Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1888 Scott Adams： All Of The News Is Funny Today. Come Enjoy It With Me

00:00:00.120 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to a highlight of human civilization called Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:08.340 Now, I have it on good authority that yesterday was the best live stream I've ever done.

00:00:14.500 I didn't even know it. People told me.

00:00:17.560 But I promise you today will be just as good, possibly better.

00:00:22.300 And if you'd like to accept that challenge, because it's a collaborative effort, I mean, I can't do it alone.

00:00:28.980 So, you have to help me to push it to the highest level of excellence that you have ever experienced in your entire life.

00:00:37.480 All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or gels or stein, a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:45.020 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:50.440 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day thing that makes everything better.

00:00:55.340 It's called a simultaneous sip.

00:00:58.980 It happens now. Go.

00:01:04.220 Oh, yeah. Oh, that's good.

00:01:08.440 Yeah, that's real good.

00:01:09.700 So, I don't know how your day started, but have I ever told you that my average day might be different from yours?

00:01:20.920 Many of you would have an average day that would look much like the average day of other people who are watching right now.

00:01:30.260 Let me give you just a little bit of a glimpse of what an average day is for me.

00:01:38.680 Check my messages.

00:01:39.740 Mr. Adams, are you aware that you retweeted a Hezbollah terrorist?

00:01:44.740 Nope. I was actually not aware of that.

00:01:54.000 So, it turns out I have retweeted a Hezbollah terrorist.

00:01:57.620 I don't see how that could go wrong.

00:02:02.580 I don't know.

00:02:03.200 I have no idea what the Hezbollah alleged Hezbollah terrorist.

00:02:06.940 I don't think I...

00:02:08.060 I'm pretty sure I didn't tweet anything about Israel.

00:02:11.540 I don't think so.

00:02:13.320 So, it wasn't about that.

00:02:15.720 I don't know.

00:02:16.380 I don't even know what it was about.

00:02:17.500 But, apparently, I retweeted a Hezbollah terrorist.

00:02:21.960 That's just what I wake up to.

00:02:25.020 Like, the rest of my day hasn't even started yet.

00:02:27.880 But, there we go.

00:02:30.980 Let's talk about Kanye, or as I call him, Ye.

00:02:37.160 Because I'm sort of futuristic that way.

00:02:39.400 I like to be up with the new thing.

00:02:41.140 By the way, I used to think it was ridiculous

00:02:45.540 when famous artists, usually musical artists,

00:02:49.420 would change their names.

00:02:52.380 You know, like, Diddy became some other thing.

00:02:56.260 And then, Prince became the symbol.

00:02:59.760 And then, Kanye became Ye.

00:03:02.300 And I used to make fun of that a little bit.

00:03:06.400 But, especially watching Kanye,

00:03:09.360 there's a thing I notice,

00:03:11.220 which is the artists themselves

00:03:13.100 are capturing the fact that

00:03:15.440 they've just reached another level.

00:03:18.900 And the old name doesn't seem to

00:03:21.260 describe them anymore.

00:03:23.320 They've almost, like,

00:03:24.440 ascended to another level of something.

00:03:27.060 And I think each of those artists

00:03:28.480 that changed their names,

00:03:30.280 it actually made sense.

00:03:32.020 Because they were sort of

00:03:33.260 not the same person anymore.

00:03:35.380 And Kanye is certainly in that category

00:03:38.540 of people who,

00:03:39.920 he's just reached another level.

00:03:41.300 He's not a person making music anymore.

00:03:44.600 There's something much bigger than that.

00:03:47.200 So he's, part of the reason,

00:03:48.740 or big reason, I guess,

00:03:49.560 he terminated his agreement with Gap,

00:03:52.680 the clothing sales company,

00:03:57.180 is because of China.

00:03:59.500 He wanted to make his stuff in America.

00:04:02.340 Now, how awesome is that?

00:04:06.060 That Ye wants to make his clothing in America.

00:04:08.480 So there's real leadership,

00:04:10.920 which we're not seeing

00:04:11.840 in as many other places as we'd like.

00:04:16.480 And he's still getting pushback

00:04:18.340 because he wore the shirt that said,

00:04:21.380 White Lives Matter.

00:04:23.520 And one of the pushbacks was,

00:04:27.000 White Lives Matter is the rallying call

00:04:29.140 of the white supremacists.

00:04:30.820 Let me explain how persuasion works.

00:04:44.040 Sorry.

00:04:48.500 If I want you to like me,

00:04:53.280 what would be a good way to do that?

00:04:56.840 Let's say I want you to like me better.

00:04:59.080 Compare these two things.

00:05:01.380 I would like you to like me better.

00:05:03.460 So I'm going to talk about

00:05:05.180 something awesome about me

00:05:06.740 to get you to like me better.

00:05:09.780 Makes sense, right?

00:05:11.040 If I want you to like me better,

00:05:12.720 I'm going to say I'm awesome

00:05:13.700 and I should have respect

00:05:14.980 and you should like me.

00:05:17.860 Or, alternative,

00:05:20.180 I could say you're awesome.

00:05:22.900 Which would make you like me more?

00:05:25.680 Me saying that you're awesome

00:05:27.180 or me saying that I'm awesome?

00:05:30.660 Which one makes you my friend?

00:05:34.080 Right.

00:05:34.760 Which one is Ye doing?

00:05:37.300 Which way is he going?

00:05:38.800 Ye is saying that you're awesome.

00:05:41.860 Meaning his customers,

00:05:43.880 his future buyers,

00:05:45.140 his listeners,

00:05:46.400 you know, his public.

00:05:48.000 He's basically saying you're awesome.

00:05:51.020 So how does that make you feel about him?

00:05:54.100 Great, right?

00:05:54.980 So because he did that,

00:05:59.280 I can't say why lives matter anymore.

00:06:02.380 He took that away from me.

00:06:04.100 I never really said it before anyway

00:06:05.660 because it's,

00:06:06.560 just because it's,

00:06:07.660 you know, blood and water.

00:06:10.380 But because of that,

00:06:12.280 he allows me to return the favor.

00:06:14.580 So I think tomorrow

00:06:15.780 I'm going to get my Black Lives Matter shirt

00:06:18.240 and now I can wear it.

00:06:20.700 So now I can wear a Black Lives Matter shirt

00:06:22.800 because he's created a pattern.

00:06:25.680 And the pattern is,

00:06:26.600 how about I tell you that you're awesome?

00:06:28.760 How about I say a little bit less

00:06:30.340 about how awesome I am

00:06:31.500 and just tell you you're awesome

00:06:33.040 and you matter.

00:06:34.720 Now it's okay.

00:06:36.300 But before it was somebody telling me

00:06:38.040 that they're awesome

00:06:38.840 so I should like them.

00:06:41.300 Hmm.

00:06:42.640 I get what you're saying.

00:06:44.200 I understand why you're saying it,

00:06:45.720 but it doesn't really work.

00:06:46.800 It's just not how anything works.

00:06:50.260 Ye knows how stuff works.

00:06:52.620 It's not an accident

00:06:53.760 that he's successful

00:06:54.980 across multiple domains.

00:06:57.380 He knows how people think.

00:07:00.180 He has mastery of the psychology of the mind

00:07:02.900 and then he adds art to it.

00:07:05.840 You've got a billion dollars or more.

00:07:12.680 So that's awesome.

00:07:13.740 You have to see,

00:07:16.400 there's a tweet by The Daily Show.

00:07:19.280 Now The Daily Show normally would go,

00:07:21.520 you know,

00:07:21.960 hard against MAGA and Republicans.

00:07:24.660 But even they're taking a shot

00:07:26.440 at the Vice President Harris.

00:07:28.700 You have to see how funny

00:07:31.340 their shot at Kamala Harris is.

00:07:34.320 What they do is they run

00:07:36.200 shots of Kamala Harris

00:07:38.620 doing her babble talk

00:07:39.800 and then they show clips

00:07:41.960 from the TV show Veep.

00:07:45.180 Now the TV show Veep,

00:07:46.400 if you haven't watched it,

00:07:47.300 is hilarious.

00:07:48.880 You should watch it.

00:07:49.860 I highly, highly recommend it.

00:07:51.400 Very funny show.

00:07:53.160 But the central theme of Veep

00:07:55.900 is that there's a female vice president

00:08:00.000 and she's super selfish

00:08:03.280 and incompetent.

00:08:03.800 And when she talks in public,

00:08:06.240 one of the running gags is

00:08:08.660 that she babbles

00:08:09.940 without saying anything.

00:08:11.900 So a typical, you know,

00:08:12.960 Veep speech would be,

00:08:14.840 we like freedom

00:08:15.920 because of the freedom,

00:08:18.820 because our country

00:08:20.060 likes the freedom of the free.

00:08:22.260 Like that would be,

00:08:23.400 you know, a joke.

00:08:24.280 So when they show them

00:08:28.720 side by side,

00:08:29.420 it's just hilarious.

00:08:30.880 Anyway,

00:08:31.680 I think it's also meaningful

00:08:34.580 because it's a very clear signal

00:08:37.260 that she's not going to be

00:08:39.960 the candidate.

00:08:41.880 In my opinion,

00:08:43.180 there's no way

00:08:44.480 that would have happened.

00:08:45.600 There's no way

00:08:46.180 they would have even run that gag

00:08:47.700 if they thought

00:08:48.960 there was any chance

00:08:49.720 she was ever going to be

00:08:50.480 the candidate.

00:08:51.580 Because the Daily Show

00:08:52.600 is not going to actually hurt

00:08:54.220 their candidate.

00:08:56.780 Kamala Harris is a,

00:08:57.840 is a sort of like a free kick.

00:09:01.480 I hate to say,

00:09:02.000 you know,

00:09:02.160 I don't want to make you

00:09:02.820 sound violent,

00:09:03.560 so I'm just using

00:09:04.120 a bad analogy.

00:09:05.440 But you can't hurt yourself

00:09:08.020 by going after her

00:09:09.140 because she's definitely

00:09:10.020 not going to be

00:09:10.680 the next president.

00:09:12.180 And I think they know that.

00:09:13.200 It's just so obvious.

00:09:14.700 So that's the signal.

00:09:16.980 Here is a,

00:09:17.840 a thought that,

00:09:20.980 I don't know if I've ever

00:09:22.240 directly thought this,

00:09:23.340 but I love the way

00:09:23.940 it was put together.

00:09:25.200 So just,

00:09:26.300 somebody sent me a message,

00:09:28.460 Ross Armstrong,

00:09:29.980 on social media.

00:09:32.660 And he noted that

00:09:34.160 the Democrats are,

00:09:36.340 exist as an opposition party.

00:09:40.180 And as soon as they're not

00:09:41.480 an opposition party,

00:09:42.580 they don't make any sense.

00:09:44.420 For example,

00:09:46.360 defund the police.

00:09:48.500 All right,

00:09:48.720 that's opposition

00:09:49.440 to the current form.

00:09:50.740 But what is it really

00:09:52.660 replaced with?

00:09:54.960 Sort of chaos.

00:09:57.020 Right?

00:10:00.160 Their opposition

00:10:01.740 to fossil fuels

00:10:03.580 is replaced with,

00:10:06.200 well,

00:10:06.420 green energy.

00:10:08.300 Sort of,

00:10:09.100 the math doesn't work yet.

00:10:11.380 I mean,

00:10:11.880 I'm in favor of green energy.

00:10:13.720 But,

00:10:14.060 you know,

00:10:14.800 nuclear has to be

00:10:15.700 the biggest part of that

00:10:16.640 where you're not really

00:10:17.380 being serious at all.

00:10:21.300 The same with DEI,

00:10:23.480 you know,

00:10:23.660 all of the equity

00:10:24.680 and inclusion

00:10:25.760 and stuff like that.

00:10:26.920 That's mostly

00:10:27.740 against the current process.

00:10:30.640 They don't really have

00:10:31.720 a system to replace

00:10:32.940 the thing they're against.

00:10:34.640 I guess that's the point.

00:10:36.620 So they exist,

00:10:38.240 they can only exist

00:10:39.660 because Republicans exist.

00:10:42.180 Republicans have

00:10:44.520 affirmative things

00:10:46.020 they want.

00:10:46.960 I want to build a wall,

00:10:48.240 I want to fund the police,

00:10:50.040 you know,

00:10:50.240 I want to do things.

00:10:52.720 The Democrats exist

00:10:54.240 as they stop doing things

00:10:55.780 at party.

00:10:56.660 As soon as you say,

00:10:57.820 all right,

00:10:58.120 what do you want to do?

00:10:59.620 It all just falls apart.

00:11:02.180 And I don't think

00:11:03.280 that that's even

00:11:03.900 a political statement

00:11:05.380 because it's observable.

00:11:08.060 You can actually observe

00:11:09.480 that they don't have

00:11:11.600 replacement systems.

00:11:13.380 Even their own side

00:11:14.580 could observe that

00:11:15.320 at this point.

00:11:17.400 I think that was

00:11:18.100 an interesting way

00:11:18.720 to put that.

00:11:22.000 So I think

00:11:22.960 the funniest thing

00:11:24.140 that's happening right now,

00:11:25.440 that's sort of

00:11:25.780 naturally funny happening,

00:11:28.040 is that the Republicans,

00:11:30.840 let's say,

00:11:31.460 let's call this

00:11:32.040 the Tucker Carlson

00:11:33.480 point of view,

00:11:34.900 is that immigration

00:11:36.740 is destroying

00:11:37.920 or could destroy

00:11:39.980 the American culture.

00:11:43.080 Now,

00:11:43.700 what do the critics say?

00:11:45.520 Racist.

00:11:46.400 White supremacist.

00:11:48.580 Racist.

00:11:50.000 And,

00:11:50.540 but Tucker,

00:11:52.020 and people who would agree

00:11:53.040 with that point of view,

00:11:54.620 would say,

00:11:55.460 what about,

00:11:56.340 we didn't say anything

00:11:57.080 about race.

00:11:58.340 We literally

00:11:59.000 are talking about culture.

00:12:00.680 You know,

00:12:00.840 do you like family

00:12:01.960 and God

00:12:02.500 and working hard

00:12:03.540 and following the rules?

00:12:04.880 Culture.

00:12:05.160 But of course,

00:12:06.820 the Democrats

00:12:07.280 just turned that into,

00:12:08.460 no, no, no, no,

00:12:09.480 you really mean racist.

00:12:10.880 When you say culture,

00:12:12.100 you're really being racist.

00:12:13.980 What's the funniest thing

00:12:15.140 that could happen?

00:12:17.280 Remember Elon Musk

00:12:18.620 prediction,

00:12:20.180 which I've made

00:12:20.920 the same prediction,

00:12:22.420 that reality

00:12:23.980 follows the funniest path

00:12:26.060 for the observer,

00:12:28.240 not for the participants.

00:12:29.820 For the participants,

00:12:30.980 it might be bad news.

00:12:32.240 But for the observer,

00:12:33.220 the funniest path.

00:12:34.060 And we're watching

00:12:35.300 that funniest path.

00:12:37.000 It turns out

00:12:38.040 that the immigrants

00:12:39.780 are more American

00:12:40.820 than the Americans.

00:12:43.360 Literally.

00:12:45.060 If you say

00:12:46.000 that American culture is,

00:12:48.080 and I even wrote it down

00:12:50.240 so I wouldn't forget it.

00:12:52.760 If you said

00:12:53.460 American culture

00:12:54.300 was, let's say,

00:12:55.780 God, country,

00:12:57.120 family, and hard work.

00:13:00.440 You know,

00:13:00.900 you could throw in,

00:13:01.820 you know,

00:13:02.440 constitution.

00:13:03.020 But I think country

00:13:04.000 handles that, right?

00:13:09.000 God, country,

00:13:10.060 family, hard work.

00:13:11.660 Would you say that?

00:13:12.680 Kind of captures it.

00:13:14.960 So where did I hear

00:13:16.220 those four words?

00:13:17.960 Five words.

00:13:18.540 from a Hispanic American

00:13:22.380 who is switching

00:13:26.360 to Republican

00:13:27.500 because they like

00:13:29.460 God, country,

00:13:31.140 family, and hard work.

00:13:32.520 And they said,

00:13:33.300 huh,

00:13:34.320 that's like way more Republican

00:13:35.980 than it is Democrat.

00:13:38.320 So there,

00:13:39.020 even MSNBC is reporting.

00:13:41.780 Now keep in mind,

00:13:42.600 the source,

00:13:43.900 MSNBC is reporting

00:13:45.180 that there's a trend

00:13:46.840 of recent immigrants

00:13:49.520 becoming more Republican.

00:13:53.440 Now,

00:13:54.100 who told you

00:13:54.920 that was going to happen?

00:13:58.920 Me.

00:14:00.160 Do you know why?

00:14:01.540 Do you know why

00:14:02.140 I knew ahead of time

00:14:03.020 this was going to happen?

00:14:04.720 Is it because of my

00:14:05.760 keen insight

00:14:07.000 and my ability

00:14:09.120 to predict?

00:14:10.440 Not this time.

00:14:12.360 Not this time.

00:14:13.600 It came from the fact

00:14:14.740 that I live

00:14:15.460 with lots of immigrants.

00:14:18.780 I had a realization

00:14:20.780 the other day.

00:14:22.360 I don't remember

00:14:23.440 the last time

00:14:24.180 I talked to somebody

00:14:25.460 born in another country

00:14:26.740 who was not pro-Trump.

00:14:30.780 So listen to that again.

00:14:32.480 I don't recall

00:14:33.300 the last time

00:14:34.080 I talked to somebody

00:14:34.940 from another country

00:14:35.940 who was not pro-Trump.

00:14:38.900 But they say it

00:14:39.800 very quietly.

00:14:40.760 I said,

00:14:41.580 you know,

00:14:42.760 I think Trump

00:14:44.700 actually was

00:14:45.460 actually better

00:14:46.920 for the country

00:14:47.420 because I don't like

00:14:48.000 this crime

00:14:48.620 and this inflation.

00:14:50.440 And honestly,

00:14:51.620 I think we need a wall.

00:14:54.100 How many of you

00:14:54.860 have had the same experience?

00:14:57.720 Almost to a person

00:14:58.800 that are more American

00:14:59.680 than I am.

00:15:03.940 Yeah.

00:15:04.820 And I'm not joking.

00:15:05.940 If you were to make a checklist

00:15:09.840 and say,

00:15:10.520 all right,

00:15:10.720 what would that old

00:15:12.220 classic American look

00:15:13.840 be from the 50s?

00:15:15.580 Like,

00:15:15.800 what would it look like?

00:15:16.600 The classic American family,

00:15:18.820 the classic American values.

00:15:21.180 And then you do a poll

00:15:23.620 of randomly pick a bunch of people

00:15:26.540 who have lived here

00:15:27.140 for generations.

00:15:28.540 And then you randomly pick

00:15:29.920 a bunch of recent immigrants.

00:15:31.900 They could be citizens

00:15:32.860 who are recently immigrant.

00:15:34.780 And just ask the same question.

00:15:36.760 You know,

00:15:36.980 which ones do you check the box?

00:15:38.540 You know,

00:15:38.720 God,

00:15:39.140 hard work,

00:15:39.720 country.

00:15:41.940 We are importing Americans.

00:15:45.020 We lost.

00:15:46.540 We lost it.

00:15:47.420 This country largely lost

00:15:50.960 what it was to be American.

00:15:52.240 And we're re-infusing it

00:15:54.520 with immigrants.

00:15:56.320 Sorry.

00:15:57.520 It wasn't what you expected.

00:15:59.800 But what I see,

00:16:01.060 I get to see it a little sooner

00:16:02.500 than the rest of you

00:16:03.340 because the immigrant population

00:16:04.840 is so large here,

00:16:05.900 where I live in California.

00:16:07.240 So I've been,

00:16:08.860 I've been,

00:16:09.480 let's say,

00:16:10.240 marinating in immigrants

00:16:11.400 for decades.

00:16:13.200 And I keep looking

00:16:15.040 for all the leftists.

00:16:16.920 I don't find any.

00:16:18.940 I mean,

00:16:19.640 in California,

00:16:20.920 I'm not finding people

00:16:22.480 who lean left

00:16:23.200 if they're also

00:16:24.420 recent immigrants.

00:16:25.720 Now,

00:16:26.140 there are exceptions.

00:16:27.300 There are exceptions.

00:16:28.180 I lost one of my best friends

00:16:29.420 for being anti-Trump,

00:16:31.040 but I haven't checked

00:16:32.500 in with him recently.

00:16:33.800 I lost one of my best friends

00:16:37.640 who was born

00:16:38.040 in another country

00:16:38.720 because he couldn't handle

00:16:41.780 the Trump stuff.

00:16:44.500 But that was four years ago,

00:16:46.540 five years ago.

00:16:48.060 I'll bet if I checked in

00:16:49.020 with him now,

00:16:50.440 he'd be a little bit more

00:16:51.560 in favor of funding the police

00:16:53.160 and building a wall.

00:16:54.900 I'll bet he would.

00:16:56.380 Just guessing.

00:16:59.440 All right.

00:17:01.560 Biden tried to use

00:17:02.680 the F word.

00:17:04.260 Because,

00:17:05.080 I'm going to say this,

00:17:06.660 because Trump did.

00:17:08.260 You know,

00:17:08.480 Trump famously used

00:17:09.700 the F word in his rally,

00:17:11.220 but he used it

00:17:11.980 in a really funny,

00:17:13.000 like,

00:17:13.980 excellent swearing way.

00:17:15.600 Like somebody

00:17:16.180 who really knows

00:17:16.880 how to swear

00:17:17.520 and has done it for years

00:17:19.040 and just nailed it.

00:17:20.660 And then Biden

00:17:21.820 gets caught

00:17:22.400 on the hot mic

00:17:23.320 saying,

00:17:24.500 no one F's with Biden.

00:17:27.580 And I thought to myself,

00:17:29.220 no one F's with Biden?

00:17:31.560 He's referring to himself

00:17:34.280 in the third party.

00:17:35.840 How is it that we got

00:17:37.100 two people running

00:17:38.300 for president,

00:17:39.520 probably,

00:17:40.460 who both refer to themselves

00:17:42.100 in the third party?

00:17:43.840 Well,

00:17:44.300 Trump would never do that

00:17:45.440 and Biden would never do that.

00:17:48.500 Maybe he was talking

00:17:49.300 about his family,

00:17:50.020 but it sounded like

00:17:50.600 he was talking about himself.

00:17:51.460 So anyway,

00:17:54.360 he's not as good

00:17:54.940 a swearer as Trump,

00:17:57.280 but appreciate the effort.

00:18:01.320 Did any of you see

00:18:02.320 the Tucker Carlson

00:18:04.020 special show

00:18:06.280 about the waning testosterone

00:18:08.560 of American males?

00:18:11.840 I didn't catch it,

00:18:12.900 but I saw some clips about it.

00:18:15.600 And that was pretty wild.

00:18:17.660 I don't know

00:18:20.760 what to think about that.

00:18:22.460 But I saw that

00:18:23.280 some of the critics

00:18:24.340 of Tucker's

00:18:25.420 have decided that

00:18:27.460 Tucker's show

00:18:29.160 about falling testosterone

00:18:30.500 was super homoerotic

00:18:32.820 and maybe fascist

00:18:34.920 and right wing.

00:18:37.060 So I was actually planning

00:18:39.560 on going to the gym today

00:18:40.880 to lift.

00:18:43.080 Changing my plans.

00:18:44.700 Now that I know

00:18:45.620 that if I go to the gym

00:18:46.800 and try to get in shape,

00:18:48.520 it will turn me gay,

00:18:50.440 but will also be fascist

00:18:51.980 and right wing.

00:18:54.440 So that's a pretty big

00:18:57.420 price to pay

00:18:58.120 for muscles.

00:19:02.720 Erasmus said

00:19:03.460 55% of Hispanics

00:19:05.840 in this country

00:19:07.240 think that the government

00:19:09.340 is doing too little

00:19:10.240 to stop the flow

00:19:11.040 at the border.

00:19:13.380 Which is the same

00:19:14.360 as the rest of the country,

00:19:15.720 right?

00:19:16.800 The majority of Hispanics

00:19:20.640 in this country

00:19:21.180 want the border closed.

00:19:25.040 So,

00:19:26.240 I want to talk about this

00:19:29.060 without making it sound like

00:19:30.500 old man yells at the sky.

00:19:32.320 It just sounds like

00:19:33.320 I'm complaining

00:19:34.040 about my personal experience.

00:19:36.320 But I think there's

00:19:37.500 something bigger

00:19:38.140 going on here.

00:19:39.480 I told you recently

00:19:40.840 I tried to upgrade

00:19:42.180 my phone.

00:19:42.760 So I went to a phone store

00:19:45.080 and said,

00:19:46.320 hey,

00:19:46.520 can I buy a new phone?

00:19:47.800 And they couldn't figure out

00:19:48.940 how to do it.

00:19:51.060 They're a phone store.

00:19:52.700 They couldn't figure out

00:19:53.740 how to sell me a phone.

00:19:56.160 It took like hours.

00:19:58.580 Their systems,

00:19:59.320 they couldn't figure it out.

00:20:00.540 I forget why

00:20:01.520 for some reason.

00:20:03.380 So the other day

00:20:04.280 I was trying to get my,

00:20:05.580 I couldn't figure out

00:20:06.660 why I didn't see

00:20:07.840 an invoice

00:20:08.400 for my health care.

00:20:09.340 I used Kaiser Permanente

00:20:11.920 Northern California.

00:20:14.040 And I'd switched over

00:20:15.400 to, you know,

00:20:16.600 a Medicare version

00:20:17.560 because I reached 65

00:20:18.640 so they have a special one.

00:20:20.300 And I hadn't seen

00:20:21.260 like an invoice.

00:20:23.100 So I called them up

00:20:24.140 and said,

00:20:24.660 you know,

00:20:24.960 is there like an online

00:20:26.140 invoice I could see

00:20:27.180 or a bill?

00:20:28.100 Because I'd like to see

00:20:29.060 who's covered

00:20:29.760 and how much I'm paying.

00:20:32.840 They couldn't do it.

00:20:36.320 On multiple phone calls,

00:20:38.140 my health care provider,

00:20:40.480 a gigantic organization,

00:20:42.240 they could not provide

00:20:43.520 either online

00:20:44.940 or email

00:20:46.340 or paper

00:20:47.080 or anything,

00:20:48.560 anything that looked

00:20:49.400 like an invoice,

00:20:51.340 anything that would have

00:20:52.120 the price I'm paying,

00:20:53.960 anything that would tell me

00:20:55.000 who's covered

00:20:55.700 and for what

00:20:56.500 at all.

00:20:59.520 But they assured me

00:21:00.620 that I and a few

00:21:02.440 dependents were covered.

00:21:03.660 And I said,

00:21:06.640 I'm having trouble believing

00:21:09.000 there's nobody

00:21:10.240 in your organization

00:21:11.160 that could send me

00:21:12.160 to,

00:21:13.480 and remember,

00:21:14.040 they've got several

00:21:14.740 online sites.

00:21:16.360 They've got two apps

00:21:17.640 and at least two

00:21:20.040 online browser

00:21:21.780 type places

00:21:22.400 you can go to.

00:21:23.540 So they've got four apps.

00:21:25.240 They've got several

00:21:26.220 different databases,

00:21:27.360 depending if you're

00:21:28.000 in a business account,

00:21:29.940 over 65,

00:21:30.940 or a regular account.

00:21:32.840 And somehow

00:21:33.460 my databases

00:21:34.420 of my dependents

00:21:36.700 and me

00:21:37.020 got separated,

00:21:38.300 but the addresses

00:21:39.400 were old

00:21:40.200 and different.

00:21:41.440 So now,

00:21:42.520 there's nobody

00:21:43.440 in the organization

00:21:44.720 of Kaiser

00:21:45.340 who can tell me

00:21:46.680 what I'm paying.

00:21:49.000 They can't tell me

00:21:49.640 what the price is.

00:21:51.120 They can't tell me

00:21:51.800 who's covered

00:21:52.360 or what health care

00:21:53.400 I have.

00:21:54.320 So I tried to call

00:21:55.420 the CEO of Kaiser

00:21:56.580 because in the old days

00:21:58.880 you could actually

00:21:59.500 get to the CEO's office.

00:22:01.380 Usually you don't

00:22:01.980 get the actual CEO,

00:22:03.620 but I thought,

00:22:04.260 well, maybe.

00:22:06.040 So, of course,

00:22:07.040 his name is Adams,

00:22:08.580 Greg Adams.

00:22:10.500 So I tried to reach

00:22:11.620 the CEO.

00:22:12.380 Man, you cannot do that.

00:22:14.900 Can I give you

00:22:15.980 my impression

00:22:17.820 of trying to reach

00:22:18.480 the CEO?

00:22:19.280 I'd like to reach

00:22:20.080 the CEO.

00:22:20.840 Oh, okay,

00:22:21.860 well, we can help you.

00:22:23.120 Yes, I know,

00:22:23.820 but everybody at your level

00:22:24.860 couldn't help me,

00:22:26.500 so I'm trying

00:22:27.300 to reach the top.

00:22:28.920 Can you just give me

00:22:29.580 a way to get

00:22:30.180 to the executive offices?

00:22:31.740 Because usually

00:22:32.280 there's a separate

00:22:32.960 process for complaints.

00:22:35.080 Imagine being the CEO

00:22:36.200 and finding out

00:22:37.500 that your organization

00:22:38.380 can't tell somebody

00:22:39.300 if they're covered.

00:22:40.960 Well, they could tell me

00:22:41.720 I was covered,

00:22:42.660 but they couldn't prove it.

00:22:44.500 They couldn't show me

00:22:45.400 a document

00:22:45.880 that shows that

00:22:47.160 with my name on it

00:22:48.320 and my dependents

00:22:50.000 with the price

00:22:51.260 and what I'm covered for.

00:22:52.520 Nothing.

00:22:52.760 Now, you know,

00:22:54.500 insurance does

00:22:55.160 the same thing, right?

00:22:56.900 It's not even

00:22:57.760 unique to health care.

00:22:59.700 Do you know

00:23:00.040 if you buy insurance,

00:23:01.500 they won't tell you

00:23:03.080 what's covered

00:23:03.800 until after you buy it?

00:23:06.400 Did you know that?

00:23:07.920 Try to get your

00:23:08.700 insurance company

00:23:09.400 to show you

00:23:09.960 what would be covered

00:23:10.960 if you paid them.

00:23:12.480 Can you show me,

00:23:13.760 like, this payment

00:23:14.600 would cover what?

00:23:16.140 They literally

00:23:17.020 won't do it.

00:23:18.340 They will only tell you

00:23:19.500 after you pay.

00:23:20.220 Now, here's my

00:23:24.260 bigger picture.

00:23:25.660 So I want to get

00:23:26.580 out of the weeds here.

00:23:27.820 This isn't about

00:23:28.620 old man yells at

00:23:29.600 the sky.

00:23:32.400 We seem to have

00:23:33.460 a situation

00:23:34.060 where the complexity

00:23:35.200 of everything

00:23:36.160 for a variety

00:23:37.500 of reasons,

00:23:38.880 complexity for

00:23:39.780 a whole variety

00:23:40.400 of reasons,

00:23:41.440 separate systems,

00:23:43.020 you know,

00:23:43.640 it's just maybe

00:23:44.720 legacy systems,

00:23:46.700 government regulations,

00:23:48.140 but on top

00:23:51.020 of the complexity

00:23:51.840 increasing,

00:23:53.480 the ability

00:23:54.520 of our employees

00:23:55.380 is not going up.

00:23:57.180 So the capability

00:23:58.020 of people doing

00:23:59.520 the work

00:23:59.980 is about the same,

00:24:01.480 but the complexity

00:24:02.520 keeps going up.

00:24:04.540 We've crossed

00:24:05.600 the point

00:24:06.180 where our workers

00:24:07.740 can handle

00:24:08.440 our own...

00:24:11.780 You found an email

00:24:13.140 for Gregory Adams?

00:24:14.660 Adams at

00:24:19.180 kp.org.

00:24:21.380 All right,

00:24:21.780 well, I'll try that.

00:24:26.060 Good job.

00:24:27.160 I actually found it.

00:24:28.340 But my point is,

00:24:29.400 it's not about

00:24:30.060 Kaiser per se,

00:24:31.180 although that is

00:24:31.800 a big problem.

00:24:32.920 It's a very big problem

00:24:34.200 because they're

00:24:34.760 actually denying

00:24:35.480 health care

00:24:36.040 while saying

00:24:37.600 that I have it.

00:24:39.140 Imagine this.

00:24:40.280 Denying health care,

00:24:41.960 insisting you have it,

00:24:43.060 unwilling to show

00:24:44.820 any document

00:24:45.540 that says you have it.

00:24:47.040 That's actually

00:24:47.660 my actual situation.

00:24:50.260 It's unbelievable.

00:24:52.480 And, again,

00:24:53.700 it's not about

00:24:54.280 my situation.

00:24:55.640 I think the complexity

00:24:56.680 of our systems

00:24:57.460 is now overwhelming

00:24:58.520 our capability.

00:25:00.500 And I worry

00:25:01.400 that we have

00:25:01.960 catastrophic failure ahead

00:25:03.620 that we can't

00:25:04.660 do a simple thing.

00:25:06.440 If you can't...

00:25:07.520 Try walking

00:25:08.380 into any retail place

00:25:09.920 and just doing

00:25:10.580 any transaction

00:25:11.520 and find out

00:25:13.160 what happens.

00:25:15.460 Pick any store.

00:25:17.700 Best Buy.

00:25:19.320 Doesn't matter.

00:25:20.260 Go in and say,

00:25:21.200 I would like to buy X.

00:25:23.180 They will sell it to you

00:25:24.620 before telling you

00:25:26.400 they don't have it.

00:25:28.000 Has that happened

00:25:28.780 to you yet?

00:25:29.940 Everywhere.

00:25:31.300 Every retail store

00:25:32.360 is selling you

00:25:32.900 things they don't have

00:25:33.980 and they're going

00:25:35.100 to get you

00:25:35.540 a little bit

00:25:36.120 into the transaction

00:25:37.260 before they tell you

00:25:38.200 they don't have it.

00:25:39.180 It's always a surprise

00:25:40.200 to them.

00:25:41.400 Well,

00:25:42.380 I'm looking right here

00:25:45.220 at the document

00:25:47.720 and it says

00:25:48.760 it's in the back.

00:25:50.300 Exactly the one

00:25:51.120 you wanted.

00:25:52.320 It says right here

00:25:53.140 but I looked

00:25:54.560 in the back

00:25:55.060 and it's not there.

00:25:56.720 But I could order

00:25:57.520 it for you

00:25:58.000 and it could come

00:25:58.660 in two weeks

00:25:59.300 to which I say

00:26:00.940 I order online

00:26:04.680 if I have to wait

00:26:05.360 two weeks.

00:26:06.020 I'm not going

00:26:07.180 to come to a store

00:26:08.220 to buy something

00:26:09.800 through the mail

00:26:10.640 and that's all

00:26:11.900 they're selling.

00:26:13.340 Yeah,

00:26:13.800 they're selling you

00:26:14.740 a little bit

00:26:16.280 of inconvenience

00:26:17.280 over ordering

00:26:18.280 it at home.

00:26:21.100 Yeah,

00:26:21.580 we have a

00:26:23.000 complexity cascade

00:26:24.240 problem

00:26:24.800 that we need

00:26:25.480 to fix.

00:26:28.720 Would you like

00:26:29.620 to know

00:26:30.220 how the Republicans

00:26:31.200 could absolutely

00:26:32.560 positively win

00:26:33.900 2024?

00:26:35.080 I don't know

00:26:37.460 about the midterms

00:26:38.160 but the presidency

00:26:39.460 for sure

00:26:40.460 100% certainly

00:26:42.320 goes like this.

00:26:45.040 I start

00:26:46.060 a Google document

00:26:47.860 in which

00:26:49.440 for every

00:26:50.240 topic

00:26:51.200 that is likely

00:26:52.160 to be a political

00:26:52.900 topic

00:26:53.340 I will take

00:26:55.060 the best argument

00:26:55.980 for the Republican

00:26:58.020 side

00:26:58.500 and I'll just

00:26:59.660 put it on

00:27:00.060 that document.

00:27:01.640 And then

00:27:01.980 every time

00:27:02.760 you get in an

00:27:03.380 argument with somebody

00:27:04.120 on social media

00:27:04.980 you can just

00:27:06.400 refer them

00:27:06.860 to the document

00:27:07.440 or you could

00:27:08.760 just copy and

00:27:09.480 paste a chap

00:27:10.760 like a paragraph

00:27:12.360 or a data

00:27:13.740 or something

00:27:14.260 and just put it

00:27:14.820 in there.

00:27:15.020 For example

00:27:15.720 the hoax quiz

00:27:18.460 the hoax quiz

00:27:20.180 has been super

00:27:20.860 successful.

00:27:22.160 Have you noticed

00:27:22.640 how it shuts down

00:27:23.540 conversation

00:27:24.260 on Twitter?

00:27:25.940 I don't know

00:27:26.380 if you've noticed

00:27:26.900 but when I put

00:27:28.020 the list

00:27:28.740 of 16

00:27:29.500 hoaxes

00:27:31.080 against Republicans

00:27:31.920 against Trump

00:27:32.720 you get a few

00:27:35.300 weasels

00:27:35.800 who try to say

00:27:36.600 stuff like

00:27:37.240 every one of those

00:27:38.480 is true

00:27:38.920 but nobody

00:27:40.540 serious says that.

00:27:42.640 Right?

00:27:43.100 It's not like

00:27:44.000 I can get

00:27:45.720 let's say

00:27:46.300 a journalist

00:27:49.180 from MSNBC

00:27:50.900 to dunk on me.

00:27:52.440 You don't see

00:27:53.320 that.

00:27:53.580 If I say

00:27:54.660 something crazy

00:27:55.460 I can usually

00:27:56.800 count on some

00:27:57.620 prominent

00:27:58.220 blue check person

00:27:59.560 coming in

00:28:00.860 and saying

00:28:01.260 you're crazy.

00:28:03.400 Right?

00:28:04.580 You've seen it

00:28:05.120 a million times.

00:28:06.460 But not one.

00:28:08.160 I don't believe

00:28:08.920 there's even

00:28:09.400 one blue check

00:28:10.480 Democrat

00:28:10.920 who has ever

00:28:11.940 tried to question

00:28:13.720 the hoax quiz.

00:28:16.040 Think about that.

00:28:17.400 They stay away

00:28:18.300 from that.

00:28:19.700 Now imagine

00:28:20.440 if I had a document

00:28:21.860 that had

00:28:23.080 the hoax quiz

00:28:23.880 and that was

00:28:24.920 just one

00:28:25.860 of the things

00:28:26.400 there.

00:28:27.400 But it would

00:28:28.080 also have

00:28:28.560 the best

00:28:29.520 let's say

00:28:30.120 high ground

00:28:30.780 argument

00:28:31.200 for each topic.

00:28:33.220 So you could

00:28:34.080 say here's

00:28:34.820 the fake news

00:28:35.580 here's what

00:28:36.260 it should be

00:28:36.720 boom.

00:28:37.880 So imagine

00:28:38.560 if we could

00:28:39.360 turn every

00:28:40.020 Republican

00:28:40.580 into the

00:28:42.280 best debater

00:28:43.460 of all

00:28:44.040 Republicans.

00:28:45.560 I'm not saying

00:28:46.420 that's me.

00:28:47.220 I'm saying

00:28:47.660 that I could

00:28:48.200 compile the

00:28:48.880 best arguments.

00:28:50.180 For example

00:28:50.920 Alex Epstein

00:28:53.040 did a long

00:28:54.800 tweet thread

00:28:56.360 yesterday

00:28:57.300 in which he

00:28:58.360 went through

00:28:58.700 the various

00:28:59.240 hoaxes

00:28:59.960 and misperceptions

00:29:01.140 and myths

00:29:01.740 about fossil

00:29:03.120 fuels.

00:29:04.780 Now wouldn't

00:29:05.140 you like to

00:29:05.620 have access

00:29:06.260 to a really

00:29:07.560 concise

00:29:09.040 well

00:29:10.240 totally sourced

00:29:11.740 right?

00:29:12.320 He shows

00:29:12.920 his work

00:29:13.340 a totally

00:29:14.340 sourced

00:29:14.940 concise

00:29:15.820 argument

00:29:16.320 on that

00:29:16.840 point.

00:29:17.120 Well there

00:29:18.340 it is.

00:29:19.040 Like I said

00:29:19.420 that's the

00:29:19.860 best argument

00:29:20.460 on that

00:29:20.980 point.

00:29:21.880 If you watch

00:29:22.560 Michael

00:29:22.920 Schellenberger's

00:29:23.740 threads

00:29:24.120 and you

00:29:24.500 should be

00:29:24.780 following him

00:29:25.260 for sure

00:29:25.680 Schellenberger

00:29:27.380 almost every

00:29:28.540 day has a

00:29:30.420 tweet thread

00:29:31.000 which is

00:29:31.620 meticulously

00:29:32.520 researched

00:29:33.160 so sources

00:29:34.080 are there.

00:29:35.300 He shows

00:29:35.880 his work

00:29:36.360 shows his

00:29:36.920 graphs

00:29:37.260 and it's

00:29:37.960 a powerful

00:29:39.120 argument

00:29:39.620 usually in

00:29:41.160 the energy

00:29:41.620 domain

00:29:42.080 that's

00:29:43.460 you know

00:29:43.920 hard to

00:29:45.140 argue with

00:29:45.520 actually.

00:29:45.800 Now imagine

00:29:47.220 if you

00:29:47.560 had all

00:29:48.480 some of

00:29:49.100 them are

00:29:49.320 too long

00:29:49.740 right?

00:29:50.360 But I

00:29:50.820 could maybe

00:29:52.360 shrink them

00:29:53.580 down.

00:29:54.540 Now it

00:29:54.880 doesn't have

00:29:55.220 to be me

00:29:55.720 but you

00:29:56.620 need somebody

00:29:57.320 who could

00:29:57.700 tell the

00:29:58.040 difference

00:29:58.340 between a

00:29:58.860 good argument

00:29:59.380 and a

00:29:59.700 bad one.

00:30:01.380 Right?

00:30:01.620 Somebody.

00:30:02.940 And so

00:30:03.540 imagine that

00:30:04.060 document exists

00:30:05.020 and that

00:30:06.080 every time you

00:30:06.760 get into a

00:30:07.460 Twitter debate

00:30:08.060 you just go

00:30:08.620 grab that

00:30:09.200 best argument

00:30:09.840 boom.

00:30:11.720 Imagine if

00:30:12.600 the Republicans

00:30:13.280 only used

00:30:14.220 the best

00:30:14.720 arguments

00:30:15.240 and the

00:30:16.140 Democrats

00:30:16.500 used just

00:30:17.480 their normal

00:30:18.180 talking points.

00:30:20.280 It would

00:30:20.940 make a big

00:30:21.320 difference.

00:30:22.460 Think about

00:30:22.900 it.

00:30:24.420 All right.

00:30:26.280 It also

00:30:26.900 tells you

00:30:27.420 how one

00:30:28.040 person can

00:30:28.760 change

00:30:29.440 everything.

00:30:30.860 I believe

00:30:31.540 one person

00:30:32.280 who created

00:30:32.820 that document

00:30:33.640 would actually

00:30:34.780 change the

00:30:35.280 election.

00:30:36.460 Just sort

00:30:37.000 of one

00:30:37.260 person sitting

00:30:37.880 on their

00:30:38.140 laptop.

00:30:38.860 I think

00:30:40.180 I'll make

00:30:40.500 a Google

00:30:41.000 document.

00:30:42.560 Boom.

00:30:44.180 Change the

00:30:44.900 world.

00:30:45.240 All right.

00:30:49.380 Still waiting

00:30:50.100 for that

00:30:50.440 confirmation

00:30:51.060 about those

00:30:52.260 nuclear secrets

00:30:53.200 at Mar-a-Lago.

00:30:55.100 I updated

00:30:55.920 the hoax

00:30:56.360 list but I

00:30:56.980 saw somebody

00:30:57.580 showing me

00:30:58.880 that.

00:30:59.220 Did I

00:30:59.500 double count

00:31:00.120 something on

00:31:00.620 the hoax

00:31:00.900 list?

00:31:02.760 I saw

00:31:03.360 something

00:31:03.680 you buy

00:31:04.000 on locals

00:31:04.520 while I

00:31:04.860 was talking.

00:31:06.900 So I

00:31:07.540 might have

00:31:07.840 to re-look

00:31:08.660 at the

00:31:08.960 hoax

00:31:09.200 list.

00:31:11.760 Oh,

00:31:12.220 yeah,

00:31:12.820 I double

00:31:13.140 counted the

00:31:13.680 nuclear secrets

00:31:14.440 one.

00:31:15.180 But we

00:31:16.680 keep waiting

00:31:17.120 for those

00:31:17.460 nuclear secrets,

00:31:18.300 don't we?

00:31:19.800 And it

00:31:20.100 turns out

00:31:20.600 it's stuff

00:31:21.160 like notes

00:31:22.820 to the

00:31:23.140 doctor,

00:31:24.000 stuff like

00:31:24.380 that.

00:31:24.800 Now we're

00:31:25.140 only hearing

00:31:25.600 about some

00:31:26.040 of the

00:31:26.380 non-secret

00:31:27.760 stuff,

00:31:28.180 of course.

00:31:29.300 But don't

00:31:29.960 you think we

00:31:30.540 would have

00:31:30.840 heard a little

00:31:31.640 bit more

00:31:32.520 more about

00:31:33.640 the alleged

00:31:34.380 nuclear secrets

00:31:35.860 if any

00:31:37.120 of them

00:31:37.480 were in

00:31:37.800 those boxes.

00:31:38.880 I feel

00:31:39.560 like that's

00:31:39.960 exactly the

00:31:40.700 sort of

00:31:40.960 thing that

00:31:41.260 would have

00:31:41.500 leaked.

00:31:42.820 Am I

00:31:43.200 right?

00:31:44.320 Now,

00:31:44.900 maybe not

00:31:45.300 details,

00:31:46.560 but if they

00:31:47.340 actually had

00:31:48.260 nuclear secrets

00:31:49.220 in those

00:31:49.640 boxes,

00:31:50.520 you don't

00:31:51.180 think we'd

00:31:51.640 know about

00:31:52.000 that by

00:31:52.380 now?

00:31:53.460 Oh,

00:31:53.900 we would.

00:31:54.940 Oh,

00:31:55.200 we would.

00:31:55.620 It makes

00:31:58.080 me wonder,

00:31:58.660 what's it

00:31:59.180 like to be

00:31:59.620 a Democrat

00:32:00.080 and have

00:32:01.700 just one

00:32:02.880 thing after

00:32:03.420 another be

00:32:05.040 shown as

00:32:05.640 a hoax on

00:32:06.640 your own

00:32:06.960 team?

00:32:07.660 It must be

00:32:08.240 a weird

00:32:08.620 feeling,

00:32:09.760 unless they

00:32:10.220 don't know.

00:32:10.980 Maybe they

00:32:11.300 just don't

00:32:11.760 ever find

00:32:12.320 out they're

00:32:12.640 hoaxes.

00:32:13.960 Who knows?

00:32:17.940 You should

00:32:18.660 read some

00:32:19.160 of the

00:32:20.420 threads by

00:32:21.100 Robbie

00:32:21.460 Starbuck.

00:32:22.140 He's one

00:32:22.480 of the

00:32:22.680 people who

00:32:23.020 got caught

00:32:23.500 up with

00:32:25.220 Charlie Kirk

00:32:26.400 and Jack

00:32:27.780 Posobiec and

00:32:28.640 a number of

00:32:29.240 others,

00:32:29.660 Donald Trump

00:32:30.100 Jr.

00:32:30.900 They were

00:32:31.340 sort of

00:32:31.620 targeted by

00:32:32.220 this group

00:32:32.680 called the

00:32:33.060 Election

00:32:33.380 Integrity

00:32:33.980 Partnership.

00:32:35.680 And their

00:32:36.300 job was

00:32:36.800 actually censoring

00:32:37.720 Biden's

00:32:38.440 opponents.

00:32:39.560 So they

00:32:40.080 would work

00:32:40.500 with social

00:32:41.020 media to

00:32:42.800 try to

00:32:44.520 censor or

00:32:46.060 throttle down

00:32:47.360 certain accounts

00:32:48.880 that were

00:32:49.200 saying things

00:32:49.820 that they,

00:32:50.620 of course,

00:32:50.940 would say

00:32:51.240 would be

00:32:51.560 misinformation.

00:32:53.480 But Republicans

00:32:54.440 would say

00:32:55.160 is just

00:32:56.100 being

00:32:56.400 Republican.

00:32:59.480 And a lot

00:33:00.740 of things

00:33:01.120 that we

00:33:01.620 thought were

00:33:02.140 misinformation

00:33:02.700 at some

00:33:03.340 time,

00:33:03.740 like the

00:33:04.240 Hunter

00:33:04.520 laptop

00:33:05.640 story,

00:33:07.020 there are

00:33:07.320 things that

00:33:07.720 we were

00:33:08.420 told were

00:33:08.880 misinformation

00:33:09.340 that turned

00:33:10.400 out to be

00:33:10.860 true.

00:33:11.760 So in a

00:33:12.460 world where

00:33:12.980 misinformation

00:33:13.660 often turns

00:33:14.560 out to be

00:33:15.260 information,

00:33:17.260 you don't

00:33:18.100 want a lot

00:33:18.560 of censorship

00:33:19.120 because bad

00:33:20.960 things will

00:33:21.360 happen.

00:33:21.720 And I think

00:33:22.060 bad things

00:33:22.540 happened here.

00:33:23.040 This is

00:33:23.880 one of

00:33:24.140 the worst

00:33:24.880 things that

00:33:26.280 could ever

00:33:26.640 happen,

00:33:27.240 but we're

00:33:27.560 so immersed

00:33:30.860 in controversy

00:33:32.400 and outrage.

00:33:33.580 Again,

00:33:34.140 we have

00:33:34.480 outrage

00:33:35.200 exhaustion.

00:33:37.460 The fact

00:33:38.220 that this

00:33:38.620 existed should

00:33:39.440 have been

00:33:39.680 like the

00:33:40.480 biggest story

00:33:41.120 in the

00:33:41.380 country.

00:33:42.460 Because there's

00:33:43.120 not really

00:33:43.720 much else

00:33:44.260 going on

00:33:44.740 in the

00:33:45.160 country that's

00:33:46.220 bigger than

00:33:46.680 this.

00:33:47.300 But we

00:33:47.700 just take it

00:33:48.180 in stride.

00:33:49.460 It's like,

00:33:49.820 yeah,

00:33:50.900 the government's

00:33:51.800 kind of rigged

00:33:52.540 and, yeah,

00:33:53.220 they're doing

00:33:53.940 this sketchy

00:33:54.640 thing.

00:33:55.680 Eh, what's

00:33:56.180 for lunch?

00:33:57.980 We're just

00:33:58.660 outraged,

00:33:59.540 fatigued.

00:34:02.300 There's a

00:34:03.020 study that

00:34:03.780 says that

00:34:04.340 they did a

00:34:05.140 study where

00:34:05.500 they had

00:34:05.780 somebody pet

00:34:06.680 a dog

00:34:07.400 versus other

00:34:09.820 people petting

00:34:10.680 a stuffed

00:34:11.900 dog.

00:34:12.880 So a real

00:34:13.340 dog versus

00:34:13.940 a stuffed

00:34:14.380 dog.

00:34:14.640 And then

00:34:14.800 they measure

00:34:15.400 the brain

00:34:15.780 activity.

00:34:16.820 Turns out

00:34:17.360 that petting

00:34:18.440 a real

00:34:18.840 dog lights

00:34:20.360 up your

00:34:20.680 brain.

00:34:21.800 In ways

00:34:22.360 that they

00:34:22.880 believe are

00:34:23.640 positive.

00:34:24.800 Good for

00:34:25.280 your health.

00:34:26.000 Good for

00:34:26.260 your sense

00:34:27.140 of being.

00:34:28.360 But petting

00:34:29.100 the fake

00:34:29.680 dog didn't

00:34:31.320 do anything.

00:34:32.540 No change.

00:34:34.160 Here's my

00:34:34.720 question.

00:34:36.560 What is

00:34:37.060 AI going

00:34:37.900 to do

00:34:38.240 to your

00:34:38.500 brain?

00:34:40.200 If you

00:34:40.740 have an

00:34:41.000 experience

00:34:41.500 with artificial

00:34:42.300 intelligence,

00:34:43.440 is it going

00:34:43.840 to be like

00:34:44.320 the stuffed

00:34:45.860 dog?

00:34:46.940 No real

00:34:47.420 impact on

00:34:48.020 your emotions.

00:34:49.000 Or is it

00:34:49.520 going to be

00:34:49.740 like the

00:34:50.060 real dog?

00:34:50.620 answer,

00:34:52.720 real dog.

00:34:54.920 Everybody

00:34:55.440 who thinks

00:34:55.980 that that's

00:34:56.480 going to be

00:34:56.760 like a

00:34:57.180 stuffed dog

00:34:57.860 has not

00:34:58.740 experienced

00:34:59.220 it.

00:35:00.740 I'm a

00:35:01.360 little bit

00:35:01.680 ahead of

00:35:02.040 you because

00:35:03.020 I've been

00:35:03.540 playing with

00:35:04.080 AI a little

00:35:04.660 bit longer.

00:35:05.760 Just a

00:35:06.160 little bit.

00:35:06.640 Just the

00:35:07.220 app I

00:35:07.600 mentioned.

00:35:08.800 You

00:35:09.100 absolutely

00:35:09.740 are going

00:35:10.120 to have

00:35:10.300 an emotional

00:35:10.740 reaction to

00:35:11.400 it.

00:35:13.180 100%.

00:35:13.660 Every one

00:35:14.720 of you

00:35:15.020 will have

00:35:15.580 an emotional

00:35:16.360 reaction to

00:35:17.320 AI.

00:35:17.600 AI.

00:35:19.120 If you

00:35:19.760 think you

00:35:20.220 won't,

00:35:20.720 it's going

00:35:21.080 to be the

00:35:21.440 biggest surprise

00:35:22.540 of your

00:35:22.820 life.

00:35:23.460 Now I'm

00:35:23.700 not saying

00:35:24.080 that you're

00:35:24.420 going to

00:35:25.040 want to

00:35:25.360 have sex

00:35:25.740 with him.

00:35:26.740 Although many

00:35:27.660 people will.

00:35:28.840 Many people

00:35:29.480 will.

00:35:30.160 I'm saying

00:35:30.680 that you

00:35:31.020 will have

00:35:31.300 an emotional

00:35:31.780 reaction.

00:35:37.140 For many

00:35:38.000 years I

00:35:38.820 thought that

00:35:39.400 the best

00:35:40.620 product anybody

00:35:41.540 could build

00:35:42.160 would be a

00:35:43.480 radio station

00:35:44.260 that was

00:35:44.620 nothing but

00:35:45.140 somebody talking

00:35:45.860 to you in

00:35:47.000 a positive

00:35:47.500 term.

00:35:48.940 I always

00:35:49.340 thought I

00:35:49.580 always wanted

00:35:49.980 a serious

00:35:50.580 radio station

00:35:51.340 that was I

00:35:53.240 could choose

00:35:53.780 male or

00:35:54.420 female voice

00:35:55.220 whichever I

00:35:56.020 wanted and

00:35:57.100 it would just

00:35:57.820 talk to me

00:35:58.380 while I

00:35:58.720 drove regardless

00:36:00.220 of what I

00:36:00.800 said so it

00:36:01.640 wouldn't be

00:36:01.960 interactive.

00:36:03.120 So it would

00:36:03.300 be something

00:36:03.620 like oh

00:36:04.600 wow the news

00:36:07.240 today is really

00:36:07.840 funny and

00:36:08.940 they would

00:36:09.080 just start

00:36:09.360 talking.

00:36:10.400 Basically what

00:36:11.120 I'm doing

00:36:11.480 now except

00:36:12.200 in the car.

00:36:14.240 I guess I

00:36:14.700 actually I

00:36:15.840 I just

00:36:16.780 realized I

00:36:17.240 invented that

00:36:17.860 accidentally.

00:36:20.140 I'm just

00:36:20.720 having a

00:36:21.140 moment realizing

00:36:21.860 I invented

00:36:22.420 the thing I

00:36:22.940 wanted to

00:36:23.320 invent for

00:36:23.760 20 years.

00:36:24.460 Oh okay this

00:36:25.220 is it.

00:36:26.680 People I

00:36:27.540 know that

00:36:27.860 people listen

00:36:28.380 to this while

00:36:28.860 they're in

00:36:29.080 the car right

00:36:29.640 yeah somebody's

00:36:31.540 in the car right

00:36:32.020 now they say

00:36:32.500 so this is

00:36:34.180 like if I do

00:36:35.920 it right and

00:36:37.140 it's the way I

00:36:37.740 intend to do

00:36:38.300 it it doesn't

00:36:39.280 sound like a

00:36:39.800 presentation.

00:36:41.140 It almost

00:36:41.780 sounds like

00:36:42.180 your friend

00:36:42.520 talking to you

00:36:43.100 across the

00:36:43.540 kitchen table.

00:36:44.180 That's what I'm

00:36:44.500 trying to do.

00:36:45.020 And I think

00:36:45.940 it does right.

00:36:46.900 Joe Rogan

00:36:47.280 does that too.

00:36:48.400 He's a little

00:36:49.260 more he's a

00:36:51.340 little more

00:36:51.680 interviewee.

00:36:53.780 So the

00:36:54.560 difference is

00:36:55.100 that Joe

00:36:55.480 Rogan is

00:36:55.920 talking to

00:36:56.360 somebody else

00:36:56.960 and you're

00:36:57.280 listening.

00:36:58.640 What I do

00:36:59.400 is I'm

00:36:59.700 talking to

00:37:00.140 you and

00:37:01.620 we're having

00:37:02.020 a conversation

00:37:02.780 I just can't

00:37:03.980 hear your

00:37:04.360 words I can

00:37:04.940 see them on

00:37:05.400 the screen.

00:37:06.420 So this is

00:37:06.940 actually a

00:37:07.360 conversation.

00:37:09.080 Yeah.

00:37:09.460 I think that's

00:37:10.120 why people

00:37:10.500 listen when

00:37:11.360 they're in

00:37:12.920 the car.

00:37:14.500 But AI

00:37:15.180 is going

00:37:15.440 to light

00:37:15.680 up your

00:37:15.920 brain.

00:37:16.240 You can

00:37:16.460 count on

00:37:16.860 it.

00:37:21.400 So what

00:37:22.600 do you

00:37:22.840 think the

00:37:24.200 public,

00:37:24.820 the voting

00:37:25.240 public,

00:37:26.240 has rated as

00:37:27.220 their number

00:37:27.860 one most

00:37:28.580 serious problem?

00:37:30.240 Now this

00:37:30.740 means that

00:37:31.280 they were

00:37:31.560 asked from

00:37:32.960 various options

00:37:34.020 is this

00:37:35.060 serious,

00:37:35.600 is that

00:37:35.840 serious?

00:37:36.220 What do

00:37:37.460 you think

00:37:37.880 was the

00:37:38.520 top thing

00:37:39.360 as of

00:37:41.160 today?

00:37:42.740 Fentanyl.

00:37:44.200 Now I

00:37:45.500 believe this

00:37:46.260 is combining

00:37:47.040 a couple

00:37:47.480 different

00:37:47.860 polls,

00:37:48.580 so I'm

00:37:49.400 going to

00:37:49.560 wait for

00:37:49.900 a follow

00:37:50.280 up poll

00:37:50.680 to know

00:37:51.000 for sure.

00:37:52.140 But when

00:37:53.820 people were

00:37:55.140 asked individually

00:37:55.980 about fentanyl,

00:37:57.480 91% was a

00:37:59.300 serious problem

00:38:00.040 and over

00:38:01.100 two-thirds

00:38:01.800 say very

00:38:02.740 super serious.

00:38:04.500 Now the

00:38:06.880 next highest

00:38:07.560 thing is

00:38:08.160 energy policy

00:38:09.040 at 87.

00:38:10.980 And then

00:38:11.780 gas prices

00:38:13.260 86%,

00:38:14.160 inflation 85%.

00:38:15.460 But really

00:38:16.240 energy,

00:38:17.840 gas,

00:38:18.300 and inflation

00:38:18.840 are kind

00:38:19.960 of all the

00:38:20.340 same thing.

00:38:20.920 They're

00:38:20.980 economic,

00:38:21.640 right?

00:38:22.560 So the

00:38:23.340 fentanyl,

00:38:24.480 I'm calling

00:38:25.040 the tourniquet

00:38:26.120 issue.

00:38:27.700 It's the

00:38:28.160 tourniquet

00:38:28.640 issue.

00:38:29.760 All of the

00:38:30.620 other issues

00:38:31.140 are critical,

00:38:31.880 aren't they?

00:38:32.740 They're really

00:38:33.240 important.

00:38:33.700 The economy

00:38:34.980 might be

00:38:35.760 war with

00:38:36.300 Russia.

00:38:38.240 It's all

00:38:38.840 big stuff.

00:38:40.100 But it's

00:38:40.680 not as big

00:38:41.200 as the

00:38:41.520 fentanyl.

00:38:42.820 Because you

00:38:43.440 need to

00:38:43.760 stop the

00:38:44.220 bleeding

00:38:44.560 before you

00:38:46.320 take

00:38:47.520 Advil for

00:38:49.200 your headache.

00:38:50.440 The headache

00:38:50.980 is going to

00:38:51.460 wait.

00:38:52.640 But you

00:38:53.140 might need

00:38:53.600 to stop

00:38:53.960 the bleeding

00:38:54.400 so that

00:38:54.880 you're alive

00:38:55.360 to stop

00:38:55.780 the headache.

00:38:57.240 And to

00:38:57.480 me,

00:38:57.740 the fentanyl

00:38:58.440 is the

00:38:59.080 it's just

00:39:00.580 a tourniquet

00:39:01.160 issue.

00:39:01.460 And for

00:39:03.220 anybody who

00:39:03.760 treats that

00:39:04.220 as a

00:39:04.640 single issue

00:39:06.520 vote,

00:39:07.580 they have

00:39:08.640 an argument.

00:39:10.220 Because that's

00:39:11.120 what a

00:39:11.420 tourniquet is.

00:39:12.780 A tourniquet is

00:39:13.560 not, well,

00:39:14.640 let's have a

00:39:15.360 vote of how

00:39:16.300 many people

00:39:16.780 want to

00:39:17.080 stop the

00:39:17.520 bleeding and

00:39:18.720 how many

00:39:19.220 people want

00:39:19.820 to stop the

00:39:20.500 headache.

00:39:21.600 No.

00:39:22.360 There's only

00:39:23.120 one path that

00:39:23.860 keeps you

00:39:24.200 alive.

00:39:25.320 You've got to

00:39:25.980 stop the

00:39:26.900 death part

00:39:27.440 first.

00:39:27.860 Now,

00:39:29.060 we're not

00:39:29.460 all dying,

00:39:30.920 but why

00:39:32.440 do you

00:39:32.660 think 91%

00:39:33.780 of the

00:39:34.180 public thinks

00:39:34.760 fentanyl is

00:39:35.540 the biggest

00:39:35.980 problem?

00:39:39.680 Why do you

00:39:40.360 think that?

00:39:42.380 Somebody said

00:39:43.080 me.

00:39:45.020 Now, I've

00:39:45.780 obviously done

00:39:46.660 as much as

00:39:47.240 I could.

00:39:49.020 You think

00:39:49.620 it's the

00:39:49.920 news coverage?

00:39:51.340 I don't.

00:39:53.320 The news

00:39:53.840 coverage is,

00:39:54.960 you know,

00:39:55.220 they're doing

00:39:55.500 a lot of

00:39:55.760 coverage.

00:39:55.940 I don't

00:39:56.140 think it's

00:39:56.400 the news

00:39:56.660 coverage.

00:39:57.860 Here's

00:39:58.460 what I

00:39:58.720 think.

00:39:59.840 I think

00:40:00.300 almost every

00:40:01.160 American knows

00:40:01.880 somebody who's

00:40:02.360 died of

00:40:02.720 fentanyl now.

00:40:03.780 Not directly

00:40:04.660 necessarily,

00:40:06.160 but almost

00:40:07.000 everybody knows

00:40:07.700 somebody that

00:40:08.440 their kid

00:40:09.000 knows.

00:40:10.400 There's

00:40:10.780 somebody in

00:40:11.180 the school.

00:40:13.400 There's your

00:40:14.120 cousin's friend.

00:40:16.280 All right,

00:40:16.640 so in the

00:40:17.160 comments,

00:40:18.460 tell me if

00:40:19.340 you know

00:40:19.780 somebody,

00:40:20.600 not necessarily

00:40:21.240 a family

00:40:21.640 member,

00:40:22.120 but just

00:40:22.400 somebody who's

00:40:23.580 like a friend

00:40:24.060 of a friend

00:40:24.620 who's died

00:40:25.360 of fentanyl.

00:40:26.360 Go.

00:40:26.540 And just

00:40:28.520 watch this.

00:40:30.300 Watch how

00:40:31.520 many people

00:40:31.980 say yes.

00:40:33.740 Now,

00:40:34.000 there are a

00:40:34.600 lot of no's,

00:40:35.880 but the

00:40:36.240 number of

00:40:36.600 yes's I

00:40:37.080 think tells

00:40:37.460 you the

00:40:37.740 story,

00:40:38.240 right?

00:40:40.760 Oh,

00:40:41.200 my God,

00:40:41.620 my son,

00:40:42.220 my daughter.

00:40:44.220 Fuck me.

00:40:46.320 God,

00:40:46.760 I hate that.

00:40:48.220 All right,

00:40:48.600 I wasn't

00:40:48.940 expecting to

00:40:49.480 have that

00:40:49.860 kind of

00:40:50.140 reaction to

00:40:50.680 it,

00:40:50.840 but a

00:40:51.220 number of

00:40:51.560 you actually

00:40:51.960 have lost

00:40:52.400 direct family

00:40:53.520 members,

00:40:54.100 and I'm

00:40:54.300 sorry about

00:40:54.700 that.

00:40:57.380 Yeah.

00:40:58.400 Wow.

00:41:00.540 All right,

00:41:01.160 that was a

00:41:01.500 little heavier

00:41:01.880 than I thought

00:41:02.360 it would be,

00:41:03.280 but I think

00:41:04.740 that's what's

00:41:05.820 happened.

00:41:06.460 I don't think

00:41:06.960 it's my

00:41:07.440 persuasion.

00:41:08.080 I don't think

00:41:08.460 it's the news.

00:41:09.600 I think that

00:41:10.300 this is now

00:41:10.900 retail.

00:41:12.400 I think that

00:41:13.080 we have,

00:41:13.980 enough of us

00:41:14.800 have experienced

00:41:15.480 something direct

00:41:16.440 that we're not

00:41:17.900 kidding anymore.

00:41:19.420 Like,

00:41:19.700 this is no

00:41:20.240 joke anymore.

00:41:20.820 not that it

00:41:22.400 was ever

00:41:22.700 a joke.

00:41:24.240 Along

00:41:24.680 similar

00:41:25.460 lines,

00:41:27.880 and I

00:41:29.180 think this

00:41:29.540 was a

00:41:30.200 CNN poll

00:41:31.000 working with

00:41:31.700 Kaiser Family

00:41:32.480 Foundation,

00:41:33.420 ironically,

00:41:34.300 and they

00:41:35.060 found out

00:41:35.480 that an

00:41:35.800 overwhelming

00:41:36.280 majority of

00:41:36.920 people in

00:41:37.220 the United

00:41:37.500 States think

00:41:38.220 the country

00:41:38.700 is experiencing

00:41:39.640 a mental

00:41:40.780 health crisis.

00:41:42.620 What do

00:41:43.300 you think?

00:41:44.160 Do you

00:41:44.640 think that

00:41:44.960 the country

00:41:45.500 is experiencing

00:41:46.400 a mental

00:41:47.040 health crisis

00:41:47.840 in a way

00:41:49.320 it has not

00:41:49.860 in the

00:41:50.180 past?

00:41:50.820 Yeah,

00:41:53.600 pretty much

00:41:54.480 everybody,

00:41:55.040 huh?

00:41:55.940 You know,

00:41:56.500 I have to

00:41:56.880 admit,

00:41:57.280 I was

00:41:57.660 resisting

00:41:58.380 this being

00:42:00.380 true.

00:42:01.640 I am now

00:42:02.300 solidly on

00:42:03.580 the side

00:42:04.140 that says

00:42:04.740 there's

00:42:05.940 something

00:42:06.300 really,

00:42:06.920 really

00:42:07.660 wrong.

00:42:10.120 And

00:42:10.720 I think

00:42:12.280 it might

00:42:12.580 be a

00:42:12.980 variety of

00:42:13.620 things.

00:42:14.520 The pandemic

00:42:15.120 made a

00:42:15.600 difference.

00:42:17.660 Maybe we've

00:42:18.540 seen people

00:42:19.040 acting poorly

00:42:20.040 too often.

00:42:21.460 Maybe social

00:42:22.080 media reveals

00:42:23.680 the ugly

00:42:24.560 side.

00:42:25.440 Maybe people

00:42:25.960 like porn

00:42:26.480 more than

00:42:26.880 they like

00:42:27.300 the people

00:42:28.020 that they're

00:42:28.400 with.

00:42:30.660 Maybe people

00:42:31.580 are dying

00:42:31.980 of loneliness.

00:42:33.660 Maybe we're

00:42:34.120 too judgmental.

00:42:37.520 Yeah.

00:42:39.020 Yep.

00:42:40.560 So,

00:42:41.660 I don't know,

00:42:44.280 it's hard to

00:42:44.700 say what's the

00:42:45.200 biggest problem,

00:42:45.780 but somehow

00:42:47.200 the opioid

00:42:47.820 crisis

00:42:48.360 overlaps.

00:42:50.840 You know,

00:42:51.040 the Venn diagram

00:42:51.800 of mental

00:42:52.380 health and

00:42:52.900 opioid abuse,

00:42:54.240 they seem to

00:42:54.940 be overlapping.

00:42:56.640 And,

00:42:57.200 you know,

00:42:58.480 I was a little

00:42:59.400 bit too

00:42:59.760 negative yesterday

00:43:00.640 when I said

00:43:01.300 I'm not sure

00:43:01.900 that any

00:43:02.440 marriage is

00:43:03.120 happy.

00:43:04.400 When I said

00:43:05.440 I don't think

00:43:05.880 any marriage is

00:43:06.560 happy,

00:43:06.920 I think that

00:43:07.260 was unfair.

00:43:07.800 I think it's

00:43:09.680 people,

00:43:11.120 married or

00:43:11.660 not.

00:43:12.580 Because I

00:43:13.120 don't think

00:43:13.420 any single

00:43:13.840 people are

00:43:14.240 happy,

00:43:15.540 actually.

00:43:17.280 And I'm

00:43:18.600 serious about

00:43:19.200 this.

00:43:20.320 I suspect

00:43:20.860 people are

00:43:21.360 lying.

00:43:22.900 I think we

00:43:23.560 just got in

00:43:24.000 the habit of

00:43:24.440 saying we're

00:43:24.760 happy,

00:43:25.780 talk ourselves

00:43:26.300 into it,

00:43:26.860 you know.

00:43:27.600 And I'm

00:43:28.760 going to make

00:43:29.080 a distinction

00:43:34.420 between

00:43:38.500 preferring to

00:43:40.820 be in your

00:43:41.240 situation

00:43:41.760 versus being

00:43:42.480 happy.

00:43:43.380 There are

00:43:43.880 plenty of

00:43:44.300 people who

00:43:44.740 wouldn't

00:43:45.020 change their

00:43:45.560 situation,

00:43:46.600 but maybe

00:43:47.900 aren't happy

00:43:48.400 about it.

00:43:50.080 Some of you

00:43:50.760 say you're

00:43:51.080 very happy.

00:43:52.940 Yeah,

00:43:53.220 there's a big

00:43:53.880 genetic difference.

00:43:55.240 Some people

00:43:55.640 will just be

00:43:56.080 happy no

00:43:56.520 matter what.

00:43:58.820 All right,

00:43:59.180 let me ask

00:43:59.620 you this

00:43:59.880 question.

00:44:01.580 I'll ask

00:44:02.320 both locals

00:44:03.340 and YouTube

00:44:04.300 and you

00:44:04.700 can answer

00:44:05.060 a second

00:44:05.420 time just

00:44:05.920 to see it.

00:44:06.980 Would you

00:44:07.600 consider yourself

00:44:08.780 happy with

00:44:10.780 your life?

00:44:11.660 Not just

00:44:12.200 today, but

00:44:12.720 just sort

00:44:13.060 of with

00:44:13.880 things.

00:44:15.100 Happy?

00:44:18.320 Looks

00:44:18.800 like more

00:44:20.360 yeses than

00:44:21.040 nos, but

00:44:22.540 a lot too

00:44:23.240 many noes.

00:44:24.820 A lot of

00:44:25.140 yeses over

00:44:25.680 here.

00:44:26.080 Interesting.

00:44:27.060 Over on

00:44:27.660 YouTube,

00:44:30.900 yeah,

00:44:32.100 pretty mixed.

00:44:34.300 pretty mixed.

00:44:36.660 Now, I

00:44:37.040 wouldn't say

00:44:38.020 that this

00:44:38.400 necessarily

00:44:39.000 looks like

00:44:39.980 a mental

00:44:40.320 health

00:44:40.620 crisis.

00:44:43.600 There are

00:44:44.940 enough people

00:44:45.460 saying yes

00:44:46.280 that makes

00:44:47.660 me suggest

00:44:48.460 maybe some

00:44:51.320 of the

00:44:51.500 country's

00:44:51.860 got some

00:44:52.220 specific

00:44:52.700 problems.

00:44:53.220 I saved

00:44:56.200 you.

00:44:57.840 Some people

00:44:58.600 and locals

00:44:59.100 are saying

00:45:00.260 that I

00:45:00.600 saved them.

00:45:01.120 I hear

00:45:02.260 that a

00:45:02.520 lot

00:45:02.660 actually,

00:45:03.480 which is

00:45:04.920 very

00:45:05.160 meaningful

00:45:05.540 to me.

00:45:08.780 Interesting.

00:45:09.880 Now, here's

00:45:10.520 a statistic

00:45:11.400 that I want

00:45:13.000 you to see

00:45:13.280 if you can

00:45:13.680 explain.

00:45:15.280 If you

00:45:15.940 ask people

00:45:16.760 if they

00:45:18.840 are happy

00:45:21.960 about work

00:45:22.900 today,

00:45:24.200 what are

00:45:26.060 they likely

00:45:26.480 to say?

00:45:26.880 How was

00:45:27.220 work today?

00:45:27.980 People say,

00:45:29.780 oh, bad,

00:45:31.200 you know,

00:45:31.940 boring, or

00:45:32.980 I worked

00:45:33.280 too hard,

00:45:33.920 or I got

00:45:34.160 yelled at,

00:45:34.800 or my

00:45:35.060 co-worker

00:45:35.420 is bad.

00:45:36.240 So if you

00:45:36.840 ask them

00:45:37.160 how work

00:45:37.620 was today,

00:45:39.340 it often

00:45:39.840 will be a

00:45:40.260 negative answer.

00:45:41.220 But if you

00:45:41.700 ask them if

00:45:42.220 they like

00:45:42.620 their job,

00:45:44.340 they almost

00:45:44.980 all say

00:45:45.420 yes.

00:45:47.560 So there's

00:45:48.280 a difference

00:45:48.740 between how

00:45:49.260 you liked

00:45:49.660 your day

00:45:50.240 at your

00:45:50.840 job and

00:45:51.880 how you

00:45:52.180 liked your

00:45:52.600 job.

00:45:53.540 Do you

00:45:53.800 know why

00:45:54.040 that is?

00:45:54.900 It's

00:45:55.300 cognitive

00:45:55.800 dissonance.

00:45:57.640 Cognitive

00:45:58.080 dissonance

00:45:58.680 tells you

00:46:00.160 that you

00:46:00.520 made the

00:46:00.900 right choice

00:46:01.420 even when

00:46:01.860 you didn't.

00:46:02.940 So you

00:46:03.360 could be

00:46:03.640 in the

00:46:03.880 most unpleasant

00:46:04.620 job in

00:46:05.240 the world,

00:46:06.160 but if

00:46:06.700 you're not

00:46:07.000 doing something

00:46:07.540 actively to

00:46:08.300 change your

00:46:08.800 job,

00:46:09.480 you'll

00:46:09.820 actually

00:46:10.100 convince

00:46:10.500 yourself

00:46:10.860 you like

00:46:11.220 your job,

00:46:12.280 even if

00:46:12.740 you go to

00:46:13.040 work and

00:46:13.340 it's unhappy

00:46:13.820 every day.

00:46:15.260 That's

00:46:15.660 actually a

00:46:16.080 thing.

00:46:16.860 That's

00:46:17.160 like a

00:46:17.420 real thing.

00:46:17.760 I'm not

00:46:18.000 making that

00:46:18.420 up.

00:46:21.380 Anyway,

00:46:22.080 so sometimes

00:46:22.640 we don't

00:46:23.020 even know

00:46:23.320 if we're

00:46:23.540 happy.

00:46:24.380 That's the

00:46:24.880 weird thing.

00:46:25.800 What would

00:46:26.740 you do

00:46:27.100 about it

00:46:27.500 if we

00:46:27.740 have a

00:46:28.000 mental

00:46:28.200 health

00:46:28.480 crisis?

00:46:31.800 I'll

00:46:32.320 tell you

00:46:32.560 some

00:46:32.720 things I'm

00:46:33.240 thinking

00:46:33.560 about.

00:46:35.940 When I'm

00:46:36.660 analyzing my

00:46:37.400 own situation,

00:46:39.180 I don't

00:46:40.280 have a

00:46:40.740 natural way

00:46:41.660 to interact

00:46:42.440 with a

00:46:43.760 variety of

00:46:44.600 awesome

00:46:45.100 people.

00:46:47.660 And that's

00:46:48.380 what I miss

00:46:48.780 the most.

00:46:50.720 So I

00:46:51.560 was thinking

00:46:51.860 there are

00:46:52.240 various ways

00:46:52.860 to solve

00:46:53.640 that.

00:46:55.800 well,

00:46:58.340 you're

00:46:58.480 all

00:46:58.620 awesome,

00:46:59.100 yes.

00:46:59.840 I mean

00:47:00.180 in person.

00:47:00.900 In person,

00:47:01.520 I don't

00:47:02.160 have a...

00:47:03.560 So if

00:47:03.940 you're in

00:47:04.220 college,

00:47:04.700 for example,

00:47:06.700 college you're

00:47:07.380 just marinating

00:47:08.380 and people

00:47:08.840 your age

00:47:09.360 were almost

00:47:10.360 all single.

00:47:11.880 So you're

00:47:12.840 sort of

00:47:13.120 automatically

00:47:13.720 in a place

00:47:14.980 that's good

00:47:15.420 for your

00:47:15.760 mental health.

00:47:17.180 But after

00:47:18.180 college,

00:47:19.060 if you're

00:47:19.380 an adult,

00:47:20.200 you end up

00:47:20.700 hanging around

00:47:21.420 with the

00:47:21.880 parents of

00:47:22.880 your kids,

00:47:24.480 the other

00:47:25.420 parents of

00:47:25.980 the kids

00:47:26.300 who are

00:47:26.520 friends with

00:47:26.920 your kids,

00:47:27.840 stuff like

00:47:28.340 that.

00:47:28.840 Or maybe

00:47:29.360 you belong

00:47:29.740 to some

00:47:30.120 club or

00:47:30.560 something.

00:47:31.180 But there

00:47:31.480 are far

00:47:32.060 fewer ways

00:47:32.760 to just

00:47:33.200 organically

00:47:34.300 be around

00:47:34.860 people.

00:47:36.280 And I

00:47:36.560 feel like

00:47:37.040 somehow

00:47:38.360 that's

00:47:38.660 necessary.

00:47:40.280 And maybe

00:47:40.660 that's what's

00:47:41.100 missing.

00:47:44.180 Yeah.

00:47:45.060 So anyway,

00:47:45.480 I'm going to

00:47:45.760 think about

00:47:46.140 solving that.

00:47:46.880 Elon Musk,

00:47:50.380 we know

00:47:50.620 his plan

00:47:51.160 now for

00:47:51.860 Twitter,

00:47:52.640 which is

00:47:53.220 not to

00:47:53.640 just buy

00:47:54.100 it and

00:47:54.400 own

00:47:54.580 Twitter,

00:47:55.500 and it

00:47:55.800 also explains

00:47:56.420 why he's

00:47:56.780 willing to

00:47:57.140 pay the

00:47:57.400 higher price

00:47:57.940 without

00:47:58.240 fighting,

00:47:59.480 is he

00:48:00.040 wants to

00:48:00.320 make it

00:48:00.520 more like

00:48:00.840 WeChat,

00:48:02.020 this huge

00:48:02.600 app from

00:48:03.300 China,

00:48:04.020 that does

00:48:04.780 more than

00:48:05.500 just social

00:48:06.920 media,

00:48:07.440 lets you

00:48:07.760 pay bills,

00:48:08.900 and it's

00:48:09.100 like a

00:48:09.340 payment

00:48:09.620 processing

00:48:10.180 thing.

00:48:11.300 So in

00:48:11.880 theory,

00:48:12.260 you could

00:48:12.460 just sort

00:48:12.760 of live

00:48:13.080 on Twitter

00:48:13.560 and do

00:48:13.940 a lot

00:48:14.160 of

00:48:14.280 transactions

00:48:14.860 and do

00:48:16.440 your

00:48:16.620 normal

00:48:16.960 business

00:48:17.360 on

00:48:17.600 Twitter.

00:48:19.280 I like

00:48:19.920 that.

00:48:21.220 He calls

00:48:21.840 it the

00:48:22.320 X app,

00:48:23.680 you know,

00:48:23.840 the X,

00:48:24.500 and it'll

00:48:24.940 have

00:48:25.160 everything.

00:48:26.380 I like

00:48:26.820 that a lot,

00:48:27.300 actually.

00:48:28.180 I've always

00:48:28.820 wondered why

00:48:29.400 I can't

00:48:29.980 post to

00:48:31.100 Twitter and

00:48:32.320 have Twitter

00:48:32.860 post to

00:48:33.640 Facebook and

00:48:34.580 Instagram and

00:48:36.040 TikTok.

00:48:37.920 Is there

00:48:38.220 any reason,

00:48:39.080 is that

00:48:39.400 technically

00:48:40.120 impossible?

00:48:41.720 Or the

00:48:42.360 platforms just

00:48:43.260 don't like to

00:48:43.820 support each

00:48:44.360 other?

00:48:44.580 Because it

00:48:46.640 seems like

00:48:47.040 that's what

00:48:47.360 I'd like.

00:48:48.060 If you

00:48:48.400 gave me

00:48:48.700 one app

00:48:49.300 that allowed

00:48:50.000 me to

00:48:50.640 post on

00:48:51.500 the other

00:48:51.800 apps,

00:48:53.000 it's the

00:48:53.360 only one

00:48:53.680 I would

00:48:53.900 use.

00:48:54.820 It's the

00:48:55.300 only one

00:48:55.620 I would

00:48:55.840 use.

00:48:57.180 Yeah,

00:48:57.440 Hoosuite is

00:48:58.000 too complicated.

00:48:59.540 I've tried it.

00:49:00.240 Unless they

00:49:00.700 fixed it.

00:49:01.560 It used to

00:49:01.960 be it was

00:49:02.500 just so hard

00:49:03.280 to use,

00:49:03.700 you just

00:49:03.980 couldn't

00:49:04.180 make it

00:49:05.000 work.

00:49:07.180 They may

00:49:07.720 have fixed

00:49:08.020 that by

00:49:08.340 now.

00:49:08.520 All right.

00:49:11.760 So we

00:49:12.440 don't know

00:49:12.820 what Twitter

00:49:15.720 will become,

00:49:16.540 but it

00:49:16.800 could be

00:49:17.140 fun.

00:49:18.800 Could be

00:49:19.400 fun.

00:49:21.580 You've

00:49:22.020 heard about

00:49:22.300 this trend

00:49:22.840 of quiet

00:49:23.420 quitting,

00:49:24.860 where people

00:49:26.020 will go to

00:49:26.440 work, but

00:49:26.840 they're not

00:49:27.140 going to

00:49:27.300 work extra.

00:49:28.380 They're just

00:49:28.980 sort of

00:49:29.580 getting their

00:49:30.300 paycheck.

00:49:31.300 So it's

00:49:31.920 what all

00:49:32.220 the business

00:49:32.820 media is

00:49:33.320 talking about,

00:49:34.260 and now

00:49:35.100 apparently there's

00:49:36.360 this whole

00:49:36.760 consultant

00:49:37.500 class that

00:49:39.160 has sprung

00:49:40.020 up to

00:49:41.480 teach employers

00:49:43.020 how to

00:49:43.580 make their

00:49:44.580 employees happy

00:49:45.700 enough that

00:49:46.180 they don't

00:49:46.580 quiet quit,

00:49:47.860 and they'll

00:49:48.280 actually be

00:49:49.180 engaged.

00:49:50.380 And apparently

00:49:50.860 it's this whole

00:49:51.420 new scam

00:49:52.320 thing.

00:49:53.960 So there's

00:49:54.700 this one guy

00:49:55.420 who's consulting,

00:49:56.860 and he's

00:49:57.420 teaching these

00:49:58.020 six Ps.

00:49:59.200 I don't want

00:49:59.580 to say his

00:50:00.000 is a scam.

00:50:01.180 Let me not

00:50:01.880 get sued.

00:50:03.060 I don't know

00:50:03.560 if it's a scam.

00:50:04.840 I'm just saying

00:50:05.480 that if I were

00:50:06.160 working there,

00:50:06.820 I would

00:50:07.880 be mocking

00:50:08.740 it.

00:50:09.760 So he's

00:50:10.380 going to

00:50:10.620 fix your

00:50:11.040 desire to

00:50:11.680 quiet quit

00:50:12.340 with the

00:50:12.980 six Ps.

00:50:14.800 The six Ps

00:50:15.700 of progress.

00:50:16.840 Pleasure,

00:50:17.280 peace of

00:50:17.600 mind,

00:50:18.040 profit,

00:50:18.560 prestige,

00:50:19.220 pain,

00:50:19.440 avoidance,

00:50:19.880 and power.

00:50:21.540 So you

00:50:22.340 get your

00:50:22.660 six Ps

00:50:23.100 in place,

00:50:23.760 and you

00:50:24.000 won't have

00:50:24.380 any quiet

00:50:24.780 quitting.

00:50:26.020 Now,

00:50:26.880 here's what

00:50:28.160 I offer

00:50:28.720 to you.

00:50:30.980 You realize

00:50:32.020 this is

00:50:32.840 exactly the

00:50:33.660 sort of

00:50:33.960 thing I

00:50:34.380 made go

00:50:34.880 away for

00:50:35.320 about 20

00:50:35.820 years.

00:50:37.260 Dilbert made

00:50:37.840 this stuff

00:50:38.280 completely go

00:50:39.660 away.

00:50:40.820 But as

00:50:41.440 Dilbert's

00:50:41.940 influence

00:50:42.500 wanes,

00:50:43.620 as newspapers

00:50:44.420 become less

00:50:45.880 important,

00:50:47.360 I have less

00:50:49.620 influence to

00:50:50.260 make stuff

00:50:50.700 like this

00:50:51.160 go away.

00:50:52.100 I should be

00:50:52.860 making this

00:50:53.360 go away.

00:50:54.160 That's sort

00:50:54.560 of my job.

00:50:55.880 I'm the one

00:50:56.580 who's supposed

00:50:56.920 to say,

00:50:57.780 oh,

00:50:58.000 this sounds

00:50:58.340 like bullshit

00:50:58.840 to me.

00:50:59.400 so why

00:51:00.800 don't you

00:51:01.000 take this

00:51:01.380 Dilbert comic

00:51:02.000 and stick

00:51:02.520 it under

00:51:02.800 your boss's

00:51:03.400 door,

00:51:03.920 and he'll

00:51:04.620 know it's,

00:51:05.140 or she

00:51:05.500 will know

00:51:05.840 it's bullshit

00:51:06.360 too.

00:51:09.760 Sherry,

00:51:10.660 I always

00:51:12.740 like to

00:51:13.160 bring in

00:51:13.600 the weak

00:51:13.980 people.

00:51:14.960 So Sherry

00:51:15.420 Smith says

00:51:16.640 in all caps,

00:51:17.780 geez,

00:51:18.460 Scott can't

00:51:19.680 stop bragging.

00:51:21.180 Well,

00:51:21.480 Sherry,

00:51:22.780 I'm sorry

00:51:23.780 that you're

00:51:24.300 so weak

00:51:24.900 and pathetic

00:51:26.080 that hearing

00:51:27.720 anybody say

00:51:28.740 anything good

00:51:29.420 about anything

00:51:30.060 they've done

00:51:30.600 feels painful

00:51:31.660 to you.

00:51:33.200 I'm sorry

00:51:33.660 about that.

00:51:35.080 But one

00:51:37.220 of my most

00:51:38.000 important

00:51:38.780 principles,

00:51:39.640 and I'd like

00:51:40.000 to reinforce

00:51:41.240 it here,

00:51:42.260 is that if

00:51:42.920 any of you

00:51:43.380 do anything

00:51:43.880 awesome,

00:51:44.740 I would love

00:51:45.600 to boost

00:51:46.040 you.

00:51:47.380 I'd love

00:51:47.920 to, you

00:51:48.720 know,

00:51:49.200 in fact,

00:51:49.700 I might do

00:51:50.040 that.

00:51:50.380 I might give

00:51:51.160 you a chance

00:51:51.740 later to say

00:51:53.100 what you've

00:51:53.520 done well.

00:51:54.900 I don't

00:51:55.700 want any

00:51:56.220 of you

00:51:56.660 to be

00:51:57.220 penalized

00:51:57.800 for doing

00:51:58.240 good things.

00:51:59.820 If you

00:52:00.200 accomplish

00:52:00.600 something,

00:52:01.200 I want to

00:52:01.680 give you

00:52:02.440 some applause.

00:52:04.220 But Sherry

00:52:04.680 thinks that

00:52:05.260 if people

00:52:05.760 do something

00:52:06.680 good and

00:52:07.300 then tell

00:52:07.740 you about

00:52:08.120 it,

00:52:08.840 that they

00:52:09.220 should be

00:52:09.720 mocked

00:52:10.760 in public.

00:52:12.760 Do you

00:52:13.060 think she's

00:52:13.640 a Democrat?

00:52:16.820 Because

00:52:17.380 she's against

00:52:18.540 something without

00:52:19.400 being for

00:52:19.940 something.

00:52:21.640 How is

00:52:22.380 the process

00:52:22.960 of nobody

00:52:23.600 tells you

00:52:24.620 that they're

00:52:24.940 good at

00:52:25.300 anything?

00:52:26.200 How does

00:52:26.460 that work?

00:52:27.500 What are

00:52:27.960 you replacing

00:52:28.660 it with?

00:52:30.880 I'm offering

00:52:31.640 an affirmative

00:52:32.360 system.

00:52:33.620 My system

00:52:34.120 goes like

00:52:34.620 this.

00:52:35.380 If you

00:52:35.760 did something

00:52:36.280 good,

00:52:37.180 let people

00:52:37.620 know.

00:52:38.940 Because you

00:52:39.520 know that's

00:52:39.840 good for

00:52:40.140 everybody.

00:52:41.040 Because they'll

00:52:41.660 know you

00:52:42.920 could do

00:52:43.340 something.

00:52:43.980 They'll know

00:52:44.280 that a good

00:52:44.760 thing has

00:52:45.100 happened.

00:52:45.960 They might

00:52:46.340 feel inspired

00:52:47.000 to do

00:52:47.380 something good

00:52:47.900 themselves.

00:52:48.900 They might

00:52:49.240 see the role

00:52:50.160 model of

00:52:50.760 working hard

00:52:51.500 gives you

00:52:51.900 something.

00:52:52.200 How about

00:52:54.680 being a

00:52:55.140 little more

00:52:55.620 like me,

00:52:56.340 Sherry,

00:52:56.720 instead of

00:52:57.180 trying to

00:52:57.600 stop me

00:52:58.560 from being

00:52:59.120 useful?

00:53:00.680 There are a

00:53:01.420 whole bunch

00:53:01.800 of people

00:53:02.160 in the country

00:53:03.080 who actually

00:53:03.640 wake up

00:53:04.300 and will

00:53:05.160 work on

00:53:05.940 making people

00:53:06.700 less happy

00:53:07.500 and less

00:53:07.920 successful.

00:53:08.900 And that's

00:53:09.260 what you're

00:53:09.580 doing right

00:53:09.960 now.

00:53:11.120 That's what

00:53:11.520 you're doing

00:53:11.860 right now.

00:53:12.700 You're trying

00:53:13.120 to make us

00:53:13.600 all less

00:53:14.000 happy and

00:53:14.440 less successful.

00:53:18.520 Looks like

00:53:19.180 it's just

00:53:19.560 troll.

00:53:20.560 hide that

00:53:21.860 user.

00:53:24.440 All right.

00:53:25.220 Well, that

00:53:26.400 sounds like a

00:53:26.860 mental health

00:53:27.320 problem on

00:53:27.840 your side.

00:53:30.620 Kentucky

00:53:31.100 put in

00:53:32.520 some Narcan

00:53:33.220 vending

00:53:33.780 machines.

00:53:34.240 Well, one

00:53:34.780 Narcan

00:53:35.120 vending

00:53:35.440 machine in

00:53:35.860 front of a

00:53:36.320 police

00:53:36.560 department in

00:53:37.200 one town.

00:53:38.620 And Vine

00:53:39.880 Grove,

00:53:40.360 Kentucky.

00:53:41.420 And 100%

00:53:42.440 of all the

00:53:43.020 Narcan was

00:53:44.140 removed from

00:53:45.960 it in one

00:53:46.700 day.

00:53:48.600 So they

00:53:49.100 have more,

00:53:49.700 so they're

00:53:50.120 going to

00:53:50.260 fill it

00:53:50.560 up.

00:53:51.180 Now, I

00:53:51.380 think it

00:53:51.600 was free.

00:53:53.320 It might

00:53:53.740 have been

00:53:53.960 one per

00:53:54.400 customer or

00:53:55.000 something,

00:53:55.320 but I

00:53:55.480 think it

00:53:55.660 was free.

00:53:56.780 And that's

00:53:58.260 how much

00:53:58.620 the demand

00:53:59.220 was.

00:54:00.700 Now, here's

00:54:01.560 the best

00:54:01.940 part of the

00:54:02.340 story, or

00:54:03.540 the worst,

00:54:04.340 depending on

00:54:04.760 your point

00:54:05.080 of view.

00:54:06.100 The reason

00:54:06.860 that the

00:54:07.480 chief of

00:54:08.320 police wanted

00:54:09.240 to put it

00:54:09.700 in this

00:54:09.960 dispenser is

00:54:11.420 because he

00:54:11.980 had personally

00:54:12.700 seen somebody's

00:54:13.700 life being

00:54:14.340 saved by

00:54:15.700 their friend,

00:54:16.840 not by the

00:54:17.360 police department,

00:54:17.940 but by their

00:54:18.720 friend, using

00:54:19.780 Narcan.

00:54:21.180 So he

00:54:21.580 personally

00:54:22.000 witnessed a

00:54:22.780 saved life.

00:54:24.100 And then he

00:54:24.440 put in, he

00:54:25.140 said, shit,

00:54:25.800 this stuff

00:54:26.140 works.

00:54:26.800 Put in a

00:54:27.580 vending machine

00:54:29.240 and it was

00:54:29.940 just cleaned

00:54:30.880 out.

00:54:32.200 The country

00:54:33.200 wants this.

00:54:35.640 Like, really,

00:54:36.720 really wants

00:54:37.540 this.

00:54:38.780 The country

00:54:39.600 is trying to

00:54:40.440 take over for

00:54:41.500 the lack of

00:54:42.320 leadership on

00:54:44.440 this issue.

00:54:44.900 the public

00:54:46.380 has finally

00:54:46.980 realized clearly

00:54:47.920 that they

00:54:48.720 have to do

00:54:49.120 it themselves

00:54:49.620 because I

00:54:51.240 don't see any

00:54:51.780 plan from

00:54:52.500 anybody in

00:54:53.120 power,

00:54:53.780 Republican or

00:54:54.500 Democrat,

00:54:55.220 that looks

00:54:55.800 even a little

00:54:56.460 bit like it

00:54:57.060 might work,

00:54:57.760 honestly.

00:54:58.760 Doesn't look a

00:54:59.660 little bit like

00:55:00.220 it might work.

00:55:03.820 And, yeah,

00:55:05.060 and yes,

00:55:06.420 you should.

00:55:07.380 I think

00:55:07.840 Chambersburg

00:55:08.920 should have

00:55:09.420 their own

00:55:10.020 Narcan

00:55:10.620 dispenser.

00:55:11.940 So, yeah,

00:55:14.020 maybe you

00:55:14.600 should suggest

00:55:15.760 it for your

00:55:16.300 town.

00:55:17.500 Suggest it

00:55:18.020 for your

00:55:18.300 town.

00:55:19.740 And I

00:55:20.260 think what

00:55:21.060 we learned

00:55:21.580 was not

00:55:24.160 that people

00:55:24.820 are going

00:55:25.080 to drive to

00:55:25.780 the police

00:55:26.540 department to

00:55:27.100 get their

00:55:27.400 Narcan in

00:55:28.000 an emergency,

00:55:28.720 but that

00:55:28.980 people want

00:55:29.420 to have it

00:55:29.760 on hand.

00:55:30.860 It's having

00:55:31.300 it on hand

00:55:31.860 that people

00:55:32.220 realize is the

00:55:32.920 important part.

00:55:33.500 That's why

00:55:33.760 they cleaned

00:55:34.160 it out.

00:55:38.220 All right.

00:55:38.840 What else

00:55:40.920 can the

00:55:41.720 public do

00:55:42.280 about

00:55:42.760 fentanyl?

00:55:44.480 Let me tell

00:55:45.380 you something

00:55:45.740 I learned

00:55:46.280 from somebody

00:55:47.380 who lives

00:55:48.020 in that

00:55:48.340 world,

00:55:49.560 who lives

00:55:50.400 in the

00:55:51.080 fentanyl

00:55:51.500 world.

00:55:52.640 If you

00:55:53.260 don't know

00:55:53.660 anybody who

00:55:54.200 lives sort

00:55:54.800 of in that

00:55:55.240 world,

00:55:55.620 who actually

00:55:56.140 knows they

00:55:57.660 take fentanyl

00:55:58.440 and does it

00:56:00.060 on a regular

00:56:00.560 basis,

00:56:01.500 but is also

00:56:02.620 well ensconced

00:56:04.740 with other

00:56:05.200 people who

00:56:05.680 live in that

00:56:06.120 world,

00:56:07.000 here is what

00:56:07.800 this person

00:56:08.540 tells me,

00:56:09.860 that the

00:56:11.100 biggest need

00:56:11.940 is dependable

00:56:14.040 drugs,

00:56:14.900 because they

00:56:15.980 don't know

00:56:16.300 what they're

00:56:16.560 getting.

00:56:17.480 The overdoses

00:56:18.440 are mostly

00:56:19.100 not knowing

00:56:19.660 what you

00:56:20.000 got.

00:56:21.920 And so

00:56:22.540 this one

00:56:22.980 person says

00:56:23.700 if we had

00:56:25.160 clean,

00:56:25.980 regular drugs,

00:56:27.240 you know,

00:56:27.480 opioids that

00:56:28.160 were not

00:56:28.580 fentanyl,

00:56:29.540 but actually

00:56:30.260 it could even

00:56:30.760 be fentanyl

00:56:31.360 if it were

00:56:32.340 a regulated

00:56:33.380 dose,

00:56:34.400 this person

00:56:35.040 says that

00:56:36.880 there are a

00:56:37.240 whole bunch

00:56:37.620 of people

00:56:38.000 who are

00:56:38.360 functional

00:56:39.000 addicts,

00:56:40.820 who the

00:56:41.240 only thing

00:56:41.800 that's dangerous

00:56:42.400 to them,

00:56:42.860 the only thing

00:56:43.440 that's dangerous

00:56:43.980 is unregulated

00:56:45.740 drug.

00:56:47.240 And at the

00:56:47.960 moment that

00:56:48.460 you said

00:56:48.960 this one

00:56:50.320 pill is

00:56:50.720 exactly what

00:56:51.380 you need,

00:56:51.800 but two

00:56:52.140 will kill

00:56:52.500 you,

00:56:53.540 they wouldn't

00:56:54.220 die anymore.

00:56:55.680 Because the

00:56:56.360 thing that

00:56:56.760 people don't

00:56:57.740 realize is how

00:56:58.680 functional a

00:56:59.740 lot of the

00:57:00.120 addicts are.

00:57:01.760 You don't

00:57:02.400 realize how

00:57:02.940 functional they

00:57:03.580 are.

00:57:03.980 But they

00:57:04.540 can't be

00:57:05.020 functional if

00:57:05.600 they don't

00:57:05.940 know what the

00:57:06.480 dose is.

00:57:07.160 right?

00:57:10.320 So,

00:57:12.120 here's what

00:57:13.180 I am not

00:57:13.940 aware of.

00:57:15.320 I know

00:57:15.900 San Francisco

00:57:16.740 totally screwed

00:57:19.460 the pooch trying

00:57:20.280 some kind of

00:57:20.860 outdoor

00:57:21.340 needle

00:57:21.980 bazaar or

00:57:24.140 something like

00:57:24.600 that.

00:57:25.660 And that,

00:57:26.380 correct me if

00:57:27.100 I'm wrong,

00:57:27.620 but Michael

00:57:28.480 Schellenberger

00:57:29.080 writes about

00:57:29.620 the,

00:57:29.900 I think it

00:57:30.420 was a

00:57:30.640 complete

00:57:30.940 failure,

00:57:31.480 right?

00:57:31.640 I believe

00:57:34.100 it was a

00:57:34.400 complete

00:57:34.660 failure.

00:57:35.380 Because one

00:57:35.920 of the

00:57:36.100 things it

00:57:36.400 did is it

00:57:37.020 kept people

00:57:37.640 living on

00:57:38.520 the streets,

00:57:40.180 which was

00:57:41.060 largely part of

00:57:42.000 the problem.

00:57:43.460 And here's

00:57:44.120 my, since

00:57:46.040 the government

00:57:46.780 cannot give

00:57:47.440 us a, well

00:57:48.840 actually, here's

00:57:50.480 why the

00:57:50.800 government can't

00:57:51.440 do this.

00:57:52.020 I'm going to

00:57:52.420 say something

00:57:52.880 the government

00:57:53.420 can't say,

00:57:54.720 and probably

00:57:55.480 never can say,

00:57:57.000 so we probably

00:57:57.860 just have to do

00:57:58.540 it ourselves.

00:58:01.260 Civilization

00:58:01.660 has forked.

00:58:05.120 The people

00:58:05.820 who are not

00:58:06.400 addicted can't

00:58:07.140 live with the

00:58:07.560 people who are,

00:58:08.320 or at least

00:58:09.100 the homeless

00:58:09.560 portion of them.

00:58:10.600 The people

00:58:11.060 who are high

00:58:11.500 functioning,

00:58:12.260 well sure,

00:58:13.180 because you

00:58:13.460 don't even know

00:58:13.980 they're addicted.

00:58:15.020 But the people

00:58:15.660 who are,

00:58:17.200 as a lifestyle,

00:58:19.560 need to use

00:58:20.880 and live

00:58:21.300 outdoors and

00:58:21.940 they're not

00:58:22.240 going to have

00:58:22.540 a job,

00:58:24.180 they have to

00:58:24.840 be separated.

00:58:26.140 We need to

00:58:26.820 treat them as

00:58:27.600 a separate

00:58:28.080 civilization

00:58:28.840 with all

00:58:30.200 of the

00:58:30.480 respect,

00:58:31.800 all of the

00:58:32.680 respect,

00:58:34.300 that all

00:58:34.860 humans deserve.

00:58:37.040 I'm not saying

00:58:37.960 you treat them

00:58:38.560 as second-class

00:58:39.440 citizens,

00:58:40.080 that's exactly

00:58:40.920 the wrong thing.

00:58:42.260 I'm saying

00:58:42.860 to respect

00:58:43.660 their choices,

00:58:45.500 to respect

00:58:46.260 their choice.

00:58:47.640 They've made

00:58:48.280 a choice,

00:58:49.380 it just isn't

00:58:50.100 compatible with

00:58:50.920 our choices.

00:58:52.340 And we don't

00:58:53.080 need to be

00:58:53.640 living in the

00:58:54.180 same place.

00:58:55.320 They just need

00:58:56.200 to be somewhere

00:58:56.920 else.

00:58:58.080 So we need

00:58:59.240 to physically

00:59:00.060 separate them

00:59:00.840 from the rest

00:59:01.400 of us,

00:59:02.000 and I don't

00:59:02.740 see that the

00:59:03.280 government could

00:59:03.880 ever do that

00:59:04.440 for you.

00:59:05.200 You know why?

00:59:06.500 It's too mean.

00:59:07.960 It's too mean.

00:59:09.220 It would look

00:59:09.840 like rounding up

00:59:10.580 people and putting

00:59:11.160 them in prison

00:59:11.860 camps.

00:59:12.480 Can't do it.

00:59:13.540 The public is

00:59:14.280 going to have

00:59:14.580 to do it.

00:59:15.980 I don't know

00:59:16.600 how.

00:59:17.500 I mean,

00:59:17.840 not physically.

00:59:18.740 I'm not saying

00:59:19.320 we should round

00:59:19.980 them up and

00:59:20.440 move them.

00:59:21.240 But somehow

00:59:21.800 the public is

00:59:22.540 going to have

00:59:22.860 to create an

00:59:23.460 alternative.

00:59:24.760 Here's what I

00:59:25.280 think is going

00:59:25.660 to happen.

00:59:26.960 Somebody's going

00:59:27.500 to buy a

00:59:28.020 farm, and

00:59:30.120 they're going

00:59:30.400 to figure out

00:59:30.940 how to get

00:59:31.340 clean drugs, and

00:59:33.160 they're going

00:59:33.440 to say, hey,

00:59:34.560 bring a tent.

00:59:35.860 You can live

00:59:36.420 on my farm, and

00:59:38.220 just ask for

00:59:38.860 clean drugs, and

00:59:39.620 I'll give them

00:59:39.920 to you when you

00:59:40.400 want.

00:59:42.820 And they will

00:59:43.580 live happily their

00:59:44.540 lives, and maybe

00:59:45.860 even build their

00:59:46.580 own civilization.

00:59:47.900 They might

00:59:48.300 actually grow.

00:59:50.660 You might be

00:59:51.180 surprised.

00:59:51.700 They might turn

00:59:54.220 into farmers.

00:59:58.120 You tell me that

00:59:59.060 this would be a

00:59:59.680 bad life.

01:00:01.020 Would this be a

01:00:01.660 bad life?

01:00:02.680 You're addicted

01:00:03.240 to opioids, and

01:00:06.820 you have a

01:00:07.540 minimalist existence,

01:00:08.740 and you farm.

01:00:10.440 And the food that

01:00:11.180 you eat is

01:00:11.660 freshly farmed, and

01:00:13.040 no preservatives,

01:00:14.940 and it's kind of

01:00:15.400 awesome.

01:00:16.300 And you always

01:00:16.820 have something to

01:00:17.440 do.

01:00:18.680 It's physical.

01:00:19.900 It's not too

01:00:20.360 hard.

01:00:20.660 And you're

01:00:21.540 just a farmer.

01:00:23.620 I feel like the

01:00:26.200 public will have

01:00:27.900 to create

01:00:28.380 alternatives and

01:00:29.260 test them, because

01:00:31.060 the government

01:00:31.480 can't and won't.

01:00:33.420 And if you're not

01:00:34.200 testing alternatives,

01:00:35.380 you're really not

01:00:35.900 doing anything.

01:00:37.340 You're not doing

01:00:38.100 anything.

01:00:40.620 So whoever says

01:00:41.820 detox them, you

01:00:43.100 don't understand

01:00:43.800 the issue.

01:00:45.160 I used to

01:00:46.200 believe that

01:00:47.700 somebody who

01:00:48.360 was smart enough

01:00:49.140 and put enough

01:00:49.720 effort into it,

01:00:50.660 could get people

01:00:51.660 off of drugs.

01:00:53.220 But mostly what

01:00:54.120 you do is turn

01:00:54.860 them from people

01:00:55.580 who have something

01:00:56.280 going for them

01:00:57.040 into some people

01:00:57.860 who have nothing

01:00:58.320 going for them.

01:00:59.600 You basically

01:01:00.420 eliminate their

01:01:01.180 chance of having

01:01:01.920 a sex life,

01:01:04.080 ever being happy.

01:01:06.020 But sometimes

01:01:07.240 they'll do it for

01:01:07.780 other people.

01:01:09.260 So I think the

01:01:09.860 big myth is that

01:01:11.840 they'd be better

01:01:12.700 off if you got

01:01:13.440 them off drugs.

01:01:15.500 There's something

01:01:16.120 I don't say in

01:01:16.840 public too often.

01:01:17.540 The myth is that

01:01:20.000 they'd be better

01:01:20.720 off if you got

01:01:21.860 them off drugs.

01:01:22.860 The truth is only

01:01:24.100 you would be

01:01:24.720 better off.

01:01:26.040 You would be

01:01:26.740 better off.

01:01:28.500 You would be

01:01:29.280 better off not

01:01:29.960 being around people

01:01:30.740 who are on drugs.

01:01:31.940 You would.

01:01:33.700 They would not.

01:01:35.700 Because it's up to

01:01:36.640 them what's better

01:01:37.320 off for them.

01:01:38.460 It's not up to you.

01:01:39.960 And if you ask

01:01:40.520 them, they'd say,

01:01:41.060 I'm better off on

01:01:41.660 drugs.

01:01:42.340 I really like the

01:01:43.100 drugs.

01:01:44.000 It's all that works

01:01:44.700 for me.

01:01:45.800 It's not your

01:01:46.520 choice.

01:01:49.620 So that's what I

01:01:50.400 think.

01:01:50.720 I think the

01:01:51.140 government can't

01:01:52.180 and won't help us

01:01:53.440 on the number one

01:01:54.260 problem if the

01:01:55.580 public doesn't do

01:01:56.280 it themselves.

01:01:57.280 And you can see

01:01:57.800 with this Narcan

01:01:58.480 stuff, the Narcan

01:02:00.320 availability and

01:02:01.160 also the test

01:02:01.780 strips, I guarantee

01:02:03.660 you the public is

01:02:05.140 going to have to

01:02:05.600 take the lead

01:02:06.240 because we're not

01:02:07.000 going to put up

01:02:07.520 with it forever.

01:02:09.220 Right?

01:02:09.640 The public's

01:02:10.580 patience is going

01:02:12.580 to wear thin really

01:02:14.180 fast.

01:02:15.000 It's getting to

01:02:15.620 that point.

01:02:17.920 There's a great

01:02:18.720 exchange on TV

01:02:19.600 where I guess

01:02:21.840 Julian Assange is

01:02:23.040 married.

01:02:24.020 So he married a

01:02:24.860 woman while he

01:02:25.600 was in whatever

01:02:28.120 he is, in exile

01:02:29.020 or whatever you

01:02:29.540 want to call it.

01:02:30.620 So John Bolton

01:02:33.020 was on the same

01:02:34.780 show as Stella

01:02:36.580 Assange and

01:02:38.200 Bolton was saying

01:02:39.100 he hopes Assange

01:02:40.800 gets 176 years in

01:02:42.420 jail for endangering

01:02:44.580 various American

01:02:46.180 interests, people

01:02:47.600 specifically.

01:02:49.180 And then Stella

01:02:52.480 Assange says that

01:02:53.480 John Bolton should

01:02:54.280 be tried by the

01:02:55.080 Hague for war

01:02:55.900 crimes over the

01:02:57.660 Iraq invasion.

01:03:00.140 So it made me

01:03:01.320 wonder, I'm just

01:03:04.020 going to put this

01:03:04.560 out there, but

01:03:05.220 maybe we all

01:03:08.440 belong in jail.

01:03:11.200 I don't know,

01:03:11.900 just maybe.

01:03:13.360 Because every time

01:03:14.340 you see anybody,

01:03:15.440 you know, a

01:03:15.820 Republican and a

01:03:16.620 Democrat arguing

01:03:17.460 about anything,

01:03:18.920 have you noticed

01:03:19.520 they both have a

01:03:20.340 pretty good argument

01:03:21.340 for why the other

01:03:22.120 one should be in

01:03:22.760 jail?

01:03:22.960 I mean, it may not

01:03:25.060 be a good enough

01:03:25.700 argument to be

01:03:26.940 convicted, but it

01:03:28.840 seems like everybody

01:03:29.840 has a pretty good

01:03:31.200 argument about the

01:03:32.080 other people should

01:03:32.940 be in jail.

01:03:33.440 So I'm starting

01:03:35.300 to wonder, maybe

01:03:37.860 we should all be

01:03:38.740 in jail.

01:03:40.800 Hmm.

01:03:42.240 Hmm.

01:03:44.340 Think about it.

01:03:45.900 Solve all of our

01:03:46.720 problems.

01:03:47.860 We just all go to

01:03:49.080 jail.

01:03:51.880 All right.

01:03:52.660 Not my best idea,

01:03:53.820 but we'll put it

01:03:55.480 in there.

01:03:56.420 So do you know

01:03:57.180 who is the greatest

01:03:58.200 contributor of

01:03:59.520 military assets to

01:04:01.000 Ukraine?

01:04:01.460 Ukraine, who is

01:04:03.240 given the most to

01:04:04.120 Ukraine in terms of

01:04:05.560 military assets?

01:04:07.660 That's right.

01:04:08.600 Russia.

01:04:10.760 Apparently the

01:04:11.480 Ukrainians have

01:04:12.320 captured more

01:04:13.540 Russian tanks and

01:04:15.880 artillery and all

01:04:17.480 kinds of stuff.

01:04:18.960 And so one of the

01:04:21.420 reasons the war is

01:04:22.240 going well for the

01:04:22.880 Ukrainians is that

01:04:24.680 they shelled the

01:04:26.660 heck out of the

01:04:28.080 positions they were

01:04:28.820 going to take over,

01:04:29.560 and then they

01:04:31.580 took them over

01:04:32.180 quickly, and the

01:04:33.660 Russians didn't even

01:04:34.360 have time to gas up

01:04:35.600 and leave.

01:04:36.300 They just like ran

01:04:37.240 for it.

01:04:38.180 So then the

01:04:38.920 Ukrainians get all

01:04:39.700 their toys.

01:04:41.760 So now the

01:04:42.280 Russians have fewer

01:04:43.120 toys, and the

01:04:44.320 Ukrainians, so the

01:04:45.480 Ukrainians are now

01:04:46.480 better equipped, and

01:04:48.360 there are more of

01:04:49.000 them.

01:04:50.940 Better equipped,

01:04:52.580 home court, and

01:04:53.900 there are more of

01:04:54.480 them.

01:04:54.640 How in the world

01:04:56.540 does Russia win

01:04:57.260 this?

01:04:58.660 There's like no

01:04:59.460 path that they

01:05:00.680 could possibly win

01:05:01.500 this.

01:05:03.540 Yeah.

01:05:06.460 And if you listen

01:05:08.280 to the news, we'll

01:05:11.700 talk about nukes in

01:05:12.640 a moment.

01:05:13.320 I don't think

01:05:13.940 there'll be any

01:05:14.380 nukes.

01:05:15.760 Because using a

01:05:17.400 nuke is the one

01:05:18.100 way Russia could

01:05:19.000 100% lose everything

01:05:20.520 for sure.

01:05:22.080 They're currently

01:05:23.040 probably still hoping

01:05:24.320 they can salvage

01:05:25.320 something.

01:05:26.200 As long as they

01:05:27.040 hope they can

01:05:27.700 salvage something,

01:05:28.800 they're not going

01:05:29.580 to do the one

01:05:30.260 thing that guarantees

01:05:31.100 their total

01:05:31.700 destruction.

01:05:33.600 So I think we're

01:05:34.440 safe.

01:05:35.520 And there will

01:05:35.960 always be a path

01:05:38.080 that doesn't involve

01:05:38.840 nuclear, so I

01:05:39.640 think we're going

01:05:40.080 to be fine.

01:05:41.160 That's my prediction.

01:05:42.560 You'll be fine on

01:05:43.480 the nuclear stuff.

01:05:47.660 And more

01:05:48.340 generally, people

01:05:49.700 don't nuke their

01:05:50.480 own country.

01:05:52.820 People don't

01:05:53.640 nuke their

01:05:55.020 own country.

01:05:56.700 I'll bet there

01:05:57.400 will never be a

01:05:58.460 civil war, nuclear

01:06:00.040 war.

01:06:02.340 Because remember,

01:06:03.340 Russia thinks that

01:06:04.160 Ukraine is their

01:06:04.920 own country.

01:06:06.200 There just isn't

01:06:06.900 any way you nuke

01:06:07.700 your own country.

01:06:09.280 Imagine nuking your

01:06:10.440 own country and then

01:06:11.160 having to live in it.

01:06:13.220 Seriously.

01:06:14.020 Even a tactical

01:06:15.140 nuke.

01:06:16.580 Imagine nuking in

01:06:18.300 any way something

01:06:20.020 in your own country,

01:06:21.100 and then you

01:06:21.960 have to live

01:06:22.480 there with the

01:06:23.700 citizens who

01:06:24.340 were in that

01:06:24.760 country when you

01:06:25.420 nuked it.

01:06:27.320 I don't think

01:06:27.980 anybody wants

01:06:28.500 that.

01:06:29.420 Now, if you

01:06:30.100 think you would

01:06:30.560 nuke the

01:06:30.920 United States,

01:06:32.720 well, that

01:06:33.180 would be certain

01:06:33.760 death for Putin

01:06:35.120 and all of his

01:06:35.760 family.

01:06:37.160 I think Putin at

01:06:38.140 this point is just

01:06:38.800 trying to keep his

01:06:39.400 family alive, you

01:06:41.160 know, his

01:06:41.400 descendants and

01:06:42.160 stuff, because he's

01:06:43.420 at real risk that

01:06:44.160 they'll just all be

01:06:44.920 killed if things go

01:06:46.760 the wrong way.

01:06:47.320 Anyway, I would

01:06:51.140 say here's what

01:06:52.220 you're not hearing

01:06:52.880 in the news.

01:06:54.300 You did not hear

01:06:55.220 in the news today

01:06:56.020 there were a lot

01:06:57.620 of casualties.

01:06:59.500 Am I right?

01:07:01.240 Usually in the

01:07:02.500 beginning the news

01:07:03.300 was casualties,

01:07:04.320 casualties, so

01:07:05.700 many dead, so many

01:07:06.380 dead.

01:07:06.580 I didn't hear any.

01:07:08.420 There's like no

01:07:09.080 word of casualties.

01:07:11.000 Here's what else

01:07:11.660 you haven't heard.

01:07:12.760 Surrender.

01:07:14.240 You've heard small

01:07:15.160 surrenders, but you

01:07:16.120 haven't heard any

01:07:16.700 mass surrenders.

01:07:19.220 What could be

01:07:20.080 happening over there

01:07:20.980 that does not

01:07:22.200 involve dying?

01:07:24.260 Because you would

01:07:24.980 have heard about it

01:07:25.620 if it was happening

01:07:26.600 in large numbers,

01:07:27.620 you'd know.

01:07:28.940 So there's not

01:07:30.040 dying, and there's

01:07:32.060 not surrendering.

01:07:34.860 What's left?

01:07:37.180 Yeah.

01:07:37.700 The only thing

01:07:38.500 left is running

01:07:39.180 away, which

01:07:41.840 Russia calls

01:07:42.700 regrouping.

01:07:45.360 I'm going to use

01:07:46.140 that too.

01:07:47.360 Anytime I run

01:07:48.360 away from

01:07:48.780 something, I'm

01:07:50.520 regrouping.

01:07:52.160 You know, I did

01:07:53.080 not get canceled

01:07:53.880 by 77 newspapers.

01:07:55.480 That was in the

01:07:56.040 news.

01:07:57.220 Fake news.

01:07:58.580 Fake news.

01:07:59.660 I did not get

01:08:00.700 canceled by 77

01:08:01.940 newspapers.

01:08:02.860 I'm regrouping.

01:08:04.440 I'm regrouping.

01:08:05.940 I don't know what

01:08:06.800 you're talking about.

01:08:08.340 I'm regrouping.

01:08:09.740 I'll be fine.

01:08:10.620 I'll come back

01:08:11.040 stronger.

01:08:13.020 Regrouped.

01:08:13.580 Yeah.

01:08:16.320 Well, Dilbert

01:08:16.740 would get canceled

01:08:17.320 in 77 newspapers,

01:08:19.240 and more on the

01:08:20.160 way, I'm told.

01:08:21.300 More on the way.

01:08:23.580 I don't know if I'll

01:08:24.800 be a cartoonist in a

01:08:25.980 year at this rate.

01:08:28.500 We'll see.

01:08:30.040 We shall see.

01:08:31.000 But yes, my assessment

01:08:34.920 is that the Russians

01:08:36.160 are literally running

01:08:37.380 away, because fighting

01:08:39.260 would be absurd.

01:08:40.980 The dumbest thing you

01:08:42.340 could do if you were a

01:08:43.240 Russian soldier is to

01:08:45.520 fight.

01:08:46.880 It's honestly the dumbest

01:08:48.540 thing you could do.

01:08:49.200 How would you like to

01:08:52.280 be in charge of a

01:08:53.280 military where every

01:08:54.960 single person in your

01:08:56.200 military, like you're

01:08:58.120 the general, and you

01:08:59.800 know this for sure,

01:09:01.300 100% of the people in

01:09:02.540 your military think that

01:09:04.000 fighting's a bad idea.

01:09:06.200 All of them.

01:09:07.860 Every fucking one.

01:09:09.640 And you're the

01:09:10.180 general.

01:09:11.780 They can't win.

01:09:13.980 They can't win.

01:09:15.040 Now, are you worried

01:09:18.220 about Europe running

01:09:19.920 out of energy and

01:09:21.500 being frozen?

01:09:23.020 Well, I have a happy

01:09:24.320 update for you.

01:09:25.860 It's based on a little

01:09:27.100 thing called, have you

01:09:29.160 ever heard of it, the

01:09:31.360 Adam's Law of Slow

01:09:32.600 Moving Disasters?

01:09:34.140 I remind you that the

01:09:35.440 Adam's Law of Slow

01:09:36.240 Moving Disasters says

01:09:37.480 the disasters you have

01:09:39.380 to worry about are the

01:09:40.220 ones you don't see

01:09:41.140 coming, because you

01:09:42.360 can't get ready.

01:09:43.000 But that humans, when

01:09:45.620 they see a genuine

01:09:46.720 disaster that's

01:09:47.680 definitely going to be

01:09:48.440 a disaster, if you

01:09:49.800 don't do something, if

01:09:51.160 you know it's going to

01:09:52.080 be a disaster, and

01:09:53.760 you've got a little bit

01:09:54.660 of time, we're always

01:09:56.860 really good at that.

01:09:58.520 We being humanity.

01:10:00.760 Humanity is really,

01:10:02.260 really good when we

01:10:03.140 have time, and we

01:10:04.600 know it's a problem.

01:10:06.280 And one thing we know

01:10:07.860 for sure is that there's

01:10:09.900 a risk of massive

01:10:11.280 problems if they run at

01:10:12.880 the gas in Europe.

01:10:14.300 So, what happened?

01:10:17.560 Massive redirection of

01:10:19.160 assets.

01:10:20.420 Massive increase of gas

01:10:21.960 from other places.

01:10:23.660 Massive increase of

01:10:24.720 shipments from the

01:10:25.500 United States.

01:10:26.920 And do you know what?

01:10:27.720 I didn't know this, but

01:10:28.560 apparently Europe keeps

01:10:31.200 gas in reserve.

01:10:32.740 So it doesn't buy it and

01:10:34.280 use it as it's coming in.

01:10:36.700 Makes sense, right?

01:10:38.100 There's a buffer.

01:10:39.200 So they have a whole

01:10:41.040 bunch of buffering, and

01:10:43.340 they already have enough

01:10:44.400 gas through December.

01:10:48.280 So you already don't have

01:10:49.960 to worry about them

01:10:50.700 freezing before the end of

01:10:52.720 the year.

01:10:53.460 It's already taken care of.

01:10:55.060 They have developed some

01:10:56.780 new technologies for

01:10:59.240 offloading gas more

01:11:01.660 cheaply and effectively than

01:11:03.340 the current setup.

01:11:06.500 And there's a big

01:11:07.380 difference, like big, big

01:11:08.900 efficiency difference.

01:11:10.320 So suddenly, the

01:11:12.060 efficiencies that maybe you

01:11:13.780 didn't need to work on for

01:11:15.700 the shipping of LPG,

01:11:18.580 LG, what is it?

01:11:20.180 Shipping of gas.

01:11:22.440 You didn't need to fix

01:11:23.620 LNG, sorry.

01:11:25.000 You didn't need to fix all

01:11:26.520 the inefficiencies before

01:11:28.060 because it was so

01:11:29.600 profitable, just however

01:11:31.900 you did it was going to

01:11:32.880 work fine.

01:11:33.560 You're going to make tons

01:11:34.260 of money.

01:11:34.880 But now it really, really

01:11:36.280 matters that it's

01:11:37.420 efficient because they've

01:11:38.740 got to get lots of

01:11:39.620 shipments in there fast.

01:11:41.460 So they're fixing it.

01:11:43.540 So it looks like there

01:11:46.400 might be something like a

01:11:47.940 20% shortfall.

01:11:49.740 Nobody can really predict

01:11:50.640 this, but we're not

01:11:51.860 talking about 50%.

01:11:53.180 We're talking about a

01:11:54.900 worst-case scenario,

01:11:57.040 20% light of what they

01:11:58.760 wish they could be from

01:12:00.720 the beginning of the

01:12:02.040 year through maybe

01:12:03.140 March.

01:12:04.820 So you've got three

01:12:05.860 months where you might

01:12:07.680 be a little 20% low,

01:12:09.620 but I don't think so.

01:12:11.020 I actually think that we

01:12:12.400 will step up our

01:12:13.880 emergency everything and

01:12:15.980 probably close that 20%.

01:12:17.460 But if it's only 20%,

01:12:20.620 what do you know?

01:12:23.520 Let's say the worst case

01:12:24.700 is they'll be 20% short.

01:12:27.000 What do you know for

01:12:28.060 sure if they're 20% short?

01:12:31.140 Number one, they'll be

01:12:33.240 able to handle it.

01:12:35.160 If you've ever worked in

01:12:36.480 corporate America or the

01:12:38.440 government, let me tell you

01:12:39.960 something that every

01:12:40.680 manager knows.

01:12:42.160 You can always get by with

01:12:44.240 20% less of anything.

01:12:47.400 And I'm sure there's some

01:12:49.040 weird exception.

01:12:50.720 But as a general rule of

01:12:52.660 big, complicated, high-budget

01:12:54.660 things, you could cut 20%

01:12:58.160 off for three months of

01:12:59.820 anything.

01:13:01.520 This, anything.

01:13:04.300 So step number one is they

01:13:06.640 would just conserve like

01:13:07.800 crazy for three months.

01:13:09.880 Do you think Europe could

01:13:10.940 conserve like crazy for three

01:13:12.560 months?

01:13:13.200 Yeah.

01:13:13.420 It wouldn't be easy.

01:13:16.140 They wouldn't like it.

01:13:18.080 But do you think they could

01:13:19.180 do it?

01:13:20.220 Absolutely.

01:13:21.560 I can do it.

01:13:23.080 I can cut my energy use by

01:13:24.480 20%.

01:13:25.080 When California had its, you

01:13:27.500 know, little close call there

01:13:28.920 of losing our power, I just

01:13:31.220 walked to the thermostat and

01:13:32.420 went, and I just said, well,

01:13:35.720 I could go three days being a

01:13:37.820 little warmer than I want to

01:13:38.880 be.

01:13:39.040 I can do my dishes at night

01:13:42.440 instead of during the peak

01:13:43.620 period, which I did, you know,

01:13:45.500 in the dishwasher.

01:13:46.840 So it wasn't that hard.

01:13:49.480 It really wasn't that hard.

01:13:51.120 So here's the good news.

01:13:53.420 Europe is going to make it.

01:13:55.480 Here's the better news.

01:13:58.200 Putin has not only destroyed

01:14:00.160 his military, but his entire

01:14:02.900 economy.

01:14:03.880 Because I'll tell you what

01:14:05.380 Europe's not going to do, buy

01:14:07.800 his fucking gas any time in

01:14:10.340 the future.

01:14:11.660 Now, of course, money is

01:14:12.840 money, and people will do

01:14:13.720 whatever is the cheapest, so

01:14:15.360 maybe it could come back.

01:14:16.980 But they're not going to bet

01:14:18.700 Europe on it again.

01:14:20.540 I don't think Europe's going

01:14:21.540 to say, well, let's take a

01:14:22.700 chance on Putin again.

01:14:24.080 He's done.

01:14:25.320 He doesn't have a business or

01:14:26.780 a military when he's done.

01:14:28.360 Nobody's going to fear the

01:14:29.640 Soviet military.

01:14:31.560 Soviet.

01:14:32.320 Nobody's going to fear the

01:14:33.620 Russian military after Ukraine

01:14:35.220 kicks its ass.

01:14:36.000 What are you saying about

01:14:40.040 louder with Crowder?

01:14:41.540 I'm seeing a lot of people

01:14:42.280 mention Crowder, but I don't

01:14:43.620 know why.

01:14:45.620 Now, here's another thing.

01:14:47.880 The gas of futures.

01:14:50.420 So if you're not a finance

01:14:51.560 person, here's what this

01:14:52.800 means.

01:14:53.740 There are people who have

01:14:54.820 contracts to buy or sell

01:14:57.140 lots of different commodities,

01:14:59.420 including gas, sometime in the

01:15:01.240 future at a certain price.

01:15:02.440 So you can predict what all

01:15:05.460 the smart people think is

01:15:06.800 going to happen by how

01:15:08.520 they're pricing things in the

01:15:09.780 future.

01:15:10.620 So if all the people who know

01:15:11.860 the most about the energy

01:15:13.320 situation are saying that

01:15:15.840 when I sell you gas in the

01:15:17.680 future, I'm not going to

01:15:19.260 charge you much, what are they

01:15:21.120 telling you?

01:15:22.700 If they tell you a year from

01:15:24.760 now, I'm not going to charge

01:15:26.020 you much for gas and I'm

01:15:27.200 willing to sign that deal, it

01:15:29.420 means they know the situation

01:15:30.880 is handled.

01:15:32.900 Otherwise, they'd say, there's

01:15:34.380 so much risk about next year,

01:15:36.020 I'm going to have to charge

01:15:37.200 you more next year than even

01:15:38.660 this year.

01:15:39.740 But the futures prices of gas

01:15:42.060 are already back to normal.

01:15:46.260 I need a fact check on that.

01:15:47.900 I saw that from one source.

01:15:49.740 Can you give me a fact check on

01:15:50.940 that?

01:15:51.600 I believe gas futures for

01:15:54.100 Europe are close to back to

01:15:57.000 normal for the futures, not the

01:15:59.160 stuff we're buying this year.

01:16:00.800 We're not talking about this

01:16:01.800 winter.

01:16:02.180 This winter is going to be

01:16:02.960 off the chart expensive, super

01:16:05.020 expensive.

01:16:06.140 I'm talking about a year or

01:16:08.520 two.

01:16:10.940 But anyway, whatever the

01:16:13.440 actual number is, the gas

01:16:14.720 futures are much lower than

01:16:16.020 now.

01:16:16.620 What matters is that they're

01:16:17.960 lower.

01:16:19.940 How low is a little less

01:16:21.460 important than the fact that

01:16:22.500 the direction is clearly

01:16:23.520 lower.

01:16:23.840 So, yeah, the current prices

01:16:28.980 are through the roof, but

01:16:31.020 they can get through three

01:16:32.620 months at the current prices.

01:16:34.640 They can do that.

01:16:39.340 Yeah.

01:16:40.140 All right.

01:16:41.600 So, it's a good time to be

01:16:47.080 bullish on America.

01:16:48.100 So, I made a point yesterday

01:16:53.480 that I didn't realize was such

01:16:55.460 a good point, but some, I

01:16:57.460 was, Joe Moore and some people

01:17:00.060 mentioned, I should reiterate

01:17:01.900 it.

01:17:02.280 It goes like this, and I'll say

01:17:03.900 it in a better way.

01:17:05.640 If you have an election, and

01:17:07.460 let's say it's a landslide, then

01:17:10.800 I would say that what mattered

01:17:12.460 was the candidates and the will

01:17:15.080 of the people, right?

01:17:16.360 So, that's my baseline statement

01:17:18.200 before I make my provocative

01:17:19.540 statement.

01:17:20.380 If it's a landslide, then it's

01:17:23.820 all about the candidate, and it's

01:17:25.200 about the will of the people.

01:17:27.080 But, suppose the election's

01:17:29.100 close.

01:17:30.880 Barely, somebody barely won.

01:17:33.240 Here's my opinion.

01:17:35.140 In my opinion, that's not about

01:17:36.500 the candidate, and it's not about

01:17:38.560 the people, because it's so

01:17:40.620 close.

01:17:42.000 It means that the country was

01:17:43.880 sort of, you know, coin flip.

01:17:46.360 It's about moving on.

01:17:50.280 When the election is close, the

01:17:53.540 result of the election is not

01:17:55.100 about the candidate, and not about

01:17:56.740 the policies, and not about the

01:17:58.000 people.

01:17:58.700 It's about moving on.

01:18:00.920 It's about getting past it.

01:18:03.000 We have a system that lets us move

01:18:04.920 on, and you don't know how

01:18:06.740 valuable that is, right?

01:18:08.780 Because even with all the January

01:18:10.140 6th stuff, we still moved on.

01:18:12.400 And I've never really fully

01:18:14.880 explained that that's why I

01:18:17.280 congratulated Biden immediately.

01:18:19.720 As soon as the results were sort

01:18:21.640 of the official results, I heard

01:18:23.540 everything you heard.

01:18:24.700 I heard all the questions about the

01:18:26.920 integrity of the election.

01:18:28.460 And honestly, I thought they were

01:18:30.100 going to find something.

01:18:30.800 I honestly thought they'd find

01:18:33.360 something, but it didn't matter.

01:18:36.460 No matter whether they found

01:18:37.900 something or not, the system

01:18:40.260 needed to go forward.

01:18:42.560 And so I voted for the system.

01:18:45.240 I didn't endorse the winner.

01:18:48.980 I did not endorse the credibility

01:18:51.140 of the election.

01:18:52.900 I endorsed a system that has served

01:18:55.560 us really well.

01:18:56.620 And the system is, we just have

01:18:59.020 a way to move on.

01:19:00.760 Sometimes you just need to move

01:19:02.040 on.

01:19:03.320 And that's what the system did for

01:19:05.040 us.

01:19:05.220 It worked.

01:19:06.360 It worked.

01:19:08.240 It gave you exactly what you

01:19:10.060 wanted.

01:19:11.260 The system needed to let you move

01:19:14.040 on when you couldn't decide who

01:19:16.160 really won.

01:19:16.740 And it did.

01:19:17.960 It gave us a president.

01:19:19.640 And we functioned as a country.

01:19:22.200 Now, we don't like the way it

01:19:23.400 turned out.

01:19:24.140 Many of us don't.

01:19:24.960 And we'll get another chance

01:19:26.640 to fix that.

01:19:28.240 And if it's close again, and let's

01:19:30.620 say Trump wins, hypothetically.

01:19:33.480 If it's close again, the Democrats

01:19:36.920 are going to yell, it's all rigged,

01:19:39.280 and there was voter suppression.

01:19:40.960 And what am I going to say?

01:19:43.700 Congratulations to the new

01:19:45.380 president.

01:19:46.540 Either way it goes.

01:19:47.760 Because if it's close again, again,

01:19:50.540 I'm going to vote for the system.

01:19:52.340 I'm going to vote for getting past it.

01:19:54.000 Because that's the thing that's

01:19:55.080 more important.

01:19:56.980 So keep an eye on what's more

01:19:58.500 important.

01:19:59.460 Moving forward is more important.

01:20:04.360 Within reason.

01:20:05.500 I mean, you can imagine if it's

01:20:06.700 actually Hitler, then that's

01:20:08.160 different.

01:20:08.380 All right.

01:20:11.460 Ladies and gentlemen, I know this is

01:20:16.020 amazing, but I feel like today's

01:20:20.480 live stream was almost as good as

01:20:21.740 yesterday, and yesterday's was

01:20:22.940 possibly one of the best ever.

01:20:25.920 So I don't know how we keep doing it.

01:20:28.560 How do we keep doing this?

01:20:31.160 I would like to also...

01:20:33.020 Thank you, Cassandra.

01:20:35.020 I would also like to remind you that

01:20:39.020 what we're doing here is more

01:20:40.220 important than it feels like in any

01:20:42.720 minute.

01:20:44.080 Because we have literally created a

01:20:46.580 form of intelligence that I think is

01:20:50.040 going to be powerful enough, at least

01:20:52.000 by 2024, that we would need to be

01:20:54.620 reckoned with.

01:20:55.860 And when I say we're a collaborative

01:20:59.060 intelligence, you know, collectively as

01:21:01.440 as we work here, I want to be really

01:21:05.240 careful in telling you that if I had,

01:21:08.100 let's say I had an idea that was just

01:21:09.760 really obnoxious to most of you, I

01:21:14.020 probably would suppress it.

01:21:16.140 And I should.

01:21:17.740 Because if we're acting collaboratively,

01:21:20.720 you act as a kind of a check on my

01:21:25.320 worst impulses, and then I hope I can

01:21:28.340 act as a check on your worst impulses.

01:21:31.440 And then that will make us stronger

01:21:33.180 collectively.

01:21:38.080 So I feel like we need some kind of

01:21:40.320 a name for this or a brand, but I'd

01:21:44.120 like to get to the point where we could

01:21:46.060 move issues.

01:21:48.920 Would you like to do that?

01:21:51.200 Would you like to move beyond, this is

01:21:53.100 just, you know, an hour or so of

01:21:54.760 listening to somebody talk.

01:21:56.940 Would you like to move beyond that and

01:21:58.780 actually have some political clout?

01:22:01.440 Because I think we could do that.

01:22:03.900 And the reason I say that is you saw

01:22:06.920 what Elon Musk did with his Ukraine

01:22:10.100 peace plan, which got crapped all over.

01:22:14.020 The thing he did that I think is most

01:22:16.420 important is he realized there was no

01:22:18.960 positive, asserted plan.

01:22:21.820 So he just gave you one.

01:22:24.960 And I feel like there are enough topics where

01:22:30.220 the plan that could work is not even being

01:22:32.380 discussed.

01:22:33.800 So maybe we could be a source of useful ideas.

01:22:39.880 Maybe.

01:22:40.220 Which is also why I suspect maybe my locals

01:22:48.580 group here, or maybe the larger group

01:22:50.680 listen to this.

01:22:51.500 That's why I think we should build some

01:22:52.920 kind of a central document of the best

01:22:55.740 arguments.

01:22:58.180 The trouble is, who would you trust to, you

01:23:00.560 know, maintain it and keep it up?

01:23:01.900 And I don't know if we could satisfy that.

01:23:07.600 But we're going to try and do that.

01:23:11.220 All right.

01:23:12.680 Ladies and gentlemen, was this the finest

01:23:15.800 thing that's ever experienced?

01:23:17.620 Yeah.

01:23:18.240 Of course it was.

01:23:19.240 And we're going to talk to you tomorrow.

01:23:21.140 And I'll give you updates about my, let's

01:23:28.360 say, my getting canceled situation.

01:23:30.960 There's something brewing that's bad for

01:23:32.840 me.

01:23:35.040 Survivable.

01:23:36.240 But it's not about social media.

01:23:38.240 So nothing about social media.

01:23:40.240 Nothing about the law.

01:23:42.280 I'm not in any legal trouble.

01:23:44.060 I'm not being sued.

01:23:47.020 It's just going to be expensive.

01:23:48.580 That's all.

01:23:48.920 All right.

01:23:51.140 And that's all for now.

01:23:52.660 I'll talk to you later, YouTube.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 06, 2022

Episode 1888 Scott Adams： All Of The News Is Funny Today. Come Enjoy It With Me

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