Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1977 Scott Adams： Sudden Athlete Death Data And You'll Learn Something About Defamation Also

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:08.560 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams. There's nothing quite like it.

00:00:11.600 And aren't you lucky to be witnessing it?

00:00:14.520 Wow, good for you. Good job, you, all of you.

00:00:17.880 You're looking sexier and smarter and more successful than ever.

00:00:21.460 That's just what I expect.

00:00:22.780 And today, we're going to take your experience up to even higher levels,

00:00:30.220 and all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chelsea stein,

00:00:34.360 a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind,

00:00:37.540 filling with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.

00:00:41.520 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day,

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00:00:48.560 It's called the Simultaneous Sip, and it happens now.

00:01:01.300 Yeah, that was good.

00:01:05.880 Well, let's talk about all the things.

00:01:09.120 There's a new political movement forming in the United States

00:01:12.420 called the Pure Bloods.

00:01:15.860 Pure Bloods. 0.71

00:01:16.740 The people who are anti-vaxxed, I'm pretty proud of it. 1.00

00:01:21.940 And they seem to be unwilling to mix with the non-Pure Bloods. 1.00

00:01:29.260 So I think the Pure Bloods should form their own political party. 1.00

00:01:34.960 See how they do.

00:01:36.500 See how they do.

00:01:37.360 I'm all for it.

00:01:38.980 All right, we have to talk about Monday Night Football.

00:01:40.900 If you don't know, there was a horrible incident that actually postponed the entire game.

00:01:48.720 So the game was called off, or I guess postponed.

00:01:52.040 I don't think they're going to play it again, but maybe.

00:01:54.820 And it was because a player named Dammer Hamlin, I hope I'm pronouncing that right,

00:02:01.020 he took a hard hit in the chest, and then he stood up, but then he collapsed with some kind of a serious heart issue.

00:02:12.920 Amazingly, he had medical attention in 10 seconds.

00:02:17.060 Now that is impressive, right?

00:02:21.560 Now, I don't want to detract from the fact it's a human tragedy.

00:02:25.920 So first, you know, let's be human about it and show some respect to the family and to the player who's in critical condition.

00:02:34.920 So I think we can all agree that the human element is the primary story here.

00:02:42.440 Do we all agree that, you know, our priorities should be on the health and safety of the individuals and his family?

00:02:49.420 So, but having said that, there's no avoiding the fact that it triggered the entire country.

00:02:55.500 Why?

00:02:56.040 Well, because the question of whether or not a vaccination had any kind of contributing effect.

00:03:07.280 Now, I'm going to run a little experiment here today.

00:03:13.680 We'll see how this goes.

00:03:16.060 I'm going to talk about the very real possibility that vaccination may have played a role in this event.

00:03:26.480 Totally possible.

00:03:28.340 So you hear me say this as clearly as possible.

00:03:31.460 This is a red flag.

00:03:33.800 And I think we would all like to know if they can tell.

00:03:37.920 I don't know what happens autopsy-wise.

00:03:40.680 But we would all like to know there's a public interest.

00:03:43.520 And it may be a signal that's worth checking.

00:03:46.300 So can we all get on the same page that we don't know what happened,

00:03:51.000 but it's enough of a red flag that we have a genuine interest as a society

00:03:55.880 which is also an interest in the family and the player, right?

00:04:01.740 We have a genuine, sincere interest in their well-being and to know what happened

00:04:06.140 because it also applies maybe to us, right?

00:04:09.140 So here's the experiment.

00:04:13.000 You just experienced how clearly I said that.

00:04:17.300 Watch how many people say,

00:04:19.240 Scott, why aren't you even considering that the vaccination could have played a role?

00:04:24.440 I am considering it.

00:04:27.280 I am considering it.

00:04:28.820 Yeah, he's alive.

00:04:29.540 He's in bad shape.

00:04:30.220 Now watch how many people treat me like I didn't consider it.

00:04:35.460 That's the test.

00:04:36.720 Because when you discuss any nuance or say it could be this or it could be that,

00:04:41.700 that's what happens.

00:04:42.760 So let's observe how many people seem to treat me like I said the opposite of what I just said.

00:04:49.760 Now, here's what we can take from this event.

00:04:58.420 We're going to take a lesson, which I'm going to inflict on you, on rational thinking.

00:05:05.580 So let's look at this situation and let's see what is an irrational way to look at it versus a rational way.

00:05:12.900 An irrational way to look at it is to say,

00:05:15.980 whoa, that is obviously vaccination.

00:05:20.900 There's no way that that could be anything else.

00:05:23.920 We don't know that, so that would be bad thinking.

00:05:26.800 If you put a percentage likelihood on it, that could be reasonable.

00:05:33.140 You got that?

00:05:34.200 It could be reasonable to say,

00:05:37.060 well, I don't know, I've looked at all the details,

00:05:41.640 and I'd say there's at least a 50% chance or whatever you put on it.

00:05:44.840 Now, I would say that would be an opinion, but not irrational.

00:05:49.620 So an opinion can be wrong, but still rational.

00:05:53.600 You understand that, right?

00:05:55.900 So what do we know?

00:05:57.600 What we know is that the collapse happened almost immediately after

00:06:02.260 what some people say was an extra hard hit,

00:06:08.340 and other people who would like you to believe that they're very tough people,

00:06:12.620 they say it was nothing.

00:06:14.840 Now, do you think that we will be able to...

00:06:17.460 Now, I watched it live.

00:06:19.840 I watched it live, and I've watched lots of football, right?

00:06:23.400 If you're my age,

00:06:24.900 and you have any interest in sports whatsoever,

00:06:28.340 you have watched a lot of people get tackled.

00:06:31.140 In my subjective opinion,

00:06:35.520 which, in a moment, I'm going to tell you why you shouldn't trust my subjective opinion.

00:06:39.980 So you don't need to say that, because I'm going to say that about myself.

00:06:43.200 My subjective opinion is that when I watched it,

00:06:46.740 it was one of the hardest hits I've ever seen.

00:06:48.540 I will acknowledge that many, even maybe most of you, possibly,

00:06:55.220 looked at it and said exactly the opposite.

00:06:58.840 Why would you see it the opposite of how I would see it?

00:07:02.260 Which one of us is having confirmation bias?

00:07:05.640 The ones who say, that was an average hit, they're used to that,

00:07:09.300 versus the ones who say, no, that was an unusually hard hit.

00:07:12.200 Go ahead, in the comments, tell me who has confirmation bias.

00:07:21.860 Both, yeah.

00:07:23.560 This is a case where there's no ambiguity whatsoever.

00:07:27.360 This is definitely both, right?

00:07:30.000 So am I influenced by the fact that I think it's probably unlikely

00:07:35.520 that the hit wasn't the cause?

00:07:39.020 So, therefore, there's an obvious trigger.

00:07:44.020 So you always look for the trigger.

00:07:45.940 For me, there's an obvious trigger

00:07:47.700 that I would be semi-hallucinating in this case.

00:07:51.440 Would you agree?

00:07:52.720 Would you agree there's an obvious trigger

00:07:54.760 for me, Scott, to be hallucinating on how hard the hit was?

00:08:00.180 In other words, I could look at it time and time again,

00:08:02.700 and I would always see it the way I see it,

00:08:05.440 while knowing that you could look at it time and time again

00:08:08.000 and see it completely differently, right?

00:08:11.600 But if you say, Scott, you have a cause for a confirmation bias,

00:08:16.500 that part's right.

00:08:17.940 You're almost certainly right about that.

00:08:20.200 But if you say it doesn't apply to you,

00:08:23.180 that's not rational thinking.

00:08:25.900 This one clearly applies to everybody, right?

00:08:28.720 This is the cleanest example

00:08:30.960 of nobody can have a credible opinion on this.

00:08:34.280 It's the most subjective thing you'll ever see.

00:08:37.980 Now, I'll tell you what I saw,

00:08:40.440 which I will not claim to be true,

00:08:42.880 because the whole context here is

00:08:44.240 we're all hallucinating, basically.

00:08:46.800 You know, you're hallucinating, I'm hallucinating.

00:08:49.340 You can't help it.

00:08:50.820 This is one that makes us all hallucinate.

00:08:54.180 Here's my hallucination.

00:08:55.480 What I saw was that the, I guess the,

00:09:00.460 what do you call it, the tackling,

00:09:01.720 or the player that hit the guy who went down,

00:09:06.440 that looked to me like he hit him with his shoulder,

00:09:09.620 and so that would reduce the size of the impact,

00:09:12.300 which we know can be important.

00:09:15.120 So in other words, if one player had hit another player

00:09:17.260 full body to full body,

00:09:19.360 that would less likely cause a heart problem.

00:09:23.340 But if somebody got hit with like a,

00:09:25.460 like a, let's say a baseball,

00:09:28.240 really hard,

00:09:30.020 that's known to actually give somebody

00:09:31.840 a permanent heart attack and die.

00:09:33.940 Like there's evidence that that's a thing.

00:09:36.800 So the question would be,

00:09:38.680 did this player get hit

00:09:40.180 in the normal way people get hit?

00:09:42.900 And was there any padding there

00:09:44.700 to prevent the exact thing that happened?

00:09:46.840 So what I saw was a, not a normal hit, right?

00:09:51.520 Now again, I acknowledge I'm hallucinating,

00:09:54.940 but you have to accept that you are too, right?

00:09:58.500 So my hallucination,

00:10:00.280 I saw the shoulder hit right about here,

00:10:04.460 or the other side, I guess, about here,

00:10:07.100 which I, which I wonder

00:10:08.800 if it avoided any padding there.

00:10:11.840 Just a question.

00:10:12.780 I don't know if there's any padding there.

00:10:14.560 So it might've hit it like sideways

00:10:16.200 where it sort of got a little purchase

00:10:18.300 where it wasn't supposed to.

00:10:19.640 And if it hit it hard like a shoulder,

00:10:22.200 even though the shoulder has pads,

00:10:23.660 so it's not as hard as a bare shoulder,

00:10:26.740 could that be enough?

00:10:28.940 I don't know.

00:10:30.260 So I asked on Twitter,

00:10:32.880 I asked the Twitter doctors to weigh in,

00:10:34.820 and we have the following opinions.

00:10:41.800 The following opinions.

00:10:43.960 One doctor said,

00:10:45.280 given that the problem happened immediately after the hit,

00:10:49.880 it was the hit.

00:10:51.560 Almost certainly.

00:10:52.920 Nothing's 100%, right?

00:10:54.580 Everything I say about this,

00:10:56.600 except that we're both having confirmation bias,

00:10:58.840 everything else is like speculative

00:11:00.680 and, you know,

00:11:02.020 some percentage chance of being true.

00:11:05.420 But an actual medical doctor on Twitter,

00:11:09.340 who, by the way,

00:11:10.360 and this is important to the point,

00:11:12.500 a medical doctor who was canceled on Twitter,

00:11:17.400 but came back under Musk,

00:11:19.520 he was skeptical of vaccinations.

00:11:22.300 So he was banned on Twitter.

00:11:27.460 So somebody skeptical of vaccinations,

00:11:30.740 banned on Twitter for being skeptical of vaccinations,

00:11:34.020 looked at it and said,

00:11:35.080 it looks like it's the hit.

00:11:37.180 Probably not the vaccination.

00:11:39.660 Now, again, it's probability, right?

00:11:41.800 So I'm not saying he's right or wrong.

00:11:43.820 I'm saying that I'm not a doctor.

00:11:47.040 That is a doctor.

00:11:48.680 And the doctor said,

00:11:49.380 it would be weird to have it at the same time.

00:11:53.400 Now, here's the counterpoint, right?

00:11:55.740 Now, here's where everybody starts hallucinating

00:11:58.180 I took a side,

00:11:59.380 because it's not happening.

00:12:01.720 You're not seeing me take a side.

00:12:04.140 Here's the other side.

00:12:06.420 Dr. Peter McCullough,

00:12:08.740 famous COVID vaccine skeptic,

00:12:13.460 who also has been,

00:12:15.240 let's see,

00:12:15.500 I think he's lost his certifications

00:12:18.660 and stuff.

00:12:19.940 So he took a lot of big hits

00:12:21.440 for being a skeptic on vaccinations.

00:12:25.440 And he points out

00:12:28.340 that the vaccinations might cause

00:12:31.180 a problem with the heart

00:12:33.040 where if you combined the,

00:12:35.960 what's the,

00:12:39.280 adrenaline,

00:12:40.580 if you combine the adrenaline of the,

00:12:42.980 you know,

00:12:43.260 the sport

00:12:43.740 with maybe some inflammation

00:12:46.660 and then you added a hit on top of that,

00:12:50.400 that,

00:12:50.800 that that would be,

00:12:52.060 you know,

00:12:53.140 something you should look into.

00:12:54.520 Now,

00:12:54.960 Dr. McCullough

00:12:55.660 does not say

00:12:57.400 that's definitely the cause,

00:12:59.480 which would be,

00:13:00.900 I think that would be

00:13:01.900 kind of wrong.

00:13:03.660 So he takes a perfectly practical approach,

00:13:07.220 which is,

00:13:08.760 you should definitely look into this

00:13:10.480 because there's a hypothesis

00:13:12.340 that would explain it

00:13:13.880 completely.

00:13:16.960 So,

00:13:17.720 do you all agree,

00:13:19.720 and I'll use the phrase

00:13:20.800 red flag,

00:13:22.380 do you all agree that

00:13:23.540 in the context of the entire country

00:13:25.920 being interested in this question,

00:13:28.560 that it's enough of a red flag

00:13:30.240 that we would like

00:13:32.100 the medical professionals

00:13:33.100 to give us an answer.

00:13:35.040 You know,

00:13:35.260 the family needs an answer,

00:13:37.200 he needs an answer,

00:13:38.200 we hope he's surviving,

00:13:39.720 and we need an answer.

00:13:41.800 Like,

00:13:42.000 that's a,

00:13:42.360 that's a social need

00:13:44.540 at this point.

00:13:45.980 So,

00:13:47.160 hear me as clearly as possible.

00:13:49.980 We all,

00:13:50.760 I think,

00:13:51.380 let me do a fact check with you.

00:13:54.880 Is it the

00:13:56.220 best understood

00:13:58.040 truth about

00:14:00.260 the so-called

00:14:01.180 vaccinations

00:14:01.860 that are not really vaccines

00:14:03.180 is that the so-called truth

00:14:05.020 that

00:14:05.460 the medical society,

00:14:08.400 including skeptics

00:14:09.900 like Dr. Malone,

00:14:12.700 would say,

00:14:14.120 so check me on this,

00:14:15.640 they would say

00:14:16.200 it looks like

00:14:16.980 it probably saved lives

00:14:18.500 above a certain age,

00:14:21.060 but that it probably

00:14:23.860 was hurting,

00:14:25.280 especially men,

00:14:26.680 below a certain age.

00:14:28.660 So,

00:14:28.940 that's the current

00:14:29.580 understanding,

00:14:30.220 right?

00:14:30.600 It was probably bad

00:14:31.700 for younger men,

00:14:33.340 probably saved lives

00:14:34.800 above a certain age,

00:14:35.860 let's say 65.

00:14:38.100 Is that the current?

00:14:40.860 So,

00:14:41.180 I'm not taking a side,

00:14:42.280 I'm just saying

00:14:42.680 that's the

00:14:43.180 current

00:14:44.180 most popular

00:14:45.140 medical understanding,

00:14:46.740 right?

00:14:48.040 Now,

00:14:48.620 that still leaves open

00:14:49.580 the possibility

00:14:50.260 that even the older people

00:14:52.760 should not have been vaccinated.

00:14:54.780 would you agree?

00:14:57.700 Because we might find out,

00:14:59.380 you know,

00:14:59.600 five years from now,

00:15:01.000 they get some problem

00:15:01.860 we didn't know about,

00:15:03.360 right?

00:15:03.760 So,

00:15:04.160 we're still,

00:15:05.020 there's still some question

00:15:06.240 about the older people,

00:15:08.240 whether or not they actually

00:15:09.160 got the benefit,

00:15:10.420 and maybe we won't know

00:15:11.440 for a few years.

00:15:12.700 But the current medical consensus

00:15:14.480 is it probably saved lives,

00:15:16.320 at least in the short run,

00:15:17.160 probably was bad

00:15:19.780 for younger men,

00:15:20.640 especially.

00:15:22.000 And then,

00:15:22.640 more generally,

00:15:24.300 school-aged children,

00:15:25.820 we don't think

00:15:27.300 are necessarily,

00:15:28.400 makes any sense

00:15:29.100 to vaccinate.

00:15:30.620 Now that,

00:15:31.440 I'm just trying to

00:15:32.560 represent the common,

00:15:34.560 most popular,

00:15:36.180 informed view.

00:15:37.400 I'm not saying it's right.

00:15:39.760 Because I don't,

00:15:41.080 I don't trust anything anymore.

00:15:43.300 All right.

00:15:45.280 So,

00:15:45.840 if you are sure

00:15:47.020 that this is another case

00:15:48.600 of athletes dropping dead,

00:15:51.380 because you saw

00:15:52.280 a compilation video

00:15:53.520 where lots of athletes

00:15:55.020 were dropping dead,

00:15:56.940 do all of you know

00:15:57.780 that the compilation videos

00:15:59.120 are fake?

00:16:01.140 The data is probably

00:16:02.440 more reliable,

00:16:03.980 because there's data

00:16:04.620 about excess mortality,

00:16:06.260 and I don't doubt the data.

00:16:08.280 I don't trust it,

00:16:09.300 but I don't doubt it.

00:16:11.380 But the video

00:16:12.580 where you can actually

00:16:13.320 see the people falling over,

00:16:14.760 you know that those

00:16:16.420 have been debunked,

00:16:17.260 right?

00:16:17.760 So there are people

00:16:18.520 who were not vaccinated

00:16:20.120 in some cases,

00:16:21.900 people who survived

00:16:23.000 and it was no big deal,

00:16:24.200 they were just dehydrated,

00:16:26.440 people who,

00:16:27.340 there was an identified cause

00:16:29.700 that had nothing

00:16:30.840 to do with vaccinations,

00:16:32.180 and then there were

00:16:32.940 a bunch of them

00:16:33.500 that happened

00:16:33.940 before the pandemic.

00:16:36.220 But if you put together

00:16:37.340 all those categories,

00:16:38.880 and then you show them

00:16:39.720 all together,

00:16:40.880 it's very persuasive.

00:16:42.100 So a lot of people

00:16:43.420 got taken in by that.

00:16:45.080 But just spend a minute,

00:16:46.820 you know,

00:16:47.400 here's a general,

00:16:49.200 good general process.

00:16:52.480 If you see something

00:16:53.620 that looks sketchy,

00:16:55.100 and people are saying,

00:16:56.440 I'm not so sure

00:16:57.100 that's true,

00:16:58.620 the least you can do,

00:17:00.840 the smallest amount

00:17:02.000 of intellectual rigor,

00:17:05.000 is to Google the thing,

00:17:07.060 you know,

00:17:07.280 whatever you're talking about,

00:17:08.480 the headline,

00:17:08.960 and then the word

00:17:10.260 debunked or fact-checked,

00:17:13.260 at least see

00:17:14.000 what the other side

00:17:14.720 is saying.

00:17:16.200 If you don't at least

00:17:17.380 hear their point of view,

00:17:19.460 you can't give any,

00:17:20.580 you know,

00:17:21.040 credibility or lack of,

00:17:22.960 so at least hear it.

00:17:24.700 Now this is one that,

00:17:25.900 if you'd seen the video

00:17:26.940 of all the people

00:17:27.560 dropping dead,

00:17:28.600 the athletes,

00:17:29.700 apparently,

00:17:30.480 if you Googled it,

00:17:31.640 you would find that

00:17:32.320 every fact-check

00:17:33.600 says the same thing.

00:17:35.360 Well,

00:17:35.780 we looked into it,

00:17:36.600 and many of these

00:17:37.720 examples are fake,

00:17:39.720 so there you go.

00:17:42.420 Now,

00:17:43.020 the problem is

00:17:43.540 we also don't check,

00:17:44.640 we don't trust

00:17:46.000 the fact-checkers,

00:17:47.200 but in this case,

00:17:48.260 they showed their work,

00:17:49.960 right?

00:17:50.480 They said,

00:17:51.360 this player,

00:17:52.860 you know,

00:17:53.420 died this date,

00:17:54.940 you know,

00:17:55.100 the stuff you could check,

00:17:56.280 so I got a feeling

00:17:57.300 they're probably

00:17:58.080 pretty close

00:17:58.720 to write on that one.

00:18:02.500 All right,

00:18:03.000 here's a question.

00:18:03.580 This is a test

00:18:05.620 of your critical thinking.

00:18:07.720 All right?

00:18:09.060 This is a test

00:18:09.740 of your sort of

00:18:11.340 intuitive understanding

00:18:12.680 of statistics,

00:18:15.580 and then some of you

00:18:16.440 are actually trained

00:18:17.200 in statistics.

00:18:18.980 Hold off for a second.

00:18:21.480 Because I think

00:18:22.200 the people who are

00:18:22.720 trained in statistics

00:18:23.840 are all going to have

00:18:24.500 the same answer.

00:18:25.600 The people who are not

00:18:26.340 trained are going to have

00:18:27.120 more of a,

00:18:27.920 let's say,

00:18:28.320 a common sense answer

00:18:29.420 that could be misleading.

00:18:31.100 All right?

00:18:31.400 So this is a comment

00:18:33.120 from a Twitter user,

00:18:34.360 AOCrazio.

00:18:37.500 It's a play on AOC.

00:18:39.620 All right.

00:18:40.260 And he or she

00:18:42.020 asked this question.

00:18:43.460 How often in the past

00:18:44.540 have players suffered

00:18:45.380 heart attacks

00:18:46.080 due to impact

00:18:47.460 to the chest?

00:18:49.300 How often

00:18:50.160 has it happened before?

00:18:52.240 Now,

00:18:52.700 the essence of the question

00:18:53.680 is,

00:18:54.160 if it had never

00:18:55.320 happened before,

00:18:56.240 and the only time

00:18:58.600 it's ever happened

00:18:59.460 is in the context

00:19:01.080 of vaccinations,

00:19:02.680 that means something,

00:19:04.200 doesn't it?

00:19:05.920 Agree or disagree?

00:19:07.980 In the comments,

00:19:09.940 some say no.

00:19:11.740 I say no.

00:19:12.460 I say yes.

00:19:13.140 I say no.

00:19:14.260 No.

00:19:15.380 How could you possibly

00:19:16.180 say no?

00:19:17.480 That means you understand

00:19:18.700 statistics,

00:19:19.680 basically.

00:19:20.540 Yeah.

00:19:21.260 So,

00:19:22.540 does it tell you

00:19:24.640 that maybe there's

00:19:25.480 something you should

00:19:26.180 look into?

00:19:27.440 Yes or no?

00:19:28.680 Does it tell you

00:19:29.360 that you should

00:19:30.040 look into it?

00:19:31.700 Solid yes.

00:19:33.420 The same way 0.72

00:19:34.160 you would look

00:19:34.520 at the VAERS reports.

00:19:36.600 The VAERS reports

00:19:37.560 looks like,

00:19:38.160 hey,

00:19:38.440 there's all these

00:19:38.920 scary things happening

00:19:39.820 that never happened before.

00:19:42.660 It's not a proof,

00:19:44.460 but you definitely

00:19:45.460 want to look into it.

00:19:47.460 It's a signal.

00:19:48.700 It's a flag.

00:19:50.420 But,

00:19:51.100 are there other reasons

00:19:52.120 you could be seeing

00:19:52.800 what you're seeing?

00:19:54.520 Let me give you

00:19:55.620 a little

00:19:56.200 statistical

00:19:57.540 lesson.

00:20:01.000 How many things

00:20:02.080 do you think

00:20:02.580 happened on Monday

00:20:03.380 night at that game

00:20:04.700 that had never

00:20:06.300 happened before?

00:20:09.380 Go.

00:20:10.340 Just the Monday

00:20:11.460 night football

00:20:11.980 where the guy

00:20:12.580 fell over.

00:20:14.260 Just that day.

00:20:15.360 Just that game.

00:20:16.600 How many things

00:20:17.300 happened that had

00:20:17.920 never happened before?

00:20:18.900 A lot.

00:20:22.860 The actual answer

00:20:24.220 is billions

00:20:25.040 or trillions

00:20:25.700 because literally

00:20:26.820 all of it

00:20:27.340 never happened

00:20:27.840 before.

00:20:28.700 How many people

00:20:29.560 in the stands

00:20:31.180 had never

00:20:32.040 been there before?

00:20:32.880 How many times

00:20:38.480 has that stadium

00:20:40.560 had a person

00:20:42.460 who believed

00:20:43.680 they could kill

00:20:44.440 people by their

00:20:45.320 stare

00:20:45.740 at the same

00:20:47.880 time somebody

00:20:48.500 fell over?

00:20:50.800 Wouldn't that

00:20:51.300 be weird?

00:20:52.380 You'd have to

00:20:52.900 look into that

00:20:53.420 person to see

00:20:53.940 if they really

00:20:54.340 had psychic

00:20:55.400 powers,

00:20:55.940 wouldn't you?

00:20:57.800 Wouldn't you?

00:20:58.960 Let's say you

00:20:59.700 knew that was

00:21:00.200 true.

00:21:00.900 There was

00:21:01.200 somebody there

00:21:01.660 who had claimed

00:21:02.260 in public

00:21:02.720 for years

00:21:03.280 that they

00:21:04.160 could kill

00:21:04.600 somebody with

00:21:05.160 their gaze

00:21:05.820 just by looking

00:21:07.380 at them.

00:21:08.280 And then on

00:21:08.800 the same day,

00:21:10.000 the only day

00:21:10.920 they ever went

00:21:11.540 to a game,

00:21:12.780 somebody fell

00:21:13.400 over.

00:21:15.320 Is that a

00:21:16.020 red flag?

00:21:17.540 Should you

00:21:17.960 look into it

00:21:18.540 to see if this

00:21:19.080 person has killed

00:21:19.800 others?

00:21:22.280 Now what does

00:21:23.220 your common sense

00:21:23.900 say?

00:21:24.980 So now your

00:21:25.680 common sense

00:21:26.240 is telling you

00:21:26.820 wait a minute,

00:21:27.900 it's rare and

00:21:28.820 there's an obvious

00:21:29.520 cause for why

00:21:30.500 it might have

00:21:30.900 happened.

00:21:31.200 But everything

00:21:34.320 that happened

00:21:34.940 that night

00:21:35.500 was probably

00:21:37.320 the first time

00:21:37.920 it ever

00:21:38.200 happened.

00:21:39.580 There are

00:21:40.140 things like

00:21:40.840 it,

00:21:41.820 things like

00:21:43.180 it,

00:21:43.620 but that game

00:21:44.340 had never

00:21:44.680 happened before.

00:21:46.340 Those people

00:21:46.960 had never been

00:21:47.560 there on that

00:21:48.100 day.

00:21:49.260 Those people

00:21:50.060 had never been

00:21:50.680 there on the

00:21:51.320 age they were

00:21:52.080 that day.

00:21:53.180 Every single

00:21:54.100 thing about it

00:21:54.840 was for the

00:21:55.660 first time.

00:21:57.000 So we live

00:21:58.080 in a world

00:21:58.500 where everything

00:21:59.860 just continually

00:22:02.240 is super

00:22:03.260 unlikely.

00:22:05.820 Super

00:22:06.400 unlikely.

00:22:07.800 What are

00:22:08.040 the odds

00:22:08.520 that one

00:22:11.160 of the most

00:22:11.640 prominent voices

00:22:12.960 on the

00:22:14.660 pandemic

00:22:15.160 would be a

00:22:16.540 cartoonist?

00:22:19.100 All right.

00:22:19.480 I mean,

00:22:19.700 literally everything

00:22:20.660 is unlikely.

00:22:21.900 What were the

00:22:22.380 odds that I

00:22:22.920 would predict

00:22:23.580 that Trump

00:22:24.540 would win in

00:22:25.860 2016 and be

00:22:26.880 right?

00:22:28.000 I don't know.

00:22:28.640 Everything's

00:22:29.060 unlikely.

00:22:30.360 So the

00:22:31.140 thing that you

00:22:32.200 have to

00:22:32.560 grapple with

00:22:33.420 is that while

00:22:34.600 something could

00:22:35.200 definitely be a

00:22:35.860 signal that you

00:22:36.480 should look into

00:22:37.060 it, and this

00:22:37.880 is, it doesn't

00:22:39.820 really tell you

00:22:40.320 that much about

00:22:40.960 how likely it

00:22:41.580 was.

00:22:42.800 They're a little

00:22:43.400 bit disconnected.

00:22:45.060 The common

00:22:45.640 sense says you

00:22:46.360 need to look

00:22:46.800 into it, but

00:22:47.500 the statistical

00:22:48.720 part of you

00:22:49.680 says, I

00:22:51.320 don't know,

00:22:51.740 could be

00:22:52.000 anything.

00:22:52.840 Could be

00:22:53.200 anything.

00:22:54.120 But we would

00:22:55.380 agree that

00:22:55.800 whatever it is,

00:22:56.620 it's the

00:22:56.960 first time

00:22:57.380 it happened.

00:22:59.300 So let

00:23:00.180 me reverse

00:23:01.800 the question.

00:23:03.520 What are

00:23:04.100 the odds

00:23:04.620 that if

00:23:06.740 the vaccination

00:23:07.520 is killing

00:23:08.360 young people

00:23:09.000 when they

00:23:09.440 get hit

00:23:09.940 by, you

00:23:12.020 know, a

00:23:12.240 football hit,

00:23:13.080 what are

00:23:13.400 the odds

00:23:13.700 we wouldn't

00:23:14.120 have seen

00:23:14.460 it before?

00:23:15.560 Because they're

00:23:16.220 all vaccinated,

00:23:17.800 they're all

00:23:18.240 young, and

00:23:19.660 they're all

00:23:19.980 getting hit

00:23:20.440 hard.

00:23:21.780 We wouldn't

00:23:22.500 have seen

00:23:22.820 even one

00:23:23.540 case until

00:23:24.560 now.

00:23:24.900 because every

00:23:28.820 situation is

00:23:29.820 hugely unlikely.

00:23:31.760 So it

00:23:32.040 would be

00:23:32.320 accurate to

00:23:32.960 say, how

00:23:33.460 likely is it

00:23:34.380 that we

00:23:35.060 suspect the

00:23:35.900 vaccines,

00:23:37.280 so-called

00:23:37.860 vaccines, of

00:23:38.860 exactly this

00:23:39.760 problem, and

00:23:41.260 then we've

00:23:41.680 never seen

00:23:42.380 exactly this

00:23:43.240 problem, and

00:23:44.720 then we have

00:23:45.200 exactly this

00:23:46.040 problem.

00:23:47.520 Your common

00:23:48.280 sense says

00:23:48.880 that's got to

00:23:49.440 be connected.

00:23:49.980 vaccinated, but

00:23:52.840 when was the

00:23:53.380 last time we

00:23:54.840 saw anybody

00:23:55.760 die, or

00:23:57.160 almost die?

00:23:58.860 I mean, his

00:23:59.220 heart stopped,

00:23:59.760 that's pretty

00:24:00.080 close to being

00:24:00.620 dead.

00:24:02.180 Have we

00:24:02.760 ever seen

00:24:03.140 anybody

00:24:03.480 vaccinated who

00:24:05.540 was taken

00:24:06.180 out by a

00:24:06.680 hit?

00:24:07.800 Never.

00:24:09.080 So whatever

00:24:09.840 this turns out

00:24:10.640 to be, it'll

00:24:11.160 be the first

00:24:11.640 time, right?

00:24:14.600 If it's a 0.59

00:24:15.360 vaccine injury,

00:24:16.340 it will be the

00:24:16.920 first time

00:24:17.580 after all

00:24:19.120 these football

00:24:19.680 games and

00:24:20.260 all these

00:24:20.600 practice hits

00:24:21.740 and game

00:24:22.180 hits, it'll

00:24:22.520 be the first

00:24:22.920 time.

00:24:24.260 And if it's

00:24:25.720 something

00:24:26.180 completely

00:24:26.860 unrelated to

00:24:27.640 the vaccination,

00:24:28.880 it will also

00:24:30.120 be the first

00:24:30.600 time.

00:24:32.480 Do you

00:24:33.120 think you

00:24:33.440 could estimate

00:24:33.920 the odds

00:24:34.540 of either

00:24:36.080 of those

00:24:36.440 first times?

00:24:38.200 Which one's

00:24:38.800 more likely,

00:24:40.460 given that

00:24:40.940 neither of

00:24:41.560 them have

00:24:41.820 ever happened?

00:24:43.340 How do

00:24:43.880 you estimate

00:24:44.280 the odds of

00:24:44.800 something that's

00:24:45.300 never happened

00:24:46.140 before?

00:24:46.920 Because every

00:24:48.000 path is a

00:24:49.420 never happened.

00:24:52.640 Right?

00:24:54.520 They're all

00:24:55.200 never happens.

00:24:56.560 So if you

00:24:57.020 thought one of

00:24:57.560 them is a

00:24:57.940 never happened,

00:24:59.200 but the other

00:24:59.740 is sort of

00:25:00.180 more ordinary?

00:25:01.580 Now, people

00:25:02.220 tried to game

00:25:03.020 that by telling

00:25:05.180 me, but

00:25:05.920 Scott, it

00:25:07.060 does happen

00:25:07.700 all the time.

00:25:09.020 Because there

00:25:09.480 are these

00:25:09.940 videos of

00:25:12.400 all the

00:25:12.620 athletes falling

00:25:13.340 over, which

00:25:14.360 we just talked

00:25:14.980 about were

00:25:15.540 already debunked.

00:25:16.920 So if

00:25:18.040 your

00:25:18.240 confirmation

00:25:18.840 bias says,

00:25:21.100 I'm pretty

00:25:21.580 sure Dr.

00:25:22.580 Malone and

00:25:23.260 Dr.

00:25:24.100 McCullough got

00:25:24.640 this right and

00:25:25.380 these vaccinations

00:25:26.060 are dangerous,

00:25:26.860 especially for

00:25:27.420 young men,

00:25:28.420 it's got to

00:25:29.020 be this.

00:25:30.560 Could be.

00:25:32.240 Could be.

00:25:34.640 Dr.

00:25:37.000 Drew tweeted

00:25:38.000 MNF first

00:25:39.240 time?

00:25:39.620 What's MNF?

00:25:40.300 And let me

00:25:43.900 acknowledge,

00:25:44.600 let me

00:25:45.080 acknowledge that

00:25:46.300 the hit looked

00:25:47.140 normal to

00:25:48.720 people who

00:25:49.300 believe the

00:25:50.020 vaccination killed

00:25:50.920 them, and

00:25:52.200 to people who

00:25:52.800 don't necessarily

00:25:53.720 think the

00:25:54.180 vaccination was

00:25:55.120 the cause,

00:25:55.960 could have

00:25:56.180 been.

00:25:57.200 To us, I

00:25:58.160 think, many

00:25:58.740 of us, it

00:25:59.180 looked like an

00:25:59.780 extremely hard

00:26:00.540 hit.

00:26:01.880 Now, did I

00:26:05.860 say that my

00:26:06.480 point of view

00:26:07.120 should have a

00:26:08.600 higher priority

00:26:09.380 or more

00:26:09.880 credibility than

00:26:10.780 your point of

00:26:11.440 view, where

00:26:12.240 you say it

00:26:12.660 looked like an

00:26:13.100 average hit, or

00:26:14.280 at least

00:26:14.480 normal-ish?

00:26:15.880 Whose point of

00:26:16.800 view should you

00:26:17.420 value greater?

00:26:20.260 Neither.

00:26:21.720 It's sort of a

00:26:22.640 tie, because we

00:26:24.080 both have

00:26:24.540 triggers for

00:26:25.320 cognitive

00:26:26.440 distance or

00:26:27.100 confirmation bias,

00:26:28.040 both, and

00:26:29.540 under those

00:26:30.820 conditions, you

00:26:31.500 should trust

00:26:32.080 neither of us.

00:26:33.980 That would be

00:26:34.420 the best take.

00:26:35.640 Now, here's who

00:26:36.380 I would trust.

00:26:36.960 If the

00:26:38.680 football players

00:26:39.420 themselves, having

00:26:41.200 had some time to

00:26:41.960 look at the

00:26:42.360 video, if

00:26:43.500 football players

00:26:44.400 say that was a

00:26:45.540 hard hit, I

00:26:46.920 would be

00:26:47.460 influenced by

00:26:48.420 that.

00:26:48.920 Would you?

00:26:50.260 Do you think

00:26:51.360 you would change

00:26:51.880 your mind if

00:26:53.180 the actual

00:26:53.540 players said,

00:26:54.560 yeah, that

00:26:54.880 was unusual?

00:26:57.240 I'm not saying

00:26:58.100 they will, because

00:26:59.100 they might want

00:27:00.100 to project some

00:27:01.460 toughness, and

00:27:03.040 also, maybe it

00:27:03.820 wasn't.

00:27:04.200 Maybe it wasn't

00:27:04.820 unusual.

00:27:05.200 I'm going to

00:27:08.600 say unusually

00:27:09.260 hard, whatever

00:27:11.080 that means to

00:27:11.660 you.

00:27:12.280 All right.

00:27:14.000 Enough about

00:27:14.760 that.

00:27:17.320 Did I mention

00:27:18.200 that Dr.

00:27:18.880 Peter McCullough

00:27:19.600 has blocked me

00:27:20.580 on Twitter?

00:27:22.900 He blocked me

00:27:23.820 on Twitter.

00:27:24.640 Now, I think

00:27:25.200 that was a good

00:27:25.680 block.

00:27:26.980 I actually

00:27:28.580 support that

00:27:29.320 block.

00:27:29.700 that has, and

00:27:32.640 it's not

00:27:32.980 because I think

00:27:33.880 that the things

00:27:34.420 I've said are

00:27:34.980 inappropriate, it's

00:27:36.980 just that I've

00:27:37.520 been a critic of

00:27:38.220 his, and if he

00:27:39.620 doesn't want to

00:27:40.160 listen to it, I

00:27:41.840 totally support him

00:27:42.760 blocking me.

00:27:44.200 So some blocks

00:27:45.200 just make sense,

00:27:46.600 like you just

00:27:47.140 don't need to see

00:27:47.760 it.

00:27:48.220 And he didn't

00:27:48.760 need to see me.

00:27:50.560 I'm sure I was

00:27:51.420 saying things other

00:27:52.160 people might have

00:27:52.780 been saying, you

00:27:53.340 know, there's

00:27:53.680 nothing special

00:27:54.740 about my

00:27:55.320 commentary.

00:27:56.440 So if he

00:27:57.060 blocked me, I

00:27:57.620 support it.

00:27:58.100 He did block

00:27:58.840 me, and I

00:27:59.480 do support

00:28:00.160 his block.

00:28:01.160 But I did

00:28:01.560 go, you know, I

00:28:02.740 went through an

00:28:03.560 anonymous page and

00:28:05.020 checked out what

00:28:06.120 he had to say.

00:28:07.200 I didn't realize

00:28:08.020 that he was

00:28:10.460 terminated as

00:28:11.380 editor-in-chief of

00:28:12.540 his cardio-renal

00:28:13.840 medicine and

00:28:15.060 reviews, some

00:28:16.360 kind of magazine,

00:28:17.480 because they

00:28:18.580 didn't like his

00:28:19.120 COVID commentary.

00:28:21.140 He was stripped

00:28:21.720 of his board

00:28:22.460 certifications.

00:28:23.620 This is directly

00:28:24.280 from him, by the

00:28:24.960 way.

00:28:25.860 Stripped of his

00:28:26.680 board certifications

00:28:27.660 in internal

00:28:28.340 medicine and

00:28:28.960 cardiology, and

00:28:30.940 he points out

00:28:31.560 that this was

00:28:32.040 after decades of

00:28:33.040 perfect clinical

00:28:34.040 performance, board

00:28:35.700 scores, and

00:28:36.780 hundreds of

00:28:37.340 peer-reviewed

00:28:38.000 publications.

00:28:39.260 So let's give

00:28:39.960 him his due.

00:28:40.740 He's a seriously

00:28:42.240 accomplished person.

00:28:44.400 And he says,

00:28:45.260 none of this will

00:28:45.780 stop until there's

00:28:46.580 a needle in every

00:28:47.280 arm.

00:28:50.960 So let me say

00:28:52.860 this about that.

00:28:53.840 I asked this

00:28:56.220 question on

00:28:56.780 Locals before I

00:28:58.200 turned on YouTube,

00:28:59.360 but maybe somebody

00:29:00.040 on YouTube knows.

00:29:01.160 Now, don't confuse

00:29:01.960 him with Dr.

00:29:02.600 Malone, because I

00:29:04.160 think some of us do

00:29:04.980 that, you know,

00:29:05.860 the prominent

00:29:06.840 doctors who are

00:29:08.400 skeptical of

00:29:09.020 vaccinations.

00:29:10.200 But Dr.

00:29:11.560 Malone is

00:29:11.980 vaccinated.

00:29:13.800 He wouldn't do

00:29:14.600 it now.

00:29:15.480 But is that the

00:29:16.340 same for

00:29:16.680 McAuliffe?

00:29:18.220 Does anybody

00:29:19.020 know for sure if

00:29:19.840 Dr.

00:29:20.220 McAuliffe has got

00:29:21.300 the original

00:29:21.880 vaccinations, or

00:29:23.760 did he say no

00:29:26.040 to it from the

00:29:26.680 start?

00:29:28.960 I think your

00:29:29.940 answers are

00:29:30.400 probably conflating

00:29:31.100 Dr.

00:29:31.560 Malone with

00:29:32.080 him.

00:29:35.480 If you have

00:29:36.420 a source for

00:29:37.460 that, could 0.64

00:29:37.820 you send it to

00:29:38.400 me?

00:29:41.280 Oh, mandated

00:29:42.300 because he was

00:29:44.400 practicing medicine?

00:29:47.220 I don't know.

00:29:48.160 Was he seeing

00:29:48.660 patients?

00:29:49.160 he was actively

00:29:52.040 practicing, was

00:29:53.160 he?

00:29:53.840 I don't know if

00:29:54.360 he was actively

00:29:54.900 practicing.

00:29:56.420 So it's

00:29:57.180 interesting that we

00:29:57.860 don't know the

00:29:58.320 answer to that,

00:29:58.860 isn't it?

00:30:00.820 Don't you find it

00:30:01.740 fascinating that you

00:30:02.380 don't know the

00:30:02.820 answer to that?

00:30:04.500 Because now I

00:30:06.540 know of two

00:30:07.200 vaccine-skeptical

00:30:08.840 doctors who both

00:30:09.760 got vaccinated.

00:30:12.200 And that should

00:30:12.940 tell you that in

00:30:14.460 the fog-of-war

00:30:15.820 period, people

00:30:17.660 were making

00:30:18.080 decisions that

00:30:18.840 would be

00:30:19.100 different than

00:30:20.640 after the virus

00:30:22.080 mutated and

00:30:22.860 after we knew

00:30:23.400 more about it

00:30:24.140 and all that.

00:30:28.140 All right.

00:30:33.160 What else is

00:30:33.980 happening?

00:30:35.100 All right.

00:30:35.720 I have a solution

00:30:37.000 for fixing

00:30:37.580 everything in

00:30:38.540 health care.

00:30:39.460 I think you're

00:30:40.300 going to like

00:30:40.560 this.

00:30:41.520 This is actually

00:30:42.440 like a seriously

00:30:43.380 good suggestion.

00:30:44.840 Totally practical,

00:30:45.780 totally doable.

00:30:49.180 This is my, I'm

00:30:50.440 going to predict

00:30:51.000 that you will

00:30:51.780 like this idea

00:30:52.840 better than

00:30:54.000 anything I've

00:30:54.880 ever suggested.

00:30:56.840 I'm like building

00:30:57.700 it up so like I

00:30:58.820 have a high bar

00:30:59.440 to cross.

00:31:00.380 You will like

00:31:01.020 this suggestion

00:31:01.840 better than

00:31:03.240 anything I've

00:31:04.120 ever suggested

00:31:04.800 in any domain.

00:31:06.100 Are you ready

00:31:06.420 for this?

00:31:06.820 your doctor

00:31:10.700 should be able

00:31:11.500 to refer you

00:31:13.440 to researchers

00:31:15.800 whose only job

00:31:17.540 is to tell you

00:31:18.640 if the medicine

00:31:20.340 or prescribed

00:31:21.480 treatment makes

00:31:23.960 sense based on

00:31:25.060 the science or

00:31:25.820 not.

00:31:27.340 Because your

00:31:28.020 doctor's not

00:31:28.620 going to do

00:31:28.980 that.

00:31:29.800 You would like

00:31:30.520 your doctor to

00:31:31.100 do that, but as

00:31:31.760 a practical matter

00:31:32.620 they can't really

00:31:33.260 keep up with

00:31:33.860 every study.

00:31:35.320 You can't really

00:31:36.400 expect that.

00:31:37.380 So they can't

00:31:37.900 keep up with

00:31:38.340 every study.

00:31:39.460 And they're also

00:31:40.000 not experts at

00:31:40.900 looking at studies.

00:31:42.880 And they might

00:31:43.700 not be experts

00:31:44.380 on knowing who

00:31:44.940 funded the study.

00:31:46.800 They might not

00:31:47.400 know the track

00:31:48.040 record of whoever

00:31:49.140 performed the

00:31:50.680 study.

00:31:51.500 They might not

00:31:52.340 know if a paper

00:31:53.140 had been recalled.

00:31:54.980 They might not

00:31:55.620 know if a paper

00:31:56.500 said, there's

00:31:58.060 one paper that

00:31:58.660 says one thing

00:31:59.300 but maybe two

00:32:00.540 papers that said

00:32:01.520 the other.

00:32:01.880 So here's

00:32:03.120 what we need

00:32:03.600 in the United

00:32:04.080 States.

00:32:05.080 We need a

00:32:05.620 separate profession

00:32:06.920 from the

00:32:08.420 medical doctors

00:32:09.240 that work

00:32:10.240 closely with

00:32:11.000 the doctors

00:32:11.500 but independently.

00:32:13.380 So you want

00:32:14.240 a situation

00:32:14.760 where your

00:32:15.200 doctor can

00:32:15.680 say, I

00:32:16.520 recommend this

00:32:17.320 medicine and

00:32:18.780 I also recommend

00:32:19.700 that you get a

00:32:20.500 second opinion

00:32:21.140 from a non-doctor

00:32:22.840 who's, you know,

00:32:23.540 this person who's

00:32:24.220 good at looking

00:32:24.740 at studies.

00:32:26.160 Then let's say

00:32:26.900 the person who

00:32:28.080 looks at the

00:32:28.480 study says, yes,

00:32:30.200 you know, I see

00:32:30.860 no reason

00:32:31.460 to overrule the

00:32:33.180 doctor.

00:32:34.080 Now you've got

00:32:35.100 a little more

00:32:35.540 comfort, right?

00:32:36.600 But suppose the

00:32:38.320 researcher says, you

00:32:39.160 know what, your

00:32:39.800 doctor is unaware

00:32:40.620 that there's new

00:32:41.880 research.

00:32:42.960 So I would say be

00:32:44.100 careful about that.

00:32:45.400 Now you don't want

00:32:46.140 the researcher to

00:32:47.700 give you medical

00:32:48.500 advice, right?

00:32:50.540 But if they give

00:32:51.460 you contrary

00:32:52.580 advice, you can

00:32:54.040 take that back to

00:32:54.760 your doctor and

00:32:56.020 your doctor can

00:32:56.720 look at the same

00:32:57.380 link and say, oh,

00:32:58.400 wow, I'm influenced

00:33:00.460 by that.

00:33:01.660 The last I knew,

00:33:02.680 this was a good

00:33:03.300 idea, but it's a

00:33:04.600 good thing we have

00:33:05.220 this new system

00:33:06.040 where you can get

00:33:07.240 an independent

00:33:07.840 non-medical view of

00:33:09.320 just the research.

00:33:11.320 And now that

00:33:12.140 that person has

00:33:13.040 told me, well, I'm

00:33:14.500 not the expert in

00:33:15.220 research, so I'm

00:33:16.600 going to trust the

00:33:17.260 person I recommended

00:33:18.320 to do it.

00:33:19.740 And then they

00:33:20.460 change their...

00:33:21.400 All right, you

00:33:21.840 tell me.

00:33:23.360 Best idea I've

00:33:24.260 ever had?

00:33:25.340 Go.

00:33:25.740 Best idea I've

00:33:28.500 ever had.

00:33:30.160 No doubt about

00:33:30.920 it.

00:33:33.380 You're saying no.

00:33:36.320 What do you mean?

00:33:37.100 Are you saying that

00:33:37.720 I had some other

00:33:38.260 better idea?

00:33:40.140 Or you don't think

00:33:41.180 this one was a good

00:33:41.900 idea?

00:33:42.240 I guess I'm asking

00:33:42.940 the question wrong.

00:33:44.460 I shouldn't be

00:33:45.280 asking you if it's

00:33:46.020 my best idea.

00:33:47.620 I should be asking

00:33:48.360 you if it's a good

00:33:49.000 idea.

00:33:49.860 So let's change the

00:33:51.200 question, right?

00:33:53.200 Is it a good idea?

00:33:54.280 Okay, that's a

00:33:57.760 different answer.

00:33:58.740 Well, I guess I'm

00:33:59.560 happy that you

00:34:00.100 disagreed with me

00:34:00.960 because I would

00:34:01.700 suggest that you

00:34:02.300 think I had even

00:34:03.120 better ideas.

00:34:04.140 If I had a better

00:34:04.980 idea than this one,

00:34:06.420 that would be a

00:34:07.340 pretty good idea,

00:34:08.120 but I don't know.

00:34:09.240 I mean, I can't

00:34:09.800 think of one.

00:34:12.900 Yeah, all right,

00:34:13.640 so we won't say

00:34:14.260 best, but there's

00:34:17.200 nothing wrong with

00:34:18.040 this idea, right?

00:34:21.200 Would you agree

00:34:21.920 there's literally

00:34:22.700 nothing wrong with

00:34:23.760 the idea?

00:34:24.280 And it's

00:34:24.700 practical.

00:34:25.680 It's something you

00:34:26.380 totally do.

00:34:28.020 You could start

00:34:28.980 this business as a

00:34:29.980 startup tomorrow,

00:34:32.180 couldn't you?

00:34:33.500 This could be a

00:34:34.380 startup tomorrow.

00:34:36.940 And if I knew

00:34:37.800 that it existed,

00:34:39.080 would I use it?

00:34:40.720 That's a fucking,

00:34:42.000 I'm sorry,

00:34:42.920 absolutely.

00:34:44.820 All right, let me

00:34:45.300 ask you this question.

00:34:46.320 If that business

00:34:47.100 existed, and the

00:34:48.880 only thing you had

00:34:49.460 to do to access it

00:34:50.460 was say, go to a

00:34:51.880 website, and say,

00:34:53.600 hey, here's my

00:34:54.660 doctor's recommendation,

00:34:55.980 here's my symptoms,

00:34:57.220 do the research.

00:34:59.560 And then they give

00:35:00.340 you an answer, and

00:35:01.480 you can take it to

00:35:02.200 your doctor or not

00:35:02.980 take it to your

00:35:03.520 doctor, that's just

00:35:04.200 up to you.

00:35:05.260 And let's say they

00:35:06.180 charged $100,

00:35:11.060 and insurance didn't

00:35:12.860 cover it, at least

00:35:13.620 initially.

00:35:14.120 I can see that they

00:35:15.960 would cover it, but

00:35:16.980 not initially.

00:35:18.640 Would you pay $100

00:35:19.640 to make sure that

00:35:22.120 the drug your doctor

00:35:23.120 told you to take

00:35:23.900 forever, because a

00:35:25.740 lot of the drugs are

00:35:26.420 forever drugs, would

00:35:27.800 you pay $100 to find

00:35:29.980 out if a forever drug

00:35:31.440 was really a good

00:35:32.340 idea?

00:35:33.460 I sure would.

00:35:36.000 Relative to the

00:35:37.580 effects of your

00:35:38.300 entire life, $100 is

00:35:39.780 pretty cheap.

00:35:40.960 Now, I don't know

00:35:42.520 if you could get it

00:35:43.220 for $100, because it

00:35:44.520 might require a human

00:35:46.240 to do more than $100

00:35:47.220 of research.

00:35:48.300 But, here's the

00:35:49.420 cool part.

00:35:50.760 Once the humans have

00:35:51.800 done the more than

00:35:53.160 $100 worth of research

00:35:54.800 on a drug, then they

00:35:56.560 have it for the next

00:35:57.320 time.

00:35:58.720 So the next person

00:35:59.560 who asks, hey, how

00:36:00.760 about my blood

00:36:01.400 pressure meds, that's

00:36:03.320 already packaged.

00:36:04.200 They're like, oh, we

00:36:05.000 looked into it.

00:36:06.220 Here's your answer.

00:36:07.440 We'll check just to

00:36:08.440 see if anything new

00:36:09.160 happened since we

00:36:09.880 looked into it.

00:36:10.840 But if nothing new

00:36:11.700 happened, that's five

00:36:13.440 minutes, and then you

00:36:15.260 get your $100 in five

00:36:16.380 minutes.

00:36:17.140 So your initial

00:36:18.620 experience for this

00:36:20.380 hypothetical company

00:36:21.660 might be it takes a

00:36:23.140 while and they lose

00:36:23.900 money.

00:36:24.620 But once they've

00:36:25.260 packaged up all the

00:36:26.860 main drugs and they

00:36:28.600 can give you an

00:36:29.140 opinion on them, then

00:36:30.460 it's $100 for five

00:36:32.280 minutes' work.

00:36:34.660 All right.

00:36:36.320 Biggest problem in the

00:36:37.160 world.

00:36:37.420 Just solved.

00:36:37.880 I asked people on

00:36:41.040 Twitter if they had a

00:36:42.680 choice, would they

00:36:43.880 believe the

00:36:44.260 recommendation of the

00:36:45.340 doctor about a

00:36:46.700 specific treatment or

00:36:48.300 somebody who was really

00:36:49.180 good at spotting

00:36:49.840 bullshit?

00:36:50.880 And there were more

00:36:51.760 people who said they

00:36:52.620 trust the person who's

00:36:53.500 good at spotting BS.

00:36:56.120 And I would, too.

00:36:57.860 I would, too.

00:36:58.920 So I agree with them.

00:37:01.560 All right.

00:37:01.980 I'm going to call this

00:37:04.640 next segment Internet

00:37:06.060 Dads to the Rescue.

00:37:08.880 I've been telling you

00:37:09.780 for a while now that

00:37:11.340 there's a thing forming

00:37:12.580 that's like, it's almost

00:37:15.360 like an adjunct to the

00:37:17.520 republic or the

00:37:19.320 constitution.

00:37:20.400 Sort of not part of the

00:37:22.020 constitution.

00:37:23.000 And it's the Internet

00:37:23.640 Dads.

00:37:24.320 Basically, credible voices.

00:37:26.180 They don't have to be all

00:37:26.960 male.

00:37:27.220 But you can say

00:37:29.740 Internet parents if you

00:37:30.640 want.

00:37:33.560 And that they would

00:37:34.600 reach a level of

00:37:35.460 influence that people

00:37:37.580 would check with them

00:37:38.600 just to check their own

00:37:39.920 thinking.

00:37:41.820 And here's the perfect

00:37:42.620 example.

00:37:43.760 So 60 Minutes runs this

00:37:45.120 interview with this

00:37:46.040 Paul Ehrlich, who wrote

00:37:49.380 a book called The

00:37:50.440 Population Bomb back in 0.96

00:37:52.680 the late 60s or 70s or

00:37:54.580 something.

00:37:55.420 And that influenced

00:37:56.920 probably a lot of

00:37:59.040 environmental decisions

00:38:00.480 and probably had some

00:38:02.280 maybe good and maybe

00:38:04.760 worse impacts.

00:38:06.880 Now, if people were to

00:38:09.320 believe Paul Ehrlich,

00:38:11.280 they would think, my

00:38:12.580 God, we're in trouble.

00:38:13.780 The whole world can't

00:38:15.280 support us.

00:38:16.300 We're going to have to

00:38:16.880 kill people intentionally

00:38:17.960 to have a chance of

00:38:19.660 survival.

00:38:20.220 I mean, just horrible

00:38:20.780 things.

00:38:21.920 But as soon as that 60 0.76

00:38:23.220 Minutes interview came

00:38:24.540 out, which has now

00:38:26.680 blessed by a famed news

00:38:29.900 organization, 60 Minutes

00:38:31.740 and also CBS.

00:38:33.940 But that takes a lot of

00:38:35.380 – if you see something on

00:38:37.160 60 Minutes, that's going to

00:38:39.500 take a lot of firepower for

00:38:41.920 anybody to say you should

00:38:43.020 ignore it.

00:38:44.240 Right?

00:38:45.200 But look at the firepower

00:38:46.460 that was immediately applied

00:38:49.640 applied to this.

00:38:52.160 Almost immediately, you had

00:38:54.160 Jordan Peterson calling

00:38:55.960 bullshit on it and saying 0.67

00:38:57.200 that this guy is like the

00:38:58.840 worst thing that ever

00:38:59.580 happened.

00:39:00.940 Now, how valuable is that

00:39:02.400 when Jordan Peterson

00:39:03.900 pulls no punches?

00:39:05.760 Basically, he just says,

00:39:06.740 this guy's bullshit, don't 0.85

00:39:07.700 listen to anything he says,

00:39:09.080 he's been wrong about

00:39:09.960 everything forever.

00:39:10.640 How useful is that for

00:39:12.780 society?

00:39:14.420 Super.

00:39:15.960 Because Peterson is smart

00:39:18.440 enough and credible enough

00:39:19.740 that his opinion influences

00:39:22.120 yours.

00:39:23.640 Right?

00:39:23.920 That is so useful.

00:39:26.080 Who else weighed in?

00:39:28.480 Elon Musk.

00:39:30.700 Elon Musk said directly,

00:39:33.060 his population bomb book

00:39:34.820 might be the most damaging

00:39:36.580 anti-human thing ever written.

00:39:38.500 When Elon Musk calls

00:39:41.160 bullshit on somebody, 0.94

00:39:43.200 people listen.

00:39:44.680 Right?

00:39:45.400 I'm not saying everybody

00:39:46.420 believes everybody, but

00:39:47.420 you listen to that.

00:39:49.460 And then who else?

00:39:50.920 Michael Schellenberger,

00:39:52.440 long thread, calling

00:39:53.700 bullshit on him.

00:39:55.240 There you go.

00:39:55.960 Perfect.

00:39:57.000 Now, Schellenberger brings 0.55

00:39:58.260 not just the criticism,

00:40:00.340 but he brings a detailed

00:40:01.740 analysis of all the things

00:40:03.760 he said and how wrong

00:40:05.000 they were.

00:40:05.960 How useful is that?

00:40:07.100 I mean, talk about

00:40:09.220 a treasure.

00:40:10.740 Talk about a service

00:40:12.120 to the country.

00:40:13.720 That's useful.

00:40:18.160 How about Alex Epstein?

00:40:21.600 Also did a long thread,

00:40:23.420 called out all of the

00:40:25.000 problems that Ehrlich

00:40:26.020 has had.

00:40:27.260 Perfectly documented.

00:40:28.660 Check your sources.

00:40:29.940 How useful is that?

00:40:31.840 Like, super useful.

00:40:32.920 And that's just four.

00:40:38.380 Right?

00:40:38.760 Now, I consider myself

00:40:40.260 somewhat accidentally

00:40:42.160 in the internet dad

00:40:43.320 category,

00:40:44.100 on some topics anyway.

00:40:45.660 And I simply boost

00:40:47.780 the four people that I

00:40:50.000 mentioned.

00:40:50.460 I boosted all of their

00:40:51.400 signal.

00:40:52.660 So my 820,000 followers

00:40:56.620 get a little extra boost.

00:40:58.760 So, I feel like Ehrlich's 0.63

00:41:02.480 influence was greatly

00:41:06.940 reduced, at least for

00:41:08.840 people who use social

00:41:09.660 media in a certain way,

00:41:10.880 by the fact that these

00:41:12.260 internet dads immediately

00:41:13.480 just trained all of their

00:41:15.720 firepower on this guy.

00:41:17.540 I mean, it was immediate,

00:41:18.940 it was brutal, and it was

00:41:21.780 right.

00:41:23.580 But what did the news do?

00:41:25.720 How did the professional

00:41:26.820 news?

00:41:27.580 Well, first of all, CBS

00:41:28.700 aired the thing,

00:41:29.780 apparently, without much

00:41:30.880 criticism.

00:41:32.200 How about the other

00:41:33.200 news organizations?

00:41:39.100 Oh, Internet Big Brothers

00:41:40.320 and Sisters, you would say?

00:41:48.320 Yeah.

00:41:49.760 Yeah, it was just another

00:41:51.000 Malthusian prediction.

00:41:53.020 That's true.

00:41:53.380 All right.

00:41:55.080 So I like how that

00:41:57.360 developed.

00:41:58.800 All right.

00:41:59.320 I'm going to give you a

00:42:00.160 little lesson on strategy

00:42:02.760 and defamation.

00:42:06.620 I'm going to use idiot

00:42:07.640 cartoonist Ben Garrison as

00:42:09.940 my whipping boy to make my

00:42:12.060 example.

00:42:13.200 All right.

00:42:13.600 So this situation has more

00:42:16.800 to do with me than you,

00:42:18.420 but I'm going to try to make

00:42:20.080 it useful to you by teaching

00:42:22.380 you something about

00:42:23.060 defamation that you

00:42:23.920 didn't know.

00:42:24.960 Okay?

00:42:25.800 So to prove defamation,

00:42:27.400 what we're talking about is

00:42:28.440 his comic strip that was

00:42:29.860 widely, it was pretty

00:42:32.280 viral, and suggests that

00:42:35.620 Dr. Fauci hypnotized me

00:42:37.480 into getting multiple

00:42:40.680 vaccinations.

00:42:42.320 I've got three needles in my

00:42:44.000 arm, and I seem to be

00:42:46.020 insisting that you take the

00:42:48.900 vaccinations because science

00:42:50.380 says so.

00:42:51.740 Now, since that's the

00:42:52.980 opposite of my view, my view

00:42:55.720 was always clearly and

00:42:57.640 loudly and publicly, do not

00:43:00.660 take any, you know, don't

00:43:03.560 take any medical advice from

00:43:04.900 me, number one, but also

00:43:06.740 that I didn't trust any data

00:43:10.080 about the vaccinations.

00:43:12.120 So it's literally the

00:43:13.800 opposite of my frequent public

00:43:16.340 statements that you should not

00:43:18.160 trust any of the science.

00:43:20.420 So the way he represented me is

00:43:22.220 the person who trusts all of

00:43:23.480 the science.

00:43:24.440 Literally the opposite.

00:43:26.180 Now, I ran a poll and asked how

00:43:28.520 many people would either stop

00:43:30.040 following me, did stop following

00:43:32.160 me, or would no longer buy, let's

00:43:35.020 say, a Dilbert calendar or a book

00:43:36.480 or something.

00:43:37.700 It was like 46% of the people

00:43:39.440 answered, said that they had a

00:43:41.720 negative view of me because of my,

00:43:43.940 it turns out, their false beliefs

00:43:45.640 about what I believed, and it

00:43:48.220 devastated my income stream.

00:43:50.840 Probably took a third of it off

00:43:52.420 because you count the live stream

00:43:54.980 audience shrunk by about that

00:43:56.560 amount.

00:43:57.640 And then, I haven't checked yet,

00:43:58.860 but I'm sure if I check my

00:43:59.840 calendar sales, you'll see that

00:44:01.740 they sold at, you know, roughly

00:44:03.540 a similar rate every year, but my

00:44:06.360 guess is that this year it fell

00:44:07.700 off a cliff.

00:44:09.640 It's, you know, easy to check.

00:44:10.960 I'll check it later today.

00:44:11.840 So, it's very clear that the rumor

00:44:17.060 about my opinion that was incorrect

00:44:19.420 that he boosted affected my business.

00:44:24.180 Now, you might know that it's almost

00:44:26.900 impossible to prove defamation because

00:44:30.560 here's what you have to prove.

00:44:32.000 This is a pretty high standard, and it

00:44:33.420 should be.

00:44:34.680 So, the five elements of defamation,

00:44:36.480 there might be some state differences,

00:44:37.800 but five elements.

00:44:40.940 Publication of the information.

00:44:42.720 So, the first thing, it has to be

00:44:44.120 published.

00:44:45.540 Correct.

00:44:46.320 All right.

00:44:46.560 So, it was published.

00:44:48.320 Second thing, the person being defamed,

00:44:50.520 me, was identified by the statement.

00:44:53.800 Yes, I'm identified by name and

00:44:55.780 picture in the comic.

00:44:57.880 Number three, the remarks had a

00:44:59.420 negative impact on the person's

00:45:00.880 reputation.

00:45:02.800 Easy to demonstrate.

00:45:04.560 I could just run a poll and say,

00:45:06.540 do you think less of me because

00:45:08.000 you believed I believe this.

00:45:10.020 I would get massive number of people

00:45:11.580 said, yes, I used to follow you,

00:45:13.780 but now I think less of you because

00:45:15.140 and then they would say something

00:45:16.700 that never happened because Ben

00:45:18.440 Garrison and others told them it did.

00:45:20.620 So, that one's easy.

00:45:23.100 The published information is

00:45:24.580 demonstrably false.

00:45:26.080 That's easy because everything I said

00:45:28.160 is in public.

00:45:29.320 So, I can find you the video.

00:45:31.060 I can find you the tweets.

00:45:32.720 Now, he would also produce tweets

00:45:34.320 that apparently support his view.

00:45:38.060 But they're all easy to debunk

00:45:39.640 because they're out of context.

00:45:42.000 If you put them back in context,

00:45:43.780 they're all consistent, you know,

00:45:45.880 all the way through.

00:45:47.100 So, that's easy.

00:45:48.120 I can show that it's false

00:45:49.760 and that the defendant is at fault.

00:45:53.060 So, in this case, that would be

00:45:54.200 idiot Ben Garrison.

00:45:56.060 So, yeah, he made the cartoon,

00:45:57.420 so he'd be at fault.

00:45:59.020 Now, you also have to demonstrate malice,

00:46:03.180 meaning that you're doing it

00:46:05.080 with bad intentions

00:46:06.060 while knowing it wasn't true.

00:46:09.060 That's a hard one.

00:46:10.780 How can you possibly

00:46:11.720 demonstrate malice?

00:46:14.380 Well, I'm doing it right now.

00:46:17.080 So, on Instagram,

00:46:18.880 I think we're blocked on Twitter.

00:46:20.680 On Instagram, I just left him a message.

00:46:23.300 I don't know if you'll see it, probably.

00:46:25.420 Somebody will mention it to him.

00:46:26.920 In which I've asked him

00:46:28.440 to do a public statement or tweet

00:46:32.880 in which he acknowledges

00:46:34.680 that the comic does not capture

00:46:36.280 my actual opinion.

00:46:38.880 Now, I expect he won't do that.

00:46:42.280 But, in not doing it,

00:46:44.260 malice will be established

00:46:45.460 because there won't be any reason

00:46:47.460 not to do it

00:46:48.080 unless he just wants me to hurt.

00:46:49.780 Right?

00:46:50.340 If he wanted to be a good person,

00:46:53.380 he would acknowledge that

00:46:55.360 he had maybe misinterpreted me.

00:46:57.500 It's easy to demonstrate.

00:46:59.380 And then he would say,

00:47:00.380 oh, shoot,

00:47:01.140 I guess I did put some

00:47:02.520 misinformation out there.

00:47:04.280 So, I'll put out a statement,

00:47:06.080 just a simple statement,

00:47:07.680 that says,

00:47:08.320 don't take the comic

00:47:09.140 too seriously.

00:47:10.920 It was just and fun.

00:47:12.820 And I don't mean to say

00:47:14.280 that represented his opinion.

00:47:16.520 Would you think that was fair?

00:47:17.580 Would that be fair to you?

00:47:20.960 Just say,

00:47:21.660 it was just a joke.

00:47:23.540 I'm not going to take it away.

00:47:25.000 It's on the internet.

00:47:25.960 You can't really remove it.

00:47:27.960 But I'm not claiming

00:47:29.960 it represents his view.

00:47:32.260 And then maybe show a link

00:47:34.080 to my explanation of,

00:47:37.000 you know,

00:47:37.180 that shows my actual views.

00:47:39.240 Now, if that happened,

00:47:40.400 I'd say,

00:47:40.740 oh, okay,

00:47:41.200 there's a guy

00:47:41.780 who made

00:47:42.720 an understandable mistake.

00:47:45.640 and he's correcting it.

00:47:47.980 And at which point

00:47:49.080 I would say,

00:47:49.440 oh, okay,

00:47:50.540 no lawsuit needed.

00:47:52.840 Mistake is a mistake.

00:47:55.280 Mistake is a mistake.

00:47:56.820 People make them.

00:47:58.120 I'm sure I've,

00:47:59.440 not sure,

00:48:00.300 I'm positive.

00:48:01.220 I'm positive

00:48:01.800 I've accused people

00:48:02.840 of things incorrectly.

00:48:06.100 And when they point it out,

00:48:08.060 well, actually,

00:48:08.880 the Covington kids' situation

00:48:10.880 is the exact case.

00:48:12.660 So I defamed them

00:48:14.200 because I saw

00:48:15.400 a bad video

00:48:16.680 that was misleading.

00:48:18.080 So I defamed them.

00:48:20.100 Totally.

00:48:21.200 Said bad things

00:48:22.020 about this guy's character

00:48:23.080 that was 100% untrue.

00:48:26.240 But it was a mistake.

00:48:28.760 So the moment I realized

00:48:29.900 it was a mistake,

00:48:31.300 I apologized publicly

00:48:33.520 and clarified my views.

00:48:36.800 And that becomes

00:48:38.540 impossible to sue.

00:48:40.900 All right.

00:48:41.080 So I made myself

00:48:42.020 unsuable

00:48:43.020 because I declared

00:48:45.360 it a mistake.

00:48:47.360 Other people

00:48:48.100 had made the same mistake.

00:48:49.140 It was an obvious mistake.

00:48:50.600 And then I made it better.

00:48:52.700 I corrected the record

00:48:54.180 as publicly

00:48:55.600 and clearly

00:48:56.260 as I can.

00:48:56.740 So if it turns out

00:48:59.860 that Ben Garrison

00:49:00.620 is just an idiot

00:49:02.040 and that's the end

00:49:03.380 of the story,

00:49:04.320 then I'm sure

00:49:05.840 you wouldn't mind

00:49:06.620 correcting it

00:49:07.380 and restoring

00:49:08.620 his reputation

00:49:09.440 and mine

00:49:10.120 at the same time.

00:49:12.200 Now,

00:49:13.820 a number of

00:49:14.640 well-meaning people

00:49:15.380 have said to me,

00:49:16.120 Scott,

00:49:17.040 you know you're going

00:49:17.700 to waste

00:49:18.200 maybe $200,000

00:49:21.180 on this

00:49:22.020 including paying

00:49:23.280 his lawyer fees

00:49:24.840 if you lose.

00:49:26.400 Of course I know that.

00:49:28.600 Of course I know that.

00:49:31.000 Do you think

00:49:31.700 I would do it anyway?

00:49:33.680 If I had a 95% chance

00:49:35.460 of losing

00:49:35.920 and not only losing

00:49:37.920 but having to pay

00:49:38.840 $100,000

00:49:39.980 to his lawyer

00:49:40.920 because I lost,

00:49:42.420 would I do it?

00:49:43.880 Oh yeah.

00:49:45.020 Yeah.

00:49:45.700 Why would I do it?

00:49:47.280 Why would I do it?

00:49:48.360 Do you know why?

00:49:48.840 Why would I do it?

00:49:48.880 Not at a principal

00:49:54.640 exactly.

00:49:56.420 No,

00:49:56.960 not to teach him

00:49:57.600 a lesson.

00:49:59.040 Okay,

00:49:59.480 somebody got

00:49:59.880 the right answer.

00:50:01.440 The only thing

00:50:02.420 I want out of this

00:50:03.340 is correcting

00:50:04.440 the record

00:50:05.000 because in my

00:50:06.400 specific case,

00:50:07.620 since what I do

00:50:08.420 is talk to you

00:50:09.120 about the news

00:50:10.260 and make predictions

00:50:11.240 and stuff,

00:50:12.360 if an incorrect

00:50:13.720 view of me

00:50:14.400 is out there

00:50:14.860 then I can't do this.

00:50:16.660 At least not as effectively

00:50:17.780 because every time

00:50:18.900 I talk in public

00:50:19.700 somebody's going to

00:50:21.140 be quoting Ben Garrison

00:50:22.680 and saying,

00:50:23.800 well,

00:50:24.020 if you got all this

00:50:24.820 stuff wrong

00:50:25.600 we shouldn't believe

00:50:27.040 all this other stuff

00:50:28.160 and if that were true

00:50:29.740 it would be a good point

00:50:30.700 but it's permanently

00:50:32.460 damaging to me

00:50:33.620 and my ability

00:50:34.920 to provide value

00:50:36.220 to the public

00:50:36.900 because you know

00:50:38.100 I don't do this

00:50:38.740 for the money,

00:50:39.300 right?

00:50:41.420 It's definitely

00:50:42.140 monetized

00:50:42.840 but this isn't

00:50:44.160 what I would choose

00:50:44.980 to do

00:50:45.440 for money.

00:50:46.660 If I wanted money

00:50:47.820 I would just agree

00:50:48.540 with my audience

00:50:49.160 all the time

00:50:49.700 like most people do.

00:50:52.580 It's an easy formula

00:50:53.640 but I'm not in it

00:50:55.320 to monetize it

00:50:57.080 in that way,

00:50:57.980 right?

00:50:58.700 I don't mind

00:50:59.480 monetizing it

00:51:00.220 because it helps

00:51:01.180 with the incentives

00:51:01.880 and stuff.

00:51:04.420 So,

00:51:05.300 here's the real play.

00:51:07.380 The play is this.

00:51:08.700 I want to create

00:51:09.780 way more attention

00:51:11.380 to the lawsuit

00:51:13.060 than the original

00:51:14.940 comic got

00:51:16.900 and if losing

00:51:19.260 the court case

00:51:20.700 also surfaces

00:51:22.580 the fact

00:51:23.200 that it was

00:51:24.700 a not accurate

00:51:26.040 statement about me

00:51:27.300 that'd be fine

00:51:28.240 because every time

00:51:30.040 I lost the case

00:51:30.820 somebody would say

00:51:31.880 hey,

00:51:32.900 you even lost

00:51:33.640 that case

00:51:34.180 and I would say

00:51:35.140 here's the decision

00:51:37.460 read it for yourself

00:51:38.580 and it would show

00:51:39.800 that I had demonstrated

00:51:41.780 it was factually inaccurate

00:51:43.280 because that'll be easy

00:51:44.620 but maybe I don't

00:51:47.120 demonstrate

00:51:47.620 his intentions.

00:51:49.980 That's good enough

00:51:50.880 as long as the court

00:51:53.120 could look at it

00:51:53.920 and then tell

00:51:54.860 the rest of you

00:51:55.560 oh yeah,

00:51:56.240 it's definitely wrong

00:51:57.380 the cartoon does

00:51:58.900 mischaracterize

00:52:00.080 his opinion.

00:52:00.560 I don't care

00:52:02.040 what happens

00:52:02.460 after that.

00:52:03.920 Right?

00:52:04.400 If that costs me

00:52:05.240 a quarter of a million dollars

00:52:06.480 money well spent.

00:52:09.860 But all he has to do

00:52:11.200 to not waste

00:52:12.620 a year of his life

00:52:13.540 is to simply

00:52:14.880 read my

00:52:16.080 profile document

00:52:17.340 see what my

00:52:19.040 actual opinion is

00:52:20.020 and then put in

00:52:21.240 a statement

00:52:21.660 that he stands

00:52:23.760 corrected.

00:52:24.800 That's all I ask.

00:52:27.040 Alright.

00:52:27.540 Alright.

00:52:27.600 And specifically

00:52:32.380 the claim

00:52:33.020 that I was hypnotized

00:52:34.060 by Fauci

00:52:34.740 could be debunked

00:52:36.360 by the fact

00:52:36.840 that I was the

00:52:37.860 first public figure

00:52:39.100 to call him a liar.

00:52:40.960 Now

00:52:41.440 I don't know

00:52:42.880 if that's true

00:52:43.480 but I think

00:52:44.540 the claim probably is.

00:52:46.300 I think I'm the

00:52:47.120 first person

00:52:47.820 to call him a liar

00:52:48.720 about the pandemic.

00:52:50.640 Now other people

00:52:51.380 might have called him

00:52:52.020 a liar

00:52:52.400 about prior work

00:52:54.420 but I didn't know

00:52:55.060 who he was

00:52:55.480 before then.

00:52:56.500 But in terms

00:52:56.920 of the pandemic

00:52:57.520 I'm the first

00:52:58.720 public figure

00:52:59.460 to say

00:53:00.320 that guy's on TV

00:53:01.180 lying to you

00:53:01.820 right now.

00:53:03.300 Now you're not

00:53:04.080 going to like

00:53:04.480 what I call

00:53:04.940 that and it's

00:53:05.340 his lie.

00:53:06.700 I said

00:53:07.140 his saying

00:53:08.780 that you don't

00:53:09.260 need a mask

00:53:09.920 is not his

00:53:11.480 real opinion.

00:53:13.120 That it's a lie.

00:53:14.700 Now I don't want

00:53:15.300 to get into

00:53:15.660 the conversation

00:53:16.480 of do masks

00:53:17.420 work.

00:53:17.960 That's not

00:53:18.420 what we're

00:53:18.840 talking about.

00:53:19.580 We're only

00:53:20.060 talking about

00:53:20.660 his belief

00:53:21.460 and did he say

00:53:22.660 the opposite

00:53:23.240 of his belief

00:53:23.920 and the answer

00:53:24.420 is yes

00:53:24.860 because he

00:53:25.580 admitted it.

00:53:26.160 So nobody

00:53:29.420 nobody in the

00:53:31.020 game trusted

00:53:32.640 Fauci less

00:53:33.500 than I did.

00:53:34.640 You can't

00:53:35.360 top that.

00:53:36.320 I am the

00:53:36.980 number one

00:53:37.600 Fauci doubter

00:53:38.620 in the whole

00:53:40.040 United States.

00:53:41.920 Not you

00:53:42.420 Ben Garrison.

00:53:43.560 Ben Garrison

00:53:44.460 I'll bet

00:53:44.860 when he said

00:53:45.520 you don't need

00:53:46.460 these masks

00:53:47.040 you said

00:53:47.460 oh he's

00:53:47.840 telling the truth.

00:53:49.040 Well that would

00:53:49.420 be pretty gullible.

00:53:51.040 What are you

00:53:51.440 going to believe

00:53:51.840 everything that

00:53:52.380 Fauci says?

00:53:53.040 I don't.

00:53:54.480 I don't.

00:53:56.240 So it's a

00:53:57.440 weird situation

00:53:58.100 where the

00:53:58.540 people who

00:53:58.920 are most

00:53:59.440 gullible

00:54:00.020 think that

00:54:01.380 I was.

00:54:03.160 It's sort

00:54:03.900 of projection

00:54:04.400 sort of

00:54:04.780 thing.

00:54:05.940 Alright what

00:54:06.580 else is going

00:54:07.040 on?

00:54:08.460 Let's talk

00:54:09.120 about the

00:54:09.440 2024 election.

00:54:12.880 Rasmussen

00:54:13.400 has some

00:54:13.940 new poll.

00:54:15.260 Says most 0.99

00:54:15.820 voters don't

00:54:16.540 want President

00:54:17.100 Biden to

00:54:18.060 seek re-election.

00:54:19.680 So here are

00:54:20.020 the numbers.

00:54:20.460 just 33%

00:54:22.220 of likely

00:54:23.120 US voters

00:54:23.820 so this

00:54:24.900 would be

00:54:25.180 of all

00:54:25.620 parties

00:54:26.060 think Biden

00:54:27.160 should run

00:54:27.600 for re-election

00:54:28.220 and 55%

00:54:29.580 say no.

00:54:33.760 But it's

00:54:34.620 not much

00:54:35.040 better for

00:54:35.540 Trump.

00:54:36.520 Not much

00:54:36.960 better for

00:54:37.340 Trump.

00:54:38.300 So Trump

00:54:38.720 35% of

00:54:39.860 voters think

00:54:40.360 Trump

00:54:40.720 should run

00:54:42.900 and the

00:54:44.840 majority

00:54:45.220 53%

00:54:45.980 think he

00:54:46.540 shouldn't.

00:54:47.480 So those

00:54:47.840 are almost

00:54:49.400 identical

00:54:50.000 to Biden.

00:54:52.400 So one

00:54:52.900 possibility

00:54:53.500 is we're

00:54:54.360 going to

00:54:54.460 have two

00:54:54.820 candidates

00:54:55.360 that nobody

00:54:55.960 wants.

00:54:58.360 That's

00:54:58.640 very likely.

00:55:00.700 It's very

00:55:01.480 likely we'll

00:55:02.120 have two

00:55:02.420 candidates

00:55:02.820 that nobody

00:55:03.360 wants.

00:55:04.840 Nobody

00:55:05.340 meaning the

00:55:05.900 majority.

00:55:07.380 Now I'm

00:55:08.460 going to

00:55:08.620 make an

00:55:10.220 optimistic

00:55:10.960 prediction.

00:55:11.920 I don't

00:55:15.840 know what

00:55:16.200 the odds

00:55:16.660 of this

00:55:16.960 coming true

00:55:17.460 are.

00:55:18.420 So just

00:55:19.240 know I'm

00:55:19.960 being

00:55:20.120 optimistic.

00:55:22.020 I think

00:55:22.620 the two

00:55:23.100 contenders

00:55:23.680 in the

00:55:24.180 end will

00:55:24.540 be

00:55:24.820 DeSantis

00:55:25.280 and

00:55:25.700 Newsom.

00:55:27.860 DeSantis

00:55:28.420 and Newsom.

00:55:29.580 Here's

00:55:30.100 why.

00:55:34.020 I don't

00:55:34.820 think

00:55:35.120 I don't

00:55:36.900 think

00:55:37.120 Biden

00:55:37.480 I don't

00:55:38.780 think

00:55:39.120 Democrats

00:55:40.240 will allow

00:55:40.920 Biden to

00:55:41.520 run.

00:55:42.700 Because I

00:55:43.340 think Trump

00:55:43.760 would take

00:55:44.220 him this

00:55:44.520 time.

00:55:45.260 What do

00:55:45.540 you think?

00:55:47.380 Do you

00:55:47.920 think Trump

00:55:48.280 would take

00:55:48.680 him?

00:55:48.940 I think he

00:55:49.360 would.

00:55:52.340 Especially

00:55:52.820 if we

00:55:54.080 are watching

00:55:54.780 the polls

00:55:55.240 more carefully

00:55:55.900 I suppose.

00:55:58.920 All right.

00:55:59.220 I don't

00:56:05.180 think anybody

00:56:05.640 important will

00:56:06.500 run as an

00:56:07.040 independent.

00:56:08.580 So here's

00:56:09.320 the basis.

00:56:10.080 I think

00:56:10.360 Democrats as

00:56:11.140 a group

00:56:11.660 will overrule

00:56:13.940 Biden.

00:56:15.380 How many

00:56:15.720 would agree

00:56:16.140 with that?

00:56:17.060 That Biden

00:56:17.540 wants to

00:56:18.020 run.

00:56:18.200 I think

00:56:18.420 that's real.

00:56:19.500 But I

00:56:19.760 think Democrats

00:56:20.640 won't take

00:56:21.220 the chance.

00:56:21.760 It's just

00:56:22.020 too big of

00:56:22.480 a chance.

00:56:23.540 So I

00:56:23.740 think Democrats

00:56:24.520 will overrule

00:56:25.360 Biden.

00:56:26.780 And then

00:56:27.340 if they do

00:56:28.040 they need

00:56:29.260 somebody to

00:56:29.780 replace them.

00:56:30.500 And I

00:56:30.640 think Newsom's

00:56:31.800 their strongest

00:56:32.360 player.

00:56:34.320 Now yes I

00:56:35.520 know all the

00:56:36.240 negatives that

00:56:37.720 are hurled at

00:56:38.640 him.

00:56:38.800 I know them

00:56:39.160 all.

00:56:39.760 You don't

00:56:40.060 have to

00:56:40.320 remind me.

00:56:41.220 But remember

00:56:41.680 they have a

00:56:42.340 weak bench.

00:56:44.320 He's the

00:56:44.940 strongest in

00:56:45.680 a pretty weak

00:56:46.480 field.

00:56:48.720 Now on the

00:56:49.560 Trump side

00:56:50.180 there are a

00:56:54.200 lot of smart

00:56:54.660 people.

00:56:55.120 I think Ben

00:56:56.040 Shapiro is one.

00:56:56.860 I say this

00:56:58.940 often but

00:56:59.500 Ben Shapiro is

00:57:00.840 in my small

00:57:01.760 small group of

00:57:02.640 people where

00:57:04.240 if his opinion

00:57:05.180 differs from

00:57:05.880 mine I

00:57:07.040 immediately

00:57:07.560 question my

00:57:08.680 opinion.

00:57:10.300 Does anybody

00:57:10.680 else do that? 0.96

00:57:12.100 Is that a Ben

00:57:12.900 Shapiro thing? 0.93

00:57:14.400 There are other

00:57:14.960 people like that.

00:57:15.680 If Jordan 0.97

00:57:16.200 Peterson disagrees

00:57:17.180 with me I'm

00:57:17.780 going to stop

00:57:18.740 and think.

00:57:20.440 So yeah

00:57:21.180 because you

00:57:22.100 know he's

00:57:22.800 thought about

00:57:23.220 it.

00:57:23.440 You know he

00:57:23.720 knows the

00:57:24.060 whole context.

00:57:24.920 You know he

00:57:25.120 knows the

00:57:25.440 history.

00:57:25.800 Yeah Dershowitz is

00:57:26.500 another one.

00:57:28.400 So if he

00:57:28.880 disagrees with

00:57:29.540 me I'm just

00:57:29.960 going to stop

00:57:30.500 and say okay

00:57:31.060 let's look at

00:57:32.640 my point of

00:57:33.120 view.

00:57:33.340 I might have

00:57:33.620 missed something

00:57:34.020 here.

00:57:34.560 And he

00:57:34.840 thinks that

00:57:35.380 it's somewhat

00:57:36.980 clear that

00:57:38.120 DeSantis will

00:57:38.780 be the

00:57:39.060 candidate.

00:57:41.000 I don't see

00:57:41.880 it as clearly

00:57:42.460 as he does

00:57:43.140 because I

00:57:44.720 don't see the

00:57:45.240 path to it

00:57:46.020 because it

00:57:46.940 seems like it

00:57:47.460 would require

00:57:48.100 Trump to

00:57:49.760 stand down.

00:57:50.620 I don't see

00:57:51.040 that happening.

00:57:51.540 but I

00:57:55.600 don't think

00:57:56.120 Republicans

00:57:56.640 will take

00:57:58.460 the risk

00:57:59.100 of Trump

00:58:00.860 losing a

00:58:01.520 second time

00:58:02.160 because we're

00:58:03.860 very much

00:58:04.420 affected by

00:58:05.900 the last

00:58:06.400 war.

00:58:07.060 You know you're

00:58:07.300 always fighting

00:58:07.720 the last

00:58:08.200 war and

00:58:09.160 it's going to

00:58:09.700 feel like

00:58:10.120 Trump lost

00:58:11.940 the last

00:58:12.580 election when

00:58:13.200 he was young

00:58:13.700 enough to

00:58:14.120 be you know

00:58:15.260 viable.

00:58:15.900 I think

00:58:18.920 Trump's age

00:58:19.720 will show

00:58:20.240 and if

00:58:24.240 DeSantis

00:58:25.680 decides he

00:58:26.540 could be a

00:58:27.160 candidate

00:58:27.520 people will

00:58:29.060 just defect

00:58:29.800 him.

00:58:35.440 All right.

00:58:37.500 How many

00:58:38.340 people would

00:58:39.240 agree with

00:58:39.980 my prediction

00:58:41.000 that in the

00:58:41.680 end the

00:58:42.120 candidates will

00:58:42.880 be DeSantis

00:58:43.780 and Newsom?

00:58:44.720 Go.

00:58:45.900 How many?

00:58:50.300 I see some

00:58:50.820 yeses.

00:58:52.020 Lots of

00:58:52.560 yeses actually.

00:58:53.880 I like

00:58:54.380 somebody answered

00:58:55.800 with a

00:58:56.240 percentage.

00:58:56.860 I like that.

00:58:57.920 I like

00:58:58.260 anybody who

00:58:58.680 answers that

00:58:59.060 with a

00:58:59.300 percentage.

00:59:02.140 Yeah.

00:59:04.380 Do you

00:59:05.120 feel also

00:59:05.840 that the

00:59:06.660 country is

00:59:07.460 so unhappy

00:59:08.220 with the

00:59:09.360 last several

00:59:09.980 years that

00:59:11.660 it feels

00:59:12.320 impossible that

00:59:13.940 we would let

00:59:14.520 somebody back

00:59:15.160 in office

00:59:15.680 who was

00:59:16.660 responsible for

00:59:17.540 anything at

00:59:18.920 the federal

00:59:19.360 level for

00:59:20.600 the last

00:59:21.000 five years.

00:59:22.720 It feels

00:59:23.380 like, I

00:59:24.960 don't know,

00:59:25.420 Biden and

00:59:26.100 Trump are

00:59:26.420 looking a lot

00:59:27.020 like the

00:59:27.380 same person

00:59:27.900 to me.

00:59:29.020 I hate to

00:59:29.500 say it.

00:59:30.420 I mean,

00:59:30.660 they're very

00:59:31.240 different,

00:59:32.080 but in some

00:59:33.020 ways they look

00:59:33.560 like the same

00:59:34.080 person today

00:59:34.880 because they

00:59:36.060 both seem

00:59:36.920 like their

00:59:38.620 window has

00:59:40.140 passed.

00:59:41.340 They both

00:59:41.760 look like

00:59:42.160 the past.

00:59:43.720 They both

00:59:44.160 smell,

00:59:44.940 this is the

00:59:45.800 worst thing

00:59:46.200 to say,

00:59:47.020 I'm just

00:59:47.360 to say it

00:59:47.760 this way,

00:59:49.160 they both

00:59:49.660 smell like

00:59:50.160 a pandemic.

00:59:53.600 That's the

00:59:54.160 best way to

00:59:54.600 say it.

00:59:55.160 They both

00:59:55.700 smell like

00:59:56.200 a pandemic.

00:59:56.720 Now,

00:59:59.720 you could

01:00:00.700 get into the

01:00:01.120 argument of

01:00:01.680 who did

01:00:02.020 what right

01:00:02.560 or wrong,

01:00:03.760 Trump with

01:00:04.360 his vaccinations,

01:00:05.740 Biden with

01:00:06.500 whatever he

01:00:06.980 did, but

01:00:08.300 they both

01:00:09.020 smell like

01:00:09.560 a, we

01:00:11.140 just need

01:00:11.520 somebody who

01:00:11.940 doesn't smell

01:00:12.380 like a

01:00:12.700 pandemic.

01:00:14.200 I suppose

01:00:14.680 DeSantis and

01:00:15.540 Newsom do

01:00:15.980 too, but

01:00:16.460 it's different.

01:00:20.960 DeSantis

01:00:21.520 doesn't smell

01:00:22.200 like a

01:00:22.520 pandemic.

01:00:23.500 He smells

01:00:24.080 like somebody

01:00:25.480 who tried

01:00:25.880 to,

01:00:26.720 who managed

01:00:27.800 the situation

01:00:28.560 well.

01:00:29.080 It just

01:00:29.360 feels

01:00:29.600 different.

01:00:32.080 Cabbage

01:00:32.600 and urine.

01:00:34.760 That's funny.

01:00:37.020 All right,

01:00:37.660 let me give

01:00:38.240 you this

01:00:38.460 challenge.

01:00:39.760 What

01:00:40.000 Republican

01:00:41.220 could beat

01:00:41.860 DeSantis

01:00:42.320 besides,

01:00:43.600 if you

01:00:44.080 think Trump?

01:00:45.740 There's

01:00:46.200 nobody who

01:00:46.580 would beat

01:00:46.760 DeSantis

01:00:47.200 besides maybe

01:00:49.240 Trump.

01:00:51.100 And who

01:00:51.860 do you

01:00:52.060 think could

01:00:52.380 beat Newsom

01:00:52.880 on the

01:00:54.020 Democrat

01:00:54.340 side?

01:00:56.720 I don't

01:00:57.620 know if

01:00:57.900 Rand Paul

01:00:58.480 inspires

01:00:59.860 people in

01:01:02.060 that

01:01:02.260 presidential

01:01:02.800 way.

01:01:03.980 He's

01:01:04.340 definitely

01:01:04.740 one of the

01:01:06.040 most valuable

01:01:06.560 players in

01:01:07.200 Congress.

01:01:08.480 So as a

01:01:09.640 member of

01:01:10.900 Congress,

01:01:12.700 he's a

01:01:13.500 superstar,

01:01:14.460 in my opinion.

01:01:16.520 But

01:01:16.700 presidential is

01:01:17.700 just sort of a

01:01:18.680 different vibe.

01:01:19.700 Now, I don't

01:01:20.080 think Carrie

01:01:20.520 Lake has

01:01:21.000 proven herself

01:01:21.740 in elected

01:01:22.620 office.

01:01:23.480 And I

01:01:23.740 think it

01:01:23.980 does matter.

01:01:24.720 I mean,

01:01:25.080 Trump was

01:01:25.840 bigger than

01:01:26.280 that, but

01:01:27.560 he at least

01:01:28.660 ran a big

01:01:29.140 company.

01:01:35.540 All right,

01:01:36.460 Joe Rogan

01:01:36.940 for president.

01:01:39.120 Is Rand Paul

01:01:40.000 too short to

01:01:40.660 be president?

01:01:42.960 No.

01:01:44.540 I don't

01:01:45.100 know.

01:01:45.300 And Tom

01:01:48.720 Cotton voted

01:01:49.840 for the

01:01:50.520 omnibus

01:01:51.280 bill, I

01:01:51.700 think, so

01:01:52.860 that made

01:01:53.380 some

01:01:53.660 conservatives

01:01:54.340 unhappy.

01:01:57.300 You think

01:01:58.260 Hakeem

01:01:58.660 Jeffries could

01:01:59.320 win in a

01:02:00.400 Democrat

01:02:00.780 primary?

01:02:02.480 Maybe.

01:02:04.200 But I

01:02:04.980 don't think

01:02:05.300 he'd run.

01:02:05.780 Yeah, I

01:02:11.060 don't think

01:02:11.380 Kamala can

01:02:11.920 win.

01:02:13.720 Elon Musk

01:02:14.340 was not

01:02:14.760 born in

01:02:15.100 America.

01:02:15.780 He can't.

01:02:17.480 All right,

01:02:18.360 that is all

01:02:19.740 I have for

01:02:20.240 today.

01:02:20.660 Is there

01:02:20.820 any topic

01:02:21.380 I missed?

01:02:22.500 Anything

01:02:22.760 else

01:02:23.000 happening?

01:02:27.920 Can

01:02:28.440 hypnosis

01:02:28.940 help a

01:02:29.460 man prolong

01:02:30.000 ability to

01:02:30.860 have sex 0.77

01:02:31.300 without

01:02:31.620 reaching

01:02:32.040 climax?

01:02:33.640 You

01:02:33.880 want me

01:02:34.340 to

01:02:34.760 hypnotize

01:02:36.220 you to

01:02:36.740 have

01:02:37.040 fewer

01:02:37.480 or to

01:02:39.660 take

01:02:39.880 longer

01:02:40.180 to

01:02:40.340 climax?

01:02:41.260 You know,

01:02:41.620 I don't

01:02:42.300 know the

01:02:42.560 answer to

01:02:42.840 the question.

01:02:44.340 So I

01:02:45.000 haven't heard

01:02:45.440 of anybody

01:02:45.900 working on

01:02:46.440 that specific

01:02:47.160 problem.

01:02:48.800 But

01:02:49.060 probably.

01:02:51.280 Probably.

01:02:52.240 Maybe not

01:02:52.700 for every

01:02:53.040 person.

01:03:00.400 All

01:03:00.840 right.

01:03:01.020 you don't

01:03:04.920 need hypnosis

01:03:05.480 for that.

01:03:06.060 I agree.

01:03:09.080 All right.

01:03:09.600 That's all I

01:03:09.960 got for now.

01:03:10.540 I'm going to

01:03:10.800 go do

01:03:11.060 something else.

01:03:11.620 I'll talk to

01:03:12.120 the locals

01:03:12.960 people for a

01:03:13.560 little bit.

01:03:14.300 Thanks for

01:03:14.740 joining.

01:03:14.980 Best

01:03:16.020 live stream

01:03:16.500 ever.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 03, 2023

Episode 1977 Scott Adams： Sudden Athlete Death Data And You'll Learn Something About Defamation Also

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