Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1883 Scott Adams： I Make Some Big Predictions About Russia, All The Lying White Men

00:00:00.940 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:07.100 Nothing's ever been better, nothing ever will be, until tomorrow.

00:00:10.700 And today is so awesome that I almost thought to myself,

00:00:16.380 well, today I don't even think we'd need a simultaneous sip, everything's so good.

00:00:21.520 But then I thought, why would we ever settle for less?

00:00:26.560 No. No. I say no.

00:00:29.080 No. Exactly.

00:00:32.060 We need the simultaneous sip, and for that all you need is a cup or mug or a glass,

00:00:35.700 a tank or chalice or stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:40.920 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:43.880 I like coffee.

00:00:46.180 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day thing that makes everything better.

00:00:51.580 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Go.

00:00:59.080 Ah, well, good news for you.

00:01:08.280 I think I solved one of my biggest mysteries.

00:01:12.960 And maybe one of yours, too.

00:01:15.820 One of my biggest mysteries is why people hate me so much.

00:01:18.740 And you've seen me talk about it.

00:01:22.160 It's like, why do people hate me so much?

00:01:24.040 And so I watched yesterday's live stream back.

00:01:29.240 Oh, now I get it.

00:01:32.020 Totally get it.

00:01:35.960 I'm being honest here.

00:01:37.140 I watched myself yesterday, and I looked at it, and I thought, oh, oh, that's why people don't like me.

00:01:46.660 I totally got it.

00:01:50.220 It's kind of a major mind spinner.

00:01:55.040 It's like, oh, okay.

00:01:56.140 All right.

00:01:56.640 I got it.

00:01:57.520 I got it.

00:01:58.060 I see it now.

00:01:58.620 Here's what my working hypothesis is.

00:02:05.740 All right.

00:02:06.340 And it goes like this.

00:02:08.660 Some of you are missing context.

00:02:12.420 If you miss the context, boy, do I look like an asshole.

00:02:17.360 I totally get it.

00:02:19.400 And I realize that not everybody has the right context.

00:02:21.840 So if you saw it without context, it would be pretty harsh.

00:02:26.580 Here's the context.

00:02:28.580 I believe that some of you believe that I believe I'm better than you.

00:02:37.240 True.

00:02:39.900 And I feel like that's sort of behind the hatred.

00:02:49.860 What would you say?

00:02:51.040 And I think maybe the people on Locals know me better.

00:02:53.900 But the people on YouTube, what would you say?

00:02:56.020 Would you say that I put off an air of looking like I'm somehow smarter or better than you or something?

00:03:05.800 Yeah.

00:03:07.300 Be less better.

00:03:09.940 Well, or the arrogance.

00:03:12.060 Yeah, arrogance in particular.

00:03:13.940 Arrogance would be the right word. 0.76

00:03:16.640 Well, here's what I think.

00:03:18.060 Here's some context you need to know about me.

00:03:22.020 I don't think there's any such thing as a better person.

00:03:26.500 I don't believe that.

00:03:28.560 I haven't even reproduced.

00:03:32.020 I mean, I think the minimum standard for believing you're better than other people is that you have children.

00:03:39.320 Because, you know, you're adding, maybe helping the average.

00:03:44.640 But, okay, maybe that's too far.

00:03:48.220 But I don't even have children.

00:03:50.120 Like, I didn't even think I was worth reproducing.

00:03:52.940 Literally.

00:03:53.340 I did not think I was worth reproducing.

00:03:56.300 So if you think that I'm looking at you, like, especially people who've had children.

00:04:01.760 If you think I'm looking at people who've had children, and I think I'm better than you, no way.

00:04:07.140 No way.

00:04:07.580 Like, my ranking of human beings starts with, you know, reproductive success.

00:04:15.720 And I'm below that line.

00:04:17.480 I'm way below average, in my own opinion.

00:04:20.740 So one of the reasons that I work hard to try to, you know, produce some value in my lifetime as it is, is that I think I need to add some value.

00:04:33.060 I don't think I've done enough.

00:04:35.200 I don't have a high enough opinion of myself that I can retire and live on my laurels.

00:04:40.220 I was like, well, I did all that good work now.

00:04:43.500 I guess everybody will see that.

00:04:45.040 I'll just enjoy it.

00:04:46.460 I don't think that at all.

00:04:47.400 Well, I'm in a continuous state of thinking that I haven't done enough.

00:04:52.060 And that, you know, damn it, I should step it up a little bit.

00:04:55.800 But it always has been like that.

00:04:58.060 So here's the thing.

00:05:00.140 My view of people is that almost everybody's good at something.

00:05:06.360 And it's probably different than what other people are good at.

00:05:09.520 And that's the beginning of the end of the story of who's awesome and who's not.

00:05:13.140 To me.

00:05:14.360 That's the beginning of the end.

00:05:15.700 And, you know, I told you yesterday that one of the reasons I like the LGBTQ community, like a little extra, and I've added R and I to that.

00:05:27.640 So now it's LGBTQRI to get Republicans and incels as well. 0.54

00:05:33.280 So you get all the non-standard stuff in one bucket.

00:05:36.140 Because I love my non-standards.

00:05:38.600 I love non-standard people.

00:05:39.960 So I think if you understand my context, which is I'm not telling you that I'm better than you or anybody's better than you or anybody's better than anything.

00:05:50.280 Like, I never even think that way.

00:05:52.160 I just think that some things are suited for some purposes and some things are not.

00:05:57.000 So if you put me in, let's say, the middle of a shooting war, like you just hand me a gun and plop me into, you know, some hot war.

00:06:08.140 How am I going to do?

00:06:10.720 Well, I don't know.

00:06:12.220 I don't know, but probably not great.

00:06:15.400 I don't feel like that's where I would excel, probably.

00:06:18.560 But if you drop me into a Scrabble competition, I'd probably do okay.

00:06:27.100 But do I say to myself, I'm better than you because I could beat you at Scrabble, but you could beat me at protecting your house or something?

00:06:35.140 No.

00:06:35.900 It doesn't make any sense.

00:06:36.840 It's just somebody has one skill, somebody has another skill.

00:06:40.300 So if I could simply allow that your opinion of me could probably never be as low as my own opinion of myself, and by the way, I'm not complaining about that.

00:06:51.600 I like keeping my own opinion of myself, you know, as low as possible because I think that keeps me out of trouble.

00:06:59.080 Because I don't have a bad ego.

00:07:02.160 Maybe you noticed, right?

00:07:04.400 Like, I don't have an ego problem.

00:07:05.720 So I actively try to make sure that I'm not seeing myself as anything special because it doesn't make sense.

00:07:13.480 There's no logic to support it.

00:07:16.380 All right.

00:07:16.920 But I do like to think I can do more than I can do, and I recommend you do the same.

00:07:22.000 You should always think you can do a little bit more than you can do.

00:07:25.020 You know why?

00:07:26.480 Because it's usually right.

00:07:28.360 You usually can do a little bit more than you think you can do.

00:07:30.940 So I always place my self-image just ahead of what I think I can do, and then something to shoot for.

00:07:39.920 There's a new study, or maybe there was two of them.

00:07:42.360 I saw two different studies about coffee helping you to live longer.

00:07:48.700 And one of them, I thought, said decaf doesn't work.

00:07:52.220 And another one said decaf does work, but not nearly as well as actual coffee.

00:07:57.520 So I think there might be two separate studies.

00:07:59.620 Am I wrong that there are two of them that came out about the same time?

00:08:03.840 Or was there one study that people wrote about incorrectly once?

00:08:07.680 I don't know.

00:08:08.820 But no matter what, it looks like coffee is good for you, huh?

00:08:13.880 Am I right again?

00:08:15.400 Yes, I am.

00:08:17.940 Well, I continue to be amazed and impressed at the success of The Five on Fox News.

00:08:27.600 So now it just broke a record.

00:08:30.980 It averaged 3.3 million viewers to finish as the most watched cable news program as Fox News offerings swept the top seven.

00:08:40.800 It was the first time in history that a non-primetime cable news program has topped the category for four consecutive quarters.

00:08:48.520 It's just killing it.

00:08:51.980 Now, I like to give the shout-out that I always give Fox News, no matter what you want to say about them, you know, you can all be critics.

00:09:01.540 We can all be critics.

00:09:03.100 No matter what you want to say about Fox News, the one thing you have to give them is that they're better managed and better produced than anybody.

00:09:11.780 Now, your brain automatically goes to the hosts, right, of their talent.

00:09:19.180 But how did that talent get there?

00:09:21.760 Like, the talent didn't hire itself, right?

00:09:24.300 Somebody had to say, you know, Greg Guffield would be good on The Five and he should have his own show.

00:09:30.460 All right?

00:09:30.820 This is management decisions.

00:09:32.140 The talent doesn't make these decisions.

00:09:33.520 And when you see how well they have managed not only their talent, but the entire design of things.

00:09:42.100 What's great about The Five is not just the people, it's the design of the show.

00:09:47.080 It's just designed really well.

00:09:49.260 So, I don't think the producers of Fox News ever get enough credit, because you always talk about the hosts.

00:09:55.620 But damn!

00:09:57.060 You know, and I've had personal experience being on a number of different networks, and they're absolutely the best.

00:10:02.640 So, their success is completely because they have better skilled people doing the work, I think.

00:10:11.260 I think that's it.

00:10:13.780 Yeah.

00:10:15.560 So, it's fun to watch.

00:10:17.280 I saw a new tweet today that somebody figured out how to make hydrogen using the water from the air.

00:10:25.820 I didn't realize that hydrogen, one of its big limiters, was access to fresh water.

00:10:31.540 Did you know that?

00:10:33.120 I didn't know that.

00:10:34.140 I didn't know that fresh water access was the big problem with hydrogen, or one of them.

00:10:39.180 But apparently now they can suck the water out of the air in enough quantity that they can do hydrogen.

00:10:48.340 We're talking about hydrogen storage and power, energy production.

00:10:52.040 So, I'm completely convinced that there's going to be a breakthrough that looks and feels like this one.

00:10:59.640 Maybe not this one.

00:11:01.460 But something in batteries, or something in storage in general, might be hydrogen.

00:11:06.460 Or maybe some combination of them.

00:11:08.820 But we're only a few inventions away from solving everything.

00:11:15.520 Am I wrong?

00:11:17.400 We're just, we're really, it's just storage.

00:11:19.160 If you get storage right, and apparently there are all kinds of good ideas for how to do that,

00:11:26.400 we're going to be in really good shape as a planet.

00:11:29.560 Yeah.

00:11:29.740 The Hindenburg.

00:11:34.740 The last time we danced with hydrogen.

00:11:39.020 There's always somebody who's going to bring up the Hindenburg.

00:11:41.300 You know, you're not totally wrong.

00:11:45.040 I suppose anything could blow up, but I'm not sure that's exactly, my mind did not automatically go to,

00:11:52.340 it's all going to blow up.

00:11:55.580 That's funny.

00:11:58.580 So, this Trump document story, just when you think a story could not be more boring,

00:12:05.000 it's about documents.

00:12:07.600 Somehow you throw Trump in there, and automatically it's a good story.

00:12:11.300 How in the world do boxes of documents become world news for weeks and weeks on end?

00:12:19.220 It's a box of documents, for God's sakes.

00:12:22.140 But here's the new twist.

00:12:24.260 Apparently we have some confirmation that the box of documents with all these top secret records includes,

00:12:31.500 and this would be stuff that the FBI apparently has in their possession,

00:12:35.140 would include things like Trump's medical documents and correspondence related to taxes and accounting information.

00:12:44.980 Now, that doesn't necessarily mean that those documents are, like, super sensitive,

00:12:50.560 because they could be generic things.

00:12:52.960 I mean, it might be an email saying, you know, it's time for his checkup or something.

00:12:57.060 But how creepy is it that the FBI got their hands on the stuff that nobody's supposed to get their hands on?

00:13:04.460 That's pretty, pretty creepy.

00:13:10.160 Pretty creepy.

00:13:11.640 Yeah.

00:13:12.520 So, that does change how you feel about that story, doesn't it?

00:13:17.080 Suddenly you say to yourself, what?

00:13:19.280 Like, the entire story to me changes the moment you say that there's something in those boxes that they took

00:13:25.000 that is personal.

00:13:27.740 Well, as soon as you tell me they took personal stuff, whole different idea of what's going on there.

00:13:35.360 And, again, it might turn out that that, you know, quote, personal stuff is not really that personal.

00:13:41.160 I mean, it might be kind of generic.

00:13:43.520 But there's no way in the world that you could be comfortable with this situation.

00:13:48.420 This is so uncomfortable.

00:13:49.620 Do you think if Republicans own Congress, let's say after the midterms, and Biden is still president for two more years,

00:14:01.220 do you think they'll impeach him?

00:14:04.800 And if so, for what?

00:14:08.800 I think they'll impeach him out of revenge.

00:14:12.500 Yeah, probably.

00:14:13.960 And I don't think they need a reason, which...

00:14:16.620 Actually, normally I would not be in favor of payback deals.

00:14:23.440 Normally not in favor.

00:14:24.880 But here's what they should do.

00:14:26.820 They should impeach Biden on very weak charges.

00:14:31.740 It doesn't even matter what they are.

00:14:33.560 And you should be told, you should be told, the public,

00:14:37.840 oh, it doesn't even matter if these are good charges.

00:14:40.060 We're just going to impeach him because that's what we do now.

00:14:43.320 Because the Democrats have created the standard.

00:14:46.620 That you can just impeach a president for bullshit.

00:14:50.360 So we're going to impeach him for bullshit because we have the votes.

00:14:53.720 And that's the only reason.

00:14:54.920 We're just going to do it because we have the votes.

00:14:56.760 Because that's what they did.

00:14:58.460 In my opinion, they impeached Trump just because they had the votes.

00:15:03.020 It wasn't really another reason.

00:15:04.620 So I think that they could make that concept go away by using Biden as a sacrificial lamb because it doesn't matter.

00:15:14.840 I mean, he could get impeached 25 times and it wouldn't affect his job performance, right?

00:15:20.080 I mean, it doesn't make any difference.

00:15:21.440 So if it doesn't make any difference, it's nothing but a bad mark on your record.

00:15:26.920 They should impeach him just out of principle.

00:15:29.940 And just say it.

00:15:31.460 Oh, no, these are not really good reasons.

00:15:33.900 But that's not what we do anymore.

00:15:36.100 Now we're going to show you that this process has been corrupted by impeaching him on weak charges.

00:15:42.340 And we'll even tell you they're weak charges.

00:15:44.000 We're just going to do it right in front of you and tell you why.

00:15:46.980 Here's why.

00:15:48.820 Because if they want to play that game, we play that game.

00:15:52.260 If you don't want to play that game, we won't either.

00:15:54.860 But if you want to, we're all in.

00:15:57.620 We're all in on that game.

00:16:00.100 I can see that.

00:16:01.980 So normally I wouldn't be in favor of tit-for-tat bullshit.

00:16:05.700 But I think you have to make a point of it.

00:16:09.180 I mean, I would do it for the communication benefit of it, just to make the point.

00:16:16.260 Apparently on Bill Maher's show last night, I didn't see it, but Fox News is reporting,

00:16:23.220 that when Bill Maher suggested replacing Kamala Harris, that there was applause.

00:16:32.180 Now, why that's important is he has a liberal audience.

00:16:36.580 So a liberal audience spontaneously applauded the idea of replacing their own person.

00:16:45.140 That's bad.

00:16:47.240 Can you imagine a Republican?

00:16:50.860 Now, if it were Mike Pence, sure, because there's something specific about that case.

00:16:56.120 But in general, that's a pretty radical thing.

00:16:58.460 And Bill Maher is even saying that as old as Biden is, and he's not, I think Bill Maher is completely, you know, open-minded, let's say.

00:17:08.680 He's completely aware that Biden is degraded.

00:17:12.580 I'm sure he knows that.

00:17:14.480 But he's still saying, well, he's sort of getting the job done, and it's hard to remove somebody once they're in office and just replace the VP.

00:17:22.060 What do you think?

00:17:25.960 I think he's right from a political perspective.

00:17:29.940 Not right in terms of who I want to be president.

00:17:32.520 I don't want old presidents.

00:17:34.840 I don't want Trump to be president because he's too old.

00:17:38.080 If he's the only choice versus Biden, then you have to make a choice.

00:17:42.620 But if I had a choice, I don't want presidents that old if I have a choice.

00:17:47.820 But I actually agree with Bill Maher that once Biden is in there and they know they can just put him in front of a lectern, and here's the key part.

00:17:59.780 Apparently, it doesn't matter what Biden says.

00:18:03.040 It doesn't matter if he makes gaffes.

00:18:05.440 It doesn't matter if he thinks there are ghosts in the room.

00:18:08.360 You know, that's what the Republicans say.

00:18:10.220 That's not really what's happening.

00:18:12.240 But I don't know.

00:18:14.640 You know, if you had told me that a doddering old dementia patient could do the job of president, I would have said, well, obviously not. 0.72

00:18:25.200 But after two years of watching it, my opinion is whoever his handlers are the ones running the country, one assumes.

00:18:33.800 But I haven't seen, I have not yet seen, maybe you could correct me, have you yet seen an instance in which Biden being mentally degraded has actually made a difference?

00:18:47.640 Has it made a difference?

00:18:49.620 Because I haven't seen it.

00:18:51.140 Have you?

00:18:52.280 It's kind of an eye-opener that you could have a brain-dead president and you can't find the difference after two years.

00:18:57.680 Now, somebody, you know, you mentioned Afghanistan.

00:19:02.260 Now, I don't think it's fair to simply mention things that went wrong.

00:19:07.380 Because do you think that the president's the only one who had a hand in something that went wrong?

00:19:12.000 I imagine his advisors were every bit as involved in that as everything else.

00:19:18.240 So I'm not sure that it's obvious that anything is because Biden was degraded.

00:19:23.820 It might be that they make bad decisions as a group.

00:19:27.060 There's plenty of evidence of that.

00:19:29.000 But there's not evidence that the reason for the bad decision is that Biden is degraded.

00:19:34.920 Now, I'm not saying you should take a chance on that.

00:19:37.200 I mean, I wouldn't take a chance if I had a choice.

00:19:40.100 I would never take a chance on somebody that old. 1.00

00:19:42.520 But you don't really see it.

00:19:45.380 Am I wrong?

00:19:46.200 Well, you can see errors, Afghanistan, for example.

00:19:50.000 You can see errors.

00:19:51.840 But you can't really tie them to some specific mental degradation.

00:19:58.680 Can you?

00:20:00.780 You think you can?

00:20:02.700 Well, if you think you can, and you might be right, meaning that, you know, it's entirely possible

00:20:08.640 that everything about Afghanistan going wrong was purely about Biden not having all of his faculties.

00:20:16.200 That's completely possible.

00:20:18.700 Yeah, very possible.

00:20:19.800 It's just that you can't prove it, right?

00:20:21.960 There's nothing you can prove that's just clearly because of his mental state.

00:20:29.220 You just know it's true because you're just smart and you just figure it must be true.

00:20:34.920 Because you might be right, but what we don't know is the degree to which his advisors can stop anything crazy.

00:20:43.060 Because I feel like they could stop everything crazy.

00:20:47.480 Don't know, but I think they could.

00:20:51.700 I see in all caps, wrong, wrong, wrong.

00:20:55.160 Wait a minute, how many times did you write wrong in caps?

00:20:57.620 Wrong, wrong, wrong.

00:20:58.920 Five wrongs.

00:20:59.820 You know, if you'd stopped with four capitalized wrongs, I would say to you, that argument is weak.

00:21:08.660 But when you throw in that fifth wrong, well, I have to take that under consideration now because you make a strong case.

00:21:15.800 I saw a great thread by Konstantin Kysin, and I don't know anything about him except that he says he's been a translator for years.

00:21:30.340 And he helped translate Putin's speech.

00:21:33.600 Now, apparently, if you hear Putin's speech translated, and you hear the whole thing, not just a little clip, you get a completely different idea of what he's all about, which is a huge mind spinner.

00:21:51.780 Because didn't you think you sort of knew what he was about?

00:21:56.180 But maybe not.

00:21:57.340 It turns out that if you listen to his words, that what Putin is really bitching about is decades of American bullying, basically, and America trying to put his boot on every little country, including Russia.

00:22:14.760 So, let's see, looking at a funny meme going by.

00:22:19.700 So, Putin's argument is that America does everything it can financially, economically, militarily, and in every possible way it can influence things to keep down everybody who's not America, and that would include Russia. 0.58

00:22:38.520 And so, really, Russia is fighting for all the little guys who are being abused by the American hegemonomy, hegemonomy, hegemonomy, hegemonomy, hegemonomy, hegemonomy, hegemonomy. 0.71

00:23:08.520 Hegemonomy, thank you.

00:23:10.600 Yes, it's all about our hegemonomy.

00:23:13.740 I've literally never said that word out loud.

00:23:16.300 You know, I've read it for years, I know what it means, but I've never said it.

00:23:20.060 Because in a conversation, you would never use that word, would you?

00:23:24.080 You know, you might write it down, but who says that word out loud?

00:23:28.560 It's sort of a douchebaggy thing to say.

00:23:32.160 Yeah, hegemonomy. 0.95

00:23:34.240 All right.

00:23:36.080 So, what do you think about that?

00:23:38.520 I don't know if that's really what Putin cares about, but apparently he's been saying it forever, and it does match up with what you observe, right?

00:23:50.660 Is it not observable that America does try to put his boot on anybody it can?

00:24:00.720 I think that's true.

00:24:02.540 Yeah, that's true.

00:24:03.980 Now, but do you think that's the reason that Putin is trying to fight back and be such of a problem based on Ukraine?

00:24:13.240 Yes and no.

00:24:16.920 Yes and no.

00:24:18.300 I feel like if you believe that the United States is this big bully, and you see them pushing into Ukraine, that really is too far.

00:24:27.800 It really is.

00:24:28.820 If your worldview is that the United States has just gone too far, doing everything up until Ukraine, and then it tries to get control over your next door neighbor that you think you sort of own, yeah, I can see why that would start a war.

00:24:47.340 So, it all makes sense in terms of Putin's view that only Russia maybe is strong enough to stand up to the hegeonomy of the United States. 0.89

00:24:59.800 But the other view is that he's just a tyrant who wants more stuff.

00:25:07.180 So, it's more about his legacy.

00:25:10.280 And maybe those are all the same thing.

00:25:12.900 Maybe there's no difference between those.

00:25:14.700 Maybe his legacy involves standing up to the hegeonomy of the United States. 0.97

00:25:24.700 Well, let me tell you what I think is going on.

00:25:27.000 So, you know Russia annexed the four regions.

00:25:29.740 One of the four is, got intense fighting, and the Ukrainians allegedly, now you all know the rules when I talk about Ukraine, right? 1.00

00:25:40.340 If I talk about the war, you all know the rules.

00:25:43.840 Everything I say is subject to not being true.

00:25:48.600 Because it's still the fog of war.

00:25:50.820 We don't really have good reporting.

00:25:52.440 So, we know what the Ukrainians tell us. 0.99

00:25:55.440 We know what the Russians tell us. 0.62

00:25:56.900 And none of that is credible.

00:25:58.100 None of that is credible.

00:26:01.640 But, it does seem that the reporting is saying that the Ukrainians have surrounded

00:26:09.520 5,000 Russian troops that are trapped in one area in one of these four regions.

00:26:17.560 Now, the reporting, again, who knows how much is true, the reporting is that the Russian troops that are trapped asked for permission to retreat and were rejected.

00:26:30.840 Meaning that their choices are to fight to the death, somehow break out on their own, you know, or go out on the fence or something.

00:26:40.740 But basically, the Ukrainians have 5,000 trapped Russians that they're just going to kill. 0.91

00:26:46.720 They're just going to kill them all.

00:26:48.140 Now, if you lose 5,000 in one battle, that's not looking good for your team.

00:26:56.020 Now, let me ask you this.

00:26:57.880 Under what conditions would Putin allow 5,000 people, 5,000 soldiers to die being surrounded without sending massive reinforcements?

00:27:09.080 What condition would that, would he not send massive reinforcements?

00:27:14.480 You're saying if they're conscripts and he doesn't care about them, that's not where I'm going.

00:27:21.500 Lack of resources.

00:27:23.160 Yeah, lack of resources, unless it's not true, right?

00:27:27.400 The other possibility is none of it's true.

00:27:30.060 And there's nobody being threatened at all.

00:27:32.380 Possible.

00:27:34.000 But, yeah, okay, you don't need to tell me that it's a hoax or it's a false report.

00:27:39.020 Because that's already stipulated, right?

00:27:40.940 For the purposes of this conversation, it is stipulated we all understand that none of the information is credible.

00:27:49.160 But if we were to treat it as though it were, well, what would you conclude from that?

00:27:55.100 Not that you should trust it.

00:27:57.660 Here's what I think.

00:28:00.160 I think that everything we've seen is suggestive of a near collapse of the Soviet military.

00:28:08.160 Like a near total collapse.

00:28:09.880 And I think that the United States and NATO probably sees that this is an opportunity for complete collapse of the Russian military.

00:28:19.220 And they're going to take it.

00:28:20.900 And I don't think it's about Ukraine anymore.

00:28:23.740 I think the battle for Ukraine is over in terms of strategic interests.

00:28:28.700 I think at this point, the United States is trying to put a death blow on the entire Soviet military.

00:28:36.920 And I believe, you know, I heard General Keene say the other day that if somehow, you know, Russia used a nuke or somehow brought the U.S. military in,

00:28:49.340 Keene's view is that the U.S. military plus NATO would just eliminate the Russian military, or at least all the assets on the ground.

00:28:59.100 It would just eliminate them.

00:29:00.700 It would just be gone.

00:29:01.520 Now, do you think that's true?

00:29:04.020 Do you think that there is so, at this point, because we're watching Ukraine kick the shit out of the Soviet military just using, you know, our weapons and logistics, I assume.

00:29:15.480 If we actually used our best weapons and all of them, I feel like the Russian, the entire Russian military would be destroyed in a week or something. 0.77

00:29:29.320 Now it would be bloody and nobody wants that, right?

00:29:32.040 It's certainly not what we want.

00:29:33.800 But to me, it looks like the U.S. strategy has changed from protecting Ukraine, because I think they think they've done that.

00:29:40.820 And yes, they're battling over the annexed areas, and that will continue, but that's going to continue no matter what, because Ukraine's not going to give up, as long as they have resources from us.

00:29:54.720 So I feel like we've completely changed our goal.

00:30:00.900 I think the goal is complete collapse of the Russian system, and that we're doing that either to get rid of Putin or to get him so flexible that he would join our team.

00:30:19.420 And I do think that this is the time to negotiate, because in my view, I think Putin can see that there's actually a very serious chance, I think more than 50%, that the entire Russian military is going to collapse.

00:30:37.780 I mean, actually, like they can't even give an order to mount a defense.

00:30:41.940 I think there will soon be a point where they can't even order a military movement.

00:30:49.680 They won't be able to order an attack.

00:30:51.440 Nobody will attack.

00:30:53.040 So I don't know if that will happen, so I'm not predicting it will happen.

00:30:56.560 I think we're really close.

00:30:58.500 Not close to a collapse of Russia, but to a place where the military is just going to say, fuck this.

00:31:06.360 We don't have any chance of winning.

00:31:08.740 We're done.

00:31:09.220 We don't have any chance of winning, and there's nothing we're fighting for.

00:31:13.440 Those are the two conditions that should completely end it.

00:31:19.700 So I'm going to change my assessment completely from it's a battle for Ukraine.

00:31:26.580 I don't think it is anymore.

00:31:28.620 I think this is a survival battle for Russia, and I don't think the odds are in their favor, 0.95

00:31:34.600 at least surviving in the way that they have always been.

00:31:39.280 I think that they may be close to permanently disabled as a modern country,

00:31:44.940 unless they change leadership, and I don't think they will.

00:31:48.920 So they'll probably keep their leadership and just ride Putin all the way down, I think.

00:31:55.220 Yeah, they'll survive as a country, but it's not going to be the same country.

00:31:58.860 All right, so Tesla is starting to introduce their new Optimus robot, a Tesla robot, and

00:32:11.560 with mass production, maybe get it down to a $20,000 robot, $20,000.

00:32:17.800 And apparently Elon Musk has said that a Tesla robot business will be worth more than its car business.

00:32:28.760 What do you think of that?

00:32:30.440 Do you believe that?

00:32:31.660 Do you believe that the robot business will be bigger than the car business?

00:32:36.660 Totally.

00:32:37.140 In fact, I believe that the car business is actually just a starter business.

00:32:43.080 The big businesses are space and robots.

00:32:48.800 Cars were just the entry cost.

00:32:53.100 In my opinion, Musk is probably not very interested in cars.

00:33:00.400 I don't even think he's interested.

00:33:03.320 I mean, I don't even know.

00:33:04.900 Is he a car guy?

00:33:06.020 I'm not even sure he owns one.

00:33:08.380 I think cars were totally, as it turns out, I don't know if it was a master plan,

00:33:13.080 but as it turns out, it's just the entry ticket to robots.

00:33:18.420 Tesla robots would be by far the bigger business, by far, maybe 100 to 1.

00:33:25.060 I don't even think it's close, potential-wise.

00:33:28.620 Yeah.

00:33:29.340 Robots will be cars.

00:33:31.280 Because the long-term future of cars is shared cars.

00:33:37.240 Tell me I'm wrong.

00:33:38.900 The long-term future of cars is you don't own one.

00:33:41.960 The only reason that you own a car is either you like one or there's something you can't do unless you own one.

00:33:50.260 And the things that you can't do without a car are fewer and fewer, as long as you can Uber.

00:33:56.640 So if Uber became cheaper and more available and it was easier to take long trips, or it's self-driving.

00:34:04.340 There are lots of times you don't want to be in a car because you want to have a conversation or something, right?

00:34:07.740 You don't want a driver.

00:34:09.280 So as soon as you make the car self-driving, you get rid of all the problems of Uber.

00:34:18.700 Right?

00:34:19.500 100% of Uber problems are the driver.

00:34:24.320 Am I right?

00:34:25.120 No, I'm exaggerating, right?

00:34:26.560 Sometimes the car breaks down.

00:34:27.900 But basically, all of the problems with Uber are the driver.

00:34:33.560 The driver is the dangerous one.

00:34:35.900 So you get rid of the driver, which is guaranteed.

00:34:39.060 It's guaranteed that cars will have no drivers.

00:34:41.640 There's no question about that.

00:34:43.400 Because it's only a matter of time before the car-less driver is way safer.

00:34:48.960 Way safer than the driven car.

00:34:52.160 And I think we're already there, frankly.

00:34:55.180 Musk says we're already there, and I agree with that.

00:34:59.020 I think we are there.

00:35:00.720 It would be a different kind of danger, so it's hard to compare.

00:35:05.580 But we're already there, I think.

00:35:07.980 So yeah, cars, I think, will go away as a business, except for the self-driving ones,

00:35:13.440 so there'll be far fewer of them.

00:35:15.460 And robots will be increasing forever.

00:35:18.880 There's never going to be an end to when you need a robot.

00:35:20.840 And I don't think you can share a robot because they work inside your house or inside your factory.

00:35:27.800 It's not going to be like, you can't Uber a robot.

00:35:30.180 You've got to have your own robot.

00:35:32.380 So yeah, it's better.

00:35:34.260 All right, I did a little poll today, and I asked the following question.

00:35:39.200 I said, if you are a hiring manager in corporate America.

00:35:43.180 Now, all of the words here are important.

00:35:46.160 You are the hiring manager, and it's corporate America.

00:35:49.700 So it's not small business.

00:35:51.780 It's corporate America.

00:35:53.720 And you have two candidates.

00:35:55.420 There's one black male and one white male.

00:35:59.640 And they're identically qualified.

00:36:03.500 Identically.

00:36:04.620 Exactly qualified.

00:36:06.800 Who do you hire in corporate America?

00:36:08.920 Well, two-thirds of the people said they would hire the black candidate.

00:36:14.320 Two-thirds.

00:36:15.540 One-third of the people lied or were stupid or had no experience in corporate America whatsoever.

00:36:22.280 Because the actual answer is 100%.

00:36:24.500 This is one of those questions where, no.

00:36:29.840 No, there's no actual ambiguity about this one.

00:36:33.820 100% of hiring managers.

00:36:36.340 I'm a white guy.

00:36:39.340 I would hire the black guy 100% of the time. 0.99

00:36:42.280 If everything else is equal, right?

00:36:44.960 Everything.

00:36:45.840 Everything's equal.

00:36:46.760 The only difference is black or white.

00:36:49.240 I will hire the black one 100% of the time. 1.00

00:36:53.320 Every time.

00:36:55.140 Now, let me explain this for people who have not taken economics.

00:36:58.620 You walk up to a table and there's two piles of money.

00:37:02.800 And there's a sign that says, you may have one pile of money, or you may choose two piles of money.

00:37:10.040 Help yourself.

00:37:11.540 Which would you take?

00:37:14.020 Well, apparently one-third of the people who answered my poll said they would take the one pile of money

00:37:19.600 when both piles of money were available.

00:37:22.340 So, if you need any more evidence that they're fucking lying,

00:37:29.400 I don't think I could give you any more evidence of that.

00:37:31.900 Of course they're lying.

00:37:33.160 They're all lying.

00:37:34.400 They're either lying or they're really dumb or they have no experience whatsoever.

00:37:39.180 Two piles of money.

00:37:41.220 Take them both.

00:37:42.660 Here are the two piles of money in this hiring example.

00:37:45.240 One pile of money is you get a good employee.

00:37:49.420 Because remember, it was a good employee either way.

00:37:52.820 Equally good.

00:37:53.820 Exactly as good.

00:37:55.300 So, you got your free money because you got a good employee.

00:37:58.180 And then you've also improved your diversity,

00:38:00.920 which in corporate America is 100% guaranteed

00:38:04.140 to be good for you as a hiring manager.

00:38:07.880 Because people are looking for that.

00:38:09.320 So, why would you take a good employee when you can have a good employee

00:38:14.880 and you could get a benefit from having more diversity?

00:38:19.100 Because that's how you're graded.

00:38:21.620 It's a no-brainer.

00:38:24.920 Now, what happened when I challenged people on this online?

00:38:30.500 Well, do you think that I was seriously interested in their opinions?

00:38:35.800 No, of course not.

00:38:36.800 Because I already know exactly what people think.

00:38:40.560 There's no question about what people think.

00:38:43.240 I was very interested in how they would lie.

00:38:46.640 And how they lied was very similar.

00:38:50.880 The Kobayashi Maru.

00:38:53.840 So, I was intentionally seeing how many people would go Kobayashi Maru on me.

00:38:59.680 So, if you look at the comments that are on that poll,

00:39:04.600 you could have a good laugh.

00:39:05.840 So, here's the setup.

00:39:08.960 Corporate America.

00:39:10.020 Not talking about small business.

00:39:12.400 Small businesses, in my opinion,

00:39:15.220 hire people who look like them.

00:39:18.380 Usually.

00:39:19.560 Right?

00:39:20.000 Now, if they can't get an employee who looks like them

00:39:22.160 and can do the job,

00:39:23.220 then they'll be more flexible.

00:39:25.120 But, in my view,

00:39:27.480 a small black-owned company is more likely to hire black.

00:39:31.400 Small Asian-owned company is more likely to hire Asian.

00:39:34.800 Small white companies are more likely to hire white.

00:39:38.580 So, I'm not talking about small companies.

00:39:41.060 Anybody who wants to argue that they still discriminate,

00:39:44.040 I would say, of course.

00:39:45.640 That's the most obvious thing in the world.

00:39:47.440 Just look at any of them.

00:39:48.520 You can walk into almost any small company

00:39:51.940 and whatever the ownership is,

00:39:55.060 you're going to notice,

00:39:56.560 coincidentally, there's a lot of people who work there

00:39:58.720 that look like that.

00:40:00.000 So, we're only talking about corporate America.

00:40:01.980 And I say,

00:40:04.240 you've got a black male and a white male, 0.92

00:40:08.020 and they have identical qualifications.

00:40:10.220 But then I add this.

00:40:12.100 Assume all other variables are the same.

00:40:15.860 So, how did the comments go?

00:40:18.200 Well, Scott,

00:40:19.840 I would hire the white person sometimes, 0.98

00:40:23.420 because, you know,

00:40:24.820 maybe I would hire the person

00:40:25.920 that I thought had the best personality.

00:40:27.840 To which I say,

00:40:30.420 oh, okay,

00:40:31.120 maybe you didn't read carefully.

00:40:33.280 So, I said,

00:40:33.780 assume all the other variables are equal,

00:40:36.400 and that would include their personality.

00:40:38.540 Oh, well, yes, Scott,

00:40:39.360 but in the real world,

00:40:41.460 people are never identical.

00:40:43.280 So, you know,

00:40:44.640 people are never identical.

00:40:45.880 So, I would pick the one

00:40:46.620 who had the best qualifications.

00:40:48.660 I go, okay, okay, I hear that.

00:40:50.300 But this is a hypothetical

00:40:51.620 in which,

00:40:53.860 hypothetically and unrealistically,

00:40:55.820 just to sort of find out

00:40:58.400 some insight about how you think,

00:41:00.380 we're going to say

00:41:01.040 that all the other variables

00:41:02.280 are exactly the same.

00:41:05.440 And then they say,

00:41:06.680 well, you know,

00:41:08.380 I'd probably hire the one

00:41:09.860 who seemed to have the best character.

00:41:16.460 No.

00:41:17.600 They're exactly the same.

00:41:19.660 They're exactly the same.

00:41:22.500 All right.

00:41:23.300 Now, I could do this all day long,

00:41:24.980 because you know how this goes, right?

00:41:26.500 You've been in this kind of conversation.

00:41:29.240 The, the, the,

00:41:30.540 what do you call it?

00:41:33.680 The Kaburushi Maru?

00:41:35.700 What is that called?

00:41:37.180 I could never remember it.

00:41:39.620 The Kobayashi Maru, right.

00:41:44.420 The Kobayashi Maru

00:41:45.680 is from Star Trek.

00:41:47.540 And it was from a story

00:41:49.560 in which Captain Kirk

00:41:50.660 was in the academy

00:41:51.700 and he took the same test

00:41:53.660 that all the new trainees take.

00:41:57.640 Kobayashi Maru, yeah.

00:41:59.140 And the Kobayashi Maru

00:42:00.900 was a particular test

00:42:03.480 where the captains,

00:42:04.960 the future captains of the ship,

00:42:06.840 would all have to learn

00:42:07.980 what to do in a no-win situation.

00:42:10.280 So it was an artificial situation

00:42:12.880 in which the computer simulation

00:42:14.780 would make sure

00:42:16.120 that everything you did

00:42:17.640 was a disaster.

00:42:19.680 You could only lose.

00:42:21.380 The only person

00:42:22.280 who ever beat the,

00:42:23.340 the Kobayashi Maru

00:42:25.100 was Captain Kirk.

00:42:27.880 And how did he beat

00:42:28.780 the only thing,

00:42:29.560 the unbeatable thing?

00:42:31.720 He, he snuck in

00:42:33.240 and reprogrammed it

00:42:34.200 so there was a way to win

00:42:35.220 and then he did that that way.

00:42:36.820 So he cheated.

00:42:38.020 Yeah, he cheated.

00:42:38.500 The only way you can win

00:42:40.440 the no-win is by cheating.

00:42:42.420 So I set up a situation

00:42:44.300 where people would either

00:42:45.480 have to admit the obvious,

00:42:48.340 that a white person

00:42:50.480 and a black person

00:42:51.360 going for a job in America

00:42:52.860 is not the same.

00:42:54.980 It's not even close.

00:42:57.000 And I got criticized

00:42:58.900 for saying that

00:42:59.820 the black candidate

00:43:00.940 had a five-to-one advantage.

00:43:03.800 It's not five-to-one.

00:43:08.500 Who would call me

00:43:09.560 at 7.43 in the morning?

00:43:14.760 Yeah, no,

00:43:15.640 it's not a five-to-one.

00:43:16.400 It's 100%.

00:43:17.260 It's closer to 100%.

00:43:19.560 Like 99% of the time.

00:43:22.700 And the reason is

00:43:23.800 two piles of money

00:43:25.900 is better than one.

00:43:27.320 There's, there's no thinking

00:43:28.900 to be done here.

00:43:31.080 Did I see Van Jones

00:43:32.420 on Bill Morrow last night?

00:43:33.580 I didn't.

00:43:34.420 But that would be interesting.

00:43:36.060 Now that I know he's on there,

00:43:37.100 I'm going to watch that.

00:43:39.540 Because as soon as you said that,

00:43:40.780 you immediately had my interest.

00:43:43.540 See, Van Jones is one of the,

00:43:46.260 I don't know,

00:43:46.660 dozen people in the country

00:43:47.920 who's at least willing

00:43:49.480 to tell the truth.

00:43:52.140 And when he's being

00:43:53.500 purely political,

00:43:54.960 he sort of signals it to you.

00:43:57.160 So you don't mind that either.

00:43:59.000 Have you ever noticed that?

00:44:00.580 You watch him talking.

00:44:01.820 So when he goes purely political,

00:44:03.580 he does it so overtly

00:44:05.240 that you go, okay,

00:44:06.840 okay, that's just

00:44:07.600 some Democrat talk in there.

00:44:09.360 I get that.

00:44:10.420 But he's also willing

00:44:12.020 to say whatever is true

00:44:13.980 if it makes sense to say.

00:44:17.260 So I always appreciate

00:44:18.420 his contribution.

00:44:24.980 Not changing,

00:44:26.360 hypothetical mentioning,

00:44:28.340 because I said to a friend yesterday,

00:44:29.980 you have advantage.

00:44:31.340 Less all up.

00:44:31.980 Okay.

00:44:33.420 So,

00:44:34.140 how do white people

00:44:35.360 ever get jobs

00:44:36.160 in corporate America?

00:44:38.180 Can anybody answer that question?

00:44:40.040 If it's true,

00:44:42.740 then what did my,

00:44:44.080 one of my critics said,

00:44:45.440 but Scott,

00:44:46.380 you're ignoring all the evidence

00:44:47.740 that it's way easier

00:44:48.920 to get ahead in America

00:44:50.040 if you're white.

00:44:51.700 Because look at all these

00:44:52.600 white successful people,

00:44:54.620 and there's still too many

00:44:55.580 white people in corporate America.

00:44:57.260 To which I say,

00:44:58.520 well,

00:44:58.580 that's a completely

00:44:59.240 different topic.

00:45:00.320 Let me tell you

00:45:02.180 how white people succeed.

00:45:05.000 Just keep trying.

00:45:07.380 That's it.

00:45:08.760 So if you get turned down

00:45:09.960 for a job,

00:45:10.540 you just try somewhere else.

00:45:13.360 And do you know what?

00:45:14.300 It works every time.

00:45:16.040 Because there are more jobs

00:45:17.600 than there are qualified people.

00:45:20.200 So if you're qualified,

00:45:21.760 and you get turned down

00:45:23.420 for a job,

00:45:24.120 you just try again.

00:45:25.880 Try somewhere else.

00:45:26.760 Until you find a situation

00:45:28.240 where there's no equally qualified

00:45:29.980 black person applying,

00:45:31.660 and they have to pick you.

00:45:34.340 So the discrimination situation

00:45:38.080 in the United States

00:45:38.840 is somewhat masked

00:45:39.940 by the fact that

00:45:41.100 everybody can get a job.

00:45:42.680 If you have any qualifications

00:45:44.240 in America,

00:45:45.400 you can get a job.

00:45:47.040 The employers are just begging

00:45:48.660 for qualified people.

00:45:50.060 Now,

00:45:51.920 having said this conversation,

00:45:55.240 how many of you

00:45:55.980 would believe

00:45:56.820 I am opposed

00:45:58.440 to affirmative action?

00:46:01.280 How many of you

00:46:02.380 now have concluded

00:46:03.600 that based on this conversation

00:46:05.180 and maybe others

00:46:05.940 that I'm opposed

00:46:07.380 to affirmative action?

00:46:09.040 Because I've lost

00:46:10.220 two jobs

00:46:11.420 to affirmative action

00:46:12.480 personally.

00:46:15.220 Yeah.

00:46:16.040 It seems like it, right?

00:46:17.140 Because the normal thing

00:46:18.280 you expect is

00:46:18.980 if somebody is saying

00:46:20.220 they're negative

00:46:20.940 about something,

00:46:21.740 then they must be

00:46:22.320 opposed to it.

00:46:23.060 But here's the problem.

00:46:25.420 What's the alternative?

00:46:27.700 What's the alternative?

00:46:28.940 See, the thing that traps me

00:46:30.540 is that I have

00:46:31.400 an economics degree,

00:46:33.060 and I don't judge things

00:46:34.420 individually

00:46:34.940 like just floating in space.

00:46:37.060 Everything has to be compared.

00:46:39.140 If you don't compare it,

00:46:40.480 you haven't done anything.

00:46:41.120 So, if you ask me,

00:46:44.520 okay, Scott,

00:46:45.600 suppose you took away

00:46:46.700 affirmative action.

00:46:49.080 And this is a little bit more

00:46:50.760 about the past

00:46:51.500 than the present.

00:46:52.980 I think affirmative action

00:46:54.520 completely worked.

00:46:56.760 I think it worked.

00:46:58.560 Now, it was bad for me,

00:47:01.100 maybe.

00:47:01.820 I mean, I went on

00:47:02.640 to something better

00:47:03.460 than being a corporate worker.

00:47:05.720 So maybe I came out ahead.

00:47:07.180 I don't know.

00:47:08.100 So I'm not even sure

00:47:09.080 I can see the downside

00:47:10.260 in the larger arc of history.

00:47:13.820 So if he asked me

00:47:14.600 what I would have done

00:47:15.380 instead of

00:47:16.380 affirmative action,

00:47:18.320 probably nothing.

00:47:19.160 I probably would have done

00:47:20.060 affirmative action.

00:47:21.200 I probably would have done it

00:47:22.400 very much the way

00:47:24.260 it was implemented

00:47:25.160 with all of its warts.

00:47:27.380 And because,

00:47:28.360 because,

00:47:29.760 I think it did get us

00:47:31.200 to a stronger place

00:47:32.160 as a country.

00:47:33.460 I think it did.

00:47:35.320 Now,

00:47:36.340 is it evil

00:47:37.080 to discriminate

00:47:37.780 based on race?

00:47:38.600 Of course.

00:47:39.060 So do I think

00:47:41.360 it's great

00:47:41.820 that white men 0.59

00:47:42.960 got discriminated

00:47:43.980 against wildly

00:47:45.820 in some context?

00:47:47.780 Obviously not all contexts.

00:47:49.580 And let's say

00:47:50.540 the specific context.

00:47:52.160 That's not perfect.

00:47:53.980 That's not perfect.

00:47:55.120 But I don't have

00:47:55.980 a better idea.

00:47:57.620 So you can say

00:47:58.380 everything that's wrong

00:47:59.300 with it

00:47:59.560 and I'll agree

00:48:00.020 with every bit of it.

00:48:01.420 All of that's wrong.

00:48:03.600 And it got us

00:48:05.300 to a stronger place.

00:48:06.860 Because I've got

00:48:08.280 a feeling

00:48:08.700 that diversity

00:48:09.620 is going to be

00:48:10.860 something that

00:48:13.580 is mostly

00:48:14.580 disadvantaged at first.

00:48:17.320 But if you play it right,

00:48:18.800 you can turn it

00:48:19.480 into the strongest thing

00:48:20.620 any country ever had.

00:48:22.580 And that's sort of

00:48:23.200 where we're heading.

00:48:24.940 Because as long as

00:48:26.020 America is the place

00:48:27.120 that says

00:48:27.720 you can get ahead

00:48:30.280 under any condition,

00:48:31.640 and we stayed true to that,

00:48:33.980 we are the strongest country.

00:48:37.640 Nothing can beat that.

00:48:39.220 There's nobody

00:48:39.700 who has anything like that

00:48:40.800 that is also

00:48:42.380 as powerful as us.

00:48:44.320 So do you think

00:48:45.340 that China is saying,

00:48:47.120 hey, we'll take

00:48:47.740 the best

00:48:48.320 black Americans

00:48:52.340 for our scientists?

00:48:54.400 Hey, if you're Jewish, 1.00

00:48:57.320 come to China 0.83

00:48:58.380 because we like

00:48:59.400 some more Jewish scientists.

00:49:01.040 Do you think

00:49:01.420 they're doing that?

00:49:02.740 I don't think so.

00:49:03.980 So don't they have

00:49:05.260 less access

00:49:06.000 to the best talent?

00:49:07.580 Yes.

00:49:08.240 Yes, they do.

00:49:09.740 America will always 0.98

00:49:10.740 have access

00:49:11.200 to the best talent

00:49:12.380 if we can handle

00:49:15.180 this diversity monster. 1.00

00:49:18.800 And it is a monster

00:49:19.940 because it can help you

00:49:21.800 and it can kill you.

00:49:22.940 I mean, it's a dangerous

00:49:23.740 kind of a thing.

00:49:26.280 Both dangerous

00:49:27.760 to opponents

00:49:28.620 as well as lovers.

00:49:29.960 So you can complain

00:49:35.240 all you want

00:49:35.840 about things

00:49:36.620 that are bad

00:49:37.140 and I have,

00:49:38.220 but it doesn't mean

00:49:39.200 you have a better idea.

00:49:41.760 True story.

00:49:44.220 And everybody

00:49:45.060 who's got a good talent

00:49:45.900 stack can succeed

00:49:47.020 in America.

00:49:48.860 That's just the bottom line.

00:49:50.600 If you're not building

00:49:51.620 a set of skills

00:49:52.740 that is valuable,

00:49:54.400 well, then good luck.

00:49:55.480 Nothing's going to work

00:49:57.660 for you.

00:49:58.720 But no matter

00:49:59.580 who you are,

00:50:00.960 if you're assembling

00:50:02.340 the right set of skills

00:50:04.600 that work together,

00:50:05.740 you're going to be fine

00:50:07.020 in America.

00:50:07.980 Our system really does

00:50:09.260 support qualified people.

00:50:13.160 It's being unqualified

00:50:14.440 that's the problem.

00:50:15.140 Somebody asked me

00:50:19.000 why did I say

00:50:20.620 in the past

00:50:21.420 that I lost

00:50:22.260 my Dilbert TV show

00:50:23.700 because the schedule

00:50:25.160 got rejiggered,

00:50:27.020 but then more recently

00:50:28.480 I'm saying it

00:50:29.140 because Dilbert

00:50:30.100 was a white character

00:50:31.160 and it was a racial thing.

00:50:33.160 Do you know why?

00:50:34.880 Does anybody know

00:50:35.740 why I used to say

00:50:37.280 it was just

00:50:38.480 a sort of a schedule

00:50:39.360 thing,

00:50:40.940 but now I say

00:50:41.980 it was a racial thing?

00:50:45.140 Because I'm retiring.

00:50:47.200 I was lying to you.

00:50:48.960 Yep, I was lying.

00:50:50.500 Do you know

00:50:50.820 why I was lying?

00:50:51.900 Because I'm a white man

00:50:53.160 in America.

00:50:54.300 There's no white man 0.97

00:50:55.280 in America

00:50:55.640 who could tell the truth.

00:50:57.520 Do you think

00:50:58.200 any white man

00:50:58.840 in America

00:50:59.260 could say the truth

00:51:00.120 in public?

00:51:01.260 In general?

00:51:02.260 You know,

00:51:02.420 just sort of

00:51:02.780 a general thing?

00:51:03.940 No.

00:51:05.460 No.

00:51:07.060 A black man can.

00:51:10.080 Right?

00:51:10.820 A black man can say

00:51:11.780 whatever they think

00:51:12.660 and it won't offend me

00:51:14.220 a bit.

00:51:15.640 Not even a little bit.

00:51:17.540 And I wouldn't

00:51:18.700 hold anybody back

00:51:20.020 for a job.

00:51:21.060 I wouldn't discriminate 0.99

00:51:21.840 against them.

00:51:22.780 If a black man 0.99

00:51:23.660 said complete truth,

00:51:25.740 the most raw,

00:51:27.200 disgusting thing

00:51:28.220 that I hated to hear,

00:51:29.480 it wouldn't bother me

00:51:30.160 a bit.

00:51:31.580 Because to a large extent,

00:51:33.040 I expect maybe they do.

00:51:35.260 I mean,

00:51:35.520 I don't know.

00:51:37.340 Same with women. 1.00

00:51:38.260 If women wanted 1.00

00:51:40.260 to be completely honest,

00:51:42.580 fine.

00:51:44.020 No penalty at all.

00:51:45.940 White men? 0.89

00:51:47.300 We cannot be

00:51:48.540 perfectly honest.

00:51:50.400 The whole system

00:51:51.380 would collapse.

00:51:52.700 Basically,

00:51:53.380 white men lying 0.67

00:51:54.400 is what supports

00:51:55.360 the whole system

00:51:56.040 at this point.

00:51:57.440 You know,

00:51:57.660 you take that away

00:51:58.420 and everything

00:51:58.820 would collapse.

00:52:00.040 So no,

00:52:00.740 we're not going to

00:52:01.340 tell you the truth.

00:52:03.000 There's no fucking way

00:52:04.160 we're going to tell you

00:52:04.760 the truth.

00:52:05.180 Because it would be

00:52:06.620 Armageddon.

00:52:07.180 Armageddon.

00:52:13.460 Now,

00:52:14.320 I ran into

00:52:15.860 somebody

00:52:16.780 in my gym

00:52:18.540 yesterday

00:52:18.920 who was actually

00:52:20.240 listening to

00:52:21.040 the recorded version

00:52:23.520 of this

00:52:23.960 when I passed

00:52:25.240 him in the gym.

00:52:25.740 and so

00:52:26.820 somebody I've

00:52:27.260 known for years

00:52:27.880 and flagged me

00:52:29.680 down

00:52:30.000 and was

00:52:30.620 probably watching

00:52:32.480 right now.

00:52:33.400 So,

00:52:34.000 hi,

00:52:34.240 if you're

00:52:34.480 watching right

00:52:34.900 now.

00:52:35.380 and was

00:52:38.280 sort of

00:52:39.240 I'm not going

00:52:42.940 to say

00:52:43.180 sort of surprised

00:52:44.960 I guess

00:52:45.340 would be the best

00:52:45.840 word

00:52:46.060 that I've

00:52:48.040 said as much

00:52:48.680 as I have

00:52:49.240 without getting

00:52:49.720 cancelled yet.

00:52:51.020 Is anybody else

00:52:51.700 surprised?

00:52:53.060 Is anybody

00:52:53.720 surprised that I

00:52:54.540 can have this

00:52:55.020 conversation

00:52:55.620 and not get

00:52:56.360 cancelled?

00:53:01.160 Yeah.

00:53:02.020 It's the way

00:53:02.740 I do it.

00:53:04.180 It's the way

00:53:04.860 I do it.

00:53:06.380 This is

00:53:07.520 definitely

00:53:07.920 one of those

00:53:08.720 don't try

00:53:09.200 this at home

00:53:09.740 situations.

00:53:11.940 It's only

00:53:12.880 the way

00:53:13.220 I'm doing it.

00:53:14.360 If I did it

00:53:15.280 even a little

00:53:15.980 bit wrong

00:53:16.580 like I'm

00:53:17.360 walking this

00:53:18.400 little tight

00:53:19.000 rope

00:53:19.240 you know

00:53:21.380 one step

00:53:22.420 left or right

00:53:23.640 and I'm dead.

00:53:25.260 And the only

00:53:25.880 reason I would

00:53:26.460 take these

00:53:26.880 chances

00:53:27.220 is because

00:53:28.660 number one

00:53:29.280 I'm more

00:53:31.540 skilled at

00:53:32.080 communicating

00:53:32.680 than just

00:53:33.320 about

00:53:33.640 anybody.

00:53:34.600 if we're

00:53:35.840 being honest

00:53:36.420 because I

00:53:37.380 do it

00:53:37.620 for a living.

00:53:38.080 I do it

00:53:38.960 at a

00:53:39.180 professional

00:53:39.680 level.

00:53:41.160 And not

00:53:42.020 only do I

00:53:42.500 do it at a

00:53:43.060 professional

00:53:43.460 level but

00:53:44.880 it's a

00:53:45.240 professional

00:53:45.720 level about

00:53:46.700 communicating.

00:53:48.240 Because I

00:53:48.780 talk about

00:53:49.320 persuasion which

00:53:50.120 is communication.

00:53:51.680 So I'm not

00:53:52.280 only just a

00:53:52.820 professional

00:53:53.220 communicator but

00:53:54.060 I'm a

00:53:54.340 professional who

00:53:55.020 teaches

00:53:55.300 professionals how

00:53:56.120 to communicate.

00:53:56.580 so in

00:53:58.080 theory I

00:54:00.020 should know

00:54:00.360 how to do

00:54:00.700 this.

00:54:01.780 But this

00:54:02.380 is way too

00:54:02.940 dangerous for

00:54:03.700 anybody who's

00:54:04.600 not operating

00:54:05.480 at a

00:54:06.520 professional

00:54:06.940 level.

00:54:08.160 And even at

00:54:08.640 the professional

00:54:09.100 level it's too

00:54:09.720 dangerous.

00:54:10.580 And I'm only

00:54:11.180 doing it because

00:54:11.800 I'm near

00:54:12.120 retirement.

00:54:13.580 It's the only

00:54:14.160 reason.

00:54:15.220 There's no way I

00:54:16.060 would take a

00:54:16.460 chance otherwise.

00:54:17.320 It would be a

00:54:17.780 stupid chance.

00:54:18.400 So that gives

00:54:22.520 you a good

00:54:23.420 show to watch.

00:54:25.200 But I will

00:54:25.920 say that in

00:54:27.940 my opinion the

00:54:29.660 world is ready

00:54:30.820 for an honest

00:54:31.480 conversation in

00:54:34.140 a way that it

00:54:35.200 has not ever

00:54:35.860 been before.

00:54:37.480 And I think

00:54:38.180 somehow the

00:54:39.400 Trump experience

00:54:41.300 caused this.

00:54:42.920 Not in any

00:54:43.500 direct way.

00:54:44.360 But I think

00:54:44.740 when Trump

00:54:45.980 made reality

00:54:47.040 itself up for

00:54:48.000 grabs.

00:54:49.160 Suddenly there

00:54:49.800 was just stuff

00:54:50.300 you could talk

00:54:50.840 about.

00:54:52.320 And we've

00:54:53.660 gone so far.

00:54:55.320 Oh and you

00:54:55.640 know what the

00:54:55.900 other thing is?

00:54:56.660 I think the

00:54:57.260 complete and

00:54:59.260 obvious failure

00:55:00.220 of Biden to

00:55:01.360 be as good

00:55:01.960 as Trump in

00:55:02.940 terms of

00:55:03.320 governing.

00:55:04.340 I think

00:55:04.940 everybody can

00:55:05.580 see it now.

00:55:06.400 They won't

00:55:06.740 admit it of

00:55:07.460 course but I

00:55:07.880 think everybody

00:55:08.320 can see it.

00:55:10.180 I think that

00:55:11.040 allows like a

00:55:13.960 little flexibility

00:55:14.780 that the people

00:55:15.760 on the left

00:55:16.440 I guess this is

00:55:18.060 the way to

00:55:18.360 say it.

00:55:19.080 The people

00:55:19.600 who would

00:55:20.080 cancel me

00:55:20.700 have had

00:55:22.480 two years

00:55:23.700 of reality

00:55:24.660 shoved down

00:55:25.500 their throats.

00:55:27.300 And that

00:55:27.540 two years of

00:55:28.160 reality,

00:55:28.700 more than that

00:55:29.220 actually,

00:55:30.020 like five years

00:55:31.060 of reality,

00:55:31.880 it's like the

00:55:32.780 news told you

00:55:33.640 that there was

00:55:34.220 Russia collusion.

00:55:36.040 Oh, really?

00:55:37.760 The entire news

00:55:38.780 can lie to us

00:55:39.600 for years?

00:55:40.920 I didn't really

00:55:41.860 see that coming.

00:55:42.600 But I guess

00:55:44.060 that changes

00:55:44.600 how I think

00:55:45.140 of things.

00:55:46.560 And then

00:55:46.960 these 50

00:55:48.200 intel people

00:55:48.900 who say

00:55:49.460 this laptop

00:55:50.580 is Russian

00:55:51.200 disinformation

00:55:51.900 and then you

00:55:52.340 find out,

00:55:53.260 wait a minute,

00:55:54.340 even my own

00:55:55.300 news is saying

00:55:56.040 that was a

00:55:56.540 lie?

00:55:58.860 I'd expect

00:55:59.700 Fox News

00:56:00.440 to say that.

00:56:01.800 But why is

00:56:02.400 Jake Tapper

00:56:03.220 telling me that?

00:56:05.180 And suddenly

00:56:05.960 the people

00:56:07.220 who were so

00:56:07.880 sure that

00:56:08.600 everything that

00:56:09.260 they believed

00:56:09.780 was right and

00:56:10.420 true in the

00:56:11.480 past few years

00:56:12.220 have learned

00:56:12.900 from their

00:56:14.060 own side

00:56:15.020 that they

00:56:16.520 had been

00:56:16.820 lied to

00:56:17.280 for years.

00:56:19.400 I feel as

00:56:20.260 if,

00:56:21.560 and how about

00:56:22.080 Black Lives

00:56:22.680 Matter?

00:56:23.840 Is there

00:56:24.240 anybody who

00:56:24.860 believes that

00:56:25.340 Black Lives

00:56:25.880 Matter was 0.52

00:56:26.400 a legitimate

00:56:27.220 organization?

00:56:29.700 Now, the

00:56:30.220 intentions of

00:56:31.660 it were

00:56:31.920 legitimate,

00:56:32.560 of course.

00:56:33.400 So the

00:56:33.820 individuals

00:56:34.460 marching in

00:56:35.080 the street,

00:56:35.580 totally

00:56:35.860 legitimate.

00:56:36.720 They had

00:56:37.100 actual things

00:56:37.860 they cared

00:56:38.200 about.

00:56:38.860 But not the

00:56:39.380 organization.

00:56:40.000 the organization

00:56:41.880 we now

00:56:42.800 know,

00:56:43.880 beyond any

00:56:44.660 doubt,

00:56:45.740 was a sort

00:56:46.380 of a money

00:56:46.900 making thing.

00:56:49.440 And then

00:56:50.020 Antifa,

00:56:50.900 except for

00:56:51.340 the Northeast

00:56:52.260 special situation,

00:56:54.380 Antifa just

00:56:55.060 disappears when

00:56:55.920 they're not

00:56:56.880 needed anymore.

00:56:58.580 So if you're

00:56:59.560 on the left,

00:57:01.200 surely you

00:57:01.980 have noticed,

00:57:03.420 surely you

00:57:04.260 have noticed

00:57:04.800 that everyone

00:57:06.020 on your team

00:57:06.680 was full of

00:57:07.220 shit.

00:57:07.500 Now, I

00:57:09.800 believe that

00:57:10.200 the people

00:57:10.520 on the

00:57:10.880 right have

00:57:13.060 their own

00:57:13.460 criticisms about

00:57:14.540 Republicans,

00:57:16.120 but I feel

00:57:17.580 like it's all

00:57:17.980 more transparent.

00:57:19.980 When the

00:57:20.880 right says

00:57:21.640 these Republicans

00:57:22.680 are rhinos or

00:57:23.600 whatever, you

00:57:24.400 know exactly

00:57:24.940 what they're

00:57:25.320 talking about.

00:57:27.160 You could

00:57:27.600 agree or not,

00:57:28.340 but you know

00:57:28.600 exactly what

00:57:29.160 everything's

00:57:30.140 transparent.

00:57:32.120 I feel like

00:57:33.000 the left has

00:57:33.660 been lying to

00:57:34.280 itself, and

00:57:36.080 the right has

00:57:36.660 not.

00:57:37.500 The right has

00:57:38.320 been disagreeing

00:57:39.380 with itself, but

00:57:40.100 it's all out

00:57:40.860 there.

00:57:41.540 There's nothing

00:57:42.040 hidden.

00:57:43.720 It seems very

00:57:44.240 different.

00:57:44.980 So what I see

00:57:45.960 is that the

00:57:46.500 left is this

00:57:47.220 big reckoning,

00:57:48.800 and the most

00:57:49.940 monstrous

00:57:50.720 cognitive dissonance

00:57:51.980 bomb of all

00:57:53.360 time has

00:57:55.100 exploded and

00:57:56.000 just basically

00:57:56.640 scattered their

00:57:57.500 brains in a

00:57:58.060 hundred different

00:57:58.580 directions, and

00:57:59.780 they're trying

00:58:00.520 now to

00:58:00.960 reassemble,

00:58:03.080 because their

00:58:03.980 brains are

00:58:04.740 actually fragmented

00:58:06.560 at this point.

00:58:07.880 And that would

00:58:08.380 have happened to

00:58:08.920 you, too, if

00:58:10.240 you'd been in

00:58:10.740 that situation.

00:58:11.640 So it's nothing

00:58:12.320 about being a

00:58:13.120 Democrat.

00:58:13.860 It's about being

00:58:14.640 in a situation

00:58:15.240 where everything

00:58:15.900 you thought was

00:58:16.540 true just

00:58:17.100 disintegrated,

00:58:18.800 just disintegrated,

00:58:20.520 right in front of

00:58:21.180 you.

00:58:22.460 Now, again,

00:58:23.880 there were

00:58:25.280 probably Republicans

00:58:26.620 when, let's say,

00:58:28.000 when Nixon was

00:58:29.080 outed as being a

00:58:31.700 criminal, don't you

00:58:33.340 think there were a

00:58:33.900 bunch of Republicans

00:58:34.660 who had to

00:58:35.500 reassess, you

00:58:38.140 know, had been

00:58:38.540 completely pro-Nixon

00:58:39.700 until they found

00:58:40.380 out he was

00:58:40.720 actually a criminal,

00:58:41.920 like in a pretty

00:58:42.580 big way.

00:58:43.940 And then they're

00:58:44.560 like, oh, shoot.

00:58:46.940 I guess I've got to

00:58:47.860 rethink everything.

00:58:50.040 So I think that's

00:58:50.980 what's happening.

00:58:54.340 The left says BLM

00:58:55.780 doesn't need to be

00:58:57.580 out there because

00:58:58.140 Biden made

00:58:58.680 everything better.

00:58:59.280 Yeah, Biden

00:59:00.900 definitely made

00:59:01.820 police brutality

00:59:03.200 disappear, didn't

00:59:03.980 he?

00:59:05.080 By what?

00:59:06.700 By doing what

00:59:07.660 exactly?

00:59:09.240 Having less

00:59:10.400 police, you know,

00:59:12.320 maybe the police

00:59:12.980 just aren't stopping

00:59:13.780 people if they

00:59:14.660 look dangerous.

00:59:16.040 Yeah, maybe the

00:59:16.640 defunding just means

00:59:18.000 they don't even do

00:59:18.760 dangerous stuff

00:59:19.440 anymore so there's

00:59:20.200 no trouble to be

00:59:21.040 had.

00:59:23.360 All right.

00:59:24.940 Well, I've

00:59:27.180 managed to babble

00:59:27.840 for an hour.

00:59:28.280 Is there any

00:59:30.760 topic I missed

00:59:31.480 today?

00:59:36.040 Are you noticing

00:59:37.020 how non-pushback

00:59:39.140 I got from this

00:59:39.920 topic?

00:59:41.380 Like, I get that

00:59:42.760 this is my audience

00:59:43.780 and it's people who

00:59:44.760 expect me to talk

00:59:46.260 a certain way.

00:59:47.460 But usually there

00:59:48.960 are a lot more

00:59:49.980 trolls on here.

00:59:53.780 You all just went

00:59:54.480 quiet, didn't you?

00:59:55.220 See, I don't think

00:59:58.960 the world's ready

00:59:59.640 for me.

01:00:00.700 And have you, now

01:00:01.820 let me ask you

01:00:02.380 something else.

01:00:03.880 Under what

01:00:04.400 condition would

01:00:06.080 somebody as

01:00:07.160 prominent as me,

01:00:09.260 prominent just

01:00:10.220 means somebody that

01:00:11.380 the news likes to

01:00:12.320 talk about, right?

01:00:13.000 I'm not complimenting

01:00:13.960 myself.

01:00:14.780 I'm just saying the

01:00:15.520 news likes to talk

01:00:16.420 about me.

01:00:16.860 That's just a fact.

01:00:17.600 Now, do you think

01:00:19.520 this will be covered

01:00:20.200 in the news?

01:00:23.760 Just think about

01:00:24.840 what I just said.

01:00:26.720 Just think about

01:00:27.720 how dramatic

01:00:28.560 this is in terms

01:00:30.060 of people's

01:00:30.540 understanding of

01:00:31.320 reality.

01:00:32.440 And also how

01:00:33.720 volatile it is

01:00:35.800 in terms of the

01:00:36.900 single topic that

01:00:37.860 we care about the

01:00:38.580 most, right?

01:00:39.520 Race.

01:00:41.380 Right?

01:00:42.540 This won't be

01:00:43.220 picked up at all.

01:00:44.180 Do you know why?

01:00:45.880 It's too dangerous.

01:00:48.580 If they thought

01:00:49.420 they could cancel

01:00:50.220 me over it,

01:00:51.540 oh, they would

01:00:52.100 pick it up fast.

01:00:53.660 If I'd given them

01:00:54.980 enough cancellation

01:00:55.780 material, oh,

01:00:58.140 man, they'd be

01:00:58.660 all over it.

01:00:59.740 But do you see

01:01:00.280 how carefully

01:01:00.940 I've laid it out?

01:01:02.480 I've laid it out

01:01:03.380 so it's a trap.

01:01:04.940 And I think

01:01:05.360 they could tell.

01:01:06.560 You do not want

01:01:07.720 me to have more

01:01:09.220 attention on this

01:01:10.360 topic.

01:01:10.760 Right?

01:01:13.240 Is there anything

01:01:13.920 that the Democrats

01:01:16.580 would like less

01:01:17.620 than me talking

01:01:19.040 more and having

01:01:20.340 a bigger audience

01:01:21.200 to say this

01:01:22.500 shocking thing

01:01:23.240 that they may or

01:01:23.920 may not agree

01:01:24.540 with?

01:01:25.280 There's no way

01:01:26.120 they're going to

01:01:26.460 give me more

01:01:26.940 attention.

01:01:28.500 So that's part of

01:01:29.560 what protects me.

01:01:30.920 If they were to

01:01:31.800 cancel me, do you

01:01:33.860 know what I would

01:01:34.340 do?

01:01:37.560 Do you have any

01:01:38.840 idea how

01:01:40.180 dangerous I would

01:01:41.100 be fully

01:01:41.720 canceled?

01:01:43.440 Like, let's say

01:01:43.980 fully canceled,

01:01:44.780 like I lose all

01:01:45.660 my income from

01:01:47.080 newspapers.

01:01:48.040 I mean, just

01:01:48.480 think about it.

01:01:50.200 Do you have any

01:01:51.300 idea what I would

01:01:52.160 do?

01:01:53.240 I mean, there's no

01:01:53.980 way they want to

01:01:54.640 unleash me that way.

01:01:55.720 The only thing that

01:01:56.740 protects them at all

01:01:57.820 is that I still like

01:02:00.520 making money.

01:02:02.220 I mean, I don't need

01:02:03.320 it, but I like it.

01:02:04.480 Yeah.

01:02:08.100 So there you go.

01:02:15.840 No, I haven't.

01:02:18.640 So here's my

01:02:19.580 situation.

01:02:20.660 I've decided to go

01:02:21.860 recluse.

01:02:23.360 So I've turned

01:02:24.320 down or have been

01:02:26.640 canceled on me all

01:02:28.720 of the bigger

01:02:29.800 offers.

01:02:30.280 yesterday I

01:02:33.120 actually got an

01:02:33.820 invitation from

01:02:34.800 Dr. Phil.

01:02:36.720 So Dr. Phil

01:02:37.460 wanted to have

01:02:37.940 me on.

01:02:39.040 And I would

01:02:40.380 do that, you

01:02:41.160 know, if I said

01:02:42.420 I'd do it next

01:02:43.000 year because I'll

01:02:43.960 have a book

01:02:44.440 tour.

01:02:47.300 But I'm, you

01:02:48.420 know, obviously I

01:02:49.280 would have said

01:02:49.680 yes to that under

01:02:50.620 a normal situation,

01:02:51.480 but I'm just going

01:02:52.180 to go full

01:02:52.680 recluse for a

01:02:54.240 while because I

01:02:55.660 just don't need

01:02:56.240 it.

01:02:56.540 I don't know why

01:02:57.280 I need to be on

01:02:58.760 other people's

01:02:59.440 shows.

01:03:00.280 Honestly, I

01:03:03.480 don't, I'm not

01:03:03.940 even sure I want

01:03:04.520 my audience any

01:03:05.300 bigger than this

01:03:06.160 because, especially

01:03:09.700 the locals'

01:03:10.400 audience.

01:03:11.080 So the locals'

01:03:12.120 subscribers around

01:03:12.940 6,000 or so,

01:03:15.160 somehow it seems

01:03:16.200 to be exactly the

01:03:17.120 right number to

01:03:18.500 act like a, like a,

01:03:20.640 what I call a

01:03:21.240 collaborative brain,

01:03:22.960 meaning that if I

01:03:23.760 have any question

01:03:24.800 or problem, and

01:03:26.540 also the other

01:03:27.140 people on there,

01:03:27.980 you just bring it

01:03:28.740 up to the group

01:03:29.420 and then somebody's

01:03:30.700 got an answer.

01:03:32.500 It's like the most

01:03:33.320 amazing thing, it's

01:03:34.000 way better than

01:03:34.640 Google.

01:03:35.860 The fact that I

01:03:36.620 can say, hey, I've

01:03:38.080 got this problem, and

01:03:39.380 6,000 people, most of

01:03:41.560 them quite smart, will

01:03:43.700 give me the answer

01:03:44.300 immediately.

01:03:47.300 What about

01:03:47.940 Russell Brand?

01:03:49.480 Well, Russell Brand is

01:03:50.620 not as scheduled.

01:03:51.340 scheduled.

01:03:53.300 So, yeah.

01:03:55.560 So, anything you

01:03:57.120 heard that I said I

01:03:58.580 might go on, nothing

01:04:00.520 is scheduled.

01:04:01.160 So I'm not going to

01:04:01.720 schedule anything.

01:04:06.920 Did you try turning it

01:04:08.120 on and off?

01:04:11.220 If Dilbert gets

01:04:12.220 canceled, will you

01:04:13.240 market it on OnlyFans?

01:04:14.900 It's funny, you say

01:04:17.540 that like it's a

01:04:21.180 joke, but you

01:04:23.500 know that's what

01:04:24.020 Locals is, right?

01:04:25.380 Locals is a

01:04:26.140 subscription network.

01:04:27.500 So if Dilbert gets

01:04:28.240 canceled in all

01:04:29.320 newspapers, I would

01:04:30.860 just move it to

01:04:31.860 Locals, and anybody

01:04:34.280 who wanted it could

01:04:34.940 see it.

01:04:35.900 And anybody who

01:04:36.520 didn't want it would

01:04:37.100 never have to see it.

01:04:40.360 And by the way, that

01:04:41.720 is my retirement plan.

01:04:43.000 I mean, it could

01:04:43.720 change, but if I

01:04:45.640 stop doing Dilbert

01:04:47.260 in newspapers, he

01:04:48.820 will get a lot

01:04:49.480 edgier, a lot

01:04:50.980 funnier, because I

01:04:52.080 could be a lot

01:04:52.500 funnier if I don't

01:04:53.180 have any controls on

01:04:55.340 me.

01:04:56.000 So right now I have

01:04:56.780 to write a comic

01:04:57.400 that's basically for a

01:04:58.980 family newspaper.

01:05:00.020 That's the lowest

01:05:01.280 level of freedom.

01:05:02.620 If you give me a

01:05:03.380 higher level of

01:05:04.020 freedom, it's going

01:05:04.660 to be way funnier.

01:05:06.060 Trust me, it'll be

01:05:06.660 way funnier.

01:05:09.020 Yeah.

01:05:09.660 So that might

01:05:10.420 happen.

01:05:11.300 All right.

01:05:13.000 So, you know, and

01:05:15.640 let me give a shout

01:05:17.660 out to Dave Rubin.

01:05:20.640 All right.

01:05:21.920 So Dave Rubin, more

01:05:24.900 than anybody else's

01:05:26.300 reason that I think

01:05:27.240 that the Locals

01:05:27.960 network exists, and

01:05:30.600 only because Locals 0.99

01:05:32.780 exist can I speak as

01:05:34.220 freely as I am now.

01:05:36.340 Because I don't think

01:05:37.760 I'd want to be

01:05:38.300 completely income

01:05:39.420 free.

01:05:41.320 You know, even

01:05:42.100 though I could.

01:05:43.380 Well, it's just

01:05:44.060 something I don't

01:05:44.800 like about that.

01:05:46.080 So the fact that

01:05:46.940 there's, you know, I

01:05:47.960 have a place I can go

01:05:49.120 to that is, you

01:05:51.100 know, vital and

01:05:52.140 profitable and would

01:05:54.300 meet my needs, then I

01:05:56.720 can take some risks in

01:05:57.960 this big dangerous

01:05:58.960 world because I've got

01:06:00.280 a little safe harbor

01:06:01.260 that I can escape to.

01:06:02.420 And that is really

01:06:04.960 valuable to me.

01:06:05.800 Like as a creator and

01:06:07.460 as a, you know, as

01:06:09.220 an outspoken kind of

01:06:10.480 person, that really

01:06:11.600 matters to me.

01:06:12.920 So big, big props to

01:06:16.580 Dave Rubin for that.

01:06:19.240 And by the way, I

01:06:20.100 always think of Dave in

01:06:22.300 my short list of talent

01:06:24.640 stack superstars.

01:06:26.780 The people who have 0.84

01:06:28.180 collected a set of

01:06:31.000 talents that just work

01:06:32.400 so well together.

01:06:34.360 I mean, Dave's like

01:06:35.140 the best example.

01:06:36.440 I mean, how many

01:06:36.980 things is he good at?

01:06:38.940 Like a lot, right?

01:06:40.040 Like if you started to

01:06:41.240 make the list, you'd

01:06:41.860 say, well, you know,

01:06:42.780 he looks good on TV.

01:06:44.420 I mean, that's a good

01:06:45.560 start.

01:06:46.420 You know, speaks well,

01:06:47.500 he's funny, he knows

01:06:48.420 politics.

01:06:49.500 Apparently he knows

01:06:50.280 how to start a business.

01:06:51.960 So, I mean, there's a

01:06:54.820 lot of talent that goes

01:06:57.940 into what he does.

01:06:59.900 And you can see the,

01:07:02.600 yeah, great voice.

01:07:04.940 He's got the whole stack.

01:07:07.840 All right.

01:07:08.600 So, a lot of the people

01:07:11.700 who do what I do have

01:07:12.580 the same quality.

01:07:13.640 That's the Joe Rogan

01:07:14.600 thing.

01:07:15.440 Joe Rogan is a talent

01:07:16.500 stack guy, for sure.

01:07:18.160 And lots more.

01:07:21.940 All right.

01:07:24.060 Did any of the 77

01:07:25.460 newspapers reinstate

01:07:26.840 Dilbert?

01:07:27.560 No, because it was a

01:07:28.940 chain decision.

01:07:30.420 Meaning there was one

01:07:31.600 person who decided for

01:07:32.780 all the papers.

01:07:34.240 And they have to follow

01:07:36.000 the lead because they

01:07:37.080 get one set of comics

01:07:38.580 sent from a central

01:07:40.200 place.

01:07:40.980 So, they don't have

01:07:42.360 individual control of

01:07:43.480 that.

01:07:43.680 In fact, the whole point

01:07:44.680 of what the chain was

01:07:46.840 doing was, you know,

01:07:48.160 trying to negotiate

01:07:49.460 group discounts.

01:07:52.780 So, yeah.

01:07:54.000 I don't think anybody

01:07:54.800 will change their mind.

01:07:59.140 All right.

01:08:04.320 None of your jokes

01:08:05.300 is it?

01:08:06.260 Somebody's mad because

01:08:07.180 they didn't make anybody

01:08:07.900 laugh in the comments.

01:08:10.260 All right.

01:08:11.180 Now, was today better

01:08:12.300 than yesterday?

01:08:13.520 I see somebody saying

01:08:14.720 that.

01:08:15.880 Am I less obnoxious

01:08:17.160 today?

01:08:18.160 A little bit?

01:08:24.420 All right.

01:08:24.940 I'll try to adjust.

01:08:26.680 It was actually quite a

01:08:27.860 shocker when I watched

01:08:29.100 myself yesterday.

01:08:30.880 Like, I'm not joking.

01:08:32.540 I'm not joking at all

01:08:33.720 that when I watched

01:08:34.360 myself, I didn't like me.

01:08:35.940 Like, I actually didn't

01:08:36.860 like me.

01:08:37.860 I was like, oh, why would

01:08:39.880 I want to be that guy?

01:08:40.680 Yeah, and this gets to one

01:08:44.240 of my most important

01:08:45.240 advices.

01:08:46.740 If anybody ever tells you

01:08:47.880 to be yourself,

01:08:50.480 though, there is a source

01:08:51.460 of bad advice.

01:08:53.100 You should always be

01:08:54.300 looking to be that

01:08:55.200 slightly better version

01:08:56.320 of yourself, and then

01:08:57.460 when you get there,

01:08:58.380 become a slightly better

01:08:59.800 version again.

01:09:00.740 Like, if you're not

01:09:01.440 working toward improving

01:09:02.580 yourself, I don't even

01:09:05.220 want to be around you.

01:09:06.200 You would be a terrible

01:09:08.280 person to be in the room

01:09:09.460 with, you know, if you're

01:09:11.400 not even interested in

01:09:12.400 being the better version.

01:09:14.640 So, yes, there's no age

01:09:17.220 at which I will not try to

01:09:19.220 fix my game if I can.

01:09:23.260 All right.

01:09:28.920 Even if we agree with the

01:09:30.380 point, it still feels like

01:09:31.560 you are being yelled at

01:09:32.720 sometimes, meaning that it

01:09:34.020 feels like I'm yelling at

01:09:35.140 you sometimes.

01:09:36.200 Is that what you're

01:09:37.220 saying?

01:09:38.100 I can see that.

01:09:39.480 So, I also answered a

01:09:42.380 second question for myself.

01:09:44.820 I've always wondered why

01:09:46.100 I've never been in a fight.

01:09:49.820 Just like one of those

01:09:51.180 weird things.

01:09:51.980 You know, if you're a male,

01:09:55.380 you pretty much, you're

01:09:57.040 always around danger.

01:09:59.080 Like, I always wondered

01:09:59.720 why I've never been in a

01:10:00.780 fight.

01:10:01.680 I've certainly been in

01:10:02.540 tense situations that

01:10:03.640 could have been fighting.

01:10:04.560 And when I watched

01:10:05.460 myself, I think I got a

01:10:07.520 little insight into that.

01:10:09.780 Because I've heard that

01:10:10.740 I scare people.

01:10:13.320 And I didn't quite get it

01:10:14.700 until I saw myself.

01:10:15.780 I could see how that would

01:10:20.420 scare somebody.

01:10:23.680 Because I don't know

01:10:25.140 exactly what it is.

01:10:27.140 There's something in my

01:10:28.340 mannerism or voice that

01:10:30.320 looks like I would kill you

01:10:31.500 if I had to.

01:10:33.880 Because that's true.

01:10:35.400 I would kill you if I had to.

01:10:37.240 I mean, I want to.

01:10:38.500 I'm very peace-loving.

01:10:39.600 But I could kill you.

01:10:42.740 I wouldn't even blink.

01:10:44.560 So I think I,

01:10:45.720 if I had to.

01:10:46.980 So I think sometimes

01:10:48.380 that comes through.

01:10:50.400 And I don't mean that

01:10:51.580 to come through.

01:10:52.840 But it does.

01:10:56.660 Alright.

01:10:57.580 That's all for now.

01:10:58.380 I'll talk to you tomorrow,

01:10:59.280 YouTube.

01:10:59.480 YouTube.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 01, 2022

Episode 1883 Scott Adams： I Make Some Big Predictions About Russia, All The Lying White Men

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