Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2048 Scott Adams： Banks, Cartels, CIA Manipulation, Narrative Poisoning, The Success Reframe

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the best thing that's ever happened to you.

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00:00:44.360 Okay.

00:00:48.080 Well, let's talk about all the stories.

00:00:52.240 Would you like to talk about banking?

00:00:54.080 Sorry, I just nodded off there.

00:01:01.040 You know, I was a banker for a number of years.

00:01:03.900 I started my career as a banker.

00:01:05.800 Thought I'd be a big old banker guy.

00:01:08.080 So, I know a little bit about banking.

00:01:10.860 A little bit.

00:01:11.900 So, let's talk about Silicon Valley Bank.

00:01:14.660 So, here's something I know that people just figured out.

00:01:19.680 I'm not the one person who knew it.

00:01:21.940 You knew it, too.

00:01:23.440 But here it is.

00:01:25.620 When the idea of banks, you know, was created, and then it evolved into, you know, modern banking,

00:01:32.820 it was a good design.

00:01:34.000 And one of the things that was good about it is that even if there was something that

00:01:38.480 looked like a banking weakness, communication among people was so slow that unless you saw

00:01:45.540 a line forming in front of the bank, you couldn't tell there was a bank run.

00:01:49.800 So, you wouldn't know to get in on it, because you wouldn't even know what was happening.

00:01:53.700 So, bank runs were naturally, let's say, prevented just by poor communication.

00:02:03.100 Suddenly, you've got Twitter and the Internet.

00:02:07.600 Suddenly, not only can you instantly tell people there might be a problem, everybody knows at

00:02:14.060 the same time, that's a big problem, but it's worse.

00:02:18.260 They don't even have to go stand in line.

00:02:20.400 They just pull out their app and say, boop, all my money, move it somewhere else, boop.

00:02:27.260 So, when you have those two things that went from sort of a little bit difficult to do,

00:02:32.660 find out what's happening with your bank, number one, and two, actually go stand in a

00:02:37.400 long line to get your money out, there was a natural slowdown.

00:02:42.060 So, we now have a banking system that was created for slow communication and inefficient

00:02:48.720 withdrawals.

00:02:50.400 And then, those two things changed.

00:02:53.100 That's a big problem.

00:02:54.780 So, I would say that social media and banking apps that are just more efficient are actually

00:03:01.300 the risk of the system.

00:03:03.360 You know, almost as much as bad decisions and, you know, poor risk management.

00:03:09.380 The fact that we have two mismatched systems.

00:03:12.440 Our communication system is mismatched with our banking system.

00:03:17.400 That has to get fixed.

00:03:19.560 I don't know exactly what the fix is, but there has to be something that's like, maybe, I hate

00:03:25.680 to say government regulation, but banks are heavily regulated for a reason.

00:03:29.540 There's a reason to regulate.

00:03:32.420 That's the one place you really want some regulation, in my opinion.

00:03:36.380 Yeah.

00:03:36.560 If you're going to have, if you're going to get rid of all regulation, get rid of banking

00:03:39.540 last.

00:03:40.700 You want to keep that one around.

00:03:42.140 So, not too much regulation, but you want some.

00:03:46.640 So, what would we do?

00:03:48.180 Maybe some kind of a government break where the break's just gone?

00:03:53.440 Now, there's an analogy to this whole banking problem that I've been thinking about.

00:03:59.240 Have you ever thought about how unfair it is that if somebody knows to form a, let's

00:04:04.100 say, LLC, limited liability corporation, or a corporation, which takes a lawyer, you have

00:04:09.900 to need a lawyer to do that.

00:04:11.480 If somebody does that little bit of paperwork, they protect themselves individually from all

00:04:16.940 kinds of legal risks and, you know, bankruptcy and stuff.

00:04:21.000 But, if you don't do that paperwork, you don't have those protections.

00:04:27.720 Does that sound like a good system to you?

00:04:31.340 If you happen to know to do it, you're protected, just from some paperwork.

00:04:36.800 And if you didn't know to do it, you wouldn't be protected.

00:04:40.400 That's a terrible system.

00:04:41.860 Here's a better system.

00:04:43.520 If you're a business, you have all the protections of a corporation.

00:04:47.920 How about that?

00:04:49.800 What's wrong with that?

00:04:51.500 If you're in business, you get all the protections of a corporation.

00:04:55.860 You don't have to do the paperwork.

00:04:58.120 I don't see any problem with that.

00:05:01.000 Right?

00:05:01.620 And how about this for banks?

00:05:03.100 So, taking that concept.

00:05:06.200 How about if you're a depositor, the government protects you?

00:05:09.660 How about that?

00:05:11.360 Well, I don't think that having limits is...

00:05:16.060 I've seen some really bad takes, and it goes like this.

00:05:20.560 If you don't have a $250,000 limit that's really a strict limit and you really stick to it and you never change it, it will incentivize bad behavior.

00:05:31.140 So, let's take this example with Silicon Valley Bank.

00:05:35.720 All right.

00:05:35.900 Let's say the Silicon Valley bankers who made the mistakes, let's say that they were aware there was a good chance that even the $250,000 would be guaranteed beyond that if something went wrong.

00:05:49.420 So, under those conditions, if those leaders, and especially the risk management person...

00:05:55.900 So, would the risk management person say to themselves, well, I thought I was evaluating the risk properly, but, you know, all those depositors would be protected.

00:06:09.040 Huh.

00:06:09.860 So, I guess I don't have that much risk.

00:06:12.240 The only risk would be, let's see, I would lose all of my money.

00:06:17.040 I would lose my reputation forever.

00:06:21.480 It would be dangerous to go outside if I ran into a depositor.

00:06:26.420 And everything that I care about in my life would be destroyed.

00:06:31.560 I'm going to do it because the depositors are protected.

00:06:34.860 Maybe.

00:06:36.940 That's the actual thinking.

00:06:38.260 I actually saw, like an actual adult, say that the executives would be disincentivized by what happens with the depositors, as if they would not be disincentivized by losing all of their own money.

00:06:55.900 You don't think that's enough?

00:06:57.800 You don't think that the risk of losing everything?

00:07:00.800 That's what happened to the executives.

00:07:03.220 I mean, they made some money before they lost their jobs.

00:07:06.560 But do you think anybody in the real world who's an executive is thinking to themselves, well, yes, this will definitely destroy my life, but what I really care about is that $250,000 limit.

00:07:20.120 And I think the government will protect a little bit more, because I did that one time.

00:07:24.180 So I'm going to change everything I'm doing because of the depositors, not about my entire life being on the line.

00:07:31.180 It's insane.

00:07:32.580 It's just crazy.

00:07:33.360 Now, changing the amount that's protected for depositors will make no difference to anybody's decision-making, because they don't give a shit.

00:07:46.120 The whole problem is that the executives didn't care about the depositors.

00:07:51.120 Am I right?

00:07:51.960 The entire problem is that the executives were not working for the benefit of the depositors.

00:07:58.580 They never would.

00:07:59.760 They never will.

00:08:01.240 It's not the real world.

00:08:02.520 People just don't care.

00:08:04.720 They care about their own situation.

00:08:07.300 And that's not going to change.

00:08:09.160 And to watch actual adults in the real world in 2023 get up there and imagine that those executives would have acted differently if the $250,000 had been a bigger number.

00:08:22.200 Come on.

00:08:23.640 That's crazy.

00:08:25.460 Am I wrong?

00:08:27.060 Does anybody disagree?

00:08:28.640 I don't believe there's anybody disagreeing.

00:08:30.720 I don't see any disagreement in the comments, and I usually do.

00:08:34.780 That's how poorly managed we are.

00:08:37.500 That's how capable our leaders are.

00:08:42.680 There were real leaders arguing that point, and still are.

00:08:46.700 Still are.

00:08:47.980 That's still a point that's being made by supposedly serious adults.

00:08:53.000 How could you possibly believe that?

00:08:56.340 Crazy.

00:08:57.640 All right.

00:09:00.460 The other thing we learned about Silicon Valley Bank is that the speed of mass hysterias in general, you know, I'll call a bank run a mass hysteria because you're causing the problem by thinking it's a problem.

00:09:12.700 It's a little different than a mass hysteria, but you can see the parallels.

00:09:15.940 So now anything that could have been a mass hysteria before becomes one almost instantly because of the speed of communication.

00:09:25.180 So that's a problem, right?

00:09:27.540 I'm going to talk about some other perceptual problems, and then it'll be a theme by the time I'm done.

00:09:33.940 So put a pin in that.

00:09:38.920 Zuckerberg at Facebook, he's cutting 11,000, I guess 11,000 people got cut in November, another 10,000 being cut.

00:09:48.260 Do you say to yourself, uh-oh, how could Facebook possibly continue as a company if they get rid of one out of four employees, which is what it will be when they do this latest round?

00:10:00.880 They will have lost one out of four employees.

00:10:04.440 Do you know what the experts say?

00:10:07.020 You're not going to notice a difference.

00:10:09.840 Because the tech companies that were wildly profitable, they end up doing a lot of, let's say, optional stuff.

00:10:17.960 A lot of optional stuff.

00:10:19.560 You know, a lot of people working on, you know, the next big thing that doesn't work out.

00:10:24.220 Somebody else is also working on the next big thing.

00:10:26.460 So it's a whole bunch of people who are working on stuff that's not the core business because they can make an argument for it and because the budget allowed it.

00:10:36.640 So here's my parallel to that, my first Dilbert experience, kind of.

00:10:42.800 When I left the phone company, I'm sorry, when I left the bank and went to the phone company, the local phone company,

00:10:48.880 it wasn't long after the divestiture from where all the phone companies were owned by AT&T.

00:10:54.520 So once the individual phone companies were created, they got some allocation of capital from what had been the master entity that was very profitable.

00:11:05.120 So it turns out that the company I worked for had big piles of money coming in just because of the divestiture and had nothing to do with their business.

00:11:15.940 It was just vast piles of capital that we had to employ.

00:11:18.560 How many of the things that we spent that money on were necessary, do you think?

00:11:24.200 Because we realized early on that whatever we established as our budget for the group I was working in,

00:11:31.840 it probably would be sort of the good starting point.

00:11:34.320 So after that capital started trickling out, because it wouldn't last forever, we'd have a large budget,

00:11:40.600 and then we'd be able to say, hey, we'd better keep having this large budget.

00:11:44.300 You might have to cut some other things, but look at all these things we're doing.

00:11:48.060 So people were fighting to spend the most budget, because that was their best interest.

00:11:54.880 I'm not making that up.

00:11:56.660 We had conversations about how to overspend and move some expenses into the current year

00:12:02.480 to make sure that our expenses were as high as possible.

00:12:05.320 That was a real thing that happened.

00:12:09.120 Real thing.

00:12:11.420 Now, do you think that a bank like Silicon Valley Bank, which at one point looked pretty profitable,

00:12:18.460 do you think that all the things they were doing were like right on target to their basic?

00:12:23.480 No, and they were doing lots of social things and donating money to politics and all that stuff.

00:12:29.400 Facebook, I assume it's the same thing.

00:12:31.220 If you got rid of 25% of the workforce, no problem.

00:12:34.320 How about Twitter?

00:12:36.760 What percentage of Twitter did Elon Musk fire?

00:12:40.980 I don't know the number.

00:12:42.240 Is it like half or something?

00:12:44.160 Does anybody have that percentage?

00:12:46.200 I'm not sure I've seen it exactly.

00:12:49.140 Got a little technical problem here.

00:12:52.000 Oh, no.

00:12:53.000 Technical problem on locals.

00:12:56.520 Looks like locals is down.

00:12:58.020 I'm going to reboot locals, see if that works.

00:13:04.320 Boom, boom, boom, boom.

00:13:06.040 Should be one click and back in business.

00:13:10.280 Back in business.

00:13:11.360 Sorry about the technical problem there.

00:13:14.280 All right.

00:13:14.520 Somebody says 50%.

00:13:15.820 50% at Twitter.

00:13:19.480 And has anybody noticed that Twitter is worse?

00:13:22.760 Now, there have been a few technical problems, but I think there always were.

00:13:29.400 Or is it 75%?

00:13:31.100 Did he get rid of 75%?

00:13:33.720 My personal subjective experience is that Twitter is better.

00:13:37.200 I feel it's better.

00:13:40.200 It's got a little more features.

00:13:43.400 I don't know.

00:13:44.280 To me, it looks better.

00:13:48.520 And that is not unusual from the Dilbert perspective.

00:13:52.160 But I think they're hiding the bigger story here.

00:13:56.040 Here's the bigger story on Facebook.

00:13:58.240 Do you know anybody under the age of 18 who uses Facebook?

00:14:02.940 I don't.

00:14:03.800 No, nobody.

00:14:08.580 Now, they do use, you know, subsets of the corporation.

00:14:12.620 They use Instagram, for sure.

00:14:15.100 And they, you know, might be using WhatsApp.

00:14:19.500 But actual Facebook?

00:14:21.920 I think the real story here is that Facebook has no potential for the future

00:14:27.860 unless they become an entirely different company.

00:14:30.560 Which, to Zuckerberg's credit, is exactly what he's trying to do.

00:14:37.600 He is a good manager.

00:14:39.400 I've got to say.

00:14:40.940 You know, say what you will about him for any political stuff or any other problems you have.

00:14:45.420 But he has proven to be a durable and reliable leader who has a good vision of the future.

00:14:53.040 So I think he can own that.

00:14:55.740 I appreciate him for that.

00:14:58.000 And he's stayed out of trouble, too.

00:15:00.760 Have you noticed how much trouble Zuckerberg stays out of?

00:15:03.840 He's really, really good at staying out of trouble.

00:15:07.300 You know, you don't notice it because you don't notice the trouble he didn't cause.

00:15:11.960 But he's just really good at not causing any controversies.

00:15:14.240 However, I think the problem is that if he doesn't make meta work, Facebook has no future.

00:15:22.460 When all the tech companies got dumped during the beginning of the pandemic,

00:15:29.420 and I bought in because I thought, oh, this is the best price I'll ever get.

00:15:32.940 Turns out Amazon is lower than that.

00:15:35.300 Amazon is lower than before the pandemic at the moment.

00:15:38.880 So that didn't work out.

00:15:40.520 The other ones did.

00:15:41.280 But the one that I wouldn't even touch was Facebook.

00:15:45.680 Like, I never was even tempted to own Facebook.

00:15:48.960 Because some of the best advice I got early on was don't, you know,

00:15:55.700 don't get too interested in anything that kids don't want to use.

00:15:59.140 Because the timer is on.

00:16:01.420 It can't last.

00:16:04.240 All right.

00:16:08.560 This is just a story about me.

00:16:10.320 This is just about me.

00:16:12.480 So if you'll indulge me.

00:16:13.840 It's sort of a, I don't know, sign of the times sort of thing.

00:16:17.660 But there's some gentleman on Twitter who's really, really mad at me today.

00:16:22.620 But I can't get interested enough to find out why.

00:16:27.100 But he's really, really mad.

00:16:30.520 And he's talking about how people who follow me on Twitter are doing things,

00:16:35.620 and that's my fault.

00:16:36.400 I guess people who follow him on Twitter, follow me on Twitter,

00:16:41.660 are doing something to him, and he doesn't like it.

00:16:45.040 So somehow that's my fault.

00:16:46.320 But I don't even know who he is.

00:16:47.960 Now, the only thing I know is he may have been in the media

00:16:50.240 and may have said something about me.

00:16:51.960 But I wasn't reading any of those stories.

00:16:54.860 Like, I don't know what he said.

00:16:55.800 But he reminded me, because I said, you know, can you leave me out of this?

00:17:00.980 I don't even know who you are.

00:17:02.960 He was all mad at me for the things I've done to him.

00:17:05.640 I literally didn't even know who he was.

00:17:07.720 That's like a typical day for me.

00:17:09.660 So I asked him on Twitter, you know, hey, you know,

00:17:12.320 I don't even know what this story is about.

00:17:13.620 Can you leave me out of it?

00:17:14.540 So he tweets that I had once retweeted a deepfake that involved him.

00:17:23.420 And so that was on me, because I had retweeted a deepfake

00:17:27.200 that I guess in his mind was not complimentary or something.

00:17:32.780 But when I retweeted it, I labeled it in the retweet,

00:17:37.520 right above it in clear language, that it's the AI version.

00:17:42.060 Like, I'm calling it out as a deepfake.

00:17:44.540 And he got mad at me for doing that,

00:17:48.720 because I guess more people saw it.

00:17:50.040 But I called it out as not real.

00:17:52.300 I mean, I couldn't have been more clear.

00:17:53.680 It was one sentence, and it just said that.

00:17:55.460 It's the AI version.

00:17:57.280 So I guess I could have been more clear, but he is hella mad.

00:18:02.740 I just think it's funny that he's so mad at me,

00:18:04.460 and I don't even know why.

00:18:06.320 And I'm not incentivized to find out.

00:18:10.300 It just doesn't matter.

00:18:11.380 All right, there was a Russian jet that messed with one of our Predator,

00:18:18.300 no, what kind of drones?

00:18:19.840 A Reaper drone, I guess.

00:18:22.300 So did you know that the United States was flying Reaper Jones over the Black Sea?

00:18:27.840 Why were we doing that?

00:18:33.540 Why?

00:18:35.520 I feel like that's direct American involvement in a war zone.

00:18:40.640 I realize I'm supposed to be on the American side here, and I am.

00:18:45.220 But why do we do that?

00:18:47.300 And why do we think we can get away with that?

00:18:49.260 Flying American, even though it's a drone, it's unmanned.

00:18:54.140 But it's a major military asset.

00:18:57.420 We're just flying it around Russia's neighborhood.

00:18:59.840 Now, I get that it wasn't in their territorial zone,

00:19:03.040 but it is a hot war.

00:19:05.200 It's a hot war.

00:19:06.820 If you fly your military assets in and around a hot war,

00:19:11.860 somebody's going to mess with it.

00:19:13.120 So, I don't know.

00:19:16.380 I think that's just two countries bumping chests.

00:19:20.140 I didn't see much there for a story.

00:19:22.560 You see, neither side wants it to escalate, so it won't.

00:19:26.600 You would need at least one side to be willing to escalate.

00:19:30.680 And neither side wants to escalate and then some direct confrontation.

00:19:33.980 So I don't even have a problem with Russia knocking that drone down.

00:19:37.500 I guess they had some technique where they tried to fly their jets over it

00:19:41.280 and dump their fuel on it.

00:19:43.120 I'd never heard of that.

00:19:45.080 Is that something they invented on the spot, or is that an actual thing?

00:19:48.760 Dumping your fuel on the drone?

00:19:51.040 But I guess that didn't work.

00:19:52.880 Then somehow they actually clipped the propeller or something.

00:19:59.300 They clipped something and it went down.

00:20:01.400 But did they intentionally, do you think they intentionally put their jet

00:20:05.280 so close to it that it clipped it?

00:20:07.840 And it hurt the drone more than it hurt the jet?

00:20:10.580 You say yes.

00:20:11.280 I can't imagine being brave enough to knock down a drone with my plane

00:20:18.600 and hope that I would get back okay.

00:20:22.280 And that doesn't sound right to me.

00:20:24.840 It sounds like maybe they were getting close to do something else

00:20:28.960 and maybe hit it accidentally.

00:20:31.440 I don't know.

00:20:31.820 Or maybe the drone closed the gap and it wasn't the jet.

00:20:38.040 It's possible the drone went after the jet, which would be dumb.

00:20:44.440 But maybe.

00:20:45.780 They may have thought, well, let's just bump this jet and see what happens.

00:20:50.120 I don't know.

00:20:50.520 Now, none of it, I think, will become anything big.

00:20:58.980 New York Times was talking about how DeSantis is now saying he's not crazy about defending Ukraine

00:21:08.180 and that it's a territorial dispute.

00:21:10.280 Now, this would put DeSantis in the same bucket as Trump.

00:21:16.620 Trump was already there being not crazy about this war.

00:21:20.620 And as the New York Times put it, if you put the support of Trump plus DeSantis together,

00:21:26.280 75% of Republicans, at least the leaders of 75% of Republicans,

00:21:30.840 given that people like different leaders, out of Ukraine, 75%.

00:21:40.440 But here's what's missing in the conversation.

00:21:44.060 I don't think Trump or DeSantis can describe what it looks like if we leave.

00:21:49.240 And without that, it's not a real opinion.

00:21:51.340 It's just a political opinion.

00:21:53.560 Sounds good.

00:21:54.560 Sounds good to the base.

00:21:56.440 But what would it look like?

00:21:57.520 How in the world would you not expect the Ukrainian people to be crushed by Russia?

00:22:06.060 You've got to be able to say that out loud.

00:22:08.620 See, if you can't say that out loud, you don't belong in the conversation.

00:22:13.160 I like the Willie Brown statement on that.

00:22:17.060 If you're not willing to say, we should get out of there,

00:22:20.380 and I fully understand that Ukraine and the Ukrainian people will be crushed by this.

00:22:24.600 And I fully understand that it would look like America is backing away from a fight.

00:22:30.800 And I fully understand that it could embolden Russia, but we don't know.

00:22:35.720 We don't know, but it could embolden them.

00:22:37.740 That would be a greater risk.

00:22:39.160 And it might give them a recovery time to get their energy dominance back over Europe.

00:22:46.960 Because you can imagine the Europeans would start signing deals again.

00:22:52.600 Am I wrong?

00:22:54.060 Yeah, they would just start signing deals again as soon as the war was over.

00:22:57.440 So we'd have to understand that getting out of Ukraine means giving everything back,

00:23:04.460 crushing Ukraine, having wasted our money, wasted our reputation, wasted all those lives.

00:23:09.960 Now, it still might be the best idea.

00:23:14.980 If it sounded like I said to you, so don't do it, I didn't say that.

00:23:19.200 Because I don't know what the best idea is.

00:23:21.620 But I know that I don't want to follow a leader who can't describe it.

00:23:25.880 Just describe your plan.

00:23:28.100 Here's my plan.

00:23:29.060 We pull out in six months.

00:23:31.640 Russia will definitely wipe out Ukraine.

00:23:34.400 You know, they'll fight boldly but lose in the long run.

00:23:37.020 And then the Ukrainians will maybe be starved like the Holodomor.

00:23:41.780 And certainly all their leaders will be executed that we've had over here.

00:23:46.020 And, you know, we're pretty happy with Zelensky.

00:23:48.200 But he'll obviously be tortured and executed.

00:23:51.040 And just describe it.

00:23:53.880 Now, if you can say that directly to the American people and then say,

00:23:58.600 and we should still do it.

00:24:00.960 We should still do it.

00:24:02.660 Because the alternative is even worse.

00:24:05.260 That's somebody I would believe.

00:24:08.660 That's somebody I could follow.

00:24:11.020 That would be a real leader.

00:24:13.260 Tell us the truth.

00:24:15.220 And I can handle the hard truth.

00:24:18.620 I can handle that.

00:24:20.360 I can't handle half a truth.

00:24:22.500 I can't handle an obvious lie.

00:24:24.800 But if DeSantis or Trump could give us the actual truth,

00:24:28.100 here's what it looks like,

00:24:29.480 and it's really, really going to suck for these people.

00:24:33.080 But we need to do it.

00:24:34.120 I'll listen to that.

00:24:36.580 I'm not pre-convinced,

00:24:39.220 but I'm going to listen to that.

00:24:40.780 But I'm not going to listen to,

00:24:42.660 oh, we shouldn't be there.

00:24:44.300 Oh, we shouldn't be there is just,

00:24:46.940 that's for public consumption.

00:24:50.340 That has nothing to do with policy.

00:24:52.340 That's just for...

00:24:52.760 Do you think that if DeSantis became president tomorrow,

00:24:56.720 he could actually pull the trigger and start pulling people out?

00:24:59.780 No.

00:25:00.420 It would take about a minute and a half for the,

00:25:02.200 you know, the, what do you call it,

00:25:04.580 the military-industrial complex to own him.

00:25:07.500 Take about a minute.

00:25:08.440 And then he'd be like,

00:25:10.020 oh, well,

00:25:10.920 we definitely want to phase out,

00:25:12.880 but not so quickly.

00:25:14.940 You know,

00:25:15.280 we have to do it right.

00:25:16.760 So it might take two years,

00:25:18.420 which coincidentally is exactly the amount of time

00:25:21.020 the war would have taken on its own.

00:25:23.500 So I think it would instantly turn into,

00:25:25.680 we've got to do what we're already doing

00:25:26.900 because it's too late to turn back.

00:25:29.300 I think that's the truth.

00:25:30.620 I think it's too late to turn back.

00:25:32.300 Might be.

00:25:34.340 We'll see.

00:25:35.540 Yeah.

00:25:38.760 Once again,

00:25:39.520 I'd like to give public congratulations

00:25:42.060 to Gavin Newsom

00:25:43.220 for one of the,

00:25:44.500 one of the best political plays of the year.

00:25:48.100 I've told you before that he,

00:25:50.080 instead of saying no to reparations,

00:25:53.060 well, actually,

00:25:53.660 this is more of the San Francisco board,

00:25:55.620 but the San Francisco board

00:25:57.160 came up with the recommendations.

00:25:59.880 So here's what they came up with.

00:26:05.300 I was going to try to read it without laughing,

00:26:08.160 but I don't know that I could do that.

00:26:10.960 So the reason it's brilliant

00:26:12.400 is that when you ask the people

00:26:14.220 who are in favor of reparations

00:26:16.360 to come back with a detailed plan,

00:26:19.140 you can know in advance

00:26:20.500 that the detailed plan will just be laughable,

00:26:23.700 like actually just laughable.

00:26:25.260 And then you don't have to be the person

00:26:26.800 who's against reparations.

00:26:28.520 You're the person who tried to get a committee

00:26:30.340 to come up with a plan.

00:26:32.020 Well, it's not your fault

00:26:32.960 if the committee came up with a laughable plan

00:26:35.020 that nobody would possibly implement.

00:26:37.180 Well, that's not your fault.

00:26:38.740 So Gavin Newsom for the win.

00:26:40.120 Here's the plan

00:26:40.860 that the committee came up with.

00:26:43.460 The San Francisco board of supervisors

00:26:45.940 met Tuesday.

00:26:47.620 This is from Fox News site.

00:26:49.560 In official discussions on reparations

00:26:52.800 with $5 million payments on the table

00:26:56.360 for every eligible black adult in the city.

00:27:02.720 Oh, no, I'm not done.

00:27:05.040 I'm not done.

00:27:06.400 The board expressed, quote,

00:27:08.720 unanimous support for reparations during the meeting,

00:27:11.900 even after Stanford University-Hoover Institution

00:27:15.180 calculated that the proposal

00:27:17.380 would cost non-black families in the city

00:27:20.600 at least $600,000 each.

00:27:30.680 Members of the San Francisco board

00:27:32.900 also expressed interest in other forms of reparations,

00:27:36.300 because that's not enough,

00:27:37.540 for the city's roughly 50,000 black residents,

00:27:39.840 including a guaranteed annual income

00:27:42.400 of $97,000 a year for 250 years.

00:27:49.200 For 250 years, each person.

00:27:52.340 What is the average lifespan

00:27:54.680 of a black resident of San Francisco?

00:27:59.520 I don't know.

00:27:59.960 I think they live longer there,

00:28:02.160 probably to 1,000.

00:28:03.840 But anyway, $97,000 for 250 years.

00:28:08.300 And wait, hold on.

00:28:09.200 And a home that they would purchase

00:28:11.360 for $1 for a family.

00:28:13.960 $1.

00:28:14.620 So they want $1 home purchases.

00:28:17.460 Now, since the person selling the home

00:28:19.780 obviously has to be compensated,

00:28:21.860 you would have to add the, you know, roughly,

00:28:25.120 I don't know, what's a home in San Francisco?

00:28:26.920 A million dollars?

00:28:27.720 Two million dollars?

00:28:28.940 So you'd have to add a million dollars

00:28:30.660 to each black family's thing.

00:28:32.900 So the $600,000 per non-black resident

00:28:37.380 that they have to pay,

00:28:38.380 you'd have to jack that up another,

00:28:40.280 you know, maybe $100,000 to buy all the homes.

00:28:42.680 But also to pay the annual $97,000 for 250 years,

00:28:47.920 well, probably each non-black resident,

00:28:49.980 maybe a million dollars.

00:28:55.660 Maybe a million dollars per non-black resident

00:28:57.860 as their fee to pay for the fact

00:29:00.340 that none of them had anything to do with slavery.

00:29:04.420 All right, well, I'd like to double down

00:29:08.900 on something that got me in trouble

00:29:10.340 and say that, as I tweeted,

00:29:13.900 I don't want to spend time near any cluster of white people

00:29:16.740 who have been poisoned by wokeness narratives.

00:29:21.920 Is that racist?

00:29:23.820 Is it racist to say I don't want to be near

00:29:26.240 any cluster of white people

00:29:30.220 who have that mindset?

00:29:34.420 Now, I don't think I would have been canceled

00:29:37.380 for saying that, would I?

00:29:39.760 No.

00:29:40.400 Super racist.

00:29:41.720 Super racist.

00:29:42.920 But it does not include conservatives.

00:29:46.540 Like, white conservatives, great.

00:29:48.560 And by the way,

00:29:50.000 black conservatives, love them.

00:29:54.260 You know, I don't even know

00:29:55.120 if I've ever seen a black conservative

00:29:56.580 who wasn't doing well.

00:29:58.800 Have you?

00:30:00.320 Is it my imagination,

00:30:01.740 or is it every time

00:30:02.740 I have any encounter

00:30:04.400 with a black conservative,

00:30:06.700 young, younger, older,

00:30:08.480 they seem to have done okay?

00:30:11.560 Like, they have, you know,

00:30:12.980 jobs and families usually,

00:30:14.640 and like all the things you'd imagine,

00:30:16.780 you know, signify some kind of personal success.

00:30:19.300 So,

00:30:22.540 I think when I got in trouble,

00:30:26.340 my hyperbole

00:30:27.420 disguised the fact

00:30:29.700 that I was talking about a mindset,

00:30:31.620 not anything genetic.

00:30:34.960 Was there any of you

00:30:36.040 who misunderstood my comments

00:30:37.740 about the context of

00:30:39.580 staying away from,

00:30:41.500 and I won't say it again out loud,

00:30:43.040 but people who have a mindset

00:30:44.540 that you're the problem,

00:30:46.140 why would you want to be around

00:30:48.360 people whose mindset

00:30:49.300 is you're the problem?

00:30:51.020 Did anybody figure out

00:30:52.740 when I said,

00:30:53.720 hey, black Americans

00:30:54.800 are being poisoned,

00:30:56.060 largely by white people,

00:30:57.580 to believe that white people

00:30:58.960 are the problem?

00:31:01.020 Why would you want

00:31:01.920 to be around that?

00:31:03.200 Literally nobody disagreed

00:31:04.540 with the idea.

00:31:05.380 It's just that it's racist.

00:31:06.900 So I'll say the same thing

00:31:07.780 about white people.

00:31:09.800 White people who are

00:31:11.220 in a Democrat cluster,

00:31:13.300 I'm sure there are some of them

00:31:15.000 that are just great.

00:31:16.940 Even, I'm sure there are

00:31:18.180 some progressives

00:31:19.000 who are actually just great people

00:31:20.780 that have a little bit

00:31:21.460 different opinion.

00:31:23.000 I don't mind them,

00:31:24.500 of course.

00:31:25.160 And of course,

00:31:25.620 I judge everybody individually

00:31:26.960 because you have to.

00:31:28.660 It's the only smart thing to do,

00:31:30.240 judge people individually.

00:31:31.720 And when I say

00:31:32.300 judge people individually,

00:31:33.560 that's not a race frame.

00:31:36.600 Have I ever explained that?

00:31:38.540 When I say I'm adamant

00:31:39.980 about every individual

00:31:41.640 must be treated as an individual,

00:31:43.480 not a race,

00:31:44.120 not a religion.

00:31:45.460 That's based on math.

00:31:47.420 That's not based

00:31:48.060 on any racial anything.

00:31:50.100 That's a personal success,

00:31:52.620 math-based strategy.

00:31:55.440 The more people

00:31:56.200 you have access to,

00:31:57.780 the more successful

00:31:58.860 you will be.

00:32:00.220 It's called networking.

00:32:01.840 Those are the people

00:32:02.460 who will offer you jobs,

00:32:03.800 blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.

00:32:04.940 So it's about mindset,

00:32:08.220 and it's not about race.

00:32:10.700 It never was about race.

00:32:12.040 It was never about race.

00:32:14.560 But my hyperbole

00:32:16.540 quite intentionally

00:32:17.800 made it look that way.

00:32:19.220 All right.

00:32:23.380 RFK Jr.

00:32:24.660 was on a video recently.

00:32:26.020 I was listening to him,

00:32:26.880 and he reminds us

00:32:27.940 that before Obama's presidency,

00:32:31.840 it was illegal for the CIA

00:32:33.560 to manipulate the minds

00:32:36.720 of Americans.

00:32:37.860 They could do it

00:32:38.500 in other countries,

00:32:39.220 but it was illegal

00:32:40.820 for them to try

00:32:41.500 to brainwash Americans.

00:32:43.960 Obama changed that

00:32:45.200 and made it legal again

00:32:47.320 to brainwash Americans.

00:32:49.660 So do you think

00:32:51.400 that he made it legal

00:32:52.920 just in case

00:32:55.160 anybody ever wanted to,

00:32:57.900 or do you think

00:32:58.720 that the CIA

00:32:59.440 immediately said,

00:33:00.620 whoa,

00:33:01.560 we better immediately

00:33:02.640 start a department

00:33:03.600 to manage the opinions

00:33:07.580 of Americans?

00:33:09.380 Well,

00:33:10.340 if you've learned nothing

00:33:12.140 from what I've taught you

00:33:14.020 about the Dilbert

00:33:14.980 kind of organizations,

00:33:16.640 the moment it was legal,

00:33:18.640 you should assume

00:33:19.600 that somebody at the CIA

00:33:21.260 said, you know what?

00:33:22.340 If you were to give me

00:33:23.300 a promotion and a budget,

00:33:24.880 I could run the department

00:33:26.300 that is in charge of this.

00:33:28.540 And we won't go wild.

00:33:29.560 We'll only use it

00:33:30.500 when it's necessary

00:33:31.620 for, you know,

00:33:32.760 public safety.

00:33:34.240 For example,

00:33:35.460 maybe we'll stop

00:33:36.240 a bank run.

00:33:37.700 How about that?

00:33:38.900 Maybe we'll stop

00:33:39.900 a bank run.

00:33:40.860 And that would be good.

00:33:42.020 I wouldn't mind that.

00:33:43.420 Would you mind

00:33:44.020 if you found out later

00:33:45.140 that the CIA

00:33:46.480 had managed,

00:33:49.140 somehow managed

00:33:50.140 our minds

00:33:50.860 to stop a bank run?

00:33:56.160 Some say

00:33:56.900 they would mind.

00:33:57.440 And that's,

00:33:58.600 I respect that opinion.

00:34:00.580 Yeah,

00:34:00.780 some would say

00:34:01.340 they mind.

00:34:02.820 Others would say,

00:34:03.800 you know what?

00:34:04.900 Under that specific situation,

00:34:07.000 I'd rather they stepped in.

00:34:08.720 And I think both

00:34:09.500 could be supported.

00:34:11.020 I think smart people

00:34:12.080 could be on both sides

00:34:12.960 of that question.

00:34:14.440 But,

00:34:15.560 doesn't it make you wonder?

00:34:18.040 Now,

00:34:18.700 let me ask you this.

00:34:20.140 Do you think

00:34:20.560 the CIA

00:34:21.100 totally said

00:34:22.820 this isn't our thing?

00:34:23.680 Or do you think

00:34:26.740 the CIA said,

00:34:27.580 oh,

00:34:27.780 this is exactly

00:34:28.540 our thing.

00:34:29.500 We've got to stop

00:34:30.140 this bank run.

00:34:32.440 And if the CIA

00:34:33.840 wanted to stop

00:34:34.800 a bank run,

00:34:35.420 how would they do it?

00:34:37.380 Well,

00:34:37.680 what would be the tools

00:34:38.600 they would employ?

00:34:40.040 Well,

00:34:40.620 what they would use

00:34:41.880 is people.

00:34:43.400 People who

00:34:44.220 were willing to do

00:34:45.400 what they asked them

00:34:46.140 to do.

00:34:46.960 So they would go

00:34:47.840 to newspapers,

00:34:49.640 and they would go

00:34:51.000 to networks,

00:34:52.040 and various,

00:34:53.700 but they would also

00:34:54.420 make sure that they

00:34:55.140 got some prominent

00:34:57.060 voices that were

00:34:59.220 persuasive to say

00:35:00.940 what they wanted to say.

00:35:02.900 Did you see a number

00:35:03.960 of prominent voices

00:35:04.960 that were on the side

00:35:07.220 of controlling

00:35:09.060 the bank run

00:35:09.800 and taking care of it?

00:35:11.760 Well,

00:35:12.000 you did.

00:35:13.100 Now,

00:35:13.360 I'm not saying

00:35:13.800 that they were,

00:35:14.380 I'm not saying

00:35:16.400 that they were

00:35:16.820 CIA influenced.

00:35:18.580 I'm saying that's

00:35:19.500 how they would do it.

00:35:21.000 which is different

00:35:21.980 from any individual

00:35:23.320 being part of that.

00:35:24.580 So I'm not making

00:35:25.280 an accusation

00:35:25.940 about any individual.

00:35:27.580 I'm just saying

00:35:28.440 I wouldn't be surprised.

00:35:32.040 Oh,

00:35:32.200 if somebody says me,

00:35:33.080 no,

00:35:33.620 no,

00:35:34.000 nobody,

00:35:34.480 nobody contacted me.

00:35:36.300 Well,

00:35:36.420 that's a good point.

00:35:37.500 If nobody contacted me,

00:35:39.680 but would people think

00:35:41.180 that I was pro-CIA

00:35:42.620 or a critic of the CIA?

00:35:45.840 How would you interpret

00:35:47.100 my public work

00:35:48.800 as a critic

00:35:50.060 of intelligence agencies,

00:35:52.660 50 members of whom

00:35:54.460 signed the laptop

00:35:55.600 from hell

00:35:56.260 disinformation?

00:36:01.260 Well,

00:36:01.780 somebody says I'm both

00:36:02.740 and that's fair.

00:36:03.960 Yeah,

00:36:04.660 I'm both

00:36:05.180 because I think

00:36:06.220 we need the CIA.

00:36:07.980 But clearly,

00:36:09.540 you know,

00:36:09.860 if you look at

00:36:10.460 the behavior

00:36:12.860 of our intelligence

00:36:13.820 organizations

00:36:14.500 in the last several years,

00:36:15.440 they do seem weaponized

00:36:16.540 against us

00:36:17.180 and they do seem

00:36:18.240 politicized.

00:36:19.680 So I've been saying

00:36:20.300 that for a long time.

00:36:21.800 All right,

00:36:22.000 so here's my question

00:36:24.400 to you.

00:36:25.460 If the CIA

00:36:26.280 had the legal ability

00:36:29.400 to manage

00:36:30.600 public minds

00:36:32.240 and brainwash people,

00:36:34.900 would they act

00:36:36.040 against their critics?

00:36:38.660 Do you think

00:36:39.000 the CIA would act

00:36:40.120 to minimize

00:36:41.440 their critics?

00:36:43.080 Some say yes.

00:36:46.500 Because it's legal.

00:36:47.880 It would be legal

00:36:48.980 to protect

00:36:51.860 their own brand

00:36:53.140 if they could argue

00:36:55.860 that that was good

00:36:56.620 for the country.

00:36:57.320 Oh yeah,

00:36:58.000 we don't want

00:36:58.620 the CIA

00:36:59.100 to be dismantled.

00:37:00.260 That would keep

00:37:01.080 the country

00:37:01.480 in a weak state.

00:37:02.660 So we'll manipulate

00:37:03.480 people into thinking

00:37:04.940 we're awesome

00:37:05.520 and one of the ways

00:37:07.020 we do that

00:37:07.560 might be to get rid

00:37:08.420 of our critics.

00:37:11.100 Do you remember

00:37:11.680 when the newspapers

00:37:12.620 canceled me?

00:37:15.620 But suspiciously

00:37:17.040 only Democrats

00:37:18.100 seem to be

00:37:18.760 really, really angry

00:37:19.720 whereas conservatives,

00:37:21.700 once they heard

00:37:22.120 the context

00:37:23.820 I was talking about,

00:37:24.860 conservatives

00:37:25.400 almost to a person

00:37:26.860 said,

00:37:27.340 you shouldn't be

00:37:28.320 canceled for that

00:37:29.160 even if they

00:37:30.320 didn't like it.

00:37:31.520 Even if they

00:37:32.200 thought I was

00:37:33.420 over the line

00:37:34.440 or too offensive.

00:37:35.900 Pretty much

00:37:36.400 conservatives said,

00:37:37.400 you know,

00:37:38.440 still it's not

00:37:39.320 cancelable

00:37:39.960 in their opinions.

00:37:41.200 and pretty much

00:37:42.920 it was just

00:37:43.880 Democrats

00:37:44.380 versus Republicans

00:37:45.560 in the end.

00:37:46.740 So my first

00:37:47.760 take on this

00:37:48.600 was that it was

00:37:49.280 really political,

00:37:51.080 meaning that the

00:37:52.100 newspapers wanted

00:37:52.920 to get rid of me

00:37:53.720 and anybody

00:37:54.420 who was a Democrat

00:37:55.360 wanted to get rid of me.

00:37:56.780 And I would say

00:37:57.660 that if you look

00:37:59.680 up to the last

00:38:00.060 several years

00:38:00.780 anybody who was

00:38:02.440 paying attention

00:38:03.120 could see that

00:38:04.200 I could move

00:38:04.760 the dial.

00:38:05.980 How many would

00:38:06.740 agree with that

00:38:07.260 statement?

00:38:08.280 That in the realm

00:38:09.180 of politics

00:38:09.900 that I can move

00:38:11.960 the dial.

00:38:12.860 I can actually

00:38:13.420 change people's

00:38:14.200 opinions in a way

00:38:15.120 that's important.

00:38:17.620 So the locals

00:38:18.320 people mostly say

00:38:19.220 yes.

00:38:20.020 They're a little bit

00:38:20.540 ahead of the,

00:38:21.480 yeah, you see

00:38:22.020 yeses here.

00:38:23.080 Now those of you

00:38:23.720 who don't agree,

00:38:26.260 like there's some

00:38:26.840 no's, right?

00:38:27.300 So those of you

00:38:28.420 who say no,

00:38:29.780 the only point

00:38:30.700 I'm going to make

00:38:31.260 is look at all

00:38:31.800 the yeses.

00:38:32.860 So I'm not going

00:38:33.420 to say I am

00:38:34.120 or I'm not

00:38:35.060 influential.

00:38:36.580 I'm just going

00:38:37.260 to say look

00:38:37.820 at the yeses.

00:38:39.100 If the public

00:38:39.920 thinks I'm

00:38:40.500 influential,

00:38:41.160 do you think

00:38:41.480 the CIA thinks

00:38:42.320 so?

00:38:43.680 Do you think

00:38:44.320 the CIA hasn't

00:38:45.200 noticed me?

00:38:47.320 Do you think

00:38:47.940 the CIA,

00:38:48.660 who is an expert

00:38:49.280 on persuasion,

00:38:51.100 doesn't know

00:38:51.620 exactly what I

00:38:52.460 can do and

00:38:52.920 what I can't do?

00:38:54.380 Of course they do.

00:38:55.920 They know

00:38:56.300 exactly how much

00:38:57.280 influence I have

00:38:58.260 and which direction

00:38:59.140 I'm likely to push

00:39:00.020 it.

00:39:01.060 And it's not

00:39:01.680 necessarily in

00:39:02.500 their favor.

00:39:04.520 And then the

00:39:05.040 newspapers cancelled

00:39:05.960 me.

00:39:07.960 How many

00:39:08.560 newspapers did

00:39:09.360 it take to

00:39:10.320 create the

00:39:11.000 run on

00:39:11.600 newspapers?

00:39:12.420 It's like a

00:39:12.860 run on banks.

00:39:14.120 Like if the

00:39:14.680 first few

00:39:15.140 newspapers say

00:39:15.900 we must cancel

00:39:17.240 you, let's say

00:39:17.800 the Washington

00:39:18.240 Post.

00:39:19.320 Washington Post

00:39:20.140 was the second

00:39:20.920 big paper.

00:39:22.680 If the Washington

00:39:23.400 Post cancels me,

00:39:24.560 do you think

00:39:24.900 these smaller

00:39:25.500 papers can keep

00:39:26.400 me in the

00:39:26.840 pages?

00:39:27.960 Nope.

00:39:28.840 It really only

00:39:29.480 took the

00:39:29.800 Washington Post.

00:39:31.180 Because once

00:39:31.640 they took a

00:39:32.180 stand, the

00:39:33.440 other papers

00:39:34.000 just sort of

00:39:34.480 yeah, yeah, yeah.

00:39:35.260 Because the

00:39:35.780 Washington Post

00:39:36.280 is a newsmaker.

00:39:37.600 They decide

00:39:38.320 what is true

00:39:39.480 for the

00:39:40.600 smaller newspapers.

00:39:42.780 So how much

00:39:43.960 would the CIA

00:39:44.640 have to tweak

00:39:46.380 a knob to get

00:39:47.180 rid of me as

00:39:48.100 a public figure?

00:39:48.880 They needed

00:39:50.960 one editor in

00:39:52.760 one place to

00:39:55.120 write an

00:39:56.860 editorial and

00:39:57.620 say, cancel

00:39:58.180 this guy.

00:39:58.740 That's all it

00:39:59.120 would take.

00:39:59.980 One editor in

00:40:01.020 one place.

00:40:02.900 Do you think

00:40:03.300 the newspapers

00:40:03.840 did this on

00:40:04.480 their own?

00:40:08.120 Because they

00:40:08.700 could have.

00:40:09.480 I'm not saying

00:40:10.040 they didn't.

00:40:11.220 It's entirely

00:40:11.820 possible it's

00:40:12.600 just what you

00:40:13.160 thought it was.

00:40:14.260 Public complained,

00:40:15.460 the newspapers

00:40:15.960 had too much

00:40:16.620 pressure,

00:40:17.760 newspapers also

00:40:18.840 didn't like me

00:40:19.680 because I'm

00:40:20.440 criticizing the

00:40:21.980 news a lot.

00:40:22.440 And so it was

00:40:23.600 just a news

00:40:24.060 thing and it

00:40:24.580 was just

00:40:24.840 business and

00:40:25.560 there was

00:40:25.960 nothing suspicious

00:40:26.720 here.

00:40:27.600 Very possible.

00:40:29.780 But I can't

00:40:32.100 really conceive

00:40:33.500 of a situation

00:40:34.300 where the CIA

00:40:35.040 wouldn't want to

00:40:35.740 take me out.

00:40:37.580 And they have

00:40:38.280 the ability.

00:40:39.620 It's one phone

00:40:40.300 call.

00:40:41.400 One phone call

00:40:42.240 cancels me

00:40:43.040 worldwide.

00:40:44.840 Now do you

00:40:45.300 think that I

00:40:45.880 will have as

00:40:46.360 much influence

00:40:47.280 after being

00:40:48.780 canceled?

00:40:49.120 What do you

00:40:52.060 think?

00:40:53.120 Will I have as

00:40:53.880 much influence

00:40:54.520 after being

00:40:55.000 canceled?

00:40:56.340 Well it would

00:40:57.080 be a good bet

00:40:57.920 that I would

00:40:58.360 go away like

00:40:58.980 Roseanne.

00:41:00.480 If you were

00:41:01.100 going to bet

00:41:01.580 you'd bet

00:41:02.100 okay it's

00:41:02.560 going to be

00:41:02.780 a Roseanne

00:41:03.300 situation.

00:41:05.040 You know he

00:41:05.300 might come

00:41:05.720 back in five

00:41:06.460 years or

00:41:06.880 something but

00:41:07.320 basically he's

00:41:07.980 off the field

00:41:08.640 for the next

00:41:09.280 election cycle.

00:41:13.540 Somebody says

00:41:14.220 this is not an

00:41:15.000 issue for the

00:41:15.600 CIA.

00:41:16.420 Let me tell

00:41:17.060 you why it

00:41:17.420 is.

00:41:17.680 The CIA does

00:41:19.360 want to protect

00:41:20.000 its own power

00:41:20.760 and its own

00:41:21.600 mission.

00:41:22.800 And I'm a

00:41:23.160 critic.

00:41:24.800 It's pretty

00:41:25.420 straightforward.

00:41:26.780 If people don't

00:41:27.740 try to get rid

00:41:28.300 of their critics

00:41:28.880 when they can

00:41:29.800 I don't know

00:41:31.220 I wouldn't

00:41:32.260 understand the

00:41:32.900 CIA if they

00:41:33.700 couldn't act on

00:41:34.620 things that they

00:41:35.200 thought were

00:41:35.540 important.

00:41:37.020 So I'm not

00:41:38.480 going to make

00:41:38.820 a claim that

00:41:39.400 the CIA decided

00:41:40.600 to cancel me.

00:41:42.020 I'm going to

00:41:42.600 make the

00:41:42.900 following claim.

00:41:44.420 It would look

00:41:44.920 just like this.

00:41:46.540 It would look

00:41:47.140 exactly like

00:41:47.920 this.

00:41:48.700 And you

00:41:48.900 wouldn't be

00:41:49.180 able to

00:41:49.380 know.

00:41:50.080 Now the

00:41:50.420 problem is

00:41:50.820 not me.

00:41:51.720 I know some

00:41:53.300 people say when

00:41:53.940 I talk about

00:41:54.540 my situation

00:41:55.180 it's whining

00:41:55.760 or complaining.

00:41:56.760 I'm not

00:41:57.260 whining or

00:41:57.760 complaining.

00:41:58.720 I'm just

00:41:59.120 describing.

00:42:00.540 My life is

00:42:01.340 fine.

00:42:03.040 I'm in a

00:42:03.720 good place.

00:42:04.820 I don't have a

00:42:05.520 problem in the

00:42:06.080 world.

00:42:08.800 But you

00:42:09.560 should know

00:42:10.160 that you can't

00:42:11.740 tell what stories

00:42:12.420 are real anymore.

00:42:13.700 If the CIA

00:42:14.460 decides that's

00:42:15.220 your narrative

00:42:15.620 that's your

00:42:16.300 narrative.

00:42:17.360 And the

00:42:17.720 news will

00:42:18.700 they only have

00:42:19.980 to get a few

00:42:20.660 news people to

00:42:21.360 say it's true

00:42:21.940 and then it's

00:42:22.540 the big story

00:42:23.260 everybody's

00:42:23.660 talking about.

00:42:24.940 So if you

00:42:26.180 thought it was

00:42:26.600 hard for the

00:42:28.320 CIA or anybody

00:42:29.260 else to change

00:42:30.320 the entire

00:42:30.780 narrative or to

00:42:31.740 take out a

00:42:32.220 person it's not.

00:42:33.560 It's one phone

00:42:34.180 call.

00:42:35.300 It's just one

00:42:35.800 phone call.

00:42:36.740 That's it.

00:42:37.140 You can change

00:42:37.620 the whole narrative.

00:42:39.640 Which doesn't

00:42:40.320 mean they're doing

00:42:40.820 it.

00:42:41.100 It's just that they

00:42:41.660 could.

00:42:41.860 All right

00:42:43.140 Rasmussen did

00:42:44.060 a poll on

00:42:44.700 designated the

00:42:46.360 cartels as

00:42:47.580 terrorist

00:42:48.460 organizations.

00:42:50.200 It turns out

00:42:50.640 79% of likely

00:42:52.040 U.S.

00:42:52.340 voters are in

00:42:53.540 favor of

00:42:55.100 designated the

00:42:55.800 Mexican drug

00:42:56.480 cartels as a

00:42:57.440 serious threat to

00:42:58.140 the United

00:42:58.360 States.

00:43:00.720 Who would

00:43:01.480 disagree with

00:43:02.160 that?

00:43:02.560 I mean it

00:43:03.860 seems obvious

00:43:04.540 right?

00:43:05.540 Let me see.

00:43:07.340 We disagree.

00:43:09.180 Okay.

00:43:09.460 Well 20%

00:43:11.140 strongly disagree

00:43:12.240 with that.

00:43:13.500 20%.

00:43:13.940 But then there's

00:43:14.840 another 10% that

00:43:15.900 are not sure.

00:43:17.560 So let's say

00:43:17.960 the 10% that

00:43:18.800 are not sure

00:43:19.600 you know if

00:43:20.900 they found out

00:43:21.460 a little more

00:43:21.900 they could go

00:43:22.380 either way.

00:43:22.960 It's sort of a

00:43:24.240 coin flip.

00:43:25.140 So take half of

00:43:25.860 them and add it

00:43:26.520 to the 20%

00:43:27.120 oh yeah that

00:43:29.300 would be 25%

00:43:30.380 or not in

00:43:31.820 favor of it.

00:43:33.300 Huh.

00:43:34.080 Very surprising.

00:43:35.800 Very surprising.

00:43:38.300 I don't know.

00:43:39.460 I wonder how

00:43:41.540 many of the

00:43:41.880 people who

00:43:42.320 said they

00:43:43.100 wanted to be

00:43:43.740 designated as

00:43:44.540 a terrorist

00:43:44.980 organization,

00:43:46.280 how many of

00:43:46.940 them know

00:43:47.300 that that

00:43:48.040 guarantees

00:43:48.720 military action?

00:43:52.040 I'm not sure

00:43:52.820 if the people

00:43:53.300 answering the

00:43:53.800 poll knew

00:43:54.440 that they were

00:43:55.320 voting for

00:43:55.840 war.

00:43:57.220 They're voting

00:43:57.880 for a hot

00:43:58.420 war if they're

00:43:59.760 in favor of

00:44:00.220 that.

00:44:01.020 Now I do.

00:44:01.980 I'm in favor

00:44:02.640 of a hot

00:44:03.080 war.

00:44:05.260 A limited

00:44:06.000 one.

00:44:06.480 I mean one

00:44:06.980 that just goes

00:44:07.580 after the bad

00:44:08.100 guys.

00:44:08.400 But I can

00:44:11.040 say it out

00:44:11.460 loud.

00:44:14.240 Alright.

00:44:17.660 Here's a

00:44:18.480 shift in the

00:44:19.340 narrative that

00:44:20.080 I'm seeing.

00:44:21.140 And you can

00:44:21.660 decide if I

00:44:22.840 have anything

00:44:23.360 to do with

00:44:23.900 this.

00:44:24.740 Right?

00:44:25.300 So your

00:44:25.820 assignment will

00:44:26.480 be, as I

00:44:27.220 mentioned, a

00:44:27.680 few different

00:44:28.200 related stories

00:44:29.180 to see if

00:44:30.780 anything that

00:44:31.280 happened to

00:44:31.620 me recently

00:44:32.220 allows people

00:44:33.840 to talk this

00:44:34.720 way in public.

00:44:35.420 In other

00:44:37.520 words, have

00:44:37.860 I had any

00:44:38.600 impact

00:44:39.320 accidentally on

00:44:40.860 broadening the

00:44:42.540 discussion zone?

00:44:43.680 Things you can

00:44:44.180 say out loud.

00:44:45.420 Here's some

00:44:46.080 things that people

00:44:46.700 are saying out

00:44:47.380 loud, which I'm

00:44:49.200 not agreeing

00:44:49.780 with.

00:44:50.360 This is

00:44:50.740 important.

00:44:52.000 These are not

00:44:52.500 things I agree

00:44:53.200 with.

00:44:53.760 The point is

00:44:54.500 people are

00:44:54.900 saying it out

00:44:55.360 loud.

00:44:57.140 That the

00:44:58.440 problem with

00:44:58.880 Silicon Valley

00:44:59.540 Bank was a

00:45:00.340 diversity hire.

00:45:01.120 Now, as

00:45:04.320 people point

00:45:04.880 out, most

00:45:06.420 of the

00:45:06.680 leadership was

00:45:07.340 white men.

00:45:09.000 But the

00:45:10.180 person in

00:45:10.700 charge of

00:45:11.380 risk management

00:45:12.640 may have

00:45:14.940 been a

00:45:15.240 diversity,

00:45:16.760 let's say,

00:45:17.280 influenced hire.

00:45:18.980 Now, I'm

00:45:19.400 not going to

00:45:19.760 say that that

00:45:20.840 was why the

00:45:21.680 person got

00:45:22.160 hired.

00:45:22.880 I'm just

00:45:23.440 saying that

00:45:23.800 that's the

00:45:24.200 conversation.

00:45:25.740 And I don't

00:45:26.220 know that we

00:45:26.680 would have had

00:45:27.120 that conversation

00:45:27.960 out loud before.

00:45:29.180 And the

00:45:30.760 out loud part

00:45:31.440 is, okay,

00:45:32.300 we should at

00:45:32.780 least look at

00:45:33.980 whether this

00:45:34.480 was caused

00:45:34.960 by a diversity

00:45:35.760 hire.

00:45:38.760 We should

00:45:39.020 look at it.

00:45:39.780 People are

00:45:40.240 saying that

00:45:40.660 out loud.

00:45:41.460 I don't

00:45:41.760 think you

00:45:42.100 could say

00:45:42.420 that out

00:45:42.800 loud, I

00:45:44.500 don't know,

00:45:44.680 a month

00:45:45.000 ago.

00:45:46.320 It seems

00:45:46.980 like you

00:45:47.320 couldn't say

00:45:47.740 that.

00:45:48.440 Here's

00:45:48.700 another one.

00:45:51.420 The report

00:45:52.500 is that

00:45:52.920 Southwest

00:45:53.360 Airlines

00:45:53.980 has

00:45:55.020 consciously

00:45:56.100 decided to

00:45:58.420 reduce

00:45:59.120 the risk

00:46:00.520 or reduce

00:46:01.320 the safety

00:46:03.080 to get

00:46:04.380 more diversity

00:46:05.120 in their

00:46:05.620 pilots.

00:46:07.420 That's

00:46:07.900 actually being

00:46:08.600 spoken about

00:46:09.380 out loud

00:46:10.100 and in the

00:46:10.800 news that

00:46:12.360 your plane

00:46:13.080 might go

00:46:13.520 down because

00:46:14.120 of diversity

00:46:14.760 hiring.

00:46:15.920 Now, again,

00:46:16.520 this is not

00:46:17.140 my opinion.

00:46:18.400 My only

00:46:18.840 point is that

00:46:19.460 it's now a

00:46:19.980 conversation.

00:46:21.300 People are

00:46:21.640 actually saying

00:46:22.140 this shit

00:46:22.480 out loud

00:46:22.900 now.

00:46:24.100 And then

00:46:24.340 the third

00:46:24.720 one, Joe

00:46:25.240 Rogan, I

00:46:25.660 just saw,

00:46:26.440 he was saying

00:46:26.980 on his show

00:46:27.980 that he'd

00:46:28.500 vote for

00:46:29.060 Trump over

00:46:30.060 Biden because

00:46:31.400 Biden's just

00:46:32.100 an empty

00:46:32.560 shell of

00:46:33.060 a human

00:46:34.020 at this

00:46:34.360 point.

00:46:34.980 But he

00:46:35.340 pointed out

00:46:35.820 that the

00:46:36.800 Biden

00:46:37.060 administration

00:46:37.640 couldn't

00:46:38.160 even hire

00:46:39.080 good people

00:46:39.860 because he

00:46:41.700 used Sam

00:46:42.180 Brinton as

00:46:43.000 the cross-dressing

00:46:45.000 bag-stealing

00:46:46.820 guy.

00:46:47.500 Used him as

00:46:48.360 an example of

00:46:49.020 somebody who

00:46:49.780 clearly, in

00:46:51.400 Joe's opinion,

00:46:52.120 was a diversity

00:46:52.800 hire and

00:46:53.640 clearly could

00:46:55.000 not have been

00:46:55.460 the best

00:46:55.760 choice.

00:46:57.020 The implication

00:46:57.720 is there

00:46:58.120 was a better

00:46:58.480 choice.

00:47:00.100 So, again,

00:47:01.180 I have no

00:47:02.320 opinion on

00:47:02.960 whether Sam

00:47:03.520 Brinton was

00:47:04.980 brilliant at

00:47:06.220 his job.

00:47:07.620 He could

00:47:07.980 have been.

00:47:09.180 I mean,

00:47:09.500 I don't,

00:47:10.620 there's no

00:47:11.280 smoking gun,

00:47:12.300 in my opinion,

00:47:13.900 that says that

00:47:14.540 any of these

00:47:15.020 people are less

00:47:15.660 qualified.

00:47:16.660 There's no

00:47:17.080 smoking gun.

00:47:18.200 But it is part

00:47:19.040 of the conversation

00:47:19.740 now, and it

00:47:21.100 should be.

00:47:21.560 because it

00:47:23.100 might have

00:47:23.520 mattered.

00:47:24.960 Like, it

00:47:25.300 might be true

00:47:25.980 that Sam

00:47:26.640 Brinton is

00:47:27.240 purely a

00:47:27.900 diversity hire.

00:47:29.100 Now, why

00:47:29.720 do I say

00:47:30.120 that?

00:47:31.660 Let me

00:47:32.200 explain to

00:47:32.760 you everything

00:47:33.580 about every

00:47:34.300 big organization.

00:47:36.640 Here's the

00:47:37.300 thing.

00:47:38.260 In any big

00:47:38.940 organization,

00:47:39.680 whether it's

00:47:39.980 business or

00:47:40.540 government, it

00:47:41.660 is better to

00:47:42.360 appear woke

00:47:43.340 because everyone

00:47:45.040 can observe it

00:47:45.940 right away.

00:47:47.420 You can see

00:47:48.000 it.

00:47:48.860 How many

00:47:49.340 people of

00:47:50.080 color do you

00:47:50.780 have on your

00:47:51.260 board?

00:47:52.240 How many

00:47:52.760 people did

00:47:53.220 you hire?

00:47:53.900 What is

00:47:54.220 your diversity?

00:47:54.840 It's just

00:47:55.160 obvious.

00:47:57.580 But,

00:47:58.840 that's more

00:48:01.660 important to

00:48:02.280 look woke,

00:48:03.160 because people

00:48:03.580 can see it,

00:48:04.180 compared to

00:48:04.620 being competent,

00:48:06.460 which is often

00:48:07.180 invisible.

00:48:08.900 Do you know

00:48:09.220 what happens if

00:48:09.880 you're good at

00:48:10.360 your job?

00:48:12.020 Nobody notices,

00:48:13.880 because there

00:48:14.220 are no problems.

00:48:15.700 If the risk

00:48:16.680 manager at

00:48:17.760 Silicon Valley

00:48:18.580 Bank had done

00:48:19.300 everything right,

00:48:20.100 you would

00:48:21.680 never even

00:48:22.100 known that

00:48:22.460 was a

00:48:22.720 bank.

00:48:23.560 I literally

00:48:24.120 never heard

00:48:24.560 of that

00:48:24.800 bank.

00:48:25.840 I'd never

00:48:26.300 heard of

00:48:26.560 it.

00:48:27.160 The only

00:48:27.540 reason we

00:48:28.040 were talking

00:48:28.560 about it

00:48:29.000 is that

00:48:29.540 somebody was

00:48:33.040 not competent,

00:48:34.820 but we don't

00:48:35.900 know if that's

00:48:36.380 because of a

00:48:37.320 diversity hire.

00:48:38.080 That would be a

00:48:38.700 leap that's not

00:48:39.360 in evidence.

00:48:42.600 But here's

00:48:43.280 what you can

00:48:43.680 know for sure.

00:48:44.320 managers being

00:48:46.940 managers and

00:48:47.720 leaders being

00:48:48.260 leaders, they

00:48:48.960 will choose to

00:48:50.060 look good compared

00:48:51.580 to performing

00:48:52.720 well.

00:48:53.760 Does anybody

00:48:54.280 disagree with

00:48:55.000 that?

00:48:55.860 If they have to

00:48:56.560 choose, now the

00:48:57.700 first choice we all

00:48:58.720 say is, but

00:48:59.680 Scott, but

00:49:01.080 Scott, you can

00:49:02.520 do both.

00:49:03.780 You can have

00:49:04.360 great diversity

00:49:05.160 hires and you

00:49:06.460 can have great

00:49:07.100 performance.

00:49:07.980 There's no

00:49:08.460 conflict at all.

00:49:09.460 I'm not saying

00:49:09.960 there's a

00:49:10.280 conflict.

00:49:11.700 I'm not saying

00:49:12.260 that.

00:49:12.460 I'm saying

00:49:13.900 that the

00:49:14.220 managers don't

00:49:14.920 care if

00:49:16.200 there's a

00:49:16.520 conflict.

00:49:17.720 They're going

00:49:18.320 to manage to

00:49:18.960 what you can

00:49:19.400 see.

00:49:20.400 They're not

00:49:20.900 going to

00:49:21.160 manage to

00:49:22.520 a long-term

00:49:24.040 output that

00:49:25.060 you can't

00:49:25.540 determine if

00:49:26.100 it's because

00:49:26.580 of who they

00:49:27.020 hired or not.

00:49:28.600 The Silicon

00:49:29.480 Valley Bank is

00:49:30.240 a perfect

00:49:30.960 example.

00:49:32.540 There are

00:49:32.980 people saying,

00:49:33.620 oh, this

00:49:33.980 might have

00:49:34.240 been the

00:49:34.680 diversity hire

00:49:35.360 problem, but

00:49:36.580 there will

00:49:36.900 always be

00:49:37.340 people who

00:49:37.840 say,

00:49:38.580 reasonably,

00:49:40.240 there's no

00:49:40.700 direct link.

00:49:42.460 There's no

00:49:42.860 direct link.

00:49:44.200 It's really

00:49:44.920 about interest

00:49:45.560 rates and

00:49:46.200 the environment

00:49:47.960 and whatever.

00:49:49.680 So managers

00:49:52.140 will always

00:49:52.820 manage to

00:49:53.460 that which

00:49:53.860 can be

00:49:54.320 confirmed by

00:49:55.220 everybody,

00:49:55.900 the things

00:49:56.220 you can

00:49:56.480 see, and

00:49:58.040 it will

00:49:58.240 never manage

00:49:58.940 to the

00:49:59.260 things that

00:49:59.660 can't be

00:50:00.020 proven.

00:50:01.180 The things

00:50:01.680 that can't

00:50:02.100 be proven,

00:50:03.260 you can

00:50:03.840 manage those

00:50:04.420 by the way

00:50:04.800 you talk

00:50:05.200 about it.

00:50:06.020 This is the

00:50:06.580 same reason

00:50:07.080 that a new

00:50:08.180 leader likes

00:50:08.780 to come in

00:50:09.260 and then change

00:50:10.300 all the metrics

00:50:11.000 and the

00:50:12.020 departments,

00:50:13.100 because what

00:50:13.660 it does is

00:50:14.160 it erases

00:50:14.720 the past.

00:50:16.960 And so you

00:50:17.440 can't be

00:50:17.840 compared to

00:50:18.400 what you've

00:50:18.780 done before,

00:50:19.720 because once

00:50:20.280 you've reorganized

00:50:21.280 all the

00:50:21.820 measurements of

00:50:22.480 who's doing

00:50:22.900 what are

00:50:23.900 now obsolete.

00:50:25.160 So you

00:50:25.860 erase the

00:50:26.460 past, and

00:50:27.420 then you

00:50:27.720 say, the

00:50:28.180 new things

00:50:28.700 we're doing,

00:50:29.680 yeah, they're

00:50:30.000 not paying

00:50:30.460 off now, of

00:50:31.680 course, it's

00:50:32.460 early.

00:50:33.260 But these

00:50:33.700 changes I've

00:50:34.460 made, if you

00:50:35.060 wait five years,

00:50:36.020 well, we'll be

00:50:36.820 in good shape

00:50:37.380 then.

00:50:38.000 I've really

00:50:38.400 set us up for

00:50:39.040 the future.

00:50:40.420 No, it's

00:50:41.040 not good

00:50:41.460 now, because

00:50:42.920 it's an

00:50:43.260 investment.

00:50:45.000 So if

00:50:45.780 Zuckerberg were

00:50:46.900 not the

00:50:48.000 head of his

00:50:48.400 company, and

00:50:51.300 he said,

00:50:51.960 all right,

00:50:52.660 Facebook maybe

00:50:53.520 isn't killing

00:50:54.140 it at the

00:50:54.600 moment, but

00:50:55.620 look what I'm

00:50:56.120 doing with

00:50:56.560 Meta.

00:50:59.140 Meta is

00:51:00.160 Zuckerberg's

00:51:00.980 way of saying

00:51:01.560 we're doing

00:51:02.020 something good

00:51:02.840 that you can

00:51:03.900 see.

00:51:04.400 Hey, look at

00:51:04.940 these pictures

00:51:05.380 of us in

00:51:05.880 Meta.

00:51:06.400 Hey, look at

00:51:06.940 these goggles

00:51:07.700 that you wear.

00:51:08.200 Hey, it's

00:51:09.080 all visual, and

00:51:10.760 it diverts you

00:51:11.580 from the fact

00:51:12.100 that their

00:51:12.480 core business

00:51:13.260 doesn't have a

00:51:13.920 future because

00:51:14.620 young people

00:51:15.260 don't use it.

00:51:17.120 So you see

00:51:18.420 this effect

00:51:18.920 everywhere all

00:51:19.660 the time.

00:51:20.180 It's universal.

00:51:21.060 It's every

00:51:21.380 company, every

00:51:22.160 organization.

00:51:23.500 Managers manage

00:51:24.380 what can be

00:51:25.100 seen and

00:51:26.340 easily agreed

00:51:27.480 upon by

00:51:28.860 observers,

00:51:30.000 especially their

00:51:30.660 bosses, but

00:51:31.560 also the

00:51:31.920 public.

00:51:33.280 So it's

00:51:34.980 not a case,

00:51:36.140 and this is

00:51:36.660 where everybody

00:51:37.180 will go

00:51:37.580 wrong.

00:51:38.400 It's not

00:51:38.920 a case of

00:51:40.060 there are

00:51:41.060 not enough

00:51:41.500 diversity

00:51:42.160 hires.

00:51:43.540 That might

00:51:44.180 also be the

00:51:44.920 case, might

00:51:46.260 also, and

00:51:47.000 that would be

00:51:47.460 systemic racism,

00:51:48.840 blah, blah, blah.

00:51:49.540 But if you

00:51:50.440 have a situation

00:51:51.440 where everybody

00:51:52.140 has to have a

00:51:54.320 high number of

00:51:55.440 diversity hires,

00:51:57.460 and everybody's

00:51:58.420 scrambling for

00:51:59.160 the same limited

00:52:00.160 pool of people,

00:52:02.460 in theory,

00:52:05.080 and in

00:52:05.440 practice, you

00:52:06.580 will always get

00:52:07.260 lower performance.

00:52:08.940 Not because the

00:52:09.980 people are bad,

00:52:11.300 but because the

00:52:12.060 managers will

00:52:12.880 manage to the

00:52:14.060 look, not the

00:52:15.280 reality.

00:52:17.580 Does that, am I

00:52:18.940 clear enough about

00:52:19.640 that distinction?

00:52:20.840 There could also be

00:52:22.080 a question that there

00:52:22.840 just aren't enough,

00:52:24.340 you know, the

00:52:24.740 limited pool of who

00:52:26.060 everybody wants to

00:52:26.800 hire, because

00:52:27.300 everybody's looking at

00:52:28.060 the same pool of

00:52:28.740 people.

00:52:29.400 It might just be a

00:52:30.200 shortage of people.

00:52:31.180 That would give you

00:52:32.120 a terrible result,

00:52:33.280 too.

00:52:33.580 But you don't even

00:52:34.400 need that.

00:52:35.620 Those people could

00:52:36.360 all be better than

00:52:37.400 everybody else.

00:52:39.120 And the fact that

00:52:40.080 people are managing

00:52:41.380 to the look still

00:52:43.100 gets you to a bad

00:52:43.940 place every time.

00:52:47.200 So it's a Dilbert

00:52:48.180 problem, and I would

00:52:50.420 summarize it this way.

00:52:51.300 I'd say that

00:52:52.380 wokeness is a good

00:52:53.440 goal that became a

00:52:54.760 bad system.

00:52:55.400 I would, on top of

00:52:58.820 what I've said

00:52:59.340 already, every good

00:53:01.220 idea gets ruined by

00:53:04.640 exaggerating it to

00:53:07.320 absurdity.

00:53:08.520 Let me give you a

00:53:09.720 concept.

00:53:11.020 Are taxes a good

00:53:12.320 idea?

00:53:13.180 Some absolutists say,

00:53:14.420 no, no taxes.

00:53:15.640 I think taxes are a

00:53:16.740 good idea, because it

00:53:17.980 allows you to fund the

00:53:19.160 military.

00:53:20.600 Yeah, fund the

00:53:21.300 military.

00:53:22.340 But are the current

00:53:23.540 level of taxes good?

00:53:24.580 No, it's too much.

00:53:26.560 Everything that's good

00:53:27.720 in small amounts will

00:53:29.720 eventually be ruined

00:53:30.840 by people who have

00:53:31.720 figured out how to

00:53:32.320 make money by taking

00:53:34.000 it too far.

00:53:35.840 Right?

00:53:36.420 When I say that the

00:53:37.840 base idea of woke is a

00:53:39.440 good goal, I got a lot

00:53:41.320 of pushback.

00:53:42.800 But here's what I mean.

00:53:43.760 On day one, on day

00:53:45.540 one it was a good idea.

00:53:47.020 By day three it was

00:53:48.060 already ruined.

00:53:50.320 On day one it looked

00:53:51.640 like, you know,

00:53:52.800 wouldn't it be great if

00:53:54.380 we treated everybody

00:53:55.220 with the same level

00:53:56.260 of respect?

00:53:58.580 And that's what I

00:53:59.400 think wokeness is at

00:54:00.320 its base.

00:54:01.260 To which I say, yes,

00:54:03.080 yes, on board.

00:54:05.060 Everybody should be

00:54:05.840 treated as their own

00:54:06.760 individual.

00:54:07.760 And respect them

00:54:08.560 totally unless their

00:54:09.700 individual performance

00:54:10.860 says otherwise.

00:54:12.860 Absolutely.

00:54:14.020 But as soon as you go

00:54:15.080 from treat everybody

00:54:16.060 with respect, and oh,

00:54:18.160 and by the way, I'd like

00:54:19.660 to be called by these

00:54:20.560 pronouns.

00:54:20.980 To which I also say,

00:54:23.020 okay, you know, don't

00:54:24.360 judge me if I get it

00:54:25.180 wrong, but I like calling

00:54:26.700 people what they like to

00:54:27.640 be called.

00:54:28.520 It's just polite.

00:54:29.840 And next thing you know,

00:54:31.500 white people aren't hired.

00:54:33.960 What?

00:54:35.900 We immediately went from

00:54:37.280 treat everybody with

00:54:38.140 respect to everyone

00:54:39.880 except white people.

00:54:42.380 That's where we are now.

00:54:43.580 It's literally just

00:54:44.600 anti-white.

00:54:46.160 Now, does that mean it

00:54:47.720 was always a bad idea?

00:54:49.120 No.

00:54:49.860 No.

00:54:50.300 It's like everything else.

00:54:52.660 Everything starts as a

00:54:53.760 good idea.

00:54:55.040 It just turns to shit

00:54:56.200 when it gets extended by

00:54:58.440 the grifters and the

00:55:00.500 media.

00:55:01.160 Like, everybody's got to

00:55:01.940 talk about it.

00:55:02.720 They've got to signal.

00:55:03.980 They've got to be on

00:55:04.640 that team.

00:55:05.840 And next thing you know,

00:55:06.580 Drew Barrymore is on

00:55:07.600 her knees in front of a

00:55:09.200 trans activist on her

00:55:11.340 show.

00:55:11.680 That was big news today.

00:55:12.740 And I think that was a

00:55:15.040 trivial, trivial news bit.

00:55:18.340 But yeah, everything goes

00:55:20.220 too far.

00:55:21.660 So here's what I'm going

00:55:24.540 to do for the world.

00:55:28.660 If you've been watching

00:55:29.560 me for a while, if you've

00:55:30.520 read my past books, you

00:55:32.220 know that I always talk

00:55:32.980 about systems being better

00:55:34.300 than goals.

00:55:36.520 And you know that I like

00:55:37.600 to reframe things.

00:55:38.720 So I'm going to show you

00:55:39.580 the first draft of my

00:55:41.640 four-page PowerPoint

00:55:43.760 presentation, the title

00:55:45.800 of, I think you can see

00:55:48.280 it there, I'll read it,

00:55:49.100 The Racism Mindset and

00:55:50.880 the Success Mindset,

00:55:52.920 Choose One.

00:55:54.340 Now, I could just go home

00:55:56.540 after the title page,

00:55:57.680 because that's the whole

00:55:58.300 story.

00:55:59.360 They're incompatible.

00:56:01.200 They're incompatible.

00:56:02.360 The racism mindset, or the

00:56:05.040 entire topic, has lots of

00:56:07.160 good historical things we

00:56:08.380 should all know.

00:56:09.700 So in terms of information,

00:56:10.960 it's pretty good.

00:56:12.320 I like the information.

00:56:13.800 But if you make it your

00:56:14.780 focus, and you build your

00:56:16.020 systems around looking

00:56:17.180 backwards, you're doing

00:56:19.060 everything that's the

00:56:19.860 opposite of what successful

00:56:21.200 people do.

00:56:22.980 And I'll detail that on this

00:56:26.620 page.

00:56:28.040 So on one column, I showed

00:56:30.600 you an earlier version of

00:56:31.580 this.

00:56:31.840 I'm just refining it, because

00:56:33.240 I think it's important.

00:56:34.900 So on one column, you've got

00:56:36.800 the things that racism cares

00:56:38.420 about, equity, well, I'll just

00:56:40.600 read it to you.

00:56:41.660 Equity, focusing on the past,

00:56:44.360 injustices.

00:56:45.600 Systemic racism, reparations,

00:56:47.580 dividing people by race.

00:56:49.340 That's the racism mindset,

00:56:50.640 doesn't it?

00:56:51.960 Turning the things into

00:56:53.040 oppressor and victim model.

00:56:55.200 Resentment.

00:56:56.280 Resentment of current people

00:56:57.580 for not doing enough, as well

00:56:58.740 as the long dead.

00:57:00.460 And then the racism mindset

00:57:02.380 is basically, could be

00:57:03.780 summarized as, I can't

00:57:05.680 because.

00:57:07.360 I can't succeed because,

00:57:10.160 racism.

00:57:11.040 I can't get this job because,

00:57:14.040 racism.

00:57:15.060 So it's a can't because,

00:57:16.360 philosophy.

00:57:17.300 Now the success mindset has a

00:57:19.920 direct, or pretty direct,

00:57:22.840 some of them is a little

00:57:24.000 indirect, but correlation,

00:57:27.180 where what you would do for

00:57:28.560 success would be, instead of

00:57:30.600 focusing on equity, you would

00:57:32.660 say, how about winning?

00:57:34.340 How about winning?

00:57:35.980 Have you ever heard anybody

00:57:37.100 in the success industry,

00:57:39.280 like somebody who really knows

00:57:40.380 about how to do success,

00:57:42.240 have you ever said, if you

00:57:43.280 work hard, you could be

00:57:44.220 average?

00:57:46.040 You know, if you put your

00:57:46.960 muscles into it, and your

00:57:49.640 brains, and you work hard,

00:57:50.840 you could be as good as other

00:57:52.400 people.

00:57:54.260 That's ridiculous.

00:57:55.240 Any success mentor would tell

00:57:59.880 you, why aren't you trying to

00:58:01.240 win?

00:58:02.360 If everybody tries to win, and

00:58:05.160 we're playing by fair rules,

00:58:06.620 and we're not breaking any

00:58:07.480 laws, the whole society is

00:58:09.440 better.

00:58:10.060 Just everybody try to win.

00:58:11.660 That works.

00:58:12.780 How about focusing on the

00:58:14.240 past versus focusing on the

00:58:15.860 future?

00:58:16.600 If you want to be successful,

00:58:18.240 you have to focus on the

00:58:19.380 future.

00:58:20.120 It's not optional.

00:58:21.840 Nobody ever got successful just

00:58:23.440 thinking about the past.

00:58:24.380 Or how about systemic racism?

00:58:27.360 It's a real thing.

00:58:29.020 You can't forget about it,

00:58:30.080 can't ignore it.

00:58:31.260 But if you have a success

00:58:32.760 mindset, you're not thinking

00:58:33.980 about what's stopping you.

00:58:35.460 You're thinking optimistically.

00:58:37.200 Nothing can stop me.

00:58:38.840 Oh, your problem is systemic

00:58:40.360 racism?

00:58:41.100 No problem.

00:58:41.940 That won't stop me.

00:58:43.060 Oh, your problem is that you're

00:58:44.880 short.

00:58:45.800 Let's say you're a man and

00:58:46.760 you're short.

00:58:47.780 No problem.

00:58:48.520 I'll work with that.

00:58:49.360 I'll make that work.

00:58:50.480 Your problem is that you're

00:58:52.020 less healthy, or maybe you're

00:58:54.280 disabled.

00:58:55.420 No problem.

00:58:56.840 I'll make that work.

00:58:58.600 Yeah, I can make that work.

00:59:00.600 So the success mindset is all

00:59:03.420 about the problems won't stop

00:59:04.840 you.

00:59:05.340 The racism mindset is all

00:59:07.380 about the racism did stop you.

00:59:09.660 It did.

00:59:10.560 And it's going to keep

00:59:11.420 stopping you.

00:59:12.300 So that's what your brain

00:59:13.380 should focus on.

00:59:15.240 The cleanest one is reparations.

00:59:18.140 Reparations is you owe me

00:59:19.440 something.

00:59:19.780 Whereas the success mindset is

00:59:22.520 what can you do for other

00:59:24.380 people?

00:59:25.480 And also reciprocity.

00:59:27.380 If you hear Jeff Bezos talk

00:59:29.420 about Amazon, what made Amazon

00:59:31.740 work?

00:59:33.100 He says an obsessive focus on

00:59:37.200 the customer.

00:59:38.780 Did that work out for Amazon?

00:59:41.140 Yeah.

00:59:41.980 I use Amazon specifically because I

00:59:45.760 can feel their obsessive focus on

00:59:48.480 the customer.

00:59:49.380 You can feel it.

00:59:50.920 It's like an actual feeling.

00:59:53.440 Everything from the one-click

00:59:55.040 shopping to how easy it is to

00:59:57.140 reorder things.

00:59:59.660 It is insanely customer-focused.

01:00:02.840 And that's Jeff Bezos.

01:00:04.440 That's all Jeff Bezos.

01:00:06.440 He is forcing them to be

01:00:07.720 customer-focused.

01:00:09.120 And probably there's a big problem

01:00:10.560 when they're not.

01:00:11.660 I guess.

01:00:12.620 You probably get fired if you lose

01:00:14.400 that focus for a minute.

01:00:16.160 Now, that's a winner's attitude.

01:00:18.840 But looking at things as, you

01:00:22.680 know, as reparations you owe me

01:00:24.380 is a short-term strategy at best.

01:00:28.340 The racism mindset, you know,

01:00:30.660 divides people by race.

01:00:32.480 But if you're in a success mindset,

01:00:34.500 you're playing the odds.

01:00:37.760 Why would you limit yourself

01:00:39.080 to part of the public

01:00:41.080 by, you know,

01:00:43.720 by thinking that some people

01:00:45.000 are against you,

01:00:45.820 stay away from these people,

01:00:46.940 whatever.

01:00:47.480 Network is you.

01:00:48.460 You try to meet as many people

01:00:49.780 as you can from wherever.

01:00:51.820 Might come in handy.

01:00:53.580 Of course, the racism mindset

01:00:55.440 is about resentment.

01:00:57.500 And how does that work

01:00:58.840 if you're trying to find a mentor?

01:01:00.880 Imagine you're a young black person.

01:01:03.460 You're trying to make it in the world.

01:01:04.600 You're in a big company

01:01:05.460 and you'd like to find a mentor

01:01:07.000 because everybody would.

01:01:08.260 Like, it's good to have a mentor.

01:01:09.740 But most of them are white.

01:01:12.920 What do you do?

01:01:14.780 If you have resentment

01:01:15.900 toward white people for racism,

01:01:19.340 it's going to be harder

01:01:20.320 to get a mentor

01:01:21.060 because I think that resentment

01:01:22.700 is going to come through

01:01:23.900 pretty quickly.

01:01:25.200 Like, people are going to notice.

01:01:27.440 You can't really hide it.

01:01:29.020 It would come out in your language

01:01:30.440 and the things you focus on, etc.

01:01:32.100 And then the can't because

01:01:34.460 turns into the can-do mindset

01:01:36.860 with success.

01:01:38.780 So that's the list.

01:01:40.600 I think you should be

01:01:42.420 at least...

01:01:46.100 At the very least,

01:01:47.260 you should agree

01:01:48.000 that the lists don't line up.

01:01:50.640 Would you agree?

01:01:51.440 Would you agree

01:01:52.140 that the racism mindset,

01:01:53.600 the way it's being used

01:01:54.860 in America,

01:01:56.880 is opposite of the success mindset?

01:01:59.100 That's the thing

01:02:02.020 that bugs me the most.

01:02:03.360 And part of the things,

01:02:04.240 part of what is misunderstood

01:02:05.540 about me

01:02:07.240 is that I'm coming from

01:02:09.080 everything from a success filter,

01:02:11.800 not a race filter.

01:02:13.460 But if you come from that filter,

01:02:14.840 it can be really jarring.

01:02:19.120 It can be jarring

01:02:20.340 to somebody who's

01:02:21.520 in the other filter.

01:02:22.760 Very jarring,

01:02:23.680 as we learned.

01:02:25.020 But I should also say

01:02:26.560 that you don't want

01:02:27.180 to ignore history.

01:02:28.480 You want to teach

01:02:29.600 the history, of course,

01:02:30.580 but don't focus on it.

01:02:32.340 You should focus

01:02:32.980 on strategies for the future.

01:02:35.600 It's just a focus question.

01:02:36.940 Don't forget it.

01:02:38.040 And then here's the kill shot.

01:02:39.640 All right, I'll read these,

01:02:40.800 but you can see

01:02:41.420 it's just three points.

01:02:43.440 The kill shot

01:02:44.400 is the persuasive dagger

01:02:47.820 that I'm going to put into

01:02:50.200 some people reading this.

01:02:51.460 Here's the dagger.

01:02:52.220 A child who learns

01:02:53.960 the tools and strategies

01:02:55.380 of success

01:02:56.260 will do better in life

01:02:57.880 than one who is taught

01:02:58.740 to see life

01:02:59.380 as a racist struggle.

01:03:02.080 How does that feel?

01:03:04.580 How does that feel?

01:03:06.180 Yeah.

01:03:07.240 You're killing your kids

01:03:08.640 by teaching them

01:03:10.000 the wrong frame.

01:03:11.780 You're just ruining

01:03:12.860 their lives.

01:03:14.180 And you know it.

01:03:15.820 You can't argue with it

01:03:16.900 because nobody's going

01:03:17.620 to argue that ignoring

01:03:20.000 the tools and strategies

01:03:21.140 of success

01:03:21.920 to focus on race struggle

01:03:23.360 is a good strategy.

01:03:26.380 Literally no one

01:03:27.960 would believe that.

01:03:29.920 And yet we're doing it.

01:03:31.640 So that's the dagger.

01:03:34.060 Then here's some explanation.

01:03:35.600 Point two,

01:03:36.140 the media race grifters,

01:03:38.720 well-meaning teachers,

01:03:39.880 see I'm not insulting teachers,

01:03:41.660 but well-meaning teachers

01:03:42.680 and professional activists

01:03:44.280 are poisoning race relations

01:03:45.920 and destroying the future

01:03:47.900 of black American kids

01:03:49.220 by teaching them

01:03:50.640 a losing mindset.

01:03:53.160 Do you think

01:03:53.640 the Asian American kids

01:03:55.060 are learning

01:03:56.060 to focus on race?

01:03:58.300 Or are they learning

01:03:59.280 to focus on building

01:04:00.160 a talent stack

01:04:01.060 which is central to success?

01:04:04.940 Maybe they're focused

01:04:05.800 on staying in a jail

01:04:06.840 and not doing drugs,

01:04:08.600 which are essential

01:04:09.700 to success.

01:04:11.020 Now we've got to

01:04:13.400 stop pretending

01:04:14.160 that every culture

01:04:16.300 is being raised

01:04:17.120 with useful

01:04:18.600 mentoring messages.

01:04:21.620 It's just not happening.

01:04:23.220 Some of the cultures

01:04:24.040 are getting useful

01:04:24.900 mentoring success-related

01:04:26.740 messages

01:04:27.220 and the black culture

01:04:28.700 is being poisoned

01:04:29.740 into thinking

01:04:30.920 there's a reason

01:04:31.720 that's going to hold them back

01:04:32.880 and nothing's going to change it.

01:04:34.760 That's what they're taught.

01:04:36.660 And I would imagine

01:04:37.920 that the progressive

01:04:38.920 white part of the population

01:04:40.640 is taught the same thing.

01:04:42.380 So they would be

01:04:42.980 on board with that.

01:04:43.940 But it doesn't matter

01:04:44.680 as much

01:04:45.440 that progresses

01:04:46.920 whites buy into that frame

01:04:49.120 because it's not them.

01:04:51.300 It's not them.

01:04:52.800 They're probably going

01:04:53.620 about their own lives

01:04:54.480 however they want.

01:04:55.940 But I'm watching something

01:04:57.780 that looks like

01:04:58.360 a black holocaust

01:04:59.700 with, you know,

01:05:01.620 obviously that's hyperbole.

01:05:04.060 I'm looking at something

01:05:05.120 that's a disaster

01:05:06.200 for black Americans.

01:05:08.140 And I don't think

01:05:09.140 they're doing it

01:05:09.720 to themselves.

01:05:11.380 I believe that

01:05:12.340 white America

01:05:13.220 is allowing

01:05:14.160 the situation

01:05:15.700 that is the current situation.

01:05:18.880 To me it looks like

01:05:19.840 the media

01:05:20.580 assigns people's opinions

01:05:22.280 and the media

01:05:23.400 is still controlled

01:05:24.000 by white people.

01:05:26.000 So if we have

01:05:27.100 these opinions

01:05:27.720 it's because somebody

01:05:28.780 told the left

01:05:29.760 and the right

01:05:30.260 what to think

01:05:30.880 largely

01:05:31.340 and then they adopted

01:05:32.860 those opinions.

01:05:34.240 And those opinions

01:05:34.920 are not coming

01:05:35.540 mostly from black people.

01:05:36.880 It wasn't black people

01:05:39.220 who cancelled me.

01:05:40.820 I had zero cancellations

01:05:42.320 from anybody black.

01:05:43.860 Zero.

01:05:45.440 It was all white people.

01:05:47.340 So I don't see

01:05:49.440 the blame

01:05:50.380 being squarely

01:05:52.880 on anybody

01:05:53.660 in black America.

01:05:54.700 I see the

01:05:56.700 yeah

01:05:57.360 I see the

01:05:58.140 the teachers unions

01:06:00.320 being evil

01:06:01.480 and they're

01:06:02.500 they're a mixture

01:06:03.240 of everything.

01:06:04.980 I see white Americans

01:06:06.660 being

01:06:08.120 creating this situation

01:06:09.940 that's not good

01:06:10.580 for anybody.

01:06:11.900 And

01:06:12.440 I think

01:06:14.260 the only people

01:06:14.880 who can save themselves

01:06:15.780 are black Americans.

01:06:17.340 Because if black Americans

01:06:18.640 rely on white people

01:06:19.840 to help them

01:06:22.080 with their reparations

01:06:23.020 they're going to get

01:06:23.900 the Gavin Newsom treatment.

01:06:25.980 Yeah.

01:06:26.380 Oh yeah.

01:06:27.480 Yeah we'd love to help you.

01:06:28.720 How about you do a committee

01:06:29.780 and come back

01:06:30.600 with your recommendations

01:06:31.560 on reparations

01:06:32.580 and then I'm helping.

01:06:34.860 Look at me being supportive.

01:06:37.300 Good

01:06:37.620 good going there.

01:06:39.800 I'm so supportive.

01:06:41.600 No.

01:06:42.320 Only black America

01:06:43.580 can help black America.

01:06:45.600 And

01:06:45.840 if you think

01:06:46.440 that I'm talking about

01:06:47.280 like

01:06:47.520 white

01:06:48.300 tricks for success

01:06:49.980 no.

01:06:50.860 it's what all black

01:06:52.840 successful people do.

01:06:54.780 It's all what

01:06:55.380 white successful people do.

01:06:56.920 It's all the same.

01:06:58.300 Look to the future

01:06:59.120 be optimistic

01:06:59.900 use some gratitude

01:07:00.980 have reciprocity

01:07:02.700 just basic stuff.

01:07:04.520 Build a

01:07:04.880 you know

01:07:05.360 stay in a jail

01:07:06.060 build a

01:07:06.720 talent stack

01:07:07.540 have systems over goals.

01:07:09.600 There's like 12 things

01:07:10.540 you have to learn

01:07:11.100 and it would take you

01:07:11.640 20 minutes to learn

01:07:12.520 all 12 of them.

01:07:14.880 Right?

01:07:15.400 It would take you

01:07:17.560 20 minutes

01:07:18.300 to learn all

01:07:19.920 the techniques

01:07:20.580 of success.

01:07:22.020 20 minutes.

01:07:23.640 And

01:07:23.880 then you're good to go.

01:07:25.260 There will still be

01:07:26.060 lots of racism

01:07:27.060 but you'll cut through it

01:07:28.280 like

01:07:28.660 hot poker

01:07:30.720 through butter.

01:07:32.780 And then my

01:07:33.540 final statement

01:07:34.300 here to close down

01:07:35.520 is

01:07:35.780 the reason no one

01:07:36.620 told you this before

01:07:37.720 is because

01:07:38.320 there is a high

01:07:39.100 social penalty

01:07:40.600 for doing so.

01:07:42.460 There is a high

01:07:43.160 social penalty

01:07:44.000 for being honest

01:07:45.600 on this topic.

01:07:48.460 I don't know

01:07:49.000 if you know

01:07:49.340 anybody who

01:07:49.940 had that issue.

01:07:51.040 Now my

01:07:51.360 problem was not

01:07:53.140 the honesty

01:07:53.620 it was the hyperbole.

01:07:54.980 The honesty part

01:07:55.820 everybody was okay with.

01:07:57.920 But

01:07:58.220 I did cause

01:07:59.620 a little trouble

01:08:00.180 more than I thought

01:08:01.080 by a little

01:08:02.380 extra hyperbole.

01:08:04.100 But as you know

01:08:05.040 the people

01:08:06.580 that have watched

01:08:07.400 me use this pattern

01:08:08.320 before

01:08:08.760 they know

01:08:09.980 that I was causing

01:08:10.740 trouble to draw

01:08:11.640 fire.

01:08:12.140 I didn't think

01:08:14.120 I'd draw that much.

01:08:15.640 It was a calculated

01:08:16.700 risk.

01:08:17.200 I knew there was a risk.

01:08:18.440 So that's why

01:08:18.960 I'm not complaining.

01:08:20.000 The reason I'm not

01:08:20.660 complaining

01:08:21.060 is because I

01:08:21.980 intentionally did

01:08:22.840 something

01:08:23.160 with a high risk

01:08:24.500 that had

01:08:25.680 in my opinion

01:08:26.320 a potential high

01:08:27.240 reward

01:08:27.700 for the country

01:08:29.240 not for me.

01:08:31.040 And

01:08:31.360 maybe it didn't

01:08:33.360 work out.

01:08:34.540 So far

01:08:35.100 I'm pretty happy

01:08:36.180 with how things

01:08:36.980 are turning out.

01:08:38.200 So we don't know.

01:08:39.820 We don't know.

01:08:40.320 All newspapers

01:08:42.460 ended up

01:08:43.160 not being able

01:08:44.120 to run it

01:08:44.600 because

01:08:45.160 my syndication

01:08:46.840 company

01:08:47.300 and then my

01:08:47.940 book publisher

01:08:48.560 cancelled me.

01:08:50.780 So

01:08:51.000 that cancels

01:08:52.540 distribution

01:08:53.180 so they

01:08:53.680 couldn't

01:08:53.980 newspapers

01:08:54.660 couldn't carry it

01:08:55.560 even if they

01:08:56.060 wanted to.

01:08:57.620 Yeah.

01:08:58.260 So

01:08:58.620 here's

01:08:59.380 this is the

01:09:00.240 message that

01:09:00.940 I

01:09:01.240 plan to

01:09:02.660 die on this

01:09:03.920 hill.

01:09:04.800 And I'm going

01:09:05.560 to die on the

01:09:06.120 hill that

01:09:06.680 all the

01:09:07.740 ESG,

01:09:08.540 CRT,

01:09:09.100 DEI

01:09:09.860 are crushing

01:09:11.140 the chances

01:09:12.120 for black

01:09:13.560 American success

01:09:14.600 and

01:09:15.520 because they

01:09:16.260 are such

01:09:16.660 an important

01:09:17.080 part of my

01:09:17.820 country

01:09:18.180 that's

01:09:19.560 bad for me.

01:09:21.720 Right?

01:09:22.400 It's bad for me

01:09:23.500 when black

01:09:24.100 Americans don't

01:09:24.820 do well.

01:09:25.380 That's bad

01:09:26.060 for me.

01:09:27.140 And that's

01:09:27.500 why I've

01:09:27.940 put so much

01:09:29.180 attention in

01:09:29.800 trying to

01:09:30.340 fix that

01:09:30.960 specific

01:09:31.420 situation.

01:09:34.100 But

01:09:34.700 maybe the CIA

01:09:36.200 took me out

01:09:36.880 for political

01:09:37.840 reasons.

01:09:38.940 Maybe the

01:09:39.380 Democrats took

01:09:40.080 me out for

01:09:40.480 political

01:09:40.840 reasons.

01:09:41.880 The only

01:09:42.200 thing I know

01:09:42.720 is that the

01:09:43.240 conservative

01:09:43.720 part of the

01:09:44.260 country

01:09:44.600 understands this

01:09:46.380 message

01:09:46.800 completely.

01:09:48.880 True or

01:09:49.500 false?

01:09:50.420 Most of

01:09:50.880 you lean

01:09:51.720 right if

01:09:52.240 you're

01:09:52.380 watching this

01:09:52.920 even though

01:09:53.520 I don't.

01:09:55.540 Yeah.

01:09:56.160 Every one of

01:09:56.720 you is

01:09:57.000 agreeing.

01:09:58.100 Every one

01:09:58.480 of you is

01:09:58.780 agreeing.

01:09:59.380 Look at

01:09:59.860 the comments.

01:10:01.500 Absolutely

01:10:01.940 zero pushback.

01:10:03.900 I got

01:10:04.500 canceled for

01:10:05.140 this.

01:10:06.320 It's the way

01:10:06.880 I did it.

01:10:07.380 So it's

01:10:07.580 my own

01:10:07.860 damn

01:10:08.060 fault.

01:10:08.860 But look

01:10:10.020 at the

01:10:10.200 bigger picture.

01:10:12.700 Was

01:10:12.900 canceling me

01:10:13.640 good for

01:10:14.020 black

01:10:14.320 America?

01:10:15.000 Well let

01:10:15.260 me ask

01:10:15.520 you this

01:10:15.760 question.

01:10:16.980 Was

01:10:17.240 canceling me

01:10:18.060 good or

01:10:18.560 bad for

01:10:18.920 black

01:10:19.220 America?

01:10:20.160 Because this

01:10:20.640 is what I'm

01:10:21.120 bringing.

01:10:22.160 This is

01:10:22.720 what I'm

01:10:23.040 bringing.

01:10:23.660 This is

01:10:24.200 my offer.

01:10:25.540 It's free.

01:10:27.240 And by

01:10:28.140 the way,

01:10:29.580 you don't

01:10:30.320 need to buy

01:10:30.840 any of my

01:10:31.320 books.

01:10:32.500 Like I have

01:10:33.020 a book that

01:10:33.460 I think is

01:10:33.880 good.

01:10:34.440 You can't

01:10:34.860 buy it at

01:10:35.220 the moment

01:10:35.520 because it's

01:10:35.960 canceled.

01:10:36.280 But if

01:10:37.500 you could

01:10:37.840 buy it,

01:10:39.220 it would

01:10:39.560 just be

01:10:39.880 one of the

01:10:40.420 things you

01:10:40.760 could do.

01:10:41.540 I'm proposing

01:10:42.400 that the

01:10:43.820 tools of

01:10:45.220 success are

01:10:45.980 so widely

01:10:46.740 available you

01:10:47.420 could just

01:10:47.760 Google it.

01:10:49.140 You could

01:10:49.440 pick up a

01:10:49.860 different book.

01:10:50.940 You could

01:10:51.320 ask somebody

01:10:52.020 who's

01:10:52.260 successful.

01:10:53.060 I don't

01:10:53.420 care where

01:10:53.820 you get

01:10:54.320 it.

01:10:55.060 That's the

01:10:55.580 unimportant

01:10:55.960 part.

01:10:58.240 So that's

01:10:59.420 why I'm

01:10:59.840 interested in

01:11:00.420 working on

01:11:00.820 homeschooling

01:11:01.660 because I

01:11:02.160 think you

01:11:02.440 could make

01:11:02.740 a difference

01:11:03.140 in the

01:11:03.440 curriculum by

01:11:04.500 just

01:11:04.740 introducing a

01:11:05.960 module about

01:11:06.660 personal

01:11:07.380 success.

01:11:08.820 And a

01:11:09.100 module about

01:11:09.700 personal

01:11:10.080 success, if

01:11:11.540 you could do

01:11:12.020 it well, I

01:11:14.160 think would

01:11:14.580 guarantee that

01:11:15.340 homeschoolers

01:11:16.000 outperformed

01:11:16.660 everybody else.

01:11:17.520 They probably

01:11:17.840 already do.

01:11:18.840 But it would

01:11:19.440 just make it

01:11:20.000 clean.

01:11:22.220 And I would

01:11:23.260 make a

01:11:23.580 following bet

01:11:24.260 that if you

01:11:26.560 gave me a

01:11:27.260 group of

01:11:27.740 randomized black

01:11:29.180 Americans, or

01:11:30.720 even poor,

01:11:31.200 let's say

01:11:32.380 low-income, so

01:11:33.900 they're randomized

01:11:34.540 except they're

01:11:35.300 all low-income.

01:11:36.380 And you

01:11:36.680 compare that to

01:11:37.320 a randomized

01:11:37.800 group of

01:11:38.680 white kids, and

01:11:40.380 you say, Scott,

01:11:41.560 you're going to

01:11:41.960 work with a

01:11:42.440 randomized group

01:11:43.140 of black kids,

01:11:44.280 you're going to

01:11:44.640 teach them the

01:11:45.360 tools of success

01:11:46.300 that work for

01:11:46.920 everybody, and

01:11:48.800 then the white

01:11:50.140 kids will just be

01:11:50.860 the control group.

01:11:52.740 They're just taught

01:11:53.600 a regular education.

01:11:55.300 Come back in

01:11:56.080 20 years, who's

01:11:56.880 making more

01:11:57.420 money?

01:11:59.240 I guarantee

01:12:00.140 it's my

01:12:00.560 group.

01:12:01.200 I guarantee

01:12:02.380 it.

01:12:03.500 You should

01:12:04.260 place a very

01:12:05.480 large bet on

01:12:07.420 that if the

01:12:08.520 group that has

01:12:09.080 the tools of

01:12:09.780 success does

01:12:10.560 well.

01:12:11.740 I would do

01:12:12.440 groveling.

01:12:18.740 Make it a

01:12:19.600 web series.

01:12:21.400 A web series

01:12:22.620 teaching the

01:12:23.300 rules of

01:12:23.820 success.

01:12:25.940 The trouble

01:12:26.840 is I don't

01:12:27.220 know if people

01:12:27.640 are watching

01:12:28.140 videos that

01:12:28.960 are longer

01:12:29.280 than 30

01:12:29.800 seconds.

01:12:31.200 So if I

01:12:32.780 did it, it

01:12:33.260 would be a

01:12:33.840 series of

01:12:34.480 30-second

01:12:35.480 reels.

01:12:37.740 That's probably

01:12:38.380 the only way

01:12:38.860 to do it.

01:12:40.060 Because kids

01:12:40.740 aren't going to

01:12:41.100 read it.

01:12:41.820 You could turn

01:12:42.320 it into a

01:12:43.120 course for a

01:12:43.960 teacher, and

01:12:44.820 then the

01:12:45.120 teacher could

01:12:45.580 work with the

01:12:46.160 kids.

01:12:46.940 But for

01:12:48.340 mass communication,

01:12:49.500 it's hard to

01:12:49.980 reach kids.

01:12:52.000 You'd need

01:12:52.660 something really

01:12:53.440 simple.

01:12:53.780 people.

01:12:55.840 I'm trying not

01:12:56.700 to say

01:12:57.060 TikTok, because

01:12:57.900 I want

01:12:58.180 TikTok to

01:12:58.740 go away.

01:13:02.360 Homeschooling

01:13:02.800 is great only

01:13:03.320 if the parents

01:13:03.840 are well

01:13:04.220 educated.

01:13:04.780 That's

01:13:04.960 probably true.

01:13:06.360 Although I

01:13:07.020 think that's

01:13:07.460 changing.

01:13:08.720 My understanding

01:13:09.420 is that the

01:13:10.040 homeschool market

01:13:11.160 is now

01:13:13.180 robust enough

01:13:14.040 that you can

01:13:14.680 find videos

01:13:15.780 of good

01:13:16.140 teachers.

01:13:17.580 I think

01:13:18.020 people coordinate

01:13:18.900 to have maybe

01:13:19.940 the smartest

01:13:20.660 parent teach a

01:13:21.780 few of them

01:13:22.220 or something.

01:13:23.160 I think

01:13:23.700 they're finding

01:13:24.200 workarounds,

01:13:25.640 but it's

01:13:26.800 true.

01:13:27.740 If the

01:13:28.100 parents aren't

01:13:28.920 starting with

01:13:29.640 a good basis

01:13:30.640 of knowledge,

01:13:31.580 it's going to

01:13:31.860 be harder.

01:13:35.520 Charter

01:13:36.040 schools,

01:13:36.640 yeah.

01:13:37.700 I'm in

01:13:38.040 favor of all

01:13:38.880 of those

01:13:39.220 alternative

01:13:39.680 schooling

01:13:40.440 things.

01:13:42.300 All right,

01:13:42.680 that's all I

01:13:43.060 got for you

01:13:43.460 today.

01:13:45.300 Stevie,

01:13:46.100 we'll talk

01:13:46.860 about how

01:13:47.420 the bell

01:13:48.040 curve is

01:13:48.880 for suckers.

01:13:50.440 Actually,

01:13:50.820 I'll do it

01:13:51.140 right now.

01:13:51.440 Anytime I

01:13:53.020 have this

01:13:53.280 kind of

01:13:53.520 conversation,

01:13:54.140 somebody says,

01:13:54.760 bell curve,

01:13:55.340 bell curve,

01:13:55.880 bell curve,

01:13:56.780 and you

01:13:57.080 know what

01:13:57.260 that means.

01:13:57.980 The idea

01:13:58.400 is that the

01:14:00.060 racially,

01:14:01.220 let's say,

01:14:01.960 provocative

01:14:03.520 members of

01:14:04.720 the white

01:14:06.320 community think

01:14:07.180 that that's

01:14:07.600 the whole

01:14:07.880 explanation.

01:14:09.200 Here's why

01:14:09.640 I disagree.

01:14:10.980 Most people

01:14:11.540 are average.

01:14:13.380 That's my

01:14:13.980 whole argument.

01:14:15.300 I'm only

01:14:15.720 talking about

01:14:16.180 average people.

01:14:17.760 If it's true

01:14:18.660 that there are

01:14:19.220 more white

01:14:19.700 people who

01:14:20.240 are genius

01:14:21.360 scientists,

01:14:22.580 how does

01:14:23.160 that affect

01:14:23.660 you and

01:14:24.020 me?

01:14:25.600 Suppose

01:14:26.000 it's true.

01:14:27.420 Suppose

01:14:27.720 there's a

01:14:28.080 bunch of

01:14:28.400 freaks who

01:14:29.380 are white

01:14:29.840 that are so

01:14:30.900 smart,

01:14:31.920 they're the

01:14:33.280 quantum

01:14:33.620 physicists and

01:14:34.420 stuff.

01:14:34.860 Suppose

01:14:35.180 that's true.

01:14:36.680 What does

01:14:37.220 that have to

01:14:37.620 do with the

01:14:37.960 guy who

01:14:38.280 walks in

01:14:38.820 for the

01:14:39.480 job in

01:14:39.960 your company?

01:14:41.120 Nothing.

01:14:42.080 Nothing.

01:14:42.620 It doesn't

01:14:42.920 tell you

01:14:43.180 anything about

01:14:43.740 an individual.

01:14:45.040 The fact

01:14:45.520 that there

01:14:46.240 might be

01:14:46.780 some

01:14:47.420 freakishly

01:14:48.100 smart people

01:14:48.760 in one

01:14:49.100 group skews

01:14:50.580 the average.

01:14:53.220 Isn't

01:14:53.720 there now...

01:14:55.720 So my

01:14:56.800 point is

01:14:57.240 you're talking

01:14:57.720 about the

01:14:58.260 exceptions.

01:14:59.680 Now how

01:15:00.100 about black

01:15:00.640 America?

01:15:01.460 Do they

01:15:01.700 have an

01:15:02.860 unusual number

01:15:03.580 of people

01:15:03.960 who because

01:15:04.420 of poverty

01:15:05.020 and even

01:15:05.760 low nutritional

01:15:07.740 stuff,

01:15:09.640 is there

01:15:10.140 anything that's

01:15:11.280 skewing that

01:15:11.800 average?

01:15:12.200 Probably.

01:15:12.500 But if

01:15:13.800 the average

01:15:14.440 person,

01:15:15.220 the people

01:15:16.120 in, let's

01:15:17.360 say, the

01:15:17.700 80% bulk of

01:15:20.260 both the

01:15:20.680 white and

01:15:21.120 the black

01:15:21.440 population,

01:15:22.320 if anybody

01:15:22.860 in that

01:15:23.320 middle 80%

01:15:24.260 of white

01:15:24.960 or black

01:15:25.600 comes into

01:15:26.820 your office

01:15:27.280 for an

01:15:27.660 interview and

01:15:28.860 they have

01:15:29.160 roughly similar

01:15:30.120 credentials,

01:15:31.540 you can't

01:15:32.020 tell them

01:15:32.320 apart.

01:15:33.720 You have

01:15:34.460 no idea

01:15:35.020 who's going

01:15:35.380 to be good

01:15:35.740 on the

01:15:36.020 job.

01:15:36.600 Nobody can

01:15:37.060 do that.

01:15:37.920 It's just

01:15:38.200 not a thing.

01:15:40.020 Because the

01:15:40.660 middle is just

01:15:41.180 the middle.

01:15:41.520 The geniuses

01:15:44.520 that may

01:15:44.880 have been

01:15:45.280 skewing it

01:15:45.920 and the

01:15:46.740 people who

01:15:47.200 don't have

01:15:47.580 any job

01:15:48.160 and never

01:15:48.520 will were

01:15:49.700 skewing it

01:15:50.340 in another

01:15:50.780 group,

01:15:51.640 they're not

01:15:52.080 the people

01:15:52.600 we're talking

01:15:53.080 about.

01:15:54.880 They're just

01:15:55.500 not the

01:15:55.820 people.

01:15:56.300 So when

01:15:56.560 you're trying

01:15:56.860 to deal

01:15:57.220 with, if

01:15:58.320 you're using

01:15:58.760 an average

01:15:59.540 to decide

01:16:00.780 how to deal

01:16:01.320 with an

01:16:01.720 individual,

01:16:02.380 that's just

01:16:02.740 nonsense.

01:16:05.160 There may

01:16:05.860 be some

01:16:06.380 use for

01:16:06.920 that information,

01:16:08.720 but I think

01:16:09.560 it's overused.

01:16:10.400 So I

01:16:12.180 reject it

01:16:12.800 as useful.

01:16:15.280 I'm not

01:16:15.920 rejecting it

01:16:16.640 as I don't

01:16:17.340 know if the

01:16:17.700 science is

01:16:18.300 measuring the

01:16:18.860 right thing

01:16:19.200 or not.

01:16:19.880 I don't

01:16:20.280 know how

01:16:20.580 much IQ

01:16:21.080 is really

01:16:21.680 telling you

01:16:22.080 about success.

01:16:23.320 It's highly

01:16:23.880 correlated,

01:16:24.620 but there may

01:16:25.080 be other

01:16:25.400 things that

01:16:25.800 are correlated

01:16:26.300 that are

01:16:27.340 sort of

01:16:27.820 obscuring the

01:16:28.780 real thing

01:16:29.160 going on.

01:16:30.280 So those

01:16:31.200 are all

01:16:31.500 interesting

01:16:31.960 topics,

01:16:32.880 but when

01:16:33.100 you're talking

01:16:33.420 about personal

01:16:34.240 success,

01:16:35.200 it's about

01:16:35.660 the person

01:16:36.100 standing in

01:16:36.700 front of you.

01:16:37.900 It's not

01:16:38.520 about anybody's

01:16:39.160 average.

01:16:40.400 It's the

01:16:40.700 person

01:16:40.920 standing

01:16:41.260 in front

01:16:41.540 of you.

01:16:45.480 All right.

01:16:46.420 That's all

01:16:46.820 for now,

01:16:47.460 YouTube.

01:16:47.940 I'm going

01:16:48.200 to talk to

01:16:48.520 the local

01:16:48.780 people a

01:16:49.200 little bit

01:16:49.440 more.

01:16:50.260 Best

01:16:50.580 live stream

01:16:51.060 you've

01:16:51.260 seen today.

01:16:53.720 Join me

01:16:54.280 tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 15, 2023

Episode 2048 Scott Adams： Banks, Cartels, CIA Manipulation, Narrative Poisoning, The Success Reframe

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