Episode 1876 Scott Adams： I Give You My 11 Point Fentanyl Plan
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 3 minutes
Words per Minute
145.35454
Summary
In this episode, Scott Adams talks about the Iran protests, and why he's glad he doesn't have to live in Iran. Plus, he talks about Black Lives Matter, Iran, and protests in the United States.
Transcript
00:00:07.000
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00:00:18.000
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00:00:42.000
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00:01:23.000
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I guess a young woman was taken into custody for not wearing a proper headscarf.
00:02:03.000
And she died in custody, which nobody knows the specifics of that,
00:02:11.000
And so there are protests erupting all over Iran.
00:02:16.000
Now, what do you think are the odds that the protests that are erupting all over Iran
00:02:35.000
In fact, the Iranians are sufficiently confident that they actually let the protests kind of rage for a while.
00:02:48.000
They actually let people get their energy out, which isn't the dumbest thing to do.
00:03:01.000
I don't have a good, you know, obviously I'm not keyed into the mood of the average Iranian person,
00:03:08.000
but I feel like it'll be like one of these several other flare-ups, and then it will just flare away.
00:03:18.000
And as some experts said, until you see some kind of a leader on the other side, an opposition leader,
00:03:30.000
Until you see something like that and any kind of a military defection, nothing's going to happen in Iran.
00:03:39.000
So, unlike the United States, unlike the United States, in Iran, if you protest, nothing's going to happen.
00:03:50.000
So, weirdly, here's the weird thing, is that Iran is allowing more protests than I thought they would allow.
00:03:58.000
You know, it's probably not legal, but they are kind of letting it run a little bit.
00:04:05.000
So, aren't you glad that you live in a country, if you live in America or you live in some free country somewhere else,
00:04:14.000
aren't you glad that in your country, you know, a big protest movement would be successful?
00:04:21.000
Because we don't have military and stuff like that to stop a protest.
00:04:25.000
And that's why in the United States, for example, we have this long string of successful protests.
00:04:37.000
Because before Occupy Wall Street, there was this huge income inequality.
00:04:45.000
And then the Occupy Wall Street came in, they camped in their tents and stuff,
00:04:49.000
until that gigantic gap between the rich and the poor just shrunk.
00:04:59.000
Then let's not forget Black Lives Matter, who had many valid criticisms of the way the country was being run,
00:05:07.000
especially in regards to racial things and most particularly policing.
00:05:14.000
Now, since Black Lives Matter did their summer of protest, have you seen one major story of a police department abusing a black person?
00:05:34.000
So I think you would have to conclude that Black Lives Matter completely succeeded in eliminating police violence against black citizens.
00:05:48.000
That's the most successful protest anybody's ever done.
00:05:51.000
It eliminated police brutality against black people.
00:05:56.000
Because if it were still happening, we'd see it in the news, right?
00:06:23.000
But in the United States, we've already eliminated income inequality, police brutality.
00:06:36.000
And they were unhappy that the United States was even a cohesive operating entity.
00:06:46.000
You know, Antifa is more like, we just want everything not to work.
00:06:51.000
And sure enough, sure enough, just a few years after Antifa was active, the entire country
00:07:14.000
That's because they are a totalitarian country.
00:07:17.000
In the United States, we have freedom of speech, freedom of protest, freedom to organize.
00:07:25.000
And that's how we solved income inequality, police brutality against black people,
00:07:38.000
Do you remember how they were worried that the elections were perhaps not transparent enough?
00:07:46.000
Well, thankfully, the patriots got huge changes.
00:07:52.000
Both the Democrats and the Republicans immediately told you that the stuff that they run is fine.
00:08:04.000
But the Republicans will tell you that all the places that Republicans handle the elections are just fine.
00:08:11.000
And the Democrats will tell you every place they do it, it's all fixed.
00:08:16.000
So this might be one of the most effective, probably one of the most effective protests of all time.
00:08:26.000
Before January 6th, didn't you have some questions?
00:08:31.000
Maybe not big questions, but at least small little concerns about the integrity of the election?
00:08:39.000
But now, after the election's over and the January 6th protests have happened, what do you think now?
00:08:46.000
Well, your media has told you that not only have our elections been solid in the past, but they are so solid now, you don't have anything to worry about.
00:09:06.000
United States, Occupy Wall Street, solves income inequality.
00:09:10.000
When was the last time you saw a story about income inequality?
00:09:21.000
Black Lives Matter, they solved all black, all violence about police against black people, because we would see it.
00:09:29.000
I mean, it obviously would be in the news if any of it were happening.
00:09:32.000
And Antifa did disintegrate the cohesiveness of the United States as they wanted.
00:09:38.000
And then January 6th, according to the news, we now have the most secure elections of all time.
00:09:50.000
And I just want to give it up for the protesters of the United States who make things happen.
00:10:09.000
Keep up that protesting because it's making a difference.
00:10:13.000
Do you, does anybody remember in the beginning of the Ukraine war when I said, I don't know, everybody seems to think Russia is just going to win this thing kind of easily.
00:10:31.000
But it seems to me somewhat obviously not true.
00:10:38.000
To me, it seemed like they were going to have a lot of trouble.
00:10:45.000
Do you remember, do you remember how much shit I got for that?
00:10:55.000
I mean, something I remember, but maybe you didn't notice at all.
00:10:59.000
And today the news is pretty much 100% exactly what I said.
00:11:09.000
The news today, from all sources, is exactly what I said.
00:11:15.000
That the technology of the Ukrainians made a big difference.
00:11:20.000
And especially because they were fighting in their home court.
00:11:24.000
And so what I was wondering is, if there are any of you, because I know some of you are quite brutal,
00:11:30.000
if you'd like to take this opportunity to say you were wrong and that I was right.
00:11:37.000
Because I'm pretty sure 75% of you thought I was wrong.
00:11:42.000
Now, if you were right, if you were right and I had been wrong, let's say Russia just took them over.
00:11:55.000
Because I did tell you I was totally wrong about Russia invading.
00:12:01.000
Because I said, well, no, they're not going to invade.
00:12:09.000
So all of you who told me, Scott, it's obvious that they're going to invade.
00:12:18.000
And I was still saying, no, no, they're not going to invade.
00:12:28.000
Will you accept I was 100% wrong when I said Russia won't invade?
00:12:35.000
But I'd like you to tell me that I got that one right.
00:12:41.000
Now, here's the thing that always comes back at me.
00:12:46.000
Whenever I make a prediction that counters the experts, which I've done...
00:12:51.000
How many times have you seen me make a public prediction that's the opposite of basically all the experts?
00:13:18.000
And let me remind you that my expertise is not knowing more than experts.
00:13:30.000
My expertise is spotting bullshit, which is a specific skill.
00:13:35.000
And spotting bullshit is a higher level skill than experts.
00:13:43.000
So every time everybody says, Scott, the experts are up here, and you're a lowly cartoonist, and you're down here.
00:13:50.000
So if you're down here, don't be criticizing these people up here because they're up here.
00:13:57.000
That is a complete misunderstanding of the situation.
00:14:01.000
The experts are here, and everybody who has developed skill at spotting bullshit are up here.
00:14:16.000
Now, if there's some technical thing that they claim, I'm not going to be arguing them on some small technical thing.
00:14:25.000
But if they make a large pronouncement about stuff, as soon as it's a large pronouncement about anything, it's automatically political, right?
00:14:36.000
There's almost no such thing as a pure scientific opinion that matters to the public, and the public hears it.
00:14:44.000
It's always political by the time it reaches the public, by the way it gets filtered and massaged.
00:14:53.000
So anytime you see me criticizing the experts, your first question should not be, should not be, who has more expertise?
00:15:07.000
I only claim that you can spot bullshit if you learn to do it.
00:15:13.000
And in some of my books, I teach you how to do it.
00:15:17.000
I do it right in front of you, so you can see when it's right and when it's wrong.
00:15:24.000
Here's about the scariest thing I've seen in a while, and I've seen some scary things.
00:15:31.000
Let me tell you, I've seen some scary, scary things.
00:15:35.000
But here's the scariest one, and it's not going to scare you at all, because you won't understand it.
00:15:44.000
And this is not an insult to you, but it really is not.
00:15:50.000
Would you accept the general statement that if you were, let's say, well-versed in a topic, you would have a different take on it than somebody who didn't know much about the topic?
00:16:06.000
That, you know, an expert's opinion is going to be different than somebody else's.
00:16:12.000
I always talk about this account which you should be following, Machiavelli's Underbelly, who does a lot of AI demonstrations.
00:16:19.000
So you're seeing all kinds of demonstrations of what you can ask the AI to do, from artwork, to creating, talking artificial figures, to writing poetry, making comics, and just seeing where the AI is at, and it's there.
00:16:36.000
So, somebody says, Andrew Tate was right about me.
00:16:43.000
Andrew Tate literally copies my opinions and then pretends I have opposite ones so he can mock me.
00:16:57.000
The Andrew Tate story is actually, he is a disciple.
00:17:01.000
So he was a fan of mine and I basically mocked him in public and then he got hurt, so now he's acting up.
00:17:09.000
But basically, he's somebody who imitates me, tries to put his own spin on it and create his own little thing.
00:17:20.000
Anyway, here's what the latest AI came, and this is the scariest thing I've seen so far.
00:17:30.000
Not a deep fake, because it was just an animated head.
00:17:35.000
So it was a person who looked pretty much like a person who was giving a hypnosis monologue.
00:17:44.000
In other words, it was somebody who was an artificial entity using AI to hypnotize you, the viewer.
00:17:52.000
But knowingly, I mean, you would know you were being hypnotized because it's overt.
00:17:57.000
And here's something that you would not be able to appreciate.
00:18:02.000
Like if you're sort of in the hobby or professional realm of influence,
00:18:09.000
and you spend a lot of time hypnotizing or being hypnotized or feeling influence or judging it,
00:18:16.000
you have sort of almost like a musician would have a musical sense they develop
00:18:23.000
that somebody who just likes music would never develop.
00:18:28.000
When I watch this AI, I can feel the persuasion.
00:18:46.000
I went to tweet about it, and I didn't even have a comment.
00:19:09.000
Now, if the only thing it did was present, it didn't interact, there's a limit to how powerful it could be.
00:19:18.000
Because it would have to give a generic presentation to people who are all different.
00:19:24.000
So there's no generic presentation that's going to work the same for all different people.
00:19:29.000
What makes hypnosis one-on-one powerful is the hypnotist's observing the reaction and then adjusting in real time.
00:19:40.000
We're at the point where the technology could very easily read my face as a viewer
00:19:46.000
and determine if the things the AI is saying are working or not.
00:19:55.000
And it could probably do it fairly quickly better than I could do it.
00:19:59.000
On day one, I could do it better than the machine.
00:20:02.000
On day two, I could still do it better than the AI.
00:20:05.000
Day three, day four, I'm still better than the AI.
00:20:09.000
But somewhere around a month of training the AI, it's going to be way better than people.
00:20:16.000
So it will be the most capable persuader by far and for sure.
00:20:23.000
So AI will be the most persuasive asset, resource, entity.
00:20:41.000
And here's the part you're never going to believe.
00:20:44.000
There's nothing I can tell you that will make you understand how powerful this is.
00:20:51.000
You have to have lived it, felt it, breathed it to really understand this.
00:21:01.000
Like I watched it for a while and it was just taking over my body.
00:21:12.000
That was before somebody like me tried to train it.
00:21:20.000
Imagine if somebody who was actually a deep expert trained this thing to be manipulative.
00:21:28.000
Because the other thing you can do is, presumably, you could change the face it's presenting.
00:21:34.000
I'm pretty sure that some faces are more persuasive to some people.
00:21:41.000
Now, it could be, you know, just obvious stuff.
00:21:44.000
Maybe a sexy woman is more persuasive to most or some people.
00:21:51.000
Maybe an older male with a deep voice would be more persuasive to just some people, not everybody.
00:22:03.000
Now, you're going to argue with me whether there's gay voice, right?
00:22:10.000
I once had a conversation with somebody who was very angry at me for being a racist,
00:22:16.000
for suggesting that you can usually identify a black person's voice on the phone.
00:22:22.000
Now, I'll acknowledge that you could be wrong quite often.
00:22:27.000
We've heard lots of singers, for example, that sound like they're black singers,
00:22:39.000
But anybody who tells me that you can't generally tell, you're not a serious person.
00:22:45.000
And the same with a gay voice, of course there are gay people who don't have identifiable gay voices.
00:22:57.000
But am I wrong that usually you can identify if somebody's out and, you know, they're not trying?
00:23:08.000
You wouldn't be able to identify him by voice, but there are plenty of people you could.
00:23:18.000
Have you ever wondered how much of that is just social?
00:23:36.000
Because it doesn't seem like some people could turn it on and off,
00:23:41.000
depending on whether they're at work or in a private setting.
00:23:56.000
Here's something that the Republicans are doing all wrong.
00:24:00.000
They're demanding an investigation into Ray Epps.
00:24:10.000
Why is it wrong to demand that we know more about Ray Epps?
00:24:15.000
It's wrong because they already gave us the answer.
00:24:19.000
They said they're not going to give us any more information.
00:24:23.000
If you go to somebody and say, did you steal my pen?
00:24:45.000
And the person says, I'm not going to tell you.
00:24:50.000
But would it make sense for you as a normal thinking human
00:24:58.000
would it be reasonable for you to say in that situation,
00:25:01.000
well, my working assumption is that you have my pen?
00:25:07.000
But I'm going to go live my life as if that were true
00:25:10.000
because that's the only working assumption that makes sense.
00:25:19.000
I don't know if he was a Fed, and I will not make that claim
00:25:25.000
The reason I don't know is that the FBI won't tell me.
00:25:35.000
given that they've been asked directly by members of Congress
00:25:54.000
And you should tell people that complain about it and go,
00:26:06.000
They assume that somebody else's problem is their problem.
00:26:17.000
Republicans just say, you know, we have to operate on this assumption.
00:26:25.000
so we'll go forward based on the assumption that it was an FBI operation.
00:26:40.000
everybody else should too, but at least Republicans,
00:26:43.000
just say it has been demonstrated to our satisfaction
00:26:52.000
the most reasonable working assumption is that he worked for the FBI.
00:27:37.000
Just act as though you already have the information,
00:27:45.000
to know that you can't trust what happened on January 6th.
00:27:49.000
And therefore, you can pardon every person associated with January 6th,
00:27:56.000
because the operating assumption is that the FBI was at least one part of the incitement.
00:28:08.000
I'll bet not one person disagrees with that, right?
00:28:13.000
And until you hear that it wasn't your problem,
00:28:36.000
It's like, did Hillary Clinton try to overthrow the government effectively
00:28:55.000
And they might be unknown, but they're not open questions,
00:29:01.000
because the question-asking period just has no value anymore,
00:29:06.000
because nobody's going to answer your question.
00:29:08.000
You have to go forward based on what is the working assumption,
00:29:14.000
If you walk outside, you don't know that your car is still there,
00:29:18.000
but you still walk out with the intention of getting in it.
00:29:22.000
Everything you do is with the intention, with the understanding
00:29:29.000
You just have to have operating assumptions all the time.
00:29:34.000
And every time somebody says, well, do you think it's true,
00:29:36.000
or what is your proof that Ray Epps did anything,
00:29:44.000
It's an operating assumption that the FBI has given us.
00:29:47.000
They've just provided us that operating assumption.
00:29:53.000
I wouldn't even give the slightest attention to if it's true.
00:29:59.000
Because if it's true has now completely become irrelevant.
00:30:11.000
then the truth doesn't matter to the decisions.
00:30:20.000
then the truth isn't relevant to your decision making.
00:30:24.000
Because you have to just make an operating assumption.
00:30:36.000
So now it's an 11 point fentanyl policy proposal.
00:30:40.000
Why did I come up with a fentanyl policy proposal?
00:30:58.000
Let me tell you what a serious fentanyl plan would look like.
00:31:03.000
I have no reason to believe these are good ideas.
00:31:11.000
I'm creating a framework that people can react to.
00:31:15.000
Have you ever noticed it's easier to react to an idea
00:31:24.000
The person who writes it down first usually owns the debate.
00:31:33.000
I kept looking for somebody to have a plan that I could back.
00:32:13.000
So I walked through and I gave you an 11 point plan.
00:32:17.000
you're either going to have to make a better plan
00:32:49.000
you know, she's running for governor in Arizona.
00:32:57.000
and probably well-written in terms of, you know,
00:33:08.000
but it was part of border security and blah, blah, blah.
00:33:36.000
because otherwise you won't be able to concentrate.
00:33:56.000
you can do all the heroin and cocaine you want.
00:34:09.000
But you would test to see if it made any difference at all.
00:34:12.000
So I want you to know that that's added to the plan,
00:34:26.000
Number one, remove prescription requirements for Narcan.
00:34:58.000
where if you volunteer that you have some in your home
00:35:03.000
that somebody can send out an alert in your block
00:35:07.000
uh-oh, there's an overdose happening right here at this address.
00:35:10.000
And then your alert would go off and you're like,
00:35:28.000
You look at the address and it's two doors down.
00:35:53.000
I guess there's also a question about some kind of a device.
00:36:00.000
There's a certain device that used to come with it
00:36:03.000
or does come with it that makes it easier to administer.
00:36:06.000
I think you can still administer it as a spray up the nose.
00:36:10.000
So I have a little, I have some questions about
00:36:25.000
Get Narcan available and also organized through apps
00:36:29.000
so it's really, really available, like within seconds.
00:36:36.000
specifically for destroying the cartels in Mexico.
00:36:47.000
the cartels are never going to take us seriously.
00:36:50.000
We need a dedicated, big, bad-ass military unit
00:37:12.000
Create a special military unit for attacking the cartels.
00:37:15.000
Number three, give the cartels a six-month deadline
00:37:39.000
that selling us the other stuff is very, very bad,
00:37:43.000
and we're going to try to stop you in normal ways.
00:37:46.000
We'll use sort of normal ways to try to stop all the other stuff.
00:38:05.000
just keep selling fentanyl for six more months.
00:38:10.000
is that it takes a long time to unwind anything.
00:38:16.000
they need to really maybe even get some alternatives, right?
00:38:25.000
six months from the time a new president is installed.
00:38:38.000
and if at the end of June we see one pill of fentanyl across this border,
00:38:48.000
just to do a mild kind of a, you know, punch you and hurt you.
00:38:56.000
The United States military should take over the cartels operation,
00:39:02.000
You should take over as the head of the operation and just run the thing
00:39:15.000
I would say open, number four, open a direct negotiation with the cartel leaders.
00:39:32.000
Could Trump talk directly, maybe not directly, directly, but through an intermediary.
00:39:39.000
Could Trump negotiate with the head of the cartel?
00:39:43.000
In fact, name one person on the planet Earth who would be more ideal for that job.
00:39:53.000
He would be the number one best person on the planet Earth to negotiate directly with a cartel leader.
00:40:05.000
Then I think we also, if we're going to negotiate, we're going to have to give the cartels a retirement plan.
00:40:10.000
So either the retirement plan is you just go back to doing your other illegal things
00:40:15.000
and we'll just go back to our cat and mouse game,
00:40:18.000
or you need some financial guarantees and, I don't know, some kind of legal guarantees,
00:40:27.000
but you've got to get out of the business and you've got to close it down so nobody just takes it over.
00:40:32.000
I mean, one of the things you could do, for example, is hire one of the cartels
00:40:37.000
to become the fighting force to beat the other cartel.
00:40:42.000
I mean, you could probably just hire them as, you know,
00:40:45.000
if cartels can hire people to be murderers quite easily, apparently,
00:40:50.000
we should be able to bribe some people to go murder the murderers.
00:40:57.000
Number five, declare fentanyl a weapon of mass destruction and the cartels terrorist organizations.
00:41:04.000
You're already seeing some calls for that, but that would open up military options, of course.
00:41:15.000
Because the cartels have to do what we want them to do or nothing happens.
00:41:21.000
OK, you know that drug war you thought you were in?
00:41:30.000
So we're going to distinguish between drug war and war-war.
00:41:43.000
Number six, tighten border security, of course,
00:41:46.000
but understanding that it won't make much difference.
00:41:49.000
The understanding that it won't make much difference is key
00:41:53.000
because otherwise our politicians who are worthless
00:41:58.000
will just talk about border security because it's fun to talk about
00:42:03.000
If you let them talk about border security, it's all they'll talk about.
00:42:09.000
Trump made border security like the tastiest thing to talk about.
00:42:13.000
So they're only going to be like the shiny object, border security, border security.
00:42:19.000
You've got to make sure they know that's 5% of the problem.
00:42:22.000
Because, you know, you could hold in your hand enough fentanyl to take out a whole city.
00:42:31.000
It is not hard to get fentanyl across a border.
00:42:34.000
The fact that people have been caught in fairly large numbers
00:42:39.000
tells you nothing about how hard it is to get it across.
00:42:47.000
Let's say 100% of the fentanyl that gets shipped gets to the border.
00:42:53.000
Now let's say you find a way to catch 90% of what comes through.
00:43:01.000
What does that do to the usage on the receiving end?
00:43:10.000
And it's not because the 10% that gets through is enough.
00:43:15.000
Because I'm saying it does actually cut it by...
00:43:19.000
Let me say it in a more specific way because I think I'm misleading you.
00:43:24.000
Let's say you catch 90% of everything that goes across the border.
00:43:30.000
Would that reduce fentanyl usage in the United States?
00:43:37.000
Somebody tell me why catching 90% of it wouldn't reduce the use at all.
00:44:05.000
And then the 10% that gets through is now their original number.
00:44:19.000
Because marijuana is bulky and it's hard to, like, go make another crop in 10 minutes.
00:44:29.000
Fentanyl, you could just go back to the lab, like, da, da, da, da, da, da, da, da, da.
00:44:36.000
So every time you make any analogy to drug wars, they're all wrong.
00:44:40.000
All the analogies to a drug war just don't apply to fentanyl.
00:44:46.000
So border security, yes, but don't think that's a solution.
00:44:51.000
Do a massive, number seven, do a massive public education campaign on fentanyl and Narcan.
00:44:57.000
A lot of people think they understand it, but I see a lot of really basic misunderstandings out there.
00:45:04.000
Number eight, give China a deadline to stop fentanyl shipments or the alternative is we do it for them, whatever it takes.
00:45:16.000
We should simply tell them the date beyond which all the controls are off on our side.
00:45:25.000
And just say, we're taking all the controls off.
00:45:27.000
Now, what's the first thing you might worry about?
00:45:33.000
Like, suppose we started killing people in China, which is exactly what I'm suggesting.
00:46:02.000
If you want to go to war over the question of you're already killing 100,000 Americans, I'm in.
00:46:10.000
If China wants a war over this, give them a fucking war.
00:46:20.000
You can't let people kill 100,000 of you a year and not respond to it.
00:46:31.000
Do you ever have somebody in your life who threatened to kill themselves if you didn't
00:46:35.000
give them what they wanted, which was unreasonable?
00:46:41.000
Anybody close to you ever say, I will kill myself.
00:46:46.000
I will kill myself if you don't give me what I want.
00:46:53.000
If your response was giving them what they wanted, how'd that work out?
00:47:01.000
I feel like on at least two occasions I've been threatened that way.
00:47:14.000
If somebody comes to me and I don't care who, doesn't matter what kind of loved one it
00:47:22.000
You come to me and you say you're going to kill yourself if I don't do something that
00:47:33.000
Because I'm not going to live one minute under those conditions.
00:47:41.000
So if killing yourself is the alternative, go kill yourself.
00:47:55.000
And if either of them had been successful, I would have been fine with it.
00:48:05.000
Because there's no way I'm going to live under somebody else taking control of my body
00:48:10.000
and my life by telling me that they're going to hurt themselves if I'm not their slave.
00:48:22.000
So if people have to die to make me not China's slave, that's what war is for.
00:48:38.000
China has to know that you're serious about this and not bluffing.
00:48:43.000
And there's only one way to make them know you're serious about it and not bluffing.
00:48:49.000
We should actually just start killing some people in their country.
00:48:54.000
I feel like there must be some way to get a murderer into China or send a drone in there or something.
00:49:08.000
There must be some way to kill people in China.
00:49:18.000
And then number nine, when the deadline passes, because China would ignore us, of course.
00:49:26.000
I have no dreams that they would act in any way.
00:49:34.000
So we should start killing their people, the dealers only.
00:49:38.000
But then when the deadline passes, this is number nine.
00:49:49.000
They shouldn't be negotiated as part of a package with anything else.
00:49:53.000
We should just say, look, fentanyl's a red line.
00:49:58.000
We're taking our diplomats home and we're sending yours home.
00:50:02.000
We're not even going to be a country talking to you if you can't solve this.
00:50:07.000
And then we should expel one Chinese student, meaning somebody who's an actual Chinese resident.
00:50:15.000
One Chinese student in American colleges for every fentanyl death.
00:50:19.000
Just do them in alphabetical order and just make it a formula and say, we don't even fucking care.
00:50:27.000
We'll just send them home because we just don't care.
00:50:36.000
And I think you have to test it locally, the idea of legalizing other drugs so there are fentanyl alternatives.
00:50:43.000
You'd have to do that locally because there's no way that the country is going to say, let's do it the whole country.
00:50:50.000
There's no way we get the whole country to say, oh, let's make cocaine legal.
00:51:02.000
And by the way, I think the red states should test it.
00:51:07.000
But you probably have to make it, I don't know, would you have to make it non-porous?
00:51:23.000
Like you probably could design something to test.
00:51:29.000
Somebody says that I'm suggesting that the CIA should fight the CIA.
00:51:34.000
Is that because you think fentanyl is a CIA plot?
00:51:52.000
So the rapid test kits, I've heard that there are some like practical limitations to that.
00:51:59.000
Like it sounds like a good idea, but the addicts won't actually use them.
00:52:04.000
You know, at least at a high enough level that make a difference.
00:52:14.000
Just pick a zip code and say we're going to have all kinds of fentanyl testing stuff here.
00:52:22.000
There's no criminal penalty for having drugs in Oregon, which suggests we should test Oregon to see if they have a higher OD level per addict.
00:52:42.000
You would say of addicts, what percent of them OD'd.
00:52:48.000
And I would be interested if Portland has legalized drugs.
00:52:53.000
But what I think probably happens in Portland is they simply legalized fentanyl accidentally.
00:53:01.000
Because if you buy a pill, you don't know what's in it.
00:53:04.000
There's nothing in Oregon that would make their pills suddenly become pure cocaine or pure heroin when they had always been partly fentanyl.
00:53:15.000
Well, how would legalization change the mix of drugs that they're buying?
00:53:22.000
Unless you gave those Portland people free heroin, they're still going to buy whatever's on the street and what's on the street is fentanyl.
00:53:41.000
The alternatives would literally have to be free.
00:53:44.000
Otherwise, they just go in the streets and they buy and they don't know what they get just like now.
00:53:48.000
The legalization would have no impact on anything.
00:53:51.000
You'd just be buying the same mix of good and bad.
00:53:57.000
Well, I think I had some other topics here, maybe.
00:54:06.000
Fentanyl is cheaper than heroin now, I would imagine, yeah.
00:54:21.000
Because fentanyl, the precursors are easy to get, right?
00:54:27.000
You have to actually grow poppies to make heroin.
00:54:40.000
Musk has been cleared to send Starlink to Iran.
00:54:48.000
It makes sense in Ukraine because they could put the Starlinks behind enemy lines and then turn them off after they've used them so that they get some benefits so that they're not targeted.
00:55:02.000
But if you had a Starlink base station in a house in Iran, they would spot it immediately, right, and just go turn it off.
00:55:17.000
But I think it's something that would make a big difference in Ukraine.
00:55:21.000
I don't know if they could hide them well enough in Iran.
00:55:32.000
It would help them a little bit, but I feel like they would spot them because you can find them electronically.
00:55:44.000
So Matt Gaetz will not be charged with any of those crimes that he had been accused of.
00:55:59.000
Does anybody remember or did I make a prediction about him?
00:56:06.000
So that would be another prediction that I think would be non-obvious, right?
00:56:13.000
Given the excitement around his potential legal problems, I feel like my prediction was sort of counterintuitive
00:56:25.000
because it did sound like, oh, they got the goods, they're really going to go after him.
00:56:29.000
But I never thought for a moment that that was a risk.
00:56:32.000
I just thought it was a very bad political situation that will dog him forever.
00:56:46.000
Oh, so somebody's reminding me that what I said was that every day that you don't learn that there's something bad really there,
00:57:07.000
It's like the longer it goes, the less likely anything was real.
00:57:12.000
And I think that became clear a few months ago, right?
00:57:15.000
A few months ago, it was already clear that that wasn't going to turn into anything.
00:57:32.000
And I can't believe that the young woman would actually bring a, you know, be a good witness.
00:57:40.000
Imagine if you were the woman involved, or if there was one, right?
00:57:45.000
Like, who would want to be part of that if they participated willingly?
00:57:54.000
So I'm not even sure it matters in terms of the legal process.
00:57:59.000
I don't think it matters what did or didn't happen.
00:58:02.000
It wasn't in the domain of things that the public cares about.
00:58:15.000
It's closer to normal human behavior than crime.
00:58:23.000
From the very beginning, it looked like normal human behavior didn't look like a crime to me.
00:58:34.000
And it looks like we have now completed possibly the best show you've ever seen in your life.
00:58:49.000
Now, how many of you are on board with the fact that if we don't push on fentanyl, nothing's going to happen?
00:59:01.000
I think by creating some kind of thing for people to react to, that probably moves the ball a little bit.
00:59:07.000
But I'm also increasing the envelope of what you can talk about in public.
00:59:13.000
Imagine a normal politician saying the things that I just said.
00:59:27.000
I'm not a routine, normal, existing politician saying anything close to what I just said in my 11-point plan.
00:59:47.000
And I'm going to be honest, this is purely a balls question.
00:59:52.000
Like, you'd have to have balls the size of, you know, beach balls to get this done.
01:00:09.000
But I guarantee you, they're not going to be as strong on this as I just was.
01:00:44.000
I think he's strong on wanting to do something about it.
01:00:55.000
And by the way, if Biden said, tomorrow, I like your plan.
01:01:12.000
And so, ladies and gentlemen, this brings us to the conclusion of the best live stream of all time.
01:01:22.000
And if it wasn't the most entertaining, maybe it was the most useful.
01:01:27.000
Because I've told you before that this thing we do, this live stream, it's like a collaborative intelligence.
01:01:35.000
Meaning that, you know, I throw out ideas or you throw out ideas and we all react to them and then form an opinion sort of collectively.
01:01:44.000
And I think this model is really powerful and maybe essential.
01:01:49.000
It might be the model that is the counterbalance to some other forces that are making politics not work at the moment.
01:02:03.000
You don't declare war on Mexico when running for president.
01:02:10.000
Trump could declare war on Mexico while running for president.
01:02:21.000
In fact, I'm going to claim credit for one thing.
01:02:25.000
Did you see the low level of pushback to my tweet about the 11 points?
01:02:34.000
Look at the comments and look at people's pushback.
01:02:44.000
In fact, it's less pushback than just about anything I've said that's provocative.
01:02:53.000
Declaring that Mexico would pay for the wall, that was more just political stuff.
01:03:05.000
I don't think all the variations of that have been tried.
01:03:08.000
And the other thing that I would suggest is that people should not say, well, this thing
01:03:16.000
is better than this thing, so we'll do this thing.
01:03:24.000
I've got one weapon against fentanyl that doesn't look that strong, but I've got another weapon
01:03:31.000
So let's use the strong one and don't use the weak one.