Episode 2044 Scott Adams: Silicon Valley Bank Debacle, Free Jacob Chansley Or Close Congress, More
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 16 minutes
Words per Minute
142.93925
Summary
In this episode of The Daily Show with Bill Maher, Alex Blumberg talks about Joe Biden's Alaska drilling plan, Greta Thunberg's new book, and Bill Maher's take on Elon Musk's plan to build a utopia.
Transcript
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Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the best thing that ever happened to you.
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It's a highlight of civilization, and there's never been a finer thing that's ever happened,
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but if you'd like to take this experience up to, oh, I don't know, the heights of a Chinese spy balloon,
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all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stein, a canteen joke or flask,
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a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid.
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And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day,
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It's called the simultaneous sip, and it's going to happen now.
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Well, here's the most important question of the day.
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But I've got to start with the most important one.
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It was sort of a question I had yesterday, so I tweeted it.
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If Joe Biden is called POTUS, P-O-T-U-S, and Jill Biden, his wife, is called the FLOTUS,
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If Joe Biden is POTUS and Jill Biden is FLOTUS, what is Hunter Biden?
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I suggested SCROTUS, but I thought that was pretty darn clever until Twitter user David, at David said what,
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suggested even better than SCROTUS would be SNORTUS.
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Well, apparently Biden is going to approve some massive drilling project in Alaska.
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Did anybody see Biden approves massive drilling in Alaska?
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Is it possible that he was always going to approve it, and there's nothing unusual about it?
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Or is he seeing that he destroyed the world with his energy policy, and he's trying to adjust?
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Or is it because an election is coming, and he needs to be able to say,
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He just needs to say he approved more oil than Trump did to run for president.
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How was it ever possible that activists beat the big oil money lobbying machine?
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Didn't you always assume that the oil and the energy companies completely controlled Congress,
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But it turns out that Greta, using her as just a symbol of the activists,
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they were more powerful than the money people for a long time.
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It could be that the money people upped their bid.
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This is exactly the kind of story where you think you might know something about it because you read the news.
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Do you think we understand this story because we read the news?
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I feel like this is exactly the kind of story where there's layers and variables that we don't know about.
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In which Bill Maher mentions Elon Musk's plan to build a city in Austin that he's calling a utopia.
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And what did his Democrat guests do when Bill Maher said that Musk wants to build a utopia?
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They immediately leapt to the idea that utopia was a literal word and not hyperbole.
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Have you ever seen Democrats not understand the difference between hyperbole when it's really obvious, like utopia?
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So instead of saying, oh, it's a city where costs might be low and it's very efficient,
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And they went to, and they actually did the Democrat face.
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Have you ever seen Democrat face when they don't have an argument?
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They go to mocking, that mocking, you know, that face.
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And poor Bill Maher, who actually has, you know, some semblance of ability to see the whole field, you know, unlike all of his guests.
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He's trying to explain to them without ruining their fun that Elon Musk, you know, he did build an electric car you weren't expecting.
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And he did build a rocket that can land by itself.
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But it's just amazing watching the, like, they have to use their face when they have no argument.
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The concept that Elon Musk might know how to build some things that other people don't know how to build.
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Now, if you're listening on a podcast, I'm just kidding.
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Apparently, I think Apple dropped me from the podcast store.
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But, as far as you know, this is not on podcasts anymore as of a few days ago, right?
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Free Jacob Chansley, who you know as the QAnon shaman who's in jail for doing nothing dangerous on January 6th
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and telling people to go home, because Trump tweeted it, and walking around in a friendly manner with the law enforcement people.
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So, still in jail, and Elon Musk is calling it.
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And, of course, somebody immediately accused him of being a MAGA guy.
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Like, that's all Democrats have now is, oh, well, I've got a good insult.
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I hear your good reasons and your data, but have you seen my ad hominems?
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Can you remind me to say something about equity toward the end?
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I've got this great equity point that I keep wanting to fit in somewhere, but remind me at the end.
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I'm not part of MAGA, but I do believe in fairness of justice.
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Chansley was falsely portrayed in the media as a violent criminal who tried to overthrow the state
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But here he is urging people to be peaceful and go home.
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And the other video shows him calmly walking in the Capitol building,
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being escorted by officers and then thanking the officers.
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This is yet another one of those situations where the, you know, internet dads are trying to help.
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But people who have a certain perspective on life.
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And I think Elon has the greatest dad vibe of anybody at this point.
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Because this is just a personal, this is a non-political opinion.
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Does anything, does anything, do you think Elon's opinion looks political?
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Somebody says Spotify was airing my podcast yesterday, so that's good news.
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Yeah, this is not even, this is not even political.
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Jacob, this is not a political question at all.
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Now, I got two million views on a tweet where I said that the Republicans should close Congress
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It would be one thing if there were, if we had some doubt about, well, you know, maybe the legal system should work this out
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And there, and by the way, there's no counter narrative that I'm aware of.
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Is there any counter narrative that says, oh, yeah, that, that QAnon shaman, he actually stabbed a guy?
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We've now seen enough that reasonable doubt is, reasonable doubt is just so all over this,
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if not outright the most innocent anybody could be.
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At the very least, at the very least, you know, he didn't hurt anybody.
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There's a lot of doubt about whether any crime was committed that he was aware of.
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It looked like they didn't mind him being in there.
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He was going to let him walk around, do your thing, then leave.
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So do you have a better idea than Republicans just saying, you know, we're done?
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Now, in a perfect world, it would only take one day for that to work.
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I know what won't work, forming a protest and going down to where he's being held.
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There's no way a protest is going to make any difference.
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They'll say, oh, there's some more of those mega insurrectionists.
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So if you can't protest and the legal system is just clearly broken, I mean, in my opinion,
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I don't think there's any ambiguity about this one.
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And I get the argument that most of the ones for being held for nonviolent crimes should be pardoned.
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But this one is so plain and so easy and so obvious.
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Not because they're Republicans, mind you, but because they want a justice system that works.
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Now, I would say everybody in Congress should, you know, do something.
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Scott, do you think this is, like, the most important thing happening?
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Do you think this is the most, you know, injustice?
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And my response was, no, it's not the only injustice.
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It's the easiest one to fix, and they're not doing it.
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Now, the fact that we're not fixing systemic justice or systemic racism overnight, I get that.
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There's no reason he should be in there for one more hour.
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And maybe our system needs to learn to respect us.
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Now, I don't think that the protest would work.
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I'd like our leaders to shut the government down.
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Because if the government can't fix this fucking thing, I don't want it.
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This is a special note to people who don't understand hyperbole in the wild.
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Sometimes Scott says things which were intended to make a point that, if it is taken in its literal sense, could be misleading to NPCs and Democrats.
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This has been a notice for NPCs and people who don't understand hyperbole and context.
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All right, here's a persuasion lesson on spotting word salad.
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Now, the way that word salad arises, usually, is from cognitive dissonance.
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Cognitive dissonance arises from where somebody has a worldview that there sure is right, and then there's really solid evidence that it was never right.
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Usually, people don't say, oh, wow, I've been wrong for so long, and now I have new information.
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I completely revise my worldview to make it compatible with this new information, which looks solid.
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What they do instead is they try to argue their old point that's been debunked, except there are no arguments, because the new information obliterates the arguments.
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So what people will do typically, and not because they're dumb, this is very important.
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This happens to smart people just as easily as anybody else.
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So it's words that form sentences, but they're just complete nonsense.
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And I'm going to give you an example so you can better recognize it in the wild.
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He's responding to my calls for Jacob Chansley to be freed, based on the new video that totally destroys the narrative of January 6th.
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But we all know there were violence there, that's not the part that's destroyed, just that the general character of the people there was protest and not insurrection, even though some were violent.
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But Ricky, now evidently, and I say evidently because he's exhibiting the tell for cognitive dissonance, it means that the videos have just messed up his worldview.
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Now he's responding to me, and he says, you don't get it, and you never will.
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If somebody starts with an ad hominem, usually there's a cognitive problem going on.
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Because when people have reasons, they give the reason first.
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But when people have a reason to really dunk on you, like, oh, apparently you're forgetting this data.
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Or they might say, well, you're an idiot because of this data.
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The formal affirmation of the will of the people attacked.
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Do any of those sentences have anything to do with the other sentences?
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So we'll see if he backs it up with some kind of data or argument.
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The formal affirmation of the will of the people was attacked, meaning the verification
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Yeah, those people that day, they were attacking the formal affirmation of the will of the people.
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Do you remember the part of the Constitution that specifies, whatever you do, don't attack
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the formal affirmation of the will of the people.
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Well, stay away from the formal affirmation of the will of the people.
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So that's not, that's what they were there for.
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So, so far, he's insulted me and told me two things that everybody knows.
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Capitol was closed off, and they were there to stop that process.
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Then he says, law enforcement didn't know how to respond.
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What did any of those sentences have to do with supporting that it was an insurrection?
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He just started out by saying that they were there to attack the affirmation of the will
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Well, they were there to delay the day, which is exactly what they said, to make sure everything
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got done right, if there was a way to check it.
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This is somebody who can put together sentences that are complex.
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So, we would assume that Ricky has, he's smart.
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I assume Ricky's smart, because he can put together complex sentences.
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You look for the nonsense sentences that are still perfectly well-constructed in terms
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So, as most of you know by now, big bank in Silicon Valley, a really big bank, has been
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taken over by regulators because it's insolvent.
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And a lot of people are going to lose their money, up to $250,000 per account.
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Now, the big question is whether this is part of a, you know, some larger bank run that's
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The quick answer is it's probably a one-off, unless the public imagines it's not.
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If the public imagines there's a problem, it does become a bank run.
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Do not take my advice on what you should do with your money.
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Except I'm making sure that my accounts, to the degree that I can manage it, I make sure
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that I don't have too many that are over that limit.
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So, I might balance two accounts just to get them under that limit.
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Now, some people are saying gold and buy shorts and stuff like that.
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But, you know, that's all just a different kind of risk.
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So, what happens if I buy a bunch of gold, and it's probably already running up, and then
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Well, I got a bunch of gold that's going to start running back down because the banks
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Now, you could say, but the bank risk is I'll lose everything.
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Now, if the big banks fail, it's not a bank problem.
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I hate to tell you, but if the big banks all fail, or even just most of them or something,
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So, I think the odds are the banks will take a hit, and then people will do what I did,
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If he doesn't, I'll probably, you know, trust Wells Fargo, because I don't know what's
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I really don't know what's going on, but I think, you know, Berkshire Hathaway has a
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So, this is a case of the media will be trying to scare people, because they get, you know,
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I was, he was just scaring me, but he was scaring me without a basis of facts.
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Everything could turn into a disaster, but the more you talk about it, the more you cause
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it to happen, and so this is going to be sort of a battle for the minds of Americans and
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It's a battle for minds, and I'm going to be battling on the side.
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And I hope that the so-called internet dads, the people who are, you know, at least can see
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the field and are just in it for making the country better.
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I'm hoping that the internet dads are on the same side, like, calm down, everything will
00:25:00.560
There was something about that bank that wasn't like other banks.
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But the people who are closest to it see that as something that shouldn't affect other banks
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If you think it affects the other banks, then it will, because people will act upon that
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belief and start taking the money out and stuff.
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I mean, I don't even know if buying stocks is a good idea.
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I'm going to be persuading toward calm, but that's not financial advice.
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I'm just saying don't buy the degree of the scare.
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The context is that the media and social media will try to get you scared.
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So everything looks scarier when the media talks about it.
00:26:12.920
If I had to bet on it, well, I am betting on it.
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So yeah, I'm basically betting my entire fortune that we'll be okay.
00:26:26.820
But some people are betting their fortune that it won't be okay.
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Now, the reason I think it'll be okay is because it has to be.
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This is one of those situations where the government will do whatever it has to do.
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Like, if they have to send in the military to stand in front of the bank, they'll do that.
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They'll put people in jail for saying it's bad, which I don't approve of.
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But when you get to the point where people will do whatever it takes, that's probably a safer place than you think.
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Because everybody's going to be on the side of trying to keep the bank solvent.
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Like, maybe a few weird investors or something.
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But basically, everybody wants the banks to survive.
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And people will jump through as many hoops as they need to make that work.
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But this time, I'm going to bet on the, you know, the Adam's Law of slow-moving disasters.
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And I'm going to believe that this is slow enough.
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But it might be slow enough that we can figure out how to, you know, crawl through it.
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They're saying that Peter Thiel, who once backed Trump, caused the whole thing.
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It's all Peter Thiel's fault, according to some Democrats.
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Because his Founders Fund apparently told its members to get their money out because the bank was not solvent.
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So I hate to say it, but this is one of the greatest calls Peter Thiel ever made.
00:28:42.480
And he at least got his own people's money out.
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But the net effect of that might be crashing all banks.
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Now, it's not, what he did is not immoral or unethical.
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And smart people do what they need to do to protect themselves.
00:29:02.000
But Democrats are using that as, you know, some ex, I think he's ex-mega.
00:29:08.020
Some ex-mega-looking guy caused it all because rich people are evil or something.
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But the GOP has a different story, that it's all caused by Biden's inflationary spending, ESG, and maybe more.
00:29:29.780
So most of you are not economists, so it's a little hard to understand the story.
00:29:37.720
Banks make money by holding your deposits and paying you less interest rate than they make by using your money to make loans.
00:29:52.040
But instead of making loans, which might be a good return for their money, and that would be more than they're paying, and then they'd be fine,
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they took the government's advice and bought these low-interest rate, long-term federal instruments.
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So they locked themselves into a low interest rate for their income,
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while the price that they would have to pay for money was moving around and was obviously going to go up.
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So in other words, the most basic thing a bank does,
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which is make sure that the money they're paying to people is less than the money they're charging people,
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Now part of it was they predicted wrong, right?
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They predicted wrong that the interest rates would go up and then they would be locked in.
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But who didn't know interest rates were going to go up?
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We've been saying for years, and it's just math.
00:30:55.620
If you have enough spending, interest rates are going to go up, inflation, blah, blah, blah.
00:31:00.180
So I think if Biden causes inflation and then the bank did not manage their portfolio correctly in that environment,
00:31:09.980
is maybe a problem that other banks are not going to have.
00:31:25.400
So they should be fine unless everybody panics.
00:31:32.040
So we know that the company was like big on signaling their awesome social stuff.
00:31:50.700
were they looking backwards and looking in all the wrong places
00:31:56.200
when they should have been focusing on their banking?
00:31:59.560
So this is Vivek Ramaswamy is making this case.
00:32:05.460
We don't know if the ESG policies had an impact,
00:32:16.020
And the implication is maybe they should have focused a little bit more on quality.
00:32:21.140
For example, ESG says you want more diversity in your management and everywhere else.
00:32:27.120
So one thing to look at is did they hire unqualified people
00:32:33.320
because they needed diversity and they gave up some competence?
00:32:40.860
That's a really serious question that I'm not allowed to ask.
00:32:46.320
In theory, no matter what you think of anybody's qualities in any group,
00:32:53.980
even if everybody had the same training and competence,
00:33:05.080
you might run out of people because everybody's trying to be diverse.
00:33:14.560
And then you would naturally have to move down to the second tier
00:33:19.420
It's like, oh, you know, Pepsi got all the good diversity hires.
00:33:44.220
Just talking generically here, not really students.
00:33:53.700
And again, it has nothing to do with the individuals.
00:33:58.240
I'm saying that math alone, you know, supply and demand,
00:34:03.780
there's an undersupply of people that are in high demand.
00:34:08.580
So in theory, the only way they can solve ESG and look good
00:34:16.680
And B-plus probably is not enough to keep your bank alive.
00:34:21.120
If you've got B-plus competence, you know, at the teller window,
00:34:28.080
But if your B-plus competence is managing the entire existence of your bank,
00:34:39.140
And again, it has nothing to do with any particular race.
00:34:45.200
If you run out of supply, you got to go where you can get it,
00:34:49.040
and you're going to go down lower in the competence area.
00:34:56.680
Or it has nothing to do with racial differences.
00:34:58.680
You would get the same result if you reversed all the races.
00:35:08.020
But in the short run, it would cause distortions.
00:35:34.640
And one of the things I always was amazed about him
00:35:49.540
And then it'll tell you whether to buy them or hold them.
00:35:59.640
and he can tell you the pros and cons of that stock.
00:36:09.140
because he recommended people invest in Silicon Valley Bank
00:36:28.520
they usually don't know what's happening in a company.
00:37:02.040
How could Jim Cramer possibly know anything about a company?
00:37:15.440
that people imagine that anybody can pick stocks accurately.
00:37:22.700
It's not something that Cramer is doing poorly.
00:37:42.580
do you think it's a good idea for individual investors
00:37:44.860
to pick individual stocks based on their own research
00:38:23.020
I think he was doing something that isn't even possible,
00:39:14.640
you know, the name and the corporation structure,