Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2071 Scott Adams： Trans News Everywhere, Surviving AI, Electric Cars vs Oil, Diet & IQ

00:00:00.000 good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of civilization it's called coffee

00:00:10.840 with scott adams and there's never been a finer moment in your whole life and if you'd like to

00:00:16.400 take it up to levels that no one's ever seen before all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass

00:00:23.600 a tank or gels or stein a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite

00:00:29.220 liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure it's a dopamine hit of

00:00:35.680 the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now

00:00:41.200 go oh yeah that's that's the good stuff yes it turns out in case you were worried about my health

00:00:53.200 my health is perfect but sometimes you have to sleep more than three hours a night so

00:00:58.780 after yesterday's debacle i just went right back to bed and just slept until noon and then i felt

00:01:06.480 great all good so sleep it's kind of a miracle drug well what's in the news there's an account i follow

00:01:16.800 that i don't think is a real person called tyrone williams he says a lot of controversial things but

00:01:23.300 some of the very interesting things he says is i didn't realize that there was uh science

00:01:29.840 about uh iq and nutrition and apparently there's a lot of it i don't know how much it is reliable

00:01:38.260 but one of the claims is that when uh iodine was added to salt it increased iqs by 15 points in the

00:01:48.040 united states does that sound true do you think that iodine added to salt increased iqs by 15

00:01:56.180 points i'm seeing yeses and nos that seems like a stretch but the larger point is apparently there

00:02:05.240 are a number of uh things like calcium magnesium and folates and probably some other things vitamin d

00:02:13.820 maybe that seem to be really correlated with intelligence how hard would it be to pick some

00:02:21.680 poor part of the country and just say hey work on this experiment we'll give all of you poor people 1.00

00:02:28.720 good supplements good nutrition just see what happens might take a long time to see what happens but

00:02:36.120 i think by the third grade or so you'd know if their iq was you know boosted so i would love to see that

00:02:43.680 uh it really makes me wonder how much of the iq differences that there are in the country are

00:02:51.340 genetic and how much are nutritional because the nutritional stuff we probably need to fix

00:02:59.720 uh if only for national security doesn't it seem to you that it would be a national security issue

00:03:06.540 to have educated and healthy kids it's hard to separate education and nutrition from homeland security

00:03:15.440 because if you don't do it all right you you're lost no matter what yeah obesity etc so uh michael

00:03:25.360 schellenberger says that he has a whistleblower information saying that he and the other twitter

00:03:32.500 files authors are going to be targeted do you think that's real because matt taibi has already been hit

00:03:40.780 pretty hard um with some fact checking some of it may be important some of it not and i think

00:03:48.840 barry weiss and matt schellenberger are going to get attacked as well now i don't think any of them

00:03:55.880 started as republicans or conservatives but simply because they're not pro-democrat narrative

00:04:04.000 that's enough apparently they are being what's the word starts with an h oh haunted they're being

00:04:13.480 hunted that is the best prediction i ever made that was the the least obvious although i've had some

00:04:23.000 pretty unobvious predictions yeah they're literally being hunted according to a whistleblower now keep an

00:04:30.040 eye on them you might have to help protect them but i love the fact that the people being hunted

00:04:36.520 do have some recourse now you can go on substack you can go on locals you can go on rumble you can go

00:04:45.800 on truth social so apparently getting canceled is not what it used to be but uh better better protect

00:04:53.480 those three authors i think they're too important to to let them let them swing on their own so

00:05:00.760 i just would like to put in the word that uh those of you who protected me when i got hunted and

00:05:09.000 canceled i appreciate it immensely just immensely changes everything really the fact that there's

00:05:15.960 some way to still monetize your life if you've been canceled so protect those three uh authors i think

00:05:24.360 i think the world is better with them well you may have noticed that all the news is about trans issues

00:05:31.480 it's all i think 50 of the headlines are about trans it's the weirdest phenomenon just to give you an 0.99

00:05:40.520 example uh i think this story is fake or maybe not but does anybody know if it's true that the

00:05:49.320 first female vp to head bud light that there's that for the first time they have a woman who's in charge 1.00

00:05:57.960 of bud light which could explain a little bit about the dylan mulvaney connection

00:06:05.880 you posted it four days ago but i don't know if it's true

00:06:08.760 uh i know i've seen it but apparently the linkedin profiles changed so i'm going to say that's a

00:06:16.440 maybe it's in forbes okay it's probably true so do you think that it's a factor that the vp of bud light

00:06:27.480 is a female do you think the fact that she's female is why this happened 1.00

00:06:34.920 we don't know stop being a bunch of sexists you misogynist pieces of garbage 1.00

00:06:42.280 how could you possibly know that it's only happening because she's female you don't know that there's no way you could know that 0.99

00:06:51.000 i i now certainly certainly my bias agrees with you if i were to check my bias it very much is screaming at me

00:07:04.440 a man would never have done that a man would never have done that but is that true i don't know if that's

00:07:12.760 true because i think a man or a woman might have some external forces and may feel the need to bow to

00:07:19.240 some external forces do you think that the vp of bud light has a boss yeah because it's only the vp

00:07:27.480 is the ceo a man i don't know probably right so there's probably a man who made the decision

00:07:35.000 so i'm not so i'm not so sure you want to jump on the diversity higher on this one i think you need

00:07:42.600 to raise your game a little bit higher than there was one time a woman did something that's that's not

00:07:49.880 that's not exactly evidence right but could be a factor you never know i just wouldn't assume it

00:07:57.160 um then we've got uh trans and sports so the biden administration is proposing some kind of new

00:08:05.880 rule for k-12 and um mostly for college and k-12 that would ban it would ban any trans bands

00:08:16.760 so it would ban the bands so you would not be able to say no trans athletes can compete

00:08:23.000 in the the gender that you don't want them to compete in i guess now there is however a

00:08:34.520 exception and the exception is that the schools would be permitted to adopt

00:08:41.800 wouldn't be permitted to adopt a one-size-fits-all in other words you couldn't ban trans in general

00:08:48.680 but you could ban a trans a specific trans for a specific sport if you thought it was dangerous

00:08:57.000 or there's some other good reason i'm perfectly good with that does anybody have a problem with that

00:09:04.760 let me let me give you my universal example um in my in my town there was at one point there was an

00:09:13.320 11 year old kid a boy who was so good at soccer that he was elevated to the the teenager league so he's

00:09:22.040 like 11 years old but i think he played with 14 and up which are big big difference now did it make sense

00:09:31.640 that they would take this one 11 year old who was really really good at soccer and and put that one

00:09:37.960 kid in a league where normally he would not belong of course it does of course it made sense it made

00:09:45.720 complete sense because if you were playing against him and you were 11 years old how fair would that be

00:09:51.400 it wouldn't be fair at all the kid would have just annihilated you now i had the privilege and it was a

00:09:57.800 privilege to actually watch him play on a on a team with you know older older kids and adults i watched

00:10:05.400 him play indoor soccer and it was a treat watching this 11 year old just just totally you know dribble

00:10:13.000 around adults and stuff and i gotta tell you um it made sense to put him in a different league

00:10:20.520 for everybody's benefit now 11 is not 21 i don't know what that comment means um however

00:10:29.720 um i think the same is true of trans athletes there certainly are cases where the trans athlete does

00:10:38.520 not belong on a woman's team we all agree with that right that there are certainly cases where that 1.00

00:10:46.840 trans athlete would be so dominant or so or so dangerous it wouldn't make sense but does it make 1.00

00:10:54.440 sense to have a universal ban when one of the athletes could be dylan mulvaney do you think dylan

00:11:01.640 mulvaney would have a big genetic advantage over female athletes in high school you think yes some 1.00

00:11:10.520 people say yes i'm going to say no just for argument's sake because uh dylan mulvaney looks about the size of a

00:11:19.320 a female athlete in high school doesn't look like more muscles doesn't look like more anything 1.00

00:11:26.280 now i will agree with you that just having the advantage of male um you know male chemistry for

00:11:34.520 early years probably gave some advantages but not enough not enough if you put dylan mulvaney on the

00:11:43.000 soccer field with a bunch of high level you know uh college or high school players i don't think dylan

00:11:50.920 would do so well so i'm i'm completely in favor of this i didn't think i'd be this much in favor of a

00:11:56.760 biden policy but this makes complete sense now who who is arguing with the school having the judgment

00:12:05.160 to do whatever they want how are you arguing with that i mean seriously how are you arguing with that

00:12:13.000 just let the school do what makes sense if the biden administration says don't do a universal ban

00:12:21.480 but you could make every decision individually that's that's as good as it gets i don't have a

00:12:28.120 single complaint with that all right but think about it let let that sink in a little bit more i think

00:12:34.840 you're going to like that more than you think you you may you might be having a first reaction

00:12:39.800 to it just because it's a biden policy it's not meant to be pro-trans or anti-trans it's meant to be

00:12:47.400 pro-common sense the common sense part is you could make an exception for any athlete

00:12:53.720 that's all i ask just make an exception for any athlete for whatever reason you think is good for

00:12:59.240 the kids whatever reason it could be the physicality or any other reason that's fine with me

00:13:06.040 all right we'll see how that works at least as an experiment it makes sense um

00:13:14.280 so i love watching fox news try to do a reverse on democrats so you remember how the democrats made a

00:13:25.400 big deal out of president trump saying that uh at january 6 saying that uh you should protest or fight like

00:13:34.840 hell i think he used the word fight now he used it of course in the hyperbole meaning verbally fight

00:13:42.920 or protest but not physically fight now in context it was obvious he did not mean physical violence

00:13:52.200 that's not what the word fight meant in that context it was obvious but because he said it and

00:13:58.200 because it's politics they could say oh you said fight that's violence well turnabout is fair play and

00:14:04.680 corinne jean pierre um has said about the trans situation blah blah kids are resilient the lgbtq plus

00:14:14.920 kids are resilient they're fierce they fight back they're not going going anywhere we have their back

00:14:21.880 this administration has their back so because she said they fight back um the headline in fox news was

00:14:29.720 jean pierre slammed for praising trans kids who quote to fight back stochastic terrorism from the white

00:14:36.600 house really is that stochastic terrorism because fight back in this context means physically no i don't

00:14:46.200 think she meant physically i don't think she meant physically but neither did trump neither did trump

00:14:54.360 however given that the democrats did use this trick against trump is it not fair play is it not fair play to

00:15:03.320 give it back to them it is it is fair play it's not news all right so if i said this is this is good solid

00:15:12.120 news reporting it's not this is not good solid news reporting but it is fair play it is giving back what they gave

00:15:20.680 and then of course this gets to be juxtaposed at least on the fox news site and by the way the moment i

00:15:30.600 was writing this down fox news changed their website like so they moved it originally it had the john pierre

00:15:39.400 story and also below it a separate story about athlete riley gains being assaulted by a trans person uh after a

00:15:49.160 speech she gave talking about trans and sports now if you have a headline that says stochastic

00:15:57.480 terrorism trans fight back and then the very next story below it is an actual attack by a trans person

00:16:03.720 on a non-trans person that's narrative right that's not news that's narrative but to their credit

00:16:13.240 uh maybe it could be an accident or a coincidence but they did take off the other story they they

00:16:20.040 demoted the riley gains story which at least is half right you know i wouldn't pair those two stories

00:16:27.000 on the front page that's a that's a narrative right even though they're both true even though they both

00:16:33.800 happened if you present them that way it makes it look like there's some kind of trend toward trans

00:16:40.600 violence i don't know how much of that there is now of course everybody can be uh offended by

00:16:48.840 um this trans person attacking riley gains who was only giving a speech and certainly had a right to do

00:16:55.240 that so we can condemn it but at the same time how much of it happened yesterday one time you know as

00:17:05.400 much as much as we condemn it probably happened once yesterday in the entire united states so i don't

00:17:11.560 think it's much of a trend um but i'm interested that vivek ramaswamy and jordan peterson both talk

00:17:20.520 about uh that incident as uh well this is what jordan pearson says um a transgender male wearing a dress

00:17:29.640 so they're basically both of them are calling the attacker a male or a biological male i feel as if the

00:17:38.200 whole wrong pronoun thing is starting to fall away are are there enough uh notable people who are

00:17:47.560 refusing to call a trans athlete necessarily a woman are there enough famous people who are rejecting it now

00:17:55.720 you can do it without getting cancelled i'm not ready to do it without getting cancelled yet

00:18:02.920 because i still think i still think there's a uh here's my problem with it here's my problem i think

00:18:11.000 that we're conflating the people who have mental illness with the people who have something actually

00:18:16.360 going on in terms of their their gender dys dysphoria or dysmorphia or whatever it is don't you think

00:18:23.720 that there's two categories don't you think that there are some that are just mentally ill or just

00:18:30.040 gay men who like to wear dresses and are adopting a lifestyle versus people who have something legitimate 1.00

00:18:36.200 going on and i feel like when you throw the legitimate people in with the mental illness people

00:18:43.720 you're not getting a good outcome like it doesn't make sense to mix those two groups and i feel like

00:18:49.640 everybody's doing it like i feel like you know jordan peterson and uh vivek may they may be going a

00:18:58.360 little bit too far in the calling it men with dresses that may be a little too far but i also don't know

00:19:08.200 what the percentage breakdown is is it 90 mental illness or one percent how would i know because you

00:19:15.960 know there's mental illness everywhere it wouldn't be a big it wouldn't be a big surprise if trans 1.00

00:19:21.720 people have some mental illness like everybody else in the world yeah i don't know so i guess i'm 0.88

00:19:28.520 uncomfortable branding the entire group as men in dresses when in fact there might be some of that

00:19:36.360 but how much one percent or 99 no idea um judge said just looking at this comment they weren't applying

00:19:48.600 the trans ban equally uh oh so you'd have to apply it equally i don't know i don't as long as you ignore

00:19:57.480 the trans part and focus on the physicality part i think you can do anything you want because um i'll

00:20:06.760 give you another example there was a kid in my class when i uh when i was young who was unusually muscular

00:20:15.000 and bigger than most of us and from you know early days he was just way more muscular i don't know how

00:20:21.880 and just way bigger so he sometimes would be put on the the older kids teams if it was something

00:20:30.520 dangerous like you know full contact kind of sports and i had no problem with that you know no problem at

00:20:38.520 all because he was just too big to play with regular boys he was just too big he would hurt us i had no

00:20:45.880 problem with that at all um i don't think he did either so this is weird so biden has green-lit

00:20:56.040 two big energy projects so i'm a little confused about where biden is on carbon because apparently he's

00:21:05.400 he's green-lighted this conoco phillips massive oil project in alaska and he's green-lit bidding for

00:21:16.200 oil auction sites or gas i guess oil and gas drilling in the in the gulf so those are two

00:21:23.480 very big things where biden is pro carbon but he also canceled that pipeline and he's canceled other

00:21:33.960 things where where is he exactly i feel like he's all over the place now i wouldn't call it flip-flopping

00:21:40.840 i would just call it inconsistent because it's not like he changed his mind on a specific thing

00:21:47.080 it's rather that he rejected some things and he's accepting some things but they look kind of similar

00:21:52.760 from 30 000 feet yeah my guess is that he just has to he just has no choice so it might be you know

00:22:02.920 lobbyist money but it also might be that the country can't handle not having energy

00:22:07.400 it just might be too big of a risk even for him do you think it's location that it depends where it is

00:22:14.680 and that's the bigger factor that might be

00:22:18.760 anyway uh that's just a question to me

00:22:21.720 so then he's also promoting electric cars at the same time that he's saying that uh the standards

00:22:28.920 should be tightened for gas cars and

00:22:31.960 and here's the problem we don't we don't have enough batteries if you go full electric cars you

00:22:39.400 you have more dependency uh more dependence on china because they make most of our batteries

00:22:46.280 so here's my suggestion we should negotiate with the cartels in mexico and tell them that we'd like

00:22:54.120 mexico to turn into our biggest battery and uh rare earth mining uh place because we want it to be

00:23:03.400 physically close because i think that matters too don't you wouldn't you like to know that your batteries

00:23:10.040 did not have to uh travel on the water i i feel like that would be a big a big advantage that you don't

00:23:18.600 have to ship your batteries over water because it would be easier for somebody to blow up your ship

00:23:23.720 full of batteries or to i suppose it would be very bad if they if the ship sunk you wouldn't want to

00:23:30.840 you wouldn't want an ocean liner full of batteries at the bottom of the ocean would you it sounds like a

00:23:35.160 bad idea so i'd like to see the cartels negotiate with them this way hey cartels we're done with the old way

00:23:46.520 so you get two choices one is we're going to send in the military and wipe you out no matter how long it

00:23:51.800 takes the other choice is that you can give up now and we can turn you into equity owners and maybe

00:23:59.880 somehow productive in this cobalt mining you know battery making the world so that at least the leaders

00:24:08.680 of the cartels could say okay i could at least have good jobs for my top hundred people because probably

00:24:16.920 that's where it ends right if you if you take care of your top 100 people you're probably pretty happy

00:24:23.240 in your own family so i would try to convert them instead of trying to kill them i would try to convert

00:24:29.880 them into uh the the most important energy industry as long as they didn't have management control i wouldn't

00:24:38.920 give them 51 control of anything but you could imagine saying to them we're going to put you out of

00:24:44.920 business but if you go willingly and you help us close down all the other illegal stuff because you

00:24:51.080 know the cartel leaders would know how to close down their own operation better than anybody if you

00:24:56.200 help us we'll give you a small percentage of equity in these good businesses and you'll just be rich

00:25:03.240 forever your family will have money forever and you'll never be hunted now they probably do need a lot

00:25:11.400 a lot of security because they've killed a lot of people but there must be some way to make a deal

00:25:17.160 and what we need is to move our batteries like really really quickly to be closer to here and i

00:25:24.200 don't think we'll be able to make those things in the united states because of too many environmental

00:25:29.720 reasons etc what do you think of that idea close down the cartels turn them into a battery making

00:25:36.840 um country and then they're our best buddies because we need batteries all the time and it would be a

00:25:44.440 it would be a gigantic industry the size of the industry could not be understated

00:25:52.520 all right yeah i'm sure there would be problems but there would be problems no matter what you do

00:25:56.920 all right so uh here's on immigration rasmussen had a poll that uh no surprise republicans are favored

00:26:08.680 for immigration policies so this is one of the few um few topics where democrats will leave their party

00:26:18.840 not necessarily to join the other party but they'll vote against their own party on immigration

00:26:23.720 because they think the republicans are going to keep the border more secure and of course they're right

00:26:28.760 i mean that's obvious um so it's a pretty big difference so 86 percent of republicans trust their own

00:26:36.280 party but only 73 percent of democrats trust their own party on immigration is it my imagination

00:26:44.840 or will immigration completely leave the news as we get to within one year of the election

00:26:51.560 immigration i believe that immigration will just disappear from the news and it will all be focused

00:26:59.400 on trans rights and stuff where democrats do terrible i'm sorry the stuff where republicans do terrible

00:27:05.880 the news is going to be about abortion where republicans do poorly and lbgtq where republicans do actually

00:27:16.360 great but the way they talk about it is a disaster the republicans just shoot themselves in the foot

00:27:23.560 with all of the the trans stuff if they just talked about it differently they'd be fine just talk about

00:27:29.720 it differently um yeah the media decides the topics so

00:27:36.440 um i've got some uh some suggestions for republicans a little while but let me talk about something

00:27:44.920 else first so i saw a uh one of these success guru types on instagram who had a reframe that i wonder

00:27:53.400 if you think came from me so this might be more relevant to the people on locals because i think you've

00:27:59.640 seen me say it before on youtube maybe you've not seen me say it but correct me if i'm wrong and the

00:28:06.360 the reframe goes like this imagine you just woke up into this life like it's a video game you have a

00:28:15.880 history but you didn't live it so it doesn't affect you so there's like a memory of a history but it's

00:28:21.640 irrelevant you just appeared today and a backstory was written how would you feel if you just appeared

00:28:29.320 into your life and you said all right make the best of this life you just appeared what do i got oh

00:28:35.480 okay i got a job okay a job's pretty good what do i got i got oh a family family's pretty good now you

00:28:43.720 could be the example that the guru gave was if you'd been recently divorced he said if you were recently

00:28:53.320 divorced you're still living in the past probably like you're just you know your grief about things

00:28:58.520 that didn't work out but suppose you just popped into existence at that moment in time you wouldn't

00:29:05.240 be worrying about your divorce or what went wrong you just say okay what do i have and what do i do

00:29:11.000 with it and it would just change your frame of reference have you heard me say that before

00:29:17.880 because i loved seeing that somewhere else i'm pretty sure it came from me pretty sure but i

00:29:25.240 couldn't you know it's possible somebody else came up with it um and i've never seen it before

00:29:31.880 before i started saying it so i think it came from me so the way that i track my influence is to see if

00:29:39.400 unusual thoughts make it into the public and that was a pretty unusual thought um has anybody seen that

00:29:46.920 before let's prior to say this year had you ever seen that before i've never seen it

00:29:55.640 all right well anyway keep an eye on that uh ann coulter writing in uh breitbart uh she's on the team

00:30:04.200 that says that the democrats are cleverly trying to bait the republicans into nominating trump

00:30:11.400 because trump can't possibly win against biden do you buy that do you buy that trump can't beat biden

00:30:21.080 now i've said this before

00:30:24.440 but aren't we fighting the last war well if you assume cheating then it doesn't matter who runs

00:30:33.320 am i right if you assume cheating then it's all the same doesn't matter who runs so that's not about

00:30:40.040 whether you run trump or not but um don't you think it's a completely different race because the

00:30:49.800 difference between wondering what biden would do and actually seeing what he would do is a world of

00:30:57.080 difference and thinking that biden was too old at his prior age versus too old at what will be 86 if

00:31:06.360 he got re-elected that's not the same people don't see 86 the same as 80. i mean 80 is crazy but 86 is i

00:31:17.240 mean that's just bad that's just so so crazy right and then you've also had uh uh trump out of office

00:31:26.040 for a while how do you think people feel about january 6 today compared to how they felt when it first

00:31:32.360 happened i think january 6 is already gone i think the news cycle has already erased it because there

00:31:39.560 were there were no charges and i think that it backfired i think that it looked like a big nothing

00:31:47.880 i think that tucker getting the extra footage i think the uh the q anon shaman being released i think that

00:31:55.080 story looks completely different and then on top of that you've got carrie lake still picking at the 1.00

00:32:00.920 election integrity maybe she comes up with something so far nothing but she has some interesting

00:32:07.400 allegations about signature verification i don't know what the the end story will be but it's a real

00:32:14.280 interesting accusation very interesting and we might find out something else too

00:32:20.840 so um and then also take a look at things that just went too far would you agree that fentanyl's been a

00:32:32.600 you know gigantic issue for several years but doesn't it feel like only lately everybody agreed it's gone

00:32:39.400 too far doesn't it feel like that and that's the difference because you know you know trump would actually

00:32:46.280 do something about it or a republican would and you know that a democrat would not you know that a democrat

00:32:52.680 would not use the military in mexico but there are definitely one or more now there are there are two

00:33:02.120 primary candidates for republicans vivek ramaswamy and trump himself who say they would use the military

00:33:08.520 military that's a big difference big difference okay um oh to peter's point over here the the issue

00:33:19.160 of the political prisoners i think is very salient and current so in in that sense january 6 is very

00:33:27.480 current because because the those prisoners form a a tapestry of republicans being hunted

00:33:36.520 and that's that is very much a current story because there's always going to be a new republican getting hunted

00:33:43.240 you know there's always a new one so that that'll stay fresh forever

00:33:47.880 so that that's a good point but the part about um trump creating the violence i think that's largely gone

00:33:57.880 except for the the crazy people who never change of course

00:34:01.400 okay so yeah it was there ever a time can you uh correct me my understanding is that trump beats

00:34:16.760 biden in polls today as if the election were today by a lot was it ever true that trump beat biden by a lot

00:34:25.880 in any polling before the last election because i don't think he ever beat him he never was ahead was

00:34:31.960 he was trump ever ahead against biden i believe he only got close i don't think he was ever ahead

00:34:42.760 oh there's a poll yesterday say this yesterday that says biden's up by two

00:34:46.200 well you're gonna see both those kinds of polls but here's what i would look for if the consensus of

00:34:55.400 polls shows trump winning i think he could win but of course all that matters all that matters is the

00:35:04.520 swing states right so uh somebody said that trump is not ahead on the swing states can anybody tell me if

00:35:14.360 that's true or not so look into that maybe you don't have an answer right away but it is true that

00:35:20.280 he doesn't have a lead in the swing states now that would that would favor um the argument that he can't win

00:35:27.560 yeah if if trump is not ahead in the swing states that's a problem now i also heard the following uh element

00:35:35.800 have there been enough republicans who have moved out of blue states and into swing states like arizona

00:35:46.520 that could change the election is that a thing

00:35:52.120 have enough republicans moved into arizona that since even the last election i don't know if it's

00:35:58.760 enough of a thing but it might be i mean if somebody's going to move for political reasons they're

00:36:04.440 definitely going to vote if you move to another state for political reasons you're probably registered

00:36:10.520 to vote all right um here's my suggestion for democrat or for republicans running for office

00:36:20.600 i believe that you could make commercials for your opponents and just play it straight and you would

00:36:27.720 win right here is a commercial for your opponent if you're a republican uh democrats we'd like to take

00:36:35.320 the guns away from uh the people and also let the criminals out of jail so my big two big policies are

00:36:45.080 i'd like to disarm the law-abiding people while letting the criminals run free

00:36:50.920 that's the actual policy did i add did i add any hyperbole to that no obviously they're not letting

00:37:01.320 all criminals run free and they're not taking all of your guns but is it true that they're trying to

00:37:08.520 let more criminals free at the same time they're trying to have you have fewer options to be armed

00:37:15.560 those are both true do you think you need to add any hyperbole to that those are just two

00:37:25.320 two true statements it's also true that biden is telling you you can't have your gas car

00:37:32.840 and you've got to be electric at the same time he's approving massive energy programs like you know the

00:37:39.720 the basically you just have to describe it uh democrats are doing you know you could come up

00:37:49.240 with ten more examples you don't even have to exaggerate you can actually do the commercial as if

00:37:54.920 it's their commercial and just fund and say we'd like to take your guns away and let the criminals out 0.81

00:38:01.480 and just play it straight and act like you can't make act like you haven't made a connection

00:38:07.400 between letting criminals out and taking your guns away like they're two unrelated things and just

00:38:12.520 give a commercial like that just see what happens it's a weird situation where you could actually

00:38:19.560 accurately describe your competitor and then that's all you need you don't need to lie

00:38:29.160 all right um chat gpt is going to be part of google and i'm sorry let me say that in a more clear way

00:38:37.080 that's completely inaccurate google search will take advantage of chat gpt functions

00:38:44.040 so it's not a merger or anything like that so you knew that was going to happen right because bing is

00:38:50.680 already doing it i think but this is the this is the big scary part because it suggests the chat gpt will

00:38:58.920 have you know full access to the internet of google and it's still a liar i have no idea what's going to

00:39:05.640 happen but boy is it going to be interesting boy is it going to be interesting or a person is it going

00:39:11.640 to be interesting to make it less sexist and i would like to give you my um my best career advice in the

00:39:21.640 age of ai and also my best well this is also career advice advice number one i was trying to think of

00:39:30.440 things that ai cannot take over completely and i can't think of a lot of examples but here's one

00:39:38.040 it will not be able to own a facility for human exercise like a gym humans will be able to own

00:39:46.840 property i don't think ai will be able to own property for a long time so if you wanted a business

00:39:53.240 i would own a piece of property could be a gym could be a sports field could be an entertainment

00:40:00.040 venue of some kind but something where a human can go to be entertained or to do sports because the

00:40:08.520 ownership of an asset i think might be protected for a while and an asset where people can go and use

00:40:14.520 their bodies and get entertainment so that's my first advice um the second advice is and this is what 0.99

00:40:23.800 i'm going to do this weekend i've been putting it off i this is this is the strongest advice i can give

00:40:30.520 you unless you're retired and even if you're retired i'd do it anyway it goes like this you need to take at

00:40:39.240 least two days off from everything your job your family your personal life and you need to figure

00:40:47.800 out what's going on with ai and you need to find the ai applications or about 150 new ones a month

00:40:54.600 you need to find the ones that are relevant to your life and to your job if you have a job and you

00:41:00.200 really need to sign up for them and you really need to use them this is exactly like the dawn of the

00:41:06.200 computer age remember when people said ah i don't need to learn how to use a computer i'm already old

00:41:14.120 i'm already 65 i don't need to use a computer but then when you're 80 you needed to use a computer

00:41:21.560 and don't you wish you knew how to use one if you don't stop what you're doing and i really mean just

00:41:28.120 take time off from work you need to walk away from everything and just do the deepest dive you can

00:41:34.680 to figure out what's coming and you need to refresh that every few days you need to and if you say to

00:41:41.640 yourself that's a great idea i've got a vacation coming up in three weeks no you're not listening

00:41:49.560 you need to do it closer to today something like today would be good like i don't think any of us have

00:41:58.520 a good idea of how fast this is moving unless you're right in the middle of it no you have to do it today

00:42:05.800 three weeks from now is the end of the it's the end of the earth i mean

00:42:11.320 three weeks your whole job could be gone you might need to find a new job in three weeks

00:42:17.720 you want to give it you want an example there's now an ai that will take your book and turn it into

00:42:24.840 an audio book and it's perfect you just got to feed it the text takes about an hour and you're done

00:42:35.880 the entire business model of audio books and people who are professional readers of audio books

00:42:43.400 it's already gone it's gone it'll never come back now at the moment the big publishers are still

00:42:53.720 hiring humans to do it but every one of them is looking at the ai option they're all looking at it

00:43:01.000 and it's one year away from it would make no sense whatsoever to hire a human the human part is

00:43:07.720 excruciating it takes days of recording and then days more of another human looking at all the edits

00:43:14.440 and fixing and getting the good one it's just a mess versus you just feed your book into the machine and

00:43:23.240 it comes out as a perfect audio book there's no i mean you can't even compete with that so that entire

00:43:31.640 industry just disappeared what about editors they're still human editors but the need for them is

00:43:41.720 really getting small all right so here's what might be a business for a while until ai takes i suppose

00:43:52.120 in the finance world there are a zillion types of finance things you could buy but all you really

00:43:59.240 need to do is get you know an index fund of stocks fortune 500 you'd be fine you wouldn't need any

00:44:07.320 advice just open a schwab account or some account put your money in an index fund if you're not going

00:44:13.320 to use it for five years and that's all you need but how many people do that even though i told you

00:44:19.800 exactly how to everything you needed that was everything you needed to invest i just told you

00:44:26.120 everything you need to know but there's an enormous financial advice industry why is that why is there

00:44:34.920 an enormous financial advice industry when i just told you everything you need to know put your money

00:44:41.960 in an index fund fortune 500 index fund that's it the reason is that people don't trust that advice

00:44:48.840 because they don't you would have to know as much as i know to know that that's all you needed to know

00:44:53.800 so if you said to yourself i don't need any expert to tell me how to use ai i'll go use ai myself

00:45:03.640 and five minutes in you realize that there are thousands of ais that you could possibly use

00:45:09.320 and none of the ais will tell you which one to use so you're like well this is just as hard as if

00:45:15.560 there was no ai because instead of ai making something simple there were so many ais doing 1.00

00:45:23.320 slightly different things with different pricing and from different places that you would need a human

00:45:30.520 to tell you which ai to use and probably that will never change confusopoly exactly the confusopolis will

00:45:40.200 pop up so that one ai will not dominate right one ai will say i'll use my industry audiobook one of them

00:45:48.760 is going to say yes we'll make your audiobook but you have to record using our software to make your own

00:45:57.560 you know avatar you have to do this and the pricing is something about the recording but also the pricing is

00:46:03.880 something about the usage and then somebody else will say we do that too except it'll be free to

00:46:10.120 record your avatar and then the usage will depend on different factors different levels and what kind

00:46:16.280 of job you are and then you'll have two ais just the way you have two cell phone companies and you'll say

00:46:24.280 i'm looking at all the minutes this one has i can share these minutes with my family

00:46:29.480 but then this one has rollover minutes i can't tell which one's better that's called a confusopoly

00:46:37.080 you can't shop because it's too complicated that's what ai is going to be so you're going to use

00:46:43.240 you're going to hire a human to tell you which ai to use for a long time 0.82

00:46:50.520 probably and that human will have to be you know using another ai to search the other ai's

00:46:55.880 to find out who's confusing you and who's lying to you and then there'll be yelp for ai so there'll be

00:47:04.040 not just one ai to make audio books there'll be a thousand

00:47:10.280 it'll be a thousand what do you do when there's a thousand of them how do you know which one is the

00:47:15.480 good one which one is the fake probably a human probably a yelp review so it's really going to be hard

00:47:23.560 to trust ai when it's being made by human weasels and you can spin up a company in five minutes 0.75

00:47:32.360 all right so that is your career advice take the weekend off as i am going to do and study

00:47:40.200 as much as you can i'll tell you the ones i'm going to be looking at for sure just give you a

00:47:46.040 a lay of the land here now your your search would be different depending of course on what things

00:47:52.760 were interesting to you but i'm going to look at deep zen for recording audio books audiobook dot

00:48:01.320 ai or io i can't remember mid journey i'm going to look at mid journey for creating art and of just text

00:48:09.000 uh of course i'm going to sign up for the professional chat gpt version which i haven't

00:48:14.600 done yet there's something called deep fakes you'll look into that where you can make a fake of

00:48:19.320 yourself speech kai it's also for audio books i think something called descript uh something called

00:48:27.800 runway there's a product called runway to make a movie from text you just describe the scene and it makes

00:48:34.840 the movie so these are all important to me because i've got um i've got two fiction books

00:48:42.840 that i could read into i think read it into runway and and make a movie out of it now i need to know

00:48:51.320 how to do that and i need to know how to do that right away

00:48:56.840 right away in a week it'll be a different landscape i mean i have to i have to dig in but i have to stay

00:49:02.840 there i can't i can't just visit and come home i have to i have to immerse myself in ai and live it

00:49:09.640 every day now in order to be in business in order to do just what i do yeah now pretty soon there should

00:49:17.560 be one that gives me makeup and fixes my physical appearance while i live stream yeah god's debris will

00:49:26.040 be the first one i do i'll make an audiobook of god's debris as well as a movie

00:49:34.280 so that's what i'll do so i think what humans will do is we'll own copyrights for a while but they will

00:49:40.760 become useless i think quite quickly because of ai and we can own physical assets which other people

00:49:47.720 might want to rent or use or but other than that it's going to be tough to make a living

00:49:53.240 so can ai give me hair yes ai could put hair on my head although i think it would make me look worse

00:50:04.840 at this point i don't know i'm pretty happy with my bald head which i suppose is good news i i i've

00:50:13.480 seen old pictures of myself with hair and it looks weird it just feels like there shouldn't be like you

00:50:21.080 shouldn't put a sculpture on top of your head that's what it feels like you know mine is just

00:50:26.920 utility like it's grown out a little bit too much but when i when i mow it back it'll just be basically

00:50:32.520 my head but when i see somebody with like a like a newscaster hair i say to myself why would you do that

00:50:41.320 to your head why would you put that newscaster hair on your head because it looks like a sculpture

00:50:46.920 or it looks like you just put a piece of art you wore on your head or like an ashtray it'd be like

00:50:52.680 hey i wear a vase on my head why do you ask it looks pretty except it's a hair vase it just hair just

00:51:01.160 looks wrong on men now sorry that's just my opinion hair on men looks wrong to me now

00:51:09.400 it does i was just looking at uh a young man yesterday and i was looking at his full head of

00:51:18.360 hair and i said to myself i don't know it just looks wrong it just looks wrong and it's i'm not

00:51:24.520 talking about a fashion thing i'm not talking about oh those young people with their weird hair nothing

00:51:30.040 like that has nothing to do with your age or fashion it's just starting to look wrong somebody said bill

00:51:37.080 maher yeah hair just looks wrong to me bill maher is a good example bill maher's hair looks it just

00:51:45.000 looks wrong it looks like he shouldn't have any yeah trump's hair looks the wrongest that anybody's

00:51:53.160 hair ever looked uh why do people with full heads of hair shave their head because it looks better

00:52:02.760 yeah i feel sorry for the people with hair looks like a lot of trouble

00:52:12.360 all right i'm going to say goodbye to the uh people on youtube thanks for joining glad the

00:52:18.680 news was a little bit more interesting than yesterday and i'll see you tomorrow

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 07, 2023

Episode 2071 Scott Adams： Trans News Everywhere, Surviving AI, Electric Cars vs Oil, Diet & IQ

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