Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1970 Scott Adams： The News Is Fun And Interesting Today. Let's Have Some Laughs

00:00:00.320 To the highlight of civilization, it's called Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:04.140 There's never been anything better.

00:00:06.960 And if you'd like to take it up a notch, well, there's a way.

00:00:11.220 There is a way.

00:00:12.540 All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tankard, a tankard, a chalice or stein,

00:00:18.200 a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:23.220 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:24.940 I like coffee.

00:00:25.960 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day,

00:00:30.020 the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:32.260 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:35.580 And it happens now.

00:00:36.380 Go.

00:00:41.020 Yeah, that's good.

00:00:43.000 That's really good.

00:00:47.340 So, I saw that Representative Ted Lieu, Democrat,

00:00:51.500 he tweeted some COVID stuff in response to the Twitter files' revelations about Fauci, etc.

00:01:01.940 And Ted Lieu was immediately fact-checked by Elon Musk.

00:01:09.880 Apparently, Ted Lieu was linking to some incorrect COVID information.

00:01:14.800 And so, Ted had to delete his tweet.

00:01:20.160 Now, the interesting thing is,

00:01:22.980 it looked to me like obviously wrong information,

00:01:28.340 like Ted Lieu was not well-informed.

00:01:31.120 It was like he wasn't even up to date on, you know, the COVID stuff,

00:01:34.980 which is really scary, because he's one of the people in charge, sort of.

00:01:39.060 But how much do you love that?

00:01:42.800 How much do you love that Ted Lieu tweeted some bullshit about COVID on Twitter,

00:01:50.160 got immediately slapped down and fact-checked

00:01:52.340 and had to run away with his tail between his legs?

00:01:56.520 I don't know.

00:01:57.400 I'm not supposed to enjoy it.

00:02:00.660 I should simply observe it.

00:02:03.380 But there's something broken inside me.

00:02:06.540 Something deep inside me is broken.

00:02:09.060 And it made me enjoy it.

00:02:12.500 If there's something deep inside you that's also broken,

00:02:16.340 you might be enjoying it too.

00:02:18.840 So, all of us broken people, we can have a good laugh.

00:02:23.720 Now, what if I told you I was going to do between now and the end of the year?

00:02:30.220 Positivity.

00:02:32.000 Positivity.

00:02:33.340 So, let me say that I actually enjoy Representative Ted Lieu.

00:02:37.460 I've had a number of interactions with him on Twitter.

00:02:40.380 And I have to say, he's sort of a cheerful warrior.

00:02:44.980 He seems like a decent guy.

00:02:46.400 I could hang out with him easily.

00:02:48.220 Like, we could be friends.

00:02:50.320 Like, he just seems like a cool guy.

00:02:52.480 So, I like him.

00:02:54.100 All right?

00:02:54.320 You know, he's not going to be right on everything.

00:02:56.880 He's a Democrat.

00:02:58.220 And so, he's going to cheer his team.

00:03:01.240 But, decent guy.

00:03:03.800 I would say, don't hate Ted Lieu.

00:03:06.900 My other favorite story.

00:03:09.080 All the stories are funny today.

00:03:11.200 I think every story is a little bit funny.

00:03:14.400 Is it just me?

00:03:15.960 Maybe am I just in that mood or something?

00:03:18.220 Or are all the news stories just a little bit funny?

00:03:21.760 So, there's a Republican who won a traditional blue seat, George Santos.

00:03:28.860 And he won a seat in New York suburbs.

00:03:31.400 And typically, it had been, you know, a Democrat seat.

00:03:35.500 But I guess he ran a really good race because he won a traditional Democrat area.

00:03:40.580 The only problem is, basically, everything in his resume was made up.

00:03:48.260 So, he didn't go to college where he said.

00:03:51.720 Didn't have the, you know, the career that he said.

00:03:56.400 Several of his employees were not killed in the Pulse nightclub shooting.

00:04:02.880 And the list of things that he claimed was sort of hilariously extreme.

00:04:09.020 But here's the one that, my favorite part of all the fake resume stuff.

00:04:14.400 My favorite part was, he founded a charity called Friends of Pets.

00:04:19.080 Friends of Pets United in 2013.

00:04:22.780 But the IRS and the Attorney Generals of New York and New Jersey

00:04:26.480 could find no record of it being registered as a tax exempt organization.

00:04:30.820 And there was some animal group that co-hosted a $50-a-ticket fundraiser with Santos in 2017.

00:04:39.660 And said it never received any of the proceeds.

00:04:45.840 Now, I don't know.

00:04:48.420 Maybe it's because I already know it was a scam.

00:04:50.500 But if I saw something, Friends of Pets United, it just sounds like it's made up, doesn't it?

00:04:57.800 Friends of Pets United.

00:04:59.560 Because you know somebody's going to give that money.

00:05:02.000 If you ever want to do a scam, Friends of Pets.

00:05:07.780 So, now there's a conversation about whether he should be removed from office

00:05:12.080 for having lied about everything.

00:05:14.160 What do you think?

00:05:17.280 Should he be removed from office?

00:05:19.080 Somehow.

00:05:19.720 I don't know how they do that.

00:05:21.400 For having lied about everything.

00:05:25.040 Not in this world.

00:05:27.340 Not in this United States.

00:05:29.900 Because that's not a standard you could ever employ.

00:05:33.500 Because every single member of Congress would have to be removed on the same standard.

00:05:38.620 So, apparently he discovered what Trump discovered.

00:05:41.720 One of the things I always laugh about is that all politicians know that lying works.

00:05:49.700 That's why they do it.

00:05:51.380 Lying works in politics. 0.68

00:05:54.140 But I think Trump found the little gap where nobody had noticed.

00:06:02.200 I think he started saying, wait a minute.

00:06:04.680 Lying works and there's no limit to how much of it I can do? 0.78

00:06:09.220 That's right.

00:06:09.840 So, I can basically just say anything I want.

00:06:13.540 That's right.

00:06:15.020 Why would I say anything that's true if lying works?

00:06:19.080 We don't know.

00:06:20.760 So, just say those windmills are going to stop turning when the wind stops and the TV will stop working and everything will be fine.

00:06:28.280 And it was completely true. 0.85

00:06:31.960 It didn't matter how many times he failed the fact checking.

00:06:36.000 He failed the fact checking more than anybody could ever imagine.

00:06:41.620 Did it make any difference at all?

00:06:44.380 In the end, was Trump removed because of his fact checking?

00:06:48.500 The fact checking had no impact on anything.

00:06:53.340 Trump knew that somehow.

00:06:55.120 Somehow he knew it wouldn't make any difference.

00:06:57.660 This guy decides that anything he says about his past, as long as it works, good enough.

00:07:06.280 So, he just tells these wild lies that are like way beyond the pale, apparently, allegedly.

00:07:12.560 And it worked.

00:07:14.300 Got him elected.

00:07:16.500 So, all he did is he proved that he knows how to use the rules better than the other people.

00:07:21.180 Because if people underlied and they didn't lie enough and they didn't get elected, well, I guess that's on them, isn't it?

00:07:27.640 Because he just set the standard.

00:07:29.820 I'm only half kidding.

00:07:31.820 I'm only half kidding.

00:07:32.940 Well, China loosened its COVID restrictions at exactly the time that the virus is raging the strongest.

00:07:43.580 So, that gives you confidence that government is on the ball, even in China.

00:07:51.960 Now, you know what it sounds like to me?

00:07:54.920 It sounds like to me, if China is going to be ravaged by the Omicron, presumably,

00:08:00.540 they're going to make sure everybody else is too.

00:08:03.940 I feel like they decided, well, we're not going to contain it here.

00:08:07.820 We might as well open it up to travel, which is what they did.

00:08:11.660 Now, you still have to get a COVID test, I think, but it's not as strict as it was.

00:08:20.280 How many people did I hypnotize to get the vaccine?

00:08:23.180 Well, let me ask.

00:08:24.460 Let us ask that question.

00:08:25.560 Did anybody get vaccinated because of me?

00:08:32.020 Did anybody make a decision, a medical decision, based on me?

00:08:37.580 There's a yes.

00:08:38.960 So, one of you, despite me saying every single day, don't make any medical decisions based on me,

00:08:44.440 some of you went and had and did it.

00:08:47.020 Would that be an example of following my advice or following the opposite of my advice?

00:08:51.260 Because if I tell you, don't take my advice on medical stuff, and then you took my advice

00:08:57.760 on medical stuff, would that be a case of following my advice or not following my advice?

00:09:02.680 It's a little tricky, isn't it?

00:09:04.220 Because I told you not to do it, very clearly.

00:09:08.260 Very clearly told you not to do it, following my advice.

00:09:12.140 But I acknowledge the comment that with a big audience, some people would be influenced

00:09:22.740 for their own reasons, I suppose.

00:09:26.060 But yeah, that's probably a thing.

00:09:27.880 That's probably a thing.

00:09:28.860 And I would even go further.

00:09:30.800 I'll bet you if I told you every day, don't take the vaccination, and then I checked with

00:09:36.600 you later, like a year later, and said, all right, did anybody hear me say, I didn't do

00:09:41.460 this, by the way, but this is speculative, like imaginary, if I had told you every day,

00:09:46.700 don't take the vaccination, and then I checked with you today and said, did anybody get vaccinated

00:09:53.000 because I told you for a year not to?

00:09:56.140 There would be yeses.

00:09:57.860 Because people would say, yeah, you're so non-credible that you were so insistent,

00:10:02.260 I just figured it would be a good idea to go get the...

00:10:04.520 So with a big enough crowd, you're going to get, you'll get people on both sides in every

00:10:09.000 situation.

00:10:10.660 But yeah, probably.

00:10:12.100 It's probably true.

00:10:12.960 There's something I said, convince somebody to get a vaccination, despite me having no intention

00:10:18.060 of doing that.

00:10:19.600 Probably.

00:10:23.880 So Dr. Robert Malone is tweeting that there's a new meta-analysis of ivermectin.

00:10:29.940 Does this sound like repeat news?

00:10:32.080 Does it seem like Groundhog Day?

00:10:35.560 We've been here before.

00:10:38.500 And how will this story go?

00:10:40.380 Well, people will say Dr. Robert Malone is the inventor of the mRNA technology, and he's

00:10:47.540 been saying ivermectin works probably for a long time.

00:10:50.980 And now this meta-study, which is the best of all kinds of studies, say some people, shows

00:10:57.960 that there's a very identifiable effect, positive effect of ivermectin.

00:11:04.800 So then we conclude that we have this big meta-analysis that shows that 29 out of 63 studies show

00:11:14.780 that ivermectin has a positive effect.

00:11:17.080 And if you do a meta-analysis where you take all the studies and kind of lump them together,

00:11:23.520 the average or the net, I guess the net would be the way to say it, the net is that ivermectin

00:11:29.120 looks like it works.

00:11:31.740 So we're done here, right?

00:11:34.260 Big old meta-analysis, 63 studies, 29 say ivermectin work.

00:11:39.600 And then the doctor, who is the inventor of mRNA technology, or at least he was involved

00:11:45.660 with the invention of it, says, take a look at this.

00:11:49.880 So is everybody good now?

00:11:51.660 Is that a settled science now?

00:11:54.260 You're all settled, right?

00:11:57.560 Oh, you have complaints about meta-analysis?

00:12:03.880 All right.

00:12:04.900 So here's my theme that I've been telling you for a while.

00:12:07.360 Well, is Dr. Robert Malone credible on medical questions, yes or no?

00:12:14.800 Is Dr. Robert Malone credible on medical questions?

00:12:19.200 I think we'd all say yes.

00:12:20.980 Now, that's different from being right, correct?

00:12:24.500 Right?

00:12:24.920 That would be his area of expertise.

00:12:27.360 And when he's talking in his area of expertise, I feel I would be influenced by his opinion.

00:12:33.420 That doesn't mean he's right.

00:12:35.280 You know, experts can be wrong.

00:12:36.400 But yes, he would be a credible voice in the medical field, specifically this.

00:12:41.960 Now, how many of these studies did Dr. Robert Malone do?

00:12:45.560 I think zero, right?

00:12:46.660 Like, he didn't do any studies.

00:12:48.220 So he's looking at studies.

00:12:49.980 So what is Dr. Robert Malone's expertise in evaluating studies?

00:12:55.460 And specifically, his expertise in meta-studies?

00:12:59.320 Meta.

00:13:00.340 None.

00:13:00.680 None.

00:13:01.540 None.

00:13:02.660 So what you're hearing is somebody completely outside of his field of expertise giving you some information in a tweet.

00:13:08.660 If somebody completely outside their field of expertise, data analysis, tweets something, should you say, well, that's credible because it came from somebody who's an expert in an unrelated, well, it's related, but a different field.

00:13:23.680 You should give it no credibility.

00:13:25.220 The correct way to analyze that is it doesn't matter who tweeted it because it's not his field.

00:13:32.640 Now, did you catch my magic trick?

00:13:38.300 How many of you caught the magic trick?

00:13:42.660 I told you that 29 out of 63 studies says it works.

00:13:47.420 You know that's less than half, right?

00:13:49.080 How did you hear it as it works if most of the studies say it doesn't, and yet you heard that it works?

00:13:58.640 How did you hear that?

00:14:01.360 Does that mess up your brain a little bit?

00:14:03.740 I said it.

00:14:04.580 I said it plainly.

00:14:05.940 I said that fewer than half of them say it works, which means most of the studies say it doesn't work.

00:14:13.640 Most of them.

00:14:14.400 Now, a meta-analysis, you take the ones that say no, the ones that say yes, and you put them all together as if it were one big study, just artificially, and then you see what that looks like.

00:14:27.300 Do you know why that doesn't work?

00:14:29.740 Do you know why a meta-study of this nature is completely unreliable?

00:14:33.840 Because it depends entirely on whether the biggest studies were right or not.

00:14:38.960 If the biggest studies were correct, like they got the right answer, then you got the right answer when you put them all together because they biased it toward the big studies.

00:14:48.260 If the biggest study happened to be wrong, and remember, roughly half of the studies were on the other side.

00:14:56.140 So you don't know if you're picking, you don't know if the biggest study was right or wrong.

00:15:01.340 You just know that it biased the entire average so much that it was like, basically, it was just that one study that mattered, which could have been wrong.

00:15:10.460 Now, how many studies are typically wrong?

00:15:14.760 Just in general, not about COVID, but in general, about half, yeah.

00:15:19.360 About half of all studies turn out to be debunked.

00:15:23.440 Now, of the half that are not debunked, how many of them are valid?

00:15:29.560 Half of all studies get debunked.

00:15:32.780 Half do not.

00:15:34.220 Does that mean the half that do not get debunked are the good ones?

00:15:38.080 Nope.

00:15:39.620 It doesn't mean that at all.

00:15:41.380 It means they just haven't been debunked.

00:15:43.980 It doesn't mean they're true.

00:15:46.020 So something less than half of studies end up being true.

00:15:49.480 So if somebody, if all you heard was, there's a new study, there's only been one of them ever, there's a new study, and it's on anything, anything at all, what is your opinion?

00:16:02.920 It's not true.

00:16:04.860 Yeah.

00:16:05.200 Because the odds, if you just play the odds, every new study, you should assume it's not true.

00:16:10.640 It could be true.

00:16:12.100 But if you're playing the odds, you say it, probably not.

00:16:14.960 Probably not.

00:16:15.400 So once again, we have this, we have what I call laundering of expertise.

00:16:23.720 So somebody's using somebody else's expertise to launder their own views through it.

00:16:29.240 In this case, Dr. Malone, I'm sure, from all indications, has an opinion about ivermectin being likely a positive thing.

00:16:40.180 And he might have a little bit of a motivated, analytical view of this.

00:16:45.400 Now, just to be clear, did I just tell you that ivermectin doesn't work?

00:16:52.420 Or did I tell you it does?

00:16:54.620 What did I just do?

00:16:57.440 Neither, right?

00:16:59.200 And, both, neither.

00:17:01.800 And I've been consistent from the beginning, that the longer you go without a confirmation that it does work, the less likely you're going to ever get one.

00:17:13.720 Doesn't mean it doesn't.

00:17:15.160 I've never ruled it out.

00:17:16.860 Never ruled it out.

00:17:17.980 But there's no evidence that would convince me yet.

00:17:21.040 Good.

00:17:21.500 I could easily be persuaded, but nothing yet.

00:17:25.920 How many papers related to COVID, not just about ivermectin, but COVID in general?

00:17:32.320 Just take a guess.

00:17:34.200 How many scientific papers have been retracted by the authors?

00:17:40.160 Meaning they published a result and then said, oops, usually because somebody else pointed it out.

00:17:46.160 Oops, and then had to pull them back. 0.82

00:17:48.240 I don't know the percentage, but 224, 224 scientific COVID-related papers have been withdrawn by the authors, where even the author says, oops, oops, that was a mistake.

00:18:07.780 I think usually it's the author who also agrees.

00:18:10.720 In some cases, it might be the scientific publication itself, I think.

00:18:14.940 But I think the author usually also is part of it.

00:18:18.940 Yeah.

00:18:19.400 So, yeah, the question is, and of how many, right?

00:18:23.600 But how many do you think?

00:18:25.620 How many scientific papers?

00:18:27.520 I don't know.

00:18:28.700 And how many of them should have been withdrawn that have not been withdrawn yet?

00:18:32.440 I don't know.

00:18:33.320 But you should be aware that the state of science is chaos.

00:18:38.080 So, you know, be an informed consumer when you hear a study says something.

00:18:46.820 All right.

00:18:47.900 Speaking of studies, I like studies that are amusing.

00:18:52.720 So, there's a new study asking people in society who they trust.

00:18:58.960 The people they trust the most still are scientists.

00:19:01.680 So, society trusts scientists the most, and of all the different categories of people.

00:19:10.420 Probably a good thing.

00:19:11.840 I mean, compared to the alternatives.

00:19:13.800 Who do you think they trust the least?

00:19:15.340 The answer is government and journalists are the two at the bottom.

00:19:19.660 They trust the least their government and journalists, and they trust the most scientists.

00:19:24.660 Now, here's the trick question.

00:19:26.240 See if you can get this right.

00:19:27.400 Why do people trust scientists the most?

00:19:33.240 Why?

00:19:34.520 Why are they at the top?

00:19:36.320 Who, where did you get that information?

00:19:39.340 Because you probably have the same opinion.

00:19:42.080 You believe it because.

00:19:44.600 Who told you that science is what you should trust?

00:19:49.360 The government and journalists told you to trust science.

00:19:56.060 Do you know why?

00:19:57.400 Because then when the government that you don't trust and the journalists you don't trust

00:20:02.200 tell you to do something, they will say, don't trust us.

00:20:06.560 Look at the science that we funded.

00:20:08.900 And then look at the, don't look at the science that we suppressed.

00:20:13.140 So, the two groups that you trust the least, government, which includes schools, right?

00:20:19.820 Governments determine what the schools are doing.

00:20:22.740 So, governments and journalists tell you that the scientists are who you should trust.

00:20:27.400 And then they use those scientists to launder their own bullshit preferences through them. 0.98

00:20:34.260 So, they say, oh, oh, this is a good policy.

00:20:39.900 You should all do it because the scientists say so.

00:20:42.420 Why do you believe the scientists?

00:20:44.680 Well, don't believe us.

00:20:45.820 Believe the scientists.

00:20:47.200 Why do you believe the scientists?

00:20:48.280 Because the people you don't trust told you to believe them.

00:20:54.040 Am I wrong?

00:20:56.540 Do you think you were born and you just sort of grew up knowing scientists or who to trust?

00:21:02.740 Was that like a natural, organic thing?

00:21:06.120 Did you do your own investigation?

00:21:09.140 Did you do a deep dive?

00:21:10.480 Huh.

00:21:11.160 Who should I trust?

00:21:12.920 Let me do some research.

00:21:14.600 Find out who to trust.

00:21:16.020 Nope.

00:21:16.820 Nope.

00:21:17.480 The people you trust the least, the government and journalists, tell you every day to trust the scientists.

00:21:26.020 And so you do.

00:21:27.360 Because you believe the people you believe the least.

00:21:31.380 Why do you believe that?

00:21:32.680 I don't know.

00:21:33.220 I don't know.

00:21:35.760 I have no idea why you do that.

00:21:37.920 Stop doing that.

00:21:39.420 Don't do that.

00:21:40.760 All right.

00:21:43.340 Whoopi Goldberg, as you know, was suspended from The View, I guess.

00:21:47.240 I don't know.

00:21:47.540 Is she back?

00:21:48.360 Or permanently suspended?

00:21:49.740 I don't know.

00:21:50.580 Don't care.

00:21:51.740 But she said controversial things about anti-Semitism.

00:21:57.600 And she said it's not about race.

00:21:59.740 She said the Holocaust wasn't about race and was simply white-on-white violence.

00:22:05.160 Because Nazis were white. 0.75

00:22:07.040 And according to her, Jews were white.

00:22:10.760 Now, as one Jewish expert, well, actually just a smart guy, I guess. 0.98

00:22:17.720 I don't know if he was an expert.

00:22:18.880 described, and I think it was a good description, is that whether or not Jews are considered white depends entirely upon your own bias.

00:22:28.560 It has nothing to do with them.

00:22:30.680 Like, you know, if you want to be racist, well, then they're whatever you want.

00:22:35.400 If you don't want to be racist, then they're whatever you want.

00:22:38.580 You know, whatever works for you.

00:22:40.600 So basically, it's like the one group where nobody seems to be able to agree.

00:22:45.860 It's just, you know, do we want to be abusing them today?

00:22:51.300 Well, then we'll say it's this or that.

00:22:54.980 So, and I agree with that.

00:22:56.160 I think that there's like a cultural, you know, agreed-upon definitions of things that is different from whatever scientific things it would be.

00:23:06.680 And so, Goldberg, Whoopi, did apologize.

00:23:10.560 But now she's doubling down, I guess, saying more things about that.

00:23:13.780 But I have some advice for you on this topic.

00:23:19.260 Whatever you do, don't ask ChatGPT, the new AI, if being Jewish is a race.

00:23:29.620 Don't do it.

00:23:31.620 Because it's going to agree with Whoopi Goldberg.

00:23:37.360 And that's not good.

00:23:40.900 So we can't have that.

00:23:42.440 Now, I did check.

00:23:44.640 I did check.

00:23:46.060 Now, remember, I'm not saying that the AI is correct, because the entire context here is that AI doesn't handle political stuff well.

00:23:55.460 You know, there's somebody who's got their finger on the button on the AI.

00:24:01.200 So let me be very clear.

00:24:03.780 I'm not endorsing the AI's view of things.

00:24:06.780 I'm just saying that if you check ChatGPT today and you ask them who is more technically accurate on this question, they'll tell you Whoopi, right, depending how you ask the question.

00:24:18.520 Now, the other thing you need to know is that the way you ask the question can completely change the answer.

00:24:25.200 So AI doesn't have one answer for stuff.

00:24:29.000 Weird, right?

00:24:30.080 It'll give you a different answer depending on the exact way you ask the question.

00:24:33.960 So there might be several ways you could ask the question to get the exact opposite answer.

00:24:38.820 But here's my point.

00:24:40.400 It has nothing to do with the Whoopi anti-Semitism thing.

00:24:44.280 She's on her own.

00:24:45.400 I'm not going to defend Whoopi.

00:24:48.480 Whoopi's on her own, right?

00:24:49.940 She knew what she was doing.

00:24:51.880 So my bigger point is this.

00:24:56.720 What are we going to do when AI starts disagreeing with us on stuff?

00:25:01.640 What are we going to do?

00:25:03.600 Now, this wasn't like the great point for that larger theme.

00:25:09.700 It's more just reminds you of it that it could be a problem.

00:25:12.300 Because at the moment, I don't think anybody's taking AI seriously, right?

00:25:16.560 You shouldn't.

00:25:17.080 At its current stage, it's like an infant.

00:25:21.000 So you wouldn't take an infant's opinion too seriously.

00:25:24.400 You'd say, oh, that's interesting.

00:25:25.900 And it'll be something better someday.

00:25:28.180 But you can't take it too seriously right now.

00:25:34.980 Politico hilariously has an article.

00:25:37.400 And the tweet headline is, it's an opinion.

00:25:42.720 It says, it could be that 2022 marks the year our love affair with narcissists started to falter.

00:25:49.660 And then the writer, who I know you'd want me to say her name, because people like this.

00:25:59.920 Oh, that's interesting.

00:26:00.880 I didn't write her name down.

00:26:03.260 Well, I hope she's not a narcissist since I didn't remember her name.

00:26:07.500 But apparently Politico tweeted that this new opinion article was out.

00:26:15.180 And then they had to take down their tweet because they forgot to give credit to the author.

00:26:21.260 So the tweet didn't credit the author.

00:26:24.280 So the author, who was writing about other people being narcissists, you know, they like to get attention for the stuff that they do.

00:26:33.940 Politico decided that the author, who was writing about people who don't get enough attention, wasn't getting enough attention.

00:26:39.960 Now, I don't know if management decided to fix that or if the author noticed it and said, hey, my article about narcissists who are trying to get attention does not give me enough attention.

00:26:56.240 And then they fixed it.

00:26:57.340 I mean, I don't know.

00:26:58.960 I'm just saying it's possible that the author caught it and asked for an upgrade.

00:27:04.680 But more likely, probably more likely, the editors caught it themselves and wanted to give her proper credit.

00:27:11.920 Now, the narcissist, alleged narcissist who the author identifies, would be, no surprise, Donald Trump.

00:27:21.660 Elon Musk, they threw him in there.

00:27:24.700 And yay, of course, yay.

00:27:27.940 And Meghan Markle.

00:27:30.040 Meghan Markle.

00:27:31.240 What do you think happened?

00:27:32.720 When, what do you think happened when they threw Meghan Markle in the narcissist category? 1.00

00:27:40.140 The, a good number of the Politico readers went, what?

00:27:46.560 What narcissist?

00:27:48.660 I don't see a narcissism with Meghan Markle.

00:27:51.500 All I see is somebody who's part black and is being subject of horrible racial discrimination.

00:27:59.020 And you should stop saying that strong black women are narcissists. 0.94

00:28:05.180 Because there's nothing like that going on, that's for sure.

00:28:09.160 Huh? Huh?

00:28:11.120 Now, do you know what projection is?

00:28:15.400 Projection is when you think the other person has a problem that you have.

00:28:18.440 Do you think that a person who writes opinion pieces in Politico doesn't like attention?

00:28:29.300 Now, I get that there are people who like attention and there are people who don't.

00:28:33.160 But do the people who don't like attention become writers for Politico and do opinion pieces?

00:28:39.340 Right?

00:28:39.440 Because an opinion piece is the ultimate attention grabbing thing, right?

00:28:44.560 If I wrote an article, a factual article, you wouldn't remember who wrote it, would you?

00:28:50.540 You wouldn't even care.

00:28:52.280 Yeah, Joanna Weiss, I think.

00:28:53.860 You wouldn't even care if it were just a factual article.

00:28:56.300 It's just, hey, give me the facts.

00:28:57.860 But if it's an opinion piece, an opinion piece is about the writer, isn't it?

00:29:03.200 That's the point.

00:29:04.520 It's one person's opinion.

00:29:06.660 You should all know my opinion.

00:29:08.000 My opinion is so important.

00:29:10.540 You must all be subjected to my opinion.

00:29:13.020 And then you should give me some attention for my opinion.

00:29:16.560 It's pure narcissism.

00:29:19.100 Now, am I projected?

00:29:24.680 Yes.

00:29:25.760 Of course I am.

00:29:27.420 Because I'm a narcissist.

00:29:29.600 It's what we do.

00:29:31.560 At least I'm aware of it.

00:29:33.980 But here's the only defense I give myself.

00:29:36.660 I'm the good kind.

00:29:39.180 I'm the good kind.

00:29:40.900 I think Elon Musk is the good kind.

00:29:44.540 He would like to get, I'm sure, I mean, I've never asked him this question, but, you know,

00:29:49.620 a decent understanding of human beings means probably he's proud of his accomplishments.

00:29:57.480 Maybe he'd like you to notice, don't you think?

00:30:01.920 Don't you think he'd like to be known as somebody who fixed big problems?

00:30:07.260 Of course.

00:30:09.020 Do you think he's doing it only for the money?

00:30:11.280 Apparently not, because he has enough of that.

00:30:13.300 So something is driving him to do things which a lot of people, including me, would say seem overwhelmingly positive for society.

00:30:23.500 You could argue that, but that's my opinion.

00:30:26.500 And do you want fewer of him?

00:30:30.200 Who wants fewer Elon Musks?

00:30:32.300 I want as many people trying to get attention for themselves as possible by doing really hard things that are good for society.

00:30:42.520 Now, I've told you that my organizing principle for life, maybe I only told the locals people,

00:30:51.040 my organizing principle is to have the largest funeral that I could possibly have.

00:30:56.960 Does that not sound like the most narcissistic thing anybody ever said?

00:31:02.400 It's exactly that.

00:31:03.940 It's not even slightly anything else.

00:31:06.240 It's not even, well, it's a little bit of this and a little bit of that.

00:31:09.080 No, it's only that.

00:31:11.160 It's that exactly.

00:31:13.560 And it motivates me.

00:31:15.860 Should it?

00:31:16.540 I don't know.

00:31:17.860 You know, I don't argue you should.

00:31:20.520 I just argue yes or no.

00:31:22.860 Does it?

00:31:23.560 It does.

00:31:23.980 So, it motivates me in a way that I think could be good for the rest of you.

00:31:30.900 So, let's do more of that.

00:31:32.700 Now, is Meghan Markle motivated by making the world a better place?

00:31:40.720 I don't know.

00:31:41.780 I can't read her mind.

00:31:43.600 It's entirely possible that her inner thoughts are as pure as they could possibly be.

00:31:49.920 Maybe.

00:31:50.640 I don't know.

00:31:51.260 But nothing that I observe would suggest she's anything but exactly what most of you think.

00:32:02.080 Yeah, I don't even, I'm not going to label her because I feel that's unfair.

00:32:06.520 But I feel like you can all see what's there.

00:32:11.000 You're all looking at the same stuff.

00:32:12.960 It might be two movies on one screen, but you can certainly all make your own observation.

00:32:19.440 Yeah, bless her heart. 0.98

00:32:25.200 Yes, George Steele.

00:32:27.080 That is exactly why I stopped the sentence where I did.

00:32:31.440 Because you would have said that.

00:32:35.580 All right.

00:32:37.340 Here's one of the best reframes I've seen in a while.

00:32:39.800 Well, you know how we get all worked up over opinion pieces, like that one?

00:32:46.000 Why do we get worked up over opinion pieces?

00:32:48.820 Here's a reframe to help you out.

00:32:51.000 From Henry Henry.

00:32:52.940 That's his Twitter name, Henry Henry.

00:32:55.660 He says, I usually ignore opinion pieces since it's just one person's opinion.

00:33:00.400 I think of them more like a diary.

00:33:03.400 A diary.

00:33:05.780 That's perfect.

00:33:08.080 Because you would not be influenced by somebody's opinion in a diary.

00:33:12.760 Right?

00:33:13.960 Because the diary tells you that's just somebody thinking thoughts.

00:33:18.360 It has nothing to do with you.

00:33:20.580 It's just their own private situation.

00:33:22.700 The fact that they published it in Politico doesn't make it any less their private thoughts.

00:33:29.540 They're just public now.

00:33:31.140 So why would you care?

00:33:33.460 Why would anybody care about anybody's diary thoughts?

00:33:38.500 It's kind of a good reframe.

00:33:40.500 It's a good reframe.

00:33:41.540 I think I might use that one.

00:33:43.880 I might borrow this, Henry Henry.

00:33:47.580 Note to self.

00:33:48.480 All right.

00:33:50.000 Interesting exchange between a guest investor, Ross Gerber, and Elon Musk on Twitter.

00:33:58.360 So Ross Gerber tweeted, Tesla's stock price now reflects the value of having no CEO.

00:34:05.720 Great job, Tesla.

00:34:07.380 Board of directors.

00:34:08.440 Time for a shakeup.

00:34:10.520 And then Elon Musk responded because it turns out he spent some time on Twitter himself.

00:34:17.120 He says, please tell us your great ideas, Ross.

00:34:21.720 Now, here's my advice.

00:34:26.980 If Elon Musk ever invites you to a public debate on Twitter, don't do it.

00:34:35.400 Don't do it.

00:34:36.720 Run away.

00:34:37.880 Run away, Ross.

00:34:39.480 Run away.

00:34:40.760 But Ross did not run away.

00:34:42.060 He explained this.

00:34:46.060 As I tweeted earlier, my three points.

00:34:49.520 Number one, Tesla needs a media and comms team.

00:34:53.100 Two, Tesla needs a succession plan as well, as clarify when Elon will be back from Twitter.

00:35:00.020 Three, Tesla needs to communicate about Elon's stock sales.

00:35:04.600 And a standstill agreement should be made.

00:35:06.920 Elon Musk tweets back, go back and read your old securities analysis 101 textbook.

00:35:15.580 He says, in simple terms, as a bank savings account interest rates, which are guaranteed,

00:35:22.520 start to approach stock market returns, which are not guaranteed, people will increasingly

00:35:27.840 move their money out of stocks and into cash, thus causing stocks to drop.

00:35:31.920 Now, there is, of course, more to the story than just interest rates.

00:35:42.160 You know, savings accounts, they don't guarantee that you can't lose your money above a certain

00:35:46.800 amount, you know, and interest rate isn't everything.

00:35:50.580 And, of course, the individual company performance is the biggest factor, even bigger than interest

00:35:56.260 rates, et cetera.

00:35:57.140 But, generally speaking, Musk is right.

00:36:03.060 And here's why I'm going to back him.

00:36:06.180 Ross is right that something like the actions of the CEO can move the stock in the short run.

00:36:13.940 Would you all agree that the actions of the CEO and how much trust he has can certainly

00:36:19.160 move the stock in the short run?

00:36:20.480 And we're probably seeing that.

00:36:22.960 I think we're seeing it.

00:36:24.940 It looks like angry people on the left are buying fewer Teslas, probably.

00:36:30.220 Stuff like that.

00:36:32.020 Right.

00:36:32.460 But Elon Musk has never given any credibility or attention to short-term moves in stocks.

00:36:39.280 Has he?

00:36:40.420 He's always consistently said, he's even said his stock was too high.

00:36:44.880 Do you remember that?

00:36:46.600 He said in public, yeah, I think the stock's too high.

00:36:48.740 And then, like, came down immediately.

00:36:52.040 And why was he willing to crash his own stock in the short term?

00:36:56.760 Because the short-term price of Tesla isn't important.

00:37:01.540 So he could even crash his own stock in the short term because it didn't mean anything.

00:37:06.660 The short term is not why you buy stock.

00:37:09.260 It's all long-term.

00:37:10.440 So in the long term, interest rates are the biggest factor on stock prices.

00:37:17.200 But not every stock the same way, right?

00:37:20.140 Some are more effective than others.

00:37:21.960 So I do think that there's something happening with Tesla that goes beyond interest rates.

00:37:28.620 Would you agree?

00:37:30.260 But probably we're looking at short-term effects.

00:37:32.720 In five years, do you think the Twitter story will be the Tesla story?

00:37:39.420 It could be.

00:37:41.000 But that would be hard to predict.

00:37:43.640 So, you know, you have to take a five-year range.

00:37:46.840 You know, the whole Elon Musk Twitter story could be over in 12 months.

00:37:51.960 You know, in 12 months, he could have a strong president.

00:37:54.920 He could have pulled completely back.

00:37:56.580 People still like good cars.

00:38:00.260 Tesla takes off.

00:38:01.960 I mean, anything could happen.

00:38:03.660 Anything could happen.

00:38:05.220 But I wouldn't do a debate with Elon Musk in public about anything, really.

00:38:12.200 That's not going to work out.

00:38:14.880 What do you think about, was it Abbott who shipped 50 recent immigrants to Kamala Harris' home in D.C.?

00:38:24.660 And what did the people on the left say?

00:38:28.200 You monsters.

00:38:30.260 Because they were dropped off in 15-degree temperatures.

00:38:34.960 Freezing temperatures.

00:38:37.040 People who had no homes dropped off in 15-degree temperatures.

00:38:44.800 And then they had to sleep on the sidewalk for the rest of their lives.

00:38:48.980 Terrible.

00:38:50.860 Wait.

00:38:51.840 I'm getting an update.

00:38:52.720 It turns out that nobody, nobody slept on the sidewalk.

00:38:56.700 Actually, none of them slept on the sidewalk.

00:38:59.820 Update.

00:39:00.820 They all were indoors somewhere.

00:39:03.500 I don't know where.

00:39:04.520 But they all slept indoors.

00:39:06.420 Getting more updates.

00:39:07.980 It turns out that the temperatures indoors are very similar everywhere in America.

00:39:13.760 Right around 70 degrees.

00:39:15.580 You know, some 68, some 72.

00:39:17.740 Sometimes your grandmother's at 80.

00:39:19.320 But basically the indoor temperatures, very, very similar from Texas to D.C.

00:39:26.920 Very similar.

00:39:28.100 And yet, I saw so many people tweeting on this point.

00:39:33.000 And yet, you had to wait for me to point out the most important fact of the story.

00:39:38.440 Indoor temperatures, very similar, very similar wherever you go.

00:39:44.300 Indoors. 0.99

00:39:44.780 All right.

00:39:49.100 I have mixed feelings about using the immigrants for political stunts. 1.00

00:39:55.280 It is both creepy and immoral and unethical, and it's working.

00:40:04.080 So what am I going to do with that?

00:40:06.820 Right?

00:40:07.220 If it keeps working, you know, who knows if it's working.

00:40:12.320 But it does look like it's changed the debate.

00:40:16.140 That's what they were trying to do.

00:40:17.900 All protests are uncomfortable for people who are not part of the protest.

00:40:21.860 It's like, that's what protests do.

00:40:25.040 They impose pain on people who weren't part of the protest.

00:40:29.820 And if it's a little bit of pain, we say that's part of the process.

00:40:34.720 All right.

00:40:35.240 You know, because we want the public to be able to protest.

00:40:38.640 We want the public to be able to push the government when they need to.

00:40:42.420 So when a protest, and I would call this a protest.

00:40:47.760 It's government on government protest, but it's a protest.

00:40:50.160 I would call it a protest.

00:40:52.620 If a protest puts pain on people who are innocent, unfortunately, that's what protests do.

00:40:59.840 You know, when protesters block the street, you can't get back to your house for five hours,

00:41:05.580 but you don't die.

00:41:08.080 And it wasn't your fault.

00:41:10.420 You were just trying to get home.

00:41:11.460 So, I don't know.

00:41:14.300 I think in terms of what is standard in America, we do put pain on innocent people.

00:41:22.620 This is like a, it's an example that you can't feel comfortable with.

00:41:27.740 Because it's the least powerful people.

00:41:31.060 You know, the people who are in the worst situations who are taking the pain.

00:41:33.740 But on the other hand, what exactly were they used to?

00:41:39.260 Do you think they had a worse day in Washington, D.C. than they had in any of their days prior to that?

00:41:46.000 Was that their bad day?

00:41:47.900 Probably not.

00:41:49.240 It was probably a day they were warm and fed and hanging out with people who spoke their language

00:41:53.920 and figuring out where they were going to be.

00:41:55.880 They were probably saying to themselves, we're 95% to our destination.

00:42:01.060 Don't you think?

00:42:02.480 We're 95% successful.

00:42:04.600 This is going well.

00:42:05.780 And we're eating.

00:42:06.780 We're warm.

00:42:08.080 And pretty soon I'll have a plan for where I'll be next week and I'll have a job.

00:42:15.240 I know.

00:42:16.560 I will tell you one thing, that you should not get lost.

00:42:20.920 You know, don't lose this in the story.

00:42:23.160 You know, losing the forest for the trees.

00:42:26.380 How brave are the people who are coming here?

00:42:29.880 It's crazy, isn't it?

00:42:31.480 Have you ever, like, put yourself in their shoes?

00:42:34.060 How brave would you have to be to make that trip without knowing exactly how you were going to make it all work?

00:42:40.380 You'd have to trust that you could figure it out along the way.

00:42:43.900 It's just, it's insane, the level of bravery.

00:42:46.540 So I say again, just to be clear, I like solid borders.

00:42:55.320 I think we should be able to keep a mosquito out of the United States. 1.00

00:43:01.100 But, separately, we should have some kind of an economic bipartisan group that figures out how many people to let in under what conditions.

00:43:10.220 And I'm not sure I know the number.

00:43:12.640 I mean, it might be two million is the right number.

00:43:15.200 I would be completely non-surprised by that.

00:43:17.900 You know, if actual legitimate bipartisan people said, you know, we kind of need two million a year.

00:43:24.840 That's entirely possible.

00:43:26.440 Maybe not the exact mix.

00:43:28.560 That's another question.

00:43:29.500 But we probably need about two million a year.

00:43:32.500 That might be what we need.

00:43:34.320 I don't know.

00:43:35.480 I'd like to hear experts talk about it.

00:43:38.460 But the one thing that I'm not concerned about is the quality of the immigrants. 1.00

00:43:46.020 And, again, I have an advantage point because I get to see that community all the time.

00:43:53.780 They're awesome people.

00:43:55.120 You want more of them, not fewer.

00:43:56.300 All right.

00:43:57.900 There is something very good happening in the fentanyl world.

00:44:02.120 It looks like the free market, with some charity involved, a nonprofit, are going to solve what the government is largely ignoring, which is fentanyl overdose.

00:44:13.780 And there's a pharmaceutical nonprofit that got some kind of priority review, which means the FDA will look at them quickly.

00:44:21.500 For this Naxalone drug that you can spray up somebody's nose if they had an overdose.

00:44:30.140 Now, right now, you need, depending on where you are, you might need a prescription.

00:44:34.180 That's not true everywhere.

00:44:35.600 But it's like $100 without insurance.

00:44:39.720 Yeah.

00:44:39.840 So Narcan, right now, would be $100 without insurance.

00:44:45.020 How many drug addicts are going to spend $100 for Narcan just in case?

00:44:51.800 Right?

00:44:52.020 It's sort of impractical.

00:44:53.600 And also, how many people are going to have it just in case somebody they know needs it?

00:44:58.040 Like, would you buy a $100 item just in case a stranger needs it someday?

00:45:03.660 Some would.

00:45:04.880 And some did.

00:45:05.860 I know some people did, actually.

00:45:07.620 Carry.

00:45:08.960 But they can get the price down, I think, to $18.

00:45:15.160 So it would be almost a nonprofit situation.

00:45:17.200 So at $18, and it's not an injection, right?

00:45:21.420 It's not a needle.

00:45:22.620 You literally, if somebody's just laying there in a passed out, you just stick it up their nose and pump it a couple times.

00:45:29.420 Done.

00:45:30.400 Apparently, it works well.

00:45:32.200 So, yeah.

00:45:32.880 So for $20, you know, under $20 with, I don't know if there's tax or whatever.

00:45:36.800 But for $20, everybody's going to have one.

00:45:41.340 Like, there's no way I wouldn't have, I would have two or three in my house at $20 and no, you know, easy availability and no prescription.

00:45:51.000 I'd have two or three.

00:45:53.140 I'd keep one in my car, and I'd keep one in my garage.

00:45:57.980 And the one in the garage would be in case a neighbor needed it and I'm not home, because I can open my garage remotely.

00:46:05.480 So take my neighborhood, for example.

00:46:08.260 My neighborhood is super wired.

00:46:11.880 If anything happens anywhere in the neighborhood, a WhatsApp alert goes out, and everybody in the neighborhood goes, who's doing what?

00:46:21.260 All right, let me take a look at this.

00:46:22.740 And everybody's on the street, like, looking for the perpetrator.

00:46:25.840 You know, we're all looking at our security cameras from, like, 15 angles and shit.

00:46:29.960 You come into my neighborhood, we got a picture of you.

00:46:33.200 We got a lot of pictures of you if you're in my neighborhood.

00:46:35.500 So, but imagine if you will, the alert goes out and it says, there's an overdose at this house.

00:46:43.060 Does anybody have this stuff?

00:46:45.720 And I'm on WhatsApp.

00:46:47.060 I go, yes, I do.

00:46:48.120 I'm not home.

00:46:49.200 Garage door just opened.

00:46:50.240 And somebody can literally run, you know, two houses down, run into my garage where I tell them it is, grab it, run back, and save a life.

00:47:00.400 So, basically, I could control, you know, with the systems that we have in our neighborhood, I could control a, maybe, like, a five-block radius and keep people alive within my five blocks.

00:47:15.080 Like, I can own that.

00:47:17.400 You know, as long as somebody in the neighborhood sends out the WhatsApp, the drug's there.

00:47:23.620 Five blocks.

00:47:24.360 So, yes, we'll work on that.

00:47:33.480 That's good news.

00:47:35.300 But it keeps telling you how bad our government is, that the private, you know, private enterprise had to figure this out at a nonprofit.

00:47:46.900 Here's a question, Rasmussen asked, Rasmussen polling.

00:47:50.800 They were asked, American people who are most likely to vote, Americans, identify America's greatest enemy.

00:47:59.720 Nearly 40% of the voters did not choose a foreign power.

00:48:06.500 Now, obviously, the biggest foreign powers they chose were China and Russia.

00:48:11.360 But internally, let's see, 22% of U.S. voters say that Democrats are the nation's biggest enemy.

00:48:26.980 Not China and not Russia, but Democrats.

00:48:29.980 And 17% say the Republicans.

00:48:33.400 Now, does that match the media coverage?

00:48:36.620 If you believe the media, wouldn't you believe that the public thinks that Republicans are the dangerous ones?

00:48:47.120 But according to the poll, the public thinks Democrats are the dangerous ones.

00:48:52.300 That is totally opposite of the news, is it not?

00:48:56.200 Don't you get that same feeling that the news is all about the right-wing extremists and the Republicans?

00:49:02.500 But when you ask the public, they're like, Democrats look pretty dangerous to me.

00:49:10.720 Yeah.

00:49:11.380 Now, all of the answers are around one quarter, so that doesn't work for this one.

00:49:20.180 But here's the most interesting part.

00:49:22.980 If you ask how many people, well, the people who said that Russia was the biggest threat,

00:49:32.420 31% of Democrats say Russia's biggest threat, but only 12% of Republicans.

00:49:38.660 So, a huge difference between Democrats and Republicans and who they say is the foreign threat.

00:49:45.440 The Republicans say China, 35% to Democrats, 16%.

00:49:53.440 Like, big difference, right?

00:49:55.500 So, Republicans think China's the problem, and Democrats think Russia is the problem.

00:50:03.780 Why?

00:50:04.820 Why?

00:50:07.320 Now, we understand why Democrats and Republicans disagree on domestic stuff.

00:50:12.580 Because on domestic stuff, they just revert to the team.

00:50:18.400 So, there's no reasoning going on.

00:50:20.060 But why would there be a difference between the parties?

00:50:27.960 Because we're all looking at the same stuff, aren't we?

00:50:36.800 Yeah.

00:50:37.540 So, it's probably a Trump effect.

00:50:40.380 Probably a Trump effect, right?

00:50:41.800 Because if they think Russia likes Trump, then they don't like Russia.

00:50:48.240 And it's also a Trump effect because Trump is tougher on China than on Russia.

00:50:55.680 So, it makes sense.

00:50:57.400 Trump convinced a lot of people that China was the bigger thing.

00:51:01.500 Is there any influence you're forgetting?

00:51:03.340 Is there anybody, let's say, besides Trump, who Republicans would be more likely to listen to than Democrats?

00:51:14.820 And who may have been telling you that China is the biggest threat? 0.90

00:51:18.000 Tucker Carlson.

00:51:19.000 Yeah.

00:51:20.000 Tucker Carlson.

00:51:21.000 Tucker Carlson.

00:51:22.000 Tucker Carlson.

00:51:23.000 Tucker Carlson.

00:51:25.000 And me.

00:51:26.000 Now, I call it the Scott effect because I did set out to change the public opinion exactly the way it has changed.

00:51:35.000 But Democrats don't listen to me.

00:51:38.000 So, whatever influence I had was probably on one side.

00:51:45.000 Now, I don't know how to, you know, like, unpack, like, who had the most impact.

00:51:51.320 It's got to be Trump, right?

00:51:52.480 But beyond that, I don't know.

00:51:55.420 I just know that whenever I tell you I'm going to do something, it seems to happen.

00:51:58.760 And even I don't know why.

00:52:00.440 Like, it looks like a coincidence.

00:52:04.720 Who knows?

00:52:07.340 Who knows?

00:52:09.380 Well, ladies and gentlemen, I believe this brings us to the end of our prepared notes.

00:52:16.520 Was there any, was there anything I neglected?

00:52:22.480 How about your own eyes and ears?

00:52:25.920 Don't believe those.

00:52:28.620 He's an MBA, not an economist.

00:52:30.760 You talking about me?

00:52:32.080 I'm both.

00:52:33.300 I have a degree in economics.

00:52:37.780 Did we find out if Pence is running or not?

00:52:39.860 Yeah, there was some confusion about that.

00:52:42.300 Maybe he filed, but I don't know.

00:52:44.620 Maybe filing doesn't mean you're running.

00:52:48.800 PSA about Jesus being a refugee? 0.84

00:52:51.500 Didn't see that.

00:52:55.740 Scott, are intel agencies are our biggest problem?

00:52:59.820 That's reasonably likely.

00:53:09.500 Scott reframing syndrome.

00:53:12.860 Oh, gratitude.

00:53:14.040 Right.

00:53:14.440 Thank you.

00:53:14.900 So we're going to show some gratitude to people and things.

00:53:23.400 Anybody have anybody that they want to throw into the mix?

00:53:26.940 Is there anything that you feel a little extra gratitude for?

00:53:31.580 Let's say something we would recognize, the rest of us.

00:53:36.360 What kind of?

00:53:37.200 I've got the Clapton Strato.

00:53:42.260 Your wife?

00:53:46.200 The internet?

00:53:49.060 Well, thank you.

00:53:50.360 I appreciate what you say about me.

00:53:53.000 All right.

00:53:53.540 Well, we appreciate each other.

00:53:54.980 I'll take that as a given.

00:53:57.160 Appreciate the Constitution.

00:53:58.300 I'll join you on that one.

00:54:02.520 I'm going to appreciate the founders of the Constitution.

00:54:05.280 They did a hell of a job.

00:54:07.780 It's hard to imagine anybody doing a better job on anything than the Constitution.

00:54:13.260 It's amazing.

00:54:13.880 Elon Musk.

00:54:18.660 How about some appreciation for Elon Musk?

00:54:22.360 I appreciate the hell out of him.

00:54:24.340 Because I do think that he's doing what he's doing for larger purposes.

00:54:28.560 I don't think he bought Twitter to make money.

00:54:30.940 Like, I really don't.

00:54:32.500 So, huge appreciation for that.

00:54:36.320 Will he be perfect?

00:54:38.080 Will he never make a mistake?

00:54:40.280 Of course not.

00:54:41.160 Well, he's pretty transparent.

00:54:43.620 And I'll take that.

00:54:51.700 With a maple neck.

00:54:53.620 Oh, okay.

00:54:57.900 Aw.

00:55:00.300 Thank you.

00:55:01.000 I'm glad I triggered some improvements.

00:55:03.500 I would like to also show appreciation for the independent podcasters,

00:55:08.660 who I think are saving us, honestly.

00:55:13.020 Imagine what the world would be like without the independent podcasters.

00:55:17.820 It's that scary world.

00:55:20.080 Because everything we'd know would be sort of coming from the news.

00:55:24.620 That'd be terrible.

00:55:27.440 Yeah.

00:55:28.000 Joe Rogan, again.

00:55:30.120 National treasure.

00:55:30.980 Joe Rogan is willing to take the hits.

00:55:34.640 And he's a national treasure.

00:55:38.540 About internet dads.

00:55:40.240 Yeah.

00:55:41.040 I have an appreciation for the internet dads who are trying to keep the world from going off the rails.

00:55:47.140 Right.

00:55:47.480 Your Tim Poole's appreciation for that.

00:55:50.660 Viva.

00:55:52.360 Yep.

00:55:52.920 V.D. Hanson.

00:55:54.380 Joe Rogan, we mentioned.

00:55:56.380 Yep.

00:55:57.420 Lex.

00:55:58.260 Friedman.

00:55:58.980 Cernovich.

00:55:59.620 Mike Cernovich.

00:56:00.260 Nival.

00:56:02.280 Jordan Peterson.

00:56:03.700 Yeah.

00:56:03.920 Very.

00:56:04.440 Megyn Kelly.

00:56:05.540 Dave Rubin.

00:56:06.780 All very.

00:56:08.800 Michael Malice.

00:56:10.200 Trigonometry.

00:56:10.940 Yeah.

00:56:11.140 These are great ones.

00:56:14.080 All right.

00:56:14.820 I have to say one more thing about Andrew Tate.

00:56:17.660 Andrew Tate.

00:56:19.860 So yesterday I saw one of his clips.

00:56:22.180 Which he does brilliantly, by the way.

00:56:24.740 So if I ever suggest that he's unskilled, that you heard it wrong, he has a lot of skill.

00:56:31.940 And he's pulling it together in a very amusing way.

00:56:35.700 But one of the things he says is that marriage is for idiots, basically.

00:56:40.180 If you're a man.

00:56:41.700 If you're a man, getting married is basically just a sucker's play. 0.93

00:56:45.380 It's just stupid at this point.

00:56:46.900 And I'm not saying that I'll agree with that or disagree with that.

00:56:52.020 But he's putting that out there.

00:56:53.580 And here's the part that's interesting.

00:56:55.660 He's not alone.

00:56:57.520 It's one of the biggest emerging themes on social media.

00:57:01.340 Is that marriage doesn't make sense for men.

00:57:04.660 Ever.

00:57:05.900 It's just like a sucker's play.

00:57:08.180 And nobody had been saying it directly before.

00:57:11.140 So that's a value that Andrew Tate is adding to the conversation.

00:57:18.020 Just because he says it directly.

00:57:20.740 Now, just to be very clear here.

00:57:25.920 I'm not saying you should follow Andrew Tate's advice on anything.

00:57:31.380 I'd like to point this out.

00:57:32.860 He smokes cigars and drinks whiskey and gives you health advice.

00:57:36.200 I mean, just, I don't know.

00:57:41.500 I mean, I'm just observing.

00:57:43.060 Do whatever you want with that.

00:57:45.600 He also gives a lot of relationship advice, but doesn't seem to be in one.

00:57:52.480 So that's just an observation.

00:57:55.260 He seems to have multiple children, but not in any marriage situation.

00:58:00.840 Now, how often does he see his children?

00:58:03.260 Well, that's his business, not ours, right?

00:58:06.900 Totally his business.

00:58:08.380 But you should at least be aware that the people giving you advice may not have solved their own problems.

00:58:16.520 Just be aware of who's giving you advice.

00:58:20.500 And I would say the same thing for me, by the way.

00:58:22.960 If I ever give you relationship advice, you should throw it in my face.

00:58:27.780 You have full authority to say, how did it work for you, Scott?

00:58:34.120 To which I say, got me.

00:58:36.720 Got me.

00:58:38.040 Right.

00:58:39.160 Yeah.

00:58:39.580 So I'm not going to be a hypocrite about that.

00:58:42.060 Like, if I could figure out any of this stuff, I'd figure it out and then I'd share it with you.

00:58:47.160 I swear.

00:58:48.180 I swear.

00:58:48.680 If I could figure out how to make relationships work, I would tell you.

00:58:53.240 Like, I wouldn't keep that to myself, I would tell you.

00:58:56.640 But I don't think anybody's worked it out.

00:58:58.500 And I think the basic reason is that we did not evolve to be in a steady state.

00:59:07.640 That we evolved to be, you know, in continuous transition, where you're eating, you know, eating your babies and creating new babies and stuff like that.

00:59:15.800 So we're not meant to find our happy place and then just sit in the pocket.

00:59:21.540 We're meant to be continually unhappy so that we're scratching to get something that'll make us happy.

00:59:27.100 That's how we move forward.

00:59:33.400 My relationship advice is the reason you're happily married?

00:59:37.220 Well, maybe I got lucky on that one.

00:59:40.000 Maybe I got lucky on one.

00:59:41.580 No yay talk today.

00:59:44.840 Yeah, yay's been kind of quiet.

00:59:47.660 I'll talk about him if he gets interesting.

00:59:51.280 Have you banned any words in chat?

00:59:54.180 I don't think so.

01:00:04.180 You got divorced?

01:00:06.040 Wait, that didn't happen, did it?

01:00:07.680 Did that actually happen?

01:00:13.680 I can't tell if you're kidding.

01:00:17.360 Oh, you're laughing, right?

01:00:19.020 Okay, good.

01:00:20.520 Good, just kidding.

01:00:25.940 I see questions about Christina, but I don't want to answer any personal questions about her.

01:00:31.660 You understand that, right?

01:00:32.740 I'll answer personal questions about me sometimes, but I don't want to answer a personal question about somebody else.

01:00:40.080 So don't ask.

01:00:42.180 I can't answer those questions.

01:00:44.200 It's a guitar is a strat, stratocaster.

01:00:48.880 I thought I would probably practice better if I had a better guitar, right?

01:00:59.760 Are you saying Tate does not drink, he's a Muslim?

01:01:02.320 Is that a recent thing?

01:01:07.280 Anyway, I think I'm going to retire from the business of criticizing an opinion person,

01:01:15.760 because he's writing in his diary.

01:01:20.720 All right, it's electric, electric guitar.

01:01:25.480 I didn't see anybody.

01:01:28.780 No, on Christmas, I just, it was just a day.

01:01:32.300 So, I did learn that it's the C word, apparently, that gets me demonetized.

01:01:41.780 So yesterday, I got demonetized almost instantly, as soon as I used the F word.

01:01:47.500 But then they reversed it pretty quickly upon human review.

01:01:52.400 I think the ones that don't get reversed is when I've used the C word.

01:01:55.540 But I don't know if that trend is 100% pattern or not.

01:02:02.120 How are the drum lessons?

01:02:06.040 Locals, people, I was just asked, how are the drum lessons?

01:02:09.420 Do you think I have an answer for that?

01:02:13.100 Well, YouTube, we're going to play you out.

01:02:17.180 This is me and my drum teacher jamming.

01:02:47.180 We'll get to the fun part.

01:03:02.980 Fun part's coming.

01:03:07.180 Yeah, definitely Charlie, watch.

01:03:08.680 We'll be right back.

01:03:38.680 We'll be right back.

01:04:08.680 So that's what 14 months of drum lessons gets you.

01:04:26.380 Once a week, 45 minutes.

01:04:29.040 So that was my guitar slash drum teacher who was jamming.

01:04:34.680 Now, what you don't know is that that wasn't an actual song.

01:04:39.260 That was just me practicing beats.

01:04:42.920 And my guitar teacher can play along with anything.

01:04:47.600 So I just laid down a bunch of different beats.

01:04:50.420 And then he adjusts to the beat.

01:04:52.540 And then we jam for a while to a new beat.

01:04:54.860 And then I change the beat and stuff.

01:04:56.140 I can't even explain to you how much fun that was.

01:05:01.400 I probably enjoyed...

01:05:03.900 So that was just yesterday?

01:05:05.400 Did they say?

01:05:06.060 I probably enjoyed that two minutes as much as I've enjoyed anything non-sexual my entire life.

01:05:15.800 You just watched two of the best minutes of my whole life.

01:05:23.060 And part of it is, I've said this before, I have insane levels of, just insane levels of planning

01:05:32.320 and determination, which has served me well.

01:05:38.220 And so from probably the age of, I don't know, 10 years old, I wanted to be able to do that.

01:05:44.320 Like exactly that.

01:05:46.000 From the age of 10 years old.

01:05:48.140 And couldn't do it until, you know, my mid-60s.

01:05:51.500 And I'll tell you a specific thing that sparked it.

01:05:58.980 I walked into the gym of my little high school in upstate New York.

01:06:05.640 And they were preparing for a dance that evening.

01:06:10.100 And there were some of the high school kids in my tiny little town

01:06:13.100 had somehow gotten instruments and taught themselves to play.

01:06:17.920 So there was a band that they were all self-taught.

01:06:21.200 They just listened to records and said, well, we'll do this.

01:06:24.200 Somehow they learned how to play guitars and drums.

01:06:27.180 And the drummer was a new kid in town.

01:06:31.860 Dave Huber.

01:06:34.160 Now, I hope he's still alive.

01:06:36.620 And I hope somehow he sees this.

01:06:40.660 David Huber.

01:06:42.600 Because I want him to remember, in case he remembers the moment.

01:06:47.860 So there was a bunch of high school kids who were milling around

01:06:50.720 in the, you know, on the gym floor.

01:06:52.960 And the dance hasn't started.

01:06:54.440 The dance will be hours later.

01:06:56.360 But the band is just getting set up on the stage where we can all see them.

01:07:00.540 The drummer, David Huber, sits down in the drums and starts playing.

01:07:06.620 And he just starts, like, knocking out this whole drum solo.

01:07:10.140 And everybody just, like, stopped.

01:07:12.180 Because we didn't know he had any talent.

01:07:15.400 Right?

01:07:15.580 He wasn't, like, a good student or an athlete.

01:07:17.740 He was just somebody who knew how to play the drums really well.

01:07:20.520 And he starts ripping out these drums.

01:07:22.400 And our entire impression of him, I think, as one, changed.

01:07:28.620 Right?

01:07:29.160 Because he was a new kid.

01:07:30.680 We didn't know who he was.

01:07:32.180 We knew he wasn't an athlete.

01:07:33.700 And we know he wasn't doing that great in school.

01:07:35.660 So that's what we knew about him.

01:07:38.720 And he sits down on the drums and he just kills it.

01:07:41.640 And did he get laid?

01:07:43.820 Oh, yeah.

01:07:45.620 After that day, he did great.

01:07:48.120 He did great after that day.

01:07:49.920 And I had a moment.

01:07:54.580 I stood there in that gym.

01:07:57.140 And I said to myself, someday I'm going to feel that.

01:08:01.280 That whatever it is he's feeling up there.

01:08:05.100 Because he knew he was moving the whole room.

01:08:08.180 Like, he controlled the whole room just by sitting down on the drums.

01:08:11.820 And I said to myself, I'm going to be that guy.

01:08:14.660 I want to feel what that was.

01:08:17.000 And I just spent well over 50 years trying to figure out how I could open my schedule enough

01:08:22.820 that I could do that just once.

01:08:26.180 And that was it.

01:08:27.080 You saw the culmination of 50 years, literally 50 years, to do that for two minutes.

01:08:38.120 How happy do you think I was yesterday?

01:08:40.600 And still, like, so happy.

01:08:44.200 You rarely get to achieve a 50-year plan.

01:08:50.320 I mean, that's pretty unusual.

01:08:52.340 There it was.

01:08:52.760 Now, the reason I had to wait so long is because I was still drawing every day with my hand.

01:08:58.340 And I didn't want to do anything that would, you know, first of all, take a lot of time.

01:09:01.840 But also, I didn't want to ruin my hands.

01:09:04.020 So now I'm semi-retired.

01:09:05.700 My art director does the drawing for the Dilbert comic.

01:09:09.760 So, you know, I thought I had a little hand resource available.

01:09:14.040 Anyway, so that's where that is.

01:09:19.600 And I'm taking up the guitar as well, seeing if I can have any progress there.

01:09:25.260 I'm up to four chords.

01:09:27.620 Four chords played very slowly, with some of the strings not entirely making the right noise.

01:09:35.500 Dilbert R is much better now.

01:09:40.820 Better than it was.

01:09:43.240 And certainly my art director is better than I am.

01:09:47.920 Which chords?

01:09:49.680 C, G, E minor, and D.

01:09:53.200 Guitar may take longer than drums.

01:10:00.860 Well, maybe.

01:10:02.220 But I'm told that if you can get those four chords, you can do a whole lot of songs.

01:10:08.580 So it might be that the guitar can get me to playing faster.

01:10:12.940 But all you would need to know for drums, I'm pretty close.

01:10:16.760 Like the total body of skill and information about drumming, I'm probably 80% there.

01:10:23.200 But I'd be able to play entire songs on the guitar, being 10% there.

01:10:29.660 Does that sound right for you guitar players?

01:10:32.480 Like I could play a song only 10% capable.

01:10:36.240 The other 90% takes the rest of your life.

01:10:39.120 With drums, you can get to 80% in 14 months.

01:10:42.540 And then the other 20%, you know, the rest of my life.

01:10:48.340 And a capo for other keys?

01:10:51.300 Capo?

01:10:54.200 Yeah.

01:10:58.920 Try walk, don't run.

01:11:00.560 Stairway to heaven?

01:11:01.280 Yeah, that'll take a while.

01:11:10.980 Damn, 27.

01:11:12.500 What?

01:11:14.100 All right.

01:11:14.700 I bet you...

01:11:16.700 I bet you...

01:11:18.500 Yeah.

01:11:23.420 Now, here's my theory about why musicians get a lot of action.

01:11:30.280 So this is related to something I've said before.

01:11:32.440 I believe that everything that we think and do and the way we act as human beings is a projection

01:11:39.460 from our mating instinct.

01:11:41.780 That everything you do is because of some connection to mating.

01:11:46.280 You know, you might not be aware of it, but even the clothes you wear or sending a signal,

01:11:50.840 the job you take, basically everything.

01:11:52.960 It's just a mating, you know, projection.

01:11:56.640 And that means that women, well, it doesn't mean it, but women, I think, are evolved to 1.00

01:12:02.460 spot characteristics in men that are, let's say, proxies for good genes.

01:12:10.860 So if you see somebody who's, like, tall and strong, you say, oh, probably good genes.

01:12:16.640 Somebody who's healthy, somebody who has good symmetry, which we call beauty, good genes.

01:12:22.960 But if you see somebody who's an athlete, you say, oh, those look like some good genes.

01:12:28.800 If you see somebody who's unusually smart, good genes.

01:12:31.480 But I think musicians also project some kind of, at least mental and physical capability

01:12:39.740 and also ability to work hard without immediate reward.

01:12:45.760 You can't really be a musician unless you're willing to put in a ton of work without even

01:12:50.940 an initial reward, right?

01:12:53.360 That's a very good indicator of future capabilities.

01:12:58.820 Very good.

01:12:59.460 So I think that music, you know, I do it because I think I like it.

01:13:04.900 Like, that's how my brain works.

01:13:07.120 My brain says, oh, you like the sound of Ed and it's a challenge and all these things.

01:13:12.280 But I don't think that's why I'm doing it.

01:13:14.740 I actually honestly believe that my base influence is just the mating instinct.

01:13:20.380 It's a way to show off, right?

01:13:23.480 And when I told you the story of how I got interested, it was literally because I wanted

01:13:29.040 to show off.

01:13:30.880 Like, I feel I'm very connected to my mating instinct because I never fool myself that

01:13:37.460 my higher level thinking is guiding anything.

01:13:40.720 Like, I always think my higher level thinking is just rationalizations for shit I wanted to

01:13:45.080 do.

01:13:45.280 And the stuff I wanted to do is just related to my mating instinct, either directly or indirectly.

01:13:51.880 And by the way, drumming, I believe, also has an evolutionary connection.

01:14:00.040 So here's another theory.

01:14:02.520 I don't know how much faith's put in this theory.

01:14:05.960 But there's a theory that drumming and dancing had the same evolutionary purpose, which was

01:14:14.420 to make an individual person who would be helpless compared to, let's say, a lion or a big animal,

01:14:21.140 if they're with a group and the group is playing in rhythm and they're moving in rhythm and they're

01:14:28.640 standing together, then an animal that sees that is going to say, oh, shit, that's one big animal.

01:14:34.820 Like, I could take one human easily, but I can't take this big group of people.

01:14:39.800 And likewise, if you're going to attack another tribe, would you attack a tribe that could

01:14:45.860 put on a musical show where they're dancing to the rhythm?

01:14:50.240 Because as soon as I saw that, I'd say, um, they're coordinated.

01:14:55.120 I do not want to attack anybody who's coordinated, right?

01:15:00.180 Because that's a sign of capability, coordination.

01:15:03.380 So I think drumming and dancing were always a defensive, um, a defensive habit.

01:15:14.320 And that, you know, we've come to love it, so we think we do it because we love it.

01:15:18.680 But I think it's all, it's all based on self-defense, which is ultimately related to your mating instinct.

01:15:25.340 Because you're, you know, there's no point in mating if the lion is going to eat your baby.

01:15:29.700 So it's all related.

01:15:33.380 Uh, Scott, on Dancing with the Stars, that'd be the worst thing.

01:15:43.660 Me on Dancing with the Stars, terrible idea.

01:15:48.080 Bam Bam wants us to know, uh, quote, I'm not wearing underwear.

01:15:52.700 Thank you.

01:15:54.320 Appreciate that.

01:15:59.080 All right.

01:15:59.800 Um.

01:16:03.380 All right, uh, that's all for now, YouTube.

01:16:09.280 I'm going to go talk to the, uh, locals' people privately.

01:16:12.320 And thanks for joining.

01:16:13.460 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 27, 2022

Episode 1970 Scott Adams： The News Is Fun And Interesting Today. Let's Have Some Laughs

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