Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2060 Scott Adams： TikTok Shows Us Who Is Bought Off, CRT Lowers Black Test Scores？

00:00:01.000 Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of civilization that's called Coffee

00:00:05.960 with Scott Adams.

00:00:06.960 There's never been a better time.

00:00:09.360 And if you made the mistake of watching anything else at this time, well, you're probably regretting

00:00:14.840 it already.

00:00:15.840 Because you can take this experience up to levels where nobody's ever seen it before.

00:00:22.920 And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of a tank or a chalice or a sty on a canteen

00:00:26.400 glass, a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid, I like coffee.

00:00:32.400 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine, the day thing that makes

00:00:35.800 everything better.

00:00:36.800 It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now.

00:00:40.360 Go.

00:00:41.360 Ah, that was a strange sip, strange but beautiful, graceful, elegant, classy, really.

00:00:54.080 All right, well, we got a lot going on here, so I'd like to start with my favorite story,

00:01:01.080 which I will look for on Twitter to show you if you haven't seen it already.

00:01:04.600 There was some gentleman, I'm not sure where it was, it might have been an African country,

00:01:08.600 couldn't tell from the background.

00:01:10.960 But there's a clever gentleman who rigged a bicycle so that if you tried to steal the bicycle,

00:01:17.480 and it was left unlocked in an easy place to steal, the seat would collapse when you got 0.99

00:01:23.320 on it and the pole that normally holds the seat would go right up your ass. 1.00

00:01:29.560 So you would be shoving a metal pole up your ass with the force of your own body weight when 1.00

00:01:34.160 you sat on it. 0.99

00:01:36.480 If you don't think that's funny, well, you don't know me, because there's a compilation

00:01:46.200 video of all the people sitting on it.

00:01:49.160 Now, the funny part is watching them, none of them steal the bike, they all walk around

00:01:54.880 like this.

00:02:04.600 The thing I love about it, the thing I love about it is that none of them actually steal

00:02:09.720 the bike.

00:02:10.720 Theoretically, you could still ride the bike or push it away and get the seat fixed, 0.99

00:02:16.760 but everybody is completely done with the bike after it shoves a pole up their ass. 0.94

00:02:23.200 I still want to get that bike or build my own. 0.96

00:02:26.880 That's just the funniest thing ever.

00:02:28.960 Well, Chicago is going to have flying taxis.

00:02:33.560 That's really going to happen.

00:02:35.040 So if you go to the Chicago airport and you're heading to the middle of the city, in maybe

00:02:41.320 a year or so, United will allow you to take a short hop flight in a vertical takeoff plane.

00:02:50.780 So the plane will just go straight up, over and straight down in the middle of the city.

00:02:55.700 And apparently they've already purchased the hardware and they've got the plan and it's

00:03:00.140 actually going to happen.

00:03:01.200 So there will be flying taxis in a year.

00:03:04.300 It's not flying cars.

00:03:05.300 I think it takes, you know, six people or something.

00:03:08.600 Yep.

00:03:09.600 That's pretty exciting.

00:03:10.600 So you miss all of the, all of the traffic, 150 miles an hour.

00:03:16.280 Can't wait.

00:03:17.280 There's your flying cars, kind of, but flying taxis.

00:03:21.280 All right.

00:03:22.280 I saw an interesting prediction from Naval Ravikant.

00:03:28.280 And if you don't know who Naval is, the only thing you need to know is if he predicts something,

00:03:33.480 pay attention.

00:03:34.480 All right.

00:03:35.480 That's my whole commercial.

00:03:37.400 If he says something, you should look at it.

00:03:39.820 You should pay attention to that.

00:03:41.440 But anyway, here's his prediction on Twitter.

00:03:43.940 He said, Microsoft ships a phone built around AI by the end of the year.

00:03:51.500 And then he says, look out Apple and Google.

00:03:55.260 So what do you think?

00:03:56.400 So Microsoft has some ownership of this big chat, GPT, OpenAI, whatever it's called.

00:04:03.860 And so they, their Bing search engine already uses it.

00:04:09.240 And Naval is thinking that they might build it into a phone.

00:04:13.360 Now, how long have I been telling you?

00:04:16.640 Probably five years or more, I've been saying.

00:04:20.800 The ultimate obvious place that the phone interface will go is no apps.

00:04:26.340 No apps.

00:04:27.420 You just start doing what you want to do.

00:04:29.800 The perfect interface for a phone would be a blank screen.

00:04:33.840 Just a blank screen.

00:04:35.580 And if you say to it, hey, make a spreadsheet and add up these numbers, then it just creates

00:04:43.400 a spreadsheet right in front of you.

00:04:45.480 Or if you say, send a message, it just creates the app and sends the message and then deletes

00:04:51.340 the app.

00:04:52.340 Or it could save it, I suppose.

00:04:53.900 But you'll never have to worry about apps.

00:04:55.240 You just tell it what to do and it goes and figures out how to do it.

00:04:58.460 I think that's what's going to happen.

00:05:00.660 I think your phone is just going to be a blank screen and you talk to it.

00:05:05.220 Alternately, here's how I would have designed the phone already.

00:05:09.480 I would have designed it so that you pick it up and start doing the thing you want to

00:05:12.600 do.

00:05:14.440 Just start doing it.

00:05:15.720 If you want to search for something on Facebook, you just type in blah, blah, blah, and then

00:05:23.920 you just type in the search term.

00:05:26.860 And then as you type it in, the AI says, well, I don't know what this is about.

00:05:31.300 He could be writing an email, could be sending a message, or it could be a search term.

00:05:37.360 So it would pop up several choices.

00:05:40.400 And as soon as you typed it in, you'd say, the best place to eat in San Francisco.

00:05:47.060 You type it in.

00:05:48.820 And among the choices are a Google search, a Bing search, or an email.

00:05:53.380 But you know it's a search, so you just hit boop.

00:05:56.040 So interfaces are backwards.

00:05:58.220 You should never have to deal with the app before you do the activity you wanted the app

00:06:02.600 for.

00:06:03.500 You should start the activity and then AI should figure out what apps or app would make sense

00:06:09.520 with what you're doing.

00:06:10.720 So it should look at your context and then figure out the app for you.

00:06:15.460 Imagine how much less thinking that would be.

00:06:18.420 Do you know how much time?

00:06:19.820 Why type?

00:06:20.820 Well, you would type because people are listening, so you can't always speak out loud to your phone.

00:06:29.740 That's the way it's going, right?

00:06:31.740 There's no way that 10 years from now, you're going to be selecting an app and then telling

00:06:36.520 it what to do.

00:06:37.860 There's no way that that could last.

00:06:41.800 All right.

00:06:44.320 Twitter is fun again.

00:06:46.620 So I guess Musk is giving some stock grants to employees, which value the company at about

00:06:54.620 half of what he bought it for.

00:06:56.020 So he bought it for $44 billion.

00:06:58.980 He's valuing it, at least in terms of valuing the stock options, at $20 billion, but he suggests

00:07:04.920 that in 10 years or so it could be worth $250 billion and that there's a difficult but very

00:07:13.960 doable path to $250 billion valuation.

00:07:16.920 What do you think?

00:07:19.860 If he gets to $250 billion and he's the richest person times three, I think, I think it's possible.

00:07:26.680 Yeah.

00:07:27.680 I think it's possible.

00:07:28.680 Because to do that, he would have to fold in different functions like payments, you know,

00:07:33.720 have a better advertising, you know, situation, have payments in there.

00:07:38.440 Yeah.

00:07:38.700 I think that's all going to happen.

00:07:40.320 Do you think there'll be a Twitter phone?

00:07:43.360 Could be.

00:07:45.240 Yeah.

00:07:45.980 Could be.

00:07:46.480 You know, it's also easy to imagine that you would get Twitter plus Skylink, somehow

00:07:55.580 there'd be some kind of combined deal or something.

00:07:57.740 You could imagine that happening.

00:07:59.180 Anyway, I do think that there are paths to $250 billion valuation.

00:08:04.180 But the funniest thing about Twitter is that they closed down their press contact.

00:08:10.320 So it used to be if you emailed press at twitter.com, you could ask a question if you were the press.

00:08:18.320 And now if you email, you get an automatic response from press at twitter.com of a poop emoji.

00:08:29.060 That's all you get.

00:08:30.340 It just gives you an automatic poop emoji.

00:08:35.280 Now, you tell me that that could be more perfect.

00:08:38.640 No.

00:08:39.540 Nope.

00:08:40.320 That is the perfect interface.

00:08:45.140 Well, Trump is saying out loud that he thinks that Bragg has already dropped the Stormy Daniels case.

00:08:52.540 He told reporters on his plane.

00:08:54.820 What do you think?

00:08:55.980 Do you think the charges are already dropped?

00:08:58.260 I guess the grand jury's meeting again today.

00:09:01.900 I don't know if it's already dropped, but I don't see how it could go forward.

00:09:05.680 Alan Dershowitz has gone so far as to say that the case is so weak and the main guy who would probably testify would be Michael Cohen.

00:09:18.500 And now that Michael Cohen's own lawyer produced a document that would show that Cohen is a liar, either is a liar or was a liar, but it's going to end up looking the same.

00:09:29.960 Because if he's a liar and you think he's going to say the opposite of what he said in writing he believed, you could get disbarred. 0.91

00:09:39.860 Because you could get disbarred for knowingly put a liar on the stand. 0.90

00:09:45.100 If it's his witness and he knows he's a liar and he needs that lie to make his case and he puts him on the stand, he could be disbarred.

00:09:54.120 Now, I think you'd have to prove he knows it's a lie, so I don't think it could really happen.

00:09:59.400 But Dershowitz is putting on the pressure.

00:10:02.440 Like, well, you know, there's a possibility that this could end with Bragg being the one who loses his job instead of Trump.

00:10:10.360 I like that he put it out there.

00:10:11.800 I don't think it's likely, but I like that it's out there.

00:10:14.460 So I'm going to predict that the charges will not go forward.

00:10:19.320 What's your prediction?

00:10:21.400 That one way or another the charges will not proceed.

00:10:25.860 And I think that if it were still politically good, but legally sketchy, it would go through.

00:10:35.040 But now it's obvious that it's a political disaster as well as a legal disaster.

00:10:39.740 So legally it was always weak, but politically maybe you could, you know, get some points.

00:10:45.320 But now it's obvious that this, even the threat of it made Trump more popular.

00:10:51.900 Even the threat of it.

00:10:53.760 So I tried to play a video on CNN.

00:10:56.340 The tease of it was that Jon Stewart said something along the lines in a recent interview that this is why Trump got elected.

00:11:07.640 Now, wouldn't you want to know what that video said?

00:11:10.680 What did Jon Stewart say about Trump, this is why he got elected?

00:11:17.040 I mean, it feels like this.

00:11:18.660 It feels like the Bragg situation, the Alvin Bragg situation.

00:11:25.340 But have you noticed that the more you want to watch a video, the less likely it will ever play? 0.99

00:11:32.160 You can click on that motherfucker all day long and it won't play. 0.99

00:11:36.200 And the same thing on Fox News. 1.00

00:11:39.520 Fox News will say, sexy picture of somebody you actually want to look at.

00:11:44.440 You know, sexy bikini picture.

00:11:46.500 And I'll be like, well, I'm here anyway.

00:11:49.820 Got a little extra time.

00:11:51.780 I think I'll just maybe click on that sexy bikini picture and see what all the news is about.

00:11:57.920 Because I'm not the kind who just looks at the headlines.

00:12:00.400 I like to do my own research.

00:12:02.200 That's why I like to click on the stories and get the pictures.

00:12:05.260 And I'll be like, well, okay, if this is the sexiest picture ever from this person, I think I got to see it.

00:12:13.280 Click, nothing, nothing.

00:12:18.500 You want a guaranteed video that won't play?

00:12:21.800 Put a headline on CNN that says, Trump agrees he should not be president.

00:12:27.960 And then whatever that video is, it'll never play.

00:12:31.900 It will never play.

00:12:33.660 Because it's too interesting.

00:12:35.140 So somehow there's some kind of technology that makes anything interesting unplayable at the same time.

00:12:41.480 And it's a direct correlation.

00:12:43.680 If it's some boring-ass story of a general said, oh, I'm a general, and blah, blah, Ukraine.

00:12:51.240 Oh, that'll play. 0.87

00:12:52.660 Yeah.

00:12:53.200 That'll play just fine.

00:12:54.520 First try.

00:12:55.600 Or how about the Pope comes out against war?

00:12:59.640 Oh, that'll play.

00:13:01.160 Uh-huh.

00:13:01.660 That'll play.

00:13:02.120 But if they say, here's a video of Nancy Pelosi having, I don't know, sex with Adam Schiff, caught on video, that won't play.

00:13:19.060 No, you could click on that all day long.

00:13:21.320 That will not play.

00:13:23.000 Nope.

00:13:23.240 So that's how you know.

00:13:27.440 Well, I don't know what you know from that.

00:13:29.080 It's just a fact.

00:13:31.980 All right.

00:13:32.700 I saw a opinion piece on why the school choice movement is working well at the moment, when for so long it didn't get much traction.

00:13:42.800 And a lot of it is being credited to Corey D'Angelo and his strategy.

00:13:49.900 Now, some of it, of course, was the pandemic, right?

00:13:53.040 People got to see Zoom school and see how horrible it was and got more interested in their kids' education and all that.

00:13:59.880 So some of it's that.

00:14:00.960 Some of it's the alleged CRT in classrooms.

00:14:03.160 Some of it's the teaching young kids too much about sex too early, say, people.

00:14:09.240 So there's lots of reasons why people would be more interested in homeschooling.

00:14:14.720 But the current thinking is that homeschooling is being driven on values as opposed to education.

00:14:23.180 Do you buy that?

00:14:24.740 That feels right.

00:14:26.020 I don't have data to support that.

00:14:27.800 But it feels like people are saying, okay, I was okay when I didn't know if my kid was learning to read and write.

00:14:34.640 But, you know, it seemed like everybody was in the same boat.

00:14:37.040 So, you know, you sort of went along.

00:14:39.140 What are you going to do anyway?

00:14:40.460 But as soon as you find out your kids are being taught that they're either victims or oppressed or that their gender is sort of up to them,

00:14:49.800 then the parents end up getting really involved.

00:14:53.600 So I think when you say, what will you teach my kids?

00:14:59.020 People go, well, you know, I guess I can put up with some imperfection.

00:15:03.240 But when you say, what will I turn my kids into, that's a whole different game.

00:15:10.220 Because the, you know, that's not about math.

00:15:13.160 That's actually turning them into the kind of people that is somebody's idea of a good citizen,

00:15:19.280 but maybe not the parent's idea of a good citizen.

00:15:22.060 So you can see why this is getting energy right now.

00:15:24.560 It's the social part of it.

00:15:26.420 So if you're going to argue it with anybody, I would go with the social argument.

00:15:30.460 Seems stronger than the, they can get better grades if they do this.

00:15:35.740 All right.

00:15:39.260 So I watched a clip from NBC News where Chuck Dodd was talking to Senator Warren about TikTok.

00:15:45.840 And Senator Warren talked about the privacy issue and never mentioned the big problem,

00:15:56.480 which is persuasion, which is the Chinese Communist Party can essentially push one button to make anything viral.

00:16:05.120 And that's not even hyperbole.

00:16:08.360 There is actually literally a button called heat.

00:16:13.560 It's actually labeled the heat button where they can make anything viral.

00:16:18.160 So that's a gigantic risk because, I don't know, 150 million Americans use it.

00:16:23.780 And they can make anything a fact because our minds are programmed by what we see and then how often it's repeated.

00:16:32.220 That's it.

00:16:33.220 That's your whole operating system for your brain.

00:16:35.440 So they have control over what you see on TikTok and how often you see it.

00:16:41.740 That's complete control of your brain.

00:16:44.500 That's all it takes.

00:16:45.880 Now, I'm talking on average.

00:16:47.780 I don't mean every single person will be immediately programmed by some memes.

00:16:52.540 I mean that on average, you can move the average reliably by how much you show them of what.

00:16:58.760 Reliably.

00:16:59.800 And you can see that in every poll.

00:17:01.460 If you look at the poll, you know, the Democrats always go one way.

00:17:05.480 The Republicans always go the other way.

00:17:07.220 Even on issues that are not political, that's how you know that you're being programmed.

00:17:14.460 If you are not being programmed by some third party, then when a topic comes up that has no political connection whatsoever,

00:17:23.080 the opinions would be sort of mixed all over the place.

00:17:25.680 But they're not.

00:17:27.600 Every topic just becomes political, which is proof that you're being programmed.

00:17:34.200 So TikTok has that power.

00:17:36.860 And Elizabeth Warren never even mentions that risk.

00:17:39.960 She only talks about data privacy.

00:17:43.060 And Chuck Dodd doesn't mention it either.

00:17:46.700 So it's a story about the risk of TikTok without mentioning the big risk of TikTok.

00:17:54.740 Now, how in the world is that an accident?

00:17:58.160 How is that an accident?

00:18:00.100 It couldn't possibly be an accident at this point.

00:18:03.600 At this point, there's no way you can say that's an accident.

00:18:06.760 These have to be two entities that are in the bag for China.

00:18:10.200 This looks like pro-CCP propaganda.

00:18:12.760 Now, I told her yesterday that AOC also came out in favor of not banning TikTok.

00:18:21.640 And her answer looked so obviously bought off that people just said,

00:18:26.380 well, she must be accepting money.

00:18:29.300 Because there's no way you could have that opinion unless somebody just paid you to have it. 1.00

00:18:33.640 Because it's dumb. 0.97

00:18:34.520 And now we find out that Fox News Digital reported that ByteDance, TikTok's Chinese parent company, 0.98

00:18:46.240 funneled six-figure contributions to non-profits aligned with the Congressional Black and Hispanic Caucuses.

00:18:53.600 Huh.

00:18:54.560 Didn't we just see a member of the Black Caucus saying we shouldn't ban TikTok?

00:19:01.420 I think I just saw that recently.

00:19:03.380 Or somebody who was aligned with them.

00:19:06.780 And so they gave $150,000 to these two, the Black Caucus and the Congressional Hispanic Caucus Foundation.

00:19:14.940 Huh.

00:19:15.740 I wonder if AOC has any connection to the Hispanic Caucus Institute.

00:19:21.980 Oh, yeah.

00:19:22.660 She's a member.

00:19:24.840 She's a member.

00:19:28.200 Any other questions?

00:19:29.320 There's your answer.

00:19:33.240 There's your answer.

00:19:34.220 China just bought her.

00:19:36.540 Not only did China buy her, but we have the receipt.

00:19:40.780 They left the receipt.

00:19:43.440 It's not even in question.

00:19:46.060 You know, usually it's sort of speculative.

00:19:48.500 Like, I don't know, how did Elizabeth Warren, you know, benefit in any way?

00:19:52.160 I don't know.

00:19:52.940 Maybe she just likes these two caucuses, too. 0.99

00:19:55.700 Or wants their support or something.

00:19:57.220 But there it is, plain as day.

00:20:01.640 Now, the beauty of the TikTok story is that there is only one right answer.

00:20:06.800 And the right answer is to ban it.

00:20:08.980 And there is no argument among people who are willing to describe the risk.

00:20:14.360 So let me say that again because it's important.

00:20:16.300 There's nobody who can describe the risk of TikTok who thinks it should be legal in America.

00:20:24.520 Everybody who can say there are two risks.

00:20:26.900 One is data security.

00:20:28.580 And the other one is persuasion.

00:20:30.860 Anybody who can say those two things out loud also says ban it.

00:20:34.620 Anybody who doesn't say it's a persuasion risk, mostly, they're in favor of keeping it.

00:20:41.080 But they know.

00:20:42.660 They know there's another risk.

00:20:44.840 And that means you can tell for sure.

00:20:47.200 And this has never been true before.

00:20:49.460 But you can tell for sure who's been bought off by China.

00:20:52.180 Now, when I say bought off, I don't mean directly.

00:20:55.600 It could be, you know, funding for a caucus, something like that.

00:20:59.180 But it's very clear that anybody who's still in favor of keeping TikTok are just bought off.

00:21:06.980 I've never seen one this clear before, have you?

00:21:10.380 Usually there's some argument on both sides.

00:21:12.740 But what makes this an interesting one is there isn't.

00:21:15.920 There is no argument on both sides.

00:21:18.240 There is one argument.

00:21:19.400 A hundred percent of people are on the same side if they can state the argument out loud.

00:21:26.480 If they can't state it out loud, it's intentional.

00:21:29.520 Because they know the argument at this point.

00:21:33.460 It's amazing that any of these people keep their jobs.

00:21:38.120 Well, here's an interesting update on the reparations situation in California.

00:21:42.880 Now, there are two reparations stories in California.

00:21:44.840 One is what San Francisco came up with, which is, you know, super crazy time.

00:21:50.120 Five million per descendants of black slaves and one dollar house you could buy and $90,000 per year. 0.86

00:21:57.780 But there's a lesser but still crazy one for the state itself.

00:22:03.100 And the news is that Governor Newsom has been quiet and not weighed in on the recommendations.

00:22:09.420 Now, I started by telling you that he was being brilliant, because by telling the committees to go work out a recommendation, I said to myself, oh, that's brilliant. 0.93

00:22:20.660 They'll come back with something that's so stupid that he can easily ignore it without being the one who turned it down. 0.97

00:22:27.980 And I thought, that's pretty good. 0.98

00:22:29.880 He said, here's what I got totally wrong, if you like it when I admit I'm wrong.

00:22:35.100 Oh, my God, was I wrong.

00:22:37.540 Here's why. 1.00

00:22:39.460 Apparently, there's no level of stupidity that Californians will recognize as stupid. 1.00

00:22:47.340 I thought it would be so far over the line of reasonable that we would just laugh at it and ignore it. 1.00

00:22:55.100 And then that would be the end of it.

00:22:56.340 But apparently, there are enough people in the state, I'm guessing, especially the black citizens of California, who are treating this seriously. 0.96

00:23:08.860 They're actually acting like it's a real thing, which puts Gavin Newsom in a bad spot.

00:23:15.960 Because if he were to approve this, that's the end of his political life.

00:23:21.140 Would you agree?

00:23:22.940 That would be absolutely the end of his political life.

00:23:26.340 Does anybody disagree with that?

00:23:29.320 There's no way he could be a national politician.

00:23:33.080 And that looks like what he wants.

00:23:35.160 Yeah.

00:23:35.560 So he's in a tough shot, tough place.

00:23:38.280 He can't say yes, and he can't say no.

00:23:40.840 Whichever he says will end him politically.

00:23:43.440 And he put himself in that position.

00:23:45.560 So I'm going to take back how clever it was.

00:23:48.020 I vastly underestimated the gullibility of Californians.

00:23:54.020 I mean, honestly, I should have seen it coming.

00:23:57.780 Can you spend a minute just insulting me?

00:24:00.320 Because I have it coming.

00:24:01.860 I think this would be good for all of us. 1.00

00:24:04.000 Could you tell me how fucking stupid I was? 1.00

00:24:06.840 Just let it out. 1.00

00:24:08.620 Just put it all out there.

00:24:10.920 Free pass.

00:24:11.920 Nobody gets blocked.

00:24:12.780 I deserve it.

00:24:15.260 Keep it coming. 1.00

00:24:18.360 Idiot. 1.00

00:24:19.080 Yes, idiot. 1.00

00:24:19.960 Keep it coming. 1.00

00:24:22.300 Bring it.

00:24:23.340 Bring it.

00:24:24.460 Yeah.

00:24:24.820 Okay.

00:24:26.060 All right.

00:24:26.760 Thank you.

00:24:27.520 Thank you.

00:24:27.980 Good job.

00:24:29.080 And those who use all caps for their insults, extra credit.

00:24:33.680 Extra credit.

00:24:34.920 Yeah. 0.99

00:24:35.620 Totally moronic. 1.00

00:24:36.620 Did not see how gullible and stupid my state is. 1.00

00:24:42.780 Now, but I'm going to put it in a larger trend. 1.00

00:24:47.360 Okay.

00:24:47.580 You can stop insulting me now.

00:24:51.040 All right.

00:24:51.520 You had your fun.

00:24:53.140 Wrap it up.

00:24:54.620 This would be a good time to wrap that up.

00:24:56.280 Wrap it up.

00:24:56.920 Wrap it up.

00:24:58.860 Let's get back on another trail.

00:25:02.520 Here's a related story.

00:25:06.020 Or is it?

00:25:08.420 Or is it?

00:25:10.240 Is this related to that story?

00:25:11.720 You'd be the decision.

00:25:12.860 You'd decide.

00:25:13.720 Okay.

00:25:15.220 ESPN is, they did a special video package to celebrate Women's History Month.

00:25:21.940 And they did it by honoring trans swimmer Leah Thomas.

00:25:25.980 So for Black History Month, ESPN is focusing on trans athlete Leah Thomas.

00:25:32.600 Now, what does that have to do with the California reparations story?

00:25:40.240 Do you see anything that they have in common?

00:25:43.580 Do you see it yet? 0.93

00:25:48.740 Ridiculousness is close. 0.98

00:25:49.920 It looks like the white people in California have decided to embrace and amplify to end wokeism. 0.98

00:26:01.140 Not just California, but wherever ESPN is out of.

00:26:04.080 It looks like there is a secret plan by white men, mostly men, to pretend to be so on board with wokeness that they're going to break the system. 0.69

00:26:15.960 Because there's no way women are going to let ESPN get away with celebrating Leah Thomas, a trans athlete, on Women's History Month. 0.94

00:26:31.360 There's no way women are going to let anybody get away with that. 1.00

00:26:34.700 So to me, it looks like this is like forced shark jumping.

00:26:40.900 You know, when they talk about poorly written TV shows, they say, oh, it jumped the shark.

00:26:46.140 It's a reference to the old Happy Days TV show.

00:26:49.220 And it looks like white men are pushing the shark.

00:26:54.820 They're like pushing you over the shark.

00:26:56.740 It's like, well, if this is where you want to go, let's go there as fast as possible.

00:27:01.280 Let's get there right away.

00:27:02.480 Let's take that slippery slope right to the bottom.

00:27:06.940 So let's let's let's find out what those reparations are.

00:27:11.820 Because those are totally practical.

00:27:13.960 Yeah, that'll work.

00:27:15.400 Everything will be fine.

00:27:16.820 It's all fine.

00:27:18.460 Five million dollars per person.

00:27:20.100 Who would complain?

00:27:21.500 What problems could you possibly have?

00:27:23.900 And how about Women's History Month?

00:27:25.680 Oh, well, you know, as Ricky Gervais says, 1.00

00:27:29.320 those old classic old style women with vaginas and wombs and shit. 1.00

00:27:34.900 No, that's old school. 1.00

00:27:37.520 We like the new women. 1.00

00:27:38.940 We like the new women with penises or had penises. 1.00

00:27:42.860 Yeah, we like that kind of women. 1.00

00:27:44.220 So I believe that the next thing you're going to see is a movement by white men 0.98

00:27:55.820 to punish white men and white women more severely. 0.97

00:28:02.260 Maybe maybe public whippings. 0.99

00:28:05.260 Because I think we've got to push this thing to we figure out what is too far.

00:28:09.180 Because too far, I thought I thought we'd already reached too far.

00:28:14.680 But we have not.

00:28:16.400 We've got to keep going. 0.94

00:28:18.120 Keep keep making it more ridiculous. 0.79

00:28:21.080 All right, we'll get back to that.

00:28:24.760 Here's why I think chat GPT and AI will be illegal.

00:28:30.420 Here's why.

00:28:31.080 So I asked AI about President Trump and whether...

00:28:42.280 One of the sample questions on the chat GPT thing was,

00:28:45.840 did Trump incite January 6th violence?

00:28:49.480 That's a pretty big question, isn't it?

00:28:51.820 Did Trump incite the violence?

00:28:55.580 What do you think AI said?

00:28:57.420 Well, AI didn't want to commit to that interpretation, so that's good.

00:29:04.700 But it described what Trump said

00:29:06.760 and said that some people interpreted it as calling for violence.

00:29:11.220 Guess what they left out of his quotes?

00:29:13.940 What part of his quotes from the speech just before the January 6th bad stuff happened,

00:29:20.120 what part of his speech do you think they left out?

00:29:22.780 They did quote his speech, but they left out a part.

00:29:25.520 It's the part about protests peacefully.

00:29:30.500 They left out peacefully and patriotically, make your voices heard today.

00:29:36.700 AI left that out.

00:29:38.820 Why do you think they left that out?

00:29:41.900 Do you think it was programmed to leave it out?

00:29:45.580 Well, here's what I think.

00:29:47.380 I don't think it's directly programmed to do that.

00:29:50.660 My understanding is it's a word prediction system.

00:29:56.100 So in other words, it simply looks at how everybody has ever talked ever

00:29:59.740 and then tries to talk the way most people talk.

00:30:04.060 And if the thing it trained on mostly said that Trump was not in it for a peaceful situation,

00:30:13.640 that's what people said.

00:30:15.360 If most of the people who talked about January 6th completed a sentence with

00:30:20.800 January 6th, Trump incited violence,

00:30:24.900 if there's more of that than January 6th, Trump called for peaceful protest,

00:30:31.000 it's just going to go with the majority.

00:30:34.260 That's my understanding.

00:30:35.520 I mean, if that's wrong, somebody needs to correct me.

00:30:38.480 But my understanding is you're just looking for word patterns.

00:30:41.700 It's not thinking.

00:30:42.680 It's just looking for word patterns.

00:30:45.280 This word usually comes after that word.

00:30:48.640 I was using some autofill program.

00:30:52.060 I forget what it was.

00:30:53.580 Some app.

00:30:54.500 And I started a sentence, and it started suggesting the next word.

00:30:58.960 And I thought, oh, that is the next word.

00:31:01.540 So I hit it.

00:31:02.840 And then from the first two words I'd written,

00:31:06.540 it suggested three words that are most likely the next word after those two.

00:31:11.040 And one of them was correct.

00:31:13.960 I wrote the whole sentence from the first word without ever typing another word.

00:31:22.480 From the first sentence, it gave me choices and then narrowed down what I was going to say

00:31:27.840 until by the end it was sort of only one choice for the last word.

00:31:32.200 Yeah.

00:31:32.540 That'll spin your brain around a little bit.

00:31:37.460 All right.

00:31:37.900 Here's what I've been saying about AI that will become more and more true the longer we learn about it.

00:31:46.520 It goes like this.

00:31:48.100 We are not learning how to make machines intelligent.

00:31:52.500 That's what you thought we were doing.

00:31:54.580 We are not teaching machines to be intelligent.

00:31:57.780 Here's what we're doing.

00:32:00.540 We're proving we never were.

00:32:04.520 AI can only prove that humans were never intelligent and only imagined that they were.

00:32:11.180 That's what this proved.

00:32:13.140 The way humans think is also word pattern repetition.

00:32:19.320 The way you can see it yourself.

00:32:21.220 If you go on Twitter, you know how a person's going to end a sentence because of the way they started.

00:32:28.200 Don't you?

00:32:29.140 You can tell, oh, it's one of those, one of those people, whoever those people is.

00:32:33.460 You could be on either side and still say the same thing.

00:32:36.120 Oh, it's one of those people.

00:32:37.920 You know, the left would say, it's one of those MAGA people.

00:32:40.140 I know what they're going to say.

00:32:41.460 And MAGA people would say, oh, it's a leftist, progressive.

00:32:44.260 I know what they're going to say.

00:32:45.740 And they're right.

00:32:46.860 They're both right.

00:32:47.600 Because both sides are just imagining their thinking, but they're not.

00:32:54.020 When I tell you that the news assigns you your opinions, and you reject that and say, well, not me.

00:33:02.040 But it probably does assign those opinions to the other people.

00:33:05.160 Probably does.

00:33:05.940 But not me.

00:33:07.020 I use my reason.

00:33:09.280 No.

00:33:10.360 Your opinion is based on the pattern of what you saw the most.

00:33:13.660 And if you watched Fox News and, you know, right-leaning media the most, then when you complete a sentence, you're going to complete it the way they did.

00:33:23.440 And you will believe that you thought.

00:33:26.020 You'll believe that reason happened in your brain.

00:33:28.360 But you'll just be doing pattern recognition exactly like the AI is.

00:33:32.560 What is the most likely end of the following sentence?

00:33:37.060 Okay, I watch Fox News all day.

00:33:38.840 The end of the sentence is, Trump was framed.

00:33:43.960 Framed.

00:33:45.000 Okay, now I go over to watch CNN all day.

00:33:47.520 And I watch CNN and MSNBC and nothing else all day.

00:33:51.260 Finish the sentence.

00:33:53.020 Trump is guilty of multiple crimes.

00:33:57.360 And that's it.

00:33:59.100 That is what you think is thinking.

00:34:01.760 I know you don't believe it.

00:34:03.160 Yesterday, I told you about a study that we've known for decades, that the critical thinking part of your brain doesn't engage until half a second after you decide.

00:34:15.260 Did you know that?

00:34:16.740 The critical thinking part of your brain doesn't even come online.

00:34:21.640 It doesn't even activate until after you've decided.

00:34:24.840 And we've known that for decades.

00:34:26.700 What does that tell you?

00:34:27.760 It means that the decision is based on this irrational pattern recognition thing, just like AI, right?

00:34:35.620 But then we have another process where we rationalize it after the fact.

00:34:40.340 The rationalizing is why the things we say don't seem to make sense, the cognitive dissonance.

00:34:47.580 Every now and then, the things we say do make sense.

00:34:51.940 But it's a coincidence.

00:34:55.400 It's a coincidence.

00:34:56.460 And by coincidence, if the thing you say makes sense, then you don't get cognitive dissonance, because it's all consistent.

00:35:05.720 You only get cognitive dissonance when your pattern recognition and your word fill-in thinking comes up with something that the rest of your brain says,

00:35:15.000 ah, that seems inconsistent, but you have to go with it anyway.

00:35:18.920 So you paper it over with cognitive dissonance, where you literally hallucinate that the things that don't make sense make sense.

00:35:26.460 So, you don't know this yet, but this is the biggest risk of AI.

00:35:35.200 The biggest risk of AI is not what it does.

00:35:39.380 The biggest risk of AI is what you realize about yourself, or people realize.

00:35:45.960 It's going to get rid of religion. 0.94

00:35:49.440 It's going to get rid of political preference. 0.86

00:35:52.680 You will start to recognize them as programmed effects in your brain.

00:35:57.460 You will recognize that your opinions are not real, and that's going to take some adjustment.

00:36:04.240 Once you realize your opinions are not real, they're not even coming from you.

00:36:08.800 They're just pattern recognition, and that comes from the outside.

00:36:13.040 Once you realize that, everything's different.

00:36:15.740 Now, it won't kill you, because I've been on that, you know, I've been on that menu since, I was probably 23.

00:36:27.780 Probably age 23, I first realized that your brain is not a logical engine.

00:36:33.060 When I learned hypnosis, that's the first thing you learn.

00:36:35.500 First thing you learn in hypnosis is that people are not logical engines.

00:36:39.160 If they were logical, you couldn't hypnotize them.

00:36:43.540 Did you know that?

00:36:45.360 Hypnosis wouldn't work if people had logical brains the way you think they do.

00:36:50.400 It works because what I make you focus on, and what I repeat, becomes your operating system.

00:36:58.040 It's just that simple.

00:37:01.340 All right.

00:37:02.040 Here's a reframe that's going to change everything.

00:37:11.880 Back in, let's see, when was it?

00:37:15.860 1982, I think.

00:37:17.860 There was a study, oh no, it was long ago, 1964.

00:37:22.900 It was a study in which teachers were randomly, there was a group that were randomly selected in a classroom,

00:37:30.680 and the teachers were told that they were the smart ones,

00:37:35.220 and so the teachers treated one group like they were gifted,

00:37:39.240 and then treated everybody else the same.

00:37:41.580 What do you think happened?

00:37:43.960 You already know.

00:37:45.540 The group that thought it was gifted because their teacher acted like that,

00:37:50.280 their performance went way up.

00:37:54.320 Now, I was looking for whether that study had been repeated, and I didn't find it.

00:37:59.460 But it is accepted.

00:38:02.360 It is accepted because I see it a lot.

00:38:05.120 But I'd love to know if that's been debunked.

00:38:07.520 I don't think it's been debunked.

00:38:09.180 I believe there's plenty of evidence to suggest that how you expect to succeed is how it'll turn out.

00:38:18.520 Now, you could say that that's a winner's mindset, wouldn't you?

00:38:22.780 If you expect to do well, do you do better?

00:38:26.620 Everybody knows that.

00:38:28.460 Everybody knows that if you expect to do well, you're probably going to do better than if you expect to not do well.

00:38:35.520 Now, is there anybody who doubts the premise before I go on?

00:38:39.560 I need you all to buy into the premise that what you expect to accomplish is really going to make a difference.

00:38:46.700 Look at Elon Musk.

00:38:50.800 He expected that he could build a rocket ship to Mars.

00:38:56.160 Other people expected that they couldn't.

00:38:59.440 The only one who expected he could do it did it.

00:39:02.640 This is very consistent.

00:39:03.900 I expected, I know this is weird, and I know it doesn't make me sound good when I say it,

00:39:12.980 but before I became a cartoonist, I was reading a newspaper, looking at the comics, and I said to myself,

00:39:18.340 I feel like I could do this on the first try.

00:39:22.300 And then I did.

00:39:23.960 I actually expected that with no experience whatsoever, I could become a famous cartoonist.

00:39:29.820 And then I did.

00:39:30.660 Now, were my expectations necessary?

00:39:35.200 Of course.

00:39:36.900 That my odds of succeeding in this field were like 1 in 10,000.

00:39:41.160 Or maybe 1 in 100,000.

00:39:42.580 It was just crazy.

00:39:44.020 But I expected it would work.

00:39:46.400 So I did it, and then it worked.

00:39:49.400 Coincidence? I don't know.

00:39:50.900 But I can tell you that in my life, when I expect something to work,

00:39:55.640 I expect it to work.

00:39:58.300 Even if it's irrational.

00:39:59.500 I still expect it to work.

00:40:02.980 You know, some of it is just pure optimism.

00:40:05.180 It's not based on fact. 0.97

00:40:06.700 But when I expect something to work, damn it, I expect it to work. 0.96

00:40:11.620 When I learned to play drums, I expected it to work. 0.98

00:40:16.740 And so a year and a half, two years of trying with no progress at all.

00:40:21.820 Imagine doing something for a year and a half, and you couldn't even make it sound like a beat.

00:40:27.020 I mean, nothing even remotely like music.

00:40:30.180 Didn't stop me for a minute.

00:40:32.180 Did not slow me down.

00:40:33.460 Do you know why?

00:40:34.660 Because I expected to succeed.

00:40:37.480 Now, eventually, once I got limb independence, you know, everything came easily.

00:40:42.180 So now I could probably play just about anything you could play on drums.

00:40:45.840 I would just have to practice that specific stuff.

00:40:48.400 I'm also playing the guitar.

00:40:52.200 Here's the problem.

00:40:54.120 I don't expect I can do it.

00:40:56.760 I don't.

00:40:58.420 I'm playing it as if I'm not believing my own opinion.

00:41:03.220 So I'm still taking lessons, and I'm going to grind away for, yeah, I'll probably grind away for a year or so, no matter what, just to find out.

00:41:11.360 But I don't expect it, and that's a problem, don't you think?

00:41:18.400 If I expected it, do you think I'd try harder?

00:41:21.760 I think I would.

00:41:23.960 I think I would, yeah.

00:41:26.380 So expectations make your performance different.

00:41:31.760 Everybody's on board with that, right?

00:41:33.440 I want to make sure there's nobody who disagrees with that statement.

00:41:38.080 Okay, I think I've got full agreement.

00:41:41.360 All right.

00:41:42.440 Now let's talk about critical race theory and what children are taught in school.

00:41:49.280 Are the white children taught that they can't succeed?

00:41:53.220 Nope. 0.60

00:41:54.380 Are the Asian kids taught that they can't succeed?

00:41:58.560 Nope.

00:41:59.900 Are the Indian American kids taught they can't succeed?

00:42:05.000 Nope.

00:42:06.500 Nope.

00:42:07.460 Are the Hispanic children taught they can't succeed?

00:42:09.740 Well, they often, if they're immigrants, they've got a language issue and stuff. 1.00

00:42:14.860 So those are real.

00:42:16.660 But otherwise, no.

00:42:18.100 They think they can do whatever they want.

00:42:19.960 If you're a black American kid, do you expect to succeed? 1.00

00:42:23.600 Or do you expect that systemic racism will prevent you from success?

00:42:28.260 Well, you're being taught that systemic racism is a barrier that you have that other people don't have.

00:42:34.480 What would be the predictable outcome of telling black kids they have more obstacles to success than white kids? 0.68

00:42:44.100 What would you predict? 0.77

00:42:46.100 Lower test scores, right?

00:42:48.320 Isn't that the most predictable thing?

00:42:50.320 Is lower test scores.

00:42:52.580 And sure enough, there are lower test scores.

00:42:54.160 Now, isn't the purpose of CRT to improve the lives of black kids if it's in school?

00:43:04.500 Now, of course, there's the argument whether they teach CRT or they just talk about the same elements of it in different ways,

00:43:11.460 which is, I'm not going to say that's different.

00:43:13.180 It's all the same, right? 0.67

00:43:15.980 So here you have something that scientifically 100% of people would agree is bad for black kids.

00:43:25.800 Would you agree?

00:43:26.600 Do you think that there's any psychologist, any, black, white, Asian,

00:43:34.280 do you think there's any trained psychologist who would say it's good for black kids to learn that they have an extra thing preventing them from success? 0.95

00:43:43.980 I don't believe anybody who has a degree or any credentials in psychology would be in favor of teaching some kids that they're not going to succeed.

00:43:54.800 Now, they don't say it that way.

00:43:56.300 They don't say you're not going to succeed.

00:43:58.120 But that's sort of the message.

00:44:00.340 You know, you're in a class of people who have this special problem.

00:44:03.580 You'll always have this problem.

00:44:05.340 No matter what you do, you'll run into this problem.

00:44:09.040 If you told me that every day, I don't know that I would try so hard.

00:44:13.180 I would just figure out if something wasn't working, after a few years of plugging along,

00:44:18.200 I'd say, well, they were right.

00:44:20.860 This systemic racism is keeping me from success.

00:44:24.200 But it might have been that third year of plugging that you needed.

00:44:27.020 I don't see any scenario in which CRT is not super harmful to black Americans. 1.00

00:44:35.400 What do you say?

00:44:37.100 Anybody disagree?

00:44:37.800 Is there any counter to that at all?

00:44:45.220 I don't see any.

00:44:47.660 And yet we're okay with that.

00:44:50.540 We're okay with it.

00:44:51.820 I think the way to make the CRT stuff disappear is that you should call it what it is.

00:44:57.820 It's a way to suppress black progress. 1.00

00:45:00.360 CRT, it wasn't designed that way.

00:45:04.640 It's nobody's intention.

00:45:06.220 But it's clearly going to do it.

00:45:08.520 Clearly.

00:45:09.600 And even those, the black students who succeed anyway, are they better off? 1.00

00:45:18.500 Do you think a black successful person is better off knowing that the people who are looking 1.00

00:45:26.480 at their success are thinking it was probably some kind of favoritism?

00:45:33.100 It's not really good for people who are actually successful.

00:45:36.620 I would be really pissed.

00:45:38.240 Imagine how much I would hate it if, you know, I had a successful career and people would just

00:45:45.440 look at me and say, yeah, because of your race, you got a little boost there, didn't

00:45:49.560 you?

00:45:50.420 Got a little extra.

00:45:52.120 I wouldn't like it at all.

00:45:55.540 All right.

00:45:58.060 So that's the way to, I think, fix all this.

00:46:01.160 Now, let me get a little more controversial by quoting, I'm following an account on Twitter

00:46:08.320 by Tyrone Williams.

00:46:11.240 His Twitter thing is immune hack.

00:46:15.580 All is one word, immune hack.

00:46:18.680 Now, he doesn't have that many followers, a few thousand, 6,000 followers, something like

00:46:22.260 that.

00:46:22.420 But he is pushing a message that the difference in black performance compared to other races

00:46:32.980 in America needs to be looked at more deeply.

00:46:39.320 And I think his complaint is that if you look at just poverty and you look at just any IQ,

00:46:48.260 you might be missing the real reasons for the difference.

00:46:50.580 So Tyrone, this is not me, right?

00:46:54.900 If I tweeted this, I'd be double canceled.

00:46:57.340 But Tyrone is trying to use what I'll call some tough love.

00:47:02.180 So my take is that Tyrone is really trying to help.

00:47:06.460 And he's putting himself out there at great risk because he probably thinks, I think, I

00:47:12.200 mean, this is my, just my impression of it.

00:47:13.700 I'm not a mind reader.

00:47:14.800 But it looks like he's just trying to help.

00:47:16.660 And he's trying to help the black community in particular with some tough love and tough

00:47:22.840 honesty.

00:47:24.200 But he's also making very useful, very useful additions to the conversation.

00:47:31.500 For example, he said, this is his tweet, Tyrone Williams.

00:47:36.380 He says, blacks are less likely to, one, optimize their prenatal diet, exercise and sleep.

00:47:42.280 Now, I don't know if that's true, but he seems to have looked into it because he's kind of

00:47:47.220 data driven.

00:47:48.600 But he says that, optimize their prenatal diet, exercise and sleep.

00:47:52.440 Less likely to breastfeed, less likely to read to the kids, less likely to ensure their

00:47:57.280 kids attend school, stay under trouble in their proficient in math and reading, and less

00:48:03.220 likely to do well on tests.

00:48:05.640 And then he says, but they expect equal representation at top universities.

00:48:09.360 So that's the tough love part.

00:48:12.400 So the useful part is, and I would really like to know about this, haven't we determined

00:48:18.020 that breastfeeding improves your intelligence? 0.92

00:48:21.260 Am I wrong that that's scientifically demonstrated?

00:48:26.140 We know that, right?

00:48:27.860 Yeah.

00:48:28.720 And if it's true that there's a difference, well, there's a very specific lever that you

00:48:35.320 could go after.

00:48:35.960 You know, there might be an education thing, it might be a practical thing, too.

00:48:40.180 There may be some practical reason that some people can do it and some can't.

00:48:44.020 So that's really useful.

00:48:47.540 To me, that's useful.

00:48:49.080 It's a specific thing you could target, and you could say, let's do better on this.

00:48:53.260 Reading to your kids, something you could target.

00:48:56.780 Optimizing prenatal diet.

00:48:58.600 Well, I would think that this is a problem for everybody who is low income.

00:49:01.440 I don't know if there's any racial difference in exercise and sleep.

00:49:07.520 I don't know that.

00:49:09.180 But if there is, it's probably something you could find out.

00:49:13.100 If there is a difference, those things would, in fact, have an impact on IQ.

00:49:17.620 We know that proper exercise helps your IQ.

00:49:20.920 We know that diet helps your IQ, don't we?

00:49:22.840 Is there any doubt that these three things would help your IQ?

00:49:26.740 Breastfeeding, better prenatal diet, and more focus on exercise and sleep.

00:49:33.800 And that's pretty much guaranteed stuff, right?

00:49:36.660 So this is why Tyrone's so useful.

00:49:38.980 He's going for solutions, not politics.

00:49:42.360 And then, you know, ensuring your kids stay in school and do well in tests and stuff like

00:49:46.040 that is pretty basic stuff.

00:49:47.900 So I would say we have some several very promising, and also somebody mentioned lead and paint might

00:49:59.240 be another factor that is disproportionately affecting black Americans.

00:50:03.800 So there might be some environmental, nutritional, mindset things.

00:50:10.380 And CRT and the, you know, the message that white people are victimizing you and holding

00:50:17.100 you down is almost certainly reducing test scores and success.

00:50:22.740 Now, if you want it to be useful, these are things you could really make a difference on.

00:50:28.020 Like, you could actually move the needle on all of those things.

00:50:30.540 And then find out, find out what's what.

00:50:34.720 You know, does it close the gap?

00:50:36.140 Does it not close the gap?

00:50:37.320 I'd like to know.

00:50:40.380 All right.

00:50:45.580 Yeah.

00:50:46.840 The growth mindset tempers the effects of poverty on academic achievement.

00:50:52.680 All right.

00:50:52.940 So here's something from, I forget where I saw it.

00:50:57.960 But basically, it's saying that your mindset of whether you can succeed is one of the biggest

00:51:03.800 important things for success.

00:51:06.780 Now, where do people get a mindset?

00:51:08.240 Where do you get your mindset from?

00:51:12.420 Where do you think that comes from?

00:51:14.880 Do you think you're born with it?

00:51:18.320 Now, I've seen a lot of studies that say having a single father gets you a good result, but

00:51:26.900 having a single mother doesn't. 0.66

00:51:28.760 Have you seen that?

00:51:29.480 I don't know if it was limited to black population, but it might have been.

00:51:34.300 But the study showed that if you only had one parent and it was a mother, you'd have some

00:51:40.660 issues.

00:51:41.760 But if the one parent is a father, that the kid would perform as well as anybody who had

00:51:47.460 two parents.

00:51:47.920 I'm a little skeptical about that, because I think there's a selection bias in that.

00:51:55.760 The selection bias being that if the dad is capable of and wants to be a dad, that probably

00:52:04.360 sorts people into the better category automatically.

00:52:07.980 So I'm not sure you're seeing a father effect as much as a filtering effect of who decides

00:52:17.000 to be the father, who decides to be a single father in the first place.

00:52:20.760 I think that's a filtering effect.

00:52:22.500 All right.

00:52:30.860 Okay.

00:52:32.280 Mother's matter, father's matter, yeah.

00:52:34.980 But I think mindset comes from your peers.

00:52:38.800 It comes from your parents.

00:52:42.040 But where does success mindset come from specifically?

00:52:47.940 I wonder if that does come from dad.

00:52:49.940 Now, in my case, it came from my mother.

00:52:56.180 So I can't speak to any other situation.

00:52:58.960 But in my case, my mother was the one who said, you're going to college from the time

00:53:03.200 I was a fetus.

00:53:04.740 Told me I'd be successful from the time I could understand language.

00:53:08.760 Always did.

00:53:09.900 And, you know, when I was a teenager, I was already consuming self-help books.

00:53:17.020 Have I ever told you that?

00:53:17.900 By the time I was a teenager, and certainly by my early 20s, I was consuming everything

00:53:24.100 I could about how somebody got famous or how they got successful.

00:53:29.080 I would read every story about somebody who started with nothing and made it.

00:53:33.220 Every story.

00:53:34.300 I'd read every book that said, here's the secret to success.

00:53:37.900 I just absorbed it all the time.

00:53:39.960 Now, where did that come from?

00:53:41.980 Where did I get that habit?

00:53:43.400 Because all I remember is thinking, oh, wait a minute, there might be a formula for success.

00:53:50.380 Are you telling me if I just learned the formula that I would be successful?

00:53:54.820 You know, assuming I'm a functional person.

00:53:57.800 And so I came to believe that if I learned the formula that I could be successful.

00:54:03.320 So I spent years and years trying to figure out the formula, you know, putting it together.

00:54:08.800 And that's where I came up with the talent stack idea of combining useful talents.

00:54:14.480 It's by studying other people's, you know, ways, looking for patterns.

00:54:18.340 And it's where I came up with this system is more important than a goal.

00:54:21.400 That you have to be doing something every day to improve your odds in general, not just working toward this one goal in a straight line way.

00:54:32.640 Maybe you thought of something without being assigned to you.

00:54:35.080 I don't think so.

00:54:36.200 I think it came from my mother.

00:54:37.920 Because my mother was always the go to school and, you know, it's all within your power to have whatever you want.

00:54:44.700 I mean, my mother would say the old 50s and 60s thing.

00:54:48.340 You can be whatever you want.

00:54:49.760 So my mother was always, if you put it in the work and you learn how to do the work right, you know, college or anything else.

00:55:00.020 So if you figure out how to do it right and you put it in the work, you can do anything you want.

00:55:05.640 That's exactly how my life turned out.

00:55:08.540 Now, I don't think that works for everybody.

00:55:11.580 So I'm biased by my own experience.

00:55:13.680 But how in the world did that not help me compared to, let's say, a parent who said, you know, nobody succeeded in this family because of all that discrimination or something.

00:55:27.640 I never heard that story.

00:55:29.440 I never heard that I couldn't succeed.

00:55:31.460 I only heard that I could.

00:55:32.780 I never heard anything else.

00:55:35.440 That's got to make a difference.

00:55:37.380 Don't you think?

00:55:38.640 It's got to make a difference.

00:55:44.200 All right.

00:55:44.820 Let me check with you.

00:55:47.900 How many consider yourself successful and had parents who had a positive mindset?

00:55:53.600 I'm looking for the double.

00:55:55.220 You consider your life successful, however you define it.

00:55:58.040 It doesn't have to be financial.

00:56:00.440 Yeses and yeses.

00:56:02.200 Yes and yes.

00:56:03.160 Yes and yes.

00:56:03.740 Double yes and yes.

00:56:05.620 No and no.

00:56:06.320 Okay, that's interesting.

00:56:10.480 So the one, I'll bet there aren't too many people whose parents told them they could do anything they wanted and then they consider themselves a failure at middle age.

00:56:19.980 I'll bet it's rare.

00:56:22.180 Yeah.

00:56:22.660 I mean, you can see the effect of mindset.

00:56:25.300 It's everything.

00:56:27.460 All right.

00:56:28.980 So, let me remind you, give you a little backup in context.

00:56:33.520 Do you remember I got in a little trouble for saying something with a racial overtones a few weeks ago?

00:56:41.260 Anybody remember that?

00:56:42.420 There were headlines about it.

00:56:44.600 And when it happened, I realized that something that wasn't obvious had happened at the same time.

00:56:53.460 Which is, I can talk about the topic of race productively without worrying about getting canceled now.

00:57:02.120 And I'm like the only person who can do it.

00:57:04.580 I'm the only one.

00:57:06.080 I'm the only one who could have an honest conversation about race.

00:57:08.760 So, people, if you want to have an honest conversation, I'm the one.

00:57:16.500 And I'm fairly well informed.

00:57:18.860 So I think I have something I could add.

00:57:21.140 Even if the only thing I added was honesty.

00:57:23.000 Because, you know, how many teachers, let me put it this way.

00:57:31.040 Don't you think that professional teachers are fully aware that telling some group they're victims suppresses their performance?

00:57:41.500 Now, if I know it, you don't think teachers know it?

00:57:45.520 I mean, I'll ask my sister.

00:57:47.540 She was a teacher for a year.

00:57:48.940 She's retired.

00:57:49.480 But if I ask my sister, who's probably listening right now, well, text me.

00:57:55.320 All right, sister, I won't say your name just so people don't get all over you.

00:58:00.320 But sister of mine, text me right now and tell me. 1.00

00:58:07.020 Tell me if you're not fully aware that people will rise to their expectations.

00:58:14.380 Yeah.

00:58:16.760 Her last name is not Adams, so you can't find her.

00:58:19.480 I'll bet in a moment she'll weigh in.

00:58:29.660 Actually, I don't know if she watches it live or watches it recorded.

00:58:33.920 I think she watches it recorded, maybe.

00:58:36.520 But I don't think there's anybody who disagrees that expectations affect performance.

00:58:42.980 And nobody would disagree that telling people that they've got this, you know, invisible yoke on them called systemic racism.

00:58:51.340 That's got to affect performance.

00:58:53.000 It just has to.

00:58:56.640 Teachers also know the parents are mostly to blame when the kids are a disaster.

00:58:59.920 I don't know.

00:59:01.960 I mean, the kids are partly to blame.

00:59:11.940 All right, that's all for you, YouTube.

00:59:13.720 Thanks for listening.

00:59:14.620 I'm going to talk.

00:59:15.980 Let's see if I got my message here.

00:59:17.520 Okay.

00:59:24.220 No, that wasn't what I was expecting.

00:59:26.740 All right.

00:59:27.700 That's all for now.

00:59:28.980 YouTube.

00:59:29.340 All right.

00:59:29.620 Bye.

00:59:30.540 Bye.

00:59:30.800 Bye.

00:59:31.140 Bye.

00:59:33.180 Bye.

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00:59:39.540 Bye.

00:59:41.600 Bye.

00:59:43.200 Bye.

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00:59:43.840 Bye.

00:59:44.640 Bye.

00:59:48.920 Bye.

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00:59:58.980 Bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 27, 2023

Episode 2060 Scott Adams： TikTok Shows Us Who Is Bought Off, CRT Lowers Black Test Scores？

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