am I right about that?
00:37:51.600 Is there any other group that teaches its own people that they can't succeed?
00:37:57.440 Because the system won't let them.
00:37:58.840 And, again, I want to be clear, the truth of that is not relevant to my point.
00:38:08.740 It might be true that the system is holding people back.
00:38:12.140 And I think there's plenty of evidence of that.
00:38:14.460 But if you act like it's true, you're fucked.
00:38:18.320 You are fucked.
00:38:19.760 Do you know who else had the system working against them?
00:38:23.220 I did.
00:38:23.840 Because I was born in a small town with, you know, not much money.
00:38:30.200 I had things working against me.
00:38:32.420 But if somebody said, well, there's nothing you can do because you're born in a small town,
00:38:37.240 well, what would I have done?
00:38:38.480 I wouldn't have tried as hard.
00:38:40.880 My mother told me I could do anything I wanted, which was insane.
00:38:45.600 But I bought into it enough that I thought I could do much of what I wanted, not all of it.
00:38:51.700 Now, how many black parents are telling their kids that they can be anything or do anything?
00:39:02.160 You can almost tell what percentage it is because they're the kids who are growing up and actually succeeding.
00:39:10.020 And then they'll tell you, that's what my mother said or my father.
00:39:12.980 Generally, if you see the successful, like the black athletes and, you know, whoever has made it big, got rich or whatever,
00:39:21.100 and they tell you how they were raised, there's usually at least one parent who told them that they could do it.
00:39:27.440 Am I right?
00:39:29.160 I'll bet almost everybody who succeeds has at least one parent who said they could do it.
00:39:35.960 At least one.
00:39:38.840 Now, some people, you know, there's every kind of situation.
00:39:41.820 Some people, you know, maybe they tried harder because their parents didn't think they would succeed.
00:39:47.280 You know, you get a little bit of that, too.
00:39:50.940 Yeah.
00:39:51.440 You just need one parent to tell you you can do it and you're fine.
00:39:54.500 So I don't know how common that is across different groups.
00:39:58.200 All right.
00:40:00.880 According to my highly biased survey on Twitter, two-thirds of the people who answered said they would avoid living in a mostly black neighborhood
00:40:10.500 and that included some black respondents.
00:40:15.360 I know that because they said they were black.
00:40:18.600 So, and again, just to be clear, has nothing to do with being black or your DNA or your genetics or your color.
00:40:27.480 It just has to do with if you're trained to think the system doesn't work for you, why would you use the system?
00:40:34.860 Of course you wouldn't.
00:40:36.800 And why would I want to be anywhere near that?
00:40:38.840 Of course I wouldn't.
00:40:40.520 Of course I wouldn't.
00:40:42.380 Let me ask you this.
00:40:43.900 Can you imagine me living in a mostly black neighborhood and then people find out that I've said anything good about Trump?
00:40:54.840 Right?
00:40:55.320 I would literally be killed, depending on the neighborhood and depending who knew what.
00:41:02.200 But it wouldn't be safe for me to be anywhere near that environment.
00:41:06.620 So let me say as clearly as I can, I would never live in a mostly black neighborhood because I wouldn't feel safe.
00:41:13.720 Again, nothing to do with being black and everything to do with the fact that one community has been trained that following the rules doesn't work for them.
00:41:22.760 I don't want to be anywhere near that.
00:41:26.620 Do you?
00:41:29.480 All right.
00:41:30.020 Larry Elder is reportedly mulling a run for president.
00:41:37.160 I don't know if that means primarying Trump or maybe if Trump doesn't run or something.
00:41:42.140 So I don't know the details of that because I didn't bother reading the story.
00:41:44.880 But I love reading the story about somebody who's mulling.
00:41:48.100 He's mulling.
00:41:48.720 And I thought, Larry Elder, you magnificent bastard, that is exactly the right thing to do.
00:41:57.360 If I were Larry Elder, I would also tell people I'm mulling a run for the presidency.
00:42:03.180 Because it raises your profile.
00:42:07.020 I'm sure he has things to promote.
00:42:09.020 So it's a perfectly smart thing to do.
00:42:12.040 It's what Trump did, basically.
00:42:14.200 So I love Larry Elder.
00:42:16.860 But it made me wonder if I should get in on this, too.
00:42:21.260 So I don't want to go full mulling.
00:42:24.440 But I'd like you to say that I'm reportedly considering mulling.
00:42:29.360 Could you do that for me?
00:42:30.360 If I come up on social media, don't force it.
00:42:35.680 But if you could say that Scott Adams is reportedly considering mulling.
00:42:42.880 Don't go to straight mulling because I can't fully mull.
00:42:47.120 But I'm reportedly considering mulling.
00:42:50.140 And that's true, by the way.
00:42:51.660 That's completely true.
00:42:53.080 I am literally, reportedly, considering mulling.
00:42:57.320 So let's put that out there.
00:43:00.360 Do you remember there was a 60s sort of semi-fake musical group called The Monkeys?
00:43:10.220 Enough of you who are old enough to remember The Monkeys.
00:43:14.440 Well, The Monkeys, apparently, were investigated by the FBI.
00:43:20.460 Because in some of their concerts, they had a screen behind them
00:43:24.880 in which they showed some anti-war messages.
00:43:27.200 So the FBI was actually after The Monkeys.
00:43:34.060 And I guess Mickey Dolenz, the surviving member of The Monkeys,
00:43:38.840 is trying to get the FBI's records and documents
00:43:43.100 about just what the hell they were trying to do with The Monkeys.
00:43:47.440 Now, yeah, I think there's a FOIA request or something.
00:43:51.160 So when you see that, what else are the FBI investigating?
00:43:58.280 Let me ask you this.
00:43:59.160 Do you think the FBI has ever investigated me that I don't know about?
00:44:05.240 What do you think?
00:44:07.900 Yeah.
00:44:10.140 If they haven't investigated me, I'd be really surprised.
00:44:14.060 Now, I don't know if they investigate anybody who's saying anything interesting.
00:44:19.900 Maybe they do.
00:44:20.760 I don't know.
00:44:22.060 But here's why I think they would investigate me.
00:44:25.860 Find out what side I'm on.
00:44:29.300 And actually, I think they probably should.
00:44:33.200 Right?
00:44:34.040 I'm not even sure that's wrong.
00:44:35.520 Because their job is to make sure that, you know, there's not foreign interference, right?
00:44:41.320 And if you saw somebody like me come along,
00:44:43.920 and you couldn't tell who I was affiliated with, if anybody,
00:44:49.020 and you saw that I might be moving the needle,
00:44:53.740 wouldn't you be worried?
00:44:56.800 I don't know.
00:44:57.500 It's actually a reasonable question to look into anybody who's persuasive.
00:45:01.900 But I will assure you that I'm just a patriot.
00:45:09.920 I know it's hard to believe, right?
00:45:11.780 I'm literally just a patriot.
00:45:14.340 I do this because I think it helps.
00:45:17.780 Maybe it doesn't, but that's the reason I do it.
00:45:20.520 I do it because I think it helps.
00:45:22.560 This is the worst way to make money.
00:45:25.500 Like, if you think I'm doing this to make money,
00:45:27.180 and I do monetize, like I monetize the YouTube feed, for example,
00:45:32.160 but this is the worst way to make money.
00:45:35.260 Like, I could do a lot better just by, here's how you make money.
00:45:39.900 You tell people what they want to hear.
00:45:42.920 That's how you make money.
00:45:45.040 I mostly tell people what makes them uncomfortable.
00:45:48.240 That's not how you make money.
00:45:50.000 Everybody knows that.
00:45:51.340 So you can very easily tell when I'm trying to make money.
00:45:54.900 When I'm trying to make money, I'll tell you what you want to hear,
00:45:58.440 and then you'll give me money.
00:45:59.640 That's how it works.
00:46:00.260 If I tell you something that makes you uncomfortable,
00:46:03.180 you know I'm not trying to get your money.
00:46:05.380 I'm trying to do something useful, whatever.
00:46:09.680 All right.
00:46:13.180 It's still fog of war in Ukraine,
00:46:15.440 so you can't trust anything coming out of there.
00:46:17.760 But the reporting that's coming out of there today,
00:46:20.900 as uncredible as it is,
00:46:23.620 is that the Ukrainians are totally kicking the Russians' asses
00:46:27.160 with a counter-offensive that's going better than anybody expected,
00:46:31.340 and for reasons that you have to wonder about,
00:46:35.400 the Russian Air Force seems to be not involved.
00:46:38.780 What?
00:46:42.080 That's right.
00:46:43.120 There's a major offensive,
00:46:45.500 I guess you'd call it a counter-offensive,
00:46:47.300 that the Ukrainians are pushing.
00:46:49.120 They've captured a number of towns and made,
00:46:52.860 apparently in 72 hours or so,
00:46:55.220 they made tremendous progress in recapturing territory.
00:46:57.780 But reportedly,
00:47:00.920 they seem to be operating without any fear of air superiority by Russia.
00:47:07.700 In other words,
00:47:08.440 the Ukrainians' devices and stuff are pretty exposed,
00:47:14.260 but they're not being destroyed.
00:47:15.940 And so,
00:47:22.900 this raises questions.
00:47:26.100 First of all,
00:47:26.760 is any of the reporting accurate?
00:47:28.240 We don't know.
00:47:29.280 But it's consistent,
00:47:31.000 so everything we're hearing seems to be in the same direction.
00:47:34.800 Yeah.
00:47:35.180 So one possibility is it's a trap, right?
00:47:38.460 Maybe the Ukrainian army is being lulled into a kill zone or something.
00:47:42.920 Maybe.
00:47:43.220 But you'd have to think that the Ukrainian army would be sophisticated enough
00:47:48.160 to know what a trap looked like.
00:47:51.260 Would you agree?
00:47:52.260 The Ukrainian military have been special forces trained by NATO for a long time.
00:47:58.440 They're reportedly quite good at what they do.
00:48:02.080 I think they'd know what a trap looked like.
00:48:05.420 Right?
00:48:05.820 It could be a trap,
00:48:06.780 but I think they'd know what it looked like.
00:48:08.060 So I'm going to guess no.
00:48:11.400 I think it's possible,
00:48:13.220 that the Russian military can't get parts
00:48:15.960 and can't get qualified people to do the basic stuff.
00:48:21.400 I've always thought that the difference between complete collapse
00:48:26.020 of the Russian military and effectiveness is razor thin.
00:48:32.320 I don't think that you would see the Russian military collapse in a slow way.
00:48:38.140 In other words, I don't think you'd see it go down,
00:48:39.740 oh, it's 5% worse now,
00:48:41.560 and now it's been several weeks later,
00:48:44.280 and now it's 5% worse again.
00:48:45.760 I feel like there's a collapse point.
00:48:49.120 Now, that's an untested hypothesis.
00:48:52.000 I believe that there's some point where the wheels just fall off.
00:48:56.900 And one of those possibilities is that they don't have enough ammo.
00:48:59.940 Because it could be a psychological change.
00:49:03.920 Imagine you're the Russian military,
00:49:06.180 and this is just hypothetical.
00:49:07.640 I'm not suggesting this has happened.
00:49:09.900 I'm just working through the psychology of it.
00:49:13.020 Imagine you're the Russian military,
00:49:14.420 and you know you don't have enough ammo
00:49:16.100 because Ukraine did a good enough job of blowing up the ammo depots.
00:49:21.900 You don't have enough ammo,
00:49:24.500 and you hear the Ukrainians are coming at you hard.
00:49:27.880 What do you do?
00:49:29.740 I would retreat.
00:49:31.960 Wouldn't you?
00:49:33.500 Or quit.
00:49:34.780 Or desert.
00:49:36.700 If you don't have enough ammo,
00:49:38.580 and there's an army coming at you,
00:49:40.080 and you know you don't have enough ammo,
00:49:42.300 what the fuck are you going to do?
00:49:45.000 Fight?
00:49:46.240 Try to get lucky?
00:49:46.960 So what this is suggesting
00:49:51.600 is that the Ukrainians have either degraded the resupply lines
00:49:56.320 or the ammo depots,
00:49:59.860 and maybe their anti-aircraft weapons are better than we think.
00:50:05.680 Because remember, the Ukrainian anti-aircraft
00:50:07.840 is coming from Western sources.
00:50:10.120 It's the good stuff.
00:50:11.860 It's possible that Russia can't afford the jets.
00:50:15.280 They may not have.
00:50:17.400 I mean, it's easy to imagine
00:50:19.160 that if you looked at the number of Russian jets,
00:50:21.920 it'd be some ungodly big number, right?
00:50:25.040 But I'll bet only 20% of them run.
00:50:28.000 What would you say?
00:50:29.840 What percentage of all of the Russian Air Force
00:50:33.000 do you think is worthy of getting in the air
00:50:35.340 and possible to get there?
00:50:38.020 I'll bet it's 20%.
00:50:39.220 What do you think?
00:50:43.620 I'll bet it's 20%.
00:50:45.060 And if it were 20%,
00:50:49.000 now I see that some of you are going to disagree with that,
00:50:51.620 and that would be reasonable,
00:50:52.900 because I'm just guessing, right?
00:50:54.620 So I think that the Russian military
00:50:58.580 could be closer to collapse
00:51:00.560 than anybody who's reporting.
00:51:03.260 Could be.
00:51:04.260 That's not a prediction.
00:51:06.060 That's just a statement of how I see the situation,
00:51:09.300 that they could be really close to collapse.
00:51:12.140 Now, that doesn't mean they're running out of money,
00:51:15.200 because Russia seems to have money,
00:51:16.820 and they seem to have the capacity
00:51:18.360 to make a lot of new weapons
00:51:20.760 and take things out of mothballs and stuff like that.
00:51:24.180 So you assume that Russia has lots of flexibility
00:51:27.180 for adjusting to win in the long run.
00:51:31.080 But in the short run,
00:51:32.860 it might be that their shit isn't working,
00:51:35.200 and Ukraine just has better maintained,
00:51:38.880 newer stuff at the moment.
00:51:41.140 Right?
00:51:42.080 So I don't think there's anything you can say
00:51:44.120 about how this will turn out,
00:51:46.000 but how is my initial,
00:51:49.960 how is my prediction looking now?
00:51:52.860 Do you remember how badly I got mocked
00:51:56.140 at the beginning of the invasion
00:51:57.940 when I said,
00:51:59.140 you know, I think you might be surprised
00:52:01.040 at how well Ukraine does in this war.
00:52:03.940 Do you remember how badly you mocked me?
00:52:07.480 Does anybody want to say, you know,
00:52:09.620 is there anybody here who would say
00:52:10.820 that maybe I was closer to right than you were?
00:52:14.420 Is there anybody who's willing to give me that
00:52:16.680 at this point?
00:52:18.580 That my prediction that Ukraine would surprise
00:52:22.180 at how effective their defense was
00:52:24.520 with modern military equipment.
00:52:27.680 Okay?
00:52:29.100 Thank you.
00:52:30.020 So some of you are willing to give me that.
00:52:32.800 Now, that doesn't mean we know how it ends, right?
00:52:36.000 If in the end Russia goes big
00:52:39.100 and destroys the country,
00:52:40.700 I'm not going to say that that was impossible.
00:52:42.380 But so far,
00:52:45.720 the Ukrainian war is going
00:52:47.100 largely the way I thought it would.
00:52:51.220 Now, right, it's not over,
00:52:53.720 so anything could happen.
00:52:56.360 Yeah.
00:52:58.340 Now, what is the biggest criticism you see of me
00:53:03.660 that's sort of a general criticism?
00:53:05.120 If you've watched how people criticize me,
00:53:08.800 especially on Twitter,
00:53:09.920 what is the biggest criticism I get
00:53:11.840 and it doesn't matter what topic I'm on?
00:53:14.720 So regardless of the topic,
00:53:16.960 what's the biggest criticism I get?
00:53:21.100 Being bald?
00:53:22.140 Yeah.
00:53:23.260 The biggest criticism is that
00:53:25.080 I'm talking on topics
00:53:27.180 at which I'm not an expert.
00:53:29.580 Now, I see some of your answers are
00:53:32.000 my ego is big or blah, blah, blah.
00:53:34.560 But that's really the same thing.
00:53:36.360 It's all the same thing.
00:53:37.580 The criticism is that
00:53:38.820 I weigh in on topics
00:53:40.060 that I don't know anything about.
00:53:43.020 Right?
00:53:44.880 But at what point
00:53:46.220 do you notice the pattern?
00:53:48.520 At what point do you notice
00:53:49.860 the pattern
00:53:50.480 is that that's what I do?
00:53:53.700 The Dilbert strip
00:53:54.840 was entirely
00:53:56.180 a different take on business.
00:53:58.140 The Dilbert comic
00:54:00.120 was me saying,
00:54:01.080 you know,
00:54:01.560 you all are buying
00:54:02.400 these business books
00:54:03.260 and reading them
00:54:03.880 like they're real.
00:54:04.860 It's all bullshit.
00:54:06.840 So when I started saying
00:54:08.140 that every expert
00:54:10.340 in business
00:54:11.040 was full of shit
00:54:12.020 with the Dilbert comic,
00:54:14.520 that's where it all started.
00:54:18.080 So as a cartoonist,
00:54:19.860 I debunked
00:54:20.660 every business expert.
00:54:23.040 And now most people
00:54:24.480 would have come to my side.
00:54:26.260 Then when I entered politics,
00:54:31.600 I said,
00:54:32.100 hey, you're getting this wrong.
00:54:33.460 This Trump guy
00:54:34.120 has persuasion ability
00:54:35.780 and he's going to be
00:54:36.440 your next president.
00:54:37.880 And what did people say?
00:54:39.000 They said,
00:54:39.420 Scott,
00:54:40.480 stay on a politics.
00:54:43.220 Just stay on a politics.
00:54:45.640 But of course,
00:54:46.420 I was right.
00:54:49.420 Now,
00:54:50.400 so far,
00:54:52.420 whenever I've
00:54:53.420 gone into a topic
00:54:55.420 which I don't know
00:54:56.460 anything about,
00:54:57.280 what has been
00:54:57.720 my track record?
00:54:59.380 If you were to look
00:55:00.220 at all the times
00:55:01.080 that I have publicly
00:55:02.080 disagreed
00:55:02.900 with the mainstream opinion
00:55:04.660 on whatever,
00:55:06.020 from business
00:55:06.860 to politics
00:55:07.480 to science
00:55:08.340 to nuclear power,
00:55:12.100 you name it.
00:55:13.680 You name it.
00:55:14.660 What is my track record
00:55:16.180 of disagreeing
00:55:17.100 with experts?
00:55:19.640 It's really,
00:55:20.860 really good.
00:55:22.280 It's probably
00:55:23.040 at least 80%.
00:55:24.220 Disagreeing
00:55:26.020 with experts.
00:55:27.860 Who in the world
00:55:29.160 has an 80%
00:55:30.140 accurate record
00:55:31.040 of disagreeing
00:55:31.880 with experts?
00:55:34.140 That's kind of crazy
00:55:35.340 if you think about it.
00:55:37.260 Now,
00:55:37.620 the reason that
00:55:38.400 I have a high
00:55:39.140 hit rate,
00:55:40.620 in my opinion,
00:55:41.540 somebody might have
00:55:42.400 a different opinion
00:55:43.720 of that,
00:55:44.700 in my opinion,
00:55:45.460 is that I pick places
00:55:46.680 where I have
00:55:47.140 an advantage.
00:55:48.820 I don't just speculate
00:55:50.320 on everything
00:55:50.980 that can be
00:55:51.500 speculated on.
00:55:52.220 I go where
00:55:53.200 I have a specific
00:55:53.940 advantage.
00:55:55.200 So in the case
00:55:56.220 of Dilbert,
00:55:57.720 I worked in that world
00:55:58.980 so I could see it.
00:56:00.240 I could see
00:56:00.780 that it was bullshit.
00:56:02.280 So I used my advantage
00:56:03.660 to disagree
00:56:04.980 with all the experts.
00:56:06.340 In the case
00:56:07.320 of Trump
00:56:07.760 becoming president,
00:56:09.520 I had a little niche
00:56:11.060 of expertise
00:56:12.200 and persuasion
00:56:13.120 so I could just see that.
00:56:15.220 It was just plain
00:56:15.840 as day to me
00:56:16.660 where others
00:56:18.140 couldn't see it.
00:56:18.700 So I wasn't
00:56:20.220 exactly disagreeing
00:56:21.380 with the experts.
00:56:22.200 I just had this
00:56:22.920 narrow little keyhole
00:56:24.740 of special knowledge
00:56:27.920 that I took
00:56:29.300 advantage of.
00:56:30.880 That's about it.
00:56:36.120 So at what point
00:56:37.380 do people
00:56:37.880 start telling me
00:56:39.380 that it's okay
00:56:41.880 for me to disagree
00:56:42.700 with experts
00:56:43.360 in fields
00:56:43.920 of which I am
00:56:44.660 not a member?
00:56:45.280 So now I would argue
00:56:48.260 that my military
00:56:50.080 estimation
00:56:51.020 of Ukraine
00:56:51.940 is the best
00:56:52.760 so far
00:56:54.180 the best prediction
00:56:56.780 in the entire world.
00:57:00.920 That's what it looks
00:57:01.900 like to me.
00:57:03.240 In my opinion,
00:57:04.180 I had the best prediction
00:57:05.520 about Ukraine
00:57:06.320 of anybody
00:57:07.840 in the entire world
00:57:09.500 so far.
00:57:11.180 Now it could
00:57:11.700 go wrong.
00:57:12.660 Now I'm seeing
00:57:14.920 LOL.
00:57:18.640 Why are you laughing?
00:57:20.820 That's either true
00:57:21.740 or it's not.
00:57:23.120 I don't believe
00:57:23.940 there was anybody
00:57:24.580 who said what I said.
00:57:26.460 I've never heard
00:57:27.240 one person agree
00:57:28.160 with that opinion.
00:57:29.780 And here we are.
00:57:32.000 Here we are.
00:57:33.080 And this is exactly
00:57:33.920 why I'm reportedly
00:57:35.600 considering
00:57:36.440 mulling
00:57:37.260 a run for president.
00:57:39.120 It is this exact
00:57:40.080 kind of skill
00:57:40.700 that makes me
00:57:41.720 the kind of person
00:57:42.340 you'd want to
00:57:42.920 reportedly
00:57:43.500 consider mulling.
00:57:48.100 All right.
00:57:49.080 Now,
00:57:49.820 how many of you
00:57:51.280 are totally
00:57:52.400 grossed out
00:57:53.920 by me saying
00:57:55.160 that I got things right?
00:57:57.140 It's uncomfortable,
00:57:58.280 isn't it?
00:57:59.520 Does it make you
00:58:00.360 uncomfortable
00:58:00.780 when I tell you
00:58:01.640 I got things right?
00:58:04.640 Anybody uncomfortable?
00:58:06.040 Because if you're
00:58:06.860 commenting on my ego
00:58:08.120 or whatever,
00:58:11.260 yeah,
00:58:11.600 your ego,
00:58:12.700 your ego,
00:58:14.740 damn it.
00:58:15.340 Well,
00:58:15.600 I would suggest
00:58:16.300 that since you
00:58:18.280 see me equally
00:58:19.060 tell you
00:58:19.520 what I got wrong,
00:58:21.360 by the way,
00:58:21.980 how many of you
00:58:22.980 would agree
00:58:23.720 with this statement?
00:58:25.620 I just as aggressively
00:58:27.620 will tell you
00:58:28.320 when I'm wrong
00:58:28.940 and have on a number
00:58:29.940 of occasions.
00:58:30.440 I clearly
00:58:32.380 state when I'm wrong
00:58:34.480 just as aggressively
00:58:37.100 as I'm telling you
00:58:37.940 I'm right.
00:58:40.180 All right?
00:58:40.460 And on locals,
00:58:41.280 they're all agreeing
00:58:41.840 because they've seen it
00:58:42.520 a number of times,
00:58:43.240 right?
00:58:43.980 So what is the ego
00:58:46.200 portion of that?
00:58:47.760 If I'm telling you
00:58:48.480 when I'm wrong
00:58:48.980 and I'm telling you
00:58:49.560 when I'm right,
00:58:50.220 what's the ego portion?
00:58:52.920 Well,
00:58:53.320 I suppose you could say
00:58:54.320 you think you're right
00:58:55.620 more than you're wrong,
00:58:56.460 but that's just numbers.
00:58:59.220 You can check for yourself.
00:59:01.780 You can look at my predictions.
00:59:03.560 See how they did.
00:59:08.220 All right.
00:59:10.340 Enough about me.
00:59:12.600 So BlackRock
00:59:13.480 is getting some pushback
00:59:14.880 because they're big
00:59:16.600 on the ESG stuff,
00:59:17.940 right?
00:59:21.260 And they say
00:59:22.080 they only want transparency
00:59:23.400 on the companies.
00:59:24.200 They're not trying
00:59:24.640 to force them
00:59:25.400 to do something.
00:59:26.460 They just want investors
00:59:27.880 to know
00:59:28.860 who is doing
00:59:29.480 the right things
00:59:30.080 and who is not.
00:59:31.200 To which I say
00:59:32.080 that's the same
00:59:32.800 as forcing them.
00:59:35.040 So I guess
00:59:35.740 there are a number
00:59:36.260 of states
00:59:36.800 where the states
00:59:38.080 are suing
00:59:38.780 or they're bad
00:59:39.780 at BlackRock
00:59:40.440 because they think
00:59:41.500 their pension funds
00:59:42.340 for the state
00:59:42.940 are going to get
00:59:44.060 lower returns
00:59:45.060 because BlackRock
00:59:46.640 is essentially
00:59:48.560 embarrassing companies
00:59:50.120 into doing
00:59:51.640 non-economical things
00:59:53.120 in service of ESG,
00:59:55.120 which stands for
00:59:55.960 environment,
00:59:58.300 social,
00:59:59.580 and governance,
01:00:00.420 right?
01:00:01.260 Now,
01:00:02.080 don't confuse
01:00:03.040 your ESG
01:00:03.980 with your DEI.
01:00:07.620 Diversity,
01:00:08.540 equity,
01:00:08.840 and inclusion
01:00:09.620 is different
01:00:11.380 but overlapping
01:00:12.360 environment,
01:00:15.380 social,
01:00:15.960 and governance.
01:00:16.860 So the social
01:00:18.260 and governance part
01:00:19.240 overlaps
01:00:19.860 the equity
01:00:21.500 and inclusion part.
01:00:22.660 in other words,
01:00:23.760 making sure
01:00:24.320 every type of person
01:00:26.120 gets their chance.
01:00:31.700 And
01:00:32.220 how much would I love
01:00:35.160 being in the corporate world
01:00:36.680 where they're trying
01:00:37.460 to sort out
01:00:38.240 their DEI
01:00:39.820 from their ESG?
01:00:41.120 that is such
01:00:43.080 a Dilber world.
01:00:44.340 I feel like I have
01:00:45.140 to go back to work
01:00:46.080 like just for a year.
01:00:48.820 I have to go back
01:00:49.480 to a cubicle job
01:00:50.540 and just live
01:00:51.700 in that DEI,
01:00:52.960 ESG,
01:00:53.960 uncomfortable world
01:00:55.020 for a while
01:00:55.540 and watch people
01:00:58.820 try to work it out
01:00:59.680 because here's
01:01:00.500 what I expect.
01:01:01.960 There's probably
01:01:02.580 somebody who's
01:01:03.360 at a big company
01:01:04.400 to be somebody
01:01:05.540 in charge of ESG
01:01:06.880 compliance
01:01:07.660 and somebody
01:01:08.880 in charge
01:01:09.360 of DEI
01:01:10.260 and they probably
01:01:11.680 hate each other
01:01:12.400 because the DEI
01:01:13.960 person is always
01:01:15.140 like getting
01:01:16.220 in the business
01:01:16.800 of the ESG
01:01:17.560 person and vice versa.
01:01:19.760 You know
01:01:20.140 that's happening.
01:01:23.240 Yeah.
01:01:24.020 So Dilber's company
01:01:25.120 will be implementing
01:01:26.520 both DEI
01:01:27.940 and ESG
01:01:28.800 and things
01:01:30.780 are going
01:01:31.080 to get complicated.
01:01:33.340 Things are going
01:01:33.900 to get complicated.
01:01:35.340 And at Dilber's company
01:01:36.340 they will change
01:01:37.200 the letters
01:01:37.660 from DEI
01:01:38.480 to D-I-E
01:01:39.300 and you can
01:01:41.320 expect that.
01:01:47.300 There's
01:01:47.820 fascinating reports
01:01:49.140 coming out
01:01:49.800 that when
01:01:51.120 Trump was president
01:01:51.960 and he was trying
01:01:52.560 to get a Middle East
01:01:53.220 peace deal
01:01:53.760 that would include
01:01:55.040 Israel and the
01:01:55.920 Palestinians
01:01:56.380 which is not
01:01:57.720 what was included
01:01:58.500 with the Abraham Accords.
01:02:00.340 So the Abraham Accords
01:02:01.500 was the best
01:02:03.500 they could do
01:02:04.200 given that Israel
01:02:05.860 and the Palestinians
01:02:06.640 could not
01:02:07.840 make a deal.
01:02:09.500 And Trump
01:02:10.020 is saying now
01:02:10.680 apparently that
01:02:11.340 Netanyahu
01:02:11.940 never wanted peace
01:02:13.500 with the Palestinians
01:02:14.260 and he said
01:02:14.920 quote
01:02:15.260 I think he just
01:02:16.520 tapped us along
01:02:17.540 just tap tap tap
01:02:19.220 you know
01:02:19.600 I love the way
01:02:21.000 he talks
01:02:21.480 he just tapped
01:02:22.640 us along.
01:02:23.760 Like Trump
01:02:24.100 actually like
01:02:24.660 created a whole
01:02:25.440 new expression
01:02:26.160 and when you
01:02:27.400 heard it
01:02:27.740 you thought
01:02:28.120 to yourself
01:02:28.540 okay that works
01:02:29.620 I will now
01:02:30.880 incorporate that
01:02:31.660 in the way I speak
01:02:32.480 for the rest
01:02:32.940 of my life
01:02:33.540 how the hell
01:02:35.020 does he do that?
01:02:36.880 Have you ever
01:02:37.460 heard that
01:02:37.880 he just tapped
01:02:39.520 us along
01:02:40.040 tap tap tap
01:02:41.120 nobody's ever
01:02:42.420 said that right?
01:02:44.080 Nobody's ever
01:02:44.860 said those words
01:02:45.740 I don't think
01:02:46.500 I've never heard it
01:02:47.900 but as soon
01:02:49.580 as you hear it
01:02:50.420 don't you say
01:02:51.980 to yourself
01:02:52.380 I'm probably
01:02:52.840 going to use that
01:02:53.580 he was just
01:02:54.760 tapping me along
01:02:55.560 tap tap tap
01:02:56.560 right?
01:02:58.260 Now
01:02:58.780 this is the
01:03:00.440 sort of observation
01:03:01.380 that is what
01:03:03.540 I brought
01:03:04.000 to the
01:03:04.520 the politics
01:03:05.400 this
01:03:06.980 this level
01:03:07.780 of skill
01:03:08.380 which you see
01:03:09.080 in just this
01:03:09.600 minor little
01:03:10.240 story
01:03:10.700 right?
01:03:11.600 It's a minor
01:03:12.060 little story
01:03:12.740 it's a minor
01:03:13.300 little quote
01:03:13.920 but you can
01:03:14.840 see in this
01:03:15.520 genius
01:03:16.300 right?
01:03:18.220 I know
01:03:18.840 if you're
01:03:19.420 anti-Trump
01:03:20.060 or that just
01:03:20.520 hurts to hear
01:03:21.200 it
01:03:21.420 but his
01:03:22.480 linguistic
01:03:23.240 and his
01:03:24.560 communication
01:03:25.100 talents
01:03:25.980 are just
01:03:27.600 off the
01:03:28.280 fucking
01:03:28.540 chart
01:03:28.880 like I
01:03:30.480 can't do
01:03:30.880 this
01:03:31.240 I
01:03:31.960 couldn't
01:03:32.200 do
01:03:32.340 that
01:03:32.640 and you
01:03:33.500 know
01:03:33.600 I do
01:03:33.860 communication
01:03:34.480 for a
01:03:34.860 living
01:03:35.080 like
01:03:36.320 he's
01:03:36.840 so
01:03:37.120 good
01:03:37.540 it's
01:03:38.380 crazy
01:03:39.000 like it
01:03:39.660 actually
01:03:39.960 is
01:03:40.200 genius
01:03:40.540 level
01:03:41.040 it is
01:03:41.800 actually
01:03:42.120 genius
01:03:42.540 level
01:03:42.880 and he'll
01:03:43.800 I don't
01:03:44.140 know if
01:03:44.360 he'll ever
01:03:44.640 get credit
01:03:45.080 for it
01:03:45.560 I think
01:03:46.620 it will
01:03:46.840 be
01:03:47.020 completely
01:03:47.480 misunderstood
01:03:48.120 forever
01:03:49.280 probably
01:03:49.760 but
01:03:51.680 do you
01:03:53.320 remember
01:03:53.640 what my
01:03:54.220 opinion
01:03:54.580 was
01:03:55.020 about
01:03:55.380 Israel
01:03:55.900 and
01:03:56.540 the
01:03:56.920 Palestinians
01:03:57.460 making
01:03:57.920 peace
01:03:58.400 because
01:03:59.580 it's
01:03:59.800 better if
01:04:00.180 you remember
01:04:00.740 it
01:04:01.020 than if
01:04:01.640 I tell
01:04:01.980 you
01:04:02.160 what did
01:04:03.200 I say
01:04:03.740 about
01:04:04.100 Israel
01:04:04.640 and their
01:04:05.780 desire to
01:04:06.560 make peace
01:04:07.120 with the
01:04:07.460 Palestinians
01:04:07.980 now before
01:04:09.920 I knew
01:04:10.380 what Trump
01:04:10.940 said about
01:04:11.420 Netanyahu
01:04:11.920 what did
01:04:12.360 I say
01:04:12.800 they
01:04:15.680 neither of
01:04:16.380 them want
01:04:16.740 peace
01:04:17.160 that's the
01:04:19.100 last thing
01:04:19.480 they want
01:04:19.900 because the
01:04:20.920 Palestinians
01:04:21.400 need the
01:04:22.100 conflict
01:04:22.620 their
01:04:23.200 leaders
01:04:23.580 do
01:04:23.880 because
01:04:24.920 the
01:04:25.100 leaders
01:04:25.380 exist
01:04:25.960 in large
01:04:27.580 part
01:04:27.920 because
01:04:28.680 there's
01:04:29.100 a
01:04:29.220 conflict
01:04:29.680 they're
01:04:30.820 leaders
01:04:31.480 of that
01:04:32.040 conflict
01:04:32.500 and then
01:04:33.900 Israel
01:04:34.380 the longer
01:04:35.920 Israel
01:04:36.400 keeps the
01:04:36.920 conflict
01:04:37.300 going
01:04:37.720 the more
01:04:38.740 they can
01:04:39.120 build up
01:04:39.540 their
01:04:39.680 military
01:04:40.140 the more
01:04:40.600 they can
01:04:41.060 respond
01:04:41.720 aggressively
01:04:42.320 the more
01:04:43.320 they can
01:04:43.720 gain
01:04:44.060 territory
01:04:44.620 correct me
01:04:46.160 if I'm
01:04:46.440 wrong
01:04:46.680 but Israel
01:04:48.020 just keeps
01:04:48.560 gaining
01:04:48.960 territory
01:04:49.480 right
01:04:49.820 so if
01:04:51.320 you were
01:04:51.560 Netanyahu
01:04:52.100 would you
01:04:52.600 make peace
01:04:53.140 with the
01:04:53.480 Palestinians
01:04:53.960 I wouldn't
01:04:56.180 I would
01:04:57.820 have done
01:04:58.100 what Netanyahu
01:04:58.820 did
01:04:59.140 I would
01:05:00.120 have acted
01:05:00.780 like I
01:05:01.260 was interested
01:05:01.820 and then I
01:05:03.600 would have
01:05:03.860 said tap
01:05:04.400 tap tap
01:05:05.000 just going to
01:05:06.180 tap you down
01:05:06.680 the line a
01:05:07.180 little bit
01:05:07.500 so would
01:05:10.240 you give me
01:05:10.800 credit
01:05:11.200 so in the
01:05:12.480 same context
01:05:13.160 of me not
01:05:14.000 being an
01:05:14.400 expert on
01:05:14.900 anything
01:05:15.260 remember
01:05:15.980 and I
01:05:16.940 give you
01:05:17.440 that I'm
01:05:17.840 not an
01:05:18.100 expert on
01:05:18.600 these things
01:05:19.100 but every
01:05:20.480 now and
01:05:20.780 then you
01:05:21.100 can see
01:05:21.400 like a
01:05:21.860 little
01:05:22.080 there's
01:05:22.540 like a
01:05:22.780 little
01:05:22.920 keyhole
01:05:23.420 that I
01:05:23.740 can see
01:05:24.140 through
01:05:24.400 that I
01:05:26.040 feel like
01:05:26.420 I add
01:05:26.700 some value
01:05:27.260 just in
01:05:27.660 that little
01:05:27.960 keyhole
01:05:28.440 and in
01:05:29.220 this case
01:05:29.680 the keyhole
01:05:30.320 was why
01:05:31.560 in the
01:05:31.800 world would
01:05:32.220 Netanyahu
01:05:32.640 want peace
01:05:33.340 everything argues
01:05:35.340 for keeping it
01:05:36.000 the way it is
01:05:36.640 and now we
01:05:38.140 have confirmation
01:05:38.840 that that's
01:05:39.420 exactly what
01:05:40.060 he thought
01:05:40.460 or at least
01:05:41.420 Trump's version
01:05:42.440 of what
01:05:42.840 Netanyahu
01:05:43.280 thinks
01:05:43.720 matches what
01:05:44.820 I just
01:05:45.100 said
01:05:45.320 that's all
01:05:45.920 we know
01:05:46.160 for sure
01:05:46.520 so
01:05:48.160 was there
01:05:50.400 anybody else
01:05:51.060 who told
01:05:51.500 you until
01:05:52.040 Trump told
01:05:52.600 you
01:05:52.760 any other
01:05:54.260 public figure
01:05:54.900 tell you
01:05:55.380 that Israel
01:05:56.260 and the
01:05:56.860 Palestinians
01:05:57.320 are not
01:05:57.820 interested in
01:05:58.460 peace
01:05:58.760 they both
01:05:59.380 have their
01:05:59.700 best situation
01:06:00.420 right now
01:06:00.880 I'm the
01:06:02.260 only person
01:06:02.980 who told you
01:06:04.200 that
01:06:04.460 am I wrong
01:06:05.320 disagree with
01:06:07.580 me
01:06:07.860 name one
01:06:08.620 other person
01:06:09.140 who told you
01:06:09.620 that Israel
01:06:10.060 doesn't really
01:06:10.580 want peace
01:06:10.980 or Netanyahu
01:06:11.600 doesn't really
01:06:12.620 want peace
01:06:13.140 I can't think
01:06:14.680 of anybody else
01:06:15.280 who told you
01:06:15.660 that
01:06:15.860 and now you
01:06:16.940 have it right
01:06:17.380 from Trump
01:06:18.320 who was pretty
01:06:19.060 close to it
01:06:19.660 I think
01:06:20.920 I would
01:06:21.220 trust
01:06:22.160 Trump's
01:06:24.280 analysis
01:06:25.480 of this
01:06:26.160 all right
01:06:31.280 here's an
01:06:31.620 interesting
01:06:32.140 persuasion
01:06:32.920 question
01:06:33.340 I'm going
01:06:34.460 to put
01:06:35.160 the question
01:06:35.580 to you
01:06:36.000 and then
01:06:37.160 I'm going
01:06:37.460 to give
01:06:37.880 you my
01:06:38.160 opinion
01:06:38.460 I saw
01:06:40.620 an opinion
01:06:41.000 today
01:06:41.440 and I
01:06:42.100 will not
01:06:42.400 tell you
01:06:42.720 where it
01:06:43.080 came from
01:06:43.460 so you
01:06:43.780 will not
01:06:44.060 be biased
01:06:44.560 by the
01:06:45.060 source
01:06:45.340 so the
01:06:46.420 opinion
01:06:46.680 is this
01:06:47.280 that Trump
01:06:48.620 should not
01:06:49.400 brag about
01:06:51.240 his warp
01:06:52.420 speed success
01:06:53.580 because it
01:06:54.580 will hurt
01:06:55.000 him in the
01:06:55.500 election
01:06:55.820 do you
01:06:58.140 agree or
01:06:58.620 disagree
01:06:59.220 the opinion
01:07:00.720 is that
01:07:01.760 Trump should
01:07:02.240 not say
01:07:03.100 that he was
01:07:03.740 behind the
01:07:04.360 vaccinations
01:07:04.940 or not make
01:07:06.340 a big deal
01:07:06.780 about it
01:07:07.320 because doing
01:07:08.300 so would
01:07:08.860 hurt him
01:07:09.420 in the
01:07:10.240 election
01:07:10.560 agree or
01:07:11.960 disagree
01:07:12.280 okay
01:07:14.700 I've seen
01:07:15.540 more people
01:07:16.360 are saying
01:07:16.760 agree
01:07:17.140 but a
01:07:19.240 few are
01:07:19.500 disagree
01:07:19.840 agree
01:07:21.640 interesting
01:07:22.460 okay you're
01:07:23.660 all wrong
01:07:24.200 you're all
01:07:25.200 wrong
01:07:25.540 who say
01:07:26.620 it would
01:07:26.860 hurt him
01:07:27.320 now part
01:07:30.300 of the
01:07:30.460 argument is
01:07:30.980 that people
01:07:31.440 will conflate
01:07:32.400 project war
01:07:34.880 speed they
01:07:35.440 will conflate
01:07:36.080 it with the
01:07:36.560 lockdowns
01:07:37.360 do you think
01:07:37.860 that's true
01:07:38.300 will people
01:07:40.020 think that
01:07:40.840 Trump is
01:07:41.600 part of the
01:07:42.160 lockdown
01:07:42.560 because he
01:07:45.520 would be
01:07:45.980 embracing
01:07:46.480 the warp
01:07:47.840 speed
01:07:48.120 project
01:07:48.660 do people
01:07:49.520 conflate
01:07:49.960 them in
01:07:50.300 their minds
01:07:50.720 you think
01:07:51.080 some might
01:07:53.640 I think
01:07:55.220 most wouldn't
01:07:55.980 but some
01:07:56.360 might
01:07:56.640 yeah
01:07:57.340 all right
01:07:58.800 here's why
01:07:59.760 it's not
01:08:00.180 going to
01:08:00.400 hurt him
01:08:00.760 and he
01:08:01.200 should
01:08:01.440 absolutely
01:08:02.160 say that
01:08:03.860 he was
01:08:04.160 behind warp
01:08:04.820 speed
01:08:05.100 here's why
01:08:06.520 it won't
01:08:06.800 hurt him
01:08:07.200 because he's
01:08:09.040 going to be
01:08:09.420 competing against
01:08:10.200 the democrat
01:08:10.740 that's it
01:08:13.840 if you
01:08:14.820 looked at
01:08:15.200 Trump in
01:08:15.740 isolation
01:08:16.340 I'd probably
01:08:17.460 agree with
01:08:18.000 you
01:08:18.160 that his
01:08:19.600 base would
01:08:20.320 not be
01:08:20.940 real big
01:08:21.860 on the
01:08:22.120 vaccinations
01:08:22.620 but he's
01:08:24.240 going to be
01:08:24.480 running against
01:08:24.980 the democrat
01:08:25.420 if you have
01:08:27.500 to choose
01:08:28.140 there's no
01:08:29.060 question
01:08:29.480 right
01:08:30.320 so that
01:08:31.280 that part of
01:08:32.100 the persuasion
01:08:32.760 even though
01:08:33.280 you're right
01:08:33.960 that that's a
01:08:35.220 mark against
01:08:35.800 him
01:08:35.980 is only a
01:08:36.920 mark against
01:08:37.520 him in
01:08:37.880 isolation
01:08:38.420 as soon
01:08:39.800 as you
01:08:40.040 compare him
01:08:40.480 to a
01:08:40.700 democrat
01:08:41.020 you're
01:08:41.300 okay
01:08:41.640 he's
01:08:41.860 better
01:08:42.040 than
01:08:42.240 democrats
01:08:42.820 on the
01:08:44.800 lockdowns
01:08:45.360 especially
01:08:45.740 yeah
01:08:47.620 do you
01:08:47.940 think that
01:08:48.420 Trump would
01:08:49.020 be pushing
01:08:49.600 boosters
01:08:50.540 for
01:08:51.100 omicron
01:08:51.640 I doubt
01:08:53.360 it
01:08:53.620 and also
01:08:55.200 you know
01:08:57.240 he
01:08:57.460 Trump was
01:08:58.520 with the
01:08:59.080 mainstream
01:08:59.540 of science
01:09:00.680 at the
01:09:01.400 you know
01:09:01.780 when he
01:09:02.120 made those
01:09:02.540 decisions
01:09:03.060 all right
01:09:05.920 if you
01:09:09.300 had to
01:09:09.620 guess
01:09:09.980 would
01:09:11.740 Trump
01:09:12.340 win
01:09:12.640 election
01:09:13.040 if he
01:09:14.140 ran
01:09:14.400 today
01:09:14.800 let's
01:09:16.080 say
01:09:16.240 against
01:09:16.560 Biden
01:09:16.980 would
01:09:18.820 Trump
01:09:19.380 win
01:09:19.600 re-election
01:09:20.100 against
01:09:20.560 Biden
01:09:21.000 if he
01:09:21.640 ran
01:09:21.940 today
01:09:22.580 I'm
01:09:26.080 seeing
01:09:26.320 more
01:09:26.560 yeses
01:09:26.980 than
01:09:27.160 noes
01:09:27.740 yeah
01:09:32.680 and I
01:09:34.600 know you
01:09:34.880 want to
01:09:35.100 tell me
01:09:35.380 that
01:09:35.620 democrats
01:09:36.560 steal
01:09:36.840 elections
01:09:37.320 I get
01:09:37.700 it
01:09:38.020 all right
01:09:40.060 so
01:09:41.140 you're
01:09:43.480 here to
01:09:43.760 hear me
01:09:44.100 not
01:09:44.380 the
01:09:44.960 other
01:09:45.700 people
01:09:46.000 I
01:09:49.060 think
01:09:49.300 he
01:09:49.440 could
01:09:49.600 win
01:09:49.880 and
01:09:52.000 I
01:09:52.980 think
01:09:53.200 that
01:09:53.380 what
01:09:53.560 would
01:09:53.760 prevent
01:09:54.140 him
01:09:54.540 would
01:09:54.880 be
01:09:55.060 dirty
01:09:55.420 tricks
01:09:55.960 but
01:09:57.160 the
01:09:57.360 dirty
01:09:57.640 tricks
01:09:58.000 are
01:09:58.320 going
01:09:58.800 to
01:09:58.860 be
01:09:59.000 really
01:09:59.280 good
01:09:59.780 dirty
01:10:00.100 tricks
01:10:00.580 so
01:10:02.260 maybe
01:10:02.640 one
01:10:02.900 of
01:10:03.020 these
01:10:03.280 legal
01:10:03.760 challenges
01:10:04.920 makes
01:10:06.060 a dent
01:10:06.580 maybe
01:10:07.280 something
01:10:07.620 else
01:10:07.920 but
01:10:08.680 can
01:10:09.320 you
01:10:09.460 imagine
01:10:09.820 what
01:10:10.080 kind
01:10:10.360 of
01:10:10.540 hoax
01:10:10.900 the
01:10:11.120 democrats
01:10:11.600 have
01:10:11.840 waiting
01:10:12.220 that we
01:10:12.520 haven't
01:10:12.740 seen
01:10:12.960 yet
01:10:13.220 because
01:10:14.380 you know
01:10:14.660 they haven't
01:10:15.080 emptied
01:10:15.440 the clip
01:10:17.800 is that
01:10:18.500 is that
01:10:18.520 the way
01:10:19.020 you like
01:10:19.260 to say
01:10:19.540 it
01:10:19.740 they've
01:10:20.860 not
01:10:21.060 emptied
01:10:21.520 yeah
01:10:23.900 they got
01:10:25.320 plenty
01:10:25.720 of the
01:10:26.140 magazine
01:10:26.520 they have
01:10:26.860 not
01:10:27.020 emptied
01:10:27.380 the
01:10:27.580 magazine
01:10:27.940 thank
01:10:28.420 you
01:10:28.600 all
01:10:30.380 right
01:10:30.540 they have
01:10:31.840 not
01:10:32.040 emptied
01:10:32.320 the
01:10:32.480 magazine
01:10:32.840 they're
01:10:33.540 probably
01:10:34.060 saving
01:10:34.580 a big
01:10:34.960 one
01:10:35.240 don't
01:10:35.800 you
01:10:35.940 think
01:10:36.200 they've
01:10:36.680 not
01:10:36.840 emptied
01:10:37.160 the
01:10:37.360 quiver
01:10:37.640 either
01:10:37.980 quiver
01:10:39.940 quiver
01:10:43.660 is a
01:10:44.020 funny
01:10:44.200 word
01:10:44.540 yeah
01:10:48.360 well
01:10:49.400 I think
01:10:49.880 that there
01:10:50.280 is a
01:10:50.740 hoax
01:10:51.760 that
01:10:53.160 here's
01:10:53.900 what I
01:10:54.120 think
01:10:54.300 I think
01:10:54.720 there's
01:10:54.940 a hoax
01:10:55.340 that's
01:10:55.620 so
01:10:55.800 big
01:10:56.240 that
01:10:57.760 they
01:10:57.940 think
01:10:58.220 that
01:10:58.400 would
01:10:58.520 be
01:10:58.660 like
01:10:58.920 their
01:10:59.200 Hail
01:11:00.040 Mary
01:11:00.320 if
01:11:00.560 they
01:11:00.680 need
01:11:00.860 to
01:11:00.980 use
01:11:01.200 it
01:11:01.420 but
01:11:01.940 I'll
01:11:02.100 bet
01:11:02.280 it's
01:11:02.520 also
01:11:02.840 so
01:11:03.140 big
01:11:03.520 and
01:11:03.780 also
01:11:04.100 ridiculous
01:11:04.740 I'll
01:11:06.240 bet
01:11:06.400 you
01:11:06.500 the
01:11:06.700 next
01:11:06.960 let's
01:11:08.460 say
01:11:08.660 the
01:11:09.200 mega
01:11:09.840 mega
01:11:10.220 hoax
01:11:10.780 you know
01:11:12.140 the
01:11:12.300 next
01:11:12.800 mega
01:11:13.340 mega
01:11:13.800 hoax
01:11:14.760 is
01:11:15.640 going
01:11:15.780 to
01:11:15.820 be
01:11:15.940 so
01:11:16.200 big
01:11:16.540 that
01:11:16.720 when
01:11:16.860 you
01:11:17.000 see
01:11:17.200 it
01:11:17.320 you'll
01:11:17.520 laugh
01:11:17.900 now
01:11:19.000 I
01:11:19.180 thought
01:11:19.400 people
01:11:19.720 would
01:11:19.940 laugh
01:11:20.280 when
01:11:21.120 Trump
01:11:21.520 was
01:11:21.720 accused
01:11:22.240 of
01:11:22.500 having
01:11:22.780 nuclear
01:11:23.240 secrets
01:11:23.760 at
01:11:24.040 Mar-a-Lago
01:11:24.560 so he
01:11:24.980 could
01:11:25.120 sell
01:11:25.340 them
01:11:25.540 I
01:11:26.700 thought
01:11:26.900 people
01:11:27.200 would
01:11:27.460 know
01:11:27.760 that
01:11:27.940 that
01:11:28.100 was
01:11:28.320 just
01:11:28.540 one
01:11:28.780 you
01:11:28.920 could
01:11:29.060 laugh
01:11:29.360 at
01:11:29.620 but
01:11:30.640 people
01:11:31.120 thought
01:11:31.380 that
01:11:31.540 was
01:11:31.680 serious
01:11:32.080 and
01:11:34.740 they
01:11:34.900 still
01:11:35.180 do
01:11:35.460 and
01:11:36.260 I
01:11:36.380 thought
01:11:36.580 okay
01:11:37.120 was
01:11:37.820 that
01:11:38.260 a
01:11:38.380 little
01:11:38.500 bit
01:11:38.660 on
01:11:38.820 the
01:11:38.960 nose
01:11:39.380 seriously
01:11:40.920 you
01:11:41.660 can't
01:11:42.120 spot
01:11:42.380 that
01:11:42.620 one
01:11:42.860 you
01:11:45.020 haven't
01:11:45.220 learned
01:11:46.200 how to
01:11:46.540 spot
01:11:46.860 hoaxes
01:11:47.300 well
01:11:47.480 enough
01:11:47.700 to
01:11:47.840 spot
01:11:48.060 that
01:11:48.240 one
01:11:48.420 nuclear
01:11:49.320 secrets
01:11:49.820 at
01:11:49.980 Mar-a-Lago
01:11:50.440 that he's
01:11:50.840 going to
01:11:51.040 sell to
01:11:51.420 adversaries
01:11:53.400 no
01:11:54.080 nobody
01:11:54.920 saw
01:11:56.000 the
01:11:56.280 warning
01:11:56.840 signs
01:11:57.280 that
01:11:57.460 that
01:11:57.600 was
01:11:57.780 a
01:11:58.300 hoax
01:11:58.580 you
01:12:00.540 laughed
01:12:00.940 I
01:12:02.260 literally
01:12:02.820 laughed
01:12:03.280 when I
01:12:03.560 saw
01:12:03.740 it
01:12:04.000 I
01:12:04.680 literally
01:12:05.120 laughed
01:12:05.720 okay
01:12:06.780 that's
01:12:07.660 so over
01:12:08.020 the
01:12:08.160 top
01:12:08.380 but
01:12:09.020 it
01:12:09.260 wasn't
01:12:09.540 big
01:12:09.740 enough
01:12:10.000 was
01:12:10.220 it
01:12:10.420 as
01:12:11.380 ridiculous
01:12:11.800 as
01:12:12.140 it
01:12:12.300 was
01:12:12.620 it
01:12:13.080 looks
01:12:13.240 like
01:12:13.400 it
01:12:13.500 made
01:12:13.680 no
01:12:13.900 difference
01:12:14.260 in
01:12:14.400 the
01:12:14.520 polls
01:12:14.820 so
01:12:16.020 they're
01:12:16.440 going
01:12:16.600 to
01:12:16.700 have
01:12:16.860 to
01:12:17.000 go
01:12:17.160 bigger
01:12:17.640 than
01:12:19.380 Trump
01:12:19.760 is
01:12:20.020 selling
01:12:20.420 nuclear
01:12:21.000 secrets
01:12:21.640 what
01:12:24.200 the
01:12:24.700 hell
01:12:24.940 would
01:12:25.140 that
01:12:25.320 be
01:12:25.640 like
01:12:26.840 what's
01:12:27.100 bigger
01:12:27.340 than
01:12:27.580 that
01:12:27.880 and
01:12:29.880 they
01:12:30.140 can't
01:12:30.460 go
01:12:30.700 I
01:12:31.200 don't
01:12:31.340 know
01:12:31.460 if
01:12:31.560 they
01:12:31.680 can
01:12:31.840 go
01:12:32.040 for
01:12:32.340 you
01:12:32.960 know
01:12:33.120 Trump
01:12:33.700 is
01:12:33.860 trying
01:12:34.020 to
01:12:34.160 make
01:12:34.360 money
01:12:34.620 from
01:12:34.860 China
01:12:35.260 but
01:12:36.540 I
01:12:36.660 feel
01:12:36.820 like
01:12:36.980 they'd
01:12:37.200 have
01:12:37.440 to
01:12:37.660 you
01:12:38.400 know
01:12:38.540 why
01:12:38.840 oh
01:12:39.720 I've
01:12:39.960 got
01:12:40.160 it
01:12:40.400 yeah
01:12:41.060 the
01:12:41.340 hoax
01:12:41.560 is
01:12:41.720 going
01:12:41.860 to
01:12:41.920 be
01:12:42.260 Trump's
01:12:42.900 making
01:12:43.160 money
01:12:43.400 from
01:12:43.640 China
01:12:43.980 do
01:12:44.780 you
01:12:44.860 know
01:12:45.000 why
01:12:45.300 why
01:12:46.680 why
01:12:47.780 does
01:12:48.000 the
01:12:48.160 hoax
01:12:48.420 have
01:12:48.720 to
01:12:48.860 be
01:12:49.140 Trump's
01:12:50.200 making
01:12:50.440 money
01:12:50.700 from
01:12:50.920 China
01:12:51.240 why
01:12:52.180 does
01:12:52.360 it
01:12:52.500 have
01:12:52.760 to
01:12:52.900 be
01:12:53.060 that
01:12:53.340 number
01:12:57.440 one
01:12:57.800 we're
01:12:58.600 at war
01:12:59.020 with
01:12:59.280 Russia
01:12:59.640 and
01:13:00.100 people
01:13:00.360 don't
01:13:00.660 think
01:13:00.920 Russia
01:13:01.260 would
01:13:01.460 necessarily
01:13:01.960 be
01:13:02.660 playing
01:13:03.740 with
01:13:04.060 Trump
01:13:04.340 that
01:13:04.600 way
01:13:04.900 but
01:13:06.420 you
01:13:06.580 need
01:13:06.760 a
01:13:06.900 country
01:13:07.200 where
01:13:07.460 you
01:13:07.620 can't
01:13:07.940 check
01:13:08.180 on
01:13:08.340 their
01:13:08.520 end
01:13:08.780 and
01:13:09.860 if
01:13:10.000 we
01:13:10.140 blame
01:13:10.400 China
01:13:10.720 for
01:13:10.940 something
01:13:11.320 you
01:13:12.140 can't
01:13:12.420 check
01:13:12.780 because
01:13:13.820 you
01:13:13.920 can't
01:13:14.140 check
01:13:14.360 on
01:13:14.520 anything
01:13:14.760 in
01:13:14.960 China
01:13:15.240 and
01:13:16.380 they
01:13:16.500 also
01:13:16.800 need
01:13:17.100 to
01:13:17.300 project
01:13:17.780 so
01:13:19.200 because
01:13:20.000 Biden
01:13:20.460 is
01:13:20.840 credibly
01:13:21.500 accused
01:13:22.100 of
01:13:22.440 dealing
01:13:23.160 with
01:13:23.880 his
01:13:24.080 son
01:13:24.360 illegitimately
01:13:26.240 with
01:13:26.580 China
01:13:26.880 they
01:13:27.900 have
01:13:28.140 to
01:13:28.300 project
01:13:28.680 that
01:13:29.060 so
01:13:30.340 the
01:13:30.540 most
01:13:30.940 likely
01:13:31.480 fake
01:13:32.200 or the
01:13:33.120 most
01:13:33.340 likely
01:13:33.680 hoax
01:13:34.180 that
01:13:34.980 you'll
01:13:35.140 see
01:13:35.340 before
01:13:35.700 the
01:13:35.900 2024
01:13:36.320 election
01:13:36.960 is a
01:13:38.120 hoax
01:13:38.420 that
01:13:38.780 Trump
01:13:39.480 is
01:13:40.020 making
01:13:40.360 money
01:13:40.660 from
01:13:40.920 China
01:13:41.360 in
01:13:41.760 ways
01:13:42.040 that
01:13:42.360 will
01:13:42.980 sound
01:13:43.280 ridiculous
01:13:43.800 does that
01:13:46.800 sound right
01:13:47.200 I think
01:13:48.800 that's where
01:13:49.220 they'll go
01:13:49.640 they're going to go with
01:13:50.300 the China hoax
01:13:51.080 this time
01:13:51.580 I think so
01:13:53.120 yeah
01:14:01.600 they tried
01:14:02.040 to tie
01:14:02.420 him to
01:14:02.680 China
01:14:02.940 last
01:14:03.360 time
01:14:03.660 but
01:14:03.900 I feel
01:14:05.400 like
01:14:05.600 the
01:14:05.840 Russia
01:14:06.440 allegations
01:14:07.580 and
01:14:08.100 Trump
01:14:08.420 if
01:14:09.520 there
01:14:09.660 were
01:14:10.160 anything
01:14:10.620 there
01:14:11.100 we
01:14:13.520 would
01:14:13.700 know
01:14:13.960 so
01:14:22.460 Trump
01:14:22.840 genocide
01:14:23.420 the
01:14:23.740 vax
01:14:24.060 deaths
01:14:24.380 are his
01:14:24.920 fault
01:14:25.240 not
01:14:25.500 pharma
01:14:25.880 somebody
01:14:26.320 says
01:14:26.720 maybe
01:14:31.020 North
01:14:34.140 Korea
01:14:34.500 hmm
01:14:35.160 all right
01:14:41.720 yeah
01:14:43.100 the
01:14:43.620 Democrats
01:14:44.140 have
01:14:44.480 done a
01:14:44.960 good job
01:14:45.320 of accusing
01:14:46.040 Republicans
01:14:47.380 of what
01:14:47.940 Democrats
01:14:48.440 do
01:14:48.700 let me
01:14:50.240 ask you
01:14:50.540 this
01:14:50.760 do you
01:14:51.120 think
01:14:51.260 I'm
01:14:51.440 going to
01:14:51.680 get
01:14:52.180 canceled
01:14:52.620 for my
01:14:53.260 earlier
01:14:54.720 statements
01:14:55.500 what do
01:14:58.260 you think
01:14:58.540 see
01:15:02.500 here's
01:15:04.260 I get
01:15:05.140 yeses
01:15:05.560 and nos
01:15:05.980 here's
01:15:07.700 what's
01:15:08.020 dangerous
01:15:08.400 about me
01:15:09.080 I'm
01:15:12.560 definitely
01:15:12.880 an energy
01:15:13.420 monster
01:15:13.960 definitely
01:15:15.200 an energy
01:15:15.680 monster
01:15:16.120 and I
01:15:17.300 don't know
01:15:17.600 how much
01:15:17.960 energy
01:15:18.300 anybody
01:15:18.640 wants to
01:15:19.020 push in
01:15:19.320 my
01:15:19.460 direction
01:15:19.820 so it
01:15:21.400 might be
01:15:21.620 a little
01:15:21.820 dangerous
01:15:22.340 to engage
01:15:23.840 me in
01:15:24.160 this
01:15:24.360 topic
01:15:25.520 because I
01:15:27.520 could take
01:15:28.120 the whole
01:15:28.420 topic
01:15:28.700 down
01:15:29.000 you don't
01:15:31.720 want to
01:15:31.960 give me
01:15:32.220 attention
01:15:32.600 on this
01:15:33.020 topic
01:15:33.460 because I
01:15:34.780 could own
01:15:35.140 this topic
01:15:35.700 I could
01:15:36.840 totally own
01:15:37.380 it
01:15:37.920 yeah Memphis
01:15:42.980 is looking
01:15:44.280 like it's
01:15:44.660 falling apart
01:15:45.260 micro lesson
01:15:48.460 on how to
01:15:48.840 be an
01:15:49.080 energy
01:15:49.340 monster
01:15:49.820 I don't
01:15:52.980 know if I
01:15:53.280 can
01:15:53.420 microtize
01:15:54.080 that but
01:15:54.440 I'll tell
01:15:55.040 you the
01:15:55.360 basic
01:15:55.800 idea
01:15:56.200 the basics
01:15:58.120 of being
01:15:58.580 an energy
01:15:59.020 monster
01:15:59.380 is you
01:15:59.720 have to
01:15:59.960 be
01:16:00.260 first of
01:16:01.700 all willing
01:16:02.160 to take
01:16:02.640 a punch
01:16:03.120 right
01:16:04.060 so you
01:16:04.680 got to
01:16:04.860 be able
01:16:05.080 to take
01:16:05.400 punches
01:16:05.760 to your
01:16:06.660 ego
01:16:07.120 to your
01:16:07.880 career
01:16:08.320 so you
01:16:08.840 have to
01:16:09.060 be in
01:16:09.280 a position
01:16:09.680 where you
01:16:10.260 can't lose
01:16:11.180 money
01:16:11.560 by being
01:16:12.640 attacked
01:16:13.100 or if you
01:16:14.260 do lose
01:16:14.620 money it's
01:16:15.060 not money
01:16:15.440 you care
01:16:15.740 about
01:16:16.000 so
01:16:17.440 you have
01:16:18.880 to be
01:16:19.060 invulnerable
01:16:19.720 that's the
01:16:21.420 first part
01:16:21.920 the second
01:16:23.140 part
01:16:23.500 is you
01:16:23.940 need to
01:16:24.180 be in
01:16:24.500 some
01:16:24.700 kind
01:16:24.940 of
01:16:25.080 public
01:16:25.680 domain
01:16:26.280 because
01:16:27.060 that's
01:16:27.260 the only
01:16:27.500 place
01:16:27.800 energy
01:16:28.160 can be
01:16:29.020 used
01:16:30.520 productively
01:16:31.220 so you
01:16:33.060 want to
01:16:33.240 be in
01:16:33.480 a public
01:16:33.960 speaking
01:16:34.460 domain
01:16:34.960 where if
01:16:36.020 you get
01:16:36.340 attention
01:16:36.740 you get
01:16:37.160 more followers
01:16:37.780 and it
01:16:38.700 works in
01:16:39.140 your favor
01:16:39.560 so that's
01:16:41.620 basically it
01:16:42.240 I don't
01:16:42.960 think you
01:16:43.560 want to be
01:16:43.860 an energy
01:16:44.320 monster if
01:16:45.120 you're working
01:16:45.520 in a
01:16:45.820 cubicle
01:16:46.220 you don't
01:16:48.720 want to bring
01:16:49.400 energy to
01:16:49.940 your cubicle
01:16:50.580 just keep
01:16:51.780 your head
01:16:52.020 down
01:16:52.280 work on
01:16:53.660 developing
01:16:55.080 your second
01:16:55.820 career and
01:16:56.480 just keep
01:16:56.840 your head
01:16:57.080 down
01:16:57.300 so you
01:16:58.580 can't be
01:16:58.880 an energy
01:16:59.240 monster unless
01:17:00.120 you're going
01:17:00.460 to be in
01:17:00.760 front of the
01:17:01.280 parade
01:17:01.580 if you're
01:17:02.300 going to be
01:17:02.540 in the
01:17:02.900 parade
01:17:03.180 don't try
01:17:04.260 if you're
01:17:05.840 dumb enough
01:17:06.240 to try to
01:17:06.700 lead the
01:17:07.120 parade
01:17:07.420 then try to
01:17:09.020 be an energy
01:17:09.500 monster if
01:17:10.080 you can
01:17:10.380 energy
01:17:12.180 monster is
01:17:12.740 somebody who
01:17:13.080 benefits from
01:17:13.800 negative
01:17:14.420 negative energy
01:17:16.180 and positive
01:17:16.780 energy
01:17:17.140 doesn't matter
01:17:17.960 it's all
01:17:18.280 energy
01:17:18.640 only bad
01:17:26.460 publicity is
01:17:27.180 your obituary
01:17:27.860 is it
01:17:28.500 is it
01:17:32.460 yeah
01:17:33.780 Great Britain
01:17:34.740 is ending
01:17:35.280 the fracking
01:17:36.280 ban
01:17:36.840 did I mention
01:17:38.920 the Bannon
01:17:39.360 arrest
01:17:39.880 not recently
01:17:41.100 so Bannon
01:17:41.800 turned himself
01:17:43.300 in right
01:17:43.780 I assume
01:17:45.280 he's free
01:17:45.760 Bannon's not
01:17:47.120 in jail
01:17:47.520 right
01:17:47.820 because if
01:17:49.140 they keep
01:17:49.440 Bannon in
01:17:50.000 jail but
01:17:50.360 they release
01:17:51.320 the violent
01:17:52.960 criminals
01:17:53.460 I don't know
01:17:54.180 what world
01:17:54.700 we live in
01:17:55.640 he did the
01:17:56.880 perp walk
01:17:57.420 now Bannon
01:17:58.620 is an energy
01:17:59.340 monster right
01:18:00.060 so Bannon
01:18:02.820 dealing with
01:18:03.880 anything public
01:18:05.460 is going to be
01:18:07.060 helping Bannon
01:18:07.900 the war room
01:18:09.940 the war room
01:18:09.960 podcast
01:18:11.100 isn't getting
01:18:11.800 smaller
01:18:12.280 because he's
01:18:13.300 getting legal
01:18:13.840 problems
01:18:14.300 it's getting
01:18:15.020 bigger
01:18:15.360 not smaller
01:18:16.120 and
01:18:17.820 they better be
01:18:19.240 careful how much
01:18:19.920 attention they give
01:18:20.780 Bannon
01:18:21.120 because he's
01:18:22.500 he's largely
01:18:24.000 platform free
01:18:25.020 at this point
01:18:25.600 isn't he
01:18:26.260 what platform
01:18:27.640 is he on
01:18:28.080 is he on
01:18:28.460 Rumble
01:18:28.720 what is the
01:18:31.760 war room
01:18:32.140 on
01:18:32.320 is it on
01:18:33.040 Rumble
01:18:33.320 only
01:18:34.220 so as long
01:18:37.660 as Rumble's
01:18:38.260 in business
01:18:38.780 he's going
01:18:39.680 to be in
01:18:40.020 good shape
01:18:40.520 and by the
01:18:44.620 way if I
01:18:45.040 get cancelled
01:18:45.580 I'll just
01:18:46.120 go to Rumble
01:18:46.640 I don't think
01:18:50.940 that's going
01:18:51.280 to hurt me
01:18:51.600 too much
01:18:52.000 although I
01:18:53.600 do like being
01:18:54.140 able to talk
01:18:54.680 to both sides
01:18:55.380 to the degree
01:18:56.860 that that's
01:18:57.280 possible
01:18:57.620 all right
01:18:58.660 his Timcast
01:19:07.860 shows are
01:19:08.920 very good
01:19:09.740 oh here's
01:19:16.240 a question
01:19:16.600 for me
01:19:17.060 there's a
01:19:18.420 sexy
01:19:18.780 experienced
01:19:19.500 bimbo
01:19:19.940 who wants
01:19:20.340 to date
01:19:20.720 somebody
01:19:21.180 but he's
01:19:22.080 engaged to
01:19:22.740 someone who
01:19:23.140 will be
01:19:23.460 approved
01:19:24.000 a great
01:19:25.220 housewife
01:19:25.760 and a
01:19:25.980 great mom
01:19:26.480 how to
01:19:26.800 choose
01:19:27.240 do you
01:19:27.900 go with
01:19:28.160 the
01:19:28.300 bimbo
01:19:28.640 or the
01:19:29.200 great
01:19:29.500 housewife
01:19:30.160 mom
01:19:30.560 what advice
01:19:32.580 do we
01:19:32.860 give them
01:19:33.180 do you
01:19:34.280 take the
01:19:34.660 prude
01:19:35.000 and try
01:19:35.380 to turn
01:19:36.060 the prude
01:19:36.520 into a
01:19:37.200 bimbo
01:19:38.160 or do you
01:19:38.960 take the
01:19:39.340 bimbo
01:19:39.680 and try
01:19:40.020 to turn
01:19:40.360 the bimbo
01:19:40.880 into the
01:19:42.720 wife that
01:19:43.180 you think
01:19:43.560 you want
01:19:44.040 I don't
01:19:48.880 know
01:19:49.100 I think
01:19:50.140 marriage
01:19:50.460 just doesn't
01:19:51.020 work
01:19:51.340 frankly
01:19:51.780 for most
01:19:53.140 of us
01:19:53.480 I think
01:19:54.220 for 20%
01:19:55.080 of the
01:19:55.300 population
01:19:55.700 it works
01:19:56.160 great
01:19:56.860 80%
01:19:58.280 it just
01:19:58.800 doesn't
01:19:59.100 work
01:19:59.440 Scott
01:20:04.900 what was
01:20:05.280 the reason
01:20:05.640 you brought
01:20:06.040 up the
01:20:06.320 topic of
01:20:06.880 race today
01:20:07.560 probably
01:20:07.940 mostly the
01:20:08.560 Memphis
01:20:08.900 news
01:20:09.360 and the
01:20:10.900 fact that
01:20:11.480 when you look
01:20:12.720 at all the
01:20:13.240 news of
01:20:14.120 violence
01:20:14.540 it's hard
01:20:15.860 to ignore
01:20:16.820 the pattern
01:20:17.400 right
01:20:18.720 so I'm not
01:20:20.680 going to ignore
01:20:21.120 the obvious
01:20:21.640 anymore
01:20:21.960 so I do
01:20:25.140 not have
01:20:25.580 scheduled
01:20:26.160 Russell Brand
01:20:27.340 and I do
01:20:28.140 not have
01:20:28.620 scheduled
01:20:29.320 anything else
01:20:33.040 so we
01:20:36.740 had a
01:20:38.060 schedule
01:20:38.660 issue
01:20:39.280 with the
01:20:40.200 Russell Brand
01:20:40.740 interview
01:20:41.360 so that
01:20:41.820 didn't happen
01:20:42.420 and it's
01:20:44.680 not rescheduled
01:20:45.300 I don't think
01:20:45.900 it's going to be
01:20:46.380 rescheduled
01:20:46.960 my guess
01:20:48.700 is
01:20:49.080 that was
01:20:50.380 probably
01:20:50.660 one and
01:20:51.100 done
01:20:51.340 I think
01:20:51.740 probably
01:20:52.460 won't
01:20:52.760 happen
01:20:53.120 I'm
01:21:01.480 considering
01:21:02.180 just not
01:21:02.800 doing any
01:21:03.300 more
01:21:03.640 podcasts
01:21:05.340 and the
01:21:07.320 Megyn Kelly
01:21:07.820 thing got
01:21:08.400 rescheduled
01:21:09.320 as well
01:21:09.900 to never
01:21:11.460 I think
01:21:11.920 I don't think
01:21:13.120 the Megyn Kelly
01:21:13.740 thing will happen
01:21:14.160 now what
01:21:15.320 normally happens
01:21:16.040 with me
01:21:16.460 and I'm sure
01:21:17.580 this did not
01:21:18.260 happen with
01:21:18.800 the Russell Brand
01:21:19.500 situation
01:21:20.000 but may have
01:21:21.400 happened in
01:21:21.980 other situations
01:21:22.660 is I get
01:21:23.740 invited to
01:21:24.400 stuff
01:21:24.780 sometimes as
01:21:26.020 a speaker
01:21:26.540 or whatever
01:21:27.580 and then I
01:21:28.600 get uninvited
01:21:29.400 it's very
01:21:30.620 common for me
01:21:31.480 to be invited
01:21:32.200 and then
01:21:32.720 uninvited
01:21:33.420 now that's
01:21:34.680 just in the
01:21:35.280 last several
01:21:35.780 years
01:21:36.080 it was since
01:21:37.000 I started
01:21:37.420 talking about
01:21:37.980 politics
01:21:38.480 because there's
01:21:39.520 always somebody
01:21:40.360 in the
01:21:40.940 larger group
01:21:42.160 after they
01:21:43.400 hear I've
01:21:43.800 been invited
01:21:44.300 who says
01:21:44.800 that guy
01:21:46.380 I saw
01:21:47.460 something about
01:21:48.000 him on the
01:21:48.480 internet
01:21:48.760 now in
01:21:50.280 every case
01:21:51.180 in every
01:21:52.380 case
01:21:52.800 what I get
01:21:54.240 cancelled for
01:21:54.860 is something
01:21:55.220 that's not
01:21:55.680 true
01:21:56.100 but it
01:21:57.500 doesn't matter
01:21:58.020 if they think
01:21:59.240 it's true
01:21:59.560 that's all
01:21:59.940 it takes
01:22:00.280 yeah I
01:22:04.480 mean I
01:22:05.100 have
01:22:05.280 yeah I
01:22:05.940 mean I
01:22:06.200 could go
01:22:06.600 on
01:22:07.000 Gutfeld
01:22:08.100 or I
01:22:08.480 could go
01:22:09.020 anywhere
01:22:09.440 I could go
01:22:11.200 to any
01:22:11.560 podcast or
01:22:12.300 show
01:22:12.680 where they
01:22:14.180 actually know
01:22:14.980 what's real
01:22:15.520 so the
01:22:17.380 people who
01:22:17.700 know what's
01:22:18.080 real would
01:22:19.100 have no
01:22:19.420 problem having
01:22:20.060 me on
01:22:20.420 it's the
01:22:21.100 people who
01:22:21.440 are still
01:22:21.680 living in
01:22:22.100 some kind
01:22:22.340 of weird
01:22:22.620 bubble
01:22:23.020 you know
01:22:23.840 believing I'm
01:22:24.540 somebody I'm
01:22:25.040 not they
01:22:25.560 would have a
01:22:25.940 problem with
01:22:26.400 me
01:22:27.060 get on
01:22:31.900 Rogan again
01:22:32.540 what would be
01:22:33.440 the point
01:22:33.960 I don't know
01:22:35.460 what would be
01:22:38.320 the point
01:22:38.820 all right
01:22:43.480 do you have
01:22:46.300 someone else
01:22:46.980 already
01:22:47.480 sorry for
01:22:48.240 you mean like
01:22:49.200 a like a
01:22:50.320 woman
01:22:50.540 I am
01:22:53.660 going to
01:22:54.960 be a
01:22:55.720 single person
01:22:56.500 for
01:22:56.980 as long
01:22:59.040 as
01:22:59.300 as long
01:23:00.140 as that
01:23:00.380 makes sense
01:23:00.820 smoking
01:23:06.040 doobies
01:23:06.680 yeah this
01:23:07.740 is going
01:23:08.040 on long
01:23:08.460 enough
01:23:08.680 you're
01:23:08.920 absolutely
01:23:09.280 right
01:23:09.620 and I
01:23:10.420 think we're
01:23:10.760 done for
01:23:11.100 today
01:23:11.420 goodbye
01:23:12.420 YouTube
01:23:13.180 talk to
01:23:13.880 you tomorrow
01:23:14.220 again
01:23:29.820 you
01:23:31.940 you
01:23:32.740 you
01:23:34.060 you
01:23:36.080 you
01:23:41.080 you
01:23:43.080 you