Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2001 Scott Adams： My Potential Senate Run Against Schiff, Excess Deaths, Twitter Shadowbans

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of civilization and probably your

00:00:08.220 entire life. I know, I know, the birth of your children, the day you got married, that stuff's

00:00:13.020 cool too, but this is the highlight of your life. If you want to take it up a notch, all you need

00:00:21.620 is a cupper mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of

00:00:26.760 any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid, I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled

00:00:33.220 pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. Yes, Kevin,

00:00:37.800 end the fad. Go. Ah, that's good. We have so many stories here today, I don't know where to begin.

00:00:54.960 So I'll begin with the funny ones. I've told you before that parody and reality have merged,

00:01:03.760 and nobody can tell the difference between a parody and the actual news. Well, there's

00:01:10.180 something else that merged, and you've noticed it, I know you've noticed it. The idea of some

00:01:17.700 and all, they've merged. So for example, if I say, you know, some Democrats committed crimes,

00:01:30.020 you're, you're, from that point on, you can say all criminals, all, all Democrats are criminals.

00:01:35.340 If you say, there are some people who were on that January 6th group that were some bad characters,

00:01:43.000 well, then you can say they all were. They all were. Because some are. That's our new, our new

00:01:49.140 conflation. If there's some of a group that do anything, it's all of them. Now, that used to make

00:01:55.700 no sense at all. But once we merged parody and reality, well, we realized we could merge anything.

00:02:02.600 So some things and all things are the same. Also, we also merged the idea of being against

00:02:10.680 pandemic restrictions with the idea of being completely for them. Now, there's no distinction.

00:02:19.020 I didn't think that would ever happen. But keep an eye on all those conflations. Let's talk about

00:02:24.040 Paul Pelosi. I saw a video they hadn't seen before of him being arrested for his DUI back in the spring

00:02:30.100 of last year. And he was really, really drunk. I kind of, in my mind, I was imagining

00:02:39.940 somebody who had a little bit of trouble, you know, walking a straight line. And that would be way too

00:02:46.020 drunk to drive. But he was so drunk that he couldn't really respond in a coherent way.

00:02:54.660 So that looks like alcoholic drunk, doesn't it?

00:02:59.620 You know, he doesn't look like a tourist. Like he looked, he looks like he liked to get the real

00:03:08.100 drunk. You know, not the, I had three drinks at dinner and I didn't realize I had one too many.

00:03:14.100 Didn't look like that. Did not look like that. It looked like he had some experience, but that's

00:03:19.080 just totally subjective. However, now it turns out that a judge is going to release the body cam

00:03:26.340 video of his attack by hammer in his home by the peep. So it looks like we'll get to see that.

00:03:36.100 I think Jesse Waters sent a producer to go get a copy. So he might have that tonight.

00:03:42.660 But here's my simulation question. Why is it that the two stories about Paul Pelosi both involve him

00:03:49.460 getting hammered? Is that a coincidence? There's only two things he's in the news for and it's

00:03:56.820 they both involve getting hammered? I don't know. There's nothing funny about violence.

00:04:03.220 There's nothing funny about violence unless there's a pun involved. Then go ahead.

00:04:09.060 Yesterday I watched, somehow, somehow this story had escaped me because I don't pay too much attention

00:04:20.660 to sports. And because I don't pay attention to sports and I don't pay attention to, you know,

00:04:26.980 anecdotal stories of somebody who had, you know, a problem that we're trying to generalize to all

00:04:32.580 people. I usually ignore those. But the DeMar Hamlin story, I had never seen the compilation video

00:04:41.060 of him allegedly visiting the football game.

00:04:46.980 And let me tell you, when you look at the video, you know, all of the angles and you can never see

00:04:53.300 his face. And yet he seems like he's perfectly healthy but doesn't want to be, you know, you're

00:04:59.220 still hospitalized but seemed perfectly healthy in that video. Now, I found the videos of DeMar Hamlin

00:05:06.740 to be at least as convincing, at least as convincing as the fact that Epstein strangled himself to death

00:05:15.700 in his own, his own self. I would put those things on roughly the same level of believability.

00:05:22.900 Now, I can't know for sure. Can't know for sure what was happening. But if you watch the videos,

00:05:30.020 you would have a hard time believing that's really him. It's impossible to believe that's really him.

00:05:36.260 But the fact that they even attempted that, it looks like, right? Don't know for sure.

00:05:42.100 Don't know for sure. But it certainly looked like they pulled a fast one. And I think they kind of got

00:05:47.140 away with it, which is kind of amazing. So I guess the part of the story that impresses me is that it

00:05:54.740 very, very close to almost totally working, but it still worked. It still worked.

00:06:04.260 Assuming, allegedly, that's not him. I think there's a very small, small chance that was really him.

00:06:10.740 Very small chance.

00:06:14.820 So that's the state of our news, that that looked real. All right, the funniest, the funniest thing is I

00:06:21.140 love the Republicans when they name bills, because they make the bills insulting to somebody.

00:06:27.540 Completely unnecessary, but it's funny, so I approve of it.

00:06:31.540 So Representative Matt Gaetz, he introduced the Pencil Act

00:06:36.660 that would bar Adam Schiff specifically from accessing any classified information.

00:06:45.060 What would you call a piece of legislation that was specifically meant to bar just one person,

00:06:52.580 Adam Schiff, from accessing classified information? Well, if you were very funny, you might call it the

00:07:00.420 Preventing Extreme Negligence with Classified Information Licenses, or the Pencil Resolution.

00:07:11.380 Now, if you're not connecting the dots yet, you know that President Trump referred to

00:07:18.020 Adam Schiff as Pencil Neck. So the name of the bill that's preventing him seeing,

00:07:23.060 that would prevent him from seeing classified information is called the Pencil Resolution.

00:07:31.300 I think that I think it was a good idea until they got licenses at the end.

00:07:34.900 So the L in Pencils is licenses. I think they should have said legislation.

00:07:41.380 Right? Isn't it legislation? I would have gone with Preventing Extreme Negligence with Classified

00:07:46.740 Information Legislation. But licenses, it's an L at least. All right, did any of you see what

00:07:54.740 Trump said about John Bolton today? He's back. You just have to hear this. I'm going to read it to

00:08:04.660 you. So John Bolton thinks that Trump is poison to the Republican Party. So he said that recently.

00:08:11.380 Trump, being no shrinking violet, decided to respond to that in some detail.

00:08:19.540 And see if this sounds, do you think that Trump is lying about this? Or exaggerating? Or is it

00:08:27.060 right on the money? Right? That's what decision you'll make. Lying, exaggerating, or right on the mark?

00:08:34.180 So Trump tweeted or not tweeted, but he truthed today. I found John Bolton to be one of the dumbest

00:08:42.180 people in government, but I am proud to say I used him well. A total and unhinged warmonger,

00:08:48.980 in caps, the red-faced boiler ready to explode, was one of those very stupid voices that got us into

00:08:56.340 the Middle East quicksand. Seven trillion dollars and millions of deaths later. Nothing. The good

00:09:02.980 news is that I won big negotiations with this moron by my side. When I brought him into a room with

00:09:09.620 hostile foreign leaders, they thought I was going to war, conceded all. Now, does anybody remember

00:09:21.620 what I said when Trump brought John Bolton into the administration? Does anybody remember how I

00:09:28.500 characterized that? When he first brought him in and people were saying, what? John Bolton is the

00:09:34.900 opposite of you. Why would you add a warmonger? And, you know, I wasn't the only one who said it,

00:09:42.340 but I said, it looks like he's just going to use him as a useful idiot to scare the shit out of the

00:09:47.380 people he's negotiating with. Well, well, that's what he did. The best part of the story is that he says

00:09:56.180 it directly. Like, he says it directly. Yep, he was a moron and a warmonger, so I brought him into the

00:10:03.460 meetings to scare the shit out of the people so they would agree with my reasonable plans.

00:10:10.900 Well played. Well played, Mr. President. Well played. All right. How many of you have seen the

00:10:17.780 Project Veritas hidden video with the guy who works for Pfizer who was saying that they were

00:10:26.900 considering some kind of guided evolution, which some people would say would be gain of function

00:10:32.260 so that they could test their vaccines against variants? But how many of you saw the follow-up,

00:10:40.980 which I had not seen until this morning, where there was the reveal, where the Project Veritas,

00:10:48.900 why am I forgetting his name? The head of Project, yeah, James O'Keefe. So James O'Keefe reveals himself

00:10:58.260 while the guy on hidden video is still at the date. So I think probably the guy he thought he was on a date

00:11:05.300 with, who was a hidden plant, probably excused himself to go to the restroom or something. So James O'Keefe

00:11:10.980 walks in, you know, just like to catch a predator, except this time is to catch a guy saying things he

00:11:19.220 shouldn't have said. So you have to see it. If there's anything that will make you laugh in the

00:11:26.580 worst possible way, you'll feel bad about yourself. Let me warn you, you won't feel good about yourself

00:11:32.500 because it'll say a little bit too much about you. It said too much about me, but man, it was funny.

00:11:40.500 And so it turns into a scuffle. I mean, they're, they're basically their people end up on the floor.

00:11:46.580 He goes crazy because the whole time he suspected it was a hidden camera trick.

00:11:51.380 Like when he was on the date, he kept saying, you're not recording me, right? Because they do that.

00:11:55.460 And he was the whole time he was being recorded. So his, his defense, the Pfizer employee, was that

00:12:04.260 he was lying on a date. He goes, I was just on a date. I was just lying on a date. That's all I was

00:12:09.300 doing. I was lying on a date. Now, I think the more correct defense would have been, it was just

00:12:18.900 something talked about in the meeting. You know, I didn't think it was going to happen. I mean,

00:12:23.460 that would have been a better defense, but oh my God, you have to see it. It's like just the,

00:12:28.340 the golden piece of content. But, um, the funniest comment on this was from super chill at Twitter

00:12:37.740 user who commented about this video. He goes, very few dates end up with charges of crimes against

00:12:43.920 humanity. And I thought to myself, you know, you always hear these stories about the worst date.

00:12:48.880 Like, what's the worst date you've ever had? This is the winner. I don't care how bad is the

00:12:58.680 worst date you've ever been on. This day ended with this fellow being maybe accessory to crimes

00:13:06.480 against humanity. Now, I've had bad dates in my life, but not a single time did they end up in a

00:13:17.040 scuffle, which put me to the floor and ended up in videotape across the nation, uh, charging me of

00:13:25.360 being associated with crimes against humanity. That's, that's a bad date, bad date. All right, here's a story

00:13:33.340 that's more of like a sign of the times. The Milwaukee Bucks, uh, I guess they had a drag show as part of

00:13:40.220 their pride night festivities, um, during halftime of their game. Now, uh, as you know, as you know,

00:13:51.660 I'm very pro-trans, pro-LGBTQ, but there is a point where you have to ask, should their message be

00:14:02.200 simply, uh, you know, widely understood and appreciated? I'd like that. Should we all be more

00:14:10.520 open-minded? Of course, of course. But do we need to insert their message everywhere? Everywhere. I'm just

00:14:20.280 going to ask that simple question. Yes, yes, I believe their, their message is important, and I think

00:14:26.520 everybody's different, and we should respect each of our differences. But do we have to insert it

00:14:33.360 everywhere? Does it have to be everywhere? For example, the other day, I stopped at the gas station, and I

00:14:41.300 filled up my tank. Do you know what was missing? Sort of more of a pride, trans kind of experience. I just

00:14:51.480 went in there, and I got a whole bunch of heterosexual gas, put it in my car, and left, learned nothing.

00:14:56.520 I learned nothing from that experience. I need more of a trans communication of their,

00:15:03.720 of their feelings. I like more about that. Everywhere I go, I want that everywhere.

00:15:09.380 Every experience needs to have a little bit more of that, because we like it so much.

00:15:14.960 All right, something very interesting is brewing in the energy, uh, let's say, the energy mysteries of

00:15:21.540 the world. Here's a mystery that I've been trying to get to the bottom of forever, and maybe I have.

00:15:26.520 Or I'm close to it, and it goes like this. Elon Musk has said a number of times that America could be

00:15:34.660 powered by, um, solar power if they were attached to batteries so that, you know, they worked at night

00:15:41.820 and when it's cloudy. As long as you had enough of them, and that it is totally practical to get to the

00:15:49.520 point where we're powering the country with a whole bunch of solar powers, solar arrays. Now, other

00:15:56.980 people, especially the not as green people, say, my God, that is not even close to possible. You're off

00:16:05.660 by a factor of 30. Alex Epstein, who's been writing quite a bit about climate and energy, um, is sort of

00:16:13.980 public, no, sort of, he's publicly challenging Elon Musk's, um, math. Now, just take, just take a pause

00:16:24.720 to realize how much balls you need to have to go on Twitter, of all places, on Twitter, and to challenge

00:16:34.000 Elon Musk's math on solar power. Well, he did it. He did it. And I love this. I love this. Because it

00:16:45.380 actually isn't clear. You know, it, we have the same problem of whether we're qualified to look at

00:16:51.140 any of their numbers. But, you know, Alex Epstein makes his argument, and he shows his work. He shows

00:16:57.980 his work, right? So you can just look at Alex Epstein's argument, and it's just math. And then

00:17:05.200 you can look at, um, Musk's claim, and then it's just math. I'm going to give you a prediction of

00:17:12.980 why they differ, because they differ by a factor of, I don't know, 10 or 30 or something. So they're not

00:17:17.780 even in the same zip code. One says, wildly impractical economically. The other says, perfectly

00:17:25.160 practical. No problem. You know, the math works perfectly. They can't both be right. Here's my

00:17:33.100 guess. And I don't know this is true, but I suspect that, uh, Musk is making assumptions about

00:17:42.200 declining prices. And that maybe Alex Epstein is making less, less of a claim about declining

00:17:52.400 prices. But what would happen if, for example, um, the country said, all right, we're going

00:17:58.420 to try to make everything solar powered. And we're taking bids from companies that will be

00:18:05.420 in this space. We're going to, it'll probably take us 20 years to build out all this capacity.

00:18:10.740 So if you get the bid, you've got a 20 year contract. Imagine how much that would be worth.

00:18:20.400 That would be like a trillion dollar contract. Now, of course, they would not give it to one

00:18:26.080 vendor, because that would be crazy. They'd give it to multiple vendors, and they'd have

00:18:31.740 them compete. I think if you did a project that big, the initial prices would immediately drop

00:18:40.020 below cost. Right? So I think Alex Epstein is making a reasonable assumption that people

00:18:47.020 would sell these products for a profit, because that's how the world works. But on this really

00:18:53.380 rare situation, which would happen once in history, where somebody would say, we're going

00:18:59.320 to spend a trillion dollars to convert everything to electric. The vendors who were the smartest

00:19:06.020 and the richest would say, my first offer is I will provide it to you at one quarter of

00:19:12.080 my cost. One quarter of my cost today. I'm not going to wait. I will give it to you today

00:19:18.780 for one quarter of my current costs. Because that would be the smart offer. Because they

00:19:24.960 know that almost immediately, if the volume was a trillion dollar order, almost immediately

00:19:31.180 competition would go through the roof. New companies would spin up to sell their own solar

00:19:36.300 panels. New innovations would pop up, because now it really matters if you can make a better

00:19:41.600 battery. Almost immediately, the battery companies would be fully funded. Every alternative battery

00:19:48.880 company would be fully funded. Immediately. The day the government said we're going to spend

00:19:53.580 a trillion dollars. Boom. The whole industry would just catch on fire. So I don't know if

00:20:00.420 this is the case. But if Musk is assuming that the economics would wildly change the moment

00:20:07.420 we decided to do something that big, I think he's right. I think he's right. But we don't

00:20:14.600 know how much, and we don't know how quickly. So I think that this is a calculation that nobody

00:20:20.380 could make. Because the biggest part of the calculation is what happens in three to five

00:20:26.380 years when the market tries to adjust to this wildly gigantic thing. Who knows? It could

00:20:32.380 be an innovation that changes everything. So I don't think it can be calculated. But I love

00:20:37.140 the fact that Alex Epstein is challenging the math. And he's doing it right in public. Now,

00:20:45.640 I don't know if Musk will respond. But, you know, I tweeted it. So he's got a chance of

00:20:51.640 seeing it anyway. I'd love to know his response to that. Because here's what I think. His response

00:20:58.900 is not going to be bad. Like, it won't be, oops, I did the math wrong. Like, that's not

00:21:05.640 going to happen. It's going to be, you know, more color on top of what he already said.

00:21:09.640 So I think that would be really interesting.

00:21:11.640 All right. As you know, Adam Schiff is running for Senate in California. And I did a Twitter

00:21:20.640 poll to ask people how I would do against him. Now, this wasn't whether they would vote

00:21:25.640 for me, right? Because my audience is, you know, conservative leaning. So if I asked them

00:21:30.640 if they'd vote for me, that would be unfair. I just said, who would win? Which is not necessarily

00:21:36.640 that they would vote for me. But just who do you think would win? And this unscientific

00:21:41.640 Twitter poll, 56% thought I would win. Now, there were some who, you know, were uncertain.

00:21:47.640 But I want to test you. How many do you think, what percentage do you think thought Schiff

00:21:54.640 Schiff would win? Wow, did you see it? Or are you just guessing right? I feel like you're

00:22:03.640 all guessing right. Yeah, 23%. But just very close to your, your guesses are so good. Wow,

00:22:10.640 do you guess well. So impressive. Yeah. So people think I'd get at least a double, double his vote.

00:22:19.640 And then a strange thing happened. Elon Musk noticed the poll and tweeted at me,

00:22:28.640 please run. That would be awesome. Do you know how many likes and views and retweets you get

00:22:36.640 when Elon Musk comments on your tweet? It's just crazy. One the other day has over 5 million views.

00:22:44.640 I've never had 5 billion views on anything. But as soon as he comments, it goes through the roof.

00:22:51.640 So this made me think that I should start working on my clever slogans. Don't you think?

00:23:01.640 I need to work on my clever slogans. Because I would be him with memes alone.

00:23:07.640 Now, I was informed this morning that Adam Schiff married a woman named Eve.

00:23:16.640 Were you aware that they are Adam and Eve? Were you aware of that?

00:23:23.640 That's a real thing that's happening. They're actually Adam and Eve.

00:23:30.640 And here's the funny part. I swear this is true. Yesterday when I was thinking of my funny memes,

00:23:39.640 I googled snakes because without even knowing that they were Adam and Eve, when I look at Schiff,

00:23:50.640 he looks like a snake. Like everybody looks like an animal to me. But he looks like a snake. Like a snake head.

00:23:58.640 But then I looked at actual snake heads and I couldn't find any that looked like him.

00:24:01.640 And I thought, oh, that's just my bias. So he doesn't look like a snake at all.

00:24:09.640 I want to clarify, he does not look like a snake.

00:24:15.640 You might ask, is there anything he does look like? And I was doing a little Googling.

00:24:20.640 And I did find something he does look like, which is a cat's sphincter.

00:24:26.640 So I'll blow it up a little bit.

00:24:29.640 Now, it might be a little hard to see, but this is the cat's ass.

00:24:34.640 It looks exactly like Adam Schiff talking about Russian collusion.

00:24:40.640 Is that just me? Yeah.

00:24:43.640 So, you know, you've heard that Jesus will sometimes appear on like a grilled cheese sandwich

00:24:49.640 or somebody will see Jesus' face in like a tree or something.

00:24:53.640 But that's not the only place that faces appear.

00:24:57.640 So this is, you know, Adam Schiff in a cat's ass.

00:25:02.640 So I don't think he's going to get as many people worshipping it.

00:25:07.640 But we'll see.

00:25:09.640 All right, so here are some of the slogans that I've been, you know, thinking about.

00:25:18.640 So I want to get your feedback, please.

00:25:20.640 Can you give me some feedback of which of these slogans you find the catchiest?

00:25:25.640 All right.

00:25:26.640 My first was that the setup would be Schiff, who's not that bright, against me.

00:25:33.640 And I like to think, you know, on a good day I'm kind of bright.

00:25:37.640 So I thought a good framing of this would be Schiff or brains.

00:25:44.640 That's that's your decision, Schiff or brains.

00:25:49.640 And this is only so that I could get the people on TV to say his slogan is Schiff or brains.

00:25:57.640 Schiff or brains.

00:26:00.640 That's your first one.

00:26:02.640 Hold that.

00:26:03.640 Hold that one.

00:26:04.640 Next one.

00:26:05.640 I'm going to put Schiff where he belongs on the San Francisco sidewalk with the rest of it.

00:26:14.640 The Schiff doesn't belong in the Senate.

00:26:17.640 It belongs on the sidewalk of San Francisco with all the rest of it.

00:26:22.640 Too long?

00:26:23.640 OK, too long.

00:26:25.640 I have a lot of Dilbert fans.

00:26:30.640 What will happen when Schiff hits the fans?

00:26:34.640 No?

00:26:35.640 No.

00:26:36.640 No, that's a little that's a little too on the nose.

00:26:39.640 Yeah.

00:26:40.640 We won't do that one.

00:26:41.640 How about vote for the one who looks the least like a cat's sphincter?

00:26:48.640 Now, I wrote it that way because I think I look a little bit like a cat's sphincter, too.

00:26:55.640 But it's a matter of degree.

00:26:57.640 Right?

00:26:58.640 I'm like on a scale of one to ten, I'm like a maybe a six, you know, in terms of my similarity

00:27:06.640 to a cat's sphincter.

00:27:08.640 But I think that Schiff is at least a nine.

00:27:11.640 So that's a big difference.

00:27:13.640 I think I could capitalize on that.

00:27:15.640 The difference in who looks more like a cat's sphincter.

00:27:18.640 Now, here's one I think has a lot of potential.

00:27:21.640 The jokester versus the hoakster.

00:27:24.640 The jokester versus the hoakster.

00:27:27.640 What do you think?

00:27:29.640 What do you think?

00:27:30.640 Yeah, that could work.

00:27:33.640 That could fly.

00:27:34.640 All right.

00:27:35.640 How about...

00:27:36.640 Yeah, I think those are the good ones.

00:27:41.640 OK.

00:27:42.640 Now, here's a question.

00:27:45.640 If I ran, could I say that I'm going to work from home and only telecommute?

00:27:51.640 Is that an option?

00:27:53.640 And if it's not, why not?

00:27:56.640 It's not an option?

00:27:58.640 Don't they still have the remote voting thing?

00:28:01.640 I thought COVID brought them the remote voting thing so that I think they should keep that remote voting and I should work from home.

00:28:13.640 And...

00:28:14.640 But the real question is, would I run as a Democrat or a Republican?

00:28:18.640 Huh?

00:28:19.640 What do you think?

00:28:20.640 If I run as a Democrat, would I get to debate them quicker?

00:28:27.640 Because if I won as a Democrat, I might be in a runoff against a Republican.

00:28:34.640 And then I could just throw the race and let the Republican win.

00:28:39.640 Didn't see that coming, did you?

00:28:43.640 But I could just run as a Republican and just, you know, beat them fair and square.

00:28:52.640 I think that I would limit my...

00:28:54.640 So here's the proposition I would make.

00:28:57.640 I'd make the following proposition to the Democrats in California.

00:29:02.640 Now, first of all, you know that California is super blue.

00:29:06.640 And yet, they did elect Reagan and they did elect Arnold Schwarzenegger.

00:29:13.640 Republicans.

00:29:14.640 Now, what do they have in common?

00:29:17.640 Well, Reagan was before the demographic shift.

00:29:20.640 But they're both funny.

00:29:22.640 Right?

00:29:23.640 The people who ran as Republicans, who were the funniest, got elected.

00:29:30.640 I have a theory that the only thing that Californians want is entertainment.

00:29:36.640 You think that's not true?

00:29:39.640 But look how often it seems to be true.

00:29:43.640 You tell me that I wouldn't get elected simply by being the most entertaining person in politics.

00:29:50.640 That would work.

00:29:51.640 Yeah.

00:29:52.640 That would totally work.

00:29:53.640 I would just have to be the most entertaining.

00:29:55.640 It would have to be entertaining enough that the California media could not ignore me.

00:30:02.640 Do you think I could pull that off?

00:30:04.640 Do you think I could be provocative enough that the media just couldn't ignore me?

00:30:09.640 It would just be impossible?

00:30:11.640 Yeah.

00:30:12.640 What would it take for me to take a lead in that race immediately?

00:30:17.640 Let me tell you what it would take.

00:30:18.640 Let me tell you what it would take.

00:30:20.640 A genuine national poll that includes me in the list.

00:30:29.640 Because I'm not positive, but I might beat them in a legitimate poll too.

00:30:34.640 I don't know.

00:30:36.640 Because I have more name recognition.

00:30:38.640 I think.

00:30:39.640 Don't I?

00:30:40.640 I went to check that to do a Google fight, but I don't know if that site still works.

00:30:47.640 It just kept churning, but didn't give me anything.

00:30:51.640 But I'd love to know.

00:30:52.640 If you do a...

00:30:53.640 Actually, somebody do that right now.

00:30:55.640 Do a Google test to find out who has more name recognition.

00:31:00.640 Adam Schiff or me.

00:31:02.640 Because I think it's me.

00:31:05.640 Just because people don't follow politics that much, really.

00:31:09.640 But I don't know.

00:31:10.640 It could be him.

00:31:11.640 I don't know.

00:31:12.640 So that's the question.

00:31:14.640 I would also limit...

00:31:16.640 I would promise to limit my campaign donations to only individual donors.

00:31:21.640 And the maximum donation I would take from any individual.

00:31:25.640 No corporations.

00:31:26.640 No lobbyists.

00:31:27.640 No PACs.

00:31:28.640 Just individuals.

00:31:29.640 Sort of like Bernie.

00:31:30.640 But I would limit my maximum donation to $420.

00:31:35.640 I mean, you've got to pick a number.

00:31:37.640 Yeah.

00:31:38.640 400.

00:31:39.640 How did you know that before I said it?

00:31:41.640 Don?

00:31:42.640 You're front-running my jokes here, Don.

00:31:45.640 Alright, we have a psychic.

00:31:47.640 This is ruining everything.

00:31:49.640 Some psychic actually got my punchline before I said it.

00:31:52.640 Now, that was pretty random.

00:31:55.640 So...

00:31:57.640 Apparently, psychics are real.

00:32:02.640 Here's the other thing I promise.

00:32:04.640 If elected, I will steel man the arguments that I don't agree with.

00:32:10.640 Have you ever seen anybody do that?

00:32:14.640 Nope.

00:32:15.640 Obama did a little bit.

00:32:18.640 Like you would give some...

00:32:19.640 A little bit of attention to the other side.

00:32:22.640 But no politician has ever done this.

00:32:25.640 Tell you what, I promise you, I'll present the strongest argument on your side before I make any decisions.

00:32:32.640 And I'll even let you look at it and decide whether I succeeded.

00:32:37.640 If that's not the strongest argument, well then I'll redo it.

00:32:41.640 When you're satisfied I've shown the public the strongest argument that disagrees with me, even if somebody else writes it,

00:32:50.640 I'll make sure it gets just as much attention as what I want to do, but then I'll make the decision.

00:32:55.640 But I'll make sure you've seen the strongest argument against my position.

00:33:00.640 I'll also promise that I won't vote in lockstep with Republicans.

00:33:07.640 Now that would be dangerous, because then the Republicans might say,

00:33:12.640 we kind of like somebody who would vote in lockstep.

00:33:14.640 I'll say, I might, but I'll promise you I'll look at everything individually.

00:33:19.640 And then, here's also what I would do.

00:33:26.640 Once I got to the debate, because I think I'd probably make it into the last two with kind of a jungle runoff situation.

00:33:33.640 The first thing I'd do is just before the debate, or maybe the first thing I said as the debate started,

00:33:42.640 I would change my pronouns.

00:33:45.640 Now the reason I do this is just to give myself a little bit of an advantage in the debate.

00:33:52.640 Because here's how I want to play it.

00:33:55.640 Because I can imagine, ladies and gentlemen, I would like to announce, if you would,

00:34:01.640 I'd like to announce that my pronouns are Senator, she and her.

00:34:08.640 Senator, she and her.

00:34:11.640 And then everybody would be like, well, you're joking, right?

00:34:15.640 And I would just say, excuse me, what did you say?

00:34:21.640 And they'd say, um, you're joking?

00:34:24.640 And I would look at them and say, my God, my God, this is getting off to a bad start.

00:34:32.640 I thought I was going to be here with good people.

00:34:35.640 I'm horrified. I'm horrified.

00:34:38.640 And then when the debate starts, I think I could count on Schiff slipping a little bit.

00:34:47.640 And he might say something like this.

00:34:49.640 My opponent, he has never been in government.

00:34:52.640 And I'd say, oh, ho, ho, ho.

00:34:54.640 What did you just say?

00:34:56.640 He, he, he.

00:35:00.640 And then I'd just go full Karen on him.

00:35:03.640 Full Karen. I'd just melt down.

00:35:06.640 How dare you? How dare you?

00:35:11.640 And that would be my whole debate.

00:35:13.640 Because nobody cares about the issues, really.

00:35:17.640 So that'd be pretty much my debate.

00:35:20.640 I noticed yesterday that it appears that Democrats are taking me seriously enough

00:35:26.640 that it appears they've activated the hit squad against me.

00:35:31.640 So you probably noticed that when Trump was running the first time, that the hit pieces against me come out.

00:35:41.640 Because I was being a little bit too effective.

00:35:44.640 And so the Democrats, you know, sent some people to take me down.

00:35:48.640 If you were to search for me during the first election, the first, I think the tops, the top, you know, third party site that wasn't something for me was Bloomberg's hit piece.

00:36:01.640 Do you think that was natural?

00:36:03.640 Do you think it's natural that the top search for the entire campaign, the top search for the entire campaign was the hit piece against me?

00:36:15.640 That's, that's the one that was the important one.

00:36:18.640 So yesterday I saw somebody that I hadn't seen since that period, who also did hit pieces against me.

00:36:26.640 And then that person surfaced immediately.

00:36:29.640 So I have a feeling that Adam Schiff actually caught wind that I might run.

00:36:35.640 And they might actually be worried.

00:36:38.640 Which they should be.

00:36:39.640 Because I would, I would annihilate them.

00:36:41.640 Let me ask you.

00:36:42.640 Let me ask you.

00:36:44.640 My, my contention is that from a communications and persuasion standpoint, he's not in my league.

00:36:54.640 Like he's sort of in a average politician level of quality communication and persuasion.

00:37:00.640 Which is not really very high.

00:37:02.640 You know, they, they basically just lie about stuff and try to get away with it.

00:37:05.640 There's no technique.

00:37:06.640 But I'm literally a trained hypnotist.

00:37:10.640 This would not be a fair fight.

00:37:13.640 I'm funnier than him.

00:37:16.640 I'm smarter than him.

00:37:18.640 And I'm way more persuasive.

00:37:21.640 All I'd have to do is be more entertaining and I'd blow him away.

00:37:25.640 And I also don't need any funding whatsoever.

00:37:28.640 Do I?

00:37:30.640 You don't think I can make, get enough free press?

00:37:33.640 I know how to get free press.

00:37:36.640 That's something I've done before.

00:37:38.640 So I suspect they're actually worried.

00:37:43.640 I saw a really good CNN bit, which I recommend, in which they sent a correspondent into rural China to see how things are going during their pandemic opening up stuff.

00:37:57.640 And, don't let California go to Schiff.

00:38:03.640 Vote for Scott.

00:38:04.640 I like it, Carpe.

00:38:05.640 Here's what was fascinating.

00:38:10.640 So the CNN crew kept showing the minders who just sort of follow you around.

00:38:16.640 There'd be these, mostly men, but at least one woman, who were just following her at a distance to make sure that all the townspeople knew not to tell her the truth.

00:38:28.640 It was fascinating.

00:38:29.640 Like, you always hear about it, but to actually watch it in action.

00:38:32.640 And at one point, she's just talking to somebody in an, you know, outdoor public space.

00:38:37.640 And the minders simply walk over and guide the woman away.

00:38:42.640 They just take her away without saying anything.

00:38:45.640 They just put an arm on her and just guide her away from the conversation.

00:38:49.640 It was the damnedest thing.

00:38:51.640 And then, apparently, there's a crew everywhere they travel, the different one.

00:38:55.640 So they were so coordinated that there'd be, like, six of them following her around where she was.

00:39:01.640 But when they got in the car to go to another location, a different six would appear.

00:39:06.640 So that's how coordinated their observation of foreign presses.

00:39:11.640 It was crazy.

00:39:14.640 Crazy.

00:39:15.640 But then, who knows if the crew saw reality or not.

00:39:20.640 So there might have been some scrubbing before they approached anywhere.

00:39:24.640 But it made it look as though the rural Chinese don't have any problems at all.

00:39:29.640 That the COVID they treated as a cold.

00:39:32.640 Most of them didn't know they had it.

00:39:34.640 Didn't sound like they were worried about anybody dying or being sick.

00:39:37.640 And they're basically over it.

00:39:39.640 They have almost full herd immunity in the rural areas.

00:39:43.640 So the cities may be being impacted, but their hospitals weren't even busy.

00:39:48.640 The hospitals were just, you know, they said, oh, we're always busy.

00:39:52.640 But it wasn't, you know, the hallways were not packed or anything.

00:39:57.640 So I recommend it.

00:39:58.640 That's a good job by CNN.

00:40:00.640 When they do their packages, they're outside of the mainstream news, they often are excellent.

00:40:07.640 Dave Rubin visited the Twitter headquarters and spent two days talking to the engineers

00:40:12.640 and product managers, and Musk was there as well, trying to get to the bottom of, you

00:40:19.640 know, the shadow banning question.

00:40:21.640 So here's what we learned from Dave Rubin.

00:40:23.640 Very excellent report.

00:40:25.640 I recommend his Twitter thread on this.

00:40:28.640 The first thing you need to know is that the code that runs Twitter is apparently so convoluted

00:40:37.640 and spaghetti code and evolved over time that if you change anything, it breaks all of it.

00:40:44.640 So almost anything you touch, don't touch it, you know, is a problem because of the way it's evolved.

00:40:51.640 So there's actually some thought about you have to throw it all out and start over.

00:40:55.640 But I can't, it's hard to imagine that.

00:40:57.640 But the complexity is hiding what's going on.

00:41:02.640 So even the people with the most knowledge and incentive to find out what's really going on here, I don't know if they can.

00:41:11.640 The complexity might be beyond their control.

00:41:13.640 But here are some things that Dave found that I had not heard yet.

00:41:19.640 Apparently there are lots of ways.

00:41:22.640 I'll say several.

00:41:24.640 Several would be a lot.

00:41:26.640 There are several ways that Twitter was and is labeling some tweets.

00:41:32.640 And so there's a whole, like, shades of shade, right?

00:41:38.640 So depending on how it was labeled in the not cool category, right?

00:41:44.640 There were things that were just fine, which weren't labeled at all.

00:41:47.640 But anything that was maybe in the gray area that wasn't cool,

00:41:51.640 there was a whole constellation of different ways they could label them to suppress them.

00:41:58.640 So you can say one of them was just, you know, not good for advertisers.

00:42:03.640 Right?

00:42:04.640 So you suppress them because you're an advertising company.

00:42:07.640 That doesn't mean it's fake.

00:42:10.640 Doesn't mean it's violent.

00:42:11.640 Doesn't mean it's too sexual.

00:42:13.640 It just means they don't want to pair it with an advertiser.

00:42:16.640 You know, what are you going to do?

00:42:19.640 And then there were a bunch of other things for misinformation, et cetera.

00:42:23.640 So apparently Dave had at least three of those labels on his account.

00:42:28.640 He had three of them.

00:42:30.640 And it's unclear what any of the three do exactly, because it's too complicated.

00:42:35.640 But they clearly were banning him.

00:42:38.640 And I think they still are.

00:42:40.640 I don't even know if that, I don't even know if the labels were taken off.

00:42:43.640 But that was new information.

00:42:47.640 And I saw that CatTurd, well-known Twitter personality CatTurd, was interacting with Dave.

00:42:59.640 And Dave said that they specifically looked at CatTurd's account and didn't find any shadow banning labels on it.

00:43:06.640 Now, I was just imagining how disappointed I would be if I were to learn that there were no labels on my account.

00:43:18.640 Because Dave Rubin got labels on his account.

00:43:21.640 Like, he got shadow banned the honest way.

00:43:25.640 But apparently CatTurd is just having some kind of a psychological problem in which CatTurd imagines he's being shadow banned and wasn't.

00:43:33.640 And I'd say to myself, how embarrassing.

00:43:37.640 Because I think that might happen to me as well.

00:43:40.640 Assuming we ever can find out our own status, I'm expecting there will be no labels on my account.

00:43:49.640 And then I'm going to be all feeling bad about it.

00:43:52.640 Like, Jesus, Dave Rubin is so important he gets shadow banned, but nobody shadow bans me.

00:43:58.640 Do you know who I am?

00:44:00.640 I invented Dilbert, damn it.

00:44:02.640 Shadow ban me.

00:44:03.640 Show me some respect.

00:44:05.640 Show me some respect.

00:44:07.640 I need to be banned.

00:44:09.640 I'm so competitive that, oh yeah, Dave Rubin gets shadow banned, but not me.

00:44:16.640 Not me.

00:44:17.640 Apparently not me.

00:44:18.640 Not me.

00:44:19.640 No.

00:44:20.640 But Dave Rubin does.

00:44:21.640 Yeah.

00:44:22.640 Oh yeah, he's important enough to be shadow banned.

00:44:25.640 All he did is create a competing platform, social media platform, and has one of the, you

00:44:32.640 know, most popular podcasts in the political space.

00:44:37.640 But me?

00:44:38.640 Nothing.

00:44:39.640 Nothing.

00:44:40.640 Quite disappointed.

00:44:41.640 I don't know.

00:44:42.640 Maybe I have some labels.

00:44:43.640 I'll be happy about it if I do.

00:44:46.640 Man, there's so much going on today.

00:44:51.640 What a fun day.

00:44:53.640 So, as I told you, parody and reality have merged, but I want to give you an update on

00:44:58.640 that.

00:44:59.640 So, on January 25th, I tweeted this.

00:45:03.640 I'm just finding out today, this is just, remember this was two days ago.

00:45:08.640 I'm just finding out today, thanks to dozens of people informing me, that the COVID shots

00:45:13.640 do not stop transmission.

00:45:15.640 Did the rest of you already know that?

00:45:17.640 I am so dumb.

00:45:18.640 5.3 million views, because Elon Musk interacted with it.

00:45:30.640 So, was that parody or non-parody?

00:45:36.640 Let's see if you can tell the difference.

00:45:39.640 I'm going to read it again, and then in the comments, I want you to see if it is a parody

00:45:44.640 or not.

00:45:45.640 I'm just finding out today, thanks to dozens of people informing me, that the COVID shots

00:45:50.640 do not stop transmission.

00:45:51.640 Did the rest of you already know that?

00:45:53.640 I am so dumb.

00:45:55.640 What was it?

00:45:56.640 Oh, Sam, we can help you.

00:46:02.640 We'll just remove you.

00:46:05.640 There, your problem solved.

00:46:08.640 Problem solved.

00:46:09.640 So, I wanted to see if I could push this a little further, and then I tweeted this.

00:46:18.640 This is shocking.

00:46:20.640 Next, I'll learn the vaccinations were not tested as long as vaccines are usually tested.

00:46:28.640 Parody or real opinion?

00:46:33.640 Parody or real opinion?

00:46:35.640 Well, on Twitter, Jisana Homan said,

00:46:40.640 Jesus, dude, where were you?

00:46:43.640 Under the rock?

00:46:44.640 LOL.

00:46:45.640 Well, I really like you, but this is too much.

00:46:50.640 Parody or reality?

00:46:56.640 And then Nikola Laveg on Twitter said to me,

00:47:01.640 I've been having a hard time lately determining whether each of your tweets and responses is

00:47:06.640 sarcasm or truth.

00:47:08.640 Some feel one way, while others seem another way.

00:47:13.640 Now, am I wrong that parody and reality have merged?

00:47:19.640 You really can't tell, can you?

00:47:22.640 Now, maybe you think you know on specific tweets, but in general, you really don't know, do you?

00:47:30.640 You really don't know.

00:47:33.640 Alright, well, here's some things I learned on Twitter today.

00:47:38.640 This is from a Twitter user named AJ, who tells me I should go back and listen to the Dark Horse podcast.

00:47:48.640 That's Brett Weinstein and Heather Hayne.

00:47:53.640 And AJ says, go back and listen to the Dark Horse podcast.

00:47:56.640 There are years and hours of listening material to help you understand.

00:48:01.640 I need the help.

00:48:02.640 But you don't want to understand.

00:48:04.640 Ooh.

00:48:05.640 I thought I wanted to understand, but AJ says, I don't want to understand.

00:48:08.640 Okay.

00:48:09.640 I accept that.

00:48:10.640 I don't want to understand, AJ.

00:48:12.640 You want to grandstand.

00:48:14.640 Well, yeah, I do.

00:48:16.640 You know me.

00:48:17.640 Grandstander.

00:48:18.640 Grandstander.

00:48:19.640 So, I want to understand.

00:48:21.640 No, I don't want to understand.

00:48:22.640 I want to grandstand.

00:48:23.640 So, I learned that today.

00:48:25.640 Because I was thinking the opposite.

00:48:27.640 I thought I did want to understand.

00:48:29.640 And, okay, you're right about the second thing.

00:48:31.640 I do like to grandstand.

00:48:33.640 So, I tweeted, why am I like this?

00:48:36.640 Everyone else finds the accurate information.

00:48:39.640 I only find the wrong stuff.

00:48:41.640 Parody or real opinion?

00:48:45.640 Can't tell.

00:48:46.640 Can't tell, can you?

00:48:49.640 And then, Twitter user, Minneapolis to Texas said, all good, brother.

00:48:55.640 It happened to a ton of folks.

00:48:57.640 Just start tuning into Dark Horse now.

00:49:00.640 It will help clarify a bunch of stuff for you.

00:49:02.640 And he says, they got it right.

00:49:04.640 They weren't lucky.

00:49:05.640 They reasoned their way there.

00:49:07.640 Now, that's what I need to learn to do.

00:49:09.640 And they want to help me.

00:49:11.640 Aw.

00:49:12.640 Thank you.

00:49:13.640 They want to help me.

00:49:16.640 So, I should tune in.

00:49:18.640 So, I responded, and you get to decide, is this parody or real opinion?

00:49:26.640 I responded, wait until you find out all documentaries are persuasive, including the ones that are wrong.

00:49:34.640 Head exploding icon.

00:49:36.640 But then I wanted to clarify.

00:49:38.640 I said, Dark Horse got everything right.

00:49:41.640 You knew by listening to the podcast.

00:49:43.640 But I got all caught up in the wrong field of science that says humans can't do what you did.

00:49:49.640 So, here is my problem.

00:49:51.640 I was in the wrong field of science.

00:49:54.640 Had I been in the field of, let's say, biology and stuff like that, I might have immediately known that the Dark Horse podcast was on to everything right.

00:50:04.640 But I got all bunched up in the wrong part of science.

00:50:08.640 I went down the psychology part of the scientific field.

00:50:14.640 Now, in the psychology field, it would be well understood that nobody can do what these people say they did.

00:50:25.640 You can't actually look at somebody talking about somebody else's science and know anything.

00:50:31.640 So, there's a whole field of science that says this can't be done.

00:50:38.640 I was in the wrong hole.

00:50:40.640 Wrong hole.

00:50:41.640 Had I been in the biology field only, I would have known who was getting it right.

00:50:46.640 And I would have immediately seen that their reasoning was complete and nothing had been left out.

00:50:54.640 But because I went down the psychology field where it's very clear that nobody can do that, know who's right, if they don't have the expertise themselves.

00:51:04.640 And even if they did, sometimes they don't know who's right.

00:51:07.640 But I do not have any ability to analyze the Dark Horse podcast and know from my own or any mechanism that I know how to gather whether they are right or wrong.

00:51:19.640 But I will take it on faith that there are people walking among us who can do just that.

00:51:25.640 They don't believe that field of science that fooled me.

00:51:29.640 So, I'm living in sort of an illusion that the field of psychology is actually real science.

00:51:35.640 And that's what I got wrong.

00:51:37.640 Well, Russia got some tanks.

00:51:39.640 I guess this happened a month ago, but I just saw the news today.

00:51:42.640 They got 30 T-34 tanks.

00:51:46.640 So, that sounds pretty good.

00:51:48.640 30 tanks.

00:51:49.640 They were produced in 1944, which means they were probably designed in the 30s.

00:51:56.640 And they were brought back to Russia from Laos.

00:52:00.640 So, that's a strong play on the Russian side.

00:52:07.640 You know, Ukraine was feeling pretty confident until they heard that Russia got 30 tanks that were designed in the 1930s from Laos.

00:52:18.640 Apparently, they're in good working order.

00:52:20.640 Good working order.

00:52:22.640 They're horse-drawn.

00:52:23.640 They're horse-drawn.

00:52:24.640 I don't know if the news didn't mention that they're horse-drawn tanks.

00:52:27.640 But I think they'll do well.

00:52:30.640 They'll do well.

00:52:31.640 So, it looks like Russia is gearing up for a fight with those horse-drawn tanks from Laos.

00:52:38.640 No, they're not horse-drawn.

00:52:41.640 They're not horse-drawn.

00:52:42.640 They were simply designed in the 1930s.

00:52:45.640 That's not horse-drawn.

00:52:46.640 That would be crazy.

00:52:49.640 Well, Nikki Klein, you may remember her name from NXIVM.

00:52:53.640 But she had this question for men on Twitter.

00:52:58.640 She said, men, do you feel like you can give women honest feedback?

00:53:02.640 If not, why not?

00:53:05.640 And I answered, LOL, no.

00:53:08.640 Women get angry when you tell the truth and also when you lie.

00:53:13.640 So, those are the two traps to avoid.

00:53:16.640 So, if I could give you any kind of relationship advice,

00:53:19.640 two things you don't want to do once you're in a relationship.

00:53:24.640 Never lie.

00:53:25.640 That's going to really cause trouble.

00:53:28.640 And never, ever tell the truth, because that's just going to be a fight.

00:53:32.640 So, don't lie and don't tell the truth.

00:53:35.640 If you can avoid those two things, your relationship has a good chance.

00:53:40.640 I've never figured it out myself.

00:53:42.640 I'm as useless on this as I am in figuring out whether the Dark Horse podcast was right or wrong.

00:53:49.640 But I accept now that they were right about everything.

00:53:52.640 Same as I do in a relationship.

00:53:54.640 I just assume I'm wrong.

00:53:57.640 Alright, I'm going to add something to the conversation about excess deaths.

00:54:03.640 This is where some of you just get mad at me and leave.

00:54:06.640 Does anybody want to storm off after insulting me for continuing to beat on this topic?

00:54:12.640 I'll wait for your insults and angry turning and leaving.

00:54:17.640 Go.

00:54:19.640 Because you're going to see something that you've not seen before on this argument.

00:54:23.640 I promise you, I'll give you something that's new, unless you saw me tweet it yesterday.

00:54:28.640 This will be brand new.

00:54:29.640 Something you've never heard.

00:54:31.640 Alright.

00:54:32.640 Go into the whiteboard.

00:54:34.640 Oh, doubtful.

00:54:35.640 Oh, hold on.

00:54:36.640 Hold on.

00:54:37.640 Skeptic.

00:54:38.640 Are you doubting that I'm going to make a point that you have not seen and that it's an important one?

00:54:46.640 Do you doubt that?

00:54:48.640 Now, unless you saw me tweet this last night, I promise you, you have not seen this point.

00:54:54.640 And it's a big one.

00:54:56.640 Ready?

00:54:57.640 Somebody says it's going to be stupid.

00:55:00.640 Thank you for the faith.

00:55:07.640 Alright.

00:55:08.640 There are many potential causes of excess deaths.

00:55:11.640 Could be vax injury.

00:55:13.640 Let me...

00:55:15.640 Alexa.

00:55:16.640 Cancel.

00:55:17.640 I don't know what that's about.

00:55:24.640 Do we all agree that even the vaccination manufacturers would agree with us that some

00:55:32.640 people are probably dying from the vaccination itself?

00:55:36.640 Is that a...

00:55:37.640 You know, we don't know how many, right?

00:55:40.640 The number of them is questioned.

00:55:42.640 But there's no doubt about it, right?

00:55:44.640 Can you fact check me?

00:55:46.640 That all vaccinations have negative effects.

00:55:49.640 And if you give a vaccination to 100 million people, somebody dies.

00:55:54.640 You just don't know if that's a big deal or a small deal.

00:55:58.640 Right?

00:55:59.640 The death of the person is a big deal, of course.

00:56:01.640 Alright.

00:56:02.640 There might be some long COVID.

00:56:04.640 Now, long COVID doesn't have to be defined as something exotic.

00:56:09.640 You know, it could be just that you got your ass kicked and you're 80 years old.

00:56:14.640 If you get your ass kicked by COVID, and you're already 80 years old, maybe the next year

00:56:20.640 or so, you'll never really get back to the health you had before.

00:56:23.640 So one could imagine people being weakened, potentially.

00:56:27.640 Now, this is just hypothetical.

00:56:29.640 This is not based on data.

00:56:31.640 But would you agree that if 100 million people get COVID, some of them have their ass kicked, but they survive?

00:56:40.640 Don't you think that that would cause you to be weakened for other things for quite some time?

00:56:45.640 Like you would never get back to your physical fitness, for example?

00:56:48.640 Yeah, maybe.

00:56:50.640 Okay.

00:56:51.640 So I'm not saying that that's part of the number.

00:56:53.640 I'm just saying it's one of the unknowns.

00:56:56.640 Alright.

00:56:57.640 What about overdoses?

00:56:58.640 Young people, huge increase in overdoses, fentanyl and alcohol and everything else.

00:57:03.640 We've got more suicide we know, more murder we know.

00:57:06.640 So overdoses, suicide and murder, we know are high.

00:57:10.640 But on top of that, there seems to be some excess death, even more than that.

00:57:15.640 So some of it is completely explained by these factors.

00:57:19.640 Now, we know that depression and anxiety through the roof, they pretty much directly, you know, in a big population,

00:57:26.640 they're going to directly translate into deaths, right?

00:57:30.640 Obesity, of course, is going to kill people.

00:57:32.640 Here's the new one, right?

00:57:34.640 Those of you who challenged me and said I wouldn't make a new point, are you aware that it's a pretty well-established fact

00:57:44.640 that if a spouse dies, the odds of the remaining spouse also dying in a year or so is very high, relative to, you know, chance, right?

00:57:56.640 Now, what happens if a whole bunch of seniors especially, or let's say anybody over 40,

00:58:03.640 but the people who died are mostly seniors.

00:58:05.640 A whole bunch of seniors lose their partner after 60 years of being together, right?

00:58:12.640 That's what happened to my parents.

00:58:14.640 My mother died, you know, my parents were together from the time my mother was 18.

00:58:20.640 She was engaged at the age of 16, right, to the same man.

00:58:25.640 They were together all those years.

00:58:28.640 She died, and what did the family member say?

00:58:32.640 We gave him like a year, and he didn't have a special medical problem.

00:58:39.640 I think he was gone in 18 months.

00:58:41.640 I think it was around 18 months, and it was just a straight decline.

00:58:45.640 You know, he just, he was done.

00:58:48.640 Now, you could see the psychological part of that just so clearly, right?

00:58:53.640 I mean, I don't think it was a coincidence.

00:58:56.640 Now, this is actually an effect, this is an effect that's well demonstrated, right?

00:59:01.640 I think most doctors have seen it, and it, even the data backs it up.

00:59:06.640 So what we should see is excess deaths of the partner dying from heartbreak.

00:59:12.640 So it should be a pretty big effect.

00:59:18.640 In fact, it might be the biggest effect we've ever seen of this type, just because of the way it all played out.

00:59:25.640 There's also a post-crisis effect.

00:59:28.640 So after a big war or after a big upheaval or a revolution, doctors know that heart attacks go way up.

00:59:37.640 Did you know that?

00:59:39.640 Yeah, there's heart inflammation and, you know, stress.

00:59:43.640 It's basically the effect of long-term stress.

00:59:45.640 So after the pandemic, and I guess you could sort of say we're after it now, you should expect to see a whole bunch of excess deaths that are predictable, right?

00:59:56.640 What about distrust of healthcare?

00:59:58.640 I stopped taking two meds this year because I don't trust healthcare.

01:00:03.640 Do you think anybody else did that?

01:00:05.640 Do you think anybody else stopped taking their meds because they don't trust healthcare or they couldn't get them or they couldn't get into the hospital or they don't want to even get near the hospital?

01:00:14.640 How about the people who would normally go to the hospital, but they're afraid of getting COVID?

01:00:19.640 And they think, well, the hospital is full of COVID.

01:00:22.640 I don't want to have the problem I have plus COVID.

01:00:25.640 So maybe they don't go.

01:00:26.640 So there's certainly some distrust of healthcare that's got to have an effect.

01:00:29.640 What about hospital mistakes?

01:00:31.640 Hospital mistakes are something like the third biggest cause of death, aren't they?

01:00:38.640 Yeah, it's like the third largest cause of death.

01:00:42.640 I'm speculating here.

01:00:45.640 If you take any system that's working and then you throw a whole new variable into it, like something that shocks the system, does it work as well?

01:00:56.640 No.

01:00:57.640 Because it's a big complicated system.

01:00:59.640 If you throw COVID and the pandemic into the hospital system, it should create more errors, right?

01:01:06.640 Just because any change to a system will create errors.

01:01:10.640 Now, I'm not even talking about the ventilators.

01:01:12.640 I'm talking about the continued effect to today because we're past the ventilators, I think.

01:01:19.640 But don't you think that hospital, I'm just guessing, but I'll bet you, hospital errors are through the roof.

01:01:27.640 Because I think we lost a lot of good healthcare professionals, didn't we?

01:01:31.640 You know, fatigue, death, but also a change of process.

01:01:36.640 Because you have all the work you were doing, plus you've got to put in COVID protocols, right?

01:01:44.640 Your doctor told you it was okay?

01:01:47.640 Well, is my doctor monitoring me?

01:01:51.640 I mean, I'm basically, you know, my doctor suggested it, but I'm doing it all myself, right?

01:01:58.640 I'm monitoring myself, et cetera.

01:02:01.640 All right.

01:02:02.640 But I get your point.

01:02:03.640 There's also an economic effect.

01:02:05.640 When the economy is bad, people die.

01:02:08.640 And they die for a whole variety of reasons that are probably, you know, embedded in some of this other stuff.

01:02:13.640 And then there's also something called the nocebo effect, sort of a cousin to the placebo effect.

01:02:19.640 The placebo effect, 30 to 60% of the people who take a drug or a pill that is literally nothing, get better.

01:02:29.640 30 to 60% get better with a sugar pill, you know, when they're testing against a real pill.

01:02:37.640 It also works the other way.

01:02:40.640 If somebody believes something's going to be bad for them, let's say you gave them a pill, you say, you know, this probably is going to be bad for you.

01:02:47.640 Probably 30% of the people would report something bad happened.

01:02:52.640 And maybe it would.

01:02:53.640 Like if you tested them, you'd actually found something bad.

01:02:56.640 So the psychology body connection is so strong that what you expect has about a 30% chance of happening, even if there's no physical reason it should.

01:03:08.640 And it works both in the positive way, but in the negative way, too.

01:03:13.640 So, how many people believed that COVID would kill them?

01:03:18.640 A lot.

01:03:19.640 Do you think that if you looked at the people who believed that COVID was no big deal, if you could isolate them, and then they got COVID, and then the group who thought it was deadly and they were going to die, and they also got COVID, do you think the death rates would make sense for their demographics?

01:03:37.640 I mean, they wouldn't be directly comparable.

01:03:39.640 You'd have to adjust it for demographics.

01:03:42.640 I say that the people who were afraid of COVID were more likely to die.

01:03:46.640 All other things controlled.

01:03:48.640 What do you say?

01:03:50.640 Everything I know about psychology, placebos and nocebos, strongly suggests that people were dying who wouldn't have died if they weren't afraid of dying.

01:04:01.640 Now, let's go the other way.

01:04:03.640 How many people maybe got the vaccination slash shot that isn't a vaccination?

01:04:09.640 How many people got the shot, and then later through social media or their friends or whatever, became frightened to death that the shot itself would kill them?

01:04:20.640 And it's 100 million people.

01:04:23.640 If 100 million people worry that the shot itself will kill them, let's say half them, 50 million, how many of them would actually die who wouldn't have died otherwise?

01:04:34.640 And the answer is it's going to be a big number, I think.

01:04:38.640 Based on everything we know about placebos and nocebos and psychology and connection of mind to body, there should be people dying like crazy because they're afraid of the vaccination.

01:04:52.640 And wouldn't have died otherwise.

01:04:53.640 Just the fear itself should be killing people like crazy.

01:04:57.640 Right or wrong?

01:04:59.640 Disagree?

01:05:00.640 Right?

01:05:01.640 So, now, let me give the counterargument, okay?

01:05:06.640 Here's the counterargument.

01:05:08.640 The counterargument is that the increase in excess deaths maps almost perfectly to the vaccination introduction.

01:05:18.640 That's a strong argument.

01:05:20.640 Would you agree?

01:05:22.640 It's a pretty strong argument.

01:05:25.640 Yeah.

01:05:26.640 And it would take a coincidence for that not to be showing you exactly what it looks like.

01:05:32.640 Right?

01:05:33.640 Because what it looks like is that there's one cause that, you know, rises above the others.

01:05:38.640 It would take a pretty big coincidence for that not to mean exactly what it looks like.

01:05:44.640 Would you agree?

01:05:46.640 So, you would have to explain why every demographic started having excess deaths at around the time of the rollout.

01:05:56.640 Here's the best that you could do if you were trying to explain that away.

01:06:01.640 These effects affect all demographics.

01:06:05.640 Different ones affect different demographics differently.

01:06:08.640 So, the widow effect would affect the older people more.

01:06:12.640 But the suicides and overdoses would affect the younger people more.

01:06:16.640 And then all of it would affect everybody a little bit.

01:06:20.640 Now, when would the excess deaths start kicking in?

01:06:25.640 Would people be dying from the nocebo effect before they had a vaccination?

01:06:31.640 They wouldn't.

01:06:33.640 It would have to be after the vaccination.

01:06:36.640 Would people be dying of long COVID right after they got actual COVID?

01:06:46.640 No.

01:06:47.640 If there is any long-term impact of just being weakened in general, that might have happened a year later.

01:06:55.640 So, there might be people who are infected a year later, and by the time the vaccinations came,

01:07:01.640 that's when the long COVID is kicking in their ass as well.

01:07:05.640 Just by coincidence.

01:07:07.640 How many of the widow effects would happen the same day as the original partner dies?

01:07:15.640 Almost none.

01:07:16.640 They would lag about a year.

01:07:19.640 So, you'd have all these deaths in 2020, and then you would see the partners start to die a year later.

01:07:25.640 That's what you would expect.

01:07:27.640 What about the post-crisis effect?

01:07:30.640 Well, when the vaccinations rolled out, there were a lot of people who said,

01:07:37.640 okay, we're after the crisis now, because now we can vaccinate ourselves and be safe.

01:07:43.640 Now, I'm not saying that's true.

01:07:45.640 I'm saying that's how people felt.

01:07:47.640 So, at the time of the vaccinations, the post-crisis effect should have started at the same time as the vaccinations,

01:07:54.640 because that's when people thought they were done with the, they thought the pandemic might be done.

01:07:59.640 So, the post-crisis is after the crisis, and the vaccinations might be a period where people were feeling post-crisis-y.

01:08:06.640 Maybe.

01:08:07.640 Distrust of healthcare, that probably started small and grew, but it was always there.

01:08:13.640 Hospital mistakes were probably worse.

01:08:16.640 Don't you think hospital mistakes were very high at the same time the vaccinations were coming up?

01:08:22.640 Should have been.

01:08:23.640 Everything we know would suggest that's when they were the highest, because it was the most variables and overwork and every other bad thing.

01:08:31.640 Economic effect, you know, is a little more gradual.

01:08:35.640 We should see more of that now than we saw then.

01:08:38.640 Although, actually, people were scared to death about their economic situation during the pandemic.

01:08:43.640 So, this might have actually started earlier, and maybe even got worse.

01:08:52.640 And then I guess I spoke about all this.

01:08:55.640 Alright.

01:08:58.640 Given all of this, did you learn something here that you didn't know? Go.

01:09:05.640 Did I tell you something that you had not heard before, that was useful, that was also useful?

01:09:13.640 It's a mixed bag.

01:09:16.640 It's a mixed bag.

01:09:19.640 Egg with glasses.

01:09:22.640 Nope, I'm a biologist.

01:09:23.640 Oh!

01:09:24.640 So there's a biologist here who knew the widow effect?

01:09:29.640 How many of you knew the widow effect, and knew that it would be part of excess deaths?

01:09:33.640 Some of you did.

01:09:37.640 Some of you did.

01:09:39.640 Some of you did.

01:09:40.640 And you actually knew to connect that to excess deaths.

01:09:44.640 Well, I'm impressed.

01:09:46.640 Alright David, we see you, we see you.

01:09:48.640 You don't have to say that a hundred times.

01:09:50.640 And by the way, here's the, remember I told you you can't determine parity from reality?

01:10:02.640 So David Gee is just shouting in caps, you know, message after message all the same.

01:10:07.640 And he says, Scott figured it down again, guys.

01:10:10.640 He really is the pandemic's best predictor.

01:10:13.640 Parity?

01:10:14.640 Or actual opinion?

01:10:16.640 There's no difference.

01:10:18.640 There's no difference.

01:10:20.640 They're just the same now.

01:10:21.640 You can't even tell.

01:10:22.640 You knew from working in the cemetery.

01:10:26.640 Oh, somebody knew about the, yeah, you would know.

01:10:29.640 Yeah, if you worked in the cemetery, you would know when you dug the grave for one partner,

01:10:34.640 and you would know when you dug the matching grave for the other partner.

01:10:38.640 So there's a cemetery worker who knew about the widow effect.

01:10:42.640 That makes perfect sense.

01:10:47.640 Oh, here's an interesting comment.

01:10:49.640 NBC Jester says, no, I'm sorry.

01:10:56.640 Somebody said that I'm at peak persuasion now.

01:11:00.640 Peak influence.

01:11:02.640 Because Elon magnified me.

01:11:04.640 What do you think?

01:11:05.640 Am I at peak influence?

01:11:08.640 Yes, I am.

01:11:10.640 It's all downhill from here.

01:11:12.640 Well, peak so far.

01:11:15.640 Peak so far.

01:11:17.640 Peak sarcasm.

01:11:20.640 Go after Schiff.

01:11:22.640 You got it.

01:11:26.640 We'll take care of him.

01:11:27.640 All right, ladies and gentlemen.

01:11:29.640 This brings me to the end of the best live stream you've ever had.

01:11:33.640 I'm going to make the locals people private.

01:11:38.640 And then I'm going to say goodbye to you YouTube people.

01:11:41.640 Stay tuned.

01:11:44.640 And we'll talk to you later.

01:11:50.640 I have a clean plan.

01:11:51.640 Take care of.

01:12:00.640 Here, say, coog.

01:12:01.640 Maybe not?.

01:12:02.640 You're taking care of, eu'm s counts.

01:12:03.640 And that's great.

01:12:04.640 Talking to me, hi.

01:12:06.640 Yeah.

01:12:08.640 You know, you want to talk to me.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 27, 2023

Episode 2001 Scott Adams： My Potential Senate Run Against Schiff, Excess Deaths, Twitter Shadowbans

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