Episode 2030 Scott Adams: Welcome To The Third Act. Don't Try This At Home
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 3 minutes
Words per Minute
137.66713
Summary
A new study suggests that heavy use of cannabis could have cardiovascular problems, and AOC says nuclear power is a good idea. Plus, the WokeCulture movement at the University of North Carolina is on a warpath.
Transcript
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To the finest thing that's ever happened to you. It's the highlight of civilization. It's called
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Coffee with Scott Adams. If you're here because you think I might cause some trouble,
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well, maybe. Maybe. Well, we'll get to all of that, but if you'd like your experience to be
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the kind of thing that your grandkids will hear about, all you need to take this event up to
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levels never before heard of. All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice
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or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid.
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I like coffee. I like my coffee black. Stop it. I like my coffee black. Stop it. Sip.
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Ah, that's so good. So good. What the hell was that? Something loud just fell over.
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All right, well, I didn't have time to check the news today. Let's see if anything's trending
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on Twitter. Wait, it's me. We'll get to that. We'll get to that, but you're going to have
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to wait for it. I know there's a story you probably want to hear about today, maybe a
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little bit, but let's talk about some other stuff first. Number one, there's a new study
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Fox News is reporting a growing body of evidence suggesting that cannabis is not entirely without
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harm. And there's a suggestion Stanford University, a physician says the study, which has not been
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published, will be presented Sunday, I guess. And it shows that there might be some cardiovascular
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disease associated with heavy use of marijuana. Now, let's take you through the analysis cone.
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Number one, marijuana is either good for people or bad for people, right? It can't be both. Well,
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it actually could be both. But if you're talking about whether it causes you potentially greater
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disease, that's either a yes or no. Now, separately, you could say it helps you with other various
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things, but those are usually comfort-related, not survival. But in terms of survival and in
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terms of the cardio, the study says that there could be cardiovascular implications. All right,
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so before there was a study, what did you know? Let's say it was the only study that had ever
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happened. What would you know? Well, nothing. It'd be sort of a coin flip. If somebody said,
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hey, does it hurt you or help you? Or hurt you or not hurt you? It's sort of binary, right? It
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either hurts or it doesn't. 50-50, coin flip. If you didn't know anything, you had no information
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whatsoever. 50-50. So now there's a study, probably peer-reviewed. And what does that
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change the odds to? So the study says it could be dangerous. So the odds were 50-50 when you didn't
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know anything. You're just flipping a coin because you got... But now you have a study. What are the odds
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now? Still 50-50? Because half of all studies are wrong. They point in the wrong direction. Half.
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So there's actually no... This is no information. Now it's the beginning of something that could be
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information if lots of other studies confirmed it. And if every way you looked at it and every way
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you studied it gave you the same answer, or even if most of them did, well, then you'd know something.
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But when you get like a new, bold, brand new study, it's 50-50. You didn't learn anything,
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actually. So just keep that in mind. Big news that probably should have been bigger news.
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AOC seems to be quite solidly pro-nuclear now. Did you know that? So I guess she visited some
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nuclear site and she was talking positively about how well they can control radiation. And also
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specifically positively about how France uses its nuclear waste as fuel for its reactors. And other
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countries don't. And she's saying that's a good way to handle it. That's a pretty big deal.
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If you can get AOC to say, you know, nuclear is just unambiguously a good idea. And I think
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she's there. That's got to make a huge difference. Because that would be one of the few things that
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the right and left could completely agree on. Completely. So it looks like unity is breaking
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out. Does it feel like that to you? Maybe not everywhere. Well, Fox News reports that the
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University of North Carolina is moved against what they call the encroaching woke culture.
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And I guess the university is voting to ban diversity, equity, and inclusion, the DEI
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statements and politically preferential hiring. So they're working against racism. But that will
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be called being racist. Do you know that whenever you try to reduce racism, there's a name that
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you will be called? What is it? What happens when you try to reduce racism? A racist, yeah. A racist
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is a person who tries to reduce racism or a person who has racism, who is one. It's a word that works
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for both. Sort of like bi-monthly. You know, could be twice a month or, yeah, well, anyway. And I like
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this phrase that they use. I don't, maybe you've heard this phrase before, compelled speech. So I guess
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they're calling DEI and things that go with it, a form of compelled speech, meaning that whether you
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believe it or not, you're going to have to talk this way. Which is an interesting way to put it.
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Because they don't talk about DEI changing your mind, which would be a different argument, wouldn't it?
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You know, we're going to do this training to change your mind. I don't think anybody believes,
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yeah, that's probably Jordan Peterson's take, you're right. I don't think anybody believes that
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DEI changes anybody's mind. There's sort of a tacit appreciation that it's only changing the way
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you speak so you won't get fired and it canceled. Am I wrong about that? That all of the DEI and CRT
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stuff is only forcing you to talk about it like you believe it. It's not really changing anybody's
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mind. Have you ever met anybody who changed their mind about anything? It's like nobody ever changes
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their mind, especially on stuff like that. I would agree. So here's where the black community and I
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are in complete agreement. All of the bad stuff in the past has to be fully reported. You can't hide
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anything. So certainly you want a complete and useful education about all things discrimination
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in the past. From slavery on to systemic racism. So I think we'd all agree on that. But it's interesting
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that we can't keep it with let's all be educated. It has to change to let's all talk this way.
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You have to talk a certain way. All right. Compelled speech. Do you know anybody in the news who's
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trending today who is the victim of forces who are trying to compel his speech?
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Just looking at my messages. Jesus, get a lot of text today.
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All right. China is rumored to be thinking about sending deadly weapons to Russia for the Ukrainian
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invasion. Now, here's my take on this. Do you think China is a stupid country full of stupid
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people? Does anybody think that? Or do you think China? Somebody said, yes, you racist. No,
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you don't believe that. Now, or do you think that China is a smart country who understands their
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self-interest and is pursuing it quite aggressively? I would say China is a smart country full of smart
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leaders who have their own interests, you know, at the top of their list. And I can't really complain
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about that. Can't really complain about that. It's just that you have to, you know, be awake and know
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what to do about it. Can't complain about it, though. Everybody gets to pursue their self-interest.
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But here's my take on it. I think China is not stupid, the leadership specifically, and therefore
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they would be crazy to give deadly weapons to Russia. Because I think they totally understand
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that's a red line. That whatever economic blowback they're getting now, the U.S. would
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very quickly increase that to levels that they don't want to deal with. Very quickly. So what
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is China's best play? Because they want to be allies to Russia, because they have to live
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next to them, and they trade a lot. But they can't really make the U.S. mad in that specific
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way. Like they can make us mad a hundred different ways. But not that specific way. That specific
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way is going to be too far. There's only one thing that could happen here, in my opinion.
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China will yank Putin around and tell him that any day now they're going to be sending him
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weapons, or they've got a committee looking into it, or they've said yes, but they need to collect
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the weapons. It's going to take a long time. Or we've got a bunch of weapons to send you,
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but oops, they're accidentally, they need maintenance. We better need a little more time.
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I don't believe that they're going to send him any weapons. I believe that they're going
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to pretend they are, which is probably what our intel is picking up. And in the end, they're
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just going to try to stall and hope it gets negotiated before anybody needs any extra weapons.
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Wouldn't it be, it would be stupid for China to actually send the weapons. But it would
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be just as stupid to tell Putin, absolutely no, I'm not sending you weapons. Nope, not going
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to do it. Right? The only smart way to play this is to sort of, you know, pull Putin along.
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Then maybe, there may be some little gray area here where you say, all right, we'll give you
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some non-weaponized drones for surveillance, you know, which they would immediately weaponize
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as soon as they got them. And then China will say, we didn't give them any weapons. We just
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gave them our drones. Drones with no weapons. Surveillance. Probably for crop, you know, maintenance.
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Something like that. It's not our fault. Those Russians, who saw it coming? They put weapons
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on our drones. So it could be something like that. But I don't think, I don't think China
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is going to be shipping artillery and, you know, large caches of weapons to Russia. I
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don't think so. What do you think? Do you think China is just going to go, yeah, let's sell
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you or give you, sell you or give you a bunch of weapons? Do you think that's going to happen?
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That seems like the least likely thing that could ever happen. But remember, remember
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the one that I got wrong on this. I said that Putin would never, well, not never, but I said
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he would not invade Ukraine because it was a stupid play and he wasn't stupid. And then
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he invaded. And it was a stupid play. I didn't think he was that stupid. To me, it looked like
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a suicide play for Russia. But he was. He was. Now, of course, he was probably operating
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on completely different information because I had none except common sense. And, you know,
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he had lots of information. But his information was probably all lies from his own generals.
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Oh, yeah, we're ready to go. Give us three days, we'll take Ukraine. No problem. So apparently
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I had better information than he did because I had no information except, you know, an understanding
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of the world. And what he had was all of his generals lying to him because if they didn't
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lie, they would be immediately, you know, executed or something. 4chan's going crazy, somebody
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says. I wonder why. All right. So that's what I think is happening.
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What else is happening? Yeah, so China has recommended an outline for a peace plan.
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Listen to this non-helpful suggestion. So this is China trying to be helpful with the Ukraine-Russia
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sort of thing. They've recommended that it be ended by negotiation. Oh, now that's something
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that nobody had thought about before. You know, a lot of people were thinking, how could
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we end the war without winning it? What would be any other way you could end a war? Let's
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see, there's winning. There's losing. There's a third way. I know there's a third way. It's
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on the tip of my tongue. What is China saying? China? That's it. That's what I was trying
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to think of, negotiating. And China, helpfully, reminded us that that's one way to end a war
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without killing each other. Didn't see it coming. Yeah, it's China's free money. China gets to
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be anti-war while risking nothing. It's just perfect. I don't even think China wants the
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war to end. Do you? Do you think China cares? It seems like they have more access to Russian
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energy. And their adversaries are being degraded. Why would they want to end it? Really, why
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would they? Yeah, depleting US arms, getting us all worn out in case they make a move on
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Taiwan. It wouldn't really make any sense to help Russia. All right. Today, at 2 o'clock
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my time, 5 o'clock Eastern time, I'm going to be talking to Hotep Jesus on his podcast. And
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I will answer all of your questions about my recent provocative comments. Now, there are
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some updates. We're entering the third act. If you don't know how a movie is set out, then
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you don't understand what you're watching here. In the first act, there's something that changes
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the life, let's say, path of whoever's the protagonist in the movie. So often in a movie,
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somebody will die or there'll be some tragic event. And it sets a person off on a course
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for something else. Now, in this case, I made my controversial comments. And that would be
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the first act where everybody's like, whoa, whoa, what's happening here? The second act of
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a movie, if I can borrow some language from Save the Cat, it's one of the most famous script-writing
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books, is the fun and games scene. So the second act of a movie is where you have a bunch of
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scenes which, you know, collectively they fit together, but they're just a bunch of fun
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scenes. Like it might be fight scenes that are fun to watch if it's a fight movie, or it might
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be some car chases, or basically it's just a bunch of fun things to watch. So each of
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these scenes can stand alone, but collectively they, you know, they tell a story of something.
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Yeah, the 5 p.m. is Eastern time for the Hotel Jesus talk today. All right. So then the third,
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the third act, which I've told you before, is where the protagonist of the movie is in an
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impossible situation and could not possibly get out. That's today. That's today. So the fun and
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games was the last few days where there was lots of back and forth and stuff on social media. Today,
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right on schedule, and you might say to yourself, Scott, did you anticipate this happening?
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I wrote the movie. I wrote the movie. Of course I anticipated it. Yeah. Today's the day I'm supposed
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to get canceled by newspapers. So USA Today has already announced they've canceled. The Cleveland
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Plain Dealer has canceled, and apparently there's a number of other newspapers that have canceled.
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Now, I assume this is the beginning, and probably because it's the weekend, you're not seeing the
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major move. By Monday, I should be mostly canceled, or maybe a third or half or something like that.
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So most of my income will be gone by next week, right? Now, that's a third act. That's like,
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you cannot, not only that, but the income is actually the least important part. The important
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part is that my reputation for the rest of my life is destroyed. You can't come back from this.
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Am I right? There's no way you can get out of this. So that's what makes it a third act.
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That's why you watch. You watch because there's no way to escape. Is there? Well, let's talk about
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what's going on. Because the simulation is just a gift one after another, my cancellation happened
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by complete chance. And I had no idea this was happening. By complete coincidence,
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Apparently, some neo-Nazis are marching, and today they've designated the day of hate.
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Now, do you think this movie could have been written any more perfectly? To correspond to what I did,
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which was the opposite of racism, but also racism. It was the opposite, but it was also racism,
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as the opposite always is. The opposite of racism is racism. I'll talk about that in a minute.
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But it's like the perfect storm of the worst-case scenario. The worst-case scenario is that that
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story literally was trending on Twitter. My name was like right above day of hate.
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That's like the perfect third act. Because it's like everything bad happening exactly the same
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time. When I saw that, I was just laughing. I was like, oh, well, that's perfect. Like,
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I thought I wrote this movie, you know, to hit all the notes, but it turns out that that one was
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accidental, but it was just like hit perfectly. It's like, oh, everybody's going to think I'm part
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of that. So watch for that. Let's see. So the, yeah, the Cleveland Plain Dealer canceled me. And so,
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you know, I like to think of this as a learning experience for all of us, not just for you.
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I feel that I'm here to learn as well. And when the Cleveland Plain Dealer canceled Dildert,
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I guess that happened yesterday, I learned something. And I learned something that I did
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not know. And it's probably going to be important to me for the rest of my life.
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And what I learned from this is Cleveland had a newspaper. Did you know Cleveland had a newspaper?
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I guess I did. So that will stay with me for the rest of my life.
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Now, one of the questions I asked on Twitter was, if a young person asked you for career advice,
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would you recommend moving to Cleveland? Would you recommend moving to Cleveland?
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Surprisingly, 90% said no. It seems like such a nice place. I don't know why you wouldn't move there.
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Yeah. Yeah. And especially if you're a non-racist, it's 53% black. I checked. So if you were a non-racist,
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that would be exactly where to go. That'd be like one of the best places. So Cleveland has rejected me.
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But I'm probably going to, you know, change my advice because I've learned so much from this.
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If somebody asks me for advice, I'm going to say, move to Cleveland because they've got it going on.
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Right. Let me clarify what I was intending to say. You'll see if this sounds like what you heard.
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So here's something I say all the time, including, including lately and today.
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I can abide by no discrimination against individuals.
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Is there anybody who would say, no, you should discriminate against individuals?
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Is there anybody in the world, like I've never even met anybody who thinks you should discriminate against individuals?
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So some people are saying, yes, discriminate against individuals.
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No, you don't mean that. I know you don't mean that.
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So does anybody believe that I don't mean that?
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Is there somebody here who believes that I don't mean it when I say you should not discriminate in any regard,
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not personally, not professionally, no exceptions?
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Now, from a constitutional and a legal perspective in the United States,
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should you discriminate against anybody for race or religion or ethnicity?
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I guess that's the same thing, sort of, almost.
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So does anybody think that I oppose the Constitution?
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I think he really secretly believes that we should discriminate against people in a legal, legal sense?
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Do you think that I said you should shun your neighbor if you're white and your neighbor is black?
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do you think maybe there was some context you were missing?
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If you were a black family or even if not and you lived in a home and suddenly a bunch of neo-Nazis bought all the homes right around you,
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so you found yourself accidentally living in a neo-Nazi clan neighborhood and you're not with them,
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that if there's a group of people who, on average,
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have a racist opinion about you or a negative opinion about you,
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would you recommend to somebody stay in that situation if they had the option of moving?
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Stay around neo-Nazis or to make some distance, get away from there.
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You know, my comments were in the context, of course, gets removed.
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The way most hoaxes are created is the same way.
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The fine people hoax in Charlottesville was created by taking the middle of the statement,
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The drinking bleach hoax was created by showing the middle of the video,
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The Covington Kids hoax video was created by showing the middle,
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The Scott Adams video that got me canceled, same way.
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The context was that nobody, white or black, should hang around with people who, on average,
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if we're talking about a group, not individuals,
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but on average, you should avoid situations where you're disliked.
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Does anybody think that you should play it the other way?
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Does anybody think that good, let's say, life or career strategy
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would involve going where you have the least chance of success
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So I think here's the frame that people were missing.
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you should absolutely be nice to your neighbor,
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Does anybody think that you should shun your co-workers?
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This is going to fuck up your heads a little bit.
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based on any kind of legal, constitutional stuff.
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Justice system has to be as fair as it could be.
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there's one category that we don't speak about.
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Can you do something for your own personal career
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which would be Fortune 500 companies in particular,