Episode 2125 Scott Adams： Trump Goes Savage, Ukraine Is Not A War, Depressed Men, Fake Boycott News
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 4 minutes
Words per Minute
139.20076
Summary
In this episode, we talk about magnesium supplements, digital IDs, and whether or not the government will ever require us to have a digital ID. We also discuss the possibility of a digital passport, and the benefits and drawbacks of having one.
Transcript
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Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization and possibly
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robots, too. We'll find out later. If you'd like your experience, which will be really
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unparalleled today. Does it seem a little dark? I think I need to add some light. You
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can upgrade your performance, and all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or
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chalice or stein, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind, filled with your favorite
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liquid I like, coffee. Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine to the
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day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens
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now. Go! Ah. Ah. Yeah. You know what I need is just a little bit more light on this side.
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Pardon my close-up. Mwah. There we go. Perfect. Question. How many of you have ever tried
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magnesium supplements? And if you did, did you find it? A lot of you. Wow. Quite a few of
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you. So I tried magnesium supplements two nights ago. And let me tell you, you know, I hoped
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it would, you know, loosen my muscles and help me sleep, all the things that it's supposed
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to do. And I'll be damned. The first night I took it, loosened my muscles, slept like a
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baby, had the best night's sleep I can remember. And I said to myself, that magnesium stuff is
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amazing. So what do you think I did? Well, of course I did it the second night, because the
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first night was so successful. The second night, up all night, totally buzzed, and all my muscles
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are sore. Absolute opposite. Now, which one of those is real? Should I take it again? If
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I got the effect once, that was probably in my imagination, and then the second time, aggressively
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the opposite. Aggressively the opposite. How do you know if your supplements work? Does
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anybody know if their supplements work? How could you possibly tell? Because you can't tell
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experientially, and there's no science to back it. I don't even know if the magnesium that
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I bought, because I got some special powdered kind that you put in water, it's supposed to
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be better. I don't even know if it works. Should I keep taking it? You know, maybe creatine,
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yeah. Well, at least creatine, you could see if it's working, couldn't you? If you took creatine
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and did your same workout you always do, well, I guess you'd probably do harder, because that's
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what it lets you do. You'd probably see a muscle difference in three weeks. Am I right? Three
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weeks, and you'd know if it worked. But how in the world will I ever know if magnesium is
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working? I don't know what to do about it, because I feel like I need it. And on the other
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hand, I don't want to be that sucker who took a unnecessary mineral for decades. Anyway, let
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me ask you a question. Do you remember, and this is just me giving a prediction grade to
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myself on this. Do you remember when there was the question of getting a vaccination passport?
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Do you remember when that was like a big conversation? Oh, no, they want us to have a digital passport.
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And I argued that you didn't have to worry about it becoming permanent. Did it become
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permanent? Do you have a digital passport? Okay, so I'm just checking our predictions, because
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remember, those of you who fought me like weasels said, no, the vaccine passport is just
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their backdoor way of getting you to a digital passport. And I said, probably not. They're
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probably just trying to figure out if you're vaccinated. And if it's, you know, if they ever
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did a digital ID, that would be a separate process. So I think I was right. I think I would
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say my prediction was right, that that was not a slippery slope per se, but there might
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be a digital ID. I think the odds of a digital ID are close to 100%. Would you agree? The
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odds of someday the government requiring a digital ID, probably 100%. Yeah. And I would say the
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loss of privacy, complete loss of privacy, or something like it. That's also 100%. There's
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some things that I don't get into the philosophical argument about, because there's not two ways
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it could go. There's only one way digital IDs are going to go. Someday, maybe not your generation.
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Maybe you'll outlive it. But there will be digital IDs. There's no doubt about it. Just because
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we can, and it's just too sticky an idea, there'll be too many economic benefits. You know, the
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free market will sort of force you into it one way or another. So I'm not saying I'm in
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favor of it. I'm just saying there's nothing that would stop it. Same with digital money.
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Do you really think you're going to be paying for stuff? Or let's say other people. Do you
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think your grandkids are going to be paying for stuff with pieces of paper they carry around
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in their wallet? Does anybody think that's the future? There's not even a slight chance
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of that. No. No, digital money is not something that can be stopped. It just can't be. There's
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just no way that the future looks like today with pieces of paper for money. All right.
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And again, I'm not saying it's good or bad. It's just, it just is. It's just going to
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happen. Allegedly, I saw just one report. Maybe you can fact check me on this. Is NASA giving
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a UFO update at, in the next 20 minutes? In 20 minutes or so, NASA's going to give an update,
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right? If anybody's watching that at the same time, or you've got another device, if they
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break any news, can you let me know in the comments? Here's what I anticipate. There are
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suspicious things that we don't know about. Here's another video of a suspicious thing we
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don't understand. Here's some reports of some pilots who saw some suspicious things we don't
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understand. It's always going to be the same. Don't you wish one day they'd just say,
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well, I know we weren't planning to do this, but I'll open up my suitcase and here's Mazorba,
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the alien that we just captured. Here he is. Here he is. Everybody take a look. Captured
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alien. Right here. All right. All right. Put him back in the bag. Sorry. We got taken back
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to Area 52 or whatever it is. Don't you just want to see one day they actually come through
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with some real alien stuff? Give us some alien stuff. But you know why we won't see it today?
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There's a very good reason you will not see a UFO, you know, news breaking big situation. Why?
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Why will it not happen today? Because there's no story they're trying to divert you from.
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As soon as there's a big story that's bad for Democrats, oh, there's going to be a UFO story.
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Let me tell you, there's going to be the UFO story of all UFO stories. They're going to produce
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actually a family of UFOs with like children and the UFOs will have their own pet. You know,
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there's going to be like the full spaceship. You're going to get a tour of it. Yeah, that'll be the
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day that we find proof that Joe Biden was taking bribes. Full, full UFO. We're just waiting.
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All right. Not really, but it feels like that. Wall Street Journal is reporting on the ongoing
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decoupling of business from China. A couple of facts I thought weren't interesting. Did you know
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that 31% of global manufacturing happens in China? Nearly a third of all manufacturing
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relevant to the entire world happens in China. Now, I knew it was a lot, but when you hear the actual
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number, it's kind of scary. You thought it was 32%. Well, you fool. You fool. A lot of people thought
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it was 32%. Fools. It's 31%. My God, how could you be so off? But the news is talking about the difficulty
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of companies finding alternatives. So the situation is there's no company that really loves being in
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China because of the risk. You know, the risk of data privacy, the risk of going to jail, I suppose,
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the risk of war, the risk of boycotts, all that stuff. So there's no company who wants to be in China.
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They just don't have options. So even Musk is saying that decoupling from China doesn't make sense.
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But I would like to add this nuance to it. Decoupling is not yes or no. Who thought that? It's not, you know,
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binary. We decouple or we don't decouple. It's very obvious that some things you can decouple and some things
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you can't. Tesla is probably a perfect example of something that can't be decoupled. Because there really
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isn't any place else to get the stuff done that they need to get done. So I don't mind that so much. I don't mind
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that so much. People, I think business needs to do what business needs to do. And they need to look for
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alternatives, which do not exist. So apparently Vietnam is already full. You know, everybody
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who thought they were going to move their manufacturing to Vietnam, good luck. All the
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buildings are rented. You know, basically the industrial capacity just filled up immediately
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because people were looking for alternatives. Now that's going to be the same thing for, you know,
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India, et cetera. They're all probably just smashed. But I'll say it for the millionth time.
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We should be, we should have a long-term plan to convert the cartels into something like a
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manufacturing base. Because the alternative is they're going to go away. And I think somebody
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like a Trump, somebody like a, you know, Ramaswamy, somebody who's going to be tough on the drug
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business, I think they could just say, here's your two choices. Work with us productively to turn you
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into a, you know, legal business of some form where you can be useful. And basically we'll let you
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repatriate into something like a useful citizen in Mexico. And we'll all win. There is a way everybody
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wins. It just would take somebody like a, you know, a real maverick personality to get all those
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people to actually move in the same direction. I do think it's possible though.
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So, what else? So I guess Trump went after Kayleigh McEnany today, which disturbed a lot of people
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because Kayleigh McEnany is super popular. Is there anybody who doesn't like Kayleigh McEnany? Who's,
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let's say, people who like anybody on the right? She's probably, she's probably the most popular
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person in politics on the right. Name one person who's more popular than her. Like, it's weird.
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So anyway, once again, Trump does something that you wouldn't do. But may I remind you that you
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didn't become president. So let me just point this out. It needs to be said. Trump does a lot of things
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you wouldn't do. It made him president of the United States. Now he's doing more things than you
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definitely wouldn't do. It looks like a terrible idea. The net result will probably be president of
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the United States again. So you have to be really humble when you criticize Trump for doing something
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you wouldn't do. Do you get that? It's hard for me to be humble. I mean, it's really hard to work.
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I have to put all of my energy into it. Be humble. Be humble. Can't do it. But I can do it in this
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case a little bit. My first reaction is the same as Dave Rubin. I saw him tweeting on it. My first
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reaction is the same as yours, probably. Well, that's a terrible idea. That's like the worst idea I've
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ever seen. Publicly going after Kayleigh McEnany, who was a, you know, a loyal supporter of his
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administration just because she might be a little bit too pro DeSantis or even just balanced. You
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know, maybe her new job requires her to be balanced and that's not a good look. Well, here's the
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argument for why it might be a good idea that looks like a bad idea to every one of us. You're ready for
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this? And I want to remind you, it's not going to be my job to defend Trump for everything he does.
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But I do think explaining him is useful. Would you agree? If you don't take it as defending,
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I'm going to just talk about everybody's pros and cons. Because in terms of support, I'm just going
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to support whoever's the toughest on fentanyl. I'm a single issue voter. But let me talk about
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everybody. All right. So here's the argument for Trump going hard at McElhinney when nobody in the
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world thinks that's a good idea. It goes like this. Trump creates a pattern in which if you do what
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he wants, he will praise you and help you and, you know, you're definitely on his good side. But
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you're not just on his good side. You're really on his good side. He might, you know, promote your book.
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You know, if you have a book, he's going to tweet it. But if you're against him, you're really against
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him. So he doesn't do the nuance thing. It's like, oh, you're a good person, but we disagree on the
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policies. You're either a superstar or you're dead. Right? So the Trump world, there are superstars,
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people who support him, and then you're just dead to me. Nothing in between. That is super,
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super good persuasion. I've even described the most persuasive person I ever worked with
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who did exactly the same thing. She became the model for the Alice character in the Dilbert comic.
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And what she did at work, because I worked with her, she was a real person, still is a real person.
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If somebody helped her out, let's say she asked somebody in a different department to
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do something, and they actually did it, she would buy them flowers, like come to work with
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flowers, just for doing their job, just for doing something she wanted. She would then take
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the opportunity to talk to that person's boss, that was usually not her own boss, but a different
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boss, to tell them what a superstar he had, or she. Oh my God, your employee, this one
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employee, that's your best employee. Man, have you thought about a promotion or a raise?
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Man, that one employee is just killing it. Now that's what you would get if you did what
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she asked you to do for her benefit, for her job. What would happen if you didn't?
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If you didn't, she would actually try to get you fired. There was nothing in between.
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You were either helping her, which made you a superstar, or she would actually go to your
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boss and say, you know, you should consider replacing this person, because every time I
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ask for something, they can't get it done. Now remember, this wasn't a manager. This was
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just a rank and file engineer. And this one engineer had insane power over the entire structure,
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because everybody knew there was only one person in the game who could either make their career
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or end it. And it was a co-worker. It wasn't a boss. It was a co-worker. And she carved out
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that special, like, you know, control in a way that was very impressive to me. And she became
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the model for the Alice character. You know, a strong-willed engineer who is a woman who just
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isn't going to take any shit from anybody ever. That was her. So Trump uses that same
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model. There's nothing in between. So if you're thinking of being in between, you better get
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off the fence, because the fence is a dangerous place to be in the world of Trump. You just
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better be on his side. Now here's a question for you. You know, I've gone from more, let's
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say, complete Trump support to being completely willing to think he would be the best choice
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if he gets the nomination. But my first choice would be somebody younger. It's time for somebody
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younger. Do you think I'm going to be targeted? Do you think Trump will come after me? Probably
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not. Probably not. Because here's what I probably won't do. What I probably won't do is come up
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with some bogus attack on Trump that doesn't make sense. If I did that, I'd probably get
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attacked. But I'm just going to talk about what he does well, and what other people do
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well, and what the other side does well. We'll just see who does well. And if somebody does
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poorly, we'll call that down as well. All right. Saw a tweet by Mehdi Yakubi about the high rate
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of depression in men. And this data is mind-blowing, but completely believable. So I'm going to
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tell you things that will make your head explode, but in my opinion, it looks about right, unfortunately.
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40% of all men showed depressive symptoms. 40% of all men. 44% of all men had thoughts of suicide
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in the prior two weeks, with younger men showing the highest rates. 44% of all men thought about
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killing themselves in the last two weeks. 44% of all men thought about killing themselves
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in the last two weeks. That's almost impossible to hold it in your head, isn't it? There are
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some statistics that are so upsetting that it's just hard to hold it in your head. It just hurts.
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How about 40% of all men say they trust one or more, quote, men's rights, anti-feminist,
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or pro-violence voices from the, quote, manosphere. So that would be like a, you know, Andrew Tate
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sort of person. So 40% of men are drawn to something like an Andrew Tate. And nearly half of younger
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men say they trust such voices. Do you know why they trust those voices? Why do they trust
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people like Andrew Tate? Because he's not lying to them. Now, just to be clear, I'm not a fan
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of Andrew Tate. I hate him personally, but for personal reasons. It is, however, true that
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what makes him popular is that he says things that are true that you're not supposed to say
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out loud. And men recognize it as true. So half of all young men are finding some honesty,
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honesty. And apparently they're drawn to it. They're drawn to honesty. Men aged 18 to 23 have
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the least optimism for their futures and the lowest levels of social support. I wonder if
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that was always the case. I feel like 18 to 23 year olds are always lost. I don't know if
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that's different. 65% of men aged 18 to 23 say that, quote, no one really knows me well.
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Two thirds of all men don't have a friend. Just hold that in your head for a minute. Two thirds of all
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men, I'm sorry, between 18 and 23, say that no one really knows me well. They don't have any
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friends. Is that because of the digital world? Like what causes that? Or has it always been
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true? We just didn't know it. So I'm going to leave you with this one thought. Imagine if men
00:22:22.160
actually were not trained to lie about their opinions and feelings. Do you know how big of a
00:22:29.440
problem that is? That men have been trained to lie about their opinions and their feelings? Just lie
00:22:36.840
about everything. Because nobody wants to hear a man complain about themselves. Nobody wants to hear a
00:22:44.240
man complain about themselves. We are very tolerant of women and children complaining because we think,
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oh, if I know what's wrong, maybe I can fix it. So men are very, very accepting of other people's
00:22:59.040
problems because sometimes we feel that's our role in life, is to go solve those problems. So of course
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we need to know about them. Then we go solve them. But who solves men's problems? Nobody. Nobody gives a
00:23:13.960
shit. So if men complained, what good would it do? Nobody's going to come solve their problem.
00:23:19.140
It just makes them look weak and adds to their problems. So when men complain, it makes their
00:23:25.940
problems worse. Because nobody's going to help, but they'll think you're a wimp. If women complain,
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men say, well, that's a perfectly reasonable thing to do, or a kindred complains, you go solve that
00:23:39.420
problem. Help them out. So I don't know where the breaking point is, but men, the category of men
00:23:48.020
is completely broken. Would you agree? Yeah, the whole category of men is just broken. Now, maybe
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that's true of everybody. Maybe it's true of women. I just don't have as much of a window into that
00:24:03.280
world. But yeah, the life of men is just completely shit. All right, here's a question.
00:24:10.820
Geraldo is pushing the idea that the Democrats should offer, I guess Biden, a pardon or some
00:24:20.600
kind of clemency for Trump for anything he may have done or didn't do, and in return for him not
00:24:28.040
running for president. What do you think of Geraldo's plan? That Trump gets a full pardon
00:24:34.580
for anything imagined or actual, and in return he agrees to not run for president. Now, Geraldo
00:24:42.540
is Trump's friend. Imagine if it wasn't his friend. So we can assume that Trump might be tough
00:24:52.540
on Geraldo for making such a suggestion. I don't, I would say that's not something that's going to
00:24:59.600
happen, but it would be funny for Biden to offer it. I hate to say it. If it were reversed,
00:25:11.080
I would probably recommend that Trump offered it because it makes the other side look guilty.
00:25:17.320
Am I right? You offer pardons to people because you assume they're guilty. You don't give a pardon
00:25:25.280
to somebody who's not guilty. What would be the point of that? So if Biden were to offer
00:25:30.560
Trump full pardons for everything, even if Trump rejected the deal, it would send the signal that
00:25:39.320
he's guilty. So in terms of a persuasion play, it's pretty good. But I don't know why Geraldo's
00:25:45.640
recommending a persuasion play for the Democrats. I'm not sure what that's about. Especially
00:25:55.080
since it's not going to happen. All it would be is a persuasion play. All right, I'm going
00:25:59.420
to call out the Daily Caller for fake news today. They reported that Target and Bud Light have
00:26:06.580
lost a whopping $28 billion combined amid marketing decisions about transgender stuff. Do you think
00:26:15.080
that's true? Do you think Target and Light have lost $28 billion? On paper? Do you think
00:26:22.900
they lost it on paper? No, nothing like that has happened. Nope. Nothing like that has happened.
00:26:31.920
There are no losses. Yeah. Do you know what percent of Anheuser-Busch, let's see if you're up to date
00:26:39.160
on this news. If you're reading the news about the boycotts, there's one number you need to know
00:26:44.660
to understand the Anheuser-Busch Bud Light situation. Just one number. What percentage of Anheuser-Busch's
00:26:52.720
total sales was Bud Light at its height, at its best day? What percentage of total sales?
00:27:00.100
Tell me in the comments. I want to show you if you understand the news. I'm going to read
00:27:09.300
out some of your answers. They go from 1% to 25%. So this isn't one of those joke ones where
00:27:15.600
I go 25. So forget about the 25. That's not where I'm going with this one. Yeah, the answer
00:27:21.860
is 1%. Now, so of the total Anheuser-Busch, only 1% was Bud Light. And how much did the,
00:27:30.080
Bud Light go down in sales? About 25%, something like that, 27%. So it's 0.27%, right? It's maybe
00:27:44.760
a quarter of 1% is the full risk. Now, in the context of that 1% going down a little bit
00:27:53.920
further than 1%. The other business of Anheuser-Busch was stronger. So Anheuser-Busch's profits went
00:28:02.140
up. They just didn't go up, just not quite as much as they could have if there had been
00:28:09.220
no boycott. Anheuser-Busch basically didn't even bat an eye. There's like no difference at
00:28:15.880
all. Now, their stock is temporarily down. How much did that cost Budweiser or Anheuser-Busch,
00:28:22.540
that their stock went down? They don't own that stock. They don't own the stock. The investors
00:28:31.440
own the stock. You and I, I own the stock. Because I own a, well, no, I don't. I own an index fund,
00:28:37.700
but if it had been in there, I would own it. It's a foreign company, right? So I don't own that in my
00:28:43.920
Fortune 500. So, right? It's a German company? Or is it another? What is the nationality? It's Belgium?
00:28:54.980
Belgium. All right. Why is it Belgium? That's so weird. All right. There's a reason that
00:29:04.780
Belgium is funny that you don't know on the YouTube link, but the people on Locals know
00:29:12.120
that there's a backstory with a Belgian. It has to do with a comic that's upcoming. Anyway,
00:29:17.620
well, I'll tell you, I'll tell you since I've been so bad. In the Dilbert Reborn comic that you can
00:29:26.440
only see by subscription now, Dave the Engineer will be asked to be the head of DEI, and he's going
00:29:34.220
to add diversity by hiring a Belgian, which will be not the right answer. So that's upcoming. There'll be
00:29:45.520
a comic on that coming up. Anyway, so here's what will likely happen. Anheuser-Busch, their stock
00:29:54.280
probably went down, and do you know what's going to happen next? It will float back up. The stock price
00:30:02.380
follows profits. In the long run, always, right? That's just a rule. So if your company has a certain
00:30:12.360
level of profitability, your value of your company's stock is going to only trade within a narrow range.
00:30:21.160
And that's not going to change unless your profitability changes wildly at the same time.
00:30:26.200
So Anheuser-Busch's profitability stayed exactly the same, but their stock took a dump.
00:30:32.220
What is going to happen next? Only one thing. If the profits stay where they are, or even increase
00:30:41.320
as they have been, the stock will drift back to where it was. There's nothing else that can happen
00:30:47.860
because the free market will just guarantee it. In the short run, people will make investment
00:30:54.140
decisions with emotion. So the emotion drives the stock down. Oh, I don't want to be associated
00:31:00.320
with that company. But in the long run, other people will say, well, that looks cheap, and I don't
00:31:05.820
care about that issue at all. Right? So in the long run, people will bid it back up. Now, I did see that
00:31:12.900
their P.E. ratio looked a little high. If you're not an investor, a P.E. ratio is the profits to earnings
00:31:23.720
ratio. If it's above 15, then typically it's not the best idea to buy that stock unless it's a real
00:31:31.780
fast-growing company. If it's a normal company like Anheuser-Busch, a price-earnings ratio of 15,
00:31:38.740
15, that's about, it's telling you that the stock price is where it belongs. Anheuser-Busch,
00:31:46.700
I believe, is at 22. So it's actually still an expensive stock. So some part of why the stock
00:31:54.100
might have gone down is because it was going to go down anyway, and it just gave people a little
00:31:59.700
more visibility on it, so it happened faster. I'm seeing 17 and 14. Oh, is it 17 now?
00:32:09.540
I literally just looked it up. I mean, right before I came on, I looked it up, it was 22.
00:32:15.660
Or was it? Maybe I looked at it. Oh, I might have been looking at a different company. Never mind.
00:32:19.400
I looked at two different companies. Never mind. But anyway, the point stays the same.
00:32:24.760
That 17 would tell you the stock is about where it belongs. 17, 15, that's pretty close.
00:32:31.540
At 22, it would tell you it's overpriced. And at 8, it would tell you it's a bargain if everything
00:32:37.820
else was going well. All right. And I believe that the Daily Caller is feeding a narrative
00:32:46.920
by reporting it this way. The narrative is these boycotts are working, and people on the right
00:32:52.900
are finally getting their power. And a little bit of that's true. That's certainly true. But when
00:32:59.320
you say that your combined impact was $28 billion in losses, nothing like that happened. The actual
00:33:07.080
number was closer to zero, but reported as $28 billion. Now, do you think there's any reason
00:33:15.180
that Target's stock price would go down? Can you think of anything that's happening at
00:33:21.020
the same time that would make Target's price go down unrelated to any trans stuff? Yes.
00:33:29.440
It's what basically wiped out Alta the other day. Didn't wipe it out, but their stock price
00:33:34.240
took a big crap because of retail theft. So Target has the same problem, massive retail theft.
00:33:42.240
Having an investment in any retailer that doesn't have a solution to retail theft is just a bad
00:33:51.160
idea. Now, I don't give you investment advice, right? Don't take my investment advice, because
00:33:57.980
there are lots of variables that might, you know, change things. But one variable that's
00:34:02.760
really worrying is they have no solution to retail theft, and that would wipe them out of
00:34:08.500
business. So Target has an existential threat with no solution, as do all retail stores right
00:34:16.640
now. An existential threat, no solution. I don't know why you'd own that stock. And I
00:34:23.680
was an idiot for buying some Alta because I thought it would do well after the pandemic.
00:34:28.540
Instead, the shoplifting just took them out. Yeah, it's not theft, it's borrowing. All
00:34:36.680
right, here's potentially good news. Brian Rommel reports that there's a kind of a metal
00:34:43.420
called vanadium, which is fairly common. And apparently it can be used for a new kind of
00:34:50.060
battery that can store large amounts of energy almost indefinitely. And it's the 22nd most abundant
00:34:57.160
element in Earth. Now, this is like many stories that we've heard lately. Oh, there's a new element
00:35:03.200
and a new way of making a battery. If you look at any one of these stories, the odds of them being the
00:35:09.840
big thing are small, right? Any one story. But there are a bunch of them. There are a bunch of, you know,
00:35:16.660
startups making a new battery and new discoveries. So the odds of major, major improvements in battery
00:35:24.120
are close to 100 percent. Probably 100 percent. You just don't know which specific companies will
00:35:30.440
be the winners. It isn't expandable. Well, I think that everything around batteries is likely to improve
00:35:39.260
and probably a lot and not and not in very long. So and then Brian points out that if you connect
00:35:48.840
these batteries to a sterling engine, you've got unlimited free energy. Now, the sterling engine
00:35:54.720
is something that creates electricity whenever there's a difference in temperature in two things
00:36:00.560
that are somewhat near together. So you can dig a hole and it will be a different temperature at the
00:36:06.120
bottom of the hole than it would be above ground. And you just connect them with some wires and you can
00:36:11.740
make permanent free electricity. Now, a sterling engine doesn't create a ton of electricity from that
00:36:18.740
differential. The greater the differential, the more the electricity. But you could put do stuff
00:36:25.500
like put mirrors and, you know, ways to capture and accentuate the heat above the ground while
00:36:31.260
below the ground stays 56 degrees. So the engines are noisy. Yeah, maybe. So if you want to look up
00:36:41.160
a sterling engine, it's a real fun rabbit hole. I've spent lots of time looking at them. So it's sterling
00:36:46.540
spelled S-T-I-R-L-I-N-G. Sterling. Named after the inventor. All right, so that's happening. Maybe.
00:36:57.780
There was a story about, there was a fertility doctor who was accused of using his own sperm
00:37:03.300
to impregnate several patients. So that was the story. Dr. Morris Wartman, he was using his own sperm
00:37:13.100
on his patients. Well, the story is that he died in a private plane crash. And the story says it was a
00:37:20.200
it was a homemade plane. Or, you know, it wasn't a factory produced plane. So some some people build
00:37:28.080
their own planes from kits. So it was an experimental aircraft. And it went down when, quote, the preliminary
00:37:36.820
findings indicate that, quote, the wings of the aircraft became detached from the fuselage.
00:37:50.200
Now, I'm no expert on building airplanes from a kit. No expert at all. But I was married to a pilot.
00:37:58.880
And so I learned some things by osmosis, just being rounded. One of the things that a pilot does
00:38:04.860
before every flight with his small planes, is they walk around and check the bolts. Did you know that?
00:38:13.280
That's every time. Every time you fly. No exceptions. You walk around your own plane, if you're the pilot,
00:38:20.580
and you literally check all the bolts, make sure nothing came loose. Now, we assume that maybe that
00:38:28.720
didn't happen. I don't know. Maybe it didn't happen. Didn't do the check. But I would say in the business
00:38:35.600
of building an airplane, there's almost nothing more important than attaching the wings to the fuselage.
00:38:42.960
You could think of a lot of things that could go wrong in the construction of your experimental
00:38:48.580
aircraft. But nothing would be quite at the level of, hey, Bob, did you remember to attach the wings
00:38:57.780
to the fuselage? Or are they just kind of stuck together temporarily? Well, I didn't know I had to attach
00:39:04.020
them. I thought they were tearaway. So it was up there. And I'm trying to imagine the, like, what was going
00:39:15.280
through their heads? Imagine being up in the air and your wings fall off. And you're, now you're just
00:39:23.100
a fuselage. You're just a fuselage. And you're like, well, looking at my options, not so good. It's like
00:39:34.700
the knight in Monty Python. You know, loses his arms and legs. So that was probably a bad day.
00:39:44.080
But I have a special fear of dying in a way that looks like my own fault and knowing it before it
00:39:51.940
happens. So while the entire thing is a tragedy, you know, there were deaths, there were two people who
00:39:58.400
died. So that's a tragedy. We can't lose sight of that. But from the time that the wings fell off
00:40:05.420
to the time that they hit the ground, they not only had to be, you know, experiencing the terror of the
00:40:13.100
situation itself, but whoever was in charge of building this thing is thinking, I knew I should
00:40:19.860
have attached those. I thought about it. I thought, attach the wings. And then I just got, I got
00:40:28.080
distracted. Yeah, it would feel very bad as you're plunging to your death. Now, let me give you a story
00:40:38.060
of small aircraft danger. So when my ex-wife was learning to fly, one of her flights was with an
00:40:48.600
instructor who had been a military pilot. So the military pilots have, you know, real good training
00:40:55.200
for emergency everything. So they get up in the air and they're, you know, maximum height and they lose
00:41:02.840
their engine. They just lose their engine. And they're like, I don't know, a mile in the air with no
00:41:12.780
engine. And it's not going to come back. So the, I don't know if the, I imagine the instructor wasn't
00:41:22.200
flying until the problem happened. I think he took over when the problem happened. And, but they weren't
00:41:26.740
too far from the airport. So they, they just taken off from a small airport. So there, there was plenty
00:41:33.460
of, plenty of time to glide back to the airport because they had just taken off. And for the small
00:41:39.540
planes, you know, they do learn how to glide them back. So it wouldn't be that much of a problem.
00:41:46.080
Scary as hell. But for an experienced pilot who's right above the airport, and it's a small airport,
00:41:51.860
so they can just tell everybody to chill for like 20 minutes. You can just tell everybody to chill.
00:41:58.300
And then, you know, you just do your landing. Except the pilot says, um, the guy who owns the plane,
00:42:05.280
who was the head of the flight school, he's going to be really pissed if we don't get this home.
00:42:10.880
Because if you leave your broken airplane at another airport, it's just harder to get it fixed.
00:42:15.980
Right? So he's like, I think we should glide to the other airport 12 miles away.
00:42:23.180
And my ex-wife said, all right. He glided 12 miles to the other airport, the home airport,
00:42:35.860
landed perfectly. No problem at all. It wasn't even hard. He was a very good pilot. He just glided 12
00:42:45.860
miles, took it in. First try. Yeah, that's pretty baller. Now, if you ever have a plane,
00:42:53.160
have a chance to be the spouse of somebody who is learning to fly a small aircraft, good luck.
00:43:01.980
Good luck. Because I heard that kind of story more than once. That wasn't the one time something
00:43:08.160
bad happened in the air. Wasn't the one time. So yeah, that's scary stuff. All right. Well,
00:43:16.620
apparently the doctor built that airplane by hand and he did a lot of bad things by hand.
00:43:27.520
I'm just going to leave it right there. Trump said he would sign an executive order to end
00:43:33.980
birthright citizenship should he become president again. Now you're going to say to yourself,
00:43:40.120
Scott, Scott, Scott, Scott. He can't do that. It's in the Constitution. The Constitution gives birthright
00:43:48.400
citizenship. If you're born here, you're a citizen, period. And there's no way that the president can
00:43:55.260
change that with just some executive order. Or is there? Or is there? The executive orders,
00:44:03.720
the way they work is they alter the interpretation of existing laws and constitutional stuff. And
00:44:13.960
apparently there is a, not a terrible argument that the original 14th Amendment had a specific
00:44:22.480
purpose, which was the children of slaves. So they wanted to make, correct me if I'm wrong. I believe
00:44:29.280
the idea was that the children of slaves would be guaranteed citizenship, which is weird that that
00:44:36.240
was ever a question, which is amazing to me. But, and then it got extended, you know, it got,
00:44:43.180
you know, generalized and used for everybody after that. But the argument would be that the executive
00:44:48.600
order would do nothing but interpret the Constitution in a more original way,
00:44:55.160
more original interpretation. Now, it might survive the challenge in the Supreme Court,
00:45:04.080
and it might not, but it's not a terrible idea. Not a terrible idea, if that's what you want
00:45:10.020
it to do, you know, in terms of is it legal enough? It might be. It might be. It'd be an
00:45:15.740
interesting challenge. I don't know who would win on that. All right, I've got a question for you
00:45:20.940
that, because I see so many videos of people getting beaten up online. Did you see the video
00:45:26.980
of the Marines who were surrounded by the teenagers, and the teenagers were beating them up on the beach?
00:45:33.520
And the Marines were curled up in fetal positions, and they were just taking the beatings. And you've
00:45:41.820
probably seen a lot of, especially school beatings, where the student who's the victim will
00:45:46.740
just curl up and just take the beating. And it just goes on and on, what seems like forever.
00:45:52.460
But they don't fight back. You know, once they get in that fetal position, they just stay there.
00:45:57.560
And even when they're being punched in the head and kicked in the head, they just stay there.
00:46:01.680
And I have this question. Is that your best strategy? Because I can't imagine doing it.
00:46:10.080
Like, my brain can't even process that. If I got hit, I would lose all control. I don't know how you
00:46:20.540
work, but if somebody hits me with the intention of hurting me, and then they keep doing it,
00:46:25.960
my entire consciousness would flip off. I would turn into an animal. I wouldn't care about any
00:46:34.240
amount of hurt. I would go into full attack mode. I would go for the eyes, the throat, the balls.
00:46:41.880
I would look for a weapon, and I would look to end them as quickly as possible. And I can't even
00:46:46.720
imagine crawling up and letting somebody beat me. But as I watch them, I note they all survive.
00:46:55.300
It seems like they have a very high survival rate. And so I wonder if the Marines were doing
00:47:00.120
exactly the right thing, knowing that they could have hurt, you know, the Marines, if they had gotten
00:47:05.020
up, the people beating them were smaller. Like, one-on-one, those Marines could have probably killed
00:47:12.480
two or three teenagers before they got overwhelmed. But they didn't. They took the beating.
00:47:21.040
And it makes me wonder if there's some training. Is there any kind of official training that tells
00:47:25.360
you had to deal with a crowd-beating situation? Because I would go to my death. Like, I wouldn't
00:47:33.040
even hesitate. I would say, all right, we're going to die now. Somebody's going to die. It
00:47:37.220
could be me. It could be you. But somebody's dying. There's definitely going to be some dying
00:47:40.840
happening. It might be you. It might be me. But we're not leaving here until somebody's dead.
00:47:46.920
I mean, that's how I would feel. For a bear attack, they're taught to be tortured and
00:47:58.140
survive. Yeah. It would probably be me. It probably would be. Yeah. I'm not saying, it depends
00:48:07.820
who. If it were teenagers, if teenagers attacked me, I would try to kill one of them. So the
00:48:15.820
others would pause. I'd probably pick the weakest one and just try to actually kill them as fast
00:48:22.100
as possible. Wouldn't you? I think if you kill one, it just changes the dynamic. So you've got
00:48:29.840
to kill one right away. That's what I would have done. All right. But don't take my advice on that
00:48:38.500
either. Rasmussen has a poll of what Americans think about who's winning in Ukraine. And only
00:48:50.380
17% of likely U.S. voters believe Russia is winning. 17% think Russia is winning. Does that
00:48:58.680
seem low? Does that seem like an opinion that people came to on their own? Or does that seem
00:49:07.980
like the media told them that Russia can't win? I feel like the media is telling people that Ukraine
00:49:14.800
is doing great and the opinions are just being accepted by the public. Because I can't even imagine
00:49:22.640
that the public on their own just looked at the situation and only 17% of them thought that Russia
00:49:31.640
is winning. Does that sound right? Well, let's see. 25% think Ukraine is winning. So I guess
00:49:45.240
most people think nobody's winning. 43% of voters believe it would be better for American interests
00:49:54.660
if Ukraine keeps fighting until the Russian invasion is completely defeated. Now that's
00:50:01.760
scary. 43% think we're better off pushing the war as far as possible. 42% think we'd better
00:50:13.520
be better to negotiate. Now, I tweeted this and it got a good response. The Ukraine situation
00:50:23.560
is not a war anymore. At one point it was a war. At this point, it's not a war, in my opinion,
00:50:31.900
because my definition of a war would be that at least one side has a reasonable expectation
00:50:38.260
of winning, whatever that looks like, you know, winning something. But we don't have
00:50:43.700
that. We have two sides who are in a conflict. Neither side can win. I think they both know
00:50:50.480
that. So this is a negotiation. It's a violent negotiation. And as soon as you see it like
00:50:59.700
that, it does change how you feel about it. Because the whole who's going to win, who's going
00:51:04.760
to take over more territory, appears to be settled. It appears to be settled. There might
00:51:09.580
be some, you know, minor border changes from now. But basically, Ukraine's going to be
00:51:14.460
there. And basically, Russia will still exist, too, when it's all done. So I think that all
00:51:21.900
it is is a negotiation, that they're trying to get the best position, hurt the other one
00:51:27.540
as much as possible, so that when there's finally a Republican president who can end it, whether
00:51:33.760
it's Trump or someone else, that they'll negotiate, you know, their best deal they can get. And
00:51:39.660
then somebody said to me online, Scott, Scott, Scott, how could Trump or anybody else, you
00:51:46.320
know, cause them to negotiate? How can anybody force them to do it? To which I say, easily.
00:51:55.500
Easily. You just threaten both of them with extraordinary pain. It's the way you get anything done.
00:52:01.460
You say, look, we're going to turn off both of you. We're going to shut down the Russian
00:52:07.280
economy if you keep fighting. And we're going to starve Ukraine of resources. So if you both
00:52:13.300
want to go down, you're now both our enemies. So we will now be the enemy of both Ukraine and
00:52:18.400
Russia. But it's to the death. So if that's what you want, go ahead. But or you could just
00:52:23.080
negotiate. Or you could negotiate. You can either have the United States enter the war against
00:52:29.580
both of you, because we're not going to put up with any more, or negotiate. And then suddenly
00:52:36.300
what makes sense? Half squat. What's a half squat? Yeah. The attacking of Moscow, I think,
00:52:48.800
is good strategy. Because the Moscow people need to be awakened to the fact that, you know,
00:52:56.020
that the danger could come to their doorstep if things get out of control. So I think that's
00:53:01.660
good negotiating. I don't, of course, I'm not in favor of attacking any residential areas.
00:53:10.240
You're fatalistic today? Or am I realistic? Fatalistic in the sense that I think the war will end
00:53:17.540
in a negotiated way. That's sort of the opposite of fatalistic. Andrew, never give Scott Adams any
00:53:25.120
real power. You don't think I have real power? It's a little too late for that. But good luck.
00:53:37.340
So there's more rumors that Purgosian, the head of the Wagner group, might want to take over Russia
00:53:50.260
and take over Putin. And when asked about it, Purgosian said, his army isn't that powerful.
00:53:59.540
Just hold that in your brain. When Purgosian was asked, do you intend to try to take over the
00:54:07.100
whole country? He said, my army isn't that powerful. That's a yes. That is a yes. He does want to take
00:54:20.160
over the country. But he's also being very clear that it could not be done by militarily beating the
00:54:27.780
Russian military. However, that wouldn't be the way you do it. That wouldn't be the smart way to
00:54:34.760
even do it. The smart way is to become more of a symbol of success than Putin is. So if Putin can
00:54:42.560
look like a failure, at the same time Purgosian is looking stronger, he could possibly bribe some
00:54:49.640
inner circle people to join his team. If I were Purgosian, here's how I would take Putin out.
00:54:55.680
Okay, I can't get anywhere near his inner circle, because he's got, you know, he's got his loyal
00:55:01.540
guards all around. So you find the head of his loyal guards. You say, hey, Igor, I know you're loyal
00:55:10.240
to this guy, but he's going down. And if you'll allow me to give you a billion dollars to stand out of
00:55:18.400
way and stand down, you'll be in good shape after I take over. I don't know. I think you
00:55:26.740
bribe some people, you murder some people, you threaten some people, you use PR, and maybe you
00:55:32.940
find a way to poison Putin. You know, I feel like there are a variety of ways that Purgosian
00:55:39.280
might be entertaining. I'm seeing somebody who believes something that Andrew Tate said.
00:55:49.920
If you believe anything that Andrew Tate said about that situation, you need to check your
00:55:57.920
assumptions. All right. Try the same technique on the mob of teenagers, bribery. Oh, let me give
00:56:13.020
you a hypnosis tip in case a crowd threatens you. You ready for this? Let's say multiple people
00:56:21.180
surround you. Not the biggest crowd in the world, but let's say it's a crowd of five people.
00:56:27.920
So let's say five people against you. And, you know, first they're talking, but you know they're
00:56:34.240
surrounding you and they're going to beat the crap out of you. Here's what I would try. I don't know
00:56:39.200
that this would work, but here's what I would try. Which one of you is in charge? That's what I'd say.
00:56:48.200
Which one of you is in charge? Do you know why? It changes their frame. If their frame is,
00:56:56.300
we're going to beat the shit out of you, and you change it to who's in charge, suddenly you've created
00:57:02.500
some infighting because they hadn't thought of it that way. Well, I don't know. Who's in charge? And
00:57:07.900
you say, I just want to talk to who's in charge. And then if they won't tell you who's in charge, you
00:57:12.820
pick one. You pick the big one. You say, you look like you're in charge. Am I right?
00:57:18.540
And what you say is, you can beat me up. There's nothing I can do about it. But I'd like to talk
00:57:27.840
to who's in charge. It would just change the frame. Now, I don't know if that would save you,
00:57:34.240
but it's the first thing I'd try. Try changing the frame to a conversation of you with whoever's in
00:57:40.540
charge. Just try it. It's better than whatever you were going to do. I'm seeing somebody challenge
00:57:51.640
me to be as man, man enough as Andrew Tate. If only I could be like your role model, Andrew
00:58:01.640
Tate. If only. If only I could be more like him. My life would be complete.
00:58:10.460
All right. Hey, I want to talk to the manager. The Karen defense. Exactly. How to persuade the
00:58:17.260
one in charge. Well, here's what you do. If you can persuade the one in charge or make
00:58:23.260
one think that they're in charge, then they feel good about being in charge. And that will
00:58:29.480
replace the dopamine that they were going to get by punching you to death. If you can
00:58:33.960
get them to accept that they're in charge, you might get them to accept that they can
00:58:38.500
prove it by telling the others not to beat you up. So basically, you want to move them
00:58:44.560
to the question of who's in charge and is that person going to stop the fighting from the unambiguous,
00:58:51.360
yes, yeah, we're about to kill you now. Tate says roll with lots of friends. How'd that
00:59:04.460
work out? Where are all Tate's friends right now? Trying to get them out of jail?
00:59:09.600
All right. That is what I've got for you for today. I believe it was entertaining and
00:59:24.200
not as good as the UFOs. Did anybody check on the UFOs yet? Breaking news, NASA confirms interaction
00:59:32.980
with a spacecraft. No way. No way. That can't be true. So let me see if I can find an update
00:59:48.420
on that. Who would have that? Does anybody see an update on the UFOs? It's on CNN?
01:00:02.980
All right. Tennis champ engaged to a fan who asked for a selfie during the U.S. Open. Wow.
01:00:15.220
That's one way to get married. Ask for a selfie. All right. I'm guessing that the UFO thing
01:00:23.940
is a bunch of nothing. Yeah, I don't believe there's any aliens. But here's my
01:00:32.820
current view. If you want to check my prediction. My prediction is we will not discover any living
01:00:41.160
aliens. But it might be true that there are things flying through the air that are automated.
01:00:47.260
So there might be some kind of robotic thing going on. And it might be from an earlier civilization
01:00:53.760
of Earthlings or some other planet or some other civilization we don't know about. But I don't
01:01:00.080
think there are any... And part of that is because if the things they say are spaceships are really
01:01:06.020
spaceships, and if they're moving at like 20 Gs or whatever it is, there wouldn't be any living
01:01:13.740
thing in there. They could be ancient Egyptian flying vehicles from inside the moon. Digital UFOs.
01:01:29.740
Could they be silicon-based life forms? Oh, they could have AI. Oh, how about that? What if the ships
01:01:41.220
do have AI and it's sentient that would be able to withstand any amount of Gs? No, that could
01:01:50.080
be. Maybe it's a digital AI. It's possible. You have a brother who trusts Adam Schiff? You should
01:02:10.160
get away from that, brother. Would I go to Mars? Nope. Under no scenario.
01:02:35.060
Oh, private insurance won't cover plants? No, that's not a good argument.
01:02:39.300
The head of the Pentagon's newly formed has said the existence of intelligence in the
01:02:44.300
aliens has not been ruled out. Oh, but no evidence. Okay.
01:02:58.160
Would you go to space? I doubt it. You need to do more research.
01:03:16.840
Hey, John, what is wrong with you mentally? Do you need some help? John Soprich. He's just screaming
01:03:31.200
in all caps at me on different topics. John, you might need to get some help. That doesn't look
01:03:38.660
like an opinion. That looks like a cry for help. So go get some help.
01:03:47.340
I'd probably have to be vaccinated to go to Mars.
01:03:55.340
Would I go to an underground farm? Probably not.
01:04:09.540
Aliens are from the future, traveling back in time.