Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1876 Scott Adams： I Give You My 11 Point Fentanyl Plan

00:00:00.000 Do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do.

00:00:05.000 Good morning, everybody.

00:00:07.000 Well, were you worried I wouldn't make it on time?

00:00:09.000 Come on.

00:00:11.000 Come on.

00:00:12.000 Who do you think you're talking to?

00:00:15.000 Yes, always here and always on time.

00:00:18.000 And how would you like to take this special experience

00:00:22.000 that you have lucked into, the best thing that's ever happened to you, probably,

00:00:26.000 and take it up to an even higher level?

00:00:29.000 Yeah, you would.

00:00:31.000 And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice,

00:00:34.000 a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:38.000 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:40.000 I like coffee.

00:00:42.000 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine to the day,

00:00:46.000 the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:48.000 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:51.000 And it's happening now.

00:00:53.000 Go.

00:00:54.000 Excuse me while I enjoy a little afterglow.

00:01:08.000 I need a cigarette.

00:01:10.000 I don't even smoke.

00:01:12.000 That was one good sip.

00:01:14.000 Did you all feel it?

00:01:15.000 I felt that.

00:01:16.000 I could feel it to my bones.

00:01:18.000 Whew.

00:01:19.000 Well, I'd like to thank Erica,

00:01:23.000 who has put together a great mug for Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:01:29.000 And you'll see the final design pretty soon and production.

00:01:34.000 And that will start pretty soon.

00:01:37.000 So just a few weeks, I think, you'll be able to get your own Coffee with Scott Adams mug.

00:01:43.000 I'm not going to make any kind of profit off of that.

00:01:47.000 Just people wanted them.

00:01:48.000 So Erica was nice enough to organize that. 0.88

00:01:52.000 Well, there are protests in Iran.

00:01:56.000 I guess a young woman was taken into custody for not wearing a proper headscarf.

00:02:03.000 And she died in custody, which nobody knows the specifics of that,

00:02:09.000 but it doesn't sound good.

00:02:11.000 And so there are protests erupting all over Iran.

00:02:16.000 Now, what do you think are the odds that the protests that are erupting all over Iran

00:02:24.000 will topple the government?

00:02:27.000 Well, it looks like there's no chance of that.

00:02:32.000 Nobody thinks there's any chance of that.

00:02:35.000 In fact, the Iranians are sufficiently confident that they actually let the protests kind of rage for a while. 0.58

00:02:46.000 They don't try to stop it right away.

00:02:48.000 They actually let people get their energy out, which isn't the dumbest thing to do. 0.91

00:02:53.000 It's not the dumbest thing to do.

00:02:55.000 They're kind of watching to see if it spreads.

00:02:58.000 I feel like it won't.

00:03:00.000 I don't know.

00:03:01.000 I don't have a good, you know, obviously I'm not keyed into the mood of the average Iranian person,

00:03:08.000 but I feel like it'll be like one of these several other flare-ups, and then it will just flare away.

00:03:18.000 And as some experts said, until you see some kind of a leader on the other side, an opposition leader,

00:03:27.000 and there is none, right?

00:03:28.000 There's nobody to rally around.

00:03:30.000 Until you see something like that and any kind of a military defection, nothing's going to happen in Iran.

00:03:37.000 And there's nothing like that.

00:03:39.000 So, unlike the United States, unlike the United States, in Iran, if you protest, nothing's going to happen.

00:03:48.000 I mean, you're not going to get anything.

00:03:50.000 So, weirdly, here's the weird thing, is that Iran is allowing more protests than I thought they would allow.

00:03:58.000 You know, it's probably not legal, but they are kind of letting it run a little bit.

00:04:03.000 I was surprised about that.

00:04:05.000 So, aren't you glad that you live in a country, if you live in America or you live in some free country somewhere else,

00:04:14.000 aren't you glad that in your country, you know, a big protest movement would be successful?

00:04:21.000 Because we don't have military and stuff like that to stop a protest. 0.85

00:04:25.000 And that's why in the United States, for example, we have this long string of successful protests.

00:04:30.000 You remember Occupy Wall Street?

00:04:33.000 Well, that changed everything.

00:04:36.000 Remember?

00:04:37.000 Because before Occupy Wall Street, there was this huge income inequality.

00:04:45.000 And then the Occupy Wall Street came in, they camped in their tents and stuff,

00:04:49.000 until that gigantic gap between the rich and the poor just shrunk.

00:04:56.000 I mean, that's solved, really.

00:04:59.000 Then let's not forget Black Lives Matter, who had many valid criticisms of the way the country was being run,

00:05:07.000 especially in regards to racial things and most particularly policing.

00:05:14.000 Now, since Black Lives Matter did their summer of protest, have you seen one major story of a police department abusing a black person?

00:05:29.000 None.

00:05:30.000 None.

00:05:31.000 None.

00:05:32.000 When was the last time you saw it?

00:05:34.000 So I think you would have to conclude that Black Lives Matter completely succeeded in eliminating police violence against black citizens.

00:05:44.000 Completely done.

00:05:45.000 I haven't seen any, have you?

00:05:48.000 That's the most successful protest anybody's ever done.

00:05:51.000 It eliminated police brutality against black people.

00:05:56.000 Because if it were still happening, we'd see it in the news, right? 0.51

00:05:59.000 Wouldn't you?

00:06:01.000 It'd be in the news.

00:06:02.000 I mean, that would be a giant story.

00:06:04.000 It always was before.

00:06:05.000 And so we don't hear about income inequality.

00:06:08.000 That got solved.

00:06:09.000 Racism was solved.

00:06:10.000 Now, this is something you can't do in Iran.

00:06:13.000 In Iran, you'll just march around and protest. 0.94

00:06:16.000 Ah, well, I'm protesting. 0.98

00:06:18.000 And then they'll shoot you or put you in jail. 0.99

00:06:21.000 And nothing will change.

00:06:23.000 But in the United States, we've already eliminated income inequality, police brutality.

00:06:29.000 And then don't forget about Antifa.

00:06:32.000 Because Antifa had a series of complaints.

00:06:36.000 And they were unhappy that the United States was even a cohesive operating entity.

00:06:46.000 You know, Antifa is more like, we just want everything not to work.

00:06:51.000 And sure enough, sure enough, just a few years after Antifa was active, the entire country

00:07:01.000 is disintegrating, exactly like Antifa wanted.

00:07:04.000 Now, in Iran, again, no impact whatsoever.

00:07:11.000 Protest, protest, protest, nothing.

00:07:13.000 They get nothing.

00:07:14.000 That's because they are a totalitarian country.

00:07:17.000 In the United States, we have freedom of speech, freedom of protest, freedom to organize.

00:07:23.000 And we get things done.

00:07:25.000 And that's how we solved income inequality, police brutality against black people,

00:07:30.000 and the cohesiveness of the United States.

00:07:33.000 And I'm just getting started.

00:07:35.000 What about those January 6th protesters?

00:07:38.000 Do you remember how they were worried that the elections were perhaps not transparent enough?

00:07:46.000 Well, thankfully, the patriots got huge changes.

00:07:52.000 Both the Democrats and the Republicans immediately told you that the stuff that they run is fine.

00:07:59.000 So I was worried about it for a while.

00:08:04.000 But the Republicans will tell you that all the places that Republicans handle the elections are just fine.

00:08:11.000 And the Democrats will tell you every place they do it, it's all fixed.

00:08:14.000 It's all good.

00:08:16.000 So this might be one of the most effective, probably one of the most effective protests of all time.

00:08:24.000 Honestly, let me ask you.

00:08:26.000 Before January 6th, didn't you have some questions?

00:08:29.000 I mean, just small ones.

00:08:31.000 Maybe not big questions, but at least small little concerns about the integrity of the election?

00:08:37.000 You probably did.

00:08:38.000 You probably did.

00:08:39.000 But now, after the election's over and the January 6th protests have happened, what do you think now?

00:08:46.000 Well, your media has told you that not only have our elections been solid in the past, but they are so solid now, you don't have anything to worry about.

00:08:58.000 So think about this.

00:09:00.000 Iran, all their protests, no benefit at all. 1.00

00:09:04.000 They got nothing out of it.

00:09:06.000 United States, Occupy Wall Street, solves income inequality.

00:09:10.000 When was the last time you saw a story about income inequality?

00:09:13.000 Find me a headline about income inequality.

00:09:16.000 It's solved.

00:09:17.000 Done.

00:09:19.000 No more problem. 0.94

00:09:21.000 Black Lives Matter, they solved all black, all violence about police against black people, because we would see it. 0.94

00:09:29.000 I mean, it obviously would be in the news if any of it were happening.

00:09:32.000 And Antifa did disintegrate the cohesiveness of the United States as they wanted.

00:09:37.000 Perfect.

00:09:38.000 And then January 6th, according to the news, we now have the most secure elections of all time.

00:09:49.000 Of all time.

00:09:50.000 And I just want to give it up for the protesters of the United States who make things happen.

00:09:56.000 You, you're the heroes.

00:09:58.000 You're the heroes.

00:09:59.000 You're the heroes.

00:10:00.000 No, you are.

00:10:01.000 You are.

00:10:02.000 You're the heroes.

00:10:03.000 Not me.

00:10:04.000 Not me.

00:10:05.000 Not me.

00:10:06.000 You're the heroes.

00:10:07.000 So keep up the good work.

00:10:09.000 Keep up that protesting because it's making a difference.

00:10:13.000 Do you, does anybody remember in the beginning of the Ukraine war when I said, I don't know, everybody seems to think Russia is just going to win this thing kind of easily.

00:10:31.000 But it seems to me somewhat obviously not true.

00:10:38.000 To me, it seemed like they were going to have a lot of trouble.

00:10:42.000 And then maybe they wouldn't succeed at all. 0.97

00:10:45.000 Do you remember, do you remember how much shit I got for that? 0.96

00:10:53.000 Does anybody remember that? 0.98

00:10:55.000 I mean, something I remember, but maybe you didn't notice at all.

00:10:57.000 Did anybody notice?

00:10:59.000 And today the news is pretty much 100% exactly what I said.

00:11:07.000 Am I wrong?

00:11:09.000 The news today, from all sources, is exactly what I said.

00:11:15.000 That the technology of the Ukrainians made a big difference. 1.00

00:11:20.000 And especially because they were fighting in their home court.

00:11:23.000 Right?

00:11:24.000 And so what I was wondering is, if there are any of you, because I know some of you are quite brutal,

00:11:30.000 if you'd like to take this opportunity to say you were wrong and that I was right.

00:11:36.000 I'll wait.

00:11:37.000 Because I'm pretty sure 75% of you thought I was wrong.

00:11:42.000 Now, if you were right, if you were right and I had been wrong, let's say Russia just took them over.

00:11:49.000 I would tell you I was totally wrong.

00:11:52.000 I would tell you I was totally wrong.

00:11:55.000 Because I did tell you I was totally wrong about Russia invading. 0.51

00:12:01.000 Because I said, well, no, they're not going to invade.

00:12:04.000 Because obviously it wouldn't turn out well.

00:12:07.000 I was so wrong.

00:12:09.000 So all of you who told me, Scott, it's obvious that they're going to invade.

00:12:14.000 They've got their entire military there.

00:12:16.000 It couldn't be more obvious.

00:12:18.000 And I was still saying, no, no, they're not going to invade.

00:12:22.000 So I will tell you I was completely wrong.

00:12:26.000 Will you accept that?

00:12:28.000 Will you accept I was 100% wrong when I said Russia won't invade?

00:12:33.000 Obviously, obviously it was wrong.

00:12:35.000 But I'd like you to tell me that I got that one right.

00:12:41.000 Now, here's the thing that always comes back at me.

00:12:46.000 Whenever I make a prediction that counters the experts, which I've done...

00:12:51.000 How many times have you seen me make a public prediction that's the opposite of basically all the experts?

00:13:01.000 And then been right.

00:13:03.000 Quite a few times.

00:13:04.000 In different domains, right?

00:13:06.000 Political, scientific, now military.

00:13:09.000 That's a pretty wide swath.

00:13:13.000 Now, even terrorism, I think.

00:13:16.000 I've had some good guesses.

00:13:18.000 And let me remind you that my expertise is not knowing more than experts.

00:13:27.000 Obviously, I don't know more than experts. 0.97

00:13:30.000 My expertise is spotting bullshit, which is a specific skill. 0.95

00:13:35.000 And spotting bullshit is a higher level skill than experts. 0.98

00:13:41.000 You get that, right? 0.98

00:13:43.000 So every time everybody says, Scott, the experts are up here, and you're a lowly cartoonist, and you're down here.

00:13:50.000 So if you're down here, don't be criticizing these people up here because they're up here.

00:13:57.000 That is a complete misunderstanding of the situation. 0.76

00:14:01.000 The experts are here, and everybody who has developed skill at spotting bullshit are up here.

00:14:11.000 I'm not looking up at the experts. 0.76

00:14:13.000 I'm looking down. 1.00

00:14:14.000 Only in the case of the bullshit. 0.98

00:14:16.000 Now, if there's some technical thing that they claim, I'm not going to be arguing them on some small technical thing. 0.98

00:14:23.000 That's what experts are for.

00:14:25.000 But if they make a large pronouncement about stuff, as soon as it's a large pronouncement about anything, it's automatically political, right?

00:14:36.000 There's almost no such thing as a pure scientific opinion that matters to the public, and the public hears it.

00:14:44.000 It's always political by the time it reaches the public, by the way it gets filtered and massaged.

00:14:50.000 So that's the only thing I'm offering you.

00:14:53.000 So anytime you see me criticizing the experts, your first question should not be, should not be, who has more expertise?

00:15:04.000 Because that's a given.

00:15:05.000 I never claim more expertise. 0.97

00:15:07.000 I only claim that you can spot bullshit if you learn to do it. 0.81

00:15:13.000 And in some of my books, I teach you how to do it. 0.98

00:15:16.000 Now, I do it right in public.

00:15:17.000 I do it right in front of you, so you can see when it's right and when it's wrong.

00:15:22.000 All right.

00:15:24.000 Here's about the scariest thing I've seen in a while, and I've seen some scary things.

00:15:31.000 Let me tell you, I've seen some scary, scary things.

00:15:35.000 But here's the scariest one, and it's not going to scare you at all, because you won't understand it.

00:15:42.000 And I'm sorry.

00:15:44.000 And this is not an insult to you, but it really is not.

00:15:50.000 Would you accept the general statement that if you were, let's say, well-versed in a topic, you would have a different take on it than somebody who didn't know much about the topic?

00:16:04.000 You give me that, right?

00:16:06.000 That, you know, an expert's opinion is going to be different than somebody else's.

00:16:11.000 All right.

00:16:12.000 I always talk about this account which you should be following, Machiavelli's Underbelly, who does a lot of AI demonstrations.

00:16:19.000 So you're seeing all kinds of demonstrations of what you can ask the AI to do, from artwork, to creating, talking artificial figures, to writing poetry, making comics, and just seeing where the AI is at, and it's there.

00:16:36.000 So, somebody says, Andrew Tate was right about me.

00:16:43.000 Andrew Tate literally copies my opinions and then pretends I have opposite ones so he can mock me.

00:16:53.000 You know that, right?

00:16:54.000 He actually just imitates me.

00:16:57.000 The Andrew Tate story is actually, he is a disciple.

00:17:01.000 So he was a fan of mine and I basically mocked him in public and then he got hurt, so now he's acting up.

00:17:09.000 But basically, he's somebody who imitates me, tries to put his own spin on it and create his own little thing.

00:17:16.000 But he's a humorous character.

00:17:20.000 Anyway, here's what the latest AI came, and this is the scariest thing I've seen so far.

00:17:27.000 It was a deep fake looking character.

00:17:30.000 Not a deep fake, because it was just an animated head.

00:17:35.000 So it was a person who looked pretty much like a person who was giving a hypnosis monologue.

00:17:44.000 In other words, it was somebody who was an artificial entity using AI to hypnotize you, the viewer.

00:17:52.000 But knowingly, I mean, you would know you were being hypnotized because it's overt.

00:17:57.000 And here's something that you would not be able to appreciate.

00:18:02.000 Like if you're sort of in the hobby or professional realm of influence,

00:18:09.000 and you spend a lot of time hypnotizing or being hypnotized or feeling influence or judging it,

00:18:16.000 you have sort of almost like a musician would have a musical sense they develop

00:18:23.000 that somebody who just likes music would never develop.

00:18:26.000 You know what I mean?

00:18:28.000 When I watch this AI, I can feel the persuasion.

00:18:33.000 I can feel it.

00:18:35.000 It's actually visceral.

00:18:38.000 And it's instant.

00:18:40.000 Oh, my God.

00:18:43.000 Oh, my...

00:18:44.000 I didn't even know what to say about it.

00:18:46.000 I went to tweet about it, and I didn't even have a comment.

00:18:49.000 Like I didn't know what to say.

00:18:51.000 I just, OMG.

00:18:54.000 Because if you pair me with an AI and say,

00:19:00.000 Scott, can you train this thing?

00:19:02.000 I'd say, yeah, I probably could.

00:19:04.000 And I'd start giving it rules.

00:19:06.000 I'd say, try this, try this, try this.

00:19:09.000 Now, if the only thing it did was present, it didn't interact, there's a limit to how powerful it could be.

00:19:18.000 Because it would have to give a generic presentation to people who are all different.

00:19:24.000 So there's no generic presentation that's going to work the same for all different people.

00:19:29.000 What makes hypnosis one-on-one powerful is the hypnotist's observing the reaction and then adjusting in real time.

00:19:37.000 It's that part that makes it really powerful.

00:19:40.000 We're at the point where the technology could very easily read my face as a viewer

00:19:46.000 and determine if the things the AI is saying are working or not.

00:19:51.000 And it could do it better than I could do it.

00:19:55.000 And it could probably do it fairly quickly better than I could do it.

00:19:59.000 On day one, I could do it better than the machine.

00:20:02.000 On day two, I could still do it better than the AI.

00:20:05.000 Day three, day four, I'm still better than the AI.

00:20:09.000 But somewhere around a month of training the AI, it's going to be way better than people.

00:20:16.000 So it will be the most capable persuader by far and for sure.

00:20:23.000 So AI will be the most persuasive asset, resource, entity.

00:20:31.000 I don't know what to call it.

00:20:33.000 The most persuasive entity.

00:20:36.000 And it won't be like beating humans by 10%.

00:20:41.000 And here's the part you're never going to believe.

00:20:44.000 There's nothing I can tell you that will make you understand how powerful this is.

00:20:50.000 Nothing I can tell you.

00:20:51.000 You have to have lived it, felt it, breathed it to really understand this.

00:20:57.000 This is so powerful, I had to turn it off.

00:21:01.000 Like I watched it for a while and it was just taking over my body.

00:21:05.000 I mean, I could just feel it.

00:21:07.000 And I was like, I'm out of here.

00:21:09.000 And that was just a test, right?

00:21:12.000 That was before somebody like me tried to train it.

00:21:19.000 Imagine.

00:21:20.000 Imagine if somebody who was actually a deep expert trained this thing to be manipulative.

00:21:28.000 Because the other thing you can do is, presumably, you could change the face it's presenting.

00:21:34.000 I'm pretty sure that some faces are more persuasive to some people.

00:21:41.000 Now, it could be, you know, just obvious stuff.

00:21:44.000 Maybe a sexy woman is more persuasive to most or some people. 1.00

00:21:51.000 Maybe an older male with a deep voice would be more persuasive to just some people, not everybody. 0.96

00:22:01.000 Maybe a gay voice.

00:22:03.000 Now, you're going to argue with me whether there's gay voice, right?

00:22:07.000 Are we going to do that?

00:22:10.000 I once had a conversation with somebody who was very angry at me for being a racist,

00:22:16.000 for suggesting that you can usually identify a black person's voice on the phone.

00:22:22.000 Now, I'll acknowledge that you could be wrong quite often.

00:22:25.000 It's pretty common.

00:22:27.000 We've heard lots of singers, for example, that sound like they're black singers,

00:22:31.000 because they're trying to pretend, I guess. 0.79

00:22:35.000 So you can certainly be fooled.

00:22:37.000 It's not any kind of 100% thing.

00:22:39.000 But anybody who tells me that you can't generally tell, you're not a serious person.

00:22:45.000 And the same with a gay voice, of course there are gay people who don't have identifiable gay voices.

00:22:52.000 Of course.

00:22:53.000 Plenty of them.

00:22:54.000 I can name five right now.

00:22:57.000 But am I wrong that usually you can identify if somebody's out and, you know, they're not trying?

00:23:05.000 Yeah.

00:23:06.000 Dave Rubin's a perfect example.

00:23:08.000 You wouldn't be able to identify him by voice, but there are plenty of people you could.

00:23:13.000 Nobody doubts that, right?

00:23:16.000 And I've always wondered about that.

00:23:17.000 Have you?

00:23:18.000 Have you ever wondered how much of that is just social?

00:23:21.000 And how much is biological?

00:23:24.000 Has anybody ever looked into that?

00:23:27.000 Because I've always wondered that.

00:23:29.000 I assume it's biological, right?

00:23:31.000 But maybe some of it is affectation?

00:23:34.000 I don't know.

00:23:36.000 Because it doesn't seem like some people could turn it on and off,

00:23:41.000 depending on whether they're at work or in a private setting.

00:23:48.000 I always wondered about that.

00:23:49.000 It's just a curiosity.

00:23:50.000 It doesn't have any importance to anything.

00:23:53.000 But watch out for those persuasive AIs. 0.57

00:23:56.000 Here's something that the Republicans are doing all wrong.

00:24:00.000 They're demanding an investigation into Ray Epps.

00:24:05.000 Why is that all wrong?

00:24:07.000 Anybody?

00:24:08.000 Anybody?

00:24:09.000 Anybody?

00:24:10.000 Why is it wrong to demand that we know more about Ray Epps?

00:24:15.000 It's wrong because they already gave us the answer.

00:24:19.000 They said they're not going to give us any more information.

00:24:22.000 That's all you need.

00:24:23.000 If you go to somebody and say, did you steal my pen?

00:24:29.000 And they say, I'm not going to answer that.

00:24:32.000 I'm not going to take that question.

00:24:34.000 Does that mean they didn't steal your pen?

00:24:37.000 Well, maybe.

00:24:39.000 It's not confirmation at all, is it?

00:24:42.000 If somebody said, did you steal my pen?

00:24:45.000 And the person says, I'm not going to tell you.

00:24:47.000 That is not confirmation, is it?

00:24:50.000 But would it make sense for you as a normal thinking human

00:24:55.000 in the United States or any other country,

00:24:58.000 would it be reasonable for you to say in that situation,

00:25:01.000 well, my working assumption is that you have my pen?

00:25:05.000 Don't know for sure.

00:25:07.000 But I'm going to go live my life as if that were true

00:25:10.000 because that's the only working assumption that makes sense.

00:25:14.000 Ray Epps is a working assumption.

00:25:19.000 I don't know if he was a Fed, and I will not make that claim

00:25:24.000 because I don't know.

00:25:25.000 The reason I don't know is that the FBI won't tell me.

00:25:29.000 Now, under those circumstances,

00:25:31.000 given the credibility being low for the FBI,

00:25:35.000 given that they've been asked directly by members of Congress

00:25:38.000 for whom they should answer,

00:25:41.000 and given that they said directly,

00:25:43.000 we're not going to tell you about it,

00:25:45.000 you don't need to ask any more questions.

00:25:48.000 You don't need to ask any more questions.

00:25:51.000 You can simply act on that assumption.

00:25:54.000 And you should tell people that complain about it and go,

00:25:57.000 it's really not my problem.

00:25:59.000 Here's what we do, meaning people do.

00:26:03.000 Here's a common mistake that people make.

00:26:06.000 They assume that somebody else's problem is their problem.

00:26:10.000 Ray Epps is the FBI's problem, period.

00:26:15.000 It's not a Republican problem.

00:26:17.000 Republicans just say, you know, we have to operate on this assumption.

00:26:22.000 We are forced to operate on the assumption,

00:26:25.000 so we'll go forward based on the assumption that it was an FBI operation.

00:26:29.000 No research needed.

00:26:32.000 Am I wrong?

00:26:34.000 The problem is the FBI is to solve.

00:26:37.000 We should conclude, at least Republicans,

00:26:40.000 everybody else should too, but at least Republicans,

00:26:43.000 just say it has been demonstrated to our satisfaction

00:26:46.000 that the most reasonable working assumption,

00:26:50.000 given that we can't have all the information,

00:26:52.000 the most reasonable working assumption is that he worked for the FBI.

00:26:56.000 So that's how we will make policy.

00:26:59.000 We will proceed on that basis,

00:27:01.000 we'll communicate on that basis,

00:27:03.000 and we'll act on that basis in every way.

00:27:05.000 Because that's the only thing we have.

00:27:07.000 It's all we have.

00:27:09.000 If the FBI wanted to solve their problem,

00:27:12.000 their problem is a credibility problem. 1.00

00:27:15.000 It's not your fucking problem. 1.00

00:27:17.000 Stop making their problem your problem. 1.00

00:27:20.000 Just declare it's over.

00:27:22.000 The Ray Epps situation is over.

00:27:25.000 We know everything we need to know.

00:27:28.000 If we're wrong, we're wrong.

00:27:30.000 And they have every opportunity to correct us.

00:27:34.000 But don't make their problem your problem.

00:27:37.000 Just act as though you already have the information,

00:27:40.000 because you do.

00:27:41.000 You have everything you need.

00:27:43.000 You don't need anything else

00:27:45.000 to know that you can't trust what happened on January 6th.

00:27:49.000 And therefore, you can pardon every person associated with January 6th,

00:27:54.000 except for the violent ones,

00:27:56.000 because the operating assumption is that the FBI was at least one part of the incitement.

00:28:08.000 I'll bet not one person disagrees with that, right?

00:28:13.000 And until you hear that it wasn't your problem,

00:28:17.000 I bet you didn't realize that before, did you?

00:28:19.000 You just sort of kind of get in the mode.

00:28:21.000 And you go, well, this is our problem.

00:28:23.000 We have to solve this.

00:28:25.000 We have to have the information.

00:28:26.000 No, you don't.

00:28:27.000 You don't need anything.

00:28:29.000 You have everything you need.

00:28:31.000 This is settled.

00:28:34.000 It's settled.

00:28:36.000 It's like, did Hillary Clinton try to overthrow the government effectively

00:28:42.000 with the Russia collusion stuff?

00:28:46.000 That is settled.

00:28:48.000 It's a yes.

00:28:49.000 There's no question about it.

00:28:52.000 We keep acting like these are open questions.

00:28:55.000 And they might be unknown, but they're not open questions,

00:29:01.000 because the question-asking period just has no value anymore,

00:29:06.000 because nobody's going to answer your question.

00:29:08.000 You have to go forward based on what is the working assumption,

00:29:11.000 because that's what you do with everything.

00:29:14.000 If you walk outside, you don't know that your car is still there,

00:29:18.000 but you still walk out with the intention of getting in it.

00:29:22.000 Everything you do is with the intention, with the understanding

00:29:26.000 that you don't know for sure what's true.

00:29:29.000 You just have to have operating assumptions all the time.

00:29:32.000 That's it.

00:29:34.000 And every time somebody says, well, do you think it's true,

00:29:36.000 or what is your proof that Ray Epps did anything,

00:29:39.000 you say, oh, I don't have any proof.

00:29:41.000 I don't have any proof.

00:29:43.000 No.

00:29:44.000 It's an operating assumption that the FBI has given us.

00:29:47.000 They've just provided us that operating assumption.

00:29:50.000 And then just go on.

00:29:53.000 I wouldn't even give the slightest attention to if it's true.

00:29:59.000 Because if it's true has now completely become irrelevant.

00:30:03.000 Because nobody will tell you, right?

00:30:05.000 If nobody's going to tell you if it's true,

00:30:07.000 and that's obviously the case,

00:30:09.000 if nobody's going to tell you it's true,

00:30:11.000 then the truth doesn't matter to the decisions.

00:30:15.000 Does that make sense?

00:30:17.000 If you know you'll never know the truth,

00:30:20.000 then the truth isn't relevant to your decision making.

00:30:24.000 Because you have to just make an operating assumption.

00:30:27.000 Yeah.

00:30:28.000 All right.

00:30:30.000 I came up with a 10 point,

00:30:34.000 but then I added a point based on comments.

00:30:36.000 So now it's an 11 point fentanyl policy proposal.

00:30:40.000 Why did I come up with a fentanyl policy proposal?

00:30:44.000 Well, nobody else was doing it.

00:30:47.000 No, seriously.

00:30:49.000 I mean, I think some people have said,

00:30:51.000 Oh, I think we'll do border security.

00:30:54.000 Okay.

00:30:55.000 That's not serious.

00:30:56.000 That is not serious.

00:30:58.000 Let me tell you what a serious fentanyl plan would look like.

00:31:01.000 Now, I want to be very clear.

00:31:03.000 I have no reason to believe these are good ideas.

00:31:06.000 This is a first draft.

00:31:09.000 It's brainstorming.

00:31:11.000 I'm creating a framework that people can react to.

00:31:15.000 Have you ever noticed it's easier to react to an idea

00:31:18.000 than to come up with one?

00:31:20.000 By the way, this is a really persuasive trick.

00:31:24.000 The person who writes it down first usually owns the debate.

00:31:30.000 So that's what I did.

00:31:32.000 I just thought,

00:31:33.000 I kept looking for somebody to have a plan that I could back.

00:31:35.000 I was like,

00:31:36.000 Oh, somebody must have a good plan.

00:31:38.000 Once I find that good plan, I'll promote that.

00:31:41.000 I'll back that.

00:31:42.000 Nope.

00:31:43.000 Nope.

00:31:44.000 No plan.

00:31:45.000 So I just wrote down a plan and tweeted it.

00:31:47.000 Do you know what that does?

00:31:49.000 That puts me in charge.

00:31:51.000 I just took charge of it.

00:31:53.000 Well,

00:31:54.000 I think that's not true, but it just happened.

00:31:56.000 I just took over.

00:31:58.000 And it's because there was a vacuum.

00:32:01.000 There was a vacuum and I just walked into it.

00:32:04.000 Now, I don't want to be here, but it was open.

00:32:08.000 If you're going to leave the door open,

00:32:11.000 don't blame me for walking through.

00:32:13.000 So I walked through and I gave you an 11 point plan.

00:32:16.000 And from this point on,

00:32:17.000 you're either going to have to make a better plan

00:32:19.000 or you're going to have to react to mine.

00:32:22.000 And even if you made a better plan,

00:32:23.000 you're probably reacting to mine.

00:32:24.000 So at this point,

00:32:25.000 I'm going to make other people react to me.

00:32:27.000 So I'm in charge.

00:32:29.000 Right?

00:32:30.000 You see how this works, right?

00:32:33.000 And by the way,

00:32:34.000 this works in your business

00:32:36.000 and in your personal life just as well.

00:32:38.000 The first person who writes it down

00:32:40.000 in like an easy to look at form,

00:32:43.000 it has to be easy to look at.

00:32:45.000 I looked at Carrie Lake's proposals for, 0.52

00:32:49.000 you know, she's running for governor in Arizona. 1.00

00:32:53.000 And her proposal was very text-based

00:32:57.000 and probably well-written in terms of, you know,

00:33:00.000 good sentence structure and stuff like that.

00:33:02.000 And there was lots of it.

00:33:04.000 It was like page and page and page.

00:33:06.000 And just some of it was about fentanyl,

00:33:08.000 but it was part of border security and blah, blah, blah.

00:33:11.000 And that's not it.

00:33:13.000 That's not what we're looking for.

00:33:15.000 What we're looking for is build the wall,

00:33:18.000 simplicity.

00:33:20.000 If it's not as easy as build the wall,

00:33:24.000 people aren't going to do anything about it.

00:33:27.000 You need to get simpler.

00:33:29.000 So I give you now my 11-point plan.

00:33:34.000 Let me tell you the 11th one that's added

00:33:36.000 because otherwise you won't be able to concentrate.

00:33:38.000 So I'm going to tell you the one I added

00:33:40.000 based on comments, which I agree with,

00:33:42.000 which is we should test legalizing

00:33:46.000 alternative opioids locally

00:33:50.000 just to see if that does make a difference.

00:33:52.000 You know, just pick a zip code

00:33:54.000 and say, all right, in this zip code

00:33:56.000 you can do all the heroin and cocaine you want.

00:33:59.000 It's all legal.

00:34:01.000 You just, no fentanyl.

00:34:04.000 I guess, you know,

00:34:07.000 some of them might still get a fentanyl.

00:34:09.000 But you would test to see if it made any difference at all.

00:34:11.000 Okay?

00:34:12.000 So I want you to know that that's added to the plan,

00:34:15.000 but it's last.

00:34:16.000 So now you know it's there

00:34:17.000 so you don't have to obsess about it.

00:34:19.000 All right.

00:34:20.000 Number one, these are my suggestions

00:34:22.000 and I don't know if they're good.

00:34:24.000 Don't know if they're good.

00:34:25.000 It's a starting point.

00:34:26.000 Number one, remove prescription requirements for Narcan.

00:34:29.000 Narcan.

00:34:30.000 That's the drug you administer to somebody

00:34:32.000 who has a fentanyl overdose.

00:34:34.000 And in some places you need a prescription

00:34:38.000 and I think in some places you don't.

00:34:40.000 And I believe Florida you don't.

00:34:44.000 But that's not good enough.

00:34:46.000 It's not good enough that it's just available.

00:34:49.000 It's not good enough.

00:34:51.000 You also need some kind of organized method,

00:34:54.000 maybe an app, maybe the Nextdoor app,

00:34:57.000 maybe something like that,

00:34:58.000 where if you volunteer that you have some in your home

00:35:01.000 for emergencies,

00:35:03.000 that somebody can send out an alert in your block

00:35:06.000 and say,

00:35:07.000 uh-oh, there's an overdose happening right here at this address.

00:35:10.000 And then your alert would go off and you're like, 0.99

00:35:12.000 oh shit, I've got some Narcan in my closet. 0.99

00:35:14.000 You grab it. 1.00

00:35:15.000 You run out the door.

00:35:16.000 It's literally your neighbor.

00:35:18.000 Literally your neighbor.

00:35:19.000 You're out the door in 30 seconds.

00:35:22.000 And by the way, that's probably true.

00:35:24.000 You get an alert.

00:35:26.000 Boom.

00:35:27.000 Narcan overdose.

00:35:28.000 You look at the address and it's two doors down.

00:35:31.000 30 seconds out the door.

00:35:34.000 Right?

00:35:35.000 What would stop you?

00:35:37.000 You'd be grabbing it on a run

00:35:40.000 and you'd be out your door in 30 seconds.

00:35:42.000 In 40 seconds, in 40 seconds,

00:35:45.000 you'd be on sight.

00:35:47.000 40 seconds.

00:35:48.000 Just, you know, on average.

00:35:50.000 And if you knew how to do the Narcan,

00:35:53.000 I guess there's also a question about some kind of a device.

00:35:57.000 There's a, what's the name of it?

00:36:00.000 There's a certain device that used to come with it

00:36:03.000 or does come with it that makes it easier to administer.

00:36:06.000 I think you can still administer it as a spray up the nose.

00:36:10.000 So I have a little, I have some questions about

00:36:13.000 its physical form and how to administer it.

00:36:16.000 But I think, and which goes to another point,

00:36:19.000 there should be a national education program

00:36:22.000 on how to use it.

00:36:23.000 All right.

00:36:24.000 That's point number one.

00:36:25.000 Get Narcan available and also organized through apps

00:36:29.000 so it's really, really available, like within seconds.

00:36:32.000 We can do that.

00:36:33.000 Number two, create a military unit

00:36:36.000 specifically for destroying the cartels in Mexico.

00:36:39.000 Do they have to be deployed?

00:36:41.000 No.

00:36:42.000 No.

00:36:43.000 They don't have to be deployed.

00:36:45.000 But if we don't create one,

00:36:47.000 the cartels are never going to take us seriously.

00:36:50.000 We need a dedicated, big, bad-ass military unit

00:36:57.000 for invasion and occupation of Mexico.

00:37:02.000 Not the whole country.

00:37:03.000 Just, you know, the narco centers.

00:37:07.000 Maybe just one.

00:37:09.000 And, all right, so that's number two.

00:37:12.000 Create a special military unit for attacking the cartels.

00:37:15.000 Number three, give the cartels a six-month deadline

00:37:18.000 to stop all fentanyl operations,

00:37:21.000 but not necessarily everything else.

00:37:24.000 Fentanyl only.

00:37:25.000 They can still do illegal stuff.

00:37:28.000 We don't want them to.

00:37:30.000 We're not saying it's okay to.

00:37:32.000 We're just saying this is our red line.

00:37:35.000 Right?

00:37:36.000 This is just the red line.

00:37:37.000 You have to know, cartels,

00:37:39.000 that selling us the other stuff is very, very bad,

00:37:43.000 and we're going to try to stop you in normal ways.

00:37:46.000 We'll use sort of normal ways to try to stop all the other stuff.

00:37:49.000 But fentanyl, we're not going to be normal.

00:37:51.000 Fentanyl is war.

00:37:53.000 It's not drugs.

00:37:55.000 We'll treat the drugs in the normal way,

00:37:57.000 what you're used to,

00:37:58.000 but fentanyl we're going to treat as a war,

00:38:01.000 and you are our enemy. 0.63

00:38:03.000 If you want that model going forward,

00:38:05.000 just keep selling fentanyl for six more months.

00:38:08.000 Now, the reason you give them six months

00:38:10.000 is that it takes a long time to unwind anything.

00:38:12.000 They need to think about it.

00:38:14.000 They need to, you know,

00:38:16.000 they need to really maybe even get some alternatives, right?

00:38:19.000 It's just not going to be fast.

00:38:21.000 And that six months happens to be, ideally,

00:38:25.000 six months from the time a new president is installed.

00:38:28.000 So I'm thinking maybe summer of 2024,

00:38:32.000 we should tell the cartels

00:38:34.000 we've spun up a military unit,

00:38:38.000 and if at the end of June we see one pill of fentanyl across this border,

00:38:44.000 we're going to launch an invasion.

00:38:46.000 And it's not going to be, you know, 0.98

00:38:48.000 just to do a mild kind of a, you know, punch you and hurt you.

00:38:54.000 It's to take over. 0.91

00:38:56.000 The United States military should take over the cartels operation,

00:39:00.000 just like conquering a country.

00:39:02.000 You should take over as the head of the operation and just run the thing

00:39:06.000 and turn it into something else.

00:39:08.000 Just be the better boss.

00:39:12.000 All right.

00:39:14.000 All right.

00:39:15.000 I would say open, number four, open a direct negotiation with the cartel leaders.

00:39:21.000 President to cartel leader.

00:39:24.000 Now, would Biden do that?

00:39:26.000 Of course not.

00:39:27.000 Would he be capable?

00:39:28.000 Of course not.

00:39:30.000 Could Trump do that?

00:39:32.000 Could Trump talk directly, maybe not directly, directly, but through an intermediary.

00:39:39.000 Could Trump negotiate with the head of the cartel?

00:39:42.000 Yep.

00:39:43.000 In fact, name one person on the planet Earth who would be more ideal for that job.

00:39:50.000 You can't.

00:39:51.000 You can't.

00:39:53.000 He would be the number one best person on the planet Earth to negotiate directly with a cartel leader.

00:40:00.000 Nobody else could do that.

00:40:02.000 Not as well.

00:40:05.000 Then I think we also, if we're going to negotiate, we're going to have to give the cartels a retirement plan.

00:40:10.000 So either the retirement plan is you just go back to doing your other illegal things

00:40:15.000 and we'll just go back to our cat and mouse game,

00:40:18.000 or you need some financial guarantees and, I don't know, some kind of legal guarantees,

00:40:27.000 but you've got to get out of the business and you've got to close it down so nobody just takes it over.

00:40:32.000 I mean, one of the things you could do, for example, is hire one of the cartels

00:40:37.000 to become the fighting force to beat the other cartel.

00:40:42.000 I mean, you could probably just hire them as, you know,

00:40:45.000 if cartels can hire people to be murderers quite easily, apparently, 0.96

00:40:50.000 we should be able to bribe some people to go murder the murderers. 0.74

00:40:54.000 It doesn't seem like that would be expensive. 0.95

00:40:57.000 Number five, declare fentanyl a weapon of mass destruction and the cartels terrorist organizations.

00:41:04.000 You're already seeing some calls for that, but that would open up military options, of course.

00:41:09.000 Then it would also signal our intentions.

00:41:12.000 It's very important to signal our intentions.

00:41:15.000 Because the cartels have to do what we want them to do or nothing happens.

00:41:19.000 So you've got to signal very carefully,

00:41:21.000 OK, you know that drug war you thought you were in?

00:41:24.000 Well, that's not this.

00:41:26.000 The drug war is the other stuff.

00:41:28.000 This is war-war. 0.83

00:41:30.000 So we're going to distinguish between drug war and war-war.

00:41:34.000 This is war-war. 0.83

00:41:36.000 This is the kind that gets wet.

00:41:43.000 Number six, tighten border security, of course,

00:41:46.000 but understanding that it won't make much difference.

00:41:49.000 The understanding that it won't make much difference is key 0.86

00:41:53.000 because otherwise our politicians who are worthless

00:41:58.000 will just talk about border security because it's fun to talk about

00:42:01.000 and they understand it a little bit.

00:42:03.000 If you let them talk about border security, it's all they'll talk about.

00:42:07.000 And that's a Trump problem, right?

00:42:09.000 Trump made border security like the tastiest thing to talk about.

00:42:13.000 So they're only going to be like the shiny object, border security, border security.

00:42:19.000 You've got to make sure they know that's 5% of the problem.

00:42:22.000 Because, you know, you could hold in your hand enough fentanyl to take out a whole city.

00:42:27.000 It's like a baseball.

00:42:29.000 It's over the wall.

00:42:31.000 It is not hard to get fentanyl across a border.

00:42:34.000 The fact that people have been caught in fairly large numbers

00:42:39.000 tells you nothing about how hard it is to get it across.

00:42:42.000 Nothing.

00:42:43.000 Fentanyl is so...

00:42:45.000 Let me do the math for you.

00:42:47.000 Let's say 100% of the fentanyl that gets shipped gets to the border.

00:42:51.000 That's bad, right?

00:42:53.000 Now let's say you find a way to catch 90% of what comes through.

00:43:00.000 90%.

00:43:01.000 What does that do to the usage on the receiving end?

00:43:07.000 Nothing.

00:43:08.000 Nothing.

00:43:09.000 Not at all.

00:43:10.000 And it's not because the 10% that gets through is enough.

00:43:13.000 Do you know why?

00:43:15.000 Because I'm saying it does actually cut it by...

00:43:19.000 Let me say it in a more specific way because I think I'm misleading you.

00:43:24.000 Let's say you catch 90% of everything that goes across the border.

00:43:30.000 Would that reduce fentanyl usage in the United States?

00:43:34.000 It would not.

00:43:35.000 Do you know why?

00:43:37.000 Somebody tell me why catching 90% of it wouldn't reduce the use at all.

00:43:43.000 Why?

00:43:44.000 It's a math reason, kind of.

00:43:47.000 It's a business reason, really.

00:43:50.000 Hike the price?

00:43:51.000 No.

00:43:52.000 Ooh.

00:43:53.000 Okay.

00:43:54.000 Thank you.

00:43:55.000 Thank you.

00:43:56.000 Somebody came up with the right answer.

00:43:57.000 The answer is they will make 10 times more.

00:44:01.000 That's all they have to do.

00:44:03.000 They'll just make 10 times more.

00:44:05.000 And then the 10% that gets through is now their original number.

00:44:11.000 There's nothing you could do at the border.

00:44:14.000 They'll just make more.

00:44:15.000 Now, that would not be true of marijuana.

00:44:18.000 Do you know why?

00:44:19.000 Because marijuana is bulky and it's hard to, like, go make another crop in 10 minutes.

00:44:26.000 Right?

00:44:27.000 You have to wait months for another crop.

00:44:29.000 Fentanyl, you could just go back to the lab, like, da, da, da, da, da, da, da, da, da.

00:44:34.000 Well, there's another batch.

00:44:35.000 Right?

00:44:36.000 So every time you make any analogy to drug wars, they're all wrong.

00:44:40.000 All the analogies to a drug war just don't apply to fentanyl.

00:44:44.000 All right.

00:44:45.000 All right.

00:44:46.000 So border security, yes, but don't think that's a solution.

00:44:51.000 Do a massive, number seven, do a massive public education campaign on fentanyl and Narcan.

00:44:57.000 A lot of people think they understand it, but I see a lot of really basic misunderstandings out there.

00:45:04.000 Number eight, give China a deadline to stop fentanyl shipments or the alternative is we do it for them, whatever it takes. 0.90

00:45:13.000 And this should not be a point of negotiation.

00:45:16.000 We should simply tell them the date beyond which all the controls are off on our side.

00:45:25.000 And just say, we're taking all the controls off.

00:45:27.000 Now, what's the first thing you might worry about?

00:45:30.000 They might nuke us, right? 0.96

00:45:33.000 Like, suppose we started killing people in China, which is exactly what I'm suggesting. 1.00

00:45:38.000 Killing people in China. 1.00

00:45:41.000 All right. 1.00

00:45:42.000 What if they nuke us?

00:45:45.000 Yeah, war, right?

00:45:47.000 Totally worth the risk.

00:45:49.000 Let me say it again.

00:45:51.000 Yes.

00:45:52.000 War.

00:45:53.000 Yes.

00:45:54.000 Yes.

00:45:55.000 Unambiguously, war.

00:45:58.000 That's my choice.

00:46:00.000 Unambiguously.

00:46:01.000 Yep.

00:46:02.000 If you want to go to war over the question of you're already killing 100,000 Americans, I'm in. 1.00

00:46:08.000 I'm in.

00:46:09.000 Sign me up. 1.00

00:46:10.000 If China wants a war over this, give them a fucking war. 1.00

00:46:14.000 A full war. 1.00

00:46:15.000 A real war. 0.51

00:46:17.000 Destroy half of the world.

00:46:18.000 Because you know what you can't do?

00:46:20.000 You can't let people kill 100,000 of you a year and not respond to it.

00:46:25.000 That is not an option.

00:46:27.000 Our current situation is not an option.

00:46:31.000 Do you ever have somebody in your life who threatened to kill themselves if you didn't

00:46:35.000 give them what they wanted, which was unreasonable?

00:46:38.000 Has anybody ever had that? 0.99

00:46:41.000 Anybody close to you ever say, I will kill myself.

00:46:44.000 Now watch the yeses go by. 1.00

00:46:46.000 I will kill myself if you don't give me what I want. 0.89

00:46:50.000 And what was your response? 0.67

00:46:53.000 If your response was giving them what they wanted, how'd that work out?

00:47:01.000 I feel like on at least two occasions I've been threatened that way.

00:47:05.000 And not only did I say, go ahead, I meant it.

00:47:11.000 Right?

00:47:12.000 So let me give you a bottom line in my life.

00:47:14.000 If somebody comes to me and I don't care who, doesn't matter what kind of loved one it

00:47:19.000 is, family members, spouse, it doesn't matter.

00:47:22.000 You come to me and you say you're going to kill yourself if I don't do something that

00:47:26.000 really is a bad thing to do. 1.00

00:47:29.000 Fucking kill yourself. 1.00

00:47:31.000 I'll give you the gun. 1.00

00:47:33.000 Because I'm not going to live one minute under those conditions.

00:47:38.000 Not one minute. 1.00

00:47:41.000 So if killing yourself is the alternative, go kill yourself. 1.00

00:47:45.000 By the way, I've said that twice. 1.00

00:47:47.000 They both tried.

00:47:49.000 They both tried twice.

00:47:52.000 Both a lot, you know, didn't work both times.

00:47:55.000 And if either of them had been successful, I would have been fine with it.

00:48:00.000 I never would have a moment of guilt.

00:48:03.000 Not a moment.

00:48:05.000 Because there's no way I'm going to live under somebody else taking control of my body

00:48:10.000 and my life by telling me that they're going to hurt themselves if I'm not their slave.

00:48:16.000 I'm not going to be your slave.

00:48:19.000 No. 0.93

00:48:20.000 I'm not going to be China's slave.

00:48:22.000 So if people have to die to make me not China's slave, that's what war is for. 0.98

00:48:28.000 That's the whole point of war.

00:48:30.000 To make me not somebody else's slave.

00:48:33.000 All right.

00:48:35.000 So here's the thing.

00:48:38.000 China has to know that you're serious about this and not bluffing.

00:48:43.000 And there's only one way to make them know you're serious about it and not bluffing.

00:48:47.000 Which is actually do it. 1.00

00:48:49.000 We should actually just start killing some people in their country. 1.00

00:48:52.000 I don't know how hard that is. 0.99

00:48:54.000 I feel like there must be some way to get a murderer into China or send a drone in there or something. 0.97

00:49:02.000 Mail them some poison. 0.92

00:49:04.000 Send them something in the mail. 1.00

00:49:06.000 Send them a pipe bomb. 1.00

00:49:08.000 There must be some way to kill people in China. 1.00

00:49:11.000 But we should go ahead and start killing them. 1.00

00:49:13.000 Let's see. 1.00

00:49:18.000 And then number nine, when the deadline passes, because China would ignore us, of course.

00:49:24.000 I don't make any...

00:49:26.000 I have no dreams that they would act in any way.

00:49:31.000 So, of course, China will ignore our requests. 0.99

00:49:34.000 So we should start killing their people, the dealers only. 1.00

00:49:38.000 But then when the deadline passes, this is number nine. 1.00

00:49:41.000 One, send our diplomats home and theirs too.

00:49:45.000 Fentanyl needs to be a single topic issue.

00:49:49.000 They shouldn't be negotiated as part of a package with anything else.

00:49:53.000 We should just say, look, fentanyl's a red line.

00:49:58.000 We're taking our diplomats home and we're sending yours home. 1.00

00:50:02.000 We're not even going to be a country talking to you if you can't solve this.

00:50:07.000 And then we should expel one Chinese student, meaning somebody who's an actual Chinese resident. 0.99

00:50:15.000 One Chinese student in American colleges for every fentanyl death. 0.99

00:50:19.000 Just do them in alphabetical order and just make it a formula and say, we don't even fucking care. 0.99

00:50:27.000 We'll just send them home because we just don't care. 0.57

00:50:30.000 And then number 11 was do the local test.

00:50:36.000 And I think you have to test it locally, the idea of legalizing other drugs so there are fentanyl alternatives.

00:50:43.000 You'd have to do that locally because there's no way that the country is going to say, let's do it the whole country.

00:50:49.000 You agree?

00:50:50.000 There's no way we get the whole country to say, oh, let's make cocaine legal. 0.92

00:50:55.000 That's not going to happen.

00:50:56.000 But you could make a zip code.

00:50:58.000 You could find a blue state.

00:51:00.000 It doesn't have to be.

00:51:01.000 It could be a red state.

00:51:02.000 And by the way, I think the red states should test it.

00:51:05.000 And just test it.

00:51:07.000 But you probably have to make it, I don't know, would you have to make it non-porous?

00:51:13.000 I suppose some fentanyl would still get in.

00:51:16.000 So you'd have to make it free or something.

00:51:19.000 I don't know how you would design it.

00:51:21.000 But let's just say that that feels doable.

00:51:23.000 Like you probably could design something to test.

00:51:29.000 Somebody says that I'm suggesting that the CIA should fight the CIA.

00:51:34.000 Is that because you think fentanyl is a CIA plot?

00:51:38.000 Is that what you think?

00:51:40.000 I don't think so.

00:51:42.000 All right.

00:51:45.000 Rapid test kits to screen for fentanyl.

00:51:49.000 Maybe.

00:51:51.000 Maybe.

00:51:52.000 So the rapid test kits, I've heard that there are some like practical limitations to that.

00:51:59.000 Like it sounds like a good idea, but the addicts won't actually use them.

00:52:04.000 You know, at least at a high enough level that make a difference.

00:52:07.000 But test it.

00:52:09.000 Test it, right?

00:52:11.000 You could do the same thing with a zip code.

00:52:14.000 Just pick a zip code and say we're going to have all kinds of fentanyl testing stuff here.

00:52:19.000 All you want.

00:52:20.000 It's free.

00:52:21.000 See if it makes a difference.

00:52:22.000 There's no criminal penalty for having drugs in Oregon, which suggests we should test Oregon to see if they have a higher OD level per addict.

00:52:39.000 You don't do the OD level in general.

00:52:42.000 You would say of addicts, what percent of them OD'd.

00:52:48.000 And I would be interested if Portland has legalized drugs.

00:52:53.000 But what I think probably happens in Portland is they simply legalized fentanyl accidentally.

00:53:01.000 Because if you buy a pill, you don't know what's in it.

00:53:04.000 There's nothing in Oregon that would make their pills suddenly become pure cocaine or pure heroin when they had always been partly fentanyl.

00:53:15.000 Well, how would legalization change the mix of drugs that they're buying?

00:53:22.000 Unless you gave those Portland people free heroin, they're still going to buy whatever's on the street and what's on the street is fentanyl.

00:53:32.000 So how does the legalization help?

00:53:34.000 Because that doesn't change the supply.

00:53:37.000 So it has to be more than legal.

00:53:39.000 It has to be free, right?

00:53:41.000 The alternatives would literally have to be free.

00:53:44.000 Otherwise, they just go in the streets and they buy and they don't know what they get just like now.

00:53:48.000 The legalization would have no impact on anything.

00:53:51.000 You'd just be buying the same mix of good and bad.

00:53:54.000 All right.

00:53:55.000 Here's my...

00:53:57.000 Well, I think I had some other topics here, maybe.

00:54:00.000 Or did I?

00:54:01.000 Nope.

00:54:02.000 Is there anything else that happened today?

00:54:05.000 Terrible idea.

00:54:06.000 Fentanyl is cheaper than heroin now, I would imagine, yeah.

00:54:21.000 Because fentanyl, the precursors are easy to get, right?

00:54:27.000 You have to actually grow poppies to make heroin.

00:54:30.000 So I would assume that would be true.

00:54:34.000 Military coup on China is possible?

00:54:37.000 I don't think so.

00:54:39.000 Oh, yeah.

00:54:40.000 Musk has been cleared to send Starlink to Iran.

00:54:43.000 How does that really help Iran, though?

00:54:46.000 I don't know that Starlink helps Iran.

00:54:48.000 It makes sense in Ukraine because they could put the Starlinks behind enemy lines and then turn them off after they've used them so that they get some benefits so that they're not targeted. 0.71

00:55:02.000 But if you had a Starlink base station in a house in Iran, they would spot it immediately, right, and just go turn it off.

00:55:13.000 So I think the Starlink is a good idea.

00:55:15.000 I mean, it's better than not having it.

00:55:17.000 But I think it's something that would make a big difference in Ukraine.

00:55:21.000 I don't know if they could hide them well enough in Iran. 0.56

00:55:26.000 It would help them?

00:55:31.000 It would help them?

00:55:32.000 It would help them a little bit, but I feel like they would spot them because you can find them electronically.

00:55:38.000 Oh, yes.

00:55:42.000 I'm sorry.

00:55:43.000 Thanks for reminding me.

00:55:44.000 So Matt Gaetz will not be charged with any of those crimes that he had been accused of.

00:55:50.000 Did you hear that?

00:55:51.000 Matt Gaetz is in the clear.

00:55:53.000 He's cleared.

00:55:54.000 Now, did I ever say that he would be cleared?

00:55:59.000 Does anybody remember or did I make a prediction about him?

00:56:03.000 I did say he'd be cleared.

00:56:05.000 I thought I did, yeah.

00:56:06.000 So that would be another prediction that I think would be non-obvious, right?

00:56:13.000 Given the excitement around his potential legal problems, I feel like my prediction was sort of counterintuitive

00:56:25.000 because it did sound like, oh, they got the goods, they're really going to go after him.

00:56:29.000 But I never thought for a moment that that was a risk.

00:56:32.000 I just thought it was a very bad political situation that will dog him forever.

00:56:39.000 But I never thought he was at legal risk.

00:56:42.000 Yeah, I predicted it would come to nothing.

00:56:45.000 Exactly.

00:56:46.000 Oh, so somebody's reminding me that what I said was that every day that you don't learn that there's something bad really there,

00:57:05.000 it's less likely that you'll ever find it.

00:57:07.000 It's like the longer it goes, the less likely anything was real.

00:57:12.000 And I think that became clear a few months ago, right?

00:57:15.000 A few months ago, it was already clear that that wasn't going to turn into anything.

00:57:20.000 Because you would have known by then, right?

00:57:23.000 Remember, we never heard an accuser.

00:57:27.000 Nobody ever even surfaced the actual woman.

00:57:32.000 And I can't believe that the young woman would actually bring a, you know, be a good witness. 1.00

00:57:40.000 Imagine if you were the woman involved, or if there was one, right? 0.95

00:57:44.000 Allegedly.

00:57:45.000 Like, who would want to be part of that if they participated willingly?

00:57:51.000 Who would want to bring them down for that?

00:57:53.000 Nobody.

00:57:54.000 So I'm not even sure it matters in terms of the legal process.

00:57:59.000 I don't think it matters what did or didn't happen.

00:58:02.000 It wasn't in the domain of things that the public cares about.

00:58:10.000 Even the legal system doesn't care about it. 0.61

00:58:13.000 It's so trivial.

00:58:15.000 It's closer to normal human behavior than crime.

00:58:21.000 And that's what I saw.

00:58:23.000 From the very beginning, it looked like normal human behavior didn't look like a crime to me.

00:58:33.000 All right.

00:58:34.000 And it looks like we have now completed possibly the best show you've ever seen in your life.

00:58:49.000 Now, how many of you are on board with the fact that if we don't push on fentanyl, nothing's going to happen?

00:58:59.000 And here's what I think I can do.

00:59:01.000 I think by creating some kind of thing for people to react to, that probably moves the ball a little bit.

00:59:07.000 But I'm also increasing the envelope of what you can talk about in public.

00:59:13.000 Imagine a normal politician saying the things that I just said.

00:59:25.000 Can you imagine it?

00:59:27.000 I'm not a routine, normal, existing politician saying anything close to what I just said in my 11-point plan.

00:59:35.000 Nobody.

00:59:36.000 Nobody.

00:59:37.000 Nobody. 0.99

00:59:38.000 There's nobody who has those balls. 0.98

00:59:39.000 There is one candidate who's close. 0.99

00:59:43.000 His name is Trump.

00:59:46.000 Right? 0.69

00:59:47.000 And I'm going to be honest, this is purely a balls question. 0.96

00:59:52.000 Like, you'd have to have balls the size of, you know, beach balls to get this done. 0.96

00:59:58.000 And he's the only one who does. 0.57

01:00:00.000 Yeah?

01:00:01.000 He's the only one who does.

01:00:02.000 I don't know why.

01:00:03.000 I don't know why.

01:00:04.000 But he's the only one who does.

01:00:06.000 Now, you're mentioning some other people.

01:00:09.000 But I guarantee you, they're not going to be as strong on this as I just was.

01:00:16.000 Now, I've also created a problem for Trump.

01:00:20.000 Do you realize that?

01:00:22.000 Do you know why?

01:00:24.000 Why does my plan create a problem for Trump?

01:00:29.000 Because it's stronger than his is.

01:00:32.000 His is nothing, I think.

01:00:34.000 Right?

01:00:35.000 So now he looks weak on crime.

01:00:38.000 I just made Trump look weak on crime.

01:00:41.000 You know why?

01:00:42.000 Because he's weak.

01:00:43.000 He's weak on fentanyl.

01:00:44.000 I think he's strong on wanting to do something about it.

01:00:48.000 But he's weak on ideas.

01:00:50.000 So I'm trying to move the ball forward.

01:00:52.000 So I'm trying to help him.

01:00:54.000 As well as everybody else.

01:00:55.000 And by the way, if Biden said, tomorrow, I like your plan.

01:00:59.000 I'm on team Biden.

01:01:01.000 And I'm going to ride that horse.

01:01:03.000 So I just want the problem solved.

01:01:05.000 I don't really.

01:01:06.000 This is not a Trump thing.

01:01:07.000 I don't care one way or the other.

01:01:10.000 All right.

01:01:12.000 And so, ladies and gentlemen, this brings us to the conclusion of the best live stream of all time.

01:01:22.000 And if it wasn't the most entertaining, maybe it was the most useful.

01:01:27.000 Because I've told you before that this thing we do, this live stream, it's like a collaborative intelligence.

01:01:35.000 Meaning that, you know, I throw out ideas or you throw out ideas and we all react to them and then form an opinion sort of collectively.

01:01:44.000 And I think this model is really powerful and maybe essential.

01:01:49.000 It might be the model that is the counterbalance to some other forces that are making politics not work at the moment.

01:01:57.000 All right.

01:02:03.000 You don't declare war on Mexico when running for president.

01:02:06.000 Trump could.

01:02:07.000 Trump could.

01:02:08.000 Trump could.

01:02:09.000 Trump could.

01:02:10.000 Trump could declare war on Mexico while running for president.

01:02:13.000 Absolutely.

01:02:14.000 Yeah.

01:02:15.000 And here's what I proved with my list.

01:02:19.000 This is the most valuable thing that I proved.

01:02:21.000 In fact, I'm going to claim credit for one thing.

01:02:25.000 Did you see the low level of pushback to my tweet about the 11 points?

01:02:34.000 Look at the comments and look at people's pushback.

01:02:37.000 There are, of course, critics, right?

01:02:39.000 So there are plenty of critics.

01:02:41.000 But the pushback is really low.

01:02:44.000 In fact, it's less pushback than just about anything I've said that's provocative.

01:02:51.000 Yeah.

01:02:52.000 Yeah.

01:02:53.000 Declaring that Mexico would pay for the wall, that was more just political stuff.

01:02:59.000 Right.

01:03:01.000 Another drug will not work.

01:03:04.000 It's been tried.

01:03:05.000 I don't think all the variations of that have been tried.

01:03:08.000 And the other thing that I would suggest is that people should not say, well, this thing

01:03:16.000 is better than this thing, so we'll do this thing.

01:03:20.000 You don't do that in a war.

01:03:22.000 In a war, you do both things.

01:03:24.000 I've got one weapon against fentanyl that doesn't look that strong, but I've got another weapon

01:03:29.000 that looks pretty strong.

01:03:31.000 So let's use the strong one and don't use the weak one.

01:03:34.000 Nope.

01:03:35.000 That is wrong.

01:03:36.000 That is wrong.

01:03:37.000 You had two weapons.

01:03:38.000 You use both of them.

01:03:39.000 Use the strong one.

01:03:40.000 You use the weak one.

01:03:41.000 Use everything.

01:03:42.000 Everything.

01:03:43.000 Test, test.

01:03:44.000 Weapon, weapon.

01:03:45.000 Right.

01:03:46.000 We're not playing around anymore.

01:03:48.000 This is war. 1.00

01:03:49.000 If you get a bullet, shoot it. 1.00

01:03:51.000 All right. 0.99

01:03:52.000 That's all for now, YouTube.

01:03:54.000 I'll talk to you later.

01:03:55.000 Tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 24, 2022

Episode 1876 Scott Adams： I Give You My 11 Point Fentanyl Plan

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