Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 15, 2022


Episode 1928 Scott Adams： It's A Super Newsy Day So Today's Show Will Be Extraordinary. Join Us!


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 7 minutes

Words per Minute

142.27682

Word Count

9,585

Sentence Count

890

Misogynist Sentences

14

Hate Speech Sentences

14


Summary


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Welcome to the highlight of civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams because
00:00:04.520 I'm Scott Adams and there will be coffee. If you'd like to take this experience up to the maximal
00:00:11.420 possibility, and I'm talking whiteboard is coming kind of level, not even the normal
00:00:19.140 amazingness of the live stream usually, we're actually going to take it up a whole other level.
00:00:24.460 And if you'd like to be part of that, all you need is a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or chalice,
00:00:28.820 a stein, a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like
00:00:35.320 coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day. It's
00:00:43.380 the thing that makes everything feel better. It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now. Go.
00:00:49.940 So, I felt a few of you missing the mark there. Some of you were a little slow. Next time? Next
00:01:01.920 time I want you all to be on point, okay? But it was still very good. It was very good. Just,
00:01:10.280 I think you could take it up another level. There were a few of you I could sense. Somebody in Iowa,
00:01:15.560 two people in Great Britain, and three people in Florida who were not on time with the rest of you.
00:01:25.180 I could feel that. Yeah, I can feel it. Let's talk about the news.
00:01:32.420 So, Carrie Lake did not win in Arizona. She will not be the governor. Instead, the governor will be
00:01:39.140 somebody who won a suspicious election, election in which she was the one in charge of counting the
00:01:46.140 votes. So, the person in charge of counting the votes won in a suspicious way. I'm not alleging
00:01:54.440 any cheating happened. I have no evidence of any cheating whatsoever. I want to be clear about that
00:01:59.300 because I'm no election denier. I'm just saying that from the outside, there might be a few questions
00:02:06.700 about the delay and the way things went and the fact that the person who counted the votes won in a
00:02:13.280 narrow match. Oh, what could go wrong? So, here's my note to Democrats. Pretty happy about that?
00:02:26.480 You're pretty happy that Carrie Lake's not going to be a governor?
00:02:29.140 Good luck with that. Because if you don't know what's coming for you, you're going to have a nice
00:02:38.540 surprise. Carrie Lake just got freed from her little state cage. You don't let the kraken out of the
00:02:49.380 state cage. If you could keep her in the governorship, you could at least keep her out of the way a little
00:02:55.560 bit, right? But they just released her to the national level. It's the biggest political mistake of all
00:03:02.300 time. Oops. I don't know what's going to happen. Was Trump allegedly going to announce today?
00:03:12.800 Did that change? At 9 p.m.? All right, here's what I'm going to predict for Trump's announcement.
00:03:22.160 Prediction. He will announce he's running because he's Trump. It would be insanely amazing if he
00:03:34.020 decided that he would tell you instead he's going to back a different candidate. Like that would just
00:03:39.440 blow your head off. And he would go into the George Washington, you know, annals of greatest
00:03:46.300 presidents. I'll even go further. If Trump decides that for the good of the country, he's not going to run,
00:03:54.980 you would be our greatest president since George Washington. Maybe second, second greatest. Would you agree?
00:04:02.900 As a prior supporter of his who has been disappointed in a number of areas, as many of you have,
00:04:08.300 if he stood down and said for the good of the country, this doesn't work. It's not 2016. You know,
00:04:18.240 I showed you what works. I showed you what doesn't. I'm going to take myself out of the mix. Now,
00:04:25.080 if you and I had this decision, could we do it? If you were in this situation, could you make that
00:04:32.260 choice? With your personality? You're not Trump. Could you do it? I could do it. Yeah. I think a lot
00:04:40.720 of you could do it. Do you think Trump could do it? Do you think Trump could do it? I'm going to tease
00:04:51.160 you a little bit. He actually could. And do you know why he could? Because he's smart enough to know
00:04:59.660 that it would cement him as the second best president of the whole fucking United States.
00:05:05.240 In many people's view. In my view, that would put him ahead of Reagan.
00:05:10.580 I liked Clinton as president. I liked him a lot, actually. But it would put him ahead of Clinton.
00:05:17.280 For sure. Now, that's just my view. So I can't guarantee that, you know, he wouldn't be discredited
00:05:24.620 in the history books or anything else. So I can't guarantee my view is common. But I don't expect
00:05:30.160 him to do that. Do you? Does anybody expect him to do anything except announce? So let's make our
00:05:37.040 prediction based on the fact that he will announce, OK? So here's my prediction within that path.
00:05:42.680 If he goes that path, he's going to tease that Carrie Lake could be his vice president.
00:05:52.020 You won't say it because you don't say those things at a time, but he's going to tease it.
00:05:57.400 And if he teases it, all bets are off.
00:06:02.880 There's just nothing that would be the same after that. All bets are off. And here's the thing that
00:06:08.960 makes Trump hard to support at the moment. There are a number of things that make him hard to
00:06:15.240 support. But one of the things is we don't see a moderating influence on him. Whereas Ivanka was a
00:06:22.360 moderating influence. Didn't you think so? I mean, I think she was there. I think Trump put her there,
00:06:30.100 not just because she was a trusted advisor, but that she was like an external conscience,
00:06:36.160 right? Like the one person he would listen to. And if she disagreed with him, I think he took her
00:06:44.600 seriously. And maybe not too many other people like that. So if you don't see a moderating influence
00:06:51.380 on Trump, he's a little dangerous looking, isn't he? Right? You needed that little bit of just
00:06:57.840 certainty that Jared and Ivanka, you know, they'd quit. They would have resigned, I think. Imagine how
00:07:04.680 embarrassing that would be. Imagine having your daughter resign because she doesn't agree with your
00:07:09.680 administration. Right? So Ivanka had actually a super important role for the country, not just for
00:07:18.940 Trump. It was more for the country. And I don't think that'll ever be fully appreciated. Now, I'm
00:07:24.420 speculating because I wasn't, you know, I'm not behind the scenes, but it feels like it. Now, imagine
00:07:30.080 Carrie Lake as his vice president. I hate to say this, but she's a far better communicator than
00:07:37.920 Trump. Now, he gets more energy and more attention. And that's, you could argue that that puts him
00:07:43.740 above. But in terms of forming a sentence that won't get you in trouble, but fully pushes your point,
00:07:51.800 Carrie Lake's better. One of the best we've seen, right? She's actually unique.
00:07:57.020 If she were on the team and you considered her a full partner in a way that Pence never felt like
00:08:05.700 a full partner, did he? Didn't you imagine that when Pence gave advice to Trump, that Trump listened
00:08:13.520 and then endured it? I don't know. I mean, I have a very high opinion of Pence as a vice president.
00:08:20.440 I think he was one of our best vice presidents. I think he was tremendous. In a really hard,
00:08:26.980 difficulty job, he excelled. Like, that's where you have to give him the credit. He had the hardest
00:08:33.040 job in the world, and he excelled. He was great. I don't want him as president. I don't think he's
00:08:39.260 quite got that vibe. But wow, you've got to give him credit for service to America.
00:08:43.860 But I think Carrie Lake would have the credibility and the skills that Trump would respect her skill
00:08:52.800 level, because he can see it, right? Everybody can see it. If he respects her skill level, he's
00:08:58.320 tempted to listen to her. And especially on the election denier stuff, I believe that she could
00:09:06.420 craft that into a message that actually worked in a positive way. It's easy, right?
00:09:13.460 It's easy. You just say, we don't know. There's no proof of any fraud. Step one, right? It's not
00:09:22.680 that hard. No fraud has been proven, but the way our system runs, it doesn't give us confidence.
00:09:30.740 Nobody can argue about that. Nothing's been proven, but the way our system runs, it doesn't give us
00:09:37.760 confidence. That has to be fixed. So let's forget the past, but figure out how we can fix it. How hard is
00:09:46.800 that? But that's something that Trump isn't going to do. Trump will never say it that way, right? But if
00:09:54.720 Carrie Lake says it that way, which is what the vice president does, the vice president, if you didn't
00:10:00.620 know this, the vice president tests messages in the campaign, if the message works, then the top
00:10:07.540 candidate says, oh yeah, that's the message. And if the message doesn't work, then the top says, well,
00:10:13.560 you know, I'll get the vice president on board. That's, you know, vice president was talking for her
00:10:18.240 himself, right? So Carrie Lake is the perfect person to test a message that Trump can learn from
00:10:26.180 and then adopt. Do you think Pence was that person? Do you think Pence ever said something that Trump
00:10:32.860 said, oh, that's a good way to say it? I think I'll copy Pence. Probably never. And again, I have a very
00:10:40.940 high opinion of Pence. His communication skills are extraordinary. Very good. Very good. But not the
00:10:47.880 kind of person who necessarily is going to influence you. All right. So yeah, that would
00:10:55.840 change everything. Keep an eye on that. However, we're also in the situation where, as I tweeted
00:11:01.960 earlier, that Fetterman could be any Republican in 2024. With a current setup, like if nothing
00:11:11.660 changed, like it's just straight line from here to 2024, no joke, this is not a joke. Now, I don't
00:11:19.980 think you'll run, obviously, but Fetterman could beat him. Why? Because all that matters is that your
00:11:26.560 team wants that more than they want the other thing. That's all. And they would. If they're willing to
00:11:32.460 treat Fetterman as a serious national candidate for senator, what would stop them from pretending he's
00:11:38.680 presidential material? I mean, by that, he would be much recovered. Right? You might even be able to
00:11:44.800 form sentences without a teleprompter or understand sentences. So I don't know what you do about that.
00:11:55.740 You know, I think we're all coming to the understanding that it's the mechanism of the vote that always
00:12:02.080 determines who wins. And right now, the mechanism, which is, you know, sort of leaning toward
00:12:08.420 ballots and voting at home and stuff, that mechanism strongly leans toward Democrats. I don't see
00:12:14.440 anything that's going to change it. Do you? I don't see Republicans suggesting or doing anything
00:12:20.060 that would make any difference to that. Do you? So I don't see any way that a Republican could win
00:12:29.560 in 2024 with the current setup. But there will be lots of changes between now and 2024. So that's not
00:12:38.360 a prediction. Right? My prediction is always that everything will change. When I give you a straight
00:12:44.220 line prediction, I'm telling you that's the thing that probably won't happen. Because the straight line
00:12:49.260 predictions are the ones that are the most rare. It's rare that nothing happens. Right? But it's
00:12:55.920 interesting to know what the straight line will look like. All right, we got to talk about FTX,
00:13:00.160 the big crypto exchange where that young guy was a big old multi-billionaire. And I guess he was the
00:13:07.680 third biggest donor to the Democratic Party. And it turns out he was stealing all the money from the
00:13:15.540 clients. And it was a big old scam. And it's all falling apart. So here are the sub-stories that have
00:13:23.060 come out of that. Turns out, this is way more interesting than I was expecting.
00:13:30.120 This has everything. Like, if you're looking for a story that has everything, oh, this has it.
00:13:37.260 This has got everything. So here's just a hint of what's happening. So the New York Times does this
00:13:44.200 major piece about the FTX scandal. And Twitter is just kicking their ass. Because they do a major
00:13:54.360 story. And here are the topics which were not mentioned in a major story about FTX. Fraud, crime,
00:14:03.220 substance abuse, connections with blah, blah, blah, stolen funds, wipe servers.
00:14:10.980 So the New York Times does a major story about this guy, who was a gigantic Democrat donor.
00:14:21.360 They treat it like it's some ordinary business problem where he lost his money or something.
00:14:27.040 Like, completely losing the... So Twitter noticed and started dumping on him. But that led me to
00:14:35.620 another fascinating thing. So I saw a tweet by Balaji Srinivasan. Now, I'm telling you, you need to follow
00:14:45.760 him on Twitter. Here's one where, just listen to me. Like, don't argue. Just listen to me. Just follow
00:14:54.840 Balaji Srinivasan on Twitter. Just do it. Okay? I'm not even going to tell you reasons. Just do it.
00:15:03.040 All right. So here's one of the things that he tweeted today. And I didn't know about this. He said,
00:15:09.860 the New York Times is covering up Sam Bankman-Fried's crimes. Nothing SBF says can be trusted.
00:15:17.220 Nothing the New York Times says can be trusted either. But dunking does nothing. You know, that's
00:15:22.120 what the other Twitter users were doing. They're trying to dunk on the New York Times. He says,
00:15:26.360 lies make traffic rise. You do have one option, though. Mass block them all in one go. And then
00:15:33.020 he gives a URL that's blocknewyorktimes.com, I guess. And so there's an actual app that blocks
00:15:44.300 all the employees, I think probably the writers, for the New York Times. So you can't see anything
00:15:53.000 that the New York Times produces. Isn't that hilarious? Now, I'm not going to recommend
00:16:00.520 that you use it. I'm not going to use it. Because I want to see everything. But I love
00:16:06.220 the suggestion. Let me put it this way. Imagine you had a job of reporting the news.
00:16:17.300 That's your job. Not only do you have a job of reporting the news, but you're considered the
00:16:24.060 standard. You know, you're the news maker. You're the cream of the crop. And yet, you do your job so
00:16:32.420 badly that somebody spent time to make an app to make sure nobody sees it. That actually happened.
00:16:39.760 Imagine your performance review. So how'd you do here running the New York Times? Well, so poorly
00:16:49.020 that I'm the only news entity in the world that somebody had to build an app to avoid accidental
00:16:56.640 exposure to it. The app lets you avoid accidental exposure to the New York Times because it's so
00:17:05.680 dangerous. And none of that's wrong. None of it's wrong. Right? That's an actual app. It's a real app.
00:17:17.640 People are actually using it. And it does exactly what it says. It prevents you from seeing fake news.
00:17:25.540 I mean, just, just sort of, just sort of sit here for a moment and just process that. It's the New York
00:17:35.480 Times. And somebody made an app to prevent you seeing it so that you'd be protected from fake news.
00:17:41.360 And that's all real. It's not just real that they're doing it. It's real that it works.
00:17:46.380 Like, it actually prevents you from seeing fake news. And again, I don't recommend it. I don't
00:17:55.500 recommend it. You know, Balaji does, and that's fine. But I don't recommend it. I think you should
00:17:59.680 see everything. I'd rather see them dunked on than ignored. But how fascinating that that exists.
00:18:06.800 Did you know that there's a, there's a whole social media platform, it's huge, that is dedicated to
00:18:15.240 nothing but giving bad relationship advice. Do you know about this? It's like huge. I don't even
00:18:22.860 know how many users, but like a god awful number of users. And the entire thing is dedicated to
00:18:27.780 giving bad relationship advice. It's called Instagram. Instagram. Have you heard of that? Instagram? Yeah.
00:18:36.200 Have you spent any time looking at the relation experts on Instagram? It's terrible advice. And they
00:18:47.000 all have this really annoying confidence. It's the confidence that kills me. It's usually people in
00:18:56.580 their 30s. It seems to concentrate around there, maybe some early 40s. And they're quite experts in
00:19:06.880 relationships because they were married once. Or they're not married or something. I don't know.
00:19:13.820 How in the world do they become experts? Lance says, is Scott trying to get a new wife on
00:19:21.520 Instagram? No. No. I think I gave my answer to that yesterday. I won't repeat it. But do not take
00:19:32.200 relationship advice from Instagram. Here's another person you should not take Instagram advice, or you
00:19:39.340 should not take relationship advice from. Jordan Peterson. Anybody want to push back? Do not take
00:19:49.680 relationship advice from Jordan Peterson. By the way, Jordan Peterson is a national treasure.
00:19:56.400 I have a super high opinion of his intelligence and his value to the country. He has one blind spot
00:20:03.200 that's dangerous. I'd love to talk to him about this. I finally found something I could disagree with
00:20:09.100 him. I never wanted to interview him or vice versa, because I didn't have anything to say.
00:20:15.520 Yeah, I generally agree with what he says, and then there's nothing to talk about. But he's very
00:20:22.240 pro-marriage, and he has strong arguments for it, because he has strong arguments for everything he
00:20:27.500 argues. But his blind spot is it's just not going to work for 80% of normal people. Jordan Peterson
00:20:35.120 is a high-functioning person who probably, just guessing, probably married a very high-functioning
00:20:41.980 other person. And they may be just the kind of people, and they may have played it just right
00:20:47.780 to make it work. Maybe. I don't know. But what I know for sure is that advice that fits people who
00:20:54.280 are in just the right situation isn't going to fit for many people. Let me give you another context
00:21:01.000 here. So I've been married twice. Both of them ended. You think that's a failure. I think that you see it
00:21:09.020 as buying a wife, I see it as renting. And I never thought that either of them would last,
00:21:13.960 frankly. I mean, I tried. I wanted them to. So I put 100% effort into making the last. But I didn't
00:21:21.360 expect it, because I live in the real world. And I know that people change, and it's just not a model
00:21:27.700 that works for everybody in the long run. So here's my take. My first wife and my second wife had
00:21:36.060 something in common. They were very high-functioning people. Meaning if you had a problem to solve,
00:21:42.320 call them. They're really good at solving problems. You know, very smart. Both very capable. You know,
00:21:49.140 one is a successful entrepreneur. You know, one has got that instrument rating, aircraft instrument
00:21:56.060 rating. You have no idea how hard that is. Classic pianist, right? So we're talking about really
00:22:01.940 high-functioning people. Now, I like to think of myself as a high-functioning person as well.
00:22:07.620 You know, educated, you're reasonable, not insane. And as I said to both of my wives while I was still
00:22:15.220 married, if the two of us can't make marriage work, there's something wrong with marriage.
00:22:24.120 That's hard to say, because you're not designed to acknowledge that. You're designed to think that
00:22:29.640 marriage is great, and if you didn't make it work, there's something wrong with you or the person
00:22:33.660 you picked, right? We just automatically say, marriage, good. If you failed, you're not as
00:22:41.560 trying as hard as Jordan Peterson is. If you could try hard like Jordan Peterson, you would be successful
00:22:47.980 too. No. No. If you put me and either one of my wives on any other project and said, make this
00:22:57.600 work, how do you think that would have turned out? Really well. Because either one of my prior
00:23:04.320 wives, plus me, could make almost any fucking thing work. Just about anything. We made every other
00:23:11.280 thing work, right? Every other aspect of life. Everyone. We made money work. We made, you know,
00:23:20.020 kids stuff work. We made safety. We were healthy. Absolutely every other thing that you have to work
00:23:27.520 on. We nailed it. But just this one thing. We couldn't make work twice. Two different times
00:23:33.700 with me. You have to. You're going to have to start understanding. It's the system, right? It's not you.
00:23:43.020 Give yourself a break. I have a pretty high opinion of my ability to solve problems. If you throw me
00:23:51.800 into almost any environment, I do well. You can throw me into weirdest situations. I'll do well.
00:24:00.020 But I couldn't make that work. Not even close. It was the system. All right. I talk about that too
00:24:08.480 much. All right. More about FTX. Here's the most important part is I wondered how does somebody
00:24:16.520 like this Sam Bankman-Fried character who was out of FTX, where does he come from? And I thought
00:24:24.840 about it and I got it. Allegedly, his parents are well-known, but I'm not sure that's real
00:24:31.820 news. Here's who I think his parents are. Mom, Dad, Sam. We'll do it again. Mom, Dad, Sam. I think
00:24:54.400 I nailed it. That took me all morning to figure that one out. All right. More about FTX. So even
00:25:05.580 Ken Griffin, who is one of the top donors to the Republican Party, was saying that, well,
00:25:15.940 apparently there are some strong connections between, all right, let me give you the whole
00:25:21.280 conspiracy theory. I'll just lay out the conspiracy theory, okay? This is not me telling you this
00:25:26.860 is exactly true, because you should have high skepticism about this next part. But the facts
00:25:34.140 appear clear. Would you agree that the United States gave a lot of money to Ukraine? Of course
00:25:40.380 you would. We also know now that Ukraine gave a lot of money to this FTX company.
00:25:45.840 Interestingly. And then the FTX company gave the money back to the Democrats. He was the third
00:25:56.840 biggest donor. And it was enough money to affect the election. It was that much money. So the
00:26:03.220 Democrats give money to Ukraine. Ukraine gives it to FTX. FTX gives the money back to Democrats.
00:26:10.580 Now, I believe that those facts are in evidence. Now, what's not in evidence is intention. Let's
00:26:22.000 be clear. Nobody has provided any evidence of intention. It's just those entities connected
00:26:30.100 in that way. But the effect of it was money laundering, right? Doesn't mean it was a crime. And it
00:26:39.240 doesn't mean anybody thought of it in those ways. But that's what happened. America sent
00:26:44.260 it to Ukraine. Ukraine sent it to a fake entity. The fake entity sent it to the Democrats.
00:26:48.960 And the Democrats got reelected.
00:26:53.660 Now, apparently, there's also a line on the FTX balance sheet. This is what Ken Griffin said.
00:26:59.540 There's a line on the balance sheet that is labeled, Trump lose. It's on the balance sheet. Trump
00:27:10.880 lose. In other words, they were so political that even their balance sheet had a war fund
00:27:18.360 for defeating Trump. Just like any normal company, right? Don't most companies have a line labeled
00:27:26.640 on their balance sheet for which political person they want to defeat. Very normal stuff. No, not
00:27:33.280 normal. So as Ken Griffin says, cryptically, this is something you want to look into. I'm paraphrasing.
00:27:42.760 But when somebody as rich as Ken Griffin looks at a balance sheet, you listen, right? Let's put it
00:27:51.960 another way. If somebody else looks at a balance sheet, you go, whatever. But if Ken Griffin looks at a
00:27:57.920 balance sheet and says, you need to look into this, you'd better look into it. That's not an ordinary
00:28:04.240 person telling you to look into it. You better look into it. And apparently, I mean, I guess the number
00:28:12.860 two person at FTX is sort of a ghost. You know, there's not much press about him. But apparently, he had
00:28:21.120 all, he worked for Bill Clinton. Let me say it again, the number two person at FTX was a staffer for Bill
00:28:29.860 Clinton. Right? So these two guys, and Sam Bankman-Fried's mother is a huge Democrat operative, right?
00:28:38.020 So he is as Democrat as you could possibly be. And it's all connected. So we don't know what this
00:28:49.980 will be when we get to the bottom of it, but wow. Now, I have this advice for you. You should
00:28:58.940 never, never, do not ever judge a man by his haircut. Don't do that. Never judge a man by his
00:29:07.100 haircut. But if you did, it would have worked out for you. Now, that's probably a coincidence. But
00:29:13.800 don't judge people by their appearance. I'm just saying that if you did, you would be a really good
00:29:19.040 predictor of things. And that's just a coincidence. So don't do it. Don't do it again, no matter how
00:29:25.400 many times it's worked in the past. Sure, it's worked every time you've tried it in the past. But
00:29:30.320 there's no science to it. Don't do it. Boris Johnson. There's some new science about how
00:29:43.420 to make mice more selfish. Oh, I guess there's more to it. They weren't really just trying
00:29:51.120 to make mice selfish. They were testing to see if maybe humans could be influenced to be more
00:29:58.440 generous because they could make mice more selfish. You know, they won't share their food
00:30:07.220 or more willing to share. And they know what to tweak in the mouse's brain. They do believe
00:30:15.140 there's a high chance that they could tweak the same thing in a human's brain. So they could tweak
00:30:21.540 something in your brain and that would make you more selfish or less selfish. Well, how is that
00:30:27.720 possible? What about your free will? What? How could you have free will if changing the brain
00:30:37.480 structure changes how you act? That doesn't make sense. All right, there's a big, big, big thing
00:30:45.780 coming down the road towards humanity that is completely invisible to you and most people
00:30:52.080 because if you don't have sort of a background or an interest in that field, you've just completely
00:30:58.020 missed what's coming. The biggest mind fuck in all of human civilization is barreling toward us
00:31:06.740 at 100 miles an hour. It's going to happen in the next, I don't know, three years. It's a combination
00:31:13.460 of this kind of science where we can prove that you can make somebody do anything just by tweaking
00:31:20.060 their brain. So where does that leave free will? If you can change the physical part of the brain
00:31:25.940 and it guaranteed will make you act different, where's your free will? Obviously, it doesn't exist.
00:31:31.480 Then we're going to have AI that acts exactly like a human and we won't know what consciousness is
00:31:37.600 anymore because the AI will have it. It will. It doesn't, but it will. For all practical purposes,
00:31:46.200 you won't be able to tell the difference from the outside. And it will even report that it does have
00:31:50.760 consciousness. It'll tell you it does. It'll tell you what it feels. And that's all you'll know.
00:31:56.120 So you've got AI, you've got robots, you've got this kind of science. All of it's leading to the
00:32:04.980 same place. Our most basic assumptions about who we are as a species, it's all going to be gone in
00:32:12.580 three years. And I don't know what that does. I have no idea where that leaves you. Because your
00:32:18.460 entire sense of who you are determines everything you do. And your sense of who you are is going to
00:32:25.140 be obliterated. And don't be surprised if the simulation gets a lot more attention as well.
00:32:33.340 Because the simulation would suggest that everything you know about who you are is wrong as well.
00:32:38.320 By the way, Elon Musk mentioned the simulation again this morning. I didn't understand his tweet,
00:32:44.460 but I liked it because it mentioned the simulation. Well, it turns out that the Proud Boys,
00:32:50.140 the number two guy in the organization was an FBI informant, as were several other people in the
00:32:56.180 organization, as well as several other so-called extremist organizations. I'm not sure the Proud Boys
00:33:03.560 are extremists, but the groups that are extremists, if any of them are, had a bunch of FBI in them.
00:33:11.280 Now, a number of people were worried that we might have a civil war. Is anybody worried about a civil war?
00:33:16.640 Yeah, I don't think there'll be a civil war, and here's why. I don't know if these extremist
00:33:23.000 groups have enough FBI informants to get that going. Right? Like, I still think, you know,
00:33:29.700 you're going to have a meeting of one of these groups, and like, one of the informants will be,
00:33:33.300 I've got an idea. And then the others will look at them like, what the fuck?
00:33:37.580 Fight with people. We don't want to take over. No capital.
00:33:45.440 The first FBI agent, hey, let's take over a capital. The second person says, I second that.
00:33:50.060 That's a great idea. Well, now it gives you pause, but still not enough to make you take over a capital.
00:33:56.280 I think out of a group of 10 people, you might need maybe seven FBI agents to get a good,
00:34:03.360 get a good capital takeover going, five to seven. And I feel like the FBI informant ratio to extremists
00:34:12.840 is probably in the 30% range. And I think you'd have to get that up to like 50 to 70
00:34:19.060 before they could have enough energy to get the civil war going. So I think the FBI is a little,
00:34:25.620 a little underpowered now. They don't quite have the juice to make that happen. So don't worry.
00:34:30.560 Don't worry. Don't worry. There is a rumor on the internet that I backed DeSantis because I said
00:34:39.200 some good things about him. Wrong. Let me say as clearly as possible, I do not back DeSantis for
00:34:47.480 president, which is different from saying he might be a good one. I don't know. Maybe. I do not back him.
00:34:53.940 I'm a single issue voter, single issue. And I'm going to be a maniac on that. I'm not changing.
00:35:02.100 So if, and let me say this as clearly as possible. If John Fetterman ran for president in 2024,
00:35:10.580 and he was the only one with a real fentanyl plan, I would support John Fetterman. And I'm not joking.
00:35:16.140 I'm not joking. You got that? I'm going to be a maniac on this. There's no backing down, right?
00:35:25.340 Yeah. No, seriously. I'm not lying. I would back Fetterman if he had a real, now the odds of that
00:35:31.440 are zero, right? So it's not real. But I would. I would. So don't be surprised if that happens.
00:35:39.280 Well, you should be surprised if that happens. You should be surprised if Fetterman runs for
00:35:45.540 president. But if he did, that part doesn't surprise you. All right. Is it my imagination
00:35:53.460 or does the name DeSantis have too many of the letters for sanity in it? Like DeSantis, sanity,
00:36:03.480 Santa's sanity? Is it weird that he's considered the option to Trump? Like that's a little too
00:36:13.180 perfect, isn't it? Oh, you see Satan. I suppose it's like a Rorschach test, right? You either
00:36:20.200 see sanity or Satan. Yeah, it could go either way. All right. I think a fentanyl plan is the
00:36:30.580 minimum requirement for a politician to prove that they give a shit about the country. Any
00:36:37.760 politician who's running without a serious fentanyl plan, and I don't mean border security
00:36:42.900 and increasing the penalties for dealers. That's 10% of it, right? But any politician who doesn't
00:36:51.680 have a serious plan, whether it's Carrie Lake or Trump or anybody else, they're below the level
00:36:56.700 of giving a shit about the country. Those would be people who are running for their own purposes.
00:37:03.500 If you want to run for my purpose, and I would say that your purpose as well, well, maybe you pay
00:37:08.820 attention to the biggest problem. If you're not paying attention to the biggest problem that's
00:37:13.440 killing young people, fuck you. Well, why would I give you my support? You got to do the minimum.
00:37:19.560 At least show some interest in the country. Just a little bit of interest in the country. That's
00:37:26.440 all. All right. I've been watching with amusement and interest as Mike Cernovich is trying to bury
00:37:38.380 Trump, at least as a candidate. And he points out, Mike pointed out in a few tweets today that
00:37:45.700 eight GOP primaries were DNC-backed Trump candidates. So that's where the Democrats did the dirty trick
00:37:52.540 of backing a Republican, because they thought it would be the worst one, because it was somebody
00:37:57.460 who supported Trump. And sure enough, that strategy worked. Trump was two for 16 in the toss-up races.
00:38:05.080 Now, as Mike Cernovich points out, we should not be looking at the races that somebody won somewhat
00:38:10.940 easily. You know, the big, like DeSantis or Abbott. You should look at the close races where there
00:38:17.960 was a real Trump factor. And in the close one where Trump was a major factor, he only won two
00:38:23.100 of 16. Now, somebody else may interpret this differently, so I'm giving you one take.
00:38:31.040 Here's my question to you. Does Mike Cernovich have the persuasive power
00:38:36.700 to prevent Trump from winning a nomination?
00:38:47.040 I see yeses and I see nos.
00:38:48.820 All right. Who would be the most qualified person to answer the question?
00:38:56.840 Who in the entire world would be the most qualified
00:39:00.040 to answer the question, could Mike Cernovich stop Trump from succeeding?
00:39:04.600 It's me. It's me. It's me. And there's nobody's close. Right? It's totally me. And the answer
00:39:14.360 is yes. Yes, he could. Yeah. Yeah. Mike Cernovich does have the toolbox that if he wants to push
00:39:22.520 it, and it looks like he does, he could prevent Trump from getting the nomination. Now, that doesn't
00:39:28.020 mean 100%. Like, I'm not saying, oh, it's a lock. But he does have the ability. Yeah.
00:39:34.600 And I know you don't believe that. But you did believe I'm the best person to judge it, didn't
00:39:40.520 you? And I wouldn't lie about it. I don't have any reason to. Right? No, you might be surprised.
00:39:47.840 And I would argue that there are a number of people who could stop him. So Cernovich would
00:39:52.840 be one. Who else could? Who else, if they went total anti-Trump, could just stop him?
00:39:59.400 Ivanka? Right? Ivanka could stop him in a heartbeat. All she'd have to do is say, I'm not going to
00:40:07.220 support this. It would be all over. You're saying Cialdini? Well, maybe. Tucker? I don't know if the
00:40:18.040 pundits can stop him. And here's why. People would expect the pundits to support him if he got
00:40:24.520 nominated. Wouldn't you? Do you think Fox News would not support Trump if he got nominated?
00:40:31.580 I think they would. I think. I mean, I don't think they're going to go Democrat and they're
00:40:37.080 not going to sit it out. So I don't think that the Fox personalities could stop it with the
00:40:44.040 exception of Hannity. Hannity might be able to stop it. See, Tucker's interesting because he goes,
00:40:51.060 he'll go wherever the news is, right? You know, Tucker can, you know, he's like a more flexible
00:40:57.760 character. But if Hannity, who's actually good friends with the president, if Hannity decided
00:41:04.700 to not support him, like hard line, Bannon, Bannon's another one, could Ben Shapiro stop him?
00:41:13.840 Well, what does Shapiro say? He's not pro-Trump at the moment, right? If he ever was. I don't
00:41:21.380 know if he ever was. Yeah. All right. So let's just take the people we know. So suppose Fox
00:41:31.480 News is against Trump. The Daily Wire is against Trump. I don't know if they all are, but, you
00:41:37.220 know, let's say Ben is. Cernovich is against him and I'm not supporting him because he doesn't
00:41:46.140 have a fentanyl plan. Candace Owens. Candace Owens is saying he's not giving us enough. Do you
00:41:56.760 think, do you think that Trump could succeed with those personalities against him? I don't
00:42:08.740 think so. I don't think so. Yeah, I don't think he could. But do you think, see, here's where
00:42:17.240 a prediction doesn't work. Do you think he could change your mind? Do you think Trump could
00:42:24.100 change the minds of all of these people? Yes. Yes, he could. Do you think he could change
00:42:30.860 Mike Cernovich's mind? No. No, he might be the only one whose mind you couldn't change.
00:42:39.120 He might still, you know, in the end, he might have to make a practical choice about, you know,
00:42:44.400 who to support if it comes down to two people in the end. But I don't think he's not the kind
00:42:50.380 who's just going to go with the politics. Yeah. Yeah, I don't think, I don't think they're
00:42:57.560 going to go full Biden. That's for sure. But fewer people might vote. That's, that's the
00:43:01.980 thing. All right. Ali Alexander had an interesting article today and was it The Spectator or something?
00:43:11.280 I don't know. I forget which publication. But he makes a strong case that only Trump can win the
00:43:17.560 primary. Because, you know, given, given all the noise about the midterms, etc., Trump still has a
00:43:24.860 commanding lead and there's nobody close. DeSantis isn't even close. So it's over, right? Because Trump
00:43:34.220 will win the primary. And then everybody who says, oh, my God, we can't have a Democrat. They can say,
00:43:39.760 well, we don't want Trump, but we only have this one choice, except for Democrats. So the Ali
00:43:46.340 Alexander argument is strong. That's a strong argument. The polls completely back up Ali's
00:43:53.420 point that it doesn't matter what the experts say, the numbers are the numbers. And Trump has a huge
00:44:02.180 commanding advantage over every other competitor. So that's the end of it, right? If he wants it,
00:44:08.320 this is. Here's the counterargument. Well, the counterargument is it doesn't matter who's
00:44:18.800 running because it's just about the ballot collecting process. So it wouldn't make any
00:44:24.120 difference. Now, the counterargument, here's the new one that I'm going to insert. Trump plus
00:44:33.520 Cary Lake is a monster that nobody has assessed. It's a monster. Could be a good monster. Could be a
00:44:44.400 bad monster. But it's a fucking monster. And if you discount the monster, you're not even trying,
00:44:52.340 right? That's not a good analysis, right? When the monster enters the contest,
00:44:57.800 anything could happen. Like, all bets are off. It's monster time, right? You might like the monster.
00:45:07.560 So we'll see.
00:45:08.360 Yeah, what else is going on? There's a report. There's a report that Putin delayed the
00:45:22.020 retreat from Kursan and Ukraine until after the midterms because he didn't want Biden to have a win,
00:45:29.420 which would suggest that Putin prefers Trump as president or non-Biden. Actually, it only prefers,
00:45:40.460 it suggests he wants non-Biden. That's different. Yeah. I don't know what that means. I'm not sure how to
00:45:52.300 analyze that. But it's interesting. I don't know. That Russia, they can't stop doing stuff to us.
00:46:01.360 All right. Let's talk fentanyl. I did a thread. Most of you know the thread. You know that
00:46:07.000 most of you have been educated on fentanyl in ways others have not. Good border security might be 5%
00:46:13.660 of the problem because most of it's coming in tunnels anyway. It's coming in tunnels. It can come by
00:46:19.340 water. It's so light that fentanyl is. It's so light and small. There's just a million ways to
00:46:26.120 get it in. The only reason the fentanyl is being caught at the border now is that it's easy. Like
00:46:32.560 it's easy to just drive it across the border. If you close the border up tight, it's still easy.
00:46:39.200 They just use a different method, such as walk up to the wall and you take a little package that's
00:46:45.860 the size of a softball and it's enough to kill everybody in the United States. And you say,
00:46:50.800 hey, Juan, catch. And you throw it over the wall to Juan on the other side. That's it. There's no way
00:46:57.080 a wall is going to stop fentanyl. Now, a wall might stop marijuana. It might stop marijuana. Do you know
00:47:04.220 why? Because you can't make money on marijuana that would fit in your hand and you could toss over a
00:47:10.560 wall? Like you need some quantity, right? So the wall doesn't work. Executing dealers. I don't think
00:47:20.460 we've seen the death penalty really change behavior too much. But I'm in favor of it. It just won't.
00:47:26.700 It's not a solution. So those are like five or 10% solutions. The only solutions that I think are
00:47:32.520 possible, one would be some kind of legalization concept. But that's completely screwed by the fact
00:47:39.720 that the San Francisco open air drug experiment was a disaster. But they focused on like homeless
00:47:48.760 people and they created a zombie apocalypse in the middle of a major city. That's not the way to do
00:47:55.460 that. That would be doing everything wrong, right? The fentanyl problem is not a homeless problem.
00:48:04.460 The fentanyl problem is a, you know, middle class teenager problem. And, you know, ordinary people
00:48:11.820 who have jobs and stuff. So that's not the group that's going to become the walking zombies in the
00:48:17.340 middle of the city. That's the group who are functional addicts who go to their job every day.
00:48:23.700 And you didn't even know they were addicts. So, uh, so the main thing you need to know is that
00:48:32.580 some people do buy fentanyl directly. Some addicts, they look for fentanyl and they know they have
00:48:38.900 fentanyl. If you're an addict and you know you have fentanyl, how dangerous is it? Still dangerous,
00:48:46.700 but they're not the ones dying of all the overdoses. Because if you know what you have and you're sort
00:48:51.880 of an expert at this because you're an addict, then you know how to do the things that will reduce
00:48:58.060 the chance you'll die. And they do. So it's the people who don't know that it's baked into the other
00:49:03.340 drugs they're buying. They think they're buying Xanax or something and they get fentanyl and then they die.
00:49:07.160 So, um, what will work is not the San Francisco, uh, open air drug experiment, but the thing I would
00:49:17.100 test is a pill substitute, not an injection, not an injection, a pill substitute for people who are,
00:49:26.480 you know, absolutely addicted. That is the safest, you know, measured alternative. So it doesn't get you
00:49:34.300 cleaned, but perhaps maybe you agree to some counseling or you agree to be exposed to some
00:49:42.200 options for getting treatment, something like that. Um, I think there are things that could be tested
00:49:49.040 that are so far from the San Francisco debacle that that's worth doing. I don't know what would work.
00:49:55.020 That's why you test it. Then the other thing would be just to, uh, mow the lawn in Mexico, as I like to
00:50:00.680 say. And the reasons I say mow the lawn is that we should not imagine it's one and done. You don't
00:50:07.620 mow the lawn once. You keep mowing the lawn, right? And, uh, apparently I need a fact check on this,
00:50:16.620 but apparently we can identify where the fentanyl labs are. Can somebody give me a fact check on that?
00:50:22.840 I heard it said that we do know where the fentanyl labs are in Mexico. I don't know if that's true,
00:50:31.440 but if we do, we shouldn't mow the lawn. Just, just reduce it to dirt with special forces. And then
00:50:39.940 it'll pop up in another place, right? And then you mow it and it pops up. Then you mow it and repeat.
00:50:47.440 And you just do it every day until the business model changes. Here's how the business model would
00:50:53.380 change. Oh, shit. If we sell cocaine, they don't bomb us. If we sell heroin, they don't bomb us.
00:51:01.660 If we, if we sell fentanyl, same profit, they bomb us. So do, do what kills fewer people and you don't get
00:51:12.200 bond. So we could give them an option. Here's, here's how I would do it. If I were running for
00:51:17.660 president, I would say Mexico, uh, here's the satellite map of one of the big fentanyl plants
00:51:24.860 in one week, this is going to disappear. We'd love to talk to the heads of the cartel about getting
00:51:31.020 out of this business entirely, but we're going to do this as our opening bid. And then you make it
00:51:36.020 disappear. Then you hold up another sign a week later and say, here's the next fentanyl lab.
00:51:41.160 This one will disappear on Tuesday. Now, of course they'd be, you know, moving their assets as
00:51:46.600 quickly as they can, but you make whatever's left disappear. And then on Thursday, here's the third
00:51:53.800 one. This one's going to disappear on Friday morning. It disappears. You can make them do any
00:52:00.900 fucking thing you want. You just have to put enough pressure on them. All right.
00:52:05.240 That, ladies and gentlemen, is the interesting part. And now the whiteboard. I'd like to share with
00:52:16.540 you my personal journey, which has been complicated by people in the news lately.
00:52:21.360 As you already know, I was born a white colonizer. Back in 1957, a young child was born in Catskill,
00:52:34.940 New York. And sadly, he was a white colonizer. Now, to be fair, this baby did not colonize anything
00:52:43.800 by himself. But he is part of a demographic that are well known as white devils, white colonizers,
00:52:51.440 white supremacists, dare I say. And I didn't want any part of that. I thought to myself, I don't want
00:52:56.660 to be a white colonizer. Sure, I haven't personally colonized anything, but still. So I decided to
00:53:03.460 identify as black. I did this several years ago. I did it for the benefits. With all due respect,
00:53:08.560 by the way, I love the black community. I'm happy to associate with them. Black lives matter.
00:53:15.360 So, and like all the people who are applying for college, is it one third of white kids applying
00:53:24.180 for college or identifying as black now to get the benefits? So I'm looking for that kind of benefit.
00:53:30.180 But then it got complicated. Here I am identifying as black, and then Connie tells me I'm a Jew.
00:53:35.740 So I started as a white colonizer. I identified as black. Kanye re-identified me as a Jew. But
00:53:46.740 then there are other black people who are telling me that the Jewish people are actually white colonizers.
00:53:55.960 Fuck. Right back to where I started.
00:54:12.780 You try not to be a white colonizer. But can you do it? No. It's like the mafia. You can't get out.
00:54:19.340 I mean, I went all the way from black to Jew to white colonizer again.
00:54:27.300 Is this complicated? I don't know what the rest of you are doing, but my life's all complicated now.
00:54:32.160 I don't know who I am. Damn it.
00:54:36.340 All right. It's a circle of life. Yeah. It's a circle of life.
00:54:39.380 I'm just letting this one absorb for a little bit.
00:54:53.240 I'll let you live with this one for a little bit.
00:54:58.920 All right. So I'm having a fun time, in a bad way, I suppose, watching what's happening to Chappelle.
00:55:09.380 And, you know, I get, you know, I get why the Jewish community is, you know, wants to, you know, hit him with a brushback pitch.
00:55:20.660 I get that.
00:55:25.220 But, and part of the, part of the reason for that is people don't understand that apparently, I was, you know, reading up on this today.
00:55:33.100 Apparently there's a fairly big or growing anti-Semitic wing of the black American demographic.
00:55:43.080 I wasn't really aware of that.
00:55:44.740 How many of you knew that?
00:55:46.160 Before the yay thing, how many of you knew that there was some kind of growing,
00:55:50.860 and some of it might have been based on that weird little book called Hebrew, what, Negro to Hebrew or something?
00:55:59.980 Hebrew to Negro?
00:56:01.740 That's the name of the book. I'm not saying that.
00:56:03.500 Now, once you know that context, then you understand why the Jewish reaction was stronger than maybe some of you thought it should be.
00:56:16.800 Because there actually is a growing, dangerous, you know, thread of thought that they're trying to, you know,
00:56:23.080 they're trying to stamp it down while it's still an ember, right?
00:56:26.080 If we get it in its ember form, maybe it won't flame up.
00:56:29.340 So that all makes sense.
00:56:30.640 So I'd say that the Jewish community has responded quite smartly for its interests and probably the world.
00:56:40.540 They did come down hard, came down pretty hard.
00:56:44.300 But, you know, they're also dealing with adults.
00:56:48.720 Adults who know how to apologize, adults who know how to learn things, adults who know how to, you know, clarify.
00:56:56.320 So they're dealing with adults.
00:56:57.700 So I don't defend Yeh and I don't defend Chappelle.
00:57:02.600 They're adults and they're walking into their situation with their eyes open.
00:57:08.340 But I do think maybe Chappelle needs a little more awareness, which she probably has by now,
00:57:14.360 that if you don't deal with the fact that this growing ember could be seriously dangerous,
00:57:21.600 you're not, you can't be taken completely seriously.
00:57:24.240 I'd say Yeh is having a medication problem.
00:57:29.960 Well, that's no excuse.
00:57:32.060 Is it?
00:57:34.260 It might be true, but it's not an excuse.
00:57:36.860 We don't allow that.
00:57:38.740 You don't get to be,
00:57:40.160 you don't get to be a bigot because you're on drugs.
00:57:43.980 All right.
00:57:52.340 Chappelle is commentary, not doctrine.
00:57:54.220 Yeah, that's true.
00:57:56.100 But still, we do take him seriously because he's not just a joker.
00:58:00.900 Right?
00:58:01.060 He's more of a,
00:58:01.860 he's more of a wise observer of humanity.
00:58:06.020 Can a black man be a bigot?
00:58:19.520 Well, now you sound like Yeh.
00:58:26.460 All right.
00:58:27.920 Let's see.
00:58:30.900 How's that civil war going?
00:58:32.340 Are you surprised that Republicans are so, let's say, peaceful?
00:58:42.080 I'm not.
00:58:43.400 I'm not really surprised at all.
00:58:46.240 So far, things look exactly like I thought they would.
00:58:50.400 We'd have an election.
00:58:52.420 We'd have a result.
00:58:53.480 We'd argue about it.
00:58:54.600 The losing side would say there was some, you know, something bad.
00:58:58.340 And here we are.
00:59:01.980 Nobody's marching in the streets.
00:59:04.480 But I think the Democrats did a good job of saying that if you did deny the election,
00:59:09.960 you would get destroyed.
00:59:12.240 So that probably has a lot to do with it, too.
00:59:16.640 So instead of denying the election,
00:59:19.760 deny the credibility of the election.
00:59:23.500 How's that for a reframe?
00:59:24.860 Don't deny the result, because we have to move forward, right?
00:59:29.220 You can't go backwards in time.
00:59:30.620 You have to move forward.
00:59:31.800 Don't deny the result.
00:59:33.720 Just accept it.
00:59:36.280 You know, you could, of course, audit and see if there's any problems.
00:59:39.340 But go after the credibility, because nobody can defend the credibility.
00:59:45.040 Because you just look at the public and say, well, it's not my opinion.
00:59:49.760 Here's a poll that says half of the public doesn't trust the election.
00:59:52.720 That's just a fact, right?
00:59:55.700 It doesn't matter if they're right or wrong.
00:59:57.740 You can't argue, oh, but they should trust it.
01:00:00.160 No, that's not the solution.
01:00:01.900 The solution is not that they should be smarter.
01:00:05.180 No, they are who they are.
01:00:07.040 You've got to build a system that works.
01:00:09.380 And credibility has to be the number one requirement of the system,
01:00:13.700 even above accuracy.
01:00:16.200 Here, here's the part that really tells me who you are.
01:00:18.360 If you could have only one of these two things work perfectly,
01:00:23.620 either accuracy or the public trusts it.
01:00:27.440 So the credibility is high.
01:00:29.100 But the accuracy might not be perfect.
01:00:31.720 You know, let's say it's 95%.
01:00:33.220 But the credibility is 100%.
01:00:35.800 Everybody says, yeah, we trust that.
01:00:37.660 Is that better than having accuracy 100% but credibility low?
01:00:44.280 Well, which is better?
01:00:47.300 Yeah.
01:00:48.940 I'm sure every engineer will tell you the same answer.
01:00:52.820 You build for credibility, and you hope you get the other stuff right.
01:00:58.600 Right?
01:00:59.180 You don't build for accuracy and then say, oh, I hope it's credible too.
01:01:05.020 That would be a mistake.
01:01:07.180 Can anybody back me on this?
01:01:08.520 Is there any engineer here who can back me on that?
01:01:11.400 I'd like a little backing on this.
01:01:12.900 Somebody says, no, you build for liability.
01:01:16.520 Governments don't.
01:01:17.780 Governments don't have that kind of liability.
01:01:20.840 Now, if you were going to put the specifications for an election system on paper,
01:01:26.220 credibility would be number one, and you would give up nothing.
01:01:30.820 You would make no accommodations for credibility.
01:01:34.460 Credibility would have to be 100%,
01:01:36.480 and then everything else, like convenience and how long the line is,
01:01:40.720 and can grandma vote at home, and all of those other things.
01:01:44.600 They're below that.
01:01:46.240 Because credibility, you lose that, and you lose everything.
01:01:52.780 But if your accuracy is a little sketchy, that's just life.
01:01:56.020 How many of you could get used to the fact that the elections are only 95% accurate?
01:02:02.400 Suppose they just told you that.
01:02:04.220 You know, honestly, they're only 95% accurate,
01:02:06.360 so these close elections are just sort of a coin toss.
01:02:10.020 What if they just told you that directly?
01:02:11.860 Because that's the truth.
01:02:12.800 The truth is, they're not accurate enough to really know who won in a close election.
01:02:20.760 But it's accurate enough to know it was close.
01:02:23.860 And I actually don't have a big problem if the candidate who wasn't my first choice
01:02:28.700 became so close to the other candidate that it was sort of a coin to us.
01:02:34.000 You know, I'm not going to complain about the other person winning.
01:02:37.780 Because to me, that's the country getting what they wanted.
01:02:39.780 Why would I begrudge the rest of the country getting what they want?
01:02:45.660 You know, or at least it'd be a tie in terms of who wanted what.
01:02:52.700 Yeah, if the GOP can't find real evidence of fraud,
01:02:56.780 they just look like whining losers.
01:02:59.160 That's true.
01:03:00.080 And so far, that's been the Trump approach.
01:03:03.400 The Trump approach has been to look like a whining loser.
01:03:07.500 And he's still leading in the primaries.
01:03:09.780 So I guess it's working.
01:03:15.920 All right.
01:03:19.840 How can you make Democrats think the elections aren't credible?
01:03:23.700 Do you want the funny answer to that?
01:03:26.960 How do you make Democrats believe the elections are not credible?
01:03:32.140 Go ahead.
01:03:32.780 Give me the punchline.
01:03:35.360 Yeah, a Republican wins.
01:03:37.840 That's it.
01:03:38.840 And we're done.
01:03:39.440 Because it's happened every time a Republican won a close race.
01:03:43.680 Somebody said it was rigged.
01:03:45.540 Right?
01:03:45.780 Just like Trump.
01:03:46.700 Yeah, elect Trump.
01:03:47.660 Re-elect Trump.
01:03:48.680 And then they won't trust the election system.
01:03:53.060 That's funny.
01:03:57.000 Oh, Peterson said clean up the elections first.
01:03:59.620 Yeah.
01:03:59.740 Yeah.
01:03:59.800 All right.
01:04:00.300 All right.
01:04:05.300 Is Biden sick overseas?
01:04:10.820 Is there some reporting on that?
01:04:12.660 Are you sick?
01:04:15.180 He's on the roof.
01:04:16.120 So as soon as the election is over, Biden's health is going to fail?
01:04:22.300 You know, we talked about this.
01:04:25.500 If it turns out that Kamala becomes president before Biden's term is over, that opens the vice presidency.
01:04:37.540 But now that the Senate is not going to be deadlocked no matter what, then you don't have that cool outcome where the Republicans could keep the vice presidency unfilled by not approving anybody.
01:04:52.600 And so we don't have to worry about that.
01:04:56.360 I guess they would approve a vice president because it wouldn't change anything.
01:05:03.220 Even if Walker wins, that doesn't help anything, right?
01:05:10.320 Yeah.
01:05:11.080 It still could be 50-50?
01:05:12.520 No.
01:05:15.500 I thought we were already past that, and I thought the Democrats owned the Senate no matter what.
01:05:23.100 What?
01:05:24.300 Aren't you behind?
01:05:25.460 Am I behind?
01:05:26.880 I could swear the news said that it's over and the Democrats owned the Senate.
01:05:32.780 No.
01:05:34.680 Am I wrong?
01:05:36.500 Did I read all of the news wrong?
01:05:45.640 All right.
01:05:46.240 I don't know what's going on here.
01:05:48.100 Because the news I read is opposite of the news you're reading.
01:05:51.520 What's happening?
01:05:53.140 Did I read it wrong?
01:05:55.620 Well, I don't know what's happening here.
01:05:57.360 Honestly, I'm confused.
01:05:58.860 Because you couldn't all be that wrong, so it must be me, right?
01:06:03.220 It's more likely I'm the one that's wrong.
01:06:06.580 Huh.
01:06:08.500 All right.
01:06:09.140 Well, I guess I'll do some research on that.
01:06:13.120 Okay.
01:06:13.520 Did I miss any big stories?
01:06:17.320 Anything I missed?
01:06:22.880 No?
01:06:23.280 All right.
01:06:24.680 I think, so if Trump is going to announce something tonight at 9 Eastern, should I live stream from the man cave?
01:06:34.240 Of course I will.
01:06:37.260 Of course I will.
01:06:38.660 Yes.
01:06:39.620 And not only will it be one of the most fun man caves.
01:06:43.480 You don't get to see the man caves if you're on YouTube here.
01:06:46.300 But the locals community gets to see the extra special content.
01:06:50.220 And it's going to be amazing.
01:06:53.820 We're going to have a party tonight.
01:06:55.760 Party!
01:06:56.900 On locals.
01:06:57.660 Okay.
01:06:57.780 I say, John says, it's 50-49 now.
01:07:03.080 If Walker wins, Kamala is a tiebreaker.
01:07:05.740 So we actually could have that situation still.
01:07:11.100 Yeah, it's 9 o'clock Eastern time.
01:07:13.060 Correct.
01:07:14.140 All right.
01:07:14.800 That's all for now.
01:07:16.920 And I'll talk to you tomorrow.
01:07:20.680 Best live stream ever.
01:07:22.000 Best live stream ever.