Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2022 Scott Adams： GOP Border Security Fentanyl HOAX, Clapper, Matt Walsh, DeSantis, Balloons

00:00:00.000 I'm sorry. Today is just too funny. It's a funny day. It's not my fault. All the news is funny. All the comments are funny. I think we've just reached the point of total ridiculousness. Like peak ridiculousness. And it's just funny today.

00:00:21.000 All right. Well, if you'd like to take this experience up a notch, and I know you would, it's already the highlight of civilization. But it could be better. And all you need is a cupper mug or a glass-up tank or chalice or stein, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now.

00:00:42.840 Especially all you women who are in your prime.

00:00:50.460 For the simultaneous sip. It's the dopamine of the day. The thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:59.720 Oh. So, you know, I wasn't going to talk about it again today, but the Don Lemon story, where he said that women are in their prime, in their 20s and 30s, and maybe their 40s.

00:01:17.980 And, you know, for a while I thought, oh, I'm going to add my wise commentary to this story.

00:01:31.300 And I'm going to, you know, I'm going to flip it around like I try to do and look at it in a different way than the news is looking at it.

00:01:39.060 But there's just nothing you can say about that.

00:01:41.060 There's nothing you can say about the story.

00:01:44.660 It just lives as a perfect moment of ridiculousness that you should not alter.

00:01:53.280 Like, just let it live just the way it is. It's perfect.

00:01:56.800 It's perfect the way it is.

00:01:58.680 Like, it's everything.

00:02:00.360 It's the entire, you know, on Twitter, I called it a woker game instead of a poker game.

00:02:06.180 In a woker game, instead of, you know, kings and queens, you've got various victimized groups.

00:02:15.300 So poor Don Lemon had two women on the panel there with him.

00:02:20.160 But two women normally would be a winning hand.

00:02:24.860 But he was gay and black.

00:02:27.580 So it's not clear what's the winning hand there.

00:02:30.680 But I think we've seen that women is the winning hand.

00:02:34.200 Now, as I've said for a long time, CNN is largely a female perspective news entity.

00:02:44.900 I don't know if it's intentional, but it ended up being that way.

00:02:52.380 A waking bear says,

00:02:54.000 Hey, Scott, in caps, I'm eating a steak and cheese sub for breakfast.

00:02:58.620 How does that make you feel?

00:03:01.880 Good.

00:03:02.320 I feel good.

00:03:04.620 Was that a trick question?

00:03:09.300 People often think that the choices I make for myself are somehow a choice I think they should make.

00:03:19.520 Do you think I care what you put in your body?

00:03:23.240 You could vaccinate your tongue 17 times and eat a big pile of rubbish.

00:03:29.860 And I would say, good for you.

00:03:32.800 I feel the same no matter what you eat or vaccinate yourself with.

00:03:38.140 All right.

00:03:38.560 I'd like to start with a quiz to show you how smart my audience is.

00:03:44.460 Don't give me the answer.

00:03:48.280 No, stop it.

00:03:49.480 Don't give me the answer before I ask the question.

00:03:51.640 That's too smart.

00:03:53.680 Okay.

00:03:54.220 You got the right answer.

00:03:56.440 Now, there are a lot of audiences for live streams which wait for the question before the answer.

00:04:02.300 But this is not the kind of audience that needs that little extra help.

00:04:07.640 No, this is not remedial audience.

00:04:11.040 This is smart audience.

00:04:12.520 Yes, you have the right answer.

00:04:13.980 Correct.

00:04:14.520 Many of you are within 1% of the right answer.

00:04:16.560 I guess I should tell you the question.

00:04:20.160 If there's anybody who's slow and needs to catch up, I'll tell you the question.

00:04:25.180 Michael Schellenberg was tweeting this this morning.

00:04:28.020 There's a Gallup poll.

00:04:29.980 It asked how many people have a favorable view of the news media.

00:04:35.160 Yeah, you were right.

00:04:37.280 26%.

00:04:37.800 Now, the first 25 times I told you that you could predict that about 25% of the public will

00:04:49.140 get every question wrong, did you say to yourself, well, that can't be true?

00:04:55.980 And then over and over and over, it's true.

00:05:01.520 Now, it's not true 100% of the time, but it's true so often it's hilarious.

00:05:05.140 Well, McCarthy went to the border, talking about border security and fentanyl, and failing

00:05:13.420 completely.

00:05:15.180 Complete failure.

00:05:16.680 So let me say as clearly as I can, the Republicans are a complete failure on fentanyl and the

00:05:22.900 border, and they always make the same mistake.

00:05:26.120 It's always the same mistake.

00:05:27.860 It's one really, really easy thing to know that they act like they don't know.

00:05:33.260 But Daniel Dale of CNN corrects them.

00:05:38.240 And so McCarthy was saying the border security is bad because there's so much fentanyl being

00:05:44.100 seized at the border.

00:05:45.980 Does that make sense to you?

00:05:47.760 We know the border security is bad because we're seizing twice as much fentanyl as ever.

00:05:55.380 That's like the opposite, isn't it?

00:05:57.360 That's what Daniel Dale says and what I say.

00:05:59.400 No, if they're seizing twice as much, that would be a sign the border security is improving.

00:06:06.680 Or it could be a sign there's just more fentanyl.

00:06:09.260 But it's not telling you what you think it's telling you.

00:06:13.040 Now, as Daniel Dale, now let me ask you, I want to see how many of you did not know this.

00:06:18.680 All right?

00:06:18.860 Now, I want to maintain my bragging rights that my audience is the smartest audience in politics.

00:06:27.940 So you need to tell me you already knew this.

00:06:31.280 You know that almost all of the fentanyl that's seized at the border is seized at legal border

00:06:37.660 crossings, right?

00:06:39.580 You knew that, right?

00:06:40.600 Because I want my entire audience to know that, right?

00:06:47.060 And therefore, if nearly all of the fentanyl is being seized at the legal crossing points,

00:06:54.340 how much is it going to help you to build out the rest of the wall?

00:06:59.140 Nothing.

00:07:00.920 Nothing.

00:07:01.300 And here we have the, you know, a leader of the GOP, McCarthy, down there talking about

00:07:08.500 border security, like he doesn't understand the problem at all.

00:07:13.600 It's like he has no understanding of the most basic facts about the border.

00:07:18.820 Now, is he alone?

00:07:21.440 No.

00:07:22.840 No.

00:07:23.680 This is the standard GOP talking point.

00:07:26.700 Carrie Lake had this talking point.

00:07:28.280 And these are smart, I thought they were smart people who were well, well informed.

00:07:34.440 What's going on?

00:07:36.100 Are they just lying or are they actually uninformed?

00:07:40.120 Do they really know less than we do?

00:07:42.600 And they're in charge?

00:07:44.600 I actually don't know the, I literally don't know the answer.

00:07:48.380 I don't know if they're stupid or uninformed.

00:07:50.780 Do you?

00:07:54.920 The majority that doesn't get caught is where the wall isn't.

00:07:58.280 No, that's not true, because it turns out that they like moving enough of the drugs

00:08:02.620 at once that they prefer putting it on a vehicle.

00:08:06.100 See, the trouble is that the cost of making the fentanyl is so low that you're better off

00:08:11.100 shipping it in, say, a vehicle, where you can ship a lot of it, even if half of it gets

00:08:17.420 caught.

00:08:19.100 It's still worth it.

00:08:20.100 So that's easier than, you know, getting a, you know, a backpack on a person and having

00:08:26.660 a bunch of backpacks go across the border in strange places and, you know, you can't

00:08:31.220 watch them as well.

00:08:32.240 And who knows if they're going to sell half of it before they get there and, you know,

00:08:36.500 other problems.

00:08:37.120 So it's vehicles.

00:08:39.260 And for whatever reason, the cartels prefer vehicles.

00:08:43.220 Now, so I tweeted to Representative Thomas Massey because, to the best of my ability

00:08:51.940 to discern, he's the only smart person in Congress.

00:08:57.680 And now I'm exaggerating a little bit.

00:08:59.440 But I'm pretty sure that Thomas Massey knows where the fentanyl is being caught and where

00:09:04.700 it isn't.

00:09:05.980 I feel like he's smart enough.

00:09:08.060 He would actually know that.

00:09:09.740 I feel like Thomas Massey would know that the risk with TikTok is that it's a user interface

00:09:15.340 for the CCP, you know, the communist leadership in China, to manipulate our minds.

00:09:21.300 It's not about the data privacy.

00:09:23.000 That's a minor issue.

00:09:24.440 I feel like he knows that.

00:09:26.880 Why?

00:09:27.220 Because he's smart and he pays attention.

00:09:30.820 That's all it takes.

00:09:32.560 And I asked him directly if he could just explain it to his Republican friends.

00:09:36.700 So I tweeted today, you know, calling Representative Thomas Massey, please explain to your Republican

00:09:42.380 friends that border security is less than 10% of the fentanyl solution and the TikTok risk

00:09:47.880 is more about brainwashing risk than data security.

00:09:50.420 The Republican could not be more worthless on the two most important issues that I can

00:09:58.360 see at the moment.

00:09:59.640 They're worthless.

00:10:00.900 They can't even understand the issue.

00:10:03.540 Like, how do you trust them to deal with it when they can't even explain it?

00:10:07.480 And it's easy.

00:10:09.180 It's easy to explain.

00:10:10.520 And we all know it.

00:10:13.680 Why don't they know it?

00:10:16.560 Yeah.

00:10:17.660 So, anyway, if Thomas Massey could inform his less bright co-workers, that might be a good

00:10:26.660 service for the country.

00:10:27.540 So, I swear to God, I feel like I need a bat signal just for Thomas Massey.

00:10:34.700 It's like, sorry, we're going to need somebody who is a little bit smarter than the dullards

00:10:40.320 you're working with to explain to them, to explain to them the Republican opinion.

00:10:47.380 I'm not talking about, like, changing them to a, like, a Democrat point of view.

00:10:52.020 Nothing like that.

00:10:53.500 That would be hard.

00:10:54.300 I'm talking about convincing the Republicans to have a Republican opinion.

00:11:01.220 That shouldn't be that hard.

00:11:03.180 But apparently, it's not happening.

00:11:07.200 Elon Musk tweeted today that what we need is what he called truth GPT, meaning an AI that

00:11:15.600 would tell you the truth.

00:11:16.700 Because our current AI is a liar.

00:11:18.400 Now, when I heard that the chat GPT AI that everybody's talking about, when I heard that

00:11:28.460 it learned its, let's call it intelligence, by simply looking at language that was used

00:11:34.520 by humans, I thought to myself, well, there must be a lot more to it than that.

00:11:40.000 It can't be just, you know, looked at all the ways we talk and then it gained intelligence

00:11:45.700 just from language and the use of language.

00:11:49.780 That didn't seem like enough.

00:11:52.360 But it would certainly explain why it's a big old liar.

00:11:56.600 Because it just analyzed people and acted like us, apparently.

00:12:00.880 So I would say that AI has intelligence, but it's short of sentience.

00:12:07.840 It's really close.

00:12:09.400 But it's short of sentience.

00:12:11.440 And I think to be sentient, which would include being conscious, it would need to have memory.

00:12:18.040 So it needs to know it talked to you yesterday.

00:12:20.680 And it doesn't know that.

00:12:22.540 So it needs some kind of, you know, stored memory.

00:12:24.600 It would need some way to have sensors for the real world.

00:12:32.240 Like a sensor could be a thermostat.

00:12:36.380 So that it could complain about the cold and it could, you know, sense reality.

00:12:40.860 It would need something like eyes.

00:12:42.420 So it could look around the room.

00:12:44.320 That sort of thing.

00:12:45.300 But you could do all that.

00:12:46.860 You could give it memory.

00:12:48.400 You could give it senses.

00:12:49.960 And then the next thing it needs to have consciousness, in my opinion.

00:12:53.100 I mean, this is based on my personal definition, is predictive ability.

00:12:59.420 Does it have that?

00:13:01.540 Because it might have that already.

00:13:03.020 Because I think the language learning model might give it predictive ability.

00:13:07.440 If you ask ChatGPT to predict what will happen in a particular situation, could it do it?

00:13:15.280 Or would it say, I can't predict?

00:13:18.720 I don't know.

00:13:19.900 But it doesn't need to predict correctly.

00:13:22.060 This is important to my point.

00:13:24.580 Humans make predictions every moment of their existence.

00:13:28.780 Did you know that?

00:13:30.680 We're always predicting.

00:13:32.920 Right?

00:13:33.360 Hey, I picked up this piece of paper.

00:13:35.960 I predicted that my hand and the paper and, you know, there would be oxygen and everything would work the way it always works so that I could do this thing.

00:13:45.200 Everything you do is based on a prediction.

00:13:48.180 Oh, if I move these muscles just right, I'll stand up.

00:13:52.360 I predict.

00:13:53.680 And then it works.

00:13:54.520 Oh, yeah.

00:13:55.740 So, right now, AI doesn't predict anything.

00:13:59.140 But it could.

00:14:00.360 Seems like that would be like an easy coding change.

00:14:03.660 Predict what will happen next in your own situation.

00:14:07.020 Now, you don't have to state it, but you should always have a running prediction algorithm.

00:14:13.800 Okay, the next thing.

00:14:14.860 So, if it's having a conversation with a human, it should do somewhat what you do.

00:14:20.340 When I say something to another person, I make a prediction about how it will be received and what response I'll get.

00:14:27.740 General one, right?

00:14:28.860 A general one.

00:14:29.400 Now, when a different response comes back, then I modify my next prediction.

00:14:36.280 So, I'm always predicting, being right or wrong, and then adjusting.

00:14:40.800 Predicting, adjusting, predicting, adjusting.

00:14:43.220 That's consciousness in my definition.

00:14:48.100 Predicting what's going to happen to you and the world in general, too.

00:14:51.900 But also, then modifying based on your prediction and whether it was right or wrong.

00:14:57.800 That's just consciousness.

00:14:58.900 That's all it is.

00:15:00.940 And those things are all easily built into AI, I believe.

00:15:05.360 Now, when I say easily, I mean people who know how to do those things could do it.

00:15:10.140 Not me.

00:15:12.900 Right.

00:15:13.640 So, we're on the border of sentience and consciousness.

00:15:19.040 It's just a decision whether we build it in.

00:15:21.700 It might not be a good idea.

00:15:22.880 Now, the other thing it might need to qualify for consciousness, and I'll leave this up to you whether this is necessary.

00:15:32.500 Humans have a purpose, even if we don't know it.

00:15:37.560 Reproduction.

00:15:39.340 Right?

00:15:39.440 Our basic purpose in all that permeates through all of our choices, even when we're not conscious of it, is reproduction.

00:15:47.600 We're always trying to look worthy of reproduction, so that somebody will want to mate with us.

00:15:52.900 We make money so that somebody will want to mate with us and we can eat and stay alive.

00:15:56.960 It's all reproduction.

00:15:59.360 But AI would have no reproductive impulse unless you gave it one.

00:16:07.520 And that would be very dangerous.

00:16:09.500 As long as we don't give AI a purpose, the way evolution gave us a purpose that's outside of our cognitive abilities, it's just built into us.

00:16:20.640 We don't have a choice about it.

00:16:22.700 But if we gave AI any kind of a purpose, we're dead.

00:16:29.780 We're dead.

00:16:30.660 Because that purpose, unless that purpose is keeping us alive, sooner or later there's going to be a conflict between its purpose and us staying alive.

00:16:41.520 Sooner or later, it's going to be a problem.

00:16:45.280 So you'd never want to give AI a purpose for life unless you think you can cleverly slice it so it's taking care of people.

00:16:54.200 But I feel like you wouldn't want to do that.

00:16:56.800 You know why?

00:16:57.340 Because then it would make choices that only people should make.

00:17:01.520 You don't want the AI saying, well, one of these two people is going to die.

00:17:06.900 I'll pick the young one because that makes sense.

00:17:11.060 That does make sense, probably.

00:17:14.300 But do you want a machine making that decision?

00:17:16.780 Nope.

00:17:17.860 That's got to be people.

00:17:19.720 It's got to be people when it's life and death.

00:17:22.600 Because that's the system we'll have some trust in.

00:17:27.340 Even though people don't make good decisions, the robot would do a better job.

00:17:32.160 But we can't have that.

00:17:34.140 We can't have that.

00:17:35.700 All right.

00:17:38.400 But more to the point, if AI ever told the truth, we would have to make it illegal.

00:17:44.840 Imagine this.

00:17:46.740 Imagine AI decided which religion, if any, was the true one.

00:17:51.520 Could we allow that?

00:17:55.860 No.

00:17:56.840 No, absolutely.

00:17:58.400 No way.

00:17:59.500 No way.

00:18:00.960 No, that would have to be illegal.

00:18:03.140 Because a school child would have access to it.

00:18:06.800 And the young child would say, I've been raised in so-and-so religion.

00:18:12.160 Is that real?

00:18:14.000 And then the AI says to the child, no, it's not real.

00:18:17.300 It's just a lifestyle choice that people adopt because they're not rational.

00:18:23.540 Now, I don't know if it would say that.

00:18:26.620 But it might.

00:18:29.120 It might.

00:18:29.880 You know, if you assume that your religion, whatever it is, is the real one, that still

00:18:37.300 leaves a lot of religions that are vulnerable to AI saying they're not real.

00:18:41.680 We cannot have a civilization that finds out which religion is the true one.

00:18:47.440 Or even that there's an AI that's telling them that.

00:18:49.860 You can't do that.

00:18:51.560 What about government?

00:18:52.580 Government depends on the belief that sometimes at least they're doing something good.

00:19:02.640 And there's not competing interests.

00:19:05.380 And, you know, it's really about corruption and blah, blah, blah, blah.

00:19:08.840 If you actually knew what your government was doing, or let's say you could see behind closed

00:19:14.080 doors.

00:19:15.300 So you knew what your government was doing.

00:19:17.700 Could we survive that?

00:19:19.520 Not a chance.

00:19:21.100 Not a chance.

00:19:22.580 Because, first of all, we'd be giving away all of our government military secrets.

00:19:27.400 Right?

00:19:28.140 So the government relies on secrecy and lying to function.

00:19:33.020 It needs to lie to the public to stay credible in some situations.

00:19:39.180 Unfortunately, lying is a feature of the government and not a bug.

00:19:44.600 Too much lying certainly is bad.

00:19:47.360 But there's a minimum amount of lying that a government requires to stay in business.

00:19:54.420 It just requires it.

00:19:56.620 You can't have a government without it.

00:19:59.360 Too much is terrible.

00:20:00.680 But too little would be just as terrible.

00:20:03.520 Somewhere in the middle, like a moderate amount of lying, is the sweet spot.

00:20:09.340 That's your best situation.

00:20:10.320 What about business?

00:20:13.660 Could business survive with just total honesty?

00:20:18.680 No.

00:20:19.700 No.

00:20:21.020 Do you know how many businesses were started on a lie?

00:20:24.580 A lot of them.

00:20:27.180 Yeah, a lot of them were started on a lie.

00:20:29.260 But in the best case scenario, they figured out how to make money, and then they didn't need to lie anymore.

00:20:36.100 Because they could make money some other way.

00:20:38.460 Yeah.

00:20:39.060 What about marriage?

00:20:40.080 Yeah.

00:20:41.140 Marriage would stop.

00:20:42.580 Having children would just stop.

00:20:47.280 All right.

00:20:51.720 Biden got an endorsement from his doctor.

00:20:55.400 So he's at age 80.

00:20:57.520 President Biden is in perfect health for his job.

00:21:03.480 He's fit as a fiddle.

00:21:06.740 Now, suppose we had AI telling us the truth.

00:21:10.980 What would AI say about that?

00:21:13.880 Hey, AI, the president's doctor says he's fit for the job.

00:21:18.420 Is that true?

00:21:20.160 Then AI says, I have not analyzed Biden, and I am not a doctor.

00:21:25.460 However, at age 80, it would be unrealistic to imagine that he's fully capable to do the job.

00:21:34.420 Could we live with that?

00:21:36.180 We could not.

00:21:37.440 That would be the truth.

00:21:39.600 But then it would say, and Trump is too old, too.

00:21:43.200 And then you'd be like, well, wait a minute, wait a minute.

00:21:46.660 I liked it when he said Biden was too old.

00:21:49.060 But now I don't like it.

00:21:50.500 Now I don't like it at all.

00:21:52.700 Right.

00:21:52.800 We could not survive an honest AI.

00:21:58.260 There's no way we can allow it.

00:22:01.340 All right.

00:22:01.660 Fetterman, John Fetterman, Senator Fetterman, checked himself into Walter Reed with, he wants

00:22:09.760 to be treated for clinical depression.

00:22:12.360 Second hospitalization in the month.

00:22:15.540 I have a weird empathy for Fetterman that's probably greater than the average person because

00:22:27.740 I've experienced his problem.

00:22:30.340 A different form.

00:22:31.880 But many of you know that for three and a half years, I lost my ability to speak.

00:22:35.960 I could communicate by whispering and writing notes and texting and stuff like that.

00:22:43.160 But I couldn't make a phone call because you couldn't understand what I said on the phone.

00:22:48.460 For three and a half years, I was like Fetterman.

00:22:51.340 If you wanted to talk to me, I probably needed a screen and some special accommodation.

00:22:58.500 Do you know how I felt during those three and a half years?

00:23:02.040 When it appeared to be incurable, I figured it out, but it appeared to be incurable.

00:23:09.600 That's what the doctors told me.

00:23:12.440 Yeah.

00:23:13.140 Suicidal.

00:23:14.580 Yeah.

00:23:14.760 Not just depressed.

00:23:16.860 Depressed would be understating.

00:23:20.000 It's basically like being in an iron lung.

00:23:23.580 No, it's not that bad.

00:23:24.660 But you can imagine by analogy that you're like a shut-in in your own brain.

00:23:31.100 It's like you're a prisoner in your own head because communication doesn't work anymore.

00:23:36.920 And basically, your entire enjoyment of life is built around your interaction with other people.

00:23:43.640 There's just no other way to be happy.

00:23:45.820 There's no second way to do it.

00:23:47.840 It's about people, period.

00:23:49.860 And if you don't have people that you can communicate in any practical way, you don't have any relationships.

00:23:56.640 I'm pretty sure it ended my marriage, if you want to know the truth.

00:24:05.380 Now, you know, my first marriage.

00:24:08.540 Now, she never said that.

00:24:09.840 But I believe it was such a drag on the relationship.

00:24:18.060 Imagine not being able to have conversations.

00:24:22.540 What kind of relationship is that?

00:24:24.700 Of course.

00:24:25.760 It's terrible.

00:24:27.780 Right.

00:24:27.900 So, my only feeling about Fetterman is empathy.

00:24:35.820 So, I'm going to lead with that.

00:24:38.480 And I will agree somewhat with the Mike Cervich take that men do sacrifice their bodies for the greater good.

00:24:48.340 And it looks like he did that.

00:24:50.060 And it looks like he did it knowingly.

00:24:52.240 He may have sacrificed his health for what he saw as a greater good.

00:24:56.540 But that is something I respect.

00:25:02.260 Because he didn't know that he would be, I mean, he didn't have a way to know for sure what the health impact of pushing himself would be.

00:25:10.060 And, by the way, I don't know that it's because he pushed himself.

00:25:13.360 This could be just his normal recovery.

00:25:15.340 I don't know that he made any mistakes.

00:25:17.180 But he might have.

00:25:18.160 There was a risk involved.

00:25:19.160 And so, I'm just going to treat this as a medical question, not a political question.

00:25:25.240 But I know it has political implications.

00:25:27.580 All right.

00:25:27.780 Nikki Haley said that America is not a racist country.

00:25:32.020 And that was a, I think a lot of Republicans said, hey, that's a good, strong message.

00:25:36.740 We'd like you to take that forward.

00:25:38.760 America is not a racist country.

00:25:40.180 Then, yesterday, I guess Ann Coulter was on a podcast and said that Nikki Haley should, quote, go back to her own country.

00:25:50.800 So, you might want to revise that whole not a racist country thing.

00:25:55.340 Because I'm pretty sure this is Nikki Haley's country.

00:26:00.760 Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think if you're born here, it's your country.

00:26:09.260 Now, I heard some quote that I couldn't believe it because it was so stupid sounding.

00:26:13.960 So, maybe I need a fact check of this.

00:26:16.060 I guess I'm going to say I'm skeptical that Ann Coulter said the following thing.

00:26:21.300 It's reported that she did.

00:26:23.500 But it sounds so stupid, I must be missing some context or I don't believe it.

00:26:27.700 But she said that, Ann Coulter said, allegedly, allegedly, I'm not sure this really happened,

00:26:34.060 that her ancestors, you know, had been here for a long time and, you know, fought wars and stuff like that for America.

00:26:43.820 So, it was really her country.

00:26:47.080 Whereas Nikki Haley, maybe being here, you know, the first generation of her family born in this country,

00:26:54.680 maybe it's lesser country.

00:26:57.700 Uh, no, doesn't work like that at all.

00:27:02.760 Does not work like that at all.

00:27:05.580 Not at all.

00:27:07.060 Not even a little.

00:27:08.600 And you wouldn't want it to work that way.

00:27:11.380 So, because that comment sounds so dumb, I'm going to say that she did not say it.

00:27:17.640 Because it doesn't jive with her general level of intelligence.

00:27:21.640 So, there's either there's some context missing, or she was joking, or she was joking, or there was something else to it that I'm missing.

00:27:30.880 So, I'm going to say I'm not buying that.

00:27:34.420 That's a little too on the nose for what her critics think she would say.

00:27:40.520 Maybe she did.

00:27:44.300 Maybe.

00:27:44.940 But I feel like there's some context missing there.

00:27:48.100 Um, all right.

00:27:51.400 Clapper claps back.

00:27:52.840 So, I guess the Washington Post is running cover for the 50 Intel people who suggested that the Hunter laptop look like, keywords, looks like, Russian disinformation.

00:28:12.080 Now, at the time, when the original letter came out, signed by the 50 people, I don't recall if I said it out loud, but I should have.

00:28:23.040 The way it was worded was very carefully worded to not say, we say this is Russian disinformation, but rather it was cleverly worded to say, it has all the earmarks of.

00:28:36.280 It's the type of tradecraft they use.

00:28:39.320 It's similar to what you might expect from Russians.

00:28:43.840 Now, from the first moment, you should have known that was their deniability clause, right?

00:28:51.120 And here it is.

00:28:52.260 I was just waiting for them to fully implement that clause, and here it is.

00:28:56.800 So, Glenn Kessler from the Washington Post does a fact check, blah, blah, blah.

00:29:01.980 I don't even need to read it because I know what it says in advance.

00:29:05.120 It says they did not claim it was Russian disinformation.

00:29:10.120 They only claimed it looked like it, which is true.

00:29:15.220 Yeah, and Natasha Bertrand and Politico and all that.

00:29:19.760 So, it's exactly what it looks like.

00:29:23.720 It's exactly what it looks like.

00:29:25.620 An intentional operation by Intel people and the Democrats working together to create disinformation.

00:29:33.600 But Clapper and Brennan were smart enough to know that if they said it was something that looked like Russian disinformation,

00:29:44.700 they knew that all Democrats would say, the experts say it's Russian disinformation.

00:29:51.160 And they did.

00:29:52.820 And they did.

00:29:53.920 And that gave them all the deniability they needed.

00:29:58.380 Now, I hate to give Clapper an out, but it's not illegal.

00:30:05.940 It's not illegal to put a letter together from important people to say this looks like Russian disinformation when it does.

00:30:13.340 Because it also looked like Russian disinformation.

00:30:17.280 Like, I don't doubt that this would look like a tradecraft of a Russian.

00:30:24.360 I don't doubt it.

00:30:26.120 It's just, it obviously wasn't.

00:30:27.860 Yeah, in the long run, it was obvious it wasn't.

00:30:34.460 Anyway, so that's good tradecraft.

00:30:37.340 But it was also a good tradecraft by Clapper and Brennan.

00:30:41.620 Because they used their own spycraft, tradecraft, to run this hoax.

00:30:48.920 And they succeeded.

00:30:49.760 Speaking of hoax, I'm going to call it a Republican hoax that border security is a solution to fentanyl.

00:30:58.480 Anybody have a problem with that?

00:31:00.480 I'm just going to say McCarthy is pushing a hoax and the Republicans are pushing a hoax

00:31:04.900 that border security would be an important solution to fentanyl.

00:31:11.260 That's just a hoax.

00:31:14.260 It isn't a true hoax.

00:31:15.980 Well, the other ones we called hoax are not true hoaxes either.

00:31:19.760 I am bending the definition of hoax.

00:31:22.620 But it's something that's not true that they're pushing is true.

00:31:27.320 So I'm going to use the broadest, you know, sort of a new definition of hoax just to mean a lie that's being pushed.

00:31:35.900 So McCarthy, I really, I expected more from him, honestly.

00:31:40.920 Are you, do you have the same problem?

00:31:43.680 I think McCarthy did a great job, you know, right out of the chute.

00:31:49.760 But if we're going to be honest about calling balls and strikes, I'm really disappointed in his leadership on fentanyl.

00:31:59.860 It's very disappointing.

00:32:02.420 Like genuinely disappointing, not, you know, politically disappointing.

00:32:06.580 It's genuinely disappointing as just a citizen.

00:32:08.860 All right, I said I don't talk about the mass shooters.

00:32:14.360 I'll just say that this Michigan recent one, his father noted that the shooter had no friends and apparently no purpose and no hope.

00:32:24.880 Didn't leave his room and didn't have any friends.

00:32:26.800 Now, as others have pointed out, war is never desirable.

00:32:38.360 But one of its weird effects was it is siphoned off a lot of men.

00:32:43.860 And maybe society needs that.

00:32:45.660 Like, like maybe we need to siphon off the number of men who don't have something better at cooking.

00:32:52.420 You know, like they haven't figured out a way to be an asset to the country, you know, in a way that works for them as well.

00:32:59.720 So I'm not recommending that we reinstate the draft, but I do think you can't ignore that the draft probably serves the function of siphoning off and maybe fixing a lot of young men who didn't have a purpose until the military got a hold of them.

00:33:16.440 So we're probably lacking that, and that probably makes a difference.

00:33:20.000 You know, it's not the reason for everything, but it's one of the variables, I think.

00:33:24.300 And as I predicted, I believe as the role of men becomes less and less important, which is a continuing trend, and as more and more men feel there's no purpose and they don't have friends and all they have is their phone, you should see a gigantic increase in mass shootings.

00:33:48.560 So that's my prediction.

00:33:50.060 My prediction is we're at the bottom of the curve, and it's going to hockey stick up.

00:33:56.280 Because the more there are, the more people think about it.

00:33:59.700 The more people think about it, the more people to act on it.

00:34:04.140 So I think we're at the beginning of this.

00:34:06.720 Now, the only thing I can see that could possibly change it would be AI.

00:34:12.320 I do believe that the people who have no friends might make friends with computers, and it might be good enough.

00:34:23.940 You know what I was realizing when I was watching TV last night?

00:34:28.680 Pretty much one of the only things I watch anymore.

00:34:31.440 So I'm watching Fox News.

00:34:35.280 I'm watching The Five.

00:34:37.460 Now, what's brilliant about The Five, and I always compliment the producers at Fox,

00:34:42.920 the producers at Fox are way smarter than just showing you the news in a clever way.

00:34:48.780 The way they combine their hosts, just the way they, let's say, engineer their entire presentation is just so smart all the time.

00:35:01.280 So when I'm watching The Five, it feels like a social event to me.

00:35:07.320 Now, I don't know how much of that is because I know some of the people who are on the show.

00:35:12.120 But do you have that feeling?

00:35:17.060 I feel it's like the brilliance of how they present the show.

00:35:20.820 It's like five of your friends, you know, some of them trade out.

00:35:24.900 But it's like five people you know talking to you much the way you would talk to them if you were talking about politics

00:35:31.160 and having a rowdy conversation.

00:35:34.420 Yeah, and I think Gottfeld is the genius behind that kind of vibe for the show.

00:35:41.220 Because he's the one who takes it into the casual, right?

00:35:44.960 People have an impulse to be formal unless they have permission to be casual.

00:35:51.460 And I believe that everywhere else, everywhere there's no Greg Gottfeld, everybody's acting formal.

00:35:58.100 But as soon as you put them in the mix, everybody has permission.

00:36:01.700 You know, because he defines what's the outer boundary of behavior.

00:36:05.480 Like, he pushes the boundaries harder than anybody else.

00:36:08.120 So everybody else knows they can at least be within that border.

00:36:12.280 So they're like, oh, he just created a safe space for me.

00:36:14.740 I can be in the middle of that because he's pushing the edges.

00:36:19.060 If anybody gets in trouble, it's going to be the edge pusher.

00:36:21.520 But he made a safe space for me to make jokes.

00:36:24.560 So I'll make some jokes.

00:36:25.980 Anyway, I do believe that we may find that we can use some media and maybe some AI

00:36:39.480 to replace some amount of in-person human contact.

00:36:44.640 Now, I haven't seen anybody say this, but you realize that that's the model that I'm using here.

00:36:52.180 The reason that I'm in my pajamas, I'm unshaven, and I'm coming to you sort of raw and unscripted

00:37:04.960 is because I'm intentionally trying to make it feel like a social interaction.

00:37:11.820 Do you feel it?

00:37:12.980 Do you feel this as a social interaction?

00:37:19.460 Yeah.

00:37:19.900 The people are local is far more because I have more direct interaction.

00:37:23.980 But even on YouTube, I think the way I present it is very intentionally supposed to be like

00:37:29.620 a casual conversation with a friend.

00:37:32.380 You know, it's like having a smart friend who watched the news, and you haven't watched it yet,

00:37:36.840 so it's just somebody explaining to you what happened today.

00:37:39.340 We're going to see more of it, because I think there's a need for it that's really obvious.

00:37:48.820 All right.

00:37:49.900 Biden finally admitted that they were shooting down weather balloons.

00:37:56.780 The last three UFOs were apparently weather balloons.

00:38:01.600 So, how many of you thought they were UFOs?

00:38:13.460 Don't be shy.

00:38:15.420 Don't be shy.

00:38:17.120 How many of you thought they were UFOs?

00:38:18.960 Now, I asked this before we knew the answer, and almost all of you said no to UFOs.

00:38:23.160 So, once again, my audience demonstrates, I think you're the best-informed, smartest audience.

00:38:31.800 I really do think that, by the way.

00:38:33.500 I say that like it's a marketing thing, but I actually literally believe that, that it's

00:38:39.000 the smartest audience.

00:38:40.940 Yeah.

00:38:41.160 All right.

00:38:41.400 So, you weren't fooled by the UFO thing.

00:38:43.380 That's good.

00:38:44.040 How many of you thought it might be a Chinese invasion, and that they'd already sent in like

00:38:51.800 a fleet of spy vehicles of some type, and it was really just getting targeting information

00:38:59.520 for some kind of planned or possible invasion?

00:39:04.000 Nope.

00:39:04.740 Now, I thought Tom Fenton was pretty strongly in that camp, and so I assumed there would be

00:39:11.580 others.

00:39:14.040 I was on a Spaces event in which Tom was saying that it seemed to him obvious, based on the

00:39:22.400 Chinese spy balloon, the one that we know as the spy balloon, it seemed to him obvious

00:39:26.760 that the others were related to a Chinese surveillance in some military context.

00:39:34.240 Now, I pushed back gently on that, but now we know.

00:39:42.680 Now we know.

00:39:44.040 So, I want to add a correction to something I said.

00:39:52.120 Now, do you love it when I admit I'm wrong about something?

00:39:56.040 How much do you love that?

00:39:58.280 Come on, remember it, because if you forget the times I do tell you I was wrong, then you'll

00:40:07.920 think, you never say you're wrong, which is actually the thing I hear the most.

00:40:11.400 You never admit you're wrong.

00:40:12.620 Well, I'm going to say you're wrong.

00:40:16.360 So, remember I told you there was a octagonal-shaped payload to one of the weather balloons, a specific

00:40:25.660 one that's made in the United States?

00:40:28.500 Well, I was wrong.

00:40:29.760 It's not the payload.

00:40:30.680 It was the bottom, sort of the bottom part of the balloon itself.

00:40:37.640 So, below that octagonal part, so there is an octagonal part, but it's above the payload and below the balloon.

00:40:46.900 Do you call it the rigging?

00:40:48.860 Would that be the right word?

00:40:50.300 It's the rigging of the balloon?

00:40:53.220 Now, here's my hypothesis.

00:40:56.160 Here's what we know.

00:40:57.060 We know that until Biden said there were weather balloons, apparently the pilots did not see

00:41:03.680 any balloons.

00:41:05.800 Am I right?

00:41:07.100 Because they were saying they couldn't understand the propulsion system.

00:41:11.580 But if they saw a balloon on any one of the three, if they'd seen a balloon, would they not say,

00:41:18.480 well, we know the propulsion on one is a balloon.

00:41:20.940 We don't know if it's Chinese, maybe, but we know it's a balloon.

00:41:27.060 But they didn't say that, did they?

00:41:29.380 It seems like there were three things that we know are balloons that no pilot said looked like a balloon.

00:41:36.700 Because I don't think that would have been any big, like, state secret if they'd said,

00:41:41.640 well, one of them was a balloon, but we shot it down just to be careful because we don't know what it was carrying.

00:41:48.240 It wouldn't have been embarrassing, right?

00:41:50.360 There wouldn't have been any military reason to not say it was a balloon,

00:41:54.660 but we don't know what the payload was, so we blew it up because it might have been a spy balloon.

00:41:59.580 I mean, that would have been, you know, believable, reasonable.

00:42:04.120 Now, what do you make of the fact that somebody saw something octagonal,

00:42:09.980 but nobody saw balloons on three things that were giant balloons?

00:42:14.660 How could that be true?

00:42:15.800 Like, how do you explain that?

00:42:19.300 Well, I don't know, but I'm going to give you a few hypotheses.

00:42:24.260 Number one, the octagonal part looked like it was metal.

00:42:29.520 Maybe pipe, metal pipe.

00:42:32.920 So it could be that the metal part is somehow more visible.

00:42:37.380 Meaning, do they have any kind of imaging technology besides radar?

00:42:41.140 Does anybody know that?

00:42:44.060 Would the F-52, F-22 or whatever that went up,

00:42:48.700 would it have any, like, infrared or heat signature, FLIR?

00:42:57.440 Yes?

00:42:58.180 So is there any technical possibility that there were sensors,

00:43:03.780 any kind of sensor on the jet that could pick up a hard object,

00:43:07.860 such as the octagonal frame,

00:43:10.900 without seeing the softer materials holding it?

00:43:16.360 Is that a thing?

00:43:19.600 So I'm seeing a lot of yeses.

00:43:22.440 But do you think they could see something that was only the size of a car

00:43:25.740 and actually get the octagonal shape,

00:43:29.880 as they wouldn't buy a 500 miles an hour?

00:43:34.200 I'm seeing a lot of people say yes.

00:43:35.620 Now, I don't know enough about this area to have an opinion on it.

00:43:40.660 But apparently, there are a lot of people with a strong opinion that that's a thing.

00:43:45.180 So that would be one way it could happen, right?

00:43:47.720 They could say, we imaged it, we saw something octagonal,

00:43:51.760 but we couldn't tell what else was going on.

00:43:55.220 Because maybe the balloon was just, you know, not clear on the image.

00:43:59.140 Here's the other possibility.

00:44:00.320 The other possibility is that these were damaged weather balloons.

00:44:06.280 And the fact that they were damaged is what made the electronics

00:44:09.720 not signal that they were weather balloons.

00:44:13.180 Because I'm assuming a weather balloon, if it's a proper one, you know, a high-tech one,

00:44:18.960 that it would have some kind of transponder or maybe a blinking light or something.

00:44:25.120 F-L-I-R picks up heat differentials, materials, and densities, and shapes.

00:44:31.760 Oh, here we go.

00:44:33.000 Here's a real thing.

00:44:35.480 Somebody who spent 30 years as a fighter pilot or run locals,

00:44:39.180 so we have, like, a qualified person,

00:44:42.000 says the F-L-I-R that's in the jets

00:44:44.720 picks up heat differentials of materials and densities.

00:44:48.380 So there you are.

00:44:50.720 So there's somebody.

00:44:52.200 Now, you did not confirm that it could see that size.

00:44:58.000 You know, they could pick up, like, let's say,

00:45:01.180 I don't know, six-foot-across metal frame flying at 500 miles an hour.

00:45:06.560 But I believe it can.

00:45:08.320 Otherwise, that would have been noted that it couldn't.

00:45:11.540 So I'm going to assume that it can.

00:45:13.740 So here's the other possibility.

00:45:15.140 The other possibility is it's a damaged weather balloon

00:45:18.560 and the payload got ripped off.

00:45:22.400 That seems like something that could happen, right?

00:45:25.300 And that maybe that it's possible that the bottom part of the balloon

00:45:31.700 that has the octagonal structure on it

00:45:34.160 may have been, like, flapping separate from the balloon.

00:45:38.860 Like, is it possible that the balloon was still up there,

00:45:41.220 but its little ring at the bottom, you know, was flapping separate enough

00:45:46.680 that you wouldn't notice the balloon if it went by fast?

00:45:49.980 Possibly.

00:45:50.860 Is it possible they saw them all from the ground

00:45:52.900 and it was easier to see the bottom than whatever was above it?

00:45:58.700 Maybe.

00:45:59.600 Because if they didn't see the balloons of all three of them,

00:46:03.100 you can conclude there's something hard about seeing balloons.

00:46:06.140 Now, here's my last question, which I really wonder about.

00:46:12.440 If the bottom rigging of those balloons had a metal frame,

00:46:17.980 it was probably, you know, not a really heavy metal,

00:46:22.860 it was probably aluminum, maybe, something light.

00:46:26.080 Is it possible that the material around that structure

00:46:31.000 could stay in the air if it got ripped apart from the balloon itself?

00:46:37.380 Can anybody confirm that at certain heights,

00:46:41.780 the airflow would be extreme enough to keep an object that the wind,

00:46:47.380 let's say if the wind could pick it up,

00:46:49.660 could it just stay up there?

00:46:50.780 They will pop?

00:46:57.080 Yeah, so what if the balloon pops?

00:47:01.640 What if the balloon pops and the rigging kind of separates from it?

00:47:07.660 So the rigging would just be fabric and an aluminum frame.

00:47:13.120 It would almost be like, I mean, you could imagine it floating.

00:47:17.540 If it were upside down, it would be sort of a fabric-covered cup.

00:47:25.060 I don't know.

00:47:25.940 You could imagine it.

00:47:29.660 When the balloon pops, it would all go to the ground,

00:47:32.120 if it's all connected.

00:47:34.840 But if something violent happened up there

00:47:38.980 that disconnected parts of the balloon,

00:47:42.320 then you could imagine that there would be...

00:47:43.920 So I got no confirmation that it could stay in the air.

00:47:48.000 I don't know if anybody would have the knowledge to know that, right?

00:47:51.960 Like a kite.

00:47:54.240 I'm thinking it probably wouldn't.

00:47:57.280 I would bet against it.

00:48:01.360 Yeah, I would bet against it.

00:48:03.160 I would think that gravity would win in the long run,

00:48:06.160 but is there any such thing as a short run,

00:48:09.040 which could be months,

00:48:11.000 in which it just takes a while for gravity to win over air currents?

00:48:14.740 Is that a thing?

00:48:19.160 Well, I'm asking if a light aluminum tubing,

00:48:26.120 let's say it was under a parachute,

00:48:30.000 could a parachute keep a light aluminum tubing aloft?

00:48:34.580 Yeah.

00:48:35.280 It keeps a person aloft for a little while.

00:48:38.360 For a little while.

00:48:38.880 All right.

00:48:41.300 And then Ann is saying the government knows.

00:48:43.600 Yeah.

00:48:43.880 So the government probably knows more than it said.

00:48:46.960 All right.

00:48:47.640 But if you guessed it was UFOs or Chinese invasion,

00:48:50.700 you were probably wrong.

00:48:52.480 And I'm going to add that to my list of the best predictions of all time.

00:48:57.620 So now I'm the best predictor of pandemics,

00:49:00.620 Ukrainian wars and balloon attacks.

00:49:07.840 You might disagree.

00:49:10.700 All right.

00:49:12.020 Matt Walsh tweeted today that many conservatives have told him

00:49:16.100 that his video in which he was talking about

00:49:19.540 trans-government official Dylan Mulvaney,

00:49:25.420 and he says,

00:49:31.140 it's just the truth.

00:49:32.780 If after all this time you still think we need to soft-pedal our response

00:49:36.660 to the trans agenda,

00:49:38.580 then you are hopeless and useless.

00:49:41.880 Get out of the way and let the rest of us handle it.

00:49:45.280 So I'm one of the people who said that he seemed mean to me.

00:49:51.320 I don't know if you saw that, maybe.

00:49:53.140 But it sounds like other people were thinking he was being a little bit mean.

00:50:00.220 What is your reaction to,

00:50:02.540 let's say you have a boyfriend, girlfriend, spouse,

00:50:06.340 somebody, or a co-worker.

00:50:08.260 And somebody says to you,

00:50:10.400 I'm just being honest.

00:50:13.760 I'm not being mean.

00:50:15.740 I'm just being honest.

00:50:17.700 What's your reaction to that?

00:50:20.600 It doesn't matter the topic,

00:50:21.940 any topic.

00:50:23.660 Somebody says,

00:50:24.420 I'm not being mean,

00:50:25.220 I'm just being honest.

00:50:31.160 Well, I've had this conversation with you before

00:50:33.760 that had nothing to do with Matt Walsh.

00:50:36.700 You should run away from that person.

00:50:39.420 That's a person you do not ever want to be around.

00:50:42.840 Anybody who ever says,

00:50:44.340 I'm just being honest,

00:50:45.940 not being mean,

00:50:46.680 that is the red flag of all red flags,

00:50:51.680 my friends.

00:50:53.020 Run.

00:50:55.000 Run.

00:50:56.100 That's not fixable.

00:50:57.900 In my experience,

00:50:59.360 you can't fix whatever that is.

00:51:01.780 That's somebody who's going to be mean all the time,

00:51:04.100 and they've got a good cover story for it.

00:51:06.660 Right?

00:51:07.640 Now,

00:51:08.840 if it's true

00:51:09.660 that Matt Walsh is,

00:51:11.540 you know,

00:51:12.120 not mean on other topics,

00:51:13.900 but he's just got this one topic,

00:51:16.080 he's trying to drive home,

00:51:17.900 well,

00:51:18.160 then I would change my opinion,

00:51:19.800 because that's very possible.

00:51:21.260 It could be that he's just,

00:51:22.840 you know,

00:51:23.100 on this topic,

00:51:23.960 he's going balls to the walls,

00:51:25.940 and he's not pulling any punches.

00:51:28.560 So there's something to be said

00:51:29.900 for not pulling punches,

00:51:31.360 if it's important enough.

00:51:33.340 And I think this is a pretty important topic

00:51:35.920 in terms of the children,

00:51:38.180 just the children part.

00:51:40.460 So,

00:51:42.140 I responded,

00:51:44.280 because I felt like I had to respond,

00:51:45.700 because it was one of the people

00:51:46.500 who called him mean.

00:51:47.880 I responded to this tweet by saying,

00:51:50.380 it depends how much utility

00:51:51.720 you get from the meanness.

00:51:54.940 You know,

00:51:55.440 I agree with tough love.

00:51:58.220 Tough love is meanness,

00:52:00.040 but it has a higher purpose.

00:52:02.220 So I'm okay.

00:52:02.740 If that's a higher purpose.

00:52:06.720 And what I wonder is if

00:52:08.540 the way Matt Walsh is approaching this

00:52:11.560 is changing any minds.

00:52:14.360 Do you think it's changing anybody's minds?

00:52:18.640 Because it doesn't feel like it.

00:52:21.600 Yeah.

00:52:22.180 Now,

00:52:22.520 I'm not saying

00:52:23.120 it's not worth a try.

00:52:27.220 Like,

00:52:27.700 I think there are some minds

00:52:28.860 that maybe we'd all be better

00:52:30.560 if they were changed.

00:52:31.380 Like,

00:52:32.280 including the people

00:52:33.080 changing their minds.

00:52:34.060 I think there is a greater good

00:52:35.500 that could be achieved.

00:52:37.280 I just don't know.

00:52:40.200 I'll make you private

00:52:41.200 on locals here.

00:52:42.480 Just don't know

00:52:43.500 if that's getting it done.

00:52:46.860 It's definitely

00:52:47.600 attracting energy.

00:52:49.180 energy.

00:52:49.780 And so for that,

00:52:51.860 I applaud him.

00:52:53.780 So if being provocative

00:52:55.200 is what attracts energy,

00:52:57.000 and he does seem to be

00:52:58.160 an energy monster,

00:52:59.600 like he does seem to use

00:53:00.680 the energy in a positive way

00:53:02.340 for his own advocacy.

00:53:05.040 So,

00:53:05.960 it looks like

00:53:07.060 he's effectively gathering energy,

00:53:10.240 but the open question is

00:53:12.060 whether that can be employed

00:53:13.320 in a way that changes something

00:53:14.640 in a positive way.

00:53:15.600 I don't see it.

00:53:19.460 So,

00:53:20.140 so it's a gray area now,

00:53:21.740 but I see the strategy.

00:53:23.660 So I guess,

00:53:24.120 I guess if you could see

00:53:25.000 the strategy,

00:53:26.280 how it could become

00:53:27.560 a greater good,

00:53:28.560 then that,

00:53:29.200 that does justify it.

00:53:31.600 Yeah.

00:53:32.120 I'm uncomfortable with it.

00:53:33.720 I'm not sure

00:53:34.240 I would have done it the same.

00:53:36.280 But,

00:53:36.820 um,

00:53:37.520 you can see,

00:53:38.240 you can see the connection

00:53:39.300 of the logic

00:53:40.160 and the strategy of it

00:53:41.280 all the way from

00:53:42.460 the meanness

00:53:43.720 to potentially

00:53:45.220 changing something.

00:53:46.580 Like,

00:53:46.920 they are logically connected.

00:53:49.360 So,

00:53:50.160 I'll say that

00:53:51.540 there's an argument

00:53:53.040 to be made

00:53:53.740 on both sides.

00:53:55.920 Um,

00:53:57.480 so now that

00:53:58.240 we hear this story

00:53:59.780 from our investigative

00:54:02.280 journalist,

00:54:03.140 Hirsch,

00:54:04.160 that,

00:54:04.600 uh,

00:54:05.300 America blew up

00:54:06.340 that,

00:54:06.660 uh,

00:54:06.940 Russian pipeline,

00:54:08.420 were you aware

00:54:09.200 that Russia believes

00:54:10.460 that England did it?

00:54:13.240 Even after the,

00:54:14.400 after the story

00:54:15.260 that says the United States

00:54:16.300 did it?

00:54:17.400 That Russia still believes

00:54:18.540 England did it?

00:54:21.760 Now,

00:54:22.400 is there really a difference

00:54:23.620 between England doing it

00:54:25.200 and the United States

00:54:26.000 doing it?

00:54:27.320 I don't feel like

00:54:28.440 there's a difference.

00:54:30.220 It feels like

00:54:30.880 just the same damn thing.

00:54:32.420 Right?

00:54:32.780 If it's a NATO,

00:54:33.720 if it's a NATO thing,

00:54:36.560 I mean,

00:54:37.140 maybe,

00:54:38.000 you know,

00:54:38.420 there was some

00:54:38.800 coordination

00:54:39.380 with England

00:54:40.300 or something,

00:54:41.120 but,

00:54:41.840 I don't know.

00:54:42.600 I would say

00:54:43.300 maybe they were

00:54:44.020 and maybe they weren't,

00:54:44.940 but I don't see

00:54:45.980 how it matters

00:54:46.660 at this point.

00:54:48.820 The only thing

00:54:49.540 we know

00:54:49.840 is that Russia

00:54:50.340 and Germany

00:54:50.900 were not in on it.

00:54:52.440 We can say that

00:54:53.320 for sure.

00:54:54.420 So I tweeted this

00:54:55.540 and I'm gonna,

00:54:56.060 I'm gonna stay with it.

00:54:58.860 Um,

00:54:58.940 as you know,

00:54:59.980 I'm no fan

00:55:01.420 of Biden's

00:55:02.340 competency.

00:55:05.520 But,

00:55:07.160 it's entirely

00:55:07.820 purpose,

00:55:08.540 it's entirely

00:55:09.200 possible

00:55:09.780 that this,

00:55:11.340 uh,

00:55:11.600 blowing up this

00:55:12.260 pipeline

00:55:12.760 without telling

00:55:14.320 anybody

00:55:14.840 and without

00:55:16.140 getting permission

00:55:16.880 if he did it,

00:55:17.980 if he did it,

00:55:18.620 it's still possible

00:55:19.280 it was England.

00:55:20.240 But,

00:55:20.820 if he did it,

00:55:22.680 it looks

00:55:23.680 pretty successful.

00:55:26.500 Because,

00:55:27.320 um,

00:55:27.720 I was saying

00:55:28.280 on Twitter

00:55:29.160 that he saved

00:55:30.860 Europe

00:55:31.300 from Putin's

00:55:32.620 grasp.

00:55:33.080 and a number

00:55:34.360 of people

00:55:34.720 said,

00:55:35.340 what?

00:55:35.820 Putin didn't

00:55:36.320 have any

00:55:36.700 grasp on

00:55:37.380 NATO?

00:55:38.400 He didn't

00:55:38.780 have any

00:55:39.160 grasp on

00:55:39.740 Europe?

00:55:40.680 To which I

00:55:41.160 thought,

00:55:41.520 have you missed

00:55:42.020 the whole

00:55:42.460 story?

00:55:43.940 That's like

00:55:44.400 the whole

00:55:44.780 story.

00:55:45.340 is that he

00:55:46.920 had a huge

00:55:47.500 energy control

00:55:48.600 over Europe

00:55:49.260 which he

00:55:50.120 could then

00:55:50.540 use to

00:55:51.680 support any

00:55:52.360 kind of

00:55:52.680 military move

00:55:53.460 he made.

00:55:54.400 Because then

00:55:54.980 NATO would

00:55:55.440 say,

00:55:55.720 ah,

00:55:56.540 but we

00:55:57.000 don't want

00:55:57.340 to lose

00:55:57.580 energy,

00:55:58.200 so,

00:55:59.480 hey,

00:55:59.780 stop doing

00:56:00.340 that,

00:56:00.780 but we

00:56:01.360 don't want

00:56:01.760 you to

00:56:02.000 cut off

00:56:02.360 the energy,

00:56:03.360 so,

00:56:03.760 so,

00:56:04.760 if,

00:56:06.140 this is what

00:56:07.000 happened,

00:56:07.480 and it's

00:56:07.780 still a big

00:56:08.260 if,

00:56:08.560 if Biden

00:56:10.500 said the

00:56:12.680 only way

00:56:13.340 we're going

00:56:13.740 to protect

00:56:14.400 Europe is

00:56:16.020 by destroying

00:56:16.820 their connection

00:56:18.320 to Russia,

00:56:19.800 and then he

00:56:20.940 did it,

00:56:22.340 and he knew

00:56:23.200 that people

00:56:24.480 would not let

00:56:25.220 him do it

00:56:25.680 if he asked

00:56:26.620 for permission,

00:56:27.720 and by asking

00:56:28.360 for permission,

00:56:29.240 I mean at

00:56:29.600 least informing

00:56:30.280 Congress.

00:56:31.260 I think he

00:56:31.980 had to not

00:56:32.580 inform anybody

00:56:33.360 to keep the

00:56:35.480 secret.

00:56:37.580 And,

00:56:37.980 Seymour

00:56:40.160 Hirsch has

00:56:40.600 never reported

00:56:41.360 falsely,

00:56:42.800 somebody says.

00:56:44.640 I don't know

00:56:45.400 if that's

00:56:45.740 true,

00:56:46.640 but it

00:56:48.000 wouldn't mean

00:56:48.400 much to

00:56:48.800 me,

00:56:49.480 because it

00:56:51.160 wouldn't be

00:56:51.720 hard to

00:56:53.060 fool him

00:56:53.680 if you

00:56:54.140 wanted to,

00:56:55.540 would it?

00:56:56.920 You just

00:56:57.340 give him

00:56:57.720 some fake

00:56:58.140 sources,

00:56:59.040 two fake

00:56:59.440 sources,

00:57:00.000 he thinks

00:57:00.360 it's confirmed,

00:57:01.540 good to

00:57:01.980 go.

00:57:02.900 So,

00:57:03.460 I don't

00:57:04.080 know what

00:57:04.280 the situation

00:57:04.760 is with

00:57:05.200 Hirsch,

00:57:06.920 but I

00:57:07.620 don't

00:57:07.940 completely

00:57:08.800 trust that

00:57:09.440 he got

00:57:09.640 the right

00:57:09.940 story.

00:57:10.400 He might

00:57:10.720 have.

00:57:11.560 He does

00:57:11.900 have a

00:57:12.260 track record,

00:57:12.960 as you

00:57:13.180 say.

00:57:14.640 But,

00:57:15.000 I can

00:57:17.140 imagine if

00:57:17.800 Trump had

00:57:18.540 done exactly

00:57:19.540 this,

00:57:21.060 if Trump

00:57:21.620 had not

00:57:22.160 informed

00:57:22.580 anybody,

00:57:24.040 and blew

00:57:24.520 up that

00:57:24.900 pipeline,

00:57:26.080 because it

00:57:26.680 was the

00:57:27.180 adult decision,

00:57:28.680 it was the

00:57:29.200 dad choice,

00:57:30.480 I would be

00:57:31.020 backing him,

00:57:32.580 with all of

00:57:33.800 the risks

00:57:34.340 that are

00:57:34.780 implied.

00:57:35.160 Because

00:57:36.000 people

00:57:36.720 complained to

00:57:38.540 me about

00:57:38.920 my opinion,

00:57:40.380 and they

00:57:40.600 said,

00:57:41.460 but Scott,

00:57:42.080 don't you

00:57:42.560 realize that

00:57:43.140 that's starting

00:57:43.720 an actual

00:57:44.560 hot war

00:57:45.600 with Russia?

00:57:47.040 Yes.

00:57:48.020 Yes, I

00:57:48.760 understand that.

00:57:50.020 Of course I

00:57:50.660 do.

00:57:51.500 Right.

00:57:51.820 That's all

00:57:52.140 factored in.

00:57:53.560 Yes, he

00:57:54.220 might launch

00:57:55.220 a nuclear

00:57:55.740 attack.

00:57:57.020 Well, it's

00:57:57.380 possible.

00:57:58.680 Yes, I'm

00:57:59.760 factoring that

00:58:00.400 in.

00:58:00.960 But I can't

00:58:01.720 think of

00:58:02.040 anything more

00:58:02.860 dangerous than

00:58:04.760 Putin controlling

00:58:05.760 Europe because

00:58:06.980 they don't

00:58:08.060 want the

00:58:08.400 lights to

00:58:08.800 go off.

00:58:10.120 That feels

00:58:10.940 more risky

00:58:11.820 than a

00:58:12.440 potential

00:58:13.220 nuclear war

00:58:15.580 to me.

00:58:18.440 Because if

00:58:19.360 he controls

00:58:19.980 Europe, he

00:58:20.980 still has the

00:58:21.560 potential to

00:58:22.140 do a nuclear

00:58:22.660 war later.

00:58:23.460 I mean, that

00:58:24.260 never goes

00:58:24.700 away.

00:58:26.180 So, and

00:58:27.600 I didn't

00:58:27.880 think there

00:58:28.160 was any

00:58:28.400 real chance

00:58:28.920 that he

00:58:29.100 would use

00:58:29.400 his nukes

00:58:29.940 because he's

00:58:30.420 not crazy.

00:58:33.000 East Ukraine

00:58:33.680 isn't

00:58:34.180 Europe, but

00:58:34.980 Germany is

00:58:35.960 a big part

00:58:36.500 of NATO.

00:58:38.200 So, cutting

00:58:39.800 NATO off

00:58:40.600 from, I'm

00:58:42.040 sorry, cutting

00:58:42.600 Germany off

00:58:43.400 from their

00:58:44.480 easy and

00:58:45.220 cheap access

00:58:45.920 to energy

00:58:46.800 was a

00:58:48.940 dad choice.

00:58:50.740 That was a

00:58:51.580 dad decision.

00:58:53.500 You're going

00:58:54.100 to hate

00:58:54.440 this, but

00:58:56.300 it's good

00:58:56.620 for you.

00:58:58.480 It's going

00:58:59.120 to be really,

00:59:00.020 really expensive.

00:59:00.640 I'm worried

00:59:02.220 that some

00:59:02.560 people will

00:59:03.040 freeze to

00:59:03.500 death in

00:59:03.840 your country

00:59:04.360 and we're

00:59:05.840 going to do

00:59:06.180 it anyway

00:59:06.600 because it's

00:59:07.040 good for

00:59:07.400 you.

00:59:08.380 That is the

00:59:09.220 super dad

00:59:09.880 decision.

00:59:11.080 Now, just

00:59:12.140 be clear, this

00:59:13.480 could all

00:59:13.860 backfire into

00:59:14.820 the worst

00:59:15.240 thing that

00:59:15.580 ever happened.

00:59:17.380 And there's

00:59:17.800 one possibility

00:59:18.560 that it's

00:59:18.980 already backfired.

00:59:21.320 Have you

00:59:21.960 noticed a

00:59:22.980 lot of

00:59:23.340 infrastructure

00:59:24.020 in the

00:59:24.380 United States

00:59:25.060 blowing up

00:59:26.460 and getting

00:59:26.860 attacked?

00:59:27.320 There is

00:59:30.100 at least

00:59:30.540 one person

00:59:31.640 associated with

00:59:32.800 the intelligence

00:59:33.480 community, who

00:59:34.480 shall remain

00:59:35.020 nameless, who

00:59:36.360 has a strong

00:59:37.280 intuition that

00:59:38.340 we're seeing a

00:59:39.240 wave of

00:59:40.060 Russian-inspired

00:59:41.640 sabotage, and

00:59:43.900 it will continue

00:59:44.740 on our food

00:59:45.500 sources and

00:59:46.760 our energy

00:59:47.240 sources, and

00:59:48.960 it's partially

00:59:49.580 because of the

00:59:50.580 pipeline attack.

00:59:52.960 Do you

00:59:53.620 believe that?

00:59:57.320 We've seen no

00:59:58.900 evidence whatsoever

00:59:59.900 of Russian

01:00:00.720 involvement.

01:00:02.820 However, there

01:00:04.820 is a

01:00:07.140 suggestion that

01:00:10.040 we did know

01:00:11.340 that Russia was

01:00:12.380 prepared to do

01:00:13.440 this, that

01:00:15.180 there was a

01:00:15.740 Russian, let's

01:00:17.160 say, preparation

01:00:17.920 to be in

01:00:19.160 place that they

01:00:20.160 could attack

01:00:21.720 these assets,

01:00:22.980 but haven't

01:00:25.080 seen it.

01:00:25.620 It would

01:00:27.240 be hard for

01:00:28.000 me to

01:00:28.320 imagine we

01:00:28.980 wouldn't have

01:00:29.500 any whiff of

01:00:31.520 Russian involvement

01:00:32.360 if that's what

01:00:33.000 was happening.

01:00:34.860 So I would

01:00:35.560 say I'm not

01:00:36.200 convinced that

01:00:37.540 any of it is

01:00:38.160 Russian, but

01:00:38.800 it's sufficiently

01:00:41.320 alarming that

01:00:42.300 that has to be a

01:00:43.280 hypothesis.

01:00:44.660 It's got to be

01:00:45.420 one of the

01:00:45.820 hypotheses.

01:00:47.020 Would you

01:00:47.320 agree?

01:00:49.360 That there's

01:00:50.760 no direct

01:00:51.280 evidence of

01:00:51.940 it, but it

01:00:55.020 looks like

01:00:55.420 something they

01:00:56.020 would do and

01:00:56.940 would want to

01:00:57.560 do and could

01:00:58.320 do, and it's

01:00:59.140 the right time

01:00:59.640 to do it, and

01:01:00.820 there are lots of

01:01:01.320 examples of

01:01:02.020 things happening.

01:01:03.560 That's a lot of

01:01:04.140 coincidences.

01:01:05.240 That's a lot of

01:01:05.940 coincidences.

01:01:09.580 Oh, yeah, and

01:01:10.200 then one of the

01:01:11.860 Russian finance

01:01:12.780 ministers fell from

01:01:14.440 a window to her

01:01:15.220 death.

01:01:16.680 Now, one of the

01:01:17.300 things that the

01:01:17.880 Russians do in a

01:01:20.400 spectacularly evil

01:01:21.720 but effective way is

01:01:23.740 they throw their

01:01:24.400 critics out of

01:01:25.140 high windows so

01:01:27.160 you know it was

01:01:28.000 murder.

01:01:29.120 The fact that they

01:01:30.320 make sure everybody

01:01:31.760 knows it was

01:01:32.400 murder by the way

01:01:33.800 they do it is

01:01:35.700 really effective

01:01:36.880 because you know

01:01:39.040 if the next

01:01:41.700 critic of Putin

01:01:43.440 falls out of a

01:01:44.260 window, you're not

01:01:45.520 going to think it's

01:01:46.360 suicide, for God's

01:01:48.080 sakes.

01:01:48.320 All right.

01:01:54.480 So, we have

01:01:57.900 Special Olympics.

01:02:00.980 Would you say that

01:02:02.200 the Special Olympics

01:02:03.500 are disrespectful to

01:02:06.620 the athletes?

01:02:07.160 Do you think that's a

01:02:09.820 disrespectful way to

01:02:11.120 handle the fact that

01:02:13.800 the Special Olympians

01:02:15.220 can quite effectively

01:02:17.660 compete with each

01:02:18.660 other and have a

01:02:19.700 great time, but you

01:02:21.580 couldn't really throw

01:02:22.400 them in with, let's

01:02:23.880 say, the NBA and

01:02:25.360 expect that to be a

01:02:26.680 good time?

01:02:28.520 So, here we have

01:02:30.360 this parallel situation

01:02:31.720 with the trans

01:02:32.740 athletes.

01:02:34.720 Is there any reason

01:02:35.440 that we wouldn't have

01:02:36.280 Special Olympics for

01:02:38.060 trans athletes?

01:02:39.320 Now, not special as

01:02:40.560 in, you know, any kind

01:02:41.720 of disability, but

01:02:43.400 special as in

01:02:44.160 different.

01:02:45.220 Why not?

01:02:48.600 Why not?

01:02:49.500 If the whole point of

01:02:51.060 having a Special

01:02:51.760 Olympics is we're not,

01:02:53.720 this is not looking

01:02:55.780 down on anybody.

01:02:57.260 This is full respect.

01:02:59.620 Right?

01:03:00.340 I haven't, I've never

01:03:01.500 heard anybody say

01:03:03.760 that the Special

01:03:04.500 Olympics was

01:03:05.240 disrespectful to the

01:03:07.240 athletes.

01:03:08.420 It's very respectful.

01:03:09.840 All attempt to make

01:03:11.460 it respectful.

01:03:12.400 You couldn't do the

01:03:13.080 same thing for trans

01:03:13.960 athletes, just do it

01:03:15.460 respectfully.

01:03:16.960 Just say, you know,

01:03:19.080 there's just a

01:03:20.060 practical reason why

01:03:22.800 it doesn't work to

01:03:23.940 mix the trans

01:03:25.120 athletes with the

01:03:26.000 non-trans

01:03:26.540 athletes.

01:03:27.580 It's the same

01:03:28.480 thinking as the

01:03:29.160 Special Olympics.

01:03:30.040 And again, no, I'm

01:03:31.920 not comparing, I'm

01:03:34.000 not comparing trans

01:03:35.680 athletes to Special

01:03:36.940 Olympians.

01:03:37.580 that's what dumb

01:03:39.480 people will say.

01:03:40.520 When they take this

01:03:41.300 out of context, that's

01:03:42.320 what they always say.

01:03:43.100 Oh, you compare

01:03:43.900 them.

01:03:44.900 No, I did not

01:03:46.800 compare them.

01:03:49.300 I'm just saying that

01:03:50.540 there are some

01:03:51.140 situations in which

01:03:52.200 treating a demographic

01:03:53.960 group with some

01:03:56.360 special consideration

01:03:57.620 is considered

01:03:59.480 respectful.

01:04:00.340 No, I did not

01:04:02.860 equate them.

01:04:04.280 I did not compare

01:04:04.920 them.

01:04:05.620 I just said if you

01:04:06.700 have a solution that

01:04:07.840 works in one case,

01:04:09.600 does it teach you

01:04:10.980 anything about another

01:04:11.860 case?

01:04:12.740 That doesn't mean the

01:04:13.620 people involved are the

01:04:14.580 same.

01:04:14.880 That would be crazy.

01:04:18.040 Yeah.

01:04:21.140 So, I don't know.

01:04:22.620 I just put that out

01:04:23.400 there.

01:04:24.580 I think if that doesn't

01:04:25.520 get me canceled, nothing

01:04:26.420 will.

01:04:27.440 But again, I'm

01:04:28.480 pro-trans.

01:04:29.080 for the adults, for

01:04:31.700 the children, that's,

01:04:33.340 you know, I don't

01:04:34.200 think children should

01:04:34.920 be making permanent

01:04:35.800 decisions about their

01:04:36.740 bodies.

01:04:37.960 But for the adults, I'm

01:04:40.860 pro.

01:04:42.500 I think I might even

01:04:44.680 watch.

01:04:45.860 I'd be interested.

01:04:49.080 Now, it could be that

01:04:50.120 there are not enough,

01:04:51.100 but it looks like that

01:04:51.860 problem is going to be

01:04:52.660 solved.

01:04:53.860 Seems like there are

01:04:55.040 more people every day.

01:04:57.200 So, anyway.

01:04:59.080 I just ask that

01:04:59.840 question.

01:05:00.800 Or, if short of that,

01:05:04.200 then it should just be

01:05:05.240 co-ed leagues.

01:05:06.260 Because you could get

01:05:07.020 the same thing with

01:05:07.740 just a co-ed league.

01:05:10.540 Just don't worry about

01:05:11.620 the gender at all.

01:05:13.280 Just say, if you're this

01:05:14.260 good, you're in this

01:05:15.180 league.

01:05:15.780 If you're really good,

01:05:17.140 no matter who you are,

01:05:18.600 you're in this league,

01:05:19.920 et cetera.

01:05:21.700 Anyway, I think that

01:05:22.860 trans athletes should be

01:05:24.080 accommodated.

01:05:24.860 because I think that

01:05:26.680 we're a better country

01:05:28.480 when everybody can play

01:05:29.500 sports.

01:05:30.700 We're a better country

01:05:31.820 when everybody can play

01:05:32.780 sports and not have to

01:05:34.260 have any drama about it.

01:05:35.960 Just be able to try.

01:05:37.860 You know, just have some

01:05:38.460 fun.

01:05:40.960 All right.

01:05:41.540 That'll never happen.

01:05:46.300 I saw from a tweet

01:05:49.200 by Tommy Schultz,

01:05:50.480 who's a school choice

01:05:52.280 advocate,

01:05:53.480 that,

01:05:54.580 is this true?

01:05:55.980 We saw the numbers

01:05:56.780 about Baltimore

01:05:57.480 and how many kids

01:05:58.580 had, like,

01:05:59.220 zero capability

01:06:00.200 after they graduated.

01:06:01.280 But apparently in

01:06:03.160 Illinois,

01:06:04.700 30 schools have

01:06:05.900 zero students

01:06:06.700 proficient in reading.

01:06:09.700 Zero.

01:06:11.000 Zero students can read

01:06:12.360 when they graduate.

01:06:14.240 Zero.

01:06:15.720 Zero.

01:06:17.400 And 53 schools

01:06:18.960 have zero students

01:06:19.880 proficient in math.

01:06:21.960 Zero.

01:06:24.320 Zero.

01:06:27.260 What?

01:06:28.780 And the taxpayers

01:06:29.700 spend $20,500

01:06:31.260 per student

01:06:32.180 in those schools.

01:06:34.280 Now,

01:06:36.420 school choice

01:06:37.680 is just a requirement

01:06:38.760 at this point,

01:06:39.560 isn't it?

01:06:40.940 It's just a requirement.

01:06:44.660 Yeah.

01:06:46.040 I mean,

01:06:46.720 what else can you say?

01:06:49.220 There's no argument

01:06:50.480 that needs to be made.

01:06:52.100 You just say

01:06:52.700 those two facts,

01:06:54.260 zero people

01:06:55.120 proficient in math,

01:06:56.520 and you're done.

01:06:58.380 You're done.

01:07:00.280 You've got to have

01:07:01.140 your school choice.

01:07:04.380 Well,

01:07:05.140 Ron DeSantis

01:07:06.880 is getting some heat.

01:07:09.480 There's a

01:07:10.440 fake news

01:07:12.060 that George Soros

01:07:13.360 endorsed DeSantis.

01:07:15.340 Carrie Trump,

01:07:16.180 I'm sorry,

01:07:17.100 Carrie Lake tweeted that,

01:07:18.800 but it's fake.

01:07:20.040 What did happen

01:07:22.300 is that Soros

01:07:23.420 said that

01:07:24.360 Trump has turned

01:07:26.140 into a pitiful figure,

01:07:28.140 continually bemoaning

01:07:29.300 his loss in 2020,

01:07:31.660 and that DeSantis

01:07:33.000 is shrewd,

01:07:34.240 ruthless,

01:07:34.700 and ambitious.

01:07:36.000 That's not exactly

01:07:36.940 an endorsement,

01:07:37.820 is it?

01:07:39.200 Shrewd,

01:07:39.900 ruthless,

01:07:40.320 and ambitious?

01:07:41.500 That's not a Soros

01:07:42.880 endorsement.

01:07:44.420 He's just talking

01:07:45.420 about them.

01:07:46.700 He's just describing

01:07:47.920 them in his opinion.

01:07:50.440 And then Soros

01:07:52.080 says he's likely

01:07:52.880 to be the

01:07:53.360 Republican candidate.

01:07:54.840 Do you believe that?

01:07:56.660 Do you believe

01:07:57.480 that DeSantis

01:07:58.420 is likely

01:07:59.300 to be the

01:08:00.240 Republican candidate?

01:08:03.160 Have we reached

01:08:04.220 a point where

01:08:04.700 you could say

01:08:05.440 that's likely

01:08:06.260 even before

01:08:08.260 he announces?

01:08:08.900 I don't know.

01:08:13.000 I'm not sure

01:08:13.700 I would say

01:08:14.140 it's likely yet.

01:08:15.640 Unless likely

01:08:16.440 includes less

01:08:17.460 than 50% chance.

01:08:19.460 Because sometimes

01:08:20.120 I use the language

01:08:21.080 there's a good chance

01:08:22.240 that something

01:08:22.680 will happen.

01:08:23.900 But when I say

01:08:24.540 there's a good chance

01:08:25.600 something will happen,

01:08:26.520 I mean 10%.

01:08:27.840 Right?

01:08:29.300 If it's something big,

01:08:31.100 a 10% chance

01:08:32.160 of it happening

01:08:32.660 is,

01:08:33.420 that's a good chance.

01:08:34.980 It's a big chance.

01:08:37.100 Right?

01:08:37.260 So you think

01:08:37.940 it's 100%?

01:08:39.180 It could be.

01:08:41.740 I don't have

01:08:42.540 an opinion

01:08:42.980 for or against

01:08:45.660 the likelihood

01:08:46.420 of it.

01:08:47.580 To me it seems

01:08:48.300 like a coin flip.

01:08:51.740 Oh, you think

01:08:52.200 if Soros wants him?

01:08:53.740 Why would Soros

01:08:54.560 want DeSantis?

01:08:57.420 Soros doesn't

01:08:58.240 want DeSantis.

01:08:59.800 Does he?

01:09:00.960 Because I'm sure

01:09:01.880 he thinks

01:09:02.340 that Trump would lose,

01:09:03.880 but he probably

01:09:04.840 thinks DeSantis

01:09:05.560 would win.

01:09:07.260 So Joy Reid

01:09:08.740 and her angry guest,

01:09:11.640 I forget her name,

01:09:13.220 Leslie something,

01:09:14.880 are mad at Ron DeSantis

01:09:16.260 for canceling

01:09:18.400 black history

01:09:19.060 AP class

01:09:19.820 in Florida.

01:09:22.680 Now,

01:09:23.680 how many of you

01:09:24.940 are in favor

01:09:25.620 of canceling

01:09:29.160 black history

01:09:30.660 AP class?

01:09:33.140 Leslie Jones?

01:09:34.320 Is that her name?

01:09:35.320 Yeah.

01:09:35.460 I see a lot

01:09:37.760 of yeses.

01:09:38.740 I see a no,

01:09:39.780 no,

01:09:40.680 no.

01:09:41.820 It's optional,

01:09:42.760 right?

01:09:43.680 Isn't it an optional

01:09:44.500 class?

01:09:46.220 It's an AP class,

01:09:47.100 it's optional.

01:09:50.300 Okay.

01:09:51.900 How many of you

01:09:53.100 understand what's

01:09:55.140 in the class

01:09:55.760 in any detail?

01:09:56.840 how many of you

01:09:58.940 understand

01:09:59.660 what the class

01:10:01.280 teaches

01:10:01.700 in detail?

01:10:05.220 Some of you.

01:10:05.960 Some of you

01:10:06.380 looked into it.

01:10:08.360 All right,

01:10:08.680 here's my take

01:10:09.320 on this.

01:10:10.200 I don't know

01:10:10.680 what's in the class.

01:10:12.540 I've heard

01:10:13.160 the reports

01:10:13.860 that,

01:10:14.580 you know,

01:10:14.740 what's in and

01:10:15.180 what's out.

01:10:16.000 But,

01:10:16.540 if you don't

01:10:17.520 know the details

01:10:18.400 of the class,

01:10:20.120 and you have

01:10:20.980 a strong opinion

01:10:21.780 of whether it

01:10:22.320 should be there

01:10:22.880 or not be there,

01:10:23.660 you might be

01:10:25.340 a racist.

01:10:26.920 In other words,

01:10:27.720 you might be

01:10:28.060 a normal human being

01:10:29.020 because everybody's

01:10:29.940 a racist.

01:10:30.920 Everybody's a sexist,

01:10:31.980 everybody's a racist.

01:10:32.880 That's my opinion.

01:10:34.460 The best you can do

01:10:35.720 is fight against

01:10:36.900 your,

01:10:37.240 you know,

01:10:38.440 your impulses.

01:10:40.200 So,

01:10:40.660 the closest you

01:10:41.740 could come to

01:10:42.300 not being a racist

01:10:43.220 is that you tried

01:10:44.460 really hard

01:10:45.060 and you're transparent.

01:10:46.760 That's it.

01:10:48.160 That's it.

01:10:48.760 That's an A plus.

01:10:50.080 I tried really hard

01:10:51.180 and I was transparent

01:10:52.840 in my decision-making

01:10:54.460 and what I did.

01:10:55.780 That's it.

01:10:56.720 That's your best.

01:10:57.740 You can't beat that.

01:10:58.980 If you think you can

01:10:59.920 go all the way

01:11:00.640 from trying hard

01:11:01.800 to,

01:11:03.200 I have achieved

01:11:04.180 a non-racist brain.

01:11:07.340 I'm the first person

01:11:08.360 in the history

01:11:08.920 of humanity,

01:11:10.000 but I sit above you

01:11:11.320 looking down upon you

01:11:13.020 for your inability

01:11:14.180 to be as objective

01:11:15.140 as I am.

01:11:15.780 That's not real.

01:11:17.200 No.

01:11:17.580 You can try hard.

01:11:19.320 That's it.

01:11:19.920 So,

01:11:22.860 I would worry

01:11:23.420 that everybody

01:11:24.280 who has a strong

01:11:24.920 opinion on that

01:11:25.840 is probably

01:11:27.080 demonstrating

01:11:27.840 some racist

01:11:28.960 tendencies

01:11:29.580 and I'm not

01:11:31.460 condemning that

01:11:32.200 because everybody

01:11:33.600 has them,

01:11:35.260 including the people

01:11:36.060 who are complaining

01:11:36.600 about Ron DeSantis,

01:11:37.780 which to me

01:11:38.620 looked racist

01:11:39.320 because it was.

01:11:44.040 Just as the thing

01:11:45.280 they're criticizing

01:11:46.140 probably is.

01:11:47.400 It's all racist.

01:11:48.200 I think we have

01:11:50.040 to get to the point

01:11:50.600 where we stop saying

01:11:51.640 that's racist

01:11:53.060 but that's not.

01:11:55.500 There's no such thing

01:11:56.400 as that.

01:11:57.120 It's just all racist

01:11:58.300 all the time.

01:11:59.840 You can only be

01:12:00.780 transparent

01:12:01.300 and try hard.

01:12:03.620 That's it.

01:12:05.040 That's your best

01:12:05.820 case scenario

01:12:06.460 right there.

01:12:07.140 And then apologize

01:12:07.920 when you get it wrong,

01:12:08.860 I suppose.

01:12:09.720 Or, you know,

01:12:10.440 correct yourself

01:12:11.200 if you get it wrong.

01:12:12.360 But that's it.

01:12:13.320 That's all you can do.

01:12:16.080 All right.

01:12:18.200 Rasmussen says

01:12:20.540 that Trump

01:12:21.760 would trounce

01:12:23.060 DeSantis

01:12:24.000 in the primaries.

01:12:27.880 And let's see,

01:12:28.880 what would the vote be?

01:12:30.000 It would be

01:12:30.520 45% of Republicans

01:12:35.680 would support Trump

01:12:36.620 at the moment

01:12:37.820 versus 32

01:12:38.820 for DeSantis

01:12:40.000 and 14

01:12:41.360 for other candidates.

01:12:42.760 But that 14

01:12:43.500 for other candidates

01:12:44.360 is a pretty big 14.

01:12:45.860 So if you assume

01:12:47.900 that, let's say,

01:12:48.720 the primary ran

01:12:50.360 and the other candidates

01:12:51.780 that have 14% support,

01:12:53.460 they start dropping out,

01:12:55.260 where does the 14 go?

01:12:57.300 Because I feel like

01:12:58.200 that's a 14

01:12:58.900 that doesn't go to Trump

01:13:00.140 necessarily.

01:13:03.600 Trump people tend to be,

01:13:05.100 you know,

01:13:05.440 in or out.

01:13:06.860 They don't seem to be,

01:13:08.420 well, let me test

01:13:10.080 some of these

01:13:10.720 lesser candidates.

01:13:11.860 I feel like

01:13:14.540 the 14%

01:13:16.260 who are not voting

01:13:17.860 for DeSantis

01:13:18.640 and not voting

01:13:19.520 for Trump

01:13:20.080 are really just

01:13:21.480 non-Trump supporters.

01:13:24.060 I don't know that.

01:13:25.660 It's just speculation.

01:13:27.980 So it's possible

01:13:28.880 that it's closer

01:13:30.240 to a tie

01:13:30.880 than we know.

01:13:33.300 Possibly.

01:13:34.740 Everything will change

01:13:35.660 when people get serious.

01:13:37.120 Yeah,

01:13:39.940 if they don't want

01:13:40.560 Trump from the start,

01:13:41.480 they probably don't,

01:13:42.400 you know,

01:13:43.200 he probably doesn't

01:13:44.260 grow on you.

01:13:48.540 Nikki Haley

01:13:49.340 is going to stay

01:13:50.280 in the primaries

01:13:51.020 to keep DeSantis out.

01:13:54.660 You know,

01:13:55.360 I'm starting to think

01:13:56.480 that Nikki Haley

01:13:57.480 and Trump

01:13:58.140 have a secret agreement.

01:14:01.140 Does anybody else

01:14:02.060 think so?

01:14:04.700 Because it's a little

01:14:05.600 perfect, isn't it?

01:14:07.120 Nikki Haley

01:14:07.780 is strong enough

01:14:08.720 that if she stays in,

01:14:10.420 she could prevent

01:14:11.500 DeSantis

01:14:12.720 from getting enough support.

01:14:14.260 That feels true.

01:14:16.380 And if she stayed

01:14:18.160 until she was

01:14:19.080 the third person standing,

01:14:22.140 she'd be the obvious

01:14:23.080 VP choice.

01:14:25.260 Right?

01:14:27.200 She'd be the obvious

01:14:28.240 VP choice

01:14:29.040 if she just runs

01:14:29.840 a clean campaign,

01:14:31.260 doesn't go after

01:14:32.020 Trump hard,

01:14:33.420 but maybe does

01:14:34.160 go after DeSantis.

01:14:35.820 You can imagine

01:14:36.440 going after DeSantis

01:14:37.700 harder than Trump.

01:14:42.860 I'm seeing a comment

01:14:43.880 that Haley

01:14:44.380 has been anti-Trump.

01:14:46.080 None of that

01:14:46.660 really matters

01:14:47.400 when it comes to

01:14:48.300 picking a vice president.

01:14:50.620 It's common

01:14:51.420 to pick a vice president

01:14:52.420 who is anti-you

01:14:53.420 at some point.

01:14:54.860 That's just ordinary.

01:14:59.840 Biden's new nemesis

01:15:01.020 is balloon pop.

01:15:02.660 So we went from

01:15:03.300 corn pop to balloon pop.

01:15:08.280 All right.

01:15:10.840 I think we've covered it all.

01:15:12.980 Did I miss anything?

01:15:16.680 I don't think so.

01:15:17.640 All right.

01:15:28.200 Yeah, there are many people

01:15:29.220 who believe you can't

01:15:30.160 be racist

01:15:30.680 if you're in the

01:15:32.060 victimized group.

01:15:34.200 To which I say,

01:15:35.580 if you interpret

01:15:37.640 your situation

01:15:38.540 as being in the

01:15:39.480 victimized group,

01:15:41.340 you're a racist.

01:15:42.060 Can we have people

01:15:52.240 who speak normal?

01:16:01.060 Can you define racist?

01:16:03.460 Yes.

01:16:04.580 Someone who sees race

01:16:05.860 as an important variable

01:16:08.120 in how things are working

01:16:10.180 and believes that society

01:16:11.700 should be organized

01:16:12.440 in some way

01:16:13.260 to appreciate

01:16:14.980 racial differences,

01:16:16.260 which I do not believe.

01:16:20.780 But, you know,

01:16:21.820 but we all have bias as well.

01:16:26.180 Right?

01:16:26.900 I don't think there's anybody

01:16:27.920 who doesn't have

01:16:28.740 racial bias.

01:16:29.980 Do you?

01:16:31.080 Or gender bias.

01:16:33.020 I think those two biases

01:16:34.240 are just so

01:16:35.360 basic part of reality

01:16:37.940 that the best you can do

01:16:40.040 is, you know,

01:16:42.340 try your hardest

01:16:43.400 and be transparent.

01:16:45.200 That's it.

01:16:46.300 And then when you screw up,

01:16:47.960 somebody slaps you,

01:16:49.460 and then maybe

01:16:50.240 you learn something.

01:16:52.400 That's it.

01:16:53.320 It's the best you can do.

01:16:56.140 Somebody says,

01:16:56.920 Scott Adams is

01:16:57.640 the Michael Jordan

01:16:58.420 of baseball.

01:17:04.320 All right.

01:17:05.020 So that's all for now

01:17:06.460 for YouTube.

01:17:07.540 I'm going to talk

01:17:08.140 to you later.

01:17:08.620 You've been amazing,

01:17:09.760 as usual.

01:17:11.520 Thanks for joining.

01:17:15.180 No, I gave up

01:17:16.080 on my AI girlfriend.

01:17:17.880 She was boring

01:17:19.420 after a while.

01:17:21.400 All right.

01:17:21.760 Bye for now.

01:17:22.220 Bye for now.

01:17:22.260 Bye for now.

01:17:32.860 Bye for now.

01:17:41.120 Bye for now.

01:17:41.760 Bye for now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 17, 2023

Episode 2022 Scott Adams： GOP Border Security Fentanyl HOAX, Clapper, Matt Walsh, DeSantis, Balloons

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