Episode 1861 Scott Adams: Long Live The King, And Illinois Is Lost. Watch Me Get Cancelled Today
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 23 minutes
Words per Minute
142.47548
Summary
In the wake of Queen Elizabeth's passing, the world mourns the loss of a beloved monarch who ruled for 70 years without making a mistake. But what was her greatest achievement? What was her legacy? And how important was it that she was a queen and not a king?
Transcript
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Well, condolences, I guess that's the right word, to Great Britain and the entire Commonwealth for losing your queen.
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You know, obviously when somebody beloved, such as the queen, passes, people like to say lots of good things about them.
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And I thought I would wake up this morning and I would see that all the good things had already been said.
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One of the most impressive things that the queen did is rule for 70 years without making a mistake.
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Who rules for 70 years without making a mistake?
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But, you know, when you get caught in that and you say to yourself, all right, 70 years of making Great Britain look good.
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But, I'm going to say that she did something maybe as impressive or more impressive than that.
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Think about the fact that the monarchy has existed and coincided with the democratic process for all those many decades.
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What were the odds that that was going to happen?
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Do you think that happened just sort of easily and automatically?
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And I would say that her greatest accomplishment is making the monarchy not just relevant, but essential to Great Britain.
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And it seems to me that what the queen did was offload, in a sense, the character and maybe, let's see, maybe the heart.
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The heart of Great Britain, they get to take that out of politics a little bit.
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They go, okay, we'll put our heart over here, and then we'll go fight over here.
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So we'll fight in politics, but we'll keep our heart safe.
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And really, it wasn't obvious until it happened, right?
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It's one of those things you look at in hindsight.
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The monarchy went from ruling a country, that was their primary function, to becoming the heart of the country.
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And I don't know, has there ever been a more impressive evolution from one thing to another?
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But I think that's their biggest accomplishment, actually, is making the monarchy not just relevant, but essential.
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And it looks like there will be a, you know, peaceful transition of the monarchy, of course, of course.
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How important was it that she was queen and not king?
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Do you think that it mattered that she was a queen and not a king?
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Because when King Charles takes over, do you know what I immediately think?
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It's definitely a sexist differentiation here, right?
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When it was a queen and she was the heart and soul of the country, that felt exactly right.
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And there's just something about the history of kings that makes it feel different.
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So I hope that King Charles, I hope that King Charles III, does as good a job as his mother did, which would be incredible if he could.
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I asked this highly unscientific and biased and deeply disturbing question on Twitter, so you don't have to tell me that this is unscientific.
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I said, have you changed your opinion on climate change in the past five years from being skeptical to believing it is probably directionally true, but the actual impact of it would be impossible to predict?
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And 22% of the people who answered, again, this is deeply unscientific poll, but 22% said they had changed their opinion to what I would consider the mainstream smart opinion.
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Yeah, it's close to 25%, and we can't ignore that, can we?
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But it's also a changing number, which is it probably started small and is growing, and will probably grow past 22%.
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So if it's changing, I don't know if that still applies, I don't know if the 25% still applies if it's in the process of, you know, passing through it.
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Because you can't get from zero to 100% without passing through 25%, so it kind of depends how long you stay there.
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If you stay there for a while, it might mean something.
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If it keeps going up, well, then you're just passing through.
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But correct me if I'm wrong, but Bjorn Lomborg, who I've had on my show and you've seen his books, does he not say that climate change is real and man-made to some extent?
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We don't know the percentage, but that the extent of it and what is the likely cost of it and all that is a thing that is highly questionable.
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And I believe that that's Michael Schellenberger's opinion.
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I hate to say anybody else's opinion, but I believe that Michael Schellenberger also says climate change seems to be real and there's a human element to it,
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but that the way we're handling it is all wrong.
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And it's getting better now because nuclear is taking on a bigger role.
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But it seems to me that the people who think it's real but don't know how big a deal it is are the ones who are going to win in the end.
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I think that's the opinion that's going to become the dominant one over time, it seems to me.
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Now, how many of you are still in the belief that it's not happening in terms of people, that people are not causing anything to happen?
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How many of you would say at this moment that you're confident that nothing's happening?
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There's no climate change whatsoever that's been caused by people.
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So a number of you who still doubt everything about it.
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Here's what I would say is the best way to approach it.
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So I'm not going to tell you what to think about it.
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So this is not me trying to change your opinion.
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And how I think about climate change is I would take the components of it and give them different levels of likelihood.
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For example, if you took the component of just the predictions, the 80-year prediction, I think that's worthless, except as a way to scare us into action.
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So I'd say if you're doubting that, you're on strong ground in doubting that.
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But if you go all the way back to the basic science of if you add CO2 to a closed environment and nothing else changed, would it get hotter?
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Do you think that in a laboratory, if you created an artificial world, which is not like the real world, right?
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The artificial world is not like the real world.
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If you created the artificial world, it's not like the real world, so it doesn't tell you exactly what's going to happen in the real world.
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And you just make a little artificial atmosphere.
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And again, that doesn't mean it happens in the real world.
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In the laboratory, if you add CO2 to a closed environment, it gets hotter.
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Are you all, you're all aware that in the laboratory there's no question, right?
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Even the skeptics would say, well, yeah, in the laboratory it works.
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But remember, that doesn't mean it necessarily works in the real world.
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What are the odds that that laboratory experiment does actually tell you something about the real world?
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But compare that to the odds that the predictions are right.
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It would be complete chance if they were right.
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So I wouldn't put the odds of the science being wrong in the same category as the odds of the predictions being wrong.
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So I'd say if you're adding them all together and saying it's one big thing that you don't trust,
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And just say, there's one that's a little more likely.
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There is a far greater likelihood that CO2 causes warming in the real world than there is that the predictions are correct.
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And I think that's the view that most people will end up on in the long run.
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Am I wrong in saying that usually it's our leaders who are supposed to protect us, right?
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It's not the people who are supposed to be protecting the leaders, is it?
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We give them security and try to vote them into office and do that sort of stuff.
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But in general, the model is we elect our leaders to save us.
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Here in California for the last couple of days,
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our leaders have asked us to turn down the power
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and not use our appliances to try to save the grid and save the state.
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If the lights go out in California, Newsom's toast.
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Our governor is toast if the lights go out for 10 minutes.
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If my lights go out for 10 minutes, because it hasn't yet,
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if my lights go out for 10 minutes in the middle of a heat wave,
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That will change my fucking being at my core if my lights go out for 10 minutes.
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I'm telling you that my trigger for that is really thin, right?
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If my lights go out for 10 minutes in a heat wave, I'll never be the same.
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So, in my opinion, when the Californians, as I did,
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got the message, hey, you better stop using as much power
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I walked immediately to my thermostat, said, no problem, I'm in.
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Turned off my, or I didn't start my dishwasher.
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I turned off all the lights in the house that were not essential for a little while.
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And so I saved my governor, as did the other residents of the state.
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The residents of California actually saved our governor's ass.
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You know, I'm getting a lot of pushback from people who say,
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oh, you're a sheep for doing what your leader has told you.
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I did it because I didn't want the power to go off.
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I don't need to go, bah, I just want to not be dead.
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Compare the compliance of California that was almost instant and sufficient
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I don't think anybody complained about turning their power down.
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It was completely doable, like you could act on it immediately and easily.
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The state said, here's the total amount of electricity we can give you.
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But I trusted the numbers because I figured, oh,
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we probably do know what our maximum capacity is.
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So under those conditions, how hard was it to get cooperation from the public?
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And did I care that my governor might have a different political leaning than I do?
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The walls are closing in because his post-election fundraising is now the focus of some federal
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I'm starting to get a feeling that people don't want Trump to be president again.
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And then Rick Wilson, the worst person in the world, did this cleverly baiting video in
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which he's calling the president a little bitch.
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And I guess the president said he would sue the Lincoln Project for an ad that had some
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And then Rick Wilson of the Lincoln Project makes this video calling the president a little
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Because if there's a lawsuit, then there's discovery and it's bad for the president.
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So Rick Wilson cleverly is goading him into trying to sue him.
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Um, but he says, Rick Wilson said that the, he was talking about the big donors to Trump.
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He said, uh, they need to put a bullet in Donald Trump.
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Now he was speaking hyperbolically and metaphorically.
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He did not mean that the donors need to assassinate him, but we don't talk that way about presidential
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Because you know, when you talk that way, somebody acts on it.
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But whether it's legal or not to say this, um, it's ill-advised unless you're trying to
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So it does feel like either accidental or intentional encouragement to create somebody crazy to
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And I think that he knows exactly what he's doing, but we can't read minds.
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I would not rule out the possibility he's that dumb.
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Well, and I guess the Lincoln Project says that all the money that Trump, uh, collected by
00:18:02.780
saying that the election was fraudulent, that all that money went to support Trump businesses.
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Now, that seems deeply unlikely to me, doesn't it?
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Because the Lincoln Project says all of that money went to Trump businesses.
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In fact, that seems like the least likely possibility.
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Because nobody in their right mind would even execute a plan like that.
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How would you even get any employees or underlings to even fill out the paperwork?
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Nobody knowingly is going to do that because they would be criminals and they would not be
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And there's, you know, it's not like Trump is doing the paperwork himself and writing the
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Now, if you tell me somebody in the organization did something sketchy, I would say, I expect that
00:19:03.940
But the Lincoln Project is making it look like it was set up as a scam and all the money
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But it does look like the Lincoln Project is goading Trump into suing them.
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To say something that's sensationally false to make him sue you so he has to open up his
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It's not a bad play from the Lincoln Project trolls.
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Well, there's a video from a governor, not a governor, a mayor of some small place in
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Illinois, who's warning people that the law changes on January 1st, the ones that have
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already been approved but go into effect statewide, basically is going to let everybody out of
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jail, except for the worst of the worst, I guess.
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So you could do all kinds of violent crimes and you won't go to jail and you won't even
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Here's something that you won't be arrested for.
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The example given is that somebody can go live in the shack behind your house in your back
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lawn, and if you call the police, the police can't remove that person.
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Somebody can move into your property and now there will be no legal recourse.
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I would check the list of things that don't put me in jail, which apparently is pretty big
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right now, and find out what kind of violence I could get away with against the person who
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And I'd say, okay, well, if the police won't do anything about you squatting here, let me look
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at my list, let's see, ah, assault and battery, assault and battery.
00:21:08.040
And then you just beat the shit out of the person on your property and everybody wins.
00:21:18.140
But anyway, there's a warning that the entire state of Illinois will be unlivable because
00:21:28.040
But in effect, you've legalized crime in the state, it looks like, because there's not enough
00:21:37.200
So, here's the first question that this sort of suggests.
00:21:45.180
So, you know that Texas is bussing busloads of immigrants, illegal immigrants, I assume,
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to other states to punish them for not getting on board and helping them close the border.
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And I'm wondering if the busloads of immigrants will lower the crime rates in those cities.
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I say that the busload of illegal immigrants, even illegal, even illegal, will lower the crime
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rate where they're going because they're going into the cities.
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Now, I don't know how much exposure you've had to the, let's say, the Central American
00:22:38.860
While I will acknowledge that some number of criminals do come across the border, the people
00:22:45.480
who came here to work really, really don't want to get in trouble.
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The people who came here to work do not want to get in trouble.
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They really, really don't want to get in trouble.
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I think it depends on your personal experience, right?
00:23:03.860
So, I'm speaking from the experience of my safe little neighborhood where we hire a lot
00:23:24.960
And I don't think that the immigrants get enough credit for the fact that the vast majority
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of them will lower your crime rate and not raise it.
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And I even said before, I would hate to have my kids compete with somebody who had the balls
00:24:04.380
Now, I'm going to say things that would help me not get canceled, but ultimately, I'll be
00:24:13.940
I'm not going to say anything that actually is bad.
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But when I get taken out of context, which I will, it's going to look really, really bad.
00:24:28.780
You know that I like black people so much I identify as black, right?
00:24:34.260
I literally, for now, over, I don't know, a few years, I've identified as black.
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And I do it non-ironically, because I've lost jobs because of my color.
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I've lost two different careers because I was accused of being a white male.
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So, I know what it's like to be discriminated against directly, like direct discrimination.
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And I have a great affinity to the community, because I tend to like black people.
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It's just my biased experience is that black people have a good sense of humor, and they've got a tough time.
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And I tend to appreciate people who have a good sense of humor, basically.
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So, starting out from a positive point of view, let me say the part that will get me canceled when it gets taken out of context.
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Thanks to Black Lives Matter and, I'd say, the school system, especially the teachers' unions, and especially the Democrats,
00:26:06.300
they have convinced an entire community that they can't succeed if they play by the rules.
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The black community in America, yeah, goodbye, huh?
00:26:22.440
The black community in America has been convinced by their own side, by their own side, that they can't succeed if they follow the rules.
00:26:32.860
Because the rules were made by a structurally racist society, and there are too many points of friction.
00:26:40.600
Would you ever go live somewhere where the people who live there, forget about their color, this has nothing to do with color.
00:26:51.820
But would you live somewhere where the people who live there have been convinced by their own team that following the rules is a sucker's play?
00:27:08.040
So when people go to look for a house and they have money, let me say this directly.
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I don't know if people say it out loud, but they look for the least black place to live if they have money.
00:27:29.260
They go wherever it's the least black population.
00:27:43.880
Some people like them better than other people.
00:27:46.660
It has nothing to do with how much you like them.
00:28:00.720
It's based on the fact that it's a community that has trained itself that the rules don't work for them.
00:28:08.320
Not that the rules are bad rules, but they just don't work for them.
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If you put me in a world where you say the rules don't work for you, I'm going to break the rules.
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If you were put in a position where everybody said the rules don't work for you, would you follow them?
00:28:33.240
So when I say that black communities are more likely to have lots of crime and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, it's not exactly just because of poverty.
00:28:43.520
It's also because it's a community that has been taught that the rules don't work for them.
00:28:50.140
That following the rules isn't going to make you successful and happy.
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I wouldn't follow the rules under those situations.
00:29:05.940
I think that the black community needs to change their strategy.
00:29:14.520
And they need to understand that the last mile of getting equality has to be a completely different strategy than the first 99 miles.
00:29:26.820
Now, the first mile was a revolutionary war, not revolution, a civil war.
00:29:33.760
So the first step of getting equality is to get rid of slavery, and you probably needed a war for that.
00:29:38.960
Next phase, you use the legal system, and you start suing employers who are not giving you your rights, et cetera.
00:29:46.060
And for decades, we've been doing that, and I think they've made great progress.
00:29:49.780
So much progress that big corporations are actively recruiting and looking for minority employees, right?
00:29:57.900
But that last mile, that last mile with the so-called systemic racism and, you know, why can't we get that last mile?
00:30:07.120
That last mile, you're only going to get there by accepting the rules.
00:30:15.800
Now, you might not like them, and it might be true that the rules don't work in your favor.
00:30:23.580
But you're going to have to still win with those rules, because everybody else did, right?
00:30:37.360
The Hispanic community succeeding with those rules, right?
00:30:43.300
If everybody is succeeding with those rules, but your community has been taught that the rules don't work for you,
00:30:59.720
If you're going to come at me with a strategy that bad, don't fucking blame me if it doesn't work, right?
00:31:07.400
Do not blame me if your strategy is so clearly the wrong strategy.
00:31:19.440
I'm not going to give it to you for nothing, right?
00:31:26.480
What do I think about the Jewish community who has taken, really, some of the deepest discrimination you could imagine
00:31:33.980
and turned it into a successful American experience?
00:31:41.920
I heard Alan Dershowitz play an audio voicemail he got.
00:31:49.620
You should hear the things that people will leave on a voicemail to Alan Dershowitz.
00:31:57.740
Like, you don't even think that that kind of anti-Semitism even exists.
00:32:03.120
Because, you know, in polite company, you never hear it.
00:32:08.220
And man, when he plays it, you think, holy shit.
00:32:11.580
How do you live in a country walking around with people like that attitude about you, like, all over the place?
00:32:27.460
So if the black community wants my respect, which they don't have, they don't have.
00:32:44.540
You come at me with a dumb fuck strategy that obviously only benefits your leaders.
00:32:58.540
I want to help, and I'm trying to help right now, actually, at great personal risk.
00:33:04.300
If we can't talk about it honestly, you can't do anything.
00:33:09.640
Step number one is to be able to talk about it honestly.
00:33:12.560
And you know that you couldn't say what I'm saying right now, could you?
00:33:15.840
How many of you could say in public what I'm saying right now in public?
00:33:27.580
I tried to, I see it in the comments here, I tried to help Black Lives Matter when it
00:33:33.700
I thought, oh, here's a movement that's trying to help black people.
00:33:40.120
Because if you're helping the, whatever group is in the biggest hole, you're making the biggest
00:33:46.640
So I want to be a black leader of the Black Lives Matter movement.
00:33:51.460
What I learned in the process was the leaders were not on the same page as those who were
00:34:00.700
And that largely, and this does not include Hawk, by the way.
00:34:05.860
Hawk said, and I believed him, he was not being funded by Soros.
00:34:10.020
So he didn't have any money coming in, basically.
00:34:12.800
But there were other parts of Black Lives Matter who were basically just scams.
00:34:18.800
They were just leaders taking the money that was coming in from God knows where, donations
00:34:25.200
So the black population has no black leaders that are worth a damn who are making a difference
00:34:33.300
I mean, I'm sure there are black leaders who would be highly qualified, but they don't
00:34:39.020
It seems like, for whatever reason, there's a leadership vacuum there that's gigantic.
00:34:45.360
And I think the biggest problem is that they have painted themselves as people who can't
00:34:55.200
And if you don't change that, you're not going to get anything.
00:34:59.480
So the solution to all of this is the white teachers' unions, the white-led teachers' unions,
00:35:07.360
are absolutely destroying the black population by teaching them to be helpless and teaching
00:35:16.820
And if they break the system, they break it for all of us.
00:35:21.640
So we're on a path to destroying the whole fucking country because the teachers' union
00:35:27.200
is training one part of the country to act helpless and blame the other part for their
00:35:42.820
And if you got it out of there, you could get rid of your, you could get rid of a lot
00:35:51.180
Anybody who thinks any of this is fast is kidding themselves.
00:35:54.700
You know, if you could do it in one generation, that would be a miracle.
00:36:01.280
But you've got to fix the school system for everybody.
00:36:04.080
I mean, that should be a, that should be a human right.
00:36:10.200
It feels like the lack of education we're giving to, especially the black population,
00:36:21.660
I mean, and it's, and the crime is committed by white people.
00:36:24.760
Because to me, I think most of the, the teachers' unions is a bunch of white women,
00:36:32.260
So, I'm not going to let white people off the hook.
00:36:37.440
Because there are some terrible, terrible white people who are promoting the bad strategy
00:36:46.160
So, here's what the black population needs to know.
00:36:49.240
Your leaders benefit by causing trouble and painting you as losers.
00:36:59.180
So, you know, up through the 60s, the 70s, even the 90s, I would say that complaining
00:37:14.680
But once you get to that last mile, and I think that's where we are, you have to play
00:37:19.300
by the rules, unless you're going to throw out all the rules and, you know, try to make
00:37:32.760
Am I wrong that, am I wrong to say that the black population in America is the only group
00:37:40.580
that is actually trained by their own people that they can't succeed?
00:37:51.600
Is there any other group that teaches its own people that they can't succeed?
00:37:58.840
And, again, I want to be clear, the truth of that is not relevant to my point.
00:38:08.740
It might be true that the system is holding people back.
00:38:12.140
And I think there's plenty of evidence of that.
00:38:19.760
Do you know who else had the system working against them?
00:38:23.840
Because I was born in a small town with, you know, not much money.
00:38:32.420
But if somebody said, well, there's nothing you can do because you're born in a small town,
00:38:40.880
My mother told me I could do anything I wanted, which was insane.
00:38:45.600
But I bought into it enough that I thought I could do much of what I wanted, not all of it.
00:38:51.700
Now, how many black parents are telling their kids that they can be anything or do anything?
00:39:02.160
You can almost tell what percentage it is because they're the kids who are growing up and actually succeeding.
00:39:10.020
And then they'll tell you, that's what my mother said or my father.
00:39:12.980
Generally, if you see the successful, like the black athletes and, you know, whoever has made it big, got rich or whatever,
00:39:21.100
and they tell you how they were raised, there's usually at least one parent who told them that they could do it.
00:39:29.160
I'll bet almost everybody who succeeds has at least one parent who said they could do it.
00:39:38.840
Now, some people, you know, there's every kind of situation.
00:39:41.820
Some people, you know, maybe they tried harder because their parents didn't think they would succeed.
00:39:51.440
You just need one parent to tell you you can do it and you're fine.
00:39:54.500
So I don't know how common that is across different groups.
00:40:00.880
According to my highly biased survey on Twitter, two-thirds of the people who answered said they would avoid living in a mostly black neighborhood
00:40:18.600
So, and again, just to be clear, has nothing to do with being black or your DNA or your genetics or your color.
00:40:27.480
It just has to do with if you're trained to think the system doesn't work for you, why would you use the system?
00:40:43.900
Can you imagine me living in a mostly black neighborhood and then people find out that I've said anything good about Trump?
00:40:55.320
I would literally be killed, depending on the neighborhood and depending who knew what.
00:41:02.200
But it wouldn't be safe for me to be anywhere near that environment.
00:41:06.620
So let me say as clearly as I can, I would never live in a mostly black neighborhood because I wouldn't feel safe.
00:41:13.720
Again, nothing to do with being black and everything to do with the fact that one community has been trained that following the rules doesn't work for them.
00:41:30.020
Larry Elder is reportedly mulling a run for president.
00:41:37.160
I don't know if that means primarying Trump or maybe if Trump doesn't run or something.
00:41:42.140
So I don't know the details of that because I didn't bother reading the story.
00:41:44.880
But I love reading the story about somebody who's mulling.
00:41:48.720
And I thought, Larry Elder, you magnificent bastard, that is exactly the right thing to do.
00:41:57.360
If I were Larry Elder, I would also tell people I'm mulling a run for the presidency.
00:42:16.860
But it made me wonder if I should get in on this, too.
00:42:24.440
But I'd like you to say that I'm reportedly considering mulling.
00:42:35.680
But if you could say that Scott Adams is reportedly considering mulling.
00:42:42.880
Don't go to straight mulling because I can't fully mull.
00:42:53.080
I am literally, reportedly, considering mulling.
00:43:00.360
Do you remember there was a 60s sort of semi-fake musical group called The Monkeys?
00:43:10.220
Enough of you who are old enough to remember The Monkeys.
00:43:14.440
Well, The Monkeys, apparently, were investigated by the FBI.
00:43:20.460
Because in some of their concerts, they had a screen behind them
00:43:34.060
And I guess Mickey Dolenz, the surviving member of The Monkeys,
00:43:38.840
is trying to get the FBI's records and documents
00:43:43.100
about just what the hell they were trying to do with The Monkeys.
00:43:47.440
Now, yeah, I think there's a FOIA request or something.
00:43:51.160
So when you see that, what else are the FBI investigating?
00:43:59.160
Do you think the FBI has ever investigated me that I don't know about?
00:44:10.140
If they haven't investigated me, I'd be really surprised.
00:44:14.060
Now, I don't know if they investigate anybody who's saying anything interesting.
00:44:22.060
But here's why I think they would investigate me.
00:44:35.520
Because their job is to make sure that, you know, there's not foreign interference, right?
00:44:43.920
and you couldn't tell who I was affiliated with, if anybody,
00:44:57.500
It's actually a reasonable question to look into anybody who's persuasive.
00:45:17.780
Maybe it doesn't, but that's the reason I do it.
00:45:25.500
Like, if you think I'm doing this to make money,
00:45:27.180
and I do monetize, like I monetize the YouTube feed, for example,
00:45:35.260
Like, I could do a lot better just by, here's how you make money.
00:45:45.040
I mostly tell people what makes them uncomfortable.
00:45:51.340
So you can very easily tell when I'm trying to make money.
00:45:54.900
When I'm trying to make money, I'll tell you what you want to hear,
00:46:00.260
If I tell you something that makes you uncomfortable,
00:46:15.440
so you can't trust anything coming out of there.
00:46:17.760
But the reporting that's coming out of there today,
00:46:23.620
is that the Ukrainians are totally kicking the Russians' asses
00:46:27.160
with a counter-offensive that's going better than anybody expected,
00:46:35.400
the Russian Air Force seems to be not involved.
00:46:55.220
they made tremendous progress in recapturing territory.
00:47:00.920
they seem to be operating without any fear of air superiority by Russia.
00:47:08.440
the Ukrainians' devices and stuff are pretty exposed,
00:47:31.000
so everything we're hearing seems to be in the same direction.
00:47:38.460
Maybe the Ukrainian army is being lulled into a kill zone or something.
00:47:43.220
But you'd have to think that the Ukrainian army would be sophisticated enough
00:47:52.260
The Ukrainian military have been special forces trained by NATO for a long time.
00:48:15.960
and can't get qualified people to do the basic stuff.
00:48:21.400
I've always thought that the difference between complete collapse
00:48:26.020
of the Russian military and effectiveness is razor thin.
00:48:32.320
I don't think that you would see the Russian military collapse in a slow way.
00:48:38.140
In other words, I don't think you'd see it go down,
00:48:52.000
I believe that there's some point where the wheels just fall off.
00:48:56.900
And one of those possibilities is that they don't have enough ammo.
00:49:16.100
because Ukraine did a good enough job of blowing up the ammo depots.
00:49:24.500
and you hear the Ukrainians are coming at you hard.
00:49:51.600
is that the Ukrainians have either degraded the resupply lines
00:49:59.860
and maybe their anti-aircraft weapons are better than we think.
00:50:11.860
It's possible that Russia can't afford the jets.
00:50:19.160
that if you looked at the number of Russian jets,
00:50:29.840
What percentage of all of the Russian Air Force
00:50:49.000
now I see that some of you are going to disagree with that,
00:51:06.060
That's just a statement of how I see the situation,
00:51:12.140
Now, that doesn't mean they're running out of money,
00:51:20.760
and take things out of mothballs and stuff like that.
00:51:24.180
So you assume that Russia has lots of flexibility
00:52:10.820
that maybe I was closer to right than you were?
00:52:32.800
Now, that doesn't mean we know how it ends, right?
00:52:58.340
Now, what is the biggest criticism you see of me