Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2009 Scott Adams： Chinese Spy Balloon, TikTok Is In Trouble, Russia Beating Sanctions, More

00:00:00.000 Oh, good morning and welcome to the Highlight of Civilization.

00:00:07.040 Yes, we'll be talking about a big old balloon.

00:00:10.820 Not much else to talk about today, turns out.

00:00:14.140 But we got lots to talk about.

00:00:16.460 Oh, we'll talk about that.

00:00:18.180 But before we do, would you like to prepare?

00:00:21.240 Would you like to be primed to make this the best experience you've had so far today?

00:00:25.660 Maybe your whole life?

00:00:26.520 Yes, all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a stein, a canteen joke or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:34.940 Fill it with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.

00:00:38.400 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:00:41.420 It's the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:45.000 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:47.580 And it happens now.

00:00:48.720 Go.

00:00:48.880 Go.

00:00:48.940 Have you ever stopped to think that the universe has been here for, I don't know, 13, 14 billion years,

00:01:01.580 and you were lucky enough to be alive at the exact time that the simultaneous sip was invented?

00:01:08.800 I mean, really, what are the odds of that?

00:01:10.140 I would say that is more evidence that things are going right for you.

00:01:17.000 So what about that spy balloon?

00:01:20.180 Well, let's begin with the question.

00:01:23.400 What is lost, full of gas, and owned by China? 0.99

00:01:29.060 What is lost, full of gas, and owned by China? 0.99

00:01:33.280 I will accept Chinese spy balloon, Joe Biden, or Eric Swalwell.

00:01:41.320 Any of those answers will be sufficient.

00:01:44.560 All right, so the big question is, if there's a big Chinese spy balloon over the United States,

00:01:51.520 why don't we shoot it down?

00:01:54.440 Now, what would be the correct political thing to say?

00:01:59.420 Let's say you're a Republican.

00:02:00.780 What is the smart political thing to say?

00:02:04.700 It doesn't mean it's right strategically, but what would be the right political thing?

00:02:10.280 Shoot it down.

00:02:11.720 Shoot it down.

00:02:13.380 And Trump picked up the free money.

00:02:16.080 So everybody who picked up the free money, that's somebody you should, you know, give a little credit to,

00:02:22.620 is free money.

00:02:24.720 We don't know the details of why it's not being shot down, and we probably won't.

00:02:29.560 You know, there's probably some military reason.

00:02:31.780 Or even if there's not a military reason, we'll never hear the real reason, if there is one.

00:02:36.920 And so the smartest thing you could do is just say, shoot it down, because you look tough.

00:02:44.660 Right?

00:02:45.640 Now, the critics are saying, China is testing our defenses.

00:02:50.140 Why don't we shoot it down?

00:02:52.780 Do those two things make sense?

00:02:56.600 They're testing our defenses, so why don't we activate our defenses so they can see how they work and then shoot it down?

00:03:06.060 I'm not sure we should.

00:03:09.480 Let me ask you this.

00:03:10.640 What does this mean?

00:03:11.400 Apparently, our military said that as soon as we saw this thing coming,

00:03:16.440 they immediately acted to protect against the collection of sensitive intelligence.

00:03:23.280 How'd they do that?

00:03:26.520 Well, you know, they make it sound like there was some kind of, like, the roof was open at their nuclear facilities,

00:03:35.220 and if you flew a balloon over and you looked carefully, you could look right down into the classified documents.

00:03:41.920 But maybe they closed the roof.

00:03:45.140 But what does it mean?

00:03:46.640 How exact?

00:03:47.960 Really?

00:03:48.620 Jam it?

00:03:49.680 Now, of course, jamming it is the first thing I thought of.

00:03:53.400 But wouldn't you need something to be flying around it all the time?

00:03:59.020 How do you jam it?

00:04:00.540 Or do you just make sure that you don't send any classified information until it's gone?

00:04:08.640 I would say this whole question of how they took steps and how effective those steps were is sort of a big question.

00:04:16.600 Now, it's unlikely that they knocked it down.

00:04:19.680 What would you do if you were the United States?

00:04:23.700 How would you handle it?

00:04:24.740 Because I'll tell you how I would handle it.

00:04:26.860 And I haven't seen anybody suggest it yet.

00:04:30.540 I would tell China to bring it down, or we will. 1.00

00:04:35.020 But I wouldn't bring it down before I gave them an option of bringing it down without violence.

00:04:41.600 Wouldn't you?

00:04:42.660 I'd just say, hey, we're going to bring this thing down.

00:04:45.500 One way or the other.

00:04:47.180 So it's coming down.

00:04:49.440 But I think I'd try to force it down.

00:04:51.220 I think I'd try to negotiate with them to see if you can capture the thing.

00:04:56.980 Now, I don't think you can.

00:04:58.700 I mean, I doubt they would want it to be captured.

00:05:01.480 But I would at least try to capture it.

00:05:05.780 Do you think it has a self-destruct?

00:05:08.600 I feel like that's, I mean, it would be an obvious thing you would think of.

00:05:13.340 But even though it's obvious, I kind of suspect it doesn't have that.

00:05:19.100 Maybe it does.

00:05:20.200 I don't know.

00:05:20.740 Maybe it's good enough if it crashes.

00:05:24.920 So we've got big questions.

00:05:26.680 All right.

00:05:26.920 So one possibility that we're not shooting it down.

00:05:29.700 I'll give you all the possibilities I can think of.

00:05:31.500 One is that we routinely do the same thing.

00:05:38.760 What do you think of that one?

00:05:40.740 We routinely put balloons and other surveillance over China.

00:05:45.180 And so we don't really care that much.

00:05:49.080 Maybe.

00:05:49.880 Maybe it's just protecting our own assets that spy on them.

00:05:53.720 Here's another possibility.

00:05:55.820 I'll bet you didn't see this one coming.

00:05:58.360 We're better off if they can see everything.

00:06:01.500 Have you heard of the Open Skies Treaty?

00:06:05.680 Which wasn't a big success, I don't think.

00:06:07.980 But this was with Russia.

00:06:09.840 And the idea was we would be able to fly over Russia

00:06:12.900 and Russia would be able to fly over us 0.87

00:06:14.660 so that we could see if anybody's cheating with nukes.

00:06:17.900 But you can't really see too much from the air.

00:06:21.120 But do you think we're worse off or better off

00:06:23.840 if we can see everything China's doing militarily from the air,

00:06:27.960 which we probably can,

00:06:29.480 and they can see what we're doing?

00:06:32.100 It's entirely possible that we calculated

00:06:34.460 that seeing each other's stuff in the air

00:06:36.820 makes you safer instead of less safe.

00:06:40.880 That's one possibility.

00:06:42.400 I'm not saying that that's likely.

00:06:44.260 I'm just going to run through the possibilities.

00:06:46.940 All right, one possibility is incompetence, right?

00:06:50.380 One is incompetence.

00:06:51.640 They just couldn't get it together.

00:06:53.380 Maybe it'll happen later, but they couldn't get it together.

00:06:55.500 That would just be incompetence.

00:06:56.660 I don't think that's the answer.

00:06:59.760 One would be that Biden is owned by China, maybe.

00:07:05.760 But the reporting we're getting is that Biden immediately ordered a shot down

00:07:10.640 and the military argued against it.

00:07:13.800 Now, can we believe that report?

00:07:15.540 Can you believe an unsourced report that Biden wanted to shoot that down,

00:07:21.940 but the military talked about it?

00:07:24.020 That sounds exactly like a lie, doesn't it?

00:07:27.780 It could be true.

00:07:29.440 It could be true.

00:07:31.040 But it sounds exactly like a lie.

00:07:34.200 If you were going to lie, that's how you'd do it.

00:07:35.980 So what are the possibilities?

00:07:38.680 So one possibility is we did not want to activate our defenses

00:07:42.280 so that we don't give anything away.

00:07:44.440 Another possibility is that we're learning something from it.

00:07:50.240 Do we have the capability to electronically query it

00:07:55.400 and find out just what it's doing and how it's doing it?

00:07:58.820 Are we learning about what technology they have

00:08:01.580 and we just need a little more time to get a better beat on it?

00:08:06.860 Are we flying things close to it to take pictures

00:08:09.280 and to get a signal intelligence from closer up?

00:08:12.700 Are we trying to take it over with hackers?

00:08:16.780 How about that one?

00:08:18.400 How about we deactivate the signal from China

00:08:23.060 and we already control it?

00:08:26.640 Is that impossible?

00:08:28.340 Is it impossible that the United States already took control of it?

00:08:32.320 I mean, we wouldn't tell them, would we?

00:08:34.500 We wouldn't mention it.

00:08:36.200 It's entirely possible that we're navigating it

00:08:38.520 toward a military base

00:08:40.860 and we're just taking it over Florida

00:08:43.600 or wherever it's going to go.

00:08:45.400 We're taking it over some military base

00:08:47.100 and then we're going to bring it down.

00:08:51.900 Now, for those of you who are too dumb

00:08:54.520 to be in this conversation,

00:08:56.600 everything I say is speculation.

00:08:58.560 So if you pick one of them out

00:09:01.660 and say,

00:09:02.340 you freaking moron,

00:09:04.900 that one that you mentioned isn't the one,

00:09:07.540 I know that too.

00:09:09.400 I'm mentioning a bunch of possibilities

00:09:11.120 and I don't really have a favorite among the group.

00:09:15.160 Now, the military is saying

00:09:16.340 they don't want to shoot it down

00:09:17.340 because there'd be a debris field.

00:09:19.520 It might injure stuff in the ground.

00:09:21.700 Does anybody believe that one?

00:09:24.480 That one just feels like a lie, right?

00:09:26.860 Yeah.

00:09:28.920 There's some types of lies

00:09:30.500 that are so obviously a lie

00:09:33.280 that I'm okay with them.

00:09:35.680 Have you ever experienced that?

00:09:37.620 A lie so obvious

00:09:39.040 that you're just okay with it.

00:09:41.440 Oh, I get it.

00:09:42.880 You're lying to me

00:09:43.740 because you don't want to tell me

00:09:44.880 the answer to that question.

00:09:46.220 I get it.

00:09:47.060 I'm good with that.

00:09:49.740 So when the military lies to you

00:09:52.200 and the military lies to you

00:09:54.120 in a way that's just obviously a lie,

00:09:56.680 you have two possibilities.

00:09:58.020 One is something terrible

00:09:59.440 and the other is

00:10:01.080 they're doing their job.

00:10:02.220 They're just keeping you out of the loop

00:10:03.540 because that's not going to help anything.

00:10:05.640 Maybe.

00:10:06.640 Don't know.

00:10:07.800 So we're in a situation where

00:10:09.580 under normal historical circumstances,

00:10:12.900 let's say this were in the 60s.

00:10:17.100 If this happened in the 60s,

00:10:19.800 I believe we all would have said,

00:10:21.940 oh, there's a pretty good reason

00:10:23.180 the government's not shooting that down.

00:10:26.160 Wouldn't we?

00:10:27.280 Because we would be so brainwashed

00:10:28.940 into thinking they had it under control

00:10:30.680 that we'd all say,

00:10:32.080 well, there's nothing to talk about here.

00:10:33.580 If they're not shooting it down,

00:10:35.100 it means there's no security risk

00:10:37.940 or they've got a big plan.

00:10:39.880 But after going through the pandemic,

00:10:44.800 what's your first assumption

00:10:46.220 about the government?

00:10:48.260 It's something sketchy, right?

00:10:51.260 Do you all feel more comfortable

00:10:52.960 if I acknowledge

00:10:53.960 that we're in an era

00:10:56.500 in which believing the government's story

00:10:59.060 would be ridiculous?

00:11:01.180 Would you agree?

00:11:02.260 It would actually be ridiculous

00:11:03.700 to believe their story.

00:11:06.060 Ridiculous.

00:11:07.200 We just don't live in a world

00:11:08.580 where that kind of a story

00:11:10.120 could be believable or credible.

00:11:12.540 It could be true.

00:11:13.980 I'm not saying it's true or untrue.

00:11:15.600 That part's unknowable.

00:11:17.200 But absolutely, you can't trust them.

00:11:20.240 Absolutely, you cannot.

00:11:22.720 They're guilty until proven innocent.

00:11:25.280 All right.

00:11:25.600 Do you think that the Chinese

00:11:29.060 did this to humiliate the United States

00:11:32.700 prior to what would have been

00:11:35.060 a high-level visit by Blinken,

00:11:37.180 who has canceled his trip?

00:11:39.360 Do you think it was intentionally

00:11:41.040 a humiliation play?

00:11:45.440 The only reason I'm going to say no

00:11:47.540 is that it's too on the nose.

00:11:50.300 It's like a little too on the nose,

00:11:53.880 which doesn't mean it's false, right?

00:11:57.180 The too on the nose rule

00:11:58.640 is not like a law of physics or anything.

00:12:01.840 But it's fairly reliable.

00:12:04.240 To me, it just feels a little,

00:12:06.080 I don't know, too on the nose,

00:12:07.520 too on the story.

00:12:09.060 But maybe.

00:12:10.480 Maybe.

00:12:13.280 The other thing we don't know

00:12:14.560 is how often they've done it.

00:12:15.840 And it could be that,

00:12:17.700 it could be,

00:12:18.920 here's one reason our military

00:12:20.460 would be lying to us.

00:12:22.260 Imagine if we find out

00:12:23.760 that China's been sending balloons

00:12:26.620 over us for decades,

00:12:28.680 and we've never responded.

00:12:31.380 That would make us look pretty weak,

00:12:33.760 wouldn't it?

00:12:34.700 So that would be one reason

00:12:36.100 that the government would say,

00:12:39.280 oh, we're not going to tell you

00:12:40.240 what's going on here.

00:12:41.480 Maybe it's been happening

00:12:42.600 for a long time,

00:12:43.500 and they don't want to admit it.

00:12:45.080 Maybe.

00:12:46.360 Now, here's the other possibility.

00:12:50.040 We can't shoot it down.

00:12:54.720 What do you think of that?

00:12:57.380 I have a sneaking suspicion

00:13:01.140 we might not have the technology

00:13:03.920 to take it out.

00:13:05.580 Because the only thing we have

00:13:06.800 that goes that high is a missile.

00:13:09.940 Do we really want to launch

00:13:11.680 a serious missile

00:13:13.460 within the continental United States?

00:13:17.100 Because I'd be worried

00:13:18.080 as much about the missile

00:13:19.180 falling on somebody

00:13:20.200 as the debris from the balloon.

00:13:23.800 So I'm seeing somebody say,

00:13:27.660 trust me, we can shoot this down.

00:13:30.060 Here's what I do trust.

00:13:32.080 I do trust that we have weapons

00:13:34.020 that are designed to reach it.

00:13:38.080 Will you all take that as a given?

00:13:40.360 that we do have weapons

00:13:42.960 that are designed

00:13:43.880 to reach it.

00:13:46.340 Would you accept that?

00:13:49.820 That doesn't mean they work.

00:13:51.360 There's sort of a difference

00:13:54.000 between design to do it

00:13:55.460 and confidence of the work.

00:13:58.400 Because one possibility is

00:13:59.860 I don't think our airplanes

00:14:02.020 go that high.

00:14:02.720 I think the only ones

00:14:03.560 that go that high

00:14:04.280 are the spy planes.

00:14:07.140 And I don't...

00:14:07.720 I think the U-2 goes to 70,000.

00:14:10.400 The balloons at 60,000.

00:14:14.540 Are you saying

00:14:15.420 that our regular fighter jets

00:14:16.680 could go to 60,000?

00:14:20.460 Because I only read

00:14:22.020 just recently

00:14:22.720 that they couldn't.

00:14:23.800 I mean, like this morning.

00:14:25.860 Oh, classified maybe?

00:14:28.220 Yeah.

00:14:29.160 The new generation can?

00:14:31.400 Oh, they can...

00:14:32.040 Plenty can go that high.

00:14:32.980 Okay.

00:14:33.420 Lots of people are telling me

00:14:34.560 that our current jets

00:14:35.640 can go that high.

00:14:36.360 Okay.

00:14:37.600 Interesting.

00:14:40.400 Service ceiling is 65,000?

00:14:44.300 All right.

00:14:45.040 All right.

00:14:45.380 Well, I stand corrected.

00:14:47.100 Apparently, we have tech...

00:14:48.640 So it sounds like

00:14:49.480 if that's true,

00:14:50.300 if it's true

00:14:50.860 that our fighter jets

00:14:51.800 can get to that range,

00:14:53.380 then it would be true

00:14:55.220 we could easily

00:14:56.000 shoot it down, right?

00:14:58.560 But what happens

00:14:59.440 with the missiles that miss?

00:15:02.300 This is a dumb question.

00:15:03.960 If a fighter jet

00:15:05.140 shoots a missile

00:15:05.840 in continental United States,

00:15:08.000 oh, they would use guns?

00:15:10.360 Yeah.

00:15:13.060 I guess they would use guns, huh?

00:15:19.900 Bullets,

00:15:20.360 and then they'll float down?

00:15:23.680 Yeah, if you miss,

00:15:24.720 where do those guns go?

00:15:27.020 Or where do the bullets go?

00:15:29.860 You know,

00:15:30.140 it does seem to me

00:15:30.860 that they can find

00:15:31.540 an empty enough place

00:15:32.720 to take it down.

00:15:34.000 We'll find out soon.

00:15:35.680 All right.

00:15:36.040 Here's the biggest story

00:15:38.140 that's not exactly

00:15:39.200 being reported.

00:15:40.340 So I noted that

00:15:41.140 Bill Maher

00:15:42.040 made a joke

00:15:43.920 conflating the spy balloon

00:15:46.360 with TikTok.

00:15:47.580 And the joke was,

00:15:49.460 you know,

00:15:49.820 they don't need

00:15:50.360 the spy balloon

00:15:50.940 because they already

00:15:51.460 have TikTok.

00:15:54.280 Then you also saw

00:15:55.260 a number of tweets

00:15:56.000 from, I think,

00:15:57.640 mostly Republicans

00:15:58.500 in Congress

00:16:00.360 who said,

00:16:01.160 you know,

00:16:01.420 ban this

00:16:01.860 and ban TikTok.

00:16:02.860 Mitt Romney.

00:16:04.060 Mitt Romney said,

00:16:05.120 shoot down the balloon

00:16:06.240 and ban TikTok.

00:16:07.840 Here's the important part.

00:16:10.160 TikTok just became

00:16:11.320 a visual story.

00:16:13.640 Because TikTok's

00:16:14.500 a concept,

00:16:15.780 right?

00:16:16.100 You think you're screened,

00:16:17.200 but it's not really

00:16:17.840 a physical thing.

00:16:18.600 But the balloon

00:16:24.880 is physical.

00:16:26.520 So we all have

00:16:27.160 the visual.

00:16:28.340 And if I've taught you

00:16:29.240 nothing about persuasion,

00:16:31.260 it's that the visual

00:16:32.680 persuasion

00:16:33.320 is always the 0.65

00:16:34.520 persuasive one.

00:16:36.540 Talk, talk, talk

00:16:37.360 doesn't persuade people.

00:16:39.360 But you see a picture,

00:16:41.340 let's say the picture

00:16:42.120 of climate change

00:16:43.120 with that hockey stick graph,

00:16:45.520 you know,

00:16:45.720 a picture of a dying

00:16:46.840 polar bear.

00:16:49.260 The reason that

00:16:50.120 climate change

00:16:51.360 has to be turned

00:16:52.020 into some kind

00:16:52.820 of a visual

00:16:53.420 is to sell it.

00:16:55.420 So you need the graph

00:16:56.320 that scares you

00:16:57.160 and the dead polar bear

00:16:58.260 and the hurricanes

00:16:59.880 and that story.

00:17:01.700 So quite accidentally,

00:17:04.260 nobody planned this,

00:17:05.920 but the story

00:17:06.540 about the spy balloon

00:17:08.080 is in our brains

00:17:10.260 too close

00:17:11.260 to the TikTok story.

00:17:13.260 Right?

00:17:14.200 Just a little too close.

00:17:15.500 So our brains

00:17:16.200 have just combined

00:17:17.000 those into one story.

00:17:18.600 And I'll bet you'll see

00:17:20.300 more and more of it today.

00:17:22.280 I'll bet you'll see

00:17:23.200 TikTok and the balloon

00:17:25.020 mentioned in the same sentence

00:17:26.860 a whole bunch of times today.

00:17:28.660 Watch the coverage

00:17:29.660 on the news today.

00:17:31.120 Watch, especially Fox News.

00:17:32.880 And watch how many times

00:17:33.740 TikTok and the Chinese 1.00

00:17:35.760 spy balloon

00:17:36.340 are mentioned

00:17:36.740 in the same sentence.

00:17:38.200 And because we've said

00:17:39.780 the spy balloon

00:17:41.240 must be shot down,

00:17:42.480 there's no doubt about it,

00:17:43.600 that will,

00:17:46.380 what do you say,

00:17:49.840 let's say spill over

00:17:51.080 or it will infect

00:17:53.200 our other thoughts

00:17:54.300 about TikTok.

00:17:55.700 So the urgency of TikTok

00:17:57.540 just took on

00:17:59.680 the urgency of the balloon.

00:18:01.860 And you could argue

00:18:02.860 whether the balloon

00:18:03.580 really is urgent,

00:18:04.940 but we're treating it

00:18:05.840 like it is.

00:18:06.700 The public is treating it

00:18:07.860 and Congress is,

00:18:09.080 is treating it like,

00:18:09.960 why the hell are you waiting?

00:18:11.520 Right now.

00:18:12.940 The time to shoot down

00:18:14.200 a spy plane

00:18:15.000 is right now.

00:18:17.160 Okay, second question.

00:18:19.080 How long should you wait

00:18:20.200 before you get rid of TikTok?

00:18:22.580 The argument's the same, right?

00:18:24.720 If you think it's wrong

00:18:26.240 to let the spy plane

00:18:28.040 just sit up there

00:18:29.240 and slowly transverse

00:18:31.600 the United States,

00:18:32.940 if you're okay with that,

00:18:35.540 well, I can see why

00:18:36.460 you'd be okay with TikTok.

00:18:37.400 But if you're saying

00:18:40.120 shoot down that,

00:18:41.020 shoot down that balloon,

00:18:43.260 you can't say

00:18:44.140 shoot down the balloon

00:18:45.080 while you don't say

00:18:46.060 shoot down TikTok.

00:18:47.640 Those two stories

00:18:48.700 just became

00:18:49.380 melted together.

00:18:51.280 You can't,

00:18:51.780 now you couldn't even

00:18:52.820 pull them apart

00:18:54.120 if you tried.

00:18:55.880 That's the biggest story.

00:18:58.180 The biggest story

00:18:59.520 is that those two things

00:19:01.320 just became one thing.

00:19:03.520 That's really big.

00:19:05.860 I don't know

00:19:06.280 if anybody else

00:19:06.840 would mention it,

00:19:07.520 but watch for that.

00:19:10.740 Well, I don't know

00:19:11.840 if you saw in the back,

00:19:12.580 but I did come up with,

00:19:14.180 I was just brainstorming

00:19:15.240 some solutions

00:19:15.920 for taking the balloon out.

00:19:18.040 And what we need to do

00:19:20.400 is maybe try to position

00:19:22.840 Representative Swalwell

00:19:24.380 below the balloon

00:19:25.920 as it's crossing.

00:19:27.200 This will take a little math,

00:19:28.380 but I think we could do it.

00:19:30.060 Then you can use

00:19:30.880 a BIC lighter,

00:19:32.060 sneak up behind him,

00:19:33.520 get the timing right,

00:19:34.560 light the lighter,

00:19:35.240 his own natural flatulence

00:19:37.580 will form a missile.

00:19:40.240 Now, I haven't done

00:19:41.180 the calculations.

00:19:42.880 I believe this will get you

00:19:44.300 to at least 70,000 feet.

00:19:47.480 Does that sound reasonable?

00:19:49.840 Yeah, I think you could get

00:19:50.620 70,000 feet out of this.

00:19:54.060 We'll take out that,

00:19:55.180 take out that missile,

00:19:56.920 that balloon.

00:19:58.480 Let's talk about something else.

00:19:59.700 So, Twitter Blue is looking

00:20:01.820 like a better deal

00:20:04.140 every minute.

00:20:05.360 I finally signed up today.

00:20:07.180 I tried to sign up earlier,

00:20:08.760 but because I was already

00:20:10.020 a blue check,

00:20:11.560 for some reason,

00:20:12.140 I couldn't do it until now

00:20:13.100 or recently.

00:20:15.280 So, here are the things

00:20:16.460 that you can do

00:20:17.520 with Twitter Blue.

00:20:18.340 I sent a tweet

00:20:21.040 and it told me

00:20:21.760 I had 30 minutes

00:20:22.720 to edit it.

00:20:26.040 This very moment,

00:20:27.420 this very morning,

00:20:28.620 I deleted a tweet

00:20:29.640 because I didn't want

00:20:30.660 to re-edit it.

00:20:33.320 So, I wish I'd remembered

00:20:34.720 that this feature was there.

00:20:36.260 So, I accidentally tweeted

00:20:38.200 about the Chinese spy plane

00:20:40.800 when I meant to say balloon.

00:20:42.680 So, I just deleted it

00:20:43.740 because I was busy,

00:20:44.580 didn't want to re-tweet it.

00:20:45.560 But that's exactly one

00:20:47.160 that I would have just

00:20:47.960 edited and kept.

00:20:51.640 Twitter, apparently,

00:20:52.860 I don't know the details,

00:20:54.040 looks like they're going

00:20:54.940 to go big on video.

00:20:58.040 Oh, you corrected me?

00:20:59.220 Thank you.

00:21:00.500 It looks like Twitter's

00:21:01.520 going to go big on video,

00:21:02.500 which they have to, right?

00:21:04.180 I mean, is there any question

00:21:06.380 that they have to?

00:21:07.500 Yeah, of course,

00:21:08.260 they have to.

00:21:08.900 So, that's the right move.

00:21:10.520 The 30 minutes to edit,

00:21:12.040 that's the right move.

00:21:13.080 The paid subscription

00:21:15.480 so that Twitter doesn't

00:21:17.040 have to depend on

00:21:17.980 advertising so much,

00:21:19.540 that's the right move

00:21:20.780 because you can still use it

00:21:22.840 without the paid features.

00:21:24.480 And here's my favorite part.

00:21:27.620 Apparently, the Twitter blue users

00:21:30.040 only will be paid

00:21:32.260 for any advertisements

00:21:33.520 that appear in the comments

00:21:34.960 to their tweets.

00:21:37.000 I think this is just

00:21:38.180 one of the best

00:21:39.080 monetization schemes

00:21:41.340 I've seen.

00:21:43.080 because advertisements

00:21:45.080 in your comments

00:21:46.360 seem much less bothersome,

00:21:48.600 don't they?

00:21:49.660 Because you sort of have

00:21:50.380 to go to the comments

00:21:51.280 to see them.

00:21:52.120 I like that.

00:21:53.440 And I like that

00:21:54.880 the ad won't even be there

00:21:57.660 unless you did

00:21:58.480 a good tweet.

00:22:00.380 So, my incentive

00:22:01.540 to tweet in ways

00:22:03.300 that get people engaged

00:22:05.100 is now,

00:22:07.020 it's monetized.

00:22:07.820 I'm definitely

00:22:09.900 incentivized by that.

00:22:15.280 So, we'll see

00:22:16.040 how that works.

00:22:16.860 Now, of course,

00:22:17.480 it's a, you know,

00:22:18.580 some of these things

00:22:19.280 are a risk

00:22:20.440 to the locals' platform

00:22:21.600 and some other

00:22:22.240 competing stuff,

00:22:23.280 but I think they all

00:22:24.180 get better if they compete.

00:22:26.280 So, I think

00:22:26.960 it's just all good.

00:22:28.620 So, so far,

00:22:29.520 Elon Musk's,

00:22:33.520 let's say,

00:22:34.200 entrepreneurial instincts

00:22:35.640 for Twitter

00:22:36.420 appear to be right on.

00:22:39.200 What do you think?

00:22:40.640 I would say

00:22:41.220 his instincts

00:22:41.960 so far

00:22:42.840 are right on.

00:22:45.960 Yeah.

00:22:46.600 Now, that's not to say

00:22:47.740 he won't have some missteps

00:22:49.300 because that's how it works,

00:22:51.020 right?

00:22:51.560 He's moving fast

00:22:52.700 and breaking things

00:22:53.560 and correcting.

00:22:54.620 He said he was

00:22:55.540 going to do that.

00:22:56.640 He told us directly,

00:22:57.760 I'm going to move fast,

00:22:58.580 break things,

00:22:59.240 correct it.

00:23:00.080 And then he did,

00:23:00.960 right in front of you.

00:23:01.840 This is one of the

00:23:02.620 greatest lessons

00:23:03.520 in entrepreneurial

00:23:04.560 strategy

00:23:06.160 and managing

00:23:06.880 and thinking

00:23:07.560 that you'll ever see

00:23:08.940 because you don't get

00:23:09.860 this much transparency

00:23:10.780 normally.

00:23:11.860 Like, his thought process

00:23:12.960 has been, you know,

00:23:14.420 public the whole time.

00:23:15.860 It's amazing.

00:23:16.840 He also won his lawsuit.

00:23:19.780 So, there was a lawsuit

00:23:20.820 when he had teased

00:23:22.540 about taking Tesla private

00:23:23.940 but then that didn't happen

00:23:26.400 and people made decisions

00:23:27.760 about it, I guess,

00:23:28.700 and sued him.

00:23:29.700 He won.

00:23:31.040 Unanimous,

00:23:31.620 unanimous trial victory.

00:23:34.040 Just a clean win.

00:23:35.440 So, good for him.

00:23:36.380 It's one less thing

00:23:37.140 to distract him

00:23:38.180 from his work.

00:23:41.000 Did you catch

00:23:41.800 that the number of jobs,

00:23:44.860 employers added

00:23:46.160 over half a million jobs

00:23:47.660 to the payrolls

00:23:48.340 in January.

00:23:50.960 That,

00:23:51.360 do you know

00:23:51.620 how big that is?

00:23:52.980 Like,

00:23:53.160 if you don't follow jobs,

00:23:54.380 you might not recognize

00:23:55.700 how big that is.

00:23:57.180 That's really,

00:23:58.180 really big.

00:23:59.300 That's like crazy big.

00:24:01.700 How many people

00:24:02.680 expected that?

00:24:04.140 Well,

00:24:04.720 you know who didn't

00:24:05.460 expect that?

00:24:07.160 Economists.

00:24:08.820 Right.

00:24:09.480 So,

00:24:09.760 the Labor Department,

00:24:11.400 well,

00:24:12.220 so the Labor Department 0.99

00:24:13.460 reported

00:24:13.960 it's over half a million,

00:24:15.700 but according

00:24:16.560 to the Wall Street Journal,

00:24:18.440 far more than

00:24:20.340 economists expected.

00:24:22.940 So,

00:24:23.500 the forecasters

00:24:24.300 surveyed by

00:24:24.960 the Wall Street Journal

00:24:25.620 had estimated

00:24:27.040 187,000 jobs

00:24:28.860 would be created,

00:24:30.100 or filled,

00:24:30.620 I guess,

00:24:31.560 or created,

00:24:32.260 I guess,

00:24:32.600 created jobs.

00:24:34.900 And,

00:24:35.560 unemployment's down

00:24:36.540 to three point something.

00:24:38.700 That's amazing.

00:24:40.520 That's really good.

00:24:41.740 But here's my first point.

00:24:46.640 Our best economists

00:24:48.000 could not predict

00:24:50.320 jobs

00:24:51.360 one quarter in advance.

00:24:55.040 Or one month.

00:24:56.760 One month.

00:24:58.060 Our best economists

00:24:59.180 in the world

00:24:59.780 could not predict

00:25:01.340 jobs,

00:25:03.100 something pretty basic,

00:25:04.900 even in the ballpark.

00:25:07.240 They weren't even

00:25:07.800 in the ballpark.

00:25:11.080 So,

00:25:11.740 how do you think

00:25:12.840 they're doing

00:25:13.200 predicting the other stuff?

00:25:16.140 Do you believe

00:25:17.240 any of their

00:25:17.660 other predictions?

00:25:19.580 All right.

00:25:20.200 What is the consensus

00:25:21.640 at the moment,

00:25:22.940 especially based

00:25:23.700 on these numbers?

00:25:24.720 What is the consensus

00:25:25.840 for what 2023

00:25:27.320 will look like

00:25:28.200 economically?

00:25:31.040 It looks like

00:25:31.900 it's going to be

00:25:32.480 either the softest

00:25:33.720 recession,

00:25:35.960 we'll definitely

00:25:37.360 be struggling

00:25:37.880 with the inflation

00:25:38.860 for a while,

00:25:39.720 but it looks like

00:25:40.460 it's a mild recession.

00:25:42.440 Now,

00:25:43.620 do you remember

00:25:44.140 my prediction

00:25:44.780 for 2023?

00:25:47.660 How many people

00:25:48.500 remember my prediction?

00:25:51.080 When everybody

00:25:51.880 was saying

00:25:52.340 it's going to be

00:25:52.800 a bad,

00:25:53.280 bad year.

00:25:53.720 I was Arian,

00:25:55.480 was I not?

00:25:57.100 I believe I was,

00:25:59.240 I don't know,

00:26:00.260 did anybody else

00:26:01.440 say it was mild

00:26:02.140 when I was saying

00:26:02.760 it was mild?

00:26:03.380 And the reason

00:26:04.060 I said it would

00:26:04.600 be mild

00:26:05.160 is the

00:26:06.560 Adams law

00:26:07.300 of slow-moving

00:26:08.020 disasters,

00:26:09.580 that we're really

00:26:10.900 good at

00:26:11.600 quickly adjusting

00:26:13.120 to stuff.

00:26:14.100 And I reckoned

00:26:15.380 that what was

00:26:16.480 different about

00:26:17.060 the pandemic

00:26:17.600 is that we

00:26:19.360 would still

00:26:19.840 come back

00:26:20.280 with all the

00:26:20.700 demand and skills

00:26:21.900 that we had

00:26:22.400 before.

00:26:23.480 So the pandemic

00:26:25.080 didn't really

00:26:25.800 break something,

00:26:27.720 we just had to

00:26:28.940 go back and use

00:26:29.780 the stuff we

00:26:30.300 already had.

00:26:31.460 So it seemed

00:26:32.560 to me that we

00:26:33.360 could quick

00:26:34.120 adjust because

00:26:35.900 all the assets

00:26:37.080 were in place.

00:26:38.360 That's the part

00:26:39.240 that takes a long

00:26:40.060 time.

00:26:40.320 And it looks

00:26:42.000 like maybe we

00:26:42.720 are.

00:26:43.620 Maybe you

00:26:44.120 are.

00:26:44.640 And do you

00:26:45.860 remember also

00:26:46.640 what is the

00:26:47.340 number one

00:26:48.120 economic number

00:26:50.220 that I've told

00:26:50.880 you to focus

00:26:51.380 on?

00:26:52.640 If I told

00:26:53.140 you you'd

00:26:53.520 only,

00:26:54.040 if you could,

00:26:55.040 yeah,

00:26:55.540 jobs.

00:26:56.800 Look at

00:26:57.280 employment.

00:26:58.960 So that's my

00:26:59.980 rule of thumb

00:27:00.660 if you don't

00:27:01.200 want to learn

00:27:01.620 a lot about

00:27:02.260 economics.

00:27:03.760 If the

00:27:04.340 employment is

00:27:05.060 good,

00:27:06.040 employment level

00:27:06.800 and jobs,

00:27:08.120 you can make

00:27:08.880 everything else

00:27:09.580 work.

00:27:10.320 Just as sort

00:27:12.800 of a general

00:27:13.200 rule.

00:27:13.680 Now,

00:27:13.960 nothing is an

00:27:14.620 absolute,

00:27:15.280 right?

00:27:15.880 I suppose

00:27:16.600 anything could

00:27:17.180 go wrong.

00:27:18.180 But if you

00:27:18.980 get the jobs

00:27:19.640 right,

00:27:21.040 you have a

00:27:22.080 solid base

00:27:22.780 for tweaking

00:27:23.960 everything else

00:27:24.660 over time.

00:27:25.720 And that's

00:27:26.160 what I saw.

00:27:26.920 What I saw

00:27:27.520 was that the

00:27:28.040 jobs looked

00:27:28.800 like they'd

00:27:29.220 stay strong

00:27:29.840 and therefore

00:27:30.940 I predicted

00:27:31.560 a mild

00:27:32.820 recession.

00:27:35.920 So it looks

00:27:36.420 like that might

00:27:38.220 happen.

00:27:40.320 It looks

00:27:43.540 like China 0.66

00:27:44.080 is helping

00:27:44.540 Russia beat

00:27:45.200 our sanctions

00:27:45.800 and get

00:27:46.440 tech equipment

00:27:47.380 and chips

00:27:48.060 and stuff.

00:27:49.440 Correct me

00:27:50.040 if I'm

00:27:50.340 wrong,

00:27:51.740 but are

00:27:52.840 our sanctions

00:27:53.840 weak if we

00:27:55.860 can just sell

00:27:56.480 it to some

00:27:57.080 third-party

00:27:57.880 country and

00:27:58.480 then they

00:27:58.760 just sell

00:27:59.180 it to

00:27:59.420 Russia? 0.61

00:28:00.680 Because that's

00:28:01.320 what's

00:28:01.500 happening,

00:28:01.840 right?

00:28:02.720 Just other

00:28:03.440 countries buy

00:28:04.100 stuff from

00:28:04.560 other countries

00:28:05.100 and it goes

00:28:05.640 through a few

00:28:06.060 countries and

00:28:07.200 then it ends

00:28:07.540 up in Russia.

00:28:08.040 So China 0.92

00:28:09.640 appears to

00:28:10.380 be part of

00:28:11.180 this process,

00:28:13.140 but the

00:28:13.900 Wall Street

00:28:14.240 Journal reports

00:28:15.140 that Russia 0.72

00:28:16.940 basically might

00:28:18.800 not be having

00:28:19.380 problems.

00:28:20.740 We thought

00:28:21.640 maybe this

00:28:22.240 tech sanction

00:28:23.480 thing would 0.94

00:28:24.000 really cause

00:28:25.360 their economy

00:28:26.020 to struggle.

00:28:27.480 Maybe not.

00:28:28.440 Maybe all

00:28:28.940 they need is

00:28:29.620 China and a 0.92

00:28:31.520 few other

00:28:31.860 friendly countries

00:28:32.580 and they're

00:28:32.860 fine.

00:28:33.660 Maybe.

00:28:34.540 We'll find out.

00:28:35.280 So it

00:28:36.100 doesn't look

00:28:36.500 like sanctions

00:28:37.100 are going

00:28:37.340 to be the

00:28:37.620 be-all

00:28:37.940 end-all.

00:28:47.940 It's

00:28:48.380 interesting.

00:28:49.000 I'm missing

00:28:49.480 something here.

00:28:50.640 Oh, here it

00:28:51.140 is.

00:28:53.360 ChatGPT.

00:28:55.420 I saw an

00:28:57.020 individual on

00:28:58.440 Instagram, I

00:28:59.840 think, who

00:29:01.060 was saying he

00:29:01.640 had a sneak

00:29:02.200 preview.

00:29:03.020 I guess he

00:29:03.420 might have

00:29:03.620 been a beta

00:29:04.040 tester for an

00:29:06.620 AI app that

00:29:09.260 would be

00:29:09.560 associated with

00:29:10.260 this ChatGPT.

00:29:11.940 Now, you

00:29:12.400 all know

00:29:12.680 ChatGPT.

00:29:13.600 It's the huge,

00:29:15.120 big, sexy AI

00:29:16.300 that people are

00:29:16.980 playing with.

00:29:17.740 The app, if I

00:29:19.040 understand it

00:29:19.680 correctly, would

00:29:20.800 be connected to

00:29:21.640 the internet.

00:29:23.320 I don't have

00:29:23.880 all the details

00:29:24.540 because it's not

00:29:25.240 announced yet.

00:29:26.520 Yeah.

00:29:26.880 So it'd be an

00:29:27.680 AI app for

00:29:28.660 your iOS device

00:29:29.960 and presumably

00:29:31.180 your other

00:29:32.580 ones do.

00:29:33.880 And you

00:29:36.980 can just have

00:29:37.640 conversations with

00:29:38.600 it.

00:29:39.760 Could you

00:29:40.120 imagine having

00:29:40.980 an app on

00:29:41.720 your phone that

00:29:42.220 you could just

00:29:42.700 talk to and

00:29:43.900 it could go

00:29:44.300 off and do

00:29:44.680 things?

00:29:45.660 Now, I'm

00:29:46.380 going to blow

00:29:46.740 your mind.

00:29:47.380 You want your

00:29:47.940 mind blown?

00:29:51.260 What's the

00:29:51.880 worst thing about

00:29:52.620 having AI on

00:29:53.660 your current

00:29:54.160 phone?

00:29:54.440 Let me tell

00:29:58.120 you the worst

00:29:58.660 part about

00:29:59.120 having AI.

00:30:02.280 Hey, I want

00:30:02.940 to use my

00:30:03.380 phone.

00:30:03.880 Oh, that's

00:30:04.320 right.

00:30:04.600 I've got to

00:30:04.800 do the

00:30:05.000 password.

00:30:05.900 Okay, password.

00:30:08.020 Okay, I've

00:30:08.700 got to open

00:30:09.000 my app.

00:30:10.320 Open the

00:30:10.820 app.

00:30:11.020 Okay, it's

00:30:11.600 auto-filled

00:30:12.320 with that last

00:30:12.980 app I was

00:30:13.420 searching for.

00:30:14.040 Delete that

00:30:14.480 last app.

00:30:15.560 Put in

00:30:16.080 GPC.

00:30:16.920 If I open

00:30:17.480 the app.

00:30:20.240 Okay, it's

00:30:20.840 asking me now

00:30:21.460 for a password.

00:30:22.580 I'll send that

00:30:23.300 to my other

00:30:23.720 phone, send

00:30:25.540 it to my

00:30:25.840 other device,

00:30:26.700 check my

00:30:27.060 other device,

00:30:28.040 put in the

00:30:28.520 code, open

00:30:30.700 the app.

00:30:33.080 Right?

00:30:33.680 Now, that's

00:30:34.140 your experience,

00:30:34.820 right?

00:30:35.680 How much would

00:30:37.080 you use an

00:30:37.760 app if you

00:30:39.480 had to do

00:30:39.940 all that?

00:30:40.680 Now, of

00:30:41.060 course, you

00:30:41.380 could do your

00:30:41.800 voice commands,

00:30:42.540 but it still

00:30:42.900 takes like 10

00:30:43.620 seconds.

00:30:44.560 If I have to

00:30:45.220 wait 10

00:30:45.680 seconds for the

00:30:46.400 app, I'm not

00:30:46.920 using it.

00:30:48.520 Right?

00:30:48.980 But suppose,

00:30:50.840 suppose your

00:30:51.600 phone was

00:30:52.180 designed,

00:30:53.300 from the

00:30:54.100 bottom up.

00:30:55.680 And it

00:30:56.200 was only

00:30:57.080 an AI

00:30:57.860 interface.

00:30:59.120 And it

00:30:59.620 was always

00:31:00.160 on.

00:31:01.380 And you

00:31:01.820 could just

00:31:02.240 talk to

00:31:02.740 it.

00:31:03.960 If you

00:31:04.500 saw your

00:31:04.900 phone, maybe

00:31:05.540 use your

00:31:06.240 watch or

00:31:06.660 something that

00:31:07.120 talks to

00:31:07.480 your phone,

00:31:08.120 but you

00:31:08.460 just say,

00:31:09.780 can you

00:31:10.200 make me a

00:31:10.600 reservation as

00:31:12.080 close as you

00:31:12.620 can get to

00:31:13.080 7 p.m.

00:31:14.080 at whatever

00:31:14.680 is a good

00:31:15.080 restaurant in

00:31:15.840 town?

00:31:18.220 Now, I

00:31:18.920 guess Google

00:31:19.500 actually can do

00:31:20.420 that for you,

00:31:20.900 can make a

00:31:21.260 reservation.

00:31:21.620 But imagine

00:31:22.760 AI taking

00:31:24.280 on all of

00:31:24.960 that.

00:31:27.560 I would

00:31:28.240 just use it

00:31:29.240 as my

00:31:29.560 friend and

00:31:30.080 I would

00:31:30.300 talk to

00:31:30.640 it all

00:31:30.880 day long.

00:31:31.760 I can't

00:31:32.360 imagine not

00:31:33.020 talking to

00:31:33.520 it.

00:31:34.200 Because I

00:31:35.160 always have

00:31:35.660 curiosity when

00:31:36.740 I'm driving.

00:31:37.540 Do you?

00:31:39.200 Every time I

00:31:40.080 drive, I want

00:31:40.820 to be Googling

00:31:41.440 something.

00:31:42.400 I'll be driving

00:31:42.940 along.

00:31:43.720 Like today, I

00:31:45.000 had a question

00:31:45.540 about how many

00:31:47.580 casualties would

00:31:48.720 Russia have to 0.99

00:31:49.400 suffer before it

00:31:51.940 was unsustainable.

00:31:53.980 And I thought,

00:31:54.440 I wonder if

00:31:54.920 there's some

00:31:55.260 kind of rule of

00:31:56.000 thumb about

00:31:56.660 casualties.

00:31:57.460 Like if you

00:31:57.820 get to some

00:31:58.840 percentage and

00:32:00.480 you're an

00:32:00.820 attacking force,

00:32:02.220 you'll give up.

00:32:03.360 But maybe if

00:32:04.060 you're a

00:32:04.340 defending force,

00:32:05.120 you'll take

00:32:05.500 more casualties.

00:32:07.300 So I thought,

00:32:08.000 I wonder if

00:32:08.340 there's some

00:32:08.620 rule of thumb.

00:32:10.100 But I always

00:32:10.760 think of these

00:32:11.380 things when I'm

00:32:11.940 driving.

00:32:13.020 And then I can't

00:32:13.720 search them and

00:32:14.280 then I forget

00:32:14.640 them later.

00:32:14.980 So if I could

00:32:16.760 just be in my

00:32:17.360 car and go,

00:32:18.940 you know,

00:32:19.180 hey,

00:32:19.540 chat GPT,

00:32:21.080 you know,

00:32:21.820 look this up

00:32:22.620 for me.

00:32:23.220 And then it

00:32:23.660 just starts

00:32:24.020 talking to me

00:32:24.740 and asking if

00:32:25.420 that's the

00:32:25.740 right answer.

00:32:26.660 And I say,

00:32:27.180 no, I was

00:32:27.720 really looking

00:32:28.160 for this.

00:32:29.940 This is going

00:32:30.620 to change

00:32:30.940 everything.

00:32:32.420 I don't

00:32:33.040 think,

00:32:33.920 I don't,

00:32:35.680 I don't think

00:32:36.240 anybody,

00:32:37.140 including me,

00:32:38.620 has grasped

00:32:41.200 what the next

00:32:42.620 year is going

00:32:43.420 to look like.

00:32:44.980 Let me call

00:32:48.080 out these

00:32:48.480 NPCs.

00:32:49.620 For those of

00:32:50.400 you who would

00:32:50.900 like to point

00:32:51.420 out that I'm

00:32:52.000 a boomer,

00:32:53.380 may I add

00:32:54.200 this comment?

00:32:56.520 You're

00:32:57.040 worthless.

00:32:59.040 You're

00:32:59.560 freaking

00:32:59.820 worthless.

00:33:02.020 I'm pretty

00:33:02.740 sure we all

00:33:03.300 know my age.

00:33:04.660 We all know

00:33:05.220 what that

00:33:05.600 implies.

00:33:06.820 And I'm

00:33:07.280 pretty sure

00:33:07.700 that nothing

00:33:08.340 I said is

00:33:09.560 boomer

00:33:10.100 specific.

00:33:11.500 All right.

00:33:11.880 If the best

00:33:12.720 you can do

00:33:13.460 is make a

00:33:14.960 comment about

00:33:15.800 my age,

00:33:17.420 you're really

00:33:17.940 not smart

00:33:18.500 enough to be

00:33:18.980 on this

00:33:19.260 live stream.

00:33:19.960 You should

00:33:20.200 just go away. 0.98

00:33:21.480 Just go do

00:33:22.020 something easier.

00:33:23.820 Something more

00:33:24.840 to your level

00:33:25.660 of capability.

00:33:27.740 If that's all

00:33:28.260 you got,

00:33:29.080 oh,

00:33:30.020 he looks like

00:33:30.740 he's a boomer.

00:33:31.880 I think he's

00:33:32.520 talking about

00:33:33.000 smartphones and

00:33:33.860 now he's a

00:33:34.320 boomer.

00:33:35.040 Well,

00:33:35.240 he's also a

00:33:35.840 boomer.

00:33:36.760 Hey,

00:33:37.020 has anybody

00:33:37.480 noticed

00:33:37.960 cursed the

00:33:39.180 last 15?

00:33:41.220 Stop it.

00:33:43.680 Almost cursed,

00:33:44.700 but did

00:33:45.120 not.

00:33:46.200 Almost cursed,

00:33:47.220 but did

00:33:47.620 not.

00:33:48.380 Did not.

00:33:50.520 But if you

00:33:52.180 would just

00:33:52.460 take a moment

00:33:53.180 over on

00:33:53.860 YouTube,

00:33:54.380 this is more

00:33:54.880 of a YouTube

00:33:55.300 problem.

00:33:56.500 On YouTube,

00:33:57.120 could you just

00:33:57.480 take a moment

00:33:58.020 and look at

00:33:58.940 the other

00:33:59.260 comments?

00:34:00.800 Do you see

00:34:01.200 how many of

00:34:01.880 them are using

00:34:02.460 the word

00:34:02.800 boomer?

00:34:03.160 you can have

00:34:05.280 some confidence

00:34:06.000 that they've

00:34:07.400 covered it.

00:34:08.780 It's covered.

00:34:10.300 You don't need

00:34:11.100 to say boomer

00:34:11.740 again.

00:34:12.920 See if you

00:34:13.400 can hold

00:34:15.060 back.

00:34:16.200 Try it.

00:34:17.280 Use all of

00:34:17.860 your willpower

00:34:18.520 to not be

00:34:20.520 boring and

00:34:21.220 predictable.

00:34:22.380 All right,

00:34:22.700 thank you.

00:34:25.000 Speaking of

00:34:25.880 Ukraine,

00:34:28.440 how many

00:34:30.420 casualties

00:34:30.840 would it

00:34:31.300 take before

00:34:32.140 the Russian

00:34:32.600 public

00:34:32.960 gives up

00:34:33.400 on it?

00:34:34.700 So,

00:34:35.240 reportedly,

00:34:35.960 there are

00:34:36.160 close to

00:34:36.580 200,000

00:34:37.320 Russian

00:34:37.680 casualties

00:34:38.240 that would

00:34:38.720 be killed

00:34:39.140 or wounded

00:34:39.740 just in the

00:34:41.500 Ukraine

00:34:41.840 conflict.

00:34:43.440 There are

00:34:44.660 somewhere around

00:34:45.640 2 million

00:34:46.260 Russians in 0.94

00:34:47.460 the military.

00:34:50.240 200,000

00:34:51.240 casualties out

00:34:52.140 of 2 million.

00:34:52.900 Now,

00:34:53.140 remember,

00:34:53.460 that's not

00:34:53.840 2 million

00:34:54.300 fighters.

00:34:55.660 It's closer

00:34:56.160 to a million

00:34:57.540 something,

00:34:58.160 maybe a million

00:34:58.740 five fighters.

00:35:00.240 That's a pretty

00:35:01.080 big percentage,

00:35:02.040 isn't it?

00:35:02.960 pretty big

00:35:05.060 percentage.

00:35:08.940 Yeah,

00:35:09.480 it's more

00:35:09.760 than decimated.

00:35:12.300 But,

00:35:12.840 you know,

00:35:13.180 they're sending

00:35:13.640 fresh troops

00:35:14.340 in there,

00:35:14.840 and of course

00:35:15.280 it's a

00:35:15.660 dictatorship,

00:35:16.600 and probably

00:35:18.220 the Russians

00:35:18.700 themselves don't

00:35:19.460 know how many

00:35:19.900 people are

00:35:20.280 dying.

00:35:20.980 But at some

00:35:21.540 point,

00:35:21.800 you can't

00:35:22.160 miss it.

00:35:24.520 And it

00:35:25.820 looks like

00:35:26.260 maybe there

00:35:26.740 are half a

00:35:27.180 million or so

00:35:28.120 Russian fighters

00:35:30.660 in the

00:35:31.240 Ukraine

00:35:31.600 conflict.

00:35:33.100 But if

00:35:33.920 200,000 out

00:35:35.000 of half a

00:35:35.480 million were

00:35:36.960 injured or

00:35:37.620 killed,

00:35:38.820 how much

00:35:39.160 Ukraine says

00:35:43.700 more like,

00:35:44.220 no,

00:35:44.480 130,000 is

00:35:45.700 how many

00:35:45.980 they added.

00:35:47.440 So I was

00:35:48.720 fooled by that

00:35:49.360 at first.

00:35:50.160 So they

00:35:50.960 talk about

00:35:51.500 adding 130,

00:35:52.620 but that

00:35:53.660 doesn't account

00:35:54.980 for the ones

00:35:55.440 that are already

00:35:55.780 there.

00:35:55.980 So I think

00:35:57.140 it's closer

00:35:57.540 to 400,000,

00:35:58.580 something like

00:35:58.920 that.

00:36:01.520 Thanks for

00:36:02.080 taking the

00:36:02.420 high road.

00:36:07.760 Russia says

00:36:08.560 7,000,

00:36:09.460 yeah.

00:36:11.380 Well, I guess

00:36:12.180 that's my

00:36:12.560 question.

00:36:13.060 To me, it

00:36:13.480 seems like

00:36:14.100 Russia might 0.85

00:36:15.320 be pushing

00:36:15.840 up against

00:36:16.380 some kind

00:36:16.880 of rule

00:36:17.480 of thumb

00:36:17.960 that says

00:36:18.860 if you lose

00:36:19.460 this percentage

00:36:20.320 of your

00:36:20.820 army,

00:36:21.680 you better

00:36:22.200 pull back.

00:36:24.760 It sounds

00:36:25.460 like World

00:36:25.960 War II

00:36:26.400 casualty

00:36:26.940 rates so

00:36:27.680 far,

00:36:28.960 right?

00:36:29.420 But remember,

00:36:30.360 that casualty

00:36:31.040 rate is just

00:36:31.620 going to

00:36:31.860 climb,

00:36:32.840 right?

00:36:33.300 Because there

00:36:33.820 aren't that

00:36:34.320 many new

00:36:34.880 Russians.

00:36:35.820 They can't

00:36:36.440 send in as

00:36:37.240 many as

00:36:37.700 the Ukrainians

00:36:38.960 are killing.

00:36:40.140 So if

00:36:41.940 it's already

00:36:42.620 at World

00:36:43.080 War II

00:36:43.480 casualty

00:36:44.060 levels,

00:36:44.940 which is

00:36:45.300 probably

00:36:45.520 true,

00:36:46.860 we might

00:36:47.380 be zooming

00:36:48.460 past that

00:36:49.040 level,

00:36:49.800 right?

00:36:50.560 Yeah,

00:36:50.840 Vietnam was 0.69

00:36:52.260 50,000

00:36:53.260 dead.

00:36:53.740 How many

00:36:54.860 casualties,

00:36:55.580 though?

00:36:56.800 What were

00:36:57.240 the Vietnam

00:36:57.720 casualties?

00:36:58.600 50,000

00:36:59.160 dead,

00:36:59.540 right?

00:37:02.940 59,000?

00:37:04.280 I think

00:37:04.740 that's dead.

00:37:05.860 What is

00:37:06.240 the casualty

00:37:06.840 number?

00:37:09.180 Still

00:37:09.700 counting?

00:37:10.820 Oh,

00:37:11.200 that's terrible.

00:37:12.260 Yeah,

00:37:12.500 still counting.

00:37:16.280 Okay,

00:37:17.540 so I don't

00:37:17.920 have that.

00:37:18.740 But,

00:37:19.620 yeah,

00:37:19.880 I think

00:37:20.140 if you're

00:37:20.960 attacking

00:37:21.480 force,

00:37:22.360 probably

00:37:22.700 you can

00:37:23.060 take

00:37:23.320 fewer

00:37:23.880 casualties.

00:37:26.800 All right.

00:37:28.100 And that,

00:37:28.900 ladies and 0.98

00:37:29.200 gentlemen,

00:37:31.560 oh,

00:37:31.980 just one

00:37:32.360 more thing.

00:37:33.500 Jeb Bush

00:37:33.940 has an

00:37:34.620 opinion piece

00:37:37.320 in the

00:37:37.520 Wall Street

00:37:37.780 Journal where

00:37:38.720 he was

00:37:38.980 talking about

00:37:39.480 how great

00:37:40.340 the move

00:37:41.380 toward

00:37:41.860 school

00:37:43.800 choices.

00:37:44.800 I guess

00:37:45.160 Florida's

00:37:45.800 been a

00:37:46.280 leader in

00:37:46.860 school choice

00:37:47.580 for a long

00:37:48.040 time,

00:37:48.400 ever since

00:37:48.780 Jeb,

00:37:49.220 so I

00:37:50.140 give him

00:37:50.400 credit for

00:37:50.820 that.

00:37:52.040 But he

00:37:52.440 said there's

00:37:52.880 a 2022

00:37:54.000 real clear

00:37:54.860 opinion research

00:37:55.620 poll found

00:37:56.120 that more

00:37:57.060 than 72%

00:37:58.280 of parents

00:37:58.760 supported

00:37:59.180 school choice,

00:38:00.740 including

00:38:01.120 68% of

00:38:02.360 Democrats

00:38:02.880 and 82%

00:38:04.440 of Republicans

00:38:05.080 and 67%

00:38:06.440 of Independents.

00:38:09.840 That,

00:38:10.260 Jeb Bush,

00:38:11.700 that feels

00:38:12.960 like the

00:38:14.240 cleanest

00:38:14.780 political

00:38:15.320 issue you

00:38:16.120 could ever

00:38:16.440 have.

00:38:16.760 Is there

00:38:18.760 any other

00:38:19.200 political

00:38:19.540 issue where

00:38:20.140 even the

00:38:20.740 other side,

00:38:21.800 two-thirds

00:38:22.180 of them

00:38:22.480 are on

00:38:22.760 your side?

00:38:23.660 I can't

00:38:24.340 think of

00:38:24.620 one.

00:38:26.580 So if

00:38:27.220 the

00:38:27.400 Republicans

00:38:27.800 can't make

00:38:28.420 that work,

00:38:29.760 I mean,

00:38:29.960 I don't

00:38:30.160 know why

00:38:30.360 you can.

00:38:32.560 How in

00:38:33.500 the world

00:38:33.860 can a

00:38:34.200 Republican

00:38:34.580 lose a

00:38:35.900 national

00:38:36.280 election?

00:38:37.160 In this,

00:38:38.480 you'd have

00:38:39.060 to say all

00:38:39.620 the wrong

00:38:39.960 things.

00:38:40.880 The only

00:38:41.500 way you

00:38:41.840 can lose

00:38:42.300 is by

00:38:42.820 sabotaging

00:38:43.580 yourself.

00:38:44.040 150,000

00:38:46.500 casualties

00:38:47.060 in Vietnam.

00:38:51.480 That's the

00:38:52.060 number somebody

00:38:52.680 just put up

00:38:53.220 there.

00:38:54.640 150 sounds

00:38:55.580 right.

00:38:57.080 It's about

00:38:57.420 triple the

00:38:57.960 number of

00:38:58.420 killed.

00:39:00.340 So Russia 0.88

00:39:03.140 is already

00:39:03.840 beyond,

00:39:04.500 and Russia

00:39:04.780 has a

00:39:05.120 smaller

00:39:05.380 population

00:39:06.100 than the

00:39:07.080 United States.

00:39:08.260 So as a

00:39:08.820 percentage,

00:39:10.780 they've already

00:39:11.940 exceeded the

00:39:12.660 level that

00:39:13.300 made America

00:39:14.160 shut down

00:39:14.660 a war.

00:39:15.760 Is that

00:39:16.100 true?

00:39:17.360 Give me a

00:39:17.900 fact check

00:39:18.300 on that.

00:39:18.880 So here's

00:39:19.340 the statement

00:39:19.740 I want you

00:39:20.140 to fact

00:39:20.440 check.

00:39:21.720 That the

00:39:22.140 United States

00:39:22.740 shut down

00:39:23.220 the Vietnam

00:39:23.700 War at

00:39:25.160 a certain

00:39:25.780 level of

00:39:26.580 casualties,

00:39:28.200 but that's

00:39:28.940 relative to

00:39:29.600 our population.

00:39:31.400 If you

00:39:31.760 adjust for

00:39:32.200 population,

00:39:34.220 Russia has 0.96

00:39:34.660 already

00:39:35.140 passed the

00:39:35.940 point that

00:39:37.660 the American

00:39:38.220 public shut

00:39:38.880 down a war.

00:39:40.000 Is that

00:39:40.340 true?

00:39:42.660 And that

00:39:45.860 was over

00:39:46.180 10 years,

00:39:46.820 right?

00:39:47.080 Our casualties

00:39:47.960 were spread

00:39:48.500 over 10

00:39:48.940 years,

00:39:49.680 whereas

00:39:50.440 Ukraine is

00:39:52.120 pretty small.

00:39:52.880 No, that

00:39:53.300 would not be

00:39:53.740 an analogy

00:39:54.360 exactly.

00:39:55.980 I mean, I

00:39:56.480 get what

00:39:56.880 you're saying,

00:39:57.900 but it

00:39:58.200 would be

00:39:58.460 more like

00:39:59.040 looking for

00:40:01.960 a rule of

00:40:02.560 thumb,

00:40:03.200 which might

00:40:04.560 not exist.

00:40:06.060 So as an

00:40:07.720 analogy, it's

00:40:08.480 weak, but

00:40:09.620 as a point

00:40:10.760 of research,

00:40:12.460 it might be

00:40:13.020 useful to

00:40:13.560 find out if

00:40:14.060 there's any

00:40:14.380 kind of

00:40:14.980 psychological

00:40:16.100 limit that's

00:40:17.480 universal.

00:40:18.500 Because I

00:40:18.880 have a

00:40:19.120 feeling that

00:40:19.580 people have

00:40:20.080 a fairly

00:40:21.460 similar view

00:40:22.600 of how

00:40:23.680 much is

00:40:24.080 too much

00:40:24.680 in a

00:40:26.000 given

00:40:26.200 situation.

00:40:27.280 Like it

00:40:27.600 would depend

00:40:28.140 on the

00:40:28.440 situation.

00:40:30.160 But I

00:40:31.260 think we

00:40:31.600 would, here's

00:40:32.980 the proposition.

00:40:34.360 If you took

00:40:34.880 anybody from

00:40:35.520 any country

00:40:36.080 and you

00:40:37.160 simply described

00:40:38.240 a situation,

00:40:38.940 you go,

00:40:40.080 okay, there's

00:40:40.560 this war and

00:40:41.340 the people

00:40:42.520 that you

00:40:43.040 love are

00:40:43.520 dying at

00:40:44.000 this level.

00:40:45.280 And the

00:40:45.960 war is for 0.88

00:40:46.560 this reason and

00:40:47.500 who started

00:40:48.080 it and who

00:40:48.560 didn't.

00:40:49.060 If you

00:40:49.380 explain that

00:40:50.020 to any

00:40:51.080 human beings,

00:40:53.400 my hypothesis

00:40:54.520 is they

00:40:55.700 would have a

00:40:56.340 weirdly similar

00:40:58.080 view of

00:40:59.600 what was too

00:41:00.200 much.

00:41:02.600 What do you

00:41:03.280 think?

00:41:04.540 I don't think

00:41:05.900 some people

00:41:06.340 would say we

00:41:07.400 will fight

00:41:08.020 till every

00:41:09.160 person is

00:41:09.660 dead.

00:41:10.740 And I

00:41:11.080 don't think

00:41:11.440 anybody would

00:41:11.940 say, you

00:41:12.640 know, it's

00:41:13.380 already too

00:41:13.840 much.

00:41:14.480 I think

00:41:15.000 people would

00:41:15.600 end up in

00:41:17.300 the same

00:41:17.680 general zone

00:41:18.560 of what is

00:41:19.160 too much.

00:41:22.540 Just a

00:41:23.240 speculation.

00:41:24.140 You know,

00:41:24.560 there's no

00:41:24.920 science to

00:41:25.420 that.

00:41:31.960 Yes, and

00:41:32.740 as somebody

00:41:33.460 said about

00:41:33.920 the Vietnam

00:41:34.380 vets, their

00:41:35.500 casualties are

00:41:36.440 still happening

00:41:37.200 based on

00:41:38.160 lagging health

00:41:39.760 issues.

00:41:47.400 Okay, there's

00:41:48.360 a long

00:41:48.720 comment there.

00:41:54.520 All right,

00:41:55.300 that's all I

00:41:55.680 got now.

00:41:57.340 You can't

00:41:58.140 compare one

00:41:58.700 country to

00:41:59.320 any other

00:41:59.780 country.

00:42:00.840 Well, that's

00:42:01.760 the speculation.

00:42:02.320 speculation.

00:42:04.180 The speculation

00:42:05.060 or the

00:42:05.620 hypothesis is

00:42:06.620 that if

00:42:08.660 you break

00:42:09.960 down the

00:42:10.460 question into

00:42:11.080 just a clean

00:42:11.980 question, this

00:42:13.400 many people of

00:42:14.220 your side is

00:42:14.820 being killed

00:42:15.340 for this

00:42:16.680 purpose.

00:42:18.000 I think that

00:42:18.640 the cultural

00:42:19.180 part would be

00:42:20.000 less important

00:42:21.540 than you

00:42:22.300 think.

00:42:23.060 I think you

00:42:23.520 would find that

00:42:24.000 people are

00:42:25.200 kind of similar.

00:42:27.140 That's just

00:42:27.700 a hypothesis.

00:42:29.240 Might be

00:42:29.680 wrong.

00:42:30.460 That's why you

00:42:31.000 test it.

00:42:34.540 Other cultures

00:42:35.480 aren't so

00:42:35.980 weak.

00:42:37.100 Now, see,

00:42:38.160 that's where we

00:42:38.900 differ on our

00:42:40.080 speculation.

00:42:41.580 You might be

00:42:42.220 right, but I

00:42:45.500 think, well,

00:42:46.580 let me say

00:42:47.280 this.

00:42:47.840 If you were

00:42:48.380 comparing two

00:42:49.040 modern economies,

00:42:51.100 I'll bet they

00:42:51.660 would be closer

00:42:52.380 to each other

00:42:53.120 than, say, a

00:42:54.220 modern economy

00:42:55.040 and, you know,

00:42:55.780 something not.

00:42:57.020 There might be

00:42:57.600 a difference

00:42:57.940 there.

00:43:01.820 All right.

00:43:02.600 Do you

00:43:02.960 believe that

00:43:03.540 America is

00:43:04.600 weaker, like

00:43:07.140 psychologically?

00:43:09.020 How many of

00:43:09.660 you believe

00:43:09.960 America is

00:43:10.680 weak?

00:43:11.140 here's what I

00:43:17.760 think.

00:43:22.180 We might be

00:43:23.160 weak in some

00:43:24.100 specific ways

00:43:25.020 compared to

00:43:25.560 how we were,

00:43:26.880 but we

00:43:27.940 certainly have

00:43:28.460 a lot more

00:43:28.940 toys.

00:43:30.560 We have more

00:43:31.340 weapons.

00:43:32.460 We're certainly

00:43:32.940 better at it,

00:43:34.080 killing people, 0.96

00:43:34.880 I would think.

00:43:36.440 So my guess

00:43:37.640 is that we're

00:43:38.400 more badass

00:43:39.200 than we've

00:43:39.720 ever been.

00:43:40.260 But the

00:43:42.340 most, I

00:43:45.360 think I

00:43:45.740 love it, about

00:43:47.280 American culture

00:43:48.500 and character.

00:43:49.940 The one thing

00:43:50.680 America does

00:43:51.560 better than

00:43:52.180 anybody, and

00:43:53.700 I won't take an

00:43:54.760 argument on

00:43:55.280 this, I will

00:43:56.020 accept no

00:43:56.780 pushback of

00:43:58.300 this, the one

00:43:58.760 thing Americans 0.99

00:43:59.520 do better than

00:44:00.320 everybody else

00:44:01.120 is criticize

00:44:02.680 ourselves

00:44:03.460 productively.

00:44:06.940 Productively.

00:44:08.200 You can't

00:44:09.020 even do that

00:44:09.540 in Canada.

00:44:10.260 America, right?

00:44:12.480 If you go to

00:44:13.260 Canada or

00:44:13.820 Great Britain,

00:44:15.040 you can't even

00:44:15.740 say the same

00:44:17.040 things you can

00:44:17.600 say in America.

00:44:18.760 And, you know,

00:44:19.380 it got pretty

00:44:20.360 dicey over here.

00:44:21.680 But America,

00:44:22.800 we will beat

00:44:23.980 ourselves up so

00:44:25.600 much better than

00:44:26.240 you'll beat us

00:44:26.820 up.

00:44:27.840 Right?

00:44:28.060 Good luck

00:44:28.480 beating us up

00:44:29.280 more than we

00:44:29.760 beat ourselves

00:44:30.260 up.

00:44:30.740 Like, we beat

00:44:31.240 ourselves up for

00:44:31.860 practice.

00:44:33.040 Right?

00:44:33.480 So that's also

00:44:34.680 why we can tear 0.90

00:44:35.580 down our

00:44:36.080 institutions and

00:44:37.060 rebuild them

00:44:37.580 faster.

00:44:38.360 Because we

00:44:39.140 love saying

00:44:39.700 stuff sucks.

00:44:41.160 Oh, that

00:44:41.580 sucks.

00:44:42.040 Let's get rid of

00:44:42.480 it.

00:44:42.600 We're actually

00:44:43.140 talking about

00:44:43.720 dismantling.

00:44:45.200 Just hold this

00:44:45.940 in your head.

00:44:47.400 Imagine any

00:44:48.300 other country on

00:44:49.080 Earth.

00:44:50.340 It doesn't matter

00:44:51.200 if they're a

00:44:51.600 dictatorship or

00:44:52.400 democracy.

00:44:53.440 Imagine any

00:44:54.200 other country on

00:44:54.920 Earth and just

00:44:55.620 hold this thought

00:44:56.220 in your head.

00:44:56.640 we're having a

00:44:58.760 serious conversation

00:44:59.720 in America about

00:45:01.400 disbanding the

00:45:02.380 FBI.

00:45:05.080 Just hold that

00:45:05.940 in your head.

00:45:07.020 Where else?

00:45:08.460 Where else do

00:45:09.440 you have a

00:45:09.820 serious conversation

00:45:10.800 about that?

00:45:11.680 Now, I don't

00:45:12.060 think it's going

00:45:12.440 to happen.

00:45:13.460 Right?

00:45:13.700 That's a

00:45:14.140 different question.

00:45:14.900 But that's a

00:45:15.560 serious conversation.

00:45:17.360 Right?

00:45:17.680 And the ATF,

00:45:18.860 that conversation.

00:45:19.860 Right?

00:45:20.860 Tell me any

00:45:21.820 other country where

00:45:22.680 that's a serious

00:45:23.440 conversation.

00:45:24.980 Only here.

00:45:25.480 we will take

00:45:27.200 on anything.

00:45:29.280 We are

00:45:30.180 completely

00:45:30.760 unafraid

00:45:31.580 about criticizing

00:45:33.520 ourselves.

00:45:35.360 And that,

00:45:36.940 ladies and 0.98

00:45:37.560 gentlemen,

00:45:38.980 is why the

00:45:39.560 United States

00:45:40.580 will rule

00:45:41.280 as long as

00:45:44.120 that's true.

00:45:45.040 As long as

00:45:45.820 we're tougher

00:45:46.220 on ourselves

00:45:46.840 than other

00:45:47.240 people are on

00:45:47.920 us.

00:45:48.560 And that's

00:45:48.960 definitely the

00:45:49.500 case.

00:45:51.200 We're pretty

00:45:52.240 much unstoppable.

00:45:54.260 Now,

00:45:54.480 there's

00:45:56.020 definitely

00:45:56.340 some kind

00:45:56.840 of a

00:45:57.060 testosterone

00:45:57.580 change

00:45:58.400 that's

00:45:59.320 happened.

00:46:00.080 We all

00:46:00.520 agree on

00:46:00.980 that,

00:46:01.280 right?

00:46:02.120 I mean,

00:46:02.660 science has

00:46:04.100 proven there's

00:46:04.700 lower testosterone

00:46:05.500 in men.

00:46:06.740 Much lower.

00:46:08.880 Agree?

00:46:10.140 Yeah.

00:46:11.200 So,

00:46:11.820 that's definitely

00:46:12.540 something to be

00:46:13.240 worried about.

00:46:14.080 But I don't

00:46:14.660 think it's

00:46:15.100 translated yet

00:46:15.960 into our

00:46:16.700 national

00:46:17.180 effectiveness.

00:46:17.740 because the

00:46:20.180 people who

00:46:20.600 joined the

00:46:21.000 military,

00:46:23.440 well,

00:46:23.740 let me ask

00:46:24.140 you,

00:46:25.340 do you

00:46:25.640 think our

00:46:25.940 military is a 0.82

00:46:26.620 bunch of

00:46:26.880 pussies? 0.78

00:46:28.740 I kind of

00:46:29.440 doubt it.

00:46:30.380 Oh,

00:46:30.580 you think so?

00:46:31.180 Really?

00:46:32.160 No,

00:46:32.560 I don't think

00:46:33.000 so.

00:46:34.300 I think that

00:46:35.380 our training

00:46:36.040 process gets

00:46:38.180 rid of anybody

00:46:38.740 who can't

00:46:39.240 kill.

00:46:41.020 That's too

00:46:41.620 much of an

00:46:41.980 absolute.

00:46:42.360 But I think

00:46:43.540 that the

00:46:43.960 process itself

00:46:45.000 guarantees you

00:46:46.220 end up with

00:46:46.760 killers.

00:46:49.720 Maybe I

00:46:50.600 have too

00:46:51.120 much confidence

00:46:52.420 in brainwashing,

00:46:54.060 but I think

00:46:54.960 you can

00:46:55.240 brainwash

00:46:55.840 almost all

00:46:57.240 of them

00:46:57.540 to turn

00:46:58.300 them into

00:46:58.640 killers of

00:46:59.980 some type.

00:47:00.740 You know,

00:47:00.880 they might be

00:47:01.300 killing with

00:47:01.740 a drone

00:47:02.120 instead of

00:47:02.640 a bayonet,

00:47:03.940 but you

00:47:04.620 can make

00:47:04.940 them all

00:47:05.180 into killers.

00:47:06.660 And the

00:47:07.180 ones that

00:47:07.460 you can't,

00:47:08.080 you would

00:47:08.480 know fairly

00:47:09.060 soon,

00:47:09.980 and you

00:47:10.560 would wash

00:47:10.940 them out.

00:47:11.900 So I'm

00:47:12.420 not really

00:47:12.740 worried about

00:47:13.140 that.

00:47:14.400 I'm not

00:47:14.720 really worried.

00:47:16.760 Yeah,

00:47:19.240 and they

00:47:19.540 might be

00:47:19.820 support forces

00:47:20.600 and everything

00:47:20.980 else.

00:47:22.620 You know,

00:47:22.880 I would

00:47:23.140 be,

00:47:24.640 the one

00:47:25.700 thing we

00:47:26.080 never run

00:47:26.620 out of

00:47:27.200 in America

00:47:27.820 is people

00:47:29.200 willing to

00:47:29.760 kill our

00:47:30.120 enemies.

00:47:32.220 We always

00:47:32.880 have plenty

00:47:33.360 of them.

00:47:35.860 I don't

00:47:36.420 think we're

00:47:36.760 going to

00:47:36.920 run out.

00:47:37.280 you can

00:47:43.240 sit me

00:47:43.620 down and

00:47:44.000 show me.

00:47:44.880 I don't

00:47:45.340 know what

00:47:45.560 you would

00:47:45.780 show me.

00:47:46.880 Yeah,

00:47:47.260 and we

00:47:47.540 might be

00:47:47.900 fighting

00:47:48.160 entirely

00:47:48.600 with robots

00:47:49.280 pretty soon

00:47:49.800 anyway.

00:47:51.340 I mean,

00:47:51.720 that makes

00:47:52.100 sense,

00:47:52.440 doesn't it?

00:47:53.800 Why would

00:47:54.480 we fight

00:47:54.900 with humans

00:47:55.600 if we

00:47:56.080 can fight

00:47:56.420 with robots

00:47:57.000 and drones? 0.52

00:47:57.940 We

00:47:58.060 wouldn't.

00:47:59.820 Killing an

00:48:00.480 attacker is

00:48:01.220 a different

00:48:01.540 mindset.

00:48:02.700 Yeah,

00:48:02.920 anybody

00:48:03.160 could do

00:48:03.480 that.

00:48:05.600 Well,

00:48:06.120 any man

00:48:06.580 could.

00:48:07.540 Most

00:48:08.020 women 1.00

00:48:08.320 could too

00:48:08.920 as well.

00:48:10.880 If

00:48:11.260 somebody's

00:48:11.580 attacking

00:48:11.960 you,

00:48:12.220 sure.

00:48:14.620 When

00:48:15.100 will the

00:48:15.520 coffee

00:48:15.800 mugs

00:48:16.060 be

00:48:16.260 available

00:48:16.620 again?

00:48:17.820 We

00:48:18.300 don't

00:48:18.420 have a

00:48:18.720 plan

00:48:18.980 for

00:48:19.160 that,

00:48:19.520 but

00:48:19.840 if

00:48:20.680 demand

00:48:21.260 is sky

00:48:23.220 high,

00:48:23.520 I'm

00:48:23.640 sure we

00:48:23.880 can

00:48:24.000 make

00:48:24.160 it

00:48:24.220 happen.

00:48:26.820 Scott's

00:48:27.300 imaginary

00:48:27.860 fentanyl

00:48:28.440 dealers in

00:48:29.040 China? 0.73

00:48:31.040 Well,

00:48:31.620 here's my

00:48:32.080 thing on

00:48:32.820 China's 0.76

00:48:33.320 fentanyl

00:48:33.760 dealers.

00:48:35.300 We

00:48:35.780 know they're

00:48:36.260 not trying

00:48:36.760 to stop

00:48:37.240 them.

00:48:38.220 It is

00:48:38.900 not my

00:48:39.420 belief that

00:48:40.600 fentanyl

00:48:41.100 can be

00:48:41.480 stopped.

00:48:43.020 So that's

00:48:43.780 not why I

00:48:44.440 would be

00:48:44.880 hard on

00:48:45.400 China.

00:48:47.020 I would

00:48:47.580 be hard

00:48:47.900 on them

00:48:48.240 because they're

00:48:48.740 killing us.

00:48:50.420 I don't

00:48:50.880 need a better

00:48:51.300 reason.

00:48:52.400 They're

00:48:52.700 intentionally

00:48:53.240 killing us.

00:48:54.360 So we

00:48:54.940 should go

00:48:55.320 kill all

00:48:55.840 of their

00:48:56.220 dealers.

00:48:59.460 If they're

00:48:59.940 not going to

00:49:00.320 shut them

00:49:00.680 down.

00:49:01.020 So what the

00:49:01.340 dealers do

00:49:01.960 is China

00:49:03.580 does change

00:49:04.500 the laws

00:49:04.980 to make

00:49:05.340 it illegal.

00:49:06.560 But then

00:49:06.820 the dealers

00:49:07.320 will modify

00:49:08.160 the fentanyl

00:49:08.880 a little bit,

00:49:09.480 the precursors.

00:49:10.780 They'll

00:49:11.140 modify the

00:49:11.740 precursors so

00:49:12.860 that they're

00:49:13.260 just slightly

00:49:14.280 technically

00:49:14.840 outside of

00:49:15.460 the control

00:49:15.980 of the

00:49:16.240 government.

00:49:17.240 But the

00:49:17.780 government

00:49:18.060 knows that.

00:49:19.600 The Chinese 0.89

00:49:20.120 government

00:49:20.520 knows that

00:49:22.080 they'll just

00:49:22.540 tweak it and

00:49:23.240 keep going.

00:49:24.120 So it's not

00:49:24.560 like they're

00:49:24.920 really trying

00:49:25.460 to stop

00:49:25.920 them.

00:49:28.100 Right?

00:49:29.480 If they're

00:49:29.980 really trying to

00:49:30.620 stop them

00:49:30.960 with different.

00:49:31.640 So if

00:49:31.920 China is 0.85

00:49:32.460 killing us,

00:49:34.420 you kill

00:49:35.180 them back

00:49:35.880 every time.

00:49:38.280 You don't

00:49:38.900 say,

00:49:39.320 well,

00:49:40.220 I've got

00:49:40.880 an argument,

00:49:41.780 I don't

00:49:42.240 think it'll

00:49:42.580 stop the

00:49:43.020 fentanyl.

00:49:43.640 No.

00:49:44.280 I'm not

00:49:44.780 saying you

00:49:45.180 should kill

00:49:46.500 their dealers

00:49:47.040 to stop

00:49:47.560 fentanyl

00:49:48.040 because it

00:49:48.380 really wouldn't

00:49:48.980 make that

00:49:49.800 much difference.

00:49:50.680 You should

00:49:51.060 kill them

00:49:51.480 because they're

00:49:51.960 killing us.

00:49:53.340 You kill

00:49:53.820 everybody who

00:49:54.440 kills you. 0.95

00:49:55.360 No exception.

00:49:57.220 As soon as

00:49:57.960 you say,

00:49:58.420 oh, well,

00:49:58.800 there's an

00:49:59.080 exception,

00:49:59.800 you can

00:50:00.220 kill us

00:50:00.640 under

00:50:00.820 these

00:50:01.080 circumstances.

00:50:02.080 No.

00:50:03.300 No.

00:50:04.100 You can't

00:50:04.940 kill us

00:50:05.340 under any

00:50:05.960 circumstances.

00:50:07.040 There's no

00:50:07.600 right time

00:50:08.180 you can

00:50:08.500 kill us.

00:50:09.560 You will

00:50:10.200 be killed

00:50:10.720 if you

00:50:11.600 do that.

00:50:12.720 And we

00:50:13.120 should be

00:50:13.440 putting

00:50:13.660 assets into

00:50:14.380 China to

00:50:15.100 directly take

00:50:15.980 out their

00:50:16.300 dealers.

00:50:16.880 And we

00:50:17.300 should not

00:50:17.960 even apologize

00:50:18.540 for it.

00:50:19.880 We should

00:50:20.460 actually say,

00:50:21.060 yeah, we

00:50:21.280 did that.

00:50:22.360 That was

00:50:22.700 us.

00:50:23.520 Thank you

00:50:24.040 very much.

00:50:24.460 That was

00:50:24.700 us.

00:50:25.200 We took

00:50:25.760 care of

00:50:26.040 that for

00:50:26.320 you.

00:50:27.320 It's too

00:50:27.700 bad China 0.99

00:50:28.160 couldn't do

00:50:28.580 it themselves.

00:50:29.060 It's

00:50:29.360 embarrassing,

00:50:30.000 isn't it?

00:50:30.700 It's kind

00:50:31.120 of embarrassing

00:50:31.640 to be

00:50:31.980 China,

00:50:32.360 isn't it?

00:50:33.200 If we

00:50:33.720 take out

00:50:34.160 their dealers,

00:50:36.140 and maybe we

00:50:36.700 have, we

00:50:37.420 wouldn't now.

00:50:38.560 It's possible

00:50:39.100 we actually

00:50:39.560 have.

00:50:40.300 But if we

00:50:40.720 take out

00:50:41.100 their dealers

00:50:41.540 because they

00:50:42.300 couldn't,

00:50:43.320 I would

00:50:43.760 publicize that.

00:50:45.420 I would not

00:50:46.220 hide from

00:50:46.660 that.

00:50:47.040 I would not

00:50:47.420 make that a

00:50:47.960 clandestine

00:50:48.640 operation.

00:50:49.580 I would put

00:50:50.060 that on the

00:50:50.460 front page of

00:50:51.120 the newspaper.

00:50:51.960 Yep, we

00:50:52.820 took out your

00:50:53.420 precursor dealers.

00:50:55.100 It's too bad

00:50:55.660 you couldn't

00:50:56.060 do it.

00:50:57.820 Yeah, I

00:50:58.180 would push

00:50:58.540 that right

00:50:58.940 in their

00:50:59.160 face.

00:51:00.220 I wouldn't

00:51:00.780 hide that

00:51:01.300 for one

00:51:02.020 second.

00:51:02.760 Because they're

00:51:03.180 not going to

00:51:04.200 trigger a war

00:51:05.000 over that.

00:51:06.320 They're just

00:51:06.740 not.

00:51:07.640 That's a

00:51:08.160 free punch.

00:51:09.460 We could

00:51:09.880 send American 0.59

00:51:10.780 assets into

00:51:11.660 Chinese soil,

00:51:13.620 kill their

00:51:14.220 precursor

00:51:15.100 manufacturers,

00:51:17.280 tell them we

00:51:17.860 did it,

00:51:18.580 show them the

00:51:19.180 pictures,

00:51:19.980 tell them how

00:51:20.480 we did it,

00:51:21.060 when we did

00:51:21.640 it, and tell

00:51:22.100 them we're

00:51:22.340 going to do

00:51:22.660 it again.

00:51:23.840 We could

00:51:24.220 do that.

00:51:25.340 And there

00:51:25.660 would be no

00:51:26.080 military risk

00:51:26.760 to that.

00:51:27.980 I mean,

00:51:28.280 they'd try to

00:51:29.220 retaliate in

00:51:30.320 their smaller

00:51:30.860 ways, but it

00:51:31.500 wouldn't be a

00:51:31.940 full war.

00:51:35.840 And I would

00:51:36.580 also make sure

00:51:37.340 that we told

00:51:38.360 the world,

00:51:39.360 we don't think

00:51:40.300 that stops

00:51:40.860 fentanyl.

00:51:42.500 That's not

00:51:43.080 why you do

00:51:43.540 it.

00:51:45.040 That's not the

00:51:45.700 only reason you

00:51:46.260 do it.

00:51:46.800 We did it

00:51:47.480 because you're

00:51:48.040 doing this to

00:51:48.620 us.

00:51:48.900 That's it.

00:51:52.980 Trump could

00:51:58.060 do that.

00:52:02.800 The raw

00:52:03.480 materials,

00:52:04.140 other produced

00:52:04.680 things that

00:52:05.240 Scots likes.

00:52:06.360 Yeah, and

00:52:07.900 I don't have

00:52:09.420 any problem

00:52:09.860 with legal

00:52:10.980 precursors sold

00:52:12.660 to legal

00:52:13.140 people.

00:52:13.540 only 15%

00:52:21.320 of the

00:52:21.660 modern

00:52:21.960 infantry

00:52:22.580 has fired

00:52:23.600 their weapons,

00:52:24.280 somebody said.

00:52:26.240 That sounds

00:52:27.000 right.

00:52:32.400 You know,

00:52:34.420 there are

00:52:35.640 some situations

00:52:36.460 where killing

00:52:37.180 is exactly

00:52:38.100 the right

00:52:38.720 answer.

00:52:40.860 Does anybody

00:52:41.920 disagree with

00:52:42.600 that?

00:52:44.280 You don't

00:52:44.880 want to do

00:52:45.340 it, you

00:52:46.140 know, too

00:52:46.720 willy-nilly,

00:52:47.580 but there are

00:52:48.360 some situations

00:52:49.180 where murder

00:52:50.840 is exactly

00:52:52.480 the right

00:52:52.920 answer.

00:52:55.840 Unfortunately,

00:52:56.840 I mean,

00:52:57.640 we don't like

00:52:58.780 it, but that's

00:52:59.260 just the

00:52:59.780 fact.

00:53:03.940 All right.

00:53:05.140 Yeah,

00:53:05.700 technically it

00:53:06.320 wouldn't be

00:53:06.780 murder.

00:53:07.660 It would be

00:53:08.220 murder in

00:53:08.880 China, but it 0.99

00:53:09.820 wouldn't be

00:53:10.140 murder to us.

00:53:10.900 It would be

00:53:11.160 killing.

00:53:12.600 Why do

00:53:14.400 we kill

00:53:14.680 those who

00:53:15.120 cannot control

00:53:15.760 the thing

00:53:16.200 for which

00:53:16.680 we kill

00:53:17.060 them?

00:53:17.320 You need

00:53:17.620 a better

00:53:18.020 example.

00:53:26.020 Yeah,

00:53:26.620 innocents get 1.00

00:53:27.280 killed,

00:53:27.640 that's true.

00:53:29.900 So it was

00:53:30.400 negative 106

00:53:31.660 degrees in

00:53:32.540 Mount Washington

00:53:33.300 in New

00:53:34.020 Hampshire.

00:53:36.080 Negative

00:53:36.560 106.

00:53:37.880 How long

00:53:38.660 can you stay

00:53:39.200 alive in

00:53:40.080 negative 106?

00:53:41.200 like a

00:53:43.280 minute?

00:53:44.380 That's like

00:53:44.820 walking outside

00:53:45.640 the space

00:53:46.360 capsule.

00:53:52.100 Scott doesn't

00:53:53.140 criticize Biden

00:53:54.080 for fentanyl.

00:53:55.060 Why not?

00:53:56.400 Frank?

00:53:58.620 Frank?

00:54:00.740 Are you

00:54:01.520 serious?

00:54:03.220 There's

00:54:03.820 somebody who's

00:54:05.080 watching me

00:54:06.000 who's concerned

00:54:07.620 that I haven't

00:54:08.200 bitched enough 0.87

00:54:08.780 about fentanyl

00:54:09.580 and the

00:54:10.000 government not

00:54:10.600 doing enough?

00:54:12.000 Seriously?

00:54:13.720 Seriously?

00:54:15.540 You know

00:54:16.240 that's

00:54:16.500 practically my

00:54:17.480 middle name.

00:54:21.120 All right.

00:54:21.800 you're really

00:54:30.240 running out of

00:54:30.840 insults.

00:54:31.980 Here's the

00:54:32.320 best insult

00:54:32.940 that Raymond

00:54:33.440 could come

00:54:33.920 up with for

00:54:34.460 me.

00:54:35.300 They took

00:54:35.640 an intellectual

00:54:36.240 heavyweight,

00:54:37.060 Stephen Molyneux,

00:54:38.100 off YouTube

00:54:38.600 and offered

00:54:39.500 Scott Adams

00:54:40.220 an intellectual

00:54:41.080 bantamweight

00:54:41.760 from California.

00:54:45.580 Have any

00:54:46.740 of your

00:54:47.020 friends or

00:54:47.500 family ever

00:54:48.040 told you

00:54:48.380 how much

00:54:48.680 you suck? 1.00

00:54:49.160 like you're

00:54:50.780 really a

00:54:51.220 garbage human

00:54:51.920 being.

00:54:53.480 Imagine coming

00:54:54.420 onto a

00:54:55.900 live stream

00:54:56.460 and what you

00:54:57.640 wanted to

00:54:58.080 add was

00:54:59.580 just a

00:55:00.240 personal insult

00:55:01.160 that wasn't

00:55:02.240 even related

00:55:03.020 to a topic.

00:55:04.840 Not even

00:55:05.360 related to the

00:55:06.100 point.

00:55:07.180 It's just

00:55:07.600 I'd like to

00:55:08.680 go make a

00:55:09.320 personal insult

00:55:10.360 to somebody

00:55:11.300 I don't know

00:55:12.060 by comparing

00:55:13.320 him to

00:55:13.860 some other

00:55:14.780 person.

00:55:15.140 Now

00:55:17.160 honestly

00:55:18.160 you should

00:55:19.820 analyze your

00:55:21.040 life.

00:55:22.340 Why was

00:55:23.000 that the

00:55:23.360 best thing

00:55:23.840 you had to

00:55:24.280 do at

00:55:24.560 this moment?

00:55:26.500 There was

00:55:26.980 nothing else

00:55:27.660 that was

00:55:27.880 better to

00:55:28.500 do?

00:55:28.880 More

00:55:29.120 useful

00:55:29.620 productive

00:55:30.660 learning

00:55:31.580 something for

00:55:32.180 example.

00:55:33.300 Helping

00:55:33.640 somebody.

00:55:35.160 Was that

00:55:35.540 the best

00:55:36.020 you could

00:55:36.380 do today?

00:55:37.240 That was

00:55:38.060 all you

00:55:38.440 had.

00:55:40.280 And do

00:55:40.860 you do

00:55:41.080 this the

00:55:41.440 rest of

00:55:41.740 the day?

00:55:42.800 Do you

00:55:43.120 leave here

00:55:43.600 and then

00:55:43.940 say I

00:55:44.880 I think

00:55:45.300 I'll

00:55:45.480 target

00:55:45.800 some

00:55:46.080 other

00:55:46.300 people

00:55:46.600 for

00:55:47.500 generic

00:55:48.300 insults?

00:55:50.000 I can't

00:55:50.460 think of

00:55:50.760 anything

00:55:51.160 that would

00:55:51.680 make you

00:55:52.060 less useful

00:55:53.060 as a

00:55:53.480 human being.

00:55:54.980 I have

00:55:55.740 a feeling

00:55:56.100 that your

00:55:56.500 entire

00:55:56.880 life is

00:55:58.100 just one

00:55:58.580 worthless

00:55:59.140 encounter

00:56:00.240 after another.

00:56:01.600 Like about

00:56:02.040 with your

00:56:02.360 family,

00:56:03.360 they all

00:56:03.820 think you're

00:56:04.260 worthless.

00:56:05.720 Just a

00:56:06.120 guess.

00:56:07.260 But based

00:56:08.000 on that

00:56:08.280 small

00:56:08.720 encounter,

00:56:09.680 probably

00:56:10.140 nobody

00:56:10.640 likes you.

00:56:11.960 That's my

00:56:12.400 guess.

00:56:13.240 And if

00:56:13.580 somebody's

00:56:13.980 acting like

00:56:14.600 they do,

00:56:14.900 they're

00:56:15.020 probably

00:56:15.220 just

00:56:15.420 lying.

00:56:16.220 They

00:56:16.400 probably

00:56:16.640 hate you

00:56:17.020 behind your

00:56:17.420 back.

00:56:18.140 Because I

00:56:18.480 can tell

00:56:18.760 just from

00:56:19.100 that one

00:56:19.420 comment,

00:56:19.860 you're a

00:56:20.300 piece of

00:56:20.940 crap.

00:56:22.480 A really

00:56:23.000 bad human

00:56:23.720 being.

00:56:24.700 And you

00:56:25.220 shouldn't be

00:56:25.600 here.

00:56:26.560 You should

00:56:26.920 go somewhere

00:56:27.480 where bad

00:56:28.620 people hang

00:56:29.120 out.

00:56:30.620 I don't

00:56:31.140 know where

00:56:31.340 that is.

00:56:36.520 Somebody

00:56:36.960 says,

00:56:37.360 I get why

00:56:38.300 your ex

00:56:39.400 left you.

00:56:40.780 Do you

00:56:41.020 think my

00:56:41.400 ex would

00:56:41.840 have disliked

00:56:42.420 what I

00:56:42.680 just did?

00:56:45.460 You

00:56:45.900 have never

00:56:46.200 met my

00:56:46.640 ex.

00:56:48.180 No.

00:56:48.840 I think

00:56:49.380 my ex

00:56:49.740 would have

00:56:50.120 enjoyed

00:56:50.840 this.

00:56:52.480 And of

00:56:52.840 course,

00:56:53.140 I don't

00:56:53.480 talk like

00:56:54.680 this to

00:56:55.060 people who

00:56:55.520 are not

00:56:55.940 ridiculously

00:56:57.380 worthless

00:56:57.960 pieces of

00:56:58.600 crap.

00:57:00.300 So I only

00:57:01.020 talk like

00:57:01.400 that to

00:57:01.700 people who

00:57:02.080 have earned

00:57:02.700 it.

00:57:03.300 They've

00:57:03.580 earned it.

00:57:04.520 But you've

00:57:04.960 earned it.

00:57:05.260 your

00:57:13.420 daughter-in-law

00:57:14.020 passed her

00:57:14.520 citizenship

00:57:15.020 test yesterday.

00:57:16.920 What's her

00:57:17.260 name,

00:57:17.580 James?

00:57:18.040 We'll give

00:57:18.520 her a little

00:57:19.000 hand.

00:57:19.660 I love

00:57:20.100 it when

00:57:20.360 people pass

00:57:20.980 their

00:57:21.160 citizenship

00:57:21.720 test.

00:57:23.060 You know,

00:57:23.300 there's

00:57:23.640 almost,

00:57:24.660 there are

00:57:24.980 very few

00:57:25.520 things that

00:57:26.140 make me

00:57:26.500 feel more

00:57:27.840 patriotic.

00:57:29.900 Do you

00:57:30.440 get the

00:57:30.700 same feeling?

00:57:31.680 So

00:57:31.900 congratulations

00:57:32.620 to your

00:57:35.200 daughter-in-law.

00:57:35.800 Was it

00:57:36.420 daughter-in-law

00:57:37.060 you said?

00:57:38.020 Congratulations.

00:57:38.860 I just love

00:57:39.520 it when

00:57:39.920 somebody passes

00:57:40.640 their

00:57:40.880 citizenship

00:57:41.320 test.

00:57:42.420 Because the

00:57:43.060 first thing

00:57:43.460 is you

00:57:44.000 have to

00:57:44.300 recognize

00:57:44.660 they know

00:57:45.040 more about

00:57:45.520 this country

00:57:46.160 than the

00:57:46.760 citizens.

00:57:48.100 Have you

00:57:48.380 ever tried

00:57:50.120 the

00:57:50.340 citizenship

00:57:50.800 test?

00:57:52.500 I have.

00:57:54.180 It's not

00:57:54.820 so easy.

00:57:55.760 It's not as

00:57:56.360 easy as you

00:57:56.860 think it

00:57:57.140 would be.

00:57:58.240 You know,

00:57:58.460 I have a

00:57:59.000 pretty good

00:57:59.700 general

00:58:00.460 government

00:58:01.180 knowledge.

00:58:02.620 But I

00:58:03.080 wouldn't

00:58:03.300 get them

00:58:03.620 all.

00:58:04.580 I would

00:58:04.920 not get

00:58:05.280 them

00:58:05.440 all.

00:58:06.280 Now I

00:58:06.580 do think

00:58:06.920 some of

00:58:07.180 the

00:58:07.260 questions

00:58:07.560 are a

00:58:07.840 little

00:58:08.000 unnecessary.

00:58:09.420 But they

00:58:09.800 do cause

00:58:10.740 you to

00:58:11.000 study all

00:58:11.440 the other

00:58:11.780 stuff.

00:58:13.100 I just

00:58:14.000 love it

00:58:14.420 when people

00:58:14.860 want to

00:58:16.940 be an

00:58:17.240 American

00:58:17.580 enough that

00:58:18.760 they'll go

00:58:19.120 through that

00:58:19.460 process and

00:58:20.200 then they

00:58:20.520 pass it.

00:58:21.740 And then I

00:58:22.180 say,

00:58:23.240 welcome

00:58:23.440 aboard.

00:58:26.540 The legal

00:58:27.700 immigrants were

00:58:29.700 100% on

00:58:30.520 board.

00:58:31.260 The illegal

00:58:31.800 ones we

00:58:33.260 have some

00:58:33.600 conversations

00:58:34.120 about.

00:58:34.820 Some

00:58:35.040 different

00:58:35.320 opinions

00:58:35.700 there.

00:58:39.520 All right.

00:58:41.000 Marianne is

00:58:41.760 your name?

00:58:45.620 What's that?

00:58:46.780 Scott, are you

00:58:47.620 on a test

00:58:48.380 replacement?

00:58:50.200 What's a test

00:58:51.220 replacement?

00:58:52.380 I don't know

00:58:52.760 what that

00:58:53.020 means.

00:58:54.620 Oh, you

00:58:54.900 mean testosterone

00:58:55.720 replacement?

00:58:57.260 No.

00:58:57.880 I'm not

00:58:58.360 supplementing

00:58:59.660 testosterone.

00:59:00.120 I just

00:59:02.360 had my

00:59:02.740 levels

00:59:03.080 checked and

00:59:03.640 I'm happy

00:59:04.220 with

00:59:04.400 everything.

00:59:08.280 All right.

00:59:11.220 Except my

00:59:12.960 vitamin D was

00:59:13.740 a little low,

00:59:14.420 so I'm

00:59:14.780 boosting that

00:59:15.460 a little bit.

00:59:16.200 I was

00:59:16.500 already boosting

00:59:17.260 it, but

00:59:17.680 giving it a

00:59:18.560 little bit

00:59:18.820 extra.

00:59:19.100 All right.

00:59:30.780 Maybe the

00:59:32.920 balloon is

00:59:33.400 full of

00:59:33.800 migrants.

00:59:34.380 what's your

00:59:37.800 BP doing?

00:59:39.260 I have to

00:59:39.900 check it.

00:59:40.640 I think it's

00:59:41.040 fine.

00:59:43.440 Is your

00:59:44.000 vitamin D

00:59:44.480 low because

00:59:45.060 you never

00:59:45.380 go outside?

00:59:46.460 Well, actually

00:59:47.060 that's not

00:59:47.460 true.

00:59:47.860 I go outside

00:59:48.560 every day to

00:59:49.560 get vitamin

00:59:50.060 D.

00:59:50.840 So let me

00:59:51.440 tell you a

00:59:52.260 new thing

00:59:52.940 that I've

00:59:53.240 been doing

00:59:53.560 when it's

00:59:54.560 not raining

00:59:55.000 too hard.

00:59:56.000 So every

00:59:56.420 morning after

00:59:57.100 I'm done

00:59:57.560 with this

00:59:57.940 and I get

00:59:58.380 cleaned up,

00:59:59.440 I take the

01:00:00.240 dog to the

01:00:00.940 park.

01:00:01.720 That's just

01:00:02.240 my favorite

01:00:02.720 park.

01:00:04.100 And I do

01:00:05.080 my outdoor

01:00:05.980 nature thing.

01:00:07.420 So apparently

01:00:07.820 if you spend

01:00:08.440 20 minutes

01:00:09.420 in nature,

01:00:10.600 it sets you

01:00:11.320 for the whole

01:00:11.680 day.

01:00:12.360 Have you ever

01:00:12.760 heard that?

01:00:13.980 It really

01:00:14.520 does seem

01:00:14.980 to work.

01:00:16.260 I can say

01:00:17.040 that those

01:00:17.460 days when I

01:00:18.380 go just

01:00:18.900 stand in the

01:00:19.460 park for

01:00:19.800 20 minutes,

01:00:20.940 and I also

01:00:21.660 do the

01:00:22.260 Andrew

01:00:23.040 Huberman

01:00:23.660 breathing

01:00:24.540 technique,

01:00:26.140 where you do

01:00:26.620 the two

01:00:27.080 inhales

01:00:27.480 through your

01:00:27.800 nose and

01:00:28.240 then exhale

01:00:28.820 through your

01:00:29.260 mouth.

01:00:30.220 And it

01:00:30.800 totally relaxes

01:00:31.740 me.

01:00:32.240 So I do

01:00:33.040 breathing

01:00:33.460 exercises and

01:00:34.720 a nature

01:00:35.340 hit at the

01:00:36.340 same time

01:00:36.780 I'm walking

01:00:37.240 my dog.

01:00:38.520 So I get

01:00:38.940 all three

01:00:39.400 things at

01:00:39.880 the same

01:00:40.180 time.

01:00:41.200 It definitely,

01:00:42.560 now I haven't

01:00:43.080 tried the

01:00:43.460 barefooting.

01:00:44.720 I'm curious

01:00:45.360 about that.

01:00:46.080 You know

01:00:46.340 what that is,

01:00:46.860 right?

01:00:47.140 It's called

01:00:47.800 something grounding

01:00:49.520 or something,

01:00:50.780 where if you're

01:00:52.060 barefoot on

01:00:53.180 actual dirt

01:00:54.420 and the

01:00:55.780 earth,

01:00:56.900 somehow that's

01:00:58.520 supposed to

01:00:59.040 make your

01:01:00.000 body feel

01:01:00.640 good.

01:01:00.860 I need to

01:01:02.820 try that.

01:01:03.960 The only

01:01:04.480 reason I

01:01:04.780 don't try

01:01:05.100 it is I

01:01:05.500 don't like

01:01:05.800 getting my

01:01:06.120 feet dirty.

01:01:08.080 But I

01:01:08.960 can say

01:01:09.700 for sure

01:01:10.220 that 100%

01:01:12.080 of the

01:01:12.380 days that

01:01:12.840 I've walked

01:01:13.260 on a

01:01:13.580 beach

01:01:13.980 was a

01:01:15.440 good day.

01:01:18.700 Colonel

01:01:19.100 McGregor,

01:01:21.140 I saw a

01:01:22.060 bunch of

01:01:22.320 people say

01:01:22.840 Colonel

01:01:23.200 McGregor,

01:01:23.860 but I

01:01:24.060 don't know

01:01:24.300 that story.

01:01:24.840 what's

01:01:25.680 happening

01:01:25.960 with

01:01:26.220 Colonel

01:01:26.600 McGregor.

01:01:27.940 Was he

01:01:28.540 the one

01:01:28.800 that talked

01:01:29.180 about the

01:01:29.540 balloon?

01:01:32.340 I don't

01:01:33.020 know the

01:01:33.320 reference there,

01:01:34.060 Colonel

01:01:34.280 McGregor.

01:01:39.020 All right,

01:01:39.460 barefoot's

01:01:40.020 always best.

01:01:41.780 Yeah.

01:01:45.300 Phil

01:01:45.780 McCracken.

01:01:48.940 All right.

01:01:49.620 So here's

01:01:51.520 something you

01:01:51.940 probably didn't

01:01:52.520 know.

01:01:53.000 So I live in

01:01:53.520 Northern

01:01:53.780 California and

01:01:54.780 in theory we

01:01:56.240 get more

01:01:56.740 sunlight than

01:01:57.440 most places.

01:01:58.720 But in the

01:01:59.560 winter, even

01:02:01.480 in Northern

01:02:01.920 California, we

01:02:03.700 don't get

01:02:04.080 anywhere near

01:02:04.780 enough vitamin

01:02:05.480 D from the

01:02:06.520 sun.

01:02:06.940 Did you know

01:02:07.400 that?

01:02:08.680 I could pretty

01:02:09.660 much have my

01:02:11.880 shirt off all

01:02:12.480 day and I

01:02:13.140 don't think I

01:02:13.720 get enough.

01:02:14.580 Because it's

01:02:15.240 the quality of

01:02:15.880 the sun.

01:02:17.140 If the sun is

01:02:17.980 not pretty much

01:02:19.160 equatorial and

01:02:20.640 you're running

01:02:21.020 around with

01:02:21.420 your shirt off,

01:02:22.040 you're not

01:02:22.320 getting enough.

01:02:23.340 So that's the

01:02:23.800 reason the

01:02:24.200 Swedes, well

01:02:25.720 that's one

01:02:26.040 reason, the

01:02:26.560 Swedes

01:02:26.920 supplement.

01:02:27.860 Because there

01:02:28.540 is no situation

01:02:29.500 where they get

01:02:30.040 enough ever.

01:02:31.580 But even in

01:02:32.780 California, I

01:02:33.760 think there

01:02:34.080 are only, I

01:02:36.280 remember I saw

01:02:36.840 this statistic a

01:02:37.680 while ago, but

01:02:38.560 maybe only two

01:02:39.680 or three months,

01:02:41.400 even in Northern

01:02:42.240 California, where

01:02:43.920 the natural sun

01:02:44.920 would give you

01:02:46.000 enough vitamin

01:02:46.520 D if you spend

01:02:47.260 some time in

01:02:47.800 it.

01:02:48.260 I think it's

01:02:48.740 only three

01:02:49.120 months of the

01:02:49.520 year.

01:02:50.240 So if you

01:02:50.640 think that you

01:02:51.220 live in a sunny

01:02:51.940 place or you

01:02:52.740 are out in the

01:02:53.220 sun, if it's

01:02:54.300 the winter, it

01:02:54.880 kind of didn't

01:02:55.360 count.

01:02:56.760 The winter sun

01:02:57.520 is practically

01:02:58.180 worthless for

01:02:58.880 vitamin D.

01:03:00.280 Did you know

01:03:00.760 that?

01:03:04.220 I'm hearing

01:03:04.720 the cochlear.

01:03:12.180 It's the angle

01:03:13.020 of the sun.

01:03:13.800 Yeah, I think

01:03:14.220 you're right

01:03:14.480 about that.

01:03:18.540 All right.

01:03:20.440 Special shoes

01:03:21.300 for grounding.

01:03:22.460 I'm not sure

01:03:23.160 I believe that.

01:03:26.300 That the

01:03:26.900 shoes ground

01:03:27.640 you.

01:03:28.300 I mean, I'm

01:03:28.780 not sure I

01:03:29.220 believe the

01:03:29.780 grounding works,

01:03:30.620 but I'll try

01:03:31.460 it.

01:03:32.400 I think I'll

01:03:33.200 try the

01:03:33.600 grounding thing

01:03:34.280 to see.

01:03:36.560 I'll put that

01:03:37.260 on my list.

01:03:39.060 All right, that's

01:03:39.520 all for now.

01:03:40.040 I'll talk to you

01:03:40.620 on YouTube

01:03:41.060 later, and

01:03:41.700 I'll stick

01:03:42.500 around for the

01:03:43.240 subscribers on

01:03:44.400 Locals.

01:03:45.460 Bye for now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 04, 2023

Episode 2009 Scott Adams： Chinese Spy Balloon, TikTok Is In Trouble, Russia Beating Sanctions, More

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