Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1911 Scott Adams： Let's Have Fun With The News Because Its Been A Wonderful Week

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to what might be the dawn of the golden age.

00:00:06.040 I think Musk's purchase of Twitter is changing things more than I thought.

00:00:11.600 And I feel like it's not changing the technology so much as how we're thinking about everything and how we see everything.

00:00:19.480 More about that later.

00:00:21.220 But first, how would you like to take it up a notch?

00:00:24.380 All the way from the most exciting thing that's ever happened to you, coffee with Scott Adams, to something transcendent.

00:00:33.080 Well, if you'd like to do that, all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tanker, chelzer, stein, a canteen, jug, or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:40.820 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:42.980 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:49.720 It's called the Simultaneous Sip.

00:00:51.820 And I love you, too.

00:00:54.380 Mmm, mmm, mmm, mmm. Savor it. Savor it. Savor it.

00:01:07.040 Well, Dilbert.com is down this morning. I don't know why. I'll look into it later, but apparently my own website's down.

00:01:15.640 I don't manage it, so I guess I'll have to look into that, too.

00:01:18.580 All right, I've got to tell you this story, but I don't want to give you the personal identifiers in it, so it's sort of a real story, but I'm going to change the name, the name in the story.

00:01:33.020 This actually happened to me last night.

00:01:35.780 So last night, I was in an extended conversation, in a digital way, over the choice of a name.

00:01:46.820 And the idea was to come up with an unusual name, sort of not a common name.

00:01:53.420 It doesn't matter what the name was for or anything.

00:01:56.420 And I'm just going to make up a name.

00:01:58.840 Mortimer.

00:01:59.280 Mortimer. That wasn't the real name.

00:02:01.440 So just imagine that this really happened, but the name is different, right?

00:02:05.560 So conversation went like this.

00:02:08.200 I'm thinking of Mortimer or Mort.

00:02:11.860 Yeah, that's great.

00:02:13.360 You know, that's great for a number of reasons.

00:02:15.420 All right.

00:02:16.240 All right, that's the name.

00:02:17.180 It's going to be Mortimer.

00:02:19.080 Now, keep in mind that Mortimer, I picked it in my example because it's a very unusual name.

00:02:24.120 You don't really, well, Morty, yeah.

00:02:26.700 But you don't hear Mortimer too much, do you?

00:02:29.280 Now, the real name was not Mortimer.

00:02:32.240 It was another one, but it was as unusual as that.

00:02:35.340 Now, 30 minutes after this conversation, and I want to say this clearly,

00:02:41.820 it's a name I probably have never used in 50 years or more.

00:02:47.980 So probably it's a name that has never crossed my lips,

00:02:53.760 and rarely would you ever hear it in the real world.

00:02:56.680 It's a very unusual name.

00:02:57.940 I turned on a TV show from the 70s, and there was an episode in which a huge scene was all about that name

00:03:11.320 and what a good name it was. 0.99

00:03:13.000 Now, what the fuck was that all about? 0.98

00:03:20.740 And literally, it literally included the phrase, wow, that's a good name, within 30 minutes. 0.99

00:03:29.640 What does that mean?

00:03:30.940 I mean, seriously, that couldn't have happened by coincidence, could it?

00:03:38.980 I mean, here's what a coincidence would look like.

00:03:42.800 I'm not going to tell you the name of the show, because I don't want to put any identifiers in it.

00:03:47.640 But it was just crazy.

00:03:52.560 And it's the sort of thing where you have to sit there and think, did I make that happen?

00:03:59.100 I mean, it would be one thing if you simply heard the name, right?

00:04:03.340 That would be a coincidence, because you see that a lot.

00:04:06.100 If the only thing that happened is, you know, we talked about Mortimer, and then I turned on the show,

00:04:12.520 and somebody was named Mortimer, I wouldn't think that's a big coincidence.

00:04:17.220 That would just be like an interesting little thing.

00:04:19.220 But it was a whole scene about whether it was a good name.

00:04:23.120 That is very specific.

00:04:24.520 I mean, how often have you even seen a TV show that discussed whether a name was a good name for a person?

00:04:33.600 And it's just so rare.

00:04:35.040 Anyway, I was blown away by it.

00:04:37.420 All right, so let's talk about some persuasion tips for you.

00:04:43.080 So I tweeted today.

00:04:44.520 As you know, it's been my mission to kill ESG before the end of the year. 0.99

00:04:49.240 Now, when I say kill it, I mean mortally wounded, right? 0.98

00:04:52.480 It's still going to limp along for a while. 0.91

00:04:54.040 But by the end of this year, I want to make it difficult for anyone to think ESG is a good idea.

00:05:01.580 Like, you should sort of automatically feel a little embarrassed if you mention it.

00:05:07.220 And so I tweeted this.

00:05:08.680 I said, if by 2023, just, you know, once for now,

00:05:13.540 if by 2023 you still think ESG is a public good, as opposed to a money-making scheme, that's on you.

00:05:20.920 Now, let me explain the persuasion that is embedded in this simple tweet.

00:05:28.640 Number one, I put a date on it so it makes it sound a little more serious.

00:05:33.620 Whenever you put a date on something or you put a number on it,

00:05:37.760 it takes a concept that doesn't exist and just hardens it.

00:05:42.040 So now it's like a little more real because there's a date.

00:05:45.680 Do you remember what I said provocatively back in 2020? 0.73

00:05:53.700 I said that if Biden got elected, there's a good chance you'll be dead in a year.

00:06:00.260 What was the operative part about that?

00:06:03.100 The dead or the year?

00:06:05.400 Well, they're both pretty operative, but the year actually is pretty operative.

00:06:11.260 Yeah, the year is what makes it solid.

00:06:14.160 Like, oh, it's not just a concern.

00:06:17.960 If I said there's a good chance you'll be dead,

00:06:20.940 then that would just be sort of a free-floating concern.

00:06:23.720 But as soon as I put it within a year, it hardened it,

00:06:26.560 and then everybody got excited about it.

00:06:28.520 So I did the same thing.

00:06:29.660 By 2023, if you still think ESG is a public good,

00:06:32.760 here's the next trick.

00:06:35.320 I said, if you still think, what's the persuasion in that?

00:06:39.920 If you still think, tell me what the persuasion trick is.

00:06:45.800 Yeah.

00:06:46.680 The trick, of course, it's the word still,

00:06:49.380 but the trick is to make somebody embarrassed that they got left behind.

00:06:56.340 Have you ever had that feeling?

00:06:58.200 Wait a minute, why does everybody know something that I don't know?

00:07:00.540 So I'm creating the impression that the smart people have already moved past you.

00:07:09.260 You don't want to be the person who got left behind

00:07:11.900 when the smart people have already moved to a better opinion, right?

00:07:15.480 It makes you automatically competitive.

00:07:18.400 So I'm creating people's, I'm stimulating their competitive juices by saying,

00:07:24.540 well, if you got left behind, you know,

00:07:28.240 and then I say, as opposed to a money-making scheme,

00:07:32.840 how hard is it to convince anybody anywhere of any persuasion

00:07:38.540 that there's something that's really a money-making scheme

00:07:42.400 and is not to their benefit?

00:07:43.540 That's the easiest thing you can convince anybody of.

00:07:48.640 You can pick anything.

00:07:50.300 Say, you know, that a Catholic church,

00:07:54.260 it's really a money-making scheme.

00:07:56.100 I'm not saying that.

00:07:56.980 I'm saying that you could pick anything

00:07:58.240 and just say it's a money-making scheme,

00:08:00.820 and the public is sort of primed to agree with that.

00:08:03.880 Wouldn't you say?

00:08:05.900 Vaccinations.

00:08:06.980 It's not to help the public.

00:08:08.640 It's a money-making scheme.

00:08:10.260 You're right.

00:08:11.300 You're right.

00:08:11.880 Right.

00:08:12.280 So people's heads are just going to bob automatically

00:08:14.600 when you say money-making scheme.

00:08:16.320 Uh-huh.

00:08:16.820 Uh-huh.

00:08:17.520 The Democrats or the Republicans, pick anybody.

00:08:20.580 They're not a real party.

00:08:22.280 They're a money-making scheme.

00:08:23.420 Uh-huh.

00:08:23.900 Uh-huh.

00:08:24.640 It's just automatic.

00:08:26.580 So I've got all the automatics in there.

00:08:28.620 I'm making you think past the sale.

00:08:30.400 I've got a high ground maneuver.

00:08:32.160 I've got a date to harden it.

00:08:33.880 I've got an alternative, so you can imagine the alternative.

00:08:38.580 And then I ended with, that's on you.

00:08:40.460 If you still think ESG is a public good, that's on you.

00:08:43.800 Because I want people to know

00:08:45.240 that they will literally be embarrassed

00:08:48.040 to hold this opinion longer.

00:08:51.340 You will be embarrassed to hold this opinion.

00:08:54.220 Now, this also very subtly gives you an out.

00:09:00.480 Because you know what triggers cognitive dissonance?

00:09:03.880 What triggers cognitive dissonance is being wrong

00:09:06.940 and then being shown to be wrong

00:09:09.280 in sort of a way that other people can notice, especially.

00:09:13.600 So I've allowed that there's something

00:09:16.260 like an evolution involved here.

00:09:18.660 It's not like you were wrong

00:09:20.060 and now I have to convince you to be right

00:09:21.940 because that would just trigger cognitive dissonance.

00:09:24.840 Instead, I'll say, you know, we're all on this path.

00:09:28.400 The path from thinking it was good

00:09:31.120 to realizing it's a money-making scheme.

00:09:33.860 So you and I, we're all the same.

00:09:36.220 You're on the path, I'm on the path.

00:09:38.280 But I'm going to take the path.

00:09:40.340 If you decide to move slower or don't take the path,

00:09:43.520 well, that would be on you.

00:09:44.920 But the path is there for all of us, right?

00:09:47.340 It's not like I'm special. 1.00

00:09:48.900 I'm not arrogant, you're dumb. 1.00

00:09:51.060 Nothing like that. 1.00

00:09:52.260 The path is there.

00:09:53.360 Just get on it.

00:09:54.020 All right, so you can see that you can pack a lot

00:09:58.360 into about 20 words or whatever that was.

00:10:01.660 And I can tell it works

00:10:03.000 because although it didn't get a lot of retweets

00:10:05.180 relative to, you know, my most retweetable stuff,

00:10:09.880 it did get over 2,200 likes,

00:10:12.060 which in my universe would be showing strong approval

00:10:15.780 for the tweet.

00:10:18.220 All right.

00:10:20.600 It also makes you research, forgot to mention.

00:10:24.020 If you can do some persuasion

00:10:26.320 that makes somebody go look it up,

00:10:28.700 that's a real winner.

00:10:31.220 Because if somebody takes the time to research

00:10:33.380 whether what you said is true

00:10:34.720 or to research any part of it,

00:10:37.080 then that becomes much stickier

00:10:39.100 than something that somebody heard

00:10:41.360 and then didn't act on with their muscles

00:10:43.780 and their brains and their actual body.

00:10:47.240 All right.

00:10:49.980 Here are two words that I would like you

00:10:53.220 to remove from your vocabulary

00:10:55.320 as much as possible.

00:10:58.360 This is not a standard which I can achieve myself.

00:11:01.720 So it's sort of like a, you know,

00:11:03.660 something to aim for,

00:11:05.740 but we can't really reach this goal.

00:11:08.880 And that is to stop using the words must and should

00:11:12.360 in terms of argument.

00:11:15.860 Must and should.

00:11:17.500 Must and should are very handy words

00:11:19.600 when you're just trying to not discuss something.

00:11:23.860 If you want to not have an argument,

00:11:26.060 just say somebody must do something,

00:11:28.000 like a child.

00:11:29.660 Nah, yeah, I don't want to hear your reasons.

00:11:31.460 You must do this.

00:11:32.980 No, you must.

00:11:34.140 Yeah, I know you have reasons,

00:11:35.140 but you must do this.

00:11:36.880 So that would be a good use of must.

00:11:39.760 Should is the same thing.

00:11:42.080 Should tries to trick you

00:11:44.440 into thinking there are reasons,

00:11:46.680 but it's just a word.

00:11:49.260 It's just a should.

00:11:51.080 So when you say should or you say must,

00:11:54.800 the first thing that goes off in my head is,

00:11:57.740 oh, you don't have an argument.

00:12:00.220 Right?

00:12:00.820 Because people don't use those words

00:12:02.740 when they have reasons.

00:12:03.680 Here's what a reason sounds like.

00:12:07.500 Oh, if you do that,

00:12:08.760 there's a high risk you'll die.

00:12:12.040 That's different than you shouldn't do that.

00:12:15.700 Right?

00:12:16.220 It's pretty different.

00:12:17.820 So don't use must and should,

00:12:19.900 or at least reduce them.

00:12:22.100 I ask this question because it's really,

00:12:26.680 I mean, in some ways,

00:12:27.500 it's the biggest question in the country,

00:12:29.460 and it's weird how little attention it gets.

00:12:32.040 At the same time, it gets lots of attention,

00:12:34.940 meaning that all the people giving it attention

00:12:36.860 live in bubbles,

00:12:39.560 and their bubbles don't collide.

00:12:42.640 So here's the question.

00:12:45.080 Do you know anybody personally,

00:12:47.800 personally,

00:12:49.120 not something you read about,

00:12:51.160 but do you know anybody personally

00:12:52.740 who you suspect,

00:12:55.540 suspect is a key word because you don't know,

00:12:57.460 do you know anybody personally

00:12:59.080 that you suspect died from a vaccination complication?

00:13:05.320 So now my Twitter followers

00:13:08.020 are anything but a random group.

00:13:11.840 They lean right.

00:13:14.840 But what percentage do you imagine,

00:13:17.360 believe that they know somebody who died,

00:13:21.460 actually died,

00:13:23.260 from a vaccination?

00:13:24.000 And the answer is 24%.

00:13:27.540 24%.

00:13:28.920 Which is roughly a quarter.

00:13:33.480 So you could round it.

00:13:34.860 Some people would round that to 25%.

00:13:36.780 But I'm not making any point about it.

00:13:39.300 I'm just saying rounds. 0.98

00:13:42.440 Now, I'm just sort of being a dick. 0.91

00:13:45.660 The 25% rule that I always joke about, 0.97

00:13:49.220 that 25% of the public

00:13:50.600 will get every poll question wrong,

00:13:52.220 doesn't matter what the question is.

00:13:54.280 There's just something magic about that number.

00:13:56.200 25% get everything wrong.

00:13:58.220 But I don't think that applies

00:14:00.460 in this particular case.

00:14:03.360 In this particular case,

00:14:05.060 I'm going to give you an exception

00:14:06.400 and not do the 25% rule

00:14:09.860 because that's just for fun.

00:14:11.520 This is actually life and death.

00:14:15.520 Now let me ask you this.

00:14:16.960 If you had never heard of vaccinations,

00:14:22.020 would you have even noticed?

00:14:26.820 Because I wonder how often people die

00:14:28.980 for reasons that they're too young.

00:14:33.640 I mean, are there that many people

00:14:35.200 dying unexpectedly?

00:14:36.360 I mean, there are lots of reasons

00:14:41.720 for extra excess deaths.

00:14:44.500 Everything from healthcare that was deferred

00:14:47.560 to people got fatter

00:14:49.120 to maybe they have a long COVID.

00:14:52.500 I don't know.

00:14:54.340 Yeah, it's the healthy ones, I say.

00:14:56.340 It's the healthy ones who are dying.

00:14:58.180 I don't know.

00:14:59.400 Here's what I can't understand.

00:15:00.800 If it's true,

00:15:04.740 imagine it's true

00:15:05.680 that something like a quarter of you

00:15:07.660 actually personally knows somebody

00:15:10.440 who died unexpectedly,

00:15:13.240 meaning they're not filled with comorbidities

00:15:16.400 at 80 years old,

00:15:17.480 that they're young

00:15:18.160 and nothing obviously wrong with them.

00:15:20.660 Don't you think that if a quarter of you

00:15:22.700 were seeing this in the real world

00:15:24.380 and it was real,

00:15:26.740 don't you think the medical community

00:15:28.400 would be more aggressive about this

00:15:30.120 or do we still believe

00:15:31.760 that they're just worried

00:15:33.420 about their paychecks

00:15:35.720 and that something of this scale

00:15:38.720 they would still ignore?

00:15:42.480 What would be the scale

00:15:43.860 at which you think

00:15:44.720 there would be a tipping point?

00:15:46.580 This is just a mental exercise.

00:15:49.300 Now, I'm not convinced

00:15:50.880 that these unexplained deaths

00:15:53.780 are vaccinated related.

00:15:55.800 I'm not convinced.

00:15:56.780 I could be.

00:15:58.260 I could be.

00:15:58.940 So let me be really clear.

00:16:00.560 If it turns out

00:16:01.400 that they are vaccination related,

00:16:04.240 don't come to me and say,

00:16:05.880 you said that wasn't the case.

00:16:07.260 I never said that.

00:16:08.740 I'm saying I don't have information

00:16:10.520 that I find compelling personally.

00:16:15.420 But there's nothing

00:16:17.100 that would rule it out.

00:16:18.540 I'm not aware of anything

00:16:19.420 that would rule it out.

00:16:20.420 Are you?

00:16:22.460 Is there anything

00:16:23.200 that would rule out

00:16:24.180 the possibility

00:16:24.840 that there is

00:16:25.620 an unusual amount

00:16:27.280 of vaccination related deaths?

00:16:28.940 I'm not aware of anything.

00:16:30.360 But I'm not aware

00:16:31.240 of anything

00:16:31.580 that confirms it either.

00:16:35.340 So,

00:16:36.600 but let me ask you this question

00:16:38.420 just hypothetically.

00:16:40.440 Suppose,

00:16:41.040 suppose 75% of you

00:16:43.560 were aware

00:16:45.880 of somebody personally

00:16:47.300 who died

00:16:48.100 probably from a vaccination.

00:16:50.220 You don't know,

00:16:50.780 but the timing suggests it.

00:16:54.260 Suppose 75%

00:16:55.560 of you were aware of it.

00:16:56.860 Do you think

00:16:57.260 that the medical community

00:16:58.460 could still say,

00:16:59.380 yeah, but paychecks?

00:17:03.120 Suppose a million people

00:17:04.600 a year started dying

00:17:05.860 unexpectedly.

00:17:07.240 Would the medical community

00:17:08.760 as a whole

00:17:09.420 still say,

00:17:10.500 mm-mm,

00:17:11.700 mm-mm,

00:17:12.940 no,

00:17:13.280 mm,

00:17:13.760 paychecks,

00:17:14.560 got to get our paychecks,

00:17:15.720 mm,

00:17:16.060 no.

00:17:16.920 Would you still see

00:17:17.880 only the rogues?

00:17:18.820 Would it still be

00:17:20.820 just, you know,

00:17:21.500 Dr. McCullough

00:17:22.240 and Dr. Malone?

00:17:24.040 Would they still be

00:17:24.640 the only ones out there?

00:17:26.540 Not the only ones.

00:17:27.640 There are other ones

00:17:28.540 out there.

00:17:30.300 But I'm just wondering

00:17:31.400 if,

00:17:31.940 do you see any tipping point?

00:17:34.220 Is there any level

00:17:35.620 at which this

00:17:37.040 suspected problem,

00:17:38.880 if the suspected part

00:17:40.280 got bigger and bigger,

00:17:41.260 is there any level

00:17:42.160 that people would go

00:17:43.840 against their

00:17:44.400 economic interest?

00:17:47.080 I don't know.

00:17:47.840 I don't know.

00:17:49.800 At some point,

00:17:50.620 even the,

00:17:51.740 you know,

00:17:52.060 the media would notice,

00:17:53.100 right?

00:17:54.340 Well,

00:17:54.860 here's the thing.

00:17:55.700 To me,

00:17:56.300 it's already

00:17:57.240 at that level

00:17:57.960 where I can't imagine

00:17:59.220 the medical community

00:18:00.420 would not have

00:18:02.460 risen at one

00:18:04.380 and said,

00:18:05.020 all right,

00:18:05.960 we're going to have

00:18:06.740 to take this seriously.

00:18:08.540 So there's something

00:18:09.420 going on here.

00:18:10.380 I don't know

00:18:10.740 exactly what it is.

00:18:11.740 It's an interesting mystery.

00:18:14.340 All right.

00:18:14.700 Let me cause

00:18:16.880 some real trouble here.

00:18:18.620 I tweeted today

00:18:19.840 to make everybody angry.

00:18:21.720 And this is based

00:18:22.320 on a bunch of stuff

00:18:23.140 I'm seeing on social media.

00:18:25.200 So this is not

00:18:25.960 Scott was sitting there

00:18:27.220 and cooked up

00:18:28.280 a new thing

00:18:29.040 to be provocative.

00:18:30.760 This is Scott

00:18:31.560 keeps seeing

00:18:32.280 the same thing

00:18:33.260 on social media.

00:18:34.220 And the same thing is

00:18:35.080 that marriage 0.65

00:18:36.680 doesn't work

00:18:37.520 because women 0.99

00:18:39.640 are incentivized

00:18:40.660 to cheat

00:18:41.740 and take your money

00:18:42.540 and leave.

00:18:42.960 And I'm seeing

00:18:44.200 women say it, 1.00

00:18:44.940 basically.

00:18:45.180 There's one woman

00:18:46.260 in particular

00:18:46.800 who's getting

00:18:47.160 a lot of retweets

00:18:48.880 or getting a lot

00:18:51.760 of attention

00:18:52.380 on mostly Instagram.

00:18:55.080 And the idea

00:18:56.320 goes like this.

00:18:59.540 Two people

00:19:00.360 are dating

00:19:00.820 and they show

00:19:02.140 each other

00:19:02.580 their best side.

00:19:03.500 so then they decide

00:19:05.440 to get married.

00:19:06.820 And as soon as

00:19:07.400 you're married

00:19:07.840 you end up

00:19:09.140 relaxing, right?

00:19:10.460 You don't,

00:19:11.080 you're not as romantic

00:19:12.440 and you have kids

00:19:15.000 and then the kids

00:19:15.640 are the priority

00:19:16.300 and you get busy

00:19:17.160 and you see each other

00:19:18.480 dirty and unwashed 0.51

00:19:20.120 and sick 0.99

00:19:21.520 and every other

00:19:22.340 bad thing.

00:19:24.240 So you've got

00:19:24.940 some challenges.

00:19:26.180 Now in the past

00:19:27.040 that was still

00:19:29.320 enough to stay married.

00:19:30.300 I don't know

00:19:30.580 if they were happy

00:19:31.120 or not

00:19:31.460 but people

00:19:32.080 more likely

00:19:33.180 stay married.

00:19:34.720 But in the modern world

00:19:36.100 the,

00:19:37.200 have I ever told you

00:19:37.920 to follow the money?

00:19:38.700 You know,

00:19:40.900 one of my most

00:19:41.700 consistent themes

00:19:42.800 is that

00:19:43.840 follow the money

00:19:44.700 works

00:19:45.360 even when you

00:19:46.860 don't think you should.

00:19:48.920 Right?

00:19:49.620 It just works

00:19:50.360 every time.

00:19:51.740 Just,

00:19:52.440 it's so consistent.

00:19:54.120 And the idea

00:19:55.220 is that

00:19:55.720 if a young woman

00:19:56.940 gets married

00:19:57.640 to a guy

00:19:58.140 who's got some money

00:19:58.900 and then she decides

00:20:00.860 to divorce him

00:20:01.620 she gets,

00:20:02.440 you know,

00:20:02.840 a portion of that money

00:20:04.040 and then she can

00:20:05.380 just go find

00:20:06.200 another guy

00:20:07.060 who's more exciting.

00:20:08.700 So she doesn't have

00:20:10.200 to stay with

00:20:10.880 a suboptable guy

00:20:12.280 when she can

00:20:13.780 take money

00:20:15.040 and improve

00:20:16.580 her situation

00:20:17.340 by just cheating

00:20:18.460 and ruining the marriage

00:20:20.120 and moving on.

00:20:22.040 Now,

00:20:23.160 and there's always

00:20:24.120 someone more exciting

00:20:25.000 because social media

00:20:26.040 makes everything,

00:20:27.620 everything possible.

00:20:30.440 Now,

00:20:31.700 here's what I think

00:20:32.640 is the biggest, 1.00

00:20:33.600 biggest fuck you 1.00

00:20:35.580 that the public 1.00

00:20:36.480 has ever given itself.

00:20:37.620 We keep blaming

00:20:39.460 each other for this.

00:20:41.900 Cut it out.

00:20:43.520 Cut it out.

00:20:44.920 Like,

00:20:45.540 if two people

00:20:46.140 have a divorce, 0.99

00:20:47.200 what do we assholes 0.99

00:20:48.180 say about them? 1.00

00:20:50.180 We're assholes. 1.00

00:20:51.420 We say, 1.00

00:20:51.940 well,

00:20:52.160 you picked wrong.

00:20:53.500 You picked wrong,

00:20:54.160 right?

00:20:54.680 It's on you.

00:20:55.300 You picked wrong. 1.00

00:20:56.780 It's not your fucking fault. 1.00

00:20:59.200 The fault is that 1.00

00:21:00.300 society is designed

00:21:02.220 to sort of

00:21:03.340 encourage you

00:21:04.180 to get into

00:21:04.720 this one kind

00:21:05.540 of arrangement

00:21:06.140 and it simply

00:21:07.400 doesn't work

00:21:08.160 in 2022

00:21:08.860 for most people.

00:21:11.100 Now,

00:21:11.440 are there people

00:21:12.240 for whom it works?

00:21:13.960 Yes.

00:21:15.340 Yes.

00:21:16.200 Can we all agree

00:21:16.860 on that?

00:21:18.020 Can we all agree

00:21:18.760 that people

00:21:19.380 are so different

00:21:20.260 that you could

00:21:21.640 pick anything

00:21:22.340 and it works

00:21:23.280 for somebody,

00:21:24.060 right?

00:21:25.820 Is there somebody

00:21:26.760 in the world

00:21:27.240 who can smoke cigarettes

00:21:28.480 every day of their life

00:21:29.480 and live to 100?

00:21:31.060 Yes.

00:21:32.180 Yes.

00:21:33.060 Does that mean

00:21:33.780 you should smoke cigarettes?

00:21:35.120 No.

00:21:36.200 No.

00:21:36.620 It means that

00:21:37.240 we're so different

00:21:38.200 everybody can find

00:21:39.980 something that works

00:21:40.780 that might not work

00:21:41.660 for you.

00:21:43.240 But,

00:21:44.160 in my opinion,

00:21:47.320 it is obvious

00:21:48.340 that marriage 0.65

00:21:49.620 doesn't work

00:21:50.220 in 2022.

00:21:51.880 It's obvious.

00:21:53.400 And I think

00:21:54.020 we all see it.

00:21:55.580 But we don't

00:21:56.360 have an option.

00:21:57.880 There's no option.

00:21:59.260 Because,

00:21:59.900 let me be very clear,

00:22:00.820 being single

00:22:01.340 isn't any good.

00:22:02.040 I've been married

00:22:04.760 and I've been single.

00:22:05.920 I can tell you

00:22:06.560 that there are

00:22:06.860 two conditions

00:22:07.480 that definitely

00:22:08.020 don't satisfy.

00:22:10.320 One is being single

00:22:11.440 and one is being married.

00:22:13.740 Those are two conditions

00:22:14.820 that absolutely

00:22:15.560 do not meet

00:22:16.620 the needs

00:22:17.140 of a modern

00:22:18.480 person

00:22:19.540 or many of us.

00:22:22.500 You know,

00:22:22.740 again,

00:22:23.420 everybody's different.

00:22:25.060 So, yes,

00:22:25.680 marriage 100%

00:22:26.720 meets the needs

00:22:27.440 of some people.

00:22:29.080 It's just

00:22:29.700 not many of them

00:22:30.660 or not enough

00:22:31.820 of them,

00:22:32.140 I guess.

00:22:33.480 Now,

00:22:34.040 I've heard a bunch

00:22:34.600 of people say,

00:22:35.120 well,

00:22:35.340 if you tweak this,

00:22:36.460 if you tweak that.

00:22:38.060 I don't think so.

00:22:39.840 I don't think so.

00:22:41.580 I,

00:22:41.820 you know,

00:22:42.680 I don't think,

00:22:43.440 you know,

00:22:45.920 I don't think

00:22:46.280 having multiple

00:22:47.080 couples works.

00:22:48.340 I don't know

00:22:48.840 anything

00:22:49.120 that works.

00:22:50.600 I'm not aware

00:22:51.220 of any method

00:22:52.020 that works

00:22:52.560 sort of generally.

00:22:53.980 and if you

00:22:56.480 were going

00:22:56.740 to design

00:22:57.300 the system

00:22:57.920 of marriage

00:22:58.380 that didn't

00:22:58.820 exist,

00:23:00.120 would you ever

00:23:00.720 have designed

00:23:01.200 this system?

00:23:03.580 I mean,

00:23:03.840 think about it.

00:23:04.740 Like,

00:23:05.060 if no one

00:23:05.840 had ever

00:23:06.320 thought of

00:23:07.400 marriage,

00:23:08.600 like it just

00:23:09.040 didn't exist,

00:23:10.460 would you

00:23:10.900 have come up

00:23:11.440 with it?

00:23:13.740 Because,

00:23:14.520 so here's

00:23:14.920 the problem.

00:23:16.300 In the old

00:23:17.000 days,

00:23:17.660 men and women

00:23:18.420 offered something

00:23:19.380 to each other

00:23:20.080 that they

00:23:21.980 couldn't do

00:23:23.420 on their own,

00:23:24.020 right?

00:23:25.020 Because if the

00:23:25.600 guy's out

00:23:26.040 farming all day,

00:23:27.380 the guy can't

00:23:28.060 have a baby,

00:23:29.900 the guy can't,

00:23:30.800 you know,

00:23:31.120 raise the baby

00:23:31.760 if he's also

00:23:32.480 farming,

00:23:33.680 you know,

00:23:33.940 so it made

00:23:35.180 complete sense

00:23:36.200 at one point.

00:23:37.160 It made

00:23:37.340 economic sense,

00:23:39.440 it made

00:23:39.960 social sense,

00:23:41.140 it made

00:23:41.420 survival sense,

00:23:42.300 it made sense

00:23:42.780 in every way.

00:23:44.160 Now you go

00:23:44.840 to 2022,

00:23:46.400 and now

00:23:46.920 the entire

00:23:48.060 last 50 years

00:23:49.480 have been

00:23:50.420 dedicated to

00:23:51.100 make individuals

00:23:51.980 not need

00:23:52.700 anybody.

00:23:53.680 Am I right?

00:23:54.860 The last 50

00:23:55.880 years of

00:23:56.420 social change

00:23:57.220 are mostly

00:23:58.440 about making

00:23:59.800 each individual

00:24:00.740 capable of

00:24:01.600 supporting themselves

00:24:02.460 in every way

00:24:03.760 that you can

00:24:04.160 support yourself.

00:24:05.340 You can get

00:24:05.800 a job,

00:24:06.480 you can get

00:24:06.840 your own

00:24:07.100 health care,

00:24:08.120 you can hire

00:24:08.740 a nanny,

00:24:09.600 you can find

00:24:12.040 friends on the

00:24:12.660 internet.

00:24:14.120 Basically,

00:24:14.900 everything you

00:24:15.660 need can be

00:24:17.600 provided in

00:24:18.240 other ways,

00:24:18.680 and society

00:24:19.340 has pushed

00:24:21.040 very hard

00:24:21.540 to make

00:24:21.880 sure that

00:24:22.220 a woman 0.57

00:24:22.600 can not

00:24:24.020 only get

00:24:24.480 married if

00:24:24.980 she wants 0.85

00:24:25.340 to,

00:24:26.840 but she

00:24:27.320 can have

00:24:27.820 as good

00:24:29.060 or a better

00:24:29.420 job than

00:24:29.940 the guy

00:24:30.240 she married.

00:24:32.220 Don't we

00:24:32.840 all agree

00:24:33.280 with that

00:24:33.740 being a good

00:24:34.300 idea?

00:24:35.260 So it's

00:24:35.820 not like

00:24:36.140 it's a bad

00:24:36.560 idea.

00:24:37.900 Is there

00:24:38.180 anybody who

00:24:38.620 thinks women 1.00

00:24:39.120 should make

00:24:39.640 less than

00:24:40.140 men for

00:24:40.580 doing the

00:24:40.960 same work?

00:24:42.160 I've never

00:24:42.800 met anybody

00:24:43.440 who had

00:24:43.680 that opinion.

00:24:44.880 Have you?

00:24:46.080 Have you ever

00:24:46.620 met anybody

00:24:47.220 who thought a

00:24:47.640 woman should be 1.00

00:24:48.220 paid less

00:24:48.700 for doing

00:24:49.120 exactly the

00:24:49.840 same job

00:24:50.260 as a man?

00:24:51.380 I've never

00:24:51.800 met one

00:24:52.280 person who

00:24:52.680 had that

00:24:52.940 opinion.

00:24:53.660 So we're

00:24:54.020 all happy

00:24:54.400 about the

00:24:54.720 changes.

00:24:58.380 All right,

00:24:59.280 so here's

00:24:59.840 Captain Hank,

00:25:00.720 and by the

00:25:01.160 way, just so

00:25:01.960 you're not

00:25:02.580 as sexist, 0.67

00:25:03.880 Hank, you 1.00

00:25:04.420 stupid cunt. 1.00

00:25:06.060 Let me say 1.00

00:25:07.080 again my

00:25:09.480 simple point.

00:25:10.340 if you

00:25:11.980 believe the

00:25:12.580 problem is

00:25:13.360 the people

00:25:14.160 chose wrong,

00:25:16.580 you are in

00:25:17.680 a serious

00:25:18.320 delusion.

00:25:19.880 It's very

00:25:20.500 obvious that

00:25:21.880 that's not

00:25:22.480 the problem.

00:25:23.540 Because if

00:25:24.220 people choosing

00:25:24.960 wrong is

00:25:26.520 part of the

00:25:27.080 system and

00:25:27.660 we can't do

00:25:28.280 it right,

00:25:28.840 that means the

00:25:29.580 system is

00:25:30.140 broken.

00:25:31.280 If people

00:25:32.020 were capable

00:25:32.620 of choosing

00:25:33.220 right, well

00:25:34.960 then I'd say,

00:25:35.680 well that's a

00:25:36.120 good system.

00:25:37.380 You take

00:25:38.100 this system

00:25:38.660 and then you

00:25:39.100 add people

00:25:39.660 to it who

00:25:40.160 can choose

00:25:40.680 correctly on

00:25:41.440 a consistent

00:25:42.160 basis.

00:25:43.080 You've got a

00:25:43.700 good system

00:25:44.180 there, Captain.

00:25:45.700 But if you

00:25:46.320 know you're 0.99

00:25:47.780 not fucking 0.99

00:25:48.460 guessing, you're 0.99

00:25:50.340 not guessing,

00:25:51.760 you know this

00:25:52.560 doesn't work for

00:25:53.220 half of the

00:25:53.720 people who try

00:25:54.320 it, at least.

00:25:55.220 I think it's

00:25:55.740 75%.

00:25:56.620 But you

00:25:58.480 know it

00:25:58.840 doesn't.

00:25:59.880 So stop

00:26:00.480 acting like the

00:26:01.780 people are

00:26:02.400 broken and the

00:26:03.660 system works.

00:26:05.600 Not true.

00:26:06.660 The system

00:26:07.680 can't work

00:26:08.720 for most

00:26:10.340 people in

00:26:10.880 2022.

00:26:12.660 And now,

00:26:13.580 because some

00:26:14.180 of you will

00:26:15.560 not be able to

00:26:16.260 handle this

00:26:16.820 point, I have

00:26:18.020 to keep saying

00:26:18.840 it can

00:26:19.760 definitely work

00:26:20.800 for some

00:26:21.300 of you.

00:26:23.260 And I know

00:26:24.080 that no matter

00:26:24.620 how many times

00:26:25.280 I say it

00:26:25.880 definitely is

00:26:26.680 perfect for

00:26:27.320 some of you,

00:26:28.900 the argument

00:26:29.580 will be,

00:26:31.340 but it works

00:26:32.020 for me.

00:26:34.700 No, that's

00:26:35.500 not an

00:26:35.840 argument.

00:26:36.660 The fact

00:26:38.860 that it

00:26:39.100 works for

00:26:39.480 you doesn't

00:26:40.200 really conflict

00:26:42.140 with my

00:26:42.560 point at

00:26:43.000 all.

00:26:43.640 Not at

00:26:43.980 all.

00:26:45.200 Not at

00:26:45.580 all.

00:26:45.740 It's

00:26:45.860 completely

00:26:46.240 compatible

00:26:46.680 with my

00:26:47.120 point.

00:26:47.860 It works

00:26:48.440 for some

00:26:49.080 of you.

00:26:50.020 Now, why

00:26:50.860 does this

00:26:51.280 illusion persist?

00:26:52.220 would you

00:26:54.300 would you like

00:26:54.500 me to give

00:26:55.420 you a 0.57

00:26:56.020 demonstration

00:26:56.540 right now

00:26:57.280 why this

00:26:58.500 illusion

00:26:58.900 persists

00:26:59.560 despite the

00:27:01.480 obviousness of

00:27:02.460 it being

00:27:02.800 false?

00:27:03.760 I'm going to

00:27:04.180 give you a

00:27:04.800 working model

00:27:06.500 of it right

00:27:07.000 now.

00:27:08.180 Married

00:27:08.620 men,

00:27:09.760 married men,

00:27:11.220 just the

00:27:11.740 married men,

00:27:13.100 tell me if

00:27:13.740 you're happy in

00:27:14.380 your marriage.

00:27:15.260 Go.

00:27:15.420 Go.

00:27:17.320 Married men,

00:27:18.540 are you happy in

00:27:19.240 your marriage?

00:27:21.220 A lot of

00:27:21.840 yeses.

00:27:22.860 Look at all

00:27:23.340 those yeses.

00:27:24.520 Now, some

00:27:24.820 people said no,

00:27:25.960 but overwhelmingly,

00:27:27.560 yes, yes, yes,

00:27:28.460 yes, yes, yes,

00:27:29.540 yes, yes, yes,

00:27:29.980 yes, yes, yes,

00:27:30.680 yes, yes, yes,

00:27:31.300 yes, yes, yes.

00:27:33.140 Have I ever

00:27:33.900 mentioned that

00:27:34.420 all men are 0.99

00:27:34.860 liars? 0.91

00:27:37.600 Here's another 0.85

00:27:38.340 meme that's

00:27:39.280 going around

00:27:39.680 the internet.

00:27:41.700 If, as a

00:27:42.520 woman, you 1.00

00:27:43.380 force your

00:27:44.180 man to lie

00:27:44.860 to you,

00:27:45.880 he will do

00:27:46.480 what he needs

00:27:47.080 to do to

00:27:47.620 survive.

00:27:49.240 And they're

00:27:49.940 doing it

00:27:50.300 right now.

00:27:51.240 They're all 1.00

00:27:52.000 fucking lying 1.00

00:27:52.640 to you in 1.00

00:27:53.120 public.

00:27:54.600 Again, let

00:27:55.840 me adjust.

00:27:56.860 Some of

00:27:57.380 you, some

00:27:58.800 of you are

00:27:59.340 genuinely

00:27:59.880 happy.

00:28:01.060 Some of

00:28:01.640 you picked

00:28:02.040 the right

00:28:02.420 people.

00:28:03.220 For some

00:28:04.060 of you,

00:28:04.520 marriage is

00:28:04.960 perfect.

00:28:05.640 Are we

00:28:06.080 okay?

00:28:06.420 Have I

00:28:06.660 stipulated

00:28:07.160 that again

00:28:07.660 every one

00:28:08.300 minute?

00:28:09.060 Because you

00:28:09.480 can't have

00:28:09.880 this conversation

00:28:10.580 unless you

00:28:11.060 stipulate that 0.99

00:28:11.900 every fucking 1.00

00:28:13.140 one minute. 1.00

00:28:14.140 Let me do

00:28:14.520 it again.

00:28:15.360 Let me

00:28:15.640 stipulate.

00:28:16.200 Some people,

00:28:17.540 some few

00:28:18.200 people,

00:28:18.600 marriage is

00:28:19.020 perfect.

00:28:20.080 Don't use

00:28:20.700 that argument

00:28:21.260 for the rest

00:28:22.000 of us.

00:28:23.440 Don't use

00:28:24.000 that argument

00:28:24.440 for the rest

00:28:24.900 of us.

00:28:25.580 Do you know

00:28:25.860 what is good

00:28:26.340 for some

00:28:27.040 people? 1.00

00:28:27.760 Sucking a 1.00

00:28:28.420 dick. 1.00

00:28:29.600 For some 0.92

00:28:30.360 people, 0.99

00:28:30.820 sucking a 1.00

00:28:31.360 dick is a 1.00

00:28:31.940 great day.

00:28:33.540 It just

00:28:34.300 isn't for

00:28:34.740 everybody.

00:28:35.860 Okay?

00:28:36.860 So, no

00:28:37.680 matter how

00:28:38.140 much you 1.00

00:28:38.500 love sucking 1.00

00:28:39.000 a dick, 1.00

00:28:40.000 and I'm 1.00

00:28:40.320 okay with

00:28:40.700 that, by

00:28:40.980 the way.

00:28:41.320 I'm not,

00:28:42.700 I'm not,

00:28:43.560 it's not a

00:28:44.200 criticism.

00:28:45.120 I'm just

00:28:45.700 saying that

00:28:46.080 people are

00:28:46.420 different.

00:28:47.180 Right?

00:28:47.340 If that's

00:28:48.460 your thing,

00:28:49.300 do not

00:28:50.060 argue that

00:28:50.680 it's my

00:28:51.120 thing and

00:28:51.580 everybody else's

00:28:52.200 thing because

00:28:52.740 you love it

00:28:53.160 so much.

00:28:54.300 All right?

00:28:54.860 Same with

00:28:55.420 marriage.

00:28:56.460 It's just 1.00

00:28:57.040 like sucking 1.00

00:28:57.540 a dick. 1.00

00:28:58.760 It's something 0.99

00:28:59.700 that works

00:29:00.160 great for

00:29:01.860 some people.

00:29:03.020 It's just

00:29:03.640 not an

00:29:03.940 argument for

00:29:04.400 everybody else.

00:29:07.160 All right.

00:29:07.460 And, let's

00:29:13.200 see.

00:29:14.420 So, I

00:29:14.700 think men

00:29:15.000 are lying

00:29:15.480 about how

00:29:16.440 happy they

00:29:16.920 are, and

00:29:17.360 also there's

00:29:17.860 some, you

00:29:19.920 know, cognitive

00:29:20.540 dissonance that

00:29:21.340 goes into

00:29:21.700 there.

00:29:22.420 But I also

00:29:23.040 think men

00:29:23.480 are easier

00:29:23.880 to please.

00:29:25.340 Let me

00:29:25.920 give you,

00:29:27.060 all right,

00:29:27.560 I'm just

00:29:27.900 going to

00:29:28.120 say it.

00:29:29.720 I'm just

00:29:30.260 going to

00:29:30.480 say it.

00:29:32.000 You know,

00:29:32.440 you always

00:29:33.160 think to

00:29:33.480 yourself,

00:29:34.160 how honest

00:29:34.980 do you

00:29:35.220 want to

00:29:35.480 be?

00:29:35.660 So, I'm

00:29:39.380 going to

00:29:39.480 be a

00:29:39.740 little extra

00:29:40.300 honest.

00:29:40.920 It's my

00:29:41.340 belief, after

00:29:42.460 living a

00:29:44.160 lifetime, that

00:29:45.880 evolution has

00:29:46.800 created a

00:29:48.060 situation in

00:29:48.880 which the

00:29:50.540 most natural

00:29:51.660 arrangement for

00:29:52.520 a man and

00:29:53.000 woman is a 1.00

00:29:54.700 woman who 0.99

00:29:55.300 cannot be

00:29:56.020 pleased, and

00:29:57.660 a man who

00:29:58.380 doesn't know

00:29:59.060 that she

00:29:59.800 cannot be

00:30:00.420 pleased.

00:30:01.340 And he's

00:30:01.700 pretty sure

00:30:02.160 that the

00:30:02.520 next thing

00:30:02.940 he does is

00:30:03.440 going to

00:30:03.660 get it

00:30:03.920 done.

00:30:04.140 Because men

00:30:06.040 are perpetually

00:30:08.200 fooled by

00:30:09.660 women who 0.99

00:30:10.200 say, if you

00:30:10.680 give me one

00:30:11.160 more thing,

00:30:11.620 I'll be

00:30:11.860 happy.

00:30:12.740 If you

00:30:13.160 just do

00:30:13.500 this one

00:30:13.880 thing.

00:30:14.880 I got one

00:30:15.700 complaint.

00:30:16.900 I just

00:30:17.280 have one

00:30:17.660 problem.

00:30:18.460 Seriously,

00:30:18.940 just one

00:30:19.340 problem.

00:30:20.080 If you

00:30:20.400 could fix

00:30:20.780 this one

00:30:21.180 problem,

00:30:21.760 well, thank

00:30:22.220 you.

00:30:22.460 Thank you

00:30:22.860 for fixing

00:30:23.380 that one

00:30:23.780 problem.

00:30:24.800 Well, I

00:30:25.080 have this

00:30:25.360 other

00:30:25.540 problem.

00:30:27.660 All right.

00:30:28.380 Now, let

00:30:30.280 me be really

00:30:31.200 clear.

00:30:31.580 am I

00:30:33.660 telling you

00:30:34.080 there's

00:30:34.320 something

00:30:34.600 wrong with

00:30:35.380 women? 1.00

00:30:36.860 No.

00:30:38.020 Nope.

00:30:38.700 I'm telling

00:30:39.240 you that I

00:30:39.740 believe that

00:30:41.380 we evolve

00:30:42.060 this way for

00:30:43.280 the best

00:30:44.500 possible reason,

00:30:45.740 that it

00:30:46.460 seems to be

00:30:47.120 supportive of

00:30:48.000 having children.

00:30:50.120 It seems to

00:30:51.180 help us

00:30:51.760 survive as a

00:30:53.180 species.

00:30:53.520 But if

00:30:57.480 you don't

00:30:57.800 see the

00:30:58.220 world in

00:30:58.880 those terms,

00:30:59.800 you're sort

00:31:00.660 of living in

00:31:01.120 a dream

00:31:01.480 world.

00:31:04.800 Now, why

00:31:06.540 does a

00:31:06.880 marriage sometimes

00:31:07.700 work if

00:31:08.620 there's a

00:31:09.000 woman who 0.99

00:31:09.400 can never

00:31:09.820 be happy,

00:31:11.060 and there's

00:31:11.460 a man who

00:31:11.960 is continually

00:31:12.860 fooled into

00:31:15.180 thinking he

00:31:15.800 can make it

00:31:16.320 work?

00:31:17.660 Why are

00:31:18.840 some people

00:31:19.260 still happy?

00:31:20.420 And the

00:31:20.760 answer is

00:31:21.360 everybody's

00:31:23.180 really different.

00:31:25.020 Some people

00:31:25.520 like that.

00:31:26.880 For some

00:31:27.480 people, that's

00:31:28.040 a perfect

00:31:28.400 situation.

00:31:30.040 Have you

00:31:30.380 not met

00:31:30.900 men who

00:31:32.180 are happier

00:31:32.680 giving than

00:31:33.420 receiving?

00:31:35.540 Am I

00:31:36.160 wrong?

00:31:37.100 You've met

00:31:37.680 men who

00:31:38.100 are happier

00:31:38.500 giving than

00:31:39.040 receiving, so

00:31:39.680 they're just

00:31:40.040 always giving,

00:31:41.140 and that's

00:31:41.560 just a good

00:31:41.960 situation for

00:31:42.620 them.

00:31:43.380 There's

00:31:43.580 nothing wrong

00:31:44.020 with that.

00:31:45.160 Again, I'm

00:31:45.960 not criticizing.

00:31:47.460 If you heard

00:31:47.880 anything in

00:31:49.520 any of this

00:31:50.120 that sounds

00:31:50.500 like,

00:31:50.780 me picking

00:31:51.840 out somebody

00:31:52.440 and criticizing

00:31:53.140 them, I

00:31:53.920 haven't done

00:31:54.280 that.

00:31:55.440 I'm talking

00:31:55.860 about the

00:31:56.240 system is

00:31:56.920 broken, the

00:31:58.140 people are

00:31:58.560 good.

00:31:59.480 In fact, it's

00:32:00.060 the opposite

00:32:00.500 of criticism.

00:32:01.760 I'm saying

00:32:02.320 the people

00:32:02.760 are fine, the

00:32:04.720 system is

00:32:05.320 broken, but

00:32:06.860 you can't

00:32:07.480 see this

00:32:07.920 obvious fact

00:32:08.900 because all

00:32:09.960 of the men

00:32:10.440 involved in

00:32:11.000 the system

00:32:11.460 are lying,

00:32:12.620 because lying

00:32:13.400 is what keeps

00:32:14.020 the system

00:32:14.480 working.

00:32:15.560 You have to

00:32:15.960 sort of lie

00:32:16.380 to yourself

00:32:16.840 that this

00:32:17.240 is okay to

00:32:18.480 be in it.

00:32:20.780 So, that's

00:32:23.040 my cheerful

00:32:24.540 love.

00:32:26.620 And to be

00:32:27.800 clear, I'm

00:32:28.300 not aware of

00:32:28.760 any alternative

00:32:29.400 that's better

00:32:30.000 than marriage.

00:32:32.500 So let me

00:32:33.220 end on the

00:32:33.920 positive.

00:32:35.020 I don't know

00:32:35.560 anything that's

00:32:35.900 better.

00:32:36.720 Do you?

00:32:37.840 If you do,

00:32:39.160 I'd be sort of

00:32:40.100 curious about

00:32:40.620 that.

00:32:40.820 All right.

00:32:46.740 I heard from

00:32:47.280 a marriage

00:32:47.660 counselor who

00:32:49.440 saw my tweet

00:32:50.600 and said,

00:32:51.120 as a marriage

00:32:51.620 counselor who

00:32:52.240 teaches the

00:32:53.020 Gottman method,

00:32:54.500 now the

00:32:54.840 Gottman method

00:32:55.440 I don't know

00:32:55.880 much about,

00:32:56.420 but there was

00:32:56.720 a little chart

00:32:57.280 involved.

00:32:58.320 I guess the

00:32:58.920 chart involves

00:33:00.040 teaching couples

00:33:01.580 to act

00:33:02.080 differently.

00:33:03.780 So it's

00:33:04.260 basically a set

00:33:05.100 of things like

00:33:05.740 in this

00:33:06.120 situation,

00:33:07.420 do more of

00:33:08.100 this and

00:33:08.500 less of that.

00:33:09.200 So it's a

00:33:13.660 set of

00:33:14.180 steps that

00:33:15.460 if everybody

00:33:15.920 just followed

00:33:16.680 these simple

00:33:17.580 guidelines,

00:33:18.240 they'd have

00:33:18.540 better marriages.

00:33:20.120 And so this

00:33:20.540 marriage counselor

00:33:21.140 teaches the

00:33:21.740 Gottman method

00:33:22.340 with success.

00:33:24.000 He says he

00:33:25.500 has an unfair

00:33:26.100 advantage of

00:33:26.800 knowing that

00:33:27.980 I'm wrong,

00:33:29.400 and he'd

00:33:29.900 encourage me to

00:33:30.640 look and learn

00:33:31.560 more about the

00:33:32.220 structure and

00:33:32.980 function of

00:33:33.460 marriage so

00:33:33.900 that if you

00:33:34.400 did these

00:33:35.220 steps, you

00:33:36.300 would do

00:33:36.780 better.

00:33:38.200 And

00:33:38.640 I tweeted

00:33:40.380 back, I

00:33:41.040 said, you've

00:33:41.880 met women

00:33:42.420 who are

00:33:42.700 willing to

00:33:43.160 change their

00:33:43.680 behavior?

00:33:46.060 Have any

00:33:46.680 of you seen

00:33:47.440 that?

00:33:48.920 Have you ever

00:33:49.540 met a woman

00:33:49.940 who was willing

00:33:50.400 to change

00:33:50.800 their behavior?

00:33:53.040 I mean,

00:33:53.660 seriously, I'm

00:33:54.220 not, and

00:33:54.660 again, if this

00:33:56.000 sounds like a

00:33:57.280 sexist thing,

00:33:58.520 I don't mean it

00:33:59.240 that way.

00:34:00.160 I mean, I've

00:34:00.860 never seen it.

00:34:02.320 I'm not saying

00:34:03.100 it's good or

00:34:03.640 bad, I've just

00:34:04.820 never seen it.

00:34:05.860 Have you?

00:34:06.200 Have you?

00:34:08.640 I saw one

00:34:11.520 yes.

00:34:13.720 But most

00:34:14.360 people are

00:34:14.720 saying they've

00:34:15.080 never seen

00:34:15.520 it.

00:34:16.840 All right.

00:34:17.440 So some of

00:34:17.980 you believe

00:34:18.340 you've seen

00:34:18.680 it.

00:34:20.220 Oh, I've

00:34:20.740 seen a bunch

00:34:21.160 of yeses.

00:34:22.500 You've

00:34:22.920 actually seen

00:34:23.460 people change

00:34:24.120 their basic

00:34:24.660 behavior.

00:34:27.920 What would

00:34:28.480 that look

00:34:28.820 like?

00:34:30.360 Let's say,

00:34:31.180 let's take an

00:34:31.740 example.

00:34:32.180 Let's say the

00:34:34.200 basic behavior

00:34:35.020 is nagging

00:34:37.780 too much.

00:34:39.000 Very sexist

00:34:40.200 kind of a

00:34:41.000 statement.

00:34:41.640 But let's

00:34:42.200 say it's

00:34:42.460 that.

00:34:43.600 That the

00:34:44.220 wife, let's 1.00

00:34:45.380 say the

00:34:45.580 problem is

00:34:45.980 the wife

00:34:46.340 complains

00:34:47.120 too much

00:34:47.740 about things

00:34:48.720 that are

00:34:48.960 not that

00:34:49.440 important.

00:34:50.740 And let's

00:34:51.060 say that

00:34:52.040 that woman 1.00

00:34:52.540 learns that

00:34:54.920 that's a

00:34:55.640 toxic behavior

00:34:56.800 and agrees

00:34:58.560 to it.

00:34:59.160 Yeah, that

00:34:59.500 is a toxic

00:35:00.040 behavior.

00:35:00.840 So that the

00:35:01.620 woman stops 0.89

00:35:02.340 complaining about

00:35:03.700 things which

00:35:04.400 bother her. 0.99

00:35:05.840 Everything's

00:35:06.320 good now?

00:35:06.780 Problem fixed.

00:35:09.240 In what

00:35:09.900 world does

00:35:10.400 that fix

00:35:10.780 anything?

00:35:11.680 Because

00:35:12.160 whatever it

00:35:12.700 is that

00:35:13.080 makes the

00:35:13.560 woman unhappy

00:35:14.800 or complain

00:35:15.460 doesn't change,

00:35:16.380 does it?

00:35:17.800 If she still

00:35:18.680 feels unhappy

00:35:19.760 or unsatisfied

00:35:21.840 or whatever,

00:35:22.400 isn't she

00:35:22.740 going to act

00:35:23.900 that way?

00:35:25.260 One way or

00:35:26.000 another.

00:35:26.600 I mean, to

00:35:26.900 me it feels

00:35:27.320 like you're

00:35:28.580 blocking one

00:35:30.760 hole but

00:35:31.300 another hole

00:35:31.900 gets created.

00:35:33.240 reframing,

00:35:36.620 maybe some

00:35:37.040 reframing

00:35:37.460 helps.

00:35:38.560 Anyway,

00:35:39.480 let's talk

00:35:39.840 about Twitter,

00:35:40.340 that's more

00:35:40.680 fun.

00:35:42.000 Did you see

00:35:42.500 the prank,

00:35:43.380 I fell for it

00:35:44.100 too,

00:35:44.420 of the two

00:35:45.780 pranksters who

00:35:46.640 pretended to be

00:35:47.580 Twitter employees

00:35:48.820 who had been

00:35:49.220 fired?

00:35:50.280 And they

00:35:50.500 stood outside,

00:35:51.260 I guess they

00:35:51.720 stood outside

00:35:52.460 the Twitter

00:35:53.500 headquarters with

00:35:54.280 their boxes

00:35:54.860 like they were

00:35:56.000 leaving?

00:35:56.300 and they

00:35:58.040 gave themselves

00:35:58.580 fake names

00:35:59.780 of Ligma

00:36:02.860 and Johnson,

00:36:03.900 their last

00:36:04.260 names.

00:36:05.760 And I guess

00:36:06.440 they're like

00:36:07.200 pranksters.

00:36:09.440 And one of

00:36:11.080 them got

00:36:11.240 interviewed,

00:36:11.740 I saw the

00:36:12.220 interview.

00:36:14.480 And what

00:36:15.160 made it a

00:36:15.680 great prank

00:36:16.360 is that,

00:36:18.780 so here's the

00:36:19.360 key to a

00:36:19.760 great prank.

00:36:20.620 A great

00:36:21.160 prank has

00:36:22.900 to include

00:36:23.580 at least one

00:36:24.500 indicator that

00:36:25.360 it's a

00:36:25.660 prank.

00:36:26.960 But the

00:36:27.520 indicator that

00:36:28.260 it's a

00:36:28.520 prank has

00:36:29.060 to be

00:36:29.400 invisible to

00:36:30.700 the person

00:36:31.160 you're

00:36:31.600 pranking,

00:36:32.580 but not

00:36:33.460 to the

00:36:33.880 observers.

00:36:35.500 You got

00:36:35.800 that?

00:36:36.300 In other

00:36:36.580 words,

00:36:36.780 it had to

00:36:37.000 be something

00:36:37.400 that the

00:36:37.840 media would

00:36:38.420 accept,

00:36:39.580 but that

00:36:40.280 you as

00:36:40.680 the audience

00:36:41.180 would go,

00:36:41.800 did they

00:36:42.140 fall for

00:36:42.500 that?

00:36:43.540 And here's

00:36:43.960 the statement

00:36:44.460 that one of

00:36:45.280 the pranksters

00:36:45.780 said when he

00:36:46.360 was being

00:36:46.640 interviewed.

00:36:47.380 At the

00:36:47.680 end of the

00:36:48.000 interview,

00:36:48.500 when he

00:36:48.900 was saying

00:36:49.320 how he

00:36:50.140 felt about

00:36:50.520 getting fired,

00:36:51.180 I guess,

00:36:52.120 he goes,

00:36:53.020 all right,

00:36:53.400 I gotta go,

00:36:54.080 I have to

00:36:54.380 touch bases with

00:36:55.620 my husband

00:36:56.120 and wife.

00:37:01.100 All right,

00:37:01.800 no, 1.00

00:37:02.220 you fucking 1.00

00:37:02.740 asshole, 1.00

00:37:03.500 J.M. 1.00

00:37:03.920 Ramsey.

00:37:05.240 All right,

00:37:05.780 how many more 1.00

00:37:06.600 fucking times 1.00

00:37:07.460 can I tell you 0.99

00:37:08.200 if you're

00:37:08.960 blaming who

00:37:09.780 somebody picked,

00:37:11.380 you are just

00:37:12.000 living in your

00:37:12.620 own little

00:37:13.060 illusion there,

00:37:14.460 right?

00:37:15.540 Like,

00:37:16.280 could you hear

00:37:17.040 that any

00:37:17.660 clearer?

00:37:18.440 It doesn't

00:37:19.080 matter who

00:37:19.540 you picked.

00:37:20.320 And let me

00:37:20.740 say something

00:37:21.220 that will

00:37:21.620 amaze you,

00:37:22.980 because I

00:37:23.360 know you're

00:37:23.680 all trying to

00:37:24.820 guess about

00:37:25.420 my relationship.

00:37:26.580 The difference

00:37:27.340 in our ages

00:37:28.180 literally never

00:37:29.380 came up.

00:37:30.880 I know that's

00:37:31.500 weird,

00:37:32.440 but if you

00:37:33.340 were to look

00:37:33.700 at causes of

00:37:34.840 divorce,

00:37:35.280 I don't think

00:37:35.940 it was ever,

00:37:37.160 even indirectly,

00:37:38.200 believe it or

00:37:39.180 not,

00:37:40.160 believe it or

00:37:40.720 not,

00:37:41.040 even indirectly,

00:37:42.000 it never

00:37:42.300 became an

00:37:42.780 issue that

00:37:43.180 I'm aware of.

00:37:44.700 I mean,

00:37:44.980 it should have,

00:37:46.160 you know,

00:37:46.440 common sense

00:37:47.240 says it would

00:37:47.740 have,

00:37:48.320 but did I

00:37:48.840 tell you

00:37:49.240 earlier that

00:37:50.020 everybody's

00:37:50.560 different?

00:37:52.780 Everybody's

00:37:53.400 different.

00:37:54.600 That thing

00:37:55.240 that would

00:37:55.600 have been

00:37:55.880 an obvious

00:37:56.660 problem for

00:37:57.360 almost anybody

00:37:58.260 else was

00:37:59.500 less of a

00:38:00.100 problem for

00:38:00.620 us.

00:38:01.560 It's just,

00:38:01.920 you know,

00:38:02.080 other stuff.

00:38:04.580 So no

00:38:05.580 matter how

00:38:05.940 many times I

00:38:06.500 say that

00:38:06.880 people are

00:38:07.280 different,

00:38:08.200 you're still

00:38:08.740 going to

00:38:08.940 say you

00:38:09.220 picked the

00:38:09.580 wrong person

00:38:10.160 because I

00:38:11.620 think maybe

00:38:12.020 that's part

00:38:12.420 of cognitive

00:38:12.940 dissonance

00:38:13.460 or some

00:38:13.780 sort of

00:38:14.000 confirmation

00:38:14.400 bias so 0.95

00:38:15.540 that you

00:38:15.860 can justify

00:38:17.180 your own

00:38:17.760 situation.

00:38:19.400 All right,

00:38:19.640 but the

00:38:19.880 Twitter pranksters

00:38:20.500 are pretty

00:38:20.800 funny.

00:38:21.760 Now,

00:38:21.980 people seem

00:38:22.440 to be getting

00:38:22.900 back on

00:38:23.920 Twitter who

00:38:25.700 had been

00:38:26.300 temporarily

00:38:27.420 banned,

00:38:28.660 but we

00:38:29.460 don't think

00:38:29.940 that is

00:38:30.240 necessarily

00:38:30.680 because of

00:38:31.340 Elon Musk.

00:38:32.120 Musk.

00:38:33.000 So,

00:38:33.500 for example,

00:38:35.040 Ye is

00:38:35.620 back on

00:38:36.080 Twitter,

00:38:37.180 and Musk

00:38:38.380 had to

00:38:38.800 confirm that

00:38:39.380 he didn't

00:38:39.720 do that.

00:38:40.440 That was

00:38:40.820 just an

00:38:41.280 automatic

00:38:41.700 thing.

00:38:42.160 It was

00:38:42.360 like a

00:38:42.680 two-week

00:38:42.980 suspension

00:38:43.480 that he

00:38:43.940 got put

00:38:44.280 back on.

00:38:45.080 So the

00:38:45.740 timing was

00:38:46.280 coincidental,

00:38:47.220 but people

00:38:47.580 think that

00:38:48.260 Elon Musk

00:38:48.900 put Ye back

00:38:49.620 on Twitter,

00:38:50.460 but that

00:38:50.720 did not

00:38:51.120 happen.

00:38:51.460 That's

00:38:51.640 fake news.

00:38:52.220 But then

00:38:54.340 Cat Turd

00:38:55.260 is back

00:38:55.660 on,

00:38:56.740 and also

00:38:57.340 Marjorie

00:38:58.060 Taylor Greene.

00:38:59.340 So those

00:38:59.720 are two

00:39:00.040 people who

00:39:00.520 have been,

00:39:01.360 I don't

00:39:02.000 know what

00:39:02.240 the right

00:39:02.500 word is,

00:39:04.060 temporarily

00:39:05.080 banned or

00:39:06.060 something,

00:39:06.560 whatever the

00:39:07.000 word is.

00:39:08.540 I think

00:39:08.880 maybe their

00:39:09.320 bans just

00:39:09.880 ran out,

00:39:10.980 or maybe

00:39:11.340 they deleted

00:39:11.880 the tweets

00:39:12.360 so they

00:39:12.660 could get

00:39:12.920 back on,

00:39:13.440 whatever it

00:39:13.760 was.

00:39:14.620 But here's

00:39:15.500 the weirdest

00:39:15.920 thing in

00:39:16.320 the world.

00:39:17.800 You all

00:39:18.180 know the

00:39:18.480 Twitter user

00:39:19.680 Cat Turd,

00:39:21.580 who's got

00:39:22.060 over a

00:39:22.540 million users.

00:39:24.300 And he's

00:39:24.960 just a

00:39:25.620 clever pundit

00:39:26.500 who's built

00:39:27.320 quite an

00:39:28.160 audience.

00:39:30.040 I don't

00:39:30.360 follow him.

00:39:30.940 I blocked

00:39:31.420 him a long

00:39:31.780 time ago

00:39:32.120 for being 1.00

00:39:32.460 a dick. 1.00

00:39:32.980 I forget 1.00

00:39:33.260 why.

00:39:34.360 But Marjorie

00:39:35.680 Taylor Greene

00:39:36.720 retweeted

00:39:38.680 Cat Turd

00:39:39.260 and said,

00:39:40.560 you're almost

00:39:41.020 to one

00:39:41.560 million users

00:39:42.420 ever since

00:39:43.300 Elon Musk

00:39:43.960 took the

00:39:44.600 shadow bands

00:39:45.200 off.

00:39:46.100 And then

00:39:46.420 she says,

00:39:46.940 I'll host

00:39:47.400 a hashtag

00:39:48.720 turd stock

00:39:49.480 after the

00:39:49.960 party.

00:39:50.880 Turd stock.

00:39:52.060 So here's

00:39:52.680 a representative

00:39:53.400 of the

00:39:53.800 government

00:39:54.140 who first

00:39:55.240 of all

00:39:55.520 is spreading

00:39:56.800 some fake

00:39:57.380 news because

00:39:58.480 Elon Musk

00:39:59.140 did not

00:39:59.620 remove any

00:40:00.200 shadow bands.

00:40:01.880 But she's 0.97

00:40:02.700 a member of

00:40:03.160 Congress and

00:40:03.740 she's telling

00:40:04.200 you that

00:40:04.500 that happened.

00:40:05.060 That didn't

00:40:05.360 happen.

00:40:06.120 That's fake

00:40:06.540 news.

00:40:08.080 But she's 0.97

00:40:08.880 also offering

00:40:09.900 to host

00:40:10.480 turd stock.

00:40:12.880 This is the

00:40:13.720 greatest week

00:40:14.400 ever.

00:40:16.020 I don't

00:40:16.540 think I

00:40:16.840 can enjoy

00:40:17.460 a week of

00:40:18.700 news more

00:40:19.420 than this

00:40:19.840 week.

00:40:20.160 I don't

00:40:21.340 really have

00:40:21.720 a comment

00:40:22.940 or observation

00:40:23.740 about this.

00:40:24.920 I just

00:40:25.340 think it's

00:40:25.840 the greatest

00:40:26.240 world where

00:40:27.220 Representative

00:40:28.680 Marjorie

00:40:29.340 Taylor Greene

00:40:30.040 can retweak

00:40:31.460 cat turd

00:40:32.140 and offer

00:40:32.760 to host

00:40:33.380 turd stock.

00:40:35.400 I want to

00:40:36.560 live in this

00:40:36.960 world.

00:40:38.160 I want to

00:40:38.700 live in this

00:40:39.160 world.

00:40:42.140 All right.

00:40:44.040 Stocks were

00:40:44.880 up yesterday

00:40:46.820 quite sharply.

00:40:50.160 Was that

00:40:50.660 the Twitter

00:40:52.540 Elon Musk

00:40:53.360 effect?

00:40:54.880 Was there

00:40:55.240 something else

00:40:55.860 that made

00:40:56.140 the stock

00:40:56.540 market go

00:40:57.020 up on

00:40:57.540 Friday?

00:40:59.680 GDP report,

00:41:00.920 Apple earnings.

00:41:02.680 Was that

00:41:03.300 it?

00:41:04.040 But we

00:41:04.540 were expecting

00:41:05.040 the GDP

00:41:05.640 report.

00:41:06.460 We already

00:41:07.060 knew about

00:41:07.480 the GDP

00:41:07.960 report,

00:41:08.560 right?

00:41:09.780 I thought

00:41:10.400 we knew

00:41:10.740 that was

00:41:11.080 going to

00:41:11.280 come in

00:41:11.580 strong and

00:41:12.220 roughly how

00:41:12.700 strong it

00:41:13.140 would come

00:41:13.400 in.

00:41:14.560 Yeah,

00:41:14.980 I don't

00:41:15.080 know.

00:41:17.180 2.6,

00:41:18.280 is that

00:41:18.640 enough to

00:41:19.080 raise the

00:41:19.620 that was

00:41:20.540 exactly what

00:41:21.200 we expected,

00:41:21.860 right?

00:41:22.300 So it

00:41:22.820 feels like

00:41:23.200 that was

00:41:23.480 already

00:41:23.740 baked in.

00:41:25.320 Here's

00:41:25.780 what I

00:41:26.040 think.

00:41:27.060 I think

00:41:27.480 that markets

00:41:28.060 move,

00:41:28.820 we think

00:41:29.580 they move

00:41:30.080 on the

00:41:31.180 news,

00:41:32.560 but if

00:41:33.340 they did

00:41:33.760 move on

00:41:34.200 the news,

00:41:34.820 everybody

00:41:35.240 would be

00:41:35.680 able to

00:41:36.000 guess what

00:41:37.080 the market

00:41:37.500 would do.

00:41:38.640 You got

00:41:39.320 that right?

00:41:40.820 There's a

00:41:41.440 whole industry

00:41:42.060 based on

00:41:42.620 people saying

00:41:43.400 smart things

00:41:44.100 about why

00:41:44.700 the market

00:41:45.180 did what

00:41:45.660 it did.

00:41:45.980 And the

00:41:47.340 reason there's

00:41:47.800 a big market

00:41:48.360 for it is

00:41:49.080 that they

00:41:49.320 don't all

00:41:49.780 say the

00:41:50.160 same thing.

00:41:51.440 If they

00:41:52.000 all said

00:41:52.260 the same

00:41:52.580 thing,

00:41:53.020 then there

00:41:53.420 wouldn't be

00:41:53.660 a market

00:41:54.000 for it.

00:41:54.400 It would

00:41:54.460 just be

00:41:54.720 everybody

00:41:55.440 would know

00:41:55.840 what's

00:41:56.060 happening.

00:41:57.100 But the

00:41:58.240 financial market

00:41:59.040 is mostly

00:41:59.740 a gigantic

00:42:00.500 scam in

00:42:02.200 which people

00:42:02.740 pretend to

00:42:03.460 tell you they

00:42:04.000 know why

00:42:04.480 markets did

00:42:05.260 move or

00:42:05.880 have.

00:42:06.680 When they

00:42:07.200 get it

00:42:07.500 right,

00:42:08.020 they say,

00:42:08.680 well,

00:42:08.900 look there.

00:42:10.020 Because remember,

00:42:10.640 a market is

00:42:11.180 only going to

00:42:11.640 do two things.

00:42:12.940 It will go

00:42:13.460 up or it

00:42:14.720 will go down.

00:42:16.440 Whichever way

00:42:17.140 it goes,

00:42:17.920 there's going

00:42:18.280 to be a

00:42:18.500 whole bunch

00:42:18.840 of experts

00:42:19.400 who got it

00:42:19.920 right that

00:42:20.500 time.

00:42:21.800 And they

00:42:22.120 will come

00:42:22.380 on television

00:42:22.940 and they'll

00:42:23.180 say,

00:42:23.460 yeah,

00:42:23.620 I got it

00:42:23.980 wrong that

00:42:24.340 other time,

00:42:25.300 but this

00:42:25.720 time,

00:42:26.400 well,

00:42:26.720 this time

00:42:27.100 I got it

00:42:27.520 right.

00:42:27.820 My reasons

00:42:28.320 were right,

00:42:28.920 the outcome

00:42:29.280 was right,

00:42:30.000 boy,

00:42:30.180 did I do

00:42:30.520 good.

00:42:31.540 But really,

00:42:32.500 the market

00:42:32.960 was going

00:42:33.340 to be up

00:42:33.760 or it was

00:42:34.080 going to be

00:42:34.380 down and

00:42:34.900 half of the

00:42:35.320 people were

00:42:35.740 going to be

00:42:36.040 right no

00:42:36.560 matter what

00:42:36.920 happened.

00:42:38.500 So I

00:42:40.380 don't think,

00:42:41.740 I think

00:42:42.240 what we're,

00:42:42.720 here's my

00:42:43.320 hypothesis,

00:42:44.540 markets move

00:42:45.500 for irrational

00:42:46.480 reasons.

00:42:47.820 But there

00:42:48.340 are people

00:42:48.680 paid to

00:42:49.480 tell you

00:42:49.840 they move

00:42:50.320 for more

00:42:51.520 rational reasons.

00:42:53.160 So you

00:42:53.780 imagine that

00:42:54.580 they do

00:42:55.020 because all

00:42:55.520 these experts

00:42:56.060 are telling

00:42:56.380 you that.

00:42:57.000 But there's

00:42:57.340 no evidence

00:42:57.840 of that.

00:42:58.780 All the

00:42:59.360 evidence is

00:43:00.020 the experts

00:43:00.580 don't know

00:43:01.060 what's going

00:43:01.400 to happen.

00:43:02.440 They're

00:43:02.800 guessing too.

00:43:04.320 So here's

00:43:05.100 what I think,

00:43:05.760 and it's just

00:43:06.180 a guess,

00:43:07.280 that the

00:43:08.420 Elon Musk

00:43:09.680 effect and

00:43:10.340 Twitter had

00:43:11.080 such a big

00:43:11.700 effect on

00:43:12.260 optimism and

00:43:14.340 maybe energy

00:43:15.080 that it

00:43:18.160 looked like

00:43:18.640 the free

00:43:19.120 markets were

00:43:19.860 a little bit

00:43:20.300 freer.

00:43:23.880 Now, I

00:43:24.540 don't know

00:43:24.800 that there's

00:43:25.160 anything to

00:43:25.680 that, but

00:43:26.640 I would say

00:43:27.380 that yesterday

00:43:28.000 I felt more

00:43:29.160 optimistic about

00:43:30.440 the country

00:43:31.740 than at

00:43:33.280 any time

00:43:34.080 in certainly

00:43:35.060 a year or

00:43:36.360 two or

00:43:36.900 three.

00:43:38.540 I felt

00:43:39.400 actually just

00:43:40.200 giddy

00:43:40.800 yesterday.

00:43:42.980 I was

00:43:43.580 giddy.

00:43:45.040 I haven't

00:43:45.700 felt that.

00:43:47.620 What was

00:43:48.160 the last time

00:43:48.540 I felt that?

00:43:49.380 Election

00:43:49.900 night 2016

00:43:50.780 was a fun

00:43:51.500 night.

00:43:52.340 But that's

00:43:52.680 about it.

00:43:54.440 So

00:43:54.800 something's

00:43:55.920 happening that's

00:43:56.560 bigger than

00:43:57.040 Twitter and

00:43:57.700 bigger than

00:43:58.120 Musk, but 0.87

00:43:59.340 maybe that's

00:44:00.380 my illusion.

00:44:02.600 I don't

00:44:03.020 know.

00:44:03.240 So my

00:44:07.180 user numbers

00:44:08.060 went way

00:44:08.580 up.

00:44:09.360 So normally

00:44:10.000 I'd get

00:44:10.440 maybe 200

00:44:11.340 new followers

00:44:12.420 a day.

00:44:14.260 I got

00:44:14.980 4,000

00:44:15.700 yesterday.

00:44:17.380 Now, do

00:44:17.700 you think

00:44:18.060 that I went

00:44:18.620 from a

00:44:19.020 baseline of

00:44:19.600 200 a

00:44:20.780 day to

00:44:21.240 4,000

00:44:22.020 just because

00:44:25.360 more people

00:44:25.940 were interested

00:44:26.500 in joining

00:44:27.060 Twitter?

00:44:28.880 Now, remember,

00:44:29.480 Elon Musk has

00:44:30.300 confirmed that

00:44:30.940 he's made no

00:44:31.520 change to

00:44:33.020 who's allowed

00:44:34.100 on and

00:44:35.680 no change

00:44:36.200 to the

00:44:36.460 algorithm.

00:44:41.940 Did

00:44:42.460 everybody go

00:44:43.280 up?

00:44:43.660 In other

00:44:43.940 words, are

00:44:44.420 people on

00:44:45.340 the left

00:44:45.720 going up

00:44:46.200 as well?

00:44:47.820 Is it

00:44:48.360 bots?

00:44:51.220 Let me

00:44:51.860 put out a

00:44:52.400 hypothesis.

00:44:54.440 Now, there's

00:44:55.180 no knowledge

00:44:56.260 behind this,

00:44:56.900 right?

00:44:57.340 So this is

00:44:57.960 pure speculation.

00:44:59.860 Imagine if

00:45:00.620 you were the

00:45:01.300 Twitter engineers

00:45:02.060 and you did

00:45:02.880 in fact know

00:45:04.000 that the

00:45:04.380 algorithm was

00:45:05.160 suppressing

00:45:05.600 some people.

00:45:08.060 As Paul

00:45:08.940 Collider pointed

00:45:09.640 out on

00:45:10.180 Twitter, you

00:45:11.740 can imagine

00:45:12.240 them architecting

00:45:13.620 that in at

00:45:15.080 least two

00:45:15.460 different ways.

00:45:16.600 One would be

00:45:17.420 there's something

00:45:17.940 about the

00:45:18.400 algorithm itself

00:45:19.420 that suppresses

00:45:21.180 conservatives,

00:45:21.900 maybe by

00:45:22.380 keywords or

00:45:23.400 something like

00:45:23.740 that.

00:45:24.240 That would be

00:45:24.560 one way to

00:45:25.000 go.

00:45:25.480 The other

00:45:26.060 way to go

00:45:26.700 would be that

00:45:27.300 the algorithm

00:45:27.840 is the

00:45:28.500 algorithm,

00:45:29.740 but that

00:45:30.360 some

00:45:30.720 individuals

00:45:31.380 are tagged.

00:45:33.420 So if you've

00:45:34.000 been tagged as

00:45:34.760 somebody to

00:45:35.280 suppress, the

00:45:36.680 algorithm just

00:45:37.380 does what an

00:45:37.920 algorithm does

00:45:38.740 and it just

00:45:39.860 doesn't know

00:45:40.380 why it did

00:45:40.920 it.

00:45:41.480 It's just

00:45:41.980 reading those

00:45:43.720 tags.

00:45:45.120 So, as

00:45:46.720 Paul pointed

00:45:47.360 out cleverly,

00:45:48.720 if you remove

00:45:50.240 the database

00:45:50.820 with the tags,

00:45:52.180 or just remove

00:45:52.780 the tags,

00:45:53.360 the algorithm

00:45:54.820 would look

00:45:55.320 unchanged or

00:45:56.600 it would be

00:45:56.920 very hard to

00:45:57.560 notice that

00:45:58.240 there had ever

00:45:58.740 been anything

00:45:59.180 wrong there.

00:46:00.500 You'd have to

00:46:01.020 find the exact

00:46:01.680 thing that was

00:46:02.180 looking for the

00:46:02.740 tag, notice

00:46:04.140 that there

00:46:04.500 weren't any

00:46:04.860 tags, notice

00:46:05.580 that they

00:46:05.900 used to be.

00:46:06.940 I mean, you'd

00:46:07.340 have to go

00:46:07.680 pretty deep to

00:46:09.460 find out something

00:46:10.780 wrong had

00:46:11.480 happened, if

00:46:12.020 anything wrong

00:46:12.580 happened.

00:46:13.600 Now, do you

00:46:15.580 think that's

00:46:16.000 what happened?

00:46:16.980 Do you think

00:46:17.540 that there's

00:46:18.700 nothing but more

00:46:19.520 interest in

00:46:20.120 Twitter?

00:46:20.880 Let me ask

00:46:21.920 you this.

00:46:22.580 Do you think

00:46:23.040 that there

00:46:23.340 were 4,000

00:46:24.300 people who

00:46:26.060 didn't think

00:46:26.700 about following

00:46:27.360 me on Twitter

00:46:27.980 until yesterday?

00:46:29.880 What do you

00:46:30.560 think?

00:46:31.360 Is that

00:46:31.760 possible?

00:46:33.180 That 4,000 0.50

00:46:34.100 people didn't

00:46:35.740 really have a

00:46:36.260 notion of

00:46:36.740 following me on

00:46:37.320 Twitter until

00:46:37.840 yesterday?

00:46:40.980 Yeah.

00:46:41.700 And it's also

00:46:42.500 election season,

00:46:43.880 right?

00:46:45.220 But still,

00:46:46.400 it's a one-day

00:46:46.900 change.

00:46:47.760 You know,

00:46:47.900 election season's

00:46:48.720 been creeping up

00:46:49.620 for every day.

00:46:51.500 I don't know.

00:46:52.200 A lot of

00:46:52.880 conservatives

00:46:53.380 signing up?

00:46:54.380 That's a good

00:46:54.860 theory.

00:46:55.720 So one theory

00:46:56.340 would be there

00:46:57.560 were 5,000

00:46:58.340 conservatives who

00:46:59.220 had left

00:46:59.560 Twitter, and I'm

00:47:00.940 just one of the

00:47:01.660 people that they

00:47:02.280 would follow when

00:47:03.540 they signed back

00:47:04.120 up.

00:47:04.940 That could be.

00:47:06.580 Yeah.

00:47:07.500 I'm going to say

00:47:08.440 that the odds

00:47:09.940 that they changed

00:47:10.780 the algorithm are

00:47:11.820 low.

00:47:13.240 The odds that

00:47:14.380 it was just

00:47:16.180 conservatives coming

00:47:17.120 back is high.

00:47:17.900 But I wouldn't

00:47:19.900 rule out that

00:47:21.520 they may have

00:47:22.020 untagged

00:47:22.580 something.

00:47:23.900 You know,

00:47:24.040 maybe there was

00:47:24.500 like a kill

00:47:25.260 switch on there.

00:47:26.060 If the company

00:47:26.680 gets bought,

00:47:27.840 you know,

00:47:28.020 make this piece

00:47:28.600 of code

00:47:28.900 disappear.

00:47:30.740 Something like

00:47:31.360 that.

00:47:32.460 I don't know.

00:47:33.080 Seems like you

00:47:33.680 could hide it

00:47:34.160 pretty well if

00:47:34.680 you wanted to.

00:47:36.640 So,

00:47:37.380 Musk says he's

00:47:38.580 going to be

00:47:38.880 forming a

00:47:39.400 content moderation

00:47:40.400 council with

00:47:41.780 widely diverse

00:47:42.740 views,

00:47:43.840 and that they

00:47:44.900 won't make any

00:47:45.380 decisions about

00:47:46.100 who to reinstate

00:47:46.900 until this council

00:47:47.840 does their work.

00:47:50.700 So,

00:47:51.220 we'll find out.

00:47:54.740 All right.

00:47:55.700 Have you noticed

00:47:56.300 that the one,

00:47:57.720 I say this a lot,

00:47:58.600 but if you see

00:47:59.800 a story on the

00:48:00.700 internet that

00:48:01.500 makes your head

00:48:02.060 explode,

00:48:03.960 what's the first

00:48:04.720 thing you should

00:48:05.460 know is most

00:48:06.180 likely true

00:48:08.160 about that story?

00:48:10.280 It's fake.

00:48:11.280 Yeah.

00:48:11.860 And when I say

00:48:12.960 most likely,

00:48:13.680 I don't mean

00:48:14.080 51%.

00:48:15.120 I mean,

00:48:17.140 closer to 95%,

00:48:18.920 98%,

00:48:19.940 right?

00:48:21.680 The head

00:48:22.400 explode stories

00:48:23.340 are almost

00:48:24.340 always fake.

00:48:26.500 So,

00:48:27.080 the story about

00:48:27.880 Elon Musk

00:48:29.380 immediately

00:48:30.140 reinstating

00:48:31.260 yay,

00:48:31.860 which was

00:48:32.340 fake news,

00:48:33.720 made,

00:48:34.340 I saw on

00:48:34.900 Twitter,

00:48:35.380 heads were

00:48:35.780 exploding.

00:48:36.620 How could

00:48:37.120 you let him

00:48:37.600 back on that

00:48:38.380 anti-Semite?

00:48:39.680 And of course,

00:48:40.140 the answer is,

00:48:41.300 if your head 0.78

00:48:41.860 exploded, 0.99

00:48:43.180 it probably

00:48:43.620 didn't happen,

00:48:44.780 and sure

00:48:45.140 enough,

00:48:45.380 it didn't.

00:48:49.320 All right,

00:48:50.600 just more on

00:48:51.540 this Jack

00:48:52.320 Dorsey's new

00:48:53.340 product.

00:48:54.660 I guess it's

00:48:55.080 going to launch

00:48:55.560 soon,

00:48:55.960 it's already

00:48:56.260 got beta

00:48:56.700 users.

00:48:57.720 I think it's

00:48:58.260 called Blue

00:48:58.680 Sky.

00:48:59.260 I may have

00:48:59.780 used the

00:49:00.780 wrong name

00:49:01.380 for it

00:49:02.040 yesterday.

00:49:02.940 I don't know

00:49:03.420 what Zion

00:49:03.900 is,

00:49:05.000 so I'm a

00:49:05.360 little confused

00:49:05.940 about what's

00:49:06.400 the product,

00:49:06.980 maybe what's

00:49:07.420 the technology.

00:49:08.120 But the

00:49:09.960 idea here

00:49:10.720 is apparently

00:49:11.900 there are

00:49:12.340 multiple

00:49:13.020 social networks

00:49:15.160 in some

00:49:16.020 kind of

00:49:16.480 formative

00:49:16.940 stage.

00:49:17.760 They were

00:49:18.180 trying to

00:49:18.680 solve the

00:49:19.140 problem that

00:49:20.640 current social

00:49:21.360 medias don't

00:49:22.000 solve,

00:49:22.360 which is too

00:49:23.120 much consolidation

00:49:23.820 of power

00:49:24.440 and the

00:49:24.780 government

00:49:25.180 could force

00:49:28.440 them to do

00:49:29.020 something.

00:49:30.300 So the

00:49:31.540 ideal situation

00:49:32.400 would be you

00:49:33.160 could post on

00:49:34.460 any social

00:49:35.100 network,

00:49:36.000 you would

00:49:36.340 always own

00:49:36.900 your own

00:49:37.280 data so

00:49:38.460 nobody else

00:49:39.040 could influence

00:49:39.660 it,

00:49:39.920 and there

00:49:40.140 wouldn't be

00:49:40.460 any corporate

00:49:42.120 entity that

00:49:42.840 could be

00:49:43.340 influenced by

00:49:44.360 money.

00:49:45.680 And I

00:49:47.080 don't even

00:49:47.440 know if

00:49:48.180 Blue Sky

00:49:48.640 is a

00:49:49.280 money-making

00:49:49.920 venture.

00:49:51.140 I'm that

00:49:51.960 confused about

00:49:52.880 it.

00:49:53.240 I'll probably

00:49:53.760 know by the

00:49:54.280 end of the

00:49:54.620 day.

00:49:55.480 But is

00:49:56.200 Blue Sky

00:49:56.760 an open

00:49:57.540 code,

00:50:00.500 open network

00:50:01.220 for the

00:50:02.420 benefit of

00:50:02.920 the world?

00:50:04.560 Or is it

00:50:05.340 a money-making

00:50:05.900 venture?

00:50:06.900 It's open

00:50:07.640 source, but

00:50:08.320 that doesn't

00:50:08.740 mean it's

00:50:10.640 not-for-profit.

00:50:13.080 So I'm a

00:50:13.560 little confused

00:50:14.220 about what's

00:50:14.660 going on,

00:50:15.560 but at

00:50:16.080 least there's

00:50:16.700 a possibility

00:50:18.200 that there's

00:50:19.560 some blockchain

00:50:20.420 related open

00:50:21.780 system that

00:50:23.800 people might

00:50:24.400 enjoy that

00:50:25.280 would have

00:50:25.660 less government

00:50:26.780 influence,

00:50:28.040 maybe.

00:50:30.780 Yeah, and

00:50:31.760 then you

00:50:32.000 could own

00:50:32.280 your own

00:50:32.580 data.

00:50:33.320 Now that's

00:50:33.740 one of the

00:50:34.200 benefits of

00:50:35.000 the locals

00:50:35.980 platform.

00:50:36.900 I'll give

00:50:37.740 a little

00:50:37.980 commercial

00:50:38.420 for it.

00:50:38.880 So I have

00:50:40.060 a subscription

00:50:40.720 community within

00:50:42.340 the locals

00:50:43.040 platform, and

00:50:44.960 part of the

00:50:46.040 deal there,

00:50:46.660 I'm also an

00:50:48.020 investor,

00:50:49.320 part of the

00:50:50.820 deal there is

00:50:51.380 that I get

00:50:51.980 to keep all

00:50:52.520 my user

00:50:53.060 data.

00:50:54.200 So I have

00:50:54.740 X number

00:50:55.280 of users or

00:50:56.740 subscribers or

00:50:57.960 community members,

00:50:58.780 users, and

00:51:00.000 presumably if

00:51:02.900 I decided not

00:51:03.680 to use

00:51:04.020 locals anymore,

00:51:04.800 I get to

00:51:05.480 keep my

00:51:06.040 list of

00:51:07.600 users.

00:51:09.680 So, I

00:51:10.100 mean, that

00:51:10.360 seems fair.

00:51:12.220 All right,

00:51:12.780 let's talk

00:51:13.060 about Paul

00:51:14.120 Pelosi.

00:51:16.080 Number one,

00:51:19.120 he's a

00:51:20.040 fighter at

00:51:20.540 82.

00:51:22.420 I like the

00:51:23.300 fact that at

00:51:23.880 82 he was

00:51:24.720 willing to get

00:51:25.300 into a physical

00:51:26.020 confrontation.

00:51:26.600 I mean, I

00:51:28.580 don't know if

00:51:28.880 he thought he

00:51:29.280 had an

00:51:29.720 option, but

00:51:30.860 I sort of

00:51:32.200 liked the

00:51:32.560 fact that he

00:51:33.080 manned up and

00:51:33.760 he was going

00:51:34.200 to do what

00:51:35.000 he could, but

00:51:35.500 at 82,

00:51:36.180 obviously, he

00:51:37.400 was limited

00:51:37.860 in his

00:51:38.220 abilities.

00:51:39.320 Now, I

00:51:39.860 would like to

00:51:40.260 say something

00:51:40.880 that is

00:51:42.820 maybe

00:51:46.340 uncharacteristically

00:51:47.420 positive about

00:51:50.120 the Internet.

00:51:51.580 I thought

00:51:52.380 that social

00:51:53.300 media was

00:51:55.400 unusually

00:51:56.480 respectful to

00:51:58.520 the Pelosi's

00:51:59.500 yesterday, and

00:52:01.060 I enjoyed

00:52:01.580 that.

00:52:02.360 I enjoyed

00:52:02.840 that, because

00:52:03.700 I expected

00:52:04.220 worse.

00:52:05.520 Now, of

00:52:05.880 course, there

00:52:06.240 was the usual

00:52:06.760 amount of

00:52:07.160 4chan stuff,

00:52:08.260 but there

00:52:09.500 weren't as

00:52:09.940 many memes

00:52:10.580 as I

00:52:10.940 would have

00:52:11.140 thought.

00:52:12.000 There

00:52:12.220 weren't as

00:52:12.700 many ugly

00:52:13.860 jokes, but

00:52:15.440 there were

00:52:15.720 jokes.

00:52:16.740 There were

00:52:17.060 jokes.

00:52:17.900 And I

00:52:18.260 would like

00:52:18.540 to maybe

00:52:21.500 boost that

00:52:22.680 show of

00:52:23.200 respect.

00:52:23.520 respect.

00:52:23.940 I do

00:52:24.200 think that

00:52:24.680 the world

00:52:25.580 showed him

00:52:26.280 some respect.

00:52:27.860 And given

00:52:28.540 the division

00:52:30.180 in our

00:52:30.640 politics, I

00:52:32.280 don't know, I

00:52:32.840 was a little

00:52:33.680 bit inspired by

00:52:34.560 it, actually.

00:52:35.720 I mean, it's a

00:52:36.760 huge tragedy.

00:52:38.220 I really hate

00:52:38.920 that that

00:52:39.220 happened to

00:52:40.100 anybody.

00:52:41.580 To anybody.

00:52:42.940 But I feel

00:52:44.540 like the

00:52:44.940 public's

00:52:45.700 reaction to

00:52:47.180 it was not

00:52:49.280 horrifying.

00:52:49.880 And I

00:52:51.540 was surprised,

00:52:52.620 actually

00:52:53.000 impressed.

00:52:54.620 That said,

00:52:56.860 has enough

00:52:57.380 time going

00:52:58.260 by that I

00:52:58.780 can make

00:52:59.080 some jokes

00:52:59.500 about this?

00:53:02.820 Everybody

00:53:03.300 okay?

00:53:04.120 Here's the

00:53:04.680 way I'm

00:53:04.940 going to do

00:53:05.300 it.

00:53:06.200 I'm going

00:53:06.600 to tell

00:53:06.980 you about

00:53:07.440 somebody

00:53:07.920 else's joke

00:53:08.660 about it.

00:53:10.020 Okay?

00:53:11.340 Because if I

00:53:11.960 tell you

00:53:12.360 somebody else's

00:53:13.100 joke about it,

00:53:13.740 I'm just

00:53:14.040 reporting about

00:53:14.720 these terrible

00:53:15.320 people, these 0.99

00:53:16.380 trolls on the 0.52

00:53:17.020 internet. 0.96

00:53:17.820 That's fair.

00:53:18.300 I can

00:53:19.380 certainly

00:53:19.660 report about 1.00

00:53:20.220 those damn 1.00

00:53:20.680 trolls. 1.00

00:53:22.100 So this

00:53:22.780 is not

00:53:23.120 funny, but

00:53:24.720 it's things 0.99

00:53:25.120 those damn 1.00

00:53:25.700 trolls are 1.00

00:53:26.200 saying. 0.54

00:53:28.140 Apparently,

00:53:29.260 both men

00:53:30.060 were discovered

00:53:30.760 in their

00:53:31.600 underpants at

00:53:33.140 2.30 in

00:53:33.900 the morning.

00:53:35.980 And of

00:53:36.500 course, the

00:53:36.940 4chan trolls

00:53:37.840 are wondering

00:53:38.320 if this was

00:53:38.860 a grinder

00:53:39.340 hookup that

00:53:39.980 went wrong.

00:53:41.500 Now,

00:53:43.160 I just

00:53:44.320 saw a

00:53:44.700 user,

00:53:45.600 Chael,

00:53:45.900 said,

00:53:46.120 looks like

00:53:46.480 a grinder

00:53:46.920 hookup going

00:53:47.600 bad.

00:53:48.300 I think

00:53:49.760 I laughed

00:53:50.180 for 10

00:53:50.600 minutes.

00:53:51.980 Okay?

00:53:53.040 Talk about

00:53:53.780 a grinder

00:53:54.280 hookup going

00:53:54.980 bad.

00:53:55.660 That's about

00:53:56.160 as bad

00:53:56.560 as you

00:53:56.820 could go.

00:53:58.020 Because you

00:53:58.620 can imagine

00:53:59.020 what that

00:53:59.360 would look

00:53:59.660 like.

00:54:00.720 You know,

00:54:00.960 Paul Pelosi

00:54:01.580 saying he's

00:54:02.720 29 years

00:54:03.460 old and

00:54:03.880 he's

00:54:04.020 82.

00:54:05.660 Like,

00:54:06.000 classic.

00:54:06.780 Classic

00:54:07.240 grinder.

00:54:08.400 I'm

00:54:08.680 guessing.

00:54:09.220 I'm not

00:54:09.540 on grinder.

00:54:09.980 here.

00:54:12.780 And you

00:54:14.280 can imagine

00:54:14.720 that the

00:54:15.160 other guy

00:54:16.040 shows up

00:54:16.680 and suddenly

00:54:17.820 there's a

00:54:18.200 hammer involved

00:54:18.980 and it's

00:54:19.880 just a

00:54:20.180 grinder day

00:54:21.400 gone bad.

00:54:22.820 Now,

00:54:24.240 joking aside,

00:54:26.540 the reason

00:54:27.840 that both men

00:54:28.420 were in their

00:54:28.840 underwear is

00:54:29.860 one is a

00:54:30.460 famous nudist,

00:54:31.920 so he's

00:54:32.320 always in his

00:54:32.860 underwear,

00:54:33.640 and the other

00:54:34.140 one was

00:54:34.620 awakened at

00:54:35.200 2.30 in

00:54:35.800 the morning.

00:54:36.100 So there

00:54:37.280 is a good

00:54:37.900 reason both

00:54:38.500 men were in

00:54:39.020 their underwear

00:54:39.540 that's fully

00:54:40.400 explained within

00:54:41.200 a grinder

00:54:41.860 account.

00:54:42.860 But it

00:54:44.020 was still

00:54:44.300 funny.

00:54:45.300 It was still

00:54:45.680 funny.

00:54:46.040 With all

00:54:46.600 respect.

00:54:47.620 With all

00:54:48.320 respect to

00:54:49.080 the Pelosi's,

00:54:50.320 it was still

00:54:50.640 kind of funny.

00:54:53.680 Likewise,

00:54:54.780 some people

00:54:56.440 on the

00:54:56.800 internet,

00:54:57.240 probably more

00:54:57.720 than one,

00:54:58.820 pointed out

00:54:59.420 this wasn't

00:55:00.060 the first

00:55:00.720 time that

00:55:01.340 Paul Pelosi

00:55:01.940 had been

00:55:02.300 hammered.

00:55:04.720 Poor taste.

00:55:06.100 Poor taste.

00:55:07.680 I disavow 0.94

00:55:08.640 these trolls

00:55:09.380 who made 0.58

00:55:09.860 that clever

00:55:10.740 pun.

00:55:12.580 It was the

00:55:13.140 second time

00:55:13.760 he's been

00:55:14.060 hammered this

00:55:14.840 year.

00:55:15.940 All right,

00:55:16.420 let's talk

00:55:16.800 about some

00:55:17.140 more persuasion.

00:55:18.100 Obama

00:55:18.660 trying to

00:55:19.920 wade into

00:55:20.500 the situation,

00:55:22.860 the election

00:55:23.300 with Herschel

00:55:24.220 Walker.

00:55:25.900 And Obama

00:55:26.500 said this,

00:55:27.680 and we will

00:55:28.180 grade this

00:55:28.720 for persuasion.

00:55:29.580 Obama says,

00:55:30.780 some of you,

00:55:32.160 let's see if I

00:55:33.060 can do an

00:55:33.460 Obama impression.

00:55:35.160 Some of you,

00:55:35.800 may not

00:55:36.840 ah,

00:55:37.480 ah,

00:55:38.320 ah,

00:55:39.180 ah,

00:55:40.260 ah,

00:55:41.520 ah,

00:55:42.380 ah,

00:55:42.780 ah,

00:55:43.880 ah,

00:55:44.880 ah.

00:55:45.440 Some of you

00:55:46.120 may not

00:55:46.520 ah,

00:55:47.680 remember,

00:55:48.580 but Herschel

00:55:49.460 Walker was a

00:55:50.360 heck of a

00:55:50.800 football player.

00:55:51.960 Does that make

00:55:52.900 him the best

00:55:53.580 person to

00:55:54.100 represent you?

00:55:55.320 Let's say

00:55:56.000 you're at the

00:55:56.440 airport,

00:55:57.040 and you see

00:55:57.480 Walker,

00:55:58.020 and you say,

00:55:58.840 hey,

00:55:59.380 there's Herschel,

00:56:00.480 there's Herschel,

00:56:01.560 Heisman winner.

00:56:02.700 Let's have him

00:56:03.360 fly the plane.

00:56:04.040 We will now

00:56:06.860 grade him

00:56:07.480 on his

00:56:08.180 persuasion.

00:56:09.080 Don't grade me

00:56:09.700 on my,

00:56:10.220 my,

00:56:10.800 on my,

00:56:12.320 my performance.

00:56:14.580 That was

00:56:15.120 bad.

00:56:17.000 All right,

00:56:17.760 what do you

00:56:18.060 think of that

00:56:18.420 point?

00:56:19.240 Just because

00:56:19.900 Herschel Walker

00:56:20.540 was a Heisman

00:56:21.420 winner,

00:56:22.400 that doesn't

00:56:22.860 make him a

00:56:23.360 politician.

00:56:24.560 And just

00:56:24.940 because he's

00:56:25.500 a Heisman

00:56:25.900 winner doesn't

00:56:26.580 mean he can

00:56:26.980 fly a plane.

00:56:28.300 And what did

00:56:29.120 people say

00:56:29.620 about that,

00:56:30.060 they said,

00:56:31.380 your analogy

00:56:33.860 is no good

00:56:34.740 because the

00:56:36.520 person he's

00:56:37.020 running against

00:56:37.720 can't fly a

00:56:38.500 plane.

00:56:41.960 No.

00:56:42.480 No,

00:56:44.300 that's not

00:56:44.720 how analogies

00:56:45.600 work.

00:56:46.840 No,

00:56:47.100 that's not

00:56:47.520 how analogies

00:56:48.220 work.

00:56:48.620 And other

00:56:48.880 people said,

00:56:49.500 no,

00:56:49.680 that doesn't

00:56:50.060 work because

00:56:51.100 Obama himself

00:56:52.020 doesn't know

00:56:52.480 how to fly a

00:56:53.060 plane.

00:56:55.160 No.

00:56:56.140 No.

00:56:57.300 That's not

00:56:57.860 how analogies

00:56:58.760 work.

00:57:01.000 An analogy

00:57:02.120 is not about

00:57:04.040 all the things

00:57:04.820 being the

00:57:05.280 same.

00:57:06.460 An analogy

00:57:07.000 is about

00:57:07.420 one narrow

00:57:08.200 point,

00:57:09.360 and the

00:57:09.740 narrow point

00:57:10.320 being,

00:57:11.200 if you're

00:57:12.120 an expert

00:57:12.560 in one

00:57:13.020 thing,

00:57:13.880 it doesn't

00:57:14.480 necessarily

00:57:15.200 make you

00:57:15.720 an expert

00:57:16.160 in another

00:57:16.760 thing.

00:57:17.580 That's it.

00:57:19.220 It does

00:57:19.920 not matter

00:57:20.460 if Obama

00:57:21.140 can fly a

00:57:21.820 plane.

00:57:23.240 Right?

00:57:23.940 Not the

00:57:24.500 point.

00:57:25.500 Not the

00:57:25.940 point.

00:57:27.600 Anyway,

00:57:28.720 as soon as

00:57:29.260 an analogy

00:57:29.980 enters,

00:57:30.500 everybody

00:57:30.720 goes nuts.

00:57:32.120 But,

00:57:33.060 I liked

00:57:34.840 it because

00:57:35.320 it was

00:57:35.740 visual,

00:57:36.540 and you

00:57:36.960 could feel

00:57:37.500 it.

00:57:38.440 Did I

00:57:38.780 tell you

00:57:39.120 that the

00:57:39.580 greatest

00:57:40.060 persuasion

00:57:40.660 is fear?

00:57:42.900 And following

00:57:43.620 that,

00:57:44.020 the greatest

00:57:44.360 persuasion

00:57:45.680 is usually

00:57:46.280 visual

00:57:47.300 persuasion.

00:57:48.940 So here

00:57:49.440 Obama

00:57:49.840 managed to

00:57:50.540 get some

00:57:50.920 visual,

00:57:51.660 because you

00:57:51.940 imagine

00:57:52.280 yourself

00:57:52.720 walking up

00:57:53.280 to Walker

00:57:53.700 in the

00:57:54.140 airport,

00:57:54.580 right?

00:57:55.780 Don't you

00:57:56.300 imagine it?

00:57:57.600 When he

00:57:57.900 describes it,

00:57:58.600 you put

00:57:58.840 yourself in

00:57:59.260 the airport.

00:57:59.720 Oh,

00:57:59.940 there's

00:58:00.160 Churchill

00:58:00.420 Walker

00:58:00.680 in the

00:58:00.900 airport.

00:58:01.820 Now,

00:58:01.960 you're

00:58:02.120 seeing him,

00:58:02.640 and then

00:58:02.880 you imagine

00:58:03.320 him with

00:58:03.640 a pilot

00:58:04.060 outfit,

00:58:04.640 looking like

00:58:05.120 John Travolta,

00:58:06.220 right?

00:58:06.540 Right?

00:58:07.160 Like Little

00:58:07.580 Anna Place.

00:58:08.760 And then you

00:58:10.320 imagine yourself

00:58:10.940 on a plane,

00:58:12.600 and you imagine

00:58:13.260 that an unqualified

00:58:14.300 pilot is flying it,

00:58:15.760 and you're like,

00:58:16.240 oh,

00:58:16.520 I'm afraid.

00:58:17.580 So somehow,

00:58:18.420 Obama managed to

00:58:19.340 work fear and

00:58:20.820 visual into it,

00:58:21.840 but because he

00:58:23.640 made it an

00:58:24.180 analogy,

00:58:24.800 everybody blew

00:58:25.720 up on the

00:58:26.120 analogy and it

00:58:26.820 didn't work.

00:58:28.700 You know,

00:58:29.020 I was going to

00:58:29.960 grade Obama

00:58:31.540 high for the

00:58:33.960 visual and for

00:58:34.720 the fact that he

00:58:35.200 worked some fear

00:58:35.980 in there in a

00:58:36.560 clever way,

00:58:37.840 but when you see

00:58:39.080 that it's an

00:58:39.520 analogy and the

00:58:40.840 public can't

00:58:41.620 handle analogies,

00:58:43.000 they just argue

00:58:43.660 the details,

00:58:44.360 which is completely

00:58:45.020 missing the point,

00:58:47.060 I guess I'd say it

00:58:48.620 didn't work,

00:58:49.360 but it was a hell

00:58:49.740 of a try.

00:58:54.220 Yeah.

00:58:56.100 All right.

00:58:57.420 Was there

00:58:57.940 anything that

00:58:58.520 happened in the

00:58:59.220 actual news that

00:59:00.260 didn't have anything

00:59:00.940 to do with

00:59:01.660 Twitter or

00:59:03.660 your personal

00:59:05.680 life?

00:59:12.720 Now do

00:59:14.000 Herschel

00:59:14.640 a brain surgeon.

00:59:17.700 Yeah.

00:59:18.620 So somebody

00:59:19.160 says, you

00:59:20.040 know, can

00:59:20.400 Fetterman fly

00:59:21.120 the plane?

00:59:24.740 The point

00:59:25.620 is,

00:59:27.280 now, how

00:59:30.260 many of you

00:59:30.680 actually literally

00:59:31.460 don't understand

00:59:32.320 the point is

00:59:33.840 that being good

00:59:34.440 at one thing

00:59:35.060 doesn't make you

00:59:35.820 automatically good

00:59:36.760 at another thing?

00:59:38.260 Does anybody

00:59:38.700 not know that's

00:59:39.560 the point?

00:59:40.640 And if you

00:59:41.020 understand that

00:59:41.620 is the point,

00:59:42.760 why would you

00:59:43.440 argue about

00:59:44.360 whether Fetterman

00:59:45.800 could fly a

00:59:47.020 plane?

00:59:47.400 what's that

00:59:49.620 got to do

00:59:50.060 with anything?

00:59:52.100 Fetterman is

00:59:52.900 a politician

00:59:53.660 looking for a

00:59:54.820 job as another

00:59:55.620 politician.

00:59:57.200 That's a little

00:59:57.940 bit closer

00:59:58.600 than a

00:59:59.800 Heisman

01:00:00.200 trophy winner

01:00:00.800 trying to

01:00:01.240 become a

01:00:01.660 senator.

01:00:03.040 Right?

01:00:03.240 Mayor to

01:00:03.740 senator,

01:00:04.340 it's a

01:00:04.620 reach,

01:00:05.720 but at

01:00:06.100 least it's

01:00:06.480 the same

01:00:06.940 domain.

01:00:09.440 And by the

01:00:09.900 way, that

01:00:10.200 doesn't mean

01:00:10.600 that Herschel

01:00:11.060 Walker

01:00:11.340 wouldn't be a

01:00:11.940 good senator.

01:00:12.920 I don't

01:00:13.880 have an

01:00:14.160 opinion on

01:00:14.660 that.

01:00:22.640 Give an

01:00:23.480 example from

01:00:24.360 the movie.

01:00:25.460 What?

01:00:27.000 Okay.

01:00:29.100 Do you

01:00:29.820 believe that

01:00:30.620 success is a

01:00:32.720 transferable

01:00:33.540 skill?

01:00:35.200 How many

01:00:35.660 of you believe

01:00:36.300 that being

01:00:36.680 successful at

01:00:37.440 one thing,

01:00:38.780 let's say

01:00:39.460 successful in

01:00:42.080 the film

01:00:42.560 industry?

01:00:44.420 Does that

01:00:46.820 extend to

01:00:47.300 other domains?

01:00:50.240 It depends.

01:00:51.880 Yeah, it

01:00:52.120 depends.

01:00:54.680 Mark Wahlberg

01:00:55.780 got famous,

01:00:58.680 and he's a

01:00:59.220 great example.

01:01:00.080 So Mark Wahlberg

01:01:00.920 gets famous

01:01:01.640 singing with,

01:01:03.700 I believe,

01:01:04.240 no real

01:01:04.860 musical background.

01:01:06.080 Am I right?

01:01:07.380 He was part

01:01:07.860 of a group.

01:01:09.140 Right?

01:01:09.440 Mark Wahlberg

01:01:10.120 became famous

01:01:11.060 singing without

01:01:11.940 musical experience,

01:01:14.420 really.

01:01:15.860 Then he became

01:01:16.760 an actor without

01:01:17.960 acting experience,

01:01:19.620 and he succeeded

01:01:20.980 again, right?

01:01:22.440 He has now

01:01:23.300 started several,

01:01:26.520 I don't know

01:01:27.000 how many,

01:01:27.400 maybe six or

01:01:28.280 so,

01:01:29.260 companies that

01:01:30.420 have nothing to

01:01:31.040 do with being

01:01:31.720 an actor or

01:01:32.240 singer.

01:01:33.020 Like one is

01:01:33.640 Wahlbergers, 0.66

01:01:34.500 he's an investor

01:01:35.460 in that,

01:01:36.040 they make

01:01:36.260 burgers,

01:01:37.020 and several

01:01:37.840 other businesses.

01:01:39.260 Now, I don't

01:01:39.620 know how successful

01:01:40.400 they are,

01:01:41.460 but he seems

01:01:42.380 to be somebody

01:01:43.020 who can manage

01:01:43.860 business,

01:01:45.160 as well as

01:01:46.120 singing,

01:01:46.960 as well as

01:01:47.860 acting,

01:01:48.480 with no experience

01:01:49.760 in any of those

01:01:50.540 things.

01:01:52.080 No experience

01:01:53.200 in any of the

01:01:54.120 things he's

01:01:54.600 succeeding in.

01:01:58.100 So,

01:01:59.000 is,

01:01:59.800 yeah,

01:02:00.000 and then

01:02:00.300 Ye would be

01:02:00.880 another example,

01:02:01.780 although,

01:02:02.220 you know,

01:02:02.820 the last few

01:02:04.020 weeks would

01:02:04.580 disprove it,

01:02:05.980 but,

01:02:06.440 you know,

01:02:06.680 it's a long game,

01:02:07.420 so we'll see

01:02:07.780 how he does.

01:02:08.720 But Ye,

01:02:09.240 another example,

01:02:10.100 success in music,

01:02:12.140 then he becomes

01:02:12.840 a producer.

01:02:14.180 Well,

01:02:14.380 okay,

01:02:14.580 they're sort

01:02:14.880 of related,

01:02:15.920 but then suddenly

01:02:16.740 he's making

01:02:17.600 clothing and

01:02:18.380 stuff,

01:02:19.680 totally unrelated.

01:02:21.980 Yeah,

01:02:22.260 Elon,

01:02:23.000 success in a

01:02:23.940 variety of

01:02:24.420 things that,

01:02:26.160 although you

01:02:26.880 could argue

01:02:27.280 that being an

01:02:27.800 entrepreneur,

01:02:29.320 you know,

01:02:29.520 a startup

01:02:29.940 person is a

01:02:30.980 skill that is

01:02:31.780 transferable,

01:02:32.840 for sure.

01:02:34.980 Trump,

01:02:35.600 yeah,

01:02:35.900 succeeded across,

01:02:36.680 now Trump's

01:02:37.560 an interesting

01:02:38.420 case,

01:02:38.940 because he

01:02:39.800 has a

01:02:40.120 tremendous

01:02:40.540 amount of

01:02:41.500 failed things.

01:02:45.260 But if your

01:02:46.020 strategy is to

01:02:46.800 just keep doing

01:02:47.460 a lot of

01:02:47.840 stuff,

01:02:48.800 and if any

01:02:49.360 of them

01:02:49.600 work,

01:02:50.260 you become

01:02:51.020 a billionaire

01:02:51.520 president,

01:02:52.780 then that's

01:02:53.180 a pretty good

01:02:53.560 strategy.

01:02:54.060 So you

01:02:54.260 wouldn't rank

01:02:55.240 Trump on

01:02:56.220 the percentage

01:02:56.920 of things

01:02:57.480 he got right.

01:02:58.460 You would

01:02:59.060 rank him on

01:02:59.720 the overall

01:03:00.280 strategy of

01:03:01.680 trying a

01:03:02.220 bunch of

01:03:02.540 stuff that

01:03:03.900 all have a

01:03:04.480 huge upside.

01:03:05.140 Shaq,

01:03:07.660 Shaq's a 1.00

01:03:08.240 great example.

01:03:09.460 Shaq is 0.99

01:03:09.980 now doing

01:03:11.040 TV commentary

01:03:12.460 very well,

01:03:14.340 and I

01:03:15.280 believe he's

01:03:15.640 got a

01:03:16.340 number of

01:03:16.700 people who

01:03:17.080 have started,

01:03:17.700 you know,

01:03:19.460 Shaq was 0.97

01:03:20.080 actually in

01:03:20.500 my town.

01:03:21.940 He was

01:03:22.280 like walking

01:03:22.760 distance down

01:03:23.500 there,

01:03:23.940 because I

01:03:24.640 walk it all

01:03:25.080 the time.

01:03:25.840 He was in

01:03:26.160 the restaurant

01:03:26.740 I eat at

01:03:27.260 all the time.

01:03:27.980 He was

01:03:28.460 selling his

01:03:29.380 liquor there,

01:03:31.240 at an event.

01:03:32.700 Yeah,

01:03:32.940 if you look

01:03:34.560 around,

01:03:34.980 you'll see

01:03:35.280 that the

01:03:35.640 most famous

01:03:36.560 people,

01:03:39.420 Stallone is

01:03:40.240 a great

01:03:40.600 example.

01:03:42.580 Stallone

01:03:43.100 blows me

01:03:44.460 away with

01:03:45.620 his talent

01:03:46.140 stack.

01:03:47.640 Here's

01:03:48.000 something you

01:03:48.380 don't know

01:03:48.700 about Sylvester

01:03:49.600 Stallone.

01:03:50.880 I might have

01:03:51.540 the story a

01:03:52.080 little bit

01:03:52.380 wrong,

01:03:52.760 but this is

01:03:53.140 approximately

01:03:53.620 right.

01:03:54.360 The first

01:03:54.900 Rocky,

01:03:56.180 he wrote,

01:03:57.960 let me say

01:03:58.540 that again,

01:03:59.020 he wrote

01:03:59.480 that before

01:04:01.080 he was ever

01:04:01.640 an actor,

01:04:03.020 or a famous

01:04:03.500 actor.

01:04:04.220 He wrote

01:04:04.620 it,

01:04:04.880 and then

01:04:05.100 I think

01:04:06.480 he was

01:04:06.720 offered

01:04:06.960 like $400,000

01:04:08.240 for it,

01:04:09.580 back when

01:04:10.180 that would

01:04:10.540 be worth,

01:04:11.420 I don't know,

01:04:11.820 maybe $2

01:04:12.340 million in

01:04:13.180 today's money,

01:04:14.180 and he was

01:04:14.820 broke.

01:04:16.320 He was

01:04:16.640 offered $2

01:04:17.680 million for

01:04:18.660 like a

01:04:19.440 photocopy of

01:04:20.380 a thing he

01:04:21.320 wrote,

01:04:22.240 and he turned

01:04:23.100 it down

01:04:23.520 because he

01:04:23.840 wanted to

01:04:24.180 act in it,

01:04:25.420 and then he

01:04:27.380 got his

01:04:27.720 way.

01:04:27.940 So he's

01:04:29.700 acted,

01:04:30.440 produced,

01:04:31.720 he's basically

01:04:32.560 done everything

01:04:33.320 you can do

01:04:33.900 in the movie

01:04:34.380 business,

01:04:34.900 right?

01:04:36.020 And here's

01:04:36.740 what blew

01:04:37.100 me away.

01:04:38.500 He has

01:04:38.960 an Instagram

01:04:39.600 account.

01:04:41.920 Now,

01:04:42.400 wouldn't you

01:04:42.900 expect that

01:04:43.500 somebody,

01:04:43.960 he's in his

01:04:44.400 70s,

01:04:44.900 right?

01:04:46.020 Can you

01:04:46.500 confirm his,

01:04:48.260 how old is

01:04:48.760 Sylvester?

01:04:49.240 He's in his

01:04:49.520 70s.

01:04:50.320 He's in his

01:04:50.900 70s,

01:04:51.360 he has one

01:04:51.780 of the best

01:04:52.180 Instagram

01:04:52.660 accounts.

01:04:54.340 Do you

01:04:54.620 know why?

01:04:55.780 Because he

01:04:56.180 understands it.

01:04:56.960 He understands

01:04:58.760 it.

01:04:59.440 He really

01:04:59.960 understands

01:05:00.500 Instagram.

01:05:01.500 I love his

01:05:02.140 account,

01:05:02.520 it's one of

01:05:02.820 the best

01:05:03.100 follows.

01:05:03.960 And he

01:05:04.300 gets on

01:05:04.660 there and

01:05:04.940 he just

01:05:05.220 does little

01:05:05.880 Stallone

01:05:07.140 things around

01:05:07.860 the house.

01:05:09.040 He's got

01:05:09.480 three beautiful

01:05:10.540 adult daughters

01:05:11.980 who look like

01:05:12.940 supermodels,

01:05:13.720 and he puts

01:05:14.040 them in there

01:05:14.480 all the time,

01:05:15.260 because he

01:05:15.700 knows what

01:05:16.080 sells,

01:05:16.860 right?

01:05:17.080 It's family,

01:05:18.240 but he knows

01:05:18.920 they're also

01:05:19.340 unusually

01:05:20.080 attractive.

01:05:25.900 Yeah.

01:05:26.380 I just

01:05:27.420 love

01:05:27.760 Stallone.

01:05:28.600 Stallone has

01:05:29.180 the sense

01:05:29.600 of humor.

01:05:30.840 He has

01:05:31.140 basically

01:05:31.500 every single,

01:05:33.600 everything that

01:05:34.440 you need

01:05:34.860 talent for,

01:05:35.460 he has every

01:05:36.040 one of them

01:05:36.400 covered.

01:05:37.100 It's quite

01:05:37.540 impressive.

01:05:38.440 Ryan Reynolds

01:05:39.020 is another.

01:05:39.960 We'll see how

01:05:40.580 he does.

01:05:41.480 Ryan Reynolds

01:05:42.280 has taken on

01:05:42.960 some businesses

01:05:43.660 that if I had

01:05:45.660 to bet on

01:05:46.380 them, I'd

01:05:46.760 bet against

01:05:47.280 them.

01:05:49.060 But he's

01:05:49.780 bringing a

01:05:50.440 huge asset

01:05:51.080 to them.

01:05:52.060 He's buying

01:05:52.780 a soccer team

01:05:53.620 you haven't

01:05:53.960 heard of,

01:05:54.500 and he's

01:05:55.680 got some

01:05:56.080 alcohol thing

01:05:56.940 that I haven't

01:05:57.380 heard of.

01:05:57.940 He's got

01:05:58.220 Mint Mobile

01:05:59.000 that I don't

01:06:00.220 understand how

01:06:00.880 they can compete

01:06:01.500 against the big

01:06:02.140 ones.

01:06:03.220 I don't

01:06:03.560 understand it.

01:06:04.260 I'm not

01:06:04.540 saying they

01:06:04.860 can't, I

01:06:05.200 just don't

01:06:05.540 understand how

01:06:06.240 that works.

01:06:07.600 Does anybody

01:06:08.060 understand how

01:06:08.740 Mint Mobile

01:06:09.420 can even offer

01:06:10.140 a product?

01:06:12.260 What's a

01:06:12.880 virtual network?

01:06:14.840 They buy

01:06:15.540 excess time on

01:06:16.440 existing networks?

01:06:17.300 Yeah, I

01:06:19.900 don't really

01:06:20.240 understand that.

01:06:22.200 All right.

01:06:24.740 It's a

01:06:25.280 reseller.

01:06:26.440 But it

01:06:26.940 doesn't seem

01:06:27.380 like a reseller

01:06:28.120 could get that

01:06:28.800 big if they're

01:06:29.720 just reselling

01:06:30.360 excess capacity.

01:06:33.880 Anyway, I

01:06:34.660 don't understand

01:06:35.160 it.

01:06:35.940 But I'm sure

01:06:36.500 it's a good

01:06:36.900 idea.

01:06:38.440 All right.

01:06:39.480 Any other

01:06:40.100 story that,

01:06:42.300 oh, Ryan

01:06:42.820 Reynolds

01:06:43.280 divorced?

01:06:45.080 No.

01:06:45.540 That's not

01:06:47.440 true, is

01:06:47.880 it?

01:06:49.220 Did Ryan

01:06:49.900 Reynolds divorce

01:06:50.660 with Blake

01:06:52.860 or whatever?

01:06:53.560 That's not

01:06:54.020 true.

01:06:55.220 Is it?

01:06:56.640 I don't

01:06:57.000 think that's

01:06:57.700 true.

01:06:58.660 I thought

01:06:59.300 they were

01:06:59.580 one of the

01:06:59.960 more successful

01:07:00.680 marriages.

01:07:03.060 Yeah.

01:07:03.520 No.

01:07:03.880 Let's not

01:07:04.500 say that

01:07:04.880 about him.

01:07:07.560 You know,

01:07:08.600 if Ryan

01:07:09.360 Reynolds

01:07:09.720 can't stay

01:07:10.280 married,

01:07:13.160 who can?

01:07:14.520 Oh,

01:07:14.640 yeah,

01:07:15.160 Tom Brady

01:07:15.820 got divorced.

01:07:20.600 Yeah,

01:07:21.480 Arnold,

01:07:22.580 Arnold

01:07:22.860 Schwarzenegger,

01:07:23.760 there's a

01:07:24.420 talent stack

01:07:24.960 guy.

01:07:25.840 You can see

01:07:26.440 why Arnold

01:07:26.920 Schwarzenegger

01:07:27.600 and Stallone

01:07:28.760 get along,

01:07:30.020 because they're

01:07:30.800 both geniuses

01:07:31.920 that people

01:07:32.640 don't recognize

01:07:33.940 as genius.

01:07:35.620 It's because

01:07:36.100 their genius

01:07:36.660 is distributed

01:07:37.640 against multiple

01:07:38.560 domains.

01:07:40.460 And if you

01:07:41.080 have genius

01:07:41.500 in one thing,

01:07:42.140 like, you

01:07:42.620 know,

01:07:42.800 golf or

01:07:43.440 physics,

01:07:44.180 everybody

01:07:45.020 says,

01:07:45.340 hey,

01:07:45.540 you're

01:07:45.680 Einstein

01:07:46.020 or you're

01:07:46.720 Tiger Woods.

01:07:48.780 But if

01:07:49.220 you're,

01:07:49.520 like,

01:07:49.660 really,

01:07:50.240 really seriously

01:07:51.200 good at a

01:07:51.940 whole bunch

01:07:52.480 of things,

01:07:53.320 people just

01:07:53.880 say,

01:07:54.200 well,

01:07:54.460 you had a

01:07:54.820 good career.

01:07:56.000 But I would

01:07:56.460 say that

01:07:56.920 both Stallone

01:07:57.900 and Schwarzenegger,

01:08:00.920 in my view of

01:08:01.820 things,

01:08:02.160 they qualify as

01:08:02.880 geniuses.

01:08:04.280 Because you

01:08:05.020 can't get that

01:08:05.740 much skill

01:08:06.500 added up

01:08:07.640 across so many

01:08:08.480 different domains.

01:08:09.200 Yeah,

01:08:09.500 the rock.

01:08:10.300 The rock's

01:08:10.800 got a lot

01:08:11.100 of skill.

01:08:15.600 Scott,

01:08:16.240 why would

01:08:16.580 Paul Pelosi

01:08:17.160 call the

01:08:17.820 attacker his

01:08:18.540 friend to

01:08:19.340 police?

01:08:20.840 Because the

01:08:21.880 attacker was 0.96

01:08:22.580 insane. 0.98

01:08:24.520 And he may

01:08:25.380 have been just

01:08:25.940 managing the

01:08:27.200 situation.

01:08:28.660 So if you

01:08:29.420 call him a

01:08:29.960 friend,

01:08:30.840 maybe you

01:08:31.600 get him to

01:08:33.780 be less

01:08:34.140 violent for a

01:08:34.840 moment.

01:08:35.060 I don't know.

01:08:35.500 I can

01:08:36.800 imagine any

01:08:38.160 number of

01:08:38.580 possibilities.

01:08:39.980 I would say

01:08:40.720 there's zero

01:08:41.680 credibility to

01:08:42.760 the fact that

01:08:45.380 it was anything

01:08:46.040 but a break-in.

01:08:47.800 I mean,

01:08:48.220 I don't think

01:08:48.900 that Paul

01:08:49.520 Pelosi broke

01:08:50.380 his own

01:08:50.800 window to

01:08:52.820 make it look

01:08:53.320 like it was a

01:08:53.840 break-in,

01:08:54.260 do you?

01:08:56.320 Do you think

01:08:56.960 he did that?

01:08:57.640 He did have a

01:08:58.220 hammer in his

01:08:58.700 hand.

01:08:59.180 On the other

01:08:59.800 hand, he did

01:09:00.240 have a hammer

01:09:00.700 in his hand,

01:09:01.280 so.

01:09:04.640 He did have

01:09:05.420 a hammer.

01:09:08.040 No, they 1.00

01:09:08.640 did not both

01:09:09.240 have hammers.

01:09:10.080 That confusion

01:09:11.320 was cleared

01:09:12.180 up.

01:09:13.040 Only Pelosi

01:09:13.740 had a hammer,

01:09:14.720 but the other

01:09:15.240 guy pulled it

01:09:16.320 out of his

01:09:16.680 hand and

01:09:17.120 then beat 0.92

01:09:17.460 him with 0.91

01:09:17.720 it.

01:09:17.960 So we

01:09:19.160 believe there

01:09:19.660 was one

01:09:20.020 hammer.

01:09:22.900 You're

01:09:23.340 thinking drug

01:09:23.920 related.

01:09:24.500 Well, it's

01:09:25.560 insanity for

01:09:27.300 sure.

01:09:29.980 All right.

01:09:31.880 I think it's

01:09:32.540 about time for

01:09:33.100 me to go eat

01:09:33.620 a bagel.

01:09:35.420 Long

01:09:37.940 Guitars

01:09:38.760 investment.

01:09:40.420 What?

01:09:44.900 Is there

01:09:45.420 any big story

01:09:46.040 I'm missing?

01:09:49.180 What's the

01:09:49.700 latest in

01:09:50.160 Ukraine?

01:09:53.040 So,

01:09:54.360 correct me if

01:09:56.920 I'm wrong.

01:09:57.420 Won't the

01:09:57.800 Russian soldiers

01:09:58.760 be freezing

01:10:00.300 too?

01:10:00.640 Why do

01:10:03.000 we keep

01:10:03.280 saying that

01:10:03.720 only the

01:10:04.120 Ukrainians

01:10:04.720 are going

01:10:05.000 to be

01:10:05.180 freezing?

01:10:06.480 I feel

01:10:07.100 like the

01:10:07.440 Russian

01:10:07.660 military is

01:10:08.280 going to

01:10:08.440 be pretty

01:10:08.820 cold.

01:10:10.340 So we're

01:10:10.980 already

01:10:11.260 seeing,

01:10:12.060 there's an

01:10:12.840 article on

01:10:13.660 the front

01:10:15.040 of CNN

01:10:16.380 about

01:10:17.900 the military

01:10:20.340 losing the

01:10:20.960 will to

01:10:21.280 live,

01:10:22.120 or the

01:10:22.460 will to

01:10:22.820 live,

01:10:23.200 the will

01:10:23.540 to fight.

01:10:24.040 Why is

01:10:30.260 this?

01:10:30.840 I have a

01:10:31.480 computer

01:10:32.440 problem.

01:10:34.140 All right.

01:10:35.480 Russia has 0.96

01:10:36.040 more energy

01:10:36.580 assets,

01:10:37.240 but you

01:10:37.380 have to

01:10:37.660 get them

01:10:38.200 to the

01:10:40.440 front.

01:10:41.900 And the

01:10:42.480 problem is

01:10:42.840 their supply

01:10:43.340 lines are

01:10:43.780 being cut.

01:10:47.900 Bagels are

01:10:48.520 bad for me.

01:10:50.840 Well,

01:10:51.520 compared to

01:10:51.940 some things

01:10:52.420 maybe.

01:10:59.340 If all

01:10:59.980 you have

01:11:00.220 is a

01:11:00.480 hammer,

01:11:00.800 everything

01:11:01.020 looks like

01:11:01.480 a nail.

01:11:05.080 Oh,

01:11:05.600 that's

01:11:05.880 terrible.

01:11:12.360 Yeah.

01:11:13.840 You think

01:11:14.760 most Russians

01:11:15.440 have never

01:11:15.880 been in a

01:11:16.380 hostile

01:11:16.720 environment?

01:11:18.440 What?

01:11:19.420 I'm pretty

01:11:20.060 sure every

01:11:20.520 Russian that's 0.94

01:11:21.120 been in a

01:11:21.520 hostile

01:11:21.840 weather

01:11:22.380 environment.

01:11:25.180 Oh,

01:11:26.160 let me tell

01:11:26.640 you about

01:11:26.980 a tip

01:11:27.680 that I

01:11:28.020 heard the

01:11:28.320 other day

01:11:28.660 that I'm

01:11:29.380 testing.

01:11:30.240 All right.

01:11:30.700 Now,

01:11:31.020 here's a

01:11:31.860 lifestyle tip

01:11:33.700 that I

01:11:34.240 think you

01:11:34.740 should take

01:11:35.160 to heart.

01:11:37.400 It has

01:11:38.040 to do

01:11:38.300 with

01:11:38.500 continuous

01:11:39.380 A-B

01:11:40.280 testing

01:11:40.740 for your

01:11:41.380 main

01:11:41.620 things.

01:11:42.360 So,

01:11:42.580 your main

01:11:42.860 three things

01:11:43.460 would be

01:11:43.980 diet,

01:11:44.600 exercise,

01:11:44.940 and sleep.

01:11:46.680 All right.

01:11:47.000 If you get

01:11:47.460 diet,

01:11:47.860 exercise,

01:11:48.320 and sleep

01:11:48.740 right,

01:11:49.580 then everything

01:11:50.220 else is going

01:11:50.780 to work out

01:11:51.200 better for

01:11:51.640 you.

01:11:52.200 So,

01:11:52.760 I'm

01:11:52.920 continually

01:11:53.480 experimenting

01:11:54.220 with better

01:11:55.320 ways to

01:11:55.940 eat and

01:11:56.840 better ways

01:11:57.280 to exercise,

01:11:57.940 better ways

01:11:58.240 to sleep.

01:11:58.940 And I

01:11:59.200 saw this

01:11:59.580 tip from

01:12:00.620 some alleged

01:12:01.640 expert on

01:12:02.500 social media,

01:12:03.640 and I

01:12:03.900 wondered if

01:12:04.240 you'd heard

01:12:04.640 it before,

01:12:05.880 and I

01:12:06.160 wondered if

01:12:06.540 you'd

01:12:06.720 tried it.

01:12:07.460 So,

01:12:07.720 I tried it

01:12:08.200 for the last

01:12:08.580 two nights,

01:12:09.200 and it

01:12:10.560 worked exactly

01:12:11.400 as the

01:12:11.860 expert

01:12:12.260 predicted.

01:12:13.840 But it's

01:12:14.160 only two

01:12:14.540 nights,

01:12:15.060 so I

01:12:15.360 have to

01:12:15.580 do it

01:12:15.840 more.

01:12:16.120 And it

01:12:16.280 goes like

01:12:16.640 this,

01:12:17.560 that if

01:12:17.980 you eat

01:12:18.580 within three

01:12:19.520 hours of

01:12:20.020 going to

01:12:20.420 bed,

01:12:21.340 you won't

01:12:21.820 sleep well.

01:12:23.840 Have you

01:12:24.100 ever heard

01:12:24.380 that?

01:12:25.880 That it

01:12:26.240 has to do

01:12:27.020 with having

01:12:27.980 carbs in

01:12:28.580 your system,

01:12:29.320 you don't

01:12:29.680 sleep well

01:12:30.200 with carbs?

01:12:31.880 So,

01:12:32.200 you have

01:12:32.540 heard that.

01:12:33.380 So,

01:12:33.940 the night

01:12:35.220 before last,

01:12:36.820 I tested

01:12:37.580 that.

01:12:38.120 So,

01:12:38.440 I made

01:12:38.660 sure that

01:12:39.020 I was

01:12:39.220 done

01:12:39.460 eating.

01:12:39.840 I didn't

01:12:40.060 eat anything

01:12:40.660 after 6.30

01:12:41.600 at night.

01:12:42.760 And I

01:12:43.240 had the

01:12:43.500 best sleep

01:12:44.040 that I've

01:12:44.420 had in

01:12:45.060 weeks.

01:12:46.940 So,

01:12:47.440 then the

01:12:47.680 next day,

01:12:48.580 because my

01:12:49.320 schedule got

01:12:50.220 ahead of me,

01:12:50.860 I couldn't

01:12:51.380 do that.

01:12:51.980 So,

01:12:52.220 I ate

01:12:52.380 dinner at

01:12:53.060 closer to

01:12:54.260 8.30 or

01:12:55.120 9 o'clock

01:12:55.620 at night,

01:12:56.280 and then I

01:12:57.240 tried,

01:12:57.800 unsuccessfully,

01:12:58.640 to go to

01:12:59.000 bed like an 0.99

01:12:59.580 hour and a

01:12:59.880 half later,

01:13:01.140 and had a

01:13:01.840 terrible night

01:13:02.280 of sleep.

01:13:03.660 So,

01:13:04.060 I've tried

01:13:04.340 it twice,

01:13:05.280 and so far

01:13:05.940 it's 100%.

01:13:06.840 That

01:13:08.300 when I

01:13:09.280 ate was

01:13:10.620 completely

01:13:11.180 predictive.

01:13:12.000 And here's

01:13:12.420 the weird

01:13:12.680 thing.

01:13:13.760 That one

01:13:14.420 good night

01:13:14.920 of sleep is

01:13:15.420 the first

01:13:15.940 one.

01:13:17.260 And I

01:13:17.800 never

01:13:18.400 don't eat

01:13:19.920 for three

01:13:20.340 hours before

01:13:20.920 bed.

01:13:22.060 Like,

01:13:22.440 I'm generally

01:13:23.100 snacking all

01:13:23.840 night.

01:13:24.600 Often,

01:13:25.180 the last thing

01:13:25.660 I do before

01:13:26.160 I go to bed,

01:13:26.940 because I don't

01:13:27.540 like to be

01:13:27.920 hungry,

01:13:29.040 like that

01:13:29.440 wakes me up

01:13:29.960 too.

01:13:30.340 So,

01:13:30.640 often,

01:13:30.940 the last

01:13:31.300 thing I do

01:13:31.700 before I go

01:13:32.140 to bed

01:13:32.380 is eat.

01:13:33.320 Do you

01:13:33.880 do that?

01:13:35.840 All right,

01:13:36.400 so here's

01:13:36.760 what I'm

01:13:36.980 going to do.

01:13:37.560 I'm not

01:13:38.140 claiming this

01:13:38.740 works,

01:13:39.860 because I

01:13:40.320 don't know.

01:13:41.360 What I'm

01:13:41.940 claiming is,

01:13:42.680 is really

01:13:43.220 smart to

01:13:43.940 test everything

01:13:44.680 that's easy

01:13:45.200 to test,

01:13:46.240 with an

01:13:46.860 emphasis on

01:13:47.600 easy to

01:13:48.140 test.

01:13:49.220 This is one

01:13:50.020 of the best

01:13:50.560 life advices

01:13:51.900 you'll ever

01:13:52.360 get.

01:13:53.800 Continually

01:13:54.280 test in the

01:13:55.500 domains of

01:13:56.180 exercise,

01:13:57.800 sleep,

01:13:58.300 and diet.

01:13:58.900 Never stop.

01:14:00.160 Test,

01:14:00.380 test,

01:14:00.560 test,

01:14:00.840 test,

01:14:00.880 test,

01:14:01.120 test.

01:14:02.060 But always

01:14:02.860 test the

01:14:03.440 things that

01:14:03.900 are easy

01:14:04.400 to test,

01:14:05.040 but could

01:14:05.340 have a

01:14:05.640 big impact

01:14:06.200 first.

01:14:07.080 You don't

01:14:07.460 want to

01:14:07.680 test the

01:14:08.060 big things.

01:14:09.860 I'm not

01:14:10.420 sure I

01:14:10.760 would,

01:14:12.220 oh,

01:14:12.620 I don't

01:14:12.820 know.

01:14:13.860 I guess

01:14:14.600 something like

01:14:15.140 going on a

01:14:15.880 fast for

01:14:16.640 one day,

01:14:18.080 seems like

01:14:18.620 that's small

01:14:19.140 enough you

01:14:19.540 could test

01:14:19.980 that,

01:14:20.320 not much

01:14:20.760 of a

01:14:20.960 downside.

01:14:22.360 So,

01:14:22.940 you saw

01:14:23.420 when I

01:14:23.680 tried to

01:14:25.960 solve my

01:14:26.420 own medical

01:14:26.880 problems,

01:14:28.160 I filled

01:14:28.760 my whiteboard

01:14:29.400 with all

01:14:29.780 the things

01:14:30.220 it could

01:14:30.600 be.

01:14:31.580 And some

01:14:31.880 of them

01:14:32.080 were tough

01:14:32.540 stuff,

01:14:33.180 like endocrine

01:14:34.400 problem.

01:14:36.860 If it's an 0.57

01:14:37.680 endocrine

01:14:38.200 problem,

01:14:39.280 you know,

01:14:40.820 it's going

01:14:41.080 to be

01:14:41.240 testing doctors

01:14:42.560 and trying

01:14:43.420 drugs and

01:14:44.240 God knows

01:14:44.980 what,

01:14:45.560 right?

01:14:46.480 But of all

01:14:47.280 the things

01:14:47.660 that I wrote

01:14:48.200 down that

01:14:48.640 it might

01:14:49.020 be,

01:14:50.040 one of the

01:14:50.700 possibilities

01:14:51.220 was my

01:14:52.360 blood pressure

01:14:53.080 meds were

01:14:53.660 the problem.

01:14:55.160 Now,

01:14:55.620 it turns out

01:14:56.040 that was the

01:14:56.420 easiest thing

01:14:56.960 to test,

01:14:57.520 test because

01:14:58.540 I simply

01:14:58.980 just skipped

01:14:59.900 taking them

01:15:00.340 for one

01:15:00.660 day,

01:15:01.440 which I

01:15:02.180 knew was

01:15:02.540 safe enough.

01:15:03.100 I researched

01:15:03.660 that if you

01:15:04.180 miss it for

01:15:04.560 one day,

01:15:05.140 that's not

01:15:05.480 a risk.

01:15:06.900 It is a

01:15:07.820 risk if you

01:15:08.840 skip it for,

01:15:10.260 let's say,

01:15:10.800 more than one

01:15:11.340 day.

01:15:12.200 I don't know

01:15:12.860 how much the

01:15:13.400 risk ramps up,

01:15:14.320 but if you go

01:15:15.320 a week,

01:15:16.540 I'm told there's

01:15:17.720 a bounce-back

01:15:18.340 effect,

01:15:18.960 and I don't

01:15:19.400 know how

01:15:19.680 dangerous that

01:15:20.240 would be.

01:15:20.540 I'm going

01:15:23.940 to go

01:15:24.160 somewhere really

01:15:24.740 dangerous here

01:15:25.380 in a moment.

01:15:28.300 I'm going

01:15:28.820 to switch

01:15:29.180 gears.

01:15:30.820 Let me tell

01:15:31.500 you something

01:15:31.900 I did

01:15:32.360 yesterday that

01:15:34.060 blew my 1.00

01:15:34.940 fucking mind, 1.00

01:15:36.720 and I need 1.00

01:15:37.580 some help.

01:15:38.220 I'm going

01:15:38.440 to ask the

01:15:38.960 internet brain,

01:15:39.880 the collective

01:15:40.540 intelligence,

01:15:41.240 to help me

01:15:41.620 out,

01:15:42.020 because I

01:15:42.320 sort of

01:15:42.600 reached a

01:15:43.500 cap of

01:15:44.080 what I

01:15:44.340 can do

01:15:44.660 on my

01:15:44.980 own.

01:15:46.680 When I

01:15:47.280 decided to

01:15:47.980 experiment by

01:15:49.680 stopping

01:15:50.380 my blood

01:15:51.060 pressure

01:15:51.360 meds,

01:15:52.720 the first

01:15:53.420 thing I

01:15:53.740 wondered is

01:15:54.240 whether it's

01:15:54.720 dangerous,

01:15:55.780 right?

01:15:56.360 Is it

01:15:56.700 dangerous to

01:15:57.360 skip one

01:15:59.080 day?

01:15:59.460 I figured

01:15:59.880 no,

01:16:00.980 but I

01:16:01.340 didn't know

01:16:01.640 how long

01:16:02.060 I could

01:16:02.360 go before

01:16:02.840 it was

01:16:03.060 dangerous.

01:16:04.060 So I

01:16:04.660 looked it

01:16:05.000 up,

01:16:05.880 and I

01:16:06.920 didn't get

01:16:07.220 a clean

01:16:07.720 answer,

01:16:08.140 but then I

01:16:08.540 thought,

01:16:08.920 well,

01:16:09.580 my blood

01:16:10.320 pressure is

01:16:11.060 not super

01:16:11.740 high,

01:16:13.360 you know,

01:16:13.700 down to

01:16:14.160 like 130

01:16:15.180 over 84

01:16:16.080 or something,

01:16:17.180 and I

01:16:17.680 thought to

01:16:17.960 myself,

01:16:19.040 okay,

01:16:19.400 is that

01:16:19.680 dangerous?

01:16:21.200 Do we

01:16:21.640 know the

01:16:22.140 science

01:16:22.620 says for

01:16:23.640 sure that

01:16:25.320 for the

01:16:26.500 average

01:16:26.840 person,

01:16:28.380 that being

01:16:28.900 a little

01:16:29.240 bit high,

01:16:30.000 134 over,

01:16:31.140 let's say,

01:16:31.460 84,

01:16:32.900 is that

01:16:33.360 going to

01:16:33.520 be dangerous?

01:16:34.480 And so

01:16:34.860 here's what

01:16:35.240 I did.

01:16:35.740 I googled it.

01:16:37.760 Now,

01:16:38.180 if you

01:16:38.500 google that,

01:16:39.160 don't you

01:16:39.440 think you're

01:16:39.860 going to

01:16:40.020 get an

01:16:40.800 obviously

01:16:41.360 clean,

01:16:42.400 clear answer?

01:16:43.860 Yes or

01:16:44.280 no?

01:16:44.880 Do you

01:16:45.240 think that

01:16:45.760 the science

01:16:46.340 of blood

01:16:46.820 pressure and

01:16:47.600 blood pressure

01:16:48.180 medication is

01:16:49.820 settled to

01:16:50.540 the point

01:16:50.960 where if

01:16:51.980 I ask it

01:16:52.640 what blood

01:16:53.200 pressure should

01:16:53.860 be treated,

01:16:55.080 there'll be a

01:16:55.640 clean,

01:16:56.240 clear answer

01:16:56.880 with a

01:16:57.660 consensus?

01:16:59.520 Let me tell

01:17:00.260 you what my

01:17:00.640 experience was.

01:17:01.920 So I googled it

01:17:02.860 and I found

01:17:03.540 a research

01:17:05.480 that looked at

01:17:06.960 other research

01:17:07.760 and it went

01:17:09.120 through,

01:17:09.680 you know,

01:17:10.020 what everybody

01:17:10.600 says about

01:17:11.400 what's dangerous

01:17:12.080 and what's not.

01:17:13.420 And then,

01:17:13.900 since I couldn't

01:17:14.680 understand all the

01:17:15.480 science,

01:17:15.900 I do what I

01:17:16.980 always do,

01:17:17.400 I skipped to

01:17:17.860 the conclusion.

01:17:19.720 So this is

01:17:20.960 not what it

01:17:21.480 actually said,

01:17:22.580 I'm going to

01:17:22.960 make this

01:17:23.380 barred up,

01:17:24.460 but this is

01:17:25.000 how it felt.

01:17:26.800 This study

01:17:27.540 says this,

01:17:28.640 this study

01:17:29.200 says this,

01:17:30.300 this study

01:17:30.780 says this,

01:17:32.280 and then the

01:17:33.760 conclusion said

01:17:34.580 this is the

01:17:35.800 national guideline.

01:17:36.880 What I was

01:17:37.160 looking at was

01:17:37.640 an Australian

01:17:38.260 study,

01:17:39.440 and then the

01:17:40.220 conclusion was

01:17:41.000 here's the

01:17:42.080 Australian guideline.

01:17:43.960 Do you see

01:17:44.280 what's missing?

01:17:44.760 They never

01:17:46.260 connected the

01:17:47.300 research to

01:17:47.980 the guideline.

01:17:49.980 They showed

01:17:51.060 the research,

01:17:52.520 and then they

01:17:52.980 said here's

01:17:53.440 the guideline,

01:17:54.640 and nowhere

01:17:55.360 there did they

01:17:56.240 say directly

01:17:56.940 this research

01:17:58.340 supports the

01:17:59.160 guideline,

01:17:59.920 because you

01:18:00.780 know what?

01:18:01.680 It didn't.

01:18:02.920 It didn't

01:18:04.480 disavow the

01:18:06.060 guideline,

01:18:06.740 but it also

01:18:07.580 didn't support

01:18:08.180 it.

01:18:10.000 And so

01:18:10.360 instead of

01:18:10.780 just saying

01:18:11.160 that directly,

01:18:12.780 it just

01:18:13.900 changed the

01:18:14.700 subject.

01:18:16.780 And so I

01:18:17.460 read another

01:18:17.920 one.

01:18:18.140 I thought,

01:18:18.440 well,

01:18:18.540 that's weird.

01:18:19.920 So I read

01:18:20.360 another one,

01:18:21.340 and sure

01:18:21.940 enough,

01:18:22.260 it's like,

01:18:22.660 blah, blah,

01:18:23.040 blah, this

01:18:23.600 is what the

01:18:24.040 science says,

01:18:25.200 and then the

01:18:25.760 conclusion was,

01:18:27.040 Merry Christmas.

01:18:28.320 Now, it

01:18:28.660 didn't say

01:18:29.020 Merry Christmas.

01:18:29.820 I'm making

01:18:30.240 that up.

01:18:31.380 But what it

01:18:32.080 didn't say is

01:18:32.780 something related

01:18:33.520 to what I

01:18:34.280 just read,

01:18:35.160 the science.

01:18:36.680 and so I

01:18:41.300 ask you this

01:18:41.900 question.

01:18:43.440 Is blood

01:18:44.600 pressure

01:18:45.060 medication 1.00

01:18:45.900 bullshit? 0.99

01:18:49.420 Now, let 1.00

01:18:50.660 me be very

01:18:51.180 clear.

01:18:51.760 I'm positive

01:18:52.620 that for some

01:18:54.180 people it keeps

01:18:54.880 them alive.

01:18:55.640 Can we all

01:18:56.020 agree on that?

01:18:57.460 I'm positive,

01:18:58.960 I'm not a

01:19:00.060 doctor, but I'm

01:19:01.460 positive there's

01:19:02.260 some people in

01:19:02.820 some situations

01:19:03.740 that it must

01:19:04.840 keep them

01:19:05.440 alive.

01:19:06.440 I think my

01:19:06.920 father might

01:19:07.400 have been one

01:19:07.760 of those,

01:19:08.180 actually.

01:19:09.640 Yeah, some

01:19:10.120 people say it

01:19:10.680 saved your

01:19:11.020 life, etc.

01:19:11.620 So I think

01:19:11.980 so.

01:19:12.580 But let me

01:19:13.360 ask you this.

01:19:14.600 Do you

01:19:14.860 think science

01:19:15.580 can tell me

01:19:16.520 specifically,

01:19:19.560 I'm at my

01:19:20.720 ideal BMI,

01:19:23.660 I'm a

01:19:24.820 pescatarian

01:19:25.540 for decades,

01:19:27.040 or vegetarian,

01:19:28.040 pescatarian,

01:19:29.360 I don't drink

01:19:30.500 alcohol,

01:19:31.400 I don't smoke

01:19:32.240 tobacco,

01:19:33.740 do you

01:19:35.000 think that

01:19:35.500 science knows

01:19:36.460 whether I

01:19:37.060 should take

01:19:37.460 blood pressure

01:19:38.080 medication?

01:19:39.280 What do you

01:19:39.600 think?

01:19:40.460 I think there's

01:19:41.300 a guideline,

01:19:42.380 and I think

01:19:42.860 they told me

01:19:43.380 I should,

01:19:44.380 and I think

01:19:45.020 if I asked

01:19:45.540 a hundred

01:19:45.820 times,

01:19:46.280 they'd say

01:19:46.600 yes.

01:19:47.640 I think if

01:19:48.340 I asked

01:19:48.620 a hundred

01:19:48.940 doctors,

01:19:49.480 a hundred

01:19:49.680 doctors would

01:19:50.260 say yes.

01:19:51.460 But do you

01:19:51.840 think the

01:19:52.180 science supports

01:19:52.820 it?

01:19:55.160 Because if

01:19:55.780 it does

01:19:56.020 support it,

01:19:56.860 can you

01:19:57.360 show me

01:19:57.860 where that

01:19:58.300 is?

01:19:59.400 Because I

01:20:00.180 looked and

01:20:00.680 I didn't

01:20:00.980 see it.

01:20:02.540 Is it

01:20:03.140 missing for

01:20:05.560 a reason?

01:20:12.180 So here's

01:20:13.420 why I

01:20:14.740 think this

01:20:15.240 is

01:20:15.700 important.

01:20:20.620 What happened

01:20:21.520 when I took

01:20:22.020 blood pressure

01:20:22.620 medications?

01:20:23.320 The first

01:20:23.680 thing I did

01:20:24.220 was I didn't

01:20:24.940 want to

01:20:25.400 exercise.

01:20:27.000 You got

01:20:27.340 that?

01:20:27.980 The first

01:20:28.680 thing I did

01:20:29.240 on blood

01:20:29.780 pressure

01:20:30.200 medications

01:20:31.020 is I

01:20:31.440 didn't

01:20:31.660 want to

01:20:31.940 exercise.

01:20:32.920 So I

01:20:33.260 did less.

01:20:34.560 I tried to

01:20:35.340 push through

01:20:35.740 as hard as

01:20:36.180 I can

01:20:36.460 because I'm

01:20:36.740 pretty stubborn,

01:20:37.760 but it was

01:20:38.220 still less.

01:20:40.300 Do you

01:20:40.520 know what

01:20:40.760 else I

01:20:41.180 felt?

01:20:42.060 I felt I

01:20:42.800 didn't want

01:20:43.260 to live.

01:20:45.240 And that

01:20:45.560 was just

01:20:45.900 the medication.

01:20:47.160 As soon as I

01:20:47.680 was off it,

01:20:48.180 boom,

01:20:48.500 went away.

01:20:49.600 It made me

01:20:50.280 not want to

01:20:50.900 live.

01:20:51.140 What is the

01:20:52.960 life expectancy

01:20:53.860 of people who

01:20:54.680 don't want to

01:20:55.220 live and

01:20:56.280 can't exercise

01:20:57.100 and can't

01:20:58.040 enjoy life?

01:20:58.680 And their

01:20:59.760 libido takes

01:21:01.060 a hit.

01:21:03.080 Are you

01:21:03.700 telling me

01:21:04.100 those blood

01:21:04.580 pressure

01:21:04.980 medications

01:21:05.620 aren't

01:21:05.940 killing

01:21:06.180 people? 0.99

01:21:07.660 Because I

01:21:08.280 just described

01:21:08.980 something that

01:21:09.540 does kill

01:21:09.960 people. 0.92

01:21:11.880 If you

01:21:12.720 gave a

01:21:13.160 pill to

01:21:13.500 somebody who

01:21:13.920 was otherwise

01:21:14.440 perfectly

01:21:15.020 healthy and

01:21:16.100 the only

01:21:16.520 changes it

01:21:17.160 made is it

01:21:17.780 made them

01:21:18.100 not want to

01:21:18.620 exercise,

01:21:19.620 gain weight

01:21:20.240 easily,

01:21:20.820 not care about

01:21:21.500 living,

01:21:21.980 lose their

01:21:22.380 libido,

01:21:23.500 you're

01:21:23.740 telling me

01:21:24.000 that person

01:21:24.420 isn't going

01:21:24.780 to die 0.99

01:21:25.120 sooner?

01:21:27.320 I think 0.99

01:21:27.960 they'll die 0.99

01:21:28.340 sooner because 0.87

01:21:28.660 I don't 0.99

01:21:29.020 give a fuck 0.98

01:21:29.560 about living. 0.99

01:21:31.220 I didn't.

01:21:32.360 I honestly

01:21:32.980 didn't care

01:21:33.460 about living.

01:21:35.120 And I

01:21:35.500 don't mean

01:21:35.840 there's no

01:21:36.260 hyperbole

01:21:36.760 there.

01:21:37.760 When I

01:21:38.300 was on

01:21:38.620 that drug

01:21:39.160 I had

01:21:40.040 no interest

01:21:40.800 in being

01:21:41.160 alive.

01:21:41.660 None.

01:21:42.600 None.

01:21:43.260 Now

01:21:43.540 fortunately

01:21:44.820 my executive

01:21:45.820 function of

01:21:47.320 my brain

01:21:47.700 was still

01:21:48.140 intact and

01:21:49.380 the executive

01:21:49.940 function told

01:21:50.700 me to

01:21:51.000 wait it

01:21:51.320 out.

01:21:52.260 Right?

01:21:53.020 So I

01:21:53.440 was overriding

01:21:54.300 all the rest

01:21:55.740 of my brain

01:21:56.380 with my

01:21:56.920 executive function

01:21:57.800 but just

01:21:58.720 barely.

01:22:00.360 Just 1.00

01:22:00.800 fucking 0.98

01:22:01.180 barely. 0.99

01:22:02.380 Right?

01:22:03.660 And I'm

01:22:04.240 not sure

01:22:04.640 if everybody

01:22:05.480 could do

01:22:05.880 that.

01:22:06.880 I'm sort

01:22:07.580 of unusually

01:22:08.260 mentally

01:22:08.640 strong I

01:22:09.420 like to

01:22:09.760 think.

01:22:10.540 That's

01:22:10.860 probably

01:22:11.080 just my

01:22:11.460 own

01:22:11.600 illusion.

01:22:11.940 if you

01:22:15.480 can skip

01:22:15.900 the meds

01:22:16.400 for a

01:22:16.660 day you

01:22:17.020 didn't

01:22:17.260 get better

01:22:17.700 in one

01:22:18.100 day.

01:22:20.760 I don't

01:22:21.380 know what

01:22:21.580 that means

01:22:21.900 exactly.

01:22:24.400 Yeah

01:22:24.860 everybody's

01:22:25.380 different.

01:22:25.920 So starting

01:22:26.420 with the

01:22:26.860 everybody's

01:22:27.400 different

01:22:27.660 theory do

01:22:29.020 you think

01:22:29.460 that I

01:22:30.040 personally

01:22:30.520 am in

01:22:31.040 danger

01:22:31.460 more in

01:22:34.400 danger

01:22:34.820 or let's

01:22:36.040 say this

01:22:36.320 exact case

01:22:37.040 your blood

01:22:37.920 pressure is

01:22:38.480 134 over

01:22:39.460 84 which

01:22:41.020 is high.

01:22:42.020 You'd want

01:22:42.460 it 120

01:22:42.920 over 80.

01:22:46.200 So it is

01:22:46.880 high but

01:22:47.260 it's not

01:22:47.520 super high.

01:22:48.940 It's just

01:22:49.360 high-ish.

01:22:51.180 You tell

01:22:51.540 me that

01:22:52.160 for sure

01:22:53.740 that's better

01:22:54.260 than taking

01:22:54.760 a pill

01:22:55.220 that removes

01:22:56.580 my will

01:22:57.060 to live.

01:22:58.780 It's not

01:22:59.120 even close

01:22:59.620 is it?

01:23:00.740 Let me be

01:23:01.420 clear.

01:23:02.100 So I

01:23:02.700 haven't tried

01:23:03.140 all blood

01:23:03.560 pressure

01:23:03.860 medications

01:23:04.420 I'll

01:23:04.680 probably

01:23:05.020 I'm going

01:23:05.980 to experiment

01:23:06.460 to see what

01:23:06.940 I can do

01:23:07.280 without it

01:23:07.720 for a little

01:23:08.140 while but

01:23:08.840 probably

01:23:09.740 probably

01:23:11.520 I'll go

01:23:12.120 back and

01:23:12.560 maybe try

01:23:13.100 something that

01:23:13.740 I think

01:23:14.440 has less

01:23:15.040 deleterious

01:23:16.380 effects.

01:23:17.600 But here's

01:23:18.500 the other

01:23:18.780 scary part.

01:23:20.400 I went

01:23:21.300 months

01:23:22.260 without knowing

01:23:23.240 it was the

01:23:23.680 blood pressure

01:23:24.220 meds.

01:23:25.400 Do you know

01:23:25.680 what I thought

01:23:26.040 it was?

01:23:27.300 Or here's

01:23:27.920 another

01:23:28.400 learning

01:23:28.980 point.

01:23:30.960 Let me

01:23:31.380 teach you

01:23:31.740 something.

01:23:32.640 When I

01:23:33.220 went public

01:23:33.880 and said

01:23:35.100 that I

01:23:35.440 had extreme

01:23:37.280 fatigue

01:23:37.960 everyone

01:23:39.140 who had

01:23:39.660 a pet

01:23:40.060 peeve

01:23:40.560 or a

01:23:41.540 pet

01:23:41.720 theory

01:23:42.100 told me

01:23:43.100 they were

01:23:43.420 sure

01:23:43.700 what

01:23:43.920 caused

01:23:44.260 it.

01:23:45.940 So the

01:23:46.580 people who

01:23:47.040 thought

01:23:47.240 long

01:23:47.560 COVID

01:23:47.880 was

01:23:48.100 real

01:23:48.320 said

01:23:48.620 oh you

01:23:48.940 definitely

01:23:49.220 got

01:23:49.420 long

01:23:49.660 COVID

01:23:49.920 I've

01:23:50.180 got

01:23:50.340 that

01:23:50.560 too.

01:23:51.420 The

01:23:51.620 people

01:23:51.880 who thought

01:23:52.180 vaccination

01:23:52.640 is

01:23:53.040 injured

01:23:53.280 people

01:23:53.580 said

01:23:53.860 that's

01:23:54.280 a

01:23:54.420 clear

01:23:54.680 example

01:23:55.100 of a

01:23:55.500 vaccination

01:23:55.840 injury.

01:23:56.900 No

01:23:57.180 doubt

01:23:57.400 about it

01:23:57.760 Scott

01:23:57.980 that's

01:23:58.280 what

01:23:58.420 you

01:23:58.520 got.

01:23:59.140 The

01:23:59.580 people

01:23:59.900 who

01:24:00.140 thought

01:24:00.440 vegetarian

01:24:01.140 diets

01:24:01.680 are

01:24:01.840 bad

01:24:02.060 for

01:24:02.280 you

01:24:02.440 and

01:24:02.600 rob

01:24:02.960 your

01:24:03.200 strength

01:24:03.660 they

01:24:04.260 said

01:24:04.540 eat

01:24:04.940 some

01:24:05.100 meat 1.00

01:24:05.360 damn 0.99

01:24:05.640 it 1.00

01:24:05.820 that's

01:24:06.500 all

01:24:06.600 you

01:24:06.740 need

01:24:06.920 to

01:24:07.060 do

01:24:07.300 eat

01:24:07.800 some

01:24:07.960 beef

01:24:08.240 you'll

01:24:08.500 be

01:24:08.600 better.

01:24:10.280 The

01:24:10.520 people

01:24:12.400 who

01:24:12.960 think

01:24:13.880 that

01:24:14.080 testosterone

01:24:14.660 may

01:24:15.900 have

01:24:16.040 helped

01:24:16.260 them

01:24:16.560 said

01:24:17.680 it's

01:24:17.960 obvious

01:24:18.260 that

01:24:18.500 you're

01:24:18.660 low 0.98

01:24:18.920 testosterone

01:24:19.540 Scott

01:24:20.020 get

01:24:20.360 your

01:24:20.660 testosterone

01:24:21.920 tested.

01:24:23.680 Now

01:24:23.840 right

01:24:25.360 many of

01:24:26.000 you are

01:24:26.180 guilty.

01:24:26.940 Now

01:24:27.040 people

01:24:27.320 had all

01:24:27.640 kinds

01:24:27.840 of

01:24:27.980 theories

01:24:28.260 but

01:24:29.100 here's

01:24:29.980 what

01:24:30.160 you

01:24:30.300 should

01:24:30.500 learn.

01:24:30.820 they

01:24:31.820 were

01:24:32.020 all

01:24:32.280 pretty 0.99

01:24:32.820 damn 0.95

01:24:33.320 certain 0.99

01:24:33.700 that

01:24:33.960 they

01:24:34.100 were

01:24:34.240 right.

01:24:35.860 Just

01:24:36.420 as

01:24:36.680 certain

01:24:36.980 they

01:24:37.260 are

01:24:37.440 that

01:24:37.640 their

01:24:37.840 neighbor

01:24:38.120 who

01:24:38.320 died

01:24:38.740 of

01:24:39.320 a

01:24:39.440 vaccine

01:24:39.720 injury

01:24:40.100 just

01:24:40.900 as

01:24:41.120 certain

01:24:41.400 they

01:24:41.740 are

01:24:42.020 of

01:24:42.300 everything

01:24:42.720 else

01:24:43.040 that's

01:24:43.260 not

01:24:43.500 true.

01:24:44.660 We

01:24:44.940 get

01:24:45.500 really

01:24:45.880 certain

01:24:46.300 of

01:24:46.580 things

01:24:46.800 that

01:24:46.940 aren't

01:24:47.120 true

01:24:47.320 really

01:24:47.660 fast.

01:24:52.800 By

01:24:53.200 the

01:24:53.980 way

01:24:54.100 I

01:24:54.240 appreciate

01:24:54.600 the

01:24:54.860 suggestions.

01:24:56.000 That's

01:24:56.300 not a

01:24:56.600 complaint.

01:24:57.640 I

01:24:57.740 do

01:24:57.880 appreciate

01:24:58.320 the

01:24:58.560 suggestions.

01:25:00.820 So

01:25:03.380 somebody

01:25:03.760 is

01:25:03.880 suggesting

01:25:04.260 here

01:25:04.560 that

01:25:04.780 I

01:25:04.920 should

01:25:05.060 try

01:25:05.340 different

01:25:05.880 blood

01:25:06.320 pressure

01:25:06.680 meds

01:25:07.240 to

01:25:08.040 see

01:25:08.240 which

01:25:08.460 ones

01:25:08.720 give

01:25:08.880 me

01:25:09.000 side

01:25:09.240 effects.

01:25:09.780 And

01:25:09.880 here's

01:25:10.120 the

01:25:10.240 problem.

01:25:11.300 I

01:25:11.520 thought

01:25:11.800 I

01:25:11.940 was

01:25:12.100 doing

01:25:12.340 that.

01:25:13.740 That's

01:25:14.020 what I

01:25:14.260 thought

01:25:14.400 I

01:25:14.500 was

01:25:14.620 doing.

01:25:15.140 And

01:25:15.340 it

01:25:15.460 almost

01:25:15.840 killed

01:25:16.100 me. 0.99

01:25:17.920 I

01:25:18.440 didn't

01:25:18.780 know

01:25:19.160 that

01:25:20.060 the

01:25:20.240 blood

01:25:20.440 pressure

01:25:20.780 meds

01:25:21.100 were

01:25:21.260 the

01:25:21.460 cause

01:25:21.940 of

01:25:22.180 the

01:25:22.580 way

01:25:22.740 I

01:25:22.880 felt

01:25:23.160 because

01:25:23.780 it

01:25:23.920 doesn't

01:25:24.160 happen

01:25:24.460 the

01:25:24.840 day

01:25:25.040 you

01:25:25.220 take

01:25:25.480 it.

01:25:26.440 It

01:25:26.640 must

01:25:27.040 build

01:25:27.340 up

01:25:27.680 because

01:25:28.640 on

01:25:28.840 day

01:25:29.040 one

01:25:29.300 I

01:25:29.440 didn't

01:25:29.580 have

01:25:29.760 any

01:25:29.940 of

01:25:30.060 those

01:25:30.280 problems.

01:25:31.660 It

01:25:31.680 just

01:25:32.460 got

01:25:32.700 more

01:25:32.960 and

01:25:33.060 more

01:25:33.180 and

01:25:33.260 more.

01:25:34.020 Somebody

01:25:34.300 says

01:25:34.540 low

01:25:34.800 carbs.

01:25:36.460 Everybody

01:25:36.940 has

01:25:37.240 their

01:25:37.420 own

01:25:37.720 theory.

01:25:39.220 But

01:25:39.420 all

01:25:40.060 of

01:25:40.200 your

01:25:40.340 theories

01:25:40.700 are

01:25:40.920 wrong

01:25:41.220 if

01:25:41.520 I

01:25:41.660 miss

01:25:41.860 one

01:25:42.120 pill

01:25:42.320 by

01:25:42.500 one

01:25:42.740 day

01:25:42.960 and

01:25:43.180 all

01:25:43.440 of

01:25:43.540 my

01:25:43.660 problems

01:25:44.000 are

01:25:44.200 solved.

01:25:45.380 So

01:25:45.460 now

01:25:45.680 it's

01:25:45.840 been

01:25:46.020 several

01:25:46.460 days.

01:25:47.600 I

01:25:47.900 don't

01:25:48.000 know

01:25:48.120 a

01:25:48.240 week

01:25:48.380 or

01:25:48.500 something.

01:25:49.300 So

01:25:49.400 it's

01:25:49.500 been

01:25:49.640 several

01:25:49.980 days

01:25:50.440 and

01:25:51.220 these

01:25:51.480 are

01:25:51.600 the

01:25:51.760 only

01:25:52.040 several

01:25:52.420 days

01:25:52.740 of

01:25:52.920 good

01:25:53.140 life

01:25:53.440 I've

01:25:53.660 had

01:25:53.900 in

01:25:54.200 a

01:25:54.900 long

01:25:55.240 time.

01:25:57.120 Somebody

01:25:57.640 says

01:25:57.940 it's

01:25:58.100 all

01:25:58.260 in

01:25:58.400 your

01:25:58.500 head 0.98

01:25:58.660 that's

01:25:58.900 not

01:25:59.060 even

01:25:59.260 slightly

01:26:00.500 possible.

01:26:01.520 You'd

01:26:01.860 have

01:26:02.020 to

01:26:02.640 know

01:26:02.880 from

01:26:03.100 the

01:26:03.260 inside

01:26:03.660 how

01:26:04.460 dramatic

01:26:04.940 the

01:26:05.200 difference

01:26:05.480 is.

01:26:06.340 The

01:26:06.800 difference

01:26:07.160 is

01:26:07.380 between

01:26:07.660 not

01:26:07.960 being

01:26:08.160 able

01:26:08.360 to

01:26:08.520 walk

01:26:08.760 up

01:26:08.900 the

01:26:09.080 stairs

01:26:09.480 and

01:26:10.620 spontaneously

01:26:11.300 skipping.

01:26:14.200 It's

01:26:14.760 completely

01:26:15.200 different.

01:26:16.300 Like

01:26:16.420 spontaneously

01:26:17.100 I

01:26:17.600 think

01:26:17.760 I'll

01:26:17.860 just

01:26:18.080 skip

01:26:18.640 from

01:26:18.920 this

01:26:19.120 room

01:26:19.340 to

01:26:19.500 this

01:26:19.680 room.

01:26:20.660 There's

01:26:21.180 no

01:26:21.320 comparison.

01:26:22.480 That

01:26:22.680 was

01:26:22.920 not

01:26:23.180 in

01:26:23.360 my

01:26:23.540 head.

01:26:25.200 Definitely

01:26:25.580 not

01:26:25.840 in

01:26:25.940 my

01:26:26.040 head.

01:26:29.820 Low

01:26:30.340 carbs.

01:26:31.060 I'm

01:26:31.560 generally

01:26:31.920 a

01:26:32.320 low

01:26:33.040 carb

01:26:33.300 guy.

01:26:34.360 I'm

01:26:34.480 lower

01:26:34.700 carbs

01:26:35.060 than

01:26:35.200 most

01:26:35.400 people.

01:26:37.920 I'm

01:26:38.300 sort

01:26:38.500 of

01:26:38.660 fish

01:26:39.100 and

01:26:39.260 vegetable

01:26:39.600 kind

01:26:39.880 of

01:26:39.960 a

01:26:40.040 guy.

01:26:41.120 All

01:26:41.340 right.

01:26:41.580 That's

01:26:41.800 all

01:26:41.920 for

01:26:42.020 now.

01:26:42.740 I'm

01:26:42.920 going

01:26:42.960 to

01:26:43.040 say

01:26:43.240 goodbye

01:26:43.540 to

01:26:43.740 YouTube

01:26:44.040 for

01:26:44.300 now

01:26:44.540 and

01:26:44.920 I'll

01:26:45.040 talk

01:26:45.240 to

01:26:45.320 you

01:26:45.400 tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 29, 2022

Episode 1911 Scott Adams： Let's Have Fun With The News Because Its Been A Wonderful Week

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