Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1925 Scott Adams： How Much Should You Trust The Arizona Election？ Can Trump Get Elected Now？

00:00:00.000 If you'd like to take this experience up to, really, levels we've never seen before.

00:00:08.480 I'm talking quantum tunneling, the secret, everything.

00:00:14.240 It's all in here. It's science. It's everything.

00:00:17.900 All you need is a cupper mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:24.320 Fill it with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.

00:00:27.200 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:34.640 It's called the simultaneous sip. Go.

00:00:41.460 Oh, that was good simultaneity. Very good simultaneity.

00:00:46.900 I think your timing is excellent today. Very good. Real good.

00:00:52.440 All right, I was just showing my locals. Oops.

00:00:57.200 I was just showing my locals to subscribers before you got on.

00:01:00.700 There's an app I was just playing with called Pixel Cut.

00:01:05.060 It's one word, Pixel Cut.

00:01:07.060 And it produces AI art based on your description.

00:01:11.520 Now, you've seen the ones that are browser-based, but it's now just on an app.

00:01:16.880 And so I was trying to design a book cover for my upcoming book called Reframe Your Brain.

00:01:26.060 So I wanted a brain that was sort of floating in space with maybe some kind of a frame.

00:01:31.380 So I wrote brain in a frame.

00:01:33.560 Here's the first one, but I'm going to hit regenerate and show you another take.

00:01:37.900 Now, it gives you different styles, so you could do a modern one or a Picasso-looking one.

00:01:46.580 It's operating a little slowly, but it'll pop up in a second.

00:01:49.880 No, I swear, it works.

00:01:52.100 Okay, really, is this not going to work because I'm doing a public demonstration?

00:01:56.480 Did the law of public demonstrations just kick in?

00:02:01.980 It did, didn't it?

00:02:03.940 Do you know how many times I've tried this thing?

00:02:06.640 I used it 100 times yesterday.

00:02:10.560 And I used it 15 times right before I came live.

00:02:15.200 It worked every time. 1.00

00:02:20.380 All right, well, Pixel Cut, I tried to do a commercial for you, but your stupid app crashed. 1.00

00:02:25.000 So, fuck it. 1.00

00:02:26.440 All right. 1.00

00:02:26.740 Have you noticed that, by the way, the point of this, if you're wondering which professions

00:02:36.960 are being replaced by automation and AI, I can't see a reason that I would hire a human

00:02:43.100 designer to do my book cover.

00:02:47.380 I don't see the reason because I can just look at a thousand different takes and they're

00:02:53.180 all going to be cool-looking brains floating in different kind of space with frames.

00:02:57.320 One of them is going to be awesome.

00:02:59.460 I'll just use it.

00:03:03.860 Anyway, have you seen the news about the various prom queens and homecoming queens and beauty

00:03:10.520 contests in which trans competitors are winning?

00:03:15.860 And there was another one recently, I forget where it was, where the trans, was it a homecoming 1.00

00:03:20.960 queen or prom queen?

00:03:22.800 Because some of the stories are being mixed up in my mind.

00:03:28.640 Yeah.

00:03:29.500 But here's my take on it.

00:03:31.660 The way, you know, I think the way Tucker Carlson reported it was that people are so woke that

00:03:39.980 a hugely overweight trans person won a beauty queen contest in high school.

00:03:45.940 And I don't think that's what's happening.

00:03:50.320 Do you think it's the wokeness that got that trans person elected? 1.00

00:03:58.140 I don't think so.

00:04:00.260 No, I think it was that the students think it's funny.

00:04:03.420 Some of them think it's funny.

00:04:05.400 And some of them are genuinely on the side of the trans person.

00:04:09.260 And they think that, you know, they probably also think it's funny because it messes with

00:04:13.960 the adults, if you were in high school, are you telling me you wouldn't vote for the trans

00:04:19.200 candidate?

00:04:21.100 I would.

00:04:23.080 Well, let me see you to vote here.

00:04:25.280 Imagine your high school self, not your adult self, put yourself back in your high school

00:04:29.960 mind.

00:04:30.280 You telling me you wouldn't have voted for the trans? 0.98

00:04:34.480 Yeah, it's a thing.

00:04:36.320 And there's, you know, there's also a history of, you know, gay and lesbian people winning

00:04:41.620 for the same reason.

00:04:43.600 Some people think it's funny just to mess with the, you know, the adults and what they

00:04:48.120 expect.

00:04:48.860 And some people are actually just in favor of the trans people, in favor of the LGBTQ,

00:04:54.780 and they'd like to see them win.

00:04:57.320 So I'm not sure anything is happening here of any importance whatsoever.

00:05:01.900 If you're looking at high school and you're saying, oh, there's that trend.

00:05:05.400 And we better watch those hypnotized students. 0.70

00:05:08.860 Nothing like that's happening.

00:05:10.660 Those are students who, some of them genuinely like the person, and they're boosting them

00:05:15.180 because it's fun.

00:05:16.780 And some just think the whole thing is funny, and they're just having fun with it.

00:05:20.220 That's all it is.

00:05:22.240 Anyway, I think it's also, could be, at least for some of them, an example of what I call

00:05:27.480 malicious compliance.

00:05:28.640 So you tell a bunch of students, hey, you must all be woke.

00:05:33.980 Everybody must be treated the same.

00:05:36.320 And now I'd like you to vote for the prom queen.

00:05:41.520 Well, what would you do if you wanted to give the teachers exactly what they wanted?

00:05:48.740 You would vote for the trans candidate, because that's what they're asking for. 1.00

00:05:53.060 Treat everybody the same.

00:05:54.380 All right.

00:05:55.340 All right.

00:05:56.040 I'll give you exactly what you wanted.

00:05:57.360 So some of it's malicious compliance, too.

00:06:00.680 That's what makes it funny.

00:06:04.240 Anyway, there's no real story there.

00:06:05.680 I think that's just, anyway, I think that's all positive, honestly.

00:06:09.140 I think everything about those stories is positive.

00:06:11.920 Do you? 0.99

00:06:13.340 Because voting for somebody in high school because they're attractive is the most fucked up thing 0.99

00:06:19.700 in high school, period. 0.99

00:06:21.420 Let me say it again. 1.00

00:06:22.220 Voting for the attractive people to be your king and queen is the most fucked up thing in 1.00

00:06:28.340 high school, period. 1.00

00:06:30.240 If the students have decided to fuck with the most fucked up thing, good job. 1.00

00:06:35.660 This is applause for the students who decided to break the most fucked up thing, voting for 1.00

00:06:44.420 somebody based on their appearance. 0.99

00:06:46.520 Good for them.

00:06:48.260 Good for them.

00:06:49.360 That's what I want to see for my country.

00:06:51.460 Well, speaking of our country, Biden's overseas, calling the Cambodians Colombians twice.

00:07:03.360 Now, to be fair, Cambodia and Colombia are words that a normal person could confuse.

00:07:10.900 Like, it would be easy for me to imagine doing it myself, even maybe twice, right?

00:07:18.400 There are definitely things where I do the wrong name consistently.

00:07:23.300 It has nothing to do with age.

00:07:24.720 It's just there's some things that get in your head.

00:07:27.480 So, you know, I would say the number of these things that's been happening has to concern you.

00:07:34.400 If you were looking at it, you know, as a single case, you'd say, that doesn't really mean much.

00:07:39.000 But as a pattern, as a pattern, it's starting to look like it means something.

00:07:45.980 But we've lowered our expectation of Biden so low, they can actually go to an international

00:07:52.940 conference to represent us and call the host country by the wrong country name.

00:07:59.620 And everybody's like, well, good enough.

00:08:04.720 Ah, that was close.

00:08:06.520 It started with a C. 0.99

00:08:09.760 That's the best we can do right now.

00:08:11.680 So it's fine.

00:08:13.140 It's fine.

00:08:15.440 All right.

00:08:16.060 Here's one of the funniest stories.

00:08:19.040 Bill Maher, who I would say he's one of the more principled pundits, which is different

00:08:27.100 from saying I agree with him, right?

00:08:28.860 I like the fact that he's taken a financial and other hit to say exactly what he believes.

00:08:37.020 And so he's a principled player.

00:08:40.500 And I appreciate that about him.

00:08:42.620 But he's in a little bit of a pickle here, because he was talking about it on Friday on

00:08:46.600 the show, that the Democrats basically are a box-checking group.

00:08:52.560 And if you're going to run for office as a Democrat, you'd better check a box. 0.92

00:08:56.760 You've got to be gay or brown or a woman or LGBTQ of some kind. 0.97

00:09:02.940 And so this is Bill Maher saying that a straight white man is going to have a hard time getting 0.87

00:09:08.860 elected as a Democrat.

00:09:10.900 Now, what's interesting about that is that Bill Maher is a straight white man.

00:09:15.160 Who supports a party that wouldn't let you run for the leadership of the party because

00:09:23.480 of your gender and your color?

00:09:27.040 Who supports that?

00:09:29.580 Now, I get that he has to compare it to the alternative.

00:09:33.160 Like, I don't want to be a Democrat and pretend that the alternative isn't also influencing what

00:09:38.900 you do.

00:09:39.580 Of course.

00:09:40.080 So I guess he's looked at all the ins and outs and decided that the only team that specifically

00:09:47.800 discriminates people like him is his choice to support.

00:09:52.740 Can you imagine doing that?

00:09:55.900 Can you wrap your head around supporting the team that says, very specifically, people with

00:10:02.140 your color and sexual preference and gender?

00:10:05.680 Nope.

00:10:05.940 You have very little chance of being in a leadership position going forward.

00:10:11.260 How do you support that?

00:10:13.960 Now, I would think that the more principled stand would be to support neither of them.

00:10:18.700 So he has reasons he doesn't like the Republican Party.

00:10:21.500 I get that.

00:10:22.560 People have reasons.

00:10:24.060 And he has a really good reason for not supporting Democrats because they don't support him.

00:10:29.360 That's the best reason of all.

00:10:30.920 In a Democratic system, the fact that they're targeting him for discrimination, people like

00:10:38.440 him, that's a perfectly good reason not to vote for them.

00:10:42.520 But he's got to pick one.

00:10:44.060 So I guess he's picked the one that discriminates against him directly.

00:10:48.840 Doesn't that just blow your mind?

00:10:51.820 And I guess we all end up where we are by, you know, nobody picks where they want to go.

00:10:57.700 You just sort of end up there.

00:10:59.060 And I think he just sort of ended up here.

00:11:03.340 It wasn't a choice he maybe would have made, you know, 20 years ago.

00:11:07.660 But I feel like he, you know, he might be pretty close to saying, okay, that's my limit.

00:11:13.740 I don't know.

00:11:14.300 We don't know what his limit is.

00:11:16.220 Maybe we'll find out.

00:11:20.920 Jen Psaki tweeted this.

00:11:24.420 She said that what Trump is doing on Truth Social and what Carrie Lake is doing in person

00:11:29.960 at nearly every stop is sowing doubt in the system and the process to confuse and alarm people.

00:11:36.640 It's false.

00:11:38.080 We need to continue calling it out.

00:11:39.840 To which I say, is it really Trump and Carrie Lake who are sowing doubt about the Arizona process?

00:11:48.840 Because it's mostly Arizona they're talking about.

00:11:51.400 Really?

00:11:52.440 If you took Trump and Carrie Lake out of the process entirely, would the Republicans not notice that the state doesn't have a result?

00:12:01.200 Well, we wouldn't be talking about it, except for those two people.

00:12:06.440 I feel like the better take is that the thing that's destroying the credibility of the election is that it's designed to do that.

00:12:15.020 So let me describe design.

00:12:18.620 The Arizonans, as I understand it, designed a system which favored not standing in line on Election Day.

00:12:26.880 That was a design choice.

00:12:28.400 What they gave up is a quick outcome.

00:12:34.020 So that was a choice, not a mistake.

00:12:37.220 So everybody who says that Arizona is functioning wrong, well, that's true maybe in terms of the machines had some trouble and some votes got mixed up and stuff.

00:12:47.540 But that's not mostly what we're talking about.

00:12:49.860 Mostly we're talking about the delay, right?

00:12:52.080 It's the delay that seems to be the big thing.

00:12:54.000 Well, they built a system where the delay is not just maybe going to happen, it's guaranteed.

00:13:01.540 They built a system where counting the votes well after the deadline is part of the system.

00:13:07.300 That's intentional.

00:13:09.020 And what they got for that, that tradeoff, is they got maybe better participation and maybe shorter lines.

00:13:17.140 Now, if you design a system where you make an intentional tradeoff between the credibility of the system and, let's say, the convenience of the citizens and maybe participation as well, that's a design choice.

00:13:33.900 That's not a mistake.

00:13:34.900 So if somebody designs a system where their top priority was not credibility, but rather convenience, is the public, are we a bunch of assholes for looking at their design and saying, well, they designed it that way? 0.86

00:13:51.240 I didn't do that. 0.93

00:13:53.100 Is that your fault?

00:13:54.700 How many of you are taking the blame for Arizona's design?

00:13:59.920 The design is not a mistake.

00:14:01.720 The design gave them what they wanted, and they traded off exactly what they knew they would trade.

00:14:08.720 It is designed for lower credibility by higher convenience.

00:14:15.420 Am I wrong?

00:14:16.720 If I say my iPhone is a technological marvel, but it sure is expensive, is that not fair?

00:14:26.840 The Arizona design is perfectly designed for Arizona.

00:14:35.560 That's what they wanted.

00:14:37.120 They wanted a design that gave them exactly what it gave them.

00:14:40.220 There were no surprises.

00:14:41.960 No surprises.

00:14:43.400 Now, if we respond to their design choice exactly the way they knew we would, because there are no surprises,

00:14:51.640 we're a little bit skeptical because of the delay, and that's built into the system.

00:14:59.480 So don't tell me I can't evaluate a design that was designed for this outcome.

00:15:08.760 Now, of course, if you ask the Arizonans, they would say, well, we want convenience plus a totally credible election.

00:15:16.220 But they didn't have that option.

00:15:18.860 Nobody knows how to make that.

00:15:22.400 All right.

00:15:26.040 I said on Twitter the other day about Trump that I'm out, and a number of people, including Sam Harris, said,

00:15:33.360 that was your final straw, which is actually a pretty good question.

00:15:38.100 Why would that one comment that Trump made about DeSantis or Youngkin or whatever, why would that be my final straw?

00:15:49.940 Are any of you wondering the same thing?

00:15:52.160 Of all the things Trump has done or is alleged to do, why would that be my final straw?

00:15:58.780 Well, may I clarify?

00:16:00.880 I don't know if I'm in the 48-hour window of clarification.

00:16:04.120 I might be outside the window.

00:16:05.060 But allow me to clarify, because I do think I'm guilty of being unclear.

00:16:11.040 All right.

00:16:11.700 So the clarification is this.

00:16:14.000 I was already not supporting Trump.

00:16:17.100 So that's not a change.

00:16:19.220 I was already not supporting him.

00:16:21.300 Two reasons.

00:16:22.460 Nobody that age should be running for president.

00:16:24.920 I've been saying that for five years, right, completely consistently.

00:16:28.700 Number two, I've said publicly a number of times, I'm not going to support anybody going forward who doesn't have a practical fentanyl plan.

00:16:41.200 And I'm not aware that Trump has anyone like an actual plan.

00:16:45.800 He might end up being the best one.

00:16:47.440 But at the moment, he doesn't have a specific plan that I'm aware of.

00:16:52.380 So, no, I did not use that as the last straw for my support of Trump.

00:16:59.360 I was already gone, right?

00:17:01.340 And I'm not coming back unless he comes up with a fentanyl plan.

00:17:06.600 If he does, I would consider coming back, because I'm a single-issue voter.

00:17:14.240 Now, I'm being a single-issue voter because it gives me more leverage.

00:17:18.320 So I'm doing it for persuasion reasons, right?

00:17:20.780 I get that voters in general have to make these trade-offs and nothing's single-issue.

00:17:25.800 I get that.

00:17:26.600 Just allow me to do it.

00:17:27.700 I'm a public figure.

00:17:29.260 So as a public figure, it's a little different equation than the rest of you, okay?

00:17:33.960 So it makes my persuasion a little bit more focused if I just say, I just got one issue.

00:17:42.980 It's the most important issue.

00:17:44.620 And if you're ignoring it, I'm going to ignore you.

00:17:47.580 Now, what did it mean when I said I'm out if I was already out?

00:17:53.040 What I meant by that, which I expressed poorly, 0.99

00:17:57.320 is that I'm not going to wipe the shit off of everything that Trump slimes, 0.99

00:18:04.540 which I did for about five years. 0.98

00:18:07.900 And usually it was a case of explaining what he really meant or putting it in context.

00:18:14.500 But when I saw the Youngkin thing, I thought, you know, I'm exhausted. 1.00

00:18:18.940 I'm exhausted.

00:18:19.820 That China reference was totally innocent, right?

00:18:25.200 As we've come to understand it, he was making a point about Youngkin being associated with some Chinese investments or something.

00:18:32.880 And that's a perfectly good point to make.

00:18:35.680 But it was the wrong time to do it, and he was attacking his own team.

00:18:40.820 And I'm not going to defend that.

00:18:42.840 And I don't feel like defending anything else he does either,

00:18:46.840 because I think he's aged down with the race, and he doesn't have a fentanyl plan.

00:18:52.700 Now, if I thought that his election was like an unambiguous positive, 0.98

00:18:57.360 I would keep, you know, washing the shit off of stuff that the fake news throws at him, right? 0.98

00:19:04.360 Because I'm more interested in, you know, getting rid of the fake news about him. 0.99

00:19:08.560 But now I'm not sure I care.

00:19:10.220 I'm not sure if I care if the fake news takes him out.

00:19:15.020 Because there's nobody I'm backing on either side.

00:19:19.640 So, let me ask you this.

00:19:23.160 We're hearing, it's hard to know for sure,

00:19:26.080 that Jared Kushner and Ivanka would not be supportive

00:19:30.360 and would not want to roll in any future Trump administration.

00:19:34.080 Do you think that's true?

00:19:36.020 That sounds true.

00:19:36.960 I mean, if I were them, I wouldn't want to do it twice, that's for sure.

00:19:40.220 Do you think that's true?

00:19:42.460 You don't think that's true?

00:19:43.880 Interesting.

00:19:45.300 I do.

00:19:46.060 I think that's true.

00:19:47.400 Just because that's how a normal person would be.

00:19:50.380 Nobody would want to do that twice.

00:19:52.320 That'd be crazy.

00:19:53.000 Do you think that Trump could be successful without Ivanka and Jared doing some of the heavy lifting?

00:20:05.620 You do?

00:20:07.880 I don't know.

00:20:09.600 I don't know.

00:20:10.140 I think it's unknowable.

00:20:11.060 Because what we don't really know is what that dynamic was.

00:20:15.300 One of the things that some people, and I'm one of them, suspects,

00:20:19.640 is that Ivanka was way more positively influential than we'll ever know.

00:20:26.240 And the reason is that she was on a very short list of people who, if she disagreed with Trump,

00:20:35.480 he would stop and listen.

00:20:38.040 Like, he would really pay attention.

00:20:40.960 Now, I think that's a pretty short list.

00:20:42.480 And she was the closest physically to him and probably had the most time with him

00:20:47.520 and would have the most influence, I would think.

00:20:51.700 So, but we don't know, right?

00:20:54.080 I don't know if any of that mattered,

00:20:55.700 if it was any topics they disagreed on that made a difference.

00:20:58.520 I don't know.

00:21:01.440 Now, Don Jr. is the next question.

00:21:05.180 Do you think he would be all in?

00:21:08.980 I feel like he's signaling that he would be.

00:21:13.040 I don't know.

00:21:14.500 Do you think Trump could win without my support?

00:21:20.260 I'll just ask the question.

00:21:26.620 Most of you say yes.

00:21:28.460 He could win without my support.

00:21:30.760 And I agree.

00:21:32.080 I agree he could win without my support.

00:21:35.160 Yeah.

00:21:35.820 I don't think he could have won the first time without him.

00:21:39.340 Do you know why?

00:21:40.940 Does everybody, do you understand that?

00:21:42.480 I don't think he would have won the first time.

00:21:45.760 Because the first time, he needed to be defined differently than he was. 0.81

00:21:50.080 He needed to be defined as somebody who had skills, not a crazy clown running for publicity. 0.93

00:21:55.980 And I think I did that. 0.85

00:21:57.900 I don't think, I know I did that.

00:21:59.280 I'm the one who defined him as skilled.

00:22:03.120 Without that, he wouldn't have won.

00:22:05.600 Now, it's not the only thing, right?

00:22:08.580 Everything had to happen the way it happened to get the result to happen.

00:22:11.600 It wasn't a one variable thing.

00:22:13.200 But I don't think it would have worked without that.

00:22:16.000 But now that he's served a term, we all know pretty much exactly what we'd get.

00:22:22.200 And the mainstream, even his enemies, are completely on board with what I taught them in 2015 and 16,

00:22:30.480 which is this is actually skill.

00:22:32.740 And even when I said I'm out, Trump's comment about Youngkin, that was skill. 1.00

00:22:41.780 If I were in the job of explaining it to you, I would say he created a little mystery and intrigue

00:22:47.300 and made everybody look into it, and the looking into it is exactly what he wanted.

00:22:51.660 So he got what he wanted.

00:22:52.380 And, you know, he probably doesn't care that he's taken out some prominent Republicans to elbow his way into the job.

00:23:01.020 You know, he can always make nice to them afterwards. 0.99

00:23:06.300 Linda, who is very dumb, says, 0.99

00:23:08.620 Scott, you don't vote. 0.99

00:23:09.980 Your message about who you support for president is diminished.

00:23:13.680 Nope.

00:23:15.240 Nothing works that way.

00:23:18.800 Nothing works that way.

00:23:19.920 Now, people will be influenced by anything that's influential.

00:23:25.840 So the fact that I don't vote should increase my credibility.

00:23:30.220 That's why I do it.

00:23:31.640 I don't vote to increase my credibility, not to decrease it.

00:23:36.160 Because the reason here is that if you vote, you've taken a side.

00:23:41.580 And you can't change it.

00:23:43.800 And then you have to defend your side.

00:23:45.780 I don't want to have to defend anybody. 0.97

00:23:47.300 I want to be able to say, well, I thought they had some skills, but it turns out they sucked on this topic.

00:23:54.580 But as soon as I voted for them, I'm going to be biased toward defending whatever the hell they do, even if it doesn't make sense.

00:24:01.960 That's how people work.

00:24:04.400 All right.

00:24:04.740 Paul Collider, who's probably watching right now, hi, Paul, tweeted this.

00:24:12.820 How can Democrats have such strong, unwavering conviction?

00:24:16.140 Talking about the election integrity here.

00:24:18.500 How can they have such strong, unwavering conviction?

00:24:20.960 There's something that is executed in an unaudible way.

00:24:24.940 Something two opposing sides spend billions to win control of.

00:24:30.740 Trillions, probably.

00:24:33.420 Or they spend billions to control trillions.

00:24:36.200 That's his point.

00:24:37.240 It is also the lone paradigm of man.

00:24:39.440 There's massive fraud.

00:24:40.900 Okay.

00:24:41.420 The point is, how could you look at this situation and have unwavering conviction that it was fair?

00:24:51.060 I totally understand if you say, there's no evidence of fraud, so let's treat it like it's fair.

00:24:59.120 That makes sense.

00:25:00.560 I'm totally on board with that.

00:25:03.060 But how can you just know it's true without the benefit of knowledge?

00:25:11.540 And are they just pretending?

00:25:13.720 Do you think Democrats are just pretending?

00:25:15.180 Well, as other people noted, whoever is winning is the one who's going to accept the election, right?

00:25:26.360 I'd like to give a little shout-out, a little bit of respect to the GOP, who is taking quite a beating on their election performance.

00:25:35.760 And every now and then you have to pull back, give yourself a little distance.

00:25:40.840 You know, if you get too close to the topic, you lose sight of the forest.

00:25:45.520 But here's the forest.

00:25:47.880 The GOP knowingly damaged its odds of power by pursuing abortion.

00:25:58.080 They knowingly knew it would hurt them, probably, in terms of gaining power.

00:26:04.920 And they did it anyway.

00:26:05.900 They did it aggressively.

00:26:08.660 They did it enthusiastically.

00:26:10.820 They did it with full transparency, knowing it would hurt them.

00:26:17.000 There's nothing I respect more than that, honestly.

00:26:20.920 That is patriotism.

00:26:24.380 That is American.

00:26:26.540 That is why I like conservatives.

00:26:30.740 Conservatives, even when I disagree with them, which I often do,

00:26:33.460 they're really good at this, you know, keeping their morals and what they actually do somewhat consistent, right?

00:26:44.720 I mean, a conservative, if they got pregnant, you know, an unwanted pregnancy,

00:26:49.920 probably is going to have the baby. 0.99

00:26:52.600 More likely than not, right?

00:26:55.420 So there is a consistency there that just has to be respected, I think.

00:26:59.720 You know, you don't have to do anything that I do, of course.

00:27:02.280 So I won't try to persuade you.

00:27:04.520 But in my own mind, the Republicans said, in effect, we're willing to die on this hill. 0.58

00:27:14.260 And then the Republicans, then the Democrats killed them on that hill.

00:27:18.780 So the Democrats got what they wanted, probably.

00:27:22.020 You know, a little better election results than they expected.

00:27:24.420 And the Republicans, in a weird way, got exactly what they were shooting for,

00:27:30.340 which is they got the moral win, and they were willing to give up a political win.

00:27:37.160 So, you know.

00:27:39.860 This is as close to the ideal outcome as you could get,

00:27:43.800 given that nobody can be completely happy on both sides, right?

00:27:47.320 You can't make everybody happy all the time.

00:27:48.620 But this is just about the closest you could get done for a perfect outcome.

00:27:54.500 You know, one that you could respect, even if you don't like it.

00:27:58.180 So that's your positive note for today.

00:28:00.160 I'm seeing some complaints about DeSantis, and maybe Youngkin, too.

00:28:11.540 But DeSantis, people are telling me, is backed by billionaire Ken Griffin,

00:28:16.800 who's, you know, I guess the founder of Citadel, a big financial institution.

00:28:22.660 And I guess he gives immense amounts of money politically, so he's very powerful.

00:28:26.840 And, but I don't know if, why does that matter exactly?

00:28:33.500 Can somebody, can somebody connect some dots for me?

00:28:38.740 Does it matter because that makes him a rhino or something?

00:28:42.280 Is that what's happening?

00:28:43.980 I see the accusation, but I can't quite understand what the point of it is.

00:28:49.400 Because you know that all the candidates have a billionaire behind them, right?

00:28:53.440 Well, let me ask you.

00:28:54.280 Did you know that?

00:28:54.880 Did you know that all of the candidates, all of them, Trump, etc.,

00:28:59.440 they all had at least one billionaire, or they really couldn't win?

00:29:05.060 You can't win without at least one billionaire, it turns out.

00:29:08.380 You've got to have one billionaire at least on your team.

00:29:11.680 Does it matter that Ken Griffin, very publicly, is backing Republicans?

00:29:17.940 I think it's transparent.

00:29:20.260 Our system allows that.

00:29:21.580 And all the others have a billionaire behind them.

00:29:25.900 The best description I ever heard of our political reality is that it's not like the elites are some group of Illuminati,

00:29:38.020 where at the very top, the Democrats and the Republicans are basically all the same people,

00:29:43.120 and they're a little secret society, and they're running everything from the top.

00:29:48.000 That definitely is not happening, right?

00:29:50.900 I can assure you, that doesn't exist.

00:29:54.260 I've spent enough time behind the curtain to say that doesn't exist.

00:29:58.220 What does exist is more like a Game of Thrones, where there's a billionaire, let's call them the kings in the Game of Thrones,

00:30:06.820 and they're all jockeying to see who's the head billionaire, or the most important one.

00:30:11.600 But it really is a competitive fight, it's just not a voter fight.

00:30:16.840 The election is sort of the fake competition.

00:30:20.360 The real competition is billionaire on billionaire, and they're moving assets, and they're gaming the system,

00:30:26.340 and they're funding election changes and stuff like that.

00:30:29.740 But the election is decided by the billionaires.

00:30:33.840 So whichever billionaires played a better game, that gets expressed in the election result,

00:30:39.260 and then we all think we decided.

00:30:41.220 But our opinions were assigned to us by billionaires.

00:30:45.840 Billionaires assigned their opinions.

00:30:47.500 You can see it in real time right now as Murdoch.

00:30:50.940 Murdoch just switched away from Trump.

00:30:53.760 Could not be more obvious.

00:30:55.440 Do you think Murdoch switching away from Trump makes it impossible for Trump to win?

00:31:03.560 What do you think?

00:31:05.000 If Murdoch, which means Wall Street Journal, New York Post, and Fox News, all go anti-Trump, can Trump win?

00:31:14.380 No, no he can't.

00:31:15.960 No.

00:31:16.700 Trump cannot win if Murdoch turns on him.

00:31:20.340 He can't.

00:31:21.220 So it's not really about Trump, and it's not about the voters.

00:31:24.280 It's just Murdoch.

00:31:25.940 He's the only one.

00:31:28.100 It's his decision if Trump runs.

00:31:31.200 Now, could he change his mind?

00:31:35.480 Absolutely.

00:31:36.800 Yeah.

00:31:37.340 I mean, if it gets down to, you know, somehow Trump wins the primary anyway,

00:31:42.400 then Murdoch might have to choose between Trump and the Democrat, and maybe he'll choose Trump.

00:31:47.220 So Trump could still change his mind.

00:31:50.060 But I don't know.

00:31:52.400 It is a billionaire competition.

00:31:54.200 It's not a voter competition.

00:31:56.020 As soon as you see it as a voter competition, you don't understand the whole system.

00:32:00.600 The system is billionaires control the press.

00:32:03.360 The press assigns you your opinion.

00:32:05.000 You go and vote as if you had made up your own mind, and then we see which billionaire won.

00:32:12.180 So that's where we are.

00:32:15.600 So somebody made a fake Twitter blue verified account on Twitter, pretended to be Eli Lilly's corporate account, and tweeted,

00:32:26.380 We're excited to announce insulin is free now.

00:32:31.860 Insulin is not free.

00:32:34.040 But apparently it took several billion dollars off of Eli Lilly's stock value.

00:32:41.360 Somebody almost crashed the entire stock market just with a Twitter prank.

00:32:48.340 Now, I don't think that's the end of the world.

00:32:51.680 It's more funny than it is, you know, tragic.

00:32:55.500 But we'd better watch out.

00:32:58.460 More of this coming.

00:33:00.380 More coming.

00:33:01.800 So the guy who I guess is mostly in charge of the border has been asked to resign, and he declined.

00:33:08.540 The guy who's in charge of the border, his own boss can't get him to leave the building.

00:33:22.600 He's so bad at borders that even when his boss says,

00:33:26.060 All right, I'm trying to explain this to you.

00:33:30.920 This building where we work, you're not allowed inside here anymore.

00:33:35.760 You need to, like, not be working.

00:33:41.080 So this building, this little piece of real, don't be in here anymore.

00:33:45.240 You're not allowed within this border.

00:33:47.700 And the guy who's in charge of the border, oh, yeah, I am.

00:33:51.280 I'm just going inside your border.

00:33:54.860 It's a perfect analogy. 0.88

00:33:57.640 Anyway, so you see, the fact that he's resisting being fired is just hilarious.

00:34:02.500 Like, the level of incompetence.

00:34:05.760 All right, I'd like to do a call back to my impression of Bill Maher deciding he wants to run for president.

00:34:17.500 And he's talking to the other Democrats, the leadership, and he's trying to negotiate how he could run for president.

00:34:23.980 And they say, you know, Bill, you don't check any of the boxes. 0.99

00:34:29.220 We need you to be a woman or gay or brown or something. 1.00

00:34:35.200 And then Bill Maher says, all right, I need a little more guidance. 1.00

00:34:40.680 Can you tell me the number of dicks I have to suck before I can run for president as a Democrat? 0.99

00:34:47.240 Would one be enough? 1.00

00:34:49.460 Could I suck one dick? 1.00

00:34:50.600 And then they say, that would be a little bit gay. 1.00

00:34:57.080 But I feel like one would feel like a fluke. 0.70

00:35:01.260 That would just feel like you're experimenting.

00:35:02.940 So I don't think one's enough.

00:35:04.920 One just feels like you're having fun.

00:35:07.720 I need three. 1.00

00:35:11.220 I feel like Bill Maher would have to suck three dicks. 1.00

00:35:15.840 Because by the second one, you would know if you liked it. 1.00

00:35:20.600 Right? 1.00

00:35:21.880 So if you suck three dicks, you've sort of committed yourself. 1.00

00:35:26.180 Like, I think I like this. 1.00

00:35:27.660 This is working out for me.

00:35:29.340 So I feel like Bill Maher is complaining a little too much.

00:35:34.940 Because he's saying, oh, straight white man can't get elected as a Democrat.

00:35:39.240 But that's not entirely true.

00:35:40.980 He does have a path.

00:35:41.980 It's sort of a three-dick situation, maximum.

00:35:47.320 I think the fourth one would be unnecessary.

00:35:51.560 Five and six would just be for his own benefit, not really anything political at all.

00:35:57.180 So anyway, that's my advice.

00:35:59.840 Bill Maher is just three cocks away from the presidency.

00:36:02.280 So Mexico is running a don't-do-drugs campaign.

00:36:13.940 And they've decided to use as a cautionary tale Philadelphia.

00:36:19.280 So Mexico is trying to convince young people to not do drugs by showing video of what it looks like on the streets of Philadelphia.

00:36:32.680 So Mexico is like, don't be like Philadelphia. 0.98

00:36:35.140 Yes, we are a murder hellhole, cartel-driven murder hellhole, but at least we're not Philadelphia. 0.92

00:36:45.480 Am I right? Am I right?

00:36:47.280 Yes, we have decapitated heads on the sidewalk.

00:36:50.560 Yes, we do.

00:36:51.740 But not much feces.

00:36:53.660 The level of feces on our streets is very low.

00:36:56.920 Decapitated head now and then, hardly ever.

00:36:59.320 Hardly ever.

00:36:59.940 A couple times a year, you probably won't even see it.

00:37:02.340 So that's amazing.

00:37:07.980 Nate Silver, who would be more associated, we imagine, with the left.

00:37:14.300 Although I don't think he's ever mentioned his political affiliations, but we imagine, because of where he works and stuff, he's left-leaning.

00:37:22.080 But he does a lot of independent stuff.

00:37:25.780 So I'm not sure I know what he is.

00:37:27.280 But he's saying that the news should look into it, that it appears that liberal elites delayed the vaccination rollout until after the election.

00:37:38.480 Now, you all think that, right?

00:37:40.260 It does look like some elites, Democrats.

00:37:43.460 It does look like Democrats did put their finger on the scales there and delayed that so that Trump wouldn't look as good.

00:37:54.600 Just the fact that Nate Silver says it looks like that obviously happened, but it requires more research to be sure what really did happen.

00:38:02.680 I think that's pretty open-minded of it.

00:38:06.560 Appreciate that.

00:38:08.040 Aaron Coulter still hates Trump.

00:38:10.720 Somehow that trended today.

00:38:12.820 Did anybody think she was going to change her mind and suddenly become pro-Trump?

00:38:16.640 I don't think so.

00:38:19.420 All right.

00:38:20.020 So the GOP has a retiring senator, Senator Toomey, and he said that there's a very high correlation between the MAGA candidates and big losses, or at least dramatically underperforming.

00:38:40.360 So he thinks that President Trump was the problem in the election.

00:38:44.760 Would you agree?

00:38:45.620 Do you think that Trump's involvement caused a bad midterm?

00:38:55.460 I don't know.

00:38:56.720 It kind of depends.

00:38:58.040 You know, if Carrie Lake gets elected and if Walker gets elected, things will look different, right?

00:39:05.380 But at this point, it looks like the MAGA thing turned out to be a good attack vector for the Democrats more than it was a clever way to get more Republicans.

00:39:20.600 Yeah.

00:39:21.000 You think it was mostly abortion and it wasn't as much Trump?

00:39:25.880 I don't know.

00:39:27.040 But don't you think Trump was the reason that weak candidates were running?

00:39:33.540 Wasn't that Trump?

00:39:34.380 Yes or no?

00:39:38.160 No?

00:39:39.120 You don't think Trump was a cause of weak candidates?

00:39:44.920 No?

00:39:46.300 I don't know.

00:39:48.560 I mean, he's not the only cause.

00:39:52.140 All right.

00:39:54.680 Yeah, it's interesting just that a Republican was saying that.

00:39:58.000 Can somebody tell me, of all of the late election results that we've had, let's say in the last 10 years, wherever there was a late result, and I don't mean a planned late result that just happens to be after the election day.

00:40:19.220 I mean, where it was unexpectedly late.

00:40:22.000 How often does the Democrat end up winning?

00:40:25.960 Do we have that?

00:40:27.560 Is it every time?

00:40:28.680 Or does the candidate whose party runs the election in that state win every time?

00:40:36.600 Is there actually a statistic on that?

00:40:45.160 Oh, Tucker addressed it, 10 out of 13?

00:40:47.320 I don't know if that's right.

00:40:50.880 All right.

00:40:52.480 Certainly, we have plenty of reasons to be skeptical about the Arizona situation.

00:41:01.520 Wouldn't you agree that skepticism is warranted?

00:41:04.640 Because they designed the system for extra skepticism.

00:41:10.260 Remember, they designed the system for convenience, not to decrease skepticism.

00:41:16.640 They didn't design it to make you less skeptical.

00:41:18.860 If they did that, it would all be done.

00:41:22.820 The delay that's built into the system, there's just no way that you can ignore that.

00:41:28.660 Now, I don't think there's any obvious problem.

00:41:32.800 And by the way, Arizona's explained away the mixed ballots, some that were counted, some not counted.

00:41:38.540 Apparently, they have a way to reverse engineer that pretty easily.

00:41:44.320 Junior Coltrane says in all caps,

00:41:46.380 Scott just can't understand.

00:41:48.860 Sure, Junior.

00:41:49.880 Scott just can't understand.

00:41:52.040 In all caps.

00:41:54.900 I'm glad you got your AOL account and your modem is working.

00:42:00.000 You might want to look into the whole all caps thing.

00:42:03.720 Just sort of look into that a little bit.

00:42:05.560 All right.

00:42:09.260 Question.

00:42:11.620 Which demographic group was most supportive of Democrats?

00:42:16.580 Democrats.

00:42:17.580 You all know the answer, right?

00:42:19.600 It was young.

00:42:20.880 It was the young.

00:42:22.820 And young women in particular, but basically the young.

00:42:26.060 So Biden got the youth vote.

00:42:29.480 And second question, totally unrelated.

00:42:32.720 What demographic group does Biden's policy kill the most of?

00:42:38.040 What group is being killed at the highest rate, you know, above their baseline?

00:42:44.440 Well, who dies the most from fentanyl?

00:42:50.660 Youth, right?

00:42:52.080 So they're killing the most young people with fentanyl, and that is a direct result of their policies.

00:42:57.760 What about school closures, right?

00:43:01.900 So we're not talking about just death.

00:43:03.320 We're talking about, you know, damage.

00:43:05.500 School closures.

00:43:07.040 What group of people does that damage?

00:43:08.840 Oh, yeah, young people. 0.96

00:43:10.060 Young people.

00:43:11.400 Not just young people, but young parents.

00:43:14.800 It's young parents as well.

00:43:16.240 How about inflation?

00:43:21.420 Well, you could say that it affects old people the most if they're on fixed incomes, but the old people also have fewer years of life left.

00:43:32.420 Depending on the inflation, it could lock the children in of buying a home and create a ripple effect that lasts basically their whole life.

00:43:41.480 I feel like the effect is bigger on the young.

00:43:46.340 Is that supportable?

00:43:48.740 Inflation hurts the young more?

00:43:50.840 Because they can't get started.

00:43:52.920 They can't get a house.

00:43:54.500 And then that affects you all the rest of your life.

00:43:57.920 If you already have a house, if you already have a house, the house goes up with inflation, you already have it.

00:44:06.620 And probably your property tax, depending on your state, even your property tax doesn't go up.

00:44:11.480 Now, if they're on a fixed income, that's going to hurt them as well, but not as many years, because they don't have many left.

00:44:18.860 I don't know.

00:44:19.740 How about vaccination damage?

00:44:25.580 Because no matter what you think of vaccinations, I think everybody agrees, some number of people had myocarditis.

00:44:33.740 Is that mostly the old people or the young people?

00:44:36.860 Mostly the young.

00:44:37.680 So that's why at least two companies are now doing a study to see how much of the effect.

00:44:47.160 Yeah, younger men.

00:44:47.960 So is it my imagination that the Democrats are the worst party for protecting the young, but because they promised them debt relief, which was totally a lie, because they knew they couldn't do it, the young just said, free money.

00:45:10.100 Free money.

00:45:10.980 Yay.

00:45:11.220 Now, you can kind of understand how the young would be like this.

00:45:15.640 What does Biden's fentanyl policy and his abortion policy and preference, what do they have in common?

00:45:26.240 And don't say that it kills young people.

00:45:29.000 All right.

00:45:29.680 One thing that the fentanyl policy and the abortion policy have in common is freedom.

00:45:35.740 Young people really like freedom.

00:45:40.160 And if you take their drugs away from them, they might live longer, but they'll have less freedom.

00:45:47.000 Am I right?

00:45:48.760 They might want access.

00:45:50.820 They might say, yeah, people are dying from overdoses, but it was their choice.

00:45:54.800 So I'd rather have the freedom.

00:45:55.880 And I'd rather have the freedom for a divorce.

00:45:59.660 I'd rather have the freedom to get my drugs.

00:46:02.320 I'd rather the people south of the border are free to come here.

00:46:08.180 So they do seem to choose freedom over danger.

00:46:13.100 Would you say that?

00:46:14.760 Young people will choose freedom over danger fairly reliably.

00:46:20.560 What's the most common thing a teenager says?

00:46:23.600 Yeah, I know it's dangerous.

00:46:24.580 I want to do it anyway, right?

00:46:26.840 It's the most common thing they say.

00:46:28.480 I hear you.

00:46:29.220 I hear you.

00:46:29.640 It's a bad idea.

00:46:30.540 I'm going to do it anyway because it was really fun.

00:46:33.600 And I don't care about the risk, right?

00:46:37.240 So it's just an oddity, but you can understand it, why Biden is killing the most people in

00:46:44.300 the demographic group that supports him the most, interestingly.

00:46:48.760 But at least they get imaginary college relief, college debt relief out of it.

00:46:55.440 So it's not like they came up on empty handed, huh?

00:47:00.260 Yeah, freedom's just another word for nothing left to lose, I suppose.

00:47:04.340 Let me do a little test of your knowledge.

00:47:09.220 You are aware, Michael Schellenberger's done a great job about this, that San Francisco's

00:47:15.980 open air legal drug experiment seems to be a huge failure, right?

00:47:23.160 Do you all know that?

00:47:24.820 So San Francisco said, well, we'll give all these druggies on the streets some free drugs,

00:47:31.560 and at least it'll be safer, because at least the drug taking part will be less lethal.

00:47:35.940 And then it just became a walking dead encampment and ruined the city and everything.

00:47:42.180 All right, now that you know that didn't work, when I say the best treatment for fentanyl

00:47:50.240 would be to legalize safer alternatives, does that sound like something that's already

00:47:57.400 tried and failed?

00:48:00.220 I say legalize safe alternatives.

00:48:05.940 Does it sound like it's been tried and failed?

00:48:09.900 Yes, right?

00:48:11.400 And San Francisco seems like the one who tried it and failed, right?

00:48:15.680 Do you not see the gigantic difference between what I'm saying and what San Francisco did?

00:48:22.320 See, the trouble is that they feel too much alike, but the difference is gigantic.

00:48:29.400 Here's the difference.

00:48:30.300 San Francisco gave drugs to the people on the streets, which gives you more street people,

00:48:42.700 so it ruins San Francisco.

00:48:44.580 That couldn't possibly be a good idea.

00:48:47.440 I wouldn't let street people have free drugs.

00:48:50.080 I would let somebody who works in a cubicle have free drugs.

00:48:55.900 Yeah.

00:48:56.140 If you have a place you live and you have a job, I'll give you safer alternatives and you

00:49:02.200 work it out.

00:49:03.500 You know, you figure out how to get that monkey off your back.

00:49:06.540 Or you live mildly addicted and you just are a functional addict and maybe that's your choice.

00:49:13.880 The people on the streets, I would say you can have free drugs, but you have to get off the street.

00:49:22.920 Minimum requirement.

00:49:24.560 You know, you have to get into some treatment or off the street or something.

00:49:27.660 But I wouldn't give them free drugs on the street.

00:49:30.480 You're trying to get them off the street.

00:49:32.920 So do you understand my frustration when I say the fentanyl thing has something we could test

00:49:39.200 to see if it makes a difference?

00:49:41.300 All right.

00:49:42.460 My stepson, my stepson, of course, this is anecdotal.

00:49:46.200 You can't make policy based on one person.

00:49:48.560 I get that.

00:49:49.400 But my stepson wasn't homeless.

00:49:52.400 He wasn't homeless.

00:49:54.020 He was just somebody who liked drugs too much.

00:49:57.100 And he knew that fentanyl was the risk that could kill him.

00:50:01.180 If he knew that he could take a drug that definitely didn't have fentanyl, he would have done it.

00:50:06.080 He didn't have the option.

00:50:07.160 But there are more people like my stepson dying from overdose than street people.

00:50:13.560 Do we have an epidemic of the homeless dying of drug overdoses?

00:50:18.680 I've never heard anybody even mention it.

00:50:21.740 Have you?

00:50:23.360 I mean, maybe they don't.

00:50:25.340 Maybe they don't die.

00:50:26.700 Maybe it's like COVID.

00:50:30.400 You know, they didn't seem to die of COVID.

00:50:32.020 And nobody really understood why, I don't think.

00:50:36.040 Maybe they just are better at drugs.

00:50:38.720 Because one of the things that would keep you alive if you do fentanyl is knowing you're taking it.

00:50:44.600 So if you're a street person, you might say, give me some fentanyl.

00:50:48.240 You know what you have.

00:50:49.760 And then you just deal with that risk knowingly.

00:50:53.300 And that's safer than dealing with it unknowingly.

00:50:57.240 Yeah.

00:50:58.340 Maybe they have superpowers.

00:50:59.400 But I don't know how to beat this problem.

00:51:04.000 See, the problem is that the thing that failed miserably, the open-air drug thing in San Francisco, that was unambiguously a failure.

00:51:12.500 But they did everything wrong.

00:51:15.520 And because they did everything wrong, I'll never be able to persuade anybody to try something that doesn't involve the homeless.

00:51:23.480 Right?

00:51:25.780 But you see the problem, right?

00:51:27.260 The problem is those two things are too similar in people's minds.

00:51:30.940 So now you can't do the good thing because the bad thing didn't work.

00:51:35.340 Now, I don't know.

00:51:36.520 Let me be clear.

00:51:37.500 I don't know that giving people safe alternatives would work.

00:51:42.040 It's just the obvious thing to try.

00:51:44.780 It's the obvious thing.

00:51:46.100 If you're not trying the most obvious thing, well, how serious are you, really?

00:51:51.400 How serious are you?

00:51:57.780 You sell it to buy one and get the second dose for free?

00:52:03.260 Maybe.

00:52:10.660 Try something besides prison.

00:52:12.920 Yeah.

00:52:13.060 Are you talking about suboxone, methadone?

00:52:17.140 No.

00:52:17.740 I'm talking about giving somebody oxycodone instead of fentanyl.

00:52:26.420 But giving them an amount, they know exactly what they're getting.

00:52:29.240 Because as bad as that is, you know, oxy or heroin or something, as bad as those are, they're

00:52:36.580 really bad.

00:52:37.660 They're not nearly as bad as fentanyl.

00:52:39.960 Right?

00:52:40.560 So you could first get them off the thing that kills them.

00:52:44.700 And then they're going to live longer.

00:52:46.480 And maybe they have a chance of, you know, getting off the other drugs.

00:52:51.000 But, you know, first you put the tourniquet on and keep them from dying so they have a chance.

00:52:55.480 All right.

00:53:02.200 Addiction doctors should chime in on this.

00:53:04.900 I agree.

00:53:09.340 Why would a parent want their kids to do drugs in the first place?

00:53:13.500 Who said that?

00:53:16.060 Who thinks that somebody wants their kids to do drugs? 0.97

00:53:21.720 That's what you heard?

00:53:22.740 You listened to this and you thought, there are some parents who want their kids to do drugs.

00:53:27.760 No.

00:53:28.640 Nope.

00:53:29.120 Nothing like that.

00:53:32.960 Darwin effect is a good thing for the species.

00:53:35.280 Thank you, Shepard, for mentioning in public that the death of my stepson is good for the public.

00:53:42.380 You're a fine, fine human being there.

00:53:45.900 I'll bet your parents are proud of you.

00:53:47.260 Although, maybe you're not wrong. 0.91

00:53:54.840 Saying it in public to me is sort of a dick move, but I don't actually disagree with your point.

00:54:03.460 Unfortunately, it does exactly what you said.

00:54:06.500 And it did it in my case as well.

00:54:08.620 If I can be blunt, my stepson wasn't going to add to society.

00:54:16.120 Let me say that as clearly as possible.

00:54:18.820 He wasn't going to add. 0.76

00:54:20.900 He probably would have killed somebody. 0.96

00:54:23.400 Accidentally. 0.97

00:54:24.180 Like he wasn't violent.

00:54:25.760 But he usually could have been the guy who gave somebody the fentanyl that killed him.

00:54:30.540 I once saw him drive when he didn't know that I was on the street.

00:54:39.200 He should never have been able to use a motor vehicle.

00:54:44.520 But nobody was going to stop him once he was an adult.

00:54:47.780 So he was an adult who should never have been in a motor vehicle.

00:54:52.200 But nobody could stop him once he's an adult.

00:54:55.740 So is the world better off that he's gone?

00:54:58.140 Yes.

00:54:58.500 Yes.

00:54:58.540 It's a hard thing to say.

00:55:02.160 I mean, I loved him deeply.

00:55:04.680 And I still see him everywhere.

00:55:07.100 And it hurt me like nothing probably will ever hurt me again.

00:55:11.360 But is the world better off?

00:55:14.400 Yes.

00:55:15.200 Yes.

00:55:15.700 He was damaging to the world in many ways.

00:55:19.160 And he had no interest in ever working.

00:55:22.620 He had no interest in adding anything to the world.

00:55:25.560 And it would tell you directly.

00:55:27.280 He didn't want to practice anything because he didn't want to get good at anything.

00:55:32.840 That was an actual philosophy of an adult.

00:55:36.240 An adult.

00:55:37.400 I mean, a young adult.

00:55:39.180 But as an adult, he said he would not agree to practice anything and get good at it because he doesn't like practicing anything.

00:55:47.400 And so he wanted to go through life without ever trying to be good at anything, including working, anything.

00:55:55.180 That was his actual preference.

00:55:57.180 He also said many times that he knew he was in a risky lifestyle and he preferred to die over being limited and having his freedom taken away.

00:56:09.260 He got what he wanted.

00:56:11.320 He literally chose death over a lack of freedom.

00:56:16.320 He chose it often and clearly.

00:56:20.840 Like he said it as clearly as you could say as many times as you want to hear it.

00:56:25.640 He chose the risk, a high risk of death over having his freedom impinged in any way.

00:56:31.560 It's not a choice you and I would have made, but he made a choice that got him exactly what you would expect him to get and he knew that was the risk and there it was.

00:56:42.420 Now here's the other factor.

00:56:44.060 I also don't think he had a chance of being happy.

00:56:46.380 Again, that's a hard truth.

00:56:51.400 I don't believe he had a chance of being happy in life because he had beliefs and philosophies that guaranteed he would be miserable.

00:56:59.600 And so he did have a death wish.

00:57:04.980 All right.

00:57:05.580 I won't give you the details, but let's just say I know for sure he had a death wish.

00:57:11.080 So he wasn't afraid of the risk and he didn't mind dying.

00:57:14.060 And he would rather have a short, fun life than a long one with people telling him what to do where he couldn't do drugs.

00:57:21.840 And he got his choice.

00:57:25.300 So on one, it's funny, it's as much as it hurt me and I wouldn't have chosen that outcome, he did get what he asked for.

00:57:38.400 So it's not a tragedy like other tragedies.

00:57:41.060 It's different because it's just such a special case.

00:57:45.660 But that's the real world.

00:57:47.800 The real world is complicated.

00:57:50.020 The real world is not so simple that this was bad and this was good.

00:57:55.480 This was a complicated situation.

00:57:58.140 Now, part of the reason that I fight fentanyl is because I would like his life to have meaning.

00:58:04.500 You all get that, right?

00:58:07.780 You all get that.

00:58:09.940 You know, that gives meaning to his life.

00:58:12.560 And it gives meaning to mine as well, if I have any success at all.

00:58:17.520 But also, China did this.

00:58:21.880 And the cartels did this. 1.00

00:58:23.220 And all other considerations aside, if you kill my kid, it's to the death. 0.63

00:58:35.420 You all understand that too, right? 0.86

00:58:37.760 My fight with China and the cartels is to the death. 0.96

00:58:41.640 Right?

00:58:42.760 You should obviously see that I'm risking my life to go after the cartels and China. 0.99

00:58:49.360 You know that, right?

00:58:50.100 I'm literally risking my life. 1.00

00:58:53.920 Fuck every one of them. 1.00

00:58:55.880 If you kill my kid, it's to the death. 1.00

00:58:58.880 You're all with me, right? 0.99

00:59:02.480 You're all on the same page, right?

00:59:04.080 If it were your kid, it's to the death.

00:59:08.120 There's no nuance anymore.

00:59:10.640 Right? 1.00

00:59:11.140 I'm going to destroy China or the cartels or they'll kill me first. 1.00

00:59:15.020 But I'm not going to quit. 1.00

00:59:17.140 I'm going to take their fucking heads. 1.00

00:59:19.340 If I can. 1.00

00:59:20.720 Now, the odds of the cartel killing me are pretty good, unfortunately.

00:59:25.860 I mean, they just have to want to.

00:59:27.900 But if they do, then I'm going to get what I want as well. 1.00

00:59:34.240 Because if they kill me, they're all dead. 0.99

00:59:39.600 Because you don't kill a prominent American and just walk away from it. 0.99

00:59:43.560 Like, I have enough, let's say prominence is the wrong word.

00:59:48.360 That sounds like a compliment to myself.

00:59:50.240 I have enough visibility.

00:59:52.900 I have enough visibility that if the cartel took me out, the odds of them getting flattened would be really higher.

00:59:59.740 Right?

00:59:59.900 Because would you let that happen?

01:00:01.880 Forget about me.

01:00:03.880 If they took out some prominent political voice in America, on either side, doesn't matter who it is, do you think we'd let that go?

01:00:13.080 Well, I don't think so.

01:00:15.880 I think that would be war. 0.90

01:00:17.920 Not me specifically, but just anybody.

01:00:20.540 Protect the Tesla factory?

01:00:28.760 I don't care about the Tesla factory in China.

01:00:32.260 If Tesla loses their factory in China, that would be very expensive for me.

01:00:37.620 Because I own some Tesla stock.

01:00:42.100 But I would still, I'd be okay with that.

01:00:45.760 Whatever it takes.

01:00:46.540 Do not underestimate the ability of Americans to not care.

01:00:52.380 Yeah, well, that's the fight, isn't it?

01:00:54.100 The not caring part.

01:00:58.460 China is unsafe for business. 0.99

01:01:01.660 Eric says, you slept with Carrie Lake.

01:01:04.000 I'll bet you didn't.

01:01:09.100 Junior says, I'll bet if Scott stopped smoking weed, he would think of the world differently.

01:01:16.000 Probably.

01:01:17.320 Yeah.

01:01:17.860 Yeah, if I stopped smoking weed, I would lose all of my positivity.

01:01:23.200 And I would hate the world and probably wouldn't bother trying to help.

01:01:27.460 So I think you're true.

01:01:28.400 I believe...

01:01:35.820 All right.

01:01:41.640 Why would China help the U.S.?

01:01:49.000 They wouldn't.

01:01:54.300 What?

01:01:54.700 How do I know what?

01:01:57.120 Oh, in 2002?

01:01:59.300 Well, Eric is making his claim that he had an affair with Carrie Lake.

01:02:06.040 Should we care about that?

01:02:07.400 Does anybody care about Carrie Lake's sex life?

01:02:13.120 I don't.

01:02:14.940 I don't.

01:02:15.620 Does it seem weird to you when we're still calling out gay politicians for being elected?

01:02:25.540 You know, we're still, like, first lesbian governor. 1.00

01:02:32.920 Wouldn't you be insulted if you were the first lesbian governor in 2022? 1.00

01:02:37.700 All right.

01:02:37.900 There was a time when calling it out made sense.

01:02:40.300 But in 2022, here's what it sounds like.

01:02:43.380 Congratulations.

01:02:44.760 Your life is very successful.

01:02:46.260 You're now the governor of a major state, and you like to munch on rugs.

01:02:56.180 And then you'd be the governor.

01:02:57.520 You're like, wait a minute, those two things, how does that fit together? 1.00

01:03:02.340 Well, you're the governor of an important state, and you like to put your tongue on vaginas. 1.00

01:03:08.280 Hold on, hold on. 0.99

01:03:10.340 That's a true statement, but can we separate these things?

01:03:14.800 Can we separate these?

01:03:17.020 Like, maybe we could talk about my job today?

01:03:20.120 How about my job?

01:03:22.100 Oh, yeah, your job is good, too. 0.99

01:03:24.300 But we would like to equally note your enthusiasm for tongue and vaginas. 1.00

01:03:30.300 No, no, no, that is a different topic. 0.98

01:03:34.280 Can we not talk about that?

01:03:38.160 Let's get over it. 0.99

01:03:41.320 Kansas has a lesbian kickbox or Native American? 1.00

01:03:44.160 I'd vote for that. 0.98

01:03:48.320 You had me at lesbian kickbox or Native American. 1.00

01:03:52.900 Like, I'd vote for her just automatically.

01:03:54.500 I like all of that.

01:03:58.500 I like all of that.

01:03:59.420 Oh, by the way, Jake Paul and Andrew Taint are going to have a fight.

01:04:06.880 Is that real?

01:04:08.320 Has that been scheduled?

01:04:09.160 There's no fight I've ever wanted to see more than that.

01:04:17.620 Now, I don't know who's going to win.

01:04:20.260 I think I would typically go for the younger person with higher weight, which would be Jake Paul.

01:04:26.180 I don't know anything about fighting, so maybe Andrew Taint is just a better fighter.

01:04:31.880 So maybe he'll win.

01:04:34.300 But wouldn't you favor the heavier, younger person?

01:04:41.300 About a 10-year difference, I think.

01:04:44.820 You think Taint will beat him?

01:04:45.960 Maybe.

01:04:47.360 Maybe.

01:04:47.660 Yeah, because one's a boxer, and one's a cage fighter, and maybe it's different skills.

01:04:58.240 All right, well, I'll watch it.

01:05:05.580 You know, the thing about Andrew Taint that is vexing but interesting

01:05:13.640 is his entertainment factor is very high.

01:05:18.160 I just don't like him personally because we have some personal interactions that were negative.

01:05:23.340 But it's hard to look away.

01:05:26.200 I mean, he puts on a show.

01:05:28.100 Tonight?

01:05:28.640 It's not tonight, is it?

01:05:30.740 Wait, is it tonight?

01:05:33.460 Is it?

01:05:36.820 No, it's not tonight.

01:05:38.260 Because we would have got much more warning, I think.

01:05:41.700 Yeah, not tonight.

01:05:43.140 Okay.

01:05:43.640 All right, I think I got everything.

01:05:47.300 I think I covered everything.

01:05:48.840 Is there any topic I missed?

01:05:53.660 Anything I missed?

01:05:56.600 I think it's probably the best show ever.

01:06:00.140 And remember, when you're standing in line and you're bored, what do you do?

01:06:06.760 What do you do when you're standing in line and you're bored?

01:06:10.760 That's when you breathe.

01:06:11.820 Take your two inhales, the Andrew Huberman method, and the long exhale.

01:06:21.440 By the way, the two sniff inhales through your nose, followed by the exhale, I feel immediately

01:06:29.620 different.

01:06:32.140 Do you have the same thing?

01:06:33.480 Because when I do the exhale, I just let everything out.

01:06:35.600 You know, just, you know, I feel immediately different.

01:06:39.120 I checked my blood pressure yesterday without meds.

01:06:44.440 It was 118 over 78.

01:06:46.960 It was 118 over 78.

01:06:49.040 That's with just lifestyle.

01:06:51.520 And it was like, a few weeks ago, it was like, with meds.

01:06:55.220 When I was on meds, it was like, you know, 140 plus.

01:06:57.740 And just stopped everything, just take a walk, cut down on my caffeine.

01:07:04.360 That's about it.

01:07:05.660 And 118 over 78.

01:07:08.140 Like, perfect.

01:07:09.920 All right.

01:07:11.000 I didn't talk about the FTX crash.

01:07:13.660 Yeah, the cryptocurrency exchange.

01:07:16.320 The owner was worth billions, and he was a major Democrat donor.

01:07:19.660 And it turns out the whole thing was apparently not stable.

01:07:24.780 The whole thing just disappeared. 0.99

01:07:27.040 Now, Bitcoin took a shit, too, right? 0.99

01:07:31.120 All the cryptos were in the toilet. 0.99

01:07:34.400 But the stock market's looking good.

01:07:37.600 Yeah.

01:07:38.840 Who could have ever imagined there would be a major cryptocurrency scandal of that type?

01:07:45.040 Who could have ever seen that coming?

01:07:46.800 Besides, everyone, everyone.

01:07:54.120 All right.

01:07:55.300 Is crypto done?

01:07:56.240 I don't think crypto can be done.

01:07:59.780 And I had been advising.

01:08:01.440 I heard somebody saying this was bad advice.

01:08:04.060 But before this happened, I'd been saying, you know, you might want a little bit of Bitcoin just as a hedge,

01:08:13.040 in case the rest of the money becomes worthless.

01:08:16.800 I wouldn't be buying the weird cryptos.

01:08:20.580 You know, I'm not sure.

01:08:21.480 Is Ether, I'm sorry.

01:08:24.260 Is Ethereum still good?

01:08:26.760 Is that still as, you know, safe?

01:08:31.220 None of them are safe.

01:08:32.400 But is it still in the Bitcoin realm?

01:08:34.900 Or has Ethereum lost its luster?

01:08:39.440 I don't know.

01:08:41.220 That's where most of my money is, but I don't look at it.

01:08:44.820 So my investment approach with crypto is that I accidentally ended up with some.

01:08:51.960 I had some small amount that turned into a large amount while I wasn't watching.

01:08:56.300 And I'm just never going to look at it.

01:08:58.020 It's just going to do whatever it does.

01:08:59.340 So I do have a little bit of Bitcoin and a little bit of Ethereum.

01:09:08.380 I don't know if it's a good idea.

01:09:10.780 I'm not sure if it still makes sense to assume that some small amount of your portfolio should have that as a hedge.

01:09:17.880 Maybe it was bad advice.

01:09:18.960 Generally speaking, diversification is always good.

01:09:22.820 But crypto is a weird thing to diversify into because it's a risk like nothing else.

01:09:30.680 You can move ETH with zero fees now?

01:09:34.780 Really?

01:09:37.420 Why did I not talk about Elon Musk?

01:09:39.600 There's nothing new today, right?

01:09:41.560 Did anything happen with Twitter today?

01:09:43.960 I mean, I talked about the fake Twitter account.

01:09:45.940 But I don't think there's any new Elon Musk, anything, is there?

01:09:55.580 The Doge of Venice, all right.

01:09:58.620 Ukraine, I think, is going to settle into a winter siege.

01:10:02.960 Not a siege, but I think it's just going to be a winter stalemate.

01:10:09.280 All right.

01:10:10.680 Blake Masters lost.

01:10:12.260 Now, is that official?

01:10:14.040 Is it official that Blake Masters lost?

01:10:15.940 I know somebody called the election.

01:10:18.060 But it's not official, is it?

01:10:20.840 It's still statistically possible.

01:10:23.860 Even Fox called it.

01:10:25.800 Yeah.

01:10:28.440 Well, they do have that issue of some of the ballots being mixed up, but it looks like they can solve that.

01:10:34.440 It's been called by a few different outlets.

01:10:37.160 Yeah.

01:10:37.380 And then, is Carrie Lake going to lose as the extra votes come in? 1.00

01:10:44.240 Did we go from Carrie Lake is definitely going to win because the extra votes will favor Republicans?

01:10:50.500 Did we go all the way from that to she's going to lose?

01:10:53.080 Did the pot coin thing ever take off?

01:10:59.820 I doubt it.

01:11:03.300 So, Kelly is officially the winner.

01:11:06.880 Yeah.

01:11:07.100 Well, they're bringing in new boxes, yeah.

01:11:21.160 Has Russia had most of its victories in the winter throughout history?

01:11:24.560 I think Russia's winter victories is when Russia was being attacked in the winter.

01:11:35.100 So, that's not the case.

01:11:40.300 And Bober is looking like she might win now? 1.00

01:11:43.960 Like, everything we thought is sort of turned around backwards from what we thought was, oh, definitely going to happen.

01:11:50.820 All right.

01:11:51.380 She'll leak it out?

01:11:52.080 Maybe.

01:11:52.260 All right.

01:11:53.460 That's all I got for today.

01:12:00.460 More and more people yelling at me in all caps.

01:12:04.760 Now, is criticizing somebody in all caps, is that the ultimate cell phone?

01:12:11.240 No, here's the ultimate.

01:12:13.160 The ultimate cell phone is when people say, Scott, you're no genius.

01:12:18.580 And they spell genius, G-E-N-U-S, or J. 1.00

01:12:23.460 You know, genius with a J.

01:12:25.140 That's the ultimate cell phone.

01:12:27.480 You're no genius.

01:12:30.720 But I think yelling at somebody in all caps might be the ultimate cell phone. 1.00

01:12:36.440 Because you're shouting, I'm a fucking idiot. 1.00

01:12:39.400 But also, listen to what I have to say. 1.00

01:12:43.220 So, as soon as I see the caps, I discount everything.

01:12:48.360 Don't you?

01:12:49.100 When you see caps, don't you discount all of it?

01:12:53.900 I do.

01:12:54.540 What if it's post-irony?

01:12:59.820 All right.

01:13:00.760 Now everybody's writing in caps at me.

01:13:06.720 Your sister lives in Livermore and says hi?

01:13:09.680 Well, tell her I said hi to.

01:13:12.260 Hi to your sis. 0.95

01:13:16.880 All right.

01:13:17.440 Love the show.

01:13:25.160 It's the best show on politics.

01:13:27.120 So, pretty sure this is the best show on politics.

01:13:30.540 Period.

01:13:32.020 And I'm going to take off now.

01:13:36.780 Your comments are funny.

01:13:38.540 And I'll see you soon.

01:13:39.400 I'll see you soon.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 12, 2022

Episode 1925 Scott Adams： How Much Should You Trust The Arizona Election？ Can Trump Get Elected Now？

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