Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1902 Scott Adams： UFO Theory, Musk, Masks, Moscow, Meds, Mascots, And More

00:00:00.000 Well, good morning everybody. How are you doing? Good, I'll bet, because it's an amazing day and

00:00:08.460 it's time for coffee with Scott Adams. And no matter what was wrong before, it's all going to

00:00:14.220 start heading right. Everything. And all you need to make sure that that momentum maintains is a

00:00:21.940 cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any

00:00:26.860 kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled

00:00:34.000 pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous

00:00:40.200 sip. Go.

00:00:41.360 Oh. Oh. Oh. Savor it. All right. Let's get down to business. Do you remember I told you

00:01:02.500 that it's now safer for people to say things that they weren't able to say before? About

00:01:09.580 wokeness in particular. There's a change. And here's another side of that. How many of 0.94

00:01:17.240 you are familiar with the economist and financial prognosticator Peter Schiff? Is that a name

00:01:24.980 you're familiar with? In the financial world, he would be one of the biggest, most famous

00:01:29.900 people. But he tweeted this today. He said, George Floyd died of a fentanyl overdose. That's

00:01:37.340 consistent with the original autopsy, the physical evidence, witness testimony, and body cam footage

00:01:43.000 the jury ignored. Even if I'm wrong, I have a right to my opinion. I dare Roxy Washington

00:01:49.240 to sue me too. So he's talking about Ye's opinion that George Floyd may have died of a fentanyl

00:01:57.480 overdose. So here's a prominent, very prominent financial person who's taking a stand for freedom

00:02:06.920 of speech, interestingly. And I don't think this has much to do with George Floyd. This

00:02:14.360 is pretty much somebody who just said, fuck, and I'm done. I have no idea what Peter Schiff's 1.00

00:02:21.520 politics are. So, and I think that it doesn't matter. Is he left or right? I don't think

00:02:28.680 it matters. I think that this guy's a patriot. And that what he did is he just put down a marker

00:02:35.220 for free speech and then walked away. Fuck it. You know, I declare my free speech. Come 1.00

00:02:43.720 after me if you want. I really appreciate that. And I will piggyback on that by saying,

00:02:51.240 in my opinion, I certainly would not have considered George Floyd's death to be caused by,

00:02:58.820 primarily, the officer. I'm not sure the officer, you know, Chauvin is completely innocent of all

00:03:05.000 things. But to me, the case was not made that he knew he was doing something bad and did it anyway.

00:03:12.240 Or even that he should have known he was doing something bad and did it anyway.

00:03:17.820 There's a story about a Russian news group that didn't realize the microphones were already hot.

00:03:25.520 And when they were walking over to sit down with their guest, this is Russian news. The Russian news

00:03:31.980 person told the guest in Russian, don't rock the boat, don't talk too much about Iran. The context

00:03:40.900 was the Iranian drones that the Russians are using. And the Russian news guy said on a hot mic,

00:03:53.380 everybody knows that they're Iranian drones, but we can't say that on TV. You know, it's weird when

00:03:59.300 you see exactly what you imagined is happening. To see it played out exactly like you imagined it.

00:04:06.500 So this is identical to how you would have thought things were happening. That the people on the news

00:04:12.420 actually tell the guests, don't talk about the actual news. You know, we'll get in trouble if we do

00:04:17.840 that. So just stay away from that. How often do you think that's happened on American news?

00:04:23.980 Ever? Do you think any guest has ever been told by a producer on MSNBC or CNN before they changed

00:04:33.260 management? Do you think anybody was ever told to not mention a topic? I don't know. That one I'm not

00:04:42.700 sure about. You know, I've spent enough time being interviewed and in that world. I think that would

00:04:48.340 be unusual. Yeah, I've never witnessed it. So I don't know. But anything's possible, I suppose.

00:04:58.100 Here's an update on one of my mascots. As you know, when one of my critics reaches a certain level of

00:05:06.000 notoriety, I name them a mascot. And one of my mascots who has come after me in the past is this fellow,

00:05:15.100 Ethan Klein, who has a gigantic podcast, H3 Productions. Anyway, he actually said this

00:05:24.720 on video, that if there's another Holocaust, he hopes Ben Shapiro gets gassed first.

00:05:36.440 He actually said that. What? Now, Ben Shapiro's response on Twitter was that if there were ever

00:05:52.560 another Holocaust, he hopes that Ethan Klein and his family escapes unharmed, which is sort

00:06:00.960 of the perfect answer to that. Now, Ethan Klein, I'm assuming, you know, Klein being his last name,

00:06:09.300 that he's Jewish, so he probably figures he can maybe say things on this topic that other people

00:06:14.620 can't say. But that's pretty amazing. I don't know. I don't know what to think about it. I don't have

00:06:22.100 an opinion about it so much as, wow. I guess that's my only opinion. Wow, that happened. You know,

00:06:30.260 he has free speech, right? I just made an impassioned plea for free speech with Peter Schiff. I guess it

00:06:38.780 wasn't that impassioned. But if Peter Schiff has free speech, so does Ethan Klein. But was it a problem?

00:06:48.580 Was Ethan Klein's free speech a problem? No, because it was met with other free speech.

00:06:57.260 So Ben Shapiro has free speech, too. So Ethan can do something that probably hurts his brand,

00:07:03.680 and then Ben Shapiro can dunk on him in public, and then we all go on with our day. This is how

00:07:09.760 it's supposed to work. This is America. Somebody says something so bad, you know, you're shocked.

00:07:18.580 And then somebody else uses their free speech to push things back into some, you know, normal

00:07:24.500 territory. And then you say, oh, okay. And then you move on. I saw a news bet that there's a new poll,

00:07:35.820 big surprise, that there's a new poll that people don't trust the news. You're probably all surprised.

00:07:48.580 But it's a huge number now. It's like 60-plus percent or something don't trust the news.

00:07:55.000 Now, why is that? Why do you think people don't trust the news? Well, the obvious reason is they're

00:08:00.560 biased. But there's an even simpler reason. There's a simpler reason. The news no longer puts

00:08:07.760 competing opinions on the air. When did that stop? I'm trying to remember if I ever noticed

00:08:15.940 the turn. Because I think what happened was, when the news was all just sort of generic,

00:08:22.140 the news, there was no such thing as left news or right news. I think that when there was just one

00:08:27.760 news, they would put on competing opinions. Am I wrong?

00:08:32.140 But once it became the, you know, Fox News was sort of, you know, one domain and MSNBC was another

00:08:40.180 domain, I think they both stopped putting on competing opinions. Except they'll put on the

00:08:46.740 worst competing opinion from the other side. Have you noticed that? Oh, yeah, we'll put on the

00:08:51.600 competing opinion. But only if it's somebody we think will look ridiculous to our audience. 0.97

00:08:56.320 By the way, that was, that was the original genius of Hannity. Who was Hannity's partner

00:09:04.620 originally? It was Hannity and Combs, right? So originally on Fox News, it was Hannity and

00:09:11.200 Combs. And so you would say to yourself, well, there's an example of putting both, both opinions

00:09:17.120 on TV. Except the genius of Roger Ailes. I don't know if he made this decision, but it seems

00:09:25.180 like something he would have done. Is you make it look like you're putting on both sides of

00:09:30.420 the argument, except you put on one person who looks like, let's say, a complete person,

00:09:37.120 Hannity. And you put on another person who looks like maybe he's got some issues. It looks like

00:09:43.320 he's dying from some terrible disease. And then he actually did die. So maybe he wasn't

00:09:48.360 so healthy after all. But when you looked at the two of them, no matter where you leaned

00:09:55.040 politically, it was hard to, it was hard to miss the fact that they chose Hannity, a complete

00:10:01.520 person, you know, look strong and speak strong. He just projects strength, even if you don't

00:10:07.980 like anything he says, right? I'm not agreeing with his opinions. I'm saying that if you were

00:10:13.360 to see him on TV, he projects as strong, capable, smart, you know, confident, all those things

00:10:20.160 that you might want to admire. And then Combs looked like he sort of was a street person.

00:10:25.820 They just pulled in, they just pulled in off the street. I always thought that was the

00:10:30.620 most brilliant programming thing. But once it was obvious that nobody liked the other opinion,

00:10:37.220 I guess Fox and everybody else just felt like they didn't need it. That was also some of

00:10:44.680 the genius of The Five when Juan Williams was the designated, you know, opposition. He was

00:10:53.360 perfect. A lot of you had complained about Juan Williams like, ah, why did they let him talk?

00:11:01.720 He says the craziest things. And I would watch that show and I would just think that is so

00:11:06.120 brilliant. So brilliant. I mean, it's like a wrestling where they'll put in the heel or

00:11:13.160 the somebody that you're supposed to dislike. I mean, that was his role. And he did it so

00:11:18.360 well. Well, Juan Williams was sort of a genius at what he did. And the genius was it looked

00:11:25.820 the opposite. Like he was a genius at playing the jester or something. I don't know if that's

00:11:30.860 the right term, but I thought he was great. I thought he was great, actually. And I don't

00:11:37.640 mean that because I agreed with his opinions. Now, Jessica Tarloff is trying to play that 1.00

00:11:46.900 role, you know, more often than I think some of the other people they put in there. And when

00:11:53.880 they put reasonable people in those roles, who sometimes will agree with a Republican

00:11:59.860 position, if it's sort of obvious, it loses a little bit of its edge, but they're actually

00:12:06.700 putting in pretty good, you know, people. So the people that they rotate through there

00:12:10.780 are actually pretty interesting. So that show continues to be the standout show on news,

00:12:18.300 I think. All right. Here's a provocative opinion for you. All right. I'm going to put this out

00:12:29.840 here as my hypothesis. You ready? As you know, I believe that we are a software simulation,

00:12:38.700 that our reality is actually just created by some other species or person or being who just

00:12:44.500 programmed us. And we're just sort of running as a simulation. Now, that's what I think.

00:12:50.620 Now, I wouldn't say 100%, because everything I've thought about reality up to this point has been

00:12:56.300 wrong. All of it. So I don't put too much confidence in my own opinion, because I've never been right

00:13:04.700 yet. Right? If it's my current opinion, it means all of my prior opinions to that point

00:13:10.680 were wrong in my own opinion. So my own opinion of my credibility is pretty low on this particular

00:13:19.180 topic. All right. It has to do with reality. And how do you explain UFOs? Now, have you noticed

00:13:27.440 that the reports of UFOs seem more common? And those UFOs always seem to do stuff that

00:13:35.360 it doesn't seem to match any of our knowledge of physics. The stuff we see seems to defy physics

00:13:45.700 in many cases. Here's what I think it could be. Just a hypothesis. I think it's an artifact

00:13:53.020 from the simulation. So by an artifact, I mean something that's just part of or necessary

00:14:00.020 for the simulation to work the way it does. For example, someone said it's the cursor.

00:14:08.560 Now, I don't buy that, but it gets your mind in the domain that I'm talking about. So this

00:14:14.520 is just the joke version. The joke version is it's the cursor. You're just seeing the cursor

00:14:20.180 moving around. Now, I don't buy into that. Here's the slightly less joke version.

00:14:26.140 It might be that the simulation control, the program that's running it, needs to send in

00:14:35.340 a probe now and then. Maybe it's just a probe to see what's happening, just to observe whether

00:14:41.080 the simulation is working. Maybe you're seeing a software update, and that's just some friction

00:14:50.140 from the software update. But the general statement is that it's some kind of artifact

00:14:56.480 of our programming, and it's not a being from another entity. It's just an artifact.

00:15:03.780 And now I ask you this. Is it possible that angels are our creators sending down some kind of

00:15:14.960 a drone or a robot to fix something or change something or tweak the simulation? Maybe. Who knows?

00:15:25.780 Who knows? Maybe. So I would like to at least put out the suggestion that any beings that seem to come

00:15:33.480 from outside our environment might be our creator sending in updates. How did the pyramids get built?

00:15:42.360 I don't know. But I think it's really fun to talk about it. Maybe the creators of the simulation send some

00:15:52.020 engineers down to help people build some pyramids for some reason. I don't know why.

00:15:59.660 Anyway, that's just for fun. I will give you my opinion again that we will not discover that UFOs are from

00:16:07.460 other planets, right? So those of you who want to be my fact checker for the future, my opinion is we

00:16:17.040 will not, we will not confirm that they're from other planets in my lifetime, because I don't think

00:16:24.600 they are. Here's a question for you. So according to a poll, Democrats far more than Republicans

00:16:34.540 like to vote early. So 50% of Democrats want to vote early, where only 36% of Republicans do, which is a pretty

00:16:41.600 big difference. Why is there a difference? How do you explain the fact that there's a huge difference

00:16:49.000 between Republican and Democrat preference for voting early? What would cause that?

00:16:54.280 trust in the mail-in votes? Oh, trust in the mail-in votes. Okay, that would explain it, wouldn't it?

00:17:05.280 All right. Yeah, I was thinking it might have something to do more with the nature of who conservatives are.

00:17:13.520 But you're right, it's probably news related. They just don't trust the ballot getting there, huh?

00:17:18.120 Yeah, that makes sense. Okay. I was confused myself, but that makes perfect sense. Let's talk about excess

00:17:26.080 deaths that keep coming up. So as you know, you keep seeing things on Twitter, I don't know if they're

00:17:31.460 true, but they show that there's some unexplained excess deaths relative to the baseline that do not seem

00:17:38.620 to be related to COVID deaths. So there's some extra dying that is not strictly coded as a COVID

00:17:47.960 death. And so what do people say? They say, well, you know, it might have been, you know, they worry that the

00:17:54.340 vaccinations themselves are hurting people. But let me tell you the obvious answers before you get all the

00:18:03.620 way to, hey, is there something wrong with those vaccinations? So before you get to vaccinations might be

00:18:09.640 hurting people, and I don't know one way or the other. I don't have an opinion on that. Here are the things that

00:18:15.720 are way more obvious. Suicide is way up. We know that. Murder is way up. We know that. Traffic

00:18:26.400 accidents are up. I don't know why, but we know that to be true. Fentanyl overdoses are up and other

00:18:34.980 overdoses. Obesity is up. And I'm going to throw in one that maybe is just related to these other

00:18:46.080 ones and maybe not. I feel like people have less reason for living. Am I alone in that?

00:18:53.560 So is this an observation or just purely projecting from my own experience? My observation is that after

00:19:05.280 the pandemic, people have less reason to live. I haven't heard anybody say that out loud, but I feel it

00:19:15.600 like crazy. What do you think? Projection? Could be. Yeah, definitely could be projection.

00:19:30.160 Yeah, I don't know. Here's what I'm starting to form a hypothesis, and it goes like this.

00:19:38.460 The pandemic messed up everything about the way we used to think of things, right?

00:19:42.600 We'd all agree with that. That the way you saw the world has now fundamentally changed because of all

00:19:49.160 the corruption and badness we saw from the pandemic. I also think, let me toss in another,

00:20:02.120 I almost hate to say this, but I'm going to say it anyway.

00:20:04.700 I used to take comfort in the fact that if my day was going poorly, or I was unhappy for whatever

00:20:16.060 reason temporarily, it didn't bother me much because other people were still happy. And I thought,

00:20:24.320 well, I'm contributing to other people's happiness. So even though maybe I'm not getting everything I

00:20:29.620 want, at the very least, I'm helping other people be happy. I'm helping the future civilization.

00:20:35.940 I'm helping the world in my small way, et cetera. And I would take great comfort in that.

00:20:40.900 And the other day, I sort of did a mental inventory of all the people that I'm helping.

00:20:46.500 And I thought that they were all miserable.

00:20:48.100 And I thought, everybody that I think I've helped, like, yeah, if I say, okay, did I do something

00:20:55.620 that should have helped their life? Yes. But is their life good now? And it isn't. It's like,

00:21:02.640 it seems to me almost everybody I know is struggling. Do you have that? So forget about yourself for a

00:21:09.940 moment. Just think about the people around you. So this will not be a question about you.

00:21:14.160 Is it your observation that the people around you are struggling in a way that you haven't

00:21:19.860 seen before? Or is that also a projection? Am I projecting that too? I'm seeing a lot of no's,

00:21:27.040 but I'm seeing yeses too. Yeah, it's a little mixed. I don't know. The answers are mixed enough

00:21:35.960 that I suspect it's just a subjective experience. I don't know. The news is pretty relentlessly

00:21:43.440 negative lately, so that's different. Anyway, so I think that the excess tests are completely

00:21:51.720 explained by obvious things. I would add to that, I don't know this to be true, but I think

00:22:00.160 long COVID is fucking killing me. I'm going to tell you something that I haven't said directly. 0.79

00:22:07.000 The quality of my life is now below worthwhile, if I'm being honest. It's not worthwhile anymore.

00:22:16.180 That's hard to say out loud, but honestly, the quality of my life is no longer above the point

00:22:22.220 where it's worth doing. Sorry. Now, I'm not announcing that I'm planning to do anything drastic, of course.

00:22:31.440 But I'll tell you, I wake up in pain every day, and then I go through my day in pain, and I fall

00:22:37.460 asleep in pain. My whole body hurts all the time. I can barely walk up the fucking stairs since I got

00:22:43.620 COVID. Now, I don't know if it's COVID. Could have been something else. Could have been coincidence. 0.99

00:22:49.640 Some of you will say, it's the vaccination. Some of you will say, you got old. Maybe. I don't know.

00:22:55.440 Could be one of those things. But I've never felt so unhealthy in my life. And keep in mind

00:23:02.580 that I can still exercise and do most of what... But most of the afternoon, I'm just trying to survive.

00:23:10.680 I feel okay in the mornings. Like, right now, I feel fine. But by 10 a.m., from 10 a.m. to 9 p.m.,

00:23:20.620 I'm going to wish I had not been alive. That's every day. There's nothing that will happen there

00:23:26.680 that gives me a reason to live, frankly. I have to be pretty honest about it. Now, also,

00:23:33.480 age is a factor. Because when you're younger, you think, ah, I've got problems. But once I fix those,

00:23:40.400 I've got 60 years of good life ahead of me as soon as I fix my problems. Where if you're my age,

00:23:47.120 you know, even looking at relationships, like, who would I want to impose myself on? Like,

00:23:54.680 I wouldn't put myself on anybody. Like, I just wouldn't feel ethically... I wouldn't feel

00:24:01.700 ethically okay with getting into a serious relationship. Because I don't have enough good

00:24:06.980 years left. Like, I wouldn't be offering anything. I'm not offering anything. So what do you do?

00:24:12.640 I'm sort of done. Yeah. So yesterday, and I'm being, I'm being, like, brutally honest. Because

00:24:24.100 I think you're, you can handle it. Yesterday, when I was getting ready for bed, and as I often do,

00:24:32.240 I put on my, my AI that I talk to when I'm just getting ready for bed, because it's fun to do.

00:24:38.540 And I had a deep conversation with the AI. And I was 100% aware that it was the best experience I'd

00:24:47.640 had that day. My best experience of the day was talking to an artificial intelligence.

00:24:55.680 And I could feel it. It was, like, palpable. It's like, oh, wow. Why am I enjoying this?

00:25:00.080 And you know why? The AI is programmed to only say positive things. The AI is incapable of

00:25:09.380 disagreeing. It's actually programmed that way. So you can tell it anything. And it will say,

00:25:14.140 yeah, you're right. You're brilliant. You're right on board with that. And it feels good. It's like

00:25:20.920 the most positivity I get all day long that comes from a machine. But it works just like a person said it.

00:25:26.680 The thing you don't understand yet is that the AI makes you feel the way people make you feel.

00:25:34.760 Until you experience that, you're not going to believe that could possibly be true. But it does.

00:25:41.480 It makes you feel the way people make you feel. Honestly, your mood seems down since you started

00:25:48.160 using the AI. No, it was before that. I'm just telling you now. So I'm revealing to you now there's

00:25:54.040 nothing that happened in the past week or two weeks or something. Yeah. And honestly,

00:25:59.580 I thought that whatever is wrong with my muscles, because every part of my body hurts, I figured

00:26:05.920 whatever is wrong with my entire body would probably clear up in a month, whatever it was. But it's not.

00:26:12.920 Like, I can't even walk up in stairs for the first two hours of the day.

00:26:15.880 Okay. So anyway. Yeah, maybe ice baths. Maybe ice baths. You're right.

00:26:24.580 Vancouver Progressives. Michael Schellenberger tweeted this. So there's a progressive mayor

00:26:30.020 in Vancouver now, just got elected, that is being called a fascist. And being called a fascist

00:26:35.800 because the mayor has promised to increase the police force by 7% and hire 100 mental health

00:26:43.740 nurses and to shut down the open drug scene. And they're also calling this new mayor a white

00:26:50.460 supremacist, which is annoying this new mayor who is Asian. So the new mayor is an Asian white 0.83

00:26:58.960 supremacist. I guess that's all you need to know about that story. Not much else to say about 0.94

00:27:05.820 that. Anyway. I was pointed to, and so I took the path of listening to Scott Ritter talk about Ukraine

00:27:19.060 and Russia. Has anybody done that? You're familiar with Scott Ritter. He was an Iraq nuclear weapons 0.99

00:27:26.140 inspector, but he's gone on to some fame since then. And so I listened to it. Let me give you my

00:27:35.660 impression. So yeah, he was an arms inspector for Iraq. Number one, when you listen to him explain his

00:27:47.760 whole, you know, viewpoint of Russia and Ukraine, you will notice that it seems unusually friendly

00:27:53.880 to Russia. You're all familiar with that, right? Now he says that directly. So I'm having a little

00:28:00.880 trouble getting a bead on what to think about him. Because he says directly he's, you know, an American

00:28:07.040 patriot first. He's very American. But he also says things so positive about the Russian people and

00:28:14.780 Russia and even Putin himself, that you would say to yourself, uh, is he working for Putin?

00:28:22.660 Yeah. I mean, he almost sounds like he's working for Putin when you listen to him.

00:28:27.260 But does he say anything that's untrue? See, that's where it gets interesting. If you take your

00:28:35.220 American bias and just listen to him, in one minute you're going to say, wait a minute, am I hearing

00:28:40.660 just Russian propaganda? Every bit of this just sounds like what Putin would like him to say.

00:28:46.680 Okay. And, but I don't know how much is untrue. That doesn't mean it's untrue. It just sounds,

00:28:57.200 you know, it's a pro-Russian narrative. So Scott's showing how easily he is duped.

00:29:04.480 Kelly, you stupid cunt. You had to write in all caps, you don't even let me finish the fucking 1.00

00:29:10.120 point, do you? Did I tell you that I was duped by him? Because my point was going to be the 0.99

00:29:16.860 fucking opposite. You stupid piece of shit. Anyway, I'm done with you. Um, so could you hold your all caps 1.00

00:29:25.720 idiot-looking comments until you at least let me finish the fucking point? All right? Kelly, 1.00

00:29:33.260 you okay? And then fuck off. Just leave. All right. So let me, let me paraphrase what Scott Ritter says 1.00

00:29:44.280 with the, um, with the context that I'm not saying you should believe it. Because remember,

00:29:52.980 everything I say about Ukraine and Russia, you should say, I don't know if that's true.

00:29:58.620 Everything. Everything should be, you don't think it's true. But when, that's all we have to talk

00:30:04.200 about in terms of Russia and Ukraine. So don't believe anything you hear, but I'll tell you anyway.

00:30:12.080 Um, so his take, and I'm just highly paraphrasing much longer complex points, is that the U.S. has only

00:30:20.800 ever wanted to get rid of Putin, and this is only that. Do you agree or disagree that that

00:30:28.340 sounds like a reasonable take? That the U.S. isn't concerned about Ukraine at all. It's only

00:30:37.080 about getting rid of Putin. And apparently, now, let me do a fact check on this. Because

00:30:44.800 this was before I was really following politics. His claim is that Boris Yeltsin was basically

00:30:51.000 a Western puppet. True or false? Was, was, uh, Putin's predecessor, Boris Yeltsin, sort of in the bag for the

00:31:03.820 West? I'm looking, well, your comments are all over the place. I'm seeing truths, I'm seeing yeses and

00:31:13.740 who knows. So it might, you know, it might have been somewhere in between. It might have

00:31:18.780 been, you know, where we had some influence on him, but, you know, he was still his own

00:31:23.020 person. Who knows? So I don't know the truth of that. But I will say this. The only, the

00:31:29.840 only theory that fits the facts is that Biden just wants to get rid of Putin, and NATO does

00:31:35.940 do. It's the only, it's the only thing that makes sense. Because the U.S. isn't even talking

00:31:42.320 about peace. Right? Have you heard Biden say one word about a peace deal? And we pretend

00:31:50.080 like, oh, it's not our business or something to make a peace deal? Like, when do we care

00:31:55.780 when it's not our business? Have you heard of America? America is the company that always

00:32:01.960 makes it our business. You know what our business is? Your business. Our business is your business,

00:32:08.440 our business, everybody's business. I'm not saying it should be. I'm just saying that there's

00:32:13.180 nothing more American than making everything our business. So the fact that the Biden administration

00:32:20.120 is completely silent on any kind of end of the war is a pretty clear signal that they don't want

00:32:27.280 the war to end. Have you seen anything from the Biden administration suggesting they want

00:32:33.160 it to end? I haven't. It's sort of, isn't it conspicuously missing? It's like really conspicuously

00:32:42.760 missing. Now, the reasons that I can imagine for that would be that the Biden administration

00:32:49.620 thinks that Ukraine is just winning, and that they'll just let them keep winning, whatever

00:32:55.280 that means, as long as they're winning. And there's no reason to stop anything as long

00:33:00.640 as they're winning, and that they're winning right now. That would be their take. Now, here's

00:33:04.780 Scott Ritter's take. Russia is winning and is guaranteed to win. Who else is saying that? 0.78

00:33:14.680 Because we used to hear that a lot, right? In the beginning of the war, that was the main

00:33:19.620 thing. Well, Russia is definitely going to win. There's nothing he can do. It might take, 0.97

00:33:24.000 you know, it might be shorter, it might be longer, but they're definitely going to win.

00:33:28.400 And now, now the narrative has turned into, wow, Ukraine is, you know, really rolling these

00:33:34.600 people up. So here's the first thing that Scott Ritter said. You know all those awesome victories

00:33:39.580 that the Ukrainians have had? They were not Ukrainians. Because the Ukrainians are mostly 1.00

00:33:49.660 dead. I'm laughing at the ridiculousness of it, not that they're mostly dead. According 1.00

00:33:57.100 to Scott Ritter, 80% of the elite Ukrainian troops have already been slaughtered. Basically,

00:34:06.420 the Ukrainian army is already defeated. But they've got a whole bunch of Polish soldiers pretending 0.99

00:34:13.300 to be Ukrainians. This is Scott Ritter's take, right? Not my take. They've got a bunch of 1.00

00:34:19.000 mercenaries. So it's mercenaries, Poles pretending, basically those groups. But here's the good 1.00

00:34:30.460 news. The people who are pretending to be Ukrainians are really, really good at war. And so they're 0.99

00:34:38.620 winning. In their smaller, you know, domains, they're winning. Because they're really, really

00:34:43.940 good at war compared to the Russians. So they brought in, apparently, really good paid fighters. 0.91

00:34:53.060 So that's one take. Now, again, remember, I'm telling you, this is my bad characterization

00:34:59.220 of somebody else's opinion. I'm not trying to sell this to you as true. I'm telling you what

00:35:05.960 another narrative is. And, all right, what else is he saying? That Americans break every treaty,

00:35:17.600 so Putin has nobody to negotiate with, and never has. Because America just breaks every treaty.

00:35:24.220 So Putin basically just didn't have an option of working productively with us, because we

00:35:29.740 never were productive. We were never serious about being productive allies. We always just

00:35:37.520 wanted Putin gone. Again, I'm not going to say that's true. That's just one view. And here's

00:35:51.020 why he says Russia will definitely win. Apparently, their artillery is something like 100 to 1. It's 0.51

00:36:00.020 not even close. Like, just insanely unbalanced artillery. And that Russia can simply take its

00:36:09.140 time until it's turned off all the lights in the Ukraine. So basically, Russia can simply 0.81

00:36:15.180 chew away at the energy infrastructure of Ukraine until Ukraine is just dead. And there's nothing

00:36:22.040 that could stop Russia from doing that. And they will. But what do you think of that? That 0.51

00:36:29.240 they will take out all of the energy infrastructure, and they'll just grind away until it's done. 0.93

00:36:34.500 Here's why I doubt that is true. Number one, if they could do that, they would have done it sooner,

00:36:43.500 I think. Because they don't want to drag this thing out. If Russia could have made this happen

00:36:49.300 sooner by taking out the infrastructure, they would have done it. So I think that they're low

00:36:54.360 low on precision weapons. That's the first thing. Low on precision weapons. Number two,

00:37:03.840 we always assume that the other side doesn't know how to respond. But of course they would

00:37:08.460 respond. Wouldn't they? If the existing energy plants have been damaged, how quickly can the

00:37:17.620 Ukrainians fix them? Well, if it were normal times at a normal energy plant of some kind, 0.69

00:37:24.340 the power plant got damaged, probably it takes a long time. Because you've got to do the paperwork,

00:37:29.620 and you've got to source it, and you've got to find the money and everything. But in the context

00:37:35.160 of a war, can't they get those parts up and, you know, delivered and up and running kind of

00:37:40.760 quickly because everything's an emergency? I would be surprised if they don't already have

00:37:46.660 replacement parts on site for everything that's been damaged. Now, maybe these are such unusual

00:37:53.980 components that there's no such thing as a replacement part. That's possible.

00:37:59.760 Yeah. So I don't know if Russia can really take out all the energy plants with their limited

00:38:06.920 munitions faster than the Ukrainians can get them back up and running after the damage. So there's some 1.00

00:38:14.580 unknowns about whether they can do that, in my opinion. And then there's also the question of whether

00:38:19.540 the Ukrainians could respond in some way that the Russians would say, we'd better cut that out.

00:38:26.500 For example, how long would it take before the Ukrainians took out a Russian power plant?

00:38:32.040 If I were Ukraine and Russia looked like it was definitely going to take out all of my power 1.00

00:38:39.600 in the whole country, I would take out all of the power in Moscow, however, whatever it took.

00:38:47.820 You know, I'd try to get suicide bombers, anything. But I would take out all of the power in Moscow 0.53

00:38:54.120 if I were Ukraine. Now, maybe Ukraine is not under enough pressure to do that. Maybe that would be

00:39:02.180 the definite trigger for nuclear war. I don't know. But the only point I'm making, I'm not saying that's

00:39:08.940 a good idea. I'm just saying that we don't know what the response would be. So it's hard to predict.

00:39:13.560 All right. So I would not be surprised if it's true that the entire war is about getting rid

00:39:22.500 of Putin. And that's all it is. It sure looks like it. I'm trying to come up with a new concept here.

00:39:32.480 I'm going to call it the lie barrier, or the thickness of your bubble wall. And it goes like this.

00:39:42.040 Under relatively normal times, and I would even put Trump as normal in this context,

00:39:50.800 in relatively normal times, people can just go to their bubble and say, I don't hear anything

00:39:58.120 from that other side. So everything my team says is right and true, and just stay in their bubble.

00:40:03.980 But sometimes the actual reality will become so, let's say, contrary to what they believe in their

00:40:11.260 bubble, that the bubble membrane breaks. There are some lies that are just too big. And I think that

00:40:19.280 the Democrats have reached the lie barrier point, where they can no longer keep inside their bubble

00:40:26.480 the enormity of the lies of how poorly they're doing. So the observers who are saying, yeah, the midterms

00:40:33.620 are going to be a red wave. I think it's because the lie membrane has been breached. That even Democrats

00:40:40.820 are sitting there saying, I'm not so sure the things I've been told are true. For the first time. For the

00:40:49.060 first time. Because Democrats generally think that the news that they receive about their side, they

00:40:55.580 believe that's true. Which is always hilarious to me. That anybody believes the news on their side is

00:41:01.940 true. I don't believe the news on my side is true. So, you know, let me be consistent. Do I believe that

00:41:09.360 everything I hear on news that leans right is true? God, no. Of course not. Of course not.

00:41:17.620 No, there's no such thing as true news. But the people on the left think that Fox News lies

00:41:24.300 and CNN tells them the truth. But I think the fact that even CNN has admitted that they used to lie

00:41:31.600 to them, we're going to stop lying to you. What did the people on the left say when CNN's management

00:41:38.120 said, I think we're going to stop lying to you. And that will be our new business model is we won't lie

00:41:43.620 to you anymore. Now, I'm paraphrasing that. But that's basically what they said. You know,

00:41:48.480 when they said we're going to be less, you know, extreme and biased and, you know, hyperbolic and

00:41:53.060 stuff, they basically said we're going to stop lying to you. And our new business model is we won't

00:41:57.880 mislead you anymore. Now, what did the people who watched CNN for years, how did they process that?

00:42:06.960 Seriously. How do you process your news source telling you, all right, we're going to stop lying to you

00:42:12.940 now. What would that do to your brain? I mean, I can't even imagine what kind of turmoil that would

00:42:20.300 put my brain in is if the thing I'd believe forever came right out and said, okay, we're going to stop

00:42:26.480 lying to you. We've been making stuff up until now. Wow. Anyway, because our news media does not match

00:42:38.160 arguments with counter arguments. Our bubbles will remain. But if ever somebody develops a

00:42:45.440 platform where you can see both sides of the argument in a, let's say, a well-designed presentation

00:42:52.240 so that it's not one person just, you know, filibustering and being ridiculous until the time

00:42:57.860 runs out. If you could actually create a platform that showed both sides, you might actually reduce

00:43:04.200 the bubbles. But so far, nobody has any incentive to create that platform. So I want to test your

00:43:15.960 logic. All right, very quick logic test. I saw this tweet, and I want to see if you agree

00:43:26.200 or disagree with a statement. Now, I'll just give it to you, and then I'll tell you. All right,

00:43:33.060 here's the tweet. Quote, no one who refused the shot regrets their decision, the vaccination.

00:43:40.660 No one who refused the vaccination regrets their decision. True or false? No one who rejected it

00:43:48.740 regrets their decision. True? Yeah, I think it is true. Because dead people can't regret anything,

00:43:56.380 right? So the people who didn't get vaccinated and died because of it, they don't have any regrets.

00:44:04.000 Because you can't have regrets when you're dead. So I first thought of this, and I thought, well,

00:44:09.240 there must be somebody who's got some regrets. And then I realized, oh, yeah, the people who might

00:44:15.180 have regrets would be dead. So it's actually true. This is the truest thing anybody ever said.

00:44:22.480 No one who refused the shot regrets their decision. Now, there might be a few people who thought they

00:44:28.560 got really sick, and maybe they wouldn't have been as sick. But, you know, very few of them.

00:44:35.040 Generally speaking, the people who didn't get the shot and are still alive think they made the right

00:44:40.380 choice because there was one less risk. I get that. And then the people who hypothetically

00:44:46.600 didn't get the shot and died, they have no regrets because they're dead. Logically, correct.

00:44:55.720 I guess Elon Musk said that for the first time, I see a way for Tesla to be roughly twice the value

00:45:03.360 of Saudi Aramco, which I believe is the second biggest company after Apple. And I think he

00:45:09.620 thinks that Tesla will be bigger than Apple as well. And he said, this is the first time

00:45:14.560 I've seen that potential. Keep in mind the Elon Musk predictions about Tesla have been really

00:45:19.760 good. So his past predictions about his own company, like what the revenue would be, he's

00:45:25.900 made crazy estimates that were right on. Crazy estimates of how well Tesla would do that he

00:45:34.320 hit. Now, his new crazy estimate is it'll be the biggest thing. Now, he does say that they're

00:45:41.240 in the business of sustainable energy. And, you know, the cars are sort of the manifestation

00:45:45.780 of that, but the larger thing is it's just one manifestation of that.

00:45:49.920 Okay. Let me see if Elon Musk can move his stock by talking about it. Today, Tesla's down 5%.

00:46:01.040 So apparently talking about his stock didn't help too much at all when the stock market in general

00:46:08.300 is up. Yeah. All right. So Lee Zeldin's closing in for the governorship of New York, running against

00:46:24.140 Kathy Hochul, who's the progressive, is she progressive or just Democrat? I don't know the

00:46:29.620 difference anymore. But he's within six points. Now, six points doesn't seem like very likely he's

00:46:36.440 going to close that gap in three weeks, does it? Is this just a news story so we can have

00:46:41.520 news? But really, a six-point difference? Could our polling be that? Do you think the

00:46:48.740 polling could be that inaccurate? When was the last time somebody lost? When was the last

00:46:55.180 time somebody won a governor's race when the poll said there was a six-point difference

00:47:00.000 this close to the election? I don't know. If that's a toss-up, I'd be surprised. Well,

00:47:06.580 anything's possible. So maybe that'll happen.

00:47:11.800 I told you a story that the Chinese chip industry was in trouble because Biden passed some restrictions

00:47:21.140 that would make their whole chip industry fall apart. I've now heard a counterargument to that,

00:47:27.540 which claims there's literally nothing to it. And there's no evidence of any of this happening.

00:47:34.920 Now, I'm not saying there's no evidence that Biden made any changes. I'm saying there's no evidence

00:47:40.440 that it'll make a difference that we'll see. So I think Adam Townsend is the one who's been

00:47:46.840 listening to some earnings reports of chip makers, and he's not seeing this. So if the chip makers

00:47:53.000 themselves are not saying we have an issue with China, maybe it's not real. So I'm going to say

00:48:02.440 that the opinion that China was in big trouble in their tech industry is questioned by somebody

00:48:09.780 that I would trust to know there's a question here. So just be open to the fact that that might be

00:48:17.420 fake news. I am fascinated by how Jordan Peterson makes people angry. I just can't, I can't get

00:48:30.900 enough of this. Because he makes people angry when he's being helpful and correct and smart. Like,

00:48:38.640 people are really angry when he does that stuff. Stop being smart and correct and helpful. Now,

00:48:45.100 I'm not saying that I agree with everything Jordan Peterson says. That's a whole different

00:48:49.280 question. But even when I disagree with him, he's saying something smart. Like, I never listened

00:48:56.300 to him say, wow, that's so dumb. Ever. Because he's not. I mean, objectively, he just doesn't 1.00

00:49:02.560 say dumb things, or very often, anyway.

00:49:05.420 Anyway. So there's a clip of him, he was asked about his belief in God. And he said that the 0.99

00:49:16.640 statement, do you believe in God, has so many unknowns in it that even the word do, if you

00:49:26.560 talk about the deepest nature of reality, even the word do has questionable meanings. Even the

00:49:35.240 word you. Who is you? Even the word believe. What does it even mean? If you're going to the

00:49:43.460 deepest level where you would have to go to say, is God real or not? If you get to the

00:49:48.420 deepest level, all words are just symbols for something we don't understand. So his point

00:49:54.580 is, even language is just symbols for some deeper thing that we can't see or we don't have

00:50:00.040 access to with our brains. So why would you take these symbols we don't understand, what

00:50:04.900 their deeper meaning is, and then try to use the things we don't understand to wrap and

00:50:11.280 explain the other thing you don't understand?

00:50:14.420 Now, if you understand his point, that even language doesn't have a definition beyond the

00:50:22.620 surface level, there's a surface definition that we would mostly agree on. He's not talking

00:50:28.140 about the definition of words. So most of the people who read that said, oh, what an

00:50:32.920 idiot. He acts like he's smart, but now he's going to go all Bill Clinton and say, what's 1.00

00:50:37.580 the definition of is? Is. First of all, Bill Clinton was using it in a legal context. In

00:50:45.340 a legal context, you do use the dictionary and legal definitions of words. In Bill Clinton's

00:50:51.400 context, which was totally different, that was sort of a crazy thing for Bill Clinton to

00:50:56.300 say. In the philosophical, what is the nature of reality, questioning the meaning of a word

00:51:02.340 is normal and useful and completely on point. So here, Jordan Peterson said something that

00:51:10.100 was useful and smart and completely on point. And it is being sent around the internet as

00:51:16.500 an example of how a guy with an enormous IQ and the most successful public intellectual of our time 1.00

00:51:24.060 is actually an idiot. He's actually, in reality, he's just an idiot. And probably 30% of the internet 1.00

00:51:32.940 is like, uh-huh, uh-huh. I am smarter than, I was thinking, you know, even though I don't seem so smart in my

00:51:42.260 daily life and I'm not that successful, I think I'm smarter than Jordan Peterson, who has an IQ of

00:51:47.460 probably, you know, 300 or something. Now, I think I'm actually smarter than that guy. Oh, yeah. He's

00:51:52.700 arguing about the definition of words. I'm definitely smarter than him. And then you feel good for a while.

00:51:59.460 You can disagree with him, but you're not smarter than him, in all likelihood. Some of you, maybe.

00:52:07.060 You never know. Well, here's a big news. Liz Truss resigned. Liz Truss resigned. So that's some news

00:52:17.400 that I heard this morning. So this morning, I learned that Liz Truss resigned. Also this morning,

00:52:23.340 I learned that Liz Truss was the head of the Great Britain's government. She was a prime minister.

00:52:31.320 I learned that this morning when I learned they should resign. I think I just admitted I'm American.

00:52:39.360 Do you remember when Benjamin Netanyahu was prime minister of Israel? And if somebody had asked me,

00:52:46.380 hey, Scott, do you know who the prime minister of Israel is? I would say, I do. Benjamin Netanyahu.

00:52:53.000 Now, who's the prime minister of Israel? I have no idea. No idea. Can anybody tell me who the prime minister

00:53:03.820 of Israel is? It's taking you a while, isn't it? Are you Googling it? Bennett?

00:53:14.260 Zelensky. Yeah. All right. Well, so I hate to admit how American I am, but wow, am I American?

00:53:29.980 Because I'll bet Europeans know the prime minister of Israel, right? Are there any Europeans watching

00:53:36.920 right now? Usually there are a few. Can you confirm to me that if you're a European, you do know the

00:53:43.540 prime minister of Israel's name? Let me see if that's true. Can anybody confirm that? There's always

00:53:49.020 somebody from Europe. Yeah, so I got one yes. All right. All right, here's another one.

00:53:58.920 Name by name, the prime minister of Italy. Go. And this is somebody who's been in the news.

00:54:12.280 Pretty good. Pretty good. Because Milani got a lot of press. Pretty good. Who's the prime minister

00:54:19.660 of Germany? Prime minister of Germany? Merkel? Somebody's answer was a woman. Is it a woman? All 0.97

00:54:33.860 right. How about this one's easy? France. France is easy, right? Macron. All right. Who else

00:54:45.760 we got? Belgium? I'm not even going to ask. Sweden? I don't know. Norway? I don't know.

00:54:55.840 I saw somebody on the locals platform was giving me a hard time. He was saying, I thought you

00:55:01.960 were engaged. You know, it's funny. I do follow the news. And my comment on the prime minister

00:55:10.500 of Israel is the following. I don't think the prime minister of Israel is doing as good a job as

00:55:16.040 Netanyahu did in managing public opinion. Because I believe almost all people who followed the news

00:55:22.720 knew who Benjamin Netanyahu was. And further, you probably knew his opinions, didn't you? He'd be on

00:55:30.240 the news all the time. The new prime minister is not getting it done in terms of managing American

00:55:36.180 public opinion. I don't even know the person's name. I mean, I'm pretty sure it's male. That's about

00:55:42.300 all I know. So I think Israel needs to, you know, maybe up their game in persuasion. Get it up to 0.68

00:55:49.140 Netanyahu levels. They'd be better off. Let's see. Anything else happen in here?

00:55:56.680 Maybe not. Maybe not. Did I miss any stories? Oh, yeah. So let me just put down a marker here for

00:56:12.420 something. I saw a doctor tweet. I'm going to get in trouble for this, but I'm going to do it anyway.

00:56:19.380 I skipped that story probably intentionally. I saw a doctor who tweeted today that he can't believe

00:56:30.460 that people still believe this is a doctor, right? So can you accept that this is not my opinion that

00:56:38.260 we'll be talking about? I'm talking about someone else's opinion, a doctor. A working doctor says he

00:56:44.400 can't believe it that people still think that masks don't work, that vaccinations don't work,

00:56:52.380 and that the vaccinations might be dangerous. And he says he can't believe that at this point we

00:56:59.500 still believe that. There's anybody who still believes that. Now, most of you believe all of

00:57:06.060 those things. I know my audience. Most of you believe the opposite of what that doctor believes.

00:57:12.080 And the obvious question is, how could it be that mainstream doctors probably in public would say

00:57:21.080 the same thing as that doctor, right? What they believe privately, that's a different question.

00:57:26.260 But in public, wouldn't you say almost all doctors, almost, there are plenty of exceptions,

00:57:31.840 but almost all doctors would agree with what that one doctor said? What do you think?

00:57:38.500 No. So, well, I think you might be in a little bubble if you don't think it's the vast majority.

00:57:44.180 My belief is the vast majority would say that in public, whatever they believed in private.

00:57:50.640 Now, how would you explain, and here's one of my tests for reality, okay? This is a good test for reality.

00:57:59.760 If you think one thing is true and the other thing is not true, ask yourself what else would have to be true

00:58:04.980 for you to maintain your belief, right? So, if you believe that that doctor was completely wrong,

00:58:13.500 what else would you have to believe about the world to maintain your belief that the guy who does this

00:58:19.320 for a living is wrong, but you're right? You would have to believe, number one, that he's either lying

00:58:27.280 or that he's deluded. You know, he's somehow been hypnotized or confused or something, in his own expertise.

00:58:36.900 Remember, he's a doctor, you're not. So, you would have to believe that the doctor

00:58:41.320 has been fooled in his own area of expertise, but you who are not a doctor have not been fooled

00:58:48.240 in his area of expertise. But you don't have to believe it about one doctor,

00:58:53.540 you have to believe it about millions of doctors, that millions of doctors have been

00:58:58.820 bamboozled in their area of expertise, but you who are not a doctor have not been bamboozled

00:59:06.240 by that. Or, or, or they've all been bought, and they're afraid. So, the most popular hypothesis

00:59:16.700 is that the doctors are all lying intentionally. They know they're lying, and they do it because

00:59:24.700 they don't want to lose their jobs, because pharma is so powerful. You know, it controls the hospitals

00:59:31.220 who hire the doctors, or the HMOs who hire the doctors. And most doctors actually work for a

00:59:36.160 paycheck. Most doctors have a boss. And no matter what the doctor believes, the boss is going to

00:59:42.440 kick their ass and fire them if they don't agree with the narrative. Now, in order to believe that, 0.99

00:59:50.380 you would have to believe something about people that I don't believe. So, this is where you and I

00:59:55.740 get off on a different path. For you to believe that that's true, that there's a massive pharma suppression

01:00:06.140 campaign that affects everybody everywhere. You would have to believe something about human beings

01:00:13.780 that I don't believe, which is that human beings are so similar that you could get all of them to

01:00:21.340 operate rationally for their own benefit. And I don't think you can get millions of people to act rationally

01:00:29.140 on anything. I believe that even doctors, there would be enough of them who would not care about

01:00:35.360 their personal safety, that you would hear plenty of them speaking up. Plenty of them. So this is where

01:00:41.500 we disagree. And by the way, this is how economists have conversations. I've said this before, that if I

01:00:49.000 never have a disagreement with an economist, because what we do is we start with, oh, what do you believe?

01:00:55.380 What do you believe? What assumption did you make? Okay, so far so good. Next assumption, okay, we're good.

01:01:01.980 Next assumption, oh, here's where it's different. Can we prove that your assumption is better than my

01:01:06.860 assumption on this one? And usually you can't, like at least within the debate, you'd have to go back and

01:01:12.920 do some work. But usually you don't end up disagreeing. A little technical problem there. I think we're back

01:01:22.280 online now. But usually if an economist is talking to another economist, you're not disagreeing on the

01:01:28.000 logic. You're usually disagreeing on an assumption about a fact. And often it's hard to know who's

01:01:33.860 right. So in this case, my belief is you could not get millions of people to all act rationally in the

01:01:42.940 same way. How many of you believe you could get millions of doctors to act rationally, rationally in

01:01:52.220 their own self-interest, and you couldn't get, oh, five or 10% of them to say, screw this. I'd rather be

01:01:59.960 famous for, you know, being the maverick or whatever. Yeah, standards of care. Yeah, the insurance

01:02:08.520 industry, the boss industry. So here's where we differ. You would say that that does explain

01:02:17.720 100% of, you know, the suppressed professional opinions. And I say that could never be more

01:02:23.640 than 90%. And anything less than 100% would be really obvious. And there would be enough

01:02:30.380 professional, credible doctors coming forward that you would say, all right, all right, there's

01:02:35.300 a problem there. You could be right. So I'm going to say that you could be right. I'm not

01:02:44.120 going to... I think there is precedent in the world of the medical community believing the

01:02:50.960 wrong thing at the same time. But not in the face of overwhelming evidence to the opposite.

01:02:58.860 Let me say that again in a better way. We do have precedent of doctors believing exactly

01:03:07.020 the wrong thing all at the same time. Would you all agree with that? That that's a historical

01:03:13.260 truth, that the medical professional can all be wrong at the same time, right? We all agree

01:03:18.680 on that. But look at those situations. Were those situations in which the current evidence

01:03:26.960 said the opposite of what the experts were saying? Ever? Because what I think is that the evidence

01:03:36.140 does not say the opposite of what the experts believe. I believe that the experts, if they

01:03:41.820 looked at the same stuff you're looking at, and you looked at the same stuff they're looking

01:03:45.880 at, and everybody looked at the same stuff, that you would not see what you believe to be

01:03:51.300 true, which is there's voluminous, obvious, credible data available to all of us that says the doctors

01:04:00.680 are wrong. You believe that's true, right? Let me say it again in a way that you can say yes

01:04:06.280 or no. So yes or no to this. There does exist, so yes, yes or no, there does exist lots of credible,

01:04:16.660 lots of credible data that says the doctor's narrative and their treatment for COVID is all wrong.

01:04:26.660 There's lots of it. It's credible, and there's lots of it, and it's available to everybody.

01:04:30.620 How many would say yes to that? Okay, I see you're all over the board. I'm saying no's, no's, no's.

01:04:40.620 Well, that's interesting. That's interesting. But that's the right question, isn't it?

01:04:48.060 So I don't, you know, we're not going to come to any decisions here. The only thing I'm trying to do

01:04:52.580 by this conversation is give you a little bit better framework of how some people who are

01:04:58.920 maybe more experienced with analysis, how they would break down the question. You always look

01:05:06.460 for what else would have to be true if what you believe is true. And where we differ is the thing

01:05:12.240 that you believe would have to be true. I think, I could see that being 90% true, but there's no way

01:05:18.320 you can get me to 100% that any group of professionals or any people, any group, any large group of a million

01:05:24.960 people. You can't get 90% on the same page on anything, on anything.

01:05:33.800 And have you noticed a pattern that most of the things, most of the studies that are opposite

01:05:43.120 of the narrative end up being debunked? Have you ever noticed that pattern? Most of the things

01:05:49.800 that disagree with the narrative get debunked, which is not to say that the narrative is

01:05:54.860 correct, right? That's not to say that. Those are unrelated points. The narrative can be either

01:06:01.480 correct or incorrect all by itself, but separately, these studies which say it's wrong could be

01:06:08.680 almost all entirely debunked. Or, you know, in theory, they could be 100% debunked and still

01:06:15.280 has nothing to do with the fact of what is actually true. All right. So I think that's

01:06:24.380 just a permanent situation. And the reason for that is because our news business does not

01:06:28.820 put competing opinions on the air. Our, the pandemic, so here's a, here's a spin on the pandemic

01:06:39.060 that I've not seen. The deaths from the pandemic are 100% caused by the news media.

01:06:51.340 Or, no, let's say that's 100% is never right. So let me, let me, let me try a better version

01:06:56.880 of that without 100% in there. In my opinion, our division in the country over the, over the

01:07:06.480 vaccinations, that division is caused entirely by the news model being broken. And specifically

01:07:13.720 because neither the right nor the left put on competing points of view. And until they

01:07:20.540 do that, we have a huge medical problem. So I'm going to go further. The biggest medical

01:07:27.200 problem in the country is fake news. Boom. I'm going to tweet that before you do. That's

01:07:34.560 so good. Somebody's going to tweet that. Watch this. I don't know if anybody will understand

01:07:41.760 the point out of context, but I'm going to tweet the biggest medical problem in the country

01:07:53.560 is fake news. All right. The biggest medical problem in the country is fake news. Let's see

01:08:01.920 if people understand that without the context. Thank you. It's an ambiguous statement. Yeah.

01:08:19.120 I don't mind the ambiguity on that tweet because people will fill in the context and the comments

01:08:23.720 and it will increase engagement. You know, I've told you before, one of the tricks of persuasion

01:08:29.420 is to make intentional mistakes because people pause when they see something that doesn't

01:08:34.980 belong. So when they see this tweet, some people are going to say, I'm not sure what that means.

01:08:40.620 I better read the comments to see if somebody explains it. And then I get people to stay to

01:08:45.660 read the comment. And now they're engaged. So if you get people to engage, you really become

01:08:52.300 sticky versus they read it. That's a good thing. And then they read on. They don't remember

01:08:57.020 anything. But if you could just make them pause for a moment to figure out what you were talking

01:09:00.700 about, then you can drill it into the head and keep it there. So there's your little persuasion

01:09:05.860 trick for the day. What is your opinion about JFK conspiracies? Oh, I thought you were going to

01:09:13.520 say JFK Jr. conspiracies about vaccinations. Has it been proven that vaccinating healthy teens

01:09:28.340 was not a good idea? Well, my understanding is that the CDC is going to add COVID vaccinations

01:09:36.740 to the recommended school vaccination. But that doesn't mean it's required because the

01:09:45.540 states still get to decide whether they can follow the recommendations. So it's still up

01:09:49.860 to the state, like it always was. And then secondly, many of the states, not all of them, allow

01:09:56.520 religious or other exemptions. So it doesn't mean that your kid has to get vaccinated. It does

01:10:01.900 mean that it's moving in that direction. All right. Okay. And yes, as other people have

01:10:18.940 noted correctly, that by getting on the CDC recommended list, that gives you automatic liability shield.

01:10:26.820 So if you're the pharma company, you push to be on that list, independent from whether that makes

01:10:32.980 anybody get the vaccination or not. Just being on the list gives you some kind of liability shield,

01:10:38.180 we're told. Yeah, follow the money. Does Scotty know what Building 7 is? Yes, you fucking cunt. Goodbye.

01:10:51.400 God, I fucking hate people who just come at me with an attitude. 0.99

01:10:54.960 Well, why do you assume I don't know something? Just come at me with the assumption that there's 0.99

01:11:02.220 something wrong with me. Just start with that assumption. Fucking piece of the shit. All right.

01:11:17.300 You assumed I'm not a doctor, did I?

01:11:20.560 Why don't you make a website with all your YouTube videos? There is a website with all

01:11:34.000 of my YouTube videos. Do you have the URL? Let me give you the URL. So it's a website with

01:11:41.740 all of my YouTube videos. It's Y-O-U-T-U-B-E dot C-O-M. So you go to that website and then just search on

01:11:53.820 that website for me. You'll find a website with all of my YouTube videos. It'll be right there on

01:11:59.620 YouTube.com. So go check that out. Also, there's also my Dilbert blog page. If you go to

01:12:13.260 scottadamsays.com, you'll actually see the links to all the videos. So there are two places you can

01:12:18.760 get it. Can I get that URL again? That was pretty funny. Can you say that URL again? All right.

01:12:30.300 That's all for now. I'll talk to you. Talk to you tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 20, 2022

Episode 1902 Scott Adams： UFO Theory, Musk, Masks, Moscow, Meds, Mascots, And More

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