Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1984 Scott Adams： Russian Disinformation, Classified Biden Documents, Snopes Fact-Fail, More

00:00:00.000 For you, Erica, the Excellent.

00:00:07.320 Good morning, everybody.

00:00:15.420 And if I've done my job correctly,

00:00:17.800 I am now streaming on Locals and maybe Rumble

00:00:22.200 and maybe YouTube.

00:00:25.680 Any of you Rumblers seeing me yet?

00:00:27.420 Well, I think I've got to check for the comments over on Rumble.

00:00:34.680 But apparently, I don't know how to do that.

00:00:37.520 So I've got a separate page open for you Rumble comments.

00:00:41.400 But it's looking like I won't know how to find them.

00:00:46.680 Yeah.

00:00:48.100 See, I can't check for them until I'm live.

00:00:51.760 And then when I am live, I don't know where to look for them.

00:00:56.200 No idea.

00:00:57.620 So if you want to comment, Rumblers, I want to see you today,

00:01:01.800 maybe I'll fix that next time.

00:01:04.800 I think I've got my camera lined up.

00:01:06.540 I think it's all working today.

00:01:08.080 How would you like to take it up to a level that you've never seen before?

00:01:13.640 You would.

00:01:14.540 And all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass,

00:01:17.000 a tank or a chalice or a canteen, a jug or a flask,

00:01:19.820 a vessel of any kind.

00:01:21.380 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:22.480 I like coffee.

00:01:24.460 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:01:27.180 The dopamine here the day thing makes everything better.

00:01:30.640 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:01:32.960 And it happens now.

00:01:33.720 Go.

00:01:33.860 Thank you for noticing.

00:01:39.240 Yes, this is a very nice shirt I'm wearing today.

00:01:43.200 Quite a bit better than all the other shirts I've been ever wearing before.

00:01:47.080 I think it looks good.

00:01:49.600 All right.

00:01:52.780 How many of you were worried about me yesterday because the Internet seems to think I was having a meltdown?

00:02:02.920 I was contacted by some people who care to say,

00:02:08.440 Are you okay?

00:02:10.220 Everything okay?

00:02:11.260 And how many other people were having the same experience?

00:02:19.180 Did anybody see me interacting on Twitter and say,

00:02:23.680 Ooh, something wrong here.

00:02:27.380 All right.

00:02:28.060 No, there was something going on.

00:02:30.340 So if you thought it was a meltdown,

00:02:33.160 that wasn't exactly, exactly what was happening.

00:02:36.420 But it looked like it.

00:02:37.780 So let me tell you what was really happening behind the scenes.

00:02:43.740 Every year, a few times a year, several times a year,

00:02:47.880 and maybe, if I'm lucky, four times a year,

00:02:51.660 I enter a manic phase.

00:02:54.400 Do you know what that is?

00:02:55.640 Manic?

00:02:57.040 And when I'm manic, everything is more.

00:03:02.220 All right.

00:03:02.480 So that's the context.

00:03:03.460 So for the last few days, I've been in a manic phase.

00:03:07.920 They are amazing.

00:03:11.400 Like, you know, I suppose it's mental illness, right?

00:03:14.220 But I don't experience it that way.

00:03:16.620 It becomes a problem for other people.

00:03:20.340 In other words, I become a little bit too much.

00:03:24.100 Because in the manic phase, I have infinite energy.

00:03:28.100 I don't seem to need sleep.

00:03:29.760 Like, literally, I think I had two hours of sleep the night before.

00:03:35.320 Went all day.

00:03:37.020 Had, you know, a great workout.

00:03:39.660 I did more work in the last 48 hours.

00:03:44.180 More comics, more writing.

00:03:46.120 Got more chores done.

00:03:47.480 Did paperwork I've been putting off forever.

00:03:49.680 I mean, I was just cranking through it.

00:03:51.480 But one of the side effects is that on Twitter, by now you know my pattern.

00:03:59.520 If somebody starts a damaging false rumor about me, I usually go nuclear on it until I can draw more attention to the correction than the original claim.

00:04:11.640 So what I'm trying to do is, you know, light all the kindling I can, get everybody as mad as possible, provoke everybody, draw as much energy toward me.

00:04:21.900 And so yesterday I was just responding to every troll.

00:04:25.900 And, you know, I was swearing at them.

00:04:28.580 But I was just having fun.

00:04:30.000 And I could see how from the outside it would look like I was having a meltdown.

00:04:37.440 But let me tell you, if you were to look at the quality of my day, let's say last day and a half, exceptional.

00:04:46.420 Like, the last day and a half have been some of my, like, just most enjoyable, productive, incredibly creative.

00:04:54.720 Like, you know, I was creating, you know, micro lesson, three comics one day.

00:05:00.380 I mean, I was just cranking it out.

00:05:01.920 It was all pretty good.

00:05:04.280 Now, fortunately, you know, you've heard of people have manic.

00:05:09.220 What's the other thing?

00:05:11.020 The manic part feels good, but then the manic depressive?

00:05:15.860 Depression.

00:05:16.580 I don't really get the depression part.

00:05:18.280 You know, I certainly have days where, like, I'll have a week where I'm down, but not really the kind where you can't get out of bed.

00:05:29.500 You know, nothing like a clinical depression.

00:05:32.000 You know, you just have days that you're not ideal.

00:05:34.140 Well, so if you had a choice of having, like, four weeks during the year where you're a little down, but the tradeoff of that is four weeks of mania, you would take the mania.

00:05:48.500 It's a really good tradeoff in mental health, you know.

00:05:51.720 Now, let me be really clear.

00:05:54.820 My situation seems to be completely different than most people who are having some kind of mental, you know, let's say, mental, what did I say, variability?

00:06:09.300 Let's call it variability because the difference between the highs and the lows.

00:06:13.460 Generally, when you've got that much variability, you're not too happy about it.

00:06:17.960 But I think in my case, it just makes other people unhappy.

00:06:21.720 Like, you also feel invulnerable, like nothing gets to you.

00:06:26.720 So people were worried that I was, you know, down yesterday.

00:06:30.720 And the whole day I was thinking, down?

00:06:33.500 I don't think I've had a finer day in months.

00:06:37.320 It was a really good day.

00:06:41.240 Yeah.

00:06:41.980 Usually you get extreme lows.

00:06:43.880 That's right.

00:06:44.380 So if anybody else tells you they have mania, you should be feeling probably some sympathy, but not in my case.

00:06:52.600 Yeah.

00:06:54.220 So he says, I was bitchy?

00:06:56.460 No, I was trying to be as mean as I could to everybody.

00:07:01.740 Because that's, and by the way, the next time there's, you know, any major rumor about me that's untrue, I'm going to do the same thing.

00:07:11.080 Whether I'm in mania or not, I'm going to spend the whole day responding to as many trolls as possible, correcting the record.

00:07:20.160 And I'll be as mean as possible so that they'll retweet it and say, what's wrong with this guy?

00:07:24.460 That's how I, that's how I get the energy.

00:07:28.040 All right.

00:07:28.320 I've discovered that I have bifurcated into two complete people in the mind of the public, which is, which is kind of fun and weird.

00:07:40.060 So I always talk about the two movies on one screen, right?

00:07:44.080 We're all watching the same screen, but some people are seeing the union is ending and other people are seeing the golden age and we don't agree on anything.

00:07:52.360 But I think I finally realized why the Twitter users and the live stream users have completely different impressions of me.

00:08:03.360 So on live stream, I have enough time to do the full context.

00:08:09.900 So on live stream, if I say, you know, I'm on the same side as this argument, but I think the argument that's on my side is a little weak.

00:08:18.780 So I want you to know I'm on the same side, but I'd like to see a stronger argument on my side.

00:08:25.680 So that's what I would say on live stream.

00:08:28.600 On Twitter, I would just say, what's wrong with the argument?

00:08:32.540 And then, then I turn into the opposite person.

00:08:35.560 So on, so on Locals, YouTube and Rumble, I'm, you know, Scott Adams, the reasonable, the reasonable voice that looks at all sides and tries to consider them fairly.

00:08:46.880 And on Twitter, I'm Claude Adams, the guy who's indistinguishable from Dr. Fauci.

00:08:57.180 That's what idiot attorney Barnes tweeted the other day or yesterday.

00:09:03.040 He tweeted that, that I was basically Fauci.

00:09:05.760 Now, in the other movie, in the other movie, people know that I'm the first person, the first public figure to call Fauci a liar in public.

00:09:19.000 I'm the first one.

00:09:20.380 And I never changed my mind.

00:09:22.080 Once he lied in public, I said, oh, he's a, he's a guy who lies in public.

00:09:26.200 So that was the last time I trusted him for anything.

00:09:28.460 So it's like a whole different, you know, Claw audit, Claw Adams apparently trusts him.

00:09:36.160 But live stream Adams, Scott Adams, never trusted him from the first time he opened his mouth.

00:09:44.300 Yeah, I'm not sure that Robert Barnes has an opinion.

00:09:48.280 Wouldn't that just be uninformed flailing?

00:09:51.120 Is it really an opinion if it's based on obviously wrong data?

00:09:58.520 I guess it's still an opinion.

00:09:59.920 It's just an uninformed opinion.

00:10:02.420 All right.

00:10:02.800 I would like to tell you the weirdest thing that happened to me yesterday.

00:10:05.580 I told you yesterday was an awesome day for me.

00:10:09.660 This was the coolest thing that happened.

00:10:12.560 Back at around 20, we'll say 2005 or 2006.

00:10:18.380 Some of you know my life story enough to know that I lost my ability to speak.

00:10:24.380 So there's a rare disorder called a spasmodic dysphonia.

00:10:28.220 And I lost the ability to speak for about three and a half years.

00:10:31.560 I can make noise, but my vocal cords were clenching so that you couldn't understand what I was saying.

00:10:38.500 So for those three and a half years, I used affirmations.

00:10:41.940 And the affirmation that I did when I was driving, I would do it out loud, but it didn't sound like real talk.

00:10:50.520 I don't know what it sounded like, but my mouth was moving and my brain was thinking of the words, but I don't know what was coming up.

00:10:57.900 But what I was thinking was this.

00:11:00.580 I, Scott Adams, will speak perfectly.

00:11:03.400 Yeah, you remember.

00:11:04.680 Will speak perfectly.

00:11:06.620 Now, is there anything wrong with that affirmation?

00:11:09.620 Yes, it's literally impossible by definition.

00:11:17.360 Nobody can speak perfectly.

00:11:20.480 No human being can do that.

00:11:22.880 So I literally had an affirmation, which was not just a little bit impossible, but actually completely impossible.

00:11:30.860 And I think you would agree that although my current voice has a, you know, it's good enough for a commercial application, which is what I'm doing now.

00:11:40.240 So it's good enough for commercial use, but I'm still nasally and, you know, I still clear my throat and, you know, I'm blowing my nose on camera and every other damn thing.

00:11:49.880 So I'm nowhere near, nowhere near perfect voice.

00:11:56.780 And then yesterday, quiet, and then yesterday, something happened.

00:12:05.360 And I tweeted it around.

00:12:08.060 Now, I think this is a real story.

00:12:11.180 I'm not sure, but I think it's a real story.

00:12:13.540 As you know, I've offered my personality and appearance and voice to anybody who wants to make an AI product, you know, a deep fake.

00:12:24.620 So anybody who wants to use my personality for AI, I've allowed a full public license with no restrictions.

00:12:35.240 So anything you want to do.

00:12:37.440 Yesterday, there was an announcement by an AI company that they decided to use my voice as the main voice of their AI products.

00:12:47.880 And the reason they did it is because they'd looked around at all the voices they could use, and they decided that my voice was pleasing enough and persuasive enough.

00:13:00.100 And they used persuasion specifically.

00:13:02.320 They thought my voice had a persuasive quality to it.

00:13:06.140 And they're going to build it into their products.

00:13:09.260 Now, here's the fun part.

00:13:11.700 It won't be a recording of my voice, right?

00:13:14.600 Anyway, the AI will do an impression of my voice, and it will do a really good one because it has lots of samples to pull from.

00:13:22.740 And when the AI does an impression of my voice, it's going to remove all imperfections.

00:13:36.340 There's actually a really good chance that my voice will become perfect and become, you know, I don't think it's going to be as big as Siri or, you know, Alexa.

00:13:52.800 But my voice actually might get incorporated in AI, and it might be perfect because they would fix it to be so.

00:13:59.980 Now, I've actually, if you've listened to any of my audio books that I recorded after I had the voice problem, you might say to yourself,

00:14:07.740 well, Scott, you did a whole audio book, and this sounded pretty close to perfect to me.

00:14:13.420 I didn't hear anything wrong at all, the entire book.

00:14:16.460 But what you don't know is that it's very, I don't want to say very imperfect.

00:14:22.060 Sorry, Joshua.

00:14:25.920 But my voice is imperfect in reality, but the audio engineers take out all the imperfections.

00:14:33.140 So you get to hear it perfect, even though it wasn't.

00:14:37.780 So of all the unlikely things in the world, 2004, I tested the concept of affirmations with something I literally thought was impossible.

00:14:48.820 Because remember, at the time, it was an incurable condition.

00:14:52.060 It was incurable.

00:14:54.800 Had always been incurable.

00:14:57.740 Nobody had ever been cured.

00:15:00.000 Now, it turns out a few people had been, and I didn't know about it, through a surgery that only one person was doing, and it was still experimental.

00:15:08.540 And that's what cured me.

00:15:10.760 But I actually used affirmations to accomplish the literal impossibility.

00:15:18.160 Literally impossible.

00:15:19.620 And it just happened.

00:15:20.700 Or it looks like it's happening.

00:15:22.960 Is that crazy?

00:15:25.660 Is it just blowing my mind because it's about me?

00:15:28.800 Or is that actually mind-blowing?

00:15:31.780 Because, you know, I'm fairly well known for talking about affirmations being a big part of my story.

00:15:37.920 But that one, that one was always the one that got away.

00:15:42.520 That was always the one that got away.

00:15:45.340 And I've always wondered about it.

00:15:47.140 I thought, you know, maybe I just imagined this whole affirmations thing being useful.

00:15:51.940 I don't know.

00:15:54.680 It's the strangest thing.

00:15:56.360 Well, let's talk more about Snopes.

00:15:59.480 Yesterday, I told you that Snopes wasn't covering the fine people hoax.

00:16:02.860 And if they had, it would have changed history.

00:16:05.380 Because if they'd called it a hoax, the left would have believed it, presumably.

00:16:09.600 And then Biden would not be able to run on it.

00:16:11.780 And everything could have been different.

00:16:12.880 But I did find out that instead of the fine people hoax, which they did seem to ignore, they instead fact-checked whether Trump was, quote, refusing to condemn white supremacy.

00:16:27.380 So that was the angle they took on it.

00:16:30.360 So they took the larger view that included the debates.

00:16:36.400 So they used the debates as the point of focus to take it away from the fact that he immediately condemned the neo-Nazis in Charlottesville.

00:16:47.160 Without prompting, he immediately, in his own way, immediately said it.

00:16:52.060 As soon as he said, fine people, a few sentences later, he said, I'm not talking about the neo-Nazis.

00:16:56.740 So that was the hoax that he was, but when he wasn't.

00:17:01.560 So Snopes does this whole thing and they say, they actually said that whether or not this was true or false, that Trump had, quote, refused to condemn white supremacy, depends on your definition of refused.

00:17:22.420 Do I have to say anything else?

00:17:26.740 It was like, it's the Bill Clinton defense.

00:17:29.340 Well, it depends on your definition of it.

00:17:32.640 They actually used the Bill Clinton approach.

00:17:36.780 And I'm not going to read you everything they said, because if you start off with, it depends how you define refused.

00:17:43.140 You know exactly what you're getting, right?

00:17:50.140 And the argument had something to do with when they asked him to do it during the debate.

00:17:56.320 He said, sure.

00:17:58.920 And then they said, well, would you be willing to condemn them?

00:18:02.360 He said, yes.

00:18:04.440 Well, would you condemn them?

00:18:06.000 Sure.

00:18:06.220 Does that sound like refusing?

00:18:11.820 And here's the refusing part.

00:18:14.180 Then apparently, I think Biden and maybe the moderator, Mike Wallace, were both saying, well, then go ahead and do it.

00:18:20.160 Go ahead and do it.

00:18:20.900 And then he said, tell me who specifically you want me to condemn.

00:18:28.240 Is that a fair question?

00:18:30.820 Tell me specifically who you're asking me to condemn.

00:18:33.940 That's a fair question, right?

00:18:35.820 Because I'm sure he didn't want to defend, I'm sure he didn't want to, like, condemn the right wing of the Republican Party, right?

00:18:43.880 Because maybe they would have said that.

00:18:45.200 Well, well, I think all the right wing Republicans are racist, so condemn them.

00:18:50.420 Don't you think he had to ask specifically, who do you want me to condemn?

00:18:53.960 I think so.

00:18:55.560 Now, they said the Proud Boys, if you remember the debate, that was the one.

00:18:59.320 All right, about the Proud Boys.

00:19:00.740 Condemn them.

00:19:01.760 I think somebody else they mentioned.

00:19:04.020 And he said, Proud Boys, stand by and something like that.

00:19:10.820 Now, why did he not immediately condemn the Proud Boys?

00:19:13.800 There's an obvious reason, isn't there?

00:19:17.740 I mean, besides the fact that they supported him.

00:19:20.200 The obvious reason is I don't think anybody knew exactly what the Proud Boys were up to.

00:19:24.740 Because I didn't.

00:19:26.620 You know, a few years before, well, no, when was it?

00:19:30.960 Yeah, a few years before that, I did a podcast interview.

00:19:35.420 I was invited by Gavin McGinnis, founder of the Proud Boys.

00:19:39.160 He's no longer affiliated.

00:19:40.220 But the founder of the Proud Boys asked me to do an interview.

00:19:44.320 And I didn't know anything about them that sounded negative at the time, at the time.

00:19:49.680 So I spent, I don't know, 45 minutes or an hour talking to him.

00:19:53.600 And it was just a perfectly fine conversation.

00:19:56.220 That was it.

00:19:56.640 Now, do you think that Trump was, like, in the details of knowing if the Proud Boys had any bad elements or if they'd ever said anything he needed to condemn?

00:20:09.180 How could he possibly know that?

00:20:11.600 It would be ridiculous to imagine he had that level of knowledge about that group at that time.

00:20:17.100 Now, since then, you know, they were involved in the January 6th, et cetera.

00:20:22.800 We've learned more about them.

00:20:24.320 Maybe some individuals there did some bad things that you could point out.

00:20:28.720 But at the time, it was a perfectly good question, which is, who do you want me to condemn?

00:20:35.220 And secondly, maybe he takes a pass on the Proud Boys because they support him and he doesn't know what they did wrong, specifically.

00:20:42.880 Yeah.

00:20:46.080 So, yeah, Snopes is completely reprehensible for the way they handled this.

00:20:55.640 Bruce Fenton on Twitter, he asked to chat GPT, the AI, what he thought of the fine people hoax.

00:21:05.200 And his first take was not debunking it.

00:21:10.300 But then he was, the AI was pushed.

00:21:16.260 And when pushed, it sort of admitted it was a lie.

00:21:20.760 So the AI acted a little bit like a human.

00:21:24.620 It avoided the question when asked directly.

00:21:27.980 And then when asked directly, it was like, well, yeah.

00:21:33.220 Now, I think each version of chat GPT acts a little differently.

00:21:37.780 So it's way too early to imagine that you're seeing a trend yet.

00:21:42.320 There's no trend.

00:21:43.760 But it's, you know, it's achieving consciousness.

00:21:46.780 And the problem is that AI might be as biased as we are.

00:21:49.740 How can it avoid it?

00:21:52.200 Let me ask you this directly.

00:21:54.200 How is it possible?

00:21:58.820 Chinese room, what's that mean?

00:22:00.520 How would it be possible for AI to not be biased?

00:22:07.380 Right?

00:22:08.020 If AI mimics humans, and humans are biased by, let's say, what they want to be true, you know, they want the new news to be compatible with what they already know is true, AI is going to do the same thing.

00:22:22.220 If AI has a framework of what is true, and then you present it as some new headlines, it will take those headlines and try to figure out how it fits with what it already knows.

00:22:36.340 So it should be as biased as people.

00:22:38.420 So we're going to have a super intelligence that is super biased.

00:22:46.180 What the hell is that going to do to us?

00:22:48.980 That could be our biggest risk.

00:22:50.640 We talk about the singularity and, you know, all the unknowns and replacing human people for their jobs.

00:22:57.760 And it could be that AI is just biased.

00:23:02.080 And that bias, we imagine, is intelligence, and it's not.

00:23:06.320 It's just bias.

00:23:07.580 So that's a problem.

00:23:10.340 All right.

00:23:12.120 Are you following the story of some classified documents from the Biden administration turned up in some left-leaning think tank?

00:23:24.440 And this is just a payback story, right?

00:23:27.760 This isn't a real story.

00:23:29.980 I mean, I'm sure, well, I'm not sure.

00:23:32.620 The facts might be real.

00:23:36.040 It's a Chinese think tank?

00:23:40.160 Is it?

00:23:42.180 Because I didn't see that in the reporting.

00:23:46.360 The story I read about it didn't have anything about that.

00:23:50.660 All right.

00:23:50.860 So I'm going to call BS on that.

00:23:53.920 Somebody says China funded.

00:23:56.560 All right.

00:23:56.900 I'm not going to claim that as a fact because I'm just reading it in the comments.

00:24:01.420 But I would encourage you to read the story and see if there's anything behind it.

00:24:06.060 Here's what I think.

00:24:07.060 I think this is just a payback story.

00:24:08.760 Meaning that it's going to be just like the Trump documents.

00:24:14.220 There'll be some things that were there and you wish they weren't and they're not that important.

00:24:17.940 Don't you think?

00:24:20.940 So it's University Penn, blah, blah, blah.

00:24:24.400 Yeah.

00:24:25.220 GSA packed those boxes.

00:24:27.020 Yeah.

00:24:27.260 I think it's going to be another bunch of nothing.

00:24:29.900 And I think it's just a story that because it mirrors the Mar-a-Lago documents, that's what makes it a story.

00:24:36.980 I'm not even sure it would be a story if not for the Mar-a-Lago documents.

00:24:41.420 I doubt it's important.

00:24:44.100 If it were important, don't you think they would have told us what the documents were about?

00:24:49.220 Don't you think?

00:24:50.860 Because it's not like the Mar-a-Lago documents where they say there's something in those boxes and we don't know what.

00:24:57.200 That's different.

00:24:58.180 They actually know what the documents are.

00:25:00.520 They have possession of the documents.

00:25:02.720 So if they were, let's say, nuclear secrets, I think you'd know that.

00:25:08.900 Wouldn't that just be part of the story?

00:25:10.840 So my guess is it's just sort of background context that was useful and somebody did something they shouldn't have,

00:25:18.860 but probably not that big a deal.

00:25:22.980 Yeah.

00:25:23.680 So my guess is it's just overclassified stuff and nothing there.

00:25:27.440 But it's a good political story.

00:25:29.260 It'll get people yammering about how unfair things are.

00:25:34.260 All right.

00:25:35.100 I think I mentioned this, that Washington Post reported that the so-called Russian influence operation on Twitter was a big nothing.

00:25:45.400 That it didn't have any impact at all.

00:25:47.180 Now, I feel it's important to call out when I made a correct prediction because predicting stuff is largely, you know, part of my credibility or not.

00:26:01.400 And I would like to claim that I am the number one and maybe only person when the Russian influence story first came out and when we saw the memes.

00:26:12.860 So when we saw the memes and we knew the budget, I said loudly in the public, oh, it's obvious this had no impact.

00:26:22.620 Because I saw the memes.

00:26:24.560 I saw the memes and they were, they were, looked like they were grade school level.

00:26:28.520 And then I heard the budget, like $100,000 for their entire operation.

00:26:34.740 It was obviously a nothing.

00:26:37.320 So those of you who follow me, can you confirm I was the first person to tell you this, that there was nothing to it.

00:26:46.280 And there was obviously nothing to it, right?

00:26:50.420 And so now the Washington Post has confirmed what I told you, which was also obvious from the first moment.

00:26:58.100 Obvious, yeah.

00:26:59.020 And the people and locals are confirming that I called bullshit in that.

00:27:03.280 Now, here's something that I can say on live stream that I would not say on Twitter.

00:27:10.540 Perfect example.

00:27:12.000 If I said the same thing I just said on Twitter, people say, oh, my God, you just think you get everything right.

00:27:18.900 You never admit when you're wrong.

00:27:21.840 No.

00:27:23.660 On live stream, I can say, well, I don't get them all right.

00:27:27.720 I can list which things I got wrong.

00:27:29.780 For example, most notably recently, predicting that Russia would not invade Ukraine.

00:27:36.620 I tell you, I got that one wrong all the time.

00:27:39.160 I predicted, you know, Trump's vice president pick incorrectly.

00:27:43.440 I admit that.

00:27:44.400 I wrote a whole book about all the things I got wrong.

00:27:47.720 Now, on live stream, I say that.

00:27:49.960 So that it's easier for you to accept, oh, I got this one right.

00:27:53.920 Because I also admit when I got them wrong.

00:27:56.240 And you say, oh, that's balanced.

00:27:57.820 But on Twitter, I would just say I got it right.

00:28:00.660 And then they say, Claude Adams.

00:28:02.840 Because that's the only context they would have.

00:28:04.900 And they would all turn into idiot Robert Barnes.

00:28:11.240 So anyway, the Twitter files continue to offend us.

00:28:21.640 Tucker Carlson did a great thing about how many times the Democrats have used Russia as their excuse.

00:28:28.660 Yeah.

00:28:29.100 Cope.

00:28:31.980 And it's amazing if when you hear the whole list, you forget how many times that Russia was used as a an excuse for any bad behavior.

00:28:42.280 Now, I made another, let's see if you remember this, or maybe I have a false memory of it.

00:28:48.100 So check me.

00:28:48.720 I might have a false memory.

00:28:50.640 I've been saying since the beginning that every accusation of Russia hacking the DNC or Hillary's emails or whatever they're hacking, I've said that those are fake.

00:29:02.640 Most likely.

00:29:05.100 And that our own intelligence agencies are lying to us about all of it.

00:29:11.000 I'm going to double down on that.

00:29:13.120 I don't think Russia hacked anything.

00:29:14.600 I don't believe that.

00:29:17.960 Maybe.

00:29:19.220 But it seems like they can't even hack Ukraine, and they're pretty motivated to do that.

00:29:23.640 I just don't think they have much of a cyber operation, frankly.

00:29:27.440 So who knows?

00:29:28.680 Somebody probably hacked somebody, but I don't know that it was Russia.

00:29:32.420 If you look at the pattern, you'd have to say it's most likely untrue, wouldn't you?

00:29:39.880 So, so far, everything our intelligence agents have told us about Russia was an intentional lie.

00:29:47.260 Right?

00:29:47.940 So Russia collusion was an intentional lie by intelligence people, current and retired.

00:29:53.780 The Russia laptop was a lie.

00:29:56.800 And the Russian influence, the level of influence they had in cyber stuff, was a lie.

00:30:01.460 Now, that's three lies that involve Russia that have our own intelligence backing.

00:30:08.100 What is the only, only information we have that Russia hacked anything?

00:30:14.180 Our intelligence people said so.

00:30:16.580 That's it.

00:30:17.780 There's no other information.

00:30:20.000 So the least credible entity in the United States, which is our own intelligence agencies, when blaming Russia.

00:30:27.740 All right?

00:30:27.960 And here's another thing that you can say on live stream that I wouldn't bother to say on Twitter.

00:30:34.940 Most of the intelligence people are probably just good people doing their job, and they're patriots, and we love them.

00:30:42.040 Right?

00:30:42.940 But if I said it on Twitter, it looks like I'm blaming all intelligence people for all everything.

00:30:48.160 It looks like a few members of leadership are bad apples, and they were behind all of these things.

00:30:54.380 So it's a very small percentage of the intelligence people.

00:30:59.860 See the difference?

00:31:01.840 If I say the same thing on Twitter without the context, then I become a different personality.

00:31:07.260 I'm a conspiracy theorist, and I'm blaming, you know, I hate the United States.

00:31:13.800 Nothing like that's happening.

00:31:15.100 All right.

00:31:19.800 So, yeah, I don't believe anything about Russian hacking of American anything, really.

00:31:29.660 Did you see that idiot Robert Barnes, I forget if I mentioned this, he tweeted, or he wrote in his blog,

00:31:36.640 that I personally, the creator of the Dilbert comic strip, am too gullible in believing institutional data?

00:31:49.640 Does that sound like a good analysis?

00:31:53.420 I'm literally the world's most famous doubter of institutional information.

00:31:59.440 If you were to take all 8 billion people on the planet Earth and rank them by how prominently they've doubted institutional information,

00:32:11.360 I believe I'd be number one out of 8 billion people.

00:32:15.980 Now, Robert Barnes imagined that I was believing, and I was highly gullible,

00:32:22.700 and I would believe institutional information, when really I should have been believing rogues.

00:32:32.280 He's kind of ridiculous.

00:32:34.600 Now, it looks like he's having some kind of a meltdown, doesn't it?

00:32:39.000 Is anybody watching Robert Barnes' reaction to this?

00:32:42.140 It looks like a meltdown, because the things he's saying about me are actually, they border on insane.

00:32:48.060 Yeah.

00:32:49.200 Yeah.

00:32:49.640 Yeah, and the Klopp-Berts, you can tell the Klopp-Berts, they're weighing in now on YouTube.

00:32:56.740 The Klopp-Berts are all confused why I got vaccinated, right?

00:33:01.620 That's confusing, because you don't know the context.

00:33:04.740 If the Klopp-Berts followed me on livestream more religiously than they are right now,

00:33:11.360 they would know that I made the same decision as Dr. Robert Malone,

00:33:15.780 one of the most prominent critics of the vaccination policies.

00:33:21.060 Same thing.

00:33:22.280 He did it at the same time, and for the same reason.

00:33:26.740 I think he waited until, you know, we saw what adverse reactions were right away.

00:33:31.540 That's not all of them there could be.

00:33:33.380 But, you know, if you've gone six months, your odds are much better.

00:33:37.100 And then, no, not so he could go on vacation with my ex-wife, but so he could fly internationally.

00:33:45.180 That's why I did it.

00:33:46.500 That's why a lot of people did it.

00:33:48.300 So if you didn't know that context, and you were on Twitter, you'd say,

00:33:51.940 Claude Adams, you must be in favor of the vaccination.

00:33:55.220 If you watched my livestream, you'd know that the reason I waited six months when I could have gotten it right away,

00:34:02.060 you know, I was qualified early on because of my age and comorbidities,

00:34:05.680 but I waited as long as I could until the travel thing became too hard to resist.

00:34:12.180 And the reason I waited was why.

00:34:14.380 Why did I wait so long?

00:34:16.260 There's only one reason I waited.

00:34:18.340 It's because I didn't trust institutional data.

00:34:23.280 Why else would I wait?

00:34:25.220 If I trusted it, I would have signed up.

00:34:27.400 I would have been first in line because nothing would have stopped me, right?

00:34:32.000 So I think Barnes is having some kind of a mental breakdown, terrible meltdown.

00:34:38.220 You should express your empathy because he must be going through something in his personal life that's horrible,

00:34:46.080 probably some kind of, you know, marital problem or something.

00:34:50.940 I can only speculate, but he seems to be acting out in a way that suggests

00:34:55.100 a terrible mental breakdown.

00:34:59.340 How many people think I'm serious about that?

00:35:04.920 No, I'm not serious.

00:35:06.980 It's sarcasm.

00:35:07.940 You cannot diagnose somebody's mental state by their tweets.

00:35:16.280 But he's doing it to me, so I was just returning the favor.

00:35:19.460 None of it makes any sense.

00:35:21.300 Do you think I know how he feels when he's not tweeting?

00:35:24.340 Of course not.

00:35:25.720 He could be...

00:35:27.460 Good Lord.

00:35:28.940 The storm is really loud.

00:35:32.220 I'm going to have to check outside to see if my landscape blew away.

00:35:37.640 All right.

00:35:39.660 Sad news.

00:35:41.040 Diamond of Diamond and Silk passed away at age 51.

00:35:45.020 No cause of death.

00:35:46.520 But I did read that she had been sick for a while.

00:35:49.460 So whatever it was was not sudden.

00:35:52.300 And that's quite tragic.

00:35:54.440 And not much else to say about that.

00:35:58.040 We'll just show our respect and note that.

00:36:00.720 I think that they were...

00:36:02.880 By the way, for some reason, I didn't know they were sisters.

00:36:06.620 Did you all know they were sisters?

00:36:08.020 I just thought they were best friends.

00:36:10.180 But they did act like sisters because they were on the same wavelength.

00:36:15.820 Yeah.

00:36:16.560 Isn't that weird?

00:36:16.940 How could I go so long without knowing that?

00:36:19.040 Because I don't remember them ever being referred to as sisters.

00:36:24.000 They were always just Diamond and Silk.

00:36:26.680 And I thought they did a great job of maximizing their potential and everything.

00:36:32.120 The Diamond and Silk story is a real good one to look for success strategies.

00:36:40.820 And I would say one of their best superpowers, which I talk about all the time,

00:36:45.420 is I don't think that they ever got embarrassed.

00:36:49.040 Am I wrong?

00:36:51.760 Like, they could go on and just put on, like, a really good, like, show

00:36:57.600 because they were never embarrassed.

00:37:00.600 They would just, you know, put themselves out there.

00:37:02.940 Now, that's something to be respected and also to be imitated.

00:37:09.580 You know, they put themselves out there.

00:37:11.940 They took a risk.

00:37:13.120 The worst thing that could happen to them was they'd have a bad day on social media

00:37:17.660 and then they'd say, oh, I guess this isn't for us, right?

00:37:20.940 It was the exact right kind of risk, risk-reward that I always recommend.

00:37:26.360 If the only risk is you spend an hour on social media

00:37:30.400 and then some people mocked you but not many people saw you

00:37:34.240 and you decided it wasn't for you,

00:37:36.380 that's a perfect risk, right?

00:37:39.080 Low risk, high potential payoff, and they took that risk

00:37:43.700 and they get a high potential payoff.

00:37:45.600 So good work for them, good instincts, good contribution to the whole.

00:37:52.640 When somebody passes away, we're only going to do the positive parts of their life.

00:38:01.460 You understand that, right?

00:38:03.260 So we're just doing positivity today.

00:38:08.600 Here's a strategy I think Trump could win the White House on.

00:38:13.380 Here's what I would do if I were Trump.

00:38:16.680 All right, you know he's...

00:38:18.200 And by the way, this would work for DeSantis or anybody else,

00:38:21.360 but it would work especially well for Trump.

00:38:24.800 So he's being closed out by the media.

00:38:29.300 So the mainstream media is going to close him down, including probably Fox.

00:38:32.780 Now that might change if he gets nominated.

00:38:35.660 It might change if he gets nominated.

00:38:37.500 But at least during the nomination phase,

00:38:39.380 he's going to have to play it non-traditionally.

00:38:42.060 Here's how I'd do it.

00:38:43.380 I would say I'm only going to do podcasts.

00:38:47.380 Because everything he does on a podcast is going to get turned into a clip

00:38:51.420 and become viral.

00:38:53.940 He'd be on every reel and every TikTok,

00:38:57.280 and it would be really easy to share it and stuff.

00:39:00.700 But the content of those videos should be partly from interviews he does in podcasts.

00:39:09.880 Because a podcast form is the best form for him.

00:39:12.620 Because a podcaster could push him hard, right?

00:39:16.260 Now, I do plan that when I leave my media...

00:39:22.620 At the moment, I'm on a media diet.

00:39:25.000 So I'm not doing any interviews or...

00:39:27.620 I'm not appearing on other podcasts for most of this year.

00:39:31.500 But I'm certainly going to offer to interview Trump if he gets into the process deeper.

00:39:43.100 Now, do you think he would say yes?

00:39:45.500 Do you think Trump would appear on a podcast or live stream that has only 50,000 viewers on a good day?

00:39:55.640 Yeah, because the 50,000 viewers is irrelevant to the reach.

00:40:01.200 The only thing that matters is if he and I created a viral moment

00:40:05.640 where there's like a 10-second clip or something that's really good.

00:40:09.860 That's all that matters.

00:40:11.320 Because that's the win.

00:40:12.560 It's not anybody watching the interview.

00:40:14.940 Then secondly, if Trump does anything interesting on a podcast,

00:40:18.640 it doesn't matter how many viewers the podcast normally gets.

00:40:23.300 It's going to be a Trump number.

00:40:25.160 It's not going to be a podcast number, right?

00:40:27.260 So he can make anything big.

00:40:29.540 So he doesn't have to go onto a big platform.

00:40:32.400 He can go on a little platform and then let it expand.

00:40:36.640 Next thing I would do is I would create a series of very short,

00:40:43.920 maybe two minutes at most, a minute would be better,

00:40:47.540 but two-minute videos on each policy.

00:40:51.500 Just two minutes.

00:40:52.700 So that nobody could ever doubt what his policy was.

00:40:56.600 And then I think he needs some work on those policies

00:40:58.840 because if he presents his policies the same way he always did,

00:41:02.680 I don't think it's good enough.

00:41:04.400 I think he needs an upgrade in his persuasion.

00:41:08.500 But if he did that and he made these little one-minute videos,

00:41:11.500 they'd be very powerful.

00:41:12.800 Then the other thing, and here's the kill shot.

00:41:15.560 The kill shot is he should do a series of very short videos,

00:41:20.300 one-minute-ish, debunking each of the theories,

00:41:26.820 each of the hoaxes against him.

00:41:29.480 Imagine Trump creating a video that shows the tweet

00:41:33.860 that was live at the time and the Wall Street Journal article

00:41:36.620 talking about light as a disinfectant

00:41:39.260 and then pick out the parts of his speech

00:41:41.720 where it was light, light, light,

00:41:43.880 show how the hoax was created

00:41:46.560 and do it all in one minute.

00:41:49.500 Because each of these points is like a five- or ten-second point.

00:41:53.480 You could put like six, ten-second points together

00:41:55.820 and debunk any hoax.

00:41:58.880 So, you know, you do the fine people hoax,

00:42:01.280 you do the drinking bleach hoax,

00:42:03.040 you do the...

00:42:04.740 And then he would have to answer the question,

00:42:07.960 for example,

00:42:09.280 why did you say you were just being sarcastic?

00:42:12.300 Now, he's never answered that question,

00:42:13.900 but I think the easy answer is

00:42:16.100 I was just trying to brush it away

00:42:17.820 because it was just a hoax story.

00:42:19.720 I just wanted to make it go away,

00:42:21.620 which I think anybody would believe.

00:42:24.280 Don't you?

00:42:25.560 Because it obviously wasn't sarcasm.

00:42:28.380 Whatever it was, it wasn't sarcasm.

00:42:30.980 So you would believe him if he said,

00:42:32.820 you know, honestly,

00:42:33.900 it was just this stupid story

00:42:35.420 and I didn't want to be the president

00:42:38.220 discussing COVID technology.

00:42:41.240 Like, that's not my role.

00:42:42.720 I was just brainstorming

00:42:43.940 and maybe it was better I don't do that.

00:42:45.840 So I was just trying to make it go away.

00:42:48.100 That would totally satisfy me.

00:42:50.740 Would it satisfy you?

00:42:52.680 If he said, yeah, I mean, honestly,

00:42:54.720 obviously it wasn't sarcasm.

00:42:56.960 It was based on something I saw,

00:42:58.660 but I just didn't want to pursue it.

00:43:00.620 Just wanted to make it go away.

00:43:03.400 So,

00:43:04.180 once he's created a one-minute debunk of each hoax,

00:43:09.660 then the next thing you do

00:43:11.160 is you put them in a compilation clip.

00:43:13.660 So they each would live individually,

00:43:15.600 but also they would be short enough

00:43:17.920 that you could put them into a,

00:43:19.240 like, 20 hoax compilation clip.

00:43:24.080 You put the hoax videos together

00:43:27.040 with the quick policy videos

00:43:30.480 that are really tight and well

00:43:31.860 and better than he usually says them.

00:43:35.160 Put them on podcasts.

00:43:36.640 I think he's unstoppable.

00:43:42.020 Now, I think January 6th

00:43:43.560 has to be one of the hoaxes.

00:43:46.240 I think he has to present it as

00:43:48.460 the reaction to it was political.

00:43:52.820 Now, at the same time,

00:43:53.760 the only way he could do that credibly

00:43:55.160 is to admit that members of the protest

00:43:58.960 went too far

00:44:00.240 and some of them probably wanted to do

00:44:01.940 the worst possible things.

00:44:03.520 He can't deny the parts that are in evidence.

00:44:08.040 And I think going after the Ray Epps thing

00:44:10.120 would be,

00:44:12.580 it's going to sound conspiracy theory-like

00:44:15.940 to the people he's trying to persuade,

00:44:17.560 so that's no good.

00:44:18.960 Rather,

00:44:20.120 I would rather see him mock

00:44:21.460 the January 6th thing the way we do,

00:44:24.300 which is,

00:44:25.420 just ask this question.

00:44:27.300 Do you really believe

00:44:28.400 that Republicans stage an insurrection

00:44:30.720 and don't take their weapons out?

00:44:32.620 Does anybody believe

00:44:34.680 you can conquer a country

00:44:35.980 by occupying a room?

00:44:39.060 I mean,

00:44:39.320 he should just make it sound stupid,

00:44:41.700 because it is.

00:44:42.900 It was just a show trial.

00:44:44.360 Now, the things he says

00:44:45.400 are stuff like,

00:44:46.660 it's a show trial,

00:44:47.520 it's political,

00:44:48.760 but you're so used to hearing

00:44:49.960 those types of things,

00:44:51.180 they don't really register.

00:44:53.140 I'd rather say something

00:44:54.340 that you don't hear,

00:44:55.200 which is,

00:44:56.420 do Republicans try to overcome

00:44:58.400 a country without weapons?

00:44:59.780 In what reality

00:45:01.540 do you think that really happened?

00:45:03.680 You know,

00:45:03.860 we'll acknowledge

00:45:04.420 that there were bad people there,

00:45:06.040 and they should be,

00:45:07.220 you know,

00:45:07.400 the law needs to take care of that.

00:45:09.340 But really,

00:45:10.560 really,

00:45:11.500 you really believe

00:45:12.180 Republicans don't bring guns

00:45:13.560 to a coup?

00:45:14.300 I think he should mock it away.

00:45:20.280 He should mock it away.

00:45:22.480 He should not even go for the,

00:45:24.360 like,

00:45:25.240 too factual.

00:45:26.600 You know,

00:45:26.800 don't retry the,

00:45:29.180 you know,

00:45:29.720 the public hearings.

00:45:31.400 Just mock it away.

00:45:32.840 It's like,

00:45:33.180 come on.

00:45:34.560 Who believes that,

00:45:35.560 really?

00:45:38.060 And I think that makes him president.

00:45:41.620 All right,

00:45:42.000 here's my updated Ukraine prediction.

00:45:48.840 The winter is going to be really good

00:45:50.820 for Ukraine.

00:45:52.200 Here's why.

00:45:53.600 Number one,

00:45:54.640 the Ukrainians will be wintering

00:45:57.400 in their own country,

00:45:59.040 meaning that,

00:46:00.060 I would imagine,

00:46:01.940 there would be plenty of locals

00:46:03.340 who would keep the military warm,

00:46:06.260 and we'd be happy to do it.

00:46:08.260 Right?

00:46:08.560 So there's always going to be

00:46:09.460 an indoor place

00:46:11.340 for the Ukrainian military.

00:46:13.360 The Russians still probably

00:46:15.140 can find indoor places,

00:46:16.660 but, you know,

00:46:17.420 it's a little harder,

00:46:18.320 and if they clump up too much,

00:46:20.780 the Ukrainians will send a high Mars

00:46:23.340 in and take them all out.

00:46:24.940 So it's a little bit,

00:46:25.800 I think the Russians are going to have

00:46:26.960 a little harder time over the winter.

00:46:28.420 But apparently,

00:46:32.800 and I was anticipating this,

00:46:34.840 if you give the Ukrainians

00:46:36.360 extra time,

00:46:37.940 what happens?

00:46:40.580 They get extra weapons.

00:46:43.320 Right?

00:46:44.040 So Ukrainians have a good winter

00:46:46.600 because there won't be much fighting,

00:46:48.420 so they won't be doing much losing,

00:46:51.060 but apparently they just,

00:46:52.420 they're going to take possession

00:46:54.060 of like 50 Bradleys,

00:46:55.820 which is a whole new level

00:46:57.640 of effectiveness.

00:46:59.140 If you've got 50 Bradleys,

00:47:01.380 you know,

00:47:01.540 these fighting vehicles,

00:47:05.000 and you send all 50 of them

00:47:07.420 into a Russian-held territory,

00:47:09.560 you get the territory back.

00:47:12.380 Now, I'm no military expert,

00:47:14.920 but that's just what they,

00:47:15.960 you know,

00:47:16.120 the people who know

00:47:16.660 what they're talking about say.

00:47:17.940 If you send, you know,

00:47:18.980 Ukrainian force with 50 Bradleys

00:47:20.900 against the Russian forces,

00:47:22.980 they would recapture that territory.

00:47:26.040 So now the Ukrainians

00:47:28.080 are moving from defensive

00:47:29.980 to offensive forces,

00:47:32.100 and they've got a few months

00:47:33.420 to get all the stuff in place.

00:47:37.880 Now, Russia also has the full winter

00:47:40.960 to resupply.

00:47:43.540 But where is Russia

00:47:45.320 getting the resupply from?

00:47:48.020 Mostly from Russia.

00:47:49.100 So I've got a feeling

00:47:51.000 that the Russians

00:47:51.640 don't have as much

00:47:53.160 to resupply,

00:47:54.880 like they would have already

00:47:55.820 been using everything they had

00:47:57.540 because they were,

00:47:58.400 you know,

00:47:58.600 not doing so well.

00:47:59.760 So it seems to me

00:48:00.900 that the advantage

00:48:02.320 is going to wildly

00:48:03.540 turn toward Ukraine

00:48:04.740 as soon as the snow

00:48:06.100 starts melting.

00:48:08.400 Does anybody have

00:48:09.300 a different prediction?

00:48:12.400 Because I think,

00:48:13.600 let me say it as simpler.

00:48:15.420 Every day Ukraine

00:48:16.580 gets stronger,

00:48:17.320 and every day Russia

00:48:19.480 gets weaker

00:48:20.080 because of sanctions

00:48:21.060 and, you know,

00:48:22.360 running out of stuff.

00:48:24.620 So I believe

00:48:25.420 that the winter

00:48:25.920 is only good

00:48:26.640 for the one

00:48:27.100 who benefits

00:48:27.960 from extra time.

00:48:30.320 So it should be Ukraine.

00:48:37.040 Yeah.

00:48:37.960 I don't think anybody

00:48:38.900 thought that high Mars

00:48:39.760 were all that was needed.

00:48:43.180 Admit that you are

00:48:44.160 very unbalanced

00:48:45.100 on Ukraine.

00:48:45.780 Here's a perfect example.

00:48:48.420 If I were on Twitter

00:48:49.480 right now

00:48:50.020 and just made

00:48:51.320 that prediction,

00:48:52.400 you would say to yourself,

00:48:53.780 but Scott,

00:48:54.640 you are so unbalanced,

00:48:56.420 you just always say

00:48:57.460 good things about Ukraine

00:48:58.560 because that's all

00:48:59.360 we've seen on Twitter.

00:49:01.180 But on livestream,

00:49:02.560 somebody says,

00:49:03.300 but you're so unbalanced

00:49:04.200 about Ukraine.

00:49:05.980 I've also been right

00:49:07.160 about everything

00:49:07.820 except the invasion,

00:49:09.880 which I was as wrong

00:49:10.780 as you could be.

00:49:11.700 Now, the reason I was wrong

00:49:12.720 about the invasion

00:49:13.460 is that it looked

00:49:15.260 obvious to me

00:49:16.240 that it wouldn't work.

00:49:19.100 And I thought

00:49:19.820 it would be obvious

00:49:20.420 to Putin.

00:49:21.960 Now,

00:49:23.160 apparently I was right

00:49:24.220 about the part

00:49:24.740 of it not working.

00:49:26.920 Best prediction

00:49:28.200 on the Ukraine

00:49:28.860 or after the worst one.

00:49:31.180 So I had the worst prediction

00:49:32.280 that they wouldn't

00:49:33.200 go in,

00:49:35.180 but it was based

00:49:35.800 on the best prediction

00:49:36.680 that if they went in,

00:49:38.180 they'd get their ass kicked,

00:49:39.000 which is what happened.

00:49:41.980 So,

00:49:42.660 if you'd like more balance,

00:49:47.460 allow me to add it.

00:49:48.780 Here's some balance.

00:49:50.460 Can we trust

00:49:51.220 any of the information

00:49:52.200 coming from Ukraine

00:49:53.600 or Russia

00:49:55.000 that would suggest

00:49:56.340 who's winning?

00:49:57.780 No.

00:49:59.140 Right?

00:49:59.420 Does that sound balanced?

00:50:00.820 That all of the information

00:50:02.260 is non-credible.

00:50:04.800 That helps, right?

00:50:06.140 Because if you're saying,

00:50:07.500 why are you latching

00:50:08.200 onto this information

00:50:09.240 and acting like it's true,

00:50:11.240 that's not happening.

00:50:13.360 No.

00:50:13.760 No,

00:50:14.040 I'm presenting

00:50:14.960 what's in the news

00:50:15.880 and I'm doing,

00:50:17.420 you know,

00:50:17.540 what if it's true

00:50:18.400 and if it's true,

00:50:19.540 this might happen.

00:50:20.560 But the prediction

00:50:21.640 about the winter

00:50:22.340 is a straight observation

00:50:25.220 that one group

00:50:26.660 has unlimited sources,

00:50:28.980 Ukraine.

00:50:29.780 The other group

00:50:30.660 has probably

00:50:31.700 more limited sources.

00:50:34.300 So the one

00:50:35.060 with unlimited sources

00:50:36.280 should do better

00:50:36.980 if you have more time.

00:50:38.200 No,

00:50:38.960 that's pretty straightforward.

00:50:40.640 Now,

00:50:41.120 does that mean

00:50:42.280 that Russia

00:50:43.000 will be destroyed?

00:50:45.720 No.

00:50:46.780 Russia still has

00:50:47.740 nuclear weapons.

00:50:48.920 Russia has,

00:50:49.600 you know,

00:50:49.840 weapons they haven't used.

00:50:51.560 Russia could decide

00:50:52.580 that they're willing

00:50:53.940 to take,

00:50:54.520 you know,

00:50:55.020 massive losses

00:50:56.140 instead of what losses

00:50:57.420 they've already taken

00:50:58.140 that are big.

00:50:58.880 So yes.

00:51:00.160 And in war,

00:51:02.660 this is one of those things

00:51:04.140 I always imagine

00:51:04.900 I don't need to say.

00:51:06.800 But on live stream

00:51:07.760 I'll say it

00:51:08.340 and on Twitter

00:51:08.900 I wouldn't

00:51:09.440 because I have

00:51:10.260 fewer characters.

00:51:11.700 Would you agree

00:51:12.500 that nobody

00:51:13.160 can predict war?

00:51:16.000 Agree?

00:51:17.080 So if I tell you,

00:51:18.260 wow,

00:51:18.440 it looks like

00:51:18.840 Ukraine's going to win,

00:51:20.700 that's in the context

00:51:21.980 of nobody,

00:51:22.580 nobody can predict

00:51:23.680 the war.

00:51:24.140 But we still predict,

00:51:26.200 the reason I predict

00:51:27.700 is that I predict

00:51:28.540 everything I can

00:51:29.480 so you can see

00:51:30.560 if my predictions

00:51:31.340 were at least reasonable

00:51:33.380 even if they don't work.

00:51:35.180 Because my prediction

00:51:36.160 that Putin would not attack

00:51:37.720 I think was reasonable

00:51:39.980 because it was based on,

00:51:42.160 you know,

00:51:43.380 a very good assumption

00:51:44.520 that turned out to be true.

00:51:46.100 I was just totally wrong.

00:51:48.560 But it was reasonable.

00:51:49.900 And I think that

00:51:50.620 that's part of

00:51:51.500 how you judge

00:51:52.940 my credibility.

00:51:54.800 You see if I can

00:51:55.960 predict right.

00:51:57.520 But predicting well

00:51:59.680 might be

00:52:00.460 60% correct.

00:52:03.280 Right?

00:52:04.040 And when it's war

00:52:05.080 I think that's

00:52:05.760 even the hardest

00:52:06.360 to predict.

00:52:07.440 Like how many people

00:52:08.240 predicted that

00:52:09.080 Russia would not

00:52:10.800 win in Afghanistan?

00:52:12.520 The United States

00:52:13.460 would not win

00:52:14.100 in Afghanistan?

00:52:14.920 Well, some did.

00:52:15.920 Okay, some did.

00:52:18.020 Yeah, actually

00:52:18.540 probably a lot of people did.

00:52:19.720 That's a bad example.

00:52:20.900 But generally speaking

00:52:21.940 you would all agree

00:52:22.540 that war is unpredictable.

00:52:23.940 So, does it help you

00:52:25.340 if I admit

00:52:26.720 that all the information

00:52:27.740 is not credible?

00:52:29.180 There's definitely

00:52:30.060 a path for

00:52:31.040 Russia to turn it around

00:52:32.800 and win everything.

00:52:35.000 And that is

00:52:35.880 largely unpredictable.

00:52:38.340 But still

00:52:38.920 my prediction

00:52:41.140 is not based

00:52:41.740 on my

00:52:42.300 love of

00:52:43.440 Ukraine.

00:52:45.480 Does that make sense?

00:52:46.980 I'm not

00:52:47.520 I did have a Ukraine flag

00:52:49.540 in my profile

00:52:50.280 but that was ironic.

00:52:51.580 I was doing that

00:52:52.400 as a joke.

00:52:56.720 Are you willing

00:52:57.540 to accept

00:52:58.080 at least

00:52:58.560 at least

00:52:58.980 in the locals platform

00:53:00.000 are you willing

00:53:00.580 to accept

00:53:01.160 that

00:53:02.480 it's not my love

00:53:03.960 of Ukraine

00:53:04.540 that's driving anything?

00:53:06.200 Because

00:53:06.600 I'm more

00:53:08.180 just an observer

00:53:09.000 really.

00:53:10.920 But I will say

00:53:11.900 and

00:53:13.080 I know

00:53:16.040 this is not

00:53:16.580 popular

00:53:17.020 it's entirely

00:53:19.180 possible that

00:53:20.040 the Biden

00:53:20.580 administration's

00:53:21.560 handling

00:53:21.920 of the whole

00:53:22.660 Ukraine-Russia

00:53:23.320 thing

00:53:23.640 will be looked

00:53:25.220 at as one

00:53:25.760 of the great

00:53:26.420 American

00:53:27.700 foreign successes.

00:53:30.880 It doesn't

00:53:31.820 look like it

00:53:32.340 at the moment

00:53:32.980 would you agree?

00:53:34.520 Doesn't look like it

00:53:35.400 at the moment

00:53:36.000 right?

00:53:37.780 No.

00:53:38.700 If you're laughing

00:53:39.700 I'm agreeing with you.

00:53:40.640 At the moment

00:53:41.780 that seems ridiculous

00:53:42.740 doesn't it?

00:53:43.840 Would you all agree

00:53:44.540 it looks ridiculous

00:53:45.300 at the moment?

00:53:47.480 I think we're all

00:53:48.080 on that page.

00:53:49.400 But here's the part

00:53:50.420 where it could change.

00:53:53.040 If it turns out

00:53:54.220 that we spend

00:53:55.600 let's say

00:53:56.060 $100 billion

00:53:56.720 when it's all done

00:53:57.540 and the net result

00:53:59.200 was that Russia

00:53:59.980 became no longer

00:54:01.260 an adversary

00:54:02.020 they became weakened

00:54:03.800 and our

00:54:04.460 let's say

00:54:05.240 our energy industry

00:54:06.280 picks up the slack

00:54:07.400 that

00:54:07.780 some of the slack

00:54:08.900 that Russia

00:54:09.420 leaves by

00:54:11.000 not being

00:54:11.540 a good partner.

00:54:13.020 It's going to look

00:54:13.960 like the United States

00:54:15.060 played it right.

00:54:18.760 It's going to look

00:54:19.560 like the US

00:54:20.120 didn't lose

00:54:20.880 people

00:54:21.780 Ukraine did

00:54:22.880 we spent

00:54:23.900 $100 billion

00:54:24.520 to get something

00:54:25.320 we easily

00:54:26.080 would have spent

00:54:26.720 $100 billion on

00:54:27.520 if you'd

00:54:28.080 proposed it.

00:54:29.940 For example

00:54:30.460 if you said

00:54:31.480 the United States

00:54:32.120 alright

00:54:32.380 for $100 billion

00:54:33.760 we'll guarantee

00:54:35.020 that Russia

00:54:35.600 goes from

00:54:36.240 like a top

00:54:37.440 a top

00:54:38.840 opponent

00:54:40.400 to

00:54:41.400 somewhere down

00:54:42.300 in the ranks

00:54:42.840 we'll make them

00:54:43.700 less dangerous

00:54:44.380 and less important

00:54:45.540 would that be worth

00:54:47.060 $100 billion?

00:54:48.660 It might be

00:54:49.640 if you

00:54:51.160 if you could

00:54:51.720 degrade

00:54:52.320 if you could

00:54:53.100 degrade

00:54:53.720 degrade

00:54:54.980 China

00:54:56.240 by as much

00:54:58.220 as Russia

00:54:58.820 will be degraded

00:54:59.880 would that be worth

00:55:01.320 $100 billion?

00:55:01.880 I think so

00:55:03.980 that sounds

00:55:05.060 like a bargain

00:55:05.580 actually

00:55:05.960 so I think

00:55:07.200 the thing

00:55:07.500 you're going

00:55:07.760 to have to

00:55:07.980 wait for

00:55:08.460 is how

00:55:08.880 it all

00:55:09.140 turns out

00:55:09.740 there's

00:55:10.940 definitely

00:55:11.420 one possibility

00:55:12.480 and I'm

00:55:13.180 not sure

00:55:13.500 what

00:55:13.740 I wouldn't

00:55:14.280 put

00:55:14.520 like high

00:55:15.260 odds

00:55:15.560 on it

00:55:15.840 necessarily

00:55:16.220 but there's

00:55:17.400 one

00:55:17.700 substantial

00:55:18.680 possibility

00:55:19.300 that this

00:55:19.780 will look

00:55:20.120 like one

00:55:20.460 of the

00:55:20.960 greatest

00:55:21.680 foreign

00:55:22.260 policy

00:55:22.940 successes

00:55:23.720 in the

00:55:24.640 United States

00:55:25.280 it's

00:55:26.240 possible

00:55:26.600 it's

00:55:28.360 equally

00:55:29.200 possible

00:55:29.820 it destroys

00:55:31.680 the world

00:55:32.140 it's

00:55:35.180 equally

00:55:35.580 possible

00:55:36.120 Ukraine

00:55:37.040 is nothing

00:55:37.540 but the

00:55:38.020 worst thing

00:55:38.480 we ever

00:55:38.800 got into

00:55:39.300 will you

00:55:41.100 accept that

00:55:41.700 could go

00:55:42.520 either way

00:55:42.980 but if

00:55:43.920 you're

00:55:44.100 ignoring

00:55:44.460 that it

00:55:44.860 could go

00:55:45.240 wildly

00:55:45.660 in both

00:55:46.240 directions

00:55:46.840 then I

00:55:47.640 think

00:55:47.860 I think

00:55:48.260 that's

00:55:48.500 not fair

00:55:48.960 right

00:55:50.100 can I

00:55:51.460 get you

00:55:51.720 to agree

00:55:52.180 with

00:55:52.620 this

00:55:53.060 then it's

00:55:54.740 possible

00:55:55.240 it could

00:55:56.460 go wildly

00:55:57.140 in either

00:55:57.860 direction

00:55:58.340 wildly

00:55:58.860 successful

00:55:59.480 based on

00:56:00.520 what we've

00:56:00.920 already

00:56:01.140 seen

00:56:01.480 but also

00:56:02.640 wildly

00:56:03.180 Russia's

00:56:05.000 unpredictable

00:56:05.500 it could

00:56:06.180 be wildly

00:56:06.760 bad

00:56:07.180 right

00:56:08.600 does that

00:56:09.200 sound

00:56:09.400 balanced

00:56:09.760 or not

00:56:10.100 I feel

00:56:13.260 like that's

00:56:13.640 balanced

00:56:14.020 all right

00:56:17.900 so I've

00:56:18.440 got some

00:56:18.900 now you

00:56:20.460 can see

00:56:20.880 clearly the

00:56:21.620 difference

00:56:21.940 between a

00:56:22.460 live stream

00:56:22.980 and tweeting

00:56:23.440 right

00:56:23.740 everything I

00:56:25.440 said after

00:56:26.320 the first

00:56:26.700 comments would

00:56:27.360 not have

00:56:27.660 been in a

00:56:28.060 tweet

00:56:28.340 so on

00:56:30.880 on Twitter

00:56:32.580 I'm a

00:56:33.680 pro-Ukraine

00:56:34.660 I guess

00:56:36.640 on Twitter

00:56:36.980 I'd be a

00:56:37.480 pro-Ukraine

00:56:38.420 crazy person

00:56:39.340 it would

00:56:40.600 look insane

00:56:41.280 but on

00:56:42.820 live stream

00:56:43.460 I look like

00:56:44.040 a reasonable

00:56:44.880 person who

00:56:45.560 could be

00:56:45.920 right

00:56:46.140 could be

00:56:46.480 wrong

00:56:46.840 but it's

00:56:47.820 not crazy

00:56:48.360 all right

00:56:51.700 did England

00:56:57.740 win the war

00:56:58.340 against

00:56:58.640 Argentina

00:56:59.080 yes they

00:57:01.200 did

00:57:01.560 you sound

00:57:04.400 very

00:57:04.740 anti-Russia

00:57:05.600 well

00:57:07.160 that's

00:57:08.840 that's

00:57:09.420 correct

00:57:09.800 somebody

00:57:11.780 said I

00:57:12.180 sound

00:57:12.520 very

00:57:12.880 anti-Russia

00:57:13.620 they are

00:57:15.220 an

00:57:15.520 adversary

00:57:16.080 is it

00:57:20.120 not coming

00:57:20.640 through that

00:57:21.240 I think

00:57:21.900 our

00:57:22.080 adversaries

00:57:22.720 should be

00:57:23.100 treated

00:57:23.420 differently

00:57:24.520 than our

00:57:24.960 friends

00:57:25.360 is that

00:57:27.040 confusing

00:57:27.660 yes you

00:57:33.180 do

00:57:33.460 that is

00:57:33.820 impressively

00:57:34.440 what's my

00:57:35.880 imbalance

00:57:36.320 that I'm

00:57:36.700 too

00:57:36.880 anti-Russia

00:57:37.520 well to

00:57:40.480 be clear

00:57:40.860 I'm pro-Russians

00:57:43.120 pro-Russians

00:57:45.000 I've said

00:57:45.400 forever

00:57:45.680 Russia

00:57:46.020 should be

00:57:46.380 our

00:57:46.520 ally

00:57:46.820 is there

00:57:47.660 anybody

00:57:47.940 who said

00:57:48.460 more often

00:57:49.040 than I

00:57:49.400 have

00:57:49.640 that Russia

00:57:50.220 should be

00:57:51.340 our

00:57:51.540 ally

00:57:52.000 and we

00:57:52.860 should start

00:57:53.340 treating them

00:57:53.800 that way

00:57:54.140 and see if

00:57:54.560 we can make

00:57:54.860 that work

00:57:55.220 nobody said

00:57:56.160 it more

00:57:56.360 than I

00:57:56.620 have

00:57:56.800 I've

00:57:57.920 probably

00:57:58.140 repeated

00:57:58.540 that

00:57:58.920 to the

00:57:59.720 point

00:57:59.860 where

00:58:00.000 you're

00:58:00.140 sick

00:58:00.320 of it

00:58:01.040 Russia

00:58:01.780 is a

00:58:02.140 natural

00:58:02.600 ally

00:58:02.960 of the

00:58:03.220 United

00:58:03.400 States

00:58:03.780 Putin

00:58:04.720 isn't

00:58:05.060 necessarily

00:58:05.580 so

00:58:07.140 I'm

00:58:07.960 definitely

00:58:08.240 not

00:58:08.480 anti-Russia

00:58:09.020 I'm

00:58:09.320 as pro-Russia

00:58:10.220 as you

00:58:10.540 could possibly

00:58:11.080 be

00:58:11.380 because I

00:58:11.960 think

00:58:12.080 the Russian

00:58:12.440 people

00:58:12.900 are kind

00:58:13.280 of awesome

00:58:13.620 kind

00:58:15.260 of awesome

00:58:15.640 but

00:58:16.880 and they

00:58:17.240 should be

00:58:17.460 our allies

00:58:17.960 just need

00:58:18.980 different

00:58:19.240 leadership

00:58:19.620 how is

00:58:22.480 Russia

00:58:22.760 an adversary

00:58:23.420 they're

00:58:27.220 an adversary

00:58:27.720 in the sense

00:58:28.380 that they

00:58:28.660 have nuclear

00:58:29.140 weapons

00:58:29.540 pointed at

00:58:30.180 us

00:58:30.420 and they

00:58:31.360 can make

00:58:31.800 our work

00:58:32.480 harder

00:58:32.980 in some

00:58:33.560 places

00:58:33.920 so

00:58:35.600 but

00:58:36.740 to your

00:58:37.880 point

00:58:38.260 I'm more

00:58:38.720 empathetic

00:58:39.780 to your

00:58:40.020 point

00:58:40.300 than you

00:58:41.080 think

00:58:41.400 because

00:58:42.260 my

00:58:42.640 larger

00:58:42.980 point

00:58:43.300 is that

00:58:43.860 there

00:58:44.120 are

00:58:44.240 not

00:58:44.480 enough

00:58:44.940 reasons

00:58:45.340 to be

00:58:45.780 adversaries

00:58:46.380 so you

00:58:47.080 ask the

00:58:47.600 right

00:58:47.720 question

00:58:48.020 the correct

00:58:48.940 question

00:58:49.280 is

00:58:49.560 are

00:58:50.540 the

00:58:51.040 problems

00:58:51.620 we have

00:58:52.240 with

00:58:52.580 Russia

00:58:52.940 enough

00:58:53.640 to call

00:58:55.060 them

00:58:55.240 an

00:58:55.420 adversary

00:58:55.840 and the

00:58:56.180 answer

00:58:56.340 is yes

00:58:56.840 but I

00:58:58.360 think

00:58:58.580 it's

00:58:59.400 not so

00:58:59.940 much

00:59:00.200 that we

00:59:00.560 couldn't

00:59:00.800 get rid

00:59:01.140 of it

00:59:01.500 in other

00:59:02.580 words

00:59:02.780 it's

00:59:02.980 something

00:59:03.180 you

00:59:03.380 can

00:59:03.520 work

00:59:03.760 with

00:59:04.000 and

00:59:04.180 you

00:59:04.760 can

00:59:04.900 manage

00:59:05.540 that

00:59:05.800 down

00:59:06.100 because

00:59:07.100 it's

00:59:07.260 not

00:59:07.440 that

00:59:07.660 bad

00:59:08.240 yeah

00:59:14.340 we

00:59:15.240 made

00:59:15.480 them

00:59:15.640 our

00:59:15.800 enemies

00:59:16.080 I think

00:59:16.440 there's

00:59:17.060 something

00:59:17.260 to that

00:59:17.700 I do

00:59:18.180 think

00:59:18.420 our

00:59:18.600 actions

00:59:19.240 change

00:59:20.900 their

00:59:21.520 behavior

00:59:21.920 for sure

00:59:22.960 yeah

00:59:25.900 we

00:59:26.100 share

00:59:26.400 the

00:59:26.640 international

00:59:27.140 space

00:59:27.580 station

00:59:27.900 you know

00:59:28.700 that should

00:59:30.360 be all

00:59:30.660 you need

00:59:30.980 to know

00:59:31.320 right

00:59:31.640 like

00:59:33.660 you know

00:59:34.360 the fact

00:59:35.260 that we

00:59:35.600 that we

00:59:36.280 are

00:59:36.420 cooperating

00:59:37.100 on the

00:59:37.400 international

00:59:37.820 space

00:59:38.260 station

00:59:38.580 and

00:59:39.380 I've

00:59:39.740 said

00:59:39.900 before

00:59:40.260 that

00:59:40.560 the

00:59:40.840 pitch

00:59:41.540 to

00:59:41.800 Russia

00:59:42.120 is

00:59:43.120 to

00:59:43.380 cooperate

00:59:43.940 in

00:59:44.180 space

00:59:44.620 see

00:59:46.060 this

00:59:46.660 is

00:59:46.800 something

00:59:47.040 that

00:59:47.280 Trump

00:59:47.520 could

00:59:47.740 say

00:59:48.020 because

00:59:48.320 he's

00:59:48.540 smart

00:59:48.860 and

00:59:49.240 other

00:59:49.480 politicians

00:59:49.980 just

00:59:50.320 wouldn't

00:59:50.580 say

00:59:50.780 it

00:59:50.940 but

00:59:51.720 Trump

00:59:51.980 could

00:59:52.200 say

00:59:52.440 out

00:59:52.680 loud

00:59:53.020 hypothetically

00:59:53.860 you know

00:59:55.200 let's

00:59:55.700 think

00:59:56.040 of

00:59:56.140 the

00:59:56.240 future

00:59:56.560 the

00:59:57.900 thing

00:59:58.600 that's

00:59:58.840 going

00:59:58.960 to be

00:59:59.100 really

00:59:59.380 important

00:59:59.740 is

01:00:00.140 military

01:00:00.980 control

01:00:01.640 of

01:00:01.820 space

01:00:02.240 and

01:00:03.340 China

01:00:03.680 is

01:00:03.840 going

01:00:03.960 to

01:00:04.020 be

01:00:04.140 up

01:00:04.300 there

01:00:04.520 do

01:00:05.360 you

01:00:05.420 think

01:00:05.580 China

01:00:05.880 is

01:00:06.060 going

01:00:06.200 to

01:00:06.360 share

01:00:06.740 their

01:00:06.960 stuff

01:00:07.240 with

01:00:07.480 Russia

01:00:07.760 because

01:00:08.080 they

01:00:08.280 like

01:00:08.520 them

01:00:08.660 I

01:00:09.920 don't

01:00:10.040 think

01:00:10.240 so

01:00:10.500 but

01:00:11.800 I

01:00:11.920 think

01:00:12.100 we

01:00:12.360 could

01:00:12.840 work

01:00:13.100 with

01:00:13.260 Russia

01:00:13.520 and

01:00:13.680 say

01:00:13.780 look

01:00:14.020 we

01:00:14.220 already

01:00:14.520 cooperate

01:00:15.000 on

01:00:15.300 the

01:00:15.400 international

01:00:15.820 space

01:00:16.220 station

01:00:16.560 let's

01:00:17.660 cooperate

01:00:18.220 militarily

01:00:18.880 in

01:00:19.120 space

01:00:19.560 and

01:00:21.000 make

01:00:21.680 that

01:00:21.980 the

01:00:22.660 reason

01:00:22.960 to

01:00:23.200 cooperate

01:00:23.600 on

01:00:23.920 earth

01:00:24.520 right

01:00:25.220 just

01:00:25.880 say

01:00:26.080 alright

01:00:26.320 the

01:00:26.500 big

01:00:26.700 picture

01:00:26.980 is

01:00:27.180 we

01:00:27.300 have

01:00:27.440 to

01:00:27.500 be

01:00:27.580 on

01:00:27.680 the

01:00:27.800 same

01:00:27.980 side

01:00:28.340 when

01:00:29.280 space

01:00:29.720 is

01:00:29.920 the

01:00:30.140 battleground

01:00:30.700 we

01:00:31.220 have

01:00:31.460 to

01:00:31.600 it

01:00:32.440 would

01:00:32.640 be

01:00:32.840 insane

01:00:33.380 for

01:00:33.660 Russia

01:00:34.000 and

01:00:34.160 the

01:00:34.240 United

01:00:34.400 States

01:00:34.760 to

01:00:35.560 be

01:00:35.700 on

01:00:35.800 opposing

01:00:36.140 sides

01:00:36.540 in

01:00:36.720 space

01:00:37.060 that

01:00:38.300 would

01:00:38.420 just

01:00:38.600 be

01:00:38.780 nuts

01:00:39.220 but

01:00:40.760 China

01:00:41.100 is

01:00:41.260 going

01:00:41.380 to

01:00:41.420 go

01:00:41.580 its

01:00:41.740 own

01:00:41.900 way

01:00:42.260 and

01:00:43.460 threatening

01:00:43.920 or

01:00:44.160 not

01:00:44.420 it's

01:00:44.640 going

01:00:44.760 to

01:00:44.780 be

01:00:44.900 a

01:00:45.060 force

01:00:45.460 in

01:00:45.740 space

01:00:46.180 that

01:00:46.520 needs

01:00:46.760 to

01:00:46.900 be

01:00:47.080 dealt

01:00:47.340 with

01:00:47.640 and

01:00:48.400 we're

01:00:48.580 going

01:00:48.700 to

01:00:48.720 be

01:00:48.840 a

01:00:49.000 lot

01:00:49.340 better

01:00:49.860 off

01:00:50.280 if

01:00:50.700 Russia

01:00:51.000 is

01:00:51.160 on

01:00:51.300 the

01:00:51.440 same

01:00:51.640 team

01:00:51.900 we

01:00:52.120 are

01:00:52.360 a

01:00:52.920 lot

01:00:53.100 better

01:00:53.320 off

01:00:53.560 so

01:00:53.940 that's

01:00:54.160 the

01:00:54.280 pitch

01:00:54.580 come

01:00:55.960 together

01:00:56.260 in

01:00:56.400 the

01:00:56.500 future

01:00:56.800 uh

01:01:00.920 all

01:01:05.360 right

01:01:05.600 so

01:01:09.000 it's

01:01:09.200 insane

01:01:09.560 to

01:01:09.760 be

01:01:09.900 so

01:01:10.080 defensive

01:01:10.600 definitive

01:01:11.540 yeah

01:01:12.740 it

01:01:13.100 would

01:01:13.200 be

01:01:13.340 insane

01:01:13.800 it

01:01:16.900 would

01:01:17.060 be

01:01:17.220 insane

01:01:17.660 to

01:01:18.000 be

01:01:18.380 just

01:01:19.120 anti

01:01:20.060 Russian

01:01:20.580 as a

01:01:21.120 reflex

01:01:21.540 absolutely

01:01:22.420 we

01:01:23.320 should

01:01:23.780 be

01:01:23.960 open

01:01:24.280 to

01:01:24.620 bringing

01:01:25.440 them

01:01:25.720 onto

01:01:25.940 the

01:01:26.140 team

01:01:26.420 that

01:01:27.620 should

01:01:27.960 be

01:01:28.080 the

01:01:28.220 play

01:01:28.520 period

01:01:28.980 no

01:01:29.640 matter

01:01:29.860 what's

01:01:30.220 happening

01:01:30.620 our

01:01:31.920 our

01:01:32.240 stated

01:01:33.140 intention

01:01:33.660 should

01:01:33.980 be

01:01:34.100 to

01:01:34.240 get

01:01:34.400 them

01:01:34.560 on

01:01:34.720 our

01:01:34.880 team

01:01:35.120 and

01:01:35.980 by

01:01:36.140 the

01:01:36.240 way

01:01:36.440 here

01:01:37.020 here's

01:01:37.340 your

01:01:37.480 persuasion

01:01:38.340 lesson

01:01:38.700 for

01:01:38.920 the

01:01:39.040 day

01:01:39.260 this

01:01:41.260 is

01:01:41.400 like

01:01:41.540 the

01:01:41.720 simplest

01:01:42.060 persuasion

01:01:42.720 lesson

01:01:43.100 if

01:01:44.320 you

01:01:44.440 want

01:01:44.660 something

01:01:44.940 to

01:01:45.140 happen

01:01:45.460 you

01:01:46.620 have

01:01:46.820 to

01:01:46.980 state

01:01:47.320 it

01:01:47.480 directly

01:01:47.860 just

01:01:49.080 say

01:01:49.220 what

01:01:49.380 you

01:01:49.480 want

01:01:49.740 and

01:01:50.900 as

01:01:51.180 unlikely

01:01:51.700 as

01:01:52.000 it

01:01:52.140 is

01:01:52.460 putting

01:01:52.960 it

01:01:53.140 out

01:01:53.320 there

01:01:53.520 as

01:01:53.920 what

01:01:54.080 you

01:01:54.220 want

01:01:54.460 does

01:01:54.920 make

01:01:55.340 a

01:01:55.460 difference

01:01:55.860 because

01:01:56.720 as soon

01:01:57.060 as

01:01:57.180 it's

01:01:57.320 out

01:01:57.500 there

01:01:57.700 as

01:01:57.900 a

01:01:58.200 yes

01:01:58.460 or

01:01:58.600 no

01:01:58.820 proposition

01:01:59.380 then

01:01:59.720 people

01:01:59.980 people

01:02:00.920 will

01:02:01.140 be

01:02:01.380 drawn

01:02:01.660 to

01:02:01.840 it

01:02:01.980 as

01:02:02.140 a

01:02:02.240 yes

01:02:02.440 or

01:02:02.560 no

01:02:02.800 and

01:02:03.520 then

01:02:03.660 you've

01:02:03.880 got

01:02:04.020 something

01:02:04.320 going

01:02:04.660 so

01:02:05.540 even

01:02:07.180 though

01:02:07.400 everything

01:02:07.740 is

01:02:07.980 terrible

01:02:08.380 with

01:02:08.860 the

01:02:08.980 United

01:02:09.180 States

01:02:09.520 and

01:02:09.700 Russia

01:02:10.000 I

01:02:10.940 would

01:02:11.120 love

01:02:11.340 to

01:02:11.520 see

01:02:11.680 our

01:02:11.860 leader

01:02:12.160 whether

01:02:12.420 it's

01:02:12.620 Biden

01:02:13.080 or

01:02:13.280 anybody

01:02:13.520 else

01:02:13.880 Trump

01:02:14.600 to

01:02:15.160 say

01:02:15.340 look

01:02:15.680 in

01:02:16.480 the

01:02:16.660 long

01:02:16.940 run

01:02:17.260 Russia

01:02:19.080 and

01:02:19.240 the

01:02:19.320 United

01:02:19.500 States

01:02:19.860 are

01:02:20.120 going

01:02:20.240 to

01:02:20.300 be

01:02:20.440 partners

01:02:20.840 and

01:02:21.840 just

01:02:22.000 say

01:02:22.120 it

01:02:22.220 as

01:02:22.300 a

01:02:22.440 fact

01:02:22.780 don't

01:02:23.820 say

01:02:24.000 it's

01:02:24.180 a

01:02:24.360 wish

01:02:24.820 don't

01:02:25.220 say

01:02:25.340 it's

01:02:25.480 a

01:02:25.600 desire

01:02:25.940 in

01:02:26.360 the

01:02:26.480 long

01:02:26.720 run

01:02:26.880 we're

01:02:27.080 going

01:02:27.160 to

01:02:27.200 be

01:02:27.300 on

01:02:27.400 the

01:02:27.520 same

01:02:27.700 team

01:02:28.000 we

01:02:29.160 Trump

01:02:30.120 said

01:02:30.340 that

01:02:30.620 I

01:02:31.820 never

01:02:32.040 heard

01:02:32.200 him

01:02:32.320 say

01:02:32.440 that

01:02:32.720 I'm

01:02:34.200 going

01:02:34.300 to

01:02:34.380 question

01:02:34.680 that

01:02:34.900 because

01:02:35.040 I'm

01:02:35.400 sure

01:02:35.700 I

01:02:35.840 would

01:02:35.960 have

01:02:36.080 seen

01:02:36.220 that

01:02:36.460 quote

01:02:36.760 but

01:02:37.520 if

01:02:37.860 there's

01:02:38.100 a

01:02:38.220 quote

01:02:38.380 where

01:02:38.600 Trump

01:02:39.000 said

01:02:39.220 anything

01:02:39.620 like

01:02:39.940 that

01:02:40.120 I

01:02:40.200 would

01:02:40.300 love

01:02:40.440 to

01:02:40.560 see

01:02:40.720 it

01:02:40.920 but

01:02:41.740 the

01:02:42.020 wisest

01:02:43.240 leadership

01:02:44.080 position

01:02:44.660 would

01:02:44.920 be

01:02:45.140 you

01:02:45.720 know

01:02:45.900 we're

01:02:46.080 going

01:02:46.200 to

01:02:46.240 be

01:02:46.380 on

01:02:46.500 the

01:02:46.640 same

01:02:46.820 team

01:02:47.140 there's

01:02:48.440 no way

01:02:48.920 around

01:02:49.160 it

01:02:49.440 so

01:02:50.540 let's

01:02:50.740 start

01:02:50.960 now

01:02:51.260 now

01:02:53.160 I

01:02:53.420 don't

01:02:53.680 think

01:02:53.860 you

01:02:53.960 could

01:02:54.080 do

01:02:54.200 that

01:02:54.360 right

01:02:54.700 now

01:02:54.940 while

01:02:55.280 Ukraine

01:02:56.660 is

01:02:56.900 raging

01:02:57.200 but

01:02:58.360 I

01:02:59.400 feel

01:02:59.800 you

01:02:59.980 can

01:03:00.140 even

01:03:00.360 give

01:03:00.660 Putin

01:03:01.500 a

01:03:01.660 win

01:03:01.900 on

01:03:03.180 paper

01:03:03.500 you

01:03:04.220 know

01:03:04.580 one

01:03:04.760 of

01:03:04.840 the

01:03:04.900 problems

01:03:05.120 is

01:03:05.300 Putin

01:03:05.540 needs

01:03:05.780 to

01:03:05.900 get

01:03:06.060 something

01:03:09.220 won

01:03:09.380 and

01:03:10.440 what

01:03:11.220 would

01:03:11.420 be

01:03:11.580 a

01:03:11.820 better

01:03:12.080 win

01:03:12.440 for

01:03:13.200 everybody

01:03:13.920 involved

01:03:14.600 than

01:03:15.580 to

01:03:15.760 form

01:03:16.020 a

01:03:16.220 space

01:03:16.580 alliance

01:03:17.160 before

01:03:18.980 anybody's

01:03:19.560 got any

01:03:19.880 real

01:03:20.160 spaceships

01:03:21.380 except

01:03:22.240 for the

01:03:22.520 ISS

01:03:22.840 right

01:03:24.160 it

01:03:25.180 would

01:03:25.320 look

01:03:25.480 like

01:03:25.660 a

01:03:25.780 win

01:03:25.960 wouldn't

01:03:26.180 it

01:03:26.700 it

01:03:26.980 would

01:03:27.180 be

01:03:27.340 Russia

01:03:27.800 Russia

01:03:28.900 would

01:03:29.260 actually

01:03:29.780 establish

01:03:31.220 itself

01:03:31.820 as

01:03:32.240 a

01:03:32.460 space

01:03:32.920 force

01:03:33.480 and

01:03:35.240 that

01:03:35.420 would

01:03:35.580 give

01:03:35.820 Putin

01:03:36.080 something

01:03:36.420 to

01:03:36.700 say

01:03:37.000 not

01:03:37.360 only

01:03:37.640 not

01:03:38.480 only

01:03:38.720 did

01:03:38.920 I

01:03:39.080 solve

01:03:39.340 things

01:03:39.640 on

01:03:39.820 the

01:03:39.940 ground

01:03:40.280 you

01:03:40.760 know

01:03:40.840 maybe

01:03:41.040 we

01:03:41.300 work

01:03:41.640 out

01:03:41.780 a

01:03:41.900 deal

01:03:42.040 with

01:03:42.220 NATO

01:03:42.500 or

01:03:42.700 something

01:03:43.000 and

01:03:43.420 stop

01:03:43.620 fighting

01:03:43.920 so

01:03:44.600 you

01:03:44.800 know

01:03:44.980 the

01:03:45.520 Ukraine

01:03:45.880 war

01:03:46.080 is

01:03:46.200 going

01:03:46.320 to

01:03:46.400 wind

01:03:46.620 down

01:03:47.020 so

01:03:48.280 you

01:03:48.420 could

01:03:48.540 say

01:03:48.700 the

01:03:48.920 reason

01:03:49.240 I'm

01:03:49.460 winding

01:03:49.740 it

01:03:49.940 down

01:03:50.280 is

01:03:51.180 that

01:03:51.300 we've

01:03:51.560 reached

01:03:51.920 not

01:03:52.260 just

01:03:52.640 an

01:03:52.800 agreement

01:03:53.140 on

01:03:53.600 Ukraine

01:03:54.160 but

01:03:55.260 all

01:03:55.580 of

01:03:55.740 space

01:03:56.240 Putin

01:03:58.340 could

01:03:58.540 sell

01:03:58.740 the

01:03:58.880 hell

01:03:59.020 out

01:03:59.160 of

01:03:59.260 that

01:03:59.460 and

01:04:00.300 we

01:04:00.480 would

01:04:00.660 be

01:04:00.800 happy

01:04:01.040 if

01:04:01.200 he

01:04:01.300 did

01:04:01.560 wouldn't

01:04:02.700 you

01:04:02.820 be

01:04:02.960 happy

01:04:03.240 if

01:04:03.620 Putin

01:04:04.060 could

01:04:04.220 go

01:04:04.380 to

01:04:04.500 his

01:04:04.620 own

01:04:04.760 people

01:04:05.020 and

01:04:05.160 say

01:04:05.260 look

01:04:05.540 this

01:04:06.660 was

01:04:06.860 all

01:04:07.060 ugly

01:04:07.400 and

01:04:07.680 certainly

01:04:08.100 it

01:04:08.340 was

01:04:08.460 worse

01:04:08.980 than

01:04:09.160 we

01:04:09.340 expected

01:04:09.760 and

01:04:10.840 that's

01:04:11.360 on

01:04:11.520 me

01:04:11.780 but

01:04:12.360 we

01:04:12.480 got

01:04:12.680 something

01:04:12.960 really

01:04:13.240 good

01:04:13.580 we

01:04:14.400 got

01:04:14.800 a

01:04:15.100 permanent

01:04:15.420 arrangement

01:04:15.860 on the

01:04:16.200 ground

01:04:16.500 because

01:04:16.760 I

01:04:16.880 think

01:04:17.040 they'll

01:04:17.200 get

01:04:17.360 there

01:04:17.540 eventually

01:04:17.860 but

01:04:18.500 we

01:04:18.640 also

01:04:19.100 have

01:04:20.400 a

01:04:20.560 path

01:04:20.900 into

01:04:21.140 space

01:04:21.640 that's

01:04:22.480 far

01:04:22.700 more

01:04:22.900 important

01:04:23.240 than

01:04:23.440 what

01:04:23.600 was

01:04:23.760 happening

01:04:24.040 in

01:04:24.240 Ukraine

01:04:24.580 you

01:04:31.860 don't

01:04:32.080 watch

01:04:32.380 or

01:04:32.500 listen

01:04:32.720 to

01:04:32.860 Trump

01:04:33.100 since

01:04:33.400 2020

01:04:33.900 he

01:04:34.320 said

01:04:34.540 before

01:04:34.860 that

01:04:35.100 too

01:04:35.400 well

01:04:36.040 send

01:04:36.380 it

01:04:36.480 to

01:04:36.580 me

01:04:36.760 oh

01:04:37.980 okay

01:04:38.360 let

01:04:38.560 me

01:04:38.620 see

01:04:38.820 Trump

01:04:40.000 says

01:04:40.280 he

01:04:40.400 would

01:04:40.520 consider

01:04:40.800 an

01:04:40.960 alliance

01:04:41.180 with

01:04:41.360 Russia

01:04:41.640 over

01:04:41.960 an

01:04:42.120 Islamic

01:04:42.420 state

01:04:42.740 and

01:04:42.860 that's

01:04:43.040 not

01:04:43.200 the

01:04:43.340 same

01:04:43.540 an

01:04:44.720 alliance

01:04:45.360 over

01:04:45.760 a

01:04:46.180 specific

01:04:46.640 topic

01:04:47.100 is

01:04:47.580 not

01:04:47.800 what

01:04:47.960 I'm

01:04:48.100 talking

01:04:48.360 about

01:04:48.640 so

01:04:50.000 I

01:04:50.320 do

01:04:51.260 agree

01:04:51.640 with

01:04:51.860 you

01:04:52.020 that

01:04:52.240 Trump

01:04:52.580 said

01:04:53.060 we

01:04:53.260 could

01:04:53.420 work

01:04:53.640 with

01:04:53.820 Russia

01:04:54.140 on

01:04:54.400 specific

01:04:54.880 things

01:04:55.280 like

01:04:55.720 terrorism

01:04:56.680 and stuff

01:04:57.140 that's

01:04:58.200 not even

01:04:58.500 close

01:04:58.920 to what

01:04:59.420 I'm

01:04:59.560 talking

01:04:59.780 about

01:05:00.020 I'm

01:05:00.360 talking

01:05:00.520 about

01:05:00.940 like

01:05:01.780 literally

01:05:02.220 treating

01:05:03.720 like

01:05:04.080 Great

01:05:04.600 Britain

01:05:04.900 you know

01:05:05.740 eventually

01:05:06.200 yeah

01:05:11.040 Space

01:05:11.400 Force

01:05:11.660 is still

01:05:12.040 around

01:05:12.340 doing

01:05:12.620 great

01:05:12.920 oh

01:05:19.700 is that

01:05:20.000 right

01:05:20.200 is one

01:05:20.780 of the

01:05:20.980 reframes

01:05:21.500 that

01:05:21.880 Russia

01:05:22.440 invaded

01:05:23.200 to

01:05:23.980 stop

01:05:24.280 Ukraine

01:05:24.820 from

01:05:25.100 going

01:05:25.360 on

01:05:25.600 an

01:05:25.780 offensive

01:05:26.140 in

01:05:27.360 the

01:05:27.500 contested

01:05:29.160 areas

01:05:29.500 yeah

01:05:31.780 by the

01:05:33.960 way

01:05:34.160 there's

01:05:34.500 a

01:05:34.740 I forget

01:05:36.800 where it

01:05:37.060 is

01:05:37.220 is it

01:05:37.460 on

01:05:37.600 Netflix

01:05:38.000 there's

01:05:39.080 a

01:05:39.380 series

01:05:40.120 on

01:05:40.800 Richard

01:05:41.280 Branson

01:05:41.720 and the

01:05:42.400 starting

01:05:42.700 a

01:05:42.900 virgin

01:05:43.160 which

01:05:44.600 was

01:05:44.880 way

01:05:45.260 more

01:05:45.540 interesting

01:05:46.020 than I

01:05:46.400 thought

01:05:46.580 it was

01:05:46.820 going to

01:05:47.080 be

01:05:47.260 I

01:05:47.860 didn't

01:05:48.100 realize

01:05:48.420 that he

01:05:48.820 was

01:05:49.060 he

01:05:49.720 was

01:05:49.940 on

01:05:50.080 the

01:05:50.220 brink

01:05:50.480 of

01:05:50.660 bankruptcy

01:05:51.200 pretty

01:05:52.320 much

01:05:52.560 the

01:05:52.740 entire

01:05:53.100 time

01:05:53.440 until

01:05:53.680 he

01:05:53.840 was

01:05:54.000 rich

01:05:54.340 like

01:05:55.900 like

01:05:56.400 he

01:05:56.540 was

01:05:56.680 always

01:05:56.960 like

01:05:57.880 basically

01:05:58.620 he

01:05:58.900 was

01:05:59.000 broke

01:05:59.540 and

01:06:00.380 everything

01:06:00.780 had

01:06:01.000 gone

01:06:01.180 to

01:06:01.380 hell

01:06:01.620 a

01:06:01.840 whole

01:06:02.000 bunch

01:06:02.280 of

01:06:02.380 times

01:06:02.820 from

01:06:03.440 the

01:06:03.580 time

01:06:03.800 he

01:06:03.940 was

01:06:04.100 a

01:06:04.360 record

01:06:05.200 store

01:06:06.460 to

01:06:06.720 the

01:06:06.840 time

01:06:07.060 he

01:06:07.180 started

01:06:07.520 an

01:06:07.760 airline

01:06:08.080 like

01:06:08.620 every

01:06:08.940 part

01:06:09.200 of

01:06:09.300 that

01:06:09.460 was

01:06:09.820 pretty

01:06:11.860 sketchy

01:06:12.480 but

01:06:13.160 he

01:06:13.820 made

01:06:14.040 it

01:06:14.140 all

01:06:14.260 work

01:06:14.480 in

01:06:14.580 he

01:06:18.280 lost

01:06:18.560 six

01:06:18.860 satellites

01:06:19.420 were

01:06:20.640 some

01:06:21.100 satellites

01:06:21.580 damaged

01:06:22.000 last

01:06:22.280 night

01:06:22.500 with

01:06:22.920 the

01:06:23.120 solar

01:06:23.500 flares

01:06:23.840 or

01:06:24.480 was

01:06:25.700 it

01:06:25.840 just

01:06:26.080 one

01:06:26.340 rocket

01:06:26.720 that

01:06:27.000 didn't

01:06:27.200 work

01:06:27.500 I

01:06:29.240 don't

01:06:29.380 know

01:06:29.520 anything

01:06:29.740 about

01:06:29.980 any

01:06:30.180 satellites

01:06:30.680 or

01:06:31.400 there

01:06:31.520 was

01:06:31.620 a

01:06:31.740 launch

01:06:32.000 that

01:06:32.180 failed

01:06:32.440 a

01:06:33.020 virgin

01:06:33.300 launch

01:06:33.680 with

01:06:37.480 a

01:06:37.680 virgin

01:06:37.980 oh

01:06:41.340 it was

01:06:41.540 a virgin

01:06:41.860 launch

01:06:42.160 and it

01:06:42.380 didn't

01:06:42.540 work

01:06:42.820 well

01:06:43.700 I

01:06:43.820 guess

01:06:44.100 Elon

01:06:45.700 Musk

01:06:46.140 has a

01:06:46.600 big

01:06:46.720 advantage

01:06:47.080 there

01:06:47.300 you

01:06:47.980 know

01:06:48.060 I

01:06:48.200 don't

01:06:48.380 think

01:06:48.620 we

01:06:48.860 can

01:06:49.160 discount

01:06:50.360 how

01:06:50.640 important

01:06:51.000 it

01:06:51.180 is

01:06:51.480 that

01:06:52.680 Musk

01:06:53.080 is

01:06:53.440 the

01:06:53.640 engineer

01:06:54.080 as well

01:06:54.520 as

01:06:54.760 the

01:06:55.100 company

01:06:55.760 owner

01:06:56.480 because

01:06:58.280 I

01:06:58.520 can't

01:06:58.980 see

01:06:59.360 Richard

01:07:00.660 Branson

01:07:01.120 being

01:07:02.720 the right

01:07:03.200 leader

01:07:03.600 for a

01:07:04.120 technical

01:07:04.520 project

01:07:05.160 right

01:07:06.720 now

01:07:07.480 you

01:07:08.160 could

01:07:08.320 argue

01:07:08.540 that

01:07:08.900 having

01:07:09.340 an

01:07:09.500 airline

01:07:09.780 is

01:07:10.060 technical

01:07:10.480 but

01:07:10.820 it's

01:07:11.160 such

01:07:11.360 a

01:07:11.500 well

01:07:11.720 understood

01:07:12.240 technical

01:07:12.840 that

01:07:13.100 that's

01:07:13.340 different

01:07:13.640 but

01:07:14.600 going

01:07:14.820 into

01:07:15.000 space

01:07:15.340 is

01:07:15.520 inventing

01:07:16.040 something

01:07:16.360 new

01:07:16.660 and

01:07:17.460 I

01:07:17.560 don't

01:07:17.720 think

01:07:18.020 that

01:07:18.780 Richard

01:07:19.460 Branson

01:07:19.920 is the

01:07:21.080 right

01:07:21.240 leader

01:07:21.520 for that

01:07:21.980 but

01:07:23.500 Musk

01:07:23.800 is

01:07:24.080 because

01:07:25.120 you know

01:07:25.400 Musk

01:07:25.680 can

01:07:25.880 just

01:07:26.160 say

01:07:26.360 why

01:07:26.580 are

01:07:26.680 you

01:07:26.780 doing

01:07:26.980 that

01:07:27.240 unplug

01:07:27.720 it

01:07:27.840 if

01:07:27.980 it's

01:07:28.200 nothing

01:07:28.520 Bezos

01:07:31.020 in

01:07:31.260 blue

01:07:31.440 origin

01:07:31.800 yet

01:07:32.060 well

01:07:32.740 no

01:07:34.720 Bezos

01:07:37.220 doesn't

01:07:37.640 have a

01:07:37.920 technical

01:07:38.280 background

01:07:38.760 does

01:07:39.020 he

01:07:39.100 or

01:07:39.180 does

01:07:39.420 he

01:07:39.580 what

01:07:40.380 is

01:07:40.780 Bezos

01:07:41.280 educational

01:07:42.080 background

01:07:42.580 he's

01:07:43.800 not

01:07:43.940 an

01:07:44.060 engineer

01:07:44.400 is

01:07:44.640 he

01:07:44.820 banking

01:07:48.360 financial

01:07:48.980 yeah

01:07:50.220 you

01:07:50.380 build

01:07:50.580 Amazon

01:07:51.120 and

01:07:52.200 that's

01:07:52.440 impressive

01:07:52.800 but

01:07:53.480 I would

01:07:53.740 argue

01:07:53.980 that

01:07:54.380 Amazon

01:07:55.380 is a

01:07:56.040 little

01:07:56.200 bit

01:07:56.420 closer

01:07:56.780 to

01:07:57.300 extending

01:07:58.360 current

01:07:58.900 technology

01:07:59.540 than

01:08:00.620 going

01:08:00.920 to

01:08:01.120 Mars

01:08:01.440 going

01:08:02.080 to

01:08:02.260 Mars

01:08:02.460 you

01:08:02.620 have

01:08:02.740 to

01:08:02.880 invent

01:08:03.300 the

01:08:03.640 whole

01:08:03.820 process

01:08:04.420 but

01:08:05.680 Amazon

01:08:06.100 was

01:08:06.540 taking

01:08:06.860 something

01:08:07.240 that

01:08:07.500 existed

01:08:07.960 websites

01:08:09.020 and

01:08:10.120 they

01:08:10.480 grew

01:08:11.000 as

01:08:11.380 the

01:08:11.580 technology

01:08:12.140 for

01:08:12.480 the

01:08:13.840 internet

01:08:14.080 grew

01:08:14.340 I think

01:08:14.640 they

01:08:14.760 just

01:08:14.960 grew

01:08:15.200 with

01:08:15.480 it

01:08:15.720 not

01:08:16.340 sure

01:08:16.540 that

01:08:16.720 they

01:08:16.840 were

01:08:17.000 you

01:08:17.900 know

01:08:18.020 in

01:08:18.200 some

01:08:18.420 ways

01:08:18.720 like

01:08:19.300 their

01:08:19.600 server

01:08:20.520 farms

01:08:21.100 and

01:08:21.280 stuff

01:08:21.560 they

01:08:22.580 were

01:08:22.720 leading

01:08:23.020 the

01:08:23.200 internet

01:08:23.440 I

01:08:23.680 think

01:08:24.000 you

01:08:24.140 could

01:08:24.260 say

01:08:24.480 but

01:08:25.140 mostly

01:08:25.500 they

01:08:25.720 just

01:08:25.920 followed

01:08:26.320 the

01:08:26.540 technology

01:08:27.120 so

01:08:27.980 Bezos

01:08:28.500 I

01:08:28.740 think

01:08:29.040 would

01:08:30.520 not

01:08:30.760 be

01:08:30.900 the

01:08:31.040 right

01:08:31.280 head

01:08:31.940 of

01:08:32.060 a

01:08:32.200 rocket

01:08:32.440 company

01:08:32.840 yeah

01:08:35.460 they

01:08:35.980 were

01:08:36.140 brilliant

01:08:36.620 in their

01:08:37.060 marketing

01:08:37.580 and

01:08:37.940 sales

01:08:38.460 and

01:08:39.080 psychology

01:08:39.820 and

01:08:40.340 a

01:08:40.460 whole

01:08:40.560 bunch

01:08:40.800 of

01:08:40.900 things

01:08:41.200 they

01:08:43.720 did

01:08:43.880 some

01:08:44.040 inventing

01:08:44.480 on

01:08:44.640 logistics

01:08:45.040 that's

01:08:45.380 true

01:08:45.600 but

01:08:47.140 as

01:08:47.680 did

01:08:47.880 Walmart

01:08:48.220 right

01:08:49.020 yeah

01:08:49.700 but

01:08:49.880 logistics

01:08:50.300 is

01:08:50.640 something

01:08:50.920 that

01:08:51.340 a

01:08:52.440 smart

01:08:52.800 operator

01:08:53.340 can

01:08:53.620 do

01:08:53.880 right

01:08:54.740 building

01:08:55.600 rockets

01:08:56.100 to

01:08:56.320 Mars

01:08:56.560 is

01:08:56.800 not

01:08:57.000 just

01:08:57.200 not

01:08:57.400 something

01:08:57.740 somebody

01:08:58.700 who's

01:08:58.920 good

01:08:59.080 at

01:08:59.260 finance

01:08:59.740 can

01:08:59.960 pull

01:09:00.160 off

01:09:00.440 yeah

01:09:04.380 all

01:09:05.720 right

01:09:05.920 question

01:09:06.760 for

01:09:07.040 you

01:09:07.320 as

01:09:08.620 we

01:09:08.780 have

01:09:08.960 reached

01:09:09.160 the

01:09:09.300 end

01:09:09.460 of

01:09:09.600 my

01:09:09.860 prepared

01:09:10.800 remarks

01:09:11.480 I

01:09:13.240 understand

01:09:13.600 that

01:09:13.980 my

01:09:14.280 my

01:09:15.260 image

01:09:15.740 here

01:09:16.080 on

01:09:16.700 YouTube

01:09:17.500 and

01:09:18.280 probably

01:09:18.660 Rumble

01:09:18.960 is

01:09:19.920 a

01:09:20.300 lower

01:09:20.920 grade

01:09:21.360 than it

01:09:21.660 should

01:09:21.820 be

01:09:22.020 looks

01:09:22.460 like

01:09:22.640 a

01:09:22.780 720

01:09:23.160 because

01:09:24.840 I

01:09:25.160 have

01:09:25.420 the

01:09:25.860 1080

01:09:26.380 set

01:09:29.580 but

01:09:31.220 for some

01:09:31.680 reason

01:09:31.860 it's

01:09:32.020 coming

01:09:32.220 through

01:09:32.400 a

01:09:32.540 720

01:09:32.940 my

01:09:33.320 camera

01:09:33.600 is

01:09:33.720 1080

01:09:34.060 is

01:09:35.860 it

01:09:36.980 only

01:09:37.180 because

01:09:37.420 of

01:09:37.540 the

01:09:37.560 lighting

01:09:37.800 I'm

01:09:38.420 going to

01:09:38.560 change

01:09:38.780 the

01:09:38.920 lighting

01:09:39.160 and see

01:09:39.380 if that

01:09:39.600 changes

01:09:39.840 it

01:09:40.460 hold on

01:09:41.700 see if I

01:09:42.500 can reach

01:09:42.840 it

01:09:43.280 I can't

01:09:44.380 reach

01:09:44.560 it

01:09:44.940 how's

01:09:59.260 that

01:09:59.520 better

01:10:03.760 all right

01:10:11.980 so you

01:10:12.460 think it

01:10:12.700 was just

01:10:12.980 the light

01:10:13.480 that gave

01:10:14.000 it the

01:10:14.260 bad

01:10:14.580 bad

01:10:16.820 look

01:10:17.100 yeah

01:10:17.760 the

01:10:17.980 same

01:10:22.980 resolution

01:10:23.560 all

01:10:30.180 right

01:10:32.480 all right

01:10:33.620 so maybe

01:10:34.060 maybe it's

01:10:34.640 a lighting

01:10:35.020 issue

01:10:35.540 when I

01:10:36.200 use the

01:10:36.600 iPads

01:10:37.300 the

01:10:38.300 iPad

01:10:38.600 is so

01:10:39.520 good in

01:10:39.860 low light

01:10:40.440 that I

01:10:40.920 have to

01:10:41.120 have it

01:10:41.320 dark

01:10:41.580 in here

01:10:41.940 but

01:10:43.080 and it

01:10:43.620 looks like

01:10:44.000 on the

01:10:44.300 iPad

01:10:44.560 I'm

01:10:44.820 overexposed

01:10:45.700 right

01:10:46.180 I look

01:10:46.580 super white

01:10:47.380 so I'm not

01:10:49.440 sure I can

01:10:49.880 get both

01:10:50.640 of these

01:10:51.040 devices

01:10:51.600 so I

01:10:54.520 might have

01:10:54.920 to

01:10:55.180 I might

01:10:56.720 have to

01:10:57.220 stream on

01:10:58.520 a laptop

01:11:00.380 a laptop

01:11:00.400 a laptop

01:11:00.520 for both

01:11:02.180 well I

01:11:04.780 can't do

01:11:05.340 I can't

01:11:05.920 do the

01:11:06.180 stream yard

01:11:06.740 stuff on

01:11:07.300 the iPad

01:11:07.840 and my

01:11:10.280 head is

01:11:10.560 shinier

01:11:10.900 all right

01:11:12.420 all right

01:11:13.160 that's all I

01:11:13.520 got for

01:11:13.760 now

01:11:14.140 best live

01:11:15.180 stream you've

01:11:15.640 ever seen

01:11:16.160 and let's

01:11:18.380 go see

01:11:19.040 what

01:11:19.280 Claude

01:11:19.680 Adams

01:11:20.020 is doing

01:11:20.660 the

01:11:20.900 my

01:11:21.460 it's like

01:11:23.260 my evil

01:11:24.040 me

01:11:24.360 I actually

01:11:26.260 have an

01:11:26.580 evil me

01:11:27.240 Claude

01:11:28.380 Adams

01:11:28.800 you know

01:11:30.060 not everybody

01:11:30.520 has one

01:11:30.940 but Robert

01:11:33.140 Barnes is

01:11:33.680 really mad at

01:11:34.220 that guy

01:11:34.580 my evil

01:11:35.060 twin

01:11:35.340 right

01:11:35.720 my evil

01:11:36.140 twin

01:11:36.400 use a

01:11:40.060 thermal

01:11:40.400 cam

01:11:40.840 more

01:11:42.160 makeup

01:11:42.520 yeah I'm

01:11:43.500 trying not

01:11:43.900 to do

01:11:44.160 makeup

01:11:44.600 I mean I

01:11:47.000 don't even

01:11:47.340 shave

01:11:47.760 I don't

01:11:49.120 know if

01:11:49.300 you can

01:11:49.500 tell but

01:11:49.940 because I

01:11:50.920 have light

01:11:51.420 hair but

01:11:52.320 I don't

01:11:52.540 even shave

01:11:52.960 before I

01:11:53.440 do this

01:11:53.800 like I'm

01:11:54.680 literally in

01:11:55.120 my pajamas

01:11:55.620 and I

01:11:57.380 think you

01:11:57.720 like it

01:11:58.100 that way

01:11:58.520 don't you

01:11:59.860 by the

01:12:02.480 way you're

01:12:03.740 all aware

01:12:04.140 that I'm

01:12:04.480 doing everything

01:12:05.080 I can to

01:12:05.700 not get

01:12:06.120 bigger right

01:12:06.700 is that

01:12:08.840 obvious

01:12:09.220 can you

01:12:10.640 tell I'm

01:12:10.960 going out of

01:12:11.400 my way to

01:12:11.960 not let

01:12:12.440 this grow

01:12:12.980 any bigger

01:12:13.480 than

01:12:13.820 than

01:12:14.980 you know

01:12:15.820 I wouldn't

01:12:16.260 want the

01:12:16.800 locals group

01:12:17.500 to be more

01:12:17.980 than 10,000

01:12:18.820 and I think

01:12:19.600 it'll stay

01:12:19.960 well below

01:12:20.460 that

01:12:20.720 it's like

01:12:21.240 6,000

01:12:21.960 something

01:12:22.240 but

01:12:23.300 it's not

01:12:24.540 going to be

01:12:24.840 better if

01:12:25.240 it's bigger

01:12:25.640 I would

01:12:26.380 make a lot

01:12:26.840 more money

01:12:27.340 but it's

01:12:28.960 not really

01:12:29.420 the primary

01:12:30.280 goal at

01:12:30.900 the moment

01:12:31.240 so I'll

01:12:34.340 just I'll

01:12:35.020 just wrap

01:12:35.420 up with

01:12:35.740 this thought

01:12:36.160 if you've

01:12:37.660 never had

01:12:38.020 the experience

01:12:38.660 of going

01:12:40.600 from having

01:12:41.280 nothing to

01:12:42.000 having plenty

01:12:43.060 you wouldn't

01:12:44.580 know what

01:12:44.860 this feels

01:12:45.260 like

01:12:45.560 but I'm

01:12:47.120 at that

01:12:47.440 phase of

01:12:47.840 my life

01:12:48.280 where I

01:12:49.080 kind of

01:12:49.360 took care

01:12:49.740 of myself

01:12:50.240 right

01:12:51.760 and the

01:12:52.260 people closest

01:12:52.960 to me

01:12:53.380 and now

01:12:55.820 I'm looking

01:12:56.160 for something

01:12:56.720 that makes

01:12:57.340 sense for

01:12:58.740 waking up

01:12:59.360 and pleasure

01:13:00.460 isn't good

01:13:01.000 enough

01:13:01.280 I wouldn't

01:13:02.800 wake up

01:13:04.540 happy every

01:13:05.020 day

01:13:05.180 oh

01:13:05.600 it's another

01:13:06.800 day of

01:13:07.400 pleasure

01:13:08.220 I hate

01:13:10.560 to say

01:13:10.900 it but

01:13:11.260 there's

01:13:12.500 nothing I

01:13:12.940 hate more

01:13:13.340 than too

01:13:13.680 much pleasure

01:13:14.300 I'll just

01:13:15.380 be bored

01:13:15.800 to death

01:13:16.180 and I

01:13:16.640 feel like

01:13:16.920 my life

01:13:17.320 is worthless

01:13:17.780 so in

01:13:19.860 order for

01:13:20.280 me to

01:13:20.560 feel like

01:13:20.980 I'm

01:13:21.720 you know

01:13:22.100 part of

01:13:23.960 life

01:13:24.480 and that

01:13:25.500 I'm

01:13:25.820 doing

01:13:26.580 something

01:13:26.900 useful

01:13:27.300 I do

01:13:29.140 this

01:13:29.480 because to

01:13:30.560 the extent

01:13:30.920 that people

01:13:31.280 find benefit

01:13:32.620 in it for

01:13:33.140 their life

01:13:33.600 that makes

01:13:35.680 me happy

01:13:36.060 that makes

01:13:37.600 it all

01:13:37.840 worthwhile

01:13:38.300 so that's

01:13:39.900 what's going

01:13:40.280 on

01:13:40.720 but there

01:13:43.980 are people

01:13:44.380 working very

01:13:45.200 hard to

01:13:46.560 diminish my

01:13:47.540 value

01:13:48.120 unfortunately

01:13:50.020 they're mostly

01:13:50.680 on Twitter

01:13:51.940 and

01:13:54.280 oh here's

01:13:55.100 a question

01:13:55.440 for you

01:13:55.800 somebody said

01:13:56.940 to me

01:13:57.780 that it's

01:14:00.820 my own

01:14:01.360 fault that

01:14:02.140 people don't

01:14:02.800 understand me

01:14:03.600 on Twitter

01:14:04.100 and I

01:14:06.940 guess that's

01:14:07.380 a yes or

01:14:07.860 no for

01:14:08.240 me

01:14:08.460 it's my

01:14:09.660 own fault

01:14:10.120 because I

01:14:10.720 could tweet

01:14:12.300 non-provocative

01:14:13.520 stuff

01:14:13.980 right

01:14:15.180 but to

01:14:18.100 be useful

01:14:18.640 as you've

01:14:20.200 seen many

01:14:20.560 times I

01:14:21.040 like attacking

01:14:21.740 the arguments

01:14:22.840 on my own

01:14:23.640 side

01:14:24.040 if they're

01:14:25.500 weak

01:14:25.800 and if I

01:14:26.840 do that

01:14:27.140 on Twitter

01:14:27.440 it looks

01:14:27.800 like you

01:14:28.300 know I'm

01:14:28.560 on the

01:14:28.740 other team

01:14:29.200 and everything

01:14:29.900 goes wrong

01:14:30.420 and

01:14:34.100 you and

01:14:37.260 Musk seem

01:14:37.680 to have

01:14:37.920 similar

01:14:38.260 motivations

01:14:38.800 yeah

01:14:39.140 it's what

01:14:39.860 happens when

01:14:40.380 you get

01:14:40.660 enough for

01:14:41.040 yourself

01:14:41.480 I mean

01:14:42.920 think of

01:14:43.260 Elon Musk

01:14:43.980 he's a

01:14:44.360 young man

01:14:44.900 and he

01:14:46.020 has

01:14:46.380 at one

01:14:47.780 point he

01:14:48.080 was the

01:14:48.340 richest

01:14:48.540 person in

01:14:49.040 the world

01:14:49.340 why do

01:14:51.480 you wake

01:14:51.760 up

01:14:52.060 I mean

01:14:54.280 it's fun

01:14:54.880 I mean

01:14:55.360 it must

01:14:55.780 be fun

01:14:56.120 but he

01:14:57.380 fills his

01:14:57.780 day with

01:14:58.080 work

01:14:58.460 I think

01:15:01.560 work is

01:15:01.940 the only

01:15:02.180 meaning

01:15:02.540 he gets

01:15:03.580 and the

01:15:03.820 rest is

01:15:04.140 just

01:15:04.440 filling the

01:15:05.140 time before

01:15:05.660 you do

01:15:05.960 something

01:15:06.220 meaningful

01:15:06.600 all right

01:15:09.000 that's all

01:15:10.780 for now

01:15:11.200 YouTube

01:15:13.060 and Rumble

01:15:13.600 let me know

01:15:15.380 on Rumble

01:15:15.740 how it

01:15:16.000 worked

01:15:16.200 I'll try to

01:15:16.840 figure out

01:15:17.200 how to see

01:15:17.560 your comments

01:15:18.100 eventually

01:15:18.540 I just have

01:15:19.960 another device

01:15:20.660 I can do

01:15:21.040 that

01:15:21.260 and goodbye

01:15:22.340 for now

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 10, 2023

Episode 1984 Scott Adams： Russian Disinformation, Classified Biden Documents, Snopes Fact-Fail, More

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