Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1980 Scott Adams： Two Whiteboards And Funny Headlines

00:00:00.000 He's stable for half a minute.

00:00:04.320 It's funny that live stream technology is still not a stable technology, basically.

00:00:11.400 All right, looks like it's going to work.

00:00:13.420 A little bit, a little bit.

00:00:16.100 I hope we see all the clopperts.

00:00:20.680 Erica the Excellent had a poll on Twitter in which people were asked,

00:00:25.560 um, why should we name the fans who come over and yell clot, clot?

00:00:32.300 And there were several possibilities.

00:00:36.020 Let's see, what were the possibilities?

00:00:38.320 We had, uh, Clidiots, Clunts, Scotts, Scotty's Clotties, and Clopperts. 0.82

00:00:49.060 Clopperts won with 34% of the vote.

00:00:52.260 A close second was Clunts.

00:00:54.040 Uh, and then third was Scotty's Clotties, and then Clidiots was only 11%.

00:00:59.940 So we're going with Clopperts.

00:01:02.320 So welcome to all the Clopperts.

00:01:04.860 Um, your fan activity is appreciated.

00:01:12.660 And, uh, um, if you'd like to, uh, if you'd like to show yourself,

00:01:18.740 just use your catchphrase.

00:01:20.040 Catchphrase.

00:01:21.340 The catchphrase, the catchphrase is cope.

00:01:24.680 Cope.

00:01:25.940 So you want to say that as much as possible during the live stream.

00:01:29.240 But also identify yourself.

00:01:31.160 I want to see how big my fan base is of the Clopperts.

00:01:34.440 Well, uh, Kevin McCarthy, uh, had a bad week.

00:01:40.640 I don't know.

00:01:41.300 Did, is anybody paying attention to the Speaker of the House situation?

00:01:45.920 Uh, has he, has he been, uh, denied a 12th time yet?

00:01:51.780 I think he's been, he's lost 11 in a row.

00:01:55.820 But there was some news about overnight they might have a deal.

00:02:00.580 I don't think they have a deal, do you?

00:02:03.620 How many people think that overnight they actually came up with a deal?

00:02:06.960 I feel unlikely, maybe.

00:02:11.680 Oh, the Copers are back. 0.91

00:02:13.000 Thank you.

00:02:14.380 Scream it. 0.93

00:02:15.200 Scream it. 0.93

00:02:15.880 Cope.

00:02:17.360 All right.

00:02:18.520 Well, in addition to that, uh, somebody was complaining that they discovered,

00:02:23.500 and this is scandalous.

00:02:25.420 I didn't know this about Kevin McCarthy.

00:02:28.060 He once admitted, and he's actually confessed this,

00:02:31.860 so you don't have to wonder about it.

00:02:33.080 He's confessed.

00:02:33.800 He had an actual meal, I believe it was a dinner,

00:02:39.080 with, uh, World Economic Forum founder Klaus Schwab back in 2018.

00:02:44.460 Yeah.

00:02:45.500 They actually ate a meal together.

00:02:49.140 Now, every now and then, I like to, uh, take a news story to remind the public

00:02:54.840 that I assert my absolute right of association.

00:03:00.580 That you will never, you will never embarrass me.

00:03:03.840 You'll never shame me because you found out I ate a meal with somebody you don't like.

00:03:09.340 Now, what do people say when I say that?

00:03:12.500 What's the most obvious thing that people say?

00:03:15.000 They say, oh, yes, anybody.

00:03:17.160 Oh, oh, oh, you would associate with anybody.

00:03:19.300 So, would you associate with a serial killer?

00:03:23.880 A serial killer?

00:03:25.720 Yeah.

00:03:27.400 Are you kidding?

00:03:29.400 You wouldn't have dinner with a serial killer if you had a chance?

00:03:34.660 Well, you're pretty boring.

00:03:36.400 I would take that dinner in a heartbeat.

00:03:38.040 How about, uh, whoever's the current head of the KKK?

00:03:44.860 Absolutely.

00:03:45.640 I wouldn't want to be seen.

00:03:47.140 You know, obviously, I might not want to be seen.

00:03:49.580 But how interesting would that be?

00:03:52.060 Are you kidding me?

00:03:53.840 That would be the most interesting dinner you ever had.

00:03:56.100 How about the, uh, head of Black Lives Matter?

00:04:01.220 How about that?

00:04:02.160 Yes.

00:04:03.420 Yes.

00:04:04.420 Totally.

00:04:05.380 Are you kidding me?

00:04:06.740 How about, uh, the most radical people in Antifa?

00:04:12.000 Would I, would I be seen having a meal with them?

00:04:15.000 Yes.

00:04:16.160 Yes.

00:04:16.840 Absolutely.

00:04:18.080 I can't imagine how much fun that would be.

00:04:21.480 So, yeah, Obama, absolutely.

00:04:23.560 Hitler? 0.62

00:04:24.160 Yes.

00:04:25.520 Yes.

00:04:26.560 This is the one time when you can't Hitler me. 0.93

00:04:29.580 You can't Hitler me on this.

00:04:31.340 Because usually you can go, but how about Hitler? 0.91

00:04:36.380 Yes.

00:04:37.680 Yes.

00:04:39.440 Oh, not Ben Garrison, though.

00:04:41.180 Okay.

00:04:41.760 Damn it.

00:04:43.000 Okay.

00:04:43.160 I wouldn't be seen with an idiot Ben Garrison.

00:04:45.220 That's true.

00:04:45.600 Well, now, you just ruined my whole thing.

00:04:49.600 I was sure there was nobody that I wouldn't be embarrassed, but I'd be embarrassed with

00:04:54.680 idiot Ben Garrison.

00:04:56.040 So, okay, you got me.

00:04:58.900 Pol Pot, no problem. 0.99

00:05:00.720 Putin?

00:05:01.180 Yes.

00:05:01.760 Stalin? 0.54

00:05:02.480 Absolutely.

00:05:03.740 Ben Garrison?

00:05:04.740 Ugh.

00:05:06.060 Ugh.

00:05:07.820 Ugh.

00:05:08.100 All right, let's talk about ChatGPT, the AI that's making a lot of news.

00:05:15.600 So, Sam Altman, one of the founders, apparently, he's talking to somebody about accepting some

00:05:23.580 investment that would value the company at $29 billion.

00:05:27.980 It's a startup, a startup that hasn't produced, as far as I know, has produced no revenue, as

00:05:38.160 far as I know, maybe there's some, and it's being valued by investors at $29 billion.

00:05:45.160 Now, apparently, there's some other AI companies that are getting lots of interest, too.

00:05:51.980 Now, let me ask you, do you believe that it'll be worth it?

00:05:59.920 Does that valuation sound too high?

00:06:01.700 It doesn't.

00:06:05.580 You know, it's too high if some other AI is better, then it's definitely too high.

00:06:11.320 If it turns out, and I don't know if this is true, by the way, but if it turned out that

00:06:15.360 this is the best one, and it looks like it might stay the best one because it has some

00:06:19.960 kind of advantage, $29 billion is probably cheap.

00:06:23.040 I don't know all the ways you could commercialize it, but it seems unlimited.

00:06:32.440 It's unlimited.

00:06:33.660 Not only is it unlimited, but it gets to the most important things we care about.

00:06:40.600 Everything from, you missed the sip, already happened.

00:06:45.060 So everything we care about, like human relations, it might replace those.

00:06:49.200 There's work, it's going to replace a lot of jobs and make things easier.

00:06:54.060 Searching for things on the internet, yes.

00:06:56.980 Knowing what's true versus what is BS, well, it might not be good at it, but we're going

00:07:02.040 to use it for that.

00:07:03.520 So yeah, absolutely everything that we care the most about, even healthcare, everything.

00:07:09.840 But AI, because, you know, it's by definition a version of our own brains, the importance of

00:07:17.840 AI, it's impossible to calculate.

00:07:22.140 It's bigger than anything we've ever done, in my opinion, by far, and should grow faster

00:07:28.000 than anything we've ever done.

00:07:29.880 Because even the internet itself, as fast as it grew, you know, as fast as Google grew,

00:07:34.440 as fast as Apple grew, they still were creating infrastructure as they grew, right?

00:07:40.660 They were sort of following the infrastructure.

00:07:42.420 But the infrastructure is there now, like the internet exists, technology, it's pretty

00:07:47.940 advanced.

00:07:48.660 You just plop this into it, and it's just going to...

00:07:51.040 So to me, it looks like it's impossible to estimate, but it's going to change everything.

00:07:59.920 All right, here's a valuable lesson.

00:08:02.840 How can you make a supermodel unattractive to men? 1.00

00:08:06.060 Like, that seems hard, right?

00:08:09.380 If you had a supermodel, like one of the most beautiful women in the world, how could you 0.99

00:08:14.300 make her unattractive to men? 0.98

00:08:19.280 Now, without changing her look, all right, here's the rule.

00:08:23.400 You can't change her appearance.

00:08:25.660 She has to become unattractive to all men without changing her look at all, okay? 0.95

00:08:30.900 And supermodel, what's her name, Emily Ratajkowski, Ratajkowski, she managed to pull it off. 1.00

00:08:45.880 So there's two stories in this one story.

00:08:48.540 One is Fox News, fake news, so it's some fake news on Fox News, and the fake news is that

00:08:54.340 the headline doesn't match the story, all right?

00:08:56.860 So the story is nothing, it just doesn't match the story.

00:09:01.660 So here's the headline.

00:09:03.680 Supermodel complains she only attracts, quote, emasculated men after her breakup with Pete Davidson. 1.00

00:09:10.940 Now, if you read the story, wouldn't you expect it would be something about supermodel

00:09:15.700 complains she only attracts emasculated men after her breakup with Pete Davidson?

00:09:21.760 Okay, the story isn't that.

00:09:24.220 There's nothing like that in the story.

00:09:25.900 But the story itself is interesting.

00:09:28.460 It's just not that.

00:09:30.400 Here's the actual story.

00:09:32.500 She also said, I feel like I attract the worst men.

00:09:35.600 But then when she explained it, you see it's a different story entirely.

00:09:40.320 She said one of her main problems with some men, Ratajkowski said, this was on the Fox News site,

00:09:47.260 is that they, quote, don't know how to handle a strong woman. 0.86

00:09:54.120 And we're out.

00:09:55.900 It was really that easy.

00:10:00.700 It was how many words?

00:10:04.000 One, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight words.

00:10:08.780 Eight words.

00:10:09.620 They don't know how to handle a strong woman. 1.00

00:10:12.540 And I'm out.

00:10:15.340 Are there any women who are confused? 1.00

00:10:18.200 All the men are laughing.

00:10:19.420 All the men are going, uh-huh, uh-huh, yep, yep.

00:10:23.100 But are any of the women confused by this?

00:10:26.940 All right.

00:10:27.600 Here's what it's not.

00:10:29.440 Here's what it's not.

00:10:31.220 It's not about men not liking strong personalities.

00:10:36.540 Nope.

00:10:37.760 Nope.

00:10:38.300 There's nothing about that in this situation.

00:10:40.900 This is men who know exactly what that code means.

00:10:46.860 If you ever hear a woman, and maybe it's the same for men, but, you know, I'll just talk from my experience.

00:10:54.460 If you ever see a woman, she has a strong personality, run. 1.00

00:10:58.500 Run away.

00:10:59.200 Because that's always the cover for, you know, I'm a raging bitch. 0.87

00:11:04.360 Always.

00:11:05.800 Always.

00:11:06.920 Yeah.

00:11:07.540 So what she said was about the men.

00:11:10.720 Because she's a strong woman, I guess she thinks that the men need to tear her down to, you know, assert their level compared to her. 0.94

00:11:19.640 That's how I read this, anyway.

00:11:21.120 And she said, they start to tear you down, and then you're back to square one.

00:11:25.940 And it's so effed up and unfair, because I feel like a lot of men who truly think they want a strong woman actually don't know how to handle it.

00:11:37.300 Yeah, that's the problem.

00:11:39.580 All the men want a strong woman, but then when they get one, they don't know how to handle it. 0.98

00:11:45.220 That's what's going on in this situation.

00:11:48.220 Yep, that's absolutely what's happening.

00:11:50.720 It's that they're afraid of those strong women they don't know how to handle.

00:11:53.860 Or, I don't need to finish the story, right?

00:12:01.580 Everybody's already filled in the entire story.

00:12:04.540 Can I have a quick vote?

00:12:07.540 The story's done.

00:12:09.400 No more explanation needed, right?

00:12:12.200 Yeah, you completed it.

00:12:13.420 Do you mind?

00:12:13.840 We're done.

00:12:14.720 All right.

00:12:14.940 Here in, this is in the category of, the simulation never disappoints us.

00:12:22.600 The simulation continues to entertain.

00:12:25.480 And here the simulation has provided an unusually warm winter, both in the Northeast and I think some parts of Europe,

00:12:33.840 which means that the future prices of natural gas have plummeted.

00:12:42.100 So natural gas that we thought was going to be a huge shortage and too expensive, and Putin was going to freeze Europe.

00:12:49.640 Turns out, Europe's going to have a warm winter.

00:12:52.820 And so is parts of the United States that usually get cold.

00:12:57.200 So demand is down, at least anticipated demand, which affects current prices and future prices.

00:13:06.340 And so Putin's strategy of freezing Europe looks like it's just not going to work.

00:13:13.440 All right.

00:13:16.140 How many of you believed that Europe would figure out a way to get through?

00:13:24.620 I did.

00:13:26.400 I used the Adams Law of slow-moving disasters.

00:13:30.540 Now, this one was an edge case because it wasn't that slow-moving.

00:13:35.860 But we did see it a year in advance, didn't we?

00:13:38.860 About a year in advance, people were saying,

00:13:41.160 Whoa, whoa, whoa, Putin's going to start turning off the energy.

00:13:44.140 So it turns out that maybe six months of getting really serious about a really big problem was enough.

00:13:53.240 Once again, team human being pulls off a miracle save for a problem we saw coming because we saw it coming.

00:14:04.000 Every time we see it coming, we win.

00:14:06.920 We have like 100,000 years of success.

00:14:13.560 Maybe the early tribal people got wiped out by their neighbors and they saw that coming.

00:14:18.440 So maybe it wasn't so good in the early days.

00:14:21.040 But at least since my life, my lifetime, when you give humans a lot of runway and they can see the problem clearly and they all agree what the problem is,

00:14:31.260 we're insanely good at solving problems.

00:14:34.720 It's just crazy how good we are.

00:14:36.860 Now, some of it might be because the news likes to exaggerate how bad the problem is in the first place.

00:14:42.340 So it's a combination of great competence with maybe a little exaggeration.

00:14:48.860 But here we are.

00:14:49.980 It looks like we pulled it off.

00:14:51.360 Now, how many of you have this prediction?

00:14:56.840 I'll state the prediction and tell me how many of you saw this coming.

00:15:00.540 You probably saw this coming, right?

00:15:02.820 If there's one thing that works against Russia's military, it's the weather.

00:15:07.400 It's the freaking weather.

00:15:17.080 The weather that, you know, the common belief, the common military belief about Russia is that the only way they can win a war is if it gets really cold.

00:15:26.240 Am I right?

00:15:28.100 How did Russia do in Afghanistan?

00:15:30.680 Well, it turns out it wasn't cold enough, was it?

00:15:32.680 But, you know, if you've got Napoleon attacking you, cold is going to help you out, right?

00:15:40.320 So Putin's best defense, like the main thing that was protecting Russia, was the weather.

00:15:50.320 Now, so we have this story.

00:15:52.580 It's in the Wall Street Journal, right?

00:15:54.280 Big story, national story, that the weather is unusually warm.

00:15:59.040 And because it's unusually warm, it may have solved one of our biggest global problems, which is what happens if Europe plunges into darkness and cold.

00:16:13.200 So I was looking for stories that would connect the two big headlines.

00:16:19.880 It was sort of missing.

00:16:21.360 Because it seems to me that global warming is the reason that Europe will survive.

00:16:29.040 Right?

00:16:30.980 Because all the experts told us that the reason it's unseasonably warm is not because sometimes it's unseasonably warm, like it always is.

00:16:38.660 You know, things fluctuate.

00:16:40.200 No, it's not that.

00:16:41.580 The experts will tell you that whatever you see that's sort of, you know, non-standard, whatever that non-standard thing is, even though there's lots of non-standard things,

00:16:51.800 even though they're going to write an article saying maybe they'll not conclude.

00:16:58.340 But wouldn't you expect to see an article that says, climate change saves Europe, or does it?

00:17:06.800 Right?

00:17:07.000 Sometimes they do the is-it-true stories.

00:17:09.880 You know, did climate change save Europe?

00:17:12.840 And then the experts say, well, there's no way to know.

00:17:15.440 Right?

00:17:16.520 Because when you get to the experts, you know, if you dig down in the story, it's always going to be, well, there's disagreement, no way to know.

00:17:25.260 But you tell me that you wouldn't have seen that story if the warm weather had made it worse for Ukraine.

00:17:34.580 Right?

00:17:35.020 If the warm weather had somehow made it worse for Ukraine's military defense, that would be the only story.

00:17:43.680 The story would be, damn it, climate change has also made Ukraine lose the war.

00:17:49.440 But because it might help Ukraine win the war, there's no problem with that climate change.

00:17:55.520 I don't see why you'd connect those stories together.

00:17:58.040 That would be just crazy.

00:17:59.160 All right.

00:18:03.840 Here's two more stories I'm going to connect together.

00:18:09.080 The public schools in the U.S. lost more than a million students since the beginning of the pandemic.

00:18:15.480 Now, that's as population is increasing, I assume, even with population increase, there was an overall decrease of a million kids.

00:18:25.620 And so some schools are like shutting, shuttering buildings and they've got funding problems as well as excess capacity.

00:18:36.100 But so they have two problems, excess capacity plus there's always a funding problem everywhere.

00:18:41.200 But at the same time, the schools, the public schools are saying, we have too much capacity.

00:18:49.300 We also have an immigration crisis.

00:18:53.860 What's one of the biggest complaints about the immigration crisis?

00:18:57.800 It's putting a strain on schools.

00:19:00.300 It turns out the schools, they have a strain of not enough kids.

00:19:06.940 So we're adding the strain of extra kids at the same time we have a strain of extra buildings and extra capacity.

00:19:15.240 It's kind of perfect.

00:19:17.840 It's kind of perfect.

00:19:19.860 Now, yeah, I get it.

00:19:20.900 The extra immigrants are not always where the extra capacity is.

00:19:25.460 Right.

00:19:26.600 But the Republican mayors or the Republican governors are trying to solve that by bussing their immigrants so everybody gets a share. 0.50

00:19:36.820 Now, this, of course, does not solve the funding problem.

00:19:40.960 The public schools might be underfunded.

00:19:43.440 And that's a pretty big burden.

00:19:45.280 But is it not worth noting that school capacity in public schools may not be impacted as much as you thought?

00:19:59.260 Am I allowed to say that immigration is a gigantic problem?

00:20:04.180 And I believe we should control the border absolutely and then make smart decisions about, you know, how much to open the door and went.

00:20:12.300 So I'm very much, I'm like a maniac on strong borders.

00:20:17.760 But if you're worrying about the capacity at the schools, it might not be as much as you think.

00:20:24.340 Right.

00:20:24.620 Some schools will be over capacity.

00:20:26.800 Some will be under.

00:20:27.780 But it's just not as bad as it could have been.

00:20:31.100 All right.

00:20:32.480 I'm so proud of you.

00:20:33.340 I am so proud of the people watching this right now because I was sure you were going to be blaming me for being an open border person.

00:20:45.820 And I see that you, I've somehow managed to do the impossible.

00:20:50.120 I somehow managed to have created an audience that can handle nuance and can handle looking at both sides.

00:20:59.000 How about this for you?

00:21:00.660 Seriously.

00:21:01.140 Like, I don't know, sometimes you can't tell when I'm joking.

00:21:04.180 Totally serious.

00:21:05.600 I'm very impressed right now.

00:21:07.420 Absolutely impressed.

00:21:08.800 Because the usual thing just isn't happening.

00:21:12.700 Good for you.

00:21:14.060 Good for you.

00:21:15.760 All right.

00:21:18.300 The New York Times Sports Twitter site did a tweet and said this about the Dana White and his slapping contest with his wife there.

00:21:31.140 Three days after TMZ published a video of UFC president Dana White slapping his wife at a nightclub, neither the UFC nor its most important partners is signaling that any meaningful consequences are coming for White.

00:21:46.460 Huh.

00:21:46.700 So, so, so, so the tweet says after he slapped his wife that nobody's going to do anything about it.

00:21:55.800 Huh.

00:21:56.940 Is there any other way that that headline or tweet could have been rewritten that would be true, totally true, but maybe capture the situation, I don't know, a little bit more adequately?

00:22:11.400 Well, I took a shot at it.

00:22:13.900 I took a shot at it.

00:22:15.020 So here's what the New York Times Sports tweet could have been, an alternative headline.

00:22:19.860 Three days after Dana White's wife attacked him, the public wonders why the victim of the attack has not yet been punished.

00:22:30.180 Was there anything wrong with that?

00:22:33.100 Did you see any factual problems with what I just said?

00:22:36.740 He was the victim of the attack.

00:22:38.820 Fact.

00:22:39.940 She hit first. 1.00

00:22:41.160 That's just a fact.

00:22:42.680 Well, what do you call somebody who is hit in an unprovoked way?

00:22:46.700 The aggressor?

00:22:49.460 No, we call that the victim.

00:22:52.060 We call that the victim.

00:22:53.800 Now, if the victim defends him or herself, are they no longer the victim?

00:23:01.940 Hmm.

00:23:02.500 I feel like they're still the victim.

00:23:04.920 Because if somebody tries to kill you and you get lucky and you kill them instead, I think you are still the victim.

00:23:12.360 They don't call the person that you killed in self-defense as the victim, do they?

00:23:16.700 I think they call that the perpetrator who had a bad day.

00:23:20.160 That's a perpetrator with a bad day.

00:23:22.620 His wife is a perpetrator who had a bad day.

00:23:26.200 She perpetrated a physical act. 0.95

00:23:29.620 He ended it very efficiently and quickly.

00:23:32.220 And neither of them were obviously trying to hurt each other.

00:23:37.100 Now, if any of this situation looked to any of us like either of them actually wanted to hurt the other, whole different situation.

00:23:47.900 But that didn't happen.

00:23:49.340 I watched the video.

00:23:50.500 You watched the video.

00:23:51.820 It was obvious they both...

00:23:53.520 It's obvious that she couldn't hurt him.

00:23:55.460 He's a big guy, right?

00:23:56.560 There was no way she could hurt him.

00:23:59.120 And it was obvious that he held back.

00:24:01.640 And he just gave her sort of something similar to what she gave him.

00:24:05.880 So obviously both of them were trying to avoid any kind of serious danger.

00:24:10.820 Been married for 26 years.

00:24:12.620 They're both good with each other.

00:24:14.200 None of our business.

00:24:15.860 None of our business.

00:24:17.240 But you know what is really messed up?

00:24:19.140 This New York Times sports tweet.

00:24:21.500 Imagine treating the victim as the perpetrator and wondering why the victim, the victim, wondering why the victim wasn't punished.

00:24:32.380 And I read this like, this is okay.

00:24:35.700 Like, there's no sense of embarrassment.

00:24:39.220 They just put that out there like that's just a normal thing to say.

00:24:42.720 That the victim should be, you know, what's wrong with punishing the victim more?

00:24:46.960 Why isn't that victim more punished?

00:24:50.220 All right.

00:24:51.500 Here's a story that is tragic, but also funny.

00:25:00.980 Is that my fault?

00:25:02.700 If a tragic story is also funny, is that always my fault?

00:25:07.860 No.

00:25:08.580 Sometimes I'm just the victim of that.

00:25:10.740 I'm a victim.

00:25:11.720 I'm a victim of two coincidences.

00:25:13.520 A tragic story, that's also funny.

00:25:16.820 It's also funny.

00:25:17.420 The report is that a Russian sausage tycoon made his money in sausage, and he was also a lawmaker, but he was a sausage tycoon and a lawmaker.

00:25:29.980 He dies after a three-story fall in India.

00:25:36.540 And I believe he was also a critic of Putin's military action in Ukraine.

00:25:46.620 So this poor sausage tycoon, because, you know, sometimes, I don't know if you've ever been to a hotel.

00:25:56.400 Have any of you ever been to a hotel that had a balcony?

00:25:58.240 You go out on the balcony, and the balcony is, I think, about four feet tall by law, and it's so dangerous.

00:26:07.680 You go out there, and the balcony hits you about here, and if you're walking fast, you're like, whoa, right over it, and then you die.

00:26:14.800 Or you'll just be standing there, and you'll slip, right over the balcony.

00:26:21.060 Or let's say you're pouring a drink, and, like, something slips out of your hand, and you reach for it over the balcony, and then you fall right over the balcony.

00:26:29.940 I mean, if you've ever been near a hotel, you've seen the number of people falling off the balconies, have you not?

00:26:36.320 I mean, it looks like 9-11.

00:26:37.920 You just stand there for 10 minutes, it's like watching a meteor shower.

00:26:41.800 Like, it's not every moment, but you just stand at a big hotel, you'll see people dropping.

00:26:49.480 All right, all right, it's been a while.

00:26:52.760 Okay, there's another one.

00:26:54.560 So it makes perfect sense, and I see nothing suspicious about the story, that yet another critic of Putin has fallen out of yet another hotel window,

00:27:05.160 because we all know how common it is.

00:27:07.820 I mean, probably, you've barely survived some falls out of hotel windows yourself, I'm guessing.

00:27:15.780 Now, why do you think the sausage tycoon was a critic of Putin's military action in Ukraine?

00:27:23.320 What would a sausage maker know about war?

00:27:28.960 That involves sending lots of poorly trained conscripts into sort of a very heavy military, you know, bullets are flying and bombs are going off.

00:27:43.180 And they're conscripts, so they're not, like, expected to win.

00:27:46.280 And they're, they're sometimes called other names, some, you know, diminishing their importance.

00:27:53.180 But he's a sausage maker.

00:27:54.780 How, how could a sausage maker, how could a sausage maker have anything to add to the Ukraine? 0.74

00:28:01.440 Oh, okay.

00:28:04.300 I get it.

00:28:05.120 Yeah, Ukraine is actually a sausage maker. 1.00

00:28:10.880 Turns out he was actually the most qualified person to look at that situation and give you an opinion.

00:28:16.860 So if you want to know about Ukraine, talk to the sausage makers that have not fallen off of hotel balconies.

00:28:22.800 And I believe there's still a few, still a few sausage makers who have, are clinging, clinging to the balconies and not yet died.

00:28:29.880 Now, here's another thing.

00:28:32.440 If you're going to kill yourself, you know, because I think it might have been labeled a no foul play.

00:28:39.020 If you're going to kill yourself, a third story window is the way to do it, isn't it?

00:28:45.220 A lot of people would go up higher to guarantee that they don't survive.

00:28:49.540 Because you wouldn't want to survive that, right?

00:28:51.360 There wouldn't be much left to you.

00:28:52.360 But I like that the sausage maker, he's so precise that he just, he only goes up as far as he needs to.

00:29:02.100 Because three stories, that's just a good solid 75% of the time you're going to be deceased.

00:29:09.380 25% of the time you'll just be crippled for life.

00:29:12.980 But this sausage maker just knows how to do it right.

00:29:15.460 Maybe he stuck the landing, and maybe he stuck the landing, went head first.

00:29:21.220 Yeah, so it could have been an Epstein situation where, you know, it's hard to imagine how he could die, you know, jumping off the bed.

00:29:29.160 It's hard to imagine, but if you have somebody really skilled, they can pull it off, like a sausage maker, for example.

00:29:37.280 So it's bad to be a sausage maker.

00:29:39.620 We learned from the Twitter files, Matt Taibbi reporting, that Adam Schiff's office asked Twitter to remove some journalists that Schiff didn't like.

00:29:52.900 And they were journalists looking into the Russia collusion hoax.

00:29:57.040 So this really happened.

00:29:59.260 That a member of the government, a senator, his office actually asked Twitter to get rid of the people who were investigating.

00:30:09.620 The hoax he was playing on the country.

00:30:12.580 They asked Twitter to get rid of somebody who was investigating a hoax.

00:30:16.860 That really happened.

00:30:19.040 Right?

00:30:19.800 That was a real thing that happened.

00:30:22.560 Now, is Adam Schiff already drummed down to the Senate?

00:30:29.260 Nah.

00:30:31.840 Nah.

00:30:33.000 That's normal business for the Senate.

00:30:34.780 You know, I keep hearing Tucker Carlson saying as clearly as he can that he is completely aware of the corruption in Congress.

00:30:45.740 As in, he can name names.

00:30:47.320 He knows what they're corrupt for or what they're doing.

00:30:50.040 And I have a feeling that there are a lot of people who live and work in that life.

00:30:56.580 They probably all know the names, too.

00:31:00.040 You know, it's just not Tucker's job to, you know, turn a rumor into news.

00:31:08.000 But everything he thought about Adam Schiff was true, it turns out.

00:31:12.360 All right.

00:31:12.580 There's a nasty story about Republican Matt Schlapp.

00:31:18.580 What's his official job?

00:31:21.700 He's not an elected official.

00:31:23.460 He works for the, does he just work for the Republican National Committee?

00:31:29.240 RNC?

00:31:30.600 Yeah.

00:31:31.160 He's a prominent, you see me a lot in Schlapp.

00:31:35.160 Now, the Daily Beast, that I'm going to start by saying,

00:31:40.820 report, right?

00:31:44.640 No credibility in this report.

00:31:46.640 I'm not saying it's not true.

00:31:47.680 I'm not saying it's false.

00:31:50.320 I'm saying that the source, we don't have a name for.

00:31:54.580 He's described in general, but we don't have a name for.

00:31:57.140 There are no other witnesses.

00:31:58.940 So you have an anonymous source in a political moment,

00:32:03.780 and he's a political guy, and it's reported by the Daily Beast.

00:32:10.440 That's everything that signals a fake story.

00:32:14.880 Would you agree?

00:32:15.760 That's every element that you expect the story to be debunked later, fake story.

00:32:23.880 Right?

00:32:24.740 I mean, it's a very, it's a very non-credible source.

00:32:28.300 Now, I want to be clear.

00:32:30.580 I don't know what happened and what didn't happen.

00:32:33.200 Would you agree that I'm not talking about what happened that's unknowable?

00:32:37.240 I'm only talking about whether it's believable based on the source.

00:32:41.500 It's not believable.

00:32:43.540 It is not even a little bit believable.

00:32:45.900 Remember, innocent until proven guilty, and you need evidence to be proven guilty.

00:32:52.120 Now, if some evidence ever comes available, I will speak to it.

00:32:56.160 But right now, you and I don't have any evidence.

00:32:59.520 You and I have a non-credible publication from an anonymous source.

00:33:04.580 That is always the lowest level of believability and the least likely thing to turn out to be true.

00:33:11.520 Now, you may notice a pattern, which I'm defending all citizens against all accusations.

00:33:22.440 Because somebody needs to.

00:33:23.840 I just feel like it's a public service.

00:33:25.940 Like, somebody needs to take the hit.

00:33:28.680 Because, you know, nobody likes it if you defend somebody, especially somebody who's unpopular, right?

00:33:33.580 Nobody likes it.

00:33:34.720 So I'll take the hit.

00:33:36.100 I'll be the, what do you call it, the public defender.

00:33:41.520 So he's absolutely innocent, and there is literally no credible evidence to say he's not.

00:33:48.200 So that's my starting point.

00:33:49.840 However, so he's blamed for trying to fondle the crotch of some staffer for Herschel Walker.

00:34:02.600 So Herschel Walker's staffer, one of them was driving, and they were in a car,

00:34:06.160 and allegedly somebody tried to fondle his crotch.

00:34:09.560 Or he tried to fondle somebody's crotch.

00:34:11.520 Now, it doesn't sound real, does it?

00:34:17.240 Like, even the accusation.

00:34:19.020 Because the accusation is not that he grabbed once and then was rebuffed.

00:34:26.200 The accusation is that after being rebuffed, he kept grabbing.

00:34:31.700 Really?

00:34:32.300 I mean, you know, guys are dumb, but everything about the story sounds wrong, doesn't it?

00:34:40.600 All right.

00:34:41.820 However, because we live in a simulation, I'm sure,

00:34:47.180 I have to note that Schlapp's name, half of his actual last name is Lapp.

00:34:53.300 So, if you were going to start a rumor that wasn't true, here's how to do it.

00:35:10.160 To start a rumor that isn't true, you start with some stuff that maybe people were suspecting a little bit, right?

00:35:23.160 So, you know, Schlapp's married with kids, and...

00:35:29.160 Anyway.

00:35:34.760 Anyway.

00:35:35.880 That's all I've got to say about that.

00:35:37.160 There's just no credibility to the story.

00:35:39.700 But we'll keep watching.

00:35:42.560 All right.

00:35:44.620 What's the difference between audience participation and audience manipulation?

00:35:49.700 So, let me tell you what gets you blocked really fast in my world.

00:35:56.700 I like audience participation.

00:35:59.920 So, I like the comments.

00:36:01.980 And I like when people suggest ideas.

00:36:05.260 And I like when you give me information.

00:36:07.000 When you send me links to stuff.

00:36:09.420 Great.

00:36:10.320 Especially ideas for the comic strip.

00:36:12.820 Great.

00:36:14.080 And can I take a moment?

00:36:15.460 I'd like to welcome all the Klopbirds. 0.96

00:36:16.940 There aren't as many today, but the few that are there...

00:36:20.940 Shout out to the Klopbirds.

00:36:22.680 Thanks for the fans.

00:36:24.280 All the fans coming in.

00:36:27.140 Cope.

00:36:28.040 Cope.

00:36:30.240 Anyway.

00:36:31.300 Here's an example of a tweet I got today.

00:36:34.320 And you tell me, is this audience participation or audience manipulation?

00:36:41.540 Scott, man, pull it together.

00:36:43.980 You're better than this.

00:36:44.940 There are many of us who respect you.

00:36:47.400 And would like to be able to continue doing so.

00:36:54.000 Don't ever do that.

00:36:56.140 Don't ever be that person.

00:36:58.720 Here's what I never want anybody to tell me.

00:37:01.680 Scott, you're better than this.

00:37:04.060 No, I'm not.

00:37:05.860 No.

00:37:06.380 You are what you do.

00:37:08.500 You are what you do.

00:37:11.220 If I did something, I'm not better than that.

00:37:15.240 That's exactly what I am.

00:37:17.020 Now, you might like it.

00:37:18.080 You might not like it.

00:37:19.400 But it's exactly who I am.

00:37:21.580 Because I did it.

00:37:24.240 The only thing I am is what I do.

00:37:26.540 I'm not my internal thoughts.

00:37:28.280 I'm not my wishes and dreams.

00:37:29.780 I'm just what I do.

00:37:31.300 So don't tell me I'm better than what I did.

00:37:33.360 And you cannot be better than what you did.

00:37:36.420 Because what you did is who you are.

00:37:40.820 Right.

00:37:41.840 Secondly, there are many of us who respect you,

00:37:44.580 and we like to be able to continue doing so.

00:37:46.560 I am never going to let your decision about what is respectable influence what I do.

00:37:57.220 Because I have my own, like, little foldy gray thing in my skull,

00:38:03.080 and I get to make those decisions.

00:38:05.900 I and I alone will decide what I do,

00:38:09.620 and then you and you alone will decide how you receive it.

00:38:13.040 But what you won't do is tell me what I should do

00:38:17.300 based on how you might receive it in the future.

00:38:20.620 Uh-uh.

00:38:21.620 Uh-uh.

00:38:22.560 That's not a thing.

00:38:24.300 Nope.

00:38:24.860 Nope.

00:38:25.660 And I'm trying to do this without using the F word.

00:38:28.400 I know.

00:38:28.940 I know.

00:38:29.740 Usually this is where I go in hard.

00:38:31.940 I'm trying to stay GP as much as I can.

00:38:34.860 2023.

00:38:36.060 I don't know if I can pull it off, but I'm trying really hard.

00:38:39.680 Yeah.

00:38:40.120 I don't really care about one troll's respect.

00:38:45.040 I enjoy respect.

00:38:47.140 Should I earn it?

00:38:49.040 And should I receive it?

00:38:50.560 I'm definitely going to like it.

00:38:52.520 But no.

00:38:53.600 Don't tell me to dance like...

00:38:55.020 Oh, man.

00:38:56.620 I almost can't do it without the F word.

00:38:59.580 It's like the F word was designed for this.

00:39:03.560 This exact discussion.

00:39:04.880 All right.

00:39:08.020 But I guess I made my point.

00:39:13.400 The Mexican defense forces are attacking one of the cartels.

00:39:18.880 The Sinaloa cartel.

00:39:20.720 I guess they picked up El Chapo's son, who was the head of that.

00:39:24.760 And that caused a war.

00:39:25.880 The cartels attacked the military.

00:39:27.600 The military is attacking them.

00:39:28.760 So we saw some videos of what looked like Mexican gunships firing down on cartel positions.

00:39:36.640 Now, when you see that, how do you interpret it?

00:39:40.800 Do you interpret it as this looks like the Mexican government is finally getting serious about going after the cartels?

00:39:48.040 Because they've never employed this much military weapons against the cartels.

00:39:52.860 So is this a sign that they're now going to another level?

00:40:00.180 What would be another explanation for it?

00:40:05.820 Yes.

00:40:06.580 Thank you.

00:40:07.980 One cartel owns the Mexican army, and it's not this one.

00:40:12.160 To me, it looks far more likely that it's one cartel got up on, you know, got over on the army and is using it to take out the competition.

00:40:24.820 It looks like they're taking out the competition.

00:40:27.960 Now, it could be just a response to the fact that the, well, actually, no, it just looks like, it just looks like that.

00:40:34.800 Now, surely America has been pressuring them to get the head of the cartel.

00:40:41.440 So maybe they just did that because of American pressure and that they didn't want to be in this at all.

00:40:47.560 So that's a possibility.

00:40:50.200 Yeah.

00:40:50.900 So I don't believe anything about the Mexican military attacking the cartels at all.

00:40:59.400 All right.

00:41:00.080 Here's a provocative question.

00:41:08.480 Somebody who is trans, and before I talk about trans topics, I'd like to remind you I'm very pro-trans, far more than any of you watching here today,

00:41:18.980 under the theory that everybody's different and they get to decide what their life looks like.

00:41:23.380 Now, the stuff with children, that gets into other issues about, you know, parental control and who makes decisions and what's reversible and what's not and all that.

00:41:33.720 But I'd like to make a more general comment about the whole area, right, without getting into the specific things, which are important.

00:41:42.380 They are important.

00:41:42.980 But today, would it be fair to say that the trans community are people who, at least at one point, there was a, let's say, conflict or a difference between what their physical body was and what their mind was?

00:42:02.680 Would that be fair?

00:42:03.460 That's fair, gender-wise, that their mind would be one gender, their bodies would be the opposite. 0.96

00:42:09.600 And that's, is that, is that bigoted?

00:42:14.420 Because it might be, like accidentally or something.

00:42:17.660 Is there anything about that that is like opposite of what the trans community would want you to think about them?

00:42:24.260 That's still fair, right?

00:42:26.020 It's just a difference between the body and the mind.

00:42:29.240 Are we right?

00:42:30.560 Because this is important.

00:42:31.680 I need to make sure I'm right on that.

00:42:33.980 Okay.

00:42:34.600 Now, if that's the difference, the way that they try to solve that in some cases, but not all, is through physical manipulation of the body to get the body and the mind both on, both on target.

00:42:50.340 But here's the question.

00:42:52.260 If somebody started a business as a hypnotist and said, I'm going to offer the following service.

00:42:58.740 I'm going to make your mind compatible with your body instead of the other way around.

00:43:03.460 So I know your mind says you're whatever, but with your, with your consent, we'll fix your mind so that you're happy with your body and if, and they're, they're both the same.

00:43:13.760 Now, could it be done?

00:43:15.080 Now, could it be done?

00:43:16.820 Yes.

00:43:17.740 Yes.

00:43:18.280 Yes.

00:43:18.620 You could, in fact, reprogram somebody to a different gender preference.

00:43:24.780 Not everybody.

00:43:26.720 Not everybody.

00:43:27.620 So that's the first thing you need to know.

00:43:30.140 We couldn't possibly work on everybody.

00:43:32.700 And not everybody would be better off from it.

00:43:36.020 Right?

00:43:36.660 So this has to be said clearly.

00:43:38.300 I don't believe that everybody's worse off if they transition.

00:43:43.840 I don't believe that.

00:43:45.040 I believe that some people do it and they're happy about it and they're always happy about it.

00:43:48.460 I just don't know the percentage.

00:43:50.440 I'm not sure anybody does.

00:43:52.360 But I'm just asking from a pure, mechanical, practical sense.

00:43:58.660 If two things are ran a whack and the problem is that they're ran a whack, the problem isn't that you're the wrong gender, right?

00:44:08.060 Like nobody's saying, you know, boys are evil or girls are evil in this context.

00:44:12.940 We're just saying that they're ran a whack. 0.94

00:44:15.240 So would it be bigoted to suggest that the software could be adjusted to match the hardware when generally we only think of changing the hardware to match the software?

00:44:27.820 Would there be anything ethically or morally wrong?

00:44:32.660 Now, this assumes the person is volunteering for this therapy.

00:44:36.800 I'll call it therapy.

00:44:37.840 You could call it something else.

00:44:39.280 But would it be wrong?

00:44:42.620 And I can guarantee it would work for some people while also guaranteeing it definitely wouldn't for other people.

00:44:49.280 I just don't know the percentages.

00:44:51.160 But let's say it's a small percentage.

00:44:53.900 Say it would work for 10% of the people.

00:44:55.840 I don't know.

00:44:56.300 Maybe that's high.

00:44:57.200 Maybe it's low.

00:44:57.820 But let's say it was.

00:44:59.580 Would it be illegal?

00:45:02.120 I think it would be illegal, wouldn't it?

00:45:05.320 Because under our current concept, we believe that the mind is the important one and the body is just an accessory.

00:45:14.980 Right?

00:45:17.060 So if the mind is the important one, you don't want to mess with that.

00:45:20.660 But I say we change our minds all the time.

00:45:23.720 You're not the same person you were.

00:45:24.960 Your mind is not the same one you were born with.

00:45:27.520 Literally, cells have been replaced.

00:45:31.020 You know, folds and architecture of your brain has grown.

00:45:35.380 You've learned things.

00:45:36.520 You've had experiences.

00:45:37.720 It's got trauma in it.

00:45:39.020 You're definitely not the same brain you were born with.

00:45:41.160 And if you don't think I could change, you know, as a hypnotist, if you don't think I could change somebody's gender identity through hypnosis,

00:45:51.920 somebody in the comments is just saying, stop it, Scott, over and over again.

00:45:59.880 Stop what?

00:46:01.780 Could you be less useful than that?

00:46:04.040 Welcome to all the Klopberts. 1.00

00:46:09.700 So if you've seen the Klopberts talking, those are my fans who like to use their clever nickname. 0.93

00:46:19.760 And you should know that their call sign is COPE.

00:46:24.840 COPE.

00:46:25.300 All right.

00:46:28.920 Well, I thought I would generate more pushback than that.

00:46:34.580 But would you agree with the statement that it would be illegal if somebody tried doing it?

00:46:40.880 Or somebody would try to make it illegal right away?

00:46:44.140 Because I think what would happen is, here's the problem.

00:46:47.420 It questions their mind instead of their body.

00:46:53.880 I don't know if you're allowed to question somebody's mind.

00:46:57.780 In our woke world, I don't think you can question, you know, somebody's mental state.

00:47:03.460 But if they ask you to change it, I don't know, that seems fair to me.

00:47:10.040 All right.

00:47:14.180 Let's see.

00:47:14.840 I would like to go to the whiteboard now for what I call the NPC explainer.

00:47:22.640 Now, as you know, I speculate that we live in a software simulation like a game.

00:47:28.560 And that some of us are authors and players in the game.

00:47:32.420 And others are just scenery, NPCs.

00:47:35.640 And I'm looking for a way to identify the NPCs.

00:47:38.780 I'm not sure I have it yet, but it's a double whiteboard time.

00:47:41.980 See, I forgot what was on the side.

00:47:45.900 Oh, okay.

00:47:49.540 So I've been talking to a lot of people who disagree with me on a lot of things.

00:47:53.740 And here seems to be a basic difference between an NPC and a player.

00:48:02.580 During a period where there's, let's say, a new headline, but you don't know what is true and what is not yet.

00:48:08.980 Let's say, I call that the fog of war.

00:48:11.540 So in the earliest days, this is the time scale.

00:48:14.220 So in the earliest days of any big event, the NPCs start out certain, and then they just stay that way.

00:48:23.180 The players are gathering information, and they're starting uncertain.

00:48:28.680 And over time, their level of confidence increases.

00:48:32.380 They may never reach the level of certainty.

00:48:36.320 But statistically, they're a little more confident, a little more likely.

00:48:40.580 But the NPCs, they start out completely confident and stay that way.

00:48:45.800 Now, you might say to me, Scott, why does that happen?

00:48:50.160 Like, why would the NPCs be completely confident without actual data or science?

00:48:57.760 Well, I can answer that.

00:49:02.080 That's why we have two sides of a whiteboard.

00:49:06.660 Because this is what logic and science looks like to an NPC.

00:49:13.160 They use, instead of waiting for data and science, which is unreliable.

00:49:18.840 I think we all know that science has been a mess lately.

00:49:21.760 So the NPCs are doing the best they can in a world in which the data that we get is useless.

00:49:29.960 All right.

00:49:30.520 So I have great sympathy, or empathy, I guess.

00:49:33.700 I have great empathy for the NPCs because they live in a world where you can't believe the science, frankly.

00:49:39.500 You just can't believe it.

00:49:40.600 So they do the best that they can.

00:49:42.720 So they use their common sense.

00:49:45.400 They use pattern recognition.

00:49:47.180 And this is what they tell me.

00:49:48.360 So this is from feedback on the internet.

00:49:50.320 Because I ask them, how can you be so certain without the information yet?

00:49:56.240 And they go, oh, yeah.

00:49:57.480 We've got our pattern recognition, our common sense.

00:50:00.000 We have our wisdom and experience.

00:50:01.880 These are words they use.

00:50:03.960 They've got their instincts and their gut feel.

00:50:07.740 Now, they also look at studies as information comes out.

00:50:12.060 And they pick the ones that agree with them and call those the good ones.

00:50:16.460 And then when there's a study that disagrees with them, they call that a poor study.

00:50:21.680 Now, is that an insult to NPCs?

00:50:25.120 Is there anybody else you could think of, any other group that's not an NPC, that only believes the studies that agreed with what they already thought?

00:50:38.220 What would be an example of some other class of people who does that?

00:50:43.620 Everybody.

00:50:44.180 Scientists.

00:50:46.400 Scientists.

00:50:47.600 That's what scientists do.

00:50:49.880 The entire story of the pandemic was scientists looking at studies that agreed with them and then saying those are the good ones.

00:50:59.860 That's just what we experienced.

00:51:01.820 There's no difference between the NPCs and the scientists on the question of, do you promote the studies that agree with you?

00:51:09.100 Have you seen the rogue doctors, Dr. McCullough, Dr. Malone?

00:51:17.760 When they tweet a study, is there ever a study that disagrees with their opinion?

00:51:24.240 I haven't seen it.

00:51:25.940 Have you ever seen that?

00:51:27.440 No.

00:51:27.780 Every expert only picks the studies that agree with them.

00:51:32.180 It's no different if you're an NPC or a scientist.

00:51:34.780 Now, I know what you're thinking.

00:51:38.460 Scott, Scott, science is a whole system that maybe somebody could try to get away with something in the short run,

00:51:46.520 but you're going to catch them with your peer review.

00:51:49.040 You're going to catch them with other people look at the data.

00:51:51.800 You're going to catch them when the study is reproduced and they can't reproduce it.

00:51:55.660 So, yes, I get it, Scott.

00:51:57.520 Sometimes scientists can be a little biased themselves.

00:52:01.060 But over time, over time, science will drive out the bias.

00:52:07.340 Did that happen?

00:52:09.460 Is that what you saw in the pandemic?

00:52:12.720 Nothing like that happened.

00:52:14.460 No, nothing like that happened.

00:52:15.940 It was all political and cognitive dissonance and everything else.

00:52:19.500 So, if you think I'm insulting the NPCs because they picked the studies that agree with them,

00:52:26.580 nope.

00:52:27.560 That's just normal.

00:52:29.120 That's just normal.

00:52:29.980 How about the data that agrees with them?

00:52:33.040 Same thing, whether it's the study or data.

00:52:35.020 Everybody accepts what they agree with.

00:52:38.760 And then I've been told repeatedly that they got the right answer because they believed the,

00:52:45.920 let's say, the rogue outcast canceled doctors.

00:52:51.400 And they said, that's a group that is more reliable.

00:52:54.660 So, the reason I got it right is because I believe the, you know, the rogue doctors who were fighting against the mainstream.

00:53:03.940 All right.

00:53:04.560 Now, what would you collectively, is there any word that you can think of that would collectively would capture the logic and science and decision making of an NPC?

00:53:15.520 What would be one word that you think?

00:53:17.620 What would be one word you think?

00:53:18.260 I'll let you see it.

00:53:19.920 What one?

00:53:20.700 Stubborn, fun.

00:53:22.880 What do you think?

00:53:24.620 And the clot birds can play, too.

00:53:26.620 You just have to use the word clot in every answer.

00:53:31.160 So, the clot birds, you should always just say clot and then your opinion.

00:53:35.840 Confirmation, contrarian, ego.

00:53:38.220 So, okay, I have a suggestion.

00:53:42.120 Here's another word that captures all of this process.

00:53:46.340 Magical thinking.

00:53:48.840 Magical thinking.

00:53:50.980 It's the opposite of rational thinking.

00:53:55.140 Do you know what common sense is?

00:53:57.500 Common sense is magical thinking.

00:54:01.840 If common sense were an actual thing, we would all agree.

00:54:04.740 We wouldn't have any discussions if common sense were real.

00:54:10.100 It's not real.

00:54:12.600 How about pattern recognition?

00:54:16.040 Well, I guess you wouldn't even need science, would you?

00:54:19.420 Why would you need science?

00:54:20.680 Just use your pattern recognition.

00:54:23.720 Pattern recognition can tell you something's odd.

00:54:28.340 And it can also be seriously misleading.

00:54:30.700 All of confirmation bias is from pattern recognition.

00:54:36.300 The operating system of human beings is confirmation bias.

00:54:41.360 It's not truth.

00:54:43.060 It's confirmation bias.

00:54:44.780 And confirmation bias is because we think we see patterns,

00:54:48.340 but there are patterns everywhere.

00:54:50.340 The world is mostly false patterns,

00:54:53.400 something that's a coincidence, and it's just that.

00:54:56.020 That's all it is.

00:54:57.400 So, that's magical thinking.

00:54:59.140 Wisdom and experience is just other words for these things.

00:55:03.520 It's just magical thinking.

00:55:05.360 And how about instinct or gut feel?

00:55:07.540 Magical thinking.

00:55:09.520 Do you know why science was invented?

00:55:13.100 Science was invented because none of this is real.

00:55:17.400 That's the whole point of science.

00:55:18.900 If you could figure out what was real without science,

00:55:23.460 if you could just use your common sense and your pattern recognition

00:55:26.780 and your wisdom and experience and your gut feel,

00:55:29.680 well, then that would be science.

00:55:31.880 That's what we would use.

00:55:33.920 The reason we don't use these things is that they're not real.

00:55:38.160 These are the things that people think are real,

00:55:40.480 the illusion, the magical thinking.

00:55:42.760 So, the NPCs start with magical thinking,

00:55:46.500 and then it never stops.

00:55:49.280 So, that's how they can be certain in the fog of war,

00:55:54.000 because they use magical thinking,

00:55:56.280 and that works everywhere.

00:55:57.980 So, actual, rational, scientific thinking

00:56:00.560 is useless in a fog of war,

00:56:03.680 because you can't trust any of the data.

00:56:09.900 So, the actual players,

00:56:12.420 they know they can't make any decision

00:56:14.720 because they can't trust the data,

00:56:16.160 and then maybe over time,

00:56:19.060 you know, the process creates some clarity.

00:56:26.040 Now, what do you do?

00:56:28.140 If you can't trust the science,

00:56:29.760 and you can't trust the data,

00:56:31.280 and you can't trust your common sense,

00:56:33.680 what is the best way to play it?

00:56:36.780 How would you play it

00:56:37.900 if you believed you just couldn't trust

00:56:39.760 any of these methods?

00:56:43.760 Probability.

00:56:44.460 Thank you.

00:56:45.580 Yeah.

00:56:46.580 Observation and probability.

00:56:48.420 So, observation is a good answer, too.

00:56:50.740 Sometimes you just describe it.

00:56:53.480 Right?

00:56:53.740 So, I try to do that when it's just a fog of war.

00:56:56.500 I just describe what people are saying.

00:56:59.100 I don't believe it,

00:57:01.080 and I tell you not to believe it,

00:57:02.400 and I tell you that often.

00:57:03.860 Don't believe it.

00:57:04.720 It's just what's reported.

00:57:06.140 Right?

00:57:06.540 So, the Schlapp story is a perfect one. 0.91

00:57:09.360 So, the accusations against Schlapp

00:57:11.180 are a fog of war,

00:57:13.040 and the NPCs are sure they know.

00:57:16.460 Right?

00:57:17.460 There are probably some NPCs watching.

00:57:19.640 How many of you know

00:57:20.840 what's true with the Matt Schlapp story?

00:57:23.620 Just admit it.

00:57:25.760 Just say you know.

00:57:27.300 You know it did happen,

00:57:28.520 or you know it didn't happen.

00:57:30.320 Do you?

00:57:30.920 Do you know?

00:57:33.580 At best, it's a calculation.

00:57:37.840 Right?

00:57:38.380 So, everything about the pandemic,

00:57:42.360 anybody who talks about the pandemic

00:57:44.360 in terms of certainty

00:57:45.560 is an NPC,

00:57:48.280 and using magical thinking.

00:57:49.580 Everybody who talks about it

00:57:51.520 in terms of likelihoods and odds

00:57:54.440 and, you know,

00:57:55.200 playing,

00:57:55.820 taking their best chance

00:57:57.240 and guessing,

00:57:58.960 while simultaneously,

00:58:00.960 you know,

00:58:01.160 trying to improve the quality

00:58:02.380 of their understanding

00:58:03.200 of their data,

00:58:04.420 those are probably thinking people.

00:58:08.100 Those are people

00:58:09.200 who have some rational capability.

00:58:12.240 You know,

00:58:12.440 humans are limited

00:58:13.420 in their rational capability,

00:58:14.600 but they would be

00:58:15.640 among the better ones.

00:58:17.560 So, this rule of thumb

00:58:19.080 is so good.

00:58:20.620 This would be the best rule of thumb

00:58:21.960 about the pandemic.

00:58:23.720 Everybody who talks in certainty

00:58:25.280 is an NPC.

00:58:28.760 You don't even have to have

00:58:29.880 a conversation with them.

00:58:31.520 Right?

00:58:32.060 Now,

00:58:32.560 some of you speak in certainty

00:58:34.540 because it's sort of a shortcut.

00:58:37.560 It's easier than saying,

00:58:38.880 well,

00:58:39.280 I think 90% chance.

00:58:41.140 Right?

00:58:41.600 So, we all do that.

00:58:42.780 But once you get into

00:58:44.380 the conversation,

00:58:46.140 that's when you can add

00:58:47.320 your nuance.

00:58:48.060 It's like,

00:58:48.360 okay,

00:58:48.800 I think there's a 90% chance

00:58:50.520 this is true.

00:58:51.460 And then somebody can say,

00:58:52.680 okay,

00:58:52.940 that's rational.

00:58:54.240 You know,

00:58:54.480 I might disagree with the 90%, 1.00

00:58:56.440 but I like the fact

00:58:58.460 that you're treating it

00:58:59.260 as a likelihood

00:59:00.260 or a percentage.

00:59:01.480 Right?

00:59:02.080 That's where rational people end up.

00:59:05.280 Now,

00:59:06.720 how good are people

00:59:09.500 at predicting the future?

00:59:12.780 Generally speaking,

00:59:16.200 how good are people

00:59:17.400 at predicting the future?

00:59:19.240 Some are decent.

00:59:20.400 That's the answer

00:59:20.940 I was looking for.

00:59:21.940 Yeah.

00:59:22.500 The answer I was looking for

00:59:24.300 was that some people

00:59:25.280 are really good at it.

00:59:27.740 Yeah.

00:59:29.060 How many of you believe that?

00:59:30.280 How many people believe

00:59:32.360 that some people

00:59:33.180 are good at predicting

00:59:34.160 the future?

00:59:34.660 No,

00:59:39.680 that's not a thing.

00:59:41.140 That's absolutely

00:59:41.880 not a thing.

00:59:42.520 That's an illusion.

00:59:44.940 In the world of finance,

00:59:48.720 you know,

00:59:49.120 the finance world

00:59:50.000 is gigantic.

00:59:51.240 And there's nothing

00:59:52.100 that would be more valuable,

00:59:53.580 literally nothing,

00:59:55.040 literally nothing

00:59:56.000 would be more valuable

00:59:57.500 than being 1% better

00:59:59.840 at predicting the future

01:00:00.920 than the other people.

01:00:02.260 Nothing could make you richer

01:00:04.660 than being 1% better

01:00:06.420 than the average

01:00:07.920 of the other people.

01:00:09.680 And yet,

01:00:10.260 doesn't happen.

01:00:11.880 Doesn't happen.

01:00:13.760 Because it's all guessing.

01:00:15.760 Even in the most,

01:00:17.480 you know,

01:00:18.160 sort of logical world

01:00:19.580 of finance,

01:00:20.940 it's still just guessing.

01:00:23.880 If you think

01:00:24.840 that anybody knew

01:00:26.100 what was going to happen

01:00:27.440 at the beginning

01:00:27.980 of the pandemic,

01:00:28.620 you should never

01:00:30.300 talk in public.

01:00:32.080 Right?

01:00:32.920 You should never

01:00:33.580 talk in public

01:00:34.240 if you say you knew

01:00:35.240 what was going to happen.

01:00:36.640 Nobody knew.

01:00:38.540 You know,

01:00:38.820 you can make some

01:00:39.580 reasonable guesses,

01:00:41.000 but, you know,

01:00:41.560 good luck.

01:00:42.820 Right?

01:00:44.040 So,

01:00:45.140 one of the,

01:00:46.380 one of the predictive

01:00:47.600 methods I use

01:00:49.060 is,

01:00:49.480 as you know,

01:00:50.460 the,

01:00:50.780 the Adams' law

01:00:52.000 of slow-moving disasters,

01:00:53.180 which may be

01:00:55.400 among the reasons

01:00:56.180 that,

01:00:56.620 you know,

01:00:57.280 Europe will not

01:00:58.060 freeze this winter.

01:00:59.740 So,

01:01:00.260 that's actually

01:01:00.740 pretty dependable.

01:01:03.600 Among the predictive

01:01:04.900 methods,

01:01:05.940 I think that's

01:01:06.720 pretty good.

01:01:08.060 But,

01:01:08.600 that wouldn't be

01:01:09.240 necessarily a case

01:01:10.140 of me being good

01:01:10.920 at predicting,

01:01:11.560 would it?

01:01:12.680 It's more like

01:01:13.440 I discovered a rule

01:01:14.700 that's good

01:01:15.200 for everybody.

01:01:16.780 Like,

01:01:17.040 that's not really

01:01:17.580 me predicting.

01:01:18.920 I mentioned it a lot,

01:01:20.780 but everybody

01:01:21.420 who's heard of

01:01:22.300 the Adams' law

01:01:22.940 of slow-moving disasters,

01:01:24.460 and everybody

01:01:25.060 who's seen

01:01:25.600 how many times

01:01:26.260 it predicts,

01:01:27.100 it's just a tool.

01:01:28.460 You can say,

01:01:28.980 oh,

01:01:29.200 there's a tool.

01:01:31.160 That seems to work

01:01:32.200 a lot,

01:01:32.780 not every time,

01:01:33.740 but I'll use

01:01:34.860 that tool to predict.

01:01:36.180 So,

01:01:36.480 if you,

01:01:36.700 if you made

01:01:37.280 that prediction,

01:01:38.660 you did pretty well.

01:01:40.660 For example,

01:01:42.220 at the beginning

01:01:42.720 of the pandemic,

01:01:43.480 we thought the

01:01:44.260 supply chains

01:01:45.520 might completely crash.

01:01:48.820 Where I was saying

01:01:49.800 publicly every day,

01:01:51.180 nope,

01:01:51.440 the law of

01:01:53.040 slow-moving disasters

01:01:54.100 states that we

01:01:55.280 all see the problem

01:01:56.320 so that we'll do

01:01:57.800 miraculous things

01:01:59.060 to adapt

01:01:59.680 so we don't

01:02:00.740 starve to death.

01:02:01.600 And that's what

01:02:02.020 happened.

01:02:02.820 That's what happened.

01:02:03.680 Now,

01:02:04.080 the supply chains

01:02:05.460 got crushed,

01:02:07.220 but we all ate.

01:02:09.360 And we waited

01:02:10.160 a little while

01:02:10.960 to get car parts

01:02:11.800 and stuff,

01:02:12.400 and prices went up.

01:02:13.880 But we basically

01:02:14.720 figured it out.

01:02:15.800 Yeah,

01:02:16.060 Y2K,

01:02:16.800 same thing.

01:02:17.260 So,

01:02:18.740 so I would say

01:02:20.840 don't listen

01:02:21.600 to people.

01:02:23.440 People can't

01:02:24.220 predict.

01:02:25.500 Sometimes you

01:02:26.400 can find a tool

01:02:27.360 or like a

01:02:28.900 rule

01:02:29.320 that does a

01:02:30.960 better job,

01:02:31.580 but that's not a

01:02:32.300 person,

01:02:32.660 that's sort of a

01:02:33.180 rule.

01:02:36.420 Then the other

01:02:37.180 way you can

01:02:37.840 sort of predict

01:02:38.700 is assuming

01:02:40.000 that people

01:02:40.500 will always

01:02:41.000 be people,

01:02:42.520 meaning that

01:02:43.280 selfishness

01:02:44.260 and self-interest

01:02:45.240 are usually

01:02:46.460 behind most

01:02:47.400 things.

01:02:48.580 But is that

01:02:48.980 really,

01:02:49.640 you know,

01:02:50.760 somebody being

01:02:51.460 brilliant in

01:02:52.100 their prediction?

01:02:52.940 Or is it just

01:02:53.800 a rule of life

01:02:54.840 that has a

01:02:56.220 pretty good

01:02:56.540 track record?

01:02:57.720 Yeah,

01:02:57.920 that's not about

01:02:58.500 people.

01:02:59.420 That's about a

01:03:00.200 rule that does 0.76

01:03:00.840 a pretty good

01:03:01.300 job.

01:03:02.400 How about

01:03:02.940 this one?

01:03:04.140 Here's a tough

01:03:04.580 one.

01:03:05.780 The government

01:03:06.460 is implementing

01:03:07.380 a new program.

01:03:09.940 Right?

01:03:10.440 I don't even

01:03:11.100 know what it

01:03:11.460 is.

01:03:11.880 The government

01:03:12.460 is implementing

01:03:13.280 a new program.

01:03:14.000 Is it going

01:03:14.540 to work?

01:03:16.260 Will it

01:03:16.860 work?

01:03:19.040 Pattern

01:03:19.600 recognition,

01:03:20.860 common sense,

01:03:22.000 experience,

01:03:23.460 observation,

01:03:24.880 right?

01:03:25.360 So all of

01:03:26.100 you are on

01:03:26.360 the same page.

01:03:26.900 It will

01:03:27.100 work.

01:03:27.720 But let

01:03:28.080 me ask you

01:03:28.460 this.

01:03:29.740 Has the

01:03:30.140 government

01:03:30.420 ever ruled

01:03:31.060 any programs

01:03:31.780 that worked?

01:03:35.040 Yes.

01:03:36.560 Lots of

01:03:37.200 them.

01:03:38.120 What's the

01:03:38.700 percentage of

01:03:39.400 programs that

01:03:40.060 worked to

01:03:41.220 programs that

01:03:41.840 didn't work?

01:03:42.760 What's the

01:03:43.180 percentage?

01:03:44.780 I don't

01:03:45.120 know.

01:03:46.320 It beats

01:03:46.580 me.

01:03:47.600 But if you're

01:03:48.500 saying there's

01:03:48.920 a 100% chance

01:03:49.860 that the

01:03:50.160 government rolled

01:03:50.720 it down so

01:03:51.200 it won't

01:03:51.520 work, I

01:03:53.840 don't think

01:03:54.280 that's backed

01:03:55.000 by any

01:03:55.540 observation.

01:03:57.140 I think the

01:03:57.580 government has

01:03:58.160 probably a

01:04:00.320 better track

01:04:01.060 record than a

01:04:01.840 startup, and

01:04:03.440 a lot of

01:04:03.760 things that a

01:04:04.200 government does

01:04:04.860 are being done

01:04:05.600 for the first

01:04:06.080 time ever.

01:04:07.520 So if you

01:04:08.700 compare it to

01:04:09.180 a startup,

01:04:11.680 probably 20%

01:04:13.700 success, would

01:04:16.580 you say?

01:04:17.080 I think the

01:04:17.540 government's

01:04:18.020 maybe 20%

01:04:18.920 successful on

01:04:20.240 new things, but

01:04:21.740 they're also good

01:04:22.420 at hacking on

01:04:24.100 the new thing

01:04:24.600 until it's

01:04:25.020 better.

01:04:26.100 The first

01:04:27.000 thing that the

01:04:27.540 government does

01:04:28.180 is kind of

01:04:29.240 sketchy, and

01:04:30.180 then they

01:04:30.420 adjust and

01:04:31.020 improve over

01:04:31.780 time.

01:04:32.040 So, I

01:04:33.240 don't know.

01:04:34.320 Can you use

01:04:35.120 any rules of

01:04:36.180 thumb?

01:04:38.200 I mean,

01:04:39.280 statistically, it's

01:04:40.300 the best you

01:04:40.660 can do.

01:04:41.800 So, do

01:04:42.980 away with your

01:04:43.600 certainty.

01:04:45.220 Do away with

01:04:45.880 your certainty.

01:04:47.040 There are some

01:04:47.700 rules that seem

01:04:48.500 to predict, and

01:04:49.420 just identify

01:04:50.100 those, but if

01:04:51.420 you think there's

01:04:51.980 a person who

01:04:52.820 can predict,

01:04:55.640 I mean, I've,

01:04:56.840 you know, I put

01:04:57.620 my record against

01:04:58.500 anybody's, but

01:05:00.460 I don't even,

01:05:00.940 even I don't

01:05:01.400 know if I can.

01:05:02.800 For example, I

01:05:03.580 don't know if

01:05:04.280 the next time I

01:05:05.380 predict something,

01:05:06.040 I'll get it

01:05:06.420 right.

01:05:07.740 Here's the

01:05:08.280 problem.

01:05:10.240 I wrote about

01:05:11.000 this in my

01:05:11.420 book, God's

01:05:12.160 Debris.

01:05:14.060 Imagine if you

01:05:14.860 were a penny,

01:05:16.300 like a coin, a

01:05:17.440 little coin that

01:05:18.060 people flip, and

01:05:19.800 suppose you had

01:05:20.320 consciousness, but

01:05:22.440 you have no arms

01:05:23.180 and legs, and

01:05:24.000 you're just a

01:05:24.560 penny, so you

01:05:25.640 can't move on

01:05:26.320 your own, but

01:05:27.840 you know you do

01:05:28.540 move, like you're

01:05:30.280 aware that you

01:05:30.800 move, because

01:05:31.260 people pick you

01:05:31.920 up, and they

01:05:32.360 move, and they

01:05:33.360 flip you. 0.86

01:05:34.300 Now let's say you

01:05:35.280 know somebody's

01:05:35.840 getting ready to

01:05:36.420 flip you, and you 0.87

01:05:37.960 say to yourself,

01:05:38.560 you're a penny, you 0.51

01:05:39.440 have no arms and

01:05:40.100 legs, you're just a 1.00

01:05:40.720 penny, and you say,

01:05:41.900 all right, I'm going

01:05:43.300 to make myself come

01:05:44.120 up heads this time,

01:05:45.800 heads, and then the

01:05:47.160 person, the human

01:05:47.820 flips you, and comes

01:05:49.300 up heads.

01:05:50.220 What do you say?

01:05:52.960 What would be your

01:05:53.860 interpretation of what

01:05:54.840 just happened?

01:05:55.740 You're a penny, you

01:05:56.720 said, I'm going to

01:05:57.140 try to be heads, and

01:05:58.460 then you came up

01:05:58.960 heads.

01:06:00.300 No, you would not

01:06:01.280 interpret that as

01:06:01.980 lucky.

01:06:03.240 No, you would think

01:06:04.680 you did it.

01:06:06.320 You would believe, no,

01:06:07.820 you wouldn't believe

01:06:08.380 you guessed it, you

01:06:09.760 would believe you

01:06:10.240 made it happen.

01:06:11.820 You would believe you

01:06:12.580 made it happen.

01:06:13.560 You wouldn't believe

01:06:14.180 you guessed it.

01:06:15.700 Now, let's say it

01:06:18.160 does a second flip, and

01:06:20.180 you get it a second

01:06:21.200 time, which is not

01:06:23.320 that unusual, right?

01:06:24.560 Getting two in a row,

01:06:25.420 not that unusual, like

01:06:27.680 what is it, 25%.

01:06:29.020 So let's say you get

01:06:30.820 it twice in a row.

01:06:31.980 Now, what do you

01:06:32.580 think?

01:06:33.640 Now you know you're

01:06:34.720 causing it, don't

01:06:35.540 you?

01:06:35.960 Because you're a

01:06:36.460 smart little petty.

01:06:37.920 You see the pattern.

01:06:39.520 It's a pattern.

01:06:42.100 You've only been asked

01:06:43.140 twice, and both of

01:06:45.260 them you got right.

01:06:46.200 There's a pattern.

01:06:47.960 Or you might say,

01:06:49.100 God has intervened.

01:06:50.860 Let's say you're

01:06:51.840 thinking, heads, I

01:06:52.780 want to come up

01:06:53.200 heads, but it

01:06:53.980 comes up tails.

01:06:55.420 What would you

01:06:56.020 say then?

01:06:57.100 Well, if you're a

01:06:58.160 religious penny, you 0.94

01:06:59.600 might say, oh, that's

01:07:01.920 what I wanted, but God

01:07:03.260 is teaching me a

01:07:04.060 lesson, so probably

01:07:05.560 that's more

01:07:06.000 important.

01:07:07.000 Yeah, I could

01:07:08.100 definitely make myself

01:07:09.140 come up heads or

01:07:09.840 tails, unless, you

01:07:11.420 know, God intervenes

01:07:12.540 because he wants to

01:07:13.560 teach me a lesson.

01:07:15.280 So when it was all

01:07:16.220 done, do you think

01:07:17.500 that the penny would

01:07:19.160 think it had free

01:07:19.860 will and could

01:07:21.160 control which way it

01:07:22.180 came up?

01:07:23.500 Yeah, it would.

01:07:24.300 It would think that

01:07:25.900 it could control

01:07:26.540 it.

01:07:27.200 It would think that

01:07:27.820 when it didn't

01:07:28.340 work, that, you

01:07:30.180 know, God or

01:07:30.820 somebody else was

01:07:31.440 intervening.

01:07:33.700 That's you and

01:07:35.860 me.

01:07:36.640 We're just the

01:07:37.460 penny.

01:07:38.500 When we get it

01:07:39.380 right, we think it's

01:07:40.600 because we're awesome.

01:07:42.120 When we get it

01:07:42.740 wrong, we say, well,

01:07:43.820 something happened

01:07:44.500 there that, you

01:07:45.780 know, nobody could

01:07:46.480 have seen that

01:07:46.900 coming.

01:07:47.100 Oh, I'm, within

01:07:53.840 politics, I'm most

01:07:54.800 famous for having a

01:07:56.360 guest that Trump

01:07:58.060 would become

01:07:58.520 president in the

01:08:00.420 first time.

01:08:01.560 Now, is that

01:08:02.480 because I'm extra

01:08:03.400 good at predicting?

01:08:06.280 Well, let me ask you

01:08:07.420 this.

01:08:08.440 If I had been

01:08:09.360 wrong, would you

01:08:12.260 have remembered that

01:08:13.060 I even predicted?

01:08:13.740 If I had been

01:08:15.420 wrong, would you

01:08:16.340 even remember?

01:08:17.900 Nope.

01:08:18.640 Nope.

01:08:19.780 So there's a

01:08:20.520 survivor thing going

01:08:21.980 on.

01:08:22.780 You remember me

01:08:23.780 because I got it

01:08:24.420 right.

01:08:25.660 Do you think I get

01:08:26.700 everything right?

01:08:28.680 I mean, I do like

01:08:30.000 my track record, but

01:08:31.680 I'm probably just

01:08:32.220 biased about it.

01:08:33.500 There's nobody who

01:08:34.280 could predict the

01:08:34.820 future.

01:08:36.000 That's just not a

01:08:36.760 thing.

01:08:38.060 Now, the places

01:08:39.960 that I've had

01:08:41.460 success are because

01:08:43.280 I had special

01:08:44.180 information that

01:08:45.800 just wasn't

01:08:46.280 available to other

01:08:46.960 people.

01:08:47.640 In the case of

01:08:48.220 Trump, my special

01:08:49.540 information is that

01:08:51.160 I've studied

01:08:51.760 persuasion so I

01:08:52.920 could see that he

01:08:53.600 had superior

01:08:54.740 talent.

01:08:56.600 It was kind of

01:08:57.060 invisible if you

01:08:58.000 didn't study that

01:08:59.220 world.

01:08:59.940 So I had a special

01:09:00.800 case.

01:09:02.000 There are a few

01:09:02.980 other cases where

01:09:04.080 I have a special

01:09:05.800 case benefit.

01:09:07.140 For example, when

01:09:08.520 we heard that the

01:09:09.480 embassies were

01:09:11.340 being attacked by a

01:09:12.640 secret sonic

01:09:13.480 weapon, I said,

01:09:15.940 nope, in the

01:09:17.120 future you will

01:09:17.860 never find a

01:09:18.740 weapon.

01:09:20.520 And the reason I

01:09:21.460 did that is I

01:09:22.100 have extra

01:09:23.140 information because

01:09:24.900 I've studied mass

01:09:25.880 hysterias.

01:09:27.340 So if you've

01:09:28.320 studied them, you

01:09:29.140 could spot this

01:09:29.780 one right away.

01:09:31.140 Why?

01:09:31.780 Well, it's a

01:09:32.380 pattern.

01:09:34.020 That's the other

01:09:34.740 side, I guess.

01:09:35.540 It's a pattern, but

01:09:37.520 not one that's

01:09:38.320 always right.

01:09:39.300 So if I told

01:09:40.700 you I have 100%

01:09:42.180 certainty there

01:09:43.440 will never be a

01:09:44.180 sonic weapon found,

01:09:45.280 that would be

01:09:45.880 insane.

01:09:46.920 I couldn't

01:09:47.400 possibly know

01:09:48.060 that.

01:09:48.860 But I can

01:09:49.320 know that this

01:09:49.880 looks just like

01:09:50.800 other mass

01:09:53.480 hysterias.

01:09:54.600 That once it

01:09:55.060 gets in people's

01:09:55.720 head, they feel

01:09:57.300 symptoms, they

01:09:58.300 attribute the

01:09:59.100 symptom to that,

01:10:00.680 and they get

01:10:01.280 talked into it.

01:10:02.240 So it was only

01:10:03.120 because I had

01:10:03.820 special, little

01:10:05.560 special insight

01:10:06.440 that I could

01:10:08.740 get one right.

01:10:10.000 It's very

01:10:10.460 unusual.

01:10:11.360 So I'm not

01:10:11.940 sure you would

01:10:12.380 count that.

01:10:15.680 So the

01:10:16.920 clobberts, thank

01:10:17.840 you again for

01:10:18.600 making our

01:10:20.040 show more

01:10:21.380 lively, and

01:10:23.440 I think let's

01:10:25.300 all cope.

01:10:28.920 You missed the

01:10:29.740 biggie, COVID

01:10:30.400 and VAC's

01:10:31.240 respective

01:10:32.060 dangers, yeah.

01:10:33.020 So nobody

01:10:34.620 can predict

01:10:35.340 whether the

01:10:36.180 VAC's or

01:10:36.820 the COVID

01:10:38.280 will be worse

01:10:39.020 in the long

01:10:39.480 run.

01:10:40.560 How many of

01:10:41.340 you think you

01:10:41.780 could?

01:10:42.880 How many of

01:10:43.400 you believe

01:10:43.840 that with

01:10:44.220 current

01:10:44.660 information,

01:10:47.660 and let's

01:10:48.260 exclude people

01:10:50.460 under 65,

01:10:52.300 because the

01:10:52.780 data is

01:10:53.280 turning pretty

01:10:54.780 negative for

01:10:55.380 younger people,

01:10:56.480 but for people

01:10:57.100 over 65,

01:10:58.940 do you think

01:11:00.220 you could

01:11:00.580 predict that

01:11:02.440 the future

01:11:03.620 potential

01:11:04.360 complications of

01:11:05.540 the vaccine

01:11:06.200 are going to

01:11:09.120 be worse or

01:11:09.660 better than

01:11:10.140 whatever protection

01:11:11.160 it gave you

01:11:11.620 from dying?

01:11:12.880 I don't think

01:11:13.740 you can.

01:11:14.880 I don't think

01:11:15.700 at this point

01:11:16.340 we could predict

01:11:18.100 that.

01:11:19.380 You end up

01:11:20.380 defaulting to

01:11:21.080 rules of thumb

01:11:21.820 like, oh,

01:11:22.920 the government

01:11:23.480 always gets it

01:11:24.380 wrong, and

01:11:26.100 the big pharma

01:11:30.540 is always

01:11:31.020 trying to

01:11:31.400 screw us,

01:11:32.200 and, you

01:11:32.680 know,

01:11:34.020 statistically

01:11:34.620 that's good.

01:11:36.720 All right,

01:11:38.020 Truth,

01:11:38.720 thank you for

01:11:39.460 being the

01:11:39.880 best clotter

01:11:41.560 of them all,

01:11:43.280 the best

01:11:43.880 clotbert,

01:11:45.160 and I

01:11:46.260 appreciate you

01:11:46.800 coming,

01:11:47.420 and thank

01:11:47.820 you for

01:11:48.380 boosting my

01:11:50.580 signal and

01:11:52.120 showing the

01:11:52.800 people that I

01:11:53.460 have a fan

01:11:54.340 base.

01:11:54.960 I appreciate it.

01:11:57.000 All right,

01:11:57.360 clotters

01:11:59.660 assembled.

01:12:03.340 For travel,

01:12:04.420 would you give

01:12:04.960 government

01:12:05.380 biometric data

01:12:06.340 to travel?

01:12:08.300 Why would I

01:12:09.080 care?

01:12:09.420 I already

01:12:09.800 did.

01:12:11.200 I use the

01:12:12.280 clear system

01:12:13.860 for traveling.

01:12:15.640 That's where

01:12:16.060 you, you,

01:12:17.180 it takes your

01:12:19.000 eye, takes a

01:12:20.460 picture of your

01:12:20.960 eye, so you

01:12:21.640 don't need ID

01:12:22.520 the same way

01:12:23.160 after that.

01:12:24.280 You just look

01:12:24.980 into it, and it

01:12:25.600 tells you you're

01:12:26.320 okay.

01:12:27.360 That's

01:12:27.880 biometric

01:12:28.300 information.

01:12:29.360 I've also

01:12:30.020 given my

01:12:30.560 fingerprints.

01:12:32.200 So my

01:12:32.600 fingerprints are

01:12:33.420 in the

01:12:33.900 government system

01:12:34.640 because I

01:12:35.120 once owned

01:12:35.720 a restaurant.

01:12:36.880 If you

01:12:37.200 own a

01:12:37.480 restaurant, the

01:12:38.320 government has

01:12:38.840 to fingerprint

01:12:39.320 you.

01:12:39.880 Did you know

01:12:40.260 that?

01:12:41.260 Did you know

01:12:41.800 you can't own

01:12:42.280 a restaurant

01:12:42.780 without getting

01:12:43.620 fingerprinted by

01:12:44.400 the government?

01:12:45.460 If you serve

01:12:46.040 alcohol.

01:12:47.700 If you serve

01:12:48.380 alcohol, you 0.65

01:12:48.880 get fingerprinted

01:12:50.040 by the

01:12:50.800 government.

01:12:52.280 So yeah, I've

01:12:52.880 already given

01:12:53.320 my stuff.

01:12:54.460 Now I wonder

01:12:54.800 if they have

01:12:57.980 my DNA.

01:12:59.160 Oh yeah, right.

01:13:00.020 My DNA is

01:13:00.860 in 23andMe,

01:13:02.340 which apparently

01:13:03.320 the government

01:13:03.820 has access to

01:13:04.800 if it needs

01:13:05.380 it.

01:13:06.120 So the

01:13:06.660 government has

01:13:07.200 access to my

01:13:07.820 DNA, my

01:13:08.480 fingerprint, my

01:13:09.960 retinal scan,

01:13:11.760 all of my

01:13:12.500 medical information,

01:13:13.500 I suppose they

01:13:14.040 could get it if

01:13:14.540 they had to,

01:13:15.740 all of my

01:13:16.400 banking, all of

01:13:18.120 my location, and

01:13:19.580 all of my

01:13:20.680 communication.

01:13:23.300 How many of

01:13:24.260 you are worried

01:13:25.180 about losing

01:13:26.040 your privacy?

01:13:29.500 You lost your

01:13:30.640 privacy so long

01:13:31.900 ago.

01:13:33.080 Your privacy

01:13:34.140 disappeared long

01:13:35.200 ago.

01:13:36.400 The only privacy

01:13:37.440 you have, and I

01:13:38.340 say this all the

01:13:39.000 time, the only

01:13:40.160 privacy anybody

01:13:41.100 has is to be

01:13:42.800 uninteresting.

01:13:44.400 That's it.

01:13:45.660 The moment you're

01:13:46.740 interesting to

01:13:47.780 either the

01:13:48.200 government or to

01:13:49.260 the public,

01:13:50.300 boom, privacy

01:13:51.360 gone.

01:13:52.400 You have no

01:13:53.400 defense except

01:13:54.420 being boring.

01:13:56.260 That's it.

01:13:57.800 So that's why I

01:13:59.040 differ from you

01:13:59.940 when we talk

01:14:01.360 about, let's

01:14:02.700 say, vaccine

01:14:04.200 passports, which

01:14:05.080 I oppose, by the

01:14:05.860 way, I oppose

01:14:06.400 them.

01:14:06.980 But I did not

01:14:08.280 oppose them because

01:14:09.540 that would be the

01:14:11.640 way we lost

01:14:12.520 privacy.

01:14:13.860 Because to me,

01:14:14.480 that conversation

01:14:15.880 is already over.

01:14:17.520 You already

01:14:17.920 lost your

01:14:18.340 privacy.

01:14:19.260 Now, does it

01:14:20.620 make sense to

01:14:21.220 make it easier,

01:14:22.720 like put it in

01:14:23.440 an app so

01:14:23.980 that the

01:14:24.780 government can

01:14:25.300 just turn off

01:14:26.180 all your banking

01:14:27.000 if they're mad

01:14:27.700 at you?

01:14:28.760 They could

01:14:29.400 already do

01:14:30.160 that.

01:14:31.300 The government

01:14:31.800 could already

01:14:32.460 turn off your

01:14:33.080 banking.

01:14:34.580 All of it.

01:14:35.860 They just have

01:14:36.460 to want to.

01:14:38.200 Now, making it

01:14:38.800 a little bit

01:14:39.220 easier?

01:14:40.180 I don't know.

01:14:41.740 I don't know.

01:14:42.240 Yeah, that

01:14:44.380 does make a

01:14:44.880 difference.

01:14:45.600 If it's

01:14:45.960 easier, they're

01:14:46.580 more likely to

01:14:47.240 do it.

01:14:47.800 I will give

01:14:48.520 you that if

01:14:48.980 it's easier,

01:14:49.540 they're more

01:14:49.800 likely.

01:14:50.560 Because that's

01:14:51.100 the friction

01:14:52.440 argument.

01:14:54.100 Right?

01:14:54.320 If you remove

01:14:55.180 friction from

01:14:55.840 something, you're

01:14:57.320 always going to

01:14:57.740 get more of

01:14:58.200 it.

01:14:59.020 If you add

01:14:59.620 friction, you're 0.91

01:15:00.140 always going to

01:15:00.500 get less.

01:15:01.120 So I like to

01:15:01.700 be consistent

01:15:02.280 with that.

01:15:02.620 All right,

01:15:05.920 speaking of

01:15:06.400 Canada, are

01:15:07.760 you all aware

01:15:08.280 of the story

01:15:08.860 of the Ontario

01:15:10.640 College of

01:15:11.840 Psychologists

01:15:12.800 who are mad

01:15:15.060 at Dr.

01:15:16.160 Jordan

01:15:16.400 Peterson because

01:15:18.380 of things he

01:15:19.520 has said on

01:15:20.300 social media?

01:15:23.500 And I

01:15:25.340 thought I'd

01:15:25.780 give him a

01:15:26.420 little boost.

01:15:28.400 This is weird.

01:15:30.660 All right,

01:15:30.920 let's see if I

01:15:31.340 can find it.

01:15:31.900 I'm looking

01:15:32.200 for something

01:15:32.620 here.

01:15:34.300 I thought I'd

01:15:34.840 give him a

01:15:35.100 little boost

01:15:35.560 with a

01:15:36.060 Dilbert comic.

01:15:40.340 And so

01:15:41.200 this is a

01:15:41.760 first draft.

01:15:43.800 But in

01:15:44.180 it, Dogbert

01:15:45.060 is getting a

01:15:46.540 notice from

01:15:48.020 the, this is

01:15:48.800 just the first

01:15:49.480 draft.

01:15:50.740 So Dogbert's

01:15:51.400 talking to

01:15:52.020 Dilbert.

01:15:54.000 And Dogbert

01:15:55.100 says that the

01:15:55.900 College of

01:15:56.460 Psychologists of,

01:15:57.720 I'm going to

01:15:58.060 change it to

01:15:58.720 Ontario,

01:16:00.300 says they

01:16:00.860 will pull my

01:16:01.540 license unless

01:16:02.260 I surrender

01:16:02.820 to a

01:16:03.320 re-education

01:16:04.080 camp.

01:16:05.180 Now, the

01:16:05.760 funny thing

01:16:06.200 about this

01:16:06.660 is that if

01:16:08.080 you're not

01:16:08.500 familiar with

01:16:09.100 the story,

01:16:10.640 this will

01:16:11.460 look absurd.

01:16:12.960 It will look

01:16:13.680 like something

01:16:14.120 that couldn't

01:16:14.620 happen.

01:16:15.900 But it's

01:16:16.200 actually happening

01:16:17.080 like in the

01:16:18.140 real world

01:16:18.800 that Jordan

01:16:20.400 Peterson is

01:16:21.040 actually being

01:16:21.720 summoned to a

01:16:22.540 re-education

01:16:23.240 camp so he

01:16:24.500 can keep his

01:16:25.020 license.

01:16:25.480 like it's

01:16:26.460 actually a

01:16:27.080 real thing.

01:16:28.600 So that's

01:16:29.020 what makes

01:16:29.320 it a good

01:16:29.620 Dilbert comic.

01:16:30.900 But then

01:16:31.240 after Dogbert

01:16:32.120 says that,

01:16:33.100 Dilbert says,

01:16:34.220 you don't live

01:16:34.640 in Canada and

01:16:35.660 you don't have

01:16:36.260 a license to

01:16:36.900 practice.

01:16:38.140 And Dilbert

01:16:38.600 goes on,

01:16:39.520 they are oddly

01:16:40.180 aggressive for

01:16:40.880 Canadians.

01:16:42.400 And Dogbert

01:16:43.060 sips his drink

01:16:43.880 and says,

01:16:44.600 sounds like a

01:16:45.340 mental disorder.

01:16:48.380 So,

01:16:49.640 now here's a

01:16:50.680 little humor

01:16:52.700 lesson.

01:16:55.040 There are two

01:16:55.740 ways to make

01:16:56.220 humor.

01:16:56.540 One is like,

01:16:57.220 you know,

01:16:57.540 classic setup

01:16:58.360 and punchline.

01:16:59.840 But another

01:17:00.600 way is simply

01:17:01.480 take something

01:17:02.800 that's real

01:17:03.440 that people

01:17:04.700 are bothered

01:17:05.180 by and just

01:17:06.240 sort of play

01:17:06.720 it out.

01:17:07.820 Like you don't

01:17:08.620 have to add a

01:17:09.120 punchline.

01:17:10.080 You just sort

01:17:10.500 of, where

01:17:11.540 would it go?

01:17:12.640 Like if this

01:17:13.400 just keeps going,

01:17:14.840 what would be

01:17:15.520 one direction

01:17:16.220 it could take?

01:17:16.760 And then you

01:17:17.060 have a joke.

01:17:18.000 You just play

01:17:19.440 it out like

01:17:19.900 it's the real

01:17:20.620 world.

01:17:22.700 All right.

01:17:24.220 Ladies and 0.98

01:17:24.840 gentlemen,

01:17:26.420 that completes

01:17:28.420 the organized

01:17:29.640 part of my

01:17:30.880 conversations here.

01:17:35.660 Dr.

01:17:36.180 Drew has

01:17:36.520 some new

01:17:36.800 information for

01:17:37.520 me,

01:17:37.780 somebody says.

01:17:38.740 Okay,

01:17:39.100 I'll check on

01:17:39.640 that.

01:17:41.200 What's a good

01:17:41.600 reframe for

01:17:42.160 physical activity?

01:17:46.060 Good reframe

01:17:46.980 for physical

01:17:47.460 activity.

01:17:48.920 It's the

01:17:49.520 systems versus

01:17:50.240 goals.

01:17:51.500 So the

01:17:51.800 reframe for

01:17:52.380 both diet

01:17:53.120 and exercise

01:17:54.200 are to not

01:17:55.760 treat them

01:17:56.220 as goals.

01:17:58.060 Treat them

01:17:58.420 as systems.

01:17:59.940 A system

01:18:00.400 is something

01:18:00.760 you do

01:18:01.120 every day

01:18:01.700 that you're

01:18:02.500 slowly moving

01:18:03.260 toward your

01:18:03.840 objective.

01:18:05.300 So you'll

01:18:05.920 see lots

01:18:07.180 of description

01:18:08.120 of how to

01:18:08.960 build a

01:18:09.640 exercise

01:18:10.280 and diet

01:18:11.680 system

01:18:12.220 that makes

01:18:13.320 it easy.

01:18:14.460 So you

01:18:14.920 want to get

01:18:15.280 rid of your

01:18:15.660 willpower.

01:18:16.940 So a

01:18:17.220 system will

01:18:17.900 get rid of

01:18:18.320 your willpower

01:18:18.980 and just

01:18:20.200 turn things

01:18:20.760 into habits

01:18:21.460 so you're

01:18:22.000 just

01:18:22.140 automatically

01:18:22.700 doing the

01:18:24.120 right thing.

01:18:24.840 So read

01:18:25.140 my book

01:18:25.600 that you

01:18:27.100 can't see.

01:18:27.940 Had it

01:18:28.180 failed almost

01:18:28.640 everything and

01:18:29.200 still went

01:18:29.600 big.

01:18:30.900 Right there.

01:18:32.080 And that

01:18:32.440 has a

01:18:33.180 chapter each

01:18:33.800 on diet

01:18:34.960 and fitness.

01:18:37.840 What's that?

01:18:38.500 Why did

01:18:41.300 the simulation

01:18:41.920 make Scott

01:18:42.600 so afraid

01:18:43.200 of a

01:18:43.440 head cold?

01:18:44.760 What made

01:18:45.240 you so

01:18:45.620 afraid of

01:18:46.040 shots?

01:18:47.620 One of the

01:18:48.280 funniest

01:18:48.680 NPC things

01:18:50.680 I get

01:18:51.080 is that

01:18:51.940 people tell

01:18:52.420 me that

01:18:52.880 my decision

01:18:53.680 to get

01:18:54.540 my decision

01:18:56.300 to take

01:18:57.020 an

01:18:58.240 insufficiently

01:19:00.120 tested

01:19:00.720 new

01:19:01.620 technology

01:19:02.340 is because

01:19:03.840 of my

01:19:04.280 fear.

01:19:04.660 I'll just

01:19:06.700 say it

01:19:06.920 again.

01:19:07.780 This is

01:19:08.180 actually

01:19:08.480 people who

01:19:09.160 can live

01:19:09.860 and walk

01:19:12.260 and work

01:19:13.180 and stuff

01:19:13.580 and they

01:19:14.260 actually

01:19:14.500 believe that

01:19:15.880 the person

01:19:16.320 who took

01:19:16.740 the risky

01:19:17.740 experimental

01:19:18.420 treatment

01:19:19.380 primarily for

01:19:20.960 the benefit

01:19:21.440 of other

01:19:21.920 people,

01:19:22.740 because remember

01:19:23.160 at the time

01:19:23.740 we still

01:19:24.620 believed it

01:19:25.060 might stop

01:19:25.540 the spread.

01:19:27.040 So part

01:19:27.420 of my

01:19:27.880 contribution

01:19:29.220 to society

01:19:30.220 was I

01:19:31.140 thought,

01:19:31.400 huh,

01:19:32.140 maybe it

01:19:32.560 won't make

01:19:33.060 much difference

01:19:33.680 to me,

01:19:34.700 but if I

01:19:35.180 take this

01:19:35.760 dangerous,

01:19:38.100 potentially,

01:19:39.360 dangerous

01:19:39.940 shot,

01:19:41.400 I might be

01:19:42.000 good for

01:19:42.300 other people.

01:19:43.100 And that's

01:19:43.420 what you

01:19:43.640 call being

01:19:44.140 afraid.

01:19:46.320 So doing

01:19:48.060 something that's

01:19:49.140 extra,

01:19:49.660 extra dangerous

01:19:50.380 according to

01:19:51.020 you is

01:19:53.300 the sign

01:19:53.900 of somebody

01:19:54.240 being afraid.

01:19:56.440 So you

01:19:57.240 have to

01:19:57.840 figure out

01:19:58.420 which of

01:19:58.820 the two

01:19:59.080 you want

01:19:59.420 to be.

01:20:00.080 If you

01:20:00.920 want to

01:20:01.240 say it

01:20:02.360 was a

01:20:02.820 scary shot

01:20:03.660 that everybody

01:20:04.340 should have

01:20:04.800 known would

01:20:05.760 be dangerous,

01:20:07.420 you can't

01:20:07.960 also say I'm

01:20:08.760 a coward for

01:20:10.420 doing the

01:20:10.900 thing you're

01:20:11.320 afraid of.

01:20:12.740 You could

01:20:13.360 say it was

01:20:13.760 the wrong

01:20:14.080 choice.

01:20:15.460 And you

01:20:16.020 might be

01:20:16.360 right,

01:20:16.740 you might

01:20:16.980 be wrong,

01:20:17.620 we might

01:20:17.920 have a

01:20:18.200 debate there.

01:20:19.440 You could

01:20:19.720 certainly say

01:20:20.220 you believe

01:20:20.780 it's the

01:20:21.120 wrong choice.

01:20:22.460 But to

01:20:22.900 say that I

01:20:23.460 did the

01:20:24.080 scariest

01:20:24.460 thing,

01:20:25.300 the thing

01:20:25.920 that scares

01:20:26.460 you so

01:20:27.000 much you

01:20:27.360 won't even

01:20:27.760 consider it,

01:20:28.820 that's how

01:20:29.340 frightened

01:20:29.660 you are.

01:20:31.380 If I

01:20:31.980 did the

01:20:32.400 thing you

01:20:32.700 were afraid

01:20:33.140 of,

01:20:34.500 why are you

01:20:35.400 calling me

01:20:35.760 a coward?

01:20:37.660 You have to

01:20:38.520 get your

01:20:39.080 criticisms lined

01:20:40.660 up.

01:20:42.300 I'm either a

01:20:43.360 brave person

01:20:44.120 who made the

01:20:44.660 wrong decision,

01:20:46.360 I think that's

01:20:47.880 the best you

01:20:48.260 can do.

01:20:48.620 you're calling

01:20:54.200 my decision

01:20:54.920 foolish.

01:20:56.420 Really?

01:20:57.840 So there's

01:20:58.840 somebody here

01:20:59.540 who just

01:21:00.380 watched me

01:21:00.900 explain that

01:21:02.720 the NPCs

01:21:04.300 had certainty

01:21:05.540 and the

01:21:08.060 rest of us

01:21:08.560 were guessing.

01:21:10.140 So how

01:21:10.880 was it a

01:21:11.300 bad decision?

01:21:12.960 Was it

01:21:13.580 because you

01:21:14.060 used your

01:21:14.620 pattern

01:21:15.860 recognition and

01:21:16.800 common sense

01:21:17.520 and wisdom

01:21:18.100 and experience

01:21:19.180 instead of

01:21:20.220 the science?

01:21:22.920 It sounds like

01:21:23.800 you missed the

01:21:24.240 first part where

01:21:24.860 I was mocking

01:21:25.360 you.

01:21:27.120 All right,

01:21:27.500 I'm going to

01:21:27.880 say goodbye

01:21:28.520 to the,

01:21:29.800 hold on,

01:21:31.180 somebody says

01:21:31.680 I guessed

01:21:32.120 it too soon.

01:21:33.720 No.

01:21:34.200 I said on

01:21:36.560 day one,

01:21:37.300 I don't know

01:21:37.920 if I want

01:21:38.420 this shot

01:21:38.980 or I want

01:21:40.260 to get

01:21:40.500 COVID.

01:21:41.720 Right?

01:21:42.080 And there are

01:21:42.700 hundreds of

01:21:43.260 people who will

01:21:43.680 confirm this.

01:21:44.220 I said

01:21:45.320 out loud

01:21:46.120 many times

01:21:46.900 I'm going

01:21:47.900 to wait

01:21:48.260 as long

01:21:49.080 as possible

01:21:49.800 and not

01:21:51.580 make a

01:21:51.920 decision

01:21:52.300 so that I

01:21:53.560 have as

01:21:53.860 much

01:21:54.100 information

01:21:54.560 as possible.

01:21:55.780 I also

01:21:56.500 said

01:21:56.880 that historically

01:21:58.200 most of

01:21:58.740 the problems

01:21:59.340 like side

01:22:00.140 effects of

01:22:00.680 vaccinations

01:22:01.200 happen soon

01:22:02.860 after the

01:22:03.280 vaccination.

01:22:04.580 So that if

01:22:05.280 I waited

01:22:05.640 six months,

01:22:06.440 which I did

01:22:07.040 or longer,

01:22:08.020 I don't know,

01:22:08.880 six months or

01:22:09.560 so,

01:22:10.060 if I waited

01:22:10.480 six months,

01:22:11.080 most of

01:22:12.620 the danger

01:22:13.200 would have

01:22:14.000 already been

01:22:14.480 surfaced.

01:22:15.500 But not all

01:22:16.100 of it.

01:22:16.800 Can't be

01:22:17.220 sure.

01:22:18.980 And then

01:22:19.600 when I made

01:22:20.020 the decision

01:22:20.500 it was only

01:22:21.080 because I

01:22:21.580 could fly.

01:22:23.720 So in

01:22:24.320 other words,

01:22:24.880 I made

01:22:25.280 the same

01:22:25.660 decision

01:22:26.140 as Dr.

01:22:27.640 Robert Malone

01:22:28.380 at the

01:22:29.640 same time.

01:22:31.220 He also

01:22:32.000 got vaccinated

01:22:32.620 to fly

01:22:33.180 because that's

01:22:34.880 the only way

01:22:35.220 he could fly

01:22:35.620 internationally

01:22:36.180 and that's

01:22:36.900 why I did

01:22:37.340 it.

01:22:38.120 And I

01:22:38.620 believe we

01:22:39.120 both waited

01:22:39.720 until the

01:22:41.060 were some

01:22:41.520 force that

01:22:42.380 made us

01:22:42.740 get vaccinated

01:22:43.360 because I

01:22:44.440 had the

01:22:44.940 option of

01:22:45.520 doing a

01:22:46.580 reasonable job

01:22:47.260 of social

01:22:47.740 distancing.

01:22:48.860 Kids never

01:22:49.440 social distance.

01:22:51.100 By the way,

01:22:52.900 for those

01:22:53.620 of you who

01:22:54.160 said I was

01:22:54.660 frightened to

01:22:55.280 death of

01:22:55.680 the virus,

01:22:57.220 just FYI,

01:22:59.320 the kids

01:22:59.860 and the

01:23:01.020 wife never

01:23:01.440 social distance.

01:23:03.040 Not even

01:23:03.440 a little.

01:23:06.240 They would

01:23:06.860 get home

01:23:07.200 from school

01:23:07.780 or Zoom

01:23:08.720 class or

01:23:09.180 whatever,

01:23:09.660 and they

01:23:10.040 would just

01:23:10.280 all get

01:23:10.640 together

01:23:10.940 with friends

01:23:11.380 with no

01:23:11.740 masks.

01:23:13.760 There was

01:23:14.260 no social

01:23:14.720 distancing

01:23:15.140 at my

01:23:15.540 house.

01:23:16.700 We just

01:23:17.200 pretended.

01:23:18.020 In public,

01:23:18.780 we wore

01:23:19.180 masks if

01:23:20.240 it was

01:23:20.440 easier than

01:23:20.940 not wearing

01:23:21.340 them.

01:23:22.020 But it

01:23:22.320 was all

01:23:22.500 pretend.

01:23:23.560 So if

01:23:24.140 I had

01:23:24.380 been afraid

01:23:24.880 of the

01:23:25.160 virus,

01:23:25.980 I wouldn't

01:23:26.620 have allowed

01:23:27.200 unlimited,

01:23:29.060 unvaccinated

01:23:29.720 people to

01:23:30.340 interact with

01:23:31.020 me.

01:23:31.600 It was just

01:23:32.040 happening

01:23:32.320 every day.

01:23:33.820 I didn't

01:23:34.360 do anything

01:23:34.760 even close

01:23:35.360 to social

01:23:35.820 distancing.

01:23:36.840 And by

01:23:37.120 the way,

01:23:37.960 everybody who

01:23:38.540 says that

01:23:38.940 social distancing

01:23:39.820 didn't work,

01:23:41.840 nobody ever

01:23:42.480 tried it.

01:23:43.640 We didn't

01:23:44.340 really try

01:23:45.000 social distancing.

01:23:46.500 There was a

01:23:46.920 little social

01:23:47.460 distancing

01:23:47.940 theater,

01:23:49.040 but once

01:23:49.640 people got

01:23:50.140 home,

01:23:51.920 as soon as

01:23:52.760 nobody was

01:23:53.240 working,

01:23:53.720 all the masks

01:23:54.240 just got

01:23:54.640 thrown on the

01:23:55.240 ground.

01:23:56.180 Yeah,

01:23:56.420 no,

01:23:57.060 nobody did

01:23:57.600 social distancing.

01:23:58.740 There was a

01:23:59.360 little bit of

01:23:59.760 theater,

01:24:00.160 that's about

01:24:00.560 it.

01:24:02.020 All right.

01:24:04.600 I'll go

01:24:05.100 say goodbye to

01:24:05.620 YouTube for

01:24:06.220 today and

01:24:06.840 I'll talk

01:24:07.200 to the

01:24:07.440 locals

01:24:07.680 people for

01:24:08.120 a little

01:24:08.320 while.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 06, 2023

Episode 1980 Scott Adams： Two Whiteboards And Funny Headlines

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