Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2013 Scott Adams： Climate Hoax Explained, State Of The Union Graded, New Printer Destroyed

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of civilization.

00:00:09.680 Although things might get a little brutal a little bit later on this live stream,

00:00:14.000 I've got a little problem with my printer.

00:00:16.780 You may have heard what happened to the last printer.

00:00:19.640 The last printer was destroyed on the floor of my office for non-performance.

00:00:24.760 But I've replaced it with a brand new HP laser printer, which has no option for finding Wi-Fi that I can determine.

00:00:34.760 So I'll probably decide by the end of this live stream whether I should destroy it on my floor for your entertainment.

00:00:44.600 I think $500 is not too expensive to entertain you.

00:00:49.180 But if you'd like to take this experience up to another level, all you need is a cup or mug or a glass,

00:00:54.580 a tank or gels, a tie, and a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind,

00:00:58.920 filling with your favorite liquid.

00:01:01.600 I like coffee.

00:01:03.200 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine to the day,

00:01:06.560 the thing that makes everything better.

00:01:07.880 It's called a simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:01:12.580 Go.

00:01:12.820 Go.

00:01:12.880 Now, I'd like to speak to the boomers out there.

00:01:22.680 Boomers, I know we get a bad reputation for not being able to handle technology very well.

00:01:31.240 And, you know, maybe that's deserved.

00:01:33.900 Maybe it is.

00:01:35.240 It's possible.

00:01:35.860 But the other possibility is that we're busy, and there's a category of problems that I find I can't solve.

00:01:45.360 And I want to see if anybody has the same problem.

00:01:48.200 If I have a big problem, I will dedicate a lot of time to solving it, and then I do.

00:01:54.520 So I find that I can solve my big problems quite efficiently.

00:01:58.640 If I have a small problem that I can fix in maybe a minute or five minutes, I'm really good at fixing those.

00:02:08.500 If it's a five-minute problem, I'm on it.

00:02:11.040 If it's a big multi-day or even multi-week problem, oh, I can solve that.

00:02:16.260 But there's a category of problem that I can't solve.

00:02:19.680 And I think I'll be the first person to call this out as a civilization problem.

00:02:29.200 This is a really, really big problem.

00:02:32.280 And it goes like this.

00:02:34.240 I have a number of small problems.

00:02:37.640 They're small problems, but they might take more than an hour to fix.

00:02:42.880 For example, I had some credit card problems with a lost credit card.

00:02:48.500 So everything that's connected to my credit card starts throwing up, and then I have to go add a new credit card.

00:02:55.000 So I had a subscription to the Hulu service, and it told me, oh, your credit card's gone, so you can't keep watching.

00:03:03.860 So I said to myself, well, I'm a boomer, but one thing I can do is add a new credit card to an app.

00:03:12.000 I mean, how hard is that, right?

00:03:13.680 That's pretty simple.

00:03:14.340 So I opened the app, and the app says, oh, not here.

00:03:18.600 You don't add that credit card in the app.

00:03:20.780 Go to our website.

00:03:22.500 So I go to the website.

00:03:24.280 Now I'm approaching five minutes in.

00:03:27.420 Do you see the problem?

00:03:29.440 Because I'm starting to hit my five-minute limit, and I'm not going to be anywhere near getting ready.

00:03:35.280 So I go to the website, and I'm thinking, well, if it's just a website, and I just put in my email, it should be fine.

00:03:43.160 It should be five minutes.

00:03:44.320 And the website says, use iTunes.

00:03:47.820 What?

00:03:48.920 So I go to the app, to the website, to iTunes, and I don't have iTunes on my computer.

00:03:53.500 So am I going to download iTunes, and the reason I don't have it is because it's an enormous problem?

00:04:02.620 I mean, I don't want it on my computer.

00:04:04.760 And if I put it on there, would I really be able to figure out within iTunes how to update my credit card?

00:04:11.480 Because I don't even know what that has to do with my credit card in Hulu.

00:04:14.920 What the hell does iTunes have to do with Hulu?

00:04:18.120 So what do I do?

00:04:19.100 I've made the decision to never watch Hulu for the rest of my life.

00:04:26.700 Now, I'm not blaming Hulu.

00:04:29.040 I'm not blaming myself.

00:04:30.620 I'm just saying that if it's a small problem, because watching Hulu doesn't change my life, right?

00:04:36.780 I can watch something else.

00:04:38.920 So Hulu can never be solved because I will never put an hour of time into it.

00:04:43.820 And if I did, I could totally solve it.

00:04:46.300 Totally.

00:04:46.660 Totally.

00:04:47.220 Now, if I were 25, what would I do in this situation?

00:04:51.660 Because I was 25, I know what I would have done.

00:04:54.380 What would you do if you were 25?

00:04:56.420 You'd spend an hour, right?

00:04:58.480 You'd spend an hour because you have an hour, and you really want to watch Hulu, and you don't have much else going on.

00:05:04.900 So I'd spend an hour, and I'd fix it.

00:05:06.640 I'm not sure this has to do with being a boomer.

00:05:10.680 I think it has to do with what I think my time is worth.

00:05:14.840 And I'm not going to spend an hour so I can watch more Hulu.

00:05:18.460 So the other day, I noticed I started getting ads on YouTube, which you don't get if you've paid for the, what's it called, RedTube or something?

00:05:27.720 If you paid for the subscription on YouTube, you don't need ads.

00:05:31.100 But the same credit card problem took down my RedTube, so I started getting ads.

00:05:36.800 Now, I'm unwilling to watch any service with ads.

00:05:39.960 I don't watch network TV with ads.

00:05:43.080 I won't watch anything with ads.

00:05:44.860 So I say to myself, well, I'm going to have to go put in my credit card.

00:05:50.180 I cannot figure out where in the world I would update my credit card.

00:05:56.140 It might be on my phone.

00:05:58.040 Is it an Apple credit card that's somehow interacted with YouTube?

00:06:01.880 Is it somehow connected to Gmail and Chrome because it's all Google?

00:06:07.240 Well, it's not on my app.

00:06:11.180 So I spent five minutes looking for how to update my credit card.

00:06:19.380 I couldn't find it in five minutes.

00:06:22.600 Or not RedTube.

00:06:23.480 I guess RedTube's porn, isn't it?

00:06:26.340 What's the name of the YouTube service where you don't see subscriptions?

00:06:33.140 All right.

00:06:33.800 YouTube what?

00:06:35.200 Premium.

00:06:35.820 YouTube Premium.

00:06:36.800 All right.

00:06:37.000 Whatever it is.

00:06:38.740 I think that was too much information.

00:06:41.620 So now my current decision is to never watch YouTube again or to spend an hour trying to

00:06:48.280 unfuck that.

00:06:49.900 I think I'm never going to watch YouTube again.

00:06:53.280 Why is it so hard to figure out where my credit card is when I'm trying to update it?

00:06:59.000 Now, take my printer.

00:07:00.200 I got this new HP laser printer because I destroyed my other one on the floor for being defective.

00:07:08.000 And the laser printer comes up.

00:07:11.120 And the only thing it says for setup is go to your computer and use the HP software that you download.

00:07:17.140 So I go to my computer and it says, find your printer on the network.

00:07:22.780 But there was nothing to put the printer on the network.

00:07:26.900 So I only have one interface and the interface doesn't say anything about a network.

00:07:34.820 All it says is it should be on the network, but no way to do it.

00:07:41.040 There's no separate menu.

00:07:42.200 There's no settings.

00:07:43.440 At least I can't find it.

00:07:44.460 Now, if I spend an hour, could I make my printer work?

00:07:51.520 What do you think?

00:07:52.900 If I spend one hour, I think I could.

00:07:56.600 Do you think I will spend one hour?

00:07:58.300 Or do you think I will spend five minutes destroying it on my floor in front of you

00:08:02.200 and then order a different model that might work the first time?

00:08:07.320 Because if I order a new one, my time is fairly valuable.

00:08:11.660 So if I just destroy the HP for not having a user interface that works for me

00:08:18.760 and I just buy another one, the new one will come

00:08:22.560 and I might be able to set it up in five minutes.

00:08:26.420 So what do I do?

00:08:28.580 What would you do?

00:08:30.820 Now, somebody says return it.

00:08:35.200 I basically don't return anything because I'm not going to spend the extra time.

00:08:39.500 So do I destroy it for your entertainment or do I spend an hour trying to fix it?

00:08:49.800 All right.

00:08:50.100 Well, think about that while we talk about the rest of this.

00:08:52.980 I saw Michael Schellenberger tweeting that somebody has figured out that Navy divers,

00:08:59.600 the U.S. Navy divers blew up that Nord Stream pipeline that people were wondering who blew it up.

00:09:06.900 Remember the United States blamed Russia for blowing up their own pipeline?

00:09:12.200 Well, is there anybody who can admit being embarrassed for ever or ever imagining that Russia blew up its own pipeline? 0.75

00:09:21.440 Is there anybody who would be willing to say, okay, I'm embarrassed I ever thought that?

00:09:26.440 You should have been embarrassed if you ever thought that Russia blew up its own pipeline.

00:09:32.260 There's not a chance in the world that that happened.

00:09:35.140 Now, I'm not sure I believe this story.

00:09:37.600 I don't know how anybody knows that there was a mid-summer NATO exercise

00:09:41.580 and Navy divers surreptitiously planted these explosives months in advance.

00:09:47.500 Eh, maybe, possibly, but who knows?

00:09:53.720 So I don't believe anything that's, you know, got sources like that.

00:09:58.980 The President Biden's spokesperson, Corinne Jean-Pierre, I love Greg Gutfeld's new name for her,

00:10:12.740 Cringe Jean-Pierre.

00:10:14.820 Cringe.

00:10:16.380 She's hard to watch without cringing.

00:10:19.160 And here's what I find interesting about watching her.

00:10:23.320 There's yet another clip of Corinne Jean-Pierre trying to speak in public, and it just goes all wrong.

00:10:32.580 And I thought to myself, there's a lot of people in that room.

00:10:37.020 Do you think there was even one other person in that whole room of reporters and other politicians

00:10:42.620 or whoever's there, I don't know, other staffers,

00:10:45.100 do you think there was even one person in that room who would not be able to form a sentence?

00:10:50.320 The only person in the room who couldn't form a coherent sentence

00:10:55.240 was the spokesperson for the United States President.

00:11:00.920 And we're kind of okay with that.

00:11:05.160 What would it take?

00:11:07.000 What would it take to get fired?

00:11:09.560 It seems like there's nothing that's bad enough for the Democrats to admit,

00:11:18.560 all right, all right, maybe we ought to make a change here.

00:11:21.980 I mean, we literally, without any hyperbole,

00:11:27.640 have found the least capable communicator in the entire country

00:11:31.900 and put her in charge of communicating for the president,

00:11:35.660 who is the second least good, the second worst communicator in the world.

00:11:44.660 I mean, how did we get to this point

00:11:46.980 where the president and the spokesperson for the president can't speak?

00:11:54.380 Well, anyway, here we are.

00:11:55.680 So, Chef, do you follow Chef Andrew Gruel on Twitter?

00:12:06.300 He's a well-known chef whose last name is Gruel, G-R-U-E-L.

00:12:14.020 That's like the dentist who's Dr. Chu

00:12:15.900 and the baker whose name is Baker.

00:12:19.120 But Chef Gruel, he reports that there's lots of automation

00:12:25.120 happening in restaurants now.

00:12:26.360 So there's a Korean barbecue joint that uses robots to deliver food.

00:12:32.040 What do you think of that?

00:12:33.760 Robots to deliver your food.

00:12:36.080 Well, I plan to open someday a Dilbert Diner

00:12:38.560 where it's a restaurant for lonely introverts.

00:12:44.560 So instead of two tops and four tops,

00:12:46.680 the normal tables, you just have one tops.

00:12:49.880 Everything's just for you and your laptop.

00:12:52.620 Just a one chair, a table, and a place to plug in your laptop.

00:12:57.660 And you'd order on your app, and the robot would bring it to you,

00:13:01.520 and you wouldn't have to deal with any humans whatsoever.

00:13:04.800 The Dilbert Diner.

00:13:06.380 Who would go?

00:13:07.280 Oh, and also the kitchen would be primarily robots.

00:13:12.240 Mostly a big robot that makes everything. 0.99

00:13:16.680 You would go to that.

00:13:18.220 Yeah, and Chef Gruel reports that the robot restaurant is packed.

00:13:25.560 So people love it.

00:13:27.340 Now, at some point, it would no longer be a novelty,

00:13:30.680 so it's not going to work that way.

00:13:32.040 But I think the Dilbert Diner is just begging to be made.

00:13:36.900 What do you think?

00:13:38.420 All right, Elon Musk has teased

00:13:40.100 that he's going to be introducing sometime real soon.

00:13:44.560 Master Plan 3,

00:13:46.380 The Path to a Fully Sustainable Energy Future for Earth,

00:13:50.060 will be presented on March 1st, it is.

00:13:53.060 And he says,

00:13:54.100 The future is bright.

00:13:55.660 Now,

00:13:56.200 I could not be

00:13:58.160 more interested

00:13:59.620 than this.

00:14:02.040 All right,

00:14:03.040 here's what I want.

00:14:04.420 Because you probably know

00:14:05.720 that there are a number of people,

00:14:07.360 Alex Epstein being among them,

00:14:09.860 who say that the

00:14:11.260 sort of all-electric world

00:14:16.340 just can't work,

00:14:17.420 like the math can't work.

00:14:19.560 But Elon Musk says it can.

00:14:23.120 Elon Musk says it can.

00:14:25.100 So,

00:14:25.720 don't you want to see that

00:14:27.180 conversation take place in public?

00:14:29.640 Wouldn't you like to see

00:14:32.120 Elon Musk

00:14:33.020 defend

00:14:34.660 his opinion

00:14:36.080 that we can get there

00:14:37.360 with batteries and solar panels

00:14:38.680 and maybe some windmills

00:14:40.200 and eventually get rid of our

00:14:42.600 carbon stuff?

00:14:44.580 Wouldn't you love to see that

00:14:45.760 conversation?

00:14:47.360 Because here's my problem.

00:14:49.900 I don't actually know who's right.

00:14:53.020 I guess that's always my problem.

00:14:54.960 But I'm not sure

00:14:56.420 it is possible.

00:14:57.440 But I'm also not sure

00:14:59.500 it's impossible.

00:15:01.300 It feels like it's within

00:15:02.700 the realm of something

00:15:03.740 we could get to,

00:15:05.280 but maybe we don't know

00:15:06.480 how yet.

00:15:07.740 So there might be

00:15:08.660 difference in assumption

00:15:09.600 of whether we can

00:15:11.240 innovate our way to

00:15:12.700 a better efficiency.

00:15:15.540 And maybe that's

00:15:16.600 the only difference.

00:15:18.040 Yeah.

00:15:18.360 It could come down

00:15:19.500 to the only difference.

00:15:20.600 Yes,

00:15:21.200 I think Elon Musk

00:15:22.320 is pro-nuclear as well.

00:15:24.020 So let's throw in nuclear.

00:15:26.040 All right.

00:15:26.360 A weird thing happened to me

00:15:28.300 as I was flipping through

00:15:29.860 channels last night

00:15:31.260 looking for reactions

00:15:32.860 to the State of the Union,

00:15:34.080 which we'll talk about.

00:15:35.460 And I came across

00:15:36.620 the young Turks

00:15:38.940 with a jenk.

00:15:42.740 And here's what I was expecting.

00:15:45.700 I was expecting,

00:15:47.180 wow, that Biden is killing it.

00:15:49.120 He's so good.

00:15:50.760 Donald Trump

00:15:51.460 was a horrible person.

00:15:54.000 And aren't we glad

00:15:55.060 that Trump is gone

00:15:56.100 and Biden's in.

00:15:58.720 And instead,

00:15:59.900 it was closer

00:16:00.780 to the opposite.

00:16:02.820 And I didn't watch

00:16:03.860 much of it,

00:16:05.100 but the brief part

00:16:06.900 I saw

00:16:07.440 appeared to be

00:16:10.240 jenk Uyger.

00:16:11.820 I have to apologize

00:16:15.060 to him publicly

00:16:15.840 for not being able

00:16:17.620 to say his name correctly.

00:16:18.720 That's on me.

00:16:20.180 So

00:16:20.460 it looked like

00:16:23.360 jenk

00:16:24.980 was

00:16:27.040 turning pro-Trump

00:16:29.560 and it looked like

00:16:32.320 somebody waking up.

00:16:33.420 and I'm wondering

00:16:36.840 if anybody's noticed it.

00:16:39.180 Now, he didn't go

00:16:40.120 so far as to say

00:16:41.140 I like Trump,

00:16:42.100 he was better than Biden.

00:16:43.220 I mean, that's way farther

00:16:44.280 than he went.

00:16:45.340 But it looked like

00:16:46.540 it looked like

00:16:48.520 the spell was breaking.

00:16:50.000 And I watched it

00:16:50.940 with fascination

00:16:51.800 because he was saying

00:16:53.380 things that were just

00:16:54.140 sort of

00:16:54.620 objectively true

00:16:56.400 without any spin.

00:16:59.160 And the objectively

00:17:00.380 true stuff

00:17:01.100 was not leading him

00:17:02.280 to his old opinions.

00:17:03.420 objectively true

00:17:05.120 was sort of

00:17:06.160 leading him

00:17:06.560 into the promised land

00:17:07.560 of actually understanding

00:17:08.680 what's going on here.

00:17:10.760 I don't know.

00:17:12.580 Just give it a look

00:17:13.640 and get back to me, okay?

00:17:15.360 Just look at his

00:17:16.800 just anything.

00:17:17.980 Look at his

00:17:18.440 reaction to the

00:17:20.220 State of the Union

00:17:20.940 and get back to me

00:17:22.240 and tell me

00:17:22.660 he sees it, right?

00:17:24.600 Like he sees that

00:17:25.660 Biden's

00:17:26.600 not quite all there.

00:17:28.640 I think he does.

00:17:30.420 I think he does.

00:17:31.340 So something interesting

00:17:32.260 might be happening there.

00:17:33.420 All right.

00:17:35.380 Here's some more info

00:17:36.180 on the Biden crime family.

00:17:38.320 I'm going to call him

00:17:39.020 that from now on

00:17:39.720 because normally

00:17:41.440 I would not

00:17:42.200 accuse people

00:17:44.120 of crimes

00:17:45.240 unless I was sure

00:17:46.100 that they were

00:17:46.580 really crimes.

00:17:48.120 But I'm sure

00:17:48.620 they were really crimes.

00:17:50.200 Part of the

00:17:50.860 part of that

00:17:53.060 is because

00:17:53.700 the Marco Polo report

00:17:56.380 has a 630-page report

00:18:00.640 with over 2,000 citations

00:18:03.540 and 459 alleged crimes

00:18:07.820 committed by the

00:18:08.560 Biden family

00:18:09.160 and their business associates.

00:18:11.340 And that report

00:18:12.360 has been sent to the

00:18:13.140 House and the Senate

00:18:13.860 and the U.S. attorneys.

00:18:17.540 459 crimes

00:18:18.700 were identified,

00:18:19.880 I think mostly

00:18:20.540 from the laptops

00:18:21.860 or the laptop.

00:18:24.880 Now,

00:18:25.700 obviously,

00:18:27.560 459 crimes

00:18:29.280 is,

00:18:31.120 I assume,

00:18:31.880 it's stuff like

00:18:32.640 he smoked crack once.

00:18:34.800 That's one crime.

00:18:36.280 Then he smoked crack again.

00:18:37.740 That's the second crime.

00:18:38.840 Then he smoked crack again.

00:18:39.900 That's the third crime.

00:18:40.500 So probably,

00:18:41.520 you know,

00:18:41.820 443 of these

00:18:45.380 are just smoking crack.

00:18:48.400 So,

00:18:49.140 crack is not a crime.

00:18:50.740 Well,

00:18:50.980 I don't know.

00:18:55.500 So,

00:18:56.020 I don't know

00:18:56.320 how many actual crimes

00:18:57.160 it were,

00:18:57.580 but the financial ones

00:18:58.720 are the ones

00:18:59.060 I worry about.

00:19:01.880 So,

00:19:02.360 let's talk about

00:19:02.780 the State of the Union speech.

00:19:05.240 So,

00:19:05.720 here are some

00:19:06.240 of the funnier reactions.

00:19:09.520 And,

00:19:09.880 before I get to them,

00:19:11.540 I'd just like to say something.

00:19:13.940 Because on this live stream,

00:19:15.840 we like to take the high road.

00:19:18.240 I'm all about the high road.

00:19:20.160 Right?

00:19:20.520 I don't like to get down

00:19:21.520 in the weeds

00:19:22.980 and blaming people

00:19:24.320 and stuff.

00:19:25.500 That's small.

00:19:26.400 That's small.

00:19:27.160 We're above that.

00:19:29.260 And one of the things

00:19:30.020 that I,

00:19:31.420 is my new,

00:19:33.300 I guess it's my new calling,

00:19:35.280 is to try to get people

00:19:36.860 to stop

00:19:37.540 judging

00:19:38.940 an entire group

00:19:40.300 by the worst members

00:19:42.100 of the group.

00:19:43.320 Right?

00:19:44.220 I mean,

00:19:44.480 that's the lowest thing

00:19:45.440 you can do.

00:19:46.500 I mean,

00:19:46.640 that's literally

00:19:47.360 racist, 0.77

00:19:48.840 sexist. 0.58

00:19:49.660 I mean,

00:19:49.900 it's literally

00:19:50.280 the worst person

00:19:51.140 you could be.

00:19:52.220 So,

00:19:52.660 do not judge

00:19:53.920 the entire group

00:19:55.040 by any individuals

00:19:56.940 who are bad.

00:19:58.900 We don't do that.

00:20:00.760 So,

00:20:01.080 that's why

00:20:01.460 I'm not judging Democrats

00:20:02.660 by the fact

00:20:03.260 that their leader

00:20:04.140 is a demented

00:20:05.900 criminal.

00:20:08.920 Do not judge

00:20:10.060 all Democrats

00:20:10.680 that way.

00:20:11.740 It's only the leader

00:20:12.840 that they voted for

00:20:13.860 and look like

00:20:14.480 they'll vote for again.

00:20:15.960 So,

00:20:16.440 just because they vote

00:20:17.520 for somebody

00:20:18.200 who's a demented

00:20:19.940 criminal

00:20:20.880 and a liar, 0.81

00:20:23.140 that says nothing

00:20:24.460 about them.

00:20:25.700 So,

00:20:26.420 do not

00:20:26.900 take the fact

00:20:28.180 that they voted for him

00:20:29.380 by an overwhelming majority

00:20:30.700 and knew exactly

00:20:31.520 what they were getting,

00:20:32.940 there's no reflection

00:20:33.900 on them.

00:20:34.820 So,

00:20:35.100 we're not that kind

00:20:35.740 of people.

00:20:37.040 All right,

00:20:37.240 Thomas Massey

00:20:37.860 had an interesting

00:20:38.600 tweet about

00:20:39.740 the State of the Union

00:20:40.760 and Biden's performance.

00:20:43.120 He said,

00:20:43.880 the tone began

00:20:44.780 as,

00:20:45.320 quote,

00:20:46.320 animatronic father

00:20:47.500 at Disney

00:20:48.180 carousel of progress

00:20:49.420 and quickly switched

00:20:51.160 to,

00:20:51.720 quote,

00:20:52.180 man shouting

00:20:52.940 at kids

00:20:53.440 to get off his yard.

00:20:57.000 That's pretty funny.

00:20:59.720 A Twitter user

00:21:01.020 named Mr. Joshua

00:21:02.040 said this.

00:21:04.240 This is my favorite one

00:21:05.340 about Biden.

00:21:07.680 Strange anger outbursts

00:21:10.440 that didn't match

00:21:11.140 the message,

00:21:12.000 like watching

00:21:12.840 an old Chinese fight scene

00:21:14.340 dubbed in English.

00:21:17.860 That's exactly

00:21:18.840 what I saw.

00:21:20.580 Because the yelling

00:21:21.600 didn't match

00:21:22.240 the message.

00:21:23.960 You know,

00:21:24.140 it's like,

00:21:24.980 where's my pencil?

00:21:26.320 Where's my pencil?

00:21:28.160 Where's my pencil?

00:21:29.780 Where's the pencil?

00:21:33.420 That's what it felt

00:21:34.220 like to me.

00:21:36.580 And then

00:21:37.180 Geraldo,

00:21:38.720 Geraldo tweet.

00:21:40.060 I honestly can't tell

00:21:45.000 if Geraldo

00:21:45.620 is pranking us.

00:21:48.680 So I'm going to read

00:21:49.440 Geraldo's tweet

00:21:50.400 and

00:21:51.480 I don't think

00:21:53.360 he's pranking.

00:21:54.980 I don't think

00:21:55.620 he is.

00:21:56.880 But see if you can

00:21:57.700 tell the difference

00:21:58.380 between a real tweet

00:22:00.120 and something

00:22:01.100 that's obviously

00:22:01.940 a joke.

00:22:03.240 All right,

00:22:03.500 I'll just read

00:22:04.020 his tweet.

00:22:04.960 So this is Geraldo.

00:22:05.800 Perhaps we were surprised

00:22:08.460 because the steady stream

00:22:11.260 of naysayers critics

00:22:12.320 who think Biden's

00:22:13.800 a stuttering,

00:22:14.500 babbling old fool. 0.77

00:22:15.960 But that antique

00:22:17.100 didn't show up

00:22:17.940 at the State of the Union.

00:22:19.320 The president we saw

00:22:20.460 was robust,

00:22:21.940 confident,

00:22:22.500 and in control.

00:22:23.720 He won the nomination

00:22:24.720 for re-election

00:22:25.520 last night.

00:22:29.140 Parody

00:22:29.660 or reality?

00:22:33.460 It's hard to tell,

00:22:34.600 isn't it?

00:22:36.360 It's sort of hard to tell.

00:22:39.080 He had another tweet

00:22:41.580 praising Biden

00:22:42.580 which makes me

00:22:43.540 think he's real.

00:22:45.800 Did he actually see that?

00:22:48.100 Like that was his

00:22:48.780 actual honest opinion

00:22:50.200 when he watched it?

00:22:51.540 Because it could have been.

00:22:52.640 It could have been.

00:22:54.000 Now I happen to think

00:22:55.440 that Geraldo's

00:22:56.080 a straight shooter.

00:22:58.320 Whether you like

00:22:59.480 his opinions or not,

00:23:00.560 I have great respect

00:23:01.380 for him.

00:23:02.440 Both for his careers

00:23:03.900 and the fact that

00:23:04.680 as far as I know,

00:23:06.500 he's brave,

00:23:07.580 he's patriotic,

00:23:08.520 and he tells the truth.

00:23:09.960 You might not like

00:23:10.720 his opinions,

00:23:11.520 but as an American citizen,

00:23:14.540 he's one of the best

00:23:15.400 in my opinion.

00:23:17.720 And I think he's great

00:23:18.780 on Fox,

00:23:19.380 by the way.

00:23:19.880 He does his job

00:23:21.040 on Fox really well.

00:23:21.940 But here's what I saw.

00:23:26.880 If you're giving

00:23:27.700 a State of the Union

00:23:28.580 address

00:23:29.180 and you tell

00:23:30.720 a whopper of a lie

00:23:31.860 like some Republicans

00:23:34.060 want to sunset

00:23:35.180 Medicare and Social Security,

00:23:37.200 which means basically

00:23:38.160 end them.

00:23:40.280 Now he did specify

00:23:42.000 that it was

00:23:43.820 some Republicans.

00:23:45.840 And he was very clear

00:23:46.960 once they started

00:23:47.940 yelling at him

00:23:48.740 that he wasn't

00:23:49.980 saying all Republicans.

00:23:51.780 But do you think

00:23:53.340 that the State of the Union

00:23:54.700 was where he should

00:23:56.560 have been saying

00:23:57.120 that Republicans

00:23:57.840 want to end

00:23:58.700 Social Security

00:24:00.720 and Medicare?

00:24:01.660 Now it turns out

00:24:04.260 that there are

00:24:04.700 a few Republicans

00:24:05.620 who are suggesting that.

00:24:07.220 But there's no way

00:24:08.260 it's going to happen

00:24:08.940 because the vast majority

00:24:10.620 of Republicans

00:24:11.240 would never do that.

00:24:13.080 So it's not a real thing.

00:24:15.360 But bringing it up

00:24:16.240 is just grotesquely

00:24:18.040 misleading,

00:24:21.660 political,

00:24:23.000 divisive bullshit.

00:24:25.620 And I loved

00:24:27.040 the Republican reaction

00:24:28.260 to it.

00:24:30.020 The Republican action

00:24:30.900 was they just yelled

00:24:32.080 liar.

00:24:34.080 They just yelled at him

00:24:35.280 while he was speaking.

00:24:36.340 And he had to stop

00:24:37.180 and fight his way

00:24:38.360 out of it.

00:24:39.500 Now,

00:24:39.980 I'm totally happy

00:24:41.660 with the Republican response.

00:24:43.760 Are you?

00:24:45.920 You know,

00:24:46.500 I wouldn't have mind

00:24:47.260 that if that happened

00:24:48.920 to a Republican

00:24:49.760 either.

00:24:52.520 Because if you say

00:24:53.400 something

00:24:53.800 so overtly divisive

00:24:56.800 and overtly misleading,

00:24:58.900 people should stop you

00:25:02.000 in the middle

00:25:02.320 of your speech

00:25:02.800 and just start

00:25:03.340 shouting at you

00:25:04.080 to get out of town.

00:25:05.920 That's exactly

00:25:06.540 the right thing to do.

00:25:07.640 And again,

00:25:08.460 I would have supported it

00:25:09.400 no matter what side

00:25:10.600 the president was on.

00:25:11.680 That was so over the line.

00:25:13.960 So inappropriate.

00:25:15.340 And the Republicans

00:25:16.160 called them on that.

00:25:17.020 That was pretty funny.

00:25:18.640 My other favorite part

00:25:19.760 was when...

00:25:20.220 This is so stupid.

00:25:25.760 This is so stupid

00:25:26.920 that the Republicans

00:25:28.060 laughed out loud

00:25:29.320 and it was just

00:25:31.660 an honest response

00:25:32.880 to how stupid he was. 0.86

00:25:34.840 He said that

00:25:35.660 people are complaining

00:25:37.420 that the oil companies

00:25:38.520 don't want to invest

00:25:39.820 and he's not stopping

00:25:41.720 them from investing.

00:25:43.040 He's just telling them

00:25:44.100 that we only need oil

00:25:45.840 for another 10 years.

00:25:47.680 So why don't they invest?

00:25:49.140 Because, you know,

00:25:49.920 they have 10 years

00:25:50.580 to make money.

00:25:51.800 And the Republicans

00:25:52.780 literally laughed out loud.

00:25:55.960 Now, I hope I don't need

00:25:58.140 to explain why that's so dumb.

00:26:01.120 Does anybody need that?

00:26:02.920 Nobody needs the explanation

00:26:04.180 of why the oil industry

00:26:06.220 is not interested

00:26:07.120 in massive investment

00:26:08.240 for a business

00:26:10.220 that's only going to last 10 years.

00:26:12.300 Does anybody need

00:26:13.460 the explanation?

00:26:14.960 I don't think so.

00:26:17.080 Literally nobody would invest

00:26:18.760 in that kind of a business.

00:26:20.140 Nobody.

00:26:21.400 And Biden's up there

00:26:22.360 in front of the country

00:26:23.560 representing America,

00:26:28.000 the capitalist ideal

00:26:29.520 of the planet.

00:26:31.300 And he's up there saying,

00:26:32.380 oh, I don't know why

00:26:32.900 they don't invest

00:26:33.640 for that 10-year game.

00:26:35.640 Well, I'm trying to put them

00:26:36.620 out of business

00:26:37.080 as fast as I can.

00:26:38.760 And if I can make that

00:26:39.680 10 years, 5 years,

00:26:40.700 I'll do it as fast as I could.

00:26:43.080 Yeah, why don't you want

00:26:43.960 to get into that business?

00:26:46.580 That's just stupid.

00:26:48.880 Am I wrong?

00:26:50.680 How else would you

00:26:51.600 describe that?

00:26:54.120 Yeah, I mean,

00:26:54.660 I don't even think

00:26:55.360 it's senile.

00:26:57.260 Because it would,

00:26:58.600 correct me if I'm wrong,

00:26:59.760 but it was on the teleprompter.

00:27:01.720 Right?

00:27:02.020 If it's on the teleprompter,

00:27:04.020 it's not really

00:27:04.700 a senility problem.

00:27:05.800 But wow.

00:27:09.380 Wow.

00:27:12.380 And then, you know,

00:27:14.380 I turned into MSNBC

00:27:15.560 to see what the crazy

00:27:16.860 people are saying.

00:27:18.060 I hear Lawrence O'Donnell's

00:27:19.380 voice saying,

00:27:20.500 this was the worst possible

00:27:21.620 night for Kevin McCarthy.

00:27:26.040 What?

00:27:27.920 What?

00:27:30.040 What State of the Union

00:27:31.500 was he watching?

00:27:33.580 What?

00:27:35.800 And he said,

00:27:36.760 he went on,

00:27:37.460 Lawrence O'Donnell,

00:27:39.160 this is over for McCarthy.

00:27:41.040 The year is over.

00:27:44.400 So I guess Geraldo

00:27:45.820 and at least one person

00:27:47.840 on MSNBC

00:27:48.760 saw a commanding performance

00:27:51.200 by Biden

00:27:52.080 which guaranteed him

00:27:53.680 the nomination

00:27:54.360 and will make the Republicans

00:27:56.940 sad and ineffective

00:27:58.220 for the rest of their time

00:27:59.520 on this earth.

00:28:02.240 The other funny thing

00:28:03.420 he said was,

00:28:04.760 name me a world leader

00:28:05.740 who would change places

00:28:06.920 with Chairman Xi

00:28:09.060 as head of China.

00:28:11.420 His context was

00:28:13.140 that he's so hard

00:28:14.260 on China

00:28:14.840 and China's now

00:28:16.260 in such a bad position

00:28:17.380 because of how hard

00:28:18.340 Biden is on him

00:28:19.260 that there's no leader

00:28:21.400 in the world

00:28:21.980 who would want to be

00:28:23.140 the head of the

00:28:24.720 second largest economy

00:28:27.160 in the world.

00:28:27.800 because little Kim, 1.00

00:28:31.180 he likes running

00:28:32.300 as a hermit kingdom

00:28:33.280 and he would certainly

00:28:34.960 turn down a promotion

00:28:36.020 to be the boss

00:28:38.580 of China for life.

00:28:42.480 So,

00:28:43.120 that was stupid. 0.78

00:28:47.180 That was literally

00:28:48.480 just stupid.

00:28:49.900 Am I wrong about that?

00:28:54.860 I mean,

00:28:55.160 how else?

00:28:56.440 Now,

00:28:56.760 and keep in mind,

00:28:57.680 I think that was

00:28:58.400 on the teleprompter.

00:29:00.020 I think it was

00:29:00.580 on the teleprompter.

00:29:02.340 How in the world

00:29:03.300 did so many people

00:29:04.260 allow that

00:29:05.000 to get on the teleprompter?

00:29:06.760 How in the world?

00:29:09.640 Because this has

00:29:10.920 nothing to do

00:29:11.480 with politics, right?

00:29:12.640 This is not even

00:29:13.560 a political statement.

00:29:15.240 It's just stupid.

00:29:17.580 It's just literally stupid.

00:29:19.600 I don't know

00:29:20.000 what else to say about it.

00:29:22.740 Sarah Huckabee

00:29:23.580 did a good job

00:29:24.980 of, you know,

00:29:25.820 the counter-programming

00:29:27.540 after the State of the Union.

00:29:29.240 But here's the part

00:29:30.460 I like the best.

00:29:32.220 She said,

00:29:32.800 quote,

00:29:33.040 giving every child

00:29:33.880 access to a quality education

00:29:35.660 regardless of their race

00:29:37.600 or income

00:29:38.140 is the civil rights

00:29:39.340 issue of our day.

00:29:41.800 A plus.

00:29:42.720 A plus, plus, plus.

00:29:48.240 How many times

00:29:49.280 have I told you

00:29:50.100 that if Trump

00:29:52.360 or really

00:29:53.000 any leading Republican

00:29:54.860 simply stated

00:29:56.920 their policies

00:29:57.820 in the smartest frame,

00:30:00.680 they would be unbeatable.

00:30:02.440 But they don't do it

00:30:03.740 for whatever reason.

00:30:06.060 There is just

00:30:07.760 complete

00:30:08.740 easy, free money

00:30:11.400 laying there.

00:30:12.980 And

00:30:13.320 Sarah Huckabee Sanders

00:30:15.980 picked it up.

00:30:18.660 This is exactly

00:30:19.800 the right frame.

00:30:21.720 This

00:30:22.060 is everything.

00:30:24.920 Number one,

00:30:25.760 she understood

00:30:26.960 the priority

00:30:27.760 best.

00:30:29.100 Who was it

00:30:29.760 recently saying

00:30:30.440 that the biggest risk

00:30:31.320 to the United States

00:30:32.220 was the

00:30:33.840 teachers' union?

00:30:37.180 somebody said

00:30:39.480 that was a bigger...

00:30:40.520 Somebody,

00:30:41.500 a pundit said that?

00:30:43.520 Matt Gaetz?

00:30:44.560 Well, I've said it,

00:30:45.660 but somebody else

00:30:46.360 said it.

00:30:48.320 Somebody famous

00:30:49.180 said it recently.

00:30:50.620 And, yeah,

00:30:51.260 I've said it,

00:30:51.860 of course.

00:30:52.300 Oh, it was Pompeo.

00:30:53.500 Yes, I'm sorry.

00:30:54.380 Mike Pompeo.

00:30:56.820 So,

00:30:57.500 have I ever

00:30:58.520 mentioned how smart

00:30:59.420 Mike Pompeo is?

00:31:00.600 Do you have any idea

00:31:02.460 how smart that guy is?

00:31:03.580 He's not

00:31:05.620 ordinary smart.

00:31:06.820 He's like

00:31:07.300 sort of

00:31:08.560 off-the-chart smart.

00:31:10.240 Now,

00:31:10.700 I don't

00:31:11.080 love him for president

00:31:12.680 because I've got

00:31:13.240 some problems

00:31:13.740 with his policy preferences,

00:31:15.680 but

00:31:15.940 he is really smart.

00:31:19.380 You can't take

00:31:20.220 that away from him.

00:31:23.380 Anyway,

00:31:23.920 so

00:31:24.000 here are

00:31:27.060 two Republicans

00:31:27.840 who have

00:31:28.780 correctly identified

00:31:29.900 the biggest

00:31:31.120 risk to the

00:31:32.680 republic.

00:31:33.580 That's good.

00:31:35.180 That's good.

00:31:36.020 But

00:31:36.380 they're getting

00:31:37.160 very close

00:31:37.940 to just a

00:31:38.840 perfect framing

00:31:39.760 of the education

00:31:40.760 thing.

00:31:41.820 And I think

00:31:42.260 you could even

00:31:43.160 go a little

00:31:43.560 further.

00:31:45.660 It might be

00:31:46.380 hard for a

00:31:47.220 national politician

00:31:48.740 to say what

00:31:49.300 I'm going to say,

00:31:50.360 but here's

00:31:50.760 something I've

00:31:51.120 said before,

00:31:52.260 and I would

00:31:52.640 love to see

00:31:53.080 him say it.

00:31:54.300 We're never

00:31:54.960 going to agree

00:31:55.500 on reparations.

00:31:57.540 So let's do

00:31:58.320 what we can do.

00:32:00.180 Let's do

00:32:00.760 what's doable.

00:32:02.140 What's doable

00:32:02.800 is fixing

00:32:03.900 the biggest

00:32:04.460 part of

00:32:05.060 systemic racism,

00:32:06.540 which is

00:32:06.940 the school

00:32:07.320 system.

00:32:08.540 But you have

00:32:09.240 to fix it

00:32:09.760 for the poor

00:32:10.280 white people,

00:32:11.060 the poor

00:32:11.380 Asian people,

00:32:12.580 Asian American

00:32:13.160 people,

00:32:13.660 the poor

00:32:14.040 Hispanic American

00:32:14.940 people.

00:32:15.620 You have to

00:32:16.100 fix it for

00:32:16.580 everybody.

00:32:17.680 And if you

00:32:18.260 do,

00:32:19.120 this would be

00:32:19.700 speaking to

00:32:20.300 the black

00:32:21.020 American community,

00:32:22.240 if you can

00:32:23.420 join with us

00:32:24.260 and just fix it

00:32:25.580 for everybody

00:32:26.200 who is poor,

00:32:26.900 you will have

00:32:29.600 done the

00:32:30.140 greatest service

00:32:31.020 for the

00:32:32.180 United States

00:32:33.080 ever.

00:32:35.880 It would be

00:32:36.640 bigger than

00:32:37.240 anything.

00:32:38.320 And that

00:32:38.760 would be

00:32:39.240 something that

00:32:39.920 the black

00:32:40.400 American community

00:32:41.540 could own.

00:32:42.820 They could own

00:32:43.400 that.

00:32:44.240 One of the

00:32:44.620 biggest

00:32:44.840 accomplishments

00:32:45.440 that our

00:32:46.340 country could

00:32:46.820 ever hope

00:32:47.780 to have,

00:32:48.560 fixing education.

00:32:50.600 And if that's

00:32:52.460 not worth

00:32:52.940 anything to you,

00:32:53.880 to have that

00:32:55.140 sort of in

00:32:56.520 your history,

00:32:58.880 we teach

00:32:59.740 Black History

00:33:00.460 Month,

00:33:00.840 right?

00:33:02.260 So there's

00:33:03.140 a genuine

00:33:04.540 sort of

00:33:05.180 universal

00:33:05.760 interest in

00:33:07.500 making sure

00:33:08.020 that the

00:33:08.480 black American

00:33:09.260 community is

00:33:11.160 completely

00:33:11.740 credited for

00:33:13.060 historical

00:33:14.620 accomplishments,

00:33:15.480 et cetera,

00:33:15.920 contribution.

00:33:17.160 This could be

00:33:17.840 bigger than

00:33:18.260 all of that.

00:33:19.840 Because this

00:33:20.520 gets to

00:33:21.720 America,

00:33:25.100 basically.

00:33:26.540 Right?

00:33:26.980 The thing

00:33:27.480 that made

00:33:27.740 America America

00:33:28.460 is that the

00:33:29.480 various disparate

00:33:32.120 groups could

00:33:32.680 get along

00:33:33.140 somehow.

00:33:34.080 That we had

00:33:34.460 a system that

00:33:35.120 would make

00:33:35.420 all these

00:33:35.720 different people

00:33:36.480 be on the

00:33:38.240 same team.

00:33:40.020 So this

00:33:41.060 is the

00:33:41.620 biggest one.

00:33:42.780 If you make

00:33:43.240 this work,

00:33:44.540 I would say

00:33:45.260 you could add

00:33:45.780 another month

00:33:46.400 to Black 0.60

00:33:47.060 History Month.

00:33:47.720 Make it two

00:33:48.400 months.

00:33:49.460 Because I

00:33:50.360 think we

00:33:50.700 would all be

00:33:51.240 grateful to

00:33:52.700 be on the

00:33:53.060 same side

00:33:53.640 for something

00:33:54.260 that big.

00:33:57.380 Here's

00:33:57.900 something I

00:33:58.340 learned today

00:33:58.880 from Congressman

00:33:59.960 Troy Nels.

00:34:02.000 I didn't

00:34:02.500 know that the

00:34:02.980 cartels have

00:34:03.580 an air force.

00:34:05.360 Did you

00:34:05.680 know that?

00:34:07.000 That's not

00:34:07.720 very big.

00:34:08.860 But apparently

00:34:09.380 there have

00:34:09.800 been 10,000

00:34:10.800 cartel drone

00:34:11.860 detections.

00:34:13.160 Not 10,000

00:34:14.000 drones, but

00:34:14.680 10,000

00:34:15.280 detections.

00:34:16.560 So I guess

00:34:17.040 the cartels

00:34:17.660 used the drones

00:34:18.500 to survey

00:34:19.380 for law

00:34:21.320 enforcement

00:34:21.860 and for

00:34:22.780 other stuff

00:34:23.520 that they

00:34:23.840 might need.

00:34:25.680 They have

00:34:26.360 an air force.

00:34:27.740 Now, do

00:34:29.440 you think

00:34:29.800 if we just

00:34:30.460 keep waiting

00:34:31.220 it'll be

00:34:32.740 easier to

00:34:33.420 take them

00:34:33.820 out?

00:34:35.160 I have a

00:34:35.940 feeling we

00:34:36.340 ought to

00:34:36.860 maybe get

00:34:37.520 on this.

00:34:38.800 Because they've

00:34:39.700 got a little

00:34:40.080 bit of a

00:34:40.460 navy and a

00:34:41.060 little bit of

00:34:41.420 an air force

00:34:41.960 already.

00:34:42.340 I don't think

00:34:44.320 it's impossible

00:34:45.140 that they could

00:34:45.780 get missiles.

00:34:49.500 I feel like

00:34:50.340 they're going

00:34:50.580 to have, I

00:34:52.200 believe that if

00:34:53.080 they're not

00:34:53.460 already dropping

00:34:54.260 bombs from

00:34:54.980 the air with

00:34:55.920 the drones

00:34:56.340 that they

00:34:56.660 have, that

00:34:57.880 it's going to

00:34:58.280 happen really

00:34:58.760 fast.

00:35:00.220 I think the

00:35:00.900 cartels are

00:35:01.540 going to be

00:35:01.880 bombing their

00:35:02.740 enemies with

00:35:04.360 drones.

00:35:05.940 If not

00:35:06.680 already, they

00:35:07.240 might already

00:35:07.600 be doing it.

00:35:09.600 So maybe we

00:35:10.580 should get on

00:35:11.360 that.

00:35:12.700 Part of the

00:35:13.520 State of the

00:35:14.780 Union was

00:35:15.300 talking about

00:35:16.260 the talk.

00:35:18.080 Apparently

00:35:18.460 there's

00:35:18.740 something called

00:35:19.360 the talk

00:35:20.240 that black 1.00

00:35:22.380 families often

00:35:23.280 have with

00:35:23.740 their kids

00:35:24.120 when they

00:35:24.480 become driving

00:35:25.560 age, maybe

00:35:27.040 before.

00:35:28.300 And the

00:35:30.440 talk is if

00:35:32.180 you're stopped

00:35:32.780 by a police

00:35:34.080 officer to

00:35:35.740 treat the

00:35:36.380 police officer

00:35:37.080 respectful and

00:35:38.340 make sure that

00:35:39.280 your hands are

00:35:39.860 shown.

00:35:40.580 Basically, the

00:35:42.020 talk is telling

00:35:43.880 people how to

00:35:44.500 handle the

00:35:45.280 authority figures

00:35:46.260 without getting

00:35:47.360 killed.

00:35:49.380 Now, Matt

00:35:50.120 Walsh pointed

00:35:50.740 out that it's

00:35:52.340 not just black

00:35:53.600 and brown

00:35:54.040 families.

00:35:55.220 Like, who

00:35:55.720 thinks that

00:35:56.340 only black and

00:35:57.040 brown families

00:35:57.600 have that talk?

00:35:58.720 So, Matt

00:35:59.320 Walsh said,

00:36:00.380 when I started

00:36:00.980 driving, my

00:36:01.640 parents talked

00:36:02.240 to me about

00:36:02.740 what to do

00:36:03.180 if I'm pulled

00:36:03.700 over and

00:36:04.340 explained that I

00:36:05.120 should be

00:36:05.440 respectful to

00:36:06.240 the officer.

00:36:07.480 This idea that

00:36:08.360 only black

00:36:08.860 families need to 0.85

00:36:09.640 have this

00:36:10.000 conversation is

00:36:11.140 just utterly

00:36:11.640 ridiculous

00:36:12.160 nonsense.

00:36:14.220 Now, my

00:36:16.100 parents never

00:36:16.700 had this

00:36:17.100 conversation with

00:36:17.900 me.

00:36:19.760 And I'm not

00:36:21.660 sure why, but

00:36:22.420 I'm not a

00:36:23.040 mind reader, but

00:36:23.720 I speculate.

00:36:24.960 Here's my

00:36:25.420 speculation.

00:36:26.400 I think my

00:36:27.100 parents never

00:36:28.540 sat me down

00:36:29.240 and told me

00:36:29.920 that I should

00:36:31.160 avoid resisting

00:36:32.280 a police officer

00:36:33.500 with a gun.

00:36:34.320 they may

00:36:37.420 have, and

00:36:37.920 I'm just

00:36:38.220 speculating,

00:36:38.880 they may

00:36:39.600 have thought

00:36:40.420 that I'm

00:36:41.780 not a

00:36:42.100 fucking idiot. 0.98

00:36:44.060 They may

00:36:44.760 have.

00:36:45.940 Because if I

00:36:46.920 were an

00:36:48.540 idiot, I

00:36:49.800 wouldn't know

00:36:50.440 not to start a

00:36:51.340 fight with a

00:36:51.760 guy with a

00:36:52.140 gun.

00:36:53.660 But I was

00:36:54.320 trying to

00:36:54.620 think at

00:36:55.060 what age I

00:36:56.760 had independently

00:36:57.660 figured out not

00:36:58.700 to start a

00:36:59.260 fight with

00:36:59.640 somebody with a

00:37:00.260 gun.

00:37:01.520 I'm thinking

00:37:01.960 it was age

00:37:02.440 three.

00:37:04.320 age three.

00:37:06.420 Well, how

00:37:07.020 old were you

00:37:07.520 when you

00:37:07.780 realized that

00:37:08.340 starting a

00:37:08.820 fight with

00:37:09.540 somebody who

00:37:09.960 had a gun

00:37:10.560 and a reason

00:37:12.140 to use it?

00:37:14.120 How old were

00:37:14.840 you when you

00:37:15.140 realized that

00:37:15.540 was a bad

00:37:15.940 idea?

00:37:17.420 About three,

00:37:18.260 right?

00:37:19.160 You were

00:37:19.560 probably watching

00:37:20.120 TV, and you

00:37:21.720 thought, wow,

00:37:22.300 if one of them

00:37:22.800 has a gun, and

00:37:25.060 that other one

00:37:25.540 doesn't have a

00:37:26.100 gun, two and

00:37:28.500 two, yeah,

00:37:29.660 yeah, you

00:37:30.420 don't want to

00:37:30.800 start a fight

00:37:31.280 with somebody

00:37:31.660 who has a

00:37:31.980 gun.

00:37:32.140 So, do

00:37:35.200 you really

00:37:35.520 need to

00:37:35.920 have, do

00:37:39.780 you really

00:37:40.380 need to have

00:37:40.760 that talk?

00:37:42.060 All right, I

00:37:42.820 said something

00:37:43.380 highly provocative

00:37:44.340 today.

00:37:45.460 It's a question,

00:37:46.860 but I actually

00:37:47.600 wonder, has

00:37:48.920 anybody who

00:37:49.680 was sober,

00:37:51.000 that includes

00:37:51.740 drugs, right,

00:37:52.640 sober, has

00:37:53.640 there ever been

00:37:54.160 someone who

00:37:54.560 was sober and

00:37:56.080 had an IQ

00:37:56.740 over 110,

00:37:58.820 who has

00:37:59.620 ever been

00:38:00.040 killed in a

00:38:00.780 police stop in

00:38:01.620 a vehicle?

00:38:04.000 Like ever?

00:38:05.900 I don't think

00:38:06.720 so.

00:38:07.760 So, I think the

00:38:08.720 thing that we're

00:38:09.180 avoiding is it's

00:38:10.020 a stupid drunk

00:38:11.480 problem, or a

00:38:13.140 stupid inebriated 0.83

00:38:14.080 problem.

00:38:15.020 We keep asking

00:38:15.960 like it's some

00:38:16.600 kind of police

00:38:17.160 problem, or some

00:38:18.240 kind of a race

00:38:19.200 problem, it's

00:38:19.860 just a stupid

00:38:20.540 problem.

00:38:21.000 It's a stupid

00:38:21.620 problem.

00:38:22.800 Stupid and

00:38:23.460 drunk, right?

00:38:24.920 I don't believe

00:38:25.880 any black

00:38:28.520 person who,

00:38:29.740 you know, was

00:38:31.900 totally sober

00:38:33.020 and, let's

00:38:36.120 say, was

00:38:36.660 smart enough

00:38:37.120 to have a

00:38:37.440 job, wasn't

00:38:39.740 a criminal, had

00:38:40.740 a job, I

00:38:42.720 don't think any

00:38:43.160 of them have

00:38:43.540 ever been

00:38:43.900 killed.

00:38:45.300 And if they

00:38:46.120 were, it was

00:38:46.940 because something

00:38:47.540 weird happened.

00:38:48.460 Now, I tweeted

00:38:49.000 this, and I

00:38:49.520 expected a bunch

00:38:50.240 of people to

00:38:50.720 say what you

00:38:52.360 said.

00:38:52.940 So, here I'm

00:38:54.400 seeing the

00:38:54.800 comments, OMG,

00:38:55.760 seriously, I

00:38:58.540 was looking for,

00:38:59.280 I thought people

00:38:59.860 would give me

00:39:00.320 examples of the

00:39:01.120 opposite.

00:39:02.360 But they gave

00:39:03.080 me examples of

00:39:04.060 people who were

00:39:04.620 killed not in

00:39:05.760 car stops, people

00:39:08.220 who were drunk.

00:39:11.740 But are we at a

00:39:13.620 point where we

00:39:14.080 can just say

00:39:14.540 this?

00:39:15.720 Yeah.

00:39:16.180 No, this has

00:39:16.760 nothing to do

00:39:17.260 with race.

00:39:18.600 I'm not bringing

00:39:19.420 race into it at

00:39:20.140 all.

00:39:20.300 well, I'm

00:39:21.240 saying that no

00:39:21.920 matter who you

00:39:22.480 are, if you're

00:39:23.940 sober, and you're

00:39:25.980 an adult, and you

00:39:27.060 have an IQ over

00:39:27.840 110, I'll bet

00:39:29.740 nobody's ever been

00:39:30.560 killed by police.

00:39:32.520 Unless it was

00:39:33.180 just the weirdest

00:39:33.780 situation of, you

00:39:35.060 know, mistaken

00:39:36.420 something, some

00:39:37.540 kind of mistaken

00:39:38.140 identity thing.

00:39:39.740 But that would

00:39:40.440 happen, you know,

00:39:41.160 no matter what you

00:39:41.740 did, if it was

00:39:42.320 mistaken identity.

00:39:47.480 No, that's not

00:39:48.300 true.

00:39:49.000 That is a racist

00:39:49.860 statement.

00:39:50.400 If you think

00:39:50.940 that speaking

00:39:51.600 about IQ in

00:39:52.760 this context is

00:39:53.920 racial, it's 0.97

00:39:55.240 not.

00:39:55.960 That's on you.

00:39:57.140 You're making

00:39:57.740 that connection.

00:39:58.760 I'm just saying

00:39:59.340 that if you're

00:40:00.020 smart and sober,

00:40:01.800 you don't start a

00:40:02.820 fight with somebody

00:40:03.480 who has a gun.

00:40:04.840 Do you?

00:40:06.260 And if you do,

00:40:08.100 I'm not sure you

00:40:08.920 have an IQ of

00:40:09.540 110.

00:40:11.160 You know, maybe

00:40:11.520 you have some

00:40:11.840 anger problem.

00:40:12.880 But the talk

00:40:13.540 isn't going to

00:40:14.020 help you.

00:40:15.040 How much is the

00:40:15.780 talk going to

00:40:16.500 help you?

00:40:16.880 All right.

00:40:21.180 Anyway, those

00:40:22.260 are just some

00:40:22.620 questions.

00:40:23.400 I'll probably

00:40:23.760 get canceled for

00:40:24.460 saying that.

00:40:26.260 And that's

00:40:26.860 fine.

00:40:27.760 There's a new

00:40:28.500 piece of software

00:40:29.220 that should scare

00:40:30.300 everybody in the

00:40:31.760 creative industry,

00:40:33.860 especially if you

00:40:34.740 make movies.

00:40:35.400 So I saw this

00:40:36.460 from Machiavelli's

00:40:38.220 account on

00:40:40.900 Twitter.

00:40:41.380 And the new

00:40:41.900 software is called

00:40:42.680 Runway.

00:40:44.240 And it will be

00:40:45.020 hard for me to

00:40:45.620 describe exactly

00:40:46.440 what it can do,

00:40:47.660 but I'll give you

00:40:48.140 some examples.

00:40:50.540 You can take any

00:40:52.100 existing video,

00:40:55.500 and you can

00:40:56.980 combine it with

00:40:58.400 some other video,

00:40:59.880 and you can say

00:41:00.540 use the style of

00:41:01.700 the other video,

00:41:02.420 and just make a

00:41:04.560 whole complete

00:41:05.620 video with that

00:41:06.420 style.

00:41:07.480 Now, that doesn't

00:41:08.400 quite explain what

00:41:09.280 it is until I give

00:41:10.000 you the example.

00:41:11.360 So the example

00:41:12.180 showed a video of

00:41:13.920 somebody walking on

00:41:14.900 the moon, you

00:41:16.000 know, a moon

00:41:16.360 walk, and then

00:41:18.000 separately, somebody

00:41:19.860 took a video of

00:41:20.780 themselves walking

00:41:21.780 in the snow.

00:41:23.600 And then they

00:41:24.440 said, combine these

00:41:25.420 two, but use the

00:41:26.260 style of the

00:41:27.280 spaceman.

00:41:29.060 And so the

00:41:29.860 person walking

00:41:30.560 into the snow

00:41:31.340 turned into a

00:41:33.180 moonscape with a

00:41:34.780 person in a space

00:41:35.960 outfit walking

00:41:36.700 through the moon.

00:41:38.660 They basically

00:41:39.760 created a whole

00:41:40.940 movie with a

00:41:42.320 style, costumes,

00:41:43.800 and everything

00:41:44.120 else, just by

00:41:45.800 one sentence.

00:41:47.860 Use the style of

00:41:48.800 this video.

00:41:50.680 That's it.

00:41:51.880 And then as the

00:41:52.640 person who made

00:41:53.520 their own video

00:41:54.080 moved around,

00:41:54.900 they were just

00:41:55.340 moving around,

00:41:56.440 but wearing a

00:41:57.120 space suit.

00:41:57.920 And you can do

00:41:58.700 that with faces,

00:42:00.360 backgrounds,

00:42:01.340 people, you

00:42:02.500 can create an

00:42:03.460 entire movie just

00:42:05.500 by walking around

00:42:06.600 in your own

00:42:07.240 clothes, and

00:42:08.760 then later, you

00:42:09.780 know, bringing a

00:42:10.340 style over, and

00:42:11.740 the entire movie

00:42:13.440 will be populated.

00:42:14.620 So you don't even

00:42:15.500 have to go frame

00:42:16.280 to frame, say,

00:42:17.700 all right, in this

00:42:18.220 frame, replace this

00:42:19.720 with this.

00:42:20.900 It does it all

00:42:22.000 instantly and

00:42:24.140 perfectly.

00:42:25.380 Now add that to

00:42:26.400 the fact that you

00:42:26.980 can reproduce any

00:42:27.780 voice now with AI,

00:42:29.820 AI, and you

00:42:31.740 can type in any

00:42:32.580 dialogue, and you

00:42:34.060 might not even have

00:42:34.940 to give it dialogue.

00:42:36.940 I think we're

00:42:37.760 pretty close to the

00:42:38.740 point with a few

00:42:39.480 different AIs.

00:42:40.660 It's not all in one

00:42:41.480 AI, but a few

00:42:42.960 different.

00:42:43.480 I think you could

00:42:44.060 write the script and

00:42:45.860 have it create the

00:42:46.740 movie in about 10

00:42:48.960 minutes.

00:42:50.420 Here's how you do

00:42:51.200 it.

00:42:51.980 You say, hey, AI,

00:42:53.380 I'm not sure which

00:42:54.060 one you use for this,

00:42:54.880 but one of them does

00:42:55.520 this.

00:42:55.740 Hey, AI, write me

00:42:58.280 a movie that has a

00:42:59.840 three-act structure and

00:43:02.160 is in the style of,

00:43:03.720 and then you name a

00:43:04.500 famous movie writer,

00:43:07.080 or something in the

00:43:08.340 style of Tom Cruise's

00:43:11.520 Mission Impossible.

00:43:13.740 But it's a new movie,

00:43:16.000 and just use that

00:43:16.740 style.

00:43:17.480 And by the way, you

00:43:18.200 should read this book

00:43:19.200 called Save the Cat

00:43:20.500 that tells you how to

00:43:21.580 write good movie

00:43:22.660 structure.

00:43:23.320 The AI will write 0.99

00:43:25.800 the entire movie in

00:43:26.740 about a second, and

00:43:28.560 then you take that

00:43:29.160 whole script and you

00:43:30.960 say, use this style,

00:43:34.380 use the Tom Cruise

00:43:35.500 style of, you know,

00:43:36.700 what the Mission

00:43:37.740 Impossible movies look

00:43:38.800 like, and then you

00:43:40.520 walk outside and, you

00:43:42.000 know, you walk around

00:43:42.780 and maybe you're even

00:43:44.160 in your own office

00:43:46.100 doing stuff, or maybe

00:43:47.680 you don't even need

00:43:48.680 to.

00:43:48.960 Maybe it just creates

00:43:49.840 you, puts you in the

00:43:51.660 movie, and has you do

00:43:52.440 all the scenes.

00:43:54.140 So I think you might

00:43:55.220 be able to create an

00:43:55.860 entire movie in maybe

00:43:57.940 two minutes.

00:44:01.060 And that's already

00:44:03.520 here.

00:44:05.440 Already here.

00:44:06.540 So everybody who kept

00:44:07.760 saying, Scott, Scott,

00:44:09.040 Scott, this AI you keep

00:44:11.040 talking about, it's

00:44:12.280 always in the future.

00:44:13.200 It's the flying car.

00:44:14.840 Oh, the flying car is

00:44:16.040 going to be here

00:44:16.580 tomorrow.

00:44:17.540 Where's my flying car?

00:44:18.940 And I've been saying,

00:44:21.600 no, it's software.

00:44:23.280 When it gets here, it's

00:44:24.580 going to be here really

00:44:25.460 fast.

00:44:26.460 It's going to be not

00:44:27.280 here, not here, not

00:44:28.140 here.

00:44:28.460 Oh, shit, everything

00:44:29.180 changed.

00:44:30.480 And that's where we are.

00:44:31.800 We're in the next year

00:44:33.840 cannot be predicted.

00:44:36.060 You cannot predict next

00:44:38.920 year.

00:44:39.940 And this is the first

00:44:40.960 time in history that

00:44:41.780 that's been this true.

00:44:43.820 I mean, you can't

00:44:44.360 predict pandemics and

00:44:45.620 stuff.

00:44:46.140 But nothing's been less

00:44:47.440 predictable than what's

00:44:49.300 going to happen in the

00:44:50.020 next year.

00:44:50.540 It could be anything.

00:44:52.340 I don't think it'll be

00:44:53.120 bad necessarily, but it

00:44:54.160 could be anything.

00:44:55.960 So that's where we're

00:44:56.840 going with that.

00:45:00.040 I recommend a YouTube

00:45:02.600 interview with Dr.

00:45:04.580 Jordan Peterson and Dr.

00:45:06.180 Richard Lindzen, which

00:45:08.820 you should just Google.

00:45:09.840 You can find it.

00:45:10.420 So search for Dr. 0.91

00:45:12.200 Jordan Peterson.

00:45:13.380 And then climate

00:45:14.560 change or Dr.

00:45:16.480 Richard Lindzen, L-I-N-D-Z-E-N.

00:45:21.020 Now, the first part of

00:45:23.320 the video is a whole

00:45:25.160 bunch about the

00:45:26.060 credentials of Dr.

00:45:28.140 Lindzen, which are

00:45:29.540 extreme.

00:45:30.820 And the reason that

00:45:32.000 Peterson spends so much

00:45:33.380 time on his credentials

00:45:34.440 is that he's going to say

00:45:36.420 something that will blow

00:45:37.300 your mind.

00:45:38.940 And unless you know how

00:45:40.260 serious a scientist this

00:45:42.480 guy is, it's just not

00:45:44.220 going to work.

00:45:45.120 Like the communication

00:45:46.420 can't even work until you

00:45:48.440 know how much of a, you

00:45:50.400 know, a study is

00:45:51.380 scientifically.

00:45:52.580 All right.

00:45:52.860 So he's right at the top.

00:45:54.420 You know, best schools,

00:45:55.940 best experience, right place.

00:45:58.160 And he's at an age where he

00:46:00.720 saw the entire climate

00:46:02.480 change narrative created.

00:46:06.220 And so he explained how the

00:46:09.320 narrative was created, which

00:46:10.840 I'm going to call tentatively

00:46:12.060 a hoax.

00:46:13.080 Hoax isn't exactly the right

00:46:14.360 word for this, but it gets

00:46:16.360 you close to it.

00:46:17.480 He explains how it

00:46:18.920 arised and in a way that is

00:46:21.640 completely convincing.

00:46:23.480 Now, do you remember the

00:46:24.680 documentary effect?

00:46:26.800 You have to really beware

00:46:28.200 here.

00:46:28.860 The documentary effect, as I've

00:46:31.180 described on Twitter, is when

00:46:33.120 you watch one documentary,

00:46:35.040 you think it's totally true

00:46:36.420 because they will leave out

00:46:37.920 the other argument.

00:46:39.500 If you never see the other

00:46:41.020 argument, you're going to be

00:46:42.500 really, really convinced by

00:46:43.720 the one you see.

00:46:44.800 So when you watch this, be

00:46:46.200 careful because it's super

00:46:48.780 persuasive, super persuasive,

00:46:52.520 but you're not seeing the

00:46:53.980 other side.

00:46:54.640 So just keep that in mind,

00:46:55.820 right?

00:46:56.120 So keep a little bit of

00:46:57.260 skepticism alive, but man,

00:46:59.380 it's persuasive.

00:47:00.560 And one of the things, one of

00:47:01.980 things that Dr. Linzen does

00:47:03.460 that's persuasive, since I

00:47:06.000 talk about persuasion a lot,

00:47:07.720 is he ends on the best down

00:47:10.340 notes I've ever heard.

00:47:12.780 Now, here's what I mean.

00:47:14.920 You would sound unconfident in

00:47:17.100 your own opinion if you end in

00:47:18.780 an up note.

00:47:19.880 So if I said, I think the moon

00:47:22.820 is made of cheese, I think

00:47:25.560 there's climate change, so that

00:47:27.460 sounds unconfident.

00:47:28.460 And I've taught you before

00:47:30.120 that if you end on a lower

00:47:32.400 note, you sound like you know

00:47:34.180 what you're talking about.

00:47:35.440 Well, we've got climate change.

00:47:38.200 Climate change is caused by

00:47:40.120 the CO2, right?

00:47:42.320 So if you end on the low note,

00:47:43.680 you sound like a serious person

00:47:45.040 who knows what you're talking

00:47:45.840 about.

00:47:47.120 Dr. Linzen ends on the best low

00:47:50.300 note you've ever heard, because

00:47:52.280 he actually drags it out a little

00:47:53.780 bit.

00:47:54.020 So he'll say something like, I'm

00:47:57.120 just making this one up, but he'll

00:47:59.320 say something like, the climate

00:48:05.160 change is caused by a variety of

00:48:08.840 things, but I'm not so sure it's

00:48:10.620 entirely caused by the CO2.

00:48:13.340 And he just milks that low note, so he

00:48:19.240 sounds so smart, and he actually

00:48:22.000 is, so it's compatible with his

00:48:25.100 actual knowledge.

00:48:26.140 All right, here is what I learned

00:48:28.220 from that.

00:48:30.800 Number one, global warming is not the

00:48:35.220 first time that the energy business

00:48:38.220 has been attacked.

00:48:39.080 And there was some speculation, but

00:48:42.620 why is it that, you know, first

00:48:44.700 there's global cooling, so don't

00:48:46.560 use this.

00:48:47.400 First there's, then there's

00:48:48.320 pollution, so get rid of your

00:48:50.040 energy.

00:48:50.480 Now there's CO2, so get rid of your

00:48:52.240 energy.

00:48:52.860 It seemed like there were lots of

00:48:54.140 reasons, historically, and this is

00:48:57.160 the historical perspective that Dr.

00:48:59.240 Linzen gives.

00:49:00.980 And you wonder why.

00:49:03.900 I think this is sort of my take on

00:49:06.480 this.

00:49:06.660 But one of the things I hadn't

00:49:08.880 considered is that there's some

00:49:10.740 group of people who are more about

00:49:12.580 income inequality, meaning that

00:49:15.700 everybody in the energy business and

00:49:18.740 anybody who uses it is probably

00:49:20.820 wealthy.

00:49:22.740 People who don't use a lot of energy,

00:49:25.200 probably less so.

00:49:26.720 And the people who think everybody

00:49:28.400 should be a little more equal, a

00:49:29.960 little bit more socialist, are maybe

00:49:32.580 not so happy that people are getting

00:49:34.280 rich in the energy business.

00:49:35.680 They just like a little less of it, a

00:49:37.900 little more green stuff, so we're all

00:49:39.480 about the same, you know, everybody's

00:49:40.920 eating granola.

00:49:42.260 Now, of course, this is a mind-reading,

00:49:45.460 speculative thing, right?

00:49:46.500 We can't know what people are

00:49:47.560 thinking.

00:49:48.800 But, I don't know, what do you

00:49:50.020 think?

00:49:50.640 Do you think there's any group of

00:49:51.940 people who are just sort of jealous of

00:49:55.680 the prosperity of others?

00:49:58.060 Do you think that's the thing?

00:49:59.140 Because jealousy is such a universal

00:50:03.120 thing, you'd expect there's some of it.

00:50:05.540 But I don't know, I don't, the part

00:50:07.360 that I'm not completely on board with

00:50:09.500 is does that, does that jealousy

00:50:11.780 translate into wanting to take out

00:50:14.860 the big, rich energy business?

00:50:17.720 Probably.

00:50:19.040 Probably a little bit.

00:50:20.640 Then you've also got the media alarmists

00:50:22.720 who can make money by going after the

00:50:25.020 energy business.

00:50:25.800 You've got the green opportunists 1.00

00:50:27.460 and entrepreneurs who can make money

00:50:29.140 because the alternatives are, you

00:50:31.740 know, being funded, so people are

00:50:33.240 happy to, you know, be against the

00:50:35.080 energy business.

00:50:36.320 You've got brainwashed kids who are

00:50:38.580 against it, not for reasons, but

00:50:40.560 because they're kids and because

00:50:41.800 they've been brainwashed, which is how

00:50:44.300 all kids learn everything, basically.

00:50:46.560 Of course, there's China who would like 1.00

00:50:48.280 the energy business to go out of

00:50:49.920 business because that would make us

00:50:51.300 less competitive.

00:50:52.640 There are posers who just want to

00:50:54.380 look good and say, oh, big, big energy

00:50:57.300 is bad.

00:50:58.280 So there are people who are just

00:50:59.160 basically, it's about their identity.

00:51:01.220 And then you've got these weird

00:51:02.440 people, the anti-humanists, who

00:51:04.620 believe that the planet is better

00:51:05.940 without people.

00:51:07.780 You know, for a while I thought they

00:51:08.840 didn't exist, but there actually are

00:51:10.660 some of them.

00:51:11.480 And they're kind of noisy.

00:51:13.640 There aren't that many of them, but

00:51:15.840 they can be prominent.

00:51:17.320 So there are a whole bunch of reasons

00:51:20.920 historically that the energy business

00:51:23.200 has been attacked.

00:51:24.600 But Dr. Lindzen points out that the

00:51:26.620 CO2 attack is the smartest one.

00:51:30.200 Do you know why?

00:51:32.220 Because there's always going to be

00:51:33.400 CO2 in the air.

00:51:34.840 So you always have something to

00:51:36.420 complain about.

00:51:37.540 Because CO2 will just always be there.

00:51:39.920 It doesn't matter what you do.

00:51:41.420 So you just always have something to

00:51:43.060 complain about.

00:51:43.620 All right, so I would say that this

00:51:47.320 part is more speculative than what

00:51:50.020 I'm going to talk about next.

00:51:51.780 The next part blew my mind.

00:51:54.280 I'd never heard this.

00:51:57.040 And, of course, this is more opinion.

00:52:00.780 This is opinion, not fact.

00:52:03.320 But this is Dr. Lindzen's description

00:52:07.200 of how we got here.

00:52:08.980 How we got here is fascinating.

00:52:11.860 If it's true, right?

00:52:14.980 So here's his take.

00:52:16.740 It started out this way.

00:52:18.100 A scientist, now this is, you know,

00:52:19.840 generically, this is how it works.

00:52:21.860 Generically speaking, a scientist

00:52:23.860 will do a paper and say, hey, it

00:52:25.860 looks like CO2 might make us one

00:52:29.220 degree warmer by some date.

00:52:31.940 Now what's missing from that is

00:52:34.240 therefore the Earth will be

00:52:35.540 destroyed.

00:52:37.440 Scientists didn't say that.

00:52:39.440 Scientists just said, hey, I think

00:52:40.680 temperature might go up a little bit.

00:52:43.340 But that turns into a panic by the

00:52:46.320 time it gets to the media and it

00:52:47.660 gets to the advocates.

00:52:49.220 So the advocates turn this non-scary

00:52:52.460 statement of, well, maybe temperature

00:52:54.840 up a degree.

00:52:56.520 They turn this into the world will end,

00:52:59.180 which was never what the scientists

00:53:00.500 said.

00:53:01.640 And then the politicians say, oh, my God,

00:53:04.880 my God, my God, we have to do

00:53:06.220 something about this because the media's

00:53:07.700 got all our voters whipped up.

00:53:09.660 So they say, we will put massive

00:53:11.440 amount of money into this to fix it.

00:53:13.680 And that money goes back to the

00:53:15.240 scientist who wants to say, oh, I

00:53:21.020 didn't say it's an emergency.

00:53:23.140 I just said the temperature might go up

00:53:24.560 a little.

00:53:24.780 But if they say it might be

00:53:29.840 emergency, well, you know, you don't

00:53:31.760 know if it's an emergency.

00:53:33.160 Maybe we should study it.

00:53:35.620 So you very quickly created a situation

00:53:37.800 where the only way you could get

00:53:39.200 funding was to say there was a panic

00:53:42.400 and we better do something about it.

00:53:43.880 And once that dynamic started, Dr.

00:53:48.300 Lindzen talked about two times that he

00:53:51.040 got a paper published in a scientific

00:53:53.940 publication.

00:53:55.840 And both times the editor was fired

00:53:58.320 immediately because his papers didn't

00:54:01.060 agree with the narrative.

00:54:03.580 Apparently you would be fired

00:54:05.040 immediately if you tried to stop the

00:54:08.460 money train.

00:54:09.860 Because think what would happen if you

00:54:11.200 published a paper that said, oh, oh, you

00:54:13.960 can stop sending all this money.

00:54:16.280 You can just save it.

00:54:17.800 Don't send any money to scientists.

00:54:20.040 My paper has shown that climate

00:54:22.100 change is no problem.

00:54:24.560 You couldn't get that published because

00:54:26.980 the money train was too big.

00:54:29.140 Right?

00:54:29.560 So where we are is we're just in this

00:54:31.960 weird situation where a lot of people

00:54:33.980 have probably convinced themselves it's

00:54:35.860 true, but it was never based on

00:54:38.540 science.

00:54:39.040 Because none of this came from the

00:54:41.860 scientists.

00:54:42.640 The scientists were just responding to

00:54:44.380 the money and then, of course, they

00:54:46.980 found confirmation.

00:54:49.220 Of course they did.

00:54:50.620 Because that's where the money was.

00:54:52.480 The money will get you anything you

00:54:53.800 want.

00:54:54.880 If Congress funded science to find

00:54:57.980 ghosts, like actual ghosts, how many

00:55:03.320 ghosts would the scientists find?

00:55:05.020 A lot.

00:55:08.840 Yeah.

00:55:09.640 The answer is a lot.

00:55:11.460 They would find all the ghosts they

00:55:13.220 could find.

00:55:14.100 They would find indirect evidence of

00:55:16.440 ghosts.

00:55:17.140 They would find a video of a ghost.

00:55:18.960 They'd find ghosts talking to you.

00:55:20.900 They'd have, oh, there would be ghost,

00:55:23.020 ghost, ghost papers.

00:55:25.240 All right.

00:55:25.860 So then there were a few other things

00:55:27.300 that Dr. Linson confirmed that I had

00:55:30.900 always suspected.

00:55:31.620 Do you know what the value of a peer

00:55:34.720 reviewed study is?

00:55:37.740 Do you know the peer reviewer is just

00:55:39.580 checking to see if you did the obvious

00:55:41.580 math right?

00:55:43.020 That's all they do.

00:55:44.700 They're just looking for, is the paper

00:55:47.100 interesting?

00:55:48.400 So it has to be like different enough

00:55:50.140 that it's worthy of attention.

00:55:51.900 Is it interesting?

00:55:53.680 And is there any obvious math problem?

00:55:56.960 That's it.

00:55:58.340 And then the public thinks that it's

00:56:00.760 been reviewed by another scientist,

00:56:03.280 and since two scientists have looked

00:56:04.920 at it and agreed, it must be pretty

00:56:07.200 good, must be solid.

00:56:09.000 Nothing like that's happening.

00:56:11.160 Peer review doesn't have any value,

00:56:14.260 except, you know, checking the basic

00:56:15.840 math, I guess.

00:56:17.240 None.

00:56:18.080 In fact, peer review prevents papers that

00:56:22.480 are against the narrative.

00:56:23.360 So peer review actually hides the truth.

00:56:29.680 Because one part is, oh, here's a paper

00:56:31.900 from Dr. Linson.

00:56:33.140 Nope.

00:56:33.860 Sorry.

00:56:36.460 Peer review reduces the truth.

00:56:42.140 It does not reveal it.

00:56:43.360 It reduces it.

00:56:44.560 By its nature.

00:56:45.800 By design.

00:56:47.440 Not design, but by its nature.

00:56:49.100 And then the funniest thing was

00:56:51.600 listening to Dr. Linson describe how

00:56:54.320 the prediction models for climate

00:56:56.300 science have been created.

00:56:58.220 Now, I can't summarize it in a way

00:57:02.260 that would do credit to it.

00:57:04.320 But suffice to say that if you imagine

00:57:07.340 that Dilbert is sort of a universal thing

00:57:11.500 in all business, science too.

00:57:14.140 So, apparently the models are as ridiculous

00:57:17.200 as you knew.

00:57:19.220 They're ridiculous.

00:57:21.120 And it doesn't take, you know,

00:57:22.920 more than a few minutes of him talking

00:57:24.620 about them before you're actually laughing.

00:57:28.400 So I'll just give you one example.

00:57:30.480 This is just one example.

00:57:31.520 When a climate model doesn't work,

00:57:36.440 like it wildly goes too high or too low

00:57:39.120 and she'd know it's wrong,

00:57:41.060 they'll put in a, what do you call it,

00:57:44.600 like a moderating variable.

00:57:48.360 They'll just put in a variable that stops it

00:57:50.540 from being wildly wrong.

00:57:52.600 But the variable is just something they make up.

00:57:55.680 A damper, right?

00:57:56.800 They put in a damper.

00:57:58.560 A dampening variable.

00:57:59.880 A dampening variable is just a variable

00:58:02.900 they make up in their head

00:58:04.080 to make it come out the way

00:58:05.900 they wanted it to come out.

00:58:07.580 It's literally not even close to science.

00:58:10.920 Not even close.

00:58:12.780 And so we're spending, you know,

00:58:14.740 gazillion dollars based on these predictions

00:58:19.200 that no reasonable person thinks are credible.

00:58:23.300 Nobody.

00:58:24.220 Nobody involved thinks are credible.

00:58:26.680 Unless they're making money

00:58:27.920 by selling them, of course.

00:58:29.880 So that's just a, you know, a taste of it.

00:58:34.120 So, oh, and here is my favorite part.

00:58:38.540 Everything that you thought was true

00:58:40.460 turns out to be true, you know,

00:58:42.940 or at least confirmed by somebody

00:58:44.400 who was in the middle of it.

00:58:46.260 And one was, do you remember the other day I said,

00:58:48.880 do you really believe that scientists

00:58:50.360 can measure the temperature of the Earth?

00:58:53.260 Do you remember me saying that?

00:58:54.700 And just laughing?

00:58:57.400 Did anybody ever believe that was the case?

00:59:00.360 If you ever believe that scientists

00:59:02.180 could measure the temperature of the Earth

00:59:04.880 and then compare it to what it was before,

00:59:09.480 there's something wrong with you.

00:59:10.980 Like, nobody who's lived five minutes in the real world

00:59:14.740 thinks that's possible.

00:59:16.180 And then I'm listening to Dr. Lindzen talk about it.

00:59:18.920 It's like, no, it's not possible.

00:59:20.540 And no, they haven't done it.

00:59:22.400 They've produced a number.

00:59:24.240 They have produced numbers.

00:59:25.640 But no, you can't measure the temperature of the Earth.

00:59:28.140 That's not really a thing we can do.

00:59:30.080 And there's an obvious reason.

00:59:33.540 You can measure a whole bunch of places,

00:59:37.100 but every place you didn't measure

00:59:39.320 is a place that could be storing some extra energy

00:59:43.080 that you didn't know about.

00:59:44.980 So you're not really measuring anything.

00:59:47.660 You're only measuring those locations,

00:59:50.400 and even those locations,

00:59:52.020 and he had a number of other criticisms

00:59:53.920 that would convince you beyond a doubt

00:59:56.680 that it's all garbage.

00:59:58.720 Now, given all that,

01:00:01.680 if you imagine that his take on it is true,

01:00:05.340 could you call climate change a hoax?

01:00:08.660 Does that word fit?

01:00:12.220 Now, keep in mind that he says

01:00:14.160 that 97% of scientists, including himself,

01:00:17.960 would agree with the statement

01:00:19.200 that CO2 is a greenhouse gas

01:00:22.220 and that it would increase warming to some amount.

01:00:25.540 So he's not arguing with the basic idea

01:00:28.400 that CO2 couldn't cause warming.

01:00:30.660 He's just saying

01:00:31.360 it's not an important amount of warming

01:00:33.820 compared to all the other variables.

01:00:39.160 Yeah.

01:00:39.840 All right.

01:00:40.940 So we have a possibility,

01:00:44.860 I suppose it's a small one,

01:00:47.780 that Trump will be considered right about this as well

01:00:51.120 when he called it a Chinese hoax.

01:00:54.480 Now, that's like hyperbole.

01:00:56.980 China's one part of the story, 0.95

01:00:58.820 and hoax isn't exactly right

01:01:00.420 because I'm not sure that these people were lying.

01:01:04.160 They may have just motivated reasoning.

01:01:06.140 Oh, if you're going to give me money,

01:01:08.440 I believe this now.

01:01:09.740 People will come to believe

01:01:11.000 whatever is consistent with their thoughts

01:01:12.760 that they're good people.

01:01:14.280 If they think they're good people,

01:01:16.140 they're not going to imagine a world

01:01:18.320 in which they're lying to get money.

01:01:20.500 They'll imagine that they actually believe

01:01:22.460 that their studies are useful

01:01:23.820 and telling you something.

01:01:26.240 So I'm not sure hoax is the right word,

01:01:27.920 but definitely I'm of the current working opinion

01:01:31.760 that climate change is ridiculously absurd

01:01:37.180 in terms of its risk

01:01:38.740 and that there's no real long-term risk.

01:01:42.660 We'll probably be safer in the future,

01:01:43.980 not in more danger.

01:01:46.300 So that's my current view,

01:01:48.020 and it's not too far from my view before

01:01:50.020 except more confirmation of things

01:01:51.940 that I thought were obvious.

01:01:53.600 The things I thought were obvious

01:01:54.980 from my own experience,

01:01:56.260 there's no way you could make

01:01:58.040 a climate model that predicts.

01:02:00.920 I did not need Dr. Linsen to tell me that

01:02:03.580 because I've worked on a lot of prediction models,

01:02:07.280 and you know that it's the assumptions

01:02:09.060 that drive them.

01:02:10.220 It's not the data.

01:02:11.800 The data doesn't drive them.

01:02:13.160 It's your assumptions,

01:02:14.300 and your assumptions are guesses.

01:02:16.500 So, I mean, I knew that

01:02:17.800 because I've done data models.

01:02:19.520 But if you've never done them,

01:02:20.960 you think, oh, scientists are doing them.

01:02:22.580 They might have some science in them.

01:02:24.660 There's no science in them.

01:02:26.820 There's no science in those models.

01:02:29.240 So I knew that.

01:02:30.880 I also knew just from living in the real world

01:02:33.880 that you couldn't measure the temperature of the Earth

01:02:36.500 and know that you had something useful across time

01:02:40.800 and all that stuff.

01:02:41.320 I knew that.

01:02:42.760 Just common sense.

01:02:44.000 If you lived in the world, you knew it.

01:02:46.440 Now, that doesn't mean those two things did not alone

01:02:50.500 mean that we had no risk.

01:02:52.500 But when I hear Dr. Linsen talk about it in context,

01:02:57.120 and you realize the whole history

01:02:58.800 of how the energy business has always been under attack,

01:03:01.800 and when one attack doesn't work,

01:03:03.700 they just change it to a new attack through history.

01:03:06.880 Oh, here's some hallucination.

01:03:13.280 So somebody says to me, Craig Baker says,

01:03:16.260 you, in capitals, stated that the models are good

01:03:19.680 and improving in relationship to Tony Heller.

01:03:22.080 That is something I never said.

01:03:25.900 Craig, you are hallucinating.

01:03:28.120 If you believe I ever said the models are good, really?

01:03:32.100 I don't know what drugs you're doing,

01:03:35.040 but that's literally the closest to the opposite

01:03:39.520 of what I've ever said.

01:03:42.340 Oh, and Craig is yelling in caps.

01:03:44.760 Yeah, Scott, you did say the models are good.

01:03:48.960 You see what I deal with every day?

01:03:51.540 There's like an actual living person

01:03:53.320 who is smart enough to get on here and make a comment

01:03:56.340 who believes that what I've said consistently forever

01:04:00.880 was the opposite.

01:04:03.880 And Craig believes he saw it.

01:04:06.640 He actually believes he saw it and lived through it.

01:04:11.060 Well, let's see.

01:04:14.960 What else we got going on here today?

01:04:18.600 Oh, did anybody see the war room

01:04:21.720 with Steve Bannon talking about me?

01:04:24.260 Did anybody see that?

01:04:25.000 So on Monday, I guess, he had a guest on

01:04:28.980 and they were talking about my long COVID opinions, etc.

01:04:35.060 And so he brings on the guy

01:04:37.020 who has a different opinion from me.

01:04:39.260 I'll call him my critic just for a short hint.

01:04:42.560 And the critics complained because I said

01:04:45.740 that their heuristics beat my analytics.

01:04:52.820 And he wanted to correct that.

01:04:55.000 Oh, no, Scott.

01:04:56.960 We used analytics.

01:04:59.040 We used analytics.

01:05:00.400 You're not the only one who used analytics.

01:05:02.260 You're making it sound like you analyzed

01:05:04.260 and we guessed.

01:05:07.340 But here's my clarification.

01:05:09.660 When I said your heuristics beat my analytics,

01:05:12.980 the context was that I guessed.

01:05:15.660 My analytics were guessing,

01:05:20.760 which I've said as clearly as possible.

01:05:23.300 So analytics was not a real word in this context.

01:05:26.020 I was saying my analytics because I was guessing.

01:05:28.640 So I analyzed it, but there was nothing to analyze,

01:05:31.000 so I guessed.

01:05:32.640 So their biggest complaint is my use of a word,

01:05:35.460 which is the opposite of how I used it.

01:05:37.180 So that was the biggest complaint.

01:05:38.360 Second biggest complaint was,

01:05:40.800 you know, he says something about long COVID,

01:05:43.220 blah, blah, blah, blah.

01:05:44.500 And then after noting that my big question

01:05:50.620 was how could anybody know the risk of long COVID?

01:05:54.820 He never got back to that.

01:05:59.500 I only have one question for all my critics.

01:06:03.560 How did you calculate the risk of long COVID?

01:06:07.580 And watch how they can't answer the question.

01:06:09.880 They actually have to change the subject.

01:06:12.180 All of them.

01:06:13.320 Every one of them will change the subject.

01:06:15.500 And he did the same.

01:06:17.060 So it's, once you see the seven tells

01:06:20.960 for cognitive dissonance,

01:06:22.280 once you know the seven,

01:06:25.480 it's really obvious every time you see them.

01:06:28.720 So I'll tell you the seven tells again.

01:06:32.660 Changes the topic, ad hominems,

01:06:35.820 mind reading, word salad,

01:06:37.780 using an analogy in place of reason.

01:06:40.040 You can use analogies,

01:06:41.040 but don't use them in place of reasons.

01:06:44.200 Insist it's complicated and can't be summarized.

01:06:46.700 And then there's the so tell where you say,

01:06:48.240 so you're saying that water is dry.

01:06:52.280 Where they had something that you didn't say.

01:06:56.360 So I think you see that in every case.

01:06:59.600 So that if you want to see some,

01:07:01.780 another example of that,

01:07:02.960 just watch the war room with Steve Bannon.

01:07:11.560 Now, some of you say,

01:07:13.520 and I guess I have to reiterate that,

01:07:16.240 that you didn't calculate long COVID

01:07:18.620 because nobody knew what the risk was.

01:07:22.280 I didn't know what the risk was.

01:07:25.680 So that's why I guessed.

01:07:27.980 That's why you guess.

01:07:29.440 Because you didn't know what the risk was.

01:07:34.260 All right.

01:07:34.800 I have a cold now.

01:07:45.080 As far as you know.

01:07:46.240 All right.

01:07:46.460 Looking at your comments.

01:07:51.340 You gave long COVID too much weight and still do.

01:07:56.240 Does that,

01:07:56.860 did that comment make sense?

01:07:58.340 So in order for me to have given long COVID too much weight,

01:08:03.340 that suggests that you know the risk of long COVID.

01:08:06.760 Please tell me how.

01:08:08.920 Please explain how you knew that.

01:08:10.520 Because I don't know it.

01:08:12.800 Now, here's another factor that I've never said out loud.

01:08:16.680 Directly.

01:08:17.740 If I were 25 years old,

01:08:20.220 would I be worried about long COVID?

01:08:22.360 Let's say long COVID would take you out for a month.

01:08:26.340 Nope.

01:08:27.320 Nope.

01:08:27.920 Because if I lost a month of my life to long COVID at age 25,

01:08:32.860 it's such a small percentage of the rest of my life

01:08:35.220 that that would be a reasonable trade-off.

01:08:39.500 Now, at my current age,

01:08:41.260 how many good years do you think I have left

01:08:43.420 where I'm healthy and I can do what I want?

01:08:45.860 Maybe two.

01:08:47.740 Maybe two.

01:08:48.380 Because I'm at the age where people younger than me

01:08:51.640 are dying from old age.

01:08:53.980 People younger than me are like suddenly dying.

01:08:57.100 And even if I don't die,

01:08:58.920 I'm in a very thin window

01:09:01.980 where I could still do physically active things.

01:09:06.680 You know, I could still play tennis if I want to, whatever.

01:09:09.420 So if I got my ass kicked for, let's say, a few months,

01:09:14.600 that's actually a pretty big percentage

01:09:16.900 of the two years that I feel confident I might have.

01:09:21.920 So long COVID to somebody who only has a few years left

01:09:26.060 is not the same calculation as if you're 25.

01:09:30.460 And a lot of people made the mistake of assuming

01:09:33.300 that everybody's the same age, so everything,

01:09:35.980 all our calculations are the same.

01:09:37.900 My calculation wasn't anything like your calculation.

01:09:40.260 I literally thought, maybe I have two years,

01:09:44.240 so long COVID is a big percentage of that.

01:09:48.200 So whoever said,

01:09:49.680 I'm giving too much attention to long COVID,

01:09:53.700 it's too much for a 25-year-old,

01:09:56.860 too much for a 40-year-old.

01:09:59.660 I don't think it was too much for me.

01:10:01.420 And the only decision I've ever talked about was my own.

01:10:06.720 I've never recommended anybody do anything.

01:10:11.940 I'm 65.

01:10:15.900 All right.

01:10:17.800 Printer get fixed? No.

01:10:18.900 Please arrange a conversation with Dark Horse.

01:10:26.120 What do I have to say?

01:10:28.140 I mean, my whole argument is,

01:10:30.080 you were guessing on long COVID,

01:10:31.860 therefore you were guessing.

01:10:34.500 Do you know how the conversation would go?

01:10:37.200 Let's not talk about Dark Horse.

01:10:39.600 Let's say I did an interview with somebody

01:10:42.280 who thinks I got everything wrong.

01:10:44.180 Here's how the conversation would go.

01:10:45.680 Scott, how did you calculate long COVID?

01:10:50.420 Well, word salad, word salad, word salad.

01:10:53.520 Okay, but how did you calculate it?

01:10:56.480 Oh, word salad, didn't matter, didn't matter.

01:10:59.080 Assumed it away.

01:11:00.860 Well, okay.

01:11:02.500 If you assumed it away,

01:11:03.640 then you calculated it as a low number.

01:11:06.380 How'd you do that?

01:11:07.760 Well, word salad, word salad, word salad.

01:11:10.820 All right.

01:11:11.260 It would be useless.

01:11:14.320 Useless.

01:11:14.760 Do you think there's anybody on the other side

01:11:19.660 who would listen to that and say,

01:11:20.980 oh, you know what?

01:11:24.000 Wow, yeah, in your case,

01:11:26.000 in your specific case,

01:11:28.100 long COVID would be a big variable.

01:11:30.000 And, you know, now that you pointed out,

01:11:32.560 nobody can calculate what that risk is.

01:11:35.220 Yeah, you're right, Scott.

01:11:36.240 I had not thought of it that way.

01:11:37.780 Do you think it would go that way?

01:11:40.940 Does anybody imagine it would go that way?

01:11:42.940 No, no.

01:11:45.940 So you're living in, like, a dreamland

01:11:49.200 where reasonable people can talk about reasonable things

01:11:53.520 and then somebody will change their opinion.

01:11:56.540 I've never seen that.

01:11:58.720 I've never seen that at all.

01:12:00.160 Now, I was also accused of mind reading

01:12:10.560 for thinking that other people had not, you know,

01:12:14.840 considered everything in their decision.

01:12:18.800 To which I say, I don't have to read your mind.

01:12:21.140 I just have to look at long COVID

01:12:23.940 and know that you didn't talk about it

01:12:27.740 because you just told me you didn't consider it.

01:12:31.200 There's no mind reading.

01:12:32.580 It's right there.

01:12:33.900 You told me you didn't consider it.

01:12:35.900 That's what I'm saying.

01:12:37.280 We're on the same page.

01:12:38.340 Oh, and here was the assumption that was built into this.

01:12:46.860 The assumption is that the sicker you got with COVID,

01:12:52.940 logically, the worse your long COVID risk would be.

01:12:57.220 Now, I don't have confirmation of that.

01:12:59.980 But that's my point.

01:13:02.260 My point is I don't know.

01:13:03.660 But it does make sense to imagine

01:13:05.620 that the sicker you are, you know,

01:13:07.580 the worse your symptoms could be.

01:13:09.820 So that was built into the assumption of things I don't know.

01:13:15.220 Same as any illness, correct?

01:13:17.940 All right, that's all I got for now.

01:13:22.760 Lance, you didn't understand my point,

01:13:25.240 so let me explain it to you.

01:13:26.480 So Lance says, with a so,

01:13:28.620 he starts with a so.

01:13:29.980 That was literally one of my seven tells for cognitive dissonance,

01:13:35.040 but okay.

01:13:37.040 He says, so you don't think Brett and Heather

01:13:39.260 would understand your point?

01:13:41.520 Is that what I said?

01:13:43.340 Did I say that Brett and Heather wouldn't understand my point?

01:13:47.260 Nope.

01:13:48.160 Nope.

01:13:49.520 Nope.

01:13:49.820 It's easy to understand.

01:13:52.280 I'm saying that they would be triggered into cognitive dissonance

01:13:56.360 because they understood the point, right?

01:13:59.560 The cognitive dissonance is because they would understand the point.

01:14:03.340 If they didn't understand the point,

01:14:05.140 then they wouldn't be triggered.

01:14:06.820 It's understanding the point that triggers the cognitive dissonance.

01:14:11.720 So no,

01:14:12.560 I don't believe there's any realistic way I could talk to my critics

01:14:17.100 because they would go into crazy town right away,

01:14:20.860 and it would just be a shit show.

01:14:22.940 See you, Dr. Funk Juice.

01:14:27.920 Everybody say,

01:14:28.820 say see you later to DJ Dr. Funk Juice,

01:14:32.680 one of my favorite,

01:14:33.580 one of my favorite,

01:14:35.200 uh,

01:14:36.060 livestream followers and Twitter followers.

01:14:39.440 Always appreciate you.

01:14:43.380 The banker's beast.

01:14:44.900 What's that?

01:14:45.300 All right,

01:14:47.120 that's enough for now.

01:14:48.020 I'm going to go talk to the,

01:14:49.320 uh,

01:14:50.580 locals people after I make them totally private.

01:14:54.240 And,

01:14:54.840 uh,

01:14:55.300 I'll talk to you YouTubers tomorrow.

01:14:57.220 Bye for now.

01:14:58.980 Best livestream.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 08, 2023

Episode 2013 Scott Adams： Climate Hoax Explained, State Of The Union Graded, New Printer Destroyed

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