Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 03, 2023


Episode 2097 Scott Adams： Tucker Gets Trump Treatment, Putin Drone Attack, Bud Light, VP DeSantis？


Episode Stats

Length

48 minutes

Words per Minute

137.26714

Word Count

6,671

Sentence Count

517

Misogynist Sentences

11

Hate Speech Sentences

26


Summary

Elon Musk goes live on Periscope, Saudi Arabia joins the BRICS, and the dollar plummets against the dollar, and I talk about why I don t think the Fed is going to get it figured out.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the best thing that ever happened to you.
00:00:08.300 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and every day, every day, I'm here to be your virtual friend.
00:00:15.960 Are you lonely? Well, this is where you come.
00:00:19.120 It's like having a friend who will shut up the moment you put on the mute.
00:00:24.400 But until then, let's talk.
00:00:27.020 And if you'd like this day to be, oh, hold on, hold on.
00:00:34.660 I know what's wrong.
00:00:37.380 Do a little experiment.
00:00:48.840 And now, except that I can't see where to plug it in.
00:00:54.120 Hold on a second.
00:00:57.020 How was that?
00:01:22.940 Or how was that?
00:01:23.800 All right, we'll be back online here in a minute.
00:01:42.560 No problem.
00:01:43.500 Just before I went live, I was saying to the locals people, I feel like there's something I forgot.
00:01:51.340 And there was something I forgot.
00:01:53.340 I was testing a little two-way connector, and now I know it doesn't work.
00:02:00.260 So apparently, you can't split a USB-C for audio.
00:02:05.580 Now I know.
00:02:06.620 You can't split it for audio.
00:02:07.780 All right, well, as I was telling you, today will be amazing.
00:02:12.260 And I am your virtual friend here every day.
00:02:15.040 And if you'd like to take your experience up to levels, which nobody has ever experienced before,
00:02:20.160 all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tanker, a chalice, a stein, a canteen, a jug, or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:02:28.160 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:02:30.140 I like coffee.
00:02:31.020 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hitter, the day, the thing that makes everything better.
00:02:38.220 It's called the Simultaneity Sip.
00:02:40.640 Go.
00:02:45.300 Ah.
00:02:48.780 Ah, the simultaneity feels so good today.
00:02:51.700 Well, yesterday was kind of amazing in the history of Twitter and just watching how the whole Elon Musk thing is evolving.
00:03:04.300 So you might remember that Twitter used to have, and I guess it still has, this feature called Periscope, where it can do live streaming.
00:03:14.120 And that's where I first started before I moved to these platforms.
00:03:17.180 And Elon Musk takes over Twitter, and apparently yesterday, for the first time ever, he turned on Periscope.
00:03:28.080 And you got to be at home and watch in real time as, you know, the richest man in the world who owns Twitter picks up his phone, goes live, and doesn't know, you know, exactly what's going to happen.
00:03:42.400 He's just playing with it.
00:03:43.920 So I think there were over 300,000 people that saw it on the replay.
00:03:48.460 Probably had a few tens of thousands of people were immediately on it.
00:03:53.140 But the funny thing was that it was built in 2015, and they hadn't upgraded it.
00:03:59.120 So the quality of the feed, somebody was calling him 8-bit Elon, and he was laughing at that.
00:04:06.000 But the fun part was, he got to be in the room while he was redesigning Periscope.
00:04:15.100 He's holding it in his hand, and he's turning around and talking to his staff while the entire public is watching.
00:04:23.040 He's telling, he's asking questions.
00:04:26.140 Like, one of the questions he asked was, can everybody do this?
00:04:29.160 Which is a funny question.
00:04:35.120 Can everybody do this?
00:04:36.380 Can they just turn it on and they have Periscope?
00:04:39.460 The answer was yes, but I don't know how he activated it.
00:04:43.020 So it sounded as if he was redesigning it in real time, and he just wanted a little more resolution, I think.
00:04:52.020 So we'll see if Periscope turns into anything.
00:04:56.180 All right, Saudi Arabia is joining the BRICS, the B-R-I-C-S.
00:05:02.140 Now, so that's the end of the petrodollar situation, and does that mean the value of the dollar will plunge?
00:05:11.080 I don't know yet.
00:05:13.520 I don't think anybody knows how any of this stuff works.
00:05:18.100 I'm convinced the economists are just bluffing.
00:05:22.020 They're just making stuff up.
00:05:24.580 You know, I don't think the Fed knows what's going to happen, and I don't think anybody knows anything.
00:05:31.700 Honestly, I don't know why anything works.
00:05:35.380 But I've decided not to panic about this BRICS thing, because I don't understand it.
00:05:43.920 I mean, I understand it in the broad sense.
00:05:46.640 But I don't think anybody knows how any of this plays out.
00:05:50.420 Because people are still going to want dollars if they think the United States is still the most stable country.
00:05:58.200 And unless we spend ourselves into oblivion, which looks like we're on the way to do that.
00:06:02.680 You know, it makes me wonder if, in a situation in which debt is possible, does every successful company go bankrupt?
00:06:13.960 Because they just borrow until it's too much.
00:06:17.240 Because it feels like that would be a natural way that life would always go.
00:06:23.940 Because the government has trouble saying no.
00:06:27.080 Because every individual decision is just, well, I'm only adding 1% to the debt.
00:06:32.800 And then the next Congress says, well, I'm only adding 1%.
00:06:36.000 And then pretty soon, you're crushed.
00:06:37.860 It feels like there's nothing that would stop any country who could borrow from borrowing too much in the long run.
00:06:46.820 It feels like that just would always happen.
00:06:49.480 So I don't know what's going to happen.
00:06:50.820 Maybe we'll have to go crypto and start all over or something.
00:06:55.300 So Rasmussen did some polling on what would happen if DeSantis ran as VP for Trump.
00:07:02.220 Do you think that's an option?
00:07:03.480 What do you think?
00:07:06.460 DeSantis has a VP for Trump.
00:07:08.140 Do you think it could ever happen?
00:07:11.360 Well, my initial thought was it could not happen because he's too strong of a politician.
00:07:18.720 But also that you don't need Florida, do you?
00:07:23.660 Don't we assume that Trump would win Florida pretty easily at this point?
00:07:27.260 So if you don't need Florida, I don't know if that makes as much sense to get a vice president like that.
00:07:35.000 However, you should be interested to know that Trump and DeSantis as a package would handily beat Biden and Harris based on current polling
00:07:47.420 and do better than Trump without DeSantis.
00:07:52.660 So the Rasmussen results show that adding DeSantis would strengthen the ticket.
00:07:59.740 And it would strengthen it apparently across almost every demographic, which is interesting.
00:08:04.600 Does that sound right?
00:08:06.540 Do you think adding DeSantis would strengthen the ticket across every demographic?
00:08:10.780 I feel like it might, yeah.
00:08:15.660 Although I'm kind of confused, though.
00:08:17.940 Are there really that many Democrats, let's say, who think that DeSantis is the safe one and Trump's the bad one?
00:08:28.060 Maybe.
00:08:28.660 Maybe Floridians.
00:08:33.220 I'm going to say I don't think it's going to happen.
00:08:36.060 It's interesting to look at it, but I don't think that's going to happen.
00:08:39.160 Well, Nordstrom in San Francisco closed because of rampant criminal activity.
00:08:46.660 And that follows the closure of, let's see, Whole Foods, Walgreens, and other stores.
00:08:52.440 But I'm not so sure that's why Nordstrom closed.
00:08:57.040 Because the Nordstrom in my town also closed, and we had no rampant criminal activity.
00:09:04.460 I feel like it might be a Nordstrom problem that they might be blaming on crime.
00:09:08.340 Now, I'm sure that they also had a big crime problem, but given that their other store closed without any crime at all just down the street, I don't think it's all crime.
00:09:21.980 No, not all Nordstrom's, the San Francisco one.
00:09:26.260 Was San Francisco the original Nordstrom?
00:09:28.460 I can't remember.
00:09:30.220 All right, let's talk about Tucker Carlson.
00:09:31.960 So, as many people have noted, there seems to be some kind of full-court press attack on Tucker.
00:09:40.040 Some of it is by his old enemies who just want to paint him as a bad person.
00:09:46.000 So, a lot of it is just revenge.
00:09:47.800 Because, you know, Tucker has been a big critic of the news.
00:09:50.360 So, if you're a big critic of places like the New York Times and the Washington Post, what should you think when they attack him?
00:10:01.240 Does it sound like news?
00:10:04.200 He literally, every night, would make fun of the entities that are now attacking him?
00:10:09.040 I don't think he can believe anything in the news about Tucker Carlson, because it's all reported literally by his enemies.
00:10:20.400 How would you believe that?
00:10:22.780 But, I'd like to say a few things.
00:10:25.520 So, there's some message that surfaced in which Tucker was talking about some video he saw of, I don't know when,
00:10:34.320 but there were some MAGA-headed guys beating up an Antifa person.
00:10:39.780 And, since it was, I don't know, three-on-one or something, it was a crowd beating one person.
00:10:45.500 Tucker said, in his message, that's not how white men fight.
00:10:51.400 And so, the New York Times and all of his enemies have decided that's racist.
00:10:57.780 It's racist.
00:10:59.000 That's not how white men fight.
00:11:01.480 Now, I'd like to say two things about this.
00:11:03.620 Number one.
00:11:05.940 Let's do the Ellen Dershowitz shoe-on-the-other-foot test.
00:11:09.700 Shoe-on-the-other-foot.
00:11:12.700 Imagine, if you will, that a black man, some prominent black man, could be in the news or anywhere else,
00:11:20.220 was known to have sent a private message, private, just like Tucker's,
00:11:25.480 and said that that's not how black men fight.
00:11:30.080 Would we be talking about it?
00:11:33.620 No.
00:11:35.140 No.
00:11:35.540 Because nobody would care.
00:11:37.740 If a black man said of any situation, that's not how black men fight,
00:11:45.080 nobody would even think twice.
00:11:47.880 How about Hispanic?
00:11:50.200 Hispanic American.
00:11:52.840 If in a private message they said, that's not how Hispanics fight,
00:11:57.160 would you care?
00:11:57.960 It wouldn't even register with me.
00:12:02.180 How about if it was a woman?
00:12:04.300 And a woman said, that's not how women fight.
00:12:08.480 Nothing.
00:12:10.120 Asian American.
00:12:11.680 Let's just go right down the fucking list.
00:12:14.180 Asian American.
00:12:15.380 Would anybody care what an Asian American said about how they fight compared to other groups?
00:12:20.980 Nope.
00:12:22.040 Nobody cares.
00:12:22.820 Why do they care when Tucker said it?
00:12:26.660 Because they're racists.
00:12:28.520 It's obviously just a racist attack against Tucker and other white people.
00:12:33.340 Let's be honest.
00:12:34.080 It's an attack on white people.
00:12:36.020 It's just an attack on white people.
00:12:38.220 That's all this is, with Tucker being the focus of it in this case.
00:12:42.440 Now, I'd like to reinforce something I tweeted the other day.
00:12:48.240 Do you remember I tweeted the other day a cryptic message?
00:12:52.000 And people said, what's that related to?
00:12:54.960 It doesn't seem to be connected to any current event.
00:12:58.100 And my message was this.
00:12:59.400 Before the Tucker thing, just like a day before,
00:13:03.080 I said, if somebody publishes a private message,
00:13:07.040 the person who publishes it is responsible for its content.
00:13:10.360 Because you're taking it into a new field.
00:13:13.960 And communication changes very fundamentally when you change its context.
00:13:19.400 So the way you talk to a child is different than you talk to an adult.
00:13:22.880 The way you talk to your boss is different than a stranger.
00:13:26.260 The way you talk in private is different than the way you talk somewhere else.
00:13:31.680 I don't believe you can be racist in private
00:13:34.880 if you're talking to somebody who doesn't mind what you're saying.
00:13:38.800 That's closer to a thought crime.
00:13:42.380 We don't punish people for their thoughts.
00:13:45.220 And that's kind of what a private message is.
00:13:47.240 That's a lot closer to a thought than it is to,
00:13:50.400 here's the message I want the world to hear,
00:13:52.780 which could or could not be racist.
00:13:54.960 But a private message?
00:13:56.660 No, the New York Times is responsible for it.
00:13:58.740 And they're fucking racist.
00:14:00.900 Because they're only attacking him because he's white.
00:14:03.540 And it's easy to demonstrate.
00:14:05.800 I just did.
00:14:06.780 Because if you change the ethnicity of who said it,
00:14:09.260 nobody would care.
00:14:11.160 It's only because he's white.
00:14:15.220 All right.
00:14:16.960 So I guess I'll get canceled for that tomorrow.
00:14:21.080 For being a white nationalist.
00:14:23.060 So if you don't know how the ecosystem works of cancellation,
00:14:28.360 if you've got a sketchy little claim,
00:14:33.200 like this private text message from a talker,
00:14:37.340 it's kind of, it's not quite,
00:14:39.500 you can't quite make it racist.
00:14:41.900 But if you have to make something that isn't really racist
00:14:45.200 into something that really is,
00:14:47.360 how would you do it?
00:14:48.980 Do you know what the process is?
00:14:50.600 Well, the process is,
00:14:52.780 it's very much like the worse than Watergate guy.
00:14:57.080 You know how CNN brings out the worse than Watergate guy
00:15:00.180 whenever Trump does something?
00:15:01.980 That's just so he'll say in live TV,
00:15:05.180 oh, that's worse than Watergate, Bernstein.
00:15:08.760 Right?
00:15:09.540 It's his only purpose.
00:15:11.180 So when this Tucker thing happens,
00:15:13.500 and he says this thing that some people would say was racist,
00:15:17.040 but not really,
00:15:18.360 what do they do?
00:15:19.340 They've got to turn it racist.
00:15:21.500 They've got to turn the story into something.
00:15:23.980 So they call Jonathan Greenblatt.
00:15:27.260 He also came after me.
00:15:29.620 He had absolutely nothing,
00:15:31.320 but it didn't stop him.
00:15:32.920 To him, I'm just a white nationalist,
00:15:34.880 because he's a racist.
00:15:36.160 Obviously, he's a racist.
00:15:37.860 And so they bring him out to talk about Tucker.
00:15:42.120 They call him a white nationalist.
00:15:43.260 So if you see Jonathan Greenblatt,
00:15:46.580 that means the claim is so weak
00:15:49.000 that they needed to get somebody who would say,
00:15:51.440 you're a racist,
00:15:52.960 because other people wouldn't say it.
00:15:55.140 Like, serious people wouldn't say it.
00:15:58.700 So when you see Bernstein or Greenblatt,
00:16:02.400 that's a big flag for fake news.
00:16:05.320 All right.
00:16:09.480 I would like to...
00:16:10.840 So I tweeted this.
00:16:12.220 I haven't seen the answers.
00:16:13.880 I would like someone in public
00:16:15.880 to say that they were offended by Tucker's comment,
00:16:20.560 personally.
00:16:21.720 Now, we all like to get offended on behalf of other people,
00:16:24.960 which is not a bad impulse.
00:16:26.800 I think it's good that we have a sort of a reflex
00:16:30.040 to protect, you know, marginalized people.
00:16:33.360 But I don't think any marginalized people were offended.
00:16:37.180 Do you?
00:16:38.420 Do you think you could find me one black American
00:16:41.300 who was offended by Tucker's comment?
00:16:44.880 I don't think so.
00:16:47.980 I don't think so.
00:16:50.500 Anyway.
00:16:51.120 Anyway.
00:16:53.600 It also seemed like he was criticizing
00:16:55.920 the white people in the video
00:16:57.900 because he was saying
00:16:59.520 that's not how white people fight.
00:17:03.140 I mean, there are two ways to take that.
00:17:05.100 But at least one way to take it
00:17:06.560 is that he doesn't want to be part of a group
00:17:09.500 that would do that.
00:17:11.140 So it's like a criticism of his own group.
00:17:15.100 You saw that, right?
00:17:17.400 So he's being blamed to be a...
00:17:20.020 He's being called a racist
00:17:21.280 because he criticized his own group.
00:17:24.340 It's so ridiculous.
00:17:25.920 But so typical.
00:17:29.360 All right.
00:17:32.560 Apparently, Tucker's departure
00:17:34.940 has caused a ratings catastrophe at Fox.
00:17:39.920 I don't know if it's a catastrophe.
00:17:42.060 But, you know, the people on social media
00:17:43.740 are trying to act like it's a pretty big deal.
00:17:45.580 But in the 25 to 54 demographic,
00:17:50.720 I saw one tweet that said
00:17:53.440 Hannity is below 100,000 viewers
00:17:57.440 in the key demographic.
00:17:59.080 That would be amazing.
00:18:00.600 Amazingly bad, if that's true.
00:18:02.560 I don't know if it's true.
00:18:04.140 And that Tucker's old time slot
00:18:05.860 lost more than 70% of its young audience.
00:18:09.300 Now, I don't know if that's permanent.
00:18:10.580 That could be like a little protest situation.
00:18:14.220 If they put somebody
00:18:15.200 who was kind of a star in that spot,
00:18:18.580 I think it would probably recover.
00:18:20.360 But at the moment,
00:18:22.540 they took a pretty big hit.
00:18:24.140 So, in conjunction with this story,
00:18:26.920 I saw the ratings of all the shows,
00:18:30.400 all the news shows,
00:18:31.340 and all the news networks.
00:18:33.500 And the number one and two show,
00:18:35.800 by far, number one show was The Five,
00:18:39.160 also on Fox.
00:18:40.420 So even though Tucker's gone,
00:18:42.320 the number one show is still on Fox,
00:18:45.240 The Five.
00:18:47.000 Does anybody know
00:18:47.900 what the number two show on Fox is,
00:18:50.200 most recently?
00:18:50.880 What do you think is the number two show?
00:18:54.140 It's Goffeld.
00:18:56.300 What do The Five and Goffeld have in common?
00:19:01.180 The two top-rated shows.
00:19:03.600 And Goffeld.
00:19:06.820 Do you think anybody at Fox has noticed?
00:19:10.200 Wait a minute.
00:19:11.520 We're looking at our ratings.
00:19:13.740 There's something we're noticing,
00:19:16.640 a pattern here.
00:19:19.320 So, I don't know.
00:19:21.000 I mean, I'm not sure how important that is
00:19:23.320 to the world,
00:19:23.960 except to Fox News and to Goffeld,
00:19:27.000 but you can't kill it harder than that.
00:19:30.500 Can you?
00:19:31.680 Talk about somebody who's just slaying.
00:19:35.320 This is just crazy,
00:19:36.840 to have the two,
00:19:37.940 to be a key part of the two biggest shows.
00:19:41.360 Yeah, I worry that Goffeld would be the next target.
00:19:49.180 But he does not do the same kind of controversial things.
00:19:52.100 And when he does, he's always just kidding.
00:19:53.640 So, it comes across differently.
00:19:57.240 Yeah.
00:19:57.540 Well, we'll see what happens.
00:19:59.420 Well, in the news, allegedly,
00:20:01.680 and I'm going to put a big allegedly on this one,
00:20:04.260 A, the Ukrainians attacked Putin's residence in the Kremlin
00:20:09.000 to try to assassinate him.
00:20:12.360 But the Kremlin cleverly shot down those two drones
00:20:16.640 and stopped the attack.
00:20:18.680 Do you think any of that's true?
00:20:23.220 I don't believe any of it.
00:20:25.340 Nah.
00:20:26.060 Nah.
00:20:27.160 Now, it wouldn't surprise me,
00:20:30.000 and by the way,
00:20:30.680 I've already seen a deep fake
00:20:33.460 of the Kremlin shooting down a drone.
00:20:38.860 And I don't think that the people who looked at it
00:20:41.300 knew it was a deep fake.
00:20:44.580 Unless it's real.
00:20:45.620 I don't think it's real.
00:20:46.480 But I don't think anybody actually, you know,
00:20:49.200 had a camera already focused
00:20:51.080 at exactly when the drone got taken down,
00:20:53.800 if that's what happened.
00:20:55.420 Yeah.
00:20:55.960 Now, I also,
00:20:57.440 it seems like it would be a drone swarm
00:20:59.400 if they were really trying to take him out,
00:21:02.460 not two drones.
00:21:04.040 So, I'm not sure if any drones were there.
00:21:06.040 I'm not sure if,
00:21:07.480 oh, the first question I'd ask is,
00:21:09.740 in the context of a war,
00:21:12.360 would Putin be sleeping in his official residence?
00:21:16.480 Wouldn't that be the worst thing to do
00:21:18.340 if you're at war?
00:21:20.160 I feel like nobody would ever know where he is.
00:21:24.500 That would be,
00:21:24.920 he'd be sort of like Saddam Hussein.
00:21:27.780 So, I doubt everything about this story.
00:21:30.540 Who wants to bet it gets debunked?
00:21:33.420 Because Russia is the one that claims Ukraine did it.
00:21:36.000 So, it's the lowest level of credibility
00:21:39.000 you could ever have.
00:21:41.240 And there wasn't much damage.
00:21:43.320 So,
00:21:44.380 looks like propaganda to me.
00:21:46.960 Probably.
00:21:48.960 And I,
00:21:49.700 I have predicted,
00:21:52.880 I predicted that Ukraine would take a run at Moscow
00:21:56.680 and would take a run at Putin.
00:21:59.820 Because why wouldn't they?
00:22:00.800 That's not illegal, is it?
00:22:04.560 There's nothing illegal about a country at war
00:22:06.820 trying to take out the leader of the other country.
00:22:09.200 I think that's,
00:22:10.100 that's part of the war.
00:22:12.300 So,
00:22:12.860 why aren't they doing that every day?
00:22:15.460 I feel like Ukraine should be sending a,
00:22:17.660 a drone into the Kremlin every day.
00:22:21.540 Because the Kremlin would send a drone into Kiev every day.
00:22:25.540 And do.
00:22:26.800 Right?
00:22:27.020 So,
00:22:27.820 why can't you send drones into Moscow every day?
00:22:31.200 Is it because you're afraid of nuclear war?
00:22:35.980 If they're not already having a nuclear war,
00:22:38.860 I'm not sure how much worse they could get.
00:22:42.080 Worried about escalation?
00:22:44.660 I don't know.
00:22:45.520 We'll see.
00:22:46.640 But,
00:22:47.100 I don't believe that story.
00:22:50.000 All right.
00:22:51.040 Matt Gaetz and AOC have teamed up,
00:22:53.700 among some other people,
00:22:54.980 in a non-partisan attempt
00:22:57.700 to try to get
00:22:59.060 Congress banned from the ability
00:23:01.860 to buy individual stocks
00:23:03.380 so that they can't get rich trading stocks.
00:23:06.480 And apparently,
00:23:07.540 it's just really obvious
00:23:09.760 that there's insider trading going on
00:23:12.460 just massively.
00:23:14.380 Now,
00:23:14.880 the problem is,
00:23:15.660 I don't know how you can stop it.
00:23:17.820 Because it's too easy for the insiders
00:23:20.000 to simply tell somebody else to buy the stock.
00:23:22.340 Now,
00:23:23.700 they might try to stop a family member,
00:23:26.540 you know,
00:23:26.840 like an immediate family member,
00:23:28.480 so you can't do it with your spouse,
00:23:29.780 for example.
00:23:30.800 But,
00:23:31.300 what about,
00:23:32.060 what about their cousins
00:23:33.800 and their friends?
00:23:35.480 What about you just say,
00:23:36.900 hey,
00:23:37.700 cousin Bob,
00:23:39.080 I got a hot stock tip for you.
00:23:41.420 If you make a fortune,
00:23:43.420 maybe you consider buying my house
00:23:45.400 for too much.
00:23:46.660 You know,
00:23:46.880 something like that.
00:23:48.060 So you can work out all kinds of deals
00:23:50.020 where they still get the benefit of the trade
00:23:54.420 without being the one who made the trade.
00:23:56.440 So it's really tough to stop.
00:23:58.340 But at least you can stop the easy stuff.
00:24:00.740 Because there may be enough members of Congress
00:24:02.960 who are not clever.
00:24:04.420 So they don't know how to do a whole
00:24:05.700 Biden crime family thing.
00:24:07.040 They only know how to trade stocks.
00:24:09.040 So,
00:24:09.600 it might stop the dumb ones.
00:24:11.640 But it's not going to stop the clever ones.
00:24:13.420 Apparently the Bud Light
00:24:16.200 so-called boycott is working.
00:24:18.820 And that Bud Light sales are way down.
00:24:25.380 Does anybody care?
00:24:27.960 Butt wipe instead of Bud Light.
00:24:31.620 Yeah.
00:24:32.300 Nobody cares.
00:24:33.480 I'm not,
00:24:34.900 again,
00:24:35.660 I am so not in favor of this boycott.
00:24:39.440 You can do whatever you want.
00:24:41.020 And I'm not sure it's called a boycott.
00:24:42.500 Maybe it's not a boycott.
00:24:44.820 Maybe it's just a whole bunch of people
00:24:46.360 who are individually registering their displeasure.
00:24:50.100 You know,
00:24:50.380 which just sums up to a boycott.
00:24:53.740 But I feel like it's less about an organized boycott
00:24:57.240 than it is to just a bunch of people
00:25:00.240 who don't want to be associated with the brand anymore.
00:25:03.200 But imagine how much teasing you would get
00:25:05.280 if you showed up with a Bud Light in your hand.
00:25:09.740 That's the problem.
00:25:10.600 It makes me want to drink it.
00:25:13.980 You know,
00:25:14.120 I don't drink.
00:25:14.940 I don't drink alcohol.
00:25:16.400 But if I did,
00:25:18.060 you'd know I would bring a Bud Light to a party.
00:25:21.280 I hope you know that about me.
00:25:23.120 Oh,
00:25:23.360 I would so bring a Bud Light to a party
00:25:25.020 if I drank.
00:25:27.200 Yeah.
00:25:27.600 Because it'd be funny.
00:25:29.000 It'd just get people talking
00:25:30.060 and, you know,
00:25:30.880 blah, blah, blah.
00:25:33.680 All right.
00:25:34.380 So,
00:25:34.680 I guess that's happened.
00:25:37.440 Do you feel,
00:25:38.420 let me ask you this,
00:25:39.600 do you feel that there is a,
00:25:41.900 the woke backlash
00:25:43.680 is bigger than the wokeness yet?
00:25:47.440 Or am I in a bubble?
00:25:49.340 It seems like,
00:25:50.680 here's what's different.
00:25:52.620 I noticed that the,
00:25:54.200 a lot of the hosts on Fox News
00:25:56.340 are calling trans women men.
00:25:59.200 And I don't know
00:26:01.160 that that would have happened
00:26:02.120 two years ago.
00:26:04.680 One year ago.
00:26:06.480 But have you noticed that shift?
00:26:09.120 That,
00:26:09.680 that there are,
00:26:11.120 you know,
00:26:11.480 conservative names
00:26:12.480 who are willing to just say
00:26:14.100 that's a man?
00:26:17.780 Jordan Peterson,
00:26:18.840 same thing you say?
00:26:20.020 Yeah,
00:26:20.360 I,
00:26:20.560 I feel like
00:26:21.380 there are enough people
00:26:23.820 who have raised their head
00:26:24.920 out of the foxhole
00:26:25.820 that
00:26:27.220 there might be a little bit
00:26:28.480 of a shift coming.
00:26:29.200 Because these things
00:26:30.000 never last forever.
00:26:31.160 There's a,
00:26:32.180 there should be
00:26:33.020 at some point,
00:26:35.840 you know,
00:26:36.120 there's going to be
00:26:36.720 a slide back to the middle.
00:26:38.600 I think.
00:26:40.040 I mean,
00:26:40.340 that would be the most
00:26:41.000 logical,
00:26:42.540 predictable thing to happen.
00:26:46.580 So yeah,
00:26:47.220 I think there's a lot
00:26:48.180 happening there.
00:26:48.740 I think people are
00:26:49.480 able to talk more freely
00:26:51.360 in a way.
00:26:53.060 All right,
00:26:53.640 here's my favorite
00:26:54.620 parlor game with CNN.
00:26:56.840 It goes like this.
00:26:59.200 The headline of CNN
00:27:00.280 says there's a new
00:27:01.520 study or a new drug
00:27:03.340 or a new thing
00:27:04.820 that they think
00:27:07.660 might be
00:27:08.580 causing some benefits
00:27:10.360 or they found
00:27:11.660 something that
00:27:12.340 causes something else.
00:27:14.600 And here's what I do.
00:27:16.000 I count the number
00:27:17.280 of paragraphs
00:27:17.840 before the story
00:27:19.640 is debunked
00:27:20.440 in the,
00:27:20.880 in its own story.
00:27:21.740 Right?
00:27:21.900 So here's the headline.
00:27:28.260 Regular internet use
00:27:29.680 may be linked
00:27:30.440 to lower dementia risk
00:27:31.900 in older adults,
00:27:32.860 study says.
00:27:34.800 And I'm like,
00:27:35.420 whoa,
00:27:36.560 that would be pretty good.
00:27:37.620 Because if that were true,
00:27:39.180 then that would be
00:27:39.860 a real practical thing
00:27:41.160 for keeping your brain active.
00:27:42.900 You'd say,
00:27:43.360 hey, grandma,
00:27:44.700 you know,
00:27:44.920 you should use
00:27:45.480 the internet more.
00:27:46.360 I'll send you some email.
00:27:47.980 Let me show you
00:27:48.620 how to browse Instagram.
00:27:49.820 And then you'd have
00:27:51.240 like a real functional,
00:27:53.280 cheap way
00:27:53.880 to help people's cognition.
00:27:57.640 So I start counting
00:27:58.820 the paragraphs.
00:27:59.900 One, two, three, four,
00:28:01.120 five, six, seven,
00:28:02.360 eight, nine, ten,
00:28:03.140 eleven, twelve,
00:28:04.080 thirteen, fourteen,
00:28:04.820 fifteen, sixteen.
00:28:07.200 The sixteenth paragraph says,
00:28:10.920 one of the research people says,
00:28:14.780 but we wouldn't want
00:28:15.580 to read too much
00:28:16.260 into this study
00:28:17.020 in isolation.
00:28:18.040 It doesn't establish
00:28:19.640 cause and effect.
00:28:23.840 There's one study
00:28:25.180 and it doesn't establish
00:28:26.900 cause and effect.
00:28:28.560 Now, what do you think
00:28:29.520 is more likely?
00:28:31.940 I'll just ask you
00:28:33.100 common sense,
00:28:34.520 if you have any common sense.
00:28:37.380 Is it more likely
00:28:38.640 that using the internet
00:28:40.640 protects your brain,
00:28:42.520 which I think it might,
00:28:43.760 or that people
00:28:46.580 who have the best brains
00:28:48.340 are most likely
00:28:49.480 to use the internet?
00:28:51.560 Which do you think
00:28:52.300 is more likely?
00:28:54.460 Don't you think
00:28:55.180 that the smartest,
00:28:56.680 most active brains,
00:28:58.420 which you would predict
00:28:59.400 would be,
00:29:00.480 continue to be
00:29:01.300 the best brains?
00:29:03.180 I mean,
00:29:03.460 if your brain
00:29:03.940 is already good,
00:29:05.880 you're probably
00:29:06.340 going to use the internet.
00:29:07.040 If your brain
00:29:08.380 is already slowed down,
00:29:10.300 you're probably
00:29:11.680 not going to figure out
00:29:12.560 how to use email.
00:29:14.420 So, this is the most,
00:29:15.840 one of the most obvious
00:29:16.760 reverse causation
00:29:19.080 things you could ever see.
00:29:21.940 But that does not
00:29:22.940 eliminate
00:29:23.420 the possibility
00:29:24.920 it could work both ways.
00:29:27.100 Right?
00:29:28.580 It makes perfect sense
00:29:29.960 that it would work
00:29:30.560 both ways.
00:29:31.800 The best brains
00:29:33.140 are most likely
00:29:33.840 to use the internet
00:29:34.600 when they're old,
00:29:35.560 but also,
00:29:36.880 any form of
00:29:37.880 intellectual activity
00:29:39.400 is probably good
00:29:40.860 for your brain.
00:29:41.320 It's just that
00:29:42.700 this study
00:29:43.120 didn't tease out
00:29:43.940 any of that.
00:29:45.240 Just none of it.
00:29:46.580 You can't tell.
00:29:48.060 So,
00:29:48.940 do you know
00:29:49.540 how many times
00:29:50.120 I've done that
00:29:50.620 with CNN?
00:29:52.600 Now,
00:29:53.080 to their credit,
00:29:54.060 they do say
00:29:54.740 maybe linked
00:29:56.620 to lower dementia,
00:29:58.240 but nobody reads
00:29:59.140 the maybe.
00:30:00.600 You read,
00:30:01.520 linked to dementia,
00:30:03.300 you read the first
00:30:04.000 three paragraphs
00:30:04.680 and you say,
00:30:05.600 I better put
00:30:06.280 grandma on the internet.
00:30:07.120 And maybe you should
00:30:09.580 for other reasons,
00:30:11.420 but,
00:30:11.860 yeah,
00:30:12.280 it's a little bit
00:30:13.040 leading the witness here.
00:30:14.440 Leading the witness.
00:30:17.780 All right.
00:30:18.900 It seems to me
00:30:19.780 that the news
00:30:21.440 got really slow.
00:30:22.380 I'm going to make
00:30:22.660 some observations.
00:30:24.920 When I first started
00:30:26.140 talking about the headlines,
00:30:28.020 2016 or so,
00:30:29.940 I would go to CNN
00:30:32.100 and see what they had to say,
00:30:34.340 and then I would go to Fox News
00:30:35.540 and see what they had to say.
00:30:37.240 And it would be
00:30:37.980 real interesting
00:30:38.700 because they'd cover
00:30:39.980 the same story,
00:30:41.380 but like completely
00:30:42.460 different filter
00:30:43.240 on the story.
00:30:44.520 But today,
00:30:45.340 it's really different.
00:30:47.200 Today,
00:30:47.900 the,
00:30:48.180 you know,
00:30:48.600 the one or two
00:30:49.280 biggest stories
00:30:50.300 will be covered
00:30:51.500 by both entities,
00:30:52.760 but 80% of the news
00:30:54.580 on Fox News
00:30:55.580 is not even on CNN
00:30:56.960 and vice versa.
00:30:58.580 They don't cover
00:30:59.460 the same news.
00:31:01.100 So,
00:31:01.720 it's an entirely set
00:31:02.740 of different directions
00:31:03.800 about what is news.
00:31:06.940 So,
00:31:07.480 I can't even do the,
00:31:08.400 which,
00:31:11.660 so I can't even do
00:31:12.480 the comparison
00:31:13.180 of,
00:31:13.580 oh,
00:31:13.700 here's what CNN says
00:31:14.840 and here's what Fox News says
00:31:16.140 because it's different news,
00:31:18.360 just completely different.
00:31:19.860 And that's,
00:31:20.740 that's really changed.
00:31:24.840 All right,
00:31:25.440 so the writers
00:31:26.000 are on strike.
00:31:29.420 But do we know,
00:31:31.140 I guess,
00:31:31.520 The View used writers?
00:31:33.760 Did you know that?
00:31:35.320 Did you know that
00:31:36.100 the show The View
00:31:37.020 used writers?
00:31:39.360 Now,
00:31:39.620 obviously,
00:31:40.140 they have writers
00:31:40.660 for the introductions,
00:31:42.540 but what else
00:31:44.780 do they have a writer for
00:31:45.780 after you do
00:31:47.100 the introduction?
00:31:49.780 And Whoopi
00:31:50.580 was apologizing.
00:31:51.840 She said,
00:31:52.240 maybe their commentary
00:31:53.260 would not be
00:31:53.800 as crisp
00:31:54.360 as usual.
00:31:58.040 Maybe.
00:31:58.480 Maybe.
00:31:58.560 So I think
00:32:03.300 that would also
00:32:05.680 be a reason
00:32:06.140 why the shows
00:32:07.380 The Five
00:32:07.940 and Gottfeld
00:32:08.740 will probably
00:32:10.240 even gain ground
00:32:11.340 in the next few weeks
00:32:12.140 if the,
00:32:12.680 if the strike continues.
00:32:15.200 Because those are both
00:32:16.560 based almost entirely,
00:32:19.600 well,
00:32:19.840 I won't say that,
00:32:20.500 but mostly those shows
00:32:22.020 are based on the individuals
00:32:23.320 coming up with stuff
00:32:24.320 on the spot
00:32:24.900 with a little bit
00:32:26.600 of preparation.
00:32:27.200 I paved the way
00:32:30.280 for Tucker.
00:32:31.120 I don't think so.
00:32:34.700 Union rules
00:32:35.740 mandate writers
00:32:36.820 whether you need them
00:32:37.960 or not.
00:32:38.960 Oh,
00:32:39.120 is that true?
00:32:40.460 You have to have a writer
00:32:41.420 even if you're not using them.
00:32:43.740 Maybe.
00:32:45.220 Maybe.
00:32:45.580 Have I ever told you
00:32:46.560 my most annoying
00:32:47.600 writers' union story?
00:32:52.040 So I was a member
00:32:53.260 of the
00:32:54.540 writers' guild.
00:32:57.900 And Screen Actors Guild
00:32:59.660 and that too
00:33:00.940 for a while.
00:33:02.660 So when I was writing scripts
00:33:03.880 for the Dilbert TV show
00:33:06.000 that ran for
00:33:06.980 a few half seasons
00:33:07.960 on UPN,
00:33:09.760 I would write
00:33:11.700 a first draft
00:33:12.480 and hand it off
00:33:15.220 to a writer
00:33:16.380 or I'd,
00:33:17.580 you know,
00:33:17.780 maybe outline the story
00:33:19.420 and then a writer
00:33:19.960 would handle it.
00:33:20.840 So I would get,
00:33:21.760 I would get writing credit
00:33:23.080 for the first draft
00:33:24.100 and then whoever
00:33:25.340 did the teleplay
00:33:26.820 or the finish part,
00:33:29.220 they'd get credit
00:33:29.780 for that part.
00:33:30.820 And then the union rules
00:33:32.840 would specify
00:33:34.540 how much I got paid
00:33:35.860 as the first draft guy
00:33:37.120 and how much they got paid
00:33:38.780 for finishing it.
00:33:39.820 Well,
00:33:42.700 there were also,
00:33:45.740 there are also rules
00:33:46.760 that if you rewrite
00:33:48.640 somebody's work,
00:33:50.480 they still get paid.
00:33:52.840 So here's what would happen
00:33:54.780 a number of times.
00:33:56.540 I'd give the writers
00:33:57.600 the outline,
00:33:58.780 so that makes me
00:33:59.840 the author of the work.
00:34:02.380 And then they'd write
00:34:05.720 something
00:34:06.100 and I'd throw
00:34:07.080 the entire thing away
00:34:08.080 because there wasn't
00:34:08.660 a single line of it
00:34:09.800 that I could use.
00:34:11.640 And I would write
00:34:12.300 the whole thing
00:34:12.780 from scratch.
00:34:14.660 So it was my framework,
00:34:16.540 my first draft,
00:34:17.420 and my finished work.
00:34:19.220 So there was not
00:34:20.260 a single word
00:34:21.280 of any other writer
00:34:23.200 on it.
00:34:25.340 Although I usually worked
00:34:26.500 with my co-executive producer,
00:34:28.500 so he would be
00:34:29.100 also a credit.
00:34:29.840 But the,
00:34:31.920 do you know
00:34:32.480 who got paid?
00:34:33.920 Not me.
00:34:35.780 No,
00:34:36.480 the people who got paid
00:34:37.520 were the ones
00:34:38.060 who wrote the stuff
00:34:38.980 I threw away.
00:34:40.500 Because the union rules
00:34:41.840 say that whoever does
00:34:43.320 the bulk of the writing
00:34:44.420 gets the credit
00:34:46.820 and if you later edit it,
00:34:51.040 you don't get credit
00:34:52.260 for that.
00:34:52.620 It's still their writing.
00:34:54.720 Even if there's
00:34:55.560 nothing left.
00:34:56.680 I literally,
00:34:57.300 literally just put
00:34:58.540 the whole thing
00:34:59.000 in the trash.
00:35:00.380 Started from scratch.
00:35:04.300 So I still see things
00:35:06.000 that I wrote completely
00:35:07.300 with other people's
00:35:08.140 names on them
00:35:08.800 when I see the credits.
00:35:10.860 Do you know how much
00:35:11.340 that bothers me?
00:35:13.240 It bothers me a lot.
00:35:14.400 There's no real,
00:35:15.080 there's not much money
00:35:15.940 involved.
00:35:17.060 But if you're a writer
00:35:20.120 and you see somebody
00:35:21.080 else's name on your work
00:35:22.380 and you know that
00:35:23.400 they get a check for it,
00:35:25.060 it makes you crazy.
00:35:26.660 It just makes you crazy.
00:35:27.600 All right.
00:35:30.880 A Dilbert contest
00:35:32.100 on locals.
00:35:32.760 What would that be?
00:35:36.440 All right.
00:35:37.060 Now,
00:35:37.980 is there anything else
00:35:38.840 that I haven't mentioned?
00:35:41.140 If you were a member
00:35:42.220 of the scottadams.locals.com
00:35:46.180 subscription community,
00:35:48.520 tonight you would be
00:35:49.800 participating in a
00:35:51.240 book club review
00:35:53.200 of my book,
00:35:53.920 God's Debris
00:35:54.520 and The Religion War.
00:35:57.520 Now,
00:35:58.120 if you've not heard
00:35:59.060 of these books,
00:36:01.000 well,
00:36:03.680 let me do it this way.
00:36:04.800 For those
00:36:06.120 who have heard
00:36:07.100 of the books,
00:36:08.720 give your opinion
00:36:10.080 in the comments.
00:36:12.120 So,
00:36:12.480 especially on YouTube
00:36:14.060 for the benefit
00:36:15.440 of anybody else
00:36:16.140 who wonders
00:36:16.500 what's going on.
00:36:17.720 So,
00:36:17.980 those books
00:36:18.700 are not like
00:36:19.820 ordinary books.
00:36:21.220 They change people.
00:36:23.160 People become different
00:36:24.140 after they read them,
00:36:25.660 especially God's Debris.
00:36:27.100 That's what they tell me.
00:36:28.560 They tell,
00:36:29.660 you know,
00:36:29.880 change their life,
00:36:31.080 et cetera.
00:36:31.780 And I hear that
00:36:32.640 all the time.
00:36:33.300 so we're going to
00:36:36.240 have a book discussion
00:36:37.200 on locals,
00:36:38.000 but that's just
00:36:38.520 for subscribers.
00:36:40.520 They have bad titles.
00:36:42.200 I don't know.
00:36:42.740 I think God's Debris
00:36:43.600 is the best title.
00:36:44.740 The other one,
00:36:45.420 maybe not.
00:36:46.380 But what's interesting
00:36:47.240 about The Religion War
00:36:48.620 is that it was written
00:36:49.560 in 2003 or 2004,
00:36:52.900 and it anticipated today.
00:36:57.840 So it was about the future,
00:37:00.880 but the future
00:37:01.700 is right now.
00:37:02.500 So part of that future
00:37:04.880 was big data
00:37:06.800 and AI,
00:37:08.240 less AI
00:37:09.200 than big data,
00:37:11.080 and drone attacks
00:37:13.560 on major cities.
00:37:15.420 So those are,
00:37:16.820 you know,
00:37:17.200 two big themes.
00:37:22.020 Yeah.
00:37:23.580 All right.
00:37:24.360 I think it would benefit
00:37:31.520 younger people more.
00:37:33.800 Yeah,
00:37:34.020 God's Debris
00:37:34.680 is popular
00:37:36.480 with 14-year-olds
00:37:37.900 and up.
00:37:43.280 Tiny bombs.
00:37:46.380 Why is it okay
00:37:47.340 to cancel Dilbert,
00:37:48.540 but not Bud Light?
00:37:49.580 Well,
00:37:49.740 it's not okay
00:37:50.380 in either case.
00:37:51.280 King Charles
00:37:53.620 Coronation,
00:37:54.520 boring.
00:37:56.440 Kamala is holding
00:37:57.280 a White House
00:37:57.840 AI meeting.
00:37:59.020 Are you serious?
00:38:01.280 You know,
00:38:01.580 Kamala,
00:38:02.140 you know what's funny?
00:38:03.540 If Kamala Harris
00:38:04.400 is holding
00:38:04.860 an AI meeting
00:38:05.860 at the White House,
00:38:07.580 she's actually
00:38:10.100 the job
00:38:11.580 you could most easily
00:38:12.620 replace with AI.
00:38:13.720 How long
00:38:16.240 would it take
00:38:16.700 AI to learn
00:38:17.520 to giggle
00:38:17.960 over a Venn
00:38:18.620 diagram?
00:38:20.300 Not long at all.
00:38:23.360 Yeah.
00:38:24.080 I mean,
00:38:24.400 I can't think
00:38:25.120 of any job
00:38:25.880 that would be
00:38:26.300 easier to replace
00:38:27.380 than the Vice
00:38:28.300 President.
00:38:29.340 I mean,
00:38:29.640 I realize we have
00:38:30.320 a constitutional
00:38:31.040 problem if we
00:38:31.860 do that,
00:38:32.780 but that would
00:38:33.760 be the easiest
00:38:34.280 one.
00:38:37.660 It makes you
00:38:38.380 wonder if it's
00:38:38.900 a deep fake
00:38:39.560 or the real
00:38:40.100 Kamala
00:38:40.500 having that
00:38:41.340 meeting.
00:38:41.580 Okay.
00:38:43.720 I wonder
00:38:44.800 how she ever
00:38:45.400 shows up
00:38:46.140 on time
00:38:46.540 for a meeting.
00:38:48.020 What time
00:38:48.740 is the meeting?
00:38:50.860 Three o'clock.
00:38:52.720 In the
00:38:53.640 context of time,
00:38:55.780 in the
00:38:56.040 contextualized
00:38:57.360 period of the
00:38:58.960 passage of time,
00:39:00.080 which is this
00:39:00.660 moment,
00:39:01.940 and then
00:39:02.380 she misses
00:39:02.900 the meeting.
00:39:06.480 Yeah,
00:39:07.040 she's the
00:39:07.420 border czar.
00:39:10.320 I'm starting
00:39:11.100 to think
00:39:11.560 czar means
00:39:12.580 nothing's
00:39:13.180 going to happen.
00:39:13.720 Is it just
00:39:15.440 my imagination
00:39:16.200 or none
00:39:17.040 of our czars,
00:39:19.100 you know,
00:39:19.440 they all end
00:39:20.100 up like
00:39:20.620 Anastasia.
00:39:23.880 All the
00:39:24.900 czars get
00:39:25.500 murdered by
00:39:26.420 Bolsheviks,
00:39:27.100 basically.
00:39:31.680 John Kerry,
00:39:32.600 what do we
00:39:32.860 see the czar
00:39:33.500 of?
00:39:34.840 Drugs?
00:39:38.760 Yeah,
00:39:39.340 we need a new
00:39:40.280 czar.
00:39:40.620 All right.
00:39:45.300 There's no
00:39:45.880 other news
00:39:46.320 today,
00:39:46.660 so I think
00:39:47.020 we're going
00:39:47.300 to do
00:39:47.540 something else.
00:39:48.520 Let's do
00:39:48.940 something else
00:39:49.440 I should be
00:39:49.820 talking about.
00:39:51.340 Did I miss
00:39:51.780 anything?
00:39:54.100 It's really
00:39:54.760 all about
00:39:55.260 wondering if
00:39:55.820 our economy
00:39:57.340 is going to
00:39:57.760 be destroyed
00:39:58.300 on its own,
00:39:58.920 right?
00:40:02.060 What would
00:40:02.980 you say is
00:40:03.480 the biggest
00:40:03.900 issue right
00:40:04.600 now in
00:40:05.400 terms of
00:40:05.800 the risk
00:40:06.260 to the
00:40:06.620 country?
00:40:06.940 What do
00:40:08.260 you feel
00:40:08.500 is our
00:40:08.760 biggest
00:40:09.080 risk?
00:40:11.220 Debt?
00:40:14.440 Socialism?
00:40:15.280 Debt?
00:40:15.840 Biden?
00:40:16.840 Debt ceiling?
00:40:18.120 Wokeism?
00:40:18.820 Inflation?
00:40:19.600 Housing?
00:40:20.280 Inflation?
00:40:22.120 Yeah.
00:40:24.080 Yeah.
00:40:25.640 Inflation is
00:40:26.940 going to be
00:40:27.220 pretty big.
00:40:28.080 And what
00:40:28.640 about AI
00:40:29.200 taking jobs?
00:40:31.040 Do you
00:40:31.580 worry about
00:40:32.000 AI taking
00:40:32.640 jobs?
00:40:33.040 I feel
00:40:35.800 like that's
00:40:36.240 going to
00:40:36.400 be slower
00:40:37.140 than it
00:40:38.500 looks.
00:40:40.520 There'll
00:40:40.640 be some
00:40:41.460 areas like
00:40:42.080 but it's
00:40:50.700 not huge
00:40:51.300 industries.
00:40:54.480 Economic
00:40:55.220 collapse?
00:40:57.740 Yeah.
00:40:59.960 So nobody
00:41:01.160 said nuclear
00:41:01.880 war.
00:41:03.040 Nobody
00:41:03.480 said nuclear
00:41:04.040 war and
00:41:04.760 climate was
00:41:05.700 almost not
00:41:07.020 mentioned.
00:41:09.600 Border?
00:41:11.880 I don't
00:41:12.480 know if
00:41:12.680 that's the
00:41:13.000 biggest problem.
00:41:13.620 Is border
00:41:13.980 the biggest
00:41:14.440 problem?
00:41:15.380 I mean it's
00:41:15.680 a big
00:41:16.040 problem but
00:41:16.840 elections?
00:41:19.180 Yeah.
00:41:20.140 Guns?
00:41:21.420 I don't know.
00:41:21.900 I would say
00:41:22.620 the health of
00:41:23.700 the economy but
00:41:25.340 I'm also
00:41:25.920 concerned about
00:41:27.000 Taiwan.
00:41:28.640 If you had
00:41:29.120 to guess what
00:41:29.880 are the odds
00:41:30.340 of China
00:41:30.820 actually making
00:41:31.520 a military
00:41:32.000 move on
00:41:32.560 Taiwan?
00:41:33.740 Let's say
00:41:34.160 in a year
00:41:34.640 within the
00:41:35.860 next year.
00:41:38.780 So why
00:41:39.480 are you
00:41:39.760 worried about
00:41:40.200 that?
00:41:41.620 Wouldn't
00:41:42.000 that be
00:41:42.320 catastrophic?
00:41:46.080 Here's what
00:41:46.700 I think.
00:41:47.560 I think
00:41:47.960 China doesn't
00:41:48.660 like to do
00:41:49.140 catastrophic
00:41:49.680 things.
00:41:51.880 That China
00:41:52.760 doesn't act
00:41:53.400 like Russia
00:41:53.900 does.
00:41:54.960 Russia will
00:41:55.740 roll the
00:41:56.380 dice.
00:41:57.380 We've
00:41:57.900 seen Putin
00:41:58.340 do it.
00:41:59.180 Russia will
00:41:59.740 take a
00:42:00.140 chance to
00:42:01.340 gain another
00:42:01.900 country or
00:42:02.600 to gain some
00:42:03.100 territory or
00:42:03.880 to gain
00:42:04.140 something.
00:42:04.800 China doesn't
00:42:05.580 take those
00:42:06.540 kind of
00:42:06.980 chances.
00:42:09.860 So it
00:42:10.900 would seem
00:42:11.340 out of
00:42:11.720 character to
00:42:12.360 try to take
00:42:12.840 Taiwan.
00:42:15.080 Now here's
00:42:15.720 my question.
00:42:16.360 Does Taiwan
00:42:16.820 make chips for
00:42:17.740 China as well?
00:42:19.540 They do,
00:42:20.120 right?
00:42:20.320 I would
00:42:21.980 imagine Taiwan
00:42:22.720 is their
00:42:23.100 biggest.
00:42:24.480 Do they
00:42:25.020 not know
00:42:25.520 that we
00:42:25.860 would destroy
00:42:26.560 the...
00:42:27.400 I shouldn't
00:42:28.180 say this.
00:42:30.940 I shouldn't
00:42:31.760 say this out
00:42:32.340 loud.
00:42:33.720 You know
00:42:34.400 those chip
00:42:34.900 manufacturing
00:42:35.520 plants are
00:42:36.060 never going
00:42:36.420 to go to
00:42:36.740 China,
00:42:37.120 right?
00:42:39.980 Let me
00:42:40.820 just do
00:42:41.500 the Joe
00:42:42.140 Biden
00:42:42.520 grin when
00:42:44.500 he talks
00:42:44.860 about the
00:42:45.860 Nord Stream
00:42:46.460 pipeline.
00:42:47.620 Well,
00:42:47.900 how is that
00:42:48.320 Nord Stream
00:42:48.820 pipeline going
00:42:49.520 to stop
00:42:50.020 pumping stuff
00:42:51.320 to Russia?
00:42:53.140 We'll do
00:42:53.860 it.
00:42:54.780 Trust me.
00:42:56.180 We'll take
00:42:56.600 care of the
00:42:57.360 Nord Stream
00:42:58.000 pipeline.
00:42:59.580 Don't you
00:42:59.960 think it's
00:43:00.300 the same
00:43:00.620 with the
00:43:01.760 chip
00:43:02.400 companies?
00:43:03.720 I think
00:43:04.180 the chip
00:43:04.540 companies
00:43:04.920 would just
00:43:05.300 get whacked
00:43:07.020 by friendly
00:43:08.580 fire.
00:43:11.320 And I
00:43:11.980 think that
00:43:12.540 the day
00:43:13.360 that an
00:43:13.960 invasion
00:43:14.360 started,
00:43:16.240 this is
00:43:17.220 my guess.
00:43:18.160 The day
00:43:18.880 that an
00:43:19.280 invasion
00:43:19.660 started,
00:43:21.160 there would
00:43:21.480 be some
00:43:22.180 kind of
00:43:22.500 American
00:43:22.880 vessel
00:43:23.400 parked
00:43:24.140 nearby
00:43:24.680 in which
00:43:25.780 every chip
00:43:26.840 scientist
00:43:27.300 and their
00:43:27.800 extended
00:43:28.320 family would
00:43:29.060 be getting
00:43:29.840 a free
00:43:30.240 trip to
00:43:30.600 America.
00:43:31.980 I feel
00:43:32.840 like we
00:43:33.320 would steal
00:43:33.760 their people
00:43:34.400 and rebuild
00:43:36.220 over here.
00:43:38.220 And we
00:43:38.460 would probably
00:43:40.320 have enough
00:43:40.880 warning before
00:43:42.440 shots were
00:43:43.120 fired that
00:43:44.520 there would
00:43:44.880 be this
00:43:45.220 whole sea
00:43:45.740 of people
00:43:46.140 who would
00:43:46.420 just run
00:43:47.360 out to
00:43:47.680 the beach
00:43:48.060 and start
00:43:48.440 getting on
00:43:48.840 boats and
00:43:50.060 head to
00:43:50.480 America.
00:43:53.060 Just like
00:43:53.680 we did with
00:43:54.180 the German
00:43:54.540 rocket
00:43:54.880 scientists,
00:43:55.620 exactly.
00:43:56.380 That is the
00:43:57.760 model I was
00:43:58.280 thinking of.
00:43:59.000 But we'd
00:43:59.380 have to take
00:43:59.740 their families,
00:44:01.100 which would
00:44:02.640 be fine.
00:44:03.620 I mean,
00:44:03.880 if you get a
00:44:04.300 bunch of
00:44:05.480 chip
00:44:05.780 scientist
00:44:06.420 employees,
00:44:08.040 I think I
00:44:08.680 do want
00:44:09.060 their families,
00:44:09.800 if you know
00:44:10.560 what I mean.
00:44:10.960 you're going
00:44:12.420 to get some
00:44:12.840 really high
00:44:14.180 achieving people
00:44:15.100 if you take
00:44:16.800 Taiwan's best
00:44:17.740 scientists and
00:44:18.800 their families.
00:44:19.700 Because the
00:44:20.020 family you get,
00:44:21.280 that's like you're
00:44:22.200 almost guaranteed
00:44:22.820 to get good
00:44:23.460 citizens and
00:44:24.660 chip scientist
00:44:25.920 families.
00:44:30.100 All right,
00:44:30.740 so I feel
00:44:32.480 as if
00:44:33.520 China wants
00:44:35.520 Taiwan for
00:44:36.660 all the reasons
00:44:37.220 they want it
00:44:37.800 historically and
00:44:38.860 because it's
00:44:39.360 too close to
00:44:39.940 their border.
00:44:40.960 their Chinese
00:44:41.680 speaking and
00:44:42.520 all the reasons.
00:44:43.940 But I don't
00:44:44.640 think that they
00:44:45.240 want to start
00:44:45.920 a war that
00:44:46.820 would eliminate
00:44:47.440 chips.
00:44:49.320 I think the
00:44:49.860 last thing the
00:44:50.440 China wants to
00:44:50.980 do is not
00:44:51.580 have any
00:44:51.920 microchips.
00:44:53.780 So I don't
00:44:54.260 think they're
00:44:54.620 going to...
00:44:55.360 So I'm going
00:44:56.020 to go with
00:44:56.600 will not
00:44:57.180 attack Taiwan
00:44:58.240 in the next
00:44:58.880 year.
00:45:00.500 How many
00:45:01.140 would agree
00:45:01.600 with me in
00:45:03.460 the will not
00:45:04.220 attack in the
00:45:04.960 next year?
00:45:05.700 Who knows
00:45:06.180 after that?
00:45:09.480 Yeah.
00:45:09.960 See, I
00:45:11.980 think the
00:45:12.520 assumption of
00:45:13.460 an attack
00:45:14.120 I think
00:45:15.460 imagines that
00:45:17.040 the chip
00:45:18.460 business would
00:45:19.200 still be in
00:45:19.740 business when
00:45:20.280 they took it
00:45:20.740 over.
00:45:21.680 And I think
00:45:22.220 that's the
00:45:22.620 wrong assumption.
00:45:27.680 All right.
00:45:29.380 Okay, ladies
00:45:30.180 and gentlemen,
00:45:31.900 once Russia
00:45:32.720 wraps up
00:45:33.200 Ukraine,
00:45:33.840 they will.
00:45:34.180 So I saw
00:45:37.820 a news story
00:45:38.500 that we've
00:45:39.420 shipped massive
00:45:40.360 amounts of
00:45:41.040 ammunition to
00:45:41.840 Ukraine in
00:45:43.260 anticipation of
00:45:44.220 their spring
00:45:44.780 offensive.
00:45:46.200 And that
00:45:46.920 sounds like
00:45:47.400 that's true,
00:45:48.020 right?
00:45:48.280 You imagine
00:45:48.760 that we've
00:45:49.140 sent tons of
00:45:50.040 ammo and
00:45:50.680 they're just
00:45:50.980 waiting for
00:45:51.340 their so-called
00:45:52.580 spring offensive.
00:45:54.240 And then I
00:45:55.080 saw that one
00:45:56.140 of the things
00:45:56.580 that the
00:45:56.860 Ukrainians did
00:45:57.580 was they
00:45:57.980 took all
00:45:58.480 that ammo
00:45:59.200 and they put
00:46:00.560 them in a few
00:46:01.360 easily identified
00:46:02.280 places where
00:46:03.600 Russia has
00:46:04.080 already blown
00:46:04.620 it up.
00:46:05.960 Is that
00:46:06.580 true?
00:46:09.160 I feel like
00:46:10.100 maybe they're
00:46:10.780 already out of
00:46:11.340 ammo.
00:46:12.200 This could be
00:46:12.720 the only war
00:46:13.400 where neither
00:46:13.940 side has
00:46:14.440 ammo.
00:46:16.240 Because I
00:46:16.920 don't think
00:46:17.320 we've ever
00:46:17.760 had as good
00:46:18.780 an ability
00:46:19.560 because of
00:46:20.300 our drones
00:46:20.820 and our
00:46:21.180 satellites.
00:46:21.900 We've never
00:46:22.440 had this much
00:46:23.220 ability to
00:46:23.840 know where
00:46:24.180 the weapons
00:46:25.160 depots are,
00:46:26.360 right?
00:46:27.420 I feel like
00:46:28.240 we know
00:46:28.840 where every
00:46:30.580 one of
00:46:30.960 Russia's
00:46:31.580 ammo depots
00:46:33.260 is.
00:46:34.000 But they
00:46:34.520 also probably
00:46:35.280 know where
00:46:36.140 every one of
00:46:36.640 Ukraine's
00:46:37.180 ammo depots
00:46:37.820 is.
00:46:38.960 And if
00:46:39.320 you've got
00:46:39.680 weapons that
00:46:40.260 can go off
00:46:41.000 into deep
00:46:42.120 territory and
00:46:43.000 strike at
00:46:43.520 pinpoint,
00:46:45.400 aren't both
00:46:46.060 of them going
00:46:46.460 to run out
00:46:46.860 of ammo?
00:46:49.060 Because it
00:46:49.940 seems to me
00:46:50.700 it would be
00:46:50.900 the easiest
00:46:51.420 thing in the
00:46:51.880 world to
00:46:53.040 spot their
00:46:53.580 ammo dumps
00:46:54.340 once the
00:46:54.780 firing starts
00:46:55.540 because they're
00:46:56.340 going to need
00:46:56.720 to make a
00:46:57.800 lot of runs,
00:46:58.800 put them on
00:46:59.260 trains.
00:46:59.740 I mean,
00:46:59.860 it's really
00:47:00.100 easy to
00:47:00.480 spot.
00:47:01.580 And if
00:47:02.400 you know
00:47:02.640 where it
00:47:02.860 is and
00:47:03.180 you have
00:47:03.420 weapons like
00:47:04.500 the
00:47:04.680 HIMARS,
00:47:06.020 aren't the
00:47:06.440 HIMARS going
00:47:07.040 to take
00:47:07.320 out all
00:47:07.760 the weapons
00:47:08.240 depots on
00:47:10.280 both sides?
00:47:11.060 I mean,
00:47:11.400 whatever Russian's
00:47:12.540 version of that
00:47:13.160 is.
00:47:15.140 Because the
00:47:16.140 depots are the
00:47:16.820 things you can't
00:47:17.420 move.
00:47:18.840 Everything else
00:47:19.600 can, you know,
00:47:20.460 you can maybe
00:47:21.260 move out of the
00:47:22.000 way and they
00:47:22.720 don't know where
00:47:23.080 you are any
00:47:23.700 minute of the
00:47:24.320 day.
00:47:25.660 But it's
00:47:26.560 pretty hard to
00:47:27.220 move those
00:47:27.780 weapons depots.
00:47:28.680 Yeah,
00:47:31.700 they can't
00:47:32.060 easily be
00:47:32.620 dispersed.
00:47:33.460 That would
00:47:33.780 be inefficient.
00:47:36.940 You spread
00:47:37.720 out ammo
00:47:38.220 once you
00:47:38.700 get inside
00:47:39.140 the range
00:47:39.700 of the
00:47:40.020 HIMARS.
00:47:40.940 Well,
00:47:41.700 you spread
00:47:42.320 it out,
00:47:42.860 but you
00:47:43.320 don't allocate
00:47:44.140 it ahead
00:47:46.060 of time.
00:47:47.160 I mean,
00:47:48.040 maybe it's
00:47:48.580 smaller ammo
00:47:49.280 dumps,
00:47:49.760 but they
00:47:50.000 should be
00:47:50.260 able to
00:47:50.420 get them
00:47:50.660 all.
00:47:50.860 Put them
00:47:52.800 underground.
00:47:53.340 Yeah.
00:47:56.220 Then we
00:47:56.560 just,
00:47:57.680 yeah,
00:47:58.060 probably
00:47:58.760 underground.
00:47:59.580 But we
00:48:00.180 know that
00:48:00.560 they weren't
00:48:01.320 putting a
00:48:01.800 lot of
00:48:02.020 them underground,
00:48:02.780 even though
00:48:03.200 that seems
00:48:03.660 obvious to
00:48:05.260 us.
00:48:09.520 All right.
00:48:14.240 Their
00:48:14.480 inventory is
00:48:15.180 mostly on
00:48:15.680 trucks.
00:48:18.340 Oh,
00:48:18.520 Amazon is
00:48:19.140 developing an
00:48:20.000 improved LLM
00:48:20.980 to power
00:48:21.540 AL-EXA.
00:48:23.480 Good.
00:48:25.480 Good.
00:48:27.080 All right.
00:48:28.300 Ladies and
00:48:28.940 gentlemen,
00:48:29.260 I'm going to
00:48:29.480 say bye to
00:48:30.660 YouTube.
00:48:31.520 Thanks for
00:48:31.940 joining.
00:48:32.980 Maybe tomorrow
00:48:33.580 will be lots
00:48:34.240 more fun
00:48:34.640 news.
00:48:35.400 Bye for
00:48:35.760 now.