Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1869 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About Those Migrants Going To Martha's Vineyard, Everybody Wins

00:00:00.000 good morning everybody and oh wow is it my imagination or are you better looking today

00:00:10.520 than yesterday yeah sexier sexier well on that positive note how would you like the rest of the

00:00:19.660 day to go as well as that you would and all you would need would be a cupper mugger a glass of

00:00:26.140 tank or jealous or sign a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite

00:00:31.480 liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine today the

00:00:37.960 thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now it's the

00:00:45.320 best thing that'll ever happen to you go

00:00:47.220 feel my mitochondria are repairing themselves a little bit faster

00:00:58.700 all systems go so would you like to hear about all the good news

00:01:07.120 isn't it weird that i keep telling you that we're going to enter a golden age

00:01:12.200 but you listen to the news and it's all like the world is falling apart everything's bad

00:01:19.520 all right here's some positive things that are in the pipeline there's a company that's made some

00:01:26.880 big breakthrough in battling autoimmune problems which could include things like lupus and ms

00:01:34.700 some really big stuff and apparently they've got something that looks like it works really well

00:01:41.560 now the details doesn't matter because remember the rule remember the rule when i tell you about a

00:01:48.780 a breaking breakthrough new technology what's the rule when i tell you about a breakthrough new science

00:01:55.420 or technology the rule is we're going to pretend it's true because most of these end up not being true

00:02:03.940 they end up being big disappointments in the end but our agreement with each other is we'll pretend

00:02:11.620 they're all true because it feels good if it turns out later it's not true well you're not really worse

00:02:17.800 off you felt good for a while so we're going to take the feel good okay so it looks like there might be a

00:02:23.680 breakthrough in lupus and ms and other autoimmune stuff um thanks to machiavelli's underbelly for

00:02:32.640 tweeting some other good news uh it looks like a flying car will happen in my lifetime

00:02:39.840 there's one that's being funded it's already built and it's basically a it's like sitting on top of a

00:02:47.900 hobby drone you know if you just took one of those little drones that you can buy in the store

00:02:52.700 and put a little uh put a little cab on top of it like a car that's what it is basically a four

00:03:00.020 rotor four rotor situation now remember i told you the only thing we were waiting for

00:03:05.000 you know because flying cars have been the the thing we've joked about forever the things we've been

00:03:10.700 waiting for are here ai to make sure that the thing can stay stable and batteries that are powerful

00:03:19.480 enough to take people long enough that's that we have everything else so the flying car might not be

00:03:28.300 able to get licensed you know there might be government regulations and stuff but we can build it now

00:03:33.980 it's done there there we have the technology likewise there's a company that's already built

00:03:42.820 a functioning flying motorcycle so it's very similar to what i just described except instead of

00:03:49.820 having a automobile cab on top of a drone imagine a motorcycle situation so you've got your motorcycle

00:03:57.520 handles and you're just sitting on top of a drone it just is a big one and that already exists

00:04:03.240 in the sense that they're already demoing it and driving around in space not space but in the air

00:04:09.360 so we got flying cars flying motorcycles autoimmune disease and there's a company also working on

00:04:16.860 fuel cells for drones which doesn't seem like a big big deal except that these fuel cells would extend

00:04:25.960 the you know the range and the power of the drones substantially like a really big deal now it

00:04:33.060 doesn't mean they'll catch on maybe nobody will ever buy a fuel cell drone but the fact that we can do it is

00:04:40.680 certainly directionally interesting um i was thinking yesterday what are the odds that i would be born

00:04:49.280 and many of you too so that i can see the following things that will only happen once

00:04:55.800 in the history of humankind what are the odds for example the the development of the computer

00:05:04.220 the computer was built and developed in my lifetime now how many humans will be born and die

00:05:12.220 over the you know the course of human civilization and human i don't know biology what are the odds that i

00:05:20.260 would be alive when computers are developed now and space travel exactly uh to go to the moon so space

00:05:29.820 travel artificial intelligence now in my opinion artificial intelligence is also is already sentient but

00:05:38.040 then we just get into arguing about definitions but i believe the ai will be sentient in my lifetime

00:05:44.500 that's only going to happen once ever the first time anyway what are the odds of that what about the

00:05:53.740 virtual reality the metaverse that's only going to happen once and it's happening in my lifetime

00:06:01.480 flying cars the first ones are only going to happen once looks like it's going to be my lifetime

00:06:10.020 what are the odds of that really doesn't that seem weird

00:06:14.180 like like that that's one of the arguments for this being a simulation and for me being a player in a

00:06:22.860 game because i can't really understand the odds of it unless i'm a player in a game and it's designed

00:06:29.920 so i see more stuff it is a weird coincidence all right have you ever thought about all the um oh and

00:06:39.220 also digital currency digital money crypto all in my lifetime and that's just like a small sample

00:06:47.380 of things that are happening just in my lifetime but here are some things that um you have to stop

00:06:55.180 and think about the things that have changed permanently because of the pandemic so i'm going

00:07:01.360 to give you a starter list of things that permanently changed during the pandemic and then add to it

00:07:08.080 so in the comments you probably can think of a few more so food delivery i don't think will ever be

00:07:13.100 the same i suspect kitchens might just disappear it will just be deliver my food all the time it's

00:07:19.720 just cheaper and easier um health care will change forever especially the online doctors on zoom

00:07:27.880 uh working from home change forever supply chains are going to change forever decoupling from

00:07:34.900 uh china especially um all of our energy systems will change so we'll have a complete change of energy 0.98

00:07:45.660 i might i might be alive during nuclear fusion being developed it looks like it looks like that's

00:07:53.540 going to happen i i suppose i might just barely be alive then but maybe um so all of our energy

00:08:01.780 systems are being retooled trust and institutions completely different the the way the world feels

00:08:09.980 about any official institution is completely different now that's going to have some expense

00:08:16.780 i don't know what happens with that but that's not a nothing that's a big deal we just don't know how

00:08:23.480 that's going to come out um and then i think also these factory built homes i don't know if it's because

00:08:29.320 of the pandemic but um this this boom in these uh factory built homes i can sort of deliver and just

00:08:37.800 put together now let's combine a few concepts let's combine the idea of relocating the

00:08:46.840 the the homeless which is the wrong name for them you know we should stop calling them the homeless

00:08:53.480 if they don't want a home because they don't most of them we should call them uh the outdoor livers

00:09:01.480 or just the just the outdoor people because their preference is for outdoors

00:09:07.880 right that's the main thing they want just let us be outdoors so we can have more freedom

00:09:13.160 yeah or in a way you could call them the free in a weird way they're the freest among us are they

00:09:20.520 not who who is more free than street people they can do all the drugs they want seem to be able to

00:09:30.440 violate the law at will go anywhere they can trespass i don't know they see they don't have a they don't

00:09:39.000 have a job they have to be to they don't have a boss they don't pay taxes exactly i call them campers

00:09:47.160 campers now that would be funny that's the funniest one instead of calling them homeless call them campers

00:09:58.760 that's just getting funnier as i think about it campers

00:10:01.800 i'm sure somebody would say you're being insensitive

00:10:10.920 all right so there's a whole bunch of stuff that's going to happen in my lifetime a lot of

00:10:16.120 it accelerated by the pandemic but if what here's what it feels like uh it feels like the wheels are

00:10:23.480 coming off doesn't it if you read the news oh no inflation is going to kill us and the immigrants will 1.00

00:10:30.040 change the nature of the country and climate change will you know mop up whatever humans are surviving

00:10:36.280 and the racism will put us in each other's throats and everything else is it really worse than it was

00:10:42.600 in the 60s are any of you old enough to remember the 60s it doesn't feel worse

00:10:51.560 does it or some of you say yes you think it's worse than the 60s i think that might be selective

00:10:56.840 memory though in the 60s we thought that uh russia was going to nuke us there's no way i would live to

00:11:04.280 die of old age because i get nuked yeah that's better televised well um it feels like we're in

00:11:14.760 some big rebooting phase that's what it feels like to me in order to get to the new thing you have to go

00:11:21.640 through a bad thing it's almost always true if you want to build a house you usually have to do

00:11:27.000 demolition first because there's already one there usually in all the good locations right so if you

00:11:34.360 want to get um if you want to get radar you have to have world war ii sorry that's the only way you're

00:11:42.040 gonna get radar um no that's probably not the only way but there are a lot of things that got accelerated

00:11:47.560 and maybe this maybe the pandemic is just a big reboot program it feels like it well mike lindell

00:11:54.200 as you know was um what would you call it he was stopped and surrounded by fbi agents and they took

00:12:01.080 his phone that they have now access to so mike lindell and i don't believe he's been charged with

00:12:08.600 anything is that right there's there are no indictments against mike lindell that i'm aware of

00:12:13.640 he's targeted but we don't know if there's any charges i suppose they don't know either until

00:12:20.040 they look at his phone but he's uh he's retained uh alan dershowitz to sue the fbi and the department

00:12:26.840 of justice to which i say good for you good for you you know what i you know what i think the

00:12:35.160 government or the democrats here's what i think the democrats have totally um underestimated

00:12:42.600 here's what the democrats i believe have totally underestimated two words mike lindell

00:12:54.920 i feel like they underestimated him am i wrong because i don't think he's out of money he seems

00:13:02.040 to be i don't know maybe he took a big hit with my pillow uh just by speaking out but he doesn't look

00:13:09.160 like he's willing to quit right now the game that you play with somebody like him is you hope you can

00:13:16.840 scare him off before he gets too serious and he was pretty serious to start but it looks like they're

00:13:24.040 not scaring him off and he's just getting more aggressive so is he the guy you wanted to to piss off

00:13:31.720 he obviously has skill he's got a lot of capability i mean he built a company you know really was on his

00:13:39.960 personality if anything else so in a sense it looks like the government may have found a you know a

00:13:48.440 worthy nemesis because i think he's going to take it to him we'll see i don't know i don't think he got

00:13:55.640 where he is by lock do you i mean it looks like skill it looks like he's good at selling good at

00:14:01.640 getting stuff done well we'll find out but it's an interesting uh development see if he can make

00:14:07.800 something out of this um the other day i said that uh to persuade the government to do more in fentanyl

00:14:16.360 we should produce pictures of 300 dead bodies every day and uh machiavelli's underbelly asked an ai to do

00:14:24.280 that and sure enough so i tweeted this morning uh a group of bodies that looks like they died on the

00:14:31.320 capital steps now i would improve that by making them instead of spread out on a field i wouldn't

00:14:38.680 spread them out on the field i'd put them in an actual pile so it's the pile that actually sells the

00:14:45.640 story it's not the number like if you just have a row of people who died that wouldn't be persuasive

00:14:53.000 you need the pile because the pile tells you how you're treating the dead you've treated them like

00:14:58.840 they didn't matter that's what the pile says a a group of people dead in the field says something

00:15:06.920 bad happened well we already knew that right but if you put them in a pile it says not only does

00:15:14.120 something bad happen but we don't care we'll just throw them in a pile and and so if we can tweak

00:15:23.240 that i'd put them in a pile and i would take the american flags off them because that ended up being

00:15:28.920 accidentally patriotic i think the ai wrapped all the bodies in an american flag so let's get the

00:15:36.840 positive imagery away and put it in into just purely horror we'll see what that does

00:15:47.800 so yesterday i did a number of reframes for republicans telling them how to sell their own

00:15:53.800 policies better and uh i turned those into a series of little videos so each reframe has its own little

00:16:02.440 two or four minutes whatever it is and that's on my channel if you want to go see that i was asked to

00:16:08.120 put that into a playlist which i'll work on today so we'll put that into a playlist but i tweeted it i

00:16:15.720 tweeted somebody else's playlist this morning so if you want to see the whole list of them just look at my

00:16:21.240 twitter um so governor newsom my governor here in california has challenged florida's governor ron

00:16:30.840 desantis to a debate because i guess desantis said something uh humorous and insulting about

00:16:39.000 newsom's hair gel and uh newsom said uh you know hey desantis clearly you're struggling distracted and

00:16:47.080 busy playing politics with people's lives meaning the martha's vineyard stuff we'll talk about that

00:16:53.000 he goes i'll bring my hair gel you bring your hairspray name the time before election day and

00:17:01.240 i don't know speaking of underestimated are you underestimating newsom because he's not a guy

00:17:08.920 you want to underestimate you know that right he he really does he's got the whole package he does

00:17:17.080 have the whole package so if you're underestimating him that's that would be a mistake he he does have

00:17:23.480 the goods he could bring it so uh and again that's from a you know a democrat respect perspective um

00:17:33.720 but what do you think of this idea of him challenging a governor from another state they're not even

00:17:38.200 running against each other or will they huh or will they maybe not this election maybe the next one

00:17:47.000 but also could be this one it could be could be this one it's hard to imagine newsom primary

00:17:55.240 biden but it's possible it could happen it's a weird or or biden could drop down or something

00:18:00.680 but i like the idea completely anytime two politicians uh are willing to debate in public

00:18:09.400 and they're both capable and that's what's different about this these are two media stars

00:18:15.480 who are super capable i would love to see that debate and especially if there's nobody else on stage i

00:18:23.160 don't like these eight people debates do you i mean that's that's barely anything but a few sound bites but you

00:18:29.640 could have an actual debate between two highly capable people with different opinions that would be

00:18:35.160 very useful so i would say newsom you get the win on this one because he's asking for something that i as a

00:18:43.480 a consumer would like to see as a citizen i'd like to see it so i don't think it's going to happen

00:18:50.600 do you i don't think it's going to happen newsom is going to debate his um republican contender for

00:18:59.560 california which is appropriate but no i don't think that's ever going to happen

00:19:03.800 you know what the best news of the year is what is the best news of the year i'm going to say it's

00:19:14.520 de santa's shipping the migrants uh the illegal immigrants as you like to say or undocumented

00:19:21.240 pick your phrase uh up to martha's vineyard this is the only story i could think of where everybody

00:19:29.800 came out ahead and also had something to complain about which is also coming out ahead correct me if

00:19:38.040 i'm wrong but the the migrants themselves don't seem unhappy in fact they're probably being treated

00:19:44.360 pretty well so the migrants are fine i would think i don't see any problem got a little attention

00:19:52.520 it was a little exciting imagine being a migrant you just came from some horrible situation the next 1.00

00:19:57.640 thing you know you're on tv in america and you're at martha's vineyard and you don't know where you're

00:20:03.000 going to end up but it looks like it looks like the country has embraced you that's what i would think

00:20:10.200 if i were a migrant i would think the country had embraced me because one party sent me on a nice trip

00:20:15.880 to a good place and then when we got there that that place made sure i had food and a place to stay

00:20:21.640 i don't know what happens next i'm not sure what happens after they get taken from their cages they're

00:20:29.240 probably in i don't know what happens after that but so you've got the the republicans who were delighted

00:20:36.600 because as a political stunt it was really good as political stunts go it exactly made the case that

00:20:45.400 the republicans want to make they got all the attention they wanted it did deepen the conversation

00:20:51.640 which is what they wanted i'd say the republicans won now how about the democrats they won too

00:20:59.880 so they won because they said yes we will take care of them and then they did what their version

00:21:05.960 of taking care of them is we just sent them off to some military base but that took care of them

00:21:12.440 in my opinion that's not cheating i know that the right-leaning news is sort of acting like that's

00:21:18.680 cheating oh no you didn't keep them in martha's vineyard you shipped them off to a military base

00:21:24.840 to which i say it doesn't matter how you do it i i think the migrants won i think the democrats made

00:21:31.640 their point they actually treated it like a sanctuary they they took care of them and they didn't

00:21:39.480 didn't send them to jail i guess so for some weird reason the the migrants won the democrats won and the

00:21:46.600 republicans won everybody won nobody died and nobody got injured everybody ate nobody got a sunburn

00:21:56.200 taxpayers lost well did they i don't know i'm not even sure taxpayers lost because it costs money

00:22:03.640 but it was money that deepened you know deepened the debate in a way that i think is productive

00:22:10.840 actually so this is one of the most weirdly win-win-win productive things the country has ever done

00:22:19.800 and the fact that we're you know both the republicans and democrats are accusing each other of being the

00:22:25.400 hypocrite it doesn't get any better than that that that is that is peak awesomeness everything about

00:22:33.560 the martha's vineyard story is good everything even the way we're complaining about it is good 0.98

00:22:40.520 because if that's all we have to complain about we're in pretty good shape yeah i guess it's no fun

00:22:46.840 to talk about inflation non-stop we do have real problems but this wasn't one of them and um i do love

00:22:55.160 the republican theory that if there's a part of the country that says hey it's a sanctuary and you're

00:23:02.040 welcome and there's another part of the country that the citizens are like maybe not so much here

00:23:09.640 why isn't this a win for everybody if it's a sanctuary take them to the sanctuary

00:23:17.480 and the way the way de santis has explained it i think was perfect we're not a sanctuary city

00:23:24.520 martha's vineyard is a sanctuary city where does an immigrant want to go an illegal immigrant

00:23:32.040 where do they want to go do they want to go to the place that doesn't want them or the place that

00:23:38.360 says hey sanctuary come on in it's it's weirdly win-win-win even though it's a just a political

00:23:45.320 trick it's the weirdest situation but this is the sort of thing that proves we're in pretty good shape 0.94

00:23:51.000 the fact that this is what we're talking about and and somehow because we're all dumb we've managed to 0.93

00:24:00.280 make this real problem which is you know the debacle at the border if you think about the border and you 0.82

00:24:07.240 know the struggling people trying to stay alive and coming in and how we're treating that's like a big big

00:24:13.160 hard problem but once the news put it in martha's vineyard it became a sitcom oh look it's people

00:24:21.000 it's a fish and a water story it's a it's fresh prince of beverly hills look we took somebody who

00:24:28.200 is not normally in a high-end environment and we put him in a high-end environment uh look at that look

00:24:34.840 at the entertainment we got out of that uh am i right we took an actual human tragedy an ongoing

00:24:43.800 rolling tragedy and we turned it into this little humorous sitcom and now nobody's thinking well not

00:24:51.000 nobody that's an exaggeration it diverted our energy from a real problem to this like sitcom-y thing

00:24:59.320 fish out of water fresh prince of beverly hills situation i don't know i think it trivialized the

00:25:05.080 whole thing but it did it did what the republicans wanted it to do it told the story that they wanted

00:25:10.440 to tell and it looks like de santis is going to be sending some more so we'll see more of this

00:25:17.000 there was some fake news around this um there was some immigrant activist person in other words

00:25:23.720 somebody who was pro-immigration who tweeted something i'm paraphrasing but something along

00:25:29.720 the lines of the way de santis was treating these migrants according to this person was uh it was as

00:25:37.720 if he had been driving around and throwing his trash out the windows from his car and then what did the 1.00

00:25:44.760 people in the right said are you calling are you calling the migrants trash you hypocrite you're supposed 0.99

00:25:52.680 to be on their side then nbc retweeted it you know that's all fake news right did you all did anybody 0.99

00:26:00.360 get fooled by that it's just all fake news the original tweet was accusing de santis of treating

00:26:08.040 the migrants like trash there's no other way to read that but somehow if you got fooled into thinking 1.00

00:26:15.480 the person who tweeted it was saying that either the martha's vineyard people or the person tweeting it 0.99

00:26:22.600 thinks that migrants are trash you really got taken by fake news and it's it's all over the right 0.95

00:26:29.480 the the right is just leaning on this hard that's completely fake it was fake somebody said something 0.98

00:26:36.440 bad about de santis and the people on the right decided to tell you that it was the opposite of what

00:26:42.600 it was there was something bad about migrants that never happened and never happened it was just a comment

00:26:50.600 about de santis

00:26:55.560 but it was you know in a political environment the republicans tried to turn it into a weapon

00:27:02.040 but it was fake it still worked as a weapon

00:27:07.720 i was not aware of this until yesterday that uh our government is copying china

00:27:14.280 uh not really copying but um we're apparently the u.s government is going to have its own digital

00:27:22.120 currency at which point they can track everything now they're they're close to being able to track

00:27:30.280 everything but only for people who have money if you're poor and you pay in cash they can't track you

00:27:36.920 so well but if you have a credit card of any kind oh they can track the hell out of you already

00:27:41.960 but once you have a digital currency one assumes that everything will turn digital eventually

00:27:47.880 then you can't cheat the government you can't have an underground business you can't do any

00:27:52.520 sketchy deals

00:27:55.320 i don't know if you're going to want to live in that world but

00:27:57.400 you know i'll just say it out loud people are uncomfortable living in a world where they can't

00:28:04.840 cheat

00:28:07.960 well am i supposed to say that out loud because people don't say it that way but that's all that's

00:28:13.000 what it is people are very uncomfortable living in a world where they can't break the law and cheat

00:28:19.160 because people want to be able to break the law and cheat

00:28:21.400 it's a very popular thing you know cheating on your taxes taking cash people really really want

00:28:29.080 to do that stuff so we'll see if the government gets away with it i think they will one of the

00:28:36.200 weirdest uh predictions i made maybe 15 or 20 years ago in my book the dilber future i predicted that

00:28:44.920 all crimes would be solved in the future

00:28:47.000 and it sounded ridiculous but i saw this coming once you can uh you've got everybody on video

00:28:56.520 and you can manage everybody's transactions how the hell do you do a crime anymore

00:29:02.360 if we've got a picture of you and we've got your all of your records of where you were and what you

00:29:06.760 spent and what you bought you can't get away with anything it this will first of all get rid of street

00:29:14.040 mugging because there won't be any cash so there's a whole bunch of robbery that will just go away

00:29:19.960 because it won't be cash there's a lot of crime that will go away but it's crime that we're used to

00:29:27.400 we all think that we have a right to that kind of crime right well you know everybody cheats on

00:29:33.080 their taxes a little bit so why can't i uh i avoid that theory because i'm a public figure

00:29:41.400 so i'm really careful on you know my financial world to keep that keep that completely legal you

00:29:50.840 don't want to make that mistake yeah they can steal credit cards so i suppose they can steal your

00:29:57.320 passwords for your crypto so yeah that's what that risk is there but i'm not sure that the common

00:30:04.120 street criminal will be still in business when you have to be a hacker to steal something

00:30:08.840 like if all you needed was a gun there it's a lot more accessible business well here's the update

00:30:17.080 on ukraine um so yesterday was it yesterday some of the comments here were saying that when russia took

00:30:25.640 out that dam that it might have been a clever you know super evil move to strand part of the ukrainian 0.73

00:30:33.480 army so it could be destroyed by the russian army that might be an overstatement as in maybe russia

00:30:41.080 would like you to believe that that was to their favor but it doesn't seem to be true on the ground

00:30:47.800 exactly i mean it might have made a difference but not a big difference and

00:30:54.280 so um

00:30:55.720 um there doesn't seem to be any narrative saying that russia has the ability to counter-attack the

00:31:03.320 counter-attack meaning ukraine is on the offensive and one opinion i saw this morning is that russia's

00:31:11.400 military is designed as a occupation force and not so much a fighting force

00:31:18.840 and if that's true and i have a hard time believing that's true but if it's true then the ukrainians

00:31:26.440 are an offensive force against a basically a non-fighting force which is what it looks like

00:31:34.280 it looks like you know one one came to fight and the other came to squat and the squatters are being

00:31:41.080 killed by the people who came to fight now keep in mind that a hundred percent of anything that i

00:31:48.040 say about ukraine could be completely wrong it could be that i'm reading the wrong propaganda feeds

00:31:55.560 i have no idea but i'll tell you what you don't see anywhere you don't see it coming from russia

00:32:01.240 and you don't see anybody else saying it which is that the russians are making any gains now putin did

00:32:09.720 say they're taking new territory but nobody believes that right nobody believes they're taking new territory

00:32:16.040 i don't think um so at this point the the i would say the forming consensus from the experts who are close

00:32:26.760 enough to have an opinion um are making it look like the ukrainians will be able to liberate that

00:32:34.920 that area now russia of course has options for stepping up the the risk and the danger maybe

00:32:41.400 destroying the rest of the infrastructure in ukraine with long-range weapons that would be pretty bad but

00:32:50.280 they don't seem to have the ability to fight on the ground against the ukrainian advances so what's up

00:32:56.840 with that and and i tell you again that how can you hold territory when all of your local leaders would be the

00:33:05.880 collaborators with russia they'll all be murdered because there's there's no way you could protect 0.99

00:33:12.280 the collaborators could you how are any collaborators ever protected because they still go outdoors i mean

00:33:20.280 they still have families i just don't know how you can do it now i i understand how you could do it before

00:33:25.960 the war had reached this level of conflict like you know russia had their little area that they controlled

00:33:33.560 and they probably just said if anything happens to one of our side really bad things are going to happen

00:33:39.320 to you but if the context is that really bad things are happening to everybody every day because that's

00:33:45.560 what a war is then suddenly the the locals are going to say you know i'm in the middle of a war zone

00:33:53.640 and there's that collaborator over there walking through the public square i'm just going to take

00:33:59.560 that guy out so it seems to be at an all-time high right now worth doing because maybe you killed a few

00:34:09.480 collaborators the situation but now you're at a point where killing collaborators definitely could change

00:34:15.880 the situation definitely good because if any if nothing else it would convince russia that there's no way to

00:34:22.520 hold the territory you just keep killing the collaborators as fast as possible yeah see the

00:34:29.960 difference was that the nazis had they had another way to control populations which was collective

00:34:37.080 punishment so the nazis could say oh you killed one of ours uh give me 500 of your men and we'll line

00:34:44.440 them up and shoot them in front of you and that would work i think but that's not the situation in 0.96

00:34:52.120 ukraine because i don't think putin can do that like if he goes full full hitler in that very specific 0.86

00:34:58.920 way i i don't feel like he could survive it and we'd know about it so he just doesn't have the tools

00:35:05.880 that uh you know a true despot would have working against basically his own people you know the ukrainians

00:35:12.600 and the russians have too much in common uh putin has already done that with civilians i doubt it

00:35:19.800 i doubt it now i don't doubt that there have been war atrocities but i don't think putin has ordered

00:35:26.600 people to line up civilians and shoot them i don't think that happened

00:35:31.960 it may have happened but i don't think he ordered it um it would be a dumb thing to order

00:35:36.760 so the texas supreme court ordered that uh social media platforms can't censor people's voice and

00:35:47.480 i don't quite know what this means yet you know texas is big enough that the social media platforms

00:35:53.560 will have to either satisfy them or not operate in their state do you think they're going to give

00:35:59.640 up on texas because it seems like other states will follow suit since this well i mean i don't know

00:36:07.320 maybe this goes to the the real supreme court maybe gets overturned but if this holds then i would think

00:36:16.200 other states would take a look at it and then social media platforms are going to have to get pretty

00:36:21.000 serious about changing something anyway um and i saw alex berenson uh celebrating this victory

00:36:35.480 what what is your opinion of um i don't want to bring this up as a topic but i'm only interested in

00:36:43.800 the data collection part of it do you think it's possible at this point

00:36:49.000 that all the different medical experts around the world

00:36:56.440 would say nothing about vaccinations if they were actually more dangerous in general we're not talking

00:37:03.160 about the special case of vaccinating children i don't know who's in favor of that but in the case

00:37:09.400 of vaccinating anybody you know just anybody who makes sense to get vaccinated do you think that the

00:37:17.320 all the experts in the world are seeing data that says it's more dangerous than not doing it and

00:37:23.960 yet they're all doing it or do you think that they're all seeing evidence that is working not as vaccine but

00:37:30.840 as a therapeutic and a pre-therapeutic whatever that means

00:37:35.880 so so there there here's what you would have to believe

00:37:44.040 you would have to believe that there's no whistleblower in any country in an official capacity who's

00:37:50.680 willing to say wait a minute wait a minute you're looking at this data this data says it's sketchy

00:37:56.760 why are you all saying it's not where's that person because there are plenty of people outside the

00:38:04.040 system you know the the malones etc there are lots of people outside the system who are saying stuff

00:38:11.560 like that but why nobody inside the system now your first impression is well they can't take the risk

00:38:17.720 risk they can't take the risk but it's a really big world there are always enough people to take the

00:38:25.880 risk there's no shortage of people to take the risk if you're talking about the whole world if you're

00:38:32.440 talking about a specific company or a department within a company yeah yeah maybe nobody takes the risk

00:38:39.720 risk but you're talking about all of the medical experts all the scientists in the world who have

00:38:46.360 access to largely the same information at this point you're telling me that with all those experts

00:38:54.600 if there were solid data saying that the vaccinations are injuring people more than they're helping them

00:39:00.200 you're saying that we wouldn't know that by now now we're not talking about the future that's still

00:39:05.400 unknown but but people a lot of people think that the evidence is still completely here somebody says

00:39:14.040 fear and money but here's my warning to you always there's no such thing as a hundred percent of humans

00:39:22.680 doing the same thing for anything and it's amazing how many times we make that mistake to imagine that

00:39:32.040 people would all act the same so so here's the math of it if you have one person and it's the story is

00:39:41.080 only about one person can you trust that the one person will act like himself oh probably it's one person

00:39:48.360 acting like themselves if you have two people in a story could you imagine that they would act like

00:39:55.320 in tandem together sure it's pretty easy for two people to collude three people gets a little harder

00:40:02.600 ten people harder but when you get to millions millions of people who could potentially

00:40:10.760 you know be a whistleblower or debunk or not even be a whistleblower just send down a tweet

00:40:16.120 just send down a tweet hey i'm a doctor i'm reading this study and this study is telling me

00:40:24.520 something bad you tell me there's not one doctor who's still in the system who won't put out that

00:40:30.760 tweet that would that would be different than everything we know about everything that would change

00:40:36.600 everything about reality if that were true there is no reality where millions of people are on the same

00:40:42.440 side none that is not possible

00:40:49.640 that was the this is the great barrington declaration uh are those people who are

00:40:54.840 working currently within jobs that they haven't been fired

00:41:01.800 mass delusion mass delusion wouldn't do it i don't think it would do it

00:41:07.080 see mass delusion also doesn't get everybody it's the everybody problem it's it's not the majority

00:41:14.520 problem it's the everybody problem uh so dr drew was talking about it so the trouble is

00:41:27.960 that the people who who are saying negatives about it tend to be the people who talk about things in public

00:41:37.960 but we're not seeing like you know a member of the top

00:41:42.680 medical team of some european country say you know we're all looking at the same information but

00:41:49.080 i'm looking at this differently this doesn't look good to me

00:41:55.720 anyway keep that in mind what are the odds i guess uh in pennsylvania the two uh candidates for senate

00:42:05.160 federman and oz have decided to debate

00:42:09.960 i'm going to watch that one

00:42:13.240 because one of the debaters had a stroke federman and we don't even know if he can debate

00:42:20.280 because his public appearances have suggested that

00:42:24.840 for health reasons it's difficult for him to form sentences how do you debate if you can't form

00:42:30.920 sentences reliably will you get a sympathy vote well apparently democrats have already said they don't

00:42:37.880 care so they democrats have said well if his policies are good we don't need him to be able to talk and

00:42:45.880 think and walk and stuff like that and and i think biden made that easy so if you think federman can't win

00:42:54.680 because he's obviously degraded you have to keep in mind that the republican the democrats have looked at

00:43:01.720 two years of joe biden who's clearly degraded and they're saying to themselves yeah that worked that

00:43:08.440 worked give us some more of that because it worked so well with biden why wouldn't it work with this other

00:43:13.960 person who can't walk and talk why not so i think the uh the room got softened up by biden

00:43:26.520 all right well it's a slow news day

00:43:30.200 and i don't know what else we have to talk about do you is there something amiss was there a

00:43:37.400 uh yeah is that really a neck tumor he has or is that just neck fat fetterman i can't tell there's

00:43:44.920 some pictures of him looking like he's got a big old lump on the back of his neck but it might be just

00:43:51.080 a neck fat um did republican strategists reach out to me no no nor nor would i expect them to

00:44:03.960 so the trouble is if you're a strategist you think you don't need other people's advice because you're

00:44:11.880 selling advice the the people who are selling advice are not going to ask for my advice because people

00:44:19.320 can get that for free imagine being a high-priced uh consultant all right you're let's say you're

00:44:28.040 charging i don't know 100 000 per month which is probably in the ballpark right high-end strategist

00:44:35.160 100 000 per month are you going to charge 100 000 per month and then bring to the person who's paying

00:44:42.200 the bill an idea that you saw for free on twitter or youtube i mean i'm not sure how you do that

00:44:52.120 oh you know i'm charging you 100 000 per month but you know if you just watch this youtube channel for free

00:44:58.040 you'd have everything you need so let me just show you the youtube channel and you give me my

00:45:01.960 hundred thousand dollars for this month i don't know it's pretty hard pretty hard

00:45:12.920 um what about james clear i like where you're going with that comment but i don't know where it's going

00:45:20.120 um

00:45:29.720 scott cover the agree and topic argument on january 6 that i did on locals uh

00:45:38.920 i'm pretty tired this morning well what did i say about that

00:45:43.640 well i if i just rethink it from scratch i'll probably come come to the same place

00:45:49.320 the republicans need to say that the assault on the capitol was terrible the violent parts

00:45:55.640 and that we should move on and that we should agree that both sides should work hard for

00:46:02.600 election transparency and integrity it's a winning message because it's not like they're going to go

00:46:10.200 back in time anyway it wouldn't matter how how bad it was now the ray epps thing i've also said

00:46:21.160 we should make a national agreement the democrats and republicans independence too

00:46:25.480 is to base our entire opinion on ray epps

00:46:31.000 now he doesn't explain everything no matter what you know about him it doesn't really explain everything

00:46:38.040 but we can agree that he does

00:46:41.480 imagine if we looked into it and we were convinced all of us that he really wasn't an fbi agent it's

00:46:48.920 possible right very possible would you be willing to drop it then say all right all right we don't know

00:46:58.280 what happened but let's agree to move on if if the ray apps thing is nothing let's agree to move on

00:47:05.160 even if there's something there we'll try to we'll try to fix it for the next time

00:47:08.520 but what if you find out that ray epps actually was working for the fbi or associated with him in

00:47:15.080 some productive way then then you get to say all right we were right release all these people from

00:47:21.720 their prisons and uh and then still focus on the future so the the bad argument is there was nothing

00:47:34.520 that went wrong on on january 6th that's just a bad argument and it's maybe even worse to say oh it's

00:47:41.720 just a few few violent people i'd rather just say yeah it was a horrible thing let's let's uh let's

00:47:50.760 move on let's find out what we can about ray epps and then just move on

00:47:57.480 how can he prove he wasn't fbi

00:47:59.480 hmm i don't know i guess that calls into question what proof means

00:48:10.040 but i suppose if uh if he were interrogated enough you could find out one way or another

00:48:20.520 uh

00:48:22.520 there's a streak of insanity you know it's funny that we all watch politics as if the politicians

00:48:29.400 mean it to be serious and then we debate it like they meant it to be serious

00:48:35.800 i'm way past that like it's hard to debate things that people didn't mean to be serious

00:48:42.280 as if it were serious i can't get past the fact that they didn't mean it when they said it

00:48:47.720 if you didn't mean it when you said it and it's obvious didn't mean it when you said i don't need

00:48:51.880 to debate whether it's true or false if you didn't mean it when you said it and it's obvious

00:49:01.240 uh epps could prove it by going to trial no you couldn't really prove it prove it

00:49:06.920 because you can't prove a negative you could simply show there's no evidence of it maybe

00:49:11.640 a simulated yeah so we do have uh videos now of the simulated 300 dead per day but put them in a pile

00:49:30.520 um and today we did another uh dilbert esg cartoon

00:49:35.160 and i don't yet know how many newspapers have canceled me or or censored this week

00:49:43.080 but uh things are going to get a lot dicier in the coming days

00:49:50.040 so i just wrote a series that i don't know if the newspapers will publish

00:49:57.400 uh i'll give you a uh a preview

00:49:59.640 dilbert's life is going to mirror my own personal experience so there's going to be an opening for a

00:50:07.720 promotion and dilbert will be one of the people considered and the boss will will tell him he's

00:50:14.440 being considered but he's being considered along with alice not alice uh tina the tech writer who has no

00:50:21.640 qualifications for the the job opening uh dave the new employee who looks black but 0.89

00:50:29.240 because he's a prankster he identifies as white just to thwart the boss and uh ashuk the uh intern

00:50:40.680 now you may have noticed that each of those three characters have something extra going on

00:50:45.960 right so they're either people of color or female and the way it's being set up is that dilbert will be

00:50:54.360 known to all evolved including the other people who are up for the job even they will know that

00:50:58.840 dilbert is the most qualified for this opening but he will not get the job so

00:51:07.560 do you think i'm going to get away with that

00:51:12.520 do you do you want do you want it do you want to hear the writing before i draw it

00:51:19.880 i might read it to you let's see i don't think i can find it quickly enough but if i can

00:51:25.800 um on my little device here i will read you the ones that i think are going to get

00:51:34.360 killed let's see

00:51:35.560 uh nope i'll find it in a minute

00:51:50.120 dillbert dailies god it is there it is it's so hard to find things you ever notice that

00:51:58.040 um and then they're not scanned in order

00:52:06.520 modified

00:52:09.000 short by modified oh god they're all they're all sorted in a some random order that doesn't look

00:52:14.920 like they can be resorted why is this so hard anyway i guess i can't

00:52:22.360 the the interface for dropbox is so bad that i can't even just like go in and see uh see my own files

00:52:33.560 they're organized chronologically it doesn't look like you can sort them

00:52:40.360 there's no way that they didn't leave me with that option

00:52:42.280 can i really not sort them it'd be crazy it doesn't look like i can

00:52:55.160 amazing all right sorry i mumbled and looked away from you for a while

00:53:01.160 um but i'll look at it on another computer and read it to the locals people after we're done here

00:53:05.800 with youtube and yes it'll be a locals exclusive

00:53:12.360 um

00:53:14.840 oh god

00:53:20.040 how dare you that's the punchline of an upcoming comic how dare you

00:53:27.960 all right that's all for now youtube i'll talk to you tomorrow

00:53:31.720 you tomorrow locals stay on here with me

00:53:41.720 you

00:53:41.800 you

00:53:43.800 you

00:53:45.800 you

00:53:47.800 you

00:53:49.800 you

00:53:51.800 you

00:53:53.800 you

00:53:55.800 you

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 17, 2022

Episode 1869 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About Those Migrants Going To Martha's Vineyard, Everybody Wins

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