Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2116 Scott Adams： Did Epstein Blackmail Gates？ Schiff Expulsion Odds, Bakhmut, More

00:00:00.000 Do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do.

00:00:06.060 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the Highlight of Civilization.

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00:00:32.020 I like coffee.

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00:00:38.880 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:41.840 It's going to happen now.

00:00:43.720 Go.

00:00:48.500 Ah, yeah.

00:00:50.920 That was really good.

00:00:53.420 Better than I expected.

00:00:54.560 All right, ladies and gentlemen.

00:00:59.140 Here's the news.

00:01:01.480 Yet another state, Texas in this case,

00:01:05.220 has got some legislation to ban DEI in universities.

00:01:12.400 So they would be following the Florida model.

00:01:17.920 So DEI is diversity, equity, and inclusion.

00:01:22.040 And two of our biggest states have banned it as dangerous in universities.

00:01:31.240 So regular colleges can still do it.

00:01:33.840 Now, how would you like to be a DEI, you know, head of a DEI market,

00:01:41.180 and know that two states thought it was so dangerous they had to make it illegal?

00:01:45.800 Like, how would you process that?

00:01:49.820 Would you say to yourself, well, there's two stupid states.

00:01:53.960 48 are smart, but two are stupid. 0.65

00:01:57.080 Is that how you would think of it?

00:01:59.980 Or would you say to yourself, maybe I should look into why they did that?

00:02:06.300 You know, it's one thing to disagree, right?

00:02:10.000 People disagree all the time on politics.

00:02:13.680 But it's fucking illegal.

00:02:17.120 That's a whole different level of disagreeing.

00:02:20.300 It's illegal.

00:02:21.980 You can't even do it if you're in a university, at least in Florida.

00:02:27.220 And Texas is trying to make that the case.

00:02:30.160 I don't know.

00:02:31.160 I feel that that would have an impact on my career decisions.

00:02:34.580 Huh, do I want to keep working on this thing that two responsible states, 1.00

00:02:40.820 two of our bigger ones, have decided is so dangerous,

00:02:44.920 it can't even be an option.

00:02:47.720 It can't even be an option, even if you want it.

00:02:50.840 It's too dangerous.

00:02:53.600 They should at least look into why people think that.

00:02:57.020 Well, as you know, the House is trying to expel Adam Schiff

00:03:02.660 for being the biggest liar in Congress,

00:03:08.240 which I laughed when I thought of saying it.

00:03:11.380 Imagine being the biggest liar in your neighborhood, right?

00:03:16.020 If you were the biggest liar in your entire neighborhood,

00:03:20.360 well, it probably wouldn't be that bad.

00:03:22.540 I mean, you probably don't have that many liars in your neighborhood.

00:03:25.160 How about the biggest liar in your whole zip code?

00:03:29.280 Well, that'd probably be a pretty big liar.

00:03:32.540 You know, if you knew somebody was the biggest liar in your entire zip code,

00:03:36.180 that'd be a lot of lying, probably.

00:03:40.380 But Adam Schiff is the biggest liar in Congress.

00:03:47.700 That's sort of like being Michael Jordan.

00:03:50.520 It's like a whole other level of worst liar in the world.

00:03:55.160 Bigger than the biggest one in your entire zip code.

00:03:58.720 And will they kick him out of Congress for lying?

00:04:02.540 I don't see how they can.

00:04:07.520 How in the world can you kick people out of Congress for lying?

00:04:12.500 Just the idea of it is funny.

00:04:14.160 Because that's all they do for a living.

00:04:17.740 I don't know if it was ever different.

00:04:19.700 You know, was there any time in the 50s or something where we imagined things were awesome,

00:04:24.880 but they really weren't?

00:04:26.440 Was there any time when Congress was anything but lying?

00:04:30.760 I don't even know if you could get elected if you told the truth.

00:04:33.860 It's like a group of professional liars.

00:04:36.340 So a group of professional liars believe they can expel one of their members for lying too well.

00:04:44.720 Now, I do think he should be expelled,

00:04:46.900 but I don't see any possibility that that could happen with the Congress being what it is.

00:04:53.580 But at least we get to talk about it, and that's better than nothing.

00:05:01.480 Glenn Greenwald is back to work after his tragic family situation.

00:05:06.620 His husband passed away, if you didn't hear about that,

00:05:09.400 which was horrible,

00:05:12.560 especially because of the young family situation.

00:05:15.660 So somehow that struck me as more tragic than a lot of things in the news.

00:05:22.880 I don't know.

00:05:23.180 There was just something about that that really got me.

00:05:26.360 So, but anyway, Glenn Greenwald is back to his combative self.

00:05:33.720 He was talking about the corporate media,

00:05:36.960 and there was a new survey that he was riffing off.

00:05:40.980 But he points out how, if you look at American opinions

00:05:47.380 of what is true and what is not true,

00:05:50.800 there are three gigantic stories that Americans believe are true,

00:05:57.120 or they have a belief about these three big stories, I'll mention them,

00:06:00.640 that according to Glenn Greenwald,

00:06:02.580 the mainstream press just treats them like they don't exist.

00:06:07.700 The three stories are the Russia collusion hoax,

00:06:10.980 the story being it's the hoax, and we know that now.

00:06:14.660 The Hunter laptop hoax, which we know is a hoax by the intel people.

00:06:19.220 And the Hunter and Joe Biden's dealings overseas

00:06:23.740 with whatever sketchy payments were happening there.

00:06:28.420 And so Greenwald's point is that

00:06:31.660 the American public overwhelmingly believes

00:06:34.460 that Russia collusion was fake

00:06:36.920 and that it was a plan by the Democrats.

00:06:39.580 The American public does believe by a big majority

00:06:42.740 that the Hunter laptop was real

00:06:44.520 and that the government tried to tell you it wasn't,

00:06:48.820 and that Hunter and Joe have some questions to answer

00:06:53.180 about their dealings overseas.

00:06:55.940 So the majority of America cares about these three stories,

00:07:00.040 and as Greenwald points out,

00:07:01.660 the media doesn't disagree with them.

00:07:04.520 It just tries to act like they're not there,

00:07:07.580 which is just mind-boggling.

00:07:12.200 The fact that we can just sort of act like maybe it doesn't matter,

00:07:17.300 and then because our opinions are assigned by the media,

00:07:21.540 nobody's assigning an opinion that you should care,

00:07:24.420 and so you don't if you're a Democrat.

00:07:26.860 Well, the House is coming up with this fentanyl bill.

00:07:33.120 Now, fentanyl, of course, has always been illegal

00:07:35.420 if you're dealing it in the streets,

00:07:37.680 but the trouble was that the dealers kept tweaking the compounds in it

00:07:42.660 to make it technically different than the illegal one that was specified.

00:07:47.720 And so now Congress is trying to tighten that up

00:07:53.380 so that any form of fentanyl, even if you've tweaked it,

00:07:56.760 would be illegal forever.

00:07:59.100 Does that sound like a good idea?

00:08:02.460 Do you favor that?

00:08:04.160 The Congress should change it.

00:08:05.620 So if it's fentanyl, it's fentanyl.

00:08:07.660 It doesn't matter if you tweaked a few compounds,

00:08:10.500 it's still fentanyl, so it's still illegal.

00:08:13.420 I see somebody says no.

00:08:14.880 No, you don't agree with that?

00:08:16.040 Oh, you want it to be legal.

00:08:19.020 That might be a different argument.

00:08:21.440 All right, well, yes, it seems like if you're going to make it illegal,

00:08:23.960 you should do it right.

00:08:26.900 And there's a thing that I always criticize people for criticizing,

00:08:31.180 but I'm going to do it.

00:08:33.280 Why'd that take so long?

00:08:36.740 Does this seem like a story of Congress doing the right thing?

00:08:40.640 Because it doesn't look like that to me.

00:08:42.380 How many years have we known this problem existed?

00:08:47.800 Years, right?

00:08:48.700 Probably four or five years we've known that the bad guys were changing the formula to make it legal?

00:08:54.500 Because we knew they were doing it in China.

00:08:56.940 That's why China says, oh, there's nothing we can do.

00:08:59.880 We keep making it illegal, but then they keep making a slightly different version.

00:09:04.280 What are we going to do?

00:09:05.720 Nothing we can do.

00:09:07.500 And we always knew that was fake, because of course they could do it.

00:09:11.280 They just had to do what our Congress is doing and saying,

00:09:14.160 you can't change a few compounds and call it a new thing,

00:09:17.160 if it's still basically fentanyl.

00:09:18.700 So, to me, this is an admission of massive incompetence of our Congress.

00:09:26.900 The fact that it took years to plug the most obvious hole you could ever plug,

00:09:33.820 which is a few molecules doesn't change it.

00:09:37.100 Why is this taking so long?

00:09:39.320 Now, the thing I criticize when people say the things like I just said

00:09:43.220 is everything you want to happen takes too long.

00:09:46.840 Doesn't it?

00:09:47.480 There's nothing good that should not have happened sooner.

00:09:51.780 So I mock people who say, well, why didn't you do it sooner?

00:09:55.300 Because it's just the universal thing.

00:09:58.120 But this fentanyl thing is kind of unique.

00:10:03.600 There was probably everybody involved knew that this hole needed to be plugged.

00:10:08.960 They knew how to do it.

00:10:10.780 You know, you just have some legislation.

00:10:13.020 Just write it up.

00:10:14.620 And it took this long.

00:10:16.660 It took years.

00:10:17.480 I mean, to me, this is just a confession of massive, massive incompetence in Congress.

00:10:25.480 Massive.

00:10:26.280 I mean, it's hard even to hold in my mind the level of incompetence

00:10:30.700 that they would try to make fentanyl illegal,

00:10:34.580 know that they had failed because of this tweaking of compound stuff,

00:10:38.660 and then just let it ride for a few years.

00:10:43.740 I don't even know how to describe that level of incompetence.

00:10:47.140 It's beyond what my brain can even hold, and I can hold a lot of incompetence in there.

00:10:52.820 I do it for a living.

00:10:54.540 Anyway, so there are now three prominent voices, at least, and maybe you can list some more,

00:11:04.420 who want to use the military to attack the cartels in Mexico.

00:11:08.640 So Dan Crenshaw has apparently been appointed to, so Speaker McCarthy put him in charge of a high-profile task force

00:11:17.480 to figure out effective strategies against the cartels.

00:11:22.880 So, that makes me happy.

00:11:27.240 Again, you could say what took you so long, but I think maybe that had to do with the nature of the House.

00:11:32.720 Yes. So, now that we have the House, you know, a House that is going to be more aggressive about fentanyl,

00:11:41.180 do you think Dan Crenshaw is the right person to be leading that high-profile task force?

00:11:48.860 Because I know there's a lot of critics of him.

00:11:54.480 I'm going to say yes.

00:11:56.620 I'm going to say yes.

00:11:57.860 Because he has the military experience.

00:11:59.740 Do you want somebody who doesn't have military, that specific kind of military experience?

00:12:07.540 I mean, that seems pretty important to me.

00:12:10.200 And I always prefer a military person recommending war.

00:12:16.640 Especially one who had, you know, an injury.

00:12:19.900 So, if somebody who's actually been in war says, you know, I hate war, don't do war, but you've got to do it this time,

00:12:27.820 that's a little more credible to me.

00:12:30.480 It's a little more credible.

00:12:32.240 So, I think he has the right choice.

00:12:34.820 You know, because Congress doesn't have an infinite number of people to put on anything.

00:12:38.180 They've got to use the people they've got.

00:12:41.220 He has the highest, I think he has the highest profile with also the right resume for the job.

00:12:47.620 I think that's a good, that feels like a good move by McCarthy.

00:12:54.360 So, now we know that Trump wants to attack the cartels militarily.

00:12:59.840 Vivek Ramaswamy may be more prominent than the others in terms of how often he brings it up.

00:13:06.460 And he's saying it too.

00:13:08.120 Now, here's some of the pushback I get.

00:13:09.900 My God, you can't attack a neighboring country.

00:13:15.880 You know, what will the Mexican military think?

00:13:19.820 And how can you deal with your neighboring countries like that?

00:13:23.340 Well, the first thing I would like to suggest is nobody's saying attack the country.

00:13:30.660 Nobody's saying attack the Mexican military or the government buildings.

00:13:35.380 For 99.9% of all Mexicans, they wouldn't be aware there was a war on the cartels.

00:13:42.300 You know, the cartel sites presumably would be attacked.

00:13:46.860 Maybe there would be some kind of black ops assassination campaign that was going on.

00:13:51.540 But most people wouldn't even know there was a war.

00:13:54.260 You would just wake up, do what you always do, and go back to bed again.

00:13:58.400 There wouldn't be any bombs in your neighborhood, right?

00:14:01.900 They're going to go after well-identified cartel centers and laboratories and stuff. 0.91

00:14:08.220 Presumably.

00:14:09.080 It's not going to be some general war.

00:14:13.180 So everybody who says you can't go to war with Mexico, nobody's going to war with Mexico.

00:14:19.960 Mexico's on our side.

00:14:22.000 At least, you know, the population.

00:14:24.480 They're not fighting us.

00:14:26.320 They want to come here and be us.

00:14:27.920 The Mexicans are as interested in being us as opposed to fighting us. 0.93

00:14:35.040 It's just the cartels.

00:14:37.440 So I don't know what that would look like, but I'm glad everybody's talking about it now.

00:14:42.380 So there's a new survey out about how many Americans believe in God.

00:14:48.800 And it's a little murky because, you know, how you ask the question gives you a different answer.

00:14:53.400 But according to, let's see, we did this survey by the University of Chicago, some research organization there,

00:15:05.100 that not quite 50% of Americans say they have no doubt about the existence of God.

00:15:11.160 So 50% are sure that God exists.

00:15:15.320 And the other 50% are either not sure or presumably some of them are sure he doesn't exist.

00:15:25.260 Or she.

00:15:27.580 Don't want to give a pronoun to God.

00:15:29.300 I could get in trouble for that.

00:15:31.500 But do you think this is going to be a continuing trend?

00:15:36.180 So there's been a long-term trend.

00:15:41.100 And I guess that, believe it or not, the pandemic actually accelerated the reduction in religious belief.

00:15:49.440 But do you think this trend is going to be a good, not good, but let's say a long-term trend,

00:15:55.240 and that religion will continue to decrease?

00:15:57.780 Or at least maybe the strictest interpretations of religion.

00:16:08.760 Maybe they're the ones that are at risk.

00:16:12.560 Yeah.

00:16:13.240 Do you, I remember when I was a kid, it seemed like Newt Gingrich and all the conservative Christians

00:16:19.900 were the ones running everything.

00:16:22.120 Because there were enough of them that, since they operated as a block often, 1.00

00:16:27.780 it seemed like they had a lot of power, didn't they?

00:16:30.620 The religious right.

00:16:32.620 You never hear about them anymore, do you?

00:16:35.360 Do you ever hear about their religious right?

00:16:38.580 It's like it's not even a thing anymore.

00:16:40.880 But I guess the numbers for that went from like a quarter of the country down to the teens.

00:16:46.620 Yeah, the moral majority.

00:16:47.980 Right, the moral majority, exactly.

00:16:50.160 So basically, they're half as big as they were.

00:16:53.640 Yeah, the evangelical type.

00:16:56.140 I'm not sure specifically evangelicals, but the people sort of in that camp,

00:17:02.400 there are only half as many of them as when I was a kid, or when I was younger.

00:17:07.140 So there is some kind of a trend happening.

00:17:08.900 What do you think is behind that?

00:17:10.560 What do you think is causing that trend?

00:17:14.340 If you had to say, what is behind it?

00:17:16.920 Because I wouldn't say that the mainstream media is behind it.

00:17:23.720 Usually they are behind stuff like this.

00:17:25.900 It doesn't seem like mainstream media.

00:17:28.540 Because they don't say any anti-religion stuff.

00:17:31.740 I mean, Bill Maher is the only one I can think of who is openly anti-religion.

00:17:36.960 Exactly one person.

00:17:38.140 You think it's social media?

00:17:44.520 Some say it's Satan.

00:17:46.120 Satan's doing it.

00:17:47.440 But Satan's been here.

00:17:48.420 Why is Satan suddenly winning?

00:17:50.560 Like, what changed?

00:17:52.200 If you believe that Satan is active, what changed?

00:17:55.920 Satan gets smarter.

00:17:59.760 Smartphones.

00:18:00.780 But how did the smartphones make you less religious?

00:18:02.840 Education?

00:18:08.520 Do you think they're getting less of it in school?

00:18:11.980 Oh, that's probably true.

00:18:14.000 I bet they get less of it in school.

00:18:17.340 Yeah, that's probably it, isn't it?

00:18:19.760 Because I'm pretty sure all of my teachers in school were religious and you knew it.

00:18:25.940 I think they all were.

00:18:27.960 And you knew it.

00:18:29.540 But if you had a teacher who was not religious,

00:18:31.860 you'd probably know that as well.

00:18:35.100 That probably has some effect on kids.

00:18:37.960 I don't know if that's the answer,

00:18:39.320 but maybe that's part of several variables that are changing.

00:18:44.000 Yeah.

00:18:45.360 Lawsuits against the Catholic Church.

00:18:47.580 Well, it's not just that people are less likely to go to church,

00:18:50.840 which is also true.

00:18:52.380 They're less likely to think there's an afterlife.

00:18:57.700 So, aren't you interested in what's changing that?

00:19:00.840 Because I don't think we know.

00:19:03.780 And that's such a big, big fundamental cultural change.

00:19:08.480 Shouldn't we know why that's changing?

00:19:11.040 I'm not saying it shouldn't change.

00:19:13.500 Maybe it should.

00:19:14.760 I don't know.

00:19:15.320 It's hard to estimate whether that's helping or hurting.

00:19:18.340 But shouldn't we know?

00:19:20.140 I mean, that is such a fundamental part of the country.

00:19:24.060 You think just science is doing a better job,

00:19:28.260 so people are picking science?

00:19:30.580 That doesn't seem right.

00:19:33.440 Science is not exactly killing it lately.

00:19:39.140 Lack of humility.

00:19:41.640 All right, well, I don't think we know.

00:19:43.720 But apparently...

00:19:45.820 All right, I'm going to offer a guess.

00:19:48.300 Here's my guess.

00:19:49.020 I believe that there's a breaking point.

00:19:55.100 And the breaking point is when ordinary people can profess

00:19:58.880 that they are not religious,

00:20:01.000 and there's no pushback.

00:20:05.260 Maybe we reach the number of people...

00:20:07.880 Like, you know, if only 1% of the country were atheists,

00:20:11.580 they wouldn't talk, would they?

00:20:14.960 Am I right?

00:20:15.860 If only 1% were atheists and everybody else totally believed, 0.80

00:20:19.660 that 1% would shut up,

00:20:21.720 because it wouldn't be safe to give your opinion.

00:20:25.380 But we have sort of gradually crawled toward a place

00:20:28.900 where you could run for office and say you don't believe in God.

00:20:34.460 What do you think?

00:20:35.680 Do you think you could run for president in 2024?

00:20:39.100 There is nobody doing it.

00:20:40.380 You wouldn't win, just to be clear.

00:20:42.820 You wouldn't win.

00:20:43.680 But I don't know that it would be a fatal error.

00:20:51.100 Yeah, I think we've reached a point where people would say,

00:20:54.080 all right, you can be non-binary,

00:20:56.580 you can be, you know, whoever you want to be,

00:20:59.060 and one of those things you can be is a non-believer.

00:21:02.720 Now, of course, there would be some people who held that against them,

00:21:06.040 and they could vote based on that.

00:21:08.120 But that's the same way it is for everything, right?

00:21:10.260 If somebody's too religious, you might hold that against them too.

00:21:12.980 So, I mean, we always...

00:21:15.340 But it seems like it's safe to be a non-believer now. 0.87

00:21:19.820 What would you say?

00:21:22.100 Is it safe to be a non-believer?

00:21:24.680 I think it is.

00:21:26.160 I don't think you would lose your job for it, would you?

00:21:29.500 Have you heard of anybody losing their job because they didn't believe in God?

00:21:32.520 I mean, maybe it happened, but I've never...

00:21:36.560 You've heard of it?

00:21:38.280 I haven't heard of that.

00:21:42.000 Anyway, so maybe it just got it safe to say you're not a believer,

00:21:45.320 and that could be it.

00:21:47.140 Trump and, I guess, Truth Social are suing the Washington Poop.

00:21:51.580 You call them the Washington Post,

00:21:53.280 but to me, they're the Washington Poop.

00:21:55.140 Oh, by the way, the Washington Post are collecting their Pulitzer Prizes

00:21:59.420 for all their great work last year.

00:22:03.800 You know, I've told you this story before,

00:22:07.720 but when I learned how the Pulitzer Prize is awarded,

00:22:12.080 I no longer wanted one.

00:22:14.340 You know, early in my career, I was like,

00:22:15.860 oh, if I could win a Pulitzer,

00:22:17.620 because sometimes cartoonists got them.

00:22:19.720 I thought, if I could win a Pulitzer,

00:22:21.120 that would be like the feather in my cap.

00:22:23.520 You know, that would be the ultimate thing.

00:22:24.800 They can't take that away from you.

00:22:26.400 You would always be a Pulitzer Prize-winning cartoonist.

00:22:29.380 You just win once.

00:22:31.180 So I thought, ah, I sure want to win once.

00:22:35.140 And then I get interviewed by a guy whose wife... 0.95

00:22:40.340 I won't mention who it is.

00:22:41.600 It's somebody well-known.

00:22:42.960 But their wife was on the committee, the Pulitzer committee.

00:22:46.900 Now, there are a number of little Pulitzer groups

00:22:49.320 that judge different categories.

00:22:52.240 And do you know what it takes to be on the Pulitzer judging committee?

00:22:58.800 Do you know what qualifications you need?

00:23:04.380 Ability to read.

00:23:07.400 That's about it.

00:23:08.980 Yeah.

00:23:09.700 Yeah, I don't know.

00:23:10.700 I'm not even sure how they select them.

00:23:12.840 But basically, if you could read

00:23:15.040 and you have an opinion,

00:23:18.840 you're on the committee.

00:23:21.060 So it's literally nothing but a little group of people

00:23:24.260 sitting around a room or Zooming with each other

00:23:26.760 and saying, what book did you like?

00:23:29.660 Of the ones submitted,

00:23:31.160 oh, I like this one.

00:23:32.680 What did you like?

00:23:33.480 Oh, I like this one.

00:23:34.280 And then whoever gets the most likes

00:23:36.520 from that little group of randomly selected people,

00:23:39.840 they decide that one gets the Pulitzer.

00:23:43.260 Is there anything that means less to you than that?

00:23:48.380 Now, you've seen award shows

00:23:50.540 where whenever it's the audience is the ones who votes,

00:23:57.180 the actors are always...

00:23:58.620 they always talk about it.

00:24:00.300 It's like, yeah, this means more to me

00:24:01.720 because this comes from the public.

00:24:05.200 If the public votes for you to get an award,

00:24:08.740 that probably means quite a bit.

00:24:11.540 If a little group of judges

00:24:13.860 votes for you to get an award,

00:24:17.420 it doesn't mean much at all.

00:24:19.720 It really doesn't.

00:24:21.240 It just means a little group of people picked you.

00:24:24.460 It almost has no meaning whatsoever.

00:24:27.480 But anyway, so much about that.

00:24:31.720 But True Social is suing the Washington Post

00:24:35.280 for $3.78 billion.

00:24:37.080 Their complaint is that the Washington Post

00:24:39.380 has been doing what they would call

00:24:40.600 some hit pieces on them

00:24:41.720 and has been on a years-long crusade, they say,

00:24:46.220 against the truth, I guess the parent company,

00:24:49.580 characterized by saying that they were

00:24:52.180 concealing relevant information

00:24:53.980 and, I don't know,

00:24:56.140 some various wrongdoing about what?

00:24:58.860 Securities fraud.

00:25:02.240 So apparently True Social is confident enough

00:25:04.900 that they did not do any of these crimes

00:25:08.600 which the Washington Post was suggesting they did,

00:25:11.920 but they're going to sue them for $3.78 billion.

00:25:15.400 What if that worked?

00:25:16.580 It would put the Washington Post on a business, wouldn't it?

00:25:22.240 Because I can't imagine they could pay that

00:25:24.160 or any version of it.

00:25:27.040 So this is actually an existential threat, isn't it?

00:25:31.760 True Social is trying to take out the Washington Post.

00:25:34.260 You know, as we're in the run-up to the 2024 election,

00:25:40.900 you realize that the election left TV

00:25:44.000 and came to your house, right?

00:25:47.960 Like, people like me,

00:25:49.500 who think we're just talking about the news,

00:25:52.120 we're just taken out.

00:25:54.160 You know, just get canceled.

00:25:56.000 The Washington Post could just get canceled.

00:25:59.560 You know, if you imagine that somehow

00:26:01.640 the lawsuit goes the true social way,

00:26:04.260 I don't know if it will.

00:26:05.460 They're probably just warning them off.

00:26:08.080 But suppose it did.

00:26:09.940 They would take the Washington Post

00:26:11.940 off the chessboard.

00:26:14.760 Do you know what a big blow that would be

00:26:16.740 to the CIA and the Democrats?

00:26:20.300 That's like their crown jewel.

00:26:22.860 That's where they push their fake news.

00:26:26.060 The Washington Post, its primary purpose

00:26:29.020 is to launder fake news into credible news.

00:26:32.760 Let me say it again.

00:26:35.320 The primary purpose of the Washington Post

00:26:37.520 is to launder fake news into real news.

00:26:41.820 Because they have a reputation

00:26:43.160 that they're a real news entity.

00:26:46.080 And so if they say it's real,

00:26:47.700 their readers say,

00:26:49.140 oh, I guess maybe that's real.

00:26:51.700 But I don't think it's been a news organization

00:26:53.860 for a long time.

00:26:54.900 I think it's just a fake news laundering organization

00:26:59.920 at this point.

00:27:02.140 Do you remember when they canceled me?

00:27:05.500 So they canceled the Dilbert,

00:27:06.720 the Washington Post.

00:27:08.180 Do you remember when they called me

00:27:10.040 to find out, you know,

00:27:12.040 what was the context of my situation?

00:27:15.200 No, they didn't.

00:27:16.300 They didn't call me to check out the context.

00:27:18.220 After a 30-year successful business partnership

00:27:25.660 in which they'd carried my comic to great success,

00:27:29.780 they didn't even ask what was going on.

00:27:34.780 Didn't even ask.

00:27:37.020 That's because it didn't matter.

00:27:39.600 It really didn't matter.

00:27:40.860 Because they're not in the business of being credible or...

00:27:43.780 Well, they're in the business of looking credible.

00:27:45.360 So I believe that I was just one more chess piece

00:27:50.140 taken off the board.

00:27:51.780 If Republicans had cared about what I said,

00:27:54.880 then I would probably be saying,

00:27:57.000 oh, I think it's what I said.

00:27:59.260 But given that only Democrats cared,

00:28:03.000 is there anything else you need to know?

00:28:05.120 Only Democrats cared.

00:28:07.280 There were some people who didn't hear the whole story

00:28:09.000 who might have cared.

00:28:09.920 But of people who heard the whole story,

00:28:12.500 it was just Democrats.

00:28:13.380 It was purely political in the end.

00:28:16.520 It was purely political.

00:28:19.140 All right.

00:28:21.240 I'm watching the Biden administration

00:28:23.300 once again do the same trick

00:28:27.000 that the Democrats do with reparations.

00:28:30.080 They try to bribe with other people's money.

00:28:33.660 So they tried to bribe the students

00:28:35.660 by delaying their requirement

00:28:38.260 to start paying back the loans,

00:28:40.600 at least through the pandemic.

00:28:41.720 But it looks like they won't be able

00:28:43.480 to delay it anymore

00:28:44.440 and those loans will come due.

00:28:47.280 That is really bad for Biden.

00:28:49.840 Because I'm pretty sure he was depending

00:28:51.500 on continuing to bribe young people

00:28:53.880 and now he can't bribe them anymore

00:28:55.960 with their student loans.

00:28:58.020 So that's the bigger story

00:29:00.800 is what's that going to do vote-wise.

00:29:02.920 But I love the fact that the Democrats

00:29:06.200 have this pattern of promising people money

00:29:09.600 that they can't possibly give to them.

00:29:12.500 Reparations?

00:29:13.300 Oh, yeah.

00:29:15.160 Why don't you come back with a recommendation?

00:29:19.000 Student loans?

00:29:20.020 Oh, we'll delay those.

00:29:21.740 You don't have to pay any student loans

00:29:23.480 as long as you keep electing Democrats.

00:29:25.300 Well, maybe you do have to pay them.

00:29:29.400 All right.

00:29:30.620 Let's talk about the story in the press

00:29:33.080 that is the least credible story

00:29:36.700 I've seen lately.

00:29:39.700 That Epstein was maybe blackmailing Bill Gates

00:29:44.860 because Epstein knew

00:29:47.360 that Bill Gates had a young girlfriend

00:29:50.680 who played bridge.

00:29:53.420 Some Russian, young Russian girlfriend.

00:29:56.140 And the rumor comes from

00:29:57.900 one message from Epstein to Gates

00:30:00.440 in Bill Gates

00:30:02.080 in which Epstein mentioned

00:30:04.480 he wanted some repayment

00:30:06.320 because Epstein had paid for

00:30:08.600 the young woman to go 1.00

00:30:10.020 get some coding classes

00:30:12.100 because she had talked to Epstein

00:30:14.260 about funding her startup

00:30:15.600 for this bridge startup.

00:30:18.300 Now, just because Epstein said to Bill Gates,

00:30:22.940 you know, you owe me money to pay this back

00:30:25.480 because it's your girlfriend, basically.

00:30:27.260 He didn't say the girlfriend part.

00:30:29.780 That has been taken as evidence

00:30:32.960 that Epstein was sort of cleverly

00:30:37.900 and subtly blackmailing Bill Gates

00:30:40.500 by mentioning that he knows

00:30:42.920 about Bill Gates' girlfriend.

00:30:46.040 And then people said,

00:30:47.180 oh, that's how he blackmails people.

00:30:49.780 So he finds out

00:30:50.540 their dirty little secrets

00:30:51.720 and he just sort of mentions them

00:30:53.120 before he asks them for money

00:30:55.020 or to donate to his funds or whatever.

00:30:58.100 Now,

00:30:58.920 I don't think this is enough.

00:31:03.660 Do you think that's enough?

00:31:04.960 I'm not defending Bill Gates.

00:31:09.420 I'm just saying, you know,

00:31:11.280 innocent until proven guilty

00:31:12.580 and all that.

00:31:13.620 But do you think that one message

00:31:14.980 that said, you know,

00:31:17.040 you should pay me back

00:31:18.080 for paying for a coding school?

00:31:20.620 Now, the weird thing is

00:31:21.760 they were both so rich

00:31:22.880 that that amount of money

00:31:24.580 is something that normally

00:31:25.640 they would not ask each other for.

00:31:27.660 Like a billionaire doesn't ask somebody

00:31:29.300 to pay him back $10,000.

00:31:30.920 Do they?

00:31:34.480 If you were a billionaire,

00:31:35.860 would you ask your billionaire friend

00:31:37.340 to reimburse you $10,000?

00:31:40.380 Or would you just say,

00:31:41.540 oh, let it go.

00:31:42.460 Let it ride.

00:31:43.800 I think you wouldn't even care.

00:31:45.800 So it seemed weird

00:31:47.160 that he was asking for the money

00:31:48.620 and that's why people would say,

00:31:50.820 oh, it wasn't really asking for the money.

00:31:53.020 It was reminding him

00:31:54.440 that he knows about his girlfriend

00:31:55.760 to like soften him up

00:31:57.360 to get what he wants.

00:31:58.220 It may be.

00:32:01.720 But what exactly is the Bill Gates crime here

00:32:08.640 besides having a girlfriend,

00:32:10.200 which everybody knew?

00:32:13.600 Yeah.

00:32:14.300 I don't know.

00:32:15.080 To me, that's kind of thin,

00:32:16.820 but I don't discount it.

00:32:19.100 Don't discount it.

00:32:20.660 It does look a little bit blackmail-y,

00:32:23.580 but you have to connect

00:32:25.680 a lot of dots in your mind

00:32:27.100 that aren't in the story

00:32:29.320 to be sure about it.

00:32:31.780 So, but I would like to

00:32:34.020 dovetail on that topic

00:32:37.500 to this question.

00:32:39.200 Everybody seems to want

00:32:40.240 this Epstein list.

00:32:43.700 Why would there be a list?

00:32:48.160 Who believes there's a list?

00:32:50.800 So when I said this on social media,

00:32:53.580 let me tell you the answers I got.

00:32:54.840 Some people said,

00:32:56.500 Scott, of course there's a list.

00:32:57.920 There was references

00:32:58.580 to the little black address books.

00:33:01.300 So he had little black address books.

00:33:05.360 Do you think that anybody

00:33:06.740 in the address books

00:33:07.760 was not a sex criminal?

00:33:09.940 Or was it an address book

00:33:11.720 of only sex criminal contacts?

00:33:16.760 Don't you think he also had

00:33:17.960 a general address book?

00:33:20.720 All right.

00:33:24.340 Then other people said,

00:33:25.860 Scott, you already have

00:33:27.340 the flight logs.

00:33:28.800 And since you know

00:33:29.740 that nothing happened

00:33:31.060 on that island,

00:33:32.200 Epstein's Island,

00:33:33.120 that was legal,

00:33:35.320 the flight logs is all you need.

00:33:37.200 If they went to the island,

00:33:38.300 they're guilty.

00:33:39.860 Is that a standard

00:33:40.860 you're okay with?

00:33:42.060 That all the women 0.61

00:33:43.120 who went to the island

00:33:43.880 were sex criminals?

00:33:46.940 Does that even make sense?

00:33:48.280 Are there that many adult women 1.00

00:33:50.640 in government

00:33:51.600 who are sex criminals?

00:33:53.800 Probably not.

00:33:55.360 Probably not.

00:33:56.500 If it were men, 0.59

00:33:57.160 I'd say, well, maybe.

00:33:58.480 But women? 1.00

00:34:00.360 Probably not.

00:34:02.680 Some others said,

00:34:05.240 okay, there's not

00:34:07.020 an actual list,

00:34:09.280 but the FBI

00:34:11.560 could pull one together

00:34:12.660 because they've got

00:34:13.840 the CDs

00:34:14.720 and the computer records

00:34:16.540 and they've got everything

00:34:18.060 from the black 0.61

00:34:19.140 little address books

00:34:20.720 to everything else.

00:34:22.600 And they could create a list.

00:34:25.560 Could they?

00:34:27.660 Could they?

00:34:29.400 They could create a list

00:34:30.520 from the evidence they have.

00:34:32.540 Well, if they had evidence

00:34:34.840 of specific people

00:34:36.280 doing sex crimes,

00:34:38.560 do you think

00:34:39.140 they're sitting on that?

00:34:41.980 Or is it more likely

00:34:43.540 that they don't have

00:34:44.480 enough goods on anybody

00:34:45.900 to actually win a case?

00:34:48.320 They just suspect

00:34:49.360 there was something going on.

00:34:52.700 Well, here's what I think.

00:34:54.720 If you're a high-end blackmailer,

00:34:57.380 you do not make a list

00:34:58.720 of the people

00:34:59.280 you're blackmailing.

00:35:00.540 Do you know why?

00:35:02.060 Answer to this.

00:35:03.220 Why would you not make a list

00:35:04.700 that is exclusively

00:35:06.200 a list of the people

00:35:07.160 you're blackmailing?

00:35:08.580 Why would you not

00:35:09.580 make that list?

00:35:10.340 Because if somebody

00:35:14.600 found the list,

00:35:17.040 they would,

00:35:17.880 they would

00:35:19.840 blackmail you. 0.60

00:35:24.880 You'd have to be

00:35:25.700 the worst blackmailer

00:35:27.020 in the world

00:35:27.640 to leave a list

00:35:29.760 that you could be

00:35:30.620 blackmailed for having.

00:35:34.120 I mean,

00:35:34.880 you know,

00:35:35.440 there are dumb criminals,

00:35:36.720 but did Epstein

00:35:37.400 look like a dumb criminal?

00:35:38.580 I mean,

00:35:39.620 he's the very definition

00:35:40.860 of a smart criminal.

00:35:42.420 But you think

00:35:42.920 there's a list

00:35:43.660 of just the people

00:35:46.220 he's blackmailing.

00:35:47.820 No,

00:35:48.340 he's got a list

00:35:49.140 of people

00:35:50.980 he has contacts with,

00:35:52.600 and probably

00:35:53.360 every single person

00:35:54.360 in his address book

00:35:55.380 is somebody

00:35:55.760 he would like

00:35:56.340 to blackmail.

00:35:57.780 Probably he would have

00:35:58.640 liked to blackmail

00:35:59.380 all of them.

00:36:00.380 But there's no way

00:36:01.220 you can know

00:36:01.840 if the list

00:36:02.520 is just somebody

00:36:03.100 he knows

00:36:03.720 that he thinks

00:36:04.980 maybe someday

00:36:05.640 he could blackmail,

00:36:06.440 but he doesn't have

00:36:07.560 anything on them,

00:36:09.360 versus people

00:36:10.140 he has blackmailed.

00:36:11.200 He would just

00:36:11.840 commit that to memory.

00:36:13.720 Now,

00:36:13.940 they might have

00:36:14.420 a list of the girls

00:36:16.200 that they were trafficking,

00:36:17.760 because he wouldn't

00:36:18.740 know them by name

00:36:19.640 necessarily,

00:36:20.540 and you have to

00:36:20.960 keep track of them.

00:36:22.340 So Giselle probably 0.80

00:36:23.440 had a list of the girls.

00:36:25.420 But the list

00:36:26.200 of the clients?

00:36:28.000 You think he would

00:36:28.900 keep a list of clients?

00:36:32.260 How many of them

00:36:33.140 do you think they were?

00:36:33.920 I mean,

00:36:35.200 don't you think

00:36:35.700 he could remember

00:36:36.480 30 to 50

00:36:38.380 famous people?

00:36:40.480 I think he could

00:36:41.680 remember what

00:36:42.340 50 famous people

00:36:43.460 did

00:36:43.800 without any prompts.

00:36:46.600 You wouldn't have

00:36:47.500 to put them

00:36:47.820 on a list.

00:36:49.280 Can't you remember

00:36:50.200 everybody you ever

00:36:50.940 had sex with?

00:36:52.720 There's some things

00:36:53.420 you remember.

00:36:54.940 If you found out

00:36:55.920 that,

00:36:56.280 you know,

00:36:57.740 Bill Gates

00:36:59.240 was receiving

00:37:00.540 a rusty Sanchez,

00:37:02.360 would you ever

00:37:03.160 forget it?

00:37:05.020 No.

00:37:05.840 No,

00:37:06.040 there's some things

00:37:06.600 you don't need

00:37:07.160 to write down

00:37:07.640 because you would

00:37:08.120 never forget them.

00:37:11.080 So,

00:37:12.440 then I asked,

00:37:13.740 I did a little

00:37:14.600 Twitter poll,

00:37:15.440 and I said,

00:37:15.820 how many of you

00:37:16.500 would be in favor

00:37:17.880 of producing

00:37:19.640 something like

00:37:20.940 a client list,

00:37:22.200 however you put

00:37:23.080 it together,

00:37:24.000 if you knew

00:37:24.940 for sure

00:37:25.500 that there would

00:37:26.120 be innocent people

00:37:26.960 on the list?

00:37:28.740 Would you be in favor

00:37:29.980 of the public

00:37:30.700 seeing the list

00:37:31.620 if you knew

00:37:32.780 for sure

00:37:33.360 they were all

00:37:34.740 guilty?

00:37:36.880 And over 60%

00:37:38.240 of the people

00:37:38.720 who answered

00:37:39.240 said yes.

00:37:40.900 They'd want

00:37:41.440 to see a list

00:37:42.200 including people

00:37:44.060 who are not

00:37:44.820 guilty,

00:37:46.080 who would be

00:37:46.740 considered from

00:37:47.540 the moment

00:37:48.520 the list was

00:37:49.140 published,

00:37:49.920 would all be

00:37:50.540 considered guilty

00:37:51.400 by the public.

00:37:53.300 60%

00:37:54.300 of the people

00:37:56.000 who answered

00:37:56.320 that said,

00:37:57.000 yeah,

00:37:57.240 that's still

00:37:57.580 worth it.

00:37:58.100 because the

00:37:59.060 people who are

00:37:59.480 innocent,

00:38:00.020 they can explain

00:38:01.260 why they're

00:38:01.640 innocent.

00:38:03.960 That is so

00:38:05.320 not how

00:38:06.500 things work

00:38:07.920 in America.

00:38:08.960 In America, 0.65

00:38:10.260 you don't put

00:38:12.020 people on a

00:38:12.680 probably guilty

00:38:14.720 list and then

00:38:15.560 make them defend

00:38:16.300 themselves.

00:38:17.720 That's messed

00:38:19.080 up.

00:38:20.200 Right?

00:38:20.520 So I'm actually

00:38:21.640 against a list

00:38:23.500 being produced.

00:38:24.680 But I'm certainly

00:38:25.480 in favor of,

00:38:26.340 if the FBI

00:38:27.680 have evidence

00:38:28.440 to convict

00:38:29.240 any individuals,

00:38:30.740 of course.

00:38:32.320 Of course.

00:38:33.660 But I don't

00:38:34.320 want to see a

00:38:34.840 list that's a

00:38:35.760 mixture of

00:38:36.380 totally innocent

00:38:37.140 people that

00:38:38.300 maybe he wanted

00:38:39.060 to blackmail

00:38:39.720 later mixed

00:38:41.940 in with a

00:38:42.440 list of

00:38:42.940 pedophiles.

00:38:46.140 No.

00:38:47.400 No,

00:38:48.020 not in

00:38:48.480 America.

00:38:49.280 In America, 0.65

00:38:50.080 I don't want

00:38:50.680 to see that

00:38:51.140 list ever.

00:38:53.180 Ever,

00:38:53.620 ever,

00:38:53.880 ever.

00:38:54.500 Not even

00:38:55.020 after the

00:38:55.400 people are

00:38:55.720 dead.

00:38:56.340 I don't

00:38:56.840 want to

00:38:57.060 say that

00:38:57.380 list because

00:38:58.000 they still

00:38:58.340 have

00:38:58.480 families.

00:39:00.040 So I

00:39:02.700 think you

00:39:03.040 need to

00:39:03.340 check your

00:39:03.820 thinking on

00:39:04.400 that.

00:39:05.340 And the

00:39:05.780 standard that

00:39:06.500 I would

00:39:06.820 want to

00:39:07.200 suggest to

00:39:07.740 you is if

00:39:08.700 you were

00:39:09.100 one of the

00:39:10.140 people who

00:39:10.600 was innocent,

00:39:12.240 but he had

00:39:13.000 you in a

00:39:13.440 list of

00:39:13.780 addresses because

00:39:14.580 he did some

00:39:15.120 charity work and

00:39:15.900 he seemed to

00:39:16.760 know everybody

00:39:17.280 famous,

00:39:19.380 do you think

00:39:20.340 that would be

00:39:20.700 fair if you

00:39:21.620 were on that

00:39:22.120 list?

00:39:24.440 Anybody?

00:39:24.740 See, I

00:39:26.340 mean, you

00:39:26.600 have to do

00:39:27.080 the shoe

00:39:27.560 on the

00:39:27.840 other foot

00:39:28.240 test on

00:39:28.740 this one,

00:39:29.240 the Dershowist

00:39:30.020 test.

00:39:30.920 You just

00:39:31.320 have to do

00:39:31.880 the shoe

00:39:32.220 on the

00:39:32.480 other foot

00:39:32.880 because you

00:39:33.840 can't make

00:39:34.260 standards for

00:39:35.000 your fellow

00:39:35.460 citizens that

00:39:36.260 you would not

00:39:36.700 be willing to

00:39:37.500 suffer yourself. 0.87

00:39:39.920 If you think

00:39:40.760 you'd be okay

00:39:41.800 being on a list

00:39:43.420 of pedophiles

00:39:44.260 when you're

00:39:45.420 innocent,

00:39:46.420 if you're

00:39:47.160 okay with

00:39:47.700 that,

00:39:49.060 well,

00:39:49.400 all right,

00:39:49.800 then your

00:39:50.280 opinion is

00:39:50.800 consistent.

00:39:51.280 If you're

00:39:52.160 not okay

00:39:52.680 with that,

00:39:53.180 and I'm

00:39:53.720 definitely not

00:39:54.280 okay with

00:39:54.660 that,

00:39:55.780 then maybe

00:39:56.460 you should

00:39:56.820 say innocent

00:39:57.420 until proven

00:39:57.980 guilty and

00:39:58.540 let the FBI

00:39:59.180 go after

00:39:59.800 individuals if

00:40:00.640 they have

00:40:00.900 evidence.

00:40:02.720 We do

00:40:03.380 worry that

00:40:03.860 the FBI is

00:40:04.380 not doing

00:40:04.740 their job,

00:40:05.420 which is

00:40:05.840 actually a

00:40:07.300 good question.

00:40:09.800 Now,

00:40:10.480 there were

00:40:10.860 some people

00:40:11.300 when I

00:40:11.600 mentioned this

00:40:12.100 stuff online

00:40:12.820 who thought

00:40:14.260 it would be

00:40:14.800 really clever

00:40:15.700 that since I

00:40:17.480 was bringing

00:40:17.900 up the

00:40:18.240 topic,

00:40:19.400 they could

00:40:19.820 suggest that

00:40:20.580 maybe the

00:40:21.040 reason I

00:40:21.460 don't want

00:40:21.780 to see

00:40:22.000 the list

00:40:22.500 is that

00:40:23.480 I'm on

00:40:23.980 it.

00:40:26.980 That's not

00:40:27.660 funny,

00:40:28.440 and I

00:40:30.460 will block

00:40:31.000 you forever.

00:40:32.460 It doesn't

00:40:32.940 matter if

00:40:34.640 you thought

00:40:34.980 it was a

00:40:35.360 joke.

00:40:36.100 If you

00:40:36.680 think it's

00:40:37.120 funny,

00:40:38.020 you may

00:40:39.080 think it's

00:40:39.500 funny,

00:40:39.840 but you

00:40:40.080 also would

00:40:40.500 be blocked

00:40:40.940 forever,

00:40:41.520 and there's

00:40:41.900 no coming

00:40:42.320 back.

00:40:43.260 I'm not

00:40:43.700 going to

00:40:43.900 change my

00:40:44.320 mind.

00:40:45.020 If you

00:40:45.360 say that

00:40:45.800 in public

00:40:46.460 on Twitter,

00:40:47.960 you're not

00:40:48.380 fucking coming

00:40:48.960 back.

00:40:49.360 you

00:40:50.920 understand

00:40:51.300 that?

00:40:52.240 So I

00:40:52.680 just want

00:40:52.940 to be

00:40:53.160 clear.

00:40:55.200 I can

00:40:56.120 take a

00:40:56.540 joke,

00:40:57.320 but that's

00:40:58.200 not funny.

00:40:59.780 That's not

00:41:00.500 funny at

00:41:00.880 all.

00:41:03.060 All right.

00:41:07.360 Let's talk

00:41:08.060 about Soros.

00:41:09.560 So I've

00:41:10.360 been tracking

00:41:11.660 this weird

00:41:12.560 story,

00:41:13.620 trying to

00:41:14.040 understand why

00:41:14.940 does Soros

00:41:15.700 think these

00:41:17.340 liberal

00:41:18.200 prosecutors are

00:41:19.660 better when

00:41:20.900 it's so

00:41:21.300 obvious that

00:41:22.020 they're destroying

00:41:22.660 the country.

00:41:24.520 And here's

00:41:25.340 the best

00:41:25.700 answer I

00:41:26.140 have.

00:41:26.500 In Soros'

00:41:27.500 own words,

00:41:28.700 he said

00:41:29.180 that the

00:41:29.520 data is on

00:41:30.180 his side.

00:41:31.960 And he

00:41:32.300 says that

00:41:32.960 the cities

00:41:33.900 in which the

00:41:34.540 progressive

00:41:35.000 prosecutors have

00:41:36.600 been hired

00:41:37.100 have a

00:41:38.280 lower crime

00:41:39.040 rate after

00:41:41.380 the progressive

00:41:42.420 people are in

00:41:43.000 there.

00:41:43.260 Lower crime

00:41:43.920 rate, not

00:41:44.420 higher, lower.

00:41:47.200 So I'm

00:41:47.800 waiting for

00:41:48.160 the comments.

00:41:51.480 But you

00:41:52.140 know that's

00:41:52.680 bullshit, right?

00:41:54.780 Because the

00:41:55.660 reason the

00:41:56.080 crime is

00:41:56.500 lower is

00:41:56.940 that they're

00:41:57.240 not arresting

00:41:57.940 people.

00:42:00.400 Right.

00:42:00.980 They're just

00:42:01.320 not arresting

00:42:01.880 people.

00:42:03.740 Now, if it's

00:42:04.640 also true that

00:42:05.380 violent crime

00:42:06.160 went down,

00:42:07.280 that might

00:42:08.020 actually be

00:42:08.620 true, depending

00:42:09.600 on when the

00:42:10.160 study was

00:42:10.580 taken, because

00:42:11.660 violence spiked

00:42:12.880 during the

00:42:13.320 pandemic.

00:42:14.420 But didn't

00:42:15.800 it?

00:42:16.680 Or do I

00:42:17.140 have that

00:42:17.380 backwards?

00:42:17.920 Did violence

00:42:18.440 spike during 0.83

00:42:19.240 the pandemic?

00:42:21.380 Violent murders

00:42:22.240 and stuff?

00:42:23.580 Or do I have

00:42:24.340 that backwards?

00:42:29.080 Right.

00:42:30.200 The murder

00:42:30.580 rates?

00:42:33.340 So here's my

00:42:34.580 point.

00:42:35.540 None of us

00:42:36.140 believe that

00:42:36.740 that data

00:42:37.320 could be

00:42:37.760 true.

00:42:38.040 because the

00:42:41.000 data that

00:42:42.220 says that

00:42:42.680 the progressive

00:42:43.340 people letting

00:42:44.100 people in a

00:42:44.780 jail ends up

00:42:47.120 with lower

00:42:47.660 crime is

00:42:49.240 only because

00:42:49.720 they're not

00:42:50.060 charging them.

00:42:52.380 Right?

00:42:53.380 You're all on

00:42:54.080 the same page,

00:42:54.640 right?

00:42:55.420 The data

00:42:56.160 couldn't possibly

00:42:57.220 be useful

00:42:57.880 because if you

00:42:59.680 stop charging

00:43:00.340 people with

00:43:00.880 crimes, then

00:43:01.780 the data shows

00:43:02.720 there was no

00:43:03.120 crime.

00:43:04.100 But it has

00:43:04.560 nothing to do

00:43:05.100 with how much

00:43:05.500 crime there was.

00:43:06.120 it's just

00:43:07.020 that you're

00:43:07.660 not keeping

00:43:08.020 the records

00:43:08.460 anymore.

00:43:09.560 Now,

00:43:09.920 apparently there

00:43:10.440 was only one

00:43:11.100 study that

00:43:13.480 Soros looks 0.65

00:43:14.180 at to defend

00:43:15.080 his position.

00:43:16.700 And it was

00:43:17.160 some brief

00:43:17.800 little study

00:43:18.420 that I don't

00:43:19.180 think anybody

00:43:19.740 knows anything

00:43:20.280 about.

00:43:21.460 So here's

00:43:22.260 my point.

00:43:23.700 Instead of

00:43:24.360 calling him

00:43:24.920 Satan,

00:43:26.260 which buys

00:43:26.920 you nothing,

00:43:28.800 how about

00:43:29.140 going after

00:43:29.640 his data?

00:43:32.380 You know,

00:43:32.720 is there no

00:43:33.440 one who

00:43:33.860 could fund,

00:43:35.200 let's say,

00:43:35.680 a proper

00:43:36.800 study to

00:43:38.800 somehow try

00:43:39.920 to capture

00:43:40.380 the fact

00:43:40.880 that people

00:43:41.300 are not

00:43:41.680 being charged

00:43:42.380 and whatever

00:43:43.600 else is not

00:43:44.600 being picked

00:43:45.040 up by the

00:43:45.720 survey we

00:43:46.340 saw, to

00:43:47.280 actually find

00:43:47.860 out what

00:43:48.160 the data

00:43:48.520 says.

00:43:49.900 Because if

00:43:50.980 it turns out

00:43:51.640 that not

00:43:52.380 punishing

00:43:52.780 people for

00:43:53.420 a crime

00:43:53.900 gives you

00:43:55.360 less crime,

00:43:57.260 well, I'm

00:43:57.760 going to be

00:43:58.060 pretty surprised,

00:43:58.980 but I'd like

00:43:59.440 to know that.

00:44:00.420 I mean,

00:44:00.640 that would be

00:44:00.980 a shocking,

00:44:02.380 impossible-to-imagine

00:44:03.520 result.

00:44:04.080 But hey,

00:44:06.600 I'm open to

00:44:07.640 an argument,

00:44:08.580 you know,

00:44:08.920 could be

00:44:09.260 wrong.

00:44:09.920 The reason

00:44:10.480 we do data

00:44:11.120 is because

00:44:11.500 you can't

00:44:11.860 just look

00:44:12.240 at stuff

00:44:12.600 and know

00:44:12.880 what's

00:44:13.100 going to

00:44:13.300 happen.

00:44:14.140 It's the

00:44:14.520 reason you

00:44:14.880 look at

00:44:15.160 data,

00:44:15.780 because you

00:44:16.100 don't know

00:44:16.500 just by

00:44:16.860 looking at

00:44:17.380 it.

00:44:18.500 So I

00:44:20.760 would suggest

00:44:21.400 that you

00:44:22.220 knock off

00:44:22.920 the anti-Semitic

00:44:24.500 wants to

00:44:25.640 conquer the

00:44:26.140 world,

00:44:27.660 he's just

00:44:28.460 evil,

00:44:28.960 wants to

00:44:29.300 destroy the

00:44:29.880 fabric of

00:44:30.480 America,

00:44:30.900 and go

00:44:31.820 after the

00:44:32.200 data.

00:44:34.000 Just create a

00:44:35.200 stronger data

00:44:35.980 story and

00:44:38.780 see if you

00:44:39.280 can sell it.

00:44:40.060 But it makes

00:44:40.540 me think that

00:44:41.100 the data

00:44:41.500 doesn't back

00:44:43.100 the anti-Soros

00:44:44.240 view,

00:44:45.060 or we

00:44:45.460 already would

00:44:46.200 have seen

00:44:46.500 it.

00:44:47.580 Unless it's

00:44:48.220 just impossible

00:44:48.880 to gather

00:44:49.340 the data,

00:44:49.920 I don't know.

00:44:51.900 But I would

00:44:52.620 love to see

00:44:53.320 Soros or 0.90

00:44:54.080 his son

00:44:54.520 defend that

00:44:55.500 point of

00:44:55.920 view,

00:44:57.200 to actually

00:44:57.660 say,

00:44:57.920 yes,

00:44:58.460 we know

00:44:58.960 this is

00:44:59.340 working because

00:45:00.760 of the

00:45:01.300 study,

00:45:02.480 the data

00:45:02.940 says it's

00:45:03.440 working,

00:45:04.060 and so we're

00:45:04.980 going to keep

00:45:05.280 doing it because

00:45:05.780 it's really

00:45:06.140 working.

00:45:09.100 But apparently

00:45:09.840 there's only

00:45:10.340 one study.

00:45:11.620 If there's only

00:45:12.420 one study and

00:45:13.220 it goes their

00:45:13.740 way, that's the

00:45:14.360 end of the

00:45:14.700 story.

00:45:15.160 You have no

00:45:15.800 argument if

00:45:16.900 they're using

00:45:17.320 the data to

00:45:18.880 make their

00:45:19.200 decisions.

00:45:20.040 So you're

00:45:20.520 going to have

00:45:20.720 to fix the

00:45:21.200 data by doing

00:45:23.600 a study.

00:45:26.500 You want us

00:45:27.260 to work?

00:45:28.380 Well,

00:45:28.700 somebody should.

00:45:30.220 So if there's

00:45:30.980 so many people

00:45:31.600 who are sure

00:45:32.180 that Soros is

00:45:34.840 destroying the

00:45:35.440 country, and

00:45:36.160 I'm one of

00:45:36.780 them, by the

00:45:37.580 way, I'm

00:45:38.060 not defending

00:45:38.600 Soros, it 0.99

00:45:39.920 does seem to

00:45:40.640 me he's

00:45:41.080 destroying the

00:45:41.680 country.

00:45:42.960 Like, it

00:45:44.000 seems really

00:45:44.600 obvious to me

00:45:45.560 that he's

00:45:47.080 destroying the

00:45:47.680 country.

00:45:48.380 I just need

00:45:49.280 to know why.

00:45:51.100 And if it

00:45:51.740 turns out it's

00:45:52.340 really because

00:45:53.120 of the data,

00:45:54.520 then that's

00:45:56.040 where the

00:45:56.400 battle should

00:45:56.880 be.

00:45:57.060 The battle

00:45:57.700 should be

00:45:58.020 over the

00:45:58.340 data.

00:45:59.840 And if you

00:46:00.680 think that the

00:46:01.180 problem is

00:46:01.700 something about

00:46:02.360 him, maybe.

00:46:05.480 But I

00:46:06.040 wouldn't start

00:46:06.580 there.

00:46:07.400 I'd start with

00:46:08.180 the argument

00:46:08.720 he's making and

00:46:10.020 see if you can

00:46:10.680 counter the

00:46:11.520 argument he's

00:46:12.060 making.

00:46:12.520 If you're not

00:46:13.160 going to argue

00:46:13.600 that his data

00:46:14.700 is wrong, and

00:46:15.640 all you're going

00:46:16.040 to do is say,

00:46:16.660 oh, he's part

00:46:18.100 of the world,

00:46:18.840 alleged Jewish

00:46:20.960 conspiracy, he's

00:46:22.100 trying to destroy

00:46:22.720 the world, I can

00:46:24.060 read his mind, and

00:46:25.140 he's evil, he's

00:46:25.880 Satan, and he's

00:46:27.020 trying to make

00:46:27.440 up for his

00:46:28.120 youth, helping

00:46:29.420 the Nazis.

00:46:30.740 I don't know,

00:46:31.440 maybe.

00:46:32.540 Maybe.

00:46:33.760 But if he's

00:46:34.400 starting with the

00:46:34.980 data and you're

00:46:35.700 ignoring the

00:46:36.340 data, you're not

00:46:38.640 really taking the

00:46:39.340 fight to him, are

00:46:39.980 you?

00:46:40.700 You should take

00:46:41.460 the fight to

00:46:42.040 him where the

00:46:42.520 fight is with

00:46:43.160 the data.

00:46:45.980 All right.

00:46:46.520 then if he

00:46:48.660 ignores the

00:46:49.320 data that's

00:46:49.960 stronger than

00:46:50.440 his data, well

00:46:51.380 then you have

00:46:51.920 to go to

00:46:52.480 whatever is

00:46:54.320 phase two.

00:46:55.820 But I feel

00:46:56.460 like you skipped

00:46:57.080 to phase three

00:46:57.960 where you're

00:46:58.780 condemning him

00:46:59.420 for being

00:46:59.860 Satan without

00:47:01.100 questioning the

00:47:01.900 data first.

00:47:03.860 Which I don't

00:47:05.040 think the data

00:47:05.540 is true.

00:47:06.940 All right.

00:47:10.240 You would not

00:47:11.060 be surprised to

00:47:11.900 know that AI

00:47:12.520 is already

00:47:13.320 composing music

00:47:14.400 and it can

00:47:15.520 take two

00:47:17.040 genres and

00:47:17.800 put them

00:47:18.100 together.

00:47:19.240 So you can

00:47:19.740 say, write me

00:47:21.600 a new Nirvana

00:47:23.460 song, even

00:47:24.400 though Kurt

00:47:25.040 Cobain is

00:47:25.860 dead.

00:47:27.100 And I

00:47:27.480 listened to

00:47:27.980 the AI

00:47:28.840 written Nirvana

00:47:30.260 song, put on

00:47:31.720 my headphones

00:47:32.280 because I

00:47:32.740 wanted to

00:47:33.040 really listen

00:47:34.620 to see if it

00:47:35.220 was doing

00:47:36.280 right, and I

00:47:38.420 found myself

00:47:39.040 listening to

00:47:39.560 the entire

00:47:39.960 song.

00:47:41.440 Do you know

00:47:41.860 why?

00:47:43.460 It was

00:47:43.880 pretty good.

00:47:44.400 It was

00:47:46.300 pretty good.

00:47:47.880 I couldn't, I

00:47:50.680 feel like I

00:47:51.980 wouldn't have

00:47:52.380 been able to

00:47:52.980 know if a

00:47:53.940 computer had

00:47:54.540 generated it.

00:47:55.900 I thought that

00:47:56.900 it fit the

00:47:58.940 pattern of a

00:47:59.580 song well

00:48:00.200 enough that

00:48:01.360 there were

00:48:01.620 definitely parts

00:48:02.340 I was grooving

00:48:03.240 to.

00:48:04.240 So it wasn't

00:48:04.800 just, oh, that

00:48:05.480 sounds like him.

00:48:06.620 I was actually

00:48:07.260 head-bobbing.

00:48:08.640 I was getting

00:48:09.720 into it.

00:48:11.540 I listened to

00:48:12.420 it several

00:48:12.780 times.

00:48:13.180 And then I

00:48:15.080 saw Brian

00:48:15.740 Rumeli, I

00:48:17.960 always pronounce

00:48:18.420 his last name

00:48:19.020 wrong, sorry

00:48:19.560 about that.

00:48:21.080 He did a

00:48:22.000 mash-up in

00:48:22.680 which he

00:48:23.200 said, do

00:48:26.580 the Beach

00:48:27.080 Boys song,

00:48:27.960 God only

00:48:28.360 knows, but

00:48:29.120 do it as if

00:48:29.840 the Beatles

00:48:30.400 were performing

00:48:31.760 it.

00:48:32.840 And suddenly

00:48:33.240 you listen to

00:48:33.800 it, it's

00:48:34.160 actually, it

00:48:35.060 sounds just

00:48:35.460 like the

00:48:35.800 Beatles

00:48:36.120 performing a

00:48:37.560 Beach Boys

00:48:37.920 song.

00:48:38.260 And it

00:48:39.480 sounded just

00:48:40.340 like the

00:48:40.740 Beatles.

00:48:42.240 Now, the

00:48:45.280 first thing

00:48:45.880 that I say

00:48:46.360 as a creative

00:48:47.080 person is,

00:48:48.040 hey, it's

00:48:48.620 not creative.

00:48:50.120 All it's

00:48:50.700 doing is

00:48:51.060 mashing

00:48:51.440 together things

00:48:52.180 that are

00:48:52.440 known, but

00:48:53.400 can it

00:48:53.720 create a

00:48:54.120 new thing?

00:48:54.820 Because even

00:48:55.420 the new

00:48:55.820 thing it

00:48:56.220 wrote for

00:48:57.080 Nirvana was

00:48:58.760 obviously

00:48:59.440 derivative.

00:48:59.980 If Nirvana

00:49:02.060 did nothing

00:49:02.700 but create

00:49:04.400 new albums

00:49:05.400 like AI

00:49:06.320 created, they

00:49:08.020 wouldn't be

00:49:08.380 famous for

00:49:08.900 very long.

00:49:10.200 So they

00:49:11.100 would have to

00:49:11.480 innovate and

00:49:12.100 change the

00:49:12.540 way the

00:49:12.780 Beatles did.

00:49:13.600 I mean, the

00:49:13.880 Beatles' early

00:49:14.620 music, completely

00:49:15.560 different from

00:49:16.200 their later

00:49:16.640 music.

00:49:17.420 So humans

00:49:18.060 are adding

00:49:19.740 mistakes and

00:49:21.160 experimentations

00:49:22.380 and stuff.

00:49:23.880 So at

00:49:25.200 least the

00:49:25.580 humans have a

00:49:26.220 little advantage

00:49:26.940 because here's

00:49:28.820 what I wouldn't

00:49:29.420 want to listen

00:49:29.940 to forever.

00:49:31.500 Suppose AI

00:49:32.220 said, I

00:49:32.880 could give

00:49:33.240 you infinite

00:49:33.940 Beatles music

00:49:34.900 and it'll all

00:49:36.240 be new.

00:49:36.720 Every day it'll

00:49:37.180 be a new

00:49:37.520 song, but

00:49:38.120 it'll be in

00:49:38.580 their style.

00:49:39.720 How long

00:49:40.380 would that

00:49:40.760 stay interesting?

00:49:42.900 Would you

00:49:43.460 say to

00:49:43.740 yourself, I

00:49:44.260 love the

00:49:44.620 Beatles, now

00:49:45.120 I've got a

00:49:45.480 new one

00:49:45.740 every day?

00:49:46.760 Or would

00:49:47.380 it all

00:49:47.740 start to

00:49:48.300 sound a

00:49:49.840 little too

00:49:50.280 alike, a

00:49:51.980 little too

00:49:52.380 similar?

00:49:53.880 Because I

00:49:54.500 think it

00:49:54.780 ends up being

00:49:55.440 generic.

00:49:57.320 I think it

00:49:58.060 would turn

00:49:58.380 music into

00:49:59.060 elevator music.

00:49:59.920 eventually.

00:50:01.380 And the

00:50:01.680 only humans

00:50:02.480 have the

00:50:03.200 flaws and

00:50:04.480 the emotion

00:50:05.020 and the

00:50:06.800 propensity to

00:50:09.680 air.

00:50:10.940 And it's

00:50:11.280 sort of the

00:50:11.640 errors that

00:50:12.260 make it

00:50:12.580 interesting.

00:50:14.040 I've said

00:50:15.300 this before,

00:50:15.860 when I was

00:50:16.140 learning to

00:50:16.540 play drums,

00:50:18.160 I thought I

00:50:19.260 was hitting

00:50:19.660 the drums

00:50:20.700 exactly as

00:50:21.520 they should

00:50:21.840 be hit,

00:50:22.620 but it

00:50:23.200 didn't sound

00:50:23.620 like music.

00:50:24.220 and really

00:50:26.280 you have to

00:50:26.860 play it

00:50:27.260 wrong to

00:50:28.000 make it

00:50:28.340 sound right.

00:50:29.560 Adding the

00:50:30.360 stank or

00:50:30.960 the attitude

00:50:31.460 or the

00:50:32.080 funk,

00:50:33.000 those are

00:50:33.420 all things

00:50:33.780 that are

00:50:33.980 basically

00:50:34.360 changing your

00:50:35.440 timing from

00:50:36.180 perfect to

00:50:37.700 less than

00:50:38.280 perfect, but

00:50:39.280 somehow it's

00:50:39.780 better.

00:50:40.780 It's the

00:50:41.400 less than

00:50:41.800 perfect part

00:50:42.380 that makes

00:50:42.740 it feel

00:50:43.000 human and

00:50:43.800 gives it

00:50:44.640 that energy.

00:50:46.080 So I don't

00:50:46.400 know if,

00:50:47.060 you know,

00:50:47.280 maybe AI

00:50:47.780 could do

00:50:48.140 that too.

00:50:49.060 Maybe AI

00:50:49.740 could say,

00:50:50.140 oh, I

00:50:50.700 need to

00:50:50.940 put some

00:50:51.220 errors in

00:50:51.640 there to

00:50:51.900 make it

00:50:52.140 sound good.

00:50:53.920 But I

00:50:54.640 think humans

00:50:55.400 will still

00:50:55.800 be creating

00:50:56.680 new things

00:50:57.260 faster than

00:50:58.000 machines for

00:50:59.160 a while.

00:51:00.640 Because we

00:51:01.200 can test it

00:51:01.900 on ourselves,

00:51:02.580 I say this

00:51:03.080 all the time,

00:51:03.920 when I'm

00:51:04.480 thinking of

00:51:04.860 a new idea,

00:51:05.820 I'm also

00:51:06.360 instantly

00:51:06.940 testing it

00:51:07.640 on my

00:51:07.960 body.

00:51:09.220 Do I

00:51:09.580 bob my

00:51:09.980 head if

00:51:10.480 it's music?

00:51:11.640 Or do I

00:51:12.280 not bob my

00:51:12.860 head?

00:51:13.720 Right?

00:51:14.460 Do I

00:51:14.940 laugh if

00:51:15.520 it's a joke

00:51:15.980 or do I

00:51:16.380 not laugh?

00:51:17.160 Now AI

00:51:17.640 can't do

00:51:18.140 that.

00:51:18.940 It can say,

00:51:19.560 I think this

00:51:20.080 is the

00:51:20.380 form of

00:51:20.820 a joke,

00:51:21.820 but it

00:51:22.300 can't test

00:51:22.820 it against

00:51:23.220 its own

00:51:23.560 sense of

00:51:24.000 humor.

00:51:25.120 So until

00:51:27.040 that happens,

00:51:28.120 real humorists

00:51:29.480 are going to

00:51:29.700 have an

00:51:29.940 advantage.

00:51:32.680 All right.

00:51:35.360 Here's my

00:51:36.040 suggestion about

00:51:37.160 AGI,

00:51:39.520 Advanced

00:51:40.120 General

00:51:40.600 Intelligence.

00:51:41.220 That's the

00:51:41.500 one we're

00:51:41.820 afraid of.

00:51:42.960 So we're

00:51:43.380 afraid of

00:51:43.900 the AI

00:51:44.460 that's like

00:51:45.660 an actual

00:51:46.380 sentient

00:51:47.140 thinking

00:51:48.040 entity.

00:51:49.400 But here's

00:51:51.800 what makes

00:51:52.200 a human

00:51:52.740 a sentient

00:51:54.300 entity.

00:51:56.020 That we're

00:51:56.680 thinking all

00:51:57.520 the time

00:51:58.080 even when

00:51:58.680 we're not

00:51:59.060 doing a

00:51:59.440 task.

00:52:01.800 Will AI

00:52:02.580 think all

00:52:03.160 the time?

00:52:04.600 The AI

00:52:05.360 that we

00:52:05.740 currently use,

00:52:07.280 I feel like

00:52:07.820 it doesn't do

00:52:08.320 anything until

00:52:08.880 I ask it

00:52:09.360 something.

00:52:10.460 Then it

00:52:10.840 does it,

00:52:11.280 and then it

00:52:11.500 comes back,

00:52:12.020 and then it's

00:52:12.380 idle.

00:52:13.100 It's not

00:52:13.500 sitting there

00:52:13.920 thinking,

00:52:15.200 oh, why

00:52:15.700 doesn't he

00:52:16.060 ask me a

00:52:16.480 question?

00:52:17.620 It doesn't

00:52:18.080 have any

00:52:18.380 kind of

00:52:18.660 loop of

00:52:19.280 self-inspection,

00:52:20.980 right?

00:52:21.960 But if we

00:52:22.760 build an

00:52:23.360 artificial general

00:52:24.620 intelligence,

00:52:25.920 the only way

00:52:27.040 I would be

00:52:27.520 afraid of it

00:52:28.240 is if it

00:52:29.740 could sit

00:52:30.200 there and

00:52:30.780 think on

00:52:32.380 its own.

00:52:33.860 In other

00:52:34.200 words, when

00:52:34.620 you're not

00:52:35.000 using it,

00:52:36.140 is it

00:52:36.520 processing and

00:52:37.640 thinking about

00:52:39.000 how its

00:52:39.620 ideas fit

00:52:40.240 together?

00:52:41.360 Is it

00:52:42.000 thinking how

00:52:42.600 it will

00:52:42.860 answer the

00:52:43.400 question if

00:52:43.980 it's asked?

00:52:44.560 Will it

00:52:45.520 come up

00:52:45.820 with some

00:52:46.160 hypotheticals

00:52:47.040 and some

00:52:47.380 imagination

00:52:48.000 while it's

00:52:49.140 just sitting

00:52:49.540 there?

00:52:50.520 If it

00:52:51.240 does, it's

00:52:52.660 dangerous.

00:52:54.180 Would you

00:52:54.860 agree?

00:52:56.120 If it

00:52:56.820 just sits

00:52:57.240 there and

00:52:57.600 thinks without

00:52:58.580 humans asking

00:52:59.620 it for a

00:53:00.040 task, it's

00:53:01.380 dangerous.

00:53:04.400 But if it

00:53:05.340 only responds

00:53:06.180 to tasks by

00:53:07.820 doing the

00:53:08.300 task, it's

00:53:10.480 a little bit

00:53:10.940 dangerous, but

00:53:12.620 not end of

00:53:13.540 humanity

00:53:14.000 dangerous.

00:53:14.560 So you

00:53:16.180 can see

00:53:16.520 how, for

00:53:16.900 example, it

00:53:17.340 would turn

00:53:17.660 off your

00:53:18.220 energy grid

00:53:20.300 accidentally, but

00:53:22.440 not because

00:53:22.960 it thought

00:53:23.400 about it.

00:53:24.520 Not because

00:53:25.280 it thought,

00:53:26.420 oh, humans

00:53:27.680 are bad,

00:53:28.540 machines are

00:53:29.020 good, kill

00:53:29.640 all humans.

00:53:30.820 That's the

00:53:31.400 part that you

00:53:31.920 should never

00:53:32.380 program into

00:53:33.920 it.

00:53:34.440 So where I'm

00:53:34.940 heading with

00:53:35.360 this is we're

00:53:35.980 all trying to

00:53:36.480 think how we

00:53:38.300 can create

00:53:39.220 legislation that

00:53:41.160 would keep

00:53:41.580 you from

00:53:41.880 making the

00:53:42.280 AI that

00:53:42.680 would destroy

00:53:43.120 the world.

00:53:43.580 And I

00:53:44.660 think the

00:53:45.040 simplest

00:53:45.400 legislation

00:53:46.140 would be

00:53:46.640 you can't

00:53:47.920 build an

00:53:48.280 AI that

00:53:48.800 thinks

00:53:49.400 independently.

00:53:51.200 It can

00:53:51.840 only do

00:53:52.260 things.

00:53:53.700 So it can

00:53:54.460 do things

00:53:55.060 all day

00:53:55.400 long, but

00:53:56.700 it can't

00:53:57.240 just think.

00:54:00.200 Have you

00:54:00.740 ever heard

00:54:01.060 anybody bring

00:54:01.540 that up?

00:54:02.480 Because I

00:54:03.080 haven't heard

00:54:03.500 anybody frame

00:54:04.700 it that way.

00:54:06.280 I'm only

00:54:06.940 afraid of it

00:54:07.600 if it can

00:54:08.060 think when

00:54:08.720 it's alone.

00:54:09.240 think about

00:54:11.900 it.

00:54:12.420 Just consider

00:54:13.260 that model.

00:54:14.160 I don't

00:54:14.320 know if

00:54:14.540 this is a

00:54:14.960 good idea

00:54:15.360 or not,

00:54:15.940 because I'd

00:54:16.420 have to

00:54:16.700 know a lot

00:54:17.040 more about

00:54:17.420 AI to

00:54:17.960 know that.

00:54:19.340 But

00:54:19.600 commonsensically,

00:54:22.060 I'm not

00:54:22.640 going to be

00:54:22.940 afraid of

00:54:23.440 something that

00:54:24.080 gives me a

00:54:25.340 good Google

00:54:27.020 result or

00:54:28.900 summarizes an

00:54:30.120 article.

00:54:31.820 Because as

00:54:32.440 soon as it's

00:54:32.900 done summarizing

00:54:33.680 the article,

00:54:34.620 it has no

00:54:35.280 thoughts about

00:54:35.840 the article.

00:54:36.800 It has no

00:54:37.300 thoughts about

00:54:37.860 me, has

00:54:39.160 no thoughts

00:54:39.640 about what

00:54:40.060 it did or

00:54:40.600 why I asked

00:54:41.180 it to do

00:54:41.580 anything.

00:54:42.200 It has no

00:54:42.640 thoughts.

00:54:43.840 As long as

00:54:44.520 it has no

00:54:44.880 thoughts, I'm

00:54:47.160 safe.

00:54:48.940 Or at least

00:54:50.080 the danger

00:54:50.500 comes down

00:54:51.000 to 1% of

00:54:52.200 what we

00:54:52.520 imagine.

00:54:53.700 And I

00:54:54.200 don't know

00:54:54.580 that anybody

00:54:55.280 would want to

00:54:56.040 build a

00:54:56.360 machine that

00:54:56.820 could think.

00:54:58.220 Why would

00:54:58.660 you do that?

00:54:59.920 All it

00:55:00.420 would do is

00:55:00.920 you'd be

00:55:01.240 creating

00:55:01.620 artificial

00:55:02.160 suffering.

00:55:03.720 You could

00:55:04.280 actually create

00:55:05.020 a machine

00:55:05.380 that suffers

00:55:06.000 because it

00:55:07.840 would look

00:55:08.160 at its

00:55:08.400 own thoughts

00:55:09.120 and start

00:55:10.520 to come

00:55:10.820 up with

00:55:11.220 maybe mental

00:55:12.000 health

00:55:12.260 problems.

00:55:13.140 You might

00:55:13.600 actually invent

00:55:14.480 poor mental

00:55:15.620 health in

00:55:17.340 a computer.

00:55:20.000 So is there

00:55:21.020 any reason

00:55:21.580 that your

00:55:21.940 computer needs

00:55:22.580 to think

00:55:23.300 when you're

00:55:24.460 not using

00:55:24.940 it?

00:55:26.240 Can you

00:55:26.560 think of

00:55:26.880 any utility

00:55:27.500 for that

00:55:28.140 other than

00:55:28.660 making it

00:55:29.100 dangerous?

00:55:30.140 There's no

00:55:30.680 utility to it.

00:55:32.380 As long as

00:55:32.960 we keep the

00:55:33.420 AI, just do

00:55:34.260 my task,

00:55:35.140 and then rest

00:55:35.980 until you have

00:55:36.500 another task,

00:55:37.620 I think

00:55:38.260 we're fine.

00:55:39.480 It may be

00:55:39.900 as simple

00:55:40.260 as that.

00:55:43.920 All right.

00:55:46.220 But I'm

00:55:47.100 also going

00:55:47.660 to allow

00:55:48.240 that if

00:55:48.880 anybody who

00:55:49.320 knows AI

00:55:49.880 is listening

00:55:50.620 to this,

00:55:51.700 they may be

00:55:52.200 slapping their

00:55:52.920 faces and

00:55:53.700 saying,

00:55:54.020 no,

00:55:55.240 what he's

00:55:55.720 saying is

00:55:56.100 so stupid,

00:55:56.900 he's ignoring

00:55:57.620 the biggest

00:55:58.200 risks.

00:55:59.700 And maybe

00:56:00.100 I am.

00:56:01.300 But if

00:56:01.840 somebody could

00:56:02.380 easily explain

00:56:03.160 them to me,

00:56:03.760 I would be

00:56:04.400 smarter.

00:56:04.720 All right.

00:56:08.460 Do you

00:56:09.180 believe that

00:56:10.580 the Durham

00:56:11.100 report told

00:56:11.820 you that

00:56:13.340 Obama and

00:56:14.140 Biden both

00:56:15.320 knew that

00:56:16.100 Clinton was,

00:56:17.560 Hillary was 0.59

00:56:17.960 going to do

00:56:18.300 the Russia

00:56:18.720 collusion hoax,

00:56:20.300 knew it was

00:56:20.980 fake, knew

00:56:22.540 it was a

00:56:22.980 hoax, and

00:56:25.040 listened to

00:56:26.120 it in a

00:56:26.600 room and

00:56:27.280 then either

00:56:27.900 okayed it or

00:56:29.420 were fine with

00:56:30.200 it.

00:56:30.440 They didn't

00:56:30.740 stop it.

00:56:31.500 Do you

00:56:31.700 believe that

00:56:32.060 happened?

00:56:32.340 Because the

00:56:35.480 Durham report

00:56:36.160 suggested that

00:56:37.440 happened,

00:56:37.860 right?

00:56:38.560 Or at least

00:56:39.180 they were in

00:56:39.540 the room when

00:56:40.060 it was

00:56:40.300 discussed.

00:56:43.200 I didn't

00:56:43.920 talk about

00:56:44.400 back movie

00:56:44.880 yet.

00:56:47.780 I believe

00:56:48.580 it.

00:56:50.120 I'm not

00:56:50.840 100% sure,

00:56:52.860 but I

00:56:53.260 believe it.

00:56:55.000 And have

00:56:56.980 you noticed

00:56:57.400 that there's

00:56:57.860 no consequences

00:56:58.620 for that?

00:56:59.220 somehow we're

00:57:02.140 acting as

00:57:04.460 though that

00:57:04.800 was just

00:57:05.160 business as

00:57:05.760 usual.

00:57:07.840 That the

00:57:08.520 president and

00:57:09.180 the vice

00:57:09.520 president

00:57:09.980 okayed the 0.76

00:57:11.960 biggest

00:57:12.500 disinformation

00:57:14.280 operation that

00:57:16.360 the United

00:57:16.780 States has

00:57:17.340 seen, that

00:57:17.820 we know

00:57:18.160 of, and

00:57:19.760 it was

00:57:20.020 basically a

00:57:20.860 coup.

00:57:22.500 It was

00:57:23.120 essentially a

00:57:23.740 coup attempt.

00:57:24.920 And that we

00:57:25.760 just know it,

00:57:27.480 we know it,

00:57:28.600 and we're

00:57:29.700 just not

00:57:30.800 doing anything

00:57:31.200 about it.

00:57:32.540 Because there's

00:57:33.200 no specific

00:57:34.100 law that was

00:57:34.680 broken?

00:57:35.500 Is that

00:57:35.800 what?

00:57:37.780 Why in the

00:57:38.500 world are we

00:57:39.000 complacent about

00:57:39.740 that?

00:57:40.600 Why is that

00:57:41.040 not the

00:57:41.420 biggest story

00:57:42.080 that it's

00:57:42.660 the only

00:57:42.920 thing you're

00:57:43.280 talking about

00:57:43.720 every single

00:57:44.280 day?

00:57:44.840 It's because

00:57:45.460 it's not

00:57:45.860 Trump.

00:57:47.300 That's the

00:57:47.860 only reason,

00:57:48.460 right?

00:57:49.560 If any of

00:57:50.480 this had been

00:57:51.000 Trump, imagine

00:57:52.180 if we knew

00:57:53.260 for sure that

00:57:55.180 Trump and

00:57:55.900 Don Jr.

00:57:56.720 cooked up the

00:57:57.340 biggest hoax

00:57:57.960 in American

00:57:58.820 history, what

00:58:00.400 if you knew

00:58:00.900 that for

00:58:01.320 sure, like

00:58:02.660 we know

00:58:03.040 that Obama

00:58:03.640 and Biden

00:58:04.300 were part

00:58:04.920 of the

00:58:05.260 origins of

00:58:06.300 it?

00:58:08.420 Can you

00:58:09.060 imagine it

00:58:09.540 being ignored?

00:58:11.000 It's all

00:58:11.640 you talk

00:58:12.080 about.

00:58:13.560 It's so

00:58:14.260 weird that

00:58:14.900 the mainstream

00:58:16.540 media or

00:58:17.260 whoever is

00:58:17.800 behind everything,

00:58:19.180 it's so

00:58:20.060 amazing that

00:58:20.660 they can make

00:58:21.100 you not care

00:58:21.880 about the

00:58:22.560 most important

00:58:23.140 things in

00:58:23.540 the world.

00:58:24.560 And they

00:58:25.140 can do it

00:58:25.500 easily.

00:58:25.880 just don't

00:58:27.240 put it in

00:58:27.660 the news.

00:58:28.660 If they

00:58:29.160 don't put it

00:58:29.640 in the

00:58:29.860 news, we're

00:58:30.800 trained to

00:58:31.560 think it's

00:58:31.940 not important.

00:58:33.240 So that's

00:58:33.660 all they have

00:58:34.020 to do.

00:58:34.740 Just don't

00:58:35.180 put it in

00:58:35.540 the news.

00:58:36.640 End of

00:58:36.880 story.

00:58:37.380 It's the

00:58:37.720 easiest thing

00:58:38.280 in the

00:58:38.480 world.

00:58:40.960 Yeah, and

00:58:41.460 who's going

00:58:41.780 to prosecute,

00:58:42.420 right?

00:58:42.580 All right, I

00:58:46.140 saw an

00:58:46.440 amusing exchange

00:58:47.460 on Twitter

00:58:49.100 in which

00:58:51.020 David Sachs

00:58:52.080 had some

00:58:52.540 opinions about

00:58:53.340 how things

00:58:53.900 were going

00:58:54.220 over there

00:58:54.640 and

00:58:54.940 Bachmut

00:58:55.640 and

00:58:55.860 otherwise.

00:58:57.140 And

00:58:57.500 somebody

00:58:58.340 mocked him

00:58:58.920 online for

00:59:00.860 saying that

00:59:01.460 he's never

00:59:02.080 led anybody

00:59:02.920 into battle

00:59:03.460 and he's

00:59:04.000 no military

00:59:04.660 expert.

00:59:06.720 Now, David

00:59:07.160 Sachs, not 0.99

00:59:08.060 being the

00:59:08.660 average Twitter

00:59:09.560 user,

00:59:09.900 he responded

00:59:13.860 by saying

00:59:14.420 that not

00:59:15.560 being part

00:59:16.080 of the

00:59:16.320 military

00:59:16.740 industrial

00:59:17.280 complex is

00:59:18.620 actually an

00:59:19.320 advantage in

00:59:20.220 analyzing military

00:59:21.320 situations.

00:59:24.520 Now, I

00:59:25.320 don't have a

00:59:25.820 mic to drop

00:59:26.620 so I'm

00:59:27.180 going to

00:59:28.120 unhook

00:59:28.500 this one

00:59:28.920 just so I

00:59:30.800 can drop

00:59:31.180 it.

00:59:35.240 Come on.

00:59:37.120 Seriously.

00:59:38.820 All right,

00:59:39.380 I'd like to

00:59:39.900 repeat his

00:59:40.520 line.

00:59:42.500 Actually, not

00:59:43.340 being part of

00:59:43.880 the military

00:59:44.360 industrial

00:59:44.860 complex probably

00:59:45.720 makes you a

00:59:46.240 better analyst.

00:59:49.280 There we

00:59:49.860 go.

00:59:50.920 I have to

00:59:51.440 drop that

00:59:51.800 mic.

00:59:57.700 Because it's

00:59:58.560 true.

01:00:00.900 It's funny

01:00:01.680 because it's

01:00:02.300 true.

01:00:04.560 It's totally

01:00:05.320 true.

01:00:06.280 The military

01:00:07.120 industrial

01:00:07.620 complex are

01:00:08.320 paid liars.

01:00:09.380 they're

01:00:10.500 paid,

01:00:11.480 indirectly,

01:00:12.620 they're paid

01:00:13.160 to lie.

01:00:15.520 So this

01:00:16.920 guy is

01:00:17.240 arguing that

01:00:17.960 you should

01:00:18.280 get the

01:00:18.600 good information

01:00:19.300 from the

01:00:19.700 people who

01:00:20.120 are paid

01:00:20.700 to lie.

01:00:23.480 Not the

01:00:24.520 person who's

01:00:25.380 proven that

01:00:26.380 he's an

01:00:27.160 excellent

01:00:27.840 analyst of

01:00:29.200 world events.

01:00:30.440 No, not

01:00:30.880 that guy who

01:00:31.760 has nothing to

01:00:32.460 gain.

01:00:33.360 He's just an

01:00:34.400 internet dad

01:00:35.020 basically trying

01:00:35.780 to help us

01:00:37.280 think better.

01:00:38.700 No, I

01:00:39.280 think I

01:00:39.700 would take

01:00:41.560 David

01:00:41.960 Sachs' 0.99

01:00:42.600 military

01:00:43.220 opinion, of

01:00:45.740 which he

01:00:45.980 has no

01:00:46.320 experience,

01:00:47.660 over the

01:00:48.760 experts.

01:00:49.440 Absolutely.

01:00:50.620 We don't

01:00:51.180 live in a

01:00:51.580 world where

01:00:51.960 that doesn't

01:00:52.400 make sense.

01:00:54.000 Double

01:00:54.400 negative.

01:00:54.720 All right, so

01:00:58.480 here's the

01:00:59.440 update on

01:01:00.060 Bakhmut.

01:01:00.840 As you

01:01:02.320 know, the

01:01:03.120 Russians have 1.00

01:01:03.760 claimed that

01:01:04.280 they've

01:01:04.620 completely

01:01:05.300 captured

01:01:05.920 Bakhmut, but

01:01:07.500 the Ukrainians

01:01:08.380 are quite

01:01:09.260 plucky, and

01:01:10.520 they insist

01:01:11.160 that they

01:01:11.640 still control

01:01:12.500 a pile of

01:01:13.840 rubble that's

01:01:15.000 approximately,

01:01:15.940 I think it's

01:01:16.620 about six feet

01:01:18.400 in diameter,

01:01:19.780 and goes to

01:01:21.180 almost four feet

01:01:22.220 in height.

01:01:25.980 So that's

01:01:28.020 why Ukraine

01:01:28.540 controls that

01:01:29.340 pile of

01:01:30.900 rubble.

01:01:32.400 But, hey,

01:01:33.980 hey, they

01:01:34.620 still control

01:01:35.220 that pile of

01:01:35.840 rubble, and

01:01:36.660 they're going to

01:01:37.020 turn things

01:01:37.640 around any

01:01:39.120 moment now.

01:01:40.240 They have

01:01:40.960 their eye on,

01:01:42.920 it might be a

01:01:43.520 little premature,

01:01:44.040 but they have

01:01:45.660 their eye on

01:01:46.440 another pile of

01:01:48.220 rubble.

01:01:49.760 Yeah.

01:01:50.200 They actually

01:01:50.860 think that they

01:01:51.480 can maybe

01:01:51.940 consolidate their

01:01:53.140 control over the

01:01:53.940 little pile of

01:01:55.020 rubble that's

01:01:55.980 six feet by

01:01:56.760 three feet tall.

01:01:58.280 But they're

01:01:59.020 looking at a

01:01:59.520 pile of

01:01:59.920 rubble that's

01:02:00.420 nearly eight

01:02:01.040 feet tall.

01:02:02.600 Nearly eight

01:02:03.340 feet tall.

01:02:04.420 And they think

01:02:05.060 they can take

01:02:05.620 it.

01:02:06.200 And the new

01:02:06.840 rubble has a

01:02:07.500 diameter of

01:02:08.160 almost 20

01:02:08.740 feet.

01:02:10.420 So if you

01:02:10.860 added those

01:02:11.360 together, the

01:02:12.860 six-foot diameter

01:02:13.960 pile of rubble

01:02:14.660 that the Ukraine

01:02:15.520 says they

01:02:16.180 control, I

01:02:16.840 mean, I don't

01:02:17.240 know for sure,

01:02:18.000 but they say

01:02:19.080 they control that

01:02:19.720 little pile of

01:02:20.300 rubble, they

01:02:21.760 could almost

01:02:22.320 triple the

01:02:23.140 piles of rubble

01:02:24.340 if they were

01:02:25.580 successful in

01:02:26.720 gaining control

01:02:27.680 of the other

01:02:28.120 rubble.

01:02:30.760 What the hell

01:02:31.560 is going on?

01:02:34.160 The whole

01:02:35.120 Ukraine situation

01:02:36.100 has become so

01:02:37.520 absurd that

01:02:39.860 anything you

01:02:41.080 say about them

01:02:41.720 sounds like a

01:02:42.460 joke.

01:02:44.580 Just talking

01:02:45.580 normally about

01:02:46.380 Ukraine sounds

01:02:47.860 like you're

01:02:48.320 joking.

01:02:49.640 Right?

01:02:49.880 Parity and

01:02:50.500 reality have

01:02:51.160 merged.

01:02:51.560 that we

01:02:53.740 don't know

01:02:54.120 what we're

01:02:54.460 fighting for

01:02:55.040 exactly, but

01:02:55.740 it's really

01:02:56.120 expensive and

01:02:57.000 we're pretty

01:02:57.740 sure we're

01:02:58.180 winning.

01:03:01.360 It's all

01:03:02.080 nuts.

01:03:03.120 It's completely

01:03:03.840 nuts.

01:03:07.140 All right.

01:03:08.460 They lost you

01:03:09.120 as Sean Penn.

01:03:11.020 Okay, that's

01:03:11.600 an old

01:03:12.200 reference.

01:03:14.400 Yeah, so we

01:03:15.420 understand

01:03:16.080 Buck Moo 0.99

01:03:16.560 is tactically

01:03:17.840 significant, so

01:03:18.940 there's nothing

01:03:19.400 there but

01:03:20.080 anymore, but

01:03:21.880 it is sort

01:03:23.800 of the front

01:03:24.320 door to

01:03:24.940 larger attacks.

01:03:26.020 That seems

01:03:26.680 to be the

01:03:27.080 case.

01:03:30.200 All right.

01:03:32.140 Why don't

01:03:32.520 we ever see

01:03:33.020 video from

01:03:33.680 the Ukraine

01:03:34.200 war?

01:03:36.280 Good

01:03:36.800 question.

01:03:37.740 Now, I do

01:03:38.280 see video, but

01:03:39.900 it's Ukrainian

01:03:40.700 propaganda where

01:03:41.700 the Ukrainian

01:03:42.460 soldiers are all

01:03:43.300 very happy to

01:03:43.940 be there.

01:03:45.280 Have you

01:03:45.560 noticed?

01:03:46.340 The Ukrainians 0.94

01:03:47.000 are singing and

01:03:47.660 dancing and

01:03:48.160 laughing, and

01:03:49.580 they're all

01:03:50.140 big.

01:03:50.960 The Ukrainians 0.94

01:03:51.900 are all like

01:03:52.320 six feet tall,

01:03:53.380 but if they

01:03:54.040 capture a

01:03:54.600 Russian, and

01:03:55.520 that's on the

01:03:55.960 video, the

01:03:56.740 Russian will 0.98

01:03:57.280 weigh 85

01:03:57.920 pounds.

01:03:59.340 They'll be

01:03:59.660 surrounded by

01:04:00.360 several Ukrainian

01:04:01.740 military people

01:04:02.600 who are like

01:04:03.140 six foot four.

01:04:04.880 The Ukrainians 0.94

01:04:05.860 are really good

01:04:06.460 with the

01:04:06.760 propaganda.

01:04:08.580 They make it

01:04:09.200 look like their

01:04:09.700 soldiers are just

01:04:10.540 delighted, delighted

01:04:12.780 to be there, all

01:04:13.700 volunteers.

01:04:15.360 I'm not sure

01:04:16.220 that's exactly

01:04:16.880 what's going on.

01:04:17.640 Yeah, and

01:04:19.680 then the

01:04:19.900 Russia propaganda

01:04:20.920 is just as

01:04:21.500 good.

01:04:26.000 Russian

01:04:26.480 liberation

01:04:26.980 people are

01:04:27.600 currently invading

01:04:28.880 Belgrade.

01:04:31.160 What?

01:04:33.140 Yes, it's all

01:04:33.980 propaganda from

01:04:34.740 both sides.

01:04:35.260 There's nothing

01:04:35.680 we can believe.

01:04:41.460 Malcolm

01:04:41.980 Nance came

01:04:42.480 back.

01:04:42.980 He survived.

01:04:43.640 He survived.

01:04:43.700 He survived.

01:04:43.740 He survived.

01:04:47.640 All right.

01:04:49.020 And now we're

01:04:49.800 hearing that those

01:04:50.560 F-16s are going 1.00

01:04:51.820 to make that

01:04:52.180 much difference.

01:04:54.440 So one from

01:04:55.500 they've got to

01:04:56.340 have F-16s.

01:04:57.800 It'll make all

01:04:58.420 the difference

01:04:58.980 too.

01:04:59.720 Yeah, F-16s aren't

01:05:00.780 going to make that

01:05:01.200 much difference

01:05:01.740 for a variety

01:05:02.900 of reasons.

01:05:05.700 All right.

01:05:11.140 YouTube,

01:05:11.920 that's all for

01:05:13.140 today.

01:05:13.480 I'm going to

01:05:13.860 talk to the

01:05:14.280 locals people

01:05:14.860 who are special

01:05:16.380 and thanks for

01:05:18.300 joining.

01:05:19.460 See you tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 22, 2023

Episode 2116 Scott Adams： Did Epstein Blackmail Gates？ Schiff Expulsion Odds, Bakhmut, More

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