Episode 1924 Scott Adams: Trump Alienates His Base, And Elon Musk Tries To Turn Twitter Around
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 3 minutes
Words per Minute
146.03703
Summary
In this episode, we talk about how to get rid of anxiety in your life, and why you should be doing it. And we have a special guest on the show who is a celebrity educator. Joe Rogan.
Transcript
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Good morning, everybody. Wow. Do you look good? I don't know. You've probably been exercising a
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little extra, maybe doing your breathing exercises. I don't know. After we do the
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simultaneous sip, I'm going to give you a reframe that will change your life. That's my challenge.
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Do you think I can do that? Do you think I can give you, like, two sentences that will change
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your life? I think I can, actually. Like, actually, I think I can. Truly. All right. But before we do
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that, we're going to take it up a notch. You ready? Here we go. All you need is a cup or mug or a glass
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or a tank or a chalice or a canteen jug or a flask or a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite
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liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the
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day. The thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. It happens now. Go.
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Ah, savor it. Savor it. Good. Good. All right. Are you ready for the reframe in just a few sentences
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that will change your life? Ready? Here it comes. You're not waiting in line. You're doing
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breathing exercises. That's it. So I've been trying to figure out some way that I could work
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the habit of breathing exercises into my daily life. It turns out that every day I spend at least
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some time standing in line. Right? Grocery store or Starbucks or gas station or something.
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So you're always standing in line. So you could take out your phone, which is what I used to do,
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take out my phone. And then I would probably make myself more anxious. I would enjoy it. That's why
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I look at my phone. But it makes you a little anxious, doesn't it? So instead, I'm having really
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good success with that Andrew Huberman, two inhales and one long exhale. You know, you do one big sniff
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in with your nose. And then before you exhale, you do a second, you know, aggressive sniff. So you fill
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your lungs with two nose sniffs and then you do one long exhale. And I could actually feel the,
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like the extra energy that causes anxiety. I like to say it that way. I can actually just feel it
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go away instantly. But it doesn't stay away. You know, but if you keep doing the breathing thing,
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it does feel like it lasts a while. So I've been doing the breathing exercises, got off all of my
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blood pressure meds. Yesterday I checked my blood pressure. It was 118 over 78 on no meds. And the
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only thing I've been doing differently is the breathing exercises. But I have been, you know,
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walking and exercising and doing all the right stuff. So, and let me check in with you.
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Honestly, I've always believed that I could get a lot of benefit out of breathing exercises
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because all of the science, everybody who's tried it, it's very consistent, right? It's one of the
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things you've been hearing for years, but it's hard to actually work it into your life. And the part
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that I couldn't figure out is how to carve out, you know, a little breathing time or a little meditation
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time. And I just realized I don't need to. Just whenever I'm bored, instead of my phone, I'll just do
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some breathing exercises. It's been great so far. Wait till you see how that changes your life.
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You know, interestingly, on a similar topic, I guess, Dr. Huberman, who is the, you know, the person
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promoting this breathing exercise, and other things, he did some big live event at the Beacon
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Theater in New York City. It was packed. I saw a picture of it. And I saw a tweet from Adam Dopamine,
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who says, you'll know it's the golden age when educators are celebrities. And I thought, whoa, that's
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kind of happening. Jordan Peterson is a celebrity educator, wouldn't you say? Yeah. You know, weirdly,
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Joe Rogan's a celebrity educator, you know, in his own way, through guests. But, yeah, Andrew
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Huberman is exactly that. He's famous for being somebody educating people. Yeah, Lex Friedman.
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I think Tim Ferriss, maybe the original. But VD Hanson, right? So I like that. Now, I've used
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other descriptors like internet dads and stuff. But I try to do the same thing. You know, I'm
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trying to give you useful things and see if it helps your life. The best Fetterman joke
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so far from Twitter user Blake Bee, or Bay, B-E-Y-E. And he tweeted this today. Biden slash
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Federman 2024. It's a no-brainer. Yeah, that would be, that's the bumper sticker I want to
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see. Biden Federman 2024. It's a no-brainer. It's tough to top that joke. I've been waiting
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for somebody to capture just the right spirit of it. There it was. There it was. Now, many
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of you probably saying to yourself, and I heard this a lot on social media, Federman, how can
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those Democrats elect somebody who performed so poorly in public? And that was actually
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my digital assistant talking to me for some reason. Anyway, so, but here's what I would
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counter through that. Have you had that same feeling? That Federman doesn't look like he's
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up to the job of being a senator? You've had that feeling, right? Let me give you some context.
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Think about how many people are in Congress, okay? It's a lot. Add the Senate to the House.
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How many are there? If you add them together, 535? Or is that just the House? 435 plus 100, yeah.
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So there are 535 of them, all right? Now, here's the question that's going to mess with your head.
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How many do you regularly see on TV? It's the same 12 or so, right? And do you know why you
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see those same 12? And think about that on the Democrat side, that 12 would include Adam Schiff
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and Eric Swalwell. It's the best we have. The 12 that you see, it's the best we have. Now, I think
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some of those 12 were actually very strong, right? Tom Cotton, you see him a lot. Very strong
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politician. Rand Paul, yeah, very strong. Ted Cruz, very strong. But I'm thinking that the fact that we
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only see about six Republicans and about six Democrats, I have a theory that most of the rest
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of them would be sort of a John Fetterman if you put him on TV. A little bit more of a John Fetterman
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situation, if you know what I mean. Now, I'm only partially joking, but not really. There's a reason
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you only see 12 of them. It's because they're the only ones who can do it or they're interested or
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they come off well on TV. I feel like the rest of the senators are a generic guy and a generic woman,
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right? Like all the rest of them are the guy with the, he has the right hair. That's about it. He's got
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the voice and the hair. I'm the senator. I've got the right hair and I've got the right voice. And I'm
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the senator from the great state of, I don't know, one of the ones you never hear about. I'm the
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senator. I'm the great senator. And then if it's a woman, it just looks like a real estate agent who
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aged out of the real estate job. All right. So Fetterman can't be any worse than the average.
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And really, they mostly vote for their own team. So what's the difference? He'll be fine.
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I continue to watch CNN for its indications. It's really moving to the middle and it's going to stay
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there. And sure enough, sure enough. So I watched a clip on Don Lemon's morning show. And I know,
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I know, as soon as I said Don Lemon, you said, well, okay, CNN's not moving to the middle there,
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right? But watch me surprise you. Don Lemon actually said something I totally agree with.
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All right. Here it comes. It's kind of mind-boggling too. This is actually mind-boggling.
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Like, not only did Don Lemon say something that I agreed with, but you will too. You will too.
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And it's going to make you angry, you know, if you're not a Don Lemon fan. You're going to be
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angry how much you agree with him. Do you think I can do that? Do you think I can say something I can
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quote Don Lemon from this morning and that my audience will agree with him? Do you think that's
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possible? All right. They were talking, he and some others were talking about a clip of Lindsey
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Graham giving a weirdly emotional plea for Herschel Walker. And Lindsey Graham looked like he was going
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to cry. You know, some people were teasing him, looked like he was drunk in the morning. I don't think
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he was drunk. But he was weirdly emotional. I mean, he's for, I didn't understand it, honestly.
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I didn't really understand why Lindsey Graham was so emotional. But here's what he was selling.
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He said that a vote for Herschel Walker would be, here I'm paraphrasing, would be inspirational for
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black conservatives. And so voting for Herschel Walker is a much bigger importance because it
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could help bring black conservatives into the conservative movement. And so it's much bigger
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than, you know, Herschel Walker. And Van Jones said, you know, not a big fan of Herschel Walker.
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And Van Jones says, if you're a black, if you're a black conservative and you want somebody to
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admire, admire Tim Scott. And I thought, that's why I like Van Jones. Right? I've always liked Van
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Jones. Because he at least, he at least puts things in a attempt to see both sides. You know,
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he takes the side. He takes the side. That's okay. Everybody takes the side. But at least he shows the
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other side. Right? When he talks about it. So he actually gave an example of a conservative that
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black voters should look up to. And here's the thing. He didn't hedge it. Right? You'd expect
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to hedge. It's like, well, you know, Tim Scott, that's the best you can do. Or just some kind of
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hedge. But no. He just said, there's one you can look up to. So I said, okay, that's CNN looking
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pretty open-minded. You know, at the same time, he was slamming Herschel Walker. And then Don
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Lemon busts Lindsey Graham's appeal to Herschel Walker as being an inspiration to black voters.
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And here's what Don Lemon said. Isn't that identity politics? Isn't that race, race politics?
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Yup. Yup. Yup. That's what it was. That was exactly race politics. And now, how blown away are
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you? How blown away are you that you're agreeing with Don Lemon right now on CNN? Now, he's pointing
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out as a criticism, right? It's hypocritical. But as soon as I heard it, as soon as I heard
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it, I said, ah, well, why am I agreeing with you? Because he's right. Yeah, it's actually
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easy to agree with Don Lemon when he's right. Turns out it wasn't hard at all. He just had
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to be right. Um, so Twitter, the Twitter situation is just so interesting. I, what a time to be
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alive. So Twitter, depending on who you listen to, Twitter is either, you know, blowing up
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or it's going to be the biggest thing ever. And I think it's totally a, you know, a Schrodinger's
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cat situation where it's sort of both. Uh, and if you look at, um, Musk's pattern with
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his other companies, they were all close to failure. I mean, really dire situation before
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they became huge, you know, Tesla and space, SpaceX. Uh, and now he's, he's doing the same
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play with Twitter. So he's told the employees, it's a dire situation using that word dire. Um,
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it's reported today. He's even said bankruptcy is possible. And, you know, advertisers are
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leaving and, and they're bleeding money, $4 million a day. And, uh, the executives are
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quitting and, uh, allegedly fired one of them for being disrespectful. And, you know, now
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all the executive is gone. So let me ask you this. Have you ever heard of a tech company
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that didn't operate well because the executives left? Will it make any difference? Well, what
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were they doing? I'll bet those executives weren't doing anything but bitching for the
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last week. There's probably no difference. You know, as long as you have enough of the
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technical people coming to work, you're pretty good. Now, uh, the head of sales left and I think
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the marketing all get fired. So what happens when you fire everybody in marketing? Well,
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if you're Elon Musk, uh, he reports that, uh, Twitter usage is at an all-time high. It's
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at an all-time high. So he's getting all the interest he wants and who knows how much of
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that will last. But people are bitching like crazy about feature changes and, you know, buying,
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buying your little, uh, you know, Twitter, um, verification. And now there's going to be
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a new thing where you're not only verified, which means you're a real person, but you're
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also some kind of a notable person, uh, or something. I don't know. So, uh, people like
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me, we, we got slammed back at level. I think it's going to stay that way. So in other words,
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my, my sort of prestige, uh, for being a blue check person on Twitter, I think will be taken
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away in the sense that I'll, you know, I'll fit in with anybody who's verified now. Is that good or
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bad? What do you think? So not from my point of view, but from your point of view, from your point
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of view, is it good or bad that I'm brought down to same level as everybody else? Most of you say
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good. All right, I'm going to take, I'll take, I'll take your view, right? Obviously, obviously
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it's not my self-interest. You can see that, right? It's not to my self-interest. I don't
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like it. Don't like it. But I'm not going to stop using Twitter. And the fact that you all
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like it, that's good enough for me. If it's good enough for all of you, that's good enough
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for me. You know, I don't have to win every, like I don't have to win every game, right? Sometimes
00:16:52.680
you can win. That's okay. You win this one. That's all right with me. All right. Some
00:17:02.120
more interesting things. Did you hear that Biden was asked, and it looked like a planted
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question from Bloomberg, the Bloomberg company, if Biden thinks that Musk's foreign business
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connection should be investigated by the government? And then Biden gives this squinty, like evil
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look, and then he takes a long time to answer, I think that might be worth looking into. Now,
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of course, you know, he's got his own foreign connection problems that are well reported.
00:17:42.740
So there's the hypocrisy angle, but it's really chilling, isn't it? Because on one hand,
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on one hand, I'm glad that my government would at least be, you know, sensitive to a billionaire,
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you know, who owns a major communication platform. And if they have any foreign ties, there's a
00:18:06.800
Saudi investor who's part of the deal. So I don't mind that that gets looked into, but it doesn't
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look like they're looking into it because it's a good thing to do. It really looks like they just
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want to take him out, doesn't it? Like it doesn't feel like your government doing the government's job,
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which I wouldn't mind at all if they were a little bit vigilant about a billionaire with a
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major communication platform. That's not the worst thing in the world. But I think you need
00:18:38.340
something, I think you need something a little solid to, you know, maybe hang your hat out before
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you scare the, and even saying it in public is, is super douchebaggy. What do you think of that?
00:18:53.000
Even if Biden believed that it should have happened, given that there's no specific claim of
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impropriety, shouldn't he have shut the fuck up like a, like a citizen of the United States would
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do, like any good citizen would do? If you only had a suspicion that there might be something wrong
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without any, any actual, you know, detailed allegation, and you're the president of the United
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States, you should shut the fuck up about a private citizen may or may not have done something
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illegal. That's not cool at all. You know, maybe if he were a political foe, that's different.
00:19:33.720
But he's a private citizen. Yeah, you don't accuse him of maybe being associated with something
00:19:42.540
unsavory from the, literally from the lectern of the presidency. That's not cool. Not cool at all.
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But I don't mind that the government is in fact looking into it. All right. So apparently Musk had
00:20:00.660
an all-hands meeting he called this morning, and he's telling them that one of the things he wants
00:20:05.120
to do with Twitter, you've heard before, is turn it into a peer-to-peer payment system.
00:20:11.040
Now, if you say to yourself, I don't think that Elon Musk can save Twitter because not enough people
00:20:20.360
will pay $8, apparently the math agrees with you. It doesn't look like that would work. If you say
00:20:27.540
you can't save Twitter because there won't be enough advertising revenue, it looks like you're
00:20:32.480
right. So it looks like if you added his subscriptions to his advertising fees, it doesn't come close to
00:20:39.580
paying the bills, even after the layoffs. Now, I'm open to a fact check on that, but I think that's
00:20:48.660
true, right? That it's not really close. Am I right? Now, how much money could he make as a payment system?
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What would a brand new payment system be worth if you're already using it every day? It's got hundreds
00:21:10.100
of millions of users who are already the base. It's created by Elon Musk, who is one of the PayPal
00:21:16.500
creators. So clearly this is an industry that he has connections and probably more, he's probably as
00:21:24.980
qualified as anybody on the planet to build a payment system on top of Twitter. I mean, who else would
00:21:31.560
you pick for that, right? Now, imagine all of the things that you might want to use a payment system
00:21:38.460
for, such as everything you see on Twitter. Let me tell you what my experience is on Instagram.
00:21:47.160
So Instagram shows me an ad every day that I want to buy. Every day. Every single day I see an ad,
00:21:55.700
because they're really good at matching the ad. I mean, so it's like they're reading my mind.
00:22:01.820
And do you know why I don't buy it through Instagram? Because I don't have a payment system
00:22:08.000
that's like automatically connected. I don't know. Do they have even Google payment connected? I don't
00:22:13.160
know. But it looks like it takes me to the individual company's own payment system. And
00:22:20.480
then I have to put in all my information. So you know what I do? I go to Instagram, I see an ad for
00:22:25.700
something I want. And then I go to Amazon and I buy it. And Instagram loses that transaction.
00:22:34.300
Right? If Instagram let me click on the ad and pay it with a payment system that was built into
00:22:39.680
Instagram. And I already have, I have Google, what is it, Google Pay or whatever it is. I have that.
00:22:46.920
Right? So some kind of other system to connect in there. Now, do they, I'm surprised, yeah, the,
00:22:55.780
the Apple doesn't work on the individual payment sites though. Like if you go to the company's own
00:23:03.220
site, Apple payment doesn't seem to work all the time. Right? Anyway, so here's my point. The potential
00:23:12.880
for Twitter as a digital payment site is way bigger than its potential as social media. You get that,
00:23:22.020
right? Now, here's the next part. If you could use Venmo, but you think Venmo,
00:23:33.100
might turn you off for your political opinions, or you could use the Twitter payment system and
00:23:40.440
you're pretty sure you won't get turned off for your political opinions, which one are you
00:23:45.340
going to use? Do you see it yet? A Twitter payment system would be almost automatic for anybody who
00:23:58.140
didn't want to use a system that was going to penalize you for being a conservative. Do you know
00:24:03.380
how much money Elon Musk could make with a payment system that wasn't going to kick you off for your
00:24:10.240
opinion? Nobody else is making one, are they? Now, now let, let me take you a little further.
00:24:18.140
If you're one of the richest people in the world, one of the things you should own
00:24:22.420
would be a satellite network that does internet. Check. Got it. Got that. You also need a media,
00:24:34.420
a media platform. That's Twitter. What's the, what's the last thing you need that you really,
00:24:42.200
really need? Not Mars. No, not Neuralink, although Neuralink would be important. No,
00:24:48.380
not an army. No, you need a bank. Elon Musk, I think, is going to be your bank. Now, I don't
00:25:02.420
know that, but I don't think he'd be happy with just being another peer-to-peer payment company.
00:25:07.720
I think he would, he would just go full bank. If he goes full bank, there is no limit to how
00:25:14.380
much money he can make. Yeah. Now you're talking a trillion. You're talking like as, as big a,
00:25:23.060
you know, a Wells Fargo size valuation. So the, the, the part that the average non-business person
00:25:32.160
sees here is that he's in total trouble. You know, he's bleeding money and people are quitting and
00:25:38.320
they're all mad at him and the features aren't working and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
00:25:44.340
But you're blinded to the fact that combining Twitter with a payment system might be one of the
00:25:49.720
biggest, most valuable companies ever created in the history of civilization. So there's that.
00:25:58.520
There's that. All right. So apparently on CBS, uh, on a show called The Good Fight, which I've never
00:26:08.020
seen, um, there was a plot line in which the real governor DeSantis is accused, falsely accused.
00:26:17.940
So even, even in the show, even in the show, it's treated as a false accusation, but you don't find
00:26:23.800
out and it's false for a while that there was some like sexual impropriety. And the fact that a TV show
00:26:30.640
would do a fictional story about an accusation of a real person with a sexual accusation is probably
00:26:38.540
one of the worst things you'll ever see. Now they do treat it as a character made it up. That doesn't
00:26:46.020
help. That doesn't help. No, because once that's in your head, it's paired, it's paired in your head
00:26:53.240
with, that's just not cool. That's not cool. So I guess people were complaining about that and
00:27:00.220
should. I saw a, uh, somebody referred to, uh, Biden's idea that he would, uh, uh, do a student
00:27:08.520
loan. Uh, I guess Fox News calls it a handout. What's it called? Debt forgiveness, but it's not
00:27:15.760
really that. It's just moving the debt to somebody else. So, so Fox News calls it a student loan
00:27:21.900
handout. All right, let's call it a handout. Um, but it was the perfect bait and switch, wasn't
00:27:30.020
it? The, the only thing better than buying votes is buying votes and not paying for it
00:27:38.240
or buying votes with, uh, the money from your, your opponents or something. Biden actually
00:27:46.420
found a way to convince idiots that he was going to cancel the debt, even though everybody
00:27:51.220
told them it was illegal and couldn't happen. And he just, oh, well, I'm doing it anyway.
00:27:56.460
And then all the people's like, oh, vote for that free money. And then he gets a lot of
00:28:00.320
young people votes who are like trying to get their debt canceled. I'll bet that's a big
00:28:04.120
story. Part of the, uh, young female. Oh, has anybody said this yet? Uh, young single
00:28:11.120
women are more likely to have worthless college degrees than any other group. Am I right?
00:28:16.980
Let me say it again. The, the segment that is most likely to have a worthless college degree,
00:28:24.740
in other words, somebody who can't pay back their debt is single women because they don't
00:28:30.600
have a husband to help. You know, that's not sexist. You have just a partner to help. And,
00:28:36.620
uh, they're, they're more likely to have, you know, taken a less useful commercial, uh, kind
00:28:44.620
of a major. By the way, I, uh, I, I might be operating from ignorance and bigotry, but
00:28:52.800
wouldn't the, wouldn't the data back me on this? I'm just spitballing here, but, and has
00:28:59.180
anybody mentioned that yet? Have you heard anybody in the news yet mentioned the connection
00:29:04.200
that the young, young women are the most likely to have, um, debt that they can't pay back from
00:29:10.120
college? So this was really kind of a brilliant play by the Democrats to promise this thing.
00:29:16.200
And then they get the credit for trying, even though they had to know it couldn't work.
00:29:22.580
You know what, when I say that the Democrats outplayed the Republicans, they really did.
00:29:27.980
They really did. The, the Democrats outperformed in the, the weasel tricks and the persuasion and
00:29:34.140
stuff. And, and let me, let me say if, if the Republicans had done the same thing, I'd still
00:29:39.920
say it's a weasel play, but effective. It worked. So there's that. A good bait and switch.
00:29:50.120
All right. I know what you want to, do you want me to talk about, uh, Trump?
00:29:55.860
All right. So here's the basic story. Uh, Trump did a lengthy, uh, attack on DeSantis.
00:30:02.780
This, if you want to call it an attack on truth, social, and it, you know, bleeds over into the
00:30:09.160
other, uh, platforms and Trump's story. I'll, I'll just summarize it is that Trump is the reason
00:30:17.300
DeSantis is successful because sometime in the past when DeSantis was struggling to get elected
00:30:23.860
for some lower office, I guess, uh, Trump, uh, Trump backed him. And that was the difference
00:30:30.300
according to Trump. And now, uh, Ron DeSanctimonious, as he calls him yet again, uh, is being sort
00:30:38.040
of a disloyal traitor to Trump for, I think, not ruling out a run for presidency. Right.
00:30:46.000
And I think that's all it is. And then, all right. So you've got, uh, Trump's turning on
00:30:52.020
DeSantis. And then, uh, Trump also turned on Governor Youngkin. And so today he, he mocked,
00:31:01.200
uh, Governor Youngkin. And he said, he, he printed his name as two parts, Young and then K-I-N-kin.
00:31:08.560
And then in parentheses, he said, sounds like a Chinese name. And that's when I tweeted, I'm out.
00:31:16.740
I'm out. I'm out. I'm out. I'm not going to do this again. Not going to do it again. Nope. Not
00:31:28.840
going to do that. Um, here, here's my personal thinking, right? And this is purely personal.
00:31:36.540
I, I lost about a third of my income for years and probably forever for backing Trump. Backing
00:31:45.180
Trump was really fucking expensive, both socially and economically. I mean, it was just disaster.
00:31:52.800
But I also thought it was something the country needed. And so I thought, well, I can afford it.
00:31:59.580
And so it felt like I was on the right side, right? The right side of history and stuff. So you can do
00:32:04.780
a little bit more, take a little bit more pain if you're on the right side. But there are now
00:32:12.260
alternatives to Trump, DeSantis being the obvious one, that make his contribution not essential.
00:32:21.060
In other words, policy-wise, Trump kind of established, you know, what is and is not a
00:32:27.600
reasonable policy. And I think other Republicans are going to follow that example. So you get
00:32:34.020
now Trump policies without Trump. And here's the thing that makes me crazy. I don't know if Trump
00:32:45.280
doesn't know when he says things that people will easily interpret as racist. I don't know if he
00:32:50.960
doesn't know. But whether he knows that he's doing it or not, I don't want to be part of it anymore.
00:32:58.420
Because he's at an age where I can't really endorse a president at that age. And I don't want to be
00:33:06.140
embarrassed by him anymore. Right? I don't want somebody to say, he said that racist thing. What
00:33:11.680
do you say, Scott? I want to say, I don't care. I don't think he's going to be president again.
00:33:18.540
Now, if you've taken the temperature on social media, I've seen people who are saying, bye, they're
00:33:27.860
already checking out. So if you check the temperature on social media, you can see that people have
00:33:32.720
really turned on Trump in a way that we never saw before. Yeah, we never saw before. And if you were
00:33:41.180
the only option, that would be a different conversation. But he's not. Now, here's, so
00:33:48.020
there are two things I don't like him. When he said that young kin sounded like a Chinese name,
00:33:53.380
I think what he was doing is saying that he has some connections to China that, you know,
00:33:58.560
he wants you to worry about or something. But the way it comes off is that other way. It's
00:34:04.440
like somehow ethnicity matters to something, then it shouldn't. So, and then the other thing is that
00:34:12.600
he attacked two governors on his own team who really didn't have it coming. And that's different than
00:34:23.800
what we've seen from Trump before. The thing you liked about Trump was attacking the other team.
00:34:28.440
Now, Trump would say, I'm sure, but you watched me attack all those Republicans in the primaries
00:34:35.920
in 2016, right? He attacked all those Republicans. Nobody complained about that.
00:34:42.080
But that was in the primary. That was in the primary. If DeSantis says he's running for president,
00:34:50.100
oh, yeah, fine. The moment that DeSantis says he's running for president, yeah, whatever he says,
00:34:56.400
fine. That's all part of the process. And same with young kin. But if they're not running against
00:35:02.020
you and they're on the same team, that just doesn't feel right, does it? And I'm not necessarily
00:35:10.640
backing either of those two people. I'm just saying it just doesn't feel the same as it felt
00:35:15.120
in the early days of Trump. Now, here's the only analysis that I think matters for this Trump-DeSantis
00:35:25.320
thing. And I saw a tweet on it from Unhoodwinked, a Twitter account. And Unhoodwinked says this,
00:35:32.600
there's no one who would vote for Trump that would not vote for DeSantis, but that doesn't
00:35:38.020
work the other way around. That's all you need to know. Do you agree? Now, don't treat it as a real
00:35:46.460
absolute, because there are no such things as absolutes like this. But DeSantis doesn't really have
00:35:53.220
any reason to reject him. Does he? If you're a conservative, he has no reason to reject him.
00:36:00.300
But Trump has reasons. Reasons to love him, which I totally get, but reasons to reject him.
00:36:08.700
So now here's the counter argument. I'll give you the counter argument. The counter argument is that
00:36:13.620
Trump won, I think it was white Rust Belt types, and nobody won them before, and you would need
00:36:20.780
them to win. I don't know that that argument works anymore. Because I don't know that those Rust Belt
00:36:27.460
people were voting exactly for his personality. Maybe they were at the beginning. But I think they
00:36:33.880
like the, I think they like the policies. So if they think they can get the Trump policies without being
00:36:40.480
associated with a racist, I feel like that might be a better deal. And I don't think Trump is racist,
00:36:47.500
by the way, but in terms of how he's being framed. All right. So here's some more people turning on
00:36:56.540
people. All right. So Trump says DeSantis turned on Trump. So now Trump's turning on DeSantis.
00:37:02.420
Meanwhile, Rupert Murdoch, according to the news, is allegedly turning on Trump through his media organs of
00:37:13.480
Fox News and Wall Street Journal and The Post, I guess. And yeah, there's some reporting that Murdoch is
00:37:21.640
anti-Trump. New York Post, yeah. Have you seen it? Have you watched Fox News in the last day or two?
00:37:32.420
Would you say that Fox News has gone pro-DeSantis and anti-Trump? Yes or no? In your opinion,
00:37:39.800
has Fox News gone pro-DeSantis and anti-Trump? Yeah. So Tucker Carlson is going strong,
00:37:48.900
DeSantis, and I think Hannity too. It looks like it. Yeah. So I would say that the evidence
00:37:55.440
supports that hypothesis. But we have to speculate because we can't read Murdoch's head.
00:38:02.420
It looks like it. All right. And the buzz is all the conservative commentators are,
00:38:16.720
So now, Trump has a big announcement coming up. Do you think he'll go ahead and announce that he's
00:38:28.600
running? Or will the feedback that he got this week convince him to not run, which would be the
00:38:37.020
most amazing mind F of all time? I feel like maybe he has to run to keep Truth Social alive. Because who's
00:38:46.980
going to go to Truth Social if Trump doesn't run? That would be a tough business barrier to get past.
00:38:54.380
Yeah. You would? Yeah, we'll see. Now, can I give myself some wiggle room in case I'm wrong about
00:39:05.380
everything? All right. I'm going to give myself some wiggle room. You have to remember I did this
00:39:10.220
so that later when you call me to the woodshed, I'll have that little excuse. Here's my little
00:39:18.460
excuse. Nothing about Trump is predictable. Okay. So if three months from now, Trump is saying all the
00:39:30.260
right things and DeSantis said that he's not running, for example, and it looks like whoever's
00:39:37.880
going to run on the other side is a complete waste of carbon. You know, I might have to say what Trump
00:39:47.060
is doing right. But I don't know if I can say I'm going to be a supporter. But I'm going to be
00:39:52.920
practical. I mean, I'm going to do what makes sense for America as I see it. Wherever that takes me.
00:40:00.240
All right. So Georgia runoff, Walker and Warnock are going to do a runoff. Correct me if I'm wrong.
00:40:10.440
The Georgia race was very close, which is why there's a runoff. And nobody's complaining about
00:40:17.780
irregularities, are they, in Georgia? Did I miss it? Is anybody complaining about election irregularities
00:40:25.100
in Georgia? Because it would be amazing if they're not. Right? Some are. Stacey Abrams was
00:40:35.440
complaining. Is she the only one? I don't know that there are any specifics. I think Stacey Abrams
00:40:42.060
was more complaining about the rules in Georgia, not about anybody cheating. I don't think she made
00:40:48.520
a comment about any specific irregularity. Yeah. Wait, Glenn, Glenn Youngkin has an engineering
00:40:56.300
degree? Hello. I just found my next president. All right. Yeah, what's going on here? Yeah,
00:41:10.860
so I feel like that's good news, isn't it? If Georgia did an election that was that close so far,
00:41:16.080
and people are not, at least no credible people are complaining about it. Now let's talk about
00:41:21.740
Arizona. All right, here's a little knowledge question for you. The reason that Arizona's vote
00:41:28.600
count for governor and senate, and more, I guess, the reason that it's delayed, you all know,
00:41:37.540
the reason it's delayed is that Arizona has different rules than other states. All right. Why? Go.
00:41:44.800
Why does Arizona have different rules than other states? The most obvious question, right?
00:41:53.260
Now, give me real reasons. Not the funny reasons. They're idiots. They're cheaters. Blah, blah, blah.
00:41:58.700
Hobbs. No, corruption. No, no. Those are all the easy reasons. No, not that. Don't give me the easy
00:42:05.620
ones. Give me the real reasons. So it turns out there's actually a real reason. You want to hear
00:42:18.300
the real reason? And this, I want to see if any, if you've even heard it, right? Because this was
00:42:26.300
what was bothering me. I follow the news every day. Like, I follow it pretty closely. I didn't know the
00:42:32.400
reason. I didn't know the reason that Arizona does it differently. But there is a reason. And it's
00:42:38.480
actually pretty good. And so far, not one of you knows the reason. No? Well, signature verification
00:42:47.720
is part of the reason, yes. That's not what I was going for. Here's the reason. They let you vote
00:42:55.420
absentee up until election day so that you don't have to stand in line to vote. They've
00:43:02.820
eliminated the need to stand in line to vote, but you can still vote on election day. You
00:43:07.400
just drop it in a box. Right? Now, is that a good reason? Let me tell you one of the reasons
00:43:16.000
that people don't vote. One of the reasons people don't vote is because they don't want to
00:43:22.440
wait in line. That's actually a pretty good reason. Isn't it? Isn't that a pretty good
00:43:29.280
reason? The trouble is that it makes them, you know, out of line with the rest of the
00:43:33.740
country and everybody complains. But you could almost... Here, let me give you my overall opinion.
00:43:45.680
If I were to engineer the system myself, I would say, let's keep that benefit, but make
00:43:51.760
everybody the same. So we'll have everybody vote on election day, any way they want, with
00:43:57.760
paper ballot or anything else. But you say, nobody gets any results for a week. You just
00:44:03.340
say, we're not going to give you any results for a week. That's our new system. Then you've
00:44:08.240
eliminated waiting in line, which has got to be a big part of the friction. I mean, I wouldn't
00:44:14.280
wait in line. Anyway, so there are some other differences in Arizona. One is that they've
00:44:21.500
got pushback in prior elections, and so they're going really, really extreme to make sure that
00:44:27.680
they're doing signature verification correctly. It takes longer. What do you think of that?
00:44:33.540
What do you think of them doing more aggressive signature verification, but it might take longer?
00:44:38.660
It might be good. It might be good. Like, on paper, that's a pretty good thing. Have I ever told you
00:44:49.680
the concept of malicious compliance? Malicious compliance? You know what I'm talking about?
00:44:57.460
Right? I think that's what's happening. All right, here's the Dilbert filter on the Arizona situation.
00:45:03.780
Take yourself back to the prior election. All right, you're an election worker, and you're just like
00:45:10.940
a, you're not a leader, like you're just, you're a lower level, you know, functionary, and you just got
00:45:17.640
shit on by everybody for not doing a careful enough job of signature verification. I mean, you really,
00:45:25.860
really got beat up on that signature verification thing. Next election comes along, and nothing's changed,
00:45:33.780
except you got in trouble last time for not doing signature verification carefully enough. What
00:45:40.200
you going to do? You're going to maliciously comply, because they probably asked for a lot more
00:45:46.980
resources. Probably, right? Probably got denied. It's now the same fuckers who are pissed off because
00:45:56.480
they got shit on for not doing enough verification are giving people exactly what they asked for.
00:46:03.780
Here's your, here's your careful verification. If you want careful verification, I'll stare at this
00:46:09.700
fucking ballot for an hour. I'm getting paid by the hour. Let me ask you this. Do you think the
00:46:16.340
people who are staring at the signature verifications, do they get paid by the job or by the hour?
00:46:23.720
What would you guess? If you had to guess? Of course, they're being paid by the hour. Of course. Of
00:46:31.440
course they are. They're being paid by the hour. And they'll get in trouble if they go fast. But
00:46:38.200
they'll make their, they'll make all the people who complained about them look like assholes if they go
00:46:43.420
slow. So what are they going to do? Malicious compliance. I've talked about this before.
00:46:49.540
You see it a lot. When people at a lower level get shit on, they start doing the job the way it was
00:46:56.300
designed to be done, which is inefficiently. Because if you follow all the requirements of the job, you
00:47:02.740
can't even do the job. I first learned this when I worked for the bank. I was a bank teller. I've told
00:47:08.300
this story before. And I got in trouble for, I don't know, not checking two IDs or something. I checked
00:47:14.640
one ID for some lower dollar amount. And, you know, I got in trouble. And my, my boss said,
00:47:23.280
you know, you got to follow the rules. Like these rules are here for a reason. It's two IDs. And I
00:47:28.460
argued something along the lines of, this is a regular customer. This is somebody I deal with like
00:47:34.300
once a week for like, you know, months. I know this person. I practically know their account number.
00:47:39.380
So I took one ID in that case. And the boss says, but that's not the rule. The rule is two IDs. You
00:47:46.940
got to follow the rules. So I started following all the bank rules, which resulted in me sending
00:47:53.340
almost every customer to a supervisor because I couldn't handle the transaction. All I had to do
00:48:00.220
was follow the rules and I couldn't do my job. And the line just went out the door. And eventually
00:48:06.480
my boss came over to me and she said, you know, you're like, you're not getting it done. I said,
00:48:12.920
I'm getting it done. I'm doing everything exactly the way you taught me. I'm following every rule.
00:48:17.640
And these customers do not have proper ID. So I'm sending every one of them to you.
00:48:23.040
That is what you asked me to do. That is your, that's your system. And then she basically whispered to
00:48:30.280
me, you see all these customers from Chevron, because we're, we're next to a Chevron headquarters.
00:48:37.020
So we got all the Chevron high paid people. She says, you see that little pin that they're wearing?
00:48:44.300
So I think it was maybe a tie pin or something. So a lot of the people had like a five year,
00:48:48.480
a 10 year, a 20 year pin. You could actually tell how long they'd work for Chevron by their clothing.
00:48:53.860
They'd have a little pin with their length of service. She goes, if you see that little pin,
00:48:59.560
he goes, they're fine. That's like the opposite of, you know, the very opposite of bank rules.
00:49:06.580
So basically she told me to follow the rules or I'd be fired. So I followed the rules and she learned
00:49:12.720
the hard way that no customer was served. And then she said, don't follow the rules. Just,
00:49:19.100
just don't follow the rules. It's the only way we could get this done.
00:49:21.660
So that might be happening in Arizona. That's what it looks like.
00:49:27.600
All right. Um, but it annoys me that the reporting on Arizona is just sort of generically,
00:49:35.640
why don't they do a better job? I feel like you need to dig down at least as far as I dug down,
00:49:42.220
right? Weren't you also wondering what the hell's going on? Turns out there's a reason they don't
00:49:48.620
like lines and it's probably malicious compliance. And I think they had a record number of, uh,
00:49:54.820
ballots that need signature verification too. So it's just a bigger load than normal, which none of
00:50:00.540
the, by the way, to be clear, none of this explains why they can't just do it the way Florida does it.
00:50:07.100
You just have longer lines and, you know, some other trade-offs, but they could do it.
00:50:10.840
All right. Let's talk about Ukraine. It does look like Russia genuinely is pulling back from
00:50:18.300
the Kursan Oblast region, but they're at least, it looks like all they're doing is getting on the
00:50:25.120
other side of the river. So the river, you know, was like a natural defensive point. So it looks like
00:50:31.500
they're just taking a winter defensive posture. So I'm not, I'm not sure we can learn too much
00:50:37.140
about what's happening at the moment. It looks like both sides are making their, their winter
00:50:42.720
strategy setups, you know, so it's hard to know what's going on. Um, but I guess the United States
00:50:51.100
has twisted the arm of Zelensky to at least say what he would accept. Now I'm operating from memory.
00:50:58.760
So Zelensky said he would consider negotiating with Putin, but he would require
00:51:06.180
that at the very least Putin gives back the territory that they, he took this year.
00:51:12.360
Interestingly, that would not include Crimea. And I don't know why I'm not seeing a ton of
00:51:17.900
reporting that Ukraine has apparently given up on trying to get Crimea back. Now, none of us thought
00:51:24.920
that that was, you know, likely to happen. I don't think many people thought it, but, um,
00:51:31.240
isn't that a gigantic change? And fact check me, he did say that, right? He, he said he's happy
00:51:38.180
getting back what they took this year. So they would, Russia would keep Crimea. Yeah. And I think
00:51:45.300
most people thought that's where it would end up anyway. Right. Then I think he's asking for a quote
00:51:51.160
guarantees that it won't happen again. Now that's a good thing to ask for because it's vague.
00:51:56.400
So, you know, there's room to work with that, you know, the guarantees. Now the guarantees could
00:52:03.620
be that Russia says, all right, you can have NATO. Maybe that's the guarantee. Or maybe they'd
00:52:10.960
say we'll remove all, you know, offensive weapons or something. There's probably a way to get
00:52:16.500
it. Then, uh, wasn't there also something about reparations? Can, give me a fact check of
00:52:23.600
that. Did Zelensky say there would have to be reparations? Because if he did, that's the
00:52:29.880
right thing. Yeah, he did. So that's exactly the right thing to ask for. Why? Why should
00:52:34.960
he ask for reparations? Go. Why should he ask for reparations? Well, one reason is that
00:52:44.080
he should get reparations. But what's the other reason? It's something to trade away. Yeah.
00:52:50.540
It's, uh, reparations are a, an invisible, like imaginary asset. So he can imagine them into
00:52:57.460
existence like Trump. Trump was the expert at that. Imagining something into existence and then
00:53:03.180
trading it away. To trade a nothing for something. What Zelensky wants is his territory back.
00:53:10.140
And that would be the win of all wins. I mean, he would be a legend forever if he did that
00:53:15.000
and got a permanent peace. So reparations would be nice. You know, how awesome would reparations
00:53:22.280
be? But that's not going to happen. It just gives them something to give up. So if you were to read
00:53:29.240
the ways Zelensky, um, is responding, that does look exactly like somebody who's serious about peace
00:53:36.140
to me. But as somebody else said, uh, it makes no sense to get, to actually agree to peace while the
00:53:44.700
Ukrainians are gaining territory. However, will they keep gaining territory in the winter?
00:53:52.620
So I'm, I'm not, I don't know enough about the military capabilities in the winter
00:53:57.420
to know the following answer. Are we guaranteed going to have four months of nobody changing anything?
00:54:05.660
Because nobody's going to do much in the winter? So we're kind of guaranteed to a four-month
00:54:10.140
stalemate, right? Yes or no? I see a no. I'm not sure if we're smart enough to know this, are we?
00:54:20.060
A little bit of disagreement? Uh, winter favors Ukraine, somebody says. Favors, okay.
00:54:27.820
But is that enough that they will get any serious territorial gain? I suppose you can just keep
00:54:33.740
shelling in the winter, right? I guess that still works, yeah. So if, if Russia is still within the
00:54:39.900
artillery range, then Ukraine will keep pounding them. Yeah, that makes sense. Now, uh, next question.
00:54:49.340
Are the Russian supply lines for food, especially, are they more, uh, more vulnerable in the winter?
00:54:57.420
It feels like it, right? Is that an obvious question or not obvious? Because I would think
00:55:04.060
that the offensive ability might be limited in some ways, just as everything's limited in the winter.
00:55:09.740
I don't know. But, but I feel like the Ukrainians might be able to starve the Russians out if they
00:55:15.820
have the, the high Mars system that can, you know, hit their, hit their food, uh, shipments.
00:55:21.340
But on the other hand, on the other hand, on the other hand, on the other hand, it seems like getting
00:55:25.980
food to soldiers when you're, you know, you're in Russian territory, it feels like that's the most
00:55:32.460
doable thing. You know, maybe they just have to do an airlift or something. I doubt you could starve
00:55:36.780
them, actually. Uh, as long as Russia is a functioning country. All right. Um, I would say that where
00:55:45.740
it's, where it's, where it's heading is they'll probably have some serious negotiations this winter,
00:55:52.220
but nobody's going to, neither side would agree if they think they're going to have the advantage
00:55:56.460
after the winter's over. So would either Ukraine or Russia have a reason to believe
00:56:01.980
that they would have the advantage in the spring? Would that give Russia time to recoup and give them
00:56:10.540
an advantage? So does Russia have the advantage by just waiting and just continuing to turn the lights
00:56:17.500
out in Ukraine and bomb their power stations? I don't know. Probably yes. Uh, I guess, uh, I don't know
00:56:25.900
enough to say yes or no on that. All right. That ladies and gentlemen is the fascinating live stream
00:56:35.260
for today. I think I've delivered on my promise. Not only have I paired waiting in line with breathing
00:56:40.540
exercises, which will change your life. Uh, but I think I've given you some takes you're not going to
00:56:47.580
see anywhere else. All right. And is there any topic I missed? Any topic I missed? Let's see.
00:57:04.140
Oh, let's talk about, uh, the systems. Yesterday I optimistically tweeted that it was sort of
00:57:12.380
breathtaking to watch all of our systems self-correct. And I mean that. So yesterday, the, uh, did we get
00:57:20.220
a good, uh, inflation report or something yesterday? What was it that drove the stock market up? It was a
00:57:26.380
good CPI report. Now I wouldn't believe, you know, one CPI report. I don't know that it was the election
00:57:34.780
because it, the election would have, we would have seen that the day before. Yeah. So we were 7.7,
00:57:42.700
now 7.9. So heading in the right direction. All right. Here's what I think we are. I think our
00:57:48.940
election system had the most transparency we've ever seen, uh, thanks to her meat and her army of lawyers
00:57:57.820
and, and the Republicans having more access to, uh, to be watchers. So I think our election system
00:58:05.100
might be the best it's been. I think that having a, uh, a balanced government is exactly what the
00:58:13.020
public wanted. I think the public self-corrected the government by, by taking its power away. I think
00:58:20.380
that's what happened. So that's good. I think the stock market is seeing the correction. I think our
00:58:27.100
supply chains are working their way, you know, are figuring their way out. I think we are decoupling
00:58:34.220
from China. I think China's in trouble. And almost all of our systems are self-correcting.
00:58:43.820
And it's sort of amazing to watch it. I think the education system is self-correcting. If you saw,
00:58:49.420
Corey DeAngelis was taking a, uh, victory, um, victory lap, and I think he deserved it.
00:58:55.740
Because it turns out that the, uh, pro-education choice people, the school choice people,
00:59:01.900
those candidates did unusually well. Right? And I think he gets credit for that.
00:59:08.620
So, so our education system is self-correcting, slowly. Our inflation is coming down, slowly.
00:59:15.900
Um, the, the Ukraine war, to me, it looks less and less like nuclear war, and more and more like
00:59:24.620
Russia is permanently degraded. Is that a problem? Financially, it is. But if they don't nuke us,
00:59:32.940
I don't know. TikTok revealed that, uh, we don't know that TikTok had any impact on the election,
00:59:39.260
but we can say for sure that the channel is obvious now. That the biggest group of voters,
00:59:45.580
the young women, are also the target market of TikTok. So if China wanted to change an election,
00:59:52.140
they can do it. Here, here's a comment I heard. I won't say where I heard this, but, um, apparently,
00:59:59.820
if you're a TikTok user, you will not see much about the immigration problem. Now, I'd need a
01:00:06.380
confirmation of that. But I don't think TikTok is, is sending a lot of, hey, immigration's problem.
01:00:13.100
Look at all these people streaming across the border. But I'll bet, I'll bet you're seeing plenty
01:00:18.700
on abortion rights. Now, is that because of the algorithm? It could be the algorithm is doing what
01:00:25.780
it's supposed to do, which is, it might be young women are very interested in abortion and much less
01:00:31.820
interested in the border, perhaps, perhaps. So maybe the algorithm is, you know, just doing what
01:00:37.020
it's supposed to do. But the problem is that China can control that algorithm. And if they did or did
01:00:44.060
not do anything to interfere with their elections, they can. If you know they can, and you can see the
01:00:52.140
complete path, then TikTok has revealed its soft underbelly. And now it can be destroyed. But until
01:01:01.180
this election, you couldn't see the direct path of how TikTok is influencing the group that influenced
01:01:07.180
the elections. And if you get caught up on the, on the question of whether that made the difference,
01:01:14.300
I'm not claiming it did. I don't see direct evidence that it did. I'm claiming that there's
01:01:20.220
now direct evidence that it would be easy. It would be simple. And you wouldn't know the difference.
01:01:28.700
Is Scott a narcissist? We've been through that. Of course I am.
01:01:34.780
Can you really do this job and not be a narcissist? I feel, I think everybody who has a, who willingly
01:01:41.260
takes a public exposure type of job at some level must like it, right? So always a little bit.
01:01:50.700
Yeah. But there are two kinds of narcissists. There's a good kind and the bad kind. The good
01:01:54.860
kind tries to get credit for doing things that are good for you. So, you know, there's a reason
01:02:02.860
that people get like awards for things. It's because when people feel good helping other people,
01:02:07.980
they'll do more of it. So if, if being a narcissist and liking to get credit for doing good things,
01:02:16.460
if that allows me to do more good things, then don't complain. But the other kind is more of a
01:02:23.340
destructive narcissist. It's sort of an, everything's about them and there's no conversation after that.
01:02:28.940
Uh, yeah. Andrew Tate is going to fight Jake Paul. Is that true? Interesting.
01:02:50.140
All right. Oh, Atavium, you're too awesome. Um, Tainted Love.
01:03:08.780
All right. I think I've covered everything, right? Andrew Taint. Yeah. All right. Ladies and gentlemen
01:03:17.740
gentlemen of YouTube and Spotify, thanks for joining. Talk to you soon.