Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1977 Scott Adams： Sudden Athlete Death Data And You'll Learn Something About Defamation Also

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:08.560 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams. There's nothing quite like it.

00:00:11.600 And aren't you lucky to be witnessing it?

00:00:14.520 Wow, good for you. Good job, you, all of you.

00:00:17.880 You're looking sexier and smarter and more successful than ever.

00:00:21.460 That's just what I expect.

00:00:22.780 And today, we're going to take your experience up to even higher levels,

00:00:30.220 and all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chelsea stein,

00:00:34.360 a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind,

00:00:37.540 filling with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.

00:00:41.520 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day,

00:00:45.960 the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:48.560 It's called the Simultaneous Sip, and it happens now.

00:01:01.300 Yeah, that was good.

00:01:05.880 Well, let's talk about all the things.

00:01:09.120 There's a new political movement forming in the United States

00:01:12.420 called the Pure Bloods.

00:01:15.860 Pure Bloods.

00:01:16.740 The people who are anti-vaxxed, I'm pretty proud of it.

00:01:21.940 And they seem to be unwilling to mix with the non-Pure Bloods.

00:01:29.260 So I think the Pure Bloods should form their own political party.

00:01:34.960 See how they do.

00:01:36.500 See how they do.

00:01:37.360 I'm all for it.

00:01:38.980 All right, we have to talk about Monday Night Football.

00:01:40.900 If you don't know, there was a horrible incident that actually postponed the entire game.

00:01:48.720 So the game was called off, or I guess postponed.

00:01:52.040 I don't think they're going to play it again, but maybe.

00:01:54.820 And it was because a player named Dammer Hamlin, I hope I'm pronouncing that right,

00:02:01.020 he took a hard hit in the chest, and then he stood up, but then he collapsed with some kind of a serious heart issue.

00:02:12.920 Amazingly, he had medical attention in 10 seconds.

00:02:17.060 Now that is impressive, right?

00:02:21.560 Now, I don't want to detract from the fact it's a human tragedy.

00:02:25.920 So first, you know, let's be human about it and show some respect to the family and to the player who's in critical condition.

00:02:34.920 So I think we can all agree that the human element is the primary story here.

00:02:42.440 Do we all agree that, you know, our priorities should be on the health and safety of the individuals and his family?

00:02:49.420 So, but having said that, there's no avoiding the fact that it triggered the entire country.

00:02:55.500 Why?

00:02:56.040 Well, because the question of whether or not a vaccination had any kind of contributing effect.

00:03:07.280 Now, I'm going to run a little experiment here today.

00:03:13.680 We'll see how this goes.

00:03:16.060 I'm going to talk about the very real possibility that vaccination may have played a role in this event.

00:03:26.480 Totally possible.

00:03:28.340 So you hear me say this as clearly as possible.

00:03:31.460 This is a red flag.

00:03:33.800 And I think we would all like to know if they can tell.

00:03:37.920 I don't know what happens autopsy-wise.

00:03:40.680 But we would all like to know there's a public interest.

00:03:43.520 And it may be a signal that's worth checking.

00:03:46.300 So can we all get on the same page that we don't know what happened,

00:03:51.000 but it's enough of a red flag that we have a genuine interest as a society

00:03:55.880 which is also an interest in the family and the player, right?

00:04:01.740 We have a genuine, sincere interest in their well-being and to know what happened

00:04:06.140 because it also applies maybe to us, right?

00:04:09.140 So here's the experiment.

00:04:13.000 You just experienced how clearly I said that.

00:04:17.300 Watch how many people say,

00:04:19.240 Scott, why aren't you even considering that the vaccination could have played a role?

00:04:24.440 I am considering it.

00:04:27.280 I am considering it.

00:04:28.820 Yeah, he's alive.

00:04:29.540 He's in bad shape.

00:04:30.220 Now watch how many people treat me like I didn't consider it.

00:04:35.460 That's the test.

00:04:36.720 Because when you discuss any nuance or say it could be this or it could be that,

00:04:41.700 that's what happens.

00:04:42.760 So let's observe how many people seem to treat me like I said the opposite of what I just said.

00:04:49.760 Now, here's what we can take from this event.

00:04:58.420 We're going to take a lesson, which I'm going to inflict on you, on rational thinking.

00:05:05.580 So let's look at this situation and let's see what is an irrational way to look at it versus a rational way.

00:05:12.900 An irrational way to look at it is to say,

00:05:15.980 whoa, that is obviously vaccination.

00:05:20.900 There's no way that that could be anything else.

00:05:23.920 We don't know that, so that would be bad thinking.

00:05:26.800 If you put a percentage likelihood on it, that could be reasonable.

00:05:33.140 You got that?

00:05:34.200 It could be reasonable to say,

00:05:37.060 well, I don't know, I've looked at all the details,

00:05:41.640 and I'd say there's at least a 50% chance or whatever you put on it.

00:05:44.840 Now, I would say that would be an opinion, but not irrational.

00:05:49.620 So an opinion can be wrong, but still rational.

00:05:53.600 You understand that, right?

00:05:55.900 So what do we know?

00:05:57.600 What we know is that the collapse happened almost immediately after

00:06:02.260 what some people say was an extra hard hit,

00:06:08.340 and other people who would like you to believe that they're very tough people,

00:06:12.620 they say it was nothing.

00:06:14.840 Now, do you think that we will be able to...

00:06:17.460 Now, I watched it live.

00:06:19.840 I watched it live, and I've watched lots of football, right?

00:06:23.400 If you're my age,

00:06:24.900 and you have any interest in sports whatsoever,

00:06:28.340 you have watched a lot of people get tackled.

00:06:31.140 In my subjective opinion,

00:06:35.520 which, in a moment, I'm going to tell you why you shouldn't trust my subjective opinion.

00:06:39.980 So you don't need to say that, because I'm going to say that about myself.

00:06:43.200 My subjective opinion is that when I watched it,

00:06:46.740 it was one of the hardest hits I've ever seen.

00:06:48.540 I will acknowledge that many, even maybe most of you, possibly,

00:06:55.220 looked at it and said exactly the opposite.

00:06:58.840 Why would you see it the opposite of how I would see it?

00:07:02.260 Which one of us is having confirmation bias?

00:07:05.640 The ones who say, that was an average hit, they're used to that,

00:07:09.300 versus the ones who say, no, that was an unusually hard hit.

00:07:12.200 Go ahead, in the comments, tell me who has confirmation bias.

00:07:21.860 Both, yeah.

00:07:23.560 This is a case where there's no ambiguity whatsoever.

00:07:27.360 This is definitely both, right?

00:07:30.000 So am I influenced by the fact that I think it's probably unlikely

00:07:35.520 that the hit wasn't the cause?

00:07:39.020 So, therefore, there's an obvious trigger.

00:07:44.020 So you always look for the trigger.

00:07:45.940 For me, there's an obvious trigger

00:07:47.700 that I would be semi-hallucinating in this case.

00:07:51.440 Would you agree?

00:07:52.720 Would you agree there's an obvious trigger

00:07:54.760 for me, Scott, to be hallucinating on how hard the hit was?

00:08:00.180 In other words, I could look at it time and time again,

00:08:02.700 and I would always see it the way I see it,

00:08:05.440 while knowing that you could look at it time and time again

00:08:08.000 and see it completely differently, right?

00:08:11.600 But if you say, Scott, you have a cause for a confirmation bias,

00:08:16.500 that part's right.

00:08:17.940 You're almost certainly right about that.

00:08:20.200 But if you say it doesn't apply to you,

00:08:23.180 that's not rational thinking.

00:08:25.900 This one clearly applies to everybody, right?

00:08:28.720 This is the cleanest example

00:08:30.960 of nobody can have a credible opinion on this.

00:08:34.280 It's the most subjective thing you'll ever see.

00:08:37.980 Now, I'll tell you what I saw,

00:08:40.440 which I will not claim to be true,

00:08:42.880 because the whole context here is

00:08:44.240 we're all hallucinating, basically.

00:08:46.800 You know, you're hallucinating, I'm hallucinating.

00:08:49.340 You can't help it.

00:08:50.820 This is one that makes us all hallucinate.

00:08:54.180 Here's my hallucination.

00:08:55.480 What I saw was that the, I guess the,

00:09:00.460 what do you call it, the tackling,

00:09:01.720 or the player that hit the guy who went down,

00:09:06.440 that looked to me like he hit him with his shoulder,

00:09:09.620 and so that would reduce the size of the impact,

00:09:12.300 which we know can be important.

00:09:15.120 So in other words, if one player had hit another player

00:09:17.260 full body to full body,

00:09:19.360 that would less likely cause a heart problem.

00:09:23.340 But if somebody got hit with like a,

00:09:25.460 like a, let's say a baseball,

00:09:28.240 really hard,

00:09:30.020 that's known to actually give somebody

00:09:31.840 a permanent heart attack and die.

00:09:33.940 Like there's evidence that that's a thing.

00:09:36.800 So the question would be,

00:09:38.680 did this player get hit

00:09:40.180 in the normal way people get hit?

00:09:42.900 And was there any padding there

00:09:44.700 to prevent the exact thing that happened?

00:09:46.840 So what I saw was a, not a normal hit, right?

00:09:51.520 Now again, I acknowledge I'm hallucinating,

00:09:54.940 but you have to accept that you are too, right?

00:09:58.500 So my hallucination,

00:10:00.280 I saw the shoulder hit right about here,

00:10:04.460 or the other side, I guess, about here,

00:10:07.100 which I, which I wonder

00:10:08.800 if it avoided any padding there.

00:10:11.840 Just a question.

00:10:12.780 I don't know if there's any padding there.

00:10:14.560 So it might've hit it like sideways

00:10:16.200 where it sort of got a little purchase

00:10:18.300 where it wasn't supposed to.

00:10:19.640 And if it hit it hard like a shoulder,

00:10:22.200 even though the shoulder has pads,

00:10:23.660 so it's not as hard as a bare shoulder,

00:10:26.740 could that be enough?

00:10:28.940 I don't know.

00:10:30.260 So I asked on Twitter,

00:10:32.880 I asked the Twitter doctors to weigh in,

00:10:34.820 and we have the following opinions.

00:10:41.800 The following opinions.

00:10:43.960 One doctor said,

00:10:45.280 given that the problem happened immediately after the hit,

00:10:49.880 it was the hit.

00:10:51.560 Almost certainly.

00:10:52.920 Nothing's 100%, right?

00:10:54.580 Everything I say about this,

00:10:56.600 except that we're both having confirmation bias,

00:10:58.840 everything else is like speculative

00:11:00.680 and, you know,

00:11:02.020 some percentage chance of being true.

00:11:05.420 But an actual medical doctor on Twitter,

00:11:09.340 who, by the way,

00:11:10.360 and this is important to the point,

00:11:12.500 a medical doctor who was canceled on Twitter,

00:11:17.400 but came back under Musk,

00:11:19.520 he was skeptical of vaccinations.

00:11:22.300 So he was banned on Twitter.

00:11:27.460 So somebody skeptical of vaccinations,

00:11:30.740 banned on Twitter for being skeptical of vaccinations,

00:11:34.020 looked at it and said,

00:11:35.080 it looks like it's the hit.

00:11:37.180 Probably not the vaccination.

00:11:39.660 Now, again, it's probability, right?

00:11:41.800 So I'm not saying he's right or wrong.

00:11:43.820 I'm saying that I'm not a doctor.

00:11:47.040 That is a doctor.

00:11:48.680 And the doctor said,

00:11:49.380 it would be weird to have it at the same time.

00:11:53.400 Now, here's the counterpoint, right?

00:11:55.740 Now, here's where everybody starts hallucinating

00:11:58.180 I took a side,

00:11:59.380 because it's not happening.

00:12:01.720 You're not seeing me take a side.

00:12:04.140 Here's the other side.

00:12:06.420 Dr. Peter McCullough,

00:12:08.740 famous COVID vaccine skeptic,

00:12:13.460 who also has been,

00:12:15.240 let's see,

00:12:15.500 I think he's lost his certifications

00:12:18.660 and stuff.

00:12:19.940 So he took a lot of big hits

00:12:21.440 for being a skeptic on vaccinations.

00:12:25.440 And he points out

00:12:28.340 that the vaccinations might cause

00:12:31.180 a problem with the heart

00:12:33.040 where if you combined the,

00:12:35.960 what's the,

00:12:39.280 adrenaline,

00:12:40.580 if you combine the adrenaline of the,

00:12:42.980 you know,

00:12:43.260 the sport

00:12:43.740 with maybe some inflammation

00:12:46.660 and then you added a hit on top of that,

00:12:50.400 that,

00:12:50.800 that that would be,

00:12:52.060 you know,

00:12:53.140 something you should look into.

00:12:54.520 Now,

00:12:54.960 Dr. McCullough

00:12:55.660 does not say

00:12:57.400 that's definitely the cause,

00:12:59.480 which would be,

00:13:00.900 I think that would be

00:13:01.900 kind of wrong.

00:13:03.660 So he takes a perfectly practical approach,

00:13:07.220 which is,

00:13:08.760 you should definitely look into this

00:13:10.480 because there's a hypothesis

00:13:12.340 that would explain it

00:13:13.880 completely.

00:13:16.960 So,

00:13:17.720 do you all agree,

00:13:19.720 and I'll use the phrase

00:13:20.800 red flag,

00:13:22.380 do you all agree that

00:13:23.540 in the context of the entire country

00:13:25.920 being interested in this question,

00:13:28.560 that it's enough of a red flag

00:13:30.240 that we would like

00:13:32.100 the medical professionals

00:13:33.100 to give us an answer.

00:13:35.040 You know,

00:13:35.260 the family needs an answer,

00:13:37.200 he needs an answer,

00:13:38.200 we hope he's surviving,

00:13:39.720 and we need an answer.

00:13:41.800 Like,

00:13:42.000 that's a,

00:13:42.360 that's a social need

00:13:44.540 at this point.

00:13:45.980 So,

00:13:47.160 hear me as clearly as possible.

00:13:49.980 We all,

00:13:50.760 I think,

00:13:51.380 let me do a fact check with you.

00:13:54.880 Is it the

00:13:56.220 best understood

00:13:58.040 truth about

00:14:00.260 the so-called

00:14:01.180 vaccinations

00:14:01.860 that are not really vaccines

00:14:03.180 is that the so-called truth

00:14:05.020 that

00:14:05.460 the medical society,

00:14:08.400 including skeptics

00:14:09.900 like Dr. Malone,

00:14:12.700 would say,

00:14:14.120 so check me on this,

00:14:15.640 they would say

00:14:16.200 it looks like

00:14:16.980 it probably saved lives

00:14:18.500 above a certain age,

00:14:21.060 but that it probably

00:14:23.860 was hurting,

00:14:25.280 especially men,

00:14:26.680 below a certain age.

00:14:28.660 So,

00:14:28.940 that's the current

00:14:29.580 understanding,

00:14:30.220 right?

00:14:30.600 It was probably bad

00:14:31.700 for younger men,

00:14:33.340 probably saved lives

00:14:34.800 above a certain age,

00:14:35.860 let's say 65.

00:14:38.100 Is that the current?

00:14:40.860 So,

00:14:41.180 I'm not taking a side,

00:14:42.280 I'm just saying

00:14:42.680 that's the

00:14:43.180 current

00:14:44.180 most popular

00:14:45.140 medical understanding,

00:14:46.740 right?

00:14:48.040 Now,

00:14:48.620 that still leaves open

00:14:49.580 the possibility

00:14:50.260 that even the older people

00:14:52.760 should not have been vaccinated.

00:14:54.780 would you agree?

00:14:57.700 Because we might find out,

00:14:59.380 you know,

00:14:59.600 five years from now,

00:15:01.000 they get some problem

00:15:01.860 we didn't know about,

00:15:03.360 right?

00:15:03.760 So,

00:15:04.160 we're still,

00:15:05.020 there's still some question

00:15:06.240 about the older people,

00:15:08.240 whether or not they actually

00:15:09.160 got the benefit,

00:15:10.420 and maybe we won't know

00:15:11.440 for a few years.

00:15:12.700 But the current medical consensus

00:15:14.480 is it probably saved lives,

00:15:16.320 at least in the short run,

00:15:17.160 probably was bad

00:15:19.780 for younger men,

00:15:20.640 especially.

00:15:22.000 And then,

00:15:22.640 more generally,

00:15:24.300 school-aged children,

00:15:25.820 we don't think

00:15:27.300 are necessarily,

00:15:28.400 makes any sense

00:15:29.100 to vaccinate.

00:15:30.620 Now that,

00:15:31.440 I'm just trying to

00:15:32.560 represent the common,

00:15:34.560 most popular,

00:15:36.180 informed view.

00:15:37.400 I'm not saying it's right.

00:15:39.760 Because I don't,

00:15:41.080 I don't trust anything anymore.

00:15:43.300 All right.

00:15:45.280 So,

00:15:45.840 if you are sure

00:15:47.020 that this is another case

00:15:48.600 of athletes dropping dead,

00:15:51.380 because you saw

00:15:52.280 a compilation video

00:15:53.520 where lots of athletes

00:15:55.020 were dropping dead,

00:15:56.940 do all of you know

00:15:57.780 that the compilation videos

00:15:59.120 are fake?

00:16:01.140 The data is probably

00:16:02.440 more reliable,

00:16:03.980 because there's data

00:16:04.620 about excess mortality,

00:16:06.260 and I don't doubt the data.

00:16:08.280 I don't trust it,

00:16:09.300 but I don't doubt it.

00:16:11.380 But the video

00:16:12.580 where you can actually

00:16:13.320 see the people falling over,

00:16:14.760 you know that those

00:16:16.420 have been debunked,

00:16:17.260 right?

00:16:17.760 So there are people

00:16:18.520 who were not vaccinated

00:16:20.120 in some cases,

00:16:21.900 people who survived

00:16:23.000 and it was no big deal,

00:16:24.200 they were just dehydrated,

00:16:26.440 people who,

00:16:27.340 there was an identified cause

00:16:29.700 that had nothing

00:16:30.840 to do with vaccinations,

00:16:32.180 and then there were

00:16:32.940 a bunch of them

00:16:33.500 that happened

00:16:33.940 before the pandemic.

00:16:36.220 But if you put together

00:16:37.340 all those categories,

00:16:38.880 and then you show them

00:16:39.720 all together,

00:16:40.880 it's very persuasive.

00:16:42.100 So a lot of people

00:16:43.420 got taken in by that.

00:16:45.080 But just spend a minute,

00:16:46.820 you know,

00:16:47.400 here's a general,

00:16:49.200 good general process.

00:16:52.480 If you see something

00:16:53.620 that looks sketchy,

00:16:55.100 and people are saying,

00:16:56.440 I'm not so sure

00:16:57.100 that's true,

00:16:58.620 the least you can do,

00:17:00.840 the smallest amount

00:17:02.000 of intellectual rigor,

00:17:05.000 is to Google the thing,

00:17:07.060 you know,

00:17:07.280 whatever you're talking about,

00:17:08.480 the headline,

00:17:08.960 and then the word

00:17:10.260 debunked or fact-checked,

00:17:13.260 at least see

00:17:14.000 what the other side

00:17:14.720 is saying.

00:17:16.200 If you don't at least

00:17:17.380 hear their point of view,

00:17:19.460 you can't give any,

00:17:20.580 you know,

00:17:21.040 credibility or lack of,

00:17:22.960 so at least hear it.

00:17:24.700 Now this is one that,

00:17:25.900 if you'd seen the video

00:17:26.940 of all the people

00:17:27.560 dropping dead,

00:17:28.600 the athletes,

00:17:29.700 apparently,

00:17:30.480 if you Googled it,

00:17:31.640 you would find that

00:17:32.320 every fact-check

00:17:33.600 says the same thing.

00:17:35.360 Well,

00:17:35.780 we looked into it,

00:17:36.600 and many of these

00:17:37.720 examples are fake,

00:17:39.720 so there you go.

00:17:42.420 Now,

00:17:43.020 the problem is

00:17:43.540 we also don't check,

00:17:44.640 we don't trust

00:17:46.000 the fact-checkers,

00:17:47.200 but in this case,

00:17:48.260 they showed their work,

00:17:49.960 right?

00:17:50.480 They said,

00:17:51.360 this player,

00:17:52.860 you know,

00:17:53.420 died this date,

00:17:54.940 you know,

00:17:55.100 the stuff you could check,

00:17:56.280 so I got a feeling

00:17:57.300 they're probably

00:17:58.080 pretty close

00:17:58.720 to write on that one.

00:18:02.500 All right,

00:18:03.000 here's a question.

00:18:03.580 This is a test

00:18:05.620 of your critical thinking.

00:18:07.720 All right?

00:18:09.060 This is a test

00:18:09.740 of your sort of

00:18:11.340 intuitive understanding

00:18:12.680 of statistics,

00:18:15.580 and then some of you

00:18:16.440 are actually trained

00:18:17.200 in statistics.

00:18:18.980 Hold off for a second.

00:18:21.480 Because I think

00:18:22.200 the people who are

00:18:22.720 trained in statistics

00:18:23.840 are all going to have

00:18:24.500 the same answer.

00:18:25.600 The people who are not

00:18:26.340 trained are going to have

00:18:27.120 more of a,

00:18:27.920 let's say,

00:18:28.320 a common sense answer

00:18:29.420 that could be misleading.

00:18:31.100 All right?

00:18:31.400 So this is a comment

00:18:33.120 from a Twitter user,

00:18:34.360 AOCrazio.

00:18:37.500 It's a play on AOC.

00:18:39.620 All right.

00:18:40.260 And he or she

00:18:42.020 asked this question.

00:18:43.460 How often in the past

00:18:44.540 have players suffered

00:18:45.380 heart attacks

00:18:46.080 due to impact

00:18:47.460 to the chest?

00:18:49.300 How often

00:18:50.160 has it happened before?

00:18:52.240 Now,

00:18:52.700 the essence of the question

00:18:53.680 is,

00:18:54.160 if it had never

00:18:55.320 happened before,

00:18:56.240 and the only time

00:18:58.600 it's ever happened

00:18:59.460 is in the context

00:19:01.080 of vaccinations,

00:19:02.680 that means something,

00:19:04.200 doesn't it?

00:19:05.920 Agree or disagree?

00:19:07.980 In the comments,

00:19:09.940 some say no.

00:19:11.740 I say no.

00:19:12.460 I say yes.

00:19:13.140 I say no.

00:19:14.260 No.

00:19:15.380 How could you possibly

00:19:16.180 say no?

00:19:17.480 That means you understand

00:19:18.700 statistics,

00:19:19.680 basically.

00:19:20.540 Yeah.

00:19:21.260 So,

00:19:22.540 does it tell you

00:19:24.640 that maybe there's

00:19:25.480 something you should

00:19:26.180 look into?

00:19:27.440 Yes or no?

00:19:28.680 Does it tell you

00:19:29.360 that you should

00:19:30.040 look into it?

00:19:31.700 Solid yes.

00:19:33.420 The same way

00:19:34.160 you would look

00:19:34.520 at the VAERS reports.

00:19:36.600 The VAERS reports

00:19:37.560 looks like,

00:19:38.160 hey,

00:19:38.440 there's all these

00:19:38.920 scary things happening

00:19:39.820 that never happened before.

00:19:42.660 It's not a proof,

00:19:44.460 but you definitely

00:19:45.460 want to look into it.

00:19:47.460 It's a signal.

00:19:48.700 It's a flag.

00:19:50.420 But,

00:19:51.100 are there other reasons

00:19:52.120 you could be seeing

00:19:52.800 what you're seeing?

00:19:54.520 Let me give you

00:19:55.620 a little

00:19:56.200 statistical

00:19:57.540 lesson.

00:20:01.000 How many things

00:20:02.080 do you think

00:20:02.580 happened on Monday

00:20:03.380 night at that game

00:20:04.700 that had never

00:20:06.300 happened before?

00:20:09.380 Go.

00:20:10.340 Just the Monday

00:20:11.460 night football

00:20:11.980 where the guy

00:20:12.580 fell over.

00:20:14.260 Just that day.

00:20:15.360 Just that game.

00:20:16.600 How many things

00:20:17.300 happened that had

00:20:17.920 never happened before?

00:20:18.900 A lot.

00:20:22.860 The actual answer

00:20:24.220 is billions

00:20:25.040 or trillions

00:20:25.700 because literally

00:20:26.820 all of it

00:20:27.340 never happened

00:20:27.840 before.

00:20:28.700 How many people

00:20:29.560 in the stands

00:20:31.180 had never

00:20:32.040 been there before?

00:20:32.880 How many times

00:20:38.480 has that stadium

00:20:40.560 had a person

00:20:42.460 who believed

00:20:43.680 they could kill

00:20:44.440 people by their

00:20:45.320 stare

00:20:45.740 at the same

00:20:47.880 time somebody

00:20:48.500 fell over?

00:20:50.800 Wouldn't that

00:20:51.300 be weird?

00:20:52.380 You'd have to

00:20:52.900 look into that

00:20:53.420 person to see

00:20:53.940 if they really

00:20:54.340 had psychic

00:20:55.400 powers,

00:20:55.940 wouldn't you?

00:20:57.800 Wouldn't you?

00:20:58.960 Let's say you

00:20:59.700 knew that was

00:21:00.200 true.

00:21:00.900 There was

00:21:01.200 somebody there

00:21:01.660 who had claimed

00:21:02.260 in public

00:21:02.720 for years

00:21:03.280 that they

00:21:04.160 could kill

00:21:04.600 somebody with

00:21:05.160 their gaze

00:21:05.820 just by looking

00:21:07.380 at them.

00:21:08.280 And then on

00:21:08.800 the same day,

00:21:10.000 the only day

00:21:10.920 they ever went

00:21:11.540 to a game,

00:21:12.780 somebody fell

00:21:13.400 over.

00:21:15.320 Is that a

00:21:16.020 red flag?

00:21:17.540 Should you

00:21:17.960 look into it

00:21:18.540 to see if this

00:21:19.080 person has killed

00:21:19.800 others?

00:21:22.280 Now what does

00:21:23.220 your common sense

00:21:23.900 say?

00:21:24.980 So now your

00:21:25.680 common sense

00:21:26.240 is telling you

00:21:26.820 wait a minute,

00:21:27.900 it's rare and

00:21:28.820 there's an obvious

00:21:29.520 cause for why

00:21:30.500 it might have

00:21:30.900 happened.

00:21:31.200 But everything

00:21:34.320 that happened

00:21:34.940 that night

00:21:35.500 was probably

00:21:37.320 the first time

00:21:37.920 it ever

00:21:38.200 happened.

00:21:39.580 There are

00:21:40.140 things like

00:21:40.840 it,

00:21:41.820 things like

00:21:43.180 it,

00:21:43.620 but that game

00:21:44.340 had never

00:21:44.680 happened before.

00:21:46.340 Those people

00:21:46.960 had never been

00:21:47.560 there on that

00:21:48.100 day.

00:21:49.260 Those people

00:21:50.060 had never been

00:21:50.680 there on the

00:21:51.320 age they were

00:21:52.080 that day.

00:21:53.180 Every single

00:21:54.100 thing about it

00:21:54.840 was for the

00:21:55.660 first time.

00:21:57.000 So we live

00:21:58.080 in a world

00:21:58.500 where everything

00:21:59.860 just continually

00:22:02.240 is super

00:22:03.260 unlikely.

00:22:05.820 Super

00:22:06.400 unlikely.

00:22:07.800 What are

00:22:08.040 the odds

00:22:08.520 that one

00:22:11.160 of the most

00:22:11.640 prominent voices

00:22:12.960 on the

00:22:14.660 pandemic

00:22:15.160 would be a

00:22:16.540 cartoonist?

00:22:19.100 All right.

00:22:19.480 I mean,

00:22:19.700 literally everything

00:22:20.660 is unlikely.

00:22:21.900 What were the

00:22:22.380 odds that I

00:22:22.920 would predict

00:22:23.580 that Trump

00:22:24.540 would win in

00:22:25.860 2016 and be

00:22:26.880 right?

00:22:28.000 I don't know.

00:22:28.640 Everything's

00:22:29.060 unlikely.

00:22:30.360 So the

00:22:31.140 thing that you

00:22:32.200 have to

00:22:32.560 grapple with

00:22:33.420 is that while

00:22:34.600 something could

00:22:35.200 definitely be a

00:22:35.860 signal that you

00:22:36.480 should look into

00:22:37.060 it, and this

00:22:37.880 is, it doesn't

00:22:39.820 really tell you

00:22:40.320 that much about

00:22:40.960 how likely it

00:22:41.580 was.

00:22:42.800 They're a little

00:22:43.400 bit disconnected.

00:22:45.060 The common

00:22:45.640 sense says you

00:22:46.360 need to look

00:22:46.800 into it, but

00:22:47.500 the statistical

00:22:48.720 part of you

00:22:49.680 says, I

00:22:51.320 don't know,

00:22:51.740 could be

00:22:52.000 anything.

00:22:52.840 Could be

00:22:53.200 anything.

00:22:54.120 But we would

00:22:55.380 agree that

00:22:55.800 whatever it is,

00:22:56.620 it's the

00:22:56.960 first time

00:22:57.380 it happened.

00:22:59.300 So let

00:23:00.180 me reverse

00:23:01.800 the question.

00:23:03.520 What are

00:23:04.100 the odds

00:23:04.620 that if

00:23:06.740 the vaccination

00:23:07.520 is killing

00:23:08.360 young people

00:23:09.000 when they

00:23:09.440 get hit

00:23:09.940 by, you

00:23:12.020 know, a

00:23:12.240 football hit,

00:23:13.080 what are

00:23:13.400 the odds

00:23:13.700 we wouldn't

00:23:14.120 have seen

00:23:14.460 it before?

00:23:15.560 Because they're

00:23:16.220 all vaccinated,

00:23:17.800 they're all

00:23:18.240 young, and

00:23:19.660 they're all

00:23:19.980 getting hit

00:23:20.440 hard.

00:23:21.780 We wouldn't

00:23:22.500 have seen

00:23:22.820 even one

00:23:23.540 case until

00:23:24.560 now.

00:23:24.900 because every

00:23:28.820 situation is

00:23:29.820 hugely unlikely.

00:23:31.760 So it

00:23:32.040 would be

00:23:32.320 accurate to

00:23:32.960 say, how

00:23:33.460 likely is it

00:23:34.380 that we

00:23:35.060 suspect the

00:23:35.900 vaccines,

00:23:37.280 so-called

00:23:37.860 vaccines, of

00:23:38.860 exactly this

00:23:39.760 problem, and

00:23:41.260 then we've

00:23:41.680 never seen

00:23:42.380 exactly this

00:23:43.240 problem, and

00:23:44.720 then we have

00:23:45.200 exactly this

00:23:46.040 problem.

00:23:47.520 Your common

00:23:48.280 sense says

00:23:48.880 that's got to

00:23:49.440 be connected.

00:23:49.980 vaccinated, but

00:23:52.840 when was the

00:23:53.380 last time we

00:23:54.840 saw anybody

00:23:55.760 die, or

00:23:57.160 almost die?

00:23:58.860 I mean, his

00:23:59.220 heart stopped,

00:23:59.760 that's pretty

00:24:00.080 close to being

00:24:00.620 dead.

00:24:02.180 Have we

00:24:02.760 ever seen

00:24:03.140 anybody

00:24:03.480 vaccinated who

00:24:05.540 was taken

00:24:06.180 out by a

00:24:06.680 hit?

00:24:07.800 Never.

00:24:09.080 So whatever

00:24:09.840 this turns out

00:24:10.640 to be, it'll

00:24:11.160 be the first

00:24:11.640 time, right?

00:24:14.600 If it's a

00:24:15.360 vaccine injury,

00:24:16.340 it will be the

00:24:16.920 first time

00:24:17.580 after all

00:24:19.120 these football

00:24:19.680 games and

00:24:20.260 all these

00:24:20.600 practice hits

00:24:21.740 and game

00:24:22.180 hits, it'll

00:24:22.520 be the first

00:24:22.920 time.

00:24:24.260 And if it's

00:24:25.720 something

00:24:26.180 completely

00:24:26.860 unrelated to

00:24:27.640 the vaccination,

00:24:28.880 it will also

00:24:30.120 be the first

00:24:30.600 time.

00:24:32.480 Do you

00:24:33.120 think you

00:24:33.440 could estimate

00:24:33.920 the odds

00:24:34.540 of either

00:24:36.080 of those

00:24:36.440 first times?

00:24:38.200 Which one's

00:24:38.800 more likely,

00:24:40.460 given that

00:24:40.940 neither of

00:24:41.560 them have

00:24:41.820 ever happened?

00:24:43.340 How do

00:24:43.880 you estimate

00:24:44.280 the odds of

00:24:44.800 something that's

00:24:45.300 never happened

00:24:46.140 before?

00:24:46.920 Because every

00:24:48.000 path is a

00:24:49.420 never happened.

00:24:52.640 Right?

00:24:54.520 They're all

00:24:55.200 never happens.

00:24:56.560 So if you

00:24:57.020 thought one of

00:24:57.560 them is a

00:24:57.940 never happened,

00:24:59.200 but the other

00:24:59.740 is sort of

00:25:00.180 more ordinary?

00:25:01.580 Now, people

00:25:02.220 tried to game

00:25:03.020 that by telling

00:25:05.180 me, but

00:25:05.920 Scott, it

00:25:07.060 does happen

00:25:07.700 all the time.

00:25:09.020 Because there

00:25:09.480 are these

00:25:09.940 videos of

00:25:12.400 all the

00:25:12.620 athletes falling

00:25:13.340 over, which

00:25:14.360 we just talked

00:25:14.980 about were

00:25:15.540 already debunked.

00:25:16.920 So if

00:25:18.040 your

00:25:18.240 confirmation

00:25:18.840 bias says,

00:25:21.100 I'm pretty

00:25:21.580 sure Dr.

00:25:22.580 Malone and

00:25:23.260 Dr.

00:25:24.100 McCullough got

00:25:24.640 this right and

00:25:25.380 these vaccinations

00:25:26.060 are dangerous,

00:25:26.860 especially for

00:25:27.420 young men,

00:25:28.420 it's got to

00:25:29.020 be this.

00:25:30.560 Could be.

00:25:32.240 Could be.

00:25:34.640 Dr.

00:25:37.000 Drew tweeted

00:25:38.000 MNF first

00:25:39.240 time?

00:25:39.620 What's MNF?

00:25:40.300 And let me

00:25:43.900 acknowledge,

00:25:44.600 let me

00:25:45.080 acknowledge that

00:25:46.300 the hit looked

00:25:47.140 normal to

00:25:48.720 people who

00:25:49.300 believe the

00:25:50.020 vaccination killed

00:25:50.920 them, and

00:25:52.200 to people who

00:25:52.800 don't necessarily

00:25:53.720 think the

00:25:54.180 vaccination was

00:25:55.120 the cause,

00:25:55.960 could have

00:25:56.180 been.

00:25:57.200 To us, I

00:25:58.160 think, many

00:25:58.740 of us, it

00:25:59.180 looked like an

00:25:59.780 extremely hard

00:26:00.540 hit.

00:26:01.880 Now, did I

00:26:05.860 say that my

00:26:06.480 point of view

00:26:07.120 should have a

00:26:08.600 higher priority

00:26:09.380 or more

00:26:09.880 credibility than

00:26:10.780 your point of

00:26:11.440 view, where

00:26:12.240 you say it

00:26:12.660 looked like an

00:26:13.100 average hit, or

00:26:14.280 at least

00:26:14.480 normal-ish?

00:26:15.880 Whose point of

00:26:16.800 view should you

00:26:17.420 value greater?

00:26:20.260 Neither.

00:26:21.720 It's sort of a

00:26:22.640 tie, because we

00:26:24.080 both have

00:26:24.540 triggers for

00:26:25.320 cognitive

00:26:26.440 distance or

00:26:27.100 confirmation bias,

00:26:28.040 both, and

00:26:29.540 under those

00:26:30.820 conditions, you

00:26:31.500 should trust

00:26:32.080 neither of us.

00:26:33.980 That would be

00:26:34.420 the best take.

00:26:35.640 Now, here's who

00:26:36.380 I would trust.

00:26:36.960 If the

00:26:38.680 football players

00:26:39.420 themselves, having

00:26:41.200 had some time to

00:26:41.960 look at the

00:26:42.360 video, if

00:26:43.500 football players

00:26:44.400 say that was a

00:26:45.540 hard hit, I

00:26:46.920 would be

00:26:47.460 influenced by

00:26:48.420 that.

00:26:48.920 Would you?

00:26:50.260 Do you think

00:26:51.360 you would change

00:26:51.880 your mind if

00:26:53.180 the actual

00:26:53.540 players said,

00:26:54.560 yeah, that

00:26:54.880 was unusual?

00:26:57.240 I'm not saying

00:26:58.100 they will, because

00:26:59.100 they might want

00:27:00.100 to project some

00:27:01.460 toughness, and

00:27:03.040 also, maybe it

00:27:03.820 wasn't.

00:27:04.200 Maybe it wasn't

00:27:04.820 unusual.

00:27:05.200 I'm going to

00:27:08.600 say unusually

00:27:09.260 hard, whatever

00:27:11.080 that means to

00:27:11.660 you.

00:27:12.280 All right.

00:27:14.000 Enough about

00:27:14.760 that.

00:27:17.320 Did I mention

00:27:18.200 that Dr.

00:27:18.880 Peter McCullough

00:27:19.600 has blocked me

00:27:20.580 on Twitter?

00:27:22.900 He blocked me

00:27:23.820 on Twitter.

00:27:24.640 Now, I think

00:27:25.200 that was a good

00:27:25.680 block.

00:27:26.980 I actually

00:27:28.580 support that

00:27:29.320 block.

00:27:29.700 that has, and

00:27:32.640 it's not

00:27:32.980 because I think

00:27:33.880 that the things

00:27:34.420 I've said are

00:27:34.980 inappropriate, it's

00:27:36.980 just that I've

00:27:37.520 been a critic of

00:27:38.220 his, and if he

00:27:39.620 doesn't want to

00:27:40.160 listen to it, I

00:27:41.840 totally support him

00:27:42.760 blocking me.

00:27:44.200 So some blocks

00:27:45.200 just make sense,

00:27:46.600 like you just

00:27:47.140 don't need to see

00:27:47.760 it.

00:27:48.220 And he didn't

00:27:48.760 need to see me.

00:27:50.560 I'm sure I was

00:27:51.420 saying things other

00:27:52.160 people might have

00:27:52.780 been saying, you

00:27:53.340 know, there's

00:27:53.680 nothing special

00:27:54.740 about my

00:27:55.320 commentary.

00:27:56.440 So if he

00:27:57.060 blocked me, I

00:27:57.620 support it.

00:27:58.100 He did block

00:27:58.840 me, and I

00:27:59.480 do support

00:28:00.160 his block.

00:28:01.160 But I did

00:28:01.560 go, you know, I

00:28:02.740 went through an

00:28:03.560 anonymous page and

00:28:05.020 checked out what

00:28:06.120 he had to say.

00:28:07.200 I didn't realize

00:28:08.020 that he was

00:28:10.460 terminated as

00:28:11.380 editor-in-chief of

00:28:12.540 his cardio-renal

00:28:13.840 medicine and

00:28:15.060 reviews, some

00:28:16.360 kind of magazine,

00:28:17.480 because they

00:28:18.580 didn't like his

00:28:19.120 COVID commentary.

00:28:21.140 He was stripped

00:28:21.720 of his board

00:28:22.460 certifications.

00:28:23.620 This is directly

00:28:24.280 from him, by the

00:28:24.960 way.

00:28:25.860 Stripped of his

00:28:26.680 board certifications

00:28:27.660 in internal

00:28:28.340 medicine and

00:28:28.960 cardiology, and

00:28:30.940 he points out

00:28:31.560 that this was

00:28:32.040 after decades of

00:28:33.040 perfect clinical

00:28:34.040 performance, board

00:28:35.700 scores, and

00:28:36.780 hundreds of

00:28:37.340 peer-reviewed

00:28:38.000 publications.

00:28:39.260 So let's give

00:28:39.960 him his due.

00:28:40.740 He's a seriously

00:28:42.240 accomplished person.

00:28:44.400 And he says,

00:28:45.260 none of this will

00:28:45.780 stop until there's

00:28:46.580 a needle in every

00:28:47.280 arm.

00:28:50.960 So let me say

00:28:52.860 this about that.

00:28:53.840 I asked this

00:28:56.220 question on

00:28:56.780 Locals before I

00:28:58.200 turned on YouTube,

00:28:59.360 but maybe somebody

00:29:00.040 on YouTube knows.

00:29:01.160 Now, don't confuse

00:29:01.960 him with Dr.

00:29:02.600 Malone, because I

00:29:04.160 think some of us do

00:29:04.980 that, you know,

00:29:05.860 the prominent

00:29:06.840 doctors who are

00:29:08.400 skeptical of

00:29:09.020 vaccinations.

00:29:10.200 But Dr.

00:29:11.560 Malone is

00:29:11.980 vaccinated.

00:29:13.800 He wouldn't do

00:29:14.600 it now.

00:29:15.480 But is that the

00:29:16.340 same for

00:29:16.680 McAuliffe?

00:29:18.220 Does anybody

00:29:19.020 know for sure if

00:29:19.840 Dr.

00:29:20.220 McAuliffe has got

00:29:21.300 the original

00:29:21.880 vaccinations, or

00:29:23.760 did he say no

00:29:26.040 to it from the

00:29:26.680 start?

00:29:28.960 I think your

00:29:29.940 answers are

00:29:30.400 probably conflating

00:29:31.100 Dr.

00:29:31.560 Malone with

00:29:32.080 him.

00:29:35.480 If you have

00:29:36.420 a source for

00:29:37.460 that, could

00:29:37.820 you send it to

00:29:38.400 me?

00:29:41.280 Oh, mandated

00:29:42.300 because he was

00:29:44.400 practicing medicine?

00:29:47.220 I don't know.

00:29:48.160 Was he seeing

00:29:48.660 patients?

00:29:49.160 he was actively

00:29:52.040 practicing, was

00:29:53.160 he?

00:29:53.840 I don't know if

00:29:54.360 he was actively

00:29:54.900 practicing.

00:29:56.420 So it's

00:29:57.180 interesting that we

00:29:57.860 don't know the

00:29:58.320 answer to that,

00:29:58.860 isn't it?

00:30:00.820 Don't you find it

00:30:01.740 fascinating that you

00:30:02.380 don't know the

00:30:02.820 answer to that?

00:30:04.500 Because now I

00:30:06.540 know of two

00:30:07.200 vaccine-skeptical

00:30:08.840 doctors who both

00:30:09.760 got vaccinated.

00:30:12.200 And that should

00:30:12.940 tell you that in

00:30:14.460 the fog-of-war

00:30:15.820 period, people

00:30:17.660 were making

00:30:18.080 decisions that

00:30:18.840 would be

00:30:19.100 different than

00:30:20.640 after the virus

00:30:22.080 mutated and

00:30:22.860 after we knew

00:30:23.400 more about it

00:30:24.140 and all that.

00:30:28.140 All right.

00:30:33.160 What else is

00:30:33.980 happening?

00:30:35.100 All right.

00:30:35.720 I have a solution

00:30:37.000 for fixing

00:30:37.580 everything in

00:30:38.540 health care.

00:30:39.460 I think you're

00:30:40.300 going to like

00:30:40.560 this.

00:30:41.520 This is actually

00:30:42.440 like a seriously

00:30:43.380 good suggestion.

00:30:44.840 Totally practical,

00:30:45.780 totally doable.

00:30:49.180 This is my, I'm

00:30:50.440 going to predict

00:30:51.000 that you will

00:30:51.780 like this idea

00:30:52.840 better than

00:30:54.000 anything I've

00:30:54.880 ever suggested.

00:30:56.840 I'm like building

00:30:57.700 it up so like I

00:30:58.820 have a high bar

00:30:59.440 to cross.

00:31:00.380 You will like

00:31:01.020 this suggestion

00:31:01.840 better than

00:31:03.240 anything I've

00:31:04.120 ever suggested

00:31:04.800 in any domain.

00:31:06.100 Are you ready

00:31:06.420 for this?

00:31:06.820 your doctor

00:31:10.700 should be able

00:31:11.500 to refer you

00:31:13.440 to researchers

00:31:15.800 whose only job

00:31:17.540 is to tell you

00:31:18.640 if the medicine

00:31:20.340 or prescribed

00:31:21.480 treatment makes

00:31:23.960 sense based on

00:31:25.060 the science or

00:31:25.820 not.

00:31:27.340 Because your

00:31:28.020 doctor's not

00:31:28.620 going to do

00:31:28.980 that.

00:31:29.800 You would like

00:31:30.520 your doctor to

00:31:31.100 do that, but as

00:31:31.760 a practical matter

00:31:32.620 they can't really

00:31:33.260 keep up with

00:31:33.860 every study.

00:31:35.320 You can't really

00:31:36.400 expect that.

00:31:37.380 So they can't

00:31:37.900 keep up with

00:31:38.340 every study.

00:31:39.460 And they're also

00:31:40.000 not experts at

00:31:40.900 looking at studies.

00:31:42.880 And they might

00:31:43.700 not be experts

00:31:44.380 on knowing who

00:31:44.940 funded the study.

00:31:46.800 They might not

00:31:47.400 know the track

00:31:48.040 record of whoever

00:31:49.140 performed the

00:31:50.680 study.

00:31:51.500 They might not

00:31:52.340 know if a paper

00:31:53.140 had been recalled.

00:31:54.980 They might not

00:31:55.620 know if a paper

00:31:56.500 said, there's

00:31:58.060 one paper that

00:31:58.660 says one thing

00:31:59.300 but maybe two

00:32:00.540 papers that said

00:32:01.520 the other.

00:32:01.880 So here's

00:32:03.120 what we need

00:32:03.600 in the United

00:32:04.080 States.

00:32:05.080 We need a

00:32:05.620 separate profession

00:32:06.920 from the

00:32:08.420 medical doctors

00:32:09.240 that work

00:32:10.240 closely with

00:32:11.000 the doctors

00:32:11.500 but independently.

00:32:13.380 So you want

00:32:14.240 a situation

00:32:14.760 where your

00:32:15.200 doctor can

00:32:15.680 say, I

00:32:16.520 recommend this

00:32:17.320 medicine and

00:32:18.780 I also recommend

00:32:19.700 that you get a

00:32:20.500 second opinion

00:32:21.140 from a non-doctor

00:32:22.840 who's, you know,

00:32:23.540 this person who's

00:32:24.220 good at looking

00:32:24.740 at studies.

00:32:26.160 Then let's say

00:32:26.900 the person who

00:32:28.080 looks at the

00:32:28.480 study says, yes,

00:32:30.200 you know, I see

00:32:30.860 no reason

00:32:31.460 to overrule the

00:32:33.180 doctor.

00:32:34.080 Now you've got

00:32:35.100 a little more

00:32:35.540 comfort, right?

00:32:36.600 But suppose the

00:32:38.320 researcher says, you

00:32:39.160 know what, your

00:32:39.800 doctor is unaware

00:32:40.620 that there's new

00:32:41.880 research.

00:32:42.960 So I would say be

00:32:44.100 careful about that.

00:32:45.400 Now you don't want

00:32:46.140 the researcher to

00:32:47.700 give you medical

00:32:48.500 advice, right?

00:32:50.540 But if they give

00:32:51.460 you contrary

00:32:52.580 advice, you can

00:32:54.040 take that back to

00:32:54.760 your doctor and

00:32:56.020 your doctor can

00:32:56.720 look at the same

00:32:57.380 link and say, oh,

00:32:58.400 wow, I'm influenced

00:33:00.460 by that.

00:33:01.660 The last I knew,

00:33:02.680 this was a good

00:33:03.300 idea, but it's a

00:33:04.600 good thing we have

00:33:05.220 this new system

00:33:06.040 where you can get

00:33:07.240 an independent

00:33:07.840 non-medical view of

00:33:09.320 just the research.

00:33:11.320 And now that

00:33:12.140 that person has

00:33:13.040 told me, well, I'm

00:33:14.500 not the expert in

00:33:15.220 research, so I'm

00:33:16.600 going to trust the

00:33:17.260 person I recommended

00:33:18.320 to do it.

00:33:19.740 And then they

00:33:20.460 change their...

00:33:21.400 All right, you

00:33:21.840 tell me.

00:33:23.360 Best idea I've

00:33:24.260 ever had?

00:33:25.340 Go.

00:33:25.740 Best idea I've

00:33:28.500 ever had.

00:33:30.160 No doubt about

00:33:30.920 it.

00:33:33.380 You're saying no.

00:33:36.320 What do you mean?

00:33:37.100 Are you saying that

00:33:37.720 I had some other

00:33:38.260 better idea?

00:33:40.140 Or you don't think

00:33:41.180 this one was a good

00:33:41.900 idea?

00:33:42.240 I guess I'm asking

00:33:42.940 the question wrong.

00:33:44.460 I shouldn't be

00:33:45.280 asking you if it's

00:33:46.020 my best idea.

00:33:47.620 I should be asking

00:33:48.360 you if it's a good

00:33:49.000 idea.

00:33:49.860 So let's change the

00:33:51.200 question, right?

00:33:53.200 Is it a good idea?

00:33:54.280 Okay, that's a

00:33:57.760 different answer.

00:33:58.740 Well, I guess I'm

00:33:59.560 happy that you

00:34:00.100 disagreed with me

00:34:00.960 because I would

00:34:01.700 suggest that you

00:34:02.300 think I had even

00:34:03.120 better ideas.

00:34:04.140 If I had a better

00:34:04.980 idea than this one,

00:34:06.420 that would be a

00:34:07.340 pretty good idea,

00:34:08.120 but I don't know.

00:34:09.240 I mean, I can't

00:34:09.800 think of one.

00:34:12.900 Yeah, all right,

00:34:13.640 so we won't say

00:34:14.260 best, but there's

00:34:17.200 nothing wrong with

00:34:18.040 this idea, right?

00:34:21.200 Would you agree

00:34:21.920 there's literally

00:34:22.700 nothing wrong with

00:34:23.760 the idea?

00:34:24.280 And it's

00:34:24.700 practical.

00:34:25.680 It's something you

00:34:26.380 totally do.

00:34:28.020 You could start

00:34:28.980 this business as a

00:34:29.980 startup tomorrow,

00:34:32.180 couldn't you?

00:34:33.500 This could be a

00:34:34.380 startup tomorrow.

00:34:36.940 And if I knew

00:34:37.800 that it existed,

00:34:39.080 would I use it?

00:34:40.720 That's a fucking,

00:34:42.000 I'm sorry,

00:34:42.920 absolutely.

00:34:44.820 All right, let me

00:34:45.300 ask you this question.

00:34:46.320 If that business

00:34:47.100 existed, and the

00:34:48.880 only thing you had

00:34:49.460 to do to access it

00:34:50.460 was say, go to a

00:34:51.880 website, and say,

00:34:53.600 hey, here's my

00:34:54.660 doctor's recommendation,

00:34:55.980 here's my symptoms,

00:34:57.220 do the research.

00:34:59.560 And then they give

00:35:00.340 you an answer, and

00:35:01.480 you can take it to

00:35:02.200 your doctor or not

00:35:02.980 take it to your

00:35:03.520 doctor, that's just

00:35:04.200 up to you.

00:35:05.260 And let's say they

00:35:06.180 charged $100,

00:35:11.060 and insurance didn't

00:35:12.860 cover it, at least

00:35:13.620 initially.

00:35:14.120 I can see that they

00:35:15.960 would cover it, but

00:35:16.980 not initially.

00:35:18.640 Would you pay $100

00:35:19.640 to make sure that

00:35:22.120 the drug your doctor

00:35:23.120 told you to take

00:35:23.900 forever, because a

00:35:25.740 lot of the drugs are

00:35:26.420 forever drugs, would

00:35:27.800 you pay $100 to find

00:35:29.980 out if a forever drug

00:35:31.440 was really a good

00:35:32.340 idea?

00:35:33.460 I sure would.

00:35:36.000 Relative to the

00:35:37.580 effects of your

00:35:38.300 entire life, $100 is

00:35:39.780 pretty cheap.

00:35:40.960 Now, I don't know

00:35:42.520 if you could get it

00:35:43.220 for $100, because it

00:35:44.520 might require a human

00:35:46.240 to do more than $100

00:35:47.220 of research.

00:35:48.300 But, here's the

00:35:49.420 cool part.

00:35:50.760 Once the humans have

00:35:51.800 done the more than

00:35:53.160 $100 worth of research

00:35:54.800 on a drug, then they

00:35:56.560 have it for the next

00:35:57.320 time.

00:35:58.720 So the next person

00:35:59.560 who asks, hey, how

00:36:00.760 about my blood

00:36:01.400 pressure meds, that's

00:36:03.320 already packaged.

00:36:04.200 They're like, oh, we

00:36:05.000 looked into it.

00:36:06.220 Here's your answer.

00:36:07.440 We'll check just to

00:36:08.440 see if anything new

00:36:09.160 happened since we

00:36:09.880 looked into it.

00:36:10.840 But if nothing new

00:36:11.700 happened, that's five

00:36:13.440 minutes, and then you

00:36:15.260 get your $100 in five

00:36:16.380 minutes.

00:36:17.140 So your initial

00:36:18.620 experience for this

00:36:20.380 hypothetical company

00:36:21.660 might be it takes a

00:36:23.140 while and they lose

00:36:23.900 money.

00:36:24.620 But once they've

00:36:25.260 packaged up all the

00:36:26.860 main drugs and they

00:36:28.600 can give you an

00:36:29.140 opinion on them, then

00:36:30.460 it's $100 for five

00:36:32.280 minutes' work.

00:36:34.660 All right.

00:36:36.320 Biggest problem in the

00:36:37.160 world.

00:36:37.420 Just solved.

00:36:37.880 I asked people on

00:36:41.040 Twitter if they had a

00:36:42.680 choice, would they

00:36:43.880 believe the

00:36:44.260 recommendation of the

00:36:45.340 doctor about a

00:36:46.700 specific treatment or

00:36:48.300 somebody who was really

00:36:49.180 good at spotting

00:36:49.840 bullshit?

00:36:50.880 And there were more

00:36:51.760 people who said they

00:36:52.620 trust the person who's

00:36:53.500 good at spotting BS.

00:36:56.120 And I would, too.

00:36:57.860 I would, too.

00:36:58.920 So I agree with them.

00:37:01.560 All right.

00:37:01.980 I'm going to call this

00:37:04.640 next segment Internet

00:37:06.060 Dads to the Rescue.

00:37:08.880 I've been telling you

00:37:09.780 for a while now that

00:37:11.340 there's a thing forming

00:37:12.580 that's like, it's almost

00:37:15.360 like an adjunct to the

00:37:17.520 republic or the

00:37:19.320 constitution.

00:37:20.400 Sort of not part of the

00:37:22.020 constitution.

00:37:23.000 And it's the Internet

00:37:23.640 Dads.

00:37:24.320 Basically, credible voices.

00:37:26.180 They don't have to be all

00:37:26.960 male.

00:37:27.220 But you can say

00:37:29.740 Internet parents if you

00:37:30.640 want.

00:37:33.560 And that they would

00:37:34.600 reach a level of

00:37:35.460 influence that people

00:37:37.580 would check with them

00:37:38.600 just to check their own

00:37:39.920 thinking.

00:37:41.820 And here's the perfect

00:37:42.620 example.

00:37:43.760 So 60 Minutes runs this

00:37:45.120 interview with this

00:37:46.040 Paul Ehrlich, who wrote

00:37:49.380 a book called The

00:37:50.440 Population Bomb back in

00:37:52.680 the late 60s or 70s or

00:37:54.580 something.

00:37:55.420 And that influenced

00:37:56.920 probably a lot of

00:37:59.040 environmental decisions

00:38:00.480 and probably had some

00:38:02.280 maybe good and maybe

00:38:04.760 worse impacts.

00:38:06.880 Now, if people were to

00:38:09.320 believe Paul Ehrlich,

00:38:11.280 they would think, my

00:38:12.580 God, we're in trouble.

00:38:13.780 The whole world can't

00:38:15.280 support us.

00:38:16.300 We're going to have to

00:38:16.880 kill people intentionally

00:38:17.960 to have a chance of

00:38:19.660 survival.

00:38:20.220 I mean, just horrible

00:38:20.780 things.

00:38:21.920 But as soon as that 60

00:38:23.220 Minutes interview came

00:38:24.540 out, which has now

00:38:26.680 blessed by a famed news

00:38:29.900 organization, 60 Minutes

00:38:31.740 and also CBS.

00:38:33.940 But that takes a lot of

00:38:35.380 – if you see something on

00:38:37.160 60 Minutes, that's going to

00:38:39.500 take a lot of firepower for

00:38:41.920 anybody to say you should

00:38:43.020 ignore it.

00:38:44.240 Right?

00:38:45.200 But look at the firepower

00:38:46.460 that was immediately applied

00:38:49.640 applied to this.

00:38:52.160 Almost immediately, you had

00:38:54.160 Jordan Peterson calling

00:38:55.960 bullshit on it and saying

00:38:57.200 that this guy is like the

00:38:58.840 worst thing that ever

00:38:59.580 happened.

00:39:00.940 Now, how valuable is that

00:39:02.400 when Jordan Peterson

00:39:03.900 pulls no punches?

00:39:05.760 Basically, he just says,

00:39:06.740 this guy's bullshit, don't

00:39:07.700 listen to anything he says,

00:39:09.080 he's been wrong about

00:39:09.960 everything forever.

00:39:10.640 How useful is that for

00:39:12.780 society?

00:39:14.420 Super.

00:39:15.960 Because Peterson is smart

00:39:18.440 enough and credible enough

00:39:19.740 that his opinion influences

00:39:22.120 yours.

00:39:23.640 Right?

00:39:23.920 That is so useful.

00:39:26.080 Who else weighed in?

00:39:28.480 Elon Musk.

00:39:30.700 Elon Musk said directly,

00:39:33.060 his population bomb book

00:39:34.820 might be the most damaging

00:39:36.580 anti-human thing ever written.

00:39:38.500 When Elon Musk calls

00:39:41.160 bullshit on somebody,

00:39:43.200 people listen.

00:39:44.680 Right?

00:39:45.400 I'm not saying everybody

00:39:46.420 believes everybody, but

00:39:47.420 you listen to that.

00:39:49.460 And then who else?

00:39:50.920 Michael Schellenberger,

00:39:52.440 long thread, calling

00:39:53.700 bullshit on him.

00:39:55.240 There you go.

00:39:55.960 Perfect.

00:39:57.000 Now, Schellenberger brings

00:39:58.260 not just the criticism,

00:40:00.340 but he brings a detailed

00:40:01.740 analysis of all the things

00:40:03.760 he said and how wrong

00:40:05.000 they were.

00:40:05.960 How useful is that?

00:40:07.100 I mean, talk about

00:40:09.220 a treasure.

00:40:10.740 Talk about a service

00:40:12.120 to the country.

00:40:13.720 That's useful.

00:40:18.160 How about Alex Epstein?

00:40:21.600 Also did a long thread,

00:40:23.420 called out all of the

00:40:25.000 problems that Ehrlich

00:40:26.020 has had.

00:40:27.260 Perfectly documented.

00:40:28.660 Check your sources.

00:40:29.940 How useful is that?

00:40:31.840 Like, super useful.

00:40:32.920 And that's just four.

00:40:38.380 Right?

00:40:38.760 Now, I consider myself

00:40:40.260 somewhat accidentally

00:40:42.160 in the internet dad

00:40:43.320 category,

00:40:44.100 on some topics anyway.

00:40:45.660 And I simply boost

00:40:47.780 the four people that I

00:40:50.000 mentioned.

00:40:50.460 I boosted all of their

00:40:51.400 signal.

00:40:52.660 So my 820,000 followers

00:40:56.620 get a little extra boost.

00:40:58.760 So, I feel like Ehrlich's

00:41:02.480 influence was greatly

00:41:06.940 reduced, at least for

00:41:08.840 people who use social

00:41:09.660 media in a certain way,

00:41:10.880 by the fact that these

00:41:12.260 internet dads immediately

00:41:13.480 just trained all of their

00:41:15.720 firepower on this guy.

00:41:17.540 I mean, it was immediate,

00:41:18.940 it was brutal, and it was

00:41:21.780 right.

00:41:23.580 But what did the news do?

00:41:25.720 How did the professional

00:41:26.820 news?

00:41:27.580 Well, first of all, CBS

00:41:28.700 aired the thing,

00:41:29.780 apparently, without much

00:41:30.880 criticism.

00:41:32.200 How about the other

00:41:33.200 news organizations?

00:41:39.100 Oh, Internet Big Brothers

00:41:40.320 and Sisters, you would say?

00:41:48.320 Yeah.

00:41:49.760 Yeah, it was just another

00:41:51.000 Malthusian prediction.

00:41:53.020 That's true.

00:41:53.380 All right.

00:41:55.080 So I like how that

00:41:57.360 developed.

00:41:58.800 All right.

00:41:59.320 I'm going to give you a

00:42:00.160 little lesson on strategy

00:42:02.760 and defamation.

00:42:06.620 I'm going to use idiot

00:42:07.640 cartoonist Ben Garrison as

00:42:09.940 my whipping boy to make my

00:42:12.060 example.

00:42:13.200 All right.

00:42:13.600 So this situation has more

00:42:16.800 to do with me than you,

00:42:18.420 but I'm going to try to make

00:42:20.080 it useful to you by teaching

00:42:22.380 you something about

00:42:23.060 defamation that you

00:42:23.920 didn't know.

00:42:24.960 Okay?

00:42:25.800 So to prove defamation,

00:42:27.400 what we're talking about is

00:42:28.440 his comic strip that was

00:42:29.860 widely, it was pretty

00:42:32.280 viral, and suggests that

00:42:35.620 Dr. Fauci hypnotized me

00:42:37.480 into getting multiple

00:42:40.680 vaccinations.

00:42:42.320 I've got three needles in my

00:42:44.000 arm, and I seem to be

00:42:46.020 insisting that you take the

00:42:48.900 vaccinations because science

00:42:50.380 says so.

00:42:51.740 Now, since that's the

00:42:52.980 opposite of my view, my view

00:42:55.720 was always clearly and

00:42:57.640 loudly and publicly, do not

00:43:00.660 take any, you know, don't

00:43:03.560 take any medical advice from

00:43:04.900 me, number one, but also

00:43:06.740 that I didn't trust any data

00:43:10.080 about the vaccinations.

00:43:12.120 So it's literally the

00:43:13.800 opposite of my frequent public

00:43:16.340 statements that you should not

00:43:18.160 trust any of the science.

00:43:20.420 So the way he represented me is

00:43:22.220 the person who trusts all of

00:43:23.480 the science.

00:43:24.440 Literally the opposite.

00:43:26.180 Now, I ran a poll and asked how

00:43:28.520 many people would either stop

00:43:30.040 following me, did stop following

00:43:32.160 me, or would no longer buy, let's

00:43:35.020 say, a Dilbert calendar or a book

00:43:36.480 or something.

00:43:37.700 It was like 46% of the people

00:43:39.440 answered, said that they had a

00:43:41.720 negative view of me because of my,

00:43:43.940 it turns out, their false beliefs

00:43:45.640 about what I believed, and it

00:43:48.220 devastated my income stream.

00:43:50.840 Probably took a third of it off

00:43:52.420 because you count the live stream

00:43:54.980 audience shrunk by about that

00:43:56.560 amount.

00:43:57.640 And then, I haven't checked yet,

00:43:58.860 but I'm sure if I check my

00:43:59.840 calendar sales, you'll see that

00:44:01.740 they sold at, you know, roughly

00:44:03.540 a similar rate every year, but my

00:44:06.360 guess is that this year it fell

00:44:07.700 off a cliff.

00:44:09.640 It's, you know, easy to check.

00:44:10.960 I'll check it later today.

00:44:11.840 So, it's very clear that the rumor

00:44:17.060 about my opinion that was incorrect

00:44:19.420 that he boosted affected my business.

00:44:24.180 Now, you might know that it's almost

00:44:26.900 impossible to prove defamation because

00:44:30.560 here's what you have to prove.

00:44:32.000 This is a pretty high standard, and it

00:44:33.420 should be.

00:44:34.680 So, the five elements of defamation,

00:44:36.480 there might be some state differences,

00:44:37.800 but five elements.

00:44:40.940 Publication of the information.

00:44:42.720 So, the first thing, it has to be

00:44:44.120 published.

00:44:45.540 Correct.

00:44:46.320 All right.

00:44:46.560 So, it was published.

00:44:48.320 Second thing, the person being defamed,

00:44:50.520 me, was identified by the statement.

00:44:53.800 Yes, I'm identified by name and

00:44:55.780 picture in the comic.

00:44:57.880 Number three, the remarks had a

00:44:59.420 negative impact on the person's

00:45:00.880 reputation.

00:45:02.800 Easy to demonstrate.

00:45:04.560 I could just run a poll and say,

00:45:06.540 do you think less of me because

00:45:08.000 you believed I believe this.

00:45:10.020 I would get massive number of people

00:45:11.580 said, yes, I used to follow you,

00:45:13.780 but now I think less of you because

00:45:15.140 and then they would say something

00:45:16.700 that never happened because Ben

00:45:18.440 Garrison and others told them it did.

00:45:20.620 So, that one's easy.

00:45:23.100 The published information is

00:45:24.580 demonstrably false.

00:45:26.080 That's easy because everything I said

00:45:28.160 is in public.

00:45:29.320 So, I can find you the video.

00:45:31.060 I can find you the tweets.

00:45:32.720 Now, he would also produce tweets

00:45:34.320 that apparently support his view.

00:45:38.060 But they're all easy to debunk

00:45:39.640 because they're out of context.

00:45:42.000 If you put them back in context,

00:45:43.780 they're all consistent, you know,

00:45:45.880 all the way through.

00:45:47.100 So, that's easy.

00:45:48.120 I can show that it's false

00:45:49.760 and that the defendant is at fault.

00:45:53.060 So, in this case, that would be

00:45:54.200 idiot Ben Garrison.

00:45:56.060 So, yeah, he made the cartoon,

00:45:57.420 so he'd be at fault.

00:45:59.020 Now, you also have to demonstrate malice,

00:46:03.180 meaning that you're doing it

00:46:05.080 with bad intentions

00:46:06.060 while knowing it wasn't true.

00:46:09.060 That's a hard one.

00:46:10.780 How can you possibly

00:46:11.720 demonstrate malice?

00:46:14.380 Well, I'm doing it right now.

00:46:17.080 So, on Instagram,

00:46:18.880 I think we're blocked on Twitter.

00:46:20.680 On Instagram, I just left him a message.

00:46:23.300 I don't know if you'll see it, probably.

00:46:25.420 Somebody will mention it to him.

00:46:26.920 In which I've asked him

00:46:28.440 to do a public statement or tweet

00:46:32.880 in which he acknowledges

00:46:34.680 that the comic does not capture

00:46:36.280 my actual opinion.

00:46:38.880 Now, I expect he won't do that.

00:46:42.280 But, in not doing it,

00:46:44.260 malice will be established

00:46:45.460 because there won't be any reason

00:46:47.460 not to do it

00:46:48.080 unless he just wants me to hurt.

00:46:49.780 Right?

00:46:50.340 If he wanted to be a good person,

00:46:53.380 he would acknowledge that

00:46:55.360 he had maybe misinterpreted me.

00:46:57.500 It's easy to demonstrate.

00:46:59.380 And then he would say,

00:47:00.380 oh, shoot,

00:47:01.140 I guess I did put some

00:47:02.520 misinformation out there.

00:47:04.280 So, I'll put out a statement,

00:47:06.080 just a simple statement,

00:47:07.680 that says,

00:47:08.320 don't take the comic

00:47:09.140 too seriously.

00:47:10.920 It was just and fun.

00:47:12.820 And I don't mean to say

00:47:14.280 that represented his opinion.

00:47:16.520 Would you think that was fair?

00:47:17.580 Would that be fair to you?

00:47:20.960 Just say,

00:47:21.660 it was just a joke.

00:47:23.540 I'm not going to take it away.

00:47:25.000 It's on the internet.

00:47:25.960 You can't really remove it.

00:47:27.960 But I'm not claiming

00:47:29.960 it represents his view.

00:47:32.260 And then maybe show a link

00:47:34.080 to my explanation of,

00:47:37.000 you know,

00:47:37.180 that shows my actual views.

00:47:39.240 Now, if that happened,

00:47:40.400 I'd say,

00:47:40.740 oh, okay,

00:47:41.200 there's a guy

00:47:41.780 who made

00:47:42.720 an understandable mistake.

00:47:45.640 and he's correcting it.

00:47:47.980 And at which point

00:47:49.080 I would say,

00:47:49.440 oh, okay,

00:47:50.540 no lawsuit needed.

00:47:52.840 Mistake is a mistake.

00:47:55.280 Mistake is a mistake.

00:47:56.820 People make them.

00:47:58.120 I'm sure I've,

00:47:59.440 not sure,

00:48:00.300 I'm positive.

00:48:01.220 I'm positive

00:48:01.800 I've accused people

00:48:02.840 of things incorrectly.

00:48:06.100 And when they point it out,

00:48:08.060 well, actually,

00:48:08.880 the Covington kids' situation

00:48:10.880 is the exact case.

00:48:12.660 So I defamed them

00:48:14.200 because I saw

00:48:15.400 a bad video

00:48:16.680 that was misleading.

00:48:18.080 So I defamed them.

00:48:20.100 Totally.

00:48:21.200 Said bad things

00:48:22.020 about this guy's character

00:48:23.080 that was 100% untrue.

00:48:26.240 But it was a mistake.

00:48:28.760 So the moment I realized

00:48:29.900 it was a mistake,

00:48:31.300 I apologized publicly

00:48:33.520 and clarified my views.

00:48:36.800 And that becomes

00:48:38.540 impossible to sue.

00:48:40.900 All right.

00:48:41.080 So I made myself

00:48:42.020 unsuable

00:48:43.020 because I declared

00:48:45.360 it a mistake.

00:48:47.360 Other people

00:48:48.100 had made the same mistake.

00:48:49.140 It was an obvious mistake.

00:48:50.600 And then I made it better.

00:48:52.700 I corrected the record

00:48:54.180 as publicly

00:48:55.600 and clearly

00:48:56.260 as I can.

00:48:56.740 So if it turns out

00:48:59.860 that Ben Garrison

00:49:00.620 is just an idiot

00:49:02.040 and that's the end

00:49:03.380 of the story,

00:49:04.320 then I'm sure

00:49:05.840 you wouldn't mind

00:49:06.620 correcting it

00:49:07.380 and restoring

00:49:08.620 his reputation

00:49:09.440 and mine

00:49:10.120 at the same time.

00:49:12.200 Now,

00:49:13.820 a number of

00:49:14.640 well-meaning people

00:49:15.380 have said to me,

00:49:16.120 Scott,

00:49:17.040 you know you're going

00:49:17.700 to waste

00:49:18.200 maybe $200,000

00:49:21.180 on this

00:49:22.020 including paying

00:49:23.280 his lawyer fees

00:49:24.840 if you lose.

00:49:26.400 Of course I know that.

00:49:28.600 Of course I know that.

00:49:31.000 Do you think

00:49:31.700 I would do it anyway?

00:49:33.680 If I had a 95% chance

00:49:35.460 of losing

00:49:35.920 and not only losing

00:49:37.920 but having to pay

00:49:38.840 $100,000

00:49:39.980 to his lawyer

00:49:40.920 because I lost,

00:49:42.420 would I do it?

00:49:43.880 Oh yeah.

00:49:45.020 Yeah.

00:49:45.700 Why would I do it?

00:49:47.280 Why would I do it?

00:49:48.360 Do you know why?

00:49:48.840 Why would I do it?

00:49:48.880 Not at a principal

00:49:54.640 exactly.

00:49:56.420 No,

00:49:56.960 not to teach him

00:49:57.600 a lesson.

00:49:59.040 Okay,

00:49:59.480 somebody got

00:49:59.880 the right answer.

00:50:01.440 The only thing

00:50:02.420 I want out of this

00:50:03.340 is correcting

00:50:04.440 the record

00:50:05.000 because in my

00:50:06.400 specific case,

00:50:07.620 since what I do

00:50:08.420 is talk to you

00:50:09.120 about the news

00:50:10.260 and make predictions

00:50:11.240 and stuff,

00:50:12.360 if an incorrect

00:50:13.720 view of me

00:50:14.400 is out there

00:50:14.860 then I can't do this.

00:50:16.660 At least not as effectively

00:50:17.780 because every time

00:50:18.900 I talk in public

00:50:19.700 somebody's going to

00:50:21.140 be quoting Ben Garrison

00:50:22.680 and saying,

00:50:23.800 well,

00:50:24.020 if you got all this

00:50:24.820 stuff wrong

00:50:25.600 we shouldn't believe

00:50:27.040 all this other stuff

00:50:28.160 and if that were true

00:50:29.740 it would be a good point

00:50:30.700 but it's permanently

00:50:32.460 damaging to me

00:50:33.620 and my ability

00:50:34.920 to provide value

00:50:36.220 to the public

00:50:36.900 because you know

00:50:38.100 I don't do this

00:50:38.740 for the money,

00:50:39.300 right?

00:50:41.420 It's definitely

00:50:42.140 monetized

00:50:42.840 but this isn't

00:50:44.160 what I would choose

00:50:44.980 to do

00:50:45.440 for money.

00:50:46.660 If I wanted money

00:50:47.820 I would just agree

00:50:48.540 with my audience

00:50:49.160 all the time

00:50:49.700 like most people do.

00:50:52.580 It's an easy formula

00:50:53.640 but I'm not in it

00:50:55.320 to monetize it

00:50:57.080 in that way,

00:50:57.980 right?

00:50:58.700 I don't mind

00:50:59.480 monetizing it

00:51:00.220 because it helps

00:51:01.180 with the incentives

00:51:01.880 and stuff.

00:51:04.420 So,

00:51:05.300 here's the real play.

00:51:07.380 The play is this.

00:51:08.700 I want to create

00:51:09.780 way more attention

00:51:11.380 to the lawsuit

00:51:13.060 than the original

00:51:14.940 comic got

00:51:16.900 and if losing

00:51:19.260 the court case

00:51:20.700 also surfaces

00:51:22.580 the fact

00:51:23.200 that it was

00:51:24.700 a not accurate

00:51:26.040 statement about me

00:51:27.300 that'd be fine

00:51:28.240 because every time

00:51:30.040 I lost the case

00:51:30.820 somebody would say

00:51:31.880 hey,

00:51:32.900 you even lost

00:51:33.640 that case

00:51:34.180 and I would say

00:51:35.140 here's the decision

00:51:37.460 read it for yourself

00:51:38.580 and it would show

00:51:39.800 that I had demonstrated

00:51:41.780 it was factually inaccurate

00:51:43.280 because that'll be easy

00:51:44.620 but maybe I don't

00:51:47.120 demonstrate

00:51:47.620 his intentions.

00:51:49.980 That's good enough

00:51:50.880 as long as the court

00:51:53.120 could look at it

00:51:53.920 and then tell

00:51:54.860 the rest of you

00:51:55.560 oh yeah,

00:51:56.240 it's definitely wrong

00:51:57.380 the cartoon does

00:51:58.900 mischaracterize

00:52:00.080 his opinion.

00:52:00.560 I don't care

00:52:02.040 what happens

00:52:02.460 after that.

00:52:03.920 Right?

00:52:04.400 If that costs me

00:52:05.240 a quarter of a million dollars

00:52:06.480 money well spent.

00:52:09.860 But all he has to do

00:52:11.200 to not waste

00:52:12.620 a year of his life

00:52:13.540 is to simply

00:52:14.880 read my

00:52:16.080 profile document

00:52:17.340 see what my

00:52:19.040 actual opinion is

00:52:20.020 and then put in

00:52:21.240 a statement

00:52:21.660 that he stands

00:52:23.760 corrected.

00:52:24.800 That's all I ask.

00:52:27.040 Alright.

00:52:27.540 Alright.

00:52:27.600 And specifically

00:52:32.380 the claim

00:52:33.020 that I was hypnotized

00:52:34.060 by Fauci

00:52:34.740 could be debunked

00:52:36.360 by the fact

00:52:36.840 that I was the

00:52:37.860 first public figure

00:52:39.100 to call him a liar.

00:52:40.960 Now

00:52:41.440 I don't know

00:52:42.880 if that's true

00:52:43.480 but I think

00:52:44.540 the claim probably is.

00:52:46.300 I think I'm the

00:52:47.120 first person

00:52:47.820 to call him a liar

00:52:48.720 about the pandemic.

00:52:50.640 Now other people

00:52:51.380 might have called him

00:52:52.020 a liar

00:52:52.400 about prior work

00:52:54.420 but I didn't know

00:52:55.060 who he was

00:52:55.480 before then.

00:52:56.500 But in terms

00:52:56.920 of the pandemic

00:52:57.520 I'm the first

00:52:58.720 public figure

00:52:59.460 to say

00:53:00.320 that guy's on TV

00:53:01.180 lying to you

00:53:01.820 right now.

00:53:03.300 Now you're not

00:53:04.080 going to like

00:53:04.480 what I call

00:53:04.940 that and it's

00:53:05.340 his lie.

00:53:06.700 I said

00:53:07.140 his saying

00:53:08.780 that you don't

00:53:09.260 need a mask

00:53:09.920 is not his

00:53:11.480 real opinion.

00:53:13.120 That it's a lie.

00:53:14.700 Now I don't want

00:53:15.300 to get into

00:53:15.660 the conversation

00:53:16.480 of do masks

00:53:17.420 work.

00:53:17.960 That's not

00:53:18.420 what we're

00:53:18.840 talking about.

00:53:19.580 We're only

00:53:20.060 talking about

00:53:20.660 his belief

00:53:21.460 and did he say

00:53:22.660 the opposite

00:53:23.240 of his belief

00:53:23.920 and the answer

00:53:24.420 is yes

00:53:24.860 because he

00:53:25.580 admitted it.

00:53:26.160 So nobody

00:53:29.420 nobody in the

00:53:31.020 game trusted

00:53:32.640 Fauci less

00:53:33.500 than I did.

00:53:34.640 You can't

00:53:35.360 top that.

00:53:36.320 I am the

00:53:36.980 number one

00:53:37.600 Fauci doubter

00:53:38.620 in the whole

00:53:40.040 United States.

00:53:41.920 Not you

00:53:42.420 Ben Garrison.

00:53:43.560 Ben Garrison

00:53:44.460 I'll bet

00:53:44.860 when he said

00:53:45.520 you don't need

00:53:46.460 these masks

00:53:47.040 you said

00:53:47.460 oh he's

00:53:47.840 telling the truth.

00:53:49.040 Well that would

00:53:49.420 be pretty gullible.

00:53:51.040 What are you

00:53:51.440 going to believe

00:53:51.840 everything that

00:53:52.380 Fauci says?

00:53:53.040 I don't.

00:53:54.480 I don't.

00:53:56.240 So it's a

00:53:57.440 weird situation

00:53:58.100 where the

00:53:58.540 people who

00:53:58.920 are most

00:53:59.440 gullible

00:54:00.020 think that

00:54:01.380 I was.

00:54:03.160 It's sort

00:54:03.900 of projection

00:54:04.400 sort of

00:54:04.780 thing.

00:54:05.940 Alright what

00:54:06.580 else is going

00:54:07.040 on?

00:54:08.460 Let's talk

00:54:09.120 about the

00:54:09.440 2024 election.

00:54:12.880 Rasmussen

00:54:13.400 has some

00:54:13.940 new poll.

00:54:15.260 Says most

00:54:15.820 voters don't

00:54:16.540 want President

00:54:17.100 Biden to

00:54:18.060 seek re-election.

00:54:19.680 So here are

00:54:20.020 the numbers.

00:54:20.460 just 33%

00:54:22.220 of likely

00:54:23.120 US voters

00:54:23.820 so this

00:54:24.900 would be

00:54:25.180 of all

00:54:25.620 parties

00:54:26.060 think Biden

00:54:27.160 should run

00:54:27.600 for re-election

00:54:28.220 and 55%

00:54:29.580 say no.

00:54:33.760 But it's

00:54:34.620 not much

00:54:35.040 better for

00:54:35.540 Trump.

00:54:36.520 Not much

00:54:36.960 better for

00:54:37.340 Trump.

00:54:38.300 So Trump

00:54:38.720 35% of

00:54:39.860 voters think

00:54:40.360 Trump

00:54:40.720 should run

00:54:42.900 and the

00:54:44.840 majority

00:54:45.220 53%

00:54:45.980 think he

00:54:46.540 shouldn't.

00:54:47.480 So those

00:54:47.840 are almost

00:54:49.400 identical

00:54:50.000 to Biden.

00:54:52.400 So one

00:54:52.900 possibility

00:54:53.500 is we're

00:54:54.360 going to

00:54:54.460 have two

00:54:54.820 candidates

00:54:55.360 that nobody

00:54:55.960 wants.

00:54:58.360 That's

00:54:58.640 very likely.

00:55:00.700 It's very

00:55:01.480 likely we'll

00:55:02.120 have two

00:55:02.420 candidates

00:55:02.820 that nobody

00:55:03.360 wants.

00:55:04.840 Nobody

00:55:05.340 meaning the

00:55:05.900 majority.

00:55:07.380 Now I'm

00:55:08.460 going to

00:55:08.620 make an

00:55:10.220 optimistic

00:55:10.960 prediction.

00:55:11.920 I don't

00:55:15.840 know what

00:55:16.200 the odds

00:55:16.660 of this

00:55:16.960 coming true

00:55:17.460 are.

00:55:18.420 So just

00:55:19.240 know I'm

00:55:19.960 being

00:55:20.120 optimistic.

00:55:22.020 I think

00:55:22.620 the two

00:55:23.100 contenders

00:55:23.680 in the

00:55:24.180 end will

00:55:24.540 be

00:55:24.820 DeSantis

00:55:25.280 and

00:55:25.700 Newsom.

00:55:27.860 DeSantis

00:55:28.420 and Newsom.

00:55:29.580 Here's

00:55:30.100 why.

00:55:34.020 I don't

00:55:34.820 think

00:55:35.120 I don't

00:55:36.900 think

00:55:37.120 Biden

00:55:37.480 I don't

00:55:38.780 think

00:55:39.120 Democrats

00:55:40.240 will allow

00:55:40.920 Biden to

00:55:41.520 run.

00:55:42.700 Because I

00:55:43.340 think Trump

00:55:43.760 would take

00:55:44.220 him this

00:55:44.520 time.

00:55:45.260 What do

00:55:45.540 you think?

00:55:47.380 Do you

00:55:47.920 think Trump

00:55:48.280 would take

00:55:48.680 him?

00:55:48.940 I think he

00:55:49.360 would.

00:55:52.340 Especially

00:55:52.820 if we

00:55:54.080 are watching

00:55:54.780 the polls

00:55:55.240 more carefully

00:55:55.900 I suppose.

00:55:58.920 All right.

00:55:59.220 I don't

00:56:05.180 think anybody

00:56:05.640 important will

00:56:06.500 run as an

00:56:07.040 independent.

00:56:08.580 So here's

00:56:09.320 the basis.

00:56:10.080 I think

00:56:10.360 Democrats as

00:56:11.140 a group

00:56:11.660 will overrule

00:56:13.940 Biden.

00:56:15.380 How many

00:56:15.720 would agree

00:56:16.140 with that?

00:56:17.060 That Biden

00:56:17.540 wants to

00:56:18.020 run.

00:56:18.200 I think

00:56:18.420 that's real.

00:56:19.500 But I

00:56:19.760 think Democrats

00:56:20.640 won't take

00:56:21.220 the chance.

00:56:21.760 It's just

00:56:22.020 too big of

00:56:22.480 a chance.

00:56:23.540 So I

00:56:23.740 think Democrats

00:56:24.520 will overrule

00:56:25.360 Biden.

00:56:26.780 And then

00:56:27.340 if they do

00:56:28.040 they need

00:56:29.260 somebody to

00:56:29.780 replace them.

00:56:30.500 And I

00:56:30.640 think Newsom's

00:56:31.800 their strongest

00:56:32.360 player.

00:56:34.320 Now yes I

00:56:35.520 know all the

00:56:36.240 negatives that

00:56:37.720 are hurled at

00:56:38.640 him.

00:56:38.800 I know them

00:56:39.160 all.

00:56:39.760 You don't

00:56:40.060 have to

00:56:40.320 remind me.

00:56:41.220 But remember

00:56:41.680 they have a

00:56:42.340 weak bench.

00:56:44.320 He's the

00:56:44.940 strongest in

00:56:45.680 a pretty weak

00:56:46.480 field.

00:56:48.720 Now on the

00:56:49.560 Trump side

00:56:50.180 there are a

00:56:54.200 lot of smart

00:56:54.660 people.

00:56:55.120 I think Ben

00:56:56.040 Shapiro is one.

00:56:56.860 I say this

00:56:58.940 often but

00:56:59.500 Ben Shapiro is

00:57:00.840 in my small

00:57:01.760 small group of

00:57:02.640 people where

00:57:04.240 if his opinion

00:57:05.180 differs from

00:57:05.880 mine I

00:57:07.040 immediately

00:57:07.560 question my

00:57:08.680 opinion.

00:57:10.300 Does anybody

00:57:10.680 else do that?

00:57:12.100 Is that a Ben

00:57:12.900 Shapiro thing?

00:57:14.400 There are other

00:57:14.960 people like that.

00:57:15.680 If Jordan

00:57:16.200 Peterson disagrees

00:57:17.180 with me I'm

00:57:17.780 going to stop

00:57:18.740 and think.

00:57:20.440 So yeah

00:57:21.180 because you

00:57:22.100 know he's

00:57:22.800 thought about

00:57:23.220 it.

00:57:23.440 You know he

00:57:23.720 knows the

00:57:24.060 whole context.

00:57:24.920 You know he

00:57:25.120 knows the

00:57:25.440 history.

00:57:25.800 Yeah Dershowitz is

00:57:26.500 another one.

00:57:28.400 So if he

00:57:28.880 disagrees with

00:57:29.540 me I'm just

00:57:29.960 going to stop

00:57:30.500 and say okay

00:57:31.060 let's look at

00:57:32.640 my point of

00:57:33.120 view.

00:57:33.340 I might have

00:57:33.620 missed something

00:57:34.020 here.

00:57:34.560 And he

00:57:34.840 thinks that

00:57:35.380 it's somewhat

00:57:36.980 clear that

00:57:38.120 DeSantis will

00:57:38.780 be the

00:57:39.060 candidate.

00:57:41.000 I don't see

00:57:41.880 it as clearly

00:57:42.460 as he does

00:57:43.140 because I

00:57:44.720 don't see the

00:57:45.240 path to it

00:57:46.020 because it

00:57:46.940 seems like it

00:57:47.460 would require

00:57:48.100 Trump to

00:57:49.760 stand down.

00:57:50.620 I don't see

00:57:51.040 that happening.

00:57:51.540 but I

00:57:55.600 don't think

00:57:56.120 Republicans

00:57:56.640 will take

00:57:58.460 the risk

00:57:59.100 of Trump

00:58:00.860 losing a

00:58:01.520 second time

00:58:02.160 because we're

00:58:03.860 very much

00:58:04.420 affected by

00:58:05.900 the last

00:58:06.400 war.

00:58:07.060 You know you're

00:58:07.300 always fighting

00:58:07.720 the last

00:58:08.200 war and

00:58:09.160 it's going to

00:58:09.700 feel like

00:58:10.120 Trump lost

00:58:11.940 the last

00:58:12.580 election when

00:58:13.200 he was young

00:58:13.700 enough to

00:58:14.120 be you know

00:58:15.260 viable.

00:58:15.900 I think

00:58:18.920 Trump's age

00:58:19.720 will show

00:58:20.240 and if

00:58:24.240 DeSantis

00:58:25.680 decides he

00:58:26.540 could be a

00:58:27.160 candidate

00:58:27.520 people will

00:58:29.060 just defect

00:58:29.800 him.

00:58:35.440 All right.

00:58:37.500 How many

00:58:38.340 people would

00:58:39.240 agree with

00:58:39.980 my prediction

00:58:41.000 that in the

00:58:41.680 end the

00:58:42.120 candidates will

00:58:42.880 be DeSantis

00:58:43.780 and Newsom?

00:58:44.720 Go.

00:58:45.900 How many?

00:58:50.300 I see some

00:58:50.820 yeses.

00:58:52.020 Lots of

00:58:52.560 yeses actually.

00:58:53.880 I like

00:58:54.380 somebody answered

00:58:55.800 with a

00:58:56.240 percentage.

00:58:56.860 I like that.

00:58:57.920 I like

00:58:58.260 anybody who

00:58:58.680 answers that

00:58:59.060 with a

00:58:59.300 percentage.

00:59:02.140 Yeah.

00:59:04.380 Do you

00:59:05.120 feel also

00:59:05.840 that the

00:59:06.660 country is

00:59:07.460 so unhappy

00:59:08.220 with the

00:59:09.360 last several

00:59:09.980 years that

00:59:11.660 it feels

00:59:12.320 impossible that

00:59:13.940 we would let

00:59:14.520 somebody back

00:59:15.160 in office

00:59:15.680 who was

00:59:16.660 responsible for

00:59:17.540 anything at

00:59:18.920 the federal

00:59:19.360 level for

00:59:20.600 the last

00:59:21.000 five years.

00:59:22.720 It feels

00:59:23.380 like, I

00:59:24.960 don't know,

00:59:25.420 Biden and

00:59:26.100 Trump are

00:59:26.420 looking a lot

00:59:27.020 like the

00:59:27.380 same person

00:59:27.900 to me.

00:59:29.020 I hate to

00:59:29.500 say it.

00:59:30.420 I mean,

00:59:30.660 they're very

00:59:31.240 different,

00:59:32.080 but in some

00:59:33.020 ways they look

00:59:33.560 like the same

00:59:34.080 person today

00:59:34.880 because they

00:59:36.060 both seem

00:59:36.920 like their

00:59:38.620 window has

00:59:40.140 passed.

00:59:41.340 They both

00:59:41.760 look like

00:59:42.160 the past.

00:59:43.720 They both

00:59:44.160 smell,

00:59:44.940 this is the

00:59:45.800 worst thing

00:59:46.200 to say,

00:59:47.020 I'm just

00:59:47.360 to say it

00:59:47.760 this way,

00:59:49.160 they both

00:59:49.660 smell like

00:59:50.160 a pandemic.

00:59:53.600 That's the

00:59:54.160 best way to

00:59:54.600 say it.

00:59:55.160 They both

00:59:55.700 smell like

00:59:56.200 a pandemic.

00:59:56.720 Now,

00:59:59.720 you could

01:00:00.700 get into the

01:00:01.120 argument of

01:00:01.680 who did

01:00:02.020 what right

01:00:02.560 or wrong,

01:00:03.760 Trump with

01:00:04.360 his vaccinations,

01:00:05.740 Biden with

01:00:06.500 whatever he

01:00:06.980 did, but

01:00:08.300 they both

01:00:09.020 smell like

01:00:09.560 a, we

01:00:11.140 just need

01:00:11.520 somebody who

01:00:11.940 doesn't smell

01:00:12.380 like a

01:00:12.700 pandemic.

01:00:14.200 I suppose

01:00:14.680 DeSantis and

01:00:15.540 Newsom do

01:00:15.980 too, but

01:00:16.460 it's different.

01:00:20.960 DeSantis

01:00:21.520 doesn't smell

01:00:22.200 like a

01:00:22.520 pandemic.

01:00:23.500 He smells

01:00:24.080 like somebody

01:00:25.480 who tried

01:00:25.880 to,

01:00:26.720 who managed

01:00:27.800 the situation

01:00:28.560 well.

01:00:29.080 It just

01:00:29.360 feels

01:00:29.600 different.

01:00:32.080 Cabbage

01:00:32.600 and urine.

01:00:34.760 That's funny.

01:00:37.020 All right,

01:00:37.660 let me give

01:00:38.240 you this

01:00:38.460 challenge.

01:00:39.760 What

01:00:40.000 Republican

01:00:41.220 could beat

01:00:41.860 DeSantis

01:00:42.320 besides,

01:00:43.600 if you

01:00:44.080 think Trump?

01:00:45.740 There's

01:00:46.200 nobody who

01:00:46.580 would beat

01:00:46.760 DeSantis

01:00:47.200 besides maybe

01:00:49.240 Trump.

01:00:51.100 And who

01:00:51.860 do you

01:00:52.060 think could

01:00:52.380 beat Newsom

01:00:52.880 on the

01:00:54.020 Democrat

01:00:54.340 side?

01:00:56.720 I don't

01:00:57.620 know if

01:00:57.900 Rand Paul

01:00:58.480 inspires

01:00:59.860 people in

01:01:02.060 that

01:01:02.260 presidential

01:01:02.800 way.

01:01:03.980 He's

01:01:04.340 definitely

01:01:04.740 one of the

01:01:06.040 most valuable

01:01:06.560 players in

01:01:07.200 Congress.

01:01:08.480 So as a

01:01:09.640 member of

01:01:10.900 Congress,

01:01:12.700 he's a

01:01:13.500 superstar,

01:01:14.460 in my opinion.

01:01:16.520 But

01:01:16.700 presidential is

01:01:17.700 just sort of a

01:01:18.680 different vibe.

01:01:19.700 Now, I don't

01:01:20.080 think Carrie

01:01:20.520 Lake has

01:01:21.000 proven herself

01:01:21.740 in elected

01:01:22.620 office.

01:01:23.480 And I

01:01:23.740 think it

01:01:23.980 does matter.

01:01:24.720 I mean,

01:01:25.080 Trump was

01:01:25.840 bigger than

01:01:26.280 that, but

01:01:27.560 he at least

01:01:28.660 ran a big

01:01:29.140 company.

01:01:35.540 All right,

01:01:36.460 Joe Rogan

01:01:36.940 for president.

01:01:39.120 Is Rand Paul

01:01:40.000 too short to

01:01:40.660 be president?

01:01:42.960 No.

01:01:44.540 I don't

01:01:45.100 know.

01:01:45.300 And Tom

01:01:48.720 Cotton voted

01:01:49.840 for the

01:01:50.520 omnibus

01:01:51.280 bill, I

01:01:51.700 think, so

01:01:52.860 that made

01:01:53.380 some

01:01:53.660 conservatives

01:01:54.340 unhappy.

01:01:57.300 You think

01:01:58.260 Hakeem

01:01:58.660 Jeffries could

01:01:59.320 win in a

01:02:00.400 Democrat

01:02:00.780 primary?

01:02:02.480 Maybe.

01:02:04.200 But I

01:02:04.980 don't think

01:02:05.300 he'd run.

01:02:05.780 Yeah, I

01:02:11.060 don't think

01:02:11.380 Kamala can

01:02:11.920 win.

01:02:13.720 Elon Musk

01:02:14.340 was not

01:02:14.760 born in

01:02:15.100 America.

01:02:15.780 He can't.

01:02:17.480 All right,

01:02:18.360 that is all

01:02:19.740 I have for

01:02:20.240 today.

01:02:20.660 Is there

01:02:20.820 any topic

01:02:21.380 I missed?

01:02:22.500 Anything

01:02:22.760 else

01:02:23.000 happening?

01:02:27.920 Can

01:02:28.440 hypnosis

01:02:28.940 help a

01:02:29.460 man prolong

01:02:30.000 ability to

01:02:30.860 have sex

01:02:31.300 without

01:02:31.620 reaching

01:02:32.040 climax?

01:02:33.640 You

01:02:33.880 want me

01:02:34.340 to

01:02:34.760 hypnotize

01:02:36.220 you to

01:02:36.740 have

01:02:37.040 fewer

01:02:37.480 or to

01:02:39.660 take

01:02:39.880 longer

01:02:40.180 to

01:02:40.340 climax?

01:02:41.260 You know,

01:02:41.620 I don't

01:02:42.300 know the

01:02:42.560 answer to

01:02:42.840 the question.

01:02:44.340 So I

01:02:45.000 haven't heard

01:02:45.440 of anybody

01:02:45.900 working on

01:02:46.440 that specific

01:02:47.160 problem.

01:02:48.800 But

01:02:49.060 probably.

01:02:51.280 Probably.

01:02:52.240 Maybe not

01:02:52.700 for every

01:02:53.040 person.

01:03:00.400 All

01:03:00.840 right.

01:03:01.020 you don't

01:03:04.920 need hypnosis

01:03:05.480 for that.

01:03:06.060 I agree.

01:03:09.080 All right.

01:03:09.600 That's all I

01:03:09.960 got for now.

01:03:10.540 I'm going to

01:03:10.800 go do

01:03:11.060 something else.

01:03:11.620 I'll talk to

01:03:12.120 the locals

01:03:12.960 people for a

01:03:13.560 little bit.

01:03:14.300 Thanks for

01:03:14.740 joining.

01:03:14.980 Best

01:03:16.020 live stream

01:03:16.500 ever.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 03, 2023

Episode 1977 Scott Adams： Sudden Athlete Death Data And You'll Learn Something About Defamation Also

Episode Stats

Length

Words per Minute

Word Count

Sentence Count

Misogynist Sentences

Hate Speech Sentences

Summary

Transcript