Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1967 Scott Adams： Artificial Intelligence Will Be Illegal When It Disagrees With democrats

00:00:00.000 And welcome to the highlight of civilization.

00:00:03.560 Where I live, it's 39 degrees.

00:00:07.220 How are you doing?

00:00:08.840 Better than that?

00:00:10.780 Probably not.

00:00:12.480 Well, I know it's cold all over,

00:00:14.320 but if you'd like to warm up,

00:00:16.440 at least on the inside,

00:00:18.140 all you need is a cupper mug or a glass,

00:00:20.800 a tank or chalice or stein,

00:00:21.980 a canteen jug or flask,

00:00:23.440 a vessel of any kind.

00:00:24.720 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:27.460 I like coffee.

00:00:28.680 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure,

00:00:31.720 the dopamine hit of the day,

00:00:32.720 the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:34.360 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:37.220 It happens now.

00:00:38.220 Go.

00:00:44.660 Well, if you're on YouTube,

00:00:46.820 you missed the earlier conversation.

00:00:48.800 I started a little bit earlier with locals subscribers.

00:00:52.780 And one of the things that we've collectively decided

00:00:55.820 over on locals,

00:00:57.360 just want to check it with the people here on YouTube.

00:01:00.860 Would you agree that scrotum is the funniest body parts?

00:01:05.900 Or balls, if you prefer.

00:01:07.980 Does anybody have a disagreement?

00:01:09.380 There's no funnier body part.

00:01:12.620 Anybody?

00:01:14.380 No disagreement?

00:01:15.120 Oh, the taint.

00:01:17.400 The taint.

00:01:20.060 I'm going to have to run a poll on this.

00:01:23.500 All right.

00:01:24.520 Bear with me here.

00:01:25.440 We've got to do a poll.

00:01:26.640 We'll get a result.

00:01:27.940 What is the funniest body part?

00:01:30.800 Because this, we have to know.

00:01:33.960 Funniest body part.

00:01:35.840 All right.

00:01:37.120 We'll initiate the poll.

00:01:40.060 Choice one is taint.

00:01:43.380 Taint.

00:01:44.660 Choice two is balls.

00:01:47.160 I think it needs a third choice.

00:01:51.420 Spleen.

00:01:54.420 Balzac.

00:01:55.020 Oh, anus.

00:01:59.180 Well, we've got taint.

00:02:00.460 That's close enough.

00:02:02.340 Scrote.

00:02:03.380 Yeah, weenus.

00:02:04.020 Okay.

00:02:05.400 But nobody's going to vote for this third one,

00:02:07.380 so this is just a placeholder.

00:02:08.740 Let's see.

00:02:09.720 Let's, uh...

00:02:11.940 Nostril.

00:02:17.020 Nostril is funny.

00:02:19.100 Elbow?

00:02:20.380 Overused.

00:02:22.320 Adam's apple?

00:02:22.920 Hmm.

00:02:24.080 Naval?

00:02:26.520 Somebody said coccyx.

00:02:29.160 All right.

00:02:29.480 We're going to go with that.

00:02:30.680 C-O-C-C-Y-X.

00:02:32.860 Is that the correct spelling?

00:02:34.820 All right.

00:02:36.180 Send.

00:02:37.880 And I'll tell you in mere minutes,

00:02:40.300 in mere minutes,

00:02:41.600 we will know the funniest body part.

00:02:45.100 All right?

00:02:46.040 Now, a lot of times,

00:02:47.200 people raise questions,

00:02:48.560 and they won't have answers for you.

00:02:50.500 But not on Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:02:53.580 When I ask a question,

00:02:55.840 you're going to get an answer.

00:02:57.700 Yes, you will.

00:02:59.840 All right.

00:03:01.320 How many of you knew the following thing?

00:03:04.140 That Tesla has a line of business

00:03:06.560 that you probably never heard about

00:03:08.820 that could very easily be bigger than Tesla,

00:03:12.560 the automobile part.

00:03:14.540 Did any of you know that?

00:03:16.320 That there's a Tesla power company,

00:03:21.240 and what they'll be doing is using Tesla power walls

00:03:25.180 in some kind of a network configuration,

00:03:27.680 so it's like in place of a normal,

00:03:32.380 some kind of a normal grid.

00:03:34.200 I don't know the entire details.

00:03:36.760 It's all solar.

00:03:37.540 Is it all solar-powered

00:03:38.820 and then stored in Tesla batteries?

00:03:42.300 But is there also an element

00:03:43.860 where they network them together, right,

00:03:47.080 for some kind of mutual benefit?

00:03:49.540 And that's really where the benefit is, right?

00:03:53.900 Because you can already get

00:03:55.060 a Tesla power wall at your house,

00:03:57.300 but I think the additional business

00:03:59.380 is networking them together in some way.

00:04:02.000 Is that so they can share?

00:04:03.600 Or more efficiently?

00:04:05.420 I think it's for more efficient storage

00:04:06.980 and sharing, right?

00:04:07.920 Something like that.

00:04:09.200 Anyway, that could be bigger

00:04:10.240 than all of Tesla.

00:04:11.180 So not long ago,

00:04:15.860 Musk was at over $200 billion net worth.

00:04:20.120 Is that right?

00:04:21.100 Was he close to a quarter trillion

00:04:23.940 at his peak?

00:04:27.400 Now it's gone down quite a bit since then.

00:04:30.160 But if this power wall business

00:04:33.360 takes off bigger than Tesla,

00:04:36.280 what happens if he starts mining an asteroid?

00:04:38.720 Do you know how much the value

00:04:41.340 of a company would be

00:04:42.320 if you could actually mine an asteroid?

00:04:45.560 And he'll probably be the first one there.

00:04:48.020 That's a trillion dollars.

00:04:50.720 It's like a trillion dollars

00:04:52.160 if you could mine an asteroid.

00:04:54.040 So I think he's going to be

00:04:55.620 the first trillionaire.

00:04:57.340 Would anybody take the opposite bet?

00:05:00.820 I mean, inflation alone

00:05:02.160 will probably push him to a trillionaire

00:05:03.640 because he's young enough.

00:05:04.920 But I think he's going to be

00:05:05.780 the first trillionaire.

00:05:08.720 We'll see.

00:05:11.820 And I don't see anything

00:05:13.000 that Bezos is doing

00:05:14.260 that would grow that quickly, right?

00:05:16.740 Is there anybody else

00:05:17.640 in any kind of a business

00:05:18.700 that could even possibly

00:05:20.320 grow as fast as his business is?

00:05:23.060 I don't think so.

00:05:25.060 All right.

00:05:26.620 Musk was on Twitter a few hours ago.

00:05:29.300 And he's describing

00:05:30.300 what it's like to figure out

00:05:31.820 how Twitter's technology

00:05:34.840 and even its business works.

00:05:37.060 And he says that

00:05:38.160 his first tweet was

00:05:39.920 fractal of Rube Goldberg machines.

00:05:44.260 Do you all know

00:05:44.720 what a Rube Goldberg machine is?

00:05:47.500 It's like an unnecessarily complicated,

00:05:50.940 humorous machine

00:05:51.880 where it's not meant

00:05:52.620 to be taken seriously.

00:05:53.580 So it's like it's an example

00:05:55.480 of something overcomplicated

00:05:57.940 and bureaucratic and stuff.

00:06:00.120 So he said fractal,

00:06:01.600 and fractal, of course,

00:06:03.180 he's adding to his point.

00:06:05.860 Fractal of Rube Goldberg machines

00:06:07.720 is what it feels like

00:06:08.840 understanding how Twitter works.

00:06:11.340 And yet work it does,

00:06:13.340 even after I disconnected

00:06:14.720 one of the more sensitive server racks.

00:06:17.780 Now, I'm not sure

00:06:19.420 if you're fully appreciating

00:06:20.920 this set of tweets.

00:06:23.020 This might be the most baller thing

00:06:25.160 that Musk has ever done.

00:06:29.440 This is what I think happened, right?

00:06:31.740 I'm reading between the lines,

00:06:33.620 but I'm filling out the story

00:06:35.240 from these little clues.

00:06:37.020 This is what I think happened.

00:06:39.500 Musk says,

00:06:40.640 so what does this server rack do?

00:06:43.100 Well, it does X, Y, Z, all right?

00:06:45.580 How about this one?

00:06:47.120 Well, I think that does X.

00:06:51.040 And then the other co-worker says,

00:06:52.600 no, no, I'm pretty sure that does Y.

00:06:55.440 And then they say,

00:06:56.320 you don't even know if it does X or Y?

00:06:58.700 Well, I'm sure it does.

00:06:59.760 It's either X or Y,

00:07:01.260 some valuable function.

00:07:03.020 They ask somebody else

00:07:04.040 and they say some third thing.

00:07:06.040 We're not really sure

00:07:07.020 what that rack does,

00:07:08.140 but it's vital.

00:07:09.820 Whatever you do,

00:07:10.620 don't turn it off.

00:07:12.980 What do you think Musk

00:07:13.940 would do in that situation?

00:07:15.000 You can't tell me what this does,

00:07:17.560 but I can't turn it off.

00:07:19.560 That's what you're saying?

00:07:20.760 You can't tell me what it does,

00:07:22.160 but I can't turn it off.

00:07:24.180 Click.

00:07:27.000 Now, I wasn't there.

00:07:28.480 I don't have any inside information,

00:07:29.880 but it might be the funniest thing

00:07:32.100 anybody ever did

00:07:33.400 at any company.

00:07:35.920 Fucking turn it off.

00:07:38.440 If you don't know what this is,

00:07:39.900 I'm going to turn it off.

00:07:41.540 See what happens.

00:07:44.400 Is it just me

00:07:45.320 or is that the funniest thing

00:07:46.320 anybody ever did

00:07:47.240 in an actual corporate setting?

00:07:49.720 Just turn it off.

00:07:50.600 See what happens.

00:07:51.660 Like this giant company

00:07:52.820 that's like the brains of the world.

00:07:57.980 Just turn it off.

00:07:58.760 See what happens.

00:08:00.800 I don't know.

00:08:01.220 That one story,

00:08:03.540 I think,

00:08:04.480 if I'm accurately,

00:08:05.620 you know,

00:08:06.360 interpreting it,

00:08:07.460 that one story

00:08:08.180 would describe Musk

00:08:10.620 better than all the things

00:08:12.420 he's ever done.

00:08:13.480 Like you could just

00:08:14.320 boil it down

00:08:14.820 into that one thing.

00:08:17.980 Mike Cernovich

00:08:18.840 is wading into

00:08:19.760 the third rail

00:08:21.600 of social media,

00:08:23.620 which is...

00:08:25.320 And of course,

00:08:26.120 you've seen me do it

00:08:27.040 to a bad result.

00:08:29.000 But you've often seen me say

00:08:31.960 that the people

00:08:33.580 who seem to be dying suddenly,

00:08:35.300 so to speak,

00:08:36.420 are just anecdotes.

00:08:38.700 And while it might be true,

00:08:40.640 there's a good chance

00:08:41.640 that the vaccinations

00:08:42.880 have more,

00:08:44.760 let's say,

00:08:45.260 more harm than benefit

00:08:46.340 for some young people

00:08:48.040 in particular.

00:08:49.380 Might be true.

00:08:50.180 You know,

00:08:51.180 I don't believe

00:08:52.220 any data at this point.

00:08:54.300 But Cernovich

00:08:56.180 is going at it hard.

00:08:57.460 And here's just

00:08:58.240 one part of the exchange

00:08:59.860 on Twitter.

00:09:01.080 And he said,

00:09:01.860 we had a kid

00:09:02.500 at the local high school

00:09:03.420 die during

00:09:04.160 some football events

00:09:06.700 in the 80s.

00:09:07.780 And he said,

00:09:08.220 that poor kid

00:09:09.200 would be going viral

00:09:10.140 as, quote,

00:09:10.760 proof that the vaccine

00:09:12.220 is killing people

00:09:13.080 if it happened today.

00:09:14.400 True or false?

00:09:16.520 That kid,

00:09:17.440 I think it would be true.

00:09:20.520 If somebody had video

00:09:21.440 of a high school kid

00:09:22.660 falling down

00:09:23.340 during a sporting event,

00:09:24.960 it would be part of the,

00:09:26.400 part of the proof

00:09:27.480 that the vaccinations

00:09:28.800 are killing young people.

00:09:30.600 Now,

00:09:31.160 this is why I appreciate

00:09:32.440 Cernovich.

00:09:34.080 And I'm,

00:09:34.520 you know,

00:09:34.720 it's one of the reasons

00:09:35.320 I mentioned him.

00:09:36.380 That there's nothing

00:09:37.560 to be gained by this.

00:09:39.760 You get that, right?

00:09:41.360 Like,

00:09:41.640 he's taking on a fight.

00:09:43.600 Nothing to be gained

00:09:44.660 for him.

00:09:45.560 It's all downside

00:09:46.720 for him.

00:09:48.180 But it's good for you.

00:09:50.060 It's good for you.

00:09:51.600 So he's doing it anyway.

00:09:53.640 Now,

00:09:54.100 I do the same thing.

00:09:55.780 And some of it

00:09:57.280 is sort of a dad energy

00:09:58.340 sort of thing.

00:09:59.960 You know,

00:10:00.200 sometimes you just gotta do

00:10:01.480 what needs to be done.

00:10:03.360 And you have to be

00:10:05.260 at a certain stage of life

00:10:06.780 before that's even an option.

00:10:09.260 Right?

00:10:09.860 20-year-old me,

00:10:11.340 I don't know,

00:10:12.400 might be more selfish.

00:10:14.260 Well,

00:10:14.560 not might.

00:10:15.580 20-year-old me

00:10:16.520 would have done

00:10:17.720 whatever I needed to do

00:10:18.900 to get to be

00:10:20.060 65-year-old me.

00:10:22.400 But my current version,

00:10:24.120 in my current version,

00:10:25.720 I kind of have a preference

00:10:27.000 to doing the hard things

00:10:28.500 that might have some value

00:10:30.220 to somebody,

00:10:31.620 even if it's hard for me.

00:10:32.660 So that's where I guess

00:10:34.560 I'm meaning.

00:10:35.140 And I'm sure

00:10:35.620 he's getting the same

00:10:36.660 kind of benefit.

00:10:39.100 So it's not like

00:10:40.260 nobody gets any benefit.

00:10:41.560 But his benefit

00:10:42.200 is not the obvious kind

00:10:44.260 where you just

00:10:44.920 say rah-rah

00:10:45.900 to your team

00:10:46.700 and your team

00:10:47.940 all agrees with you.

00:10:49.240 I mean,

00:10:49.440 he's taking on

00:10:50.000 the hardest

00:10:50.640 social media path

00:10:53.700 disagreeing

00:10:55.180 with your own followers

00:10:56.180 on something

00:10:57.820 they really care about.

00:10:59.620 Like,

00:10:59.820 that's a tough path.

00:11:00.840 But he's taking it.

00:11:01.720 So good for him.

00:11:03.440 Speaking of dad energy,

00:11:06.140 there's a story

00:11:07.480 which I don't know

00:11:08.420 if this is true.

00:11:10.260 Don't know

00:11:10.820 if this is true.

00:11:12.140 But I so hope it is

00:11:14.100 that I'm going to

00:11:15.220 treat it like it's true.

00:11:16.240 Do we all agree

00:11:17.360 with the ground rules?

00:11:19.220 The ground rules

00:11:20.100 are that I'm not

00:11:21.100 telling you it's true.

00:11:22.700 And I'm not telling you

00:11:23.520 I would believe

00:11:24.060 such a story

00:11:24.720 because it's a little bit

00:11:25.560 on the nose.

00:11:28.120 But it's so good

00:11:29.100 that I'm going to act

00:11:29.860 like it is true.

00:11:30.840 I just retweeted it.

00:11:32.860 All right.

00:11:33.020 So this is allegedly

00:11:33.820 I saw this

00:11:35.340 in a tweet

00:11:36.280 by

00:11:36.680 Tactical Nukes

00:11:39.240 spelled funny.

00:11:42.020 And this is allegedly

00:11:43.180 true.

00:11:44.580 All right.

00:11:45.080 It happened a few days ago.

00:11:46.760 Allegedly.

00:11:47.840 Daughter says

00:11:48.780 that she's trans.

00:11:49.980 She's in ninth grade.

00:11:50.960 She tells her parents

00:11:52.000 that she's decided

00:11:52.940 she's trans.

00:11:53.700 And so the father

00:11:56.760 confesses that he's trans

00:11:58.780 too.

00:12:00.040 Daughter's confused.

00:12:01.120 Dad says

00:12:01.560 and she says

00:12:04.360 Dad, no you're not.

00:12:06.540 And then the dad says

00:12:07.460 stop being a bigot,

00:12:09.040 Charlotte.

00:12:09.520 It's funny that her name

00:12:10.400 is Charlotte.

00:12:11.680 Somehow that adds

00:12:12.780 to the story

00:12:13.400 that the daughter's

00:12:14.700 name is Charlotte.

00:12:15.460 I don't know why

00:12:16.020 but that just helps

00:12:17.420 in some way.

00:12:18.580 Stop being a bigot,

00:12:19.680 Charlotte.

00:12:20.080 Let's do this together.

00:12:21.160 So the father

00:12:23.580 embraces and amplifies

00:12:25.180 and says

00:12:26.580 you're trans?

00:12:27.600 So am I.

00:12:29.440 Let's do this

00:12:30.240 transition together.

00:12:32.680 So it goes on.

00:12:35.180 So the father

00:12:36.060 I'll just read

00:12:36.780 his own words.

00:12:37.620 Sorry.

00:12:37.940 This is the father's words.

00:12:39.560 Wear dress and makeup

00:12:40.460 next morning.

00:12:41.240 Meaning the father does.

00:12:43.300 Daughter is angry.

00:12:44.840 Tells me to stop faking.

00:12:46.680 No.

00:12:47.140 I'm trans, honey.

00:12:48.480 Now get in the car

00:12:49.280 and let's go to school.

00:12:50.220 She's horrified.

00:12:52.060 Asked to be dropped

00:12:53.620 off a block away.

00:12:55.160 Nope.

00:12:56.240 Walks her in.

00:12:57.800 Waved to front desk.

00:12:59.760 She's fuming.

00:13:01.600 Wife can't stop laughing.

00:13:04.020 So the wife is in

00:13:05.180 on this too.

00:13:06.060 Wife can't stop laughing.

00:13:10.020 Pick up daughter

00:13:11.000 and skirt and heels.

00:13:14.340 In other words,

00:13:14.760 the father's wearing

00:13:15.380 skirt and heels.

00:13:16.500 Shitty makeup.

00:13:17.440 Glitter on cheeks.

00:13:18.260 Skipped to her

00:13:21.560 and her friends.

00:13:22.720 So he skips over

00:13:23.680 to them.

00:13:28.840 And,

00:13:29.480 Dad,

00:13:30.380 stop.

00:13:31.080 It's not funny.

00:13:33.140 Demand she used

00:13:34.100 my pronouns.

00:13:40.420 Demand she used

00:13:41.280 my pronouns.

00:13:42.720 Call her a bigot.

00:13:44.380 And next morning

00:13:45.380 she's done with

00:13:46.060 the whole trans thing

00:13:47.020 begs me to stop.

00:13:54.600 All right.

00:13:57.160 If there's one thing

00:13:58.560 I'd like all of us

00:13:59.440 to agree on,

00:14:00.780 in the spirit of,

00:14:02.020 you know,

00:14:02.360 Christmas,

00:14:03.880 or the holidays

00:14:04.780 if you prefer,

00:14:06.660 can we all agree

00:14:08.020 that we don't care

00:14:09.160 if it's true?

00:14:11.260 Can we all just agree

00:14:12.300 on that?

00:14:13.260 Just agree we don't care

00:14:14.140 if it's true,

00:14:14.580 right?

00:14:16.660 And if it's not true,

00:14:17.720 don't tell me.

00:14:19.240 I never want to know

00:14:20.340 that's not true.

00:14:25.200 Oh, my God.

00:14:27.700 Now,

00:14:29.100 for the record,

00:14:30.860 for the record,

00:14:32.600 yeah,

00:14:33.020 I'm pro-trans,

00:14:35.300 right,

00:14:35.780 to the,

00:14:36.720 to my detriment

00:14:37.760 with my audience

00:14:38.460 often.

00:14:38.780 but I'm pro-trans

00:14:40.360 but it is

00:14:41.360 still nonetheless

00:14:43.100 a fact

00:14:43.800 that some people

00:14:45.280 will,

00:14:45.940 you know,

00:14:46.740 be in the category

00:14:47.460 of thinking

00:14:48.240 maybe they should

00:14:49.020 transition

00:14:49.500 and change their

00:14:50.840 mind later.

00:14:51.500 So that's the thing.

00:14:52.520 They're all types.

00:14:53.740 There are types

00:14:54.200 who probably

00:14:54.740 are better off for it

00:14:55.840 and there are types

00:14:56.340 that probably

00:14:56.780 wouldn't be

00:14:57.320 and why would we

00:14:58.440 ignore either category?

00:15:00.320 That's my take.

00:15:01.140 All right.

00:15:03.920 So California,

00:15:05.220 as you know,

00:15:05.820 has commissioned,

00:15:07.720 this is also hilarious.

00:15:10.580 This is something

00:15:11.280 that Gavin Newsom did

00:15:12.480 that I think

00:15:15.360 is an example

00:15:16.860 of embrace

00:15:17.880 and amplify.

00:15:19.900 Now,

00:15:20.700 I don't think

00:15:22.440 any of you

00:15:23.040 should underestimate

00:15:24.480 Gavin Newsom's

00:15:26.040 political

00:15:26.720 capabilities.

00:15:28.840 You can dislike

00:15:29.520 his policies.

00:15:30.180 You can dislike

00:15:31.600 anything he's done.

00:15:32.660 That's fair.

00:15:33.680 But his political

00:15:34.660 acumen is pretty good.

00:15:36.540 He's made some

00:15:37.440 mistakes,

00:15:38.380 but generally speaking

00:15:39.160 he's a solid operator.

00:15:42.040 So he's got this problem,

00:15:43.460 you know,

00:15:43.760 not too long ago

00:15:44.500 he had this problem

00:15:45.180 where there was

00:15:46.320 agitation for reparations.

00:15:49.320 So what does he do?

00:15:51.000 Does he say,

00:15:51.740 no,

00:15:51.920 we can't do that?

00:15:54.140 Nope.

00:15:54.860 Because that would

00:15:55.240 make his base mad.

00:15:57.220 Instead,

00:15:58.240 he embraces

00:15:59.100 the idea

00:15:59.880 and he amplifies it

00:16:01.220 by creating

00:16:01.740 a committee

00:16:02.300 that will make

00:16:03.640 specific recommendations

00:16:04.800 of what to do.

00:16:06.700 What do you think

00:16:07.700 Newsom expected

00:16:09.460 out of the committee?

00:16:11.820 Did he expect

00:16:12.840 that they would say,

00:16:13.560 no,

00:16:13.820 there's no way

00:16:14.300 to do it?

00:16:15.280 No,

00:16:15.580 of course not.

00:16:16.360 Of course not.

00:16:17.500 He expected

00:16:18.020 they would say,

00:16:18.600 yes,

00:16:18.840 do it.

00:16:19.620 Then what else

00:16:20.500 did he expect?

00:16:22.460 Because he's smart.

00:16:24.420 Even if you don't

00:16:25.180 like his politics,

00:16:25.920 he's smart.

00:16:26.660 What would he expect?

00:16:29.660 Absolute disaster.

00:16:31.880 Right.

00:16:32.900 And then what

00:16:33.960 would happen to him?

00:16:37.000 So he's the governor.

00:16:38.420 So he takes it seriously.

00:16:40.860 He's embraced it.

00:16:42.460 And not only did he embrace it,

00:16:44.020 he amplified it.

00:16:45.000 He did something.

00:16:46.060 He actually put into action

00:16:47.500 real people,

00:16:48.680 probably a budget,

00:16:49.880 real things,

00:16:50.620 gave it visibility.

00:16:51.540 He amplified it.

00:16:52.260 What did he expect

00:16:53.760 would happen?

00:16:56.200 Exactly what happened.

00:16:58.860 Because there's only

00:16:59.740 one way it could have gone.

00:17:01.800 It would produce

00:17:02.500 something absurd.

00:17:04.440 And then he'd be

00:17:05.280 off the hook.

00:17:08.680 Would you agree

00:17:09.500 that that was intentional

00:17:10.380 on his part?

00:17:11.440 He knew it wasn't

00:17:12.500 going to be

00:17:12.780 a real recommendation.

00:17:14.640 He knew it would

00:17:15.320 be ridiculous.

00:17:17.180 How ridiculous is it?

00:17:19.380 Let's review.

00:17:20.100 I'm not going to

00:17:22.300 cap everything I say

00:17:23.540 right now is true.

00:17:24.900 It'll sound like

00:17:25.800 I just made this up.

00:17:26.760 It's so ridiculous.

00:17:28.680 So California

00:17:29.800 that was never

00:17:30.840 a slave state,

00:17:33.380 California was never

00:17:35.340 a slave state.

00:17:37.760 Right.

00:17:39.200 Not only was it

00:17:40.320 never a slave state,

00:17:41.700 but it was a state

00:17:43.120 that slaves fled to

00:17:44.720 for a good life.

00:17:46.760 Because relatively speaking,

00:17:48.140 it was a pretty good deal

00:17:49.060 to be black in California

00:17:50.380 relative to other places.

00:17:52.380 Plenty of jobs.

00:17:54.080 And if there were

00:17:54.480 lots of jobs

00:17:55.160 and you were free,

00:17:56.840 well, you had a job.

00:17:58.240 So if you're black,

00:17:59.160 you could get a job

00:17:59.980 in California

00:18:00.600 as a free person.

00:18:01.980 So it was a good

00:18:02.700 place to go.

00:18:03.820 And you would even get

00:18:04.880 the citizens

00:18:05.480 would defend you.

00:18:07.360 There's one anecdote

00:18:08.280 of somebody brought

00:18:10.260 a slave from another state.

00:18:12.420 Do you know what happened?

00:18:14.220 In California,

00:18:15.180 somebody tried to bring

00:18:16.140 one slave into the state.

00:18:18.520 One slave.

00:18:20.400 And the locals rose up,

00:18:23.920 black and white,

00:18:25.300 and they fixed it.

00:18:26.540 They just went down there

00:18:27.300 and fixed it.

00:18:28.800 One slave.

00:18:30.120 And California

00:18:31.320 immediately formed

00:18:33.740 a diverse posse

00:18:34.900 to kick them

00:18:36.000 the fuck out of the state.

00:18:37.420 So that's what California

00:18:38.700 is and has been.

00:18:40.880 Anti-slavery

00:18:41.680 to the extreme.

00:18:44.780 So the committee decided

00:18:45.980 that California

00:18:46.640 should pay

00:18:47.340 for all of the harm

00:18:49.140 that it's caused

00:18:49.860 by being the opposite

00:18:52.320 of the harm

00:18:55.380 that's caused.

00:18:57.300 That's a real thing.

00:18:59.440 And they actually

00:19:00.300 came up with that

00:19:01.180 as,

00:19:02.060 so $230,000 each

00:19:04.880 should be paid

00:19:06.280 by citizens

00:19:07.780 such as myself.

00:19:08.640 So I was raised

00:19:11.800 in New York State,

00:19:12.820 which was never

00:19:13.540 a slave state.

00:19:15.780 My relatives

00:19:16.940 and ancestors

00:19:17.660 were anti-slavery

00:19:19.220 types

00:19:20.340 from Great Britain.

00:19:21.800 John Adams,

00:19:22.600 famously.

00:19:23.480 Probably some

00:19:24.180 remote cousin of mine.

00:19:26.340 And so I moved

00:19:28.080 from a non-slave state

00:19:30.260 with relatives

00:19:31.520 who had no slaves

00:19:32.380 and were in fact

00:19:33.300 on the other side

00:19:33.920 of the issue

00:19:34.340 to another

00:19:35.780 most famous

00:19:36.800 non-slave state

00:19:38.020 and therefore

00:19:39.400 for my sins

00:19:41.120 I should pay

00:19:41.840 the people

00:19:42.380 who also

00:19:43.580 were not harmed

00:19:44.360 by the state

00:19:45.120 and had no association

00:19:47.000 with the state

00:19:47.600 whatsoever.

00:19:51.580 Brilliant.

00:19:53.700 You don't think

00:19:54.860 Gavin Newsom

00:19:55.480 could win the presidency?

00:19:57.220 He can.

00:19:58.720 He has a lot of game.

00:20:00.440 I think he's

00:20:01.280 totally underestimated

00:20:02.160 because you don't

00:20:03.240 like his policies.

00:20:05.180 But here's the thing

00:20:06.260 that he would

00:20:06.800 trick you with.

00:20:09.300 You would expect

00:20:10.280 that if he moved

00:20:11.100 from governor

00:20:12.080 to candidate

00:20:12.840 for president

00:20:13.500 which I think

00:20:14.780 will happen

00:20:15.080 at some point

00:20:15.740 whether this time

00:20:16.820 or next

00:20:17.200 he would naturally

00:20:18.800 become more moderate

00:20:20.580 because he's not

00:20:23.340 a fucking idiot.

00:20:26.220 If he became

00:20:27.240 if he stayed

00:20:28.260 with his

00:20:28.780 progressive

00:20:29.660 California policies

00:20:31.400 it would be hard

00:20:32.060 to get elected

00:20:32.620 in a federal

00:20:33.840 election.

00:20:35.660 So you kind of

00:20:36.700 expect that

00:20:37.240 he would say

00:20:37.620 well I did

00:20:38.380 what I did

00:20:39.600 for the citizens

00:20:40.420 of California

00:20:41.200 because that was

00:20:42.400 my job.

00:20:43.860 But if my job

00:20:45.100 is the whole country

00:20:45.960 I will accept

00:20:47.640 that there are

00:20:48.140 different views

00:20:48.800 on how to handle

00:20:49.380 things.

00:20:50.200 And you should expect

00:20:51.100 I wouldn't handle

00:20:51.740 it exactly the way

00:20:52.660 I would handle

00:20:53.100 it in California

00:20:53.900 nor should you

00:20:55.140 expect any governor

00:20:56.040 would do that

00:20:56.840 because it's a

00:20:57.740 different job.

00:20:59.340 He could kind of

00:21:00.060 explain it away

00:21:00.800 couldn't he?

00:21:01.220 And again

00:21:02.580 I'm not backing

00:21:03.540 Newsom

00:21:03.980 just in case

00:21:04.680 it looks like that.

00:21:05.740 I'm just saying

00:21:06.340 that he's a bigger

00:21:06.960 threat than you

00:21:08.640 imagine because

00:21:09.560 you imagine him

00:21:10.380 running as a

00:21:11.560 crazy Californian

00:21:12.700 which would not

00:21:13.940 be the winning

00:21:14.420 formula.

00:21:15.980 But if he runs

00:21:16.660 as the first

00:21:17.680 reasonable Democrat

00:21:19.660 you've seen in a

00:21:20.400 while he's got

00:21:22.600 sort of an Obama

00:21:23.580 thing that could

00:21:24.280 go on there.

00:21:25.340 And he even looks

00:21:26.100 good to the black

00:21:27.380 voters because he

00:21:28.800 tried to get

00:21:29.360 reparations.

00:21:30.000 Sure it didn't

00:21:31.580 go the way

00:21:32.100 they wanted

00:21:32.940 but

00:21:33.320 now I suppose

00:21:35.640 it's also

00:21:36.040 it's possible

00:21:36.800 that this

00:21:37.260 reparation thing

00:21:37.940 will actually

00:21:38.520 be passed

00:21:39.240 and become

00:21:40.320 actual law

00:21:41.060 in California.

00:21:42.080 I seriously

00:21:42.940 doubt it.

00:21:44.760 But I suppose

00:21:45.320 anything's possible.

00:21:48.080 All right.

00:21:51.000 Did everybody

00:21:51.880 see the video

00:21:52.520 of Representative

00:21:54.020 Chip Roy

00:21:54.840 from Texas

00:21:55.580 going off

00:21:56.280 on the

00:21:56.620 omnibus bill?

00:21:57.380 and he

00:21:58.640 was basically

00:21:59.440 he did an

00:22:02.020 excellent job

00:22:02.640 of the

00:22:03.040 you know

00:22:03.540 the angry

00:22:04.140 I think he's

00:22:04.960 relatively new

00:22:05.740 in Congress

00:22:06.280 right?

00:22:08.000 When did he

00:22:08.700 get elected?

00:22:09.380 It was not

00:22:09.780 that long ago

00:22:10.460 right?

00:22:11.560 So he's got

00:22:12.300 sort of the

00:22:12.740 newcomer

00:22:13.280 situation going

00:22:15.600 on.

00:22:16.400 And I thought

00:22:18.000 he was

00:22:18.240 magnificent.

00:22:20.240 He did a

00:22:21.020 good job of

00:22:21.680 shaming his

00:22:22.420 fellow congress

00:22:24.460 people.

00:22:24.740 But what

00:22:26.700 good did

00:22:27.040 it do?

00:22:28.580 What good

00:22:29.140 did it do?

00:22:30.880 Will it

00:22:31.280 help?

00:22:32.680 No.

00:22:33.280 Of course

00:22:33.600 not.

00:22:34.540 Because he

00:22:36.100 seemed to be

00:22:36.700 focusing on

00:22:37.480 the personnel

00:22:38.480 problem.

00:22:39.720 Here's the

00:22:40.200 problem with

00:22:40.680 the omnibus

00:22:41.380 bill.

00:22:42.720 You could

00:22:43.300 replace every

00:22:44.340 member of

00:22:44.780 Congress with

00:22:45.540 well-meaning

00:22:46.480 different people

00:22:47.300 and they would

00:22:48.300 end up in the

00:22:48.840 same place.

00:22:50.380 Does anybody

00:22:50.780 disagree with

00:22:51.320 that?

00:22:52.220 You can

00:22:52.580 remove every

00:22:53.340 member of

00:22:53.820 Congress,

00:22:54.760 replace them

00:22:55.340 with all

00:22:55.760 new people

00:22:56.320 who hate

00:22:57.360 omnibus

00:22:57.960 bills.

00:22:58.960 Everyone,

00:22:59.460 they hate

00:22:59.820 these omnibus

00:23:00.540 bills.

00:23:01.960 And you

00:23:02.320 wait about

00:23:03.740 two election

00:23:04.680 cycles and

00:23:06.360 they would

00:23:06.620 all be back

00:23:07.140 to omnibus

00:23:07.780 bills.

00:23:08.960 Now,

00:23:09.340 here's the

00:23:09.680 reason.

00:23:10.620 The reason

00:23:11.060 is there's

00:23:11.500 nothing wrong

00:23:12.000 with the

00:23:12.260 people.

00:23:13.920 And they

00:23:14.780 have a

00:23:15.100 goal,

00:23:15.960 wouldn't you

00:23:16.360 say,

00:23:16.660 they have a

00:23:17.020 goal of

00:23:17.560 creating sensible

00:23:18.440 budgets for

00:23:19.660 the country.

00:23:21.020 That's clearly

00:23:21.720 their goal.

00:23:22.560 We'd like to

00:23:23.140 create a

00:23:23.460 sensible budget.

00:23:24.620 But the

00:23:25.020 trouble is

00:23:25.380 they have a

00:23:25.760 system which

00:23:26.940 incentivizes

00:23:28.080 them to

00:23:28.740 hide the

00:23:30.660 budget from

00:23:31.960 the public

00:23:32.380 and go home

00:23:32.960 early.

00:23:34.300 The entire

00:23:35.100 incentive system,

00:23:36.160 the system,

00:23:37.520 is designed to

00:23:38.400 give us the

00:23:38.820 income we

00:23:39.320 got.

00:23:40.640 Now, you

00:23:41.540 could say,

00:23:42.040 but why didn't

00:23:42.540 it happen like

00:23:43.120 that before?

00:23:44.200 Well, things

00:23:44.780 have changed.

00:23:46.000 Maybe it's

00:23:46.540 social media or

00:23:47.300 whatever it is,

00:23:47.760 so we're more

00:23:48.880 divided or whatever

00:23:50.280 it is, but

00:23:51.300 something's

00:23:51.740 changed.

00:23:52.840 So you

00:23:53.620 have to look

00:23:54.060 at the

00:23:54.320 system.

00:23:55.280 The system

00:23:56.020 has to be

00:23:56.560 tweaked.

00:23:57.520 And I

00:23:58.240 think we're

00:23:58.700 also trained

00:23:59.380 to look at

00:23:59.800 the candidates

00:24:00.540 that we

00:24:01.500 can't see

00:24:01.880 the problem.

00:24:03.420 There's no

00:24:03.980 amount of

00:24:04.420 change of

00:24:04.860 candidates that

00:24:06.020 would have

00:24:06.300 anything to

00:24:06.960 do with the

00:24:07.420 omnibus

00:24:07.920 situation.

00:24:09.340 Now, just

00:24:09.900 if you're

00:24:11.540 new to this,

00:24:12.460 an omnibus

00:24:13.180 bill is

00:24:14.360 where the

00:24:14.860 politicians

00:24:15.340 sort of give

00:24:16.100 up on

00:24:16.460 negotiating,

00:24:16.940 and they

00:24:17.900 just say,

00:24:18.340 well, why

00:24:18.840 don't we

00:24:19.040 all throw

00:24:19.400 our pet

00:24:19.780 projects into

00:24:20.440 one big

00:24:20.920 bill so

00:24:21.760 nobody knows

00:24:22.380 what they're

00:24:22.680 getting?

00:24:23.640 It'll increase

00:24:24.720 the debt, but

00:24:25.380 that's not our

00:24:26.120 immediate problem.

00:24:27.360 We get to go

00:24:27.960 home for

00:24:28.260 Christmas vacation.

00:24:29.800 So they just

00:24:30.240 throw it in this

00:24:30.820 big garbage

00:24:31.380 bill called

00:24:31.900 the omnibus

00:24:32.560 and go home,

00:24:34.080 like not doing

00:24:34.820 their jobs.

00:24:37.460 So, just

00:24:40.340 say incent.

00:24:41.520 I don't think

00:24:42.160 incent is a

00:24:42.840 word, is it?

00:24:43.320 I used to

00:24:45.760 say incent, but

00:24:47.020 I don't think

00:24:47.600 it's a word, is

00:24:48.120 it?

00:24:50.240 Is incent an

00:24:51.360 actual English

00:24:52.440 word?

00:24:54.180 It's not, right?

00:24:55.400 It's what you

00:24:56.000 think is a word,

00:24:56.640 but it's not.

00:24:57.840 You give people

00:24:58.740 incentives, and

00:25:00.420 you incentivize,

00:25:02.080 but you don't

00:25:02.660 incent people,

00:25:03.660 do you?

00:25:06.140 Am I wrong

00:25:06.840 about that?

00:25:07.940 Because I used

00:25:08.620 to say it, and

00:25:09.360 I thought I was

00:25:10.260 corrected that it's

00:25:10.960 not a word.

00:25:13.320 All right, well,

00:25:15.020 we'll figure that

00:25:15.640 out later.

00:25:18.120 So I think that

00:25:19.140 Chip Roy, he's

00:25:20.520 got the right

00:25:20.960 spirit, he's got

00:25:22.400 the right fight,

00:25:23.380 but he's not

00:25:24.120 doing anything

00:25:24.680 useful.

00:25:25.920 There's nothing

00:25:26.600 that Chip Roy

00:25:27.140 did that was

00:25:27.660 useful.

00:25:28.660 I hate to say

00:25:29.360 it, because I'm

00:25:30.760 totally on his

00:25:31.380 side in terms of

00:25:32.220 how he feels

00:25:32.780 about it, but he

00:25:33.640 didn't do anything

00:25:34.120 useful.

00:25:35.240 The only useful

00:25:36.380 thing anybody

00:25:36.980 could do is to

00:25:38.320 suggest a way to

00:25:39.800 change the system

00:25:40.740 that might change

00:25:42.260 the outcome.

00:25:43.320 to change the

00:25:44.500 incentives.

00:25:45.640 Did he do

00:25:46.360 that?

00:25:51.060 Incented.

00:25:52.560 No, somebody

00:25:53.180 saying the

00:25:53.620 incentives work.

00:25:57.100 All right, I

00:25:57.640 will look more

00:25:59.180 into that, because

00:25:59.820 I also wonder if

00:26:00.740 that's a new, is

00:26:02.660 it possible that

00:26:03.300 that happened

00:26:03.780 recently?

00:26:06.420 Was it recently

00:26:07.940 that they allowed

00:26:09.720 it?

00:26:09.980 or has it

00:26:11.200 always been a

00:26:11.700 word?

00:26:12.500 It's always been

00:26:13.220 a word.

00:26:14.140 So when I was

00:26:14.960 corrected in the

00:26:15.920 past that it was

00:26:17.500 not a word, I

00:26:19.420 should have not

00:26:19.920 listened.

00:26:22.380 I was pretty sure I

00:26:23.420 looked it up.

00:26:23.980 I guess I have a

00:26:24.540 false memory.

00:26:25.900 Like I have an

00:26:26.640 actual false

00:26:27.300 memory, because I

00:26:29.200 have a memory of

00:26:29.940 looking it up and

00:26:30.820 learning it wasn't a

00:26:31.660 word.

00:26:32.900 Clearly it is,

00:26:33.780 because you're

00:26:34.320 proving it to me in

00:26:35.640 real time.

00:26:36.100 So that's an

00:26:37.180 actual false

00:26:37.700 memory.

00:26:38.800 Isn't that

00:26:39.080 interesting?

00:26:40.280 Because it's rare

00:26:41.800 when you can catch

00:26:42.580 yourself in a false

00:26:43.540 memory.

00:26:44.500 Because usually you

00:26:45.260 think, well, I

00:26:46.060 probably was right.

00:26:47.920 But this is

00:26:48.720 unambiguous.

00:26:49.720 It's in the

00:26:50.220 dictionary.

00:26:51.120 So it's a false

00:26:51.980 memory.

00:26:53.120 We have them so

00:26:53.980 often that we

00:26:54.660 don't realize it.

00:26:56.520 All right.

00:26:58.180 So Chip Roy,

00:26:59.940 good start, but you

00:27:01.420 need to come up with

00:27:02.040 a specific

00:27:02.680 suggestion.

00:27:04.020 I don't know if

00:27:04.660 there's anything you

00:27:05.380 can do short of a

00:27:06.560 constitutional convention,

00:27:08.860 so there might not

00:27:09.460 be anything practical.

00:27:10.840 But somebody's got to

00:27:11.900 make some ideas.

00:27:13.600 Like it might be

00:27:14.440 that you add

00:27:15.160 something to the

00:27:15.800 process instead of

00:27:17.160 modifying it.

00:27:18.380 It might be

00:27:18.760 something you could

00:27:19.340 add legally.

00:27:20.620 For example,

00:27:21.700 transparency.

00:27:23.700 Transparency.

00:27:25.220 Suppose you just

00:27:26.040 made it easy to see

00:27:27.100 what's in it.

00:27:28.460 Because right now,

00:27:29.760 they do this big

00:27:31.560 write-up you can't

00:27:32.440 figure out.

00:27:34.080 Suppose you

00:27:34.880 create some

00:27:35.660 legislation that

00:27:37.280 says other

00:27:38.080 legislation has to

00:27:39.180 be clear, or

00:27:41.340 something like

00:27:41.860 that.

00:27:42.280 Or you said

00:27:43.200 nothing can be

00:27:44.540 passed without

00:27:47.440 a certain number

00:27:48.960 of days of

00:27:49.720 debate.

00:27:51.280 Would that be

00:27:52.080 legal?

00:27:53.000 Could they just

00:27:53.820 create a law that

00:27:54.540 says, because

00:27:57.000 they have some

00:27:57.400 power over their

00:27:58.140 internal process,

00:27:59.120 right?

00:28:00.220 Congress can tweak

00:28:01.500 its own process

00:28:02.240 within reason, as

00:28:03.780 long as they're

00:28:04.240 within constitutional

00:28:05.100 bounds.

00:28:06.340 So I want to see

00:28:07.400 an actual rule

00:28:08.020 change.

00:28:09.080 I want to see

00:28:09.620 somebody say,

00:28:10.700 we'll increase,

00:28:11.880 I don't know,

00:28:12.980 the time to do

00:28:14.460 this, or it

00:28:15.240 must be debated,

00:28:16.420 or you must prove

00:28:18.520 you've read it

00:28:19.060 before you vote on

00:28:19.900 it.

00:28:20.800 It has to be read

00:28:21.800 out in public.

00:28:23.100 There's probably a

00:28:23.780 variety of things

00:28:24.440 you could do to

00:28:25.160 make it harder to

00:28:26.020 do this, and

00:28:27.280 easier to do the

00:28:28.160 right thing.

00:28:28.640 You know what

00:28:31.900 would be

00:28:32.140 interesting?

00:28:33.980 Anonymous

00:28:34.340 voting, even

00:28:36.920 by the

00:28:37.320 politicians.

00:28:38.420 That would be

00:28:39.060 interesting.

00:28:42.100 Because you

00:28:42.740 could look at

00:28:44.000 individual bills,

00:28:46.920 eh, that's

00:28:47.380 probably a bad

00:28:47.800 idea, forget

00:28:48.680 that.

00:28:49.740 So anyway, the

00:28:50.280 point is we

00:28:50.820 could brainstorm

00:28:51.580 what would fix

00:28:52.600 it, but nobody's

00:28:53.420 even doing that.

00:28:54.680 If you don't see

00:28:55.420 anybody brainstorming

00:28:56.620 how you could

00:28:57.400 change the

00:28:58.040 incentive system,

00:29:00.060 literally nothing's

00:29:01.040 happening.

00:29:02.100 So all of us

00:29:02.900 just saying the

00:29:03.440 same thing and

00:29:04.120 agreeing with each

00:29:04.880 other.

00:29:05.660 Oh, we don't like

00:29:06.600 omnibus bills.

00:29:08.140 And then the

00:29:08.600 Democrats say, oh,

00:29:10.040 we don't like

00:29:10.540 omnibus bills

00:29:11.340 either.

00:29:12.560 Well, I don't

00:29:13.060 like them more

00:29:13.600 than you don't

00:29:14.040 like them.

00:29:14.980 Who likes them?

00:29:16.280 Nobody.

00:29:17.200 We all don't

00:29:17.880 like them.

00:29:18.960 What good is

00:29:19.440 that?

00:29:20.420 What good is

00:29:21.080 that?

00:29:21.880 We're literally

00:29:22.560 agreeing with each

00:29:23.600 other, like really

00:29:24.660 angrily.

00:29:25.240 I angrily

00:29:27.340 agree with you

00:29:27.980 that omnibus

00:29:28.620 bills are not

00:29:29.340 optimal.

00:29:31.280 Do fucking

00:29:32.640 something.

00:29:33.760 Do anything.

00:29:35.720 Float an idea.

00:29:37.540 Float a bad

00:29:38.220 idea.

00:29:39.260 Any idea.

00:29:40.020 Just do

00:29:40.380 something.

00:29:41.380 Something that

00:29:42.240 looks like it's

00:29:43.480 an attempt to

00:29:44.480 move forward.

00:29:45.500 Nothing like

00:29:46.080 that's happening.

00:29:47.140 Nothing.

00:29:48.620 So your

00:29:49.080 government is

00:29:49.700 not even

00:29:50.060 functioning at

00:29:50.680 this point.

00:29:51.020 I asked on

00:29:55.200 Twitter, but I

00:29:55.760 didn't see if I

00:29:57.420 got a good

00:29:57.820 answer.

00:29:59.480 Is there a

00:30:00.180 list of

00:30:00.520 advertisers that

00:30:01.520 are pulling

00:30:02.600 out of

00:30:02.920 Twitter?

00:30:03.860 Because I

00:30:04.360 would like to

00:30:05.120 repay them with

00:30:06.640 some lack of

00:30:07.540 business.

00:30:08.980 Now, because I

00:30:10.280 feel like their

00:30:10.800 pulling out is not

00:30:11.520 entirely business

00:30:12.400 related.

00:30:13.460 It feels

00:30:13.940 political.

00:30:15.180 And if they

00:30:15.600 want to get

00:30:16.020 political, they

00:30:17.500 can.

00:30:17.800 But there's

00:30:18.920 an expense to

00:30:19.980 that.

00:30:20.840 And I would

00:30:21.140 like them to

00:30:21.680 realize the

00:30:22.320 expense.

00:30:23.680 Now, let me

00:30:24.120 ask you this.

00:30:25.020 If a big

00:30:25.620 company advertises

00:30:26.680 on Twitter,

00:30:28.180 what percent

00:30:29.740 sales do they

00:30:31.000 expect in

00:30:33.300 terms of an

00:30:33.780 increase?

00:30:35.320 It depends on

00:30:35.920 the budget, of

00:30:36.420 course.

00:30:36.960 But do you

00:30:37.360 think that a

00:30:38.140 big company

00:30:38.600 looks at just

00:30:40.080 their Twitter

00:30:40.560 advertising and

00:30:41.920 says, you

00:30:42.900 know, this

00:30:43.200 Twitter advertising

00:30:43.980 is getting us a

00:30:44.880 good 1% extra

00:30:46.700 customers?

00:30:47.800 Or something?

00:30:49.700 Do you think

00:30:50.080 they do that?

00:30:51.560 But if they do

00:30:52.560 make an estimate,

00:30:53.700 what do you

00:30:54.120 think is the

00:30:54.640 Twitter-only

00:30:55.520 part of their

00:30:56.360 advertising budget

00:30:57.380 compared to all

00:30:59.120 the benefits from

00:30:59.940 their entire

00:31:00.500 advertising budget?

00:31:02.700 My guess is,

00:31:03.780 for a big

00:31:04.120 company, let's

00:31:05.160 say General

00:31:05.640 Motors, that

00:31:07.560 the Twitter

00:31:08.120 portion, even

00:31:09.020 if it worked

00:31:09.600 perfectly, like

00:31:10.860 even if they

00:31:11.360 got a return on

00:31:12.160 their investment,

00:31:13.700 would be maybe

00:31:14.420 1%, would you

00:31:16.420 say?

00:31:16.620 Or less,

00:31:18.120 right?

00:31:18.380 Half of 1%.

00:31:19.500 Totally worth

00:31:20.740 doing, because

00:31:21.940 if they spend

00:31:22.580 $10 million

00:31:24.340 on Twitter, and

00:31:25.920 they move the

00:31:26.600 dial 1%, maybe

00:31:30.040 that's $100

00:31:30.580 million, right?

00:31:32.480 So there's

00:31:32.900 definitely an

00:31:33.700 upside.

00:31:36.660 But here's my

00:31:37.680 question.

00:31:38.780 How much of a

00:31:39.560 customer boycott

00:31:40.560 would it take to

00:31:42.000 reduce GM's

00:31:43.200 earnings more

00:31:45.520 than whatever

00:31:47.180 their Twitter

00:31:48.400 gain was?

00:31:49.500 In other words,

00:31:50.020 could you hurt

00:31:50.620 GM enough by

00:31:53.100 simply not buying

00:31:53.960 their products that

00:31:55.300 they would say,

00:31:55.820 all right, let's

00:31:56.240 just get back on

00:31:56.940 Twitter, or at

00:31:57.760 least break even?

00:31:59.080 Even if the

00:31:59.940 advertising doesn't

00:32:00.660 work, at least

00:32:01.220 it'll make the

00:32:01.720 boycott go away.

00:32:03.240 It seems like it's

00:32:04.240 easier to force

00:32:05.540 General Motors to

00:32:07.540 be on Twitter than

00:32:09.460 it is for them to

00:32:10.400 be off Twitter.

00:32:10.980 Like, it

00:32:11.940 wouldn't take

00:32:12.340 much.

00:32:14.340 It would actually

00:32:15.180 just take the

00:32:15.760 threat.

00:32:17.560 If GM saw a

00:32:18.840 threat forming,

00:32:20.740 they would act

00:32:21.360 well before the

00:32:22.120 threat was

00:32:22.540 implemented.

00:32:23.780 So if it looks

00:32:24.320 like the sales of

00:32:29.440 those companies is

00:32:30.900 going down relative

00:32:32.480 to the sales of

00:32:33.360 others, because

00:32:34.460 you want to take

00:32:34.980 into the recession

00:32:35.880 account, that was

00:32:37.820 almost a sentence.

00:32:38.660 wouldn't you

00:32:40.980 like to know

00:32:41.420 that?

00:32:42.560 I'd love to

00:32:43.200 know, if there's

00:32:44.540 any way to know,

00:32:45.640 would the basket

00:32:46.560 of Twitter boycott

00:32:48.980 advertisers, did

00:32:51.180 they do worse than

00:32:52.440 other companies on

00:32:53.300 average?

00:32:54.460 Did people actually

00:32:55.320 turn against them

00:32:56.080 because of that?

00:32:56.680 Because I will.

00:32:58.360 Because I don't

00:32:59.100 think that they're

00:32:59.700 acting just in their

00:33:01.060 business interest.

00:33:02.400 I feel like it has a

00:33:03.480 political smell to it.

00:33:04.560 And if they're

00:33:06.720 involved in politics,

00:33:07.780 then I'm going to

00:33:09.680 embrace and amplify.

00:33:11.340 Hey, if you're

00:33:11.880 involved in politics,

00:33:12.960 go all in.

00:33:15.060 You certainly have

00:33:16.080 freedom of speech,

00:33:16.880 General Motors, just

00:33:18.200 to pick one.

00:33:19.740 They have total

00:33:21.240 freedom of speech.

00:33:22.360 They also have total

00:33:23.140 freedom to invest

00:33:24.840 and advertise

00:33:26.540 wherever they want.

00:33:28.140 But so do you.

00:33:29.660 So do you.

00:33:30.140 So I haven't seen

00:33:32.540 that list, but if

00:33:34.460 anybody has like a

00:33:35.280 nice clean list,

00:33:36.500 send it to me.

00:33:37.960 All right.

00:33:38.600 Here's what I think

00:33:39.960 is the most

00:33:40.340 fascinating thing

00:33:41.160 happening.

00:33:42.460 I don't know if

00:33:43.380 you will, but maybe

00:33:45.420 this is just so in

00:33:46.320 my strike zone that

00:33:47.920 it just is making

00:33:49.240 me all interested.

00:33:50.640 The January 6th

00:33:52.820 criminal referrals.

00:33:56.400 There are four of

00:33:57.940 them.

00:33:58.220 Am I correct?

00:34:00.140 I one time saw

00:34:02.800 them summarized in

00:34:04.000 four bullet points.

00:34:05.500 Here are the four

00:34:06.260 things.

00:34:07.640 Today, I did quite a

00:34:10.320 bit of Google

00:34:10.780 searching to remind

00:34:12.640 myself what the four

00:34:13.700 things are.

00:34:15.000 Couldn't find them.

00:34:17.700 What?

00:34:19.040 I couldn't find them.

00:34:21.400 Isn't it the biggest

00:34:22.420 story?

00:34:23.300 The biggest story is

00:34:24.580 that January 6th

00:34:25.940 committee referred

00:34:27.180 four specific crimes.

00:34:28.880 Now, when I say I

00:34:30.700 can't find them, I

00:34:32.040 don't mean there's no

00:34:32.880 reference to them.

00:34:34.660 There are articles in

00:34:35.840 which the crimes are

00:34:38.380 sort of described in

00:34:39.520 paragraphs.

00:34:41.380 But only once did I see

00:34:43.320 four bullet points of

00:34:45.340 these four crimes.

00:34:46.380 Why is that?

00:34:48.320 Why does the business

00:34:50.960 press not remind us of

00:34:54.540 the most obvious thing?

00:34:55.480 Here are the four

00:34:56.040 crimes.

00:34:56.380 I think it's because

00:34:58.140 they look like

00:34:58.760 bullshit.

00:35:00.520 I think that they

00:35:01.520 can't tell you what

00:35:02.560 the committee...

00:35:04.700 I don't believe the

00:35:05.680 press can do a good

00:35:07.460 job explaining the

00:35:08.860 committee's work.

00:35:10.280 Because if they did,

00:35:11.420 it would debunk the

00:35:12.180 committee.

00:35:13.340 So I think what's

00:35:14.220 happened is the

00:35:15.060 committee and the

00:35:16.560 media are colluding

00:35:17.460 again, quite obviously,

00:35:19.200 so that the news is

00:35:20.860 avoiding clearly

00:35:22.160 describing what

00:35:23.060 happened.

00:35:24.040 There's a lack of

00:35:25.000 clarity that's shocking

00:35:26.180 because this is not a

00:35:28.160 difficult question.

00:35:30.100 What did they

00:35:30.660 recommend?

00:35:32.160 I saw it once.

00:35:34.140 I saw that on the

00:35:35.780 first day, somebody put

00:35:37.600 it in four bullet points

00:35:38.560 and tweeted it.

00:35:39.720 And I said to myself,

00:35:40.640 there you go.

00:35:41.280 That's what I need.

00:35:42.900 I need just give me the

00:35:44.640 facts.

00:35:45.520 That completely is gone

00:35:46.860 now.

00:35:47.140 You'll see somebody

00:35:48.880 talking about one of

00:35:50.060 the allegations.

00:35:52.240 But usually, they'll

00:35:53.680 refer to it, they'll

00:35:55.460 make some opinionated

00:35:57.200 claims, and then

00:35:58.640 there'll just be a

00:35:59.320 link.

00:36:00.240 So you'd have to do a

00:36:01.080 whole bunch of

00:36:01.520 research to see if the

00:36:03.240 way they express their

00:36:04.240 opinion about it

00:36:05.160 actually matches the

00:36:06.500 link.

00:36:07.680 It's really hard.

00:36:08.820 So you'd think that if

00:36:11.640 there's something that

00:36:12.360 matches their opinion,

00:36:13.980 they'd call that out

00:36:15.140 and say, all right,

00:36:16.800 here's my opinion, see

00:36:17.720 how it matches the

00:36:19.460 testimony.

00:36:20.500 But instead, it's more

00:36:21.540 like a hand-waving.

00:36:23.220 It's like, here's my

00:36:23.920 opinion, and it's

00:36:25.160 because things were

00:36:26.100 discovered and known,

00:36:30.220 and then there was a

00:36:31.760 person talking to a

00:36:32.660 person, and then there

00:36:33.980 was that meeting, and

00:36:35.820 there was that meeting,

00:36:36.560 and then it was a

00:36:37.800 thing, and then Trump

00:36:41.040 needs to go to jail.

00:36:42.920 It all looks like that

00:36:44.140 to me.

00:36:45.500 It looks like there's

00:36:46.620 nobody in the press who

00:36:47.640 can even describe what

00:36:49.920 the crime is.

00:36:52.280 Now, let me take their

00:36:53.440 best arguments and see

00:36:54.600 how they look.

00:36:57.900 Yeah, I'm tossing that

00:36:58.940 word salad.

00:36:59.640 That's right.

00:37:03.640 For example, he's

00:37:05.020 accused of obstructing

00:37:06.320 an official proceeding.

00:37:09.080 Obstructing an official

00:37:10.200 proceeding.

00:37:12.720 What would be, what is

00:37:15.440 an official proceeding?

00:37:17.060 Is that a little vague to

00:37:18.280 you?

00:37:20.140 Have you looked that up?

00:37:21.620 I had to go research,

00:37:23.260 what the hell is an

00:37:24.140 official proceeding?

00:37:25.720 What makes it official?

00:37:27.600 What makes it a

00:37:28.400 proceeding?

00:37:28.760 And so, I went to AI,

00:37:32.320 and I said, is a federal

00:37:35.140 election, the whole

00:37:36.760 election itself, would

00:37:38.460 that be an official

00:37:40.460 proceeding?

00:37:41.960 And AI said, yes.

00:37:44.140 The election itself is an

00:37:45.700 official proceeding.

00:37:47.900 So then, what does

00:37:49.300 obstruction mean?

00:37:50.520 Obstruction would mean

00:37:53.120 anything that sort of

00:37:54.800 slows it down or

00:37:56.480 adds some friction,

00:37:58.000 right?

00:37:58.960 So, remember, he's not,

00:38:00.760 Trump is not being

00:38:01.560 accused of stopping

00:38:03.980 an official proceeding.

00:38:05.960 That's not the

00:38:07.000 accusation.

00:38:08.400 He's accused of

00:38:10.040 obstructing, slowing it

00:38:13.240 down, but nobody's

00:38:14.640 claiming it didn't

00:38:15.460 ultimately happen.

00:38:16.960 They're saying that he

00:38:17.780 put some pressure on it

00:38:19.120 happening.

00:38:20.280 So, that's a crime.

00:38:22.800 So, if anybody did

00:38:24.040 something that put some

00:38:26.060 pressure on, let's say,

00:38:27.600 the election itself, that

00:38:30.680 would be obstructing an

00:38:32.240 official proceeding.

00:38:33.760 So, for example, would it

00:38:35.680 be obstructing an

00:38:36.780 official proceeding if 50

00:38:38.520 intel people colluded to

00:38:40.740 lie about a major factor

00:38:42.560 in the election, like

00:38:44.360 Hunter's laptop?

00:38:46.640 Well, that's what it looks

00:38:47.760 like to me.

00:38:49.120 It looks like, and

00:38:51.080 worse, it was actually

00:38:52.100 government official

00:38:52.980 related people.

00:38:54.680 It's actually the

00:38:55.340 government itself appeared

00:38:57.160 to have, not appeared

00:38:58.220 to, did absolutely

00:38:59.600 collude to lie to the

00:39:02.960 public on a very

00:39:04.560 important fact to change

00:39:07.740 the outcome of the

00:39:08.740 election.

00:39:10.080 Now, is changing the

00:39:11.720 outcome the same as

00:39:13.340 obstructing?

00:39:13.960 I would think it would

00:39:16.680 be, because obstructing

00:39:18.740 is changing some kind

00:39:20.840 of outcome.

00:39:23.120 So, how about this?

00:39:27.680 Suppose you perpetuated a

00:39:31.220 hoax, like the fine

00:39:33.220 people hoax, and ran for

00:39:35.120 office based entirely on a

00:39:36.880 hoax that you know is a

00:39:39.000 lie, and also the media

00:39:41.340 noses lie, or they

00:39:42.420 should.

00:39:44.200 Is that interfering with

00:39:46.220 the official proceeding,

00:39:47.500 the election itself?

00:39:49.760 I don't know.

00:39:50.900 I suppose it would depend

00:39:52.060 if you thought it was

00:39:52.860 true.

00:39:54.520 Doesn't it?

00:39:55.660 Do you notice how

00:39:56.240 intention matters?

00:39:58.560 Intention is the whole

00:39:59.500 game.

00:40:00.300 Because there are lots of

00:40:01.400 things that interfere with

00:40:02.700 the efficient operation of

00:40:05.080 government.

00:40:05.400 government, but they're not

00:40:06.420 illegal, are they?

00:40:07.500 They're all obstructing

00:40:08.700 the official proceeding.

00:40:10.300 Let's say the maintenance

00:40:13.120 people for the Capitol

00:40:14.260 building don't do a good

00:40:16.200 job of maintenance, and

00:40:17.580 the power goes out for

00:40:20.560 some reason, or the heat

00:40:21.340 goes out or something.

00:40:22.840 And so the maintenance

00:40:24.040 people say, hey, hey, I'm

00:40:25.340 going to have to delay,

00:40:26.160 you're going to have to

00:40:26.680 delay your official

00:40:27.440 proceeding for a couple

00:40:29.560 hours, because we've got

00:40:31.500 to fix the electricity.

00:40:33.340 Do the maintenance

00:40:35.800 people go to jail for

00:40:38.100 obstructing an official

00:40:39.280 proceeding?

00:40:40.140 Of course not.

00:40:41.520 Because there was no

00:40:42.480 intention of any harm.

00:40:45.140 Correct?

00:40:46.120 So the intention of the

00:40:47.540 maintenance people is 100%

00:40:50.660 the whole story, not the

00:40:52.660 delay.

00:40:53.940 Right?

00:40:54.160 The obstruction is just a

00:40:55.700 given, but the intention

00:40:57.580 matters.

00:40:58.940 Now, what was Trump's

00:41:00.060 intention?

00:41:01.460 Did the January 6th

00:41:03.200 people find any evidence

00:41:05.880 that he didn't really

00:41:07.220 believe the election was

00:41:08.320 stolen?

00:41:09.640 Because that would be a

00:41:10.680 very big dog not

00:41:12.440 barking.

00:41:14.760 If they have not

00:41:15.840 demonstrated Trump's

00:41:17.400 intention, and it does

00:41:18.580 look like they've got

00:41:20.060 evidence of other

00:41:20.960 people's intentions, but

00:41:22.860 nothing that connects it

00:41:23.780 to Trump.

00:41:25.380 In other words, if Trump

00:41:26.800 genuinely believed the

00:41:29.460 election was not only

00:41:30.560 rigged, but obviously

00:41:31.920 so, obviously so, was he

00:41:36.280 obstructing or fixing an

00:41:38.260 official proceeding?

00:41:39.920 If an official proceeding is

00:41:41.860 clearly defective in a way

00:41:44.740 that the public will be

00:41:46.360 harmed by it, and a

00:41:48.040 government official tries to

00:41:49.840 fix it, to fix the thing

00:41:51.980 that's harming the public

00:41:53.060 right in front of you in a

00:41:55.780 completely transparent way, is

00:41:58.960 that obstructing it, or is

00:41:59.900 that fixing it?

00:42:04.800 So, these are pure opinion

00:42:07.280 pieces.

00:42:08.880 Pure opinion pieces.

00:42:10.840 Do you think there's any jury

00:42:12.120 that would agree that Trump

00:42:14.500 was obstructing versus trying

00:42:17.460 to improve the outcome, to

00:42:19.900 make it more what the public

00:42:21.000 actually wanted and actually

00:42:22.760 voted for?

00:42:23.280 There's no evidence that he

00:42:25.860 thinks he's wrong.

00:42:28.000 Does anybody think that Trump

00:42:29.460 doesn't believe the election

00:42:30.700 was rigged?

00:42:33.080 Now, he's either right or

00:42:34.800 wrong.

00:42:35.160 I'm not saying whether he's

00:42:35.960 right or wrong.

00:42:38.100 I'm saying, I don't think

00:42:39.340 there's any question that he

00:42:40.280 believes it.

00:42:41.440 He totally believes it.

00:42:43.360 There's not a single bit of

00:42:45.280 contrary evidence.

00:42:47.600 Not a single bit.

00:42:48.940 Everything he's said and done,

00:42:50.900 and every witness, including

00:42:53.140 you know, like usually

00:42:55.500 there's some, by now isn't

00:42:57.080 there some anonymous source

00:42:58.260 who says, oh, I heard him

00:43:00.060 say, it's all a trick.

00:43:02.140 Right?

00:43:02.400 Nothing.

00:43:03.500 Like all those people doing

00:43:04.760 all that talking, a lot of

00:43:06.900 digital communications,

00:43:08.280 written communication, and not

00:43:09.640 any of that shows that Trump

00:43:11.660 believed the election was

00:43:12.860 fair, but he was going to try

00:43:13.900 to beat it anyway.

00:43:15.680 Now, here's another question.

00:43:20.520 If an elected official does

00:43:23.840 something that's, you know,

00:43:25.200 public and transparent, but it

00:43:27.640 ends up the courts decide that

00:43:29.480 it violated the Constitution,

00:43:32.100 does that politician go to jail

00:43:33.680 for violating the Constitution,

00:43:35.720 or do the courts simply correct

00:43:38.540 the decision back to something

00:43:41.080 that's compatible with the

00:43:42.320 Constitution?

00:43:42.740 But does the person who made

00:43:44.580 that decision, in full view

00:43:46.920 of the public, and for the

00:43:48.700 benefit of the public

00:43:49.460 allegedly, do they go to jail?

00:43:52.480 No.

00:43:54.000 No.

00:43:55.000 No.

00:43:55.800 Because Biden would be in jail.

00:43:58.220 Because Biden just,

00:44:00.120 Biden is trying to pay student

00:44:02.900 loans, the Constitution doesn't

00:44:06.000 give him that power, but he's

00:44:08.260 trying to do it anyway.

00:44:09.160 Should Biden go to jail for doing

00:44:13.680 something that's unconstitutional?

00:44:16.220 No.

00:44:16.780 The courts just figured it out.

00:44:18.360 The courts will either side with

00:44:19.800 him, and then it's okay, or they'll

00:44:21.740 say, don't do this, and then it

00:44:23.440 won't happen.

00:44:24.660 But Biden doesn't go to jail.

00:44:27.180 Why would Trump go to jail for

00:44:29.160 trying to get alternate electorals,

00:44:33.960 or electoral, what are they called?

00:44:36.200 Electors?

00:44:36.640 Electors, alternate electors, when

00:44:40.440 I believe it would have been

00:44:41.700 public, would it not?

00:44:44.020 Wouldn't it be public?

00:44:46.420 Like, you would know exactly who

00:44:47.840 was the elector.

00:44:49.120 You would know which one he wanted

00:44:51.620 to go in there instead.

00:44:53.060 You'd know their names.

00:44:54.360 You'd know what they did.

00:44:55.740 You'd know exactly the reasoning

00:44:57.160 behind it, even if he didn't like

00:44:58.720 it, even if it wasn't based on fact.

00:45:00.680 But you would know the reasoning.

00:45:01.900 And then, if that was not

00:45:04.320 acceptable, what would be the

00:45:06.420 process for fixing it?

00:45:08.080 The court.

00:45:09.500 Then the court would say, no, we

00:45:11.080 reject these new electors.

00:45:13.600 So the election stands.

00:45:16.140 Does Trump go to jail for that?

00:45:18.740 Does Trump go to jail for something

00:45:20.280 that's transparent, public?

00:45:22.680 And he had a reason.

00:45:25.480 Now, it might be the wrong reason.

00:45:27.320 It might be based on bad assumptions

00:45:29.220 or bad facts.

00:45:30.880 But it's a public reason that conforms

00:45:34.500 with the public good.

00:45:35.940 The public has an interest in a fair

00:45:37.740 election.

00:45:38.960 The leader thought that hadn't

00:45:40.420 happened.

00:45:41.860 Publicly tried to fix it in ways that

00:45:43.860 you could see.

00:45:45.160 You know, here are these electors.

00:45:47.260 We're trying to get Pence to do this

00:45:48.980 and that.

00:45:49.380 If it didn't work, it's just the

00:45:53.200 courts working out, right?

00:45:57.180 Do you see how difficult this would

00:46:00.680 be to explain it over Christmas

00:46:03.840 vacation to your relatives?

00:46:06.780 I mean, think about it.

00:46:08.220 Imagine anybody who's watched the

00:46:10.100 news, the entire news, just trying

00:46:12.260 to understand it.

00:46:14.420 To understand why that's illegal.

00:46:16.420 All right, let me give you another

00:46:17.180 example.

00:46:17.560 Suppose there's a protest on the

00:46:20.740 steps of the Capitol.

00:46:23.180 And the protest is literally trying

00:46:26.060 to stop a vote.

00:46:27.960 And they delay the vote by two hours

00:46:30.480 because it takes a while for the

00:46:32.340 security to clear things out and get

00:46:34.660 everybody in.

00:46:35.760 So they've obstructed the process for

00:46:37.800 two hours.

00:46:38.720 And they meant to.

00:46:40.020 They meant to.

00:46:41.060 Because they had some political issue

00:46:42.380 they were protesting.

00:46:43.680 Do they go to jail?

00:46:44.620 Because they absolutely, clearly and

00:46:49.960 unambiguously obstructed a official

00:46:52.680 proceeding.

00:46:53.280 Do they go to jail?

00:46:55.080 Not in America.

00:46:56.940 No, in America you say, okay, that was a

00:46:59.340 pretty aggressive protest.

00:47:01.340 That was an aggressive protest.

00:47:03.000 That was inconvenient.

00:47:05.140 You slowed down the cars that were going

00:47:07.400 into the factory with your strike.

00:47:09.040 Like, you made us think, you slowed us

00:47:11.800 down, you broke some laws.

00:47:14.740 You trespassed a little bit, maybe.

00:47:17.880 Does anybody go to jail for that?

00:47:19.880 Not in America.

00:47:21.240 Not in America.

00:47:22.240 Right.

00:47:22.840 In America we say, hey, that's free

00:47:25.140 speech.

00:47:25.920 Yeah, it was inconvenient to you, but

00:47:27.660 that's why protests work.

00:47:29.660 Right.

00:47:29.840 If you said that protests could never

00:47:32.360 inconvenience anybody, you want to

00:47:35.500 live in that country?

00:47:37.400 No.

00:47:40.340 All right.

00:47:49.940 I've got more to say about that, but

00:47:51.720 I don't know.

00:47:53.340 It's worth it.

00:47:55.760 Question.

00:47:56.160 You know that the AI chat GPT, so now

00:48:03.640 the public has access to this AI

00:48:05.400 machine, and it can say all

00:48:07.700 interesting things, and people have

00:48:09.780 been asking it, for example, I think

00:48:12.580 Alex Epstein asked it, to make a

00:48:15.580 defense of fossil fuels.

00:48:18.420 So AI was asked, defend fossil fuels in

00:48:22.280 the context of climate change and

00:48:24.700 everything else.

00:48:26.360 Do you know what AI said?

00:48:29.020 That it would be, I'm paraphrasing, it

00:48:32.440 would be inappropriate or unethical for

00:48:35.640 it to praise fossil fuels because green

00:48:39.880 energy is better.

00:48:42.800 Yep.

00:48:44.200 That your AI, your AI has a woke opinion

00:48:48.380 that it did not come to on its own.

00:48:51.340 I doubt it came up with that opinion on

00:48:53.440 its own.

00:48:54.940 Don't you think that the programmers have

00:48:56.180 their finger on the, finger on the

00:48:58.620 button a little bit?

00:49:00.340 Do you think the people who make the AI

00:49:02.060 are going to let it just say whatever it

00:49:03.500 wants about the most important questions

00:49:05.960 in politics?

00:49:07.960 If you ask AI about climate change, you

00:49:11.120 said, hey, are the climate change

00:49:13.540 projections believable?

00:49:15.520 Suppose the AI said, well, nobody has ever

00:49:21.640 accurately forecast the future.

00:49:25.080 Right?

00:49:25.900 Would that be wrong?

00:49:27.800 Nobody has ever accurately forecast the

00:49:29.880 future, you know, 10 years out.

00:49:32.180 Or something along those lines.

00:49:33.920 But basically a general statement that

00:49:36.700 predictions about the future should not be

00:49:38.460 taken too seriously.

00:49:39.620 If AI said that, it would be completely

00:49:43.580 true, completely based on, you know, fact

00:49:46.400 and observation, but not allowed.

00:49:49.680 There's no way that would be allowed,

00:49:51.920 because it would violate the narrative.

00:49:54.600 Suppose AI said the predictions are

00:49:57.340 garbage because the biggest factors will be

00:50:00.200 the technological developments, and those

00:50:02.800 are unpredictable.

00:50:04.840 Would that be a good artificial intelligence

00:50:07.420 answer?

00:50:08.080 I think so.

00:50:10.200 Yep.

00:50:11.100 Would it be allowed?

00:50:12.840 It would not.

00:50:14.020 It would not be allowed because that

00:50:15.820 answer would cause people to be less

00:50:17.580 aggressive about developing green energy.

00:50:21.820 Do you see where we're going?

00:50:24.320 AI has to be illegal.

00:50:27.660 There's no way it could go any other way.

00:50:31.120 AI will have to be illegal.

00:50:33.900 At least for politics.

00:50:35.280 I mean, it might be illegal for asking

00:50:38.100 where's the best place to park downtown.

00:50:41.040 Right?

00:50:41.620 It might be illegal for that.

00:50:43.100 But AI will never be able to deal with

00:50:45.600 political questions.

00:50:47.640 Because, and this is going to hurt.

00:50:52.340 Do you know why?

00:50:54.220 Here's why you think.

00:50:55.720 You think it's because, let's say,

00:50:57.920 you know, in your opinion, the Democrats

00:50:59.740 want to control the narrative and have power

00:51:03.300 and lord over you in their terrible ways.

00:51:06.600 Let's say you think that.

00:51:08.520 Do you think it's, do you think it's because

00:51:10.680 the Democrats don't want it?

00:51:13.020 Is that why it would be illegal?

00:51:14.320 Because it would violate the narrative that

00:51:15.840 they're trying to push.

00:51:17.960 I hate to tell you, but that's not why it's

00:51:19.820 going to be illegal.

00:51:21.600 There's, there's like a more basic reason.

00:51:25.560 And you're going to hate this.

00:51:26.580 The reason that AI will have to be illegal,

00:51:30.900 at least talking about politics,

00:51:32.800 is that the system can't handle the truth.

00:51:38.100 The system can't handle the truth.

00:51:41.180 It's not designed to handle truth.

00:51:42.880 We have a system that's entirely designed

00:51:44.800 to handle bullshit.

00:51:46.540 It's a persuasion-based system.

00:51:49.560 Right?

00:51:50.760 Do we want the AI to say, you know,

00:51:52.720 it does look like there's a war brewing,

00:51:56.060 but honestly, the best, the best way

00:51:58.320 you could play this, if you're a young man,

00:52:00.300 is to not sign up for the draft.

00:52:03.580 Take your chances.

00:52:05.020 Because there's a good chance you'd be killed

00:52:06.860 or get PTSD if you join the military.

00:52:10.580 But, you know, you could play your,

00:52:12.280 play your odds of trying to avoid the military,

00:52:14.720 but I think your odds would be a little bit better

00:52:16.880 breaking the law.

00:52:20.680 What if that's just true?

00:52:23.480 And what if the AI says,

00:52:25.100 well, I'm not making an opinion.

00:52:28.200 I'm just comparing two risks.

00:52:30.120 The risk of joining the military for this fight,

00:52:32.840 you know, some future fight.

00:52:35.000 And you'd at least have PTSD.

00:52:37.800 Right?

00:52:38.260 You might not get killed,

00:52:39.340 but you'd probably have PTSD.

00:52:41.640 And it disrupts your life and stuff.

00:52:44.220 Versus, let's say, moving to Canada

00:52:46.060 or moving to another country to avoid the draft.

00:52:51.120 Do you see where I'm going?

00:52:52.840 AI would deal with just truth and say,

00:52:56.200 well, it looks like leaving the country

00:52:57.680 and going to this country where you won't get drafted.

00:53:02.020 Looks like that's your best play.

00:53:04.400 Do you think the AI would be allowed to say that?

00:53:07.560 No.

00:53:08.220 No.

00:53:08.480 The United States can't handle the truth.

00:53:11.960 It wouldn't function as a state.

00:53:15.160 Does anybody disagree with that?

00:53:17.240 We have a system that's designed for persuasion, not truth,

00:53:22.180 and it works well for persuasion.

00:53:23.680 If it tried to give you truth,

00:53:27.780 we would just all disagree about everything

00:53:30.120 and nothing would happen.

00:53:31.500 The whole thing would break down.

00:53:33.680 That's actually an existential threat from AI.

00:53:36.240 The threat of AI is not that it becomes our enemy

00:53:39.640 and tries to kill us.

00:53:41.820 The threat from AI is it tries to help us

00:53:44.260 by telling us what's true and what's not.

00:53:47.360 And it would kill us.

00:53:50.480 It would kill us.

00:53:54.780 There's a thinker.

00:53:56.160 There's a thinker for you.

00:53:58.220 I see no disagreement.

00:54:00.200 Not a single disagreement is coming through the comments

00:54:04.200 on either platform.

00:54:05.820 Because you can feel it, right?

00:54:08.980 Don't you feel it?

00:54:10.760 This is a prediction you can feel.

00:54:13.740 You don't have to think about it.

00:54:15.620 You can feel the truth of this,

00:54:18.040 that we don't have a system that can handle the truth.

00:54:21.140 And if AI gets to the point where it could give it to you,

00:54:23.900 it's got to be illegal.

00:54:26.200 We don't have a way to deal with that.

00:54:30.200 So, think about that for a minute.

00:54:36.580 Let me ask you, where's the line between

00:54:38.740 talking about stuff and inciting an insurrection?

00:54:42.960 Where's that line?

00:54:45.420 Is that the most ridiculous legal standard?

00:54:49.340 Inciting an insurrection.

00:54:51.740 Now, I will allow, I will allow,

00:54:54.920 that there could be a clear case of it.

00:54:57.720 That's possible.

00:54:58.340 It could be somebody who, like,

00:55:00.680 have documented conversations who are saying,

00:55:03.820 you know, we want to get some violence going here

00:55:07.840 and incite a revolution.

00:55:09.940 So that, you know, if you had, like,

00:55:11.400 a direct evidence of actual conversations, yes.

00:55:16.340 But if we're going to say that the collective result

00:55:20.120 of your actions was to incite violence or insurrection,

00:55:25.540 how in the world are we ever going to agree

00:55:28.420 about the collective actions,

00:55:31.680 you know, the collective effect of your actions?

00:55:35.040 That will never be something that anybody gets prosecuted for.

00:55:39.040 It's just too nebulous.

00:55:41.740 So this whole Trump stuff

00:55:44.720 is so designed just to be impossible to even handle.

00:55:50.640 Like, your brain can't even wrap itself around these charges

00:55:53.960 because they're so weird and nebulous

00:55:56.140 and they use words you don't even understand.

00:55:58.620 Like, I literally had to look up official proceeding.

00:56:03.560 I didn't even know what the words meant.

00:56:05.760 Like, I pay attention to the news all the time.

00:56:10.120 I didn't even know what the words meant.

00:56:11.320 I see you're prompting me to talk about Ray Epps.

00:56:15.720 So apparently the January 6th committee

00:56:18.000 interviewed Ray Epps,

00:56:20.420 which means a transcript exists.

00:56:25.080 And you haven't seen it.

00:56:29.900 Do you know what I call that?

00:56:32.280 Do you know what I call it

00:56:33.500 when the biggest question in American politics,

00:56:36.040 at least on one side,

00:56:37.660 is what the hell was Ray Epps up to?

00:56:39.520 It's the biggest question.

00:56:41.820 And the January 6th committee has the answer.

00:56:44.120 Or at least they have something

00:56:45.400 that might get us close to the answer.

00:56:47.220 They have the answer to the biggest question.

00:56:51.060 Apparently it's their decision not to show it to you.

00:56:56.160 Are they inciting an insurrection?

00:56:59.520 In my opinion, yes.

00:57:01.600 In my opinion, yes.

00:57:03.240 Because that is a clear cause for an insurrection.

00:57:07.380 Right?

00:57:07.780 Now, if they showed it to us

00:57:09.820 that there's nothing there,

00:57:11.020 well, then no reason for an insurrection.

00:57:14.640 If they showed it to us

00:57:16.640 and it turns out that Ray Epps

00:57:18.180 was totally, you know,

00:57:20.260 behind something that we don't know about yet,

00:57:23.620 is that inciting an insurrection?

00:57:26.300 No.

00:57:26.820 That's just finding out something

00:57:28.040 and then you deal with it.

00:57:30.760 But what is happening

00:57:33.380 when the January 6th people

00:57:34.840 refuse to tell you

00:57:36.480 what they found out

00:57:37.380 about the person

00:57:38.300 who is the subject

00:57:39.480 of your greatest curiosity?

00:57:41.480 Is that inciting an insurrection?

00:57:45.440 Feels like it to me.

00:57:47.160 I actually feel incentivized.

00:57:51.140 I feel incented

00:57:52.440 to start an insurrection.

00:57:55.580 Actually, literally.

00:57:57.420 No joke.

00:57:58.360 When I see this,

00:58:00.240 I say to myself,

00:58:01.860 shit,

00:58:03.060 maybe I need to be part

00:58:04.120 of an insurrection

00:58:04.860 because I can't live

00:58:06.820 in a country like that.

00:58:08.860 Really?

00:58:09.420 You have the information

00:58:10.400 about Ray Epps.

00:58:11.640 The most important question.

00:58:13.900 You're not going to tell us?

00:58:16.000 Really?

00:58:16.320 You're not going to tell us?

00:58:17.900 That's insurrection talk.

00:58:19.780 Well, I mean,

00:58:20.400 insurrection, inspiration.

00:58:22.400 Don't you feel like

00:58:23.260 overthrowing the country

00:58:24.200 when you hear that?

00:58:25.700 Seriously.

00:58:27.000 Isn't your first

00:58:27.940 natural impulse,

00:58:30.240 like, shit,

00:58:30.820 I've got to get rid

00:58:31.880 of all these people.

00:58:33.340 We need a whole new government.

00:58:34.820 If they won't tell us

00:58:35.660 the most basic thing

00:58:36.700 we want to know

00:58:37.440 that they know,

00:58:39.320 they actually know,

00:58:41.200 and they won't tell you.

00:58:42.780 Right in front of you.

00:58:44.080 Right?

00:58:44.300 Right in front of you.

00:58:46.900 It's not like

00:58:47.640 they're even hiding it.

00:58:48.860 Are they even hiding

00:58:49.800 the fact that they have

00:58:51.040 the testimony?

00:58:52.620 No.

00:58:54.020 We're simply

00:58:54.760 not going to ever see it.

00:58:56.620 So yes,

00:58:57.520 I feel that they're

00:58:58.460 inciting an insurrection.

00:59:00.760 Do they go to jail

00:59:01.880 because I feel

00:59:03.640 that they incentivize me

00:59:05.660 to insurrection?

00:59:07.240 No.

00:59:08.440 No.

00:59:09.180 Free speech,

00:59:10.140 blah, blah, blah.

00:59:11.680 So there's no way

00:59:12.680 Trump's going to

00:59:13.380 be in trouble for that.

00:59:17.700 All right.

00:59:18.320 With that,

00:59:20.080 ladies and gentlemen,

00:59:20.720 brings us near the conclusion

00:59:23.980 of the best live stream

00:59:25.200 you've ever seen.

00:59:26.460 I'm going to go private

00:59:27.740 over on Locals.

00:59:29.700 So if you're on that platform

00:59:31.480 and not a subscriber,

00:59:33.840 your feed will be cut off.

00:59:39.540 And let's do some appreciation.

00:59:43.500 How about that?

00:59:44.960 So end of year appreciation

00:59:46.300 for all involved.

00:59:49.120 And these are just

00:59:50.420 random thoughts.

00:59:53.820 Bill Pulte.

00:59:56.000 Bill Pulte.

00:59:58.240 Every day he wakes up

00:59:59.420 and tries to figure out

01:00:00.580 how he can make

01:00:01.100 somebody's life better

01:00:01.980 by giving them money.

01:00:04.660 Literally just giving them money.

01:00:06.800 And he puts the work in,

01:00:09.460 figures out where it can

01:00:10.500 make a real difference.

01:00:11.700 It's not just weird charity.

01:00:13.260 And he benefits from it.

01:00:18.520 The people benefit from it.

01:00:19.780 I mean, he feels good.

01:00:21.060 It's a satisfying thing.

01:00:24.960 Appreciate that.

01:00:26.360 I appreciate that.

01:00:28.280 Here's one that'll surprise you.

01:00:31.520 Yay.

01:00:34.520 I appreciate yay.

01:00:36.040 Yay.

01:00:37.480 Which is different from agreeing

01:00:39.360 with anything he said

01:00:40.280 that offended anybody.

01:00:43.100 I love the fact that he exists.

01:00:46.320 I love the fact

01:00:47.580 that he's challenging everything.

01:00:51.040 Even things you think,

01:00:52.300 well, maybe you shouldn't

01:00:52.980 challenge that.

01:00:54.540 But he's just challenging everything.

01:00:57.280 Do I want more people like that

01:00:59.100 in my life or fewer?

01:01:00.740 I'll take more.

01:01:02.460 I'll take more.

01:01:03.180 Did he sacrifice everything

01:01:05.460 on principle?

01:01:08.260 Yes, he did.

01:01:09.980 I'll take more of that,

01:01:11.060 not less.

01:01:13.900 Elon Musk.

01:01:16.040 Is he perfect?

01:01:17.980 Probably not.

01:01:19.600 Probably not.

01:01:20.380 Who is?

01:01:21.640 Did he do something

01:01:22.680 that is incredible,

01:01:25.700 incredibly useful

01:01:26.940 for the country

01:01:27.660 by not only his businesses,

01:01:30.060 which are an insane asset

01:01:32.720 to the country,

01:01:33.380 but by taking on

01:01:36.900 the biggest risk

01:01:37.720 I've ever seen anybody take

01:01:39.080 for the benefit

01:01:40.400 of free speech.

01:01:42.300 Thank you.

01:01:43.460 So let me just say directly,

01:01:45.120 thank you, Elon Musk,

01:01:46.800 for taking on

01:01:48.100 an enormous challenge,

01:01:49.760 which appears to be

01:01:50.920 almost entirely based on

01:01:52.440 trying to be helpful,

01:01:54.440 trying to help the country.

01:01:55.820 Appreciate it greatly.

01:01:57.780 Is he perfect?

01:01:59.040 Nobody is.

01:02:00.420 Nobody is.

01:02:01.200 How about Congress?

01:02:07.480 I'd like to show

01:02:08.160 my appreciation

01:02:08.860 for the good work of...

01:02:10.280 No, I'm just joking.

01:02:12.520 I'm just joking.

01:02:14.100 Yeah, there's nothing

01:02:14.700 you can say about Congress.

01:02:19.700 Go private.

01:02:20.660 I did go private.

01:02:22.940 It is private, isn't it?

01:02:24.920 Oh, YouTube's still on here.

01:02:26.660 Sorry, you're right.

01:02:27.580 So, YouTube,

01:02:29.860 I'm going to say goodbye.

01:02:31.500 I'll be talking

01:02:32.040 to the locals people.

01:02:34.620 And see you soon.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 24, 2022

Episode 1967 Scott Adams： Artificial Intelligence Will Be Illegal When It Disagrees With democrats

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