Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2045 Scott Adams： Silicon Valley Bank Prediction, Trump Dominance, & Race Relations Reframed

00:00:00.000 Good morning everybody and welcome to not only the highlight of civilization but today a turning

00:00:08.680 point in civilization. Toward the end I'm going to do a little presentation which reframes

00:00:13.720 our conversation about race to a high ground that is so obvious you're going to wonder why

00:00:21.660 nobody did this before. You will actually be wowed and I'm not kidding. If you wait for the end and

00:00:27.900 I'll actually clip this off and make it a separate clip at some point but if you wait for the end I

00:00:32.640 will blow your mind and it will make a difference and it will help you. Stay tuned for that but we'll

00:00:39.580 do the regular news first but before that all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or gel

00:00:44.440 sestine, a canteen, joke or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee

00:00:50.640 and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes

00:00:55.380 everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. It happens now. Go.

00:01:05.940 Well if you didn't know it this is the last day that Dilbert will be available to the public.

00:01:12.740 Now the comic continues so there'll be no break in the production of the comic but it will transform

00:01:19.640 as of tomorrow Monday into Dilbert Reborn, a spicier version. Now I'm not going to go crazy, right? It's 0.99

00:01:29.200 not going to be x-rated Dilbert or anything like that but I don't have any constraints and already I'm

00:01:35.640 loving writing without constraints. It's going to be fun. So if you want to see all the things that I

00:01:41.320 wanted to do in newspapers, not just because they're provocative but because it's the stuff we're

00:01:47.000 talking about. It's real stuff in the real world. I can finally talk about real stuff in the real world

00:01:52.720 at work for the first time. I'm not going to be a dick about it. I'm just going to be able to talk

00:01:59.020 about it and I got more free speech than anybody. Anyway you would need a subscription to see that

00:02:04.740 stuff and lots lots more on the Locals platform scottadams.locals.com if you're interested in that.

00:02:12.180 Did anybody watch Bill Maher on Friday talking about Trump's political skills? I thought I was

00:02:21.600 dreaming. Oh my god. Trump, Bill Maher, and I want to characterize his opinion as carefully as

00:02:32.320 possible. He's not a Trump supporter, just to be clear. He did not suddenly become a Trump supporter

00:02:39.360 but his understanding of Trump's voters and how they and how they see him is now right on point.

00:02:49.340 He described it in words that were unusual to hear coming out of anybody's mouth

00:02:55.120 that he completely understood what the middle America was feeling and how he's offering a solution

00:03:05.620 to be their warrior and they get it. Now listen to this reframe that Bill Maher did that ended the

00:03:13.700 presidential hopes of Ron DeSantis. That happened. Bill Maher reframed DeSantis out of the race.

00:03:25.540 You want to hear it? Okay. It's so good I'm going to make you wait for it because it is the end of

00:03:33.140 DeSantis. I don't think he can win after this. Bill Maher says after looking at a poll, you know,

00:03:40.660 there was overwhelming support for Trump in some poll he was looking at, and he said, here's the

00:03:46.660 reframe, nobody wants the tribute band. It's over. If you have a choice of the real band or the tribute

00:03:56.400 band, DeSantis is the version of Trump without the edge. You know, he's the safe Trump. If you're

00:04:06.020 thinking of him as a safe version of Trump, you're thinking, that makes sense. I like a lot of the

00:04:12.260 Trump stuff, but he does cause some trouble. Yeah, he causes some trouble. So if I could get all the

00:04:18.500 good stuff without the bad stuff, and whoa, wow, I just realized that DeSantis is exactly that. He's

00:04:27.420 all of the good stuff, and he really is. He is all of the good stuff. But without all the baggage,

00:04:34.920 yeah, yeah, I could go for that. And then the moment you hear he's the tribute band,

00:04:40.460 it's over. That's as good as low-energy Jeb. I can confidently predict that DeSantis will not be

00:04:48.560 your next president. You can't hear that. You just can't hear that and not be changed by it.

00:04:56.420 It's an instant refrain. It's one of the best I've ever seen. And that came from Bill Maher.

00:05:01.460 So I think Bill Maher just got Trump elected, like actually literally. Now he was a little bit

00:05:09.160 surprised. It sounded that Trump's ratings were so high. Why do you think Trump's rating is so high

00:05:16.880 at the moment? Can you think of anything that would be happening in the news that would make

00:05:23.500 Trump look better and better every day? Yeah, he's been completely clear to the January 6th stuff.

00:05:31.560 He's completely exonerated. It was the one thing that even I was unwilling to support him for,

00:05:38.180 not because of what he did, but because everybody thought he did it, which just made him sort of

00:05:43.960 toxic. Right? But now the January 6th thing has so... Now, of course, the left will believe whatever

00:05:52.320 they're told. But the base just listened to Tucker Carlson, just watched the new video and said,

00:06:00.220 oh, no. Oh, no. Oh, no. You're not doing that to us again. You are not going to create another fake

00:06:06.720 narrative, now that we've seen the video, in which we do the thing that it was violent because some

00:06:13.760 people were violent. I get it. And too many. Too many people. But if you're not talking about what

00:06:22.800 percentage, if you're not talking about the percentage, you're not talking about anything.

00:06:29.380 Right? Yeah, was it 1% were violent? Why can't we say that? Why can't we say, you know, 1% were

00:06:36.060 violent, the rest were there for largely a different reason, to, you know, protest. And then we saw that...

00:06:43.800 I'm looking at the NPCs going nuts now. The NPCs have been activated. So you get to stuff like,

00:06:53.040 wrong, Scott. Just wrong. All right. T-Justice can only say the things that the 4chan people put

00:07:01.360 in his head. Poor guy. I feel sorry for you, T-Justice. But you're going to disappear. You're gone.

00:07:08.000 All right. Now, relative to this story, did you hear that writer Naomi Wolf wrote what she calls

00:07:19.280 a full-throated apology to conservatives? She actually said, I am totally sorry. I mean,

00:07:31.200 when you talk about a full-throated apology, you don't get one this good. Right? If you want to know

00:07:37.620 what a real apology looks like, read Naomi Wolf's. I tweeted it. You can find it in my Twitter

00:07:44.100 feed. That's what a full-throated apology looks like. A complete explanation of what she got wrong,

00:07:52.280 a complete unambiguous apology, with details. Damn. Damn. That's how to be a citizen.

00:08:01.280 That's how to be a citizen. I've told you before that I don't judge people by mistakes.

00:08:07.760 Right? I don't. I mean, I try not to. I mean, it's hard. But that's my philosophy. Don't judge

00:08:14.580 people by mistakes. And the reason is that you'd hate everybody, including yourself. Give yourself

00:08:20.880 a break. You know, at least give yourself a break. You know, don't judge yourself by your mistake either.

00:08:25.820 Judge yourself by what you do about it. What do you do about it? Once you know you did it,

00:08:32.420 what do you do about it? So Naomi Wolf, no matter what else you want to disagree with her,

00:08:36.800 other opinions, blah, blah, blah. I don't know. I don't know if I agree or disagree. But on this

00:08:41.140 point, A plus. That's good citizenship. Right? Say what you did wrong. Put it out there. Move on.

00:08:51.360 With our respect. And what she said was that she fell for a whole bunch of hoaxes. And then she

00:08:59.760 listed them. And it was the damnedest thing. Let's see what she lists. She believed Russia collusion

00:09:06.120 for a while. Found out that was fake. She believed the Hunter's laptop was Russia disinformation. Found

00:09:13.460 out that was untrue. She believed the Steele dossier. Now she knows that was fake. And she believed

00:09:20.680 the J6 insurrection narrative that Trump instigated it. And now she said, after seeing the video,

00:09:28.100 yep, Trump did not instigate that. That was a fake narrative. And here's the first thing

00:09:35.280 I thought. Has anybody showed her the hoax list? The one I create that shows, I don't know,

00:09:42.700 21 hoaxes that Democrats have played on the public. 21 of them. She found, one, two, three,

00:09:52.180 four. She found four of them. Wait till she finds out there are over 20 of them. And people

00:09:58.900 say I'm undercounting. Because they count some things that I don't count. Now the reason I

00:10:04.200 limit mine to 21 is that it's 21 things that are unambiguous. Like there's no doubt that that was a

00:10:11.760 lie perpetrated on the public. But there are others that are probably lies, you know, but I don't know

00:10:18.800 for sure, so I don't include them. But it's nothing but hoaxes. The news is nothing but hoaxes when it

00:10:25.640 comes to the political stuff. The other stuff is probably reasonably accurate. You know, if there's an

00:10:31.560 earthquake, they probably get the right country and the right severity right eventually. But when

00:10:38.340 it's political, it's just crazy town all the way. So here's the context. Even Naomi Wolf is saying,

00:10:47.160 wait a minute, this whole Trump era appears to be nothing but hoaxes to take a man out who was very

00:10:53.740 popular with his base, was representing their preferences quite well, in my opinion. You know,

00:11:00.040 you don't have to agree with him. But I think Trump was accurately representing the will of the

00:11:06.400 people that voted for him. And Bill Maher is saying in a full-throated way that Trump is a political

00:11:16.020 genius. I think what he said was that Trump is, I forget which word he used, like very good or

00:11:24.840 excellent or great at politics. And he doesn't say, you know, he's unusually weaselly. You have to hear the

00:11:33.580 language. The language is what really, really got my attention. Because you know how people talk about

00:11:40.340 Trump usually? It goes like this. Well, we all know Trump is a piece of racist trash. But he did this

00:11:48.020 one thing slightly good, and I guess I have to mention it. But remember, mostly we hate him and

00:11:53.400 he's trash. Right? That's the normal way a Trump, anti-Trumper would talk. But watching Bill Maher talk

00:12:02.480 about him with nothing but compliments. And the compliment was, middle America wants a set of

00:12:10.700 things, and he's the only one who's strong enough and clear enough to actually offer them a solution

00:12:17.020 and then explain it in a way that people are convinced. And it appeared to me that he has

00:12:24.940 developed a genuine respect. I mean, I'm reading minds, so be careful, you know, if I do that.

00:12:33.340 So, because I'm reading myself into the story here. This is not his opinion. But what it looks like

00:12:40.340 is that he's developed a genuine respect for Trump's skills and a genuine respect for the fact

00:12:48.220 that those skills are directed in a productive way toward a big part of the country that wants to see

00:12:54.760 its priorities taken care of. So, that's amazing. That's amazing. Because it reminded me when I was

00:13:04.980 on Bill Maher's show, the one time I was, it was when Trump was running the first time. And if you

00:13:11.040 remember, I was sort of the poor man's Ann Coulter. You know, remember Ann Coulter, I think, was one of the

00:13:18.500 first to say publicly that Trump would win. But I went on there and said why he would win.

00:13:23.320 I gave a reason. I gave a reason. I said he has, he has a set of persuasive skills that are

00:13:29.880 unparalleled. And do you remember, well, they didn't laugh when I said it. They laughed when Ann

00:13:36.740 Coulter said it. But I was giving actual reasons. I think when she said it, it sounded unmoored for

00:13:44.140 many reasons. She wasn't unmoored for reasons, but she didn't give her reason right away. So,

00:13:48.880 that made that look a little, like, out of the box. But when I did it, I gave my reasons.

00:13:55.360 I said he has the following techniques. They match the best practices of persuasion. And he's going

00:14:01.520 to surprise everybody. Because if you bring that tool, if you bring that toolbox to the project,

00:14:08.440 you can do more than the people with fewer tools. It was just that simple. He just has more tools.

00:14:14.900 And I remember Bill Maher just sort of looking at me, if you remember that. I don't remember if he

00:14:21.440 had a counter or an agreement. I feel like it just, he just absorbed it, and then we moved on.

00:14:30.540 Five or six years later, the stuff coming out of Bill Maher's mouth is what came out of my mouth

00:14:35.940 when I talked to him. That it's skill. It's skill. But on top of that, he's also given him the respect

00:14:44.660 that he does, in fact, represent a substantial part of the country. And a substantial part of the country

00:14:51.100 that doesn't seem to be as batshit crazy as some other part of the country, you know, with the

00:14:57.720 wokeness that he's not terribly on board with. So I feel like Trump is very close to completely

00:15:07.840 redeemed. Because you look at the Ukraine war, and people write, whether you love or hate Trump,

00:15:15.280 people say he didn't get us into a war. That's just a fact. You can't deny the fact he was the

00:15:21.120 least war-like president. Nobody can deny that fact. That's just in evidence. So if you look at

00:15:28.680 the backdrop, we've got this war that's our big problem, that people don't trust the Democrats,

00:15:34.540 but they probably would have trusted Trump a little bit more, based on his track record.

00:15:38.880 You don't have to guess anymore what Trump would do in international relations. He does the same thing

00:15:45.460 every time. He uses the full weight and force of the United States to negotiate effectively.

00:15:52.880 That's what he does. No matter what else you don't like about him, he does do that,

00:15:58.180 which is pretty important. You also look at energy. Is there anybody who thinks that Trump's energy

00:16:07.720 policy was wrong, given that he was smart enough to connect energy to homeland defense? He did it when

00:16:15.120 he talked about Europe. He said energy is your safety, basically, and now you're giving away

00:16:20.180 your safety with this pipeline to Russia. Totally right about that. So the biggest issues we have

00:16:26.300 are economics. People like Republicans better. The war. Trump looks good in that. And then all of

00:16:35.680 Trump's scandals, at least the biggest one that you remember, January 6th, was fake. And now we have

00:16:42.680 even Naomi Wolf noticing, wait a minute, this can't be a coincidence that there are so many times that

00:16:49.060 they tried to take Trump out with a fake story. So as of today, Trump's odds of winning the presidency are

00:16:58.420 really high. They're really high. They're not 100%. But it's the highest it's been. In my opinion,

00:17:09.580 today, Trump has the highest chance of winning the next election. Now, I wasn't saying that a week

00:17:17.140 ago. I was not saying that a week ago. But I think he just took the statistical lead. Might be a 60-40

00:17:23.940 situation. You know, 60% chance he wins the whole thing. But I wouldn't have said 60% even a few weeks

00:17:30.920 ago. All right. There is a thing called body doubling. I think Fortune had an article about

00:17:37.700 it. Have you heard of this? It's where somebody will just be doing work, just their own work at

00:17:44.260 their computer. And they have an app, a few apps, I guess. Or you could just use TikTok if you're just

00:17:50.860 broadcasting. And all they do is sit there and work. And other people also work while they have

00:17:56.960 that on. So you have a co-worker. Does that sound crazy? Does that sound crazy to you? To have like

00:18:04.460 a virtual co-worker? And you don't talk to them. There's no interaction. They just sit there and

00:18:09.360 you know they're there. They're working. You're working. All right. Well, it turns out that this

00:18:13.600 is like a godsend for anybody with ADHD. Because apparently they've all discovered, all meaning

00:18:21.300 anybody with ADHD, that they can concentrate better if there are other people modeling the

00:18:26.860 same behavior. And I don't know if it's the modeling that does it. But if somebody else is

00:18:31.020 working, then they can concentrate. If nobody's around working, then it's just a free-for-all in

00:18:38.280 their minds. And, you know, their mind is all over. But as long as there's somebody else doing

00:18:43.180 what they want to do, they can kind of mirror them. And then they can control. Now, have I told you

00:18:50.380 that I can't do any work in the afternoon unless I'm at Starbucks? Or there's somebody there in my

00:18:57.800 house? Have I told you that? I actually can't do any work after maybe 10 a.m. unless there's

00:19:05.400 somebody around or watching. And it's the reason I've live-streamed some of my writing sessions for

00:19:10.420 the comic. I could sit there all day and just be distracted in the afternoon. But as soon as I turn

00:19:16.820 on the live-stream and I start talking to the audience, I do this with the locals people, and I'll do a

00:19:22.460 writing session where they learn writing technique and how to write jokes. And what I'm getting out of it

00:19:28.040 is the feedback in the company. And it makes a week worth of joke writing pleasure. Like, that's not an

00:19:37.260 exaggeration. You would expect an exaggeration in this situation. Not an exaggeration. It actually

00:19:42.820 transforms an unpleasant work of just a blank page. What am I going to put? What am I going to put

00:19:50.720 there? And it turns it into fun. Like, I can't wait to do it again. And that's the difference.

00:19:57.820 So I believe that I must have ADHD, or at least some cousin to it, that activates by the time I've had

00:20:07.120 a few cups of coffee. Right? By the afternoon, I can't sit still and listen to anything. In the

00:20:13.580 morning, I have great focus. So right now, from like 4 a.m. to 8 a.m., oh, I can focus on anything

00:20:20.120 between 4 and 8 a.m. After that, my mind is just splayed all over the place. It's hard to sit down

00:20:27.060 and write. So I'm going to try this. I'm going to find one of these apps and just get a remote

00:20:33.400 stranger. And they may be surprised who their working partner is. I'm not sure if anybody

00:20:41.680 asks or if you just show up and say, hey, let's get to work. But I think I'll be doing this. It's

00:20:46.860 called body doubling. And if you have ADHD, totally recommend it. I've heard good things.

00:20:55.780 Let's talk about Silicon Valley Bank before I change the world with my whiteboard presentation,

00:21:00.400 which you definitely don't want to miss. So here's the background. If you don't know,

00:21:05.820 there's the 19th biggest bank in the country, Silicon Valley Bank, has been taken over by

00:21:10.520 regulators. And the question is, will depositors get all their money back? Because it's only

00:21:15.620 guaranteed up to $250,000 per person for account or per person. No, per account. Yeah. Depending

00:21:24.180 on the type of account. And so the question is, it looks like we know the investors will get wiped

00:21:33.240 out. But will the depositors get all their money back? Because a lot of the startups had tons of

00:21:44.200 money in there. They would lose all of it. And there's a big disagreement. You got your Matt

00:21:49.420 Gates type. And I think Alex Berenson weighed in to say, no, let those people take their loss,

00:21:57.620 including the depositors, who had nothing to do with anything. Yeah, they were totally innocent.

00:22:02.920 Let them take their loss, free market, why should we bail them out, etc. And then you have other

00:22:08.640 people such as David Sachs, who if you're not following, you should. He tends to be the adult in

00:22:15.900 the room. You know, he's not political as much as he is, let me explain what works and what doesn't

00:22:22.960 work. He's one of those. He's basically an internet dad of the highest level, right? If you want the dad

00:22:31.540 advice, meaning forget the politics, what is smart, what makes sense, follow David Sachs.

00:22:37.960 He was one of the PayPal original guys, you know, friends with Musk and Peter Thiel and all those

00:22:44.920 guys. So any one of them, if they talk, you should listen, right? It's not an accident that they were

00:22:51.400 all successful more than once. So here's my take on it. Should we save the depositors or should we let

00:23:00.840 it, let it go because free markets, blah, blah, blah. The first thing I would like to recommend is

00:23:08.680 because it's social media, can we all agree that some of us will say it's about saving the depositors

00:23:18.240 and others will argue it has nothing to do with the depositors. We're trying to fix the entire system

00:23:25.740 so that the contagion of this one doesn't take out any other banks. And then if we could,

00:23:32.840 let's pretend it's the same conversation, okay? Because you want to be as stupid as you possibly

00:23:38.160 could when the fate of the entire world is involved, right? If the whole world is at stake,

00:23:44.160 you want to be the stupidest fucking idiot as you can be. So I recommend that we act as though

00:23:49.360 the people talking about the depositors are in the same conversation with the people who are

00:23:54.100 talking about the integrity of the entire banking system. And let's make sure we confuse those

00:23:59.440 like it's the same thing. So that way, when I say, hey, this might be a good way to protect the

00:24:05.720 entire economy and the banking system, you could say some dumb fucking thing like about whether the

00:24:11.860 depositors should be made whole. Because that's not the same conversation. But because it's social

00:24:17.480 media, let's fucking pretend it's all the same, okay? And let the whole country burn. Because we

00:24:23.560 can't even get out of that little mental trap. That's what's going to happen. We're not even going

00:24:31.100 to be able to talk about it. We're going to pretend it's the same conversation. It's not.

00:24:36.660 It's not. It really isn't. If you can't separate those two, you don't belong in the conversation.

00:24:46.460 And yes, I did swear because I want to make an emphasis. That's the only time to swear.

00:24:53.320 Swearing because you're just talking, bad idea. Swearing because the entire world is at stake,

00:24:59.060 yeah. Yeah. For that, I'm going to get your attention. Here's my take. The government has

00:25:08.020 the ability to protect the system. Meaning that the government can say, whoa, don't worry. Whatever

00:25:15.000 we need to say is protected is protected, even if it's different than what we said before.

00:25:20.120 Would you agree that the government has the power to do that? So therefore, they do have the power to

00:25:26.100 protect the banking system. And they apparently have the will. And then here's the good news.

00:25:31.620 Here's the good news. When something like this happens, the smart people push the stupid people

00:25:39.100 out of the way. Now, there'll still be plenty of stupid people on social media confusing the

00:25:45.040 depositor question with the banking integrity question. You can't stop that. But in the real world,

00:25:50.880 where people make real decisions, and they're really influential, the smart people, I guarantee

00:25:56.880 it, are elbowing the dumb people out of the way. All right? You had your chance. We're now

00:26:04.280 done with the dumb people. Let the smart people play. And watching this, you can almost watch

00:26:10.720 it on social media start to bubble up. Like the smart people who don't talk too much, they

00:26:16.880 just started talking more. Have you noticed? So basically, everybody, everybody, everybody

00:26:24.580 who's looking at this situation knows that the stupid people have to get out of the way.

00:26:29.280 Am I right? Is there anybody who disagrees with that statement? Everybody sees that on this

00:26:34.900 situation, it's just too important. The stupid people have got to take a pass. Stupid people

00:26:40.500 back up. The smart people are coming online, just as they should. The system is entering

00:26:47.140 a self-correcting mode. There's almost no chance it's going to fall apart. So there is no chance

00:26:54.680 that the whole banking system is going to fall apart, because the government can protect it.

00:26:59.280 The smart people are elbowing the dumb people out of the way for this. They will take over.

00:27:04.860 They will have their way. And they will decide to protect the banking system. That's what's

00:27:09.860 going to happen. So I'm not giving you any financial advice. What you do with your money,

00:27:16.120 what you need to do to be safe, do what you need to do. But the smart people will take care of it.

00:27:22.160 I'm pretty sure it will be okay. Now, there could be some disruption. Some people might lose money.

00:27:27.540 But the larger banking system, I believe, will be protected because we have the ability

00:27:32.500 to protect it. And now the smart people are going to make it happen.

00:27:38.680 All right. Speaking of smart people, Mark Cuban has weighed in.

00:27:45.340 And he said this. You might recognize this thought.

00:27:48.900 A couple of Silicon Valley thoughts.

00:27:50.420 Number one, $250,000 is too low. That's the amount they guarantee.

00:27:54.860 It's insane that a small company with, say, $2.5 million in payables and payroll at the end of the month

00:28:00.720 should be, quote, prudent and split their cash across 10 banks in case of a run.

00:28:07.700 The fees in admin would be crazy, but would be great for the banks.

00:28:12.180 Does that sound like exactly what I said, right?

00:28:14.140 There's an unfairness about the system that just screams once you need to implement the system.

00:28:23.500 The fact that you could just inconvenience yourself this way by opening 10 accounts when you only need one,

00:28:31.740 the fact that that works just tells you the system needs to be at least reconsidered during an emergency.

00:28:40.540 It should at least be reconsidered during something this big.

00:28:45.180 So I completely agree with Mark Cuban that the insanity of that argues against keeping it intact when the whole system is at stake.

00:28:55.560 You don't want to keep your insane things.

00:28:59.360 You want to get rid of the insane stuff.

00:29:02.740 All right.

00:29:06.520 So there you go.

00:29:07.680 I think we'll be fine, but not until the smart people have taken control,

00:29:12.900 and it looks like that's happening this weekend.

00:29:15.260 There's a good chance that another bank will buy it.

00:29:19.620 But apparently there are some timing issues about how long it would take to get it approved

00:29:24.460 and whether it would cause too much concentration in the banking industry.

00:29:28.760 Can you believe that?

00:29:30.240 Can you believe that one of the things people care about

00:29:32.400 is that the 19th biggest bank might be bought with another one

00:29:37.160 and that the two of them would be, you know, bigger?

00:29:41.360 That feels absolutely ridiculous, doesn't it?

00:29:45.420 It feels ridiculous.

00:29:46.860 It's like not understanding the cost-benefit situation at all.

00:29:51.440 All right.

00:29:53.400 And the good news, there's a new superconducting material that has been discovered.

00:29:58.160 Of course it's made of rare earth materials

00:30:00.440 because once you get excited about anything,

00:30:03.500 anything in technology goes like this.

00:30:05.940 Oh, this new thing's been invented.

00:30:08.400 It's going to change everything.

00:30:09.640 And what do you need to make it?

00:30:12.040 Well, you need some rare earth materials.

00:30:15.420 Would there be any trouble getting enough rare earth materials

00:30:20.880 for this new and innovative...

00:30:23.220 Oh, I don't know.

00:30:24.380 Rare earth materials.

00:30:25.920 How hard could it be?

00:30:27.340 Yeah, rare earth materials might be kind of a problem.

00:30:29.880 But what they found is a new superconducting material

00:30:32.900 that works at higher temperatures

00:30:34.720 and at pressures that are low enough that it's actually useful.

00:30:39.120 We've had superconducting materials for a long time,

00:30:42.140 but you have to have them super frozen and high pressure

00:30:45.900 and you can't really do anything with that.

00:30:48.520 But this one will work at higher temperatures that are practical

00:30:51.320 and at pressure that's practical.

00:30:54.920 And so they're thinking that they could make everything

00:30:57.400 from a better fusion containment, whatever you call it.

00:31:03.300 Let's just call it fusion reaction containment

00:31:05.920 because I don't know what I'm talking about,

00:31:08.000 but that sounded close.

00:31:08.820 So it might make fusion much more practical.

00:31:15.300 And it looks like fusion was going to be practical anyway.

00:31:18.180 So this could be another big leap in that field

00:31:21.100 that looks like it's going in the right direction.

00:31:23.080 But also it could be used for creating power networks

00:31:27.960 that don't have loss.

00:31:29.860 Right now we lose a ton of energy

00:31:33.200 just sending it across lines

00:31:35.280 because you lose a lot as it goes across the line.

00:31:37.640 But the superconductive stuff would lose nothing.

00:31:40.740 So I could send some energy from here

00:31:43.460 to the other side of the planet

00:31:45.260 and if it was all superconductive path,

00:31:48.120 it would be the same on the other end,

00:31:50.600 which is amazing.

00:31:52.500 Now, I don't see that you could build

00:31:56.380 an energy network very quickly.

00:31:59.120 It seems like that's beyond possible.

00:32:01.980 So that's not the big thing.

00:32:03.420 But maybe something like fusion,

00:32:05.380 you can get there faster

00:32:06.480 because in that case,

00:32:07.880 building a one-off makes sense.

00:32:11.100 And they could build hovering trains

00:32:13.140 and medical devices and all kinds of stuff.

00:32:16.100 So we'll see if anything comes to that.

00:32:18.060 We'll see.

00:32:19.300 Did you see Fauci lying to Jim Acosta?

00:32:23.880 I'm going to say he's lying.

00:32:26.020 I don't know.

00:32:27.680 I don't know that he's lying.

00:32:29.040 But I've never seen anybody

00:32:32.020 who had a worse lie face.

00:32:34.180 You know what I mean?

00:32:35.640 Like, you just look at his face,

00:32:36.840 you could turn off the sound

00:32:37.840 and you'd say,

00:32:39.020 well, based on his face,

00:32:41.020 he's lying.

00:32:42.640 I mean, just look at his face.

00:32:45.420 That's the biggest liar face in the world.

00:32:47.600 I was thinking if I could do an impression.

00:32:49.620 I don't know if I can.

00:32:52.520 Should I try?

00:32:54.480 A Fauci lie face impression?

00:32:56.980 All right.

00:32:57.460 I'll do my best.

00:33:01.700 I'll do Jim Acosta.

00:33:03.580 Dr. Fauci,

00:33:05.540 what about that lab leak?

00:33:09.580 Well, Jim,

00:33:12.940 that people don't understand

00:33:14.700 that one of the possibilities,

00:33:17.300 by the way,

00:33:18.180 I'm not making this up.

00:33:19.640 I'm paraphrasing,

00:33:20.540 but I'm not making this up.

00:33:21.740 You know,

00:33:21.920 one of the possibilities

00:33:23.740 is that somebody who worked at the lab

00:33:26.480 was out in the field

00:33:29.660 looking for viruses,

00:33:32.060 you know,

00:33:32.280 mucking around with the bats

00:33:33.400 and the pangolins and stuff,

00:33:35.780 and that they got an infection

00:33:37.040 while they were out in nature.

00:33:40.040 And then they took that infection,

00:33:43.300 took the infection,

00:33:44.780 and then they brought that back

00:33:47.180 into the lab where they work,

00:33:48.640 and then it got into the lab,

00:33:50.040 and then it got out of the lab.

00:33:51.780 And so, really,

00:33:53.300 one of the ways

00:33:54.260 that nobody talks about

00:33:55.340 is that you could have

00:33:56.940 a lab leak,

00:33:58.360 but really it came from nature,

00:34:00.060 went into the lab,

00:34:00.940 leaked back into nature,

00:34:02.140 and that's how it could have happened.

00:34:03.700 And people don't talk

00:34:04.620 about that possibility.

00:34:10.740 Is anybody buying this?

00:34:11.860 And then he mentioned

00:34:15.280 the other possibility,

00:34:16.420 which was nobody,

00:34:19.020 nobody,

00:34:20.140 all the experts,

00:34:21.420 nobody thinks it's weaponized.

00:34:24.660 I mean,

00:34:25.300 nobody thinks that.

00:34:27.120 So,

00:34:27.720 but it could have been

00:34:28.600 gain of function.

00:34:29.360 It could have been gain of function,

00:34:31.080 but it could have been

00:34:31.760 the natural way.

00:34:33.600 You know,

00:34:33.840 not manipulating a gene,

00:34:35.180 but rather a natural,

00:34:37.000 you know,

00:34:37.960 evolution within a lab,

00:34:39.360 and in which case

00:34:40.560 that wouldn't even be

00:34:42.540 manipulation.

00:34:44.600 But let's say

00:34:45.540 it got out of the lab that way,

00:34:46.880 that would be,

00:34:47.540 again,

00:34:48.480 nature.

00:34:50.300 I mean,

00:34:50.600 that would just be nature,

00:34:51.660 even though we

00:34:52.320 forced it to happen

00:34:53.960 by mating these two things

00:34:55.820 in the lab,

00:34:56.260 but still it was natural.

00:34:57.640 We didn't manipulate anything.

00:35:02.520 In that

00:35:03.280 scene,

00:35:07.140 my Dr. Fauci,

00:35:08.300 I assume he was lying

00:35:09.820 about all of it

00:35:10.560 or covering his butt. 0.82

00:35:12.100 It didn't look good.

00:35:16.080 All right.

00:35:17.900 I have a question for you

00:35:19.120 that I have not seen discussed.

00:35:21.900 If we think that COVID

00:35:23.340 can give you a stroke

00:35:24.440 and we think that vaccinations

00:35:25.680 could give you a stroke,

00:35:27.360 if we think that the lockdown

00:35:29.420 made you fat

00:35:30.300 and that could give you a stroke,

00:35:31.580 if you think that the pandemic

00:35:32.800 made you tense

00:35:34.240 and tension can give you a stroke,

00:35:36.240 have we left one out?

00:35:39.900 Apparently,

00:35:40.440 everything can cause a stroke.

00:35:43.940 And that's not too surprising.

00:35:46.140 Basically,

00:35:46.800 anything that puts stress

00:35:47.900 on your system.

00:35:50.260 Well,

00:35:51.820 have you heard of the

00:35:52.680 Huberman breathing technique,

00:35:54.440 you know,

00:35:54.640 where you do two inhales

00:35:55.860 and followed by an exhale?

00:35:57.580 When Dr. Huberman explains

00:35:59.800 why it works,

00:36:00.680 because it immediately

00:36:01.600 calms you down,

00:36:02.860 he says that the magic to it

00:36:04.740 is that it alters the CO2

00:36:08.880 to oxygen levels.

00:36:11.640 Like,

00:36:12.020 so it gives you

00:36:12.620 sort of an optimal level.

00:36:14.880 So if you do the two inhales

00:36:16.220 and one exhale,

00:36:17.480 you end up for a little while

00:36:18.460 with sort of the perfect mix

00:36:21.040 of CO2 and oxygen.

00:36:23.600 Now,

00:36:24.760 if it's true,

00:36:25.840 and by the way,

00:36:26.560 it would actually lower

00:36:27.380 your blood pressure.

00:36:28.640 It's actually such a good technique

00:36:30.080 that if you did it a lot,

00:36:31.900 your blood pressure

00:36:32.660 would go down.

00:36:34.240 Sounds good.

00:36:35.600 Now,

00:36:36.220 if it's true

00:36:36.900 that breathing properly

00:36:38.060 makes you healthier,

00:36:40.120 or at least

00:36:40.700 reduces your anxiety

00:36:42.340 and tension,

00:36:43.580 which should make you healthier,

00:36:45.700 would it not be true

00:36:46.840 that if you had

00:36:47.460 the wrong mix

00:36:48.840 of CO2 and oxygen,

00:36:50.960 that it would be

00:36:52.300 the opposite

00:36:52.920 of the optimal mix,

00:36:56.220 which makes you healthier.

00:36:58.860 So could it be

00:36:59.820 that breathing normal

00:37:01.060 is okay,

00:37:03.480 doing Huberbin breathing

00:37:04.740 is extra healthy,

00:37:06.580 but wearing a mask

00:37:07.760 for long periods of time

00:37:09.240 for two years

00:37:09.980 could get you

00:37:11.100 a suboptimal mix,

00:37:12.760 which could cause,

00:37:13.880 in the long run,

00:37:15.360 strokes

00:37:15.840 and cardiac problems.

00:37:17.660 Now,

00:37:20.200 I don't know

00:37:20.600 that that's true,

00:37:21.480 but I also don't know

00:37:22.720 why it wouldn't be true.

00:37:24.200 Why wouldn't it be true?

00:37:26.200 It's almost like,

00:37:27.260 how could it not be true?

00:37:29.580 Now,

00:37:30.240 the counterargument to that

00:37:31.780 is that it hasn't been detected.

00:37:34.140 The counterargument's

00:37:35.260 pretty good,

00:37:36.340 which is

00:37:37.000 nobody's noticed

00:37:38.480 or studied it.

00:37:40.340 So there's no evidence

00:37:41.380 for what I'm saying.

00:37:42.440 I'm just saying,

00:37:43.220 if it makes you healthier

00:37:45.220 to have the right mix

00:37:46.120 of CO2,

00:37:47.200 what does it do

00:37:48.660 to have the wrong mix?

00:37:50.800 And they have studied

00:37:51.980 that if you wear a mask,

00:37:53.860 you do have

00:37:54.320 a higher level of CO2

00:37:56.280 and it's substantial.

00:37:57.640 But the argument is

00:37:58.780 it doesn't hurt you.

00:38:01.840 And some amount

00:38:03.560 of variance in CO2

00:38:04.740 definitely wouldn't hurt you.

00:38:06.040 I just don't know

00:38:06.780 if the masks

00:38:07.720 put it over some level.

00:38:10.020 You know,

00:38:10.360 if you could do

00:38:10.780 that little breathing technique 0.75

00:38:12.040 and just that little technique

00:38:13.900 of two inhales

00:38:14.620 and an exhale,

00:38:15.440 if that puts you

00:38:16.360 in the right frame

00:38:18.000 for CO2,

00:38:20.340 it wouldn't take much

00:38:21.620 to knock you

00:38:22.180 out of that frame.

00:38:23.980 So,

00:38:24.760 it just makes sense to me.

00:38:26.740 USA Today

00:38:27.520 was super racist.

00:38:29.300 Today.

00:38:30.240 They printed,

00:38:31.480 they were talking about

00:38:32.140 the best and worst places

00:38:33.200 to live

00:38:33.580 and they said that Maine

00:38:34.380 has the lowest

00:38:35.720 violent crime rate.

00:38:38.240 That's good.

00:38:39.020 Maine has the lowest

00:38:39.740 violent crime rate.

00:38:40.820 Right below that,

00:38:41.620 they said there was

00:38:42.940 however something bad

00:38:44.820 going on in Maine.

00:38:47.120 I'm sorry,

00:38:48.160 two bad things.

00:38:50.060 So the first bad thing,

00:38:51.640 no,

00:38:51.920 that's a good thing.

00:38:53.120 The good thing

00:38:53.980 is that they have

00:38:54.480 low crime rates.

00:38:56.480 But the bad thing

00:38:57.440 is that they have

00:38:58.120 the worst diversity 1.00

00:39:00.120 in the whole country.

00:39:01.560 They've got 94.4%

00:39:03.960 white residents,

00:39:06.000 but then coincidentally

00:39:08.320 also the lowest

00:39:09.220 violent crime rate.

00:39:10.460 Now,

00:39:11.180 when you put those

00:39:11.860 two things together

00:39:13.040 and then the next

00:39:13.780 thing they talked about

00:39:14.460 was Baltimore

00:39:15.040 with the worst

00:39:15.620 crime rate.

00:39:16.680 Now,

00:39:17.020 that's pretty racist,

00:39:18.000 isn't it?

00:39:19.400 That's pretty racist.

00:39:21.120 Because they're saying

00:39:22.440 lowest crime rate

00:39:24.080 and then right,

00:39:24.840 like right below it

00:39:25.820 and it's all

00:39:27.740 white people.

00:39:30.960 Now,

00:39:31.440 when I talk about

00:39:32.320 the difference

00:39:33.080 between Baltimore

00:39:34.000 and some other place

00:39:35.800 that has less crime,

00:39:36.700 I say it's systemic

00:39:38.400 racism.

00:39:40.480 You've heard me say it,

00:39:41.500 right?

00:39:41.980 How many times

00:39:42.680 have you heard me say

00:39:43.440 the difference

00:39:44.080 in poverty level

00:39:45.580 is systemic racism?

00:39:47.160 I say it so much

00:39:48.220 it's like a mantra.

00:39:51.100 All right,

00:39:51.300 so just,

00:39:51.880 I want you to hold

00:39:52.400 this in your mind

00:39:53.100 that when I talk

00:39:55.020 about Baltimore,

00:39:57.020 I say the cause

00:39:58.500 is systemic racism.

00:40:00.760 When USA Today

00:40:01.980 talked about it,

00:40:03.220 they just gave you

00:40:04.000 the data

00:40:04.780 and let you

00:40:05.360 draw your own

00:40:06.040 conclusions.

00:40:07.340 Maine has by far

00:40:08.880 the most white people

00:40:09.900 and the lowest crime,

00:40:12.380 kind of suspiciously

00:40:13.580 like they're suggesting

00:40:14.460 they're related,

00:40:16.240 aren't they?

00:40:17.480 But I don't say that.

00:40:18.800 I say it's

00:40:19.240 systemic racism.

00:40:21.020 Now,

00:40:21.540 the USA Today

00:40:22.300 canceled me.

00:40:23.600 They canceled Dilbert

00:40:24.480 because I say

00:40:28.220 it's systemic racism,

00:40:30.080 but maybe they should

00:40:31.720 add a little context.

00:40:33.760 I think they should

00:40:34.460 add a little context

00:40:35.300 to that.

00:40:35.820 It looks a little bit

00:40:36.600 racist in my mind.

00:40:39.520 But here's an

00:40:39.980 interesting thing.

00:40:41.640 Bruce Temkin,

00:40:42.620 I guess he's part

00:40:43.940 of that Temkin group.

00:40:44.900 In 2016,

00:40:45.700 they did a consumer

00:40:47.100 benchmark study

00:40:47.920 to see who's happiest.

00:40:49.780 And they divided

00:40:50.680 it by age

00:40:51.440 and ethnicity

00:40:52.600 and gender

00:40:54.000 and stuff.

00:40:54.860 Here's what they found.

00:40:56.340 The happiest females

00:40:57.380 are over 75.

00:41:00.320 Does that make sense

00:41:01.320 to you?

00:41:02.260 That the happiest women

00:41:03.420 are the women 0.95

00:41:03.980 over 75.

00:41:06.460 And I think that

00:41:07.840 the reason might be

00:41:11.780 that they no longer

00:41:13.320 have to worry

00:41:13.880 about man-woman stuff,

00:41:16.200 like all that stuff

00:41:16.980 sort of out the door

00:41:17.800 at that point.

00:41:18.680 There's probably

00:41:19.040 a lot of pressure off.

00:41:20.560 While men are happier 0.95

00:41:21.760 between 65 to 74,

00:41:25.300 and I've got to tell you,

00:41:27.300 so that's my age range,

00:41:28.600 if you had told me

00:41:31.560 at age 30

00:41:32.320 that at age 66

00:41:34.400 I would be happier,

00:41:36.060 I never would have

00:41:36.720 believed that.

00:41:38.160 But I'm unambiguously

00:41:39.480 happier.

00:41:41.100 Like, it's actually true.

00:41:43.240 Like, it's so

00:41:43.960 counterintuitive.

00:41:45.800 You would think,

00:41:46.440 oh, I'd like,

00:41:47.380 you know,

00:41:47.620 my young health

00:41:48.420 and my young options

00:41:49.400 and stuff like that.

00:41:50.280 I don't miss any of that.

00:41:52.300 Like, I really like

00:41:53.400 my current life.

00:41:55.040 And apparently

00:41:55.520 that's a common thing

00:41:56.580 for men and women

00:41:57.720 over 75,

00:41:58.620 is that when you think

00:42:00.100 they would be

00:42:00.480 the least happy,

00:42:01.200 they're the most happy.

00:42:02.480 So if you're worried

00:42:03.640 about your older years,

00:42:05.320 that's one less thing

00:42:07.320 to worry about.

00:42:08.340 If you're like

00:42:09.080 everybody else,

00:42:09.680 you might be happier.

00:42:11.580 But some other

00:42:12.540 interesting things.

00:42:15.480 The least happy

00:42:16.440 are 18 to 24-year-olds,

00:42:18.140 no surprise,

00:42:19.440 followed closely

00:42:20.180 by 45 to 54-year-olds.

00:42:22.600 And between the ages

00:42:25.580 of 18 and 44,

00:42:26.920 males are happier

00:42:27.660 than females. 0.71

00:42:29.840 So young adults,

00:42:31.860 males are happier.

00:42:33.800 But females are happier 0.99

00:42:35.220 older.

00:42:37.280 Interesting.

00:42:38.480 So men are happier

00:42:39.280 younger,

00:42:39.880 women are happier 0.99

00:42:40.520 older.

00:42:41.960 But as education

00:42:43.120 increases,

00:42:43.760 so does your happiness.

00:42:45.520 So the more educated

00:42:46.340 you are,

00:42:46.680 the more happy you are.

00:42:48.060 And here's an interesting

00:42:49.040 one, ethnicity.

00:42:50.680 It says there's

00:42:51.500 little variation

00:42:52.300 and happiness

00:42:52.940 across ethnic groups.

00:42:54.620 Caucasians are the happiest,

00:42:55.920 at 73%,

00:42:56.940 but only three points

00:42:58.380 above African Americans. 0.67

00:43:01.120 Only three points.

00:43:02.440 So three points

00:43:03.380 on a survey like this

00:43:04.440 would be pretty close

00:43:05.520 to the, you know,

00:43:06.960 margin of error.

00:43:08.460 Probably above it,

00:43:10.080 but pretty close.

00:43:14.020 And then income

00:43:15.240 makes a difference,

00:43:16.060 too, obviously.

00:43:16.820 So the things

00:43:17.260 that make a difference

00:43:18.060 are education,

00:43:20.400 age, and income,

00:43:22.300 and ethnicity

00:43:24.400 doesn't make

00:43:24.980 that much difference.

00:43:26.620 That's interesting.

00:43:29.260 Given the difference

00:43:31.100 in economic opportunity,

00:43:32.940 that feels like

00:43:34.140 it should be

00:43:34.940 a bigger difference.

00:43:36.020 But since money

00:43:36.800 didn't make

00:43:37.300 that much difference,

00:43:38.560 there was about

00:43:39.200 the same amount

00:43:39.720 of happiness.

00:43:40.560 Now here's a question

00:43:41.240 for you.

00:43:43.240 What is equity?

00:43:46.080 What's the purpose

00:43:46.900 of life?

00:43:48.820 Like, why are we here?

00:43:49.840 I would say

00:43:51.320 to pursue happiness.

00:43:53.420 Pursue happiness.

00:43:55.280 So if you and I

00:43:56.620 are equally happy,

00:43:57.640 do we have equity?

00:43:59.060 It's our primary purpose

00:44:00.480 of life,

00:44:01.760 is to pursue happiness.

00:44:04.400 If you're happy,

00:44:05.440 I'm happy,

00:44:06.040 we've achieved equity.

00:44:08.260 If you say,

00:44:09.180 oh, but you also

00:44:10.300 must have

00:44:10.880 the same amount

00:44:12.040 of money,

00:44:13.060 then I would say,

00:44:14.140 well,

00:44:14.420 what?

00:44:19.780 That's not the goal.

00:44:21.540 Where in the Constitution

00:44:22.500 does it say

00:44:23.360 we have the right

00:44:25.340 to money?

00:44:26.680 I mean,

00:44:26.900 it doesn't take away

00:44:28.180 our right,

00:44:29.000 but the Constitution

00:44:30.080 literally says

00:44:31.020 the right to pursue happiness.

00:44:33.440 Like, it's written

00:44:34.280 right in the front

00:44:34.980 of the Constitution.

00:44:36.460 That's the goal.

00:44:38.220 Happiness.

00:44:39.540 Right?

00:44:39.860 If I can make you happy,

00:44:41.100 I'll try to do it.

00:44:42.320 If you can make me happy,

00:44:43.520 please do.

00:44:44.900 Right?

00:44:45.820 So,

00:44:46.600 take my situation.

00:44:50.100 My income went down

00:44:51.540 around 80%

00:44:52.580 by being cancelled,

00:44:55.140 and I got happier.

00:44:58.340 I got happier.

00:44:59.560 I'm actually,

00:45:00.640 creatively,

00:45:01.500 I feel better

00:45:02.380 than I felt in decades,

00:45:04.080 because I can create

00:45:05.080 the way I want.

00:45:05.900 All these options

00:45:06.720 have opened up.

00:45:07.840 I don't have,

00:45:08.520 you know,

00:45:08.800 this thing hanging over me.

00:45:10.940 I feel great,

00:45:12.800 which is hard to explain,

00:45:13.900 because I don't think

00:45:14.460 anybody believes it.

00:45:16.000 But I do.

00:45:16.420 So,

00:45:17.180 money and happiness

00:45:18.360 are pretty unmoored,

00:45:20.400 you know,

00:45:20.740 as long as you have,

00:45:22.060 you know,

00:45:22.360 some minimum.

00:45:23.800 And happiness

00:45:24.820 is very similar

00:45:25.800 across ethnicities.

00:45:27.220 So,

00:45:27.860 we already have equity.

00:45:29.320 we have equity

00:45:30.520 on the thing

00:45:30.960 that matters.

00:45:32.420 Happiness.

00:45:34.740 All right.

00:45:35.420 But,

00:45:35.920 keep this in mind,

00:45:37.020 that if,

00:45:37.640 if black Americans

00:45:39.140 had a better education

00:45:41.080 relative to other groups,

00:45:43.200 their happiness

00:45:44.160 would go up

00:45:45.020 and would probably

00:45:45.780 exceed,

00:45:46.420 you know,

00:45:48.060 exceed

00:45:48.500 Caucasian happiness,

00:45:49.860 according to this.

00:45:50.860 And if their incomes

00:45:51.720 went up,

00:45:52.100 they might be a little

00:45:52.620 happier too.

00:45:53.180 I would.

00:45:55.740 You know,

00:45:56.120 a little bit.

00:45:57.080 But,

00:45:57.880 you know,

00:45:58.140 they are still

00:45:58.640 disconnected.

00:46:00.020 So,

00:46:00.740 I'm about to give you

00:46:02.580 a,

00:46:05.540 oh,

00:46:05.780 and also,

00:46:06.160 the other thing

00:46:06.520 that creates happiness

00:46:07.180 is being married.

00:46:08.800 Being married.

00:46:11.180 Right?

00:46:11.620 So,

00:46:12.700 if there's a difference

00:46:13.400 between ethnicities

00:46:14.460 and marriage rates,

00:46:16.060 that would also

00:46:16.960 go directly

00:46:17.620 to happiness.

00:46:19.120 So,

00:46:19.460 but where are we

00:46:19.960 looking instead?

00:46:22.640 We're not looking

00:46:23.540 at happiness,

00:46:24.200 are we?

00:46:25.340 The,

00:46:25.620 the main objective

00:46:26.480 of life.

00:46:27.840 We're looking at

00:46:28.720 some kind of

00:46:29.480 equity

00:46:30.160 and all the other stuff.

00:46:33.400 I would like to give you

00:46:34.680 a reframe.

00:46:37.200 And,

00:46:37.720 I'm going to,

00:46:38.420 I'm going to signal

00:46:39.000 where this is beginning.

00:46:40.160 All right?

00:46:40.500 So,

00:46:40.760 I'm going to do this

00:46:41.380 in a way that

00:46:42.980 makes it obvious

00:46:44.500 I'm going to create

00:46:45.180 a clip of it afterwards.

00:46:47.200 So,

00:46:47.620 I'm going to give you

00:46:48.160 a reframe

00:46:48.660 that I believe

00:46:49.260 changes everything.

00:46:51.620 And,

00:46:52.380 it will answer

00:46:54.200 everything

00:46:54.700 about race

00:46:56.620 and how we're

00:46:57.840 dealing with it

00:46:58.440 in the United States.

00:47:00.640 So,

00:47:02.260 this is a

00:47:05.100 micro lesson

00:47:05.780 on race

00:47:07.640 and how to

00:47:09.220 reframe it

00:47:09.960 to fix

00:47:11.200 everything

00:47:11.760 for everybody.

00:47:14.100 And,

00:47:14.260 it goes like this.

00:47:21.320 If you were to

00:47:22.500 have a conversation

00:47:23.480 about race,

00:47:24.600 it would include,

00:47:25.800 but not be limited

00:47:26.600 to,

00:47:27.260 stuff like

00:47:27.940 grievances

00:47:28.680 for past

00:47:29.740 discrimination.

00:47:30.980 You talk about

00:47:31.660 critical race theory.

00:47:32.940 You talk about

00:47:33.540 one group

00:47:34.360 compared to

00:47:34.920 another group.

00:47:35.980 You look for racists

00:47:37.200 because you want

00:47:38.820 to spot the

00:47:39.300 racist

00:47:39.640 to know how

00:47:40.520 to deal

00:47:40.760 with that.

00:47:41.660 You'd be looking

00:47:42.360 at systemic racism

00:47:43.460 and you'd be looking

00:47:44.440 at maybe reparations.

00:47:46.120 Now,

00:47:46.400 this is not a

00:47:46.960 complete list

00:47:47.640 of all the things

00:47:48.460 you'd be talking

00:47:49.020 about,

00:47:49.640 but it's sort of

00:47:50.180 a representative list.

00:47:51.820 If you're in the

00:47:52.220 race conversation,

00:47:53.320 it'd be this stuff.

00:47:54.980 Now,

00:47:55.260 I spend most

00:47:56.140 of my time,

00:47:57.220 and a lot of people

00:47:57.840 don't know this,

00:47:59.620 a lot of people

00:48:00.640 don't know this,

00:48:01.380 but I spend,

00:48:02.580 for the past

00:48:03.660 10 years,

00:48:04.580 I've been more

00:48:05.580 noted for my work

00:48:07.040 in personal success.

00:48:09.060 A book behind me

00:48:10.160 had filled

00:48:10.560 almost everything

00:48:11.300 was the entry

00:48:12.340 to that domain

00:48:13.660 for me,

00:48:14.760 and that became,

00:48:15.840 in my opinion,

00:48:17.000 it's the most

00:48:17.520 influential book

00:48:18.520 on personal success.

00:48:20.360 Other books

00:48:20.880 on personal success

00:48:21.980 refer to it,

00:48:23.480 it's the most

00:48:24.180 common way

00:48:24.740 that people will

00:48:25.460 give advice

00:48:26.600 is directly

00:48:27.660 out of things

00:48:28.300 that I came up

00:48:29.380 with in that book.

00:48:30.480 Talking about

00:48:31.060 talent stacks,

00:48:32.080 systems over goals,

00:48:33.800 passion is,

00:48:34.640 you know,

00:48:34.940 BS, etc.

00:48:36.520 But if I'm talking

00:48:37.700 about personal success,

00:48:39.100 I will be talking

00:48:39.860 about keeping

00:48:41.340 positive attitude,

00:48:42.580 having the right mindset.

00:48:43.780 I'll be talking

00:48:44.140 about gratitude

00:48:45.080 as a superpower

00:48:46.900 for success.

00:48:48.940 I'll talk about

00:48:49.500 the individual

00:48:50.140 and how to network

00:48:51.400 and have lots

00:48:52.260 of contacts.

00:48:53.020 I'll talk about

00:48:53.540 keeping your optimism

00:48:54.320 up because that

00:48:54.980 really helps for success.

00:48:56.700 And I'll talk about

00:48:57.420 reciprocity

00:48:58.180 as an operating system.

00:48:59.800 You do things

00:49:00.320 for people,

00:49:01.060 they'll do things

00:49:01.660 for you,

00:49:02.140 maybe not directly,

00:49:03.020 but eventually.

00:49:04.380 Now,

00:49:05.520 you might have

00:49:06.240 already noticed

00:49:07.100 something about

00:49:07.940 these two lists,

00:49:09.520 that they're

00:49:11.380 in conflict.

00:49:12.860 For example,

00:49:13.740 if you're looking

00:49:15.260 at the grievances

00:49:16.120 of the past,

00:49:16.960 either with CRT

00:49:18.120 or, you know,

00:49:20.280 just generally

00:49:20.940 you're saying

00:49:21.460 that there's

00:49:21.980 discrimination

00:49:22.500 and you've got

00:49:23.260 to focus

00:49:24.100 on the grievance

00:49:24.940 part of it,

00:49:25.680 that is the opposite

00:49:26.820 of what somebody

00:49:27.880 would do

00:49:28.340 for success.

00:49:30.460 If you're focused

00:49:31.380 on personal success,

00:49:33.280 you'd want to

00:49:34.040 have a gratitude

00:49:34.980 frame,

00:49:35.800 but how can you

00:49:36.500 have gratitude

00:49:37.060 about slavery?

00:49:37.780 If you're a 0.88

00:49:39.640 black American,

00:49:41.020 how could you

00:49:41.620 ever think,

00:49:43.220 oh, that slavery

00:49:43.960 worked out well?

00:49:44.860 Of course not.

00:49:45.880 Nobody could have

00:49:46.540 that mindset.

00:49:47.400 I'm not suggesting

00:49:48.120 you should have

00:49:48.680 that mindset.

00:49:49.600 I'm saying that

00:49:50.300 this is in direct

00:49:51.020 conflict with the

00:49:52.500 basic tools

00:49:54.160 of success.

00:49:55.460 But it goes deeper.

00:49:56.940 Talking about a group

00:49:57.760 doesn't help you

00:49:58.600 at all.

00:50:00.300 But talking about

00:50:01.060 you as an individual

00:50:01.980 and what you should do

00:50:03.160 would help you a lot.

00:50:06.300 Spotting racists

00:50:07.220 is good to do.

00:50:08.360 You want to be able

00:50:08.960 to spot the racists

00:50:09.920 and deal with them.

00:50:11.400 But far more important

00:50:13.120 to success would be

00:50:14.400 open yourself

00:50:15.920 to everybody.

00:50:16.780 Have the most contacts

00:50:17.900 you can have.

00:50:18.920 Don't worry so much

00:50:19.880 about what their

00:50:20.520 personal thoughts are.

00:50:21.960 Just make sure

00:50:22.480 that everybody

00:50:23.780 has a good opinion

00:50:24.540 of you

00:50:24.960 because you've

00:50:26.340 connected with them,

00:50:27.820 you've done the

00:50:28.240 right things,

00:50:28.940 you've established

00:50:29.460 your value.

00:50:30.940 Networking.

00:50:31.520 Big, big factor

00:50:32.780 for success.

00:50:34.160 Optimism.

00:50:35.880 Almost everybody

00:50:36.820 will tell you

00:50:37.460 if they work in

00:50:38.220 the field of

00:50:39.000 personal success

00:50:39.860 your mindset,

00:50:41.560 again,

00:50:42.300 your happiness,

00:50:43.280 your gratitude,

00:50:44.620 your optimism,

00:50:45.540 all mindset things.

00:50:46.840 If you get these

00:50:47.600 things right,

00:50:48.080 you'll be very successful.

00:50:49.700 And then the biggest

00:50:50.260 one is reciprocity.

00:50:51.360 It's the opposite

00:50:53.440 of reparations.

00:50:55.380 Reparations are

00:50:56.040 you did something

00:50:56.740 bad for me,

00:50:57.540 I've got a grievance,

00:50:58.500 I would like you

00:50:58.980 to make good on that.

00:51:02.120 Reciprocity says

00:51:02.940 I'm going to do

00:51:03.880 something for you

00:51:04.600 that you didn't ask for.

00:51:06.220 And I'm going to do

00:51:06.820 something for you

00:51:07.500 that you didn't ask for.

00:51:08.740 And you.

00:51:09.900 And you just keep

00:51:10.600 doing it.

00:51:11.800 Eventually somebody

00:51:12.680 in that group

00:51:13.340 is going to come

00:51:13.940 back to you

00:51:14.500 and say,

00:51:16.100 all right,

00:51:17.220 here's something

00:51:17.660 you didn't ask for

00:51:18.540 but this could

00:51:19.260 help you out.

00:51:20.320 Let me give you

00:51:20.880 a specific example

00:51:22.020 of this.

00:51:23.840 I have been

00:51:24.580 refusing interviews

00:51:25.840 on the question

00:51:26.840 of my little drama

00:51:27.840 that many of you

00:51:28.560 know about.

00:51:29.500 I didn't want

00:51:30.220 to do an interview

00:51:30.820 with anybody

00:51:31.480 who was too friendly

00:51:32.460 to my side

00:51:33.400 or my point of view.

00:51:35.020 So I've been

00:51:35.680 turning down

00:51:36.240 everybody who asked

00:51:37.320 and there was

00:51:37.660 a lot of them

00:51:38.220 until I got

00:51:40.840 a request

00:51:41.700 from Larry Elder.

00:51:43.680 Now Larry Elder,

00:51:45.520 I imagine,

00:51:46.980 because he's

00:51:47.400 on the conservative

00:51:48.460 side,

00:51:49.000 that he would say,

00:51:49.780 all right,

00:51:50.220 what you're saying

00:51:51.220 is important,

00:51:52.680 let's talk about it,

00:51:53.700 maybe it was taken

00:51:54.300 out of context.

00:51:55.200 Now I know

00:51:55.640 he will say

00:51:56.100 something like that

00:51:57.020 because he wrote

00:51:58.040 an article

00:51:58.560 that got a lot

00:52:00.740 of play

00:52:01.100 in which he seemed

00:52:02.300 to have a full

00:52:03.900 understanding

00:52:04.420 of my situation

00:52:05.260 that was good

00:52:07.100 for me.

00:52:07.940 In other words,

00:52:08.700 if you understood

00:52:09.540 the situation,

00:52:10.880 you would describe

00:52:11.620 it in a way

00:52:12.040 that doesn't make

00:52:12.600 me look bad.

00:52:13.900 So he wrote

00:52:14.480 an article

00:52:14.840 that was his

00:52:16.840 actual opinion,

00:52:17.700 I'm sure,

00:52:18.720 and it was

00:52:20.340 a positive

00:52:20.820 for me.

00:52:22.240 When Larry Elder

00:52:23.340 asked me if I

00:52:24.080 wanted to be

00:52:24.480 on his podcast,

00:52:26.080 what did I say?

00:52:28.440 I said,

00:52:29.480 some version of,

00:52:30.960 damn it,

00:52:31.480 Larry Elder,

00:52:32.160 you magnificent

00:52:32.900 bastard,

00:52:34.160 you got me.

00:52:35.400 I can't say

00:52:36.120 no to that

00:52:36.720 because I operate

00:52:38.340 on a reciprocity

00:52:39.720 operating system.

00:52:42.060 Larry Elder

00:52:42.540 also operates

00:52:44.620 on a reciprocity

00:52:46.120 operating system.

00:52:48.560 Why did he write

00:52:49.340 a good article

00:52:50.120 about me?

00:52:51.160 Well, partly

00:52:51.680 because he believed

00:52:52.480 it.

00:52:52.820 I'm sure it's

00:52:53.280 exactly what he

00:52:53.900 thinks.

00:52:54.620 But he might

00:52:55.480 also remember

00:52:56.120 that I endorsed

00:52:56.860 him for governor

00:52:57.680 when he ran

00:52:59.020 in the recall

00:52:59.660 election against

00:53:00.600 Newsom.

00:53:03.020 So I did

00:53:03.820 something for him

00:53:04.700 that he didn't

00:53:06.120 ask for.

00:53:07.280 When I got in

00:53:08.200 trouble,

00:53:09.300 not a surprise,

00:53:10.340 he's not the

00:53:11.640 only person

00:53:12.340 who emerged

00:53:13.080 to do

00:53:13.640 something for

00:53:14.480 me just

00:53:15.720 because sometime

00:53:16.780 in the past

00:53:17.580 I'd done

00:53:18.400 something for

00:53:18.980 them.

00:53:19.860 The reciprocity

00:53:21.120 operating system

00:53:22.060 is magic.

00:53:24.440 It's what gets

00:53:25.100 Larry Elder

00:53:25.720 successful,

00:53:27.000 in part.

00:53:27.960 I'm sure that

00:53:28.480 Larry,

00:53:28.700 I'll bet you

00:53:29.140 if you asked

00:53:29.680 Larry Elder,

00:53:30.780 just use him

00:53:31.460 as an example,

00:53:32.440 if you said,

00:53:33.560 do you believe

00:53:34.200 that this has

00:53:34.740 helped you,

00:53:35.220 the tools for

00:53:36.320 success that I

00:53:37.080 just described,

00:53:37.940 what do you

00:53:38.280 think he'd

00:53:38.620 say?

00:53:39.460 He would say,

00:53:40.200 yes,

00:53:41.040 and I'm not

00:53:41.540 reading his

00:53:42.000 mind because

00:53:43.220 everybody who

00:53:44.460 has his kind

00:53:45.220 of success,

00:53:45.880 which is quite

00:53:46.600 notable,

00:53:48.600 uses the same

00:53:49.540 tools.

00:53:50.820 And everybody

00:53:51.260 who is not

00:53:51.900 happy and not

00:53:52.700 doing well are

00:53:53.880 focusing on the

00:53:54.660 past,

00:53:55.920 focusing on

00:53:56.540 grievances,

00:53:57.800 focusing on

00:53:58.460 what somebody

00:53:58.980 else owes them,

00:54:00.180 and focusing on

00:54:01.100 how this system

00:54:01.820 is going to

00:54:02.200 prevent them

00:54:02.740 from succeeding

00:54:03.440 because it's

00:54:04.400 all stacked

00:54:04.960 against them.

00:54:06.620 And so I

00:54:09.100 propose to

00:54:09.740 you that we

00:54:11.280 reframe the

00:54:12.280 issue so

00:54:13.440 that we

00:54:13.700 never forget

00:54:14.640 the things

00:54:15.620 in the race

00:54:16.120 filter that

00:54:17.020 has to be

00:54:17.520 part of

00:54:17.780 history.

00:54:18.400 We have to

00:54:18.980 make sure

00:54:19.320 that none

00:54:19.800 of that is

00:54:20.200 left out.

00:54:21.140 Every bit of

00:54:21.680 that needs to

00:54:22.120 be taught.

00:54:23.000 We need to

00:54:23.520 understand that.

00:54:24.580 I like my

00:54:25.260 Black History

00:54:25.960 Month.

00:54:26.800 I like

00:54:27.300 including

00:54:27.960 history,

00:54:29.200 you know,

00:54:29.480 plain and

00:54:30.120 raw.

00:54:30.380 law, but I

00:54:31.700 like teaching

00:54:33.640 black Americans

00:54:34.760 and white

00:54:35.280 Americans and

00:54:36.160 every other

00:54:36.560 kind of

00:54:36.900 Americans that

00:54:38.260 if they want

00:54:38.960 to succeed,

00:54:40.120 it's not

00:54:40.760 about their

00:54:41.200 obstacles.

00:54:42.320 It's about

00:54:43.040 their tools

00:54:43.700 for success.

00:54:45.920 If we can

00:54:46.480 get people to

00:54:48.700 understand that

00:54:50.340 it's the people

00:54:51.360 who make money

00:54:52.240 selling the

00:54:53.900 race filter,

00:54:55.280 that's why it's

00:54:56.040 on your head

00:54:56.540 all the time.

00:54:57.040 The reason

00:54:57.880 we're all

00:54:58.360 thinking about

00:54:58.960 it all the

00:54:59.400 time and

00:54:59.840 it permeates

00:55:00.840 everything we

00:55:01.420 do is

00:55:02.280 because it's

00:55:02.800 monetized.

00:55:04.220 There are

00:55:04.520 people who

00:55:04.940 make a lot

00:55:05.460 of money

00:55:05.900 just selling

00:55:07.120 this version

00:55:07.840 of reality.

00:55:09.380 They're not

00:55:09.880 selling you

00:55:10.360 personal success,

00:55:11.760 nor do they

00:55:12.520 say they are.

00:55:13.640 That's not even

00:55:14.500 something that

00:55:15.020 they're pretending

00:55:16.080 they're selling

00:55:16.600 to you.

00:55:17.540 So just know

00:55:18.540 what you're

00:55:18.860 buying.

00:55:19.800 If you're

00:55:20.240 paying for

00:55:20.740 this, you're

00:55:21.800 going to get

00:55:22.240 something that's

00:55:23.300 a complete

00:55:23.940 obstacle to

00:55:24.920 personal success.

00:55:26.080 If black 0.95

00:55:27.600 Americans spent

00:55:28.380 a generation

00:55:29.000 working on

00:55:29.580 personal success

00:55:30.660 using the

00:55:31.840 tools of that,

00:55:32.860 they'd still

00:55:33.280 have a lot

00:55:33.700 of obstacles,

00:55:34.560 right?

00:55:35.000 Systemic racism

00:55:36.040 is real, but

00:55:37.180 they would slice

00:55:37.860 through it like

00:55:39.160 butter.

00:55:40.240 And let me tell

00:55:40.820 you, as someone

00:55:41.360 who has hired

00:55:41.980 people, a number

00:55:43.140 of people in my

00:55:44.660 life, if somebody

00:55:46.000 comes in to talk

00:55:46.900 to me and they

00:55:48.080 exhibit an

00:55:49.040 understanding of

00:55:50.040 anything on the

00:55:50.840 personal success

00:55:52.940 list, they're

00:55:54.360 hired.

00:55:54.760 I don't even

00:55:56.380 care about

00:55:56.800 qualifications at

00:55:57.980 that point.

00:55:58.900 If your mindset

00:56:00.420 is on the

00:56:01.200 success tools,

00:56:02.400 you're going to

00:56:02.940 do fine.

00:56:03.940 That's an

00:56:04.360 employee I

00:56:04.840 want.

00:56:05.360 If you walk

00:56:06.080 in and I get

00:56:06.820 a sniff, even

00:56:08.500 a sniff, that

00:56:10.300 your mindset is

00:56:11.640 on the race

00:56:12.160 filter and you're

00:56:13.560 ignoring this

00:56:14.880 personal success

00:56:15.800 filter, I'm

00:56:16.900 sorry, you are

00:56:18.200 definitely not

00:56:18.800 hired.

00:56:19.920 Because if

00:56:20.540 somebody comes

00:56:20.980 in with a

00:56:21.360 mindset that

00:56:22.100 every expert,

00:56:23.560 not just me,

00:56:24.300 this isn't my

00:56:24.960 personal opinion,

00:56:26.100 every expert

00:56:27.280 would agree with

00:56:28.000 the following

00:56:28.500 statement.

00:56:30.020 People who

00:56:30.440 focus on

00:56:31.000 personal success

00:56:31.980 tools do

00:56:32.620 well.

00:56:33.780 People who

00:56:34.260 focus on

00:56:34.820 grievances do

00:56:36.280 less well.

00:56:37.660 And that,

00:56:38.520 ladies and 0.98

00:56:38.880 gentlemen, is

00:56:39.420 the great

00:56:39.900 reframe, the

00:56:41.320 most useful

00:56:41.960 thing anybody's

00:56:43.560 done this

00:56:43.980 year.

00:56:44.600 If you're

00:56:45.100 wondering why

00:56:45.720 I was so

00:56:46.860 provocative to

00:56:48.240 get your

00:56:48.620 attention, it's

00:56:50.140 because of

00:56:50.540 this.

00:56:51.440 It's because

00:56:51.860 we're doing

00:56:52.340 everything wrong

00:56:53.360 and it's

00:56:54.120 making me

00:56:54.640 crazy.

00:56:55.780 So now

00:56:56.300 that I have

00:56:56.740 your attention,

00:56:57.860 if you could

00:56:58.400 just take it

00:56:59.000 away from my

00:56:59.580 personality for

00:57:00.520 a moment and

00:57:01.540 just spend a

00:57:02.140 little time

00:57:02.580 thinking about

00:57:03.280 what do you

00:57:04.160 want to teach

00:57:04.640 your kids?

00:57:05.680 Do you want

00:57:06.060 to teach them

00:57:06.600 how to succeed

00:57:07.460 the way it

00:57:07.960 works for

00:57:08.660 everybody?

00:57:09.700 Or do you

00:57:10.260 want to teach

00:57:11.060 them that they

00:57:11.680 should focus on

00:57:12.540 their grievances

00:57:13.200 and have much

00:57:15.220 less chance of

00:57:16.480 success?

00:57:17.520 And that is

00:57:19.560 your micro

00:57:19.980 lesson on

00:57:21.120 reframing

00:57:21.720 race.

00:57:25.320 So you

00:57:25.900 can see I

00:57:26.380 cut it off

00:57:27.300 there because

00:57:27.860 I'm going to

00:57:28.620 clip this and

00:57:29.480 make it

00:57:29.940 available.

00:57:31.580 This is

00:57:32.000 called, let

00:57:33.240 me tell you a

00:57:33.660 little bit about

00:57:34.280 the technique.

00:57:35.700 So this is a

00:57:36.640 reframe, but it

00:57:38.660 also uses, I

00:57:40.000 suppose I

00:57:40.620 should have

00:57:40.880 included this,

00:57:41.660 but I'll

00:57:43.540 include it for

00:57:44.100 you.

00:57:47.520 I've told

00:57:48.320 you this

00:57:48.620 before, one

00:57:49.320 of the

00:57:49.520 biggest mistakes

00:57:51.280 that people

00:57:51.780 make is to

00:57:52.900 say, oh,

00:57:53.440 there's a

00:57:53.820 cause of my

00:57:54.540 problem, so

00:57:55.680 when I go to

00:57:56.280 fix it, I

00:57:56.960 better work on

00:57:57.520 the cause.

00:57:58.820 So systemic

00:57:59.440 racism caused

00:58:00.820 by white people

00:58:01.720 and discrimination

00:58:02.560 caused a

00:58:03.640 problem for

00:58:04.240 current black

00:58:05.420 Americans, so 1.00

00:58:06.580 let's focus on

00:58:07.300 this cause and

00:58:08.020 let's fix this

00:58:09.000 white person

00:58:09.660 problem here.

00:58:11.240 But that is

00:58:12.280 counterproductive if

00:58:13.460 you have a better

00:58:13.920 solution.

00:58:15.420 So stop

00:58:16.020 looking at the

00:58:16.820 cause and

00:58:17.500 as the only

00:58:17.960 place you can

00:58:18.580 find a solution.

00:58:20.200 Instead, look

00:58:22.340 for any

00:58:22.740 solution, just

00:58:24.360 any solution.

00:58:25.660 And one

00:58:25.980 solution is to

00:58:26.880 make your

00:58:27.340 personal skills

00:58:28.160 so good that

00:58:29.600 nobody can

00:58:30.220 deny you.

00:58:31.860 You just have

00:58:32.460 to be the

00:58:32.960 kind of person

00:58:33.520 people want to

00:58:34.120 work with,

00:58:34.740 marry, date,

00:58:36.400 and hire.

00:58:38.740 So separate

00:58:40.340 the solution

00:58:41.260 from the

00:58:43.120 problem and

00:58:44.600 everything is

00:58:45.140 solved.

00:58:45.960 Now, in my

00:58:46.760 opinion, this

00:58:47.680 is the most

00:58:48.280 useful thing

00:58:50.560 anybody's ever

00:58:51.880 said about race

00:58:52.620 in America.

00:58:53.980 And you're not

00:58:54.760 going to talk

00:58:55.160 me out of that.

00:58:56.100 It's the most

00:58:56.800 useful, useful

00:58:58.620 thing anybody's

00:59:01.000 ever said about

00:59:01.800 race in America.

00:59:03.980 Let's see what

00:59:04.640 happens.

00:59:06.160 YouTube, I'm

00:59:07.020 going to say

00:59:07.260 goodbye to you,

00:59:07.860 talk to the

00:59:08.420 local people a

00:59:09.220 little bit more,

00:59:10.220 and I'll see you

00:59:11.820 tomorrow.

00:59:12.100 Tomorrow.

00:59:12.580 You

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 12, 2023

Episode 2045 Scott Adams： Silicon Valley Bank Prediction, Trump Dominance, & Race Relations Reframed

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