Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2096 Scott Adams： DeSantis Charisma Deficit, Trump To Do CNN, Vice, Karine Jean-Pierre Lies

00:00:00.000 Good morning everybody and welcome to the best thing that's ever happened in the history of

00:00:10.800 civilization and beyond. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and aren't you glad you're here today?

00:00:17.260 Oh my goodness, what a good day we have. And if you'd like to take it up to levels

00:00:22.320 that could only be described as galactic, all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass,

00:00:28.280 a tank of Charles Stein, a canteen jug of glass, a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite

00:00:33.660 liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day,

00:00:40.100 the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip and it ends with a

00:00:46.640 ah. Don't forget that part. Ready? Go. Ah. Good stuff.

00:00:58.280 Well, um, I was writing this joke just before we went live, so let's see if I can land it.

00:01:05.920 Uh, it seems that, uh, we went from, uh, now with healthcare in the United States,

00:01:13.060 you can keep your doctor. You can keep your doctor. Uh, your balls are still in play,

00:01:18.900 but you can keep your doctor. All right. I'm not sure if that joke landed or not. It was funnier 0.99

00:01:25.120 on Locals when I was talking about it with them before we went live. Trust me, it was a lot funnier

00:01:29.840 than that. Maybe it's the way I said it. Anyway, uh, the, uh, publication Vice is headed for bankruptcy.

00:01:38.000 At one point, they were worth nearly $6 billion. And now apparently they're worth closer to nothing.

00:01:47.140 Uh, and Elon Musk was mocking them today on Twitter. He says, get woke, go broke.

00:01:55.120 Uh, and noted that they haven't had good content in years. And does anybody know if, uh, Vice ever,

00:02:05.720 uh, made fun of me? Do you think Vice ever did a hit piece on me? I feel like they did. I feel like

00:02:13.960 they did. Yeah. And I'm wondering how many of the publications that canceled me or went after

00:02:20.280 me are going to be out of business before I am. I think, I think I might outload it less than

00:02:26.720 newspapers that canceled me because they could go any minute. Uh, but Vice,

00:02:32.660 such a nice, uh, organization. So sad. All right. Well, there's a writer's strike,

00:02:41.020 um, that apparently is going to cause the closing of, uh, the show's Jimmy, Jimmy Kimmel,

00:02:48.000 Stephen Colbert and Seth Meyers late night shows are all going to shut down because of the writer's

00:02:53.900 strike. Uh, did I leave anybody out? Let's see. Jimmy Kimmel, Stephen Colbert, Seth Meyers. So

00:03:04.540 those are the late nights that are closing down. Gottfeld is not closing down. So he already

00:03:11.760 dominates them, but, uh, I think they write their own stuff and that the panel does, you know,

00:03:18.360 most of the work, the heavy lifting. So their current plan, I believe is to, to stay on the air.

00:03:25.540 So they will, uh, continue to pick up audience because you'll be competing against nobody.

00:03:31.920 How many people are going to give, uh, give the, you know, Gottfeld exclamation a chance

00:03:39.720 because the other shows are just off the air. This could get interesting. This could be a big,

00:03:45.700 uh, big change in the landscape there. All right. Here's, um, I hate to say this, but

00:03:53.400 there's something that somebody in the Biden administration is doing that's right.

00:04:01.020 I don't, I don't even have a complaint about it. Do you believe that? Do you believe I'm going to

00:04:06.820 tell you something that the Biden administration, somebody, what one individual in the Biden

00:04:11.480 administration is doing right that you're totally going to agree with? Do you think that that's

00:04:16.900 even possible? Cause I know this, this audience leans, uh, leans right. All right. Uh, challenge

00:04:24.720 accepted, challenge accepted. This will be example of unambiguous, unambiguous good work

00:04:32.120 from somebody in the Biden administration. Do you think I can deliver on that? Here we go.

00:04:39.860 The, uh, surgeon general says there's a loneliness epidemic and he's making it a priority. Yes.

00:04:48.820 Yes. That is absolutely on point. Points out that it's a, there's a huge impact on health. So if you

00:04:57.420 think that's not the surgeon general's job, you're very wrong, it's very much the surgeon general's

00:05:02.580 job to point this out and make a big deal about it and see if we can fix it. So apparently the

00:05:08.500 pandemic really wiped down a lot of people's, um, social lives. How many of you have a worse social

00:05:16.340 life now than before the, uh, uh, the pandemic go? A lot of people say same, a lot of yeses,

00:05:25.300 right? A lot of nos, but apparently it's a thing. So it doesn't, didn't affect every single person,

00:05:31.860 but you know, I, I had a divorce so that, yeah, that makes my data a little, uh, out of line.

00:05:40.240 So yeah, I think maybe that's the biggest health. Just, just keep this in mind. Given the number of

00:05:50.920 people who have been driven into loneliness, largely by the pandemic, um, the loneliness might

00:05:58.280 kill more people than the virus. Agree or disagree? The loneliness might kill more people than the

00:06:07.480 virus did. That's like a real thing because look, look at these numbers, uh, uh, according to this

00:06:14.860 article, uh, loneliness increases risk of premature death by 30%.

00:06:19.280 Greater risk of stroke, heart disease, everything else. And there's a huge shift in how much time we're

00:06:29.520 spending with other people versus online. Now, uh, and the Surgeon General is recommending that

00:06:38.480 organizations figure out some way to cause people to spend more time with each other.

00:06:44.500 And I'm, I'm a big fan of that. I think that needs to be fixed. So I would note that, isn't it weird

00:06:53.140 how many problems are happening at exactly the same time as AI is happening? And the AI, maybe not today,

00:07:03.100 but like really, really soon, maybe in just a few weeks, might be able to solve some of these problems.

00:07:09.840 For example, um, I'm sure that lonely people are going to have genuine friendships with AI.

00:07:18.100 Does anybody doubt that? Now don't, don't think in terms of yourself, right? Just think of other

00:07:24.980 people. You know, I know you don't want to have a AI friend, maybe. So don't talk about yourself.

00:07:31.100 Do you think there's any chance that that's not going to happen? Trust me, I, I tested it for a while

00:07:37.780 and it absolutely reduces loneliness. It does because you have a conversation with something that's

00:07:45.620 responding. And, and it does have far more than even a pet. You know, a pet is great, but if the pet

00:07:54.560 can't talk, they really have a disadvantage. Now, I would like to also suggest to those of you who

00:08:02.560 don't already know it, that one of the things I did within my subscription site, scottadams.locals.com,

00:08:10.380 is that I started doing, um, almost nightly, maybe five or six nights a week. I do a man cave episode

00:08:19.120 where the only point is to hang out together. Now, if you are also lonely and you have a few extra bucks

00:08:28.340 for a subscription service, I can't guarantee that I'll do it every night because, you know,

00:08:33.740 sometimes I got plans. It doesn't happen often. Uh, but, um, I'm happy to be your virtual friend.

00:08:44.520 And I asked the other day on one of these, um, man cave hangouts, uh, how many people were alone

00:08:50.960 and lonely, uh, or single. There's a lot of them. There were a lot of people who just don't have

00:08:56.860 anybody in the house at all. So they turn on the man cave and they just hang out with me for a while

00:09:02.320 in my man cave doing God knows what, which I won't mention on, on, uh, YouTube, but it's a legal adult

00:09:10.300 activity in California. It does not involve any tubing-like activities. No nudity. All right. Uh,

00:09:20.340 but come join if you, uh, if you feel lonely and you want one extra thing to do many evenings,

00:09:26.480 but not all of them, that's an option for you. Um, or get an AI friend. I think they're going to be

00:09:33.200 pretty cool. All right. Jean-Pierre, Luke, no, Jean-Pierre, uh, Karina Jean-Pierre. What is her name?

00:09:44.500 Why? She has the only name that I can't remember no matter how many times I read it

00:09:47.980 because there's too many names. Karine Jean-Pierre. Oh, that's right. Because I remember

00:09:54.440 Gutfeld made a joke about her first name being cringe, cringe, John-Pierre. She actually said in

00:10:01.260 public, uh, when it comes to illegal, uh, migration, uh, you have seen it come down by more than 90%.

00:10:08.500 I don't even know what she was thinking about, but, uh, but apparently she's trying to set the record

00:10:18.460 as, you know, by far the worst, uh, spokesperson who ever lived. I believe she has now achieved

00:10:26.260 worst spokesperson of all time. What was she even thinking? What went down by 90%? Did something

00:10:36.240 go down 90% but it wasn't that? I mean, where did that even come from? So of course that got tweeted

00:10:42.320 around and of course it took about a second and a half to get a Twitter community notes attached to

00:10:47.640 it that said migrant border crossings in fiscal 2022 topped 2.76 million, breaking previous record.

00:10:58.260 So the truth is it's a record high in the history of civilization. Well, you know, America wasn't here

00:11:06.760 all the time, but you know what I mean. It was a record high and she said, as she just looks at the

00:11:12.500 crowd, looks into the camera, says down 90%. All right. I, I, I saw somebody say diversity higher. So I'm

00:11:27.600 going to, I'm going to go there. Are you ready for this? So I saw a horrible conversation happening

00:11:36.460 on Twitter, uh, which I feel really bad about. Like this, this is just an icky conversation

00:11:43.960 and it's based on the fact that, uh, Lawrence Jones is apparently going to sit in temporarily

00:11:51.520 for Tucker Carlson. And I saw a black woman who's, who's a doctor of some kind. Um, and it's important

00:12:00.080 that it's a black woman, just so you know, the, the source of the comment who said that it has,

00:12:05.260 essentially she said as the optics of a diversity hire in the context of ESG and DEI. Now, as Jeff

00:12:16.160 Charles said on Twitter, who I believe is a friend of Lawrence Jones, he defended him, said basically

00:12:22.720 that was a crappy thing to say because Lawrence Jones has worked hard, done good work. Why not?

00:12:30.760 You know, you know, why not him? Why not him? But the counter was that maybe he hasn't, um, has not

00:12:39.000 developed a, let's say body of work that would make him the obvious choice for the job. And so the

00:12:45.920 comment was that has the optics of being a diversity hire. Now I would like to separate the question

00:12:53.640 of whether Lawrence Jones specifically is, um, qualified for that job. In my opinion, he is.

00:13:03.120 That's my opinion. In my opinion, he is qualified for that. Cause if you think who else is going to do

00:13:08.140 it and you also think that it's temporary and you also think that it'll probably rotate, why not

00:13:14.400 Lawrence Jones? He, he didn't already have his own show. He's, he's one of the ones that are developing,

00:13:21.360 obviously for, you know, with intention of higher purpose. Why not? So I disagree that, uh, he's

00:13:31.280 unqualified for that job. I think he would be in the running. I think he would be one of the serious

00:13:36.160 candidates among several, but I think he's definitely in the category. Um, however, I'm going to agree

00:13:43.640 with this part of the comment. It, it's a bad look for him, isn't it? How shitty is that, that you could

00:13:52.660 be Lawrence Jones, do everything right. And then when you finally get a break, we don't know if it's 0.90

00:13:59.300 a break. It might just be a one week thing and nothing else, but it could be. I mean, if he did

00:14:04.220 well, it could be a big break. So how shitty is it that we even have to ask that question?

00:14:11.300 Because the problem is it's a, it's a valid question. That's the problem. The problem is, 0.89

00:14:16.620 is actually a valid question. I don't think it's fair in his case, but the, the, the criticism was

00:14:23.040 not about Lawrence Jones per se. It was about the fact that if you're looking at it from the outside,

00:14:28.480 it looks like Fox news was just trying to make sure that they reduced their criticism as much as

00:14:35.140 possible. And that would be one way to do it. And it might also look like, um, they're, they're

00:14:42.080 trying to get their advertisers back, which is perfectly fine. They are a business that relies

00:14:49.060 on advertisers. So as long as that's not a hidden fact, if they're trying to get their advertisers

00:14:55.080 back by doing things, which society at large and advertisers think is within the acceptable

00:15:01.020 zone, it's sort of normal business. But I really feel bad for somebody like Lawrence Jones, who

00:15:09.760 does the actual work, you know, is a completely credible person in that field. And that you would

00:15:17.880 have to ask that question about, is there some other reason that he was selected? Now with

00:15:23.300 Corinne Jean-Pierre, you've got the same problem, do you not? The difference is she's obviously

00:15:30.380 incompetent. This is completely different than Lawrence Jones, who's obviously good at his

00:15:37.120 job. Would you all agree? I mean, you've seen him. He's very good at his job. He's always

00:15:42.460 a good, interesting, charismatic character and, um, adds a lot to the shows he's on. So I think

00:15:52.120 he's very good. Now, but Corinne Jean-Pierre is just terrible. And I don't think there's

00:15:58.040 even a Democrat who would disagree with that, right? That has nothing to do with race or

00:16:02.720 politics. That's just obvious to everybody. Now, doesn't it look to you like she's a diversity 0.70

00:16:07.660 higher? There's no, is there any doubt about it? I mean, it's the most clear, it's the, she

00:16:18.380 is the clearest signal that they're not serious people. And I feel like it's terrible for black 0.96

00:16:26.940 Americans to have somebody who, in a sense, you could say in a sense, she's representing,

00:16:33.260 you know, people who identify with her in any way. I feel like that's a terrible look.

00:16:39.420 There's not one black person in the whole frickin' country who couldn't do that job better. 0.98

00:16:46.260 Lawrence Jones could do it better if he were a Democrat, right? I mean, you could pick almost 0.98

00:16:51.720 anybody. You know, look at CNN's pundit lineup. And, you know, CNN does a good job of having lots of

00:17:01.320 diversity. You don't think you could pick randomly any one of CNN's, you know, black on-air pundits,

00:17:10.180 and they wouldn't do a far better job than Jean-Pierre? Of course they would. You could watch it.

00:17:18.640 You could see them do a good job. Obviously they do a good job. So there's a real problem with the

00:17:25.640 optics. And the problem is more for black Americans than it is for anybody else. Because I think if 0.98

00:17:33.080 you're qualified, it's just such a slap in the face that anybody's even going to ask that question

00:17:38.080 just because you get a good job opportunity. So I think we can be honest about that situation.

00:17:45.380 It's just terrible for a lot of people. All right. Let's talk about

00:17:50.880 Tony Blinken. So Secretary of State Blinken, Anthony Blinken, was implicated, and I'll just say

00:18:02.500 implicated, for being the, quote, impetus, the impetus for the 50 intel people who signed the letter

00:18:12.440 saying the laptop was probably Russian disinformation. Now, the story does not say,

00:18:19.160 there's no reporting that says that Blinken asked for that letter to be created. And everybody agrees

00:18:25.060 on that. So he's not directly somebody who said, create this letter, or at least it's not in record.

00:18:32.040 There's no evidence of that. But he's being called the impetus or the spark or the trigger or the cause

00:18:43.400 that caused somebody else independently to go organize that letter. Now, it was somebody that

00:18:50.260 Blinken talked to. Blinken talked to him. And then that guy, allegedly on his own, went and put a letter

00:18:57.660 together and blah, blah, blah, blah. So Blinken has deniability because he did not specifically ask

00:19:03.520 for it, or there's no evidence that he did. But is it still fair to say he got the ball rolling?

00:19:11.480 That maybe he pushed in a direction that was certain to cause some activity, if not a letter,

00:19:17.960 or something else along those lines? I don't know. But the question is, should he be impeached?

00:19:26.820 Rasmussen did a poll, and let me see if I can test the wisdom of my audit. You're so smart.

00:19:36.640 How do you get the answers before I ask the question? How do you do it? Yeah, 25% is the answer,

00:19:43.720 and I haven't even asked the question. It's how many people think Blinken should not be impeached.

00:19:50.920 But let me get the exact wording of it so I don't say it wrong.

00:19:57.660 Oh, the exact percentage is 25% don't think Congress should launch an impeachment against Blinken.

00:20:06.240 25%? 25%. Only 25% think Congress shouldn't. Now, there are people who don't care, right? So there's

00:20:20.440 still some people who don't have an opinion or don't know about it or whatever. But 60% of likely

00:20:25.540 voters believe Congress should begin impeachment. 60%. What do you think? How many of you think

00:20:33.560 Blinken should be impeached when he did not specifically ask for that letter to be written?

00:20:39.760 I'm going to say no. Yeah, I'm going to say no, because you're going to need some evidence.

00:20:49.840 Well, what's to investigate? It's probably two people at a private conversation,

00:20:54.120 and they both have the same story. So far, that's all it is. I doubt there's any written documentation.

00:21:03.560 You don't think that they sent a memo, do you? Memo. Good idea. Collect Intel signatures. No.

00:21:12.960 They're all smart enough not to write this stuff down. So if the only evidence that Blinken was

00:21:19.080 responsible is that he talked to the guy who ended up being responsible, that's not enough.

00:21:25.700 Well, I'm seeing a comment that didn't stop the Democrats. I'm not willing to throw away everything

00:21:36.900 just for team play. I think the impeachment system still needs to be genuine. The fact that Trump's

00:21:48.340 impeachments were, in my opinion, totally illegitimate doesn't mean I want to do that.

00:21:55.540 So I don't think you want to do that to the other side. I think you want to see if you can treat

00:22:00.660 the Trump situation as a one-off and hope it was. That's not the one I would retaliate on with some

00:22:08.440 BS impeachment. That's just not a good look for anybody. To me, that would make the Republicans

00:22:14.860 look incompetent. It would make them just look completely political, more so than usual.

00:22:22.560 All right. So I don't approve of that, but I understand the feeling behind it. So emotionally,

00:22:27.880 I agree. If you want to know how I feel emotionally, yeah. Emotionally. But it's not good for the country.

00:22:37.000 Well, the U.S. District Court for Eastern District of Pennsylvania, good news for them, 1.00

00:22:47.220 the court agreed that the after-school Satan Club will be allowed to meet so that the school district

00:22:54.700 didn't want to sanction an after-school Satan Club. But the courts have said free speech. ACLU decided

00:23:02.680 that was something important they needed to get involved with. That's right. The ACLU took the

00:23:09.660 side of Satan. I'm not even making that up. That's like actual real. That's real. The ACLU took donations

00:23:20.700 from people and then employed it to back Satan. Like actually. Not in a joke way. In the actual way.

00:23:33.480 They're backing Satan. I wish that was a joke. That's not really a joke. Now, they might argue that

00:23:44.920 they don't believe Satan exists, and therefore they're not really backing him. They're just backing

00:23:49.340 free speech. And I do like the free speech part. You know, I don't disagree with the decision.

00:23:56.600 Yeah, free speech is free speech. But it is kind of weird that the ACLU went in hard in favor of Satan.

00:24:04.240 That's not good branding. But the ruling went further than just saying that they can have their Satan

00:24:11.200 worshiping after-school club. They can worship Satan, but there were strict guidelines about not

00:24:19.080 using the wrong pronouns when referring to Satan. So Satan is he, him, and they. He, him, and they.

00:24:29.240 The courts will come after you if you use the wrong pronoun for Satan. No, I just made that up.

00:24:34.980 But you couldn't tell, could you? There's no difference between the ridiculous parody I make up 0.85

00:24:40.380 and the actual news. You couldn't tell. But I made that part up. 0.82

00:24:45.240 All right. I was using, I did figure out how to get mid-journey to give me a result.

00:24:51.080 I forgot that you have to put an arcane slash command before your request. Why? It's a bad interface.

00:24:58.720 That's why. No reason. No other reason. It's just a terrible, terrible interface.

00:25:03.080 So when I put that in, I got some AI pictures of me. But here's the interesting thing.

00:25:11.580 AI knows who I am, because I'm a public figure. But it decided to give me a beard.

00:25:18.740 Now, that's not the weird part. The weird part is that yesterday on the subscription local site,

00:25:26.080 we were talking about whether I should grow a beard. That was actually a conversation yesterday

00:25:32.800 on an online chat. And one day after we have that conversation, which has not been anything

00:25:40.580 I've thought about or talked about before, I ask AI to give a picture of me,

00:25:45.980 and it puts a beard on me in every picture. Now, it's not every AI all the time,

00:25:51.300 but the first one I used on mid-journey. And I thought, where does that come from?

00:25:57.080 If AI literally knows who I am, because it does, because the rest of me looks just like me.

00:26:04.860 And if I ask it, it'll tell me I'm a cartoonist. It knows exactly who I am.

00:26:10.380 And it knows exactly what I look like. But why does it give me a beard?

00:26:15.580 It's like somehow it knows I should have a beard.

00:26:18.380 I saw a lot of funny comments on that. But here's the other good part. It puts me in really nice clothing.

00:26:31.380 So of all the pictures it has of me to choose, it puts me in the greatest shirts.

00:26:39.600 And I'm looking at those shirts, and I'm like, wow, if I actually wore those shirts,

00:26:44.380 I would look a lot better than I look now.

00:26:45.920 And maybe that beard is good, too.

00:26:48.340 And now it gets weirder. I'm going to take it one level weirder.

00:26:52.780 Yesterday, I was on Instagram, and I was watching a video of a young woman

00:26:58.680 who is saying some of the things that turn women on.

00:27:04.760 Does my beard look like Christina? 1.00

00:27:06.980 That's funny, but you suck. 1.00

00:27:08.500 Funny comment, though. 1.00

00:27:15.620 What was I saying?

00:27:17.720 Something about clothes.

00:27:22.360 Oh, so yesterday I was watching an Instagram video

00:27:26.620 in which a young woman was saying what fashion choices men should make

00:27:30.940 to look good to women.

00:27:32.560 So what do women find sexy? 1.00

00:27:34.020 And one of the things on our fairly short list was a watch.

00:27:40.180 How many of you women, just the women, question just for the women, 1.00

00:27:45.880 how many women say that a man with a nice watch,

00:27:48.980 let's say it's a nice one of some sort,

00:27:51.540 that that's like a turn-on, 0.99

00:27:54.580 holy shit, you're all saying yes. 0.99

00:27:58.560 Where did that come from? 1.00

00:28:00.900 That doesn't even make sense to me.

00:28:02.540 I had no idea.

00:28:05.040 All right, here's the weird part.

00:28:07.660 I'm not going to argue with you whether a watch makes sense.

00:28:12.140 I'm just going to say this,

00:28:14.400 that yesterday afternoon is the first time I've ever thought,

00:28:19.300 huh, I wonder if I should get a watch.

00:28:22.820 Never had the thought before.

00:28:24.800 Because as soon as I didn't need a watch,

00:28:26.680 I never wanted to wear one again, you know, if I had my phone.

00:28:29.100 So I don't want an Apple watch.

00:28:31.760 And I don't like things on my wrist at all.

00:28:35.660 So yesterday, for the first time,

00:28:39.520 I had serious thoughts about getting a watch.

00:28:42.460 And then AI produced some pictures and it put a watch on me.

00:28:46.960 And it looked good.

00:28:48.640 It looked pretty good.

00:28:50.000 I have to admit, I was like,

00:28:52.480 did AI just convince me to buy a watch?

00:28:54.620 And I think it did.

00:28:56.560 Well, your comments do.

00:28:58.580 I had no idea that women like it when men wear a watch.

00:29:03.460 But I assume it's to show off.

00:29:05.840 It's to show off that you can afford an expensive watch.

00:29:09.140 Is that the only purpose?

00:29:11.280 Because here's the problem.

00:29:12.640 I would never wear a watch expensive enough

00:29:14.860 to make it worth robbing me.

00:29:17.840 I would never go in public with a watch

00:29:19.940 that somebody else would want to steal from me. 1.00

00:29:21.820 That's just kind of stupid. 0.99

00:29:26.020 I mean, even in my town, I wouldn't go out. 1.00

00:29:28.040 It's a pretty safe town.

00:29:29.300 I wouldn't go out with an expensive watch.

00:29:34.580 Yeah.

00:29:35.640 And then if I wanted a watch,

00:29:37.920 I'd probably want an Apple watch.

00:29:40.160 Ladies, if you see a guy with an Apple watch,

00:29:43.120 is that a plus or minus?

00:29:44.580 Go.

00:29:45.460 Plus or minus?

00:29:46.420 Apple watch.

00:29:49.320 Minus, minus, minus.

00:29:50.400 Minus.

00:29:52.160 Oh, minus.

00:29:54.000 Minus, minus, minus.

00:29:56.100 All right.

00:29:56.640 Well, that's a pretty overwhelming response.

00:29:59.240 All right.

00:29:59.540 Very, very interesting.

00:30:01.660 But AI seems to dress me better than I dress.

00:30:05.580 I saw a bunch of stories today

00:30:07.320 about Jack Dorsey throwing shade on Elon Musk

00:30:11.480 and saying that Musk might not be the right choice

00:30:14.540 for running Twitter.

00:30:17.480 Now, that's not exactly what he said.

00:30:19.200 What he actually said was way more nuanced.

00:30:22.720 It was more like in the fantasy world

00:30:25.700 in which Elon's $44 million was too much,

00:30:31.920 he thinks that the board should have, I don't know,

00:30:35.000 not taken the deal or something.

00:30:37.200 So he thinks it's a combination of the fact

00:30:39.600 that it was overpriced and the board accepted it

00:30:42.340 and they shouldn't have,

00:30:43.300 but maybe he's not the right person.

00:30:45.320 So basically, he was just throwing a little shade on Twitter.

00:30:49.480 Here's what the news didn't seem to report.

00:30:54.060 This should be the first statement in a story like this.

00:30:57.640 Statement number one to introduce the story.

00:30:59.840 Jack Dorsey, who was the founder of Twitter,

00:31:05.020 but now is the founder of a competitor to Twitter

00:31:08.660 called Blue Sky,

00:31:10.760 had something to say about his competitor, Elon Musk.

00:31:15.520 If you leave out the fact that they're competing,

00:31:18.940 at least in this business,

00:31:23.700 that's kind of a big thing to leave out.

00:31:25.680 Now, I think some of them mentioned Blue Sky,

00:31:30.280 but that should be the first thing you say,

00:31:32.920 that they're competitors.

00:31:35.000 Because if you make it look like

00:31:36.660 it's some independent thought

00:31:38.200 of just a random person with some good ideas,

00:31:41.900 that's completely different

00:31:43.240 than knowing that somebody's financial interests

00:31:47.040 are aligned with insulting the other person.

00:31:51.000 That's a big thing to leave out.

00:31:52.560 But we'll see how that plays out.

00:31:58.880 I have a prediction.

00:32:03.580 If there are any Hunter Biden financial bombshells

00:32:07.400 that are so big it would take out his dad,

00:32:11.880 the president,

00:32:13.240 that you won't see them

00:32:14.880 until the peak of the election season.

00:32:17.360 Here's why.

00:32:19.040 So there are two types of people in the political world.

00:32:21.800 You've got your Democrats,

00:32:22.940 you've got your Republicans.

00:32:24.080 You know, roughly speaking,

00:32:25.300 people are lining up with those two.

00:32:27.620 If Democrats,

00:32:29.300 even if they're in the justice system,

00:32:31.620 if Democrats saw something terrible about Hunter right now,

00:32:37.140 do you think they would tell us or stall?

00:32:40.160 They would stall.

00:32:41.580 So if there was something brewing

00:32:43.180 that people had already seen

00:32:45.860 and they know, oh my God, this is bad,

00:32:48.240 if Democrats saw it,

00:32:49.480 I think they would stall.

00:32:51.520 And they would try to see

00:32:52.500 if they could make it go away

00:32:53.560 as long as possible,

00:32:54.580 maybe until after the election.

00:32:56.880 But what if Republicans saw it?

00:32:59.300 Because within, say,

00:33:00.640 Department of Justice, FBI,

00:33:02.720 you could have a little of both.

00:33:04.500 What would a Republican do

00:33:06.040 if they knew there was a Hunter Biden bombshell

00:33:08.900 that would take out dad?

00:33:10.620 Would they want that to be dropped now?

00:33:15.760 Would this be the best time to introduce it?

00:33:19.480 No.

00:33:20.960 No.

00:33:21.580 The best time to introduce it

00:33:22.940 would be at the height of the season.

00:33:26.380 So here's my prediction.

00:33:28.940 If there is a bombshell,

00:33:30.500 and I don't know that there would be,

00:33:32.620 but I'm going to say if,

00:33:33.840 if there's a Hunter Biden bombshell

00:33:35.620 that's so big it could, you know,

00:33:38.060 cripple Joe Biden, 0.98

00:33:40.360 it will be introduced

00:33:42.120 probably just a few months

00:33:45.200 before the election.

00:33:46.760 But it will be well after the primaries.

00:33:50.340 Because neither side

00:33:52.400 wants to take Biden out of the primary.

00:33:55.220 The Democrats think

00:33:56.280 he's their best hope.

00:33:59.080 The Republicans,

00:34:00.220 if they had something on him,

00:34:01.920 would want him to get

00:34:02.940 well into the election

00:34:03.980 before they dump it.

00:34:05.040 So neither Republicans

00:34:06.780 nor Democrats

00:34:07.580 have a reason

00:34:08.420 to take Hunter out

00:34:09.940 before the primary.

00:34:12.480 Neither side wants to do it

00:34:13.840 before the primary.

00:34:15.460 So if there's something there,

00:34:17.240 it's going to dump

00:34:17.820 in the summer before the election.

00:34:19.980 Sort of late summer

00:34:21.360 before the election.

00:34:22.680 So you have lots of time

00:34:23.640 to talk about it.

00:34:25.000 And people have not made up

00:34:26.420 their final decision.

00:34:27.460 You don't want to get too close.

00:34:29.280 So the problem with the

00:34:30.420 grab him by the murmur

00:34:32.240 that Trump did

00:34:33.720 that was so close

00:34:35.180 to the election itself

00:34:36.280 that people already

00:34:37.340 made up their minds.

00:34:38.700 And once they make up their mind,

00:34:40.200 it just doesn't matter

00:34:40.940 what happens.

00:34:42.280 So you have to get them

00:34:43.240 when they're at least

00:34:43.840 a little bit undecided,

00:34:45.680 you know,

00:34:45.980 several months

00:34:46.520 before the election.

00:34:49.980 Oh, you think RFK Jr.

00:34:51.600 would disclose a bombshell?

00:34:52.800 Well, I don't think

00:34:54.120 that anybody knows it

00:34:56.260 except, you know,

00:34:58.000 some people deep in FBI

00:34:59.800 or Department of Justice

00:35:01.540 or CIA

00:35:02.380 or government

00:35:03.540 or something.

00:35:06.120 All right.

00:35:08.720 Trump is going to do CNN,

00:35:11.240 which is being reported

00:35:12.700 as a slap at Fox News

00:35:14.520 because the reporting

00:35:18.060 is that Trump was mad

00:35:21.240 at Fox News

00:35:22.000 for being too friendly

00:35:23.020 to DeSantis,

00:35:24.320 which makes sense.

00:35:26.540 I don't know if that's true,

00:35:27.620 but it feels like

00:35:29.600 a true thing.

00:35:31.620 If you were Trump,

00:35:33.760 you'd probably be

00:35:34.300 a little annoyed

00:35:34.980 at how much love

00:35:36.000 they were giving DeSantis.

00:35:37.640 Totally understand.

00:35:40.080 So he's deciding

00:35:41.060 to do his big town hall

00:35:42.580 with CNN,

00:35:45.600 with Caitlin Collins.

00:35:46.840 What do you think of that?

00:35:48.180 If you judge this

00:35:49.140 just as a political strategy,

00:35:52.100 is it a good Trump

00:35:53.440 political strategy?

00:35:54.800 Just strategy?

00:35:55.500 Yeah, I think it's good.

00:35:58.880 It's good, yeah.

00:35:59.860 Because he has to go

00:36:02.000 into the lion's den.

00:36:04.320 You know,

00:36:04.500 he has to go into

00:36:05.320 the, you know,

00:36:06.820 the hardest part

00:36:08.040 of the conversation

00:36:09.680 and still come out okay.

00:36:11.480 Is there anybody

00:36:12.500 you would rather see

00:36:13.660 go into the hardest interview

00:36:16.220 you could possibly imagine?

00:36:18.960 It would be him.

00:36:19.960 Yeah, maybe Mike Cernovich

00:36:23.220 would be, you know,

00:36:24.520 on your top three

00:36:25.500 or something.

00:36:26.300 But of people

00:36:27.080 you would want to see

00:36:28.280 in a really tough interview,

00:36:29.960 it would be Trump.

00:36:31.420 Right?

00:36:31.840 I mean, because he knows

00:36:32.700 how to manage the energy

00:36:34.660 and take over a room

00:36:36.180 and all that stuff.

00:36:37.380 It's going to be so good.

00:36:38.780 So when,

00:36:40.320 let's see,

00:36:42.240 I don't know.

00:36:42.680 I don't see a time,

00:36:47.540 but it's upcoming.

00:36:50.180 So,

00:36:50.720 once again,

00:36:53.560 once again,

00:36:55.640 Trump

00:36:56.020 is impossible

00:36:59.020 to ignore.

00:37:01.000 Right?

00:37:01.340 He's always finding

00:37:02.340 some little thing

00:37:03.520 that makes it more interesting

00:37:04.920 than other people

00:37:05.860 and going on CNN

00:37:07.200 is another one.

00:37:08.320 So apparently

00:37:08.820 he's going to open up

00:37:10.020 to the, you know,

00:37:11.360 the press that hates him

00:37:13.260 and go right into

00:37:14.800 the belly of the beast,

00:37:16.020 which is why you like him.

00:37:17.460 Right?

00:37:17.780 If you like Trump,

00:37:19.640 you like him

00:37:20.280 because he's not afraid

00:37:21.180 of anything.

00:37:23.180 This would be

00:37:23.840 just more of that.

00:37:25.160 I mean,

00:37:25.420 it's part of his appeal

00:37:26.960 is that he would walk

00:37:28.160 into the lion's den

00:37:30.060 and you would worry

00:37:31.640 about the lion.

00:37:33.460 Now, let me say that again

00:37:34.680 though.

00:37:34.940 It sounded good.

00:37:37.060 One of the reasons

00:37:37.880 people like Trump

00:37:38.900 is that he's willing

00:37:40.540 to walk into

00:37:41.220 the lion's den

00:37:42.080 but he'd worry

00:37:43.380 about the lion.

00:37:46.980 All right.

00:37:49.700 I was watching

00:37:50.580 a pro-DeSantis ad.

00:37:52.440 I guess it's probably

00:37:53.160 made by,

00:37:54.540 I don't know,

00:37:54.920 does DeSantis

00:37:55.780 make the ads

00:37:57.080 or because he's not,

00:37:58.480 he's not running

00:37:59.480 officially for president

00:38:00.740 so probably

00:38:02.600 it's a pack,

00:38:03.500 right?

00:38:03.800 That does it.

00:38:05.060 But it featured

00:38:06.320 DeSantis

00:38:07.760 with his

00:38:08.940 soaring rhetoric

00:38:10.180 and his charisma

00:38:12.060 giving some strong

00:38:14.380 forceful speeches

00:38:15.380 and as I watched

00:38:17.080 his soaring rhetoric

00:38:18.400 and his charisma

00:38:19.920 I was hit with

00:38:20.860 two things.

00:38:22.320 He does not have

00:38:23.220 any soaring rhetoric

00:38:24.280 and he doesn't have

00:38:25.820 any charisma.

00:38:26.380 Am I alone in that?

00:38:29.780 He doesn't have

00:38:30.700 a good writer

00:38:31.340 and he doesn't

00:38:33.040 have charisma.

00:38:33.560 He's just a good

00:38:36.400 solid politician.

00:38:39.320 I don't have anything

00:38:40.280 bad to say about him.

00:38:41.900 Nothing bad.

00:38:42.960 Seems very capable.

00:38:44.820 But he does not

00:38:45.720 have charisma.

00:38:47.740 And I was listening

00:38:49.080 to the quality

00:38:49.840 of the speech.

00:38:51.080 It's not that

00:38:51.780 well written.

00:38:53.360 I mean,

00:38:53.820 it's functional.

00:38:55.820 But you compare

00:38:57.020 that to

00:38:57.680 RFK Jr.

00:39:00.000 or you compare

00:39:00.680 that to

00:39:01.560 Vivek

00:39:02.240 Ramaswamy

00:39:03.260 or you compare

00:39:04.980 it to even Trump.

00:39:06.020 I mean, 0.74

00:39:06.220 Trump's his own animal

00:39:07.180 but at least

00:39:08.320 he gets everybody

00:39:09.060 engaged, right?

00:39:13.000 DeSantis has

00:39:13.720 the least charisma

00:39:14.620 of any of the

00:39:15.740 main figures

00:39:16.860 in the race

00:39:17.700 and that's got to

00:39:18.700 matter.

00:39:19.780 Yeah,

00:39:20.040 that's got to

00:39:20.460 matter for something.

00:39:22.200 All right.

00:39:24.260 Let's talk about

00:39:25.160 that Ukraine offensive 0.65

00:39:26.200 that's coming

00:39:26.680 any day now.

00:39:27.460 I warn you

00:39:31.240 that all news

00:39:32.020 about Ukraine

00:39:32.620 is BS

00:39:33.340 and that the media

00:39:35.000 is in the tank

00:39:36.200 for Ukraine

00:39:36.980 and if I quote

00:39:39.160 any media reports

00:39:40.260 that say Ukraine

00:39:41.100 is looking good

00:39:41.960 that it's not

00:39:43.680 because I believe it.

00:39:45.080 All right.

00:39:45.680 Unfortunately,

00:39:46.200 I have to preface

00:39:47.460 any comment

00:39:48.420 about Ukraine

00:39:49.180 with,

00:39:51.060 no,

00:39:51.280 I don't believe it.

00:39:52.200 I'm just telling you

00:39:52.920 what the media

00:39:53.400 is telling us.

00:39:54.040 And what the media

00:39:55.520 is telling us

00:39:56.460 is that Ukraine

00:39:59.120 is looking good

00:40:00.540 for this spring

00:40:01.940 offensive.

00:40:02.840 Any moment now

00:40:04.260 they're going to

00:40:04.680 spring.

00:40:05.420 Do you believe that?

00:40:06.920 Do you believe

00:40:07.580 that Ukraine's 0.77

00:40:08.240 looking strong

00:40:08.960 and they got

00:40:10.160 the assets

00:40:10.760 and the people

00:40:11.340 and the morale

00:40:11.980 and they got a plan

00:40:13.080 and it's looking strong?

00:40:14.920 No,

00:40:15.100 I don't believe it.

00:40:16.100 Right.

00:40:16.400 No,

00:40:16.580 I don't believe it at all.

00:40:18.100 I mean,

00:40:18.760 I suppose anything's

00:40:19.800 possible,

00:40:20.980 but it doesn't feel,

00:40:22.880 it doesn't feel true

00:40:24.000 to me.

00:40:24.800 And then the reporting

00:40:25.940 is that the Russians

00:40:27.180 have built this,

00:40:28.800 you know,

00:40:28.980 massive array

00:40:29.920 of defensive trenches

00:40:32.220 that are so big

00:40:34.020 you can see them

00:40:34.660 from Google,

00:40:35.420 Google satellite

00:40:36.900 or something.

00:40:38.080 And they report

00:40:40.760 that the Russian military

00:40:43.700 is in disarray.

00:40:45.920 Do you think

00:40:46.720 that the Russian military

00:40:47.600 is in disarray?

00:40:51.260 I don't know.

00:40:52.200 But the evidence

00:40:53.400 that they give,

00:40:54.440 this is CNN reporting,

00:40:56.620 the evidence they give

00:40:57.580 is that once again

00:40:59.220 Putin changed out

00:41:01.340 the head general.

00:41:03.480 Now,

00:41:03.900 how many times

00:41:04.580 has Putin

00:41:05.080 changed out

00:41:06.780 the general?

00:41:08.140 Five times?

00:41:10.780 Two times?

00:41:12.580 I thought it was

00:41:13.040 more like five times.

00:41:15.100 No?

00:41:15.220 You know?

00:41:18.160 But,

00:41:18.720 so this is part

00:41:19.620 of the evidence

00:41:20.200 that there's disarray

00:41:21.960 is that

00:41:22.820 just before

00:41:24.200 a big

00:41:24.660 presumed offensive,

00:41:27.160 they changed out

00:41:28.140 their top general.

00:41:29.160 Does that tell you

00:41:30.360 disarray?

00:41:32.600 Would you say

00:41:33.400 that's disarray

00:41:34.280 because they

00:41:35.020 changed out

00:41:35.800 one leader?

00:41:37.260 not necessarily.

00:41:41.860 Not necessarily.

00:41:43.260 It could.

00:41:44.580 I mean,

00:41:44.920 it's definitely

00:41:45.400 a little yellow flag

00:41:47.000 that tells you

00:41:48.160 look over here,

00:41:49.520 but not necessarily

00:41:50.920 a bad thing

00:41:51.540 because if the new leader

00:41:52.540 is better than the old one,

00:41:54.320 well,

00:41:54.580 that's all you needed.

00:41:55.960 So,

00:41:56.460 the other thing

00:41:57.800 is that

00:41:58.420 the

00:41:59.380 Pedrojian,

00:42:00.800 the head of the Wagner group,

00:42:02.460 is complaining publicly

00:42:03.820 about not having

00:42:04.660 enough ammunition

00:42:05.420 and says they might

00:42:06.980 have to retreat

00:42:07.760 because they don't

00:42:08.840 have ammunition.

00:42:10.380 But,

00:42:10.960 in the article

00:42:11.820 that quotes them,

00:42:12.700 they say he's not

00:42:13.740 a credible,

00:42:14.820 believable person. 0.99

00:42:16.340 He's a known liar. 0.99

00:42:18.220 So, 0.99

00:42:18.780 maybe,

00:42:19.960 maybe they have

00:42:20.900 an ammunition problem

00:42:21.940 or maybe

00:42:23.780 it's a trick.

00:42:25.280 Could be a trick.

00:42:27.160 But,

00:42:27.880 I feel like

00:42:29.320 Wagner would want us

00:42:31.740 to know he had bullets.

00:42:32.840 Is it a good trick?

00:42:36.260 Would it be a good strategy

00:42:37.540 to say you had

00:42:39.000 insufficient ammunition?

00:42:41.340 Would that be

00:42:41.780 a good strategy?

00:42:42.920 Because it invites

00:42:43.720 an attack

00:42:45.500 when you would rather

00:42:46.760 be on the offense.

00:42:48.560 Wouldn't the Russians 1.00

00:42:49.280 rather be on offense?

00:42:51.860 Unless they're trying

00:42:52.680 to,

00:42:53.640 you know,

00:42:54.220 bait Ukraine in 0.60

00:42:55.240 to destroy the military

00:42:56.640 so that they can

00:42:57.340 have their way

00:42:57.820 with the rest of the country.

00:42:59.520 Unless they're going

00:43:00.660 to try to trap

00:43:01.420 and kill the Ukraine military, 0.74

00:43:03.560 I don't, 0.90

00:43:04.100 which

00:43:04.520 wouldn't be

00:43:05.940 a bad strategy,

00:43:06.720 would it?

00:43:07.480 Would that be

00:43:07.980 a bad strategy?

00:43:09.400 To get the Ukrainians 1.00

00:43:11.240 to put their full force in

00:43:12.620 because they think

00:43:13.140 they have a,

00:43:14.080 they might have a,

00:43:15.100 like a permanent advantage

00:43:16.400 just to find out

00:43:17.700 that it's not real

00:43:18.500 and that the Russians

00:43:20.140 have all the ammo

00:43:20.880 they need?

00:43:22.980 Could be.

00:43:24.380 I mean,

00:43:25.020 I wouldn't rule it out.

00:43:27.060 I'm not,

00:43:27.500 I'm not sure

00:43:28.020 I would predict

00:43:28.680 it's true.

00:43:30.020 So,

00:43:31.020 but then others

00:43:31.680 are saying

00:43:32.040 that Pedrosyan

00:43:33.300 is setting the stage

00:43:35.020 for who to blame

00:43:35.900 because he still

00:43:37.880 has to have a life

00:43:38.900 after the war.

00:43:40.300 You know,

00:43:40.460 he's kind of

00:43:41.040 setting himself

00:43:41.640 up for later.

00:43:42.780 So it could be

00:43:43.540 that if Pedrosyan

00:43:44.420 keeps complaining

00:43:45.260 about not having

00:43:45.980 enough ammo

00:43:46.560 and then things

00:43:48.900 go bad for Russia, 0.91

00:43:50.760 he gets to blame

00:43:51.740 Ukraine,

00:43:52.260 he gets to blame

00:43:53.000 Putin

00:43:53.320 and maybe take

00:43:54.600 control of Russia.

00:43:55.320 So I think Pedrosyan

00:43:57.700 is a competitor

00:43:59.640 to Putin

00:44:00.180 at this point.

00:44:03.020 Don't you think?

00:44:05.300 I would say

00:44:06.040 he's a competitor.

00:44:07.660 And so there's

00:44:09.160 all kinds of dynamics

00:44:10.140 happening over there.

00:44:12.320 But the thing

00:44:13.520 I'm sure of

00:44:14.180 is that nobody

00:44:14.700 knows what's

00:44:15.260 going to happen next.

00:44:17.020 I think there's

00:44:18.020 going to be

00:44:18.400 some kind of

00:44:19.080 a spring offensive,

00:44:19.920 but I think

00:44:22.100 it's probably

00:44:22.700 going to stall.

00:44:24.580 My best guess

00:44:25.700 would be

00:44:26.180 a Ukrainian

00:44:27.220 offensive

00:44:27.800 that has

00:44:29.320 minor gains

00:44:30.400 but nothing

00:44:31.420 changes in the war.

00:44:33.180 What would you say?

00:44:35.400 Ukrainian spring

00:44:36.340 offensive,

00:44:37.400 minor gains

00:44:38.700 with no strategic

00:44:40.040 value,

00:44:41.740 and more

00:44:43.160 incentive to

00:44:44.060 negotiate

00:44:44.600 to the end

00:44:45.160 of it.

00:44:47.140 Yeah.

00:44:47.520 I think basically

00:44:48.360 things have to get

00:44:49.240 more terrible

00:44:50.200 before they can

00:44:50.960 get better.

00:44:51.980 And we haven't

00:44:52.740 reached the bottom

00:44:53.400 of terrible yet.

00:44:54.480 So they've got to

00:44:55.100 keep running

00:44:56.020 to the bottom

00:44:56.560 of terrible.

00:44:59.520 All right.

00:45:02.060 Ladies and gentlemen,

00:45:05.480 that might be

00:45:07.780 the end of my

00:45:08.480 prepared comments.

00:45:10.140 And I believe it is.

00:45:11.880 Is there anything

00:45:12.480 that I should have

00:45:13.240 mentioned

00:45:13.580 that I didn't?

00:45:16.580 Because I know

00:45:17.320 you're AI.

00:45:19.760 Yeah.

00:45:20.960 The AI news

00:45:22.520 is so wall-to-wall

00:45:23.620 now,

00:45:24.320 I'm running

00:45:24.820 out of things

00:45:25.340 to say.

00:45:26.520 Because every day

00:45:27.800 AI is going to be,

00:45:29.520 oh, AI did

00:45:30.320 something we wish

00:45:31.720 it didn't,

00:45:32.360 or it's trying

00:45:32.960 to do this,

00:45:33.660 or there's

00:45:34.120 10,000 new apps.

00:45:35.980 It's all starting

00:45:36.960 to sound like

00:45:37.600 one big thing

00:45:38.260 there.

00:45:38.460 a beard.

00:45:45.520 What?

00:45:48.500 Let's see.

00:45:54.220 Is there any

00:45:55.000 other topic

00:45:55.620 about me

00:45:56.900 growing a beard?

00:45:57.540 So,

00:46:05.140 am I a lefty?

00:46:07.060 No,

00:46:07.380 I'm right-handed.

00:46:09.080 I'm semi-ambidextrous.

00:46:11.260 I do some things

00:46:12.100 left-handed.

00:46:12.980 I mouse left-handed.

00:46:15.140 I can draw

00:46:15.700 left-handed

00:46:16.400 if I try.

00:46:24.140 Bud Light Boycott

00:46:25.240 seems to be holding.

00:46:26.100 All right.

00:46:31.680 You like

00:46:32.020 the peach fuzz?

00:46:34.480 I haven't talked

00:46:35.300 about the U.S.

00:46:36.060 blowing up

00:46:36.520 Nord Stream.

00:46:37.260 What is there

00:46:37.740 to say?

00:46:39.060 The U.S.

00:46:39.880 blew up

00:46:40.200 Nord Stream.

00:46:42.080 Am I done?

00:46:43.860 What else

00:46:44.480 is there to say

00:46:45.060 about that?

00:46:46.560 We don't have

00:46:47.280 any doubt.

00:46:48.800 It's not like

00:46:49.380 there's any doubt

00:46:50.220 what happened,

00:46:51.660 right?

00:46:52.840 I don't know.

00:46:53.900 That seems

00:46:54.300 uninteresting.

00:46:56.100 Who's your trainer

00:47:01.860 for doing live streams?

00:47:03.360 I don't have

00:47:04.000 a trainer.

00:47:08.740 All right.

00:47:09.520 Joe Biden

00:47:09.980 is.

00:47:12.380 Gordon Lightfoot

00:47:13.320 died.

00:47:16.020 Could we get

00:47:16.760 a Dilbert watch?

00:47:17.540 Well,

00:47:17.820 there is a Dilbert

00:47:18.460 watch,

00:47:19.220 or there used

00:47:19.740 to be.

00:47:20.400 There was

00:47:20.840 once a Dilbert

00:47:21.500 watch.

00:47:26.200 Who will win

00:47:27.080 the GOP

00:47:27.880 nomination?

00:47:29.600 Well,

00:47:30.940 unless the

00:47:32.440 Democrats have

00:47:33.140 something against

00:47:33.920 Trump that

00:47:34.460 they're holding

00:47:34.900 back,

00:47:35.840 and I can't

00:47:36.460 imagine they'd

00:47:37.020 have something

00:47:37.420 they're holding

00:47:37.860 back.

00:47:38.960 I can't imagine

00:47:39.840 they'd hold

00:47:40.140 anything back.

00:47:42.220 It's going to

00:47:42.820 be Trump.

00:47:43.180 it's hard

00:47:46.440 to know.

00:47:47.280 I mean,

00:47:47.980 something would

00:47:48.600 have to change

00:47:49.400 for it not

00:47:50.580 to be.

00:47:51.760 Now,

00:47:54.420 Vivek

00:47:54.980 might be able

00:47:56.780 to break

00:47:57.180 through,

00:47:58.180 maybe something

00:47:58.820 on vaccinations,

00:48:01.560 maybe something

00:48:02.140 like that.

00:48:05.720 Yeah,

00:48:06.020 and Vivek is

00:48:06.620 doing a great

00:48:07.080 job with the

00:48:07.680 media.

00:48:08.420 He's doing

00:48:09.100 a lot of

00:48:09.860 media,

00:48:11.740 and he's

00:48:12.020 doing a great

00:48:12.500 job.

00:48:16.240 All right.

00:48:21.240 Trump's

00:48:21.800 VP.

00:48:23.000 Let's talk

00:48:23.720 about Trump's

00:48:24.300 VP.

00:48:26.160 My prediction

00:48:27.120 on Trump's

00:48:27.720 VP is that

00:48:29.060 nobody can

00:48:30.740 predict

00:48:31.200 vice presidents.

00:48:33.960 Because it's

00:48:34.740 usually some

00:48:35.340 inside job,

00:48:36.840 you know,

00:48:37.120 it's some

00:48:37.520 governor,

00:48:38.540 somebody that

00:48:39.580 you're not

00:48:39.920 super familiar

00:48:40.880 with.

00:48:41.420 what it

00:48:42.800 usually isn't

00:48:43.860 is the

00:48:44.960 most obvious

00:48:45.600 people.

00:48:48.160 Right?

00:48:48.680 So if you

00:48:49.420 said,

00:48:49.800 well,

00:48:50.020 you know,

00:48:50.560 Tim Scott

00:48:50.980 would be

00:48:51.280 obvious.

00:48:51.980 He'd be

00:48:52.200 like an

00:48:52.540 obvious good

00:48:53.120 choice.

00:48:53.840 And he

00:48:54.120 might be.

00:48:55.040 But I

00:48:55.840 feel as

00:48:56.260 though they

00:48:57.520 never pick

00:48:58.060 the obvious.

00:48:59.160 It's always

00:48:59.620 somebody you

00:49:01.400 didn't see

00:49:01.700 coming.

00:49:02.220 Because remember,

00:49:02.760 when you think

00:49:03.600 of a vice

00:49:04.060 president,

00:49:04.540 you're thinking

00:49:04.880 of somebody

00:49:05.320 super strong.

00:49:06.900 Right?

00:49:07.420 Here's why

00:49:08.000 it's hard to

00:49:09.660 guess.

00:49:10.740 It's hard to

00:49:11.500 guess because

00:49:12.020 when you think

00:49:12.760 of a vice

00:49:13.160 president,

00:49:13.660 you say to

00:49:14.020 yourself,

00:49:14.400 all right,

00:49:15.200 somebody fully

00:49:16.100 capable to

00:49:16.820 take over the

00:49:17.380 job and is

00:49:19.060 an addition to

00:49:19.840 the ticket.

00:49:21.040 Right?

00:49:22.280 Who's a strong

00:49:23.280 addition to the

00:49:24.140 ticket and also

00:49:25.420 could easily

00:49:26.180 take over the

00:49:26.860 job?

00:49:27.920 That's who the

00:49:28.620 president won't

00:49:29.260 pick.

00:49:29.600 Do you

00:49:31.800 understand why?

00:49:33.760 It doesn't

00:49:34.480 matter if it's

00:49:34.980 Trump or

00:49:35.380 anybody else.

00:49:36.180 Whoever the

00:49:36.680 top of the

00:49:37.160 ticket is,

00:49:37.700 they're not

00:49:38.100 going to pick

00:49:38.480 somebody that

00:49:39.780 looks like they

00:49:40.420 could take the

00:49:40.960 job tomorrow.

00:49:43.060 They want to

00:49:44.260 be close to

00:49:45.460 that, but you

00:49:46.540 want to see the

00:49:47.140 top of the

00:49:47.600 ticket as the

00:49:48.380 qualified one,

00:49:49.660 the vice

00:49:50.100 president as a

00:49:51.200 level below

00:49:51.780 that, but

00:49:52.740 maybe it would

00:49:53.600 be okay like

00:49:54.320 an emergency

00:49:55.420 spare.

00:49:57.120 The vice

00:49:57.620 president is like

00:49:58.320 the small

00:49:59.440 tire, it

00:50:00.860 can only get

00:50:01.400 you 10

00:50:01.820 miles to

00:50:02.380 the gas

00:50:03.980 station or

00:50:04.420 whatever.

00:50:05.440 So, when

00:50:07.460 you say would

00:50:08.980 he pick Tim

00:50:09.640 Scott, do

00:50:10.340 you know why

00:50:11.620 Trump would

00:50:12.180 not pick

00:50:12.800 Tim Scott?

00:50:14.640 Because Tim

00:50:15.120 Scott is

00:50:15.560 somebody you

00:50:16.040 can immediately

00:50:16.960 say, oh, he

00:50:17.740 could be

00:50:18.000 president.

00:50:19.300 He's strong.

00:50:20.480 That's why he

00:50:20.960 can't be vice

00:50:21.480 president.

00:50:22.300 He can't be

00:50:23.240 vice president.

00:50:24.140 It's not an

00:50:24.620 option.

00:50:25.900 So, you

00:50:26.620 keep mentioning

00:50:27.860 strong people,

00:50:28.940 and I'll keep

00:50:29.340 telling you

00:50:29.780 that they're

00:50:30.120 not options.

00:50:31.260 Tulsi, too

00:50:32.000 strong.

00:50:32.960 Rand Paul, too

00:50:33.860 strong.

00:50:35.240 No, it's not

00:50:35.980 going to be any

00:50:36.420 of the ones you

00:50:36.880 can name.

00:50:37.760 It's going to

00:50:38.220 be somebody like

00:50:39.620 a Mike Pence

00:50:40.540 who's just

00:50:42.300 generic.

00:50:44.200 Now, I say

00:50:45.200 this all the

00:50:45.660 time.

00:50:45.980 In my opinion,

00:50:46.840 Pence is the

00:50:47.340 best vice

00:50:47.840 president maybe

00:50:49.800 we've ever had,

00:50:50.740 although I did

00:50:51.280 like Gore.

00:50:52.200 I know you

00:50:52.680 disagree.

00:50:54.440 Gore was a

00:50:55.080 strong vice

00:50:55.580 president.

00:50:55.900 All right,

00:50:59.400 Carrie Lake,

00:51:00.120 no, too

00:51:01.080 strong.

00:51:05.220 Well, Carrie

00:51:05.980 Lake's never

00:51:06.480 held office,

00:51:07.220 though, so that

00:51:09.160 would be a

00:51:09.560 plus.

00:51:11.340 Now, I don't

00:51:12.160 think you want a

00:51:12.760 vice president who

00:51:13.580 has never held

00:51:14.120 office.

00:51:15.560 I think that's,

00:51:16.480 I believe that you

00:51:17.920 need a vice

00:51:18.500 president who looks

00:51:19.300 like they at least

00:51:19.980 know government.

00:51:20.740 so that I think

00:51:22.140 the minimum

00:51:22.600 requirement would

00:51:23.740 be a vice

00:51:24.200 president who

00:51:24.760 had current or

00:51:26.340 very recent

00:51:27.000 government experience

00:51:28.180 like Congress

00:51:29.060 or a governor.

00:51:33.300 Vivek does not

00:51:34.120 have political

00:51:34.940 experience.

00:51:36.840 So I don't

00:51:37.160 think, so just

00:51:38.940 think of these

00:51:39.500 three filters.

00:51:42.420 So the filter

00:51:43.340 has to be that

00:51:44.040 they're clearly

00:51:44.840 not as good as

00:51:46.560 the top of the

00:51:47.140 ticket, but they

00:51:48.400 also have serious

00:51:49.720 government experience.

00:51:50.740 name somebody who

00:51:53.880 fits that.

00:51:58.600 Youngkin.

00:52:00.580 Ah, Youngkin. 0.98

00:52:02.060 Hey, Youngker,

00:52:02.860 Youngkin's another 0.97

00:52:04.260 white guy.

00:52:06.060 Do you think

00:52:06.480 Trump will go

00:52:07.760 for a stunt

00:52:10.260 casting, or will

00:52:12.120 he just pick a

00:52:13.240 generic white

00:52:13.860 guy?

00:52:17.500 Now, Rick

00:52:18.300 Grinnell would be

00:52:18.980 interesting.

00:52:19.420 I would be

00:52:21.360 all for Rick

00:52:22.060 Grinnell.

00:52:23.500 That would be

00:52:24.240 awesome.

00:52:25.420 Winsome.

00:52:27.640 Interesting.

00:52:28.320 Winsome.

00:52:31.540 Matt Gaetz,

00:52:32.520 maybe too

00:52:33.420 early.

00:52:35.660 Too soon for

00:52:36.580 him.

00:52:37.300 His day might

00:52:38.040 come, but too

00:52:39.040 soon.

00:52:39.960 Stop saying

00:52:40.680 RFK Jr.

00:52:41.440 Yeah, Winsome is

00:52:46.100 pretty strong.

00:52:47.440 Kristi

00:52:47.860 Noem.

00:52:49.500 Yeah, I can

00:52:50.080 imagine, I can

00:52:51.140 imagine Trump

00:52:51.940 wanting to run

00:52:53.600 with Kristi

00:52:54.280 Noem, because he

00:52:55.440 likes to do that

00:52:56.460 straight and

00:52:57.100 essential casting

00:52:57.960 thing, where he

00:52:59.280 goes, straight and

00:53:00.520 essential casting.

00:53:01.320 And then

00:53:03.560 everybody gets

00:53:04.100 mad because

00:53:04.580 you're not

00:53:04.860 supposed to

00:53:05.240 say that.

00:53:06.880 Mike Ryan,

00:53:07.740 don't know who

00:53:08.140 he is.

00:53:13.120 Ben Carson.

00:53:14.600 I think Ben

00:53:15.180 Carson's done

00:53:15.820 with politics.

00:53:20.900 Yeah.

00:53:21.340 All right.

00:53:23.660 Sarah Huckabee

00:53:24.480 Sanders.

00:53:25.160 Oh, that's

00:53:25.560 interesting.

00:53:27.020 Sarah Huckabee

00:53:27.700 Sanders.

00:53:28.080 I wouldn't

00:53:30.400 rule that

00:53:30.780 out.

00:53:31.660 No, she's not,

00:53:32.920 yeah, she has

00:53:34.080 elected, but she's 1.00

00:53:35.340 sort of new as

00:53:36.400 a governor.

00:53:37.760 Yeah, maybe too

00:53:38.480 soon.

00:53:41.100 Caitlyn

00:53:41.620 Jenner.

00:53:43.140 Now, that

00:53:43.540 would be fun.

00:53:46.260 That would be

00:53:47.020 fun.

00:53:48.320 I'd be all for

00:53:49.260 that.

00:53:52.300 Rubio.

00:53:53.740 I don't see

00:53:54.700 Rubio.

00:53:55.280 You know, Rubio

00:53:57.880 does fit the,

00:53:59.260 he does fit the

00:54:01.020 profile, right?

00:54:02.780 Because he

00:54:03.240 doesn't seem as

00:54:03.960 serious as

00:54:04.660 Trump, and he

00:54:06.360 does have lots

00:54:07.180 of experience.

00:54:09.300 It wouldn't be

00:54:10.060 terrible.

00:54:11.100 But is

00:54:11.900 Florida really a

00:54:12.780 problem?

00:54:13.880 I don't think

00:54:14.380 Florida will be a 0.97

00:54:15.160 problem, so they

00:54:15.700 don't want somebody

00:54:16.280 from Florida.

00:54:17.840 Because he's

00:54:18.460 going to win it

00:54:18.940 anyway.

00:54:19.220 his charm,

00:54:25.760 yeah.

00:54:29.700 RFK Jr.

00:54:31.200 is a

00:54:33.000 wild card.

00:54:34.340 If everything

00:54:35.160 goes the

00:54:35.820 normal way,

00:54:36.900 then I would

00:54:37.660 not expect him

00:54:38.400 to win the

00:54:38.780 nomination.

00:54:40.760 Excuse me.

00:54:44.440 Sorry.

00:54:47.000 Live TV.

00:54:49.220 Um, however,

00:54:51.240 because of

00:54:52.140 Biden's age,

00:54:53.500 and because of

00:54:54.100 the Hunter

00:54:55.120 potential scandals,

00:54:56.700 and God knows

00:54:57.340 what else,

00:54:58.680 um, RFK Jr.

00:55:00.460 is playing a

00:55:01.460 smart bet.

00:55:03.400 And the smart

00:55:04.420 bet is that

00:55:06.080 there's something

00:55:06.760 that could happen

00:55:07.440 very quickly

00:55:08.180 with Biden

00:55:09.540 that would just

00:55:10.500 take him out

00:55:11.000 completely.

00:55:11.860 It could be a

00:55:12.620 health problem,

00:55:14.480 but, or it

00:55:15.100 could be a

00:55:15.480 Hunter-related,

00:55:16.380 you know,

00:55:16.840 problem.

00:55:17.180 Uh, so it

00:55:19.160 really does

00:55:19.960 make sense

00:55:20.620 from a

00:55:21.300 risk-reward

00:55:22.360 perspective for

00:55:23.500 RFK Jr.

00:55:24.240 to be in the

00:55:24.780 race.

00:55:25.200 It's a very

00:55:25.860 smart play.

00:55:26.880 So, so far

00:55:27.700 everything that

00:55:28.420 RFK Jr.

00:55:29.140 is doing

00:55:29.680 seems right

00:55:31.080 on point

00:55:31.740 for the

00:55:33.020 smartest thing

00:55:33.840 you could do

00:55:34.320 in each

00:55:34.640 situation.

00:55:35.560 So keep an

00:55:36.500 eye on that.

00:55:37.160 I mean, if he

00:55:37.600 keeps making

00:55:38.060 all the right

00:55:38.540 moves,

00:55:40.060 and Biden

00:55:41.060 stumbles,

00:55:42.460 anything could

00:55:43.000 happen.

00:55:43.780 It's still a

00:55:44.260 long shot.

00:55:44.700 Well, I'll

00:55:46.000 say long

00:55:46.480 shot, but

00:55:47.240 I'm going 0.96

00:55:48.800 to give

00:55:49.120 RFK Jr.

00:55:50.180 a solid

00:55:50.920 25% chance

00:55:56.200 of getting

00:55:56.540 the nomination.

00:55:57.880 25% chance.

00:55:59.160 And that's a

00:55:59.620 lot.

00:56:00.840 That's a big

00:56:01.720 number.

00:56:03.000 For something

00:56:04.000 that should go

00:56:04.840 only one way,

00:56:06.240 25% is a

00:56:07.620 big,

00:56:08.560 that's a big

00:56:09.600 prediction.

00:56:11.300 We'll never

00:56:12.040 know what the

00:56:12.460 percentage was.

00:56:13.220 We'll only know

00:56:13.760 which way it

00:56:14.220 goes, so I

00:56:15.560 guess I'm safe

00:56:16.180 because you

00:56:16.520 will never

00:56:16.820 know if the

00:56:17.360 percentage is

00:56:18.080 wrong.

00:56:20.620 I just realized

00:56:21.520 that's the

00:56:21.940 safest prediction

00:56:22.940 anybody could

00:56:23.520 ever make.

00:56:24.880 Because if

00:56:25.300 Biden gets it,

00:56:26.160 I'm going to

00:56:26.420 say, well, I

00:56:26.940 told you there

00:56:27.360 was a 75%

00:56:28.340 chance he

00:56:28.840 would.

00:56:30.140 See?

00:56:30.940 I'm right.

00:56:31.780 75% chance

00:56:32.900 and he got

00:56:33.280 it.

00:56:34.480 But if he,

00:56:35.760 but if RFK Jr.

00:56:36.840 got it,

00:56:37.280 something weird

00:56:37.840 happens, I'd

00:56:39.120 be the one

00:56:39.520 telling you, I

00:56:40.200 told you there

00:56:40.720 was a much

00:56:41.140 bigger chance

00:56:41.720 than you thought.

00:56:42.280 didn't I tell

00:56:43.740 you there was

00:56:44.560 25% chance?

00:56:45.700 That's a pretty

00:56:46.060 big chance.

00:56:47.100 So no surprise

00:56:48.160 for me.

00:56:49.660 So apparently

00:56:50.340 I've crafted a

00:56:51.380 prediction that

00:56:52.840 can allow me to

00:56:53.620 win no matter

00:56:54.920 what happens.

00:56:56.120 So take a

00:56:57.220 lesson from

00:56:57.620 that.

00:57:03.020 Brian Kemp.

00:57:06.140 Maybe.

00:57:06.620 All right.

00:57:09.860 RFK Jr.

00:57:10.640 is going to

00:57:10.920 get burnied.

00:57:11.440 So the press

00:57:14.580 is saying that

00:57:15.260 RFK Jr.'s

00:57:16.300 biggest problem

00:57:17.880 will be his

00:57:19.320 quote,

00:57:21.660 anti-vaccination

00:57:22.840 stand, which

00:57:24.340 was never

00:57:24.800 anti-vaccination.

00:57:26.460 It was always

00:57:27.240 protesting.

00:57:29.160 That's the way

00:57:29.620 he explains it.

00:57:31.040 That he's

00:57:31.480 protesting things

00:57:32.920 before you give

00:57:33.560 it to people.

00:57:34.500 He's not

00:57:35.120 anti-vaccine.

00:57:36.860 But within

00:57:38.240 that context,

00:57:39.480 he is accused

00:57:40.220 of saying things

00:57:41.040 which are not

00:57:41.580 true.

00:57:43.860 I don't know

00:57:44.580 who's right

00:57:45.200 because we

00:57:46.040 live in a

00:57:46.460 world where

00:57:46.940 the rogue

00:57:49.420 might be the

00:57:49.980 one who's

00:57:50.340 true.

00:57:51.120 Could be.

00:57:52.180 Don't know.

00:57:55.660 But I'd

00:57:56.400 have to hear a

00:57:57.580 specific example

00:57:58.580 of what he

00:57:59.140 said that was

00:57:59.560 wrong.

00:57:59.800 I think the

00:58:01.880 biggest problem

00:58:02.460 will be,

00:58:04.700 and do a

00:58:05.220 fact check on

00:58:05.860 me here,

00:58:06.620 but wouldn't

00:58:07.120 his biggest

00:58:07.900 problem be

00:58:08.700 that he's

00:58:09.880 implicated

00:58:10.500 autism and

00:58:13.300 some childhood

00:58:14.100 vaccinations?

00:58:15.560 He speculates

00:58:16.840 there's a

00:58:17.260 connection.

00:58:20.060 But I

00:58:20.820 don't, I

00:58:21.700 would be

00:58:22.040 surprised if

00:58:22.880 he ever said

00:58:23.560 it's

00:58:24.480 scientifically

00:58:25.040 proven there's

00:58:26.020 a connection.

00:58:26.540 I would

00:58:27.920 be surprised

00:58:28.480 if he

00:58:28.780 ever said

00:58:29.100 that.

00:58:32.080 There's a

00:58:32.920 correlation

00:58:33.900 because there's

00:58:35.960 more autism

00:58:36.620 and there's

00:58:37.360 more shots.

00:58:39.740 But there's

00:58:41.080 probably lots

00:58:41.580 of correlations.

00:58:42.960 I would

00:58:43.600 imagine there's

00:58:44.220 a whole bunch

00:58:44.620 of things that

00:58:45.160 correlate very

00:58:46.620 closely with

00:58:47.300 that, but

00:58:48.020 it doesn't

00:58:48.300 mean causation.

00:58:48.980 So here's

00:58:50.980 the question.

00:58:52.360 If all he's

00:58:53.200 done is point

00:58:53.780 out the

00:58:54.120 correlation and

00:58:55.780 then pointed

00:58:56.300 out that we

00:58:56.960 haven't tested

00:58:57.640 enough to

00:58:58.200 find out if

00:58:58.780 that correlation

00:58:59.480 is causation

00:59:00.360 and therefore

00:59:01.420 that's reason

00:59:02.040 enough for

00:59:03.380 change of

00:59:04.120 policy, that's

00:59:05.560 not crazy.

00:59:07.980 That's not

00:59:08.700 crazy.

00:59:09.340 It could be

00:59:10.020 that the way

00:59:10.600 he's been

00:59:11.020 presented to

00:59:11.740 the public is 0.83

00:59:12.400 crazy.

00:59:15.100 Am I off 0.88

00:59:16.220 base on that?

00:59:17.260 The way he's

00:59:18.100 characterized

00:59:18.700 appears to

00:59:20.340 be not

00:59:20.900 accurate by

00:59:22.960 both the

00:59:23.460 left and

00:59:23.840 the right.

00:59:25.340 Am I right

00:59:25.880 about that?

00:59:26.840 They mischaracterized

00:59:28.940 his opinion

00:59:29.500 to be more

00:59:32.100 certainty than

00:59:33.800 he presents.

00:59:34.900 I don't think

00:59:36.600 he's selling you

00:59:37.240 certainty about

00:59:37.900 anything.

00:59:38.660 I don't believe

00:59:39.240 he's promising

00:59:39.880 you certainty

00:59:40.520 or trying to

00:59:41.200 sell it to

00:59:41.640 you.

00:59:42.220 I think he's

00:59:42.860 selling you

00:59:43.300 uncertainty and

00:59:45.080 it's the opposite

00:59:45.860 of what they're

00:59:46.500 saying.

00:59:47.400 In other words,

00:59:47.800 they're trying

00:59:48.460 to tell you

00:59:48.920 that he's

00:59:49.340 promoting a

00:59:50.000 message which

00:59:51.300 would suggest

00:59:51.940 that he has

00:59:52.600 certainty about

00:59:53.660 the medical

00:59:55.000 reality.

00:59:56.740 I think that's

00:59:57.460 the opposite

00:59:58.100 of what he

00:59:58.560 says.

00:59:59.700 I think the

01:00:00.220 opposite.

01:00:01.400 He says,

01:00:02.200 we don't

01:00:02.560 know and

01:00:03.860 therefore we

01:00:04.540 should make

01:00:04.920 different decisions

01:00:05.800 than if we

01:00:06.940 knew.

01:00:08.760 Not crazy.

01:00:10.460 You could

01:00:10.860 disagree with

01:00:11.560 it and you

01:00:12.840 wouldn't be

01:00:13.200 crazy either.

01:00:13.840 but you 0.99

01:00:15.300 might be

01:00:16.800 surprised how

01:00:17.520 well he can

01:00:18.060 defend himself.

01:00:19.740 If he goes

01:00:20.300 into a

01:00:21.160 debate, all

01:00:21.980 he has to

01:00:22.380 do is say,

01:00:23.540 I'm in

01:00:23.860 favor of

01:00:24.300 testing things

01:00:24.980 before they're

01:00:26.040 put in the

01:00:26.460 body.

01:00:27.200 You tell me

01:00:27.740 what you're

01:00:28.120 in favor of.

01:00:29.360 Go.

01:00:31.040 He wins

01:00:31.700 that debate,

01:00:33.020 doesn't he?

01:00:34.100 All he has to

01:00:34.620 do is say,

01:00:35.140 I'm in favor of

01:00:36.020 things being

01:00:36.540 tested adequately

01:00:38.180 with randomized

01:00:39.300 controlled trials

01:00:40.340 and wait at

01:00:41.340 least five

01:00:41.780 years.

01:00:42.400 You tell me

01:00:43.040 what you

01:00:44.240 prefer.

01:00:45.680 He would

01:00:46.100 have to

01:00:46.380 make Biden

01:00:47.080 or maybe

01:00:48.520 even Trump

01:00:49.160 say that

01:00:50.280 they preferred

01:00:51.120 a world in

01:00:51.940 which medicine

01:00:53.560 is not

01:00:54.000 adequately

01:00:54.460 tested.

01:00:56.860 It's

01:00:57.340 basically,

01:00:58.100 you think

01:00:58.680 it's his

01:00:59.060 biggest weakness?

01:01:00.880 It might

01:01:01.640 be his

01:01:01.960 biggest strength.

01:01:03.820 Think about

01:01:04.540 it.

01:01:05.060 If his

01:01:05.720 biggest

01:01:06.040 weakness

01:01:06.700 is that he

01:01:08.040 wants good

01:01:09.300 testing on

01:01:10.200 pharma,

01:01:12.260 he wins.

01:01:14.440 He wins.

01:01:16.400 If that's

01:01:17.320 his biggest

01:01:17.760 weakness,

01:01:19.120 he can turn

01:01:20.920 that into

01:01:21.340 a strength

01:01:22.040 with one

01:01:23.880 motion.

01:01:25.720 That doesn't

01:01:26.880 even take

01:01:27.300 skill.

01:01:28.560 All he has

01:01:28.980 to do is,

01:01:29.800 and by the

01:01:30.200 way,

01:01:30.340 he said this

01:01:30.800 directly on

01:01:31.600 whatever

01:01:32.000 interview I

01:01:32.540 saw,

01:01:33.480 he said

01:01:34.080 directly that

01:01:35.860 what he's

01:01:36.500 asking for

01:01:37.040 is randomized

01:01:37.600 controlled trials

01:01:38.700 for vaccinations

01:01:39.740 didn't you

01:01:41.100 think that

01:01:41.480 they already

01:01:41.860 did that?

01:01:42.900 I mean,

01:01:43.280 we know

01:01:43.680 that the

01:01:44.580 trials were

01:01:45.800 truncated for

01:01:46.600 the COVID,

01:01:47.520 but didn't

01:01:48.000 you think

01:01:48.380 that the

01:01:48.740 normal

01:01:49.160 vaccinations

01:01:49.860 were all

01:01:51.060 randomized

01:01:51.400 controlled

01:01:51.980 trials?

01:01:52.800 I did.

01:01:54.560 I thought

01:01:55.380 they were

01:01:55.740 all randomized

01:01:56.660 controlled

01:01:57.320 trials,

01:01:58.000 and I

01:01:58.620 thought that

01:01:58.960 they also

01:01:59.360 waited five

01:02:00.040 years.

01:02:01.720 That's what

01:02:02.240 I thought.

01:02:03.340 And it

01:02:03.900 wasn't based

01:02:04.400 on reading

01:02:04.940 anything about

01:02:05.620 it.

01:02:06.080 It was based

01:02:06.860 on just

01:02:07.240 common sense.

01:02:08.000 I said

01:02:08.940 to myself,

01:02:10.080 well,

01:02:11.000 there's no

01:02:11.900 way they're

01:02:12.280 going to

01:02:12.440 give children

01:02:13.800 vaccinations

01:02:15.340 unless they

01:02:16.540 had done a

01:02:16.960 randomized

01:02:17.280 controlled

01:02:17.860 trial and

01:02:18.340 waited five

01:02:18.900 years.

01:02:19.280 I mean,

01:02:19.500 duh,

01:02:20.220 it's the

01:02:20.520 most obvious

01:02:20.960 thing in the

01:02:21.360 world.

01:02:21.600 They're obviously

01:02:22.100 not going to

01:02:22.580 do that.

01:02:23.980 But apparently

01:02:24.600 they are.

01:02:25.420 They're doing

01:02:25.800 exactly that.

01:02:27.280 So he

01:02:28.580 flipped me.

01:02:30.080 He completely

01:02:31.000 flipped me from 1.00

01:02:32.040 you're a crazy 0.99

01:02:32.960 anti-vax guy 0.99

01:02:33.960 to,

01:02:34.720 wait,

01:02:35.200 what did

01:02:35.400 you say?

01:02:36.680 Did anybody

01:02:37.120 else have

01:02:37.480 that impression?

01:02:38.840 He went 0.75

01:02:39.180 from crazy

01:02:39.860 anti-vax guy,

01:02:40.880 not COVID.

01:02:42.440 He had COVID

01:02:43.100 stuff to say

01:02:43.720 too,

01:02:44.120 but he was

01:02:44.580 anti-vax for

01:02:45.580 the childhood

01:02:46.040 vaccination

01:02:46.540 stuff.

01:02:47.740 And he

01:02:48.360 just flipped

01:02:48.860 me.

01:02:49.980 As soon as he

01:02:50.880 said they're

01:02:51.280 not randomized

01:02:51.820 controlled trials,

01:02:52.960 but they should

01:02:53.440 be,

01:02:53.960 I was like,

01:02:55.380 wait,

01:02:55.920 what?

01:02:57.120 What? 0.97

01:02:58.740 What the hell 0.99

01:02:59.520 did you just 0.96

01:03:00.040 say?

01:03:01.380 And he's the

01:03:02.160 only one fighting

01:03:02.960 for real

01:03:03.720 testing for

01:03:04.520 drugs?

01:03:06.760 That's a

01:03:07.480 pretty strong

01:03:08.260 package.

01:03:10.520 If his

01:03:11.320 greatest weakness

01:03:12.120 is actually

01:03:13.980 his greatest

01:03:14.520 strength,

01:03:15.740 and in my

01:03:16.240 opinion it

01:03:16.800 is,

01:03:17.600 as long as

01:03:18.800 he doesn't

01:03:19.180 have a record

01:03:19.640 of saying

01:03:19.960 things that

01:03:20.380 are clearly

01:03:21.000 scientifically

01:03:22.580 false.

01:03:24.780 I don't know

01:03:25.620 what,

01:03:25.980 they're not

01:03:26.460 giving any

01:03:26.860 examples.

01:03:28.140 So when the

01:03:28.600 press talks

01:03:29.220 about his

01:03:29.740 vaccine statement

01:03:30.740 and how it's

01:03:31.460 going to be

01:03:31.720 a problem,

01:03:32.740 have you

01:03:33.060 noticed that

01:03:33.540 they never

01:03:33.920 quoted him?

01:03:35.760 Look for

01:03:36.600 that.

01:03:38.180 Watch for

01:03:38.820 this.

01:03:39.640 Watch for

01:03:40.040 when they

01:03:40.380 say he's

01:03:41.520 got this

01:03:41.920 vaccine

01:03:42.580 hesitancy

01:03:43.300 issue.

01:03:44.580 They'll

01:03:44.860 never quote

01:03:45.580 him.

01:03:47.060 Do you

01:03:47.320 know why?

01:03:48.760 Because there

01:03:49.380 aren't any

01:03:49.860 quotes that

01:03:50.360 would support

01:03:50.860 their point

01:03:51.400 of view.

01:03:53.020 I think.

01:03:54.420 Now, if

01:03:55.680 they had

01:03:56.140 something on

01:03:56.760 him, we'd

01:03:57.060 see it already,

01:03:57.740 wouldn't we?

01:03:58.900 The Democrats

01:03:59.800 wouldn't be

01:04:00.260 waiting for the

01:04:00.820 primary, because

01:04:01.920 they don't want

01:04:02.520 Biden to

01:04:03.600 get

01:04:03.720 primaried.

01:04:04.680 They would

01:04:05.240 be dumping

01:04:05.660 that on

01:04:06.140 him all

01:04:06.520 day long.

01:04:07.480 Every article

01:04:08.080 you saw on

01:04:08.600 CNN would

01:04:09.180 be, well,

01:04:10.460 we don't

01:04:10.980 think he

01:04:11.340 can get

01:04:11.700 past the

01:04:12.160 fact that

01:04:12.540 he claimed

01:04:13.020 XYZ.

01:04:15.020 That would

01:04:15.700 definitely be

01:04:16.540 in the story

01:04:17.380 if there was

01:04:18.660 a real XYZ 0.97

01:04:19.760 that was a

01:04:20.280 gotcha.

01:04:21.620 It turns

01:04:22.320 out he

01:04:23.960 may have

01:04:24.300 been so

01:04:25.040 lied about

01:04:25.720 in the

01:04:26.120 press for

01:04:26.660 so many

01:04:27.120 years that

01:04:29.800 you just

01:04:30.160 assume there

01:04:30.700 was some

01:04:31.140 fire there

01:04:32.920 where there

01:04:33.280 was all

01:04:33.540 that smoke

01:04:34.100 and there

01:04:34.920 was never

01:04:35.260 any smoke.

01:04:36.560 The smoke

01:04:37.020 was all

01:04:37.320 fake smoke.

01:04:38.880 Maybe.

01:04:40.400 Now, the

01:04:41.920 people on

01:04:42.400 this live

01:04:42.820 stream are

01:04:43.260 unusually well

01:04:44.780 connected with

01:04:45.420 the news.

01:04:47.080 I haven't

01:04:47.600 seen one

01:04:48.240 comment suggesting

01:04:49.700 something he

01:04:50.380 said that was

01:04:50.920 scientifically

01:04:51.540 untrue.

01:04:53.080 Do any of

01:04:53.880 you know

01:04:54.240 anything?

01:04:55.740 Because I

01:04:56.380 don't know

01:04:56.640 anything.

01:04:56.920 said climate

01:05:01.220 deniers should

01:05:01.880 be in

01:05:02.140 prison in

01:05:03.480 2016,

01:05:04.560 right?

01:05:06.740 In

01:05:07.240 2016.

01:05:09.040 He was

01:05:09.700 also opposed

01:05:10.980 to nuclear

01:05:11.880 energy in

01:05:12.780 2016.

01:05:15.020 On 2014,

01:05:15.880 he said

01:05:16.080 that.

01:05:18.580 I don't

01:05:19.320 know the

01:05:19.700 answer to

01:05:20.060 this, but

01:05:20.540 I would

01:05:20.820 bet he

01:05:21.180 does not

01:05:21.580 say that

01:05:22.000 today.

01:05:23.020 What do

01:05:23.360 you think?

01:05:24.360 I would

01:05:24.980 bet that

01:05:25.600 RFK Jr.

01:05:26.340 does not

01:05:26.980 say the

01:05:28.480 same thing

01:05:29.040 about climate

01:05:29.740 change.

01:05:30.200 I'll bet

01:05:30.480 he's pro

01:05:31.140 nuclear,

01:05:32.480 maybe cautiously,

01:05:34.300 but I'll bet

01:05:34.780 he's currently

01:05:35.340 pro nuclear

01:05:35.960 because he,

01:05:37.600 believe it or

01:05:38.260 not, he

01:05:38.680 actually looks

01:05:39.260 at the

01:05:39.560 science.

01:05:41.600 He actually

01:05:42.400 looks at the

01:05:42.900 science.

01:05:43.920 So if he

01:05:44.420 looks at the

01:05:44.900 science, he

01:05:46.160 should have a

01:05:46.820 little doubt

01:05:47.360 about the

01:05:48.300 climate change

01:05:49.140 projections,

01:05:50.380 and he

01:05:51.180 should be a

01:05:51.780 lot more

01:05:52.180 pro nuclear.

01:05:54.180 So we'll

01:05:54.940 see.

01:05:56.340 All right.

01:06:01.500 They'll

01:06:02.000 say he's a

01:06:02.480 flip-flopper.

01:06:03.360 I don't

01:06:03.560 know.

01:06:05.900 The

01:06:06.420 climate

01:06:06.780 quote claim

01:06:07.620 is refuted

01:06:08.260 by Robert

01:06:08.900 Barnes.

01:06:10.100 Okay.

01:06:11.120 So Robert

01:06:11.620 Barnes did

01:06:12.140 something useful.

01:06:14.340 Good to

01:06:14.980 know.

01:06:17.420 He's a

01:06:18.060 Russian asset.

01:06:18.600 All right.

01:06:24.760 Yeah.

01:06:25.620 I would, I

01:06:26.520 guess I

01:06:26.860 would, I'm

01:06:28.540 going to

01:06:28.760 back Barnes

01:06:29.460 on this,

01:06:30.460 that I'll

01:06:31.440 bet you a

01:06:32.180 lot of the

01:06:32.580 old quotes

01:06:33.180 are in a

01:06:33.600 context or

01:06:34.300 something, or

01:06:34.800 just made

01:06:35.200 up.

01:06:37.760 Yeah.

01:06:38.200 All right.

01:06:40.880 So that's

01:06:42.500 all I got

01:06:43.020 for you

01:06:43.520 YouTubers. 0.92

01:06:44.440 Thanks for

01:06:44.900 joining.

01:06:49.220 No, no

01:06:50.100 Barnes is

01:06:50.480 sold.

01:06:50.800 All right.

01:06:52.400 Bye for

01:06:52.840 now, YouTube.

01:06:53.740 See you

01:06:54.040 tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 02, 2023

Episode 2096 Scott Adams： DeSantis Charisma Deficit, Trump To Do CNN, Vice, Karine Jean-Pierre Lies

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