Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1908 Scott Adams： Politics Reaches Peak Absurdity Just In Time For The Midterms. Buckle Up

00:00:00.600 Probably the best thing that's ever happened to anybody or anywhere.

00:00:04.620 And if you'd like to take it up a notch, yeah, hard to believe, but it's possible.

00:00:09.840 All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass or a tank or a chalice or a stein, a canteen

00:00:13.200 jug or a flask or a vessel of any kind.

00:00:16.340 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:18.680 I like coffee.

00:00:20.200 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day that makes everything

00:00:23.900 better.

00:00:24.320 It's cold.

00:00:25.940 The simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:00:28.640 Go.

00:00:30.000 This is the highlight of civilization.

00:00:37.000 Yeah.

00:00:37.620 Civilization, turns out the bar wasn't that high.

00:00:42.880 That was the surprising part.

00:00:46.400 Well, I'd like to start out with the most interesting story I just saw before I came on here.

00:00:52.300 At the University of Maryland, they've developed a sweatshirt that acts as an invisibility cloak

00:00:59.980 against AI.

00:01:00.940 So if you're worried that the AI will recognize you, facial recognition, they've developed

00:01:07.780 a sweatshirt that it looks like the technique has like crowd faces in it or something.

00:01:13.780 But whatever it does, it confuses the AI.

00:01:16.460 And they showed a live demonstration of the AI just became invisible, or the person became

00:01:22.280 invisible.

00:01:23.160 So they literally, literally have developed a cloak of invisibility for AI.

00:01:28.700 It's an actual thing.

00:01:29.700 It's an actual thing, and it works.

00:01:33.040 That's why I say it's about time.

00:01:35.120 It's about time.

00:01:37.220 Get that AI cloak.

00:01:38.680 Some of you may have watched my live stream yesterday afternoon, a special live stream,

00:01:45.280 in which I demonstrated how a senior citizen, me, gets a health care appointment through

00:01:52.980 their health care provider, Kaiser Permanente North.

00:01:55.940 If you think I ever got to talk to a doctor or got a doctor appointment, you'd be wrong, because

00:02:03.320 I demonstrated how difficult it would be just to work through the system of just getting

00:02:07.900 an appointment.

00:02:08.340 And it wasn't until this morning I realized that the problem is that the entire system

00:02:15.140 is designed to prevent you from getting a doctor appointment, literally, literally, not

00:02:23.560 a joke, because that's the only way they can handle it economically.

00:02:27.420 They need to take all the people who were marginal doctor requests and really should have been

00:02:32.960 handled in some other way, and they shunt them off.

00:02:36.160 So, it's all about preventing you from getting to a doctor, and the trouble is, they got a

00:02:42.100 little too good at it.

00:02:43.960 I actually can't figure out how to get to a doctor.

00:02:47.840 Now, it's not that I don't know the method.

00:02:50.860 It's that the method breaks for different reasons because of the complexity.

00:02:56.200 So, when you reach a certain level of complexity, and then you say, okay, senior citizen, go figure

00:03:02.460 out which of the five apps and, yeah, five apps, if you count websites.

00:03:08.140 So, the three websites, two apps, a phone system that gets you to a person who gets you

00:03:13.660 to a person who gets you to a person.

00:03:16.420 And I actually couldn't solve it.

00:03:19.000 And I've tried several times.

00:03:20.400 I can't get through the system to get anything done, really.

00:03:23.020 So, it's totally broken.

00:03:26.000 And I don't think it's really necessarily just a problem with the Kaiser system, which

00:03:30.820 does seem completely broken at this point.

00:03:33.120 But it seems like a problem with complexity.

00:03:37.020 I feel like everything just had a creeping complexity until the point where it's just too hard to

00:03:43.200 do anything.

00:03:44.200 Just like, and let me give you another example.

00:03:46.520 I now have, I think, five streaming services, because during the pandemic, I was, like, desperate

00:03:55.340 for any kind of entertainment at home.

00:03:57.640 So, I just signed up for five of them, thinking I'll keep the ones I like.

00:04:02.520 And so, now, instead of sitting down and watching a show for entertainment, if I've, like, allocated

00:04:08.620 an hour or something, the whole hour is just looking for a show.

00:04:12.480 Because now that there's so many of them, I can't decide that the one I've found is as

00:04:17.840 good as the one I haven't found yet.

00:04:19.680 So, I'm in a continuous state of looking for the good one, and at the end of the hour, I've

00:04:24.420 watched no TV.

00:04:26.160 And it happens every time.

00:04:28.780 Close to every time.

00:04:29.860 95% of the time.

00:04:31.580 Very rarely do I actually watch a show.

00:04:34.340 Very rarely.

00:04:35.660 The exceptions are, sometimes there'll be a game on, and I'll say, oh, there's a game,

00:04:40.240 and I'll turn it on, and then it'll go to commercial.

00:04:43.160 And I'll say, well, that would have worked, except that I can't possibly sit here for

00:04:47.860 a whole commercial.

00:04:49.300 That's not going to happen.

00:04:50.540 So, I turn it off.

00:04:52.060 Look for something else.

00:04:55.880 Anyway.

00:04:56.640 So, everything is too complicated now.

00:05:03.380 Twitter.

00:05:04.100 Let's give you a little Twitter update.

00:05:06.140 Here are some things that are rumored, but I don't know if they're true.

00:05:08.880 Rumored that the Twitter deal with Musk buying it might close on Friday.

00:05:15.140 Well, I don't know if that's true, but it looks like it's going to close.

00:05:18.240 So, that's good.

00:05:19.340 I heard a rumor that I do not have confidence in that Musk plans to be CEO of Twitter as

00:05:25.280 well.

00:05:26.620 Did anybody hear that from a credible source?

00:05:29.440 Anybody?

00:05:34.120 Yeah, I don't think that's going to happen.

00:05:37.980 I can imagine it happening temporarily, like I can imagine for a month or something, but

00:05:43.460 it doesn't really sound like the thing that's going to happen.

00:05:47.320 And then I thought to myself, if you were going to pick a CEO for Twitter, who would you pick?

00:05:55.460 Think about it.

00:05:57.040 Who would you pick that could actually, actually do it in a way that you would, Jack Dorsey,

00:06:04.680 somebody says.

00:06:05.760 You know, I think people are going to miss Jack Dorsey.

00:06:10.940 Yeah.

00:06:12.700 Me?

00:06:13.060 I would not be a good leader.

00:06:16.600 You know, I am not a good leader.

00:06:18.940 I've told you this before.

00:06:19.960 Does anybody remember why I would be a terrible manager or CEO?

00:06:24.680 And I've been in those jobs, and I'm not good at it.

00:06:28.660 Yeah, I have too much empathy.

00:06:31.160 You have to be able to abuse your employees more than they want to be abused, or you're

00:06:37.220 not a good manager.

00:06:38.000 I mean, the tension between what the employees want and what the company wants is what you're

00:06:43.720 managing.

00:06:45.060 So you're supposed to manage them to the maximum amount of unhappiness that gets you the maximum

00:06:50.100 amount of productivity.

00:06:51.840 And I can't wrap my head around that.

00:06:54.620 I'm glad that people can, because it does make the system work.

00:06:58.020 I just can't bring myself to that space.

00:07:01.040 I need a job where everybody wins as much as possible, right?

00:07:04.880 If you read a joke and you laugh, everybody wins.

00:07:12.980 So Twitter put together a number of employees.

00:07:16.540 They put together some demands, because they're worried about losing their jobs and worried

00:07:21.020 about what Twitter might become under Elon Musk.

00:07:23.960 And so they've, among other things, they've asked in their letter that Musk, quote, not

00:07:30.440 discriminate against workers on the basis of their political beliefs.

00:07:34.880 The employees of Twitter are worried that somebody would discriminate against them based

00:07:40.480 on their political beliefs.

00:07:45.880 This leads me into what I'm going to call the theme for the rest of the live stream.

00:07:53.460 Don't you love it when I have a theme?

00:07:55.240 I have a theme today.

00:07:56.720 And it was accidental.

00:07:58.540 It's an accidental theme because the news just created the theme.

00:08:02.000 And here's the theme.

00:08:04.580 We've reached peak absurdity.

00:08:08.360 And by we, I mean the Democrats.

00:08:11.360 Democrats have reached peak absurdity.

00:08:14.200 Like it couldn't be any weirder.

00:08:16.880 Nothing could be funnier or more clownish than the Twitter employees worried that somebody

00:08:23.920 would treat them as political entities instead of just, you know, citizens of America.

00:08:29.780 Huh.

00:08:32.320 I'd hate to see that happen.

00:08:36.200 So there it is.

00:08:37.240 Peak absurdity.

00:08:40.260 I know.

00:08:42.780 So who would you put in a CEO?

00:08:46.140 Let's say you're Elon Musk.

00:08:47.500 Who would you put in a CEO that would either make everybody happy or alternately everybody

00:08:53.840 unhappy?

00:08:54.360 Because you end up in the same place.

00:08:58.040 You don't want people to be too happy.

00:09:01.580 Yay.

00:09:02.640 Now, well, that's interesting.

00:09:04.460 Yay just bought Parler, so that's not going to happen.

00:09:08.280 Lex, he's busy.

00:09:11.400 All right, I'm going to throw out a name just for fun.

00:09:15.940 You ready for this?

00:09:17.220 Mike Cernovich.

00:09:17.940 The whole world would explode.

00:09:24.220 Every employee would quit.

00:09:27.700 But he is one of the few people I would trust to be balanced.

00:09:33.760 I would actually trust Cernovich not to limit people's freedom of speech.

00:09:40.820 And that's all you want.

00:09:42.440 I mean, that's all you want.

00:09:43.260 You want somebody that you would trust to not limit somebody's freedom of speech.

00:09:48.060 And then, you know, I'm sure the rest of the people could make the, you know, make it

00:09:52.240 profitable and all that stuff.

00:09:55.060 But you do need somebody you could trust on that one, that one freedom of speech thing.

00:09:59.580 And I couldn't, I couldn't immediately think of somebody else.

00:10:03.400 Because everybody else is either so overtly political, and even though Cernovich is political,

00:10:12.040 he's political in a whatever-makes-sense way, not in a, I'm a Republican-to-death way.

00:10:18.700 Nothing like that.

00:10:20.420 Mark Cuban.

00:10:22.460 Yeah, he's busy.

00:10:24.120 Yeah, I don't think Mark Cuban wants a CEO job.

00:10:28.820 Yeah.

00:10:31.060 Interesting thought experiment.

00:10:33.400 It'll be somebody you've never heard of, probably.

00:10:36.680 So, Fox News' Geraldo Rivera, he has an idea that George Floyd is the person most responsible

00:10:47.820 for the failure of the Democratic Party.

00:10:50.820 Not because of what George Floyd did, specifically, but, you know, he became the focus of attention.

00:10:58.020 And the focus on that, Geraldo wants to call as maybe the, you know, the turning point.

00:11:05.580 Now, I don't know that, that, I wouldn't go so far as to say it was the cause.

00:11:10.820 I don't, I don't think George Floyd was a cause of things that happened not directly related to

00:11:17.100 George Floyd.

00:11:17.660 But, on the other hand, I do think it marks the beginning of the top.

00:11:23.900 Don't you?

00:11:25.220 It feels like the beginning of the absurdity started then, where people had the best intentions,

00:11:33.560 I think.

00:11:34.440 I think, actually, most people had good intentions, one way or the other, about George Floyd.

00:11:38.900 They wanted the right answer, I think.

00:11:42.800 I mean, I felt like everybody just wanted the right answer in that one, and they weren't

00:11:46.580 quite sure what it would be.

00:11:48.880 But, I don't know if it was a cause.

00:11:51.680 I do think it might have been a coincidental marker of the beginning of something that got worse.

00:11:58.740 Kat Abu, Twitter user, reports that, also about Geraldo, noted that Geraldo mentioned that

00:12:07.880 cops are, quote, besieged and, quote, under attack, because more than 250 cops have been

00:12:13.400 shot this year in the line of duty.

00:12:16.140 Doesn't that seem like a lot?

00:12:20.380 Like, in my mind, if you had asked me, and I guess it's a higher number than before, but

00:12:27.200 if you asked me, in the whole country of, you know, 350 million, whatever we are now, how

00:12:32.900 many cops are shot in the line of duty per year, what would you have guessed?

00:12:38.680 Just, if you didn't know the number, what would you, you would have guessed 1,000?

00:12:43.720 Some people say 150.

00:12:45.960 Yeah, I would have guessed 50 to 100, which is, you know, outrageous.

00:12:51.740 But 250, that does sound like, and it's funny that we would even have any sense of what is

00:12:57.720 too high.

00:12:58.180 How do I even have any idea what's the right number for that in a normal world?

00:13:04.880 But somehow I still have that sense.

00:13:07.120 I have this weird sense that it's too high.

00:13:09.820 I mean, 1 would be too high, but I don't know.

00:13:13.820 It's weird that I have a sense of what's right without knowing what standard I'm comparing

00:13:17.980 it to.

00:13:19.160 That just shows the limits of our rational minds.

00:13:23.460 But as Cat Abu mentioned, when Geraldo said 250 cops have been shot in the line of duty

00:13:30.320 this year, Cat says what he didn't mention was that 804 people have been shot and killed

00:13:36.240 by police this year as well.

00:13:39.900 So, now, I didn't realize it was a competition, but apparently we're scoring it as a competition,

00:13:46.380 and it's cops 804 and citizens 250.

00:13:52.240 So, so far the cops are winning, shooting more citizens than the citizens are shooting

00:13:59.460 cops.

00:14:01.540 Now, as somebody pointed out, probably all 804 of those people who were shot by police were

00:14:07.760 criminals.

00:14:08.220 Some of them might have been a little bit innocent, maybe, maybe a few of them were innocent.

00:14:16.680 But I'm not sure you could compare the number of police officers enforcing the law killed

00:14:23.300 to the number of people breaking the law killed.

00:14:27.340 It feels like that's the wrong comparison.

00:14:30.140 Have I ever mentioned to you that the difference between people who are good at analysis versus

00:14:35.780 bad is if they know what to compare?

00:14:39.800 That's the one thing that always divides the good from good comparers to the bad comparers

00:14:44.440 is what did you compare it to?

00:14:48.440 And I wouldn't compare those two numbers.

00:14:52.280 Michael Schellenberger had a provocative tweet that involved a psychologist, Sam Vaknin, who

00:15:00.180 studies narcissism.

00:15:01.460 And he says that the potential for aggression and victimhood movements is much larger than

00:15:07.500 in the general population.

00:15:08.860 So, in other words, if you're part of a movement that says, we are victims, stop doing bad things

00:15:14.320 to us, you're more likely to turn into a violent movement than somebody who just wants different

00:15:21.080 policies, I guess.

00:15:22.700 Now, that makes sense, doesn't it?

00:15:24.000 The victims are the ones who are going to be the most energetic about changing things.

00:15:32.520 And usually you have to get violent to change anything big, unfortunately.

00:15:37.260 So, that kind of makes sense.

00:15:38.940 So, would you say by this measure that the Democrats are more likely to be violent or the Republicans?

00:15:47.400 If this hypothesis holds that the victimhood people are the more dangerous, who is more

00:15:54.980 dangerous?

00:15:57.680 Really?

00:15:59.080 Now, just check your first answer, the reflex answer.

00:16:06.400 Your first answer is the other side, right?

00:16:08.920 Whoever is the other side.

00:16:10.600 So, your first answer is definitely Democrats.

00:16:13.000 It's all the wokeness, right? 0.97

00:16:14.500 The wokeness is basically about victimhood, right? 0.86

00:16:18.880 Now, tell me what has been the main message of the Republicans lately, that all the wokeness

00:16:25.020 is making victims of the Republicans.

00:16:27.520 The Republicans have a total victimhood policy as well.

00:16:32.080 They don't express it the same way.

00:16:33.580 It's a different kind of victimhood.

00:16:35.640 But, you know, and the Republicans are saying their biggest issue is stop killing babies.

00:16:43.060 Stop killing babies, right?

00:16:45.140 Stop hunting.

00:16:47.320 I'm responsible for that being a meme.

00:16:50.300 Hashtag hunted.

00:16:51.980 Yeah, the Republicans definitely feel like victims.

00:16:54.920 Definitely.

00:16:56.460 But, is one of them more victim than the other?

00:17:02.380 What do you think?

00:17:04.200 I don't know.

00:17:04.600 So, it probably has to do with how you feel as much as what you say.

00:17:09.280 Or more, I guess.

00:17:10.120 So, I'm not sure that standard is as useful as it should be.

00:17:14.700 Because you always think the other side is the one that's complaining.

00:17:18.480 And you think your side is making good points.

00:17:21.400 But the other side is just being victimhood complainers.

00:17:24.320 Do you know what the left says about the right?

00:17:27.600 The left says about the right that the right is complaining too much and acting like victims.

00:17:31.720 And I don't know how to compare.

00:17:36.960 So, how would you compare those two things?

00:17:38.940 I don't know.

00:17:39.500 I have no idea how you'd compare those and decide who's the bigger victimhood person.

00:17:45.520 But I could tell you it's a bad idea to have victimhood as your primary brand.

00:17:50.320 So much so that I will make the following prediction.

00:17:55.720 Sort of a generic prediction.

00:17:58.260 That someday a Republican will run against victimhood, but has to be in favor of something.

00:18:04.740 So, against victimhood as an organizing principle.

00:18:08.520 Say, let's not use victimhood as the basis for all of our policies.

00:18:14.520 Instead, let's use engineered solutions that can be tested for effectiveness.

00:18:20.320 So, imagine anybody, it doesn't matter, it doesn't have to be a Republican.

00:18:24.220 But imagine anybody saying, all right, here's the deal.

00:18:28.540 I'm against victimhood as an organizing principle.

00:18:33.280 Go ahead and complain, because we'd like to hear your complaints.

00:18:37.240 So, free speech, you know, squeaky wheel, that's all good.

00:18:41.300 Complain as much as you want.

00:18:42.680 But don't use the victimhood as the basis for policy.

00:18:46.080 The victimhood is for the victims to complain and make sure we know what's happening so we can incorporate it.

00:18:52.520 But it shouldn't be the main operating principle.

00:18:55.400 The main operating principle should be what works, and do you have a way to test it first?

00:19:02.200 Now, how would that person lose an election?

00:19:06.080 Think about it.

00:19:07.080 Because you're allowing the victimhood to, you know, be fully, fully expressed.

00:19:14.360 You're not saying, stop saying that.

00:19:16.480 You're just saying, don't use that as the basis for decision making.

00:19:19.960 Your decision making should be based on what works, and that should be tested whenever you could test it small.

00:19:26.040 It just sounds like one person is a smart operator, and the other one's just a whiner.

00:19:32.840 So, your comparison, again, it's all about comparison.

00:19:37.820 The person who said you should test it and just do what works is going to win that every time,

00:19:43.000 unless they have some other gigantic negative following them around.

00:19:47.160 I say it again.

00:19:48.640 Winning a national office could not be easier.

00:19:53.060 It's just nobody's doing the obvious thing it would take to win it.

00:19:56.040 They all just revert to their team, because probably that's the only way they get funding, I guess.

00:20:04.620 So, I saw something that I read wrong.

00:20:12.460 Somebody in their profile said they were working on anti-effectives.

00:20:19.720 And I think it was in a medical sense.

00:20:23.020 There's some kind of medical term there.

00:20:26.040 And I thought it would be interesting for somebody to run against ineffectiveness.

00:20:32.620 Just say, I don't care if you're left or right.

00:20:36.260 Don't do things you know won't work.

00:20:38.860 So, I'm against ineffectiveness.

00:20:40.700 I'm neither a Republican nor a Democrat.

00:20:42.840 I'm against things that don't work.

00:20:44.540 How would the public like that?

00:20:48.400 And say, well, you can be a Democrat and you can be a Republican.

00:20:51.800 And I respect both of those choices.

00:20:54.500 But I'm only going to be for what works.

00:20:57.320 So, if we can't prove it works, I'm not for it.

00:21:00.760 It doesn't matter whose side it came from.

00:21:02.180 And you could pick a team.

00:21:05.420 You could say that you're, you know.

00:21:09.720 We'll let you go away, Robert, since you seem like sort of an asshole.

00:21:12.960 All right.

00:21:22.320 Here's another indication that we've reached peak absurdity.

00:21:26.400 Wall Street Journal had a little piece yesterday noting, this was an opinion piece, but that the ESG bubble is deflating.

00:21:33.640 Now, do you think somebody could print in the Wall Street Journal, without any correction, that the ESG bubble is deflating?

00:21:45.800 Now, I'd say that's right on schedule.

00:21:49.380 What did I promise you about ESG?

00:21:51.600 Do you remember what I promised?

00:21:54.120 I said I would destroy its reputation before the end of this year.

00:21:59.580 And now the Wall Street Journal is publishing that the ESG bubble is deflating.

00:22:07.920 There's another article that I tweeted around where somebody noted all of my ESG comics in Dilbert and said,

00:22:16.800 you're in bad shape if Dilbert is mocking your thing.

00:22:20.780 And noted BlackRock.

00:22:21.880 So, if you look at my Twitter feed, I've got a link to all of the ESG-related comics.

00:22:32.800 And if you like, they're all licensable.

00:22:37.040 You know, there's a link on there for buying it or licensing it if you want to use it for your own purposes.

00:22:42.640 If you use it for your own purposes without legally licensing it,

00:22:48.260 just make sure you're an individual, not a corporate entity, right?

00:22:51.880 If you're just doing it with your friends, that's fine.

00:22:54.460 Yeah, I don't care about copyright if you're forwarding to your friends or tweeting it,

00:23:00.900 you know, if you're just an individual.

00:23:02.560 But don't do it in a corporate way.

00:23:04.940 That would require a license.

00:23:06.580 Don't do it under a corporate entity.

00:23:10.880 So, that is my gift to you.

00:23:15.600 I hope it helps.

00:23:16.300 All right, here are the things that seem the most absurd.

00:23:20.060 So, ESG seems to be deflating.

00:23:23.380 So, I think ESG has reached peak absurdity.

00:23:26.520 True or false?

00:23:27.860 Has ESG apparently reached peak absurdity?

00:23:30.880 I say yes.

00:23:32.360 Because people now can, out loud, they can criticize it, right?

00:23:36.840 How about trans athletes?

00:23:38.640 So, there's a story, out of which Carolina?

00:23:44.460 North or south?

00:23:46.920 About a trans athlete, a volleyball player,

00:23:50.060 who is apparently so powerful that people are being injured.

00:23:57.540 Where the hell is that now?

00:23:58.640 Oh, there it is.

00:23:59.160 A North Carolina school district voted last month

00:24:02.960 to forfeit all high school volleyball games against a rival school

00:24:07.160 because the rival school has a transgender athlete on the female team 0.99

00:24:11.560 who apparently is really talented relative to the other players

00:24:17.220 and a little bit stronger than maybe they expected.

00:24:20.000 So, apparently, the trans athlete spiked the ball so hard 0.97

00:24:26.120 into the face of an opponent that the opponent had some injuries,

00:24:31.200 which could be kind of bad.

00:24:32.720 I mean, head and neck, it could be pretty bad.

00:24:35.840 It doesn't say how bad it is.

00:24:37.580 But I think this is the way this will be settled.

00:24:40.460 I think that trans athletes will be allowed to join teams.

00:24:47.860 That's the current situation, for the most part.

00:24:50.660 But that the teams who would be scheduled to play against them

00:24:54.020 will just forfeit.

00:24:57.140 And I think that that's how this will be handled.

00:25:00.760 Now, what would happen if every time somebody joined your team,

00:25:04.120 you didn't have anybody to play?

00:25:05.280 Because the teams that cancel, they canceled for safety.

00:25:11.540 And if you cancel for safety, nobody can touch you.

00:25:16.320 Nobody can touch you.

00:25:18.220 The schools that canceled for safety are completely safe

00:25:21.160 because they did it for a specific reason.

00:25:24.280 And it was based on evidence.

00:25:26.400 It was an evidence-based decision.

00:25:28.980 So I think that's the way it's going to go.

00:25:31.740 I think that the freedom of the trans athletes,

00:25:34.580 and by the way, if you're new to me,

00:25:37.120 I've always supported the trans athletes

00:25:39.060 because I think that the athletic world

00:25:43.080 needs to be reconfigured for a variety of reasons,

00:25:46.120 not just for the trans.

00:25:49.040 Sporting is an elite, highly harmful process for some people,

00:25:57.680 meaning that the superstars who were born with genetic gifts,

00:26:01.580 we treat as heroes, and they get all the girls and the boys

00:26:05.760 and everything else.

00:26:07.140 And the people who are not athletic don't get any benefits

00:26:10.160 from athletic organizations.

00:26:13.960 And probably only the top maybe 10% are good enough athletes

00:26:18.600 to be on a team and get all the goodness.

00:26:20.820 Now, if you're good enough to be on a team and actually play,

00:26:24.040 as opposed to sitting on the bench,

00:26:25.540 it's amazing.

00:26:27.800 I'm very in favor of organized sports.

00:26:33.800 See, this is where I always see this NPC comment

00:26:37.020 that Scott is not athletic,

00:26:39.960 and therefore he does not understand athleticism.

00:26:43.880 I've played every fucking sport you could imagine.

00:26:46.980 When I was a kid, I would play five sports a day,

00:26:50.140 literally five different organized sports a day.

00:26:55.100 And that was just normal.

00:26:56.760 You'd do one at lunch, one at recess, one after school,

00:27:00.320 one you'd play catch with your brother,

00:27:02.920 you'd have a pickup game.

00:27:04.440 You'd have five sports a day.

00:27:05.720 You'd do every one, right?

00:27:07.940 And that was sort of not even that untypical when I grew up.

00:27:11.520 I feel as if you might be young

00:27:13.520 if you were imagining that I was non-athletic.

00:27:17.160 Because when I grew up, there weren't any,

00:27:19.420 well, I won't say any,

00:27:21.360 90% of boys were athletic and played all the sports, typically.

00:27:27.780 But today, kids might play one sport, right?

00:27:32.440 It's really different.

00:27:33.640 But if you're looking at somebody my age

00:27:35.420 and you say that they didn't participate in sports,

00:27:37.640 you're almost always wrong.

00:27:39.700 Almost all males my age played every sport.

00:27:43.660 I'm exaggerating a little bit, but you get the idea.

00:27:45.600 So, no, that's not it.

00:27:48.220 My opinion is based on this.

00:27:50.760 I've played co-ed sports.

00:27:53.800 So, co-ed soccer and co-ed tennis,

00:27:57.380 and the co-ed soccer and the co-ed tennis

00:28:01.860 were really, really fun.

00:28:04.460 Really, really fun.

00:28:05.580 All you have to do is make sure that the tennis player

00:28:07.900 you're playing is about the same level,

00:28:10.220 or, you know, can hang with you,

00:28:12.280 and make sure that the soccer players

00:28:15.080 are not that different.

00:28:17.960 So, the female soccer players tended to be 1.00

00:28:20.180 the ones who could run.

00:28:21.980 You know, when I had a co-ed,

00:28:23.760 I had a co-ed soccer team as an adult in my 50s,

00:28:28.360 and the women that I recruited

00:28:30.620 ended up being, like, college soccer players.

00:28:34.460 They had been, and they were current marathon runners.

00:28:37.180 So, I just sort of accidentally recruited

00:28:40.240 a whole bunch of marathon-running women, 1.00

00:28:43.160 and many of them played in college.

00:28:45.220 And so, suddenly, we had this powerhouse soccer team.

00:28:49.500 You know, you couldn't have,

00:28:50.980 you had to have mixed.

00:28:52.020 You couldn't play just all men on the field.

00:28:54.080 And it was really, really fun.

00:28:56.720 Right?

00:28:57.200 So, while I do think there's a place for,

00:29:00.700 you know, every kind of combination of sports,

00:29:03.600 I think what we need more of

00:29:05.180 is the just-for-fun sports

00:29:07.640 where everybody's,

00:29:09.420 everybody just plays people

00:29:10.660 of their relevant, relative ability.

00:29:16.220 You weren't competing for scholarships, though, yes.

00:29:18.940 And the competing for scholarships

00:29:20.600 is a terrible, terrible process.

00:29:24.340 Yeah.

00:29:24.600 I think that competing for scholarships

00:29:26.320 is awesome for the 1% of people who can get them.

00:29:30.520 So, for them, it's great.

00:29:31.980 For the rest of us, it's just

00:29:33.560 we're paying money for your kid.

00:29:36.060 Why am I paying money for your kid?

00:29:39.640 Right?

00:29:40.120 If my kid isn't an athlete,

00:29:42.000 but the, you know, the college or whatever

00:29:43.880 that that kid goes to

00:29:46.060 pays a lot of money for athletics,

00:29:50.000 and maybe it doesn't, you know,

00:29:51.180 make money for them,

00:29:52.060 depending on the school,

00:29:53.780 why am I subsidizing your child?

00:29:57.020 Why is that right?

00:29:57.840 Now, I'm completely okay

00:30:00.760 with your child excelling in sports

00:30:03.380 and doing great,

00:30:04.380 but do you think I should pay for it?

00:30:06.620 That's the only question.

00:30:08.080 Like, I want your kid to have every opportunity

00:30:09.980 and do everything that they want to do.

00:30:11.620 I want just as much for your kid as you do.

00:30:14.460 I'm just asking you,

00:30:15.580 should I subsidize it?

00:30:18.020 Or should you subsidize my kid

00:30:19.880 who's got more problems

00:30:21.820 because they are not good at sports?

00:30:23.980 I know, it's a weird situation,

00:30:32.420 but we have reached peak absurdity in that.

00:30:37.020 I think we've reached peak absurdity

00:30:38.740 with both Fetterman and Biden.

00:30:41.540 We'll talk about Fetterman a little bit more.

00:30:43.480 But don't you think that the fact

00:30:44.660 that Fetterman and Biden

00:30:45.920 are both legitimate Democrat candidates,

00:30:50.200 that is peak absurdity.

00:30:52.320 And I don't mean to be unkind

00:30:54.480 for the differently abled.

00:30:56.220 It's not about that.

00:30:57.800 Anybody who wants to paint me with that brush,

00:31:01.040 good luck.

00:31:02.160 It's not about that.

00:31:04.440 If Fetterman were blind,

00:31:06.860 do you think we'd be having this conversation?

00:31:09.400 No.

00:31:10.240 If Fetterman had one leg,

00:31:12.720 do you think we'd be having this conversation?

00:31:15.080 No.

00:31:15.780 And everybody knows that.

00:31:17.720 Everybody knows that.

00:31:19.380 And watching the Democrats argue

00:31:21.260 that everything's fine

00:31:22.480 with both Biden and Fetterman,

00:31:25.380 do you feel that that is peak?

00:31:28.820 Yeah, right.

00:31:29.460 Nobody's saying that Crenshaw can't do the job.

00:31:32.240 So have we not reached peak absurdity?

00:31:37.420 Would you agree that I'm calling the top?

00:31:39.540 The fact that Fetterman and Biden

00:31:41.760 are both considered legitimate candidates,

00:31:45.660 forget about their politics.

00:31:48.220 I'm not talking about any of their policy preferences.

00:31:51.660 It's not even about that.

00:31:52.980 But the fact that we're seriously considering

00:31:54.880 both of those people,

00:31:56.200 it's insane.

00:31:58.540 All right.

00:31:59.180 And also the Ukraine situation

00:32:01.540 seems to be reaching some kind of absurdity,

00:32:04.160 like the bottomless pit.

00:32:05.680 All right, let's...

00:32:10.680 So here's some more absurdity.

00:32:16.200 Don't you think that the Democrat policies

00:32:18.620 on COVID have now reached peak absurdity?

00:32:22.820 Would you agree with that call?

00:32:26.040 The people wearing masks outdoors by themselves,

00:32:29.760 you know, the still requirements for things?

00:32:33.300 Yeah, I mean, almost everything.

00:32:36.680 Energy policy?

00:32:37.960 Energy policy clearly has reached peak absurdity.

00:32:42.340 Yeah.

00:32:43.300 And, but correct me if I'm wrong,

00:32:45.920 all of these things are sort of coincidentally reaching,

00:32:49.620 yeah, DEI, they're all reaching CRT,

00:32:52.140 they're all reaching peak absurdity

00:32:53.780 right before the midterms.

00:32:56.420 Is that a weird coincidence?

00:32:59.080 That the absurdity is happening all at the same time?

00:33:02.180 Because it, correct, am I wrong?

00:33:06.640 Give me a reasonableness check here.

00:33:09.720 Now, I'm going not on any data.

00:33:12.100 I'm going entirely upon just what it feels like.

00:33:15.680 You know, if you read the news every day.

00:33:17.340 What it feels like is all of those things

00:33:19.380 that when they first came out,

00:33:21.400 they sounded a little sketchy to you,

00:33:23.940 but you were never sure how big they would get.

00:33:26.680 Right?

00:33:27.600 You didn't know how big anything would get.

00:33:29.500 So when things were little and sort of squirrely,

00:33:32.540 you ignored them.

00:33:34.160 Well, it's squirrely.

00:33:36.040 It was kind of small.

00:33:37.520 And then it just kept getting bigger

00:33:38.780 and bigger and bigger

00:33:40.660 until the trans stuff couldn't get any more 1.00

00:33:45.360 than whatever it is.

00:33:47.560 Would you agree?

00:33:48.120 There's nothing more.

00:33:51.020 Is there?

00:33:52.100 Now, I'm not arguing what's good or bad about it.

00:33:54.080 I'm just saying we've got to the limit of more.

00:33:57.380 There's nothing more.

00:33:59.240 Right?

00:33:59.860 So that's the peak.

00:34:01.080 If you think it's absurd,

00:34:02.480 then it's peak absurdity.

00:34:04.020 If you think it's all good,

00:34:05.340 it's reached the peak.

00:34:06.520 Goodness, I guess.

00:34:07.340 That would be the other view.

00:34:10.520 All right.

00:34:11.940 Let's talk about the progressives.

00:34:15.400 There was this brief shining moment yesterday

00:34:21.160 when I think it was a tweet saying

00:34:26.440 that the progressives were going to be anti-war for Ukraine,

00:34:32.420 similar to some of the right-wing people,

00:34:35.200 and that maybe for the first time,

00:34:37.040 and this was really unusual and special,

00:34:40.360 it could be that the far left and the far right

00:34:42.440 would agree on the anti-war.

00:34:43.940 They would come together.

00:34:45.680 They would fix something that was important

00:34:47.280 through their being on the same side.

00:34:50.700 And for a while, I thought to myself,

00:34:53.120 America.

00:34:55.560 America can finally come together when it matters,

00:34:58.440 when the big things matter.

00:35:00.500 America comes together, the progressives.

00:35:03.480 And then I read an article that says

00:35:05.400 that the progressives didn't mean it,

00:35:08.020 and Representative Jayapal,

00:35:12.640 she withdrew that letter

00:35:14.260 that was the subject of all this,

00:35:16.920 and says it was released by staff without vetting.

00:35:20.460 How in the world would your staff release a letter like that

00:35:30.300 without vetting?

00:35:33.040 How in the world?

00:35:35.740 All right, you're an asshole.

00:35:37.560 If you'd waited two seconds,

00:35:38.940 you would hear me saying,

00:35:39.980 I don't believe them,

00:35:41.120 instead of saying,

00:35:42.040 Scott believed the squad.

00:35:43.440 He never learns.

00:35:44.800 He's red-pilled now.

00:35:46.200 I guess he's coming around.

00:35:47.480 How about waiting four fucking seconds

00:35:50.240 before you criticize the messenger, asshole? 0.93

00:35:54.040 Goodbye.

00:35:58.020 So let's talk about Fetterman

00:36:00.420 as we're talking about peak absurdity.

00:36:02.640 So he started off his thing by saying,

00:36:06.200 good night to everyone.

00:36:08.060 He said, good night to everyone,

00:36:09.900 when he began his debate.

00:36:13.020 Now, is that an example of someone

00:36:16.740 whose brain is not working?

00:36:19.460 Good night, everyone.

00:36:22.300 Probably not.

00:36:24.160 Probably not.

00:36:25.180 Suppose he had said,

00:36:26.380 good evening, everyone.

00:36:28.000 Good evening.

00:36:30.860 What's the difference between good night

00:36:32.660 and good evening?

00:36:35.420 It was night.

00:36:37.700 He said, good night, everybody.

00:36:40.180 Does good night mean goodbye,

00:36:42.460 or does it mean hello?

00:36:43.180 Good evening usually means hello.

00:36:47.960 Good night usually means goodbye.

00:36:52.200 But correct me if I'm wrong,

00:36:53.980 was he not working off a teleprompter?

00:36:56.880 Well, it was not his first sentence

00:36:58.660 on the teleprompter.

00:37:00.780 We don't know that, do we?

00:37:02.520 Because I've got a feeling

00:37:03.540 that the teleprompter said that.

00:37:05.100 He probably just read it.

00:37:05.960 Now, if all he did was

00:37:08.280 confuse evening with night,

00:37:11.340 not the biggest problem in the world.

00:37:14.460 So, I don't know how to judge that one,

00:37:16.040 but it happened.

00:37:17.380 However, he did,

00:37:18.700 I guess his team

00:37:19.980 accused the closed caption company

00:37:23.800 of being laggy

00:37:25.540 and maybe inaccurate,

00:37:27.080 and so it made him look bad

00:37:28.220 because he was reading things

00:37:29.420 that didn't read right.

00:37:31.300 And the company

00:37:32.820 that made that system

00:37:34.400 and tested it with him

00:37:35.900 and gave him more opportunities

00:37:38.100 to test it

00:37:38.780 to make sure it was

00:37:39.440 just what he wanted

00:37:40.380 says,

00:37:41.760 we gave you all the time

00:37:43.700 you wanted to test it,

00:37:44.900 you didn't do it,

00:37:46.620 and it's exactly

00:37:47.400 what you said was good.

00:37:48.780 And then you said

00:37:49.680 it wasn't good

00:37:50.200 after we gave it to you.

00:37:51.540 So, I think I'm going to side

00:37:53.100 with the,

00:37:54.300 probably with the company

00:37:56.480 that produced it

00:37:57.280 because they did,

00:37:58.380 I do think they gave them

00:37:59.740 a chance to test it.

00:38:00.760 John Cooper,

00:38:05.980 who's a Twitter user,

00:38:08.080 tweets that

00:38:08.720 every time MAGA

00:38:10.120 hears Fetterman stumble

00:38:11.740 over a word tonight,

00:38:13.100 they mocked him.

00:38:14.620 Every time I heard him stumble,

00:38:16.560 I felt inspired

00:38:17.560 by his selflessness

00:38:18.520 and bravery.

00:38:19.780 That's the difference

00:38:20.720 between a liberal

00:38:21.520 and an asshole, 0.92

00:38:23.120 says John Cooper.

00:38:24.820 And I thought to myself,

00:38:27.380 this has stirred

00:38:29.340 my competitive juices.

00:38:31.620 Now, I'm not proud of this,

00:38:33.980 but I'm just sort of

00:38:34.920 reflexively competitive.

00:38:37.020 Like, I can't turn it off.

00:38:38.500 It's just always there.

00:38:39.980 And when I see

00:38:40.780 a competition like this

00:38:42.200 to be,

00:38:43.640 who could be the most

00:38:44.860 peacock-like person

00:38:47.520 in public,

00:38:47.980 and who could say

00:38:48.860 the thing that makes

00:38:49.600 them look the best

00:38:50.740 while pretending

00:38:52.060 they're talking

00:38:52.600 about an issue?

00:38:53.900 So I thought,

00:38:54.960 I can top that.

00:38:57.020 I can fucking top that.

00:38:59.060 All right,

00:38:59.400 so here's the bar

00:39:00.440 he set on John.

00:39:02.640 I'm going to try

00:39:03.100 to exceed this.

00:39:03.980 He says,

00:39:04.820 every time I heard him stumble,

00:39:07.200 I felt inspired

00:39:08.240 by his selflessness

00:39:09.740 and bravery.

00:39:11.120 I'm thinking,

00:39:11.580 okay,

00:39:12.020 that's good.

00:39:12.740 That's really good.

00:39:14.660 I can beat that.

00:39:16.560 And so what I tweeted was,

00:39:18.040 I'm too competitive

00:39:19.400 to sit down

00:39:19.980 on all the peacocking today,

00:39:21.140 so I would like

00:39:21.640 to submit my entry

00:39:22.500 that proves my humanity

00:39:24.420 and awesomeness.

00:39:25.200 And this was my entry.

00:39:26.680 John Fetterman

00:39:27.360 is so brave and selfless

00:39:28.760 that I have commissioned

00:39:30.100 a statue of him

00:39:31.120 for my front yard.

00:39:33.160 If all you did

00:39:34.180 was vote for him,

00:39:35.700 I win.

00:39:37.300 I win.

00:39:39.240 Right?

00:39:41.160 I think I win.

00:39:42.940 I mean,

00:39:43.660 I might be a little biased

00:39:45.140 in the scoring,

00:39:45.960 but I think I win.

00:39:49.060 Statue beats tweet,

00:39:50.820 doesn't it?

00:39:51.840 Statue beats tweet

00:39:53.060 every time.

00:39:54.780 All right.

00:39:55.680 Declaring victory.

00:39:59.200 I saw this other

00:40:00.520 two movies

00:40:02.060 on one screen tweet

00:40:03.280 from Twitter user

00:40:05.680 PointLogic.

00:40:07.320 He's got,

00:40:07.880 his Twitter handle

00:40:08.980 is SocratesBigBird.

00:40:11.260 So this is somebody

00:40:12.200 who likes logic

00:40:13.100 and Socrates

00:40:13.980 and stuff.

00:40:15.220 And so this logical person

00:40:16.720 says,

00:40:17.760 according to the Maggats,

00:40:20.060 so I'm picking up

00:40:21.420 some cues

00:40:22.020 that it might be

00:40:22.780 a Democrat

00:40:23.860 or a left-leaning person

00:40:25.420 because he's calling

00:40:26.580 the Magga people 0.99

00:40:27.260 Maggats.

00:40:28.300 According to the Maggats,

00:40:29.800 Fox News,

00:40:30.580 and a load of other goons,

00:40:33.300 hey,

00:40:34.220 I wonder if I'm

00:40:35.280 one of those goons. 0.99

00:40:36.060 But according to the Maggats,

00:40:37.940 Fox News,

00:40:38.640 and a load of other goons,

00:40:40.400 he says their message

00:40:41.460 is that vaccines kill you,

00:40:42.940 Paxlovid kills you,

00:40:44.180 and Remdesivir kills you, 0.88

00:40:45.700 but these meds used

00:40:47.900 for other things

00:40:48.560 that are proven

00:40:49.660 ineffective for COVID,

00:40:51.340 in all caps,

00:40:52.680 are, quote,

00:40:53.580 miracles.

00:40:54.220 Ivermectin,

00:40:55.400 hydroxychloroquine,

00:40:56.760 and PointLogic asks,

00:40:59.880 why is this happening?

00:41:02.120 Why is it happening

00:41:03.140 that we've divided

00:41:04.380 into two movies

00:41:05.460 on one screen

00:41:07.140 where one says

00:41:08.180 vaccines kill you,

00:41:09.200 Paxlovid kills you,

00:41:10.160 Remdesivir kills you,

00:41:11.540 and the other says

00:41:12.360 Ivermectin

00:41:13.540 and hydroxychloroquine

00:41:15.140 work.

00:41:16.280 What's your answer

00:41:17.400 to how that happened?

00:41:19.600 How did it happen?

00:41:20.800 Well,

00:41:23.760 I have a hypothesis.

00:41:26.580 Here's my hypothesis.

00:41:28.900 The complete collapse

00:41:30.440 of experts.

00:41:32.320 Once experts

00:41:33.480 became no longer credible,

00:41:35.520 and I think that

00:41:36.060 that's a fair,

00:41:36.900 that's a fair summary

00:41:39.200 of the last few years,

00:41:40.340 wouldn't you say?

00:41:41.500 Would you all agree

00:41:42.340 with me that the experts

00:41:43.820 took a real hit

00:41:45.480 in the last two years,

00:41:46.920 like we've never seen before?

00:41:49.120 Has there ever been

00:41:50.120 a time in human history

00:41:51.460 when the experts

00:41:53.220 did so poorly

00:41:55.340 in any, you know,

00:41:56.220 one or two year period?

00:41:57.720 I mean,

00:41:57.900 it was sort of

00:41:58.300 unusually bad performance.

00:42:01.300 You know,

00:42:01.800 maybe witch doctors 0.99

00:42:02.680 or something

00:42:03.160 if you go back further.

00:42:05.240 But,

00:42:05.880 to my mind,

00:42:07.680 the complete collapse

00:42:08.820 of expert credibility

00:42:10.720 left us all on our own.

00:42:13.840 And when you're on your own

00:42:15.000 and the experts

00:42:15.720 can't help you

00:42:16.440 or you don't trust them

00:42:17.480 to help you,

00:42:18.500 you just default

00:42:19.420 to your team.

00:42:20.760 So what happened was

00:42:22.020 the experts

00:42:22.880 were the only thing

00:42:23.920 that kept us

00:42:24.560 from being complete

00:42:25.740 team players.

00:42:28.440 Like,

00:42:28.780 sometimes you'd say,

00:42:29.700 yeah,

00:42:30.340 like,

00:42:30.820 I'm a Democrat,

00:42:31.700 but I also believe

00:42:32.480 in science,

00:42:33.300 and science says

00:42:34.680 that nuclear power plants

00:42:36.400 are okay,

00:42:37.020 so even though

00:42:38.100 that's the thing

00:42:38.640 Republicans say,

00:42:40.400 you know,

00:42:40.620 the science allows me

00:42:41.740 to connect with them

00:42:43.700 in that one thing.

00:42:44.820 Right?

00:42:45.000 But now,

00:42:46.540 once the experts

00:42:47.220 are completely discredited,

00:42:48.940 which is unfortunately

00:42:49.880 where we are,

00:42:51.420 then people just

00:42:52.220 agree with their team

00:42:53.220 because it's all

00:42:53.720 they have left.

00:42:55.040 Well,

00:42:55.400 might as well agree

00:42:56.380 with my team.

00:42:57.360 Now,

00:42:57.680 nobody thinks it

00:42:58.700 through that way.

00:42:59.600 I'm not saying

00:43:00.060 that's a conscious decision,

00:43:01.520 but it's the default.

00:43:03.240 If you can't trust

00:43:04.640 the experts,

00:43:06.280 you trust your team.

00:43:07.580 That may be

00:43:08.380 a terrible idea,

00:43:09.840 but it's just

00:43:10.480 what happens.

00:43:11.020 I saw an expert

00:43:16.500 on AI,

00:43:17.420 Ethan Mollick

00:43:18.380 did a series of tweets,

00:43:19.740 which I retweeted,

00:43:20.900 and it's definitely

00:43:22.060 worth reading.

00:43:23.060 This is one of those threads

00:43:24.380 where if you read

00:43:25.780 this thread,

00:43:26.280 you will just see

00:43:26.780 the future.

00:43:28.400 And I promise you,

00:43:29.440 you will.

00:43:30.300 Like,

00:43:30.600 you will see the future

00:43:31.660 more accurately

00:43:33.200 than the people

00:43:33.880 who did not read

00:43:34.800 the tweet.

00:43:35.860 And basically,

00:43:36.620 the gist of it is

00:43:37.480 that the public

00:43:38.900 doesn't have any idea

00:43:40.260 how fast AI

00:43:41.400 is coming

00:43:42.060 right now,

00:43:43.780 specifically for,

00:43:45.780 he was talking about

00:43:46.760 the creative jobs,

00:43:48.420 such as writing.

00:43:52.140 And he used

00:43:53.060 this analogy,

00:43:53.880 which I approve

00:43:54.880 of in this case.

00:43:56.420 He said that

00:43:57.120 people probably

00:43:58.140 are imagining

00:43:58.780 that the pace

00:43:59.540 of AI

00:44:00.100 is similar

00:44:00.780 to the pace

00:44:01.400 of microchips,

00:44:03.020 where it doubles

00:44:03.760 every X period,

00:44:05.220 right?

00:44:05.860 So microchips

00:44:06.700 we're used to,

00:44:08.180 we're sort of

00:44:09.420 acclimated

00:44:10.560 to a certain level

00:44:11.600 of improvement

00:44:12.320 in technology

00:44:13.300 that crosses

00:44:14.600 all technology.

00:44:16.220 Am I right?

00:44:17.780 Everything that

00:44:18.760 is from

00:44:20.420 social media

00:44:21.400 to microchips

00:44:22.720 to everything else,

00:44:24.960 every year

00:44:25.660 is better.

00:44:27.140 It could be

00:44:27.800 significantly better,

00:44:28.940 like 20% better,

00:44:31.000 right?

00:44:31.340 But 20%

00:44:32.280 is nothing

00:44:33.440 like what

00:44:34.520 you're going to see,

00:44:35.200 what we're already

00:44:35.900 seeing in AI.

00:44:37.460 AI is going

00:44:38.520 in the hockey stick.

00:44:39.500 It's already

00:44:39.880 in the hockey stick.

00:44:41.460 So AI

00:44:42.120 is not waiting

00:44:43.240 for the hockey stick.

00:44:45.660 It's in the hockey stick.

00:44:47.320 It's in the

00:44:48.000 total upswing.

00:44:49.920 This is a short path

00:44:51.720 to the singularity.

00:44:54.260 Like,

00:44:54.640 if you were wondering

00:44:55.520 when the singularity

00:44:56.540 was going to happen,

00:44:57.660 the one thing

00:44:58.620 you had to know

00:44:59.320 is it was going

00:45:00.400 to be nothing happening,

00:45:01.940 nothing happening,

00:45:02.580 nothing happening,

00:45:03.720 nothing happening.

00:45:04.540 It seems like

00:45:04.960 a little is happening,

00:45:05.560 but barely nothing.

00:45:06.900 Barely nothing,

00:45:07.720 barely nothing,

00:45:08.360 barely nothing,

00:45:09.020 the whole fucking

00:45:09.500 world changes.

00:45:11.420 All right,

00:45:11.640 if you don't know

00:45:12.360 that's coming,

00:45:13.980 you better get ready

00:45:15.100 for it,

00:45:15.520 and that's what

00:45:15.960 this will tell you.

00:45:18.020 I've said before

00:45:19.300 that predicting

00:45:20.640 the future

00:45:21.340 three years out

00:45:23.260 is now impossible,

00:45:25.400 and that's never

00:45:26.300 been true before,

00:45:27.700 even when you

00:45:28.660 could be surprised

00:45:29.360 by wars and shortages

00:45:30.540 and stuff.

00:45:31.600 Even with a war, 0.62

00:45:32.680 it still looked like

00:45:34.680 a continuation

00:45:35.340 of the world

00:45:36.140 you knew,

00:45:36.820 there just happened

00:45:37.360 to be war,

00:45:38.460 right?

00:45:39.440 Three years from now,

00:45:41.260 nothing will be familiar.

00:45:44.180 AI will change everything,

00:45:45.700 and there's nothing

00:45:46.540 that can stop it,

00:45:48.120 and it might be

00:45:48.780 in one year.

00:45:50.220 I mean,

00:45:50.660 it's probably only

00:45:51.560 the commercialization

00:45:52.740 of it that makes

00:45:53.460 it three years.

00:45:55.060 Probably in one year,

00:45:56.360 it will already write

00:45:57.260 better than all humans

00:45:58.540 in one year.

00:46:00.740 AI will write

00:46:03.520 everything we want

00:46:05.500 written,

00:46:06.140 because it will do

00:46:07.300 it better and faster.

00:46:08.700 You will still be

00:46:09.560 able to write,

00:46:10.300 because you learned

00:46:10.880 how,

00:46:11.720 you just won't

00:46:12.300 have a reason for it.

00:46:14.020 There will never

00:46:14.600 be a reason to write

00:46:15.600 after about a year.

00:46:17.300 Now think about that.

00:46:18.900 Just think about

00:46:19.640 that one thing.

00:46:22.040 Writing

00:46:22.480 could be obsolete

00:46:24.540 in a year.

00:46:26.500 That's a real thing.

00:46:28.680 Writing

00:46:29.120 by humans

00:46:30.880 could be obsolete.

00:46:33.140 Now it might turn

00:46:33.940 into some version

00:46:34.820 of editing.

00:46:36.380 So here's how

00:46:37.060 I imagine

00:46:37.580 I would write

00:46:38.160 a Dilbert comic

00:46:39.280 in a year from now.

00:46:41.600 So roughly

00:46:42.120 one to three years

00:46:43.640 from now,

00:46:43.980 this is how

00:46:44.440 I would write

00:46:44.920 a Dilbert comic.

00:46:46.420 I'd say,

00:46:47.240 all right,

00:46:47.520 Dilbert's talking

00:46:48.100 to his boss

00:46:48.760 that are in the office,

00:46:50.200 show me a new angle

00:46:51.200 that we haven't

00:46:52.040 seen before.

00:46:53.540 The first panel,

00:46:54.720 Dilbert says,

00:46:55.780 blah, blah, blah.

00:46:56.960 Second panel,

00:46:57.720 the boss responds,

00:46:58.940 blah, blah, blah.

00:46:59.800 And then the third panel,

00:47:01.260 add something funny.

00:47:03.140 Put a punchline there.

00:47:05.180 And then I'm going

00:47:06.040 to walk away.

00:47:08.380 And that's going

00:47:09.180 to be my entire job

00:47:10.120 that day.

00:47:13.000 In the future,

00:47:14.320 the only asset

00:47:15.280 I will own

00:47:16.080 for Dilbert

00:47:16.600 is the rights

00:47:17.640 to the IP.

00:47:19.220 I will no longer

00:47:20.280 be the only person

00:47:21.100 who can make it.

00:47:22.980 Basically,

00:47:23.660 you will be able

00:47:24.260 to make your own

00:47:25.120 Dilbert comics

00:47:25.780 at home

00:47:26.140 just by speaking

00:47:27.040 to your AI.

00:47:28.460 Hey,

00:47:28.940 make some Dilbert comics

00:47:29.900 for me.

00:47:31.220 Bop, bop, bop, bop, bop, bop.

00:47:32.420 No, no,

00:47:33.100 make some Dilbert comics

00:47:34.060 on me just on this topic.

00:47:35.960 Bop, bop, bop, bop, bop, bop, bop, bop.

00:47:37.640 It'll be done.

00:47:39.140 That's probably

00:47:39.700 one year away.

00:47:41.520 Now,

00:47:41.980 if you didn't know

00:47:42.540 that was one year away,

00:47:44.260 you really don't know

00:47:45.260 what's happening.

00:47:46.420 It's coming.

00:47:47.520 And it's not just art

00:47:48.840 and writing

00:47:49.360 that will change.

00:47:50.760 It's everything.

00:47:51.560 It's everything.

00:47:55.040 The entire economy.

00:47:57.440 Wars.

00:47:58.840 Everything.

00:48:00.220 The three years.

00:48:02.100 It will be exciting.

00:48:03.420 I hope it will be good.

00:48:07.300 Here's some more absurdities.

00:48:09.820 The Hunter laptop,

00:48:11.220 Hunter's activities

00:48:14.020 when his father

00:48:15.720 was vice president

00:48:16.540 and even when he was

00:48:17.580 between jobs,

00:48:18.800 still sort of amazingly

00:48:21.380 being ignored

00:48:22.220 by one half

00:48:23.880 of the media.

00:48:27.240 All right.

00:48:28.040 Amazing.

00:48:29.380 Absurdities everywhere.

00:48:35.320 The whole Fetterman

00:48:36.840 versus Oz thing.

00:48:38.500 If you're making fun

00:48:39.580 of conservatives

00:48:40.600 for their,

00:48:43.300 let's say,

00:48:44.360 their ableism,

00:48:46.080 is that what it's called?

00:48:46.680 If you're mocking Fetterman,

00:48:48.800 because you say

00:48:49.920 that it is

00:48:50.440 maybe temporary,

00:48:52.520 disability is

00:48:54.020 preventing him

00:48:54.720 from doing the job,

00:48:55.580 then you are

00:48:56.100 against disabled people,

00:48:59.060 to which I say,

00:49:01.320 there's still

00:49:02.220 a Special Olympics,

00:49:03.300 right?

00:49:05.660 Has anybody pushed

00:49:06.740 for the Special Olympics

00:49:07.960 people to just be

00:49:09.000 thrown in with

00:49:09.640 the regular Olympics

00:49:10.540 people?

00:49:11.540 Is that happening?

00:49:12.640 Or do people

00:49:13.340 understand

00:49:14.000 that your ability

00:49:15.980 affects,

00:49:16.760 and I know

00:49:18.100 I'm going to

00:49:18.340 go out on a limb

00:49:18.840 here.

00:49:19.880 This is not

00:49:20.820 widely understood

00:49:21.900 and I realize

00:49:22.740 it's provocative,

00:49:23.640 but it's possible

00:49:25.200 that your ability

00:49:26.920 has some kind

00:49:29.880 of a correlation,

00:49:31.180 maybe a causation,

00:49:32.240 to your ability.

00:49:34.540 Now,

00:49:35.060 I realize we haven't

00:49:36.020 connected those

00:49:37.020 traditionally

00:49:37.660 because a lot

00:49:38.900 of times people

00:49:39.420 think your ability

00:49:40.340 has nothing to do

00:49:42.120 with your ability.

00:49:43.340 and with Fetterman

00:49:45.660 we've decided

00:49:46.340 to disconnect those.

00:49:48.620 So,

00:49:49.000 his ability,

00:49:49.920 we can't talk

00:49:50.640 about how his

00:49:51.960 ability is related

00:49:53.060 to his ability

00:49:54.220 to do the job.

00:49:56.340 Now,

00:49:56.680 if his ability

00:49:57.660 was unrelated

00:49:59.500 to his ability

00:50:00.540 to do the specific

00:50:02.520 job,

00:50:03.060 then I would say

00:50:03.580 that would be

00:50:04.080 unfair.

00:50:06.220 Same with the

00:50:07.360 Special Olympics.

00:50:08.400 If the Special

00:50:09.200 Olympics participants,

00:50:10.560 if their ability

00:50:12.940 was equal

00:50:14.600 to the ability

00:50:15.600 of the regular

00:50:17.940 Olympics,

00:50:19.200 I would be in

00:50:19.960 favor of them

00:50:20.380 playing together.

00:50:23.340 All right.

00:50:25.940 And,

00:50:27.540 to me,

00:50:28.180 it's just amazing

00:50:29.220 that this is

00:50:29.840 even a conversation.

00:50:30.720 Fetterman,

00:50:31.140 I guess,

00:50:31.920 came out with

00:50:32.380 saying he fully

00:50:33.240 supports fracking.

00:50:34.320 He loves fracking.

00:50:35.880 He's fracking 0.53

00:50:36.840 in love with fracking.

00:50:37.940 Did fracking,

00:50:43.140 didn't we always

00:50:43.980 think he was

00:50:44.500 against it?

00:50:45.920 He's just lying,

00:50:47.100 right?

00:50:47.980 Isn't there a video

00:50:49.000 of him saying

00:50:50.120 the opposite?

00:50:51.320 Or am I

00:50:52.080 imagining that

00:50:52.800 because I got

00:50:53.920 fooled by the

00:50:54.940 media on one

00:50:56.260 side?

00:50:58.920 Yeah.

00:50:59.600 So,

00:50:59.860 he's just lying,

00:51:00.560 right?

00:51:01.480 And,

00:51:02.080 apparently,

00:51:02.620 that works.

00:51:04.280 How many Democrats

00:51:05.720 do you think

00:51:06.520 know he's lying

00:51:07.780 about fracking?

00:51:09.480 How many Democrats

00:51:10.360 do you think

00:51:10.820 know he's lying?

00:51:14.600 25%.

00:51:15.080 Yeah.

00:51:16.580 It works because

00:51:17.360 they don't read

00:51:17.940 the other media.

00:51:19.680 So,

00:51:19.940 a Democrat,

00:51:21.180 let me,

00:51:21.980 let me give you

00:51:23.520 this as a model.

00:51:24.980 A Democrat 0.68

00:51:25.500 can make any lie

00:51:27.000 and be comfortable

00:51:29.300 that their voters

00:51:30.880 won't see the truth.

00:51:32.460 Would you say

00:51:32.920 that's true?

00:51:33.320 Because the left

00:51:35.080 does not read

00:51:36.240 Fox News website

00:51:38.280 at all.

00:51:40.040 But the right

00:51:41.100 tends to see

00:51:42.640 both arguments

00:51:43.320 because the

00:51:44.540 mainstream argument

00:51:45.480 is mainstream.

00:51:46.600 So,

00:51:46.920 they're more likely

00:51:47.540 to see it.

00:51:49.340 Yeah.

00:51:49.580 It's not really

00:51:50.140 a fair fight.

00:51:51.200 There's one side

00:51:51.960 that knows both sides.

00:51:53.200 We saw that

00:51:54.100 clearly,

00:51:55.780 and we already

00:51:56.340 talked about this,

00:51:57.160 the MSNBC

00:51:58.240 interview,

00:52:00.740 I guess you'd call it,

00:52:01.360 with a bunch

00:52:02.040 of Trump supporters.

00:52:03.600 And when you saw

00:52:04.160 that the ordinary

00:52:04.960 Trump supporter,

00:52:05.880 just a citizen,

00:52:07.240 knew more than

00:52:08.060 the professional

00:52:08.980 political reporter

00:52:10.800 and demonstrated it

00:52:12.700 by correcting her

00:52:13.900 twice on facts.

00:52:16.800 And that was

00:52:18.480 the perfect example

00:52:19.600 of how the right

00:52:20.780 sees both arguments

00:52:21.900 and the left

00:52:23.080 only sees one side.

00:52:24.540 These are not

00:52:25.180 similar things.

00:52:27.220 They're not even

00:52:27.800 a little bit similar.

00:52:28.520 All right.

00:52:32.740 Biden said

00:52:34.600 in public,

00:52:35.880 quote,

00:52:36.160 almost everyone

00:52:36.860 who will die

00:52:38.220 from COVID

00:52:38.840 this year

00:52:39.380 will not be

00:52:40.560 up to date

00:52:41.060 on their shots.

00:52:43.960 Put on your

00:52:44.800 analytical caps.

00:52:47.040 Give me

00:52:47.440 two possible

00:52:48.320 reasons why

00:52:49.060 this could be

00:52:49.920 a true statement.

00:52:51.080 Give me two.

00:52:52.200 One of them

00:52:52.840 would be

00:52:53.360 vaccinations

00:52:54.040 protect you.

00:52:55.260 All right.

00:52:55.480 But what's

00:52:55.800 the other

00:52:56.140 possible explanation

00:52:57.960 for why this

00:52:58.580 might actually

00:52:59.080 be true?

00:53:00.020 Almost everyone

00:53:00.860 who dies

00:53:01.300 from COVID

00:53:01.840 will not

00:53:03.120 be up to date

00:53:03.740 on their shots.

00:53:05.720 Could it be

00:53:06.540 because most

00:53:07.240 people will

00:53:07.760 not be up to date?

00:53:09.920 So most people

00:53:11.180 in the world

00:53:12.400 will not be

00:53:13.020 up to date.

00:53:15.380 Therefore,

00:53:16.180 doesn't it kind

00:53:16.700 of make sense

00:53:17.200 that most people

00:53:17.960 who are also

00:53:18.720 coincidentally dying

00:53:20.040 would be dying

00:53:21.840 for reasons

00:53:23.280 unrelated to COVID?

00:53:25.860 Unrelated to COVID,

00:53:26.820 it's amazing

00:53:31.520 that Biden

00:53:31.920 can say that

00:53:32.460 kind of stuff

00:53:32.960 out loud.

00:53:34.540 But,

00:53:35.480 at the same

00:53:36.520 time,

00:53:37.960 do you want

00:53:38.380 to get into

00:53:38.820 real cancellation

00:53:39.740 territory here?

00:53:41.440 Who's with me?

00:53:43.280 Let's fly

00:53:44.000 close to the sun.

00:53:46.560 Ready?

00:53:48.480 Sun?

00:53:50.000 Scott?

00:53:51.300 Let's do it.

00:53:52.220 There's a

00:53:53.920 Twitter user

00:53:54.800 I've mentioned

00:53:55.360 before called

00:53:56.240 Ethical Skeptic.

00:53:57.600 How many of you

00:53:58.220 are familiar

00:53:58.700 with the Twitter

00:53:59.400 account of

00:54:00.020 Ethical Skeptic?

00:54:04.240 Many of you

00:54:04.980 on Twitter

00:54:05.360 is very well

00:54:06.820 exposed.

00:54:10.380 And this is

00:54:11.760 what the

00:54:12.060 Ethical Skeptic

00:54:14.500 says.

00:54:15.120 This is not

00:54:15.940 what I say.

00:54:17.140 All right?

00:54:17.800 So I'm reporting

00:54:18.660 what somebody said.

00:54:19.760 I am not endorsing it.

00:54:21.020 And therefore,

00:54:21.920 I cannot be

00:54:22.640 canceled.

00:54:24.280 Do we all

00:54:24.980 agree on that?

00:54:25.680 I think we do.

00:54:27.460 So Ethical Skeptic

00:54:28.440 says the same 0.76

00:54:29.140 thing which I do

00:54:29.820 not endorse,

00:54:30.600 nor do I

00:54:31.400 rebuke.

00:54:32.940 So you will

00:54:33.640 see no opinion

00:54:34.380 from me

00:54:34.880 yet.

00:54:36.720 He says,

00:54:37.520 the latest

00:54:37.820 variant to come

00:54:38.560 on the block,

00:54:39.720 what they are

00:54:40.260 calling BQ,

00:54:41.860 is seeking out

00:54:42.740 vaccinated

00:54:43.400 individuals

00:54:44.700 three to one

00:54:45.580 over unvaccinated.

00:54:47.280 It has a

00:54:47.820 particular taste

00:54:48.740 for those who

00:54:49.420 are recently

00:54:49.920 vaccinated as well.

00:54:51.020 So he's

00:54:52.980 famous,

00:54:53.720 this user,

00:54:55.500 Twitter user,

00:54:56.320 for being an

00:54:57.640 expert on data

00:54:58.400 and for using

00:54:59.680 public data

00:55:00.460 sources and

00:55:02.220 putting them

00:55:02.900 together in

00:55:03.420 ways that

00:55:04.000 show different

00:55:05.620 possible conclusions

00:55:06.700 than the

00:55:07.260 mainstream ones.

00:55:08.640 I don't know

00:55:09.420 if anything he

00:55:10.320 does is real.

00:55:12.460 Let me say it

00:55:13.800 as quickly,

00:55:14.680 as clearly as

00:55:15.660 I can.

00:55:16.800 I cannot

00:55:17.400 judge whether

00:55:18.480 the ethical

00:55:19.140 skeptic is a

00:55:20.160 genius who's

00:55:21.800 doing a service

00:55:22.560 for the country

00:55:23.220 because many

00:55:25.080 people are

00:55:25.840 looking at it

00:55:26.300 that way.

00:55:26.640 And it might

00:55:27.220 be.

00:55:27.680 It could be.

00:55:28.920 Or if it's

00:55:29.920 somebody who

00:55:30.380 doesn't know

00:55:30.740 what they're

00:55:30.980 talking about

00:55:31.620 but I can't

00:55:32.360 tell the

00:55:32.640 difference.

00:55:33.860 I have no

00:55:34.740 idea.

00:55:35.900 I have no

00:55:36.800 opinion on

00:55:37.480 whether this

00:55:37.980 is valid or

00:55:39.100 invalid,

00:55:40.220 smart or not

00:55:40.940 smart,

00:55:42.140 true or not

00:55:42.740 true.

00:55:43.040 I have no

00:55:43.400 idea.

00:55:43.900 I really don't.

00:55:45.280 I'm not kidding.

00:55:46.820 I'm not joking.

00:55:47.680 I really

00:55:48.160 can't tell.

00:55:49.060 And it's

00:55:49.340 one of my

00:55:50.040 mysteries I'm

00:55:51.180 trying to

00:55:51.520 solve.

00:55:52.560 But is

00:55:54.940 there any

00:55:55.360 other reason?

00:55:57.400 First of all,

00:55:57.980 do you think

00:55:58.260 it's true as

00:56:00.400 a fact,

00:56:01.060 fact check

00:56:01.680 this,

00:56:02.280 do you think

00:56:02.580 it's true that

00:56:03.280 the recently

00:56:04.520 vaccinated are

00:56:06.360 more likely to

00:56:07.320 get COVID?

00:56:09.360 Because remember

00:56:10.080 the vaccinations

00:56:11.400 don't prevent you

00:56:13.400 from getting it.

00:56:14.140 But what

00:56:15.520 would the

00:56:16.320 recently

00:56:16.740 vaccinated have

00:56:17.700 in common?

00:56:19.620 What would

00:56:19.980 the recently

00:56:20.660 vaccinated have

00:56:21.720 in common?

00:56:25.200 Wouldn't

00:56:25.680 they, well

00:56:26.420 Democrats,

00:56:27.120 yes, but

00:56:28.040 wouldn't they

00:56:28.520 also believe

00:56:29.420 that they

00:56:30.320 needed the

00:56:30.840 booster?

00:56:32.820 Wouldn't it

00:56:33.460 be people who

00:56:34.100 self-assessed,

00:56:35.120 and probably

00:56:35.500 their doctor as

00:56:36.200 well, said,

00:56:37.200 oh, you're

00:56:37.720 in a situation

00:56:38.780 where you're

00:56:39.300 either going

00:56:39.680 to be around

00:56:40.160 a lot of

00:56:40.540 people,

00:56:41.620 you're either

00:56:42.040 around a lot

00:56:42.680 of people,

00:56:43.000 or you

00:56:44.100 might be

00:56:44.440 extra weak?

00:56:46.540 So, it

00:56:48.720 may be true

00:56:49.560 that the

00:56:50.260 vaccinated are

00:56:51.160 more likely

00:56:51.720 to get

00:56:52.380 infected,

00:56:54.020 but there's

00:56:54.900 nothing about

00:56:55.500 the vaccinated

00:56:56.120 that is common

00:56:57.760 to the public,

00:56:59.360 or let me say

00:57:00.440 that clear.

00:57:01.580 The people who

00:57:02.340 are recently

00:57:03.580 boosted are a

00:57:04.920 special group

00:57:05.700 of people,

00:57:06.720 and they're

00:57:07.060 special in a

00:57:07.740 variety of

00:57:08.380 ways, so it

00:57:09.780 doesn't tell you

00:57:10.360 anything about

00:57:10.840 the public at

00:57:11.500 large.

00:57:13.000 So, is

00:57:16.040 ethical

00:57:16.540 skeptical

00:57:17.220 showing us

00:57:18.220 something that

00:57:18.760 is of the

00:57:19.960 greatest national

00:57:20.900 importance, and

00:57:22.280 we're all

00:57:22.620 missing it, or

00:57:24.680 is it as

00:57:25.400 simple as the

00:57:26.900 population of

00:57:27.740 people who

00:57:28.160 got boosted is

00:57:29.280 not like the

00:57:29.800 rest of us?

00:57:31.520 I don't know.

00:57:33.080 I don't know.

00:57:33.720 And I would

00:57:34.440 guess that if

00:57:35.940 ethical skeptic

00:57:37.460 were here, he

00:57:38.760 would say,

00:57:39.360 Scott, Scott,

00:57:40.260 here's why what

00:57:41.220 you're saying is

00:57:41.720 wrong, and it

00:57:42.320 would probably

00:57:42.560 make sense.

00:57:43.700 Like, I'm not

00:57:44.380 selling what my

00:57:45.660 opinion is right.

00:57:47.520 It's just a

00:57:48.140 mystery to me.

00:57:48.680 I don't know.

00:57:51.040 Anyway, keep an

00:57:51.980 eye on that.

00:57:55.500 I heard a

00:57:56.680 theory about

00:57:58.220 China, two 0.86

00:58:00.620 theories about

00:58:01.200 China that 0.98

00:58:01.820 spell its

00:58:02.520 doom, and

00:58:03.780 maybe the

00:58:04.560 United States

00:58:05.100 doomed, too,

00:58:05.760 but let's talk

00:58:06.460 about China.

00:58:06.900 one of them

00:58:08.660 is that they're

00:58:09.860 already lying

00:58:10.820 massively about

00:58:11.760 their population

00:58:12.600 decrease, and

00:58:14.160 that China's 0.96

00:58:14.920 population is

00:58:15.940 substantially

00:58:16.620 smaller than

00:58:18.200 what you thought

00:58:18.740 it was, because

00:58:19.740 they've already

00:58:20.420 constrained their

00:58:21.760 population.

00:58:23.460 And that when

00:58:24.780 you do that, you

00:58:25.380 end up with way

00:58:26.060 too many retired

00:58:27.340 people compared to

00:58:28.220 workers, and it's

00:58:29.560 just basically a

00:58:30.360 time bomb, and

00:58:31.800 there's nothing they

00:58:32.440 can do about it.

00:58:33.120 So basically, they

00:58:34.680 would be doomed by

00:58:35.760 demographics.

00:58:36.900 That's one theory of

00:58:38.080 why China's doomed.

00:58:39.620 Number two, there's

00:58:43.300 a theory that the

00:58:44.380 main thing that

00:58:45.960 makes any country

00:58:46.880 look successful is

00:58:48.960 that they're

00:58:49.500 overspending on

00:58:50.460 infrastructure because

00:58:51.520 they need it.

00:58:53.280 And that when

00:58:54.220 Japan overspent on

00:58:56.280 infrastructure, it

00:58:57.320 looked like they

00:58:57.780 were booming and

00:58:58.480 they were going to

00:58:58.860 eat our lunch, but

00:59:00.320 when they stopped

00:59:00.920 spending on

00:59:01.460 infrastructure and

00:59:02.360 got down to

00:59:03.060 a normal level,

00:59:04.520 they had no GDP

00:59:05.680 growth for years

00:59:06.820 and years and

00:59:07.200 years.

00:59:08.400 And that the

00:59:09.260 United States

00:59:09.880 might suffer a

00:59:11.040 similar thing where

00:59:11.960 if government

00:59:13.240 stops spending

00:59:14.040 massively, as

00:59:14.960 has been recently,

00:59:16.180 then maybe we

00:59:16.800 don't have any

00:59:17.280 real growth, like

00:59:18.860 it's all been

00:59:19.340 government.

00:59:20.800 So by that

00:59:21.860 argument, when

00:59:23.380 China reaches its

00:59:24.400 limit of, not

00:59:26.700 limit, but when

00:59:27.400 it does most of

00:59:28.200 its infrastructure

00:59:28.920 projects, and

00:59:29.980 then it slows

00:59:30.600 down because it's

00:59:31.580 done most of what

00:59:32.640 it needs to

00:59:33.040 do, it's just

00:59:33.960 in a new

00:59:35.080 stuff mode, that

00:59:36.260 there won't be

00:59:36.660 enough government

00:59:37.240 spending in

00:59:37.880 China to keep 0.99

00:59:39.460 the GDP

00:59:40.160 humming, and

00:59:42.100 then it all

00:59:42.660 falls apart.

00:59:44.880 What do you

00:59:45.480 think?

00:59:46.480 Well, in

00:59:47.280 economics, there's

00:59:48.100 one rule that I

00:59:48.860 like to stick with,

00:59:50.180 which is people

00:59:51.060 are terrible at

00:59:51.780 predicting any of

00:59:53.320 this stuff.

00:59:54.120 And the Adams

00:59:54.940 law of slow-moving

00:59:55.900 disasters suggests

00:59:57.100 that people will

00:59:57.700 make whatever

00:59:58.240 adjustments they

00:59:58.980 can.

00:59:59.140 So these

01:00:01.000 are gigantic

01:00:01.860 threats to

01:00:02.660 China, but I 0.95

01:00:03.640 wouldn't say

01:00:04.100 necessarily that

01:00:05.260 that means they're

01:00:05.840 doomed.

01:00:06.580 But then they

01:00:07.240 have this third

01:00:07.820 thing going on,

01:00:09.020 which is they're

01:00:10.280 no longer

01:00:10.740 trustworthy.

01:00:12.500 And being not

01:00:13.540 trustworthy means

01:00:15.300 that people don't

01:00:15.920 want to do

01:00:16.520 business with you.

01:00:17.760 And I think

01:00:18.300 that's going to

01:00:18.760 hurt more than

01:00:19.700 it's hurting now.

01:00:20.300 You know that

01:00:23.860 trick where we

01:00:24.640 said Hillary 0.91

01:00:25.440 Clinton was

01:00:26.880 warning that 0.80

01:00:27.600 the Democrats

01:00:28.580 would try to

01:00:29.540 steal the

01:00:30.160 election, which

01:00:30.880 is a signal

01:00:31.480 that, I'm

01:00:33.220 sorry, Hillary

01:00:33.920 warned that the

01:00:34.640 Republicans would

01:00:35.720 try to steal

01:00:36.300 the next election,

01:00:37.680 which is really

01:00:38.880 priming the

01:00:40.880 environment for

01:00:42.060 the Democrats

01:00:42.720 to steal the

01:00:43.440 election, because

01:00:44.540 you won't see

01:00:45.100 it coming if

01:00:46.680 they've made you

01:00:47.320 think Republicans

01:00:48.380 are going to do

01:00:49.040 it.

01:00:49.180 It's just a good

01:00:50.360 way to cover

01:00:50.920 your evil.

01:00:52.740 And now NATO

01:00:53.860 is blaming Russia

01:00:55.200 of using the

01:00:55.740 same trick.

01:00:57.160 Russia is saying

01:00:58.160 that Ukraine is 0.94

01:00:59.300 planning to use

01:01:00.820 a dirty bomb,

01:01:01.840 you know, a

01:01:02.100 nuclear dirty

01:01:02.840 bomb, whereas

01:01:05.540 NATO says,

01:01:06.580 no, no, no.

01:01:07.760 That's what

01:01:08.260 Russia accuses

01:01:09.220 the other side

01:01:09.840 of before they

01:01:10.560 do the thing.

01:01:11.960 So apparently

01:01:12.600 that's a known

01:01:14.140 strategy, that

01:01:15.660 Russia accuses

01:01:16.640 you of what

01:01:17.080 they're planning

01:01:17.500 to do.

01:01:18.320 So if Russia 0.84

01:01:19.040 accuses you

01:01:19.780 of a chemical

01:01:20.640 weapons attack,

01:01:23.560 they're definitely

01:01:24.340 going to use

01:01:24.780 a chemical

01:01:25.160 weapon.

01:01:25.920 If they accuse

01:01:26.980 you of using

01:01:27.760 a dirty bomb

01:01:28.580 or planning it,

01:01:30.140 they're definitely

01:01:30.740 planning to use

01:01:31.520 a dirty bomb.

01:01:32.960 Now, maybe to

01:01:33.920 blame the other

01:01:34.480 side, maybe just

01:01:35.480 because they want

01:01:35.940 to use it, but

01:01:37.520 I'd worry about

01:01:38.460 this.

01:01:40.080 It looks like

01:01:40.880 an understood

01:01:41.520 problem, and

01:01:43.480 NATO's all 0.88

01:01:45.060 over it.

01:01:47.600 All right.

01:01:49.720 So, back

01:01:50.900 to my theme.

01:01:53.800 My theme

01:01:54.760 is that we've

01:01:55.720 reached peak

01:01:56.400 absurdity.

01:01:57.800 Look at every

01:01:58.800 story I talked

01:01:59.640 about.

01:02:00.940 There's a story

01:02:01.920 that maybe Russia

01:02:02.920 will nuke

01:02:03.720 itself, because

01:02:05.780 Russia thinks 0.61

01:02:06.380 Ukraine is part 0.99

01:02:07.720 of Russia.

01:02:08.080 So, we're

01:02:09.960 literally acting

01:02:11.100 serious about

01:02:11.980 the possibility

01:02:12.760 that Russia 0.72

01:02:13.860 will nuke

01:02:14.480 itself.

01:02:16.900 Personally, I

01:02:17.660 think that's

01:02:18.340 absurd.

01:02:19.480 I don't see

01:02:20.360 any possibility

01:02:21.060 of that.

01:02:21.780 Now, I also

01:02:22.520 thought that

01:02:23.040 Russia wouldn't 0.97

01:02:24.160 invade.

01:02:25.240 So you have

01:02:26.020 to put my

01:02:26.420 opinion in

01:02:27.060 context, right?

01:02:27.900 So, my

01:02:30.400 ability to

01:02:31.180 predict what

01:02:31.840 Putin will

01:02:32.340 do has

01:02:32.920 been demonstrated

01:02:35.660 as low

01:02:36.980 ability.

01:02:39.280 By the

01:02:42.620 way, do

01:02:42.900 you know

01:02:43.040 what my

01:02:43.400 most frequent

01:02:44.740 criticism is?

01:02:46.020 I never

01:02:46.500 admit when I'm

01:02:47.140 wrong.

01:02:48.200 I will

01:02:48.900 submit to

01:02:49.380 you that no

01:02:49.880 one has

01:02:50.240 admitted their

01:02:50.900 wrong more

01:02:51.540 often or

01:02:52.660 reliably than

01:02:53.480 I have of

01:02:54.400 any public

01:02:55.020 figure.

01:02:56.880 That's my

01:02:57.660 claim, that

01:02:58.740 literally, of

01:02:59.760 all public

01:03:00.420 figures of

01:03:01.060 all time,

01:03:02.080 nobody has

01:03:02.580 ever spent

01:03:03.220 more time

01:03:03.940 admitting they

01:03:05.120 were wrong

01:03:05.580 in public

01:03:06.240 than I

01:03:07.100 have.

01:03:08.440 Well, if

01:03:09.100 you think

01:03:09.400 that's false,

01:03:10.100 name the

01:03:10.680 other person.

01:03:11.780 I think that

01:03:12.640 the number of

01:03:13.080 times I've

01:03:13.660 admitted I'm

01:03:14.440 wrong in

01:03:14.860 public would

01:03:15.440 be maybe

01:03:16.820 20 times.

01:03:19.560 Those of

01:03:20.220 you who have

01:03:20.580 watched me

01:03:21.060 since the

01:03:21.420 beginning, put

01:03:22.020 a number on

01:03:22.560 it, if you

01:03:23.920 can remember,

01:03:24.800 just roughly.

01:03:25.400 How many

01:03:25.640 times do you

01:03:26.060 think I've

01:03:26.420 admitted I'm

01:03:27.100 wrong in

01:03:27.580 public?

01:03:28.380 20 times?

01:03:32.100 Somebody said

01:03:32.820 100.

01:03:34.880 Yeah.

01:03:35.660 But you

01:03:36.000 wouldn't disagree

01:03:37.900 with my

01:03:40.160 estimate of

01:03:40.760 20, would

01:03:41.280 you?

01:03:41.880 Like, that's

01:03:42.360 not crazy.

01:03:44.040 Somebody says

01:03:44.620 10 or so

01:03:45.400 between 20

01:03:47.920 and 100.

01:03:48.540 All right.

01:03:48.940 So whatever

01:03:49.420 it is, if

01:03:50.220 you're on

01:03:50.620 YouTube, you're

01:03:52.160 not seeing the

01:03:52.640 comments.

01:03:53.400 The people on

01:03:54.140 the locals

01:03:54.500 platform, most

01:03:55.780 of them have

01:03:56.200 followed me

01:03:56.820 for the

01:03:57.120 longest time.

01:03:58.560 And they're

01:03:59.760 not arguing

01:04:00.380 with my

01:04:01.120 estimate.

01:04:02.960 They're just

01:04:03.580 putting different

01:04:04.060 numbers on it,

01:04:04.660 but they're

01:04:04.980 arguing with

01:04:05.600 the main

01:04:05.960 point that

01:04:07.180 I've admitted

01:04:07.720 I'm wrong a

01:04:08.320 whole bunch

01:04:08.700 of times.

01:04:10.120 A whole bunch

01:04:10.800 of times.

01:04:12.260 Now, if you

01:04:13.520 say you're wrong

01:04:14.440 more than

01:04:14.820 anybody in the

01:04:15.560 world, or at

01:04:16.200 least you're in

01:04:16.900 the top 1%

01:04:17.680 of that, people

01:04:19.280 will tell you

01:04:19.880 you never admit

01:04:20.600 you're wrong. 0.83

01:04:22.140 And it's the

01:04:22.600 most frustrating

01:04:23.260 thing.

01:04:25.260 It's the most

01:04:26.020 frustrating thing.

01:04:27.080 Because I don't

01:04:27.740 mind being accused

01:04:28.860 of things I've

01:04:29.500 done.

01:04:30.520 I mean, that

01:04:30.980 doesn't feel

01:04:31.440 good, but at

01:04:32.080 least you feel

01:04:33.220 you're in a

01:04:33.860 just world that

01:04:34.640 makes sense.

01:04:35.540 Well, I did

01:04:36.080 make that

01:04:36.460 mistake.

01:04:36.900 They are

01:04:37.160 criticizing me.

01:04:38.240 Okay.

01:04:39.300 Right?

01:04:39.800 So when people

01:04:40.920 criticize me for

01:04:42.240 being wrong about

01:04:43.400 Russia invading,

01:04:46.440 I don't insult

01:04:48.020 you.

01:04:49.040 Right?

01:04:49.300 I just say,

01:04:50.280 well, yep, you

01:04:51.580 got me on that

01:04:52.100 one.

01:04:55.800 It's hard because

01:04:56.660 you're a comedian

01:04:57.720 and your audience

01:04:58.660 has lots of

01:04:59.300 hecklers.

01:05:00.560 Maybe.

01:05:01.720 I'm not sure if

01:05:02.540 people even see

01:05:03.120 me as a comedian

01:05:03.860 when I'm doing

01:05:04.380 this stuff.

01:05:09.500 Oh, okay.

01:05:10.720 Gino says,

01:05:11.560 you've recommended

01:05:12.940 me to others

01:05:14.320 because I've

01:05:15.940 admitted when I'm

01:05:16.560 wrong.

01:05:16.720 the thing

01:05:19.180 about admitting

01:05:19.740 when you're

01:05:20.060 wrong is that

01:05:20.700 I don't think

01:05:21.160 people understand

01:05:22.020 that it makes

01:05:22.620 you stronger.

01:05:24.480 If people

01:05:25.120 understood that,

01:05:25.780 they would do

01:05:26.120 it.

01:05:27.920 Now, obviously,

01:05:28.540 there's a right

01:05:29.240 and a wrong

01:05:29.580 way to do it.

01:05:31.280 But if you do

01:05:32.040 it fully,

01:05:33.620 and by the

01:05:34.120 way, is there

01:05:35.280 anything more

01:05:35.960 surprising?

01:05:37.000 I'd like to use

01:05:37.800 Mike Cernovich for

01:05:38.560 all of my

01:05:39.140 examples.

01:05:40.100 It's amazing

01:05:40.620 how many

01:05:41.040 situations he

01:05:42.660 fits into as

01:05:43.440 a teaching

01:05:44.960 point.

01:05:46.500 So Mike

01:05:46.960 Cernovich did

01:05:47.540 the whole

01:05:47.820 Pizzagate

01:05:49.100 situation.

01:05:51.360 And then

01:05:51.820 instead of

01:05:52.720 explaining it

01:05:53.840 away or

01:05:54.820 making it look

01:05:56.240 like the real

01:05:57.460 problem was his

01:05:58.260 accuser, he

01:05:59.460 just put it in

01:06:00.060 his movie.

01:06:01.300 So he made

01:06:01.980 a movie and

01:06:03.260 he featured it.

01:06:06.620 Instead of

01:06:07.360 explaining it,

01:06:08.180 apologizing for

01:06:09.040 it, he just

01:06:10.000 featured it.

01:06:10.500 any other

01:06:13.000 questions?

01:06:14.300 And I feel

01:06:14.860 like that's

01:06:15.520 what allowed

01:06:16.380 his Twitter

01:06:19.300 traffic to

01:06:20.300 grow, etc.,

01:06:21.200 is that people

01:06:21.960 saw, oh,

01:06:22.720 okay, he

01:06:23.920 just accepted

01:06:25.860 that and then

01:06:26.680 he moved on.

01:06:29.660 Mike made

01:06:30.380 the movie

01:06:30.720 a hoaxed

01:06:31.580 with an

01:06:32.760 E-D on the

01:06:33.360 end, hoaxed,

01:06:34.820 which, by the

01:06:35.640 way, I've

01:06:36.000 recommended very

01:06:36.780 highly.

01:06:37.900 It's a

01:06:38.240 tremendous

01:06:38.580 movie.

01:06:39.640 And I

01:06:39.840 think we

01:06:41.060 need hoaxed

01:06:41.660 too, because

01:06:43.080 the number

01:06:43.460 of hoaxes

01:06:44.140 since that

01:06:44.960 movie, it's

01:06:47.640 just begging

01:06:48.080 for a hoax

01:06:48.720 to two, which

01:06:50.280 I hope he

01:06:50.700 makes.

01:06:55.000 All right.

01:06:59.120 Yeah, the

01:06:59.860 hoax quiz.

01:07:02.200 Yeah, similar

01:07:02.860 to the superpower

01:07:03.800 of saying, I

01:07:04.540 don't know.

01:07:05.660 You don't

01:07:06.160 want to

01:07:06.400 overdo that

01:07:07.000 one.

01:07:07.760 But there

01:07:08.140 is power in

01:07:08.920 admitting you

01:07:09.440 don't know

01:07:09.800 something.

01:07:10.460 That's

01:07:10.680 true.

01:07:15.240 Yeah, so

01:07:16.160 now we

01:07:16.460 have 16

01:07:17.380 hoaxes, and

01:07:19.680 you know, that's

01:07:20.240 an abbreviated

01:07:21.520 list.

01:07:22.660 And even

01:07:23.740 the people who

01:07:24.400 know that 12

01:07:25.320 of them are

01:07:25.840 real hoaxes,

01:07:28.820 they still act

01:07:32.060 like their

01:07:32.460 side is the

01:07:33.020 good one.

01:07:34.660 That always

01:07:35.380 amazes me.

01:07:35.940 All right.

01:07:38.300 Is there any

01:07:38.720 story I

01:07:39.120 missed today?

01:07:43.200 Any big

01:07:44.060 thing happening?

01:07:45.380 I saw Mike

01:07:45.980 Pence teasing

01:07:48.580 that, yeah,

01:07:50.880 the Susan

01:07:51.300 Sarandon

01:07:52.300 tweet.

01:07:53.200 I'm trying to

01:07:53.560 remember.

01:07:53.880 I saw it, but I

01:07:54.460 can't remember

01:07:54.840 what that was.

01:07:58.240 All right.

01:07:58.940 Where can the

01:08:01.240 hoax list be

01:08:02.160 found?

01:08:04.900 Good question.

01:08:05.880 I think if you

01:08:06.320 went to Twitter

01:08:07.200 and just searched

01:08:07.860 for it, it's

01:08:09.940 also on

01:08:10.440 locals.

01:08:11.060 I published it a

01:08:11.700 few times on

01:08:12.180 locals.

01:08:13.900 It's not a

01:08:14.540 pin tweet anymore.

01:08:15.620 I changed my

01:08:16.220 pin tweet.

01:08:20.960 There's a book

01:08:21.660 about race

01:08:22.200 hoaxes, yeah.

01:08:23.020 But I think the

01:08:24.920 race hoax is,

01:08:25.800 that's too

01:08:26.220 narrow.

01:08:29.340 Yeah, there's

01:08:30.040 an earthquake, I

01:08:31.320 guess, this

01:08:31.660 morning.

01:08:33.000 I did not

01:08:33.820 feel it.

01:08:35.260 Or yesterday?

01:08:35.960 Or yesterday?

01:08:37.120 It's a 5.1.

01:08:43.000 What jobs

01:08:43.900 would I advise a

01:08:44.680 teenager?

01:08:45.280 That's tough.

01:08:46.520 You know, I

01:08:47.000 used to advise

01:08:47.800 teenagers to go

01:08:48.820 into the arts

01:08:50.980 because that

01:08:52.520 would be the

01:08:53.020 last thing that

01:08:53.920 AI would get

01:08:54.580 to, but

01:08:56.300 that's all

01:08:57.680 wrong.

01:08:58.580 So now AI

01:08:59.160 does better

01:08:59.820 graphic art and

01:09:01.120 it does better

01:09:01.660 writing already.

01:09:03.240 It won't be long

01:09:04.080 before it does

01:09:04.580 humor better.

01:09:08.320 The expensive

01:09:09.440 toilet in San

01:09:10.260 Francisco, yeah,

01:09:11.060 that's...

01:09:13.400 So the stories

01:09:15.100 that I typically

01:09:15.840 stay away from

01:09:16.760 are the Air

01:09:18.840 Force was

01:09:20.640 charged $2

01:09:21.460 million for a

01:09:22.800 screw, right?

01:09:25.020 I'm talking

01:09:25.460 about a

01:09:25.740 physical screw,

01:09:27.200 not prostitution. 0.99

01:09:29.060 And the media

01:09:31.340 gets that story

01:09:32.000 wrong every time.

01:09:34.200 Every time.

01:09:35.200 The reason that

01:09:36.100 the one little

01:09:36.900 part cost a

01:09:38.240 million dollars

01:09:38.880 is that nobody

01:09:40.380 made that part.

01:09:41.660 They had to

01:09:42.040 build an

01:09:42.640 assembly line

01:09:43.280 just to make

01:09:43.780 the part.

01:09:44.800 And so they

01:09:45.200 charge you what

01:09:45.820 it costs.

01:09:46.460 Right, it's a

01:09:46.920 retooling cost.

01:09:47.900 And when the

01:09:48.420 media reports

01:09:49.180 that, they report

01:09:50.440 it like it's a

01:09:51.020 market price and

01:09:51.880 they just gouged.

01:09:53.580 It's never that.

01:09:55.360 Not once.

01:09:56.300 Not once has

01:09:57.100 that story been

01:09:57.700 true.

01:09:58.920 Every time you

01:09:59.840 saw that story,

01:10:00.740 and how many of

01:10:01.260 those have you

01:10:01.680 seen, everyone

01:10:02.820 was fake.

01:10:04.340 They were all

01:10:05.040 fake.

01:10:06.180 And everybody

01:10:06.900 who had an

01:10:07.260 economics degree

01:10:08.020 knew it.

01:10:09.600 Everybody watched

01:10:10.500 and was like,

01:10:11.880 no, there's a

01:10:14.640 reason it's a

01:10:15.280 million dollars.

01:10:16.740 Now, they may

01:10:17.420 have padded the

01:10:18.840 million dollars,

01:10:20.080 which is related

01:10:21.480 by a separate

01:10:22.040 point.

01:10:22.940 But the reason

01:10:23.620 it's so expensive

01:10:24.800 is because they

01:10:25.620 had to retool.

01:10:26.880 They may have

01:10:27.540 also padded

01:10:29.240 the retooling

01:10:30.480 price.

01:10:31.500 I wouldn't be

01:10:31.880 surprised.

01:10:33.100 But the big

01:10:34.480 answer is that

01:10:35.600 they had to

01:10:35.920 retool.

01:10:42.120 Explain the

01:10:42.880 $2,000 Air

01:10:43.960 Force heated

01:10:44.620 mugs easily.

01:10:46.660 There was a

01:10:47.340 special requirement.

01:10:48.720 If you look at

01:10:49.520 their $2,000

01:10:50.300 heated mugs, I

01:10:52.680 think you would

01:10:53.140 find that they

01:10:54.640 either had to

01:10:55.240 work if your

01:10:57.180 airplane is flying

01:10:58.080 upside down or

01:10:59.280 something.

01:11:00.880 There was probably

01:11:01.620 some weird

01:11:02.780 requirement that

01:11:04.040 required them to

01:11:05.140 retool something

01:11:06.040 to make them.

01:11:07.220 Something like

01:11:07.640 that.

01:11:08.900 Or maybe the

01:11:10.220 demand was low,

01:11:11.740 so the only way

01:11:12.640 to make them is

01:11:13.360 in economically.

01:11:15.460 But if you

01:11:16.140 looked into it,

01:11:16.760 you'd find there

01:11:17.260 always a

01:11:17.680 reason.

01:11:19.000 Here's what

01:11:19.520 you wouldn't

01:11:20.020 find.

01:11:21.400 Well, honestly,

01:11:22.800 it did only

01:11:24.260 cost us $10 to

01:11:25.420 make these

01:11:25.820 mugs, honestly.

01:11:27.380 But we

01:11:28.080 thought we

01:11:28.460 could get

01:11:28.740 away with

01:11:29.100 charging $2,000.

01:11:31.780 I don't

01:11:32.460 believe that's

01:11:32.920 ever happened.

01:11:35.540 And if it

01:11:36.220 has, somebody

01:11:37.600 probably got

01:11:38.520 caught and

01:11:39.040 got fired.

01:11:39.560 $10,000.

01:11:39.980 Right?

01:11:44.600 Now, the

01:11:45.280 hospital bills

01:11:46.040 are different.

01:11:47.780 I'm talking

01:11:48.500 about the

01:11:49.120 military

01:11:50.320 contracting.

01:11:52.540 Hospitals

01:11:52.940 charge whatever

01:11:54.340 they want.

01:11:55.600 Just whatever

01:11:56.040 they want.

01:11:57.020 They just make

01:11:57.520 up numbers,

01:11:58.120 whatever they

01:11:58.440 can get away

01:11:58.920 with.

01:11:59.580 Hospital prices

01:12:00.400 are just based

01:12:01.260 on what you

01:12:01.640 can get away

01:12:02.120 with.

01:12:03.200 Wouldn't you

01:12:03.740 say?

01:12:03.920 Am I right?

01:12:05.780 I mean, it's

01:12:06.160 always priced,

01:12:06.860 if they can

01:12:07.300 price it over

01:12:07.980 cost, of

01:12:08.920 course.

01:12:09.640 So that's the

01:12:10.160 minimum.

01:12:10.960 But hospitals

01:12:11.740 only look at

01:12:12.560 what they can

01:12:13.080 get away with. 0.70

01:12:14.300 It's purely,

01:12:16.240 I mean, it's

01:12:17.440 closer to a

01:12:18.320 scam than it

01:12:19.020 is an actual

01:12:19.560 business model.

01:12:24.560 Trump's

01:12:25.040 testimony to

01:12:26.160 be on tape

01:12:26.680 today.

01:12:28.040 That's going

01:12:28.560 to be interesting.

01:12:30.620 So,

01:12:31.440 how surprised

01:12:33.520 are you

01:12:34.000 that the

01:12:36.820 January 6th

01:12:37.880 thing followed

01:12:39.340 the following

01:12:39.980 arc?

01:12:41.100 It was the

01:12:41.800 primary thing

01:12:42.520 that the

01:12:42.860 Democrats

01:12:43.220 thought they

01:12:43.800 could use

01:12:44.220 against the

01:12:44.700 Republicans.

01:12:46.440 And as of

01:12:47.220 this week,

01:12:49.480 Trump is

01:12:49.980 still telling,

01:12:51.320 do a fact

01:12:52.080 check on this,

01:12:52.840 but I think

01:12:53.220 Trump told

01:12:53.880 Oz that he

01:12:55.420 needs to talk

01:12:56.080 more about

01:12:56.620 the election

01:12:57.560 being rigged

01:13:00.200 to win his

01:13:01.300 election.

01:13:02.680 Do you

01:13:03.240 believe that?

01:13:04.000 we went

01:13:08.380 all the way

01:13:08.920 from it's

01:13:09.420 the biggest

01:13:09.940 problem that

01:13:10.900 Trump has

01:13:11.460 ever been

01:13:11.880 in, to

01:13:13.440 if you

01:13:14.000 don't accept

01:13:14.660 it, his

01:13:15.320 view on

01:13:15.820 it, you

01:13:16.080 can't even

01:13:16.460 get elected.

01:13:18.200 That might

01:13:18.900 be the

01:13:19.240 biggest

01:13:19.680 switch,

01:13:21.620 maybe the

01:13:22.820 biggest

01:13:23.080 persuasion

01:13:23.940 movement we've

01:13:25.780 ever seen.

01:13:26.340 oh, it was

01:13:28.720 Masters, right, 0.70

01:13:29.660 I'm sorry.

01:13:31.280 It was

01:13:31.660 Blake Masters

01:13:32.360 who was

01:13:33.860 receiving a

01:13:34.980 phone call

01:13:35.340 from Trump,

01:13:36.540 so it was

01:13:37.040 not, it

01:13:38.800 was not

01:13:39.160 Oz.

01:13:39.980 But it's the

01:13:40.600 same point,

01:13:41.160 it doesn't

01:13:41.440 matter who it

01:13:41.800 was.

01:13:42.080 The same

01:13:42.380 point is

01:13:42.820 that Trump

01:13:44.920 can say

01:13:45.440 out loud,

01:13:46.860 you'd better

01:13:47.240 talk about

01:13:47.760 election

01:13:48.140 integrity if

01:13:48.860 you want

01:13:49.120 to win.

01:13:49.420 And I

01:13:50.640 don't think

01:13:51.000 he's wrong.

01:13:52.380 I think he's

01:13:53.260 actually right.

01:13:54.220 I mean, even

01:13:55.220 the Democrats

01:13:55.860 are talking

01:13:56.960 nonstop about

01:13:57.840 the elections

01:13:58.420 being a

01:13:59.420 rig-a-bull.

01:14:01.800 Hillary Clinton

01:14:02.720 is agreeing

01:14:03.660 with Trump

01:14:04.220 that the

01:14:04.680 elections are

01:14:05.220 not secure.

01:14:07.440 And Trump

01:14:08.400 did that.

01:14:10.220 Correct me

01:14:10.740 if I'm wrong,

01:14:11.760 but he went

01:14:12.300 all the way

01:14:12.820 from our

01:14:13.360 elections are

01:14:13.960 perfect to

01:14:15.040 not a single

01:14:15.780 person in the

01:14:16.400 country trusts

01:14:17.000 the elections.

01:14:18.220 I believe he

01:14:19.040 did that

01:14:19.400 all himself.

01:14:21.120 Right?

01:14:22.760 There's no

01:14:23.800 Democrat and

01:14:24.520 no Republican

01:14:25.060 who fully

01:14:25.620 trusts the

01:14:26.140 system.

01:14:26.940 Now, if

01:14:27.520 you do a

01:14:27.840 poll, you're

01:14:28.360 going to

01:14:28.460 get 25%

01:14:29.400 saying everything's

01:14:30.200 fine, but

01:14:31.240 that 25% is

01:14:32.280 brain-dead on

01:14:32.920 every question.

01:14:33.740 I mean, all

01:14:34.700 the thinking

01:14:35.160 people are

01:14:36.360 worried about

01:14:36.960 election integrity

01:14:37.900 and should be,

01:14:39.200 right?

01:14:39.500 Which doesn't

01:14:40.140 mean there's

01:14:40.480 a problem, but

01:14:42.080 you should be

01:14:42.460 worried about it.

01:14:44.980 Yeah, the

01:14:45.600 Dems have been

01:14:46.080 complaining for

01:14:46.680 years.

01:14:47.540 True.

01:14:47.800 Once again,

01:14:51.020 Trump has

01:14:51.460 shattered

01:14:51.780 reality.

01:14:54.180 True story.

01:14:56.000 Now, I'm

01:14:56.580 going to

01:14:56.780 throw in

01:14:57.520 two unlikely

01:15:00.720 predictions.

01:15:01.420 Are you ready?

01:15:03.420 Number one,

01:15:04.860 most of the

01:15:05.440 smart people say

01:15:06.300 we're headed for

01:15:06.960 a recession in

01:15:08.060 2023.

01:15:10.140 I'm going to

01:15:10.920 say that 2023

01:15:12.080 will be better

01:15:13.580 than we expected

01:15:14.600 economically.

01:15:15.420 I don't know

01:15:16.800 what that

01:15:17.060 means, but

01:15:18.160 I'm going to

01:15:18.500 say that the

01:15:19.240 consensus of

01:15:20.460 experts will

01:15:21.180 be way worse

01:15:22.420 than the

01:15:23.420 economy.

01:15:25.740 And I'm

01:15:26.620 going to

01:15:26.820 base it on

01:15:27.760 some sort

01:15:29.180 of a rule

01:15:30.640 of thumb

01:15:31.080 type stuff

01:15:31.700 without a lot

01:15:32.900 of analysis.

01:15:34.820 Number one,

01:15:36.820 employment

01:15:37.260 stays high.

01:15:39.480 Number two,

01:15:40.440 we've had enough

01:15:40.980 time to adjust

01:15:41.740 our supply

01:15:44.320 lines,

01:15:45.880 maybe enough.

01:15:48.280 Next,

01:15:49.060 every other

01:15:49.700 country will

01:15:50.280 be doing

01:15:50.660 worse than

01:15:51.140 us,

01:15:52.120 which I

01:15:52.900 think there's

01:15:53.640 an argument

01:15:54.060 that that

01:15:54.520 helps you

01:15:55.040 to be the

01:15:55.620 best of

01:15:56.020 the worst,

01:15:56.900 because that

01:15:57.880 keeps your

01:15:58.300 currency strong.

01:15:59.400 Am I wrong

01:15:59.940 about that?

01:16:01.180 That as long

01:16:01.880 as your

01:16:02.200 currency is

01:16:02.920 better than

01:16:03.360 all the other

01:16:03.980 places that

01:16:04.580 are worse,

01:16:05.660 you're still

01:16:06.480 okay.

01:16:07.620 It's just

01:16:08.120 that if your

01:16:08.880 currency started

01:16:09.660 looking bad

01:16:10.320 compared to

01:16:10.880 others,

01:16:11.700 well then

01:16:12.040 you're in

01:16:12.300 trouble.

01:16:13.280 So we

01:16:13.860 don't have

01:16:14.220 to be good,

01:16:15.300 we have to

01:16:15.840 be better

01:16:16.280 than other

01:16:16.720 places.

01:16:19.200 So being

01:16:19.980 better than

01:16:20.500 other places

01:16:21.100 is easier

01:16:21.720 than it's

01:16:22.100 ever been.

01:16:23.540 That's never

01:16:24.080 been easier.

01:16:26.500 And I

01:16:26.880 think the

01:16:27.200 United States

01:16:27.740 has more,

01:16:29.560 the United

01:16:30.160 States is

01:16:30.720 willing to

01:16:31.540 shoot itself

01:16:33.080 to rebuild

01:16:35.100 faster than

01:16:36.040 any other

01:16:36.560 country.

01:16:37.500 I don't know

01:16:37.980 that that's

01:16:38.380 true, by the

01:16:38.860 way.

01:16:39.580 That could 0.68

01:16:40.060 be pure

01:16:40.600 bigotry on

01:16:41.180 my part.

01:16:41.880 But it

01:16:42.240 feels like

01:16:42.700 the US

01:16:43.200 is more

01:16:44.520 able to

01:16:45.380 bury its

01:16:46.220 own mistakes.

01:16:49.900 Just say,

01:16:50.340 all right,

01:16:51.040 everything we're

01:16:51.660 doing up to

01:16:52.060 this point was

01:16:52.540 wrong, let's

01:16:53.100 do it all

01:16:53.460 different.

01:16:54.420 Rip it out.

01:16:55.480 Rip it out by

01:16:56.080 the roots.

01:16:57.100 I think we

01:16:57.680 do that faster

01:16:58.580 and better than

01:16:59.180 anybody.

01:17:00.560 So I'm going

01:17:01.240 to predict

01:17:01.620 that our

01:17:02.320 economy, except

01:17:03.520 for inflation,

01:17:05.160 I'm going to

01:17:06.040 allow that

01:17:06.480 inflation will

01:17:07.240 stay high for

01:17:07.880 a while,

01:17:08.180 because it

01:17:08.580 has to.

01:17:09.740 And I'm

01:17:10.300 going to

01:17:10.480 give you

01:17:11.020 a counter

01:17:12.260 intuitive.

01:17:13.620 When I say

01:17:14.160 inflation stays

01:17:15.380 high because

01:17:15.840 it has to,

01:17:17.080 it has to

01:17:17.720 for good and

01:17:18.540 for bad.

01:17:19.940 Like we

01:17:20.380 had to

01:17:20.840 drain, we

01:17:22.280 have to drain

01:17:23.060 some cash out

01:17:23.760 of the system,

01:17:24.340 it's the only

01:17:24.660 way to do it,

01:17:25.760 as far as I

01:17:26.520 know.

01:17:27.580 And, but as

01:17:29.820 long as

01:17:30.180 everything else

01:17:30.840 keeps humming

01:17:31.400 along, and as

01:17:32.780 long as America

01:17:33.540 is less bad

01:17:34.580 than all the

01:17:35.340 alternatives, I

01:17:36.940 feel like, I

01:17:37.840 feel like we're

01:17:38.320 going to have a

01:17:38.620 good year next

01:17:39.200 year, which

01:17:41.440 will be a

01:17:42.180 problem for

01:17:43.560 the 2024

01:17:44.200 election, because

01:17:45.980 Trump or

01:17:46.800 whoever's running

01:17:47.540 might run into

01:17:49.580 a strong

01:17:50.040 economy, a

01:17:51.140 weirdly strong

01:17:51.900 economy, and

01:17:52.600 you might be

01:17:53.040 used to

01:17:53.400 inflation by

01:17:54.000 then.

01:17:55.920 Yeah, inflation

01:17:57.060 will not be

01:17:57.760 good next year,

01:17:59.040 so let me be

01:17:59.620 clear.

01:18:00.500 Inflation will

01:18:01.280 not be solved

01:18:02.060 next year.

01:18:03.320 That will be

01:18:03.840 the problem

01:18:04.280 that stays

01:18:05.160 with us.

01:18:05.780 But if

01:18:06.200 everything else

01:18:06.840 works, it's

01:18:08.740 going to be

01:18:09.440 absorbable in

01:18:11.740 the long run.

01:18:13.360 All right?

01:18:14.780 So I'm going

01:18:15.740 to make that

01:18:16.200 prediction that

01:18:17.040 the economy will

01:18:17.800 be better than

01:18:18.700 the consensus

01:18:19.360 of experts.

01:18:20.240 I don't know

01:18:20.600 how much

01:18:20.920 better.

01:18:22.240 Here's my

01:18:22.960 second one.

01:18:25.160 Trump has

01:18:26.040 an opportunity

01:18:26.880 that only one

01:18:29.380 person has

01:18:30.060 ever had

01:18:30.720 before.

01:18:31.160 only one

01:18:34.480 person in

01:18:35.000 the history

01:18:35.360 of the

01:18:35.600 whole world

01:18:36.240 has been

01:18:37.540 in a

01:18:37.820 position that

01:18:38.700 Trump is

01:18:39.320 likely to

01:18:39.880 be in.

01:18:41.720 And it

01:18:43.120 goes like

01:18:43.600 this.

01:18:46.180 George

01:18:46.620 Washington

01:18:47.160 walked away

01:18:47.960 from power

01:18:48.660 when he

01:18:50.220 didn't need

01:18:50.700 to.

01:18:52.540 For the

01:18:53.160 good of the

01:18:53.580 country, he

01:18:54.080 said, although

01:18:54.860 I think that's

01:18:56.060 the historical

01:18:56.840 interpretation.

01:18:57.500 I suspect it

01:18:58.980 was a little

01:18:59.380 bit good for

01:18:59.940 him as

01:19:00.300 well.

01:19:01.600 But it

01:19:02.220 got interpreted

01:19:02.820 as the

01:19:03.860 greatest move

01:19:05.040 that really

01:19:06.320 defined the

01:19:06.940 whole country,

01:19:07.460 didn't it?

01:19:08.460 Pretty much

01:19:09.240 the most

01:19:09.980 fundamental

01:19:11.720 part of our

01:19:12.680 national DNA

01:19:14.440 is that

01:19:15.880 George

01:19:16.200 Washington

01:19:16.640 walked away

01:19:17.300 from power.

01:19:18.840 I would

01:19:19.500 argue that

01:19:20.020 nothing is

01:19:20.800 more central

01:19:21.480 to the

01:19:23.060 United States

01:19:23.800 success than

01:19:25.600 George

01:19:25.940 Washington

01:19:26.400 walked away

01:19:26.980 from power

01:19:27.500 and everybody

01:19:28.340 learned it.

01:19:29.800 You learned

01:19:30.280 that when

01:19:30.640 you were

01:19:31.020 whatever grade.

01:19:34.780 Trump will

01:19:36.300 be projected

01:19:37.140 to sweep

01:19:38.380 the field.

01:19:39.260 Everybody

01:19:39.540 thinks he

01:19:40.040 could get

01:19:40.360 the nomination.

01:19:41.900 And I

01:19:42.200 think any

01:19:42.620 Republican can

01:19:43.460 win now.

01:19:45.040 So if

01:19:45.880 Trump decided

01:19:46.580 not to

01:19:47.140 run, he

01:19:49.960 would be the

01:19:50.460 first president

01:19:51.260 ever who

01:19:53.200 could do a

01:19:53.700 legitimate

01:19:54.140 George

01:19:54.560 Washington.

01:19:55.020 and if

01:19:57.080 the reason

01:19:57.520 he gave

01:19:58.000 was that

01:19:58.440 he was

01:19:58.780 too

01:19:59.000 controversial

01:19:59.620 and there

01:20:00.340 are other

01:20:00.840 Republicans,

01:20:02.080 let's say,

01:20:03.040 who have

01:20:03.380 similar policies

01:20:04.340 but less

01:20:04.780 controversy,

01:20:06.340 he would

01:20:07.620 not only

01:20:08.340 redeem himself

01:20:09.940 for losing

01:20:10.460 the first

01:20:10.920 election,

01:20:12.380 but he

01:20:13.080 would pass

01:20:13.640 into legend

01:20:14.240 territory.

01:20:16.560 It would

01:20:17.180 be legend.

01:20:17.640 If he

01:20:19.140 does a

01:20:19.820 second term,

01:20:21.480 half of

01:20:21.820 the country

01:20:22.220 will think

01:20:22.680 it was the

01:20:23.100 end of the

01:20:23.440 world and

01:20:24.060 will always

01:20:24.700 imagine it

01:20:25.340 that way.

01:20:26.380 And half

01:20:26.860 will think

01:20:27.220 he did a

01:20:27.680 good job

01:20:28.000 probably.

01:20:29.640 If he

01:20:30.220 walks away

01:20:30.940 when he's

01:20:31.520 guaranteed to

01:20:32.200 win and

01:20:33.040 allows a

01:20:33.680 Republican,

01:20:34.380 let's say,

01:20:34.780 to get in

01:20:35.200 there and

01:20:35.440 just do a

01:20:35.780 good job,

01:20:36.180 could be

01:20:36.440 DeSantis,

01:20:37.160 somebody else,

01:20:39.100 he would

01:20:39.700 be legend.

01:20:41.020 He would

01:20:41.300 be legend.

01:20:41.840 And you

01:20:42.060 can never

01:20:42.480 take that

01:20:42.940 away from

01:20:43.300 him.

01:20:44.180 Even the

01:20:44.840 Democrats

01:20:45.340 would say,

01:20:46.620 oh shit,

01:20:47.640 the only

01:20:49.020 problem we

01:20:49.580 had with

01:20:49.960 him was

01:20:50.920 he was

01:20:51.740 too

01:20:52.300 provocative

01:20:52.880 and he

01:20:54.860 didn't want

01:20:56.000 the country

01:20:56.380 to go

01:20:56.720 through that

01:20:57.120 again.

01:20:58.880 Think about

01:20:59.540 it.

01:21:00.840 Now, I

01:21:01.520 don't think

01:21:02.000 he's going

01:21:02.340 to do it,

01:21:03.000 so this

01:21:03.440 is not a

01:21:04.400 prediction.

01:21:05.200 It would

01:21:05.620 seem counter

01:21:06.260 to everything

01:21:07.120 he's done.

01:21:09.020 It would

01:21:09.340 also be a

01:21:09.920 big risk

01:21:10.560 because it

01:21:12.080 would take

01:21:12.480 him out of

01:21:12.980 the game

01:21:13.420 like too

01:21:14.580 early because

01:21:15.540 he's not

01:21:15.880 done.

01:21:16.940 He's got

01:21:17.540 more to

01:21:17.860 do,

01:21:18.220 clearly.

01:21:19.020 So unless

01:21:19.380 he had

01:21:19.680 more to

01:21:20.060 do,

01:21:21.220 let's say

01:21:21.660 working on

01:21:22.600 truth social

01:21:23.440 or working

01:21:24.460 on fixing

01:21:24.960 the media,

01:21:26.600 if Trump

01:21:27.220 left and

01:21:27.740 said,

01:21:28.060 I'm going

01:21:28.220 to work

01:21:28.480 on fixing

01:21:29.060 the debate,

01:21:32.200 so I'll

01:21:32.820 host a

01:21:33.320 debate show

01:21:33.980 so you

01:21:34.340 can see

01:21:34.820 which side

01:21:36.080 works,

01:21:36.920 if Trump

01:21:37.540 hosted a

01:21:38.420 legitimate

01:21:39.020 debate

01:21:39.700 show,

01:21:41.180 he would

01:21:41.560 run the

01:21:41.940 country

01:21:42.260 without being

01:21:42.860 president.

01:21:43.240 doubt

01:21:45.820 me.

01:21:46.340 Go ahead.

01:21:47.860 Tell me

01:21:48.640 I'm wrong

01:21:49.040 about that.

01:21:50.140 You can't.

01:21:51.480 If Trump

01:21:52.240 said,

01:21:52.660 I'm not

01:21:52.900 going to

01:21:53.100 run because

01:21:53.640 I don't

01:21:54.000 think people

01:21:54.480 this age

01:21:55.020 should be

01:21:55.480 president,

01:21:59.880 I don't

01:22:04.900 think it's

01:22:05.260 going to

01:22:05.460 happen.

01:22:06.700 But if

01:22:07.440 Trump said,

01:22:08.500 I've aged

01:22:09.080 to enter the

01:22:09.620 job and I'm

01:22:10.360 a little

01:22:10.580 too provocative,

01:22:13.540 he would

01:22:13.900 be legend.

01:22:15.540 He would

01:22:16.300 ascend,

01:22:17.140 basically he

01:22:17.820 would ascend

01:22:18.220 to just

01:22:18.680 godlike

01:22:19.480 territory

01:22:20.700 and the

01:22:22.040 annals of

01:22:22.760 presidents,

01:22:23.940 in my opinion.

01:22:25.020 That would

01:22:25.360 be my

01:22:25.660 opinion.

01:22:26.680 Nothing

01:22:27.040 could be a

01:22:27.720 higher

01:22:28.100 accomplishment

01:22:29.280 than that.

01:22:32.280 And I'm

01:22:32.880 right that I'm

01:22:33.320 wrong, yeah,

01:22:33.800 he's not

01:22:34.100 going to do

01:22:34.380 it.

01:22:34.780 So the

01:22:35.460 trouble with

01:22:35.940 my

01:22:36.540 prognostication

01:22:38.400 here is

01:22:40.340 is that

01:22:40.940 everything you

01:22:42.260 like about

01:22:42.880 Trump tells

01:22:43.520 you he

01:22:43.840 won't do

01:22:44.220 that.

01:22:45.480 Am I

01:22:45.820 right?

01:22:46.680 Everything you

01:22:47.360 like about

01:22:47.820 him is he

01:22:48.180 doesn't give

01:22:48.620 up, doesn't

01:22:49.960 apologize, doesn't

01:22:51.360 quit.

01:22:52.320 Like those are

01:22:53.020 all the things

01:22:53.520 you liked.

01:22:54.880 So if he

01:22:55.460 apologized and

01:22:56.340 quit, I guess

01:22:57.000 it wouldn't be

01:22:57.380 an apology, but

01:22:58.800 it would be

01:22:59.220 accepting his

01:23:00.000 own limitations,

01:23:00.900 I guess.

01:23:01.980 If he did

01:23:02.500 that, that

01:23:04.440 would be so

01:23:04.940 on a

01:23:05.220 personality that

01:23:06.260 you can't even

01:23:08.460 imagine it

01:23:08.980 really.

01:23:10.340 I think he

01:23:11.040 needs to

01:23:11.460 win.

01:23:13.280 Now, imagine

01:23:14.780 he won with

01:23:15.580 a strong

01:23:16.040 vice

01:23:16.340 president.

01:23:18.880 Imagine he

01:23:19.600 wins with a

01:23:20.120 real strong

01:23:20.740 vice

01:23:21.020 president, and

01:23:22.860 then he

01:23:23.100 steps down in

01:23:23.840 two years

01:23:24.320 because he's

01:23:24.700 not feeling

01:23:25.160 well.

01:23:27.420 He still

01:23:29.220 keeps the

01:23:29.620 option.

01:23:31.600 But that

01:23:32.280 would not

01:23:32.660 feel as

01:23:33.360 selfless because

01:23:34.380 it would be

01:23:34.780 stepping down

01:23:35.360 and putting

01:23:35.720 your own

01:23:36.120 chosen vice

01:23:36.780 president in

01:23:37.400 charge, so

01:23:38.140 that's not

01:23:39.460 exactly George

01:23:40.400 Washington

01:23:40.780 material.

01:23:43.820 Yeah, and

01:23:44.340 I don't see

01:23:44.800 him stepping

01:23:46.280 down under

01:23:48.540 any condition.

01:23:51.260 I don't

01:23:51.680 think that

01:23:52.160 Trump would

01:23:52.600 pick Cary

01:23:53.300 Lake.

01:23:54.060 Tell me

01:23:54.360 why.

01:23:55.620 Go.

01:23:56.300 Tell me

01:23:56.740 why Trump

01:23:57.340 will not

01:23:57.920 pick Cary

01:23:58.600 Lake as a

01:23:59.800 VP.

01:24:00.620 Well, too

01:24:01.040 soon.

01:24:01.560 That's probably

01:24:02.120 all the

01:24:02.920 reason you

01:24:03.320 need.

01:24:03.780 Too strong.

01:24:04.380 You don't

01:24:06.380 want to pick

01:24:06.760 somebody that

01:24:08.240 people will

01:24:08.820 continually say,

01:24:10.100 you know,

01:24:11.380 you know,

01:24:12.380 maybe you

01:24:13.840 should make

01:24:15.260 her president.

01:24:16.260 You don't

01:24:16.740 want that

01:24:17.060 conversation to

01:24:17.740 happen at

01:24:17.980 all.

01:24:18.400 And that

01:24:18.620 didn't happen

01:24:19.060 with Pence,

01:24:19.640 did it?

01:24:20.500 Was there a

01:24:20.980 lot of

01:24:21.220 conversation

01:24:21.700 about how

01:24:22.160 Pence should

01:24:22.580 have been

01:24:22.740 the top of

01:24:23.180 the ticket?

01:24:24.120 I don't

01:24:24.760 remember hearing

01:24:25.500 that even

01:24:25.920 once.

01:24:28.540 Yeah, Pence

01:24:29.020 was perfect.

01:24:31.720 That was

01:24:32.300 just, I

01:24:33.780 can't say

01:24:34.380 enough good

01:24:35.240 things about

01:24:35.820 Mike Pence.

01:24:36.840 I don't

01:24:37.500 want him to

01:24:37.880 be president,

01:24:39.140 but my

01:24:39.600 God, do I

01:24:40.240 respect that

01:24:40.880 man for

01:24:42.120 the service

01:24:43.460 he did to

01:24:43.920 the country.

01:24:47.600 All right.

01:24:50.160 I think

01:24:50.780 we've done

01:24:51.320 everything we

01:24:51.760 need to do

01:24:52.120 today.

01:24:52.560 Let's go do

01:24:53.000 some other

01:24:53.320 things.

01:24:54.660 Am I right

01:24:55.240 that this was

01:24:55.860 the most

01:24:56.200 amazing live

01:24:56.920 stream you've

01:24:57.420 ever seen?

01:24:58.780 Did I pull

01:24:59.420 my theme

01:24:59.840 together?

01:25:01.380 Peak absurdity?

01:25:03.120 Anybody?

01:25:03.780 Did I make

01:25:05.860 my case?

01:25:06.740 I think I

01:25:07.220 did.

01:25:07.760 I think I

01:25:08.160 did.

01:25:09.100 All right.

01:25:09.840 Well, then, in

01:25:10.620 that case, we've

01:25:11.280 done what we

01:25:11.720 need to do

01:25:12.120 today, and

01:25:13.100 I'll see you

01:25:13.780 tomorrow.

01:25:14.380 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 26, 2022

Episode 1908 Scott Adams： Politics Reaches Peak Absurdity Just In Time For The Midterms. Buckle Up

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