Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2019 Scott Adams： I Solved The Octagonal UFO Mystery, Nikki Haley Announces, Train Mystery

00:00:00.000 what managing moderators can support your channel in even more ways oh there's a little message here

00:00:06.960 on on youtube all right everybody come on in here it's time for the highlight of civilization

00:00:16.880 walter's got a problem huh walter all right we'll hope you can settle that well happy

00:00:26.800 valentine's day to everybody are you all romantically entangled and you could not be happier that today

00:00:34.400 is your special day with your sweetheart or is it more likely 75 percent of you resent the day

00:00:40.240 and all that reminds you of well either way i'm sure there's somebody who's enjoying today

00:00:45.920 and if they are let's take it up a notch and all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tanker gels

00:00:52.000 aside a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee

00:00:59.600 and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine killer the day the thing that makes

00:01:04.240 everything better except valentine's day that's that's sort of on its own it's called the simultaneous

00:01:10.240 sip and it happens now go and happy birthday to kathy sir no happy anniversary it's your 29th anniversary

00:01:22.000 ah well i hate to tell you this but you just did the simultaneous sip on valentine's day and at this

00:01:30.880 point we are all betrothed yeah you just accidentally pledged yourself to romantic entanglement forever

00:01:42.240 so we're all in this together valentines you want to talk about some funny news how about some funny

00:01:48.800 news number one by a show of hands how many would like to be to completely ignore the mass shooting

00:01:57.120 yes oh yeah everybody's hand is up okay we're gonna ignore that like it didn't happen happy valentine

00:02:02.640 say let's talk about the good news um i don't know if you saw this but there was a member of congress

00:02:09.760 and i've never seen this before that well i guess i've seen it before but it's really rare

00:02:14.800 uh so josh hawley did something i don't know i'm not even sure you're gonna believe me

00:02:23.520 are you even gonna believe this story josh hawley a member of congress did something that is

00:02:28.560 potentially useful okay i know no there's nothing about josh hawley he's he's high on my list at the

00:02:35.440 moment but he keeps trying to do things useful now i don't know how successful he'll be but he he just

00:02:43.040 introduced or he is introducing legislation to make uh to make it illegal to use social media if

00:02:50.560 you're under 16 in other words you'd have to be 16 or older to use social media i am so on board with

00:02:58.640 that so on board we'll go private here on locals thanks for reminding me yeah now there are not many

00:03:07.200 parents who would be able to say this because their their children would hate them forever so i think

00:03:12.000 parents are just going to be kind of silent and hoping it goes through maybe but yeah i don't

00:03:17.520 think it'll pass i don't think it'll pass for the simple reason that the social media companies in

00:03:23.680 this country have a lot of a lot of power now i'd be really interesting to see what interested to see

00:03:29.280 what elon musk said because i don't think he's weighed in on this yet or i haven't seen it but i'd love

00:03:36.000 to know if he's in favor of that because he might be he might be but i'd be really surprised if the

00:03:44.240 other social networks are we'll see but congratulations to josh hawley for doing something that would be

00:03:53.680 useful i think josh hawley is also he understands the danger of tic tac so just just a few members of

00:04:01.440 congress who are young enough and apparently trying to do useful things do you remember

00:04:08.080 when ron de santis started doing all these useful things in in florida useful from the perspective of

00:04:14.640 his base and everybody and and i kept saying well he's just picking up the free money it's like there's

00:04:22.240 free money laying all around the ground there in florida and why did we have to wait for him to pick

00:04:27.360 it up he's just doing all the obvious things that his base liked well josh hawley does the same thing

00:04:33.920 i wouldn't ignore that and and i wouldn't discount well i wouldn't uh wouldn't hold it against him

00:04:41.440 if his legislation doesn't get passed because even just putting the legislation out there changes the

00:04:47.680 argument right it's a whole different argument if you know it's actually been put into legislation

00:04:53.920 because that means it's serious right so even if it gets rejected we've at least elevated the

00:05:00.160 conversation maybe got a little bit closer maybe more people were exposed to the argument maybe maybe

00:05:07.120 it will take some event in the real world to make it seem like a better idea than it does right now

00:05:14.400 but uh this this is good work josh hawley congratulations um there are reports that some kind of epstein

00:05:23.680 list will be produced but it's apparently a list documents with names of those associated with epstein

00:05:34.000 now are you comfortable with that do you think that's um i won't i don't want to use the word fair

00:05:43.520 but do you think it's good for us to see a list of all the people who are quote associated with them

00:05:49.520 because would that would that not include people who didn't who didn't have any bad behavior but they

00:05:57.760 thought maybe they had some business use with them they didn't know exactly what he was up to

00:06:02.480 i don't know i well it could be fake yeah we we would certainly believe it if the list were fake that

00:06:10.880 that wouldn't surprise me at all it does seem like there might be some people who are important enough

00:06:16.720 that if they were going to be on such a list they could make themselves not be on the list

00:06:21.440 i think that's the thing and there might be people with that power heads of governments and such

00:06:28.480 but i'm gonna i'm gonna predict that it's a dud what do you say i predict it will be a dud

00:06:36.480 it'll either be people we already know of complete strangers and people who had a reason to do business

00:06:44.400 with them that although it might have been ill-advised you know such as bill gates ill-advised

00:06:50.880 there's not really any evidence that more than that happened i feel like it's yeah it's really

00:06:56.400 going to make us chatter like crazy but i'm i'm very concerned that there's some innocent ish ish

00:07:03.920 people on the list and by that i mean people maybe shouldn't have done business with them

00:07:08.960 maybe they should have known better but didn't do anything illegal i'm very uncomfortable with that

00:07:14.800 list coming out because of the potentially innocent people innocent ish right i'll keep an eye on it

00:07:23.840 all right here's something i didn't know about the ohio train derailment um i was aware

00:07:31.040 that there was a 2022 film on netflix about a train derailment uh but the and and it was the same

00:07:41.200 plot there were chemicals that were released and the town had to evacuate now what i heard first

00:07:47.680 was that the movie was set in pennsylvania which at least is some difference from being in palestine

00:07:55.520 palestine ohio but i read today and i need a confirmation on this um yeah i believe it was

00:08:02.880 filmed in the town where the actual derailment happened so that's what's being reported today is that true

00:08:12.320 does that feel like a coincidence to you all right i have two things to say about coincidence

00:08:18.240 number one lots of things can look like coincidences that are not so how could it what what would be a

00:08:27.440 scenario in which this would look like a coincidence but it's not can you think of one how how can it

00:08:35.360 look like a coincidence but not be one all right here here's things we know so i'll just deal with what

00:08:42.160 we know and then i'll just speculate right this is just rank speculation so don't put too much

00:08:47.840 credibility on i just want to talk you through a possible way that this could be ordinary it looks

00:08:54.160 extraordinary but it could be ordinary here's how apparently a number of people who lived in palestine

00:09:02.400 palestine ohio um were were extras on the film so imagine if people in your town were extras on a film

00:09:11.920 about a train derailment and it was filmed in your town so now you've got a whole town full of

00:09:17.520 people who are talking about train derailments in a specific town it's in the context of the movie

00:09:23.840 but they're all train derailment train derailment hey did you work on the movie about the train derailment

00:09:28.960 i didn't did you work on the movie about the train derailment no but i know somebody who did

00:09:33.520 work on the movie about train derailments all right now just introduce one crazy person

00:09:39.120 what and the crazy person wants to do some crazy shit what do they do they probably do the thing 0.74

00:09:48.080 that's in the top of their mind which is train derailment now here's the part that i heard on 0.99

00:09:53.840 tucker last night apparently there is there are a lot of train derailments that appear to be

00:10:01.760 um sabotage there were a thousand train derailments last year or something like that right now i'm not

00:10:12.000 i'm not alleging that they were all sabotage but some number of them were apparently there is a well-known

00:10:18.000 method for making a train derail and this well-known method has been implemented in the united states

00:10:25.040 more than you think because it's not being reported on for some reason yeah there's something they do with

00:10:30.480 a wire across the tracks that changes the electrical signal which causes the train to derail i don't

00:10:36.960 know how and i don't want to tell you if i did so don't you think that there is one explanation

00:10:44.800 that would remove all the coincidence everybody was thinking about this very specific crime there was one

00:10:51.920 crazy person there who said i think i'll do a crazy crime well what's on my mind oh everybody's talking

00:10:58.560 about trade derailments i'll just go walk one block over there and do one so that would be one

00:11:04.800 explanation that would remove the weird coincidence right here's a second explanation for the coincidence

00:11:14.480 it's a coincidence

00:11:18.480 just just a coincidence because the nature of coincidence is that there's so many things happening

00:11:24.320 all the time every day that you will always see coincidences coincidences a rare coincidences

00:11:34.240 are guaranteed and because we have news and social media all of the rare coincidences come to our

00:11:41.600 attention for example was it a coincidence that two brothers played on opposite teams in the super

00:11:48.720 bowl this year for the first time yeah that was that was a weird coincidence how about the fact that uh

00:11:55.360 the two super bowl champions uh the the ones who were competing they both had black quarterbacks

00:12:01.840 for the first time well that's a coincidence you know it's a sign of the times and stuff but a coincidence

00:12:08.560 right the world is full of coincidence full of it almost all of our stories have coincidences in

00:12:15.120 them so one possibility is it's just another one it's the one you noticed but it's it's a it looks like

00:12:21.760 a big one but it's just a coincidence it's a place with a train now if there were a thousand a thousand

00:12:28.960 derailments the odds that one of those derailments would have been near this one town not that high

00:12:36.640 if there are a thousand a year it's not that high that one would be near that town

00:12:40.960 now the the actual explosion and stuff would be rare all right the other possibility is that

00:12:49.280 the number of coincidences are ramping up what would that mean suppose in the real world

00:12:58.720 coincidences were genuinely ramping up in a way that didn't make sense didn't make any statistical

00:13:04.640 sense whatsoever what that what would that mean has anybody read a book called the celestine prophecies

00:13:15.360 it's a pretty old book the celestine prophecies

00:13:21.280 and i don't have a the clearest memory of the book but i'll tell you the the major theme was this

00:13:28.640 the major theme was that the individuals in the book started noticing coincidences that were

00:13:34.480 out of control like a lot of coincidences started happening and i believe that the bottom line was

00:13:41.040 it was people people's level of awareness about the nature of reality was starting to change

00:13:49.120 and the coincidences were marking this movement in which the human minds were going to another level

00:13:55.920 of awareness is that happening do you do you think that human minds are right now going into a whole new level of awareness

00:14:08.960 hell yes oh yeah oh yeah we are going into a whole new level of awareness

00:14:16.240 a.i will break our heads you have no idea what's coming nor do i because it's a it's impossible to know

00:14:26.880 a.i could change how we think about religion it will definitely change how you think about your consciousness

00:14:34.800 because it's going to have consciousness i know i know almost all of you disagree but i promise you a.i will

00:14:42.320 have consciousness there's nothing i'm more sure of i'm positive positive and it will happen really

00:14:49.920 quickly and it's going to change everything you know about you know your immortal soul the specialness

00:14:56.240 of your consciousness the uniqueness of people yeah everybody's angry about this right people you're like

00:15:02.960 oh no not this one scott you're so wrong about this one i hate to tell you there's no way around it

00:15:09.120 there is no way around it it's going to break all of our brains and it's going to happen really fast

00:15:16.400 next few years we'll have a conscience well that's uh we we could argue about the definition of terms

00:15:25.840 but what about this simulation theory

00:15:31.440 simulation theory is not getting smaller have you noticed that you know people who talk about us

00:15:38.160 being in a simulation such as me there's not less of it every year there's more of it every year

00:15:45.040 there's more of it and that's not going to change our our very understanding of reality is going to be

00:15:52.080 completely different have you all seen um you've seen you all remember the audio illusion where some

00:15:58.880 people would hear the the word spoken was green needle and what was the other one green needle and then the

00:16:06.640 other one was completely two different words but have you seen the one where there's a list of a list of

00:16:13.760 phrases and you can hear every one of the phrases clearly from the same words that are being spoken you

00:16:21.760 just have to be looking at the word and then you can clearly hear that's what's being spoken then you go

00:16:27.360 down to the next one in the list completely different words and it sounds exactly like that's what they're

00:16:34.720 saying and then you say to yourself oh it's a trick because they're making me go from top to bottom and

00:16:40.800 they're just changing the word so it sounds like so you try to start mixing it up and go okay there's

00:16:45.280 no way you're going to know that i'm going to look at this one and then it sounds exactly like the one you're

00:16:50.480 looking at and you say all right i'll get you this time this one and it's exactly the word

00:16:56.560 you're reading is the one you hear now when it was just two two different you know sets of words when

00:17:06.160 it was just two sets of words and you could say wow isn't that a weird coincidence that one set of

00:17:12.400 word like laurel and yanni laurel and yanni was the the binary two words that's not that amazing

00:17:21.520 right if i said to you hey do you know there are two words or phrases that would sound alike to

00:17:28.160 people if they heard them i would say well that's really interesting but not it doesn't blow my mind

00:17:34.640 because you could imagine there would be two words that would have that quality

00:17:38.560 but wait until you see a list of words that are completely different words like they don't have any of

00:17:45.120 the same letters in them practically and every one of those will sound exactly like what you hear

00:17:52.080 as you look at it and it's only because you're looking at it that you can hear it differently

00:17:58.720 wait until you experience that there on instagram there's a number of those you could probably find

00:18:02.480 them once you realize that you'll realize that your reality is completely subjective

00:18:10.240 right when it was just two things that sounded like you could say oh there's an oddity of life

00:18:15.600 but once you realize that any of the words on that list sound exactly like what you hear and they're

00:18:21.040 all different and you can change it instantly there's no there's no setup time you look instantly at any

00:18:29.520 words on the list and you'll hear them once you experience that you will know for sure that what we're

00:18:36.560 experiencing here is just a psychological phenomenon i don't even know if you're there

00:18:42.480 like actually literally i don't know if you're even there we live in and you know we assume that

00:18:51.040 everybody's here but it's all subjective all right um

00:18:56.480 um trump is making some news because apparently he's uh he's testing out some uh nicknames for ron

00:19:05.280 desantis now you know that he tried ron desanctimonious that was the first attempt because you know presumably

00:19:14.000 trump thinks that desantis will run against him in the primary so he's trying to you know tamp him down

00:19:20.080 now ron desanctimonious how many thought that was a good nickname ron desanctimonious

00:19:27.520 all right how many citizens think they know what sanctimonious even means

00:19:33.840 see the problem the problem is not that he is or is not sanctimonious the problem is i don't think

00:19:40.400 most people know what it means so it's too many letters that that one didn't work well now it's

00:19:48.080 reported that privately he's referring to trump is referring to desantis as meatball ron

00:19:56.800 which in the reporting that i read uh was suggestive that he that he's short and round and italian

00:20:05.440 so kind of racist kind of racist um but it's a weird kind of racism isn't it it's a weird kind

00:20:16.160 of racism because there's literally no food in the world that is more universally liked than italian

00:20:23.920 food at least in america in america the one thing you can say that everybody will agree with

00:20:28.720 is how about italian food italian food is the one thing everybody in the united states agrees on

00:20:36.400 well you know i i like thai food but not everybody does well i like you know i like uh persian food but

00:20:45.520 not everybody does but italians everybody we're all on board so it's a weird kind of you know somebody's

00:20:53.040 going to call it racist racist because yeah i suppose it is i wouldn't i wouldn't disagree with

00:20:58.160 the labeling but it's clearly not um mean-hearted mean-spirited in the sense that literally no one

00:21:08.000 dislikes italian food no one uh of course i'm exaggerating but it's close to close to true the other

00:21:16.880 one he's trying out is uh let's see what else is he trying out shut down ron so trying to pin the

00:21:24.160 shutdown which temporarily de santis had in florida um

00:21:31.120 that's not too i don't know shut down ron that doesn't really uh that's kind of nothing so here's

00:21:39.360 how it's being reported do you think it's fair to report trump brainstorming behind

00:21:46.800 closed doors how many times have you seen a report an anonymous report of trump talked about

00:21:55.520 some crazy stuff behind closed doors my my rule is always going to be the same doesn't matter if it's

00:22:03.440 trump doesn't matter who it is if they're talking about crazy behind closed doors that's cool that's

00:22:11.680 cool with me 100 cool i don't care what it is do you know why because we all talk about crazy 0.99

00:22:19.280 shit privately well it means non-publicly we all talk about crazy shit nobody doesn't if you reported 0.95

00:22:28.400 everything i said privately do you have any idea what that would do to me do you have any idea there 0.99

00:22:36.480 a lot of people and i'm definitely in this category who are attracted to whatever the worst thought is

00:22:43.920 because sometimes it's funny it's provocative and it's you know not boring so privately i spend a lot

00:22:51.120 of time with the worst possible thoughts because they're funny now privately i can laugh at the things that

00:22:58.720 might be terrible or insulting to other people but they're not there they're not in the room anything

00:23:06.800 i say in the room only matters to the people in the room right and if i trust them not to take it outside

00:23:13.840 the room that's all that matters so no i'm sorry horrible thoughts are entertaining and i will use horrible

00:23:22.160 thoughts in private all the time they are not any kind of an indication of my soul or my inner

00:23:28.640 thoughts they're simply funny because they're inappropriate right so if you say here's a list of

00:23:37.760 all the things god said privately i would say i hope they're all inappropriate i hope they are they should

00:23:44.720 all be inappropriate everything i say privately i try to make interesting because what's the point of

00:23:50.960 talking if you're not interested so i i have no problem with anybody saying anything horrible behind

00:23:59.600 closed doors but it does give you a little insight that he's still looking for a linguistic kill shot

00:24:07.120 i don't know if there is one so the news is reporting that desantis is clearly preparing to run for

00:24:14.320 president do you believe that do you believe it's it's pretty much a done deal and he's just laying

00:24:20.480 low but he's because the reporting is that he's setting the the stage sort of privately and part of

00:24:27.680 that is that they believe he keeps doing popular things because it'll make him more viable for president

00:24:35.600 you you want to hear what's wrong with the news and everybody

00:24:38.960 this is what's wrong with everybody including me so this will be a self uh insult as well

00:24:49.840 why did we rule out the possibility he was just trying to govern the state well

00:24:55.680 like that's not a possibility now nobody will even consider the possibility that he's simply

00:25:01.280 trying to do a really good job in his current his current role as governor shouldn't he be trying

00:25:07.680 to do that under all circumstances like the news the news is reporting that he's only doing popular

00:25:14.560 things to run for president and i'm thinking how messed up is that that that's the most messed up

00:25:22.320 reporting you could ever have at the very least you should say he's you know he's doing all the things

00:25:27.920 that his base likes in florida which should also set him up well if he were to run for office

00:25:32.960 you can have a twofer let me tell you what one of my pet peeves is as a public figure almost every

00:25:43.600 day i go to social media and somebody who has never met me is telling telling me what i'm privately

00:25:49.760 thinking right it's just really annoying they're always wrong but the other thing that they always get

00:25:55.840 wrong is they'll say the reason i'm doing something so they'll say the reason he did this was

00:26:02.320 he was afraid of x the reason he did this was he makes the money i don't know the reason he did this

00:26:08.480 is x here's what is always wrong if you're if you're trying to speculate why i did anything and you only

00:26:16.640 have one reason it's wrong i don't do anything important for one reason do you do you if it's important

00:26:27.040 there are lots of reasons you do it all right why do i exercise is there just one reason

00:26:35.520 i mean i do it for my health i do it for appearance i do it to live longer i do it because it's useful if

00:26:42.240 you're a public figure people have to look at you right who does things for one reason do i eat well

00:26:49.040 just one reason no do do i do this live stream for one reason am i doing this for one reason 0.96

00:26:59.920 no idiots do things for one reason if i'm going to do anything that's like a lot of energy and time i'm 0.70

00:27:06.480 going to find more than one reason for it like it's got to accomplish a few things in my life where 0.97

00:27:11.760 i'm not even going to be interested so i only do things that accomplish multiple things so if you

00:27:18.240 say ron desantis i think the only reason you're doing a great job as governor is because you have 0.95

00:27:23.680 lust for higher office maybe but how about this how about ron desantis is not an idiot and so he does 0.93

00:27:33.120 a good for a variety of reasons you know what would be another good reason to manage the uh the

00:27:39.680 governorship right i'm just going to toss this out here just possibly it's um and i know you hadn't

00:27:46.560 thought about this but it's good for the public is that never a reason like ron desantis can't ever in

00:27:56.160 his private moment say you know what this would just be good for the public i'm just going to do this

00:28:00.800 also good for me as a governor also good for other republicans because they get you know they

00:28:08.080 get some of the shared glory also good in case i ever ran for president and in case people wanted

00:28:15.920 to vote for me if there were so many people who wanted to vote for me present that would be good

00:28:20.640 for them too why can't it be good for the people like you know just to imagine anybody has one reason

00:28:26.720 for something it's just the lowest level of analysis all right so uh nikki haley has announced she's

00:28:33.760 going to run so i guess it's on uh if we imagine that trump would not get primaried we don't have to

00:28:40.160 imagine that at all but here's my question for those of you who identify as republicans help me out on this

00:28:47.920 uh nikki haley is a woman and uh i believe she does she identify as a person of color

00:28:57.600 right yeah in indian american and anything else i don't know doesn't matter so let's say she identifies

00:29:05.760 as a person of color and a woman and she's running as a republican how does that feel

00:29:11.200 does that have like a that has a feel to it doesn't it it feels like it's off brand

00:29:24.000 now let me be very clear i'm sure she is qualified i'm sure she's qualified to be president there are

00:29:29.920 a number of republicans as well as democrats who are i would say they're qualified you know people at

00:29:35.040 that level of success they're they're all kind of qualified you know then it's just a choice of

00:29:40.640 which flavor you like but they're all qualified right she's qualified to be president for sure 1.00

00:29:46.400 but if you're a republican and you're used to all the favoritism the favoritism that you've seen

00:29:54.720 for people who are not white men and the republican party is really dominated by

00:30:01.760 adult white men for better for worse it's just a fact um how are how are they going to take it

00:30:10.080 doesn't it feel like it would be a stunt

00:30:15.680 um in in tv there's something called stunt casting so you bring in a celebrity just for like a a little

00:30:22.960 you know moment and people didn't expect it they go that's funny i i was stunt casted on babylon 5

00:30:28.960 you know so i was a semi-famous cartoonist who appeared there once just so there'd be something

00:30:35.120 to talk about right that's stunt casting but it looks like nicky haley because she's female and 1.00

00:30:40.720 would identify as a person of color it looks like republicans stunt casting like running the person who

00:30:48.000 has the right demographic qualities to beat a democrat now there is something to that

00:30:54.960 that because you would take from the democrats you know their minority power so i get the idea

00:31:04.720 and i like it as a strategy it's not bad but there's just something about it that feels like you're

00:31:10.400 trying to match the wokeness of the democrats instead of uh let's say argue what its limits should be

00:31:19.040 it feels like surrender does anybody else feel that way and by the way i i think she's completely

00:31:26.240 qualified for the job no okay all right so i was asking because this is a purely subjective um

00:31:37.600 most people are saying no so most people are completely okay with that as simply being an

00:31:43.120 advantage she would have as a candidate am i right let me let me put it this way would you become 0.82

00:31:48.880 comfortable with her being a woman and a person of color and of course we're comfortable with that

00:31:53.040 that's that's not the problem the problem the question is are you comfortable that it's an

00:31:58.880 advantage are you comfortable putting it forward as an advantage because that's the part that is creepy

00:32:06.400 to me it can simply exist but if she starts if she starts pushing it as some kind of advantage

00:32:15.520 she's dead to me in a political sense do you remember when hillary clinton said uh being a woman was 1.00

00:32:22.880 an advantage for leadership because women listen better do you remember she said that she said that

00:32:29.680 out loud she actually said women are superior to men and then she didn't get elected fortunately 0.96

00:32:37.760 but so nikki haley has a um she can play this right or wrong the right way to play it is the obama way 0.99

00:32:48.160 you remember how obama very cleverly and this must have taken a lot of discipline self-discipline he

00:32:54.480 never sold himself as a black guy running for president he mentioned it of course but it wasn't his sales

00:33:00.880 point he was he was just a qualified person and that was a good way to get some republicans

00:33:07.520 on his side if nikki haley simply ignores the fact that she's a woman just doesn't mention it ignores

00:33:14.800 the fact that she's a person of color and let the media talk about it that could be a winning play 0.99

00:33:21.040 but the moment she says it's time for a woman i'm out the moment she says that i'm out if she does 1.00

00:33:30.000 i think she's smart enough not to by the way if she mentioned that she's a person of color and that's

00:33:35.040 an advantage i'm sorry no i can't go with you there it's just got to be on qualities and talents and

00:33:43.680 policies it's just got to be like i i just can't go there with anybody so we'll see there's certainly a

00:33:52.320 uh she has a path i would say she has a path what do you think do you think she's legitimately 1.00

00:34:00.160 presidential material in terms of a path i'd say yes i say yes yeah narrow path but they all have

00:34:09.520 narrow paths except trump and de santis maybe

00:34:15.200 all right um is our infrastructure under attack

00:34:20.720 i don't like to you know jump into conspiracy theories but there are a lot of infrastructure

00:34:28.160 things that are being attacked from power stations to railroads uh to i don't know food supply

00:34:38.480 egg egg producing stuff but to me they all look like coincidence what do they look like to you

00:34:46.560 i don't see them as a coordinated effort of any kind here's what i see i see that crazy people

00:34:53.520 attack things that are visible if i were a crazy person and i had a gun or dynamite or something i

00:35:00.480 think i would attack things that are sort of visible so infrastructure is unusually visible

00:35:08.800 so it just kind of makes sense to be a lot of attacking going on so i i don't think it's coordinated

00:35:15.120 but i wouldn't ignore it if i were if i were china for example and i wanted to do this you know all

00:35:21.760 in war where every part of warfare is considered fair i would be looking to sabotage american

00:35:27.920 infrastructure in a thousand different ways that you didn't notice but as far as i know nobody

00:35:33.600 associated with china has ever been accused with any infrastructure attack or any other country the

00:35:40.880 best of my knowledge no other country has been implicated implicated in anything somebody says

00:35:46.480 incorrect can you correct me well covet covet was a special case sure feng feng yeah we know that

00:35:56.400 everybody spies on everybody but are have any of the infrastructure attacks been tied to china or russia

00:36:04.160 or anybody else i'm not aware of any okay well we'll keep an eye on that but i'm still in the probably

00:36:13.040 just a coincidence because infrastructure is visible and it makes a big impact if you attack

00:36:18.080 it i think that's all it is all right i saw a uh statistic i don't know if it's true but it was on a

00:36:25.600 tweet look true so give me a fact check of this 40 of males between age of 30 and 60 in the midwest

00:36:33.440 are not working does that sound true 40 of males between 30 and 60 in the midwest are not working

00:36:44.000 i i feel like it might be true but here's how i would explain part of it and the question is how do

00:36:51.920 they live like how do they live well here's one uh some of them might have working spouses 0.86

00:37:01.280 right some of them have working spouses so that's some percentage of it um some of them are on

00:37:08.320 disability some of them uh are looking for jobs and can't get them i suppose i'm not sure what they

00:37:15.040 counted here exactly uh some of them probably moved in with their parents even at age 30 plus

00:37:22.480 moved in with their parents but here's another possibility some of them might be living off of

00:37:28.960 inheritance so it's a short-term thing you know they may have had deceased parents and they might have

00:37:35.920 you know a little you know a little little pot of money that they're living on for the moment but that

00:37:40.240 might run out um but i think a number of people are probably working for cash

00:37:48.880 a lot of men in the manual labor stuff they may be you know i don't know cleaning pools and 1.00

00:37:55.840 doing odd jobs and stuff for cash so i've got a feeling that the uh the illegal

00:38:04.160 underground economy is at least a big part of this i don't know what percentage yeah and some 0.96

00:38:10.960 are man whores yes all right uh let's talk about those weather balloons do you know do you know 0.99

00:38:17.040 all know bill ackman famous um investor hedge fund guy is that name familiar to you because you it's 0.98

00:38:26.000 it's more fun if you know how well known he is okay so bill ackman is one of the most well-known

00:38:32.640 big finance people you know a name that if you if you have any business uh scanning of the headlines you

00:38:40.080 you see him a lot bill ackman so here's what he tweeted today now i tell you that he's important

00:38:45.360 and smart and successful and rich so that you put his comment in context okay he tweeted what if the

00:38:54.320 three ufos shot down are found to use technology to be made of materials uh or or be made of materials

00:39:02.320 that are not native to earth how does life change thereafter what do we do next

00:39:07.840 so here's what i said um my question are what are the odds that the aliens are building

00:39:19.520 spaceships that are octagonal do you think octagonal shapes are like universal like every planet you go

00:39:29.840 they've got an octagon somewhere because it's just sort of a universal shape or is it possible that the

00:39:37.040 octagonal shape is a really strong tell that it was made here on earth i'm gonna go with octagonal

00:39:46.240 probably as a signal that was made on earth so one of the questions you might ask is

00:39:52.000 is there any kind of octagonal uh like weather balloon is that a thing have you ever heard of that

00:40:01.120 like an octagonal weather balloon

00:40:05.840 here's one here's an octagonal weather balloon that's the bottom of it a sided company is called

00:40:14.080 aerostar american company so aerostar makes an octagonal payload as a balloon above it way above it so in fact

00:40:24.480 the balloon is so far above it you can imagine that if you flew under it you wouldn't even see the

00:40:29.840 balloon you would look up and you'd see the octagonal thing and it would look like it's floating with

00:40:36.880 no form of proportion of propulsion it would just seem like it's floating there because you're looking

00:40:42.480 at it from below so you're looking at the octagon of the payload but way up above it is the balloon and

00:40:49.440 maybe that's not so easy to see it might be easy to see if you were going slower but you're in a jet

00:40:55.840 so you're in a jet you're under it you're like hey i think i saw an octagonal thing

00:41:05.120 now how big is it well looks to be about the size of a car

00:41:11.440 is that what they reported it was they said it was a unmanned

00:41:16.240 octagonal object the size of a car that appeared to be floating without any form of propulsion

00:41:26.640 it's right here it's right here somebody on twitter said i'll check this company out

00:41:34.480 so i go to their page they sell a bunch of weather balloons and this picture of a weather balloon is

00:41:40.480 right on their page now let me ask you this

00:41:45.920 has the ceo of this company aerostar have they tweeted yet uh i just want you to know everybody

00:41:53.280 we do make an octagonal shaped payload for our balloons so in fact there are a bunch of

00:42:00.480 of car sized unmanned octagonal octagonal objects that are floating over the united states from us we

00:42:11.200 make them so i'm not saying that's what you saw but you should be aware that we make octagonal

00:42:18.800 car-sized unmanned objects which seen from below

00:42:23.040 might appear to you as though they were completely some kind of floating magic

00:42:33.840 do i trust the photos from their website yeah yes i do

00:42:42.080 now you go you all got pretty quiet there didn't you

00:42:44.960 are you quiet because the odds that i solved the ufo thing are very low is that why you're quiet

00:42:57.120 it's real it's a real mind bender isn't it because you know i did right you know i just solved this

00:43:04.160 national uh mystery this is the solution is right here do you think that the news will report that i

00:43:11.840 solved it it didn't report it yesterday do you think it'll report it today no this is the solution

00:43:20.320 and do you know why i know it's the solution because you haven't heard from the ceo of this company

00:43:27.760 how in the world would you not have heard of him so or whoever it is he or him she she or him

00:43:32.480 right now i'm just looking at your your comments because this is hilarious there's something happening

00:43:44.640 with your brains right now isn't it because what i'm telling you doesn't seem like it could possibly be

00:43:50.800 true right but it looks like it might be so you're trying to decide whether this is actually the entire

00:43:59.760 answer at least for one of them you know only one of them was described as octagonal i assume the rest

00:44:05.440 are just weather balloons and i think the reason here's here's my best uh my best assumption of what's

00:44:14.640 going on i think that the biden administration was embarrassed by the chinese spy balloon which was

00:44:20.400 definitely a chinese spy balloon i think i mean anything anything could be wrong but that's my current

00:44:26.480 working belief it was definitely a chinese spy balloon now that made biden look weak so what do

00:44:34.320 you do if everybody thinks you look weak and your country has no national defense for air stuff well if

00:44:41.200 it were me i would blow up some things in the sky above me to show that i can spot even small stuff

00:44:49.040 and i can blow it up at will and then i start looking around and say is there anything we can blow up

00:44:54.800 and then my people would say not if we keep our radar settings the way they are but if we you know

00:45:02.160 dial it down a little bit make it a little more sensitive we can start picking up smaller objects

00:45:07.200 which we have not identified and then biden says you mean enemy stuff right no just unidentified but

00:45:14.400 maybe enemy stuff probably not because we haven't you know we've been ignoring stuff at that size that

00:45:20.800 move slowly we've been ignoring it for decades and haven't been a problem yet but it could be totally

00:45:27.760 chinese incursions right yeah well anything's possible okay shoot it down 1.00

00:45:36.800 and then they say what what if it's ours what if it's just like a weather balloon and it's one of ours

00:45:44.400 well shoot one down that's disabled there are apparently hundreds or maybe thousands of weather

00:45:53.440 balloons on any given day they're all over the place you think that all of them work

00:46:01.120 do you think that all of them are sending out i don't know probably a transponder

00:46:04.720 message or something you think every one of those the electronics is working

00:46:08.240 every one they're all good not a chance there are definitely some broken weather balloons in the air

00:46:16.640 would you agree there's there's no chance that they're all working so if you went to this company

00:46:22.320 and said we spotted this thing it might be your weather balloon do you mind if we blow it up

00:46:27.280 what would the ceo say where is it it said 20 000 feet it might run into a commercial aircraft 0.95

00:46:34.720 oh shit blow that up i don't want my space traffic i don't want my weather balloon taking down an 0.97

00:46:41.360 airliner if it's broken anyway it's no use to me just shoot it down okay or at least they wouldn't 0.99

00:46:47.840 complain about it if they heard about it don't shoot on the balloon i am loving the comments right now

00:46:58.880 because you're not sure what's going on are you you're not sure if i really did

00:47:04.000 solve the entire mystery by googling the web page of a company that makes weather balloons but i think

00:47:10.640 i did now if it turns out that i'm completely wrong about this uh and i you know have to say

00:47:18.480 how embarrassed i am that'll be fun too you like it when i'm embarrassed in public it's kind of fun

00:47:25.360 doesn't hurt me so if it would entertain you i'm happy to i'm happy that you would have that

00:47:29.920 entertainment but i feel like this is the answer all right now i d i need you just tell me because

00:47:38.400 you're holding you're holding out on me you're holding out do you think i solved it just for one

00:47:44.720 of the ufos the octagonal one do you think i solved it

00:47:48.640 all right all right most of the people are saying it's like 75 yeses 25 noes 25 25

00:48:04.080 a quarter that's roughly a quarter no reason i mentioned that all right um it would be funnier if

00:48:14.240 i were pantsed in public well maybe that'll happen someday too you never know

00:48:20.880 all right that's my uh theory um if it turns out there are alien parts on any of these ships

00:48:28.640 i will be the most surprised cartoonist in the entire world there are no alien ships up there

00:48:34.640 i'm quite sure of that but i could be wrong i'd love to be wrong that'd be fun all right do you

00:48:40.720 think the ai is good at flirting do you think if uh if you were accidentally chatting with an ai 0.56

00:48:48.800 do you think the ai would do a good job of flirting with you

00:48:53.520 well it's been tested there's actually an app where you can tell the app to flirt with the other person

00:49:01.120 using ai now you get to look at it first so you can approve it or not but i saw a demonstration

00:49:08.480 uh on cnn they were testing this app called key key ai that helps you know what to do to chat up your

00:49:17.600 your uh target target that's terrible the target of your attraction but it turns out the ai is a perverted 1.00

00:49:28.160 creepy and weird and uh it's uh not so good it's just creepy it goes sexual too fast 0.96

00:49:34.880 for one thing but then it just gets weird and creepy

00:49:41.600 just like people so i don't know is that different than a human what what percentage of men don't go 0.96

00:49:49.920 sexual and creepy too soon we all go too soon damn it you wouldn't want it any other way 0.82

00:49:56.800 if if there's one thing that men can promise you like as a group we can promise you all women we 0.96

00:50:06.000 can promise you this we'll go too far i promise you it doesn't matter what it is is it dangerous oh

00:50:13.760 we'll do it is it ill-advised well let's give it a shot is it the craziest thing anybody ever did in

00:50:20.320 the world oh that looks interesting no that's what we're here for where men will go too far we'll go

00:50:28.000 too fast too soon too far every time that's what we're for and that is not a fault that is a feature 1.00

00:50:38.160 that is a feature if you took that away from us our country would fail overnight it's like stupid men 0.99

00:50:44.800 you know i say that with love because i like men but uh it's basically men who go too far too fast 0.97

00:50:51.120 take too many risks it's who we are yeah you can't take that away from us so if ai is uh emulating men

00:50:59.760 and it goes too fast too soon too creepy too perverted perfect now we would hope it could do better than

00:51:08.720 men and maybe someday it will but at the moment it's matching men so it can't do flirting at all

00:51:15.120 because men are terrible at flirting we're awful at it i'm personally of course i'm tremendous at it as

00:51:22.320 as all of you but the other men the other men who are not listening right now they're all bad at it

00:51:28.320 we're pretty good yeah you and i but the others oh the others all right let's talk about russia and ukraine

00:51:36.720 i remind you that a hundred percent of what we hear from there is unreliable so whatever i tell

00:51:44.080 you if i don't tell you the other side of the the story don't worry i didn't believe the story i told

00:51:50.480 you so you don't have to say well what about the other side because i don't even believe the thing i'm

00:51:55.520 telling you so no argument needed but uh here's my question so we hear these reports that the prisoners

00:52:03.760 the russian prisoners are being used as a human fodder and the story goes that they they send the

00:52:11.840 first wave of of prisoners and they all get mowed down but you know the other side uses up some of their

00:52:18.800 ammo i guess and then they send another wave and they get mowed down and after all their prisoners have

00:52:24.240 been mowed down the professional soldiers on the russian side you know they they make their move if it's possible

00:52:30.160 so that seems to be what they're doing and then if the prisoners or any of them especially under the

00:52:36.000 wagner command if they if they refuse to run into certain death then they murder them so you only have

00:52:43.680 a certain death behind you and probable death in front of you that's pretty close to certain so the prisoners

00:52:50.480 didn't know exactly what they were signing up for and there's indication that you know 20 or 30

00:52:56.960 thousand of them have already been pressed into service but there are about 400 000 of them left

00:53:04.640 so there's around 400 000 people still in russian jail and i see putin solving two problems at once

00:53:13.600 he's emptying his jails getting rid of most of the crime in russia because most crimes repeat offenders

00:53:20.000 i'll bet is that true is most crime in the united states repeat offenders

00:53:27.280 probably 75 percent you know you get new people coming in for the first time but i feel like

00:53:32.320 once you're in the life you're a repeat offender so russia is actually has a chance to win ukraine

00:53:40.400 if they just keep sending waves of human sacrifices forward and to reduce crime in russia by 75

00:53:47.600 didn't see that coming did you so you know how you always yell at me not all of you but

00:53:57.360 whenever i say it looks like ukraine is doing better than expected

00:54:01.760 and then i say i know i know i don't trust it that's just the reports that are coming out

00:54:06.160 but it looks like putin given that he has you know no love for the prisoners clearly it looks like he

00:54:16.560 can solve his crime problem and take over ukraine

00:54:20.080 it looks like he's got a path to do both of those things

00:54:27.360 and i don't even i don't even know if the average russian cares

00:54:31.200 the indications are that the average russian doesn't care at all

00:54:35.280 just is not interested in how many uh dangerous criminals are are chewed up by gunfire from ukrainians 1.00

00:54:42.080 they don't care at all i'm not sure americans would care that much you know we might complain

00:54:47.440 more but i don't know if we care more so

00:54:54.400 so putin has a plan that is not is not crazy all right here's the news i was waiting for but it took

00:55:02.480 this long so the washington post is reporting that clapper is now complaining about

00:55:11.920 how he was characterized for the the the 50 current and prior intel people who signed the document

00:55:19.440 saying that the hunter laptop looked like had all the earmarks of russian disinformation now at the time

00:55:30.560 i'm sure i pointed it out in public wait wait wait everybody he's not saying it is russian

00:55:37.120 he's saying it has all the earmarks which is what you say when you want to leave yourself an out later

00:55:44.560 right that was obvious from the the start that the 50 intel people gave themselves a way to say well

00:55:52.000 we were right it looked like it we just said it looked like it and we were 100 right that's just

00:56:00.080 what russian tradecraft looks like so we're right why are you complaining we didn't say it was we said

00:56:07.600 it had all the markings of and it did so why is everybody complaining about us being right

00:56:15.360 that's what that's what clapper's saying and do you know who predicted that we would have this day

00:56:20.960 when they said hey we didn't say it was we just said it looked like it i did yeah i predicted that

00:56:26.960 because uh as the news reports as well it allowed the politicians and biden to conflate looks like

00:56:37.120 with they say it is so biden was then allowed to lie and he has for now you know years he's allowed

00:56:45.600 to lie and say 50 people said it was russian and then the 50 people who said it said well not exactly

00:56:52.480 we said it had all the earmarks but here's what's interesting they're throwing biden under the bus

00:56:59.200 the walls the washington post is the washington post is revitalizing clapper and their deep state cronies

00:57:08.560 i i say that with a wink uh so they're revitalizing and saying hey these people were never wrong

00:57:14.960 what they said was accurate but they're throwing biden under the bus you see it now right that when

00:57:24.560 the washington post does that specifically the washington post you know that this is the thinking

00:57:30.080 of the democrats the thinking of the democrats is clearly they're trying to get rid of biden

00:57:34.960 and clearly they're trying to rehabilitate their their uh their flying monkeys 0.96

00:57:45.440 right so the the 50 intel people are all the flying monkeys of the wicked witch

00:57:50.480 and they're trying to rehabilitate them now because they might need them you don't think clapper will be

00:57:55.360 back on the air saying that uh trump uh is hiding russian spies in mar-a-lago of course he will but the

00:58:03.840 way he'll say it is well uh i'm not saying uh i'm just saying the way the russian tradecraft works is

00:58:13.360 they usually hide in the basement of billionaires running for president it's the way they do it i'm

00:58:18.960 not saying he's doing it i'm not saying he's doing it i'm saying everybody in my business

00:58:26.320 and they're looking at this and they're saying that's all the earmarks as all the looks of uh of

00:58:32.400 a billionaire who would keep russian spies in the basement of mar-a-lago because that's how they do

00:58:37.840 it and then a year later when you find out there are no spies living in the basement of mar-a-lago what

00:58:44.800 does clapper say nothing he waits for the walls the washington post to write a story that says he only said

00:58:52.080 it looks that way and it does so he was right and then clapper gets rehabilitated so

00:59:01.600 they they had it both ways now i believe that trump can say that the election was rigged

00:59:09.600 because of the the laptop stuff now i also say why is it that we only found out about the laptop at

00:59:19.200 just the right moment to affect the election i hate it when an election is decided

00:59:27.120 by coincidence if it is a coincidence but it wasn't true that everybody had a like a laptop to be

00:59:34.400 discovered but it's just the timing of it was i don't like the fact that an election is decided on

00:59:42.480 the son of a candidate losing a laptop like that doesn't feel like how we should be making these

00:59:48.960 decisions but it is relevant you know when there there is a there is enough of a connection with

00:59:56.320 biden and bad things that uh it's relevant all right um let's see what else is going on

01:00:07.840 so i went to my pharmacy to pick up something and still masking

01:00:14.800 california is still masking in medical facilities

01:00:21.440 uh there there was reporting on is there another study or is it the same one

01:00:26.400 showing that masks did not work at a at a public level

01:00:32.480 is that because i read about that today but i wasn't sure if it's the same reporting from last week

01:00:37.280 that they're just laid about or is there a brand new one

01:00:39.760 that also looked at the other studies right so i believe all the studies about masks were bunk

01:00:48.560 that's what i think i think all the studies of masks were poorly done studies because you can't

01:00:52.800 really study it in the real world if you believe the mask work which is what the medical community

01:00:59.280 mostly work you can't really test it against the real virus in the real world so whatever all those

01:01:05.360 tests were they were something that was like a proxy for the test or should suggest what would happen

01:01:11.920 or they're highly indicative but they're not testing the real world that said there's no evidence that

01:01:19.680 they work at a global level now uh i remind you that since what i do here is make predictions

01:01:28.080 i made one today that those that those things we're shooting down our own defective weather balloons 1.00

01:01:36.240 that's like a specific prediction the value of what you watch here is not just that i might say

01:01:42.000 you know a different take on things but some of the different takes would be predictive

01:01:46.960 so uh i need you to agree with me that when i tell you i did or did not predict something correctly that's useful

01:01:55.280 is it i think it is you you should know if i if i think i predicted something correctly so at this

01:02:04.880 point it's really clear that i was the best predictor of the pandemic by far there was nobody who came

01:02:11.200 close i i think i'm in my own category i don't think there's anybody even in my my class i got the masks

01:02:18.080 completely starting from fauci lying about whether he believed they work i'm the only person who got that

01:02:25.440 first person to doubt fauci first person in the country to say fauci was lying to the public

01:02:31.440 got that right now that's separate from the question of whether masks work what we know is

01:02:36.160 that he lied because he believed they work secondly i said probably technically it makes a little bit

01:02:42.880 difference but you won't see it in the big numbers so therefore it's unjustified as a mandate

01:02:48.480 that's exactly where we are so my original view on mass is 100 percent validated likewise vaccinations and

01:02:55.440 everything else 100 percent validated at this point

01:03:00.880 um and i think that the dark horse uh podcast they're still making the case that

01:03:09.680 um you can tell the difference between correlation and causation by the fact that you predicted it

01:03:20.800 you buy that so if you said i have a hypothesis that if we test this we're going to find this is

01:03:26.320 highly correlated with this other thing then you test it and sure enough the thing you imagined or you

01:03:31.840 hypothesize was true therefore that's probably more like a a system and not a guess because you

01:03:38.320 hypothesized it you tested there is a correlation probably causation well that could work in some

01:03:46.480 cases if you repeated the experiment over time etc but the trouble is there always more than one

01:03:52.400 reason for things to be correlated in the real world it's messy and there are lots of correlations

01:04:00.240 so just predicting that something will have a correlation doesn't mean it's causation

01:04:06.800 and you know i think we all understand that but and now by the way i'm mischaracterizing um brett and

01:04:17.120 heather at uh at dark horse i'm mischaracterizing their argument a little bit but it's

01:04:22.080 it's it's feeling like there's a little more speculation in their scientific process than you'd expect

01:04:33.440 some of us don't listen to every freaking podcast available that's good now i've also solved the uh

01:04:39.840 the ufo weather problem and i think that you should know that because that would determine whether you

01:04:46.160 listen to my next um or how much credibility you give my next prediction

01:04:55.200 your comments are interesting today you're all in a weird mood today

01:05:01.280 am i wrong i i feel like you're all in a weird headspace today is it because of the news

01:05:06.800 there's just weird news everybody's sort of thrown off a little bit yeah is it because it's valentine's day

01:05:16.320 there's something different about you today like collectively am i right

01:05:23.600 flying monkeys triggered you

01:05:24.880 well anyway um

01:05:33.920 i saw a provocative uh tweet from mike cernovich so

01:05:40.240 i'm not sure i completely agree with this

01:05:44.320 and i'm not sure if it's you know meant to be hyper hyperbole so it's you know kind of

01:05:50.320 true but not completely true sort of thing but i'll read it to you the the this is why you should

01:05:56.000 follow mike cernovich because you'll see thoughts and ideas that you're just not seeing anywhere else

01:06:02.480 so follow him for sure uh here's his tweet today he said the smartest boomers

01:06:07.920 were managing trains and infrastructure gen x's talented ones knew they couldn't get those jobs

01:06:14.480 anymore due to hiring quotas and went to laptop gigs huge holes are opening up now people aren't even

01:06:22.640 close to ready for the final boomer die-off so the implication here is that when the people in my

01:06:28.880 generation are retiring and dying that we won't know how to fix anything

01:06:35.360 do you agree or do you think that's hyperbolic

01:06:38.240 now i'll give you both sides of the argument all right both sides of the argument it's definitely

01:06:47.120 true that some people didn't go some white boomers did not go after some kinds of jobs

01:06:53.280 because they knew they couldn't get them i don't know if they became laptop warriors

01:06:57.920 like i'm not sure that's the same population that was considering one thing i have more i'd more more

01:07:03.680 think that they're in the 40 unemployed guys in the midwest i don't think they just

01:07:08.080 learned to code so there's might be some hyperbole there but in general these are forces that were

01:07:14.000 were in play um and do you think that when the boomers die off then everything's going to fall 0.77

01:07:21.040 go to hell there could be some of that there definitely could be some of that but here's 0.84

01:07:27.120 here's another lens on the same situation here's another reason that our infrastructure

01:07:33.680 should be crumbling you ready it's always easier to give funding for something new

01:07:42.080 it's hard to give funding to fix something before it breaks and that's it that's it we're done that's

01:07:50.560 the whole story in theory every uh advanced civilization should go through a period of decay

01:07:58.320 because of that fact so what we should see is that we're building an amazing sparkling brand new ai

01:08:06.800 so the new stuff is getting funding like crazy but when's the last time we built an airport

01:08:13.520 right so it's really hard to get anybody to fix something before it breaks like how much money goes to

01:08:22.160 fixing bridges before they collapse some some probably not enough right so it's always going to

01:08:29.280 look like your old stuff is falling apart because your old stuff is falling apart it's sort of built into

01:08:37.280 the way our brains work i don't think it's a talent problem exclusively i think it has more to do it is a

01:08:45.440 talent problem but i think it's also just the effect of we like new stuff more than we like old stuff

01:08:50.480 that's it um but it is a problem i mean it's a gigantic problem i don't know what we do about it

01:08:58.960 that ladies and gentlemen concludes my presentation for those of you on youtube

01:09:04.480 if you are also a daily coffee with scott adams consumer you might be interested that we're now once

01:09:14.720 again selling the mugs so i tweeted uh you can see it in my twitter feed from yesterday how you can get

01:09:23.120 your own coffee with scott adams mug complete with the simultaneous sip written on the back and what's

01:09:30.160 written on the bottom let's look ah that's right it says ah on the bottom can you fit your fist inside

01:09:42.320 the mug no but it's a 20 ounce mug so if you've got a tiny fist put it right in there put it right in

01:09:52.160 now yep it'd be like throwing a hot dog down the hallway and if you understood that shame on you

01:10:02.640 uh now if does that apply to marriage yeah yep sort of it does

01:10:12.160 um naval's interview about david deitch on uh knowledge creation of the human race really

01:10:19.680 naval did a talk with david deitch all right well i'm definitely going to listen to that

01:10:27.760 like if you don't know those two individuals just trust me all right if you don't know if you have

01:10:36.160 no idea who naval ravikant is and you don't know who david deitch is you don't need to just just

01:10:44.720 trust me that would probably be the most interesting conversation you'll ever see

01:10:49.280 i'm just guessing but probably i'll break down why that is so uh naval i sometimes refer to as the

01:10:56.800 smartest person i've ever met and i've met a lot of smart people uh david deitch um is in just the right

01:11:06.720 let's say um scientific philosophical space for a conversation with the smartest person i know

01:11:15.440 there's no way that isn't going to be awesome

01:11:21.600 more than more than elon don't know but i don't know elon right now i'm only talking about people

01:11:28.320 i've met in person is it weird that i've never met elon musk how many people think that's weird

01:11:36.720 it just feels like it would have happened right it just feels like in the the natural course of

01:11:40.960 things we would have been in the same place at least once but we've never met yeah

01:11:49.280 you will i don't know it would be a coincidence if we did let me tell you my uh philosophy on that

01:11:56.560 um when you're a public figure it's very very common two varies very very common twice

01:12:09.280 um for people to say hey you're famous and i know this other famous person you two should talk

01:12:15.680 and then i say why well you're famous and you're interesting this other person is famous and

01:12:24.480 interesting so how about we set you up for lunch to which i say why why did did that other person say

01:12:35.680 they want to meet me no but i'm sure they would because they're interesting you're interesting let me

01:12:39.920 put you together and then i say i don't do play dates i really don't i don't do play dates i know

01:12:46.960 you think that your toddler and you know this other toddler will will have a good time but i don't do

01:12:52.640 play dates i don't i think i think maybe they have their own life and they don't need me at all i don't

01:12:59.760 think i add anything to that other person's life my baseline for having lunch with somebody

01:13:05.360 would be that i think there would be something in it for them that's the baseline like what what's in

01:13:11.840 it for the other person just randomly meeting famous people is fun it's fun i love randomly not eat not

01:13:20.320 even randomly i love meeting famous people it's one of the coolest things about my job but i don't look

01:13:26.880 for it because looking for it is just weird that's what i think so i tend i tend to have uh contact with

01:13:37.840 people i have some reason to talk to and i think maybe they would they would find some benefit as well

01:13:46.640 is that egotistical

01:13:50.800 so linda says it's egotistical

01:13:53.520 i would think it would be the opposite wouldn't it be the opposite like i would think egotistical

01:13:59.440 was oh i i belong at this table with this famous person they really imagine this

01:14:07.680 imagine if you will how busy elon musk is and let's say he agreed to go to lunch with you

01:14:15.200 do you think you're helping the world

01:14:16.480 doesn't he have other stuff to do that might be kind of important like i can't imagine 45 minutes

01:14:24.560 eating lunch with me like moves the ball forward in some way but 45 minutes that he's you know running

01:14:30.800 his multiple companies that are changing civilization that feels like a good 45 minutes so i'd rather he

01:14:37.440 spend that time you know doing what he wants to do yeah i'm not saying it wouldn't be entertaining

01:14:44.480 it's just a it's a strange ask to take a stranger's time without without a specific benefit for both

01:14:51.280 uh

01:14:56.000 uh 51 flying monkeys be yeah

01:15:03.280 yeah we'd have plenty to talk about of course yeah it's not a question of having nothing to talk

01:15:07.760 about we'd have plenty to talk about that would be the case with any public figure

01:15:12.240 no i am a narcissist somebody said i i proved i'm not a narcissist i'm totally a narcissist but i'm

01:15:26.640 but there are two kinds there there's one that's damaging and it's just like destruction the other just

01:15:33.760 likes to get attention for doing good things have i mentioned that i never do things for one reason

01:15:40.720 that was the beginning of my uh podcast today i talked about how i would never do anything for

01:15:45.840 just one reason nothing important anyway important things i do for multiple reasons

01:15:51.360 so if i can make a dent in fentanyl or tick tock persuasion or something like that if i can make a

01:15:58.000 dent in something i do it because it's good for the world and if the world is happy with my work

01:16:05.760 they will be good to me why can't i have two objectives does anybody have a problem with that

01:16:14.000 i can have two objectives and be a narcissist and say i'd love it if i got attention for doing something

01:16:19.600 right when i showed you the uh i i think i've solved the you know the weather balloon thing the octagonal

01:16:26.960 weather balloon let's say i'm right how much would i enjoy that a ton a ton do you know why well i guess

01:16:36.960 i'm a narcissist because i would love the attention for being right for being right would wouldn't you

01:16:44.800 would you not enjoy attention for being right that feels like something everybody would like

01:16:50.560 i might like it more as demonstrated by the fact i put more i put more effort into attaining it right

01:16:58.000 so that would suggest i am a narcissist but i'm i'm quite overtly i'm trying to be as transparent as

01:17:05.520 possible this totally works i think you want people like me to want to get attention for accomplishing

01:17:13.120 things don't you you know i i i would think you'd want more of that not less of it

01:17:24.320 so but there there's a whole other kind of uh narcissist we're really just out to destroy life

01:17:29.680 as we know it that's a different thing

01:17:36.960 if you're happy with your decision then you should be happy with it

01:17:43.120 my motives are all transparent now and and here's the third thing so i like solving problems for the

01:17:58.080 public i like getting you know attention if i do a good job and i've also monetized the the podcast

01:18:07.760 so i'm making money too does everybody have a problem with that is there a reason i can't do three

01:18:13.680 things at the same time help you make money have some pleasure while i'm doing it all right three things

01:18:24.400 all right um

01:18:29.600 thank you lisa

01:18:30.400 does anybody need to be calmed down about any current problems uh lisa was saying she enjoyed

01:18:38.000 my work during the early part of the pandemic where i was calming people down

01:18:44.880 and by the way the uh

01:18:47.840 my belief that the supply chain would not break because we would infinitely adjust that was true

01:18:56.480 wouldn't you agree that the supply chain had a lot of pressure on it but i knew there were so many

01:19:02.160 people and it was the top priority that we would just adjust like crazy because that's what we do

01:19:07.520 that's what humans do we're good at it and we did right on schedule and we did it was close let

01:19:14.720 let me tell you the supply chain thing you had a reason to be afraid of that that was real

01:19:21.200 that was a real risk it's just that we worked through it all right the biggest risk right now

01:19:29.200 that i see is inflation would you agree i'm not worried about russian nuclear war

01:19:36.160 maybe i should be but it's just not i'm not seeing the signals at all i'm just not seeing the signals for

01:19:42.400 that and i'm not worried about all that war with china do you know why

01:19:45.840 do you know why i am not worried with like a hot war with china 0.99

01:19:53.120 because china is run by engineers and smart people do you think they're going to start a war with the

01:19:58.800 united states like a hot war it wouldn't make any sense because they can get everything they need

01:20:05.120 without that i think now taiwan's a special case but they can become the biggest um economy just by

01:20:14.080 doing what they do and just continue to do it they have so many more people that is pretty much

01:20:19.280 guaranteed that'd be the biggest economy um they could have uh military dominance just by building 0.98

01:20:28.080 continuing to build more stuff funding it so they don't need to destroy the united states

01:20:34.720 and in fact we're our cousin a big customer so there is no there's no mechanism let's say

01:20:43.680 there's no realistic possibility that china launches nuclear weapons intentionally at the united states

01:20:51.680 it would have to be an accident and even that is so remote it seems weird

01:20:57.040 right so i don't see i just don't see that because the the one thing that you could say about a nuclear attack

01:21:05.920 is that the leader of the country who did it would be dead very quickly would you agree if you're the

01:21:12.080 leader of any country and you start a war you're probably going to survive right because lots of times 0.99

01:21:19.920 you end up negotiating the end of the war but if you launched a nuclear attack we would kill you first 0.77

01:21:28.000 am i right so i'm sure that we know where putin is like what city is would you agree with that 0.87

01:21:36.080 do you think the united states always knows at least what city putin said maybe not what building but

01:21:42.080 what city we would just take we would just target that city because the nuclear war is the worst of 0.91

01:21:48.800 everything so it's not like you would hold back we would just target that first and here's what i

01:21:54.800 think our here's what i think our nuclear stand should be our nuclear stand should not be you know if you

01:22:02.720 attack us we will all out attack you back rather it should be if you launch a nuke at us suppose it's just

01:22:11.600 one for whatever reason we're going to nuke you back but we're going to aim you at your leader 0.97

01:22:19.520 and we might have to take out moscow to do it but we're only going to fire one 0.95

01:22:25.040 and we're done so after that we're done but you're going to lose your biggest city and your leader

01:22:30.400 because you you nuked us that's not negotiable so you might as well you might want to spend a few days

01:22:38.800 getting as far as you can from putin because putin is going to go up in a fireball it's going to happen

01:22:44.960 in the next week you've got one week to leave town and i don't care what town it is if he hides in

01:22:51.600 the middle of moscow we're going to drop one nuclear bomb and only one then we're done but we're 0.51

01:22:57.680 going to take out moscow because that's where he is so if you think putin is anywhere in your city 1.00

01:23:03.360 get out you've got a week because i think we would have to make it very clear that we're after their

01:23:10.160 leader and not looking for anything else

01:23:15.840 i'm not sure if that would be a good military doctrine but that's what i would do

01:23:20.080 you think scott sees the holes in that idea what are the holes in that idea

01:23:28.560 is the hole that they could keep launching and we would be too slow to respond i mean if it's multiple

01:23:34.720 nukes they're all bets are off right i'm only talking about a situation where somehow one get

01:23:42.240 launched one got launched because i think that's i think it's far more likely that one would be launched

01:23:48.720 and that we would just let it land what do you think if russia or china launch one nuke

01:23:57.520 even if it were at a major u.s city yeah we'd probably shoot it try to shoot it down

01:24:03.200 but assume we miss i think we would take the first one we would never say that and never should but i

01:24:10.640 think we would take the first one and then we would say all right you've got 10 minutes to give us

01:24:18.320 your leader

01:24:21.760 and in 10 minutes they would give us their leader i think we should just ask for their leader and the

01:24:28.480 other country would give them to us that's what i think yeah i think they would execute their own leader

01:24:37.040 to save their family because everybody who was anywhere near that leader was going to be vaporized 0.99

01:24:43.280 unless they kill that one guy uh everybody you know and your families and you you'll all be dead 0.99

01:24:50.080 unless you kill this guy of course they would yeah they would kill their own leader uh on request 1.00

01:24:57.200 because the the alternative is a is a complete nuclear annihilation yeah so we can never say that 0.99

01:25:06.880 you know you'd never want to say the enemy well if it's just one nuke we're going to wait and see

01:25:11.280 but i think we would the dumbest thing we could do would be if one nuke was coming our way to launch a 0.97

01:25:17.920 massive attack that would be the dumbest play 0.92

01:25:24.080 uh launch on warning if if it's more than one we probably would launch on warning

01:25:32.320 if it's one i think we'd wait and see

01:25:34.240 i hate to say it but i think we would all right um that's all i got for today hope you enjoy your

01:25:44.080 valentines once again this is the best live stream you've ever seen in your entire life

01:25:49.760 no doubt about it um youtube i'm gonna say bye for now i'm gonna go talk to my valentines over on

01:25:55.760 locals and have a great day

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 14, 2023

Episode 2019 Scott Adams： I Solved The Octagonal UFO Mystery, Nikki Haley Announces, Train Mystery

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