Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 21, 2023


Episode 1995 Scott Adams: Get In Here!


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 7 minutes

Words per Minute

138.39465

Word Count

9,295

Sentence Count

806

Misogynist Sentences

10

Hate Speech Sentences

13


Summary

Virus season is officially here, and it's a doosey one, but there's some good news too. I talk about how we may have supersized our immune systems, and why it could be a good thing. I also talk about Steven Crowder's deal with the Daily Wire.


Transcript

00:00:01.000 Almost instantly.
00:00:02.000 All right, so the YouTube feed looks like it's working, but come on in here, get in
00:00:13.000 here, come on.
00:00:14.000 A little technical difficulty, but you have arrived at the highlight of civilization,
00:00:19.000 and you've arrived in time for the simultaneous sip.
00:00:22.000 And if you're late for it, you probably want it to be.
00:00:25.000 But all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a stein,
00:00:28.000 and a canteen, jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:30.000 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:32.000 I like coffee.
00:00:34.000 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine the other day that makes everything
00:00:39.000 better.
00:00:40.000 It's called the simultaneous sip.
00:00:43.000 And it happens now.
00:00:44.000 Go.
00:00:49.000 Ah, that's good.
00:00:51.000 Yeah, I hope, I hope those, I hope people are not stuck on some broken live stream.
00:00:57.000 I hope the old one broke.
00:01:01.000 I just love it when YouTube dies just before I need it.
00:01:06.000 Now, this was going to be the most important live stream I ever did.
00:01:11.000 In all likelihood, this would have been the highest rated live stream I've ever done.
00:01:16.000 Because I know the content, but you don't.
00:01:19.000 And of course the technology doesn't work on this one.
00:01:23.000 This could have been like a life changing, you know, live stream.
00:01:28.000 Ah, it didn't work.
00:01:30.000 Changed history.
00:01:31.000 Probably, it could have changed the history, actually changed this, the direction of my whole
00:01:35.000 life, possibly.
00:01:38.000 All right, let's go private over here on the locals platform.
00:01:47.000 You're private, thanks for reminding me.
00:01:49.000 All right, I think enough, oh, here we go.
00:01:52.000 Looks like everybody's back in.
00:01:55.000 Let's do this.
00:01:57.000 Number one, would you like some good news?
00:02:01.000 Anybody want some good news?
00:02:03.000 There's some really good news.
00:02:05.000 Like, really, really good news.
00:02:08.000 CNN reports that viruses are down everywhere.
00:02:12.000 The COVID-19, the RSV, the flu, basically all of them are starting to dive.
00:02:20.000 And it's winter.
00:02:21.000 What's going on?
00:02:23.000 I don't know why.
00:02:27.000 I'm not sure if it's going to last.
00:02:29.000 But I have a theory.
00:02:32.000 And the theory, the masks work.
00:02:35.000 Shut up.
00:02:37.000 I just have to tell you, somebody over on YouTube just says, ah, masks work.
00:02:45.000 I assumed that was a joke, but it was a good one.
00:02:48.000 Shut up.
00:02:49.000 Shut up.
00:02:52.000 That's funny.
00:02:53.000 Okay, you got me on that one.
00:02:59.000 But is it possible that through all of this badness and the COVID and everything,
00:03:05.000 is it possible that we've just supersized our immune systems?
00:03:10.000 Like, I can't think of any reason that all of the viruses would be down at the same time
00:03:18.000 in the middle of the winter.
00:03:19.000 They should be sky high, right?
00:03:21.000 They should be the peak.
00:03:23.000 And it's going down.
00:03:25.000 So it could be that, yeah, actually, the only thing that's going down is the hospitalizations.
00:03:34.000 So it could be that maybe something's happened.
00:03:37.000 Maybe our immune system's got maybe ramped up a little bit.
00:03:41.000 I don't know.
00:03:42.000 Or it could be that people are just not going to the hospital.
00:03:45.000 Yeah, they have natural immunity, right?
00:03:48.000 So there may be so many people who have been infected with something that's close enough
00:03:52.000 to something else.
00:03:53.000 Because I can't think of any other reason, right?
00:03:55.000 Is there any other hypothesis why all the viruses would go down at the same time in the
00:04:01.000 middle of the winter?
00:04:03.000 There's no other hypothesis, right?
00:04:06.000 It's a warmer?
00:04:09.000 No.
00:04:10.000 The weak people died off?
00:04:13.000 That could be.
00:04:14.000 It could be that the people who are going to die already died.
00:04:18.000 Anyway, I'm going to take it as good news.
00:04:21.000 One update on the fascinating story of Steven Crowder versus The Daily Wire.
00:04:28.000 And remember, he was offered a big deal, a lot of money, and he said,
00:04:33.000 it's not about the money, blah, blah, blah.
00:04:36.000 It's about whether he would be able to do what he wants to do and not be penalized
00:04:43.000 in terms of censorship or losing money and stuff.
00:04:46.000 Now, I made my criticisms about a recorded phone call and went over the deal, but there's
00:04:54.000 one part I left out that will remind me.
00:04:58.000 Did I leave this out?
00:05:00.000 It looked to me at the time, and I didn't mention it, I don't think, but Candace Owens
00:05:05.000 did, that he's probably looking to just start his own thing.
00:05:10.000 And so one way to get a lot of attention for starting your own thing is to make a big
00:05:15.000 deal and torch the people who were trying to hire you.
00:05:18.000 Now, doing his own thing makes sense.
00:05:20.000 And I heard from Candace Owens on video that he had countered or he'd asked for $120 million.
00:05:29.000 Now, what does that sound like?
00:05:32.000 Well, what's the first thing you think of?
00:05:34.000 And I don't have confirmation of that.
00:05:36.000 That's just something I heard on Candace's show.
00:05:39.000 So, what does it tell you that if the number was $120, what would that tell you?
00:05:45.000 Yeah.
00:05:46.000 Oh, there we go.
00:05:47.000 Joe Rogan.
00:05:48.000 It looks like he was trying to get a bigger payday than Joe Rogan.
00:05:51.000 Doesn't it?
00:05:53.000 And that that was the play.
00:05:54.000 The play was to try to Joe Rogan-size himself.
00:05:58.000 Because he could get a lot of attention by going, doing his own thing.
00:06:02.000 And maybe that's the only way he can say what he wants to say without getting censored.
00:06:07.000 So, yeah.
00:06:08.000 Oh, yeah.
00:06:09.000 And the dollar amounts were spread over X number of years.
00:06:12.000 That's right.
00:06:13.000 So, it sounds to me like it was probably a play where one of two things would happen.
00:06:21.000 Either the Daily Wire would either up their offer or modify their offer.
00:06:30.000 Or he'd start his own thing.
00:06:34.000 And at the size, the scale and size he's operating at, starting his own thing makes sense.
00:06:40.000 Doesn't it?
00:06:42.000 I feel like it probably makes sense.
00:06:44.000 But we'll see.
00:06:46.000 So, a story on CNN about the Wagner group.
00:06:54.000 I called them Wagner, but if you want to be really Russian sounding, let's call them Wagner.
00:07:00.000 Because they sound more dangerous that way.
00:07:03.000 Oh, whose army is coming after us?
00:07:05.000 The Wagners?
00:07:07.000 It reminds me of a dog.
00:07:10.000 Waggiest day.
00:07:12.000 The Wagners.
00:07:13.000 The Wagners aren't going to hurt us.
00:07:15.000 They're just going to be wagging.
00:07:17.000 But what if I told you the Wagners were after you?
00:07:22.000 Oh, no.
00:07:23.000 Not the Wagners.
00:07:24.000 The Wagners are coming.
00:07:26.000 Now, that's dangerous sounding.
00:07:27.000 So, I'm going to call it Wagners from now on.
00:07:30.000 That's what CNN does.
00:07:32.000 But I guess the story is that the Wagner group is getting all the good weapons,
00:07:36.000 and they're the only ones that are making any progress in terms of taking over territory in Ukraine.
00:07:42.000 And what's interesting is the head of the Wagner group is just saying it directly.
00:07:49.000 He's saying that only the Wagner group is doing anything and the Russian army is kind of useless.
00:07:57.000 And he's able to say that out loud.
00:08:00.000 Because apparently either Putin is losing control over him because he's the only one, you know, he's getting any progress.
00:08:12.000 Or the Wagner group might be getting ready to take over Russia.
00:08:16.000 Is that even a possibility?
00:08:18.000 It doesn't seem like it would be.
00:08:20.000 I feel like there would be enough firewalls there to keep the Wagner group from taking over the Kremlin.
00:08:25.000 But they might be the only operating military in a year.
00:08:30.000 Like, it's possible that the Wagner group is all that's left that's, you know, functioning in a good way.
00:08:35.000 So, it makes you wonder if the Wagner group could take over the country.
00:08:39.000 So, that would be the scariest situation probably.
00:08:43.000 Even scarier than Putin.
00:08:44.000 Well, we'll watch that.
00:08:46.000 How many of you saw Tucker Carlson talking about the history of the CIA running the country from the Kennedy assassination through today?
00:08:59.000 Did anybody see that?
00:09:02.000 It might be one of the greatest things I've ever seen on television in all genres.
00:09:11.000 Like, that's a pretty big claim, isn't it?
00:09:14.000 The greatest thing I've ever seen on television in any genre.
00:09:18.000 Sports, news, natural disasters, anything.
00:09:23.000 Moon landing.
00:09:25.000 Now, I don't know if it's true.
00:09:27.000 Or, let's say, I think we know that the facts he gave are true.
00:09:33.000 They seem well demonstrated in history.
00:09:36.000 But I don't know if the interpretation is right on.
00:09:40.000 But if you missed it, I'll try as best I can to give you the summary.
00:09:45.000 But you really have to see it in context.
00:09:48.000 It honestly is one of the greatest things I've ever seen on television.
00:09:52.000 Maybe I oversold it, but definitely listen to it.
00:09:56.000 So here's the basic idea.
00:09:58.000 We know from audio tapes, as Tucker explained, that Richard Nixon believed he knew who killed John Kennedy.
00:10:06.000 Because he said so to the head of the CIA on tape that we have.
00:10:11.000 And the head of the CIA answered with, no answer whatsoever.
00:10:17.000 So that's not audio.
00:10:20.000 So soon after, Nixon said he thought he knew who killed John, as he called it, Kennedy.
00:10:30.000 The Watergate thing happened.
00:10:32.000 Now, here's some context that I was not aware of that Tucker filled in.
00:10:38.000 Did you know that Richard Nixon was the most popular president of all time?
00:10:43.000 According to the margin of his win for his second term.
00:10:48.000 If you look at how much he won his second term by, nobody's ever been close.
00:10:53.000 He's actually the most popular president in the history of the United States.
00:10:59.000 Did you have any idea?
00:11:01.000 I had no idea.
00:11:02.000 I would have thought he was closer to the bottom, but only because I was brainwashed.
00:11:08.000 I was a very young man when the Watergate stuff was happening.
00:11:12.000 So I just accepted what the news told me.
00:11:15.000 I was totally brainwashed into thinking Nixon was a monster.
00:11:19.000 Do you know what else Nixon did?
00:11:22.000 He ended the war in Vietnam.
00:11:24.000 Do you know what else he did?
00:11:27.000 He made friends with China.
00:11:29.000 Who would not want those things to happen?
00:11:33.000 The people who sell weapons, for one.
00:11:38.000 So then the Watergate thing happens, which brought down Nixon.
00:11:44.000 Did you know that the four members of the Watergate break-in were ex-CIA people?
00:11:51.000 Did you know that?
00:11:54.000 The very group that we suspect, or it looks like, may have brought Nixon down?
00:11:59.000 Huh.
00:12:00.000 That's interesting.
00:12:02.000 How about, did you know that when Nixon, you know, the Watergate thing happened,
00:12:09.000 he was removed from office, he was replaced not by his vice president,
00:12:13.000 because the vice president had already been taken out, Spiro Agnew,
00:12:17.000 but rather he was replaced by Gerald Ford, and Gerald Ford was an ex-CIA guy,
00:12:27.000 who also was the head of the Warren Commission that interestingly said
00:12:33.000 it was just one shooter and nobody else was involved.
00:12:36.000 So the ex-CIA guy, who only was in the vice presidency because the deep state already took out the vice president,
00:12:44.000 and then they took out the president, and he installed the guy that they had installed at the head of the Warren Commission
00:12:50.000 to say that nothing had happened to John Kennedy that was strange,
00:12:54.000 and then that guy, that guy became president.
00:12:59.000 That guy.
00:13:00.000 I didn't know this.
00:13:02.000 Like, well, I knew like a lot of the parts, but I hadn't connected them.
00:13:06.000 So then Nixon gets taken out by the Watergate thing, which was a bunch of CIA people.
00:13:13.000 And then the Washington Post writes about the story, you know, a big breaking story, and it was Woodward and Bernstein.
00:13:26.000 Woodward was, was he somebody who came up through the journalism, let's say, path?
00:13:35.000 No, he was an intel guy.
00:13:38.000 Woodward was an intel guy who somehow got one of the biggest jobs in journalism at one of the biggest outlets without experience.
00:13:46.000 And then suddenly, he got all the scoop on Watergate from somebody in the intel community he used to work for.
00:13:56.000 Is any of this sounding a little shady?
00:13:59.000 So it looks like maybe the Washington Post and Woodward and Bernstein were in on it.
00:14:06.000 It looks like Gerald Ford was in on it.
00:14:08.000 It looks like the CIA has been running things, or the intel or deep state or whatever,
00:14:14.000 has been running things since the days of Kennedy or before.
00:14:17.000 And all of it's just, all of it is just orchestrated.
00:14:24.000 C. Roger Stone, somebody says.
00:14:27.000 Okay?
00:14:28.000 Now, what else?
00:14:31.000 And then, here's the question I ask myself.
00:14:34.000 Well, how do you explain Ronald Reagan?
00:14:37.000 Does anybody think Ronald Reagan was a CIA deep state person?
00:14:41.000 There's no suggestion of that, right?
00:14:45.000 And here's the thing you have to ask yourself.
00:14:49.000 So we get somebody who's not a deep state person, and somebody tries to assassinate him.
00:14:56.000 Reagan got shot.
00:14:59.000 He lived.
00:15:00.000 But is Reagan like the exception that proves the rule?
00:15:05.000 That he was so popular he could get elected anyway,
00:15:08.000 you know, even if there's some, you know, movement against him.
00:15:12.000 But then he does get elected and he gets shot.
00:15:14.000 Like Kennedy.
00:15:16.000 Like Kennedy.
00:15:17.000 Didn't matter if he was Republican or, like Kennedy, a Democrat.
00:15:22.000 If you're somebody who is not already deep state, you get assassinated.
00:15:27.000 Or they try.
00:15:29.000 Then who replaced Reagan?
00:15:32.000 Do you remember?
00:15:33.000 Do you remember who replaced Reagan?
00:15:36.000 Yeah, Bush Sr., head of the CIA.
00:15:41.000 Coincidence?
00:15:44.000 Head of the CIA.
00:15:49.000 Now, what about Clinton?
00:15:55.000 Does Clinton have any CIA connection?
00:15:58.000 Well, Clinton seems to have some deep state connection.
00:16:02.000 I don't know what else they have.
00:16:05.000 How about Obama?
00:16:07.000 Does Obama have any CIA connections?
00:16:11.000 Deep state?
00:16:16.000 Oh, I think you're going to find out something about Obama.
00:16:22.000 I might know more than you on this topic,
00:16:24.000 but you might have some surprises in the future.
00:16:27.000 Might have some surprises.
00:16:29.000 All right.
00:16:30.000 So, then what about Trump?
00:16:34.000 Was Trump a deep state CIA guy?
00:16:41.000 Nope.
00:16:42.000 Did the deep state and the CIA take Trump out?
00:16:46.000 Yes, they did.
00:16:47.000 Right in front of you.
00:16:49.000 Yes, they did.
00:16:50.000 You know, when you see the whole history of it,
00:16:55.000 as Tucker points out brilliantly,
00:16:59.000 you can't miss it.
00:17:01.000 You can't miss it.
00:17:02.000 It's right in front of you.
00:17:05.000 It's really incredible.
00:17:08.000 You know, my entire history is fake.
00:17:11.000 Like, everything I knew about the United States,
00:17:14.000 it's all made up.
00:17:15.000 It's all fake.
00:17:16.000 Every bit of it.
00:17:18.000 Oh, well.
00:17:20.000 And, you know, the reason that I can say this in public
00:17:23.000 without any risk whatsoever,
00:17:25.000 do you know why I can say this in public without risk?
00:17:29.000 Because they're so firmly in control
00:17:32.000 that I'm irrelevant.
00:17:34.000 Like, it's not going to change anything.
00:17:36.000 And they don't have to worry about me.
00:17:38.000 There's no risk to the system whatsoever.
00:17:40.000 At all.
00:17:42.000 All right.
00:17:43.000 Now, let's solve some more mysteries.
00:17:46.000 You want to solve another mystery?
00:17:49.000 Why is the government not working on TikTok to ban it,
00:17:54.000 and fentanyl to do something serious about it?
00:17:58.000 Only one reason.
00:18:00.000 Only one reason.
00:18:01.000 Yeah.
00:18:02.000 Somebody in intelligence doesn't want it to happen.
00:18:05.000 For whatever reason.
00:18:06.000 Don't know the reason.
00:18:07.000 But you can know who it is.
00:18:09.000 We definitely know who it is.
00:18:12.000 We just don't know why.
00:18:13.000 Right?
00:18:14.000 Can't we guarantee at this point that the politicians are not in charge?
00:18:19.000 Which would explain everything.
00:18:22.000 Right?
00:18:23.000 Right?
00:18:24.000 And it would explain everything.
00:18:26.000 If the politicians are genuinely not in charge.
00:18:29.000 It's just the deep state telling people what to do and then they act like they're in charge.
00:18:33.000 That's the only way I can explain it.
00:18:35.000 I can't explain it any other way.
00:18:37.000 Somebody says defund the CIA.
00:18:40.000 Who do you think is in charge of funding?
00:18:44.000 That's asking the CIA to defund themselves.
00:18:48.000 They're already in charge.
00:18:50.000 Or, you know, some permanent members are in charge.
00:18:54.000 Not necessarily just CIA, but I'm sure they're part of the larger story.
00:19:00.000 All right.
00:19:01.000 There's more information about the lab leak theory in the Fauci files.
00:19:05.000 And now we know that behind the scenes that the experts were saying it looked like there was a good chance it was a lab leak.
00:19:17.000 But publicly the government was saying, oh, it's not a lab leak.
00:19:21.000 No, no, no.
00:19:22.000 It came from some kind of a bat or a penguin or something.
00:19:25.000 But apparently behind the scenes the experts were not saying that.
00:19:29.000 They did, however, seem to drift in that direction over time.
00:19:34.000 But the question is, why was our government lying to us when it was a very real possibility in the experts' minds?
00:19:42.000 You know, it was like a 50-50, 60-40 situation, whether it was natural or lab related.
00:19:48.000 And do you agree with the government lying to you in that context?
00:20:01.000 Do you think the government should have been honest and say, you know, honestly we can't tell if it's a lab leak or not
00:20:07.000 and our experts are sort of up in the air on it?
00:20:11.000 Yeah.
00:20:12.000 I was listening to Spaces yesterday and I heard a counterpoint to that.
00:20:17.000 Your first instinct is right.
00:20:19.000 Right?
00:20:20.000 Your first instinct is, of course they should tell you.
00:20:22.000 Of course they should.
00:20:24.000 But then the counterpoint is this.
00:20:27.000 It's war.
00:20:28.000 Right?
00:20:29.000 The pandemic looked like war.
00:20:31.000 And we didn't know who we were fighting.
00:20:33.000 We didn't know if somebody had intentionally let out a virus.
00:20:36.000 We didn't know if panic was going to be a bigger problem than the virus itself.
00:20:41.000 Everything was unknown.
00:20:43.000 So under those conditions, where the stakes are really the fate of the whole country, and it's all unknown, and your government decides to lie to you for your own benefit, is it unethical?
00:20:58.000 Yeah.
00:20:59.000 They're doing it for your benefit.
00:21:01.000 Literally for your benefit.
00:21:02.000 Is that unethical?
00:21:03.000 Yeah.
00:21:04.000 Probably.
00:21:05.000 Probably.
00:21:06.000 Probably.
00:21:07.000 You know.
00:21:08.000 But I'll tell you that in general, if somebody's on my team and they lie to me for my own benefit, I'm going to treat that with, let's say, more empathy than if somebody was just trying to screw me for their benefit.
00:21:27.000 If you're screwing me for your benefit, then you must die.
00:21:32.000 If you're lying to me for my benefit and you've had a good argument, even if you're wrong, you had a good argument at the time and you had my back, I'm not going to be as hardcore on that.
00:21:45.000 But you can be.
00:21:46.000 You can be.
00:21:47.000 I wouldn't criticize you for being a maniac on that.
00:21:50.000 It just, that's where I, that's sort of my current uncomfortable stance on it.
00:21:56.000 All right.
00:21:57.000 How many of you are aware that Dana White, who was caught on video slapping his wife after his wife slapped him first in Cabo, coincidentally was launching a new show on TBS called Power Slap in which people stand there and slap each other in the face until one can't take it anymore.
00:22:19.000 All right.
00:22:20.000 Now, is that a total coincidence?
00:22:23.000 Well, it doesn't seem like a coincidence, right?
00:22:26.000 Like that, that, that, I don't know how many minutes of Dana White's entire life are caught on somebody's camera phone, camera phone on their phone.
00:22:38.000 But it was kind of a big coincidence that just before he launches a major show about people slapping each other, that just before that he gets caught on camera slapping his wife who slapped him first, but neither of them got hurt and neither of them complained.
00:22:56.000 Huh.
00:22:57.000 Now, there are two ways to say it's not a coincidence.
00:23:01.000 Number one, it was a clever plan for marketing.
00:23:06.000 Does anybody think that's possible?
00:23:09.000 Do you think it was all a setup and it was just marketing?
00:23:13.000 I would say that's very possible.
00:23:15.000 It's not my, it's not my first conspiracy theory choice.
00:23:22.000 I've got a second theory that's sort of in between.
00:23:26.000 And it goes like this.
00:23:29.000 For, if he, if he's launching this new, this whole new business, what do you think he was doing every day?
00:23:36.000 Probably every day, he was talking about the word slap as, you know, it's like slap this, slap that.
00:23:45.000 And then he was looking at videos of people slapping.
00:23:48.000 He was probably looking at some, you know, test competitions to see how it would work out.
00:23:53.000 Probably all day long, this guy was around people slapping people in their face.
00:23:59.000 Then when he comes home, what does he talk about with his wife?
00:24:03.000 Oh, these people are slapping each other.
00:24:05.000 I got a slap thing.
00:24:06.000 I'll call it a slap fight, slap power, power slap.
00:24:09.000 It's going to be slap, slap, slap, slap, slap.
00:24:12.000 Right?
00:24:13.000 So he and his wife are talking about people slapping each other and not dying.
00:24:19.000 Because in theory, they're all supposed to survive, right?
00:24:22.000 It's just, ha, ha, ha, we slapped each other.
00:24:24.000 And the context is these people are really big and slapping the hell out of each other,
00:24:31.000 as opposed to what the couple did, which was sort of got each other's attention.
00:24:36.000 Nobody was hurt.
00:24:38.000 So, I think that the priming is what was the problem.
00:24:43.000 That's just a guess, right?
00:24:44.000 We can't know what was in their heads.
00:24:46.000 We can't know what really happened.
00:24:48.000 But my best theory is if all day long you're talking about people slapping each other,
00:24:53.000 and then you get drunk, and your wife slaps you because she knows it's not going to hurt you,
00:24:59.000 and all day long you're talking about people slapping each other,
00:25:03.000 and you get slapped, and you slap back.
00:25:07.000 I think that's what happened.
00:25:09.000 The fact that it was on camera is probably just because he's famous, right?
00:25:14.000 So people probably always take his picture if they recognize him.
00:25:18.000 It's probably pretty common.
00:25:20.000 So, that's my theory.
00:25:22.000 What do you think?
00:25:24.000 Do you think that the excessive priming about slapping just bled into his normal,
00:25:31.000 let's say, his reflex drunken decision?
00:25:35.000 That's what it looks like.
00:25:37.000 Now, also, you have to know that for him to launch a slap network,
00:25:41.000 what must he have done in his mind?
00:25:44.000 In his mind, he must have talked himself out of it being dangerous.
00:25:49.000 You know, or at least too dangerous.
00:25:50.000 Obviously, there's some danger.
00:25:52.000 But he must have talked himself out of it being dangerous.
00:25:55.000 So that when he did it, he was already in the frame of,
00:25:59.000 well, a slap isn't going to kill you.
00:26:01.000 It's literally entertainment.
00:26:03.000 He made slapping entertainment.
00:26:05.000 That's probably how he thought of it.
00:26:07.000 And he didn't hurt his wife.
00:26:09.000 So that's important.
00:26:11.000 All right.
00:26:12.000 If you've seen the advertisements for it in the video,
00:26:18.000 I'm just going to say it directly.
00:26:22.000 I'm not a doctor, but it looks like a brain damage competition.
00:26:28.000 Because the people who get slapped, at least, you know, in the previews,
00:26:32.000 they look like they have brain damage to me.
00:26:35.000 They're actually wandering around.
00:26:37.000 They don't even know where they are.
00:26:38.000 They can't even stand up.
00:26:39.000 They don't have their balance.
00:26:41.000 And they don't even, you know, they act like they're not even conscious for a little while.
00:26:50.000 You know that a concussion is brain damage, right?
00:26:54.000 Like, it's brain damage.
00:26:56.000 That's what a concussion is.
00:26:58.000 Now, I don't know if they're getting concussions, but I know they act like it.
00:27:02.000 So, in my non-medical opinion, it's a show about people who are giving each other brain damage.
00:27:10.000 And I'd love to tell you, therefore, I'm not going to watch it.
00:27:17.000 But honestly, watching stupid people slap the shit out of each other is way more entertaining than it should be.
00:27:31.000 Like, I'm not proud of this moment.
00:27:34.000 And I'm going to be less proud in a moment.
00:27:37.000 By the way, does anybody want to hear me say that the anti-vaxxers were totally right?
00:27:42.000 Hold on for that.
00:27:44.000 Hold on for that, because it's coming.
00:27:48.000 Now, well, good.
00:27:50.000 I gave you a little thrill.
00:27:51.000 It's going to get better in a moment.
00:27:53.000 I got double whiteboards.
00:27:55.000 Double whiteboards.
00:27:56.000 That's how right you are.
00:27:58.000 All right.
00:27:59.000 But anyway, power slap is interesting.
00:28:03.000 Have I ever mentioned that I end up in the middle of national stories way too often?
00:28:09.000 And it happened again yesterday.
00:28:12.000 I don't know if you caught this one yet.
00:28:15.000 But it starts with Elon Musk tweeted that his cousin, who is young and in peak health, had a serious case of myocarditis after the shot and went to the hospital.
00:28:26.000 But he said that after he'd said that he himself, Elon Musk, had major side effects from my second booster shot.
00:28:33.000 Felt like I was dying for several days.
00:28:36.000 Hopefully no permanent damage, but I don't know.
00:28:39.000 Now, this is a headline story on Fox News, you know, just a few hours after he tweeted it.
00:28:50.000 Here's how I ended up in this story.
00:28:53.000 He was responding to my tweet.
00:28:56.000 So somehow I'm in the middle of this story.
00:28:59.000 Like, I wasn't talking to him.
00:29:01.000 I was just tweeting about something.
00:29:04.000 And then he responded to it.
00:29:05.000 And then it's a national story.
00:29:06.000 So somehow, like, this is what makes me feel like I'm living in a simulation.
00:29:11.000 Because it's just too weird how often I get in the middle of a story.
00:29:17.000 It can't, it's hard to describe in, you know, it's hard to understand in any normal way.
00:29:23.000 But here's the fascinating part from this.
00:29:28.000 And so that you will all stay with me, here's what's going to happen.
00:29:35.000 I'm going to tell you that the people who, the anti-vaxxers appear to be right.
00:29:41.000 But then I'm going to talk about some why, right?
00:29:45.000 I'm going to give you some details why.
00:29:47.000 Usually you, most of you disappear when I talk about anything vax related.
00:29:52.000 But I'm only going to talk about how we analyze it.
00:29:55.000 But having, I'm going to start with an admission, okay?
00:29:59.000 Just so you'll stay around.
00:30:01.000 At the moment, and anything could change.
00:30:06.000 But at the moment, the anti-vaxxers appear to be the ones who are the most right.
00:30:12.000 And the ones who are the biggest winners.
00:30:19.000 Did I say that directly enough?
00:30:21.000 Now, do you accept that as a direct statement?
00:30:25.000 Right?
00:30:26.000 Are you okay with that?
00:30:29.000 That at the moment, with what we know right now, it would look like the people who didn't get vaccinated are the lucky ones or the right choice.
00:30:40.000 Right?
00:30:41.000 Could be one or the other.
00:30:42.000 But wouldn't you say that they, if, so here's their situation.
00:30:46.000 Let's compare them.
00:30:48.000 I got vaccinated, you know, reluctantly, and I waited as long as possible and blah, blah.
00:30:55.000 But, so I had no bad outcomes.
00:30:59.000 I got a little bit of, you know, Omicron, few days of discomfort, no big deal.
00:31:04.000 So now I have natural immunity from the Omicron.
00:31:08.000 But I also have this, you know, let's say not perfectly understood vaccination thing inside me forever.
00:31:18.000 So how happy am I that we're sort of on the other side of the pandemic, I would say, but I have this extra, like, nagging thing in my body?
00:31:31.000 Am I happy?
00:31:34.000 Well, I'm not unhappy, but I could be a lot happier, right?
00:31:39.000 My perfect situation would be natural immunity and no vaccination in my body.
00:31:46.000 So I don't, I, that's not the best situation for me, right?
00:31:50.000 Best situation would be somebody who did not get vaccinated, got a little Omicron, or maybe even a worse one, but recovered.
00:32:01.000 Now you've got natural immunity and you have no vaccination in you.
00:32:07.000 Can we all agree that that was the winning path?
00:32:11.000 Everybody?
00:32:12.000 Is there anybody who would disagree with that?
00:32:14.000 That, that based on what we know today, which could change, you know, I'm going to stay open to reversing this decision if anything changes.
00:32:24.000 But at the moment, every day we get more bad news about the vaccinations, the shots, and, but we don't get better information, right?
00:32:36.000 Every day is just negative.
00:32:38.000 The, the big, one of the biggest wild cards was this long COVID.
00:32:44.000 And anecdotally, it looks like the vaccination side effects appear to be bigger than the long COVID.
00:32:55.000 Now, I don't know that to be true.
00:32:57.000 And if I learn later that it's not true, I might reverse my decision.
00:33:01.000 But at the moment, just anecdotally, I'm not hearing tons of people saying I had bad COVID experience that's lingering.
00:33:11.000 They do exist, Dr. Zhu being, you know, a notable person with that case.
00:33:16.000 I think, did Dr. Malone say he had some long COVID?
00:33:20.000 I can't remember.
00:33:21.000 I think he did.
00:33:22.000 So there is some notable, we know that both exist.
00:33:26.000 You know, there is, there is something that people identify as long COVID.
00:33:29.000 And there are things that people identify correctly or not as a vax injury.
00:33:35.000 But it does seem like the vaccination we hear more about than the long COVID.
00:33:41.000 So, you know, so that looks like a win.
00:33:45.000 Now, here is the most interesting part to me, right?
00:33:51.000 And first of all, is everybody accepting that that's where the data is at the moment?
00:34:00.000 That the smartest, happiest people are the ones who didn't get the vaccination and are still alive.
00:34:08.000 Now, there is a category of people that, according to mainstream medicine, are only alive because they got the vaccination.
00:34:17.000 Do you believe that that's a true thing?
00:34:20.000 Do you believe that the medical professionals?
00:34:24.000 Oh, you don't.
00:34:25.000 Okay.
00:34:26.000 Let's say that they believe it, right?
00:34:28.000 The medical professionals still say that, you know, millions of lives were saved of the older people.
00:34:35.000 But at the cost of maybe lives of the younger people and maybe at a cost of, you know, longer term damage that we can't predict.
00:34:45.000 Now, I'm only saying that's what the experts say.
00:34:47.000 I'm not saying that you agree with it.
00:34:49.000 Would you agree that the experts still say, mostly experts still say,
00:34:54.000 that the vaccination probably saved millions of lives.
00:34:58.000 But we don't know any long term damage.
00:35:01.000 And it definitely killed some people, too.
00:35:03.000 Definitely killed some people.
00:35:05.000 All right.
00:35:06.000 So, I'll allow that you disagree with the experts.
00:35:10.000 That's where the bulk of experts are at the moment.
00:35:13.000 Now, so if I compare myself to an anti-vaxxer today,
00:35:19.000 I would say the anti-vaxxers have a right to be happier than I do.
00:35:26.000 I want to make sure that I'm not leaving any wiggle room for myself.
00:35:32.000 Have I?
00:35:34.000 Have I said as clearly as possible they're the happy ones right now?
00:35:38.000 And have a reason to be, completely?
00:35:41.000 But here's the fascinating part.
00:35:45.000 Somebody asked, let's see, it was Elijah Schaefer.
00:35:50.000 Who, yeah, he says,
00:35:53.000 I'm still intrigued by how many intelligent people got duped into taking these.
00:35:58.000 He was responding to Elon Musk.
00:36:00.000 Are you intrigued about that or curious?
00:36:05.000 Why did so many smart people take the vaccinations?
00:36:13.000 And let me list some people who got vaccinated.
00:36:17.000 Dr. Robert Malone got vaccinated.
00:36:21.000 And he was one of the inventors of the technology.
00:36:24.000 Now, he's, of course, not getting boosted,
00:36:27.000 because information has come out that makes that look like a sketchy decision for most people.
00:36:34.000 So, Elon Musk, who most people consider one of the smartest analytical people in the world,
00:36:41.000 he got vaxxed.
00:36:43.000 Dr. Malone, who invented it, got vaxxed.
00:36:48.000 The executives of Pfizer, who should have known the most about his safety,
00:36:54.000 they took it.
00:36:56.000 They ate their own dog food.
00:36:58.000 All of them.
00:37:00.000 The scientists who invented it all took it.
00:37:05.000 I know.
00:37:06.000 Okay.
00:37:07.000 Okay.
00:37:08.000 So, I accept that you don't know if they took it.
00:37:14.000 Okay.
00:37:15.000 Let me just do a little carve out here.
00:37:17.000 We all accept that we don't know for sure who took what.
00:37:21.000 Right?
00:37:22.000 You don't know.
00:37:23.000 Well, if we found out later that the Pfizer executives just said they took it and didn't,
00:37:29.000 well, we get a big problem.
00:37:32.000 That would be a death sentence.
00:37:34.000 Do you agree?
00:37:35.000 If you ever found out that the Pfizer executives only lied and didn't take their own vaccination,
00:37:41.000 that should be a death sentence.
00:37:44.000 Death sentence.
00:37:45.000 In fact, if the legal system can't kill them, the public should hunt them down.
00:37:50.000 No.
00:37:51.000 Just kidding.
00:37:52.000 You can't say that on social media.
00:37:54.000 Nobody should be killing anybody.
00:37:57.000 Don't do any violence.
00:37:58.000 But it would happen.
00:38:00.000 Right?
00:38:01.000 It would happen.
00:38:03.000 Like, they would be hunted down.
00:38:05.000 I think the public would actually tear them up to pieces.
00:38:08.000 Now, I think they took the jabs.
00:38:12.000 If I had to bet on it, I'll bet all of the executives took it.
00:38:17.000 But if I had to bet on it, I would not bet that all of their scientists took it.
00:38:24.000 Would you take that bet?
00:38:27.000 There's no way we'll ever settle the bet.
00:38:29.000 But I'll bet that all of the executives took it because, you know, they had executive pressure on them.
00:38:35.000 But the scientists?
00:38:38.000 I don't know.
00:38:40.000 Maybe not.
00:38:41.000 I'll bet not all of the scientists took it.
00:38:46.000 That's just a guess.
00:38:48.000 It's just a hunch.
00:38:49.000 I can't prove it.
00:38:51.000 It'll never be proved.
00:38:52.000 But I wouldn't be surprised if all the executives took it.
00:38:56.000 Would you?
00:38:57.000 Executives are just sheep.
00:38:59.000 Right?
00:39:00.000 So basically, if the CEO took it, and maybe he had to for, you know, his risk reward to make his billions of dollars, it was a good risk.
00:39:09.000 But if the CEO took it, you're pretty much, your ass is going to get fired if you don't take it.
00:39:14.000 So I think the executives probably took it.
00:39:17.000 How about our government?
00:39:19.000 How about the members of the CDC?
00:39:22.000 Do you think the members of the CDC, who had maybe more information than we did, do you think that they all got jabbed?
00:39:29.000 I'll bet they did.
00:39:31.000 No, I'll bet they did.
00:39:33.000 Same reason as the executives.
00:39:36.000 Did Fauci get fully vaxxed and boosted?
00:39:40.000 I'll bet he did.
00:39:43.000 Do you think Fauci himself didn't take the vaccination?
00:39:47.000 The shot.
00:39:49.000 And why would he take it if he knows so much and he knows it's dangerous?
00:39:54.000 Why would the Pfizer people take it if they know so much?
00:39:58.000 Well, let me give you an answer.
00:40:01.000 The Pfizer people and Fauci don't have the same calculation that you and I do.
00:40:06.000 Because they get rich if they're right.
00:40:10.000 So even if they think the vaccination is dangerous, let's say you came to me and said,
00:40:16.000 Scott, there's an incredibly high 10% chance this shot will kill you.
00:40:23.000 There is a 9% and a 10% chance that if you take the shot and convince other people to take it, you will make $10 billion.
00:40:31.000 And really quickly.
00:40:33.000 Would I take the shot if there was a 10% chance it would hurt me and a 90% chance I'd make billions of dollars?
00:40:43.000 I don't know.
00:40:45.000 At 10%, maybe I wouldn't take the chance.
00:40:48.000 But let's say you said it's 2%.
00:40:50.000 If it were 2%, the vaccination would be like mowing down people like crazy.
00:40:57.000 Because 2% of 8 billion or whatever, however many get vaccinated, is a big, big number.
00:41:03.000 But I'd take a 98% chance of dying for a billion dollars.
00:41:08.000 Would you?
00:41:09.000 I would.
00:41:11.000 So, Fauci and the executives of Pfizer, it does make sense for them to get vaccinated if there's only a 2% chance they're going to drop dead from it.
00:41:21.000 I'm not saying there is a 2% chance.
00:41:23.000 I don't know what it is.
00:41:24.000 But it's not 10%.
00:41:26.000 Probably.
00:41:27.000 There's some news out now that the CDC knew that, like, close to 8% of people were having terrible side effects that were permanent or something.
00:41:37.000 I don't believe that.
00:41:39.000 Like, that would be jail time if they knew that.
00:41:42.000 But, you know, maybe.
00:41:43.000 Maybe.
00:41:44.000 I suppose anything's possible at this point.
00:41:47.000 All right.
00:41:50.000 But we're in the phase where...
00:41:55.000 How about college professors?
00:41:57.000 What percentage of college professors across all disciplines, you know, these are the smartest, most analytical people,
00:42:05.000 what percentage of them took the vaccination?
00:42:08.000 Close to 100%.
00:42:11.000 Yeah.
00:42:12.000 Well over 90%.
00:42:13.000 All right.
00:42:15.000 So, if you ask why did Elon Musk get vaccinated, you have to ask why did the people who make the thing get vaccinated?
00:42:24.000 Why did the people who know the most, the CDC, get vaccinated?
00:42:28.000 Why did all of our politicians get vaccinated?
00:42:31.000 Why did almost all college professors get vaccinated?
00:42:35.000 Why did Dr. Fauci himself get vaccinated?
00:42:38.000 Now, some of them, maybe they're lying.
00:42:40.000 They're lying.
00:42:41.000 But...
00:42:42.000 Yeah.
00:42:43.000 Are professors 100%?
00:42:44.000 You're right.
00:42:45.000 I think you're right.
00:42:46.000 Paranoia?
00:42:47.000 All right.
00:42:48.000 Let me go to the board.
00:42:49.000 All right.
00:42:50.000 Having said as clearly as possible that the anti-vax people seem to be the winners, I want you to hear that clearly.
00:43:08.000 The anti-vax people appear to be the winners.
00:43:12.000 But I'd like to give you a little lesson on how to properly analyze things, what to compare to what.
00:43:17.000 All right.
00:43:18.000 VAERS report.
00:43:19.000 Historically, you know, X number of people reported bad vaccination related things for different vaccinations.
00:43:28.000 As soon as the jab became available, the COVID jab, the VAERS report skyrocketed to levels never seen before.
00:43:37.000 Now, this is a comparison of the COVID vaccination to prior vaccinations.
00:43:44.000 Now, the VAERS report, of course, is not a study, but suppose it's all true.
00:43:50.000 What would that tell you?
00:43:52.000 What it would tell you is that the COVID vaccination is way more dangerous than prior vaccinations.
00:44:00.000 So far, so good?
00:44:03.000 That, you know, even if it's inaccurate, it's so different that it's definitely telling you something.
00:44:12.000 Would you agree it's definitely telling you something, and something you should totally pay attention to?
00:44:17.000 All agree?
00:44:19.000 But, is this the right comparison?
00:44:21.000 No.
00:44:22.000 This is the wrong comparison.
00:44:24.000 It's the right comparison for looking for a danger signal.
00:44:28.000 That's the right way to use it.
00:44:30.000 It's the wrong comparison to tell you if you should or should not take the vaccination.
00:44:35.000 Here's the correct comparison for that.
00:44:38.000 It's comparing the outcomes of the vaxxed versus the unvaxxed, or the shot versus unshot, because you don't want to call it a vaccination.
00:44:47.000 In the early days, this is the data, whether it was true or not, we don't know if it's true.
00:44:52.000 We don't trust any data.
00:44:54.000 But the early Alpha Delta situation where the virus was more deadly, it seemed that the unvaxxed were having worse outcomes.
00:45:04.000 Now, I'm not saying it's true, but you'd all agree that's what we were presented with, right?
00:45:11.000 This is the correct comparison.
00:45:13.000 It might not be the correct data, and it might not be the correct decision, but it's the correct comparison, right?
00:45:21.000 You don't compare COVID in a pandemic to other vaccinations not in a pandemic.
00:45:28.000 That doesn't make any sense at all.
00:45:30.000 It's just a signal to look deeper.
00:45:32.000 That's all it is.
00:45:33.000 This is where you look.
00:45:35.000 Once this gives you the signal, then you look over here.
00:45:39.000 And this was telling us the opposite of what this was scaring the best.
00:45:44.000 But this was the correct comparison.
00:45:46.000 Were they lying to us about the data?
00:45:49.000 Were people being over-counted or under-counted?
00:45:53.000 Yes.
00:45:54.000 Is there any pandemic data that you should trust?
00:45:59.000 No.
00:46:00.000 So I'm not saying this is accurate.
00:46:03.000 I'm saying that was the context in which all these smart people got vaccinated.
00:46:09.000 Would you agree with that?
00:46:11.000 Would you agree that the context of which all these smart people got vaccinated,
00:46:16.000 from Musk to Dr. Malone, et cetera, was when it looked like there was a big difference between the outcomes?
00:46:23.000 Even if it was wrong.
00:46:25.000 And even if it didn't count side effects.
00:46:28.000 Right?
00:46:29.000 So that's where we were.
00:46:32.000 So it's easy to see how smart people would have gotten vaccinated.
00:46:37.000 But correct me if I'm wrong, because I might be a little out of date.
00:46:42.000 Is it true that the current information we're getting, which is no longer the deadliest virus, it's Omicron,
00:46:49.000 that we're seeing this happen, which is this is reversed.
00:46:53.000 We're seeing more of the people with vaccinations who are having bad problems.
00:46:58.000 Can you confirm?
00:46:59.000 Can you confirm that the situation has reversed, at least in the data, from when all those smart people got vaccinated?
00:47:09.000 So the same smart people who got vaccinated are not getting boosted.
00:47:14.000 I don't think Musk got boosted.
00:47:16.000 I don't think that Dr. Malone got boosted.
00:47:21.000 I know I didn't get boosted, because I'm now in this context.
00:47:26.000 Now, what does this tell you?
00:47:28.000 Is this telling you that getting vaxxed is more dangerous than not being vaxxed?
00:47:34.000 No.
00:47:35.000 It's not telling you that.
00:47:36.000 That's the wrong comparison.
00:47:39.000 See, it's always a comparison problem.
00:47:41.000 It's always the same problem.
00:47:42.000 It's the wrong comparison.
00:47:44.000 Because at this point, the people who are getting vaccinated are old, frail people.
00:47:50.000 Right?
00:47:51.000 If the old, frail people didn't get vaccinated, they'd probably be dying at twice that rate,
00:48:01.000 according to the experts who might be lying to us, who knows.
00:48:05.000 Right?
00:48:06.000 So that's not my opinion.
00:48:07.000 So what you should compare here is that these old, frail people do not compare them to the
00:48:13.000 unvaxxed.
00:48:14.000 Compare them to the old, frail people who didn't get vaxxed.
00:48:18.000 Right?
00:48:19.000 So you should only look at old, frail people compared to old, frail people.
00:48:24.000 But at this point, every old, frail person is vaxxed.
00:48:28.000 Am I right?
00:48:30.000 Everybody who was old and frail got pushed into it because why?
00:48:35.000 Because they're old and frail.
00:48:38.000 If you're old and frail, do you think you put up a fight about the vaccination?
00:48:43.000 Not a chance.
00:48:44.000 Not a chance.
00:48:45.000 No.
00:48:46.000 Grandma, at 80 years old, did not have a choice of getting a vaccination.
00:48:51.000 I mean, on paper she did.
00:48:53.000 But she didn't.
00:48:54.000 Right?
00:48:55.000 So basically, you're just vaxxing the shit out of the people who are going to die tomorrow
00:49:00.000 anyway.
00:49:02.000 You should see this.
00:49:04.000 This doesn't tell you the vaccinations don't work.
00:49:08.000 It also doesn't tell you they do.
00:49:11.000 It literally doesn't tell you anything.
00:49:14.000 Because it's not a comparison that makes sense.
00:49:17.000 You're comparing healthy people to frail people.
00:49:20.000 Under every situation, the frail people are going to be dying, even if you did all the
00:49:25.000 right stuff.
00:49:26.000 You could do everything right for this group and they're still going to die 10 times more
00:49:30.000 than healthy people.
00:49:31.000 Does that make sense?
00:49:34.000 So, I'm going to try to have it both ways.
00:49:39.000 I'm going to try to have it both ways.
00:49:42.000 The anti-vaxxers clearly are the winners at this point.
00:49:47.000 And I think it will probably stay that way.
00:49:49.000 And I don't want to put any shade on that whatsoever.
00:49:53.000 They came out the best.
00:49:55.000 They have the winning position.
00:49:57.000 But, if you think they got there by good analytics, that didn't happen.
00:50:04.000 No, that didn't happen.
00:50:07.000 Because you could analyze it correctly and make the wrong decision.
00:50:12.000 Would you agree?
00:50:14.000 Would you agree that you could analyze it with the best analytical capabilities, but
00:50:20.000 all the data was bullshit?
00:50:22.000 The data was just bullshit.
00:50:24.000 So, there wasn't really anything that we knew or could guess.
00:50:28.000 So, my take was always this.
00:50:31.000 It's going to be a guess because I don't know what long COVID would do to me.
00:50:38.000 And I still don't.
00:50:40.000 But I also didn't know what the vaccination would do to me.
00:50:43.000 And I still don't.
00:50:45.000 So, to me, it was two unknowns that were both enormous.
00:50:48.000 And both of them could have ended your life or your life quality.
00:50:52.000 So, I waited as long as possible to reduce the risk that something quick would happen.
00:50:59.000 I looked at people in my category.
00:51:01.000 And then I did what people in my category were typically doing.
00:51:05.000 Am I glad?
00:51:07.000 No.
00:51:09.000 No.
00:51:10.000 I'm not glad.
00:51:12.000 No.
00:51:13.000 No.
00:51:14.000 No.
00:51:15.000 No.
00:51:16.000 Because, as things turn down, the unvaccinated have a current advantage.
00:51:19.000 Because they feel better.
00:51:22.000 The thing they're not worrying about is what I have to worry about.
00:51:27.000 Which is, I wonder if that vaccination five years from now.
00:51:31.000 No.
00:51:32.000 Not regret.
00:51:33.000 All right.
00:51:34.000 Let me stop you right there.
00:51:35.000 Did you hear me say I regretted anything?
00:51:38.640 Did anything sound like regret?
00:51:41.400 No.
00:51:43.040 Also, if the data had gone the other way,
00:51:46.040 I would not ask the anti-vaxxers to regret it either.
00:51:50.220 Do you know I would not...
00:51:51.760 If it had gone the other way,
00:51:53.780 if the data had, let's say,
00:51:56.120 amazingly said this was just a miracle drug
00:51:58.360 and everybody who didn't get it was a big old dope,
00:52:01.840 would I be telling you you should regret not getting it?
00:52:05.380 No, I wouldn't.
00:52:06.080 Because you didn't know.
00:52:08.940 And I didn't know.
00:52:10.320 We were just doing the best we could.
00:52:13.240 But it does turn out
00:52:15.480 that the heuristic or the rule of thumb
00:52:19.180 that everything the government does is bad for you,
00:52:24.220 it turns out it worked this time.
00:52:27.620 It worked this time.
00:52:29.780 Because really the anti-vaxxers, I think,
00:52:31.660 were really just distrustful of big companies and big government.
00:52:36.080 That's never wrong.
00:52:38.600 It's never wrong to distrust government.
00:52:41.140 It's never wrong to distrust big companies.
00:52:44.440 But it wasn't necessarily right.
00:52:47.940 Every now and then,
00:52:51.080 a big company will produce a good product at a good price
00:52:53.680 and nobody dies.
00:52:55.800 It happens.
00:52:57.040 Every now and then,
00:52:58.160 our government does something right.
00:53:00.700 Sometimes.
00:53:01.960 Sometimes.
00:53:02.720 It happens.
00:53:03.340 So if you just took the position,
00:53:06.640 let's just distrust everything the government did,
00:53:09.200 well, you won.
00:53:10.780 You won.
00:53:13.140 You won completely.
00:53:15.840 Now,
00:53:17.200 as far as I know,
00:53:19.520 I feel like I'm on a shrinking piece of ice
00:53:22.540 floating in the ocean.
00:53:25.060 Somehow I got trapped on a little iceberg in the ocean.
00:53:27.700 It's just like shrinking as I'm floating into the sun.
00:53:31.620 I am currently in the only remaining category of people
00:53:36.840 who might have made the statistically right choice.
00:53:44.140 By accident.
00:53:46.340 Totally by accident.
00:53:47.880 Because people in my age group,
00:53:50.440 it looks like maybe there was still some benefit.
00:53:53.000 Not necessarily to me personally,
00:53:55.860 which is why I made the wrong choice.
00:53:59.640 Or the suboptimal choice.
00:54:01.640 Wrong implies that I analyzed it wrong.
00:54:05.220 Suboptimal means,
00:54:06.440 you know,
00:54:06.740 you may have analyzed it right,
00:54:07.920 but you didn't end up in the right place.
00:54:09.600 I did not end up in the right place.
00:54:13.420 Agree?
00:54:14.640 You would all agree with that, right?
00:54:16.540 I did not end up in the right place.
00:54:19.380 The right place would be natural immunity,
00:54:21.900 no vaccination.
00:54:25.420 But to say that I got there by making bad decisions,
00:54:29.280 that's a completely different argument.
00:54:31.960 I think the people who understood how to make decisions
00:54:36.940 all ended up in the wrong place
00:54:40.080 because they knew how to make good decisions.
00:54:44.900 Just the data was unfortunately not good.
00:54:48.120 What do you think?
00:54:56.860 I'm not seeing much pushback,
00:54:58.480 so I think maybe we're almost on the same page here.
00:55:03.480 So the weird thing is we're actually coming together
00:55:06.100 in the weirdest way.
00:55:09.700 In the weirdest way,
00:55:10.900 I think our positions are starting to merge.
00:55:13.480 What's from Ben Garrison's cartoon?
00:55:29.700 Well, Ben Garrison's is literally an idiot.
00:55:34.940 So I would not argue that idiots got the wrong, the right.
00:55:42.580 Would you agree with the following statement?
00:55:45.800 Some idiots got the right decision.
00:55:48.960 Some idiots got the wrong decision.
00:55:52.040 Some geniuses got the right decision.
00:55:55.560 Some geniuses got the wrong decision.
00:55:58.520 And lots of them.
00:55:59.360 Not just some, but lots of them.
00:56:01.720 So what does that tell you about intelligence?
00:56:07.000 If all of your data is non-credible,
00:56:13.160 intelligence doesn't help you.
00:56:15.520 That should be your conclusion,
00:56:17.180 is that intelligence didn't have any role in this.
00:56:20.760 But instead, the people who ended up in the right place
00:56:23.420 are enjoying the feeling that they were the smart ones
00:56:28.460 and that it was obvious all along.
00:56:30.080 And here's where I'm going to make a departure from my past.
00:56:35.880 If you're one of those people,
00:56:38.340 that has to feel really good.
00:56:40.620 Doesn't it?
00:56:42.300 How many of you are feeling like that righteous,
00:56:46.060 oh my God, I was right from day one?
00:56:49.240 That has to feel great.
00:56:51.500 I think you should enjoy it.
00:56:53.620 And so I'm going to say, enjoy it.
00:56:55.940 And you can enjoy it at my expense.
00:56:57.540 You can even enjoy it at my expense.
00:57:00.460 But don't be inaccurate.
00:57:03.660 Don't be inaccurate about me.
00:57:06.040 But just enjoy your feeling.
00:57:07.560 It might be my opinion that what we've proven beyond any question whatsoever
00:57:14.660 is that your intelligence and your wisdom and your experience
00:57:19.020 had nothing to do with your decisions.
00:57:22.420 And that they were not.
00:57:23.680 That being smart and being well-informed just didn't help at all.
00:57:27.060 Didn't help at all.
00:57:27.860 But you should take victory.
00:57:33.640 And I should take defeat.
00:57:35.640 We can agree on that, right?
00:57:37.620 That my position is now the weakest
00:57:40.120 and your position has gone from the weakest to the strongest.
00:57:44.380 And that we can just say that's true.
00:57:46.520 Now, this is how I try to protect myself from cognitive dissonance.
00:57:53.680 The way I try to do it
00:57:55.240 is by being wrong without hesitation
00:58:00.380 when it looks like that's the case.
00:58:03.340 The people who didn't get vaxxed
00:58:04.760 are absolutely in the winning position.
00:58:09.160 We all guessed.
00:58:10.380 You guessed right.
00:58:11.820 And when we guess right, what do we always do?
00:58:14.360 We say it was because we were smart.
00:58:17.180 You don't think I would have said the same thing?
00:58:21.980 I hope I wouldn't have.
00:58:24.260 Like, my hope for myself
00:58:26.300 is if it turned out that getting vaccinated
00:58:28.640 was just unambiguously the right thing to do.
00:58:31.380 And let's say it cured your cancer at the same time.
00:58:34.100 That's not the case.
00:58:35.140 But suppose I'd been right.
00:58:37.000 I like to think I would have told you I guessed.
00:58:40.640 I like to think I would have said, you know,
00:58:42.460 I got everything right,
00:58:44.220 but honestly, it was a guess
00:58:45.640 because I couldn't have known.
00:58:48.400 I don't know if I would.
00:58:50.360 Maybe I would be doing what you're doing,
00:58:52.720 like, you know, dancing on the graves
00:58:54.180 of the people who got it wrong.
00:58:55.720 I might be.
00:58:57.400 But I like to think I wouldn't be like you.
00:59:03.280 But you win.
00:59:04.700 You win.
00:59:06.460 You win.
00:59:07.860 You are the winners.
00:59:08.820 You are the winners.
00:59:11.680 All right.
00:59:11.920 Let me say that part with no ambiguity.
00:59:15.780 You won.
00:59:16.900 You won.
00:59:20.740 I don't know if you...
00:59:22.040 Somebody says you got it right for the wrong reason.
00:59:24.180 No.
00:59:25.520 That would be too strong.
00:59:27.280 I'm not going to say you got it right for the wrong reason
00:59:29.500 because your reason was you didn't trust the big companies
00:59:32.920 and you didn't trust the government.
00:59:34.800 How is that wrong?
00:59:35.760 That was exactly right.
00:59:38.940 No.
00:59:39.480 You didn't get it right for the wrong reason.
00:59:43.340 It was impossible to know,
00:59:45.700 but your heuristics worked
00:59:47.720 and my analytics did not.
00:59:53.120 Fair?
00:59:54.720 All of my fancy analytics got me to a bad place.
00:59:59.780 All of your heuristics...
01:00:01.760 Don't trust these guys, it's obvious.
01:00:04.480 Totally worked.
01:00:06.600 Now, there may be a class of people
01:00:08.440 who used your heuristic,
01:00:13.140 did not get vaccinated,
01:00:14.520 and are dead.
01:00:17.320 Do you think any of those exist?
01:00:19.640 Do you think there's anybody who did the same thing
01:00:21.640 some of you did, most of you probably,
01:00:23.540 and said,
01:00:24.420 no, no, I don't trust the government,
01:00:25.800 did not get vaccinated,
01:00:27.100 and then they died?
01:00:27.960 But they're not here to be part of the conversation.
01:00:34.740 So you can take total victory
01:00:36.960 because the people who would argue with you
01:00:39.520 are already dead.
01:00:40.880 So there's nobody here to call you wrong.
01:00:44.560 I'm here, and I'm calling you right.
01:00:46.760 So the people who are here
01:00:47.960 are more likely to say,
01:00:50.020 yeah, I guess you got it right.
01:00:51.980 The people who would disagree with you are all dead.
01:00:54.220 So they're not here to argue with you.
01:01:04.020 Yeah.
01:01:04.540 All right.
01:01:07.480 They would be dead either way.
01:01:08.720 Maybe so.
01:01:10.260 Maybe so.
01:01:12.520 All right, ladies and gentlemen,
01:01:14.460 that is my provocative live stream for today.
01:01:19.240 I was gaslighted.
01:01:22.460 Weren't we all?
01:01:23.520 That pilot story is true, by the way.
01:01:31.800 Well, I heard from a...
01:01:33.700 Oh, on the pilot story.
01:01:35.460 So there's a story about
01:01:36.480 rich people don't want to hire pilots
01:01:40.200 who are vaccinated.
01:01:44.240 And that got conflated
01:01:46.900 with commercial airline pilots in general.
01:01:51.300 Commercial airline pilots in general,
01:01:54.580 if you're working for one of the big airlines,
01:01:56.940 they're not going to be penalized
01:01:58.520 for being vaccinated.
01:02:00.800 If you are a rich person
01:02:02.460 who is anti-vax,
01:02:05.600 you might just have a personal preference
01:02:07.440 for an unvaccinated pilot.
01:02:09.520 That's just a personal preference.
01:02:11.700 So I think that affects probably
01:02:13.200 I don't know what percentage of pilots,
01:02:15.800 but it does seem like
01:02:17.680 there's two different situations.
01:02:21.300 So much more you don't know.
01:02:24.480 Wasn't that always true?
01:02:25.980 There's somebody here saying,
01:02:26.940 there's so much more I don't know.
01:02:28.860 That's always true.
01:02:36.980 How was Sri Lanka forced by the WEF
01:02:40.540 to give up fertilizer?
01:02:43.020 Wasn't it just the leader trusted them?
01:02:44.940 Wasn't it just the leader make the decision?
01:02:47.600 The WEF didn't make anybody
01:02:49.340 in Sri Lanka do anything?
01:02:52.280 All right.
01:02:53.000 I guess I don't understand that.
01:02:55.180 All right.
01:02:56.700 The leader was WEF.
01:02:58.940 So the leader was a WEF person.
01:03:04.280 But he wasn't forced by the WEF.
01:03:06.940 He just believed them.
01:03:08.220 That was the problem.
01:03:10.220 But he also acted in a way
01:03:11.900 they didn't recommend.
01:03:14.040 Because the WEF didn't recommend
01:03:15.820 that all countries stop doing that.
01:03:18.340 He just took it too far.
01:03:25.760 Yeah.
01:03:26.420 Messing with the food supply,
01:03:27.740 that was crazy.
01:03:36.360 Watched the Dr. Drew interview
01:03:37.860 with Zelenko.
01:03:38.680 You know what I was expecting
01:03:42.840 but never haven't seen yet?
01:03:46.160 I kept expecting somebody,
01:03:48.960 and I don't think this is the case,
01:03:50.740 to say that the excess deaths
01:03:52.600 were caused by anti-vaxxers
01:03:54.960 who were taking hydroxychloroquine
01:03:56.960 and ivermectin.
01:04:01.460 Didn't you expect that story?
01:04:03.860 Because at around the same time
01:04:05.720 that the vaccinations kicked in,
01:04:08.520 don't you think people
01:04:09.460 were also taking a lot of ivermectin
01:04:12.680 and hydroxychloroquine
01:04:13.840 at about the same time?
01:04:17.900 Now, I don't think those things
01:04:19.260 were killing anybody.
01:04:20.900 But didn't you expect somebody
01:04:22.800 would try to make that case?
01:04:24.740 You know, some pro-vaxxer would say,
01:04:26.380 well, it's not the vaccinations
01:04:28.380 that are killing you.
01:04:29.480 It's the hydroxychloroquine
01:04:31.000 that we told you not to take.
01:04:32.260 It just, you'd expect somebody
01:04:35.020 to try that.
01:04:36.340 Like, I don't think it's the case,
01:04:37.540 but you'd expect somebody to try it.
01:04:39.940 Yeah.
01:04:42.560 All right.
01:04:43.820 Have I forgotten any stories?
01:04:47.460 Sweden for the win.
01:04:50.220 Anybody who believes
01:04:51.360 that Sweden
01:04:52.080 made all the right choices
01:04:55.920 and got a good outcome,
01:04:58.020 that's just so not what happened?
01:05:04.160 That's so not what happened.
01:05:06.540 Sweden just has too many differences.
01:05:08.940 Let me just tell you one thing
01:05:10.360 about Sweden
01:05:10.960 that you didn't know.
01:05:12.700 Did you know that the Swedes
01:05:14.100 routinely supplement
01:05:16.980 their vitamin D
01:05:17.960 because they know
01:05:19.360 they don't get enough sun?
01:05:20.380 So it's very typical
01:05:22.540 to take, like, I don't know,
01:05:23.520 the cod oil
01:05:24.200 or the fish oil
01:05:25.520 or something.
01:05:27.060 So they're all
01:05:28.300 vitamin D.
01:05:30.360 So that helps.
01:05:31.680 Number two,
01:05:32.980 apparently it's the easiest culture
01:05:35.040 to stay away from people
01:05:36.740 because it's not that dense
01:05:38.780 and they have the highest ratio
01:05:40.740 of people who live alone
01:05:42.300 and also have a second home.
01:05:44.720 So that they could...
01:05:48.020 Thirdly,
01:05:49.300 even though they didn't have mandates,
01:05:51.400 people did naturally
01:05:52.860 stay away from each other
01:05:55.000 because it was a pandemic.
01:05:57.220 So if you think Sweden
01:05:59.420 ignored everything
01:06:00.380 and got a pretty good outcome,
01:06:03.020 just everything about Sweden
01:06:04.140 is different.
01:06:06.180 You can't compare.
01:06:14.720 I don't know anything
01:06:17.560 about the J&J
01:06:18.440 being a better choice.
01:06:22.760 No, hydroxychloroquine
01:06:24.280 is not listed as a treatment.
01:06:26.960 That's not true.
01:06:28.700 Except on some fake website.
01:06:34.160 You have bonuses
01:06:35.120 for getting...
01:06:35.800 Wow.
01:06:36.020 Wow.
01:06:41.220 I also think the Swedes
01:06:42.660 are probably
01:06:43.140 not very fat
01:06:44.820 and they're not very old.
01:06:47.000 So basically,
01:06:47.880 they had everything
01:06:48.500 working for them.
01:06:50.480 And...
01:06:51.000 And their results
01:06:53.160 look exactly like
01:06:54.140 you'd expect
01:06:54.680 for their country.
01:06:59.580 Yeah, the J&J
01:07:00.680 wasn't available to me.
01:07:02.060 I didn't have that option.
01:07:04.300 All right.
01:07:05.120 That's enough for now.
01:07:06.460 YouTube,
01:07:07.020 talk to you later.
01:07:08.900 Best livestream ever.