Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2097 Scott Adams： Tucker Gets Trump Treatment, Putin Drone Attack, Bud Light, VP DeSantis？

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the best thing that ever happened to you.

00:00:08.300 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and every day, every day, I'm here to be your virtual friend.

00:00:15.960 Are you lonely? Well, this is where you come.

00:00:19.120 It's like having a friend who will shut up the moment you put on the mute.

00:00:24.400 But until then, let's talk.

00:00:27.020 And if you'd like this day to be, oh, hold on, hold on.

00:00:34.660 I know what's wrong.

00:00:37.380 Do a little experiment.

00:00:48.840 And now, except that I can't see where to plug it in.

00:00:54.120 Hold on a second.

00:00:57.020 How was that?

00:01:22.940 Or how was that?

00:01:23.800 All right, we'll be back online here in a minute.

00:01:42.560 No problem.

00:01:43.500 Just before I went live, I was saying to the locals people, I feel like there's something I forgot.

00:01:51.340 And there was something I forgot.

00:01:53.340 I was testing a little two-way connector, and now I know it doesn't work.

00:02:00.260 So apparently, you can't split a USB-C for audio.

00:02:05.580 Now I know.

00:02:06.620 You can't split it for audio.

00:02:07.780 All right, well, as I was telling you, today will be amazing.

00:02:12.260 And I am your virtual friend here every day.

00:02:15.040 And if you'd like to take your experience up to levels, which nobody has ever experienced before,

00:02:20.160 all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tanker, a chalice, a stein, a canteen, a jug, or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:02:28.160 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:02:30.140 I like coffee.

00:02:31.020 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hitter, the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:02:38.220 It's called the Simultaneity Sip.

00:02:40.640 Go.

00:02:45.300 Ah.

00:02:48.780 Ah, the simultaneity feels so good today.

00:02:51.700 Well, yesterday was kind of amazing in the history of Twitter and just watching how the whole Elon Musk thing is evolving.

00:03:04.300 So you might remember that Twitter used to have, and I guess it still has, this feature called Periscope, where it can do live streaming.

00:03:14.120 And that's where I first started before I moved to these platforms.

00:03:17.180 And Elon Musk takes over Twitter, and apparently yesterday, for the first time ever, he turned on Periscope.

00:03:28.080 And you got to be at home and watch in real time as, you know, the richest man in the world who owns Twitter picks up his phone, goes live, and doesn't know, you know, exactly what's going to happen.

00:03:42.400 He's just playing with it.

00:03:43.920 So I think there were over 300,000 people that saw it on the replay.

00:03:48.460 Probably had a few tens of thousands of people were immediately on it.

00:03:53.140 But the funny thing was that it was built in 2015, and they hadn't upgraded it.

00:03:59.120 So the quality of the feed, somebody was calling him 8-bit Elon, and he was laughing at that.

00:04:06.000 But the fun part was, he got to be in the room while he was redesigning Periscope.

00:04:15.100 He's holding it in his hand, and he's turning around and talking to his staff while the entire public is watching.

00:04:23.040 He's telling, he's asking questions.

00:04:26.140 Like, one of the questions he asked was, can everybody do this?

00:04:29.160 Which is a funny question.

00:04:35.120 Can everybody do this?

00:04:36.380 Can they just turn it on and they have Periscope?

00:04:39.460 The answer was yes, but I don't know how he activated it.

00:04:43.020 So it sounded as if he was redesigning it in real time, and he just wanted a little more resolution, I think.

00:04:52.020 So we'll see if Periscope turns into anything.

00:04:56.180 All right, Saudi Arabia is joining the BRICS, the B-R-I-C-S. 1.00

00:05:02.140 Now, so that's the end of the petrodollar situation, and does that mean the value of the dollar will plunge?

00:05:11.080 I don't know yet.

00:05:13.520 I don't think anybody knows how any of this stuff works.

00:05:18.100 I'm convinced the economists are just bluffing.

00:05:22.020 They're just making stuff up.

00:05:24.580 You know, I don't think the Fed knows what's going to happen, and I don't think anybody knows anything.

00:05:31.700 Honestly, I don't know why anything works.

00:05:35.380 But I've decided not to panic about this BRICS thing, because I don't understand it.

00:05:43.920 I mean, I understand it in the broad sense.

00:05:46.640 But I don't think anybody knows how any of this plays out.

00:05:50.420 Because people are still going to want dollars if they think the United States is still the most stable country.

00:05:58.200 And unless we spend ourselves into oblivion, which looks like we're on the way to do that.

00:06:02.680 You know, it makes me wonder if, in a situation in which debt is possible, does every successful company go bankrupt?

00:06:13.960 Because they just borrow until it's too much.

00:06:17.240 Because it feels like that would be a natural way that life would always go.

00:06:23.940 Because the government has trouble saying no.

00:06:27.080 Because every individual decision is just, well, I'm only adding 1% to the debt.

00:06:32.800 And then the next Congress says, well, I'm only adding 1%.

00:06:36.000 And then pretty soon, you're crushed.

00:06:37.860 It feels like there's nothing that would stop any country who could borrow from borrowing too much in the long run.

00:06:46.820 It feels like that just would always happen.

00:06:49.480 So I don't know what's going to happen.

00:06:50.820 Maybe we'll have to go crypto and start all over or something.

00:06:55.300 So Rasmussen did some polling on what would happen if DeSantis ran as VP for Trump.

00:07:02.220 Do you think that's an option?

00:07:03.480 What do you think?

00:07:06.460 DeSantis has a VP for Trump.

00:07:08.140 Do you think it could ever happen?

00:07:11.360 Well, my initial thought was it could not happen because he's too strong of a politician.

00:07:18.720 But also that you don't need Florida, do you?

00:07:23.660 Don't we assume that Trump would win Florida pretty easily at this point?

00:07:27.260 So if you don't need Florida, I don't know if that makes as much sense to get a vice president like that.

00:07:35.000 However, you should be interested to know that Trump and DeSantis as a package would handily beat Biden and Harris based on current polling

00:07:47.420 and do better than Trump without DeSantis.

00:07:52.660 So the Rasmussen results show that adding DeSantis would strengthen the ticket.

00:07:59.740 And it would strengthen it apparently across almost every demographic, which is interesting.

00:08:04.600 Does that sound right?

00:08:06.540 Do you think adding DeSantis would strengthen the ticket across every demographic?

00:08:10.780 I feel like it might, yeah.

00:08:15.660 Although I'm kind of confused, though.

00:08:17.940 Are there really that many Democrats, let's say, who think that DeSantis is the safe one and Trump's the bad one?

00:08:28.060 Maybe.

00:08:28.660 Maybe Floridians.

00:08:33.220 I'm going to say I don't think it's going to happen.

00:08:36.060 It's interesting to look at it, but I don't think that's going to happen.

00:08:39.160 Well, Nordstrom in San Francisco closed because of rampant criminal activity.

00:08:46.660 And that follows the closure of, let's see, Whole Foods, Walgreens, and other stores.

00:08:52.440 But I'm not so sure that's why Nordstrom closed.

00:08:57.040 Because the Nordstrom in my town also closed, and we had no rampant criminal activity.

00:09:04.460 I feel like it might be a Nordstrom problem that they might be blaming on crime.

00:09:08.340 Now, I'm sure that they also had a big crime problem, but given that their other store closed without any crime at all just down the street, I don't think it's all crime.

00:09:21.980 No, not all Nordstrom's, the San Francisco one.

00:09:26.260 Was San Francisco the original Nordstrom?

00:09:28.460 I can't remember.

00:09:30.220 All right, let's talk about Tucker Carlson.

00:09:31.960 So, as many people have noted, there seems to be some kind of full-court press attack on Tucker.

00:09:40.040 Some of it is by his old enemies who just want to paint him as a bad person.

00:09:46.000 So, a lot of it is just revenge.

00:09:47.800 Because, you know, Tucker has been a big critic of the news.

00:09:50.360 So, if you're a big critic of places like the New York Times and the Washington Post, what should you think when they attack him?

00:10:01.240 Does it sound like news?

00:10:04.200 He literally, every night, would make fun of the entities that are now attacking him?

00:10:09.040 I don't think he can believe anything in the news about Tucker Carlson, because it's all reported literally by his enemies.

00:10:20.400 How would you believe that?

00:10:22.780 But, I'd like to say a few things.

00:10:25.520 So, there's some message that surfaced in which Tucker was talking about some video he saw of, I don't know when,

00:10:34.320 but there were some MAGA-headed guys beating up an Antifa person.

00:10:39.780 And, since it was, I don't know, three-on-one or something, it was a crowd beating one person.

00:10:45.500 Tucker said, in his message, that's not how white men fight.

00:10:51.400 And so, the New York Times and all of his enemies have decided that's racist.

00:10:57.780 It's racist.

00:10:59.000 That's not how white men fight.

00:11:01.480 Now, I'd like to say two things about this.

00:11:03.620 Number one.

00:11:05.940 Let's do the Ellen Dershowitz shoe-on-the-other-foot test. 1.00

00:11:09.700 Shoe-on-the-other-foot.

00:11:12.700 Imagine, if you will, that a black man, some prominent black man, could be in the news or anywhere else,

00:11:20.220 was known to have sent a private message, private, just like Tucker's,

00:11:25.480 and said that that's not how black men fight.

00:11:30.080 Would we be talking about it?

00:11:33.620 No.

00:11:35.140 No.

00:11:35.540 Because nobody would care.

00:11:37.740 If a black man said of any situation, that's not how black men fight,

00:11:45.080 nobody would even think twice.

00:11:47.880 How about Hispanic?

00:11:50.200 Hispanic American.

00:11:52.840 If in a private message they said, that's not how Hispanics fight, 0.59

00:11:57.160 would you care?

00:11:57.960 It wouldn't even register with me.

00:12:02.180 How about if it was a woman? 0.99

00:12:04.300 And a woman said, that's not how women fight. 1.00

00:12:08.480 Nothing.

00:12:10.120 Asian American.

00:12:11.680 Let's just go right down the fucking list.

00:12:14.180 Asian American.

00:12:15.380 Would anybody care what an Asian American said about how they fight compared to other groups?

00:12:20.980 Nope.

00:12:22.040 Nobody cares.

00:12:22.820 Why do they care when Tucker said it?

00:12:26.660 Because they're racists.

00:12:28.520 It's obviously just a racist attack against Tucker and other white people.

00:12:33.340 Let's be honest.

00:12:34.080 It's an attack on white people. 0.92

00:12:36.020 It's just an attack on white people. 0.89

00:12:38.220 That's all this is, with Tucker being the focus of it in this case.

00:12:42.440 Now, I'd like to reinforce something I tweeted the other day.

00:12:48.240 Do you remember I tweeted the other day a cryptic message?

00:12:52.000 And people said, what's that related to?

00:12:54.960 It doesn't seem to be connected to any current event.

00:12:58.100 And my message was this.

00:12:59.400 Before the Tucker thing, just like a day before,

00:13:03.080 I said, if somebody publishes a private message,

00:13:07.040 the person who publishes it is responsible for its content.

00:13:10.360 Because you're taking it into a new field.

00:13:13.960 And communication changes very fundamentally when you change its context.

00:13:19.400 So the way you talk to a child is different than you talk to an adult.

00:13:22.880 The way you talk to your boss is different than a stranger. 0.70

00:13:26.260 The way you talk in private is different than the way you talk somewhere else.

00:13:31.680 I don't believe you can be racist in private

00:13:34.880 if you're talking to somebody who doesn't mind what you're saying.

00:13:38.800 That's closer to a thought crime.

00:13:42.380 We don't punish people for their thoughts.

00:13:45.220 And that's kind of what a private message is.

00:13:47.240 That's a lot closer to a thought than it is to,

00:13:50.400 here's the message I want the world to hear,

00:13:52.780 which could or could not be racist.

00:13:54.960 But a private message?

00:13:56.660 No, the New York Times is responsible for it.

00:13:58.740 And they're fucking racist.

00:14:00.900 Because they're only attacking him because he's white.

00:14:03.540 And it's easy to demonstrate.

00:14:05.800 I just did.

00:14:06.780 Because if you change the ethnicity of who said it,

00:14:09.260 nobody would care.

00:14:11.160 It's only because he's white. 0.95

00:14:15.220 All right.

00:14:16.960 So I guess I'll get canceled for that tomorrow.

00:14:21.080 For being a white nationalist.

00:14:23.060 So if you don't know how the ecosystem works of cancellation,

00:14:28.360 if you've got a sketchy little claim,

00:14:33.200 like this private text message from a talker,

00:14:37.340 it's kind of, it's not quite,

00:14:39.500 you can't quite make it racist.

00:14:41.900 But if you have to make something that isn't really racist

00:14:45.200 into something that really is,

00:14:47.360 how would you do it?

00:14:48.980 Do you know what the process is?

00:14:50.600 Well, the process is,

00:14:52.780 it's very much like the worse than Watergate guy.

00:14:57.080 You know how CNN brings out the worse than Watergate guy

00:15:00.180 whenever Trump does something?

00:15:01.980 That's just so he'll say in live TV,

00:15:05.180 oh, that's worse than Watergate, Bernstein.

00:15:08.760 Right?

00:15:09.540 It's his only purpose.

00:15:11.180 So when this Tucker thing happens,

00:15:13.500 and he says this thing that some people would say was racist,

00:15:17.040 but not really,

00:15:18.360 what do they do?

00:15:19.340 They've got to turn it racist. 0.58

00:15:21.500 They've got to turn the story into something.

00:15:23.980 So they call Jonathan Greenblatt.

00:15:27.260 He also came after me.

00:15:29.620 He had absolutely nothing,

00:15:31.320 but it didn't stop him.

00:15:32.920 To him, I'm just a white nationalist,

00:15:34.880 because he's a racist. 0.73

00:15:36.160 Obviously, he's a racist.

00:15:37.860 And so they bring him out to talk about Tucker.

00:15:42.120 They call him a white nationalist.

00:15:43.260 So if you see Jonathan Greenblatt,

00:15:46.580 that means the claim is so weak

00:15:49.000 that they needed to get somebody who would say,

00:15:51.440 you're a racist, 0.72

00:15:52.960 because other people wouldn't say it.

00:15:55.140 Like, serious people wouldn't say it.

00:15:58.700 So when you see Bernstein or Greenblatt,

00:16:02.400 that's a big flag for fake news.

00:16:05.320 All right.

00:16:09.480 I would like to...

00:16:10.840 So I tweeted this.

00:16:12.220 I haven't seen the answers.

00:16:13.880 I would like someone in public

00:16:15.880 to say that they were offended by Tucker's comment,

00:16:20.560 personally.

00:16:21.720 Now, we all like to get offended on behalf of other people,

00:16:24.960 which is not a bad impulse.

00:16:26.800 I think it's good that we have a sort of a reflex

00:16:30.040 to protect, you know, marginalized people.

00:16:33.360 But I don't think any marginalized people were offended.

00:16:37.180 Do you?

00:16:38.420 Do you think you could find me one black American

00:16:41.300 who was offended by Tucker's comment?

00:16:44.880 I don't think so.

00:16:47.980 I don't think so.

00:16:50.500 Anyway.

00:16:51.120 Anyway.

00:16:53.600 It also seemed like he was criticizing

00:16:55.920 the white people in the video

00:16:57.900 because he was saying

00:16:59.520 that's not how white people fight.

00:17:03.140 I mean, there are two ways to take that.

00:17:05.100 But at least one way to take it

00:17:06.560 is that he doesn't want to be part of a group

00:17:09.500 that would do that.

00:17:11.140 So it's like a criticism of his own group.

00:17:15.100 You saw that, right?

00:17:17.400 So he's being blamed to be a...

00:17:20.020 He's being called a racist

00:17:21.280 because he criticized his own group.

00:17:24.340 It's so ridiculous.

00:17:25.920 But so typical.

00:17:29.360 All right.

00:17:32.560 Apparently, Tucker's departure

00:17:34.940 has caused a ratings catastrophe at Fox.

00:17:39.920 I don't know if it's a catastrophe.

00:17:42.060 But, you know, the people on social media

00:17:43.740 are trying to act like it's a pretty big deal.

00:17:45.580 But in the 25 to 54 demographic,

00:17:50.720 I saw one tweet that said

00:17:53.440 Hannity is below 100,000 viewers

00:17:57.440 in the key demographic.

00:17:59.080 That would be amazing.

00:18:00.600 Amazingly bad, if that's true.

00:18:02.560 I don't know if it's true.

00:18:04.140 And that Tucker's old time slot

00:18:05.860 lost more than 70% of its young audience.

00:18:09.300 Now, I don't know if that's permanent.

00:18:10.580 That could be like a little protest situation.

00:18:14.220 If they put somebody

00:18:15.200 who was kind of a star in that spot,

00:18:18.580 I think it would probably recover.

00:18:20.360 But at the moment,

00:18:22.540 they took a pretty big hit.

00:18:24.140 So, in conjunction with this story,

00:18:26.920 I saw the ratings of all the shows,

00:18:30.400 all the news shows,

00:18:31.340 and all the news networks.

00:18:33.500 And the number one and two show,

00:18:35.800 by far, number one show was The Five,

00:18:39.160 also on Fox.

00:18:40.420 So even though Tucker's gone,

00:18:42.320 the number one show is still on Fox,

00:18:45.240 The Five.

00:18:47.000 Does anybody know

00:18:47.900 what the number two show on Fox is,

00:18:50.200 most recently?

00:18:50.880 What do you think is the number two show?

00:18:54.140 It's Goffeld. 0.52

00:18:56.300 What do The Five and Goffeld have in common?

00:19:01.180 The two top-rated shows.

00:19:03.600 And Goffeld.

00:19:06.820 Do you think anybody at Fox has noticed?

00:19:10.200 Wait a minute.

00:19:11.520 We're looking at our ratings.

00:19:13.740 There's something we're noticing,

00:19:16.640 a pattern here.

00:19:19.320 So, I don't know.

00:19:21.000 I mean, I'm not sure how important that is

00:19:23.320 to the world,

00:19:23.960 except to Fox News and to Goffeld,

00:19:27.000 but you can't kill it harder than that.

00:19:30.500 Can you?

00:19:31.680 Talk about somebody who's just slaying.

00:19:35.320 This is just crazy,

00:19:36.840 to have the two,

00:19:37.940 to be a key part of the two biggest shows.

00:19:41.360 Yeah, I worry that Goffeld would be the next target.

00:19:49.180 But he does not do the same kind of controversial things.

00:19:52.100 And when he does, he's always just kidding.

00:19:53.640 So, it comes across differently.

00:19:57.240 Yeah.

00:19:57.540 Well, we'll see what happens.

00:19:59.420 Well, in the news, allegedly,

00:20:01.680 and I'm going to put a big allegedly on this one,

00:20:04.260 A, the Ukrainians attacked Putin's residence in the Kremlin

00:20:09.000 to try to assassinate him.

00:20:12.360 But the Kremlin cleverly shot down those two drones

00:20:16.640 and stopped the attack.

00:20:18.680 Do you think any of that's true?

00:20:23.220 I don't believe any of it.

00:20:25.340 Nah.

00:20:26.060 Nah.

00:20:27.160 Now, it wouldn't surprise me,

00:20:30.000 and by the way,

00:20:30.680 I've already seen a deep fake

00:20:33.460 of the Kremlin shooting down a drone.

00:20:38.860 And I don't think that the people who looked at it

00:20:41.300 knew it was a deep fake.

00:20:44.580 Unless it's real.

00:20:45.620 I don't think it's real.

00:20:46.480 But I don't think anybody actually, you know,

00:20:49.200 had a camera already focused

00:20:51.080 at exactly when the drone got taken down,

00:20:53.800 if that's what happened.

00:20:55.420 Yeah.

00:20:55.960 Now, I also,

00:20:57.440 it seems like it would be a drone swarm

00:20:59.400 if they were really trying to take him out,

00:21:02.460 not two drones.

00:21:04.040 So, I'm not sure if any drones were there.

00:21:06.040 I'm not sure if,

00:21:07.480 oh, the first question I'd ask is,

00:21:09.740 in the context of a war,

00:21:12.360 would Putin be sleeping in his official residence?

00:21:16.480 Wouldn't that be the worst thing to do

00:21:18.340 if you're at war?

00:21:20.160 I feel like nobody would ever know where he is.

00:21:24.500 That would be,

00:21:24.920 he'd be sort of like Saddam Hussein.

00:21:27.780 So, I doubt everything about this story.

00:21:30.540 Who wants to bet it gets debunked?

00:21:33.420 Because Russia is the one that claims Ukraine did it.

00:21:36.000 So, it's the lowest level of credibility

00:21:39.000 you could ever have.

00:21:41.240 And there wasn't much damage.

00:21:43.320 So,

00:21:44.380 looks like propaganda to me.

00:21:46.960 Probably.

00:21:48.960 And I,

00:21:49.700 I have predicted,

00:21:52.880 I predicted that Ukraine would take a run at Moscow 0.99

00:21:56.680 and would take a run at Putin.

00:21:59.820 Because why wouldn't they?

00:22:00.800 That's not illegal, is it?

00:22:04.560 There's nothing illegal about a country at war

00:22:06.820 trying to take out the leader of the other country.

00:22:09.200 I think that's,

00:22:10.100 that's part of the war.

00:22:12.300 So,

00:22:12.860 why aren't they doing that every day?

00:22:15.460 I feel like Ukraine should be sending a, 1.00

00:22:17.660 a drone into the Kremlin every day.

00:22:21.540 Because the Kremlin would send a drone into Kiev every day.

00:22:25.540 And do.

00:22:26.800 Right?

00:22:27.020 So,

00:22:27.820 why can't you send drones into Moscow every day?

00:22:31.200 Is it because you're afraid of nuclear war?

00:22:35.980 If they're not already having a nuclear war,

00:22:38.860 I'm not sure how much worse they could get.

00:22:42.080 Worried about escalation?

00:22:44.660 I don't know.

00:22:45.520 We'll see.

00:22:46.640 But,

00:22:47.100 I don't believe that story.

00:22:50.000 All right.

00:22:51.040 Matt Gaetz and AOC have teamed up,

00:22:53.700 among some other people,

00:22:54.980 in a non-partisan attempt

00:22:57.700 to try to get

00:22:59.060 Congress banned from the ability

00:23:01.860 to buy individual stocks

00:23:03.380 so that they can't get rich trading stocks.

00:23:06.480 And apparently,

00:23:07.540 it's just really obvious

00:23:09.760 that there's insider trading going on

00:23:12.460 just massively.

00:23:14.380 Now,

00:23:14.880 the problem is,

00:23:15.660 I don't know how you can stop it.

00:23:17.820 Because it's too easy for the insiders

00:23:20.000 to simply tell somebody else to buy the stock.

00:23:22.340 Now,

00:23:23.700 they might try to stop a family member,

00:23:26.540 you know,

00:23:26.840 like an immediate family member,

00:23:28.480 so you can't do it with your spouse,

00:23:29.780 for example.

00:23:30.800 But,

00:23:31.300 what about,

00:23:32.060 what about their cousins

00:23:33.800 and their friends?

00:23:35.480 What about you just say,

00:23:36.900 hey,

00:23:37.700 cousin Bob,

00:23:39.080 I got a hot stock tip for you.

00:23:41.420 If you make a fortune,

00:23:43.420 maybe you consider buying my house

00:23:45.400 for too much.

00:23:46.660 You know,

00:23:46.880 something like that.

00:23:48.060 So you can work out all kinds of deals

00:23:50.020 where they still get the benefit of the trade

00:23:54.420 without being the one who made the trade.

00:23:56.440 So it's really tough to stop.

00:23:58.340 But at least you can stop the easy stuff.

00:24:00.740 Because there may be enough members of Congress

00:24:02.960 who are not clever.

00:24:04.420 So they don't know how to do a whole

00:24:05.700 Biden crime family thing.

00:24:07.040 They only know how to trade stocks.

00:24:09.040 So,

00:24:09.600 it might stop the dumb ones.

00:24:11.640 But it's not going to stop the clever ones.

00:24:13.420 Apparently the Bud Light

00:24:16.200 so-called boycott is working.

00:24:18.820 And that Bud Light sales are way down.

00:24:25.380 Does anybody care?

00:24:27.960 Butt wipe instead of Bud Light.

00:24:31.620 Yeah.

00:24:32.300 Nobody cares.

00:24:33.480 I'm not,

00:24:34.900 again,

00:24:35.660 I am so not in favor of this boycott.

00:24:39.440 You can do whatever you want.

00:24:41.020 And I'm not sure it's called a boycott.

00:24:42.500 Maybe it's not a boycott.

00:24:44.820 Maybe it's just a whole bunch of people

00:24:46.360 who are individually registering their displeasure.

00:24:50.100 You know,

00:24:50.380 which just sums up to a boycott.

00:24:53.740 But I feel like it's less about an organized boycott

00:24:57.240 than it is to just a bunch of people

00:25:00.240 who don't want to be associated with the brand anymore.

00:25:03.200 But imagine how much teasing you would get

00:25:05.280 if you showed up with a Bud Light in your hand.

00:25:09.740 That's the problem.

00:25:10.600 It makes me want to drink it.

00:25:13.980 You know,

00:25:14.120 I don't drink.

00:25:14.940 I don't drink alcohol.

00:25:16.400 But if I did,

00:25:18.060 you'd know I would bring a Bud Light to a party.

00:25:21.280 I hope you know that about me.

00:25:23.120 Oh,

00:25:23.360 I would so bring a Bud Light to a party

00:25:25.020 if I drank.

00:25:27.200 Yeah.

00:25:27.600 Because it'd be funny.

00:25:29.000 It'd just get people talking

00:25:30.060 and, you know,

00:25:30.880 blah, blah, blah.

00:25:33.680 All right.

00:25:34.380 So,

00:25:34.680 I guess that's happened.

00:25:37.440 Do you feel,

00:25:38.420 let me ask you this,

00:25:39.600 do you feel that there is a,

00:25:41.900 the woke backlash

00:25:43.680 is bigger than the wokeness yet?

00:25:47.440 Or am I in a bubble?

00:25:49.340 It seems like,

00:25:50.680 here's what's different.

00:25:52.620 I noticed that the,

00:25:54.200 a lot of the hosts on Fox News

00:25:56.340 are calling trans women men.

00:25:59.200 And I don't know

00:26:01.160 that that would have happened

00:26:02.120 two years ago.

00:26:04.680 One year ago.

00:26:06.480 But have you noticed that shift?

00:26:09.120 That,

00:26:09.680 that there are,

00:26:11.120 you know,

00:26:11.480 conservative names

00:26:12.480 who are willing to just say

00:26:14.100 that's a man?

00:26:17.780 Jordan Peterson,

00:26:18.840 same thing you say?

00:26:20.020 Yeah,

00:26:20.360 I,

00:26:20.560 I feel like

00:26:21.380 there are enough people

00:26:23.820 who have raised their head

00:26:24.920 out of the foxhole

00:26:25.820 that

00:26:27.220 there might be a little bit

00:26:28.480 of a shift coming.

00:26:29.200 Because these things

00:26:30.000 never last forever.

00:26:31.160 There's a,

00:26:32.180 there should be

00:26:33.020 at some point,

00:26:35.840 you know,

00:26:36.120 there's going to be

00:26:36.720 a slide back to the middle.

00:26:38.600 I think.

00:26:40.040 I mean,

00:26:40.340 that would be the most

00:26:41.000 logical,

00:26:42.540 predictable thing to happen.

00:26:46.580 So yeah,

00:26:47.220 I think there's a lot

00:26:48.180 happening there.

00:26:48.740 I think people are

00:26:49.480 able to talk more freely

00:26:51.360 in a way.

00:26:53.060 All right,

00:26:53.640 here's my favorite

00:26:54.620 parlor game with CNN.

00:26:56.840 It goes like this.

00:26:59.200 The headline of CNN

00:27:00.280 says there's a new

00:27:01.520 study or a new drug

00:27:03.340 or a new thing

00:27:04.820 that they think

00:27:07.660 might be

00:27:08.580 causing some benefits

00:27:10.360 or they found

00:27:11.660 something that

00:27:12.340 causes something else.

00:27:14.600 And here's what I do.

00:27:16.000 I count the number

00:27:17.280 of paragraphs

00:27:17.840 before the story

00:27:19.640 is debunked

00:27:20.440 in the,

00:27:20.880 in its own story.

00:27:21.740 Right?

00:27:21.900 So here's the headline.

00:27:28.260 Regular internet use

00:27:29.680 may be linked

00:27:30.440 to lower dementia risk

00:27:31.900 in older adults,

00:27:32.860 study says.

00:27:34.800 And I'm like,

00:27:35.420 whoa,

00:27:36.560 that would be pretty good.

00:27:37.620 Because if that were true,

00:27:39.180 then that would be

00:27:39.860 a real practical thing

00:27:41.160 for keeping your brain active.

00:27:42.900 You'd say,

00:27:43.360 hey, grandma,

00:27:44.700 you know,

00:27:44.920 you should use

00:27:45.480 the internet more.

00:27:46.360 I'll send you some email.

00:27:47.980 Let me show you

00:27:48.620 how to browse Instagram.

00:27:49.820 And then you'd have

00:27:51.240 like a real functional,

00:27:53.280 cheap way

00:27:53.880 to help people's cognition.

00:27:57.640 So I start counting

00:27:58.820 the paragraphs.

00:27:59.900 One, two, three, four,

00:28:01.120 five, six, seven,

00:28:02.360 eight, nine, ten,

00:28:03.140 eleven, twelve,

00:28:04.080 thirteen, fourteen,

00:28:04.820 fifteen, sixteen.

00:28:07.200 The sixteenth paragraph says,

00:28:10.920 one of the research people says,

00:28:14.780 but we wouldn't want

00:28:15.580 to read too much

00:28:16.260 into this study

00:28:17.020 in isolation.

00:28:18.040 It doesn't establish

00:28:19.640 cause and effect.

00:28:23.840 There's one study

00:28:25.180 and it doesn't establish

00:28:26.900 cause and effect.

00:28:28.560 Now, what do you think

00:28:29.520 is more likely?

00:28:31.940 I'll just ask you

00:28:33.100 common sense,

00:28:34.520 if you have any common sense.

00:28:37.380 Is it more likely

00:28:38.640 that using the internet

00:28:40.640 protects your brain,

00:28:42.520 which I think it might,

00:28:43.760 or that people

00:28:46.580 who have the best brains

00:28:48.340 are most likely

00:28:49.480 to use the internet?

00:28:51.560 Which do you think

00:28:52.300 is more likely?

00:28:54.460 Don't you think

00:28:55.180 that the smartest,

00:28:56.680 most active brains,

00:28:58.420 which you would predict

00:28:59.400 would be,

00:29:00.480 continue to be

00:29:01.300 the best brains?

00:29:03.180 I mean,

00:29:03.460 if your brain

00:29:03.940 is already good,

00:29:05.880 you're probably

00:29:06.340 going to use the internet.

00:29:07.040 If your brain

00:29:08.380 is already slowed down,

00:29:10.300 you're probably

00:29:11.680 not going to figure out

00:29:12.560 how to use email.

00:29:14.420 So, this is the most,

00:29:15.840 one of the most obvious

00:29:16.760 reverse causation

00:29:19.080 things you could ever see.

00:29:21.940 But that does not

00:29:22.940 eliminate

00:29:23.420 the possibility

00:29:24.920 it could work both ways.

00:29:27.100 Right?

00:29:28.580 It makes perfect sense

00:29:29.960 that it would work

00:29:30.560 both ways.

00:29:31.800 The best brains

00:29:33.140 are most likely

00:29:33.840 to use the internet

00:29:34.600 when they're old,

00:29:35.560 but also,

00:29:36.880 any form of

00:29:37.880 intellectual activity

00:29:39.400 is probably good

00:29:40.860 for your brain.

00:29:41.320 It's just that

00:29:42.700 this study

00:29:43.120 didn't tease out

00:29:43.940 any of that.

00:29:45.240 Just none of it.

00:29:46.580 You can't tell.

00:29:48.060 So,

00:29:48.940 do you know

00:29:49.540 how many times

00:29:50.120 I've done that

00:29:50.620 with CNN?

00:29:52.600 Now,

00:29:53.080 to their credit,

00:29:54.060 they do say

00:29:54.740 maybe linked

00:29:56.620 to lower dementia,

00:29:58.240 but nobody reads

00:29:59.140 the maybe.

00:30:00.600 You read,

00:30:01.520 linked to dementia,

00:30:03.300 you read the first

00:30:04.000 three paragraphs

00:30:04.680 and you say,

00:30:05.600 I better put

00:30:06.280 grandma on the internet.

00:30:07.120 And maybe you should

00:30:09.580 for other reasons,

00:30:11.420 but,

00:30:11.860 yeah,

00:30:12.280 it's a little bit

00:30:13.040 leading the witness here.

00:30:14.440 Leading the witness.

00:30:17.780 All right.

00:30:18.900 It seems to me

00:30:19.780 that the news

00:30:21.440 got really slow.

00:30:22.380 I'm going to make

00:30:22.660 some observations.

00:30:24.920 When I first started

00:30:26.140 talking about the headlines,

00:30:28.020 2016 or so,

00:30:29.940 I would go to CNN

00:30:32.100 and see what they had to say,

00:30:34.340 and then I would go to Fox News

00:30:35.540 and see what they had to say.

00:30:37.240 And it would be

00:30:37.980 real interesting

00:30:38.700 because they'd cover

00:30:39.980 the same story,

00:30:41.380 but like completely

00:30:42.460 different filter

00:30:43.240 on the story.

00:30:44.520 But today,

00:30:45.340 it's really different.

00:30:47.200 Today,

00:30:47.900 the,

00:30:48.180 you know,

00:30:48.600 the one or two

00:30:49.280 biggest stories

00:30:50.300 will be covered

00:30:51.500 by both entities,

00:30:52.760 but 80% of the news

00:30:54.580 on Fox News

00:30:55.580 is not even on CNN

00:30:56.960 and vice versa.

00:30:58.580 They don't cover

00:30:59.460 the same news.

00:31:01.100 So,

00:31:01.720 it's an entirely set

00:31:02.740 of different directions

00:31:03.800 about what is news.

00:31:06.940 So,

00:31:07.480 I can't even do the,

00:31:08.400 which,

00:31:11.660 so I can't even do

00:31:12.480 the comparison

00:31:13.180 of,

00:31:13.580 oh,

00:31:13.700 here's what CNN says

00:31:14.840 and here's what Fox News says

00:31:16.140 because it's different news,

00:31:18.360 just completely different.

00:31:19.860 And that's,

00:31:20.740 that's really changed.

00:31:24.840 All right,

00:31:25.440 so the writers

00:31:26.000 are on strike.

00:31:29.420 But do we know,

00:31:31.140 I guess,

00:31:31.520 The View used writers?

00:31:33.760 Did you know that?

00:31:35.320 Did you know that

00:31:36.100 the show The View

00:31:37.020 used writers?

00:31:39.360 Now,

00:31:39.620 obviously,

00:31:40.140 they have writers

00:31:40.660 for the introductions,

00:31:42.540 but what else

00:31:44.780 do they have a writer for

00:31:45.780 after you do

00:31:47.100 the introduction?

00:31:49.780 And Whoopi

00:31:50.580 was apologizing.

00:31:51.840 She said,

00:31:52.240 maybe their commentary

00:31:53.260 would not be

00:31:53.800 as crisp

00:31:54.360 as usual.

00:31:58.040 Maybe.

00:31:58.480 Maybe.

00:31:58.560 So I think

00:32:03.300 that would also

00:32:05.680 be a reason

00:32:06.140 why the shows

00:32:07.380 The Five

00:32:07.940 and Gottfeld

00:32:08.740 will probably

00:32:10.240 even gain ground

00:32:11.340 in the next few weeks

00:32:12.140 if the,

00:32:12.680 if the strike continues.

00:32:15.200 Because those are both

00:32:16.560 based almost entirely,

00:32:19.600 well,

00:32:19.840 I won't say that,

00:32:20.500 but mostly those shows

00:32:22.020 are based on the individuals

00:32:23.320 coming up with stuff

00:32:24.320 on the spot

00:32:24.900 with a little bit

00:32:26.600 of preparation.

00:32:27.200 I paved the way

00:32:30.280 for Tucker.

00:32:31.120 I don't think so.

00:32:34.700 Union rules 0.61

00:32:35.740 mandate writers

00:32:36.820 whether you need them

00:32:37.960 or not.

00:32:38.960 Oh,

00:32:39.120 is that true?

00:32:40.460 You have to have a writer

00:32:41.420 even if you're not using them.

00:32:43.740 Maybe.

00:32:45.220 Maybe.

00:32:45.580 Have I ever told you

00:32:46.560 my most annoying

00:32:47.600 writers' union story?

00:32:52.040 So I was a member

00:32:53.260 of the

00:32:54.540 writers' guild.

00:32:57.900 And Screen Actors Guild

00:32:59.660 and that too

00:33:00.940 for a while.

00:33:02.660 So when I was writing scripts

00:33:03.880 for the Dilbert TV show

00:33:06.000 that ran for

00:33:06.980 a few half seasons

00:33:07.960 on UPN,

00:33:09.760 I would write

00:33:11.700 a first draft

00:33:12.480 and hand it off

00:33:15.220 to a writer

00:33:16.380 or I'd,

00:33:17.580 you know,

00:33:17.780 maybe outline the story

00:33:19.420 and then a writer

00:33:19.960 would handle it.

00:33:20.840 So I would get,

00:33:21.760 I would get writing credit

00:33:23.080 for the first draft

00:33:24.100 and then whoever

00:33:25.340 did the teleplay

00:33:26.820 or the finish part,

00:33:29.220 they'd get credit

00:33:29.780 for that part.

00:33:30.820 And then the union rules

00:33:32.840 would specify

00:33:34.540 how much I got paid

00:33:35.860 as the first draft guy

00:33:37.120 and how much they got paid

00:33:38.780 for finishing it.

00:33:39.820 Well,

00:33:42.700 there were also,

00:33:45.740 there are also rules

00:33:46.760 that if you rewrite

00:33:48.640 somebody's work,

00:33:50.480 they still get paid.

00:33:52.840 So here's what would happen

00:33:54.780 a number of times.

00:33:56.540 I'd give the writers

00:33:57.600 the outline,

00:33:58.780 so that makes me

00:33:59.840 the author of the work.

00:34:02.380 And then they'd write

00:34:05.720 something

00:34:06.100 and I'd throw

00:34:07.080 the entire thing away

00:34:08.080 because there wasn't

00:34:08.660 a single line of it

00:34:09.800 that I could use.

00:34:11.640 And I would write

00:34:12.300 the whole thing

00:34:12.780 from scratch.

00:34:14.660 So it was my framework,

00:34:16.540 my first draft,

00:34:17.420 and my finished work.

00:34:19.220 So there was not

00:34:20.260 a single word

00:34:21.280 of any other writer

00:34:23.200 on it.

00:34:25.340 Although I usually worked

00:34:26.500 with my co-executive producer,

00:34:28.500 so he would be

00:34:29.100 also a credit.

00:34:29.840 But the,

00:34:31.920 do you know

00:34:32.480 who got paid?

00:34:33.920 Not me.

00:34:35.780 No,

00:34:36.480 the people who got paid

00:34:37.520 were the ones

00:34:38.060 who wrote the stuff

00:34:38.980 I threw away.

00:34:40.500 Because the union rules

00:34:41.840 say that whoever does

00:34:43.320 the bulk of the writing

00:34:44.420 gets the credit

00:34:46.820 and if you later edit it,

00:34:51.040 you don't get credit

00:34:52.260 for that.

00:34:52.620 It's still their writing.

00:34:54.720 Even if there's

00:34:55.560 nothing left.

00:34:56.680 I literally,

00:34:57.300 literally just put

00:34:58.540 the whole thing

00:34:59.000 in the trash.

00:35:00.380 Started from scratch.

00:35:04.300 So I still see things

00:35:06.000 that I wrote completely

00:35:07.300 with other people's

00:35:08.140 names on them

00:35:08.800 when I see the credits.

00:35:10.860 Do you know how much

00:35:11.340 that bothers me?

00:35:13.240 It bothers me a lot.

00:35:14.400 There's no real,

00:35:15.080 there's not much money

00:35:15.940 involved.

00:35:17.060 But if you're a writer

00:35:20.120 and you see somebody

00:35:21.080 else's name on your work

00:35:22.380 and you know that

00:35:23.400 they get a check for it,

00:35:25.060 it makes you crazy.

00:35:26.660 It just makes you crazy.

00:35:27.600 All right.

00:35:30.880 A Dilbert contest

00:35:32.100 on locals.

00:35:32.760 What would that be?

00:35:36.440 All right.

00:35:37.060 Now,

00:35:37.980 is there anything else

00:35:38.840 that I haven't mentioned?

00:35:41.140 If you were a member

00:35:42.220 of the scottadams.locals.com

00:35:46.180 subscription community,

00:35:48.520 tonight you would be

00:35:49.800 participating in a

00:35:51.240 book club review

00:35:53.200 of my book,

00:35:53.920 God's Debris

00:35:54.520 and The Religion War.

00:35:57.520 Now,

00:35:58.120 if you've not heard

00:35:59.060 of these books,

00:36:01.000 well,

00:36:03.680 let me do it this way.

00:36:04.800 For those

00:36:06.120 who have heard

00:36:07.100 of the books,

00:36:08.720 give your opinion

00:36:10.080 in the comments.

00:36:12.120 So,

00:36:12.480 especially on YouTube

00:36:14.060 for the benefit

00:36:15.440 of anybody else

00:36:16.140 who wonders

00:36:16.500 what's going on.

00:36:17.720 So,

00:36:17.980 those books

00:36:18.700 are not like

00:36:19.820 ordinary books.

00:36:21.220 They change people.

00:36:23.160 People become different

00:36:24.140 after they read them,

00:36:25.660 especially God's Debris.

00:36:27.100 That's what they tell me.

00:36:28.560 They tell,

00:36:29.660 you know,

00:36:29.880 change their life,

00:36:31.080 et cetera.

00:36:31.780 And I hear that

00:36:32.640 all the time.

00:36:33.300 so we're going to

00:36:36.240 have a book discussion

00:36:37.200 on locals,

00:36:38.000 but that's just

00:36:38.520 for subscribers.

00:36:40.520 They have bad titles.

00:36:42.200 I don't know.

00:36:42.740 I think God's Debris

00:36:43.600 is the best title.

00:36:44.740 The other one,

00:36:45.420 maybe not.

00:36:46.380 But what's interesting

00:36:47.240 about The Religion War

00:36:48.620 is that it was written

00:36:49.560 in 2003 or 2004,

00:36:52.900 and it anticipated today.

00:36:57.840 So it was about the future,

00:37:00.880 but the future

00:37:01.700 is right now.

00:37:02.500 So part of that future

00:37:04.880 was big data

00:37:06.800 and AI,

00:37:08.240 less AI

00:37:09.200 than big data,

00:37:11.080 and drone attacks

00:37:13.560 on major cities.

00:37:15.420 So those are,

00:37:16.820 you know,

00:37:17.200 two big themes.

00:37:22.020 Yeah.

00:37:23.580 All right.

00:37:24.360 I think it would benefit

00:37:31.520 younger people more.

00:37:33.800 Yeah,

00:37:34.020 God's Debris

00:37:34.680 is popular

00:37:36.480 with 14-year-olds

00:37:37.900 and up.

00:37:43.280 Tiny bombs.

00:37:46.380 Why is it okay

00:37:47.340 to cancel Dilbert,

00:37:48.540 but not Bud Light?

00:37:49.580 Well,

00:37:49.740 it's not okay

00:37:50.380 in either case.

00:37:51.280 King Charles

00:37:53.620 Coronation,

00:37:54.520 boring.

00:37:56.440 Kamala is holding 0.50

00:37:57.280 a White House

00:37:57.840 AI meeting.

00:37:59.020 Are you serious?

00:38:01.280 You know,

00:38:01.580 Kamala,

00:38:02.140 you know what's funny?

00:38:03.540 If Kamala Harris

00:38:04.400 is holding

00:38:04.860 an AI meeting

00:38:05.860 at the White House,

00:38:07.580 she's actually

00:38:10.100 the job

00:38:11.580 you could most easily

00:38:12.620 replace with AI.

00:38:13.720 How long

00:38:16.240 would it take

00:38:16.700 AI to learn

00:38:17.520 to giggle

00:38:17.960 over a Venn

00:38:18.620 diagram?

00:38:20.300 Not long at all.

00:38:23.360 Yeah.

00:38:24.080 I mean,

00:38:24.400 I can't think

00:38:25.120 of any job

00:38:25.880 that would be

00:38:26.300 easier to replace

00:38:27.380 than the Vice

00:38:28.300 President.

00:38:29.340 I mean,

00:38:29.640 I realize we have

00:38:30.320 a constitutional

00:38:31.040 problem if we

00:38:31.860 do that,

00:38:32.780 but that would

00:38:33.760 be the easiest

00:38:34.280 one.

00:38:37.660 It makes you

00:38:38.380 wonder if it's

00:38:38.900 a deep fake

00:38:39.560 or the real

00:38:40.100 Kamala

00:38:40.500 having that

00:38:41.340 meeting.

00:38:41.580 Okay.

00:38:43.720 I wonder

00:38:44.800 how she ever

00:38:45.400 shows up

00:38:46.140 on time

00:38:46.540 for a meeting.

00:38:48.020 What time

00:38:48.740 is the meeting?

00:38:50.860 Three o'clock.

00:38:52.720 In the

00:38:53.640 context of time,

00:38:55.780 in the

00:38:56.040 contextualized

00:38:57.360 period of the

00:38:58.960 passage of time,

00:39:00.080 which is this

00:39:00.660 moment,

00:39:01.940 and then

00:39:02.380 she misses

00:39:02.900 the meeting.

00:39:06.480 Yeah,

00:39:07.040 she's the 0.99

00:39:07.420 border czar.

00:39:10.320 I'm starting

00:39:11.100 to think

00:39:11.560 czar means

00:39:12.580 nothing's

00:39:13.180 going to happen.

00:39:13.720 Is it just

00:39:15.440 my imagination

00:39:16.200 or none

00:39:17.040 of our czars,

00:39:19.100 you know,

00:39:19.440 they all end

00:39:20.100 up like

00:39:20.620 Anastasia.

00:39:23.880 All the

00:39:24.900 czars get 1.00

00:39:25.500 murdered by

00:39:26.420 Bolsheviks,

00:39:27.100 basically.

00:39:31.680 John Kerry,

00:39:32.600 what do we

00:39:32.860 see the czar

00:39:33.500 of?

00:39:34.840 Drugs?

00:39:38.760 Yeah,

00:39:39.340 we need a new

00:39:40.280 czar.

00:39:40.620 All right.

00:39:45.300 There's no

00:39:45.880 other news

00:39:46.320 today,

00:39:46.660 so I think

00:39:47.020 we're going

00:39:47.300 to do

00:39:47.540 something else.

00:39:48.520 Let's do

00:39:48.940 something else

00:39:49.440 I should be

00:39:49.820 talking about.

00:39:51.340 Did I miss

00:39:51.780 anything?

00:39:54.100 It's really

00:39:54.760 all about

00:39:55.260 wondering if

00:39:55.820 our economy

00:39:57.340 is going to

00:39:57.760 be destroyed

00:39:58.300 on its own,

00:39:58.920 right?

00:40:02.060 What would

00:40:02.980 you say is

00:40:03.480 the biggest

00:40:03.900 issue right

00:40:04.600 now in

00:40:05.400 terms of

00:40:05.800 the risk

00:40:06.260 to the

00:40:06.620 country?

00:40:06.940 What do

00:40:08.260 you feel

00:40:08.500 is our

00:40:08.760 biggest

00:40:09.080 risk?

00:40:11.220 Debt?

00:40:14.440 Socialism?

00:40:15.280 Debt?

00:40:15.840 Biden?

00:40:16.840 Debt ceiling?

00:40:18.120 Wokeism?

00:40:18.820 Inflation?

00:40:19.600 Housing?

00:40:20.280 Inflation?

00:40:22.120 Yeah.

00:40:24.080 Yeah.

00:40:25.640 Inflation is

00:40:26.940 going to be

00:40:27.220 pretty big.

00:40:28.080 And what

00:40:28.640 about AI

00:40:29.200 taking jobs?

00:40:31.040 Do you

00:40:31.580 worry about

00:40:32.000 AI taking

00:40:32.640 jobs?

00:40:33.040 I feel

00:40:35.800 like that's

00:40:36.240 going to

00:40:36.400 be slower

00:40:37.140 than it

00:40:38.500 looks.

00:40:40.520 There'll

00:40:40.640 be some

00:40:41.460 areas like

00:40:42.080 but it's

00:40:50.700 not huge

00:40:51.300 industries.

00:40:54.480 Economic

00:40:55.220 collapse?

00:40:57.740 Yeah.

00:40:59.960 So nobody

00:41:01.160 said nuclear

00:41:01.880 war.

00:41:03.040 Nobody

00:41:03.480 said nuclear

00:41:04.040 war and

00:41:04.760 climate was

00:41:05.700 almost not

00:41:07.020 mentioned.

00:41:09.600 Border?

00:41:11.880 I don't

00:41:12.480 know if

00:41:12.680 that's the

00:41:13.000 biggest problem.

00:41:13.620 Is border

00:41:13.980 the biggest

00:41:14.440 problem?

00:41:15.380 I mean it's

00:41:15.680 a big

00:41:16.040 problem but

00:41:16.840 elections?

00:41:19.180 Yeah.

00:41:20.140 Guns?

00:41:21.420 I don't know.

00:41:21.900 I would say

00:41:22.620 the health of

00:41:23.700 the economy but

00:41:25.340 I'm also

00:41:25.920 concerned about

00:41:27.000 Taiwan.

00:41:28.640 If you had

00:41:29.120 to guess what

00:41:29.880 are the odds

00:41:30.340 of China

00:41:30.820 actually making

00:41:31.520 a military

00:41:32.000 move on

00:41:32.560 Taiwan?

00:41:33.740 Let's say

00:41:34.160 in a year

00:41:34.640 within the

00:41:35.860 next year.

00:41:38.780 So why

00:41:39.480 are you

00:41:39.760 worried about

00:41:40.200 that?

00:41:41.620 Wouldn't

00:41:42.000 that be

00:41:42.320 catastrophic?

00:41:46.080 Here's what

00:41:46.700 I think.

00:41:47.560 I think

00:41:47.960 China doesn't 1.00

00:41:48.660 like to do

00:41:49.140 catastrophic

00:41:49.680 things.

00:41:51.880 That China 0.83

00:41:52.760 doesn't act

00:41:53.400 like Russia 0.91

00:41:53.900 does.

00:41:54.960 Russia will 0.98

00:41:55.740 roll the

00:41:56.380 dice.

00:41:57.380 We've

00:41:57.900 seen Putin

00:41:58.340 do it.

00:41:59.180 Russia will 0.98

00:41:59.740 take a

00:42:00.140 chance to

00:42:01.340 gain another

00:42:01.900 country or

00:42:02.600 to gain some

00:42:03.100 territory or

00:42:03.880 to gain

00:42:04.140 something.

00:42:04.800 China doesn't 1.00

00:42:05.580 take those

00:42:06.540 kind of

00:42:06.980 chances.

00:42:09.860 So it

00:42:10.900 would seem

00:42:11.340 out of

00:42:11.720 character to

00:42:12.360 try to take

00:42:12.840 Taiwan.

00:42:15.080 Now here's

00:42:15.720 my question.

00:42:16.360 Does Taiwan

00:42:16.820 make chips for

00:42:17.740 China as well?

00:42:19.540 They do,

00:42:20.120 right?

00:42:20.320 I would

00:42:21.980 imagine Taiwan

00:42:22.720 is their

00:42:23.100 biggest.

00:42:24.480 Do they

00:42:25.020 not know

00:42:25.520 that we

00:42:25.860 would destroy

00:42:26.560 the...

00:42:27.400 I shouldn't

00:42:28.180 say this.

00:42:30.940 I shouldn't

00:42:31.760 say this out

00:42:32.340 loud.

00:42:33.720 You know

00:42:34.400 those chip

00:42:34.900 manufacturing

00:42:35.520 plants are

00:42:36.060 never going

00:42:36.420 to go to

00:42:36.740 China,

00:42:37.120 right?

00:42:39.980 Let me

00:42:40.820 just do

00:42:41.500 the Joe

00:42:42.140 Biden

00:42:42.520 grin when

00:42:44.500 he talks

00:42:44.860 about the

00:42:45.860 Nord Stream

00:42:46.460 pipeline.

00:42:47.620 Well,

00:42:47.900 how is that

00:42:48.320 Nord Stream

00:42:48.820 pipeline going

00:42:49.520 to stop

00:42:50.020 pumping stuff

00:42:51.320 to Russia?

00:42:53.140 We'll do

00:42:53.860 it.

00:42:54.780 Trust me.

00:42:56.180 We'll take

00:42:56.600 care of the

00:42:57.360 Nord Stream

00:42:58.000 pipeline.

00:42:59.580 Don't you

00:42:59.960 think it's

00:43:00.300 the same

00:43:00.620 with the

00:43:01.760 chip

00:43:02.400 companies?

00:43:03.720 I think

00:43:04.180 the chip

00:43:04.540 companies

00:43:04.920 would just

00:43:05.300 get whacked

00:43:07.020 by friendly

00:43:08.580 fire.

00:43:11.320 And I

00:43:11.980 think that

00:43:12.540 the day

00:43:13.360 that an

00:43:13.960 invasion

00:43:14.360 started,

00:43:16.240 this is

00:43:17.220 my guess.

00:43:18.160 The day

00:43:18.880 that an

00:43:19.280 invasion

00:43:19.660 started,

00:43:21.160 there would

00:43:21.480 be some

00:43:22.180 kind of

00:43:22.500 American

00:43:22.880 vessel

00:43:23.400 parked

00:43:24.140 nearby

00:43:24.680 in which

00:43:25.780 every chip

00:43:26.840 scientist

00:43:27.300 and their

00:43:27.800 extended

00:43:28.320 family would

00:43:29.060 be getting

00:43:29.840 a free

00:43:30.240 trip to

00:43:30.600 America.

00:43:31.980 I feel

00:43:32.840 like we

00:43:33.320 would steal

00:43:33.760 their people

00:43:34.400 and rebuild

00:43:36.220 over here.

00:43:38.220 And we

00:43:38.460 would probably

00:43:40.320 have enough

00:43:40.880 warning before 0.75

00:43:42.440 shots were

00:43:43.120 fired that

00:43:44.520 there would

00:43:44.880 be this

00:43:45.220 whole sea

00:43:45.740 of people

00:43:46.140 who would

00:43:46.420 just run

00:43:47.360 out to

00:43:47.680 the beach

00:43:48.060 and start

00:43:48.440 getting on

00:43:48.840 boats and

00:43:50.060 head to

00:43:50.480 America.

00:43:53.060 Just like

00:43:53.680 we did with

00:43:54.180 the German

00:43:54.540 rocket

00:43:54.880 scientists,

00:43:55.620 exactly.

00:43:56.380 That is the

00:43:57.760 model I was

00:43:58.280 thinking of.

00:43:59.000 But we'd

00:43:59.380 have to take

00:43:59.740 their families,

00:44:01.100 which would

00:44:02.640 be fine.

00:44:03.620 I mean,

00:44:03.880 if you get a

00:44:04.300 bunch of

00:44:05.480 chip

00:44:05.780 scientist

00:44:06.420 employees,

00:44:08.040 I think I

00:44:08.680 do want

00:44:09.060 their families,

00:44:09.800 if you know

00:44:10.560 what I mean.

00:44:10.960 you're going

00:44:12.420 to get some

00:44:12.840 really high

00:44:14.180 achieving people

00:44:15.100 if you take

00:44:16.800 Taiwan's best

00:44:17.740 scientists and

00:44:18.800 their families.

00:44:19.700 Because the

00:44:20.020 family you get,

00:44:21.280 that's like you're

00:44:22.200 almost guaranteed

00:44:22.820 to get good

00:44:23.460 citizens and

00:44:24.660 chip scientist

00:44:25.920 families.

00:44:30.100 All right,

00:44:30.740 so I feel

00:44:32.480 as if

00:44:33.520 China wants 0.96

00:44:35.520 Taiwan for

00:44:36.660 all the reasons

00:44:37.220 they want it

00:44:37.800 historically and

00:44:38.860 because it's

00:44:39.360 too close to

00:44:39.940 their border.

00:44:40.960 their Chinese

00:44:41.680 speaking and

00:44:42.520 all the reasons.

00:44:43.940 But I don't

00:44:44.640 think that they

00:44:45.240 want to start

00:44:45.920 a war that

00:44:46.820 would eliminate

00:44:47.440 chips.

00:44:49.320 I think the

00:44:49.860 last thing the

00:44:50.440 China wants to 0.98

00:44:50.980 do is not

00:44:51.580 have any

00:44:51.920 microchips.

00:44:53.780 So I don't

00:44:54.260 think they're

00:44:54.620 going to...

00:44:55.360 So I'm going

00:44:56.020 to go with

00:44:56.600 will not

00:44:57.180 attack Taiwan 0.96

00:44:58.240 in the next

00:44:58.880 year.

00:45:00.500 How many

00:45:01.140 would agree

00:45:01.600 with me in

00:45:03.460 the will not

00:45:04.220 attack in the

00:45:04.960 next year?

00:45:05.700 Who knows

00:45:06.180 after that?

00:45:09.480 Yeah.

00:45:09.960 See, I

00:45:11.980 think the

00:45:12.520 assumption of

00:45:13.460 an attack

00:45:14.120 I think

00:45:15.460 imagines that

00:45:17.040 the chip

00:45:18.460 business would

00:45:19.200 still be in

00:45:19.740 business when

00:45:20.280 they took it

00:45:20.740 over.

00:45:21.680 And I think

00:45:22.220 that's the

00:45:22.620 wrong assumption.

00:45:27.680 All right.

00:45:29.380 Okay, ladies 1.00

00:45:30.180 and gentlemen,

00:45:31.900 once Russia 0.65

00:45:32.720 wraps up

00:45:33.200 Ukraine,

00:45:33.840 they will.

00:45:34.180 So I saw

00:45:37.820 a news story

00:45:38.500 that we've

00:45:39.420 shipped massive

00:45:40.360 amounts of

00:45:41.040 ammunition to

00:45:41.840 Ukraine in

00:45:43.260 anticipation of

00:45:44.220 their spring

00:45:44.780 offensive.

00:45:46.200 And that

00:45:46.920 sounds like

00:45:47.400 that's true,

00:45:48.020 right?

00:45:48.280 You imagine

00:45:48.760 that we've

00:45:49.140 sent tons of

00:45:50.040 ammo and

00:45:50.680 they're just

00:45:50.980 waiting for

00:45:51.340 their so-called

00:45:52.580 spring offensive.

00:45:54.240 And then I

00:45:55.080 saw that one

00:45:56.140 of the things

00:45:56.580 that the

00:45:56.860 Ukrainians did 1.00

00:45:57.580 was they

00:45:57.980 took all

00:45:58.480 that ammo

00:45:59.200 and they put

00:46:00.560 them in a few

00:46:01.360 easily identified

00:46:02.280 places where

00:46:03.600 Russia has 0.96

00:46:04.080 already blown

00:46:04.620 it up.

00:46:05.960 Is that

00:46:06.580 true?

00:46:09.160 I feel like

00:46:10.100 maybe they're

00:46:10.780 already out of

00:46:11.340 ammo.

00:46:12.200 This could be

00:46:12.720 the only war

00:46:13.400 where neither

00:46:13.940 side has

00:46:14.440 ammo.

00:46:16.240 Because I

00:46:16.920 don't think

00:46:17.320 we've ever

00:46:17.760 had as good

00:46:18.780 an ability

00:46:19.560 because of

00:46:20.300 our drones

00:46:20.820 and our

00:46:21.180 satellites.

00:46:21.900 We've never

00:46:22.440 had this much

00:46:23.220 ability to

00:46:23.840 know where

00:46:24.180 the weapons

00:46:25.160 depots are,

00:46:26.360 right?

00:46:27.420 I feel like

00:46:28.240 we know

00:46:28.840 where every

00:46:30.580 one of

00:46:30.960 Russia's 0.70

00:46:31.580 ammo depots

00:46:33.260 is.

00:46:34.000 But they

00:46:34.520 also probably

00:46:35.280 know where

00:46:36.140 every one of

00:46:36.640 Ukraine's

00:46:37.180 ammo depots

00:46:37.820 is.

00:46:38.960 And if

00:46:39.320 you've got

00:46:39.680 weapons that

00:46:40.260 can go off

00:46:41.000 into deep

00:46:42.120 territory and

00:46:43.000 strike at

00:46:43.520 pinpoint,

00:46:45.400 aren't both

00:46:46.060 of them going

00:46:46.460 to run out

00:46:46.860 of ammo?

00:46:49.060 Because it

00:46:49.940 seems to me

00:46:50.700 it would be

00:46:50.900 the easiest

00:46:51.420 thing in the

00:46:51.880 world to

00:46:53.040 spot their

00:46:53.580 ammo dumps

00:46:54.340 once the

00:46:54.780 firing starts

00:46:55.540 because they're

00:46:56.340 going to need

00:46:56.720 to make a

00:46:57.800 lot of runs,

00:46:58.800 put them on

00:46:59.260 trains.

00:46:59.740 I mean,

00:46:59.860 it's really

00:47:00.100 easy to

00:47:00.480 spot.

00:47:01.580 And if

00:47:02.400 you know

00:47:02.640 where it

00:47:02.860 is and

00:47:03.180 you have

00:47:03.420 weapons like

00:47:04.500 the

00:47:04.680 HIMARS,

00:47:06.020 aren't the

00:47:06.440 HIMARS going

00:47:07.040 to take

00:47:07.320 out all

00:47:07.760 the weapons

00:47:08.240 depots on

00:47:10.280 both sides?

00:47:11.060 I mean,

00:47:11.400 whatever Russian's

00:47:12.540 version of that

00:47:13.160 is.

00:47:15.140 Because the

00:47:16.140 depots are the

00:47:16.820 things you can't

00:47:17.420 move.

00:47:18.840 Everything else

00:47:19.600 can, you know,

00:47:20.460 you can maybe

00:47:21.260 move out of the

00:47:22.000 way and they

00:47:22.720 don't know where

00:47:23.080 you are any

00:47:23.700 minute of the

00:47:24.320 day.

00:47:25.660 But it's

00:47:26.560 pretty hard to

00:47:27.220 move those

00:47:27.780 weapons depots.

00:47:28.680 Yeah,

00:47:31.700 they can't

00:47:32.060 easily be

00:47:32.620 dispersed.

00:47:33.460 That would

00:47:33.780 be inefficient.

00:47:36.940 You spread

00:47:37.720 out ammo

00:47:38.220 once you

00:47:38.700 get inside

00:47:39.140 the range

00:47:39.700 of the

00:47:40.020 HIMARS.

00:47:40.940 Well,

00:47:41.700 you spread

00:47:42.320 it out,

00:47:42.860 but you

00:47:43.320 don't allocate

00:47:44.140 it ahead

00:47:46.060 of time.

00:47:47.160 I mean,

00:47:48.040 maybe it's

00:47:48.580 smaller ammo

00:47:49.280 dumps,

00:47:49.760 but they

00:47:50.000 should be

00:47:50.260 able to

00:47:50.420 get them

00:47:50.660 all.

00:47:50.860 Put them

00:47:52.800 underground.

00:47:53.340 Yeah.

00:47:56.220 Then we

00:47:56.560 just,

00:47:57.680 yeah,

00:47:58.060 probably

00:47:58.760 underground.

00:47:59.580 But we

00:48:00.180 know that

00:48:00.560 they weren't

00:48:01.320 putting a

00:48:01.800 lot of

00:48:02.020 them underground,

00:48:02.780 even though

00:48:03.200 that seems

00:48:03.660 obvious to

00:48:05.260 us.

00:48:09.520 All right.

00:48:14.240 Their

00:48:14.480 inventory is

00:48:15.180 mostly on

00:48:15.680 trucks.

00:48:18.340 Oh,

00:48:18.520 Amazon is

00:48:19.140 developing an

00:48:20.000 improved LLM

00:48:20.980 to power

00:48:21.540 AL-EXA.

00:48:23.480 Good.

00:48:25.480 Good.

00:48:27.080 All right.

00:48:28.300 Ladies and 0.98

00:48:28.940 gentlemen,

00:48:29.260 I'm going to

00:48:29.480 say bye to

00:48:30.660 YouTube.

00:48:31.520 Thanks for

00:48:31.940 joining.

00:48:32.980 Maybe tomorrow

00:48:33.580 will be lots

00:48:34.240 more fun

00:48:34.640 news.

00:48:35.400 Bye for

00:48:35.760 now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 03, 2023

Episode 2097 Scott Adams： Tucker Gets Trump Treatment, Putin Drone Attack, Bud Light, VP DeSantis？

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