Episode 1899 Scott Adams： Ye Buys Parler, I Try To Get Canceled Again, And A Peace Plan For Ukraine
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 7 minutes
Words per Minute
139.26085
Summary
Why do people get mad when they try to leave their lane? And why do they get mad at themselves when they do it? Scott Adams explains it in this morning's episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, in which he explains why it's important to leave your lane.
Transcript
00:00:06.540
Welcome to Coffee with Scott Adams, the finest experience anybody's ever had.
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Yes, today, yes, today, today will be another peak experience,
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and all you need to take it to its maximum potential is
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a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or a gel, a stir-steine, a canteen jug or flask,
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Fill it with your favorite liquid, I like coffee,
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and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine the other day
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Well, let's start with the fake news of the day.
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Did you see the story that Mark Wahlberg is moving out of California?
00:01:11.960
So he's going to move out of L.A. and move to, he hopes, Nevada.
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Did it cover it like he wants to get out of California because California is a hellhole?
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The narrative is people moving out of California because California is a hellhole.
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Do you know why Mark Wahlberg is moving out of California?
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Well, I don't know either, but I did watch a special of his just recently in which he said
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it had something to do with tax benefits for building a facility.
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Yeah, there was some kind of, it looked like he was negotiating with somebody in Nevada
00:02:01.640
that he would build some kind of a facility, maybe a studio, like a new studio or something.
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So really, it's pretty much just a business decision.
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I finally figured something out that I've been wondering about for a long time.
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Have you noticed how often people will become famous in one thing and then they just can't
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They try to be successful in a different realm and people get real upset about it.
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Why is it, why, why do people who make it in one realm try to succeed in a different realm?
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I'll tell you, I'll tell you in my situation, I had to find out what my limits were.
00:03:06.120
I didn't know if I had limits because when Dilbert started working out, everything worked.
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Like I wrote a book and it was the number one bestseller.
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You know, I won the cartoonist, you know, top award for cartooning.
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So for a while there, everything I did not only worked, but it worked great.
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And I wondered, now you say hubris and you're completely wrong, right?
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So your point would be the opposite of my point.
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So your point is the traditional point, that the people succeed at one thing and then they
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get full of themselves and say, oh, I'll bet I can succeed at everything.
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I'm saying that I actually didn't know what my limits were, so I had to find out.
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Imagine if you thought you had a superpower, but you didn't know how much of a superpower.
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Isn't that the first thing you'd have to find out?
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And there's, you know, I'm very good at being an entrepreneur for myself.
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So if I'm completely in charge of, you know, the thing that makes money, then I'm fine.
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And I think the reason is I can't buy into the level of evil that it takes to do it.
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Because managing people usually means getting them to do something very unpleasant for them so that you will have a payoff.
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I don't know how to abuse other people for my benefit.
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So I can never be a good business owner because you have to manage people.
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Anyway, then secondly, why is it that people, this is my other realization, why is it that people get mad when people leave their lane?
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Most of the people who complain about somebody leaving their lane have a certain quality about themselves.
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Does everybody complain when Elon Musk tries to do something outside of his expertise?
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Some of it's political, but that's not where I'm going.
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If you are a person who believes you are capable, let's say you did well in school, you went to college, you got a good degree, you look good, you wear a suit, you got your hair,
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whatever you think, whatever you think makes you look like you should succeed, and you're not succeeding as much as you thought you should.
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I think it's how people explain, it's how they explain why they're not more successful.
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If everybody who succeeded is succeeding in exactly one field and could never leave their field, what would you be able to say about yourself if you had done everything right but you had not really succeeded?
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You would say the other person got lucky and you know it's luck because the moment they tried to extend their skill into another field, it doesn't work.
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So if people can't leave their field, you can tell yourself they got lucky because obviously if it's not luck, you could take that skill somewhere else and succeed again, right?
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And if you can explain your own existence as being just bad luck, well then your ego is intact.
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So I don't think it's jealousy, I think it's ego.
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So when people are criticizing people for leaving their field, they're really saying, I don't want you to succeed in a second field.
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Because if you do, I've got some explaining to do about why I haven't succeeded in any.
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I saw a European who is giving some criticism to David Sachs.
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Who on Twitter has been trying to be helpful and suggest ways forward for the Ukrainian war and to come up with some peace plans.
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So David Sachs, who you should know as a famous tech investor kind of person, if you don't know his name, you should.
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He's one of the names you should know if you want to have an awareness of how things work, right?
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If you want to understand the world, he would be in the list of 100 names you should know, right?
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We're watching people like David Sachs and Elon Musk and who was the other VC?
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But some other fairly well-known, famous people talking about what they would do or some suggestions for ending the war in Ukraine.
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And I saw a European mock, specifically David Sachs, I saw a European say it was sort of an American thing that citizens would believe that they could just wade into like a nuclear confrontation and be useful.
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Some European guy, I think he was European, but he was non-American, saying it's an American thing to imagine.
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That just an ordinary person can go like change the world.
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And I think to myself, well, that's why your country isn't doing so well.
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I don't even know what country he was from, but I can tell you they're not doing so well because that's what we do over here.
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Now, I heard somebody else say that we're sort of a problem-solving country.
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We are the most problem-solving motherfuckers who ever lived.
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But we also have this characteristic where we feel unlimited.
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But there are enough of us Americans who feel like we actually can change the world.
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And that's how you get Apple computers, motherfuckers.
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That's how you get Starlink and Tesla and SpaceX motherfuckers.
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If we think we have something to add, we jump in.
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If your car is on fire, we stop and pull you out.
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So when I see people making fun of David Sachs for making a citizen suggestion, I say, I don't
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think you understand what's happening right now.
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I would put David Sachs in the internet dad category.
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I don't know if he'd want to be in that category.
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And what I mean is people who have built credibility in some realm, and they're trying to use it
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Because I honestly think that's primarily what Elon Musk is trying to do.
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And when I watch David Sachs' tweets, I don't see anything else.
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I don't see him trying to make money out of Ukraine.
00:12:02.940
I mean, I have a business model which allows me to benefit the larger my audience is.
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I mean, I wouldn't be doing it just for the money.
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This, the Ukraine war, I don't think our politicians can solve this one.
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It has that weird characteristic that the politicians aren't going to be able to get this done.
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So if we need to get to some kind of a good end point, it's going to be the Internet dads.
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And I'm not going to promote this particular idea.
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Because I don't want Ukraine to be mad at me yet.
00:13:01.620
So I'm just going to say what David Sack's idea is for ending the war.
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So he says, concrete suggestion, U.S. proposes an armistice based on February 23rd lines,
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along with a guarantee that Ukraine won't become part of NATO.
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Does that mean that Russia would give back everything but Crimea?
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So the idea would be that Russia would keep Crimea, which some would say is, you know,
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a settled issue, but give back the disputed areas, and then Ukraine doesn't join NATO.
00:14:09.200
Now, if you were an observer, who would you say won in that case?
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Who would be the winner if that were the peace plan?
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Would you say that Russia won, because it keeps Ukraine out of NATO, and they keep Crimea,
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but they were going to keep that anyway, probably?
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Would you say that that would be a case of Russia winning?
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Or would you say that both of them had a little pain, which is sort of what you want for a lasting peace,
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Well, could it be the 10% to 25% chance of nuclear war?
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You're wondering why I'm focused on the Ukraine?
00:15:17.260
Well, it doesn't matter what you think about it, does it?
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Because you're Americans, and you're not in it.
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So, here's the, but the rest of it gets into more what happens if you don't.
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If Moscow rejects that idea, because obviously that would be them giving up some land that they control right now.
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If Moscow rejects, war goes on until the February 23rd line is reached.
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So, there's an assumption here that Ukraine would eventually be able to take back those disputed territories anyway.
00:16:00.060
And then he goes on, even if Moscow rejects the proposal now, keeping it on the table creates an alternative to nuclear use if they become desperate, thereby reducing the risk of nuclear war.
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Now, do you see that David Sachs, a citizen, a citizen of America, that's all, not an elected person,
00:16:44.960
But he's high enough visibility, high enough visibility that if enough people retweet that, and I retweeted it, some other people did,
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if enough people retweet it, Russia will see that there are some, let's say, prominent voices who have a plan that Putin might be able to live with.
00:17:07.880
And that escape valve, the fact that there might be an escape valve that prominent Americans would support,
00:17:14.820
does give Putin a little bit of a backdoor if he needs it.
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It does take the risk of nuclear holocaust down.
00:17:30.640
Why did David Sachs have to reduce the risk of nuclear war himself?
00:17:41.800
Where is Biden's plan that would give Putin an exit, you know, to escape from nuclear war?
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It's like the reason that the Internet dads get involved is because something needed to be done and it wasn't getting done.
00:18:01.800
And here, David Sachs just protected you from nuclear war with a tweet.
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Now, I'm not saying, you know, he reduced the odds of war.
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Now, if that message got extended, then Ukraine would hate it and they'd be arguing about how terrible it is.
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It only has to exist as a functional alternative that people are talking about.
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So, to whoever it was who was saying, you know, this is about Americans, that Americans think that, you know, if you're just a citizen, you can just jump in and make a difference.
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I mean, I feel safer because a prominent, smart person in America raised a potential peace plan that I think, well, I can see Putin maybe sort of last resort taking that plan.
00:19:16.900
I think you're seeing something amazing happening that's not quite appreciated, but I'll try to help you, try to help you appreciate it.
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Did you know that there's still, this is actually a real fact.
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Like, I can't even believe I'm going to say this.
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So, it's, what is it, it's October, it's 2022, and I'm just going to read you this fact, and I just shake your head and, like, your head can hit the floor.
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Did you know that a lot of our voting machines are still connected to the internet by modems?
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That the normal way that they work is they transmit their results by modem.
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And so, as of even today, even today, when the experts are very clear that this is a hacking vulnerability,
00:20:23.240
are there any experts who say that there's no risk of having modems attached to your voting machines?
00:20:34.540
I've never heard any expert, like a hacker expert, I've never heard one say,
00:20:45.720
Now, I was under the impression that this didn't exist.
00:20:57.540
How many of you knew that in a number of states, and there are important states, too,
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it's like several important states, that they're still attached to the internet?
00:21:12.400
You know, I'd seen reports or allegations of that, but I was pretty sure that they stopped doing it.
00:21:19.180
Like, I was sure that that was an old practice, that nobody would do that anymore.
00:21:29.380
Now, are you also watching the election denial, what would you call it, the flip?
00:21:38.660
So, somebody else called this out on Twitter, so this is not my original thought.
00:21:58.440
That now that the polls are suggesting a potential big Republican win, I'm not sure I believe that yet,
00:22:05.360
but the polls suggest there might be a Republican wave.
00:22:09.140
And what are the Democrats going to start to talk about?
00:22:15.380
Because if the Republicans win, the Democrats will claim, they will claim the election was rigged.
00:22:23.280
So, I'm seeing people say it was Mike Cernovich who pointed that out.
00:22:28.440
Yeah, you have to see it developing now, because it's already developing.
00:22:34.800
So, suddenly the Democrats are going to get all kinds of religion about how vulnerable our elections are.
00:22:43.140
Yeah, I mean, it's already happening, but, yeah, I think you're right.
00:23:05.340
I guess there's some hacker group taking credit.
00:23:13.300
alleged connections between the political class, meaning the Mexican politicians,
00:23:25.240
So, now the hackers have evidence of connection between the Mexican government and the cartels.
00:23:33.980
How often are you seeing now calls for direct military intervention in Mexico?
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There was a direct call for direct military confrontation with the fentanyl labs.
00:23:56.280
Now, who's the first person you heard say that in the world?
00:24:05.260
And I've told you before that one of the benefits I can provide is that I'm not embarrassed by stuff.
00:24:13.640
So, I can say something like that out loud and just test it out.
00:24:31.360
that allows other people to say it because I didn't get canceled and nobody called me crazy.
00:24:36.900
Oh, actually, people did call me crazy, but it wasn't that bad.
00:24:39.600
And then we heard that Trump actually floated the idea internally, but he was called crazy.
00:24:53.540
Now suddenly, an idea that was just ridiculous, now what's it sound like?
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There is no scenario where we don't attack Mexico.
00:25:10.740
There's no scenario in which it doesn't happen.
00:25:15.620
So we can do it later or sooner, but we're totally going to attack the fentanyl facilities in Mexico.
00:25:35.860
So how many of you saw Ye, who is the artist formerly known as Kanye,
00:25:44.320
how many saw his full interview on the podcast Drunk Champs?
00:25:56.340
I guess it's been yanked in a lot of places because, wow, did he double down.
00:26:02.880
You know, I told you that after he made his statements about DEFCON 3 for Jewish people.
00:26:11.300
So the first thing we learned is that he didn't mean death as in somebody dying.
00:26:16.800
He meant DEFCON as in DF, but he spelled it wrong.
00:26:46.520
You know, surprisingly, I think he might actually turn this around.
00:26:51.380
Now, first of all, is what he said about Jewish people appropriate, true, good?
00:27:14.240
Yeah, that's as bigoted and racist as you can get.
00:27:18.880
Now, I wasn't entirely sure when I saw the tweet, but when you see his extended interview, he's very clear.
00:27:25.600
He's very clear that he believes that Jewish people have been blocking him and black people in general at every turn.
00:27:35.760
And although he would claim that this is not about hate, because he would claim that black people are Jewish also.
00:27:42.960
I don't know that argument, but let's go with it for now.
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He doesn't say a few people who happen to also be Jewish or something like that.
00:27:58.900
He actually, he's making a statement about Jewish people.
00:28:02.480
I will, however, give you this context, and I haven't seen anybody say it yet.
00:28:10.920
The context with which he was super bigoted and, do you call it racist?
00:28:24.620
I'm not sure if that's a 2022 spin or not, is it?
00:28:30.700
I mean, I don't think it is, but it's in that category.
00:28:44.740
So I don't want anybody coming at me later and saying, you defended him, because he's on his own.
00:29:02.000
The context with which he said his super bigoted stuff was weirdly complimentary.
00:29:14.020
And I'm going to give you an analogy, not as an argument, but just so you can see my point.
00:29:25.300
It's just so it'll illuminate my point a little bit better.
00:29:29.980
Suppose a white person went on television, a celebrity, and said that black people play basketball really well.
00:29:40.800
Would a white celebrity be canceled for saying that black people sure play basketball really well?
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You think you'd get canceled for saying black people play basketball well?
00:30:04.100
You were all supposed to agree with me that that wouldn't be a problem.
00:30:10.760
No, the way you say it matters, the way you say it matters, right?
00:30:14.780
If you got into some weird genetic thing, then suddenly you're canceled.
00:30:23.180
I'm saying if there were a person like that, would you say they're racist?
00:30:31.540
Yes, that would be a racist statement, wouldn't it?
00:30:35.300
Nobody would disagree with the fact that it would be racist.
00:30:38.380
It's literally talking about a difference in a race.
00:30:42.080
That's as racist by definition as you could be.
00:30:45.380
But it would be the kind of thing that didn't make people too mad, would it?
00:30:50.020
Would a lot of black people be angry if they knew that a white celebrity said black people play basketball pretty well?
00:31:01.040
They might, just to get some attention, but nobody would take it seriously.
00:31:06.520
Because the context, you know, you'd have to worry if that conversation is going to go somewhere else, right?
00:31:14.380
You'd have to worry if the conversation would go in a bad direction.
00:31:23.200
I think people would say, well, that's totally racist,
00:31:31.800
What did Kanye say about the Jewish people who he says were blocking him at every turn?
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Did he say that they were less than, in any way, anybody else?
00:32:05.300
In fact, everything I heard was that he wanted to emulate their strategy and success.
00:32:13.640
And he thought black people should be more like that because there was something working in that community
00:32:20.720
and it wasn't working in his community, and he thinks maybe they could learn from that
00:32:24.920
and that maybe they should fight as hard, maybe they should join together in some cases or something.
00:32:40.740
Will he be cancelled for saying that the Jewish people, mostly in America, I guess,
00:32:48.820
have been very successful and he wishes black people could rise to that level of performance?
00:33:10.860
One brain was sort of complimentary, and the other brain is, why is it offending me?
00:33:18.180
And I think the reason it offends me is maybe the same reason you said people would be offended
00:33:22.560
if somebody said black people play basketball well.
00:33:26.240
It would be offensive because you don't think the conversation is going to stop there, right?
00:33:32.940
It's because you think the conversation isn't going to stop.
00:33:35.840
You're going to like, oh, don't bring that into other realms, you're in trouble.
00:33:42.020
Now, here's the safe way to bring it into other realms.
00:33:52.760
The dumbest thing that, well, I don't know, there would be a lot of competition for the dumbest thing.
00:33:57.140
But one of the dumb things that white people do is imagine that the successes of the very few white people who really nailed it
00:34:06.500
is somehow, like, we get some of the credit for that.
00:34:13.320
I don't get any credit for Elon Musk or Bill Gates.
00:34:26.920
That those few people who are not me, they're not me.
00:34:35.860
Well, so even if you said, oh, there's this one group that has, you know, let's say higher math scores.
00:34:46.000
My math score doesn't change at all if there's somebody who has my same pigmentation who's really good at calculus.
00:34:54.800
Now, here's another point I've been dying to make.
00:34:58.600
I'm going to talk about the Dilbert comic that's going to get me in a little bit of cancellation trouble.
00:35:06.720
When I talk about how my own career was, let's say, limited by being a white male,
00:35:15.080
and in two corporate careers, I was told directly that I couldn't be promoted because I was white and male.
00:35:21.460
Now, when people hear that, they think, oh, this reverse discrimination thing, you're talking about, blah, blah, blah.
00:35:34.540
Did I say that black people are discriminating against me for being white?
00:35:41.900
In my entire life, I can think of zero cases where any black person ever discriminated against me.
00:35:56.420
Do you know who was discriminating against me when I was told I couldn't get promoted because I was white and male?
00:36:14.180
Because I hate rich white guys as much as anybody else who might hate them.
00:36:18.840
Now, of course, when I became a rich white guy, the first thing I did was try to increase the diversity.
00:36:32.160
But I've been on both sides of the conversation.
00:36:34.700
So, I've been on the side of the conversation where I would be denied opportunity because I was white.
00:36:39.380
But I've also been in the room, I've never admitted this before, I've also been in the room with other white people discussing how we've got to get some non-white people in this project or in this group or on this team or on this startup or something because it helps.
00:37:00.140
So, I've been, you know, it's one less thing you have to explain away.
00:37:04.500
Like, do you want to start a company and then it becomes a unicorn and after it becomes a unicorn, somebody says, every single person in your company is a white male.
00:37:19.060
So, as soon as you're a rich white male, the first thing you do is look to discriminate against poor white males.
00:37:28.520
And, you know, I would love to tell you I was above that impulse, but it's just self-interest.
00:37:35.760
You know, you're not really thinking in terms of discriminating.
00:37:39.200
You're thinking about what's good for yourself.
00:37:43.380
And what's good for myself is to live in a world that's diverse and nobody's complaining.
00:37:49.120
So, sometimes I try to make that world for myself.
00:37:53.360
So, if you imagine that there's something wrong with me because I pursue self-interest in a free market society, I would say, that's what the free market is supposed to do.
00:38:05.380
It's supposed to give me this playing field and then say, go pursue your self-interest as hard as you can.
00:38:15.160
Have you also noticed how, this is also a David Sachs observation, that Ukraine is, eastern Ukraine, it's not even all of Ukraine, just that little strip of Ukraine on the east, is the new organizing principle of American foreign policy.
00:38:33.580
Now, when I read the first sentence, I was like, what?
00:38:39.360
That that little part of Ukraine, that's our organizing principle for American, for all of our American foreign policy?
00:38:57.100
You know, Europe freezes, global south starves, and the U.S. has a recession.
00:39:04.420
All over a piece of real estate that has never been a vital U.S. interest.
00:39:12.940
We've changed our entire, and I would argue even Taiwan.
00:39:17.080
The risk of Taiwan being lost to China probably has something to do with Ukraine as well, doesn't it?
00:39:26.400
I mean, suddenly everything's about one strip of land in Ukraine that we don't give a shit about.
00:39:42.280
Explain how Ukraine could end in the best case scenario for the ending of the Ukraine conflict.
00:39:55.760
I'm not saying it's likely, but what would be the best case, the most optimistic case?
00:40:03.860
I think the best case would be Putin gets removed in a coup, but we get lucky, because remember, this is the best case.
00:40:12.820
That Putin gets removed in an internal coup, gets replaced with a leader who's more cautious.
00:40:20.180
He doesn't have to be less, you know, less, I don't know, Russia is great, but he needs to be more cautious, at least for a while.
00:40:32.040
Ukraine stays mostly intact, and nuclear power gets a huge boost, because nobody wants to be beholden to Russia.
00:40:40.360
So I think that the best case scenario is that the American energy companies maybe get a boost if we're providing more to Europe.
00:41:00.380
I mean, it doesn't look good, because we've spent all of our money.
00:41:02.640
And all of the Ukrainian women moved to the United States and married American men.
00:41:16.680
So, this is like a small story, but it's like connected.
00:41:22.780
So, Olivia Wilde, actress, and I guess she's a film producer, director now, has a new movie that's getting good reviews.
00:41:32.840
But she goes to this gala, academy, museum gala thing, wearing a brawless see-through gown.
00:41:41.900
And I see that, and I say to myself, 2022 is the year when children have to wonder about their mother's tits and ass being on the internet.
00:41:58.520
It's like, the number of people who have to worry about that now.
00:42:05.720
And he was complaining that his children, you know, his children have to see his 40-something-year-old wife showing her ass in a magazine because the fashion industry sort of forces her to do that.
00:42:21.540
And I thought, this is such a, this is such a 2022 problem of children seeing their mother's ass on Instagram.
00:42:32.900
There are a number of, there are some accounts that I follow on Instagram that every now and then you'll, you'll see that they've, you know, well, never mind.
00:42:47.080
So, one of the things that Yeh said on his controversial interview is that after watching Candace Owens' documentary about George Floyd,
00:42:57.720
he believes that George Floyd died of fentanyl and not from what the coroner concluded, which was the knee on his back slash neck.
00:43:07.780
And, of course, there is a lot of pushback on that because if there's one thing we can trust,
00:43:15.640
it's that a coroner in the year 2022, when every single one of our organization systems and leaders are corrupt,
00:43:26.220
one thing we can depend on is that a coroner told us the truth.
00:43:33.760
Now, you might say to yourself, if he had, if he had concluded that fentanyl had been the cause of death,
00:43:45.580
So, it could be, if you were like a conspiracy theorist, you would say,
00:43:51.440
what would a person who risks his life do in that situation?
00:44:07.820
Do you think the jurors found Chauvin guilty to save their own lives?
00:44:26.000
Let me say this in the least offensive way I can,
00:44:29.940
because what was going to come out of my mouth was going to be pretty bad.
00:44:33.000
Let me reword that in my head, and now I'm ready.
00:44:47.960
which would also require that the verdict was correct.
00:44:59.060
It's entirely possible that it's just what it looks like.
00:45:08.920
If you believe it because somebody told you it's true,
00:45:20.480
You can't believe that the coroner told you the truth.
00:45:29.140
A coroner lying would be the most ordinary thing in our world,
00:45:33.900
and a coroner lying in that situation would be almost guaranteed.
00:45:42.280
It doesn't matter, regardless of what Floyd died from,
00:45:48.140
the coroner could only give you one cause of death.
00:45:51.880
If the coroner had said fentanyl was the cause of death,
00:45:55.000
which I believe his original notes suggested it might be,
00:45:58.300
if the coroner said that, it would have been chaos.
00:46:11.840
there was only one thing the coroner could conclude,
00:46:19.140
I'm saying that would be a nice coincidence if it were also true.
00:46:33.420
because they're one argument without the other side.
00:47:03.160
that debunks the documentary you just believed.
00:48:03.320
that Katie Hobbs refuses to debate Carrie Lake,