Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1906 Scott Adams： Ye Gets Further Cancelled, Rob Reiner Is Funny, GDP Is Strong, And More

00:00:00.280 Ladies and gentlemen, in non-binaries and every other category of human being,

00:00:06.700 including space aliens, it's the best day you've ever experienced in your life

00:00:10.600 because you're experiencing coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:14.980 Now, there are some people in faraway worlds

00:00:18.080 who will not receive this signal from Earth, possibly for light years.

00:00:23.920 And we feel sorry for them because you get to see it now.

00:00:27.320 They have to wait.

00:00:28.300 But if you'd like to take it up a notch and get a little selfish, and why not?

00:00:33.840 All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stein,

00:00:36.880 a canteen jug or a flask or vessel of any kind,

00:00:39.500 filling with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.

00:00:43.600 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine here,

00:00:47.340 the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:50.940 It's called The Simultaneous Sip, and it happens now.

00:00:54.740 Go.

00:00:58.300 Are you ready for the optimistic morning that you've been craving?

00:01:08.840 Not my usual the-world-is-ending morning.

00:01:13.600 Are you ready for the biggest dose of optimism you've ever had in your life?

00:01:19.580 Here it comes.

00:01:21.080 Here it comes.

00:01:21.820 Some of you have been, and I appreciate it, very concerned about me

00:01:27.360 because I've said that I was in great pain every day,

00:01:32.520 muscle aches and could barely walk up the stairs.

00:01:35.400 And I said to you that if this lasted, I was going to check out,

00:01:40.960 meaning I didn't want to live in that much pain.

00:01:44.120 But I also told you, and this is a pretty good advice,

00:01:50.400 I would never do anything in less than a year.

00:01:54.120 I would always give myself a year to work it out, right,

00:01:58.140 no matter how bad it was, no matter how much pain I was in.

00:02:01.960 I could make it last a year, you know, just to see if I could solve it.

00:02:05.960 And I saw, was it Matthew McConaughey?

00:02:12.980 I saw somebody's father gave them advice.

00:02:17.440 I think it was Matthew McConaughey telling a story about his father giving him advice.

00:02:22.120 And it was some of the best advice I've ever seen in my life.

00:02:26.280 And I've actually tried to incorporate it, and it's immediately useful.

00:02:30.800 And it's a, I guess you could call it a reframe.

00:02:33.560 And here it is.

00:02:35.960 Do one more.

00:02:38.560 That's it.

00:02:39.460 That's the whole advice.

00:02:41.060 You can do one more.

00:02:43.320 You would be amazed how often that little bit of advice changes everything.

00:02:51.440 I tried it out at the gym.

00:02:54.040 So normally when I go to the gym, I lift until, you know, sometimes I'm counting.

00:02:58.480 I know I should, but usually I don't.

00:03:00.740 I stop when my arm is tired.

00:03:02.920 And then I said to myself, when I normally would stop, I'd say, all right, could you do

00:03:11.680 one more?

00:03:12.920 And the answer is almost always you can.

00:03:15.980 You can almost always do one more.

00:03:18.140 And it's amazing how motivational that is.

00:03:25.540 Anyway, back to me.

00:03:28.600 So for the last several months, I've been in pretty much, you know, discomfort.

00:03:33.900 And it's gotten worse to the point where I have to admit, and I don't want to be banned

00:03:40.680 from YouTube for saying things that would be controversial.

00:03:45.120 So I'm going to try to say it as medically as I can.

00:03:48.360 All right.

00:03:48.600 I was overwhelmed with suicidal thoughts for the last several weeks.

00:03:56.020 Like, it's kind of all I thought about.

00:03:58.900 Honestly, I didn't go a minute without thinking about it.

00:04:01.680 Now, I was never close, as in I never made a plan, you know, never thought I'll put together

00:04:08.520 my concept for doing it or anything like that.

00:04:11.600 It's just that I couldn't get it out of my mind, because my life was not up to the quality

00:04:16.520 of life that would have made any sense to continue, right?

00:04:21.580 Now, there's definitely an irrational ending of your life, but there's also a rational time

00:04:28.740 to do it.

00:04:29.520 Let's say if you had Lou Gehrig's and you were in pain, and you only had a month to live anyway.

00:04:34.880 There are rational reasons to put yourself out of pain.

00:04:38.680 And I thought I was in one.

00:04:40.540 I thought I was in one.

00:04:41.600 So I felt depression, and I felt pain, and I could barely walk up the stairs.

00:04:47.480 Do I sound better today?

00:04:50.880 You can tell, can't you?

00:04:53.300 Can't you tell?

00:04:56.380 Whatever was bothering me yesterday, you can tell it went away, right?

00:05:01.340 It's obvious.

00:05:01.920 Do you think that I solved my problem by taking a med?

00:05:14.340 Do you think that's what I did?

00:05:15.880 Do you think I took some pharmaceuticals and solved my problem in one day? 1.00

00:05:19.800 No, you motherfuckers. 1.00

00:05:22.180 No, you motherfuckers. 1.00

00:05:23.020 I stopped taking this drug. 1.00

00:05:25.180 And all my problems stopped. 0.99

00:05:27.060 I fucking stopped taking this for one day. 0.96

00:05:31.440 One day, everything's better. 0.99

00:05:35.800 Everything.

00:05:37.400 Suicidal thoughts?

00:05:38.480 Completely gone.

00:05:40.880 Like it doesn't even make sense.

00:05:42.600 Like my brain doesn't even know why I would even have those thoughts.

00:05:46.480 Physical?

00:05:47.900 Completely fine.

00:05:49.400 Walked five miles yesterday.

00:05:51.220 Half of it was uphill.

00:05:53.480 No problem.

00:05:55.000 No problem at all.

00:05:55.780 And that was when, and that was from the day before I was using the elevator in my own house.

00:06:03.320 Yes, I have an elevator.

00:06:04.900 Because the stairs were too much for a challenge.

00:06:08.300 True story. 1.00

00:06:10.180 One fucking day. 0.99

00:06:12.080 Now, this was on my list if you were wondering how I solved it. 0.98

00:06:18.720 And by the way, it's not solved.

00:06:20.220 This is blood pressure meds.

00:06:22.220 So my blood pressure is high right now.

00:06:23.900 So I could still die.

00:06:27.200 But it won't be today.

00:06:31.100 So once it was obvious, once it was really obvious that the meds were the problem, I googled it.

00:06:39.540 And I googled, it's a beta blocker.

00:06:43.460 Yep, somebody's on it.

00:06:45.240 So somebody googled this or already knows.

00:06:47.480 There are two types of blood pressure meds.

00:06:49.800 One kind, a study showed those people kill themselves more often than they should.

00:06:57.780 There is literally a study saying that people who take drugs in this class, I'm not going to tell you the specific one.

00:07:06.700 I'm only going to tell you the class because I don't want to get sued.

00:07:09.660 It's in a class of beta blocking blood pressure meds.

00:07:15.360 The other is an ACE inhibitor.

00:07:17.180 I don't know what the tradeoff is.

00:07:18.400 But I have the kind where there's a 2019 study saying it'll make you suicidal. 1.00

00:07:27.700 The fucking drug did this. 0.99

00:07:30.600 Everything you saw of my complete personality change over the last few weeks, you all saw it, right? 1.00

00:07:36.800 If you watch me every day, you can't miss it, can you?

00:07:40.640 You saw my personality change, didn't you?

00:07:46.320 It was this. 1.00

00:07:47.660 It was this little fucking thing. 1.00

00:07:51.120 Can you believe that? 1.00

00:07:53.240 Like it was that simple.

00:07:54.920 Now it's still not simple because I have to get my blood pressure under control one way or another.

00:08:00.280 But, oh my God.

00:08:05.040 Oh my God.

00:08:06.460 Now keep in mind that the 2019 trial, or study I guess,

00:08:11.860 the 2019 study did not say that it was, you know, a randomized controlled trial and confirmative.

00:08:21.340 It was just saying people need to look into this.

00:08:24.960 That's what most studies do.

00:08:26.460 So I can't confirm that it's a problem.

00:08:28.260 I can only confirm that after every single day of feeling terrible,

00:08:33.700 the one day I didn't take this, I feel great.

00:08:38.200 Mentally, physically, great.

00:08:40.140 Not a problem in the world.

00:08:43.140 So, don't you like good news?

00:08:46.420 How about some more good news for you?

00:08:49.080 That was my good news.

00:08:50.460 And by the way, by the way,

00:08:52.680 a lot of people reached out to me because they could see that I was in trouble, which I was.

00:09:01.560 That was real, by the way.

00:09:03.460 And it's the darndest feeling.

00:09:05.060 And thank you.

00:09:06.400 So let me say as clearly as I can, thank you.

00:09:12.180 Thank you.

00:09:13.400 All right.

00:09:14.400 Yeah.

00:09:14.740 Because you knew I was in trouble.

00:09:15.760 Now, I knew I was in trouble, too, but here's the messed up part.

00:09:20.300 When you're the one who's having the mental trouble, you can't help yourself.

00:09:25.800 Right?

00:09:26.960 So I had to actually, like, get outside of my body and actually become, like, a robot to narrow it down.

00:09:38.000 So I think I showed you I started with, you know, all the possible things that could be, wrote them on my whiteboard.

00:09:45.120 And I just went to, you know, pure analytical Scott, because analytical Scott can operate independent from, you know, emotional, angry Scott.

00:09:56.760 So for a while, I just allowed myself to be like an actor.

00:10:01.160 Just act like you're rational for a while.

00:10:03.880 See what that would look like.

00:10:05.300 And that was enough to get me out.

00:10:09.280 So I was rational enough to narrow down the things.

00:10:11.780 But I'll tell you, the things I couldn't do, I couldn't do things like just make a doctor appointment that I knew I needed to make.

00:10:20.240 Because the, I guess, the dopamine was gone or something.

00:10:23.280 So the thought and the action were disconnected for a long time.

00:10:26.640 But now I feel I'm connected.

00:10:28.620 Today, if I wanted to make a doctor appointment, I would just make a doctor appointment.

00:10:32.840 Yesterday, it seemed impossible.

00:10:34.080 All right.

00:10:37.180 Enough about me.

00:10:38.940 I only mention this because I think it's generalizable.

00:10:42.860 If you're worried about your mood, check your meds.

00:10:45.580 There's a 60-minute segment, I guess, last night, in which the Dominion, the makers of election products,

00:10:56.860 they're going ahead with their lawsuit against Fox News.

00:11:01.000 And apparently, it looks like they could win.

00:11:05.060 I mean, it sounds like they have a bit of a case.

00:11:07.500 I don't know how this is going to work out.

00:11:09.620 But I guess they've been getting death threats and everything else.

00:11:14.780 So that's pretty horrible.

00:11:16.340 But you can see now that the entire news business has gotten into the business of trying to destroy the candidate on the other side.

00:11:28.900 And do you think that 60 Minutes would have done this story if not for how it would influence the political world?

00:11:40.220 It feels like a story you do because you want to stop Trump from being president again, doesn't it?

00:11:47.880 Now, I get that it's a real story.

00:11:52.200 Like, it's a real story.

00:11:53.420 But the timing of it, is this not a two-year-old story?

00:11:58.860 Or a one-year-old?

00:12:00.120 When did Dominion first sue?

00:12:03.200 This is like old news, right?

00:12:04.740 But they waited until you're pretty close to the midterms to give it a little extra juice.

00:12:09.660 So to me, this looks like, well, let me put this in a different and maybe more productive way.

00:12:20.240 This looks like something that CNN would not do under their current leadership.

00:12:25.580 But Anderson Cooper and his other job at 60 Minutes, CBS did it.

00:12:30.940 Now, would you agree that this is something that CNN would have done in their past formation,

00:12:39.200 but maybe they would be less inclined to do today?

00:12:43.520 I like to give CNN credit.

00:12:46.080 I like to give them credit for what seems to be, from the outside, a genuine turn toward being useful.

00:12:53.820 Now, they're doing it for business reasons and their own reasons.

00:12:56.520 But I feel like there's something that looks successful about that.

00:13:03.020 I've got a new tell for cognitive dissonance.

00:13:06.920 Now, this is when you've trapped somebody in their argument and they say, blah, blah, blah,

00:13:12.800 and then that's your tell, that there's no point in discussing it any further.

00:13:16.700 They've gone into irrational land.

00:13:18.200 And I'll give you one.

00:13:22.160 When you see how cognitive dissonance works, you can spot it in the wild,

00:13:30.480 where before you just thought there was something unexplained,

00:13:33.680 like you didn't understand why somebody was acting the way they were.

00:13:36.540 But it is so useful for explaining why people are acting irrationally.

00:13:41.700 I'll give you this specific example from earlier today.

00:13:46.020 Somebody tweeted something with an analogy in it.

00:13:49.140 And the analogy was comparing evolution, you know, the biological evolution,

00:13:54.640 to people working in a project which they run as a self-organizing project.

00:14:03.000 In other words, you know, there's some commonality between those.

00:14:06.820 So I was asked to comment on this, and I pointed out that all I saw was a bad analogy.

00:14:14.980 Because the point was being made about comparing these two things,

00:14:18.260 biological evolution and people in, let's say, a workplace or an organization

00:14:23.360 using a self-organizing kind of a process or something.

00:14:28.260 And basically, as soon as I see an analogy, I bow out.

00:14:31.320 Now, the comment from the tweeter, whose name isn't important for this purpose,

00:14:38.320 he said, that wasn't an analogy.

00:14:40.840 I was describing a system.

00:14:43.020 Now, he was describing a system, obviously,

00:14:46.400 but he was also doing it in the context of an analogy.

00:14:49.920 So when he said it wasn't an analogy,

00:14:53.180 I tweeted back what the analogy was.

00:14:55.920 I said, you said evolution is like this process in the organization.

00:15:01.320 Now, shouldn't that be the end of the conversation?

00:15:06.060 I say, you used an analogy.

00:15:08.580 The person who used it says, no, I didn't.

00:15:11.320 And then I used their tweet from like one tweet ago,

00:15:15.340 like a brand new tweet from one tweet ago.

00:15:17.620 I go, you said this is an analogy for this.

00:15:21.940 Now, what are the appropriate responses to that?

00:15:25.940 The non-cognitive dissonance responses would be,

00:15:29.620 oh, I can see why you thought that was an analogy,

00:15:32.480 but maybe I was using it differently.

00:15:34.760 Maybe.

00:15:35.600 Or maybe you would say, oh, yes, that was an analogy,

00:15:40.080 but I'm only trying to make one narrow point about it.

00:15:43.540 Perfectly acceptable.

00:15:44.360 Or you could say all kinds of things.

00:15:48.840 You could imagine all kinds of rational things you could say in response.

00:15:52.840 Maybe you might even say it's a good point.

00:15:55.680 But instead, I was accused of not being able to admit when I'm wrong.

00:16:03.580 Not being able to...

00:16:04.820 So I was accused of not being able to admit when I'm wrong.

00:16:07.660 I just printed, you analogized this to this.

00:16:15.220 What?

00:16:18.640 Now, for a while, because I get this a lot,

00:16:23.100 I get that you don't admit when you're wrong,

00:16:25.940 but I've only recently realized that I only get it when I'm definitely right.

00:16:32.500 And the other person sees it, too.

00:16:37.020 It's the only time people say that to me.

00:16:39.260 When it's really, really obvious I'm right.

00:16:41.860 When that's not the case, they don't say that.

00:16:45.580 Because people will argue their point if they have a point.

00:16:50.140 Right?

00:16:50.520 So that's how you know cognitive dissonance.

00:16:52.820 If somebody has a good argument, they'll always use it.

00:16:56.320 Who doesn't use their good argument?

00:16:58.220 Everybody does.

00:16:58.980 But if they go to, you don't admit when you're wrong,

00:17:02.380 well, cognitive dissonance.

00:17:10.740 Interestingly, the GDP numbers for America

00:17:14.720 that are supposed to be coming out for the United States

00:17:16.940 are supposed to be strong.

00:17:20.280 Like, we don't have the numbers yet,

00:17:21.920 but apparently the gross domestic product looks pretty strong.

00:17:27.860 It's going to be over 2%,

00:17:29.760 which in this environment would be surprisingly good.

00:17:34.020 And at the same time,

00:17:35.260 consumer spending is strong,

00:17:38.760 despite inflation,

00:17:40.160 or maybe because of it, I suppose.

00:17:43.820 So that's not really surprising.

00:17:46.140 And also employment stays strong.

00:17:48.340 Employment is great.

00:17:50.820 Now,

00:17:51.020 and do we believe that there's some movement

00:17:54.760 on deficit spending?

00:17:56.580 Because I know Biden's, you know,

00:17:58.520 lying about how much he's bringing down the deficit.

00:18:01.580 But it's moving in the right direction, isn't it?

00:18:04.020 I think it would have to be,

00:18:05.160 because we're not doing,

00:18:06.660 well, wait, how could it be?

00:18:07.780 We're spending so much on Ukraine.

00:18:09.180 How could it be?

00:18:11.140 I don't know.

00:18:11.760 So I guess I don't understand what's happening

00:18:13.360 with the national debt,

00:18:15.920 because reporting is so bad about that.

00:18:17.940 But remember I told you a while ago

00:18:22.160 that the one metric

00:18:23.940 you should put most of your attention in is,

00:18:28.240 let's see if you remember,

00:18:29.620 what did I say is the one economic metric

00:18:32.000 that you should watch above all others?

00:18:35.300 It's the one you can depend on

00:18:37.040 in the long run.

00:18:40.080 Employment.

00:18:41.200 Yeah.

00:18:41.880 If your employment goes down, 0.97

00:18:44.940 you're kind of screwed. 0.99

00:18:46.780 You're kind of screwed. 0.99

00:18:47.940 But if employment stays high, 0.98

00:18:50.560 you can pretty much get through everything.

00:18:53.460 Pretty much everything.

00:18:55.140 Now, that's an exaggeration.

00:18:56.640 You could imagine something would crumble the system.

00:18:59.300 But you're in a strong position

00:19:01.320 if you've got strong employment.

00:19:03.840 As of today,

00:19:05.880 let me ask you what this sounds like to you.

00:19:09.180 See if this sounds like what it sounds like to me.

00:19:12.300 As of today,

00:19:14.000 CNN reported,

00:19:15.140 well, an opinion piece,

00:19:16.760 but in the opinion piece,

00:19:18.520 it was that smart people are now saying,

00:19:21.560 we're definitely going to have a recession,

00:19:23.120 but it'll be in 2023.

00:19:26.080 Like, it's not happening yet.

00:19:27.820 We're pushing it down a little bit.

00:19:29.400 Definitely still having the recession,

00:19:31.400 but it's further than we thought.

00:19:33.720 What does that sound like?

00:19:34.980 That sounds like no recession,

00:19:38.900 or a tiny one.

00:19:41.940 Every time they say the recession is further in our future,

00:19:46.220 it makes me think it's not going to happen.

00:19:48.060 Now, I told you I'm going to give you the optimistic view today, right?

00:19:54.340 Do you mind?

00:19:55.820 So on this one, don't fight me too much,

00:19:58.080 because we're only here to feel good.

00:20:00.460 We don't know what's going to happen.

00:20:02.640 But I will tell you again

00:20:04.600 that that strong employment number,

00:20:06.500 that just keeps holding.

00:20:08.020 That just keeps holding.

00:20:09.760 And as long as that holds,

00:20:11.640 you'll be fine.

00:20:13.200 You'll be fine.

00:20:13.960 Now, remember, the biggest part of the economy,

00:20:19.080 aside from physical access to resources,

00:20:22.380 which is a challenge right now,

00:20:24.120 is the psychology.

00:20:26.860 So if you know that the high employment numbers,

00:20:31.000 which are good,

00:20:32.520 indicates we'll be good in the long run,

00:20:34.620 then you have a strong enough psychology

00:20:36.540 to survive for the long run.

00:20:38.680 So we do have in place

00:20:40.800 the primary pillars for climbing out of this.

00:20:45.440 It's in place.

00:20:46.540 And then on top of that,

00:20:47.500 you've got the Adams Law of Slow-Moving Disasters,

00:20:50.880 in which when you can see a specific problem

00:20:53.400 from long enough away,

00:20:56.260 we always rise to the challenge.

00:20:59.080 It's only the surprises that catch us off guard.

00:21:02.220 But when we see it coming from a long ways away,

00:21:04.420 I would argue that Ukraine

00:21:07.420 might be one of those situations.

00:21:08.840 Although, you know,

00:21:11.700 the problem's pretty bad.

00:21:13.120 But in terms of arming Ukraine,

00:21:16.540 I feel like we must have had enough warning in advance

00:21:19.700 that Russia might invade,

00:21:21.400 that we got them enough stuff quickly enough

00:21:24.240 that it made a big difference.

00:21:26.600 So I think that was the case

00:21:27.580 of the Adams Law of Slow-Moving Disasters.

00:21:30.580 Arguably, it created a different kind of disaster

00:21:33.560 because nothing's going well.

00:21:34.860 All right.

00:21:41.880 We saw some numbers.

00:21:44.380 It says the SAT and ACT composite scores

00:21:48.960 improved in West Coast states

00:21:51.800 for every racial demographic,

00:21:54.520 but scores in the South and non-coastal West went down.

00:21:59.240 So how do you explain this?

00:22:00.820 This will be a little test.

00:22:01.940 I have the answer for you, but I'll give you the answer

00:22:04.920 in a moment.

00:22:06.240 But how would you guess?

00:22:07.480 Why would it be that California in particular,

00:22:14.020 every group did better on SATs and ACTs?

00:22:19.400 Do you know why?

00:22:21.160 Well, one person who tweeted at me today

00:22:23.840 said that California dropped its SAT requirements

00:22:28.340 for state colleges.

00:22:31.920 Which means that everyone who thought

00:22:34.520 they wouldn't do well didn't take them.

00:22:39.500 So you can't compare California to anything else.

00:22:42.400 And California would skew the whole West Coast. 0.99

00:22:44.840 So the West Coast numbers are just bullshit 0.98

00:22:46.640 because half of the people who would have scored poorly 0.99

00:22:50.240 just didn't take them because they didn't need to

00:22:52.040 because they could get into college without them.

00:22:54.120 So it might be bad for the standards of the colleges,

00:22:59.000 but it's good for those people who got in.

00:23:02.500 All right.

00:23:04.440 However, would you be surprised

00:23:07.280 that not having school for a year

00:23:09.300 was bad for learning below the college level?

00:23:13.220 No, you would not be surprised.

00:23:15.860 They did a sweeping analysis of test scores

00:23:18.640 since the start of the pandemic.

00:23:20.020 And there's a nationwide plunge in math and reading.

00:23:24.420 More math than reading went down.

00:23:29.200 Are you surprised that not having real schools

00:23:32.500 made a difference?

00:23:34.200 Or not?

00:23:35.960 You know, I'll tell you.

00:23:39.120 The Republicans have only one obstacle

00:23:41.740 to winning the presidency and everything else.

00:23:44.440 Do you know what that is?

00:23:46.100 What is the one obstacle that the Republicans have

00:23:48.960 to owning Congress and the presidency?

00:23:56.700 Oh, my God.

00:23:58.560 Nobody has this?

00:24:00.680 No.

00:24:01.440 All right.

00:24:02.180 One person got it.

00:24:04.220 I think a few people got it.

00:24:05.800 The answer is Trump.

00:24:07.680 If you took Trump out of the mix,

00:24:10.700 you're guaranteed to win.

00:24:12.340 You know, if you run just a mainstream Republican

00:24:17.380 who just wants to do Trump-like things,

00:24:20.400 but without the provocation.

00:24:24.320 Yeah.

00:24:25.280 But I don't think Republicans can make that happen.

00:24:28.740 Now, to be fair,

00:24:33.460 to be fair,

00:24:34.540 the only reason a non-Trump Republican

00:24:36.960 would be sure to win would be,

00:24:39.760 give me the answer,

00:24:41.060 why could we be sure

00:24:42.220 that a non-Trump Republican would win?

00:24:45.460 Because of Trump.

00:24:47.440 Trump created a situation

00:24:49.140 in which there are very clear

00:24:52.280 Trump-like Republican policy preferences

00:24:56.600 that, you know,

00:24:58.240 are largely Republican anyway.

00:25:00.160 But anybody who adopted those same stances

00:25:02.720 would just walk into the job

00:25:04.460 because he created a right and wrong way to be,

00:25:08.620 and now somebody just needs to adopt it

00:25:10.600 without being Trump,

00:25:11.880 and it's the golden bridge

00:25:14.920 to anything they want.

00:25:16.080 How about running Lara Trump?

00:25:23.660 Lara Trump is a strong, strong player. 0.97

00:25:28.180 Like, I don't know if she has

00:25:29.240 any political ambitions at the moment,

00:25:31.820 but she would be a pretty strong candidate.

00:25:35.720 She has all the skills. 0.75

00:25:38.620 She's everything from the look 0.80

00:25:40.120 to the, you know, the hard work ethic.

00:25:43.480 I follow her on Instagram.

00:25:45.180 Instagram for her exercise routines.

00:25:49.300 Have you ever seen

00:25:50.280 Lara Trump's Instagram?

00:25:53.560 She does, most of her photos

00:25:54.860 are from the gym or with the kids.

00:25:57.220 And her gym workout is so impressive.

00:26:00.800 Like, it makes me tired just looking at it.

00:26:03.140 Like, there's somebody who's really

00:26:04.500 like a go-getter personality.

00:26:06.720 You can see why she married 0.99

00:26:07.700 into the Trump family.

00:26:09.800 She seems to be a perfect fit.

00:26:11.020 So, uh, there's a lawsuit in Missouri

00:26:17.820 that might turn into a big thing

00:26:19.580 alleging that the government

00:26:21.060 used big tech for censorship.

00:26:23.340 And apparently there's

00:26:24.780 plenty of evidence of that.

00:26:27.300 Plenty of evidence of the Democrats

00:26:29.360 talking directly to the big

00:26:30.920 social media platforms

00:26:32.780 and asking them to,

00:26:34.520 among other things,

00:26:35.400 to ban Alex Berenson,

00:26:36.760 who got put back on Twitter

00:26:39.380 and then said some things

00:26:40.480 that got him banned again.

00:26:42.940 I think getting banned on Twitter

00:26:44.460 is his primary career, uh, strategy.

00:26:48.880 And it's working.

00:26:51.740 Um, so let's, uh,

00:26:55.100 here's a little quote

00:26:56.160 from, uh, Rob Reiner's favorite, uh,

00:26:58.500 politician, Joe Biden.

00:27:00.320 And, uh, I'm going to read this quote

00:27:02.460 exactly as he said it.

00:27:03.920 He was asked if his age

00:27:06.020 is getting to him.

00:27:07.200 And Biden said, and I quote,

00:27:09.580 am I slowing up?

00:27:11.720 Am I don't have the same pace?

00:27:14.820 You know, uh, and that old joke,

00:27:17.640 uh, you know, uh,

00:27:19.880 everybody talks about the,

00:27:21.200 you know, the, uh,

00:27:22.720 the 70s, 50,

00:27:25.100 you know, all that stuff.

00:27:26.600 You know, I, uh, you know,

00:27:28.020 could be, well, uh,

00:27:31.040 I could get a disease tomorrow.

00:27:32.560 I, I, I could, you know, 0.96

00:27:36.200 drop dead tomorrow. 0.73

00:27:38.420 It's well said. 0.99

00:27:40.120 Well said, Joe Biden.

00:27:43.420 I don't think I could have said

00:27:44.740 that any better.

00:27:48.080 Um, now what does, uh,

00:27:51.660 Rob Reiner think about that?

00:27:53.060 He says in the tweet,

00:27:54.620 if you don't vote blue,

00:27:55.800 we will lose our constitutional

00:27:57.900 democracy.

00:27:59.880 Um,

00:28:00.620 to which I say,

00:28:03.160 if you don't vote blue,

00:28:06.080 you'll lose your constitutional

00:28:07.620 democracy.

00:28:09.480 How many things can I find

00:28:11.160 wrong with that statement?

00:28:12.460 Number one,

00:28:13.860 we're not a constitutional

00:28:15.520 democracy.

00:28:17.160 We're a republic.

00:28:19.040 Is that the same?

00:28:21.180 Yeah, we're,

00:28:21.760 we're a republic.

00:28:23.060 Seems like that should be

00:28:24.060 important.

00:28:24.460 Um,

00:28:26.580 although I don't know what

00:28:27.700 the difference would be

00:28:28.480 between a constitutional

00:28:29.640 democracy.

00:28:31.240 Would that be direct vote

00:28:32.640 for everything by definition?

00:28:36.040 That's the definition,

00:28:37.180 right?

00:28:37.560 I don't know.

00:28:38.520 So he doesn't know what

00:28:39.700 system he lives in,

00:28:40.660 but he doesn't want to lose

00:28:41.560 the system that is not the

00:28:42.840 system he lives in.

00:28:44.020 So good start for a tweet.

00:28:46.740 And,

00:28:47.420 um,

00:28:48.980 if you don't vote blue,

00:28:51.140 you'll lose your

00:28:51.980 constitutional democracy.

00:28:53.180 So the idea would be that

00:28:54.580 I guess the republicans,

00:28:56.560 he believes,

00:28:57.100 do not respect the

00:28:58.060 constitution.

00:29:01.300 Um,

00:29:02.620 has he ever met a

00:29:03.880 republican?

00:29:06.180 The only thing the

00:29:07.620 republicans like is the

00:29:08.880 constitution and the

00:29:10.600 bible,

00:29:10.980 I suppose.

00:29:12.120 Their families.

00:29:13.480 But,

00:29:14.920 uh,

00:29:15.680 this is sort of as

00:29:17.000 close as you can get to

00:29:18.300 the opposite of what your

00:29:19.640 enemy is.

00:29:20.260 Like,

00:29:21.700 I get that people,

00:29:22.660 you know,

00:29:23.140 assign names to their

00:29:24.280 enemies,

00:29:24.880 but it's so weird

00:29:26.400 when they try to

00:29:28.220 label them as the

00:29:29.700 exact opposite of

00:29:30.880 everything they are.

00:29:33.380 Now,

00:29:33.840 I'm not saying that

00:29:34.460 they're succeeding.

00:29:35.480 That's a different

00:29:36.040 argument.

00:29:36.700 I'm not saying that

00:29:37.440 being a republican is

00:29:38.480 better than being a

00:29:39.240 democrat.

00:29:39.660 That's a different

00:29:40.140 argument.

00:29:41.000 I'm just saying that

00:29:41.940 the entire brand of

00:29:43.120 the republicans is,

00:29:44.780 can we please follow

00:29:46.240 the constitution and

00:29:47.940 make sure the

00:29:48.480 elections were valid

00:29:50.240 and that turned into

00:29:52.180 we're a bunch of

00:29:53.440 anarchists trying to

00:29:54.580 overthrow the country

00:29:55.580 for our fascist ways.

00:30:01.340 So,

00:30:02.100 that's what he thinks.

00:30:05.780 If you were going to

00:30:06.980 correctly criticize

00:30:08.460 the GOP

00:30:10.420 or the democrats,

00:30:12.420 what would that look

00:30:13.240 like?

00:30:14.540 Because right now we

00:30:15.300 just call the democrats

00:30:16.740 a bunch of communists

00:30:18.920 and socialists and

00:30:19.940 they call the

00:30:21.020 republicans a bunch of 0.99

00:30:22.160 fascists and nazis 0.99

00:30:23.360 and vice versa.

00:30:24.980 But if you were

00:30:25.760 actually going to be

00:30:26.640 serious about your

00:30:27.700 criticisms, what could

00:30:28.760 they say about the

00:30:29.480 GOP?

00:30:31.280 They could complain

00:30:32.320 about abortion.

00:30:34.020 They have a very

00:30:35.680 different opinion there.

00:30:38.980 They could complain

00:30:40.220 about the government

00:30:41.260 telling you how to

00:30:42.140 raise your kids,

00:30:43.340 interestingly.

00:30:43.740 Have you noticed

00:30:47.120 that republicans

00:30:48.520 are generally on

00:30:49.300 the side of keep

00:30:50.120 the government out

00:30:50.940 of our business

00:30:51.660 except when it

00:30:53.500 comes to the

00:30:54.040 trans rights stuff

00:30:55.100 and then they want

00:30:56.160 the government in

00:30:56.920 the business really

00:30:57.600 hard?

00:30:58.300 Have you noticed

00:30:58.800 that?

00:31:00.780 That's one of the

00:31:01.600 reasons I'm not

00:31:02.400 wading in deeply

00:31:05.020 into the trans

00:31:06.000 argument.

00:31:07.980 It's because the

00:31:09.100 republicans are

00:31:10.020 requiring the

00:31:11.100 government to tell

00:31:12.200 the parents what

00:31:12.980 to do.

00:31:17.160 Well, no, not

00:31:18.420 only for kids.

00:31:20.160 You want, correct

00:31:21.660 me if I'm wrong,

00:31:22.380 but republicans

00:31:23.100 want the government

00:31:23.960 to tell parents

00:31:26.100 how to raise

00:31:26.780 their kids.

00:31:27.820 Is that not

00:31:28.380 right?

00:31:30.080 I thought that's

00:31:30.920 the whole argument.

00:31:32.300 I'm saying no's.

00:31:33.920 So reframe that

00:31:34.820 in the way that you

00:31:35.580 would put it.

00:31:37.740 I would think that

00:31:38.800 the way you think

00:31:39.520 about it is

00:31:40.380 protecting children,

00:31:41.260 right?

00:31:42.000 The way you

00:31:42.560 think about it

00:31:43.160 is protecting

00:31:43.700 children.

00:31:44.880 Is that right?

00:31:47.520 But in order to

00:31:48.620 protect children,

00:31:49.400 do you not have

00:31:50.240 to overrule their

00:31:54.200 own parents in the

00:31:55.880 case of the trans 0.83

00:31:56.940 surgeries?

00:31:58.380 And again, I'm not

00:31:59.120 pro-trans surgeries.

00:32:01.480 I'm not giving you

00:32:02.420 an opinion on it.

00:32:03.280 I'm just asking for

00:32:04.220 a clarification.

00:32:05.140 I'm saying only no's,

00:32:06.540 but I want to see

00:32:07.300 your argument.

00:32:07.740 I realize it's just

00:32:09.640 Twitter comments and

00:32:10.960 stuff, so it's hard

00:32:11.900 to put an argument in.

00:32:13.240 It's about the age

00:32:14.300 of consent.

00:32:15.180 No, it's not.

00:32:16.620 It's not about the

00:32:17.500 age of consent,

00:32:18.300 because it's about

00:32:18.860 the parents.

00:32:21.100 See, if you are

00:32:23.000 saying the government

00:32:23.960 should control

00:32:25.160 directly the children,

00:32:27.100 that's a different

00:32:27.880 argument.

00:32:28.540 That's not the

00:32:29.080 argument being made.

00:32:30.520 The argument is

00:32:31.440 that the government

00:32:32.040 should control the

00:32:32.960 adults, so that the 0.91

00:32:34.940 adults don't raise 0.98

00:32:36.420 their kids the way

00:32:37.140 they want to.

00:32:39.100 Am I wrong?

00:32:40.860 Now, let me ask you

00:32:41.800 this.

00:32:42.060 Would you like that

00:32:42.720 argument used on you?

00:32:44.740 Let's say that

00:32:45.520 somebody does a study

00:32:46.980 someday and finds

00:32:48.660 out that if you

00:32:49.500 teach your child to

00:32:50.860 believe the Bible is 0.97

00:32:52.200 literally true, that

00:32:54.300 they'll have a bad

00:32:55.020 time in life.

00:32:55.900 It'll be like a

00:32:57.260 disadvantage for them.

00:32:59.120 And then the

00:32:59.580 government says,

00:33:00.880 all right, you can't

00:33:01.740 teach your children

00:33:02.400 that because there's

00:33:03.120 a study that says

00:33:04.780 it's bad for them.

00:33:05.560 You're on board

00:33:06.840 with that?

00:33:07.920 Because in that

00:33:09.340 case, they would be

00:33:09.980 trying to stop

00:33:10.800 child abuse as

00:33:12.540 they see it.

00:33:14.240 Because it's the

00:33:15.040 as they see it

00:33:16.060 part that you

00:33:16.600 can't get past,

00:33:17.400 can you?

00:33:19.000 Now, let me say

00:33:20.640 that I completely

00:33:21.480 understand the

00:33:22.520 argument of

00:33:24.280 stopping trans 1.00

00:33:25.320 surgeries on

00:33:26.120 minors.

00:33:26.980 I completely

00:33:27.640 understand that.

00:33:28.640 It's easy to

00:33:29.260 understand, right?

00:33:30.760 You don't have to

00:33:31.540 convince me.

00:33:32.900 Completely

00:33:33.380 understand.

00:33:33.820 But there's no

00:33:35.100 stopping the fact

00:33:36.100 that you took the

00:33:37.520 decision away from

00:33:38.280 the parents.

00:33:39.960 That's just a

00:33:40.680 fact.

00:33:42.120 So if you're

00:33:42.900 okay with that,

00:33:44.080 then you have a

00:33:45.340 consistent point of

00:33:46.220 view.

00:33:46.640 But you have to

00:33:47.100 know that that

00:33:47.600 could come back

00:33:48.160 and bite you, 1.00

00:33:48.680 right? 0.60

00:33:49.800 That's going to

00:33:50.360 come back to you.

00:33:51.840 If you are

00:33:52.500 successful in

00:33:53.540 overruling the

00:33:54.480 parents, that

00:33:55.840 will come back

00:33:56.480 to you.

00:33:58.440 Somebody says

00:33:59.120 worth it, it

00:34:00.140 might be.

00:34:01.100 It might be,

00:34:01.620 but you don't

00:34:02.120 know what's

00:34:02.460 going to

00:34:02.640 come back.

00:34:03.680 If what

00:34:04.240 comes back

00:34:04.740 to you is

00:34:05.100 worse.

00:34:07.540 No, I'm

00:34:08.060 not trolling.

00:34:09.320 Yeah, you

00:34:09.940 might be new

00:34:10.460 here.

00:34:12.080 So those of

00:34:12.780 you who know

00:34:13.880 me better and

00:34:15.240 have been on

00:34:15.720 this live stream

00:34:17.180 longer, you

00:34:18.700 know what I

00:34:19.240 do, right?

00:34:20.880 Number one, I'm

00:34:21.580 not trying to

00:34:22.140 change your mind

00:34:22.800 on this topic

00:34:23.540 because I don't

00:34:24.380 have an idea

00:34:24.900 what the best

00:34:25.660 answer is.

00:34:26.800 I really don't.

00:34:27.520 Because I

00:34:28.280 think you

00:34:28.620 have two

00:34:29.160 absolutes that

00:34:31.440 I can't deal

00:34:32.140 with.

00:34:33.880 One absolute

00:34:34.780 is the

00:34:36.540 absolute of

00:34:37.260 protecting

00:34:37.660 children.

00:34:38.680 If you can

00:34:39.200 do anything

00:34:39.700 to do it,

00:34:40.320 you should

00:34:40.580 do it.

00:34:41.420 That's an

00:34:41.800 absolute, right?

00:34:43.600 Because you're

00:34:44.020 human.

00:34:45.140 Forget about

00:34:45.780 the law.

00:34:46.980 It doesn't

00:34:47.340 matter what

00:34:47.640 the law

00:34:48.080 says.

00:34:48.780 You're a

00:34:49.080 human being.

00:34:50.640 Protecting

00:34:51.040 children is

00:34:51.500 going to be

00:34:51.740 right at the

00:34:52.360 top of your

00:34:52.760 list.

00:34:54.100 But right

00:34:54.700 at the top

00:34:55.160 of your list

00:34:55.520 also is

00:34:56.340 keeping the

00:34:56.780 government

00:34:57.100 and of

00:34:57.660 your family

00:34:59.060 decisions.

00:35:00.720 Those two

00:35:01.380 things are

00:35:02.080 inviolable

00:35:04.380 rules in

00:35:05.160 my mind.

00:35:06.540 So to

00:35:07.600 me, you

00:35:08.100 have two

00:35:08.580 impossibles.

00:35:11.020 And picking

00:35:11.520 one of those

00:35:12.020 impossibles,

00:35:13.580 you have to.

00:35:15.180 You have to

00:35:16.100 because you

00:35:16.700 live in the

00:35:17.100 real world,

00:35:17.580 so you've

00:35:17.800 got to make

00:35:18.120 choices.

00:35:19.360 I actually

00:35:20.000 don't know

00:35:20.400 what's right.

00:35:21.680 Because here's

00:35:22.460 the problem.

00:35:24.120 I'm convinced

00:35:25.000 there's some

00:35:26.000 percentage of

00:35:26.760 those children

00:35:27.480 who have

00:35:28.160 the surgery

00:35:28.720 when they're

00:35:29.160 minors,

00:35:30.540 grow up

00:35:31.400 thinking that

00:35:32.220 they're happy

00:35:32.680 they did it

00:35:33.260 early.

00:35:35.460 Now you

00:35:36.060 might say,

00:35:36.760 but they

00:35:37.380 think they're

00:35:37.820 happy, but

00:35:38.280 they're not.

00:35:40.140 Now I said

00:35:40.600 some percentage.

00:35:42.120 Some percentage.

00:35:43.500 It might be

00:35:44.240 5%.

00:35:44.840 I don't know

00:35:46.660 what the

00:35:46.860 percentage is.

00:35:47.440 It might be

00:35:47.780 5%.

00:35:48.360 It might be

00:35:48.760 10%.

00:35:49.280 And you

00:35:50.600 could argue

00:35:51.020 that that's a

00:35:51.600 good enough

00:35:51.960 reason.

00:35:52.540 You could say,

00:35:53.140 well, if it

00:35:54.260 is 10%,

00:35:55.000 and I'm

00:35:55.460 just throwing

00:35:56.000 in a number,

00:35:56.540 I have no

00:35:56.820 idea if it's

00:35:57.300 90% or 10%,

00:35:58.480 but people

00:36:00.980 do convince

00:36:01.740 themselves that

00:36:02.460 they made the

00:36:02.940 right decision.

00:36:03.640 It's cognitive

00:36:04.220 dissonance again.

00:36:06.700 Some number

00:36:07.500 of people,

00:36:08.260 hold on here,

00:36:09.180 this will make

00:36:09.580 you feel better.

00:36:10.660 Some number

00:36:11.300 of people,

00:36:12.520 if they were

00:36:13.160 party to the

00:36:13.940 decision themselves,

00:36:15.480 let's say a

00:36:16.040 kid who really

00:36:17.180 wanted the

00:36:17.780 surgery and

00:36:18.860 parents agreed,

00:36:19.980 that kid,

00:36:21.840 in theory,

00:36:23.000 even if that

00:36:24.560 were a bad

00:36:25.220 decision,

00:36:26.600 that kid

00:36:27.160 should grow

00:36:27.760 up to think

00:36:28.200 it was a

00:36:28.540 good decision.

00:36:29.360 Would you

00:36:29.680 agree?

00:36:30.780 Because once

00:36:31.480 you've committed

00:36:32.040 yourself to

00:36:32.660 the decision,

00:36:33.940 it's far more

00:36:34.880 likely that your

00:36:35.660 brain will

00:36:36.260 convince you

00:36:37.160 that it was

00:36:37.560 a good decision

00:36:38.460 over time,

00:36:39.860 because that's

00:36:40.200 how brains

00:36:40.620 work.

00:36:41.400 Independent

00:36:41.800 of this,

00:36:43.220 I'm saying

00:36:43.640 any decision,

00:36:45.340 forget about

00:36:46.080 trans,

00:36:47.080 any important

00:36:47.760 decision you

00:36:48.400 make,

00:36:49.320 no matter

00:36:49.760 how good

00:36:50.260 or bad,

00:36:50.740 you're very

00:36:51.140 likely to

00:36:51.740 convince yourself

00:36:52.480 later that

00:36:52.960 it was good.

00:36:54.420 Now,

00:36:55.480 here's the

00:36:55.920 exception to

00:36:56.560 that.

00:36:57.820 When it

00:36:58.200 involves something

00:36:58.800 as deep as

00:36:59.380 your sexuality,

00:37:00.580 I think your

00:37:02.080 sexuality is

00:37:03.480 probably going

00:37:04.060 to bubble up.

00:37:05.860 Like,

00:37:06.120 it doesn't

00:37:06.480 matter how

00:37:06.840 much cognitive

00:37:07.480 dissonance

00:37:08.040 you're experiencing,

00:37:09.040 that's probably

00:37:10.180 the one thing

00:37:10.860 that can cut

00:37:11.520 through it

00:37:11.940 over time.

00:37:13.220 Right?

00:37:13.920 Like,

00:37:14.280 if you're 0.97

00:37:14.600 seriously gay, 1.00

00:37:16.600 your biology 0.99

00:37:17.720 is going to

00:37:18.100 be tapping

00:37:18.540 you on the

00:37:18.940 shoulder,

00:37:19.200 for as

00:37:20.000 many years

00:37:20.540 as it

00:37:20.820 takes for

00:37:21.200 you to

00:37:21.460 say,

00:37:21.820 all right,

00:37:22.180 I'm finally

00:37:22.480 gay. 0.93

00:37:23.760 So I 0.97

00:37:24.320 think this

00:37:26.120 is an

00:37:26.440 impossible

00:37:26.920 situation.

00:37:28.960 The whole

00:37:29.640 trans surgery

00:37:30.320 thing is

00:37:30.900 impossible.

00:37:34.160 But,

00:37:34.800 if you

00:37:35.420 said to

00:37:35.800 yourself,

00:37:36.860 I'm sure

00:37:37.220 there are

00:37:37.560 far more

00:37:38.080 people who

00:37:38.580 are injured

00:37:39.140 than not,

00:37:42.060 and protecting

00:37:42.800 children is

00:37:43.520 higher than

00:37:44.180 maybe even

00:37:45.480 the Constitution,

00:37:47.160 maybe even

00:37:47.760 the Constitution.

00:37:48.960 I wouldn't

00:37:49.560 argue that.

00:37:51.300 So let me

00:37:51.840 be as clear

00:37:52.720 as possible.

00:37:53.980 I am not

00:37:54.600 disagreeing or

00:37:56.400 disavowing any

00:37:58.380 of your opinions

00:37:59.160 on this topic.

00:38:00.760 And that's

00:38:01.380 different than a

00:38:02.200 lot of topics.

00:38:03.320 Typically,

00:38:04.060 I'm quite willing

00:38:04.880 to say your

00:38:05.440 idea is bad

00:38:06.140 and mine is a

00:38:06.740 little bit

00:38:07.040 better.

00:38:08.860 I mean,

00:38:09.180 you've seen

00:38:09.520 that a million

00:38:09.940 times.

00:38:10.960 But on

00:38:11.360 this one,

00:38:12.080 on this one,

00:38:13.140 you're on

00:38:15.780 your own,

00:38:16.700 because there's

00:38:17.320 no right answer

00:38:17.940 here.

00:38:18.980 And if you

00:38:19.720 take the

00:38:20.240 greater benefit,

00:38:21.500 the kids can

00:38:22.100 wait and make

00:38:22.660 the decision

00:38:23.200 later.

00:38:23.880 That's

00:38:24.180 reasonable.

00:38:25.340 That's

00:38:25.700 reasonable.

00:38:27.700 I don't

00:38:28.320 know if it's

00:38:28.980 right, but

00:38:30.180 it's reasonable.

00:38:32.900 And then you

00:38:33.640 got to bring it

00:38:34.080 down to

00:38:34.640 circumcision. 0.97

00:38:36.600 It's ugly.

00:38:38.960 All right.

00:38:39.260 have you

00:38:41.820 noticed that

00:38:42.380 when Democrats

00:38:44.100 insult Republicans, 0.61

00:38:46.080 they like to

00:38:48.000 point out that

00:38:48.640 neo-Nazis are

00:38:50.800 often right

00:38:52.220 leaning?

00:38:53.360 So they try

00:38:54.480 to ruin the

00:38:55.300 Republican brand

00:38:56.420 by saying,

00:38:56.980 you know,

00:38:57.380 that's what the

00:38:57.860 neo-Nazis are.

00:38:59.380 They also vote

00:39:00.520 conservative.

00:39:02.940 So that's

00:39:03.520 what the

00:39:03.980 Democrats say

00:39:05.100 about Republicans.

00:39:06.560 And what do

00:39:06.960 the Republicans

00:39:07.500 say to insult

00:39:08.800 Democrats?

00:39:11.520 They say that

00:39:12.640 Rob Reiner is

00:39:13.540 a Democrat.

00:39:16.260 So here we've

00:39:18.260 got the

00:39:18.520 balance.

00:39:19.680 So Republicans

00:39:20.160 say that

00:39:20.920 Democrats say

00:39:22.520 that Republicans 0.97

00:39:23.060 are neo-Nazis 0.99

00:39:24.360 and that

00:39:26.240 Republicans say

00:39:27.140 that Democrats

00:39:27.880 are like Rob

00:39:29.280 Reiner.

00:39:30.180 I'm going to

00:39:30.820 score that a

00:39:31.420 tie.

00:39:33.060 Roughly,

00:39:33.620 roughly a

00:39:34.760 tie.

00:39:38.880 I saw

00:39:39.640 somebody refer

00:39:40.340 to Rob

00:39:41.860 Reiner,

00:39:42.340 George

00:39:42.580 Takai,

00:39:43.260 and John

00:39:43.840 Cusack as

00:39:44.720 the Democrats 0.99

00:39:45.540 three stooges. 0.99

00:39:48.220 Three stooges.

00:39:51.460 And then

00:39:52.840 this made me

00:39:53.660 wonder.

00:39:54.600 so every

00:39:58.080 now and

00:39:58.360 then you

00:39:58.620 see people

00:39:59.080 move from

00:39:59.800 one party

00:40:00.640 to the

00:40:01.040 other,

00:40:01.360 right?

00:40:03.060 So you've

00:40:03.820 seen a

00:40:04.120 number of

00:40:04.540 notable

00:40:04.940 people who

00:40:06.480 used to be

00:40:07.020 one thing

00:40:07.520 and then

00:40:07.820 they moved

00:40:08.180 to the

00:40:08.460 other party.

00:40:09.820 And I

00:40:11.220 think this

00:40:11.760 is probably

00:40:12.160 just in my

00:40:12.840 mind,

00:40:14.060 but I'm

00:40:14.520 noticing a

00:40:15.120 pattern.

00:40:17.200 Right?

00:40:17.500 I feel

00:40:19.440 like the

00:40:19.980 pattern is

00:40:20.600 that when

00:40:21.240 somebody moves

00:40:22.620 from Democrat

00:40:23.300 to Republican,

00:40:25.300 they tend

00:40:27.200 to be,

00:40:28.340 let's say,

00:40:29.200 an ex-member

00:40:29.820 of Congress

00:40:30.740 or a

00:40:32.220 billionaire

00:40:32.580 or an

00:40:34.560 entrepreneur

00:40:34.980 or an

00:40:36.360 investor,

00:40:37.300 like a

00:40:37.680 famous investor.

00:40:40.160 But who

00:40:41.880 exactly moves

00:40:42.800 from Republican

00:40:43.860 to Democrat?

00:40:45.980 Steve

00:40:46.660 Schmidt?

00:40:47.500 Rick

00:40:49.620 Wilson?

00:40:51.700 Do you

00:40:52.280 see a

00:40:52.540 pattern?

00:40:54.380 Like,

00:40:54.840 I'm not

00:40:56.780 sure,

00:40:57.240 like,

00:40:57.460 I think I

00:40:57.920 might have

00:40:58.340 selective

00:40:58.880 memory.

00:41:00.540 Right?

00:41:02.120 Liz Cheney?

00:41:03.280 Right?

00:41:03.860 So,

00:41:04.540 Kinzinger? 0.91

00:41:05.520 So,

00:41:05.840 does this

00:41:06.600 seem to me

00:41:07.160 that there's

00:41:07.600 a certain

00:41:08.000 type of

00:41:08.520 person who's

00:41:09.120 moving one

00:41:09.700 way and

00:41:10.740 a different

00:41:11.180 type of

00:41:11.620 person who's

00:41:12.260 moving that

00:41:13.120 way?

00:41:14.540 Am I

00:41:15.180 right?

00:41:15.400 It seems

00:41:17.820 like the

00:41:18.380 lightweight

00:41:19.560 people are

00:41:20.420 moving

00:41:20.720 Democrat

00:41:21.140 and the

00:41:22.180 heavyweight

00:41:22.740 people are

00:41:23.300 moving

00:41:23.640 Republican.

00:41:25.080 By heavyweight,

00:41:26.020 I would say

00:41:26.380 somebody who's

00:41:26.940 been in

00:41:27.400 Congress.

00:41:28.560 Right?

00:41:29.820 That's a pretty

00:41:30.520 serious person.

00:41:31.960 Somebody who's

00:41:32.720 already a billionaire

00:41:33.520 from their own

00:41:34.940 work.

00:41:36.380 That's a

00:41:37.020 serious person.

00:41:39.020 And, you know,

00:41:39.740 venture capitalists,

00:41:40.640 et cetera.

00:41:41.580 All right.

00:41:42.820 I don't know.

00:41:43.840 I'm probably

00:41:44.580 wrong that that's

00:41:45.400 a correlation.

00:41:46.940 But it looks

00:41:47.400 like one.

00:41:49.560 I saw a video

00:41:50.760 of a 1943

00:41:52.060 communist

00:41:52.960 directive

00:41:53.560 in which,

00:41:56.560 first of all,

00:41:57.100 it has wonderful

00:41:57.740 old-time talk.

00:41:59.660 Do you know

00:41:59.980 old-timey talk?

00:42:02.760 If you hear it

00:42:03.600 and see any

00:42:04.040 video or audio

00:42:05.080 from the

00:42:05.620 40s,

00:42:06.780 all the men

00:42:07.400 talk like this

00:42:08.260 whenever they're

00:42:09.240 on video,

00:42:10.180 they seem to

00:42:11.320 talk in a way

00:42:12.260 that is only

00:42:13.340 common to people

00:42:14.620 who are talking

00:42:15.100 on video

00:42:15.540 in the 40s.

00:42:17.140 Why is it

00:42:17.820 that the people

00:42:18.440 on the video

00:42:19.080 in the 40s

00:42:20.300 would talk like

00:42:21.280 this?

00:42:22.400 But today,

00:42:23.420 nobody talks

00:42:24.300 like this

00:42:24.920 because they did

00:42:26.160 in the 40s.

00:42:26.920 But they do

00:42:27.500 not anymore.

00:42:30.700 Is there

00:42:31.320 some reason

00:42:31.880 why people

00:42:32.840 talked like

00:42:33.360 that before?

00:42:34.880 And they don't

00:42:35.340 talk like that

00:42:35.920 now?

00:42:36.720 Were they all

00:42:37.420 imitating

00:42:38.020 somebody?

00:42:40.100 Radio voice

00:42:40.820 or something?

00:42:41.680 Yeah,

00:42:41.860 maybe they were

00:42:42.360 imitating radio

00:42:43.200 voice on video.

00:42:44.320 Oh,

00:42:44.500 that's a good

00:42:44.900 theory.

00:42:46.000 That's a good

00:42:46.540 theory.

00:42:47.440 They were

00:42:47.740 imitating radio

00:42:48.840 voice when

00:42:50.660 video was still

00:42:51.760 young.

00:42:53.340 Oh,

00:42:53.840 my God,

00:42:54.380 I think you

00:42:55.040 answered the

00:42:55.600 question.

00:42:56.220 I've wondered

00:42:56.820 about that all

00:42:57.500 of my life.

00:42:59.240 And that

00:42:59.720 probably is the

00:43:00.660 answer,

00:43:01.000 right?

00:43:02.540 Yeah.

00:43:03.620 Because when

00:43:04.220 you're on radio,

00:43:04.960 you're acting

00:43:05.480 with your voice.

00:43:06.280 when you're

00:43:07.420 on video,

00:43:08.040 you're trying

00:43:08.340 to be like

00:43:08.880 more of a

00:43:09.340 whole person.

00:43:10.360 Oh,

00:43:10.520 that makes

00:43:10.760 sense.

00:43:12.980 Huh.

00:43:14.020 But let

00:43:14.620 me,

00:43:14.900 I want

00:43:16.640 you to

00:43:17.480 listen to

00:43:19.940 this.

00:43:20.300 If I can

00:43:20.500 find it

00:43:20.940 quickly.

00:43:22.980 Oh,

00:43:23.420 here it

00:43:23.600 is.

00:43:23.780 In the

00:43:24.580 United States,

00:43:25.820 it read,

00:43:27.580 in 1943,

00:43:29.120 the following

00:43:29.880 directive was

00:43:30.920 issued from

00:43:31.480 party headquarters

00:43:32.300 to all

00:43:32.820 communists in

00:43:33.580 the United

00:43:33.940 States.

00:43:34.380 To all

00:43:34.660 communists.

00:43:34.960 It read,

00:43:35.940 when certain

00:43:37.480 obstructionists

00:43:38.360 become too

00:43:39.040 irritating,

00:43:40.400 label them

00:43:40.980 after suitable

00:43:41.800 buildups as

00:43:42.900 fascist or

00:43:44.180 Nazi or

00:43:45.360 anti-Semitic

00:43:46.140 and use the

00:43:47.420 prestige of

00:43:48.240 anti-fascist

00:43:49.080 intolerance

00:43:49.700 organizations to

00:43:50.700 discredit them.

00:43:52.040 In the public

00:43:52.620 mind,

00:43:53.660 constantly associate

00:43:54.760 those who

00:43:55.320 oppose us with

00:43:56.580 those names which

00:43:57.320 already have a

00:43:58.000 bad smell.

00:43:59.400 The association

00:44:00.000 will, after

00:44:00.800 enough repetition,

00:44:02.120 become fact in

00:44:03.760 the public

00:44:04.160 mind.

00:44:04.960 In 1943,

00:44:06.660 the following...

00:44:07.740 So, repetition

00:44:11.100 and association.

00:44:15.360 Repetition and

00:44:16.340 association.

00:44:17.300 Those are the

00:44:17.800 two, maybe two

00:44:19.880 of the strongest

00:44:20.400 parts of

00:44:21.140 hypnosis and

00:44:21.980 persuasion.

00:44:23.140 Repetition and

00:44:24.500 association.

00:44:26.300 And in 1943,

00:44:28.680 communists were

00:44:29.560 taught to label

00:44:32.440 anybody who was

00:44:33.240 against them as

00:44:34.920 fascists or

00:44:35.900 Nazis and to 0.92

00:44:37.240 associate with

00:44:38.140 more credible

00:44:38.880 organizations that

00:44:40.180 would also, you

00:44:41.280 know, have those

00:44:42.140 accusations.

00:44:43.220 Does that sound

00:44:44.000 like 2020 through

00:44:45.520 2022?

00:44:47.740 It's exactly.

00:44:49.220 It's exactly.

00:44:50.780 So, the 1943

00:44:52.220 communist playbook is

00:44:54.660 being rolled out

00:44:56.220 here right now.

00:44:58.380 And the thing is,

00:45:00.400 it's working.

00:45:03.120 Yeah.

00:45:03.560 The thing is, it

00:45:04.400 works.

00:45:05.320 This was actually

00:45:06.020 really good advice

00:45:07.020 for bad behavior.

00:45:11.400 All right.

00:45:11.900 You know, the

00:45:15.520 other day when I

00:45:16.220 was mocking the

00:45:17.280 Democrats for

00:45:18.220 saying that cost

00:45:19.280 reductions were

00:45:20.360 reducing inflation

00:45:22.320 when those are

00:45:23.660 just completely

00:45:24.240 different concepts.

00:45:26.120 You know, one is

00:45:26.540 about the value of

00:45:27.340 your money and the

00:45:28.020 other is about just

00:45:28.640 what did something

00:45:29.440 cost today.

00:45:32.100 You know, they

00:45:32.840 have some

00:45:34.120 connection, but

00:45:34.900 they're different

00:45:35.280 concepts.

00:45:36.540 And Nancy Pelosi

00:45:37.600 on a video

00:45:39.520 interview said on

00:45:40.660 the news,

00:45:41.040 quote, when I

00:45:42.240 hear people talk

00:45:43.000 about inflation,

00:45:44.240 we have to

00:45:44.920 change that

00:45:45.440 subject.

00:45:46.880 Now, that's

00:45:48.300 being taken out

00:45:48.920 of context to

00:45:50.480 make it look like

00:45:51.200 she just doesn't

00:45:51.840 want to talk

00:45:52.300 about inflation

00:45:53.100 because it's

00:45:53.560 bad.

00:45:54.500 What she says

00:45:55.300 is inflation

00:45:55.900 is global.

00:45:57.220 What we should

00:45:57.840 be talking about

00:45:58.620 is ways we can

00:45:59.500 lower your

00:46:00.040 expenses.

00:46:01.400 In other words,

00:46:01.900 your health

00:46:02.220 care expense

00:46:02.840 immediately or

00:46:03.860 your whatever

00:46:04.800 expense.

00:46:06.080 And do you

00:46:07.440 think that I'm

00:46:10.020 kind of,

00:46:10.620 Scott's finally

00:46:12.300 waking up,

00:46:13.100 I'm kind of

00:46:13.740 surprised that

00:46:15.080 she made that 0.98

00:46:15.700 distinction because

00:46:17.220 I think it was

00:46:17.880 working for them

00:46:18.920 to conflate the

00:46:20.540 cost reductions

00:46:21.320 with the

00:46:21.840 inflation.

00:46:22.900 Because Biden

00:46:23.440 was doing it

00:46:24.040 and I think it

00:46:24.500 worked.

00:46:25.840 Because, correct

00:46:27.200 me if I'm

00:46:27.660 wrong, but I'm

00:46:28.260 literally the only

00:46:29.160 person who told

00:46:30.600 you they were

00:46:31.040 doing that.

00:46:32.260 Am I right?

00:46:33.380 Have you heard

00:46:34.200 one other person

00:46:35.280 in any news or

00:46:36.520 any other place

00:46:37.260 tell you they were

00:46:38.600 knowingly conflating

00:46:39.680 cost reductions

00:46:40.540 and inflation?

00:46:41.940 I think I'm the

00:46:42.480 only one.

00:46:43.860 And then Nancy

00:46:44.800 Pelosi is saying

00:46:45.500 it directly,

00:46:46.400 that the Democrats

00:46:48.460 were actually

00:46:49.620 conflating them

00:46:50.460 and she says

00:46:51.720 they shouldn't.

00:46:53.040 Now, I don't

00:46:56.000 know if she

00:46:56.440 improved the

00:46:57.200 argument.

00:46:59.000 I think that

00:47:00.040 her argument is

00:47:00.920 more accurate,

00:47:01.980 so I'll give her

00:47:02.560 credit that she's

00:47:04.560 more accurate.

00:47:05.960 Oh, somebody

00:47:06.300 says Ben Shapiro

00:47:07.160 pointed out the

00:47:08.020 difference between

00:47:08.680 inflation and

00:47:09.320 cost reduction,

00:47:10.140 which makes

00:47:10.580 sense.

00:47:12.000 I would imagine

00:47:12.800 he would.

00:47:15.360 All right, so

00:47:16.160 next topic.

00:47:19.720 So it looks,

00:47:20.660 I was really

00:47:21.280 interested to see

00:47:22.220 if the performer

00:47:24.700 formerly known as

00:47:25.900 Kanye, now

00:47:27.420 Ye, I was

00:47:28.720 really interested

00:47:29.320 to see if he

00:47:30.200 could be

00:47:30.780 canceled.

00:47:32.240 Because I was

00:47:32.980 starting to think

00:47:33.620 he might be

00:47:34.200 uncancellable, but

00:47:36.120 I think they've

00:47:36.640 done it.

00:47:38.040 And it looks

00:47:38.640 like there's

00:47:39.600 more movement

00:47:40.540 toward everybody

00:47:41.660 canceling him.

00:47:44.280 And I think

00:47:45.380 even his old

00:47:46.280 agent, I think

00:47:50.460 his own agent

00:47:51.300 or somebody

00:47:52.120 he worked with,

00:47:52.720 Ari, wants 1.00

00:47:55.440 to cancel him.

00:47:57.140 So basically,

00:47:58.320 all of Hollywood

00:47:59.160 and anybody

00:48:00.100 who's associated

00:48:01.760 with or supportive

00:48:02.940 of the Jewish

00:48:03.840 community, has

00:48:05.140 pretty much

00:48:05.760 joined forces

00:48:06.760 and he's

00:48:07.880 canceled.

00:48:09.420 He's

00:48:09.740 canceled.

00:48:13.440 So, but

00:48:15.260 here's, do

00:48:16.020 you want to

00:48:16.200 hear a good

00:48:16.640 conspiracy theory?

00:48:19.840 All right, this

00:48:20.320 is not mine.

00:48:21.200 So this was

00:48:21.700 suggested to me

00:48:22.900 on, you

00:48:25.520 know, on a

00:48:25.980 message.

00:48:27.320 So I won't

00:48:28.120 say it was

00:48:28.580 suggested in

00:48:30.240 case they don't

00:48:30.720 want their name

00:48:31.240 known.

00:48:31.660 But the

00:48:33.840 idea is that

00:48:35.080 Kanye already

00:48:36.280 said before any

00:48:37.320 of this ugliness

00:48:38.660 happened, he

00:48:39.840 had said that he

00:48:40.400 wanted to get

00:48:41.020 out of his

00:48:41.460 deals with

00:48:42.260 Gap and

00:48:43.080 Adidas.

00:48:45.060 I can't think

00:48:45.900 of a better

00:48:46.280 way to get

00:48:47.000 out of your

00:48:47.340 deals.

00:48:48.660 Now the

00:48:49.040 question is,

00:48:50.240 could he

00:48:50.660 possibly have

00:48:51.480 done this

00:48:51.880 intentionally to

00:48:53.740 cancel the

00:48:54.320 deals he

00:48:54.740 wanted to

00:48:55.120 cancel?

00:48:56.340 That couldn't

00:48:57.000 have been

00:48:57.260 canceled any

00:48:57.840 other way,

00:48:58.580 probably.

00:49:00.240 Is he that

00:49:01.180 smart?

00:49:01.660 I don't

00:49:04.120 know.

00:49:06.160 I don't

00:49:06.660 know.

00:49:07.440 I don't see

00:49:08.240 anybody branding

00:49:09.420 themselves as

00:49:10.360 anti-Semitic to

00:49:12.500 cancel a deal.

00:49:14.300 That feels like

00:49:15.320 something that

00:49:15.840 literally nobody

00:49:16.740 would do.

00:49:19.800 But maybe.

00:49:21.340 You know, the

00:49:21.960 reason that yay

00:49:23.040 is yay and I'm

00:49:24.720 not is because he

00:49:26.620 does things that I

00:49:27.420 wouldn't do,

00:49:28.000 right?

00:49:28.200 The very fact

00:49:29.760 that the thing

00:49:31.520 that made him

00:49:31.980 him, and the

00:49:33.740 reason we talk

00:49:34.340 about him, is he

00:49:34.940 doesn't do what

00:49:35.540 you and I would

00:49:36.080 do, so who

00:49:36.880 knows?

00:49:37.800 Who knows?

00:49:38.400 I doubt it.

00:49:39.400 It doesn't seem

00:49:39.980 like a good play.

00:49:40.900 It doesn't sound

00:49:41.400 like a smart play,

00:49:42.800 so I don't think

00:49:43.460 so.

00:49:45.000 But it was

00:49:45.600 interesting.

00:49:45.960 Now, if he

00:49:48.900 hasn't clarified

00:49:50.060 or corrected,

00:49:52.980 what is the

00:49:56.240 right way to

00:49:58.240 go on this?

00:49:59.660 And I've said

00:50:00.400 this before,

00:50:01.180 but if

00:50:04.140 somebody said,

00:50:06.060 so here's your

00:50:07.460 racism bigotry

00:50:09.260 test, okay?

00:50:10.540 If somebody

00:50:11.360 said to you,

00:50:13.520 let me tell

00:50:14.380 you, my sixth

00:50:15.040 grade teacher

00:50:15.780 when I was

00:50:16.200 a kid, taught

00:50:17.800 the class in

00:50:19.580 direct language

00:50:20.440 that Chinese 1.00

00:50:22.320 people were

00:50:23.000 good at

00:50:23.340 business.

00:50:27.080 Now, that

00:50:28.960 was the most

00:50:29.940 racist thing

00:50:30.680 anybody ever

00:50:31.200 said that I

00:50:33.240 ever heard in

00:50:33.780 public, like

00:50:34.840 from a person

00:50:35.780 with authority.

00:50:38.300 And I think

00:50:39.240 he mentioned,

00:50:39.840 I'm not

00:50:40.140 positive, but I

00:50:40.660 think he

00:50:40.940 mentioned the

00:50:41.640 Jewish community

00:50:42.420 too.

00:50:43.340 I think he

00:50:43.780 said, oh,

00:50:44.120 yeah,

00:50:44.340 the Chinese

00:50:45.880 and the

00:50:46.760 Jews are

00:50:47.320 good at

00:50:47.900 business.

00:50:49.260 Now, I

00:50:52.960 don't know if

00:50:53.320 that's true or

00:50:53.900 false.

00:50:54.400 Like, if you

00:50:54.920 were to do

00:50:55.780 some kind of

00:50:56.300 study, would

00:50:57.560 you find out

00:50:58.120 that they had

00:50:58.500 more success

00:50:59.220 than other

00:50:59.640 people?

00:51:00.000 I don't know.

00:51:00.720 I have no

00:51:01.260 idea if that

00:51:01.840 would test out.

00:51:02.780 But you're not

00:51:03.220 supposed to say

00:51:03.820 it.

00:51:05.020 The only thing

00:51:05.720 I'm sure of

00:51:06.220 is you're not

00:51:06.700 supposed to say

00:51:07.280 it.

00:51:08.300 Even if you're

00:51:09.040 sure it's true,

00:51:10.200 you're not

00:51:10.520 supposed to say

00:51:11.080 it.

00:51:11.300 But here's

00:51:13.740 my question.

00:51:15.840 Have we

00:51:16.480 gone so

00:51:17.080 far, and

00:51:18.960 are we such 1.00

00:51:19.680 assholes that 1.00

00:51:21.160 we will cancel 1.00

00:51:21.820 somebody for

00:51:22.500 complimenting us?

00:51:24.960 That's where we

00:51:25.680 are.

00:51:27.640 Kanye's entire

00:51:28.440 complaint about

00:51:29.320 the Jewish

00:51:29.780 community, and

00:51:30.680 it's been a few

00:51:31.400 days, so now

00:51:32.640 the temperature's

00:51:33.460 come down a

00:51:33.940 little bit, so

00:51:34.360 we can talk

00:51:34.880 about it a little

00:51:35.340 more objectively.

00:51:37.000 Objectively

00:51:37.540 speaking, he

00:51:38.780 was really

00:51:39.240 pissed at 0.98

00:51:39.820 Jews for 0.96

00:51:40.400 out-competing

00:51:41.120 him.

00:51:42.280 If somebody's

00:51:43.180 out-competing

00:51:43.860 you, and

00:51:45.460 what he's not

00:51:46.100 saying, here's

00:51:46.900 what he's not

00:51:47.420 saying.

00:51:48.160 They cheated.

00:51:49.560 Didn't say

00:51:50.000 that.

00:51:50.860 They broke

00:51:51.500 the law.

00:51:52.480 Didn't say

00:51:52.940 that.

00:51:53.840 They colluded

00:51:55.040 together to do

00:51:57.060 something against

00:51:57.780 me.

00:51:58.420 He didn't

00:51:58.940 exactly say

00:51:59.720 that, although

00:52:00.820 that one you

00:52:01.400 have to wonder

00:52:01.820 about, because

00:52:02.520 he did talk

00:52:03.740 about the group

00:52:04.320 collectively.

00:52:04.860 He did not

00:52:06.100 say that they

00:52:06.660 were organized,

00:52:07.720 but he did

00:52:08.780 talk about them

00:52:09.340 collectively.

00:52:10.000 I think that's

00:52:10.480 a clarification

00:52:11.640 he ought to

00:52:12.220 fix.

00:52:13.820 So, I'm

00:52:16.160 seeing some

00:52:16.560 disagreements.

00:52:17.280 Let's play

00:52:18.200 with the

00:52:18.480 disagreement.

00:52:19.860 In my

00:52:20.580 opinion, he

00:52:21.720 said that the

00:52:22.660 Jewish people

00:52:23.800 that he was

00:52:24.220 dealing with in

00:52:24.840 the business

00:52:25.260 world were

00:52:26.500 doing a really

00:52:27.140 good job for

00:52:27.860 themselves, and

00:52:29.140 he wishes that

00:52:30.180 black people,

00:52:31.260 and himself in

00:52:31.920 particular, could

00:52:33.480 meet that level

00:52:34.440 of aggressive

00:52:36.000 business, I

00:52:38.660 don't know,

00:52:38.860 attitude or

00:52:39.560 success or

00:52:40.100 something.

00:52:41.120 And I did

00:52:42.220 not hear the

00:52:42.680 insult in

00:52:43.160 that.

00:52:44.020 Did I miss

00:52:44.560 it?

00:52:46.340 Can somebody

00:52:46.880 tell me what

00:52:47.380 the insult

00:52:47.840 was?

00:52:58.640 So, where

00:52:59.260 is the

00:52:59.520 insult?

00:52:59.740 No.

00:52:59.800 No.

00:52:59.840 No.

00:52:59.900 No.

00:52:59.940 No.

00:52:59.960 No.

00:53:00.000 No.

00:53:00.400 No.

00:53:00.460 No.

00:53:00.900 No.

00:53:00.960 No.

00:53:01.000 No.

00:53:01.460 No.

00:53:02.000 No.

00:53:02.060 No.

00:53:02.960 No.

00:53:03.060 No.

00:53:04.000 No.

00:53:04.060 No.

00:53:04.440 No.

00:53:05.420 Oh, it's a

00:53:05.980 compliment used

00:53:07.120 to discriminate

00:53:07.960 against Jews. 0.89

00:53:10.980 Okay, you

00:53:11.700 don't feel

00:53:12.020 that stretchy

00:53:12.600 it a little

00:53:12.960 bit?

00:53:15.020 Your point

00:53:16.020 actually make

00:53:17.400 sense, but

00:53:19.500 that doesn't

00:53:21.860 stretch it a

00:53:22.420 little bit?

00:53:22.800 No.

00:53:23.380 No.

00:53:23.780 No.

00:53:23.820 No.

00:53:24.920 Here's the

00:53:25.360 thing.

00:53:26.500 If you're

00:53:27.080 making the

00:53:27.580 Hitler 0.78

00:53:27.780 analogy, and

00:53:28.560 it's, of

00:53:29.040 course, it's

00:53:29.700 impossible not

00:53:30.460 to in this

00:53:30.900 case, right?

00:53:31.720 If you're

00:53:32.180 making the

00:53:32.600 Hitler 0.78

00:53:32.800 analogy, I

00:53:34.320 do believe Hitler was kind of close to that, wasn't he? Like, didn't he say, you know,

00:53:39.520 this group is being too successful, so we have to stop them? But that's not what Kanye

00:53:46.860 says. Did you see Kanye say anything about stopping them? I didn't see it. Didn't see

00:53:54.360 it at all. Now, he did insult Jared Kushner, but that sounded personal. He painted Jews

00:54:01.580 as immoral, somebody says. I didn't see it. Give me like a quote that you think, and I'm 0.70

00:54:12.020 not denying it, I'm just not aware of it. Give me a quote that you think was Kanye calling

00:54:19.000 them immoral, because what I heard is that he said he was Jewish too. So that sounds like 0.93

00:54:25.760 the opposite of calling somebody immoral. If he was identifying with a group, now, I

00:54:32.300 don't buy that identification, but, you know, it was part of his communication. Now, he's

00:54:39.200 not, I don't think he's technically Jewish. He was saying that black people are Jewish,

00:54:42.560 there's some argument for that that I don't understand. All right. Are lopsided contracts

00:54:57.040 immoral? I don't know. Are they? Do you think Ye signed a lopsided contract? Now, I understand 1.00

00:55:09.560 I understand that he was unhappy with some of his partners about things he thought he

00:55:13.480 was going to get. Black Hebrew Israelites? Yeah. I'm not, I'm not that interested. The 1.00

00:55:31.020 answer liquid swan is no. In case you're interested, there's a long delay between when my ex-wife 0.99

00:55:40.840 and I decided that things were done and when you heard about it. So there was a lot of time

00:55:46.500 in between there. All right. The lopsided contract. Don't you think Ye thinks that he would like

00:55:54.540 to be in a position to have lopsided contracts? Do you think that if Ye could have any kind of

00:56:01.320 contract he wanted, he would sign one that's really fair to everybody or one that was lopsided

00:56:06.640 in his favor? As long as everybody won. Like, I don't think he would punish somebody with a bad

00:56:13.160 contract. But I think as long as they won and he won more, you don't think he'd sign that contract?

00:56:18.000 I think he would. And I think he would compliment anybody who could get away with it. Because it

00:56:24.500 would just be business. Yeah. Anyway, it does look like the cancellation is going to work. Now,

00:56:33.700 the only way I imagine he could get out of it would be if he has enough resources that he can start his

00:56:39.120 own chain of retail stores, which I think is a possibility. Like, he might just start his own

00:56:46.520 chain or something or make parlor work or something. But he is in trouble. I don't think he anticipated

00:56:54.180 this much trouble. I mentioned before that Ye was thinking of building a mini city that's sort of

00:57:01.980 designed after his own aesthetic and maybe a city about all things he likes or whatever.

00:57:12.560 And I would like to add this. I'm going to a meeting tonight in my little city where they're

00:57:18.320 talking about turning one of the roads into part bicycles, part roads. If I were to design a mini

00:57:23.560 city, here's how I would start. I would put the schools in one place, in the center, so that the

00:57:31.640 school system is equal distance from everybody. And that's the most important thing. And then I

00:57:38.060 would have a hub and spoke bicycle and electric conveyance, you know, like scooters and stuff,

00:57:45.440 only walking and bikes. There would be a hub and spoke that would all go to the school in the center.

00:57:52.160 So that if you were on a bicycle and you wanted to get from anywhere to anywhere else,

00:57:56.360 you could go to the center and then that would connect you to all the other paths to wherever you want

00:58:01.340 to go. So you would build it first as a bicycle-friendly city because e-bikes and e-conveyances

00:58:09.160 will be the thing and they will replace cars. There's no doubt about it. If you've had an e-bike

00:58:15.460 experience, you know these are going to be everywhere. There's no doubt about it. As soon as you touch

00:58:22.320 one, you're like, okay, this is going to be everywhere. There's no doubt about it. Sort of like the first

00:58:28.140 time you held a smartphone, the first time you got a smartphone, did you ever think to yourself,

00:58:34.260 well, this will go backwards to the flip phone? Even though it barely worked, you knew that was the

00:58:40.080 future, right? When you held it in your hand, there was no doubt. And I've told this story about the first

00:58:45.980 time I saw the internet when it had, there were two websites in total that were public. That's it.

00:58:53.060 The whole internet was two websites when I first saw it. And I knew it was going to be huge. You

00:58:59.800 could just tell. And everybody who saw it knew the moment they saw it, this is going to be gigantic.

00:59:06.880 So e-bikes are like that. You don't understand yet how big e-bikes are going to be and e-scooters

00:59:12.200 and e-things. It's because the battery technology finally reached a point where they're awesome.

00:59:17.960 So that's how I'd build my city. And then there's a story about the Israeli Air Force

00:59:28.720 bombed an Iranian drone factory located in Syrian territory. So apparently the Iranians 1.00

00:59:36.040 were shipping the drone parts to a Syrian territory place that they had control of and building the

00:59:44.620 drones there. Now, is that why Iran can say these drones did not come from us? That's probably their 0.86

00:59:53.120 trick, right? Joe Hoft did a piece on me yesterday. I suppose I should go look at that. Joe Hoft or Jim Hoft?

01:00:05.460 I don't know which Hoft. I don't know which Hoft you're talking about. All right. I'll look that up.

01:00:14.600 So there goes that Iranian drone factory. What happens if Russia can't get... It is Jack. What happens if 0.53

01:00:25.920 the Russians can't get Iranian drones? That's a pretty big deal, isn't it, in terms of the war direction?

01:00:39.500 Yeah, lithium recycling is cranking up fast. That's true.

01:00:47.620 All right. They'll have to surrender.

01:00:49.160 How many kids can you fit on an e-bike? Well, they would have their own e-bike. So

01:01:00.060 Scott, Jenny says, Scott, duped by batteries and green energy, thinks everything always improves

01:01:10.840 like chip processing speed. Does that sound like something I say? That I'm duped into believing

01:01:18.360 that batteries and green energy will improve like chip processing speed? Does that sound like

01:01:26.160 something I said, you stupid bitch? By the way, if you haven't already noticed, 1.00

01:01:33.440 in personal relationships, tell me if this isn't true. One-on-one, if you're talking to somebody in

01:01:42.320 person, if a woman criticizes a man, the man will hold back. True or false? If a woman criticizes a man 0.59

01:01:53.020 in person, the man will hold back. Of course. Now, not only will the man hold back physically,

01:02:01.320 of course, because you're not going to create a fight, but you will hold back verbally as well.

01:02:08.280 Will you not? True or false? That a man will hold back verbally as well. Because, you know,

01:02:15.680 you don't want the husband to come over and punch your lights out and stuff like that. 1.00

01:02:19.380 But here's the problem. And correct me if I'm wrong. This is just a hypothesis I'm developing.

01:02:25.720 My belief is that women have taken that safety to the internet, and they believe they can shit on me 1.00

01:02:34.080 without any pushback. And so, because I like to train them that that's not the case, 0.98

01:02:41.100 as soon as they criticize me unfairly, I call them stupid cunts. Because I'm not going to hold 1.00

01:02:47.840 back on social media. On social media, if you come after me, it's going to be 100%, well, I might even

01:02:55.760 exceed what you did. Like, if you come after me with an 8 out of 10 awfulness, I might give you a 10,

01:03:03.080 and I wouldn't feel bad about that at all. Do you know why? Because I'm not a sexist.

01:03:10.100 That's why. Because I did not grow up around weak women. Right? My mother wasn't weak. 1.00

01:03:18.920 My sister isn't weak. No women in my family were weak. So if you come at me hard, I'm going to

01:03:27.860 fucking slap you back on social media. In person, I would act the same way. In person, 1.00

01:03:35.040 I would just suck it up. Because in person, you really do have to take into account there's a

01:03:43.620 physicality difference there. And I would go easy on somebody who did not have a physical

01:03:49.680 equity with me. Like, I would just treat them differently. But online? No. No, I have no filter

01:03:58.380 online. If you come at me with bullshit, I'm going to come at you with everything I've got 1.00

01:04:03.040 just for fun. Right? And I don't even care about you. Just to be clear, I don't care about you at all. 1.00

01:04:09.980 I just enjoyed the fact that you gave me a free punch. And I thought, oh, free punch. I would love

01:04:16.500 to call somebody a fucking piece of shit. Right to their digital face. It's fun. You should try it. 1.00

01:04:24.640 Have you ever, like, just seriously insulted somebody right to their face while they're live?

01:04:31.620 It's way more fun than you think it is. Because you don't get to do it in real life. But on social media,

01:04:36.720 yeah, come at me. You would cry? No, you wouldn't.

01:04:47.700 Anyway, but the basis for this, I know somebody who's going to say, he's a misogynist because he

01:04:53.200 says bad things about men. To which I say, you fucking idiot? No, I call everybody the same way. 1.00

01:04:59.260 You've seen me treat men on social media. Do I go easy on men on social media? Never.

01:05:05.300 Never. Never. I never go easy on men. I just cursed one out this morning. It's like a daily

01:05:15.040 occurrence for me. All right. Treat everybody the same, I say. Exactly. Well, I don't think

01:05:26.580 that's... I don't think that's all that happened today, but did anything else happen today that

01:05:35.140 I care about? What's your... What's on your mind? Yeah, you're right. I don't reserve the

01:05:46.680 C word for women. That's a generic insult. 1.00

01:05:49.940 Treat everyone like they know jujitsu.

01:06:00.760 Opinion on the phrase, the walls are closing in. Well, I mean, it's a punchline phrase now.

01:06:09.280 But I do worry that we're getting too used to the fact that the walls never do close in.

01:06:14.060 Yeah, there was some ABC producer that disappeared, but we don't know why.

01:06:22.660 Mayo Clinic, an executive health program, a one- to three-day physical exam. Huh.

01:06:34.440 You got canceled by Sertovich by saying, why don't man eat real protein instead of powder stuff?

01:06:39.500 Pat, he got canceled by Sertovich for asking about protein sources.

01:06:53.800 Sertovich is the best canceler on the internet, I think.

01:06:58.700 Somehow he's turned canceling into some kind of like an asset or something.

01:07:02.440 Like he cancels so aggressively that it's like, I've told you about addiction, right?

01:07:07.880 Addiction is not caused by getting what you want and then wanting more of it.

01:07:14.200 Addiction is caused by not being sure you'll get what you want, but you get it often enough

01:07:19.340 that you're really craving each time so you get addicted.

01:07:23.020 But if you follow Sertovich, your odds of being blocked for making a comment are so high

01:07:28.040 that it feels like special.

01:07:30.820 I'm still here.

01:07:31.760 He's somehow, he's managed to make his Twitter feed like a club where he can turn you away

01:07:40.380 from being ugly.

01:07:43.920 It's kind of amazing to watch. 0.51

01:07:52.660 Paul Joseph says, where did Sertovich even come from?

01:07:56.020 Now that is one of the most interesting stories in the world.

01:08:02.780 Because where he came from is nowhere.

01:08:05.660 You should read his origin story.

01:08:08.840 Talk about somebody who did it himself just by figuring it out.

01:08:14.700 I mean, he literally figured it out.

01:08:17.800 Like, how do you go from nothing to something?

01:08:21.520 And he just figured it out.

01:08:22.980 And then it was really hard.

01:08:25.040 And then he did it anyway.

01:08:27.480 So, I mean, sometimes it's that easy.

01:08:30.300 Figure out what you need to do.

01:08:32.180 It's really, really hard.

01:08:33.740 And then do it anyway.

01:08:37.220 Right.

01:08:39.860 I don't know about Dylan Mulvaney.

01:08:45.540 Yeah.

01:08:45.900 How do you lessen debate experts and increase STEM experts?

01:09:03.000 Well, how does he...

01:09:04.200 Somebody says, how does Sertovich have more followers than I do?

01:09:07.760 He tweets better.

01:09:10.300 That's it.

01:09:10.900 He's clearly one of the best tweeters on all of Twitter.

01:09:17.160 I mean, you'd have to put him in the top ten of any group.

01:09:23.800 You find Cary Lake more persuasive than DeSantis.

01:09:28.680 Yeah, I'd say that's a tie.

01:09:31.720 Because they both persuade their base, and both perfectly.

01:09:35.960 I mean, a DeSantis-Cary Lake, oh my God, imagine that.

01:09:44.540 Now, I don't think it'll be 2024, but, like, imagine a DeSantis-Cary Lake,

01:09:51.600 and I don't know who would be president and who would be vice president,

01:09:55.260 but that would be really strong.

01:09:58.160 UK has a new PM?

01:10:07.800 Terrific.

01:10:08.780 Should I learn the name of the new UK prime minister?

01:10:13.200 Or should I just put some lettuce on the counter and call it a day?

01:10:20.080 Yeah, wait a month.

01:10:20.800 Would you advise Trump for a 20...

01:10:26.340 Are you saying would I advise him whether he should run?

01:10:29.700 I can't advise him on that.

01:10:31.840 That's just personal.

01:10:33.560 Would I advise him in general?

01:10:35.180 No.

01:10:36.740 I'm not in the sense of having private meetings to advise him.

01:10:42.160 No.

01:10:43.360 Because then I would have to disclose that,

01:10:45.320 and then I would no longer, you know...

01:10:48.380 It would hurt my sense of independence, if I have any.

01:10:52.940 So I'd rather say in public what I think he should do

01:10:56.020 and let all of you wrestle with it,

01:10:57.880 and if any of that gets to him, good.

01:11:03.100 Chinese stocks are down 15%.

01:11:05.480 Since when?

01:11:08.160 Today?

01:11:09.960 They didn't drop 15% today, did they?

01:11:12.180 Can you give me a fact check on that?

01:11:15.260 Chinese stock market, did it crash today?

01:11:19.080 15%?

01:11:21.820 Do you know what I call that?

01:11:26.300 A good start.

01:11:29.420 Because I'm just getting started.

01:11:33.680 They shouldn't have killed my kid.

01:11:38.480 China doesn't know they're in a death match with me. 0.99

01:11:42.200 Now, I don't know if I can make any difference.

01:11:44.900 I just know things tend to go my way in the long run.

01:11:49.600 Yeah.

01:11:50.200 I don't think we want them to completely collapse,

01:11:52.920 but we might want them to be licking their wounds a little bit. 0.80

01:11:57.260 Yeah, I saw that three people died from buying cocaine from the same source,

01:12:11.200 but it wasn't cocaine, it was fentanyl, mostly.

01:12:14.160 Yeah, 15% isn't much of a drop.

01:12:23.360 By the way, the way you should look at our current stock market pullback,

01:12:28.820 how much are we down from the high?

01:12:30.260 25%?

01:12:32.180 Maybe less than 20%.

01:12:33.920 Give me a fact check.

01:12:36.660 How much are we down on our own stock market high,

01:12:40.180 the United States stock market?

01:12:41.840 Down 20% or 25?

01:12:44.540 Something like that?

01:12:48.280 Not seven.

01:12:49.060 I think it's pulled back up a little bit to maybe 25%.

01:12:54.300 All right, so somewhere in that neighborhood.

01:12:56.240 Here's how you should think about that.

01:12:58.960 That's exactly what it was supposed to do.

01:13:01.860 Before the U.S. stock market went down,

01:13:04.920 so it's bouncing around in that 20% to 30% range.

01:13:07.660 Let's say 25% as my talking point.

01:13:10.400 If it's around 25%, or let's say the average of the bottom,

01:13:13.900 that's exactly what it was supposed to do for a healthy stock market.

01:13:21.220 Let me put it another way.

01:13:23.160 It would have been much worse if the bubble had increased.

01:13:27.740 If your stock market has a history of getting ahead of itself

01:13:32.400 and then pulling back 25,

01:13:34.880 getting ahead of itself, pulling back 25,

01:13:37.720 you're in good shape.

01:13:39.960 You would love it to be maybe more graceful,

01:13:42.820 but that's exactly what you needed.

01:13:45.960 So if I told you before, this is a Mark Twain observation,

01:13:49.620 that people can't tell the difference between good news and bad news,

01:13:53.420 like that's literally true.

01:13:55.140 You can't tell the difference between good news and bad news.

01:13:58.060 So before the stock market correction,

01:14:01.680 I was really worried about the stock market.

01:14:05.180 Do you know why?

01:14:06.460 Because it was too high.

01:14:08.160 And to my mind, it looked about 25% too high.

01:14:10.940 And when the correction came and it went down 25%,

01:14:15.220 do you know what I said?

01:14:16.920 Oh, perfect.

01:14:18.440 Perfect.

01:14:19.420 We're now back where we need to be.

01:14:21.720 Because the worst thing you could have is your risk

01:14:24.460 and your reality be out of whack.

01:14:28.320 You want your risk and your reality to be somewhat rebalanced every now and then.

01:14:32.020 So our risk went up.

01:14:35.080 So you had to rebalance that.

01:14:38.900 So that's the most optimistic thing I can say about the stock market,

01:14:42.980 is it was supposed to go down 25%.

01:14:45.300 It had to.

01:14:47.120 And you'd be really in trouble if it didn't.

01:14:50.300 Right?

01:14:50.860 And I think Warren Buffett probably called it, et cetera.

01:14:54.160 Now, my biggest problem when the stock market was high

01:14:59.000 is I was trying to figure out how to conserve cash

01:15:02.480 because I was sure it was going to go down 25%.

01:15:05.360 But unfortunately, my conserving cash coincided with my divorce.

01:15:13.000 You know, and the cash is the first thing that you move around

01:15:15.860 because it's easy.

01:15:17.380 So I missed out on this drop.

01:15:19.200 So I was cash poor at the time that I would have gone in hard.

01:15:24.920 And I was still going hard.

01:15:26.460 But all my cash is sitting somewhere I want it to be right now.

01:15:32.280 All right.

01:15:35.120 And some people are saying it's not done.

01:15:37.580 But that will always be the case.

01:15:41.800 All right.

01:15:45.200 All right.

01:15:45.280 You see more electronics not made in China?

01:15:50.920 Well, that must have started a long time ago

01:15:53.680 or you wouldn't be seeing it now.

01:15:59.620 How has your perspective changed from 20 years ago?

01:16:04.080 Wow.

01:16:04.800 That's a big question.

01:16:05.900 I think that's too big of a question.

01:16:08.380 You know, in some ways,

01:16:09.520 in some ways you probably feel the same.

01:16:12.240 In some ways you're always the same person.

01:16:15.280 But I've seen things in the last few years

01:16:19.440 that I've never seen before.

01:16:22.320 Like, so I would say that my automatic response

01:16:30.280 to what's a conspiracy theory

01:16:32.180 versus what is completely true

01:16:34.960 is very different.

01:16:36.760 If you told me before that the Democrats

01:16:41.680 had run the Russia collusion scheme

01:16:45.780 and completely got away with it,

01:16:49.160 meaning that nobody went to jail,

01:16:51.340 I would have said,

01:16:52.460 no, no.

01:16:54.820 Come on.

01:16:55.500 Really?

01:16:55.820 And if somebody said that 50 former

01:16:59.980 and current intel people signed a lie

01:17:02.820 and the news put it on the air,

01:17:06.140 I would have said,

01:17:07.140 well, you can't get 50 people to do that.

01:17:09.900 I mean, seriously.

01:17:10.980 How are you going to get 50 people

01:17:12.580 to put their name on a lie?

01:17:14.920 And it happened.

01:17:16.480 It happened.

01:17:17.660 Or how about the entire news industry

01:17:19.960 would report that Trump called

01:17:22.760 Neo-Nazis Fine People,

01:17:24.900 which, of course, never happened.

01:17:27.160 Now, if you had told me

01:17:28.060 that that could happen

01:17:29.080 when the proof that it didn't happen

01:17:32.540 is as easy as looking at the video,

01:17:35.760 you should look at it.

01:17:37.520 Just don't look at it in the edited form.

01:17:39.880 You just have to look at it

01:17:40.980 in the larger form,

01:17:42.740 and that's the whole story.

01:17:45.000 If you told me that the news

01:17:46.800 could have pulled that off

01:17:47.840 and that it's still succeeding,

01:17:50.240 to this day,

01:17:52.120 almost all Democrats

01:17:53.400 think that really happened.

01:17:55.460 And likewise,

01:17:56.160 the drinking bleach

01:17:57.040 and all the other hoaxes.

01:17:58.420 None of those would have seemed

01:17:59.620 believable to me

01:18:00.640 five years ago.

01:18:04.280 You know the famous hoax list,

01:18:06.700 the hoax quiz that I put together,

01:18:08.140 it's got 16 hoaxes on it.

01:18:10.480 If you'd showed me

01:18:11.520 all of those hoaxes five years ago

01:18:13.280 and said,

01:18:13.920 do you think anybody

01:18:14.680 could pull these off?

01:18:15.660 I would have said,

01:18:17.120 no.

01:18:18.300 I mean,

01:18:18.680 you can get somebody

01:18:19.620 to believe anything,

01:18:20.960 but you're not going to get

01:18:21.980 all Democrats

01:18:23.720 to believe all 16

01:18:25.840 of these hoaxes.

01:18:27.860 And then they did.

01:18:29.500 They got all Democrats

01:18:30.620 to believe all 16

01:18:31.680 of the hoaxes.

01:18:34.060 Now,

01:18:34.640 if you think that's only

01:18:35.600 because they're Democrats,

01:18:37.200 then you've missed

01:18:38.440 everything I've taught you.

01:18:40.820 It's because they're human.

01:18:42.860 It has nothing to do

01:18:43.700 with being extra gullible.

01:18:45.660 Right?

01:18:46.100 It's not that.

01:18:47.400 It's just that they're human.

01:18:49.480 If you don't think

01:18:50.420 that that could happen to you,

01:18:52.560 well,

01:18:53.180 that will be the surprise

01:18:54.080 you have coming.

01:19:02.660 All right.

01:19:08.980 Greater emphasis on...

01:19:10.560 All right.

01:19:11.320 Just looking at your comments

01:19:12.200 for a moment.

01:19:12.620 I think we've done

01:19:13.580 what we needed to do.

01:19:16.260 And

01:19:16.660 thank you for

01:19:20.140 sticking with me

01:19:21.180 when I was going through

01:19:21.980 my grumpy

01:19:23.600 wrong medication problem.

01:19:27.360 If you missed

01:19:27.860 the beginning of the live stream,

01:19:29.240 I figured out my problem.

01:19:30.740 My blood pressure meds

01:19:31.900 were making me suicidal.

01:19:34.800 Like,

01:19:35.300 actually,

01:19:35.680 literally.

01:19:35.960 But now I stopped

01:19:37.820 taking them,

01:19:38.300 so all good.

01:19:39.120 I feel great.

01:19:40.460 I actually feel...

01:19:42.600 Let me be clear.

01:19:44.220 I feel...

01:19:45.480 great.

01:19:47.600 Just completely...

01:19:48.980 completely solved.

01:19:51.240 Except I have

01:19:51.980 high blood pressure,

01:19:52.740 so I have to figure out that.

01:19:54.780 All right.

01:19:55.200 That's all for now.

01:19:56.680 Thanks for helping me

01:19:58.220 pull through this,

01:19:58.960 and I will talk to you.

01:19:59.940 Everything From

01:20:08.400 to to to to to

01:20:12.900 to to

01:20:14.460 to to

01:20:16.420 to

01:20:16.880 to

01:20:17.380 to

01:20:18.180 to

01:20:18.960 to

01:20:21.260 to

01:20:23.960 to

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 24, 2022

Episode 1906 Scott Adams： Ye Gets Further Cancelled, Rob Reiner Is Funny, GDP Is Strong, And More

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