Episode 1908 Scott Adams: Politics Reaches Peak Absurdity Just In Time For The Midterms. Buckle Up
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 25 minutes
Words per Minute
141.43373
Summary
In this episode of the podcast, Alex talks about a new kind of AI cloak, and why it's about time we got rid of the Kaiser Permanente system that prevents senior citizens from getting an appointment with a doctor.
Transcript
00:00:00.600
Probably the best thing that's ever happened to anybody or anywhere.
00:00:04.620
And if you'd like to take it up a notch, yeah, hard to believe, but it's possible.
00:00:09.840
All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass or a tank or a chalice or a stein, a canteen
00:00:20.200
And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day that makes everything
00:00:37.620
Civilization, turns out the bar wasn't that high.
00:00:46.400
Well, I'd like to start out with the most interesting story I just saw before I came on here.
00:00:52.300
At the University of Maryland, they've developed a sweatshirt that acts as an invisibility cloak
00:01:00.940
So if you're worried that the AI will recognize you, facial recognition, they've developed
00:01:07.780
a sweatshirt that it looks like the technique has like crowd faces in it or something.
00:01:16.460
And they showed a live demonstration of the AI just became invisible, or the person became
00:01:23.160
So they literally, literally have developed a cloak of invisibility for AI.
00:01:38.680
Some of you may have watched my live stream yesterday afternoon, a special live stream,
00:01:45.280
in which I demonstrated how a senior citizen, me, gets a health care appointment through
00:01:52.980
their health care provider, Kaiser Permanente North.
00:01:55.940
If you think I ever got to talk to a doctor or got a doctor appointment, you'd be wrong, because
00:02:03.320
I demonstrated how difficult it would be just to work through the system of just getting
00:02:08.340
And it wasn't until this morning I realized that the problem is that the entire system
00:02:15.140
is designed to prevent you from getting a doctor appointment, literally, literally, not
00:02:23.560
a joke, because that's the only way they can handle it economically.
00:02:27.420
They need to take all the people who were marginal doctor requests and really should have been
00:02:32.960
handled in some other way, and they shunt them off.
00:02:36.160
So, it's all about preventing you from getting to a doctor, and the trouble is, they got a
00:02:43.960
I actually can't figure out how to get to a doctor.
00:02:50.860
It's that the method breaks for different reasons because of the complexity.
00:02:56.200
So, when you reach a certain level of complexity, and then you say, okay, senior citizen, go figure
00:03:02.460
out which of the five apps and, yeah, five apps, if you count websites.
00:03:08.140
So, the three websites, two apps, a phone system that gets you to a person who gets you
00:03:20.400
I can't get through the system to get anything done, really.
00:03:26.000
And I don't think it's really necessarily just a problem with the Kaiser system, which
00:03:37.020
I feel like everything just had a creeping complexity until the point where it's just too hard to
00:03:44.200
Just like, and let me give you another example.
00:03:46.520
I now have, I think, five streaming services, because during the pandemic, I was, like, desperate
00:03:57.640
So, I just signed up for five of them, thinking I'll keep the ones I like.
00:04:02.520
And so, now, instead of sitting down and watching a show for entertainment, if I've, like, allocated
00:04:08.620
an hour or something, the whole hour is just looking for a show.
00:04:12.480
Because now that there's so many of them, I can't decide that the one I've found is as
00:04:19.680
So, I'm in a continuous state of looking for the good one, and at the end of the hour, I've
00:04:35.660
The exceptions are, sometimes there'll be a game on, and I'll say, oh, there's a game,
00:04:40.240
and I'll turn it on, and then it'll go to commercial.
00:04:43.160
And I'll say, well, that would have worked, except that I can't possibly sit here for
00:05:06.140
Here are some things that are rumored, but I don't know if they're true.
00:05:08.880
Rumored that the Twitter deal with Musk buying it might close on Friday.
00:05:15.140
Well, I don't know if that's true, but it looks like it's going to close.
00:05:19.340
I heard a rumor that I do not have confidence in that Musk plans to be CEO of Twitter as
00:05:37.980
I can imagine it happening temporarily, like I can imagine for a month or something, but
00:05:43.460
it doesn't really sound like the thing that's going to happen.
00:05:47.320
And then I thought to myself, if you were going to pick a CEO for Twitter, who would you pick?
00:05:57.040
Who would you pick that could actually, actually do it in a way that you would, Jack Dorsey,
00:06:05.760
You know, I think people are going to miss Jack Dorsey.
00:06:19.960
Does anybody remember why I would be a terrible manager or CEO?
00:06:24.680
And I've been in those jobs, and I'm not good at it.
00:06:31.160
You have to be able to abuse your employees more than they want to be abused, or you're
00:06:38.000
I mean, the tension between what the employees want and what the company wants is what you're
00:06:45.060
So you're supposed to manage them to the maximum amount of unhappiness that gets you the maximum
00:06:54.620
I'm glad that people can, because it does make the system work.
00:07:01.040
I need a job where everybody wins as much as possible, right?
00:07:04.880
If you read a joke and you laugh, everybody wins.
00:07:16.540
They put together some demands, because they're worried about losing their jobs and worried
00:07:21.020
about what Twitter might become under Elon Musk.
00:07:23.960
And so they've, among other things, they've asked in their letter that Musk, quote, not
00:07:30.440
discriminate against workers on the basis of their political beliefs.
00:07:34.880
The employees of Twitter are worried that somebody would discriminate against them based
00:07:45.880
This leads me into what I'm going to call the theme for the rest of the live stream.
00:07:58.540
It's an accidental theme because the news just created the theme.
00:08:16.880
Nothing could be funnier or more clownish than the Twitter employees worried that somebody
00:08:23.920
would treat them as political entities instead of just, you know, citizens of America.
00:08:47.500
Who would you put in a CEO that would either make everybody happy or alternately everybody
00:09:04.460
Yay just bought Parler, so that's not going to happen.
00:09:11.400
All right, I'm going to throw out a name just for fun.
00:09:27.700
But he is one of the few people I would trust to be balanced.
00:09:33.760
I would actually trust Cernovich not to limit people's freedom of speech.
00:09:43.260
You want somebody that you would trust to not limit somebody's freedom of speech.
00:09:48.060
And then, you know, I'm sure the rest of the people could make the, you know, make it
00:09:55.060
But you do need somebody you could trust on that one, that one freedom of speech thing.
00:09:59.580
And I couldn't, I couldn't immediately think of somebody else.
00:10:03.400
Because everybody else is either so overtly political, and even though Cernovich is political,
00:10:12.040
he's political in a whatever-makes-sense way, not in a, I'm a Republican-to-death way.
00:10:24.120
Yeah, I don't think Mark Cuban wants a CEO job.
00:10:33.400
It'll be somebody you've never heard of, probably.
00:10:36.680
So, Fox News' Geraldo Rivera, he has an idea that George Floyd is the person most responsible
00:10:50.820
Not because of what George Floyd did, specifically, but, you know, he became the focus of attention.
00:10:58.020
And the focus on that, Geraldo wants to call as maybe the, you know, the turning point.
00:11:05.580
Now, I don't know that, that, I wouldn't go so far as to say it was the cause.
00:11:10.820
I don't, I don't think George Floyd was a cause of things that happened not directly related to
00:11:17.660
But, on the other hand, I do think it marks the beginning of the top.
00:11:25.220
It feels like the beginning of the absurdity started then, where people had the best intentions,
00:11:34.440
I think, actually, most people had good intentions, one way or the other, about George Floyd.
00:11:42.800
I mean, I felt like everybody just wanted the right answer in that one, and they weren't
00:11:51.680
I do think it might have been a coincidental marker of the beginning of something that got worse.
00:11:58.740
Kat Abu, Twitter user, reports that, also about Geraldo, noted that Geraldo mentioned that
00:12:07.880
cops are, quote, besieged and, quote, under attack, because more than 250 cops have been
00:12:20.380
Like, in my mind, if you had asked me, and I guess it's a higher number than before, but
00:12:27.200
if you asked me, in the whole country of, you know, 350 million, whatever we are now, how
00:12:32.900
many cops are shot in the line of duty per year, what would you have guessed?
00:12:38.680
Just, if you didn't know the number, what would you, you would have guessed 1,000?
00:12:45.960
Yeah, I would have guessed 50 to 100, which is, you know, outrageous.
00:12:51.740
But 250, that does sound like, and it's funny that we would even have any sense of what is
00:12:58.180
How do I even have any idea what's the right number for that in a normal world?
00:13:13.820
It's weird that I have a sense of what's right without knowing what standard I'm comparing
00:13:19.160
That just shows the limits of our rational minds.
00:13:23.460
But as Cat Abu mentioned, when Geraldo said 250 cops have been shot in the line of duty
00:13:30.320
this year, Cat says what he didn't mention was that 804 people have been shot and killed
00:13:39.900
So, now, I didn't realize it was a competition, but apparently we're scoring it as a competition,
00:13:52.240
So, so far the cops are winning, shooting more citizens than the citizens are shooting
00:14:01.540
Now, as somebody pointed out, probably all 804 of those people who were shot by police were
00:14:08.220
Some of them might have been a little bit innocent, maybe, maybe a few of them were innocent.
00:14:16.680
But I'm not sure you could compare the number of police officers enforcing the law killed
00:14:23.300
to the number of people breaking the law killed.
00:14:30.140
Have I ever mentioned to you that the difference between people who are good at analysis versus
00:14:39.800
That's the one thing that always divides the good from good comparers to the bad comparers
00:14:52.280
Michael Schellenberger had a provocative tweet that involved a psychologist, Sam Vaknin, who
00:15:01.460
And he says that the potential for aggression and victimhood movements is much larger than
00:15:08.860
So, in other words, if you're part of a movement that says, we are victims, stop doing bad things
00:15:14.320
to us, you're more likely to turn into a violent movement than somebody who just wants different
00:15:24.000
The victims are the ones who are going to be the most energetic about changing things.
00:15:32.520
And usually you have to get violent to change anything big, unfortunately.
00:15:38.940
So, would you say by this measure that the Democrats are more likely to be violent or the Republicans?
00:15:47.400
If this hypothesis holds that the victimhood people are the more dangerous, who is more
00:15:59.080
Now, just check your first answer, the reflex answer.
00:16:14.500
The wokeness is basically about victimhood, right?
00:16:18.880
Now, tell me what has been the main message of the Republicans lately, that all the wokeness
00:16:27.520
The Republicans have a total victimhood policy as well.
00:16:35.640
But, you know, and the Republicans are saying their biggest issue is stop killing babies.
00:16:51.980
Yeah, the Republicans definitely feel like victims.
00:16:56.460
But, is one of them more victim than the other?
00:17:04.600
So, it probably has to do with how you feel as much as what you say.
00:17:10.120
So, I'm not sure that standard is as useful as it should be.
00:17:14.700
Because you always think the other side is the one that's complaining.
00:17:21.400
But the other side is just being victimhood complainers.
00:17:24.320
Do you know what the left says about the right?
00:17:27.600
The left says about the right that the right is complaining too much and acting like victims.
00:17:39.500
I have no idea how you'd compare those and decide who's the bigger victimhood person.
00:17:45.520
But I could tell you it's a bad idea to have victimhood as your primary brand.
00:17:50.320
So much so that I will make the following prediction.
00:17:58.260
That someday a Republican will run against victimhood, but has to be in favor of something.
00:18:04.740
So, against victimhood as an organizing principle.
00:18:08.520
Say, let's not use victimhood as the basis for all of our policies.
00:18:14.520
Instead, let's use engineered solutions that can be tested for effectiveness.
00:18:20.320
So, imagine anybody, it doesn't matter, it doesn't have to be a Republican.
00:18:24.220
But imagine anybody saying, all right, here's the deal.
00:18:28.540
I'm against victimhood as an organizing principle.
00:18:33.280
Go ahead and complain, because we'd like to hear your complaints.
00:18:37.240
So, free speech, you know, squeaky wheel, that's all good.
00:18:42.680
But don't use the victimhood as the basis for policy.
00:18:46.080
The victimhood is for the victims to complain and make sure we know what's happening so we can incorporate it.
00:18:52.520
But it shouldn't be the main operating principle.
00:18:55.400
The main operating principle should be what works, and do you have a way to test it first?
00:19:07.080
Because you're allowing the victimhood to, you know, be fully, fully expressed.
00:19:16.480
You're just saying, don't use that as the basis for decision making.
00:19:19.960
Your decision making should be based on what works, and that should be tested whenever you could test it small.
00:19:26.040
It just sounds like one person is a smart operator, and the other one's just a whiner.
00:19:32.840
So, your comparison, again, it's all about comparison.
00:19:37.820
The person who said you should test it and just do what works is going to win that every time,
00:19:43.000
unless they have some other gigantic negative following them around.
00:19:53.060
It's just nobody's doing the obvious thing it would take to win it.
00:19:56.040
They all just revert to their team, because probably that's the only way they get funding, I guess.
00:20:12.460
Somebody in their profile said they were working on anti-effectives.
00:20:26.040
And I thought it would be interesting for somebody to run against ineffectiveness.
00:20:32.620
Just say, I don't care if you're left or right.
00:20:48.400
And say, well, you can be a Democrat and you can be a Republican.
00:20:57.320
So, if we can't prove it works, I'm not for it.
00:21:09.720
We'll let you go away, Robert, since you seem like sort of an asshole.
00:21:22.320
Here's another indication that we've reached peak absurdity.
00:21:26.400
Wall Street Journal had a little piece yesterday noting, this was an opinion piece, but that the ESG bubble is deflating.
00:21:33.640
Now, do you think somebody could print in the Wall Street Journal, without any correction, that the ESG bubble is deflating?
00:21:54.120
I said I would destroy its reputation before the end of this year.
00:21:59.580
And now the Wall Street Journal is publishing that the ESG bubble is deflating.
00:22:07.920
There's another article that I tweeted around where somebody noted all of my ESG comics in Dilbert and said,
00:22:16.800
you're in bad shape if Dilbert is mocking your thing.
00:22:21.880
So, if you look at my Twitter feed, I've got a link to all of the ESG-related comics.
00:22:37.040
You know, there's a link on there for buying it or licensing it if you want to use it for your own purposes.
00:22:42.640
If you use it for your own purposes without legally licensing it,
00:22:48.260
just make sure you're an individual, not a corporate entity, right?
00:22:51.880
If you're just doing it with your friends, that's fine.
00:22:54.460
Yeah, I don't care about copyright if you're forwarding to your friends or tweeting it,
00:23:16.300
All right, here are the things that seem the most absurd.
00:23:32.360
Because people now can, out loud, they can criticize it, right?
00:23:50.060
who is apparently so powerful that people are being injured.
00:23:59.160
A North Carolina school district voted last month
00:24:02.960
to forfeit all high school volleyball games against a rival school
00:24:07.160
because the rival school has a transgender athlete on the female team
00:24:11.560
who apparently is really talented relative to the other players
00:24:17.220
and a little bit stronger than maybe they expected.
00:24:20.000
So, apparently, the trans athlete spiked the ball so hard
00:24:26.120
into the face of an opponent that the opponent had some injuries,
00:24:37.580
But I think this is the way this will be settled.
00:24:40.460
I think that trans athletes will be allowed to join teams.
00:24:47.860
That's the current situation, for the most part.
00:24:50.660
But that the teams who would be scheduled to play against them
00:24:57.140
And I think that that's how this will be handled.
00:25:00.760
Now, what would happen if every time somebody joined your team,
00:25:05.280
Because the teams that cancel, they canceled for safety.
00:25:11.540
And if you cancel for safety, nobody can touch you.
00:25:18.220
The schools that canceled for safety are completely safe
00:25:31.740
I think that the freedom of the trans athletes,
00:25:43.080
needs to be reconfigured for a variety of reasons,
00:25:49.040
Sporting is an elite, highly harmful process for some people,
00:25:57.680
meaning that the superstars who were born with genetic gifts,
00:26:01.580
we treat as heroes, and they get all the girls and the boys
00:26:07.140
And the people who are not athletic don't get any benefits
00:26:13.960
And probably only the top maybe 10% are good enough athletes
00:26:20.820
Now, if you're good enough to be on a team and actually play,
00:26:33.800
See, this is where I always see this NPC comment
00:26:39.960
and therefore he does not understand athleticism.
00:26:43.880
I've played every fucking sport you could imagine.
00:26:46.980
When I was a kid, I would play five sports a day,
00:26:50.140
literally five different organized sports a day.
00:26:56.760
You'd do one at lunch, one at recess, one after school,
00:27:07.940
And that was sort of not even that untypical when I grew up.
00:27:21.360
90% of boys were athletic and played all the sports, typically.
00:27:35.420
and you say that they didn't participate in sports,
00:27:43.660
I'm exaggerating a little bit, but you get the idea.
00:28:05.580
All you have to do is make sure that the tennis player
00:28:23.760
I had a co-ed soccer team as an adult in my 50s,
00:28:34.460
They had been, and they were current marathon runners.
00:28:45.220
And so, suddenly, we had this powerhouse soccer team.
00:29:16.220
You weren't competing for scholarships, though, yes.
00:29:26.320
is awesome for the 1% of people who can get them.
00:30:08.080
Like, I want your kid to have every opportunity
00:31:29.460
Nobody's saying that Crenshaw can't do the job.
00:31:48.220
I'm not talking about any of their policy preferences.
00:32:26.040
The people wearing masks outdoors by themselves,
00:32:37.960
Energy policy clearly has reached peak absurdity.
00:32:45.920
all of these things are sort of coincidentally reaching,
00:32:59.080
That the absurdity is happening all at the same time?
00:33:12.100
I'm going entirely upon just what it feels like.
00:33:23.940
but you were never sure how big they would get.
00:33:29.500
So when things were little and sort of squirrely,
00:33:52.100
Now, I'm not arguing what's good or bad about it.
00:33:54.080
I'm just saying we've got to the limit of more.
00:34:26.440
that the progressives were going to be anti-war for Ukraine,
00:34:40.360
it could be that the far left and the far right
00:34:55.560
America can finally come together when it matters,
00:35:16.920
and says it was released by staff without vetting.
00:35:20.460
How in the world would your staff release a letter like that