Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2015 Scott Adams： Vigilante Phase Is Here, AI Deep Fakes Are A Threat To Civilization, More

00:00:00.000 Doo-doo-doo. Doo-doo-doo. 0.99

00:00:03.600 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of civilization so far.

00:00:09.560 And don't get used to civilization because it's not going to last much longer.

00:00:13.720 Well, actually, today is mostly about funny stuff.

00:00:16.960 A lot of funny stuff going on, so we'll talk about it.

00:00:19.800 But if you would like to take your experience up to,

00:00:23.720 well, I don't want to say orgasmic, but something like it,

00:00:26.960 all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tankard,

00:00:31.880 chalice or stein, a canteen, joke or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:36.240 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:39.580 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine,

00:00:42.600 at the end of the day, the thing that makes absolutely everything better

00:00:46.180 except Lady Gaga's show.

00:00:49.540 And it's called the Silent City Sip, and it happens now. Go.

00:00:52.400 I only mention Lady Gaga's show because there's something she's included

00:01:01.720 that's so grotesque, I'm not even going to mention it.

00:01:04.840 Because if you haven't read about it, don't.

00:01:07.680 Don't read about it. Nope. Do not read about it.

00:01:13.460 Seriously.

00:01:14.420 It won't make you happy to find out what she does on stage. 0.79

00:01:17.600 Don't look into it. If you see an article, just look away.

00:01:23.220 That's my only advice.

00:01:25.800 So what else has happened in today?

00:01:28.160 Let's find out.

00:01:29.640 If I had a printer, I would be looking at my printed notes,

00:01:32.280 but I'll have one in a few days.

00:01:34.820 All right.

00:01:35.600 I saw a meme that might be useful to some of you.

00:01:39.280 How many of you have ever been referred to,

00:01:42.420 or maybe even you refer to yourself, as far right?

00:01:47.000 Is there anybody here who's ever been called far right?

00:01:52.180 You have. All right.

00:01:54.080 Here's a reframe.

00:01:55.920 I didn't make this one up.

00:01:57.300 This is somebody's meme.

00:01:59.240 So I guess we don't know who made it up because it's just a meme.

00:02:02.780 But the reframe goes like this.

00:02:04.860 You keep calling me far right,

00:02:06.680 but I think you mean right so far.

00:02:10.580 Right so far.

00:02:12.780 It's pretty good.

00:02:14.260 You know what I like about it?

00:02:16.740 What I like about it is it doesn't take itself seriously.

00:02:21.200 And I feel like,

00:02:22.960 I don't know if we're ever going to leave our teams.

00:02:26.020 You know, we're always locked into our teams,

00:02:28.120 whatever they are.

00:02:29.780 But we can at least have a sense of humor about it.

00:02:32.920 Right?

00:02:33.380 If you're going to be on a team,

00:02:35.480 you might as well enjoy it.

00:02:36.600 All right.

00:02:39.040 I saw a tweet from Ben Collins, NBC News,

00:02:42.800 and I hope the following story is true.

00:02:46.760 Now, if it's like every other story about something that happened behind closed doors,

00:02:51.840 it's not true.

00:02:55.220 Here, we'll go private over here.

00:02:58.040 So I'm assuming it's not exactly true.

00:03:00.960 But boy, do I want this one to be true.

00:03:03.540 All right.

00:03:03.800 The story goes like this.

00:03:07.420 That Elon Musk was talking to his engineers at Twitter,

00:03:11.040 and he was complaining that he has more than 100 billion followers,

00:03:14.760 but some of his recent tweets are only getting tens of thousands of impressions.

00:03:21.580 Now, what do you think?

00:03:23.400 Does that sound natural and normal?

00:03:26.740 He has, I think, 126 million followers,

00:03:29.960 and some of his tweets are only getting tens of thousands of impressions.

00:03:34.240 Now, I don't mean retweets, not retweets.

00:03:37.900 I mean people even sought.

00:03:41.040 You think that sounds right?

00:03:42.920 So Musk goes to his engineers,

00:03:46.520 and he's asking them to figure out why his impressions are so low.

00:03:52.440 One of the engineers, reportedly, reportedly,

00:03:57.120 I would say I wouldn't put a lot of credibility on this story,

00:04:01.080 but it's a fun story, so I'll tell it to you anyway.

00:04:04.340 Reportedly, one of the engineers suggested

00:04:06.140 that the reason that Musk is getting less impressions,

00:04:10.980 fewer impressions is because he's less interesting to the public now.

00:04:23.360 And apparently Elon Musk's reply was,

00:04:27.520 you're fired.

00:04:29.060 You're fired.

00:04:30.680 I think he said it twice.

00:04:32.040 That's the way it's reported.

00:04:33.760 You're fired.

00:04:35.400 You're fired.

00:04:36.360 I don't know which way he said the two you're fireds,

00:04:40.320 because there's lots of ways to do it.

00:04:42.200 You're fired.

00:04:44.100 You're fired.

00:04:46.000 Right?

00:04:46.340 Every way you do it's kind of funny.

00:04:48.100 It's the second you're fired that really sells it.

00:04:50.900 You know, you're fired.

00:04:52.980 Straightforward.

00:04:53.980 But you're fired.

00:04:56.820 You are fired.

00:04:58.440 Like, all of those are good.

00:05:01.620 Now, here's why I have to take Musk's side on this story

00:05:06.820 that may or may not be true,

00:05:08.480 which is when Elon Musk interacts with any of my tweets,

00:05:13.800 as he's done a number of times now,

00:05:16.700 any interaction by Elon Musk on my tweet

00:05:19.900 can get me over a million impressions.

00:05:23.020 So do you really think it's organic

00:05:26.340 that when he does some minor comment on my Twitter tweets,

00:05:32.080 I'll get a million impressions,

00:05:35.380 but when it's his own account,

00:05:37.160 he might get tens of thousands?

00:05:39.180 Does that sound even like slightly possible?

00:05:43.220 No.

00:05:44.480 No, there's clearly something wrong.

00:05:46.800 And I love the fact that he just wasn't willing

00:05:50.980 to even hear the argument that maybe he was wrong about that.

00:05:54.120 Because he's not wrong.

00:05:55.340 He's not wrong. 0.53

00:05:56.680 You're fired.

00:05:59.620 All right.

00:06:00.580 Well, that was funny.

00:06:03.620 If you follow me on Twitter,

00:06:05.060 you may have seen a Machiavelli's Underbelly,

00:06:09.200 who's a Twitter account you should follow.

00:06:11.740 And he does a lot of deep fakes for entertainment,

00:06:15.960 so you can just see how good the deep fakes are.

00:06:18.260 Because now the AI can do an almost perfect impression

00:06:22.280 of anybody's voice,

00:06:24.300 and it can do really a perfect rendering

00:06:28.000 of what they look like from any angle,

00:06:30.140 and then it can animate them.

00:06:32.560 The deep fakes now can talk,

00:06:35.340 and even AI can write some of the dialogue.

00:06:38.900 So, you know, you can give us some suggestions.

00:06:41.280 It can write the dialogue, imitate the voice,

00:06:43.840 and show you a nearly perfect rendering of the person.

00:06:47.800 So there's an example of Jack Posobiec,

00:06:51.200 a deep fake version of him,

00:06:53.140 giving a fake endorsement of me for California Senate.

00:06:57.440 Now, here's my comment on this.

00:07:00.140 When I look at that version of Jack Posobiec,

00:07:04.220 I would say, roughly speaking,

00:07:08.040 it's 99% perfect.

00:07:11.100 I'd be interested, you know, in your take on it,

00:07:14.180 but to me it's 99% perfect.

00:07:17.220 Now, the good news is,

00:07:18.820 and the good news won't last long,

00:07:21.740 but the good news is that humans can detect

00:07:25.240 a 1% imperfection kind of easily,

00:07:28.500 pretty easily.

00:07:29.300 It just steps right out, right?

00:07:31.160 Humans are really good at seeing something

00:07:33.040 that's just slightly off with a human being.

00:07:36.180 And that's what the Uncanny Valley is all about.

00:07:39.400 But we've crossed the Uncanny Valley.

00:07:43.880 So the Uncanny Valley is where the imitation of a person

00:07:47.280 is sort of like a person,

00:07:48.800 but it's not close enough to look like a person,

00:07:51.460 so it looks grotesque.

00:07:53.160 Like, you get so close to the person,

00:07:55.540 then you're like, oh, it's like, 0.50

00:07:56.880 is that a monster, or did a zombie take over their brain?

00:08:00.620 It's like a person, but it's not quite. 0.98

00:08:02.160 It's so gross.

00:08:04.300 But when you look at these deep fakes,

00:08:06.800 they've actually crossed that barrier.

00:08:09.900 They're already in the, yeah, those look like people.

00:08:12.540 I'm totally willing to say that's a person.

00:08:14.840 That's not, if you look at the Jack Posobiec deep fake,

00:08:19.140 it doesn't look creepy.

00:08:22.600 It doesn't look creepy.

00:08:23.560 It actually just looks like, you know, a person talking.

00:08:26.340 So, we're 1% away from not being able to tell the difference.

00:08:32.900 1% away.

00:08:34.340 Here's what people don't understand.

00:08:37.680 As long as we're 1% away, we all know they're fake.

00:08:41.760 Or we can be convinced they're fake quite easily.

00:08:44.480 If somebody points it out to you, you can see it.

00:08:46.820 When it gets 1% better, just 1%,

00:08:52.480 when the deep fakes get 1% better,

00:08:56.280 they're not going to be 1% better.

00:08:59.200 Does everybody get that?

00:09:00.540 When they improve the next 1%,

00:09:03.840 it's not going to be 1% better.

00:09:07.620 All of the other 1%s were 1% better.

00:09:11.260 When it went from 56% to 57% is good, 0.98

00:09:15.560 it was, you know, 1% better.

00:09:18.120 Right? It was 1% better.

00:09:20.740 But when it goes from 99% like a person

00:09:25.760 to you can't tell the difference,

00:09:27.780 it will change civilization completely.

00:09:34.820 We don't know how.

00:09:36.840 We do not know how.

00:09:39.360 First of all, it could affect employment

00:09:41.200 because why would you ever talk to a customer service person

00:09:44.700 when you could talk to an AI?

00:09:47.720 It will affect dating

00:09:49.580 because we're at the point where AI can write

00:09:54.060 continuous dialogue

00:09:55.660 and have a conversation with you

00:09:57.920 looking like exactly whoever you want them to look like.

00:10:01.120 A dead relative, dead spouse.

00:10:03.440 Do you know how many people are going to have

00:10:05.060 full-on relationships with a deceased spouse?

00:10:11.220 There will be people who couldn't let go.

00:10:14.340 You know, somebody was lost early, lost young.

00:10:16.620 And there will be widows and widowers

00:10:19.660 who are just going to bring them back.

00:10:21.840 They'll be on the TV,

00:10:23.780 but they'll be there all the time.

00:10:26.460 Every time you walk into your TV,

00:10:28.060 there will be your loved one,

00:10:29.580 and they might recognize you

00:10:31.260 from, you know, motion capture or something.

00:10:34.260 And they might say,

00:10:35.020 Hey, how you doing?

00:10:35.920 Good to see you.

00:10:37.420 Too bad I'm trapped in this computer.

00:10:39.280 And then eventually that will be moved

00:10:43.120 to robots and sexbots.

00:10:46.720 I don't think we quite are ready

00:10:48.680 for how big this change is going to be.

00:10:52.080 And it's also completely unpredictable.

00:10:54.840 I'm giving you one vision of what might happen,

00:10:57.340 but it could be completely opposite of that.

00:10:59.160 You don't know.

00:10:59.860 Something big, big, big is about to happen.

00:11:02.640 And the only point I want to make

00:11:04.200 is that that last 1% isn't 1%.

00:11:07.200 It's 100%.

00:11:08.920 The last 1% is 100%.

00:11:11.880 Everything's going to be different.

00:11:13.880 And we might only be weeks away from that.

00:11:19.720 Do you hear that?

00:11:21.240 We might be weeks away from,

00:11:24.260 just weeks away from that 1% being closed.

00:11:30.100 So get ready for that.

00:11:31.600 Now, on the same topic,

00:11:35.340 Machiavelli's Underbelly also did

00:11:38.800 the funniest thing that I've seen

00:11:40.700 probably in a year.

00:11:43.980 I've seen a lot of funny things in the last year.

00:11:46.700 And it's a deepfake,

00:11:49.320 which purports to show

00:11:52.220 Brett Weinstein and his spouse,

00:11:55.200 Heather Heyer,

00:11:56.480 having a conversation

00:11:57.700 on what appears to be their podcast

00:11:59.860 about themselves.

00:12:01.240 Now, some of it,

00:12:03.840 some of it the AI wrote

00:12:05.340 with some prompting,

00:12:06.920 human prompting,

00:12:08.200 but it's the funniest thing

00:12:10.300 I've ever seen.

00:12:12.920 Just,

00:12:13.800 because

00:12:17.520 there's like a story,

00:12:20.760 there's the thing they're talking about,

00:12:22.680 but the understory

00:12:24.380 is their personal reactions

00:12:26.880 to each other

00:12:27.540 that's written by the AI

00:12:28.680 and with the human prompting.

00:12:30.380 And their personal asides

00:12:32.180 are so frickin' funny

00:12:34.580 that I was just crying

00:12:37.660 when I was watching it.

00:12:39.120 Now,

00:12:40.260 I want to be clear,

00:12:42.420 it's not really mocking,

00:12:44.240 you know,

00:12:44.520 in case you think

00:12:45.160 it's mocking the individuals.

00:12:46.720 It's not really.

00:12:47.620 It's just having fun with,

00:12:49.560 you know,

00:12:49.780 they have unique personalities.

00:12:51.960 And

00:12:52.360 I hope that they're not insulted by it

00:12:55.420 because I,

00:12:56.000 you know,

00:12:56.320 if it had been me,

00:12:57.040 I would have been laughing pretty hard.

00:12:58.780 And I think they have a sense of humor,

00:13:00.120 so,

00:13:00.820 so I think they'll like it fine.

00:13:06.860 All right,

00:13:07.360 so you have to watch that.

00:13:08.480 I was going to play a little bit of it,

00:13:10.080 but it's kind of long,

00:13:11.000 and you really want to settle in.

00:13:13.200 It will be the funniest thing

00:13:14.280 you've seen in a long time.

00:13:15.600 I promise you that.

00:13:17.940 All right,

00:13:18.560 we're entering the vigilante phase

00:13:20.500 of,

00:13:20.800 of history.

00:13:22.580 Governor Greg Abbott reports,

00:13:26.700 he tweeted,

00:13:27.460 this is outrageous.

00:13:29.080 Texas officers broke up

00:13:31.060 a major Houston fentanyl operation

00:13:33.120 that could have killed 0.71

00:13:34.660 thousands of people.

00:13:36.200 But a day after,

00:13:37.800 four suspects were arrested,

00:13:39.840 they were released on bond

00:13:41.360 by a Houston judge.

00:13:43.080 We must end easy bail

00:13:44.580 for criminals.

00:13:45.200 Now,

00:13:48.320 how many times

00:13:50.900 are fentanyl dealers

00:13:52.180 going to be released

00:13:53.240 before some parent

00:13:55.540 who lost

00:13:56.240 a child to fentanyl

00:13:58.780 and also is heavily armed

00:14:01.100 takes it upon themselves?

00:14:03.240 I'm not recommending this.

00:14:05.040 Not recommending it.

00:14:07.200 Do not,

00:14:07.760 do not take up personal arms

00:14:09.780 against any civilians.

00:14:11.060 Don't do it.

00:14:12.560 But it's going to happen,

00:14:13.600 right?

00:14:13.800 Right?

00:14:15.200 How could it not happen?

00:14:18.540 I'm kind of surprised

00:14:19.920 it hasn't happened already.

00:14:21.900 It feels weird.

00:14:23.580 Like,

00:14:23.840 you know,

00:14:24.640 if we could have 0.82

00:14:25.800 a mass shooting, 0.76

00:14:27.620 you know,

00:14:27.860 three times every weekend,

00:14:29.260 apparently,

00:14:29.940 whatever it is,

00:14:30.860 we're having a lot

00:14:31.440 of mass shootings,

00:14:32.400 we have all those 0.98

00:14:33.520 angry, crazy mass shooters 0.91

00:14:35.180 and not one of them 0.97

00:14:37.100 is an angry parent.

00:14:41.660 None of them?

00:14:43.280 I mean,

00:14:43.680 it just feels like

00:14:44.580 there are too many guns, 0.96

00:14:45.740 too many crazy people 0.53

00:14:46.820 and too many fentanyl dealers 0.92

00:14:49.000 getting out on bail

00:14:50.160 for the good people

00:14:52.980 to completely ignore this forever.

00:14:57.420 We're moving pretty close

00:14:59.060 to vigilantism.

00:15:00.680 Now,

00:15:00.980 one good way

00:15:03.440 to judge the quality

00:15:04.680 of your system,

00:15:06.620 you know,

00:15:06.880 your legal system,

00:15:07.960 your constitution,

00:15:08.680 is how close

00:15:10.420 are you

00:15:10.720 to vigilantism?

00:15:13.000 This is the closest

00:15:14.080 I've ever seen.

00:15:15.340 Well,

00:15:15.540 maybe,

00:15:15.940 was it,

00:15:16.580 when was,

00:15:17.660 was it the 60s

00:15:19.480 with Branson

00:15:21.120 in that movie?

00:15:24.500 Yeah,

00:15:24.820 Bernard Goetz,

00:15:25.940 70s?

00:15:26.680 Yeah.

00:15:27.100 So maybe since the 70s

00:15:28.580 is the closest

00:15:29.200 we've been.

00:15:30.360 But we have a lot more guns

00:15:31.660 than we did in the 70s.

00:15:33.320 Death Wish was the movie,

00:15:34.400 right?

00:15:34.560 So here's the thing

00:15:37.680 I would watch for.

00:15:40.400 If it happens once

00:15:41.940 and it makes the news,

00:15:43.820 it probably will kick off

00:15:46.040 copycats

00:15:46.860 because that's the problem

00:15:48.660 with the mass shootings.

00:15:49.680 The mass shootings

00:15:50.160 are all driven by the news.

00:15:52.760 Would you agree?

00:15:54.580 Would you all agree

00:15:55.360 that the news

00:15:56.480 drives mass shootings?

00:16:00.160 Because I don't think

00:16:01.080 they would think of it.

00:16:02.480 Like,

00:16:02.760 it wouldn't occur to you

00:16:03.720 that that's a thing

00:16:04.400 to do

00:16:04.740 unless you saw it

00:16:05.420 on the news.

00:16:07.060 Yeah.

00:16:07.480 Because not even,

00:16:08.180 video games

00:16:08.820 are not even about

00:16:09.760 mass shootings.

00:16:13.580 So it's not really,

00:16:14.980 you can't say

00:16:15.480 it comes from media.

00:16:17.040 You know,

00:16:17.200 gun use comes from media

00:16:18.420 but not vigilantism

00:16:19.620 and not,

00:16:21.820 yeah,

00:16:22.580 you know.

00:16:23.500 All right.

00:16:24.140 So,

00:16:25.340 I think that's where

00:16:25.980 we're adding on that.

00:16:28.160 Here's where

00:16:28.920 I could imagine

00:16:29.700 it happening.

00:16:31.180 It might be

00:16:31.900 that the thing

00:16:32.740 that's holding up

00:16:33.440 back to vigilantism

00:16:34.700 is that murderers

00:16:36.080 all get caught

00:16:36.680 these days.

00:16:38.680 Do you think

00:16:39.360 that's it?

00:16:40.140 In the 70s,

00:16:41.220 you could murder

00:16:41.800 somebody in the street 0.83

00:16:42.760 and you had a pretty

00:16:43.780 good chance

00:16:44.240 of getting away

00:16:44.800 with it.

00:16:46.300 Wouldn't you agree?

00:16:47.960 In the 70s, 0.99

00:16:49.740 you'd just kill somebody.

00:16:51.280 Your odds of getting 0.75

00:16:52.140 away with murder

00:16:52.780 were pretty good.

00:16:54.120 But if you were 0.99

00:16:54.820 to kill somebody today, 0.90

00:16:56.580 your odds of getting 0.97

00:16:57.480 caught are really high.

00:16:59.720 Really high.

00:17:00.280 So it could be

00:17:01.740 it could be

00:17:03.400 that we'll

00:17:03.920 not see vigilantism

00:17:05.620 because it

00:17:06.040 just can't work

00:17:07.260 and people don't

00:17:08.520 want to commit suicide

00:17:09.420 they want to kill 0.99

00:17:10.520 somebody else. 0.93

00:17:11.960 So maybe that's

00:17:12.880 what's holding you back

00:17:13.620 but here's something

00:17:14.700 that might change that.

00:17:17.240 Three technologies

00:17:18.360 that are almost

00:17:19.560 certainly going

00:17:20.500 to come together

00:17:21.280 but I want you

00:17:23.120 to give me a

00:17:23.740 technical fact check

00:17:25.260 on this

00:17:25.700 because there's

00:17:26.480 part of this

00:17:27.000 I think

00:17:27.360 I might be wrong

00:17:29.000 about

00:17:29.340 and you'll tell me.

00:17:31.060 Okay?

00:17:32.840 Obviously drones

00:17:33.940 are a big thing.

00:17:34.740 Anybody can get a drone

00:17:35.840 and drones will be

00:17:36.840 doing all kinds

00:17:37.480 of dangerous

00:17:38.540 military things.

00:17:39.980 Do you think

00:17:40.440 it's inevitable

00:17:41.260 that individuals

00:17:43.060 will be able

00:17:43.780 to buy drones

00:17:44.820 that can kill people?

00:17:46.940 Would you call

00:17:47.580 that inevitable?

00:17:48.800 Now they might

00:17:49.320 have to buy it

00:17:49.900 on the Silk Road

00:17:52.200 or buy it illegally

00:17:53.640 but you can buy

00:17:54.740 every manner

00:17:55.320 of illegal gun

00:17:56.400 so don't you think

00:17:58.460 that you'll have

00:17:59.220 drones that are

00:17:59.940 sort of heavy sized

00:18:01.500 that would be able

00:18:02.880 to shoot a bullet?

00:18:05.480 Yeah. 0.90

00:18:06.220 I mean obviously

00:18:06.880 there will be guns

00:18:07.960 that can shoot 0.68

00:18:08.500 a bullet. 0.99

00:18:10.560 Now 0.86

00:18:10.900 do you think

00:18:12.760 there will be drones

00:18:13.600 that have facial

00:18:14.720 recognition built in?

00:18:16.900 Of course.

00:18:18.440 Of course.

00:18:19.700 Do you think

00:18:20.580 there will be drones

00:18:21.500 that have

00:18:22.100 independent operation

00:18:23.820 meaning that you

00:18:24.900 could say

00:18:25.360 here's the address

00:18:27.300 I want you

00:18:27.840 to go to

00:18:28.360 go there

00:18:29.540 and fly around

00:18:30.300 until you see

00:18:30.860 this person

00:18:31.380 you're looking for 1.00

00:18:32.040 and shoot him 1.00

00:18:32.560 in the head? 1.00

00:18:33.960 Of course.

00:18:35.180 It's all doable.

00:18:36.400 So you just know

00:18:37.120 where the person's

00:18:37.720 house is

00:18:38.320 send your drone

00:18:40.300 over

00:18:40.640 have it hover

00:18:41.940 and wait for the

00:18:42.660 guy to come out

00:18:43.200 to his car

00:18:43.740 and then if he

00:18:45.260 doesn't come out

00:18:45.900 while the drone

00:18:46.640 is there

00:18:47.160 before it runs

00:18:48.220 out of energy

00:18:48.820 it goes home.

00:18:51.640 Tries again

00:18:52.200 the next day

00:18:52.860 because you know

00:18:55.280 when he goes

00:18:55.680 to work

00:18:56.080 maybe 0.76

00:18:56.440 so you hang

00:18:57.460 around

00:18:57.940 when you think

00:18:59.600 he's going

00:18:59.900 to be outside

00:19:00.460 do it two

00:19:01.720 or three days

00:19:02.420 no strikes

00:19:04.780 but let's say

00:19:05.620 the last day

00:19:06.260 it picks up

00:19:06.880 facial recognition

00:19:07.940 shoots him 0.99

00:19:09.080 in the head. 1.00

00:19:10.540 Now here's the part

00:19:11.400 that I need

00:19:13.040 your technical

00:19:13.880 instructions on.

00:19:15.520 Is it possible

00:19:17.920 in 2023

00:19:18.840 to pay for

00:19:20.480 something

00:19:20.940 and not be

00:19:21.780 traceable?

00:19:23.400 Is that even

00:19:24.220 a thing

00:19:24.620 without cash?

00:19:26.640 Can you buy

00:19:27.260 something in

00:19:27.800 2023

00:19:28.300 even with

00:19:29.560 crypto?

00:19:30.820 Even with

00:19:31.500 crypto?

00:19:32.900 Can it all

00:19:33.460 be dark

00:19:35.080 web?

00:19:36.320 But the dark

00:19:36.960 web you could

00:19:37.480 still trace

00:19:38.300 somebody if you

00:19:39.340 knew what to

00:19:40.040 look for.

00:19:40.480 All right.

00:19:43.100 So some of you

00:19:43.700 think that there's

00:19:44.340 a way to do it.

00:19:45.060 All right.

00:19:45.700 Here's cash.

00:19:47.420 I don't know.

00:19:48.040 It'd be a lot

00:19:48.460 of cash.

00:19:49.980 Monero.

00:19:50.760 So there's

00:19:51.180 something called

00:19:51.620 Monero that

00:19:52.460 I've never

00:19:52.840 heard of but

00:19:53.380 it sounds like

00:19:54.000 sounds like a

00:19:55.680 untraceable

00:19:56.380 crypto.

00:19:58.900 If somebody

00:19:59.640 actually wanted

00:20:00.240 it.

00:20:01.160 All right.

00:20:02.060 So here's my

00:20:03.220 prediction that

00:20:04.560 if we keep

00:20:05.380 letting terrible

00:20:06.340 criminals in a

00:20:07.120 jail there will

00:20:07.780 be a market

00:20:08.400 where a person

00:20:09.720 can anonymously

00:20:11.560 hire a killer

00:20:12.600 drone, 0.97

00:20:14.160 upload a picture

00:20:15.000 and have it 0.99

00:20:17.040 go kill 0.99

00:20:17.680 somebody you 1.00

00:20:18.280 want and

00:20:19.780 then vigilantes

00:20:20.580 will start

00:20:21.100 using them to

00:20:21.620 kill fentanyl 0.99

00:20:23.460 dealers as they 1.00

00:20:24.180 walk in a

00:20:24.660 jail.

00:20:25.820 They'll be 1.00

00:20:26.260 killed on the 1.00

00:20:26.780 steps of the

00:20:27.280 jail.

00:20:27.960 They won't

00:20:28.300 even get to

00:20:28.660 the bottom

00:20:28.960 of the steps.

00:20:30.780 All right.

00:20:31.040 That's my

00:20:31.400 prediction.

00:20:32.420 I don't know

00:20:32.860 when that'll

00:20:33.240 happen.

00:20:34.760 All right.

00:20:35.000 I saw a tweet

00:20:35.860 thread today that

00:20:36.680 just blew my 0.62

00:20:37.620 frickin' mind 0.65

00:20:38.480 because it 0.86

00:20:41.060 reframed

00:20:41.840 something so

00:20:43.960 right that

00:20:45.600 it'll never

00:20:46.640 leave my

00:20:47.140 mind now.

00:20:47.760 It's a

00:20:48.340 permanent part

00:20:49.300 of my

00:20:49.520 thinking.

00:20:51.000 I don't

00:20:51.640 know the

00:20:51.900 person who

00:20:52.340 did the

00:20:52.660 thread.

00:20:53.640 The Twitter

00:20:54.600 name is

00:20:55.120 Catgirl

00:20:55.720 Kulak.

00:20:59.620 And the

00:21:00.480 Twitter name

00:21:02.560 is

00:21:02.820 at

00:21:03.140 from

00:21:03.580 Kulak.

00:21:04.400 K-U-L-A-K. 1.00

00:21:06.460 One word

00:21:07.060 from Kulak.

00:21:08.720 Now I

00:21:09.140 followed,

00:21:09.740 I followed,

00:21:10.740 I assume it's

00:21:11.300 her,

00:21:11.980 I followed

00:21:12.500 her as soon

00:21:13.040 as I saw

00:21:13.440 this because

00:21:13.880 it was

00:21:15.020 amazing.

00:21:16.520 All right.

00:21:17.020 So here's

00:21:17.540 the basic

00:21:17.960 argument.

00:21:18.980 It's a very

00:21:19.380 long thread.

00:21:20.040 It's worth

00:21:20.360 saying.

00:21:21.340 America has 0.83

00:21:22.140 two

00:21:22.460 constitutions

00:21:23.420 and you

00:21:24.720 only know

00:21:25.180 about one.

00:21:26.920 Are you

00:21:27.580 interested?

00:21:28.680 Like right

00:21:29.400 away that's

00:21:29.880 interesting,

00:21:30.420 isn't it?

00:21:31.040 What do you

00:21:31.400 mean?

00:21:32.420 Do you

00:21:32.800 think anybody

00:21:33.320 could actually

00:21:33.800 make an

00:21:34.300 argument that

00:21:34.900 there are

00:21:35.160 two

00:21:35.360 constitutions?

00:21:37.500 Do you

00:21:37.960 think that's

00:21:38.360 even an

00:21:38.700 argument anybody

00:21:39.380 could make?

00:21:40.100 Oh yeah,

00:21:40.480 you didn't

00:21:40.760 know it,

00:21:41.660 but there's

00:21:42.080 this other

00:21:42.500 constitution.

00:21:46.040 Well the

00:21:46.680 other

00:21:46.880 constitution,

00:21:48.520 according to

00:21:49.240 this,

00:21:49.860 is the

00:21:50.420 social right,

00:21:52.840 what was it

00:21:53.400 called?

00:21:53.660 The civil

00:21:54.220 rights

00:21:54.660 legislation

00:21:56.020 in the,

00:21:58.040 I don't

00:21:58.400 know,

00:21:58.720 from the

00:21:59.240 60s.

00:22:00.760 So the

00:22:01.960 civil rights

00:22:02.660 stuff,

00:22:03.620 it seemed

00:22:04.800 like that

00:22:05.180 was a

00:22:05.480 subset of

00:22:06.020 our

00:22:06.140 existing

00:22:06.520 constitution,

00:22:07.660 just something

00:22:08.360 we could

00:22:08.760 do.

00:22:09.120 We could

00:22:09.360 make laws

00:22:09.980 and stuff,

00:22:10.560 so that's

00:22:11.180 all within

00:22:11.580 the constitution.

00:22:13.100 But the

00:22:14.760 part that we

00:22:15.360 didn't see

00:22:15.920 coming is

00:22:17.340 that it

00:22:17.860 requires a

00:22:18.540 whole structure

00:22:19.340 of people

00:22:20.080 working in

00:22:21.420 jobs that

00:22:23.600 are spotting

00:22:24.620 discrimination

00:22:26.660 and then

00:22:28.220 deciding what

00:22:28.820 to do

00:22:29.100 about it.

00:22:29.500 So once

00:22:30.780 you've

00:22:31.020 created a

00:22:31.700 separate

00:22:32.300 structure

00:22:33.160 of people

00:22:34.220 looking for

00:22:34.940 discrimination,

00:22:36.860 the people

00:22:37.560 who look for

00:22:38.220 the discrimination

00:22:38.900 and decide

00:22:39.820 where it is

00:22:40.360 and where it

00:22:40.720 isn't,

00:22:41.400 effectively have

00:22:42.340 control of

00:22:42.920 the country.

00:22:44.960 That's the

00:22:45.700 second constitution

00:22:46.660 because they

00:22:47.880 have control

00:22:48.780 effectively

00:22:49.740 of the

00:22:51.340 country.

00:22:52.360 Because they

00:22:53.120 can just say

00:22:53.640 what you're

00:22:54.060 doing is

00:22:54.560 discrimination

00:22:55.520 so you

00:22:56.080 can't do

00:22:56.480 it.

00:22:58.560 Where's your

00:22:59.260 constitution now?

00:23:01.380 They can say

00:23:02.160 that's good

00:23:02.700 and that's bad.

00:23:04.420 That's what our

00:23:05.220 constitution is

00:23:05.980 supposed to be

00:23:06.380 doing, not

00:23:06.760 them.

00:23:08.280 So in effect,

00:23:10.040 while this was

00:23:10.880 an unintended

00:23:11.500 consequences,

00:23:13.000 there grew up

00:23:13.660 a structure

00:23:14.400 that is in

00:23:15.360 effect a

00:23:16.080 second constitution.

00:23:17.800 And as long

00:23:18.500 as we have

00:23:18.880 two constitutions,

00:23:20.180 we're just not

00:23:20.880 effective as a

00:23:21.600 country.

00:23:23.000 And that we're

00:23:24.100 probably at a

00:23:24.700 point where we

00:23:25.320 have to get rid

00:23:25.900 of that to

00:23:27.100 survive.

00:23:28.260 Now I've

00:23:28.920 always said the

00:23:29.460 following.

00:23:31.060 The heavy

00:23:32.180 hand of

00:23:32.800 discrimination

00:23:33.380 laws probably 0.84

00:23:35.220 made sense.

00:23:36.940 Like there was

00:23:37.440 a time when it

00:23:38.060 made sense.

00:23:38.700 It was smarter

00:23:39.620 to do it than

00:23:40.340 not do it.

00:23:41.300 It was better

00:23:41.780 for everybody

00:23:42.260 to do it.

00:23:43.920 That doesn't

00:23:44.760 last forever.

00:23:46.220 If you succeed

00:23:47.460 in getting your

00:23:48.260 discrimination down

00:23:49.320 to at least

00:23:50.480 within, you

00:23:51.420 know, spitting

00:23:52.460 distance, you 0.70

00:23:53.480 know, at least

00:23:54.380 you're in the

00:23:54.820 ballpark,

00:23:55.900 where, let's

00:23:56.700 say, an

00:23:57.820 educated black

00:23:58.760 man is going 0.98

00:23:59.420 to do better

00:23:59.860 than an

00:24:00.420 uneducated 0.72

00:24:01.540 white man, 1.00

00:24:02.640 like nothing's

00:24:03.520 ever completely

00:24:04.840 fair or equal,

00:24:07.280 but you're in

00:24:08.080 the ballpark

00:24:08.820 in 2023.

00:24:10.260 If you're in

00:24:11.680 the ballpark,

00:24:13.540 that second

00:24:14.260 constitution is

00:24:15.140 all bad.

00:24:16.900 Now I'm not

00:24:17.440 sure we're

00:24:17.800 exactly there

00:24:18.560 where it's all

00:24:19.240 bad, but it's

00:24:20.320 starting to look

00:24:20.840 that way.

00:24:21.860 It's starting to

00:24:22.760 look like the

00:24:23.300 more attention we

00:24:24.300 give to

00:24:24.740 discrimination,

00:24:25.780 as much of a

00:24:26.480 problem as it

00:24:27.640 is and has

00:24:28.240 been, that it

00:24:29.380 only makes it

00:24:29.940 worse.

00:24:31.900 That's probably

00:24:32.560 where we're at.

00:24:35.680 Yeah.

00:24:36.680 So, on that

00:24:38.900 same topic,

00:24:40.420 there's a good

00:24:41.500 follow on

00:24:42.160 Twitter, a

00:24:42.840 British fellow

00:24:44.800 named Dr.

00:24:46.100 Joel Brown.

00:24:48.060 And Dr.

00:24:48.760 Joel Brown is

00:24:49.720 black, and he

00:24:51.680 lists himself as 0.89

00:24:52.580 a Christian

00:24:53.080 centrist, critical

00:24:53.960 thinker, staff

00:24:54.820 writer, and

00:24:56.120 medical doctor, and

00:24:57.200 singer-songwriter.

00:24:59.060 All right.

00:24:59.660 So just consider

00:25:00.520 those qualifications.

00:25:01.800 Medical doctor,

00:25:03.460 singer-songwriter,

00:25:04.400 staff writer,

00:25:05.620 Christian centrist,

00:25:06.560 critical thinker,

00:25:07.340 and good tweeter,

00:25:08.200 too.

00:25:09.020 He's a good

00:25:09.460 follow.

00:25:10.940 And he said

00:25:12.040 that he's

00:25:12.280 looking, he

00:25:12.980 wants to meet 0.89

00:25:13.700 a white supremacist

00:25:15.100 because he's

00:25:15.600 never met one.

00:25:18.100 Do you think

00:25:18.800 he can?

00:25:20.060 Do you think he

00:25:20.900 can meet an

00:25:21.420 actual white

00:25:22.020 supremacist?

00:25:23.740 Because I had

00:25:24.440 to explain to

00:25:25.100 him on Twitter

00:25:25.620 that they don't

00:25:27.100 exist anymore.

00:25:28.520 They used to.

00:25:30.120 There used to be

00:25:30.920 plenty of them.

00:25:32.220 But now they've

00:25:33.400 evolved.

00:25:35.340 There are plenty

00:25:35.880 of racists.

00:25:36.580 Let me be clear.

00:25:39.380 Plenty of racists.

00:25:40.900 And plenty of 1.00

00:25:41.740 them are white.

00:25:42.840 You know, 1.00

00:25:43.100 they're racists

00:25:43.680 of all types. 0.99

00:25:44.780 Plenty of white 1.00

00:25:45.520 racists. 0.98

00:25:46.780 But in 2023,

00:25:48.600 you're not going

00:25:49.000 to find one

00:25:49.640 who says

00:25:50.780 white people

00:25:51.420 do all things 0.99

00:25:52.160 better than

00:25:52.720 all other

00:25:53.200 people.

00:25:54.280 That's no

00:25:54.920 longer a thing.

00:25:56.880 I'm pretty

00:25:57.600 sure there

00:25:58.080 was a day

00:25:58.660 when a white 0.82

00:25:59.920 supremacist

00:26:00.540 would have

00:26:01.260 said,

00:26:01.800 there's no

00:26:02.640 way those 1.00

00:26:03.100 black people 0.99

00:26:03.700 will ever be 0.99

00:26:04.320 good at

00:26:04.640 sports.

00:26:06.340 Right?

00:26:07.520 That was

00:26:08.100 actually a

00:26:08.720 thing.

00:26:09.860 I mean,

00:26:10.440 it sounds 0.82

00:26:10.700 ridiculous today.

00:26:12.360 But there 0.98

00:26:12.860 was a time

00:26:13.380 when they

00:26:13.660 thought,

00:26:13.860 now there's

00:26:14.240 no way

00:26:14.520 they're going

00:26:14.760 to be good

00:26:15.080 at sports.

00:26:17.580 No way

00:26:18.420 they're going

00:26:18.740 to become

00:26:19.140 president.

00:26:20.360 Well,

00:26:21.180 there you go.

00:26:22.080 No way

00:26:22.500 there's going

00:26:22.880 to be a

00:26:23.520 famous TV

00:26:24.580 physicist

00:26:25.080 who's also

00:26:25.800 black.

00:26:26.420 Well,

00:26:26.740 there is.

00:26:27.600 No way

00:26:28.100 they're going

00:26:28.480 to dominate

00:26:29.020 music and

00:26:30.860 a lot of

00:26:31.460 other

00:26:31.800 entertainment

00:26:33.300 industries.

00:26:34.040 But they

00:26:34.420 do.

00:26:35.040 They do.

00:26:36.160 So my

00:26:36.920 comment to

00:26:37.440 him,

00:26:37.860 and then

00:26:38.480 the good

00:26:40.140 doctor,

00:26:40.760 Joel Brown,

00:26:42.140 asked me

00:26:42.860 what

00:26:43.420 changed.

00:26:44.480 Like,

00:26:44.780 why would

00:26:45.080 it change?

00:26:46.160 What would

00:26:46.560 change it?

00:26:47.200 Critical

00:26:47.520 thinking,

00:26:48.300 better

00:26:48.500 education?

00:26:49.620 And I

00:26:50.000 said,

00:26:50.280 no,

00:26:50.660 just

00:26:50.860 observation.

00:26:52.320 It would

00:26:52.940 be impossible

00:26:53.600 to live

00:26:54.180 in the

00:26:54.420 modern world

00:26:55.720 and not

00:26:56.680 notice that 0.99

00:26:57.880 black people, 0.91

00:26:58.960 not everyone,

00:27:00.460 but plenty

00:27:01.140 of black

00:27:01.760 people are

00:27:02.220 doing better

00:27:02.680 than the 0.97

00:27:03.060 white supremacists.

00:27:04.300 If you're 0.98

00:27:04.960 a white 0.97

00:27:05.240 supremacist, 0.95

00:27:05.940 how can 0.80

00:27:06.240 you not

00:27:06.620 notice that 0.99

00:27:07.740 black people

00:27:08.340 are outperforming 0.98

00:27:09.340 you personally?

00:27:11.000 You personally

00:27:11.820 are not in

00:27:12.680 the NBA.

00:27:13.860 You personally

00:27:14.640 did not make

00:27:15.300 a hit record

00:27:15.860 with Ye.

00:27:16.800 You personally

00:27:17.820 did not become

00:27:18.520 president with

00:27:19.560 Obama,

00:27:20.280 right?

00:27:21.180 So how

00:27:22.720 in the world 0.91

00:27:23.240 could a white 0.97

00:27:23.740 supremacist 0.86

00:27:24.320 not notice

00:27:24.900 that?

00:27:27.780 And now,

00:27:28.480 to be clear,

00:27:29.700 plenty of

00:27:30.220 regular racists, 0.51

00:27:31.840 plenty of 0.95

00:27:32.660 regular racists,

00:27:34.140 but the

00:27:35.240 flavor these

00:27:36.100 days are

00:27:37.120 they believe

00:27:37.700 that white 0.95

00:27:38.080 people are

00:27:38.520 somewhere in

00:27:38.980 the middle.

00:27:41.200 Do you

00:27:41.840 buy that?

00:27:42.680 that the

00:27:43.420 racist in

00:27:44.060 2023 believes

00:27:46.140 that white 0.95

00:27:46.560 people,

00:27:47.040 if you were

00:27:47.280 to rank

00:27:47.680 their performance,

00:27:48.420 would be

00:27:48.660 somewhere in

00:27:49.060 the middle.

00:27:51.960 There's no,

00:27:53.000 I don't think

00:27:53.600 there's any

00:27:54.020 racist who

00:27:54.700 thinks your 1.00

00:27:55.200 generic white

00:27:55.880 person is

00:27:56.880 going to be

00:27:57.180 at the top

00:27:57.920 of academic

00:27:58.760 performance,

00:28:00.060 or sports,

00:28:02.160 or entertainment,

00:28:03.860 or anything

00:28:05.180 else.

00:28:06.540 Am I

00:28:07.220 wrong?

00:28:07.820 somebody's

00:28:11.420 saying I

00:28:11.800 underestimate 1.00

00:28:12.260 stupid people, 1.00

00:28:13.500 but let me 1.00

00:28:14.060 make a

00:28:14.440 clarification.

00:28:16.800 There was a

00:28:17.660 time in

00:28:18.060 history where

00:28:19.500 an educated

00:28:20.320 white person

00:28:21.100 could be a 0.97

00:28:22.980 white supremacist 0.98

00:28:24.060 and be 0.97

00:28:25.360 rational but

00:28:26.280 wrong.

00:28:28.420 You know,

00:28:28.800 rationally they

00:28:29.680 say, well,

00:28:30.700 observationally,

00:28:31.820 you know, we

00:28:32.240 see one group

00:28:32.840 doing better.

00:28:33.880 They would have

00:28:34.360 been wrong,

00:28:35.600 but it wasn't

00:28:36.140 like crazy

00:28:36.820 thinking.

00:28:37.600 It was just

00:28:38.040 wrong.

00:28:39.640 In 2023,

00:28:40.820 you would have

00:28:41.180 to be flat 1.00

00:28:41.740 out stupid 1.00

00:28:42.340 to imagine 1.00

00:28:43.720 that white 0.95

00:28:44.240 people are

00:28:44.780 outperforming

00:28:45.660 all the other

00:28:46.240 groups and

00:28:46.720 all the

00:28:47.000 categories or

00:28:47.740 anything like

00:28:48.380 it.

00:28:49.200 Now, of

00:28:49.560 course, white

00:28:49.920 supremacy gets

00:28:50.580 used in two

00:28:51.180 different senses.

00:28:53.340 One sense is

00:28:54.780 that there are

00:28:55.400 just too many

00:28:55.880 things that

00:28:56.320 favor white

00:28:56.860 people because

00:28:57.540 of the

00:28:58.180 historical way

00:28:59.540 things evolved.

00:29:01.260 You can make

00:29:02.080 an argument for

00:29:02.680 that.

00:29:03.100 I might

00:29:05.000 debate some

00:29:05.580 of it, but

00:29:05.920 you can make

00:29:06.300 an argument

00:29:06.640 for it.

00:29:07.180 It's not a

00:29:07.720 crazy argument.

00:29:09.100 That's basically

00:29:09.960 systemic racism.

00:29:12.480 But the

00:29:13.160 actual individual

00:29:14.240 thinking they're

00:29:15.220 superior to the

00:29:16.140 other individual,

00:29:16.980 that doesn't

00:29:17.400 exist, except

00:29:19.120 for extremely 1.00

00:29:20.600 stupid people. 1.00

00:29:22.300 And if you're 1.00

00:29:22.720 calling stupidity 1.00

00:29:23.900 racism, I think 1.00

00:29:24.860 that's overthinking

00:29:26.300 it.

00:29:27.320 It's just 1.00

00:29:27.820 stupidity that 1.00

00:29:29.140 informs all of 1.00

00:29:31.740 their decisions.

00:29:33.100 race is just 0.99

00:29:33.920 one of the

00:29:34.460 things they're 1.00

00:29:34.860 stupid about. 1.00

00:29:35.860 They're also 1.00

00:29:36.500 not good at

00:29:37.120 math, maybe.

00:29:38.320 Right?

00:29:38.980 So I don't

00:29:39.800 think you

00:29:40.140 should call 1.00

00:29:40.600 stupidity 1.00

00:29:41.600 racism. 1.00

00:29:44.020 Racism is

00:29:44.680 just one of

00:29:45.520 the many

00:29:45.820 things that

00:29:46.320 they get

00:29:46.600 wrong because 1.00

00:29:47.360 they're stupid. 1.00

00:29:49.940 All right. 1.00

00:29:50.680 Well, that's

00:29:51.200 what I say.

00:29:52.560 There's

00:29:53.040 Shinzo Abe,

00:29:55.060 the now

00:29:55.980 deceased and

00:29:57.320 assassinated

00:29:58.080 prime minister.

00:30:00.640 what does

00:30:01.960 Japan have? 0.89

00:30:02.980 Prime minister,

00:30:04.020 right?

00:30:05.400 Yeah, right,

00:30:06.020 prime minister.

00:30:08.480 And he had a

00:30:09.380 book that he'd

00:30:10.020 written, but it

00:30:10.900 was not released

00:30:11.980 while he was

00:30:12.380 alive, so his

00:30:13.380 widow allowed

00:30:13.980 it.

00:30:14.720 And he's got

00:30:15.360 some criticisms

00:30:16.200 of Trump and

00:30:17.580 Trump's approach

00:30:19.220 to North Korea.

00:30:20.100 And the way

00:30:21.800 it's being

00:30:22.140 reported is

00:30:23.720 that, you

00:30:26.100 know, obviously

00:30:26.640 this is Abe's

00:30:27.740 telling of it,

00:30:29.440 but Abe thought

00:30:30.260 that Trump was

00:30:31.440 too soft on

00:30:32.380 North Korea and

00:30:34.480 that the only

00:30:35.060 thing that could

00:30:35.720 denuclearize North 0.72

00:30:37.420 Korea is the 1.00

00:30:38.760 threat that

00:30:39.440 America would 0.93

00:30:40.380 put a

00:30:41.980 Tomahawk missile

00:30:42.800 on Kim's

00:30:44.440 house and 1.00

00:30:45.460 kill him and 1.00

00:30:46.020 his family. 1.00

00:30:47.000 And that would

00:30:47.440 be the only

00:30:48.180 thing that Kim 0.97

00:30:48.820 would worry

00:30:49.520 about, and

00:30:50.160 therefore, without

00:30:51.540 that threat,

00:30:52.400 nothing would

00:30:52.820 happen.

00:30:54.080 To which I

00:30:54.640 say, I wonder

00:30:56.200 if Shinzo Abe

00:30:57.140 remembers the

00:30:57.980 past 60 years

00:30:59.400 of that not

00:30:59.980 working.

00:31:02.740 Did he not

00:31:03.460 notice decades

00:31:04.500 and decades of

00:31:05.560 that not

00:31:06.960 working, being

00:31:07.960 hard on North

00:31:08.900 Korea? 0.70

00:31:10.300 So instead,

00:31:11.360 Trump ignored

00:31:12.620 all of their

00:31:14.160 thinking and

00:31:15.800 simply befriended

00:31:17.020 Kim Jong-un,

00:31:19.520 and simply

00:31:20.500 convinced him

00:31:21.160 that we

00:31:21.520 weren't his

00:31:21.960 target.

00:31:25.740 When was

00:31:26.420 the last time

00:31:26.920 you worried

00:31:27.420 about North

00:31:27.940 Korea? 0.70

00:31:29.920 Because I

00:31:30.520 have to admit,

00:31:31.640 I was concerned

00:31:32.680 during the Trump

00:31:33.580 administration, the

00:31:34.480 first part.

00:31:35.460 I was concerned.

00:31:37.260 It looked like

00:31:37.940 maybe there was

00:31:38.800 some real trouble

00:31:39.420 there.

00:31:40.120 But I would

00:31:40.580 say I haven't

00:31:42.120 thought about it

00:31:42.700 in a long time.

00:31:43.340 In my opinion,

00:31:45.880 Trump removed

00:31:46.640 that threat.

00:31:49.080 Now, you

00:31:50.000 know, they're

00:31:50.260 building up their

00:31:51.040 missiles and

00:31:52.340 stuff, and

00:31:53.400 that's not good.

00:31:54.420 But that wasn't

00:31:55.300 going to stop,

00:31:56.480 was it?

00:31:58.480 I don't see

00:31:59.620 anything that the

00:32:00.460 United States or

00:32:01.260 anybody else could

00:32:02.200 have done to

00:32:03.360 stop North Korea. 0.96

00:32:05.240 So Trump did

00:32:06.200 the only thing

00:32:06.860 that made sense.

00:32:08.240 He made

00:32:09.060 ourselves less

00:32:09.900 of a target.

00:32:11.120 That was the

00:32:11.620 only thing that

00:32:12.200 ever made sense.

00:32:13.340 And he did

00:32:13.820 it.

00:32:14.900 So I hate

00:32:17.780 seeing Abe's

00:32:18.500 book being

00:32:18.900 taken seriously

00:32:19.620 on that point.

00:32:21.960 I had to

00:32:22.740 tweet today

00:32:23.280 because I

00:32:23.980 realized that a

00:32:24.840 lot of people

00:32:25.300 were accusing

00:32:26.160 me, and

00:32:27.180 maybe you

00:32:28.020 too.

00:32:28.660 You may have

00:32:29.140 been accused

00:32:29.560 of this too.

00:32:31.300 A lot of

00:32:31.980 people said

00:32:32.380 that my

00:32:33.980 decisions during

00:32:34.700 the pandemic

00:32:35.240 were because I

00:32:36.760 was afraid of

00:32:37.360 dying.

00:32:39.760 Are any of

00:32:40.380 you afraid of

00:32:41.020 dying?

00:32:43.340 Because I've

00:32:44.020 never been

00:32:44.380 afraid of

00:32:44.820 dying.

00:32:46.140 I don't

00:32:46.780 even understand

00:32:47.360 it.

00:32:49.300 I mean,

00:32:49.600 I'll avoid

00:32:50.400 it.

00:32:51.000 I'll do

00:32:51.540 what I

00:32:51.780 have to

00:32:52.080 do to

00:32:52.520 avoid it.

00:32:53.320 But why

00:32:54.200 would you

00:32:54.500 be afraid of

00:32:55.260 something that

00:32:55.760 removes all

00:32:56.280 your pain?

00:32:56.780 I don't

00:33:00.160 even understand

00:33:00.720 the concept.

00:33:04.300 No, you're

00:33:04.960 talking about

00:33:05.380 the process

00:33:06.020 of dying.

00:33:07.700 Let's agree

00:33:08.400 that nobody

00:33:08.880 wants, nobody's

00:33:10.200 looking forward

00:33:10.760 to the actual

00:33:11.540 moment of

00:33:12.220 death.

00:33:13.060 I'm not

00:33:13.580 talking about

00:33:14.020 that.

00:33:14.480 I'm talking

00:33:14.920 about just

00:33:15.280 like being

00:33:15.720 dead. 0.95

00:33:16.920 Are you

00:33:17.240 afraid of

00:33:17.680 being dead?

00:33:21.840 It removes

00:33:22.660 your joy,

00:33:23.220 but you won't

00:33:23.640 know the

00:33:23.960 difference.

00:33:24.320 I would

00:33:29.660 be afraid

00:33:30.320 of someone

00:33:30.780 else dying

00:33:31.520 that I

00:33:31.860 cared about

00:33:32.320 because that

00:33:33.160 would affect

00:33:33.840 me.

00:33:36.100 Well, I

00:33:37.240 would like to

00:33:37.640 clarify.

00:33:38.760 I always

00:33:39.520 put maximum

00:33:40.420 attention into

00:33:41.680 not being

00:33:42.560 hurt or

00:33:43.180 disabled.

00:33:44.820 So being

00:33:45.620 hurt or

00:33:46.160 disabled in

00:33:47.020 this life,

00:33:48.160 I'm definitely

00:33:48.780 going to try

00:33:49.200 to avoid that

00:33:49.900 as much as

00:33:50.420 possible.

00:33:51.580 But dying?

00:33:53.160 I don't

00:33:53.760 think I've

00:33:54.160 ever considered

00:33:55.320 that in any

00:33:55.860 of my

00:33:56.080 decisions.

00:33:57.400 So the

00:33:57.880 most, I

00:33:58.920 realize the

00:33:59.360 most misleading

00:34:02.040 belief about

00:34:02.920 me is that I

00:34:05.000 didn't calculate

00:34:05.720 correctly the

00:34:06.920 risk of dying

00:34:08.280 from COVID

00:34:08.920 versus a

00:34:10.420 shot.

00:34:11.660 I'm not even

00:34:12.520 sure I put

00:34:13.540 that in my

00:34:14.000 thinking because

00:34:15.400 I didn't think

00:34:15.900 the risk of

00:34:16.480 dying from

00:34:17.000 the shot was

00:34:18.100 very big.

00:34:19.300 I didn't think

00:34:19.860 the risk of

00:34:20.580 dying from

00:34:21.220 COVID was

00:34:21.820 very big.

00:34:22.320 And I

00:34:23.220 didn't really

00:34:23.660 care about

00:34:24.060 being dead.

00:34:25.640 Like,

00:34:25.980 literally,

00:34:26.400 it's just not

00:34:26.920 part of my

00:34:27.540 thinking about

00:34:28.720 anything, and

00:34:29.740 not just the

00:34:30.240 pandemic.

00:34:31.580 Not once in

00:34:32.300 my life.

00:34:33.400 I actually had

00:34:34.260 to ask my

00:34:34.900 ex-wife, my

00:34:37.060 first ex-wife,

00:34:38.500 I asked her if

00:34:40.060 she had any

00:34:40.580 memory of me

00:34:41.440 ever being

00:34:41.960 afraid of dying

00:34:43.000 from anything.

00:34:44.480 And she said,

00:34:45.400 no.

00:34:46.560 There's never even

00:34:47.960 better conversation.

00:34:50.400 But fear of

00:34:52.080 unpleasantness during

00:34:53.800 this life?

00:34:54.380 Yeah, absolutely.

00:34:55.740 So that's why I

00:34:56.540 was so focused

00:34:57.580 on long COVID

00:34:58.500 and from the

00:35:00.360 risk of the

00:35:01.420 vaccinations,

00:35:02.580 the risk is not

00:35:03.560 that they killed

00:35:04.060 me, that they 0.93

00:35:04.700 disabled me.

00:35:06.700 So in both

00:35:07.560 cases, it's the

00:35:08.700 risk of disabling

00:35:09.680 from either path.

00:35:13.000 All right, so I

00:35:15.840 did a super

00:35:17.080 unscientific poll.

00:35:19.360 I wondered how

00:35:19.880 many of you have

00:35:20.680 personal experience

00:35:21.820 with people who

00:35:23.580 had either Vax-related

00:35:24.840 injury, according

00:35:25.640 to them, or long

00:35:26.960 COVID, according

00:35:28.260 to them.

00:35:29.140 So remember, this

00:35:30.100 is the most

00:35:30.640 unscientific survey.

00:35:32.040 It's just on

00:35:32.440 Twitter, just people

00:35:33.660 who follow me,

00:35:34.620 people who decided

00:35:35.280 to answer.

00:35:36.320 So there's nothing

00:35:37.320 scientific about it.

00:35:38.840 But it's still kind

00:35:39.320 of interesting.

00:35:40.380 So I asked, first,

00:35:41.360 I said, how many

00:35:41.940 people do you

00:35:42.580 personally know,

00:35:44.020 right?

00:35:44.460 Not people you

00:35:45.440 heard of, but

00:35:46.920 people you

00:35:47.360 personally know,

00:35:48.780 who have a

00:35:49.360 doctor diagnosed,

00:35:50.640 not just a

00:35:51.280 suspected, but

00:35:52.120 the doctor believes

00:35:53.220 that they have an

00:35:54.460 injury from getting

00:35:55.140 the shots, the

00:35:56.060 COVID shots.

00:35:57.680 So 64% of

00:35:59.860 people answered

00:36:00.380 said they don't

00:36:01.040 know anybody who

00:36:01.800 had even a

00:36:02.880 suspected Vax-related

00:36:05.000 injury.

00:36:05.740 Is it okay if I

00:36:06.480 call the Vax 0.99

00:36:07.080 injury, for

00:36:08.200 sure hand, if we

00:36:09.060 all agree that

00:36:09.680 they're not really

00:36:10.260 vaccinations?

00:36:10.820 Will you allow

00:36:13.340 that just as a

00:36:14.120 shorthand?

00:36:14.600 It's easier than

00:36:15.160 explaining it every

00:36:15.980 time.

00:36:17.380 But about 13% said

00:36:19.440 they know one

00:36:20.100 person.

00:36:21.880 13% said they

00:36:24.260 know somebody with

00:36:25.060 a Vax injury.

00:36:26.260 But 23% said they

00:36:29.380 know more than one

00:36:30.480 person with a

00:36:32.180 doctor-diagnosed

00:36:33.500 Vax injury that

00:36:34.980 they know

00:36:35.360 personally.

00:36:35.940 Now, if you add

00:36:38.780 together the ones

00:36:39.460 who know one and

00:36:40.500 more than one, so

00:36:42.900 you get 36% of the

00:36:47.320 people who answered

00:36:47.980 this believe they

00:36:48.940 know somebody who

00:36:50.320 the doctor has

00:36:51.380 confirmed, at least

00:36:52.440 in the doctor's

00:36:53.220 opinion, is a

00:36:54.840 Vax injury.

00:36:59.600 Let me ask this

00:37:01.000 question.

00:37:01.400 I know there are a

00:37:01.920 number of doctors

00:37:02.600 who are watching

00:37:03.140 this.

00:37:03.440 So those of you

00:37:04.740 who are medical

00:37:05.260 doctors, and

00:37:06.160 especially if you're

00:37:07.100 still practicing,

00:37:09.680 here's what I'd like

00:37:10.480 to say.

00:37:11.200 I would like to see

00:37:12.000 you answer that

00:37:12.820 you're a doctor, so

00:37:13.700 we know when you

00:37:14.220 answer, you know,

00:37:14.900 I'm a doctor.

00:37:16.280 Just say, doctor, and

00:37:18.260 then say, wouldn't we

00:37:19.960 notice that all the

00:37:21.100 hospitals were 0.89

00:37:22.020 overflowing?

00:37:23.180 If anything like this

00:37:25.660 were true, would the

00:37:27.360 hospitals not be

00:37:28.280 overflowing?

00:37:30.480 Let's see, doctors

00:37:31.480 only.

00:37:33.020 Doctors weigh in.

00:37:35.040 I might be wrong

00:37:35.980 about that.

00:37:38.740 No, I did not say

00:37:40.580 hospitalized, but that

00:37:41.760 would be the effect

00:37:42.780 of it.

00:37:45.340 Injury is vague.

00:37:46.380 I'm a doctor.

00:37:52.440 That seems very

00:37:53.100 unlikely, yeah.

00:37:58.820 Hospitals are

00:37:59.500 overflowing.

00:38:00.200 Somebody says, I

00:38:00.800 don't think they

00:38:01.240 are.

00:38:07.880 Most myocarditis

00:38:09.160 doesn't get

00:38:09.860 admitted.

00:38:12.040 But even if most

00:38:13.420 didn't get

00:38:13.860 admitted, it

00:38:14.380 would still be

00:38:15.220 a jam in the

00:38:16.920 hospitals, right?

00:38:18.240 So here's one of

00:38:19.260 these things where

00:38:19.900 it's sort of a

00:38:20.700 math intuition.

00:38:23.580 If you work with

00:38:24.440 numbers a lot, you

00:38:25.460 get sort of an

00:38:26.100 intuition about

00:38:26.780 what's possible and

00:38:27.640 what isn't.

00:38:28.820 And, you know, it's

00:38:29.820 not really a

00:38:30.980 science.

00:38:31.920 But my intuition

00:38:32.720 says this couldn't

00:38:33.580 possibly be true.

00:38:35.140 It couldn't

00:38:35.600 possibly be true

00:38:36.500 that 36% of

00:38:37.780 people personally

00:38:39.660 know somebody who

00:38:40.580 had a vax

00:38:41.140 injury.

00:38:42.340 That's, you

00:38:42.980 know, well

00:38:43.420 established.

00:38:44.380 Do you think

00:38:46.740 we would still

00:38:47.240 be giving

00:38:47.620 shots if this

00:38:48.360 were true?

00:38:50.600 I think we

00:38:51.300 would stop if

00:38:52.040 a fraction of

00:38:52.740 this were

00:38:53.060 true.

00:38:54.840 But I

00:38:55.360 might be

00:38:55.620 wrong.

00:38:56.340 All right, so

00:38:56.600 I asked the

00:38:56.980 same question

00:38:57.420 about long

00:38:58.300 COVID.

00:39:00.080 How many

00:39:00.640 people do you

00:39:01.260 personally know

00:39:02.180 who have

00:39:03.180 doctor-diagnosed,

00:39:04.420 not just they

00:39:05.400 suspected, but

00:39:06.260 doctor-diagnosed

00:39:07.140 long COVID?

00:39:08.800 So 84% said

00:39:10.100 none, but

00:39:10.980 almost 9%

00:39:13.120 said one, and

00:39:15.600 over 7%

00:39:17.160 said more

00:39:17.600 than one.

00:39:18.640 So you

00:39:18.980 got 16%

00:39:20.080 of people

00:39:22.740 think they

00:39:23.280 know somebody

00:39:23.860 who had

00:39:24.100 long COVID.

00:39:25.740 Doctor-diagnosed

00:39:26.920 long COVID.

00:39:28.540 Do you

00:39:28.820 believe that?

00:39:30.040 Because a lot

00:39:30.760 of you believe

00:39:31.260 that long COVID

00:39:31.880 doesn't exist.

00:39:33.880 But 16%

00:39:35.440 of my audience,

00:39:36.400 and my audience

00:39:37.040 is mostly people

00:39:37.900 who believe it

00:39:38.760 doesn't exist.

00:39:39.460 And even

00:39:40.740 among the

00:39:41.240 group of

00:39:41.620 people who

00:39:42.780 are biased

00:39:43.320 toward thinking

00:39:43.840 it doesn't

00:39:44.320 exist, still

00:39:45.820 16% think

00:39:47.040 they know

00:39:47.420 somebody who

00:39:47.860 was diagnosed

00:39:48.300 by a doctor.

00:39:50.640 Yeah, I'm

00:39:51.340 not going to

00:39:51.700 defend the

00:39:52.280 scientific

00:39:52.940 validity of

00:39:53.900 it.

00:39:54.360 Don't get

00:39:54.920 me wrong.

00:39:59.200 Is any of

00:40:00.520 that interesting?

00:40:02.040 Are you...

00:40:02.900 I find

00:40:03.840 this interesting

00:40:05.300 even though

00:40:05.800 it's scientifically

00:40:06.780 invalid.

00:40:07.480 it does give

00:40:09.160 you a sense

00:40:09.660 of where

00:40:09.960 the public

00:40:11.120 is, or

00:40:11.960 at least

00:40:12.200 the public

00:40:12.640 that's following

00:40:13.260 me.

00:40:14.180 That's interesting.

00:40:15.840 It's not

00:40:16.560 science, it's

00:40:17.240 just telling

00:40:17.620 me where

00:40:17.960 your minds

00:40:18.700 are at.

00:40:20.560 All right,

00:40:21.080 are you aware

00:40:21.880 that there

00:40:22.380 was a massive

00:40:23.620 mask study,

00:40:24.940 a study of

00:40:25.520 studies, a

00:40:26.220 big meta

00:40:26.700 study of

00:40:27.320 studies, and

00:40:28.640 they decided

00:40:30.120 that masks

00:40:31.900 might work a

00:40:33.440 little bit,

00:40:33.980 but not enough

00:40:34.580 to have been

00:40:35.880 worth it?

00:40:37.480 Are you

00:40:38.440 aware of

00:40:38.700 that?

00:40:39.300 It's pretty

00:40:39.700 big news.

00:40:40.540 Time Magazine

00:40:41.060 had a big

00:40:41.500 write-up, and

00:40:42.320 Zero Hedge

00:40:43.280 has one.

00:40:43.880 It's on

00:40:44.160 Twitter today.

00:40:45.700 Now, I

00:40:47.300 saw Brett

00:40:47.920 Weinstein say

00:40:49.480 that... I

00:40:52.220 think he

00:40:52.560 might have

00:40:52.800 been wrong

00:40:53.260 at one

00:40:53.580 point, but

00:40:54.080 then he

00:40:54.480 adjusted it

00:40:55.240 to right.

00:40:55.660 now, some

00:41:01.980 of you say

00:41:02.620 you told

00:41:03.100 me so, but

00:41:04.020 you know

00:41:04.280 this is my

00:41:04.920 opinion, right?

00:41:06.760 How many

00:41:07.620 of you are

00:41:09.340 aware that

00:41:09.980 this was my

00:41:10.660 exact opinion

00:41:11.360 from the

00:41:11.800 beginning?

00:41:14.060 That was my

00:41:14.840 exact opinion.

00:41:15.820 So these

00:41:16.440 studies are

00:41:17.100 confirming my

00:41:17.840 exact opinion

00:41:18.460 on masks.

00:41:19.920 You know

00:41:20.300 that, right?

00:41:20.680 Do you

00:41:22.560 hate that?

00:41:23.900 Do you

00:41:24.420 hate that

00:41:24.840 this big

00:41:25.740 new study

00:41:26.360 agrees with

00:41:27.760 me exactly?

00:41:30.060 So the

00:41:30.700 ones that

00:41:31.100 say no, it

00:41:31.700 didn't, you're

00:41:32.280 reading the

00:41:32.620 headline, not

00:41:33.220 the study.

00:41:34.220 If you read

00:41:34.820 the study, it

00:41:36.480 says that the

00:41:37.520 actual benefit

00:41:38.320 might be in

00:41:38.880 the 9% range

00:41:40.240 at most, but

00:41:42.520 that overall

00:41:43.680 people are

00:41:44.240 sloppy with

00:41:44.880 their mask

00:41:45.700 wearing, and

00:41:46.920 it didn't make

00:41:48.000 any difference

00:41:48.480 in the big

00:41:48.920 numbers, and

00:41:50.580 therefore my

00:41:51.240 opinion was

00:41:51.960 from an

00:41:53.360 engineering and

00:41:54.080 physics perspective

00:41:55.080 it had to

00:41:56.500 make some

00:41:56.880 difference, but

00:41:59.360 not enough that

00:42:00.000 you could see, so

00:42:01.060 therefore it was

00:42:01.660 not justified.

00:42:02.860 And that's what

00:42:03.620 the big study

00:42:04.380 says.

00:42:05.480 It had to make

00:42:06.180 some difference.

00:42:07.480 It looks like it

00:42:08.140 did, a tiny bit,

00:42:09.880 but not nearly

00:42:10.760 enough to

00:42:11.520 compensate for

00:42:12.380 all the

00:42:12.740 negatives of

00:42:13.640 it.

00:42:15.660 Completely

00:42:16.140 right.

00:42:16.780 Not only was

00:42:17.460 I completely

00:42:18.000 right on

00:42:18.440 that from

00:42:19.300 the beginning,

00:42:20.720 but I'm the

00:42:21.280 only person in

00:42:22.120 the country who

00:42:23.600 spotted Fauci's

00:42:25.020 lie when he

00:42:26.800 said that masks

00:42:27.740 totally don't

00:42:29.020 work, but I

00:42:30.180 knew he didn't

00:42:31.020 believe it.

00:42:32.220 Now that's

00:42:32.640 separate from the 0.50

00:42:33.260 question of

00:42:33.700 whether they

00:42:34.160 work.

00:42:35.000 The only

00:42:35.420 question is

00:42:35.880 whether he

00:42:36.500 believed he

00:42:37.040 was lying, and

00:42:37.860 he did.

00:42:38.560 And I spotted

00:42:39.320 that he believed

00:42:40.040 he was lying, I

00:42:40.940 knew it

00:42:41.200 immediately, I

00:42:42.420 called it out.

00:42:43.700 So I'm also

00:42:44.840 the first person

00:42:45.720 in the country

00:42:46.200 to blame

00:42:47.500 Fauci for

00:42:48.640 lying to

00:42:49.280 the public

00:42:49.680 about the

00:42:50.380 pandemic.

00:42:51.600 I'm the

00:42:51.920 first one.

00:42:53.900 How did

00:42:54.480 you know?

00:42:55.460 Because it's

00:42:56.060 obvious.

00:42:57.720 It's obvious.

00:42:59.160 It's the same 0.53

00:42:59.860 reason I knew

00:43:00.460 that they had

00:43:00.960 to help a

00:43:01.380 little.

00:43:01.540 All right, let

00:43:03.300 me tell you

00:43:03.980 where I think

00:43:04.560 they would

00:43:04.880 help.

00:43:06.240 You need a

00:43:07.360 specific example.

00:43:09.380 Here's where

00:43:10.000 they don't

00:43:10.500 help.

00:43:11.620 Here's where

00:43:12.080 we all agree.

00:43:12.800 you sit in

00:43:14.540 a room with

00:43:15.120 somebody with

00:43:16.240 bad ventilation

00:43:17.220 and you both

00:43:18.960 have masks

00:43:19.520 on and you

00:43:20.180 stay there

00:43:20.600 for two

00:43:20.920 hours.

00:43:22.460 Do I

00:43:22.880 think that

00:43:23.340 the mask

00:43:23.820 helps you

00:43:24.360 if you're

00:43:25.260 in a poorly

00:43:25.740 ventilated

00:43:26.500 close area?

00:43:28.520 No.

00:43:29.400 No.

00:43:30.020 Because over

00:43:30.700 time, there's

00:43:32.000 enough virus

00:43:32.580 that comes

00:43:32.940 out the

00:43:33.280 sides and

00:43:34.500 the top,

00:43:35.380 right?

00:43:36.120 So that

00:43:36.600 would be

00:43:36.880 obviously

00:43:37.440 doesn't help.

00:43:38.740 And I've

00:43:39.140 always been

00:43:39.560 on that

00:43:39.900 page.

00:43:40.240 because it's

00:43:41.520 very obvious

00:43:42.140 that, you

00:43:43.400 know, if you

00:43:44.080 don't have a

00:43:44.460 good-fitting

00:43:44.820 mask, there's

00:43:45.460 air coming

00:43:45.880 out everywhere.

00:43:46.880 Now, let

00:43:48.040 me give you

00:43:48.420 the most

00:43:48.840 specific, rare

00:43:51.300 situation that

00:43:53.560 in my opinion,

00:43:55.140 and according

00:43:55.780 to the studies,

00:43:56.880 I would say the

00:43:57.340 studies back me

00:43:58.120 up, there's the

00:43:59.240 rarest opinion

00:44:00.060 when it might

00:44:01.120 make a little

00:44:01.860 bit of

00:44:02.220 difference.

00:44:03.720 All right?

00:44:04.480 Outside of

00:44:05.160 this rare, rare

00:44:05.940 opinion, I don't

00:44:07.440 think any

00:44:07.840 difference.

00:44:08.840 All right?

00:44:09.160 Here's the

00:44:09.740 rare, rare

00:44:10.300 situation.

00:44:12.520 You have

00:44:13.280 COVID.

00:44:14.560 You don't

00:44:15.220 know it, but

00:44:15.860 you have it.

00:44:17.200 You want to

00:44:17.820 say a quick

00:44:18.500 hello to

00:44:19.100 grandma in

00:44:19.820 the rest

00:44:20.180 home.

00:44:21.460 And grandma

00:44:22.260 doesn't hear

00:44:22.820 so well, so

00:44:24.120 you end up

00:44:24.640 getting a little

00:44:25.140 too close.

00:44:26.800 But you're

00:44:27.500 only going to

00:44:28.040 be there for

00:44:28.640 a minute.

00:44:30.200 You're literally

00:44:31.000 going to be

00:44:31.440 there one

00:44:32.020 minute.

00:44:32.540 But you want

00:44:33.020 to say happy

00:44:34.200 birthday to

00:44:34.800 grandma.

00:44:35.660 So you go in

00:44:36.260 the room, you

00:44:36.980 get, you're

00:44:37.460 kind of close.

00:44:38.420 Grandma, happy

00:44:39.720 birthday.

00:44:40.780 I'm only

00:44:41.340 staying a

00:44:41.800 second.

00:44:42.280 Got to

00:44:42.600 go.

00:44:43.280 All right.

00:44:43.660 Goodbye.

00:44:44.100 Have a good

00:44:44.440 birthday.

00:44:44.780 In that one

00:44:47.380 situation, you

00:44:49.260 wouldn't be

00:44:49.760 allowing so

00:44:50.740 much into the

00:44:51.480 room through

00:44:51.900 the sides of

00:44:52.560 your mask that

00:44:53.840 it's likely to

00:44:54.460 make a difference

00:44:55.100 because it's

00:44:55.940 only one minute.

00:44:56.940 And let's say

00:44:57.360 it's well

00:44:57.900 ventilated.

00:44:59.260 But if you

00:45:00.620 had COVID and

00:45:02.020 you were shouting

00:45:02.780 into grandma's

00:45:03.760 open mouth for

00:45:05.880 one minute, could

00:45:07.100 you give her

00:45:07.580 COVID?

00:45:07.900 shouting into 0.99

00:45:09.600 her mouth your 0.90

00:45:10.220 actual COVID

00:45:11.040 from, you'll

00:45:12.780 say, two

00:45:13.360 feet away.

00:45:14.680 I would say

00:45:15.580 yes.

00:45:16.740 Somebody says

00:45:17.300 no.

00:45:18.800 Come on, you're

00:45:19.960 not being

00:45:20.300 honest.

00:45:21.880 Be honest.

00:45:23.360 Be honest.

00:45:24.240 In that weird

00:45:25.220 little one

00:45:26.040 situation that

00:45:27.480 almost never

00:45:28.140 happens, the

00:45:30.560 front of the

00:45:31.140 mask would

00:45:32.340 cause the

00:45:33.100 COVID plume to

00:45:34.180 go sideways and

00:45:35.320 out, where a

00:45:36.880 well-ventilated

00:45:37.600 room could

00:45:38.120 handle some

00:45:38.660 of it.

00:45:39.280 But if you

00:45:39.860 shouted it

00:45:40.540 directly into

00:45:41.260 grandma's open

00:45:42.140 mouth, there's 0.60

00:45:43.640 more chance she

00:45:44.300 would get

00:45:44.600 COVID.

00:45:46.240 Now, I want

00:45:47.180 to see somebody

00:45:47.780 argue that,

00:45:48.920 because if you

00:45:49.560 do, you're not

00:45:51.100 being honest.

00:45:52.720 Go ahead.

00:45:53.940 Argue that

00:45:54.700 case.

00:45:57.740 If you're

00:45:58.420 saying it's an

00:45:58.960 outlier, you're

00:45:59.860 agreeing with

00:46:00.380 me.

00:46:02.200 I'm saying

00:46:03.020 that it

00:46:04.360 has to be

00:46:05.060 true from a

00:46:06.000 physics and

00:46:07.260 engineering

00:46:07.780 perspective.

00:46:09.100 From a

00:46:09.840 physics and

00:46:10.440 engineering

00:46:10.800 perspective,

00:46:12.600 barriers work.

00:46:14.580 They just

00:46:15.280 don't work

00:46:15.720 well.

00:46:16.880 But they

00:46:17.340 make some

00:46:17.740 difference.

00:46:20.060 If you

00:46:20.500 think you

00:46:22.060 can blow

00:46:22.460 on a

00:46:22.800 candle with

00:46:23.860 a mask

00:46:24.300 on, then

00:46:25.940 I would say

00:46:26.580 that my

00:46:27.280 situation would

00:46:27.980 be the same

00:46:28.520 as every

00:46:28.880 other situation.

00:46:30.380 All right.

00:46:33.260 So, I'm

00:46:34.980 the rightest

00:46:35.500 person in the

00:46:36.080 country on

00:46:36.520 masks, and

00:46:38.660 the rightest

00:46:39.160 person in the

00:46:39.720 country on

00:46:40.440 vaccine decisions,

00:46:42.580 because I'm

00:46:44.180 the only one

00:46:44.600 who considered

00:46:45.100 long COVID.

00:46:47.260 And the

00:46:47.920 people who

00:46:48.340 believe that

00:46:48.920 100% of

00:46:49.800 what the

00:46:50.160 government

00:46:50.460 approves are

00:46:52.020 bad are

00:46:53.060 not really

00:46:53.520 serious

00:46:54.140 conversationalists

00:46:56.200 on this.

00:46:57.140 If you believe

00:46:57.940 that just

00:46:58.360 because the

00:46:58.940 government

00:46:59.300 acted sketchy

00:47:00.920 about the

00:47:01.320 vaccines,

00:47:02.040 there wasn't

00:47:02.800 any chance

00:47:03.500 they could

00:47:03.820 help.

00:47:05.100 Right?

00:47:05.280 If you

00:47:05.620 really

00:47:05.880 discounted

00:47:06.580 their benefit

00:47:07.240 down to

00:47:07.720 zero, you're

00:47:08.740 not a

00:47:09.080 serious person.

00:47:10.140 You're just

00:47:10.460 not serious.

00:47:17.520 All right.

00:47:18.220 What is

00:47:20.020 long COVID?

00:47:21.100 Well, we

00:47:21.480 don't know.

00:47:22.280 But 16%

00:47:23.300 of the

00:47:23.640 people who

00:47:24.260 from this

00:47:25.640 very audience,

00:47:27.080 16% of

00:47:28.020 this audience

00:47:28.440 believes they

00:47:29.040 know somebody

00:47:29.520 who has

00:47:29.820 it.

00:47:31.220 That's a

00:47:31.820 lot.

00:47:33.100 Now, they

00:47:33.720 could be

00:47:34.000 wrong.

00:47:35.960 I'll agree

00:47:36.720 with you that

00:47:38.080 we still have

00:47:38.860 the possibility

00:47:39.540 that long

00:47:40.060 COVID doesn't

00:47:40.680 exist at all.

00:47:41.860 Would you

00:47:42.160 agree with

00:47:42.480 that?

00:47:42.660 So, it

00:47:51.020 feels good to

00:47:51.520 be right about

00:47:52.180 everything and

00:47:52.940 to be finally

00:47:53.700 proved right

00:47:54.480 in the long

00:47:55.400 run.

00:47:56.340 I thought it

00:47:57.020 was hilarious

00:47:57.540 that a lot

00:48:00.140 of you knew

00:48:00.880 I was pranking

00:48:01.720 when I

00:48:02.200 apologized for

00:48:03.080 being wrong

00:48:03.480 about everything.

00:48:04.940 You knew

00:48:05.500 that was a

00:48:05.880 prank, right?

00:48:07.240 I just

00:48:07.820 wanted to see

00:48:08.200 how much

00:48:08.540 energy I

00:48:09.120 could attract

00:48:10.140 my way

00:48:10.580 before I

00:48:11.180 declared

00:48:12.300 victory.

00:48:15.460 All right.

00:48:16.100 So, that

00:48:16.320 was a

00:48:16.540 non-standard

00:48:17.200 way to

00:48:17.500 handle it.

00:48:21.440 All right.

00:48:21.920 What else

00:48:22.220 we got going

00:48:22.720 on here?

00:48:25.600 Let me

00:48:26.760 check the

00:48:27.240 news on

00:48:28.020 CNN and

00:48:28.600 tell you

00:48:28.840 what's

00:48:29.060 happening.

00:48:31.720 So, do

00:48:32.500 you believe

00:48:32.940 that Ukraine 0.91

00:48:33.660 shot down

00:48:34.400 61 Russian

00:48:35.480 cruise missiles?

00:48:36.900 Let's see

00:48:37.680 in the

00:48:38.920 comments.

00:48:40.400 Now, we've

00:48:40.800 been sending

00:48:41.280 them, you 0.56

00:48:41.960 know, technology

00:48:43.600 that should be

00:48:44.320 shooting down

00:48:44.860 cruise missiles.

00:48:46.020 Isn't 61

00:48:46.940 a lot of

00:48:47.460 missiles?

00:48:49.420 How many

00:48:50.100 cruise missiles

00:48:50.920 do you think

00:48:51.520 Russia has? 0.87

00:48:54.380 Because they're

00:48:55.140 kind of

00:48:55.440 expensive,

00:48:56.020 aren't they?

00:48:58.800 Yeah.

00:48:59.640 I didn't,

00:49:00.620 you know,

00:49:01.480 you think they

00:49:02.840 have a million

00:49:03.380 cruise missiles?

00:49:04.920 No.

00:49:07.020 I'll bet

00:49:07.600 their cruise

00:49:08.100 missiles are

00:49:08.620 more like

00:49:09.040 a thousand.

00:49:10.860 What would

00:49:11.480 you guess?

00:49:13.320 Probably

00:49:13.760 under a

00:49:14.220 thousand,

00:49:14.680 right?

00:49:15.640 If they

00:49:16.100 shot a

00:49:16.440 61 down,

00:49:18.760 I don't

00:49:19.200 know in

00:49:19.460 what time

00:49:19.920 frame that

00:49:20.360 was, but

00:49:20.820 it's a lot

00:49:22.380 of shooting

00:49:22.660 down.

00:49:23.540 I don't know,

00:49:23.880 I don't

00:49:24.120 believe it.

00:49:25.440 they make

00:49:27.340 more than

00:49:27.660 they use.

00:49:29.180 And then

00:49:30.000 there's nothing

00:49:30.600 here about

00:49:31.040 a major

00:49:31.660 offensive

00:49:32.860 coming,

00:49:34.280 but I

00:49:36.060 wouldn't be

00:49:36.380 surprised.

00:49:38.300 So the

00:49:40.600 thing that

00:49:41.120 I get

00:49:42.880 the most

00:49:43.280 pushback

00:49:43.780 from is

00:49:44.960 that because

00:49:45.420 it's my

00:49:45.940 way to

00:49:46.460 show both

00:49:46.940 sides of

00:49:47.560 most topics,

00:49:49.220 talks, if

00:49:50.040 you just

00:49:50.400 dip in

00:49:50.860 and only

00:49:51.180 see me

00:49:51.520 talking about

00:49:52.000 one side,

00:49:53.360 you think

00:49:53.800 I'm on

00:49:54.100 that side.

00:49:55.280 Now, I

00:49:55.720 also realize

00:49:56.340 that I

00:49:56.740 talk way

00:49:57.500 more about

00:49:58.940 Ukrainian

00:49:59.740 victories than

00:50:00.900 the potential

00:50:02.320 for Russia

00:50:03.020 to win in

00:50:04.880 the end.

00:50:05.640 But the

00:50:06.180 reason I do

00:50:06.660 that is that

00:50:07.320 the potential

00:50:07.940 for Russia

00:50:08.540 to win in

00:50:09.140 the end,

00:50:09.820 that's kind

00:50:10.280 of obvious,

00:50:10.840 isn't it?

00:50:12.120 How much

00:50:12.700 do I need

00:50:13.080 to talk

00:50:13.420 about the

00:50:13.780 obvious?

00:50:14.820 It's the

00:50:15.280 non-obvious

00:50:15.900 that I

00:50:16.160 talk about.

00:50:17.200 So that's

00:50:17.840 why you

00:50:18.140 see me

00:50:18.440 talking about

00:50:18.900 oh,

00:50:19.380 Ukraine got

00:50:20.100 this right

00:50:20.640 or Ukraine

00:50:21.700 did this

00:50:22.340 or Ukraine

00:50:23.040 had a

00:50:23.880 surprising

00:50:24.260 victory.

00:50:25.040 That's because

00:50:25.640 they're the

00:50:26.160 non-obvious

00:50:26.960 things.

00:50:29.180 The number

00:50:29.940 of people

00:50:30.320 who think

00:50:31.220 they need

00:50:31.600 to Russia

00:50:32.040 explain to

00:50:32.660 me,

00:50:33.720 Scott,

00:50:34.200 let me

00:50:34.400 explain to

00:50:35.100 you.

00:50:36.220 If Russia 0.80

00:50:37.020 really wants

00:50:37.740 to win,

00:50:38.220 they can

00:50:38.480 just keep

00:50:38.960 pressing

00:50:39.600 until they

00:50:40.080 do.

00:50:40.820 I know

00:50:41.180 that.

00:50:42.320 I get

00:50:42.700 that.

00:50:43.840 Yeah,

00:50:44.100 that's

00:50:44.500 totally

00:50:45.000 obvious.

00:50:47.040 So I

00:50:47.500 don't say

00:50:47.820 the obvious

00:50:48.360 as much

00:50:48.840 as I

00:50:49.100 should.

00:50:50.040 But let

00:50:50.780 me say

00:50:51.040 it now

00:50:51.360 so you've

00:50:51.740 heard it

00:50:51.980 once.

00:50:53.200 If it's

00:50:53.880 true that

00:50:54.360 Russia is 0.79

00:50:54.820 mounting a

00:50:55.480 major

00:50:55.860 campaign,

00:50:57.360 it might

00:50:57.720 work.

00:50:59.140 It might.

00:51:00.420 I wouldn't

00:51:00.800 rule it

00:51:01.140 out.

00:51:02.060 So if

00:51:02.840 you think

00:51:03.220 that I

00:51:03.520 think

00:51:03.760 Ukraine

00:51:04.260 is just

00:51:04.660 going to

00:51:04.940 march to

00:51:05.720 victory

00:51:06.020 and take

00:51:07.000 back all

00:51:07.500 their land

00:51:08.040 and all

00:51:08.380 that stuff,

00:51:08.860 I don't

00:51:09.140 think that.

00:51:10.820 My best

00:51:11.620 guess is

00:51:12.080 something like

00:51:12.760 a really

00:51:14.560 painful

00:51:15.600 stalemate

00:51:16.400 that finally

00:51:17.960 creates a

00:51:18.600 situation

00:51:19.140 where part

00:51:21.600 of Ukraine

00:51:22.200 ends up

00:51:22.780 in Russian

00:51:23.300 hands and

00:51:25.420 everybody's

00:51:26.420 unhappy but

00:51:27.520 they're not

00:51:27.860 at war.

00:51:28.900 That's

00:51:29.380 probably what's

00:51:30.000 going to

00:51:30.160 happen.

00:51:30.880 And it

00:51:31.100 might take

00:51:31.540 until it's

00:51:33.620 possible that

00:51:34.720 Russia will 0.98

00:51:35.420 stall until

00:51:36.400 Trump is

00:51:37.060 elected.

00:51:39.720 Actually,

00:51:40.400 I'm going to

00:51:40.660 make that my

00:51:41.140 prediction.

00:51:41.500 I think

00:51:42.880 I'll make

00:51:43.160 that my

00:51:43.520 prediction.

00:51:44.820 I'm going

00:51:45.280 to predict

00:51:45.700 that Putin

00:51:46.340 is going

00:51:46.940 to just

00:51:48.220 stay alive

00:51:49.000 and keep

00:51:50.440 pressure on

00:51:51.040 until Trump

00:51:52.880 gets elected

00:51:53.600 because he

00:51:55.840 could deal

00:51:56.220 with Trump

00:51:56.720 but he

00:51:57.200 knows he

00:51:57.520 can't get

00:51:57.840 a deal

00:51:58.220 that he

00:51:59.300 would be

00:51:59.580 happy with

00:52:00.140 with a

00:52:01.800 Democrat.

00:52:04.760 So that's

00:52:06.960 a bold

00:52:07.340 prediction I'm

00:52:08.020 making.

00:52:08.720 It's a bold

00:52:09.260 prediction.

00:52:09.680 So that's

00:52:11.680 my prediction.

00:52:12.760 There will

00:52:13.140 be no

00:52:13.540 negotiated

00:52:14.260 into the

00:52:14.880 war under

00:52:16.180 Biden.

00:52:18.800 All right?

00:52:19.420 Everybody

00:52:19.720 hear that?

00:52:21.120 So my

00:52:21.660 prediction is

00:52:22.280 that Biden

00:52:23.040 will never

00:52:23.680 negotiate the

00:52:24.440 end of it

00:52:24.860 because Putin

00:52:25.720 will wait

00:52:26.200 for Trump

00:52:26.780 because if

00:52:28.720 you were a

00:52:29.600 foreign observer

00:52:30.480 wouldn't you

00:52:31.000 think Trump

00:52:31.460 is going to

00:52:31.860 win?

00:52:33.420 Would you?

00:52:33.980 Let me ask

00:52:34.460 that.

00:52:34.680 I'll put that

00:52:35.060 as a question

00:52:35.640 not a statement.

00:52:37.000 If you were

00:52:37.360 a foreign 0.60

00:52:37.800 observer, if

00:52:38.520 you were

00:52:38.720 Putin,

00:52:39.680 and you

00:52:40.300 were keeping

00:52:41.300 an eye on

00:52:41.880 our country

00:52:42.340 and you

00:52:42.660 were looking

00:52:43.000 at the

00:52:43.380 polls,

00:52:44.360 wouldn't you

00:52:44.860 think Trump

00:52:45.340 is coming

00:52:45.700 back?

00:52:47.900 If you

00:52:48.480 didn't, you

00:52:48.920 would only

00:52:49.220 believe it

00:52:49.640 because of

00:52:50.080 dirty tricks,

00:52:51.520 which wouldn't

00:52:52.480 be a bad

00:52:52.920 prediction that

00:52:54.080 dirty tricks

00:52:54.720 will keep

00:52:55.120 Trump out

00:52:55.540 of office.

00:52:57.140 They work

00:52:57.780 once.

00:53:00.560 Yeah, I'm

00:53:01.400 going to say

00:53:01.740 no negotiated

00:53:03.100 end of the

00:53:03.620 war while

00:53:04.140 Biden's in

00:53:04.620 office.

00:53:05.000 That's my

00:53:05.360 prediction.

00:53:06.320 Because I

00:53:06.800 think Putin's

00:53:07.480 best play is

00:53:08.100 to wait for

00:53:08.500 Trump.

00:53:09.680 And then

00:53:10.100 if it's

00:53:10.400 not Trump,

00:53:12.840 at least

00:53:13.580 it's not

00:53:13.960 Biden.

00:53:15.080 Because don't

00:53:16.100 you think

00:53:16.420 that Putin

00:53:16.920 also suspects

00:53:17.920 Biden of

00:53:18.780 some Ukrainian

00:53:19.820 money laundering?

00:53:22.980 Wouldn't you

00:53:23.420 love to know

00:53:24.100 what Putin

00:53:24.740 knows about

00:53:25.860 the Bidens

00:53:26.480 in Ukraine?

00:53:28.100 Because you

00:53:28.560 know Putin's

00:53:29.300 got some

00:53:29.660 information about

00:53:30.420 the Bidens in

00:53:31.080 Ukraine.

00:53:32.060 And you know

00:53:32.460 what's interesting?

00:53:33.640 He's never

00:53:34.340 dropped that

00:53:34.840 information.

00:53:36.300 Isn't that

00:53:36.920 interesting?

00:53:37.860 That's sort

00:53:38.300 of a dog

00:53:38.720 that's not

00:53:39.160 barking,

00:53:39.620 isn't it?

00:53:41.020 Now it

00:53:41.600 could be

00:53:42.000 that that

00:53:42.360 would open

00:53:42.720 up some

00:53:43.080 other can

00:53:43.580 of worms

00:53:44.020 so he

00:53:44.500 can't do

00:53:44.860 it.

00:53:45.620 I mean

00:53:45.820 there might

00:53:46.100 be a good

00:53:46.440 reason for

00:53:46.900 it.

00:53:47.660 But it's

00:53:48.960 kind of

00:53:49.340 interesting

00:53:49.700 that Putin

00:53:50.400 would not

00:53:50.940 be accusing

00:53:53.180 the Bidens

00:53:53.840 of having

00:53:54.300 a Ukrainian 0.99

00:53:55.060 nasty 0.92

00:53:55.600 connection.

00:53:57.840 Why would

00:53:58.460 he not

00:53:58.820 do that?

00:53:59.320 That's such

00:53:59.720 an obvious

00:54:00.320 thing to

00:54:00.720 do.

00:54:02.120 Isn't it?

00:54:03.600 It's the

00:54:04.140 most obvious

00:54:04.680 thing to do.

00:54:05.280 Just to

00:54:06.020 say Biden 0.99

00:54:06.520 is corrupt 0.98

00:54:07.000 so that's 0.99

00:54:07.740 why he's

00:54:08.080 supporting

00:54:08.420 Ukraine.

00:54:09.540 So you

00:54:09.880 Americans

00:54:10.340 should stop

00:54:10.960 supporting 1.00

00:54:11.360 your corrupt 1.00

00:54:11.840 president. 0.99

00:54:13.560 No one

00:54:14.240 would believe

00:54:14.700 it.

00:54:15.040 Oh, I

00:54:15.540 don't know.

00:54:16.540 I don't

00:54:16.860 know.

00:54:17.600 Somebody

00:54:17.980 believes

00:54:18.340 everything.

00:54:19.740 There's

00:54:19.920 almost nothing

00:54:20.640 that's...

00:54:21.500 Do you

00:54:21.720 remember when

00:54:22.340 the news

00:54:23.340 reported that

00:54:24.680 Russia blew 0.88

00:54:25.400 up its own

00:54:25.980 pipeline to

00:54:26.640 Germany?

00:54:27.840 Do you

00:54:28.480 remember how

00:54:28.900 many people

00:54:29.300 I argued

00:54:29.860 with who

00:54:30.820 said Scott,

00:54:31.520 Scott,

00:54:31.800 Scott?

00:54:33.060 Of course

00:54:33.820 they blew

00:54:34.180 up their

00:54:34.460 own pipeline.

00:54:35.660 That's how

00:54:36.280 they are.

00:54:36.940 They're just

00:54:37.280 like that.

00:54:38.420 And I

00:54:38.680 said,

00:54:39.280 um,

00:54:40.440 that's like 0.98

00:54:41.080 ridiculous. 0.98

00:54:43.760 Now I'm 0.99

00:54:44.400 sure we

00:54:44.940 still don't

00:54:45.360 know what

00:54:45.720 happened,

00:54:46.280 but it's 0.96

00:54:46.920 still ridiculous

00:54:47.720 to think that

00:54:48.540 Russia blew 0.88

00:54:49.000 up their

00:54:49.260 own pipeline.

00:54:50.460 That's

00:54:50.940 pretty 0.99

00:54:51.200 ridiculous. 0.93

00:54:52.900 But people 0.99

00:54:53.420 believed it.

00:54:55.400 You saw

00:54:56.180 people believe

00:54:56.840 it, right?

00:54:57.820 I'm not

00:54:58.120 making it

00:54:58.520 up.

00:54:59.020 You saw

00:54:59.480 a lot of

00:55:00.020 people believed

00:55:00.660 it, and

00:55:01.120 that was

00:55:01.520 absurd.

00:55:02.300 So you're 0.96

00:55:04.280 telling me

00:55:04.600 that people

00:55:04.960 wouldn't

00:55:05.260 believe

00:55:05.540 Putin if

00:55:06.100 he said

00:55:06.500 he had

00:55:06.960 some

00:55:07.240 dirt on

00:55:07.900 Biden?

00:55:08.760 Yeah.

00:55:09.720 Some

00:55:10.100 would.

00:55:11.080 I mean,

00:55:11.280 I don't

00:55:11.460 know what

00:55:11.740 percentage,

00:55:12.440 but probably

00:55:13.540 25%.

00:55:14.500 the story

00:55:17.560 about SpaceX,

00:55:18.920 I'm looking

00:55:19.260 at CNN's

00:55:19.960 page.

00:55:20.800 SpaceX

00:55:21.240 admits

00:55:21.800 blocking

00:55:22.260 Ukrainian

00:55:22.740 troops from

00:55:23.360 using

00:55:23.660 satellite

00:55:24.060 technology.

00:55:28.280 I don't

00:55:28.900 know,

00:55:29.080 I'm not

00:55:29.280 even interested

00:55:29.820 in that

00:55:30.160 story.

00:55:31.000 I feel

00:55:31.560 like it's

00:55:31.900 going to

00:55:32.060 be some

00:55:32.520 just fake

00:55:34.220 news.

00:55:36.260 Do you

00:55:36.480 ever read

00:55:36.980 some headlines

00:55:37.620 and then you

00:55:38.120 don't read

00:55:38.500 the story

00:55:38.900 because you're

00:55:39.240 like,

00:55:39.480 that looks

00:55:40.100 like fake

00:55:40.540 news.

00:55:42.020 This one

00:55:42.360 just looks

00:55:42.720 like fake

00:55:43.100 news.

00:55:43.360 I mean,

00:55:43.880 there might

00:55:44.100 be like

00:55:44.700 an element

00:55:45.180 of truth

00:55:45.700 to it,

00:55:46.420 but somehow

00:55:46.800 I feel

00:55:47.220 like the

00:55:47.540 context is

00:55:48.320 fake.

00:55:48.960 Without

00:55:49.260 even reading

00:55:49.880 it,

00:55:50.200 I just

00:55:50.440 feel like

00:55:50.720 that one's

00:55:51.180 going to

00:55:51.300 be fake.

00:55:51.760 I don't

00:55:51.920 need to

00:55:52.160 read it.

00:55:55.800 Also,

00:55:56.400 on CNN,

00:55:56.920 Russia to

00:55:57.340 cut oil

00:55:57.880 output by

00:55:58.700 5% as

00:56:00.040 sanctions

00:56:00.540 might.

00:56:01.420 I wonder

00:56:01.840 if 5%

00:56:02.520 makes any

00:56:03.000 difference to

00:56:03.520 them.

00:56:04.940 I don't

00:56:05.500 feel like

00:56:05.940 5% is

00:56:06.800 going to

00:56:06.980 make them

00:56:07.300 quit the

00:56:07.760 war.

00:56:09.140 What

00:56:09.400 kind of

00:56:10.180 reduction

00:56:11.460 in Russian

00:56:12.560 energy

00:56:13.220 output

00:56:14.400 would

00:56:15.560 signal

00:56:15.960 that

00:56:16.260 they're

00:56:16.580 done

00:56:17.220 for?

00:56:18.220 Probably

00:56:18.700 40%,

00:56:19.740 would you

00:56:21.140 say?

00:56:22.380 Like,

00:56:22.660 just off

00:56:22.980 the top

00:56:23.320 of my

00:56:23.560 head,

00:56:24.280 if it

00:56:24.760 went down

00:56:25.060 40%,

00:56:25.800 they'd

00:56:26.060 have

00:56:26.180 trouble

00:56:26.420 paying

00:56:26.680 their

00:56:26.880 bills.

00:56:28.600 Because

00:56:29.080 it's

00:56:29.240 pretty

00:56:29.680 profitable.

00:56:30.600 5%

00:56:31.280 isn't

00:56:31.580 going to

00:56:31.760 move

00:56:31.920 the

00:56:32.060 needle.

00:56:33.080 Yeah.

00:56:33.520 Maybe

00:56:33.940 25% to

00:56:34.760 40%

00:56:35.660 somewhere

00:56:36.020 in there,

00:56:36.580 everything

00:56:36.880 would fall

00:56:37.340 apart.

00:56:37.640 so we're

00:56:39.060 not really

00:56:39.440 close to

00:56:39.980 anything

00:56:40.280 like that

00:56:40.740 yet.

00:56:43.280 All right,

00:56:44.000 let's see

00:56:44.260 what else

00:56:44.540 is happening.

00:56:49.960 Blah,

00:56:50.440 blah,

00:56:50.600 blah.

00:56:51.060 Meta is

00:56:52.160 going to

00:56:52.420 put Trump

00:56:53.380 back on

00:56:53.920 Facebook and

00:56:54.540 Instagram.

00:56:55.200 I don't

00:56:55.440 know if

00:56:55.660 he'll go

00:56:55.960 there.

00:56:56.320 I guess

00:56:56.620 he will.

00:56:57.380 Probably

00:56:57.760 will.

00:57:02.820 And then

00:57:03.280 the Super

00:57:03.600 Bowl is

00:57:03.920 coming.

00:57:04.120 so are

00:57:06.060 you as

00:57:06.420 excited as

00:57:07.300 I am about

00:57:07.820 the Super

00:57:08.220 Bowl?

00:57:10.460 I am so

00:57:11.460 excited about

00:57:12.080 the Super

00:57:12.520 Bowl.

00:57:13.180 Because the

00:57:13.840 teams that

00:57:14.240 are playing

00:57:14.640 are the

00:57:15.120 the

00:57:18.160 who

00:57:21.720 Eagles?

00:57:22.960 Eagles?

00:57:23.540 I'm so

00:57:23.880 excited to

00:57:24.420 see the

00:57:24.780 Eagles play

00:57:25.400 the

00:57:25.780 the Eagles

00:57:27.780 would be

00:57:28.140 playing the

00:57:28.960 Chiefs,

00:57:31.000 the Chiefs.

00:57:31.960 So I

00:57:32.700 can't wait to

00:57:33.300 see the

00:57:33.600 Eagles and

00:57:34.100 Chiefs.

00:57:34.740 If there

00:57:35.360 are any

00:57:35.660 teams that

00:57:36.160 I love

00:57:36.500 more than

00:57:36.900 them,

00:57:37.180 I can't

00:57:37.520 even think

00:57:37.900 of one.

00:57:38.640 I can't

00:57:38.920 even think

00:57:39.240 of one.

00:57:40.340 Eagles and

00:57:40.880 Chiefs,

00:57:41.280 nothing excites

00:57:41.980 me like

00:57:42.360 that.

00:57:44.460 Also,

00:57:45.020 there will

00:57:45.200 be a

00:57:45.480 Puppy

00:57:45.720 Bowl.

00:57:49.900 Florida

00:57:50.340 House gives

00:57:51.060 DeSantis new

00:57:52.000 power over

00:57:52.620 Disney.

00:57:53.840 That's

00:57:54.280 funny.

00:57:55.580 Somebody

00:57:55.940 says Medicare

00:57:56.580 and Social

00:57:57.060 Security

00:57:57.520 insolvency

00:57:58.160 is right

00:57:58.520 around the

00:57:58.840 corner.

00:58:02.040 Ted Cruz

00:58:02.780 introduced a

00:58:03.480 term limit

00:58:03.980 bill.

00:58:07.120 That's

00:58:07.660 free money.

00:58:09.820 So good

00:58:10.660 for Ted

00:58:11.100 Cruz.

00:58:12.320 So the

00:58:12.660 free money

00:58:13.200 is that

00:58:13.920 citizens

00:58:14.880 love,

00:58:15.540 they just

00:58:15.940 love term

00:58:16.520 limit

00:58:16.900 bills,

00:58:18.120 but it

00:58:18.760 has no

00:58:19.180 chance of

00:58:19.640 getting

00:58:19.900 passed,

00:58:20.800 so he

00:58:21.360 doesn't have

00:58:21.800 to worry

00:58:22.080 about his

00:58:22.420 own term

00:58:22.820 limit.

00:58:24.240 That's

00:58:24.780 free money.

00:58:26.300 Free money.

00:58:27.620 He makes

00:58:28.140 everybody happy

00:58:28.880 because he

00:58:29.460 introduced the

00:58:30.140 bill,

00:58:30.360 and he'll

00:58:30.700 probably argue

00:58:31.360 for it

00:58:31.920 effectively,

00:58:32.860 but it

00:58:33.360 won't pass

00:58:34.060 because Congress

00:58:35.720 wants their

00:58:36.300 jobs.

00:58:37.240 So he gets

00:58:38.060 all the

00:58:38.420 benefit of

00:58:39.060 having pushed

00:58:39.820 the thing

00:58:40.160 that people

00:58:40.560 want,

00:58:41.380 and he gets

00:58:41.900 to keep

00:58:42.200 his job.

00:58:43.420 That's a

00:58:43.780 pretty good

00:58:44.040 deal.

00:58:44.300 That's free

00:58:44.660 money.

00:58:45.940 It makes

00:58:46.640 everybody else 1.00

00:58:47.200 look stupid 1.00

00:58:47.820 for not doing 1.00

00:58:48.500 it.

00:58:49.640 Doesn't it?

00:58:50.300 I feel like

00:58:52.120 all the

00:58:52.540 people doing

00:58:53.040 the smart

00:58:53.560 stuff is

00:58:54.740 the same

00:58:55.300 six people.

00:58:57.880 Am I

00:58:58.500 wrong about

00:58:58.880 that?

00:58:59.620 There's like

00:59:00.120 six people

00:59:00.740 who are just

00:59:01.140 consistently

00:59:01.720 doing all

00:59:02.380 the smart

00:59:02.800 people,

00:59:03.420 all the

00:59:03.700 smart

00:59:03.920 stuff.

00:59:05.160 Like Matt

00:59:05.960 Gates is

00:59:06.520 one,

00:59:07.320 sees the

00:59:07.700 free money,

00:59:08.260 picks it

00:59:08.540 up,

00:59:09.280 picks it

00:59:09.580 up.

00:59:10.000 About Matt

00:59:10.760 Gates,

00:59:11.200 I realized

00:59:11.880 I didn't

00:59:13.120 quite summarize

00:59:14.260 it the way

00:59:14.780 I wanted

00:59:15.060 to.

00:59:16.660 Matt

00:59:17.080 Gates

00:59:17.360 recognized

00:59:18.080 a situation

00:59:19.000 where he

00:59:20.260 can win

00:59:20.840 but he

00:59:22.120 can't

00:59:22.380 lose.

00:59:23.440 So he's

00:59:23.960 the most

00:59:24.520 outspoken

00:59:25.100 one,

00:59:25.480 I think,

00:59:26.460 on defunding

00:59:27.900 the Ukraine

00:59:28.600 war.

00:59:30.600 Now,

00:59:31.000 what happens

00:59:31.500 if the war

00:59:32.000 goes well

00:59:32.600 and I

00:59:34.680 don't even

00:59:34.980 know what

00:59:35.220 well looks

00:59:35.700 like,

00:59:36.680 but whatever

00:59:37.560 you think

00:59:37.980 is well

00:59:38.560 and Putin

00:59:39.860 backs down

00:59:40.740 and whatever,

00:59:42.320 are people

00:59:42.880 going to

00:59:43.300 remember

00:59:43.780 that Matt

00:59:45.460 Gates said

00:59:45.960 don't do

00:59:46.420 that?

00:59:47.700 Because you'll

00:59:48.480 never know

00:59:48.900 what it

00:59:49.160 would have

00:59:49.420 looked like

00:59:49.820 if you

00:59:50.120 had stopped

00:59:50.600 the funding.

00:59:51.920 There will

00:59:52.200 never be a

00:59:52.740 comparison

00:59:53.200 because you

00:59:53.700 only do

00:59:54.200 one thing.

00:59:55.400 So you'll

00:59:55.900 know how

00:59:56.240 it worked

00:59:56.620 out with

00:59:57.180 the thing

00:59:57.480 you did,

00:59:58.420 but you'll

00:59:58.980 never know

00:59:59.440 if the

00:59:59.760 other thing

01:00:00.280 would have

01:00:00.580 been better.

01:00:01.880 So let's

01:00:02.460 say the

01:00:02.880 war rages

01:00:03.400 on for

01:00:03.840 several years

01:00:04.600 but then

01:00:05.100 we think

01:00:06.600 we won,

01:00:07.280 whatever that

01:00:07.780 is.

01:00:08.420 Well,

01:00:08.660 we still

01:00:09.340 spent hundreds

01:00:10.620 of billions

01:00:11.140 of dollars,

01:00:12.440 tons of

01:00:12.820 people died,

01:00:14.420 Russia would 0.98

01:00:15.240 be our

01:00:15.520 enemy for

01:00:16.100 life.

01:00:17.460 What does

01:00:17.940 winning look

01:00:18.440 like?

01:00:19.360 So even

01:00:20.000 if we

01:00:20.400 quote

01:00:20.800 one in

01:00:21.820 several years,

01:00:23.300 nobody's

01:00:24.000 going to

01:00:24.200 think Matt

01:00:24.680 Gates was

01:00:25.180 wrong because

01:00:26.680 they won't

01:00:27.100 know what

01:00:27.700 the other

01:00:29.000 thing looked

01:00:29.460 like.

01:00:30.380 But suppose

01:00:30.980 we defund

01:00:34.480 and it

01:00:36.300 goes well,

01:00:37.100 then he gets

01:00:37.520 credit.

01:00:38.780 So I think

01:00:39.480 he has lots

01:00:40.020 of ways to

01:00:40.480 win.

01:00:41.140 And I guess

01:00:41.660 the other

01:00:42.040 possibility is

01:00:42.740 he wins.

01:00:43.380 And so

01:00:46.320 I think

01:00:46.760 where he's

01:00:47.100 safe is

01:00:47.500 that they're

01:00:47.840 not going

01:00:48.180 to adopt

01:00:48.660 his idea.

01:00:50.040 So he's

01:00:50.680 safe because

01:00:51.100 we'll never

01:00:51.500 know if

01:00:51.820 it was a

01:00:52.100 good idea.

01:00:52.640 But what

01:00:52.920 if he

01:00:53.160 won?

01:00:53.920 And people

01:00:54.580 said,

01:00:54.840 all right,

01:00:55.100 you're

01:00:55.260 right,

01:00:55.520 let's

01:00:55.700 defund

01:00:56.080 Ukraine.

01:00:56.880 And then

01:00:57.220 Ukraine got

01:00:57.860 taken over

01:00:58.680 by Russia

01:00:59.300 and it

01:01:00.300 was like

01:01:00.660 tragic over

01:01:01.820 there.

01:01:03.260 What would

01:01:04.120 Americans

01:01:04.560 say?

01:01:06.680 Can't tell

01:01:07.280 the difference.

01:01:08.920 Can't tell

01:01:09.360 the difference.

01:01:10.720 In fact,

01:01:11.680 probably fewer

01:01:12.480 Ukrainians

01:01:13.240 would die 0.98

01:01:13.900 per day 0.98

01:01:15.600 if Russia

01:01:17.500 just rolled

01:01:18.080 in and

01:01:18.420 took over.

01:01:19.500 Now,

01:01:19.780 I don't

01:01:20.000 want that

01:01:20.400 to happen.

01:01:21.100 I want

01:01:21.380 the Ukrainians

01:01:22.060 to have

01:01:22.320 control over

01:01:22.940 their own

01:01:23.300 fate.

01:01:23.900 But the

01:01:24.280 fact is,

01:01:24.720 it probably

01:01:25.040 wouldn't affect

01:01:25.560 us at all.

01:01:27.280 Probably not.

01:01:28.300 And I don't

01:01:28.900 believe that it

01:01:29.500 would be the

01:01:30.300 domino that

01:01:31.300 Putin's going

01:01:32.620 to use to

01:01:33.100 conquer Europe

01:01:33.840 because I

01:01:34.260 don't think

01:01:34.540 that was

01:01:34.860 ever real.

01:01:36.220 I think it

01:01:36.960 really was

01:01:37.500 about Ukraine.

01:01:38.780 That's what

01:01:39.180 I think.

01:01:40.120 And I think

01:01:40.880 that how

01:01:41.660 Russia feels 0.89

01:01:42.280 about Ukraine

01:01:43.000 is not

01:01:43.440 the way

01:01:43.680 they feel

01:01:44.080 about Poland.

01:01:46.080 It just

01:01:46.700 doesn't,

01:01:47.220 it's just

01:01:47.500 not the

01:01:47.880 same.

01:01:50.140 So,

01:01:50.740 anyway,

01:01:51.840 Matt Gaetz

01:01:53.040 is playing

01:01:53.440 the smart

01:01:54.260 political

01:01:54.960 card.

01:01:56.360 I don't

01:01:56.580 know if it,

01:01:57.420 I'm not

01:01:57.820 smart enough

01:01:58.320 to know

01:01:58.620 what is

01:01:58.920 the right

01:01:59.300 geopolitical

01:02:00.460 thing to

01:02:00.820 do,

01:02:01.220 but politically

01:02:02.040 he's the

01:02:02.520 only one

01:02:02.820 who's

01:02:02.960 playing it

01:02:03.320 smart.

01:02:06.620 All right.

01:02:07.600 And I

01:02:07.900 guess we

01:02:08.200 know that

01:02:08.580 that balloon

01:02:09.100 had lots

01:02:09.620 of sensors

01:02:10.200 and antennas

01:02:10.980 for reading

01:02:12.260 stuff.

01:02:13.820 So,

01:02:14.440 no surprise.

01:02:15.000 All right.

01:02:16.200 Is there

01:02:16.400 any story

01:02:17.060 I've missed

01:02:17.540 that is

01:02:18.160 important to

01:02:19.700 you?

01:02:23.260 How do you

01:02:23.820 balance term

01:02:24.440 limits and

01:02:25.020 institutional

01:02:25.640 knowledge?

01:02:26.600 Well,

01:02:26.800 usually

01:02:27.180 staffs and

01:02:29.760 the permanent

01:02:30.260 employees have

01:02:32.160 all the

01:02:32.460 institutional

01:02:33.000 knowledge.

01:02:33.520 knowledge.

01:02:34.980 So,

01:02:35.640 I'm not

01:02:36.000 sure there's

01:02:36.360 a benefit

01:02:36.780 to all

01:02:37.240 the

01:02:37.480 institutional

01:02:38.800 knowledge,

01:02:39.380 frankly.

01:02:40.340 Are you

01:02:40.800 seeing all

01:02:41.220 that

01:02:41.400 institutional

01:02:42.060 knowledge

01:02:42.600 really helping

01:02:43.180 out Congress?

01:02:45.180 Is Congress

01:02:47.000 using all

01:02:47.580 of its

01:02:47.860 institutional

01:02:48.480 knowledge and

01:02:49.160 experience to

01:02:49.900 solve fentanyl?

01:02:51.800 No.

01:02:52.740 No.

01:02:53.240 Are they

01:02:53.580 using all

01:02:54.000 their

01:02:54.120 institutional

01:02:54.660 knowledge to

01:02:55.980 ban TikTok?

01:02:57.240 Nope.

01:02:58.060 All of

01:02:58.500 their institutional

01:02:59.240 knowledge is

01:03:00.820 correlated with

01:03:01.960 them being

01:03:02.280 old and

01:03:02.740 Anatochi and

01:03:03.360 they don't

01:03:03.640 even know

01:03:03.880 what their

01:03:04.140 threat is.

01:03:05.400 Don't even

01:03:05.820 know the

01:03:06.120 threat.

01:03:10.860 All right.

01:03:18.220 Institutional

01:03:18.540 knowledge is a

01:03:19.360 problem?

01:03:19.960 Maybe.

01:03:20.480 Yeah.

01:03:20.940 Maybe it's

01:03:21.360 what we know

01:03:21.920 and not what

01:03:22.340 we don't

01:03:22.740 know.

01:03:23.400 You're right

01:03:23.780 about that.

01:03:25.000 Yeah.

01:03:27.540 I didn't

01:03:28.180 cover the

01:03:28.820 Fumunda

01:03:30.000 cheese shortage.

01:03:32.740 Well, I

01:03:34.160 didn't even

01:03:34.540 know about

01:03:35.000 it.

01:03:36.460 Dr. Jill

01:03:37.400 and Kamala

01:03:38.020 today.

01:03:39.380 Yeah, I

01:03:40.100 was saying

01:03:40.420 this earlier

01:03:41.000 on the

01:03:41.720 locals

01:03:42.020 platform before

01:03:42.800 I signed

01:03:43.260 on to

01:03:44.000 YouTube, but

01:03:45.700 that whole

01:03:46.500 thing about

01:03:47.200 Dr. Jill

01:03:51.420 giving

01:03:52.560 Kamala's

01:03:55.920 husband a

01:03:56.720 kiss,

01:03:57.020 kiss, that

01:03:59.940 was a

01:04:00.220 nothing.

01:04:01.460 Why do

01:04:01.960 you think

01:04:02.200 that's a

01:04:02.640 story?

01:04:04.860 But, you

01:04:07.120 know, and

01:04:07.520 we're spending

01:04:08.920 hours talking

01:04:09.740 about whether

01:04:10.340 the kiss was

01:04:11.240 right on the

01:04:11.820 lips or was

01:04:12.860 it like a

01:04:13.280 little off,

01:04:14.080 a little off

01:04:14.580 base.

01:04:15.660 By the way,

01:04:16.240 have you never

01:04:17.920 had the

01:04:18.300 situation where

01:04:19.280 you went to

01:04:19.840 kiss somebody

01:04:20.520 on the cheek

01:04:21.100 and you

01:04:21.840 missed and

01:04:22.420 you ended

01:04:22.680 up like

01:04:23.220 awkwardly kissing

01:04:24.640 them on the

01:04:25.020 side of the

01:04:25.520 leg.

01:04:26.840 You've never

01:04:27.320 done that.

01:04:28.480 Oh, that's

01:04:28.920 never happened?

01:04:30.520 Well, that's

01:04:30.860 happened to

01:04:31.220 me.

01:04:33.360 It's definitely

01:04:34.100 happened to

01:04:34.540 me.

01:04:36.880 Yeah.

01:04:40.260 Perv.

01:04:42.980 Never.

01:04:43.980 Well, it's a

01:04:44.720 thing that

01:04:45.080 happens.

01:04:45.900 Let's just

01:04:46.300 say something.

01:04:47.620 I'm sorry

01:04:48.300 that people

01:04:48.720 haven't tried

01:04:49.240 to kiss you

01:04:49.800 more, so

01:04:50.220 you've

01:04:50.460 experienced

01:04:50.860 that.

01:04:51.060 Apparently

01:04:51.360 people just

01:04:51.920 love to

01:04:52.260 kiss me.

01:04:53.600 Strangers.

01:04:56.000 Just anywhere.

01:04:57.620 Come up in

01:04:58.100 public and

01:04:58.560 try to kiss

01:04:59.000 me.

01:04:59.980 No, it's

01:05:00.380 not that

01:05:00.700 bad, but

01:05:01.220 yeah, I'm

01:05:02.140 so kissable.

01:05:02.940 It's a

01:05:03.240 problem.

01:05:04.180 It's a

01:05:04.540 big problem.

01:05:06.340 All right,

01:05:06.640 anything else

01:05:07.080 going on?

01:05:08.420 I don't

01:05:08.960 think so,

01:05:09.420 huh?

01:05:10.580 Are we

01:05:11.120 ready to go

01:05:11.680 enjoy our

01:05:12.180 weekend?

01:05:13.160 Fetterman,

01:05:13.580 how's Fetterman

01:05:14.080 doing?

01:05:14.720 Is he released?

01:05:16.660 I didn't

01:05:18.540 see any

01:05:18.920 Fetterman

01:05:19.300 news on

01:05:19.920 CNN, so

01:05:20.920 is he just

01:05:22.260 still being

01:05:22.740 observed?

01:05:30.500 It's not

01:05:31.200 looking good.

01:05:32.600 Oh, you

01:05:32.880 think he

01:05:33.160 got out

01:05:33.480 today?

01:05:35.080 All right,

01:05:35.560 any thoughts

01:05:38.060 on having

01:05:38.400 the climate

01:05:39.000 craziness show

01:05:39.840 up in

01:05:40.120 Dilbert

01:05:40.380 Comics?

01:05:42.400 Well,

01:05:43.420 I don't

01:05:44.500 know how

01:05:44.740 to play

01:05:45.060 that exactly.

01:05:45.680 Andrew Tate,

01:05:47.480 there's no

01:05:48.100 news on

01:05:48.540 the Tates

01:05:49.040 except they're

01:05:49.560 still being

01:05:50.240 held.

01:05:50.940 Actually,

01:05:51.360 that is the

01:05:51.740 news.

01:05:52.640 Can somebody

01:05:53.360 give me an

01:05:53.760 update on

01:05:54.420 the Tate

01:05:55.380 brothers?

01:05:56.440 Have they

01:05:56.880 not been

01:05:57.400 held longer

01:05:58.120 than the

01:06:00.240 30 days?

01:06:02.820 Are they

01:06:03.460 still being

01:06:03.920 held but

01:06:04.400 without charges

01:06:05.420 filed longer

01:06:06.380 than they

01:06:06.780 should have

01:06:07.000 been held?

01:06:10.180 What do

01:06:10.760 you think?

01:06:11.760 Talked about

01:06:12.300 Project Veritas

01:06:13.100 yesterday.

01:06:13.660 So, I

01:06:17.660 guess we

01:06:18.000 don't know.

01:06:19.420 We don't

01:06:19.760 know.

01:06:20.320 But I'm

01:06:20.840 going to

01:06:21.040 stick with

01:06:21.460 my position

01:06:23.180 that they're

01:06:23.940 innocent until

01:06:25.100 it was a

01:06:26.200 60-day hold.

01:06:27.520 So we

01:06:27.900 would still

01:06:28.300 be within

01:06:28.680 the 60

01:06:29.160 days.

01:06:29.620 They

01:06:29.740 extended it.

01:06:31.120 Okay.

01:06:31.760 Oh, that's

01:06:32.060 right.

01:06:32.440 I guess they

01:06:33.140 can just keep

01:06:33.900 extending it.

01:06:34.680 So there

01:06:34.900 was no

01:06:35.480 deadline per

01:06:36.160 se.

01:06:37.040 Because they

01:06:37.580 could just...

01:06:38.660 I'm not

01:06:42.400 going to

01:06:42.580 watch

01:06:42.800 Barnes.

01:06:44.360 He's an 1.00

01:06:44.720 idiot. 1.00

01:06:52.420 Have you 1.00

01:06:53.000 ever wondered

01:06:53.520 about the

01:06:53.960 fact that

01:06:54.420 children get

01:06:55.020 the same

01:06:55.400 dose as a

01:06:56.120 400-pound

01:06:56.840 adult with

01:06:58.520 a vaccination?

01:07:00.360 Did that

01:07:00.740 ever seem

01:07:01.540 to you like

01:07:02.080 a little

01:07:02.800 sketchy?

01:07:03.300 Maybe the

01:07:07.980 size of

01:07:08.480 the dose

01:07:08.840 just doesn't

01:07:09.360 make any

01:07:09.780 difference in

01:07:10.360 that domain,

01:07:11.080 which is

01:07:11.440 possible.

01:07:12.400 But I

01:07:13.740 don't know

01:07:14.120 anything else

01:07:14.820 where the

01:07:15.160 size of

01:07:15.520 the dose

01:07:15.820 doesn't

01:07:16.180 matter.

01:07:18.460 But it

01:07:19.060 feels like

01:07:19.580 there could

01:07:20.440 be some

01:07:20.840 situation where

01:07:21.580 it doesn't

01:07:21.940 matter,

01:07:22.880 like it

01:07:23.280 could be.

01:07:24.460 But it

01:07:25.080 seems unlikely,

01:07:27.480 doesn't it?

01:07:29.380 How in the

01:07:30.080 world does a

01:07:30.540 400-pounder

01:07:31.500 and a 50-pounder

01:07:33.300 respond the

01:07:36.100 same to the

01:07:36.520 same dose?

01:07:37.200 I can't even

01:07:37.780 imagine it.

01:07:44.400 What do you

01:07:45.060 think about

01:07:45.440 conservatives

01:07:46.020 picking easy

01:07:46.780 fights?

01:07:47.500 Well, that's

01:07:48.100 the television

01:07:48.680 problem.

01:07:49.640 There's nothing

01:07:50.200 easier to talk

01:07:51.080 about than

01:07:51.700 Dr. Jill

01:07:52.460 kissing

01:07:53.400 Kamala's

01:07:54.160 husband at

01:07:55.300 the State

01:07:55.840 of the Union.

01:07:57.200 It's just

01:07:57.660 easy to talk

01:07:58.360 about.

01:07:59.660 So, we

01:08:00.440 do.

01:08:03.300 Yeah, let's

01:08:05.400 talk about the

01:08:06.100 distraction stuff.

01:08:08.040 We keep

01:08:08.500 talking about

01:08:09.060 how this

01:08:10.920 news is

01:08:11.700 just a

01:08:12.080 distraction

01:08:12.520 from this

01:08:13.160 other thing,

01:08:14.620 but isn't

01:08:15.880 it just that

01:08:16.380 people have

01:08:16.760 different interests

01:08:17.400 and different

01:08:17.840 things and a

01:08:18.420 lot is

01:08:18.660 happening?

01:08:19.720 Like,

01:08:19.940 everything is a

01:08:20.660 distraction from

01:08:22.960 everything else.

01:08:23.600 I do believe

01:08:25.820 that some of

01:08:26.540 it is

01:08:27.160 manufactured as

01:08:28.720 a distraction.

01:08:29.740 Some of it.

01:08:30.500 But not most

01:08:31.100 of it.

01:08:31.940 I think most

01:08:32.420 of it is just

01:08:32.920 there's a lot

01:08:33.400 of news.

01:08:37.060 All right.

01:08:38.960 Still political

01:08:39.740 prisoners in

01:08:40.480 D.C.

01:08:42.820 Yeah.

01:08:44.600 At this

01:08:45.280 point, don't

01:08:46.420 you think

01:08:46.820 Trump should

01:08:47.480 offer to

01:08:48.900 free all of

01:08:50.120 the remaining

01:08:50.820 January 6th

01:08:52.720 prisoners?

01:08:54.180 Just pardon

01:08:54.960 them or

01:08:55.380 whatever it

01:08:55.820 is.

01:08:56.680 I think they

01:08:57.160 should all

01:08:57.420 be pardoned.

01:08:59.360 Yeah.

01:09:00.720 And that

01:09:02.060 would be the

01:09:03.180 right kind of

01:09:04.000 pardon.

01:09:05.280 And by the

01:09:05.780 way, I would

01:09:06.400 say the same

01:09:07.000 thing if it

01:09:07.800 were Democrats

01:09:09.800 who were being

01:09:10.280 held in jail.

01:09:11.520 That's the

01:09:12.100 right kind.

01:09:13.340 Because there

01:09:13.880 are some

01:09:14.220 pardons which

01:09:14.960 are divisive,

01:09:16.460 and you wonder

01:09:17.000 why they

01:09:17.380 happened.

01:09:18.640 But there

01:09:19.020 are other

01:09:19.300 pardons where

01:09:19.880 you go,

01:09:20.300 okay, that

01:09:21.440 does seem to

01:09:22.120 have a bring

01:09:23.380 the country

01:09:23.880 together element

01:09:26.100 to it, right?

01:09:27.280 If you can

01:09:27.980 give me some

01:09:28.560 country benefits,

01:09:31.160 even if it

01:09:31.820 seems unfair

01:09:32.520 at a low

01:09:33.840 criminal level,

01:09:35.040 I'll take the

01:09:35.780 country benefits.

01:09:37.160 So that's

01:09:37.760 exactly the kind

01:09:38.580 of pardon that I

01:09:39.520 think is a good

01:09:40.080 one.

01:09:40.900 And again, it

01:09:41.760 doesn't matter if

01:09:42.280 it's Democrats or

01:09:43.080 Republicans, I

01:09:43.740 would say the

01:09:44.120 same thing.

01:09:44.460 I also am

01:09:47.040 pretty liberal

01:09:49.380 about ex-presidents

01:09:51.240 being pardoned.

01:09:52.840 I'm big on

01:09:53.700 that.

01:09:54.560 Same reason.

01:09:55.700 It's just better

01:09:56.280 for the country.

01:09:57.520 And, you know,

01:09:58.800 I don't, I

01:10:00.660 realize this is

01:10:01.340 the most unpopular

01:10:03.160 thing I could

01:10:03.740 ever say, but I

01:10:05.060 don't think justice

01:10:05.820 should be equal.

01:10:08.520 I don't believe in

01:10:09.560 equal justice.

01:10:10.180 I believe in

01:10:11.940 mostly equal,

01:10:13.840 like as good as

01:10:15.340 you can do, but

01:10:16.520 I do think there

01:10:17.320 are exceptions.

01:10:18.980 I do think there

01:10:19.640 are exceptions.

01:10:20.300 And I do think

01:10:21.120 that some of

01:10:22.500 those exceptions

01:10:23.140 might be for our

01:10:24.220 leaders because

01:10:25.860 we're better off

01:10:26.780 if we're not

01:10:27.300 burdening them

01:10:28.040 with legal

01:10:28.700 problems while

01:10:29.340 they're trying to

01:10:29.820 do the job.

01:10:31.020 I mean, it's an

01:10:31.840 ugly situation

01:10:32.720 either way.

01:10:33.760 But I do think

01:10:34.500 there are some

01:10:35.760 cases where the

01:10:36.580 country is better

01:10:37.240 off with unequal

01:10:38.220 justice.

01:10:39.140 It's very rare.

01:10:40.180 but I think

01:10:41.260 it could exist.

01:10:46.580 Oh, Bannon was

01:10:47.640 on the top of

01:10:48.300 the New York

01:10:48.700 Times disinformation

01:10:49.620 list.

01:10:50.320 I've seen some

01:10:51.000 of those

01:10:51.280 disinformation lists

01:10:52.360 and they're just

01:10:52.940 laughable.

01:10:54.280 Like somebody's 0.64

01:10:55.300 opinion of what

01:10:56.020 was disinformation.

01:10:57.340 Just laughable.

01:11:00.240 How many of

01:11:01.040 you saw

01:11:03.400 Bannon's

01:11:04.300 War Room

01:11:04.740 piece about

01:11:05.700 me?

01:11:06.980 Where he

01:11:07.300 talked about

01:11:07.720 me recently,

01:11:08.700 last week,

01:11:09.300 in Monday I

01:11:09.980 think.

01:11:10.180 I very much

01:11:15.540 appreciated his

01:11:16.580 characterization

01:11:17.340 of me.

01:11:20.200 So that I

01:11:21.160 appreciated quite

01:11:21.920 a bit.

01:11:23.120 I have the same

01:11:23.900 opinion of him.

01:11:24.640 He's very smart,

01:11:26.300 very capable.

01:11:27.800 So I guess we

01:11:29.140 respect each other

01:11:29.980 on the level of

01:11:31.180 capability.

01:11:32.320 But I wish he

01:11:34.640 had asked the

01:11:35.180 question.

01:11:35.580 question, and

01:11:37.180 this is why

01:11:38.220 watching Dr.

01:11:40.460 Jordan Peterson

01:11:41.100 interview people

01:11:42.100 is a different

01:11:43.140 experience than

01:11:44.040 watching other

01:11:44.640 people interview.

01:11:46.320 Peterson never

01:11:47.520 forgets the

01:11:48.460 important questions.

01:11:50.320 He asked the

01:11:51.020 thing that

01:11:51.360 actually makes

01:11:51.940 sense to ask.

01:11:52.980 The question

01:11:53.760 that I wanted

01:11:54.380 Steve Bannon to

01:11:55.120 ask is, given

01:11:56.880 that even the

01:11:57.660 person he had

01:11:58.640 on to

01:11:59.080 criticize my

01:12:00.080 point of view,

01:12:00.980 that person

01:12:02.000 actually said

01:12:02.940 that I was

01:12:04.160 looking at

01:12:04.620 long COVID,

01:12:06.240 and then he

01:12:07.360 didn't talk

01:12:07.780 about long

01:12:08.220 COVID.

01:12:11.180 That should

01:12:11.920 have been

01:12:12.300 jumping right

01:12:13.280 down.

01:12:13.540 I was

01:12:14.000 expecting Steve

01:12:15.080 Bannon to

01:12:15.520 say, all

01:12:16.340 right, you're

01:12:16.640 saying that

01:12:17.140 Adams was

01:12:17.800 looking at

01:12:18.240 long COVID

01:12:18.860 as part of

01:12:19.440 his decision.

01:12:20.660 What is your

01:12:21.420 take on long

01:12:22.060 COVID?

01:12:23.220 But instead, he

01:12:23.960 just ignored it

01:12:24.740 like it wasn't a

01:12:25.540 variable, and

01:12:26.720 just went on

01:12:27.340 with his

01:12:27.720 presentation like

01:12:28.760 it hadn't been

01:12:30.040 totally debunked

01:12:30.920 by that one

01:12:31.460 question.

01:12:38.720 YouTube

01:12:39.200 flagged my

01:12:39.980 climate hoax

01:12:40.720 stream.

01:12:41.500 It's because I

01:12:42.160 used the word

01:12:42.660 hoax, right?

01:12:43.980 Is that why?

01:12:45.880 I knew that

01:12:46.660 would happen.

01:12:49.220 And I'm okay

01:12:49.760 with that, by

01:12:50.220 the way.

01:12:50.560 I'm okay with

01:12:51.160 that.

01:12:52.660 I don't mind

01:12:53.380 that at all.

01:12:54.580 You know, if I

01:12:55.700 say something

01:12:56.260 that's opposite

01:12:57.480 of the

01:12:57.860 mainstream, and

01:12:59.720 then social

01:13:00.660 media puts a

01:13:01.320 warning on it

01:13:01.900 that says, you

01:13:02.620 know, this is

01:13:03.840 the accepted

01:13:04.520 view, this is

01:13:06.480 against the

01:13:07.480 accepted view,

01:13:08.260 I'm okay with

01:13:08.820 that.

01:13:10.340 It costs me

01:13:11.260 money, right?

01:13:12.220 Because it gets

01:13:12.920 demonetized, but

01:13:13.820 I'm okay with

01:13:14.320 that.

01:13:14.460 That's a

01:13:15.140 conscious decision.

01:13:16.920 You know, when

01:13:17.440 I'm consciously

01:13:18.880 disagreeing with

01:13:19.960 the authorities,

01:13:22.760 I don't mind

01:13:23.340 that you know

01:13:23.780 that, because I

01:13:25.140 say it in my

01:13:25.720 video itself,

01:13:26.940 right?

01:13:27.200 Even I say

01:13:27.980 this is contrary

01:13:29.120 to the, you

01:13:30.300 know, accepted

01:13:30.860 beliefs.

01:13:32.000 things.

01:13:33.600 So, I've never

01:13:35.540 opposed information.

01:13:38.360 Censoring, I

01:13:39.100 oppose.

01:13:41.140 But putting

01:13:41.660 information about

01:13:42.680 something that

01:13:43.320 adds to the

01:13:43.960 information, that's

01:13:44.820 okay.

01:13:45.680 No problem.

01:13:51.140 Russia is 0.79

01:13:51.900 reducing their

01:13:52.600 oil output, but

01:13:53.740 they're going to

01:13:54.120 raise prices.

01:13:56.060 Could be.

01:13:57.460 Could be.

01:13:58.460 I wouldn't rule

01:13:59.060 that out.

01:14:01.960 When people

01:14:02.640 can't taste for

01:14:03.540 six months, they

01:14:04.240 have long

01:14:04.680 COVID, by

01:14:06.020 definition.

01:14:06.900 It just

01:14:07.360 wouldn't be a

01:14:07.940 long COVID that

01:14:08.580 would be much

01:14:09.300 of a problem.

01:14:10.540 I mean, I lost

01:14:11.620 my census spell

01:14:12.380 a long time

01:14:12.960 ago.

01:14:13.720 Honestly, it's

01:14:14.280 no problem at

01:14:14.980 all.

01:14:15.800 It's the

01:14:16.380 smallest problem

01:14:17.180 in the world.

01:14:21.660 All right.

01:14:24.280 We're going to

01:14:24.840 be finishing

01:14:25.280 up.

01:14:25.620 All right.

01:14:29.060 Scott, you

01:14:31.140 missed a

01:14:31.460 variable.

01:14:31.940 Okay, this is

01:14:32.480 interesting.

01:14:33.560 Let's look at

01:14:34.180 this.

01:14:34.400 You missed a

01:14:34.860 variable in

01:14:35.340 your analysis.

01:14:36.260 Long COVID was

01:14:37.180 always mitigated

01:14:38.380 by the

01:14:39.300 possibility of

01:14:40.160 asymptomatic

01:14:41.240 infections.

01:14:43.540 Long jab was

01:14:44.580 only mitigated by

01:14:45.560 not taking the

01:14:46.460 jab.

01:14:47.820 Okay, I'm not

01:14:48.300 understanding

01:14:48.800 this.

01:14:49.660 Long COVID was

01:14:50.600 always mitigated

01:14:51.600 by the

01:14:52.240 possibility of

01:14:53.400 asymptomatic

01:14:54.360 infection.

01:14:55.660 All right.

01:14:55.920 I don't

01:14:56.160 understand that

01:14:56.720 point.

01:14:56.920 I think

01:14:59.020 there's a

01:14:59.340 point there.

01:15:00.100 So I'm not

01:15:00.720 disagreeing.

01:15:01.580 I'm not

01:15:02.120 seeing it.

01:15:03.080 I don't

01:15:03.300 know what

01:15:03.520 that point

01:15:03.880 is.

01:15:09.700 How do you

01:15:10.300 calculate the

01:15:10.900 risk of

01:15:11.260 unicorns?

01:15:12.120 Exactly.

01:15:14.020 But we

01:15:14.960 don't know

01:15:15.340 that it's a

01:15:15.820 unicorn.

01:15:16.900 How did

01:15:17.460 you know it

01:15:17.860 was a

01:15:18.120 unicorn?

01:15:18.560 It would

01:15:18.740 be the

01:15:19.000 bigger

01:15:19.180 question.

01:15:23.340 You

01:15:23.740 understand

01:15:24.140 it?

01:15:26.920 Long

01:15:31.040 COVID is

01:15:31.640 just COVID

01:15:32.160 injury?

01:15:32.640 Yeah, of

01:15:32.920 course.

01:15:33.600 That's what

01:15:33.960 it is.

01:15:39.760 All right.

01:15:45.060 How do

01:15:45.600 you calculate

01:15:46.220 the risk of

01:15:46.900 hell?

01:15:50.300 That's a

01:15:50.860 good question.

01:15:52.180 The risk of

01:15:53.020 infinite pain?

01:15:53.900 Well, given

01:15:54.820 that we

01:15:55.580 know the

01:15:55.960 history of

01:15:56.500 how hell

01:15:57.160 was, it's

01:15:59.260 not even in

01:15:59.820 the Bible.

01:16:00.980 If hell

01:16:01.580 were in the

01:16:02.080 Bible, then

01:16:02.820 there would

01:16:03.020 be a strong

01:16:03.500 argument, well,

01:16:04.280 God said

01:16:04.840 so, but

01:16:06.300 given that it's

01:16:06.920 not in the

01:16:07.340 Bible, I

01:16:09.520 don't think I'm

01:16:09.980 worrying about

01:16:10.400 hell too

01:16:10.780 much.

01:16:13.240 All right,

01:16:13.760 that's all for

01:16:14.160 now.

01:16:14.660 YouTube, I'm

01:16:15.240 going to say

01:16:15.540 bye to you.

01:16:16.120 I'm going to

01:16:16.360 talk to the

01:16:16.980 locals people

01:16:18.140 for a bit.

01:16:19.480 I'll be back

01:16:21.000 to you tomorrow.

01:16:21.760 Best live

01:16:22.180 stream you've

01:16:22.580 ever seen, bye

01:16:24.100 for now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 10, 2023

Episode 2015 Scott Adams： Vigilante Phase Is Here, AI Deep Fakes Are A Threat To Civilization, More

Episode Stats

Summary

Transcript