Episode 2019 Scott Adams： I Solved The Octagonal UFO Mystery, Nikki Haley Announces, Train Mystery
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 26 minutes
Words per Minute
151.48395
Summary
In honor of Valentine's Day, we talk about the tragic mass shooting in Las Vegas, the new proposed legislation to ban children under 16 from using social media if they are under 16, and the best way to celebrate the day.
Transcript
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what managing moderators can support your channel in even more ways oh there's a little message here
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on on youtube all right everybody come on in here it's time for the highlight of civilization
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walter's got a problem huh walter all right we'll hope you can settle that well happy
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valentine's day to everybody are you all romantically entangled and you could not be happier that today
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is your special day with your sweetheart or is it more likely 75 percent of you resent the day
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and all that reminds you of well either way i'm sure there's somebody who's enjoying today
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and if they are let's take it up a notch and all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tanker gels
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aside a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee
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and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine killer the day the thing that makes
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everything better except valentine's day that's that's sort of on its own it's called the simultaneous
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sip and it happens now go and happy birthday to kathy sir no happy anniversary it's your 29th anniversary
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ah well i hate to tell you this but you just did the simultaneous sip on valentine's day and at this
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point we are all betrothed yeah you just accidentally pledged yourself to romantic entanglement forever
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so we're all in this together valentines you want to talk about some funny news how about some funny
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news number one by a show of hands how many would like to be to completely ignore the mass shooting
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yes oh yeah everybody's hand is up okay we're gonna ignore that like it didn't happen happy valentine
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say let's talk about the good news um i don't know if you saw this but there was a member of congress
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and i've never seen this before that well i guess i've seen it before but it's really rare
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uh so josh hawley did something i don't know i'm not even sure you're gonna believe me
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are you even gonna believe this story josh hawley a member of congress did something that is
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potentially useful okay i know no there's nothing about josh hawley he's he's high on my list at the
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moment but he keeps trying to do things useful now i don't know how successful he'll be but he he just
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introduced or he is introducing legislation to make uh to make it illegal to use social media if
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you're under 16 in other words you'd have to be 16 or older to use social media i am so on board with
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that so on board we'll go private here on locals thanks for reminding me yeah now there are not many
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parents who would be able to say this because their their children would hate them forever so i think
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parents are just going to be kind of silent and hoping it goes through maybe but yeah i don't
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think it'll pass i don't think it'll pass for the simple reason that the social media companies in
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this country have a lot of a lot of power now i'd be really interesting to see what interested to see
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what elon musk said because i don't think he's weighed in on this yet or i haven't seen it but i'd love
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to know if he's in favor of that because he might be he might be but i'd be really surprised if the
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other social networks are we'll see but congratulations to josh hawley for doing something that would be
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useful i think josh hawley is also he understands the danger of tic tac so just just a few members of
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congress who are young enough and apparently trying to do useful things do you remember
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when ron de santis started doing all these useful things in in florida useful from the perspective of
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his base and everybody and and i kept saying well he's just picking up the free money it's like there's
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free money laying all around the ground there in florida and why did we have to wait for him to pick
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it up he's just doing all the obvious things that his base liked well josh hawley does the same thing
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i wouldn't ignore that and and i wouldn't discount well i wouldn't uh wouldn't hold it against him
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if his legislation doesn't get passed because even just putting the legislation out there changes the
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argument right it's a whole different argument if you know it's actually been put into legislation
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because that means it's serious right so even if it gets rejected we've at least elevated the
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conversation maybe got a little bit closer maybe more people were exposed to the argument maybe maybe
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it will take some event in the real world to make it seem like a better idea than it does right now
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but uh this this is good work josh hawley congratulations um there are reports that some kind of epstein
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list will be produced but it's apparently a list documents with names of those associated with epstein
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now are you comfortable with that do you think that's um i won't i don't want to use the word fair
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but do you think it's good for us to see a list of all the people who are quote associated with them
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because would that would that not include people who didn't who didn't have any bad behavior but they
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thought maybe they had some business use with them they didn't know exactly what he was up to
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i don't know i well it could be fake yeah we we would certainly believe it if the list were fake that
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that wouldn't surprise me at all it does seem like there might be some people who are important enough
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that if they were going to be on such a list they could make themselves not be on the list
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i think that's the thing and there might be people with that power heads of governments and such
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but i'm gonna i'm gonna predict that it's a dud what do you say i predict it will be a dud
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it'll either be people we already know of complete strangers and people who had a reason to do business
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with them that although it might have been ill-advised you know such as bill gates ill-advised
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there's not really any evidence that more than that happened i feel like it's yeah it's really
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going to make us chatter like crazy but i'm i'm very concerned that there's some innocent ish ish
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people on the list and by that i mean people maybe shouldn't have done business with them
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maybe they should have known better but didn't do anything illegal i'm very uncomfortable with that
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list coming out because of the potentially innocent people innocent ish right i'll keep an eye on it
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all right here's something i didn't know about the ohio train derailment um i was aware
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that there was a 2022 film on netflix about a train derailment uh but the and and it was the same
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plot there were chemicals that were released and the town had to evacuate now what i heard first
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was that the movie was set in pennsylvania which at least is some difference from being in palestine
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palestine ohio but i read today and i need a confirmation on this um yeah i believe it was
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filmed in the town where the actual derailment happened so that's what's being reported today is that true
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does that feel like a coincidence to you all right i have two things to say about coincidence
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number one lots of things can look like coincidences that are not so how could it what what would be a
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scenario in which this would look like a coincidence but it's not can you think of one how how can it
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look like a coincidence but not be one all right here here's things we know so i'll just deal with what
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we know and then i'll just speculate right this is just rank speculation so don't put too much
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credibility on i just want to talk you through a possible way that this could be ordinary it looks
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extraordinary but it could be ordinary here's how apparently a number of people who lived in palestine
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palestine ohio um were were extras on the film so imagine if people in your town were extras on a film
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about a train derailment and it was filmed in your town so now you've got a whole town full of
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people who are talking about train derailments in a specific town it's in the context of the movie
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but they're all train derailment train derailment hey did you work on the movie about the train derailment
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i didn't did you work on the movie about the train derailment no but i know somebody who did
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work on the movie about train derailments all right now just introduce one crazy person
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what and the crazy person wants to do some crazy shit what do they do they probably do the thing
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that's in the top of their mind which is train derailment now here's the part that i heard on
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tucker last night apparently there is there are a lot of train derailments that appear to be
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um sabotage there were a thousand train derailments last year or something like that right now i'm not
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i'm not alleging that they were all sabotage but some number of them were apparently there is a well-known
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method for making a train derail and this well-known method has been implemented in the united states
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more than you think because it's not being reported on for some reason yeah there's something they do with
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a wire across the tracks that changes the electrical signal which causes the train to derail i don't
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know how and i don't want to tell you if i did so don't you think that there is one explanation
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that would remove all the coincidence everybody was thinking about this very specific crime there was one
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crazy person there who said i think i'll do a crazy crime well what's on my mind oh everybody's talking
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about trade derailments i'll just go walk one block over there and do one so that would be one
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explanation that would remove the weird coincidence right here's a second explanation for the coincidence
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just just a coincidence because the nature of coincidence is that there's so many things happening
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all the time every day that you will always see coincidences coincidences a rare coincidences
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are guaranteed and because we have news and social media all of the rare coincidences come to our
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attention for example was it a coincidence that two brothers played on opposite teams in the super
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bowl this year for the first time yeah that was that was a weird coincidence how about the fact that uh
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the two super bowl champions uh the the ones who were competing they both had black quarterbacks
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for the first time well that's a coincidence you know it's a sign of the times and stuff but a coincidence
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right the world is full of coincidence full of it almost all of our stories have coincidences in
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them so one possibility is it's just another one it's the one you noticed but it's it's a it looks like
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a big one but it's just a coincidence it's a place with a train now if there were a thousand a thousand
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derailments the odds that one of those derailments would have been near this one town not that high
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if there are a thousand a year it's not that high that one would be near that town
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now the the actual explosion and stuff would be rare all right the other possibility is that
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the number of coincidences are ramping up what would that mean suppose in the real world
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coincidences were genuinely ramping up in a way that didn't make sense didn't make any statistical
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sense whatsoever what that what would that mean has anybody read a book called the celestine prophecies
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it's a pretty old book the celestine prophecies
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and i don't have a the clearest memory of the book but i'll tell you the the major theme was this
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the major theme was that the individuals in the book started noticing coincidences that were
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out of control like a lot of coincidences started happening and i believe that the bottom line was
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it was people people's level of awareness about the nature of reality was starting to change
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and the coincidences were marking this movement in which the human minds were going to another level
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of awareness is that happening do you do you think that human minds are right now going into a whole new level of awareness
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hell yes oh yeah oh yeah we are going into a whole new level of awareness
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a.i will break our heads you have no idea what's coming nor do i because it's a it's impossible to know
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a.i could change how we think about religion it will definitely change how you think about your consciousness
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because it's going to have consciousness i know i know almost all of you disagree but i promise you a.i will
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have consciousness there's nothing i'm more sure of i'm positive positive and it will happen really
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quickly and it's going to change everything you know about you know your immortal soul the specialness
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of your consciousness the uniqueness of people yeah everybody's angry about this right people you're like
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oh no not this one scott you're so wrong about this one i hate to tell you there's no way around it
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there is no way around it it's going to break all of our brains and it's going to happen really fast
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next few years we'll have a conscience well that's uh we we could argue about the definition of terms
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simulation theory is not getting smaller have you noticed that you know people who talk about us
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being in a simulation such as me there's not less of it every year there's more of it every year
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there's more of it and that's not going to change our our very understanding of reality is going to be
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completely different have you all seen um you've seen you all remember the audio illusion where some
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people would hear the the word spoken was green needle and what was the other one green needle and then the
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other one was completely two different words but have you seen the one where there's a list of a list of
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phrases and you can hear every one of the phrases clearly from the same words that are being spoken you
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just have to be looking at the word and then you can clearly hear that's what's being spoken then you go
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down to the next one in the list completely different words and it sounds exactly like that's what they're
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saying and then you say to yourself oh it's a trick because they're making me go from top to bottom and
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they're just changing the word so it sounds like so you try to start mixing it up and go okay there's
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no way you're going to know that i'm going to look at this one and then it sounds exactly like the one you're
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looking at and you say all right i'll get you this time this one and it's exactly the word
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you're reading is the one you hear now when it was just two two different you know sets of words when
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it was just two sets of words and you could say wow isn't that a weird coincidence that one set of
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word like laurel and yanni laurel and yanni was the the binary two words that's not that amazing
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right if i said to you hey do you know there are two words or phrases that would sound alike to
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people if they heard them i would say well that's really interesting but not it doesn't blow my mind
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because you could imagine there would be two words that would have that quality
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but wait until you see a list of words that are completely different words like they don't have any of
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the same letters in them practically and every one of those will sound exactly like what you hear
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as you look at it and it's only because you're looking at it that you can hear it differently
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wait until you experience that there on instagram there's a number of those you could probably find
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them once you realize that you'll realize that your reality is completely subjective
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right when it was just two things that sounded like you could say oh there's an oddity of life
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but once you realize that any of the words on that list sound exactly like what you hear and they're
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all different and you can change it instantly there's no there's no setup time you look instantly at any
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words on the list and you'll hear them once you experience that you will know for sure that what we're
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experiencing here is just a psychological phenomenon i don't even know if you're there
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like actually literally i don't know if you're even there we live in and you know we assume that
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everybody's here but it's all subjective all right um
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um trump is making some news because apparently he's uh he's testing out some uh nicknames for ron
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desantis now you know that he tried ron desanctimonious that was the first attempt because you know presumably
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trump thinks that desantis will run against him in the primary so he's trying to you know tamp him down
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now ron desanctimonious how many thought that was a good nickname ron desanctimonious
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all right how many citizens think they know what sanctimonious even means
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see the problem the problem is not that he is or is not sanctimonious the problem is i don't think
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most people know what it means so it's too many letters that that one didn't work well now it's
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reported that privately he's referring to trump is referring to desantis as meatball ron
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which in the reporting that i read uh was suggestive that he that he's short and round and italian
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so kind of racist kind of racist um but it's a weird kind of racism isn't it it's a weird kind
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of racism because there's literally no food in the world that is more universally liked than italian
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food at least in america in america the one thing you can say that everybody will agree with
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is how about italian food italian food is the one thing everybody in the united states agrees on
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well you know i i like thai food but not everybody does well i like you know i like uh persian food but
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not everybody does but italians everybody we're all on board so it's a weird kind of you know somebody's
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going to call it racist racist because yeah i suppose it is i wouldn't i wouldn't disagree with
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the labeling but it's clearly not um mean-hearted mean-spirited in the sense that literally no one
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dislikes italian food no one uh of course i'm exaggerating but it's close to close to true the other
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one he's trying out is uh let's see what else is he trying out shut down ron so trying to pin the
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shutdown which temporarily de santis had in florida um
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that's not too i don't know shut down ron that doesn't really uh that's kind of nothing so here's
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how it's being reported do you think it's fair to report trump brainstorming behind
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closed doors how many times have you seen a report an anonymous report of trump talked about
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some crazy stuff behind closed doors my my rule is always going to be the same doesn't matter if it's
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trump doesn't matter who it is if they're talking about crazy behind closed doors that's cool that's
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cool with me 100 cool i don't care what it is do you know why because we all talk about crazy
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shit privately well it means non-publicly we all talk about crazy shit nobody doesn't if you reported
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everything i said privately do you have any idea what that would do to me do you have any idea there
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a lot of people and i'm definitely in this category who are attracted to whatever the worst thought is
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because sometimes it's funny it's provocative and it's you know not boring so privately i spend a lot
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of time with the worst possible thoughts because they're funny now privately i can laugh at the things that
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might be terrible or insulting to other people but they're not there they're not in the room anything
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i say in the room only matters to the people in the room right and if i trust them not to take it outside
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the room that's all that matters so no i'm sorry horrible thoughts are entertaining and i will use horrible
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thoughts in private all the time they are not any kind of an indication of my soul or my inner
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thoughts they're simply funny because they're inappropriate right so if you say here's a list of
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all the things god said privately i would say i hope they're all inappropriate i hope they are they should
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all be inappropriate everything i say privately i try to make interesting because what's the point of
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talking if you're not interested so i i have no problem with anybody saying anything horrible behind
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closed doors but it does give you a little insight that he's still looking for a linguistic kill shot
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i don't know if there is one so the news is reporting that desantis is clearly preparing to run for
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president do you believe that do you believe it's it's pretty much a done deal and he's just laying
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low but he's because the reporting is that he's setting the the stage sort of privately and part of
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that is that they believe he keeps doing popular things because it'll make him more viable for president
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you you want to hear what's wrong with the news and everybody
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this is what's wrong with everybody including me so this will be a self uh insult as well
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why did we rule out the possibility he was just trying to govern the state well
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like that's not a possibility now nobody will even consider the possibility that he's simply
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trying to do a really good job in his current his current role as governor shouldn't he be trying
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to do that under all circumstances like the news the news is reporting that he's only doing popular
00:25:14.560
things to run for president and i'm thinking how messed up is that that that's the most messed up
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reporting you could ever have at the very least you should say he's you know he's doing all the things
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that his base likes in florida which should also set him up well if he were to run for office
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you can have a twofer let me tell you what one of my pet peeves is as a public figure almost every
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day i go to social media and somebody who has never met me is telling telling me what i'm privately
00:25:49.760
thinking right it's just really annoying they're always wrong but the other thing that they always get
00:25:55.840
wrong is they'll say the reason i'm doing something so they'll say the reason he did this was
00:26:02.320
he was afraid of x the reason he did this was he makes the money i don't know the reason he did this
00:26:08.480
is x here's what is always wrong if you're if you're trying to speculate why i did anything and you only
00:26:16.640
have one reason it's wrong i don't do anything important for one reason do you do you if it's important
00:26:27.040
there are lots of reasons you do it all right why do i exercise is there just one reason
00:26:35.520
i mean i do it for my health i do it for appearance i do it to live longer i do it because it's useful if
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you're a public figure people have to look at you right who does things for one reason do i eat well
00:26:49.040
just one reason no do do i do this live stream for one reason am i doing this for one reason
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no idiots do things for one reason if i'm going to do anything that's like a lot of energy and time i'm
00:27:06.480
going to find more than one reason for it like it's got to accomplish a few things in my life where
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i'm not even going to be interested so i only do things that accomplish multiple things so if you
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say ron desantis i think the only reason you're doing a great job as governor is because you have
00:27:23.680
lust for higher office maybe but how about this how about ron desantis is not an idiot and so he does
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a good for a variety of reasons you know what would be another good reason to manage the uh the
00:27:39.680
governorship right i'm just going to toss this out here just possibly it's um and i know you hadn't
00:27:46.560
thought about this but it's good for the public is that never a reason like ron desantis can't ever in
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his private moment say you know what this would just be good for the public i'm just going to do this
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also good for me as a governor also good for other republicans because they get you know they
00:28:08.080
get some of the shared glory also good in case i ever ran for president and in case people wanted
00:28:15.920
to vote for me if there were so many people who wanted to vote for me present that would be good
00:28:20.640
for them too why can't it be good for the people like you know just to imagine anybody has one reason
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for something it's just the lowest level of analysis all right so uh nikki haley has announced she's
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going to run so i guess it's on uh if we imagine that trump would not get primaried we don't have to
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imagine that at all but here's my question for those of you who identify as republicans help me out on this
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uh nikki haley is a woman and uh i believe she does she identify as a person of color
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right yeah in indian american and anything else i don't know doesn't matter so let's say she identifies
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as a person of color and a woman and she's running as a republican how does that feel
00:29:11.200
does that have like a that has a feel to it doesn't it it feels like it's off brand
00:29:24.000
now let me be very clear i'm sure she is qualified i'm sure she's qualified to be president there are
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a number of republicans as well as democrats who are i would say they're qualified you know people at
00:29:35.040
that level of success they're they're all kind of qualified you know then it's just a choice of
00:29:40.640
which flavor you like but they're all qualified right she's qualified to be president for sure
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but if you're a republican and you're used to all the favoritism the favoritism that you've seen
00:29:54.720
for people who are not white men and the republican party is really dominated by
00:30:01.760
adult white men for better for worse it's just a fact um how are how are they going to take it
00:30:15.680
um in in tv there's something called stunt casting so you bring in a celebrity just for like a a little
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you know moment and people didn't expect it they go that's funny i i was stunt casted on babylon 5
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you know so i was a semi-famous cartoonist who appeared there once just so there'd be something
00:30:35.120
to talk about right that's stunt casting but it looks like nicky haley because she's female and
00:30:40.720
would identify as a person of color it looks like republicans stunt casting like running the person who
00:30:48.000
has the right demographic qualities to beat a democrat now there is something to that
00:30:54.960
that because you would take from the democrats you know their minority power so i get the idea
00:31:04.720
and i like it as a strategy it's not bad but there's just something about it that feels like you're
00:31:10.400
trying to match the wokeness of the democrats instead of uh let's say argue what its limits should be
00:31:19.040
it feels like surrender does anybody else feel that way and by the way i i think she's completely
00:31:26.240
qualified for the job no okay all right so i was asking because this is a purely subjective um
00:31:37.600
most people are saying no so most people are completely okay with that as simply being an
00:31:43.120
advantage she would have as a candidate am i right let me let me put it this way would you become
00:31:48.880
comfortable with her being a woman and a person of color and of course we're comfortable with that
00:31:53.040
that's that's not the problem the problem the question is are you comfortable that it's an
00:31:58.880
advantage are you comfortable putting it forward as an advantage because that's the part that is creepy
00:32:06.400
to me it can simply exist but if she starts if she starts pushing it as some kind of advantage
00:32:15.520
she's dead to me in a political sense do you remember when hillary clinton said uh being a woman was
00:32:22.880
an advantage for leadership because women listen better do you remember she said that she said that
00:32:29.680
out loud she actually said women are superior to men and then she didn't get elected fortunately
00:32:37.760
but so nikki haley has a um she can play this right or wrong the right way to play it is the obama way
00:32:48.160
you remember how obama very cleverly and this must have taken a lot of discipline self-discipline he
00:32:54.480
never sold himself as a black guy running for president he mentioned it of course but it wasn't his sales
00:33:00.880
point he was he was just a qualified person and that was a good way to get some republicans
00:33:07.520
on his side if nikki haley simply ignores the fact that she's a woman just doesn't mention it ignores
00:33:14.800
the fact that she's a person of color and let the media talk about it that could be a winning play
00:33:21.040
but the moment she says it's time for a woman i'm out the moment she says that i'm out if she does
00:33:30.000
i think she's smart enough not to by the way if she mentioned that she's a person of color and that's
00:33:35.040
an advantage i'm sorry no i can't go with you there it's just got to be on qualities and talents and
00:33:43.680
policies it's just got to be like i i just can't go there with anybody so we'll see there's certainly a
00:33:52.320
uh she has a path i would say she has a path what do you think do you think she's legitimately
00:34:00.160
presidential material in terms of a path i'd say yes i say yes yeah narrow path but they all have
00:34:15.200
all right um is our infrastructure under attack
00:34:20.720
i don't like to you know jump into conspiracy theories but there are a lot of infrastructure
00:34:28.160
things that are being attacked from power stations to railroads uh to i don't know food supply
00:34:38.480
egg egg producing stuff but to me they all look like coincidence what do they look like to you
00:34:46.560
i don't see them as a coordinated effort of any kind here's what i see i see that crazy people
00:34:53.520
attack things that are visible if i were a crazy person and i had a gun or dynamite or something i
00:35:00.480
think i would attack things that are sort of visible so infrastructure is unusually visible
00:35:08.800
so it just kind of makes sense to be a lot of attacking going on so i i don't think it's coordinated
00:35:15.120
but i wouldn't ignore it if i were if i were china for example and i wanted to do this you know all
00:35:21.760
in war where every part of warfare is considered fair i would be looking to sabotage american
00:35:27.920
infrastructure in a thousand different ways that you didn't notice but as far as i know nobody
00:35:33.600
associated with china has ever been accused with any infrastructure attack or any other country the
00:35:40.880
best of my knowledge no other country has been implicated implicated in anything somebody says
00:35:46.480
incorrect can you correct me well covet covet was a special case sure feng feng yeah we know that
00:35:56.400
everybody spies on everybody but are have any of the infrastructure attacks been tied to china or russia
00:36:04.160
or anybody else i'm not aware of any okay well we'll keep an eye on that but i'm still in the probably
00:36:13.040
just a coincidence because infrastructure is visible and it makes a big impact if you attack
00:36:18.080
it i think that's all it is all right i saw a uh statistic i don't know if it's true but it was on a
00:36:25.600
tweet look true so give me a fact check of this 40 of males between age of 30 and 60 in the midwest
00:36:33.440
are not working does that sound true 40 of males between 30 and 60 in the midwest are not working
00:36:44.000
i i feel like it might be true but here's how i would explain part of it and the question is how do
00:36:51.920
they live like how do they live well here's one uh some of them might have working spouses
00:37:01.280
right some of them have working spouses so that's some percentage of it um some of them are on
00:37:08.320
disability some of them uh are looking for jobs and can't get them i suppose i'm not sure what they
00:37:15.040
counted here exactly uh some of them probably moved in with their parents even at age 30 plus
00:37:22.480
moved in with their parents but here's another possibility some of them might be living off of
00:37:28.960
inheritance so it's a short-term thing you know they may have had deceased parents and they might have
00:37:35.920
you know a little you know a little little pot of money that they're living on for the moment but that
00:37:40.240
might run out um but i think a number of people are probably working for cash
00:37:48.880
a lot of men in the manual labor stuff they may be you know i don't know cleaning pools and
00:37:55.840
doing odd jobs and stuff for cash so i've got a feeling that the uh the illegal
00:38:04.160
underground economy is at least a big part of this i don't know what percentage yeah and some
00:38:10.960
are man whores yes all right uh let's talk about those weather balloons do you know do you know
00:38:17.040
all know bill ackman famous um investor hedge fund guy is that name familiar to you because you it's
00:38:26.000
it's more fun if you know how well known he is okay so bill ackman is one of the most well-known
00:38:32.640
big finance people you know a name that if you if you have any business uh scanning of the headlines you
00:38:40.080
you see him a lot bill ackman so here's what he tweeted today now i tell you that he's important
00:38:45.360
and smart and successful and rich so that you put his comment in context okay he tweeted what if the
00:38:54.320
three ufos shot down are found to use technology to be made of materials uh or or be made of materials
00:39:02.320
that are not native to earth how does life change thereafter what do we do next
00:39:07.840
so here's what i said um my question are what are the odds that the aliens are building
00:39:19.520
spaceships that are octagonal do you think octagonal shapes are like universal like every planet you go
00:39:29.840
they've got an octagon somewhere because it's just sort of a universal shape or is it possible that the
00:39:37.040
octagonal shape is a really strong tell that it was made here on earth i'm gonna go with octagonal
00:39:46.240
probably as a signal that was made on earth so one of the questions you might ask is
00:39:52.000
is there any kind of octagonal uh like weather balloon is that a thing have you ever heard of that
00:40:05.840
here's one here's an octagonal weather balloon that's the bottom of it a sided company is called
00:40:14.080
aerostar american company so aerostar makes an octagonal payload as a balloon above it way above it so in fact
00:40:24.480
the balloon is so far above it you can imagine that if you flew under it you wouldn't even see the
00:40:29.840
balloon you would look up and you'd see the octagonal thing and it would look like it's floating with
00:40:36.880
no form of proportion of propulsion it would just seem like it's floating there because you're looking
00:40:42.480
at it from below so you're looking at the octagon of the payload but way up above it is the balloon and
00:40:49.440
maybe that's not so easy to see it might be easy to see if you were going slower but you're in a jet
00:40:55.840
so you're in a jet you're under it you're like hey i think i saw an octagonal thing
00:41:05.120
now how big is it well looks to be about the size of a car
00:41:11.440
is that what they reported it was they said it was a unmanned
00:41:16.240
octagonal object the size of a car that appeared to be floating without any form of propulsion
00:41:26.640
it's right here it's right here somebody on twitter said i'll check this company out
00:41:34.480
so i go to their page they sell a bunch of weather balloons and this picture of a weather balloon is
00:41:45.920
has the ceo of this company aerostar have they tweeted yet uh i just want you to know everybody
00:41:53.280
we do make an octagonal shaped payload for our balloons so in fact there are a bunch of
00:42:00.480
of car sized unmanned octagonal octagonal objects that are floating over the united states from us we
00:42:11.200
make them so i'm not saying that's what you saw but you should be aware that we make octagonal
00:42:18.800
car-sized unmanned objects which seen from below
00:42:23.040
might appear to you as though they were completely some kind of floating magic
00:42:33.840
do i trust the photos from their website yeah yes i do
00:42:42.080
now you go you all got pretty quiet there didn't you
00:42:44.960
are you quiet because the odds that i solved the ufo thing are very low is that why you're quiet
00:42:57.120
it's real it's a real mind bender isn't it because you know i did right you know i just solved this
00:43:04.160
national uh mystery this is the solution is right here do you think that the news will report that i
00:43:11.840
solved it it didn't report it yesterday do you think it'll report it today no this is the solution
00:43:20.320
and do you know why i know it's the solution because you haven't heard from the ceo of this company
00:43:27.760
how in the world would you not have heard of him so or whoever it is he or him she she or him
00:43:32.480
right now i'm just looking at your your comments because this is hilarious there's something happening
00:43:44.640
with your brains right now isn't it because what i'm telling you doesn't seem like it could possibly be
00:43:50.800
true right but it looks like it might be so you're trying to decide whether this is actually the entire
00:43:59.760
answer at least for one of them you know only one of them was described as octagonal i assume the rest
00:44:05.440
are just weather balloons and i think the reason here's here's my best uh my best assumption of what's
00:44:14.640
going on i think that the biden administration was embarrassed by the chinese spy balloon which was
00:44:20.400
definitely a chinese spy balloon i think i mean anything anything could be wrong but that's my current
00:44:26.480
working belief it was definitely a chinese spy balloon now that made biden look weak so what do
00:44:34.320
you do if everybody thinks you look weak and your country has no national defense for air stuff well if
00:44:41.200
it were me i would blow up some things in the sky above me to show that i can spot even small stuff
00:44:49.040
and i can blow it up at will and then i start looking around and say is there anything we can blow up
00:44:54.800
and then my people would say not if we keep our radar settings the way they are but if we you know
00:45:02.160
dial it down a little bit make it a little more sensitive we can start picking up smaller objects
00:45:07.200
which we have not identified and then biden says you mean enemy stuff right no just unidentified but
00:45:14.400
maybe enemy stuff probably not because we haven't you know we've been ignoring stuff at that size that
00:45:20.800
move slowly we've been ignoring it for decades and haven't been a problem yet but it could be totally
00:45:27.760
chinese incursions right yeah well anything's possible okay shoot it down
00:45:36.800
and then they say what what if it's ours what if it's just like a weather balloon and it's one of ours
00:45:44.400
well shoot one down that's disabled there are apparently hundreds or maybe thousands of weather
00:45:53.440
balloons on any given day they're all over the place you think that all of them work
00:46:01.120
do you think that all of them are sending out i don't know probably a transponder
00:46:04.720
message or something you think every one of those the electronics is working
00:46:08.240
every one they're all good not a chance there are definitely some broken weather balloons in the air
00:46:16.640
would you agree there's there's no chance that they're all working so if you went to this company
00:46:22.320
and said we spotted this thing it might be your weather balloon do you mind if we blow it up
00:46:27.280
what would the ceo say where is it it said 20 000 feet it might run into a commercial aircraft
00:46:34.720
oh shit blow that up i don't want my space traffic i don't want my weather balloon taking down an
00:46:41.360
airliner if it's broken anyway it's no use to me just shoot it down okay or at least they wouldn't
00:46:47.840
complain about it if they heard about it don't shoot on the balloon i am loving the comments right now
00:46:58.880
because you're not sure what's going on are you you're not sure if i really did
00:47:04.000
solve the entire mystery by googling the web page of a company that makes weather balloons but i think
00:47:10.640
i did now if it turns out that i'm completely wrong about this uh and i you know have to say
00:47:18.480
how embarrassed i am that'll be fun too you like it when i'm embarrassed in public it's kind of fun
00:47:25.360
doesn't hurt me so if it would entertain you i'm happy to i'm happy that you would have that
00:47:29.920
entertainment but i feel like this is the answer all right now i d i need you just tell me because
00:47:38.400
you're holding you're holding out on me you're holding out do you think i solved it just for one
00:47:44.720
of the ufos the octagonal one do you think i solved it
00:47:48.640
all right all right most of the people are saying it's like 75 yeses 25 noes 25 25
00:48:04.080
a quarter that's roughly a quarter no reason i mentioned that all right um it would be funnier if
00:48:14.240
i were pantsed in public well maybe that'll happen someday too you never know
00:48:20.880
all right that's my uh theory um if it turns out there are alien parts on any of these ships
00:48:28.640
i will be the most surprised cartoonist in the entire world there are no alien ships up there
00:48:34.640
i'm quite sure of that but i could be wrong i'd love to be wrong that'd be fun all right do you
00:48:40.720
think the ai is good at flirting do you think if uh if you were accidentally chatting with an ai
00:48:48.800
do you think the ai would do a good job of flirting with you
00:48:53.520
well it's been tested there's actually an app where you can tell the app to flirt with the other person
00:49:01.120
using ai now you get to look at it first so you can approve it or not but i saw a demonstration
00:49:08.480
uh on cnn they were testing this app called key key ai that helps you know what to do to chat up your
00:49:17.600
your uh target target that's terrible the target of your attraction but it turns out the ai is a perverted
00:49:28.160
creepy and weird and uh it's uh not so good it's just creepy it goes sexual too fast
00:49:34.880
for one thing but then it just gets weird and creepy
00:49:41.600
just like people so i don't know is that different than a human what what percentage of men don't go
00:49:49.920
sexual and creepy too soon we all go too soon damn it you wouldn't want it any other way
00:49:56.800
if if there's one thing that men can promise you like as a group we can promise you all women we
00:50:06.000
can promise you this we'll go too far i promise you it doesn't matter what it is is it dangerous oh
00:50:13.760
we'll do it is it ill-advised well let's give it a shot is it the craziest thing anybody ever did in
00:50:20.320
the world oh that looks interesting no that's what we're here for where men will go too far we'll go
00:50:28.000
too fast too soon too far every time that's what we're for and that is not a fault that is a feature
00:50:38.160
that is a feature if you took that away from us our country would fail overnight it's like stupid men
00:50:44.800
you know i say that with love because i like men but uh it's basically men who go too far too fast
00:50:51.120
take too many risks it's who we are yeah you can't take that away from us so if ai is uh emulating men
00:50:59.760
and it goes too fast too soon too creepy too perverted perfect now we would hope it could do better than
00:51:08.720
men and maybe someday it will but at the moment it's matching men so it can't do flirting at all
00:51:15.120
because men are terrible at flirting we're awful at it i'm personally of course i'm tremendous at it as
00:51:22.320
as all of you but the other men the other men who are not listening right now they're all bad at it
00:51:28.320
we're pretty good yeah you and i but the others oh the others all right let's talk about russia and ukraine
00:51:36.720
i remind you that a hundred percent of what we hear from there is unreliable so whatever i tell
00:51:44.080
you if i don't tell you the other side of the the story don't worry i didn't believe the story i told
00:51:50.480
you so you don't have to say well what about the other side because i don't even believe the thing i'm
00:51:55.520
telling you so no argument needed but uh here's my question so we hear these reports that the prisoners
00:52:03.760
the russian prisoners are being used as a human fodder and the story goes that they they send the
00:52:11.840
first wave of of prisoners and they all get mowed down but you know the other side uses up some of their
00:52:18.800
ammo i guess and then they send another wave and they get mowed down and after all their prisoners have
00:52:24.240
been mowed down the professional soldiers on the russian side you know they they make their move if it's possible
00:52:30.160
so that seems to be what they're doing and then if the prisoners or any of them especially under the
00:52:36.000
wagner command if they if they refuse to run into certain death then they murder them so you only have
00:52:43.680
a certain death behind you and probable death in front of you that's pretty close to certain so the prisoners
00:52:50.480
didn't know exactly what they were signing up for and there's indication that you know 20 or 30
00:52:56.960
thousand of them have already been pressed into service but there are about 400 000 of them left
00:53:04.640
so there's around 400 000 people still in russian jail and i see putin solving two problems at once
00:53:13.600
he's emptying his jails getting rid of most of the crime in russia because most crimes repeat offenders
00:53:20.000
i'll bet is that true is most crime in the united states repeat offenders
00:53:27.280
probably 75 percent you know you get new people coming in for the first time but i feel like
00:53:32.320
once you're in the life you're a repeat offender so russia is actually has a chance to win ukraine
00:53:40.400
if they just keep sending waves of human sacrifices forward and to reduce crime in russia by 75
00:53:47.600
didn't see that coming did you so you know how you always yell at me not all of you but
00:53:57.360
whenever i say it looks like ukraine is doing better than expected
00:54:01.760
and then i say i know i know i don't trust it that's just the reports that are coming out
00:54:06.160
but it looks like putin given that he has you know no love for the prisoners clearly it looks like he
00:54:16.560
can solve his crime problem and take over ukraine
00:54:20.080
it looks like he's got a path to do both of those things
00:54:27.360
and i don't even i don't even know if the average russian cares
00:54:31.200
the indications are that the average russian doesn't care at all
00:54:35.280
just is not interested in how many uh dangerous criminals are are chewed up by gunfire from ukrainians
00:54:42.080
they don't care at all i'm not sure americans would care that much you know we might complain
00:54:54.400
so putin has a plan that is not is not crazy all right here's the news i was waiting for but it took
00:55:02.480
this long so the washington post is reporting that clapper is now complaining about
00:55:11.920
how he was characterized for the the the 50 current and prior intel people who signed the document
00:55:19.440
saying that the hunter laptop looked like had all the earmarks of russian disinformation now at the time
00:55:30.560
i'm sure i pointed it out in public wait wait wait everybody he's not saying it is russian
00:55:37.120
he's saying it has all the earmarks which is what you say when you want to leave yourself an out later
00:55:44.560
right that was obvious from the the start that the 50 intel people gave themselves a way to say well
00:55:52.000
we were right it looked like it we just said it looked like it and we were 100 right that's just
00:56:00.080
what russian tradecraft looks like so we're right why are you complaining we didn't say it was we said
00:56:07.600
it had all the markings of and it did so why is everybody complaining about us being right
00:56:15.360
that's what that's what clapper's saying and do you know who predicted that we would have this day
00:56:20.960
when they said hey we didn't say it was we just said it looked like it i did yeah i predicted that
00:56:26.960
because uh as the news reports as well it allowed the politicians and biden to conflate looks like
00:56:37.120
with they say it is so biden was then allowed to lie and he has for now you know years he's allowed
00:56:45.600
to lie and say 50 people said it was russian and then the 50 people who said it said well not exactly
00:56:52.480
we said it had all the earmarks but here's what's interesting they're throwing biden under the bus
00:56:59.200
the walls the washington post is the washington post is revitalizing clapper and their deep state cronies
00:57:08.560
i i say that with a wink uh so they're revitalizing and saying hey these people were never wrong
00:57:14.960
what they said was accurate but they're throwing biden under the bus you see it now right that when
00:57:24.560
the washington post does that specifically the washington post you know that this is the thinking
00:57:30.080
of the democrats the thinking of the democrats is clearly they're trying to get rid of biden
00:57:34.960
and clearly they're trying to rehabilitate their their uh their flying monkeys
00:57:45.440
right so the the 50 intel people are all the flying monkeys of the wicked witch
00:57:50.480
and they're trying to rehabilitate them now because they might need them you don't think clapper will be
00:57:55.360
back on the air saying that uh trump uh is hiding russian spies in mar-a-lago of course he will but the
00:58:03.840
way he'll say it is well uh i'm not saying uh i'm just saying the way the russian tradecraft works is
00:58:13.360
they usually hide in the basement of billionaires running for president it's the way they do it i'm
00:58:18.960
not saying he's doing it i'm not saying he's doing it i'm saying everybody in my business
00:58:26.320
and they're looking at this and they're saying that's all the earmarks as all the looks of uh of
00:58:32.400
a billionaire who would keep russian spies in the basement of mar-a-lago because that's how they do
00:58:37.840
it and then a year later when you find out there are no spies living in the basement of mar-a-lago what
00:58:44.800
does clapper say nothing he waits for the walls the washington post to write a story that says he only said
00:58:52.080
it looks that way and it does so he was right and then clapper gets rehabilitated so
00:59:01.600
they they had it both ways now i believe that trump can say that the election was rigged
00:59:09.600
because of the the laptop stuff now i also say why is it that we only found out about the laptop at
00:59:19.200
just the right moment to affect the election i hate it when an election is decided
00:59:27.120
by coincidence if it is a coincidence but it wasn't true that everybody had a like a laptop to be
00:59:34.400
discovered but it's just the timing of it was i don't like the fact that an election is decided on
00:59:42.480
the son of a candidate losing a laptop like that doesn't feel like how we should be making these
00:59:48.960
decisions but it is relevant you know when there there is a there is enough of a connection with
00:59:56.320
biden and bad things that uh it's relevant all right um let's see what else is going on
01:00:07.840
so i went to my pharmacy to pick up something and still masking
01:00:14.800
california is still masking in medical facilities
01:00:21.440
uh there there was reporting on is there another study or is it the same one
01:00:26.400
showing that masks did not work at a at a public level
01:00:32.480
is that because i read about that today but i wasn't sure if it's the same reporting from last week
01:00:37.280
that they're just laid about or is there a brand new one
01:00:39.760
that also looked at the other studies right so i believe all the studies about masks were bunk
01:00:48.560
that's what i think i think all the studies of masks were poorly done studies because you can't
01:00:52.800
really study it in the real world if you believe the mask work which is what the medical community
01:00:59.280
mostly work you can't really test it against the real virus in the real world so whatever all those
01:01:05.360
tests were they were something that was like a proxy for the test or should suggest what would happen
01:01:11.920
or they're highly indicative but they're not testing the real world that said there's no evidence that
01:01:19.680
they work at a global level now uh i remind you that since what i do here is make predictions
01:01:28.080
i made one today that those that those things we're shooting down our own defective weather balloons
01:01:36.240
that's like a specific prediction the value of what you watch here is not just that i might say
01:01:42.000
you know a different take on things but some of the different takes would be predictive
01:01:46.960
so uh i need you to agree with me that when i tell you i did or did not predict something correctly that's useful
01:01:55.280
is it i think it is you you should know if i if i think i predicted something correctly so at this
01:02:04.880
point it's really clear that i was the best predictor of the pandemic by far there was nobody who came
01:02:11.200
close i i think i'm in my own category i don't think there's anybody even in my my class i got the masks
01:02:18.080
completely starting from fauci lying about whether he believed they work i'm the only person who got that
01:02:25.440
first person to doubt fauci first person in the country to say fauci was lying to the public
01:02:31.440
got that right now that's separate from the question of whether masks work what we know is
01:02:36.160
that he lied because he believed they work secondly i said probably technically it makes a little bit
01:02:42.880
difference but you won't see it in the big numbers so therefore it's unjustified as a mandate
01:02:48.480
that's exactly where we are so my original view on mass is 100 percent validated likewise vaccinations and
01:02:55.440
everything else 100 percent validated at this point
01:03:00.880
um and i think that the dark horse uh podcast they're still making the case that
01:03:09.680
um you can tell the difference between correlation and causation by the fact that you predicted it
01:03:20.800
you buy that so if you said i have a hypothesis that if we test this we're going to find this is
01:03:26.320
highly correlated with this other thing then you test it and sure enough the thing you imagined or you
01:03:31.840
hypothesize was true therefore that's probably more like a a system and not a guess because you
01:03:38.320
hypothesized it you tested there is a correlation probably causation well that could work in some
01:03:46.480
cases if you repeated the experiment over time etc but the trouble is there always more than one
01:03:52.400
reason for things to be correlated in the real world it's messy and there are lots of correlations
01:04:00.240
so just predicting that something will have a correlation doesn't mean it's causation
01:04:06.800
and you know i think we all understand that but and now by the way i'm mischaracterizing um brett and
01:04:17.120
heather at uh at dark horse i'm mischaracterizing their argument a little bit but it's
01:04:22.080
it's it's feeling like there's a little more speculation in their scientific process than you'd expect
01:04:33.440
some of us don't listen to every freaking podcast available that's good now i've also solved the uh
01:04:39.840
the ufo weather problem and i think that you should know that because that would determine whether you
01:04:46.160
listen to my next um or how much credibility you give my next prediction
01:04:55.200
your comments are interesting today you're all in a weird mood today
01:05:01.280
am i wrong i i feel like you're all in a weird headspace today is it because of the news
01:05:06.800
there's just weird news everybody's sort of thrown off a little bit yeah is it because it's valentine's day
01:05:16.320
there's something different about you today like collectively am i right
01:05:33.920
i saw a provocative uh tweet from mike cernovich so
01:05:44.320
and i'm not sure if it's you know meant to be hyper hyperbole so it's you know kind of
01:05:50.320
true but not completely true sort of thing but i'll read it to you the the this is why you should
01:05:56.000
follow mike cernovich because you'll see thoughts and ideas that you're just not seeing anywhere else
01:06:02.480
so follow him for sure uh here's his tweet today he said the smartest boomers
01:06:07.920
were managing trains and infrastructure gen x's talented ones knew they couldn't get those jobs
01:06:14.480
anymore due to hiring quotas and went to laptop gigs huge holes are opening up now people aren't even
01:06:22.640
close to ready for the final boomer die-off so the implication here is that when the people in my
01:06:28.880
generation are retiring and dying that we won't know how to fix anything
01:06:38.240
now i'll give you both sides of the argument all right both sides of the argument it's definitely
01:06:47.120
true that some people didn't go some white boomers did not go after some kinds of jobs
01:06:53.280
because they knew they couldn't get them i don't know if they became laptop warriors
01:06:57.920
like i'm not sure that's the same population that was considering one thing i have more i'd more more
01:07:03.680
think that they're in the 40 unemployed guys in the midwest i don't think they just
01:07:08.080
learned to code so there's might be some hyperbole there but in general these are forces that were
01:07:14.000
were in play um and do you think that when the boomers die off then everything's going to fall
01:07:21.040
go to hell there could be some of that there definitely could be some of that but here's
01:07:27.120
here's another lens on the same situation here's another reason that our infrastructure
01:07:33.680
should be crumbling you ready it's always easier to give funding for something new
01:07:42.080
it's hard to give funding to fix something before it breaks and that's it that's it we're done that's
01:07:50.560
the whole story in theory every uh advanced civilization should go through a period of decay
01:07:58.320
because of that fact so what we should see is that we're building an amazing sparkling brand new ai
01:08:06.800
so the new stuff is getting funding like crazy but when's the last time we built an airport
01:08:13.520
right so it's really hard to get anybody to fix something before it breaks like how much money goes to
01:08:22.160
fixing bridges before they collapse some some probably not enough right so it's always going to
01:08:29.280
look like your old stuff is falling apart because your old stuff is falling apart it's sort of built into
01:08:37.280
the way our brains work i don't think it's a talent problem exclusively i think it has more to do it is a
01:08:45.440
talent problem but i think it's also just the effect of we like new stuff more than we like old stuff
01:08:50.480
that's it um but it is a problem i mean it's a gigantic problem i don't know what we do about it
01:08:58.960
that ladies and gentlemen concludes my presentation for those of you on youtube
01:09:04.480
if you are also a daily coffee with scott adams consumer you might be interested that we're now once
01:09:14.720
again selling the mugs so i tweeted uh you can see it in my twitter feed from yesterday how you can get
01:09:23.120
your own coffee with scott adams mug complete with the simultaneous sip written on the back and what's
01:09:30.160
written on the bottom let's look ah that's right it says ah on the bottom can you fit your fist inside
01:09:42.320
the mug no but it's a 20 ounce mug so if you've got a tiny fist put it right in there put it right in
01:09:52.160
now yep it'd be like throwing a hot dog down the hallway and if you understood that shame on you
01:10:02.640
uh now if does that apply to marriage yeah yep sort of it does
01:10:12.160
um naval's interview about david deitch on uh knowledge creation of the human race really
01:10:19.680
naval did a talk with david deitch all right well i'm definitely going to listen to that
01:10:27.760
like if you don't know those two individuals just trust me all right if you don't know if you have
01:10:36.160
no idea who naval ravikant is and you don't know who david deitch is you don't need to just just
01:10:44.720
trust me that would probably be the most interesting conversation you'll ever see
01:10:49.280
i'm just guessing but probably i'll break down why that is so uh naval i sometimes refer to as the
01:10:56.800
smartest person i've ever met and i've met a lot of smart people uh david deitch um is in just the right
01:11:06.720
let's say um scientific philosophical space for a conversation with the smartest person i know
01:11:21.600
more than more than elon don't know but i don't know elon right now i'm only talking about people
01:11:28.320
i've met in person is it weird that i've never met elon musk how many people think that's weird
01:11:36.720
it just feels like it would have happened right it just feels like in the the natural course of
01:11:40.960
things we would have been in the same place at least once but we've never met yeah
01:11:49.280
you will i don't know it would be a coincidence if we did let me tell you my uh philosophy on that
01:11:56.560
um when you're a public figure it's very very common two varies very very common twice
01:12:09.280
um for people to say hey you're famous and i know this other famous person you two should talk
01:12:15.680
and then i say why well you're famous and you're interesting this other person is famous and
01:12:24.480
interesting so how about we set you up for lunch to which i say why why did did that other person say
01:12:35.680
they want to meet me no but i'm sure they would because they're interesting you're interesting let me
01:12:39.920
put you together and then i say i don't do play dates i really don't i don't do play dates i know
01:12:46.960
you think that your toddler and you know this other toddler will will have a good time but i don't do
01:12:52.640
play dates i don't i think i think maybe they have their own life and they don't need me at all i don't
01:12:59.760
think i add anything to that other person's life my baseline for having lunch with somebody
01:13:05.360
would be that i think there would be something in it for them that's the baseline like what what's in
01:13:11.840
it for the other person just randomly meeting famous people is fun it's fun i love randomly not eat not
01:13:20.320
even randomly i love meeting famous people it's one of the coolest things about my job but i don't look
01:13:26.880
for it because looking for it is just weird that's what i think so i tend i tend to have uh contact with
01:13:37.840
people i have some reason to talk to and i think maybe they would they would find some benefit as well
01:13:53.520
i would think it would be the opposite wouldn't it be the opposite like i would think egotistical
01:13:59.440
was oh i i belong at this table with this famous person they really imagine this
01:14:07.680
imagine if you will how busy elon musk is and let's say he agreed to go to lunch with you
01:14:16.480
doesn't he have other stuff to do that might be kind of important like i can't imagine 45 minutes
01:14:24.560
eating lunch with me like moves the ball forward in some way but 45 minutes that he's you know running
01:14:30.800
his multiple companies that are changing civilization that feels like a good 45 minutes so i'd rather he
01:14:37.440
spend that time you know doing what he wants to do yeah i'm not saying it wouldn't be entertaining
01:14:44.480
it's just a it's a strange ask to take a stranger's time without without a specific benefit for both
01:15:03.280
yeah we'd have plenty to talk about of course yeah it's not a question of having nothing to talk
01:15:07.760
about we'd have plenty to talk about that would be the case with any public figure
01:15:12.240
no i am a narcissist somebody said i i proved i'm not a narcissist i'm totally a narcissist but i'm
01:15:26.640
but there are two kinds there there's one that's damaging and it's just like destruction the other just
01:15:33.760
likes to get attention for doing good things have i mentioned that i never do things for one reason
01:15:40.720
that was the beginning of my uh podcast today i talked about how i would never do anything for
01:15:45.840
just one reason nothing important anyway important things i do for multiple reasons
01:15:51.360
so if i can make a dent in fentanyl or tick tock persuasion or something like that if i can make a
01:15:58.000
dent in something i do it because it's good for the world and if the world is happy with my work
01:16:05.760
they will be good to me why can't i have two objectives does anybody have a problem with that
01:16:14.000
i can have two objectives and be a narcissist and say i'd love it if i got attention for doing something
01:16:19.600
right when i showed you the uh i i think i've solved the you know the weather balloon thing the octagonal
01:16:26.960
weather balloon let's say i'm right how much would i enjoy that a ton a ton do you know why well i guess
01:16:36.960
i'm a narcissist because i would love the attention for being right for being right would wouldn't you
01:16:44.800
would you not enjoy attention for being right that feels like something everybody would like
01:16:50.560
i might like it more as demonstrated by the fact i put more i put more effort into attaining it right
01:16:58.000
so that would suggest i am a narcissist but i'm i'm quite overtly i'm trying to be as transparent as
01:17:05.520
possible this totally works i think you want people like me to want to get attention for accomplishing
01:17:13.120
things don't you you know i i i would think you'd want more of that not less of it
01:17:24.320
so but there there's a whole other kind of uh narcissist we're really just out to destroy life
01:17:36.960
if you're happy with your decision then you should be happy with it
01:17:43.120
my motives are all transparent now and and here's the third thing so i like solving problems for the
01:17:58.080
public i like getting you know attention if i do a good job and i've also monetized the the podcast
01:18:07.760
so i'm making money too does everybody have a problem with that is there a reason i can't do three
01:18:13.680
things at the same time help you make money have some pleasure while i'm doing it all right three things
01:18:30.400
does anybody need to be calmed down about any current problems uh lisa was saying she enjoyed
01:18:38.000
my work during the early part of the pandemic where i was calming people down
01:18:47.840
my belief that the supply chain would not break because we would infinitely adjust that was true
01:18:56.480
wouldn't you agree that the supply chain had a lot of pressure on it but i knew there were so many
01:19:02.160
people and it was the top priority that we would just adjust like crazy because that's what we do
01:19:07.520
that's what humans do we're good at it and we did right on schedule and we did it was close let
01:19:14.720
let me tell you the supply chain thing you had a reason to be afraid of that that was real
01:19:21.200
that was a real risk it's just that we worked through it all right the biggest risk right now
01:19:29.200
that i see is inflation would you agree i'm not worried about russian nuclear war
01:19:36.160
maybe i should be but it's just not i'm not seeing the signals at all i'm just not seeing the signals for
01:19:42.400
that and i'm not worried about all that war with china do you know why
01:19:45.840
do you know why i am not worried with like a hot war with china
01:19:53.120
because china is run by engineers and smart people do you think they're going to start a war with the
01:19:58.800
united states like a hot war it wouldn't make any sense because they can get everything they need
01:20:05.120
without that i think now taiwan's a special case but they can become the biggest um economy just by
01:20:14.080
doing what they do and just continue to do it they have so many more people that is pretty much
01:20:19.280
guaranteed that'd be the biggest economy um they could have uh military dominance just by building
01:20:28.080
continuing to build more stuff funding it so they don't need to destroy the united states
01:20:34.720
and in fact we're our cousin a big customer so there is no there's no mechanism let's say
01:20:43.680
there's no realistic possibility that china launches nuclear weapons intentionally at the united states
01:20:51.680
it would have to be an accident and even that is so remote it seems weird
01:20:57.040
right so i don't see i just don't see that because the the one thing that you could say about a nuclear attack
01:21:05.920
is that the leader of the country who did it would be dead very quickly would you agree if you're the
01:21:12.080
leader of any country and you start a war you're probably going to survive right because lots of times
01:21:19.920
you end up negotiating the end of the war but if you launched a nuclear attack we would kill you first
01:21:28.000
am i right so i'm sure that we know where putin is like what city is would you agree with that
01:21:36.080
do you think the united states always knows at least what city putin said maybe not what building but
01:21:42.080
what city we would just take we would just target that city because the nuclear war is the worst of
01:21:48.800
everything so it's not like you would hold back we would just target that first and here's what i
01:21:54.800
think our here's what i think our nuclear stand should be our nuclear stand should not be you know if you
01:22:02.720
attack us we will all out attack you back rather it should be if you launch a nuke at us suppose it's just
01:22:11.600
one for whatever reason we're going to nuke you back but we're going to aim you at your leader
01:22:19.520
and we might have to take out moscow to do it but we're only going to fire one
01:22:25.040
and we're done so after that we're done but you're going to lose your biggest city and your leader
01:22:30.400
because you you nuked us that's not negotiable so you might as well you might want to spend a few days
01:22:38.800
getting as far as you can from putin because putin is going to go up in a fireball it's going to happen
01:22:44.960
in the next week you've got one week to leave town and i don't care what town it is if he hides in
01:22:51.600
the middle of moscow we're going to drop one nuclear bomb and only one then we're done but we're
01:22:57.680
going to take out moscow because that's where he is so if you think putin is anywhere in your city
01:23:03.360
get out you've got a week because i think we would have to make it very clear that we're after their
01:23:15.840
i'm not sure if that would be a good military doctrine but that's what i would do
01:23:20.080
you think scott sees the holes in that idea what are the holes in that idea
01:23:28.560
is the hole that they could keep launching and we would be too slow to respond i mean if it's multiple
01:23:34.720
nukes they're all bets are off right i'm only talking about a situation where somehow one get
01:23:42.240
launched one got launched because i think that's i think it's far more likely that one would be launched
01:23:48.720
and that we would just let it land what do you think if russia or china launch one nuke
01:23:57.520
even if it were at a major u.s city yeah we'd probably shoot it try to shoot it down
01:24:03.200
but assume we miss i think we would take the first one we would never say that and never should but i
01:24:10.640
think we would take the first one and then we would say all right you've got 10 minutes to give us
01:24:21.760
and in 10 minutes they would give us their leader i think we should just ask for their leader and the
01:24:28.480
other country would give them to us that's what i think yeah i think they would execute their own leader
01:24:37.040
to save their family because everybody who was anywhere near that leader was going to be vaporized
01:24:43.280
unless they kill that one guy uh everybody you know and your families and you you'll all be dead
01:24:50.080
unless you kill this guy of course they would yeah they would kill their own leader uh on request
01:24:57.200
because the the alternative is a is a complete nuclear annihilation yeah so we can never say that
01:25:06.880
you know you'd never want to say the enemy well if it's just one nuke we're going to wait and see
01:25:11.280
but i think we would the dumbest thing we could do would be if one nuke was coming our way to launch a
01:25:24.080
uh launch on warning if if it's more than one we probably would launch on warning
01:25:34.240
i hate to say it but i think we would all right um that's all i got for today hope you enjoy your
01:25:44.080
valentines once again this is the best live stream you've ever seen in your entire life
01:25:49.760
no doubt about it um youtube i'm gonna say bye for now i'm gonna go talk to my valentines over on