Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1934 Scott Adams： The News About Twitter, Trump, Alex Jones, Musk, Ye And More

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of civilization.

00:00:05.160 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, if you didn't know that already.

00:00:08.980 And you probably come here to have your dopamine faucet turned on.

00:00:15.360 Came to the right place.

00:00:17.200 Do you feel your dopamine starting to get a little active?

00:00:21.340 Feel a little bit of it?

00:00:23.040 Yeah.

00:00:23.820 Watch.

00:00:24.420 Watch what happens after the simultaneous sip.

00:00:26.980 You can almost feel the tingle.

00:00:28.400 And all you need to get that tingle is a cupper mugger, a glass of tanker, chalice, or stein, a canteen, sugar, flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:37.080 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:39.160 I like coffee.

00:00:40.940 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:46.880 It's going to give you a little tingle.

00:00:48.500 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:50.800 It happens now.

00:00:51.560 Go.

00:00:57.680 Yep.

00:00:58.400 Dopamine faucet on.

00:01:03.800 We're going to leave that on for the entire live stream.

00:01:07.360 What you do afterwards?

00:01:08.680 Well, that's your own decision.

00:01:11.440 All right.

00:01:13.940 So I would like to begin with a one-act play.

00:01:18.920 This play I call a Twitter quitter who's looking for a new job.

00:01:27.180 Yeah.

00:01:27.480 Twitter quitter.

00:01:28.300 I just coined that.

00:01:30.060 The people who left because Musk told them that they had to work hard.

00:01:35.580 They're the Twitter quitters.

00:01:36.940 So now my impression of a Twitter quitter going for a new job.

00:01:43.040 I will need to do this visually, so I give you the return of Dale.

00:01:51.540 Well, I'm applying for a job at your company, and I have very good qualifications.

00:02:00.120 Well, I see from your resume that you had a job at Twitter.

00:02:06.540 Twitter.

00:02:06.840 So could you tell me what was it about that job?

00:02:10.660 Why did you quit that job?

00:02:11.800 Um, something about President Trump?

00:02:23.980 Hmm.

00:02:24.900 That doesn't seem terribly relevant.

00:02:27.880 Um, was there anything else?

00:02:30.740 Any other reason you left Twitter?

00:02:36.820 I'm not a huge fan of hard work.

00:02:39.420 And scene.

00:02:49.860 Isn't it going to be a little bit awkward?

00:02:53.040 It's going to be a little bit awkward, isn't it?

00:02:56.000 Because they all quit for the same reason.

00:02:59.460 Not big fans of working hard.

00:03:05.180 How's that going to work?

00:03:06.400 How's that play out?

00:03:07.740 I don't know.

00:03:08.140 I'm just curious.

00:03:09.420 All right.

00:03:12.140 Um, you may have already noticed that the Dilbert website has been down since Friday, I think.

00:03:19.320 And you might say to yourself, how is that even possible?

00:03:23.640 In 2022, how can anybody bring a website down for like three days?

00:03:30.540 Like a major professional commercial website.

00:03:34.560 Three days.

00:03:35.280 I don't even think they're close to fixing it.

00:03:39.740 I don't think they're close.

00:03:42.060 Now, I don't know the details.

00:03:45.360 Um, I don't know.

00:03:46.160 Actually, I don't even know if it's confirmed that it's a hack.

00:03:49.260 But it looks like it, you know, from the outside, it looks like a hack.

00:03:53.760 Um, apparently the DNS pointer just disappeared.

00:03:57.660 So basically, the website just doesn't exist on the internet anymore.

00:04:02.260 Somebody took down the DNS pointer or could have been maybe some weird, there's a possibility that it happened naturally.

00:04:12.680 I don't know what the odds of that are.

00:04:14.900 But there was a weird chain of custody of the website that went from, you know, one company to another.

00:04:22.260 And the old company disappeared, but it's still in their name.

00:04:25.880 And God knows there might be some problem like that.

00:04:28.660 I don't know.

00:04:29.980 But it also could have been targeted at me.

00:04:34.760 Could you rule that out?

00:04:37.020 Could you rule out that somebody targeted me?

00:04:39.620 Now, they did get all of the, you know, the entire comic infrastructure at United, I'm sorry, at Universal.

00:04:50.980 So they got all the comics.

00:04:52.920 It wasn't just me.

00:04:54.260 But I'm the only one that you would target.

00:04:57.280 Right?

00:04:57.560 The rest of them were not anybody making any trouble.

00:05:01.340 I don't know.

00:05:02.260 Could be anything.

00:05:03.680 You never know.

00:05:04.860 But they'll get it fixed.

00:05:05.820 So, as you know, I think this may have been reversed.

00:05:13.440 But didn't CBS say they were going to suspend their Twitter activity due to the, quote, uncertainty under Elon Musk's leadership?

00:05:22.620 Did they reverse that already?

00:05:27.240 Yeah.

00:05:28.020 It says I'm the registrant, but that's just on paper.

00:05:31.240 I don't manage the site.

00:05:32.200 Well, anyway, regardless of what CBS has done recently, I only want to talk about how Musk made fun of them.

00:05:43.000 I used to think that you couldn't top Trump for funny tweeting.

00:05:50.240 But I feel as though Musk is funnier.

00:05:54.440 And who saw that coming?

00:05:56.460 I mean, he claims he's on the spectrum, you know, Asperger's or something.

00:06:00.240 But I'm not so sure.

00:06:03.160 I know.

00:06:03.640 His facility with humor is so strong.

00:06:09.500 And for that, you would have to have an understanding of how other people's minds work.

00:06:14.480 So I'm just not sure about this Asperger's on the spectrum thing.

00:06:18.920 But here's what he said about CBS.

00:06:23.040 And I laughed until I cried.

00:06:25.800 This morning, I laughed.

00:06:27.420 I had tears streaming out of my eyes.

00:06:29.260 This is the funniest frickin' set of tweets I've ever seen, all right?

00:06:34.980 There are three tweets, and they have to be seen, you know, as a whole.

00:06:41.680 So when CBS, you know, said it was going to suspend its Twitter activity, Musk first tweeted this.

00:06:48.720 Who made this decision?

00:06:51.440 Perfectly good thing to ask.

00:06:52.620 Who made this decision?

00:06:53.500 But within a very short time, Musk tweeted a follow-up.

00:06:58.840 Oh, forget it.

00:06:59.620 Who cares?

00:07:04.100 Because Musk owns Twitter, and CBS just isn't really relevant.

00:07:09.440 But it gets better.

00:07:11.160 His third follow-up, or second follow-up, he goes,

00:07:14.140 They should bring Walter Cronkite back.

00:07:17.700 Oh, my God.

00:07:21.960 That is so fucking funny.

00:07:24.500 That is fucking hilarious.

00:07:29.600 Now, I don't know how you interpret that.

00:07:32.480 You know, you can interpret it different ways.

00:07:34.160 The way I interpret it is the funniest way, right?

00:07:39.120 The funniest way.

00:07:40.440 The last time you didn't suck, Walter Cronkite was still alive.

00:07:46.480 So that's one way to interpret it.

00:07:48.420 The last time you didn't suck, Walter Cronkite was alive.

00:07:52.000 Here's the second way to interpret it.

00:07:54.500 And I don't know which way he meant.

00:07:56.120 The second way to interpret it is you could dig up his corpse,

00:07:59.480 and he would do a better job than whatever they're doing now.

00:08:01.800 Well, also good.

00:08:04.180 Also perfectly good.

00:08:07.400 And then the third way is that CBS is so unimportant and irrelevant

00:08:12.020 that, you know, acting like you didn't even know that

00:08:14.920 you didn't even know that Walter Cronkite wasn't an option anymore.

00:08:20.700 Which would be funny.

00:08:22.500 So this is funny any way you want to interpret it.

00:08:25.820 This is fucking hilarious.

00:08:27.360 I've never seen any corporation dismissed so effectively.

00:08:34.360 They should bring back Walter Cronkite.

00:08:40.060 Oh, come on. 0.87

00:08:41.540 Is there anybody who doesn't think that's hilarious?

00:08:45.000 Now, it's partly hilarious because of who says it, right?

00:08:47.880 Like, if I had tweeted that, it wouldn't be funny

00:08:51.160 because the context would be different.

00:08:52.980 But just the fact that the guy who just bought Twitter,

00:08:56.540 richest man in the world,

00:08:58.480 he says they should bring Walter Cronkite back,

00:09:01.300 that's everything.

00:09:03.580 All right.

00:09:05.700 Adam Schiff was on TV saying he's not too pleased

00:09:09.540 that Trump is allowed back on Twitter.

00:09:11.340 Which brings us to a really, really interesting thing

00:09:18.720 that's happening.

00:09:20.540 And don't let me forget to talk about Ye,

00:09:24.720 because I'm going to skip him for a moment.

00:09:26.960 So Twitter has a, let's call it a fact-checking feature now

00:09:32.480 that used to be part of that bird watch,

00:09:34.820 is what they called it.

00:09:35.660 But now it's renamed to Community Notes.

00:09:40.860 And here's what Community Notes on Twitter does.

00:09:44.780 If someone makes a claim that needs a fact-check,

00:09:50.620 somebody can add a note with context.

00:09:54.840 But other people will vote

00:09:56.960 on whether they agree on that added note.

00:10:00.180 So the ones that most people agree with

00:10:02.520 would be surface to the top.

00:10:04.440 But I think I'm describing it a little bit wrong.

00:10:08.600 And here's the part I'm going to need a,

00:10:10.840 I'm going to need a little bit of a tweaking

00:10:12.800 on my understanding, okay?

00:10:14.260 So maybe you can help me with this.

00:10:16.080 I don't believe that the notes go to the top,

00:10:19.980 you know, the correction notes.

00:10:24.620 I didn't skip the sip.

00:10:26.620 What are you talking about?

00:10:31.280 Why do you think I skipped the simultaneous sip?

00:10:34.440 Did I?

00:10:39.520 Yeah.

00:10:40.640 There's some kind of weird thing happening over on locals.

00:10:43.260 There's a bunch of them who think they didn't see the sip.

00:10:46.640 You saw it, right?

00:10:49.300 Yeah.

00:10:51.600 Oh, weird.

00:10:52.340 There's like a,

00:10:53.480 there's a whole like hallucination thing happening in real time.

00:10:56.180 There's a whole bunch of people on locals

00:10:59.320 who believe that it didn't happen.

00:11:01.560 Oh, and over here,

00:11:02.440 there's a bunch of people who say it didn't happen as well.

00:11:04.620 So YouTube sees the same thing?

00:11:10.660 Really?

00:11:12.400 Now, it's not because of a time lag, right?

00:11:14.260 Now, did you,

00:11:16.420 did you see me do the wind-up,

00:11:18.820 but not the actual sip?

00:11:22.340 You,

00:11:22.840 you saw the introduction to the sip, right?

00:11:26.780 You saw the song,

00:11:28.220 you know,

00:11:28.480 the,

00:11:28.700 the poem or whatever.

00:11:29.920 This is the weirdest thing.

00:11:35.180 Wow.

00:11:36.540 So,

00:11:37.360 you just,

00:11:38.440 you're watching reality fork.

00:11:40.980 Reality is forking right now,

00:11:42.520 right in front of you.

00:11:43.480 I don't think I've ever seen this before.

00:11:45.840 This is in real time.

00:11:47.580 You're watching reality fork.

00:11:49.420 There's some people who just are leaving your reality.

00:11:52.560 Some people didn't see it,

00:11:53.660 and some people saw it,

00:11:54.560 and it was,

00:11:55.480 it either did or did not happen,

00:11:57.100 and it was right here.

00:11:58.880 Wow.

00:12:00.440 So interesting.

00:12:02.220 I wonder what triggered it.

00:12:03.960 Was,

00:12:04.220 was there a delay in the feed?

00:12:06.700 This is now the most interesting thing

00:12:08.500 that's happening today.

00:12:10.420 Is it because of a glitch?

00:12:13.400 Yeah,

00:12:13.680 it might have been,

00:12:14.120 it might have been a glitch in the stream.

00:12:15.840 So,

00:12:16.300 anyway,

00:12:17.540 back to my point.

00:12:19.900 So,

00:12:20.440 the,

00:12:20.560 the Twitter fact-checking,

00:12:22.000 which is really a context edition,

00:12:24.380 not a fact-check so much,

00:12:26.040 but I believe it's not based on just popularity.

00:12:29.920 I believe it's going to be based on a system called POLIS,

00:12:34.600 or POLIS,

00:12:35.960 that got rolled out in Taiwan.

00:12:38.600 So,

00:12:38.920 Taiwan will ask its citizens a question such as,

00:12:42.500 how would you regulate Uber?

00:12:45.080 By the way,

00:12:46.340 what I'm,

00:12:46.680 what I'm telling you now comes from an excellent article in Wired.

00:12:50.560 So,

00:12:51.000 let me recommend Wired for the,

00:12:52.640 the full detail of this.

00:12:54.080 Very good,

00:12:54.780 very good reporting in Wired on this topic.

00:12:57.940 So,

00:12:58.440 this POLIS system in Taiwan,

00:13:00.160 they can ask the public,

00:13:01.140 how would you regulate Uber,

00:13:03.820 would be one example.

00:13:05.640 But,

00:13:06.200 instead of just taking the most popular suggestion,

00:13:09.880 they find the suggestion

00:13:11.300 that has popularity across demographics.

00:13:16.560 So,

00:13:17.100 they're finding the thing that has the most widespread agreement,

00:13:21.520 as opposed to the thing that got the most trolls to vote for it.

00:13:24.980 Does that make sense?

00:13:26.740 So,

00:13:27.340 they can,

00:13:27.740 they can handle the troll problem,

00:13:30.060 by not looking at the most votes,

00:13:33.020 but rather looking at the votes that come from the most places,

00:13:36.580 the most types of people.

00:13:38.720 Which is,

00:13:40.460 frankly,

00:13:41.140 brilliant.

00:13:42.420 I'd never even thought of that.

00:13:44.280 Had you?

00:13:45.620 Yeah,

00:13:46.200 I mean,

00:13:46.380 that's just brilliant.

00:13:47.660 So,

00:13:48.040 if you start with things that people on all sides can agree with,

00:13:52.080 and then you start narrowing it down from that point,

00:13:54.540 apparently you get a better outcome.

00:13:55.820 outcome.

00:13:56.980 Now,

00:13:57.600 it looks like,

00:13:59.360 Twitter might follow that model.

00:14:01.920 How amazing would that be?

00:14:04.260 I mean,

00:14:04.620 seriously.

00:14:05.480 This is the first time I've heard an actual system plan,

00:14:11.200 that,

00:14:11.560 in my opinion,

00:14:12.380 could totally work.

00:14:14.500 Am I wrong?

00:14:16.120 Doesn't that look like that could totally work?

00:14:19.040 I think it could.

00:14:20.760 I think it could totally work.

00:14:22.020 I think it could totally work.

00:14:23.120 So,

00:14:23.580 imagine that.

00:14:26.400 It's not a coincidence that CBS is wondering whether they can participate.

00:14:31.600 because,

00:14:33.080 here's the thing.

00:14:38.620 How can,

00:14:39.600 how can the mainstream news survive this?

00:14:44.420 Literally.

00:14:45.900 Literally.

00:14:46.380 how can any news organization,

00:14:48.600 left or right,

00:14:49.580 how could they survive this?

00:14:51.840 I don't know.

00:14:52.960 I don't think they could survive it.

00:14:55.220 Left or right.

00:14:56.420 Unless they,

00:14:57.240 you know,

00:14:57.460 start doing real news and correcting and stuff.

00:15:00.540 But,

00:15:01.080 I don't know.

00:15:01.480 So,

00:15:03.500 I'll give you a,

00:15:05.000 a make up simultaneous sip as soon as I,

00:15:07.300 I'm done with this topic.

00:15:08.640 Because I know,

00:15:09.260 a number of people are,

00:15:10.340 are addicted to the sip.

00:15:13.800 So,

00:15:14.400 even if it happened,

00:15:15.500 if they missed it,

00:15:17.440 as a,

00:15:18.140 citizen of,

00:15:20.180 earth,

00:15:20.560 I feel I need to,

00:15:22.220 accommodate them.

00:15:23.080 So,

00:15:23.280 we'll do that in a minute.

00:15:24.380 I know I sipped,

00:15:25.540 but some people missed it,

00:15:26.600 so we'll,

00:15:26.900 we'll accommodate them.

00:15:28.060 But here's my point.

00:15:32.120 If Twitter actually pulls this off,

00:15:34.700 and does actual,

00:15:35.840 honest to God,

00:15:36.680 useful,

00:15:37.820 context,

00:15:38.460 and I like calling it context better than fact checking.

00:15:41.240 Who would agree with me on that?

00:15:43.700 I love context.

00:15:46.100 Fact checking gets a little too,

00:15:47.700 into opinion.

00:15:49.140 Doesn't it?

00:15:50.360 Like,

00:15:50.700 as soon as you say,

00:15:51.700 fact check,

00:15:52.560 hmm,

00:15:53.740 but context is good every time.

00:15:55.980 Then you make up your own mind.

00:15:58.060 All right.

00:16:00.620 I don't know if,

00:16:01.580 I don't know if I have a way to express how important this is.

00:16:05.140 This would actually fix our government.

00:16:07.740 It would fix the news.

00:16:10.060 It might even get rid of,

00:16:11.340 like,

00:16:12.060 divisiveness.

00:16:13.480 It might actually make things work.

00:16:15.960 Like,

00:16:16.340 I know that's,

00:16:17.140 that's a lot.

00:16:18.800 I don't want to,

00:16:19.600 I don't want to get ahead of it with my optimism,

00:16:22.060 but,

00:16:22.480 I don't think I've ever been more optimistic about the country,

00:16:26.100 than right now.

00:16:28.060 Honest to God,

00:16:29.460 I've never felt more optimistic about America,

00:16:32.760 at least,

00:16:33.980 than right now.

00:16:35.880 I think Musk did that.

00:16:38.460 I think Musk did that.

00:16:40.940 Because this is so important.

00:16:44.300 It's like,

00:16:44.900 huge.

00:16:46.460 Anyway.

00:16:46.660 So imagine that happens.

00:16:52.440 All right.

00:16:57.060 But there's more.

00:16:59.060 We might have a contest for the presidency,

00:17:03.060 that would involve Trump,

00:17:04.960 probably.

00:17:06.220 We don't know for sure,

00:17:07.360 but probably Trump running against a Democrat.

00:17:09.760 You know what's interesting?

00:17:12.840 If that happens,

00:17:14.220 we would have the most vetted candidate of all time.

00:17:19.580 Trump is the most examined,

00:17:23.020 researched,

00:17:23.860 vetted candidate of all time.

00:17:27.160 So let me,

00:17:27.860 let me pull the story together here.

00:17:29.760 So we could have a Twitter that works to keep everybody else honest.

00:17:35.820 We could.

00:17:36.780 Don't know that yet,

00:17:37.840 but it's possible.

00:17:39.220 We could have a president who doesn't have any secrets left.

00:17:44.020 How much would you like that?

00:17:45.900 Because my biggest problem with Biden is that I don't know what's up with him in Ukraine,

00:17:51.140 and what's up with him in China.

00:17:53.860 But if he had been investigated as thoroughly as Trump had been investigated for Russia,

00:17:59.440 I feel like I would trust him on that issue anyway.

00:18:03.000 Don't you?

00:18:04.140 If Biden had ever gone through the scrutiny that Trump has already gone through,

00:18:09.820 I wouldn't probably be asking any questions about China or Ukraine.

00:18:13.900 I'd say,

00:18:14.380 okay,

00:18:14.560 we looked into it.

00:18:15.600 Good enough.

00:18:16.180 So we might have radical transparency of one candidate who could actually become president again,

00:18:23.740 while we have radical,

00:18:25.880 you know,

00:18:26.760 context checking on Twitter,

00:18:28.600 which would make everybody else have to be honest,

00:18:30.820 because it'd be too embarrassing to,

00:18:32.180 to be out of step with Twitter fact checking.

00:18:35.800 And then we have the GOP taking over the House,

00:18:40.400 so they're going to start investigating,

00:18:42.220 you know,

00:18:43.160 all the bad behavior of the Democrats.

00:18:46.180 Do you know how much transparency we're about to get whacked with?

00:18:52.620 We've never had anything like this.

00:18:55.940 Usually you're just guessing.

00:18:58.040 You're just guessing.

00:18:59.000 If I vote for this candidate,

00:19:00.420 I have no idea what's in that closet,

00:19:03.460 right?

00:19:04.080 That closet might open up halfway through the presidency. 0.99

00:19:07.540 But we wouldn't have to worry about,

00:19:09.560 at least in my opinion,

00:19:10.560 others will disagree.

00:19:11.600 But in my opinion,

00:19:13.000 you wouldn't have to worry about the president having any hidden secrets.

00:19:16.180 If it were Trump,

00:19:17.900 the GOP is going to unravel any bad behavior.

00:19:21.620 The Democrats did maybe,

00:19:23.240 at least they'll try.

00:19:24.600 And then Twitter will give us some kind of actual context for the first time.

00:19:28.140 This is all amazing stuff.

00:19:32.460 But can we have all of this optimism without a second simultaneous sip?

00:19:40.660 No.

00:19:41.640 No.

00:19:42.460 I believe that we deserve another sip.

00:19:46.480 And so for anybody who didn't see it the first time,

00:19:50.200 for whatever reason,

00:19:51.940 reality forked.

00:19:53.940 You're going to get it this time.

00:19:55.820 Everybody,

00:19:56.480 get ready for the simultaneous sip.

00:19:59.340 Make up.

00:20:00.180 Go.

00:20:00.320 Good stuff.

00:20:06.040 I said fact-checking instead of context.

00:20:08.680 Yeah,

00:20:09.000 I'm going to still use them interchangeably when I'm talking in public.

00:20:13.120 So let me tell you,

00:20:14.560 I will use them interchangeably when I'm casually talking in public.

00:20:18.300 But I do prefer context.

00:20:20.980 They work similarly.

00:20:21.940 All right.

00:20:25.180 I'm also fascinated by the Alex Jones edge case.

00:20:31.160 Now,

00:20:31.980 I believe that Twitter was solidly in the right.

00:20:36.520 Like,

00:20:36.980 no doubt about it.

00:20:38.460 Bring you back,

00:20:39.280 you know,

00:20:39.620 the Babylon Bee and bring you back Trump.

00:20:42.880 Totally,

00:20:43.500 totally on board with those decisions.

00:20:46.520 Alex Jones,

00:20:47.320 however,

00:20:48.340 is not like the others.

00:20:50.700 He's not like the other situation.

00:20:51.940 And I believe this is a problem for Musk.

00:20:58.520 Because Musk answered why he wasn't bringing Alex Jones back.

00:21:02.220 And if he didn't see it,

00:21:03.660 it's one of the most powerful tweets you'll ever see in your life.

00:21:07.860 I'm going to read it to you.

00:21:09.600 And it might,

00:21:10.080 you know,

00:21:10.380 take you out of your happy moment for a bit.

00:21:12.900 But we'll get you back.

00:21:14.020 Okay.

00:21:15.980 So,

00:21:16.620 Kim.com,

00:21:18.660 if you know him,

00:21:20.340 famous internet user,

00:21:21.920 and famous for some other stuff in his past.

00:21:25.480 We won't get into that.

00:21:26.380 But anyway,

00:21:26.700 he's a well-known character.

00:21:28.440 And he was suggesting that free speech suggests that Alex Jones should come back.

00:21:34.460 Now,

00:21:34.860 nobody is defending Alex Jones.

00:21:38.020 As far as I know,

00:21:39.600 I've never heard anybody say,

00:21:40.860 yeah,

00:21:41.160 what Alex Jones did with that Sandy Hook thing was pretty good.

00:21:44.840 I'm nobody.

00:21:46.420 Nobody defends him.

00:21:47.940 So we are strictly talking about free speech here, right?

00:21:51.580 Can we agree?

00:21:52.680 That if you talk about Alex Jones on Twitter,

00:21:55.060 it's not about defending him.

00:21:57.200 It's very much not about defending him.

00:21:58.960 It's about the best edge case we have for free speech.

00:22:03.400 So here's what Elon said in a tweet.

00:22:08.240 Musk said,

00:22:09.060 my firstborn child died in my arms.

00:22:11.900 I felt his last heartbeat.

00:22:14.360 I have no mercy for anyone who would use the deaths of children for gain,

00:22:19.040 politics,

00:22:19.600 or fame.

00:22:20.080 Is that case closed?

00:22:25.580 He owns the company.

00:22:27.760 He says that's his line in the sand.

00:22:30.340 No way.

00:22:32.380 Here's the problem.

00:22:34.480 That's a personal opinion, isn't it?

00:22:36.680 It's a personal opinion.

00:22:38.920 Right?

00:22:39.800 If Musk can ban somebody because of how he personally feels,

00:22:44.780 then he's not the right person to own Twitter.

00:22:48.320 End of story.

00:22:50.080 If he can ban Alex Jones only because of his personal feeling,

00:22:54.620 which he may have other reasons, right?

00:22:56.860 So he led with that,

00:22:58.340 but he might have other valid reasons.

00:23:00.120 I think there are other valid reasons, by the way.

00:23:02.540 So we can talk about whether he should come back.

00:23:06.160 But if that's his reason,

00:23:08.740 that's not good enough.

00:23:10.860 That's not good enough.

00:23:12.360 Free speech is a little bit bigger than that.

00:23:15.340 Now, as strong as this is,

00:23:18.140 I mean, I can't even imagine this.

00:23:20.460 I mean, I almost lost it just reading the fucking tweet.

00:23:23.220 I can't even imagine it.

00:23:25.060 I mean, it's literally,

00:23:26.300 literally unimaginable.

00:23:28.980 Right?

00:23:29.960 Now, I got to see my dead stepson in person.

00:23:33.520 Got to actually see him dead.

00:23:34.760 And, you know, I'm not a biological parent.

00:23:40.280 You know, I raised him since he was little.

00:23:42.600 But I can't even imagine a newborn.

00:23:46.620 That's beyond my ability to imagine.

00:23:50.040 So do I blame Musk for taking this stance?

00:23:54.100 Absolutely not.

00:23:55.860 Absolutely not.

00:23:56.760 I have no criticism against him personally

00:24:00.320 for taking this stance.

00:24:02.120 I can imagine I might have done it myself.

00:24:05.220 But,

00:24:06.740 free speech is bigger.

00:24:10.060 It's bigger.

00:24:12.000 You know?

00:24:12.380 As big as,

00:24:14.660 and we all feel it, right?

00:24:16.840 You know,

00:24:17.120 this is the most visual,

00:24:20.020 it's almost tactile.

00:24:22.000 I mean, you can almost feel.

00:24:23.140 You almost feel this situation

00:24:26.240 when he describes it.

00:24:27.620 Like, it puts you right in the scene.

00:24:30.300 This is one of the most

00:24:31.600 emotionally powerful statements

00:24:34.420 I've ever heard.

00:24:37.780 The most emotionally powerful reason

00:24:40.420 I've ever heard.

00:24:41.980 And it's not good enough.

00:24:43.440 It's not good enough.

00:24:45.000 It really isn't good enough.

00:24:46.960 Free speech is bigger than this.

00:24:50.200 But, at the same time,

00:24:51.480 I completely support him as a human.

00:24:54.340 As a father,

00:24:56.480 I'm on his side.

00:24:58.880 As a citizen,

00:25:00.760 I'm not.

00:25:03.520 So it's a tough one.

00:25:05.040 This is the best,

00:25:06.320 I say best in maybe,

00:25:08.280 you know,

00:25:08.560 in an ironic way,

00:25:09.540 but it's the best edge case

00:25:10.920 I've ever seen.

00:25:12.900 I mean,

00:25:13.240 this is the best edge case

00:25:15.180 I've ever seen.

00:25:17.020 And I will also tell you

00:25:18.400 that I don't think Musk

00:25:19.940 will change his mind

00:25:20.740 for other reasons.

00:25:22.360 I think Twitter,

00:25:23.260 the value of Twitter

00:25:24.360 would go down

00:25:25.200 if Alex Jones

00:25:27.080 was allowed back on.

00:25:29.180 So there's a business decision

00:25:30.920 that can't be ignored.

00:25:32.760 Because as soon as you let

00:25:34.000 Alex Jones on,

00:25:35.320 everybody on the left

00:25:36.540 says,

00:25:37.000 that's it.

00:25:37.860 That's it.

00:25:38.800 You know,

00:25:39.120 I can kind of understand

00:25:40.480 why a national politician

00:25:42.520 has to be on Twitter.

00:25:43.400 I can kind of get that.

00:25:46.540 But you're not going to change

00:25:48.840 anybody's mind

00:25:49.700 about Sandy Hook.

00:25:51.580 Nobody's changing their mind

00:25:52.760 about that.

00:25:53.800 So if you take that side,

00:25:55.600 or it looks like you're taking

00:25:56.640 Alex Jones' side,

00:25:58.400 even if your point

00:25:59.620 is free speech,

00:26:00.840 I don't think it's good enough.

00:26:03.740 Because there are so many

00:26:06.080 other parents out there.

00:26:08.400 Right?

00:26:09.200 This,

00:26:10.720 unfortunately,

00:26:11.360 Alex Jones is not about

00:26:12.860 free speech.

00:26:14.140 It's not about commerce.

00:26:16.680 It's about parents,

00:26:18.460 isn't it?

00:26:19.440 This is a parent-to-parent problem.

00:26:21.420 And maybe,

00:26:21.760 maybe Musk got it right.

00:26:23.580 Maybe Musk got it right.

00:26:25.340 This isn't about politics.

00:26:26.880 It's not about Twitter.

00:26:27.760 It's just parent-to-parent.

00:26:29.220 And as a parent,

00:26:30.240 he just said,

00:26:30.800 fuck you forever. 0.99

00:26:34.140 All right.

00:26:34.620 You know,

00:26:34.940 I just talked myself

00:26:35.720 into Musk's opinion.

00:26:37.800 Yeah.

00:26:38.600 I just talked myself into it.

00:26:40.260 While I still say

00:26:42.560 free speech says

00:26:43.860 bring Alex Jones back,

00:26:45.580 as horrible as that sounds,

00:26:49.620 I'm going to say that

00:26:51.420 maybe parent-to-parent

00:26:53.380 is just too strong.

00:26:55.340 Maybe parent-to-parent

00:26:56.200 is all that matters.

00:26:58.160 I don't know.

00:26:58.920 I think I'm going to revise

00:27:00.760 my opinion as I talk about it.

00:27:02.800 And I'm going to say

00:27:03.400 that free speech

00:27:04.180 feels like the most important thing,

00:27:05.900 but, you know,

00:27:07.560 just one person

00:27:08.460 isn't really going to affect

00:27:09.660 free speech, right?

00:27:11.480 This might be just

00:27:12.520 the special case

00:27:13.400 of all special cases.

00:27:15.180 It could be the case

00:27:15.980 where you just say

00:27:16.860 dad is more important

00:27:19.120 than all of that other stuff.

00:27:21.900 And dad-to-dad,

00:27:23.060 we're just going to

00:27:24.060 squash the shit out of this.

00:27:26.580 Maybe.

00:27:27.580 I wouldn't complain about that.

00:27:29.060 All right.

00:27:32.440 I watched,

00:27:33.400 I think it was

00:27:34.480 Shannon Breen's show

00:27:35.900 last night on Fox,

00:27:37.620 and she interviewed

00:27:38.800 a top Republican

00:27:41.200 and a top Democrat.

00:27:43.480 Senator Tom Cotton

00:27:44.600 was the Republican,

00:27:45.980 and he was saying

00:27:46.860 about TikTok

00:27:47.440 that TikTok

00:27:48.560 should be banned.

00:27:50.880 So he was anti-TikTok,

00:27:52.880 thought it was dangerous

00:27:53.760 for TikTok

00:27:54.400 to be operating

00:27:55.160 in this country.

00:27:56.280 So then she had

00:27:57.220 a prominent Democrat on,

00:27:59.500 maybe you can tell me

00:28:01.580 which one,

00:28:02.640 whose name I can't remember.

00:28:04.160 Prominent,

00:28:04.840 the one I don't see

00:28:05.700 that often.

00:28:07.540 Anyway,

00:28:07.920 somebody,

00:28:08.700 a senator,

00:28:09.280 I believe,

00:28:10.080 a senator, right?

00:28:12.520 Somebody saw it.

00:28:13.420 You'll tell me the name.

00:28:14.600 Anyway,

00:28:14.900 it doesn't matter.

00:28:15.900 But he agreed.

00:28:17.400 Mark Warner,

00:28:18.040 thank you.

00:28:18.580 So Mark Warner,

00:28:20.180 prominent Democrat,

00:28:22.460 said exactly the same thing.

00:28:24.460 So now you've got

00:28:25.020 a prominent Republican

00:28:26.000 saying get rid of TikTok.

00:28:28.180 You've got a prominent

00:28:28.960 Democrat who says

00:28:29.940 get rid of TikTok.

00:28:31.200 Do you think you could find

00:28:32.380 anybody who would disagree?

00:28:35.080 I've never seen one.

00:28:38.480 I've never seen one.

00:28:40.360 Is there even one person

00:28:41.880 who disagrees?

00:28:45.180 Swalwell?

00:28:45.740 I don't think so.

00:28:46.760 I don't think anybody

00:28:47.540 disagrees.

00:28:48.040 So if you have

00:28:50.040 bipartisan support

00:28:51.460 to get rid of TikTok,

00:28:52.560 why is it still here?

00:28:54.620 Give me any hypothesis

00:28:56.640 why it's still here

00:28:57.800 when everybody

00:28:59.020 wants to get rid of it.

00:29:01.460 Bipartisan.

00:29:04.900 Now, yeah,

00:29:05.660 you might have some

00:29:06.320 like free marketer

00:29:07.280 people who disagree.

00:29:08.420 I can only think

00:29:11.660 of one reason.

00:29:13.780 I can only think

00:29:14.600 of one reason.

00:29:15.880 It has to do,

00:29:17.160 there's,

00:29:17.640 by default,

00:29:18.440 there's only one reason.

00:29:19.640 It has to do

00:29:20.400 with something

00:29:20.820 about Hunter

00:29:21.580 and China.

00:29:23.740 China must have 1.00

00:29:24.580 some blackmail

00:29:25.280 against Biden

00:29:26.020 because there isn't

00:29:27.360 any other reason.

00:29:29.260 Now,

00:29:29.800 if Biden were

00:29:30.740 to offer a reason,

00:29:31.880 I would take that

00:29:32.600 under consideration.

00:29:34.360 But if he doesn't

00:29:35.480 offer a fucking reason, 0.98

00:29:36.640 and I've never heard one,

00:29:38.420 have you?

00:29:39.760 There are a lot of people

00:29:40.980 who watch the news here.

00:29:42.400 Tell me,

00:29:42.760 have any of you

00:29:43.360 heard a reason

00:29:44.000 for keeping TikTok?

00:29:46.420 Anybody?

00:29:48.300 It doesn't exist, right?

00:29:50.140 It literally doesn't exist.

00:29:52.620 And,

00:29:54.120 right?

00:29:54.900 It doesn't exist.

00:30:02.860 Now,

00:30:03.620 if you think

00:30:04.240 it's because

00:30:04.700 of Generation Z voters,

00:30:06.040 I disagree

00:30:06.680 because it's bipartisan.

00:30:09.380 It's bipartisan.

00:30:11.800 Everybody agrees.

00:30:14.000 All right?

00:30:14.680 So,

00:30:16.100 I think we,

00:30:18.040 here's what I think.

00:30:20.080 If the news industry

00:30:21.540 doesn't ask

00:30:22.120 the right questions

00:30:22.820 and our government

00:30:24.620 doesn't give us reasons,

00:30:26.380 you should,

00:30:27.960 by default,

00:30:28.820 make the worst

00:30:29.680 assumption about them

00:30:30.960 because that's

00:30:32.260 where the evidence points.

00:30:33.960 It doesn't mean

00:30:34.620 you'd be right,

00:30:35.920 but everything

00:30:36.740 that we do

00:30:37.300 with politics

00:30:38.000 is operating assumptions,

00:30:40.240 right?

00:30:40.840 You have to take

00:30:41.620 an operating assumption

00:30:42.760 on every topic

00:30:43.760 until you find out

00:30:45.120 you're wrong,

00:30:46.520 you know,

00:30:46.700 that there's something

00:30:47.280 wrong with the data

00:30:48.000 or your analysis,

00:30:49.180 but you have to take

00:30:50.180 an operating,

00:30:51.960 you know,

00:30:52.920 assumption

00:30:53.360 to move forward.

00:30:54.200 my operating assumption,

00:30:56.360 which my government

00:30:57.120 has given me,

00:30:58.340 is that they're not

00:30:59.100 going to give me

00:30:59.520 a reason why

00:31:00.280 we're keeping TikTok.

00:31:01.840 Therefore,

00:31:02.460 it must be a reason

00:31:03.280 that the public

00:31:03.940 should not see.

00:31:05.860 Give me one other

00:31:06.760 example of what

00:31:07.680 the public should not

00:31:08.940 know about TikTok.

00:31:11.920 Well,

00:31:12.220 it's got to be,

00:31:12.960 yeah,

00:31:13.480 it's either something

00:31:14.260 nefarious

00:31:14.960 or something else

00:31:16.540 nefarious,

00:31:17.620 right?

00:31:18.540 But it's within

00:31:19.520 the nefarious category.

00:31:21.000 We don't know

00:31:22.500 exactly what

00:31:23.300 nefarious thing

00:31:24.180 is happening,

00:31:25.520 but it's definitely

00:31:26.180 nefarious.

00:31:27.800 Definitely nefarious.

00:31:31.760 So,

00:31:33.000 and I also noticed

00:31:34.200 that neither

00:31:34.820 Senator Cotton

00:31:35.780 nor Warner

00:31:36.620 mentioned the risk

00:31:38.240 of persuasion

00:31:39.180 from TikTok.

00:31:40.380 They both mentioned

00:31:41.340 the data privacy element,

00:31:44.040 which has its own,

00:31:45.060 you know,

00:31:45.480 risks.

00:31:46.960 But

00:31:47.340 why didn't

00:31:49.500 either of them

00:31:50.300 mention the

00:31:51.380 persuasion risk?

00:31:53.700 Why do you think?

00:31:55.760 Tell me why

00:31:56.600 you don't think

00:31:57.180 either of them

00:31:57.740 mentioned the

00:31:58.360 persuasion risk.

00:32:05.020 They don't,

00:32:05.900 they don't

00:32:06.560 understand it?

00:32:08.180 Well,

00:32:08.760 they certainly

00:32:09.200 understand that

00:32:09.940 social media

00:32:10.660 influences opinions.

00:32:13.060 Everybody

00:32:13.580 understands that.

00:32:15.680 You're okay with it,

00:32:16.800 somebody says.

00:32:17.520 All right,

00:32:20.920 well,

00:32:21.160 I don't know

00:32:21.520 the answer to that.

00:32:22.740 So,

00:32:23.240 you want to hear

00:32:24.320 something amazing?

00:32:26.720 All right,

00:32:27.120 I want you to just

00:32:28.040 feel this next story

00:32:30.360 for how amazing it is,

00:32:32.760 in a good way.

00:32:34.220 So this is going to be

00:32:35.060 the good amazing thing.

00:32:37.260 So,

00:32:37.820 because Twitter exists,

00:32:40.000 people like me

00:32:40.900 can contact

00:32:42.520 people I normally

00:32:43.600 would not be able

00:32:44.200 to contact.

00:32:44.560 And the reason

00:32:46.060 that I have

00:32:46.720 lots of reach

00:32:47.460 on Twitter

00:32:48.000 is,

00:32:49.140 why?

00:32:49.860 Why do I have

00:32:50.640 lots of followers

00:32:51.540 on Twitter?

00:32:52.680 Is it because

00:32:53.480 of Dilbert?

00:32:55.080 I think Dilbert

00:32:56.000 gives me

00:32:56.940 50 to 100,000

00:32:58.160 users.

00:32:59.480 And I'm

00:32:59.960 pushing

00:33:00.520 800,000 now.

00:33:02.020 I think most

00:33:02.900 of it,

00:33:03.700 most of it

00:33:04.900 is based on

00:33:05.920 I say things

00:33:06.840 that people

00:33:07.220 want to hear.

00:33:08.780 I think.

00:33:10.000 You know,

00:33:10.220 I say things

00:33:10.780 that people

00:33:11.100 want to hear.

00:33:11.500 Now,

00:33:13.280 this allowed

00:33:14.400 me

00:33:14.820 to have

00:33:16.580 a sort

00:33:17.480 of a voice

00:33:18.720 where normally

00:33:20.440 if you went

00:33:20.900 back,

00:33:21.320 you know,

00:33:21.540 50 years

00:33:22.040 or whatever,

00:33:22.640 the only people

00:33:23.340 who would

00:33:23.640 influence politics

00:33:24.680 would be

00:33:25.980 people they

00:33:26.580 knew personally.

00:33:28.140 Right?

00:33:28.900 So in order

00:33:29.600 to influence

00:33:30.180 politics,

00:33:30.740 you had to

00:33:31.000 be in politics

00:33:31.980 or an advisor

00:33:33.020 or physically

00:33:34.720 nearby.

00:33:35.900 You know,

00:33:36.200 maybe the news

00:33:36.800 a little bit.

00:33:37.940 But an ordinary

00:33:38.800 person

00:33:39.440 couldn't just

00:33:40.660 do good

00:33:41.340 work

00:33:41.760 and then

00:33:42.740 have an

00:33:43.120 influence.

00:33:44.320 You know,

00:33:44.500 maybe an

00:33:44.860 expert in

00:33:45.320 some cases.

00:33:47.340 So I'm

00:33:48.080 going to use

00:33:48.460 my universal

00:33:49.860 analogy

00:33:52.140 person.

00:33:53.460 You know,

00:33:54.100 who I always

00:33:54.560 use for my

00:33:55.100 universal

00:33:55.600 analogies.

00:33:56.920 I don't know

00:33:57.680 why this is

00:33:58.240 true,

00:33:59.500 but Mike

00:34:00.120 Cernovich works

00:34:00.920 as an example

00:34:02.220 of so many

00:34:02.880 things.

00:34:03.820 I use them

00:34:04.600 all the time.

00:34:05.900 It's amazing

00:34:06.500 how often it

00:34:07.000 works.

00:34:07.820 Mike Cernovich

00:34:08.360 has never

00:34:08.860 been in

00:34:09.220 politics

00:34:09.760 or never

00:34:11.200 been elected

00:34:11.620 to office

00:34:12.100 and he

00:34:15.140 wasn't famous

00:34:15.940 before Twitter.

00:34:18.460 But now

00:34:19.220 he's, you

00:34:19.840 know,

00:34:19.940 got a big

00:34:20.340 influence,

00:34:20.980 big audience.

00:34:22.040 Why?

00:34:23.300 Because he

00:34:24.460 does a really

00:34:24.960 good job

00:34:25.440 of tweeting

00:34:25.840 and, you

00:34:27.260 know,

00:34:27.500 related stuff,

00:34:28.780 you know,

00:34:29.120 Epstein stuff,

00:34:30.060 a lot of,

00:34:30.640 you know,

00:34:31.060 genuine

00:34:31.400 accomplishments.

00:34:32.940 So somebody

00:34:34.940 like Cernovich

00:34:35.540 has a voice

00:34:36.920 in politics

00:34:37.660 entirely based

00:34:39.380 on competence.

00:34:41.920 Right?

00:34:43.120 It was just

00:34:43.880 that he did

00:34:44.400 good work

00:34:45.100 that allowed

00:34:46.280 his voice

00:34:46.800 to have

00:34:47.820 meaning.

00:34:48.860 Now,

00:34:49.360 here's where

00:34:49.800 I'm going to

00:34:50.040 pull it all

00:34:50.480 together.

00:34:51.680 Because of

00:34:52.560 this Twitter

00:34:53.400 effect where

00:34:54.040 ordinary people's,

00:34:55.280 you know,

00:34:55.700 voices can be

00:34:56.620 elevated.

00:34:57.800 Now,

00:34:58.100 who elevated

00:34:58.680 my voice?

00:34:59.320 Did I do

00:34:59.700 that myself?

00:35:01.080 I did not.

00:35:02.040 I did not

00:35:02.840 do it myself.

00:35:03.460 I didn't have

00:35:03.780 that power.

00:35:05.020 You did.

00:35:06.140 Right?

00:35:06.500 The people

00:35:06.880 who follow me

00:35:07.700 decided that

00:35:09.020 by following

00:35:09.680 or retweeting

00:35:10.380 me,

00:35:10.960 they would

00:35:11.340 boost my

00:35:11.900 voice.

00:35:13.120 So,

00:35:14.200 there's this

00:35:15.000 weird kind

00:35:15.460 of group

00:35:16.060 phenomena

00:35:16.960 in which

00:35:18.340 the same

00:35:18.820 way that

00:35:19.280 Twitter,

00:35:19.900 you know,

00:35:21.680 Twitter

00:35:22.080 context will

00:35:23.140 be sort

00:35:23.640 of voted

00:35:24.000 up,

00:35:24.360 but across

00:35:24.820 demographics.

00:35:27.140 Would I

00:35:27.760 do anything

00:35:28.220 good on

00:35:29.300 Twitter,

00:35:29.860 or useful,

00:35:30.600 let's say

00:35:30.880 useful,

00:35:31.220 then it

00:35:32.620 gets boosted.

00:35:34.000 So,

00:35:34.780 you have

00:35:35.300 allowed me

00:35:36.040 to do

00:35:36.600 the thing

00:35:36.940 that I

00:35:37.260 did today.

00:35:38.780 So,

00:35:39.120 this is

00:35:39.560 what you

00:35:40.060 allowed me

00:35:40.660 to do.

00:35:41.980 Send a

00:35:42.660 direct message

00:35:43.360 to Tom

00:35:44.020 Cotton,

00:35:44.840 and ask

00:35:45.640 him why

00:35:45.960 he doesn't

00:35:46.480 mention the

00:35:47.380 influence part

00:35:48.480 of TikTok,

00:35:49.420 and he

00:35:49.880 concentrates

00:35:50.520 on the

00:35:51.200 privacy part.

00:35:53.020 Now,

00:35:53.300 I got to

00:35:53.680 ask him

00:35:54.060 the direct

00:35:54.460 question because

00:35:55.120 he follows

00:35:55.640 me on

00:35:56.040 Twitter,

00:35:57.440 and vice

00:35:57.940 versa.

00:35:58.180 right?

00:36:00.460 Now,

00:36:01.720 doesn't that

00:36:02.220 just blow 0.82

00:36:02.640 you away?

00:36:04.260 Just think

00:36:04.720 about that.

00:36:05.860 I asked

00:36:06.520 him directly.

00:36:08.900 He gets

00:36:10.620 off of

00:36:11.000 Fox News

00:36:11.640 talking about

00:36:12.240 one of the

00:36:12.580 biggest issues,

00:36:13.540 in my opinion,

00:36:14.140 in the

00:36:14.400 country,

00:36:14.960 and I can

00:36:15.880 just ask

00:36:16.320 him directly

00:36:16.820 the exact

00:36:18.500 question that

00:36:19.080 I want to

00:36:19.400 ask.

00:36:20.380 But why

00:36:21.340 did I have

00:36:21.840 to ask

00:36:22.160 him that

00:36:22.420 question?

00:36:23.800 There's

00:36:24.240 nobody in

00:36:24.720 the whole

00:36:25.000 news business

00:36:25.640 who would

00:36:25.980 ask him

00:36:26.360 that

00:36:26.500 question,

00:36:27.580 and the

00:36:27.780 answer is

00:36:28.140 there wasn't.

00:36:29.340 There was

00:36:29.600 nobody in

00:36:30.100 the news

00:36:30.400 question to

00:36:30.900 ask that

00:36:31.240 question.

00:36:32.500 Now,

00:36:33.420 I don't

00:36:34.740 think he'd

00:36:35.120 mind if I

00:36:36.040 tell you

00:36:36.340 what I

00:36:36.680 said.

00:36:37.160 I'm not

00:36:37.500 sure I'll

00:36:37.780 tell you.

00:36:38.260 If he

00:36:38.460 responds,

00:36:39.820 that would

00:36:40.200 be a

00:36:40.440 private

00:36:40.760 response,

00:36:41.780 and I

00:36:41.960 wouldn't

00:36:42.140 tell you

00:36:42.400 what he

00:36:42.640 said

00:36:42.820 necessarily.

00:36:44.300 So he

00:36:44.720 hasn't

00:36:44.920 responded,

00:36:45.380 but let

00:36:45.560 me tell

00:36:45.780 you what

00:36:45.980 I said.

00:36:46.640 All right?

00:36:47.380 So this

00:36:47.800 is what

00:36:48.300 I sent

00:36:48.620 to

00:36:48.860 Senator

00:36:49.280 Cotton.

00:36:50.380 I

00:36:50.560 said,

00:36:50.820 about

00:36:50.940 TikTok,

00:36:51.540 I see

00:36:51.840 you

00:36:51.940 explain

00:36:52.280 the

00:36:52.480 data

00:36:52.720 security

00:36:53.200 risk,

00:36:53.680 but not

00:36:53.940 the

00:36:54.100 greater

00:36:54.340 risk

00:36:54.760 of

00:36:55.380 Chinese

00:36:55.940 weaponized

00:36:57.040 persuasion

00:36:57.860 via content

00:36:59.220 delivery.

00:37:01.080 There's

00:37:01.560 a reason

00:37:01.860 Chinese users

00:37:02.700 don't have

00:37:03.220 access to

00:37:03.880 the same

00:37:04.240 TikTok we

00:37:05.020 do.

00:37:06.340 Now,

00:37:06.720 I assume

00:37:07.160 he knew

00:37:07.440 that,

00:37:08.520 because he's

00:37:09.000 well-informed,

00:37:10.180 but maybe

00:37:10.700 not.

00:37:11.340 I just

00:37:11.720 wanted to

00:37:12.060 cover that,

00:37:12.660 that he

00:37:12.880 knows that

00:37:13.380 China doesn't 1.00

00:37:14.860 get the

00:37:15.160 same version

00:37:15.960 we do.

00:37:16.400 And I

00:37:19.040 said,

00:37:19.420 do you

00:37:21.300 have a

00:37:21.640 different

00:37:21.940 view of

00:37:22.440 the

00:37:22.600 persuasion

00:37:23.140 risk?

00:37:24.040 And then

00:37:24.460 I said,

00:37:24.960 parenthetically,

00:37:25.680 I'm a

00:37:25.960 trained

00:37:26.480 hypnotist,

00:37:27.440 and I

00:37:27.900 see the

00:37:28.220 risk as

00:37:28.700 WMD

00:37:29.420 level.

00:37:30.840 So then

00:37:31.460 I went

00:37:31.720 on.

00:37:31.980 I said,

00:37:32.260 if you

00:37:32.520 haven't

00:37:32.740 used

00:37:33.000 TikTok,

00:37:33.520 because I

00:37:33.780 think this

00:37:34.140 might be

00:37:34.440 the problem.

00:37:35.980 This

00:37:36.220 might be

00:37:36.600 the

00:37:36.760 problem.

00:37:38.380 I said,

00:37:39.020 if you

00:37:39.260 haven't

00:37:39.520 used

00:37:39.800 TikTok,

00:37:40.420 or the

00:37:40.860 similar

00:37:41.160 feature on

00:37:41.660 Instagram,

00:37:42.400 you might

00:37:43.020 not realize

00:37:43.700 how powerful

00:37:44.560 they have

00:37:45.020 become.

00:37:45.440 It isn't

00:37:46.480 just content

00:37:47.220 now.

00:37:48.140 They can

00:37:48.540 turn on

00:37:49.000 your dopamine

00:37:49.580 faucet and

00:37:50.400 just keep

00:37:50.880 it there.

00:37:51.820 I'm 65,

00:37:53.400 and it

00:37:53.880 zombifies me

00:37:54.860 instantly,

00:37:55.860 now that I

00:37:56.580 learned my

00:37:57.000 content

00:37:57.460 preferences.

00:37:58.260 True story.

00:37:59.460 If I

00:38:00.020 were 12,

00:38:01.240 it would

00:38:01.580 own my

00:38:02.020 brain

00:38:02.300 completely.

00:38:05.680 And it

00:38:06.400 does,

00:38:06.920 for 12

00:38:07.500 year olds.

00:38:08.280 You might

00:38:08.720 have a,

00:38:09.360 and then I

00:38:10.240 said to

00:38:10.800 the senator,

00:38:12.320 you might

00:38:12.700 have a

00:38:13.040 serious

00:38:13.380 education

00:38:14.060 issue in

00:38:14.620 Congress,

00:38:15.440 on the

00:38:15.860 current

00:38:16.200 power of

00:38:17.000 content

00:38:17.540 persuasion.

00:38:18.620 I don't

00:38:19.260 yet see a

00:38:19.840 sign that

00:38:20.240 China

00:38:20.540 weaponized

00:38:21.160 TikTok

00:38:21.520 persuasion.

00:38:22.360 I haven't

00:38:22.600 seen it

00:38:22.900 yet.

00:38:23.740 But if

00:38:24.260 they do,

00:38:25.020 it will

00:38:25.480 not be

00:38:25.860 obvious,

00:38:26.860 and it

00:38:27.200 will be

00:38:27.580 profound

00:38:28.140 and nearly

00:38:28.760 instant.

00:38:31.160 Now,

00:38:31.680 how was

00:38:32.000 that?

00:38:33.540 How did

00:38:34.000 I do?

00:38:35.400 Did I

00:38:35.820 make my

00:38:36.160 case?

00:38:40.480 Okay,

00:38:41.260 I think I

00:38:42.040 made my

00:38:42.380 case.

00:38:42.680 things.

00:38:43.600 So,

00:38:44.240 it could

00:38:44.700 be that

00:38:45.180 there's

00:38:45.380 actually a

00:38:45.900 really good

00:38:46.360 reason for

00:38:47.720 why things

00:38:48.280 are where

00:38:49.680 they are.

00:38:50.860 And because

00:38:51.320 I have a

00:38:51.660 lot of

00:38:51.840 respect for

00:38:52.500 Senator

00:38:52.880 Cotton,

00:38:53.880 I suppose

00:38:54.460 he'll tell

00:38:54.820 me.

00:38:56.320 I know.

00:38:56.740 He's

00:38:56.940 responded

00:38:57.380 before to

00:38:58.020 a compliment

00:38:58.680 I sent

00:38:59.140 by DM.

00:39:00.500 So,

00:39:01.700 he might

00:39:02.080 see it,

00:39:02.380 he might

00:39:02.620 respond,

00:39:03.220 and if

00:39:03.560 he does,

00:39:05.080 I'll decide

00:39:06.040 whether I

00:39:06.420 can tell

00:39:06.720 you.

00:39:06.960 It'll be a

00:39:07.380 private message,

00:39:08.020 so don't

00:39:08.980 assume that

00:39:09.420 I'll tell

00:39:09.700 you.

00:39:15.300 So,

00:39:16.220 let's talk

00:39:17.720 about

00:39:17.920 fentanyl.

00:39:19.380 My opinion

00:39:20.080 on fentanyl

00:39:20.740 might be

00:39:21.420 drifting a

00:39:22.020 little bit,

00:39:22.800 which will

00:39:23.340 surprise you.

00:39:27.060 So,

00:39:27.840 here's the

00:39:28.860 thing.

00:39:30.740 There's a

00:39:31.400 question that

00:39:32.240 if we had

00:39:32.780 a free

00:39:33.160 press,

00:39:34.400 they would

00:39:34.760 be asking

00:39:35.320 every politician

00:39:36.320 this question.

00:39:37.800 You ready

00:39:38.120 for this?

00:39:38.520 And when I

00:39:39.280 tell you

00:39:39.540 what the

00:39:39.780 question is,

00:39:41.520 don't hate

00:39:42.860 the current

00:39:43.440 press too

00:39:44.000 much.

00:39:45.920 Because you're

00:39:46.620 going to

00:39:46.800 start hating, 0.79

00:39:47.860 you're going

00:39:48.200 to hate

00:39:48.660 your journalists

00:39:50.300 as soon as

00:39:50.860 you hear the

00:39:51.240 question.

00:39:51.820 Because it's

00:39:52.220 so obvious,

00:39:52.980 and nobody's

00:39:53.420 asked it.

00:39:54.300 Here's the

00:39:54.720 question.

00:39:56.000 Hey,

00:39:56.260 politician,

00:39:57.640 why do you

00:39:58.420 rank the

00:39:58.820 safety of

00:39:59.380 the Mexican

00:39:59.920 cartels above

00:40:00.980 the safety

00:40:01.440 of Americans?

00:40:04.260 There it

00:40:04.860 is.

00:40:05.960 That question

00:40:06.900 needs to be

00:40:08.240 asked of

00:40:09.520 every politician

00:40:10.380 every time

00:40:11.060 they go in

00:40:11.440 public.

00:40:12.400 Because they

00:40:13.000 are.

00:40:13.920 And I don't

00:40:14.460 know the

00:40:14.760 answer to

00:40:15.160 it.

00:40:16.100 There might

00:40:16.500 be a good

00:40:16.840 reason.

00:40:17.880 What if they

00:40:18.300 have a good

00:40:18.620 reason?

00:40:19.880 Maybe they

00:40:20.500 say, oh,

00:40:21.200 you don't

00:40:21.500 know,

00:40:21.840 Scott,

00:40:22.560 if we went

00:40:24.360 against the

00:40:24.820 cartels,

00:40:25.740 they might

00:40:26.460 kill even

00:40:27.000 more people

00:40:27.560 than they're

00:40:27.940 killing now.

00:40:29.260 I'm not

00:40:29.700 saying that

00:40:30.040 would be a

00:40:30.420 good argument,

00:40:31.120 but maybe

00:40:31.480 it exists.

00:40:32.420 Maybe there's

00:40:32.820 some kind of

00:40:33.280 argument like

00:40:33.880 that.

00:40:34.260 Or they

00:40:35.800 might say,

00:40:36.840 oh, we

00:40:37.740 can't set a

00:40:38.340 precedent.

00:40:39.660 Maybe.

00:40:40.660 Maybe that's

00:40:41.260 the argument.

00:40:41.800 It wouldn't

00:40:42.260 convince me,

00:40:43.480 but I'd like

00:40:44.100 to hear the

00:40:44.460 argument.

00:40:46.340 Now, how

00:40:47.580 much do you

00:40:48.480 hate the

00:40:49.420 fact that

00:40:50.680 that's never

00:40:51.180 been asked?

00:40:52.860 You've never

00:40:53.580 seen that

00:40:54.000 asked, have

00:40:54.540 you?

00:40:55.440 Right?

00:40:56.680 No one has

00:40:57.200 ever asked

00:40:57.720 that question.

00:40:58.820 And that's

00:40:59.280 exactly what's

00:41:00.020 happening.

00:41:00.320 They are

00:41:02.040 putting the

00:41:02.700 well-being of

00:41:03.440 the cartels,

00:41:05.060 and presumably

00:41:05.820 there would

00:41:06.240 be, you

00:41:06.900 know, non-cartel

00:41:08.440 collateral damage

00:41:09.520 that nobody

00:41:10.000 wants.

00:41:10.840 But let me

00:41:11.440 tell you how

00:41:11.900 I would do

00:41:12.380 it.

00:41:13.320 If I were

00:41:13.980 going to

00:41:14.340 attack the

00:41:14.840 cartels, I

00:41:15.440 would do it

00:41:15.780 this way.

00:41:16.460 I would give

00:41:17.160 them warning

00:41:17.760 so that the

00:41:19.240 innocents can 0.99

00:41:20.040 get away. 0.73

00:41:21.340 You know, give

00:41:21.640 them plenty of

00:41:22.200 time, say,

00:41:23.200 this facility

00:41:24.380 will disappear

00:41:25.820 in 24 hours.

00:41:27.160 Make sure

00:41:27.640 you're not

00:41:27.940 standing there.

00:41:29.700 Now, what

00:41:30.120 would they

00:41:30.380 do?

00:41:30.760 Well, they'd

00:41:31.120 have a day

00:41:31.640 to collect

00:41:32.220 all their

00:41:32.680 valuable, you

00:41:33.660 know, fentanyl

00:41:34.320 making stuff

00:41:35.040 and quickly

00:41:36.020 move it to

00:41:36.580 another site.

00:41:38.380 Excellent.

00:41:39.820 As soon as

00:41:40.420 they set up

00:41:40.920 that new

00:41:41.300 site, you

00:41:42.540 say, you

00:41:43.440 got 24

00:41:44.100 hours, this

00:41:45.400 new site is

00:41:46.320 going to

00:41:46.620 disappear.

00:41:47.920 Then they

00:41:48.200 got to

00:41:48.420 collect it

00:41:48.840 all up and

00:41:49.280 move again.

00:41:50.360 Fine.

00:41:51.400 I'm okay

00:41:51.860 with that.

00:41:53.040 Let's just

00:41:53.460 keep doing

00:41:53.860 that.

00:41:55.040 Because, you

00:41:55.580 know, you

00:41:55.960 don't mow

00:41:56.400 the lawn

00:41:56.780 once.

00:41:58.240 You've got

00:41:58.760 to mow

00:41:59.000 it every

00:41:59.300 week.

00:42:00.120 That's

00:42:00.500 what a

00:42:00.820 lawn does.

00:42:01.660 Fennsville is

00:42:02.140 the same

00:42:02.440 thing.

00:42:02.980 Cartels.

00:42:03.800 You don't

00:42:04.240 mow them

00:42:04.660 once.

00:42:05.960 You've just

00:42:06.320 got to go

00:42:06.680 back every

00:42:07.160 day and

00:42:07.580 keep mowing

00:42:08.060 them, mowing

00:42:08.540 them, mowing

00:42:08.940 them.

00:42:09.380 And that's

00:42:09.780 just your

00:42:10.120 full-time

00:42:10.500 job.

00:42:11.460 Mowing the

00:42:12.020 lawn.

00:42:13.400 Now, anyway,

00:42:16.620 so if the

00:42:18.060 problem is

00:42:18.820 collateral

00:42:19.340 damage, I

00:42:21.380 feel like that

00:42:21.960 could be

00:42:22.260 handled.

00:42:22.560 like, you

00:42:23.940 could minimize

00:42:24.560 that.

00:42:29.440 But I'm

00:42:30.080 also feeling

00:42:30.740 that the

00:42:31.740 fact that

00:42:32.440 fentanyl is

00:42:33.220 not being

00:42:33.600 dealt with,

00:42:34.600 there could

00:42:35.060 be like an 0.65

00:42:36.600 unspoken

00:42:37.300 strategy here.

00:42:39.380 And I think

00:42:40.080 that's a

00:42:40.460 thing.

00:42:41.400 And I think

00:42:41.840 that there's an

00:42:42.780 unspoken strategy

00:42:43.840 in Israel on

00:42:44.940 birth rate.

00:42:45.600 We'll talk

00:42:45.900 about that

00:42:46.300 pretty soon.

00:42:46.700 But sometimes

00:42:47.880 there are

00:42:48.240 unspoken

00:42:48.860 strategies.

00:42:50.440 And here's

00:42:50.780 the unspoken

00:42:51.520 strategy of

00:42:52.960 American

00:42:53.400 politicians.

00:42:55.460 I think

00:42:56.420 they want a

00:42:57.520 better ratio

00:42:58.340 of non-addicts

00:43:00.560 to addicts.

00:43:02.300 And the

00:43:02.660 more addicts

00:43:03.600 or people

00:43:04.440 who could

00:43:04.860 become addicts,

00:43:06.280 the more

00:43:06.680 of them that

00:43:07.120 die, the 0.76

00:43:08.860 healthier the

00:43:09.440 country is.

00:43:11.920 And that

00:43:12.800 nobody's

00:43:13.320 thinking maybe

00:43:13.980 in that exact

00:43:15.540 way,

00:43:16.700 but that

00:43:17.600 at a

00:43:17.900 subconscious

00:43:18.360 level,

00:43:19.940 at a

00:43:20.300 subconscious

00:43:20.780 level,

00:43:22.040 we all

00:43:22.480 know the

00:43:22.800 country's

00:43:23.200 better off

00:43:23.760 if these

00:43:24.280 addicts

00:43:24.680 die.

00:43:26.740 Now let

00:43:27.320 me say the

00:43:27.720 harshest thing

00:43:28.360 you'll ever

00:43:28.720 hear.

00:43:29.840 My stepson

00:43:30.640 died of

00:43:31.640 an overdose

00:43:32.620 included

00:43:33.300 fentanyl.

00:43:37.420 And in

00:43:38.420 my opinion,

00:43:39.120 the world

00:43:39.380 is better

00:43:39.780 off without

00:43:40.260 him, like

00:43:41.140 a lot

00:43:41.400 better.

00:43:43.160 And I've

00:43:43.700 said this

00:43:44.020 before,

00:43:44.680 it's

00:43:45.340 horrible.

00:43:46.700 Because I

00:43:47.000 loved that

00:43:47.440 kid like

00:43:48.400 crazy.

00:43:49.580 I loved

00:43:50.080 him, but

00:43:51.200 there wasn't

00:43:51.740 any doubt

00:43:52.320 that he was

00:43:52.840 bad for

00:43:53.280 the world.

00:43:54.300 Like he

00:43:54.560 was really

00:43:54.880 bad for

00:43:55.260 the world.

00:43:55.980 I think

00:43:56.480 he could

00:43:56.740 have killed

00:43:57.000 somebody,

00:43:57.740 like

00:43:57.920 accidentally,

00:43:58.680 maybe with

00:43:59.200 like sharing

00:44:00.420 a drug or

00:44:01.080 driving

00:44:01.920 unsafely or

00:44:02.700 something.

00:44:02.980 He was

00:44:03.280 terribly,

00:44:04.140 terribly

00:44:04.340 dangerous.

00:44:05.520 And the

00:44:06.100 world is

00:44:06.460 better off

00:44:06.900 without him.

00:44:08.100 Now his

00:44:08.800 family, maybe

00:44:09.540 not, who

00:44:10.480 knows.

00:44:10.760 But I

00:44:12.500 believe that

00:44:13.000 that attitude

00:44:13.580 is behind

00:44:14.300 the lack

00:44:15.300 of fentanyl

00:44:16.940 action.

00:44:18.160 I believe

00:44:18.920 that everybody

00:44:19.400 who thinks,

00:44:20.120 yeah, on a

00:44:21.560 public and

00:44:22.280 logical level,

00:44:23.640 we can't let

00:44:24.700 China and the 0.91

00:44:25.600 cartels be

00:44:26.300 killing our

00:44:26.820 young people.

00:44:28.340 On the other

00:44:29.080 hand,

00:44:29.600 subconsciously,

00:44:30.720 do I care if

00:44:32.020 those people

00:44:32.740 die?

00:44:33.100 I actually

00:44:34.560 believe that

00:44:38.920 we have a

00:44:39.980 subconscious

00:44:40.520 strategy of

00:44:41.480 reducing the

00:44:42.340 addicts to

00:44:43.040 non-addicts

00:44:43.760 ratio, because

00:44:45.120 it makes the

00:44:45.560 country healthier.

00:44:46.920 Yeah, I don't

00:44:47.420 want to say

00:44:47.840 cull the herd,

00:44:48.940 because that's

00:44:49.660 just too

00:44:50.020 fucked up. 0.93

00:44:50.980 But we do

00:44:52.060 need fewer

00:44:52.680 addicts to

00:44:54.180 non-addicts.

00:44:55.080 Would you

00:44:55.460 agree?

00:44:56.300 The ratio of

00:44:57.380 addicts to

00:44:57.960 non-addicts could

00:44:58.880 reach a tipping

00:44:59.500 point, and I

00:45:01.020 don't know, we

00:45:01.420 could be close.

00:45:02.940 We might be

00:45:03.500 close.

00:45:05.060 Am I wrong?

00:45:06.660 Because one

00:45:07.920 addict destroys

00:45:08.820 maybe an

00:45:09.800 entire family.

00:45:11.500 So the

00:45:11.960 ratio of

00:45:12.740 addict to

00:45:13.580 destruction is

00:45:14.360 like one to

00:45:15.040 five, something

00:45:16.480 like that.

00:45:17.180 Like every

00:45:17.660 addict will

00:45:18.300 destroy five

00:45:19.140 other lives

00:45:19.860 indirectly.

00:45:22.080 So at

00:45:22.960 what point do

00:45:24.100 you have

00:45:24.300 enough addicts

00:45:25.060 where basically

00:45:25.600 everybody's life

00:45:26.340 is destroyed?

00:45:28.020 Like nobody

00:45:28.680 is free from

00:45:30.320 their destruction.

00:45:31.900 You know, if

00:45:32.500 you look at

00:45:32.860 the streets, you

00:45:33.480 see this zombie

00:45:34.360 apocalypse.

00:45:35.660 People walk

00:45:36.180 around like

00:45:37.820 that.

00:45:38.820 How many

00:45:39.300 of them is

00:45:39.800 too many?

00:45:42.740 Now, as

00:45:43.940 harsh as this

00:45:44.520 sounds, I'm

00:45:46.220 starting to

00:45:46.980 realize that the

00:45:48.300 country doesn't

00:45:49.000 want it to

00:45:49.500 stop, or else

00:45:51.880 it would have

00:45:52.200 already happened.

00:45:54.280 I believe that

00:45:55.140 subconsciously we

00:45:56.040 want these people

00:45:56.680 to die.

00:45:58.160 Not consciously.

00:46:00.200 If you ask

00:46:00.960 somebody, they

00:46:01.380 would say,

00:46:01.840 honestly, no, I

00:46:02.700 don't want this

00:46:03.080 to happen.

00:46:03.840 We try to get

00:46:04.380 them in

00:46:04.600 treatment.

00:46:04.840 But I

00:46:05.960 don't believe

00:46:06.300 that subconsciously

00:46:07.100 they believe

00:46:07.480 that.

00:46:09.260 What do you

00:46:09.900 think?

00:46:11.380 Do you think

00:46:11.960 I'm on to

00:46:12.460 anything or

00:46:12.860 no?

00:46:13.540 Because people

00:46:14.080 say it

00:46:14.460 directly, but

00:46:15.160 it's usually

00:46:15.580 trolls and

00:46:16.620 assholes on

00:46:17.400 social media.

00:46:18.860 But in

00:46:20.700 theory, I

00:46:21.340 would be the

00:46:21.820 last person to

00:46:22.840 adopt that

00:46:23.520 point of view

00:46:24.140 because I

00:46:25.120 lost a family

00:46:25.940 member.

00:46:27.320 But even I

00:46:28.180 have some

00:46:29.160 sympathy for it.

00:46:30.820 We actually

00:46:31.360 don't have any

00:46:32.440 way to stop

00:46:32.960 addiction.

00:46:34.120 Nothing.

00:46:34.600 I don't know

00:46:35.020 of any way.

00:46:36.520 And at the

00:46:36.960 same time, we

00:46:37.660 can't have this

00:46:38.220 many addicts.

00:46:40.000 It might be

00:46:40.820 solving itself.

00:46:43.060 As awful as

00:46:44.160 that sounds, it

00:46:45.420 might be solving

00:46:46.140 itself.

00:46:46.880 This might be a

00:46:47.520 self-correcting

00:46:48.180 problem.

00:46:50.200 I hate to say

00:46:51.060 it.

00:46:51.540 Now, which

00:46:51.860 doesn't say that

00:46:52.520 there will be

00:46:52.840 plenty of people

00:46:54.300 who weren't

00:46:55.300 going to become

00:46:55.820 addicts, got a

00:46:57.340 bad pill, died

00:46:59.200 when they would

00:46:59.740 have actually

00:47:00.220 turned it

00:47:01.200 around and

00:47:01.720 become productive

00:47:02.700 citizens.

00:47:03.540 And we all

00:47:04.080 understand that.

00:47:05.420 But I think

00:47:05.780 overall, I think

00:47:08.560 the country has

00:47:09.160 taken a

00:47:09.640 Darwinian opinion

00:47:10.500 to this because

00:47:11.340 there's no other

00:47:11.900 explanation.

00:47:13.700 There's no other

00:47:14.480 explanation.

00:47:15.400 I think people

00:47:16.080 at a base

00:47:17.040 level want the

00:47:18.540 addicts to be

00:47:19.200 dead because

00:47:20.540 they don't want

00:47:21.000 them in their

00:47:21.320 neighborhood.

00:47:21.780 They don't want

00:47:22.120 to deal with

00:47:22.560 them.

00:47:23.020 They don't want

00:47:23.460 to pay for

00:47:23.920 them.

00:47:24.240 They don't

00:47:24.480 want to go

00:47:25.680 through the

00:47:26.120 frustration of

00:47:26.900 trying to

00:47:27.260 clean them up

00:47:27.860 because it

00:47:28.240 doesn't work

00:47:29.080 very often.

00:47:29.740 So, but I

00:47:35.140 think we just

00:47:35.640 have to

00:47:36.200 understand who

00:47:37.180 we are.

00:47:38.320 If that's who

00:47:38.920 we are, maybe

00:47:40.300 that's who we

00:47:40.800 are.

00:47:44.040 All right.

00:47:45.340 Let's talk about

00:47:46.200 the declining

00:47:47.180 birth rate, which

00:47:48.260 seems to be like

00:47:49.260 the biggest problem

00:47:49.940 in the world, some

00:47:50.660 would say, and I

00:47:51.620 would agree.

00:47:52.860 It's up there with

00:47:53.620 the biggest problems

00:47:54.260 in the world.

00:47:54.680 Why is it that

00:47:56.560 birth rates are

00:47:57.360 declining everywhere

00:47:58.280 it seems except

00:47:59.200 Israel? 0.53

00:48:00.780 Anybody have a

00:48:01.460 theory for that?

00:48:03.800 I had a

00:48:04.920 fascinating

00:48:05.860 exchange today

00:48:07.860 with David

00:48:09.180 Boxenhorn,

00:48:10.560 who lives in

00:48:11.920 Israel, and

00:48:12.600 we're speculating

00:48:14.160 why Israel 0.88

00:48:15.260 has good

00:48:17.920 population

00:48:18.540 growth.

00:48:20.380 Not enough,

00:48:21.380 by the way.

00:48:22.020 Even in Israel, 0.92

00:48:22.980 I don't think it's

00:48:23.720 enough, but

00:48:24.920 it's better than

00:48:25.660 even, but think

00:48:27.220 about this, it's

00:48:27.820 even better than

00:48:28.540 the Arab birth

00:48:29.880 rate within

00:48:30.520 Israel.

00:48:33.540 So, here's my

00:48:37.580 hypothesis.

00:48:39.220 You ready?

00:48:40.680 Follow the

00:48:41.380 money.

00:48:43.100 That's it.

00:48:45.400 It works

00:48:46.200 every time.

00:48:48.000 All right.

00:48:48.440 In the beginning

00:48:49.040 of Israel, the

00:48:50.580 birth rate was

00:48:51.280 lower.

00:48:52.460 In modern

00:48:53.340 Israel, the 0.52

00:48:53.960 birth rate is

00:48:54.540 higher.

00:48:55.700 Follow the

00:48:56.140 money.

00:48:57.620 Follow the

00:48:58.160 money.

00:48:59.100 When you're a

00:49:00.600 new, scrappy,

00:49:01.900 barely-can-survive

00:49:03.040 family, having an

00:49:04.860 extra kid might be a

00:49:05.920 burden, because you

00:49:07.220 don't know if any of

00:49:07.920 this is going to

00:49:08.400 work.

00:49:09.160 Once you're

00:49:09.640 prosperous, as

00:49:10.820 Israel is, and

00:49:12.860 you have this

00:49:13.340 special case in

00:49:14.740 Israel that doesn't 1.00

00:49:16.100 exist anywhere else,

00:49:17.780 you have the

00:49:18.700 narrative of the

00:49:19.920 Holocaust saying 0.65

00:49:21.500 saying that there

00:49:21.900 are people in

00:49:22.480 this world who

00:49:23.580 would like to

00:49:24.060 reduce the

00:49:24.700 number of Jews

00:49:25.460 to zero.

00:49:27.220 Who else has

00:49:28.060 that?

00:49:28.820 The Uyghurs? 1.00

00:49:30.460 Right?

00:49:30.980 Like, that's

00:49:31.720 totally unique.

00:49:33.420 Nobody else has,

00:49:34.420 like, an operating

00:49:35.320 system for their

00:49:36.280 whole life that

00:49:37.500 says there are

00:49:38.020 plenty of people

00:49:38.600 out there who

00:49:39.180 want to reduce

00:49:39.740 the number of

00:49:40.320 you guys to

00:49:41.460 zero.

00:49:42.780 Right?

00:49:43.600 So, on top of

00:49:44.480 that, they live in

00:49:45.660 this little sand

00:49:46.520 island in the middle

00:49:47.520 of enemies, and

00:49:48.820 some of those

00:49:49.280 enemies are

00:49:49.820 lobbying missiles

00:49:50.540 into Israel

00:49:51.260 every day.

00:49:52.980 If you were

00:49:53.840 under attack, and

00:49:56.560 the main thing

00:49:57.660 you could do to

00:49:58.380 defend yourself

00:49:59.160 was more

00:50:01.960 people, what

00:50:04.660 would make

00:50:05.200 Israel more

00:50:06.400 safe?

00:50:07.840 Well, economics,

00:50:09.820 right?

00:50:10.480 How do you get

00:50:11.060 good economics?

00:50:12.600 More people.

00:50:14.560 Military defense?

00:50:16.540 How do you get a

00:50:17.140 good military

00:50:17.740 defense?

00:50:18.880 More people.

00:50:19.820 Right?

00:50:21.580 And military

00:50:22.360 defense and

00:50:23.040 economics are

00:50:23.780 basically inseparable.

00:50:27.320 You know, a good

00:50:27.960 economy gets you a

00:50:29.040 good defense.

00:50:30.860 They're just

00:50:31.360 inseparable.

00:50:32.580 So, I would say

00:50:33.800 that the birth rate

00:50:36.020 in Israel makes

00:50:37.740 sense on at least

00:50:38.680 three levels.

00:50:40.020 And David Boxen

00:50:41.280 Warren suggested

00:50:42.440 the first one.

00:50:43.520 The first one is

00:50:44.420 that the, what's

00:50:46.020 the right word,

00:50:46.520 the most observant,

00:50:50.640 what's the word,

00:50:51.500 traditional orthodox.

00:50:52.840 The most orthodox

00:50:55.020 Jews have had a 0.91

00:50:58.100 high birth rate

00:50:59.080 for a while.

00:51:01.060 So, there's one

00:51:02.380 group in Israel that

00:51:03.500 has a high birth rate

00:51:04.500 and that maybe some

00:51:05.660 of that, you know,

00:51:06.740 cultural influence

00:51:09.600 slopped over.

00:51:11.100 So, some of it

00:51:12.620 could be that

00:51:13.340 there's a group

00:51:14.040 of Jews having 0.98

00:51:14.860 a lot of babies

00:51:15.460 and maybe that

00:51:16.260 just looked popular

00:51:17.780 to other people.

00:51:19.740 But, I would go

00:51:21.760 further and say

00:51:22.460 I think it's because

00:51:23.500 they're a unique

00:51:24.220 situation where

00:51:25.700 they need more

00:51:26.440 humans to make 0.99

00:51:27.760 sure that there

00:51:28.320 are Jews in 0.95

00:51:29.140 a hundred years.

00:51:31.640 How did I do?

00:51:33.440 How's my theory?

00:51:34.400 Because nobody

00:51:34.880 else has that.

00:51:36.120 Nobody else has

00:51:36.780 an operating system

00:51:37.780 that says people

00:51:38.520 want to drive

00:51:39.060 your numbers to

00:51:39.740 zero.

00:51:41.600 I think that would

00:51:42.600 trigger you

00:51:43.180 subconsciously to

00:51:44.900 feel safer if

00:51:46.780 there were just

00:51:47.180 more Jews in 0.94

00:51:48.000 the world.

00:51:49.260 And I don't

00:51:49.660 believe anybody

00:51:50.200 else feels like

00:51:50.880 that.

00:51:52.000 Like, I don't

00:51:52.460 think Americans

00:51:53.120 wake up and

00:51:53.620 say, ah, I

00:51:54.640 better have some

00:51:55.180 babies because

00:51:56.060 that'll keep

00:51:56.840 America safe.

00:51:58.040 Now, as it

00:51:58.640 turns out, you

00:51:59.840 should have some

00:52:00.380 babies to keep

00:52:01.020 America safe, but

00:52:02.220 you're not thinking

00:52:02.820 about it.

00:52:03.580 Because in America

00:52:04.400 we don't have this

00:52:05.180 operating system that

00:52:06.380 says Holocaust,

00:52:07.360 Holocaust, Holocaust,

00:52:08.160 Holocaust, it's 1.00

00:52:08.760 going to happen to

00:52:09.260 you any minute now.

00:52:10.600 Right?

00:52:10.840 But if I did have

00:52:11.580 that, I would

00:52:13.060 think, have some

00:52:14.180 damn babies. 1.00

00:52:15.180 I'm going to need

00:52:15.580 some soldiers.

00:52:17.880 Male and female.

00:52:19.420 Because in Israel, 0.81

00:52:20.560 the women joined 0.63

00:52:21.680 the military, so

00:52:22.760 every baby you

00:52:23.420 have is a soldier.

00:52:25.280 Like, literally,

00:52:26.140 they all have to

00:52:26.740 become soldiers.

00:52:33.800 Yeah, some of you

00:52:35.040 need to start

00:52:35.640 having some babies.

00:52:37.360 All right.

00:52:39.380 That's what I think

00:52:40.360 is happening.

00:52:40.900 Now, the question

00:52:41.500 is, if I'm right,

00:52:43.760 can any of that be

00:52:44.840 generalized to other

00:52:45.940 populations that need

00:52:47.060 more babies?

00:52:48.120 And the answer is,

00:52:48.900 if I'm right, nope.

00:52:51.780 Because there's

00:52:52.360 nothing about Israel

00:52:53.220 that can be

00:52:53.640 generalized to

00:52:54.820 anybody else.

00:52:55.960 How many times

00:52:56.800 have I told you

00:52:57.480 that if you compare

00:52:59.020 the Holocaust to 0.86

00:53:00.060 anything, you're

00:53:02.220 wrong?

00:53:03.860 Like, just

00:53:04.380 automatically.

00:53:04.860 You know, that's

00:53:06.220 like the Holocaust. 0.59

00:53:07.280 No, it isn't.

00:53:08.500 No, it isn't.

00:53:09.540 Stop it.

00:53:11.040 There's nothing

00:53:11.620 like it.

00:53:13.400 So, all right.

00:53:14.960 I said I'd talk

00:53:15.840 about Ye.

00:53:16.320 Thanks for reminding

00:53:17.100 me.

00:53:17.340 Good job.

00:53:19.260 So, Ye is

00:53:22.820 developing his

00:53:23.860 city or community

00:53:25.760 idea where it would

00:53:26.780 be, you know, a

00:53:28.000 Ye-designed city.

00:53:30.560 Now, if the

00:53:31.760 reporting is right,

00:53:32.960 and it's too early

00:53:33.700 to know this is

00:53:34.420 true, the design

00:53:35.620 that he seems to

00:53:36.380 be settling on are

00:53:37.540 these igloo-looking,

00:53:39.880 concrete-looking

00:53:40.660 homes that are

00:53:41.980 sort of like the

00:53:42.720 Star Wars, you

00:53:44.280 know, the planet

00:53:46.080 of Tatooine or

00:53:47.120 whatever it is.

00:53:48.060 And I've seen a

00:53:49.900 number of them.

00:53:50.520 It looks like he

00:53:51.560 is sort of settling

00:53:53.000 on this dome-like

00:53:54.160 design.

00:53:55.260 But here's the

00:53:55.940 problem.

00:53:56.300 They're without

00:53:59.200 windows.

00:54:01.480 They're basically

00:54:02.300 windowless.

00:54:04.160 I don't know how

00:54:05.160 that ever could be

00:54:05.880 a good idea.

00:54:07.360 I feel like he

00:54:08.300 should be going

00:54:08.740 exactly in the

00:54:09.560 opposite direction.

00:54:11.260 In my opinion,

00:54:13.080 you should look for

00:54:13.820 the best insulated

00:54:15.680 glass, make as

00:54:17.720 many glass, you

00:54:18.760 know, walls as

00:54:19.480 you can, and then

00:54:20.960 have a curtain

00:54:21.680 system.

00:54:22.720 By the way, do

00:54:23.240 any of you have,

00:54:24.020 like, three-day

00:54:24.720 blinds?

00:54:25.300 You know, the

00:54:25.720 automatic curtains?

00:54:28.000 They're awesome.

00:54:29.340 They're great.

00:54:30.800 If you don't have,

00:54:31.700 like, automatic

00:54:33.060 curtains, or blinds,

00:54:36.220 blinds, not

00:54:36.740 curtains, if you

00:54:37.580 don't have

00:54:37.880 automatic blinds,

00:54:39.300 go get some.

00:54:40.720 They're freaking

00:54:41.280 amazing because you

00:54:42.460 can, you know,

00:54:42.900 instantly change the

00:54:44.060 environment, the

00:54:45.020 temperature, you

00:54:46.140 know, block the

00:54:46.720 sun, let it in.

00:54:48.280 Like, it gives you

00:54:48.840 all kinds of control

00:54:49.700 over your room.

00:54:50.380 In fact, I have mine

00:54:51.520 on right now where I

00:54:53.080 couldn't light this

00:54:53.840 room properly.

00:54:54.440 So, yeah, I

00:54:59.280 mean, it does cost

00:54:59.880 money, right?

00:55:00.940 But I think, here's

00:55:02.580 what I think.

00:55:03.040 I think EA may be

00:55:05.480 designing to design.

00:55:08.700 Let me say that

00:55:09.540 clearly.

00:55:10.000 I think he's trying

00:55:11.080 to create something

00:55:11.860 that looks good when

00:55:12.820 you look at it,

00:55:13.880 design-wise, and

00:55:15.180 different, but I

00:55:16.760 don't know that he's

00:55:18.020 got the user

00:55:19.080 requirement right.

00:55:20.180 it's sort of

00:55:21.720 looking like maybe

00:55:22.660 he should back

00:55:23.560 up to really

00:55:26.120 check on what

00:55:27.360 makes a human

00:55:27.980 healthy and happy.

00:55:29.920 And I don't know

00:55:30.540 that the igloo is

00:55:31.580 the answer to that.

00:55:33.620 Now, keep in mind,

00:55:35.020 I don't know

00:55:35.480 exactly what he's

00:55:36.320 up to.

00:55:37.020 He did talk about

00:55:37.960 having some kind

00:55:38.800 of light access.

00:55:42.020 so I think the

00:55:43.780 current ones maybe

00:55:44.800 are not built the

00:55:45.980 way the final one

00:55:47.200 would be.

00:55:47.700 So he probably will

00:55:48.520 add more light.

00:55:49.420 So I don't want to

00:55:50.060 assume that he

00:55:51.800 hasn't got that

00:55:52.400 figured out.

00:55:53.120 I'm just saying that

00:55:53.700 so far, I don't see

00:55:55.780 light as being a

00:55:58.540 focus.

00:55:58.960 It looks like it's

00:55:59.480 the opposite.

00:55:59.800 He might be

00:56:03.920 talking about

00:56:04.380 earth ships.

00:56:05.100 I think he's

00:56:05.540 probably, I

00:56:06.480 believe he's

00:56:07.060 probably influenced

00:56:08.340 by earth ships.

00:56:09.940 That's a green

00:56:10.840 building concept.

00:56:14.500 All right, let's

00:56:14.940 talk about Sam

00:56:16.440 Harris talking to

00:56:17.300 Bill Maher.

00:56:19.100 I guess Bill

00:56:20.360 Maher had him on

00:56:21.460 his little side

00:56:22.720 show that he does

00:56:23.460 where he talks to

00:56:24.000 one person.

00:56:25.460 And this is the

00:56:27.300 cleanest example of

00:56:28.600 cognitive dissonance.

00:56:30.060 In my opinion,

00:56:32.000 can't know for sure,

00:56:33.720 that you might ever

00:56:34.640 see.

00:56:35.500 So even if this,

00:56:36.760 even if I'm

00:56:37.360 misinterpreting this

00:56:38.300 example, it's the

00:56:39.680 best lesson you'll

00:56:41.500 ever see of a

00:56:43.180 clean looking,

00:56:45.580 again, I can't read

00:56:46.980 minds, but it looks

00:56:48.540 like a clean case of

00:56:49.640 cognitive dissonance.

00:56:50.880 And here's the

00:56:51.340 setup.

00:56:52.120 The thing that

00:56:52.740 caused cognitive

00:56:53.480 dissonance is, for

00:56:55.660 example, you think

00:56:57.220 you're one kind of

00:56:58.040 person.

00:56:58.380 let's say a smart

00:57:00.540 person.

00:57:01.700 And then life

00:57:03.120 proves that you

00:57:03.900 were wrong.

00:57:05.360 So your very belief

00:57:07.140 about who you are

00:57:08.120 and what you're

00:57:08.640 capable of is

00:57:09.880 challenged by the

00:57:10.660 facts.

00:57:12.640 There are two ways

00:57:13.600 to go.

00:57:14.160 You can either say,

00:57:15.160 oh, I guess I'm not

00:57:16.960 very good.

00:57:17.600 I guess the facts

00:57:18.360 prove that that's who

00:57:19.220 I am.

00:57:19.960 Or, more likely,

00:57:22.460 cognitive dissonance

00:57:23.480 clicks in and you

00:57:24.900 hallucinate, literally

00:57:27.000 hallucinate, a reason

00:57:29.100 why you were really

00:57:30.020 right all along.

00:57:32.060 You've seen it, right?

00:57:32.980 You've seen it in your

00:57:33.680 own life.

00:57:34.600 If you trap somebody

00:57:36.040 and you prove that

00:57:37.280 they were wrong for

00:57:38.260 years, their brain

00:57:40.760 can't say, oh, wow,

00:57:41.960 that's interesting.

00:57:43.580 Turns out I was

00:57:44.460 totally wrong for

00:57:45.580 years.

00:57:46.660 Almost nobody can do

00:57:47.720 that.

00:57:48.840 A normal human will

00:57:50.340 hallucinate a reason

00:57:52.020 that they were really

00:57:52.880 right all along.

00:57:54.980 Now, let's see if it

00:57:56.220 looks like Sam Harris

00:57:57.800 did that.

00:57:59.040 If you don't know

00:57:59.920 who Sam Harris is,

00:58:01.540 you should know that

00:58:02.360 he's one of the most

00:58:03.300 rational people in the

00:58:04.420 world.

00:58:05.080 That's what he writes

00:58:05.680 about, how to be

00:58:06.920 rational.

00:58:08.280 And you should know

00:58:09.360 that he's very well

00:58:10.600 informed, right?

00:58:12.120 So he's not somebody

00:58:13.000 who's paying no

00:58:14.400 attention to the

00:58:15.180 political news.

00:58:16.000 He's a well-informed,

00:58:17.580 very, very smart

00:58:18.660 person, way above

00:58:19.700 average.

00:58:20.700 He's talking to Bill

00:58:21.740 Maher, and Bill

00:58:26.660 Maher notes that the

00:58:27.760 New York Times and

00:58:29.060 the Washington Post

00:58:29.940 did not talk about

00:58:32.760 the Hunter laptop

00:58:33.760 properly.

00:58:35.800 In other words, they 0.83

00:58:36.500 reported that it

00:58:37.400 might be disinformation

00:58:38.360 all the way through

00:58:39.140 the election.

00:58:40.500 Now, how does Sam

00:58:42.320 Harris, how would he

00:58:44.020 explain in his own

00:58:45.260 understanding of

00:58:46.100 himself and the

00:58:46.920 world, don't you

00:58:49.100 think that Sam Harris

00:58:49.920 gets his beliefs

00:58:51.260 from the New York

00:58:52.580 Times and the

00:58:53.220 Washington Post, and

00:58:54.940 publications of that

00:58:56.360 sort?

00:58:57.620 I'll bet he does.

00:58:59.060 I'll bet, again,

00:59:00.860 here we're speculating,

00:59:01.980 nobody can read

00:59:03.000 anybody's mind, right?

00:59:04.440 So I can't actually

00:59:05.800 know what Sam Harris

00:59:06.940 is thinking or his

00:59:07.980 motivations or anything.

00:59:09.180 But I'm giving you,

00:59:10.240 like from the outside,

00:59:12.140 this is a perfect

00:59:13.060 example of what it

00:59:14.060 would look like if

00:59:15.680 cognitive dissonance

00:59:16.760 were involved.

00:59:17.340 So the setup is, Sam

00:59:19.800 Harris, very smart,

00:59:21.380 very knowledgeable, and

00:59:24.740 believes that his

00:59:25.640 sources are generally,

00:59:28.000 let's say, could be

00:59:28.900 wrong, because the news

00:59:30.140 sometimes is wrong, but

00:59:31.440 not intentionally wrong.

00:59:34.580 I guess that's the key.

00:59:37.040 Does Sam Harris believe

00:59:39.140 that the sources he uses

00:59:41.660 for his own understanding

00:59:42.940 of the world are

00:59:44.380 intentionally wrong?

00:59:46.000 And I don't think he

00:59:47.620 would believe that.

00:59:48.700 I think he believes they

00:59:49.520 can make mistakes like

00:59:50.460 everybody does.

00:59:52.180 Again, I can't read his

00:59:53.520 mind, so if tomorrow he

00:59:55.240 says, Scott, you got it

00:59:56.300 all wrong, listen to him,

00:59:58.120 not me.

00:59:59.140 All right?

00:59:59.680 Because it's very unfair

01:00:00.840 to characterize somebody's

01:00:02.440 inner thoughts.

01:00:04.260 So I'm trying to parse

01:00:06.620 that a little bit so I can

01:00:08.380 make my point about

01:00:09.220 cognitive dissonance and

01:00:10.880 give you a little lesson

01:00:11.680 here without saying too

01:00:14.400 much about somebody's

01:00:15.180 inner thoughts.

01:00:17.540 So this is a perfect

01:00:18.660 setup.

01:00:20.360 He's got a situation

01:00:21.520 where this laptop example,

01:00:23.600 and as Bill Maher pointed

01:00:24.700 out, and so Sam's

01:00:28.180 explanation was that there

01:00:29.840 wasn't enough time for the

01:00:31.860 New York Times and the

01:00:33.040 other major media to vet

01:00:35.840 the laptop before the

01:00:37.360 election.

01:00:38.060 Well, there just wasn't

01:00:38.740 enough time.

01:00:40.080 Then Bill Maher says,

01:00:41.500 well, why did the New York

01:00:42.380 Post have time?

01:00:45.140 Right?

01:00:46.440 So there were entities that

01:00:47.900 had plenty of time, and

01:00:49.360 all they did was say, here,

01:00:51.780 take a look at this, and

01:00:52.900 they brought an expert in.

01:00:54.540 And the expert looked at it

01:00:55.700 and said, yeah, that looks

01:00:56.380 legit.

01:00:57.860 And then they reported it.

01:00:59.860 And then after the election,

01:01:01.800 the other places reported it

01:01:03.720 too.

01:01:03.880 Now, Sam was under the

01:01:08.960 impression that there was

01:01:10.280 actually a reason that the

01:01:12.420 New York Times didn't report

01:01:13.720 it before the election.

01:01:15.680 I think Bill Maher proved to

01:01:17.400 him that that reason was not

01:01:19.840 valid, which should have, you

01:01:23.320 know, in a rational world, led

01:01:25.380 Sam to say, oh, I was not

01:01:28.380 aware that the sources that I

01:01:30.500 use for my understanding of the

01:01:32.080 world could, in a situation so

01:01:35.220 blatantly, literally prefer

01:01:40.100 disinformation over news.

01:01:44.340 Right?

01:01:45.220 Now, do you believe, oh,

01:01:46.600 somebody says he lied, and I'm

01:01:47.860 going to disagree with you.

01:01:49.200 There is no indication that Sam

01:01:51.320 Harris is a liar.

01:01:53.040 There's no indication of that.

01:01:54.820 And if you say you see it here,

01:01:56.720 I call bullshit hard on that.

01:01:59.300 I believe he saw the world that

01:02:01.020 way.

01:02:02.380 This is cognitive dissonance.

01:02:04.740 Cognitive dissonance hits very

01:02:07.240 smart people exactly the same as

01:02:10.920 everybody else.

01:02:12.440 And that's the part that you need

01:02:13.700 to learn.

01:02:14.240 If there's one thing I could

01:02:15.180 teach you, that Sam Harris being

01:02:17.360 one of the smartest, most rational

01:02:19.140 people in the entire public,

01:02:21.200 doesn't help you at all to avoid

01:02:24.700 cognitive dissonance.

01:02:26.800 Do you get that?

01:02:27.800 As soon as you tell yourself, well,

01:02:30.920 a smart person isn't going to fall

01:02:32.660 for that, nope, you don't

01:02:35.100 understand what it is.

01:02:37.220 Cognitive dissonance does not care

01:02:39.060 how smart or well-informed you are.

01:02:41.160 It's completely independent of that.

01:02:44.080 It's an illusion.

01:02:45.660 It's just like an optical illusion.

01:02:47.900 You know, no matter how smart you are,

01:02:50.300 an optical illusion still works,

01:02:52.080 right?

01:02:52.640 Like, you still see it that way,

01:02:53.980 even if you know it's an illusion.

01:02:56.180 So that's the important thing that

01:02:59.000 is really hard to communicate.

01:03:01.100 When you see dumb people who seem

01:03:03.680 to be in, you know, having a bad

01:03:05.660 opinion, then you say to yourself,

01:03:07.640 well, the explanation is that

01:03:09.480 they're dumb, right?

01:03:11.240 Don't you do that?

01:03:12.620 Don't you say, the reason we disagree

01:03:14.360 is that I'm smart and well-informed,

01:03:16.980 and you're either not smart or not

01:03:19.180 well-informed?

01:03:20.420 Always.

01:03:20.900 We always think that.

01:03:22.780 But this doesn't work with Sam Harris.

01:03:25.840 That's why I use him for my example.

01:03:28.120 You can't doubt that he's smart.

01:03:29.760 You can't doubt that he's rational,

01:03:31.160 and more rational than you are.

01:03:33.120 I would say he's more rational than I am,

01:03:36.420 probably better informed than I am

01:03:38.000 on most things, right?

01:03:40.380 He's a level of intellectual above me,

01:03:42.940 and I recognize that on most things.

01:03:45.900 So I think this is a clean, clean case

01:03:51.780 of cognitive dissonance, but I could be

01:03:54.520 wrong, because remember, I can't read

01:03:56.760 his mind, don't know what's going on in

01:03:59.220 there, but it's the cleanest case,

01:04:01.780 allegedly, I've ever seen.

01:04:06.720 I didn't see the, I only saw the

01:04:08.580 transcript, so I didn't see if he had

01:04:10.100 the reset face.

01:04:11.420 So somebody asked me if Sam had the

01:04:13.040 reset face.

01:04:13.880 Now, I've described that before as a

01:04:16.100 tell for cognitive dissonance.

01:04:18.160 The reset face is where you actually,

01:04:21.280 you're struck dumb for a moment,

01:04:24.240 and you can't say anything, and your

01:04:26.260 face looks like your brain just took a

01:04:28.160 vacation, and when you trigger people

01:04:30.860 into cognitive dissonance, and I do it

01:04:32.640 intentionally fairly often, in person,

01:04:35.760 you see the reset face, and it goes

01:04:37.600 like this.

01:04:39.100 So did you know that the other

01:04:40.780 publications had plenty of time to vet it?

01:04:43.560 Why couldn't the New York Times?

01:04:48.400 Yeah, if you're on Spotify, you don't

01:04:50.440 know what I just did.

01:04:51.480 Yeah, it's like Vaporlock.

01:04:53.140 You look like you're going to talk, but

01:04:54.700 nothing can come out.

01:04:57.420 That's how you tell.

01:04:58.960 So I will watch it and see if I see

01:05:00.640 that.

01:05:01.260 That'd be interesting.

01:05:01.900 All right, ladies and gentlemen.

01:05:07.740 Years ago, I heard, I just noticed I have

01:05:10.500 like chocolate on my face.

01:05:12.280 I always eat these protein bars before I

01:05:14.820 go live.

01:05:16.020 I'm like, I always got chocolate like

01:05:17.320 halfway over my mug.

01:05:19.540 It's a good thing I don't feel

01:05:21.040 embarrassment anymore.

01:05:21.960 No problem at all.

01:05:27.800 So years ago, Mark Cuban said something

01:05:30.860 that sounded crazy to me at the time.

01:05:33.380 He said that he doesn't look at regular

01:05:35.680 news sites because Twitter is faster and

01:05:39.100 it's complete.

01:05:40.540 So you could always check the news on

01:05:42.140 Twitter and you don't have to wait for the

01:05:43.880 news to come on when it comes on.

01:05:46.620 And I thought to myself, that doesn't work.

01:05:48.700 You know, there's always going to be

01:05:50.540 something on the news that's not on

01:05:52.100 Twitter.

01:05:52.960 But today, I did a news-related live

01:05:55.920 stream in which I spent hours collecting

01:05:59.020 news-related stuff and I never looked at

01:06:01.620 a news site.

01:06:02.860 It was just all on Twitter.

01:06:05.440 I think Twitter is just going to eat the

01:06:07.320 news.

01:06:11.520 Musk might put the entire news business

01:06:13.600 out of business.

01:06:15.060 Because here's something that could

01:06:16.540 happen on Twitter.

01:06:17.360 In just the same way that Mike Cernovich

01:06:20.840 went from unknown to, you know, a highly

01:06:24.360 useful account.

01:06:29.740 More as well as I'm going to vibrate

01:06:31.300 through the news.

01:06:32.160 I don't care.

01:06:32.920 Look at a paid comment here.

01:06:40.200 Oh, some people say that what Trump did

01:06:43.020 with Trump University was worse than

01:06:45.960 anything that Biden can do.

01:06:49.160 All right.

01:06:49.980 Well, we'll talk about that in a minute.

01:06:52.600 If you remind me to talk about that.

01:06:55.140 So my point was that just the way people

01:06:57.140 become prominent voices on Twitter,

01:06:59.840 just by being useful and people like what

01:07:02.680 they say.

01:07:04.120 Musk is talking about citizen journalism.

01:07:06.480 where anybody who's close to a story can just

01:07:11.580 report it on Twitter and then other people

01:07:14.260 say, hey, that was a good job.

01:07:15.720 And then that becomes the news.

01:07:18.500 Couldn't that happen?

01:07:20.800 Right?

01:07:21.820 Then how about this?

01:07:23.040 I told you there's a question that all

01:07:24.960 politicians should be asked.

01:07:27.000 You know, why do you favor the cartels' lives

01:07:29.560 over American lives?

01:07:30.700 And imagine if Twitter could surface the

01:07:35.680 questions that Twitter users most want asked

01:07:38.460 because other people vote on it across

01:07:40.680 categories, et cetera.

01:07:42.200 And then when there's a press conference,

01:07:45.320 one of the steps is they say, all right,

01:07:49.300 thank you for the media has asked the following

01:07:52.160 questions.

01:07:53.040 Or maybe Twitter needs somebody in.

01:07:55.360 Oh, this is even better.

01:07:56.140 Maybe Twitter needs a human being at the press

01:07:59.040 conference, you know, the presidential press

01:08:01.660 conferences, and then Twitter just has press

01:08:05.500 credentials, except Twitter's press credentials

01:08:08.860 under this scenario would be on behalf of its

01:08:12.380 public so that the Twitter representative would

01:08:17.420 ask the question that the Twitter users had

01:08:19.540 surfaced as the ones they cared about.

01:08:21.820 So it wouldn't be a reporter journalist so much as

01:08:25.360 somebody representing the collective curiosity of

01:08:29.500 Twitter.

01:08:30.400 How awesome would that be?

01:08:32.900 Imagine the questions that come from, you know,

01:08:35.500 NBC News, how, like, boring and stupid those are.

01:08:40.380 And then imagine the questions that would come from

01:08:42.580 Twitter users, like mine.

01:08:44.820 So my question, why do you favor Mexican cartel

01:08:48.980 lives over American lives?

01:08:50.360 That would probably bubble up to the top, if I do say so

01:08:55.900 myself.

01:08:57.840 I'll just say that directly, since I'm putting my ego out

01:09:01.400 there.

01:09:01.960 I believe that question is solid enough that it would

01:09:05.360 bubble to the top, and it would actually get asked in

01:09:07.700 public.

01:09:09.800 Now, if not, somebody else's better question would be

01:09:12.440 asked, and that's fine, too.

01:09:13.380 I don't think, I don't think that America has quite

01:09:19.500 processed how big the Musk takeover of Twitter can

01:09:23.900 be, because it's not going to be just Twitter anymore.

01:09:27.500 Twitter 2.0 is not going to be Twitter 1.0.

01:09:31.180 Like, it's, in fact, on everything is incalculably large, and

01:09:36.140 the only thing they have to do to make all that happen, what's the

01:09:39.500 only thing Twitter has to do to make all of that happen, everything

01:09:44.540 they're doing right now, exactly what they're doing right

01:09:47.940 now, and that that all will happen.

01:09:50.600 Like, you couldn't stop it, as long as they're doing the

01:09:53.060 things they're doing now.

01:09:54.800 Now, this assumes that, you know, Musk can afford to keep it

01:09:59.520 in business, and I like his odds.

01:10:02.080 Even if he says the odds are low, I like his odds.

01:10:05.140 All right.

01:10:12.600 Demons talk about leaving?

01:10:14.100 Yeah.

01:10:14.680 I don't know if they can.

01:10:19.500 Yeah, the Dilbert website has some problems for days, and I

01:10:24.840 don't even know if we're close.

01:10:26.460 When I say we, I don't directly manage that.

01:10:29.100 But I don't even know if we're close to fixing it.

01:10:32.320 Whatever the problem was, it's catastrophic.

01:10:36.660 I mean, it's comics on a website, so it's not catastrophic for the

01:10:41.940 country.

01:10:42.880 It's just catastrophic in terms of one website.

01:10:48.400 All right.

01:10:51.320 Who are my top three follows?

01:10:53.780 You know, I don't want to say three, because there are too many, and then I

01:10:56.940 leave somebody out, but I think I do owe you my best follow list, don't I?

01:11:04.560 I feel like that would be really useful, because if you think that I say

01:11:10.040 anything useful, you should know that I'm deeply influenced by 20 people

01:11:17.280 every day.

01:11:19.640 You know, just 20 power users.

01:11:21.720 And when I say power users, I just mean they're good at it.

01:11:24.200 That doesn't mean they have a lot of followers.

01:11:26.440 There are a number of people who influence me basically every day who

01:11:30.500 don't have a lot of followers.

01:11:35.420 Yeah, I'm checking my feed.

01:11:37.340 I haven't, I've got no response from Senator Cotton.

01:11:41.360 And again, I don't know if I'll tell you.

01:11:43.820 I might tell you if he responds.

01:11:45.140 I don't know if I'm going to tell you what he says, because I would treat that

01:11:48.460 as a private conversation.

01:11:53.140 All right.

01:11:54.560 Oh, Trump University, thank you.

01:11:57.200 Here's my take on Trump University.

01:12:02.720 That was bad management, but probably that's all it was.

01:12:07.360 Meaning that it's very unlikely that Trump knew the details of what the content was

01:12:16.120 of the course, or even exactly why that didn't match people's expectation of why it wasn't

01:12:23.860 working.

01:12:24.600 Remember, he was a licensee, I believe.

01:12:27.360 He was either a licensee, meaning not directly involved with the business, or he was sort of

01:12:31.780 a silent partner.

01:12:32.720 It was one of those.

01:12:33.420 I don't know what it was.

01:12:34.500 But whether he was sort of the non-operating partner or the licensee, whichever it was,

01:12:42.060 there's no evidence that he knew what was going on.

01:12:45.500 Am I wrong?

01:12:47.020 Fact check me on this.

01:12:48.500 I don't believe there's any evidence that Trump personally had a good understanding

01:12:53.660 of how bad things were.

01:12:57.180 I don't think that's ever been demonstrated, has it?

01:13:00.660 Now, it has been demonstrated that the students did not get what they thought they were paying

01:13:07.120 for.

01:13:07.380 And then, you know, financial restitution was made.

01:13:12.560 And that's the way the system works.

01:13:14.960 Somebody did a bad job.

01:13:16.700 It was legally actionable.

01:13:19.020 They acted.

01:13:19.760 They got a refund.

01:13:20.940 I don't know.

01:13:22.940 I mean, there's certainly super-sketchy behavior of the people running Trump Organization, but

01:13:28.920 if you extend that to the person who had 400 companies and probably spent one day thinking

01:13:34.400 about it, that's kind of a stretch.

01:13:36.780 Now, if it ever turned out that Trump himself knew exactly what they were doing and how sketchy

01:13:44.000 it was, well, then I'd change my opinion.

01:13:46.840 I don't need any cognitive dissonance for that.

01:13:48.960 I would just say, oh, well, I guess I got that totally wrong.

01:13:53.360 It wouldn't offend my sense of who I am.

01:13:56.580 It would just be new information.

01:14:01.320 All right.

01:14:07.760 Why is Sam Harris fixated on that?

01:14:11.300 I never say anybody's fixated on things.

01:14:14.080 That's sort of a dickish thing to say about anybody.

01:14:16.340 I hate it when people say it about me.

01:14:17.620 It's one thing he uses as an example.

01:14:21.280 I do think, and by the way, I agreed with him.

01:14:24.640 I think I did.

01:14:25.840 When Trump University was mentioned as a dark mark against Trump, I agree with that. 0.99

01:14:34.540 I agree with that.

01:14:36.060 That's part of what I factor into my overall decision.

01:14:39.180 And at the time, I said it was the thing that bothered me the most.

01:14:42.740 But I'd also have to know how much he knew about it.

01:14:45.480 And that's never been presented to me.

01:14:47.920 I've never seen the news report how much Trump knew about what was happening.

01:14:55.100 Sam Harris says it's worse than the laptop.

01:14:57.540 Maybe.

01:14:58.700 Maybe.

01:14:59.000 But we've had time to look into it.

01:15:02.120 And nobody's ever told me what he knew and what he didn't.

01:15:05.660 So, I mean.

01:15:08.140 But if he says it's worse, okay.

01:15:10.580 Maybe.

01:15:13.280 But you also have to look at the entire package.

01:15:17.220 All right.

01:15:17.740 Which I do.

01:15:19.540 All right.

01:15:20.100 I'm pretty sure this was the best live stream of all time.

01:15:25.600 I feel like I hit the mark here.

01:15:28.060 Do you all agree?

01:15:29.540 You learned more today.

01:15:31.860 You had more optimism and more happiness than anything else you could have been doing at the same time.

01:15:37.740 It's true.

01:15:43.340 All right.

01:15:43.980 Two sniffs and an exhale.

01:15:48.240 I'm still doing that, by the way.

01:15:50.260 Have any of you gotten hooked on that Andrew Huberman breathing technique that I've mentioned a few times?

01:15:56.280 Where you sniff two inhales and then you do one deep exhale?

01:16:00.760 I'm totally addicted to it.

01:16:03.460 Because the feeling you get is immediate.

01:16:06.720 Like the payoff is immediate.

01:16:09.360 Like, it's not like, oh, I've been doing this for a week and I do think I feel a little better.

01:16:16.140 It's nothing like that.

01:16:17.400 You actually feel immediately better.

01:16:20.520 So, like, I do it all day.

01:16:22.740 All day long.

01:16:24.000 Every time I'm bored.

01:16:25.420 I walk the dog.

01:16:26.840 I breathe.

01:16:27.960 I'm waiting in line.

01:16:29.080 I breathe.

01:16:30.420 I just do it all day.

01:16:32.480 Feels good every time.

01:16:34.780 How do you do it?

01:16:35.440 Belinda says.

01:16:36.320 I'll give you one more lesson for those who have missed it.

01:16:38.800 This is the Andrew Huberman method.

01:16:41.740 Nothing I invented at all.

01:16:43.780 And apparently there's some science behind it.

01:16:46.400 And it's based on the, I guess, the best ratio of, you know, O2 to CO2 or whatever the hell.

01:16:53.480 I don't know.

01:16:54.120 But there's some science to it.

01:16:55.580 But you do two deep nose inhales.

01:17:03.280 Followed by one long deep exhale.

01:17:06.400 There's something about the sniffing in and getting almost a full exhale and then another sniff so that you go beyond a full inhale to, like, extra inhale.

01:17:19.820 There's something about that that gives you the right balance of body chemistry.

01:17:24.240 I don't know.

01:17:28.700 Yeah.

01:17:30.620 All right.

01:17:31.680 I'm going to lock off the locals' feed from the public.

01:17:34.880 Thanks for reminding me.

01:17:36.220 I'm going to go talk to the locals' people about all the good stuff.

01:17:40.120 And then I will talk to you later.

01:17:45.060 If you were on the locals' subscription platform, you could hear this, too.

01:17:50.080 But you're all special.

01:17:51.640 And I'll talk to you tomorrow.

01:17:53.120 For you tomorrow.

01:17:53.720 I'll talk to you tomorrow.

01:17:54.380 I'll talk to you tomorrow.

01:18:02.820 I'll talk to you tomorrow.

01:18:10.580 I'll talk to you tomorrow.

01:18:12.440 Ready?

01:18:13.840 Take care eiffel.

01:18:14.720 And I'll talk to you tomorrow?

01:18:15.560 And then I'll talk to you tomorrow.

01:18:16.040 And then I'll talk to you tomorrow.

01:18:17.580 I'll talk to you tomorrow.

01:18:17.680 I'm sorry.

01:18:18.300 I'll talk to you tomorrow.

01:18:19.160 I'll talk to you tomorrow.

01:18:19.880 If you're any tomorrow.

01:18:20.240 Take care eiffel.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 21, 2022

Episode 1934 Scott Adams： The News About Twitter, Trump, Alex Jones, Musk, Ye And More

Episode Stats

Summary

Transcript