Episode 2125 Scott Adams： Trump Goes Savage, Ukraine Is Not A War, Depressed Men, Fake Boycott News
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 4 minutes
Words per minute
139.20076
Harmful content
Misogyny
11
sentences flagged
Hate speech
17
sentences flagged
Summary
In this episode, we talk about magnesium supplements, digital IDs, and whether or not the government will ever require us to have a digital ID. We also discuss the possibility of a digital passport, and the benefits and drawbacks of having one.
Transcript
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Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization and possibly
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robots, too. We'll find out later. If you'd like your experience, which will be really
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unparalleled today. Does it seem a little dark? I think I need to add some light. You
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can upgrade your performance, and all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or
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chalice or stein, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind, filled with your favorite
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liquid I like, coffee. Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine to the
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day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens
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now. Go! Ah. Ah. Yeah. You know what I need is just a little bit more light on this side.
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Pardon my close-up. Mwah. There we go. Perfect. Question. How many of you have ever tried
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magnesium supplements? And if you did, did you find it? A lot of you. Wow. Quite a few of
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you. So I tried magnesium supplements two nights ago. And let me tell you, you know, I hoped
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it would, you know, loosen my muscles and help me sleep, all the things that it's supposed
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to do. And I'll be damned. The first night I took it, loosened my muscles, slept like a
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baby, had the best night's sleep I can remember. And I said to myself, that magnesium stuff is
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amazing. So what do you think I did? Well, of course I did it the second night, because the
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first night was so successful. The second night, up all night, totally buzzed, and all my muscles
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are sore. Absolute opposite. Now, which one of those is real? Should I take it again? If
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I got the effect once, that was probably in my imagination, and then the second time, aggressively
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the opposite. Aggressively the opposite. How do you know if your supplements work? Does
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anybody know if their supplements work? How could you possibly tell? Because you can't tell
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experientially, and there's no science to back it. I don't even know if the magnesium that
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I bought, because I got some special powdered kind that you put in water, it's supposed to
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be better. I don't even know if it works. Should I keep taking it? You know, maybe creatine,
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yeah. Well, at least creatine, you could see if it's working, couldn't you? If you took creatine
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and did your same workout you always do, well, I guess you'd probably do harder, because that's
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what it lets you do. You'd probably see a muscle difference in three weeks. Am I right? Three
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weeks, and you'd know if it worked. But how in the world will I ever know if magnesium is
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working? I don't know what to do about it, because I feel like I need it. And on the other
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hand, I don't want to be that sucker who took a unnecessary mineral for decades. Anyway, let
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me ask you a question. Do you remember, and this is just me giving a prediction grade to
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myself on this. Do you remember when there was the question of getting a vaccination passport?
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Do you remember when that was like a big conversation? Oh, no, they want us to have a digital passport.
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And I argued that you didn't have to worry about it becoming permanent. Did it become
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permanent? Do you have a digital passport? Okay, so I'm just checking our predictions, because
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remember, those of you who fought me like weasels said, no, the vaccine passport is just
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their backdoor way of getting you to a digital passport. And I said, probably not. They're
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probably just trying to figure out if you're vaccinated. And if it's, you know, if they ever
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did a digital ID, that would be a separate process. So I think I was right. I think I would
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say my prediction was right, that that was not a slippery slope per se, but there might
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be a digital ID. I think the odds of a digital ID are close to 100%. Would you agree? The
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odds of someday the government requiring a digital ID, probably 100%. Yeah. And I would say the
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loss of privacy, complete loss of privacy, or something like it. That's also 100%. There's
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some things that I don't get into the philosophical argument about, because there's not two ways
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it could go. There's only one way digital IDs are going to go. Someday, maybe not your generation.
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Maybe you'll outlive it. But there will be digital IDs. There's no doubt about it. Just because
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we can, and it's just too sticky an idea, there'll be too many economic benefits. You know, the
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free market will sort of force you into it one way or another. So I'm not saying I'm in
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favor of it. I'm just saying there's nothing that would stop it. Same with digital money.
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Do you really think you're going to be paying for stuff? Or let's say other people. Do you
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think your grandkids are going to be paying for stuff with pieces of paper they carry around
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in their wallet? Does anybody think that's the future? There's not even a slight chance
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of that. No. No, digital money is not something that can be stopped. It just can't be. There's
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just no way that the future looks like today with pieces of paper for money. All right.
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And again, I'm not saying it's good or bad. It's just, it just is. It's just going to
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happen. Allegedly, I saw just one report. Maybe you can fact check me on this. Is NASA giving
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a UFO update at, in the next 20 minutes? In 20 minutes or so, NASA's going to give an update,
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right? If anybody's watching that at the same time, or you've got another device, if they
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break any news, can you let me know in the comments? Here's what I anticipate. There are
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suspicious things that we don't know about. Here's another video of a suspicious thing we
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don't understand. Here's some reports of some pilots who saw some suspicious things we don't
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understand. It's always going to be the same. Don't you wish one day they'd just say,
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well, I know we weren't planning to do this, but I'll open up my suitcase and here's Mazorba,
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the alien that we just captured. Here he is. Here he is. Everybody take a look. Captured
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alien. Right here. All right. All right. Put him back in the bag. Sorry. We got taken back
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to Area 52 or whatever it is. Don't you just want to see one day they actually come through
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with some real alien stuff? Give us some alien stuff. But you know why we won't see it today?
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There's a very good reason you will not see a UFO, you know, news breaking big situation. Why?
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Why will it not happen today? Because there's no story they're trying to divert you from.
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As soon as there's a big story that's bad for Democrats, oh, there's going to be a UFO story.
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Let me tell you, there's going to be the UFO story of all UFO stories. They're going to produce
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actually a family of UFOs with like children and the UFOs will have their own pet. You know,
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there's going to be like the full spaceship. You're going to get a tour of it. Yeah, that'll be the
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day that we find proof that Joe Biden was taking bribes. Full, full UFO. We're just waiting.
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All right. Not really, but it feels like that. Wall Street Journal is reporting on the ongoing
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decoupling of business from China. A couple of facts I thought weren't interesting. Did you know
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that 31% of global manufacturing happens in China? Nearly a third of all manufacturing
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relevant to the entire world happens in China. Now, I knew it was a lot, but when you hear the actual
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number, it's kind of scary. You thought it was 32%. Well, you fool. You fool. A lot of people thought
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it was 32%. Fools. It's 31%. My God, how could you be so off? But the news is talking about the difficulty
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of companies finding alternatives. So the situation is there's no company that really loves being in
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China because of the risk. You know, the risk of data privacy, the risk of going to jail, I suppose,
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the risk of war, the risk of boycotts, all that stuff. So there's no company who wants to be in China.
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They just don't have options. So even Musk is saying that decoupling from China doesn't make sense.
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But I would like to add this nuance to it. Decoupling is not yes or no. Who thought that? It's not, you know,
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binary. We decouple or we don't decouple. It's very obvious that some things you can decouple and some things
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you can't. Tesla is probably a perfect example of something that can't be decoupled. Because there really
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isn't any place else to get the stuff done that they need to get done. So I don't mind that so much. I don't mind
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that so much. People, I think business needs to do what business needs to do. And they need to look for
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alternatives, which do not exist. So apparently Vietnam is already full. You know, everybody
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who thought they were going to move their manufacturing to Vietnam, good luck. All the
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buildings are rented. You know, basically the industrial capacity just filled up immediately
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because people were looking for alternatives. Now that's going to be the same thing for, you know,
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India, et cetera. They're all probably just smashed. But I'll say it for the millionth time.
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We should be, we should have a long-term plan to convert the cartels into something like a
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manufacturing base. Because the alternative is they're going to go away. And I think somebody
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like a Trump, somebody like a, you know, Ramaswamy, somebody who's going to be tough on the drug
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business, I think they could just say, here's your two choices. Work with us productively to turn you
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into a, you know, legal business of some form where you can be useful. And basically we'll let you
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repatriate into something like a useful citizen in Mexico. And we'll all win. There is a way everybody
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wins. It just would take somebody like a, you know, a real maverick personality to get all those
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people to actually move in the same direction. I do think it's possible though.
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So, what else? So I guess Trump went after Kayleigh McEnany today, which disturbed a lot of people
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because Kayleigh McEnany is super popular. Is there anybody who doesn't like Kayleigh McEnany? Who's,
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let's say, people who like anybody on the right? She's probably, she's probably the most popular
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person in politics on the right. Name one person who's more popular than her. Like, it's weird.
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So anyway, once again, Trump does something that you wouldn't do. But may I remind you that you
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didn't become president. So let me just point this out. It needs to be said. Trump does a lot of things
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you wouldn't do. It made him president of the United States. Now he's doing more things than you
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definitely wouldn't do. It looks like a terrible idea. The net result will probably be president of
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the United States again. So you have to be really humble when you criticize Trump for doing something
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you wouldn't do. Do you get that? It's hard for me to be humble. I mean, it's really hard to work.
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I have to put all of my energy into it. Be humble. Be humble. Can't do it. But I can do it in this
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case a little bit. My first reaction is the same as Dave Rubin. I saw him tweeting on it. My first
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reaction is the same as yours, probably. Well, that's a terrible idea. That's like the worst idea I've
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ever seen. Publicly going after Kayleigh McEnany, who was a, you know, a loyal supporter of his
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administration just because she might be a little bit too pro DeSantis or even just balanced. You
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know, maybe her new job requires her to be balanced and that's not a good look. Well, here's the
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argument for why it might be a good idea that looks like a bad idea to every one of us. You're ready for
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this? And I want to remind you, it's not going to be my job to defend Trump for everything he does.
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But I do think explaining him is useful. Would you agree? If you don't take it as defending,
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I'm going to just talk about everybody's pros and cons. Because in terms of support, I'm just going
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to support whoever's the toughest on fentanyl. I'm a single issue voter. But let me talk about
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everybody. All right. So here's the argument for Trump going hard at McElhinney when nobody in the
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world thinks that's a good idea. It goes like this. Trump creates a pattern in which if you do what
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he wants, he will praise you and help you and, you know, you're definitely on his good side. But
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you're not just on his good side. You're really on his good side. He might, you know, promote your book.
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You know, if you have a book, he's going to tweet it. But if you're against him, you're really against
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him. So he doesn't do the nuance thing. It's like, oh, you're a good person, but we disagree on the
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policies. You're either a superstar or you're dead. Right? So the Trump world, there are superstars,
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people who support him, and then you're just dead to me. Nothing in between. That is super,
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super good persuasion. I've even described the most persuasive person I ever worked with
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who did exactly the same thing. She became the model for the Alice character in the Dilbert comic.
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And what she did at work, because I worked with her, she was a real person, still is a real person.
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If somebody helped her out, let's say she asked somebody in a different department to
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do something, and they actually did it, she would buy them flowers, like come to work with
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flowers, just for doing their job, just for doing something she wanted. She would then take
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the opportunity to talk to that person's boss, that was usually not her own boss, but a different
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boss, to tell them what a superstar he had, or she. Oh my God, your employee, this one
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employee, that's your best employee. Man, have you thought about a promotion or a raise?
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Man, that one employee is just killing it. Now that's what you would get if you did what
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she asked you to do for her benefit, for her job. What would happen if you didn't?
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If you didn't, she would actually try to get you fired. There was nothing in between.
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You were either helping her, which made you a superstar, or she would actually go to your
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boss and say, you know, you should consider replacing this person, because every time I
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ask for something, they can't get it done. Now remember, this wasn't a manager. This was
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just a rank and file engineer. And this one engineer had insane power over the entire structure,
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because everybody knew there was only one person in the game who could either make their career
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or end it. And it was a co-worker. It wasn't a boss. It was a co-worker. And she carved out
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that special, like, you know, control in a way that was very impressive to me. And she became
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the model for the Alice character. You know, a strong-willed engineer who is a woman who just
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isn't going to take any shit from anybody ever. That was her. So Trump uses that same
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model. There's nothing in between. So if you're thinking of being in between, you better get
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off the fence, because the fence is a dangerous place to be in the world of Trump. You just
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better be on his side. Now here's a question for you. You know, I've gone from more, let's
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say, complete Trump support to being completely willing to think he would be the best choice
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if he gets the nomination. But my first choice would be somebody younger. It's time for somebody
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younger. Do you think I'm going to be targeted? Do you think Trump will come after me? Probably
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not. Probably not. Because here's what I probably won't do. What I probably won't do is come up
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with some bogus attack on Trump that doesn't make sense. If I did that, I'd probably get
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attacked. But I'm just going to talk about what he does well, and what other people do
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well, and what the other side does well. We'll just see who does well. And if somebody does
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poorly, we'll call that down as well. All right. Saw a tweet by Mehdi Yakubi about the high rate
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of depression in men. And this data is mind-blowing, but completely believable. So I'm going to
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tell you things that will make your head explode, but in my opinion, it looks about right, unfortunately.
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40% of all men showed depressive symptoms. 40% of all men. 44% of all men had thoughts of suicide
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in the prior two weeks, with younger men showing the highest rates. 44% of all men thought about
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killing themselves in the last two weeks. 44% of all men thought about killing themselves
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in the last two weeks. That's almost impossible to hold it in your head, isn't it? There are
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some statistics that are so upsetting that it's just hard to hold it in your head. It just hurts.
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How about 40% of all men say they trust one or more, quote, men's rights, anti-feminist,
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or pro-violence voices from the, quote, manosphere. So that would be like a, you know, Andrew Tate
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sort of person. So 40% of men are drawn to something like an Andrew Tate. And nearly half of younger
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men say they trust such voices. Do you know why they trust those voices? Why do they trust
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people like Andrew Tate? Because he's not lying to them. Now, just to be clear, I'm not a fan
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of Andrew Tate. I hate him personally, but for personal reasons. It is, however, true that
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what makes him popular is that he says things that are true that you're not supposed to say
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out loud. And men recognize it as true. So half of all young men are finding some honesty,
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honesty. And apparently they're drawn to it. They're drawn to honesty. Men aged 18 to 23 have
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the least optimism for their futures and the lowest levels of social support. I wonder if
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that was always the case. I feel like 18 to 23 year olds are always lost. I don't know if
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that's different. 65% of men aged 18 to 23 say that, quote, no one really knows me well.
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Two thirds of all men don't have a friend. Just hold that in your head for a minute. Two thirds of all
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men, I'm sorry, between 18 and 23, say that no one really knows me well. They don't have any
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friends. Is that because of the digital world? Like what causes that? Or has it always been
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true? We just didn't know it. So I'm going to leave you with this one thought. Imagine if men
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actually were not trained to lie about their opinions and feelings. Do you know how big of a
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problem that is? That men have been trained to lie about their opinions and their feelings? Just lie
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about everything. Because nobody wants to hear a man complain about themselves. Nobody wants to hear a
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man complain about themselves. We are very tolerant of women and children complaining because we think,
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oh, if I know what's wrong, maybe I can fix it. So men are very, very accepting of other people's
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problems because sometimes we feel that's our role in life, is to go solve those problems. So of course
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we need to know about them. Then we go solve them. But who solves men's problems? Nobody. Nobody gives a
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shit. So if men complained, what good would it do? Nobody's going to come solve their problem.
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It just makes them look weak and adds to their problems. So when men complain, it makes their
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problems worse. Because nobody's going to help, but they'll think you're a wimp. If women complain,
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men say, well, that's a perfectly reasonable thing to do, or a kindred complains, you go solve that
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problem. Help them out. So I don't know where the breaking point is, but men, the category of men
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is completely broken. Would you agree? Yeah, the whole category of men is just broken. Now, maybe
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that's true of everybody. Maybe it's true of women. I just don't have as much of a window into that
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world. But yeah, the life of men is just completely shit. All right, here's a question.
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Geraldo is pushing the idea that the Democrats should offer, I guess Biden, a pardon or some
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kind of clemency for Trump for anything he may have done or didn't do, and in return for him not
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running for president. What do you think of Geraldo's plan? That Trump gets a full pardon
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for anything imagined or actual, and in return he agrees to not run for president. Now, Geraldo
00:24:42.540
is Trump's friend. Imagine if it wasn't his friend. So we can assume that Trump might be tough
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on Geraldo for making such a suggestion. I don't, I would say that's not something that's going to
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happen, but it would be funny for Biden to offer it. I hate to say it. If it were reversed,
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I would probably recommend that Trump offered it because it makes the other side look guilty.
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Am I right? You offer pardons to people because you assume they're guilty. You don't give a pardon
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to somebody who's not guilty. What would be the point of that? So if Biden were to offer
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Trump full pardons for everything, even if Trump rejected the deal, it would send the signal that
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he's guilty. So in terms of a persuasion play, it's pretty good. But I don't know why Geraldo's
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recommending a persuasion play for the Democrats. I'm not sure what that's about. Especially
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since it's not going to happen. All it would be is a persuasion play. All right, I'm going
00:25:59.420
to call out the Daily Caller for fake news today. They reported that Target and Bud Light have
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lost a whopping $28 billion combined amid marketing decisions about transgender stuff. Do you think
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that's true? Do you think Target and Light have lost $28 billion? On paper? Do you think
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they lost it on paper? No, nothing like that has happened. Nope. Nothing like that has happened.
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There are no losses. Yeah. Do you know what percent of Anheuser-Busch, let's see if you're up to date
00:26:39.160
on this news. If you're reading the news about the boycotts, there's one number you need to know
00:26:44.660
to understand the Anheuser-Busch Bud Light situation. Just one number. What percentage of Anheuser-Busch's
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total sales was Bud Light at its height, at its best day? What percentage of total sales?
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Tell me in the comments. I want to show you if you understand the news. I'm going to read
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out some of your answers. They go from 1% to 25%. So this isn't one of those joke ones where
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I go 25. So forget about the 25. That's not where I'm going with this one. Yeah, the answer
00:27:21.860
is 1%. Now, so of the total Anheuser-Busch, only 1% was Bud Light. And how much did the,
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Bud Light go down in sales? About 25%, something like that, 27%. So it's 0.27%, right? It's maybe
00:27:44.760
a quarter of 1% is the full risk. Now, in the context of that 1% going down a little bit
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further than 1%. The other business of Anheuser-Busch was stronger. So Anheuser-Busch's profits went
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up. They just didn't go up, just not quite as much as they could have if there had been
00:28:09.220
no boycott. Anheuser-Busch basically didn't even bat an eye. There's like no difference at
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all. Now, their stock is temporarily down. How much did that cost Budweiser or Anheuser-Busch,
00:28:22.540
that their stock went down? They don't own that stock. They don't own the stock. The investors
00:28:31.440
own the stock. You and I, I own the stock. Because I own a, well, no, I don't. I own an index fund,
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but if it had been in there, I would own it. It's a foreign company, right? So I don't own that in my
00:28:43.920
Fortune 500. So, right? It's a German company? Or is it another? What is the nationality? It's Belgium?
00:28:54.980
Belgium. All right. Why is it Belgium? That's so weird. All right. There's a reason that
00:29:04.780
Belgium is funny that you don't know on the YouTube link, but the people on Locals know
00:29:12.120
that there's a backstory with a Belgian. It has to do with a comic that's upcoming. Anyway,
00:29:17.620
well, I'll tell you, I'll tell you since I've been so bad. In the Dilbert Reborn comic that you can
00:29:26.440
only see by subscription now, Dave the Engineer will be asked to be the head of DEI, and he's going
00:29:34.220
to add diversity by hiring a Belgian, which will be not the right answer. So that's upcoming. There'll be
1.00
00:29:45.520
a comic on that coming up. Anyway, so here's what will likely happen. Anheuser-Busch, their stock
00:29:54.280
probably went down, and do you know what's going to happen next? It will float back up. The stock price
00:30:02.380
follows profits. In the long run, always, right? That's just a rule. So if your company has a certain
00:30:12.360
level of profitability, your value of your company's stock is going to only trade within a narrow range.
00:30:21.160
And that's not going to change unless your profitability changes wildly at the same time.
00:30:26.200
So Anheuser-Busch's profitability stayed exactly the same, but their stock took a dump.
00:30:32.220
What is going to happen next? Only one thing. If the profits stay where they are, or even increase
00:30:41.320
as they have been, the stock will drift back to where it was. There's nothing else that can happen
00:30:47.860
because the free market will just guarantee it. In the short run, people will make investment
00:30:54.140
decisions with emotion. So the emotion drives the stock down. Oh, I don't want to be associated
00:31:00.320
with that company. But in the long run, other people will say, well, that looks cheap, and I don't
00:31:05.820
care about that issue at all. Right? So in the long run, people will bid it back up. Now, I did see that
00:31:12.900
their P.E. ratio looked a little high. If you're not an investor, a P.E. ratio is the profits to earnings
00:31:23.720
ratio. If it's above 15, then typically it's not the best idea to buy that stock unless it's a real
00:31:31.780
fast-growing company. If it's a normal company like Anheuser-Busch, a price-earnings ratio of 15,
00:31:38.740
15, that's about, it's telling you that the stock price is where it belongs. Anheuser-Busch,
00:31:46.700
I believe, is at 22. So it's actually still an expensive stock. So some part of why the stock
00:31:54.100
might have gone down is because it was going to go down anyway, and it just gave people a little
00:31:59.700
more visibility on it, so it happened faster. I'm seeing 17 and 14. Oh, is it 17 now?
00:32:09.540
I literally just looked it up. I mean, right before I came on, I looked it up, it was 22.
00:32:15.660
Or was it? Maybe I looked at it. Oh, I might have been looking at a different company. Never mind.
00:32:19.400
I looked at two different companies. Never mind. But anyway, the point stays the same.
00:32:24.760
That 17 would tell you the stock is about where it belongs. 17, 15, that's pretty close.
00:32:31.540
At 22, it would tell you it's overpriced. And at 8, it would tell you it's a bargain if everything
00:32:37.820
else was going well. All right. And I believe that the Daily Caller is feeding a narrative
00:32:46.920
by reporting it this way. The narrative is these boycotts are working, and people on the right
00:32:52.900
are finally getting their power. And a little bit of that's true. That's certainly true. But when
00:32:59.320
you say that your combined impact was $28 billion in losses, nothing like that happened. The actual
00:33:07.080
number was closer to zero, but reported as $28 billion. Now, do you think there's any reason
00:33:15.180
that Target's stock price would go down? Can you think of anything that's happening at
00:33:21.020
the same time that would make Target's price go down unrelated to any trans stuff? Yes.
00:33:29.440
It's what basically wiped out Alta the other day. Didn't wipe it out, but their stock price
00:33:34.240
took a big crap because of retail theft. So Target has the same problem, massive retail theft.
00:33:42.240
Having an investment in any retailer that doesn't have a solution to retail theft is just a bad
00:33:51.160
idea. Now, I don't give you investment advice, right? Don't take my investment advice, because
00:33:57.980
there are lots of variables that might, you know, change things. But one variable that's
00:34:02.760
really worrying is they have no solution to retail theft, and that would wipe them out of
00:34:08.500
business. So Target has an existential threat with no solution, as do all retail stores right
00:34:16.640
now. An existential threat, no solution. I don't know why you'd own that stock. And I
00:34:23.680
was an idiot for buying some Alta because I thought it would do well after the pandemic.
00:34:28.540
Instead, the shoplifting just took them out. Yeah, it's not theft, it's borrowing. All
00:34:36.680
right, here's potentially good news. Brian Rommel reports that there's a kind of a metal
00:34:43.420
called vanadium, which is fairly common. And apparently it can be used for a new kind of
00:34:50.060
battery that can store large amounts of energy almost indefinitely. And it's the 22nd most abundant
00:34:57.160
element in Earth. Now, this is like many stories that we've heard lately. Oh, there's a new element
00:35:03.200
and a new way of making a battery. If you look at any one of these stories, the odds of them being the
00:35:09.840
big thing are small, right? Any one story. But there are a bunch of them. There are a bunch of, you know,
00:35:16.660
startups making a new battery and new discoveries. So the odds of major, major improvements in battery
00:35:24.120
are close to 100 percent. Probably 100 percent. You just don't know which specific companies will
00:35:30.440
be the winners. It isn't expandable. Well, I think that everything around batteries is likely to improve
00:35:39.260
and probably a lot and not and not in very long. So and then Brian points out that if you connect
00:35:48.840
these batteries to a sterling engine, you've got unlimited free energy. Now, the sterling engine
00:35:54.720
is something that creates electricity whenever there's a difference in temperature in two things
00:36:00.560
that are somewhat near together. So you can dig a hole and it will be a different temperature at the
00:36:06.120
bottom of the hole than it would be above ground. And you just connect them with some wires and you can
00:36:11.740
make permanent free electricity. Now, a sterling engine doesn't create a ton of electricity from that
00:36:18.740
differential. The greater the differential, the more the electricity. But you could put do stuff
00:36:25.500
like put mirrors and, you know, ways to capture and accentuate the heat above the ground while
00:36:31.260
below the ground stays 56 degrees. So the engines are noisy. Yeah, maybe. So if you want to look up
00:36:41.160
a sterling engine, it's a real fun rabbit hole. I've spent lots of time looking at them. So it's sterling
00:36:46.540
spelled S-T-I-R-L-I-N-G. Sterling. Named after the inventor. All right, so that's happening. Maybe.
00:36:57.780
There was a story about, there was a fertility doctor who was accused of using his own sperm
00:37:03.300
to impregnate several patients. So that was the story. Dr. Morris Wartman, he was using his own sperm
00:37:13.100
on his patients. Well, the story is that he died in a private plane crash. And the story says it was a
00:37:20.200
it was a homemade plane. Or, you know, it wasn't a factory produced plane. So some some people build
00:37:28.080
their own planes from kits. So it was an experimental aircraft. And it went down when, quote, the preliminary
00:37:36.820
findings indicate that, quote, the wings of the aircraft became detached from the fuselage.
00:37:50.200
Now, I'm no expert on building airplanes from a kit. No expert at all. But I was married to a pilot.
00:37:58.880
And so I learned some things by osmosis, just being rounded. One of the things that a pilot does
00:38:04.860
before every flight with his small planes, is they walk around and check the bolts. Did you know that?
00:38:13.280
That's every time. Every time you fly. No exceptions. You walk around your own plane, if you're the pilot,
00:38:20.580
and you literally check all the bolts, make sure nothing came loose. Now, we assume that maybe that
00:38:28.720
didn't happen. I don't know. Maybe it didn't happen. Didn't do the check. But I would say in the business
00:38:35.600
of building an airplane, there's almost nothing more important than attaching the wings to the fuselage.
00:38:42.960
You could think of a lot of things that could go wrong in the construction of your experimental
00:38:48.580
aircraft. But nothing would be quite at the level of, hey, Bob, did you remember to attach the wings
00:38:57.780
to the fuselage? Or are they just kind of stuck together temporarily? Well, I didn't know I had to attach
00:39:04.020
them. I thought they were tearaway. So it was up there. And I'm trying to imagine the, like, what was going
00:39:15.280
through their heads? Imagine being up in the air and your wings fall off. And you're, now you're just
00:39:23.100
a fuselage. You're just a fuselage. And you're like, well, looking at my options, not so good. It's like
00:39:34.700
the knight in Monty Python. You know, loses his arms and legs. So that was probably a bad day.
00:39:44.080
But I have a special fear of dying in a way that looks like my own fault and knowing it before it
00:39:51.940
happens. So while the entire thing is a tragedy, you know, there were deaths, there were two people who
00:39:58.400
died. So that's a tragedy. We can't lose sight of that. But from the time that the wings fell off
00:40:05.420
to the time that they hit the ground, they not only had to be, you know, experiencing the terror of the
00:40:13.100
situation itself, but whoever was in charge of building this thing is thinking, I knew I should
00:40:19.860
have attached those. I thought about it. I thought, attach the wings. And then I just got, I got
00:40:28.080
distracted. Yeah, it would feel very bad as you're plunging to your death. Now, let me give you a story
00:40:38.060
of small aircraft danger. So when my ex-wife was learning to fly, one of her flights was with an
00:40:48.600
instructor who had been a military pilot. So the military pilots have, you know, real good training
00:40:55.200
for emergency everything. So they get up in the air and they're, you know, maximum height and they lose
00:41:02.840
their engine. They just lose their engine. And they're like, I don't know, a mile in the air with no
00:41:12.780
engine. And it's not going to come back. So the, I don't know if the, I imagine the instructor wasn't
00:41:22.200
flying until the problem happened. I think he took over when the problem happened. And, but they weren't
00:41:26.740
too far from the airport. So they, they just taken off from a small airport. So there, there was plenty
00:41:33.460
of, plenty of time to glide back to the airport because they had just taken off. And for the small
00:41:39.540
planes, you know, they do learn how to glide them back. So it wouldn't be that much of a problem.
00:41:46.080
Scary as hell. But for an experienced pilot who's right above the airport, and it's a small airport,
00:41:51.860
so they can just tell everybody to chill for like 20 minutes. You can just tell everybody to chill.
00:41:58.300
And then, you know, you just do your landing. Except the pilot says, um, the guy who owns the plane,
00:42:05.280
who was the head of the flight school, he's going to be really pissed if we don't get this home.
00:42:10.880
Because if you leave your broken airplane at another airport, it's just harder to get it fixed.
00:42:15.980
Right? So he's like, I think we should glide to the other airport 12 miles away.
00:42:23.180
And my ex-wife said, all right. He glided 12 miles to the other airport, the home airport,
00:42:35.860
landed perfectly. No problem at all. It wasn't even hard. He was a very good pilot. He just glided 12
00:42:45.860
miles, took it in. First try. Yeah, that's pretty baller. Now, if you ever have a plane,
00:42:53.160
have a chance to be the spouse of somebody who is learning to fly a small aircraft, good luck.
00:43:01.980
Good luck. Because I heard that kind of story more than once. That wasn't the one time something
00:43:08.160
bad happened in the air. Wasn't the one time. So yeah, that's scary stuff. All right. Well,
00:43:16.620
apparently the doctor built that airplane by hand and he did a lot of bad things by hand.
00:43:27.520
I'm just going to leave it right there. Trump said he would sign an executive order to end
00:43:33.980
birthright citizenship should he become president again. Now you're going to say to yourself,
00:43:40.120
Scott, Scott, Scott, Scott. He can't do that. It's in the Constitution. The Constitution gives birthright
00:43:48.400
citizenship. If you're born here, you're a citizen, period. And there's no way that the president can
00:43:55.260
change that with just some executive order. Or is there? Or is there? The executive orders,
00:44:03.720
the way they work is they alter the interpretation of existing laws and constitutional stuff. And
00:44:13.960
apparently there is a, not a terrible argument that the original 14th Amendment had a specific
00:44:22.480
purpose, which was the children of slaves. So they wanted to make, correct me if I'm wrong. I believe
00:44:29.280
the idea was that the children of slaves would be guaranteed citizenship, which is weird that that
00:44:36.240
was ever a question, which is amazing to me. But, and then it got extended, you know, it got,
00:44:43.180
you know, generalized and used for everybody after that. But the argument would be that the executive
00:44:48.600
order would do nothing but interpret the Constitution in a more original way,
00:44:55.160
more original interpretation. Now, it might survive the challenge in the Supreme Court,
00:45:04.080
and it might not, but it's not a terrible idea. Not a terrible idea, if that's what you want
00:45:10.020
it to do, you know, in terms of is it legal enough? It might be. It might be. It'd be an
00:45:15.740
interesting challenge. I don't know who would win on that. All right, I've got a question for you
00:45:20.940
that, because I see so many videos of people getting beaten up online. Did you see the video
00:45:26.980
of the Marines who were surrounded by the teenagers, and the teenagers were beating them up on the beach?
00:45:33.520
And the Marines were curled up in fetal positions, and they were just taking the beatings. And you've
00:45:41.820
probably seen a lot of, especially school beatings, where the student who's the victim will
00:45:46.740
just curl up and just take the beating. And it just goes on and on, what seems like forever.
00:45:52.460
But they don't fight back. You know, once they get in that fetal position, they just stay there.
00:45:57.560
And even when they're being punched in the head and kicked in the head, they just stay there.
00:46:01.680
And I have this question. Is that your best strategy? Because I can't imagine doing it.
00:46:10.080
Like, my brain can't even process that. If I got hit, I would lose all control. I don't know how you
00:46:20.540
work, but if somebody hits me with the intention of hurting me, and then they keep doing it,
00:46:25.960
my entire consciousness would flip off. I would turn into an animal. I wouldn't care about any
00:46:34.240
amount of hurt. I would go into full attack mode. I would go for the eyes, the throat, the balls.
0.70
00:46:41.880
I would look for a weapon, and I would look to end them as quickly as possible. And I can't even
00:46:46.720
imagine crawling up and letting somebody beat me. But as I watch them, I note they all survive.
00:46:55.300
It seems like they have a very high survival rate. And so I wonder if the Marines were doing
00:47:00.120
exactly the right thing, knowing that they could have hurt, you know, the Marines, if they had gotten
00:47:05.020
up, the people beating them were smaller. Like, one-on-one, those Marines could have probably killed
00:47:12.480
two or three teenagers before they got overwhelmed. But they didn't. They took the beating.
00:47:21.040
And it makes me wonder if there's some training. Is there any kind of official training that tells
00:47:25.360
you had to deal with a crowd-beating situation? Because I would go to my death. Like, I wouldn't
00:47:33.040
even hesitate. I would say, all right, we're going to die now. Somebody's going to die. It
00:47:37.220
could be me. It could be you. But somebody's dying. There's definitely going to be some dying
00:47:40.840
happening. It might be you. It might be me. But we're not leaving here until somebody's dead.
00:47:46.920
I mean, that's how I would feel. For a bear attack, they're taught to be tortured and
00:47:58.140
survive. Yeah. It would probably be me. It probably would be. Yeah. I'm not saying, it depends
00:48:07.820
who. If it were teenagers, if teenagers attacked me, I would try to kill one of them. So the
00:48:15.820
others would pause. I'd probably pick the weakest one and just try to actually kill them as fast
00:48:22.100
as possible. Wouldn't you? I think if you kill one, it just changes the dynamic. So you've got
00:48:29.840
to kill one right away. That's what I would have done. All right. But don't take my advice on that
00:48:38.500
either. Rasmussen has a poll of what Americans think about who's winning in Ukraine. And only
00:48:50.380
17% of likely U.S. voters believe Russia is winning. 17% think Russia is winning. Does that
0.96
00:48:58.680
seem low? Does that seem like an opinion that people came to on their own? Or does that seem
00:49:07.980
like the media told them that Russia can't win? I feel like the media is telling people that Ukraine
00:49:14.800
is doing great and the opinions are just being accepted by the public. Because I can't even imagine
00:49:22.640
that the public on their own just looked at the situation and only 17% of them thought that Russia
00:49:31.640
is winning. Does that sound right? Well, let's see. 25% think Ukraine is winning. So I guess
00:49:45.240
most people think nobody's winning. 43% of voters believe it would be better for American interests
00:49:54.660
if Ukraine keeps fighting until the Russian invasion is completely defeated. Now that's
00:50:01.760
scary. 43% think we're better off pushing the war as far as possible. 42% think we'd better
00:50:13.520
be better to negotiate. Now, I tweeted this and it got a good response. The Ukraine situation
00:50:23.560
is not a war anymore. At one point it was a war. At this point, it's not a war, in my opinion,
00:50:31.900
because my definition of a war would be that at least one side has a reasonable expectation
00:50:38.260
of winning, whatever that looks like, you know, winning something. But we don't have
00:50:43.700
that. We have two sides who are in a conflict. Neither side can win. I think they both know
00:50:50.480
that. So this is a negotiation. It's a violent negotiation. And as soon as you see it like
00:50:59.700
that, it does change how you feel about it. Because the whole who's going to win, who's going
00:51:04.760
to take over more territory, appears to be settled. It appears to be settled. There might
00:51:09.580
be some, you know, minor border changes from now. But basically, Ukraine's going to be
00:51:14.460
there. And basically, Russia will still exist, too, when it's all done. So I think that all
0.92
00:51:21.900
it is is a negotiation, that they're trying to get the best position, hurt the other one
00:51:27.540
as much as possible, so that when there's finally a Republican president who can end it, whether
00:51:33.760
it's Trump or someone else, that they'll negotiate, you know, their best deal they can get. And
00:51:39.660
then somebody said to me online, Scott, Scott, Scott, how could Trump or anybody else, you
00:51:46.320
know, cause them to negotiate? How can anybody force them to do it? To which I say, easily.
00:51:55.500
Easily. You just threaten both of them with extraordinary pain. It's the way you get anything done.
00:52:01.460
You say, look, we're going to turn off both of you. We're going to shut down the Russian
1.00
00:52:07.280
economy if you keep fighting. And we're going to starve Ukraine of resources. So if you both
0.99
00:52:13.300
want to go down, you're now both our enemies. So we will now be the enemy of both Ukraine and
0.98
00:52:18.400
Russia. But it's to the death. So if that's what you want, go ahead. But or you could just
0.92
00:52:23.080
negotiate. Or you could negotiate. You can either have the United States enter the war against
00:52:29.580
both of you, because we're not going to put up with any more, or negotiate. And then suddenly
00:52:36.300
what makes sense? Half squat. What's a half squat? Yeah. The attacking of Moscow, I think,
00:52:48.800
is good strategy. Because the Moscow people need to be awakened to the fact that, you know,
00:52:56.020
that the danger could come to their doorstep if things get out of control. So I think that's
00:53:01.660
good negotiating. I don't, of course, I'm not in favor of attacking any residential areas.
00:53:10.240
You're fatalistic today? Or am I realistic? Fatalistic in the sense that I think the war will end
00:53:17.540
in a negotiated way. That's sort of the opposite of fatalistic. Andrew, never give Scott Adams any
00:53:25.120
real power. You don't think I have real power? It's a little too late for that. But good luck.
00:53:37.340
So there's more rumors that Purgosian, the head of the Wagner group, might want to take over Russia
00:53:50.260
and take over Putin. And when asked about it, Purgosian said, his army isn't that powerful.
00:53:59.540
Just hold that in your brain. When Purgosian was asked, do you intend to try to take over the
00:54:07.100
whole country? He said, my army isn't that powerful. That's a yes. That is a yes. He does want to take
00:54:20.160
over the country. But he's also being very clear that it could not be done by militarily beating the
00:54:27.780
Russian military. However, that wouldn't be the way you do it. That wouldn't be the smart way to
0.73
00:54:34.760
even do it. The smart way is to become more of a symbol of success than Putin is. So if Putin can
00:54:42.560
look like a failure, at the same time Purgosian is looking stronger, he could possibly bribe some
00:54:49.640
inner circle people to join his team. If I were Purgosian, here's how I would take Putin out.
00:54:55.680
Okay, I can't get anywhere near his inner circle, because he's got, you know, he's got his loyal
00:55:01.540
guards all around. So you find the head of his loyal guards. You say, hey, Igor, I know you're loyal
00:55:10.240
to this guy, but he's going down. And if you'll allow me to give you a billion dollars to stand out of
00:55:18.400
way and stand down, you'll be in good shape after I take over. I don't know. I think you
00:55:26.740
bribe some people, you murder some people, you threaten some people, you use PR, and maybe you
00:55:32.940
find a way to poison Putin. You know, I feel like there are a variety of ways that Purgosian
00:55:39.280
might be entertaining. I'm seeing somebody who believes something that Andrew Tate said.
00:55:49.920
If you believe anything that Andrew Tate said about that situation, you need to check your
00:55:57.920
assumptions. All right. Try the same technique on the mob of teenagers, bribery. Oh, let me give
00:56:13.020
you a hypnosis tip in case a crowd threatens you. You ready for this? Let's say multiple people
00:56:21.180
surround you. Not the biggest crowd in the world, but let's say it's a crowd of five people.
00:56:27.920
So let's say five people against you. And, you know, first they're talking, but you know they're
00:56:34.240
surrounding you and they're going to beat the crap out of you. Here's what I would try. I don't know
00:56:39.200
that this would work, but here's what I would try. Which one of you is in charge? That's what I'd say.
00:56:48.200
Which one of you is in charge? Do you know why? It changes their frame. If their frame is,
00:56:56.300
we're going to beat the shit out of you, and you change it to who's in charge, suddenly you've created
0.82
00:57:02.500
some infighting because they hadn't thought of it that way. Well, I don't know. Who's in charge? And
00:57:07.900
you say, I just want to talk to who's in charge. And then if they won't tell you who's in charge, you
00:57:12.820
pick one. You pick the big one. You say, you look like you're in charge. Am I right?
00:57:18.540
And what you say is, you can beat me up. There's nothing I can do about it. But I'd like to talk
00:57:27.840
to who's in charge. It would just change the frame. Now, I don't know if that would save you,
00:57:34.240
but it's the first thing I'd try. Try changing the frame to a conversation of you with whoever's in
00:57:40.540
charge. Just try it. It's better than whatever you were going to do. I'm seeing somebody challenge
00:57:51.640
me to be as man, man enough as Andrew Tate. If only I could be like your role model, Andrew
00:58:01.640
Tate. If only. If only I could be more like him. My life would be complete.
00:58:10.460
All right. Hey, I want to talk to the manager. The Karen defense. Exactly. How to persuade the
0.99
00:58:17.260
one in charge. Well, here's what you do. If you can persuade the one in charge or make
00:58:23.260
one think that they're in charge, then they feel good about being in charge. And that will
00:58:29.480
replace the dopamine that they were going to get by punching you to death. If you can
00:58:33.960
get them to accept that they're in charge, you might get them to accept that they can
00:58:38.500
prove it by telling the others not to beat you up. So basically, you want to move them
00:58:44.560
to the question of who's in charge and is that person going to stop the fighting from the unambiguous,
00:58:51.360
yes, yeah, we're about to kill you now. Tate says roll with lots of friends. How'd that
00:59:04.460
work out? Where are all Tate's friends right now? Trying to get them out of jail?
00:59:09.600
All right. That is what I've got for you for today. I believe it was entertaining and
00:59:24.200
not as good as the UFOs. Did anybody check on the UFOs yet? Breaking news, NASA confirms interaction
00:59:32.980
with a spacecraft. No way. No way. That can't be true. So let me see if I can find an update
00:59:48.420
on that. Who would have that? Does anybody see an update on the UFOs? It's on CNN?
01:00:02.980
All right. Tennis champ engaged to a fan who asked for a selfie during the U.S. Open. Wow.
01:00:15.220
That's one way to get married. Ask for a selfie. All right. I'm guessing that the UFO thing
01:00:23.940
is a bunch of nothing. Yeah, I don't believe there's any aliens. But here's my
01:00:32.820
current view. If you want to check my prediction. My prediction is we will not discover any living
01:00:41.160
aliens. But it might be true that there are things flying through the air that are automated.
01:00:47.260
So there might be some kind of robotic thing going on. And it might be from an earlier civilization
01:00:53.760
of Earthlings or some other planet or some other civilization we don't know about. But I don't
01:01:00.080
think there are any... And part of that is because if the things they say are spaceships are really
01:01:06.020
spaceships, and if they're moving at like 20 Gs or whatever it is, there wouldn't be any living
01:01:13.740
thing in there. They could be ancient Egyptian flying vehicles from inside the moon. Digital UFOs.
01:01:29.740
Could they be silicon-based life forms? Oh, they could have AI. Oh, how about that? What if the ships
01:01:41.220
do have AI and it's sentient that would be able to withstand any amount of Gs? No, that could
01:01:50.080
be. Maybe it's a digital AI. It's possible. You have a brother who trusts Adam Schiff? You should
01:02:10.160
get away from that, brother. Would I go to Mars? Nope. Under no scenario.
01:02:35.060
Oh, private insurance won't cover plants? No, that's not a good argument.
01:02:39.300
The head of the Pentagon's newly formed has said the existence of intelligence in the
01:02:44.300
aliens has not been ruled out. Oh, but no evidence. Okay.
01:02:58.160
Would you go to space? I doubt it. You need to do more research.
01:03:16.840
Hey, John, what is wrong with you mentally? Do you need some help? John Soprich. He's just screaming
01:03:31.200
in all caps at me on different topics. John, you might need to get some help. That doesn't look
01:03:38.660
like an opinion. That looks like a cry for help. So go get some help.
01:03:47.340
I'd probably have to be vaccinated to go to Mars.
01:03:55.340
Would I go to an underground farm? Probably not.
01:04:09.540
Aliens are from the future, traveling back in time.