Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 26, 2022


Episode 1908 Scott Adams: Politics Reaches Peak Absurdity Just In Time For The Midterms. Buckle Up


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 25 minutes

Words per Minute

141.43373

Word Count

12,056

Sentence Count

873

Misogynist Sentences

8

Hate Speech Sentences

28


Summary

In this episode of the podcast, Alex talks about a new kind of AI cloak, and why it's about time we got rid of the Kaiser Permanente system that prevents senior citizens from getting an appointment with a doctor.


Transcript

00:00:00.600 Probably the best thing that's ever happened to anybody or anywhere.
00:00:04.620 And if you'd like to take it up a notch, yeah, hard to believe, but it's possible.
00:00:09.840 All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass or a tank or a chalice or a stein, a canteen
00:00:13.200 jug or a flask or a vessel of any kind.
00:00:16.340 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:18.680 I like coffee.
00:00:20.200 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day that makes everything
00:00:23.900 better.
00:00:24.320 It's cold.
00:00:25.940 The simultaneous sip, and it happens now.
00:00:28.640 Go.
00:00:30.000 This is the highlight of civilization.
00:00:37.000 Yeah.
00:00:37.620 Civilization, turns out the bar wasn't that high.
00:00:42.880 That was the surprising part.
00:00:46.400 Well, I'd like to start out with the most interesting story I just saw before I came on here.
00:00:52.300 At the University of Maryland, they've developed a sweatshirt that acts as an invisibility cloak
00:00:59.980 against AI.
00:01:00.940 So if you're worried that the AI will recognize you, facial recognition, they've developed
00:01:07.780 a sweatshirt that it looks like the technique has like crowd faces in it or something.
00:01:13.780 But whatever it does, it confuses the AI.
00:01:16.460 And they showed a live demonstration of the AI just became invisible, or the person became
00:01:22.280 invisible.
00:01:23.160 So they literally, literally have developed a cloak of invisibility for AI.
00:01:28.700 It's an actual thing.
00:01:29.700 It's an actual thing, and it works.
00:01:33.040 That's why I say it's about time.
00:01:35.120 It's about time.
00:01:37.220 Get that AI cloak.
00:01:38.680 Some of you may have watched my live stream yesterday afternoon, a special live stream,
00:01:45.280 in which I demonstrated how a senior citizen, me, gets a health care appointment through
00:01:52.980 their health care provider, Kaiser Permanente North.
00:01:55.940 If you think I ever got to talk to a doctor or got a doctor appointment, you'd be wrong, because
00:02:03.320 I demonstrated how difficult it would be just to work through the system of just getting
00:02:07.900 an appointment.
00:02:08.340 And it wasn't until this morning I realized that the problem is that the entire system
00:02:15.140 is designed to prevent you from getting a doctor appointment, literally, literally, not
00:02:23.560 a joke, because that's the only way they can handle it economically.
00:02:27.420 They need to take all the people who were marginal doctor requests and really should have been
00:02:32.960 handled in some other way, and they shunt them off.
00:02:36.160 So, it's all about preventing you from getting to a doctor, and the trouble is, they got a
00:02:42.100 little too good at it.
00:02:43.960 I actually can't figure out how to get to a doctor.
00:02:47.840 Now, it's not that I don't know the method.
00:02:50.860 It's that the method breaks for different reasons because of the complexity.
00:02:56.200 So, when you reach a certain level of complexity, and then you say, okay, senior citizen, go figure
00:03:02.460 out which of the five apps and, yeah, five apps, if you count websites.
00:03:08.140 So, the three websites, two apps, a phone system that gets you to a person who gets you
00:03:13.660 to a person who gets you to a person.
00:03:16.420 And I actually couldn't solve it.
00:03:19.000 And I've tried several times.
00:03:20.400 I can't get through the system to get anything done, really.
00:03:23.020 So, it's totally broken.
00:03:26.000 And I don't think it's really necessarily just a problem with the Kaiser system, which
00:03:30.820 does seem completely broken at this point.
00:03:33.120 But it seems like a problem with complexity.
00:03:37.020 I feel like everything just had a creeping complexity until the point where it's just too hard to
00:03:43.200 do anything.
00:03:44.200 Just like, and let me give you another example.
00:03:46.520 I now have, I think, five streaming services, because during the pandemic, I was, like, desperate
00:03:55.340 for any kind of entertainment at home.
00:03:57.640 So, I just signed up for five of them, thinking I'll keep the ones I like.
00:04:02.520 And so, now, instead of sitting down and watching a show for entertainment, if I've, like, allocated
00:04:08.620 an hour or something, the whole hour is just looking for a show.
00:04:12.480 Because now that there's so many of them, I can't decide that the one I've found is as
00:04:17.840 good as the one I haven't found yet.
00:04:19.680 So, I'm in a continuous state of looking for the good one, and at the end of the hour, I've
00:04:24.420 watched no TV.
00:04:26.160 And it happens every time.
00:04:28.780 Close to every time.
00:04:29.860 95% of the time.
00:04:31.580 Very rarely do I actually watch a show.
00:04:34.340 Very rarely.
00:04:35.660 The exceptions are, sometimes there'll be a game on, and I'll say, oh, there's a game,
00:04:40.240 and I'll turn it on, and then it'll go to commercial.
00:04:43.160 And I'll say, well, that would have worked, except that I can't possibly sit here for
00:04:47.860 a whole commercial.
00:04:49.300 That's not going to happen.
00:04:50.540 So, I turn it off.
00:04:52.060 Look for something else.
00:04:55.880 Anyway.
00:04:56.640 So, everything is too complicated now.
00:05:03.380 Twitter.
00:05:04.100 Let's give you a little Twitter update.
00:05:06.140 Here are some things that are rumored, but I don't know if they're true.
00:05:08.880 Rumored that the Twitter deal with Musk buying it might close on Friday.
00:05:15.140 Well, I don't know if that's true, but it looks like it's going to close.
00:05:18.240 So, that's good.
00:05:19.340 I heard a rumor that I do not have confidence in that Musk plans to be CEO of Twitter as
00:05:25.280 well.
00:05:26.620 Did anybody hear that from a credible source?
00:05:29.440 Anybody?
00:05:34.120 Yeah, I don't think that's going to happen.
00:05:37.980 I can imagine it happening temporarily, like I can imagine for a month or something, but
00:05:43.460 it doesn't really sound like the thing that's going to happen.
00:05:47.320 And then I thought to myself, if you were going to pick a CEO for Twitter, who would you pick?
00:05:55.460 Think about it.
00:05:57.040 Who would you pick that could actually, actually do it in a way that you would, Jack Dorsey,
00:06:04.680 somebody says.
00:06:05.760 You know, I think people are going to miss Jack Dorsey.
00:06:10.940 Yeah.
00:06:12.700 Me?
00:06:13.060 I would not be a good leader.
00:06:16.600 You know, I am not a good leader.
00:06:18.940 I've told you this before.
00:06:19.960 Does anybody remember why I would be a terrible manager or CEO?
00:06:24.680 And I've been in those jobs, and I'm not good at it.
00:06:28.660 Yeah, I have too much empathy.
00:06:31.160 You have to be able to abuse your employees more than they want to be abused, or you're
00:06:37.220 not a good manager.
00:06:38.000 I mean, the tension between what the employees want and what the company wants is what you're
00:06:43.720 managing.
00:06:45.060 So you're supposed to manage them to the maximum amount of unhappiness that gets you the maximum
00:06:50.100 amount of productivity.
00:06:51.840 And I can't wrap my head around that.
00:06:54.620 I'm glad that people can, because it does make the system work.
00:06:58.020 I just can't bring myself to that space.
00:07:01.040 I need a job where everybody wins as much as possible, right?
00:07:04.880 If you read a joke and you laugh, everybody wins.
00:07:12.980 So Twitter put together a number of employees.
00:07:16.540 They put together some demands, because they're worried about losing their jobs and worried
00:07:21.020 about what Twitter might become under Elon Musk.
00:07:23.960 And so they've, among other things, they've asked in their letter that Musk, quote, not
00:07:30.440 discriminate against workers on the basis of their political beliefs.
00:07:34.880 The employees of Twitter are worried that somebody would discriminate against them based
00:07:40.480 on their political beliefs.
00:07:45.880 This leads me into what I'm going to call the theme for the rest of the live stream.
00:07:53.460 Don't you love it when I have a theme?
00:07:55.240 I have a theme today.
00:07:56.720 And it was accidental.
00:07:58.540 It's an accidental theme because the news just created the theme.
00:08:02.000 And here's the theme.
00:08:04.580 We've reached peak absurdity.
00:08:08.360 And by we, I mean the Democrats.
00:08:11.360 Democrats have reached peak absurdity.
00:08:14.200 Like it couldn't be any weirder.
00:08:16.880 Nothing could be funnier or more clownish than the Twitter employees worried that somebody
00:08:23.920 would treat them as political entities instead of just, you know, citizens of America.
00:08:29.780 Huh.
00:08:32.320 I'd hate to see that happen.
00:08:36.200 So there it is.
00:08:37.240 Peak absurdity.
00:08:40.260 I know.
00:08:42.780 So who would you put in a CEO?
00:08:46.140 Let's say you're Elon Musk.
00:08:47.500 Who would you put in a CEO that would either make everybody happy or alternately everybody
00:08:53.840 unhappy?
00:08:54.360 Because you end up in the same place.
00:08:58.040 You don't want people to be too happy.
00:09:01.580 Yay.
00:09:02.640 Now, well, that's interesting.
00:09:04.460 Yay just bought Parler, so that's not going to happen.
00:09:08.280 Lex, he's busy.
00:09:11.400 All right, I'm going to throw out a name just for fun.
00:09:15.940 You ready for this?
00:09:17.220 Mike Cernovich.
00:09:17.940 The whole world would explode.
00:09:24.220 Every employee would quit.
00:09:27.700 But he is one of the few people I would trust to be balanced.
00:09:33.760 I would actually trust Cernovich not to limit people's freedom of speech.
00:09:40.820 And that's all you want.
00:09:42.440 I mean, that's all you want.
00:09:43.260 You want somebody that you would trust to not limit somebody's freedom of speech.
00:09:48.060 And then, you know, I'm sure the rest of the people could make the, you know, make it
00:09:52.240 profitable and all that stuff.
00:09:55.060 But you do need somebody you could trust on that one, that one freedom of speech thing.
00:09:59.580 And I couldn't, I couldn't immediately think of somebody else.
00:10:03.400 Because everybody else is either so overtly political, and even though Cernovich is political,
00:10:12.040 he's political in a whatever-makes-sense way, not in a, I'm a Republican-to-death way.
00:10:18.700 Nothing like that.
00:10:20.420 Mark Cuban.
00:10:22.460 Yeah, he's busy.
00:10:24.120 Yeah, I don't think Mark Cuban wants a CEO job.
00:10:28.820 Yeah.
00:10:31.060 Interesting thought experiment.
00:10:33.400 It'll be somebody you've never heard of, probably.
00:10:36.680 So, Fox News' Geraldo Rivera, he has an idea that George Floyd is the person most responsible
00:10:47.820 for the failure of the Democratic Party.
00:10:50.820 Not because of what George Floyd did, specifically, but, you know, he became the focus of attention.
00:10:58.020 And the focus on that, Geraldo wants to call as maybe the, you know, the turning point.
00:11:05.580 Now, I don't know that, that, I wouldn't go so far as to say it was the cause.
00:11:10.820 I don't, I don't think George Floyd was a cause of things that happened not directly related to
00:11:17.100 George Floyd.
00:11:17.660 But, on the other hand, I do think it marks the beginning of the top.
00:11:23.900 Don't you?
00:11:25.220 It feels like the beginning of the absurdity started then, where people had the best intentions,
00:11:33.560 I think.
00:11:34.440 I think, actually, most people had good intentions, one way or the other, about George Floyd.
00:11:38.900 They wanted the right answer, I think.
00:11:42.800 I mean, I felt like everybody just wanted the right answer in that one, and they weren't
00:11:46.580 quite sure what it would be.
00:11:48.880 But, I don't know if it was a cause.
00:11:51.680 I do think it might have been a coincidental marker of the beginning of something that got worse.
00:11:58.740 Kat Abu, Twitter user, reports that, also about Geraldo, noted that Geraldo mentioned that
00:12:07.880 cops are, quote, besieged and, quote, under attack, because more than 250 cops have been
00:12:13.400 shot this year in the line of duty.
00:12:16.140 Doesn't that seem like a lot?
00:12:20.380 Like, in my mind, if you had asked me, and I guess it's a higher number than before, but
00:12:27.200 if you asked me, in the whole country of, you know, 350 million, whatever we are now, how
00:12:32.900 many cops are shot in the line of duty per year, what would you have guessed?
00:12:38.680 Just, if you didn't know the number, what would you, you would have guessed 1,000?
00:12:43.720 Some people say 150.
00:12:45.960 Yeah, I would have guessed 50 to 100, which is, you know, outrageous.
00:12:51.740 But 250, that does sound like, and it's funny that we would even have any sense of what is
00:12:57.720 too high.
00:12:58.180 How do I even have any idea what's the right number for that in a normal world?
00:13:04.880 But somehow I still have that sense.
00:13:07.120 I have this weird sense that it's too high.
00:13:09.820 I mean, 1 would be too high, but I don't know.
00:13:13.820 It's weird that I have a sense of what's right without knowing what standard I'm comparing
00:13:17.980 it to.
00:13:19.160 That just shows the limits of our rational minds.
00:13:23.460 But as Cat Abu mentioned, when Geraldo said 250 cops have been shot in the line of duty
00:13:30.320 this year, Cat says what he didn't mention was that 804 people have been shot and killed
00:13:36.240 by police this year as well.
00:13:39.900 So, now, I didn't realize it was a competition, but apparently we're scoring it as a competition,
00:13:46.380 and it's cops 804 and citizens 250.
00:13:52.240 So, so far the cops are winning, shooting more citizens than the citizens are shooting
00:13:59.460 cops.
00:14:01.540 Now, as somebody pointed out, probably all 804 of those people who were shot by police were
00:14:07.760 criminals.
00:14:08.220 Some of them might have been a little bit innocent, maybe, maybe a few of them were innocent.
00:14:16.680 But I'm not sure you could compare the number of police officers enforcing the law killed
00:14:23.300 to the number of people breaking the law killed.
00:14:27.340 It feels like that's the wrong comparison.
00:14:30.140 Have I ever mentioned to you that the difference between people who are good at analysis versus
00:14:35.780 bad is if they know what to compare?
00:14:39.800 That's the one thing that always divides the good from good comparers to the bad comparers
00:14:44.440 is what did you compare it to?
00:14:48.440 And I wouldn't compare those two numbers.
00:14:52.280 Michael Schellenberger had a provocative tweet that involved a psychologist, Sam Vaknin, who
00:15:00.180 studies narcissism.
00:15:01.460 And he says that the potential for aggression and victimhood movements is much larger than
00:15:07.500 in the general population.
00:15:08.860 So, in other words, if you're part of a movement that says, we are victims, stop doing bad things
00:15:14.320 to us, you're more likely to turn into a violent movement than somebody who just wants different
00:15:21.080 policies, I guess.
00:15:22.700 Now, that makes sense, doesn't it?
00:15:24.000 The victims are the ones who are going to be the most energetic about changing things.
00:15:32.520 And usually you have to get violent to change anything big, unfortunately.
00:15:37.260 So, that kind of makes sense.
00:15:38.940 So, would you say by this measure that the Democrats are more likely to be violent or the Republicans?
00:15:47.400 If this hypothesis holds that the victimhood people are the more dangerous, who is more
00:15:54.980 dangerous?
00:15:57.680 Really?
00:15:59.080 Now, just check your first answer, the reflex answer.
00:16:06.400 Your first answer is the other side, right?
00:16:08.920 Whoever is the other side.
00:16:10.600 So, your first answer is definitely Democrats.
00:16:13.000 It's all the wokeness, right?
00:16:14.500 The wokeness is basically about victimhood, right?
00:16:18.880 Now, tell me what has been the main message of the Republicans lately, that all the wokeness
00:16:25.020 is making victims of the Republicans.
00:16:27.520 The Republicans have a total victimhood policy as well.
00:16:32.080 They don't express it the same way.
00:16:33.580 It's a different kind of victimhood.
00:16:35.640 But, you know, and the Republicans are saying their biggest issue is stop killing babies.
00:16:43.060 Stop killing babies, right?
00:16:45.140 Stop hunting.
00:16:47.320 I'm responsible for that being a meme.
00:16:50.300 Hashtag hunted.
00:16:51.980 Yeah, the Republicans definitely feel like victims.
00:16:54.920 Definitely.
00:16:56.460 But, is one of them more victim than the other?
00:17:02.380 What do you think?
00:17:04.200 I don't know.
00:17:04.600 So, it probably has to do with how you feel as much as what you say.
00:17:09.280 Or more, I guess.
00:17:10.120 So, I'm not sure that standard is as useful as it should be.
00:17:14.700 Because you always think the other side is the one that's complaining.
00:17:18.480 And you think your side is making good points.
00:17:21.400 But the other side is just being victimhood complainers.
00:17:24.320 Do you know what the left says about the right?
00:17:27.600 The left says about the right that the right is complaining too much and acting like victims.
00:17:31.720 And I don't know how to compare.
00:17:36.960 So, how would you compare those two things?
00:17:38.940 I don't know.
00:17:39.500 I have no idea how you'd compare those and decide who's the bigger victimhood person.
00:17:45.520 But I could tell you it's a bad idea to have victimhood as your primary brand.
00:17:50.320 So much so that I will make the following prediction.
00:17:55.720 Sort of a generic prediction.
00:17:58.260 That someday a Republican will run against victimhood, but has to be in favor of something.
00:18:04.740 So, against victimhood as an organizing principle.
00:18:08.520 Say, let's not use victimhood as the basis for all of our policies.
00:18:14.520 Instead, let's use engineered solutions that can be tested for effectiveness.
00:18:20.320 So, imagine anybody, it doesn't matter, it doesn't have to be a Republican.
00:18:24.220 But imagine anybody saying, all right, here's the deal.
00:18:28.540 I'm against victimhood as an organizing principle.
00:18:33.280 Go ahead and complain, because we'd like to hear your complaints.
00:18:37.240 So, free speech, you know, squeaky wheel, that's all good.
00:18:41.300 Complain as much as you want.
00:18:42.680 But don't use the victimhood as the basis for policy.
00:18:46.080 The victimhood is for the victims to complain and make sure we know what's happening so we can incorporate it.
00:18:52.520 But it shouldn't be the main operating principle.
00:18:55.400 The main operating principle should be what works, and do you have a way to test it first?
00:19:02.200 Now, how would that person lose an election?
00:19:06.080 Think about it.
00:19:07.080 Because you're allowing the victimhood to, you know, be fully, fully expressed.
00:19:14.360 You're not saying, stop saying that.
00:19:16.480 You're just saying, don't use that as the basis for decision making.
00:19:19.960 Your decision making should be based on what works, and that should be tested whenever you could test it small.
00:19:26.040 It just sounds like one person is a smart operator, and the other one's just a whiner.
00:19:32.840 So, your comparison, again, it's all about comparison.
00:19:37.820 The person who said you should test it and just do what works is going to win that every time,
00:19:43.000 unless they have some other gigantic negative following them around.
00:19:47.160 I say it again.
00:19:48.640 Winning a national office could not be easier.
00:19:53.060 It's just nobody's doing the obvious thing it would take to win it.
00:19:56.040 They all just revert to their team, because probably that's the only way they get funding, I guess.
00:20:04.620 So, I saw something that I read wrong.
00:20:12.460 Somebody in their profile said they were working on anti-effectives.
00:20:19.720 And I think it was in a medical sense.
00:20:23.020 There's some kind of medical term there.
00:20:26.040 And I thought it would be interesting for somebody to run against ineffectiveness.
00:20:32.620 Just say, I don't care if you're left or right.
00:20:36.260 Don't do things you know won't work.
00:20:38.860 So, I'm against ineffectiveness.
00:20:40.700 I'm neither a Republican nor a Democrat.
00:20:42.840 I'm against things that don't work.
00:20:44.540 How would the public like that?
00:20:48.400 And say, well, you can be a Democrat and you can be a Republican.
00:20:51.800 And I respect both of those choices.
00:20:54.500 But I'm only going to be for what works.
00:20:57.320 So, if we can't prove it works, I'm not for it.
00:21:00.760 It doesn't matter whose side it came from.
00:21:02.180 And you could pick a team.
00:21:05.420 You could say that you're, you know.
00:21:09.720 We'll let you go away, Robert, since you seem like sort of an asshole.
00:21:12.960 All right.
00:21:22.320 Here's another indication that we've reached peak absurdity.
00:21:26.400 Wall Street Journal had a little piece yesterday noting, this was an opinion piece, but that the ESG bubble is deflating.
00:21:33.640 Now, do you think somebody could print in the Wall Street Journal, without any correction, that the ESG bubble is deflating?
00:21:45.800 Now, I'd say that's right on schedule.
00:21:49.380 What did I promise you about ESG?
00:21:51.600 Do you remember what I promised?
00:21:54.120 I said I would destroy its reputation before the end of this year.
00:21:59.580 And now the Wall Street Journal is publishing that the ESG bubble is deflating.
00:22:07.920 There's another article that I tweeted around where somebody noted all of my ESG comics in Dilbert and said,
00:22:16.800 you're in bad shape if Dilbert is mocking your thing.
00:22:20.780 And noted BlackRock.
00:22:21.880 So, if you look at my Twitter feed, I've got a link to all of the ESG-related comics.
00:22:32.800 And if you like, they're all licensable.
00:22:37.040 You know, there's a link on there for buying it or licensing it if you want to use it for your own purposes.
00:22:42.640 If you use it for your own purposes without legally licensing it,
00:22:48.260 just make sure you're an individual, not a corporate entity, right?
00:22:51.880 If you're just doing it with your friends, that's fine.
00:22:54.460 Yeah, I don't care about copyright if you're forwarding to your friends or tweeting it,
00:23:00.900 you know, if you're just an individual.
00:23:02.560 But don't do it in a corporate way.
00:23:04.940 That would require a license.
00:23:06.580 Don't do it under a corporate entity.
00:23:10.880 So, that is my gift to you.
00:23:15.600 I hope it helps.
00:23:16.300 All right, here are the things that seem the most absurd.
00:23:20.060 So, ESG seems to be deflating.
00:23:23.380 So, I think ESG has reached peak absurdity.
00:23:26.520 True or false?
00:23:27.860 Has ESG apparently reached peak absurdity?
00:23:30.880 I say yes.
00:23:32.360 Because people now can, out loud, they can criticize it, right?
00:23:36.840 How about trans athletes?
00:23:38.640 So, there's a story, out of which Carolina?
00:23:44.460 North or south?
00:23:46.920 About a trans athlete, a volleyball player,
00:23:50.060 who is apparently so powerful that people are being injured.
00:23:57.540 Where the hell is that now?
00:23:58.640 Oh, there it is.
00:23:59.160 A North Carolina school district voted last month
00:24:02.960 to forfeit all high school volleyball games against a rival school
00:24:07.160 because the rival school has a transgender athlete on the female team
00:24:11.560 who apparently is really talented relative to the other players
00:24:17.220 and a little bit stronger than maybe they expected.
00:24:20.000 So, apparently, the trans athlete spiked the ball so hard
00:24:26.120 into the face of an opponent that the opponent had some injuries,
00:24:31.200 which could be kind of bad.
00:24:32.720 I mean, head and neck, it could be pretty bad.
00:24:35.840 It doesn't say how bad it is.
00:24:37.580 But I think this is the way this will be settled.
00:24:40.460 I think that trans athletes will be allowed to join teams.
00:24:47.860 That's the current situation, for the most part.
00:24:50.660 But that the teams who would be scheduled to play against them
00:24:54.020 will just forfeit.
00:24:57.140 And I think that that's how this will be handled.
00:25:00.760 Now, what would happen if every time somebody joined your team,
00:25:04.120 you didn't have anybody to play?
00:25:05.280 Because the teams that cancel, they canceled for safety.
00:25:11.540 And if you cancel for safety, nobody can touch you.
00:25:16.320 Nobody can touch you.
00:25:18.220 The schools that canceled for safety are completely safe
00:25:21.160 because they did it for a specific reason.
00:25:24.280 And it was based on evidence.
00:25:26.400 It was an evidence-based decision.
00:25:28.980 So I think that's the way it's going to go.
00:25:31.740 I think that the freedom of the trans athletes,
00:25:34.580 and by the way, if you're new to me,
00:25:37.120 I've always supported the trans athletes
00:25:39.060 because I think that the athletic world
00:25:43.080 needs to be reconfigured for a variety of reasons,
00:25:46.120 not just for the trans.
00:25:49.040 Sporting is an elite, highly harmful process for some people,
00:25:57.680 meaning that the superstars who were born with genetic gifts,
00:26:01.580 we treat as heroes, and they get all the girls and the boys
00:26:05.760 and everything else.
00:26:07.140 And the people who are not athletic don't get any benefits
00:26:10.160 from athletic organizations.
00:26:13.960 And probably only the top maybe 10% are good enough athletes
00:26:18.600 to be on a team and get all the goodness.
00:26:20.820 Now, if you're good enough to be on a team and actually play,
00:26:24.040 as opposed to sitting on the bench,
00:26:25.540 it's amazing.
00:26:27.800 I'm very in favor of organized sports.
00:26:33.800 See, this is where I always see this NPC comment
00:26:37.020 that Scott is not athletic,
00:26:39.960 and therefore he does not understand athleticism.
00:26:43.880 I've played every fucking sport you could imagine.
00:26:46.980 When I was a kid, I would play five sports a day,
00:26:50.140 literally five different organized sports a day.
00:26:55.100 And that was just normal.
00:26:56.760 You'd do one at lunch, one at recess, one after school,
00:27:00.320 one you'd play catch with your brother,
00:27:02.920 you'd have a pickup game.
00:27:04.440 You'd have five sports a day.
00:27:05.720 You'd do every one, right?
00:27:07.940 And that was sort of not even that untypical when I grew up.
00:27:11.520 I feel as if you might be young
00:27:13.520 if you were imagining that I was non-athletic.
00:27:17.160 Because when I grew up, there weren't any,
00:27:19.420 well, I won't say any,
00:27:21.360 90% of boys were athletic and played all the sports, typically.
00:27:27.780 But today, kids might play one sport, right?
00:27:32.440 It's really different.
00:27:33.640 But if you're looking at somebody my age
00:27:35.420 and you say that they didn't participate in sports,
00:27:37.640 you're almost always wrong.
00:27:39.700 Almost all males my age played every sport.
00:27:43.660 I'm exaggerating a little bit, but you get the idea.
00:27:45.600 So, no, that's not it.
00:27:48.220 My opinion is based on this.
00:27:50.760 I've played co-ed sports.
00:27:53.800 So, co-ed soccer and co-ed tennis,
00:27:57.380 and the co-ed soccer and the co-ed tennis
00:28:01.860 were really, really fun.
00:28:04.460 Really, really fun.
00:28:05.580 All you have to do is make sure that the tennis player
00:28:07.900 you're playing is about the same level,
00:28:10.220 or, you know, can hang with you,
00:28:12.280 and make sure that the soccer players
00:28:15.080 are not that different.
00:28:17.960 So, the female soccer players tended to be
00:28:20.180 the ones who could run.
00:28:21.980 You know, when I had a co-ed,
00:28:23.760 I had a co-ed soccer team as an adult in my 50s,
00:28:28.360 and the women that I recruited
00:28:30.620 ended up being, like, college soccer players.
00:28:34.460 They had been, and they were current marathon runners.
00:28:37.180 So, I just sort of accidentally recruited
00:28:40.240 a whole bunch of marathon-running women,
00:28:43.160 and many of them played in college.
00:28:45.220 And so, suddenly, we had this powerhouse soccer team.
00:28:49.500 You know, you couldn't have,
00:28:50.980 you had to have mixed.
00:28:52.020 You couldn't play just all men on the field.
00:28:54.080 And it was really, really fun.
00:28:56.720 Right?
00:28:57.200 So, while I do think there's a place for,
00:29:00.700 you know, every kind of combination of sports,
00:29:03.600 I think what we need more of
00:29:05.180 is the just-for-fun sports
00:29:07.640 where everybody's,
00:29:09.420 everybody just plays people
00:29:10.660 of their relevant, relative ability.
00:29:16.220 You weren't competing for scholarships, though, yes.
00:29:18.940 And the competing for scholarships
00:29:20.600 is a terrible, terrible process.
00:29:24.340 Yeah.
00:29:24.600 I think that competing for scholarships
00:29:26.320 is awesome for the 1% of people who can get them.
00:29:30.520 So, for them, it's great.
00:29:31.980 For the rest of us, it's just
00:29:33.560 we're paying money for your kid.
00:29:36.060 Why am I paying money for your kid?
00:29:39.640 Right?
00:29:40.120 If my kid isn't an athlete,
00:29:42.000 but the, you know, the college or whatever
00:29:43.880 that that kid goes to
00:29:46.060 pays a lot of money for athletics,
00:29:50.000 and maybe it doesn't, you know,
00:29:51.180 make money for them,
00:29:52.060 depending on the school,
00:29:53.780 why am I subsidizing your child?
00:29:57.020 Why is that right?
00:29:57.840 Now, I'm completely okay
00:30:00.760 with your child excelling in sports
00:30:03.380 and doing great,
00:30:04.380 but do you think I should pay for it?
00:30:06.620 That's the only question.
00:30:08.080 Like, I want your kid to have every opportunity
00:30:09.980 and do everything that they want to do.
00:30:11.620 I want just as much for your kid as you do.
00:30:14.460 I'm just asking you,
00:30:15.580 should I subsidize it?
00:30:18.020 Or should you subsidize my kid
00:30:19.880 who's got more problems
00:30:21.820 because they are not good at sports?
00:30:23.980 I know, it's a weird situation,
00:30:32.420 but we have reached peak absurdity in that.
00:30:37.020 I think we've reached peak absurdity
00:30:38.740 with both Fetterman and Biden.
00:30:41.540 We'll talk about Fetterman a little bit more.
00:30:43.480 But don't you think that the fact
00:30:44.660 that Fetterman and Biden
00:30:45.920 are both legitimate Democrat candidates,
00:30:50.200 that is peak absurdity.
00:30:52.320 And I don't mean to be unkind
00:30:54.480 for the differently abled.
00:30:56.220 It's not about that.
00:30:57.800 Anybody who wants to paint me with that brush,
00:31:01.040 good luck.
00:31:02.160 It's not about that.
00:31:04.440 If Fetterman were blind,
00:31:06.860 do you think we'd be having this conversation?
00:31:09.400 No.
00:31:10.240 If Fetterman had one leg,
00:31:12.720 do you think we'd be having this conversation?
00:31:15.080 No.
00:31:15.780 And everybody knows that.
00:31:17.720 Everybody knows that.
00:31:19.380 And watching the Democrats argue
00:31:21.260 that everything's fine
00:31:22.480 with both Biden and Fetterman,
00:31:25.380 do you feel that that is peak?
00:31:28.820 Yeah, right.
00:31:29.460 Nobody's saying that Crenshaw can't do the job.
00:31:32.240 So have we not reached peak absurdity?
00:31:37.420 Would you agree that I'm calling the top?
00:31:39.540 The fact that Fetterman and Biden
00:31:41.760 are both considered legitimate candidates,
00:31:45.660 forget about their politics.
00:31:48.220 I'm not talking about any of their policy preferences.
00:31:51.660 It's not even about that.
00:31:52.980 But the fact that we're seriously considering
00:31:54.880 both of those people,
00:31:56.200 it's insane.
00:31:58.540 All right.
00:31:59.180 And also the Ukraine situation
00:32:01.540 seems to be reaching some kind of absurdity,
00:32:04.160 like the bottomless pit.
00:32:05.680 All right, let's...
00:32:10.680 So here's some more absurdity.
00:32:16.200 Don't you think that the Democrat policies
00:32:18.620 on COVID have now reached peak absurdity?
00:32:22.820 Would you agree with that call?
00:32:26.040 The people wearing masks outdoors by themselves,
00:32:29.760 you know, the still requirements for things?
00:32:33.300 Yeah, I mean, almost everything.
00:32:36.680 Energy policy?
00:32:37.960 Energy policy clearly has reached peak absurdity.
00:32:42.340 Yeah.
00:32:43.300 And, but correct me if I'm wrong,
00:32:45.920 all of these things are sort of coincidentally reaching,
00:32:49.620 yeah, DEI, they're all reaching CRT,
00:32:52.140 they're all reaching peak absurdity
00:32:53.780 right before the midterms.
00:32:56.420 Is that a weird coincidence?
00:32:59.080 That the absurdity is happening all at the same time?
00:33:02.180 Because it, correct, am I wrong?
00:33:06.640 Give me a reasonableness check here.
00:33:09.720 Now, I'm going not on any data.
00:33:12.100 I'm going entirely upon just what it feels like.
00:33:15.680 You know, if you read the news every day.
00:33:17.340 What it feels like is all of those things
00:33:19.380 that when they first came out,
00:33:21.400 they sounded a little sketchy to you,
00:33:23.940 but you were never sure how big they would get.
00:33:26.680 Right?
00:33:27.600 You didn't know how big anything would get.
00:33:29.500 So when things were little and sort of squirrely,
00:33:32.540 you ignored them.
00:33:34.160 Well, it's squirrely.
00:33:36.040 It was kind of small.
00:33:37.520 And then it just kept getting bigger
00:33:38.780 and bigger and bigger
00:33:40.660 until the trans stuff couldn't get any more
00:33:45.360 than whatever it is.
00:33:47.560 Would you agree?
00:33:48.120 There's nothing more.
00:33:51.020 Is there?
00:33:52.100 Now, I'm not arguing what's good or bad about it.
00:33:54.080 I'm just saying we've got to the limit of more.
00:33:57.380 There's nothing more.
00:33:59.240 Right?
00:33:59.860 So that's the peak.
00:34:01.080 If you think it's absurd,
00:34:02.480 then it's peak absurdity.
00:34:04.020 If you think it's all good,
00:34:05.340 it's reached the peak.
00:34:06.520 Goodness, I guess.
00:34:07.340 That would be the other view.
00:34:10.520 All right.
00:34:11.940 Let's talk about the progressives.
00:34:15.400 There was this brief shining moment yesterday
00:34:21.160 when I think it was a tweet saying
00:34:26.440 that the progressives were going to be anti-war for Ukraine,
00:34:32.420 similar to some of the right-wing people,
00:34:35.200 and that maybe for the first time,
00:34:37.040 and this was really unusual and special,
00:34:40.360 it could be that the far left and the far right
00:34:42.440 would agree on the anti-war.
00:34:43.940 They would come together.
00:34:45.680 They would fix something that was important
00:34:47.280 through their being on the same side.
00:34:50.700 And for a while, I thought to myself,
00:34:53.120 America.
00:34:55.560 America can finally come together when it matters,
00:34:58.440 when the big things matter.
00:35:00.500 America comes together, the progressives.
00:35:03.480 And then I read an article that says
00:35:05.400 that the progressives didn't mean it,
00:35:08.020 and Representative Jayapal,
00:35:12.640 she withdrew that letter
00:35:14.260 that was the subject of all this,
00:35:16.920 and says it was released by staff without vetting.
00:35:20.460 How in the world would your staff release a letter like that
00:35:30.300 without vetting?
00:35:33.040 How in the world?
00:35:35.740 All right, you're an asshole.
00:35:37.560 If you'd waited two seconds,
00:35:38.940 you would hear me saying,
00:35:39.980 I don't believe them,
00:35:41.120 instead of saying,
00:35:42.040 Scott believed the squad.
00:35:43.440 He never learns.
00:35:44.800 He's red-pilled now.
00:35:46.200 I guess he's coming around.
00:35:47.480 How about waiting four fucking seconds
00:35:50.240 before you criticize the messenger, asshole?
00:35:54.040 Goodbye.
00:35:58.020 So let's talk about Fetterman
00:36:00.420 as we're talking about peak absurdity.
00:36:02.640 So he started off his thing by saying,
00:36:06.200 good night to everyone.
00:36:08.060 He said, good night to everyone,
00:36:09.900 when he began his debate.
00:36:13.020 Now, is that an example of someone
00:36:16.740 whose brain is not working?
00:36:19.460 Good night, everyone.
00:36:22.300 Probably not.
00:36:24.160 Probably not.
00:36:25.180 Suppose he had said,
00:36:26.380 good evening, everyone.
00:36:28.000 Good evening.
00:36:30.860 What's the difference between good night
00:36:32.660 and good evening?
00:36:35.420 It was night.
00:36:37.700 He said, good night, everybody.
00:36:40.180 Does good night mean goodbye,
00:36:42.460 or does it mean hello?
00:36:43.180 Good evening usually means hello.
00:36:47.960 Good night usually means goodbye.
00:36:52.200 But correct me if I'm wrong,
00:36:53.980 was he not working off a teleprompter?
00:36:56.880 Well, it was not his first sentence
00:36:58.660 on the teleprompter.
00:37:00.780 We don't know that, do we?
00:37:02.520 Because I've got a feeling
00:37:03.540 that the teleprompter said that.
00:37:05.100 He probably just read it.
00:37:05.960 Now, if all he did was
00:37:08.280 confuse evening with night,
00:37:11.340 not the biggest problem in the world.
00:37:14.460 So, I don't know how to judge that one,
00:37:16.040 but it happened.
00:37:17.380 However, he did,
00:37:18.700 I guess his team
00:37:19.980 accused the closed caption company
00:37:23.800 of being laggy
00:37:25.540 and maybe inaccurate,
00:37:27.080 and so it made him look bad
00:37:28.220 because he was reading things
00:37:29.420 that didn't read right.
00:37:31.300 And the company
00:37:32.820 that made that system
00:37:34.400 and tested it with him
00:37:35.900 and gave him more opportunities
00:37:38.100 to test it
00:37:38.780 to make sure it was
00:37:39.440 just what he wanted
00:37:40.380 says,
00:37:41.760 we gave you all the time
00:37:43.700 you wanted to test it,
00:37:44.900 you didn't do it,
00:37:46.620 and it's exactly
00:37:47.400 what you said was good.
00:37:48.780 And then you said
00:37:49.680 it wasn't good
00:37:50.200 after we gave it to you.
00:37:51.540 So, I think I'm going to side
00:37:53.100 with the,
00:37:54.300 probably with the company
00:37:56.480 that produced it
00:37:57.280 because they did,
00:37:58.380 I do think they gave them
00:37:59.740 a chance to test it.
00:38:00.760 John Cooper,
00:38:05.980 who's a Twitter user,
00:38:08.080 tweets that
00:38:08.720 every time MAGA
00:38:10.120 hears Fetterman stumble
00:38:11.740 over a word tonight,
00:38:13.100 they mocked him.
00:38:14.620 Every time I heard him stumble,
00:38:16.560 I felt inspired
00:38:17.560 by his selflessness
00:38:18.520 and bravery.
00:38:19.780 That's the difference
00:38:20.720 between a liberal
00:38:21.520 and an asshole,
00:38:23.120 says John Cooper.
00:38:24.820 And I thought to myself,
00:38:27.380 this has stirred
00:38:29.340 my competitive juices.
00:38:31.620 Now, I'm not proud of this,
00:38:33.980 but I'm just sort of
00:38:34.920 reflexively competitive.
00:38:37.020 Like, I can't turn it off.
00:38:38.500 It's just always there.
00:38:39.980 And when I see
00:38:40.780 a competition like this
00:38:42.200 to be,
00:38:43.640 who could be the most
00:38:44.860 peacock-like person
00:38:47.520 in public,
00:38:47.980 and who could say
00:38:48.860 the thing that makes
00:38:49.600 them look the best
00:38:50.740 while pretending
00:38:52.060 they're talking
00:38:52.600 about an issue?
00:38:53.900 So I thought,
00:38:54.960 I can top that.
00:38:57.020 I can fucking top that.
00:38:59.060 All right,
00:38:59.400 so here's the bar
00:39:00.440 he set on John.
00:39:02.640 I'm going to try
00:39:03.100 to exceed this.
00:39:03.980 He says,
00:39:04.820 every time I heard him stumble,
00:39:07.200 I felt inspired
00:39:08.240 by his selflessness
00:39:09.740 and bravery.
00:39:11.120 I'm thinking,
00:39:11.580 okay,
00:39:12.020 that's good.
00:39:12.740 That's really good.
00:39:14.660 I can beat that.
00:39:16.560 And so what I tweeted was,
00:39:18.040 I'm too competitive
00:39:19.400 to sit down
00:39:19.980 on all the peacocking today,
00:39:21.140 so I would like
00:39:21.640 to submit my entry
00:39:22.500 that proves my humanity
00:39:24.420 and awesomeness.
00:39:25.200 And this was my entry.
00:39:26.680 John Fetterman
00:39:27.360 is so brave and selfless
00:39:28.760 that I have commissioned
00:39:30.100 a statue of him
00:39:31.120 for my front yard.
00:39:33.160 If all you did
00:39:34.180 was vote for him,
00:39:35.700 I win.
00:39:37.300 I win.
00:39:39.240 Right?
00:39:41.160 I think I win.
00:39:42.940 I mean,
00:39:43.660 I might be a little biased
00:39:45.140 in the scoring,
00:39:45.960 but I think I win.
00:39:49.060 Statue beats tweet,
00:39:50.820 doesn't it?
00:39:51.840 Statue beats tweet
00:39:53.060 every time.
00:39:54.780 All right.
00:39:55.680 Declaring victory.
00:39:59.200 I saw this other
00:40:00.520 two movies
00:40:02.060 on one screen tweet
00:40:03.280 from Twitter user
00:40:05.680 PointLogic.
00:40:07.320 He's got,
00:40:07.880 his Twitter handle
00:40:08.980 is SocratesBigBird.
00:40:11.260 So this is somebody
00:40:12.200 who likes logic
00:40:13.100 and Socrates
00:40:13.980 and stuff.
00:40:15.220 And so this logical person
00:40:16.720 says,
00:40:17.760 according to the Maggats,
00:40:20.060 so I'm picking up
00:40:21.420 some cues
00:40:22.020 that it might be
00:40:22.780 a Democrat
00:40:23.860 or a left-leaning person
00:40:25.420 because he's calling
00:40:26.580 the Magga people
00:40:27.260 Maggats.
00:40:28.300 According to the Maggats,
00:40:29.800 Fox News,
00:40:30.580 and a load of other goons,
00:40:33.300 hey,
00:40:34.220 I wonder if I'm
00:40:35.280 one of those goons.
00:40:36.060 But according to the Maggats,
00:40:37.940 Fox News,
00:40:38.640 and a load of other goons,
00:40:40.400 he says their message
00:40:41.460 is that vaccines kill you,
00:40:42.940 Paxlovid kills you,
00:40:44.180 and Remdesivir kills you,
00:40:45.700 but these meds used
00:40:47.900 for other things
00:40:48.560 that are proven
00:40:49.660 ineffective for COVID,
00:40:51.340 in all caps,
00:40:52.680 are, quote,
00:40:53.580 miracles.
00:40:54.220 Ivermectin,
00:40:55.400 hydroxychloroquine,
00:40:56.760 and PointLogic asks,
00:40:59.880 why is this happening?
00:41:02.120 Why is it happening
00:41:03.140 that we've divided
00:41:04.380 into two movies
00:41:05.460 on one screen
00:41:07.140 where one says
00:41:08.180 vaccines kill you,
00:41:09.200 Paxlovid kills you,
00:41:10.160 Remdesivir kills you,
00:41:11.540 and the other says
00:41:12.360 Ivermectin
00:41:13.540 and hydroxychloroquine
00:41:15.140 work.
00:41:16.280 What's your answer
00:41:17.400 to how that happened?
00:41:19.600 How did it happen?
00:41:20.800 Well,
00:41:23.760 I have a hypothesis.
00:41:26.580 Here's my hypothesis.
00:41:28.900 The complete collapse
00:41:30.440 of experts.
00:41:32.320 Once experts
00:41:33.480 became no longer credible,
00:41:35.520 and I think that
00:41:36.060 that's a fair,
00:41:36.900 that's a fair summary
00:41:39.200 of the last few years,
00:41:40.340 wouldn't you say?
00:41:41.500 Would you all agree
00:41:42.340 with me that the experts
00:41:43.820 took a real hit
00:41:45.480 in the last two years,
00:41:46.920 like we've never seen before?
00:41:49.120 Has there ever been
00:41:50.120 a time in human history
00:41:51.460 when the experts
00:41:53.220 did so poorly
00:41:55.340 in any, you know,
00:41:56.220 one or two year period?
00:41:57.720 I mean,
00:41:57.900 it was sort of
00:41:58.300 unusually bad performance.
00:42:01.300 You know,
00:42:01.800 maybe witch doctors
00:42:02.680 or something
00:42:03.160 if you go back further.
00:42:05.240 But,
00:42:05.880 to my mind,
00:42:07.680 the complete collapse
00:42:08.820 of expert credibility
00:42:10.720 left us all on our own.
00:42:13.840 And when you're on your own
00:42:15.000 and the experts
00:42:15.720 can't help you
00:42:16.440 or you don't trust them
00:42:17.480 to help you,
00:42:18.500 you just default
00:42:19.420 to your team.
00:42:20.760 So what happened was
00:42:22.020 the experts
00:42:22.880 were the only thing
00:42:23.920 that kept us
00:42:24.560 from being complete
00:42:25.740 team players.
00:42:28.440 Like,
00:42:28.780 sometimes you'd say,
00:42:29.700 yeah,
00:42:30.340 like,
00:42:30.820 I'm a Democrat,
00:42:31.700 but I also believe
00:42:32.480 in science,
00:42:33.300 and science says
00:42:34.680 that nuclear power plants
00:42:36.400 are okay,
00:42:37.020 so even though
00:42:38.100 that's the thing
00:42:38.640 Republicans say,
00:42:40.400 you know,
00:42:40.620 the science allows me
00:42:41.740 to connect with them
00:42:43.700 in that one thing.
00:42:44.820 Right?
00:42:45.000 But now,
00:42:46.540 once the experts
00:42:47.220 are completely discredited,
00:42:48.940 which is unfortunately
00:42:49.880 where we are,
00:42:51.420 then people just
00:42:52.220 agree with their team
00:42:53.220 because it's all
00:42:53.720 they have left.
00:42:55.040 Well,
00:42:55.400 might as well agree
00:42:56.380 with my team.
00:42:57.360 Now,
00:42:57.680 nobody thinks it
00:42:58.700 through that way.
00:42:59.600 I'm not saying
00:43:00.060 that's a conscious decision,
00:43:01.520 but it's the default.
00:43:03.240 If you can't trust
00:43:04.640 the experts,
00:43:06.280 you trust your team.
00:43:07.580 That may be
00:43:08.380 a terrible idea,
00:43:09.840 but it's just
00:43:10.480 what happens.
00:43:11.020 I saw an expert
00:43:16.500 on AI,
00:43:17.420 Ethan Mollick
00:43:18.380 did a series of tweets,
00:43:19.740 which I retweeted,
00:43:20.900 and it's definitely
00:43:22.060 worth reading.
00:43:23.060 This is one of those threads
00:43:24.380 where if you read
00:43:25.780 this thread,
00:43:26.280 you will just see
00:43:26.780 the future.
00:43:28.400 And I promise you,
00:43:29.440 you will.
00:43:30.300 Like,
00:43:30.600 you will see the future
00:43:31.660 more accurately
00:43:33.200 than the people
00:43:33.880 who did not read
00:43:34.800 the tweet.
00:43:35.860 And basically,
00:43:36.620 the gist of it is
00:43:37.480 that the public
00:43:38.900 doesn't have any idea
00:43:40.260 how fast AI
00:43:41.400 is coming
00:43:42.060 right now,
00:43:43.780 specifically for,
00:43:45.780 he was talking about
00:43:46.760 the creative jobs,
00:43:48.420 such as writing.
00:43:52.140 And he used
00:43:53.060 this analogy,
00:43:53.880 which I approve
00:43:54.880 of in this case.
00:43:56.420 He said that
00:43:57.120 people probably
00:43:58.140 are imagining
00:43:58.780 that the pace
00:43:59.540 of AI
00:44:00.100 is similar
00:44:00.780 to the pace
00:44:01.400 of microchips,
00:44:03.020 where it doubles
00:44:03.760 every X period,
00:44:05.220 right?
00:44:05.860 So microchips
00:44:06.700 we're used to,
00:44:08.180 we're sort of
00:44:09.420 acclimated
00:44:10.560 to a certain level
00:44:11.600 of improvement
00:44:12.320 in technology
00:44:13.300 that crosses
00:44:14.600 all technology.
00:44:16.220 Am I right?
00:44:17.780 Everything that
00:44:18.760 is from
00:44:20.420 social media
00:44:21.400 to microchips
00:44:22.720 to everything else,
00:44:24.960 every year
00:44:25.660 is better.
00:44:27.140 It could be
00:44:27.800 significantly better,
00:44:28.940 like 20% better,
00:44:31.000 right?
00:44:31.340 But 20%
00:44:32.280 is nothing
00:44:33.440 like what
00:44:34.520 you're going to see,
00:44:35.200 what we're already
00:44:35.900 seeing in AI.
00:44:37.460 AI is going
00:44:38.520 in the hockey stick.
00:44:39.500 It's already
00:44:39.880 in the hockey stick.
00:44:41.460 So AI
00:44:42.120 is not waiting
00:44:43.240 for the hockey stick.
00:44:45.660 It's in the hockey stick.
00:44:47.320 It's in the
00:44:48.000 total upswing.
00:44:49.920 This is a short path
00:44:51.720 to the singularity.
00:44:54.260 Like,
00:44:54.640 if you were wondering
00:44:55.520 when the singularity
00:44:56.540 was going to happen,
00:44:57.660 the one thing
00:44:58.620 you had to know
00:44:59.320 is it was going
00:45:00.400 to be nothing happening,
00:45:01.940 nothing happening,
00:45:02.580 nothing happening,
00:45:03.720 nothing happening.
00:45:04.540 It seems like
00:45:04.960 a little is happening,
00:45:05.560 but barely nothing.
00:45:06.900 Barely nothing,
00:45:07.720 barely nothing,
00:45:08.360 barely nothing,
00:45:09.020 the whole fucking
00:45:09.500 world changes.
00:45:11.420 All right,
00:45:11.640 if you don't know
00:45:12.360 that's coming,
00:45:13.980 you better get ready
00:45:15.100 for it,
00:45:15.520 and that's what
00:45:15.960 this will tell you.
00:45:18.020 I've said before
00:45:19.300 that predicting
00:45:20.640 the future
00:45:21.340 three years out
00:45:23.260 is now impossible,
00:45:25.400 and that's never
00:45:26.300 been true before,
00:45:27.700 even when you
00:45:28.660 could be surprised
00:45:29.360 by wars and shortages
00:45:30.540 and stuff.
00:45:31.600 Even with a war,
00:45:32.680 it still looked like
00:45:34.680 a continuation
00:45:35.340 of the world
00:45:36.140 you knew,
00:45:36.820 there just happened
00:45:37.360 to be war,
00:45:38.460 right?
00:45:39.440 Three years from now,
00:45:41.260 nothing will be familiar.
00:45:44.180 AI will change everything,
00:45:45.700 and there's nothing
00:45:46.540 that can stop it,
00:45:48.120 and it might be
00:45:48.780 in one year.
00:45:50.220 I mean,
00:45:50.660 it's probably only
00:45:51.560 the commercialization
00:45:52.740 of it that makes
00:45:53.460 it three years.
00:45:55.060 Probably in one year,
00:45:56.360 it will already write
00:45:57.260 better than all humans
00:45:58.540 in one year.
00:46:00.740 AI will write
00:46:03.520 everything we want
00:46:05.500 written,
00:46:06.140 because it will do
00:46:07.300 it better and faster.
00:46:08.700 You will still be
00:46:09.560 able to write,
00:46:10.300 because you learned
00:46:10.880 how,
00:46:11.720 you just won't
00:46:12.300 have a reason for it.
00:46:14.020 There will never
00:46:14.600 be a reason to write
00:46:15.600 after about a year.
00:46:17.300 Now think about that.
00:46:18.900 Just think about
00:46:19.640 that one thing.
00:46:22.040 Writing
00:46:22.480 could be obsolete
00:46:24.540 in a year.
00:46:26.500 That's a real thing.
00:46:28.680 Writing
00:46:29.120 by humans
00:46:30.880 could be obsolete.
00:46:33.140 Now it might turn
00:46:33.940 into some version
00:46:34.820 of editing.
00:46:36.380 So here's how
00:46:37.060 I imagine
00:46:37.580 I would write
00:46:38.160 a Dilbert comic
00:46:39.280 in a year from now.
00:46:41.600 So roughly
00:46:42.120 one to three years
00:46:43.640 from now,
00:46:43.980 this is how
00:46:44.440 I would write
00:46:44.920 a Dilbert comic.
00:46:46.420 I'd say,
00:46:47.240 all right,
00:46:47.520 Dilbert's talking
00:46:48.100 to his boss
00:46:48.760 that are in the office,
00:46:50.200 show me a new angle
00:46:51.200 that we haven't
00:46:52.040 seen before.
00:46:53.540 The first panel,
00:46:54.720 Dilbert says,
00:46:55.780 blah, blah, blah.
00:46:56.960 Second panel,
00:46:57.720 the boss responds,
00:46:58.940 blah, blah, blah.
00:46:59.800 And then the third panel,
00:47:01.260 add something funny.
00:47:03.140 Put a punchline there.
00:47:05.180 And then I'm going
00:47:06.040 to walk away.
00:47:08.380 And that's going
00:47:09.180 to be my entire job
00:47:10.120 that day.
00:47:13.000 In the future,
00:47:14.320 the only asset
00:47:15.280 I will own
00:47:16.080 for Dilbert
00:47:16.600 is the rights
00:47:17.640 to the IP.
00:47:19.220 I will no longer
00:47:20.280 be the only person
00:47:21.100 who can make it.
00:47:22.980 Basically,
00:47:23.660 you will be able
00:47:24.260 to make your own
00:47:25.120 Dilbert comics
00:47:25.780 at home
00:47:26.140 just by speaking
00:47:27.040 to your AI.
00:47:28.460 Hey,
00:47:28.940 make some Dilbert comics
00:47:29.900 for me.
00:47:31.220 Bop, bop, bop, bop, bop, bop.
00:47:32.420 No, no,
00:47:33.100 make some Dilbert comics
00:47:34.060 on me just on this topic.
00:47:35.960 Bop, bop, bop, bop, bop, bop, bop, bop.
00:47:37.640 It'll be done.
00:47:39.140 That's probably
00:47:39.700 one year away.
00:47:41.520 Now,
00:47:41.980 if you didn't know
00:47:42.540 that was one year away,
00:47:44.260 you really don't know
00:47:45.260 what's happening.
00:47:46.420 It's coming.
00:47:47.520 And it's not just art
00:47:48.840 and writing
00:47:49.360 that will change.
00:47:50.760 It's everything.
00:47:51.560 It's everything.
00:47:55.040 The entire economy.
00:47:57.440 Wars.
00:47:58.840 Everything.
00:48:00.220 The three years.
00:48:02.100 It will be exciting.
00:48:03.420 I hope it will be good.
00:48:07.300 Here's some more absurdities.
00:48:09.820 The Hunter laptop,
00:48:11.220 Hunter's activities
00:48:14.020 when his father
00:48:15.720 was vice president
00:48:16.540 and even when he was
00:48:17.580 between jobs,
00:48:18.800 still sort of amazingly
00:48:21.380 being ignored
00:48:22.220 by one half
00:48:23.880 of the media.
00:48:27.240 All right.
00:48:28.040 Amazing.
00:48:29.380 Absurdities everywhere.
00:48:35.320 The whole Fetterman
00:48:36.840 versus Oz thing.
00:48:38.500 If you're making fun
00:48:39.580 of conservatives
00:48:40.600 for their,
00:48:43.300 let's say,
00:48:44.360 their ableism,
00:48:46.080 is that what it's called?
00:48:46.680 If you're mocking Fetterman,
00:48:48.800 because you say
00:48:49.920 that it is
00:48:50.440 maybe temporary,
00:48:52.520 disability is
00:48:54.020 preventing him
00:48:54.720 from doing the job,
00:48:55.580 then you are
00:48:56.100 against disabled people,
00:48:59.060 to which I say,
00:49:01.320 there's still
00:49:02.220 a Special Olympics,
00:49:03.300 right?
00:49:05.660 Has anybody pushed
00:49:06.740 for the Special Olympics
00:49:07.960 people to just be
00:49:09.000 thrown in with
00:49:09.640 the regular Olympics
00:49:10.540 people?
00:49:11.540 Is that happening?
00:49:12.640 Or do people
00:49:13.340 understand
00:49:14.000 that your ability
00:49:15.980 affects,
00:49:16.760 and I know
00:49:18.100 I'm going to
00:49:18.340 go out on a limb
00:49:18.840 here.
00:49:19.880 This is not
00:49:20.820 widely understood
00:49:21.900 and I realize
00:49:22.740 it's provocative,
00:49:23.640 but it's possible
00:49:25.200 that your ability
00:49:26.920 has some kind
00:49:29.880 of a correlation,
00:49:31.180 maybe a causation,
00:49:32.240 to your ability.
00:49:34.540 Now,
00:49:35.060 I realize we haven't
00:49:36.020 connected those
00:49:37.020 traditionally
00:49:37.660 because a lot
00:49:38.900 of times people
00:49:39.420 think your ability
00:49:40.340 has nothing to do
00:49:42.120 with your ability.
00:49:43.340 and with Fetterman
00:49:45.660 we've decided
00:49:46.340 to disconnect those.
00:49:48.620 So,
00:49:49.000 his ability,
00:49:49.920 we can't talk
00:49:50.640 about how his
00:49:51.960 ability is related
00:49:53.060 to his ability
00:49:54.220 to do the job.
00:49:56.340 Now,
00:49:56.680 if his ability
00:49:57.660 was unrelated
00:49:59.500 to his ability
00:50:00.540 to do the specific
00:50:02.520 job,
00:50:03.060 then I would say
00:50:03.580 that would be
00:50:04.080 unfair.
00:50:06.220 Same with the
00:50:07.360 Special Olympics.
00:50:08.400 If the Special
00:50:09.200 Olympics participants,
00:50:10.560 if their ability
00:50:12.940 was equal
00:50:14.600 to the ability
00:50:15.600 of the regular
00:50:17.940 Olympics,
00:50:19.200 I would be in
00:50:19.960 favor of them
00:50:20.380 playing together.
00:50:23.340 All right.
00:50:25.940 And,
00:50:27.540 to me,
00:50:28.180 it's just amazing
00:50:29.220 that this is
00:50:29.840 even a conversation.
00:50:30.720 Fetterman,
00:50:31.140 I guess,
00:50:31.920 came out with
00:50:32.380 saying he fully
00:50:33.240 supports fracking.
00:50:34.320 He loves fracking.
00:50:35.880 He's fracking
00:50:36.840 in love with fracking.
00:50:37.940 Did fracking,
00:50:43.140 didn't we always
00:50:43.980 think he was
00:50:44.500 against it?
00:50:45.920 He's just lying,
00:50:47.100 right?
00:50:47.980 Isn't there a video
00:50:49.000 of him saying
00:50:50.120 the opposite?
00:50:51.320 Or am I
00:50:52.080 imagining that
00:50:52.800 because I got
00:50:53.920 fooled by the
00:50:54.940 media on one
00:50:56.260 side?
00:50:58.920 Yeah.
00:50:59.600 So,
00:50:59.860 he's just lying,
00:51:00.560 right?
00:51:01.480 And,
00:51:02.080 apparently,
00:51:02.620 that works.
00:51:04.280 How many Democrats
00:51:05.720 do you think
00:51:06.520 know he's lying
00:51:07.780 about fracking?
00:51:09.480 How many Democrats
00:51:10.360 do you think
00:51:10.820 know he's lying?
00:51:14.600 25%.
00:51:15.080 Yeah.
00:51:16.580 It works because
00:51:17.360 they don't read
00:51:17.940 the other media.
00:51:19.680 So,
00:51:19.940 a Democrat,
00:51:21.180 let me,
00:51:21.980 let me give you
00:51:23.520 this as a model.
00:51:24.980 A Democrat
00:51:25.500 can make any lie
00:51:27.000 and be comfortable
00:51:29.300 that their voters
00:51:30.880 won't see the truth.
00:51:32.460 Would you say
00:51:32.920 that's true?
00:51:33.320 Because the left
00:51:35.080 does not read
00:51:36.240 Fox News website
00:51:38.280 at all.
00:51:40.040 But the right
00:51:41.100 tends to see
00:51:42.640 both arguments
00:51:43.320 because the
00:51:44.540 mainstream argument
00:51:45.480 is mainstream.
00:51:46.600 So,
00:51:46.920 they're more likely
00:51:47.540 to see it.
00:51:49.340 Yeah.
00:51:49.580 It's not really
00:51:50.140 a fair fight.
00:51:51.200 There's one side
00:51:51.960 that knows both sides.
00:51:53.200 We saw that
00:51:54.100 clearly,
00:51:55.780 and we already
00:51:56.340 talked about this,
00:51:57.160 the MSNBC
00:51:58.240 interview,
00:52:00.740 I guess you'd call it,
00:52:01.360 with a bunch
00:52:02.040 of Trump supporters.
00:52:03.600 And when you saw
00:52:04.160 that the ordinary
00:52:04.960 Trump supporter,
00:52:05.880 just a citizen,
00:52:07.240 knew more than
00:52:08.060 the professional
00:52:08.980 political reporter
00:52:10.800 and demonstrated it
00:52:12.700 by correcting her
00:52:13.900 twice on facts.
00:52:16.800 And that was
00:52:18.480 the perfect example
00:52:19.600 of how the right
00:52:20.780 sees both arguments
00:52:21.900 and the left
00:52:23.080 only sees one side.
00:52:24.540 These are not
00:52:25.180 similar things.
00:52:27.220 They're not even
00:52:27.800 a little bit similar.
00:52:28.520 All right.
00:52:32.740 Biden said
00:52:34.600 in public,
00:52:35.880 quote,
00:52:36.160 almost everyone
00:52:36.860 who will die
00:52:38.220 from COVID
00:52:38.840 this year
00:52:39.380 will not be
00:52:40.560 up to date
00:52:41.060 on their shots.
00:52:43.960 Put on your
00:52:44.800 analytical caps.
00:52:47.040 Give me
00:52:47.440 two possible
00:52:48.320 reasons why
00:52:49.060 this could be
00:52:49.920 a true statement.
00:52:51.080 Give me two.
00:52:52.200 One of them
00:52:52.840 would be
00:52:53.360 vaccinations
00:52:54.040 protect you.
00:52:55.260 All right.
00:52:55.480 But what's
00:52:55.800 the other
00:52:56.140 possible explanation
00:52:57.960 for why this
00:52:58.580 might actually
00:52:59.080 be true?
00:53:00.020 Almost everyone
00:53:00.860 who dies
00:53:01.300 from COVID
00:53:01.840 will not
00:53:03.120 be up to date
00:53:03.740 on their shots.
00:53:05.720 Could it be
00:53:06.540 because most
00:53:07.240 people will
00:53:07.760 not be up to date?
00:53:09.920 So most people
00:53:11.180 in the world
00:53:12.400 will not be
00:53:13.020 up to date.
00:53:15.380 Therefore,
00:53:16.180 doesn't it kind
00:53:16.700 of make sense
00:53:17.200 that most people
00:53:17.960 who are also
00:53:18.720 coincidentally dying
00:53:20.040 would be dying
00:53:21.840 for reasons
00:53:23.280 unrelated to COVID?
00:53:25.860 Unrelated to COVID,
00:53:26.820 it's amazing
00:53:31.520 that Biden
00:53:31.920 can say that
00:53:32.460 kind of stuff
00:53:32.960 out loud.
00:53:34.540 But,
00:53:35.480 at the same
00:53:36.520 time,
00:53:37.960 do you want
00:53:38.380 to get into
00:53:38.820 real cancellation
00:53:39.740 territory here?
00:53:41.440 Who's with me?
00:53:43.280 Let's fly
00:53:44.000 close to the sun.
00:53:46.560 Ready?
00:53:48.480 Sun?
00:53:50.000 Scott?
00:53:51.300 Let's do it.
00:53:52.220 There's a
00:53:53.920 Twitter user
00:53:54.800 I've mentioned
00:53:55.360 before called
00:53:56.240 Ethical Skeptic.
00:53:57.600 How many of you
00:53:58.220 are familiar
00:53:58.700 with the Twitter
00:53:59.400 account of
00:54:00.020 Ethical Skeptic?
00:54:04.240 Many of you
00:54:04.980 on Twitter
00:54:05.360 is very well
00:54:06.820 exposed.
00:54:10.380 And this is
00:54:11.760 what the
00:54:12.060 Ethical Skeptic
00:54:14.500 says.
00:54:15.120 This is not
00:54:15.940 what I say.
00:54:17.140 All right?
00:54:17.800 So I'm reporting
00:54:18.660 what somebody said.
00:54:19.760 I am not endorsing it.
00:54:21.020 And therefore,
00:54:21.920 I cannot be
00:54:22.640 canceled.
00:54:24.280 Do we all
00:54:24.980 agree on that?
00:54:25.680 I think we do.
00:54:27.460 So Ethical Skeptic
00:54:28.440 says the same
00:54:29.140 thing which I do
00:54:29.820 not endorse,
00:54:30.600 nor do I
00:54:31.400 rebuke.
00:54:32.940 So you will
00:54:33.640 see no opinion
00:54:34.380 from me
00:54:34.880 yet.
00:54:36.720 He says,
00:54:37.520 the latest
00:54:37.820 variant to come
00:54:38.560 on the block,
00:54:39.720 what they are
00:54:40.260 calling BQ,
00:54:41.860 is seeking out
00:54:42.740 vaccinated
00:54:43.400 individuals
00:54:44.700 three to one
00:54:45.580 over unvaccinated.
00:54:47.280 It has a
00:54:47.820 particular taste
00:54:48.740 for those who
00:54:49.420 are recently
00:54:49.920 vaccinated as well.
00:54:51.020 So he's
00:54:52.980 famous,
00:54:53.720 this user,
00:54:55.500 Twitter user,
00:54:56.320 for being an
00:54:57.640 expert on data
00:54:58.400 and for using
00:54:59.680 public data
00:55:00.460 sources and
00:55:02.220 putting them
00:55:02.900 together in
00:55:03.420 ways that
00:55:04.000 show different
00:55:05.620 possible conclusions
00:55:06.700 than the
00:55:07.260 mainstream ones.
00:55:08.640 I don't know
00:55:09.420 if anything he
00:55:10.320 does is real.
00:55:12.460 Let me say it
00:55:13.800 as quickly,
00:55:14.680 as clearly as
00:55:15.660 I can.
00:55:16.800 I cannot
00:55:17.400 judge whether
00:55:18.480 the ethical
00:55:19.140 skeptic is a
00:55:20.160 genius who's
00:55:21.800 doing a service
00:55:22.560 for the country
00:55:23.220 because many
00:55:25.080 people are
00:55:25.840 looking at it
00:55:26.300 that way.
00:55:26.640 And it might
00:55:27.220 be.
00:55:27.680 It could be.
00:55:28.920 Or if it's
00:55:29.920 somebody who
00:55:30.380 doesn't know
00:55:30.740 what they're
00:55:30.980 talking about
00:55:31.620 but I can't
00:55:32.360 tell the
00:55:32.640 difference.
00:55:33.860 I have no
00:55:34.740 idea.
00:55:35.900 I have no
00:55:36.800 opinion on
00:55:37.480 whether this
00:55:37.980 is valid or
00:55:39.100 invalid,
00:55:40.220 smart or not
00:55:40.940 smart,
00:55:42.140 true or not
00:55:42.740 true.
00:55:43.040 I have no
00:55:43.400 idea.
00:55:43.900 I really don't.
00:55:45.280 I'm not kidding.
00:55:46.820 I'm not joking.
00:55:47.680 I really
00:55:48.160 can't tell.
00:55:49.060 And it's
00:55:49.340 one of my
00:55:50.040 mysteries I'm
00:55:51.180 trying to
00:55:51.520 solve.
00:55:52.560 But is
00:55:54.940 there any
00:55:55.360 other reason?
00:55:57.400 First of all,
00:55:57.980 do you think
00:55:58.260 it's true as
00:56:00.400 a fact,
00:56:01.060 fact check
00:56:01.680 this,
00:56:02.280 do you think
00:56:02.580 it's true that
00:56:03.280 the recently
00:56:04.520 vaccinated are
00:56:06.360 more likely to
00:56:07.320 get COVID?
00:56:09.360 Because remember
00:56:10.080 the vaccinations
00:56:11.400 don't prevent you
00:56:13.400 from getting it.
00:56:14.140 But what
00:56:15.520 would the
00:56:16.320 recently
00:56:16.740 vaccinated have
00:56:17.700 in common?
00:56:19.620 What would
00:56:19.980 the recently
00:56:20.660 vaccinated have
00:56:21.720 in common?
00:56:25.200 Wouldn't
00:56:25.680 they, well
00:56:26.420 Democrats,
00:56:27.120 yes, but
00:56:28.040 wouldn't they
00:56:28.520 also believe
00:56:29.420 that they
00:56:30.320 needed the
00:56:30.840 booster?
00:56:32.820 Wouldn't it
00:56:33.460 be people who
00:56:34.100 self-assessed,
00:56:35.120 and probably
00:56:35.500 their doctor as
00:56:36.200 well, said,
00:56:37.200 oh, you're
00:56:37.720 in a situation
00:56:38.780 where you're
00:56:39.300 either going
00:56:39.680 to be around
00:56:40.160 a lot of
00:56:40.540 people,
00:56:41.620 you're either
00:56:42.040 around a lot
00:56:42.680 of people,
00:56:43.000 or you
00:56:44.100 might be
00:56:44.440 extra weak?
00:56:46.540 So, it
00:56:48.720 may be true
00:56:49.560 that the
00:56:50.260 vaccinated are
00:56:51.160 more likely
00:56:51.720 to get
00:56:52.380 infected,
00:56:54.020 but there's
00:56:54.900 nothing about
00:56:55.500 the vaccinated
00:56:56.120 that is common
00:56:57.760 to the public,
00:56:59.360 or let me say
00:57:00.440 that clear.
00:57:01.580 The people who
00:57:02.340 are recently
00:57:03.580 boosted are a
00:57:04.920 special group
00:57:05.700 of people,
00:57:06.720 and they're
00:57:07.060 special in a
00:57:07.740 variety of
00:57:08.380 ways, so it
00:57:09.780 doesn't tell you
00:57:10.360 anything about
00:57:10.840 the public at
00:57:11.500 large.
00:57:13.000 So, is
00:57:16.040 ethical
00:57:16.540 skeptical
00:57:17.220 showing us
00:57:18.220 something that
00:57:18.760 is of the
00:57:19.960 greatest national
00:57:20.900 importance, and
00:57:22.280 we're all
00:57:22.620 missing it, or
00:57:24.680 is it as
00:57:25.400 simple as the
00:57:26.900 population of
00:57:27.740 people who
00:57:28.160 got boosted is
00:57:29.280 not like the
00:57:29.800 rest of us?
00:57:31.520 I don't know.
00:57:33.080 I don't know.
00:57:33.720 And I would
00:57:34.440 guess that if
00:57:35.940 ethical skeptic
00:57:37.460 were here, he
00:57:38.760 would say,
00:57:39.360 Scott, Scott,
00:57:40.260 here's why what
00:57:41.220 you're saying is
00:57:41.720 wrong, and it
00:57:42.320 would probably
00:57:42.560 make sense.
00:57:43.700 Like, I'm not
00:57:44.380 selling what my
00:57:45.660 opinion is right.
00:57:47.520 It's just a
00:57:48.140 mystery to me.
00:57:48.680 I don't know.
00:57:51.040 Anyway, keep an
00:57:51.980 eye on that.
00:57:55.500 I heard a
00:57:56.680 theory about
00:57:58.220 China, two
00:58:00.620 theories about
00:58:01.200 China that
00:58:01.820 spell its
00:58:02.520 doom, and
00:58:03.780 maybe the
00:58:04.560 United States
00:58:05.100 doomed, too,
00:58:05.760 but let's talk
00:58:06.460 about China.
00:58:06.900 one of them
00:58:08.660 is that they're
00:58:09.860 already lying
00:58:10.820 massively about
00:58:11.760 their population
00:58:12.600 decrease, and
00:58:14.160 that China's
00:58:14.920 population is
00:58:15.940 substantially
00:58:16.620 smaller than
00:58:18.200 what you thought
00:58:18.740 it was, because
00:58:19.740 they've already
00:58:20.420 constrained their
00:58:21.760 population.
00:58:23.460 And that when
00:58:24.780 you do that, you
00:58:25.380 end up with way
00:58:26.060 too many retired
00:58:27.340 people compared to
00:58:28.220 workers, and it's
00:58:29.560 just basically a
00:58:30.360 time bomb, and
00:58:31.800 there's nothing they
00:58:32.440 can do about it.
00:58:33.120 So basically, they
00:58:34.680 would be doomed by
00:58:35.760 demographics.
00:58:36.900 That's one theory of
00:58:38.080 why China's doomed.
00:58:39.620 Number two, there's
00:58:43.300 a theory that the
00:58:44.380 main thing that
00:58:45.960 makes any country
00:58:46.880 look successful is
00:58:48.960 that they're
00:58:49.500 overspending on
00:58:50.460 infrastructure because
00:58:51.520 they need it.
00:58:53.280 And that when
00:58:54.220 Japan overspent on
00:58:56.280 infrastructure, it
00:58:57.320 looked like they
00:58:57.780 were booming and
00:58:58.480 they were going to
00:58:58.860 eat our lunch, but
00:59:00.320 when they stopped
00:59:00.920 spending on
00:59:01.460 infrastructure and
00:59:02.360 got down to
00:59:03.060 a normal level,
00:59:04.520 they had no GDP
00:59:05.680 growth for years
00:59:06.820 and years and
00:59:07.200 years.
00:59:08.400 And that the
00:59:09.260 United States
00:59:09.880 might suffer a
00:59:11.040 similar thing where
00:59:11.960 if government
00:59:13.240 stops spending
00:59:14.040 massively, as
00:59:14.960 has been recently,
00:59:16.180 then maybe we
00:59:16.800 don't have any
00:59:17.280 real growth, like
00:59:18.860 it's all been
00:59:19.340 government.
00:59:20.800 So by that
00:59:21.860 argument, when
00:59:23.380 China reaches its
00:59:24.400 limit of, not
00:59:26.700 limit, but when
00:59:27.400 it does most of
00:59:28.200 its infrastructure
00:59:28.920 projects, and
00:59:29.980 then it slows
00:59:30.600 down because it's
00:59:31.580 done most of what
00:59:32.640 it needs to
00:59:33.040 do, it's just
00:59:33.960 in a new
00:59:35.080 stuff mode, that
00:59:36.260 there won't be
00:59:36.660 enough government
00:59:37.240 spending in
00:59:37.880 China to keep
00:59:39.460 the GDP
00:59:40.160 humming, and
00:59:42.100 then it all
00:59:42.660 falls apart.
00:59:44.880 What do you
00:59:45.480 think?
00:59:46.480 Well, in
00:59:47.280 economics, there's
00:59:48.100 one rule that I
00:59:48.860 like to stick with,
00:59:50.180 which is people
00:59:51.060 are terrible at
00:59:51.780 predicting any of
00:59:53.320 this stuff.
00:59:54.120 And the Adams
00:59:54.940 law of slow-moving
00:59:55.900 disasters suggests
00:59:57.100 that people will
00:59:57.700 make whatever
00:59:58.240 adjustments they
00:59:58.980 can.
00:59:59.140 So these
01:00:01.000 are gigantic
01:00:01.860 threats to
01:00:02.660 China, but I
01:00:03.640 wouldn't say
01:00:04.100 necessarily that
01:00:05.260 that means they're
01:00:05.840 doomed.
01:00:06.580 But then they
01:00:07.240 have this third
01:00:07.820 thing going on,
01:00:09.020 which is they're
01:00:10.280 no longer
01:00:10.740 trustworthy.
01:00:12.500 And being not
01:00:13.540 trustworthy means
01:00:15.300 that people don't
01:00:15.920 want to do
01:00:16.520 business with you.
01:00:17.760 And I think
01:00:18.300 that's going to
01:00:18.760 hurt more than
01:00:19.700 it's hurting now.
01:00:20.300 You know that
01:00:23.860 trick where we
01:00:24.640 said Hillary
01:00:25.440 Clinton was
01:00:26.880 warning that
01:00:27.600 the Democrats
01:00:28.580 would try to
01:00:29.540 steal the
01:00:30.160 election, which
01:00:30.880 is a signal
01:00:31.480 that, I'm
01:00:33.220 sorry, Hillary
01:00:33.920 warned that the
01:00:34.640 Republicans would
01:00:35.720 try to steal
01:00:36.300 the next election,
01:00:37.680 which is really
01:00:38.880 priming the
01:00:40.880 environment for
01:00:42.060 the Democrats
01:00:42.720 to steal the
01:00:43.440 election, because
01:00:44.540 you won't see
01:00:45.100 it coming if
01:00:46.680 they've made you
01:00:47.320 think Republicans
01:00:48.380 are going to do
01:00:49.040 it.
01:00:49.180 It's just a good
01:00:50.360 way to cover
01:00:50.920 your evil.
01:00:52.740 And now NATO
01:00:53.860 is blaming Russia
01:00:55.200 of using the
01:00:55.740 same trick.
01:00:57.160 Russia is saying
01:00:58.160 that Ukraine is
01:00:59.300 planning to use
01:01:00.820 a dirty bomb,
01:01:01.840 you know, a
01:01:02.100 nuclear dirty
01:01:02.840 bomb, whereas
01:01:05.540 NATO says,
01:01:06.580 no, no, no.
01:01:07.760 That's what
01:01:08.260 Russia accuses
01:01:09.220 the other side
01:01:09.840 of before they
01:01:10.560 do the thing.
01:01:11.960 So apparently
01:01:12.600 that's a known
01:01:14.140 strategy, that
01:01:15.660 Russia accuses
01:01:16.640 you of what
01:01:17.080 they're planning
01:01:17.500 to do.
01:01:18.320 So if Russia
01:01:19.040 accuses you
01:01:19.780 of a chemical
01:01:20.640 weapons attack,
01:01:23.560 they're definitely
01:01:24.340 going to use
01:01:24.780 a chemical
01:01:25.160 weapon.
01:01:25.920 If they accuse
01:01:26.980 you of using
01:01:27.760 a dirty bomb
01:01:28.580 or planning it,
01:01:30.140 they're definitely
01:01:30.740 planning to use
01:01:31.520 a dirty bomb.
01:01:32.960 Now, maybe to
01:01:33.920 blame the other
01:01:34.480 side, maybe just
01:01:35.480 because they want
01:01:35.940 to use it, but
01:01:37.520 I'd worry about
01:01:38.460 this.
01:01:40.080 It looks like
01:01:40.880 an understood
01:01:41.520 problem, and
01:01:43.480 NATO's all
01:01:45.060 over it.
01:01:47.600 All right.
01:01:49.720 So, back
01:01:50.900 to my theme.
01:01:53.800 My theme
01:01:54.760 is that we've
01:01:55.720 reached peak
01:01:56.400 absurdity.
01:01:57.800 Look at every
01:01:58.800 story I talked
01:01:59.640 about.
01:02:00.940 There's a story
01:02:01.920 that maybe Russia
01:02:02.920 will nuke
01:02:03.720 itself, because
01:02:05.780 Russia thinks
01:02:06.380 Ukraine is part
01:02:07.720 of Russia.
01:02:08.080 So, we're
01:02:09.960 literally acting
01:02:11.100 serious about
01:02:11.980 the possibility
01:02:12.760 that Russia
01:02:13.860 will nuke
01:02:14.480 itself.
01:02:16.900 Personally, I
01:02:17.660 think that's
01:02:18.340 absurd.
01:02:19.480 I don't see
01:02:20.360 any possibility
01:02:21.060 of that.
01:02:21.780 Now, I also
01:02:22.520 thought that
01:02:23.040 Russia wouldn't
01:02:24.160 invade.
01:02:25.240 So you have
01:02:26.020 to put my
01:02:26.420 opinion in
01:02:27.060 context, right?
01:02:27.900 So, my
01:02:30.400 ability to
01:02:31.180 predict what
01:02:31.840 Putin will
01:02:32.340 do has
01:02:32.920 been demonstrated
01:02:35.660 as low
01:02:36.980 ability.
01:02:39.280 By the
01:02:42.620 way, do
01:02:42.900 you know
01:02:43.040 what my
01:02:43.400 most frequent
01:02:44.740 criticism is?
01:02:46.020 I never
01:02:46.500 admit when I'm
01:02:47.140 wrong.
01:02:48.200 I will
01:02:48.900 submit to
01:02:49.380 you that no
01:02:49.880 one has
01:02:50.240 admitted their
01:02:50.900 wrong more
01:02:51.540 often or
01:02:52.660 reliably than
01:02:53.480 I have of
01:02:54.400 any public
01:02:55.020 figure.
01:02:56.880 That's my
01:02:57.660 claim, that
01:02:58.740 literally, of
01:02:59.760 all public
01:03:00.420 figures of
01:03:01.060 all time,
01:03:02.080 nobody has
01:03:02.580 ever spent
01:03:03.220 more time
01:03:03.940 admitting they
01:03:05.120 were wrong
01:03:05.580 in public
01:03:06.240 than I
01:03:07.100 have.
01:03:08.440 Well, if
01:03:09.100 you think
01:03:09.400 that's false,
01:03:10.100 name the
01:03:10.680 other person.
01:03:11.780 I think that
01:03:12.640 the number of
01:03:13.080 times I've
01:03:13.660 admitted I'm
01:03:14.440 wrong in
01:03:14.860 public would
01:03:15.440 be maybe
01:03:16.820 20 times.
01:03:19.560 Those of
01:03:20.220 you who have
01:03:20.580 watched me
01:03:21.060 since the
01:03:21.420 beginning, put
01:03:22.020 a number on
01:03:22.560 it, if you
01:03:23.920 can remember,
01:03:24.800 just roughly.
01:03:25.400 How many
01:03:25.640 times do you
01:03:26.060 think I've
01:03:26.420 admitted I'm
01:03:27.100 wrong in
01:03:27.580 public?
01:03:28.380 20 times?
01:03:32.100 Somebody said
01:03:32.820 100.
01:03:34.880 Yeah.
01:03:35.660 But you
01:03:36.000 wouldn't disagree
01:03:37.900 with my
01:03:40.160 estimate of
01:03:40.760 20, would
01:03:41.280 you?
01:03:41.880 Like, that's
01:03:42.360 not crazy.
01:03:44.040 Somebody says
01:03:44.620 10 or so
01:03:45.400 between 20
01:03:47.920 and 100.
01:03:48.540 All right.
01:03:48.940 So whatever
01:03:49.420 it is, if
01:03:50.220 you're on
01:03:50.620 YouTube, you're
01:03:52.160 not seeing the
01:03:52.640 comments.
01:03:53.400 The people on
01:03:54.140 the locals
01:03:54.500 platform, most
01:03:55.780 of them have
01:03:56.200 followed me
01:03:56.820 for the
01:03:57.120 longest time.
01:03:58.560 And they're
01:03:59.760 not arguing
01:04:00.380 with my
01:04:01.120 estimate.
01:04:02.960 They're just
01:04:03.580 putting different
01:04:04.060 numbers on it,
01:04:04.660 but they're
01:04:04.980 arguing with
01:04:05.600 the main
01:04:05.960 point that
01:04:07.180 I've admitted
01:04:07.720 I'm wrong a
01:04:08.320 whole bunch
01:04:08.700 of times.
01:04:10.120 A whole bunch
01:04:10.800 of times.
01:04:12.260 Now, if you
01:04:13.520 say you're wrong
01:04:14.440 more than
01:04:14.820 anybody in the
01:04:15.560 world, or at
01:04:16.200 least you're in
01:04:16.900 the top 1%
01:04:17.680 of that, people
01:04:19.280 will tell you
01:04:19.880 you never admit
01:04:20.600 you're wrong.
01:04:22.140 And it's the
01:04:22.600 most frustrating
01:04:23.260 thing.
01:04:25.260 It's the most
01:04:26.020 frustrating thing.
01:04:27.080 Because I don't
01:04:27.740 mind being accused
01:04:28.860 of things I've
01:04:29.500 done.
01:04:30.520 I mean, that
01:04:30.980 doesn't feel
01:04:31.440 good, but at
01:04:32.080 least you feel
01:04:33.220 you're in a
01:04:33.860 just world that
01:04:34.640 makes sense.
01:04:35.540 Well, I did
01:04:36.080 make that
01:04:36.460 mistake.
01:04:36.900 They are
01:04:37.160 criticizing me.
01:04:38.240 Okay.
01:04:39.300 Right?
01:04:39.800 So when people
01:04:40.920 criticize me for
01:04:42.240 being wrong about
01:04:43.400 Russia invading,
01:04:46.440 I don't insult
01:04:48.020 you.
01:04:49.040 Right?
01:04:49.300 I just say,
01:04:50.280 well, yep, you
01:04:51.580 got me on that
01:04:52.100 one.
01:04:55.800 It's hard because
01:04:56.660 you're a comedian
01:04:57.720 and your audience
01:04:58.660 has lots of
01:04:59.300 hecklers.
01:05:00.560 Maybe.
01:05:01.720 I'm not sure if
01:05:02.540 people even see
01:05:03.120 me as a comedian
01:05:03.860 when I'm doing
01:05:04.380 this stuff.
01:05:09.500 Oh, okay.
01:05:10.720 Gino says,
01:05:11.560 you've recommended
01:05:12.940 me to others
01:05:14.320 because I've
01:05:15.940 admitted when I'm
01:05:16.560 wrong.
01:05:16.720 the thing
01:05:19.180 about admitting
01:05:19.740 when you're
01:05:20.060 wrong is that
01:05:20.700 I don't think
01:05:21.160 people understand
01:05:22.020 that it makes
01:05:22.620 you stronger.
01:05:24.480 If people
01:05:25.120 understood that,
01:05:25.780 they would do
01:05:26.120 it.
01:05:27.920 Now, obviously,
01:05:28.540 there's a right
01:05:29.240 and a wrong
01:05:29.580 way to do it.
01:05:31.280 But if you do
01:05:32.040 it fully,
01:05:33.620 and by the
01:05:34.120 way, is there
01:05:35.280 anything more
01:05:35.960 surprising?
01:05:37.000 I'd like to use
01:05:37.800 Mike Cernovich for
01:05:38.560 all of my
01:05:39.140 examples.
01:05:40.100 It's amazing
01:05:40.620 how many
01:05:41.040 situations he
01:05:42.660 fits into as
01:05:43.440 a teaching
01:05:44.960 point.
01:05:46.500 So Mike
01:05:46.960 Cernovich did
01:05:47.540 the whole
01:05:47.820 Pizzagate
01:05:49.100 situation.
01:05:51.360 And then
01:05:51.820 instead of
01:05:52.720 explaining it
01:05:53.840 away or
01:05:54.820 making it look
01:05:56.240 like the real
01:05:57.460 problem was his
01:05:58.260 accuser, he
01:05:59.460 just put it in
01:06:00.060 his movie.
01:06:01.300 So he made
01:06:01.980 a movie and
01:06:03.260 he featured it.
01:06:06.620 Instead of
01:06:07.360 explaining it,
01:06:08.180 apologizing for
01:06:09.040 it, he just
01:06:10.000 featured it.
01:06:10.500 any other
01:06:13.000 questions?
01:06:14.300 And I feel
01:06:14.860 like that's
01:06:15.520 what allowed
01:06:16.380 his Twitter
01:06:19.300 traffic to
01:06:20.300 grow, etc.,
01:06:21.200 is that people
01:06:21.960 saw, oh,
01:06:22.720 okay, he
01:06:23.920 just accepted
01:06:25.860 that and then
01:06:26.680 he moved on.
01:06:29.660 Mike made
01:06:30.380 the movie
01:06:30.720 a hoaxed
01:06:31.580 with an
01:06:32.760 E-D on the
01:06:33.360 end, hoaxed,
01:06:34.820 which, by the
01:06:35.640 way, I've
01:06:36.000 recommended very
01:06:36.780 highly.
01:06:37.900 It's a
01:06:38.240 tremendous
01:06:38.580 movie.
01:06:39.640 And I
01:06:39.840 think we
01:06:41.060 need hoaxed
01:06:41.660 too, because
01:06:43.080 the number
01:06:43.460 of hoaxes
01:06:44.140 since that
01:06:44.960 movie, it's
01:06:47.640 just begging
01:06:48.080 for a hoax
01:06:48.720 to two, which
01:06:50.280 I hope he
01:06:50.700 makes.
01:06:55.000 All right.
01:06:59.120 Yeah, the
01:06:59.860 hoax quiz.
01:07:02.200 Yeah, similar
01:07:02.860 to the superpower
01:07:03.800 of saying, I
01:07:04.540 don't know.
01:07:05.660 You don't
01:07:06.160 want to
01:07:06.400 overdo that
01:07:07.000 one.
01:07:07.760 But there
01:07:08.140 is power in
01:07:08.920 admitting you
01:07:09.440 don't know
01:07:09.800 something.
01:07:10.460 That's
01:07:10.680 true.
01:07:15.240 Yeah, so
01:07:16.160 now we
01:07:16.460 have 16
01:07:17.380 hoaxes, and
01:07:19.680 you know, that's
01:07:20.240 an abbreviated
01:07:21.520 list.
01:07:22.660 And even
01:07:23.740 the people who
01:07:24.400 know that 12
01:07:25.320 of them are
01:07:25.840 real hoaxes,
01:07:28.820 they still act
01:07:32.060 like their
01:07:32.460 side is the
01:07:33.020 good one.
01:07:34.660 That always
01:07:35.380 amazes me.
01:07:35.940 All right.
01:07:38.300 Is there any
01:07:38.720 story I
01:07:39.120 missed today?
01:07:43.200 Any big
01:07:44.060 thing happening?
01:07:45.380 I saw Mike
01:07:45.980 Pence teasing
01:07:48.580 that, yeah,
01:07:50.880 the Susan
01:07:51.300 Sarandon
01:07:52.300 tweet.
01:07:53.200 I'm trying to
01:07:53.560 remember.
01:07:53.880 I saw it, but I
01:07:54.460 can't remember
01:07:54.840 what that was.
01:07:58.240 All right.
01:07:58.940 Where can the
01:08:01.240 hoax list be
01:08:02.160 found?
01:08:04.900 Good question.
01:08:05.880 I think if you
01:08:06.320 went to Twitter
01:08:07.200 and just searched
01:08:07.860 for it, it's
01:08:09.940 also on
01:08:10.440 locals.
01:08:11.060 I published it a
01:08:11.700 few times on
01:08:12.180 locals.
01:08:13.900 It's not a
01:08:14.540 pin tweet anymore.
01:08:15.620 I changed my
01:08:16.220 pin tweet.
01:08:20.960 There's a book
01:08:21.660 about race
01:08:22.200 hoaxes, yeah.
01:08:23.020 But I think the
01:08:24.920 race hoax is,
01:08:25.800 that's too
01:08:26.220 narrow.
01:08:29.340 Yeah, there's
01:08:30.040 an earthquake, I
01:08:31.320 guess, this
01:08:31.660 morning.
01:08:33.000 I did not
01:08:33.820 feel it.
01:08:35.260 Or yesterday?
01:08:35.960 Or yesterday?
01:08:37.120 It's a 5.1.
01:08:43.000 What jobs
01:08:43.900 would I advise a
01:08:44.680 teenager?
01:08:45.280 That's tough.
01:08:46.520 You know, I
01:08:47.000 used to advise
01:08:47.800 teenagers to go
01:08:48.820 into the arts
01:08:50.980 because that
01:08:52.520 would be the
01:08:53.020 last thing that
01:08:53.920 AI would get
01:08:54.580 to, but
01:08:56.300 that's all
01:08:57.680 wrong.
01:08:58.580 So now AI
01:08:59.160 does better
01:08:59.820 graphic art and
01:09:01.120 it does better
01:09:01.660 writing already.
01:09:03.240 It won't be long
01:09:04.080 before it does
01:09:04.580 humor better.
01:09:08.320 The expensive
01:09:09.440 toilet in San
01:09:10.260 Francisco, yeah,
01:09:11.060 that's...
01:09:13.400 So the stories
01:09:15.100 that I typically
01:09:15.840 stay away from
01:09:16.760 are the Air
01:09:18.840 Force was
01:09:20.640 charged $2
01:09:21.460 million for a
01:09:22.800 screw, right?
01:09:25.020 I'm talking
01:09:25.460 about a
01:09:25.740 physical screw,
01:09:27.200 not prostitution.
01:09:29.060 And the media
01:09:31.340 gets that story
01:09:32.000 wrong every time.
01:09:34.200 Every time.
01:09:35.200 The reason that
01:09:36.100 the one little
01:09:36.900 part cost a
01:09:38.240 million dollars
01:09:38.880 is that nobody
01:09:40.380 made that part.
01:09:41.660 They had to
01:09:42.040 build an
01:09:42.640 assembly line
01:09:43.280 just to make
01:09:43.780 the part.
01:09:44.800 And so they
01:09:45.200 charge you what
01:09:45.820 it costs.
01:09:46.460 Right, it's a
01:09:46.920 retooling cost.
01:09:47.900 And when the
01:09:48.420 media reports
01:09:49.180 that, they report
01:09:50.440 it like it's a
01:09:51.020 market price and
01:09:51.880 they just gouged.
01:09:53.580 It's never that.
01:09:55.360 Not once.
01:09:56.300 Not once has
01:09:57.100 that story been
01:09:57.700 true.
01:09:58.920 Every time you
01:09:59.840 saw that story,
01:10:00.740 and how many of
01:10:01.260 those have you
01:10:01.680 seen, everyone
01:10:02.820 was fake.
01:10:04.340 They were all
01:10:05.040 fake.
01:10:06.180 And everybody
01:10:06.900 who had an
01:10:07.260 economics degree
01:10:08.020 knew it.
01:10:09.600 Everybody watched
01:10:10.500 and was like,
01:10:11.880 no, there's a
01:10:14.640 reason it's a
01:10:15.280 million dollars.
01:10:16.740 Now, they may
01:10:17.420 have padded the
01:10:18.840 million dollars,
01:10:20.080 which is related
01:10:21.480 by a separate
01:10:22.040 point.
01:10:22.940 But the reason
01:10:23.620 it's so expensive
01:10:24.800 is because they
01:10:25.620 had to retool.
01:10:26.880 They may have
01:10:27.540 also padded
01:10:29.240 the retooling
01:10:30.480 price.
01:10:31.500 I wouldn't be
01:10:31.880 surprised.
01:10:33.100 But the big
01:10:34.480 answer is that
01:10:35.600 they had to
01:10:35.920 retool.
01:10:42.120 Explain the
01:10:42.880 $2,000 Air
01:10:43.960 Force heated
01:10:44.620 mugs easily.
01:10:46.660 There was a
01:10:47.340 special requirement.
01:10:48.720 If you look at
01:10:49.520 their $2,000
01:10:50.300 heated mugs, I
01:10:52.680 think you would
01:10:53.140 find that they
01:10:54.640 either had to
01:10:55.240 work if your
01:10:57.180 airplane is flying
01:10:58.080 upside down or
01:10:59.280 something.
01:11:00.880 There was probably
01:11:01.620 some weird
01:11:02.780 requirement that
01:11:04.040 required them to
01:11:05.140 retool something
01:11:06.040 to make them.
01:11:07.220 Something like
01:11:07.640 that.
01:11:08.900 Or maybe the
01:11:10.220 demand was low,
01:11:11.740 so the only way
01:11:12.640 to make them is
01:11:13.360 in economically.
01:11:15.460 But if you
01:11:16.140 looked into it,
01:11:16.760 you'd find there
01:11:17.260 always a
01:11:17.680 reason.
01:11:19.000 Here's what
01:11:19.520 you wouldn't
01:11:20.020 find.
01:11:21.400 Well, honestly,
01:11:22.800 it did only
01:11:24.260 cost us $10 to
01:11:25.420 make these
01:11:25.820 mugs, honestly.
01:11:27.380 But we
01:11:28.080 thought we
01:11:28.460 could get
01:11:28.740 away with
01:11:29.100 charging $2,000.
01:11:31.780 I don't
01:11:32.460 believe that's
01:11:32.920 ever happened.
01:11:35.540 And if it
01:11:36.220 has, somebody
01:11:37.600 probably got
01:11:38.520 caught and
01:11:39.040 got fired.
01:11:39.560 $10,000.
01:11:39.980 Right?
01:11:44.600 Now, the
01:11:45.280 hospital bills
01:11:46.040 are different.
01:11:47.780 I'm talking
01:11:48.500 about the
01:11:49.120 military
01:11:50.320 contracting.
01:11:52.540 Hospitals
01:11:52.940 charge whatever
01:11:54.340 they want.
01:11:55.600 Just whatever
01:11:56.040 they want.
01:11:57.020 They just make
01:11:57.520 up numbers,
01:11:58.120 whatever they
01:11:58.440 can get away
01:11:58.920 with.
01:11:59.580 Hospital prices
01:12:00.400 are just based
01:12:01.260 on what you
01:12:01.640 can get away
01:12:02.120 with.
01:12:03.200 Wouldn't you
01:12:03.740 say?
01:12:03.920 Am I right?
01:12:05.780 I mean, it's
01:12:06.160 always priced,
01:12:06.860 if they can
01:12:07.300 price it over
01:12:07.980 cost, of
01:12:08.920 course.
01:12:09.640 So that's the
01:12:10.160 minimum.
01:12:10.960 But hospitals
01:12:11.740 only look at
01:12:12.560 what they can
01:12:13.080 get away with.
01:12:14.300 It's purely,
01:12:16.240 I mean, it's
01:12:17.440 closer to a
01:12:18.320 scam than it
01:12:19.020 is an actual
01:12:19.560 business model.
01:12:24.560 Trump's
01:12:25.040 testimony to
01:12:26.160 be on tape
01:12:26.680 today.
01:12:28.040 That's going
01:12:28.560 to be interesting.
01:12:30.620 So,
01:12:31.440 how surprised
01:12:33.520 are you
01:12:34.000 that the
01:12:36.820 January 6th
01:12:37.880 thing followed
01:12:39.340 the following
01:12:39.980 arc?
01:12:41.100 It was the
01:12:41.800 primary thing
01:12:42.520 that the
01:12:42.860 Democrats
01:12:43.220 thought they
01:12:43.800 could use
01:12:44.220 against the
01:12:44.700 Republicans.
01:12:46.440 And as of
01:12:47.220 this week,
01:12:49.480 Trump is
01:12:49.980 still telling,
01:12:51.320 do a fact
01:12:52.080 check on this,
01:12:52.840 but I think
01:12:53.220 Trump told
01:12:53.880 Oz that he
01:12:55.420 needs to talk
01:12:56.080 more about
01:12:56.620 the election
01:12:57.560 being rigged
01:13:00.200 to win his
01:13:01.300 election.
01:13:02.680 Do you
01:13:03.240 believe that?
01:13:04.000 we went
01:13:08.380 all the way
01:13:08.920 from it's
01:13:09.420 the biggest
01:13:09.940 problem that
01:13:10.900 Trump has
01:13:11.460 ever been
01:13:11.880 in, to
01:13:13.440 if you
01:13:14.000 don't accept
01:13:14.660 it, his
01:13:15.320 view on
01:13:15.820 it, you
01:13:16.080 can't even
01:13:16.460 get elected.
01:13:18.200 That might
01:13:18.900 be the
01:13:19.240 biggest
01:13:19.680 switch,
01:13:21.620 maybe the
01:13:22.820 biggest
01:13:23.080 persuasion
01:13:23.940 movement we've
01:13:25.780 ever seen.
01:13:26.340 oh, it was
01:13:28.720 Masters, right,
01:13:29.660 I'm sorry.
01:13:31.280 It was
01:13:31.660 Blake Masters
01:13:32.360 who was
01:13:33.860 receiving a
01:13:34.980 phone call
01:13:35.340 from Trump,
01:13:36.540 so it was
01:13:37.040 not, it
01:13:38.800 was not
01:13:39.160 Oz.
01:13:39.980 But it's the
01:13:40.600 same point,
01:13:41.160 it doesn't
01:13:41.440 matter who it
01:13:41.800 was.
01:13:42.080 The same
01:13:42.380 point is
01:13:42.820 that Trump
01:13:44.920 can say
01:13:45.440 out loud,
01:13:46.860 you'd better
01:13:47.240 talk about
01:13:47.760 election
01:13:48.140 integrity if
01:13:48.860 you want
01:13:49.120 to win.
01:13:49.420 And I
01:13:50.640 don't think
01:13:51.000 he's wrong.
01:13:52.380 I think he's
01:13:53.260 actually right.
01:13:54.220 I mean, even
01:13:55.220 the Democrats
01:13:55.860 are talking
01:13:56.960 nonstop about
01:13:57.840 the elections
01:13:58.420 being a
01:13:59.420 rig-a-bull.
01:14:01.800 Hillary Clinton
01:14:02.720 is agreeing
01:14:03.660 with Trump
01:14:04.220 that the
01:14:04.680 elections are
01:14:05.220 not secure.
01:14:07.440 And Trump
01:14:08.400 did that.
01:14:10.220 Correct me
01:14:10.740 if I'm wrong,
01:14:11.760 but he went
01:14:12.300 all the way
01:14:12.820 from our
01:14:13.360 elections are
01:14:13.960 perfect to
01:14:15.040 not a single
01:14:15.780 person in the
01:14:16.400 country trusts
01:14:17.000 the elections.
01:14:18.220 I believe he
01:14:19.040 did that
01:14:19.400 all himself.
01:14:21.120 Right?
01:14:22.760 There's no
01:14:23.800 Democrat and
01:14:24.520 no Republican
01:14:25.060 who fully
01:14:25.620 trusts the
01:14:26.140 system.
01:14:26.940 Now, if
01:14:27.520 you do a
01:14:27.840 poll, you're
01:14:28.360 going to
01:14:28.460 get 25%
01:14:29.400 saying everything's
01:14:30.200 fine, but
01:14:31.240 that 25% is
01:14:32.280 brain-dead on
01:14:32.920 every question.
01:14:33.740 I mean, all
01:14:34.700 the thinking
01:14:35.160 people are
01:14:36.360 worried about
01:14:36.960 election integrity
01:14:37.900 and should be,
01:14:39.200 right?
01:14:39.500 Which doesn't
01:14:40.140 mean there's
01:14:40.480 a problem, but
01:14:42.080 you should be
01:14:42.460 worried about it.
01:14:44.980 Yeah, the
01:14:45.600 Dems have been
01:14:46.080 complaining for
01:14:46.680 years.
01:14:47.540 True.
01:14:47.800 Once again,
01:14:51.020 Trump has
01:14:51.460 shattered
01:14:51.780 reality.
01:14:54.180 True story.
01:14:56.000 Now, I'm
01:14:56.580 going to
01:14:56.780 throw in
01:14:57.520 two unlikely
01:15:00.720 predictions.
01:15:01.420 Are you ready?
01:15:03.420 Number one,
01:15:04.860 most of the
01:15:05.440 smart people say
01:15:06.300 we're headed for
01:15:06.960 a recession in
01:15:08.060 2023.
01:15:10.140 I'm going to
01:15:10.920 say that 2023
01:15:12.080 will be better
01:15:13.580 than we expected
01:15:14.600 economically.
01:15:15.420 I don't know
01:15:16.800 what that
01:15:17.060 means, but
01:15:18.160 I'm going to
01:15:18.500 say that the
01:15:19.240 consensus of
01:15:20.460 experts will
01:15:21.180 be way worse
01:15:22.420 than the
01:15:23.420 economy.
01:15:25.740 And I'm
01:15:26.620 going to
01:15:26.820 base it on
01:15:27.760 some sort
01:15:29.180 of a rule
01:15:30.640 of thumb
01:15:31.080 type stuff
01:15:31.700 without a lot
01:15:32.900 of analysis.
01:15:34.820 Number one,
01:15:36.820 employment
01:15:37.260 stays high.
01:15:39.480 Number two,
01:15:40.440 we've had enough
01:15:40.980 time to adjust
01:15:41.740 our supply
01:15:44.320 lines,
01:15:45.880 maybe enough.
01:15:48.280 Next,
01:15:49.060 every other
01:15:49.700 country will
01:15:50.280 be doing
01:15:50.660 worse than
01:15:51.140 us,
01:15:52.120 which I
01:15:52.900 think there's
01:15:53.640 an argument
01:15:54.060 that that
01:15:54.520 helps you
01:15:55.040 to be the
01:15:55.620 best of
01:15:56.020 the worst,
01:15:56.900 because that
01:15:57.880 keeps your
01:15:58.300 currency strong.
01:15:59.400 Am I wrong
01:15:59.940 about that?
01:16:01.180 That as long
01:16:01.880 as your
01:16:02.200 currency is
01:16:02.920 better than
01:16:03.360 all the other
01:16:03.980 places that
01:16:04.580 are worse,
01:16:05.660 you're still
01:16:06.480 okay.
01:16:07.620 It's just
01:16:08.120 that if your
01:16:08.880 currency started
01:16:09.660 looking bad
01:16:10.320 compared to
01:16:10.880 others,
01:16:11.700 well then
01:16:12.040 you're in
01:16:12.300 trouble.
01:16:13.280 So we
01:16:13.860 don't have
01:16:14.220 to be good,
01:16:15.300 we have to
01:16:15.840 be better
01:16:16.280 than other
01:16:16.720 places.
01:16:19.200 So being
01:16:19.980 better than
01:16:20.500 other places
01:16:21.100 is easier
01:16:21.720 than it's
01:16:22.100 ever been.
01:16:23.540 That's never
01:16:24.080 been easier.
01:16:26.500 And I
01:16:26.880 think the
01:16:27.200 United States
01:16:27.740 has more,
01:16:29.560 the United
01:16:30.160 States is
01:16:30.720 willing to
01:16:31.540 shoot itself
01:16:33.080 to rebuild
01:16:35.100 faster than
01:16:36.040 any other
01:16:36.560 country.
01:16:37.500 I don't know
01:16:37.980 that that's
01:16:38.380 true, by the
01:16:38.860 way.
01:16:39.580 That could
01:16:40.060 be pure
01:16:40.600 bigotry on
01:16:41.180 my part.
01:16:41.880 But it
01:16:42.240 feels like
01:16:42.700 the US
01:16:43.200 is more
01:16:44.520 able to
01:16:45.380 bury its
01:16:46.220 own mistakes.
01:16:49.900 Just say,
01:16:50.340 all right,
01:16:51.040 everything we're
01:16:51.660 doing up to
01:16:52.060 this point was
01:16:52.540 wrong, let's
01:16:53.100 do it all
01:16:53.460 different.
01:16:54.420 Rip it out.
01:16:55.480 Rip it out by
01:16:56.080 the roots.
01:16:57.100 I think we
01:16:57.680 do that faster
01:16:58.580 and better than
01:16:59.180 anybody.
01:17:00.560 So I'm going
01:17:01.240 to predict
01:17:01.620 that our
01:17:02.320 economy, except
01:17:03.520 for inflation,
01:17:05.160 I'm going to
01:17:06.040 allow that
01:17:06.480 inflation will
01:17:07.240 stay high for
01:17:07.880 a while,
01:17:08.180 because it
01:17:08.580 has to.
01:17:09.740 And I'm
01:17:10.300 going to
01:17:10.480 give you
01:17:11.020 a counter
01:17:12.260 intuitive.
01:17:13.620 When I say
01:17:14.160 inflation stays
01:17:15.380 high because
01:17:15.840 it has to,
01:17:17.080 it has to
01:17:17.720 for good and
01:17:18.540 for bad.
01:17:19.940 Like we
01:17:20.380 had to
01:17:20.840 drain, we
01:17:22.280 have to drain
01:17:23.060 some cash out
01:17:23.760 of the system,
01:17:24.340 it's the only
01:17:24.660 way to do it,
01:17:25.760 as far as I
01:17:26.520 know.
01:17:27.580 And, but as
01:17:29.820 long as
01:17:30.180 everything else
01:17:30.840 keeps humming
01:17:31.400 along, and as
01:17:32.780 long as America
01:17:33.540 is less bad
01:17:34.580 than all the
01:17:35.340 alternatives, I
01:17:36.940 feel like, I
01:17:37.840 feel like we're
01:17:38.320 going to have a
01:17:38.620 good year next
01:17:39.200 year, which
01:17:41.440 will be a
01:17:42.180 problem for
01:17:43.560 the 2024
01:17:44.200 election, because
01:17:45.980 Trump or
01:17:46.800 whoever's running
01:17:47.540 might run into
01:17:49.580 a strong
01:17:50.040 economy, a
01:17:51.140 weirdly strong
01:17:51.900 economy, and
01:17:52.600 you might be
01:17:53.040 used to
01:17:53.400 inflation by
01:17:54.000 then.
01:17:55.920 Yeah, inflation
01:17:57.060 will not be
01:17:57.760 good next year,
01:17:59.040 so let me be
01:17:59.620 clear.
01:18:00.500 Inflation will
01:18:01.280 not be solved
01:18:02.060 next year.
01:18:03.320 That will be
01:18:03.840 the problem
01:18:04.280 that stays
01:18:05.160 with us.
01:18:05.780 But if
01:18:06.200 everything else
01:18:06.840 works, it's
01:18:08.740 going to be
01:18:09.440 absorbable in
01:18:11.740 the long run.
01:18:13.360 All right?
01:18:14.780 So I'm going
01:18:15.740 to make that
01:18:16.200 prediction that
01:18:17.040 the economy will
01:18:17.800 be better than
01:18:18.700 the consensus
01:18:19.360 of experts.
01:18:20.240 I don't know
01:18:20.600 how much
01:18:20.920 better.
01:18:22.240 Here's my
01:18:22.960 second one.
01:18:25.160 Trump has
01:18:26.040 an opportunity
01:18:26.880 that only one
01:18:29.380 person has
01:18:30.060 ever had
01:18:30.720 before.
01:18:31.160 only one
01:18:34.480 person in
01:18:35.000 the history
01:18:35.360 of the
01:18:35.600 whole world
01:18:36.240 has been
01:18:37.540 in a
01:18:37.820 position that
01:18:38.700 Trump is
01:18:39.320 likely to
01:18:39.880 be in.
01:18:41.720 And it
01:18:43.120 goes like
01:18:43.600 this.
01:18:46.180 George
01:18:46.620 Washington
01:18:47.160 walked away
01:18:47.960 from power
01:18:48.660 when he
01:18:50.220 didn't need
01:18:50.700 to.
01:18:52.540 For the
01:18:53.160 good of the
01:18:53.580 country, he
01:18:54.080 said, although
01:18:54.860 I think that's
01:18:56.060 the historical
01:18:56.840 interpretation.
01:18:57.500 I suspect it
01:18:58.980 was a little
01:18:59.380 bit good for
01:18:59.940 him as
01:19:00.300 well.
01:19:01.600 But it
01:19:02.220 got interpreted
01:19:02.820 as the
01:19:03.860 greatest move
01:19:05.040 that really
01:19:06.320 defined the
01:19:06.940 whole country,
01:19:07.460 didn't it?
01:19:08.460 Pretty much
01:19:09.240 the most
01:19:09.980 fundamental
01:19:11.720 part of our
01:19:12.680 national DNA
01:19:14.440 is that
01:19:15.880 George
01:19:16.200 Washington
01:19:16.640 walked away
01:19:17.300 from power.
01:19:18.840 I would
01:19:19.500 argue that
01:19:20.020 nothing is
01:19:20.800 more central
01:19:21.480 to the
01:19:23.060 United States
01:19:23.800 success than
01:19:25.600 George
01:19:25.940 Washington
01:19:26.400 walked away
01:19:26.980 from power
01:19:27.500 and everybody
01:19:28.340 learned it.
01:19:29.800 You learned
01:19:30.280 that when
01:19:30.640 you were
01:19:31.020 whatever grade.
01:19:34.780 Trump will
01:19:36.300 be projected
01:19:37.140 to sweep
01:19:38.380 the field.
01:19:39.260 Everybody
01:19:39.540 thinks he
01:19:40.040 could get
01:19:40.360 the nomination.
01:19:41.900 And I
01:19:42.200 think any
01:19:42.620 Republican can
01:19:43.460 win now.
01:19:45.040 So if
01:19:45.880 Trump decided
01:19:46.580 not to
01:19:47.140 run, he
01:19:49.960 would be the
01:19:50.460 first president
01:19:51.260 ever who
01:19:53.200 could do a
01:19:53.700 legitimate
01:19:54.140 George
01:19:54.560 Washington.
01:19:55.020 and if
01:19:57.080 the reason
01:19:57.520 he gave
01:19:58.000 was that
01:19:58.440 he was
01:19:58.780 too
01:19:59.000 controversial
01:19:59.620 and there
01:20:00.340 are other
01:20:00.840 Republicans,
01:20:02.080 let's say,
01:20:03.040 who have
01:20:03.380 similar policies
01:20:04.340 but less
01:20:04.780 controversy,
01:20:06.340 he would
01:20:07.620 not only
01:20:08.340 redeem himself
01:20:09.940 for losing
01:20:10.460 the first
01:20:10.920 election,
01:20:12.380 but he
01:20:13.080 would pass
01:20:13.640 into legend
01:20:14.240 territory.
01:20:16.560 It would
01:20:17.180 be legend.
01:20:17.640 If he
01:20:19.140 does a
01:20:19.820 second term,
01:20:21.480 half of
01:20:21.820 the country
01:20:22.220 will think
01:20:22.680 it was the
01:20:23.100 end of the
01:20:23.440 world and
01:20:24.060 will always
01:20:24.700 imagine it
01:20:25.340 that way.
01:20:26.380 And half
01:20:26.860 will think
01:20:27.220 he did a
01:20:27.680 good job
01:20:28.000 probably.
01:20:29.640 If he
01:20:30.220 walks away
01:20:30.940 when he's
01:20:31.520 guaranteed to
01:20:32.200 win and
01:20:33.040 allows a
01:20:33.680 Republican,
01:20:34.380 let's say,
01:20:34.780 to get in
01:20:35.200 there and
01:20:35.440 just do a
01:20:35.780 good job,
01:20:36.180 could be
01:20:36.440 DeSantis,
01:20:37.160 somebody else,
01:20:39.100 he would
01:20:39.700 be legend.
01:20:41.020 He would
01:20:41.300 be legend.
01:20:41.840 And you
01:20:42.060 can never
01:20:42.480 take that
01:20:42.940 away from
01:20:43.300 him.
01:20:44.180 Even the
01:20:44.840 Democrats
01:20:45.340 would say,
01:20:46.620 oh shit,
01:20:47.640 the only
01:20:49.020 problem we
01:20:49.580 had with
01:20:49.960 him was
01:20:50.920 he was
01:20:51.740 too
01:20:52.300 provocative
01:20:52.880 and he
01:20:54.860 didn't want
01:20:56.000 the country
01:20:56.380 to go
01:20:56.720 through that
01:20:57.120 again.
01:20:58.880 Think about
01:20:59.540 it.
01:21:00.840 Now, I
01:21:01.520 don't think
01:21:02.000 he's going
01:21:02.340 to do it,
01:21:03.000 so this
01:21:03.440 is not a
01:21:04.400 prediction.
01:21:05.200 It would
01:21:05.620 seem counter
01:21:06.260 to everything
01:21:07.120 he's done.
01:21:09.020 It would
01:21:09.340 also be a
01:21:09.920 big risk
01:21:10.560 because it
01:21:12.080 would take
01:21:12.480 him out of
01:21:12.980 the game
01:21:13.420 like too
01:21:14.580 early because
01:21:15.540 he's not
01:21:15.880 done.
01:21:16.940 He's got
01:21:17.540 more to
01:21:17.860 do,
01:21:18.220 clearly.
01:21:19.020 So unless
01:21:19.380 he had
01:21:19.680 more to
01:21:20.060 do,
01:21:21.220 let's say
01:21:21.660 working on
01:21:22.600 truth social
01:21:23.440 or working
01:21:24.460 on fixing
01:21:24.960 the media,
01:21:26.600 if Trump
01:21:27.220 left and
01:21:27.740 said,
01:21:28.060 I'm going
01:21:28.220 to work
01:21:28.480 on fixing
01:21:29.060 the debate,
01:21:32.200 so I'll
01:21:32.820 host a
01:21:33.320 debate show
01:21:33.980 so you
01:21:34.340 can see
01:21:34.820 which side
01:21:36.080 works,
01:21:36.920 if Trump
01:21:37.540 hosted a
01:21:38.420 legitimate
01:21:39.020 debate
01:21:39.700 show,
01:21:41.180 he would
01:21:41.560 run the
01:21:41.940 country
01:21:42.260 without being
01:21:42.860 president.
01:21:43.240 doubt
01:21:45.820 me.
01:21:46.340 Go ahead.
01:21:47.860 Tell me
01:21:48.640 I'm wrong
01:21:49.040 about that.
01:21:50.140 You can't.
01:21:51.480 If Trump
01:21:52.240 said,
01:21:52.660 I'm not
01:21:52.900 going to
01:21:53.100 run because
01:21:53.640 I don't
01:21:54.000 think people
01:21:54.480 this age
01:21:55.020 should be
01:21:55.480 president,
01:21:59.880 I don't
01:22:04.900 think it's
01:22:05.260 going to
01:22:05.460 happen.
01:22:06.700 But if
01:22:07.440 Trump said,
01:22:08.500 I've aged
01:22:09.080 to enter the
01:22:09.620 job and I'm
01:22:10.360 a little
01:22:10.580 too provocative,
01:22:13.540 he would
01:22:13.900 be legend.
01:22:15.540 He would
01:22:16.300 ascend,
01:22:17.140 basically he
01:22:17.820 would ascend
01:22:18.220 to just
01:22:18.680 godlike
01:22:19.480 territory
01:22:20.700 and the
01:22:22.040 annals of
01:22:22.760 presidents,
01:22:23.940 in my opinion.
01:22:25.020 That would
01:22:25.360 be my
01:22:25.660 opinion.
01:22:26.680 Nothing
01:22:27.040 could be a
01:22:27.720 higher
01:22:28.100 accomplishment
01:22:29.280 than that.
01:22:32.280 And I'm
01:22:32.880 right that I'm
01:22:33.320 wrong, yeah,
01:22:33.800 he's not
01:22:34.100 going to do
01:22:34.380 it.
01:22:34.780 So the
01:22:35.460 trouble with
01:22:35.940 my
01:22:36.540 prognostication
01:22:38.400 here is
01:22:40.340 is that
01:22:40.940 everything you
01:22:42.260 like about
01:22:42.880 Trump tells
01:22:43.520 you he
01:22:43.840 won't do
01:22:44.220 that.
01:22:45.480 Am I
01:22:45.820 right?
01:22:46.680 Everything you
01:22:47.360 like about
01:22:47.820 him is he
01:22:48.180 doesn't give
01:22:48.620 up, doesn't
01:22:49.960 apologize, doesn't
01:22:51.360 quit.
01:22:52.320 Like those are
01:22:53.020 all the things
01:22:53.520 you liked.
01:22:54.880 So if he
01:22:55.460 apologized and
01:22:56.340 quit, I guess
01:22:57.000 it wouldn't be
01:22:57.380 an apology, but
01:22:58.800 it would be
01:22:59.220 accepting his
01:23:00.000 own limitations,
01:23:00.900 I guess.
01:23:01.980 If he did
01:23:02.500 that, that
01:23:04.440 would be so
01:23:04.940 on a
01:23:05.220 personality that
01:23:06.260 you can't even
01:23:08.460 imagine it
01:23:08.980 really.
01:23:10.340 I think he
01:23:11.040 needs to
01:23:11.460 win.
01:23:13.280 Now, imagine
01:23:14.780 he won with
01:23:15.580 a strong
01:23:16.040 vice
01:23:16.340 president.
01:23:18.880 Imagine he
01:23:19.600 wins with a
01:23:20.120 real strong
01:23:20.740 vice
01:23:21.020 president, and
01:23:22.860 then he
01:23:23.100 steps down in
01:23:23.840 two years
01:23:24.320 because he's
01:23:24.700 not feeling
01:23:25.160 well.
01:23:27.420 He still
01:23:29.220 keeps the
01:23:29.620 option.
01:23:31.600 But that
01:23:32.280 would not
01:23:32.660 feel as
01:23:33.360 selfless because
01:23:34.380 it would be
01:23:34.780 stepping down
01:23:35.360 and putting
01:23:35.720 your own
01:23:36.120 chosen vice
01:23:36.780 president in
01:23:37.400 charge, so
01:23:38.140 that's not
01:23:39.460 exactly George
01:23:40.400 Washington
01:23:40.780 material.
01:23:43.820 Yeah, and
01:23:44.340 I don't see
01:23:44.800 him stepping
01:23:46.280 down under
01:23:48.540 any condition.
01:23:51.260 I don't
01:23:51.680 think that
01:23:52.160 Trump would
01:23:52.600 pick Cary
01:23:53.300 Lake.
01:23:54.060 Tell me
01:23:54.360 why.
01:23:55.620 Go.
01:23:56.300 Tell me
01:23:56.740 why Trump
01:23:57.340 will not
01:23:57.920 pick Cary
01:23:58.600 Lake as a
01:23:59.800 VP.
01:24:00.620 Well, too
01:24:01.040 soon.
01:24:01.560 That's probably
01:24:02.120 all the
01:24:02.920 reason you
01:24:03.320 need.
01:24:03.780 Too strong.
01:24:04.380 You don't
01:24:06.380 want to pick
01:24:06.760 somebody that
01:24:08.240 people will
01:24:08.820 continually say,
01:24:10.100 you know,
01:24:11.380 you know,
01:24:12.380 maybe you
01:24:13.840 should make
01:24:15.260 her president.
01:24:16.260 You don't
01:24:16.740 want that
01:24:17.060 conversation to
01:24:17.740 happen at
01:24:17.980 all.
01:24:18.400 And that
01:24:18.620 didn't happen
01:24:19.060 with Pence,
01:24:19.640 did it?
01:24:20.500 Was there a
01:24:20.980 lot of
01:24:21.220 conversation
01:24:21.700 about how
01:24:22.160 Pence should
01:24:22.580 have been
01:24:22.740 the top of
01:24:23.180 the ticket?
01:24:24.120 I don't
01:24:24.760 remember hearing
01:24:25.500 that even
01:24:25.920 once.
01:24:28.540 Yeah, Pence
01:24:29.020 was perfect.
01:24:31.720 That was
01:24:32.300 just, I
01:24:33.780 can't say
01:24:34.380 enough good
01:24:35.240 things about
01:24:35.820 Mike Pence.
01:24:36.840 I don't
01:24:37.500 want him to
01:24:37.880 be president,
01:24:39.140 but my
01:24:39.600 God, do I
01:24:40.240 respect that
01:24:40.880 man for
01:24:42.120 the service
01:24:43.460 he did to
01:24:43.920 the country.
01:24:47.600 All right.
01:24:50.160 I think
01:24:50.780 we've done
01:24:51.320 everything we
01:24:51.760 need to do
01:24:52.120 today.
01:24:52.560 Let's go do
01:24:53.000 some other
01:24:53.320 things.
01:24:54.660 Am I right
01:24:55.240 that this was
01:24:55.860 the most
01:24:56.200 amazing live
01:24:56.920 stream you've
01:24:57.420 ever seen?
01:24:58.780 Did I pull
01:24:59.420 my theme
01:24:59.840 together?
01:25:01.380 Peak absurdity?
01:25:03.120 Anybody?
01:25:03.780 Did I make
01:25:05.860 my case?
01:25:06.740 I think I
01:25:07.220 did.
01:25:07.760 I think I
01:25:08.160 did.
01:25:09.100 All right.
01:25:09.840 Well, then, in
01:25:10.620 that case, we've
01:25:11.280 done what we
01:25:11.720 need to do
01:25:12.120 today, and
01:25:13.100 I'll see you
01:25:13.780 tomorrow.
01:25:14.380 Thank you.