Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1874 Scott Adams： Lots Of News About Fentanyl, Trump, Elections, And Affirmative Action

00:00:00.000 Good morning everybody and wow don't you look sexy today it's probably the

00:00:10.880 coffee that you haven't had yet but will and how would you like to take it up to

00:00:16.000 stratospheric levels of awesomeness the best thing that anybody's ever

00:00:19.760 experienced ever in the history of the universe yes all you need is a cupboard

00:00:24.840 mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stein a canteen jugger flask a vessel of

00:00:28.000 any guide fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for

00:00:35.440 the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day the thing that makes

00:00:38.680 everything better everything it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now

00:00:44.440 the finest sip in all of the land you know the Sun never sets on the

00:01:00.320 simultaneous sip somewhere around the world at any moment there's somebody doing the

00:01:06.880 the simultaneous sip yeah it's true well I have an alert this is sort of an early warning I like

00:01:17.560 to catch problems when they're just developing some people wait till it's too late not me I like to

00:01:24.120 catch them early you've all seen planet of the apes the the apes become sentient and intelligent and

00:01:33.340 I guess they were sentient but they become intelligent when they take over the world

00:01:37.780 well I'm seeing the same thing starting to develop not with monkeys not with apes

00:01:44.020 both dogs I've been watching a lot of reels on Instagram and I've determined the following

00:01:51.820 there are two kinds of dogs one dumb dogs that's the kind I have a dumb dog eats and poops and likes to take a

00:02:03.300 walks and basically it's a dog but have you noticed it that the reels that involve specifically husky dogs

00:02:11.880 have you have you seen any of those reels there's something about that specific kind of dog that's

00:02:21.960 starting to worry me because if you watch enough of these you know animal related funny videos you start

00:02:30.120 to notice a pattern the husky dogs are very close to fully intelligent it's really weird and I you

00:02:40.200 know I feel if I had been one dog I would have said to myself well that's one clever dog but it does look

00:02:47.640 to me like the huskies are have evolved to something that doesn't look like dog intelligence it's scary I

00:02:55.780 mean some of them seem to just have full language skills they can't talk but they can hear I don't

00:03:01.720 know what's going on but keep an eye on those huskies you can take over the world just before I got on I

00:03:08.620 heard about another medical cure that I can take credit for the weirdest thing about my career arc is how

00:03:18.700 many medical problems I've solved for other people like a lot thousands thousands and thousands of

00:03:26.500 people and in a variety of different ways it's a whole bunch of different special cases that if you

00:03:33.520 put them together would be a weird story by itself one of those special cases was I had an exotic rare voice

00:03:41.860 condition years ago which made it impossible to communicate I couldn't speak without my vocal cords

00:03:48.580 clenching shut so for three and a half years I sought a treatment for that and I found the only surgeon

00:03:56.360 in the world who had a you know experimental semi-experimental he'd worked on it awhile voice surgery so I ended up

00:04:06.520 researching that and getting the surgery and now you can hear I can speak and what I did was is I said

00:04:13.240 wait if I'm the only one who knows this is curable and there are 30,000 people in the United States who

00:04:20.980 have the same problem I need to tell them so I did promotional stuff for People magazine and I mentioned it

00:04:29.380 often and if you google your voice problem my name probably comes up and then you can find my story and

00:04:34.720 then you can find your own solution well I just heard from another one that these the surgeon who did my

00:04:40.720 surgery that worked that surgery didn't work every time so something like 15% 1.5 ended up with a worse

00:04:50.860 result at least when I got the surgery but apparently that same surgeon has developed a newer one in

00:04:57.440 which they don't have to rewire some nerves they just cut out a little piece of muscle that's causing a

00:05:04.060 problem and this gentleman who heard about it from me is cured this is only whose entire life is

00:05:14.860 completely different because he heard about a doctor and the surgery and then he went and got it and now

00:05:22.120 he's cured do you know good that makes me feel like like I actually get to be part of the success story of

00:05:31.060 thousands of thousands of people thousands who've just been cured of the biggest one of the biggest

00:05:37.540 problems I've ever had it's called spasmodic dysphonia is the name of the voice problem and then the surgery

00:05:46.020 is from a dr burke in los angeles dr burke dr gerald burke b-e-r-k-e not you b-e-r-k-e so if you're looking for it

00:06:00.580 there he is uh rasmussen asked uh a poll a bunch of likely voters in the u.s how likely do you think

00:06:10.580 there will be widespread cheating in the midterms that will affect the outcome right so remember the

00:06:17.540 the words are widespread cheating and affect the outcome so it has to be big enough that

00:06:24.340 it could change who got elected what do you think the general public thought of that do you think that

00:06:30.900 the republicans maybe thought there'd be trouble but the democrats said things would be fine

00:06:35.780 is that what you expected well eighty percent of the people who answered that answered that it was

00:06:43.860 very or somewhat likely that there would be widespread cheating in the midterms that will affect the

00:06:48.980 outcome eighty percent eighty percent of all the people i'm not talking about just just um republicans

00:07:01.300 that includes democrats eighty percent of all the people

00:07:07.540 and that does leave about 20 percent who don't think that's likely now do you remember when people

00:07:15.060 used to uh tell me that i was crazy for saying this non-politician who wanted to get into politics

00:07:23.540 was persuasive somebody named trump you've heard of him and i said oh you don't see what's coming

00:07:30.660 he's not just persuasive he's crazy persuasive and people said no he's not he's not persuasive nobody's

00:07:40.260 going to believe the stuff he's saying it's crazy

00:07:45.940 eighty percent of the country thinks our elections are real

00:07:51.060 that's all him that's all trump now you can say other people are saying it too and that's true

00:07:57.300 but only because he said it right if trump hadn't kept this up it would have you know died out like

00:08:03.540 every other election where somebody says it's rigged and then they forget about it

00:08:07.620 so uh that's amazing now i believe that the way the question was asked has the most to do with how

00:08:17.860 it got this big number i don't believe the country is actually this skeptical about the elections

00:08:24.180 here's what i think people were thinking when they answered the question

00:08:28.180 i think what they were thinking is they don't trust the other side

00:08:33.780 don't you think if you said what are the odds that the other team will cheat what would be the answer

00:08:40.020 eighty percent right what do you think of the odds that the other team the team you're not on

00:08:45.860 what do you think of the odds that they would cheat oh eighty percent whichever team you ask right

00:08:51.540 so i think that's all that happened i'm not sure this is actually a you know a snapshot of some

00:08:58.500 gigantic persuasive change i think it might be just a team play situation could be in the way that the

00:09:04.020 question was constructed that's one of the pitfalls with polls is that the exact way the question is

00:09:11.780 constructed will get you very different answers you think it's the same question but it's not interpreted

00:09:17.300 that way people will throw in their own assumptions there whether you like it or not so i'd keep an

00:09:23.620 eye on that but i do think there's a more skepticism than before how many of you saw trump's interview with

00:09:30.180 hannity last night i guess the first major interview since uh the boxes at mar-a-lago were an issue

00:09:37.940 and if you saw how do you think he did because i haven't seen him in that specific context in a

00:09:46.020 while where he had to answer some questions i mean they were friendly questions but they were important

00:09:50.580 questions you know i don't think hannity avoided the big questions you know you could argue whether he

00:09:57.700 you know hammered down on the follow-up as hard as he should have i don't think he did but but i thought

00:10:03.380 he did a solid job right i think somebody less friendly to the president because they're famously

00:10:09.380 friends right everybody knows that they're actually personal friends so you don't really expect the

00:10:15.300 hardball interview and as long as that's fully disclosed you know the president's my personal friend

00:10:22.100 you know that's not the biggest problem right i also didn't mind watching the cuomo brothers on tv

00:10:29.540 i'm the only person in the world who said that's fine it's fully disclosed if you know it's his

00:10:34.180 brother you can handle that can't you i mean you might not find it entertaining but if you know he's

00:10:41.380 talking to his own brother at least you can modify that in your mind to say okay don't believe that this

00:10:48.100 is a real interview so the hannity and trump thing i think is more of an event than an interview would you

00:10:54.740 agree it's more of a an event than any kind of hard-hitting interview and that's fine i don't

00:11:02.260 that's not a criticism it's completely fine because there can be hard-hitting interviews trump does those

00:11:08.500 too right but as long as you know that hannity and trump are friends you know what you're getting all

00:11:15.380 right um here's my take so trump's explanation i'm going to paraphrase here because it was a long

00:11:24.500 interview but i'm going to paraphrase trump's explanation of what was going on with those

00:11:30.260 documents in those boxes at mar-a-lago and here's here's the funny part when you hear trump explain

00:11:37.140 it now again i don't know it's true i'm not saying i automatically believe anything about this story

00:11:43.780 or any person all right i'm not saying that i'm just reporting what happened that trump's explanation

00:11:49.860 is the most obvious explanation what what would be the most obvious explanation of all this

00:11:58.100 he didn't have anything to do with what went in the boxes and he didn't know what was in there

00:12:03.060 that's the most obvious explanation and that's the one he gave the one he gave is the most obvious one

00:12:09.140 yeah i'm that wasn't my business to know what's in a box i mean i'm paraphrasing he didn't say that

00:12:16.020 but the way the way he told it it looked like he genuinely didn't know what kind of documents were

00:12:21.940 even a problem so i don't think even trump knows what documents are controversial in that group doesn't

00:12:30.420 that sound like the most reasonably true thing now i'm not saying it's true i'm saying that if before

00:12:38.180 you'd heard it you'd say what's the most likely thing well most likely somebody who operates at trump's

00:12:44.100 level never got near a box and and some tape or whatever they close them up with

00:12:51.860 then the second thing he said which he did not do a good job at he did not do a good job at this

00:12:57.540 because he didn't word it right but he could have he indicated that the those documents were unclassified

00:13:04.980 by the actions he took so he says directly there's no process there's no required process

00:13:14.500 that he has to follow as president when he was present to declassify anything and since there's

00:13:20.180 no formal process it cannot be said that you did the process wrong you simply had to have done something

00:13:27.540 that declassified them and his argument is that moving them in a very obvious direct way from the

00:13:35.300 secured location to his home was a clear signal to everybody that he declassified it now here's my

00:13:43.540 question can you declassify a box whose contents you don't know does that even make sense what would it

00:13:53.060 mean if he said okay obviously all of these boxes i'm shipping right in front of everybody you all see

00:13:59.940 it like we're not hiding it look at look at all these boxes they're being loaded on the truck

00:14:05.060 no secrets here so i would agree with him so far so here's where i agree i do agree that if there's no

00:14:13.380 formal process that his actions are clear if you take it out of a secure place and everybody and everybody's

00:14:21.700 watching it and then you move it to an unsecure place that's de facto declassification i think

00:14:29.300 that argument actually works what i don't know is can you declassify something that you don't know you

00:14:35.380 declassified that's more of a problem isn't it if you just said well if it's in those boxes consider it

00:14:43.220 declassified now if he has complete power which i believe the constitution allows him right

00:14:51.380 complete is it the constitution but he has complete power of declassified so would that complete power

00:14:59.380 include saying i don't know what's in that box but it's all declassified i think i would argue that

00:15:05.220 he does have that power wouldn't you i mean it'd be weird but probably true i don't know it feels like

00:15:13.300 a dershowitz argument to this i haven't heard dershowitz way in on this but i feel like trump's take on this

00:15:19.860 is probably what a dershowitz argument would be that if your actions have caused an obvious

00:15:28.180 an obvious declassification then you should consider them declassified

00:15:33.620 and here's the thing what if it's a gray area suppose it's a gray area you know i just described it

00:15:40.740 maybe some of you said yeah that sounds i'll buy that and then others if you said no no i'm not going

00:15:45.780 to buy that then trump wins right because there's no process if a reasonable person me i'm a reasonable

00:15:54.980 person some of you are reasonable if reasonable people not all of them but if some reasonable people

00:16:01.140 would say yeah that argument works if it was obvious he was taking them that's declassified

00:16:06.980 then i think that's all he needs because there was no process all right um

00:16:18.340 i thought trump was again um lacking a forward vision it's a weird situation because the forward

00:16:28.020 vision is explicitly to go back to where we were so maybe he doesn't need to say it because he's saying

00:16:36.740 you know it's pretty obvious that he would well you know what trump would do right it's a strange

00:16:41.620 situation isn't it because if it were anybody else i would say you better be telling us what you're

00:16:47.540 going to do don't just tell us what's bad about the current situation but in his specific case you do

00:16:53.060 know exactly what he would do you kind of do now he claims that the ukraine situation would never have

00:16:59.780 happened uh if he were in charge now the first time i heard that i said to myself well i know you

00:17:08.580 never know that right that would be hard to know and he says that he you know directly threatened putin

00:17:15.380 to not do military action when he was in in office but here's the part you can't argue with with trump

00:17:22.340 in charge america would be producing more energy true true right if america were producing lots more

00:17:31.700 energy would europe be as threatened by the gas turnoffs i think not right now i don't know exactly know

00:17:41.380 how fungible gas is do you have enough tankers could you move our excess over there or would

00:17:47.380 there be logistics problems you couldn't do it but i think there's an argument i'm seeing some no's

00:17:54.980 okay i don't know if the no what the no refers to but i think the argument holds that trump would have

00:18:00.580 kept energy prices um modest and fuel more available and that therefore um russia's biggest weapon

00:18:09.700 wouldn't have been available to them what do you think i i think that's actually a pretty good

00:18:15.780 opinion i i think that trump's view that it wouldn't have happened if he had been president

00:18:22.500 is supportable it's not guaranteed you know you can't really do a what if what if nobody knows

00:18:28.420 it's impossible to know but his argument does hold water it does yeah so we'll never know

00:18:36.900 russia has called up its reservists those 300 000 people who probably are poorly trained and too old

00:18:43.060 and don't want to go back to war or at least don't to the military and all of the coverage can you give

00:18:51.620 me a fact check on this the news of all type in the united states is reporting that trump that russia is

00:19:00.580 losing and it doesn't look like that's going to change now i'm not that's not my opinion i'm saying

00:19:07.300 that the reporting is now consistently across all media saying that russia is losing it doesn't look like

00:19:15.780 there's a way to change that because their their manpower thing looks pretty dire and ukraine looks

00:19:22.100 like nothing's going to stop them because they've got support they've got morale and everything else now

00:19:28.260 will you please

00:19:31.460 acknowledge

00:19:34.180 that i had the best military prediction about ukraine in the entire united states

00:19:39.140 anybody are you ready to do that yet anybody no i see some no's you're gonna hold tight aren't you

00:19:51.140 you're gonna hold tight all right remember my prediction was my prediction was that ukraine would

00:19:56.980 outperform the military experts predictions will you give me that would you give me that ukraine has

00:20:04.900 outperformed the the experts predictions but they did not outperform my prediction would you give me

00:20:13.700 that and would you give me that the reasons given have mostly to do with advanced weaponry provided to ukraine

00:20:22.820 which was specifically what i said would be the key would you give me that right now here's here's the

00:20:30.820 thing that might drive you crazy about me this sort of thing drives a lot of you crazy because i do

00:20:37.380 insist that you recognize that that was that was correct i do insist and the reason is is not because

00:20:45.060 i made one one prediction i make predictions regularly and if you don't track them to see when i'm right and

00:20:52.100 when i'm wrong you lose half the value of watching me right you should have some sense of how often i'm

00:20:58.020 right now i want to give you some examples of where the experts were wrong and i was right

00:21:07.140 when the experts said uh mass we're telling you don't use masks and i said no the experts are lying

00:21:14.420 i was the only person in the country the only person and you could check that there was not one person in

00:21:20.260 the world who said on day one you're obviously lying about the masks now i don't want to get into do

00:21:25.860 masks work that's a separate question for now and boring we don't want to talk about that but we

00:21:32.500 could all agree that fauci lied about his opinion of masks right we all agree he lied because he says he

00:21:38.660 lied i'm the only person who called that out i'm the only one there was nobody else in the country who

00:21:45.540 saw it from the jump i was like that's obviously a lie right somebody says bannon i don't think so

00:21:55.860 okay now i also predicted that the vaccinations would not work as vaccinations am i an expert on

00:22:05.060 vaccinations no but did i get that right and i said therapeutics would be the the main thing that

00:22:12.820 makes a difference that's about as right as you can be i don't think you could be more right than that

00:22:18.260 somebody says i'm wrong 25 of the time that's probably right that feels about right i would

00:22:27.940 accept that actually i think my prediction's wrong at least 25 of the time because nobody can do this

00:22:34.020 all the time right nobody's right all the time and 25 that sounds about right yeah so with the

00:22:42.260 so with my predictions here i guess it was a point i was going to make my my prediction is not that i'm

00:22:48.340 smarter than experts it's never that my prediction is that a non-expert can identify lying that's all

00:22:59.700 i say a non-expert can identify when an expert is lying if you are an expert at identifying lying

00:23:06.100 so i i claim some expertise in identifying liars so when you see me disagree with experts

00:23:16.180 sometimes i'm just disagreeing with liars i didn't need their expertise i just needed my expertise

00:23:22.260 right so that's where it's a trick it looks like it looks like i'm pretending i'm smarter than experts

00:23:28.420 and i've never done that i've never pretended i knew more than an expert i've only pretended that my

00:23:34.420 expertise is spotting experts lying do you remember when it was common that everybody believed passion

00:23:43.700 was the key to success because because the billionaires were telling you it was true

00:23:49.300 and i told you well it's obviously not true but that doesn't give me the skills of a mark zuckerberg

00:23:56.580 it doesn't give me the skills of a warren buffett it doesn't give me the skills of the people i was

00:24:01.700 calling bullshit on i only needed my own skill identifying bullshit right that's my own skill

00:24:11.060 all right there's a so putin did his little uh he did a uh video i don't know what it was a statement

00:24:22.020 or a press conference or something but did you see his awkward um posture

00:24:27.780 his right hand the one that people have suggested has some parkinson's or something

00:24:33.940 was very awkwardly on top of a table in a way that nobody sits especially if you're going to be doing

00:24:41.460 an extended leader interview right his left arm seemed to have a little action going on but his right arm

00:24:48.340 was flat on the table and if you watch his thumb his thumb kept doing this so it looked like he was

00:24:54.500 trying to stop a motion problem now you could have argued that his right thumb was sort of mirroring

00:25:01.300 his left hand so that when he was gesturing you know he said it was just sort of an automatic little

00:25:07.460 thing that happened with the other hand but if you're gesturing with one hand you're going to gesture

00:25:13.460 with two he gestured only with one in my opinion it's obvious that he has some kind of physical

00:25:21.860 problem with that arm would anybody agree it looks like parkinson's but you know i'm not a medical

00:25:29.940 expert i can say if something looks wrong i'm not qualified to diagnose it would that stop me probably

00:25:36.980 not too wouldn't want to be yeah do you think he just uh overused his masturbation arm you think that's

00:25:45.860 possibility now um so that's my first thing second is uh he does look like a leader who's in trouble

00:25:56.340 and doesn't have an exit strategy because his internal pressure must be really high right now and

00:26:06.420 what's he gonna do is he gonna have to use a nuke because he can't lose

00:26:11.460 we do have a problem giving putin an exit ramp and until he has an exit ramp why would he ever

00:26:18.500 change what he's doing i mean he's gonna go he's gonna kill every last russian soldier

00:26:23.700 if he doesn't have any option so we better figure out how to give him an option

00:26:30.020 i don't think the biden administration wants him to have an option i think they want him to be taken out

00:26:34.180 now have you heard about all the russian associates of putin who seem to be dying by falling downstairs

00:26:41.700 and falling out of windows have you heard about all that and they all seem to be prior people who are

00:26:48.900 close to putin uh and everybody says well obviously putin is killing all these people who were maybe

00:26:57.780 saying bad things about him but i have another hypothesis they stopped saying that they were

00:27:06.340 critics of putin have you noticed that it used to be a critic of putin was murdered and you're like well

00:27:12.660 obviously putin but then it turned out associates of putin are being murdered

00:27:20.420 is that putin why isn't that ukraine are you telling me ukraine has not sent out

00:27:27.460 death squads to kill all of his friends who live overseas and if they haven't why not

00:27:36.180 and i also wonder if the uh the billionaire friends who lived overseas maybe have some function for putin

00:27:43.540 that we don't know about meaning money laundering maybe i mean i don't know is there something that

00:27:52.820 putin gains by having billionaire friends that he can control that live in other countries yeah i'll get

00:28:00.980 to that what what if it's the cia now i don't know if the cia can assassinate civilians who don't have a

00:28:09.140 you know obvious terrorist connection i'm not sure what the law is there but could the cia simply start

00:28:16.900 taking out all of putin's associates who live anywhere in the world and if they're not why

00:28:23.780 wouldn't zelensky do it because most of the people who are being killed are people who are

00:28:29.380 high enough profile that you'd know exactly where they live if you know where somebody lives and you're

00:28:34.660 ukrainian and you think they're on putin's side why wouldn't you kill them if if this were world war

00:28:40.980 two and hitler had known associates who were billionaires living in other countries i'd kill

00:28:48.900 one myself i wouldn't hesitate if i were ukrainian and i knew where one of these um putin associates

00:28:57.060 lived and i had access to kill him i'd kill him just for being a known associate of putin during a war

00:29:04.340 is that too far i mean even as a civilian if i could get away with it i'd probably kill him

00:29:11.940 yeah i know i would probably kill him so i think that if you understand in the context of war it

00:29:17.780 could have been anybody could have been ukraine could have been us could have been nato could have

00:29:23.860 been anybody but i don't think it's putin

00:29:28.020 if i had to guess i think putin killed a few and then it made it easy for easier for other people to

00:29:36.500 hang every murder on putin i feel like i feel like the us is killing people or ukraine or somebody

00:29:46.180 we don't know just guessing um there was some fake news that russians are trying to leave the country

00:29:52.740 through finland's border but apparently that was based on photographs of just normal lines at the

00:29:59.940 border so finland has said nobody's there's no escape from russia going on that's not happening

00:30:07.220 um and maybe it's not

00:30:11.300 so and then uh there was a report that uh the ukrainians captured you know dozens or maybe up

00:30:17.620 to 200 tanks that were abandoned by the soviets and the soviets abandoned by the russians because

00:30:24.740 they were retreating so quickly do you believe that it comes from a ukrainian source and a fog of war so

00:30:32.820 it's totally believable isn't it no

00:30:39.620 uh

00:30:39.860 uh

00:30:42.260 yeah no all right

00:30:48.260 um let's talk about fentanyl

00:30:52.740 so here's what i've learned by reading up on this lately so china apparently did try to crack down on

00:31:02.100 their internal sources of fentanyl that were going to the cartels that were going to the united states

00:31:07.860 under trump now the story is and i'm not sure i believe it the story is that they did actually

00:31:13.140 try to crack down on it and that they did succeed and that china's flow of fentanyl actually was vastly

00:31:20.900 reduced for a little while but then the so-called chinese cartel drug cartels found out ways around it

00:31:30.260 and they they sent precursors instead of the actual fentanyl so they found clever ways to thwart the law

00:31:37.860 does that sound even a little bit

00:31:40.820 true that doesn't sound even a little bit true because if china wanted to stop it for

00:31:46.900 international reasons it wouldn't matter that they found a clever way to skirt the law

00:31:51.380 china would have just dragged him in and said stop skirting the law

00:31:54.900 i know where you live you're going to be dead and by tuesday if you keep skirting this law

00:32:00.500 and then they would stop skirting the law so obviously it had to come from the top right

00:32:04.980 so i don't believe that china ever was serious in any way about stopping fentanyl

00:32:10.340 but apparently because of pelosi and taiwan pelosi going to taiwan china has stopped even pretending

00:32:18.660 to enforce it so that's part of their pushback they're not going to force fentanyl

00:32:24.980 okay so what do you do well here's some things that the republicans doing um governor abbott in texas

00:32:33.940 uh signed an executive order declaring the cartels a terrorist organization

00:32:39.860 which i understand allows them to treat every fentanyl overdose as murder

00:32:46.100 now the practical implications of that are not much right i don't because just because the cartels are

00:32:53.700 accused of murder and maybe some maybe the the dealer locally is accused of murder

00:32:59.540 it might help and my help is way better than nothing and it signals some some uh maybe a change in

00:33:07.780 thinking and and i think he's also encouraging the federal government to do the same but they won't

00:33:12.580 because it's biden at the same time i heard but i'll need a confirmation on this that there were 18

00:33:20.740 attorney generals in different states that want to classify fentanyl as a weapon of mass destruction

00:33:27.060 that one in particular is that one in particular is that one in particular is Wyoming Montana i forget which

00:33:32.500 country is iowa there's there's one state that's a that's serious about it all right so now we've got uh

00:33:39.780 the cartels being designated terrorist organizations and we've got attorney generals wanting to

00:33:45.940 classify fentanyl as weapons of mass destruction where do those ideas come from

00:33:51.220 anybody recognize any of those ideas

00:33:56.180 what was it missouri yeah i have my states wrong there so just ignore my states

00:34:09.140 right so then matt gates uh came out and said directly uh he suggests bombing the cartels

00:34:16.340 and they said seriously seriously bombing the cartel now so now it's actually uh

00:34:26.100 it's out in the open so i've told you before what it is that i can do that makes a difference

00:34:33.380 here's one thing i can do that makes a difference if there's an idea that's too far

00:34:37.460 i can float it and see what happens when i first said we need to bomb the cartels that sounded pretty

00:34:47.060 extreme didn't it first time you ever heard it it's like whoa a crazy guy we're not going there

00:34:55.060 that'd be crazy right first time you heard it and then i keep saying it and then you start thinking

00:35:02.100 well people are not pushing back as hard as i would think and then a politician can say it

00:35:10.820 and they don't get pushed back either so i think it widened the uh

00:35:17.540 it widened what we can talk about and that was an important first step it widened what we can talk

00:35:23.540 about now how do we actually make a difference with the cartels here's what i would do

00:35:29.460 number one i would give the cartels a date certain to get out of the fentanyl business

00:35:36.660 only if you said on a certain date you have to stop doing everything illegal of course they

00:35:43.700 wouldn't do anything differently right the cartels aren't going to make any change just because we

00:35:48.740 complained but suppose you said okay cartels the drugs you're sending are a big problem but the

00:35:56.420 fentanyl you're sending is a weapon of mass destruction and we're gonna we're gonna just

00:36:02.260 pave your entire operation we're going to turn it into dust and you've got until this date to get

00:36:11.300 out of just that business just the fentanyl if you're still selling cocaine and heroin we're still

00:36:17.700 going to try to kill you for it but we're not going to do it militarily we'll do it you know the old

00:36:22.260 fashion way but so there's the there's the line in the sand if on this date you're selling one

00:36:29.460 pill of fentanyl we're just going to pave your whole fucking operation you're all dead and nothing's

00:36:34.900 going to stop us and just see if that creates a situation where they would be willing to negotiate

00:36:41.540 part two direct negotiations with the head of the cartels i don't know if we've ever tried that

00:36:48.580 before do you direct negotiation and the direct negotiation should say this if you don't stop

00:36:56.260 fentanyl today we're killing you and it doesn't matter what it costs or how long it takes we're

00:37:02.740 going to fucking kill you you're gone your whole operation and all your children all dead that's the

00:37:10.020 negotiation now here's the thing with the cartels they have the putin problem they don't have that

00:37:20.180 retirement plan the cartel can't just retire now it could stop selling fentanyl and still make plenty

00:37:29.380 of money and still be a cartel so they do have a way to go if they don't want to escalate it to full

00:37:34.100 warfare i don't think they do but you should also offer them a retirement plan that looks like this

00:37:43.220 roughly speaking right this is just an example and it would go like this we'll give you stock

00:37:50.740 in uh in pharma manufacturing startups in mexico so we'll move our pharma manufacturing to mexico

00:38:00.420 because the u.s is just too hard regulation wise and we'll build some manufacturing there but it will

00:38:07.220 only be the manufacturing part it's not the r d and the high-end stuff it's just manufacturing and

00:38:12.340 we'll give the cartel heads uh two percent of the stock they won't have any control they won't have

00:38:20.100 any management they just get some stock just like anybody who buys stock and you say here's the deal

00:38:26.180 if you shut down everything illegal we'll let you stay rich you can even own this stock and your

00:38:34.740 family will be safe forever you'll have full full pardons and your family can just live and you'll have

00:38:41.860 your you'll have your rich legacy forever but if you sell one more piece of fentanyl you're all dead

00:38:48.260 i know i know that what we're doing now doesn't work but let me ask you this do you think that trump

00:38:57.700 could not negotiate with the head of a cartel and let me ask you the second question is there anyone

00:39:05.140 else in the whole world who could do that i don't know of anybody i mean maybe i could but it'd be pretty

00:39:14.740 hard trump could because trump is used to negotiating with gangsters you need somebody who's used to

00:39:23.700 negotiating with actual murderers trump does that trump has experience negotiating with actual murderers

00:39:32.420 because if you're in construction in new york you've had to there's no way he avoided those guys

00:39:37.940 he had to so he must have figured out some kind of way to live with the mafia through negotiation

00:39:45.300 so apparently he knows how to do this so i would say that a a trump presidency gives you the only

00:39:53.460 chance you have of negotiating with the cartels to do something about fentanyl it's it's the only one

00:39:59.060 now i told you that i'm gonna i'm gonna push for a single issue vote for the presidency and the single

00:40:08.020 issue i suggest would be the fentanyl overdoses so that whichever party has the better plan for that

00:40:14.580 just get your vote now you're not committed i mean you're a free citizen in the united states you can

00:40:20.020 vote any way you want but if you want anything to happen on fentanyl you have to at least put out there

00:40:25.220 the idea that you could move you know a million votes one way or the other based on who has the better

00:40:30.180 fentanyl plan i'd like to see them compete so as of today the republicans have the better fentanyl plan

00:40:39.860 declare that they're um terrorist organizations declare that it's a weapon of mass destruction

00:40:45.780 those are good plans and then you know uh the at least have the conversation about bombing them

00:40:52.900 matt gates right so if you voted today and you wanted to make the the one issue fentanyl your

00:41:01.540 primary reason for your vote you would vote republican but let me be clear they're not doing enough

00:41:07.940 they're just talking talking and changing the definition of words isn't really doing anything

00:41:13.540 right so republicans still round to zero of actual impact right but the way they're talking and the way

00:41:22.580 they're sort of leaning is very superior very i mean it's not close compared to what the democrats

00:41:28.420 are offering which is essentially nothing so i'm gonna i'm gonna keep hammering on this and i'll try

00:41:35.700 to convince as many people as possible to at least commit to making it a one issue vote what you do when

00:41:43.700 you get into the voting booth that's up to you you can use any criteria you want but if you could publicly

00:41:50.420 commit that you would vote for whoever could figure out a plan to solve the fentanyl maybe you get them to compete

00:41:58.740 because republicans are not going to do more than they just did because now they're ahead right they

00:42:04.500 have the advantage on fentanyl persuasion so they don't need to do anything at all except talk because

00:42:12.180 they have the advantage and talk so as long as they're ahead they don't need to push but what if

00:42:17.300 the democrats say oh shit they're ahead i'd like to get those million swing votes that will vote for one

00:42:22.420 topic maybe they can come up with something that's wrong and maybe i'd even like it and if i do i'm

00:42:29.220 going to push for a democrat if that let me say it directly so you're not surprised if the democrats

00:42:35.540 come back come up with a better plan for fentanyl i'm going to push the out of it and don't give me a

00:42:41.300 hard time about it i'm just warning you in advance so that you don't get too shocked

00:42:49.780 all right um

00:42:55.140 so i was hoping that when i tweeted about making fentanyl a single issue topic for voting

00:43:01.780 that enough people would retweet it that it would look serious

00:43:04.580 i did get the thousands and thousands of retweets which is very high for a retweet for me

00:43:10.020 but i think we need at least a million i think we need to credibly say we could move a million votes

00:43:17.220 to whichever whichever side had the better fentanyl policy why because there are a million

00:43:22.900 people in the united states who have been directly affected by the fentanyl overdose

00:43:26.660 do you see that there are at least a million people just like me who have somebody they know

00:43:34.980 and was close to them who died from fentanyl and see that there's nothing being done to stop it and

00:43:39.700 it's growing i want all of those million people who have ever experienced any fentanyl death

00:43:46.180 to say you can do something about this all you have to do is commit in public on social media that

00:43:52.900 you're going to vote for the side that has the best fentanyl plan and you'll worry about the other

00:43:57.300 stuff next time right you'll worry about the other stuff next time and you know what the republicans

00:44:05.780 are still fucking up big time i mean their messaging is just it's just so bad so bad so you've got

00:44:12.020 the republicans who are looking to get tough on fentanyl which kills young people mostly and they

00:44:18.020 have not rolled it into their protecting the young all right the message that the that the republicans

00:44:24.820 have it's just right in front of them all you have to do is just sink your teeth into it like you've

00:44:30.500 got this big plate of perfect persuasion just served right up you are the party you republicans are

00:44:39.460 the party who absolutely in every case is looking out for the kids now i'm not arguing that all of

00:44:47.300 the ways you want to do that are the way the best ways to do it those are separate questions

00:44:51.540 but there's no doubt about who's who's in it and serious about protecting kids everything from

00:44:58.180 abortion again we're not arguing who's right or wrong about that but there's only one side that is

00:45:03.620 clearly about protecting the young and the other side is about protecting the adults that's a very clear

00:45:10.740 distinction fentanyl if the democrats are not trying to crack down the fentanyl they're not protecting the

00:45:16.740 young not even close and then you look at school republicans have the advantage there too you look

00:45:25.220 at economics don't young people want to you know get into a world that has good economics i mean

00:45:32.340 basically on every level from energy economics school abortion no matter what you think of abortion

00:45:38.580 right so i'm not giving you my abortion i i don't have a an opinion on abortion because i have a cock

00:45:44.740 that's my view but the republicans have this slam dunk absolutely killer persuasion opportunity to just

00:45:54.980 say in every single case democrats will will put their own selfish needs above children and we'll do the

00:46:03.540 opposite it will take care of the future and they're just taking care of their their weird orange hair all right

00:46:11.540 we've gone from sentient husky dogs all the way to that all right so how many noticed that i got a little

00:46:23.060 attention on twitter yesterday uh because i mentioned in a comment to somebody it was just a comment that i had uh

00:46:30.820 lost two careers in the corporate world for being a white male i've said that quite a few times in public

00:46:37.540 but this time it attracted uh ida bay wells who called me a liar and she said in the tweet she said

00:46:45.700 you've been propagating the same lie for years it would be illegal for your bosses to have said that

00:46:51.460 meaning that i couldn't get promoted because i'm white male it would have been illegal for your bosses to

00:46:56.020 have said that and no one believes you you've been propagating the same lie for years which means she's

00:47:02.740 been aware of me for years so this isn't the first time that she knows that i've made this claim and

00:47:09.220 she says it would be illegal for your bosses to have said that and no one believes you

00:47:16.580 so now her real name is yeah nicole hannah jones and she goes by this historical name i'm not sure

00:47:23.540 exactly when she uses which name but it's the same person and she's the uh author of the 1619 project if

00:47:31.300 you haven't heard of that right so um what did i do when she called me a liar well she also asked for

00:47:42.740 evidence and some other uh prominent black folks came into my tweet feed and they said you keep making

00:47:50.500 these claims that we all know are lies so black adults who are well educated at least the ones in

00:47:58.100 this conversation these are well educated black adults do not believe that white men have been

00:48:05.540 discriminated in any widespread way in hiring in america over the last 25 years is that mind-blowing or what

00:48:19.060 because it's the most well-known phenomenon i can imagine but uh reading a number of their comments

00:48:26.100 there are a number of educated black adults who believe that that's a conspiracy theory and that

00:48:33.860 i'm one of the conspiracy theories um um i guess uh spreading it because i'm making a claim that they

00:48:42.020 say is complete lie and that i never was told that i can't be promoted because i'm white and male

00:48:48.180 because it would be illegal to do so now is that not obvious cognitive dissonance here here's how you

00:48:58.100 tell what cognitive dissonance is cognitive dissonance is where you say something that's absurd and

00:49:04.340 everybody can see it who in the world could be a black adult uh advocate for you know black concerns like

00:49:13.380 ada bay walls or nicole whatever she's going by how can you be somebody working in that space

00:49:19.860 and believe that corporations don't break the law because they would they would be afraid of getting

00:49:26.260 caught how can you possibly think that's a thing there's nobody who's worked at a major corporation

00:49:34.420 who's unaware that they break laws routinely and are completely aware of it so let me tell you

00:49:42.260 in case anybody's wondering how could somebody tell me this directly in a corporate world without

00:49:48.260 worrying about legal ramifications and i'll explain that to you if you weren't there it's very easy

00:49:54.900 to explain and they also they also asked scott if this is true you would have sued do you think

00:50:03.780 that's true that if my claim had been true i would have sued that's the obvious thing i would have done

00:50:09.620 do you know why do you know why that never really occurred to me in any serious way

00:50:15.700 because i don't see myself as a victim and when i describe these uh describe the events as they happen to

00:50:22.900 me i don't put them in a victim frame i simply describe them because it's important to know it's part of the

00:50:29.060 context of the context of the whole conversation and the the black people who are criticizing me

00:50:36.020 on this they were blaming me for acting like i was a victim but that never happened that that's a

00:50:43.940 complete imaginary take there's no point where i i complained i simply described and do you know why i

00:50:51.620 don't complain the reason i don't complain is for exactly their point the the black critics who said

00:51:01.860 you know i wasn't a victim were completely correct i agree with my critics i never felt like a victim

00:51:09.060 and do you know what i do you do i did when the first employer told me i couldn't get promoted

00:51:15.140 do you know what i did i just put out my resume and got a much higher paying job at another company

00:51:22.580 so did i did i feel like i was a victim and do you know what happened to everybody in the company

00:51:27.460 i left right after i left they were all fired right after i left because wells fargo bought that bank

00:51:34.180 and then eliminated my department they were all fired i was the winner right so the reason i don't

00:51:41.700 think of myself as a victim is i'm the only one who won i got a big raise so i go to my new job

00:51:49.620 and i get you know put on the management track and it looks like things are good i'm finishing up my

00:51:54.180 mba at night i'm a superstar i'm going to be a corporate superstar and then they brought me in and

00:51:59.780 told me directly directly directly we can't promote you because you're a white male just i think it's

00:52:06.260 a courtesy to let you know now why didn't i sue my boss because he was a friend and what he was doing

00:52:17.940 was illegal you don't want your friend to go to jail do you and and my friend uh my boss and my last job

00:52:26.580 the one who also told me i couldn't be promoted was also my friend right i mean a boss friend

00:52:33.060 co-worker friend right but a friend how many of you would put your friend in jail

00:52:41.220 because they were just doing what their boss told them in each case the bosses were not making their

00:52:46.020 own decisions they were actually apologizing for him to me they're saying i apologize but the order

00:52:52.660 has come down and i'm just enforcing it right right i was told that i was told in private i think

00:52:59.940 it was probably my direct boss or somebody else was in the room there might have been somebody else

00:53:04.340 in the room i can't recall all right um

00:53:13.220 no one was going to go to jail for that well it would have been a legal problem i mean they would

00:53:17.460 have had to testify and blah blah blah blah blah but when the second company told me i couldn't be

00:53:22.900 promoted did i feel a victim well in a minor way but then i just uh quiet quit i immediately quiet quit

00:53:32.180 do you know why i quiet quit that's that means you just go to work but you don't do much work

00:53:38.900 because i could i had the option

00:53:40.980 and then as i quiet quit it opened up time for me to work on other projects that had a bigger upside

00:53:49.620 and one of those projects was the dilbert comic and it worked out so do i feel like i was a victim

00:53:56.900 hell no i was a white man in america who could get a job at any corporation

00:54:03.620 i basically could work anywhere white man in america is a pretty good deal

00:54:08.180 have i ever said it wasn't no it's not a victim problem white man in america in the 80s and 90s

00:54:17.140 pretty good deal pretty good deal you know it was a better deal in one way just one way black person

00:54:26.260 in the 80s or 90s because if you had any qualifications you could get a job anywhere anywhere it was the

00:54:32.900 easiest thing in the world now let me bring us all together may i and by the way i offered

00:54:41.220 ida uh ida bay wells i offered her on public on twitter i said that i would work with her if she

00:54:47.700 wanted to write a feature article to debunk me and i'll help her research it and i said that it's not

00:54:54.020 about me this was the widespread you know effect at the time i was just one person but i told her i'd

00:54:59.940 work with her and help her research it and then whatever the result was even if the result is that

00:55:07.300 it was a conspiracy theory you know what if my one situation was fooled me into thinking it was

00:55:13.940 widespread and it never was wouldn't that be interesting which would be also moving the ball

00:55:19.380 forward i'd be okay with that too it would be embarrassing for me but you know that doesn't

00:55:23.700 bother me i don't mind being embarrassed so i'm in if so if ida bay wells wants to work with me i will

00:55:33.620 not only be an honest participant i won't try to sabotage it or do anything clever i'll actually try

00:55:41.460 to get to the truth what really happened no matter what the truth is i'll just try to get to it because

00:55:46.580 that would be fascinating i'd love that um but i'm going to offer this that's even better i'm going

00:55:58.020 to tell you how to bring everybody together right the first the first way to bring everybody together

00:56:04.740 is to admit that this phenomenon i described is true and we could do that by researching it

00:56:12.660 and find that it's true but then you have to interpret it and that's the hard part the the

00:56:17.540 proving is true would be trivial that'd be easy the second part is reparations yeah because do i not

00:56:26.500 am i not owed reparations for being discriminated against and all the white people who didn't get

00:56:32.900 jobs because they're discriminated against no i'm not serious i'm just putting that that out there to be

00:56:37.700 a jerk if if i felt like a victim sure but i don't right here's where we can all come together

00:56:46.900 strategy and education there is one place that every person in the country agrees and only one

00:56:56.180 place that i think and that's children's education needs to be better and also adult education for

00:57:02.340 job training doesn't everybody agree on that that's the one place we could all come together

00:57:09.700 right uh the black population the republican population absolutely same page now what to do

00:57:16.900 about it there would be differences but why can't we come together on the fact and i think it'd be an

00:57:22.820 easy sale to say that choice you know and free markets make things better um but this is where i

00:57:30.900 would come together i would forget everything else for the while because if you if you talk about

00:57:37.140 everything all the time then it's just reasons for fighting but we can find the one place where we all

00:57:43.220 agree in my opinion systemic racism is real and a big problem and its main source is that you can't we

00:57:51.460 can't educate our children properly so if you're already behind you have to stay behind because

00:57:57.940 our system doesn't allow you to easily catch up unless you're lucky you know i was lucky i guess so

00:58:05.860 that's what i suggest that we if we're going to find any kind of unity we do it over children's

00:58:11.060 education that's where we could do it all right interestingly the black people who criticized me

00:58:18.660 uh did not think i should put any weight on my lived experience now it seemed to me that when we're

00:58:27.060 arguing about police brutality against uh blacks that even when the statistics didn't maybe support a

00:58:36.020 narrative that the argument was well you know forget your statistics this is our lived life our actual

00:58:43.540 experience is this fear this this problems we see it everywhere this is our existence you can't deny

00:58:50.660 our everyday existence with your data it's not a bad argument i'm using the same one what if my data is

00:58:58.820 wrong it doesn't change the fact this is what i lived and why would you why would you diminish my lived

00:59:05.140 experience all right um and it's funny how how many uh my critics were overtly racist in their comments to me

00:59:19.060 and overtly racist i mean the reason that they thought i was lying was that i'm white

00:59:24.580 they didn't say that but it's obvious it's pretty obvious that they thought i was lying because i'm white

00:59:31.700 how am i supposed to take that and do you think they even knew it that that it was obvious that

00:59:38.180 there was a racial a racial comment all right um and here's a twitter user named mecca m-e-k-k-a

00:59:49.620 who also accused me of lying asked me to name the corporations which i did crocker national bank

00:59:56.180 and pacific bell so he doubted i could name the corporations um and i'm trying to track down my

01:00:02.660 actual bosses so i remember one of the names of one of the bosses but i don't know how to find her

01:00:10.580 the other one i have a first name and i'm almost can remember the second name but both of them would be

01:00:18.580 in their 70s i don't i don't know if they're even alive i'll try to i'll try to hunt them down but my

01:00:26.340 case is not really the situation the real situation is whether it was widespread and at the same time

01:00:31.380 that i was talking about this uh people were commenting i was just tweeting their experiences

01:00:36.580 and one of them was a job posting from university of florida i think and the job posting says

01:00:43.940 explicitly that is part of a a cluster higher strategy for improving their diversity

01:00:53.700 which means that if you're a white male they don't really want you

01:00:57.380 it says that and that's today and what happens when black people read that do they say oh that looks

01:01:06.980 perfectly legal and honest it's completely illegal it's illegal and they're publishing it in public

01:01:14.500 not only do come not only are companies not worried about discriminating against white males they're

01:01:21.380 so not worried they can do it publicly and have been for 25 years and somehow the black critics who

01:01:29.620 were giving me a hard time yesterday somehow they've never noticed that this discrimination is

01:01:37.140 public and always has been it's right in front of you you can just go look at it

01:01:43.940 all right

01:01:47.300 uh the other thing that i i think made it hard for people to understand my point that i was discriminated

01:01:53.300 against is i got this argument oh scott are you telling me that if i were to check those two

01:02:00.740 companies i would wouldn't find any white men in charge are you telling me that there were no white

01:02:05.780 men getting promoted at those two companies scott really really so in the 80s and 90s you're telling

01:02:12.180 me that these two big corporations they didn't have any white men in management right that's what

01:02:16.660 you're telling me no i'm not telling you that i'm telling you that they were all white men that's the

01:02:23.140 whole fucking point who do you think was screwing me it wasn't black people

01:02:28.820 did you hear me did you did you hear me blaming any black people for what happened no every bit of it

01:02:36.820 was a cock sucking mother fucking white guy every bit of it now in the case of my direct boss it was a

01:02:45.220 woman and i was told by a woman but it wasn't her decision the decision came from a mother

01:02:51.780 fucking cock sucking racist asshole white guy if you think you can out hate racist mother

01:03:00.980 fucking white guys you think you can hate them more than i do good luck good luck

01:03:09.140 we're on the same side which is the weird thing right if if ida bay wells knew

01:03:17.860 you know anything about me if you know i'm on the same side we have the same enemy

01:03:23.140 mother fucking asshole racist ass covering weak mother fucking cock sucking idiot white men

01:03:32.100 they are my enemies because they're the ones who discriminated against me it wasn't women

01:03:36.260 not once i don't believe i've ever been discriminated against i can remember

01:03:41.940 by a woman i can't think of one time i've ever been discriminated against by anybody black anybody brown

01:03:50.500 i can't think of one time but white men oh fuck white men are the worst have you met any white men

01:04:00.420 they're fucking awful discrimination wise and the reason they do it is it makes them look like heroes

01:04:07.140 i just saw some ceo you know valiantly white knighting how hard he was going to work for

01:04:14.100 whatever esg goals and i thought to myself that cocksucker he can do that because he's already the

01:04:20.740 fucking ceo right once you're the ceo yeah you can be really woke about the people who don't get to be

01:04:29.700 ceo because you already got that job and the next one's going to have to be black because well you got that

01:04:35.380 job so you ruined everything you ruined everything by being the ceo if the ceo who was saying he wants

01:04:43.380 to fix anything cared about any of that he'd quit his job and give it to a black man or lgbtq or something

01:04:53.620 by the way how much trouble do you think i'm getting in for even waiting into this topic

01:04:58.260 because at this point all the controls are off me you know that i'm a free man i am a free man

01:05:08.980 because whatever is going to happen to my comic career is going to happen anyway you know newspaper

01:05:14.100 is going to fall apart but but once you've reached a point where it can't get worse

01:05:20.500 can't get worse and you know i have enough to retire so you know it doesn't matter

01:05:28.180 i get to say what you can't say yeah so it's not it's not just even the f you money that's a big part

01:05:34.980 of it of course but it has to do with also just being done there there's a there's a very big power

01:05:42.500 to being done have you ever noticed that in your life there are times when you're like i really should

01:05:47.220 do this i want to do this but now i'm actually done i'm done pretending that i have a different

01:05:56.020 opinion than i really do because i've pretended for 25 years i don't need to anymore yeah i just

01:06:03.060 decided exactly i've decided that i'm going to go down if i go down it's going to be in flames it's the

01:06:10.020 only way i want to go i don't want to i don't want to scurry away whimpering right if if this

01:06:18.420 career is winding down and it is right i'm at that age where careers wind down i'm just going to light

01:06:26.740 up everything that needs to be burned i'm just going to put a match to every piece of gasoline i can get

01:06:33.780 to but only productively right so here's my promise i'm not going to do it just for fun i'm going to do

01:06:41.460 it productively i'm going to only put a match to the gasoline that needs to be torched in my opinion

01:06:48.020 yeah productive gasoline is this you getting bored um

01:07:01.220 yes yes yeah so that's actually a good question somebody asked it is my seeming change of attitude

01:07:10.020 about me being bored and the answer is yes yes but but i'd add something to that it's not having a family

01:07:18.900 so if i had a you know if i were living with a little family unit i would put 100 of my effort

01:07:24.740 into you know protecting that and whatever i had left might you know go into the world

01:07:30.500 but at the moment you own me all right i i have donated myself to the public

01:07:37.300 and that means i can do what is for the public good and i don't have to worry about anything else

01:07:43.140 yes so i'm going to try to do the following things for you i'm going to try to make fentanyl a lesser

01:07:50.900 problem i'm going to try to um find a way to come together

01:08:01.060 in terms of the division mostly racially i don't think we need to come together in political parties

01:08:06.260 but racially yes yeah and lgbtq yes and you know men and women yes right so all the like personal

01:08:16.660 ways we need to come together we need to do that but having political parties that are you know

01:08:22.980 opposed that's probably a useful conflict all right uh what do you think of this uh letitia james

01:08:34.660 coming after trump and he trump talked about this on hannity last night and i don't know all the

01:08:40.500 details but it's sounding like uh there were two different valuations for different trump properties

01:08:48.980 one is what they tell the bank and then um i'm sorry

01:08:56.660 i'm so i may have a detail wrong so let me back up so trump trump said that the management estimates

01:09:04.260 the estimates that management themselves put on the properties came with gigantic disclosures that say

01:09:10.500 these are just for management don't depend on them do your own research if you wanted to know what

01:09:15.700 we're worth which is what you'd say to a bank now hannity said something that i i'm so angry at myself

01:09:22.260 for not having thought of the same thing just the most obvious thing hannity says he says since when

01:09:29.700 does a bank take your word for what your your building is worth that's never happened in the history of

01:09:36.820 banks and as soon as i heard that i was like wait a minute how could there possibly be fraud

01:09:42.980 because the process requires the bank to look in and look into it on their own it requires it it's

01:09:52.180 not even optional there's no bank who doesn't do their own independent look at the value of property

01:09:58.180 that's not a thing have you ever tried to get a loan on your house do you think they're not going

01:10:03.940 to look at the house of course they look at the house that's the most basic thing any lender would do

01:10:09.700 and why i never thought of that like why that never occurred to me as the most important fact

01:10:16.260 in all of the story i don't know it just escaped me but thank you to hannity because it took hannity

01:10:22.660 to surface that fact and as soon as i heard it i was like oh this is obviously bullshit if you put those

01:10:30.500 two things together that the management disclaimers had more than a page of don't trust this this is

01:10:38.340 management's estimate if you know that every management values their assets higher than every

01:10:45.700 bank what does that tell you about this case every management there's probably never been an exception

01:10:54.180 every management values their own properties higher than a bank does why would that be

01:11:00.580 because they do it for different reasons

01:11:02.340 the bank is picking generally there's an argument for a range of value right if you if you're subjectively

01:11:10.900 looking at buildings and saying what are these valued there's usually a range from the lowest this

01:11:15.860 could be worth to the highest it might be worth and that could change over time so you're estimating

01:11:21.460 right it's not even so much what it's worth today you also have to estimate will it still be worth that

01:11:27.700 during the course of the loan because that's your collateral now which of those two things the top

01:11:34.100 of the range or the bottom of the range would management naturally and quite reasonably take as their

01:11:42.020 estimate management would take the top of the range because they want to tell you they're doing well

01:11:48.180 and it's within the argument that's not crazy it's like there's a range that reasonable people could put

01:11:53.220 on this so management will always take the top of the range every time not just trump every management

01:11:59.860 everywhere all the time they're going to take the top of the range now what's the bank do the bank has

01:12:05.620 to protect their their loans and the most the most um devastating thing is if you don't get paid back

01:12:13.300 that's the worst so when the bank looks at your assets do they take the top of the range

01:12:18.820 or do they take the bottom of the range of course they take the bottom and they determine the bottom

01:12:25.460 on their own they don't take your they don't take your word for it they don't take management's word

01:12:31.620 for what the bottom is they calculate that on their own so in every case where you see a major

01:12:38.900 company like trump's getting a bank loan in every case what you should you should expect is that completely

01:12:45.940 legally management is saying we accept the top of the estimate for our value and the bank is saying

01:12:52.980 you know we play it cautious so we're all guessing so we're going to take the bottom of the estimate

01:12:58.260 to make sure this is a good loan now here's the next thing apparently letitia james said long before

01:13:06.740 she had the job when she was campaigning for it that she was going to sue trump every way she could

01:13:11.540 and she said it repeatedly and she said that before she had any evidence of any crime that she would

01:13:18.580 sue him repeatedly with no evidence of any crimes and then she got the job and then she brought this

01:13:24.900 case which as we look at it if you know anything about banking and anything about management i don't

01:13:31.300 even see an allegation here it's supposed to look like the bank had a lower valuation than the management

01:13:39.140 that's the only way it's supposed to look it should never look any other way that's the only way it

01:13:44.660 should look and she's decided that's evidence of a crime apparently now i don't know the whole details

01:13:50.180 but that's what we're told that it's based on that now as dershowitz says that the trump team should

01:13:57.380 be motioning to have her removed at least from the prosecution how in the world could you have a

01:14:03.940 legitimate prosecution when the person doing is said in advance they would prosecute him no matter what

01:14:09.940 the evidence was that's the end of the prosecution right so yeah it's a civil case i'm a little i'm a little

01:14:21.140 uh confused about the criminal versus the civil element of that so yeah there i have some murkiness on that

01:14:28.100 question all right so i take dershowitz's opinion as i always do as the the better one in every

01:14:37.140 situation it seems like and i agree that trump is doesn't have any real um risk here but the democrats

01:14:46.420 need to have at least one trump is in trouble story going at all times right so once this one collapses

01:14:53.220 it probably will they're just going to queue up the next one and it won't have any more legitimacy than

01:14:58.980 this one they just have to one that's sort of running at all times there always has to be one

01:15:03.620 yeah and if it's not him then they'll use his his friends well mike lindell is yeah whatever um

01:15:13.860 all right

01:15:14.180 yeah dershowitz says it doesn't pass the test of being even legitimate and i agree it is not

01:15:23.620 legitimate looking are they stories i forgot that there are a few major stories that i haven't touched

01:15:29.380 on and when i watch the five they'll mention them sometimes and i'll say oh i should have talked about

01:15:36.260 that uh all right any major story uh yes i did see that i made the news yesterday in a number of

01:15:46.740 publications for being the voice of anti-esg

01:15:54.980 and and i'll say it again if you're trying to explain to somebody what's wrong with esg

01:15:59.380 the way you do it is you say they have very good goals but they don't understand systems and it's a

01:16:07.460 terrible system to put society's goals in between the management and the customer it's good to have

01:16:14.900 those goals but you don't want to enforce them from a third party outside it just breaks the system

01:16:19.940 so that the free market wouldn't be able to handle that much friction

01:16:27.860 all right um

01:16:31.540 yeah we already talked about then we talked about the 18 year old that was run over for political

01:16:36.500 reasons because it was a republican and a democrat murdered him with his car and i think we talked

01:16:42.820 about that right and it's another example of that i'll tell you some of my most um my weirdest provocative

01:16:55.620 predictions about republicans being hunted uh why do they always use old photos in the articles the

01:17:06.020 the reason is there are not any new ones so when i did a lot of publicity early in my career

01:17:13.940 there were tons of photos that were taken and sometimes the photographers will retain the rights

01:17:18.820 and they'll put some of those photos on uh public stock photo services so then the news people will go to

01:17:26.980 a stock photo service because they have owned the rights to use any of that stuff and they'll use whatever

01:17:32.180 photo they have rights to now if if i were um like a presidential candidate they would send a photographer

01:17:40.660 around every time there's a story and you know maybe get a new picture or something but since the

01:17:46.260 most of the pictures ever taken of of me that would be copyright available are older ones

01:17:56.340 uh

01:17:58.980 uh

01:18:02.180 right

01:18:06.660 right companies get appraisals to support their financing and then banks do their own appraisal

01:18:10.820 and there there's naturally a difference between those two

01:18:17.220 uh what do you think about nlp overrated

01:18:22.740 oh yeah uh jamie diamond's response to rashida about so rashida what's her last name rashida

01:18:32.180 talib um so she was grilling some ceos i guess in congress and asked them you know what they would

01:18:40.260 do about getting greener or i guess the specific question was would the banks be willing to make

01:18:46.820 loans to people who were in the energy business you know that old dirty energy business and jamie diamond

01:18:53.380 said yes and to do otherwise would be the road to hell

01:19:03.300 you know i don't always agree with everything that jb diamond says but you have to admit he is a

01:19:08.500 a straight talker and he could not have said that any more clearly and rashida talib and uh i have to

01:19:16.740 wonder if she's actually on the side of america don't you like actually legitimately now usually when we

01:19:24.020 when we talk about our political opponents you know we like to talk about them being traitors and

01:19:30.260 they're not on the side of america and you know that's just hyperbole because of course they are

01:19:36.100 like i don't believe that aoc is not on the side of america do you

01:19:42.980 maybe some of you do well well if you say she's she doesn't have good policies for america that's

01:19:49.460 different from saying she's not on her side but what rashida talib is pushing is so destructive to

01:19:56.980 commerce in the united states that you have to wonder if that's even serious

01:20:01.700 in terms of helping america because i don't see how it could it looks like she was working for

01:20:08.420 another entity it looks like she's working for a foreign power it doesn't look like just

01:20:12.580 disagreement on politics it looks like trying to destroy the united states that's what it looks like

01:20:18.500 but you can't read her mind could be some other reason

01:20:24.420 um i have the great reset i haven't read it so this is a season where people are

01:20:30.020 sending me books and i'm getting a little behind

01:20:40.340 there's somebody who wishes they hadn't transitioned yeah i don't know how much attention to give the

01:20:45.540 people who transitioned their gender uh or is it there's how do you say that do they transition a

01:20:54.740 gender you know i guess that's a definitional thing but there will always be people who regret every

01:21:02.260 decision there are people who regret going to college so the fact that some people regret a

01:21:08.500 uh gender or sex change whatever it is um oh it's gender affirming surgery okay that would be the

01:21:15.300 polite way to say it these days right so there's always going to be somebody who who wishes they

01:21:20.180 hadn't done it there are people who joined the military and wish they hadn't i mean there are tons

01:21:25.700 of people there are people who had a baby wish that people who got married wish that i don't know if

01:21:30.180 that's the standard we should use the standard we usually use is that we allow free citizens to do

01:21:38.180 dumbass things because to do otherwise would take their freedom away

01:21:45.540 and i don't think that it matters that there are higher suicide rates if that's true i don't even know

01:21:49.700 if that's true i don't think that matters

01:21:51.700 because we do let people make mistakes and we do let people make choices that we wouldn't make

01:22:00.740 you know maybe you think it's a mistake maybe they don't yeah 40 that's not 40 i don't believe that

01:22:09.940 too much talking today you know that's what i do this is pretty much just talking all right uh that's

01:22:19.700 all for now i'm gonna go do some other things i hope my day is as weird and awesome as yesterday

01:22:26.500 how many of you thought i had a bad day yesterday if you were watching the you know any of the the

01:22:32.500 action i didn't have a bad day yesterday in fact if you were to score the quality of my whole day

01:22:38.180 yesterday a plus a plus it was an awesome day yeah yeah when when they feed the energy monster the energy

01:22:46.740 monster is not unhappy what uh ida bay wells did is gave me the opportunity to have a much bigger

01:22:55.140 platform thank you am i am i uh concerned that a bunch of people think i'm a horrible person because

01:23:04.660 they misunderstood some stuff i said that's every day i'm so used to that energy sponge energy vampire

01:23:14.180 yeah maybe a more of an energy vampire if you know that reference all right youtube i'll talk to you

01:23:18.420 tomorrow bye for now

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 22, 2022

Episode 1874 Scott Adams： Lots Of News About Fentanyl, Trump, Elections, And Affirmative Action

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