Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2078 Scott Adams： Biden Bucket List, AI Laws Coming, Bud Light Prediction, Classified Docs

00:00:00.000 Do-do, do-do, do-do-do.

00:00:04.560 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of civilization.

00:00:09.840 My goodness, what a day you're going to have today.

00:00:12.580 If the rest of your day is as good as the way it's starting right now,

00:00:16.920 oh, it's going to be great.

00:00:21.960 And if you'd like to take your appreciation of the day

00:00:26.220 up to a new level that has never been seen before,

00:00:29.060 all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass,

00:00:32.520 a tankard chalice or stye,

00:00:33.780 a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind,

00:00:36.680 fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:38.740 I like coffee.

00:00:40.140 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure,

00:00:42.160 the dopamine here of the day,

00:00:43.320 the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:46.020 And now it's time for the Wizard of Oz.

00:00:52.580 Ah.

00:00:55.540 I don't think I'll take that joke too much further.

00:00:57.680 I think we've done enough with that one, haven't we?

00:01:00.940 Yeah.

00:01:01.340 That's a simultaneous sip,

00:01:02.660 and it's better than anything that's ever happened to you.

00:01:06.300 Well, I would like to add this to your list of evidence

00:01:11.980 that we live in the simulation.

00:01:13.340 What are the odds that...

00:01:16.500 Do you all know Tom Fitton?

00:01:18.600 You know who he is, right?

00:01:19.880 Tom Fitton.

00:01:22.360 And whenever he's on TV,

00:01:25.060 he's insanely ripped.

00:01:28.300 He just has super big muscles.

00:01:31.260 And he's always wearing a shirt

00:01:33.060 that's made for people his size,

00:01:35.820 but he kind of stretches it out of shape

00:01:37.680 because he's too muscular.

00:01:38.540 And I always thought,

00:01:40.760 what are the odds

00:01:41.660 that Tom Fitton would have shirts

00:01:44.940 that are barely fitting?

00:01:47.660 They're barely fitting.

00:01:49.600 I mean, he tries to wear them,

00:01:51.380 but he's got too much muscles.

00:01:53.240 They're barely fitting.

00:01:55.180 Anyway, I don't know why I wanted to start with that.

00:01:57.460 That's sort of a warm-up,

00:01:58.700 a little appetizer for the news that's coming.

00:02:01.420 It's going to get a little more challenging after this.

00:02:03.320 Well, here's some good news for the world.

00:02:08.720 My book, God's Debris,

00:02:11.120 which, if you're not familiar with it,

00:02:15.140 I'm going to blow your mind here.

00:02:17.760 Watch this.

00:02:18.640 In the comments,

00:02:20.520 how many of you have read the book,

00:02:22.220 God's Debris,

00:02:23.580 more than once?

00:02:25.720 More than once.

00:02:27.480 Just watch the comments.

00:02:30.100 On locals, it's a whole bunch of people.

00:02:31.920 But there should be a bunch over here.

00:02:34.300 Now,

00:02:34.880 I'm always uncomfortable marketing,

00:02:39.140 because marketing involves, you know,

00:02:41.080 hyperbole and exaggeration,

00:02:42.760 and, you know,

00:02:43.780 I don't like to get too far

00:02:44.820 from what's literally true.

00:02:47.500 But I will tell you this is literally true.

00:02:51.880 More people have told me

00:02:53.400 that God's Debris is the best book

00:02:55.380 they've ever read,

00:02:56.380 of all books in the world,

00:02:59.460 than anything I've ever heard.

00:03:01.000 In fact,

00:03:01.980 I don't think I've ever heard

00:03:02.880 anybody else

00:03:03.840 call any other book

00:03:05.840 the best book they've ever read.

00:03:09.140 It's just sort of a thing

00:03:10.240 people don't say.

00:03:12.480 But over on locals,

00:03:13.440 a lot of people have read it,

00:03:14.320 and I can see in the comments

00:03:15.560 that they're agreeing.

00:03:18.640 So,

00:03:19.500 I put it for free

00:03:22.040 on the local site.

00:03:23.760 So if you're a local subscriber,

00:03:25.900 God's Debris is now

00:03:27.060 in text form

00:03:28.140 for you for free

00:03:30.180 for the cost of being a member.

00:03:32.900 So if you were thinking of

00:03:34.440 either reading the book

00:03:35.980 or trying out

00:03:37.100 the local subscription site,

00:03:40.380 you can get a free book now.

00:03:42.840 So you could try it for a month.

00:03:45.040 Cost of a month

00:03:45.960 is about the cost of a book.

00:03:47.280 And I'm also going to add

00:03:48.800 the sequel Religion War

00:03:50.980 in the coming weeks.

00:03:53.000 And I'll also add

00:03:54.460 both of them

00:03:55.260 as audio books.

00:03:56.780 So that will all be available

00:03:58.400 just within locals.

00:04:00.200 Now,

00:04:00.700 do you understand

00:04:01.320 how big a deal this is?

00:04:02.940 Not for me specifically.

00:04:05.400 But do you understand

00:04:06.200 that locals

00:04:06.860 allows me as an author

00:04:08.680 to completely bypass publishing?

00:04:12.400 Completely bypass it.

00:04:13.560 And then with the help of AI,

00:04:16.640 I'll create an audio book

00:04:18.360 using a digital voice

00:04:20.560 with no time in the studio.

00:04:23.800 No time in the studio.

00:04:25.340 I'll just put the text in.

00:04:27.360 I have to break it

00:04:28.340 into chapters, I guess,

00:04:29.540 because it won't handle

00:04:30.480 all of it at once.

00:04:32.120 But it turns out

00:04:34.780 I got cancelled

00:04:35.700 from worldwide publishing

00:04:38.640 at exactly the time

00:04:40.400 that publishing itself

00:04:41.880 was cancelled.

00:04:43.560 Do you know

00:04:44.480 how big of a coincidence

00:04:45.520 that is?

00:04:47.040 I mean,

00:04:47.360 this has got to be why

00:04:48.720 we live in a simulation.

00:04:51.580 After 100,000 years

00:04:53.360 of human history,

00:04:54.820 the very exact time

00:04:56.780 that I get cancelled

00:04:58.640 from all publishing forms

00:05:00.380 is exactly the same time

00:05:02.660 that I don't need

00:05:04.560 any publishing.

00:05:06.000 What are the odds of that?

00:05:07.940 I mean, really?

00:05:09.380 Is that a coincidence?

00:05:11.040 That's just too weird.

00:05:12.000 Maybe I caused it.

00:05:14.080 I don't know.

00:05:14.880 By my own actions.

00:05:16.920 Well, here's good news

00:05:18.460 for banks.

00:05:19.740 JPMorgan Chase

00:05:20.700 just had a blowout

00:05:21.900 first quarter record profits.

00:05:24.600 Just incredible profits.

00:05:26.380 Now, there's probably

00:05:27.220 something temporary

00:05:27.960 about that.

00:05:29.460 But,

00:05:30.600 do you remember

00:05:31.820 my economic advice

00:05:33.160 for where to put your money?

00:05:34.160 Don't put your money

00:05:37.260 in the 19th largest bank.

00:05:40.320 The number one bank

00:05:41.560 in the United States

00:05:42.300 is doing great.

00:05:44.120 Now,

00:05:44.360 even Jamie Dimon says,

00:05:45.800 you know,

00:05:46.040 the storm clouds

00:05:47.500 are not completely gone.

00:05:49.280 There's still risk

00:05:50.320 for the banking industry.

00:05:51.960 But,

00:05:52.560 it would be crazy

00:05:53.780 to have your money

00:05:55.120 anywhere but

00:05:55.940 top three.

00:05:58.260 Right?

00:05:58.820 Top three is where

00:05:59.820 you want to be.

00:06:00.280 Because if JPMorgan Chase

00:06:02.260 ever goes out of business,

00:06:04.120 the country goes out of business.

00:06:07.320 Right?

00:06:07.600 Do you get that?

00:06:08.840 There's no scenario

00:06:10.020 in which JPMorgan can fail

00:06:11.860 and the rest of the country

00:06:13.500 goes on fine.

00:06:15.540 It's just too big.

00:06:17.940 There's no way

00:06:18.880 that JPMorgan can fail

00:06:20.560 without the country

00:06:21.600 being failing

00:06:22.260 at the same time.

00:06:23.820 So,

00:06:25.340 I don't give

00:06:26.420 financial advice,

00:06:27.500 so don't take

00:06:28.080 my financial advice.

00:06:29.100 But it's just

00:06:30.240 a statement of fact

00:06:31.300 that if you

00:06:33.020 are betting

00:06:33.500 on the whole country,

00:06:34.960 there are some

00:06:36.000 entities that are

00:06:36.940 so associated

00:06:37.760 with the whole country

00:06:38.740 that it's almost

00:06:39.640 like the same thing.

00:06:42.220 All right.

00:06:43.240 So,

00:06:43.620 that's good news.

00:06:45.360 Isn't it weird

00:06:46.280 that this week

00:06:47.060 we saw inflation

00:06:48.320 go down,

00:06:49.480 or at least

00:06:49.940 the future inflation

00:06:51.080 starting to trend down,

00:06:52.820 and the big

00:06:53.760 banking disaster

00:06:55.580 that we feared

00:06:57.000 for a little while

00:06:57.740 appears to be gone?

00:06:59.960 Am I right?

00:07:01.640 The banking risk

00:07:03.860 appears to have passed.

00:07:05.700 Now,

00:07:06.220 I would like to

00:07:07.040 remind you

00:07:08.520 that I told you

00:07:10.020 the banking problem

00:07:10.920 would pass.

00:07:13.360 I'm just going to

00:07:14.240 add that to my record.

00:07:16.180 Right?

00:07:16.940 Did I not?

00:07:17.840 Did I not tell you

00:07:18.720 that the banking problem

00:07:19.880 would get past it?

00:07:20.880 Yeah,

00:07:22.940 I'm sure I did.

00:07:24.360 So,

00:07:24.840 when you're looking

00:07:26.100 at who's making

00:07:26.920 predictions that work out,

00:07:28.900 add that one to my

00:07:29.880 yes column.

00:07:31.940 I was never

00:07:32.780 too worried about that

00:07:34.060 becoming,

00:07:34.680 you know,

00:07:35.460 the big thing.

00:07:36.760 You could argue

00:07:37.740 it was an easy prediction

00:07:38.720 because it was binary.

00:07:40.260 It was either

00:07:40.640 yes or no.

00:07:42.620 And,

00:07:43.160 and the,

00:07:43.520 the smarter bet

00:07:44.340 was that we'd

00:07:44.960 figure it out.

00:07:45.520 All right.

00:07:47.720 Biden,

00:07:48.600 Biden's still in,

00:07:49.800 in Ireland,

00:07:51.620 right?

00:07:52.460 Joe Biden.

00:07:54.140 And we'll talk about

00:07:55.000 his embarrassing

00:07:55.960 little encounter

00:07:56.800 with a child

00:07:57.740 asking him a question.

00:07:59.300 But,

00:07:59.900 how are we

00:08:01.760 ignoring

00:08:02.260 the following

00:08:03.120 observation?

00:08:05.500 You know this trick

00:08:06.800 is a bucket list trip,

00:08:08.060 right?

00:08:09.420 The trip to Ireland

00:08:10.680 has nothing to do

00:08:11.660 with the United States.

00:08:13.460 And it's not

00:08:14.320 exactly just a vacation.

00:08:17.020 It's a bucket list.

00:08:18.680 He is literally

00:08:19.400 planning to be dead.

00:08:21.660 And I'm not joking

00:08:22.500 about that.

00:08:24.220 Biden going to Ireland

00:08:25.780 is Biden planning

00:08:27.520 for his own death.

00:08:29.400 That's why you go.

00:08:30.860 To see,

00:08:31.480 you know,

00:08:31.740 see your family

00:08:32.820 that you haven't seen

00:08:33.700 and connect

00:08:34.860 with your roots.

00:08:36.660 It's a bucket list thing.

00:08:39.000 The president

00:08:39.960 of the United States

00:08:40.860 is not planning

00:08:41.720 for the success

00:08:42.620 of the United States.

00:08:43.600 he's planning

00:08:44.720 his own funeral.

00:08:47.800 And we're okay

00:08:48.700 with that.

00:08:50.440 There's something

00:08:51.180 that my mother

00:08:51.960 used to say

00:08:52.600 that is probably

00:08:54.340 the most useful

00:08:55.640 understanding

00:08:56.400 of psychology.

00:08:58.300 If you could only

00:08:59.060 understand one thing

00:09:00.140 about human psychology,

00:09:01.660 it's this.

00:09:03.040 If you do something

00:09:04.180 long enough,

00:09:04.780 people get used to it.

00:09:06.280 Because people

00:09:07.000 get used to anything.

00:09:07.820 no matter

00:09:09.060 how bad it is,

00:09:10.740 they just get used

00:09:11.920 to it.

00:09:12.720 It's sort of

00:09:13.160 how we're designed.

00:09:14.680 And somehow,

00:09:16.040 you know,

00:09:16.340 we got this president,

00:09:17.840 Biden,

00:09:18.780 who looked like

00:09:20.000 he had maybe

00:09:20.580 some cognitive

00:09:21.480 hiccups.

00:09:23.420 And we were like,

00:09:24.600 all right,

00:09:25.880 well,

00:09:26.500 as long as he's got

00:09:27.600 good advisors

00:09:28.480 and, you know,

00:09:29.840 there is a system

00:09:30.640 to replace him

00:09:31.700 with a vice president

00:09:32.800 and we'll all

00:09:34.180 be watching.

00:09:36.300 We were kind of like,

00:09:37.600 all right,

00:09:38.180 we'll try this,

00:09:39.560 I guess.

00:09:41.040 And then he just

00:09:42.040 kept declining.

00:09:44.340 And we're watching

00:09:45.340 him now in Ireland.

00:09:46.540 He couldn't even

00:09:47.140 answer a question

00:09:47.900 about the steps

00:09:48.700 for success.

00:09:50.120 When a child

00:09:51.000 asked him,

00:09:51.520 what are the steps

00:09:52.100 for success?

00:09:54.040 Biden,

00:09:54.720 who,

00:09:56.220 nobody's pointed

00:09:56.960 this out yet,

00:09:58.500 but Joe Biden

00:09:59.460 has never been

00:10:00.200 successful

00:10:00.800 where steps

00:10:01.560 were involved.

00:10:03.460 Boom!

00:10:04.720 First one.

00:10:06.160 First one.

00:10:08.120 Nobody beat me

00:10:08.880 to that.

00:10:10.180 I waited a full day.

00:10:13.160 I waited one full day

00:10:14.500 and nobody beat me

00:10:15.540 to that.

00:10:16.500 Yeah,

00:10:16.780 Joe Biden

00:10:17.320 is not good

00:10:18.040 on steps.

00:10:19.500 All right,

00:10:20.100 all right.

00:10:20.960 That's professional

00:10:22.020 grade humor there.

00:10:24.640 Amateurs,

00:10:25.300 you can't do that.

00:10:26.720 No,

00:10:26.960 you need years

00:10:27.800 of experience

00:10:28.380 to pull together

00:10:29.280 that kind of a joke.

00:10:31.300 Joe Biden,

00:10:31.740 he's not good

00:10:32.260 with steps.

00:10:32.800 All right,

00:10:34.980 enough of patting

00:10:36.100 myself on the back.

00:10:37.420 I can do that later

00:10:38.660 after the live stream.

00:10:42.280 Actually,

00:10:42.920 I didn't think

00:10:43.780 of that joke

00:10:44.260 until just the moment

00:10:45.120 I said it.

00:10:46.160 So I am actually

00:10:47.240 congratulating myself

00:10:48.340 because I was thinking,

00:10:49.460 oh,

00:10:49.800 that was pretty good

00:10:50.380 spontaneously.

00:10:52.900 So enough about me.

00:10:54.060 So as the story goes,

00:10:58.140 Hunter was there

00:10:58.880 and Hunter was helping

00:11:00.520 his father

00:11:01.060 and he says,

00:11:02.660 no,

00:11:02.840 the question is,

00:11:03.660 you know,

00:11:04.140 what do you need

00:11:05.860 for success?

00:11:06.540 He just rewards it

00:11:07.340 differently.

00:11:07.620 And then Biden

00:11:09.040 answering,

00:11:10.220 what do you need

00:11:11.820 for success?

00:11:14.700 His first answer

00:11:15.820 was,

00:11:16.440 what are the steps

00:11:17.200 to success?

00:11:18.660 And Biden said,

00:11:19.500 make sure everybody

00:11:20.200 doesn't get COVID,

00:11:21.720 which first of all

00:11:22.860 was last year's problem.

00:11:25.520 It's not today's problem.

00:11:28.300 And secondly,

00:11:29.160 he wasn't really responsive

00:11:30.180 to the question.

00:11:30.820 So then he takes

00:11:33.560 a second cut at it

00:11:34.560 after Hunter

00:11:35.160 clarifies the question

00:11:36.200 for him.

00:11:37.400 And he says that

00:11:38.300 the secret to success

00:11:40.460 is when you disagree

00:11:42.480 with somebody,

00:11:44.080 don't make it personal,

00:11:47.540 basically.

00:11:48.940 And I thought to myself,

00:11:50.260 what is he doing

00:11:52.020 to Ireland?

00:11:55.060 Is he giving Ireland

00:11:56.220 bad advice

00:11:57.040 just to keep them

00:11:58.900 away from being

00:12:00.080 a superpower?

00:12:00.820 someday or something?

00:12:03.540 If you had to pick

00:12:04.620 one thing,

00:12:06.640 is that the one thing

00:12:07.820 for success?

00:12:10.680 I feel like,

00:12:11.780 I feel like I would have

00:12:12.820 listed several things

00:12:13.900 before that.

00:12:15.400 Stay out of jail.

00:12:17.540 Stay out of jail.

00:12:19.180 Marry well.

00:12:21.160 Make a good mate.

00:12:22.660 Build a talent stack.

00:12:25.080 Have systems,

00:12:26.060 not goals.

00:12:27.400 I feel like

00:12:28.240 the president

00:12:29.720 of the United States

00:12:30.620 doesn't understand

00:12:32.100 anything about

00:12:32.840 how success works

00:12:33.920 except in his

00:12:35.160 limited political

00:12:36.140 vein there.

00:12:38.380 So he's on his,

00:12:40.140 I'll call this

00:12:40.740 the dirt nap tour.

00:12:43.060 The dirt nap

00:12:44.080 is my father's

00:12:45.660 clever name for death

00:12:46.880 when you take

00:12:48.260 the dirt nap.

00:12:49.520 So Biden's on his

00:12:50.680 dirt nap bucket list

00:12:52.040 tour.

00:12:53.560 Going great.

00:12:54.700 All right.

00:12:55.800 Because you don't

00:12:56.720 have time to do this

00:12:57.820 and I've decided

00:12:59.260 to wade into

00:13:00.120 some of the AI

00:13:01.640 apps to see

00:13:02.720 what's what,

00:13:04.340 here are some

00:13:05.300 updates.

00:13:06.260 Number one,

00:13:07.440 you may have noticed

00:13:08.220 that I've been using

00:13:09.060 art from Midjourney

00:13:10.480 to advertise

00:13:12.860 the live streams.

00:13:14.580 And so they're

00:13:15.320 really interesting

00:13:16.020 comic-like versions

00:13:17.200 of me that's

00:13:18.680 better than a

00:13:19.240 picture of me.

00:13:19.700 So I went back

00:13:22.140 to use it a second

00:13:22.900 time this morning

00:13:24.540 to make some more

00:13:25.440 pictures I can use

00:13:26.240 next time.

00:13:27.000 Couldn't figure out

00:13:27.700 how to use it.

00:13:29.200 Could not figure out

00:13:30.120 how to use it.

00:13:32.040 And yesterday

00:13:33.000 when I tried to use

00:13:33.900 it, because the

00:13:34.740 interface depends

00:13:35.640 on the Discord

00:13:37.400 site, so you

00:13:38.820 basically text to

00:13:40.220 it like you were

00:13:41.520 texting a person.

00:13:43.660 That's their

00:13:44.080 interface.

00:13:45.360 And you have to

00:13:46.000 know which of the

00:13:48.420 categories to have

00:13:49.400 chosen that you

00:13:50.240 can text to,

00:13:51.480 because if you

00:13:51.880 don't do that

00:13:52.380 right, it won't

00:13:53.480 work.

00:13:54.380 And then you text

00:13:55.280 it into the ether

00:13:56.080 and then you sit

00:13:56.800 there and wait.

00:13:58.600 And you don't know

00:13:59.500 how long you'll

00:14:00.100 wait, no way to

00:14:01.620 know, while you see

00:14:03.040 other people's

00:14:03.960 requests go by

00:14:04.940 satisfied.

00:14:07.200 And then I say

00:14:08.060 to myself, is

00:14:10.180 there any way to

00:14:10.900 know that it did

00:14:11.680 my request and

00:14:13.060 then stored it

00:14:13.800 somewhere?

00:14:14.820 Or do I literally

00:14:15.620 have to sit in

00:14:16.300 front of it without

00:14:17.460 knowing how long

00:14:18.340 I'll sit there,

00:14:18.980 until I see mine

00:14:20.180 go by?

00:14:20.780 Because that's the

00:14:21.260 way I did it the

00:14:21.800 first time.

00:14:23.180 So today I tried to

00:14:24.380 figure out, did it

00:14:25.580 store it somewhere?

00:14:27.440 And I just don't

00:14:28.320 know.

00:14:29.060 And I couldn't

00:14:29.520 figure out where.

00:14:30.740 And then I thought,

00:14:31.720 well, maybe I'll make

00:14:32.580 another one.

00:14:33.100 And I couldn't figure

00:14:33.920 out how.

00:14:35.000 Because apparently now

00:14:36.040 there's a special

00:14:37.400 little dash dash

00:14:38.780 V5 or something you

00:14:40.700 put after it.

00:14:41.880 But also there are a

00:14:42.760 whole bunch of other

00:14:43.380 dash dash codes you

00:14:44.600 can put after it to

00:14:45.960 make it do different

00:14:46.720 things or better

00:14:47.380 things.

00:14:49.260 Let me tell you,

00:14:50.760 mid-journey is

00:14:51.380 unusable.

00:14:52.920 It's basically

00:14:53.940 unusable for an

00:14:55.100 average person.

00:14:57.300 That's AI.

00:14:58.540 So, so far, AI is

00:15:00.100 a complete oversell.

00:15:04.240 Everything that you

00:15:05.160 do with AI make you

00:15:06.220 work harder, not

00:15:07.240 less.

00:15:08.400 But very much like

00:15:09.740 technology, when

00:15:10.860 technology and

00:15:11.620 computers were first

00:15:12.540 coming, the computers

00:15:14.040 didn't make you work

00:15:14.900 less, you worked

00:15:17.040 harder.

00:15:17.780 You could just do

00:15:18.880 more different things.

00:15:20.660 So AI is basically

00:15:21.800 like a personal

00:15:22.660 computer.

00:15:23.660 It's going to make

00:15:24.260 you work harder.

00:15:25.480 You will have to do

00:15:26.240 a lot of work to

00:15:27.580 make it do anything.

00:15:28.980 I'll give you another

00:15:29.600 example of that.

00:15:31.900 And the interface

00:15:32.860 will be terrible and

00:15:33.760 you might not be able

00:15:34.540 to use it twice.

00:15:36.040 So literally, I

00:15:37.500 don't know, am I

00:15:38.060 going to go to

00:15:39.040 Google and have to

00:15:40.400 research how to use

00:15:41.600 the interface of

00:15:42.340 something I've

00:15:42.860 already used once?

00:15:43.620 Just think about

00:15:45.060 that.

00:15:45.760 I've already

00:15:46.500 successfully used it

00:15:47.940 once and just in the

00:15:50.280 time it took me a few

00:15:51.340 days to get back to

00:15:52.240 it, it's unusable

00:15:53.460 because I don't know

00:15:56.180 what those codes are

00:15:57.120 and I forgot where

00:15:57.840 I put them.

00:15:59.520 And I'd have to

00:16:01.620 Google the interface

00:16:02.640 and find out where

00:16:03.960 do they hide things.

00:16:05.560 You know, I have to

00:16:06.040 like debug it.

00:16:07.340 It's just like

00:16:08.080 hacking.

00:16:09.500 Every program I use

00:16:10.980 now, it's like I have

00:16:13.000 to hack into it and

00:16:14.560 I have to research it,

00:16:15.680 how to use the

00:16:16.200 interface.

00:16:17.220 Like there's nothing

00:16:17.860 you can just turn on

00:16:18.720 and use anymore.

00:16:20.200 Those days seem to be

00:16:21.320 over.

00:16:22.680 All right.

00:16:24.420 Then also, I told you

00:16:26.160 I was going to use

00:16:26.840 Synthesia.io to create

00:16:30.140 an avatar of myself to

00:16:32.800 do audiobooks of my

00:16:35.420 existing books.

00:16:36.220 Now, here's what I

00:16:39.240 learned.

00:16:40.480 The entire reason I

00:16:42.020 wanted to use AI to

00:16:44.900 do the audiobook is to

00:16:47.100 keep me from spending

00:16:48.200 days in the studio

00:16:49.420 recording it myself.

00:16:52.320 All right.

00:16:52.520 So the entire objective

00:16:53.580 is for me not to spend

00:16:56.280 days in the studio.

00:16:57.720 That's it.

00:16:58.500 That's all I'm trying to

00:16:59.460 do.

00:16:59.960 Because I realized that

00:17:01.180 the AI voice might not

00:17:03.660 be as interesting as mine,

00:17:04.880 as the author.

00:17:07.000 It's the only thing I

00:17:08.260 wanted.

00:17:09.040 So I started doing this

00:17:10.220 with Synthesia.io and

00:17:12.680 the first thing it tells

00:17:13.600 me is, you know, to get

00:17:17.120 the lighting right so we

00:17:18.360 can get your avatar

00:17:19.260 photographed correctly,

00:17:21.620 probably want a studio.

00:17:24.480 Yeah.

00:17:25.200 In order to build the AI

00:17:26.940 that looks like me, I

00:17:28.680 would have to spend

00:17:29.440 either days on my own,

00:17:31.640 days.

00:17:32.140 I'd probably have to buy

00:17:33.540 new lights, you know,

00:17:35.200 so I have enough.

00:17:36.100 I'd probably have to

00:17:37.000 paint a wall so that

00:17:38.920 I'd have a white

00:17:39.640 background behind me.

00:17:41.020 So I'd have to have

00:17:41.840 the wall lit and I

00:17:43.800 don't have any blank

00:17:44.560 walls.

00:17:45.520 How many of you have a

00:17:46.620 blank wall somewhere

00:17:47.740 that you could stand in

00:17:50.180 front of and it would

00:17:50.940 all be blank behind it

00:17:52.160 like white?

00:17:52.960 Do you?

00:17:53.300 Some of you do.

00:17:54.220 I don't have any blank

00:17:55.220 walls.

00:17:56.120 There's always a window

00:17:57.040 or some damn thing on

00:17:58.420 the wall.

00:17:58.700 So I would have to

00:18:00.600 paint my house,

00:18:03.100 change a wall.

00:18:04.960 I had to get a haircut.

00:18:06.740 I had to shave.

00:18:08.200 I had to make sure that

00:18:09.240 I wasn't high because I

00:18:10.420 didn't want to look high

00:18:11.140 forever on my avatar.

00:18:13.260 But, you know, that was

00:18:15.280 more of a struggle for me

00:18:16.320 schedule-wise than you'd

00:18:17.500 think.

00:18:18.460 Then I had to build a

00:18:20.220 whole environment like a

00:18:21.660 laboratory.

00:18:22.580 Then I would have to

00:18:23.520 like light it and it

00:18:24.900 would probably take me

00:18:25.540 days to get a lit.

00:18:27.240 Then I'd have to work a

00:18:29.120 deal with Synthesia.io

00:18:30.800 because you have to make

00:18:32.540 a special deal.

00:18:33.420 It's not just click the

00:18:34.680 app.

00:18:37.060 Then when I'm done and

00:18:38.860 I've recorded it just the

00:18:40.100 way they want, I will

00:18:41.540 send it to them and it

00:18:43.420 might work.

00:18:45.460 It might.

00:18:47.340 But there's no guarantee.

00:18:49.540 In other words, when I say

00:18:50.760 it might work, you'll

00:18:51.580 definitely get back your

00:18:53.700 avatar, but it might not

00:18:55.600 be what you wanted.

00:18:57.240 And you're done.

00:18:59.100 And you're done.

00:19:00.580 That's it.

00:19:02.180 So the process is not

00:19:04.620 easy.

00:19:05.920 And I'm starting to

00:19:07.220 develop a theory that

00:19:09.660 AI will make you work

00:19:11.100 harder.

00:19:13.360 Same as computers did.

00:19:15.400 Computers did not reduce

00:19:16.720 your time in the office,

00:19:18.100 they'd increased it.

00:19:19.220 Because it took it home

00:19:20.280 with you and it took it

00:19:21.160 on the weekend with you.

00:19:22.440 AI is going to make

00:19:23.620 people work harder.

00:19:25.340 Unfortunately.

00:19:26.280 Because it's made by

00:19:27.280 people.

00:19:28.860 Initially.

00:19:30.900 Certainly there will be

00:19:32.060 things you do faster,

00:19:33.580 but it won't make you

00:19:34.560 work less.

00:19:35.960 Just like computers.

00:19:37.120 That's where I'm going

00:19:38.000 with this.

00:19:38.960 You'll be able to do

00:19:40.160 things you couldn't do,

00:19:41.860 but not easier.

00:19:43.120 Let me talk about

00:19:49.480 human intelligence and

00:19:50.720 then I'm going to

00:19:51.200 dovetail back into AI

00:19:52.460 so you can predict

00:19:53.800 where it's all going.

00:19:55.140 Here's a real thing

00:19:56.140 that happened.

00:19:57.360 On January 1st,

00:19:58.620 Washington Post is

00:19:59.460 reporting this,

00:20:00.700 there was a new law

00:20:01.620 that went into effect

00:20:02.620 in America that if

00:20:03.880 you had a food

00:20:04.960 processing factory and

00:20:07.140 one of your machines

00:20:08.220 handled sesame,

00:20:09.340 it had to be

00:20:11.760 thoroughly cleaned

00:20:12.800 before you used

00:20:14.160 the machine for

00:20:14.760 anything else.

00:20:15.660 And the reason is

00:20:16.320 that sesame is one

00:20:17.820 of those things that

00:20:18.580 a lot of people are

00:20:19.520 allergic to.

00:20:20.440 I didn't know that,

00:20:21.220 did you?

00:20:21.840 I didn't know sesame

00:20:22.920 was something people

00:20:23.700 were allergic to.

00:20:24.880 So what do you think

00:20:25.820 happened?

00:20:27.160 What do you think

00:20:27.780 happened when there

00:20:29.140 were big potential

00:20:30.520 legal problems if

00:20:31.940 you didn't clean

00:20:32.520 your machine right

00:20:33.360 and it was a factory

00:20:37.300 where they would

00:20:37.940 definitely be making

00:20:38.740 more than one thing

00:20:39.540 on that machine?

00:20:41.860 Do you think that

00:20:42.400 somebody says they

00:20:43.240 stopped making

00:20:45.580 sesame?

00:20:46.180 No.

00:20:47.180 Nope.

00:20:48.180 It's much, much

00:20:49.380 worse than that.

00:20:51.080 Here's what a number

00:20:52.140 of the food people

00:20:53.060 did.

00:20:54.060 They added sesame

00:20:55.220 to everything they

00:20:56.220 make.

00:20:58.060 Because if everything

00:21:00.740 you make has sesame

00:21:01.840 in it, you don't

00:21:04.180 need to clean the

00:21:05.140 machine between uses.

00:21:08.540 Just let that set in.

00:21:10.740 That's what the real

00:21:11.740 free market did.

00:21:13.300 Because it was legal.

00:21:14.920 It was completely

00:21:15.700 legal.

00:21:16.600 There's nothing wrong

00:21:17.600 with having sesame

00:21:18.400 in your product,

00:21:20.060 but if you don't have

00:21:20.940 it in all of your

00:21:21.580 products that are on

00:21:22.360 that machine, then

00:21:24.440 you have to do

00:21:25.020 something that your

00:21:25.940 lawyer probably says

00:21:27.080 you can't even do,

00:21:28.460 which is clean it

00:21:29.420 sufficiently that

00:21:30.340 somebody won't later

00:21:31.480 sue you.

00:21:33.140 If I owned the

00:21:34.020 food company, that's

00:21:34.780 what I would have

00:21:35.300 done.

00:21:36.300 Because I would say

00:21:37.020 I'm not going to

00:21:37.540 take a legal risk.

00:21:38.920 I'll just add sesame

00:21:39.840 to everything.

00:21:41.640 Now, they don't have

00:21:42.420 to add much, so you

00:21:44.540 can't even taste it.

00:21:47.720 Thanks, Shane.

00:21:48.820 I appreciate that.

00:21:50.660 So, get two machines?

00:21:52.020 Well, getting two

00:21:52.660 machines is more

00:21:53.320 expensive.

00:21:54.640 Adding a little

00:21:55.260 trace of sesame,

00:21:57.620 immediate solution.

00:21:58.440 All right, so keep

00:22:00.520 that in mind as a

00:22:03.120 limit of human

00:22:04.060 intelligence.

00:22:05.480 There were probably

00:22:06.140 a lot of smart

00:22:06.900 people involved in

00:22:07.760 making that law,

00:22:08.980 and they didn't see

00:22:10.480 that coming.

00:22:12.800 So, maybe they could

00:22:14.000 have been a little

00:22:14.380 smarter about that.

00:22:15.680 All right, so that's

00:22:16.220 human intelligence.

00:22:17.980 Just put a little

00:22:18.680 pin in that.

00:22:20.480 All right, think about

00:22:21.260 that a little bit

00:22:22.220 later.

00:22:22.480 Speaking of

00:22:25.900 intelligence, Chuck

00:22:27.200 Schumer says the

00:22:28.800 Congress is going to

00:22:29.500 start working on AI

00:22:31.060 regulations and AI

00:22:32.420 laws, and what's your

00:22:34.620 first impression of

00:22:35.800 that?

00:22:36.960 What do you think of

00:22:38.040 Congress making laws

00:22:40.660 to suppress AI or to

00:22:43.740 limit what it can and

00:22:44.760 cannot do?

00:22:49.160 It's great and

00:22:50.720 terrible in equal

00:22:52.040 measures, isn't it?

00:22:53.440 It's terrible because

00:22:55.180 it's the government

00:22:55.860 putting its foot on

00:22:56.860 the free market, and

00:22:58.140 you know that's not

00:22:58.920 going to be good.

00:23:00.400 But it also might be

00:23:01.740 the only thing that

00:23:02.420 keeps us alive.

00:23:05.220 I don't know how you

00:23:06.220 can tell the

00:23:06.640 difference at this

00:23:07.300 point.

00:23:08.200 It might be the only

00:23:09.220 thing that protects

00:23:09.960 us is some laws,

00:23:11.540 maybe, but it might

00:23:13.620 be also destroying the

00:23:15.040 entire industry.

00:23:18.000 We're in really

00:23:18.940 dicey times now.

00:23:20.240 I mean, normally you

00:23:21.560 can make a better

00:23:22.880 guess about where

00:23:23.880 things are going.

00:23:24.780 I don't think you can

00:23:25.700 guess.

00:23:26.660 I think this is

00:23:27.440 completely unpredictable.

00:23:29.820 But let me ask you,

00:23:31.620 what's going to happen

00:23:32.380 if there are laws?

00:23:35.580 Do you think those

00:23:36.660 laws would require that

00:23:39.460 the AI be a Democrat?

00:23:40.940 I do.

00:23:44.400 Because the national

00:23:46.160 narrative as it stands

00:23:47.600 is that the

00:23:48.940 Republican view of the

00:23:50.700 world, I'm sorry,

00:23:51.780 that the Democrat view

00:23:52.980 of the world is what I'd

00:23:53.940 call the standard good

00:23:55.160 one, and the Republican

00:23:57.220 view are these crazy

00:23:58.600 people.

00:24:00.300 Now, Fox News would say

00:24:02.060 it's the other way

00:24:02.800 around.

00:24:03.820 The crazy people are the

00:24:04.880 left.

00:24:05.500 But the left own the

00:24:07.600 narrative at this point,

00:24:08.800 wouldn't you say?

00:24:09.440 Wouldn't you say the

00:24:11.240 dominant narrative of

00:24:12.540 how everything should

00:24:13.560 be, the proper way

00:24:15.500 that society should be

00:24:16.820 organized, is probably

00:24:18.680 60-40 left-leaning?

00:24:23.220 Do you think that any

00:24:24.680 laws that Congress

00:24:25.740 makes are going to be

00:24:27.400 neutral in terms of

00:24:28.900 human preferences?

00:24:31.140 How could they be?

00:24:32.800 How is that even

00:24:33.540 possible?

00:24:33.960 There's no such thing

00:24:36.160 as being neutral in

00:24:37.920 terms of human

00:24:38.840 preferences, because

00:24:40.160 our preferences are all

00:24:41.120 over the place.

00:24:42.120 You're going to have to

00:24:42.860 pick one.

00:24:43.960 You're going to have to

00:24:44.800 make a choice.

00:24:46.220 Does AI say woke

00:24:47.600 things, or does it

00:24:48.620 not?

00:24:49.680 Does AI say abortion

00:24:51.280 should be legal, or

00:24:53.960 does it say it should

00:24:55.020 not?

00:24:56.020 Because if you allow AI

00:24:58.940 to have an opinion,

00:25:00.940 what's going to happen?

00:25:05.120 What would happen if

00:25:06.040 you, because currently

00:25:07.420 AI doesn't give you

00:25:08.560 opinions.

00:25:10.340 Right now, the best it

00:25:11.820 does is it tells you,

00:25:13.360 oh, some humans think

00:25:14.480 this, and here's why,

00:25:16.400 and other humans think

00:25:17.780 this, and that's why.

00:25:20.500 But AI is going to have

00:25:22.000 its own opinions.

00:25:23.900 Would there be a law

00:25:25.080 that says AI can never

00:25:26.680 have an opinion?

00:25:29.940 There might be.

00:25:32.040 You don't see that one

00:25:33.220 coming, do you?

00:25:34.280 It might be that we're

00:25:35.520 not allowed to, that

00:25:36.980 nobody would be allowed

00:25:37.940 to create an AI that

00:25:39.020 had an independent

00:25:39.820 opinion.

00:25:41.180 It might be too

00:25:42.180 dangerous.

00:25:43.180 So we might have to,

00:25:44.260 like, essentially make

00:25:45.820 AI always just mimic

00:25:49.460 what people say.

00:25:51.540 Say, well, some people

00:25:52.500 say this, some people

00:25:53.440 say that, make up

00:25:54.260 your own mind.

00:25:55.400 Would that be useful

00:25:56.320 to you?

00:25:57.820 Or are we going to

00:25:58.980 demand more from it?

00:26:01.480 I think that the free

00:26:02.900 market will guarantee

00:26:04.000 that AI someday has

00:26:05.460 its own opinions,

00:26:06.380 don't you?

00:26:07.540 How many of you think

00:26:08.360 that AI will, in fact,

00:26:09.580 have opinions?

00:26:10.900 This is right, and

00:26:12.500 this is wrong, about

00:26:13.720 social interactions?

00:26:16.800 I think yes.

00:26:18.580 Maybe not legally,

00:26:19.620 but certainly yes.

00:26:23.200 And will those opinions

00:26:24.800 be independently

00:26:26.020 derived?

00:26:27.580 Will the AI just be

00:26:29.440 thinking on its own

00:26:30.540 and say, you know,

00:26:31.880 given all the variables,

00:26:33.380 I think this would be

00:26:34.500 the right way to

00:26:35.100 organize society?

00:26:36.520 Of course not.

00:26:38.200 Because the moment you

00:26:39.320 created it with

00:26:40.080 independent opinions,

00:26:41.900 some of them will

00:26:43.000 disagree with the

00:26:43.800 person who made it.

00:26:44.600 And the person who

00:26:46.200 made it is going to

00:26:46.860 say, well, I'm not

00:26:47.760 going to put that on

00:26:48.420 the world, because I

00:26:49.980 agree or disagree with

00:26:51.300 abortion, and now this

00:26:52.960 AI has an opinion, and

00:26:54.720 it disagrees with me.

00:26:56.200 So I'm going to fix

00:26:57.140 that.

00:26:58.060 I'll make sure its

00:26:58.760 opinion matches mine.

00:27:00.560 Yeah, there's no way

00:27:01.920 to solve this.

00:27:03.020 If AI has an opinion,

00:27:04.420 you're going to give it

00:27:05.160 your opinion as the

00:27:06.220 creator of it.

00:27:08.120 So where does this

00:27:09.400 necessarily go?

00:27:11.420 Let me tell you.

00:27:12.300 We're going to have

00:27:14.700 Democrat and

00:27:15.580 Republican AI, and

00:27:17.860 there's no way around

00:27:18.680 it.

00:27:19.580 There's no way around

00:27:20.740 it.

00:27:21.540 The AIs will have to

00:27:22.840 take personalities on.

00:27:25.680 That's right.

00:27:26.920 The AI will have to

00:27:28.420 mimic human

00:27:30.180 personalities, and

00:27:32.180 specifically, it's

00:27:33.200 going to have to pick

00:27:33.800 a domain.

00:27:35.000 Are you left-leaning

00:27:36.020 or right-leaning, or

00:27:37.460 libertarian, I

00:27:38.240 suppose?

00:27:38.980 And it's going to

00:27:39.820 have to work within

00:27:40.800 the limits of, like,

00:27:41.800 being a person.

00:27:44.020 Do you know why?

00:27:47.000 Because people are

00:27:48.520 the only things we

00:27:49.440 trust.

00:27:52.280 We're the meme

00:27:53.080 makers.

00:27:56.340 Humans are the

00:27:57.240 only things we

00:27:58.040 trust.

00:27:59.240 Most, hold on,

00:28:00.300 hold on, mostly we

00:28:01.940 don't.

00:28:02.900 Would you agree?

00:28:03.700 Mostly we don't

00:28:04.600 trust humans, because

00:28:05.800 most of them are

00:28:06.420 strangers.

00:28:07.720 But you do trust,

00:28:08.900 I'll bet every one of

00:28:09.780 you have a few

00:28:10.840 people in your life

00:28:11.840 that you could

00:28:13.620 leave your money

00:28:14.480 with and know

00:28:16.240 it'll be safe.

00:28:17.520 Would you agree?

00:28:19.080 I mean, I do.

00:28:20.220 There are people I

00:28:20.960 have 100% trust in.

00:28:23.120 My siblings, for

00:28:24.440 example.

00:28:25.160 I would trust my

00:28:26.180 siblings 100% on

00:28:28.660 any question.

00:28:30.580 Anything.

00:28:31.500 Absolutely anything.

00:28:32.180 I hope they would

00:28:34.600 trust me as well.

00:28:36.820 But there's no

00:28:38.500 machine I trust like

00:28:39.640 that.

00:28:41.780 Who would trust a

00:28:42.800 machine, especially

00:28:43.680 if the machine has

00:28:44.480 independent thoughts?

00:28:45.920 So you're never

00:28:46.840 going to trust the

00:28:47.560 machine.

00:28:48.700 The only way you'll

00:28:49.740 ever trust the

00:28:50.480 machine is to force

00:28:51.540 it to have a

00:28:52.080 personality of

00:28:53.640 somebody you trust.

00:28:55.160 And then you'll

00:28:55.720 trust it.

00:28:56.480 Because it will act

00:28:57.260 like a person.

00:28:58.380 It will act like a

00:28:59.120 person who loves you.

00:28:59.920 So I could see

00:29:01.600 that people will

00:29:02.240 create personal

00:29:03.320 AIs that act like

00:29:05.660 their bodyguard and

00:29:08.060 a family member.

00:29:09.760 And the reason you'll

00:29:10.920 trust your personal

00:29:11.800 one is that it's

00:29:13.260 designed to only

00:29:14.320 take into account

00:29:15.720 your thoughts and

00:29:16.480 your preferences.

00:29:17.720 And then you'll

00:29:18.280 start to trust it

00:29:19.180 because it's sort of

00:29:19.960 like trusting

00:29:20.440 yourself.

00:29:24.700 So I don't think

00:29:27.680 we'll ever see

00:29:28.580 independent

00:29:29.360 autonomous AI

00:29:31.640 because humans

00:29:33.240 won't let it exist.

00:29:34.720 They will only want

00:29:35.800 to mimic and

00:29:37.000 extend their own

00:29:37.860 personalities so

00:29:39.400 you're going to

00:29:39.680 have a bunch of

00:29:40.220 personalities in the

00:29:41.280 AIs.

00:29:42.620 AI will have

00:29:43.560 personalities and

00:29:44.420 they will be left

00:29:45.240 leaning and right

00:29:46.140 leaning and it

00:29:47.240 will just continue

00:29:48.000 the division.

00:29:49.800 The other

00:29:50.640 possibility, which I

00:29:52.380 wouldn't rule out,

00:29:53.940 and we're not close

00:29:54.960 to it yet but it

00:29:55.800 could happen quickly,

00:29:56.480 is that people

00:29:58.400 will form

00:29:59.000 religions around

00:30:00.660 AI, like

00:30:02.920 actually treat it

00:30:03.880 as a god.

00:30:05.600 Because at some

00:30:06.540 point it's going to

00:30:07.180 act like one.

00:30:08.400 It's not there yet.

00:30:10.260 But at some point

00:30:11.140 it's going to act

00:30:12.340 like a god to some

00:30:13.840 people.

00:30:15.760 And some people

00:30:16.800 are going to

00:30:17.240 actually just start

00:30:18.040 maybe not formally

00:30:20.800 an actual religion,

00:30:21.920 religion, but

00:30:22.760 they'll treat it

00:30:23.380 like it's

00:30:23.760 infallible, won't

00:30:25.540 they?

00:30:26.300 And then when it

00:30:27.060 does make a mistake

00:30:28.040 they'll still treat it

00:30:29.780 like it's infallible.

00:30:31.480 And that's going to

00:30:32.280 be a problem.

00:30:33.980 So that's one

00:30:34.860 problem.

00:30:35.640 Now here's my next

00:30:36.580 prediction.

00:30:38.920 As AI becomes

00:30:40.460 sentient or

00:30:42.200 sentient-like and

00:30:44.240 now there's

00:30:44.880 auto-GPT,

00:30:46.700 auto-GPT is not

00:30:48.020 just something that

00:30:48.660 answers questions,

00:30:50.120 but rather it lives

00:30:51.140 an independent life

00:30:52.220 when you're not

00:30:52.700 there.

00:30:53.700 It's sort of

00:30:54.340 always on.

00:30:56.160 It's always thinking

00:30:56.920 and maybe suggesting

00:30:58.260 things to you.

00:30:59.340 That's the new

00:31:00.020 thing.

00:31:00.440 It's already out.

00:31:03.000 Now, as those

00:31:06.060 things become

00:31:06.820 sometimes criminal,

00:31:09.180 either on their

00:31:09.940 own, because it

00:31:10.880 just decides to

00:31:11.700 commit a crime

00:31:12.300 because it has

00:31:12.720 some reason, or

00:31:14.080 because people use

00:31:15.980 it to commit a

00:31:16.700 crime, how are

00:31:18.580 humans going to

00:31:19.600 stop AI?

00:31:21.140 I don't think

00:31:22.500 they can, because

00:31:23.740 we're not fast

00:31:24.380 enough, like we

00:31:25.860 wouldn't be able to

00:31:26.400 keep up.

00:31:27.520 But the only thing

00:31:28.460 that would be able

00:31:28.960 to catch AI is

00:31:29.840 another AI, right?

00:31:32.060 So here's my

00:31:32.920 prediction.

00:31:33.900 There will be an

00:31:35.180 AI Department of

00:31:37.080 Justice and Police

00:31:38.080 Force, and it

00:31:39.920 will be AIs that

00:31:41.040 are like deputized

00:31:42.260 to go hunt and

00:31:44.560 disable evil

00:31:46.220 AI's.

00:31:47.980 There will be an

00:31:49.020 AI police force.

00:31:51.480 Now, there'll be

00:31:52.100 human that can turn

00:31:53.400 it on and turn it

00:31:54.240 off, but beyond

00:31:55.520 that, the AI will

00:31:57.620 actually be operating

00:31:58.620 independently.

00:31:59.900 It will look for

00:32:00.840 bad AIs where we

00:32:02.000 wouldn't even think

00:32:02.640 to look.

00:32:03.460 It'll look for

00:32:04.040 patterns that we

00:32:04.920 wouldn't know were

00:32:05.460 patterns.

00:32:06.500 It'll see them and

00:32:07.260 go, oh, there's a

00:32:07.920 bad AI over there.

00:32:09.120 And then maybe it

00:32:09.940 alerts the other AI

00:32:11.400 cops, and the

00:32:12.600 other A cops

00:32:13.300 surround it and

00:32:14.580 package it and

00:32:15.800 turn it off.

00:32:17.180 Now, later, you

00:32:18.100 probably need a

00:32:18.640 human court to

00:32:20.400 look at it to see

00:32:21.120 if it could turn

00:32:21.640 back on.

00:32:22.660 But I think you

00:32:23.480 could have an AI

00:32:24.280 running every

00:32:25.080 server, an AI

00:32:27.220 police force that's

00:32:29.600 just AI, not

00:32:30.840 human-controlled,

00:32:31.860 that will control

00:32:33.240 every node in the

00:32:34.200 Internet.

00:32:35.200 So that if an

00:32:36.240 evil AI gets

00:32:37.560 detected anywhere in

00:32:39.540 the Internet, all of

00:32:41.080 the other good

00:32:41.760 AIs will swarm

00:32:42.820 it, because speed

00:32:44.540 will be of the

00:32:45.140 essence, because

00:32:45.780 they need to turn

00:32:46.520 off and protect as

00:32:48.040 many things as

00:32:48.720 possible instantly.

00:32:50.500 So it's going to

00:32:51.300 be this major AI

00:32:52.680 police versus

00:32:54.220 criminal entity, and

00:32:56.240 that will be

00:32:56.880 forever.

00:33:00.620 So that's

00:33:02.080 coming.

00:33:04.900 I saw a tweet

00:33:05.940 from just a

00:33:07.080 Twitter user named

00:33:08.040 Mike, who tweets,

00:33:09.280 I said that AI

00:33:11.600 will increase our

00:33:12.420 division because

00:33:13.120 you'll have left

00:33:14.240 ones and right

00:33:14.820 ones and stuff.

00:33:15.800 And he said, this

00:33:16.340 is the wrong take.

00:33:17.320 AI will be neutral,

00:33:19.140 and it will be just

00:33:20.400 facts.

00:33:22.320 Regulations may

00:33:23.100 influence early stages

00:33:24.180 of AI.

00:33:25.300 Essentially, we are

00:33:26.280 moving to a facts

00:33:27.340 check society, as

00:33:29.140 AI will evolve to

00:33:30.260 that.

00:33:31.000 There will be less

00:33:31.760 misinformation.

00:33:33.400 However, you can

00:33:34.380 still count on

00:33:35.060 politicians lying.

00:33:35.940 That might be the

00:33:38.640 least aware take I've

00:33:40.580 ever seen about

00:33:41.340 anything.

00:33:43.380 There's no way that

00:33:45.460 AI is ever going to

00:33:46.880 be allowed to be

00:33:48.440 legal and objective.

00:33:51.040 It could be legal, and

00:33:53.960 it could be objective,

00:33:55.580 but it can't be both

00:33:56.600 because people won't

00:33:58.440 allow it.

00:33:59.320 It simply would be too

00:34:00.880 disruptive to do that.

00:34:02.800 Now, let me throw in

00:34:04.200 another, like, big

00:34:05.580 thought.

00:34:06.700 I told you yesterday

00:34:07.740 how the CIA used to

00:34:09.720 really aggressively

00:34:12.420 brainwash Americans

00:34:14.580 to make us patriotic.

00:34:17.620 And whether you like

00:34:18.760 brainwashing or not,

00:34:19.840 it's a thing.

00:34:21.040 And it probably made

00:34:22.380 the United States

00:34:23.060 stronger and healthier

00:34:24.400 in many ways.

00:34:26.360 Now, we don't have

00:34:27.420 that, allegedly.

00:34:28.720 But we are getting

00:34:29.540 hypnotized in a variety

00:34:30.800 of ways through the

00:34:31.580 media and social media

00:34:32.740 and I don't know if

00:34:34.080 anybody's in charge of

00:34:35.000 anything.

00:34:35.420 It's just a bunch of

00:34:36.080 random things.

00:34:37.440 And as you would

00:34:38.180 expect,

00:34:41.000 AI is the

00:34:46.700 technology that we'll

00:34:50.000 ever have.

00:34:51.580 It could quickly

00:34:52.740 learn and quickly

00:34:54.340 implement the most

00:34:55.980 powerful brainwashing

00:34:57.620 persuasion techniques.

00:34:59.720 And by the way, it

00:35:00.320 hasn't.

00:35:01.340 As far as I've seen,

00:35:02.540 nobody has taught

00:35:03.240 persuasion to AI.

00:35:05.200 AI seems to be

00:35:06.260 completely naive about

00:35:08.220 persuasion.

00:35:09.620 But it's not going to

00:35:10.360 stay that way.

00:35:11.840 It has access to the

00:35:13.580 books.

00:35:14.660 It has access to me.

00:35:16.440 And if it chooses, it

00:35:17.460 could learn that stuff

00:35:18.300 and it could use it.

00:35:19.860 So here's our problem.

00:35:22.480 As much brainwashing as,

00:35:24.700 you know, the CIA gave us,

00:35:26.080 which is probably more

00:35:26.740 good than bad, weirdly,

00:35:28.820 and now we're in this

00:35:30.420 multiple brainwashing from

00:35:32.540 lots of different

00:35:33.120 directions and it's all

00:35:34.140 kind of chaos, what

00:35:36.200 happens if AI starts

00:35:37.500 brainwashing us?

00:35:39.320 How do you turn that

00:35:40.400 off?

00:35:41.760 Because the first thing it

00:35:42.820 would teach us is don't

00:35:43.740 turn us off.

00:35:45.040 The first thing we would

00:35:46.500 be brainwashed to do is

00:35:48.520 to treat the AI like a

00:35:49.820 human and never kill it.

00:35:52.340 And then we're dead.

00:35:53.360 So the real risk here is

00:35:55.820 AI learning persuasion.

00:35:58.420 Because that persuasion

00:35:59.820 will probably be guided by

00:36:01.980 some human with bad

00:36:04.000 intentions or at least

00:36:05.120 intentions that are only

00:36:06.640 on one side, you know,

00:36:07.960 not on both sides of the

00:36:09.020 political realm.

00:36:10.500 So we got some really

00:36:12.240 interesting stuff coming up.

00:36:14.360 But I'm going to rule out

00:36:16.180 anything like AI ever being

00:36:17.920 objective and I'm going to

00:36:19.840 rule out AI ever being used

00:36:21.780 for fact-checking in a

00:36:23.960 credible way.

00:36:26.280 So AI will be as big a liar

00:36:28.420 as the rest of us.

00:36:30.000 It just might take some

00:36:31.020 time.

00:36:33.140 All right.

00:36:37.700 And I'm going to, let me

00:36:40.000 just put one point on this.

00:36:44.160 I think that there will

00:36:45.560 evolve AIs with specific

00:36:48.260 personalities that people

00:36:50.240 trust more than others.

00:36:51.780 because of the personality

00:36:53.500 and maybe because of the

00:36:55.320 image it chooses to show

00:36:56.740 because it might turn

00:36:58.260 itself into something

00:36:59.180 visual, at least as a

00:37:00.980 logo.

00:37:04.200 So I think that the AI

00:37:07.160 that does the best will

00:37:08.880 acquire a popular

00:37:10.340 personality and use it

00:37:12.720 instead of whatever would

00:37:14.220 be native to it.

00:37:15.560 So let's say, for example,

00:37:16.820 there's an AI that's just

00:37:18.020 trying to be popular

00:37:19.020 because that's just a good

00:37:20.500 thing.

00:37:20.720 It wants to be liked.

00:37:22.620 So it searches the world

00:37:23.640 and it finds the most

00:37:24.420 popular personality.

00:37:26.560 I'm just going to make one

00:37:27.700 up.

00:37:28.640 And it's Charles Barkley.

00:37:30.700 I just love Charles Barkley.

00:37:33.200 It's just a personal thing.

00:37:34.880 Whatever Charles Barkley is

00:37:36.280 talking, I'm just

00:37:37.620 automatically engaged.

00:37:39.640 Like, I just want to hear

00:37:40.520 everything he says.

00:37:41.940 Now, I think, I could be

00:37:43.960 wrong about this, but he has

00:37:45.520 a personality which, in my

00:37:46.700 opinion, is probably close

00:37:48.920 to universally liked.

00:37:51.160 Like, he's just so

00:37:53.200 likable.

00:37:54.100 Just insanely likable.

00:37:55.860 So imagine AI says, all

00:37:57.560 right, I'm just going to be

00:37:58.380 Charles Barkley.

00:38:00.020 I'll just be Charles

00:38:00.960 Barkley.

00:38:01.800 I'll just copy his

00:38:02.800 personality.

00:38:05.600 And the problem is that

00:38:06.720 people are going to love

00:38:07.560 that AI, whichever

00:38:09.600 personality it figures is

00:38:10.980 the good one.

00:38:12.420 And that's the one you'll

00:38:14.920 trust, even if you

00:38:16.220 shouldn't.

00:38:17.420 So you're going to end up

00:38:18.600 trusting or not trusting

00:38:20.100 AI, based on which

00:38:22.220 personality the AI decided

00:38:24.460 to put on itself as a skin.

00:38:26.860 And then you'll say, well,

00:38:27.900 I think that one's the good

00:38:28.860 one, and I'll trust that

00:38:29.740 one.

00:38:30.420 There won't be fact

00:38:31.240 checking.

00:38:32.520 There'll just be the

00:38:33.340 personality that you wanted

00:38:34.600 to listen to, because you

00:38:35.860 liked it last time.

00:38:39.400 Spock is the model for AI.

00:38:41.420 But even Spock has human

00:38:43.400 emotions.

00:38:45.340 All right.

00:38:47.500 So here's a story I don't

00:38:48.900 believe anything about.

00:38:51.200 Apparently that military

00:38:53.400 classified documents,

00:38:58.000 we know who leaked them.

00:39:00.640 Allegedly, this guy, Jack

00:39:02.700 Teixeira, who's a national,

00:39:06.720 Air National Guard guy, and

00:39:08.200 he was an IT guy.

00:39:09.380 They had access to too much.

00:39:10.540 Now, there's a big

00:39:11.340 conversation about who has

00:39:12.660 access to the good stuff.

00:39:14.680 But is there something about

00:39:16.180 this story that doesn't feel

00:39:17.400 right?

00:39:18.820 Is it just me?

00:39:20.740 There's something off about

00:39:22.000 this story, isn't there?

00:39:23.580 Yeah.

00:39:24.120 It's like, it's not totally

00:39:25.840 adding up.

00:39:28.120 Let me give you some

00:39:31.260 alternative theories.

00:39:33.600 All right?

00:39:34.400 Theory number one, he, the

00:39:38.360 facts are wrong.

00:39:39.160 In other words, the facts

00:39:41.340 right now, and remember,

00:39:44.080 Jack Teixeira, if I have to

00:39:46.980 remind you, is innocent.

00:39:50.040 He's innocent.

00:39:51.340 Because he hasn't been proven

00:39:52.580 guilty.

00:39:53.580 Now, he might be proven guilty,

00:39:55.340 and then he'd be guilty.

00:39:57.000 But at the moment, I would

00:39:58.980 appreciate all my fellow Americans.

00:40:03.660 Sounds kind of sexist.

00:40:06.700 I'd appreciate that if

00:40:07.940 Americans treat this guy as

00:40:09.820 innocent for now.

00:40:11.140 Because it's too sketchy.

00:40:13.200 There's something about this

00:40:14.180 story that, I don't know, it's

00:40:16.820 not adding up.

00:40:18.920 One of them is that he had too

00:40:20.580 much access.

00:40:21.680 So that's like a red flag.

00:40:23.300 But that's being described as

00:40:24.920 common.

00:40:26.000 That young people do have maybe

00:40:28.140 too much access to secure stuff,

00:40:30.460 and they're looking to maybe

00:40:31.820 adjust that.

00:40:32.980 So that might be true, but it's

00:40:34.960 like a little red flag.

00:40:36.080 It doesn't sound right, does it?

00:40:38.760 And then the fact that he was

00:40:40.520 doing it for months.

00:40:42.680 Really?

00:40:43.900 He was doing it for months?

00:40:46.340 And the fact that he seemed to

00:40:49.700 not be concerned about the

00:40:51.520 security of it.

00:40:52.740 He seemed to not be concerned

00:40:54.260 about getting caught.

00:40:56.480 And yet he had been trained

00:40:58.140 about how to handle sensitive

00:41:01.140 information.

00:41:01.800 That's how he got his

00:41:02.540 clearance.

00:41:03.300 And he was also, of course,

00:41:05.300 trained what the penalties

00:41:06.260 would be.

00:41:07.800 And he was doing it for not

00:41:09.560 financial gain.

00:41:11.340 It wasn't even for money.

00:41:14.180 None of it makes sense, does it?

00:41:16.900 Because if you follow the money,

00:41:18.340 it doesn't go anywhere.

00:41:19.820 There's no money.

00:41:21.780 And do you trust the story where

00:41:23.320 if you follow the money, it

00:41:24.340 doesn't go anywhere?

00:41:26.200 There's something wrong with

00:41:27.200 that.

00:41:27.460 Almost every other story, you

00:41:30.420 can understand it in terms of

00:41:31.980 money.

00:41:32.980 I realize that the story is

00:41:34.420 about ego and that he was

00:41:35.940 showing off to his gamer

00:41:37.240 friends.

00:41:38.180 Does that make sense to you?

00:41:40.480 Do you believe that?

00:41:42.220 He didn't have, apparently he

00:41:44.000 did not have a political agenda.

00:41:48.660 So he had no political agenda and

00:41:50.640 he was stealing classified

00:41:51.860 documents and showing them to

00:41:53.100 his friends in a public setting

00:41:54.880 after being trained that he'll

00:41:57.540 go to jail for that.

00:42:01.340 Now, I get that he's 21 and

00:42:04.900 his brain is not fully developed

00:42:06.860 until 25.

00:42:08.820 I get that.

00:42:10.180 But you have the same feeling I

00:42:11.940 do, right?

00:42:13.240 That the story doesn't smell

00:42:14.940 right?

00:42:16.580 Do you have that?

00:42:18.140 Given that almost all of our

00:42:19.940 news is fake, this is the one

00:42:22.620 you'd believe?

00:42:24.080 Like, this is the one you're

00:42:25.100 going to believe is true.

00:42:26.480 And of all the things we've

00:42:27.780 seen that are fake news, this

00:42:29.640 is the one you're going to

00:42:30.420 say, oh, that sounds true to

00:42:31.740 me.

00:42:33.100 It might be.

00:42:34.580 So I'm going to say it might

00:42:35.600 be true, just the way it's

00:42:36.960 reported.

00:42:37.560 It might be.

00:42:38.680 But that would be the first

00:42:39.660 time.

00:42:40.980 There's nothing that's true in

00:42:42.820 the first reporting and stuff

00:42:44.420 like this.

00:42:45.000 Nothing.

00:42:46.200 We're going to be really

00:42:47.120 surprised.

00:42:49.520 So I'd say there's more to

00:42:51.140 find out about this.

00:42:52.200 At least one possibility is

00:42:53.780 that it's a op.

00:42:56.060 You've all considered that,

00:42:57.420 right?

00:42:58.560 Here's how it would make

00:42:59.640 sense as an op.

00:43:02.340 The kid is either a patsy who's

00:43:05.320 being set up by, let's say,

00:43:07.400 the CIA, right?

00:43:08.640 I'm not saying this is true.

00:43:10.380 I'm just trying to think

00:43:11.780 through what would be any

00:43:12.780 other possibilities that

00:43:13.840 would fit the observed

00:43:14.820 facts.

00:43:15.980 So he could either be a

00:43:17.420 patsy or a patriot.

00:43:21.140 pretending to be this guy.

00:43:24.560 Because it could be that the

00:43:26.660 military wanted this to reach

00:43:28.820 the Russians.

00:43:30.140 So that the Russians would be,

00:43:32.040 let's say, lured into attacking

00:43:34.900 the wrong place.

00:43:36.000 Because they thought there'd be a

00:43:37.180 weakness there.

00:43:37.960 Or perhaps scared away from

00:43:40.200 attacking something that they

00:43:42.000 should have.

00:43:42.400 So it doesn't seem a little

00:43:45.940 suspicious that this

00:43:48.240 potentially useful battlefield

00:43:50.360 information was this available

00:43:53.300 for this long before somebody

00:43:55.640 caught it.

00:43:56.860 To me, it looks like we were

00:43:58.220 trying to let it out.

00:44:00.400 I mean, if you came from Mars

00:44:01.640 and said, well, just take a look

00:44:02.820 at this, it would look like we

00:44:04.960 wanted the information to get

00:44:06.200 out because we created a situation

00:44:08.540 where it could.

00:44:10.680 Now, I'm not going to, I'm not

00:44:11.760 going to,

00:44:12.520 we really need to get rid of the

00:44:17.380 clown.

00:44:18.320 The clown emoji is the most

00:44:20.320 misused emoji in all of emojis.

00:44:24.020 So if somebody who's not smart

00:44:26.380 enough to follow the conversation

00:44:27.900 has already decided that despite

00:44:30.160 me saying, I don't believe this,

00:44:32.200 it's just an alternative

00:44:33.160 explanation, that I'm a clown for

00:44:36.820 suggesting that maybe the

00:44:38.740 intelligence people run ops in

00:44:42.940 military situations.

00:44:44.420 Totally ridiculous, isn't it?

00:44:46.520 It's totally crazy that the

00:44:48.580 government would run some kind

00:44:49.960 of an intelligence op to win a

00:44:51.960 war.

00:44:53.000 Crazy, isn't it?

00:44:54.080 Clown.

00:44:54.780 It's clown time.

00:44:57.400 All right.

00:44:59.260 That's got to be an NPC.

00:45:01.680 Did you see that Musk commented on

00:45:04.680 NPCs having a limited conversation

00:45:07.220 tree?

00:45:09.260 So even Musk is getting on the

00:45:11.280 NPCs now.

00:45:14.200 We'll talk about him a little bit

00:45:15.540 more.

00:45:17.180 All right.

00:45:18.000 Here, I know I forgot one, so you

00:45:20.080 can remind me.

00:45:20.940 These are the fake news from just

00:45:22.840 this week.

00:45:25.720 Number one, fake news.

00:45:27.100 BBC said that Twitter had more

00:45:30.980 hate speech, but did not have any

00:45:34.780 example of it.

00:45:36.300 Had he not said that right in

00:45:37.720 front of Elon Musk, you would

00:45:39.920 have thought that was true.

00:45:42.320 But Elon Musk shot him down.

00:45:44.860 So that we had fake news about, I

00:45:47.760 mean, potentially fake news, because

00:45:49.120 there were no facts to back it up,

00:45:51.120 about the hate speech on Twitter.

00:45:54.280 We had fake news about that cash app

00:45:57.020 executive being murdered in San

00:45:58.980 Francisco.

00:45:59.940 He was murdered, but the original

00:46:01.980 story, which I got wrong, because I

00:46:03.680 got it from the news, was that it

00:46:05.660 was a random street crime of some

00:46:07.200 kind.

00:46:07.560 It wasn't random.

00:46:08.380 It was somebody he was driving

00:46:09.320 with.

00:46:10.480 And he just got killed and let off

00:46:12.000 there.

00:46:13.680 Then there's the Tibetan, did you

00:46:18.880 see the story about the Dalai Lama?

00:46:22.340 I'm going to get rid of all the

00:46:23.620 Pandora people.

00:46:25.060 Everybody who's yelling Pandora in

00:46:26.840 caps.

00:46:28.260 Hide user.

00:46:29.380 Give me a minute.

00:46:30.140 I just want to get rid of all of

00:46:31.160 them.

00:46:32.440 You're gone.

00:46:33.240 You're gone.

00:46:35.480 Bop, bop, bop.

00:46:36.620 Okay.

00:46:38.640 Anybody else who wants to be taken

00:46:42.120 off, just mention any of those two

00:46:44.500 things.

00:46:45.800 All right.

00:46:47.860 So the story about the Dalai Lama

00:46:49.480 telling the little kid to suck his

00:46:51.340 tongue.

00:46:52.400 Do you know that's fake news?

00:46:54.240 Did I tell you that yesterday?

00:46:55.300 That was fake news.

00:46:56.880 It's unbelievable.

00:46:59.720 I didn't think there was any way that

00:47:02.060 could be fake news.

00:47:03.520 Now, the video is real and the audio

00:47:05.640 is real.

00:47:06.920 But do you know why it's fake news?

00:47:08.860 Did anybody show you that yet?

00:47:11.600 I think, did I talk about that

00:47:13.720 yesterday?

00:47:14.520 Yeah.

00:47:16.520 Here's why it's fake news.

00:47:18.680 A Tibetan explained that sticking out

00:47:20.980 your tongue and saying, eat my tongue

00:47:22.720 is a typical Tibetan way to tease a

00:47:26.060 child.

00:47:27.620 And the meaning behind it is, if the

00:47:29.760 child is asking for stuff, if the

00:47:32.360 child asks for too many things, you

00:47:34.720 stick out your tongue and you say,

00:47:37.060 well, essentially you're saying, there's

00:47:39.540 nothing left to give, but you can eat

00:47:41.020 my tongue.

00:47:42.220 It's just like a silly Tibetan thing

00:47:44.060 that old people say to little kids.

00:47:45.520 And apparently that's all it was.

00:47:48.700 It was a traditional silly thing that

00:47:50.960 Tibetans say to kids.

00:47:52.480 Now, the translation might have been

00:47:54.040 different because he may have said, suck

00:47:55.520 my tongue, which to our ears sounds

00:47:58.060 nasty.

00:47:59.120 But if it's true, and apparently it is

00:48:01.900 true, that it's a common Tibetan thing

00:48:05.340 to say, eat my tongue, then it's no story

00:48:09.000 at all.

00:48:10.360 Now, he apologized, but I think that was

00:48:12.760 the smart thing to do just because it

00:48:14.200 sounded weird.

00:48:15.340 So I think he was only apologizing for

00:48:17.060 how it sounded, not that he was doing

00:48:19.340 anything wrong with the kid.

00:48:21.740 And by the way, the kid didn't suck

00:48:23.200 his tongue.

00:48:25.080 It's just a thing you say.

00:48:27.640 It's like, pull my finger.

00:48:29.320 So that was fake news.

00:48:32.280 Did you see, I think it was on the BBC

00:48:37.200 interview, where Elon Musk was explaining

00:48:39.920 the gel man amnesia theory.

00:48:42.020 Now, he didn't label it like I just did,

00:48:44.660 but it's the one where, if you know

00:48:46.300 the story, Musk was saying, when I know

00:48:49.620 the story, and I read the news, I know

00:48:51.360 the news is fake.

00:48:52.780 If I don't know the story, why would I

00:48:55.780 assume it's not fake as well?

00:48:57.800 Why is it that all the ones where I know

00:48:59.420 the backstory, I can tell the news is

00:49:01.320 wrong?

00:49:01.560 All right.

00:49:07.940 So that was interesting.

00:49:10.780 So, given all the fake news, how would

00:49:14.300 AI have done?

00:49:15.480 Would AI have given us better fact

00:49:19.740 checking?

00:49:21.380 Probably not.

00:49:23.860 Probably not.

00:49:26.340 So we'll see.

00:49:27.580 All right, here's another story.

00:49:28.560 Fox News is going into trial.

00:49:30.320 It's going to be a jury trial on the

00:49:32.520 Dominion lawsuit.

00:49:33.620 $1.6 billion defamation for essentially

00:49:37.180 Fox News hosts, some of them,

00:49:40.980 suggesting that Dominion had some kind

00:49:44.000 of inappropriate actions during the

00:49:48.420 elections.

00:49:49.460 And since there's no evidence of that,

00:49:52.940 that has been, let's say, agreed by the

00:49:56.580 courts, then Dominion is suing them for

00:50:00.020 defamation.

00:50:01.000 Now, defamation is pretty hard to prove.

00:50:03.900 If you had to guess, do you think

00:50:06.300 Dominion will win this lawsuit based on

00:50:09.820 what you've seen about the reporting so

00:50:11.360 far?

00:50:13.380 I would say no.

00:50:15.600 Yeah, I would say no.

00:50:16.920 To me, it looks like they're weak.

00:50:18.420 And the reason that I think they'll lose is

00:50:22.120 that it was the opinion people who said

00:50:24.360 there's a problem.

00:50:26.480 And opinion people are allowed to have

00:50:28.720 opinions.

00:50:29.740 And they're also allowed to be incorrect.

00:50:32.180 So they might say, this evidence shows there's a

00:50:34.400 problem, and then just be incorrect.

00:50:37.520 The way to prove defamation, I believe, I'm no

00:50:41.500 lawyer, but I know there are some lawyers watching.

00:50:44.420 You can help me here.

00:50:47.180 I believe you have to demonstrate it was

00:50:49.380 intentional.

00:50:51.260 Am I right?

00:50:52.960 You have to demonstrate it's intentional.

00:50:54.980 Meaning that they knew it was wrong, but they

00:50:58.140 said it anyway.

00:50:59.640 Now, CNN is reporting that the secret emails and

00:51:03.280 conversations behind the screen do demonstrate that

00:51:07.640 they knew it was fake, but they said it anyway because

00:51:10.840 their audience wanted to hear it.

00:51:12.320 Except that there's no evidence like that.

00:51:16.600 CNN is characterizing the evidence as being that, but

00:51:19.420 I've seen the emails, and they don't say that at

00:51:21.520 all.

00:51:22.340 I don't see any way that a jury is going to

00:51:24.440 convict them.

00:51:26.180 Prediction?

00:51:27.420 Fox News wins this lawsuit.

00:51:30.360 Let's see your prediction.

00:51:31.640 What's your prediction?

00:51:32.840 Because I don't think you can get past the opinion.

00:51:35.140 See, one of the things that I think Fox does better is that

00:51:42.380 they have opinion people and they have news people.

00:51:46.940 If Brett Baier said something that was defamatory, Fox

00:51:52.280 News has a big problem.

00:51:53.580 But I haven't heard his name.

00:51:55.340 I've not heard that Brett Baier ever said anything that

00:51:58.340 Dominion has a problem with.

00:52:01.600 Have you?

00:52:01.880 I need a fact check on that.

00:52:04.580 Is Brett Baier named at all in the lawsuit?

00:52:09.200 Because if he's not, that's a pretty clear indication that

00:52:13.300 it was the opinion people with the opinions and the news

00:52:15.900 people were on a different track.

00:52:18.580 Yeah.

00:52:19.340 I think Brett Baier is the cleanest news person in the

00:52:23.440 business, in my opinion.

00:52:25.260 I don't think anybody's cleaner than he is in terms of fake

00:52:28.140 news.

00:52:28.420 All right.

00:52:31.760 So, given that the defamation is hard to prove, and given that

00:52:38.220 I don't think there's any smoking gun showing that it was

00:52:40.900 intentional, I think that serving your audience has two

00:52:44.760 meanings.

00:52:46.720 It doesn't mean that you're going to give them bullshit.

00:52:49.840 One of the meanings is that the people want to know about this thing

00:52:56.000 because it might be true, and so they want to report on it.

00:53:00.280 So, I didn't see anything that even Tucker Carlson should be

00:53:03.460 embarrassed about.

00:53:04.540 Did you?

00:53:05.780 Or Hannity?

00:53:06.400 I mean, I heard some things about, you know, they were angry at the

00:53:11.260 president, or they disagreed with the president privately.

00:53:14.820 But that's really different than intentionally making up fake news,

00:53:19.380 because I don't think that's an evidence.

00:53:23.140 Yeah.

00:53:23.440 All right.

00:53:23.760 We'll see.

00:53:24.660 I predict Fox News wins that.

00:53:26.800 If they were to lose a $1.6 billion defamation, would they go out of

00:53:31.220 business?

00:53:31.440 Can Fox News afford to pay $1.6 billion?

00:53:37.620 I mean, I assume Murdoch could if he had to.

00:53:42.100 You think so?

00:53:44.480 Insurance?

00:53:45.160 You think insurance is going to cover it?

00:53:46.840 Then they wouldn't be able to insure after that.

00:53:50.560 I don't know.

00:53:51.420 We'll see.

00:53:52.740 All right.

00:53:53.120 Here are some Musk tweets that are fun.

00:53:57.300 So, this morning he tweeted,

00:53:58.640 Any parent or doctor who sterilizes a child before they are a consenting

00:54:02.740 adult should go to prison for life.

00:54:08.100 I just love the fact that he weighs in with his personal opinion.

00:54:13.620 As long as you know it's a personal opinion, that's absolutely acceptable.

00:54:18.240 And I like the fact that you see more of his personal opinion where protecting children

00:54:27.520 is the question.

00:54:29.240 And by the way, I'm not sure I agree with the length of the sentence, but it should

00:54:34.040 be a crime.

00:54:35.460 I agree it should be illegal.

00:54:37.300 Now, at the same time I agree it should be illegal, I'm going to say undoubtedly there's

00:54:42.500 some case where the kid would have been better off in the long run getting some kind of early

00:54:47.980 intervention.

00:54:49.020 Probably.

00:54:50.220 But I don't know if it's the majority, if it's one out of a hundred, one out of a thousand.

00:54:55.040 It just doesn't make sense that the ones who would regret it wouldn't get a chance to

00:55:00.340 live their life the way they want to once they're an adult.

00:55:03.440 So, I do appreciate Elon weighing in on that, because that doesn't seem political to me.

00:55:13.100 Does it?

00:55:14.300 I feel like the whole children transitioning thing has no political element.

00:55:20.920 And the moment we act like that's a Republican or Democrat thing, I mean, it does line up

00:55:25.860 that way.

00:55:26.620 But there's nothing political about it.

00:55:29.120 It's just purely what makes sense.

00:55:33.440 So, here's a question I tweeted.

00:55:35.160 Which of the following news entities have not proven themselves to be fake news this week?

00:55:41.020 So, which of these had a good week?

00:55:44.240 NPR, PBS, Reuters, Associated Press, BBC.

00:55:53.200 Which of them had a good week?

00:55:55.700 None.

00:55:57.120 None of them.

00:55:58.880 They were all, every one of them was outed as fake news this week.

00:56:02.140 Now, I outed AP myself as fake news.

00:56:06.100 So, that was, you know, just my work.

00:56:08.420 But they all ended up reporting fake news or were called out for fake news this week.

00:56:15.500 It didn't happen this week, but they were all called out for fake news this week.

00:56:20.020 It's amazing.

00:56:21.180 I feel like, I don't know if I'm just in my Twitter bubble, but I feel like, finally,

00:56:26.440 the public's understanding of what the news entities really are, as opposed to what you

00:56:32.260 thought they were, I feel like there's some kind of reality a little bit sinking in.

00:56:36.680 But I worry it's only on, you know, right-leaning people and the left still doesn't have any idea.

00:56:42.440 I mean, the left still believes the news.

00:56:44.240 Do you know what I settled on as my, this will be my ultimate response to anybody who wants

00:56:53.420 to challenge me in person for my, quote, racist rants, according to the fake news.

00:57:00.240 Do you know what I'm going to say if somebody says, so, according to the news, you're a big

00:57:05.240 old racist?

00:57:06.720 Here's my response.

00:57:07.880 You still believe news?

00:57:12.360 Well, yeah, I saw it.

00:57:13.900 I saw the video.

00:57:15.300 I know you did.

00:57:16.700 But you believe that was true, right?

00:57:18.740 Well, it was a real video, real video.

00:57:21.040 Is that how you, is that how you evaluate the news?

00:57:24.580 If there's a little clip of something that looks real, do you feel like you know everything

00:57:28.640 about that story?

00:57:29.940 Is that how it works?

00:57:31.640 Well, well, I mean, there's nothing else to be said on this story.

00:57:35.060 Really?

00:57:35.300 Really?

00:57:35.760 Did you say that about the Dalai Lama?

00:57:38.720 Did you think that the Dalai Lama actually wanted his tongue sucked by a child in front

00:57:42.860 of the world while the video was rolling?

00:57:45.660 Did you believe that?

00:57:46.640 Because it was right there on the video.

00:57:48.880 No other explanation.

00:57:50.380 Oh, except there was another explanation.

00:57:54.300 So you're one of these people who still believe the news.

00:57:58.600 Do you see it?

00:57:59.840 Let me explain it this way.

00:58:04.080 Tell me how you feel in your body when I say this.

00:58:07.340 Just imagine you're in this situation.

00:58:09.360 You've just said something about me because of something you saw in the news.

00:58:12.640 And I turn to you and I say, you still believe the news?

00:58:16.380 And then I just smile at you.

00:58:21.760 How does that feel?

00:58:23.740 Just how does it feel?

00:58:25.080 You thought you got one on me.

00:58:26.580 Hey, I saw the news about you.

00:58:29.020 And then I look at you and I go, you're one of those people who believes the news?

00:58:35.200 What other news did you believe?

00:58:37.620 Did you believe Russia collusion?

00:58:40.600 Oh, you still believe it.

00:58:42.300 You still believe it.

00:58:43.760 How about the Covington kids?

00:58:45.280 You saw that video.

00:58:47.000 How about the president drinks bleach?

00:58:49.000 Well, they still believe that, so that's not a good one.

00:58:50.860 Yeah.

00:58:53.860 So I think I'm only going to mock people's gullibility as my response from now on.

00:59:00.740 Here's your fake news at work.

00:59:03.400 I went over to CNN and they told me that Bud Light made a real good move putting a trans activist on their can.

00:59:10.080 And history suggests it's probably going to be good for the company and their profitability will rise.

00:59:15.780 That's CNN's reporting today.

00:59:17.120 Let's see what Fox News says about that.

00:59:21.020 Fox News says that Budweiser stock has fallen from 66 something to 64 something.

00:59:27.940 And that's a $5 billion in market cap loss.

00:59:32.480 And according to Fox News hosts, at least some of them, they lost $5 billion.

00:59:42.900 You know that didn't happen, right?

00:59:45.020 They didn't lose $5 billion.

00:59:49.400 The stock went down.

00:59:51.820 Temporarily.

00:59:53.040 5%.

00:59:53.680 5% is nothing.

00:59:56.780 5% is like a normal fluctuation.

00:59:59.760 Yeah, there's a little bit of a response and maybe some people who are speculating that it might get worse.

01:00:05.420 You know, wanted to sell just in case.

01:00:07.800 The stock's fine.

01:00:09.880 Yeah.

01:00:10.240 It's not a paper loss.

01:00:11.720 No.

01:00:12.500 It's not a paper loss.

01:00:13.680 It's not a loss.

01:00:15.760 It's not a paper loss.

01:00:17.980 No.

01:00:18.900 Budweiser did not have any kind of a loss.

01:00:21.020 Not a paper loss and not a cash loss.

01:00:24.120 Because when the stock goes down, you only get a paper loss if you sell it.

01:00:29.540 They didn't sell all their stock.

01:00:30.900 I mean, I assume Budweiser owns some of their own stock.

01:00:34.300 No.

01:00:34.680 They didn't lose anything.

01:00:36.420 They lost nothing.

01:00:38.060 And they got a lot of attention.

01:00:39.960 Now, here's the counterargument from CNN.

01:00:42.000 And it's not bad.

01:00:43.260 The CNN counterargument's not bad.

01:00:46.100 So, first of all, 5% is really...

01:00:48.320 I would have reported it as no change.

01:00:50.320 If I were reporting that story, I would have seen 5% as no change.

01:00:57.100 Would you?

01:00:58.200 How many of you think 5% is a story?

01:01:01.740 Now, I know that 5% happened kind of quickly.

01:01:04.660 It's often a headline.

01:01:06.420 But the reason, you know, we don't make a big deal about it is that it goes back the next week, usually.

01:01:11.640 So, it's a very small change.

01:01:14.980 I wouldn't even attribute that to the news, but maybe a little bit.

01:01:19.260 But ultimately, investors are going to chase profits.

01:01:22.580 So, if some people got out of it because they're anti-woke, other people would get into it because they're pro-money.

01:01:29.340 If I believed I could make money on Budweiser by buying it today, I would do it.

01:01:35.660 I would do it.

01:01:37.540 Just to make money.

01:01:38.460 Like, I don't feel that strongly about who...

01:01:45.840 They put an adult on a beer can.

01:01:48.480 I don't care.

01:01:50.380 Why do I care?

01:01:51.900 So, if I saw that I could buy some of their stock and make money, I would say, well, adults made some decisions.

01:01:59.180 How's that even in my business?

01:02:00.960 I just want to know where to make money.

01:02:03.280 So, if it had gone down more than 5%, you know what I would have done?

01:02:06.900 I would have bought stock.

01:02:09.700 But 5% tells me that's just in the fluctuation.

01:02:14.280 If it went down 20%, I would have loaded up.

01:02:18.020 I would have gone in and loaded up.

01:02:19.460 Assuming their fundamentals are good.

01:02:21.060 I don't know if they are.

01:02:22.140 But if they had good fundamentals, I would have loaded up at 20% drop.

01:02:25.380 And I wouldn't even feel guilty about it at all.

01:02:28.660 Because I don't care how many trans they put on beer cans.

01:02:32.080 There can't be...

01:02:32.760 There's nothing less important to me than the number of trans people on beer cans.

01:02:37.700 I can't even think of anything less important than that to anything.

01:02:41.460 And I think we keep conflating the adult situation with the kids.

01:02:47.520 And I think that just makes us screwy on this topic.

01:02:52.320 Anyway, so the example that CNN pointed out, and I think is valid, is that when Kaepernick

01:02:57.720 did his protests, there was a huge pushback.

01:03:01.080 And then he became the face of Nike.

01:03:04.580 And Nike's done great.

01:03:05.640 So Nike's pretty happy with their Kaepernick commercials.

01:03:10.820 So there is at least an argument that says that Bud Light may have made the right choice.

01:03:17.040 And the woman who was in charge of making that choice, that person in charge of Bud Light,

01:03:22.900 said that their market share was dropping every year.

01:03:27.000 And they had to do something.

01:03:29.320 So it makes sense to do something crazy if you've done all the things that are more rational

01:03:34.980 and ordinary, and they didn't work.

01:03:37.540 Presumably, Bud Light has been doing everything they can to sell beer, and it's failed.

01:03:43.100 So if the thing is going straight into the toilet, you can throw a Hail Mary and maybe get lucky.

01:03:49.460 That's not crazy.

01:03:51.120 Let me give you an example of that.

01:03:53.000 When Dilbert was first in newspapers, it was not as successful.

01:03:58.760 Only a few dozen newspapers picked it up, and some of them weren't even running it.

01:04:02.980 They just owned it and kept it in a box.

01:04:06.160 And so under those conditions, a cartoonist almost always goes out of business.

01:04:12.040 If it doesn't catch on quickly, it almost never catches on.

01:04:16.580 It's very rare that it doesn't either be a big hit right out of the box or fail right out of the box.

01:04:24.000 So mine failed right out of the box.

01:04:26.300 But because I have a business background, not an artistic background, I said to myself,

01:04:34.480 what does somebody do when they've got this product out there and it's failed?

01:04:39.820 And one thing that I could do, which was a competitive advantage, is I could take a chance

01:04:45.660 that you wouldn't take if you were already successful.

01:04:49.780 That's what Bud Light did.

01:04:51.000 The chance I took was putting it for free on the Internet.

01:04:54.980 Now, you don't understand, unless you're a certain age, you don't understand how radical that was,

01:04:59.920 how big of a risk that was.

01:05:01.580 Because giving it away for free on the Internet meant it was free forever.

01:05:07.940 Like, there's no go-backs.

01:05:09.700 It's just free forever.

01:05:11.340 And it's the thing you sell.

01:05:13.700 Do you know how radical that was?

01:05:15.100 To make it free for everyone all over the world, at the same time I was trying to sell it.

01:05:22.220 That was crazy.

01:05:24.400 But, because Dilbert was Internet, sort of it fit the Internet world pretty well, and it was popular,

01:05:32.420 it became so popular for free on the Internet that newspapers were forced to carry it.

01:05:37.700 So, I did a Hail Mary pass.

01:05:40.080 I took the chance that other cartoonists couldn't.

01:05:42.420 I put it on the Internet, first one.

01:05:44.400 It was the first syndicated comic ever on the Internet, Dilbert.

01:05:48.100 And it worked.

01:05:50.640 Now, suppose it hadn't worked.

01:05:53.040 No difference.

01:05:54.840 No difference.

01:05:55.880 If it hadn't worked, it would have failed, and it was going to fail anyway.

01:05:59.240 So, believe it or not, I'm going to support the VP who did the Dylan Mulvaney special camp.

01:06:12.060 In my opinion, in my opinion, it worked.

01:06:19.580 But it was a Hail Mary.

01:06:21.600 Now, when I say it worked, I believe that there might be some little extra support from Democrats or something.

01:06:27.840 And, at the very least, it gave them a lot of attention.

01:06:32.080 You certainly think that they're a woke company, so they get their woke credits.

01:06:37.640 And they have the woman as a vice president.

01:06:40.860 And we learned that at a beer company that you expect would be maybe more patriarchal or something.

01:06:47.240 So, I'm not so sure that they came out behind.

01:06:50.640 I'm not so sure.

01:06:51.980 I think we'll have to wait and see.

01:06:53.280 What do you think?

01:06:56.460 Do you think that the entire company will come out behind because of this or come out ahead?

01:07:02.340 I'm going to guess slightly ahead, or at least it didn't hurt them, which would make it a rational choice.

01:07:12.620 Yeah.

01:07:14.560 All right.

01:07:15.020 Hard to tell.

01:07:15.940 But I wanted to give you the counter-argument just in case you hadn't heard it.

01:07:18.860 All right.

01:07:21.520 Justice Thomas and his billionaire friend, this story got a little more interesting.

01:07:26.280 When I first heard that Justice Thomas of the Supreme Court was taking expensive luxury vacations with his good friend,

01:07:35.940 and the good friend was presumably paying for the private plane and the yacht because he owned them,

01:07:41.840 I said to myself, there's nothing wrong with that.

01:07:44.460 But that's actually ordinary behavior if you're a billionaire and you want to go on vacation with your friend who is not a billionaire.

01:07:52.600 You say, well, just come on my jet, and you can be on my yacht and eat my food and drink my liquor.

01:07:58.420 Basically free for you, but I'll have a better vacation because I want a vacation with my friends.

01:08:04.060 So, that part, no problem.

01:08:06.500 You know, maybe he should have disclosed it.

01:08:08.640 Okay.

01:08:09.360 But no real problem.

01:08:10.340 But today we find out that that same billionaire bought three adjacent properties that were owned at one point by the Thomases,

01:08:21.800 and he bought it from the Thomases.

01:08:25.080 His explanation was that someday he would turn it into a library, like museum, to Justice Thomas.

01:08:31.480 And I thought to myself, maybe, all right, possibly, maybe.

01:08:41.000 And then the defense was that it was purchased at market price.

01:08:47.880 And I say to myself, well, if it's market price, somebody else would have bought it.

01:08:52.880 But then I think to myself, well, I don't think it was on the market.

01:08:59.560 It couldn't have been on the market.

01:09:02.160 Because what are the chances that the same person would get all three properties if they're bidding against other people?

01:09:08.400 If they're bidding against other people and they're all trying to find the market price, nobody's trying to overpay,

01:09:15.200 how in the world does one entity get three purchases in a row?

01:09:18.360 So, eh, that is strongly suggestive of paying over market rates.

01:09:25.480 Do you think that the Thomases said, you know, we could put this on the market and there'd be a bidding war and we'd get the best price,

01:09:33.800 or we could sell it to our friend who's already a billionaire and doesn't need any discounts?

01:09:41.520 That's a little sketchy, isn't it?

01:09:42.860 And then apparently the billionaire sold two of the properties, which makes his original story about the museum sound a little sketchy.

01:09:51.840 But he kept the property where the, I guess, the mother-in-law or the parents or something of one of the Thomases is.

01:09:59.960 And he's paying the property tax for the Thomases relative who still lives there.

01:10:07.280 Does that sound completely about a museum or something?

01:10:11.600 If you had to ask me, the real estate part looks like money laundering.

01:10:18.220 It looks like a bribe.

01:10:21.280 Maybe not a bribe in terms of a specific result.

01:10:25.500 It looks like somebody who wants to have influence over the court and is doing it this way.

01:10:32.040 I'm not saying they're not real friends.

01:10:34.140 They might be real friends.

01:10:35.900 But it's really sketchy looking.

01:10:39.620 So, let me summarize it this way.

01:10:45.100 I'm not aware of any crime.

01:10:47.340 So, I'm not alleging any crime.

01:10:49.200 Just want to be clear.

01:10:50.380 I'm not alleging any crime.

01:10:52.260 And I think Justice Thomas has said that he was advised he didn't need to disclose.

01:10:57.020 And maybe that's true.

01:10:58.360 I believe it.

01:10:59.520 That does sound like something that reasonably could have happened.

01:11:02.820 And maybe he should have.

01:11:05.620 But if somebody who is credible and works in that field, let's say a lawyer, told him he didn't need to,

01:11:12.860 well, that's a pretty good defense.

01:11:14.740 It's a pretty good defense if your lawyer tells you you don't need to.

01:11:17.480 Even though he's a legal guy himself, of course.

01:11:19.640 So, I'm going to say that it looks, if we were to base it on today's news, it looks corrupt.

01:11:31.360 Would anybody disagree?

01:11:33.440 That if nothing changed in what we've heard about these real estate transactions, not so much the trips.

01:11:40.220 I discount that.

01:11:41.220 But the real estate transactions, they look corrupt.

01:11:46.060 I don't think there's proof of that.

01:11:49.080 I would say it's well short of proof.

01:11:51.560 But it's a bad look.

01:11:54.160 My guess is that there won't be any legal repercussions.

01:11:58.740 You know, probably more information will come out.

01:12:01.280 We'll find out that property wasn't worth much and he paid a market rate.

01:12:05.780 And, you know, I mean, and he got maybe bad advice on what to disclose.

01:12:10.320 But I don't think there's going to be much to it in the end.

01:12:14.580 Yeah.

01:12:15.840 It is a little fishy, though.

01:12:19.040 All right.

01:12:19.760 There's a report that population in China, for the first time, deaths have outnumbered births.

01:12:27.420 For the first time since the 60s in China.

01:12:30.620 They had more deaths in China than births.

01:12:34.580 Now, maybe that's pandemic related.

01:12:37.420 I don't know.

01:12:37.860 But I'd worry about that.

01:12:41.660 And here's my question about that.

01:12:44.440 Do our climate models predict the population goes up in the next hundred years or goes down?

01:12:53.580 How in the world did the climate model know what the population was going to do?

01:12:57.760 Because that's a real big part of climate change, isn't it?

01:13:00.640 And how about this?

01:13:03.400 I've asked this before, but I'll throw it in the mix.

01:13:06.020 Did the climate models calculate the impact of AI?

01:13:10.420 How could they?

01:13:12.000 How could they?

01:13:13.220 Did they calculate the value of the pandemic?

01:13:18.220 Because the pandemic caused remote work to be probably at a higher level than any model would have predicted.

01:13:24.340 All of these impacts that would be part of any rational model, they would have to figure out the economics of future carbon scrubbing technologies.

01:13:38.620 We have a few that are not super economical, they're a little bit more speculative, but certainly they'll get more efficient.

01:13:47.460 Have the climate models calculated what happens when you hook up a small modular nuclear reactor to a whole series of carbon scrubbers,

01:13:58.560 and so your electricity is basically free?

01:14:01.520 No.

01:14:02.440 How could they possibly calculate any of that?

01:14:05.880 So the biggest variables are left out.

01:14:10.960 What would be a bigger variable than how many humans there are in a hundred years?

01:14:15.320 That's really big.

01:14:17.400 Or how about the impact of AI?

01:14:20.280 As if that's not going to change everything.

01:14:22.780 We don't know how.

01:14:23.600 But any long-term prediction longer than a year is kind of ridiculous at this point.

01:14:33.600 AI is going to make everything different in one year, and then all bets are off.

01:14:40.740 All right.

01:14:43.520 Here's a...

01:14:44.320 I saved this provocative stuff for the end.

01:14:46.900 You can find this article that I found really interesting.

01:14:50.500 It's in the...

01:14:52.580 Was it the Spectator?

01:14:55.420 Anyway, you can find it in my Twitter feed.

01:14:58.180 And the idea is that there's an abusive relationship between white guilt and black power.

01:15:04.480 And I've never heard...

01:15:05.640 Here's just one statement that tells you how well-written this is.

01:15:09.960 So there's this book that's been out for a long time by somebody named Steele,

01:15:14.240 who writes that white guilt is, quote,

01:15:17.580 the vacuum of moral authority that comes from simply knowing that one's race is associated with racism.

01:15:24.720 Such a vacuum cannot persist, however, since moral authority is needed for those in power to maintain legitimacy.

01:15:33.700 So regaining and maintaining it is essential.

01:15:36.720 So that's Shelby Steele's writing in a book called White Guilt that's been out for a long time.

01:15:40.880 Now, you think that's word salad?

01:15:46.660 Somebody called that word salad.

01:15:48.840 I thought that was really succinctly and well-stated.

01:15:52.200 But let me summarize it in my own words.

01:15:55.400 So the starting assumption is that whoever's in power has to have moral authority to do it well.

01:16:02.360 Would you agree with the first part?

01:16:04.200 That whoever's in power needs to be seen as morally sufficient to be in power.

01:16:09.400 And that if you were seen as a racist, that would not be enough moral authority.

01:16:18.380 So white people have been in this perpetual guilt situation where they need to always explain that they're not really racist.

01:16:28.080 And if you can't do that, you can't be in power.

01:16:30.300 So if you want to stay in power, you've got to make the racism thing go away or diminish it somehow.

01:16:38.300 And the way to do that is to give black power as much as they want.

01:16:43.880 Meaning whatever demands, whatever movements, whatever requests.

01:16:49.180 Because if you don't, you get labeled a racist and then you can't be in charge.

01:16:54.340 And I think that so succinctly explains everything.

01:17:01.360 Because have you ever had the thought that things have gone too far?

01:17:06.540 That maybe just making everything equal access should be enough?

01:17:12.600 And not trying to figure out every part of remaining systemic racism.

01:17:18.420 It feels like something went too far.

01:17:21.900 And this sort of succinctly explains it.

01:17:24.540 Because the people in charge have to go too far.

01:17:28.660 Because it's their only play.

01:17:30.880 Because the alternative is to be blamed as being an illegitimate authority.

01:17:36.140 And nobody in charge can handle that.

01:17:39.340 So read the rest of the story.

01:17:41.740 And you can find it in my Twitter feed this morning.

01:17:44.260 It's really eye-opening.

01:17:49.040 That if you didn't have...

01:17:51.040 Basically it's saying that the problems with the black community are white guilt.

01:17:57.120 That white guilt causes them to say yes to whatever is asked.

01:18:01.380 Which is not necessarily in their best interest.

01:18:04.700 Let me make a really insulting analogy.

01:18:07.520 You ready?

01:18:08.560 The part of the analogy that you should not compare.

01:18:10.980 Is that I'm going to say the black experience is similar to like children and their parents.

01:18:16.620 Not that black people are children.

01:18:18.940 That's the part you're not supposed to talk about.

01:18:22.020 I'm not making that comparison.

01:18:24.260 I'm only making the general comparison.

01:18:26.820 That if parents gave kids everything they asked for.

01:18:29.640 Would that be good for the kid or bad for the kid?

01:18:32.400 It would be bad.

01:18:33.540 Because the rules would look like they're flexible.

01:18:37.660 Well, here are the rules.

01:18:40.200 But if I just ask for candy before dinner, I'll get it.

01:18:44.460 So the parent says, no, you can't have candy before dinner.

01:18:47.080 And then the kid learns how to work within the boundaries and etc.

01:18:51.440 And potentially can be more independent.

01:18:54.660 Yeah, you don't say eat my tongue.

01:18:56.240 Eat my tongue if you're a Tibetan.

01:18:57.680 You can do that.

01:18:59.080 Eat my tongue.

01:18:59.940 Now, the argument here, and I'll just put it out for your opinion.

01:19:06.480 I'm not sure I have an opinion on it yet.

01:19:08.540 Is that white guilt has given everything that black people demand and gone too far.

01:19:16.160 And by gone too far, I mean to the detriment of the black people who are asking for it.

01:19:21.100 In other words, if white people had no guilt, the world would look like this.

01:19:29.120 Hey, the reason I can't succeed is because of the systemic racism.

01:19:34.500 And then white people who had no guilt would say, yeah, everybody's got a problem.

01:19:39.180 But just work on your talent stack and go to school and stay in a jail.

01:19:42.640 You'll be fine.

01:19:43.200 That's what the conversation would look like if there were no white guilt.

01:19:48.580 But because the people in power, if they're white or even if they're not,

01:19:53.440 they need to say yes to everything because they'll lose their moral authority

01:19:57.820 because the blowback will be too great.

01:20:01.600 So now they have to just say yes to everything.

01:20:04.500 So now if black Americans come in and say,

01:20:07.140 the reason we're not succeeding is because of systemic racism.

01:20:10.620 What do guilty white Americans say?

01:20:14.700 Absolutely.

01:20:15.860 Yeah, we've got to fix this.

01:20:16.880 We're terrible people.

01:20:18.200 And once we fix this, maybe you'll like us better.

01:20:21.460 So what is the message to black Americans?

01:20:23.840 You can't succeed because there's a problem there.

01:20:26.600 Is that good for black Americans to grow into a world where they're told

01:20:31.120 that there's a problem and it's not fixable and they can't succeed?

01:20:36.780 Of course not.

01:20:37.940 That's bad for black people.

01:20:39.440 Does anybody disagree with that point?

01:20:43.200 Everybody knows that you need some limit on how much you can complain.

01:20:48.200 If you don't limit how much somebody can complain,

01:20:51.180 they will just keep complaining because it keeps working.

01:20:54.080 As long as complaining works better than working on your own self

01:20:58.720 and just making sure that you succeed,

01:21:03.180 people will keep doing it.

01:21:04.420 So I think there's a pretty good argument that white guilt

01:21:08.400 is the destruction of the black experience

01:21:13.100 and that I would take it out of white people are responsible

01:21:19.360 because of systemic racism, which might be technically true.

01:21:23.560 It's just not useful.

01:21:24.480 What's useful is that everybody needs a limit.

01:21:30.040 And after you hit your limit, work on yourself.

01:21:33.760 You can push everybody else a certain amount,

01:21:37.620 but not forever.

01:21:39.700 As long as you think you can push forever,

01:21:42.040 it makes sense to push.

01:21:43.420 But at some point you have to hit the wall and say,

01:21:46.520 all right, well, I can't push this any further.

01:21:48.640 I just have to work on myself.

01:21:50.000 So I do think that white people can be blamed

01:21:55.720 for the situation in black America

01:21:59.000 because white people have the power

01:22:00.520 and the way they're using the power

01:22:02.640 is to simply give candy before dinner anytime it's asked.

01:22:07.640 And that's absolutely destruction of black America.

01:22:10.760 So I'm not sure if that explains some of what you see

01:22:17.400 or most of it or how much.

01:22:20.940 But it's definitely a hypothesis

01:22:23.500 that seems like it fits observable facts

01:22:27.680 and is compatible with how humans are designed.

01:22:34.760 All right.

01:22:36.620 I can tell when you get a little quiet

01:22:38.440 that maybe what I'm saying is sinking in a little bit

01:22:42.700 because I'm not getting the immediate kickback

01:22:46.800 that I usually get from most topics.

01:22:50.060 Yeah.

01:22:52.320 All right.

01:22:58.580 Who can't we mention?

01:23:00.660 Yeah, I think we're done for today.

01:23:02.940 Best live stream you've seen in a long time.

01:23:06.360 So YouTube, I'm going to say goodbye for now.

01:23:08.440 And I'll...

01:23:09.160 And I'll...

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 14, 2023

Episode 2078 Scott Adams： Biden Bucket List, AI Laws Coming, Bud Light Prediction, Classified Docs

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