Episode 1980 Scott Adams： Two Whiteboards And Funny Headlines
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 24 minutes
Words per Minute
141.39249
Summary
On this week's episode of the podcast, the boys talk about the new Clopperts live streaming service, the McCarthy scandal, and the most interesting dinner you'd ever have with someone you don't like.
Transcript
00:00:04.320
It's funny that live stream technology is still not a stable technology, basically.
00:00:20.680
Erica the Excellent had a poll on Twitter in which people were asked,
00:00:25.560
um, why should we name the fans who come over and yell clot, clot?
00:00:38.320
We had, uh, Clidiots, Clunts, Scotts, Scotty's Clotties, and Clopperts.
00:00:54.040
Uh, and then third was Scotty's Clotties, and then Clidiots was only 11%.
00:01:12.660
And, uh, um, if you'd like to, uh, if you'd like to show yourself,
00:01:25.940
So you want to say that as much as possible during the live stream.
00:01:31.160
I want to see how big my fan base is of the Clopperts.
00:01:41.300
Did, is anybody paying attention to the Speaker of the House situation?
00:01:45.920
Uh, has he, has he been, uh, denied a 12th time yet?
00:01:55.820
But there was some news about overnight they might have a deal.
00:02:03.620
How many people think that overnight they actually came up with a deal?
00:02:18.520
Well, in addition to that, uh, somebody was complaining that they discovered,
00:02:28.060
He once admitted, and he's actually confessed this,
00:02:33.800
He had an actual meal, I believe it was a dinner,
00:02:39.080
with, uh, World Economic Forum founder Klaus Schwab back in 2018.
00:02:49.140
Now, every now and then, I like to, uh, take a news story to remind the public
00:02:54.840
that I assert my absolute right of association.
00:03:00.580
That you will never, you will never embarrass me.
00:03:03.840
You'll never shame me because you found out I ate a meal with somebody you don't like.
00:03:29.400
You wouldn't have dinner with a serial killer if you had a chance?
00:03:38.040
How about, uh, whoever's the current head of the KKK?
00:03:47.140
You know, obviously, I might not want to be seen.
00:03:53.840
That would be the most interesting dinner you ever had.
00:04:06.740
How about, uh, the most radical people in Antifa?
00:04:12.000
Would I, would I be seen having a meal with them?
00:04:31.340
Because usually you can go, but how about Hitler?
00:04:49.600
I was sure there was nobody that I wouldn't be embarrassed, but I'd be embarrassed with
00:05:08.100
All right, let's talk about ChatGPT, the AI that's making a lot of news.
00:05:15.600
So, Sam Altman, one of the founders, apparently, he's talking to somebody about accepting some
00:05:23.580
investment that would value the company at $29 billion.
00:05:27.980
It's a startup, a startup that hasn't produced, as far as I know, has produced no revenue, as
00:05:38.160
far as I know, maybe there's some, and it's being valued by investors at $29 billion.
00:05:45.160
Now, apparently, there's some other AI companies that are getting lots of interest, too.
00:05:51.980
Now, let me ask you, do you believe that it'll be worth it?
00:06:05.580
You know, it's too high if some other AI is better, then it's definitely too high.
00:06:11.320
If it turns out, and I don't know if this is true, by the way, but if it turned out that
00:06:15.360
this is the best one, and it looks like it might stay the best one because it has some
00:06:19.960
kind of advantage, $29 billion is probably cheap.
00:06:23.040
I don't know all the ways you could commercialize it, but it seems unlimited.
00:06:33.660
Not only is it unlimited, but it gets to the most important things we care about.
00:06:40.600
Everything from, you missed the sip, already happened.
00:06:45.060
So everything we care about, like human relations, it might replace those.
00:06:49.200
There's work, it's going to replace a lot of jobs and make things easier.
00:06:56.980
Knowing what's true versus what is BS, well, it might not be good at it, but we're going
00:07:03.520
So yeah, absolutely everything that we care the most about, even healthcare, everything.
00:07:09.840
But AI, because, you know, it's by definition a version of our own brains, the importance of
00:07:22.140
It's bigger than anything we've ever done, in my opinion, by far, and should grow faster
00:07:29.880
Because even the internet itself, as fast as it grew, you know, as fast as Google grew,
00:07:34.440
as fast as Apple grew, they still were creating infrastructure as they grew, right?
00:07:40.660
They were sort of following the infrastructure.
00:07:42.420
But the infrastructure is there now, like the internet exists, technology, it's pretty
00:07:48.660
You just plop this into it, and it's just going to...
00:07:51.040
So to me, it looks like it's impossible to estimate, but it's going to change everything.
00:08:02.840
How can you make a supermodel unattractive to men?
00:08:09.380
If you had a supermodel, like one of the most beautiful women in the world, how could you
00:08:19.280
Now, without changing her look, all right, here's the rule.
00:08:25.660
She has to become unattractive to all men without changing her look at all, okay?
00:08:30.900
And supermodel, what's her name, Emily Ratajkowski, Ratajkowski, she managed to pull it off.
00:08:48.540
One is Fox News, fake news, so it's some fake news on Fox News, and the fake news is that
00:08:54.340
the headline doesn't match the story, all right?
00:08:56.860
So the story is nothing, it just doesn't match the story.
00:09:03.680
Supermodel complains she only attracts, quote, emasculated men after her breakup with Pete Davidson.
00:09:10.940
Now, if you read the story, wouldn't you expect it would be something about supermodel
00:09:15.700
complains she only attracts emasculated men after her breakup with Pete Davidson?
00:09:32.500
She also said, I feel like I attract the worst men.
00:09:35.600
But then when she explained it, you see it's a different story entirely.
00:09:40.320
She said one of her main problems with some men, Ratajkowski said, this was on the Fox News site,
00:09:47.260
is that they, quote, don't know how to handle a strong woman.
00:10:04.000
One, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight words.
00:10:19.420
All the men are going, uh-huh, uh-huh, yep, yep.
00:10:31.220
It's not about men not liking strong personalities.
00:10:40.900
This is men who know exactly what that code means.
00:10:46.860
If you ever hear a woman, and maybe it's the same for men, but, you know, I'll just talk from my experience.
00:10:54.460
If you ever see a woman, she has a strong personality, run.
00:10:59.200
Because that's always the cover for, you know, I'm a raging bitch.
00:11:10.720
Because she's a strong woman, I guess she thinks that the men need to tear her down to, you know, assert their level compared to her.
00:11:21.120
And she said, they start to tear you down, and then you're back to square one.
00:11:25.940
And it's so effed up and unfair, because I feel like a lot of men who truly think they want a strong woman actually don't know how to handle it.
00:11:39.580
All the men want a strong woman, but then when they get one, they don't know how to handle it.
00:11:50.720
It's that they're afraid of those strong women they don't know how to handle.
00:12:01.580
Everybody's already filled in the entire story.
00:12:14.940
Here in, this is in the category of, the simulation never disappoints us.
00:12:25.480
And here the simulation has provided an unusually warm winter, both in the Northeast and I think some parts of Europe,
00:12:33.840
which means that the future prices of natural gas have plummeted.
00:12:42.100
So natural gas that we thought was going to be a huge shortage and too expensive, and Putin was going to freeze Europe.
00:12:49.640
Turns out, Europe's going to have a warm winter.
00:12:52.820
And so is parts of the United States that usually get cold.
00:12:57.200
So demand is down, at least anticipated demand, which affects current prices and future prices.
00:13:06.340
And so Putin's strategy of freezing Europe looks like it's just not going to work.
00:13:16.140
How many of you believed that Europe would figure out a way to get through?
00:13:30.540
Now, this one was an edge case because it wasn't that slow-moving.
00:13:35.860
But we did see it a year in advance, didn't we?
00:13:41.160
Whoa, whoa, whoa, Putin's going to start turning off the energy.
00:13:44.140
So it turns out that maybe six months of getting really serious about a really big problem was enough.
00:13:53.240
Once again, team human being pulls off a miracle save for a problem we saw coming because we saw it coming.
00:14:13.560
Maybe the early tribal people got wiped out by their neighbors and they saw that coming.
00:14:21.040
But at least since my life, my lifetime, when you give humans a lot of runway and they can see the problem clearly and they all agree what the problem is,
00:14:36.860
Now, some of it might be because the news likes to exaggerate how bad the problem is in the first place.
00:14:42.340
So it's a combination of great competence with maybe a little exaggeration.
00:14:56.840
I'll state the prediction and tell me how many of you saw this coming.
00:15:02.820
If there's one thing that works against Russia's military, it's the weather.
00:15:17.080
The weather that, you know, the common belief, the common military belief about Russia is that the only way they can win a war is if it gets really cold.
00:15:30.680
Well, it turns out it wasn't cold enough, was it?
00:15:32.680
But, you know, if you've got Napoleon attacking you, cold is going to help you out, right?
00:15:40.320
So Putin's best defense, like the main thing that was protecting Russia, was the weather.
00:15:54.280
Big story, national story, that the weather is unusually warm.
00:15:59.040
And because it's unusually warm, it may have solved one of our biggest global problems, which is what happens if Europe plunges into darkness and cold.
00:16:13.200
So I was looking for stories that would connect the two big headlines.
00:16:21.360
Because it seems to me that global warming is the reason that Europe will survive.
00:16:30.980
Because all the experts told us that the reason it's unseasonably warm is not because sometimes it's unseasonably warm, like it always is.
00:16:41.580
The experts will tell you that whatever you see that's sort of, you know, non-standard, whatever that non-standard thing is, even though there's lots of non-standard things,
00:16:51.800
even though they're going to write an article saying maybe they'll not conclude.
00:16:58.340
But wouldn't you expect to see an article that says, climate change saves Europe, or does it?
00:17:12.840
And then the experts say, well, there's no way to know.
00:17:16.520
Because when you get to the experts, you know, if you dig down in the story, it's always going to be, well, there's disagreement, no way to know.
00:17:25.260
But you tell me that you wouldn't have seen that story if the warm weather had made it worse for Ukraine.
00:17:35.020
If the warm weather had somehow made it worse for Ukraine's military defense, that would be the only story.
00:17:43.680
The story would be, damn it, climate change has also made Ukraine lose the war.
00:17:49.440
But because it might help Ukraine win the war, there's no problem with that climate change.
00:17:55.520
I don't see why you'd connect those stories together.
00:18:03.840
Here's two more stories I'm going to connect together.
00:18:09.080
The public schools in the U.S. lost more than a million students since the beginning of the pandemic.
00:18:15.480
Now, that's as population is increasing, I assume, even with population increase, there was an overall decrease of a million kids.
00:18:25.620
And so some schools are like shutting, shuttering buildings and they've got funding problems as well as excess capacity.
00:18:36.100
But so they have two problems, excess capacity plus there's always a funding problem everywhere.
00:18:41.200
But at the same time, the schools, the public schools are saying, we have too much capacity.
00:18:53.860
What's one of the biggest complaints about the immigration crisis?
00:19:00.300
It turns out the schools, they have a strain of not enough kids.
00:19:06.940
So we're adding the strain of extra kids at the same time we have a strain of extra buildings and extra capacity.
00:19:20.900
The extra immigrants are not always where the extra capacity is.
00:19:26.600
But the Republican mayors or the Republican governors are trying to solve that by bussing their immigrants so everybody gets a share.
00:19:36.820
Now, this, of course, does not solve the funding problem.
00:19:45.280
But is it not worth noting that school capacity in public schools may not be impacted as much as you thought?
00:19:59.260
Am I allowed to say that immigration is a gigantic problem?
00:20:04.180
And I believe we should control the border absolutely and then make smart decisions about, you know, how much to open the door and went.
00:20:12.300
So I'm very much, I'm like a maniac on strong borders.
00:20:17.760
But if you're worrying about the capacity at the schools, it might not be as much as you think.
00:20:27.780
But it's just not as bad as it could have been.
00:20:33.340
I am so proud of the people watching this right now because I was sure you were going to be blaming me for being an open border person.
00:20:45.820
And I see that you, I've somehow managed to do the impossible.
00:20:50.120
I somehow managed to have created an audience that can handle nuance and can handle looking at both sides.
00:21:01.140
Like, I don't know, sometimes you can't tell when I'm joking.
00:21:18.300
The New York Times Sports Twitter site did a tweet and said this about the Dana White and his slapping contest with his wife there.
00:21:31.140
Three days after TMZ published a video of UFC president Dana White slapping his wife at a nightclub, neither the UFC nor its most important partners is signaling that any meaningful consequences are coming for White.
00:21:46.700
So, so, so, so the tweet says after he slapped his wife that nobody's going to do anything about it.
00:21:56.940
Is there any other way that that headline or tweet could have been rewritten that would be true, totally true, but maybe capture the situation, I don't know, a little bit more adequately?
00:22:15.020
So here's what the New York Times Sports tweet could have been, an alternative headline.
00:22:19.860
Three days after Dana White's wife attacked him, the public wonders why the victim of the attack has not yet been punished.
00:22:33.100
Did you see any factual problems with what I just said?
00:22:42.680
Well, what do you call somebody who is hit in an unprovoked way?
00:22:53.800
Now, if the victim defends him or herself, are they no longer the victim?
00:23:04.920
Because if somebody tries to kill you and you get lucky and you kill them instead, I think you are still the victim.
00:23:12.360
They don't call the person that you killed in self-defense as the victim, do they?
00:23:16.700
I think they call that the perpetrator who had a bad day.
00:23:32.220
And neither of them were obviously trying to hurt each other.
00:23:37.100
Now, if any of this situation looked to any of us like either of them actually wanted to hurt the other, whole different situation.
00:24:01.640
And he just gave her sort of something similar to what she gave him.
00:24:05.880
So obviously both of them were trying to avoid any kind of serious danger.
00:24:21.500
Imagine treating the victim as the perpetrator and wondering why the victim, the victim, wondering why the victim wasn't punished.
00:24:39.220
They just put that out there like that's just a normal thing to say.
00:24:42.720
That the victim should be, you know, what's wrong with punishing the victim more?
00:25:02.700
If a tragic story is also funny, is that always my fault?
00:25:17.420
The report is that a Russian sausage tycoon made his money in sausage, and he was also a lawmaker, but he was a sausage tycoon and a lawmaker.
00:25:36.540
And I believe he was also a critic of Putin's military action in Ukraine.
00:25:46.620
So this poor sausage tycoon, because, you know, sometimes, I don't know if you've ever been to a hotel.
00:25:56.400
Have any of you ever been to a hotel that had a balcony?
00:25:58.240
You go out on the balcony, and the balcony is, I think, about four feet tall by law, and it's so dangerous.
00:26:07.680
You go out there, and the balcony hits you about here, and if you're walking fast, you're like, whoa, right over it, and then you die.
00:26:14.800
Or you'll just be standing there, and you'll slip, right over the balcony.
00:26:21.060
Or let's say you're pouring a drink, and, like, something slips out of your hand, and you reach for it over the balcony, and then you fall right over the balcony.
00:26:29.940
I mean, if you've ever been near a hotel, you've seen the number of people falling off the balconies, have you not?
00:26:37.920
You just stand there for 10 minutes, it's like watching a meteor shower.
00:26:41.800
Like, it's not every moment, but you just stand at a big hotel, you'll see people dropping.
00:26:54.560
So it makes perfect sense, and I see nothing suspicious about the story, that yet another critic of Putin has fallen out of yet another hotel window,
00:27:07.820
I mean, probably, you've barely survived some falls out of hotel windows yourself, I'm guessing.
00:27:15.780
Now, why do you think the sausage tycoon was a critic of Putin's military action in Ukraine?
00:27:28.960
That involves sending lots of poorly trained conscripts into sort of a very heavy military, you know, bullets are flying and bombs are going off.
00:27:43.180
And they're conscripts, so they're not, like, expected to win.
00:27:46.280
And they're, they're sometimes called other names, some, you know, diminishing their importance.
00:27:54.780
How, how could a sausage maker, how could a sausage maker have anything to add to the Ukraine?
00:28:10.880
Turns out he was actually the most qualified person to look at that situation and give you an opinion.
00:28:16.860
So if you want to know about Ukraine, talk to the sausage makers that have not fallen off of hotel balconies.
00:28:22.800
And I believe there's still a few, still a few sausage makers who have, are clinging, clinging to the balconies and not yet died.
00:28:32.440
If you're going to kill yourself, you know, because I think it might have been labeled a no foul play.
00:28:39.020
If you're going to kill yourself, a third story window is the way to do it, isn't it?
00:28:45.220
A lot of people would go up higher to guarantee that they don't survive.
00:28:49.540
Because you wouldn't want to survive that, right?
00:28:52.360
But I like that the sausage maker, he's so precise that he just, he only goes up as far as he needs to.
00:29:02.100
Because three stories, that's just a good solid 75% of the time you're going to be deceased.
00:29:09.380
25% of the time you'll just be crippled for life.
00:29:12.980
But this sausage maker just knows how to do it right.
00:29:15.460
Maybe he stuck the landing, and maybe he stuck the landing, went head first.
00:29:21.220
Yeah, so it could have been an Epstein situation where, you know, it's hard to imagine how he could die, you know, jumping off the bed.
00:29:29.160
It's hard to imagine, but if you have somebody really skilled, they can pull it off, like a sausage maker, for example.
00:29:39.620
We learned from the Twitter files, Matt Taibbi reporting, that Adam Schiff's office asked Twitter to remove some journalists that Schiff didn't like.
00:29:52.900
And they were journalists looking into the Russia collusion hoax.
00:29:59.260
That a member of the government, a senator, his office actually asked Twitter to get rid of the people who were investigating.
00:30:12.580
They asked Twitter to get rid of somebody who was investigating a hoax.
00:30:22.560
Now, is Adam Schiff already drummed down to the Senate?
00:30:34.780
You know, I keep hearing Tucker Carlson saying as clearly as he can that he is completely aware of the corruption in Congress.
00:30:47.320
He knows what they're corrupt for or what they're doing.
00:30:50.040
And I have a feeling that there are a lot of people who live and work in that life.
00:31:00.040
You know, it's just not Tucker's job to, you know, turn a rumor into news.
00:31:08.000
But everything he thought about Adam Schiff was true, it turns out.
00:31:12.580
There's a nasty story about Republican Matt Schlapp.
00:31:23.460
He works for the, does he just work for the Republican National Committee?
00:31:35.160
Now, the Daily Beast, that I'm going to start by saying,
00:31:50.320
I'm saying that the source, we don't have a name for.
00:31:54.580
He's described in general, but we don't have a name for.
00:31:58.940
So you have an anonymous source in a political moment,
00:32:03.780
and he's a political guy, and it's reported by the Daily Beast.
00:32:15.760
That's every element that you expect the story to be debunked later, fake story.
00:32:24.740
I mean, it's a very, it's a very non-credible source.
00:32:30.580
I don't know what happened and what didn't happen.
00:32:33.200
Would you agree that I'm not talking about what happened that's unknowable?
00:32:37.240
I'm only talking about whether it's believable based on the source.
00:32:45.900
Remember, innocent until proven guilty, and you need evidence to be proven guilty.
00:32:52.120
Now, if some evidence ever comes available, I will speak to it.
00:32:56.160
But right now, you and I don't have any evidence.
00:32:59.520
You and I have a non-credible publication from an anonymous source.
00:33:04.580
That is always the lowest level of believability and the least likely thing to turn out to be true.
00:33:11.520
Now, you may notice a pattern, which I'm defending all citizens against all accusations.
00:33:28.680
Because, you know, nobody likes it if you defend somebody, especially somebody who's unpopular, right?
00:33:36.100
I'll be the, what do you call it, the public defender.
00:33:41.520
So he's absolutely innocent, and there is literally no credible evidence to say he's not.
00:33:49.840
However, so he's blamed for trying to fondle the crotch of some staffer for Herschel Walker.
00:34:02.600
So Herschel Walker's staffer, one of them was driving, and they were in a car,
00:34:06.160
and allegedly somebody tried to fondle his crotch.
00:34:19.020
Because the accusation is not that he grabbed once and then was rebuffed.
00:34:26.200
The accusation is that after being rebuffed, he kept grabbing.
00:34:32.300
I mean, you know, guys are dumb, but everything about the story sounds wrong, doesn't it?
00:34:41.820
However, because we live in a simulation, I'm sure,
00:34:47.180
I have to note that Schlapp's name, half of his actual last name is Lapp.
00:34:53.300
So, if you were going to start a rumor that wasn't true, here's how to do it.
00:35:10.160
To start a rumor that isn't true, you start with some stuff that maybe people were suspecting a little bit, right?
00:35:23.160
So, you know, Schlapp's married with kids, and...
00:35:44.620
What's the difference between audience participation and audience manipulation?
00:35:49.700
So, let me tell you what gets you blocked really fast in my world.
00:36:16.940
There aren't as many today, but the few that are there...
00:36:34.320
And you tell me, is this audience participation or audience manipulation?
00:36:47.400
And would like to be able to continue doing so.
00:37:41.840
Secondly, there are many of us who respect you,
00:37:46.560
I am never going to let your decision about what is respectable influence what I do.
00:37:57.220
Because I have my own, like, little foldy gray thing in my skull,
00:38:09.620
and then you and you alone will decide how you receive it.
00:38:13.040
But what you won't do is tell me what I should do
00:38:17.300
based on how you might receive it in the future.
00:38:25.660
And I'm trying to do this without using the F word.
00:38:36.060
I don't know if I can pull it off, but I'm trying really hard.
00:39:13.400
The Mexican defense forces are attacking one of the cartels.
00:39:20.720
I guess they picked up El Chapo's son, who was the head of that.
00:39:28.760
So we saw some videos of what looked like Mexican gunships firing down on cartel positions.
00:39:36.640
Now, when you see that, how do you interpret it?
00:39:40.800
Do you interpret it as this looks like the Mexican government is finally getting serious about going after the cartels?
00:39:48.040
Because they've never employed this much military weapons against the cartels.
00:39:52.860
So is this a sign that they're now going to another level?
00:40:07.980
One cartel owns the Mexican army, and it's not this one.
00:40:12.160
To me, it looks far more likely that it's one cartel got up on, you know, got over on the army and is using it to take out the competition.
00:40:24.820
It looks like they're taking out the competition.
00:40:27.960
Now, it could be just a response to the fact that the, well, actually, no, it just looks like, it just looks like that.
00:40:34.800
Now, surely America has been pressuring them to get the head of the cartel.
00:40:41.440
So maybe they just did that because of American pressure and that they didn't want to be in this at all.
00:40:50.900
So I don't believe anything about the Mexican military attacking the cartels at all.
00:41:08.480
Somebody who is trans, and before I talk about trans topics, I'd like to remind you I'm very pro-trans, far more than any of you watching here today,
00:41:18.980
under the theory that everybody's different and they get to decide what their life looks like.
00:41:23.380
Now, the stuff with children, that gets into other issues about, you know, parental control and who makes decisions and what's reversible and what's not and all that.
00:41:33.720
But I'd like to make a more general comment about the whole area, right, without getting into the specific things, which are important.
00:41:42.980
But today, would it be fair to say that the trans community are people who, at least at one point, there was a, let's say, conflict or a difference between what their physical body was and what their mind was?
00:42:03.460
That's fair, gender-wise, that their mind would be one gender, their bodies would be the opposite.
00:42:14.420
Because it might be, like accidentally or something.
00:42:17.660
Is there anything about that that is like opposite of what the trans community would want you to think about them?
00:42:26.020
It's just a difference between the body and the mind.
00:42:34.600
Now, if that's the difference, the way that they try to solve that in some cases, but not all, is through physical manipulation of the body to get the body and the mind both on, both on target.
00:42:52.260
If somebody started a business as a hypnotist and said, I'm going to offer the following service.
00:42:58.740
I'm going to make your mind compatible with your body instead of the other way around.
00:43:03.460
So I know your mind says you're whatever, but with your, with your consent, we'll fix your mind so that you're happy with your body and if, and they're, they're both the same.
00:43:18.620
You could, in fact, reprogram somebody to a different gender preference.
00:43:38.300
I don't believe that everybody's worse off if they transition.
00:43:45.040
I believe that some people do it and they're happy about it and they're always happy about it.
00:43:52.360
But I'm just asking from a pure, mechanical, practical sense.
00:43:58.660
If two things are ran a whack and the problem is that they're ran a whack, the problem isn't that you're the wrong gender, right?
00:44:08.060
Like nobody's saying, you know, boys are evil or girls are evil in this context.
00:44:15.240
So would it be bigoted to suggest that the software could be adjusted to match the hardware when generally we only think of changing the hardware to match the software?
00:44:27.820
Would there be anything ethically or morally wrong?
00:44:32.660
Now, this assumes the person is volunteering for this therapy.
00:44:42.620
And I can guarantee it would work for some people while also guaranteeing it definitely wouldn't for other people.
00:45:05.320
Because under our current concept, we believe that the mind is the important one and the body is just an accessory.
00:45:17.060
So if the mind is the important one, you don't want to mess with that.
00:45:24.960
Your mind is not the same one you were born with.
00:45:31.020
You know, folds and architecture of your brain has grown.
00:45:39.020
You're definitely not the same brain you were born with.
00:45:41.160
And if you don't think I could change, you know, as a hypnotist, if you don't think I could change somebody's gender identity through hypnosis,
00:45:51.920
somebody in the comments is just saying, stop it, Scott, over and over again.
00:46:09.700
So if you've seen the Klopberts talking, those are my fans who like to use their clever nickname.
00:46:19.760
And you should know that their call sign is COPE.
00:46:28.920
Well, I thought I would generate more pushback than that.
00:46:34.580
But would you agree with the statement that it would be illegal if somebody tried doing it?
00:46:40.880
Or somebody would try to make it illegal right away?
00:46:44.140
Because I think what would happen is, here's the problem.
00:46:53.880
I don't know if you're allowed to question somebody's mind.
00:46:57.780
In our woke world, I don't think you can question, you know, somebody's mental state.
00:47:03.460
But if they ask you to change it, I don't know, that seems fair to me.
00:47:14.840
I would like to go to the whiteboard now for what I call the NPC explainer.
00:47:22.640
Now, as you know, I speculate that we live in a software simulation like a game.
00:47:28.560
And that some of us are authors and players in the game.
00:47:35.640
And I'm looking for a way to identify the NPCs.
00:47:38.780
I'm not sure I have it yet, but it's a double whiteboard time.
00:47:49.540
So I've been talking to a lot of people who disagree with me on a lot of things.
00:47:53.740
And here seems to be a basic difference between an NPC and a player.
00:48:02.580
During a period where there's, let's say, a new headline, but you don't know what is true and what is not yet.
00:48:11.540
So in the earliest days, this is the time scale.
00:48:14.220
So in the earliest days of any big event, the NPCs start out certain, and then they just stay that way.
00:48:23.180
The players are gathering information, and they're starting uncertain.
00:48:28.680
And over time, their level of confidence increases.
00:48:36.320
But statistically, they're a little more confident, a little more likely.
00:48:40.580
But the NPCs, they start out completely confident and stay that way.
00:48:45.800
Now, you might say to me, Scott, why does that happen?
00:48:50.160
Like, why would the NPCs be completely confident without actual data or science?
00:49:06.660
Because this is what logic and science looks like to an NPC.
00:49:13.160
They use, instead of waiting for data and science, which is unreliable.
00:49:18.840
I think we all know that science has been a mess lately.
00:49:21.760
So the NPCs are doing the best they can in a world in which the data that we get is useless.
00:49:33.700
I have great empathy for the NPCs because they live in a world where you can't believe the science, frankly.
00:49:50.320
Because I ask them, how can you be so certain without the information yet?
00:49:57.480
We've got our pattern recognition, our common sense.
00:50:03.960
They've got their instincts and their gut feel.
00:50:07.740
Now, they also look at studies as information comes out.
00:50:12.060
And they pick the ones that agree with them and call those the good ones.
00:50:16.460
And then when there's a study that disagrees with them, they call that a poor study.
00:50:25.120
Is there anybody else you could think of, any other group that's not an NPC, that only believes the studies that agreed with what they already thought?
00:50:38.220
What would be an example of some other class of people who does that?
00:50:49.880
The entire story of the pandemic was scientists looking at studies that agreed with them and then saying those are the good ones.
00:51:01.820
There's no difference between the NPCs and the scientists on the question of, do you promote the studies that agree with you?
00:51:09.100
Have you seen the rogue doctors, Dr. McCullough, Dr. Malone?
00:51:17.760
When they tweet a study, is there ever a study that disagrees with their opinion?
00:51:27.780
Every expert only picks the studies that agree with them.
00:51:32.180
It's no different if you're an NPC or a scientist.
00:51:38.460
Scott, Scott, science is a whole system that maybe somebody could try to get away with something in the short run,
00:51:46.520
but you're going to catch them with your peer review.
00:51:49.040
You're going to catch them with other people look at the data.
00:51:51.800
You're going to catch them when the study is reproduced and they can't reproduce it.
00:51:57.520
Sometimes scientists can be a little biased themselves.
00:52:01.060
But over time, over time, science will drive out the bias.
00:52:15.940
It was all political and cognitive dissonance and everything else.
00:52:19.500
So, if you think I'm insulting the NPCs because they picked the studies that agree with them,
00:52:38.760
And then I've been told repeatedly that they got the right answer because they believed the,
00:52:51.400
And they said, that's a group that is more reliable.
00:52:54.660
So, the reason I got it right is because I believe the, you know, the rogue doctors who were fighting against the mainstream.
00:53:04.560
Now, what would you collectively, is there any word that you can think of that would collectively would capture the logic and science and decision making of an NPC?
00:53:26.620
You just have to use the word clot in every answer.
00:53:31.160
So, the clot birds, you should always just say clot and then your opinion.
00:53:42.120
Here's another word that captures all of this process.
00:54:01.840
If common sense were an actual thing, we would all agree.
00:54:04.740
We wouldn't have any discussions if common sense were real.
00:54:16.040
Well, I guess you wouldn't even need science, would you?
00:54:23.720
Pattern recognition can tell you something's odd.
00:54:30.700
All of confirmation bias is from pattern recognition.
00:54:36.300
The operating system of human beings is confirmation bias.
00:54:44.780
And confirmation bias is because we think we see patterns,
00:54:53.400
something that's a coincidence, and it's just that.
00:54:59.140
Wisdom and experience is just other words for these things.
00:55:13.100
Science was invented because none of this is real.
00:55:18.900
If you could figure out what was real without science,
00:55:23.460
if you could just use your common sense and your pattern recognition
00:55:26.780
and your wisdom and experience and your gut feel,
00:55:33.920
The reason we don't use these things is that they're not real.
00:55:38.160
These are the things that people think are real,
00:55:49.280
So, that's how they can be certain in the fog of war,
00:56:53.740
So, I try to do that when it's just a fog of war.